1 00:00:00,240 --> 00:00:04,480 Speaker 1: The Action Network podcast, named vest vetting Podcast. 2 00:00:04,080 --> 00:00:06,320 Speaker 2: Or radio show by the Fantasy. 3 00:00:05,880 --> 00:00:09,160 Speaker 1: Sports and Gaming Association and the number one show for 4 00:00:09,240 --> 00:00:20,880 Speaker 1: the invested sports fan. All Right, here we go fifteen, twenty, 5 00:00:21,079 --> 00:00:24,439 Speaker 1: twenty five, thirty thirty five, forty forty five fifty A 6 00:00:24,560 --> 00:00:33,199 Speaker 1: kickus block the college football world stand, Oh my goodness 7 00:00:33,600 --> 00:00:38,760 Speaker 1: it stumble, the fall, the lateral to counter on the. 8 00:00:38,840 --> 00:00:41,440 Speaker 2: Inside, get you the lad. 9 00:00:43,240 --> 00:00:49,760 Speaker 1: Table off the field to night. It's not the sage 10 00:00:50,159 --> 00:00:57,440 Speaker 1: of the game, it's the sage of the fight. What's 11 00:00:57,520 --> 00:01:02,680 Speaker 1: up the general nation? Welcome to the Network podcast. This 12 00:01:02,760 --> 00:01:07,800 Speaker 1: is the College Football Betting Preview, Part one. I'm stucky 13 00:01:07,840 --> 00:01:11,840 Speaker 1: and joining me as always is Colin Wilson. These college 14 00:01:11,840 --> 00:01:15,080 Speaker 1: football previews that they're in flux and it's gonna get weird, 15 00:01:15,240 --> 00:01:18,200 Speaker 1: but at least we're here. We're gonna talk college football. 16 00:01:18,200 --> 00:01:20,480 Speaker 1: So it does feel good to be back, even though 17 00:01:20,520 --> 00:01:22,360 Speaker 1: we are in flux. What's going on, Colin? 18 00:01:22,600 --> 00:01:25,240 Speaker 2: There's a range of excitement when you and I start 19 00:01:25,280 --> 00:01:27,600 Speaker 2: College Football podcast, which we've been doing I think is 20 00:01:27,600 --> 00:01:30,360 Speaker 2: our fourth year going on now. There's this range of 21 00:01:30,440 --> 00:01:33,880 Speaker 2: you know, everything from exciting and the days dragon because 22 00:01:33,880 --> 00:01:36,160 Speaker 2: I can't wait for week zero and That's what I 23 00:01:36,160 --> 00:01:38,520 Speaker 2: have right now, except we may not have a season. 24 00:01:38,640 --> 00:01:41,640 Speaker 2: So I'm on the brink of complete excitement and the 25 00:01:41,680 --> 00:01:43,039 Speaker 2: brink of complete depression. 26 00:01:43,040 --> 00:01:43,600 Speaker 1: And I don't know. 27 00:01:43,840 --> 00:01:45,919 Speaker 2: It's up at a fall. Hopefully we get some games. 28 00:01:45,920 --> 00:01:48,640 Speaker 2: It could get pushed off to the spring. Every day 29 00:01:48,680 --> 00:01:49,880 Speaker 2: it's just brand new news. 30 00:01:50,400 --> 00:01:53,400 Speaker 1: By the way, congrats on your Morikawa future. I was 31 00:01:53,480 --> 00:01:55,440 Speaker 1: rooting for a lot. A lot of people seem to 32 00:01:55,480 --> 00:01:57,760 Speaker 1: have more Kawa and it's been One of the good 33 00:01:57,760 --> 00:02:00,120 Speaker 1: things about Quarantine is that I've gotten into, like, you know, 34 00:02:00,160 --> 00:02:02,560 Speaker 1: appreciate golf more. We have a lot of people on 35 00:02:02,600 --> 00:02:05,560 Speaker 1: the action app that specialize in specific sports and they 36 00:02:05,560 --> 00:02:07,800 Speaker 1: do a really good job, you know, such as NASCAR, 37 00:02:08,040 --> 00:02:11,960 Speaker 1: UFC Zero has been killing UFC, so, you know, appreciating 38 00:02:12,000 --> 00:02:16,320 Speaker 1: like Nascar. I've watched like Nascar UFC. But on the 39 00:02:16,320 --> 00:02:20,040 Speaker 1: flip side, look there's all my you know, my breadwinner sports, 40 00:02:20,720 --> 00:02:23,799 Speaker 1: which you know, tennis, baseball. I mean I don't even 41 00:02:23,800 --> 00:02:25,440 Speaker 1: do off. I have it edge anymore in baseball, but 42 00:02:25,480 --> 00:02:28,960 Speaker 1: I bet it and cap it all summer long. Tennis. 43 00:02:29,280 --> 00:02:33,240 Speaker 1: I am watching tennis all day, betting tennis all summer. 44 00:02:33,639 --> 00:02:36,040 Speaker 1: So I haven't had baseball and tennis. So I've never 45 00:02:36,120 --> 00:02:39,560 Speaker 1: been more prepared for college football and NFL. I mean, 46 00:02:39,720 --> 00:02:42,920 Speaker 1: all this free time that I normally would be, you know, 47 00:02:43,040 --> 00:02:47,359 Speaker 1: utilizing for baseball for tennis, I've used for college football prep. 48 00:02:47,400 --> 00:02:48,800 Speaker 1: And I've never been more prepared in my life. And 49 00:02:48,800 --> 00:02:51,080 Speaker 1: I'm a huge believer, and like you obviously have to 50 00:02:51,120 --> 00:02:53,960 Speaker 1: have a model in your number, but there's also a 51 00:02:53,960 --> 00:02:59,600 Speaker 1: big subjective edge, right, and that's understanding you know, returning production, 52 00:02:59,720 --> 00:03:02,560 Speaker 1: certain schemes and which will be more important if we 53 00:03:02,560 --> 00:03:05,480 Speaker 1: started the season this year with shortened springs and shortened summers. 54 00:03:06,360 --> 00:03:08,320 Speaker 1: So I've just been I am so prepared and I 55 00:03:08,320 --> 00:03:09,679 Speaker 1: don't even know if it's gonna pay off because it 56 00:03:09,720 --> 00:03:11,480 Speaker 1: looks like we're gonna go to conference on these seasons. 57 00:03:11,520 --> 00:03:13,799 Speaker 1: If anything, We're gonna talk to Bret McMurphy about that, 58 00:03:14,000 --> 00:03:17,160 Speaker 1: But regardless of what happens, we're gonna be prepared. How 59 00:03:17,200 --> 00:03:19,440 Speaker 1: are you on the preparation scale. 60 00:03:19,240 --> 00:03:21,919 Speaker 2: You know, preparation scale. I've said this, The numbers were 61 00:03:21,919 --> 00:03:24,799 Speaker 2: done in March, The wind totals were done in March. 62 00:03:25,320 --> 00:03:27,720 Speaker 2: The second order wind totals has been known, and then 63 00:03:27,760 --> 00:03:30,359 Speaker 2: once we had the huge layoff with MLB and there 64 00:03:30,400 --> 00:03:32,639 Speaker 2: was no more work to put into that. I kind 65 00:03:32,639 --> 00:03:35,240 Speaker 2: of morphed into teaching myself how to do our studio 66 00:03:35,280 --> 00:03:37,400 Speaker 2: again so that we can have a better polished product 67 00:03:37,400 --> 00:03:39,360 Speaker 2: in some of our write ups with me putting out, 68 00:03:39,400 --> 00:03:43,200 Speaker 2: you know, some really great pictures for some advanced statistics, 69 00:03:43,200 --> 00:03:46,200 Speaker 2: and then in the meantime, it's a testament to what 70 00:03:46,240 --> 00:03:48,840 Speaker 2: we have at the Action Network that somebody like me 71 00:03:49,000 --> 00:03:51,960 Speaker 2: has been able to read Jason Soble and listen to 72 00:03:51,960 --> 00:03:55,280 Speaker 2: Pete Jennings and read Joshua Perry and all of our 73 00:03:55,320 --> 00:03:57,440 Speaker 2: guys at the Action I worked to do golf. I've 74 00:03:57,520 --> 00:03:59,840 Speaker 2: learned from them for two years and now I'm actually 75 00:04:00,280 --> 00:04:02,400 Speaker 2: to tread water and make some money on golf because 76 00:04:02,400 --> 00:04:04,400 Speaker 2: of how great the team is at Action Network. So 77 00:04:04,800 --> 00:04:07,960 Speaker 2: it's been really nice kind of doing that, and I'm optimistic. 78 00:04:08,040 --> 00:04:10,119 Speaker 2: I'm ready to go with college football. Everything's done. I've 79 00:04:10,160 --> 00:04:12,880 Speaker 2: got my own opinions. I've read as much as I can, 80 00:04:12,960 --> 00:04:14,720 Speaker 2: I've gone as deep as I can on these rosters. 81 00:04:14,800 --> 00:04:16,599 Speaker 2: I'm ready to lay some big time bets and have 82 00:04:16,640 --> 00:04:18,760 Speaker 2: the season go. But what's our schedule going to be? 83 00:04:19,080 --> 00:04:21,160 Speaker 1: Yeah, that's gonna be the key to schedule. I mean, 84 00:04:21,160 --> 00:04:25,719 Speaker 1: I built like a new set of rankings for teams 85 00:04:25,839 --> 00:04:28,400 Speaker 1: like COVID rankings, So it's you know, you have your 86 00:04:28,440 --> 00:04:32,760 Speaker 1: power ratings, but these are just rating the teams based 87 00:04:32,800 --> 00:04:37,400 Speaker 1: on like three or four factors, returning production, coaching changes, 88 00:04:37,680 --> 00:04:39,719 Speaker 1: how much they got in in the spring or summer, 89 00:04:40,440 --> 00:04:43,320 Speaker 1: scheme changes, and coordinators, so like trying to implement you know, 90 00:04:43,400 --> 00:04:47,760 Speaker 1: quarterback changes for returning production, if you're changing defenses, right 91 00:04:47,800 --> 00:04:50,600 Speaker 1: with a coaching change, all these things in a shortened 92 00:04:50,640 --> 00:04:54,960 Speaker 1: spring and potentially you know, a shortened summer and just 93 00:04:55,000 --> 00:04:58,280 Speaker 1: preparation overall is going to show out on the field. 94 00:04:58,279 --> 00:05:01,120 Speaker 1: And these teams with you know that have steady coaching 95 00:05:01,160 --> 00:05:03,880 Speaker 1: staffs and schemes and quarterback and a lot of players 96 00:05:03,960 --> 00:05:06,880 Speaker 1: coming back, they're at such a big advantage in this environment. 97 00:05:06,960 --> 00:05:09,679 Speaker 1: Now if we do push it back and start in October, 98 00:05:09,839 --> 00:05:12,920 Speaker 1: November or the spring, then a lot of that advantage 99 00:05:12,960 --> 00:05:15,200 Speaker 1: might go away. So now it's all in flux, but 100 00:05:15,240 --> 00:05:17,480 Speaker 1: the prep is there. I'm excited to share it all. 101 00:05:17,480 --> 00:05:19,599 Speaker 1: We're gonna have to wait to see what happens with 102 00:05:19,640 --> 00:05:22,120 Speaker 1: the season for win totals, right, that's just not a 103 00:05:22,160 --> 00:05:23,920 Speaker 1: market right now. I don't even know if you could 104 00:05:23,920 --> 00:05:26,760 Speaker 1: find any wind totals up right now, but it's not 105 00:05:26,760 --> 00:05:30,080 Speaker 1: worth betting. It's more than likely just going to get avoided. 106 00:05:30,160 --> 00:05:33,239 Speaker 1: But we do think the situation at hand does offer 107 00:05:33,279 --> 00:05:37,040 Speaker 1: some value in the overall national championship playoff futures market. 108 00:05:37,320 --> 00:05:39,599 Speaker 1: We're going to get to that, but before we do, 109 00:05:39,720 --> 00:05:42,080 Speaker 1: let's find out what the hell is going on with 110 00:05:42,120 --> 00:05:45,440 Speaker 1: college football. Let's get an update. There's a lot going on. 111 00:05:46,160 --> 00:05:47,920 Speaker 1: Let's get an update of what has happened, what's going 112 00:05:47,960 --> 00:05:50,320 Speaker 1: to happen. So for that, we're bringing in an old 113 00:05:50,600 --> 00:05:54,120 Speaker 1: friend of the pod, Brett McMurphy, who has been on 114 00:05:54,320 --> 00:05:57,120 Speaker 1: many times before and he's following this stuff really closely. 115 00:05:58,040 --> 00:05:59,800 Speaker 1: If you don't follow him on Twitter, he's providing great 116 00:05:59,880 --> 00:06:02,320 Speaker 1: up dates and we'll continue to do so. So let 117 00:06:02,920 --> 00:06:05,520 Speaker 1: let's get him on the horn. Get a quick cabot. 118 00:06:05,560 --> 00:06:08,520 Speaker 1: We're recording this on Sunday night. Everything is changing. This 119 00:06:08,640 --> 00:06:11,039 Speaker 1: situation is so fluid, so make sure that you know, 120 00:06:11,360 --> 00:06:14,400 Speaker 1: stay up with Brett on Twitter because things can change. 121 00:06:14,400 --> 00:06:15,680 Speaker 1: This could be you know, you can be listening to 122 00:06:15,680 --> 00:06:20,000 Speaker 1: this Thursday, July sixteen, seventeen and things could be different. 123 00:06:20,200 --> 00:06:21,400 Speaker 1: So we're just going to give you the lay of 124 00:06:21,400 --> 00:06:26,039 Speaker 1: the land. As of tonight, we already celebrated Colin's golf 125 00:06:26,560 --> 00:06:29,800 Speaker 1: betting wind. I saw that you were out on the 126 00:06:29,880 --> 00:06:31,760 Speaker 1: course for a charity. How'd you shoot? 127 00:06:32,080 --> 00:06:34,480 Speaker 3: I had a natural birdie, so I think I in 128 00:06:34,640 --> 00:06:38,520 Speaker 3: my consecutive whole streak without a birdie at over a thousand, 129 00:06:38,680 --> 00:06:43,080 Speaker 3: so I was really pumped up. Played Innisbrook Copperhead, which 130 00:06:43,120 --> 00:06:47,320 Speaker 3: has the Senior Bowspar Championship. I think that's the right name. 131 00:06:48,160 --> 00:06:51,080 Speaker 3: But yeah, it was fun. You know, get outside and 132 00:06:51,480 --> 00:06:53,279 Speaker 3: then you know, down here in Florida, you got to 133 00:06:53,320 --> 00:06:54,719 Speaker 3: get a chance to do a lot of that. I 134 00:06:54,920 --> 00:06:57,200 Speaker 3: should be a lot better since I lived down here, 135 00:06:57,240 --> 00:06:59,839 Speaker 3: but I'm not. So it was fun times there. 136 00:07:00,240 --> 00:07:03,200 Speaker 1: Yeah. I just think if I get a true birdie, 137 00:07:04,040 --> 00:07:06,920 Speaker 1: I would be celebrating just like you. So let's let's 138 00:07:06,920 --> 00:07:08,839 Speaker 1: move on to some college football talk. Let's just start 139 00:07:09,120 --> 00:07:13,000 Speaker 1: very high level broadly speaking, what so what has happened 140 00:07:13,040 --> 00:07:15,800 Speaker 1: so far as far as you know, just to update 141 00:07:15,840 --> 00:07:19,120 Speaker 1: everyone conferences that have announced changes, and then just what 142 00:07:19,160 --> 00:07:23,080 Speaker 1: do you anticipate happening across the board? Are we going 143 00:07:23,240 --> 00:07:26,040 Speaker 1: conference only as of now everywhere? So you just want to 144 00:07:26,080 --> 00:07:26,840 Speaker 1: give a quick update. 