1 00:00:01,080 --> 00:00:04,400 Speaker 1: Welcome back, everybody. It's a betting pro's college football preview show. 2 00:00:04,440 --> 00:00:06,440 Speaker 1: I'm your host, Scott Bogman. Follow me on the Twitter 3 00:00:06,480 --> 00:00:09,080 Speaker 1: at bogmin Sports. I'm joined as always by Thorn niss 4 00:00:09,119 --> 00:00:12,600 Speaker 1: From at thor Ku on the Twitter machine, and Mike 5 00:00:12,680 --> 00:00:15,000 Speaker 1: Farrell at m Farrell Sports. 6 00:00:15,040 --> 00:00:16,160 Speaker 2: To ours two. 7 00:00:16,160 --> 00:00:19,439 Speaker 1: L's and look, we got ten games to go through, boys. 8 00:00:19,880 --> 00:00:23,319 Speaker 1: But I want to know first off, because Farrell, I 9 00:00:23,440 --> 00:00:27,320 Speaker 1: was with you, and you know we had the argument 10 00:00:27,400 --> 00:00:31,000 Speaker 1: on this show last week about Colorado versus TCU. I 11 00:00:31,160 --> 00:00:34,800 Speaker 1: was taking TCU, laying the points. Farrell. You may you 12 00:00:34,880 --> 00:00:37,680 Speaker 1: may or may not have called Thorn idiot. It's okay, 13 00:00:38,400 --> 00:00:43,400 Speaker 1: I've done it before, but I mean, is this like 14 00:00:44,080 --> 00:00:46,520 Speaker 1: And also I thought Texas State beating Baylor was almost 15 00:00:46,560 --> 00:00:48,720 Speaker 1: just as big as this. Obviously wasn't naturally televised and 16 00:00:48,760 --> 00:00:51,639 Speaker 1: no dion, but one of the biggest upsets in Week 17 00:00:51,680 --> 00:00:54,000 Speaker 1: one history. There were articles about how the books were 18 00:00:54,400 --> 00:00:58,520 Speaker 1: losing money. So just your quick thoughts Ferrell on Colorado 19 00:00:58,680 --> 00:01:01,640 Speaker 1: and the buff moving forward, and we'll dive into that 20 00:01:01,760 --> 00:01:04,200 Speaker 1: first game after we get your thoughts. 21 00:01:04,240 --> 00:01:07,000 Speaker 3: In Thor's thoughts, Yeah, really surprising. I mean I had 22 00:01:07,040 --> 00:01:09,080 Speaker 3: an overall pretty good week, but that one I just 23 00:01:09,080 --> 00:01:09,800 Speaker 3: didn't see coming. 24 00:01:09,840 --> 00:01:12,600 Speaker 2: So I watched the game. You know, I didn't expect. 25 00:01:12,440 --> 00:01:15,120 Speaker 3: The offense to move the ball as they did, and 26 00:01:15,160 --> 00:01:17,759 Speaker 3: then I expected them to just sort of fall off, 27 00:01:18,840 --> 00:01:21,360 Speaker 3: and they never fell off, and so then I was like, Okay, 28 00:01:21,360 --> 00:01:22,800 Speaker 3: they're going to lose this game, but they're going to 29 00:01:22,840 --> 00:01:25,119 Speaker 3: cover the moral victory. And then they won the game 30 00:01:25,160 --> 00:01:28,480 Speaker 3: out right, So I'm not really sure if TCU sucks. 31 00:01:29,000 --> 00:01:31,360 Speaker 2: I think they do. I think their defense is really 32 00:01:31,400 --> 00:01:32,240 Speaker 2: really bad. 33 00:01:32,240 --> 00:01:34,720 Speaker 3: Which surprised me because they you know, they look they 34 00:01:34,760 --> 00:01:36,560 Speaker 3: are a lot of returning starters, but they've got some 35 00:01:36,640 --> 00:01:37,399 Speaker 3: talent back there. 36 00:01:38,480 --> 00:01:40,280 Speaker 2: And I don't know why they didn't run the football. 37 00:01:41,080 --> 00:01:44,280 Speaker 2: So it doesn't matter. Colorado won. He did a great job. 38 00:01:45,319 --> 00:01:47,240 Speaker 3: That was the you know, I even said bet your 39 00:01:47,280 --> 00:01:49,760 Speaker 3: mortgage on the money line, and Thor's like, don't do that, 40 00:01:50,160 --> 00:01:52,680 Speaker 3: and I was just kidding because you had to bet 41 00:01:52,720 --> 00:01:53,640 Speaker 3: like a thousand bucks. 42 00:01:53,480 --> 00:01:56,560 Speaker 2: To make eighteen, right. Still, I was just stunned. 43 00:01:57,400 --> 00:01:59,600 Speaker 1: Yeah, Thor. I mean I was with Pharaoh like the 44 00:01:59,600 --> 00:02:02,320 Speaker 1: first cup drives. I'm sitting there going all right, you 45 00:02:02,360 --> 00:02:05,720 Speaker 1: know this is probably scripted Drives. He's the drives that 46 00:02:05,720 --> 00:02:08,760 Speaker 1: they've been practicing all off season, so sure give them 47 00:02:08,760 --> 00:02:12,320 Speaker 1: a couple points. But the onslaught did not stop the 48 00:02:12,480 --> 00:02:15,800 Speaker 1: entire game. It was there, and I mean they look great, 49 00:02:15,840 --> 00:02:18,519 Speaker 1: But I mean, like Farrell said, thor are you more 50 00:02:18,560 --> 00:02:22,320 Speaker 1: on the Colorado is very good? Or maybe TCU is 51 00:02:22,360 --> 00:02:25,680 Speaker 1: just sliding back to a regular middle of the Pac twelve, 52 00:02:25,680 --> 00:02:29,639 Speaker 1: a middle of the Big twelve team, and Colorado is better, 53 00:02:29,760 --> 00:02:31,960 Speaker 1: but maybe not as good as we're making them out 54 00:02:31,960 --> 00:02:32,120 Speaker 1: to be. 55 00:02:32,200 --> 00:02:36,120 Speaker 4: Right now, I think it's both Colorado's for real. I 56 00:02:36,120 --> 00:02:38,280 Speaker 4: think Colorado's for real. We were talking about this before 57 00:02:38,320 --> 00:02:42,080 Speaker 4: the show. My updated win projection on Colorado after I 58 00:02:42,120 --> 00:02:44,240 Speaker 4: re ran my numbers. I think it would stun people 59 00:02:44,240 --> 00:02:48,280 Speaker 4: out there. Seven point seven. I like, I couldn't believe 60 00:02:48,280 --> 00:02:50,799 Speaker 4: it when it came back. But I and I have 61 00:02:50,840 --> 00:02:52,880 Speaker 4: them fortieth in my power rankings now, which I think 62 00:02:53,000 --> 00:02:57,320 Speaker 4: is fairly. You know, it's reasonable, right, Like, I'm not 63 00:02:57,440 --> 00:02:58,880 Speaker 4: top twenty five on them, like the. 64 00:02:58,880 --> 00:03:01,720 Speaker 5: Eight people is whatever. But I think they're for real. 65 00:03:02,400 --> 00:03:04,919 Speaker 4: You know, I thought since December I put out a 66 00:03:04,960 --> 00:03:07,400 Speaker 4: tweet about this, if anyone wants to backcheck me, that 67 00:03:07,440 --> 00:03:10,359 Speaker 4: their offense was going to be sick from day one, 68 00:03:10,760 --> 00:03:12,960 Speaker 4: Shaverie Sanders high for star recruit. 69 00:03:13,040 --> 00:03:15,200 Speaker 5: He ripped up the FCS. We had proof of concept 70 00:03:15,240 --> 00:03:15,480 Speaker 5: of it. 71 00:03:15,600 --> 00:03:19,520 Speaker 1: I mean in most yards in Colorado history, passing in 72 00:03:19,560 --> 00:03:22,079 Speaker 1: a single game and life apparently. 73 00:03:21,760 --> 00:03:24,960 Speaker 4: Yeah according to his postgame interview, but you had that yet. 74 00:03:25,120 --> 00:03:26,720 Speaker 4: The receiving cor is gonna be good. They have a 75 00:03:26,720 --> 00:03:29,840 Speaker 4: deep running back stable whatever. The defense is what we 76 00:03:29,919 --> 00:03:32,480 Speaker 4: were wondering about, and it doesn't look like defen is 77 00:03:32,520 --> 00:03:34,480 Speaker 4: going to be like great, but they're going to be 78 00:03:34,560 --> 00:03:37,520 Speaker 4: viable in most of the games they play in because 79 00:03:37,520 --> 00:03:39,680 Speaker 4: they'll be able to get into the shootouts. And it's 80 00:03:40,000 --> 00:03:42,640 Speaker 4: difficult for me to envision some of these upcoming opponents 81 00:03:42,640 --> 00:03:44,880 Speaker 4: they have being able to keep up with them on 82 00:03:44,920 --> 00:03:47,440 Speaker 4: the scoreboard, and this will probably be a natural leeway 83 00:03:47,480 --> 00:03:50,240 Speaker 4: into our Colorado Nebraska discussia. But they're going to put 84 00:03:50,280 --> 00:03:51,360 Speaker 4: up points on everybody. 85 00:03:51,880 --> 00:03:54,280 Speaker 1: Yeah, so let's start there. And that's the first game 86 00:03:54,320 --> 00:03:58,520 Speaker 1: that we have early game number twenty two, Colorado hosting Nebraska. 87 00:03:58,800 --> 00:04:01,720 Speaker 1: The line Farrell is Colorado by two and a half. 88 00:04:02,000 --> 00:04:04,520 Speaker 1: The total is fifty eight and a half. I mean, 89 00:04:05,360 --> 00:04:07,680 Speaker 1: if there's a game that ever felt like a more 90 00:04:08,040 --> 00:04:11,720 Speaker 1: trappier game, I don't know what it would be. But 91 00:04:11,920 --> 00:04:16,000 Speaker 1: is the public making too big a deal of Colorado 92 00:04:16,040 --> 00:04:18,320 Speaker 1: here because eighty percent of tickets and eighty nine percent 93 00:04:18,320 --> 00:04:20,520 Speaker 1: of cash are on Colorado right now. 94 00:04:20,880 --> 00:04:22,200 Speaker 2: Yeah, it's a big reversal. 95 00:04:22,240 --> 00:04:24,320 Speaker 3: I mean, I think it's a ten point swinger, set 96 00:04:24,560 --> 00:04:27,159 Speaker 3: nine and a half pint swing, you know, from the 97 00:04:27,200 --> 00:04:28,039 Speaker 3: original line. 98 00:04:28,320 --> 00:04:29,520 Speaker 2: I think it's an overreaction. 99 00:04:31,320 --> 00:04:33,560 Speaker 3: You know, it's hard for me to say, you know, 100 00:04:33,600 --> 00:04:35,080 Speaker 3: beat against Colorado after what. 101 00:04:35,040 --> 00:04:36,920 Speaker 2: I saw on the road to TCU. 102 00:04:37,160 --> 00:04:41,640 Speaker 3: Sure, I think it's an over correction, you know, I'm 103 00:04:42,760 --> 00:04:45,920 Speaker 3: hard is Nebraska didn't look good and they choked down 104 00:04:45,960 --> 00:04:49,080 Speaker 3: the stretches they always do, and it's not like Minnesota 105 00:04:49,240 --> 00:04:52,279 Speaker 3: was a good football team or very effective in that game. 106 00:04:55,200 --> 00:04:56,880 Speaker 3: I'm going to say, Colorado, I. 107 00:04:56,800 --> 00:04:57,960 Speaker 2: Think it's an over correction. 108 00:04:58,720 --> 00:05:02,400 Speaker 3: But based on what I I saw in the two games, 109 00:05:02,800 --> 00:05:06,039 Speaker 3: I think, you know, seeing Colorado play TCU and seeing 110 00:05:06,080 --> 00:05:08,600 Speaker 3: Nebraska ploylog un to Minnesota, I think Colorado would win 111 00:05:08,640 --> 00:05:11,400 Speaker 3: that football game. So I'm gonna say, you know, lay 112 00:05:11,440 --> 00:05:15,040 Speaker 3: the points in oak Colorado wins by a field goal 113 00:05:15,080 --> 00:05:15,760 Speaker 3: to seven points. 114 00:05:16,640 --> 00:05:18,720 Speaker 1: Yeah, soor I mean, in this game, sure we can 115 00:05:18,720 --> 00:05:20,880 Speaker 1: trust the numbers, but it's hard to ignore what you 116 00:05:20,920 --> 00:05:24,520 Speaker 1: saw with your eyes right, and Colorado looked like a 117 00:05:24,600 --> 00:05:28,320 Speaker 1: real legit team, specifically on offense. We know Nebraska's you know, 118 00:05:28,400 --> 00:05:31,760 Speaker 1: Matt Ruhle more defensive team, black shirts, all that stuff, 119 00:05:32,240 --> 00:05:35,039 Speaker 1: and they look pretty good against Minnesota's offense in the 120 00:05:35,080 --> 00:05:38,159 Speaker 1: game that you were at where Minnesota came back. So 121 00:05:38,279 --> 00:05:40,440 Speaker 1: this is more of a I mean, you know, obviously 122 00:05:40,520 --> 00:05:43,360 Speaker 1: the ultimate test here is Colorado's offense first, Nebraska's defense. 123 00:05:43,520 --> 00:05:44,880 Speaker 1: How do you see this game plan out? 124 00:05:45,880 --> 00:05:49,000 Speaker 4: I you know, I I guess fair on our It's 125 00:05:49,040 --> 00:05:51,160 Speaker 4: going to be only a semi disagreement this time. 126 00:05:51,279 --> 00:05:53,200 Speaker 5: I'm certainly on the Colorado side. 127 00:05:53,640 --> 00:05:56,200 Speaker 4: The only thing I would disagree about is I actually 128 00:05:56,240 --> 00:05:58,640 Speaker 4: don't think this line has gone far enough. Is it 129 00:05:58,680 --> 00:06:01,960 Speaker 4: a correction from the incorrect assumptions that people had about 130 00:06:01,960 --> 00:06:05,120 Speaker 4: Colorado coming into the season. Yeah, it's a big adjustment, 131 00:06:05,400 --> 00:06:07,800 Speaker 4: But the market I don't think still is caught up 132 00:06:07,880 --> 00:06:09,840 Speaker 4: to how good this team is and how good it's 133 00:06:09,880 --> 00:06:12,120 Speaker 4: going to be. My line on this game is Colorado 134 00:06:12,160 --> 00:06:15,560 Speaker 4: minus five point one points. I know that there are 135 00:06:15,600 --> 00:06:18,039 Speaker 4: sharps out there that they're not going to believe. They 136 00:06:18,040 --> 00:06:21,000 Speaker 4: didn't believe in the preseason whatever they're going to, you know, 137 00:06:21,080 --> 00:06:23,760 Speaker 4: under the same auspices of the idea of like, oh, 138 00:06:23,839 --> 00:06:26,119 Speaker 4: you know, last week we would have had this at 139 00:06:26,960 --> 00:06:29,040 Speaker 4: I had nine and a half Colorado plus nine and 140 00:06:29,080 --> 00:06:30,760 Speaker 4: a half tickets from game day on one of the 141 00:06:30,800 --> 00:06:33,200 Speaker 4: books that made a mistake out there then yanked that back. 142 00:06:33,400 --> 00:06:35,479 Speaker 4: But like you know, we had this power rated this way. 143 00:06:35,680 --> 00:06:38,200 Speaker 4: You know last week, we want to be conservative in 144 00:06:38,279 --> 00:06:39,000 Speaker 4: our adjustments. 