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Speaker 1: Hey there, everybody. Welcome into the Bedding Bros bet About podcast.

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Speaker 1: I'm your host Dan Harris. With me, of course, is

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Speaker 1: Matt Pearl. You can find us on Twitter at Dan

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Speaker 1: Harris Adi and at Sports Talk Matt Matt. How are

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Speaker 1: you as we roll into week eleven?

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Speaker 2: How am I? I'm a little perturbed at what we

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Speaker 2: what for us, what we've been doing. Yeah, and it

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Speaker 2: just feels like we're constantly getting caught. Yeah, just every week.

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Speaker 2: It's been a frustration where I feel, really, I thought

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Speaker 2: we were gonna be great last week and then we

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Speaker 2: just got a little bit of a you know, just

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Speaker 2: one of those weeks and just it's been a tough year.

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Speaker 2: I mean it's been you know, I look around and

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Speaker 2: I talk to a lot of my friends who are

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Speaker 2: in these contests as well, and it's been a tough year.

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Speaker 2: So I'm okay, how about that?

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Speaker 1: Yeah? How are you doing in your other two contests

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Speaker 1: before I get to the Draftking.

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Speaker 2: I'm three and two every week and all of them. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: like just consistently. And it's not like we're picking the

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Speaker 2: same games either, right, it's three and two, three and

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Speaker 2: two the Bears. We would have been four and one

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Speaker 2: last week with the Bears. I would have been four

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Speaker 2: and one last week in my Westgate Super Contest if

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Speaker 2: the Bears had covered the Bears with the right side.

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Speaker 2: That third down play is giving me nightmares where they

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Speaker 2: ran a screen pass with they kick a field goal

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Speaker 2: and it's a three point win and we're good. We

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Speaker 2: cover and they run a screen pass that made no sense.

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Speaker 2: They lost four yards and they had to punt. So yeah,

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Speaker 2: just betting on Nick Foles and betting on whether we

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Speaker 2: Bill Laser or Matt Nagy. Just the Bears are now

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Speaker 2: on my off list.

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Speaker 1: Okay, well, you're not gonna get an argument for me.

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Speaker 1: Watching that game was very, very frustrating. I agree, But

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Speaker 1: let's recap our last week. But before we do, let's

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Speaker 1: do our usual reminders of a couple of things. Number

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Speaker 1: one discord. I don't know how many people are. I

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Speaker 1: try to give an update every week, but it's just

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Speaker 1: growing too fast. Bettingpros dot Com slash chatd is legitimately

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Speaker 1: just a place where you can talk about betting. You

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Speaker 1: can talk about it with us, you can talk about

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Speaker 1: it with your fellow gamblers. You can talk about any

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Speaker 1: topic really you want. In the sports gambling landscape. You've

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Speaker 1: got different channels and you can win assigned aj Brown

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Speaker 1: helmet that is going on through the end of November.

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Speaker 1: If you just go into Betting Pros dot Com slash

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Speaker 1: chat and go into discord, there is a place where

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Speaker 1: you can enter the contest. It's pretty awesome. The other

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Speaker 1: thing is our prop bet What did I said is

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Speaker 1: prop bet cheat sheet? Right, that's what, Yes, I've nailed

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Speaker 1: the name. Finally, Betting pros dot Com slash props again.

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Speaker 1: That compares consensus projections to the prop bets that are

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Speaker 1: available in the market, and it ranks them based on

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Speaker 1: how different, essentially the projections are from the lines that

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Speaker 1: the sports book sets. So it's really invaluable if you

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Speaker 1: like prop betting, as you should. All Right, so we're

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Speaker 1: gonna talk about this week. But as Matt said, we

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Speaker 1: went three and two last week, which is basically what

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Speaker 1: happens every week. We're essentially middle of the road in

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Speaker 1: the contest. So unless we kind of really we go

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Speaker 1: crazy here at the end, it's going to be kind

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Speaker 1: of hard to make up the ground, but it is

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Speaker 1: still possible. We're twenty six and twenty four fifty two percent.

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Speaker 1: We hit them. The only game that we both came

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Speaker 1: into the week really liking, which was the Bucks laying

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Speaker 1: four and a half to the Panthers. That was not

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Speaker 1: a sweat. We also hit in the Giants getting three

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Speaker 1: and a half from the Eagles and the Rams laying

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Speaker 1: one and a half to the Seahawks. We missed on

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Speaker 1: the one that Matt liked, which was the Bengals getting

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Speaker 1: six and a half from the Steelers. And as Matt said,

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Speaker 1: the one really that I liked and I pushed a

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Speaker 1: little bit, which was the Bears, and they were actually

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Speaker 1: only getting two and a half from the Vikings in

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Speaker 1: our contest, so we would have lost even if they

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Speaker 1: made that fit go. But still, come on, do something.

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Speaker 1: We got to get some wins. Also, as we'll talk about,

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Speaker 1: we have to play two bye weeks here in the

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Speaker 1: next several weeks. I think, what we've got six weeks

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Speaker 1: left because it goes through Week sixteen, we've got to

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Speaker 1: play two bye weeks, meaning we can't make picks for

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Speaker 1: two of the weeks. That might be this week Matt

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Speaker 1: and I sort of floated the fact that we didn't

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Speaker 1: love the slate this week. We will still go through

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Speaker 1: every game. We will give you whatever picks we are

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Speaker 1: leaning towards. We may not play them though this week

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Speaker 1: because we do have to take a bye week. And

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Speaker 1: I don't know, Matt, you still thinking that the slate

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Speaker 1: is ugly or in the last few hours have you

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Speaker 1: come around and found some games that you really like?

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Speaker 2: Still hate it ly? Still till absolutely entirely one hate it?

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Speaker 2: But I mean there are three games I like. You

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Speaker 2: can if you like them, maybe we play it if

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Speaker 2: you want to get into it. I actually like tonight

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Speaker 2: on Thursday Night. We haven't played a Thursday Night before,

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Speaker 2: but I actually like the Seahawks tonight.

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Speaker 1: Oh I thought you didn't like it at Wait when

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Speaker 1: it is its.

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Speaker 2: Three and a half. It's three and a half in

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Speaker 2: our contest. I bet it at three, but I think

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Speaker 2: that you know the way, I think it's the seven

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Speaker 2: point win personally for the Seahawks tonight, but that's just

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Speaker 2: my personal opinion on it. I bet it at three.

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Speaker 2: It's down to two and a half. The pros and

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Speaker 2: the Joe's are all over this back and forth. I mean,

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Speaker 2: it's kind of a crazy game watching the money and

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Speaker 2: the line movement as to where it's gone. But I

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Speaker 2: like Seattle tonight to win. I think the primetime games

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Speaker 2: it's where all the action is. Sunday, Thursday, Monday or

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Speaker 2: all the are the best three games of the week.

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Speaker 1: Okay, so this is the Seahawks are laying three and

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Speaker 1: a half tonight. Man. Yeah, I liked it at three.

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Speaker 1: I'd certainly like it two and a half. Yes, But

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Speaker 1: you know what, let's talk. We've got we've got We're

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Speaker 1: recording this at six pm on Eastern Standard time, so

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Speaker 1: we've got two hours until the game goes. So we'll

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Speaker 1: talk it through. Let's get to some of the other games,

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Speaker 1: and then let's see maybe I don't know whatever, I'd

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Speaker 1: be open to it. We could talk about I do

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Speaker 1: think that the Seahawks are gonna win this game, so

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Speaker 1: I'd be open to doing it. But let's start with

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Speaker 1: some of the games here on Sunday or Monday, whatever

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Speaker 1: you want. Let's see if we can agree on any

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Speaker 1: of them. I have to warn you, Matt, We've been

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Speaker 1: doing this now for eleven weeks. I think I generally

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Speaker 1: know how you feel about certain picks. I will be

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Speaker 1: shocked if you and I are able to come to agreement,

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Speaker 1: because the few that I like, I'm always just like,

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Speaker 1: oh God, Matt's gonna absolutely despise this pick, But go ahead,

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Speaker 1: let's see what you've got. Start us off with your

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Speaker 1: favorite play the weekend.

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Speaker 2: So there are games that the line movement like, for instance,

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Speaker 2: the line movement right now for Casey and the Raiders

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Speaker 2: is eight eight and a half. That is sign it's

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Speaker 2: six and a half in this contest. Yep, that is

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Speaker 2: an insane number. So while I might be on the Chiefs,

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Speaker 2: sorry on the on the Raiders betting, I think the

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Speaker 2: six and a half off of a bye week under

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Speaker 2: a seven point I don't know how you don't bet

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Speaker 2: Kansas City.

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Speaker 1: Here, Yeah, that's that's on my list.

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Speaker 2: I mean, I just I don't know. I don't I

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Speaker 2: think the Raiders can keep this game within ten points,

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Speaker 2: so I'm gonna.

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Speaker 1: Wait beat them. I beat him the first game.

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Speaker 2: Well, this is off of a bye it's Andy Reid,

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Speaker 2: it's a pissed off bunch of chief players coming in here,

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Speaker 2: and the Raiders got COVID problems like crazy.

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Speaker 1: Well I think that is that? Do you think that's

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Speaker 1: what's accounting for the move Matt, The fact that their

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Speaker 1: entire defense is basically COVID.

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Speaker 2: I think that's a public move. But I think the

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Speaker 2: pro movie is the fact that Andy Reid destroys AFC

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Speaker 2: West opponents, and I think it's just been a ridiculous run.

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Speaker 2: I think it's like twenty four and four or something

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Speaker 2: against the AFC West. So I think that's why it's

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Speaker 2: going in. The COVID problems come in and then but

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Speaker 2: I'm just gonna wait till this thing gets to ten,

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Speaker 2: and I'm gonna bet the Raiders. But for this contest,

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Speaker 2: my number one when I wrote down at six and

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Speaker 2: a half, the best number play is the Chiefs minus

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Speaker 2: six and a half.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm gonna for now pencil that one into the

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Speaker 1: extent we're going forward, because I definitely had that one

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Speaker 1: on my list. You know there is I don't think

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Speaker 1: you tell me if it matters in any way to you.

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Speaker 1: But Clyde Edwards Hilaire has missed practice so far this

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Speaker 1: week with a quote unquote illness and they have not

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Speaker 1: elaborated on it. We you know, you know where your

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Speaker 1: mind goes as soon as you hear illness, So he

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Speaker 1: may he couldn't miss this game, in which case you're

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Speaker 1: looking at Le'Veon bell Now they don't run the ball anyway,

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Speaker 1: it doesn't really matter. They're getting Sammy Watkins back here.

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Speaker 1: But does that matter to you at all if Edward

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Speaker 1: Hilaire were to miss this game?

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Speaker 2: No, I mean it's the defense. The problem for the

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Speaker 2: Raiders is they get no pressure on the quarterback, so

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Speaker 2: their secondary. I love Abram talking about a bunch of

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Speaker 2: the podcast. I think, you know, getting Arnett back is big.