145 00:07:27,680 --> 00:07:30,040 Speaker 3: This pass away to Big ten and pac twelve announced 146 00:07:30,040 --> 00:07:32,840 Speaker 3: they were going to go conference only build determining if 147 00:07:32,840 --> 00:07:34,680 Speaker 3: they're going to play nine games like they have in 148 00:07:34,800 --> 00:07:37,800 Speaker 3: past years, or maybe they go up to ten conference games. 149 00:07:37,800 --> 00:07:41,440 Speaker 3: They had an additional conference game they're expected to delay 150 00:07:41,480 --> 00:07:43,800 Speaker 3: the start of the season. I think what they want 151 00:07:43,800 --> 00:07:45,400 Speaker 3: to do in the other Power five leaks want to 152 00:07:45,440 --> 00:07:49,040 Speaker 3: do is they want to create additional open dates. I 153 00:07:49,040 --> 00:07:51,200 Speaker 3: don't think anybody in the country will play a twelve 154 00:07:51,200 --> 00:07:54,240 Speaker 3: games schedule this year. They want to create these open dates, 155 00:07:54,280 --> 00:07:57,560 Speaker 3: these uh, you know, consecutive open dates, because when you 156 00:07:57,560 --> 00:08:01,440 Speaker 3: see these outbreaks of COVID positive cas like Saturday, Maryland 157 00:08:01,720 --> 00:08:04,840 Speaker 3: had to shut down voluntary workouts. Ohio State the week 158 00:08:04,880 --> 00:08:07,480 Speaker 3: before that had to shut down voluntary workouts. Well, as 159 00:08:07,480 --> 00:08:09,760 Speaker 3: you guys know, if that happens in the season, you 160 00:08:09,800 --> 00:08:13,160 Speaker 3: know you're basically postponing games or canceling games. So they 161 00:08:13,200 --> 00:08:15,680 Speaker 3: want to try to have multiple open dates so they 162 00:08:15,680 --> 00:08:18,880 Speaker 3: can have makeup games if they want, or if large 163 00:08:18,920 --> 00:08:22,560 Speaker 3: amount of student athletes have to get quarantine for two weeks, 164 00:08:22,880 --> 00:08:26,280 Speaker 3: you have the availability to do that. It's certainly to 165 00:08:26,320 --> 00:08:29,800 Speaker 3: provide some flexibility which we've never had in college football before. 166 00:08:30,680 --> 00:08:35,440 Speaker 3: The excuse me, the SEC athletic directors are meeting Monday 167 00:08:35,559 --> 00:08:39,240 Speaker 3: tomorrow face to face to kind of discuss what they're 168 00:08:39,280 --> 00:08:42,880 Speaker 3: going to do. I'm not expecting them to announce anything tomorrow, 169 00:08:42,960 --> 00:08:46,120 Speaker 3: but then again, you know, as I mentioned you guys earlier, 170 00:08:47,040 --> 00:08:50,120 Speaker 3: nobody expected the Big ten to make a decision this 171 00:08:50,200 --> 00:08:53,720 Speaker 3: early either. So ultimately, I think by the end of July, 172 00:08:53,880 --> 00:08:56,760 Speaker 3: by August first, I think the Big twelve, SEC and 173 00:08:56,800 --> 00:08:59,160 Speaker 3: ACC will then announce what they're going to do. And 174 00:08:59,280 --> 00:09:02,000 Speaker 3: you know I reported last week the ACC likely is 175 00:09:02,040 --> 00:09:04,840 Speaker 3: going to be headed to conference only games. A Notre 176 00:09:04,960 --> 00:09:08,240 Speaker 3: Dame will be included in that they could count towards 177 00:09:08,320 --> 00:09:11,720 Speaker 3: conference standings. I don't know that's a possibility, or they 178 00:09:11,720 --> 00:09:14,000 Speaker 3: would just give them enough games so they could have 179 00:09:14,000 --> 00:09:16,400 Speaker 3: a schedule. There's a lot of things on the table, 180 00:09:17,040 --> 00:09:20,760 Speaker 3: but certainly I think those leagues will either go conference 181 00:09:20,880 --> 00:09:23,920 Speaker 3: only or maybe conference only with a plus one non 182 00:09:23,960 --> 00:09:28,200 Speaker 3: conference game. Another thing, real quickly, they these power to 183 00:09:28,320 --> 00:09:32,040 Speaker 3: five leagues want to play exclusively Power five schedules this year, 184 00:09:32,080 --> 00:09:35,120 Speaker 3: and it has nothing to do with competition, but more 185 00:09:35,160 --> 00:09:38,440 Speaker 3: to do with the testing and safety measures taken by 186 00:09:38,520 --> 00:09:40,840 Speaker 3: the Power five leagues. They feel like they've got the 187 00:09:40,880 --> 00:09:44,280 Speaker 3: financial resources to test more often than the group of 188 00:09:44,320 --> 00:09:47,200 Speaker 3: five schools in the non Power five leagues. And so, 189 00:09:47,440 --> 00:09:51,120 Speaker 3: for instance, a Power five league has safety guidelines from 190 00:09:51,240 --> 00:09:53,920 Speaker 3: say one through fifty, and now you're playing a team 191 00:09:54,080 --> 00:09:56,360 Speaker 3: from a group's five conference and they're able to go 192 00:09:56,440 --> 00:09:59,000 Speaker 3: one through twenty five. Part of that reason is probably 193 00:09:59,040 --> 00:10:01,880 Speaker 3: financially and do you want to put your student athletes 194 00:10:01,880 --> 00:10:04,720 Speaker 3: in that situation? You know, I don't. Across the board, 195 00:10:04,760 --> 00:10:07,760 Speaker 3: I don't think they want to do that, And so that's, 196 00:10:08,040 --> 00:10:10,080 Speaker 3: you know, ultimately what I think is going to happen. 197 00:10:10,160 --> 00:10:12,680 Speaker 3: We'll have some kind of a conference only, a maybe 198 00:10:12,679 --> 00:10:15,920 Speaker 3: conference only plus one for the ACC Big twelve and SEC. 199 00:10:16,640 --> 00:10:19,160 Speaker 3: And you know, I'm probably going to try to write 200 00:10:19,160 --> 00:10:23,040 Speaker 3: something later this week at watchstadium dot com about a 201 00:10:23,120 --> 00:10:27,160 Speaker 3: possible scheduling alliance between the ACC, Big twelve and SEC, 202 00:10:27,840 --> 00:10:31,320 Speaker 3: which literally would take two hours to explain, so I won't, 203 00:10:31,840 --> 00:10:35,720 Speaker 3: but it would basically be all three leagues combining together 204 00:10:35,840 --> 00:10:38,800 Speaker 3: almost as one conference and kind of being able to 205 00:10:38,880 --> 00:10:42,280 Speaker 3: keep together some of their rivalries they've got going, most 206 00:10:42,320 --> 00:10:45,880 Speaker 3: notably the four in state rival games between the SEC 207 00:10:45,920 --> 00:10:50,160 Speaker 3: and ACC Florida, Florida State, Clinton, South Carolina Kentucky Louisville 208 00:10:50,480 --> 00:10:53,200 Speaker 3: and Georgia Jordgia Tech. You know, I would say there's 209 00:10:53,240 --> 00:10:56,440 Speaker 3: probably not a very good chance that happened. But look, 210 00:10:56,600 --> 00:10:59,600 Speaker 3: there's so many uncertainties this year. There's one certainty. This 211 00:10:59,679 --> 00:11:02,000 Speaker 3: will be unlike any college football season we've seen in 212 00:11:02,040 --> 00:11:04,360 Speaker 3: our lifetime, and so maybe this is a time to 213 00:11:04,400 --> 00:11:08,320 Speaker 3: try something different, think outside the box. Another reason. I 214 00:11:08,360 --> 00:11:12,040 Speaker 3: think something like that may you know, have a somewhat 215 00:11:12,080 --> 00:11:15,120 Speaker 3: slim chance again, but helps its chances. I think as 216 00:11:15,160 --> 00:11:17,880 Speaker 3: far as as the TV revenue, I think there's more 217 00:11:17,920 --> 00:11:21,199 Speaker 3: of an appetite for a SEC Big twelve game or 218 00:11:21,240 --> 00:11:26,440 Speaker 3: an ACC SEC game or Notre Dame versus the Big 219 00:11:26,480 --> 00:11:29,880 Speaker 3: twelve or versus the SEC or whatever, compared with just 220 00:11:30,000 --> 00:11:33,840 Speaker 3: strictly each conference playing conference only games. I think you 221 00:11:33,960 --> 00:11:37,560 Speaker 3: limit your audience if you're just Big ten versus Big ten, 222 00:11:37,679 --> 00:11:41,439 Speaker 3: or ACC versus ACC. And so maybe you know, surprise 223 00:11:41,480 --> 00:11:45,760 Speaker 3: surprise money is something that helped drives a possible you know, 224 00:11:45,840 --> 00:11:47,719 Speaker 3: alliance between these three conferences. 225 00:11:48,160 --> 00:11:50,160 Speaker 1: Yeah, plus of makes sense that you would have, I mean, 226 00:11:50,160 --> 00:11:52,320 Speaker 1: sometimes to make what may make more sense of you 227 00:11:52,640 --> 00:11:55,520 Speaker 1: say you're Iowa to play Iowa State, you know, to 228 00:11:55,520 --> 00:11:58,640 Speaker 1: add keep that game instead of going to Jersey to 229 00:11:58,640 --> 00:12:01,120 Speaker 1: play Rutgers. And you know, so if there's a lot 230 00:12:01,160 --> 00:12:03,800 Speaker 1: to work out, everyone just wants college football to happen 231 00:12:03,800 --> 00:12:06,480 Speaker 1: in some capacity. If it does, everyone is going to 232 00:12:06,480 --> 00:12:09,080 Speaker 1: be happy, just because there's this doubt out there. But 233 00:12:09,120 --> 00:12:11,880 Speaker 1: the main question that I think most casual fans want 234 00:12:11,920 --> 00:12:15,040 Speaker 1: to know is based on two things you said. You know, 235 00:12:15,040 --> 00:12:17,240 Speaker 1: they want to delay the start of the season, but 236 00:12:17,800 --> 00:12:20,000 Speaker 1: they also want to have more open weeks, right, So 237 00:12:20,360 --> 00:12:22,760 Speaker 1: what does that mean as far as start date? So 238 00:12:23,000 --> 00:12:24,840 Speaker 1: there are some conference games I know in the ACC 239 00:12:24,960 --> 00:12:29,400 Speaker 1: scheduled for the first week. Do you anticipate anyone playing 240 00:12:29,520 --> 00:12:32,280 Speaker 1: college football the first week of September? Or is this 241 00:12:32,320 --> 00:12:35,080 Speaker 1: something that's you know, ten games season, we start mid September. 242 00:12:35,480 --> 00:12:37,960 Speaker 1: If you had a guess, what is the start of 243 00:12:38,040 --> 00:12:40,319 Speaker 1: the schedule when you're timing. 244 00:12:40,040 --> 00:12:44,640 Speaker 3: There, Yeah, it's stuck. I think they they look they 245 00:12:44,720 --> 00:12:46,959 Speaker 3: want to start August twenty nine, They want to start 246 00:12:47,000 --> 00:12:49,360 Speaker 3: September fifth. I just don't think when you see that 247 00:12:49,600 --> 00:12:53,560 Speaker 3: the number of a positive tests all across the country, 248 00:12:53,600 --> 00:12:56,840 Speaker 3: specifically with some of these teams, that they think they're 249 00:12:56,880 --> 00:12:59,400 Speaker 3: going to be ready to go by man. So, yeah, 250 00:12:59,800 --> 00:13:01,720 Speaker 3: they want to start a little bit later. You're not 251 00:13:01,720 --> 00:13:04,400 Speaker 3: playing a twelve game schedule, so that helps a little bit, 252 00:13:04,880 --> 00:13:07,800 Speaker 3: and so they want to get in as many games 253 00:13:07,840 --> 00:13:10,440 Speaker 3: as they can. You know, there's some people that think, well, 254 00:13:10,480 --> 00:13:13,280 Speaker 3: let's just move it to the spring. I understand that thinking, 255 00:13:13,360 --> 00:13:16,360 Speaker 3: but the people that are not for that feel like, 256 00:13:16,480 --> 00:13:18,840 Speaker 3: you know, look, if we can start playing in the fall, 257 00:13:19,160 --> 00:13:22,000 Speaker 3: let's start playing. And if we get in three games, 258 00:13:22,040 --> 00:13:23,920 Speaker 3: if we get in five, if we get in eight, 259 00:13:24,000 --> 00:13:26,800 Speaker 3: whatever we get in, that's better than not playing in 260 00:13:26,840 --> 00:13:28,960 Speaker 3: the fall and wait for the spring. And then the 261 00:13:28,960 --> 00:13:31,839 Speaker 3: spring gets here and the situation is not any better. 262 00:13:31,960 --> 00:13:34,440 Speaker 3: So then we just we just you know, pissed away 263 00:13:34,520 --> 00:13:36,400 Speaker 3: playing in the fall to wait for the spring. And 264 00:13:36,440 --> 00:13:38,920 Speaker 3: now we can't play in the spring. Everyone talks about 265 00:13:38,920 --> 00:13:40,959 Speaker 3: how the virus, you know, will get worse in the 266 00:13:41,040 --> 00:13:43,880 Speaker 3: winter months when it's colder, so move to the spring. Well, 267 00:13:44,280 --> 00:13:47,360 Speaker 3: this thing broke out in March, that's the spring. So 268 00:13:47,920 --> 00:13:50,840 Speaker 3: to answer your original question, Stucky, I think they would 269 00:13:50,920 --> 00:13:53,400 Speaker 3: prefer to start on time. I don't think that's realistic, 270 00:13:53,440 --> 00:13:56,040 Speaker 3: and I think they realize that, and so I would 271 00:13:56,120 --> 00:13:58,760 Speaker 3: look at like the second or third week of September. 272 00:13:59,000 --> 00:14:01,880 Speaker 3: Their hopes would be to get going in and obviously 273 00:14:01,920 --> 00:14:04,440 Speaker 3: have a lot of flexibility, you know, I know, you know. 274 00:14:04,559 --> 00:14:07,960 Speaker 3: Last week I reached out to all the FBS athletic directors. 275 00:14:08,280 --> 00:14:10,840 Speaker 3: One hundred and fifteen or one hundred and thirty responded, 276 00:14:11,160 --> 00:14:13,480 Speaker 3: and this was before the Big ten announcement came out, 277 00:14:13,480 --> 00:14:16,480 Speaker 3: by the way, and nearly seventy five percent told me 278 00:14:16,520 --> 00:14:19,360 Speaker 3: they thought the season would be delayed. So these are 279 00:14:19,360 --> 00:14:22,160 Speaker 3: the folks that know what's what's going on. They're in 280 00:14:22,240 --> 00:14:25,240 Speaker 3: daily conversations with the university president. So I don't see 281 00:14:25,280 --> 00:14:28,400 Speaker 3: any way we start on time, more likely mid September. 