1 00:00:10,600 --> 00:00:13,000 Speaker 1: All right, welcome in lake. Kick is indeed live as 2 00:00:13,080 --> 00:00:13,640 Speaker 1: live can be. 3 00:00:13,720 --> 00:00:15,640 Speaker 2: Sometimes when you're live, bad things out, and if you're 4 00:00:15,640 --> 00:00:19,079 Speaker 2: watching the replayer listening to the replay, you're none the wiser. 5 00:00:19,120 --> 00:00:19,320 Speaker 1: Though. 6 00:00:19,400 --> 00:00:21,520 Speaker 2: It is still Thursday night, September, second year of Our Lord, 7 00:00:21,600 --> 00:00:23,320 Speaker 2: twenty twenty one, and we are. 8 00:00:23,280 --> 00:00:24,040 Speaker 1: Still a jam packed. 9 00:00:24,040 --> 00:00:25,720 Speaker 2: Good joke is, by the way, we had to take 10 00:00:25,720 --> 00:00:28,280 Speaker 2: a little break because the audio Grimlins had not yet 11 00:00:28,320 --> 00:00:29,920 Speaker 2: gotten on their wheel to run because we started a 12 00:00:29,920 --> 00:00:32,239 Speaker 2: little bit early. So now they're on the wheel. You 13 00:00:32,240 --> 00:00:33,720 Speaker 2: hear the squeak in, you hear my voice. 14 00:00:33,760 --> 00:00:35,000 Speaker 1: We're good to go. We're jam packed. 15 00:00:35,040 --> 00:00:37,360 Speaker 2: We got early kickoffs for the show because we have 16 00:00:37,440 --> 00:00:39,960 Speaker 2: kickoffs coming in just a little while, so we're gonna 17 00:00:39,960 --> 00:00:41,519 Speaker 2: speed through a show, but we're gonna get a full 18 00:00:41,560 --> 00:00:42,159 Speaker 2: show in for you. 19 00:00:42,320 --> 00:00:43,680 Speaker 1: I got more Week one predictions. 20 00:00:43,720 --> 00:00:46,960 Speaker 2: We did not, as was very well documented in the 21 00:00:46,960 --> 00:00:49,880 Speaker 2: comments the other day, Get to LSU UCLA. 22 00:00:50,000 --> 00:00:51,240 Speaker 1: It's because we're getting to it tonight. 23 00:00:51,479 --> 00:00:53,600 Speaker 2: We did not, as again was very well documented in 24 00:00:53,640 --> 00:00:55,880 Speaker 2: the comments, get to Notre Dame, Florida State. We're getting 25 00:00:55,880 --> 00:00:58,560 Speaker 2: to it tonight. I also have several odds and ends 26 00:00:58,560 --> 00:01:00,760 Speaker 2: that we need to touch on around the SEC, some 27 00:01:01,120 --> 00:01:03,360 Speaker 2: games that we have not given their proper due and 28 00:01:03,400 --> 00:01:05,640 Speaker 2: a lot of big announcements happening. 29 00:01:05,360 --> 00:01:06,200 Speaker 1: Around the conference. 30 00:01:06,440 --> 00:01:09,520 Speaker 2: All that plus we are adding multiple additions to the 31 00:01:09,600 --> 00:01:12,200 Speaker 2: Ram and Noodle Express. Sometimes they're so big you have 32 00:01:12,240 --> 00:01:15,040 Speaker 2: to add additions. You have to be redundant about it. Hey, 33 00:01:15,440 --> 00:01:17,560 Speaker 2: last time I can tell you now before I head 34 00:01:17,560 --> 00:01:19,480 Speaker 2: to Charlotte. I'm a fly to Charlotte tomorrow. We'll be 35 00:01:19,560 --> 00:01:23,000 Speaker 2: there right there on the ground for Georgia's say No 36 00:01:23,000 --> 00:01:25,720 Speaker 2: Do Name Georgia and Clemson and it's going to be 37 00:01:26,280 --> 00:01:29,600 Speaker 2: a really fun time for all but especially if you're 38 00:01:29,600 --> 00:01:31,320 Speaker 2: following me on Instagram and Twitter. 39 00:01:31,360 --> 00:01:34,160 Speaker 1: At Late Kick Josh going to you, guys always ask 40 00:01:34,200 --> 00:01:34,800 Speaker 1: for two things. 41 00:01:35,080 --> 00:01:38,640 Speaker 2: You ask for information and you ask for access. We 42 00:01:38,680 --> 00:01:40,559 Speaker 2: try and give you as much information as we can. 43 00:01:40,720 --> 00:01:42,440 Speaker 1: We're going to give you the access to at Late 44 00:01:42,480 --> 00:01:44,200 Speaker 1: Kick Josh. Make sure you're following. 45 00:01:44,560 --> 00:01:48,160 Speaker 2: And also, just I gotta put it out there because 46 00:01:48,200 --> 00:01:50,280 Speaker 2: you know Colin will attest to this that I'll forget 47 00:01:50,320 --> 00:01:52,760 Speaker 2: if I don't say it right now. We have started 48 00:01:52,760 --> 00:01:55,880 Speaker 2: this show early every week one we have to throw 49 00:01:55,920 --> 00:01:58,320 Speaker 2: our schedule into chaos because of all the games all 50 00:01:58,320 --> 00:02:00,880 Speaker 2: over the place. So the Sunday Night Show, make sure 51 00:02:00,920 --> 00:02:02,440 Speaker 2: you write it down because it's one of our biggest 52 00:02:02,440 --> 00:02:05,000 Speaker 2: shows of the year. The Sunday Night week one rapid 53 00:02:05,040 --> 00:02:08,200 Speaker 2: reaction shows always huge for us. We're going to start 54 00:02:08,240 --> 00:02:12,040 Speaker 2: that at six thirty Eastern, five thirty Central. That's an 55 00:02:12,080 --> 00:02:14,480 Speaker 2: hour and a half, according to our math, earlier than 56 00:02:14,520 --> 00:02:16,600 Speaker 2: we normally do. So that's going to be a tight 57 00:02:16,600 --> 00:02:19,200 Speaker 2: turnaround for me. But it's going to be wall to wall, 58 00:02:19,240 --> 00:02:21,320 Speaker 2: so make sure you're tuned in. Okay, we got games 59 00:02:21,360 --> 00:02:23,120 Speaker 2: to get to tonight. I mean, I'm just as excited 60 00:02:23,120 --> 00:02:25,200 Speaker 2: as you are. So let's get this show on the road. 61 00:02:26,160 --> 00:02:30,480 Speaker 2: Ucla welcoming in the LSU Tigers. I say the home 62 00:02:30,560 --> 00:02:33,200 Speaker 2: team first and the road team last, because I got 63 00:02:33,200 --> 00:02:35,560 Speaker 2: a quick question for you, who. 64 00:02:35,400 --> 00:02:37,880 Speaker 1: Truly will the home team be here? How do you 65 00:02:37,919 --> 00:02:38,440 Speaker 1: define home? 66 00:02:38,520 --> 00:02:40,760 Speaker 2: Is it just like your physical building or is it 67 00:02:41,080 --> 00:02:43,520 Speaker 2: the team that has the better crowd advantage? 68 00:02:43,560 --> 00:02:45,320 Speaker 1: Because those could be two very different things. 69 00:02:45,600 --> 00:02:49,160 Speaker 2: There are so many moments of truth that are about 70 00:02:49,160 --> 00:02:51,560 Speaker 2: to happen in this LSU and UCLA game. You can 71 00:02:51,600 --> 00:02:55,640 Speaker 2: go anything from the UCLA fan base being shamed all 72 00:02:55,720 --> 00:02:59,280 Speaker 2: week for the gross lack of representation in the stands 73 00:02:59,360 --> 00:03:02,079 Speaker 2: last week when the played Hawaii. You've got Chip Kelly 74 00:03:02,120 --> 00:03:05,600 Speaker 2: and his staff. I mean a lot has been expected 75 00:03:05,639 --> 00:03:08,240 Speaker 2: of that staff. Thus far, they've had very mixed results. 76 00:03:08,400 --> 00:03:11,040 Speaker 2: But this is a golden opportunity for them. For that matter, 77 00:03:11,160 --> 00:03:13,799 Speaker 2: ed ors Ron and his staff got two new coordinators. 78 00:03:13,880 --> 00:03:16,720 Speaker 2: Ed ors Ron himself has heard the whispers and felt 79 00:03:16,720 --> 00:03:19,480 Speaker 2: a little bit of heat over the past eight or 80 00:03:19,600 --> 00:03:22,680 Speaker 2: nine months since a disastrous twenty twenty. You can atone 81 00:03:22,680 --> 00:03:25,919 Speaker 2: for all that really early on in winning a competitive game. 82 00:03:26,000 --> 00:03:27,840 Speaker 2: This game could go kind of like the Miami game 83 00:03:27,880 --> 00:03:30,120 Speaker 2: they had to start the season a few years back. 84 00:03:30,280 --> 00:03:32,920 Speaker 1: How about Max Johnson the first. 85 00:03:32,840 --> 00:03:36,200 Speaker 2: Not first start, but the first week one start, and 86 00:03:36,280 --> 00:03:38,560 Speaker 2: the first time that this team is fully his as 87 00:03:38,600 --> 00:03:40,800 Speaker 2: the quarterback at LSU. And also, and this is a 88 00:03:40,840 --> 00:03:44,280 Speaker 2: little bit I think overlooked right now, it is a 89 00:03:44,520 --> 00:03:48,160 Speaker 2: huge beginning of a fourteen day stretch for the Pac twelve. 