1 00:00:01,040 --> 00:00:05,040 Speaker 1: All right, and welcome into the Betting Pros College Football Show. 2 00:00:05,280 --> 00:00:08,440 Speaker 1: It's Week thirteen of the season and we're firing up 3 00:00:08,440 --> 00:00:11,120 Speaker 1: our official picks and predictions for the top ten games 4 00:00:11,400 --> 00:00:13,800 Speaker 1: on the slate. I'm your host of Seth Wilcock, and 5 00:00:14,200 --> 00:00:16,239 Speaker 1: for better or for worse, I've got my largest card 6 00:00:16,360 --> 00:00:19,160 Speaker 1: of the season already locked in. This is always one 7 00:00:19,160 --> 00:00:21,800 Speaker 1: of my favorite Saturdays of the year, just because it's 8 00:00:21,840 --> 00:00:24,279 Speaker 1: before things get a little weird and rival every week 9 00:00:24,360 --> 00:00:26,960 Speaker 1: in bowl season, and we now have over three months 10 00:00:27,120 --> 00:00:29,920 Speaker 1: worth of data to pull from. Someone who's always deep 11 00:00:29,920 --> 00:00:32,400 Speaker 1: in those numbers is my partner in crime, Scott big 12 00:00:32,400 --> 00:00:34,800 Speaker 1: Time Bogman Boggs. How are you and how are you 13 00:00:34,800 --> 00:00:36,960 Speaker 1: feeling about the slate coming up? Are you as excited 14 00:00:36,960 --> 00:00:37,400 Speaker 1: as I am? 15 00:00:37,760 --> 00:00:39,920 Speaker 2: I don't know if I'm excited as you are, but 16 00:00:40,360 --> 00:00:42,800 Speaker 2: I do have pretty good feelings about a lot of 17 00:00:42,840 --> 00:00:45,480 Speaker 2: these games that we're gonna talk about today. I feel 18 00:00:45,520 --> 00:00:49,159 Speaker 2: pretty good about Texas, even though it hasn't looked great recently, 19 00:00:49,200 --> 00:00:52,479 Speaker 2: and Arkansas has stuck to their SEC opponents very well 20 00:00:52,640 --> 00:00:54,000 Speaker 2: this year, but I feel good about that. 21 00:00:54,200 --> 00:00:55,240 Speaker 3: So we're doing okay. 22 00:00:55,400 --> 00:00:55,600 Speaker 1: You know. 23 00:00:56,240 --> 00:00:59,720 Speaker 2: Feel less positive about our Steelers than I do about 24 00:00:59,720 --> 00:01:00,880 Speaker 2: this college football weekend? 25 00:01:01,320 --> 00:01:04,479 Speaker 1: Sure? Sure, yeah, beggars can't be chooses though, right. 26 00:01:04,400 --> 00:01:06,280 Speaker 3: That's right. Yeah, We'll take a week and get. 27 00:01:07,080 --> 00:01:09,560 Speaker 1: As always, shout out to all the ball knowers who 28 00:01:09,600 --> 00:01:11,959 Speaker 1: are tuning in either on the VP YouTube channel or 29 00:01:12,000 --> 00:01:14,840 Speaker 1: the audio feed the easiest Freeway Sports. Please give this 30 00:01:14,959 --> 00:01:17,640 Speaker 1: video a thumbs up if you enjoy this type of content, 31 00:01:17,680 --> 00:01:19,680 Speaker 1: and if you're new, make sure you subscribe so you 32 00:01:19,720 --> 00:01:22,639 Speaker 1: don't miss a moment of college football and NFL betting 33 00:01:22,640 --> 00:01:25,360 Speaker 1: coverage this winner and before we get to the game 34 00:01:25,400 --> 00:01:28,039 Speaker 1: previews followed by our best bets, let's take a moment 35 00:01:28,120 --> 00:01:32,040 Speaker 1: to thank our presenting sponsor, hard Rock Bet. 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Concerned about gambling in Florida called one eight 62 00:02:45,720 --> 00:02:48,160 Speaker 4: eight eight admit it in Indiana if you are something 63 00:02:48,200 --> 00:02:50,040 Speaker 4: you know has a gambling problem and wants help call 64 00:02:50,120 --> 00:02:52,440 Speaker 4: one eight hundred and nine with it gambling problem called 65 00:02:52,440 --> 00:02:56,440 Speaker 4: one hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, in New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. 66 00:02:57,440 --> 00:03:01,000 Speaker 1: Let's jump in with two feet and start in collec Umbus, Ohio. 67 00:03:01,400 --> 00:03:04,040 Speaker 1: The books have now come to a consensus, with the 68 00:03:04,080 --> 00:03:07,600 Speaker 1: top ranked in undefeated Ohio State Buckeys now listed as 69 00:03:07,639 --> 00:03:10,239 Speaker 1: thirty one and a half point favorites against the five 70 00:03:10,320 --> 00:03:13,720 Speaker 1: and five Rutgers Scarlet Knights. Rutgers. Right now, they have 71 00:03:13,800 --> 00:03:18,359 Speaker 1: questionable edge Jordan Walker, and there's nose tackle Derek dehone 72 00:03:18,760 --> 00:03:21,560 Speaker 1: Osu right now. A couple big question marks for them 73 00:03:21,600 --> 00:03:24,520 Speaker 1: at the wide receiver position Jeremiah Smith and Carnal Tate 74 00:03:24,600 --> 00:03:28,119 Speaker 1: both questionable, as are some death players on the defense. 75 00:03:28,400 --> 00:03:31,720 Speaker 1: BP projections right now, we have this right around thirty 76 00:03:31,760 --> 00:03:34,839 Speaker 1: one points exactly. So I'm not gonna lay this big 77 00:03:34,840 --> 00:03:36,840 Speaker 1: of a number, will you, Bogman. No. 78 00:03:36,960 --> 00:03:39,440 Speaker 2: I think the line moved the wrong way for us 79 00:03:39,520 --> 00:03:41,800 Speaker 2: to get on board with Ohio State. Like I said, 80 00:03:41,840 --> 00:03:45,119 Speaker 2: I would have preferred this to drop below four touchdowns 81 00:03:45,120 --> 00:03:47,120 Speaker 2: to like twenty seven and a half something like that. 82 00:03:47,400 --> 00:03:49,000 Speaker 2: It was thirty and a half when we checked in. 83 00:03:49,040 --> 00:03:51,360 Speaker 2: It was originally thirty three and a half thirty and 84 00:03:51,400 --> 00:03:53,320 Speaker 2: a half. When we checked in, I thought, look, if 85 00:03:53,320 --> 00:03:56,120 Speaker 2: this gets this to twenty eight, then maybe we can 86 00:03:56,160 --> 00:03:58,760 Speaker 2: alter it down to twenty seven or something. Twenty seven 87 00:03:58,760 --> 00:04:00,560 Speaker 2: and a half twenty eight and a half obviously, but 88 00:04:01,320 --> 00:04:03,680 Speaker 2: it didn't. It went the wrong way. I think this 89 00:04:03,760 --> 00:04:08,160 Speaker 2: is just clear look ahead spot for Ohio State. You 90 00:04:08,240 --> 00:04:11,960 Speaker 2: mentioned Jeremiah Smith at Carnell tape being questionable, so if 91 00:04:11,960 --> 00:04:15,480 Speaker 2: they get up do they pull them? We saw Ohio 92 00:04:15,480 --> 00:04:19,000 Speaker 2: State let produce score a late touchdown last week as well. 93 00:04:19,640 --> 00:04:21,920 Speaker 2: I just cannot get on board with this big of number. 94 00:04:22,040 --> 00:04:25,279 Speaker 2: So I would lean towards Rutgers with this many points, 95 00:04:25,880 --> 00:04:27,840 Speaker 2: but I probably won't have any cash on this one. 96 00:04:28,120 --> 00:04:30,560 Speaker 1: Yep, I agree with you. I actually really like Rutgers right. 97 00:04:30,600 --> 00:04:32,960 Speaker 1: I like the running back Antoine Raymond. He has over 98 00:04:33,000 --> 00:04:35,440 Speaker 1: a thousand rushing yards this season. I like the receiving 99 00:04:35,480 --> 00:04:38,760 Speaker 1: core too, DJ duff Ian Strong DT Sheffield. They've been 100 00:04:38,760 --> 00:04:41,480 Speaker 1: a pretty nice combination out there for the Rutgers. It's 101 00:04:41,480 --> 00:04:44,120 Speaker 1: not like your grandpa's Rutgers team. I always remember, you 102 00:04:44,120 --> 00:04:46,000 Speaker 1: know Rutgers growing up that they would get you in 103 00:04:46,080 --> 00:04:48,400 Speaker 1: dog fights, and that's how if they were ever gonna 104 00:04:48,400 --> 00:04:50,440 Speaker 1: win that, that's usually how they would do it. This 105 00:04:50,480 --> 00:04:52,719 Speaker 1: isn't that type of team. I just don't think there's 106 00:04:52,760 --> 00:04:55,280 Speaker 1: anything I really want a part of this game, specifically 107 00:04:55,279 --> 00:04:57,960 Speaker 1: with those wide receivers, Like do they even play them 108 00:04:58,080 --> 00:04:59,840 Speaker 1: or if they play him? Like, is it much? Because 109 00:04:59,839 --> 00:05:02,479 Speaker 1: they kind a much bigger opponent next week and then 110 00:05:02,720 --> 00:05:04,120 Speaker 1: of course the playoffs coming up. 111 00:05:04,120 --> 00:05:07,240 Speaker 2: Man, Yeah, yeah, I just I can't trust it. It's 112 00:05:07,360 --> 00:05:10,760 Speaker 2: it's the look ahead and two of their best offensive 113 00:05:10,760 --> 00:05:11,880 Speaker 2: weapons are questionable. 114 00:05:12,120 --> 00:05:13,800 Speaker 3: So just pass on that one for me. 115 00:05:14,600 --> 00:05:17,799 Speaker 1: The spread hashrunk in Norman with the number eight Oklahoma 116 00:05:17,880 --> 00:05:20,560 Speaker 1: Sooners now just over a touchdown favor against the number 117 00:05:20,600 --> 00:05:23,680 Speaker 1: twenty three Missouri Tigers. What was originally thought to be 118 00:05:23,760 --> 00:05:27,560 Speaker 1: a season ending injury for Mazoo quarterback Bo Pribola, it 119 00:05:27,640 --> 00:05:30,640 Speaker 1: is not. He is questionable to play on Saturday. Oh 120 00:05:30,720 --> 00:05:34,239 Speaker 1: you Right now they have questionable RB three Javante Barnes, 121 00:05:34,400 --> 00:05:38,200 Speaker 1: Gentry Williams, and some of the defenses too deep BP projections. 