282 00:14:28,720 --> 00:14:31,480 Speaker 2: So being in contact with most of the athletic directors, 283 00:14:31,480 --> 00:14:34,600 Speaker 2: it brings up a good point because there's a problem 284 00:14:34,600 --> 00:14:38,160 Speaker 2: with FBS football where there's not a governing commissioner above 285 00:14:38,240 --> 00:14:40,480 Speaker 2: all of the bodies to say, this is a number 286 00:14:40,480 --> 00:14:42,640 Speaker 2: of games we're going to play, and if you are 287 00:14:42,680 --> 00:14:45,000 Speaker 2: a coastal Carolina South Carolina East care you're going to 288 00:14:45,040 --> 00:14:47,240 Speaker 2: play each other because of proximity, and here's the guidelines 289 00:14:47,240 --> 00:14:48,840 Speaker 2: for testing once you show up. We don't have any 290 00:14:48,880 --> 00:14:50,680 Speaker 2: of that in college football, and it's a real problem 291 00:14:50,720 --> 00:14:53,640 Speaker 2: that we don't have a single commissioner to make these decisions. 292 00:14:53,720 --> 00:14:56,840 Speaker 2: So Greg Sank, the SEC commissioner, came out and said 293 00:14:57,040 --> 00:15:00,200 Speaker 2: he has a very high concern for the season. You know, 294 00:15:00,280 --> 00:15:02,400 Speaker 2: we you know, the meetings are going to happen this week, 295 00:15:02,440 --> 00:15:05,640 Speaker 2: but he feels, you know, it's likely that this could 296 00:15:05,680 --> 00:15:08,560 Speaker 2: get pushed or get canceled. And I think the big 297 00:15:08,640 --> 00:15:11,080 Speaker 2: question with me is there's gonna be odds at some point, 298 00:15:11,360 --> 00:15:13,080 Speaker 2: there's gonna be odds come out for who's gonna make 299 00:15:13,120 --> 00:15:15,760 Speaker 2: the college football playoff? And the SEC plays an eight 300 00:15:15,800 --> 00:15:18,440 Speaker 2: game schedule, Yeah, this is gonna be we. I don't 301 00:15:18,440 --> 00:15:20,200 Speaker 2: even know how we get to the playoff. It's a 302 00:15:20,240 --> 00:15:22,520 Speaker 2: mystery to me. But one of the biggest, one of 303 00:15:22,560 --> 00:15:24,760 Speaker 2: the biggest questions to me is the Big Ten plays 304 00:15:24,760 --> 00:15:28,080 Speaker 2: a nine conference schedule. SEC plays eight. And I know 305 00:15:28,120 --> 00:15:30,360 Speaker 2: we're trying to populate Notre Dame here, but are the 306 00:15:30,440 --> 00:15:34,160 Speaker 2: athletic directors gonna be in lockstep saying it's just an 307 00:15:34,160 --> 00:15:36,640 Speaker 2: eight game season, or it's just a nine game season? 308 00:15:37,280 --> 00:15:39,440 Speaker 2: Is it conference plus one? Because if it's conference plus one, 309 00:15:40,000 --> 00:15:42,200 Speaker 2: not everybody's gonna match up. We'll depend on what conference 310 00:15:42,240 --> 00:15:42,600 Speaker 2: you're in. 311 00:15:43,560 --> 00:15:45,400 Speaker 3: No, you're right, And then you know the Big twelve 312 00:15:45,400 --> 00:15:48,000 Speaker 3: they play ten games. Is that a competitive advantage or 313 00:15:48,040 --> 00:15:50,600 Speaker 3: disadvantage if you're playing ten games in the Big twelve 314 00:15:50,640 --> 00:15:52,640 Speaker 3: and you're only playing the eight in the SCC. The 315 00:15:52,680 --> 00:15:55,200 Speaker 3: bottom line is, you know, Colin, I hope we get 316 00:15:55,240 --> 00:15:57,240 Speaker 3: to the point where all three of us can talk 317 00:15:57,280 --> 00:15:59,800 Speaker 3: again and we can sit here and break down who 318 00:15:59,840 --> 00:16:02,560 Speaker 3: got screwed with their schedule or who got the easiest 319 00:16:02,640 --> 00:16:05,560 Speaker 3: road in their schedule. I'd love to have that conversation 320 00:16:05,840 --> 00:16:07,520 Speaker 3: because that means we're going to have a playoff. But 321 00:16:07,560 --> 00:16:10,480 Speaker 3: what will happen is the selection committee will have to 322 00:16:10,560 --> 00:16:14,240 Speaker 3: evaluate these schools and teams based on the games that 323 00:16:14,280 --> 00:16:16,880 Speaker 3: they've played. And I think the two things I think 324 00:16:17,400 --> 00:16:19,680 Speaker 3: are certain. No one's going to play twelve games, and 325 00:16:19,720 --> 00:16:21,960 Speaker 3: I think you're going to see different schools play different 326 00:16:22,000 --> 00:16:25,960 Speaker 3: numbers of games because of cancelations, because of some maybe 327 00:16:25,960 --> 00:16:29,600 Speaker 3: playing non conference games, from some playing different number of 328 00:16:29,640 --> 00:16:32,520 Speaker 3: conference games, all these factors. So when we get to 329 00:16:32,520 --> 00:16:34,600 Speaker 3: the end of the year, yeah, the committee is going 330 00:16:34,640 --> 00:16:36,960 Speaker 3: to have to decide is an eight to one team 331 00:16:37,160 --> 00:16:39,560 Speaker 3: better than a seven and other team? And then you're 332 00:16:39,600 --> 00:16:42,760 Speaker 3: gonna hear all the different breakdown on why you know 333 00:16:42,840 --> 00:16:45,040 Speaker 3: a team with one loss should not getting over an 334 00:16:45,080 --> 00:16:48,000 Speaker 3: undefeated team and you know, YadA, YadA, YadA. So it's 335 00:16:48,040 --> 00:16:51,760 Speaker 3: going to be a cluster. But that's that's the decision 336 00:16:51,760 --> 00:16:53,920 Speaker 3: they're going to have to make. And know that the 337 00:16:54,080 --> 00:16:57,480 Speaker 3: the ads or the commissioners of each league are not 338 00:16:57,560 --> 00:17:01,120 Speaker 3: going to go, hey, you guys, you need to play 339 00:17:01,280 --> 00:17:03,400 Speaker 3: nine because we're going to play nine, or you play 340 00:17:03,440 --> 00:17:05,280 Speaker 3: ten because we're going to play ten, or you play 341 00:17:05,320 --> 00:17:07,480 Speaker 3: eight because we're going to play eight. There was hope 342 00:17:07,520 --> 00:17:10,160 Speaker 3: to do that that the Power five leagues would make 343 00:17:10,200 --> 00:17:13,359 Speaker 3: an announcement this coming week or the following week and 344 00:17:13,440 --> 00:17:16,200 Speaker 3: try to come together, you know, all the Power five 345 00:17:16,280 --> 00:17:18,639 Speaker 3: leagues and say, hey, look, this is what we're hoping 346 00:17:18,680 --> 00:17:20,760 Speaker 3: to do. This is what we're planning to do. But 347 00:17:20,880 --> 00:17:23,720 Speaker 3: the Big Ten jumped the gun and they announced, you know, 348 00:17:23,760 --> 00:17:27,200 Speaker 3: they were going conference only, and basically everyone in college 349 00:17:27,240 --> 00:17:30,399 Speaker 3: football not affiliated with the Big Ten is scratching their 350 00:17:30,440 --> 00:17:32,679 Speaker 3: head wondering why in the world did you guys do this. 351 00:17:33,359 --> 00:17:38,160 Speaker 3: There's no competitive advantage to do that. Everyone wonders why 352 00:17:38,200 --> 00:17:41,040 Speaker 3: the sense of urgency for the Big Ten to do that. 353 00:17:41,160 --> 00:17:44,520 Speaker 3: Then the Pac twelve obviously followed suit after that, and 354 00:17:44,560 --> 00:17:47,399 Speaker 3: so at this point there's no way everybody's going to 355 00:17:47,400 --> 00:17:48,600 Speaker 3: play the same number of games. 356 00:17:48,720 --> 00:17:51,199 Speaker 2: I think the college football you know, playoff committee is 357 00:17:51,200 --> 00:17:53,239 Speaker 2: going to have their hands full, especially and I'm going 358 00:17:53,280 --> 00:17:55,280 Speaker 2: to pivot to the G five here, especially if a 359 00:17:55,320 --> 00:17:58,880 Speaker 2: team like Central Florida blows a G five schedule out 360 00:17:58,920 --> 00:18:00,680 Speaker 2: by fifty every game that's going to be. 361 00:18:01,119 --> 00:18:04,119 Speaker 3: It won't matter. Right, people think I hate the G five, 362 00:18:04,400 --> 00:18:07,200 Speaker 3: that it does not matter. They won't give them the 363 00:18:07,240 --> 00:18:09,920 Speaker 3: strength to schedule. Don't shoot the messenger. 364 00:18:10,280 --> 00:18:12,000 Speaker 1: Well, get here's the one scenario before you get to 365 00:18:12,000 --> 00:18:13,680 Speaker 1: the group of five con because I wanted to ask this. 366 00:18:14,240 --> 00:18:16,000 Speaker 1: First of all, I don't know if this is even 367 00:18:16,080 --> 00:18:19,520 Speaker 1: possible legally contracted, but I mean, I don't know. Maybe 368 00:18:19,560 --> 00:18:22,000 Speaker 1: everything's on the table this year because of how odd 369 00:18:22,000 --> 00:18:23,159 Speaker 1: of the year it's going to be, and you're going 370 00:18:23,240 --> 00:18:25,440 Speaker 1: to have you know, if you have just pure conference 371 00:18:25,480 --> 00:18:28,360 Speaker 1: only schedules, would there be a world where you could 372 00:18:28,400 --> 00:18:33,000 Speaker 1: potentially see an expanded playoff, so an eight team playoff, 373 00:18:33,040 --> 00:18:35,120 Speaker 1: And in that case, maybe they say, hey, we're taking 374 00:18:35,160 --> 00:18:38,440 Speaker 1: the conference winners from all five Power five, We'll take 375 00:18:38,440 --> 00:18:40,680 Speaker 1: the best group of five and two wildcards. Something like that. 376 00:18:40,800 --> 00:18:43,400 Speaker 1: Is that is that even in the realm of possibilities. 377 00:18:44,560 --> 00:18:47,639 Speaker 3: I mean, that's a great question. I think it's a possibility. 378 00:18:47,680 --> 00:18:50,199 Speaker 3: I think it's a very slim possibility because for that 379 00:18:50,359 --> 00:18:53,600 Speaker 3: to happen, two things need to happen. One, the presidents 380 00:18:53,640 --> 00:18:56,040 Speaker 3: would have to be the university presidents would have to 381 00:18:56,080 --> 00:18:58,479 Speaker 3: be okay with it because they're going to have to 382 00:18:58,520 --> 00:19:01,800 Speaker 3: allow an additional round the playoffs, whenever those may be. 383 00:19:02,760 --> 00:19:05,960 Speaker 3: And then secondly, it would have to be worth so 384 00:19:06,119 --> 00:19:08,800 Speaker 3: much more money for all of the schools, not just 385 00:19:08,840 --> 00:19:11,640 Speaker 3: the schools that make the playoffs, but the entire ten 386 00:19:11,760 --> 00:19:15,560 Speaker 3: FBS conferences, specifically the five Power five leagues that they 387 00:19:15,600 --> 00:19:17,959 Speaker 3: could do it. And then part two of that part 388 00:19:18,119 --> 00:19:21,040 Speaker 3: is that ESPN would have to be willing to go 389 00:19:21,080 --> 00:19:23,720 Speaker 3: along with that. ESPN is not just going to say, 390 00:19:24,040 --> 00:19:27,919 Speaker 3: hey guys, here's you know, here's an extra one hundred 391 00:19:27,920 --> 00:19:30,880 Speaker 3: million or whatever the number is, let's add another round 392 00:19:30,880 --> 00:19:33,560 Speaker 3: of the playoffs, unless financially they're going to make more 393 00:19:33,560 --> 00:19:35,760 Speaker 3: money off of it. I know a lot of people 394 00:19:35,880 --> 00:19:39,080 Speaker 3: have suggested what you're saying is, literally, how are you 395 00:19:39,080 --> 00:19:41,119 Speaker 3: going to be able to compare the Big ten against 396 00:19:41,119 --> 00:19:44,119 Speaker 3: the Pac twelve this year? You can't. There's no common opponents. 397 00:19:44,200 --> 00:19:44,600 Speaker 1: Zero. 398 00:19:45,040 --> 00:19:46,959 Speaker 3: I mean, yeah, you can. Look, you can break down 399 00:19:47,000 --> 00:19:51,040 Speaker 3: all your numbers and Calin'll spit something out, but there's 400 00:19:51,040 --> 00:19:54,120 Speaker 3: no head to head, so you don't. It's just this 401 00:19:54,200 --> 00:19:56,360 Speaker 3: is what we think. We don't have anything to go by. 402 00:19:56,440 --> 00:19:59,760 Speaker 3: So one solution to that, like you said, let's go 403 00:19:59,760 --> 00:20:02,960 Speaker 3: to eighteen playoffs again. I think at this lake of 404 00:20:03,720 --> 00:20:06,360 Speaker 3: a date, you know, going into the season, to all 405 00:20:06,400 --> 00:20:08,560 Speaker 3: of a sudden say hey, we're going to go to 406 00:20:08,600 --> 00:20:11,480 Speaker 3: eighteams because of this, I'd love it. I just think 407 00:20:11,480 --> 00:20:14,840 Speaker 3: there's too many obstacles for that to happen. But you know, look, 408 00:20:15,200 --> 00:20:18,560 Speaker 3: this is going to be an unprecedented year. Maybe maybe 409 00:20:18,560 --> 00:20:21,000 Speaker 3: they decide to do that, but also there would be 410 00:20:21,000 --> 00:20:22,679 Speaker 3: fear that if they go to eight this year, then 411 00:20:22,680 --> 00:20:24,560 Speaker 3: they can't go back to four the following year, and 412 00:20:24,560 --> 00:20:27,000 Speaker 3: that would probably be the thing that squashes the whole deal. 413 00:20:27,480 --> 00:20:30,440 Speaker 2: Let's pivot to G five real quick. You know there's 414 00:20:30,520 --> 00:20:34,560 Speaker 2: a number and a non gambling related question. The G 415 00:20:34,680 --> 00:20:38,040 Speaker 2: five schools looks like they're going to enter possibly enter 416 00:20:38,240 --> 00:20:41,919 Speaker 2: litigation respective P five schools. I mean, Central Michigan had 417 00:20:41,960 --> 00:20:44,760 Speaker 2: two big ten teams, app State and Bowling Green. There's 418 00:20:44,800 --> 00:20:46,920 Speaker 2: rumblings coming out of there about the paydays that they 419 00:20:46,920 --> 00:20:49,440 Speaker 2: were going to get. Is this going to turn into 420 00:20:49,640 --> 00:20:50,720 Speaker 2: a legal mess? 421 00:20:51,160 --> 00:20:53,080 Speaker 3: You know it is? And here I'll give you both 422 00:20:53,080 --> 00:20:55,399 Speaker 3: sides of this. So I talked to a bunch of 423 00:20:55,440 --> 00:20:58,800 Speaker 3: folks at the non Power five level and they said, absolutely, 424 00:20:59,000 --> 00:21:02,119 Speaker 3: litigation is possible, and a lot of it makes sense. 