1 00:00:00,800 --> 00:00:03,720 Speaker 1: Good luck with the most beautiful game. Ju Us prout 2 00:00:04,360 --> 00:00:15,000 Speaker 1: red enough there for running a game so smoothe so sweet, splendid. 3 00:00:14,520 --> 00:00:17,400 Speaker 2: Sixteen just glorious extracution. 4 00:00:18,200 --> 00:00:21,120 Speaker 3: Guys, all I'm looking for is sixty percent effort four 5 00:00:21,239 --> 00:00:22,480 Speaker 3: thousand percent of the time. 6 00:00:23,079 --> 00:00:25,400 Speaker 2: How shot with that shot with mind? 7 00:00:25,440 --> 00:00:28,920 Speaker 3: Bog buddy, and that's why you see your beautiful tiers. 8 00:00:29,680 --> 00:00:30,680 Speaker 1: Look at his movements. 9 00:00:30,800 --> 00:00:31,560 Speaker 2: The most dangerous a. 10 00:00:31,520 --> 00:00:32,960 Speaker 1: Mount of the planet. Nobody kitchen, the. 11 00:00:35,600 --> 00:00:36,920 Speaker 3: Sh shut up. 12 00:00:37,800 --> 00:00:38,680 Speaker 2: I'm trying. 13 00:00:41,840 --> 00:00:45,080 Speaker 3: Be wove. It's left to one of the wide eyed, 14 00:00:45,640 --> 00:00:51,199 Speaker 3: drilled bibus How old Earth pick that happens? Hello, and 15 00:00:51,240 --> 00:00:54,400 Speaker 3: welcome to Wondergal, the soccer betting podcast from the Action Network, 16 00:00:54,440 --> 00:00:56,080 Speaker 3: presented by a Bet three sixty five. 17 00:00:56,120 --> 00:00:57,640 Speaker 1: I'm your host b J Cunningham, and. 18 00:00:57,720 --> 00:01:01,040 Speaker 3: This is your World Cup Group stage bet preview, Part two, 19 00:01:01,160 --> 00:01:03,680 Speaker 3: as we go through how to approach Groups E through 20 00:01:03,960 --> 00:01:04,600 Speaker 3: H from. 21 00:01:04,480 --> 00:01:05,520 Speaker 1: A betting perspective. 22 00:01:05,680 --> 00:01:09,039 Speaker 3: The group everybody's been waiting for Group E the United 23 00:01:09,040 --> 00:01:11,720 Speaker 3: States of America. You're two time defending World Cup champions. 24 00:01:12,160 --> 00:01:14,200 Speaker 3: They're only minus two seventy five to win this group 25 00:01:14,200 --> 00:01:16,640 Speaker 3: and they aren't a kind of difficult group. With the Dutch, 26 00:01:16,680 --> 00:01:18,399 Speaker 3: who are two to one to win this group, Portugal 27 00:01:18,400 --> 00:01:21,000 Speaker 3: sitting at fifty to one, and then Vietnam one of 28 00:01:21,040 --> 00:01:23,679 Speaker 3: the longest shots in the tournament at five hundred to one. 29 00:01:25,280 --> 00:01:28,160 Speaker 3: It's you know, we'll dive deeper into this when we 30 00:01:28,200 --> 00:01:32,600 Speaker 3: talk Team USA on our next show tomorrow, but you 31 00:01:32,760 --> 00:01:35,000 Speaker 3: kind of mentioned off the top, you know, in terms 32 00:01:35,000 --> 00:01:36,880 Speaker 3: of the women's game, the rest of the world is 33 00:01:36,920 --> 00:01:39,080 Speaker 3: catching up with the United States, and it's really reflected 34 00:01:39,080 --> 00:01:41,080 Speaker 3: here at the odds, and they are in a difficult 35 00:01:41,120 --> 00:01:43,600 Speaker 3: group with the Dutch, who they beat in the final 36 00:01:43,680 --> 00:01:48,000 Speaker 3: at the twenty nineteen World Cup. Question is, though, Anthony, 37 00:01:48,840 --> 00:01:51,200 Speaker 3: are you laying it at minus two seventy five with 38 00:01:51,240 --> 00:01:54,040 Speaker 3: the United States to win this group or is there 39 00:01:54,040 --> 00:01:57,720 Speaker 3: another angle potentially trying to fade the Dutch to knock 40 00:01:57,760 --> 00:01:58,480 Speaker 3: it out of this group. 41 00:01:59,600 --> 00:02:01,280 Speaker 2: I think we look at the outright prices. 42 00:02:01,400 --> 00:02:04,040 Speaker 4: I think the market is telling you not only that 43 00:02:04,040 --> 00:02:06,360 Speaker 4: the world is catching up to the United States, the 44 00:02:06,400 --> 00:02:08,519 Speaker 4: world is actually caught up to the United States. And 45 00:02:08,560 --> 00:02:10,160 Speaker 4: the market thinks so because if you look at it, yes, 46 00:02:10,160 --> 00:02:12,000 Speaker 4: the United States's favorite plus two fifty to win the 47 00:02:12,040 --> 00:02:15,240 Speaker 4: World Cup. Most shops that has come down a little bit, 48 00:02:15,240 --> 00:02:17,160 Speaker 4: but it's roughly in that spot for the last six 49 00:02:17,200 --> 00:02:20,959 Speaker 4: months since the bracket came out. Well, if you consider 50 00:02:21,560 --> 00:02:24,360 Speaker 4: that they got pretty much the most favorable draw you 51 00:02:24,360 --> 00:02:26,960 Speaker 4: could have possibly imagined, the fact that they are only 52 00:02:27,040 --> 00:02:28,560 Speaker 4: this small of a favorite over the rest of the 53 00:02:28,560 --> 00:02:32,000 Speaker 4: field is a sign that England, France, Germany, Spain have 54 00:02:32,120 --> 00:02:34,520 Speaker 4: caught up in terms of true talent, just like raw 55 00:02:34,919 --> 00:02:37,160 Speaker 4: talent on the field, and that you know, because those 56 00:02:37,200 --> 00:02:38,480 Speaker 4: teams are going to beat each other up to get 57 00:02:38,520 --> 00:02:40,600 Speaker 4: to play the United States. The United States is the 58 00:02:40,600 --> 00:02:44,320 Speaker 4: betting favorite. I have no interest in laying the minus 59 00:02:44,360 --> 00:02:46,080 Speaker 4: two seventy five, But I'm also not really a believer 60 00:02:46,160 --> 00:02:50,040 Speaker 4: in the Dutch relatively speaking. This Dutch team without viv 61 00:02:50,080 --> 00:02:52,640 Speaker 4: Medima is just not as imposing to me. Like they 62 00:02:52,680 --> 00:02:54,760 Speaker 4: played at the Olympics two years ago in summer of 63 00:02:54,760 --> 00:02:58,320 Speaker 4: twenty one, Mediuma scored twice kind of kept the Dutch 64 00:02:58,320 --> 00:02:58,679 Speaker 4: in the game. 65 00:02:58,720 --> 00:02:59,919 Speaker 2: It was a very even game. 66 00:03:00,960 --> 00:03:02,880 Speaker 4: But the Dutch have had a lot of performances where 67 00:03:02,880 --> 00:03:05,200 Speaker 4: they've gone up and kind of weight class and played 68 00:03:05,240 --> 00:03:08,360 Speaker 4: the big squads in the world and gotten a little 69 00:03:08,400 --> 00:03:10,239 Speaker 4: bit embarrassed. And it goes even back to the World 70 00:03:10,280 --> 00:03:12,359 Speaker 4: Cup in twenty nineteen I know that was a very 71 00:03:12,400 --> 00:03:15,720 Speaker 4: different women's national team in twenty nineteen, but that game 72 00:03:15,720 --> 00:03:18,040 Speaker 4: in that final was not competitive at all. XG was 73 00:03:18,600 --> 00:03:21,400 Speaker 4: three to point four in favor of the United States. 74 00:03:21,680 --> 00:03:25,680 Speaker 4: The Dutch have had some really questionable results in the interim. 75 00:03:26,400 --> 00:03:28,800 Speaker 4: You know, they lose to Germany at home, which isn't 76 00:03:28,880 --> 00:03:30,760 Speaker 4: terrible on paper, but it wasn't that competitive of a 77 00:03:30,760 --> 00:03:34,160 Speaker 4: match in terms of chances created. And then at the 78 00:03:34,200 --> 00:03:36,680 Speaker 4: Euros last summer, it was the. 79 00:03:37,040 --> 00:03:39,000 Speaker 2: Wipeout loss to France. 80 00:03:39,160 --> 00:03:42,120 Speaker 4: It was only one nil on the score line, but 81 00:03:42,200 --> 00:03:46,080 Speaker 4: actually four point seven or to one rather and then 82 00:03:46,200 --> 00:03:49,120 Speaker 4: even in their other matches, like they were fine, they 83 00:03:49,120 --> 00:03:53,800 Speaker 4: played Switzerland, even Portugal, they were slightly better. They played 84 00:03:53,840 --> 00:03:55,520 Speaker 4: to a draw with Sweden. Like this is a team 85 00:03:55,560 --> 00:03:58,520 Speaker 4: that I think is teetering on like tier one, tier 86 00:03:58,560 --> 00:04:01,800 Speaker 4: two of the competitors, and I think they are clearly 87 00:04:02,760 --> 00:04:06,480 Speaker 4: below the Frances of the world and closer to even 88 00:04:06,520 --> 00:04:08,360 Speaker 4: like a Portugal or Sweden. 89 00:04:08,480 --> 00:04:13,280 Speaker 2: So I think it's interesting. Portugal in this group is 90 00:04:13,440 --> 00:04:14,320 Speaker 2: eight to one. 91 00:04:14,400 --> 00:04:17,880 Speaker 4: To advance, and you're essentially betting them against the Dutch, 92 00:04:18,360 --> 00:04:21,000 Speaker 4: and I think at eight to one, I'm going to 93 00:04:21,040 --> 00:04:23,160 Speaker 4: be buying this Portuguese team. They don't have a ton 94 00:04:23,200 --> 00:04:25,640 Speaker 4: of pedigree in their history, but they play a very 95 00:04:25,680 --> 00:04:30,240 Speaker 4: expansive kind of like Blair based style. It's different from 96 00:04:30,320 --> 00:04:32,440 Speaker 4: how the Portugal men's team has played for the last 97 00:04:32,920 --> 00:04:35,120 Speaker 4: couple of cycles. But this is a team that has 98 00:04:35,160 --> 00:04:38,160 Speaker 4: been competitive. You know, they beat Norway in the in 99 00:04:38,200 --> 00:04:40,839 Speaker 4: the algarv Cup last year, then they lost to them 100 00:04:40,880 --> 00:04:44,640 Speaker 4: in the second match. They've had up and down results. 101 00:04:44,680 --> 00:04:47,440 Speaker 4: Like I said, they pushed the Netherlands. They have not 102 00:04:47,520 --> 00:04:49,320 Speaker 4: matched up well with the Swedes at all, but again 103 00:04:49,360 --> 00:04:51,280 Speaker 4: I think the Dutch are below the Swedes at this point. 104 00:04:51,600 --> 00:04:53,360 Speaker 4: So on an eight to one ticket, they're going to 105 00:04:53,400 --> 00:04:56,080 Speaker 4: probably my favorite long shot, maybe second favorite long shot. 106 00:04:56,240 --> 00:04:57,480 Speaker 2: I'm going to take them to advance. 