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Speaker 1: Happy Saturday, guys. How are you welcome into another episode

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Speaker 1: of the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt paraltat Sports

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Speaker 1: Talk Matt on Twitter, to follow me at Betting Pros.

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Speaker 1: To follow Betting Pros here on our YouTube channel for

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Speaker 1: Betting Pros. With the offer from BETMGM, which is always

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Speaker 1: above me, ten dollars, bet to win one hundred and

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Speaker 1: fifty dollars new account, sign up one bet ten bucks,

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Speaker 1: then give you one hundred and fifty bucks with the

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Speaker 1: promo code Juice one fifty when you sign up for

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Speaker 1: a new account. So this has been a bad week,

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Speaker 1: and you know I don't sugarcoat this and I don't

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Speaker 1: run from a record. We went one in three yesterday.

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Speaker 1: I went back to the NBA like an idiot. I said,

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Speaker 1: I was not going to go back to the NBA.

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Speaker 1: We could have gone three and oher in baseball, but

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Speaker 1: the Hawks lose. I'm done officially with the NBA into

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Speaker 1: the playoffs, but we had a chance to jump in

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Speaker 1: or at three. I guess I have three bets cash

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Speaker 1: for us. We needed extra innings in a come from

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Speaker 1: behind win for the Giants just to get the minus

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Speaker 1: one forty bet to cash red Sox blew a three

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Speaker 1: to nothing lead and three other leads where they could

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Speaker 1: have one. I mean, they could have won the game outright,

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Speaker 1: should have won the game outright. The White Sox absolutely

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Speaker 1: should have won the game outright. That was horrific. But

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Speaker 1: everybody came at me and said, Matt, bet first five,

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Speaker 1: first five. Yes, I understand that. I will bet first

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Speaker 1: fives a ton. And if you guys are familiar with

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Speaker 1: the way I bet baseball later in the year, it

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Speaker 1: is a lot of run you know, yes, no runs

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Speaker 1: in the first inning, and a lot of first fives.

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Speaker 1: I hate bullpens. But until we know the bullpen rotation,

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Speaker 1: and until we know how the starting rotation is going

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Speaker 1: to go for these teams, I'm not comfortable just banking

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Speaker 1: on a starting pitcher who haven't hasn't had any experience

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Speaker 1: on the mound this year. So that's why I bet

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Speaker 1: full game. Okay, I bet full game on opening Day.

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Speaker 1: Bet three games yesterday, and we would have gone three

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Speaker 1: and oh by betting first five. I get that, okay.

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Speaker 1: And the bullpen's killed us, and I'm ferociously angry about that,

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Speaker 1: But that's betting, and it's just the way the week

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Speaker 1: has gone. It's been a bad week, so there's no

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Speaker 1: way around it. Just been rough. Okay, So here's what's

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Speaker 1: going to happen on a Saturday. I'm going to bet

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Speaker 1: bet I like that you may not like. And I'm

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Speaker 1: going to warn you that I am frigidly ice cold,

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Speaker 1: So maybe you don't want to get involved with this.

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Speaker 1: And I would understand if you don't want to get

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Speaker 1: involved with this, I wouldn't be angry with you like

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Speaker 1: Matt I can't play it or Matt, I'm fading all

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Speaker 1: your bets because your ice cold. As I say, I'm

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Speaker 1: here to give you what I'm betting, and whatever I bet.

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Speaker 1: If you guys like it, you like it great. If

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Speaker 1: you don't, you don't, I'm not going to get angry,

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Speaker 1: not going to get mad at all for you guys

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Speaker 1: to go ahead and jump in on this.

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Speaker 2: Okay.

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Speaker 1: So one baseball, one UFC parlay, and one golf bet

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Speaker 1: head to head in the third round that I'm going

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Speaker 1: to jump in on.

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Speaker 2: Okay.

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Speaker 1: So let's start with baseball. The Boston Red Sox and

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Speaker 1: the Yankees.

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Speaker 2: Okay.