145 00:06:39,040 --> 00:06:39,360 Speaker 5: Whatever. 146 00:06:39,760 --> 00:06:41,800 Speaker 4: You can't do that no more. And this is me 147 00:06:41,880 --> 00:06:44,960 Speaker 4: talking to the sharps out there. We are in a 148 00:06:45,000 --> 00:06:48,039 Speaker 4: new era of college football and you can notice with 149 00:06:48,120 --> 00:06:51,240 Speaker 4: the teams immediately that had the big turnover how good 150 00:06:51,279 --> 00:06:53,920 Speaker 4: they are or getting getting an idea of it. You 151 00:06:54,000 --> 00:06:56,159 Speaker 4: have to give up your the notions you had coming 152 00:06:56,200 --> 00:06:58,400 Speaker 4: into the season when you see stuff like that, this 153 00:06:58,480 --> 00:06:59,320 Speaker 4: team is legit. 154 00:06:59,480 --> 00:07:02,159 Speaker 5: And like I said that, I adjusted to five point one. 155 00:07:02,440 --> 00:07:04,719 Speaker 4: To your point about the Nebraska Minnesota game, I was 156 00:07:04,760 --> 00:07:07,800 Speaker 4: in the building for that. I do think Nebraska you 157 00:07:07,800 --> 00:07:10,240 Speaker 4: were mentioning this. I do think they have a decent defense. 158 00:07:10,600 --> 00:07:12,960 Speaker 4: They're going to be solid on defense rule as a 159 00:07:13,040 --> 00:07:16,720 Speaker 4: defensive coach, et cetera. The problem is their offense stinks, 160 00:07:17,080 --> 00:07:19,920 Speaker 4: and that might not be going far enough Jeff Simms 161 00:07:19,960 --> 00:07:22,560 Speaker 4: has never been able to throw. Three year starter at 162 00:07:22,560 --> 00:07:25,360 Speaker 4: Georgia Tech, he stunk as a passer every single year. 163 00:07:25,840 --> 00:07:28,120 Speaker 4: And he is who he thought he was. Eleven for 164 00:07:28,240 --> 00:07:32,680 Speaker 4: nineteen hundred and fourteen yards, one touchdown, three interceptions against Minnesota. 165 00:07:32,760 --> 00:07:35,400 Speaker 4: Nebraska doesn't trust him to throw the ball. And that's 166 00:07:35,440 --> 00:07:38,040 Speaker 4: the first correct opinion they've had on Jeff Simms. So 167 00:07:38,200 --> 00:07:40,880 Speaker 4: they give, you know, like he can run, right, but 168 00:07:41,000 --> 00:07:42,800 Speaker 4: like you know, Gabe Irvin is just sort of a 169 00:07:43,520 --> 00:07:45,720 Speaker 4: man kind of a back that I don't love. Their 170 00:07:45,760 --> 00:07:49,120 Speaker 4: their backfield talent. And let me name off the Nebraska 171 00:07:49,160 --> 00:07:51,400 Speaker 4: receivers and you guys tell me if you've ever heard 172 00:07:51,440 --> 00:07:55,720 Speaker 4: of any of these guys. Alec Bullock, Marcus Washington, Heinrich Harberg, 173 00:07:56,120 --> 00:08:01,800 Speaker 4: Isjia Garcia Castaneda. They we don't have any wide receivers either. 174 00:08:02,000 --> 00:08:04,920 Speaker 4: Even if Jeff Simms was decent, which you most certainly 175 00:08:05,000 --> 00:08:07,560 Speaker 4: is not. It's a one handed offense. I just Jeff 176 00:08:07,600 --> 00:08:12,360 Speaker 4: Sims scrambling around essentially. And in this Colorado team, like 177 00:08:12,400 --> 00:08:14,480 Speaker 4: I said before, is going to put up points on everyone. 178 00:08:14,800 --> 00:08:17,040 Speaker 4: Nebraska is not going to have the firepower to shoot 179 00:08:17,040 --> 00:08:17,800 Speaker 4: back in this one. 180 00:08:18,480 --> 00:08:23,400 Speaker 1: Yeah, they're missing Trey Palmer a lot right now, and yeah, 181 00:08:23,440 --> 00:08:25,520 Speaker 1: I'm with you. I mean, it's just the way the 182 00:08:25,560 --> 00:08:27,920 Speaker 1: eye test, which is why I called it a trap game. 183 00:08:28,200 --> 00:08:30,920 Speaker 1: But the eye test tells you right now it's hard 184 00:08:30,920 --> 00:08:33,480 Speaker 1: to pick against Colorado. So let's move on. Let's go 185 00:08:33,520 --> 00:08:36,839 Speaker 1: to NT State versus number ten Notre Dame. Notre Dame 186 00:08:36,960 --> 00:08:38,760 Speaker 1: is a seven and a half point road favorite. That's 187 00:08:38,760 --> 00:08:40,080 Speaker 1: going to be a theme for the games we talk 188 00:08:40,120 --> 00:08:43,920 Speaker 1: about today. Seven road teams are favorited. Out of the 189 00:08:44,000 --> 00:08:46,240 Speaker 1: ten games that we will talk about, fifty one is 190 00:08:46,240 --> 00:08:50,480 Speaker 1: a total here, Farrell, Notre Dame has looked dominant. Brendon 191 00:08:50,600 --> 00:08:53,480 Speaker 1: Arms song was a little shaky. The public is on 192 00:08:53,800 --> 00:08:57,199 Speaker 1: Notre Dame just slightly, though the biggest number here is 193 00:08:58,240 --> 00:09:00,280 Speaker 1: in terms of cash is on the under here. Do 194 00:09:00,280 --> 00:09:02,000 Speaker 1: you have a good feel either way on NC State 195 00:09:02,040 --> 00:09:02,400 Speaker 1: Notre Dame. 196 00:09:04,120 --> 00:09:04,640 Speaker 5: I'm going to go. 197 00:09:05,280 --> 00:09:06,320 Speaker 2: I'm gonna go a Notre Dame. 198 00:09:06,400 --> 00:09:07,679 Speaker 3: I mean, seven and a half is a line you 199 00:09:07,720 --> 00:09:11,280 Speaker 3: don't like, you know, getting that touchdown on a hook. 200 00:09:11,400 --> 00:09:13,599 Speaker 2: But you know, they've looked very impressive. 201 00:09:13,960 --> 00:09:16,880 Speaker 3: It's been you know, two bad opponents, but it's been 202 00:09:16,920 --> 00:09:20,600 Speaker 3: a seamless transition offensively. NC State's going to provide a 203 00:09:20,640 --> 00:09:22,439 Speaker 3: little bit more of a challenge. 204 00:09:22,440 --> 00:09:26,360 Speaker 2: Of course, you know, defensively, they're pretty solid. Brennan unstrong. 205 00:09:26,960 --> 00:09:29,240 Speaker 3: You know, we'll see he's got his old offerensive coordinator. 206 00:09:30,840 --> 00:09:32,800 Speaker 3: I don't know how they'll match up against the Notre 207 00:09:32,840 --> 00:09:35,040 Speaker 3: Dame defense, but I'm going to take Notre Dame here. 208 00:09:35,880 --> 00:09:38,079 Speaker 2: I just think, you know, they're playing with a lot 209 00:09:38,080 --> 00:09:38,679 Speaker 2: of confidence. 210 00:09:38,720 --> 00:09:40,760 Speaker 3: They needed to win those two games. They needed to 211 00:09:40,800 --> 00:09:42,880 Speaker 3: win those two games big. You know, last year, I 212 00:09:42,960 --> 00:09:46,400 Speaker 3: remember they got off to such a bad start and 213 00:09:46,400 --> 00:09:49,600 Speaker 3: and I think they lost a little confidence and perhaps, 214 00:09:49,800 --> 00:09:51,680 Speaker 3: you know, people were wondering, is this, you know, is 215 00:09:51,679 --> 00:09:54,440 Speaker 3: Marcus Freeman over his head? I don't think he is. 216 00:09:55,360 --> 00:09:57,280 Speaker 3: This isn't the game that's going to trip them up. 217 00:09:57,600 --> 00:09:59,199 Speaker 3: The question is are you going to win by seven? 218 00:09:59,640 --> 00:10:01,599 Speaker 2: You know? Or more? But I think they will. I 219 00:10:01,600 --> 00:10:02,880 Speaker 2: think they're gonna win this one by ten. 220 00:10:03,480 --> 00:10:05,200 Speaker 1: Thori, I see you nodding your head. You agree with 221 00:10:05,200 --> 00:10:06,160 Speaker 1: Farrell here on this game? 222 00:10:06,720 --> 00:10:07,600 Speaker 5: I do. Yeah. 223 00:10:07,960 --> 00:10:09,560 Speaker 4: Notre Dame a team that I was a little bit 224 00:10:09,640 --> 00:10:12,120 Speaker 4: higher on than the market heading into the year, and 225 00:10:12,240 --> 00:10:15,559 Speaker 4: they've even moved up in my eyes since then. The 226 00:10:16,000 --> 00:10:18,559 Speaker 4: Navy thing, you know, and it's Navy, YadA YadA, but 227 00:10:18,640 --> 00:10:21,040 Speaker 4: maybe had a six and a half win total. They 228 00:10:21,080 --> 00:10:23,560 Speaker 4: couldn't do anything on Notre Dame. Notre Dame didn't just 229 00:10:23,600 --> 00:10:25,720 Speaker 4: tie one hand behind their back, they tie both hands 230 00:10:25,720 --> 00:10:29,240 Speaker 4: behind their back. Offensively, Navy couldn't do a thing. Notre 231 00:10:29,320 --> 00:10:31,600 Speaker 4: Dame's defense super salty. We knew it would be heading 232 00:10:31,600 --> 00:10:34,560 Speaker 4: into the season. But what's been super impressive is you 233 00:10:34,640 --> 00:10:37,800 Speaker 4: bring in Sam Hartman that in the receiving course better. 234 00:10:37,800 --> 00:10:39,880 Speaker 4: Now you've got guys healthy that were injured last year. 235 00:10:39,880 --> 00:10:42,280 Speaker 4: You got Chris Tyree playing in the slot. Now those 236 00:10:42,320 --> 00:10:45,680 Speaker 4: things in conjunction has shot that offense up. This is 237 00:10:45,720 --> 00:10:48,560 Speaker 4: another one where I think the market hasn't quite caught 238 00:10:48,600 --> 00:10:51,120 Speaker 4: up to where Notre Dame actually is. And I think 239 00:10:51,480 --> 00:10:53,679 Speaker 4: the market, if I may, might be a little bit 240 00:10:53,679 --> 00:10:55,800 Speaker 4: too high on this North Carolina State team. 241 00:10:56,120 --> 00:10:57,560 Speaker 5: I wanted to believe too. 242 00:10:57,960 --> 00:11:01,440 Speaker 4: Not to sound like Molder and Scully, but you know 243 00:11:01,520 --> 00:11:04,520 Speaker 4: you had Brennan Armstrong coming in reunited with Robert and I. 244 00:11:04,760 --> 00:11:07,320 Speaker 4: They were really good two years ago with Virginia, went 245 00:11:07,360 --> 00:11:09,440 Speaker 4: their separate ways for a year. Now they've reunited and 246 00:11:09,440 --> 00:11:13,400 Speaker 4: everything like that, Armstrong could be okay as we go. 247 00:11:13,480 --> 00:11:16,000 Speaker 4: He rushed for ninety six yards last week against Yukon. 248 00:11:16,360 --> 00:11:18,760 Speaker 4: The passing, though, was not there. That's what Robert and 249 00:11:18,760 --> 00:11:21,960 Speaker 4: I's entire system is based on, that quick hitting passing. 250 00:11:22,400 --> 00:11:25,280 Speaker 4: Armstrong his pass as a thrower, he fell off the 251 00:11:25,360 --> 00:11:28,320 Speaker 4: shelf last year at Virginia. You were hoping that with 252 00:11:28,360 --> 00:11:30,840 Speaker 4: a Knight bat him reunited with a Knight, that would 253 00:11:30,920 --> 00:11:34,040 Speaker 4: jump back up. But at least in week one against 254 00:11:34,200 --> 00:11:37,320 Speaker 4: Yukon it most certainly was in seventeen for twenty six 255 00:11:37,400 --> 00:11:40,679 Speaker 4: hundred and fifty five yards, zero touchdowns. Now you're going 256 00:11:40,760 --> 00:11:43,520 Speaker 4: up against one of the better defenses in the entire country. 257 00:11:43,840 --> 00:11:46,640 Speaker 4: I don't see how that North Carolina State team is 258 00:11:46,679 --> 00:11:48,200 Speaker 4: going to be able to go shot for shot with 259 00:11:48,280 --> 00:11:51,200 Speaker 4: this Notre Dame team. And I think Notre Dame's defense 260 00:11:51,240 --> 00:11:53,720 Speaker 4: is going to make life very very hard. I'm mister Armstrong, 261 00:11:54,400 --> 00:11:54,800 Speaker 4: all right. 262 00:11:54,880 --> 00:11:56,679 Speaker 1: Before we go to the next game, I gotta say, hey, 263 00:11:56,679 --> 00:11:59,280 Speaker 1: college football fans, are you ready to put your betting 264 00:11:59,320 --> 00:12:01,679 Speaker 1: skills to the test? Joining the Betting Pros College Football 265 00:12:01,720 --> 00:12:04,880 Speaker 1: podcast betting group. Make your picks all season long, and 266 00:12:04,920 --> 00:12:07,600 Speaker 1: if you're among the top ROI performers, you could win 267 00:12:07,760 --> 00:12:11,240 Speaker 1: big prices. Include a signed Garrett Wilson Ohio State jersey, 268 00:12:11,240 --> 00:12:14,440 Speaker 1: and premium subscriptions to Fantasy Pros and Betting Pros. Just 269 00:12:14,480 --> 00:12:16,960 Speaker 1: make at least one hundred picks throughout the season. To qualify, 270 00:12:17,240 --> 00:12:20,040 Speaker 1: jump in now at bettingpros dot com, slash college, or 271 00:12:20,080 --> 00:12:22,960 Speaker 1: in the Betting Pros app under the College Football podcast 272 00:12:23,000 --> 00:12:26,880 Speaker 1: group made the best, better win. All right, let's go 273 00:12:27,080 --> 00:12:30,640 Speaker 1: on down to the next game with another road favorite. Baylor, 274 00:12:30,720 --> 00:12:33,640 Speaker 1: who lost to Texas State last week, is going is 275 00:12:33,679 --> 00:12:37,040 Speaker 1: hosting number twelve Utah. The line right now is Utah 276 00:12:37,120 --> 00:12:39,000 Speaker 1: by seven and a half. The total is forty seven 277 00:12:39,040 --> 00:12:42,880 Speaker 1: and a half. Is this another classic letdown spot? Farrell? 