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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Monday

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Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is

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Speaker 1: Matt Perreltz. You guys can follow me across all socials

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Speaker 1: at Sports Talk Matt. Every single morning, you guys hear

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Speaker 1: me talk about Omas Steaks dot Com and the Omas

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Speaker 1: Steaks dot Com juice. You url get you there. We

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Speaker 1: drive the traffic to them, and we get credit for

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Speaker 1: sending you there. If you guys are interested, looking for

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Speaker 1: something potentially, maybe for the Final four, Maybe for a

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Speaker 1: national championship party. I don't know, maybe a Saint Patrick's

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Speaker 1: Day party that's right around the corner this week. Saint

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Speaker 1: Patrick Stak is always a lot of fun. Omas Steaks

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Speaker 1: dot Com slash Juice if you send them for a subscription,

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Speaker 1: free burgers for life, ten percent off your first order

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Speaker 1: at olmos Stakes dot com slash Juice. All right, there's

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Speaker 1: no other way around it. Yesterday stunk. I'm really happy

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Speaker 1: for Drake. I'm really happy for Darren Deavrees. This is

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Speaker 1: like watching a movie all over again with Darren DeVries

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Speaker 1: in Tucker Devrees, the Blue Jays from Creighton did the

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Speaker 1: same thing with coach McDermott with Doug and Greg junior

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Speaker 1: year winning the Valley Tournament, not the regular I can't remember.

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Speaker 1: I don't think they won the regular season. They might

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Speaker 1: have won the regular season, but they won the Valley Tournament.

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Speaker 1: They went and took on North Carolina in the second

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Speaker 1: round and lost. Then they played Duke his senior year,

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Speaker 1: Doug senior year in lost. But between the junior and

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Speaker 1: senior year, Creighton went to the Big East and they

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Speaker 1: went to the Big East Tournament final. That first year

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Speaker 1: with Doug, that's the year that Doug won the Naysmith

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Speaker 1: National Player of the Year award. In Tucker Devrees is

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Speaker 1: going to be in the conversation next year. He'll go back.

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Speaker 1: He's a junior. Drake hit their first seven to threes. Now,

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Speaker 1: I took plus seven in game and oftentimes on the

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Speaker 1: Discord channel bettingpros dot Com slash guys get in, I'll

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Speaker 1: tell you what I bet live and I bet plus seven.

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Speaker 1: Ultimately that cashed so minimized or mitigated the O and

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Speaker 1: three for me, and I went one in four or

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Speaker 1: one in three on the day. But I mean still

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Speaker 1: a losing day for me. Losing day for the podcast,

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Speaker 1: losing week, and not a great start to March. January

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Speaker 1: was great, February was not good. March has not been

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Speaker 1: great at all. So we've got plenty of time to

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Speaker 1: recover in the month. But you know, if you want

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Speaker 1: to fade these bets, I don't mind it, because I've

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Speaker 1: just had one of these stretches. It's a roller coaster ride.

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Speaker 1: This is just what happened, right you, just when you're

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Speaker 1: betting every day. Basketball and hockey can be very volatile.

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Speaker 1: It can be difficult to get into it, and some

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Speaker 1: people are killing it, and that's awesome. I mean, I

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Speaker 1: love when you guys are recommending bets to me, like, hey,

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Speaker 1: why not this bet? Hey, why not that bet? I

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Speaker 1: love that, guys, really I do, and I do look

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Speaker 1: at everything you guys send to me. Right, I may

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Speaker 1: or may not bet it, I don't know, but I

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Speaker 1: do like the fact when you guys send me tips

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Speaker 1: and plays, they sometimes get to the juice, but most

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Speaker 1: often they won't, just because it should be my handicap

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Speaker 1: and what I'm betting. But I do sometimes bet the

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Speaker 1: plays you guys send me, So I appreciate you guys

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Speaker 1: trying to help and it's what makes the community so great.