425 00:21:02,320 --> 00:21:04,360 Speaker 3: If you're supposed to play a Pac twelve or Big 426 00:21:04,400 --> 00:21:07,240 Speaker 3: ten team, or possibly one of the other three Power 427 00:21:07,240 --> 00:21:10,560 Speaker 3: five leagues, if they go conference only and they cancel 428 00:21:10,880 --> 00:21:15,840 Speaker 3: your game on September twelfth, okay, But then when they 429 00:21:15,840 --> 00:21:18,440 Speaker 3: come out with their new conference schedule, now the Big 430 00:21:18,480 --> 00:21:21,440 Speaker 3: Ten's playing a conference game on September twelfth, the same 431 00:21:21,520 --> 00:21:25,040 Speaker 3: date that they canceled the game, you know against we'll 432 00:21:25,080 --> 00:21:28,239 Speaker 3: say Bowling Green. So if you're Bowling Green, yeah, you 433 00:21:28,280 --> 00:21:29,920 Speaker 3: have a you would I would think you would have 434 00:21:30,000 --> 00:21:32,399 Speaker 3: a good case. They canceled the game, they said they 435 00:21:32,400 --> 00:21:34,640 Speaker 3: couldn't play then, but now they're playing a different game 436 00:21:34,680 --> 00:21:37,240 Speaker 3: on that day. So that's what I think favors the 437 00:21:37,240 --> 00:21:39,600 Speaker 3: Group of five. When I talk to the Power leagues, 438 00:21:39,640 --> 00:21:44,119 Speaker 3: they're like, okay, look, we're canceling games as a conference. 439 00:21:44,480 --> 00:21:47,359 Speaker 3: They're a thing called force masure. If you want to 440 00:21:47,359 --> 00:21:49,280 Speaker 3: look it up. It basically gets you out of the 441 00:21:49,320 --> 00:21:54,720 Speaker 3: contract for these type of situations. So the Power five 442 00:21:54,800 --> 00:21:56,919 Speaker 3: schools are kind of banking on that, and also that 443 00:21:57,200 --> 00:22:00,000 Speaker 3: you know, hey, look, our entire conference canceled the game. 444 00:22:00,640 --> 00:22:02,959 Speaker 3: We didn't cancel it. We couldn't play the game. Our 445 00:22:03,119 --> 00:22:06,360 Speaker 3: conference above us canceled it out. They think that gets 446 00:22:06,400 --> 00:22:09,160 Speaker 3: them off the hook, even if it doesn't. What I'm 447 00:22:09,160 --> 00:22:11,960 Speaker 3: hearing from the Power five folks is go ahead and 448 00:22:12,000 --> 00:22:14,840 Speaker 3: sue us. If you win, you'll get your million or 449 00:22:14,840 --> 00:22:17,520 Speaker 3: one point five million, whatever it is. You know, by 450 00:22:17,520 --> 00:22:20,080 Speaker 3: the way, no one's ever going to play you again 451 00:22:20,080 --> 00:22:22,600 Speaker 3: from the power leagues because you file a lawsuit to 452 00:22:22,640 --> 00:22:27,280 Speaker 3: get that during this pandemic situation. So once again, the 453 00:22:27,359 --> 00:22:29,840 Speaker 3: non Power five schools ultimately are going to be screwed. 454 00:22:30,000 --> 00:22:31,879 Speaker 3: But I think that's that's what would happen. 455 00:22:32,080 --> 00:22:35,240 Speaker 2: The MAC is so dependent on the Big Ten, the 456 00:22:35,840 --> 00:22:39,399 Speaker 2: Sun Belt is so dependent on ACC and SEC, and 457 00:22:39,880 --> 00:22:41,439 Speaker 2: so I have to ask this question because this is 458 00:22:41,440 --> 00:22:45,280 Speaker 2: the scary question. Plenty of schools, particularly Stanford, are eliminating 459 00:22:45,359 --> 00:22:49,600 Speaker 2: multiple sports, and you know there's a possibility that you know, 460 00:22:49,640 --> 00:22:51,840 Speaker 2: this could happen. I hate to ask this, but out 461 00:22:51,840 --> 00:22:53,520 Speaker 2: of the one hundred and thirty teams. Is there a 462 00:22:53,560 --> 00:22:56,600 Speaker 2: possibility of some of the FBS members folding on football 463 00:22:57,040 --> 00:22:59,280 Speaker 2: or maybe some of the FCS teams. Is there a 464 00:22:59,320 --> 00:23:01,840 Speaker 2: possibility these teams folding on football and not being a 465 00:23:01,840 --> 00:23:03,879 Speaker 2: member any more of the college football world. 466 00:23:04,880 --> 00:23:09,119 Speaker 3: If there is no football in fall or spring of 467 00:23:09,119 --> 00:23:12,160 Speaker 3: the twenty twenty one academic year, I think quille lose 468 00:23:12,240 --> 00:23:16,560 Speaker 3: some group of five schools, they'll drop football. I think 469 00:23:16,600 --> 00:23:19,520 Speaker 3: they'll either drop football or they will drop to the 470 00:23:19,600 --> 00:23:22,600 Speaker 3: FCS level. You know, in the past few months, I've 471 00:23:22,640 --> 00:23:24,760 Speaker 3: been doing a lot of stories talking to all the 472 00:23:24,800 --> 00:23:28,160 Speaker 3: different athletic directors, and one quote that I got from 473 00:23:28,160 --> 00:23:30,960 Speaker 3: a group of five ad way back in April when 474 00:23:30,960 --> 00:23:33,680 Speaker 3: this first started, seems like it was one hundred years ago, 475 00:23:33,720 --> 00:23:35,560 Speaker 3: but it's only a few months ago. I said, what 476 00:23:35,680 --> 00:23:37,840 Speaker 3: happens if we don't have foot if there's no football 477 00:23:37,840 --> 00:23:39,679 Speaker 3: in the fault, there's no football in the spring? He 478 00:23:39,720 --> 00:23:42,280 Speaker 3: goes Brett. It's simple. If that happens, we're all bleaked. 479 00:23:42,680 --> 00:23:45,199 Speaker 3: That's the reality of it. I mean, you've that is 480 00:23:45,240 --> 00:23:48,439 Speaker 3: the money maker for all of these athletic departments. You know, 481 00:23:48,600 --> 00:23:51,439 Speaker 3: you lose all of that money and you've got to 482 00:23:51,480 --> 00:23:54,400 Speaker 3: make cuts somewhere, and we were, as you mentioned, we're 483 00:23:54,400 --> 00:23:56,119 Speaker 3: already seeing it now with a lot of Group of 484 00:23:56,160 --> 00:24:00,320 Speaker 3: five schools cutting non revenue sports. Stanford cut eleven sports, 485 00:24:00,359 --> 00:24:03,080 Speaker 3: the first Power five school to cut sports. And guys, 486 00:24:03,160 --> 00:24:06,160 Speaker 3: this is just based on not having an NCAA men's 487 00:24:06,200 --> 00:24:10,160 Speaker 3: basketball tournament. This is based on the COVID financial implication 488 00:24:10,320 --> 00:24:14,280 Speaker 3: so far. This does not even consider in an abbreviated 489 00:24:14,320 --> 00:24:18,879 Speaker 3: football season, a season where maybe maximum of one fourth 490 00:24:19,000 --> 00:24:21,200 Speaker 3: of your fans would be able to come to the game. 491 00:24:21,240 --> 00:24:24,600 Speaker 3: So your gates down, your revenue is down, donations are down, 492 00:24:24,600 --> 00:24:27,600 Speaker 3: and all that or god forbid, if there's no football 493 00:24:27,640 --> 00:24:30,160 Speaker 3: at all, that doesn't even factor in all that stuff. 494 00:24:30,320 --> 00:24:33,880 Speaker 3: If that happens, the words I've gotten from these ads 495 00:24:33,920 --> 00:24:38,280 Speaker 3: are doomsday, catastrophic. It'll make the Great Depression look like 496 00:24:38,320 --> 00:24:42,200 Speaker 3: a cakewalk. So that's why they are trying everything they 497 00:24:42,280 --> 00:24:45,159 Speaker 3: can to try to get a season in somehow, some 498 00:24:45,280 --> 00:24:48,200 Speaker 3: way and try to recoup some of this football revenue 499 00:24:48,240 --> 00:24:51,240 Speaker 3: and TV revenue, because if they don't, it's going to 500 00:24:51,320 --> 00:24:55,040 Speaker 3: get very ugly then for everybody, I mean every Power 501 00:24:55,080 --> 00:24:57,720 Speaker 3: five schools are going to get dinged to. Certainly not 502 00:24:57,800 --> 00:25:00,159 Speaker 3: as bad as the group of five schools, but there 503 00:25:00,200 --> 00:25:04,479 Speaker 3: will be huge financial problems across the board for all 504 00:25:04,560 --> 00:25:05,480 Speaker 3: these universities. 505 00:25:05,840 --> 00:25:08,919 Speaker 2: If Rice, Houston and North Texas buck their respective conferences 506 00:25:08,920 --> 00:25:10,800 Speaker 2: and decide they're going to play each other, does that 507 00:25:11,000 --> 00:25:13,280 Speaker 2: make them money off of TV? Because it certainly doesn't 508 00:25:13,280 --> 00:25:15,040 Speaker 2: earn them money from going to travel to a Power 509 00:25:15,080 --> 00:25:17,439 Speaker 2: five and getting a payout, so they do. Does a 510 00:25:17,440 --> 00:25:20,199 Speaker 2: group of five have to play Power five to keep 511 00:25:20,240 --> 00:25:22,679 Speaker 2: their head above water? Or will it pay enough just 512 00:25:22,720 --> 00:25:24,359 Speaker 2: to play within g G five? 513 00:25:24,960 --> 00:25:28,600 Speaker 3: They need those games because, like you guys mentioned, Bowling 514 00:25:28,640 --> 00:25:31,520 Speaker 3: Green had two Big ten games, they lose over two 515 00:25:31,560 --> 00:25:35,240 Speaker 3: million dollars USF the schedule to play at Texas. If 516 00:25:35,440 --> 00:25:39,680 Speaker 3: Big twelve goes conference only, USF doesn't get its one 517 00:25:39,720 --> 00:25:42,320 Speaker 3: point nine million dollar pay day. So when all of 518 00:25:42,320 --> 00:25:44,879 Speaker 3: these group of five schools are sitting there making out 519 00:25:44,920 --> 00:25:47,520 Speaker 3: their budgets two or three years down the road, and 520 00:25:47,640 --> 00:25:49,879 Speaker 3: they looked at twenty twenty, they said, hey, you know, 521 00:25:50,000 --> 00:25:52,560 Speaker 3: for Bowling Green, Okay, well we got two million coming 522 00:25:52,600 --> 00:25:55,560 Speaker 3: in in twenty twenty when we go play these two games, 523 00:25:55,840 --> 00:25:58,400 Speaker 3: and so they've got they've probably already spent it, they've 524 00:25:58,440 --> 00:26:03,280 Speaker 3: probably already allocated it. For salaries, for building the facilities, 525 00:26:03,400 --> 00:26:06,560 Speaker 3: for recruit whatever it is. You know, it doesn't matter. 526 00:26:06,640 --> 00:26:09,800 Speaker 3: And now they find out, wait, we're not getting that 527 00:26:09,880 --> 00:26:12,480 Speaker 3: two million dollars. It's it's like you, if you know 528 00:26:12,880 --> 00:26:15,360 Speaker 3: any of us, if we're sitting there planning out our 529 00:26:15,720 --> 00:26:19,520 Speaker 3: budgets and you're like, hey, I'm getting X amount, you know, 530 00:26:19,640 --> 00:26:24,119 Speaker 3: October first because my employment or whatever's going on, and 531 00:26:24,240 --> 00:26:26,560 Speaker 3: so you've kind of spending because you think you got 532 00:26:26,560 --> 00:26:28,800 Speaker 3: that money coming in, and then you find out two 533 00:26:28,840 --> 00:26:31,960 Speaker 3: weeks before, I'm sorry, guys, you're not getting that. Then 534 00:26:32,000 --> 00:26:34,119 Speaker 3: you're like, oh, what am I gonna do now? So 535 00:26:34,200 --> 00:26:37,639 Speaker 3: that's the situation they're in. I mean, really not playing 536 00:26:37,680 --> 00:26:40,000 Speaker 3: the Power five and just playing the Group of five 537 00:26:40,080 --> 00:26:43,359 Speaker 3: playing amongst each other or playing regional matchups. At this point, 538 00:26:43,359 --> 00:26:46,920 Speaker 3: they're just trying to save money. So yeah, for for Rice, 539 00:26:47,200 --> 00:26:50,960 Speaker 3: if it saves them money, could play you know, to 540 00:26:51,000 --> 00:26:55,000 Speaker 3: play play North Texas or play Houston out of the 541 00:26:55,000 --> 00:26:59,400 Speaker 3: American As opposed to fly into Miami to play FIU 542 00:26:59,560 --> 00:27:02,800 Speaker 3: or FA you or whoever, then yeah, I'm sure they're 543 00:27:02,840 --> 00:27:04,200 Speaker 3: going to try to do that. And I know the 544 00:27:04,320 --> 00:27:06,240 Speaker 3: Group of five schools said they're going to try to 545 00:27:06,240 --> 00:27:09,359 Speaker 3: do more regional scheduling. Can they do it just quickly 546 00:27:09,440 --> 00:27:11,840 Speaker 3: this year? I'm sure that's something they're trying to figure out. 547 00:27:12,200 --> 00:27:15,520 Speaker 1: Yeah, Plus you don't have they're not getting the big 548 00:27:15,600 --> 00:27:18,480 Speaker 1: payday if they're not playing these Power five schools, and 549 00:27:18,520 --> 00:27:21,880 Speaker 1: then they are if they are playing their conference schedule 550 00:27:22,000 --> 00:27:24,359 Speaker 1: and these smaller schools. We're assuming there's not gonna be 551 00:27:24,359 --> 00:27:27,199 Speaker 1: any fans. So you're losing that revenue too, whatever it 552 00:27:27,240 --> 00:27:29,639 Speaker 1: may be. You know, it's not as big as the 553 00:27:29,680 --> 00:27:32,240 Speaker 1: Power five pay days, but it's another loss of a 554 00:27:32,280 --> 00:27:35,760 Speaker 1: potential revenue stream. A question I have for you, and 555 00:27:35,840 --> 00:27:37,840 Speaker 1: I think Colin and has some spring questions and then 556 00:27:38,400 --> 00:27:40,000 Speaker 1: we can get you out of here. But I really 557 00:27:40,000 --> 00:27:42,600 Speaker 1: appreciate your time. Look, these Power five teams don't want 558 00:27:42,600 --> 00:27:44,240 Speaker 1: to play a group of five schools. They want to, 559 00:27:44,600 --> 00:27:46,880 Speaker 1: you know, reduce their risk as much as possible. They 560 00:27:46,880 --> 00:27:49,439 Speaker 1: want to play as few games as possible. Does that 561 00:27:49,480 --> 00:27:52,160 Speaker 1: mean if we get through the season, do you think 562 00:27:52,200 --> 00:27:54,119 Speaker 1: bowl games are dead? Or if we get through the 563 00:27:54,119 --> 00:27:55,879 Speaker 1: season we'll still have Bowl games. 