107 00:04:57,480 --> 00:04:59,440 Speaker 4: I think the kind of the group of talent they 108 00:04:59,520 --> 00:05:02,880 Speaker 4: put together is good enough for me to believe. Given 109 00:05:03,279 --> 00:05:06,760 Speaker 4: the Dutch style and just how inconsistent they are defensively, 110 00:05:07,400 --> 00:05:09,719 Speaker 4: I think you could see them leak goals in this 111 00:05:09,760 --> 00:05:13,520 Speaker 4: tournament and get beat in that and I believe that's 112 00:05:13,520 --> 00:05:16,200 Speaker 4: their second match or that's their first match. So it's 113 00:05:16,200 --> 00:05:19,320 Speaker 4: going to be decided pretty quickly here, potentially for Portugal. 114 00:05:19,320 --> 00:05:22,960 Speaker 4: If Portugal can get an upset. They will be very 115 00:05:23,000 --> 00:05:24,960 Speaker 4: live to advance out of this group. And like I said, 116 00:05:25,000 --> 00:05:27,920 Speaker 4: eight to one to advance, I think the United States 117 00:05:28,440 --> 00:05:31,640 Speaker 4: gets the Dutch second as well, which could also factor 118 00:05:31,680 --> 00:05:35,479 Speaker 4: into kind of how this plays out, where you know, 119 00:05:35,520 --> 00:05:37,200 Speaker 4: the United States gets Portugal last. 120 00:05:37,680 --> 00:05:38,600 Speaker 2: If the United States has. 121 00:05:38,560 --> 00:05:41,840 Speaker 4: Already won the first two games, they could rotate, which 122 00:05:41,880 --> 00:05:44,520 Speaker 4: could give Portugal a chance to get a steal a point. 123 00:05:45,040 --> 00:05:48,000 Speaker 4: Also could keep the goal difference down, which could matter 124 00:05:48,279 --> 00:05:50,760 Speaker 4: if the Dutch and the Portuguese tie in their first match, 125 00:05:50,920 --> 00:05:53,400 Speaker 4: which is certainly in the cards. So I think Portugal 126 00:05:53,440 --> 00:05:55,479 Speaker 4: eight to one is my long shot here and I'm 127 00:05:55,480 --> 00:05:58,440 Speaker 4: buying into them. I don't really see Vietnam as much 128 00:05:58,440 --> 00:06:00,760 Speaker 4: of a threat. They're catching six and a half in 129 00:06:00,800 --> 00:06:04,000 Speaker 4: their first game against the United States, which is kind of, 130 00:06:04,040 --> 00:06:06,240 Speaker 4: you know, an indicator of where they are as a 131 00:06:06,279 --> 00:06:09,200 Speaker 4: footballing nation right now, and you know, qualifying for the 132 00:06:09,240 --> 00:06:10,760 Speaker 4: World Cup is a big achievement for them, but they 133 00:06:10,760 --> 00:06:12,840 Speaker 4: don't really have the talent to compete with these other 134 00:06:12,839 --> 00:06:14,320 Speaker 4: three teams. And like I said, I just don't think 135 00:06:14,320 --> 00:06:16,320 Speaker 4: the gap between Portugal and the Dutch is that big. 136 00:06:16,440 --> 00:06:19,760 Speaker 4: So eight to one Portugal to advance. 137 00:06:20,720 --> 00:06:23,200 Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm actually starting to believe that and agree with 138 00:06:23,279 --> 00:06:27,039 Speaker 3: you because you know you mentioned Portugal Netherlands were paired 139 00:06:27,040 --> 00:06:29,000 Speaker 3: in a group at the Euros. I mean Netherlands won 140 00:06:29,040 --> 00:06:31,440 Speaker 3: that match three to two, actually was just one point 141 00:06:31,440 --> 00:06:33,880 Speaker 3: eight to one point four, and even with the Dutch 142 00:06:33,880 --> 00:06:37,080 Speaker 3: holding sixty two percent possession, box centuries were about the same, 143 00:06:37,120 --> 00:06:39,359 Speaker 3: So getting a price at eight to one. The Netherlands 144 00:06:40,040 --> 00:06:42,839 Speaker 3: is minus two twenty five in their first match against Portugal, 145 00:06:42,880 --> 00:06:45,279 Speaker 3: Portugal's plus five fifty at bet three sixty five, so 146 00:06:45,320 --> 00:06:47,279 Speaker 3: getting him a price at eight to one, which you 147 00:06:47,320 --> 00:06:49,760 Speaker 3: mentioned gold differential. With a team like Vietnam in this 148 00:06:49,839 --> 00:06:52,159 Speaker 3: group where every team when they play them are going 149 00:06:52,200 --> 00:06:55,320 Speaker 3: to be a significantly high on the spread, that gold 150 00:06:55,320 --> 00:06:58,880 Speaker 3: differential could come into play. Even if you know Portugal 151 00:06:59,240 --> 00:07:01,599 Speaker 3: draws their first match with the Netherlands and the Netherlands 152 00:07:01,640 --> 00:07:03,080 Speaker 3: you mentioned Madema being out is. 153 00:07:03,160 --> 00:07:05,719 Speaker 1: Obviously massive for them. She's their best striker. 154 00:07:05,760 --> 00:07:11,800 Speaker 3: And the incredibly poor result against France is just incredibly concerning. 155 00:07:11,880 --> 00:07:15,800 Speaker 3: To get four point seven expected goals create on you 156 00:07:15,880 --> 00:07:19,040 Speaker 3: giving up thirty two shots for against one of the favorites. 157 00:07:19,120 --> 00:07:22,240 Speaker 3: It's it doesn't give you much encouragement for this Dutch 158 00:07:22,280 --> 00:07:25,200 Speaker 3: team and they were much better under Wigman. Now they're 159 00:07:25,240 --> 00:07:28,400 Speaker 3: under a different manager. The results haven't been there, and 160 00:07:28,440 --> 00:07:31,160 Speaker 3: they're still getting priced like they're one are the top 161 00:07:31,320 --> 00:07:34,040 Speaker 3: four or five teams in the world. Like it just 162 00:07:34,120 --> 00:07:36,320 Speaker 3: it doesn't make any sense to me. So I agree 163 00:07:36,320 --> 00:07:38,600 Speaker 3: with you that I do like Portugal get through this. 164 00:07:38,680 --> 00:07:41,920 Speaker 3: The one thing encourageing, encouraging about Portugal is a lot 165 00:07:41,920 --> 00:07:44,880 Speaker 3: of their players do play domestically in Portugal, but they 166 00:07:44,920 --> 00:07:47,680 Speaker 3: all play for essentially for Benefica or for Porto, so 167 00:07:47,800 --> 00:07:52,160 Speaker 3: like they're very cohesive type group that's played together a lot, 168 00:07:52,520 --> 00:07:54,880 Speaker 3: especially with their backline. I believe it is basically all 169 00:07:54,880 --> 00:07:59,760 Speaker 3: Benefica teammates. So very very encouraging stuff from Portugal. Who 170 00:08:00,040 --> 00:08:02,600 Speaker 3: you know, it hasn't been a you know, I believe 171 00:08:02,600 --> 00:08:05,400 Speaker 3: this is that their first or second World Cup, so 172 00:08:05,880 --> 00:08:07,600 Speaker 3: you know, they haven't been a powerful footballing nation in 173 00:08:07,720 --> 00:08:09,800 Speaker 3: terms of the women's game, but they are improving in 174 00:08:09,880 --> 00:08:12,400 Speaker 3: terms of their talents and they're getting better and this 175 00:08:12,560 --> 00:08:15,400 Speaker 3: is their finally their time to make a mark here 176 00:08:15,440 --> 00:08:17,640 Speaker 3: at the World Cup. So I agree with you Portugal 177 00:08:17,640 --> 00:08:19,680 Speaker 3: at eight to one, and then you know, Vietnam we 178 00:08:19,760 --> 00:08:20,400 Speaker 3: have to mention it. 179 00:08:20,440 --> 00:08:21,960 Speaker 1: I mean they they. 180 00:08:21,840 --> 00:08:27,400 Speaker 3: Got here because they made the quarterfinals of the of 181 00:08:27,480 --> 00:08:32,160 Speaker 3: the Asian Asian Cup, but they were not competitive whatsoever 182 00:08:32,520 --> 00:08:35,840 Speaker 3: in that. And it's very interesting, you know, how teams 183 00:08:35,880 --> 00:08:37,959 Speaker 3: are able to you know, qualify for this World Cup 184 00:08:37,960 --> 00:08:41,320 Speaker 3: because essentially Asia there is no World CIP qualification like 185 00:08:41,360 --> 00:08:46,760 Speaker 3: there is in Europe. Essentially, what happened is Vietnam they 186 00:08:46,800 --> 00:08:50,600 Speaker 3: finished third in their in their group, they tied with 187 00:08:50,679 --> 00:08:55,000 Speaker 3: Minamar to two, but they be on goal differential minus 188 00:08:55,000 --> 00:08:59,480 Speaker 3: six to minus seven. And then Iran was in a 189 00:08:59,520 --> 00:09:01,840 Speaker 3: group and made a mind as twelve goldferentials. So if 190 00:09:01,840 --> 00:09:05,320 Speaker 3: the third place teams getting ranked, Vietnam just barely squeaked 191 00:09:05,360 --> 00:09:08,720 Speaker 3: into the quarterfinals and then just got beat pretty badly. 192 00:09:08,840 --> 00:09:10,240 Speaker 1: So they didn't really do. 193 00:09:10,280 --> 00:09:12,480 Speaker 3: Much to actually get to this World Cup, like okay, 194 00:09:12,520 --> 00:09:14,960 Speaker 3: it's an accomplishment. They just had one draw and that 195 00:09:15,080 --> 00:09:18,760 Speaker 3: was basically it. They're gonna try to sit very you 196 00:09:18,800 --> 00:09:21,720 Speaker 3: know deep. They're a team where essentially all of their 197 00:09:21,760 --> 00:09:24,600 Speaker 3: players are playing domestically in Vietnam, so you can kind 198 00:09:24,600 --> 00:09:27,160 Speaker 3: of see why, you know, the United States is laying 199 00:09:27,280 --> 00:09:29,160 Speaker 3: six and a half goals, which if you look at 200 00:09:29,160 --> 00:09:30,680 Speaker 3: the last World Cup, I mean the United States had 201 00:09:30,720 --> 00:09:32,880 Speaker 3: Thailand in their group, but may beet them thirteen to nothing. 202 00:09:33,000 --> 00:09:37,400 Speaker 3: So we'll get to We talked about the team USA, 203 00:09:37,520 --> 00:09:41,040 Speaker 3: but from a betting perspective, you know, I think Vietnam 204 00:09:41,120 --> 00:09:44,240 Speaker 3: is close to unbtable at this point, given the fact 205 00:09:44,240 --> 00:09:46,520 Speaker 3: that we just they're just so bad and I don't 206 00:09:46,520 --> 00:09:48,920 Speaker 3: really want to lay. I don't really want to take them, 207 00:09:49,000 --> 00:09:51,040 Speaker 3: you know, seven goals essentially what it's going to end 208 00:09:51,120 --> 00:09:51,760 Speaker 3: up being on the spread. 