122 00:05:38,279 --> 00:05:40,760 Speaker 1: Right now, we're showing some value on the Tigers putting 123 00:05:40,839 --> 00:05:43,320 Speaker 1: this game right at six points? Is that the way 124 00:05:43,320 --> 00:05:44,640 Speaker 1: you're leaning as well, Bogs. 125 00:05:44,960 --> 00:05:47,680 Speaker 2: I like the under here. I think Missouri has played 126 00:05:48,000 --> 00:05:50,600 Speaker 2: one of the cushiest schedules in the SEC. This will 127 00:05:50,640 --> 00:05:53,560 Speaker 2: only be their third true road game, right Kansas was 128 00:05:53,560 --> 00:05:55,960 Speaker 2: the neutral site, and I hated what we saw in 129 00:05:56,040 --> 00:05:58,080 Speaker 2: the field from them when they were on the road. 130 00:05:58,160 --> 00:06:01,680 Speaker 2: Auburn held them to seventeen points until over time Vanderbilt 131 00:06:01,720 --> 00:06:05,440 Speaker 2: held them to ten. They only completed eight passes last 132 00:06:05,440 --> 00:06:08,800 Speaker 2: week against Mississippi State in that dismantling of them, so 133 00:06:08,880 --> 00:06:12,360 Speaker 2: and that ain't gonna fly against Oklahoma. However, the Tigers 134 00:06:12,680 --> 00:06:15,640 Speaker 2: defense has been outstanding this season. They won the Auburn 135 00:06:15,720 --> 00:06:19,159 Speaker 2: game and only allowed seventeen in that game. They only 136 00:06:19,160 --> 00:06:22,680 Speaker 2: allowed seventeen to Vandy at home as well. And the 137 00:06:22,760 --> 00:06:25,160 Speaker 2: longer I look at this, I don't really care who 138 00:06:25,160 --> 00:06:27,279 Speaker 2: the quarterback for Missouri is. I just don't think I 139 00:06:27,320 --> 00:06:31,560 Speaker 2: can trust the road Tigers and the defense. You know, 140 00:06:31,640 --> 00:06:35,160 Speaker 2: in the defense for Oklahoma that has been outstanding. Oklahoma's 141 00:06:35,160 --> 00:06:38,839 Speaker 2: looking better on offense, but they're still not outstanding. 142 00:06:39,320 --> 00:06:40,640 Speaker 3: So I just I like the under. 143 00:06:40,760 --> 00:06:43,080 Speaker 2: This feels like a twenty one seventeen at twenty four 144 00:06:43,080 --> 00:06:45,880 Speaker 2: to thirteen type of game to me, Missouri can only 145 00:06:46,000 --> 00:06:48,640 Speaker 2: run right now, oh U stops the run. Yeah, but 146 00:06:49,760 --> 00:06:52,000 Speaker 2: Missouri they're going to try to control the clock and run. 147 00:06:52,080 --> 00:06:54,240 Speaker 2: I just don't know that that is going to work 148 00:06:54,480 --> 00:06:59,320 Speaker 2: against Oklahoma. So I'll pick the under here leaning. I 149 00:06:59,360 --> 00:07:01,559 Speaker 2: guess it would be towards Missouri because I just don't 150 00:07:01,640 --> 00:07:04,200 Speaker 2: like this spread that much. I would like it to 151 00:07:04,240 --> 00:07:07,200 Speaker 2: be three and a half, two and a half something 152 00:07:07,279 --> 00:07:09,920 Speaker 2: like that. I think this might be a field goal game, 153 00:07:10,000 --> 00:07:12,680 Speaker 2: but I just I'm not putting money on Missouri right 154 00:07:12,720 --> 00:07:15,160 Speaker 2: now with the quarterback questions and the quarterback play that 155 00:07:15,160 --> 00:07:19,080 Speaker 2: they've had, being one dimensional on offense and OHU being 156 00:07:19,120 --> 00:07:21,840 Speaker 2: at home, and that O line for Missouri really not 157 00:07:21,880 --> 00:07:25,040 Speaker 2: looking good on the road. So yeah, I like the 158 00:07:25,120 --> 00:07:26,000 Speaker 2: under in this game. 159 00:07:26,640 --> 00:07:29,760 Speaker 1: Yeah. I think that is the right play in this one, 160 00:07:29,840 --> 00:07:33,320 Speaker 1: specifically because I think if anyone can slow down Hardy, 161 00:07:33,560 --> 00:07:35,440 Speaker 1: it's got to be the Sooners right top four in 162 00:07:35,560 --> 00:07:39,080 Speaker 1: rushing defense, so I would think that would definitely slow 163 00:07:39,080 --> 00:07:41,240 Speaker 1: this down. John Mateer hasn't looked the same since that 164 00:07:41,320 --> 00:07:44,040 Speaker 1: thumb surgery, really, and I've actually seen a couple of 165 00:07:44,040 --> 00:07:47,720 Speaker 1: these projection models, including one of CBS's bogs. It actually 166 00:07:47,760 --> 00:07:51,400 Speaker 1: has oh you losing one of these last two games, specifically, 167 00:07:51,400 --> 00:07:53,679 Speaker 1: because the offense has been so bad, Right. 168 00:07:53,880 --> 00:07:54,600 Speaker 3: That's tough. 169 00:07:55,320 --> 00:07:58,200 Speaker 2: It could Missouri is a very good team, right, So 170 00:07:58,360 --> 00:08:01,120 Speaker 2: Missouri could win this game specifically if you keep it 171 00:08:01,120 --> 00:08:03,600 Speaker 2: low scoring. Right, It's just a couple of big plays 172 00:08:03,960 --> 00:08:07,400 Speaker 2: at that point. But I just don't. I think mateers 173 00:08:07,440 --> 00:08:10,040 Speaker 2: looking better the further away from thumb surgery he gets, 174 00:08:10,640 --> 00:08:13,680 Speaker 2: and uh, you know, they obviously have the horses on 175 00:08:13,800 --> 00:08:17,240 Speaker 2: offense to do it. So I just I'm not trusting 176 00:08:17,280 --> 00:08:19,320 Speaker 2: Missouri on the road. That's kind of what it boils 177 00:08:19,320 --> 00:08:19,600 Speaker 2: down to. 178 00:08:20,120 --> 00:08:20,320 Speaker 1: Sure. 179 00:08:20,320 --> 00:08:22,160 Speaker 2: Look, I would love to see Oklahoma lose. Don't get 180 00:08:22,160 --> 00:08:25,360 Speaker 2: me wrong. Any week that Oklahoma loses, I'm usually for it. 181 00:08:25,440 --> 00:08:28,520 Speaker 1: So but I don't think I don't think they're gonna lose. 182 00:08:28,640 --> 00:08:31,080 Speaker 1: I'm just saying I think if anything holds them back 183 00:08:31,120 --> 00:08:31,920 Speaker 1: this season, it's. 184 00:08:31,800 --> 00:08:34,560 Speaker 2: The offense, for sure. The defense has been outstanding. Our 185 00:08:34,600 --> 00:08:38,280 Speaker 2: Mason Thomas is a killer wan man. That defense is 186 00:08:38,320 --> 00:08:39,240 Speaker 2: really good. 187 00:08:39,640 --> 00:08:42,280 Speaker 1: Guys, make sure you're tracking your bets, staying accountable, and 188 00:08:42,400 --> 00:08:46,120 Speaker 1: leveling up by downloading the free betting pros app today. 189 00:08:46,600 --> 00:08:49,640 Speaker 1: With sportsbook Sink, you can automatically track your bets across 190 00:08:49,679 --> 00:08:53,880 Speaker 1: all major books in just one simple spot. Easily monitor 191 00:08:53,960 --> 00:08:57,400 Speaker 1: your bet performance by sport and bet type, including game picks, props, 192 00:08:57,559 --> 00:09:01,560 Speaker 1: and of course parlays. Create custom bettexits, define winning trends 193 00:09:01,559 --> 00:09:05,600 Speaker 1: and profitable opportunities. 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We have no line movement in Harrisonburg, Virginia, 198 00:09:22,559 --> 00:09:25,440 Speaker 1: with the twenty first ranked and Sun Belt leading James 199 00:09:25,480 --> 00:09:28,559 Speaker 1: Madison Dukes still thirteen and a half to fourteen a 200 00:09:28,559 --> 00:09:32,040 Speaker 1: half point favors against the five and five Washington State Cougars. 201 00:09:32,360 --> 00:09:35,400 Speaker 1: Both teams should be at or near full health, and 202 00:09:35,440 --> 00:09:38,080 Speaker 1: the BP projections are right in line with the books. 203 00:09:38,240 --> 00:09:39,640 Speaker 1: What do you think about this game? Bogs? 204 00:09:39,960 --> 00:09:42,240 Speaker 2: Yeah, I think I'm gonna be on the Washington State side, 205 00:09:42,240 --> 00:09:46,640 Speaker 2: which is massively fading the public because we're up over 206 00:09:47,240 --> 00:09:50,640 Speaker 2: ninety percent of both tickets and cash on James Madison here, 207 00:09:50,720 --> 00:09:53,600 Speaker 2: so really yeah, I mean it is very much in 208 00:09:53,640 --> 00:09:56,600 Speaker 2: their favor, So you know, I'm gonna take Washington State, 209 00:09:56,600 --> 00:10:00,000 Speaker 2: but I'm gonna wait, it's already fourteen and a half. 210 00:10:00,360 --> 00:10:01,719 Speaker 2: I think it's going to get out to fifteen and 211 00:10:01,760 --> 00:10:03,480 Speaker 2: a half or sixteen and a half at some point 212 00:10:03,520 --> 00:10:06,760 Speaker 2: here because just the money is pouring in on James Madison. 213 00:10:06,840 --> 00:10:09,760 Speaker 2: But they did a very good job against Louisville's offense 214 00:10:10,040 --> 00:10:13,240 Speaker 2: and the only tough game that they played, but they 215 00:10:13,280 --> 00:10:15,920 Speaker 2: were handled by the Cardinals defense, and I think that's 216 00:10:15,920 --> 00:10:19,160 Speaker 2: what we might have here. James Madison is very strong 217 00:10:19,200 --> 00:10:21,400 Speaker 2: in the run game, but Washington State has also been 218 00:10:21,480 --> 00:10:25,280 Speaker 2: very strong against the run. They have continuously played up 219 00:10:25,320 --> 00:10:29,079 Speaker 2: and down to competition since the defense and took over 220 00:10:29,120 --> 00:10:31,120 Speaker 2: in Week five. We talked about that on Monday, like 221 00:10:31,400 --> 00:10:34,240 Speaker 2: they did let up Washington and North Texas both score 222 00:10:34,280 --> 00:10:37,079 Speaker 2: fifty nine, but since then they have really buckled down 223 00:10:37,080 --> 00:10:40,160 Speaker 2: there three and three in that stretch after those games 224 00:10:40,920 --> 00:10:44,600 Speaker 2: with each win coming by at least seventeen points or more, 225 00:10:44,679 --> 00:10:49,160 Speaker 2: and then the losses home miss Uva, Oregon State all 226 00:10:49,200 --> 00:10:51,920 Speaker 2: by three points or less. Right, and those are all 227 00:10:52,000 --> 00:10:56,079 Speaker 2: road games as well for Washington State. So Toledo was 228 00:10:56,200 --> 00:10:58,959 Speaker 2: thumped by Washington State. That's one of your better G 229 00:10:59,240 --> 00:11:01,920 Speaker 2: five schools, right, And that game was twenty eight to seven. 230 00:11:02,400 --> 00:11:06,079 Speaker 2: So Washington State has played with intensity on the road. 231 00:11:06,679 --> 00:11:08,600 Speaker 2: They need one more win to get a bowl. They're 232 00:11:08,640 --> 00:11:11,920 Speaker 2: pretty desperate here, so I gotta take Wazoo with the 233 00:11:11,960 --> 00:11:15,120 Speaker 2: points here, and I think fourteen and a half is 234 00:11:15,160 --> 00:11:18,200 Speaker 2: a great number, but I think you can wait. I 235 00:11:18,240 --> 00:11:19,839 Speaker 2: feel fine at fourteen and a half, but I think 236 00:11:19,840 --> 00:11:22,080 Speaker 2: you can wait and make this number better because I 237 00:11:22,160 --> 00:11:24,520 Speaker 2: just think it's going to keep sliding a little bit 238 00:11:24,559 --> 00:11:26,920 Speaker 2: towards James Madison because it was I think it was 239 00:11:26,920 --> 00:11:28,560 Speaker 2: thirteen and a half. At most books you could get 240 00:11:28,559 --> 00:11:30,520 Speaker 2: a fourteen and a half. Now it's fourteen and a half. 241 00:11:30,559 --> 00:11:32,360 Speaker 2: Of most books you can get a thirteen and a half. 242 00:11:32,440 --> 00:11:34,640 Speaker 2: So I think it's going to continue to move out 243 00:11:34,640 --> 00:11:35,040 Speaker 2: that way. 244 00:11:35,800 --> 00:11:38,400 Speaker 1: I think you're actually on the right side of this one, because, 245 00:11:38,880 --> 00:11:42,040 Speaker 1: as you mentioned, Wazoo's kind of been the G five killer. 