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Speaker 2: His hand is now recovered, so we can play. I

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Speaker 2: think they're good at covering, they're not great at getting

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Speaker 2: after the quarterback. And I just think they don't have

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Speaker 2: a ton of team speed in the secondary. Their linebackers

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Speaker 2: are average at best. I think it's a monster Kelsey game,

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Speaker 2: and I think it's an angry bunch of Chief players

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Speaker 2: coming in that want to prove a point. So it's

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Speaker 2: a bad spot for the Raiders to be in. I

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Speaker 2: don't think that victory lap bust controversy is actually a thing,

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Speaker 2: but I do think there is a level of like,

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Speaker 2: this is our division. You guys are a year or

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Speaker 2: two early, and yeah, you caught us at home, we'll

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Speaker 2: come with our pants down, but where we're ready to

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Speaker 2: go here and we're coming after you. So again, I

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Speaker 2: think the Raiders have the weapons to keep it close

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Speaker 2: in a high scoring game. I love the over in

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Speaker 2: this game, but I think you're going to wind up

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Speaker 2: with a seven point victory for the Chiefs.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, under a touchdown. It's really hard not to take

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Speaker 1: this game. That's really what it is. As you said,

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Speaker 1: the line's been moving. The consensus line that I'm looking

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Speaker 1: at right now is eight.

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Speaker 2: Yeah.

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Speaker 1: I wouldn't be surprised if it goes higher. At seventy

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Speaker 1: one percent are still on the Chiefs in our bed analyzer.

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Speaker 1: So yeah. I mean, if there were a game that

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Speaker 1: I was going to pick that was on my list

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Speaker 1: that I think I thought you might like because of

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Speaker 1: the fact that it's under touchdown, it would be this one.

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Speaker 1: So again, if we do play this week, let's pencil

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Speaker 1: that in. But if you somehow find it anywhere at

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Speaker 1: six and a half, we'll certainly take that. Now, Matt,

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Speaker 1: what is your dividing line between when you think it

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Speaker 1: goes to the point where you would feel comfortable to Raiders?

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Speaker 1: Is it ten? Is that the line?

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Speaker 2: Yeah?

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Speaker 1: Yeah? And other than that, if it's over a touchdown,

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Speaker 1: are you just staying away in between let's say seven?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Because I think the difference between eight and ten.

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Speaker 2: The books go very quickly, so you'll see line movements.

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Speaker 2: The books have no problem going from seven and a

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Speaker 2: half to eight and then from eight and a half

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Speaker 2: to ten, so they'll move it fast, and so getting

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Speaker 2: off the key numbers of seven and eight are always

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Speaker 2: the most difficult. Going below sevens even more difficult. So

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Speaker 2: and the most difficult is three to three and a half.

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Speaker 2: That's the most difficult line movement for the books. So

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Speaker 2: I think if it gets to eight and a half,

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Speaker 2: it'll go ten. It'll just they'll just keep on moving

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Speaker 2: it up and they won't worry about it. Then look

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Speaker 2: at the ten and then they'll stop because then by

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Speaker 2: because it gets to ten and a half, the pros

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Speaker 2: will come in on the raiders and buy it back.

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Speaker 2: So ten's my number.

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Speaker 1: Got it okay? So this ends the portion of the

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Speaker 1: show where Dan and Matt agree on anything, is what I.

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Speaker 2: Think, because we'll see hold on all right.

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Speaker 1: Because the games I'm taking, I just can hear you

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Speaker 1: doing the thing that you go. You have the whole

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Speaker 1: slate available to you.

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Speaker 2: Head one game in my head that I think that

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Speaker 2: you're gonna do, and I want to my reaction will

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Speaker 2: only be off of one game, and I want to

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Speaker 2: see if you actually take it.

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Speaker 1: I bet you I'll take it. It's probably not going

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Speaker 1: to be this game because this game is backing an

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Speaker 1: ugly team, but it's kind of the classic by Low

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Speaker 1: in a situation where this team usually comes up big

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Speaker 1: no matter how bad they look. It's the Eagles getting

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Speaker 1: three and a half from the Browns. Now they're in Cleveland.

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Speaker 1: Look the Eagles, I think the match.

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Speaker 2: Up the number two is on the other side.

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Speaker 1: Oh, you like the Browns. All right, well, let's talk

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Speaker 1: this through. And I will say immediately what I do

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Speaker 1: when we make a pick is I go to the

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Speaker 1: bed analyzer and I look at which side people are.

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Speaker 1: Now that the consensus spread is three and Wold fel

258
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Speaker 1: a litle diferently about this game of three, but it's

259
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Speaker 1: legitimately fifty percent. Fifty percent on the Eagles, fifty percent

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Speaker 1: are on the Browns. So here's here's my line of thinking.

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Speaker 1: Number one. Historically speaking, I just think this is when

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Speaker 1: you back the Eagles when they look absolutely like maybe

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Speaker 1: the worst team in football, and then you know they

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Speaker 1: like that game against the forty nine ers Matt where

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Speaker 1: we talked ourselves into them getting seven and a half,

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Speaker 1: and I realized that maybe that game was a little

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Speaker 1: bit more on the forty nine ers than it was

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Speaker 1: necessarily on the Eagles. But you look at a game

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Speaker 1: where they look just dead in the water, which they did,

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Speaker 1: and you just say, Okay, this is probably a spot

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Speaker 1: where they're gonna bounce back. Miles centers looked very good

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Speaker 1: in the game against the Giants. I think he's going

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Speaker 1: to look very good here. They get a lot of pressure.

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Speaker 1: That's the one thing that the Eagles defense really does.

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Speaker 1: They get pressure, they're able to stop the run. I

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Speaker 1: guess the two things that they do. They're able to

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Speaker 1: stop the run. That's what Cleveland absolutely needs. And they

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Speaker 1: get a lot of pressure. And you know that's where

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Speaker 1: Baker kind of struggles. He doesn't like to get pressure,

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Speaker 1: and that I think the Browns defense is overrated. I

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Speaker 1: think they've got you know, they've had the two games

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Speaker 1: in the wind, They've had a pretty easy schedule. So

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Speaker 1: this is really more of a I bet on the

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Speaker 1: Eagles just when you think they're done. Now, I've caught

285
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Speaker 1: this already at three and a half. At three, maybe not.

286
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Speaker 1: I think they could win it out right, But I

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Speaker 1: do like it when I'm getting a hook, So go

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Speaker 1: ahead and give your side because you like the Browns obviously.

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Speaker 2: Well, the weather forecast is gonna be not as windy

290
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Speaker 2: as the previous two, but it's not gonna be nice.

291
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Speaker 1: It looks like rain, right, it's.

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Speaker 2: Gonna be cold. It's gonna be rainy. Ye, it's gonna

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Speaker 2: be breezy. Not not an hour maybe as a time

294
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Speaker 2: of tape it's Thursday, I thinks can switch in, but yes,

295
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Speaker 2: the forecast is not the thirty five mile par our

296
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Speaker 2: sustained wins that we saw last week for them, but

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Speaker 2: it's still weather. Eagles are awful, Wentz is awful.

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Speaker 1: Yep.

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Speaker 2: This is who the Browns beat. The Browns beat bad teams.

300
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Speaker 2: They can't beat anybody good. But if you look at

301
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Speaker 2: PFF Pro Football Focus, they have the I think of

302
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Speaker 2: the third ranked offense in the NFL right now. So

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Speaker 2: I mean they could score and they could put the

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Speaker 2: points up on anybody. And that's even with Odell or

305
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Speaker 2: without Odell, they can put points up on the board.

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Speaker 2: Hooper with the tight end. I just think this is

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Speaker 2: a bad team that you know, the Browns beat bad teams,

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Speaker 2: and the Eagles are a really really bad team. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: I'm at home laying. I think they win the game

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Speaker 2: by seven.

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Speaker 1: Okay, all right, so we're gonna stay off it because

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Speaker 1: I'm not. I mean, sometimes there are times where I

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Speaker 1: come in on one side and you talk me into

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Speaker 1: it and I do get your points completely about this

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Speaker 1: to me, again, this is a spot where you're like,

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Speaker 1: the Eagles might be the worst team in football, and

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Speaker 1: then they come up and they come up big, and

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Speaker 1: I really think that this is a game again. I

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Speaker 1: think the Browns are really I mean, they're just I

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Speaker 1: think they're overrated. Man. Without Odell Beckham, I think that

321
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Speaker 1: you know, Chubb is great, Kareem Hunt is great. But

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Speaker 1: I think that the Eagles are gonna understand, Okay, let's

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Speaker 1: make Odell Beckham Junior beat us if they can. And

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Speaker 1: they're pretty decent against the run, and I'm just not

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Speaker 1: confident without Odell Beckham Junior that he's gonna be able

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Speaker 1: to do that throwing to Jarvis Landry and Roshard Higgins

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Speaker 1: and Austin Hooper without those guys. So for me, I

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Speaker 1: think this is sort of the classic. All Right, the

329
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Speaker 1: Eagles are left for dead. Wait a minute, Why did

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Speaker 1: they just win the game by ten points? I don't understand.

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Speaker 1: So all right, let's go to your next That was

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Speaker 1: your number two.

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Speaker 2: Under too, Let's get your one and told you I

334
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Speaker 2: had three.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm ready.

336
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Speaker 2: Casey won Cleveland two, and I think the Ravens are

337
00:14:13,120 --> 00:14:17,520
Speaker 2: a mess. I got the Titans here. I think the

338
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Speaker 2: Titans win this game outright. I think they're the better offense.

339
00:14:21,800 --> 00:14:24,320
Speaker 2: I think they're the better defense. I think there's some

340
00:14:24,360 --> 00:14:26,960
Speaker 2: real problems right now with Lamar Jackson trying to move

341
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Speaker 2: the football. And you can make the excuse about the

342
00:14:29,040 --> 00:14:32,000
Speaker 2: rain and the wind and whatever you want to say

343
00:14:32,080 --> 00:14:35,320
Speaker 2: about why the Patriots beat the Ravens, but they got

344
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Speaker 2: problems in Baltimore. People had them. Colin Cowhard had them

345
00:14:39,040 --> 00:14:42,560
Speaker 2: going sixteen and oh, okay sixteen and oh this year,

346
00:14:43,240 --> 00:14:46,360
Speaker 2: there's some real problems in Baltimore. I like the Titans.

347
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Speaker 2: Whatever point tumber what is it? Six and a half?

348
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Speaker 1: Six in six and a half?

349
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Speaker 2: Six and a half? Love it? Titans plus six and

350
00:14:52,200 --> 00:14:52,520
Speaker 2: a half?

351
00:14:52,800 --> 00:14:55,840
Speaker 1: Yep, this I'm on this as well. And what's funny

352
00:14:55,880 --> 00:14:57,480
Speaker 1: is that this wasn't my number one, but I thought

353
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Speaker 1: about leading with it because I was like, this could

354
00:15:00,880 --> 00:15:03,720
Speaker 1: this seems like a game that Matt might like. Yeah,

355
00:15:03,760 --> 00:15:06,160
Speaker 1: And I loved the Ravens. I was willing to back

356
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Speaker 1: them all the time. And again I kind of talked

357
00:15:07,640 --> 00:15:10,200
Speaker 1: this into and you heard from some other people into

358
00:15:10,240 --> 00:15:12,640
Speaker 1: backing them against the Colts. But they didn't look good

359
00:15:12,680 --> 00:15:14,680
Speaker 1: in that game. Really, you know, they wound up winning it,

360
00:15:14,720 --> 00:15:17,280
Speaker 1: and they really really did not look good. And kudos

361
00:15:17,280 --> 00:15:18,920
Speaker 1: to you, by the way, that was my bad. The

362
00:15:18,960 --> 00:15:22,160
Speaker 1: Patriots were your last one, but one of the picks

363
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Speaker 1: that you said you were willing to go with last

364
00:15:24,080 --> 00:15:26,200
Speaker 1: week against the Ravens, and I thought you were nuts,

365
00:15:26,480 --> 00:15:28,840
Speaker 1: and that was absolutely the right side. So kudos to you.