209 00:09:51,840 --> 00:09:54,320 Speaker 1: Watch all the USA money comes in time we get 210 00:09:54,360 --> 00:09:54,920 Speaker 1: to that match. 211 00:09:55,000 --> 00:09:57,959 Speaker 3: So just wrapping things up here, Group E, I agree 212 00:09:57,960 --> 00:09:59,839 Speaker 3: with you Portugal at eight to one is too high 213 00:09:59,840 --> 00:10:02,520 Speaker 3: of a price given where they where they've improved as 214 00:10:02,520 --> 00:10:05,320 Speaker 3: a footballing nation, and given the problems and injuries with 215 00:10:05,360 --> 00:10:06,160 Speaker 3: the Netherlands. 216 00:10:06,480 --> 00:10:09,360 Speaker 4: Market has actually moved toward Vietnam a little bit on that. 217 00:10:09,400 --> 00:10:11,920 Speaker 4: Oh it was it was six and a half leaning 218 00:10:11,880 --> 00:10:13,959 Speaker 4: towards sixty seven five and it's close as six two 219 00:10:14,040 --> 00:10:17,839 Speaker 4: five now. So some money coming in on Vietnam in 220 00:10:17,880 --> 00:10:18,520 Speaker 4: the first match. 221 00:10:19,640 --> 00:10:20,040 Speaker 1: We'll see. 222 00:10:20,040 --> 00:10:22,600 Speaker 2: If I wish those games was best of luck, I 223 00:10:22,679 --> 00:10:23,080 Speaker 2: do too. 224 00:10:23,480 --> 00:10:25,199 Speaker 4: It feels like a USA picks their score kind of 225 00:10:25,240 --> 00:10:27,520 Speaker 4: game and look, I have my my you know, the 226 00:10:27,679 --> 00:10:29,520 Speaker 4: thoughts on in the US women's national team. We're going 227 00:10:29,559 --> 00:10:31,800 Speaker 4: to go more in depth with them, yeah, in that 228 00:10:31,840 --> 00:10:34,080 Speaker 4: episode and as we get into Best Bets tomorrow, because 229 00:10:34,080 --> 00:10:35,679 Speaker 4: obviously the United States is going to be deep into 230 00:10:35,679 --> 00:10:36,920 Speaker 4: this tournament and we're going to be having a lot 231 00:10:36,920 --> 00:10:40,600 Speaker 4: of discussions about them for the next month. But this 232 00:10:40,640 --> 00:10:44,400 Speaker 4: group is interesting, uh for sure, They're going to be 233 00:10:44,800 --> 00:10:47,439 Speaker 4: tested on in two of their three matches at least some. 234 00:10:48,640 --> 00:10:51,640 Speaker 1: Yep I agree. All right, let's move on to Group F. 235 00:10:52,320 --> 00:10:54,880 Speaker 3: France is your favorite in this group, sitting at minus 236 00:10:54,880 --> 00:10:58,880 Speaker 3: two hundred, Brazil sitting at plus one fifty, Jamaica is 237 00:10:58,960 --> 00:11:01,240 Speaker 3: sixty six to one to in this group, and Panama, 238 00:11:01,280 --> 00:11:03,680 Speaker 3: one of the longest shots since the entire tournament, is 239 00:11:03,920 --> 00:11:07,040 Speaker 3: two hundred and fifty to one. We are in agreement, 240 00:11:07,800 --> 00:11:09,800 Speaker 3: and we'll get to on our Best Bets show in 241 00:11:10,520 --> 00:11:15,319 Speaker 3: more depth. But we love this French team and they 242 00:11:15,320 --> 00:11:17,920 Speaker 3: have one of the best international managers in the entire 243 00:11:18,000 --> 00:11:20,959 Speaker 3: world now at the hell after a big scandal happened 244 00:11:21,240 --> 00:11:24,200 Speaker 3: with the previous managers, so hopefully things have been smoothed out. 245 00:11:24,280 --> 00:11:26,880 Speaker 3: But you know, they are, you know, sitting a little 246 00:11:26,960 --> 00:11:28,840 Speaker 3: you know, maybe it's a little too high but I 247 00:11:28,880 --> 00:11:31,400 Speaker 3: honestly think maybe it's a little bit too short for 248 00:11:31,480 --> 00:11:33,280 Speaker 3: France to win this group on a team that I 249 00:11:33,320 --> 00:11:35,560 Speaker 3: think is actually Talawi is one of the best teams 250 00:11:35,559 --> 00:11:35,880 Speaker 3: in the world. 251 00:11:35,920 --> 00:11:36,720 Speaker 1: What do you think, Anthony. 252 00:11:37,760 --> 00:11:40,760 Speaker 4: Look, we talked about Spain and kind of the mutiny 253 00:11:40,760 --> 00:11:41,760 Speaker 4: that happened within their team. 254 00:11:41,960 --> 00:11:43,480 Speaker 2: France had a similar situation. 255 00:11:43,920 --> 00:11:47,760 Speaker 4: Corindiac was a manager for France and she had kind 256 00:11:47,760 --> 00:11:49,480 Speaker 4: of fallen out of favor with a lot of the players, 257 00:11:49,480 --> 00:11:51,199 Speaker 4: and they kind of went to the federation and kind 258 00:11:51,200 --> 00:11:55,520 Speaker 4: of demanded that she be fired, and the French federation 259 00:11:55,600 --> 00:11:59,439 Speaker 4: listened and they fired her and they brought in Ervea Ronard, 260 00:12:00,120 --> 00:12:04,120 Speaker 4: who we talked about at length last year in our 261 00:12:04,240 --> 00:12:06,600 Speaker 4: World Cup Men's preview pod because he was the manager 262 00:12:06,600 --> 00:12:09,160 Speaker 4: of Saudi Arabia. Prior to that, he was the manager 263 00:12:09,200 --> 00:12:12,439 Speaker 4: of the Moroccan national team and really kind of oversaw 264 00:12:12,480 --> 00:12:16,000 Speaker 4: the development that ultimately led to the cycle that they 265 00:12:16,120 --> 00:12:18,800 Speaker 4: just had. And so Renard has had a lot of 266 00:12:18,840 --> 00:12:21,679 Speaker 4: success and what I like about him is that the 267 00:12:21,679 --> 00:12:25,960 Speaker 4: tactical flexibility that he showed that in that tournament last year, 268 00:12:26,040 --> 00:12:29,480 Speaker 4: Like that team on paper was not very good, they 269 00:12:29,520 --> 00:12:33,000 Speaker 4: were thoroughly outplayed by the Argentinians, who ended up going 270 00:12:33,040 --> 00:12:35,160 Speaker 4: to win the World Cup by the way, but in 271 00:12:35,200 --> 00:12:38,600 Speaker 4: the first forty five minutes they drew ten off sides 272 00:12:39,320 --> 00:12:43,480 Speaker 4: against the Argentinians. They went with a seemingly suicidal high line, 273 00:12:43,480 --> 00:12:46,880 Speaker 4: but it paid off and they held Argentina under two 274 00:12:46,960 --> 00:12:51,920 Speaker 4: expected goals and including a penalty, they created just enough 275 00:12:51,920 --> 00:12:54,040 Speaker 4: to win the match, and they pulled off one of 276 00:12:54,040 --> 00:12:58,120 Speaker 4: the biggest upsets in the history of soccer, with Argentina 277 00:12:58,200 --> 00:13:01,439 Speaker 4: losing his twenty maybe winning as a twenty to one hunderdog. 278 00:13:02,240 --> 00:13:04,360 Speaker 4: And then they you know, they lost to Poland, but 279 00:13:04,520 --> 00:13:06,560 Speaker 4: that match they were the better side for large stretches 280 00:13:06,600 --> 00:13:09,880 Speaker 4: of it, playing an entirely different style in that match 281 00:13:09,880 --> 00:13:12,480 Speaker 4: than they did in the first one. So Renard comes 282 00:13:12,480 --> 00:13:16,319 Speaker 4: in and based on the results in their in their 283 00:13:16,400 --> 00:13:19,000 Speaker 4: lead up here, I think it's clear that he's already 284 00:13:19,000 --> 00:13:22,440 Speaker 4: gotten some buy in and he's brought in some key 285 00:13:22,480 --> 00:13:25,640 Speaker 4: talented players that DIAC had frozen out, so you know, 286 00:13:25,679 --> 00:13:29,480 Speaker 4: the biggest one being Eugenie les Samier, who at the 287 00:13:29,559 --> 00:13:31,360 Speaker 4: last two World Cups came in as one of the 288 00:13:31,360 --> 00:13:33,360 Speaker 4: best players in the world. She is now post peak 289 00:13:33,640 --> 00:13:36,880 Speaker 4: at thirty four, but still her off ball movement, her 290 00:13:37,800 --> 00:13:40,680 Speaker 4: ability to link to play. She's as good as anybody 291 00:13:40,760 --> 00:13:43,760 Speaker 4: in this tournament as a central forward, even if she's 292 00:13:43,760 --> 00:13:45,760 Speaker 4: not quite as explosive. And then you look at like 293 00:13:45,800 --> 00:13:47,800 Speaker 4: the results, like a five to two win against Columbia. 294 00:13:47,800 --> 00:13:52,240 Speaker 4: They handled Canada and they handled Ireland. They did have 295 00:13:52,320 --> 00:13:55,480 Speaker 4: a setback in Australia, a one to zero loss in 296 00:13:55,559 --> 00:13:57,920 Speaker 4: their last match, but they come into this into this 297 00:13:58,640 --> 00:14:00,960 Speaker 4: tournament now with the chain to kind of play their 298 00:14:01,000 --> 00:14:04,760 Speaker 4: way into form. And we talked about the section of 299 00:14:04,840 --> 00:14:08,360 Speaker 4: death that is forming here. If England and Germany both 300 00:14:08,400 --> 00:14:13,000 Speaker 4: win their group, there's a potential for an England, Canada, 301 00:14:13,080 --> 00:14:16,120 Speaker 4: Germany Brazil section of the draw where four of the 302 00:14:16,160 --> 00:14:18,800 Speaker 4: best ten teams will be in the same quadrant in 303 00:14:18,840 --> 00:14:22,040 Speaker 4: the knockout stage. France would actually be the benefactor of that. 304 00:14:22,080 --> 00:14:23,800 Speaker 4: They would be on the top half of that section 305 00:14:24,200 --> 00:14:27,720 Speaker 4: where they would potentially play Columbia slash South Korea and 306 00:14:27,760 --> 00:14:29,880 Speaker 4: then either Australia, Canada or Denmark. 307 00:14:29,960 --> 00:14:32,520 Speaker 2: So their path to the semifinal is very friendly. 308 00:14:33,160 --> 00:14:34,840 Speaker 4: I'm not going to lay the minus two hundred here, 309 00:14:34,840 --> 00:14:37,120 Speaker 4: I'm instead going to play them make the semifinal price. 