246 00:11:42,120 --> 00:11:45,280 Speaker 1: San Diego State probably going to win the Mountain West 247 00:11:45,280 --> 00:11:47,800 Speaker 1: this season. They were beat by Wazoo all the way 248 00:11:47,800 --> 00:11:51,760 Speaker 1: back in Week one, thirty six to thirteen or we two, 249 00:11:51,800 --> 00:11:55,480 Speaker 1: excuse me. And then also right after that Toledo. You know, 250 00:11:55,840 --> 00:11:58,080 Speaker 1: they go up against Toledo, who's the MAC favorite. 251 00:11:58,120 --> 00:12:01,760 Speaker 2: So it's a good defensive team yeah, now that they 252 00:12:01,880 --> 00:12:04,720 Speaker 2: fixed it after Washington and North Texas those were ugly. Yeah, 253 00:12:04,720 --> 00:12:07,920 Speaker 2: but they really have seemed to fix that defense. So 254 00:12:08,960 --> 00:12:11,520 Speaker 2: I think it's gonna be low scoring, scrappy, gross game. 255 00:12:12,040 --> 00:12:14,839 Speaker 1: Yeah, okay, And the key number of nine and a 256 00:12:14,880 --> 00:12:17,360 Speaker 1: half is still being offered in Eugene in favor of 257 00:12:17,360 --> 00:12:20,240 Speaker 1: the number six Oregon Ducks against the number sixteen USC 258 00:12:20,280 --> 00:12:24,600 Speaker 1: Trojans USC they have RB one wayman Jordan doubtful and 259 00:12:24,640 --> 00:12:28,880 Speaker 1: their center John ree Reid he is also questionable. The 260 00:12:29,000 --> 00:12:31,880 Speaker 1: Ducks leading wide receiver Decoryan Moore, their slot wide receiver 261 00:12:32,040 --> 00:12:35,800 Speaker 1: Gary Bryant Junior, and their RB four Jaden Lamar and 262 00:12:35,880 --> 00:12:39,439 Speaker 1: some of the defensive two D players are questionable. BP projections. 263 00:12:39,520 --> 00:12:42,120 Speaker 1: Right now, we are right in line with the odds makers. 264 00:12:42,120 --> 00:12:44,880 Speaker 1: So Boggs, this seems like a great game to watch. 265 00:12:44,960 --> 00:12:47,880 Speaker 1: I'm excited about it. I'm gonna be on the sidelines, though. 266 00:12:47,920 --> 00:12:49,000 Speaker 1: Do you have any action on it? 267 00:12:49,679 --> 00:12:50,320 Speaker 3: Not yet? 268 00:12:50,400 --> 00:12:52,680 Speaker 2: But what I want here is I want this to 269 00:12:52,720 --> 00:12:54,480 Speaker 2: go down to seven and a half. So the alt 270 00:12:54,520 --> 00:12:56,920 Speaker 2: line of six and a half isn't disgusting, right, That's 271 00:12:57,040 --> 00:12:59,480 Speaker 2: that's kind of how I see this game. And you 272 00:12:59,480 --> 00:13:04,360 Speaker 2: know this has been oscillating like crazy this line because 273 00:13:04,440 --> 00:13:06,400 Speaker 2: for yeah, nine and a half, down to seven and 274 00:13:06,440 --> 00:13:09,319 Speaker 2: a half. Now I believe it's eight and a half 275 00:13:09,480 --> 00:13:12,000 Speaker 2: at most places, So it's between eight and a half 276 00:13:12,040 --> 00:13:13,640 Speaker 2: and nine and a half right now. We want this 277 00:13:13,720 --> 00:13:15,640 Speaker 2: to get down to seven and a half. It's not 278 00:13:15,679 --> 00:13:18,640 Speaker 2: gonna get below that, right I just think it's highly 279 00:13:18,640 --> 00:13:21,680 Speaker 2: doubtful it gets below a touchdown. But I think the 280 00:13:21,760 --> 00:13:23,400 Speaker 2: thing that we know about this game is that Oregon 281 00:13:23,480 --> 00:13:26,600 Speaker 2: is going to score. USC has only played one elite 282 00:13:26,640 --> 00:13:29,400 Speaker 2: offense this season in Notre Dame, and Notre Dame went 283 00:13:29,440 --> 00:13:31,760 Speaker 2: for four forty two and thirty four points. The other 284 00:13:31,880 --> 00:13:35,360 Speaker 2: really good offense they played was Illinois. Illinois went for 285 00:13:35,480 --> 00:13:38,720 Speaker 2: five oh two and thirty four points on them. Michigan 286 00:13:38,720 --> 00:13:42,120 Speaker 2: State put up thirty one even perdues scored seventeen on USC. 287 00:13:42,400 --> 00:13:45,679 Speaker 2: So the USC defense is better, but it's always been 288 00:13:45,720 --> 00:13:47,959 Speaker 2: an issue under Lincoln Riley and that has not changed 289 00:13:48,720 --> 00:13:51,960 Speaker 2: very much this season. Oregon is going to score, USC 290 00:13:52,120 --> 00:13:55,600 Speaker 2: should score, but Oregon's defense is number one against the pass. 291 00:13:55,640 --> 00:13:59,760 Speaker 2: We saw USC struggle against a good coverage group at Nebraska, 292 00:14:00,040 --> 00:14:02,000 Speaker 2: but their defense showed up for that game and they 293 00:14:02,000 --> 00:14:05,320 Speaker 2: won that game. So I think Oregon wins this one. 294 00:14:05,640 --> 00:14:09,480 Speaker 2: I think they win this one going away, but they 295 00:14:09,480 --> 00:14:12,280 Speaker 2: do play rival Washington next week. But USC is a 296 00:14:12,320 --> 00:14:16,360 Speaker 2: tougher matchup, so it's not a look ahead spot by 297 00:14:16,400 --> 00:14:19,040 Speaker 2: any means. I know Washington has given or given organ 298 00:14:19,160 --> 00:14:21,880 Speaker 2: some fits recently, but I don't think they can look 299 00:14:21,920 --> 00:14:24,720 Speaker 2: past us. You'll get beat that way, so give me 300 00:14:24,760 --> 00:14:27,480 Speaker 2: the Ducks. But like I said, I'm gonna see if 301 00:14:27,480 --> 00:14:29,080 Speaker 2: it gets to seven and a half, so I can 302 00:14:29,120 --> 00:14:31,880 Speaker 2: alter to six and a half without discussing juice. So 303 00:14:32,520 --> 00:14:34,480 Speaker 2: eight and a half is fine. I think they win 304 00:14:34,520 --> 00:14:36,360 Speaker 2: this game by ten points, so nine and a half 305 00:14:36,480 --> 00:14:40,320 Speaker 2: even is not a bad bet to me. But I 306 00:14:40,320 --> 00:14:42,560 Speaker 2: would love I would prefer it to get to under 307 00:14:42,560 --> 00:14:46,200 Speaker 2: a touchdown, just to save any trickiness because USC's offense 308 00:14:46,280 --> 00:14:47,359 Speaker 2: is still really good. 309 00:14:47,640 --> 00:14:49,800 Speaker 1: Do you think the wide receiver death will be an 310 00:14:49,840 --> 00:14:51,840 Speaker 1: issue for Oregon? Does that concern you at all? If 311 00:14:51,880 --> 00:14:54,000 Speaker 1: Bryant Junior and more aren't. 312 00:14:53,840 --> 00:14:57,640 Speaker 2: Up, No, I think they're gonna run. Okay, okay, the 313 00:14:57,720 --> 00:15:00,119 Speaker 2: run game has been really good for them recently. 314 00:15:00,760 --> 00:15:02,000 Speaker 3: You've seen them. 315 00:15:01,840 --> 00:15:04,640 Speaker 1: Waiting very efficient. You think he's averaging like eight yards 316 00:15:04,680 --> 00:15:05,800 Speaker 1: per carry or something like that. 317 00:15:05,880 --> 00:15:08,360 Speaker 2: They're eighth in rushing per game right now, two hundred 318 00:15:08,360 --> 00:15:09,760 Speaker 2: and thirty three yards per game. I don't know if 319 00:15:09,760 --> 00:15:12,800 Speaker 2: you're gonna get that against USC, but I think that 320 00:15:12,880 --> 00:15:15,520 Speaker 2: helps you control the clock and it helps it helps 321 00:15:15,560 --> 00:15:19,400 Speaker 2: more throw the ball as well. So I just feel 322 00:15:19,400 --> 00:15:23,560 Speaker 2: like Oregon is definitely gonna score and US he can score, 323 00:15:23,600 --> 00:15:27,000 Speaker 2: but if they're held like Nebraska held them, They're just 324 00:15:27,040 --> 00:15:29,040 Speaker 2: not going to be able to keep pace with Oregon. 325 00:15:29,680 --> 00:15:31,440 Speaker 1: I think it's like the bitter Penn State fan in 326 00:15:31,520 --> 00:15:33,480 Speaker 1: me that I want to see Oregon lose and I 327 00:15:33,480 --> 00:15:35,600 Speaker 1: can see it happening in my head. But at the 328 00:15:35,640 --> 00:15:38,840 Speaker 1: same time, I think, just coming off the Iowa game, 329 00:15:39,000 --> 00:15:42,600 Speaker 1: you know that was a tough ballgame US he just played. Meanwhile, 330 00:15:42,640 --> 00:15:45,680 Speaker 1: for Oregon, they were asleep on Saturday, right they are 331 00:15:45,720 --> 00:15:49,520 Speaker 1: resting up after really running into a pretty mediocre Minnesota 332 00:15:49,520 --> 00:15:51,360 Speaker 1: team on Friday night. So I think I would go 333 00:15:51,400 --> 00:15:53,760 Speaker 1: with the Ducks as well if if I had to 334 00:15:53,800 --> 00:15:54,640 Speaker 1: make a pick in that one. 335 00:15:54,680 --> 00:15:56,760 Speaker 2: It's not the best Ducks team we've seen. I think 336 00:15:56,800 --> 00:15:59,640 Speaker 2: that's that's what makes it feel weird, right This is 337 00:16:00,160 --> 00:16:01,960 Speaker 2: one of the worst Duck teams we've seen over the 338 00:16:02,040 --> 00:16:04,880 Speaker 2: last like three or four seasons, but they're still very good. 339 00:16:05,320 --> 00:16:09,360 Speaker 2: And I just USC is still they're better, but there's 340 00:16:09,400 --> 00:16:12,080 Speaker 2: still one sided. There's still a primarily offensive team. 341 00:16:12,320 --> 00:16:14,280 Speaker 1: I can't wait to bet against Oregon in the CFP. 342 00:16:14,640 --> 00:16:15,320 Speaker 1: I can't wait. 343 00:16:15,440 --> 00:16:16,080 Speaker 3: I can't wait. 344 00:16:16,120 --> 00:16:18,920 Speaker 1: It's gonna be great. Nine and a half is also 345 00:16:19,080 --> 00:16:22,000 Speaker 1: still available if you want that number in Nashville in 346 00:16:22,040 --> 00:16:24,960 Speaker 1: favor of the twelfth ranked Vanderbilt Commodores over the five 347 00:16:25,000 --> 00:16:28,120 Speaker 1: and five Kentucky Wildcats. Everyone is up in this one 348 00:16:28,160 --> 00:16:31,880 Speaker 1: for Vandy UK. They just have cornerback DJ Walker Junior 349 00:16:31,960 --> 00:16:34,000 Speaker 1: and a few players in the defense is too deep 350 00:16:34,040 --> 00:16:37,160 Speaker 1: banged up BP projections. We're right at ten points, So 351 00:16:37,520 --> 00:16:39,800 Speaker 1: another game where we're not showing a ton of value 352 00:16:39,880 --> 00:16:42,800 Speaker 1: either way on the spread. Still, were you able to 353 00:16:42,840 --> 00:16:43,760 Speaker 1: sniff any out there? 