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Speaker 1: You're like, hey, Matt, don't worry about it. Keep your

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Speaker 1: head up. I know you're losing, but you know, I

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Speaker 1: do appreciate it. But you know, I'm gonna get a

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Speaker 1: little creative today because well maybe it's dumb, but when

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Speaker 1: I get like this and I'm cold, I like to

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Speaker 1: kind of shake things up a little bit and do

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Speaker 1: things kind of out of the norms I don't normally do.

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Speaker 1: So I've got a three leg money line parlay, I've

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Speaker 1: got a hockey bet, and I've got one college basketball

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Speaker 1: bet to give you guys here on the podcast for

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Speaker 1: today on a Monday. But before I do that, as

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Speaker 1: we hit Championship week, if you guys are looking for

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Speaker 1: make sure you do that, you make a five dollars wager.

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Speaker 1: When that wager hits, you can bet on anything you want.

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Speaker 1: hundred and fifty dollars in bonus bets from bet three

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Speaker 1: Slash three six five. Bettingpros dot Com Slash three six

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Speaker 1: you one hundred and fifty dollars in bonus bets at

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Speaker 1: bet three six five bettingpros dot Com Slash three six five. Okay,

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Speaker 1: it is time, by the way. Add on to college basketball,

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Speaker 1: Buy the Future on Tennessee. Buy it at Caesars. It's

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Speaker 1: fourteen to one. It was fifteen one, but that's an

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Speaker 1: off market price, all right. DraftKings eleven to one, Fan

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Speaker 1: Duel ten to one, Westgate ten to one, Circa ten

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Speaker 1: to one. They're fourteen to one. Now. It was fifteen

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Speaker 1: to one, but I was able to get it at

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Speaker 1: fourteen to one. Someone said, Matt, should I buy it

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Speaker 1: at fifteen to one? I said, yes, buy it. When

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Speaker 1: I went to go buy it, it already moved. It was

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Speaker 1: fourteen to one, so we're going to jump in with

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Speaker 1: one unit. Again, I tend to bet more than one

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Speaker 1: unit on futures. It's up to you what you want

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Speaker 1: to bet on it, but I do end up doing it.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna say this one time. This will be the

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Speaker 1: last time I will address what we have in the

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Speaker 1: futures market. Okay, I have been asked this question on

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Speaker 1: the Discord channel way too many times. Okay, the future wagers, now,

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Speaker 1: there are five of them. Okay, the portfolio will be five.

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Speaker 1: I may add as the tournament goes, but right now,

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Speaker 1: here are the five. The Creighton Blue Jays thirty to one,

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Speaker 1: Marquette twenty to one. I keep on. I gotta go

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Speaker 1: back and look. Arizona I think is twelve to one

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Speaker 1: in North Carolina, I believe is fourteen to one. I

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Speaker 1: got a double check on the math there. But there

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Speaker 1: is a future wager. You can get better prices than

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Speaker 1: what I bet. By the way, I'm just telling you

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Speaker 1: what I've played and now Tennessee at fourteen to one.

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Speaker 1: If you're wondering, Matt, you have five units in play

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Speaker 1: and you may not. Well, I got to hit on one

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Speaker 1: of those five, right I mean, there's a lot of

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Speaker 1: sixty eight teams. You gotta have. No, that's not what

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Speaker 1: we're doing. Okay. Once the teams that I am betting on,

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Speaker 1: and I hope that they all get there, but once

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Speaker 1: they get to the sweet sixteen, we will start to

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Speaker 1: bet against them, some more than others. Like a thirty

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Speaker 1: to one on the creaton Blue Jays, we'll bet two units,

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Speaker 1: two units, two units, okay, Marquette twenty to one, we'll

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Speaker 1: bet you know, two units, maybe once or twice, I

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Speaker 1: don't know, you know what I mean, Like, we're gonna

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Speaker 1: we have a lot of wigoram so I'm not looking

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Speaker 1: for one of those bets to cash. These are hedge

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Speaker 1: positions to work off of as the tournament goes. That's

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Speaker 1: why I wanted fifteen to one. I'll take fourteen to one,

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Speaker 1: but nothing below that. Okay. If by time he gets there,

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Speaker 1: if you're following this strategy and it's for it, it's

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Speaker 1: twelve to one, ten to one, don't buy it. Okay,

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Speaker 1: that's not enough value in there. We can't work off that.