564 00:27:56,160 --> 00:27:59,000 Speaker 3: No, Like you asked me a great question, I answer it, 565 00:27:59,119 --> 00:28:01,520 Speaker 3: and then I have like twenty more questions for myself. 566 00:28:01,600 --> 00:28:04,320 Speaker 3: So imagine what these guys are going through trying to 567 00:28:04,320 --> 00:28:07,480 Speaker 3: figure this all out. They would definitely try to still 568 00:28:07,520 --> 00:28:10,720 Speaker 3: play bowl games. I know that early on there was 569 00:28:10,720 --> 00:28:14,000 Speaker 3: some discussion. You know, there has been ideas floated of 570 00:28:14,119 --> 00:28:17,320 Speaker 3: moving the conference championship games back a week or two again, 571 00:28:17,760 --> 00:28:20,480 Speaker 3: trying to you know, play around the virus or whatever. 572 00:28:20,960 --> 00:28:22,880 Speaker 3: And there has been some talk, I don't know how 573 00:28:22,920 --> 00:28:26,440 Speaker 3: serious it was about moving bowl games into the month 574 00:28:26,480 --> 00:28:30,280 Speaker 3: of January. So I'm sure whatever bowl games that can 575 00:28:30,320 --> 00:28:32,560 Speaker 3: have a Bowl game will have a Bowl game. But 576 00:28:32,680 --> 00:28:34,480 Speaker 3: then you get into the fact that you know, I 577 00:28:34,560 --> 00:28:36,879 Speaker 3: don't know what the numbers are now, but ESPN owns 578 00:28:37,000 --> 00:28:39,040 Speaker 3: it may be somewhere belily like eight to fifteen. I 579 00:28:39,040 --> 00:28:41,680 Speaker 3: can't remember, but anyway, so those are just basically like, 580 00:28:41,920 --> 00:28:44,680 Speaker 3: those are just TV programming. Those are fun. Those are 581 00:28:44,720 --> 00:28:47,120 Speaker 3: going to air, whether there's one person in the crowd 582 00:28:47,200 --> 00:28:50,280 Speaker 3: or whether there's there's fifty thousand, those will air, no problem. 583 00:28:50,480 --> 00:28:54,360 Speaker 3: But it's the it's the non ESPN, non New Year 584 00:28:54,440 --> 00:28:57,520 Speaker 3: six games that you have to worry about because those 585 00:28:57,560 --> 00:29:01,040 Speaker 3: are the ones that make their money by the both 586 00:29:01,080 --> 00:29:04,000 Speaker 3: fan bases coming into town and spending money, and they're 587 00:29:04,040 --> 00:29:06,560 Speaker 3: run by the communities and all that stuff. If you 588 00:29:06,560 --> 00:29:09,280 Speaker 3: can only get a four to twenty five percent capacity 589 00:29:09,360 --> 00:29:12,280 Speaker 3: during the regular season, it's not all of a sudden 590 00:29:12,320 --> 00:29:14,240 Speaker 3: you're kind of balloon up to Oh, you can have 591 00:29:14,240 --> 00:29:17,400 Speaker 3: one hundred percent capacity for the bowl games. Plus those 592 00:29:17,440 --> 00:29:20,000 Speaker 3: Bowl games anyway, you've seen them on TV. They don't 593 00:29:20,080 --> 00:29:23,160 Speaker 3: draw many fans anyway, So you know, I don't know, 594 00:29:23,560 --> 00:29:26,480 Speaker 3: Balls ultimately will have to decide if they want to 595 00:29:26,520 --> 00:29:28,600 Speaker 3: go forward. But then you get into the tricky part 596 00:29:28,680 --> 00:29:30,560 Speaker 3: of well, if you don't have a bowl game, then 597 00:29:30,600 --> 00:29:33,480 Speaker 3: you're kind of breaking your contract with that conference, and 598 00:29:33,520 --> 00:29:36,240 Speaker 3: so what happens then? And then also I know there's 599 00:29:36,320 --> 00:29:39,040 Speaker 3: the fear that if a bowl game decides not to 600 00:29:39,080 --> 00:29:41,640 Speaker 3: be played this year, then it may not come back. 601 00:29:41,960 --> 00:29:45,400 Speaker 3: And that's a scary situation for some another thing which 602 00:29:46,040 --> 00:29:48,560 Speaker 3: nothing officially has happened. And I've heard this is the 603 00:29:48,560 --> 00:29:51,080 Speaker 3: way it's going. But believe me, they have more they 604 00:29:51,120 --> 00:29:53,080 Speaker 3: have more fires to put out before they get to this. 605 00:29:53,520 --> 00:29:55,720 Speaker 3: So if we end up with teams playing eight, nine, 606 00:29:55,760 --> 00:29:58,920 Speaker 3: ten games or whatever the doggy's question is, we'll had 607 00:29:58,960 --> 00:30:03,680 Speaker 3: about bull Elgabill. I've heard one possibility is we'll say 608 00:30:02,880 --> 00:30:06,000 Speaker 3: the ACC. So if the ACC I think they have 609 00:30:06,040 --> 00:30:09,479 Speaker 3: eleven bull slots right now. In the past, they couldn't 610 00:30:09,520 --> 00:30:12,000 Speaker 3: go to those games unless they were five hundred or better. 611 00:30:12,320 --> 00:30:14,720 Speaker 3: If we have limited number of games, or you have 612 00:30:14,800 --> 00:30:18,440 Speaker 3: games canceled so teams obviously can't play their full twelve games, 613 00:30:19,120 --> 00:30:22,280 Speaker 3: then it may simply be Look, the top eleven teams 614 00:30:22,320 --> 00:30:24,680 Speaker 3: in the ACC, you're going to go to a bowl game. 615 00:30:24,960 --> 00:30:27,440 Speaker 3: So if that eleventh place team in the ACC is 616 00:30:27,480 --> 00:30:29,960 Speaker 3: three and seven, then you could see a three and 617 00:30:30,040 --> 00:30:32,200 Speaker 3: seven team going to a bowl game. I know that 618 00:30:32,280 --> 00:30:36,640 Speaker 3: sounds crazy, but again, how do you choose a bowl 619 00:30:36,720 --> 00:30:40,320 Speaker 3: team If you're comparing a four and five team versus 620 00:30:40,320 --> 00:30:43,360 Speaker 3: a five and sixteen. You know, there's no simple way 621 00:30:43,400 --> 00:30:45,880 Speaker 3: to do it. There's certainly no head to heads or 622 00:30:45,920 --> 00:30:49,080 Speaker 3: anything like that. So they're trying to figure that out. 623 00:30:49,120 --> 00:30:51,680 Speaker 3: But again, that's that's way down the list. They just 624 00:30:51,680 --> 00:30:53,280 Speaker 3: want to get the season. They hope to have to 625 00:30:53,280 --> 00:30:56,080 Speaker 3: figure that out. You know, if the season can get going, let's. 626 00:30:55,880 --> 00:30:58,120 Speaker 2: Get a three and seven team in the Duke's Mayo Bowl, 627 00:30:58,200 --> 00:31:01,840 Speaker 2: right stock to replace the belt couple three and seven teams. 628 00:31:01,640 --> 00:31:04,120 Speaker 3: Dude, dude, and you'll and we'll all three watch it. 629 00:31:04,760 --> 00:31:08,080 Speaker 2: Oh and oh and gamble and and tweet it against 630 00:31:09,040 --> 00:31:14,520 Speaker 2: articles and analysis. So I think this is really a 631 00:31:14,600 --> 00:31:16,040 Speaker 2: question I have to put on the table. I know, 632 00:31:16,200 --> 00:31:18,120 Speaker 2: I think I know the answer to this question. But 633 00:31:18,160 --> 00:31:20,200 Speaker 2: if the games are all moved to the spring, do 634 00:31:20,280 --> 00:31:23,960 Speaker 2: you expect any players that have that are you know, 635 00:31:24,000 --> 00:31:26,040 Speaker 2: could potentially go in the first three rounds at the 636 00:31:26,120 --> 00:31:28,160 Speaker 2: NFL Draft. Do you expect them to return to the 637 00:31:28,160 --> 00:31:31,200 Speaker 2: college field at all? And I'm thinking Trevor Lawrence, Travis 638 00:31:31,200 --> 00:31:34,440 Speaker 2: Et and Justin Fields, and a host of seniors that 639 00:31:34,520 --> 00:31:37,920 Speaker 2: play defense that you know. Mika parsons, it doesn't matter 640 00:31:37,960 --> 00:31:40,240 Speaker 2: that the list is endless of guys that may decide 641 00:31:40,240 --> 00:31:40,640 Speaker 2: not to play. 642 00:31:40,680 --> 00:31:44,400 Speaker 3: Have no I agree. I would ask you, guys, how 643 00:31:44,520 --> 00:31:47,360 Speaker 3: deep the draft? I mean how deep? How many rounds 644 00:31:47,360 --> 00:31:49,760 Speaker 3: do we have to go? The four guys will play? 645 00:31:49,880 --> 00:31:53,120 Speaker 3: I mean, if you're projected to be top three, top four, 646 00:31:53,200 --> 00:31:57,440 Speaker 3: top five rounds, does anybody? Does anybody play in that situation? 647 00:31:58,000 --> 00:31:59,800 Speaker 3: This is like, you know, the guys that set out 648 00:31:59,800 --> 00:32:03,280 Speaker 3: the games, now we're asking them to play nine or 649 00:32:03,280 --> 00:32:05,840 Speaker 3: ten bowl games before the draft. I mean, do you 650 00:32:05,880 --> 00:32:08,120 Speaker 3: think when the schedule comes out? I mean, no, it's 651 00:32:08,160 --> 00:32:11,680 Speaker 3: Trevor Lawrence, just In Fields, to the Hubbard you know, 652 00:32:11,760 --> 00:32:14,040 Speaker 3: et cetera, et cetera. No, they're not going to play. 653 00:32:14,040 --> 00:32:16,320 Speaker 3: There's no way. I mean they're sitting there and the 654 00:32:16,360 --> 00:32:19,280 Speaker 3: schedule comes out and they're like, uh, you know, Trevor 655 00:32:19,320 --> 00:32:21,840 Speaker 3: Lawrence goes, oh wow, Clemson is playing at mc State 656 00:32:21,880 --> 00:32:24,160 Speaker 3: the same night as the NFL Draft. Now, I don't 657 00:32:24,200 --> 00:32:26,000 Speaker 3: think I'm going to play this year. I mean, I 658 00:32:26,000 --> 00:32:29,520 Speaker 3: don't blame the guys. It's unfortunate, but look, guys, if 659 00:32:29,520 --> 00:32:32,000 Speaker 3: they can't play in the fall, a lot of people 660 00:32:32,040 --> 00:32:34,600 Speaker 3: do want to play in the spring, because again, the 661 00:32:34,680 --> 00:32:37,560 Speaker 3: alternative is playing the spring and try to recoup some 662 00:32:37,680 --> 00:32:40,440 Speaker 3: of the revenue, whether it's a third and half whatever, 663 00:32:41,040 --> 00:32:43,640 Speaker 3: or punt the whole season. And if you punt the 664 00:32:43,680 --> 00:32:46,360 Speaker 3: whole season, as we talked about earlier, you know, the 665 00:32:46,440 --> 00:32:50,240 Speaker 3: financial implications would be devastating to so many schools. But 666 00:32:50,240 --> 00:32:52,840 Speaker 3: but yeah, I mean it's going to be oh my god, 667 00:32:52,960 --> 00:32:55,280 Speaker 3: there's yeah, there's going to be a ton of people 668 00:32:55,280 --> 00:32:58,080 Speaker 3: that won't play if we play in the spring. And 669 00:32:58,080 --> 00:32:59,680 Speaker 3: and yeah, the NFL is not going to move to 670 00:32:59,680 --> 00:33:02,520 Speaker 3: the draft have to help out college football. Don't even 671 00:33:02,600 --> 00:33:04,040 Speaker 3: worry about that. 672 00:33:03,560 --> 00:33:04,760 Speaker 1: That's a fact. 673 00:33:05,080 --> 00:33:07,320 Speaker 2: And your Twitter will be on twenty four hours a day, 674 00:33:07,360 --> 00:33:10,000 Speaker 2: because you have to imagine if some FBS group of 675 00:33:10,040 --> 00:33:12,600 Speaker 2: five schools don't play and there's a mass there's a 676 00:33:12,600 --> 00:33:15,080 Speaker 2: mass exodus of players from the Power five to the 677 00:33:15,160 --> 00:33:17,840 Speaker 2: NFL Draft, the transfer portal is going to be crazy. 678 00:33:18,000 --> 00:33:21,320 Speaker 2: The transfer portal would well, yeah, on fire, the wild 679 00:33:21,320 --> 00:33:21,920 Speaker 2: wild West. 680 00:33:21,960 --> 00:33:22,760 Speaker 1: If this happens in the. 681 00:33:22,760 --> 00:33:24,960 Speaker 3: Spring, well, hey, I got a question I want to 682 00:33:24,960 --> 00:33:27,480 Speaker 3: ask you guys real quick. So I've been wondering this. 683 00:33:27,600 --> 00:33:30,320 Speaker 3: I haven't seen anybody report it. So, if we play 684 00:33:30,360 --> 00:33:33,720 Speaker 3: in the fall, but the crowds are limited to say, 685 00:33:33,800 --> 00:33:37,880 Speaker 3: twenty five percent capacity, how does that impact the point spread? 686 00:33:38,200 --> 00:33:40,400 Speaker 3: Do you make the teams that usually have ninety one 687 00:33:40,440 --> 00:33:43,600 Speaker 3: hundred thousand do you lower their numbers or does that 688 00:33:43,760 --> 00:33:46,640 Speaker 3: Does that not impact them at all? Because in theory, 689 00:33:46,680 --> 00:33:48,880 Speaker 3: wouldn't that lessen their home field advantage. 690 00:33:48,960 --> 00:33:51,400 Speaker 1: We're going to get into this lot on the NFL podcast. 