354 00:16:43,760 --> 00:16:45,520 Speaker 3: Bucks? I? Yeah, yeah, I have. 355 00:16:45,680 --> 00:16:49,360 Speaker 2: I continue to question the validity of this Kentucky over 356 00:16:49,400 --> 00:16:50,200 Speaker 2: performing stretch. 357 00:16:50,280 --> 00:16:50,440 Speaker 3: Right. 358 00:16:50,720 --> 00:16:55,160 Speaker 2: Texas isn't good. They lost to Georgia worse than Kentucky did. Okay, 359 00:16:55,680 --> 00:16:58,240 Speaker 2: Tennessee's defense sucks and they were up big in the 360 00:16:58,280 --> 00:17:01,440 Speaker 2: second half. That's why they allowed Kentucky to score. You know, 361 00:17:01,600 --> 00:17:05,800 Speaker 2: Auburn and Florida, those were quick games. They Auburn clearly 362 00:17:05,920 --> 00:17:09,240 Speaker 2: quit on Hugh Freeze because look at the thirty eight 363 00:17:09,240 --> 00:17:12,000 Speaker 2: points they put up the next week. Yeah right, Florida 364 00:17:12,280 --> 00:17:15,800 Speaker 2: clearly had you know, they had won the week before, 365 00:17:16,320 --> 00:17:19,320 Speaker 2: didn't care about this Kentucky team, and it showed they 366 00:17:19,359 --> 00:17:20,280 Speaker 2: got stomped. 367 00:17:20,520 --> 00:17:20,800 Speaker 3: Right. 368 00:17:20,920 --> 00:17:24,880 Speaker 2: So I just don't know if I'm really buying Kentucky 369 00:17:25,080 --> 00:17:27,919 Speaker 2: as you know, a surging team late. I think the 370 00:17:27,960 --> 00:17:30,720 Speaker 2: schedule has done them some favors, and Vandy is still 371 00:17:30,760 --> 00:17:33,640 Speaker 2: fighting for a playoff spot, like we talked about on Monday, Seth. 372 00:17:33,800 --> 00:17:34,320 Speaker 3: I just. 373 00:17:35,720 --> 00:17:39,159 Speaker 2: I think if they were out of it, fine, but 374 00:17:39,800 --> 00:17:42,480 Speaker 2: Vandy has given up seventy two points last two weeks 375 00:17:42,480 --> 00:17:46,439 Speaker 2: to two mediocre offenses in Texas and Auburn. So I 376 00:17:46,600 --> 00:17:50,560 Speaker 2: like the over here in this game. I leen Vandy 377 00:17:51,040 --> 00:17:53,320 Speaker 2: as well, laying the nine and a half. But my 378 00:17:53,400 --> 00:17:56,400 Speaker 2: favorite bet in this game is Vandy's team total over 379 00:17:56,440 --> 00:17:58,840 Speaker 2: thirty one and a half. They've scored against the good 380 00:17:59,000 --> 00:18:01,560 Speaker 2: defenses as well this year, so I just think the 381 00:18:01,600 --> 00:18:05,399 Speaker 2: offense for Vanderbilt is somewhat undeniable. The only team to 382 00:18:05,440 --> 00:18:07,760 Speaker 2: really hold them was Missouri. They even put up a 383 00:18:07,760 --> 00:18:10,440 Speaker 2: bunch of points on Texas in the comeback right third. 384 00:18:10,480 --> 00:18:12,760 Speaker 2: That ended up being thirty four to thirty one. So 385 00:18:13,280 --> 00:18:15,800 Speaker 2: Vandy's defense is not in their best spot right now. 386 00:18:16,280 --> 00:18:18,720 Speaker 2: The side is a little more wishy washy to me. 387 00:18:18,960 --> 00:18:21,800 Speaker 2: But Vandy's gonna score. That's something I know. Here in 388 00:18:21,800 --> 00:18:23,520 Speaker 2: thirty one and a half I think is too low 389 00:18:23,920 --> 00:18:26,240 Speaker 2: against a bottom feeder in the SEC like Kentucky, I 390 00:18:26,240 --> 00:18:28,639 Speaker 2: think Vandy gets well over that total. 391 00:18:29,240 --> 00:18:31,200 Speaker 1: Yeah, Fandy has been great to bet on this season 392 00:18:31,200 --> 00:18:34,280 Speaker 1: eight and two ats, and as we mentioned earlier this 393 00:18:34,359 --> 00:18:37,639 Speaker 1: week that the Kami's offense is just so efficient. Right 394 00:18:37,640 --> 00:18:39,879 Speaker 1: they're ninth in scoring. It's not because they're high flying 395 00:18:39,920 --> 00:18:42,480 Speaker 1: or anything like that. It's because they continue to churn 396 00:18:42,560 --> 00:18:45,440 Speaker 1: out third downs every single time, top five in the 397 00:18:45,480 --> 00:18:47,680 Speaker 1: country in third down conversion rate, top thirty five in 398 00:18:47,720 --> 00:18:50,080 Speaker 1: the red zone. They're making the most of their opportunities, 399 00:18:50,280 --> 00:18:52,080 Speaker 1: and I think they do it against Kentucky as well. 400 00:18:52,080 --> 00:18:53,120 Speaker 1: What was that team total. 401 00:18:53,040 --> 00:18:54,760 Speaker 3: Number you had, thirty one and a half. 402 00:18:55,080 --> 00:18:57,000 Speaker 1: Thirty one and a half. Yeah, I don't hate that. 403 00:18:57,000 --> 00:18:58,520 Speaker 1: I would probably like it, you know, twenty seven and 404 00:18:58,560 --> 00:19:02,000 Speaker 1: a half feels feels better, But yeah, I don't hate 405 00:19:02,040 --> 00:19:06,000 Speaker 1: that either. We also have seen the spread considerably shrink 406 00:19:06,040 --> 00:19:09,080 Speaker 1: in Austin with the number seventeen. Texas long Horns now 407 00:19:09,080 --> 00:19:11,639 Speaker 1: favored by between eight and a half and nine a 408 00:19:11,640 --> 00:19:15,240 Speaker 1: half points over the two and eight Arkansas Razorbacks. Archie, 409 00:19:15,240 --> 00:19:17,520 Speaker 1: they have about a half dozen players banged up in 410 00:19:17,600 --> 00:19:20,800 Speaker 1: the defense's two deep Texas, they're a full strength to 411 00:19:20,880 --> 00:19:23,560 Speaker 1: our knowledge BP projections. Right now they have Texas by 412 00:19:23,640 --> 00:19:26,359 Speaker 1: nearly eleven points. So is this the time to go 413 00:19:26,440 --> 00:19:28,360 Speaker 1: Horns up on the burnt Orange Bogs? 414 00:19:28,800 --> 00:19:30,000 Speaker 3: I think you can. Right. 415 00:19:30,040 --> 00:19:33,680 Speaker 2: We're showing over two points of value towards the long Horns, 416 00:19:33,680 --> 00:19:36,359 Speaker 2: so I think that's fine. And you know me, I 417 00:19:36,400 --> 00:19:38,159 Speaker 2: have a hard time betting my own team because if 418 00:19:38,160 --> 00:19:40,399 Speaker 2: they lose, it's like losing twice. So I don't really 419 00:19:40,760 --> 00:19:43,600 Speaker 2: like that. I bet the over on Texas and Georgia 420 00:19:43,640 --> 00:19:47,280 Speaker 2: and Texas didn't do their part last week. But I'm 421 00:19:47,320 --> 00:19:49,600 Speaker 2: gonna just double down on that. We're gonna go with 422 00:19:49,640 --> 00:19:53,600 Speaker 2: an over bet here again. The total in this game 423 00:19:53,960 --> 00:19:58,600 Speaker 2: is fifty seven and a half. I just think Arkansas 424 00:19:58,920 --> 00:20:01,600 Speaker 2: they stuck close in every game, right except for that 425 00:20:01,680 --> 00:20:03,879 Speaker 2: Notre Dame thumping. That's the only game that they have 426 00:20:04,000 --> 00:20:07,800 Speaker 2: not stuck close to their opponent in I like the over. 427 00:20:08,000 --> 00:20:10,240 Speaker 2: I liked it last week for Texas, as I said before, 428 00:20:10,280 --> 00:20:13,440 Speaker 2: but Arki is one hundred and twenty first in scoring defense. 429 00:20:13,440 --> 00:20:15,920 Speaker 2: They're one hundred and twenty third in total defense. Right, 430 00:20:16,480 --> 00:20:19,840 Speaker 2: Texas defense has been awful over the last few weeks. 431 00:20:19,880 --> 00:20:23,359 Speaker 2: They allowed thirty one to Mississippi State, Vandy, and Georgia. 432 00:20:23,400 --> 00:20:25,840 Speaker 2: They all scored at least thirty one points on this 433 00:20:25,920 --> 00:20:28,960 Speaker 2: Texas defense. And Arkansas can move the ball. They're twenty 434 00:20:29,000 --> 00:20:31,399 Speaker 2: fifth and scoring the thirteenth in total offense. They're taking 435 00:20:31,480 --> 00:20:35,080 Speaker 2: chances their second and ten plus yard plays. Taylor Green 436 00:20:35,200 --> 00:20:38,280 Speaker 2: is also third. He has the third most turnover wheth 437 00:20:38,320 --> 00:20:41,000 Speaker 2: he plays in the country, which could lead to short 438 00:20:41,040 --> 00:20:43,399 Speaker 2: fields for Texas to score as well, which is why 439 00:20:43,600 --> 00:20:45,680 Speaker 2: I do give the benefit of the doubt. They will 440 00:20:45,720 --> 00:20:48,320 Speaker 2: turn the ball over in this game most likely, and 441 00:20:48,920 --> 00:20:53,280 Speaker 2: you know the Longhorns are twelfth and turnover margin Archie 442 00:20:53,480 --> 00:20:57,200 Speaker 2: is one hundred and thirtieth. The Longhorns I think should 443 00:20:57,280 --> 00:21:00,000 Speaker 2: win big if you want to bet against them, because 444 00:21:00,240 --> 00:21:02,480 Speaker 2: Arkie has been sticking to their opponents, I understand that 445 00:21:03,640 --> 00:21:05,400 Speaker 2: just not something I'm gonna do. I like the over 446 00:21:05,440 --> 00:21:07,240 Speaker 2: in this game. I think the Longhorns do the heavy 447 00:21:07,280 --> 00:21:09,359 Speaker 2: lifting here, but I think Arki's gonna be able to 448 00:21:09,359 --> 00:21:10,240 Speaker 2: put up points too. 449 00:21:10,440 --> 00:21:11,520 Speaker 3: They'll have some big plays. 