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Speaker 1: You gotta have enough value on this to work off fit. Okay,

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Speaker 1: So the five teams to win the National championship, Creighton, Marquette, Arizona,

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Speaker 1: North Carolina, now Tennessee. That's the last time I'm going

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Speaker 1: to address that. Okay, save this podcast, send it to

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Speaker 1: your friends. If somebody on the Discord channel says, hey,

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Speaker 1: at Sports Talk, Matt, can you tell me the position

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Speaker 1: that the five teams you have futures on reference the

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Speaker 1: podcast on what three eleven? Right? Hey, three eleven? Good

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Speaker 1: band for this? Okay, So there we go at Tennessee.

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Speaker 1: Now to tonight, Santa Clara is nine and a half

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Speaker 1: point dogs to Saint Mary's. The first two times Saint

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Speaker 1: Mary's and Santa Clara played, they had Joshua Jefferson. They

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Speaker 1: will not have Joshua Jefferson Saint Mary's. He's out for

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Speaker 1: the year with a knee injury. There's also some bench

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Speaker 1: in some depth questions here for an injury that may

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Speaker 1: come into play with a backup center for Saint Mary's

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Speaker 1: who may not be available tonight. But I don't think

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Speaker 1: that makes that big of a difference to me. What

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Speaker 1: does make a big difference is that Santa Clara is

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Speaker 1: twelve and five away from home and thirteen three and

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Speaker 1: one ats in the West Coast Conference. That's unbelievable. Ten

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Speaker 1: and six. Saint Mary's, they're really good. They're seven and

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Speaker 1: six on the road. They're six and four over their

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Speaker 1: last ten games. But Saint Mary's is in the tournament.

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Speaker 1: They know this. Tainta Clara is not. They got to

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Speaker 1: win the West Coast Conference to get in. Now, nine

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Speaker 1: and a half is a lot of points. But the

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Speaker 1: first time these two teams played, it was well, not pretty.

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Speaker 1: It was a uh well that was the second time,

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Speaker 1: so you know, the first time they were at home.

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Speaker 1: Saint Mary's walked into Santa Clara catching sainta Clara was

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Speaker 1: catching six and a half road favorite. Saint Mary's won

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Speaker 1: the game by twenty four points. Killed them. Second meeting,

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Speaker 1: though Saint Mary's went on the road two or sorry,

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Speaker 1: Santa Clara were on the road to Saint Mary's. They

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Speaker 1: were fourteen point dogs, lost by five. They were in

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Speaker 1: that game, chance to win a game. Saint Mary's destroyed

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Speaker 1: San Diego. They were laying eleven and a half. They

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Speaker 1: won by twenty five points. They have played on this

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Speaker 1: court already. Saint Mary's hasn't played. This is their first game.

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Speaker 1: They've not played since the second of March. Had about

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Speaker 1: a week off. You could bet first half if you want.

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Speaker 1: I thought about it. Take Santa Clara first half plus

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Speaker 1: five plus four not a horrible bet, Okay, I'll probably

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Speaker 1: sprinkle on it myself. But I think Santa Clara may

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Speaker 1: be able to put a fear in Saint Mary's here,

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Speaker 1: I really do. I think Saint Mary's wins the game.

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Speaker 1: But I think Santa Clara at plus nine and a

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Speaker 1: half it just seems too heavy, Okay. I just last

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Speaker 1: ten games, seven to two and one. Santa Clara. They

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Speaker 1: gotta win the tournament to get in. They're gonna fight

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Speaker 1: you tooth and nail here. I don't think Saint Mary's

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Speaker 1: destroy Santa Clara. I'm gonna take the nine and a

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Speaker 1: half points Santa Clara plus nine and a half for

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Speaker 1: one point one units. Now, might go, Matt, what about

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Speaker 1: the Gonzaga game. Here's what I'm gonna do. Three team

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Speaker 1: money line parlay. Why I'm dumb, That's why? But why not?