90 00:03:48,560 --> 00:03:52,440 Speaker 2: Because not only does UCLA welcome in LSU here next 91 00:03:52,480 --> 00:03:55,440 Speaker 2: week we'll be talking about Washington going to Michigan, and 92 00:03:55,480 --> 00:03:57,880 Speaker 2: we'll be talking about Oregon going all the way across 93 00:03:57,880 --> 00:03:59,280 Speaker 2: the country to play Ohio State. 94 00:03:59,520 --> 00:04:02,360 Speaker 1: Maybe we'll be it that game. Who knows, and it 95 00:04:02,440 --> 00:04:04,320 Speaker 1: could be that the PAC twelve all. 96 00:04:04,280 --> 00:04:06,120 Speaker 2: Of a sudden shocks everyone and goes two and one 97 00:04:06,160 --> 00:04:07,640 Speaker 2: or three and oh, or they could go h and 98 00:04:07,680 --> 00:04:12,520 Speaker 2: three because you get mixed reactions as to who you 99 00:04:12,560 --> 00:04:14,720 Speaker 2: ask about that point spread on that Washington Michigan game. 100 00:04:14,720 --> 00:04:16,800 Speaker 2: But the other two are dogs, and so they got 101 00:04:16,839 --> 00:04:18,840 Speaker 2: a chance. The PAC twelve has a chance to make 102 00:04:18,839 --> 00:04:20,479 Speaker 2: a little bit of a statement early on. But let's 103 00:04:20,480 --> 00:04:23,599 Speaker 2: talk about this game. So the first thing that stands 104 00:04:23,600 --> 00:04:25,680 Speaker 2: out immediately to me, I've been waiting to talk about 105 00:04:25,680 --> 00:04:29,640 Speaker 2: this for weeks now is I've enjoyed, just like any 106 00:04:29,680 --> 00:04:33,160 Speaker 2: of you LSU fans have, reading practice reports and talking 107 00:04:33,160 --> 00:04:35,520 Speaker 2: to people if you can close to the program, listening 108 00:04:35,520 --> 00:04:38,680 Speaker 2: to ed ors are on talk and to a man, 109 00:04:39,680 --> 00:04:44,720 Speaker 2: everyone who talks about LSU believes that their run defense 110 00:04:44,800 --> 00:04:48,120 Speaker 2: will be improved this year. Now, full disclosure, couldn't get 111 00:04:48,120 --> 00:04:49,880 Speaker 2: a whole lot worse than it was last year. There 112 00:04:49,880 --> 00:04:51,800 Speaker 2: were several elements of their defense. 113 00:04:51,520 --> 00:04:54,880 Speaker 1: That were just trashed last year and they admit that. 114 00:04:54,960 --> 00:04:58,840 Speaker 1: So this year, how improved is that run defense? Now? 115 00:04:58,880 --> 00:05:00,040 Speaker 1: I'm a believer in this. 116 00:05:00,160 --> 00:05:03,560 Speaker 2: I'm not skeptical of this, but I do think if 117 00:05:03,560 --> 00:05:07,360 Speaker 2: you're UCLA before you try anything else, Before you see 118 00:05:07,400 --> 00:05:10,120 Speaker 2: what your quarterback can do through the air, before you 119 00:05:10,200 --> 00:05:13,240 Speaker 2: try out anything else. What you gotta do is you 120 00:05:13,320 --> 00:05:15,760 Speaker 2: got to find out if the rumors are true. Those 121 00:05:15,839 --> 00:05:19,000 Speaker 2: rumors have a much improved interior run defense and just 122 00:05:19,040 --> 00:05:21,839 Speaker 2: an improved run defense overall for LSU. You gotta find 123 00:05:21,839 --> 00:05:23,600 Speaker 2: out if that's true, because I can guarantee you one thing, 124 00:05:23,760 --> 00:05:26,200 Speaker 2: and if you watched UCLA last week, you know this 125 00:05:26,279 --> 00:05:29,400 Speaker 2: to be the case. The strengths of this team offensively 126 00:05:29,920 --> 00:05:30,720 Speaker 2: are right up the middle. 127 00:05:30,720 --> 00:05:31,839 Speaker 1: Their offensive line. 128 00:05:31,880 --> 00:05:34,679 Speaker 2: There, that ground game, and a quarterback with a running 129 00:05:34,680 --> 00:05:37,560 Speaker 2: element to his game. Zach Charbonnay is the Michigan transfer. 130 00:05:37,920 --> 00:05:39,800 Speaker 2: He looked really good last week. I think he avered 131 00:05:39,839 --> 00:05:42,560 Speaker 2: like fifty yards of carry. But Brown is another running 132 00:05:42,560 --> 00:05:44,440 Speaker 2: back they have. They got a one two punch. LSU's 133 00:05:44,520 --> 00:05:46,000 Speaker 2: got a one two of their own. They're hoping that 134 00:05:46,040 --> 00:05:48,640 Speaker 2: they can count on Saturday night. But my point is 135 00:05:49,160 --> 00:05:51,839 Speaker 2: the game becomes a lot more fundamentdle. The game becomes 136 00:05:51,839 --> 00:05:54,640 Speaker 2: a lot more easy to figure out if we're watching. 137 00:05:54,680 --> 00:05:57,640 Speaker 2: And at the end of the first quarter, UCLA's already 138 00:05:57,680 --> 00:06:00,400 Speaker 2: ripped off eighty four yards on the ground and they're 139 00:06:00,480 --> 00:06:03,680 Speaker 2: running for like seven point eight yards per pop. That's 140 00:06:03,680 --> 00:06:06,680 Speaker 2: not a good thing because that really, again, it takes 141 00:06:06,720 --> 00:06:09,240 Speaker 2: it to kind of an academic level as to what 142 00:06:09,320 --> 00:06:12,920 Speaker 2: to expect the rest of the night. Secondly, for LSU, 143 00:06:13,960 --> 00:06:16,839 Speaker 2: you've got to I mean, well, which. 144 00:06:16,680 --> 00:06:18,080 Speaker 1: Way do I want to go? Here? Got like fourteen 145 00:06:18,080 --> 00:06:19,080 Speaker 1: different things I want to say. 146 00:06:19,520 --> 00:06:21,920 Speaker 2: You got to make them show you that they can 147 00:06:22,000 --> 00:06:24,120 Speaker 2: run the ball effectively. When I say they, I mean 148 00:06:24,279 --> 00:06:27,440 Speaker 2: if you're UCLA, you got to make LSU show you 149 00:06:27,480 --> 00:06:30,360 Speaker 2: they can run the ball effectively. This is the focal 150 00:06:30,400 --> 00:06:34,000 Speaker 2: point for me both sides of this game. The state 151 00:06:34,720 --> 00:06:37,640 Speaker 2: of this entire LSU team this year, and it was 152 00:06:37,720 --> 00:06:39,400 Speaker 2: rond knows it and that's why they focused on it 153 00:06:39,400 --> 00:06:42,359 Speaker 2: so much. Heavily depends on whether they can run the 154 00:06:42,360 --> 00:06:45,360 Speaker 2: ball effectively. And that offensive line and the state of 155 00:06:45,360 --> 00:06:48,120 Speaker 2: that offensive line is another one of these areas where 156 00:06:48,320 --> 00:06:50,920 Speaker 2: you've got to test the rumors you've gotten. Probably if 157 00:06:50,920 --> 00:06:53,600 Speaker 2: you follow LSU day to day, you've gotten some mixed 158 00:06:53,800 --> 00:06:57,400 Speaker 2: reactions as to how good this LSU offensive line can 159 00:06:57,440 --> 00:06:59,520 Speaker 2: be this year. You've got some people that would doubt them, 160 00:06:59,520 --> 00:07:02,040 Speaker 2: certainly and help when you lose Darre Rosenthal, But you 161 00:07:02,160 --> 00:07:05,200 Speaker 2: can find some very credible people around LSU to tell 162 00:07:05,240 --> 00:07:07,680 Speaker 2: you this offensive line, you give it time, it'll jail. 163 00:07:07,720 --> 00:07:08,920 Speaker 1: This will be a really good unit. 164 00:07:09,360 --> 00:07:12,760 Speaker 2: Again, depth charts and practice supports do not win you games, 165 00:07:13,000 --> 00:07:14,560 Speaker 2: no matter how the pennable they are. They don't win 166 00:07:14,600 --> 00:07:17,840 Speaker 2: you games. Players do in situations, in moments, they win 167 00:07:17,880 --> 00:07:19,920 Speaker 2: you games. So we get to see it. For better, 168 00:07:20,000 --> 00:07:21,280 Speaker 2: for worse, we get to see it. So the first 169 00:07:21,320 --> 00:07:23,560 Speaker 2: thing you got to make improve on this front is 170 00:07:23,960 --> 00:07:26,200 Speaker 2: find out what Price can do for ls You find 171 00:07:26,200 --> 00:07:27,960 Speaker 2: out what John Emery can do for LSU. 172 00:07:28,160 --> 00:07:29,760 Speaker 1: You know, they've talked them up constantly. 