450 00:21:11,520 --> 00:21:14,000 Speaker 2: We've seen Texas be bit by big plays over the 451 00:21:14,080 --> 00:21:16,399 Speaker 2: last few weeks as well, So yeah, over in this 452 00:21:16,480 --> 00:21:17,080 Speaker 2: game as well. 453 00:21:17,880 --> 00:21:20,639 Speaker 1: Man, I wish I could bet player profts because I 454 00:21:20,640 --> 00:21:23,880 Speaker 1: would be betting Ryan Wingo anytime touchdown, like my life 455 00:21:23,920 --> 00:21:26,480 Speaker 1: depended on it. He's had two straight games of finding 456 00:21:26,520 --> 00:21:28,359 Speaker 1: the an zone when he's been up and healthy, So 457 00:21:28,640 --> 00:21:30,399 Speaker 1: I think if they can get him involved, if they 458 00:21:30,440 --> 00:21:32,240 Speaker 1: can get a little more. We need some more efficiency 459 00:21:32,280 --> 00:21:34,320 Speaker 1: out of the run game, right, Like Arc just really 460 00:21:34,320 --> 00:21:36,320 Speaker 1: hasn't been that great on the ground this season, and 461 00:21:36,640 --> 00:21:39,000 Speaker 1: neither is Wisner, and like they've kind of turned away 462 00:21:39,040 --> 00:21:41,199 Speaker 1: from Baxter since he's been back. Maybe it's just not 463 00:21:41,240 --> 00:21:42,560 Speaker 1: one hundred percent, but I. 464 00:21:42,520 --> 00:21:43,000 Speaker 3: Think that's it. 465 00:21:43,080 --> 00:21:45,639 Speaker 2: I also think, you know, you replaced four starters on 466 00:21:45,680 --> 00:21:48,240 Speaker 2: the old line. It's just taking a little bit for 467 00:21:48,280 --> 00:21:49,800 Speaker 2: these guys to gel so. 468 00:21:50,000 --> 00:21:51,760 Speaker 1: A little bit. It's the whole season, brother. 469 00:21:51,880 --> 00:21:54,480 Speaker 3: Well, I mean it's gonna take more than a season. 470 00:21:54,880 --> 00:21:57,920 Speaker 2: Uh, But but we've we've seen Texas offense improved since 471 00:21:57,920 --> 00:22:00,880 Speaker 2: that second half in Missisi State. So the line has 472 00:22:00,880 --> 00:22:03,639 Speaker 2: gotten better, but it's not there yet and it's not 473 00:22:03,720 --> 00:22:04,359 Speaker 2: all the way home. 474 00:22:04,520 --> 00:22:07,280 Speaker 1: So if you guys want a chance to score, this, 475 00:22:07,440 --> 00:22:11,719 Speaker 1: signed Kyron Williams, Los Angeles rams helmet for free courtesy 476 00:22:11,760 --> 00:22:14,720 Speaker 1: of our friends over at Pristineauction dot com. All you 477 00:22:14,760 --> 00:22:17,080 Speaker 1: need to do is head of Bettingpros dot com slash contest, 478 00:22:17,160 --> 00:22:19,800 Speaker 1: complete the form and either a go ahead and download 479 00:22:19,840 --> 00:22:22,720 Speaker 1: the free Betting Pros app, leave a review for the 480 00:22:22,720 --> 00:22:26,520 Speaker 1: Betting Pros podcast or see subscribe to our social media channels. 481 00:22:26,680 --> 00:22:29,200 Speaker 1: We are at Betting Pros on x and TikTok and 482 00:22:29,240 --> 00:22:32,840 Speaker 1: at Betting Pros NFL on the Instagram. The more actions 483 00:22:32,880 --> 00:22:35,439 Speaker 1: you complete, the more entries you're gonna receive, and we 484 00:22:35,480 --> 00:22:37,760 Speaker 1: will announce a winner right here on the channel. So 485 00:22:37,800 --> 00:22:39,760 Speaker 1: make sure you ring the bell so you can be 486 00:22:39,800 --> 00:22:41,600 Speaker 1: alert and we have new shows up and to claim 487 00:22:41,640 --> 00:22:45,520 Speaker 1: your prize if you are that lucky winner. Sixteen and 488 00:22:45,520 --> 00:22:48,720 Speaker 1: a half point tickets for the thirteenth ranked Utah Utes 489 00:22:48,800 --> 00:22:51,560 Speaker 1: over the five and five Kansas State Wildcats are all 490 00:22:51,600 --> 00:22:55,000 Speaker 1: but gone. Right now, Kansas State's leading wide receiver Jase 491 00:22:55,080 --> 00:22:58,080 Speaker 1: Brown is out. Dylan Edwards, of course, their star running 492 00:22:58,119 --> 00:23:00,520 Speaker 1: back he has left the program, the U are at 493 00:23:00,560 --> 00:23:03,280 Speaker 1: full strength, and the BP projections right now, we have 494 00:23:03,359 --> 00:23:06,520 Speaker 1: this between fifteen and a half and sixteen points. But 495 00:23:06,680 --> 00:23:10,159 Speaker 1: I'm pretty confident in Utah. I already laid the number 496 00:23:10,280 --> 00:23:11,679 Speaker 1: here at sixteen and a half. 497 00:23:11,840 --> 00:23:15,760 Speaker 2: What say you, Bogs, I am I'm fairly confident in 498 00:23:15,880 --> 00:23:18,480 Speaker 2: Utah as well, and I'll have a ticket on this 499 00:23:18,560 --> 00:23:20,840 Speaker 2: game for sure. I did like it better at sixteen 500 00:23:20,880 --> 00:23:24,080 Speaker 2: and a half, obviously, I'm gonna say that. But Avery 501 00:23:24,160 --> 00:23:25,840 Speaker 2: Johnson can show up at any time to make this 502 00:23:25,920 --> 00:23:28,159 Speaker 2: game interesting. I just don't think that this is the 503 00:23:28,200 --> 00:23:30,800 Speaker 2: time to expect that to happen. After their best wide 504 00:23:30,840 --> 00:23:33,560 Speaker 2: receiver goes out for the season, right, So I just 505 00:23:34,240 --> 00:23:37,000 Speaker 2: that could happen. I just don't expect this to be 506 00:23:37,080 --> 00:23:40,560 Speaker 2: the game. I think this is another Utah stomping. We 507 00:23:40,640 --> 00:23:43,520 Speaker 2: are showing value towards k State. The bigger this line 508 00:23:43,600 --> 00:23:46,600 Speaker 2: gets too. We have a closer to fifteen and a half, right, 509 00:23:46,960 --> 00:23:50,359 Speaker 2: so we're already two points over. Even though I do 510 00:23:50,400 --> 00:23:52,600 Speaker 2: think this is going to be stomping, I'm becoming a 511 00:23:52,600 --> 00:23:56,240 Speaker 2: little more leery on it because Dan Pierre is still questionable. 512 00:23:56,320 --> 00:23:59,719 Speaker 2: He's going to start this game, right he's already said it. 513 00:24:00,000 --> 00:24:03,040 Speaker 2: The comments that he made yesterday was, look, I'm going 514 00:24:03,119 --> 00:24:05,040 Speaker 2: to go out there and live and die for my guys, 515 00:24:05,280 --> 00:24:07,520 Speaker 2: and you know you respect that. 516 00:24:07,520 --> 00:24:08,040 Speaker 3: That's great. 517 00:24:08,640 --> 00:24:12,200 Speaker 2: But if we have to go to Bird, Kansas State 518 00:24:12,240 --> 00:24:14,680 Speaker 2: turns the ball over very well on defense, very very 519 00:24:14,680 --> 00:24:17,640 Speaker 2: well the top twelve. So I just want to wait 520 00:24:17,680 --> 00:24:21,000 Speaker 2: till Saturday, and I want to see and make sure 521 00:24:21,080 --> 00:24:23,360 Speaker 2: damp Pier is playing and starting in this game. We've 522 00:24:23,359 --> 00:24:27,040 Speaker 2: got weird reports. It's college. The reporting is way more 523 00:24:27,119 --> 00:24:30,359 Speaker 2: spotty than it is in the NFL. So I just 524 00:24:30,400 --> 00:24:32,320 Speaker 2: want to wait till Saturday to take this game. So 525 00:24:32,359 --> 00:24:34,560 Speaker 2: that's what I'm gonna end up doing here, making sure 526 00:24:34,600 --> 00:24:36,760 Speaker 2: that damp Pier is going to be the starting quarterback 527 00:24:36,880 --> 00:24:38,560 Speaker 2: and we don't have to go down to Bird, because 528 00:24:39,320 --> 00:24:39,680 Speaker 2: I know. 529 00:24:39,600 --> 00:24:40,200 Speaker 3: You like Bird. 530 00:24:40,760 --> 00:24:41,400 Speaker 1: I like him. 531 00:24:41,560 --> 00:24:42,280 Speaker 3: He's very good. 532 00:24:43,280 --> 00:24:46,119 Speaker 2: Yeah, but but he is you know, a team that 533 00:24:46,240 --> 00:24:49,119 Speaker 2: can get turnovers can take advantage of a guy that 534 00:24:49,200 --> 00:24:52,000 Speaker 2: has to play a lot of the game for one 535 00:24:52,040 --> 00:24:54,840 Speaker 2: of his first few times. So I just want to 536 00:24:55,040 --> 00:24:57,240 Speaker 2: wait and make one hundred percent sure that damp Pier 537 00:24:57,320 --> 00:24:58,240 Speaker 2: is going to start this game. 538 00:24:58,400 --> 00:25:01,119 Speaker 3: He is, but I just want to wait for it. 539 00:25:01,160 --> 00:25:04,240 Speaker 2: That's all so, and if we do get any wishy 540 00:25:04,320 --> 00:25:06,240 Speaker 2: washing news, it may help the line come back down 541 00:25:06,320 --> 00:25:08,600 Speaker 2: under seventeen and a half to sixteen and a half, 542 00:25:08,640 --> 00:25:10,439 Speaker 2: which is better anyway. So I think if I do 543 00:25:10,480 --> 00:25:13,280 Speaker 2: take this, I will be altering it down to that 544 00:25:13,400 --> 00:25:16,000 Speaker 2: role anyway. But I do expect Utah to wing going away. 545 00:25:16,040 --> 00:25:18,680 Speaker 2: They've been doing it. They're playing their best football right 546 00:25:18,680 --> 00:25:20,119 Speaker 2: now and it shows. 547 00:25:20,640 --> 00:25:22,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, I would not want to be a Kansas State 548 00:25:22,560 --> 00:25:25,439 Speaker 1: defender in this one, Bogs, because I think this second 549 00:25:25,560 --> 00:25:28,280 Speaker 1: ranked Utah run game is just gonna get after them, 550 00:25:28,520 --> 00:25:30,240 Speaker 1: and I think by the end of it, being at 551 00:25:30,280 --> 00:25:34,120 Speaker 1: elevation out there in the great state of Utah, there's 552 00:25:34,160 --> 00:25:37,800 Speaker 1: gonna be like wind hands on these baby. Yeah, I 553 00:25:37,920 --> 00:25:40,440 Speaker 1: just think it's gonna be that. And at the same time, 554 00:25:40,520 --> 00:25:44,240 Speaker 1: like I don't really trust Avery Johnson anywhere outside of 555 00:25:44,320 --> 00:25:47,000 Speaker 1: Kansas State, and like, let alone here in one of 556 00:25:47,040 --> 00:25:50,240 Speaker 1: the best environments in college football. So yeah, you'd up, baby, 557 00:25:50,320 --> 00:25:53,399 Speaker 1: you'd up. I'm here for him, and let's keep it 558 00:25:53,440 --> 00:25:56,440 Speaker 1: moving where there's still time to get on the number 559 00:25:56,440 --> 00:26:00,680 Speaker 1: eighteen Michigan Wolverines as thirteen and a half points over 560 00:26:00,720 --> 00:26:03,639 Speaker 1: the four and six Maryland Terrapins injuries right now, this 561 00:26:03,680 --> 00:26:05,600 Speaker 1: could be a huge part of this game for Michigan. 