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Speaker 1: It's only money. I do think Saint Mary's wins the game.

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Speaker 1: I do, I don't know. I don't think they cover.

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Speaker 1: I think they win Saint Mary's money line Gonzaga. Well, look,

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Speaker 1: there may only been a might only be a couple

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Speaker 1: of teams in the nation hotter than Gonzaga right now.

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Speaker 1: They are absolutely scorching on fire. They haven't lost the

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Speaker 1: game since Saint Mary's on the third of February. They've

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Speaker 1: beat everybody thirty two points, four, seventeen, twenty six, twenty one, thirteen,

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Speaker 1: eighteen thirteen. They're killing everybody. You want to lay the points,

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Speaker 1: Lay the points, okay, they I mean they beat San

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Speaker 1: Francisco on the road by eighteen points, killed them first matchup,

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Speaker 1: the one by five. That's before they went on this

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Speaker 1: run the losses this year. I mean, look, it's a

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Speaker 1: tournament setting, so again, same thing San fran has played

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Speaker 1: on this court already. But you know, Kempom has it

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Speaker 1: as a seven point win for Gonzaga. It's an eight

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Speaker 1: point line. I'm just a little worried about both Santa Cla,

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Speaker 1: about Saint Mary's and Gonzaga looking ahead to tomorrow night,

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Speaker 1: looking ahead to the championship game and maybe not winning

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Speaker 1: and blowing them out, but maybe just winning Saint Mary's

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Speaker 1: money line Gonzaga money line, and then for good measure,

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Speaker 1: we're gonna throw in Hofstra, who is red hot right now.

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Speaker 1: Hopstra is rolling now. If you remember, we faded Hofstra

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Speaker 1: earlier in the year when Hofstra played against Stonybrook. We

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Speaker 1: were on Stonybrook seventy two to seventy one win at

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Speaker 1: home for Hofstra, first matchup, eighty to seventy four. On

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Speaker 1: the road. They've beaten them twice. Hofstra lost to College

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Speaker 1: of Charleston lost a in the in the last game

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Speaker 1: of the regular season on the road. That was senior

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Speaker 1: Day for Charleston, who we bet against yesterday and mom

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Speaker 1: a month late, a big old fat egg. So maybe no,

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Speaker 1: there's not a lot of lost there for losing to them,

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Speaker 1: but you've got a seventy four sixty nine win. According

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Speaker 1: to Kempom, I don't want to mess around with the

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Speaker 1: number here. I'm not interested in playing around saying, all right,

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Speaker 1: what do we want to do. It's a five and

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Speaker 1: a half point line. I don't really want to play

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Speaker 1: around with that personally and just say, you know what,

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Speaker 1: let's just talk money line here. Hafshow's been hot, Hafs's

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Speaker 1: playing really well. Let's not you know, go, can you

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Speaker 1: cover the number? I think they can cover the number,

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Speaker 1: but I'd rather just talk about money line and not

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Speaker 1: worry about it. Yes, Hofshow has been okay, nine and

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Speaker 1: ten ats, but they're on the road. But they're seven

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Speaker 1: and three over their last ten. Now, stony Brook's been hot.

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Speaker 1: They've covered six straight games eight and two over their

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Speaker 1: last ten, thirteen and two at home, ten, six and

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Speaker 1: one on the road, sixteen and four in conference for Stonybrook, Okay,

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Speaker 1: they've won three games in a row, but lost a

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Speaker 1: Drexel on the road. I mean they lost to mom

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Speaker 1: At by twenty three points. All right, let's give me

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Speaker 1: an idea there. If you don't want to add this

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Speaker 1: leg and you want to go for a different leg,

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Speaker 1: I'm not gonna hate on you for doing that. But

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Speaker 1: looking at money line here, I mean Hofshow's nine and twelve,

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Speaker 1: six and eleven, Stonybrook straight up away from home six

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Speaker 1: and eleven. Now, they've won seven of ten for the

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Speaker 1: last five, but so is Hotstro. They're eight and two

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Speaker 1: straight up over there their last ten, four and one,