173 00:07:29,760 --> 00:07:32,360 Speaker 2: At Ozroon has gone out of his way to emphasize 174 00:07:32,360 --> 00:07:34,560 Speaker 2: the ground game, to talk those guys up, to make 175 00:07:34,600 --> 00:07:38,000 Speaker 2: sure everybody in the world knows we're dependent on these guys. Well, 176 00:07:38,040 --> 00:07:39,920 Speaker 2: do they get the tough yards for you? Do they 177 00:07:40,000 --> 00:07:43,720 Speaker 2: run consistently enough? And also, let's not overlook this. If 178 00:07:43,720 --> 00:07:47,080 Speaker 2: you've got some question marks or two along the offensive line. 179 00:07:47,440 --> 00:07:50,480 Speaker 2: Pass pro is pivotal in any game, but especially this 180 00:07:50,520 --> 00:07:54,680 Speaker 2: one for an LSU offense that is still breaking in 181 00:07:54,760 --> 00:07:57,600 Speaker 2: a fairly green quarterback here, let's be honest about that. 182 00:07:57,920 --> 00:08:00,800 Speaker 2: And so there's some fascinating dynae, but there are also 183 00:08:00,880 --> 00:08:02,440 Speaker 2: some fascinating intangibles. 184 00:08:03,400 --> 00:08:05,520 Speaker 1: Let me ask you, you can give me your opinion 185 00:08:05,560 --> 00:08:05,760 Speaker 1: on this. 186 00:08:05,880 --> 00:08:11,360 Speaker 2: Actually, where are the edges in these three categories in 187 00:08:11,400 --> 00:08:16,280 Speaker 2: this LSU UCLA game? What's the home field edge, what 188 00:08:16,440 --> 00:08:20,160 Speaker 2: is the quarterback edge? And what is the coaching edge 189 00:08:20,200 --> 00:08:22,840 Speaker 2: as an entire staff, because I think there may be 190 00:08:23,080 --> 00:08:28,280 Speaker 2: a national misconception on all three fronts. You see, obviously, 191 00:08:28,480 --> 00:08:30,320 Speaker 2: this game's being played in the Rose Bowl. You say, 192 00:08:30,400 --> 00:08:33,720 Speaker 2: check home field advantage UCLA. You'll see every bit as 193 00:08:33,760 --> 00:08:36,720 Speaker 2: much purple out there as you do powder blue Saturday. 194 00:08:37,000 --> 00:08:38,440 Speaker 1: Guarantee you watch and see. 195 00:08:38,760 --> 00:08:41,720 Speaker 2: Secondly, the quarterback edge DTR has been out there a 196 00:08:41,720 --> 00:08:45,320 Speaker 2: long time, but yet Max Johnson is probably a guy 197 00:08:45,360 --> 00:08:47,720 Speaker 2: that I think has as high and upside, but the 198 00:08:47,800 --> 00:08:52,160 Speaker 2: nation doesn't know about Max Johnson. Drian Thompson Robinson's been 199 00:08:52,200 --> 00:08:55,200 Speaker 2: the name that's been in the kind of college football 200 00:08:55,200 --> 00:08:56,080 Speaker 2: either for quite a while. 201 00:08:56,120 --> 00:08:57,000 Speaker 1: Max Johnson's not. 202 00:08:57,320 --> 00:09:00,400 Speaker 2: So you may think the home guy is the edge edge, 203 00:09:00,480 --> 00:09:01,840 Speaker 2: but it could be that at the end of the 204 00:09:01,840 --> 00:09:04,360 Speaker 2: game you say, no, the Max Johnson kid, he's actually 205 00:09:04,400 --> 00:09:07,120 Speaker 2: pretty good too. But the coaching staff edge, this is 206 00:09:07,120 --> 00:09:09,600 Speaker 2: what I'm most fascinated by because you would not go 207 00:09:09,720 --> 00:09:12,480 Speaker 2: chip Kelly at orser on heads up and go Edge 208 00:09:12,679 --> 00:09:15,760 Speaker 2: or Jerun, even with the checkered recent pass that Chip 209 00:09:15,840 --> 00:09:18,320 Speaker 2: Kelly's had. But I'm talking about an entire staff, and 210 00:09:18,360 --> 00:09:20,080 Speaker 2: this is where you find out a lot about Deronte 211 00:09:20,200 --> 00:09:23,120 Speaker 2: Jones and the new defensive coordinator higher for LSU. You 212 00:09:23,200 --> 00:09:25,880 Speaker 2: find out a lot about Pete's the offensive coordinator higher. 213 00:09:25,960 --> 00:09:29,080 Speaker 2: There's just so much that remains to be seen. But 214 00:09:29,160 --> 00:09:32,800 Speaker 2: that's the fun thing about September. Finally, eight months, nine 215 00:09:32,840 --> 00:09:34,920 Speaker 2: months of talk and finally you get to see the 216 00:09:34,960 --> 00:09:35,920 Speaker 2: product on the field. 217 00:09:36,040 --> 00:09:38,880 Speaker 1: So let's take a look at what the Vegas line 218 00:09:38,920 --> 00:09:40,760 Speaker 1: currently is. This thing's been moving around a little bit. 219 00:09:40,800 --> 00:09:42,880 Speaker 2: And then let's take a look also right next to it, 220 00:09:42,880 --> 00:09:45,720 Speaker 2: at what our model says. So the Vegas line on 221 00:09:45,800 --> 00:09:48,880 Speaker 2: this right now is LSU minus three. There's a lot 222 00:09:48,920 --> 00:09:51,320 Speaker 2: of LSU minus two and a half out there, so 223 00:09:51,400 --> 00:09:53,800 Speaker 2: full disclosure, we made this graphic like three hours ago. 224 00:09:54,200 --> 00:09:56,800 Speaker 2: That line's kind of been floating around. Remember when this 225 00:09:56,840 --> 00:09:59,839 Speaker 2: first came out and I told you that this line 226 00:10:00,160 --> 00:10:02,080 Speaker 2: going to be under three, and I got a lot 227 00:10:02,080 --> 00:10:04,440 Speaker 2: of reaction about it. Like I decide what the line. 228 00:10:04,520 --> 00:10:06,960 Speaker 2: I was just telling you fact and a lot of 229 00:10:06,960 --> 00:10:09,240 Speaker 2: you were incredulous. You couldn't believe it, and then you swore, 230 00:10:09,600 --> 00:10:11,240 Speaker 2: I'll bet my entire life. 231 00:10:11,000 --> 00:10:12,400 Speaker 1: Savings on it if they released that. 232 00:10:12,440 --> 00:10:14,559 Speaker 2: Well, a lot of you did, and that line went 233 00:10:14,600 --> 00:10:17,280 Speaker 2: from LSU minus one and a half to LSU minus four. 234 00:10:17,600 --> 00:10:20,320 Speaker 1: But look what's happened. It didn't balloon to seven. 235 00:10:20,760 --> 00:10:23,280 Speaker 2: It's come right back down and it's either at field 236 00:10:23,320 --> 00:10:25,439 Speaker 2: goal or a little bit under a field goal. Now 237 00:10:25,520 --> 00:10:28,440 Speaker 2: you some of you, some of you took that to me. 238 00:10:28,480 --> 00:10:30,880 Speaker 2: And I was putting a prediction out on the game, 239 00:10:31,000 --> 00:10:33,280 Speaker 2: which is ASA nine. If you've ever watched me, you 240 00:10:33,280 --> 00:10:35,480 Speaker 2: know I'm not giving you any prediction in March or April. 241 00:10:35,960 --> 00:10:38,160 Speaker 2: But now it is time to give a prediction. Our 242 00:10:38,280 --> 00:10:42,160 Speaker 2: actual in house model leans LSU. It's got LSU minus five. 243 00:10:43,200 --> 00:10:46,720 Speaker 2: And so I'm looking and I'm thinking to myself, do 244 00:10:46,840 --> 00:10:49,280 Speaker 2: I really believe they are that improved? Because it's easy 245 00:10:49,280 --> 00:10:51,960 Speaker 2: to go athlete for athlete. It's easy to look at 246 00:10:52,000 --> 00:10:56,800 Speaker 2: talent roster and say, oh man, LSU way out classes UCLA. 247 00:10:57,040 --> 00:10:59,160 Speaker 2: That is not the way a football game is won. 248 00:11:00,200 --> 00:11:03,439 Speaker 2: Less talented rosters win all the time. Iowa State does 249 00:11:03,480 --> 00:11:06,120 Speaker 2: it all the time, and so UCLA can win this game. 250 00:11:06,280 --> 00:11:08,880 Speaker 1: But LSU will win this game, and I think LSU 251 00:11:08,920 --> 00:11:09,880 Speaker 1: will cover as well. 252 00:11:10,040 --> 00:11:12,880 Speaker 2: And I think it'll be very reminiscent of that opener 253 00:11:12,920 --> 00:11:15,640 Speaker 2: they had against Miami that I think was in Dallas 254 00:11:15,640 --> 00:11:16,440 Speaker 2: a few years ago. 255 00:11:16,880 --> 00:11:19,080 Speaker 1: There were cases you could make for Miami. 256 00:11:19,320 --> 00:11:22,600 Speaker 2: Miami had some athletes, Miami had some edges, but they 257 00:11:22,600 --> 00:11:23,559 Speaker 2: don't play halves. 258 00:11:23,640 --> 00:11:27,000 Speaker 1: They're making them play four quarters and over four quarters. 259 00:11:26,640 --> 00:11:29,480 Speaker 2: I don't think UCLA is going to be consistent enough 260 00:11:29,520 --> 00:11:32,960 Speaker 2: through the air offensively. Conversely, and I'm telling you this, 261 00:11:33,160 --> 00:11:36,400 Speaker 2: even if that LSU ground game doesn't take over, there 262 00:11:36,440 --> 00:11:39,319 Speaker 2: are going to be moments, whether it be kaysham Boutet 263 00:11:39,600 --> 00:11:42,280 Speaker 2: or whether it be one or multiples of these true 264 00:11:42,280 --> 00:11:45,480 Speaker 2: freshmen they have where you're eventually going to go whoa. 265 00:11:46,040 --> 00:11:48,240 Speaker 1: It'll probably happen about four or five times. 