278 00:12:43,679 --> 00:12:46,160 Speaker 1: No update on Cam Rising. Blake Shaping is out two 279 00:12:46,200 --> 00:12:49,880 Speaker 1: to three weeks. But it seems like maybe Baylor can't 280 00:12:49,880 --> 00:12:52,760 Speaker 1: look as bad as they did last week. But it's 281 00:12:52,840 --> 00:12:56,000 Speaker 1: looking better, good enough to compete with Utah, because I 282 00:12:56,000 --> 00:12:57,439 Speaker 1: feel like it's not it's. 283 00:12:57,280 --> 00:13:00,640 Speaker 3: Not you know, I mean, is a ad loss for 284 00:13:00,679 --> 00:13:03,720 Speaker 3: Baylor against the team that's I don't think is very good, 285 00:13:05,400 --> 00:13:07,760 Speaker 3: you know, And now they're playing a team that's very good. 286 00:13:07,760 --> 00:13:10,200 Speaker 3: And you know, I said going into the Florida game, 287 00:13:10,240 --> 00:13:11,200 Speaker 3: I didn't care whether. 288 00:13:11,040 --> 00:13:13,839 Speaker 2: Cam Raising played in that particular game because. 289 00:13:13,559 --> 00:13:15,360 Speaker 3: I just knew they were a better football team. The 290 00:13:15,440 --> 00:13:19,240 Speaker 3: quarterbacks looked better than I expected, and they gave Florida 291 00:13:19,240 --> 00:13:22,800 Speaker 3: a lot of trouble. So again, I'm not worried about 292 00:13:22,840 --> 00:13:24,800 Speaker 3: Cam Raising playing in this particular game. 293 00:13:25,040 --> 00:13:27,520 Speaker 2: I'm laying the points. I'm taking Utah. 294 00:13:27,679 --> 00:13:29,160 Speaker 3: You know, I'm not going to pick this team to 295 00:13:29,200 --> 00:13:32,120 Speaker 3: win or cover every game all season long. I'm big 296 00:13:32,160 --> 00:13:34,640 Speaker 3: on them, bigger than most people are. I think they 297 00:13:34,640 --> 00:13:37,400 Speaker 3: have a potential of the playoff, you know, depending on 298 00:13:37,440 --> 00:13:39,800 Speaker 3: how things go. You know, with the usc ore going 299 00:13:39,840 --> 00:13:42,200 Speaker 3: to Washington, it's going to be tough. But I think 300 00:13:42,280 --> 00:13:45,200 Speaker 3: this is a team on a mission and they're they're 301 00:13:46,000 --> 00:13:47,760 Speaker 3: shouldn't have a ton of trouble. I know it's on 302 00:13:47,800 --> 00:13:50,760 Speaker 3: the road, but they're just a better football team than Baylor. 303 00:13:50,800 --> 00:13:52,680 Speaker 3: Baylor is going to play better, but they're still going 304 00:13:52,720 --> 00:13:53,360 Speaker 3: to lose by ten. 305 00:13:54,040 --> 00:13:58,440 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean thor this I call it a trap 306 00:13:58,480 --> 00:14:00,800 Speaker 1: because this line doesn't look like it's big enough. I'm 307 00:14:00,840 --> 00:14:03,160 Speaker 1: with Farrell. I think they're going to lose. Bailer's going 308 00:14:03,200 --> 00:14:05,880 Speaker 1: to lose at home by double digits. Is does this 309 00:14:05,960 --> 00:14:08,320 Speaker 1: feel trappy at all? Or you just were all rolling 310 00:14:08,360 --> 00:14:09,840 Speaker 1: on Utah. 311 00:14:09,880 --> 00:14:11,360 Speaker 5: I'm rolling on Utah. 312 00:14:11,400 --> 00:14:13,599 Speaker 4: But with where the line is, a lot of the 313 00:14:13,720 --> 00:14:15,000 Speaker 4: value has been zapped out. 314 00:14:15,480 --> 00:14:15,920 Speaker 5: This is a. 315 00:14:16,679 --> 00:14:18,959 Speaker 4: Data point for betting early in the week if you're 316 00:14:18,960 --> 00:14:21,560 Speaker 4: able to, if you got a side to you like whatnot. 317 00:14:21,880 --> 00:14:24,960 Speaker 4: I put this out on Sunday. Utah was minus five then, 318 00:14:25,160 --> 00:14:27,640 Speaker 4: so that's where I got it. Now where it jumps 319 00:14:27,720 --> 00:14:30,240 Speaker 4: up to seven and a half, you're getting pretty close 320 00:14:30,280 --> 00:14:32,120 Speaker 4: to the margins there. That's where I get a little 321 00:14:32,120 --> 00:14:34,960 Speaker 4: bit more trepidacious. My line on it though is Utah 322 00:14:35,040 --> 00:14:38,280 Speaker 4: minus nine point eight. But like the difference between seven 323 00:14:38,320 --> 00:14:40,360 Speaker 4: point five and nine point eight, you're not really going 324 00:14:40,400 --> 00:14:43,520 Speaker 4: over a key threshold number. So, like I said, it's 325 00:14:43,560 --> 00:14:46,120 Speaker 4: been zapped a little bit. But I definitely like Utah 326 00:14:46,160 --> 00:14:49,440 Speaker 4: and this thing. And to give Ferrell some credit, Farrell, 327 00:14:49,480 --> 00:14:51,560 Speaker 4: you know this isn't natural for me, but we've given 328 00:14:51,600 --> 00:14:54,600 Speaker 4: you a hard time about Colorado. Faroh was spot on 329 00:14:54,680 --> 00:14:57,720 Speaker 4: on Utah that all summery was spot on in Utah, 330 00:14:57,760 --> 00:14:59,920 Speaker 4: and last week's game, he was spot on in Utah. 331 00:15:00,200 --> 00:15:02,320 Speaker 4: I was, you know, for me, my taking that game 332 00:15:02,440 --> 00:15:04,880 Speaker 4: was like if Rising and Keithy don't play like I 333 00:15:04,920 --> 00:15:07,080 Speaker 4: don't like the Florida team, But like that would make 334 00:15:07,200 --> 00:15:10,160 Speaker 4: that scares me away from that game. Farrell was bullish. 335 00:15:10,240 --> 00:15:12,760 Speaker 4: It does not matter if those guys play. Utah is 336 00:15:12,800 --> 00:15:16,640 Speaker 4: going to throttle Florida. That is exactly what happened, speaking 337 00:15:16,640 --> 00:15:19,080 Speaker 4: of tying a team two hands behind their back, Like 338 00:15:19,400 --> 00:15:22,200 Speaker 4: Florida looked awful in that game, and that's what Utah 339 00:15:22,280 --> 00:15:24,480 Speaker 4: is going to do to people this year. The defense 340 00:15:24,560 --> 00:15:27,560 Speaker 4: is super duper good, the offensive line is super duper good, 341 00:15:27,800 --> 00:15:29,240 Speaker 4: and they are another one of those teams that has 342 00:15:29,280 --> 00:15:32,240 Speaker 4: the deep stable of running backs that do different things. 343 00:15:32,240 --> 00:15:34,680 Speaker 4: They can mix and match and whatnot. Rising didn't play 344 00:15:34,720 --> 00:15:36,680 Speaker 4: in the last game. I would put him doubtful for 345 00:15:36,760 --> 00:15:39,320 Speaker 4: this one. Keithy might not play either. We'll have to 346 00:15:39,360 --> 00:15:41,120 Speaker 4: see on him. I think he's a little bit ahead 347 00:15:41,120 --> 00:15:44,560 Speaker 4: of Rising in terms of his prognosis. But even if 348 00:15:44,600 --> 00:15:47,320 Speaker 4: they don't have those guys that you know, they have 349 00:15:48,080 --> 00:15:50,760 Speaker 4: a Plato and a quarterback too. With the one backup 350 00:15:50,760 --> 00:15:52,640 Speaker 4: who played in a bowl game before, he had a 351 00:15:52,680 --> 00:15:55,280 Speaker 4: little bit of experience, he looked pretty good against Florida. 352 00:15:55,520 --> 00:15:58,680 Speaker 4: And then the Johnson guy who scrambles around, he was 353 00:15:58,680 --> 00:16:02,560 Speaker 4: showing me some stuff. I like, yeah, very athletic that 354 00:16:02,760 --> 00:16:06,400 Speaker 4: that kid Baylor. I'm concerned about Baylor, and it's not 355 00:16:06,520 --> 00:16:09,320 Speaker 4: because shape And is injured. I would actually suggest to 356 00:16:09,360 --> 00:16:11,000 Speaker 4: be I don't want to. I'm not going to say 357 00:16:11,040 --> 00:16:14,280 Speaker 4: a kid's injury is good for uh uh, you know whatever. 358 00:16:14,760 --> 00:16:18,040 Speaker 4: But Baylor might run into one here with Sawyer Robertson. 359 00:16:18,120 --> 00:16:20,600 Speaker 4: I think there's a shot that he's better than shape 360 00:16:20,640 --> 00:16:22,920 Speaker 4: in like they want to go as they want to 361 00:16:22,920 --> 00:16:24,320 Speaker 4: go with him out of the gate. He was the 362 00:16:24,360 --> 00:16:27,920 Speaker 4: incumbent whatever. Sawyer Robertson a kid that came from Lubbock, Texas. 363 00:16:28,000 --> 00:16:30,800 Speaker 4: He grew up idolizing Mike Leach. He ran the Mike 364 00:16:30,880 --> 00:16:33,960 Speaker 4: Leach air rate system in that city. Then he followed, 365 00:16:34,200 --> 00:16:36,960 Speaker 4: you know, when he graduated, he goes to Missippi State 366 00:16:36,960 --> 00:16:40,760 Speaker 4: to play for Leach. If you know, if Leach hadn't 367 00:16:40,840 --> 00:16:43,600 Speaker 4: unfortunately passed away, I think Robertson would have stayed there 368 00:16:43,600 --> 00:16:47,120 Speaker 4: eventually taken over. But because that happened, because Mississippi State 369 00:16:47,240 --> 00:16:50,520 Speaker 4: changed their system to go to the old Appalachian State system, 370 00:16:50,560 --> 00:16:53,040 Speaker 4: that that's the offensive coordinator they did wasn't really a 371 00:16:53,040 --> 00:16:55,920 Speaker 4: fit for Robertson's game. He goes to Baylor, he gets 372 00:16:55,920 --> 00:16:58,560 Speaker 4: beat out by shape and beat out. I'm not sure 373 00:16:58,560 --> 00:17:01,760 Speaker 4: that I trust the offensive A value of Baylor staff, no, 374 00:17:02,800 --> 00:17:04,880 Speaker 4: and so I think they might they might find something 375 00:17:04,880 --> 00:17:08,200 Speaker 4: here with Robertson, But just in terms of qualitatively, didn't 376 00:17:08,240 --> 00:17:10,520 Speaker 4: love what I saw the rest of the team last week. 377 00:17:10,800 --> 00:17:12,840 Speaker 4: I would lean Utah on this game. But like I said, 378 00:17:12,880 --> 00:17:15,959 Speaker 4: you're really close to the margins with that line over seven. 379 00:17:16,280 --> 00:17:18,840 Speaker 4: Maybe try to wait and see if anyone buys back 380 00:17:18,880 --> 00:17:20,400 Speaker 4: in the market, see if that thing can come come 381 00:17:20,400 --> 00:17:22,320 Speaker 4: back down to seven if you want to invest in Utah. 382 00:17:22,600 --> 00:17:24,760 Speaker 1: All right, let's go over to the next game here, Farrell, 383 00:17:24,800 --> 00:17:28,600 Speaker 1: Iowa State versus Iowa Iowa another road favorite by four 384 00:17:28,720 --> 00:17:31,080 Speaker 1: thirty six and a half is total here, most of 385 00:17:31,080 --> 00:17:33,159 Speaker 1: the money is on the under because four years in 386 00:17:33,240 --> 00:17:35,399 Speaker 1: a row this or four times in a row this 387 00:17:35,480 --> 00:17:37,760 Speaker 1: game has gone on the under and the averagehole has 388 00:17:37,800 --> 00:17:39,080 Speaker 1: been right around twenty eight. 389 00:17:39,160 --> 00:17:41,240 Speaker 4: It feels like forty in a row, it really does. 390 00:17:41,320 --> 00:17:43,600 Speaker 1: I mean, this feels like a Thursday night football game 391 00:17:43,640 --> 00:17:47,880 Speaker 1: between the Ravens and Steelers every single year. So Farrell, 392 00:17:48,320 --> 00:17:52,040 Speaker 1: I mean, do the new look offenses make you want 393 00:17:52,040 --> 00:17:52,800 Speaker 1: to go on the over? 394 00:17:52,880 --> 00:17:53,000 Speaker 4: Here? 395 00:17:53,160 --> 00:17:55,520 Speaker 1: Is this is going to be another ugly running game, 396 00:17:55,600 --> 00:17:56,359 Speaker 1: slug fest, like you. 397 00:17:56,440 --> 00:17:59,040 Speaker 3: Used, don't even touch the side, take the under. 398 00:17:59,200 --> 00:18:02,640 Speaker 2: I mean, it's it's just I remember talking about this. 399 00:18:02,640 --> 00:18:07,200 Speaker 3: Game last year and it was was it thora correct 400 00:18:07,240 --> 00:18:07,760 Speaker 3: me if I'm wrong. 401 00:18:07,800 --> 00:18:10,560 Speaker 2: Wasn't it the lowest went total? 402 00:18:11,640 --> 00:18:14,360 Speaker 5: Like yeah, I was like that was Minnesota. 403 00:18:14,520 --> 00:18:18,240 Speaker 2: Okay, I'm getting. 404 00:18:20,359 --> 00:18:22,199 Speaker 5: One was very low, but not the record. 405 00:18:22,560 --> 00:18:24,680 Speaker 4: I think the second lowest, by the way, was Iowa 406 00:18:24,680 --> 00:18:25,960 Speaker 4: against Kentucky at the ball game. 407 00:18:26,240 --> 00:18:27,960 Speaker 5: It's like one two an n C eight history. 