366
00:15:29,080 --> 00:15:31,800
Speaker 1: I mean, not only Matt, are they a mess? But

367
00:15:32,560 --> 00:15:34,800
Speaker 1: the big thing right like, they're good against the run,

368
00:15:34,840 --> 00:15:36,640
Speaker 1: and you're like, well, the Titans really need to establish

369
00:15:36,760 --> 00:15:39,560
Speaker 1: Eric Henry. No Brandon Williams, and he's not gonna play

370
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Speaker 1: in this game. He's mispracticed. He is the guy who

371
00:15:42,080 --> 00:15:44,000
Speaker 1: stops the run. He was the guy last year when

372
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Speaker 1: he was out. You saw how they were against the run.

373
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Speaker 1: It's gonna be the same thing this year. Probably. No

374
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Speaker 1: kalay Is cambell here, no Stanley on the line, Nick Boyle,

375
00:15:51,320 --> 00:15:53,560
Speaker 1: is kind of actually a sneaky big loss that they've

376
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Speaker 1: got here going on. So I'm in total agree with

377
00:15:56,080 --> 00:15:58,120
Speaker 1: you on this one. Actually, this is week two of

378
00:15:58,160 --> 00:16:00,320
Speaker 1: your picks right now are two games that were not

379
00:16:00,520 --> 00:16:03,040
Speaker 1: just I'm okay with it actually on my list. So

380
00:16:03,520 --> 00:16:05,800
Speaker 1: if we go, we'll go with the Titans plus six

381
00:16:05,880 --> 00:16:08,200
Speaker 1: and a half against the Ravens. Very good. All right,

382
00:16:08,240 --> 00:16:10,480
Speaker 1: so you're done now right. You don't have any I.

383
00:16:10,440 --> 00:16:13,320
Speaker 2: Have two leans. Those are my yeses. I've got two

384
00:16:13,320 --> 00:16:14,800
Speaker 2: others that are on my list, and if you say

385
00:16:14,840 --> 00:16:16,040
Speaker 2: you want it, I'm comfortable with it.

386
00:16:16,080 --> 00:16:19,080
Speaker 1: Okay, they I'm not going to list those, I can

387
00:16:19,120 --> 00:16:22,000
Speaker 1: almost promise you because these are ugly. So just get

388
00:16:22,040 --> 00:16:24,880
Speaker 1: ready for how ugly this is about to get. How

389
00:16:24,960 --> 00:16:27,600
Speaker 1: ugly do you think it is to take the Jaguars

390
00:16:27,640 --> 00:16:29,160
Speaker 1: getting ten and a half from the Steelers?

391
00:16:29,360 --> 00:16:31,680
Speaker 2: I like it? What? Yeah? I like it?

392
00:16:31,760 --> 00:16:33,720
Speaker 1: I love it? Okay, yeah, I mean.

393
00:16:33,560 --> 00:16:35,040
Speaker 2: This is not on my list, but I like it

394
00:16:35,080 --> 00:16:36,080
Speaker 2: because this is my thinking.

395
00:16:36,200 --> 00:16:37,880
Speaker 1: Oh go ahead, no, no, no, you go ahead out then

396
00:16:37,920 --> 00:16:38,680
Speaker 1: I'll just go ahead.

397
00:16:38,760 --> 00:16:42,360
Speaker 2: Historically speaking, over the last four years, YEP teams with

398
00:16:42,480 --> 00:16:45,360
Speaker 2: one loss taking on a team that's undefeated. They are

399
00:16:45,480 --> 00:16:47,920
Speaker 2: three and one against the spread. I just think that

400
00:16:48,000 --> 00:16:51,400
Speaker 2: this is a classic. Pittsburgh needs to lose a game,

401
00:16:51,640 --> 00:16:55,080
Speaker 2: okay before the playoffs. If you're a Steeler fan, this

402
00:16:55,120 --> 00:16:57,400
Speaker 2: is the game you can lose. You can lose this

403
00:16:57,480 --> 00:17:00,600
Speaker 2: game out of nowhere. You get beat, it means nothing.

404
00:17:00,800 --> 00:17:02,560
Speaker 2: You have a three game lead in the division. You

405
00:17:02,600 --> 00:17:04,040
Speaker 2: just come off of a big win over the Ravens

406
00:17:04,320 --> 00:17:07,200
Speaker 2: a couple weeks ago. This game, this is trap city

407
00:17:07,240 --> 00:17:10,639
Speaker 2: for Pittsburgh. Here that this is a one win team,

408
00:17:10,840 --> 00:17:13,800
Speaker 2: wounded animal. If you will back into a corner at home.

409
00:17:14,880 --> 00:17:18,040
Speaker 2: I'm totally comfortable with It's not one of my picks,

410
00:17:18,080 --> 00:17:19,240
Speaker 2: but I'm comfortable with Jacksimo.

411
00:17:19,640 --> 00:17:21,480
Speaker 1: This is hilarious for it because I thought you were

412
00:17:21,520 --> 00:17:23,960
Speaker 1: gonna be like, no way, yeah, ten and a half

413
00:17:24,040 --> 00:17:26,320
Speaker 1: at this point. By the way, I did forget on

414
00:17:26,400 --> 00:17:28,520
Speaker 1: the Titans and the Ravens. The spread is moving. By

415
00:17:28,560 --> 00:17:30,919
Speaker 1: the way, it's not only minus five and seventy percent

416
00:17:31,080 --> 00:17:33,280
Speaker 1: are on the Titans. So just to be clear on

417
00:17:33,320 --> 00:17:35,720
Speaker 1: that one. Yeah, with this one, I mean, this is

418
00:17:35,760 --> 00:17:38,200
Speaker 1: like a mike and I wanted to fade. I forget

419
00:17:38,240 --> 00:17:40,360
Speaker 1: what it was, but I maybe it was against the Ravens.

420
00:17:40,520 --> 00:17:42,639
Speaker 1: But it was something where I wanted to fade Tomlin

421
00:17:42,680 --> 00:17:45,400
Speaker 1: because you know, the Steelers come in and that Cowboys game.

422
00:17:45,760 --> 00:17:49,840
Speaker 1: That Cowboys game is what Mike Tomlin and the Steelers

423
00:17:49,880 --> 00:17:52,480
Speaker 1: really are. Mike Tomlin's a very very good coach. I'm

424
00:17:52,480 --> 00:17:54,600
Speaker 1: not saying anything away from him, but he does not

425
00:17:55,040 --> 00:17:58,160
Speaker 1: get the team up to play in these games where

426
00:17:58,200 --> 00:18:03,000
Speaker 1: they are massive favorite. It's especially when they're not in division, right,

427
00:18:03,040 --> 00:18:05,160
Speaker 1: like this is just and you look at that Cowboys game.

428
00:18:05,440 --> 00:18:08,399
Speaker 1: They were like inches away from suddenly being like, oh

429
00:18:08,480 --> 00:18:11,200
Speaker 1: my god, you just lost to the Cowboys. And don't

430
00:18:11,240 --> 00:18:15,760
Speaker 1: forget next week is Thanksgiving. They play the Ravens on Thanksgiving, right,

431
00:18:15,840 --> 00:18:19,040
Speaker 1: so they've got to be looking ahead right in this game.

432
00:18:19,480 --> 00:18:22,159
Speaker 1: This game cannot mean anything to them. No, I'm not wrong, right,

433
00:18:22,160 --> 00:18:25,080
Speaker 1: they play the Ravens on thanks Game, Yes, so they've

434
00:18:25,080 --> 00:18:27,040
Speaker 1: got to be looking ahead at that point to what

435
00:18:27,080 --> 00:18:28,800
Speaker 1: this are. I'm not saying the Jaguars are gonna win.

436
00:18:29,080 --> 00:18:30,920
Speaker 1: I'm just saying ten and a half. You're getting more

437
00:18:30,960 --> 00:18:33,760
Speaker 1: than the ten. Yeah, I'll take that. Actually, I want

438
00:18:33,760 --> 00:18:35,400
Speaker 1: to look at where the bed analyzer has that one,

439
00:18:35,400 --> 00:18:39,080
Speaker 1: because it's now this is actually it leans towards Jacksonville,

440
00:18:39,320 --> 00:18:41,840
Speaker 1: but not overwhelmingly, so just fifty three percent. But yeah,

441
00:18:41,840 --> 00:18:43,360
Speaker 1: this is a game I feel I don't know, man,

442
00:18:43,480 --> 00:18:46,040
Speaker 1: I feel pretty comfortable with this one. So Okay, we've

443
00:18:46,080 --> 00:18:48,040
Speaker 1: got we've got three that we're talking about. Let's go

444
00:18:48,040 --> 00:18:49,920
Speaker 1: to your next one. That you don't absolutely your lean

445
00:18:50,000 --> 00:18:51,919
Speaker 1: that you don't despise Colts.

446
00:18:53,080 --> 00:18:56,560
Speaker 2: I've been so wrong on the Colts this year. You've

447
00:18:56,720 --> 00:18:59,840
Speaker 2: liked the Colts a lot this year? Yeah, what about

448
00:19:00,040 --> 00:19:01,080
Speaker 2: what about Indie this week?

449
00:19:01,920 --> 00:19:04,560
Speaker 1: So the spread is two and a half, laying two

450
00:19:04,560 --> 00:19:05,640
Speaker 1: and a half to the Packers.

451
00:19:05,840 --> 00:19:06,080
Speaker 2: Yep.

452
00:19:08,560 --> 00:19:11,240
Speaker 1: I don't hate it. I don't hate it. I don't

453
00:19:11,280 --> 00:19:12,919
Speaker 1: know that I don't have a good lean on it.

454
00:19:12,960 --> 00:19:16,280
Speaker 1: I will say that Devontae Adams has missed practice so

455
00:19:16,440 --> 00:19:19,000
Speaker 1: far this week with an angle injury. Now they're getting

456
00:19:19,000 --> 00:19:23,080
Speaker 1: bizarred back, but their their whole persona is different if

457
00:19:23,080 --> 00:19:24,879
Speaker 1: they don't have DeVante Adams.

458
00:19:24,960 --> 00:19:25,120
Speaker 2: Yep.

459
00:19:25,160 --> 00:19:27,520
Speaker 1: And the Colts are off a mini bi I'm a

460
00:19:27,520 --> 00:19:30,399
Speaker 1: little worried that they might be flying high after that.