266 00:11:48,679 --> 00:11:51,160 Speaker 2: LSU will have enough guys that make you go whoa 267 00:11:51,720 --> 00:11:55,160 Speaker 2: to where UCLA doesn't. I know that sounds very very 268 00:11:55,240 --> 00:11:57,720 Speaker 2: dumb down, but that's how this particular game is going 269 00:11:57,800 --> 00:11:58,199 Speaker 2: to play out. 270 00:11:58,559 --> 00:12:00,520 Speaker 1: Athletes will win the game game. 271 00:12:00,559 --> 00:12:03,640 Speaker 2: Athletes will make more plays for LSU, and through a 272 00:12:03,640 --> 00:12:05,959 Speaker 2: four quarter game. They will not only win. I think 273 00:12:06,080 --> 00:12:08,040 Speaker 2: LSU will cover this thing. So give me LSU to 274 00:12:08,080 --> 00:12:11,200 Speaker 2: win and lay anything three or less. It's not a 275 00:12:11,280 --> 00:12:14,120 Speaker 2: ram and noodle pick necessarily, but it is a pick 276 00:12:14,160 --> 00:12:18,520 Speaker 2: that we like. All right, let's roll on here, let's 277 00:12:18,559 --> 00:12:21,680 Speaker 2: go to the Sunday night game. So we come home 278 00:12:21,679 --> 00:12:24,560 Speaker 2: from a big Saturday buffet of games, and we're going 279 00:12:24,640 --> 00:12:26,599 Speaker 2: to do late Kick live on Sunday. We'll start it 280 00:12:26,640 --> 00:12:29,240 Speaker 2: a little bit early, as I said, six thirty Eastern, 281 00:12:29,280 --> 00:12:30,200 Speaker 2: five thirty central. 282 00:12:30,240 --> 00:12:33,160 Speaker 1: Why are we doing that? Because of what comes Sunday night? 283 00:12:33,760 --> 00:12:36,520 Speaker 2: Notre Dame as a seven and a half point favorite 284 00:12:36,520 --> 00:12:39,520 Speaker 2: at Florida State. It's the Sunday night seven thirty game 285 00:12:39,760 --> 00:12:44,160 Speaker 2: on ABC. I get the sense that the nation thinks 286 00:12:44,240 --> 00:12:45,480 Speaker 2: it has a pretty. 287 00:12:45,160 --> 00:12:51,000 Speaker 1: Good read on both of these programs. Probably if you asked. 288 00:12:50,760 --> 00:12:54,120 Speaker 2: The general college football public what do you feel about 289 00:12:54,120 --> 00:12:55,280 Speaker 2: Florida State right now? 290 00:12:55,559 --> 00:12:57,800 Speaker 1: You probably know it's your two under Mike Norvel. 291 00:12:58,320 --> 00:13:00,200 Speaker 2: It's Florida State, so they have to have I have 292 00:13:00,240 --> 00:13:02,920 Speaker 2: some decent athleticism on the roster, and you got the 293 00:13:02,960 --> 00:13:06,280 Speaker 2: year one to year two bump, and also Mackenzie Milton's there. 294 00:13:06,360 --> 00:13:08,880 Speaker 2: Now it's probably the extent of what many of you 295 00:13:08,960 --> 00:13:12,000 Speaker 2: know about Florida State. Now, as for Notre Dame, a 296 00:13:12,040 --> 00:13:13,880 Speaker 2: lot of you know it's going to be a good, 297 00:13:13,920 --> 00:13:16,880 Speaker 2: solid program any given you Under Brian Kelly, they're going 298 00:13:16,960 --> 00:13:19,640 Speaker 2: to be really hard knows. They're going to be fundamentally sound. 299 00:13:19,800 --> 00:13:22,640 Speaker 2: They're not going to be explosive offensively. They got that 300 00:13:22,840 --> 00:13:25,240 Speaker 2: Jack Cone guy's probably what a lot of you would say, 301 00:13:25,600 --> 00:13:28,679 Speaker 2: the guy who was second best at Wisconsin at the 302 00:13:28,760 --> 00:13:30,520 Speaker 2: end of the day. So he's going to now be 303 00:13:30,600 --> 00:13:32,600 Speaker 2: the guy who starts here and tries to be Ian 304 00:13:32,640 --> 00:13:35,160 Speaker 2: Book two point zero, even though their games don't necessarily 305 00:13:35,240 --> 00:13:38,320 Speaker 2: match up. That's what most of you know about these programs. 306 00:13:38,440 --> 00:13:41,000 Speaker 2: How much does it match reality? Let's talk about this. 307 00:13:41,920 --> 00:13:44,680 Speaker 2: I went back for a reference point on this game, 308 00:13:44,880 --> 00:13:47,559 Speaker 2: and I watched a lot of that Notre Dame North 309 00:13:47,600 --> 00:13:50,360 Speaker 2: Carolina matchup from last year because what I wanted to 310 00:13:50,400 --> 00:13:52,680 Speaker 2: know is I wanted to know if I could convince 311 00:13:52,760 --> 00:13:55,959 Speaker 2: myself that this game has any shot of. 312 00:13:55,960 --> 00:13:57,280 Speaker 1: Looking different than that one. 313 00:13:57,360 --> 00:13:58,599 Speaker 2: And a lot of you remember that when it was 314 00:13:58,640 --> 00:14:00,920 Speaker 2: a thirty one to seventeen five, but it was a 315 00:14:00,960 --> 00:14:03,120 Speaker 2: game that after a fast start, I think it was 316 00:14:03,160 --> 00:14:05,640 Speaker 2: fourteen to fourteen. At the end of one, after a 317 00:14:05,679 --> 00:14:09,000 Speaker 2: fast start, Notre Dame just grabbed the game by the throat. 318 00:14:09,000 --> 00:14:10,480 Speaker 2: It was like Notre Dame was trying to grab a 319 00:14:10,480 --> 00:14:13,600 Speaker 2: snake and the snake was slithering around. But eventually Notre 320 00:14:13,640 --> 00:14:16,480 Speaker 2: Dame grabbed a snake and the snake had no shot, 321 00:14:16,559 --> 00:14:19,040 Speaker 2: and Notre Dame just held the snake up and it 322 00:14:19,080 --> 00:14:21,840 Speaker 2: was really blue, really weird colored snake. But it was 323 00:14:21,880 --> 00:14:24,960 Speaker 2: done because North Carolina couldn't match up line of scrimmage, 324 00:14:25,040 --> 00:14:26,000 Speaker 2: and so it was done. 325 00:14:26,240 --> 00:14:28,600 Speaker 1: And at the end of the day it was Notre 326 00:14:28,680 --> 00:14:29,560 Speaker 1: Dame running it. 327 00:14:30,080 --> 00:14:32,440 Speaker 2: Thirty six times for a little over two hundred yards 328 00:14:32,480 --> 00:14:34,880 Speaker 2: I think if you don't count sack yardage. And so 329 00:14:35,000 --> 00:14:38,840 Speaker 2: they put in North Carolina consistently in bad third down situations. 330 00:14:38,880 --> 00:14:41,760 Speaker 2: North Carolina was two of twelve that day. So does 331 00:14:41,800 --> 00:14:44,240 Speaker 2: that carry over here? No, A lot of these guys 332 00:14:44,280 --> 00:14:45,920 Speaker 2: are different players. Notre Dame has a lot of the 333 00:14:45,960 --> 00:14:49,240 Speaker 2: different players and they had last year. But stylistically, I 334 00:14:49,280 --> 00:14:51,560 Speaker 2: was trying to convince myself that this game will be different. 335 00:14:52,160 --> 00:14:55,240 Speaker 2: I don't know that it will be, but I'm open 336 00:14:55,400 --> 00:14:57,320 Speaker 2: to having my mind changed. 337 00:14:57,720 --> 00:15:00,960 Speaker 1: Notre Dame is down some offensive line pieces from that team. Now. 338 00:15:01,520 --> 00:15:06,200 Speaker 2: I was talking to someone who. 339 00:15:06,040 --> 00:15:08,560 Speaker 1: Was informed about this team this past week. 340 00:15:09,080 --> 00:15:12,240 Speaker 2: Notre Dame, I think as a staff has gone through 341 00:15:12,240 --> 00:15:15,680 Speaker 2: a little bit of a cycle since spring. They thought 342 00:15:15,680 --> 00:15:18,920 Speaker 2: that they'd be pretty good team, but they probably thought 343 00:15:19,080 --> 00:15:19,440 Speaker 2: some of. 344 00:15:19,400 --> 00:15:22,320 Speaker 1: Them, at least going into spring, we're going to be 345 00:15:22,400 --> 00:15:23,120 Speaker 1: one year away. 346 00:15:23,480 --> 00:15:26,120 Speaker 2: I think now they believe this team at its top 347 00:15:26,240 --> 00:15:29,160 Speaker 2: end is capable of making the playoff again. They feel 348 00:15:29,200 --> 00:15:31,600 Speaker 2: that good about where they've come with the freshmen they're 349 00:15:31,600 --> 00:15:33,680 Speaker 2: going to start along with the transfer from Marshall. They're 350 00:15:33,680 --> 00:15:35,560 