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Speaker 1: and frankly, I just don't think they're they're the better

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Speaker 1: basketball team. They won both times. I think they do

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Speaker 1: it for a third time here. This is the shakiest

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Speaker 1: of the three legs, obviously, but that's why we're getting

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Speaker 1: plus money here, okay, plus one sixteen on the street

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Speaker 1: three leg money line parlay Gonzaga Hofstra Saint Mary's three

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Speaker 1: leg money line parlay for one unit. It's plus one sixteen,

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Speaker 1: all right, gives you three games to watch if the

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Speaker 1: first two legs come in. You can hedge off of

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Speaker 1: it if you want, okay, but you don't have to.

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Speaker 1: It's only a one unit play. But this is what

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Speaker 1: I do. Will this hit. Probably not why parlays are

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Speaker 1: a bad idea. It's why we do that. Don't bet

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Speaker 1: a parlay parlay. But this is not qualified for that

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Speaker 1: for me. That's a three leg parlay that's going to

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Speaker 1: be at least six to one return, or close enough

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Speaker 1: to six to one somewhere in that ballpark. This is

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Speaker 1: barely you know, one to one, okay, just a little

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Speaker 1: bit over one to one from our term perspective, but

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Speaker 1: gives us games about the entire day, Hofstra. That game

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Speaker 1: starts at five thirty Pacific, eight thirty Eastern. You got

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Speaker 1: Gonzaga out here on the West coast. The Gonzaga game

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Speaker 1: will start, or the Saint Mary's game will start at

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Speaker 1: six pm Pacific, nine pm Eastern, and then the St

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Speaker 1: Mary The Kndaiga game is late eight thirty Pacific eleven

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Speaker 1: thirty on the East Coast for you guys, So you

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Speaker 1: have three games to pay attention to up the entire night.

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Speaker 1: You can jump in with that, all right, Gonzaga Hofstro

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Speaker 1: Saint Mary's money line at plus one sixteen, and we're

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Speaker 1: taking Saint Mary's at plus nine and a half. Saint

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Speaker 1: Mary's wins, I mean, you know, or sorry if Saint

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Speaker 1: to Claia, sorry said to Clara, plus nine and a half.

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Speaker 1: If Saint Mary's loses, then the parley's dead and then

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Speaker 1: this bet cash is and it's a wash. So one

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Speaker 1: to one and it's done. Okay. Hofstra play might be

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Speaker 1: the most egregious or dangerous, but I think I'm taking

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Speaker 1: I think feel pretty good abut Hofstar winning their third

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Speaker 1: straight game over a team in Stony Brook. That's okay.

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Speaker 1: But Hofstra's hotter better than they are. Okay. One more

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Speaker 1: bet hockey. The Boston Bruins are taking on the Saint

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Speaker 1: Louis Blues now Bruins games. We want to bet the

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Speaker 1: draw go right ahead, but the Bruins kind of have

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Speaker 1: stopped doing that recently. Bruins killed the Penguins yesterday or

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Speaker 1: two days ago, five to one. David Paschnoch has had

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Speaker 1: forty goals this year, third consecutive year for him with

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Speaker 1: forty goals. Bruins have ninety one points. If you remember,

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Speaker 1: we bet over ninety eight and a half points for

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Speaker 1: the Boston Bruins were well on our way to cashing

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Speaker 1: that they've bet ninety one points. It'd be stunning if

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Speaker 1: the Boston Bruins don't get to over ninety or another

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Speaker 1: one hundred points season for the Boston Bruins. But they're

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Speaker 1: playing the Saint Louis Blues, and look, Boston's at home.

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Speaker 1: They're twenty one, seven and six at home. The Blues

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Speaker 1: are fourteen eighteen and two on the road. The total

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Speaker 1: was five and a half. The first time these teams played,

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Speaker 1: it was a four to three win for the Bruins.

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Speaker 1: Game went over. Fandel has this at a four and

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Speaker 1: a half. At a five and a half number. Ruins

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Speaker 1: beat the Pittsburgh Penguins five to one. They beat Toronto

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Speaker 1: four to one. They lost to Edmonton two to one.