461
00:19:30,960 --> 00:19:34,240
Speaker 2: But so here's so, here's here's what I've been talking

462
00:19:34,240 --> 00:19:36,239
Speaker 2: to some people about. And I don't know how you

463
00:19:36,280 --> 00:19:40,200
Speaker 2: biden into conspiracy theories, But have you seen the latest

464
00:19:40,200 --> 00:19:44,000
Speaker 2: one with what's going on here? Why the Colts supposedly

465
00:19:44,080 --> 00:19:46,600
Speaker 2: knew what the Titans were going to be and defensively.

466
00:19:46,160 --> 00:19:47,760
Speaker 1: Like crazy, I actually have not.

467
00:19:48,359 --> 00:19:51,560
Speaker 2: There's there's a conspiracy theory out there that the Colts

468
00:19:51,640 --> 00:19:54,840
Speaker 2: have been listening to the calls of the defenses that

469
00:19:54,880 --> 00:19:58,240
Speaker 2: they're playing and they're going back into the game film

470
00:19:58,240 --> 00:20:01,640
Speaker 2: because there's no crowd, so the radio, the radio call

471
00:20:01,680 --> 00:20:04,520
Speaker 2: and the TV call, you can hear the audibles being

472
00:20:04,560 --> 00:20:10,240
Speaker 2: yelled out by the defenses. Supposedly, Supposedly, there's been some

473
00:20:10,400 --> 00:20:13,000
Speaker 2: interesting work going on with the Colts and they know

474
00:20:13,080 --> 00:20:16,679
Speaker 2: what the defensive audibles are and you're hearing Philip rivers

475
00:20:16,880 --> 00:20:19,399
Speaker 2: switch into different plays. They're gonna put them in the

476
00:20:19,440 --> 00:20:21,879
Speaker 2: better play based upon what the defense has switched into.

477
00:20:22,320 --> 00:20:24,680
Speaker 1: But you feel like that that's not like I mean,

478
00:20:24,760 --> 00:20:25,600
Speaker 1: I get.

479
00:20:25,440 --> 00:20:29,000
Speaker 2: It, No, no, no, it's a trick of a veteran who

480
00:20:29,080 --> 00:20:31,119
Speaker 2: knows what to get. That's why they've been moving the

481
00:20:31,119 --> 00:20:33,320
Speaker 2: ball so well on some of these good defenses.

482
00:20:33,400 --> 00:20:36,600
Speaker 1: But I would think that, like, I mean, that's you

483
00:20:36,600 --> 00:20:38,600
Speaker 1: know that. When you first said I was like wow,

484
00:20:38,640 --> 00:20:41,679
Speaker 1: And I was like, well, wait, like that seems pretty

485
00:20:41,960 --> 00:20:44,000
Speaker 1: like why wouldn't every team do that like that? That's

486
00:20:44,320 --> 00:20:46,840
Speaker 1: everybody know. You can hear everything now, yep in these games,

487
00:20:46,840 --> 00:20:49,320
Speaker 1: like why would that be something that It's sort of like, Wow,

488
00:20:49,880 --> 00:20:52,400
Speaker 1: the Colts stumbled upon this amazing way, Like I would

489
00:20:52,440 --> 00:20:56,679
Speaker 1: think the teams are changing their audibles every week. I

490
00:20:56,720 --> 00:20:58,680
Speaker 1: don't hate it. I just think the Colts are are

491
00:20:58,760 --> 00:21:01,240
Speaker 1: a good I mean, River did look done for a while.

492
00:21:01,280 --> 00:21:04,280
Speaker 1: He looks a little better now. I mean I think

493
00:21:04,320 --> 00:21:07,520
Speaker 1: that they're you know, I think Michael Pittman Junior being

494
00:21:07,520 --> 00:21:10,000
Speaker 1: back is definitely helpful, getting him like a real playmarker

495
00:21:10,040 --> 00:21:13,600
Speaker 1: in that offense. So especially with Adams being questionable, I'm

496
00:21:13,600 --> 00:21:16,760
Speaker 1: gonna put that one in the in the maybe. I

497
00:21:16,840 --> 00:21:19,359
Speaker 1: mean I lean that side, so I'll definitely put that

498
00:21:19,359 --> 00:21:21,320
Speaker 1: one in the maybe. Okay, this is going better than

499
00:21:21,359 --> 00:21:23,199
Speaker 1: I thought here that I thought we would get all

500
00:21:23,320 --> 00:21:26,000
Speaker 1: right this one. I'd actually really like to know your

501
00:21:26,040 --> 00:21:29,120
Speaker 1: thoughts on because you know, the Vikings looked really good.

502
00:21:29,200 --> 00:21:32,600
Speaker 1: They've played better, but I kind of like the Cowboys

503
00:21:32,640 --> 00:21:35,160
Speaker 1: getting more than the touchdown at seven and a half

504
00:21:35,280 --> 00:21:37,440
Speaker 1: against the Vikings, and I'll lay my case on and

505
00:21:37,520 --> 00:21:39,040
Speaker 1: then you could say I hate it or I lean

506
00:21:39,119 --> 00:21:41,560
Speaker 1: that way. That's fine, Dalton should start here. I don't

507
00:21:41,560 --> 00:21:43,760
Speaker 1: really know if that matters whether or not. As long

508
00:21:43,800 --> 00:21:46,520
Speaker 1: as it's not Ben Denucci, it's fine. It doesn't really

509
00:21:46,600 --> 00:21:49,360
Speaker 1: matter which one it is. Their line is getting healthier

510
00:21:49,400 --> 00:21:53,679
Speaker 1: at this point. The Vikings cornerbacks, as we know, are abysmal,

511
00:21:53,760 --> 00:21:55,880
Speaker 1: and just the fact that you had Nick Foles who

512
00:21:55,880 --> 00:21:58,560
Speaker 1: couldn't do anything, that's really why you weren't able to

513
00:21:58,640 --> 00:22:03,159
Speaker 1: necessarily exploit them. The defense played pretty well against the Steelers,

514
00:22:03,200 --> 00:22:05,040
Speaker 1: as much as the Steelers kind of like meled it

515
00:22:05,080 --> 00:22:08,199
Speaker 1: in a little bit like the Cowboys defense played a

516
00:22:08,200 --> 00:22:08,640
Speaker 1: little better.

517
00:22:08,680 --> 00:22:08,840
Speaker 2: Now.

518
00:22:08,840 --> 00:22:11,240
Speaker 1: They do have some injuries back there, but they're coming

519
00:22:11,240 --> 00:22:13,560
Speaker 1: off a bye. If Zeke's gonna be a little healthier.

520
00:22:13,560 --> 00:22:15,879
Speaker 1: The Vikings are on a short week. This seems like

521
00:22:15,960 --> 00:22:18,040
Speaker 1: sort of a little bit of a trap game here

522
00:22:18,080 --> 00:22:20,679
Speaker 1: for the Vikings, as they're flying high getting more than

523
00:22:20,720 --> 00:22:22,560
Speaker 1: a touchdown. I kind of like the Cowboys to keep

524
00:22:22,560 --> 00:22:23,360
Speaker 1: this game close.

525
00:22:23,359 --> 00:22:26,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, because then the other contest it's seven, So we

526
00:22:26,320 --> 00:22:28,160
Speaker 2: got a little better number there at seven and a half,

527
00:22:28,240 --> 00:22:31,760
Speaker 2: which I like on the hook perspective, And frankly, look,

528
00:22:32,119 --> 00:22:34,719
Speaker 2: I didn't think the Vikings played that well and they

529
00:22:34,760 --> 00:22:38,360
Speaker 2: won the game. So like, okay, they won, Kirk Cousins

530
00:22:38,400 --> 00:22:40,040
Speaker 2: gets to run around to be like I won a

531
00:22:40,080 --> 00:22:42,200
Speaker 2: game on Monday Night football. Now look at me. I'm

532
00:22:42,200 --> 00:22:45,360
Speaker 2: no longer oh to nine. I can't stand Kirk Cousins.

533
00:22:45,359 --> 00:22:48,359
Speaker 2: So I know I remember, I have no problem fading

534
00:22:48,440 --> 00:22:50,200
Speaker 2: him here. I have no issue if you want to

535
00:22:50,240 --> 00:22:52,600
Speaker 2: stand on a table and you feel strongly, I don't

536
00:22:52,600 --> 00:22:54,320
Speaker 2: have a strong lean one way or the other.

537
00:22:54,560 --> 00:22:54,800
Speaker 1: Yeah.

538
00:22:54,800 --> 00:22:57,040
Speaker 2: But if I'm gonna fade Kirk Cousins and I get

539
00:22:57,080 --> 00:22:58,800
Speaker 2: more than a touchdown, okay.

540
00:22:58,920 --> 00:23:00,840
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think I I kind of like this one,

541
00:23:00,880 --> 00:23:02,920
Speaker 1: I'll you know. And again it's at seven right now,

542
00:23:02,960 --> 00:23:06,120
Speaker 1: fifty seven percent of experts in our bed analyzer are

543
00:23:06,160 --> 00:23:08,760
Speaker 1: on Dallas. I think, coming off a bye, I think

544
00:23:08,800 --> 00:23:10,200
Speaker 1: this is a game where they're going to come out

545
00:23:10,240 --> 00:23:10,720
Speaker 1: and play well.

546
00:23:10,720 --> 00:23:13,520
Speaker 2: And again, well, the number is Mike McCarthy is ten

547
00:23:13,560 --> 00:23:15,840
Speaker 2: and two against the spread up of a bye in

548
00:23:15,880 --> 00:23:16,399
Speaker 2: his career.

549
00:23:16,680 --> 00:23:18,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, I was gonna get to McCarthy in the second.

550
00:23:18,320 --> 00:23:21,000
Speaker 1: That's absolutely right. The other thing is, remember Dalvin Cook,

551
00:23:21,160 --> 00:23:23,240
Speaker 1: as amazing as he is. I was talking about it

552
00:23:23,240 --> 00:23:25,879
Speaker 1: on our DFS show today. What do you have thirty

553
00:23:25,960 --> 00:23:28,399
Speaker 1: two to thirty four touches in this game on a

554
00:23:28,440 --> 00:23:31,480
Speaker 1: short week, Like there's just so much the guy can do.

555
00:23:31,640 --> 00:23:35,040
Speaker 1: And their receivers are very I mean, Jefferson is great,

556
00:23:35,080 --> 00:23:37,760
Speaker 1: Adam Feelin is very very good. And again the Cowboys

557
00:23:37,760 --> 00:23:39,560
Speaker 1: are a little injured in their secondary, but I just

558
00:23:39,680 --> 00:23:43,040
Speaker 1: I think that they're going to be able to move.

559
00:23:43,040 --> 00:23:44,919
Speaker 1: I don't think Dalton was nearly as bad as he

560
00:23:45,119 --> 00:23:47,720
Speaker 1: looked in that first game. We've seen Dalton be a

561
00:23:47,880 --> 00:23:50,880
Speaker 1: competent NFL quarterback. And again, the Vikings defense is really

562
00:23:50,880 --> 00:23:52,240
Speaker 1: nothing to write home about it. If you give me

563
00:23:52,359 --> 00:23:54,640
Speaker 1: arrested zeke, you give me the good line, you give

564
00:23:54,680 --> 00:23:58,280
Speaker 1: me competent quarterback play, at least with the receivers, I

565
00:23:58,560 --> 00:24:01,000
Speaker 1: think they'll keep it within a touchdo so. I do

566
00:24:01,080 --> 00:24:02,600
Speaker 1: kind of like this game. This one would be one

567
00:24:02,600 --> 00:24:04,879
Speaker 1: that I would kind of push to get in if

568
00:24:04,920 --> 00:24:06,480
Speaker 1: we were sort of like, well we need one more.