Speaker 2: going to start on the offensive line. They feel like 351 00:15:35,600 --> 00:15:38,360 Speaker 2: they went two for two there. But also in this 352 00:15:38,440 --> 00:15:42,240 Speaker 2: particular game. They love both lines of scrimmage. They love 353 00:15:42,320 --> 00:15:45,840 Speaker 2: both of those matchups, and they don't feel that Florida 354 00:15:45,880 --> 00:15:50,200 Speaker 2: State has the weapons, the consistency in the weaponry out wide. 355 00:15:50,600 --> 00:15:52,000 Speaker 1: And even if they do. 356 00:15:52,000 --> 00:15:53,480 Speaker 2: I'm going to get to this point with Florida State 357 00:15:53,560 --> 00:15:57,240 Speaker 2: quarterbacks in the second I don't know that offensively Florida 358 00:15:57,240 --> 00:15:59,440 Speaker 2: State's going to be anywhere close to in Week one 359 00:16:00,120 --> 00:16:03,160 Speaker 2: they're eventually capable of being. So I think it's advantage 360 00:16:03,200 --> 00:16:04,600 Speaker 2: both line of scrimmage for Notre Dame. 361 00:16:04,600 --> 00:16:07,400 Speaker 1: Here. I've got a question about the way Mike Norvel 362 00:16:07,480 --> 00:16:10,480 Speaker 1: is going to handle quarterback. They have not publicized a starter. 363 00:16:11,320 --> 00:16:14,440 Speaker 2: I believe that, unlike the Texas situation where we were 364 00:16:14,440 --> 00:16:16,240 Speaker 2: just biding our time and we were eventually going to 365 00:16:16,240 --> 00:16:17,000 Speaker 2: get an announcement. 366 00:16:17,360 --> 00:16:19,760 Speaker 1: I believe you're going to see both guys. I believe 367 00:16:19,760 --> 00:16:21,360 Speaker 1: you're going to see Travis. I believe you're going to 368 00:16:21,400 --> 00:16:23,560 Speaker 1: see Mackenzie Milton a lot. I don't know if it's 369 00:16:23,560 --> 00:16:24,840 Speaker 1: fifty to fifty deal, but I think you're going to 370 00:16:24,880 --> 00:16:25,640 Speaker 1: see both of them a lot. 371 00:16:26,400 --> 00:16:29,520 Speaker 2: So the line sits at seven and a half. It 372 00:16:29,600 --> 00:16:32,080 Speaker 2: was bet down from nine or ten when it was 373 00:16:32,320 --> 00:16:35,120 Speaker 2: originally released. And so let's take a look at what 374 00:16:35,120 --> 00:16:37,240 Speaker 2: our model thinks about this. Okay, so we know that 375 00:16:37,280 --> 00:16:39,320 Speaker 2: there's been some action on Florida State. 376 00:16:39,360 --> 00:16:39,720 Speaker 1: I get it. 377 00:16:39,720 --> 00:16:41,920 Speaker 2: They're honoring Bobby Bowden. It's a night game, it's a 378 00:16:41,960 --> 00:16:44,800 Speaker 2: standalone game. It's at dope Campbell Stadium. It's Notre Dame 379 00:16:44,840 --> 00:16:48,040 Speaker 2: taking some unfamiliar pieces out on the road. Our model 380 00:16:48,160 --> 00:16:51,880 Speaker 2: loves Notre Dame here. So the Vegas line currently is 381 00:16:52,440 --> 00:16:55,040 Speaker 2: Irish minus seven and a half. Our in house model 382 00:16:55,040 --> 00:16:56,880 Speaker 2: has this thing all the way up in double digits. 383 00:16:58,040 --> 00:17:01,720 Speaker 2: We are strongly considering this out on the Rama Noodle Express, 384 00:17:01,760 --> 00:17:02,760 Speaker 2: even at seven and a half. 385 00:17:03,200 --> 00:17:04,240 Speaker 1: I prefer seven. 386 00:17:04,280 --> 00:17:07,560 Speaker 2: Obviously, this is going to be a personal play for me, 387 00:17:07,800 --> 00:17:10,240 Speaker 2: even if it is not handed out on the Rama 388 00:17:10,240 --> 00:17:13,640 Speaker 2: Noodle Express. If you see seven, consider that a Roma 389 00:17:13,640 --> 00:17:16,280 Speaker 2: Noodle Express play. But we are taking Notre Dame and 390 00:17:16,520 --> 00:17:18,800 Speaker 2: kind of the same theme as we were talking about 391 00:17:18,920 --> 00:17:20,600 Speaker 2: a little while ago with LSU. 392 00:17:20,640 --> 00:17:22,200 Speaker 1: Over a four quarter night. 393 00:17:22,400 --> 00:17:25,480 Speaker 2: I think, ironically, some of the elements that exist that 394 00:17:25,560 --> 00:17:28,880 Speaker 2: are unique to Florida, all that heat and humidity that 395 00:17:28,960 --> 00:17:32,320 Speaker 2: plays in Notre Dame's favor, I mean, you can market 396 00:17:32,320 --> 00:17:34,160 Speaker 2: it as an advantage for the Noles all you want 397 00:17:34,160 --> 00:17:37,159 Speaker 2: to stand it up with what Notre Dame is going 398 00:17:37,240 --> 00:17:38,960 Speaker 2: to show you and what Notre Dame is going to 399 00:17:39,080 --> 00:17:41,480 Speaker 2: lean on you with over four quarters. I don't get 400 00:17:41,480 --> 00:17:43,280 Speaker 2: the sense that Notre Dame or that Florida State's got 401 00:17:43,280 --> 00:17:45,560 Speaker 2: any more of a shot to withstand that than North 402 00:17:45,600 --> 00:17:47,840 Speaker 2: Carolina did last year. And so I'm gonna take North 403 00:17:47,880 --> 00:17:50,040 Speaker 2: Carolina to win, or it would be a big deal. 404 00:17:50,080 --> 00:17:51,960 Speaker 2: I'm gonna take Notre Dame to win, and we'll take 405 00:17:52,000 --> 00:17:54,320 Speaker 2: Notre Dame and will lay those seven and a half points. 406 00:17:54,880 --> 00:17:57,280 Speaker 2: I wanted to save this one, but first I want 407 00:17:57,280 --> 00:17:58,320 Speaker 2: to tell you about something. 408 00:18:00,680 --> 00:18:02,400 Speaker 1: Colin gets the joke, and if he doesn't, I'll tell 409 00:18:02,440 --> 00:18:03,280 Speaker 1: them afterwards. 410 00:18:04,080 --> 00:18:07,320 Speaker 2: I announced Tuesday night that our friends from Academy Sports 411 00:18:07,600 --> 00:18:10,919 Speaker 2: have come on board, and believe it or not, after 412 00:18:11,040 --> 00:18:14,040 Speaker 2: an entire trial run with us, they're still on board 413 00:18:14,280 --> 00:18:16,080 Speaker 2: and we're really excited about this. So they'll be here 414 00:18:16,119 --> 00:18:19,040 Speaker 2: all season long. But college football season, as you can 415 00:18:19,080 --> 00:18:22,479 Speaker 2: clearly tell, is here. I was at the store today. Now, 416 00:18:22,480 --> 00:18:25,439 Speaker 2: I was getting stuff to travel tomorrow, but man, I 417 00:18:25,560 --> 00:18:30,120 Speaker 2: was at an undisclosed local grocery location, and I saw 418 00:18:30,280 --> 00:18:32,400 Speaker 2: packed aisles, and I saw a lot of people trying 419 00:18:32,400 --> 00:18:36,400 Speaker 2: to buy tailgate supplies, and I saw people grabbing stuff 420 00:18:36,480 --> 00:18:38,280 Speaker 2: that they were going to probably have to make another 421 00:18:38,280 --> 00:18:40,520 Speaker 2: stop for because you could clearly tell that everything on 422 00:18:40,560 --> 00:18:43,439 Speaker 2: their wish list was not in that one location. And 423 00:18:43,520 --> 00:18:46,400 Speaker 2: I thought to myself, people, why aren't you at Academy 424 00:18:46,440 --> 00:18:50,280 Speaker 2: Sports and Outdoors, Because number one, there are partners, so 425 00:18:50,320 --> 00:18:51,960 Speaker 2: every one of you should be there. But number two, 426 00:18:52,440 --> 00:18:54,440 Speaker 2: not only do you have all your grilling stuff there, 427 00:18:54,720 --> 00:18:57,080 Speaker 2: you got your You said something the other night, I 428 00:18:57,080 --> 00:18:59,280 Speaker 2: didn't want to you got your merch that's what you got. 429 00:18:59,320 --> 00:19:02,879 Speaker 1: You got all your you got all your shirts and hats, 430 00:19:02,880 --> 00:19:05,080 Speaker 1: and you got the canopies. You got everything you need. 431 00:19:05,280 --> 00:19:09,280 Speaker 2: But also they, unlike some of these other unnamed locations, 432 00:19:09,480 --> 00:19:13,000 Speaker 2: are the actual outdoor supplier of the SEC and the 433 00:19:13,000 --> 00:19:14,680 Speaker 2: Big twelve don't wait line. 434 00:19:14,680 --> 00:19:16,560 Speaker 1: If you don't want to, you don't have to. Academy 435 00:19:16,560 --> 00:19:17,159 Speaker 1: dot com. 436 00:19:17,280 --> 00:19:19,840 Speaker 2: You have all of your wants and needs for anything 437 00:19:19,880 --> 00:19:24,200 Speaker 2: tailgate related, anything college football related, academy sports and outdoors. 