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Speaker 1: They beat Toronto four to one. They lost to the

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Speaker 1: Islanders five to one. Look, I think the Blues will score.

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Speaker 1: The Blues have lost three games in a row. They've

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Speaker 1: given up four to four and four and all three

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Speaker 1: of those games. If you want to go team total

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Speaker 1: Boston Ruins over. I don't hate that play either. I

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Speaker 1: will sprinkle on that bet myself coming up here for

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Speaker 1: the Bruins to score. But I do think you're gonna

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Speaker 1: see Saint Louis score at least two goals. I think

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Speaker 1: it's really likely a four to two final, maybe a

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Speaker 1: four to three final. But man, does Saint Louis need

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Speaker 1: a w The Bruins have been really an up and

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Speaker 1: down kind of hockey team, and they've been giving up

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Speaker 1: goals and giving up goals at home in weird ways.

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Speaker 1: Although they just you know, Toronto and Pittsburgh they've shut

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Speaker 1: them down five to one to four to one. That's

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Speaker 1: why the number is five and a half. But I

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Speaker 1: just don't trust Boston not to give up goals, like

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Speaker 1: I just I just don't trust the Bruins. Frankly, I

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Speaker 1: don't trust Saint Louis either to give up four or

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Speaker 1: five goals to the Boston Bruins either in sort of

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Speaker 1: a high flying type of hockey games. So I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: go over over five and a half for the Bruins

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Speaker 1: and the Saint Louis Blues. It doesn't really matter from

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Speaker 1: a goal to any perspective. To be quite honest, I

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Speaker 1: don't think it really matters all that much who's in

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Speaker 1: net for either team. It's pretty much a wash, both

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Speaker 1: for the Bruins and for and for Saint Louis. And

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Speaker 1: I mean this used to be a game where you'd

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Speaker 1: like you'd bet it under automatically and be like, oh, yeah,

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Speaker 1: one hundred percent, we're betting under any game in the

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Speaker 1: Boston Bruins. The Bruins are nineteen fourteen and one this

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Speaker 1: year at home to the under. But again, this is

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Speaker 1: a Bruins team that just they can get into shootouts

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Speaker 1: and they don't play the type of hockey when when

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Speaker 1: they have a team like Saint Louis, it wants to

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Speaker 1: go open and play a lot and look to score.

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Speaker 1: They'll be scoring opportunities for the Bruins and they very

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Speaker 1: well could wind up getting themselves, you know, again, four goals.

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Speaker 1: They scored four goals the first time they played Saint Louis.

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Speaker 1: I think have very similar game is gonna happen here

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Speaker 1: with the Saint Louis Blues, even though Saint Louis on

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Speaker 1: the road is two is six two and two to

357
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Speaker 1: the under for there. That's why it's five and a half.

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Speaker 1: But I'm gonna go over. I think you just have

359
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Speaker 1: seen the Bruins play too often where the games are

360
00:19:16,440 --> 00:19:19,280
Speaker 1: flying over. It's a four to two final one way

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Speaker 1: or the other, Bruins or the Blues. We're going over

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Speaker 1: five and a half at miss one twenty for one

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Speaker 1: point two units. Okay, so three bets for us here

364
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Speaker 1: on a Monday again, fade away if you want. Hopefully

365
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Speaker 1: we get up to a better start, but it's not

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Speaker 1: been a very good week or very good month of

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Speaker 1: March so far. Santa Clara plus nine and a half

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Speaker 1: against Saint Mary's for one point one units, three leg

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Speaker 1: money line parlay of Gonzaga Saint Mary's hofstra plus one

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Speaker 1: sixteen money line parlay. Bruins Blues over five and a

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Speaker 1: half at Minuts one twenty for us with three point

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Speaker 1: three units in play here like usual for us on

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Speaker 1: a Monday, minus Matt Parol's fallowing across all socials at

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Speaker 1: Sports Talk Matt every morning Del Juice podcast, I was

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Speaker 1: being brought to you by olmasteks dot com