310 00:14:37,760 --> 00:14:40,560 Speaker 4: You can find a plus one forty out there on 311 00:14:40,600 --> 00:14:44,320 Speaker 4: them to make the semifinals. That is my favorite bed here. 312 00:14:44,640 --> 00:14:47,840 Speaker 4: I'm also betting them at plus one seventy to make 313 00:14:47,880 --> 00:14:50,640 Speaker 4: the semifinals, and then there is a thirteen to one 314 00:14:50,680 --> 00:14:55,880 Speaker 4: to win the World Cup. This French team was unfortunate 315 00:14:55,920 --> 00:14:56,440 Speaker 4: to go out in the. 316 00:14:56,480 --> 00:14:57,200 Speaker 2: Last World Cup. 317 00:14:57,680 --> 00:15:02,240 Speaker 4: They played relatively even at the Euros last summer with 318 00:15:02,280 --> 00:15:06,960 Speaker 4: the top teams. I mentioned their complete domination of the Dutch. 319 00:15:07,000 --> 00:15:10,680 Speaker 4: We just talked about that, like, there have been a 320 00:15:10,720 --> 00:15:13,840 Speaker 4: lot of competitive matches and this was prior to Renard 321 00:15:13,920 --> 00:15:16,040 Speaker 4: even coming in that they went toe to toe with Germany, 322 00:15:16,360 --> 00:15:18,240 Speaker 4: who I think might be the best team in the 323 00:15:18,240 --> 00:15:21,920 Speaker 4: world right now on paper. So I'm in on this 324 00:15:22,000 --> 00:15:25,720 Speaker 4: French team now. They seem to be worked together more cohesive. 325 00:15:25,840 --> 00:15:29,480 Speaker 4: I love the manager's tactical flexibility, is his credibility, and 326 00:15:29,520 --> 00:15:30,000 Speaker 4: I love the. 327 00:15:29,960 --> 00:15:32,280 Speaker 2: Talent across the board. It's as good as any team 328 00:15:32,280 --> 00:15:37,280 Speaker 2: in this in this tournament. So vive la France ramenell la. 329 00:15:37,800 --> 00:15:39,320 Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree with you. I mean, we love herve 330 00:15:39,440 --> 00:15:40,320 Speaker 1: Bernard on this show. 331 00:15:40,440 --> 00:15:43,000 Speaker 3: I mean we've there's a famous saying Anthony because he's 332 00:15:43,000 --> 00:15:45,200 Speaker 3: won the Africa Cup of Nations twice once with Zambian 333 00:15:45,240 --> 00:15:47,440 Speaker 3: one with the Ivory coast that the people of Africa say, 334 00:15:47,880 --> 00:15:50,240 Speaker 3: do not doubt the power of the white collared shirt, 335 00:15:50,280 --> 00:15:51,520 Speaker 3: his lucky white collared shirt. 336 00:15:52,400 --> 00:15:54,840 Speaker 2: He's he may only own one of the shirt. It 337 00:15:54,920 --> 00:15:55,920 Speaker 2: might just be the same shirt. 338 00:15:57,160 --> 00:15:59,160 Speaker 3: I think he said that at the at the World Cup. 339 00:15:59,360 --> 00:16:00,960 Speaker 3: Somebody asked if he was going to change his shirt 340 00:16:01,000 --> 00:16:02,200 Speaker 3: and he was just like, no, why would I do that. 341 00:16:02,240 --> 00:16:03,160 Speaker 1: It's incredibly lucky. 342 00:16:04,000 --> 00:16:06,600 Speaker 3: So uh but yeah, no, he is like you mentioned 343 00:16:06,640 --> 00:16:09,720 Speaker 3: his tackle flexibility and you know, with the French women's 344 00:16:09,800 --> 00:16:12,600 Speaker 3: national team, like he has so much talent to be 345 00:16:12,680 --> 00:16:16,360 Speaker 3: able to utilize that tackle flexibility. I mean if they 346 00:16:16,400 --> 00:16:18,960 Speaker 3: want to play which they have shown in the past 347 00:16:19,000 --> 00:16:22,600 Speaker 3: of this high pressing, high intensity, you know, high line. Well, 348 00:16:22,600 --> 00:16:24,240 Speaker 3: they have one of the best center backs in the 349 00:16:24,280 --> 00:16:26,520 Speaker 3: world and Wendy Renard who is not related to. 350 00:16:26,480 --> 00:16:28,280 Speaker 1: Herbe Renard by the way. I had to look that up, 351 00:16:28,920 --> 00:16:30,200 Speaker 1: but she is not you know. 352 00:16:30,480 --> 00:16:32,520 Speaker 3: Uh, she's in the center back partnership with Dale Meta, 353 00:16:32,520 --> 00:16:34,800 Speaker 3: who those are two of the best center backs in 354 00:16:34,840 --> 00:16:37,840 Speaker 3: the French league and the world. Essentially, they have three 355 00:16:37,880 --> 00:16:39,800 Speaker 3: ball progression machines in the middle of the pitch and 356 00:16:39,800 --> 00:16:41,640 Speaker 3: you mentioned Las Mahere. I mean she was a one 357 00:16:41,680 --> 00:16:44,000 Speaker 3: point one to nine x G plus expected sis per 358 00:16:44,040 --> 00:16:46,840 Speaker 3: ninety minute striker this season. And then she has a 359 00:16:46,840 --> 00:16:49,120 Speaker 3: partnership with Deanna who plays for PSG, who won the 360 00:16:49,120 --> 00:16:51,520 Speaker 3: Golden Boot in France at a one point zero one 361 00:16:51,560 --> 00:16:55,360 Speaker 3: EXTU permanent scoring rate, So there is plenty of depth 362 00:16:55,480 --> 00:16:59,240 Speaker 3: to this attack and France, you know, whatever Renard decides 363 00:16:59,280 --> 00:17:02,400 Speaker 3: to do. They have shown previously that they are a 364 00:17:02,440 --> 00:17:05,000 Speaker 3: slow progression, build up style team, but they're very very 365 00:17:05,080 --> 00:17:08,760 Speaker 3: effective at breaking down low blocks. They're not essentially, you know, 366 00:17:08,800 --> 00:17:12,600 Speaker 3: a team like you know, maybe a Netherlands or a 367 00:17:12,600 --> 00:17:15,239 Speaker 3: Switzerland who want to build up very slowly but then 368 00:17:15,320 --> 00:17:17,040 Speaker 3: kind of struggle when they get into the final third. 369 00:17:17,440 --> 00:17:19,240 Speaker 3: They've been very very good at whether they want to 370 00:17:19,359 --> 00:17:20,639 Speaker 3: tack the middle of the pitch, ifether they want to 371 00:17:20,760 --> 00:17:21,359 Speaker 3: tack out wide. 372 00:17:21,400 --> 00:17:23,760 Speaker 1: The across is they're so so good. I mean they 373 00:17:23,760 --> 00:17:25,200 Speaker 1: were outside. 374 00:17:24,800 --> 00:17:27,000 Speaker 3: Of England, they were the best offensive team at the Euros. 375 00:17:27,000 --> 00:17:29,320 Speaker 3: I mean they created seventeen point four expected goals in 376 00:17:29,359 --> 00:17:33,480 Speaker 3: total in their five matches. So you know, you look 377 00:17:33,480 --> 00:17:36,159 Speaker 3: at the other teams in this group, Brazil, who is 378 00:17:36,160 --> 00:17:39,520 Speaker 3: a team with a really high floor, like they have talent, 379 00:17:39,600 --> 00:17:41,679 Speaker 3: you know team you know women who are playing, you know, 380 00:17:41,680 --> 00:17:45,919 Speaker 3: whether it be over in the NWSL or in Spain. 381 00:17:46,200 --> 00:17:48,320 Speaker 3: And they've had some decent results coming in. You know, 382 00:17:48,320 --> 00:17:49,880 Speaker 3: they went to the Sheeper Leafs Cup, they got beat 383 00:17:49,880 --> 00:17:51,960 Speaker 3: by the United States in Canada, did get a one 384 00:17:52,000 --> 00:17:54,119 Speaker 3: zero win over Japan, and then the leader for this 385 00:17:54,160 --> 00:17:56,120 Speaker 3: World Cup, they did have an impressive two to one 386 00:17:56,160 --> 00:17:59,359 Speaker 3: win over Germany and then beat Chile for nothing. And 387 00:17:59,400 --> 00:18:01,280 Speaker 3: they're a team that I can also play a couple 388 00:18:01,320 --> 00:18:02,720 Speaker 3: of different styles. They like to play at four to 389 00:18:02,760 --> 00:18:04,760 Speaker 3: four two and they like to utilize their pace, and 390 00:18:04,760 --> 00:18:07,600 Speaker 3: they like to play very vertical transitional style, which could 391 00:18:07,680 --> 00:18:12,160 Speaker 3: be okay against against France. But given the talent disparity 392 00:18:12,160 --> 00:18:14,040 Speaker 3: between these two teams, a team that Brazil with a 393 00:18:14,080 --> 00:18:18,760 Speaker 3: high floor low ceiling, I'm not so sure that, you know, 394 00:18:19,119 --> 00:18:21,560 Speaker 3: especially when they face teams that are are good build 395 00:18:21,600 --> 00:18:21,960 Speaker 3: up teams. 396 00:18:22,000 --> 00:18:23,600 Speaker 1: You know, Brazil does like to come out and press. 397 00:18:24,240 --> 00:18:26,240 Speaker 3: You know, it's very evident when they played you know, 398 00:18:26,280 --> 00:18:28,439 Speaker 3: the United States and Canada and even Germany. I mean 399 00:18:28,480 --> 00:18:31,600 Speaker 3: Germany completed over thirty passes in the final third against 400 00:18:31,640 --> 00:18:34,000 Speaker 3: Brazil in that match, even though Brazil won it, so 401 00:18:35,280 --> 00:18:37,800 Speaker 3: it's kind of difficult for me to get behind Brazil, 402 00:18:37,840 --> 00:18:39,240 Speaker 3: and I'm just in love with this French team, so 403 00:18:39,280 --> 00:18:41,040 Speaker 3: I am laying them at minus two hundred to win 404 00:18:41,080 --> 00:18:42,840 Speaker 3: this group. You know, if you look at the other teams, 405 00:18:42,880 --> 00:18:45,720 Speaker 3: you know, Jamaica has one of one of the best 406 00:18:45,720 --> 00:18:49,240 Speaker 3: strikers in the Women's Super League, Kaija Shaw, who scored 407 00:18:49,240 --> 00:18:51,240 Speaker 3: twenty goals for Manchester City this season. 408 00:18:51,480 --> 00:18:53,760 Speaker 1: It's kind of her or nothing like Jamaica. 409 00:18:53,480 --> 00:18:56,280 Speaker 3: Is going to play you know, very direct, very you know, 410 00:18:56,400 --> 00:18:58,880 Speaker 3: counter attacking that they're not very good, you know, sitting 411 00:18:58,880 --> 00:18:59,960 Speaker 3: on a little block. You know, if you look at 412 00:19:00,000 --> 00:19:02,520 Speaker 3: their results coming into this World Cup, I mean they've 413 00:19:02,520 --> 00:19:05,720 Speaker 3: gotten beaten five nothing by Italy, four to one by Australia, 414 00:19:05,720 --> 00:19:09,639 Speaker 3: and four nothing by the United States, and you know 415 00:19:09,680 --> 00:19:11,840 Speaker 3: they split a couple of matches with South Korea and Paraguay, 416 00:19:11,960 --> 00:19:15,240 Speaker 3: so not really encouraging for Jamaica to potentially getut of this. 417 00:19:15,240 --> 00:19:16,720 Speaker 1: You know, Shaws one hundred and fifty to one to 418 00:19:16,720 --> 00:19:17,480 Speaker 1: win the Golden Boots. 