562 00:26:05,800 --> 00:26:07,840 Speaker 1: Justice Haynes, their running back he's out the rest of 563 00:26:07,880 --> 00:26:10,120 Speaker 1: the regular season, won't be back for Ohio State next 564 00:26:10,160 --> 00:26:13,959 Speaker 1: week either, but also their running back Jordan Marshall questionable 565 00:26:14,000 --> 00:26:17,600 Speaker 1: now as well. Michigan's full back was seen practicing today 566 00:26:17,880 --> 00:26:20,120 Speaker 1: at the running back position, if that tells you anything. 567 00:26:20,359 --> 00:26:22,960 Speaker 1: We also know that starting left tackle Evan Link and 568 00:26:23,000 --> 00:26:26,480 Speaker 1: their tight end to Zach Marshall questionable for the Wolverines. 569 00:26:26,680 --> 00:26:29,960 Speaker 1: The Turps right now, they have missing a couple members 570 00:26:30,080 --> 00:26:33,080 Speaker 1: of the defensive two deep and also on the offensive 571 00:26:33,119 --> 00:26:36,000 Speaker 1: line in the depths, so low banged up there too, 572 00:26:36,040 --> 00:26:37,920 Speaker 1: but most of their starters should be good. The BP 573 00:26:38,080 --> 00:26:41,240 Speaker 1: projections right now, we came in closer to eleven points. 574 00:26:41,560 --> 00:26:43,919 Speaker 1: I made the mistake, Bogs. I had an early trigger 575 00:26:43,960 --> 00:26:46,840 Speaker 1: finger in the week before we got the Marshall report. 576 00:26:47,400 --> 00:26:50,240 Speaker 1: I'm maybe regretting laying this one, but I have a 577 00:26:50,280 --> 00:26:52,360 Speaker 1: thirteen and a half ticket. How do you feel about that? 578 00:26:52,880 --> 00:26:57,120 Speaker 2: I feel like Michigan should overwhelm Maryland right and Marshall's 579 00:26:57,160 --> 00:26:59,840 Speaker 2: out even with the running backs out. But I'll tell 580 00:26:59,840 --> 00:27:02,800 Speaker 2: you I'm not betting this right. And the reason is 581 00:27:02,840 --> 00:27:07,480 Speaker 2: because again massive look ahead spot for Michigan, and they 582 00:27:07,520 --> 00:27:09,879 Speaker 2: can win without some of their players playing in this 583 00:27:09,960 --> 00:27:13,440 Speaker 2: game because they're just so much better than Maryland, right. 584 00:27:13,600 --> 00:27:16,880 Speaker 2: And I think the real problem with Maryland is they're 585 00:27:16,880 --> 00:27:20,560 Speaker 2: completely one dimensional. They passed it a sixty five percent clip. 586 00:27:20,920 --> 00:27:23,240 Speaker 2: I think when you do that against a team with 587 00:27:23,359 --> 00:27:27,199 Speaker 2: the great defensive line like Michigan, you're asking for trouble 588 00:27:27,320 --> 00:27:29,760 Speaker 2: when you pass that much. So I just don't think 589 00:27:29,800 --> 00:27:33,400 Speaker 2: that's a good matchup offensively for Maryland against Michigan, and 590 00:27:33,480 --> 00:27:39,639 Speaker 2: it's really bad for Michigan against Maryland's defense. For Maryland's defense, 591 00:27:39,680 --> 00:27:42,320 Speaker 2: they have not been stopping the run at all this year. 592 00:27:42,359 --> 00:27:45,320 Speaker 2: This is still a run heavy team even down two backs. 593 00:27:45,560 --> 00:27:47,199 Speaker 2: The old line is what makes a difference. But you 594 00:27:47,240 --> 00:27:50,560 Speaker 2: also mentioned the injuries along the offensive line for Michigan 595 00:27:50,640 --> 00:27:54,439 Speaker 2: as well. So I'm gonna stay away because I have 596 00:27:54,520 --> 00:27:58,400 Speaker 2: no faith in Maryland. My thought process says the Wolverines, 597 00:27:58,480 --> 00:28:00,960 Speaker 2: but they have screwed me coming in going both ways 598 00:28:01,000 --> 00:28:03,879 Speaker 2: this year. So I'm not going to lay points in 599 00:28:03,920 --> 00:28:06,880 Speaker 2: this game because this is also a massive look at 600 00:28:06,920 --> 00:28:10,840 Speaker 2: spot towards Ohio State for Michigan, so I want to 601 00:28:10,880 --> 00:28:14,480 Speaker 2: get on board with Maryland. We're showing value towards Maryland. 602 00:28:14,880 --> 00:28:17,719 Speaker 2: I don't trust this offense at all, so can't do it. 603 00:28:17,760 --> 00:28:21,240 Speaker 2: I'm gonna stay away. My lean when looking over everything 604 00:28:21,280 --> 00:28:23,840 Speaker 2: would be Michigan and lay the points. But They've got 605 00:28:23,880 --> 00:28:26,840 Speaker 2: me both sides this year, so I'm not doing it again. 606 00:28:27,320 --> 00:28:28,800 Speaker 1: Yeah. I was kind of like you. I was the 607 00:28:28,840 --> 00:28:31,159 Speaker 1: cooler for Michigan last year. I lost a ton of 608 00:28:31,160 --> 00:28:34,160 Speaker 1: money on them, betting against them when I would face. 609 00:28:34,200 --> 00:28:36,040 Speaker 1: I think I was probably own four last year betting them. 610 00:28:36,080 --> 00:28:39,040 Speaker 1: I've only bet on one Michigan game this season. It 611 00:28:39,160 --> 00:28:41,640 Speaker 1: was the under in that Oklahoma game and we had 612 00:28:41,680 --> 00:28:45,080 Speaker 1: that hit room for us. Yeah, so let's see can 613 00:28:45,080 --> 00:28:46,680 Speaker 1: we make it to and oh? Can we can we 614 00:28:46,720 --> 00:28:49,160 Speaker 1: get there? Shron? We need your baby, we need you shrunk. 615 00:28:49,240 --> 00:28:51,600 Speaker 2: They're a better team at home. They should win this game. 616 00:28:51,640 --> 00:28:53,640 Speaker 2: I just I have or they're on the road here 617 00:28:53,640 --> 00:28:54,320 Speaker 2: actually at. 618 00:28:54,200 --> 00:28:55,239 Speaker 1: Mary are right they are? 619 00:28:55,320 --> 00:28:55,680 Speaker 2: Yeah? 620 00:28:55,800 --> 00:28:58,120 Speaker 3: Yeah, you know, god, this whole thing. 621 00:28:58,160 --> 00:29:01,280 Speaker 1: So I'm worried about College Park. Dude, College Parks like 622 00:29:01,680 --> 00:29:04,080 Speaker 1: they're the freaking JV of the Big Ten. Let's get 623 00:29:04,320 --> 00:29:07,320 Speaker 1: not Oklahoma, right, Yeah, that means for you too, wor 624 00:29:07,920 --> 00:29:12,240 Speaker 1: he's probably that's our that's our resident Maryland fan here at. 625 00:29:12,120 --> 00:29:14,520 Speaker 3: The Fantasy Rice staff. Yeah, he's our turps guy. 626 00:29:14,960 --> 00:29:18,520 Speaker 1: Yeah, better luck next time, buddy. The line has settled 627 00:29:18,600 --> 00:29:20,400 Speaker 1: just under a field goal for win. The seven and 628 00:29:20,440 --> 00:29:23,920 Speaker 1: three Pitt Panthers travel to Bobby Dodd Stadium to square 629 00:29:24,000 --> 00:29:26,560 Speaker 1: up with the number fifteen Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets in 630 00:29:26,680 --> 00:29:30,520 Speaker 1: prime time. Pitt still has questionable their safety cruise of 631 00:29:30,560 --> 00:29:34,120 Speaker 1: Brookings Tech is at full strength BP projections right now, 632 00:29:34,440 --> 00:29:36,560 Speaker 1: we are right in line with the book. So I 633 00:29:36,560 --> 00:29:38,520 Speaker 1: don't want to play in this one, Scotty, do you? 634 00:29:39,080 --> 00:29:39,360 Speaker 3: Yeah? 635 00:29:39,560 --> 00:29:43,040 Speaker 2: Points man over over over, Like I said before, Yeah, 636 00:29:43,080 --> 00:29:46,120 Speaker 2: I would lean towards Georgia Tech at home in this game. 637 00:29:46,200 --> 00:29:49,400 Speaker 2: But Tech's two highest point totals allowed of coming the 638 00:29:49,480 --> 00:29:52,280 Speaker 2: last two weeks that they play. Yeah that Pitt has 639 00:29:52,280 --> 00:29:55,080 Speaker 2: scored thirty one plus in every non Notre Dame game 640 00:29:55,240 --> 00:29:59,920 Speaker 2: since Hischel took over a quarterback. Pitt has been strong again. 641 00:30:00,000 --> 00:30:03,440 Speaker 2: It's the run, but awful against the pass, and we've 642 00:30:03,480 --> 00:30:06,600 Speaker 2: seen Haines King takeover as a passer win needed. Pit 643 00:30:06,720 --> 00:30:09,880 Speaker 2: is one dimensional as an extreme pass heavy team, but 644 00:30:09,960 --> 00:30:13,719 Speaker 2: Georgia Tech has been awful against the pass. They've been 645 00:30:13,720 --> 00:30:16,640 Speaker 2: bad against the pass, and they've been terrible at putting 646 00:30:16,640 --> 00:30:19,320 Speaker 2: pressure on quarterbacks. They're eighty ninth and sacks per game 647 00:30:19,520 --> 00:30:22,479 Speaker 2: one hundred and thirteenth in PFF pass rush grade. I 648 00:30:22,600 --> 00:30:24,480 Speaker 2: just think we're gonna have a lot of points from 649 00:30:24,520 --> 00:30:27,520 Speaker 2: both of these teams in this game. Now, Pitt plays 650 00:30:27,560 --> 00:30:32,160 Speaker 2: faster twenty seventh pace, sixty ninth pace for Georgia Tech. 651 00:30:32,400 --> 00:30:36,960 Speaker 2: But we've seen Haines King put up some big totals here, 652 00:30:37,000 --> 00:30:41,200 Speaker 2: and Georgia Tech is top twenty in ten plus yard 653 00:30:41,200 --> 00:30:43,520 Speaker 2: plays and big chunk plays. They're seventeenth with one hundred 654 00:30:43,520 --> 00:30:46,440 Speaker 2: and sixty one this year. So I just think we're 655 00:30:46,440 --> 00:30:48,560 Speaker 2: gonna see both sides of this game be able to 656 00:30:48,560 --> 00:30:49,720 Speaker 2: score and put up points. 657 00:30:49,880 --> 00:30:50,960 Speaker 3: So I'm gonna go with the over. 658 00:30:51,600 --> 00:30:54,640 Speaker 1: Okay, Yeah, I love Georgia Tech. I mean I don't 659 00:30:54,640 --> 00:30:56,520 Speaker 1: need to say that. I think everyone who listens to 660 00:30:56,560 --> 00:30:57,320 Speaker 1: any episodes. 