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Speaker 1: Now, the Red Sox and the Yankees offensively scored eleven

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Speaker 1: runs combined. They could have scored more the game went

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Speaker 1: to extra innings. The horrific and awful I mean horrible

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Speaker 1: runner on second base rule. I mean it killed us.

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Speaker 1: I mean it didn't kill us in the White Sox game,

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Speaker 1: but you know we won one, lost one with it.

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Speaker 2: But I hate it.

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Speaker 1: It's unnecessary stress, It's an unnecessary sweat. And I have

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Speaker 1: no idea how you betting under in any game given

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Speaker 1: the potential for two teams who are closely matched to

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Speaker 1: go up against each other. The total is nine here

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Speaker 1: for this nine minus one ten on both sides. I'm

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Speaker 1: going over on this.

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Speaker 2: All right.

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Speaker 1: It's Yankees, it's the Red Sox. Sevarino has not been great, Okay,

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Speaker 1: he hasn't, but the bullpen for the Yankees also, I

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Speaker 1: don't think it's going to be great. Nick Pivetta has

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Speaker 1: been pretty good for the Red Sox, but not great

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Speaker 1: against the Yankees era of over four and a half.

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Speaker 2: Last year.

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Speaker 1: He was really good in the postseason, but as a

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Speaker 1: starter he was kind of He's always good for like

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Speaker 1: three or four runs to be given up, like period.

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Speaker 1: And against this Yankee lineup, I mean they can score

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Speaker 1: in bunches. Red Sox can as well. Rap field Devers

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Speaker 1: went deep in the first inning off of Garrett Cole.

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Speaker 1: Three to nothing in that game, and they couldn't hang

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Speaker 1: on to it, but a six to five final Yankees

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Speaker 1: win over nine covers in that game. I think over

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Speaker 1: nine covers in this game. We're going half a unit

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Speaker 1: over nine Red Sox and the Yankees here. It's a

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Speaker 1: one oh five Pacific time, four h five Fox Sports

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Speaker 1: one Eastern time start for the Red Sox and the

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Speaker 1: Yankees over nine runs. Red Sox Yankees half a unit

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Speaker 1: going for the first play, second play, head to head

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Speaker 1: here for the third round of.

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Speaker 2: The Masters, wearing the Master's hat.

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Speaker 1: Okay, so we got the Tiger Woods to miss the

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Speaker 1: cut bet wrong, but I think we're gonna get the

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Speaker 1: Cameron Smith to finish as the low amateur, sorry the

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Speaker 1: low Australian. Right, I'm gonna come back with Cam Smith

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Speaker 1: here on moving Day. Think Cameron Smith has got an

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Speaker 1: opportunity here to be among the leaders, if not leading

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Speaker 1: the round outright. I really think he's had a couple

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Speaker 1: of bad holes. I think he's got a chance to

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Speaker 1: go low here on a Saturday. And I don't really

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Speaker 1: like the way Dustin Johnson has been playing he's been

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Speaker 1: hitting a bunch of you know, he's two under par

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Speaker 1: at the moment, but you look at the way he

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Speaker 1: has played round wise, he's been scrambling a lot. He's

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Speaker 1: been bailing himself out with some really deep putts that

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Speaker 1: he's been hitting. Not sure that continues here. Not really

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Speaker 1: in love with the way Dustin Johnson has been playing.

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Speaker 1: Dustin Jowlson goes sixty three seventy three, so sorry, sixty

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Speaker 1: nine seventy three rather and one bird yesterday.

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Speaker 2: That's it.

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Speaker 1: Take a look at our boy Cameron Smith and how

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Speaker 1: well he's played at two under par sixty eight seventy four,

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Speaker 1: and he's just played really poorly for certain dumb holes.