569
00:24:06,520 --> 00:24:08,600
Speaker 1: I think this one, you know, comes in at fourth

570
00:24:08,600 --> 00:24:10,840
Speaker 1: on my list, behind the one that we're not going

571
00:24:10,880 --> 00:24:12,600
Speaker 1: to go with with the Eagles. But I like the

572
00:24:13,080 --> 00:24:15,119
Speaker 1: Titans as well as the Chiefs. All right, so do

573
00:24:15,119 --> 00:24:16,600
Speaker 1: you have another lean here that you were looking at?

574
00:24:16,640 --> 00:24:18,159
Speaker 2: The only other game I was looking at, or the

575
00:24:18,200 --> 00:24:20,200
Speaker 2: Patriots laying two and a half or two.

576
00:24:21,240 --> 00:24:24,199
Speaker 1: I think it's two and a half in the contest.

577
00:24:24,240 --> 00:24:26,080
Speaker 1: It's two and a half in the contest. The consensus

578
00:24:26,119 --> 00:24:27,239
Speaker 1: line right now is two though.

579
00:24:27,359 --> 00:24:30,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, Patriots on the road against the Texans laying too,

580
00:24:30,160 --> 00:24:31,800
Speaker 2: And that's the only other one that I would lean

581
00:24:31,880 --> 00:24:33,600
Speaker 2: to because I do think that this is the game

582
00:24:33,640 --> 00:24:36,600
Speaker 2: where if the year is going to turn around for

583
00:24:36,640 --> 00:24:39,399
Speaker 2: the Patriots, this is it. Yeah, So if they're going

584
00:24:39,440 --> 00:24:41,240
Speaker 2: to be a contender, if they're going to be in

585
00:24:41,280 --> 00:24:44,440
Speaker 2: the conversation point, Look, Shaun Watson's very dangerous. I'm not

586
00:24:44,440 --> 00:24:47,119
Speaker 2: going to debate that. But Damien Harris is going to

587
00:24:47,200 --> 00:24:50,919
Speaker 2: have a monster u DFS in prop players, My favorite

588
00:24:50,920 --> 00:24:53,680
Speaker 2: prop bit of the week is Damien Harris to run

589
00:24:54,000 --> 00:24:56,040
Speaker 2: crazy on this Texans defense.

590
00:24:56,400 --> 00:24:58,520
Speaker 1: Is that an actual prop bet that they that they list.

591
00:24:58,600 --> 00:25:00,439
Speaker 1: Will Damien Harris run crazy?

592
00:25:00,720 --> 00:25:04,760
Speaker 2: Yes, over over over over, touches, over carries, over yardage,

593
00:25:04,760 --> 00:25:07,800
Speaker 2: touchdown props. I will be on the daily juice. Damien

594
00:25:07,880 --> 00:25:09,760
Speaker 2: Harris is going to be where I'm gonna ride this

595
00:25:09,800 --> 00:25:13,360
Speaker 2: guy like crazy. So I think he has a monster game.

596
00:25:13,440 --> 00:25:16,240
Speaker 2: I think they play keep away they don't let Watson

597
00:25:16,320 --> 00:25:18,239
Speaker 2: go deep and beat them. Although they will have their

598
00:25:18,240 --> 00:25:20,960
Speaker 2: secondary back, which is good. Gilmore should play and I

599
00:25:21,000 --> 00:25:22,000
Speaker 2: just think the Patriots.

600
00:25:21,720 --> 00:25:23,160
Speaker 1: Is Gilmore gonna play in this game, by the way

601
00:25:23,160 --> 00:25:23,720
Speaker 1: I think he's.

602
00:25:23,560 --> 00:25:25,000
Speaker 2: Going to do. I think that's why I think they

603
00:25:25,000 --> 00:25:26,840
Speaker 2: didn't play him last week, because I think that they

604
00:25:26,920 --> 00:25:29,280
Speaker 2: knew they didn't need him because of the fact that

605
00:25:29,359 --> 00:25:31,919
Speaker 2: Ravens can't pass. They need him in this game. To

606
00:25:31,960 --> 00:25:34,520
Speaker 2: shop is to stop Watson. Yeah, so put him on

607
00:25:34,560 --> 00:25:37,400
Speaker 2: fuller and see what happens. But I am I think

608
00:25:37,400 --> 00:25:38,560
Speaker 2: the Patriots won the game by three.

609
00:25:40,160 --> 00:25:43,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm inclined to agree with this one. Matt. I'm

610
00:25:43,680 --> 00:25:45,359
Speaker 1: on that side. I mean, I lean that way. It

611
00:25:45,400 --> 00:25:47,320
Speaker 1: wasn't one of my picks, but I did. I always

612
00:25:47,320 --> 00:25:49,960
Speaker 1: have like, okay, if Matt comes in, which side of

613
00:25:50,040 --> 00:25:52,000
Speaker 1: my own if I say something. I was on that side,

614
00:25:52,040 --> 00:25:55,480
Speaker 1: And I've kind of been more and more talking myself

615
00:25:55,520 --> 00:25:57,840
Speaker 1: into this game as we got there. I was, you know,

616
00:25:58,040 --> 00:25:59,840
Speaker 1: I'm not sure that it matters, you know, because I

617
00:25:59,840 --> 00:26:01,159
Speaker 1: know was two and a half, and it was two

618
00:26:01,200 --> 00:26:03,600
Speaker 1: and a half when I earlier locked in my pick,

619
00:26:03,640 --> 00:26:06,080
Speaker 1: which was the Patriots already and now it's moved to

620
00:26:06,119 --> 00:26:09,359
Speaker 1: a little bit. Sixty two percent of experts in our

621
00:26:09,359 --> 00:26:13,480
Speaker 1: bed analyzer are on the Patriots. So yeah, I'm thinking.

622
00:26:13,480 --> 00:26:15,720
Speaker 2: There's one game. I can't believe you hadn't brought up yet.

623
00:26:15,720 --> 00:26:16,679
Speaker 2: I thought for sure you.

624
00:26:16,720 --> 00:26:19,879
Speaker 1: Were done, that we've done it. Wait, I don't have

625
00:26:20,040 --> 00:26:21,600
Speaker 1: which did you think I was giving?

626
00:26:21,800 --> 00:26:24,200
Speaker 2: I thought you'd be on the Falcons.

627
00:26:24,200 --> 00:26:27,280
Speaker 1: Oh okay, so that that is fair. The Falcons were

628
00:26:27,359 --> 00:26:29,879
Speaker 1: like my runner up pick of the ones that I

629
00:26:29,880 --> 00:26:33,119
Speaker 1: actually felt I would be totally fine if you were like,

630
00:26:33,160 --> 00:26:36,160
Speaker 1: I want to take the Falcons against the Saints with

631
00:26:36,320 --> 00:26:39,280
Speaker 1: Jameis Winston. I just feel like, you know, first of all,

632
00:26:39,280 --> 00:26:42,800
Speaker 1: Winston just historically he's not great as a favorite, great

633
00:26:42,840 --> 00:26:45,040
Speaker 1: as underdog because he's crazy and he just is going

634
00:26:45,119 --> 00:26:48,720
Speaker 1: to throw the ball until they would catch up. The Falcons,

635
00:26:48,760 --> 00:26:50,919
Speaker 1: off of by their defense, has been playing better. I

636
00:26:50,920 --> 00:26:53,199
Speaker 1: don't hate the Falcons getting four and a half, but

637
00:26:53,640 --> 00:26:56,160
Speaker 1: it's not one of my you know, I wouldn't push

638
00:26:56,160 --> 00:26:56,840
Speaker 1: for it over any of.

639
00:26:56,960 --> 00:26:59,920
Speaker 2: The Pro Football Focus Play the week is the first

640
00:27:00,040 --> 00:27:00,840
Speaker 2: it's plus five.

641
00:27:01,560 --> 00:27:03,080
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's four and a half for us.

642
00:27:03,080 --> 00:27:04,840
Speaker 2: I don't really I keep on, but my argument to

643
00:27:04,920 --> 00:27:10,359
Speaker 2: them was is it Winston you're fading or Taysom Hill? Yeah,

644
00:27:10,400 --> 00:27:12,960
Speaker 2: because who's playing quarterback? But way do we know who's

645
00:27:13,000 --> 00:27:14,000
Speaker 2: playing quarterback for them?

646
00:27:14,040 --> 00:27:14,240
Speaker 1: Do we?

647
00:27:14,359 --> 00:27:17,480
Speaker 2: Are we positive it's Jamis? Because if here Jamis fine,

648
00:27:17,480 --> 00:27:19,320
Speaker 2: but they've got another option at quarterback.

649
00:27:19,560 --> 00:27:21,520
Speaker 1: Yeah, but you know, if they were gonna do this,

650
00:27:21,680 --> 00:27:23,680
Speaker 1: if they were gonna go to Taysom Hill, then they

651
00:27:23,800 --> 00:27:26,240
Speaker 1: just why would they bring in Winston? Like the same

652
00:27:26,240 --> 00:27:28,359
Speaker 1: thing with Bridgewater. You have Taysom Hill on your roster,

653
00:27:28,400 --> 00:27:30,360
Speaker 1: if you're willing to turn it over to him, why

654
00:27:30,400 --> 00:27:32,720
Speaker 1: are you bringing in an actual NFL.

655
00:27:32,520 --> 00:27:34,600
Speaker 2: And why are they paying him what they're paying.

656
00:27:34,359 --> 00:27:36,480
Speaker 1: Him because they think he's the future.

657
00:27:36,720 --> 00:27:39,600
Speaker 2: I guess, well, now is your future because your quarterback's

658
00:27:39,600 --> 00:27:40,560
Speaker 2: got a punctured lung.

659
00:27:41,119 --> 00:27:43,560
Speaker 1: I get it. But that's why that the same thing

660
00:27:43,640 --> 00:27:45,840
Speaker 1: last year with Bridgewater. I mean, what you know, I

661
00:27:46,119 --> 00:27:48,800
Speaker 1: get it? Well, I think for me and again, this

662
00:27:49,119 --> 00:27:52,600
Speaker 1: consensus spread is four and sixty three percent are still

663
00:27:52,600 --> 00:27:56,000
Speaker 1: on Atlanta. That definitely was a game that I was like, Okay,

664
00:27:56,080 --> 00:27:58,680
Speaker 1: maybe i'll talk about this. Frankly, I kind of thought

665
00:27:58,720 --> 00:28:01,399
Speaker 1: there's no way you would go for it, so I.

666
00:28:01,520 --> 00:28:03,480
Speaker 2: Want to go for it. I mean, I just figured you.

667
00:28:03,840 --> 00:28:05,640
Speaker 2: I guess that was gonna be young because I don't.