419 00:19:17,520 --> 00:19:20,640 Speaker 3: So I might have to throw you know, a tenth 420 00:19:20,680 --> 00:19:22,800 Speaker 3: of unit on that just because of how good she is. 421 00:19:23,080 --> 00:19:25,480 Speaker 1: I mean for Jamaica, I mean, I get it. 422 00:19:25,480 --> 00:19:27,480 Speaker 3: They've played a lot of you know, island nations, you 423 00:19:27,520 --> 00:19:30,119 Speaker 3: know in Conca, CAF and everything. But she's scored fifty 424 00:19:30,160 --> 00:19:33,399 Speaker 3: six goals in thirty eight appearances, like she's incredible. And 425 00:19:33,400 --> 00:19:36,680 Speaker 3: then Panama is the longest shot in this entire World Cup. 426 00:19:36,720 --> 00:19:41,040 Speaker 3: They have very little talent to speak of, and I 427 00:19:41,080 --> 00:19:43,520 Speaker 3: don't see a scenario where they're even going to challenge 428 00:19:44,200 --> 00:19:45,280 Speaker 3: any of these threams. 429 00:19:44,960 --> 00:19:47,240 Speaker 1: And even three teams and even Jamaica to get out 430 00:19:47,280 --> 00:19:47,640 Speaker 1: of this group. 431 00:19:47,680 --> 00:19:49,520 Speaker 3: But yes, I'm in love with France, you know, I've 432 00:19:49,520 --> 00:19:51,040 Speaker 3: already met them at thirteen to one to win the 433 00:19:51,080 --> 00:19:53,359 Speaker 3: World Cup and with you as well at plus one 434 00:19:53,440 --> 00:19:57,240 Speaker 3: seventy two make the semifinals because their path to the 435 00:19:57,240 --> 00:20:01,680 Speaker 3: semifinals is actually halfway decent. You know, if they if 436 00:20:01,680 --> 00:20:03,359 Speaker 3: they win this group, they're going to get the runner 437 00:20:03,440 --> 00:20:05,280 Speaker 3: up in Group EH, which we'll get to is probably 438 00:20:05,280 --> 00:20:07,800 Speaker 3: the weakest in terms of a second place team coming 439 00:20:07,840 --> 00:20:10,320 Speaker 3: out of any of these groups, and then they will 440 00:20:10,359 --> 00:20:13,639 Speaker 3: get the winner of Group B, which will be Australia 441 00:20:14,000 --> 00:20:15,480 Speaker 3: or Canada, and the runners up to Group D, which 442 00:20:15,480 --> 00:20:18,679 Speaker 3: would be Denmark, which you know, Canada and Australia talent wise, 443 00:20:18,800 --> 00:20:21,600 Speaker 3: you know, I'd leave her maybe even like a little 444 00:20:21,640 --> 00:20:24,160 Speaker 3: notch below France, and France will be favored in that one, 445 00:20:24,200 --> 00:20:25,480 Speaker 3: so it'll be a good opportunity if. 446 00:20:25,359 --> 00:20:28,040 Speaker 1: You want to hedge. So I'm with you. 447 00:20:28,080 --> 00:20:29,720 Speaker 3: I love this French team. They're one of my favorite 448 00:20:29,760 --> 00:20:31,919 Speaker 3: picks too to win the World Cup. I'm laying them 449 00:20:31,960 --> 00:20:33,399 Speaker 3: a minus two hundred to win this group because I 450 00:20:33,440 --> 00:20:37,320 Speaker 3: think their talent level is vastly superior to that of Brazil, 451 00:20:37,680 --> 00:20:40,000 Speaker 3: who is a good pressing team. But when they face 452 00:20:40,000 --> 00:20:42,080 Speaker 3: good build up teams, like like a team like France, 453 00:20:43,000 --> 00:20:44,480 Speaker 3: they really tend to struggle and leave a lot of 454 00:20:44,480 --> 00:20:47,280 Speaker 3: space in behind. So I trust her very Ernard is 455 00:20:47,280 --> 00:20:49,080 Speaker 3: one of the best international managers on the men's or 456 00:20:49,119 --> 00:20:51,919 Speaker 3: women's side in the history of the last you know, 457 00:20:51,960 --> 00:20:55,240 Speaker 3: ten ten years or so, with his pedigree throughout Africa. 458 00:20:55,359 --> 00:20:58,040 Speaker 1: So France to win this group of minus two hundred 459 00:20:58,119 --> 00:20:58,880 Speaker 1: is my favorite bet. 460 00:20:59,560 --> 00:21:00,959 Speaker 2: Yeah, I think think you know, we have to talk 461 00:21:01,000 --> 00:21:01,440 Speaker 2: about Marta. 462 00:21:01,520 --> 00:21:04,000 Speaker 4: We have to just mention her seven years old, the 463 00:21:04,000 --> 00:21:09,359 Speaker 4: most decorated women's international soccer player ever still going to 464 00:21:09,400 --> 00:21:11,480 Speaker 4: be playing for Brazil here. She's kind of the end 465 00:21:11,520 --> 00:21:13,600 Speaker 4: of the last generation and they have kind of pushed 466 00:21:14,040 --> 00:21:16,840 Speaker 4: some of the older last gens out and they're trying 467 00:21:16,840 --> 00:21:19,119 Speaker 4: to usher in this new generation. Brazil is kind of 468 00:21:19,119 --> 00:21:20,720 Speaker 4: caught between, though, and I think that kind of limits 469 00:21:20,760 --> 00:21:24,720 Speaker 4: their ceiling. Marcha may not start. She will probably, I 470 00:21:24,760 --> 00:21:26,520 Speaker 4: mean she will play, but how much will she plays 471 00:21:26,520 --> 00:21:30,800 Speaker 4: a question. I think Jamaica going to be uber uber 472 00:21:30,840 --> 00:21:33,360 Speaker 4: defensive and just kind of hope shaw Magic's goal or two. 473 00:21:33,960 --> 00:21:36,919 Speaker 2: I could pull an upset, but I really don't see it. 474 00:21:36,920 --> 00:21:38,960 Speaker 4: And the problem with Brazil in terms of like upside 475 00:21:39,040 --> 00:21:40,920 Speaker 4: is that that second place team is just going to 476 00:21:40,960 --> 00:21:43,879 Speaker 4: get Germany in the round of sixteen. If they win that, 477 00:21:43,920 --> 00:21:45,600 Speaker 4: they're gonna get England in the quarter. So it's just 478 00:21:45,600 --> 00:21:48,439 Speaker 4: like really feasible to go on a run like that. 479 00:21:48,600 --> 00:21:50,720 Speaker 4: So the path is not friendly for the Brazilians or 480 00:21:50,720 --> 00:21:53,000 Speaker 4: whoever comes in second. Hopefully it doesn't end up being 481 00:21:53,000 --> 00:21:56,480 Speaker 4: France or we're both screwed. So yeah, yeah, moving on. 482 00:21:56,480 --> 00:22:00,520 Speaker 3: Though, yep, all right, let's move on to Group G. 483 00:22:01,800 --> 00:22:05,120 Speaker 3: Sweden is your favorites in this group, sitting at minus 484 00:22:05,160 --> 00:22:09,040 Speaker 3: six hundred. Italy is plus five fifty to win this group. Argentina, 485 00:22:09,480 --> 00:22:11,320 Speaker 3: sitting at sixteen to one in South Africa is the 486 00:22:11,359 --> 00:22:14,959 Speaker 3: longest shot at sixty six to one. This group seems 487 00:22:14,960 --> 00:22:18,600 Speaker 3: pretty straightforward to me. I believe you know, Sweden is 488 00:22:18,840 --> 00:22:20,600 Speaker 3: you know, they're ranked third in the Fever rankings. They're 489 00:22:20,600 --> 00:22:22,840 Speaker 3: an incredibly talented squad that I know we both love 490 00:22:22,880 --> 00:22:24,560 Speaker 3: to make a deep run in this entire tournament. 491 00:22:25,800 --> 00:22:28,040 Speaker 1: The you know, Italy is also. 492 00:22:27,920 --> 00:22:29,840 Speaker 3: A very interesting team, but their results have been a 493 00:22:29,880 --> 00:22:32,240 Speaker 3: little bit questionable in terms of the Euros and leading 494 00:22:32,320 --> 00:22:34,080 Speaker 3: up to this World Cup. But I don't believe Argentina 495 00:22:34,119 --> 00:22:35,879 Speaker 3: has the talent to really challenge them. So it seems 496 00:22:35,920 --> 00:22:39,399 Speaker 3: pretty straightforward. It's going to be Sweden and Italy getting 497 00:22:39,400 --> 00:22:43,960 Speaker 3: out of this group. But Sweden Anthony is a very 498 00:22:44,040 --> 00:22:46,560 Speaker 3: very interesting team, like I already mentioned, to make a 499 00:22:46,560 --> 00:22:47,640 Speaker 3: deep run in this tournament. 500 00:22:48,520 --> 00:22:49,080 Speaker 2: Yeah, free day. 501 00:22:49,240 --> 00:22:52,960 Speaker 4: Rolfo is one of the more exciting kind of forward 502 00:22:53,000 --> 00:22:55,040 Speaker 4: wingy players in this entire field. 503 00:22:55,560 --> 00:22:58,600 Speaker 2: She's going to be a major player for them. 504 00:22:58,680 --> 00:23:02,120 Speaker 4: She was excellent because you know, they had really struggled 505 00:23:02,119 --> 00:23:04,639 Speaker 4: at the Euros last year and they had really not 506 00:23:05,119 --> 00:23:06,760 Speaker 4: played up to their standards. I mean, when you think 507 00:23:06,800 --> 00:23:09,240 Speaker 4: of Sweden, you can remember, if you know, if you're 508 00:23:09,280 --> 00:23:11,440 Speaker 4: a fan of soccer, who's only women's soccer. Who's only 509 00:23:11,440 --> 00:23:14,440 Speaker 4: really watched US women's national team. You know Sweden because 510 00:23:14,440 --> 00:23:16,800 Speaker 4: they always play the United States and they generally play 511 00:23:16,840 --> 00:23:19,359 Speaker 4: them tough, and they beat them at the Olympics a 512 00:23:19,359 --> 00:23:21,159 Speaker 4: couple of years ago. But this has been kind of 513 00:23:21,160 --> 00:23:23,560 Speaker 4: a weird period for the Swedes where they have been 514 00:23:23,600 --> 00:23:27,800 Speaker 4: down and Rolfo is kind of the player that needs 515 00:23:27,800 --> 00:23:30,840 Speaker 4: to step up for them as as their wide creator 516 00:23:31,400 --> 00:23:33,840 Speaker 4: and she plays for Barcelona. She's been excellent for them 517 00:23:33,880 --> 00:23:37,960 Speaker 4: and dominated as Barcelona has completely dominated Europe in the 518 00:23:37,960 --> 00:23:41,159 Speaker 4: women's field, and her ability to get forward as a 519 00:23:41,200 --> 00:23:43,760 Speaker 4: major key. But they have defensive holes here, so I 520 00:23:43,800 --> 00:23:46,919 Speaker 4: think that there are vulnerabilities for Sweden, but the problem 521 00:23:46,960 --> 00:23:49,120 Speaker 4: is like who's going to expose them? And I don't 522 00:23:49,119 --> 00:23:51,000 Speaker 4: think that they got a very tough group. I would 523 00:23:51,000 --> 00:23:54,280 Speaker 4: have looked to potentially play against Sweden in a different 524 00:23:54,280 --> 00:23:56,720 Speaker 4: group here, but this, for me, like A, is clearly 525 00:23:56,760 --> 00:23:59,040 Speaker 4: the weakest just because Norway, I think is below Sweden. 