438 00:19:24,480 --> 00:19:27,000 Speaker 2: It needs to be a go to for you this 439 00:19:27,119 --> 00:19:29,399 Speaker 2: time of year. If you go there and you don't 440 00:19:29,440 --> 00:19:32,600 Speaker 2: find any of the tailgate necessities you need. 441 00:19:32,960 --> 00:19:34,760 Speaker 1: Let me know and then I'll take care of it 442 00:19:34,800 --> 00:19:36,400 Speaker 1: for you. All right, now, we can move on. 443 00:19:36,520 --> 00:19:39,520 Speaker 2: Because we have got a game coming up in less 444 00:19:39,520 --> 00:19:42,639 Speaker 2: than thirty minutes. This is the closest to deadline that 445 00:19:42,680 --> 00:19:45,399 Speaker 2: we have ever done a game preview. Ohio State is 446 00:19:45,440 --> 00:19:48,320 Speaker 2: about to tee it up again in twenty seven minutes. 447 00:19:48,920 --> 00:19:52,200 Speaker 2: According to my current clock, they are favored by fourteen. 448 00:19:52,280 --> 00:19:55,000 Speaker 2: Are the buck guys at Minnesota tonight. This is an 449 00:19:55,000 --> 00:19:58,600 Speaker 2: eight eastern, seven Central kickoff on Fox. There was news 450 00:19:58,640 --> 00:20:00,680 Speaker 2: from earlier today. If you're just getting home from work, 451 00:20:00,720 --> 00:20:04,480 Speaker 2: maybe you don't know. Ohio State down three starters. Miller 452 00:20:04,600 --> 00:20:07,040 Speaker 2: the center is probably the biggest here. I say, Cam 453 00:20:07,080 --> 00:20:09,479 Speaker 2: Brown a corner is a pretty big deal. And then 454 00:20:09,480 --> 00:20:13,199 Speaker 2: their noseguard listed as a starter, Cage is out too, 455 00:20:13,320 --> 00:20:18,080 Speaker 2: So whatever the reasons are, that's irrelevant, they're out. I 456 00:20:18,080 --> 00:20:21,320 Speaker 2: think Miller at center is probably the biggest deal here. 457 00:20:21,560 --> 00:20:26,320 Speaker 1: But listen, Luke what's his last name, Wilper. 458 00:20:26,400 --> 00:20:29,359 Speaker 2: It's got a weird last name, Luke w He spent 459 00:20:29,480 --> 00:20:32,000 Speaker 2: all of spring running with the ones at Ohio State. 460 00:20:32,119 --> 00:20:33,840 Speaker 2: So it's not like they're going to plug in a 461 00:20:33,840 --> 00:20:36,959 Speaker 2: guy who is completely green off the vine tonight, so 462 00:20:37,000 --> 00:20:39,160 Speaker 2: they feel okay about him, and he was a standout 463 00:20:39,160 --> 00:20:40,960 Speaker 2: in spring, so they feel okay about him, So the 464 00:20:41,000 --> 00:20:43,159 Speaker 2: focus is not going to be there. My point is 465 00:20:43,359 --> 00:20:45,320 Speaker 2: the focus is going to be on CJ. Stroud tonight 466 00:20:45,320 --> 00:20:48,639 Speaker 2: at quarterback. But what I want to stress, and we 467 00:20:48,720 --> 00:20:51,640 Speaker 2: probably haven't spent enough time talking about this aspect. Yeah, 468 00:20:51,640 --> 00:20:54,840 Speaker 2: it's his first start. This is not a typical first start. 469 00:20:54,960 --> 00:20:59,120 Speaker 2: All first starts are not created equal. Consider a how 470 00:20:59,160 --> 00:21:01,800 Speaker 2: he won the job, and how he won the job 471 00:21:02,119 --> 00:21:04,080 Speaker 2: was having to beat out two or three other guys 472 00:21:04,320 --> 00:21:07,200 Speaker 2: who were also fully qualified, to be a starting quarterback 473 00:21:07,240 --> 00:21:10,080 Speaker 2: in the Big Ten. So you are taking such a 474 00:21:10,119 --> 00:21:13,480 Speaker 2: fine filter on this position that whatever was left after 475 00:21:13,480 --> 00:21:16,119 Speaker 2: you filtered everything else out pretty good chance it's going 476 00:21:16,160 --> 00:21:19,119 Speaker 2: to be a stud. And number two, consider what he 477 00:21:19,200 --> 00:21:23,000 Speaker 2: has around him. There are some quarterbacks who are making 478 00:21:23,240 --> 00:21:26,400 Speaker 2: their first starts across the landscape of college football this week. 479 00:21:26,600 --> 00:21:28,520 Speaker 2: They're going to be asked to do so much more 480 00:21:28,680 --> 00:21:30,800 Speaker 2: than they really have any business being asked to do. 481 00:21:31,240 --> 00:21:34,000 Speaker 1: CJ. Stroud is not in that position now. 482 00:21:34,040 --> 00:21:36,840 Speaker 2: It does help that he has the physical tools in 483 00:21:36,960 --> 00:21:39,800 Speaker 2: order to execute that kind of thing. If desperation did arise, 484 00:21:40,200 --> 00:21:41,640 Speaker 2: he's got to make decisions. 485 00:21:42,000 --> 00:21:42,960 Speaker 1: That's what he's got to make. 486 00:21:43,040 --> 00:21:46,119 Speaker 2: They're going to be some All American caliber wide receivers 487 00:21:46,240 --> 00:21:48,320 Speaker 2: who cannot start for Ohio State tonight. 488 00:21:48,400 --> 00:21:49,400 Speaker 1: That's how deep they are. 489 00:21:49,680 --> 00:21:52,639 Speaker 2: We probably get to see the first few carries of 490 00:21:52,680 --> 00:21:56,560 Speaker 2: Traveon Henderson's career, but masteratigues back there. They've got a 491 00:21:56,600 --> 00:21:59,600 Speaker 2: stable of backs, they probably have the best offensive line 492 00:21:59,600 --> 00:22:00,840 Speaker 2: they've had several years. 493 00:22:01,040 --> 00:22:03,440 Speaker 1: That's even without their starting center. And they've got the 494 00:22:03,480 --> 00:22:06,880 Speaker 1: lotus most loaded the lotus dead wide receiver room. 495 00:22:06,920 --> 00:22:08,520 Speaker 2: There is what I want to say in the Nation. 496 00:22:08,600 --> 00:22:11,280 Speaker 2: We just make up words around here, make good decisions. 497 00:22:11,480 --> 00:22:13,440 Speaker 2: That's what he's got to do. It would very much 498 00:22:13,480 --> 00:22:17,719 Speaker 2: surprise me if Ohio State's offense did not come out tonight, 499 00:22:18,000 --> 00:22:19,920 Speaker 2: and maybe not first drive or second drive, but it 500 00:22:19,960 --> 00:22:22,520 Speaker 2: would very much surprise me if they didn't hit a 501 00:22:22,560 --> 00:22:26,080 Speaker 2: groove eventually and put Minnesota in a position where you 502 00:22:26,200 --> 00:22:28,080 Speaker 2: better trade points here because we're about to run off 503 00:22:28,119 --> 00:22:29,680 Speaker 2: twenty one to twenty eight of them and if you 504 00:22:29,680 --> 00:22:32,280 Speaker 2: can't keep up, well, you're gonna lose and you're not 505 00:22:32,320 --> 00:22:34,800 Speaker 2: going to cover. And no one wants to be in 506 00:22:34,800 --> 00:22:37,359 Speaker 2: that position. So this is not a full game breakdown. 507 00:22:37,359 --> 00:22:38,680 Speaker 2: I just wanted to put this out there right quick. 508 00:22:38,760 --> 00:22:40,440 Speaker 2: So let's take a look at what our model thinks 509 00:22:40,440 --> 00:22:43,840 Speaker 2: about this game. As I said, Ohio State anywhere from 510 00:22:43,840 --> 00:22:46,000 Speaker 2: a two touchdown favorite to thirteen and a half point 511 00:22:46,040 --> 00:22:48,280 Speaker 2: favorite as we went on the air. If it's changed 512 00:22:48,280 --> 00:22:50,840 Speaker 2: in the last twenty minutes, so be it. Our number 513 00:22:51,200 --> 00:22:53,760 Speaker 2: likes Ohio State up around sixteen and a half. So 514 00:22:53,840 --> 00:22:56,320 Speaker 2: our in house model likes the Buckeyes minus sixteen and 515 00:22:56,359 --> 00:22:56,720 Speaker 2: a half. 516 00:22:57,040 --> 00:22:58,080 Speaker 1: I'm going to roll with it. 517 00:22:58,280 --> 00:23:01,280 Speaker 2: This is one of those deals where you know, we 518 00:23:01,359 --> 00:23:03,520 Speaker 2: think higher of Minnesota than the AP does. 519 00:23:03,560 --> 00:23:04,439 Speaker 1: We've got them ranked. 