668
00:28:05,800 --> 00:28:09,240
Speaker 2: I have no real harsh feeling on your way. I

669
00:28:09,359 --> 00:28:12,080
Speaker 2: just don't. I just think that it's a dangerous pick

670
00:28:12,160 --> 00:28:14,480
Speaker 2: because of the Tasom Hill angle. I just I don't

671
00:28:14,480 --> 00:28:16,399
Speaker 2: know who the quarterback is. If you told me that

672
00:28:16,440 --> 00:28:19,080
Speaker 2: Tasom Hill was hurt and it was all Jamos, then

673
00:28:19,080 --> 00:28:22,320
Speaker 2: I'd probably subscribe to it and go fine, ride the Falcons. Yeah,

674
00:28:22,359 --> 00:28:24,399
Speaker 2: but it's not. I mean, they have a plan B

675
00:28:24,880 --> 00:28:27,320
Speaker 2: that if Winston comes out and search Thorn picks, they

676
00:28:27,400 --> 00:28:29,320
Speaker 2: got a guy who can play the quarterback spot at

677
00:28:29,359 --> 00:28:33,080
Speaker 2: least competently. It scares me to go ahead. And it's

678
00:28:33,119 --> 00:28:35,520
Speaker 2: a big rivalry game. I mean, these two teams hate

679
00:28:35,520 --> 00:28:36,200
Speaker 2: each other.

680
00:28:36,280 --> 00:28:38,800
Speaker 1: Right, Yeah, I just I don't know, man, I like

681
00:28:38,840 --> 00:28:40,640
Speaker 1: the Saints. I hate betting against them.

682
00:28:40,640 --> 00:28:40,720
Speaker 2: Now.

683
00:28:40,720 --> 00:28:43,560
Speaker 1: I get it's not Drew Brees, but yeah, I don't.

684
00:28:43,600 --> 00:28:46,920
Speaker 1: I don't really have a great feeling. I definitely lean

685
00:28:46,960 --> 00:28:48,840
Speaker 1: the Falcons. And if I'm gonna go one way, it

686
00:28:48,920 --> 00:28:50,320
Speaker 1: is with the Falcons. If you came in here and

687
00:28:50,320 --> 00:28:52,200
Speaker 1: said I want the Saints, I'd say, no, I'm off

688
00:28:52,200 --> 00:28:55,120
Speaker 1: that game. But you know, I do think it's gonna

689
00:28:55,120 --> 00:28:58,480
Speaker 1: be Jamis, so to be fair, though, I think they're

690
00:28:58,480 --> 00:29:01,240
Speaker 1: gonna mix in Hill a lot more than they would

691
00:29:01,280 --> 00:29:03,600
Speaker 1: with Breeze. But I think the primary quarterback is gonna

692
00:29:03,600 --> 00:29:05,400
Speaker 1: be Winston. But we'll put that one to the side.

693
00:29:05,440 --> 00:29:07,520
Speaker 1: I'll recap it at the end when we are finalizing

694
00:29:07,560 --> 00:29:09,520
Speaker 1: our five picks if we don't decide to use the

695
00:29:09,520 --> 00:29:12,320
Speaker 1: bye week. Although tagging it through, I don't hate this

696
00:29:12,360 --> 00:29:14,360
Speaker 1: week quite as much as I did before we got

697
00:29:14,360 --> 00:29:15,880
Speaker 1: into it. But we can get through it. Let's go

698
00:29:15,920 --> 00:29:18,680
Speaker 1: through the remaining games that we've gotten again. I have

699
00:29:18,800 --> 00:29:20,960
Speaker 1: just written them down randomly. Don't read anything into if

700
00:29:20,960 --> 00:29:24,520
Speaker 1: I say the favorite or whatever. First, the Bucks laying

701
00:29:24,680 --> 00:29:27,920
Speaker 1: three and a half to the Rams in Tampa. This

702
00:29:27,960 --> 00:29:29,600
Speaker 1: is Monday Night football, I believe, right.

703
00:29:29,680 --> 00:29:30,240
Speaker 2: Yep, correct?

704
00:29:30,280 --> 00:29:33,200
Speaker 1: How do you feel so at first?

705
00:29:33,280 --> 00:29:37,160
Speaker 2: Guess it's gonna be a tough game for Tom Brady. Okay,

706
00:29:37,520 --> 00:29:40,640
Speaker 2: so this is the Rams. Do what you have to

707
00:29:40,680 --> 00:29:43,760
Speaker 2: do to beat Tampa. They're gonna rush and blitz the

708
00:29:43,800 --> 00:29:46,480
Speaker 2: holy heck out of Brady and make him very uncomfortable.

709
00:29:46,480 --> 00:29:48,640
Speaker 2: They're gonna make him move off of his spot. So

710
00:29:48,920 --> 00:29:51,080
Speaker 2: on the other side, I don't think Tampa moves the

711
00:29:51,120 --> 00:29:53,360
Speaker 2: ball much and scores much. So my question is what

712
00:29:53,400 --> 00:29:56,920
Speaker 2: does Jared Goff do on the road against that Tampa defense.

713
00:29:57,480 --> 00:30:00,320
Speaker 2: I don't like this Tampa defense at all. I gotta

714
00:30:00,440 --> 00:30:03,120
Speaker 2: ride the Tampa defense. I would ride. I would take

715
00:30:03,120 --> 00:30:05,480
Speaker 2: the three and a half points here and take the Rams.

716
00:30:05,800 --> 00:30:08,520
Speaker 1: Yeah. If I'm forced to choose a side, it would

717
00:30:08,520 --> 00:30:11,040
Speaker 1: be with the Rams. I mean, whitworth being down scares

718
00:30:11,080 --> 00:30:14,040
Speaker 1: me because you know what GoF does under pressure. We

719
00:30:14,040 --> 00:30:17,800
Speaker 1: have seen it a million times. I I feel like

720
00:30:17,840 --> 00:30:21,400
Speaker 1: I could talk myself into either side of this game

721
00:30:21,440 --> 00:30:23,680
Speaker 1: if I really had to, Like, I don't.

722
00:30:23,440 --> 00:30:25,080
Speaker 2: Have it's a great game. It's a big game.

723
00:30:25,200 --> 00:30:27,160
Speaker 1: Both it's a great game. Yes, that's true. It's a

724
00:30:27,160 --> 00:30:29,479
Speaker 1: great game. I don't have a great lean on it,

725
00:30:29,560 --> 00:30:32,360
Speaker 1: So it would be one that you know, you could

726
00:30:32,400 --> 00:30:34,080
Speaker 1: talk me into it if you were like Dan, I

727
00:30:34,120 --> 00:30:36,280
Speaker 1: feel great about the Rams, but I don't like it

728
00:30:36,280 --> 00:30:38,280
Speaker 1: more than our picks. But yeah, I mean I guess

729
00:30:38,320 --> 00:30:41,560
Speaker 1: that I would probably lean towards the Rams. But it's

730
00:30:41,640 --> 00:30:43,520
Speaker 1: just kind of an ugly game. I don't really want it.

731
00:30:43,520 --> 00:30:46,760
Speaker 1: How about the Bengals getting one and a half from

732
00:30:47,320 --> 00:30:48,720
Speaker 1: Washington in Washington?

733
00:30:49,520 --> 00:30:51,600
Speaker 2: I mean, if I had to go with it. I

734
00:30:51,640 --> 00:30:55,080
Speaker 2: would take the Bengals. Yeah, but I mean, this is

735
00:30:55,200 --> 00:30:58,360
Speaker 2: just this game and the Lions and the Panthers game.

736
00:30:59,320 --> 00:31:01,560
Speaker 2: I'm not even gonna watch these games. They're so bad.

737
00:31:01,920 --> 00:31:04,240
Speaker 2: It's just a horrific football games.

738
00:31:04,360 --> 00:31:06,440
Speaker 1: I agree. I don't want any part of this. And

739
00:31:07,360 --> 00:31:09,840
Speaker 1: by the way, this is another illness to Higgins miss

740
00:31:09,960 --> 00:31:13,040
Speaker 1: practice with an illness. I have no idea if it's

741
00:31:13,080 --> 00:31:15,680
Speaker 1: just an illness. A lot of times they like to specify,

742
00:31:15,720 --> 00:31:17,920
Speaker 1: like Duke Johnson this week, this is a non COVID

743
00:31:18,000 --> 00:31:21,000
Speaker 1: related illness. They have not specified that with Higgins. They

744
00:31:21,040 --> 00:31:23,800
Speaker 1: have not specified that with Clyde Edwards Dulaire. So I'm

745
00:31:23,840 --> 00:31:26,320
Speaker 1: not I don't know what's gonna happen. But yeah, this

746
00:31:26,360 --> 00:31:28,520
Speaker 1: is a game where like I mean, I'll watch because

747
00:31:28,520 --> 00:31:30,160
Speaker 1: I have to watch every game because I have to

748
00:31:30,160 --> 00:31:33,320
Speaker 1: do a recap show for fantasy purposes. But I would

749
00:31:33,320 --> 00:31:35,720
Speaker 1: not watch this game or lay any money on this game.

750
00:31:35,760 --> 00:31:37,960
Speaker 1: I would just stay away from it. And again, same

751
00:31:38,000 --> 00:31:39,760
Speaker 1: thing with the lines. Now I will say that the

752
00:31:39,800 --> 00:31:42,800
Speaker 1: Lion's getting one and a half from the Panthers. There

753
00:31:42,800 --> 00:31:45,280
Speaker 1: are so many variables in this stupid game. You've got

754
00:31:45,280 --> 00:31:48,000
Speaker 1: Deonder Swift, who essentially has been declared out. Now, I mean,

755
00:31:48,040 --> 00:31:50,760
Speaker 1: I don't know if it's he's unlikely to play with

756
00:31:50,840 --> 00:31:54,400
Speaker 1: the concussion, that just game to light. Matthew Stafford is

757
00:31:54,600 --> 00:31:58,440
Speaker 1: questionable with the thumb. Kenny Galladay was at practice yesterday,

758
00:31:58,520 --> 00:32:00,120
Speaker 1: then there was a report he was at practice, and

759
00:32:00,160 --> 00:32:02,560
Speaker 1: he wasn't that practice today, so nobody really knows. Meanwhile,

760
00:32:02,600 --> 00:32:06,400
Speaker 1: Teddy Bridgewater is likely to sit just I I mean,

761
00:32:06,440 --> 00:32:08,400
Speaker 1: can we just skip this game because nobody should be

762
00:32:08,400 --> 00:32:09,000
Speaker 1: betting on this game?

763
00:32:09,120 --> 00:32:09,520
Speaker 2: Right yep?

764
00:32:09,640 --> 00:32:12,280
Speaker 1: Okay, very good. How about the Dolphins length three and

765
00:32:12,280 --> 00:32:14,040
Speaker 1: a half to the Broncos in Denver?

766
00:32:14,280 --> 00:32:18,240
Speaker 2: This is hard. I mean, this is I hate Drew Locke.

767
00:32:18,960 --> 00:32:21,880
Speaker 2: Their offense looked so bad on the road against the Patriot,

768
00:32:21,920 --> 00:32:25,920
Speaker 2: mean against the Raiders last week with four interceptions he

769
00:32:26,000 --> 00:32:27,120
Speaker 2: threw or three interceptions.