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Speaker 1: The double bogie on eighteen was horrible. He double bogie

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Speaker 1: the first and the eighteenth on Thursday. You take away

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Speaker 1: those four strokes. This dude is right next to Scotti

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Speaker 1: Scheffler with a chance to potentially be leading this tournament

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Speaker 1: going to the turn. But he shot four bogies and

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Speaker 1: two birdies yesterday. But he birdied fifteen, He birdied eighteen,

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Speaker 1: which I like. He came back and rallied after having

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Speaker 1: a really rough run on eighteen the day before. I

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Speaker 1: like Cameron Smith in a head to head against Dustin Johnson.

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Speaker 1: It's minus one twenty five at the Westgate head to

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Speaker 1: head third round only Cam Smith over Dustin Johnson. I

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Speaker 1: think Cameron Smith can win this thing, I really do.

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Speaker 1: I like the way he's playing a lot. Let's cash this,

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Speaker 1: let's cash the lowest Australian. It really comes down to

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Speaker 1: him and Adam Scott. Adam Scott finished at four over

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Speaker 1: par and then Mark Leishman is also at four over par.

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Speaker 2: They both made the cut.

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Speaker 1: But I think we're gonna catch that bet at plus

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Speaker 1: one ten for cam Smith. So really you pay you

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Speaker 1: catch the Cam Smith up against the Tiger Woods bet.

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Speaker 2: They're both half of a unit.

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Speaker 1: We actually make money on the plus one ten versus

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Speaker 1: the minus one twenty six that we played with Tiger Woods,

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Speaker 1: so actually up money if Cam Smith does come up

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Speaker 1: to be the lowest scoring Australian. So I do think

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Speaker 1: there's a real good shot we're we're gonna knock down that.

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Speaker 1: So I'm gonna come back here with Dustin Johnson versus

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Speaker 1: Cameron Smith. Lay the minus one twenty five Cam Smith

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Speaker 1: half a unit for him to win round three against

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Speaker 1: Dustin Johnson. And then finally for UFC two seventy three.

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Speaker 1: All right, we've got three huge fights. I'm not gonna

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Speaker 1: go deep here, but this is what I am playing.

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Speaker 1: You can search and you can go around the best

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Speaker 1: odds that you can find on this that will actually

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Speaker 1: pay you decently. Let me just double check on this

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Speaker 1: because Circus Sports when I bet this today, that they

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Speaker 1: may have changed the odds compared to what I got

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Speaker 1: on this three leg parlay. Now, remember I like two

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Speaker 1: leg parlays. I don't like three leg parlays. But I

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Speaker 1: think you have to jump in here with three leg

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Speaker 1: parlays simply because if you don't, you're gonna be stuck

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Speaker 1: paying just obscene.

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Speaker 2: Amounts of juice.

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Speaker 1: So this is a three leg parlay that is currently

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Speaker 1: uh what, let's see, it's gonna pay you. It's plus yeah,

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Speaker 1: it's MIUS one forty nine. Now I got minus yeah,

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Speaker 1: I got minus one fifty three. This is Mius one

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Speaker 1: forty nine. Okay, so let's make it official Circus Sports

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Speaker 1: minus one forty nine. We're going with Jamaiev Overburns money line.

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Speaker 1: We're going Petrillon over algemer Sterling money line, and we're

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Speaker 1: going Volganovski minus six sixty money line against the Korean Zombie.

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Speaker 2: How I think these fights end.

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Speaker 1: I think there's a shot that Chamaiev will not out

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Speaker 1: Gilbert Burns. But Gilbert Burns is a tough set of

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Speaker 1: a gun that if I can go the distance, Volganovski

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Speaker 1: I think will knock out the Korean Zombie. But that fight,

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Speaker 1: given what we saw with the war he had with

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Speaker 1: Brian Ortega in the fight before I was ringside, I

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Speaker 1: was octagon side for that fight, that I think there's

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Speaker 1: a chance that fight also goes to the distance. And

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Speaker 1: then petri Jan I think Sterling is live. I would

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Speaker 1: be careful. I think the one I'm nervous about Petriyan here,

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Speaker 1: but he was killing Aljama Sterling until he need him

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Speaker 1: in the head, Okay, And I think he's just the

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Speaker 1: more talented fighter. I think Aljamon's had his run. I

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Speaker 1: think he's talked a lot of garbage over the last

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Speaker 1: couple of months. I think he pays for a lot

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Speaker 1: of it.