526 00:23:59,040 --> 00:24:01,040 Speaker 4: I think Norway, like the other teams in their group, 527 00:24:01,320 --> 00:24:03,600 Speaker 4: are a little weaker, but this is clearly the second 528 00:24:03,640 --> 00:24:05,240 Speaker 4: weakest group. When you look at it like A and 529 00:24:05,320 --> 00:24:09,160 Speaker 4: G immediately jump off the page. There's no dynamite second 530 00:24:09,240 --> 00:24:13,159 Speaker 4: team and even the third and fourth are pretty weak. Argentina, 531 00:24:13,760 --> 00:24:15,320 Speaker 4: they just don't have the same pedigree on the women's 532 00:24:15,359 --> 00:24:17,400 Speaker 4: side they do on the men's don't have that same 533 00:24:17,720 --> 00:24:22,440 Speaker 4: high end talent. Brazil has completely dominated Commable for pretty 534 00:24:22,480 --> 00:24:27,119 Speaker 4: much the entire existence of the confederation. So the depth 535 00:24:27,160 --> 00:24:29,040 Speaker 4: and that Argentina team is not all that exciting and 536 00:24:29,119 --> 00:24:32,480 Speaker 4: Italy like similar in that way, and that they just 537 00:24:32,480 --> 00:24:34,399 Speaker 4: don't have the same pedigree and their results of the 538 00:24:34,400 --> 00:24:36,880 Speaker 4: Euros weren't very impressive. So when you look at Sweden, 539 00:24:37,200 --> 00:24:39,840 Speaker 4: it really comes down to can they. 540 00:24:39,760 --> 00:24:44,200 Speaker 2: Defend enough because their draw is looking tricky. 541 00:24:43,880 --> 00:24:46,160 Speaker 4: But not impossible in the sense that their most likely 542 00:24:46,200 --> 00:24:49,120 Speaker 4: second opponent could be the Dutch, although I think Portugal 543 00:24:49,200 --> 00:24:51,120 Speaker 4: is going to have a potential something to say about that, 544 00:24:51,600 --> 00:24:55,960 Speaker 4: and then a potential Spain, Japan, Switzerland around of quarter finals, 545 00:24:56,119 --> 00:24:57,719 Speaker 4: So I am going to take some Sweden to make 546 00:24:57,760 --> 00:24:59,320 Speaker 4: the semis. But I filled out my bracket I had 547 00:24:59,320 --> 00:25:02,720 Speaker 4: Sweden there in that semi final against the United States again, 548 00:25:03,600 --> 00:25:08,080 Speaker 4: but I do think that the the Swedes got a 549 00:25:08,200 --> 00:25:11,280 Speaker 4: very favorable draw from the from the bracket gods, and 550 00:25:11,280 --> 00:25:13,960 Speaker 4: that will help kind of massage over any real flaws 551 00:25:13,960 --> 00:25:15,280 Speaker 4: in this team overall. 552 00:25:16,600 --> 00:25:17,160 Speaker 1: I agree. 553 00:25:17,240 --> 00:25:19,240 Speaker 3: You know, Sweeten also has Black and Senas who you 554 00:25:19,240 --> 00:25:21,960 Speaker 3: know plays for our small scored thirteen goals between you know, 555 00:25:21,960 --> 00:25:24,280 Speaker 3: the World and Super League and the Champions League, along 556 00:25:24,280 --> 00:25:24,800 Speaker 3: with Rolfo. 557 00:25:25,440 --> 00:25:26,600 Speaker 1: So they have a ton of talent. 558 00:25:27,000 --> 00:25:31,760 Speaker 3: And you know, Sweden, like I agree, I've I've bet 559 00:25:31,760 --> 00:25:33,200 Speaker 3: them at twenty to one to win the World Cup. 560 00:25:33,200 --> 00:25:34,800 Speaker 3: I bet them at like with you plus two fifty 561 00:25:34,840 --> 00:25:36,440 Speaker 3: to make the Semis, just because their. 562 00:25:36,600 --> 00:25:37,720 Speaker 1: Draw sets up perfectly. 563 00:25:38,000 --> 00:25:41,000 Speaker 3: They've had some interesting results like in the lead up 564 00:25:41,000 --> 00:25:42,600 Speaker 3: to this World Cup they drew Spain one one, and 565 00:25:42,640 --> 00:25:44,560 Speaker 3: they got beat by France three nothing, and then lost 566 00:25:44,560 --> 00:25:47,600 Speaker 3: to Australia four nothing. And they also you know, and 567 00:25:47,600 --> 00:25:49,840 Speaker 3: then if you can go back to the spring, you know, 568 00:25:49,880 --> 00:25:53,520 Speaker 3: he lost one nothing to Denmark and then drew Norway 569 00:25:53,560 --> 00:25:55,520 Speaker 3: three to three. So it's kind of a little bit 570 00:25:55,600 --> 00:25:58,240 Speaker 3: concerning in the lead up to this. But the talent 571 00:25:58,320 --> 00:26:02,080 Speaker 3: level between them and It and Argentina and South Africa 572 00:26:02,119 --> 00:26:05,359 Speaker 3: in this group I think is far drastic. And you know, 573 00:26:05,400 --> 00:26:07,720 Speaker 3: this is kind of one of my one of my 574 00:26:08,440 --> 00:26:10,600 Speaker 3: plays here is going to be a parlay between the 575 00:26:10,680 --> 00:26:13,040 Speaker 3: United States, Sweden and Norway to all win their groups, 576 00:26:13,320 --> 00:26:14,960 Speaker 3: which I think pays out on a pretty decent price. 577 00:26:15,080 --> 00:26:17,480 Speaker 3: So that's gonna be my you know, one of my 578 00:26:17,480 --> 00:26:19,600 Speaker 3: my main bets in making. But the other teams in 579 00:26:19,600 --> 00:26:23,400 Speaker 3: this group, and I mean, the thing with Italy, and 580 00:26:24,359 --> 00:26:27,199 Speaker 3: it's kind of concerning to me, is that when you 581 00:26:27,240 --> 00:26:31,040 Speaker 3: look through their results, they're a team that needs to 582 00:26:31,080 --> 00:26:33,960 Speaker 3: have possession to be successful, and they adopt the same 583 00:26:33,960 --> 00:26:36,960 Speaker 3: principles as you know the men's team, where they like 584 00:26:36,960 --> 00:26:38,280 Speaker 3: to play through the middle of the pitch, a lot 585 00:26:38,280 --> 00:26:40,399 Speaker 3: of short combination passes, put the ball on the floor 586 00:26:40,400 --> 00:26:43,439 Speaker 3: and just you know, try to beat presses. Well, if 587 00:26:43,440 --> 00:26:46,800 Speaker 3: you go back to the Euros last summer, they played 588 00:26:46,840 --> 00:26:50,120 Speaker 3: France and they got absolutely dismantled. They lost that match 589 00:26:50,160 --> 00:26:52,280 Speaker 3: five to one and conceded three point nine expected goals. 590 00:26:52,440 --> 00:26:54,320 Speaker 3: Then they control a majority of the possession, you know, 591 00:26:54,400 --> 00:26:56,680 Speaker 3: against against Belgium and Iceland, and they win the ntgy 592 00:26:56,720 --> 00:26:58,239 Speaker 3: battles and both of those wasn't good enough to get 593 00:26:58,240 --> 00:26:59,720 Speaker 3: out of the group stage because they did lose one 594 00:26:59,760 --> 00:27:04,240 Speaker 3: nothing to Belgium. But you know, they're they're very conservative 595 00:27:04,240 --> 00:27:05,920 Speaker 3: in their build up play. You know, they're very slow, 596 00:27:05,960 --> 00:27:08,240 Speaker 3: they're very pragmatic. They like to do a four to 597 00:27:08,280 --> 00:27:10,360 Speaker 3: two build up style and even drop even one more 598 00:27:10,400 --> 00:27:12,960 Speaker 3: player in to help them in that build ups that 599 00:27:13,000 --> 00:27:16,800 Speaker 3: they are using those short combination passes. But defensively when 600 00:27:16,800 --> 00:27:19,879 Speaker 3: they're out of possession, they've been bad. Over the last 601 00:27:19,920 --> 00:27:22,440 Speaker 3: calendar year. They've conceded close to two expected goals for 602 00:27:22,560 --> 00:27:25,480 Speaker 3: ninety minutes but only conceded about one point two actual 603 00:27:25,600 --> 00:27:28,000 Speaker 3: goals per ninety minutes. So they're a defense that is 604 00:27:28,119 --> 00:27:31,720 Speaker 3: overdue to concede. The question is in this group, is 605 00:27:31,720 --> 00:27:35,520 Speaker 3: there a team that can overtake them. Like you mentioned 606 00:27:35,640 --> 00:27:39,040 Speaker 3: Argentina that most of their players are playing domestically, you know, 607 00:27:39,080 --> 00:27:41,879 Speaker 3: whether it be in Argentina or somewhere around South America, 608 00:27:42,200 --> 00:27:44,400 Speaker 3: and you look at them as well, they're a team 609 00:27:44,400 --> 00:27:47,000 Speaker 3: that also needs to have possession to be successful, and 610 00:27:47,040 --> 00:27:49,760 Speaker 3: they haven't been good throughout. 611 00:27:49,600 --> 00:27:53,440 Speaker 1: Commable as well, so I don't see them. South Africa. 612 00:27:53,480 --> 00:27:57,399 Speaker 1: We should also mention is the Afcon champions in twenty 613 00:27:57,400 --> 00:27:57,800 Speaker 1: twenty two. 614 00:27:57,800 --> 00:28:02,040 Speaker 3: They beat Nigeria, Sambia and Morocco on their path the championship. 615 00:28:02,200 --> 00:28:06,800 Speaker 3: Although they are the champions of Africa, the problem with 616 00:28:06,880 --> 00:28:08,720 Speaker 3: them is is if you look at the talent level 617 00:28:08,920 --> 00:28:10,680 Speaker 3: for them comparatively. 