408 00:18:29,480 --> 00:18:32,400 Speaker 2: You know, they didn't look good. Iowa. 409 00:18:32,760 --> 00:18:35,280 Speaker 3: The New League offense doesn't scare anybody. I don't care 410 00:18:35,320 --> 00:18:39,080 Speaker 3: if Ryan Farrence is getting you know, extra compensation for 411 00:18:39,119 --> 00:18:42,360 Speaker 3: scoring points, he simply can't. 412 00:18:42,520 --> 00:18:43,119 Speaker 2: You know, mc. 413 00:18:43,000 --> 00:18:45,920 Speaker 3: Namara is who he is. He's a game manager. He's 414 00:18:45,920 --> 00:18:48,560 Speaker 3: a guy that you know, you you want to get 415 00:18:48,560 --> 00:18:51,040 Speaker 3: a lead and you want him to not to make mistakes. 416 00:18:51,040 --> 00:18:52,639 Speaker 3: That's what he was at Michigan. It's what he is 417 00:18:52,640 --> 00:18:58,320 Speaker 3: at Iowa. It's going to be a you know, win 418 00:18:58,480 --> 00:19:02,280 Speaker 3: by paper cut, you know on the football. Uh, you're 419 00:19:02,280 --> 00:19:05,040 Speaker 3: gonna see this game at you know, I don't know, 420 00:19:06,280 --> 00:19:08,480 Speaker 3: end to three, six to three at half time, and 421 00:19:08,480 --> 00:19:09,359 Speaker 3: you're gonna be pretty happy. 422 00:19:09,400 --> 00:19:11,440 Speaker 2: That you took the under. So take the under here. 423 00:19:12,000 --> 00:19:14,800 Speaker 3: You know, looking at the Minnesota Nebraska game, that was 424 00:19:14,840 --> 00:19:15,960 Speaker 3: one of the calls that I had. 425 00:19:15,880 --> 00:19:16,760 Speaker 2: Was take the under there. 426 00:19:16,840 --> 00:19:19,680 Speaker 3: I mean, there's just there's certain teams, and I think 427 00:19:19,680 --> 00:19:22,840 Speaker 3: it's every team in the Big and West where the 428 00:19:22,960 --> 00:19:24,359 Speaker 3: under is just a good bet. 429 00:19:24,440 --> 00:19:26,600 Speaker 2: And this is, you know, a Big twelve, Big. 430 00:19:26,480 --> 00:19:30,240 Speaker 3: Ten matchup, But this is two teams that cannot score 431 00:19:30,359 --> 00:19:33,560 Speaker 3: football in the end zone. They don't want to play 432 00:19:34,000 --> 00:19:37,879 Speaker 3: any aggression whatsoever. You know, they'll take re in a 433 00:19:37,960 --> 00:19:40,639 Speaker 3: punt and field position you and they. 434 00:19:40,480 --> 00:19:41,399 Speaker 2: Actually enjoy that. 435 00:19:41,800 --> 00:19:43,600 Speaker 3: So it's gonna be a horrible game to watch, and 436 00:19:43,600 --> 00:19:44,800 Speaker 3: it's going to come under. 437 00:19:45,840 --> 00:19:47,520 Speaker 1: If there were any disagreement there. 438 00:19:49,200 --> 00:19:51,560 Speaker 5: Only about it being a horrible game. 439 00:19:52,840 --> 00:19:57,920 Speaker 4: Iowa even the games I'm but yeah, and of course 440 00:19:58,000 --> 00:20:02,480 Speaker 4: I was watching the Ioway Utah say game was initially 441 00:20:02,560 --> 00:20:04,800 Speaker 4: I was super excited. It's like, you know, Farns had 442 00:20:04,800 --> 00:20:07,600 Speaker 4: the Brian Farrens has you know, you mentioned you have 443 00:20:07,640 --> 00:20:10,320 Speaker 4: to average twenty five points per game whatnot. Iowa came 444 00:20:10,359 --> 00:20:12,800 Speaker 4: out their first two drives and scored touchdowns and it 445 00:20:12,880 --> 00:20:15,640 Speaker 4: was like, oh my gosh, there we're throwing for touchdowns. 446 00:20:15,640 --> 00:20:18,840 Speaker 4: And like, you know, wow, you know the Brian Farrens offense, 447 00:20:18,920 --> 00:20:21,960 Speaker 4: Like now he's incentive ized, like they're gonna score points. 448 00:20:22,040 --> 00:20:23,080 Speaker 5: The rest of the game. 449 00:20:23,520 --> 00:20:26,119 Speaker 4: They scored ten more in the next three and a 450 00:20:26,160 --> 00:20:29,879 Speaker 4: half quarters. They just reverted to being Iowa again. Utah 451 00:20:29,960 --> 00:20:32,520 Speaker 4: State is one of the worst teams in the FBS. 452 00:20:32,800 --> 00:20:35,720 Speaker 4: It's actually sad that Brian Farns did not get above 453 00:20:36,000 --> 00:20:38,080 Speaker 4: the twenty five points per game he needs to average 454 00:20:38,119 --> 00:20:41,080 Speaker 4: to keep his job. In this game against Utah State, 455 00:20:41,119 --> 00:20:44,280 Speaker 4: they al'ly scored twenty four and Utah State out within ten. 456 00:20:45,119 --> 00:20:46,320 Speaker 5: That concerns me a bit. 457 00:20:46,440 --> 00:20:49,120 Speaker 4: Mcnamarro was banged up in the preseason so much show 458 00:20:49,280 --> 00:20:51,400 Speaker 4: that all the way up until kick we weren't sure 459 00:20:51,400 --> 00:20:53,640 Speaker 4: if he was going to play whatnot. He did play, 460 00:20:53,680 --> 00:20:57,320 Speaker 4: he played okay, but mostly on those first two drives 461 00:20:57,359 --> 00:20:59,760 Speaker 4: and then was He finished seventeen for thirty one ninety 462 00:20:59,800 --> 00:21:03,399 Speaker 4: one and the aforementioned two touchdowns. What concerned me more 463 00:21:03,440 --> 00:21:07,439 Speaker 4: about the offense was the running game. Caleb Johnson was. 464 00:21:08,160 --> 00:21:10,199 Speaker 4: I mean, he was pretty good last year for a 465 00:21:10,240 --> 00:21:13,680 Speaker 4: young kid. He comes back. They have five returning starters 466 00:21:13,720 --> 00:21:16,160 Speaker 4: on the offensive line, an offensive line that wasn't great 467 00:21:16,240 --> 00:21:19,240 Speaker 4: last year. But it's like now they have continuity. Farren's 468 00:21:19,280 --> 00:21:22,840 Speaker 4: always prior to last year has good offensive lines. Those 469 00:21:22,880 --> 00:21:24,800 Speaker 4: guys are obviously all going to take a jump up, 470 00:21:25,160 --> 00:21:27,639 Speaker 4: and it's like they weren't pushing around Utah State and 471 00:21:27,640 --> 00:21:29,720 Speaker 4: bullying them at the line of scrimmage like you would 472 00:21:29,720 --> 00:21:30,439 Speaker 4: have wanted them to. 473 00:21:31,200 --> 00:21:32,800 Speaker 5: I hate Mike. 474 00:21:32,840 --> 00:21:36,320 Speaker 4: I hate that we're agreeing on everything. I totally agree 475 00:21:36,320 --> 00:21:39,040 Speaker 4: with this take. I would not touch this game. My 476 00:21:39,160 --> 00:21:43,040 Speaker 4: line actually is under what the Vegas so Vegas, you know, 477 00:21:43,160 --> 00:21:46,120 Speaker 4: is four. My line on this game is Hawkeys minus three. 478 00:21:46,520 --> 00:21:49,080 Speaker 4: I and again this is coming from a Hawkeye homer. 479 00:21:49,440 --> 00:21:52,960 Speaker 4: Do not touch this thing over three points, this Sihawk game. 480 00:21:53,080 --> 00:21:56,800 Speaker 4: It's it's always one of those cliche tossed the records out, 481 00:21:56,960 --> 00:21:59,040 Speaker 4: like no matter which team is good and the other 482 00:21:59,119 --> 00:22:02,120 Speaker 4: one is bad, and any given season they will play 483 00:22:02,200 --> 00:22:04,560 Speaker 4: to each other and you know, it's just like a 484 00:22:04,560 --> 00:22:08,719 Speaker 4: fistfight the entire game. My my systems adjusted total on 485 00:22:08,760 --> 00:22:12,440 Speaker 4: this game is in the twenties. I think that's probably right. 486 00:22:12,480 --> 00:22:15,480 Speaker 4: Matt Campbell certainly needs to rock fight with his quarterback 487 00:22:15,520 --> 00:22:18,359 Speaker 4: and his running back, you know, gone before the season 488 00:22:18,359 --> 00:22:20,399 Speaker 4: because of the gambling stuff. This is going to be 489 00:22:20,520 --> 00:22:23,400 Speaker 4: another defensive one and Brian Farn's gonna have some work 490 00:22:23,440 --> 00:22:25,199 Speaker 4: to do the next ten games to get over that 491 00:22:25,240 --> 00:22:26,359 Speaker 4: twenty five points per game. 492 00:22:26,560 --> 00:22:29,520 Speaker 1: All right, let's go over to Miami versus number twenty 493 00:22:29,520 --> 00:22:32,280 Speaker 1: three Texas A and m another road favorite here for 494 00:22:32,400 --> 00:22:34,840 Speaker 1: the Aggies by four and a half. Fifty one and 495 00:22:34,840 --> 00:22:37,119 Speaker 1: a half is a total, Farrell, Do we trust the 496 00:22:37,160 --> 00:22:40,000 Speaker 1: Aggies enough to take them as road favorites against Miami? 497 00:22:40,359 --> 00:22:44,120 Speaker 1: And do we trust these offenses enough to any come 498 00:22:44,359 --> 00:22:45,600 Speaker 1: anywhere close to this total? 499 00:22:46,040 --> 00:22:47,080 Speaker 2: This is a tough one. 500 00:22:47,960 --> 00:22:49,960 Speaker 3: You know, obviously he didn't really get a good feel 501 00:22:50,000 --> 00:22:56,080 Speaker 3: for either team. Miami dominated there, you know the Miami 502 00:22:56,160 --> 00:22:59,520 Speaker 3: up north. Then you know Texas A and m wasn't challenged, 503 00:22:59,640 --> 00:23:02,119 Speaker 3: so you really don't know what you're getting. Usually, heading 504 00:23:02,119 --> 00:23:03,680 Speaker 3: into week one, you don't know what you're getting, and 505 00:23:03,720 --> 00:23:05,200 Speaker 3: now we're heading into week two, we don't know we're 506 00:23:05,200 --> 00:23:07,920 Speaker 3: getting with these two teams. You know, it's it's going 507 00:23:08,000 --> 00:23:10,320 Speaker 3: to be under That's I don't like the side on 508 00:23:10,359 --> 00:23:12,160 Speaker 3: this one. I'm not really sure what I'm going to see, 509 00:23:12,160 --> 00:23:14,600 Speaker 3: but I don't trust either of these offenses to put 510 00:23:14,680 --> 00:23:15,440 Speaker 3: up you know. 511 00:23:15,440 --> 00:23:17,800 Speaker 2: That many points. It seems inflated. 512 00:23:17,280 --> 00:23:22,040 Speaker 3: To me, you know, based on what I'm seeing offensively 513 00:23:22,920 --> 00:23:26,359 Speaker 3: of Miami last year this year. You know, Van Dijk 514 00:23:26,480 --> 00:23:28,600 Speaker 3: isn't the same player that he used to be. They 515 00:23:28,600 --> 00:23:30,040 Speaker 3: don't have a ton of weapons. 516 00:23:31,840 --> 00:23:33,399 Speaker 2: I just don't think Miami is going to put up 517 00:23:33,520 --> 00:23:35,120 Speaker 2: a lot of points. The only way he. 518 00:23:35,080 --> 00:23:37,520 Speaker 3: Overgoes here is at Texas A and M as she puts. 519 00:23:37,320 --> 00:23:39,320 Speaker 2: Up thirty five or forty. And I don't see that 520 00:23:39,440 --> 00:23:41,600 Speaker 2: happening either. So take the under on this one. But 521 00:23:41,640 --> 00:23:44,040 Speaker 2: I wouldn't touch the thor. 522 00:23:44,320 --> 00:23:46,240 Speaker 1: You want to take the under as well? Do you 523 00:23:46,400 --> 00:23:48,359 Speaker 1: like either one of these teams here? 524 00:23:49,040 --> 00:23:51,359 Speaker 4: I actually like a side, and I already have a 525 00:23:51,440 --> 00:23:53,679 Speaker 4: ticket in pocket on one of these sides. 526 00:23:53,840 --> 00:23:55,399 Speaker 5: I like Miami in this game. 527 00:23:55,920 --> 00:23:58,639 Speaker 4: And this is coming from someone that there was bullish 528 00:23:58,720 --> 00:24:00,560 Speaker 4: on and I'm coming into the ear still more or 529 00:24:00,640 --> 00:24:03,280 Speaker 4: less m I just think this line is too high. 530 00:24:03,320 --> 00:24:06,320 Speaker 4: I got five and a half on Sunday or whatever, 531 00:24:07,200 --> 00:24:09,280 Speaker 4: and now it's down to except four and a half. 532 00:24:09,400 --> 00:24:12,280 Speaker 4: Right My line on is A and M minus three. 533 00:24:12,920 --> 00:24:15,879 Speaker 4: You know you bake in the three point advantage for 534 00:24:15,960 --> 00:24:19,320 Speaker 4: home field. I guess what Vegas in the market is 535 00:24:19,359 --> 00:24:22,000 Speaker 4: telling you is A and M is six points better 536 00:24:22,040 --> 00:24:25,879 Speaker 4: than Miami of Florida in a vacuum. I don't know 537 00:24:25,920 --> 00:24:28,159 Speaker 4: what data we have to support that. A and M 538 00:24:28,240 --> 00:24:31,280 Speaker 4: certainly is better this year for reasons we went into 539 00:24:31,320 --> 00:24:33,160 Speaker 4: over the summer. You know, they had a super young 540 00:24:33,240 --> 00:24:35,520 Speaker 4: roster last year that also had a rash of injuries. 