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Speaker 2: Here.

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Speaker 1: I think Yan's going to tune him up, and I'm

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Speaker 1: going to go in here and I'm going to jump

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Speaker 1: on petri yan money line. Okay, these are big favorites.

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Speaker 1: The books are desperate. This is going to be a

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Speaker 1: very popular parlay for a lot of people. You could

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Speaker 1: add something else, you want to add a fourth leg,

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Speaker 1: but I wouldn't recommend it. Three legs is hard to

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Speaker 1: hit if you want to do just a two leg parlay.

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Speaker 1: And I did think about doing this to take away Volganovski.

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Speaker 1: A two leg parlay with yong Yan and Chamayev that's

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Speaker 1: minus two fifteen if you want to just do a.

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Speaker 2: Two leg parlay.

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Speaker 1: But you're gonna get hit with juice no matter what

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Speaker 1: you do here by by betting on this, because like

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Speaker 1: say you do you want to take away the Chamaya

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Speaker 1: fight and just do a two leg between Yan and Volganovsky.

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Speaker 1: That's minus two sixty seven. So it's like, really juicy,

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Speaker 1: you gotta go three legs here?

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Speaker 2: But I don't.

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Speaker 1: I mean, I'm tempted to come in and bet like

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Speaker 1: how these fights end. I think there's a good shot

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Speaker 1: that Chamaiev and Burns goes over. I think if you're

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Speaker 1: looking for you know, if you want to bet over

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Speaker 1: on a fight, how long it's going to last. I

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Speaker 1: think there's a good chance that Burns in Chamayav that

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Speaker 1: fight actually goes a pretty good amount of time, and

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Speaker 1: I think there's a chance that this fight goes to

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Speaker 1: the cards. To be quite honest, I mean I think

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Speaker 1: I wouldn't mind betting. You could bet the fight to

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Speaker 1: start the second round at fandel at minus one seventy

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Speaker 1: six or start the third round at plus it's a

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Speaker 1: three round fight.

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Speaker 2: I mean, I don't hate it. I mean, I don't

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Speaker 2: hate it. Got this fight going that long?

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Speaker 1: I mean, if you just look at some of the

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Speaker 1: stats and the way that these two guys have fought,

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Speaker 1: I mean, you have a ten and zero fighter here

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Speaker 1: in Tamayav who definitely has a lot of people's attention.

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Speaker 2: But Gilbert Burns is a tough son of a bitch.

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Speaker 2: Can I say that?

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Speaker 1: I think I can say that twenty and four he

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Speaker 1: is right now in his career. But I mean average

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Speaker 1: fight time eleven minutes and twenty eight seconds Tamayav three

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Speaker 1: fourteen for average fight time. Okay, strikes landed eight point six'

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Speaker 1: eight For tamayav eight point six y eight strikes landed

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Speaker 1: seventy seven percent striking. Accuracy dude hurts you when he hits,

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Speaker 1: you you feel. It he tunes you. Up you go

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Speaker 1: back to the loss To Kamaru uzman For.

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Speaker 2: Burns burns when he.

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Speaker 1: LOSES i, mean, look he got knocked out By. Uzman

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Speaker 1: okay knocked out in the third. Round could that happen?

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Speaker 2: Here?

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Speaker 1: Yes his last loss before that Was Dan, hooker where

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Speaker 1: he got knocked out By Dan. Hooker he's never been

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Speaker 1: submitted in the in THE. Ufc okay And chamayav's got

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Speaker 1: a hell of a ground. Game but Can burns get

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Speaker 1: brought to the. Ground he's got A i, Mean burns

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Speaker 1: is A bjj black belt and a tough dude to deal.

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Speaker 2: With he is tough on the.

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Speaker 1: Ground he's got a tremendous takedown, defense fifty percent takedown.