661 00:30:57,360 --> 00:30:59,280 Speaker 2: No, I don't think I said the total. It's sixty 662 00:30:59,280 --> 00:31:00,880 Speaker 2: two and a half. By the way, that is the total, 663 00:31:00,920 --> 00:31:04,000 Speaker 2: so it's high. Okay, I'm still I think this is 664 00:31:04,000 --> 00:31:06,960 Speaker 2: gonna be like a thirty five thirty five going to 665 00:31:07,000 --> 00:31:09,400 Speaker 2: overtime type of game, So it. 666 00:31:09,360 --> 00:31:12,160 Speaker 1: Could be it could be the only reason I get 667 00:31:12,240 --> 00:31:15,080 Speaker 1: any concern And I don't have any issues with Georgia 668 00:31:15,120 --> 00:31:18,120 Speaker 1: Tech getting to the point total they need to to 669 00:31:18,160 --> 00:31:21,240 Speaker 1: clear this. It's just it feels like every year, Bogs. 670 00:31:21,360 --> 00:31:24,040 Speaker 1: There's just this cycle with the Panthers where we start 671 00:31:24,080 --> 00:31:28,640 Speaker 1: out the season not much expectations. We slowly start getting 672 00:31:28,640 --> 00:31:31,120 Speaker 1: a little bit momentum, and then it's like by the 673 00:31:31,200 --> 00:31:33,520 Speaker 1: time we get to November, there's a little bit of hype. Right, 674 00:31:33,520 --> 00:31:35,440 Speaker 1: people in the city are starting to take a little 675 00:31:35,440 --> 00:31:37,840 Speaker 1: bit of notice. Right, the Penguins might not be getting 676 00:31:37,880 --> 00:31:40,840 Speaker 1: alligate super hot, the Pirates are done in their garbage anyways, 677 00:31:41,160 --> 00:31:43,160 Speaker 1: and we get to this point that people start caring 678 00:31:43,160 --> 00:31:45,680 Speaker 1: about pitt football and then every single year we get 679 00:31:45,760 --> 00:31:46,240 Speaker 1: let down. 680 00:31:46,320 --> 00:31:48,960 Speaker 2: Dude, So it's just a Notre Dame game. They're they're 681 00:31:49,040 --> 00:31:50,440 Speaker 2: locked in in these accies. 682 00:31:50,560 --> 00:31:53,360 Speaker 1: Maybe do but last year it was SMU. Remember I 683 00:31:53,520 --> 00:31:56,160 Speaker 1: laid so much money on them last year against SMU, 684 00:31:56,280 --> 00:31:57,000 Speaker 1: Like in a very. 685 00:31:56,880 --> 00:32:00,000 Speaker 3: Simple spot here, SMU was a playoff team last year, 686 00:32:00,400 --> 00:32:01,760 Speaker 3: Jordia texa playoff team. 687 00:32:01,840 --> 00:32:02,120 Speaker 1: Dog. 688 00:32:02,600 --> 00:32:06,640 Speaker 2: Yeah, but this pit is way better than last year's Pit. 689 00:32:06,800 --> 00:32:09,600 Speaker 2: I think just what they've done on offense since Heinschel 690 00:32:09,680 --> 00:32:13,040 Speaker 2: took over, you know, unless I don't. I just don't 691 00:32:13,080 --> 00:32:15,200 Speaker 2: think Georgia Tech is gonna be able to mirror Notre 692 00:32:15,280 --> 00:32:16,000 Speaker 2: Dame's defense. 693 00:32:16,080 --> 00:32:18,720 Speaker 3: That's all. There's a reason it's two and a half points. Man. 694 00:32:19,000 --> 00:32:21,000 Speaker 3: This could easily be a swing one way or the other. 695 00:32:21,400 --> 00:32:23,680 Speaker 1: It could be. Yeah, I'm just saying the letdown for 696 00:32:23,760 --> 00:32:25,880 Speaker 1: Pitt is coming outside of the Kenny Pickett year. 697 00:32:26,040 --> 00:32:28,680 Speaker 3: This is you know, this is number time when it's 698 00:32:28,720 --> 00:32:29,720 Speaker 3: thirty five to thirty five. 699 00:32:29,760 --> 00:32:33,000 Speaker 1: Okay, okay, alright, it sounds good to be one more 700 00:32:33,040 --> 00:32:36,240 Speaker 1: game for you here, and it's the number eleven BYU Cougars. 701 00:32:36,560 --> 00:32:39,040 Speaker 1: They still stand as two and a half point road 702 00:32:39,080 --> 00:32:43,560 Speaker 1: favorites against the seven and three Cincinnati Bearcats. BYU's flanker 703 00:32:43,600 --> 00:32:47,440 Speaker 1: wide receiver Cody Hagen, their RB two Siona Moa, and 704 00:32:47,520 --> 00:32:51,480 Speaker 1: some two deep cornerbacks all questionable coming in sincey right 705 00:32:51,480 --> 00:32:55,120 Speaker 1: now according to the reports, coming in expected to actually 706 00:32:55,200 --> 00:32:58,120 Speaker 1: get back Evan Pryor, their talented running back. Also their 707 00:32:58,160 --> 00:33:02,600 Speaker 1: flanker wide receiver Caleb Goode. He is questionable. BP projections 708 00:33:02,720 --> 00:33:05,600 Speaker 1: we like BYU by three and a half so I'll 709 00:33:05,600 --> 00:33:07,720 Speaker 1: gladly take them on the two and a half in 710 00:33:07,800 --> 00:33:09,960 Speaker 1: this spot. Is this a little squad ride to round 711 00:33:10,000 --> 00:33:10,840 Speaker 1: us out in here? Bugs? 712 00:33:10,960 --> 00:33:13,760 Speaker 2: Yes, absolutely, I think since he is still in this 713 00:33:13,960 --> 00:33:17,320 Speaker 2: right especially with prior back. But how can we pick 714 00:33:17,360 --> 00:33:20,760 Speaker 2: against BYU at this point? Once again, the time and 715 00:33:20,800 --> 00:33:24,640 Speaker 2: possession for since he being dead last, BYU being fifteenth, 716 00:33:24,960 --> 00:33:27,040 Speaker 2: it's hard to bet against that, dude. I mean, I 717 00:33:27,080 --> 00:33:30,120 Speaker 2: just think that since he maybe they're able to run here. 718 00:33:30,720 --> 00:33:34,360 Speaker 2: But I think the bigger problem is stopping BYU's run game. 719 00:33:34,840 --> 00:33:37,040 Speaker 2: So I think they're gonna run down since his throat, 720 00:33:37,080 --> 00:33:39,640 Speaker 2: They're going to control the clock, and once BYU gets 721 00:33:39,680 --> 00:33:42,600 Speaker 2: that lead, they're gonna be able to force the Bearcats 722 00:33:42,640 --> 00:33:44,680 Speaker 2: to throw, and they're gonna be able to pin their 723 00:33:44,720 --> 00:33:47,560 Speaker 2: ears back and get after source B since since he 724 00:33:47,680 --> 00:33:50,840 Speaker 2: is first in sacks allowed. But remember their time and 725 00:33:50,880 --> 00:33:53,600 Speaker 2: possession is also dead last. So we're just talking about 726 00:33:53,680 --> 00:33:58,000 Speaker 2: straight up numbers. In past block grade, they're sixtieth, right 727 00:33:58,320 --> 00:34:01,560 Speaker 2: BYU is kind of similar in pass rush they're twenty 728 00:34:01,600 --> 00:34:04,640 Speaker 2: six and sacks sixty ninth and pass rush grade, but 729 00:34:04,720 --> 00:34:07,680 Speaker 2: they're still thirteenth in scoring defense with a much harder 730 00:34:07,720 --> 00:34:10,279 Speaker 2: strength of schedule than what since he has had so far. 731 00:34:10,400 --> 00:34:12,239 Speaker 3: So I think BYU gets a lead. 732 00:34:12,320 --> 00:34:15,120 Speaker 2: I think they exhaust the Sincy defense and I think 733 00:34:15,320 --> 00:34:18,480 Speaker 2: they start to impose their will in the second half. 734 00:34:18,560 --> 00:34:21,960 Speaker 2: So I like the cougars here in the battle of 735 00:34:22,160 --> 00:34:25,120 Speaker 2: cats or bear cats or whatever we're doing. So, yeah, 736 00:34:25,200 --> 00:34:27,600 Speaker 2: gimme BYU again. I'm gonna lay the points. 737 00:34:28,520 --> 00:34:32,160 Speaker 1: I think as the season has gone on, the Big 738 00:34:32,200 --> 00:34:34,919 Speaker 1: Twelve has become a lot more predictable than I think 739 00:34:35,000 --> 00:34:36,800 Speaker 1: some of these other conferences a little bit. It's like 740 00:34:36,840 --> 00:34:39,719 Speaker 1: you have that top shelf of Texas Tech, and then 741 00:34:39,760 --> 00:34:43,120 Speaker 1: you got BYU, you got Utah, and then since he's 742 00:34:43,120 --> 00:34:45,319 Speaker 1: in that third shelf right with the Iowa States, the 743 00:34:45,320 --> 00:34:48,120 Speaker 1: TCUs of the world, and I think that's right where 744 00:34:48,160 --> 00:34:49,880 Speaker 1: they belong. I think BYU is going to prove that 745 00:34:49,920 --> 00:34:52,160 Speaker 1: on Saturday, So looking forward to that one. 746 00:34:52,360 --> 00:34:54,239 Speaker 2: Yeah, the Big twelve was the hardest to figure out 747 00:34:54,239 --> 00:34:55,879 Speaker 2: for the first six weeks, but now I think it's 748 00:34:55,920 --> 00:34:56,359 Speaker 2: pretty good. 749 00:34:56,400 --> 00:34:58,920 Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree, I agree, BOXS. Let's get out of 750 00:34:58,960 --> 00:35:00,680 Speaker 1: here on best bet, that's what do you think? 751 00:35:00,880 --> 00:35:02,799 Speaker 3: Yeah, let's do it all right, what do you have 752 00:35:02,880 --> 00:35:03,439 Speaker 3: for us this week? 753 00:35:03,480 --> 00:35:06,120 Speaker 1: What is the best bet for mister Scott Bogman in 754 00:35:06,200 --> 00:35:10,000 Speaker 1: week thirteen of the season, only two weeks left, folks 755 00:35:10,000 --> 00:35:11,600 Speaker 1: of the Reggie what we got. 756 00:35:11,480 --> 00:35:14,120 Speaker 2: I'm gonna give you two, all right, We're gonna go 757 00:35:14,160 --> 00:35:16,279 Speaker 2: with this Vandy over thirty one and a half. I'm 758 00:35:16,320 --> 00:35:19,000 Speaker 2: just not buying in a Kentucky and then playing up. 759 00:35:19,320 --> 00:35:22,759 Speaker 2: I think that's the schedule. I think two teams quit. 760 00:35:23,040 --> 00:35:25,200 Speaker 2: I think Texas isn't that good. We talked about that 761 00:35:25,400 --> 00:35:27,200 Speaker 2: Vandy over thirty one and a half I really like, 762 00:35:27,480 --> 00:35:29,200 Speaker 2: and then we're just gonna go back to the well 763 00:35:29,200 --> 00:35:31,920 Speaker 2: in North Texas over thirty six and a half at Rice, right, 764 00:35:32,480 --> 00:35:36,040 Speaker 2: they just keep putting up massive amount of points. So 765 00:35:36,760 --> 00:35:41,320 Speaker 2: Rice is okay on defense, better on defense than offense maybe, 766 00:35:41,400 --> 00:35:44,880 Speaker 2: But I just I don't think they're gonna be I 767 00:35:44,920 --> 00:35:47,480 Speaker 2: don't think anything is stopping North Texas right now. So 768 00:35:47,600 --> 00:35:51,120 Speaker 2: this offense is putting up a ton of points. You know, 769 00:35:52,160 --> 00:35:55,279 Speaker 2: if they are the representative, they'll probably get crushed I think, 770 00:35:55,440 --> 00:35:57,840 Speaker 2: you know, by a team that is way more physical. 771 00:35:58,120 --> 00:36:00,640 Speaker 2: But right now they're doing it both in the run 772 00:36:00,680 --> 00:36:03,560 Speaker 2: and the pass game, and they're just stacking points. So 773 00:36:03,960 --> 00:36:05,960 Speaker 2: give me North Texas over thirty six and a half 774 00:36:06,040 --> 00:36:06,439 Speaker 2: at Rice. 775 00:36:06,920 --> 00:36:09,359 Speaker 1: That's so funny that you went with that, because one 776 00:36:09,400 --> 00:36:11,440 Speaker 1: of my favorite bets that I almost did for this 777 00:36:11,960 --> 00:36:14,880 Speaker 1: is North Texas a Rice over fifty five and a half. 778 00:36:15,120 --> 00:36:18,200 Speaker 1: Because I'm with you on everything you're saying about North Texas. 