520 00:23:04,520 --> 00:23:08,440 Speaker 2: But also, there are so many ways that Ohio State 521 00:23:08,440 --> 00:23:10,520 Speaker 2: can end up stretching this game to where there are 522 00:23:10,600 --> 00:23:14,120 Speaker 2: far fewer ways where Minnesota has it as a one 523 00:23:14,200 --> 00:23:16,840 Speaker 2: possession game in the fourth quarter, and with games that 524 00:23:16,880 --> 00:23:19,520 Speaker 2: float around this type of point spread, that's what I ask. 525 00:23:19,880 --> 00:23:21,720 Speaker 2: Can you have it as a one possession game in 526 00:23:21,760 --> 00:23:24,920 Speaker 2: the fourth quarter and it's not impossible and wouldn't be 527 00:23:24,960 --> 00:23:25,840 Speaker 2: the big shock in the world. 528 00:23:25,920 --> 00:23:27,240 Speaker 1: It's hard for me to see it. 529 00:23:27,480 --> 00:23:30,200 Speaker 2: What's easy for me to see is Ohio State getting 530 00:23:30,200 --> 00:23:30,919 Speaker 2: cattle prodded to. 531 00:23:30,920 --> 00:23:31,600 Speaker 1: The neck early. 532 00:23:32,080 --> 00:23:33,560 Speaker 2: That's easy to see because there are going to be 533 00:23:33,600 --> 00:23:34,920 Speaker 2: a lot of things that have to be shaken into 534 00:23:34,960 --> 00:23:37,679 Speaker 2: place for them tonight. But once it happens, and you'll know, 535 00:23:38,160 --> 00:23:40,800 Speaker 2: you'll be able to see it when it happens, it's 536 00:23:40,840 --> 00:23:43,000 Speaker 2: really gonna happen. And I think they'll end up pulling 537 00:23:43,040 --> 00:23:44,360 Speaker 2: away in this game. So I'm gonna take the buck 538 00:23:44,359 --> 00:23:46,080 Speaker 2: guys to win, and we will take them to cover 539 00:23:46,119 --> 00:23:49,760 Speaker 2: that sixteen and a half, all right, So last odds 540 00:23:49,760 --> 00:23:51,199 Speaker 2: and ends before we get out of here and go 541 00:23:51,200 --> 00:23:53,600 Speaker 2: watch some football tonight. I just wanted to kind of 542 00:23:53,640 --> 00:23:55,840 Speaker 2: go around the SEC and some things that I wanted 543 00:23:55,840 --> 00:23:57,879 Speaker 2: to touch on, just kind of what I'm watching this 544 00:23:57,960 --> 00:24:00,639 Speaker 2: weekend and what I encourage you to watch too. Alabama 545 00:24:00,840 --> 00:24:03,920 Speaker 2: plays Miami at three point thirty Eastern times Saturday in Atlanta. 546 00:24:03,960 --> 00:24:05,960 Speaker 2: A lot of talk's going to be about that offense, 547 00:24:06,160 --> 00:24:08,120 Speaker 2: and I'll be watching the offense too, But I am 548 00:24:08,160 --> 00:24:14,960 Speaker 2: extremely excited to watch Alabama's defense. They internally believe it's 549 00:24:15,320 --> 00:24:17,639 Speaker 2: going to eventually be on par with any unit that 550 00:24:17,640 --> 00:24:20,520 Speaker 2: they've had. I thought that twenty fifteen to sixteen unit 551 00:24:20,600 --> 00:24:22,800 Speaker 2: was salty. The twenty eleven it's kind of in a 552 00:24:22,840 --> 00:24:25,359 Speaker 2: different era already. But that twenty eleven unit, I mean, 553 00:24:25,359 --> 00:24:27,920 Speaker 2: that's the one that barely allowed LSU past Midfield in 554 00:24:27,960 --> 00:24:31,320 Speaker 2: the National Title Game. But Will Anderson is a guy 555 00:24:31,359 --> 00:24:34,560 Speaker 2: who has potential to be the best defensive player in 556 00:24:34,560 --> 00:24:38,680 Speaker 2: the country, and so he ironically is going to overshadow 557 00:24:38,720 --> 00:24:42,199 Speaker 2: guys like Christian Harris, Henry Totoo marches right in and 558 00:24:42,240 --> 00:24:45,359 Speaker 2: takes a starting job. But their physicality and ball skills 559 00:24:45,359 --> 00:24:47,359 Speaker 2: and their secondary I think will be as good as 560 00:24:47,359 --> 00:24:50,280 Speaker 2: you've seen in several years from Alabama. So my question 561 00:24:50,400 --> 00:24:52,760 Speaker 2: and the reason we hand it out an under tonight, 562 00:24:52,760 --> 00:24:55,280 Speaker 2: I'm about to circle back around to Ramannudle Express, So 563 00:24:55,680 --> 00:24:56,600 Speaker 2: don't worry about that. 564 00:24:56,640 --> 00:24:58,080 Speaker 1: I was gonna put it at the front of the show. 565 00:24:58,200 --> 00:24:59,199 Speaker 1: We're going to do it at the end. 566 00:25:00,000 --> 00:25:01,280 Speaker 2: But the reason we're going to be on the under 567 00:25:01,320 --> 00:25:03,320 Speaker 2: here is because of this very reason. It's gonna be 568 00:25:03,359 --> 00:25:05,720 Speaker 2: hard for Miami to move the ball. They may stun 569 00:25:05,760 --> 00:25:08,320 Speaker 2: Bama early with a score, but once that Bama defense 570 00:25:08,320 --> 00:25:10,200 Speaker 2: settles in, it's going to be hard for Miami. 571 00:25:09,920 --> 00:25:12,439 Speaker 1: To move the ball. How about Florida, what are these 572 00:25:12,520 --> 00:25:14,359 Speaker 1: quarterbacks going to look like? I put an As on 573 00:25:14,400 --> 00:25:17,359 Speaker 1: the end on purpose. We know about Emory Jones, and 574 00:25:17,440 --> 00:25:19,240 Speaker 1: Emory Jones is going to start. Emory Jones is the 575 00:25:19,280 --> 00:25:22,440 Speaker 1: starter for Florida. But they're playing Florida Atlantic. 576 00:25:23,400 --> 00:25:25,679 Speaker 2: The spreads about twenty three to twenty four, So you 577 00:25:25,840 --> 00:25:28,120 Speaker 2: just wonder, is there going to come a time where 578 00:25:28,119 --> 00:25:31,320 Speaker 2: Florida gets some margin and Anthony Richardson gets himself in 579 00:25:31,359 --> 00:25:33,199 Speaker 2: this game? And then if he's in the game, how 580 00:25:33,240 --> 00:25:36,000 Speaker 2: does Dan Mullen call the game. This is a good 581 00:25:36,040 --> 00:25:38,280 Speaker 2: position for Florida to be in. They are not opening 582 00:25:38,320 --> 00:25:41,520 Speaker 2: with Clemson. They get to open with Fau and then 583 00:25:41,760 --> 00:25:43,760 Speaker 2: I want to say they've got South Florida next week. 584 00:25:43,840 --> 00:25:45,159 Speaker 2: They got a couple of games they're going to be 585 00:25:45,200 --> 00:25:48,080 Speaker 2: heavy favorites in before they end up getting a conference play. 586 00:25:48,960 --> 00:25:52,040 Speaker 2: And so I'm very interested to see Anthony Richardson because 587 00:25:52,080 --> 00:25:55,199 Speaker 2: you keep hearing some rumblings, keep hearing some whispers out 588 00:25:55,240 --> 00:25:58,639 Speaker 2: of Florida's camp, and I'm I'm just wanting to know 589 00:25:58,680 --> 00:26:01,280 Speaker 2: how legitimate they are. I want to know how capable 590 00:26:01,359 --> 00:26:03,320 Speaker 2: is he to where if there came a time this 591 00:26:03,480 --> 00:26:06,000 Speaker 2: year where it was the third quarter and they were 592 00:26:06,040 --> 00:26:09,399 Speaker 2: bogged down and the offense just had stalled, is he 593 00:26:09,480 --> 00:26:11,760 Speaker 2: a guy that Dan Mullen is going to be comfortable 594 00:26:11,880 --> 00:26:15,120 Speaker 2: enough rolling with during meaningful game action this year. 595 00:26:15,600 --> 00:26:16,919 Speaker 1: You can again read the. 596 00:26:16,920 --> 00:26:19,760 Speaker 2: Message boards all you want, it ultimately comes down a 597 00:26:19,760 --> 00:26:21,720 Speaker 2: game time. That's when you find out what a coaching 598 00:26:21,760 --> 00:26:24,720 Speaker 2: stat's really comfortable with. Ole Miss does not play until 599 00:26:24,720 --> 00:26:29,080 Speaker 2: Monday night. Ole Miss overhauled their defense ever since last 600 00:26:29,119 --> 00:26:31,640 Speaker 2: year couldn't stop molasses in December, you know the drill. 601 00:26:31,840 --> 00:26:34,720 Speaker 2: So they overhauled their defense. They play Louisville Monday night. 602 00:26:34,800 --> 00:26:35,680 Speaker 2: That line's been on the move. 603 00:26:35,720 --> 00:26:37,200 Speaker 1: It's all the way up in the double digits now. 604 00:26:37,200 --> 00:26:40,240 Speaker 2: So a lot of ole Miss money coming in, but 605 00:26:40,359 --> 00:26:42,640 Speaker 2: I am very curious to see what kind of game 606 00:26:42,720 --> 00:26:45,440 Speaker 2: we have Monday night. Louisville is a very credible opponent. 