541 00:24:35,960 --> 00:24:37,919 Speaker 4: Now that that roster is a year older, if they 542 00:24:37,920 --> 00:24:41,240 Speaker 4: don't have the injuries at least yet, and they corrected 543 00:24:41,240 --> 00:24:44,240 Speaker 4: the coordinator stuff, Jimbo finally decided to give up the 544 00:24:44,240 --> 00:24:46,480 Speaker 4: play calling sheet. It was a good decision by Jim, 545 00:24:46,520 --> 00:24:49,040 Speaker 4: but he brought in Bobby Patrino. Maybe not the best human, 546 00:24:49,080 --> 00:24:51,879 Speaker 4: but certainly a good play caller. And their issues with 547 00:24:51,960 --> 00:24:53,920 Speaker 4: run defense last year is because they were playing a 548 00:24:53,920 --> 00:24:56,440 Speaker 4: whole bunch of freshmen on the line. Now those guys 549 00:24:56,440 --> 00:24:59,440 Speaker 4: are old, so again, like, I'm not disrespecting an M 550 00:24:59,520 --> 00:25:01,840 Speaker 4: or it's not because of that. I just think Miami 551 00:25:01,920 --> 00:25:05,800 Speaker 4: is also improved in kind, and this thing should be closer. 552 00:25:06,040 --> 00:25:08,720 Speaker 4: Like I said, I'd have an M minus three. This 553 00:25:08,760 --> 00:25:11,840 Speaker 4: thing at four and a half, I would still buy 554 00:25:11,960 --> 00:25:14,680 Speaker 4: Miami there. I would buy it down to three and 555 00:25:14,760 --> 00:25:17,080 Speaker 4: a half. If it gets to three, that's where you're 556 00:25:17,080 --> 00:25:19,639 Speaker 4: getting closer on those margins, maybe stay away there, but 557 00:25:20,440 --> 00:25:22,639 Speaker 4: where it is right now, I would be on Miami 558 00:25:22,680 --> 00:25:25,960 Speaker 4: in that game, and they're for sure live in this game. 559 00:25:26,320 --> 00:25:27,920 Speaker 1: All right, Before we go to the next game, I 560 00:25:28,000 --> 00:25:29,879 Speaker 1: want to tell you guys that download the free Betting 561 00:25:29,880 --> 00:25:33,200 Speaker 1: Pros app for iOS and Android. Use the Sportsbook Sync 562 00:25:33,480 --> 00:25:36,840 Speaker 1: to automatically track your bets across all major sportsbook in 563 00:25:36,920 --> 00:25:40,240 Speaker 1: one spot. Easily track your bet performance by sport and 564 00:25:40,280 --> 00:25:44,760 Speaker 1: bet type, including game picks, props, and parlays. Get personalized 565 00:25:44,800 --> 00:25:48,560 Speaker 1: bet recommendations tailored to your interests, including the line alerts. 566 00:25:48,760 --> 00:25:51,760 Speaker 1: When viewing a game of interest, simply set a game 567 00:25:51,800 --> 00:25:54,520 Speaker 1: notification so that you are alerted once the line hits 568 00:25:54,520 --> 00:25:56,959 Speaker 1: a certain number. At that point, you'll be notified so 569 00:25:57,000 --> 00:25:59,600 Speaker 1: you can lock in your bet at that ideal line. 570 00:25:59,720 --> 00:26:02,800 Speaker 1: You can set the number to be the number and 571 00:26:03,119 --> 00:26:06,280 Speaker 1: set the sportsbook. Head over to bettingpros dot com slash 572 00:26:06,320 --> 00:26:09,600 Speaker 1: apps to start setting your line alerts now, or download 573 00:26:09,640 --> 00:26:12,840 Speaker 1: the Betting Pros app in the iTunes or Google Play 574 00:26:12,920 --> 00:26:17,119 Speaker 1: stores today. All right, let's go over to Texas Tech 575 00:26:17,200 --> 00:26:20,800 Speaker 1: hosting number thirteen. Oregon organ is a six and a 576 00:26:20,840 --> 00:26:24,680 Speaker 1: half point road favorite. Sixty seven is a total here, Farrell. 577 00:26:25,000 --> 00:26:27,760 Speaker 1: Oregon had a week opponent, but they looked awesome. Tech 578 00:26:27,880 --> 00:26:31,439 Speaker 1: choked on the road in overtime against Wyoming. How do 579 00:26:31,520 --> 00:26:34,200 Speaker 1: we not take Oregon and the over in this game? 580 00:26:34,800 --> 00:26:38,040 Speaker 3: I think the number is very high. I wouldn't touch. 581 00:26:38,560 --> 00:26:43,119 Speaker 2: The number as far as over under. I just I 582 00:26:43,200 --> 00:26:44,080 Speaker 2: was really puzzled. 583 00:26:44,400 --> 00:26:46,560 Speaker 3: You know, the Texas Tech who won so many close 584 00:26:46,600 --> 00:26:49,120 Speaker 3: games last year and learned how to win type tight games, 585 00:26:49,560 --> 00:26:51,240 Speaker 3: ended up losing that football game. 586 00:26:51,760 --> 00:26:53,919 Speaker 2: That really stuns me. 587 00:26:55,600 --> 00:26:58,000 Speaker 3: You know, Oregon, you got no that elevation. 588 00:26:58,160 --> 00:27:01,159 Speaker 2: Yeah, maybe that's the other thing. It'll get jolly require man. 589 00:27:01,040 --> 00:27:04,040 Speaker 3: He's a good coach. I think he's going to adjust 590 00:27:04,400 --> 00:27:08,000 Speaker 3: properly to that. Oregon we don't know what we're seeing 591 00:27:08,040 --> 00:27:10,720 Speaker 3: him and they blew up Portland State. But they're a 592 00:27:10,800 --> 00:27:13,159 Speaker 3: good football team, There's no doubt about it. But you 593 00:27:13,200 --> 00:27:18,639 Speaker 3: can't really judge anything off of that game. Is this 594 00:27:18,720 --> 00:27:21,880 Speaker 3: going to be a revenge game for for Tyler Show? 595 00:27:22,359 --> 00:27:24,520 Speaker 3: It's going to be interesting to see how he plays 596 00:27:24,520 --> 00:27:28,040 Speaker 3: against his old team. I'm just I'm leaning Texas Tech. 597 00:27:29,400 --> 00:27:31,959 Speaker 2: To cover this. I don't think they're gonna win, but 598 00:27:32,000 --> 00:27:33,879 Speaker 2: I think, you know, Joey McGuire is a good coach. 599 00:27:33,960 --> 00:27:36,080 Speaker 2: This is gonna be in Lubbock. 600 00:27:36,119 --> 00:27:38,040 Speaker 3: It's it's going to be one hundred and eighty degrees. 601 00:27:39,240 --> 00:27:41,520 Speaker 3: Not that that mattered last week when I am, I 602 00:27:41,640 --> 00:27:44,560 Speaker 3: was worried about was it North Texas and cal Kel 603 00:27:44,760 --> 00:27:46,280 Speaker 3: just came in there and it must have brought a 604 00:27:46,320 --> 00:27:47,359 Speaker 3: lot of air conditioning. 605 00:27:47,359 --> 00:27:49,440 Speaker 2: Fans prickled just and all that. So beat the crap 606 00:27:49,480 --> 00:27:51,440 Speaker 2: out of them. But I just think this is kind 607 00:27:51,440 --> 00:27:52,040 Speaker 2: of a trap game. 608 00:27:52,119 --> 00:27:53,320 Speaker 3: I think a lot of people are going to go 609 00:27:53,320 --> 00:27:55,600 Speaker 3: on Oregon because they saw what they did against Portland State. 610 00:27:55,640 --> 00:27:57,960 Speaker 2: All Texas Tech lost to a team that's not even 611 00:27:58,520 --> 00:27:59,720 Speaker 2: a group of five football team. 612 00:28:00,320 --> 00:28:02,600 Speaker 3: I think this is a trapped game, you know, And 613 00:28:02,640 --> 00:28:04,600 Speaker 3: by that I mean a line trap. Okay, I think 614 00:28:04,640 --> 00:28:07,359 Speaker 3: Texas dech covers the six and a half, maybe loses 615 00:28:07,359 --> 00:28:09,120 Speaker 3: it by a field goal or six months, but take 616 00:28:09,160 --> 00:28:10,120 Speaker 3: the six and a half. 617 00:28:09,960 --> 00:28:13,479 Speaker 1: Texas tecuh doriy. You have a good feeling one way 618 00:28:13,520 --> 00:28:17,199 Speaker 1: or the other. I'm kind of with I'm kind of 619 00:28:17,200 --> 00:28:19,159 Speaker 1: with Mike. I just don't like this game, to be 620 00:28:19,200 --> 00:28:19,760 Speaker 1: honest with you. 621 00:28:20,720 --> 00:28:23,040 Speaker 4: Yeah, as far as the side goes, I think I'm 622 00:28:23,200 --> 00:28:26,840 Speaker 4: probably gonna stay away. I'm gonna reserve judgment on that. 623 00:28:26,920 --> 00:28:30,680 Speaker 4: But like my system showing Oregon minus seven point four. 624 00:28:31,320 --> 00:28:35,479 Speaker 4: But Mike, I actually agree with like the take of 625 00:28:35,560 --> 00:28:40,080 Speaker 4: like this feels like a weird spot. You know, Texas Tech, 626 00:28:40,080 --> 00:28:43,600 Speaker 4: they knew this game was coming, you know, like it's 627 00:28:43,600 --> 00:28:45,920 Speaker 4: weird to have a week one look ahead. But that's 628 00:28:46,000 --> 00:28:49,080 Speaker 4: absolutely what the game against Wyoming was. And Wyoming a 629 00:28:49,120 --> 00:28:51,600 Speaker 4: team that has one of the best G fives defenses, 630 00:28:52,040 --> 00:28:54,480 Speaker 4: and the Peasley kid that their quarterback looks like he's 631 00:28:54,480 --> 00:28:56,920 Speaker 4: a little bit better now. They just ended up dragging 632 00:28:57,000 --> 00:28:59,840 Speaker 4: him them into deep waters, you know, and and bog 633 00:28:59,920 --> 00:29:04,680 Speaker 4: me you mentioned that altitude. Yeah, yeah, different stuff like that. 634 00:29:04,840 --> 00:29:07,160 Speaker 4: But I think a part of it was Texas Tech 635 00:29:07,360 --> 00:29:09,480 Speaker 4: was had an eye on Oregon and they might have even, 636 00:29:09,840 --> 00:29:12,280 Speaker 4: by the way, use some of what their prep time 637 00:29:12,280 --> 00:29:15,800 Speaker 4: for Wyoming should have been on the Oregon game. And 638 00:29:15,840 --> 00:29:19,120 Speaker 4: now you have this reverse scenario where a Tech you know, 639 00:29:19,280 --> 00:29:22,160 Speaker 4: they're already sort of looking their mortality in their eyes 640 00:29:22,200 --> 00:29:24,960 Speaker 4: of the season you start zero and one, now you 641 00:29:25,000 --> 00:29:26,960 Speaker 4: have I mean, if you lose the Oregon now you're 642 00:29:27,000 --> 00:29:29,720 Speaker 4: oh and too, like you can't take on water like that. 643 00:29:29,880 --> 00:29:31,680 Speaker 4: I think you're gonna get a different effort out of 644 00:29:31,720 --> 00:29:34,560 Speaker 4: them with the team now coming in that they have 645 00:29:34,640 --> 00:29:37,000 Speaker 4: had their eye on, and now instead of having to 646 00:29:37,040 --> 00:29:40,720 Speaker 4: play in frigging Laramie, Wyoming in the altitude and you know, 647 00:29:41,400 --> 00:29:44,160 Speaker 4: maybe against an opponent they didn't take seriously enough, they 648 00:29:44,200 --> 00:29:47,040 Speaker 4: will be taking Oregon seriously. And now it's Oregon that 649 00:29:47,120 --> 00:29:49,479 Speaker 4: has to go into a really difficult place to play 650 00:29:50,040 --> 00:29:52,840 Speaker 4: in the middle of nowhere. So like, you know, that 651 00:29:52,920 --> 00:29:55,720 Speaker 4: stuff is why I probably stay away from the side. 652 00:29:56,240 --> 00:29:58,720 Speaker 4: I actually do like the over though I know it's 653 00:29:58,800 --> 00:30:01,440 Speaker 4: high at sixty six and a half of my system's 654 00:30:01,440 --> 00:30:04,440 Speaker 4: total in this game is actually seventy seven points. I 655 00:30:04,440 --> 00:30:07,880 Speaker 4: think we're getting a shootout. There ain't nobody keeping Oregon 656 00:30:07,920 --> 00:30:11,360 Speaker 4: off the scoreboard. But the Texas Tech offense, which was 657 00:30:11,400 --> 00:30:14,480 Speaker 4: initially solid in that game against Wyoming against a like 658 00:30:14,520 --> 00:30:17,520 Speaker 4: I said, a really good GFI defense that petered out 659 00:30:17,520 --> 00:30:19,400 Speaker 4: there at the end, and that's how you know Wyoming 660 00:30:19,480 --> 00:30:20,120 Speaker 4: is able to come back. 661 00:30:20,120 --> 00:30:20,520 Speaker 5: Whatnot. 662 00:30:20,880 --> 00:30:23,040 Speaker 4: The Texas Tech offense, they have a whole lot of pieces, 663 00:30:23,040 --> 00:30:25,520 Speaker 4: and I love their offensive coordinator, their deep at wide 664 00:30:25,560 --> 00:30:26,840 Speaker 4: receiver Shuck. 665 00:30:27,320 --> 00:30:28,440 Speaker 5: I come and go with him. 666 00:30:29,080 --> 00:30:31,960 Speaker 4: But here's something to remember, you know, where Tyler Shuck 667 00:30:32,080 --> 00:30:35,800 Speaker 4: came from the Oregon. The school that moved on from 668 00:30:35,880 --> 00:30:38,600 Speaker 4: him benched him during the COVID season when he Shuck 669 00:30:38,680 --> 00:30:40,800 Speaker 4: was supposed to be the air apparent for Justin Herbert. 670 00:30:41,320 --> 00:30:44,640 Speaker 4: This is a revenge game for one man, Tyler Shuck, 671 00:30:45,040 --> 00:30:47,520 Speaker 4: and he's gonna be taking aim at this Oregon defense 672 00:30:47,600 --> 00:30:50,480 Speaker 4: that some people think maybe it's slightly better this year. 673 00:30:50,640 --> 00:30:52,480 Speaker 4: I don't know about that. We're we're gonna have to 674 00:30:52,480 --> 00:30:54,200 Speaker 4: find out. But this is a tough assignment for the 675 00:30:54,240 --> 00:30:56,800 Speaker 4: Oregon defense. I think this one is going to go 676 00:30:57,000 --> 00:30:58,800 Speaker 4: shot for shot there until the end. 677 00:30:59,320 --> 00:31:02,040 Speaker 5: You know, as far is like score score score score score. 