770
00:32:27,160 --> 00:32:29,120
Speaker 1: It was playing this game by the right.

771
00:32:29,240 --> 00:32:31,560
Speaker 2: And so that's why I was like, well, ripping my play,

772
00:32:31,680 --> 00:32:33,920
Speaker 2: look out for ripping. Okay, I mean is there that

773
00:32:33,960 --> 00:32:37,360
Speaker 2: big of a difference between the ripping and Locke? I

774
00:32:37,720 --> 00:32:41,200
Speaker 2: don't know. The quarterback play has been so bad. John

775
00:32:41,200 --> 00:32:44,320
Speaker 2: Elway needs to stop drafting quarterbacks and let somebody else

776
00:32:44,360 --> 00:32:48,360
Speaker 2: do it, because they can't pick quarterbacks saved life. It's embarrassing.

777
00:32:49,080 --> 00:32:52,600
Speaker 2: It's the Broncos at home at altitude. I don't like Tua.

778
00:32:52,680 --> 00:32:55,720
Speaker 2: Like you guys know. Their numbers are still bad offensively,

779
00:32:55,760 --> 00:32:57,160
Speaker 2: but their defense is scoring.

780
00:32:56,920 --> 00:33:00,440
Speaker 1: Especially offensively with Tua like, they have not played as

781
00:33:00,480 --> 00:33:01,520
Speaker 1: well offensively, and.

782
00:33:01,480 --> 00:33:04,280
Speaker 2: That was predictable. We knew. I said it they at

783
00:33:04,280 --> 00:33:06,120
Speaker 2: the switch. I said, this is stupid. This is a

784
00:33:06,160 --> 00:33:08,000
Speaker 2: bad move for their offense. But they're not doing it

785
00:33:08,040 --> 00:33:09,640
Speaker 2: for their offense. They're doing it because I want to

786
00:33:09,680 --> 00:33:11,720
Speaker 2: sell jerseys and may people think that they're going to

787
00:33:11,760 --> 00:33:14,240
Speaker 2: be there. If I had to bet, I would take

788
00:33:14,240 --> 00:33:17,040
Speaker 2: the home dog at three and a half. But is

789
00:33:17,040 --> 00:33:18,360
Speaker 2: that what it is? It is three and a half, right,

790
00:33:18,400 --> 00:33:20,280
Speaker 2: three and a half correct. I would take the three

791
00:33:20,320 --> 00:33:22,400
Speaker 2: and a half for the hook, But I don't have

792
00:33:22,440 --> 00:33:24,960
Speaker 2: a great feel because the Dolphins are the better team.

793
00:33:25,240 --> 00:33:27,760
Speaker 1: Yeah, I lean towards the Dolphins if I had to

794
00:33:27,760 --> 00:33:31,000
Speaker 1: go somewhere, just because I you know, the Broncos are awful, man,

795
00:33:31,120 --> 00:33:32,280
Speaker 1: and that The one thing I will say is the

796
00:33:32,360 --> 00:33:36,680
Speaker 1: Dolphins defense is legitimate like that. I mean, Brian Floores fantastic,

797
00:33:36,760 --> 00:33:38,760
Speaker 1: like maybe Coach of the Year considering what he has

798
00:33:38,800 --> 00:33:41,800
Speaker 1: done with that team right now. And the Broncos are

799
00:33:41,840 --> 00:33:45,240
Speaker 1: just a mess. Man Like, they're a mess, and I

800
00:33:45,440 --> 00:33:47,600
Speaker 1: don't really care if it's ripping or lock. By the way,

801
00:33:47,640 --> 00:33:50,440
Speaker 1: I don't consider that a huge downgrade at this point

802
00:33:50,480 --> 00:33:54,120
Speaker 1: in their careers. But this is what's funny to me, Matt.

803
00:33:54,440 --> 00:33:58,040
Speaker 1: That is the most one sided game in our bet analyzer,

804
00:33:58,080 --> 00:33:59,880
Speaker 1: and it's on the Dolphins at thine and a half

805
00:34:00,040 --> 00:34:01,920
Speaker 1: eighty three percent, and that that is the side that

806
00:34:01,920 --> 00:34:04,320
Speaker 1: I'm on. But I don't feel good. I as a

807
00:34:04,440 --> 00:34:07,480
Speaker 1: general rule, I don't love betting against the Broncos.

808
00:34:07,760 --> 00:34:09,960
Speaker 2: It's out in two. It's a warm weather team in

809
00:34:10,000 --> 00:34:12,279
Speaker 2: cold weather conditions, yep. And all they do is run

810
00:34:12,360 --> 00:34:15,240
Speaker 2: the football. So it's like if Lindsey can get free,

811
00:34:15,960 --> 00:34:18,279
Speaker 2: it's I mean, the Dolphins have been living off of

812
00:34:18,280 --> 00:34:21,279
Speaker 2: their special teams in defensive points. At some point that

813
00:34:21,360 --> 00:34:24,880
Speaker 2: runs out, yep. So I don't like the Broncos defense.

814
00:34:24,920 --> 00:34:27,000
Speaker 2: The Broncos give up what forty five points to the Raiders,

815
00:34:27,080 --> 00:34:30,640
Speaker 2: whatever it was. I mean, it's a bad football team.

816
00:34:30,719 --> 00:34:33,920
Speaker 2: But there's a lot of exterior conditions there outside of

817
00:34:33,920 --> 00:34:37,480
Speaker 2: the Broncos players with altitude and weather and you know,

818
00:34:37,640 --> 00:34:40,400
Speaker 2: cold and the Dolphins don't like playing. Look at their

819
00:34:40,440 --> 00:34:42,879
Speaker 2: record in New England in December. Okay, it's not great,

820
00:34:43,000 --> 00:34:46,399
Speaker 2: So it's tough to back the Dolphins there.

821
00:34:46,760 --> 00:34:50,319
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think every point that you've made about why

822
00:34:50,320 --> 00:34:52,640
Speaker 1: it is tough to back the Dolphins is legitimate. And

823
00:34:52,719 --> 00:34:55,960
Speaker 1: I just can't back the Broncos under any circumstances, Like

824
00:34:56,320 --> 00:34:59,719
Speaker 1: I just couldn't final game unless I missed one. The

825
00:34:59,840 --> 00:35:02,200
Speaker 1: Charge laying eight and a half to the Jets in

826
00:35:02,239 --> 00:35:03,040
Speaker 1: Los Angeles.

827
00:35:03,280 --> 00:35:05,359
Speaker 2: Well, if it wasn't for that stupid haircut, I would

828
00:35:05,400 --> 00:35:07,319
Speaker 2: say I'd go with the Chargers. But anybody that's gonna

829
00:35:07,360 --> 00:35:10,120
Speaker 2: let the strength and conditioning coach cut their hair, I'm

830
00:35:10,239 --> 00:35:13,160
Speaker 2: questioning the logic of where they are here with Justin Herbert.

831
00:35:13,200 --> 00:35:15,799
Speaker 1: So this is the second podcast that I've done that

832
00:35:15,840 --> 00:35:19,680
Speaker 1: has referenced feeling worse about Justin Herbert and the Chargers

833
00:35:20,160 --> 00:35:22,520
Speaker 1: because of the haircut. So I really like that we're at.

834
00:35:22,680 --> 00:35:26,120
Speaker 2: Not the haircut itself, it's who he had do the haircut.

835
00:35:26,880 --> 00:35:29,600
Speaker 2: He asked his strength coach to cut his hair. I mean,

836
00:35:29,760 --> 00:35:33,440
Speaker 2: his hair is his thing. Okay, that's the thing for

837
00:35:33,520 --> 00:35:36,320
Speaker 2: the big guy with the flock with the locks and whatever,

838
00:35:36,360 --> 00:35:39,879
Speaker 2: and that that's the surfer boy or Oregon like, that's him.

839
00:35:40,520 --> 00:35:43,080
Speaker 2: To go ahead and cut the serial killer, you know,

840
00:35:43,200 --> 00:35:45,840
Speaker 2: fade whatever you want to call that haircut and to

841
00:35:45,920 --> 00:35:47,600
Speaker 2: have it be like, oh, I didn't care. I want

842
00:35:47,640 --> 00:35:49,720
Speaker 2: to do something to I need to make a change.

843
00:35:49,719 --> 00:35:53,360
Speaker 2: So it gave the Clippers to the strength coach justin dude,

844
00:35:53,640 --> 00:35:57,600
Speaker 2: what's up? Man? Wow? So based on that Jets plus

845
00:35:57,680 --> 00:36:01,440
Speaker 2: eight and a half, well, that.

846
00:36:01,400 --> 00:36:05,440
Speaker 1: Is a scientific analysis. I think I'm more than willing

847
00:36:05,880 --> 00:36:08,000
Speaker 1: to pass on this game at eight and a half.

848
00:36:08,040 --> 00:36:10,520
Speaker 1: I think I would still take Chargers regardless of the

849
00:36:10,560 --> 00:36:13,120
Speaker 1: hair guy. But it isn't something that I feel comfortable

850
00:36:13,480 --> 00:36:17,080
Speaker 1: playing just because I mean maybe that was Joe Flacco's

851
00:36:17,320 --> 00:36:19,840
Speaker 1: game of his life against the Patriots. But you know,

852
00:36:19,960 --> 00:36:22,520
Speaker 1: if you do have if Paraman is going to play

853
00:36:22,520 --> 00:36:25,839
Speaker 1: in this game, you do have Denzel Nims who is

854
00:36:25,960 --> 00:36:28,440
Speaker 1: stepping up looking a little better. You've got Jamison Crowder's

855
00:36:28,600 --> 00:36:31,080
Speaker 1: gonna play a full compliment of snaps, unlike what he

856
00:36:31,120 --> 00:36:33,120
Speaker 1: did against the Patriots. I think they can at least

857
00:36:33,120 --> 00:36:36,919
Speaker 1: score some points. Now, again, the Jets secondary, I mean,

858
00:36:37,080 --> 00:36:40,040
Speaker 1: their cornerback group is a joke right now. Brian Poole

859
00:36:40,080 --> 00:36:43,360
Speaker 1: is just placed on my or you know, they cut

860
00:36:43,600 --> 00:36:46,440
Speaker 1: Pierre to Seer, you know. Plus Austin is out, so

861
00:36:46,960 --> 00:36:50,080
Speaker 1: I don't understand how you're ever gonna stop the Chargers.