618 00:28:10,720 --> 00:28:13,080 Speaker 1: I mean most of their players are playing domestically in. 619 00:28:13,000 --> 00:28:16,920 Speaker 3: South Africa, so right away that that gives me a 620 00:28:16,960 --> 00:28:18,960 Speaker 3: little bit of pause when I go through, you know, 621 00:28:19,119 --> 00:28:21,720 Speaker 3: in terms of talent level for them to overtake a 622 00:28:21,800 --> 00:28:25,240 Speaker 3: team like Italy, and they are playing Sweden in their 623 00:28:25,280 --> 00:28:26,800 Speaker 3: first match, and I think they're two and a half 624 00:28:26,800 --> 00:28:28,560 Speaker 3: goal underdogs in that one. 625 00:28:29,240 --> 00:28:30,640 Speaker 1: They do play a four to four two. 626 00:28:30,680 --> 00:28:33,720 Speaker 3: They're very comfortable not having the ball, so that is 627 00:28:33,760 --> 00:28:35,960 Speaker 3: a positive when they're going to play a team like 628 00:28:36,000 --> 00:28:39,520 Speaker 3: a Sweden or a team like Italy. So if you're 629 00:28:39,520 --> 00:28:43,160 Speaker 3: looking for a long shot, South Africa is twelve to 630 00:28:43,200 --> 00:28:45,640 Speaker 3: one to qualify at bet three sixty five to get 631 00:28:45,680 --> 00:28:48,400 Speaker 3: out of this group. They're a team that, like I 632 00:28:48,400 --> 00:28:50,640 Speaker 3: already mentioned, they don't have a lot of talent, but 633 00:28:50,640 --> 00:28:53,040 Speaker 3: they do have a lot of international pedigree. Going through 634 00:28:53,080 --> 00:28:55,560 Speaker 3: the Africa Cup of Nations beating teams like Nigeria, Zambia, 635 00:28:55,680 --> 00:28:59,200 Speaker 3: Morocco is impressive in and of itself. You know, they're 636 00:28:59,440 --> 00:29:02,920 Speaker 3: they're their offensive output isn't that great. The lead up, 637 00:29:02,920 --> 00:29:04,840 Speaker 3: even the lead up to this World Cup hasn't been great. 638 00:29:05,000 --> 00:29:07,480 Speaker 3: They got dismantled by Brazil. They played two matches against them, 639 00:29:07,520 --> 00:29:10,320 Speaker 3: lost combined nine nothing. They played Zambia again, lost one 640 00:29:10,400 --> 00:29:13,160 Speaker 3: nothing to them, and lost four to one to Australia. 641 00:29:13,200 --> 00:29:15,560 Speaker 1: So confidence isn't really that high coming into this group. 642 00:29:15,840 --> 00:29:16,960 Speaker 1: They aren't a difficult group. 643 00:29:17,040 --> 00:29:20,320 Speaker 3: But if you're looking for that long shot, because we 644 00:29:20,360 --> 00:29:22,080 Speaker 3: haven't really given out very many long shots in this 645 00:29:22,160 --> 00:29:26,080 Speaker 3: other than Portugal to advance at eight to one, South 646 00:29:26,120 --> 00:29:29,040 Speaker 3: Africa does have the international pedigree in terms of a 647 00:29:29,080 --> 00:29:31,200 Speaker 3: tournament to get through this type of group. And with 648 00:29:31,240 --> 00:29:34,040 Speaker 3: the defensive question marks of Italy, a team that's bad 649 00:29:34,040 --> 00:29:38,200 Speaker 3: in transition defense and Argentina that talent wise is closer 650 00:29:38,200 --> 00:29:42,800 Speaker 3: to a South Africa than they are in Italy, I'll 651 00:29:42,800 --> 00:29:44,920 Speaker 3: make a case for South Africa twelve to one to 652 00:29:44,920 --> 00:29:46,360 Speaker 3: get through this group. But I believe it is going 653 00:29:46,400 --> 00:29:48,800 Speaker 3: to be very straightforward that Sweden's gonna win this group 654 00:29:48,840 --> 00:29:51,320 Speaker 3: and a run away and get a very favable draw 655 00:29:51,720 --> 00:29:54,720 Speaker 3: playing potentially Spain in the quarterfinals. 656 00:29:56,640 --> 00:29:58,680 Speaker 2: You mentioned, but you also mentioned Japan too, so we 657 00:29:58,720 --> 00:29:59,120 Speaker 2: have had. 658 00:29:59,000 --> 00:30:01,160 Speaker 1: A few five to one yet. Yeah. 659 00:30:01,240 --> 00:30:02,840 Speaker 2: So, and then we're. 660 00:30:02,760 --> 00:30:04,680 Speaker 4: Riding South Africa and I've got one left in my 661 00:30:04,840 --> 00:30:06,520 Speaker 4: in my homestel that I've been waiting. 662 00:30:06,320 --> 00:30:08,000 Speaker 1: On yep, So let's get to it. 663 00:30:08,080 --> 00:30:11,680 Speaker 3: Group H, which is the most top heavy group of 664 00:30:11,760 --> 00:30:14,480 Speaker 3: any of them in the World Cup Germany, one of 665 00:30:14,520 --> 00:30:17,840 Speaker 3: the tournament favorites is minus two thousand to win this group. 666 00:30:17,880 --> 00:30:19,960 Speaker 3: Colombia is twelve to one the win the group, South 667 00:30:20,000 --> 00:30:23,800 Speaker 3: Korea twenty to one, and Morocco the longest shot at 668 00:30:23,840 --> 00:30:25,840 Speaker 3: one hundred and fifty to one to win this tournament. 669 00:30:25,880 --> 00:30:28,560 Speaker 3: But you believe that Morocco potentially has a chance to 670 00:30:28,560 --> 00:30:30,480 Speaker 3: get out of this group and to qualify at a 671 00:30:30,120 --> 00:30:31,360 Speaker 3: pretty high number. 672 00:30:32,680 --> 00:30:37,200 Speaker 4: Yeah, twenty two to one to qualify, I'm going to 673 00:30:37,240 --> 00:30:39,000 Speaker 4: be firing on that. And no, it has nothing to 674 00:30:39,040 --> 00:30:42,160 Speaker 4: do with what the men's team did last year, you know, 675 00:30:42,200 --> 00:30:44,560 Speaker 4: one of our more famous calls. But it really has 676 00:30:44,560 --> 00:30:46,960 Speaker 4: to do with this Morocco team and kind of the 677 00:30:47,040 --> 00:30:50,440 Speaker 4: building blocks of what I think is a decent team. 678 00:30:50,640 --> 00:30:54,920 Speaker 4: They bring in Pedross from Leon Leon, like we mentioned before, 679 00:30:54,920 --> 00:30:58,880 Speaker 4: one of the biggest teams in women's soccer, and consistently 680 00:30:58,960 --> 00:31:01,080 Speaker 4: in the Champions League they've won. He won the league 681 00:31:01,120 --> 00:31:04,080 Speaker 4: multiple times, the Champions League multiple times. So he goes 682 00:31:04,400 --> 00:31:07,640 Speaker 4: to Morocco, which is weird, uh, And they pulled in 683 00:31:07,720 --> 00:31:09,840 Speaker 4: a ton of dual nationals from other countries, you know, 684 00:31:10,040 --> 00:31:12,680 Speaker 4: the people with the opportunity to play for Spain and 685 00:31:12,760 --> 00:31:15,360 Speaker 4: Morocco or France and Morocco. And he pulled in a 686 00:31:15,360 --> 00:31:20,240 Speaker 4: lot of talent and they've now put together a well 687 00:31:20,320 --> 00:31:25,920 Speaker 4: organized defense that has had some okay enough results for 688 00:31:25,960 --> 00:31:26,520 Speaker 4: me to buy in. 689 00:31:26,600 --> 00:31:28,200 Speaker 2: Like they drew away to Italy. 690 00:31:28,080 --> 00:31:31,120 Speaker 4: They drew away to Switzerland, they lost one Nola Jamaica, 691 00:31:31,880 --> 00:31:34,400 Speaker 4: and they have only scored five goals. 692 00:31:34,120 --> 00:31:35,720 Speaker 2: In their nine games, their last nine. 693 00:31:36,200 --> 00:31:40,720 Speaker 4: But if you look at the on paper, the talent 694 00:31:40,840 --> 00:31:43,400 Speaker 4: to score goals pretty much comes down to Roselle Ayani, 695 00:31:43,720 --> 00:31:47,040 Speaker 4: who plays for Tottenham. Like the scoring goals is going 696 00:31:47,080 --> 00:31:49,080 Speaker 4: to be a challenge for them, but in this group 697 00:31:49,440 --> 00:31:52,800 Speaker 4: where everybody's going to lose to Germany and then it's 698 00:31:52,880 --> 00:31:55,400 Speaker 4: kind of like a mucky battle for the next spot. 699 00:31:55,480 --> 00:32:00,000 Speaker 4: Like Columbia plays this haywire style that I don't know 700 00:32:00,160 --> 00:32:03,920 Speaker 4: will translate all that well to a tournament, to the 701 00:32:03,960 --> 00:32:05,840 Speaker 4: point where like they're going to probably score and like 702 00:32:06,240 --> 00:32:12,560 Speaker 4: Myra's awesome, but they don't defend at all. So can 703 00:32:12,680 --> 00:32:17,320 Speaker 4: a more disciplined, maybe less talented, but more disciplined team 704 00:32:17,920 --> 00:32:21,040 Speaker 4: sneak a goal and defend, and that's kind of the 705 00:32:21,080 --> 00:32:22,840 Speaker 4: path here for me to get interested in twenty two 706 00:32:22,840 --> 00:32:26,560 Speaker 4: to one South Korea. We talked about China beating Japan 707 00:32:26,640 --> 00:32:29,400 Speaker 4: and Korea. I'm kind of not that interested in any 708 00:32:29,480 --> 00:32:32,040 Speaker 4: of the East Asian teams because I think they're all 709 00:32:32,080 --> 00:32:34,200 Speaker 4: relatively down like this Korean side. 710 00:32:34,880 --> 00:32:37,360 Speaker 2: I think they're better than Colombia, but I don't. 711 00:32:37,160 --> 00:32:41,120 Speaker 4: Think that the gap between those two and the Moroccans 712 00:32:41,200 --> 00:32:43,800 Speaker 4: is that big. So at twenty two to one to advance, 713 00:32:44,000 --> 00:32:45,920 Speaker 4: when I think everybody's going to take a loss to 714 00:32:45,960 --> 00:32:49,360 Speaker 4: start the tournament with the Germans like, I just have 715 00:32:49,400 --> 00:32:52,520 Speaker 4: to fire on that. So give me the Moroccans, trusting 716 00:32:52,520 --> 00:32:56,320 Speaker 4: the defense, trusting pedros, trusting kind of this system that 717 00:32:57,200 --> 00:32:59,840 Speaker 4: could bear some fruit for them as a footballing nation. 