607 00:26:46,119 --> 00:26:48,920 Speaker 2: Is this a forty eight to forty one ole Miss 608 00:26:48,960 --> 00:26:51,520 Speaker 2: type win? Or is it a game where ole Miss 609 00:26:51,520 --> 00:26:54,000 Speaker 2: stretches and it's forty eight to twenty four, because all 610 00:26:54,000 --> 00:26:55,600 Speaker 2: of a sudden, if that's the case, it's a one 611 00:26:55,640 --> 00:26:59,200 Speaker 2: game sample size, but it's a legitimate opponent, really well 612 00:26:59,240 --> 00:27:01,760 Speaker 2: coached Louisville, And so it would be a situation where 613 00:27:02,080 --> 00:27:04,879 Speaker 2: if ole Miss is indeed able to stretch them and 614 00:27:04,920 --> 00:27:07,760 Speaker 2: get some margin on them Monday night, at the very least, 615 00:27:08,040 --> 00:27:10,640 Speaker 2: you start looking ahead, because then you'd start looking ahead 616 00:27:10,680 --> 00:27:13,280 Speaker 2: to the likelihood they'll be three to oh and coming 617 00:27:13,320 --> 00:27:15,440 Speaker 2: out of a bye week when they play Bama. 618 00:27:15,520 --> 00:27:18,680 Speaker 1: And if they show life defensively, then all of a sudden, 619 00:27:18,960 --> 00:27:21,040 Speaker 1: I told you we got them ranked, the AP doesn't 620 00:27:21,040 --> 00:27:23,280 Speaker 1: have them ranked. That'll be the team. Ole Miss will 621 00:27:23,280 --> 00:27:24,000 Speaker 1: be the team after. 622 00:27:23,840 --> 00:27:27,080 Speaker 2: Week one that climbs way up because they're going to 623 00:27:27,160 --> 00:27:28,160 Speaker 2: have a standalone moment. 624 00:27:28,240 --> 00:27:29,920 Speaker 1: Everyone's going to watch them on Labor Day night. 625 00:27:30,200 --> 00:27:33,040 Speaker 2: I think they're going to look impressive, and by default 626 00:27:33,040 --> 00:27:34,359 Speaker 2: some teams are going to lose, and so you know 627 00:27:34,400 --> 00:27:38,120 Speaker 2: the old ap adage one falls, one rises, and ole 628 00:27:38,200 --> 00:27:40,960 Speaker 2: Miss will be in your local ap top twenty five 629 00:27:41,000 --> 00:27:45,119 Speaker 2: pole come Tuesday. I want to say Tennessee walked in tonight, 630 00:27:45,200 --> 00:27:47,879 Speaker 2: I said director Colin. What are you looking forward to 631 00:27:47,880 --> 00:27:52,320 Speaker 2: with Tennessee tonight? Colin wants explosive plays and the balls 632 00:27:52,400 --> 00:27:54,160 Speaker 2: kick it off in just a few minutes. He wants 633 00:27:54,200 --> 00:27:56,840 Speaker 2: at least five plays of twenty five plus yards. Now 634 00:27:57,400 --> 00:28:01,479 Speaker 2: they're playing Bowling Green and Tennessee's favorite by seven. I 635 00:28:01,520 --> 00:28:03,760 Speaker 2: want to say the team total over unders in the 636 00:28:03,800 --> 00:28:08,160 Speaker 2: low fifties. So it's possible. This is lofty, but it's possible. 637 00:28:08,320 --> 00:28:10,880 Speaker 2: And Josh Heipel's not gonna slow down tonight. They need 638 00:28:10,920 --> 00:28:13,600 Speaker 2: all the good feels around there they can get, so yes, 639 00:28:13,720 --> 00:28:16,280 Speaker 2: they will not hesitate to run it up on Bowling 640 00:28:16,320 --> 00:28:18,719 Speaker 2: Green this evening. Also, Colin wants to see what they 641 00:28:18,760 --> 00:28:21,000 Speaker 2: look like along the line of scrimmage. He wants to 642 00:28:21,000 --> 00:28:22,800 Speaker 2: see if they stand up, they look like an SEC 643 00:28:22,960 --> 00:28:26,200 Speaker 2: team along the lines of scrimmage. I endorse everything, Director 644 00:28:26,200 --> 00:28:30,199 Speaker 2: Colin said. Kentucky plays the Louisiana Munroe. Not a lot 645 00:28:30,240 --> 00:28:31,639 Speaker 2: of you are going to be watching this game, but 646 00:28:31,720 --> 00:28:33,440 Speaker 2: I encourage you to take a peek for a couple 647 00:28:33,480 --> 00:28:35,879 Speaker 2: of minutes. We got a new offensive coordinator and we 648 00:28:35,920 --> 00:28:38,720 Speaker 2: have a new offense. Period it is led by a 649 00:28:38,720 --> 00:28:41,280 Speaker 2: new left tackle and Darre Rosenthal and a new quarterback 650 00:28:41,440 --> 00:28:45,000 Speaker 2: in Will Levis. What does Kentucky what are they try 651 00:28:45,040 --> 00:28:47,200 Speaker 2: and do? What are they really trying to do? You 652 00:28:47,240 --> 00:28:49,240 Speaker 2: know they got a new coordinator, but I mean we 653 00:28:49,320 --> 00:28:52,080 Speaker 2: know what he has passed. Is what is Mark Stoops 654 00:28:52,120 --> 00:28:54,240 Speaker 2: really looking to do. You've got a team here that 655 00:28:54,280 --> 00:28:57,040 Speaker 2: you favored by over four touchdowns against. Let's see if 656 00:28:57,040 --> 00:28:59,680 Speaker 2: they try some things out. Let's see how different Kentucky looks. 657 00:29:00,040 --> 00:29:04,120 Speaker 2: And lastly, already touched on Georgia, but have you noticed 658 00:29:04,160 --> 00:29:05,920 Speaker 2: what all the talk has been about Georgia leading up 659 00:29:05,920 --> 00:29:09,120 Speaker 2: to the Clemson game. All the talk about Georgia leading 660 00:29:09,160 --> 00:29:11,240 Speaker 2: up to this Clemson game has been about JT. Daniels 661 00:29:11,320 --> 00:29:14,200 Speaker 2: rightfully so, about the health of the wide receiver corps, 662 00:29:14,320 --> 00:29:16,640 Speaker 2: about which players they're going to have, which players they 663 00:29:16,640 --> 00:29:18,600 Speaker 2: aren't gonna have. Let me ask you a question, when 664 00:29:18,680 --> 00:29:20,880 Speaker 2: is the last time Georgia went into a big game 665 00:29:21,680 --> 00:29:25,760 Speaker 2: and the running back position was less focused on then 666 00:29:25,960 --> 00:29:28,200 Speaker 2: the running back position has been focused on going into 667 00:29:28,240 --> 00:29:32,240 Speaker 2: this Clemson game. Imagine being Zamir White, Imagine being James 668 00:29:32,320 --> 00:29:38,520 Speaker 2: Cook or Kendall Milton or McIntosh, and imagine hearing people say, well, 669 00:29:38,560 --> 00:29:40,000 Speaker 2: you know, if George is gonna win this game, I 670 00:29:40,040 --> 00:29:44,120 Speaker 2: gotta throw the ball to win it now. Really, alrighty, 671 00:29:44,320 --> 00:29:46,520 Speaker 2: I'm not one to play the disrespect card. I'm not 672 00:29:46,560 --> 00:29:49,480 Speaker 2: one to use the bulletin board material. But man, if 673 00:29:49,560 --> 00:29:53,560 Speaker 2: Georgia ever gets away from running the ball to win 674 00:29:53,600 --> 00:29:56,280 Speaker 2: football games, it'll be the first time under Kirby Smart. 675 00:29:56,360 --> 00:29:59,280 Speaker 2: So I'm looking forward to seeing what that ground game 676 00:29:59,360 --> 00:30:03,400 Speaker 2: can do Saturday night in Charlotte, North Carolina. So those 677 00:30:03,400 --> 00:30:06,120 Speaker 2: are some things we're looking forward to. We are, even 678 00:30:06,160 --> 00:30:08,400 Speaker 2: with a late start, going to get out of here 679 00:30:08,400 --> 00:30:09,280 Speaker 2: in time to get. 680 00:30:09,160 --> 00:30:11,480 Speaker 1: These kickoffs underway. So I gotta go. You know what 681 00:30:11,560 --> 00:30:13,560 Speaker 1: kind of popcorn we have? I'm gonna give the popcorn. 682 00:30:13,840 --> 00:30:16,200 Speaker 1: Thank you so much. By the way, the Sunday Night 683 00:30:16,240 --> 00:30:17,120 Speaker 1: show is going to be great. 684 00:30:17,160 --> 00:30:19,760 Speaker 2: Before that, make sure you're following on Twitter and Instagram 685 00:30:19,760 --> 00:30:23,360 Speaker 2: at late kick, Josh really looking forward to a loaded weekend. 686 00:30:23,760 --> 00:30:24,880 Speaker 1: Again, make sure. 687 00:30:24,760 --> 00:30:27,840 Speaker 2: You're following those social channels and subscribe to the twenty 688 00:30:27,840 --> 00:30:30,160 Speaker 2: four to seven Sports YouTube channel. Thanks for making this 689 00:30:30,200 --> 00:30:32,680 Speaker 2: possible for director Colin our entire career in Fort Lauderdale. 690 00:30:32,720 --> 00:30:34,800 Speaker 1: I'm Josh Bade. Enjoy the games and enjoy your weekend. 691 00:30:34,840 --> 00:30:36,720 Speaker 1: We'll see you back your Sunday night. God bless