678 00:31:02,520 --> 00:31:04,920 Speaker 4: Well, I'm just too close to the margins on the side, 679 00:31:04,920 --> 00:31:06,479 Speaker 4: but I do like that over all. 680 00:31:06,600 --> 00:31:08,880 Speaker 1: Right, let's go to the game of the year here 681 00:31:08,960 --> 00:31:13,560 Speaker 1: fellas number three Alabama hosting number eleven Texas. The line 682 00:31:13,600 --> 00:31:16,720 Speaker 1: here is Bama by a touchdown. Fifty four and a 683 00:31:16,800 --> 00:31:20,840 Speaker 1: half is total here, so Bama by seven, Farrell. But 684 00:31:21,080 --> 00:31:25,000 Speaker 1: the public is on the public money is on Texas 685 00:31:25,080 --> 00:31:28,440 Speaker 1: and heavy on the under. I mean right around well 686 00:31:28,480 --> 00:31:30,840 Speaker 1: over ninety percent on the under in this game. You 687 00:31:30,880 --> 00:31:32,120 Speaker 1: have a good feel either way. 688 00:31:32,200 --> 00:31:33,480 Speaker 2: I like to Texas in this. 689 00:31:35,400 --> 00:31:38,040 Speaker 3: You know, we didn't get to see much of what 690 00:31:38,080 --> 00:31:41,960 Speaker 3: we need to see from Yele and Row. You know, 691 00:31:41,960 --> 00:31:43,680 Speaker 3: we didn't get to see a lot of what we 692 00:31:43,720 --> 00:31:46,040 Speaker 3: need to see from Alabama. And not that we saw 693 00:31:46,080 --> 00:31:48,640 Speaker 3: a lot, you know of Texast against Rice, but they 694 00:31:48,680 --> 00:31:51,000 Speaker 3: really held back a lot of stuff. I think they 695 00:31:51,760 --> 00:31:54,120 Speaker 3: you know, you did, You saw maybe twenty percent of 696 00:31:54,160 --> 00:31:56,480 Speaker 3: what you're going to see against Alabama. I think they 697 00:31:56,640 --> 00:31:59,360 Speaker 3: feel a lot of confident after playing in the game 698 00:31:59,440 --> 00:32:02,920 Speaker 3: last year, you know, hanging with them. I think this 699 00:32:02,960 --> 00:32:08,800 Speaker 3: is a week Nick Sabandean versus his previous teams, and 700 00:32:08,840 --> 00:32:10,520 Speaker 3: I don't think he has a guy to bail him out. 701 00:32:10,880 --> 00:32:12,760 Speaker 3: And by that, I mean he doesn't have Bracetown. So 702 00:32:13,480 --> 00:32:16,320 Speaker 3: the quarterback situation kind of worries me. This isn't a 703 00:32:16,480 --> 00:32:19,600 Speaker 3: scary Alabama team. So if you're gonna you're gonna give 704 00:32:19,640 --> 00:32:24,200 Speaker 3: me seven points, you know, I'm gonna take Texas even 705 00:32:24,240 --> 00:32:25,720 Speaker 3: though Texas is never back. 706 00:32:26,080 --> 00:32:27,840 Speaker 2: I know it's in Tuscaloosa. 707 00:32:28,960 --> 00:32:33,440 Speaker 3: I just I can't wrap my arms around getting a 708 00:32:33,440 --> 00:32:36,320 Speaker 3: touchdown lead in that game because I think Texas can hang. 709 00:32:36,640 --> 00:32:37,960 Speaker 2: I think it's gonna be a close game. 710 00:32:38,040 --> 00:32:40,120 Speaker 3: They could win this game outright, So give me the 711 00:32:40,160 --> 00:32:41,000 Speaker 3: seven and take back. 712 00:32:41,960 --> 00:32:45,440 Speaker 1: So Farrell has a correct take here toor what do 713 00:32:45,520 --> 00:32:49,680 Speaker 1: you feel about Texas versus Alabama Here, We're gonna. 714 00:32:49,520 --> 00:32:54,560 Speaker 4: Have a consensus. I think this one's hookhim horned time. 715 00:32:54,880 --> 00:32:56,800 Speaker 4: I said it over the summer, I thought Texas had 716 00:32:56,840 --> 00:32:58,600 Speaker 4: a really good shot to pull the upset here. 717 00:32:58,640 --> 00:33:00,920 Speaker 5: Nothing that's happened has changed my mind on that. 718 00:33:01,280 --> 00:33:04,640 Speaker 4: The market, it's it's like, you know, they Texas was 719 00:33:04,720 --> 00:33:06,840 Speaker 4: playing patty cake with Rice for a little bit, and they, 720 00:33:06,920 --> 00:33:08,520 Speaker 4: you know, the people in the market were like, oh, 721 00:33:08,560 --> 00:33:11,680 Speaker 4: you know, maybe Texas isn't back. No, Texas had their 722 00:33:11,680 --> 00:33:14,400 Speaker 4: eye on this game. It's all they cared about. Luckily 723 00:33:14,440 --> 00:33:16,960 Speaker 4: for them, Rice ain't as good as Wyoming so and 724 00:33:17,440 --> 00:33:19,680 Speaker 4: Texas certainly better than Texas Tech. So there was no 725 00:33:19,680 --> 00:33:21,400 Speaker 4: shot they were going to get picked off in that one. 726 00:33:21,480 --> 00:33:24,160 Speaker 4: Whereas Alabama they always come out guns of blazon in 727 00:33:24,200 --> 00:33:26,800 Speaker 4: week one. Nick Saban's week one against spread record is 728 00:33:26,800 --> 00:33:29,880 Speaker 4: absolutely ludicrous. So it wasn't a surprise that Alabama slapped 729 00:33:29,880 --> 00:33:33,000 Speaker 4: around Middle Tennessee. But it's like, are you really going 730 00:33:33,080 --> 00:33:36,000 Speaker 4: to change your preseason read on these teams because of 731 00:33:36,000 --> 00:33:36,880 Speaker 4: those two games? 732 00:33:37,080 --> 00:33:37,760 Speaker 5: I don't think so. 733 00:33:38,080 --> 00:33:39,800 Speaker 4: Again, Like you know, this is the game that texts 734 00:33:39,800 --> 00:33:44,200 Speaker 4: was focusing on Middle Tennessee, the team that Alabama slapped 735 00:33:44,200 --> 00:33:46,680 Speaker 4: around fifty six to seven. They have a really good 736 00:33:46,680 --> 00:33:49,720 Speaker 4: front seven, at least for the G five. Their secondary 737 00:33:49,800 --> 00:33:52,280 Speaker 4: is atrocious. I mean, like that's coming into the season. 738 00:33:52,400 --> 00:33:56,240 Speaker 4: We knew that mil Row, you know, thirteen for eighteen, 739 00:33:56,280 --> 00:33:59,440 Speaker 4: one ninety four three touchdowns, But again you have to 740 00:33:59,520 --> 00:34:03,640 Speaker 4: keep in context the secondary he was going against that, Like, 741 00:34:03,720 --> 00:34:05,360 Speaker 4: I mean, there's a lot of people that are going 742 00:34:05,440 --> 00:34:08,319 Speaker 4: to light up Middle Tennessee this year, at least through 743 00:34:08,400 --> 00:34:10,320 Speaker 4: the air. The run could be a little bit different 744 00:34:10,320 --> 00:34:12,200 Speaker 4: for some of them G five teams, but everyone's going 745 00:34:12,239 --> 00:34:15,680 Speaker 4: to light up that secondary. I still have grave concerns 746 00:34:15,680 --> 00:34:19,160 Speaker 4: about Jalen Milroe as a thrower. I'm on record with 747 00:34:19,200 --> 00:34:21,440 Speaker 4: this one. My words could end up getting thrown in 748 00:34:21,480 --> 00:34:24,160 Speaker 4: my face. I don't think they will because I just 749 00:34:24,200 --> 00:34:27,720 Speaker 4: don't think he's a good throw fabulous athlete, absolutely fabulous athlete, 750 00:34:27,760 --> 00:34:31,040 Speaker 4: but the throwing thing, I just don't think it's there yet. 751 00:34:31,080 --> 00:34:32,720 Speaker 4: And in this game it's going to be more tested 752 00:34:32,719 --> 00:34:35,320 Speaker 4: in that regard because Texas for sure is going to 753 00:34:35,400 --> 00:34:38,480 Speaker 4: put points on the board and Alabama defense, I think 754 00:34:38,560 --> 00:34:40,760 Speaker 4: is a bit down from last year. You lose Anderson, 755 00:34:40,800 --> 00:34:48,520 Speaker 4: you lose Branch Toto, and big great point Mike to 756 00:34:49,120 --> 00:34:52,319 Speaker 4: Alabama starting guys in the secondary are questionable to go 757 00:34:52,400 --> 00:34:54,680 Speaker 4: for this game. So Quinn, you were teeing off on 758 00:34:54,760 --> 00:34:57,160 Speaker 4: that Bogman. As you know, Texas go as leads four 759 00:34:57,200 --> 00:34:59,600 Speaker 4: deep and guys that would be starting for almost any 760 00:34:59,680 --> 00:35:02,839 Speaker 4: others in their receiving court. I think this is one 761 00:35:02,840 --> 00:35:06,360 Speaker 4: where Texas puts pressure on Alabama immediately by putting points 762 00:35:06,360 --> 00:35:08,399 Speaker 4: on the board. Texas a team that should have beaten 763 00:35:08,440 --> 00:35:11,799 Speaker 4: Alabama last year. They were on you know that was 764 00:35:11,920 --> 00:35:14,759 Speaker 4: how it was basic. Yeah, up until and I hate 765 00:35:14,800 --> 00:35:17,879 Speaker 4: to bring up a PTSD moment bo up until Quinn 766 00:35:17,880 --> 00:35:20,320 Speaker 4: Ewers got injured. This time, Quinn, you were was healthy. 767 00:35:20,360 --> 00:35:22,399 Speaker 4: This is the game they've been focusing on all year. 768 00:35:22,760 --> 00:35:25,400 Speaker 4: Unless Jalen Milroe is a much better passer than I 769 00:35:25,440 --> 00:35:27,400 Speaker 4: think he is, Alabama is going to be a one 770 00:35:27,440 --> 00:35:29,400 Speaker 4: handed team that might have to come from behind that 771 00:35:29,440 --> 00:35:32,000 Speaker 4: doesn't go with what they do. I like Texas in 772 00:35:32,040 --> 00:35:32,319 Speaker 4: this one. 773 00:35:32,360 --> 00:35:32,680 Speaker 5: Certainly. 774 00:35:32,880 --> 00:35:35,440 Speaker 4: If you hit seven and a half out there, absolutely 775 00:35:35,440 --> 00:35:37,480 Speaker 4: fire on you know, I would fire on that one. 776 00:35:37,640 --> 00:35:38,320 Speaker 5: Even at seven. 777 00:35:38,360 --> 00:35:40,720 Speaker 4: I'm definitely good with Texas, and I think Texas alive 778 00:35:40,760 --> 00:35:41,200 Speaker 4: in this one. 779 00:35:41,320 --> 00:35:43,439 Speaker 1: I want to give me a real PTSD talked about 780 00:35:43,480 --> 00:35:47,000 Speaker 1: m cole McCoy got hurt against Alabama. So let's go 781 00:35:47,080 --> 00:35:50,360 Speaker 1: over to the next game. Another road favorite here, Washington 782 00:35:50,440 --> 00:35:54,160 Speaker 1: State hosting number nineteen Wisconsin. Wisconsin is a six point 783 00:35:54,239 --> 00:35:57,439 Speaker 1: road favorite. Fifty eight and a half is a total here, Mike, 784 00:35:57,480 --> 00:36:00,000 Speaker 1: did we see enough from the Batcher's offense against Buffalo 785 00:36:00,160 --> 00:36:02,680 Speaker 1: to lay the points? Is road favorites against Wazoo. 786 00:36:03,000 --> 00:36:04,319 Speaker 2: I don't like to side here. 787 00:36:04,600 --> 00:36:06,520 Speaker 3: I think this is going to be a Wisconsin victory, 788 00:36:06,560 --> 00:36:08,719 Speaker 3: but it could be three, could be four points. 789 00:36:08,960 --> 00:36:10,920 Speaker 2: You know, it's it's not an easy road game, even 790 00:36:10,960 --> 00:36:11,360 Speaker 2: though I'm not. 791 00:36:11,360 --> 00:36:15,200 Speaker 3: The lush in Washington State, but you know, it's never easy, 792 00:36:15,920 --> 00:36:17,640 Speaker 3: you know, when you're on the road early in the season. 793 00:36:18,120 --> 00:36:19,760 Speaker 2: I did see enough of the offense. 794 00:36:19,800 --> 00:36:21,720 Speaker 3: I mean, it wasn't great, but it was good enough. 795 00:36:22,239 --> 00:36:24,600 Speaker 3: And I think Washington State can put up points in 796 00:36:24,600 --> 00:36:26,520 Speaker 3: Wisconsin as well. So I'm going to take the over 797 00:36:26,640 --> 00:36:29,080 Speaker 3: on this one. I'm not touching the side. 798 00:36:29,440 --> 00:36:31,080 Speaker 2: I think this could end up being a bit of 799 00:36:31,120 --> 00:36:33,080 Speaker 2: a shootout, you know. 800 00:36:33,840 --> 00:36:36,480 Speaker 3: So my gut feeling says, don't touch it. You know 801 00:36:36,560 --> 00:36:38,279 Speaker 3: this is going to be a Wisconsin win. If you 802 00:36:38,320 --> 00:36:40,840 Speaker 3: want to go money line and lay you know, some 803 00:36:40,960 --> 00:36:45,040 Speaker 3: negative odds on that, maybe, but don't give six points 804 00:36:45,080 --> 00:36:48,800 Speaker 3: away on the road. Just ember the over because I 805 00:36:48,840 --> 00:36:49,920 Speaker 3: think you're gonna see a lot of. 806 00:36:49,840 --> 00:36:53,280 Speaker 1: Points sor you have a take on this one. 807 00:36:54,880 --> 00:36:57,480 Speaker 4: This one I'm way less confident on than everyone we 808 00:36:57,520 --> 00:37:01,239 Speaker 4: talked about so far. If I had to, I think 809 00:37:01,280 --> 00:37:03,560 Speaker 4: I would lean towards Washington State in this game, my 810 00:37:03,640 --> 00:37:06,640 Speaker 4: line being Wisconsin minus five point seven. But you're you're 811 00:37:06,760 --> 00:37:09,440 Speaker 4: very close to what the Vegas line is. And my 812 00:37:09,520 --> 00:37:12,640 Speaker 4: trepidation with this is, uh, you know, I was on 813 00:37:12,719 --> 00:37:15,640 Speaker 4: Colorado State. I like Colorado State, and that that opener 814 00:37:15,640 --> 00:37:19,120 Speaker 4: against Wazoo it was a terrible call. I was both 815 00:37:19,200 --> 00:37:22,200 Speaker 4: too high on Colorado State, but more topically to the 816 00:37:22,760 --> 00:37:24,560 Speaker 4: discussion at hand, I was. 817 00:37:24,680 --> 00:37:26,240 Speaker 5: Clearly too low on Wazoo. 