691 00:33:51,600 --> 00:33:53,480 Speaker 1: By the way, if you listen to this, Churs Raybon 692 00:33:53,520 --> 00:33:56,520 Speaker 1: and I do the NFL podcast. We'll have our preview 693 00:33:56,560 --> 00:33:58,840 Speaker 1: out today after you're listening to this. You know, so 694 00:33:58,960 --> 00:34:02,360 Speaker 1: NFL generally do field advantages too. I mean it's been 695 00:34:02,400 --> 00:34:04,120 Speaker 1: trending down towards like two and a half points, right, 696 00:34:04,160 --> 00:34:06,640 Speaker 1: and historically everyone says it's three points. And it's a 697 00:34:06,680 --> 00:34:09,360 Speaker 1: little different for each team like a Kansas City, of Seattle, 698 00:34:09,800 --> 00:34:12,440 Speaker 1: of Baltimore. You know, these teams that are much louder 699 00:34:12,440 --> 00:34:14,959 Speaker 1: with you know, outdoors, and you know there's obviously weather 700 00:34:15,000 --> 00:34:17,319 Speaker 1: components as well, but it's been trending down towards two 701 00:34:17,320 --> 00:34:19,480 Speaker 1: and a half. Teams are getting smarter about travel, the 702 00:34:19,600 --> 00:34:23,719 Speaker 1: reps are becoming more unbiased because of the NFL, and like, 703 00:34:23,760 --> 00:34:26,319 Speaker 1: you know, you have replay obviously, you know you have 704 00:34:26,400 --> 00:34:29,360 Speaker 1: these nfls are trying to you know, hold their the 705 00:34:29,440 --> 00:34:31,839 Speaker 1: refs more accountable and you're starting you see a little 706 00:34:31,840 --> 00:34:33,920 Speaker 1: bit that in college. But yeah, there's a couple of 707 00:34:33,960 --> 00:34:37,120 Speaker 1: things in play. And I think generally the NFL points spread, 708 00:34:37,200 --> 00:34:40,480 Speaker 1: I have it around one in a half to one 709 00:34:40,480 --> 00:34:42,560 Speaker 1: point seventy five for this year. Now that it will 710 00:34:42,560 --> 00:34:45,960 Speaker 1: depend on certain situations, it'll change. But you're you're really 711 00:34:45,960 --> 00:34:48,400 Speaker 1: trying to estimate how much does the and there's no 712 00:34:48,400 --> 00:34:50,480 Speaker 1: way to know it. There's no comparables, right, It's we're 713 00:34:50,480 --> 00:34:53,200 Speaker 1: trying to say the community having a tough time. This 714 00:34:53,360 --> 00:34:55,680 Speaker 1: is the kind of the secret but you know, I 715 00:34:55,719 --> 00:34:57,400 Speaker 1: think that there's part of it is it's harder to 716 00:34:57,480 --> 00:35:00,160 Speaker 1: run the ball historically for the road team because you 717 00:35:00,160 --> 00:35:01,920 Speaker 1: don't you don't hear the snap count, right, You're not 718 00:35:01,960 --> 00:35:05,239 Speaker 1: getting off the balls as much as you would if 719 00:35:05,280 --> 00:35:08,120 Speaker 1: you're not hearing it. There's also ref bias. There's still 720 00:35:08,200 --> 00:35:11,600 Speaker 1: ref biases exists in the NFL or College. So the 721 00:35:11,680 --> 00:35:14,520 Speaker 1: louder the crowd, the more influence they're going to have 722 00:35:14,640 --> 00:35:17,880 Speaker 1: over the refs. So there's a couple of things in play. 723 00:35:18,840 --> 00:35:21,480 Speaker 1: They can also influence the ref Cloudcrowds can also influence 724 00:35:21,520 --> 00:35:23,840 Speaker 1: coaches into being more aggressive and make more plus E 725 00:35:23,960 --> 00:35:27,279 Speaker 1: V decisions I think in certain instances. But yeah, I 726 00:35:27,280 --> 00:35:29,880 Speaker 1: mean that's one of the biggest questions. It's definitely going 727 00:35:29,960 --> 00:35:32,160 Speaker 1: to lower home field without fans, but just look at 728 00:35:32,160 --> 00:35:35,160 Speaker 1: Penn State. Ohio State goes to Penn State. The difference 729 00:35:35,200 --> 00:35:38,400 Speaker 1: between this could impact the College of Well playoffs. The 730 00:35:38,440 --> 00:35:43,400 Speaker 1: difference between a white out in Happy Valley, you know, 731 00:35:43,480 --> 00:35:46,880 Speaker 1: on a Saturday night against Ohio State versus an empty 732 00:35:47,120 --> 00:35:50,640 Speaker 1: beer stadium is significant, right, I Mean, it's a the 733 00:35:50,760 --> 00:35:53,080 Speaker 1: difference just mentally and just what it would look like, 734 00:35:53,200 --> 00:35:57,319 Speaker 1: and that could impact the whole season, So yeah, it's 735 00:35:57,360 --> 00:36:00,560 Speaker 1: definitely going to be lowered without fans how much that's 736 00:36:00,560 --> 00:36:02,640 Speaker 1: not that everyone's trying to figure out. I could tell 737 00:36:02,640 --> 00:36:05,960 Speaker 1: you for NFL, I've loaded about a point. But then 738 00:36:06,000 --> 00:36:08,759 Speaker 1: it's going to come down to how complicated is travel? Right, 739 00:36:08,800 --> 00:36:12,640 Speaker 1: You could argue that with all these with COVID restrictions 740 00:36:12,640 --> 00:36:15,320 Speaker 1: and testing, and it's going to be hard to travel. 741 00:36:15,360 --> 00:36:17,480 Speaker 1: So you can make a case maybe it's not as 742 00:36:17,600 --> 00:36:20,239 Speaker 1: drastic because you have to account for that as well. 743 00:36:20,280 --> 00:36:22,000 Speaker 1: But yeah, it's one of the million dollar questions of 744 00:36:22,000 --> 00:36:23,520 Speaker 1: the off season. You have an input there. 745 00:36:23,560 --> 00:36:26,280 Speaker 2: Com Yeah, I know my home field advantage is different 746 00:36:26,320 --> 00:36:28,120 Speaker 2: than everybody else in the world. I know it's different 747 00:36:28,120 --> 00:36:30,359 Speaker 2: than what ESPN puts out, what Phil Steel puts out, 748 00:36:30,440 --> 00:36:32,160 Speaker 2: and generally what I do is I take two and 749 00:36:32,200 --> 00:36:34,200 Speaker 2: a half points. You're granted two and a half points, 750 00:36:34,560 --> 00:36:36,640 Speaker 2: But then I look at what you've done the past 751 00:36:36,680 --> 00:36:39,840 Speaker 2: ten years, in the past three years against the spread 752 00:36:40,160 --> 00:36:42,359 Speaker 2: at home, and that tells me whether Vegas has been 753 00:36:42,400 --> 00:36:45,360 Speaker 2: able to properly peg you at home for how strong 754 00:36:45,400 --> 00:36:48,320 Speaker 2: that you are. If you're constantly covering the number at home, 755 00:36:48,640 --> 00:36:50,600 Speaker 2: then you should have a high home field advantage. If 756 00:36:50,640 --> 00:36:54,279 Speaker 2: you're constantly underachieving at home, then Vegas is overestimating what 757 00:36:54,360 --> 00:36:57,520 Speaker 2: your advantage actually is in your own territory. So I 758 00:36:57,520 --> 00:37:00,640 Speaker 2: think for me, the derivative is you're against this number 759 00:37:00,800 --> 00:37:03,440 Speaker 2: for the last ten to three year sample size against 760 00:37:03,480 --> 00:37:06,080 Speaker 2: two and a half. So from a mathematical perspective to 761 00:37:06,160 --> 00:37:08,160 Speaker 2: nerd out on everybody, I think that two and a 762 00:37:08,200 --> 00:37:09,600 Speaker 2: half has got to come down to one and a 763 00:37:09,640 --> 00:37:11,360 Speaker 2: half or it's got to come down to one, and 764 00:37:11,400 --> 00:37:12,920 Speaker 2: then you're going to be a derivative off of that 765 00:37:13,120 --> 00:37:16,080 Speaker 2: because homefield advantage just isn't going to be that much anymore. 766 00:37:16,120 --> 00:37:18,600 Speaker 2: And how do I know this. Brett's asking about twenty 767 00:37:18,600 --> 00:37:22,040 Speaker 2: five percent capacity in a college football stadium. I've just 768 00:37:22,040 --> 00:37:24,400 Speaker 2: seen two years of Chad Morris. We didn't even have 769 00:37:24,480 --> 00:37:27,680 Speaker 2: twenty five percent capacity in Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium, 770 00:37:27,719 --> 00:37:30,040 Speaker 2: So I can tell you right now it doesn't count 771 00:37:30,080 --> 00:37:30,520 Speaker 2: as much. 772 00:37:30,920 --> 00:37:34,160 Speaker 3: Pittman's coming, Baby Pittman. Well, yeah, I mean, Stucky makes 773 00:37:34,160 --> 00:37:35,879 Speaker 3: a great point. You know, the wide out of Penn 774 00:37:35,960 --> 00:37:39,839 Speaker 3: State a night Saturday night game at LSU. I mean, 775 00:37:39,960 --> 00:37:43,200 Speaker 3: you know, again, obviously that's a lot of that's already 776 00:37:43,360 --> 00:37:46,360 Speaker 3: built into the number. But you just wonder, you know, 777 00:37:46,400 --> 00:37:48,960 Speaker 3: are we going to see more road teams if we 778 00:37:49,040 --> 00:37:52,439 Speaker 3: do have a season, road teams maybe enjoy a little 779 00:37:52,480 --> 00:37:54,880 Speaker 3: bit more success, maybe even just straight up than just 780 00:37:54,960 --> 00:37:57,840 Speaker 3: against the number, because there is not going to be 781 00:37:57,880 --> 00:38:03,840 Speaker 3: any intimidating stadiums. Of any stadium, you're going to be like, Okay, great, 782 00:38:03,840 --> 00:38:06,120 Speaker 3: it's just like practice, let's play, and they may have 783 00:38:06,160 --> 00:38:08,760 Speaker 3: better players, but it won't be the crowd that determines 784 00:38:08,840 --> 00:38:09,200 Speaker 3: the game. 785 00:38:09,520 --> 00:38:12,080 Speaker 1: Yeah. No, it's a that's a great question and one 786 00:38:12,080 --> 00:38:15,160 Speaker 1: that's being asked to cross all betting circles before we 787 00:38:15,239 --> 00:38:16,839 Speaker 1: let you go. We really appreciate your time. It's been 788 00:38:17,000 --> 00:38:19,839 Speaker 1: great catching up with you, and hopefully, like we said, 789 00:38:19,840 --> 00:38:22,400 Speaker 1: we'll be able to catch up again later in the 790 00:38:22,440 --> 00:38:25,759 Speaker 1: summer into the fall to talk actual college football. That 791 00:38:25,880 --> 00:38:28,920 Speaker 1: is the goal. But I'll ask the elite. I'll end 792 00:38:28,920 --> 00:38:32,719 Speaker 1: with this, what is the percentage chance, just in your opinion, 793 00:38:33,040 --> 00:38:38,719 Speaker 1: that we don't have any college football at all this year? 794 00:38:38,920 --> 00:38:40,560 Speaker 1: Nothing happens, doomsday scenario. 795 00:38:41,760 --> 00:38:44,040 Speaker 3: Back in April, I thought we wouldn't have a season. 796 00:38:44,600 --> 00:38:47,760 Speaker 3: I got more optimistic in the May and the June. 797 00:38:47,880 --> 00:38:51,440 Speaker 3: Now I'm a little bit less optimistic. I will say 798 00:38:51,480 --> 00:38:57,880 Speaker 3: there's a seventy chance we don't have college football. This 799 00:38:58,320 --> 00:39:01,160 Speaker 3: is not a simple analogy, but this is not what 800 00:39:01,239 --> 00:39:03,319 Speaker 3: I think. This is what I think the people who 801 00:39:03,360 --> 00:39:08,600 Speaker 3: make the decisions think. The university presidents are not this takers. Okay, 802 00:39:08,680 --> 00:39:11,680 Speaker 3: So I just can't wrap my head around it that 803 00:39:11,920 --> 00:39:16,160 Speaker 3: the university presidents can say it's not safe to bring 804 00:39:16,200 --> 00:39:19,239 Speaker 3: back our entire student body to take on campus courses, 805 00:39:19,320 --> 00:39:21,879 Speaker 3: but it is safe to play college football. So we're 806 00:39:21,880 --> 00:39:24,560 Speaker 3: going to go ahead and play college football. Either both 807 00:39:24,680 --> 00:39:27,759 Speaker 3: should be safe or both should not be safe. And 808 00:39:27,840 --> 00:39:32,480 Speaker 3: I think because of that contradiction that ultimately they'd rather 809 00:39:32,520 --> 00:39:35,440 Speaker 3: be safe than sorry. And we talked about litigation earlier. 810 00:39:35,760 --> 00:39:38,840 Speaker 3: You know, that's one of the big fears for college presidents, 811 00:39:39,200 --> 00:39:41,880 Speaker 3: and if there's a huge job break on their campus 812 00:39:41,920 --> 00:39:45,480 Speaker 3: and you know, some really bad things happen, they potentially 813 00:39:45,520 --> 00:39:48,279 Speaker 3: open themselves up to a lot of things they're kind 814 00:39:48,320 --> 00:39:51,560 Speaker 3: of balancing off off of that and how much money 815 00:39:51,680 --> 00:39:54,840 Speaker 3: they're going to lose if they don't play. So I'd 816 00:39:54,840 --> 00:39:58,080 Speaker 3: say right now that probably seventy percent chance we don't 817 00:39:58,120 --> 00:40:00,680 Speaker 3: have a season, and I pray I'm wrong. That could 818 00:40:00,800 --> 00:40:03,600 Speaker 3: change in ten minutes after I hang up with you, guys. 819 00:40:03,680 --> 00:40:05,640 Speaker 3: But right now, that's where I'm at. 820 00:40:06,000 --> 00:40:08,480 Speaker 1: Someone somewhere was pacing listening to this podcast and just 821 00:40:08,560 --> 00:40:11,239 Speaker 1: punched a hole after that delayed response of seventy percent, 822 00:40:11,320 --> 00:40:12,279 Speaker 1: punch a hole in their wall. 823 00:40:12,600 --> 00:40:16,160 Speaker 2: If you wanted one actionable bet out of this podcast, 824 00:40:16,239 --> 00:40:18,520 Speaker 2: there are books out there listening it minus one twenty 825 00:40:18,560 --> 00:40:20,399 Speaker 2: both ways that we do or don't. So if Brett 826 00:40:20,440 --> 00:40:23,160 Speaker 2: McMurphy's got it at seventy percent, no, you got yourself 827 00:40:23,160 --> 00:40:24,160 Speaker 2: an actionable bet coming. 828 00:40:24,600 --> 00:40:27,520 Speaker 1: Look, I'm gonna try to be optimistic, and but this 829 00:40:27,640 --> 00:40:29,239 Speaker 1: is why we wanted you on. You're the one with 830 00:40:29,280 --> 00:40:31,880 Speaker 1: the most insight, So that's the number that we kind 831 00:40:31,920 --> 00:40:34,319 Speaker 1: of wanted to get and we appreciate all of your 832 00:40:34,320 --> 00:40:37,399 Speaker 1: insight and thanks again for joining us. We'll catch up 833 00:40:37,560 --> 00:40:41,879 Speaker 1: hopefully with you again later on in the season. Stay well, 834 00:40:41,920 --> 00:40:44,319 Speaker 1: stay safe, and well we'll talk soon. 835 00:40:44,840 --> 00:40:46,720 Speaker 3: Yeah, I'd love to come back on and you guys 836 00:40:46,760 --> 00:40:49,359 Speaker 3: can replay that and say, dude, you were flat out wrong, 837 00:40:49,400 --> 00:40:51,880 Speaker 3: and I'll say, Yep, you're right, I was wrong. I 838 00:40:51,880 --> 00:40:53,080 Speaker 3: would love for that to happen. 839 00:40:53,800 --> 00:40:56,600 Speaker 1: Yep, you and me both brother All right, Thanks again, Brett, 840 00:40:56,960 --> 00:41:00,520 Speaker 1: just anytime. So yeah, that's not the number that we 841 00:41:01,040 --> 00:41:03,120 Speaker 1: wanted to hear anyone want in the air. But look 842 00:41:03,160 --> 00:41:06,360 Speaker 1: it's he has as much intel into this as anybody. 