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Speaker 1: Defense chamaya's never been taken, down which.

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Speaker 2: Is kind of.

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Speaker 1: Wild Maybe burns can get into the, ground But chamaya's

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Speaker 1: really hard to get. DOWN i don't want to be

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Speaker 1: stressing here as to How chamayav wins because he's you,

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Speaker 1: know it's plus three forty on a, submission but it's

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Speaker 1: plus one ten on the. KNOCKOUT i could see him

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Speaker 1: knock it, out BUT i can also see him try

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Speaker 1: to submit him just the way That chamaya. Fights okay

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Speaker 1: smash so we're talking about ground and, pound soften him,

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Speaker 1: up get the. Neck most likely he knocks him, out

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Speaker 1: but he also could go to the. Cards So i'd

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Speaker 1: rather not be sitting there sweating what may. HAPPEN i

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Speaker 1: just Want jamaia to win the. Fight three leg parlay

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Speaker 1: half a unit minus one fifty? Three why, sorry minus

268
00:12:57,080 --> 00:13:02,280
Speaker 1: one forty. Nine we're Going, Yon we're Going tamayev In.

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Speaker 1: Volganovsky three, Fights, Chalky, Chalky, chalky don't. Care just better, fighters,

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Speaker 1: okay just just better. Fighters mice one forty, Nine, Yahn

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Speaker 1: volganovsky And jamayev FOR ufc two seventy. Three, okay three

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Speaker 1: bets for us half. UNIT i don't blame you if

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Speaker 1: you fade. It i'm not gonna argue ice cold on

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Speaker 1: the week. LOOKING i, mean, look these are just weeks

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Speaker 1: that we. Have, Okay and for some of you who are,

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Speaker 1: new somebody actually said this to me, today, like if

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Speaker 1: you haven't gone through this, before this is part of the.

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Speaker 1: Process what IF i haven't gone through this. Before we've

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Speaker 1: been doing this podcast Since july, seventh twenty. Twenty we've

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Speaker 1: had much worse weeks than, This, okay JUST, Fyi we've

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Speaker 1: had much worse weeks than. This but this is a

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Speaker 1: bad week and hopefully we turn it. Around, Okay Red

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Speaker 1: sox over nine three Leg parley in THE Ufc Cam

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Speaker 1: smith Over Dustin, Johnson round three at The. Masters Mine's Matt.

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00:14:07,160 --> 00:14:09,200
Speaker 1: Parolt follow me On twitter at Sports Talk Matt. Oh

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Speaker 1: by the, way we are doing The discord chat, today

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Speaker 1: the other half of the. Unit we are doing that

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00:14:13,240 --> 00:14:16,720
Speaker 1: eight Am pacific, time eleven Am Eastern we are doing,

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00:14:16,760 --> 00:14:19,480
Speaker 1: that so you will get it on The Discord, channel

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00:14:19,480 --> 00:14:22,200
Speaker 1: bettingpros dot, com slash chat or the link it's underneath

291
00:14:22,240 --> 00:14:25,400
Speaker 1: me here on. YouTube eight am on The discord. Channel you,

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00:14:25,440 --> 00:14:27,960
Speaker 1: guys pick a. Play you've hit the last two, Hit

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Speaker 1: let's go for. Three make me some more money Because i'm.

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00:14:30,680 --> 00:14:33,120
Speaker 1: Ice you guys can win me some. Money let's hit

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Speaker 1: The discord bet coming up. Tomorrow got a whole baseball, SLATE, NHL,

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Speaker 1: nba got a lot of things to bet on eleven

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Speaker 1: Am eastern, time eight Am pacific. Time i'll talk to

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Speaker 1: you then for The Discord channel. Conversation i'm At. Parolz

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Speaker 1: follow me On twitter at Sports Talk. Matt each every

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00:14:48,440 --> 00:14:51,040
Speaker 1: morning It's Stale Juice. PODCAST i was being brought to

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Speaker 1: you by Betamgm dom