862
00:36:50,080 --> 00:36:52,080
Speaker 1: But it doesn't really matter. I don't really want to

863
00:36:52,080 --> 00:36:55,360
Speaker 1: go near it. Okay, So let's recap Matt. This is interesting,

864
00:36:55,360 --> 00:36:57,719
Speaker 1: and again I'm going to I'll tweet it out and

865
00:36:57,719 --> 00:36:59,400
Speaker 1: Matt will tweet it out whether or not we decide

866
00:36:59,440 --> 00:37:01,400
Speaker 1: to use one of our weeks because we have to

867
00:37:01,480 --> 00:37:03,799
Speaker 1: use two over the next six weeks. Now, I think, Matt,

868
00:37:03,840 --> 00:37:06,720
Speaker 1: we have said that we're thinking of using one over Thanksgiving. Correct,

869
00:37:06,840 --> 00:37:08,319
Speaker 1: that's just kind of what you want to do, So

870
00:37:08,360 --> 00:37:10,640
Speaker 1: we will have that one built in, so we might

871
00:37:10,719 --> 00:37:11,960
Speaker 1: use this one. I will let you know. But these

872
00:37:12,000 --> 00:37:14,560
Speaker 1: are a leans, certainly the Chiefs for the contest, at

873
00:37:14,600 --> 00:37:16,680
Speaker 1: least the Chiefs getting minus six and a half to

874
00:37:16,719 --> 00:37:18,879
Speaker 1: the Raiders. That one is a lock in. It's much

875
00:37:18,960 --> 00:37:20,759
Speaker 1: higher now, so it's gonna go high. And you've heard

876
00:37:20,800 --> 00:37:22,800
Speaker 1: our thoughts on that one. The Titans plus six and

877
00:37:22,840 --> 00:37:24,719
Speaker 1: a half against the Ravens. Again, that is moving in

878
00:37:24,760 --> 00:37:27,560
Speaker 1: the other direction right now. So we like the Titans there,

879
00:37:27,800 --> 00:37:30,640
Speaker 1: We like the Jaguars gross getting ten and a half

880
00:37:30,840 --> 00:37:32,960
Speaker 1: from the Steelers. That's still where the line is last

881
00:37:32,960 --> 00:37:34,640
Speaker 1: time I checked everywhere. So if you can get that,

882
00:37:34,920 --> 00:37:37,040
Speaker 1: I really do feel like this is just a letdown

883
00:37:37,080 --> 00:37:39,600
Speaker 1: spot for the Steelers. So then we've got a few

884
00:37:39,600 --> 00:37:42,200
Speaker 1: other games, Matt, that we've talked about, really three unless

885
00:37:42,239 --> 00:37:43,880
Speaker 1: you want to talk about the Falcons getting four and

886
00:37:43,920 --> 00:37:46,440
Speaker 1: a half from the Saints, which I don't think you do.

887
00:37:46,440 --> 00:37:48,280
Speaker 1: Do you like the Colts lank two and a half

888
00:37:48,360 --> 00:37:50,960
Speaker 1: to the Packers, and the Patriots lank two and a

889
00:37:51,000 --> 00:37:53,279
Speaker 1: half to the Texans? And I kind of liked the

890
00:37:53,320 --> 00:37:57,880
Speaker 1: Cowboys getting seven and a half from from the Vikings.

891
00:37:57,960 --> 00:38:01,480
Speaker 1: So of those, do you have a favorite one that

892
00:38:01,520 --> 00:38:02,800
Speaker 1: you like? I mean to assume it's one of the

893
00:38:02,840 --> 00:38:03,879
Speaker 1: two that you put out there.

894
00:38:06,320 --> 00:38:11,600
Speaker 2: Boy, is there I would prefer I would, oh gosh.

895
00:38:11,040 --> 00:38:12,640
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's the Patriots saying too and a half to

896
00:38:12,680 --> 00:38:13,160
Speaker 1: the Texans.

897
00:38:13,440 --> 00:38:15,319
Speaker 2: I want to the Patriots, but I'm gonna get called

898
00:38:15,320 --> 00:38:15,960
Speaker 2: a homer for it.

899
00:38:16,120 --> 00:38:17,840
Speaker 1: No, I think that's my FA I think I like

900
00:38:17,880 --> 00:38:19,960
Speaker 1: that one too, Matt. I think if if if you

901
00:38:20,000 --> 00:38:22,040
Speaker 1: were like Dan, what game do you like of those?

902
00:38:22,800 --> 00:38:25,000
Speaker 1: Once we start talking about a little bit more, I

903
00:38:25,000 --> 00:38:29,480
Speaker 1: don't know, man, like just the Patriots now that they're

904
00:38:29,520 --> 00:38:31,840
Speaker 1: kind of back into it a little bit. And I

905
00:38:32,160 --> 00:38:34,799
Speaker 1: will say that I do think that a couple of

906
00:38:34,840 --> 00:38:38,120
Speaker 1: things for the Patriots. Number one, I think it's very possible.

907
00:38:38,120 --> 00:38:40,600
Speaker 1: And I think you mentioned this that it's possible that

908
00:38:40,680 --> 00:38:44,480
Speaker 1: Cam as bad as he looked when he returned from COVID,

909
00:38:44,600 --> 00:38:47,120
Speaker 1: like he could have still been as much as he

910
00:38:47,200 --> 00:38:50,759
Speaker 1: said it was asymptomatic. Like you know from personal experience, Matt,

911
00:38:50,800 --> 00:38:52,520
Speaker 1: that it messes with you.

912
00:38:52,600 --> 00:38:55,279
Speaker 2: The brain fog is real. The brain fog is is

913
00:38:55,320 --> 00:38:57,759
Speaker 2: a thing nobody wants to acknowledge because you can't measure it.

914
00:38:57,760 --> 00:39:00,600
Speaker 2: It's not a fever, it's not a know, a cough,

915
00:39:01,120 --> 00:39:05,560
Speaker 2: it's just you don't feel right. And I agree, I agree.

916
00:39:05,320 --> 00:39:08,080
Speaker 1: Yeah, And he has played better. I mean, he still

917
00:39:08,120 --> 00:39:10,239
Speaker 1: is not a great passer. But again I do think

918
00:39:10,239 --> 00:39:14,520
Speaker 1: that the you know, emergence of Jacoby Myers is a

919
00:39:14,560 --> 00:39:18,120
Speaker 1: big deal. He is playing great. I think Damien Harris

920
00:39:18,239 --> 00:39:21,640
Speaker 1: looks great. I like how they involved Rex Burkhead. I mean,

921
00:39:22,080 --> 00:39:25,239
Speaker 1: I'm gaining a little confidence in this team. And conversely,

922
00:39:25,560 --> 00:39:28,680
Speaker 1: I have very little comments in the Texans. So if

923
00:39:28,680 --> 00:39:30,719
Speaker 1: you're giving it underfield, no Matt. I kind of like

924
00:39:30,760 --> 00:39:32,520
Speaker 1: that game more and more so I do wanting to

925
00:39:32,600 --> 00:39:33,920
Speaker 1: go with that one. If you ate not a Homer,

926
00:39:34,040 --> 00:39:35,320
Speaker 1: I'll make that pick, yeah.

927
00:39:35,200 --> 00:39:37,600
Speaker 2: Because look it's the Look at the Texans against the run.

928
00:39:37,640 --> 00:39:39,719
Speaker 2: Look at the numbers they give up. They just give

929
00:39:39,800 --> 00:39:44,439
Speaker 2: up huge gash chunk plays yep in the run game.

930
00:39:44,520 --> 00:39:48,200
Speaker 1: So all right, So, I mean, I won't quote unquote

931
00:39:48,239 --> 00:39:50,880
Speaker 1: stand on a table, but I will say that I

932
00:39:50,960 --> 00:39:54,080
Speaker 1: do like, particularly the Cowboys getting seven and a half,

933
00:39:54,160 --> 00:39:56,200
Speaker 1: okay from the Vikings, because I do think that they're

934
00:39:56,200 --> 00:39:57,680
Speaker 1: going to come out of the buy. I think this

935
00:39:57,760 --> 00:40:00,000
Speaker 1: is going to be a letdown game for the Vikings

936
00:40:00,040 --> 00:40:03,200
Speaker 1: coming off that big divisional win. I'm not saying that

937
00:40:03,239 --> 00:40:05,920
Speaker 1: the Cowboys are gonna win, but I do like them

938
00:40:05,920 --> 00:40:07,440
Speaker 1: to keep this close enough too.

939
00:40:07,760 --> 00:40:09,919
Speaker 2: It's fading the Vikings. You know, I'm gonna run it.

940
00:40:09,880 --> 00:40:12,640
Speaker 1: So you're good, okay. So if we do go with it,

941
00:40:13,000 --> 00:40:14,640
Speaker 1: we like the Chiefs mind of six and a half

942
00:40:15,000 --> 00:40:16,799
Speaker 1: to the Raiders, the Titans getting six and a half

943
00:40:16,840 --> 00:40:19,359
Speaker 1: from the Ravens, the Jaguars getting ten and a half

944
00:40:19,360 --> 00:40:21,399
Speaker 1: from the Steelers, the Patriots laying two and a half

945
00:40:21,440 --> 00:40:23,680
Speaker 1: to the Texans, and the Cowboys getting seven and a

946
00:40:23,680 --> 00:40:25,640
Speaker 1: half to the Vikings. I don't know, Matt. I do

947
00:40:25,719 --> 00:40:28,000
Speaker 1: not hate this, Okay. I mean that probably means we'd

948
00:40:28,000 --> 00:40:31,080
Speaker 1: go on five. But I don't necessarily hate this. So

949
00:40:31,160 --> 00:40:33,640
Speaker 1: let's let it marinate for a little bit and then

950
00:40:33,719 --> 00:40:35,960
Speaker 1: let's see. I will say, if Devanta Adams turns out

951
00:40:36,000 --> 00:40:39,680
Speaker 1: to be out, I would definitely consider swapping the Colts

952
00:40:39,719 --> 00:40:42,399
Speaker 1: in for the Cowboys in that sense. We can talk

953
00:40:42,400 --> 00:40:44,520
Speaker 1: about that because I really think that that is a huge,

954
00:40:44,920 --> 00:40:47,880
Speaker 1: huge letdown for their offense, even if when Allen's started returned.

955
00:40:47,920 --> 00:40:50,600
Speaker 1: So all right, you feel, you know, maybe we'll think

956
00:40:50,640 --> 00:40:52,319
Speaker 1: about it. We'll talk about it then a little more.

957
00:40:52,760 --> 00:40:55,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, let's do it, right, I'm good, good enough for me.

958
00:40:55,239 --> 00:40:57,960
Speaker 1: All right. That is it for today's show. Thanks everybody

959
00:40:58,000 --> 00:41:00,879
Speaker 1: for stopping by. Reminder listen to The Daily Juice, Matt's

960
00:41:00,920 --> 00:41:03,840
Speaker 1: daily podcast, which is great. Tune into the YouTube channel

961
00:41:03,880 --> 00:41:08,320
Speaker 1: YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros for Matt's live stream

962
00:41:08,400 --> 00:41:12,399
Speaker 1: on Sunday mornings eleven a m. To noon Eastern time.

963
00:41:12,480 --> 00:41:14,640
Speaker 1: I will give Matt my props. I remembered last week

964
00:41:14,680 --> 00:41:18,759
Speaker 1: both of them hit right, Yes, excellent. I will give

965
00:41:18,840 --> 00:41:20,760
Speaker 1: make sure I will give Matt my props on Saturday

966
00:41:20,840 --> 00:41:23,160
Speaker 1: night so I don't leaven hanging again. It's a great time.

967
00:41:23,239 --> 00:41:26,359
Speaker 1: So thanks everybody for listening for this podcast. We will

968
00:41:26,360 --> 00:41:27,600
Speaker 1: talk to you next week.