843 00:41:06,520 --> 00:41:09,680 Speaker 1: And look at a D one assistant coach DMed me 844 00:41:10,120 --> 00:41:13,279 Speaker 1: this weekend and he quote tweeted, like my tweet that 845 00:41:13,320 --> 00:41:16,439 Speaker 1: said college basketball conference only season starting in early twenty 846 00:41:16,719 --> 00:41:19,080 Speaker 1: twenty one might might now be our best hope. And 847 00:41:19,120 --> 00:41:21,640 Speaker 1: he quote tweeted and said yup. And then I just 848 00:41:21,880 --> 00:41:23,960 Speaker 1: had like a crying emoji. And then he said, would 849 00:41:23,960 --> 00:41:27,160 Speaker 1: put college basketball non conference in full at about ten percent, 850 00:41:27,239 --> 00:41:30,360 Speaker 1: would put college basketball non conference as a random assortment 851 00:41:30,400 --> 00:41:33,520 Speaker 1: of games and others canceled at about thirty three percent, 852 00:41:33,600 --> 00:41:37,440 Speaker 1: would put college basketball conference play only at about sixty 853 00:41:37,480 --> 00:41:40,400 Speaker 1: five percent. That was his opinion last week. Now, college 854 00:41:40,400 --> 00:41:43,239 Speaker 1: basketball all depends on college football. This is the dominance, right, Like, 855 00:41:43,280 --> 00:41:45,520 Speaker 1: we're not if we don't have college football unless there's 856 00:41:45,520 --> 00:41:48,839 Speaker 1: like a vaccine. But I can't see college basketball. There's 857 00:41:48,880 --> 00:41:51,520 Speaker 1: a slippery slope here. So we'll keep you updated. Make 858 00:41:51,520 --> 00:41:54,919 Speaker 1: sure by the way quick plug rate, subscribe, unsubscribe, leave 859 00:41:54,960 --> 00:41:57,160 Speaker 1: a review, five star review. You're going to be in 860 00:41:57,200 --> 00:41:58,840 Speaker 1: the running for prize. On some of you that did 861 00:41:58,880 --> 00:42:00,879 Speaker 1: it last year we had to end the podcast called Best. 862 00:42:01,160 --> 00:42:02,879 Speaker 1: You're gonna be in the running as well. We're gonna 863 00:42:02,880 --> 00:42:05,800 Speaker 1: have some other cool promos coming as well on the podcast, 864 00:42:05,800 --> 00:42:08,440 Speaker 1: this podcast, the NFL podcast that I'll be doing with Raybaum. 865 00:42:08,480 --> 00:42:11,320 Speaker 1: We have our Fantasy Flex our Golf. We're gonna be 866 00:42:11,360 --> 00:42:14,279 Speaker 1: busy regardless this entire summer in fall. And then make 867 00:42:14,280 --> 00:42:15,840 Speaker 1: sure you go get the Action app. You have seen 868 00:42:15,880 --> 00:42:18,399 Speaker 1: tennis now on the Action App. I'm excited for tennis 869 00:42:18,440 --> 00:42:21,640 Speaker 1: to eventually come back in September. Colin thoughts on the 870 00:42:21,680 --> 00:42:22,880 Speaker 1: seventy percent number. 871 00:42:22,719 --> 00:42:26,520 Speaker 2: And listen, there's already a level of depression, like if 872 00:42:27,160 --> 00:42:30,480 Speaker 2: for me, I've never known a life without college football 873 00:42:30,520 --> 00:42:34,360 Speaker 2: on Saturdays. I was born in Arkansas, I grew up 874 00:42:34,360 --> 00:42:38,799 Speaker 2: in Arkansas. Everything revolved around Saturday, even not in the fall. 875 00:42:38,840 --> 00:42:40,680 Speaker 2: All we talked about was what was gonna happen in 876 00:42:40,680 --> 00:42:42,960 Speaker 2: the fall if I, you know, emotionally got to get 877 00:42:42,960 --> 00:42:45,359 Speaker 2: over the fact that there's no games. But if we 878 00:42:45,520 --> 00:42:47,880 Speaker 2: I think, my biggest fear, all right now, I'm passed 879 00:42:47,880 --> 00:42:50,799 Speaker 2: the losing games. I've accepted this is gonna happen. My 880 00:42:50,840 --> 00:42:53,840 Speaker 2: biggest my biggest fear of what we talked about to brand. 881 00:42:55,040 --> 00:42:57,479 Speaker 2: What we talked about to Bread is I don't want 882 00:42:57,480 --> 00:43:02,160 Speaker 2: to lose any of our teams in the FBS right now. 883 00:43:02,200 --> 00:43:03,000 Speaker 1: If we have to. 884 00:43:02,920 --> 00:43:06,919 Speaker 2: Lose U Mass or the Yukons, and you know, we 885 00:43:07,040 --> 00:43:09,080 Speaker 2: are the Eastern Michigans of the world, and I have 886 00:43:09,160 --> 00:43:12,240 Speaker 2: to start treating Army like they're a body bottom feeder, 887 00:43:12,280 --> 00:43:13,480 Speaker 2: that's just not gonna work for me. I don't want 888 00:43:13,480 --> 00:43:16,600 Speaker 2: to lose anybody in the family of FBS. Hu Mass 889 00:43:16,640 --> 00:43:18,560 Speaker 2: is part of our family, agree and I know, and 890 00:43:18,719 --> 00:43:20,080 Speaker 2: it's a it's like a child that we have to 891 00:43:20,120 --> 00:43:22,000 Speaker 2: monitor every day during the fall, and if we lose 892 00:43:22,040 --> 00:43:24,040 Speaker 2: one of our FBS members, it's gonna be it's gonna 893 00:43:24,040 --> 00:43:24,480 Speaker 2: be crushing. 894 00:43:24,800 --> 00:43:26,760 Speaker 1: So we're going to have, like we do every summer, 895 00:43:26,800 --> 00:43:29,800 Speaker 1: We're going to have, you know, a Big twelve preview, 896 00:43:29,840 --> 00:43:33,200 Speaker 1: an SEC preview and ACC preview, you know, a group 897 00:43:33,280 --> 00:43:36,719 Speaker 1: of five PAC twelve. Now, the timing of those is 898 00:43:36,760 --> 00:43:38,560 Speaker 1: still in flux, and it you know, we we want 899 00:43:38,560 --> 00:43:40,560 Speaker 1: to get a schedule first, and then I assume we're 900 00:43:40,560 --> 00:43:43,239 Speaker 1: going to get revised wind totals and you know, we'll 901 00:43:43,239 --> 00:43:46,239 Speaker 1: walk you through everything. Everything's still in flux. But and 902 00:43:46,320 --> 00:43:49,200 Speaker 1: we don't advise betting any wind totals right now. Right 903 00:43:49,239 --> 00:43:51,160 Speaker 1: there's just nothing. I don't think you can I don't, 904 00:43:51,239 --> 00:43:54,880 Speaker 1: I wouldn't even look. But there are some national title shots, 905 00:43:55,360 --> 00:43:57,480 Speaker 1: you know that I think that we can talk about today. 906 00:43:57,480 --> 00:43:59,880 Speaker 1: We won't go too deep into into the conferences, but 907 00:44:00,040 --> 00:44:04,080 Speaker 1: we can end with this just some general thoughts on 908 00:44:04,280 --> 00:44:08,279 Speaker 1: the national title picture. I'll start with this. Seventeen of 909 00:44:08,360 --> 00:44:12,000 Speaker 1: the first twenty four college football playoff slots have gone 910 00:44:12,080 --> 00:44:17,600 Speaker 1: to four teams. That's it, Alabama, Clemson, Oklahoma, and Ohio State. 911 00:44:17,760 --> 00:44:19,960 Speaker 1: That's it. Seventeen of the twenty four. You know, then 912 00:44:20,120 --> 00:44:23,440 Speaker 1: you have some other one and donners. You obviously had 913 00:44:23,520 --> 00:44:26,560 Speaker 1: LSU last year, Pack twelve. I don't think is had 914 00:44:26,600 --> 00:44:30,080 Speaker 1: a team in five years, so obviously you start with 915 00:44:30,120 --> 00:44:34,600 Speaker 1: those teams. Now. I think Alabama is back and is angry. 916 00:44:35,040 --> 00:44:37,080 Speaker 1: Their defense should be a lot better. They had a 917 00:44:37,120 --> 00:44:39,000 Speaker 1: lot of injuries last year. There are some questions that 918 00:44:39,120 --> 00:44:41,200 Speaker 1: quarterback of Mac Jones is more season. They also have 919 00:44:41,239 --> 00:44:43,520 Speaker 1: a freshman in there, Saban is the guy that you 920 00:44:43,600 --> 00:44:46,600 Speaker 1: want leading the ship in with all this turmoil. And 921 00:44:46,640 --> 00:44:50,080 Speaker 1: they actually have some coordinator consistency or they didn't turn 922 00:44:50,120 --> 00:44:52,600 Speaker 1: over coordinators like they have been doing for the last 923 00:44:52,600 --> 00:44:54,719 Speaker 1: four or five years. But I think Bama is the 924 00:44:54,760 --> 00:44:57,600 Speaker 1: class of the SEC. This year, LSUS coaching changes. They 925 00:44:57,640 --> 00:45:00,160 Speaker 1: lost a ton. Obviously, you got to replace Burrow. You know, 926 00:45:00,160 --> 00:45:02,480 Speaker 1: Albert'll be in the discussion. George is interesting because that 927 00:45:02,600 --> 00:45:05,719 Speaker 1: defense is loaded, but it's a new offense, right, it's 928 00:45:05,719 --> 00:45:08,359 Speaker 1: a brand new offense. Maybe that's you can't get any 929 00:45:08,360 --> 00:45:10,359 Speaker 1: worse than their offense looked last year. You know, there's 930 00:45:10,360 --> 00:45:14,200 Speaker 1: a lot of questions on will they actually be allowed 931 00:45:14,200 --> 00:45:16,200 Speaker 1: to open it up. I don't know, but I think 932 00:45:16,239 --> 00:45:20,200 Speaker 1: it's safe to assume Alabama Clemson will get there. And 933 00:45:20,239 --> 00:45:23,399 Speaker 1: then the interesting questions to me is it Penn State 934 00:45:23,440 --> 00:45:25,920 Speaker 1: or Ohio State? And that game is huge for Penn State. 935 00:45:26,000 --> 00:45:27,799 Speaker 1: Now they don't think go to VA Tech at home, 936 00:45:27,920 --> 00:45:30,560 Speaker 1: but without fans, I don't know. They generally play Ohio 937 00:45:30,560 --> 00:45:33,600 Speaker 1: State very close. Ohio State's obviously loaded, but Penn State's 938 00:45:33,640 --> 00:45:35,879 Speaker 1: intriguing to me at a fifty to one price because 939 00:45:35,880 --> 00:45:38,000 Speaker 1: if they win, if they don't think go to VA Tech. 940 00:45:38,040 --> 00:45:40,640 Speaker 1: Now they beat Ohio State at home, and look, their 941 00:45:40,640 --> 00:45:44,160 Speaker 1: defense is going to be loaded. You know, they there's 942 00:45:44,239 --> 00:45:47,000 Speaker 1: some still questions on offense, but they're intriguing to me. 943 00:45:47,680 --> 00:45:50,239 Speaker 1: And then Oklahoma. Look, I think the Big twelve is 944 00:45:50,239 --> 00:45:52,560 Speaker 1: going to accountablize itself. I think you agree, and the 945 00:45:52,600 --> 00:45:54,440 Speaker 1: committee has seen what the Big twelve has done the 946 00:45:54,480 --> 00:45:57,439 Speaker 1: last couple of years with some of these just blowouts. Right, 947 00:45:57,800 --> 00:46:00,919 Speaker 1: So even if there is an undefeated Big twelve versus 948 00:46:00,920 --> 00:46:05,279 Speaker 1: an undefeated PAC twelve, maybe Oregon that's the intriguing one 949 00:46:05,280 --> 00:46:06,840 Speaker 1: to me. We talked about it and it stuck with 950 00:46:06,880 --> 00:46:10,359 Speaker 1: colin episode Grab eighty to one. I talked about this 951 00:46:10,360 --> 00:46:14,399 Speaker 1: with John Murray a couple months ago from Westgate. I said, look, 952 00:46:14,440 --> 00:46:16,319 Speaker 1: Oregon eighty the ones intriguing because if we go to 953 00:46:16,360 --> 00:46:18,560 Speaker 1: conference only and this is before, this is the thought, 954 00:46:18,600 --> 00:46:22,000 Speaker 1: they're gonna drop North Dakota State with Trey Lancer's a 955 00:46:22,000 --> 00:46:25,640 Speaker 1: potential top ten pick at the quarterback, and Ohio stayed 956 00:46:25,680 --> 00:46:29,920 Speaker 1: at home and without fans at home. So all of 957 00:46:29,920 --> 00:46:32,520 Speaker 1: a sudden, Oregon now is a very favorable conference. And 958 00:46:32,560 --> 00:46:35,320 Speaker 1: I think the clear class of that of the Pac twelve. 959 00:46:35,520 --> 00:46:37,719 Speaker 1: Morehead coming in as offense coordinator I think is gonna 960 00:46:37,719 --> 00:46:40,760 Speaker 1: be great. Obviously, the replace Herbert at defense is loaded 961 00:46:40,920 --> 00:46:43,920 Speaker 1: to an SEC defense. So I think Oregon around, I 962 00:46:43,960 --> 00:46:45,680 Speaker 1: think you can get fifty to one out there. Now, 963 00:46:46,080 --> 00:46:49,200 Speaker 1: that's where I'm going if I did believe that there 964 00:46:49,239 --> 00:46:51,759 Speaker 1: was an expanded playoff. Now Brett makes me more costs 965 00:46:51,760 --> 00:46:55,200 Speaker 1: about this. I love UCF, so if I thought that 966 00:46:55,200 --> 00:46:56,880 Speaker 1: there was a group of five, I would fire a 967 00:46:56,880 --> 00:46:59,160 Speaker 1: small bullet on UCF. Well, I think is the most 968 00:46:59,160 --> 00:47:01,160 Speaker 1: complete team in the eight AC since he has the 969 00:47:01,200 --> 00:47:04,320 Speaker 1: best D. Memphis probably has the best O. But is 970 00:47:04,320 --> 00:47:06,399 Speaker 1: this UCF team. They lost three games by total seven 971 00:47:06,400 --> 00:47:08,920 Speaker 1: points last year. They're loaded on offense, they have a 972 00:47:08,960 --> 00:47:12,040 Speaker 1: really talented secondary, and I think an underrated D. So 973 00:47:12,120 --> 00:47:14,920 Speaker 1: that's kind of where I stand on the national title picture. 