818 00:37:26,480 --> 00:37:29,120 Speaker 4: I just don't know by how much though, because I 819 00:37:29,160 --> 00:37:32,279 Speaker 4: don't know how Like, does Colorado State stank? Are they gonna, 820 00:37:32,320 --> 00:37:34,600 Speaker 4: you know, get lit up by other teams whatnot? But 821 00:37:34,719 --> 00:37:37,359 Speaker 4: cam Ward a guy who I was not impressed with 822 00:37:37,480 --> 00:37:40,919 Speaker 4: last year. I wasn't terribly impressed with them in current 823 00:37:40,920 --> 00:37:42,840 Speaker 4: of word be there, to be honest, like outside of 824 00:37:42,840 --> 00:37:45,840 Speaker 4: the volume, That's why I wasn't high on Wazoo. They 825 00:37:45,840 --> 00:37:47,480 Speaker 4: had lost a whole bunch on defense, they had lost 826 00:37:47,520 --> 00:37:50,400 Speaker 4: two starting receivers, they lost a starting one of the 827 00:37:50,480 --> 00:37:54,239 Speaker 4: better ones, Jared Kingston to USC now a starter over there, 828 00:37:54,440 --> 00:37:57,000 Speaker 4: and so it was like my take on Wazoo in 829 00:37:57,040 --> 00:38:00,040 Speaker 4: the preseason was basically like cam Ward's game needs to 830 00:38:00,120 --> 00:38:02,520 Speaker 4: jump way up for that team to even stay as 831 00:38:02,520 --> 00:38:05,200 Speaker 4: good as they were last year. Kim Mordon could not 832 00:38:05,320 --> 00:38:09,400 Speaker 4: miss against Colorado State like everything. He was hitting thirty 833 00:38:09,400 --> 00:38:12,040 Speaker 4: seven for forty nine, four hunder fifty one yards, nine 834 00:38:12,080 --> 00:38:15,480 Speaker 4: point two per attempt, three touchdown, zero interceptions. If he 835 00:38:15,640 --> 00:38:18,920 Speaker 4: keeps playing like that, they're gonna be frisky against the 836 00:38:18,920 --> 00:38:22,400 Speaker 4: better teams, especially in Pullman. And that's what concerns me, 837 00:38:22,440 --> 00:38:24,880 Speaker 4: even like you know about the side of the idea 838 00:38:24,880 --> 00:38:27,480 Speaker 4: of taking Wisconsin here is not only do I show 839 00:38:27,560 --> 00:38:29,600 Speaker 4: just a little bit of value on Wazoo, I know 840 00:38:29,640 --> 00:38:32,200 Speaker 4: the context that Wazoo is a top three against the 841 00:38:32,200 --> 00:38:35,359 Speaker 4: spread home team over the last decade. It's really really 842 00:38:35,400 --> 00:38:37,600 Speaker 4: tough to play im pullman. And now you have this 843 00:38:37,680 --> 00:38:41,200 Speaker 4: Wisconsin team going there, new head coach new staff. The 844 00:38:41,239 --> 00:38:44,160 Speaker 4: offensive system is totally different from what it was last year. 845 00:38:44,320 --> 00:38:47,240 Speaker 4: The early returns on that were solid in their opener, 846 00:38:47,480 --> 00:38:49,439 Speaker 4: but they're playing a you know, sort of a so 847 00:38:49,440 --> 00:38:52,880 Speaker 4: so G five team. That's basically what happened is what 848 00:38:53,000 --> 00:38:56,080 Speaker 4: was supposed to happen. This is a different scenario. Now 849 00:38:56,080 --> 00:38:59,840 Speaker 4: you're outside the friendly confines. Now you're going into a, 850 00:39:00,040 --> 00:39:02,080 Speaker 4: by the data, one of the harder places to play 851 00:39:02,120 --> 00:39:04,960 Speaker 4: in college football, against a Wazu team that might be 852 00:39:04,960 --> 00:39:07,200 Speaker 4: better than certainly I thought, and a lot of other 853 00:39:07,239 --> 00:39:11,040 Speaker 4: people out there might be better. This is an opportunity 854 00:39:11,040 --> 00:39:12,719 Speaker 4: for Wazuo to pick off a team that is in 855 00:39:12,760 --> 00:39:16,239 Speaker 4: their second game under this new staff. Right now, I 856 00:39:16,280 --> 00:39:17,600 Speaker 4: don't know if I want to play this or not, 857 00:39:17,640 --> 00:39:20,120 Speaker 4: but if I do, I'll have Washington say ticket. 858 00:39:20,160 --> 00:39:22,919 Speaker 1: All right, let's go to another PAC twelve after dark 859 00:39:22,960 --> 00:39:26,160 Speaker 1: game here. Number six USC a thirty and a half 860 00:39:26,200 --> 00:39:28,680 Speaker 1: point a home favorite against Stanford sixty eight and a 861 00:39:28,719 --> 00:39:30,920 Speaker 1: half is total. Normally we're not going to go over 862 00:39:30,960 --> 00:39:33,480 Speaker 1: games that have this big of a spread here, but 863 00:39:33,520 --> 00:39:37,120 Speaker 1: the public Farrell is big on Stanford and the over. 864 00:39:37,760 --> 00:39:40,400 Speaker 1: Are you agreeing in following the public money or is 865 00:39:40,440 --> 00:39:42,960 Speaker 1: that trappy this game. 866 00:39:43,280 --> 00:39:45,600 Speaker 3: You know, points are right. So here's the thing. I 867 00:39:45,640 --> 00:39:49,480 Speaker 3: think USC, no matter who they play, are going to 868 00:39:49,480 --> 00:39:50,840 Speaker 3: give up to or three touchdowns. 869 00:39:51,480 --> 00:39:52,440 Speaker 2: That's just the way it is. 870 00:39:53,000 --> 00:39:55,520 Speaker 3: And that means they have to score over fifty points, 871 00:39:55,560 --> 00:39:58,480 Speaker 3: which they've done, but they have to do that consistently 872 00:39:58,560 --> 00:40:01,880 Speaker 3: to cover a line like this. So you know, chances 873 00:40:01,920 --> 00:40:05,120 Speaker 3: are they're not going to do that every game. Chances 874 00:40:05,120 --> 00:40:06,560 Speaker 3: are they are going to give up two or three 875 00:40:06,600 --> 00:40:09,840 Speaker 3: touchdowns every game. And you know, Stanford isn't. 876 00:40:09,600 --> 00:40:11,200 Speaker 2: A horrible team. 877 00:40:11,800 --> 00:40:13,640 Speaker 3: You know, they're a Power five football team that they 878 00:40:13,640 --> 00:40:14,799 Speaker 3: were awful last year. 879 00:40:14,800 --> 00:40:17,000 Speaker 2: They'd be to why it doesn't really impress mem why 880 00:40:17,080 --> 00:40:18,480 Speaker 2: he's not a great football team. 881 00:40:18,320 --> 00:40:20,600 Speaker 3: But you know they looked a little bit better than 882 00:40:20,600 --> 00:40:21,760 Speaker 3: some people thought they would. 883 00:40:23,120 --> 00:40:26,560 Speaker 2: You know, to me, I like the over because I do. 884 00:40:26,480 --> 00:40:28,799 Speaker 3: Think that you know, you're going to have in the 885 00:40:28,800 --> 00:40:31,840 Speaker 3: forties for USC and potentially in the high teams too, 886 00:40:32,320 --> 00:40:35,680 Speaker 3: you know, twenties for Stanford, and so you've got a 887 00:40:35,800 --> 00:40:37,000 Speaker 3: chance to get over that number. 888 00:40:37,800 --> 00:40:40,080 Speaker 2: I like the side better, but I do like both. 889 00:40:40,120 --> 00:40:42,080 Speaker 3: I would take the over, but I would take the 890 00:40:42,120 --> 00:40:42,600 Speaker 3: side if. 891 00:40:42,520 --> 00:40:45,279 Speaker 2: You're choosing between those, just you know, give me. 892 00:40:45,200 --> 00:40:48,480 Speaker 3: A thirty one point lead against Sallex Frinch, and I 893 00:40:48,520 --> 00:40:51,480 Speaker 3: think I can hang on there were you. 894 00:40:51,440 --> 00:40:53,120 Speaker 1: Were talking a little bit about this off air. I 895 00:40:53,120 --> 00:40:54,520 Speaker 1: feel like you liked this game a lot. 896 00:40:55,480 --> 00:40:55,839 Speaker 5: I do. 897 00:40:56,560 --> 00:41:00,800 Speaker 4: I'm smashing that over Stanford is speaking of thor being wrong. 898 00:41:01,120 --> 00:41:03,239 Speaker 4: I thought, you know, Stanford was basically going to be 899 00:41:03,280 --> 00:41:06,560 Speaker 4: like the last year Colorado of the Power Five. This year, 900 00:41:07,320 --> 00:41:10,200 Speaker 4: I was telling you guys before the show. It only 901 00:41:10,280 --> 00:41:12,279 Speaker 4: took halfway through the first quarter of me watching that 902 00:41:12,320 --> 00:41:15,000 Speaker 4: Hawaii Stanford game where I was like, oh boy, was 903 00:41:15,040 --> 00:41:18,440 Speaker 4: I wrong about the Stanford team. And because of Taylor 904 00:41:18,520 --> 00:41:21,120 Speaker 4: the Koacha came in from Sacramento State, a guy who 905 00:41:21,160 --> 00:41:22,399 Speaker 4: performed a miracle there. 906 00:41:22,440 --> 00:41:24,680 Speaker 5: Sacramento State was in the gutter when he got there. 907 00:41:24,840 --> 00:41:26,160 Speaker 4: It only took him a couple of years, and all 908 00:41:26,200 --> 00:41:28,319 Speaker 4: of a sudden, Sacramento State was, you know, I just 909 00:41:28,360 --> 00:41:30,160 Speaker 4: had this dominant offense. 910 00:41:29,920 --> 00:41:31,239 Speaker 5: And really really good team. 911 00:41:31,480 --> 00:41:34,479 Speaker 4: Then he goes to Stanford, a team that David Shaw 912 00:41:34,600 --> 00:41:38,320 Speaker 4: left gutted frankly, and a program that can't take guys 913 00:41:38,320 --> 00:41:40,080 Speaker 4: in the portal, but they can lose them, you know, 914 00:41:40,080 --> 00:41:42,520 Speaker 4: more or less. And so the talent level coming into 915 00:41:42,520 --> 00:41:45,400 Speaker 4: the season, the experience level was both quite bad, so 916 00:41:45,480 --> 00:41:47,640 Speaker 4: you had to bank on Taylor be at an awesome coach, 917 00:41:47,719 --> 00:41:51,680 Speaker 4: and turns out probably an awesome coach. The offense that 918 00:41:51,719 --> 00:41:54,799 Speaker 4: they run is super fun, and that's the point that 919 00:41:54,880 --> 00:41:57,840 Speaker 4: we're going to with the over. Stanford not only runs 920 00:41:57,920 --> 00:42:00,920 Speaker 4: at a very high paced tempo, That's what Taylor did 921 00:42:00,920 --> 00:42:03,919 Speaker 4: at Sacramento State the entire time he was there. They're 922 00:42:03,960 --> 00:42:06,440 Speaker 4: also super duper creative with where they get the ball, 923 00:42:06,520 --> 00:42:10,360 Speaker 4: get the ball into space using motion, confusing the defense 924 00:42:10,400 --> 00:42:13,120 Speaker 4: and then forcing them to tackle in space. You know 925 00:42:13,160 --> 00:42:16,600 Speaker 4: what team's not good at tackling in space, the USC Trojans. 926 00:42:17,120 --> 00:42:18,960 Speaker 4: Stanford's going to put up a little bit of points 927 00:42:18,960 --> 00:42:21,200 Speaker 4: on them, and ben Yurisek, by the way, that tight 928 00:42:21,320 --> 00:42:24,200 Speaker 4: end for Stanford is a stut and Taylor obviously knows 929 00:42:24,200 --> 00:42:25,680 Speaker 4: it because they were getting them the ball early and 930 00:42:25,719 --> 00:42:28,160 Speaker 4: off and against Hawaii nine catches one hundred and thirty 931 00:42:28,200 --> 00:42:30,960 Speaker 4: eight yards and a tunny fifteen point three per reception. 932 00:42:31,600 --> 00:42:36,040 Speaker 4: USC defense, I don't believe. I'm sorry, I don't, and 933 00:42:36,080 --> 00:42:39,200 Speaker 4: so I think Stanford has a real good shot of 934 00:42:39,239 --> 00:42:42,200 Speaker 4: getting over twenty points in this game. Stanford's defense, I 935 00:42:42,239 --> 00:42:44,880 Speaker 4: mean they gave up twenty four to Hawaii. They gave 936 00:42:44,960 --> 00:42:47,359 Speaker 4: up three hundred and fifty five passing yards to Bran 937 00:42:47,960 --> 00:42:52,719 Speaker 4: Brandon Schagar with three touchdowns. The quarterback to play in 938 00:42:52,760 --> 00:42:55,120 Speaker 4: this week is quite a bit better than Shregar, and 939 00:42:55,160 --> 00:42:56,920 Speaker 4: he has quite a bit more weapons us. He definitely 940 00:42:56,920 --> 00:42:58,719 Speaker 4: going to put up points on them. But like I said, 941 00:42:58,800 --> 00:43:00,719 Speaker 4: I think Stanford will be able to turn at least 942 00:43:00,840 --> 00:43:02,800 Speaker 4: enough fire to get over this number. 943 00:43:02,800 --> 00:43:04,880 Speaker 5: For me, this is a smash over all. 944 00:43:04,960 --> 00:43:07,040 Speaker 1: Right, let's go to the last game of the week 945 00:43:07,080 --> 00:43:10,239 Speaker 1: for us CAL hosting Auburn. Auburn is a six and 946 00:43:10,320 --> 00:43:13,600 Speaker 1: a half point road favorite. Fifty five is totally here, Farrell. 947 00:43:13,960 --> 00:43:17,520 Speaker 1: The Cal offense look great. They look great against North Texas, 948 00:43:17,560 --> 00:43:20,680 Speaker 1: but can they have that kind of success against a 949 00:43:20,840 --> 00:43:24,879 Speaker 1: stronger SEC defense. It is in California, It's a long 950 00:43:24,880 --> 00:43:27,200 Speaker 1: way to travel for Auburn. It's a late game too 951 00:43:28,040 --> 00:43:31,640 Speaker 1: for Auburn. But I don't know. It's hard for me 952 00:43:31,719 --> 00:43:35,080 Speaker 1: to trust Cal even after ripping apart in North Texas. 