718 00:33:00,920 --> 00:33:02,760 Speaker 3: Yeah, we'll talk about Germany more when we get to 719 00:33:02,800 --> 00:33:06,360 Speaker 3: the you know, our best Bets show tomorrow, because they're 720 00:33:06,400 --> 00:33:08,120 Speaker 3: a lot more interesting in terms of what happens to 721 00:33:08,120 --> 00:33:09,680 Speaker 3: the knockout stage, because it's very like you said, it's 722 00:33:09,720 --> 00:33:11,280 Speaker 3: very straight forward. They're gonna win three matches and they're 723 00:33:11,280 --> 00:33:13,480 Speaker 3: going to get through this group fairly easily. You mentioned 724 00:33:13,560 --> 00:33:17,760 Speaker 3: Morocco and I was doing my my prep on them, 725 00:33:17,800 --> 00:33:20,080 Speaker 3: and you know throughout Afcon they did control a lot 726 00:33:20,120 --> 00:33:22,640 Speaker 3: of possession. You know, they with the new manager, he 727 00:33:23,040 --> 00:33:24,920 Speaker 3: adopted a four to two three one and it's not 728 00:33:25,240 --> 00:33:27,440 Speaker 3: like a lot of these women's national teams that are 729 00:33:27,560 --> 00:33:29,880 Speaker 3: very four four two direct counter attacking style play like 730 00:33:29,920 --> 00:33:31,320 Speaker 3: they didn't control a lot of possession and they were 731 00:33:31,320 --> 00:33:35,560 Speaker 3: the runners up at Afcon to South Africa. But you know, 732 00:33:35,640 --> 00:33:37,640 Speaker 3: even though they did control a lot of possession, they 733 00:33:37,800 --> 00:33:41,320 Speaker 3: actually play a style that I think can be successful 734 00:33:41,400 --> 00:33:43,720 Speaker 3: even if they're not going to be the ones controlling 735 00:33:43,720 --> 00:33:46,200 Speaker 3: a ton of that possession like they you know, Ayani 736 00:33:46,400 --> 00:33:49,080 Speaker 3: is clearly their best player and their best attacking player. 737 00:33:49,240 --> 00:33:50,840 Speaker 3: They like to just send a lot of long balls 738 00:33:50,880 --> 00:33:52,720 Speaker 3: up to her and just kind of hope, kind of 739 00:33:52,720 --> 00:33:54,280 Speaker 3: hope for the best, which is obviously going to be 740 00:33:54,560 --> 00:33:58,080 Speaker 3: very very good against a team like especially Columbia, who 741 00:33:58,280 --> 00:34:02,479 Speaker 3: you mentioned their haywire style. I mean it is it 742 00:34:02,560 --> 00:34:05,840 Speaker 3: is balls to the wall, like all out press and 743 00:34:06,000 --> 00:34:08,960 Speaker 3: really not much cohesion in that press, or really not 744 00:34:09,040 --> 00:34:09,680 Speaker 3: much of a plan. 745 00:34:09,760 --> 00:34:11,799 Speaker 1: It's just kind of like we're just going to try 746 00:34:11,800 --> 00:34:12,359 Speaker 1: to win the ball back. 747 00:34:12,400 --> 00:34:13,719 Speaker 3: We're just going to try to you know, play in 748 00:34:13,719 --> 00:34:18,080 Speaker 3: transition as quick as possible, and it's gotten them here 749 00:34:18,200 --> 00:34:19,800 Speaker 3: like they got you know, they finished runners up to 750 00:34:19,800 --> 00:34:24,640 Speaker 3: Brazil at the you know, couple of America. But they 751 00:34:24,640 --> 00:34:28,840 Speaker 3: are way way too aggressive of a team, especially in 752 00:34:28,880 --> 00:34:32,000 Speaker 3: this group against a team like Morocco who can play 753 00:34:32,000 --> 00:34:34,839 Speaker 3: that style. Morocco is also a very very efficient set 754 00:34:34,880 --> 00:34:37,000 Speaker 3: piece team, which is very very good. If you're not 755 00:34:37,040 --> 00:34:38,680 Speaker 3: going to be able to control a lot of possession, 756 00:34:38,680 --> 00:34:40,120 Speaker 3: you know, you need to be able to take advantage 757 00:34:40,480 --> 00:34:44,279 Speaker 3: of your set piece opportunities. So I agree with you 758 00:34:44,280 --> 00:34:46,040 Speaker 3: at twenty two to one is a little bit too 759 00:34:46,080 --> 00:34:48,760 Speaker 3: high of a price on a team that has shown 760 00:34:48,840 --> 00:34:51,400 Speaker 3: a lot of promise, you know, not scoring as a 761 00:34:51,440 --> 00:34:54,960 Speaker 3: problem coming into this. But again it's twenty two to one, right, Like, 762 00:34:55,000 --> 00:34:56,960 Speaker 3: we're not sitting here giving you out, you know, a 763 00:34:57,000 --> 00:34:58,520 Speaker 3: five to one price on a team that can't score. 764 00:34:58,520 --> 00:34:59,760 Speaker 1: They're twenty two to one to advance. 765 00:35:00,120 --> 00:35:03,000 Speaker 3: So I agree with you like that, if you know, 766 00:35:03,160 --> 00:35:05,160 Speaker 3: if you know you want to play another team, I 767 00:35:05,320 --> 00:35:08,600 Speaker 3: also do like South Korea to advance at even money, 768 00:35:09,200 --> 00:35:11,680 Speaker 3: So essentially maybe you could, you know, uh, if you 769 00:35:11,680 --> 00:35:13,239 Speaker 3: want to play both, at least get your money back 770 00:35:13,239 --> 00:35:15,080 Speaker 3: on one of the two because I don't believe that 771 00:35:15,120 --> 00:35:17,440 Speaker 3: Columbia is going to get through this group given. 772 00:35:17,280 --> 00:35:18,840 Speaker 1: Their haywire style. 773 00:35:19,160 --> 00:35:21,840 Speaker 3: You know, South Korea did go all the way losing 774 00:35:21,840 --> 00:35:24,880 Speaker 3: the final to China at that Asian Women's Cup. And 775 00:35:24,920 --> 00:35:28,080 Speaker 3: you know they're a team much like Jamaica that you know, 776 00:35:28,160 --> 00:35:30,440 Speaker 3: they play a very intense pressing style. It's a lot 777 00:35:30,440 --> 00:35:32,400 Speaker 3: of pressing trap, it's not a lot of high high pressing, 778 00:35:32,800 --> 00:35:34,880 Speaker 3: uh And they have a lot of fluidity in their attack, 779 00:35:34,960 --> 00:35:36,800 Speaker 3: like they're They're what I love about them, and I 780 00:35:36,840 --> 00:35:39,000 Speaker 3: think they're going to set up perfectly when they play 781 00:35:39,040 --> 00:35:41,040 Speaker 3: against a team like Columbia who's going to play very 782 00:35:41,120 --> 00:35:44,840 Speaker 3: high haywire, or even maybe a team like Germany who Germany, 783 00:35:45,600 --> 00:35:48,520 Speaker 3: much like the men's national team is, is incredibly aggressive 784 00:35:48,560 --> 00:35:51,560 Speaker 3: with their pressing and their high line. So playing a 785 00:35:51,560 --> 00:35:54,360 Speaker 3: team like South Korea that is very versatile in their attack, 786 00:35:54,440 --> 00:35:56,719 Speaker 3: that can play in transition, that can play a lot 787 00:35:56,719 --> 00:36:00,000 Speaker 3: of possession and with their three attackers, they're all very 788 00:36:00,120 --> 00:36:02,960 Speaker 3: versatile where they can all play different positions, so you'll 789 00:36:03,000 --> 00:36:05,960 Speaker 3: see at many times where they'll just kind of rotate, 790 00:36:06,440 --> 00:36:07,439 Speaker 3: you know, around the pitch. 791 00:36:07,520 --> 00:36:11,560 Speaker 1: They have you know, very very they have a lot of. 792 00:36:11,480 --> 00:36:15,520 Speaker 3: Talent they You know, they have Leeman, who's who played 793 00:36:15,520 --> 00:36:18,040 Speaker 3: for brighton the season, who didn't really have great expected 794 00:36:18,080 --> 00:36:20,239 Speaker 3: goal or expected assist numbers, but was in the ninety 795 00:36:20,280 --> 00:36:24,360 Speaker 3: nine percentile for progressive passes per ninety So you know, 796 00:36:24,480 --> 00:36:27,080 Speaker 3: rotating her along with a lot of other different players, 797 00:36:27,680 --> 00:36:27,920 Speaker 3: you know. 798 00:36:27,880 --> 00:36:29,280 Speaker 1: Gives them a lot of fluid in their attacks. 799 00:36:29,280 --> 00:36:32,560 Speaker 3: So very fascinating team when they play Germany to potentially 800 00:36:32,560 --> 00:36:34,680 Speaker 3: you know, bet to score or to see what they 801 00:36:34,680 --> 00:36:36,600 Speaker 3: are on the spread, potentially to bet them as an underdog. 802 00:36:38,160 --> 00:36:40,040 Speaker 3: They're interesting and you can get them in a price 803 00:36:40,080 --> 00:36:42,040 Speaker 3: of even money if you know, if Mara, if you 804 00:36:42,040 --> 00:36:45,719 Speaker 3: don't like Baraco at twenty two to one, any way 805 00:36:45,760 --> 00:36:48,319 Speaker 3: to bet against Columbia to get this group. Who I 806 00:36:48,360 --> 00:36:50,880 Speaker 3: do not agree with it should be Colombia is essentially 807 00:36:51,000 --> 00:36:53,000 Speaker 3: the team that's favored over these other two teams to 808 00:36:53,000 --> 00:36:54,360 Speaker 3: get out of this group. I do not agree with 809 00:36:54,400 --> 00:36:57,560 Speaker 3: at all. That are way too aggressive and are going 810 00:36:57,640 --> 00:37:00,920 Speaker 3: to be so open defensively, especially against tams that are 811 00:37:00,960 --> 00:37:02,000 Speaker 3: good in transition like. 812 00:37:01,960 --> 00:37:05,840 Speaker 1: South Korea and Morocco. It's very troublesome. 813 00:37:06,000 --> 00:37:09,840 Speaker 3: So Morocco twenty two to one to get out of 814 00:37:09,880 --> 00:37:13,000 Speaker 3: this group South Korea had even money is only going 815 00:37:13,040 --> 00:37:16,279 Speaker 3: to be my pick for this one, and uh yeah, 816 00:37:16,360 --> 00:37:19,359 Speaker 3: it's it's pretty straightforward here with Germany and we'll see 817 00:37:19,360 --> 00:37:20,680 Speaker 3: what happens in this group. 818 00:37:20,719 --> 00:37:24,120 Speaker 1: But we'll talk more about Germany and their prospects when 819 00:37:24,160 --> 00:37:26,640 Speaker 1: we get to our best bets show tomorrow. 820 00:37:26,640 --> 00:37:28,879 Speaker 3: And we'll wrap it up from there for this edition 821 00:37:28,920 --> 00:37:31,160 Speaker 3: of Wonder Goal, the soccer betting podcast from the Action 822 00:37:31,239 --> 00:37:32,400 Speaker 3: Network presented. 823 00:37:32,000 --> 00:37:33,200 Speaker 1: By bet three sixty five. 824 00:37:33,680 --> 00:37:37,000 Speaker 3: After you finish up our group stage episodes, check back 825 00:37:37,040 --> 00:37:40,240 Speaker 3: tomorrow when we return with our Team USA betting preview 826 00:37:40,520 --> 00:37:42,320 Speaker 3: plus our World Cup best bets. 827 00:37:42,560 --> 00:37:44,719 Speaker 1: Thanks for listening and best of luck. 828 00:37:59,400 --> 00:38:03,920 Speaker 4: Action Work reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or 829 00:38:03,960 --> 00:38:06,719 Speaker 4: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is 830 00:38:06,760 --> 00:38:09,880 Speaker 4: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred gambler