974 00:47:15,360 --> 00:47:18,960 Speaker 1: Futures wise, It's Penn State's intriguing Oregon for sure, and 975 00:47:19,000 --> 00:47:21,120 Speaker 1: I've invested in the Ducks a couple of times. I'm 976 00:47:21,120 --> 00:47:22,880 Speaker 1: go and have a funny story after. I'll get your 977 00:47:22,880 --> 00:47:25,600 Speaker 1: thoughts on that, and you see, Yeah, if I believe 978 00:47:25,600 --> 00:47:27,080 Speaker 1: there's an expand of PLAYFF, but now I'm starting to 979 00:47:27,080 --> 00:47:29,160 Speaker 1: think there's not. So what are your kind of overall 980 00:47:29,200 --> 00:47:30,120 Speaker 1: thoughts in Land of the Land. 981 00:47:30,280 --> 00:47:32,480 Speaker 2: Yeah, there was article I put out back in March 982 00:47:32,600 --> 00:47:35,000 Speaker 2: that said Oregon and Virginia Tech would be the biggest 983 00:47:35,000 --> 00:47:40,399 Speaker 2: benefactors of a non conference play slate. Oregon specifically has 984 00:47:40,440 --> 00:47:42,920 Speaker 2: eighty one percent of their returning starters on a defense 985 00:47:42,960 --> 00:47:45,080 Speaker 2: that was top twenty five and success rate last year. 986 00:47:45,400 --> 00:47:49,120 Speaker 2: That's pretty good, Like you said, stuck sec level. That's 987 00:47:49,160 --> 00:47:51,680 Speaker 2: all Andy Avelos coming over from Boise State a year ago. 988 00:47:52,000 --> 00:47:53,839 Speaker 2: He you know, it didn't take them long to learn 989 00:47:53,880 --> 00:47:56,480 Speaker 2: his scheme and to just put a vice grip on 990 00:47:56,520 --> 00:47:58,879 Speaker 2: everybody in that conference. Now the offense is a little 991 00:47:58,880 --> 00:48:02,560 Speaker 2: bit different there. They're obviously you know, their returning production 992 00:48:02,719 --> 00:48:04,680 Speaker 2: is thirty four percent. The loss of Justin Herbert and 993 00:48:04,719 --> 00:48:07,359 Speaker 2: plenty of other things from an offense, that's that line too. 994 00:48:07,400 --> 00:48:09,360 Speaker 1: I mean, they got a whole line stud but the 995 00:48:09,360 --> 00:48:10,640 Speaker 1: four the other starters are gone. 996 00:48:10,920 --> 00:48:13,200 Speaker 2: Yeah, and you got to think that, you know, you know, 997 00:48:13,360 --> 00:48:15,520 Speaker 2: Sewell might declare for the draft. He might not even 998 00:48:15,560 --> 00:48:17,440 Speaker 2: play on this Oregon team. The more it gets delayed, 999 00:48:17,480 --> 00:48:19,120 Speaker 2: So we don't know really what's going to go on 1000 00:48:19,160 --> 00:48:21,920 Speaker 2: with that offense or how more head fits in right there. Uh, 1001 00:48:21,960 --> 00:48:23,200 Speaker 2: you know, and he's kind of going to be on 1002 00:48:23,200 --> 00:48:26,279 Speaker 2: his own redemption tour. But yeah, we're talking losing North 1003 00:48:26,360 --> 00:48:29,040 Speaker 2: Dakota State and Ohio State. But what's more important is 1004 00:48:29,160 --> 00:48:31,840 Speaker 2: if the conference schedule holds, this is one of the 1005 00:48:32,000 --> 00:48:34,719 Speaker 2: easiest Pac twelve road slates you could have, and now 1006 00:48:34,719 --> 00:48:37,360 Speaker 2: their season, they get to find their offensive identity to 1007 00:48:37,440 --> 00:48:40,040 Speaker 2: start off against Colorado. That's a lot better than a 1008 00:48:40,080 --> 00:48:41,960 Speaker 2: North Dakota State and a lot better than going up 1009 00:48:42,000 --> 00:48:45,880 Speaker 2: against Ohio State defense. So if there's an actionable one 1010 00:48:45,920 --> 00:48:47,799 Speaker 2: that you could lay off of this podcast, I'd say 1011 00:48:47,800 --> 00:48:50,680 Speaker 2: Oregon fifty to one or better. I would definitely shop around, 1012 00:48:50,680 --> 00:48:52,920 Speaker 2: and I would one hundred percent check the book rules 1013 00:48:53,360 --> 00:48:56,560 Speaker 2: on you know, is this still an actionable ticket if 1014 00:48:56,600 --> 00:48:59,120 Speaker 2: things change like this? It is changing things change like that. 1015 00:48:59,400 --> 00:49:04,120 Speaker 1: Yeah, title futures should be action pretty much no matter 1016 00:49:04,120 --> 00:49:06,440 Speaker 1: what from the from the oddsmakers that I've talked to. Now, 1017 00:49:06,440 --> 00:49:11,320 Speaker 1: obviously that can change, but generally speaking, your national title futures, 1018 00:49:11,400 --> 00:49:13,840 Speaker 1: your championship futures are always going to be actions. A 1019 00:49:13,880 --> 00:49:15,799 Speaker 1: lot of the other stuff. I mean, I would say, 1020 00:49:15,880 --> 00:49:18,640 Speaker 1: to make playoff as long as the playoff doesn't expand 1021 00:49:18,960 --> 00:49:21,440 Speaker 1: would you know, to win conference of conference stands, they 1022 00:49:21,440 --> 00:49:23,719 Speaker 1: probably would stand. Any win totals will be thrown out. 1023 00:49:23,880 --> 00:49:27,480 Speaker 1: But obviously always check with your book and you obviously 1024 00:49:27,600 --> 00:49:30,400 Speaker 1: hopefully it's multiple books so yeah, I agree with you, 1025 00:49:30,480 --> 00:49:34,319 Speaker 1: and yeah Va Tech, it's votech There's something. Look, they 1026 00:49:34,360 --> 00:49:37,359 Speaker 1: came on strong at the end of last year. Obviously 1027 00:49:37,480 --> 00:49:40,759 Speaker 1: they lose Bud Foster's defensive coordinator, but they they really 1028 00:49:40,800 --> 00:49:42,560 Speaker 1: did as soon as soon as they hooked they went 1029 00:49:42,560 --> 00:49:44,799 Speaker 1: to Hooker quarterback. They really came on strong dater the year. 1030 00:49:44,800 --> 00:49:46,879 Speaker 1: But there's something going on with VA Tech, like they 1031 00:49:47,239 --> 00:49:50,440 Speaker 1: these transfers that keep happening. They had did they? I 1032 00:49:50,480 --> 00:49:52,720 Speaker 1: think that had the worst recruiting class in the ACC 1033 00:49:52,880 --> 00:49:56,440 Speaker 1: this year, which is crazy. I don't know what the 1034 00:49:56,480 --> 00:49:59,799 Speaker 1: issue is there, but I can't I can't argue with 1035 00:49:59,800 --> 00:50:02,480 Speaker 1: with logic as if you're looking for a deeper flyer. 1036 00:50:02,840 --> 00:50:05,160 Speaker 1: Speaking of looking for a deeper flyer, so all this 1037 00:50:05,280 --> 00:50:07,560 Speaker 1: talk is coming off for conference only futures. Last week, 1038 00:50:07,920 --> 00:50:10,520 Speaker 1: I'm texting you, I'm texting all these people in different states, 1039 00:50:10,719 --> 00:50:12,520 Speaker 1: and I'm saying, in legal states, I'm saying, what do 1040 00:50:12,520 --> 00:50:14,880 Speaker 1: you got? Tell me what you got on Oregon, just 1041 00:50:14,920 --> 00:50:16,360 Speaker 1: to seeing the best number that I can get to 1042 00:50:16,360 --> 00:50:19,040 Speaker 1: get more down. My friend in Indiana, he's like, I'm 1043 00:50:19,080 --> 00:50:21,400 Speaker 1: at work, I'll check in a second. He texts me 1044 00:50:21,440 --> 00:50:23,560 Speaker 1: back and he says, I got five hundred to one. 1045 00:50:23,680 --> 00:50:26,520 Speaker 1: I say five hundred to one. Are you sure? And 1046 00:50:26,560 --> 00:50:29,359 Speaker 1: he said yeah, five hundred to one. I say, hit it, dude, 1047 00:50:29,480 --> 00:50:33,000 Speaker 1: hit that for me. You can split it. I'll charge 1048 00:50:33,040 --> 00:50:36,399 Speaker 1: me on Apple Baby A text good BET's in ten 1049 00:50:36,440 --> 00:50:38,440 Speaker 1: minutes later. Well, then I text you. I said, dude, 1050 00:50:38,440 --> 00:50:41,280 Speaker 1: I found a fucking rogue five hundred to one on Oregon. 1051 00:50:41,440 --> 00:50:43,359 Speaker 1: And you were like, get the hell out of here 1052 00:50:43,400 --> 00:50:46,480 Speaker 1: or something, and I was like, yeah, dude, my friend. 1053 00:50:46,640 --> 00:50:48,480 Speaker 1: Within maybe five minutes, I end up text you back 1054 00:50:48,480 --> 00:50:50,880 Speaker 1: because my friend texts me back and says, why the 1055 00:50:50,920 --> 00:50:52,680 Speaker 1: hell are we betting on Oregon State to win the 1056 00:50:52,719 --> 00:50:55,759 Speaker 1: national title? And I said, you gotta be kidding me. No, 1057 00:50:55,840 --> 00:50:57,719 Speaker 1: I said, dude, no, Oregon. It didn't even cross my 1058 00:50:57,800 --> 00:51:01,080 Speaker 1: mind that he was looking at Oregon State, not Oregon's. 1059 00:51:01,080 --> 00:51:04,160 Speaker 1: It's my fault. I'm gonna pay for the entire thing. 1060 00:51:04,480 --> 00:51:06,160 Speaker 1: So I have a five hundred to one ticket on 1061 00:51:06,200 --> 00:51:09,200 Speaker 1: the Oregon State and that should be like fifty thousand 1062 00:51:09,200 --> 00:51:09,520 Speaker 1: to one. 1063 00:51:10,000 --> 00:51:12,000 Speaker 2: And my response to you was that's a bad number. 1064 00:51:12,120 --> 00:51:14,400 Speaker 2: Five hundred to one. You're not getting you're not getting 1065 00:51:14,400 --> 00:51:15,120 Speaker 2: true odds there. 1066 00:51:15,200 --> 00:51:17,960 Speaker 1: So I mean I was dancing around my house five 1067 00:51:18,040 --> 00:51:19,000 Speaker 1: hundred to one on Oregon. 1068 00:51:19,239 --> 00:51:22,040 Speaker 2: Yeah, but now to talk about Virginia Tech, they are 1069 00:51:22,040 --> 00:51:23,880 Speaker 2: actually have really long shot odds there, one hundred and 1070 00:51:23,880 --> 00:51:26,400 Speaker 2: fifty to one odds at DraftKings for a team that 1071 00:51:26,520 --> 00:51:29,920 Speaker 2: has a relatively easy path to get to the AC Championship. 1072 00:51:29,920 --> 00:51:32,000 Speaker 2: Their home game against Miami, they have to go on 1073 00:51:32,040 --> 00:51:35,160 Speaker 2: the road to North Carolina. But you know, we talk 1074 00:51:35,200 --> 00:51:37,520 Speaker 2: about what's going on with their transfers, but this is 1075 00:51:37,560 --> 00:51:41,239 Speaker 2: still a defense that ranked eighteenth and success right last year. 1076 00:51:41,280 --> 00:51:43,640 Speaker 2: They return eighty nine percent of their production and the 1077 00:51:43,680 --> 00:51:46,279 Speaker 2: defensive coordinator that's taken over for Bud Foster was the 1078 00:51:46,320 --> 00:51:48,640 Speaker 2: secondary coach last year and he was actually a former 1079 00:51:48,640 --> 00:51:50,640 Speaker 2: player at Virginia Tech, so there's not going to be 1080 00:51:50,640 --> 00:51:51,960 Speaker 2: any kind of scheme change going on. 1081 00:51:52,040 --> 00:51:53,040 Speaker 1: Yes, he's a Foster guy. 1082 00:51:53,400 --> 00:51:55,560 Speaker 2: Yeah, So I mean it's one hundred and fifty to one. 1083 00:51:55,719 --> 00:51:58,480 Speaker 2: I'm gonna wait out for coastal futures, but this is 1084 00:51:58,560 --> 00:52:03,560 Speaker 2: definitely a hedgeable ticket on Virginia Tech. Only just a 1085 00:52:03,600 --> 00:52:05,400 Speaker 2: couple of games that should actually matter and that and 1086 00:52:05,440 --> 00:52:07,360 Speaker 2: they are you know, they dodge Clemson on the slate. 1087 00:52:07,440 --> 00:52:09,440 Speaker 2: And I think that takes me into my next subject, 1088 00:52:09,480 --> 00:52:13,040 Speaker 2: which is the more we delay this season, the more 1089 00:52:13,080 --> 00:52:15,040 Speaker 2: I don't like Clemson. And I mean we're talking losing 1090 00:52:15,040 --> 00:52:18,000 Speaker 2: Trevor Lawrence Travis et In to the draft projected first round, 1091 00:52:18,080 --> 00:52:20,720 Speaker 2: both of them for seniors. Four juniors on the defense 1092 00:52:20,800 --> 00:52:24,040 Speaker 2: could skip. Amari Rodgers as a senior, he could skip 1093 00:52:24,040 --> 00:52:25,839 Speaker 2: and go to the NFL Draft. And this is that 1094 00:52:25,880 --> 00:52:29,760 Speaker 2: would make this easily the most depleted group of wide 1095 00:52:29,800 --> 00:52:32,920 Speaker 2: receivers in all of FBS. If a Mari Rodgers was 1096 00:52:32,960 --> 00:52:35,920 Speaker 2: to go missing, so and Justin Ross has already hearts hurt. 1097 00:52:36,400 --> 00:52:39,680 Speaker 2: So I mean, the more that this gets delayed, the 1098 00:52:39,680 --> 00:52:41,840 Speaker 2: more I want nothing to do with having any money 1099 00:52:41,840 --> 00:52:42,360 Speaker 2: on Clemson. 1100 00:52:44,440 --> 00:52:46,239 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, if they if at a conference only 1101 00:52:46,280 --> 00:52:48,960 Speaker 1: schedule again, if they slip once, there's no chance in 1102 00:52:49,000 --> 00:52:52,000 Speaker 1: the ACC that they're going to the College Caball Playoff 1103 00:52:52,200 --> 00:52:54,240 Speaker 1: because they're gonna well, I mean I guess they could still. 1104 00:52:54,280 --> 00:52:56,239 Speaker 1: They might still have Notre Aime and it depends. I mean, 1105 00:52:56,239 --> 00:53:01,799 Speaker 1: it all depends. So yeah, we will, We'll leave it 1106 00:53:01,800 --> 00:53:05,960 Speaker 1: at that. We're going to be back, you know, unless 1107 00:53:05,960 --> 00:53:08,040 Speaker 1: they cancel the college football season once we have more 1108 00:53:08,200 --> 00:53:10,719 Speaker 1: scheduling information, so probably the end of this month, you know, 1109 00:53:10,760 --> 00:53:13,680 Speaker 1: we'll go through every conference. We'll go through all the teams. 1110 00:53:13,719 --> 00:53:16,799 Speaker 1: We'll go through returning production, coaching changes, scheme changes, you know, 1111 00:53:16,880 --> 00:53:21,440 Speaker 1: who's most affected by the COVID impacted preparation, who's not. 1112 00:53:22,520 --> 00:53:24,440 Speaker 1: We'll go through our win totals, what we make them. 1113 00:53:24,480 --> 00:53:26,719 Speaker 1: We're obviously gonna have to run everything again with the 1114 00:53:26,760 --> 00:53:30,080 Speaker 1: revised schedules, but yeah, we're gonna go through all that. 1115 00:53:31,320 --> 00:53:33,480 Speaker 1: I look forward to talking college football. Hopefully we have 1116 00:53:33,560 --> 00:53:37,120 Speaker 1: the season. Appreciate you all listening. Remember NFL first season 1117 00:53:37,120 --> 00:53:40,040 Speaker 1: preview do in the AFC we were recording this week 1118 00:53:40,080 --> 00:53:44,600 Speaker 1: as well. We have the Fantasy Golf just the podcast 1119 00:53:44,719 --> 00:53:47,440 Speaker 1: is going to be so busy and everyone on it crushes. 1120 00:53:47,800 --> 00:53:49,719 Speaker 1: Make sure you have the Action app. Go check out 1121 00:53:49,760 --> 00:53:53,359 Speaker 1: Fantasy Labs too if you haven't a lot of great 1122 00:53:53,400 --> 00:53:55,440 Speaker 1: tools there. I'm even started to dabble in some some 1123 00:53:55,600 --> 00:53:58,799 Speaker 1: DFF and he's haven't had any success yet, but I'm 1124 00:53:58,880 --> 00:54:02,440 Speaker 1: starting to kind of able out of boredom. But thanks 1125 00:54:02,440 --> 00:54:04,880 Speaker 1: for joining me, Colin, Thanks again to Brett McMurphy, and 1126 00:54:05,200 --> 00:54:07,719 Speaker 1: let's hope that we have college football. I know we 1127 00:54:07,719 --> 00:54:09,520 Speaker 1: probably won't have it on Labor Day, but a college 1128 00:54:09,520 --> 00:54:12,080 Speaker 1: football season. Thanks again for listening, and we'll catch you 1129 00:54:12,120 --> 00:54:13,640 Speaker 1: all later. Cheers. He's out. 1130 00:54:25,080 --> 00:54:26,160 Speaker 3: We're finished talking.