953 00:43:35,120 --> 00:43:36,080 Speaker 1: How do you feel stuff? 954 00:43:37,760 --> 00:43:37,960 Speaker 2: You know? 955 00:43:38,080 --> 00:43:40,400 Speaker 3: But she really don't know what Auburn's about. You know, 956 00:43:40,440 --> 00:43:43,200 Speaker 3: they do have a pretty good defense. 957 00:43:43,800 --> 00:43:44,760 Speaker 2: Or at least on paper. 958 00:43:45,719 --> 00:43:49,439 Speaker 3: You know, I would lean towards Deunder here. I think, 959 00:43:49,520 --> 00:43:51,080 Speaker 3: you know, Cal's gonna run the football. 960 00:43:51,719 --> 00:43:52,680 Speaker 2: That's what they do best. 961 00:43:52,800 --> 00:43:54,680 Speaker 3: They're going to try to play possession football. 962 00:43:55,160 --> 00:43:56,720 Speaker 2: I don't think they're going to sling it around. 963 00:43:56,880 --> 00:43:58,879 Speaker 3: I think they're going to try to, you know, wear 964 00:43:58,960 --> 00:44:00,600 Speaker 3: down the Auburn defense a little bit. 965 00:44:01,719 --> 00:44:03,920 Speaker 2: You know, they've got a tremendous running back and not 966 00:44:05,440 --> 00:44:07,879 Speaker 2: you know, they don't want to have to throw the ball. 967 00:44:07,880 --> 00:44:10,239 Speaker 3: They don't want to come from behind if they can 968 00:44:10,320 --> 00:44:14,200 Speaker 3: avoid it. Auburn's gonna run the football too. I think 969 00:44:14,239 --> 00:44:16,479 Speaker 3: this is going to be a low scoring football game. 970 00:44:16,840 --> 00:44:19,560 Speaker 3: I don't know if Auburn's going to win this by 971 00:44:20,080 --> 00:44:23,040 Speaker 3: you know, seven points. I don't know if Auber's going 972 00:44:23,080 --> 00:44:25,120 Speaker 3: to win this game at all. Not that I'm bullish 973 00:44:25,160 --> 00:44:25,600 Speaker 3: on Cal. 974 00:44:26,080 --> 00:44:26,759 Speaker 2: I think it was. 975 00:44:26,800 --> 00:44:29,560 Speaker 3: Impressive what they did, you know, going into Texas and 976 00:44:29,600 --> 00:44:31,880 Speaker 3: putting out that many points. But they're not a jugger, 977 00:44:31,920 --> 00:44:35,080 Speaker 3: not offensively, and that's not going to happen here against 978 00:44:35,120 --> 00:44:36,760 Speaker 3: a much better Auburn defense. 979 00:44:37,280 --> 00:44:38,160 Speaker 2: I'm leaning under. 980 00:44:38,920 --> 00:44:40,680 Speaker 3: I think it's going to be sort of a smash 981 00:44:40,719 --> 00:44:45,120 Speaker 3: mouth run the football, and I think both defenses, you know, 982 00:44:45,120 --> 00:44:48,560 Speaker 3: should be able to hold. You know, maybe you see, 983 00:44:49,560 --> 00:44:54,640 Speaker 3: I don't know, you know one, you know, I think 984 00:44:54,680 --> 00:44:55,839 Speaker 3: that's what you're looking at here. 985 00:44:55,960 --> 00:44:59,680 Speaker 1: Yeah, thor do you have a different opinion in this game? 986 00:44:59,719 --> 00:45:01,719 Speaker 1: I mean cal looked good on offense. I think Jaye 987 00:45:01,719 --> 00:45:03,840 Speaker 1: Not's one of the best running backs in the country. 988 00:45:04,040 --> 00:45:06,360 Speaker 1: Had a big fumble though, uh and they were playing 989 00:45:06,560 --> 00:45:09,640 Speaker 1: unt not a great team. So how do you how 990 00:45:09,640 --> 00:45:12,000 Speaker 1: do you see them matching up against the SEC defense 991 00:45:12,040 --> 00:45:12,759 Speaker 1: coming into town? 992 00:45:13,480 --> 00:45:15,160 Speaker 5: Yeah, I agree with you, bog Maan. 993 00:45:15,239 --> 00:45:16,919 Speaker 4: I think Odd is one of the better running backs 994 00:45:16,920 --> 00:45:19,279 Speaker 4: in America that people haven't really heard of. I I 995 00:45:19,320 --> 00:45:22,600 Speaker 4: do think that's going to change. I'm curious and and 996 00:45:22,719 --> 00:45:29,919 Speaker 4: Mike is our resident recruiting expert, America's country resident recruiting expert, Mike, 997 00:45:29,960 --> 00:45:33,520 Speaker 4: I'm curious why did I go under the radar in recruiting? 998 00:45:33,560 --> 00:45:36,759 Speaker 4: He came from Chino? Like, why, why weren't Why didn't 999 00:45:36,760 --> 00:45:38,520 Speaker 4: you have a higher star gate? Why weren't more people 1000 00:45:38,560 --> 00:45:40,239 Speaker 4: after that? Kid could play right along? 1001 00:45:40,280 --> 00:45:42,520 Speaker 3: Northern California often get underrated. 1002 00:45:43,160 --> 00:45:44,080 Speaker 2: It's just the way it is. 1003 00:45:44,560 --> 00:45:46,960 Speaker 3: He was a four star, it was pretty good, and 1004 00:45:47,000 --> 00:45:52,000 Speaker 3: he was a two to fifty guy. Hello thought the 1005 00:45:52,040 --> 00:45:55,080 Speaker 3: two fifty, which is you know, it's a. 1006 00:45:54,800 --> 00:45:56,840 Speaker 2: It's a mid level wor start. 1007 00:45:58,080 --> 00:46:00,560 Speaker 3: It's one of those things where there's such a value 1008 00:46:00,600 --> 00:46:05,400 Speaker 3: of Northern California kids versus Southern California kids. You know, 1009 00:46:05,760 --> 00:46:09,000 Speaker 3: there they don't play the same competition, they don't go 1010 00:46:09,080 --> 00:46:12,040 Speaker 3: to as many seven on seven camps, they don't you know, 1011 00:46:12,160 --> 00:46:16,040 Speaker 3: show out as many times in spring football. It's one 1012 00:46:16,040 --> 00:46:18,200 Speaker 3: of those things where they just aren't at camps and 1013 00:46:18,280 --> 00:46:22,160 Speaker 3: seven on seven's for through offseason evaluation, and you know, 1014 00:46:22,200 --> 00:46:24,880 Speaker 3: in season evaluation they play maybe a couple of good teams, 1015 00:46:25,239 --> 00:46:28,320 Speaker 3: whereas Southern California kids are at everything all the time, 1016 00:46:28,560 --> 00:46:32,520 Speaker 3: Honstan evaluation kind of overhyped a little bit, and play 1017 00:46:32,560 --> 00:46:35,359 Speaker 3: much better competition usually. So that's what it is. I mean, 1018 00:46:35,440 --> 00:46:37,840 Speaker 3: Najie Aeris is the exception, of course, But you know, 1019 00:46:37,880 --> 00:46:40,680 Speaker 3: a kid like that was a mid level four star, 1020 00:46:41,560 --> 00:46:45,479 Speaker 3: very very good football player. You know, it just wasn't 1021 00:46:45,680 --> 00:46:49,040 Speaker 3: national recruit and wasn't naturally ranked simply because of that 1022 00:46:49,200 --> 00:46:50,360 Speaker 3: Northern California buy it. 1023 00:46:51,040 --> 00:46:53,480 Speaker 4: Yeah, It's it's crazy because that kid was a difference 1024 00:46:53,520 --> 00:46:57,240 Speaker 4: maker from from day one there in his career. Jade 1025 00:46:57,280 --> 00:47:00,360 Speaker 4: not I'm not in a great offensive environment, of course, 1026 00:47:00,640 --> 00:47:04,280 Speaker 4: five point seven yards per carry, like to this point, 1027 00:47:04,400 --> 00:47:08,399 Speaker 4: he's one game into his sophomore season. Like, just very 1028 00:47:08,440 --> 00:47:10,799 Speaker 4: impressed with that kid. You mentioned that they can run 1029 00:47:10,840 --> 00:47:14,960 Speaker 4: the ball. What's interesting is they were gonna go with 1030 00:47:15,040 --> 00:47:17,239 Speaker 4: Sam Jackson Snakes on a plane as I call him, 1031 00:47:17,239 --> 00:47:20,799 Speaker 4: at quarterback the TCU transfer, and he didn't look great 1032 00:47:20,840 --> 00:47:22,840 Speaker 4: at the beginning of that North Texas game. Then he 1033 00:47:22,840 --> 00:47:26,680 Speaker 4: gets dinged up. Ben Finley comes in another transfer. He 1034 00:47:26,760 --> 00:47:30,479 Speaker 4: looked real good. Twenty four for thirty four, two hundred 1035 00:47:30,480 --> 00:47:32,840 Speaker 4: and seventy nine yards a touchdown. You did throw an interception, 1036 00:47:33,440 --> 00:47:36,359 Speaker 4: but they were viable through the air as well. If 1037 00:47:36,440 --> 00:47:38,040 Speaker 4: Cal can throw the we know they're gonna be able 1038 00:47:38,040 --> 00:47:39,919 Speaker 4: to run the ball. If they can throw the ball, 1039 00:47:40,040 --> 00:47:41,919 Speaker 4: all of a sudden, you got a good offense there. 1040 00:47:42,160 --> 00:47:44,799 Speaker 4: And who's their head coach, Justin Wilcox, who was one 1041 00:47:44,840 --> 00:47:47,080 Speaker 4: of the country's best defensive coordinators for the five six 1042 00:47:47,160 --> 00:47:50,080 Speaker 4: seven years before he became a head coach. They might 1043 00:47:50,160 --> 00:47:52,279 Speaker 4: have something on their hands. I was very impressed with 1044 00:47:52,320 --> 00:47:55,160 Speaker 4: them going into Denton in the heat and everything like that. 1045 00:47:55,520 --> 00:47:57,319 Speaker 4: You know, North text to another one of my bad 1046 00:47:57,360 --> 00:48:00,239 Speaker 4: calls last week, but Cal just slapped him or round. 1047 00:48:00,320 --> 00:48:02,239 Speaker 4: I was pretty stunned, especially having to go to your 1048 00:48:02,280 --> 00:48:05,240 Speaker 4: your backup quarterback. Initially, I think this is a shot 1049 00:48:05,280 --> 00:48:08,960 Speaker 4: for Cal to ambush a team who's in a bad 1050 00:48:09,040 --> 00:48:09,720 Speaker 4: spot here. 1051 00:48:10,160 --> 00:48:11,400 Speaker 5: Uh, this game does. 1052 00:48:11,320 --> 00:48:13,840 Speaker 4: Not kick off until Bob, when do you have the 1053 00:48:13,880 --> 00:48:14,719 Speaker 4: time to carry off? 1054 00:48:18,719 --> 00:48:23,560 Speaker 2: Yeah, it's gonna be a late one and for a Yeah. 1055 00:48:23,360 --> 00:48:25,759 Speaker 4: And Auburn I believe is in the Central time zone, right, 1056 00:48:25,800 --> 00:48:28,160 Speaker 4: but it's still eight eight thirty. 1057 00:48:28,239 --> 00:48:29,120 Speaker 5: Body clock time. 1058 00:48:29,320 --> 00:48:31,719 Speaker 4: Yeah, it's still late and you have to go out 1059 00:48:31,719 --> 00:48:35,480 Speaker 4: there to the West coast. And Cal, I mean, like Aubert, 1060 00:48:35,520 --> 00:48:37,880 Speaker 4: they they play all the good teams every year in 1061 00:48:37,880 --> 00:48:40,680 Speaker 4: the SEC. It's not like they're like, oh Cal, you know, 1062 00:48:40,840 --> 00:48:43,920 Speaker 4: like Cal beat North Texas, like you know whatever. And 1063 00:48:43,960 --> 00:48:46,600 Speaker 4: you're in the second game of the Hugh Freeze era, right, Like, 1064 00:48:46,680 --> 00:48:49,840 Speaker 4: I mean, you know, Aubert had quitted itself against UMass 1065 00:48:50,000 --> 00:48:52,360 Speaker 4: in the first game. This is a different sort of 1066 00:48:52,400 --> 00:48:55,480 Speaker 4: a deal. I think Willcox will have a defensive game 1067 00:48:55,520 --> 00:48:57,520 Speaker 4: plan here. I know that Jade not's gonna be able 1068 00:48:57,520 --> 00:48:59,600 Speaker 4: to run on him. It's gonna come down to what 1069 00:48:59,680 --> 00:49:03,520 Speaker 4: can how get from their passing game. But I you know, again, 1070 00:49:03,680 --> 00:49:07,240 Speaker 4: the second game for the Auburn offense with the vast 1071 00:49:07,239 --> 00:49:10,160 Speaker 4: system change. Now you have to go across the country. 1072 00:49:10,280 --> 00:49:13,200 Speaker 4: You have this super duper late kick Locally, I just 1073 00:49:13,239 --> 00:49:15,480 Speaker 4: think this is a tough indvite. You know it's gonna 1074 00:49:15,480 --> 00:49:17,520 Speaker 4: be a tough game for them. Sort of a sneaky spot. 1075 00:49:17,960 --> 00:49:20,080 Speaker 4: I think cala Ambush is Auburn here. I'm gonna call 1076 00:49:20,120 --> 00:49:20,239 Speaker 4: for the. 1077 00:49:20,320 --> 00:49:24,520 Speaker 1: Lright win Man. That would be an impressive win for 1078 00:49:24,640 --> 00:49:27,960 Speaker 1: Cal to take down Auburn. But Auburn is not the 1079 00:49:28,040 --> 00:49:31,279 Speaker 1: Auburn that we grew up with for sure, so it 1080 00:49:31,320 --> 00:49:34,120 Speaker 1: should be a fun Week two. Thank you guys for 1081 00:49:34,160 --> 00:49:36,279 Speaker 1: giving us the preview here. Remember you can follow us 1082 00:49:36,320 --> 00:49:39,560 Speaker 1: all on the Twitter at Bogman Sports for myself, at 1083 00:49:39,600 --> 00:49:43,439 Speaker 1: thor Ku for Thorn, at m Ferrell Sports for Mike. 1084 00:49:43,760 --> 00:49:46,160 Speaker 1: Two RS two l's and we will see you guys 1085 00:49:46,239 --> 00:49:47,680 Speaker 1: next week. Take it easy, everybody,