779 00:36:18,200 --> 00:36:20,799 Speaker 1: The one thing I'll say, Rice actually a top five 780 00:36:20,920 --> 00:36:24,319 Speaker 1: rushing team right now per game, and when you take 781 00:36:24,360 --> 00:36:27,560 Speaker 1: that into account, they're going against North Texas, They're one 782 00:36:27,600 --> 00:36:30,319 Speaker 1: week spot on defense is really against the run. They're 783 00:36:30,360 --> 00:36:32,960 Speaker 1: outside the top one hundred in rushing defense. So I 784 00:36:33,040 --> 00:36:34,640 Speaker 1: think Rice is also going to be able to put 785 00:36:34,719 --> 00:36:36,720 Speaker 1: up some points in this one. So I'm just taking 786 00:36:36,719 --> 00:36:39,200 Speaker 1: the over in general and hoping for all the points, 787 00:36:39,200 --> 00:36:41,720 Speaker 1: but I don't hate the number just for North Texas 788 00:36:41,719 --> 00:36:43,439 Speaker 1: as well. I was also considering that, So. 789 00:36:43,480 --> 00:36:45,120 Speaker 2: The only reason I didn't do that is because I 790 00:36:45,160 --> 00:36:48,880 Speaker 2: did it against Navy. And yes, yeah, the running the 791 00:36:49,239 --> 00:36:52,520 Speaker 2: running defense is kind of mediocre for North Texas, but 792 00:36:52,560 --> 00:36:55,080 Speaker 2: the tackling is still best in the country. The tackle 793 00:36:55,080 --> 00:36:58,080 Speaker 2: grade is still number one, so I considered that. I 794 00:36:58,080 --> 00:37:00,319 Speaker 2: think that's another good bet because I think think North 795 00:37:00,360 --> 00:37:02,319 Speaker 2: Texas goes forty five anyway, so as long as we 796 00:37:02,400 --> 00:37:05,480 Speaker 2: just get two touchdowns from Rice, I think we're okay, 797 00:37:05,560 --> 00:37:07,880 Speaker 2: but I just I don't know if we're getting it okay. 798 00:37:08,360 --> 00:37:11,840 Speaker 1: Yeah, I feel you there for my best bet, I 799 00:37:11,880 --> 00:37:15,280 Speaker 1: gotta do it. I gotta fade the home team Nebraska 800 00:37:15,320 --> 00:37:18,440 Speaker 1: plus ten and a half against Penn State, and I'm 801 00:37:18,440 --> 00:37:21,520 Speaker 1: also going with the money line Sprinkle plus two eighty five. 802 00:37:22,320 --> 00:37:24,360 Speaker 1: I don't think in all the years of my college 803 00:37:24,400 --> 00:37:26,520 Speaker 1: football betting career, I don't think I've ever seen a 804 00:37:26,560 --> 00:37:29,000 Speaker 1: line that made less sense than this one. I don't 805 00:37:29,000 --> 00:37:31,480 Speaker 1: get how Penn State, who is three and seven ats 806 00:37:31,600 --> 00:37:34,120 Speaker 1: five and six straight up. Their only wins box have 807 00:37:34,160 --> 00:37:38,080 Speaker 1: come against G five opponents and also Michigan State, so 808 00:37:38,160 --> 00:37:40,160 Speaker 1: I don't understand how they're laying ten and a half 809 00:37:40,239 --> 00:37:43,160 Speaker 1: in this spot right now. It feels like it's Ktron 810 00:37:43,200 --> 00:37:45,720 Speaker 1: Allen in the backfield and they're going to DeVonta Ross 811 00:37:45,719 --> 00:37:47,760 Speaker 1: as much as they can out wide, and that's pretty 812 00:37:47,800 --> 00:37:48,960 Speaker 1: much the entire offense here. 813 00:37:49,200 --> 00:37:51,279 Speaker 3: Do we have any weather in that game or is 814 00:37:51,280 --> 00:37:52,000 Speaker 3: that clear. 815 00:37:52,120 --> 00:37:54,560 Speaker 1: As of earlier this week? Because I actually earlier in 816 00:37:54,560 --> 00:37:57,800 Speaker 1: the day I need to put up my new internet satellite, 817 00:37:58,120 --> 00:38:01,480 Speaker 1: So we are looking good early in the week. It 818 00:38:01,560 --> 00:38:03,399 Speaker 1: might be a little bit of rain here and there. 819 00:38:03,440 --> 00:38:05,200 Speaker 1: But we're at least going to be warmer than we 820 00:38:05,239 --> 00:38:06,879 Speaker 1: have been up here in Pa. So like at least 821 00:38:06,880 --> 00:38:08,360 Speaker 1: probably like in the forties or fifties. 822 00:38:08,880 --> 00:38:11,480 Speaker 2: Yeah, because I mean, I think the key for Penn 823 00:38:11,560 --> 00:38:14,799 Speaker 2: State is throwing the ball down field. Now, I'll say 824 00:38:14,920 --> 00:38:18,879 Speaker 2: Nebraska has been great in past defense anyway, so that 825 00:38:18,920 --> 00:38:21,000 Speaker 2: may not be the way to beat Nebraska. 826 00:38:21,280 --> 00:38:22,360 Speaker 3: But let's see. 827 00:38:22,719 --> 00:38:27,560 Speaker 2: Yeah, very clear, cold, well cold for me, forty thirty seven, 828 00:38:27,640 --> 00:38:28,960 Speaker 2: thirty six thirty five. 829 00:38:29,719 --> 00:38:31,319 Speaker 1: That's a nice warm day off fenjured right now. 830 00:38:31,520 --> 00:38:35,080 Speaker 2: No wind at all. That wind is what concerns me. So, 831 00:38:35,600 --> 00:38:38,640 Speaker 2: no wind at all. So if Penn State can sling 832 00:38:38,719 --> 00:38:42,239 Speaker 2: that rock down field, it's harder against Nebraska than it 833 00:38:42,320 --> 00:38:45,360 Speaker 2: is most teams. So I'm I understand that you've watched 834 00:38:45,360 --> 00:38:48,240 Speaker 2: more Penn State than anybody. I just I do wonder 835 00:38:48,239 --> 00:38:50,600 Speaker 2: if you're being a self hating Penn State fan a 836 00:38:50,600 --> 00:38:52,400 Speaker 2: little bit for this one. 837 00:38:52,440 --> 00:38:55,640 Speaker 1: The key to this matchup for me is Ethan Grunkmeyer, 838 00:38:55,680 --> 00:38:58,520 Speaker 1: our new quarterback. He's averaging just under one hundred and 839 00:38:58,560 --> 00:39:02,400 Speaker 1: fifty passing yards per game four starts, three passing touchdowns, 840 00:39:02,400 --> 00:39:05,359 Speaker 1: four interceptions. He did look better last week against Michigan State, 841 00:39:05,360 --> 00:39:09,600 Speaker 1: but everyone really does. And for me, it's Nebraska's passing defense. 842 00:39:09,640 --> 00:39:12,080 Speaker 1: They're the third best in the country. I don't think 843 00:39:12,120 --> 00:39:13,759 Speaker 1: they're gonna be able to open up here. And if 844 00:39:13,760 --> 00:39:16,600 Speaker 1: I'm John Butler, I'm stacking the freaking box, man, I'm 845 00:39:16,640 --> 00:39:20,520 Speaker 1: stacking the box. I'm playing man and saying Ross Pena, 846 00:39:20,560 --> 00:39:22,839 Speaker 1: go beat me. Because they haven't beat many people this year. 847 00:39:22,840 --> 00:39:24,959 Speaker 1: So I'm saying, hey, I'm coming right at k Tron 848 00:39:25,000 --> 00:39:27,200 Speaker 1: Allen right down the pipe, and I need someone to 849 00:39:27,200 --> 00:39:29,759 Speaker 1: stop me. And I just don't think they can, Like, dude, like, 850 00:39:29,800 --> 00:39:31,600 Speaker 1: say what you want about in Nebraska. Are they a 851 00:39:31,600 --> 00:39:35,120 Speaker 1: great team? No, But at the same time, they've beaten Northwestern, 852 00:39:35,400 --> 00:39:38,200 Speaker 1: they've beaten UCLA two teams, Penn State loss too, and 853 00:39:38,320 --> 00:39:40,319 Speaker 1: also they beat since he back in Week one, which 854 00:39:40,320 --> 00:39:42,040 Speaker 1: is a pretty good win for him. They're better in 855 00:39:42,040 --> 00:39:45,200 Speaker 1: total defense, they're better in total offense, better in turnover margin. 856 00:39:45,400 --> 00:39:48,080 Speaker 1: Matt roll this season two to zero as a dog, 857 00:39:48,560 --> 00:39:51,080 Speaker 1: also one to ozer as a road dog. So ten 858 00:39:51,120 --> 00:39:54,520 Speaker 1: plus points for Nebraska is just a gift I think 859 00:39:54,560 --> 00:39:56,600 Speaker 1: from the gambling gods, and even plus two eighty five 860 00:39:56,640 --> 00:39:58,439 Speaker 1: on the money line feels like a great deal. 861 00:39:58,560 --> 00:40:01,360 Speaker 2: It is Latief. I was looking up his name. I 862 00:40:01,640 --> 00:40:03,520 Speaker 2: forgot his name because Raola is out for the year. 863 00:40:03,960 --> 00:40:05,959 Speaker 2: So it is the backup quarterback here. 864 00:40:06,239 --> 00:40:07,600 Speaker 1: I'm okay, I'm okay with that. 865 00:40:08,040 --> 00:40:10,520 Speaker 3: It is at Penn State. I'm not messing that up yet. 866 00:40:10,560 --> 00:40:11,760 Speaker 1: Yep, we're in a happy valley. 867 00:40:13,160 --> 00:40:14,759 Speaker 3: Okay, all right. 868 00:40:15,360 --> 00:40:18,200 Speaker 1: I don't know, man, Rayola never really impressed. He hasn't 869 00:40:18,239 --> 00:40:19,359 Speaker 1: proved to be the one. 870 00:40:19,520 --> 00:40:22,600 Speaker 2: He's not good. Yeah, you're right about that for sure. 871 00:40:22,719 --> 00:40:25,840 Speaker 2: So look, you know Penn State better than me, so 872 00:40:25,960 --> 00:40:27,320 Speaker 2: I'll ride with you on this one. 873 00:40:27,640 --> 00:40:30,520 Speaker 1: I appreciate that. Here we go, Here we go. Boys. 874 00:40:30,680 --> 00:40:32,480 Speaker 1: I hate to do it, but yeah, it's my biggest 875 00:40:32,520 --> 00:40:34,239 Speaker 1: bet of the season since I think Week two when 876 00:40:34,239 --> 00:40:35,040 Speaker 1: I was on Notre Dame. 877 00:40:35,320 --> 00:40:36,680 Speaker 3: Oh okay, let's go. 878 00:40:36,960 --> 00:40:39,759 Speaker 1: Yes, We'll see what plays out there that is going 879 00:40:39,840 --> 00:40:41,880 Speaker 1: to do it though for us on this episode of 880 00:40:41,920 --> 00:40:44,279 Speaker 1: the Betting Pros College Football Show still to come later 881 00:40:44,320 --> 00:40:46,759 Speaker 1: this week and every week is Bog's best bets and 882 00:40:46,840 --> 00:40:49,319 Speaker 1: player props. Let us know down in the comments below 883 00:40:49,360 --> 00:40:51,480 Speaker 1: your favorite Week twelve picks. We want to hear from you, 884 00:40:51,680 --> 00:40:53,520 Speaker 1: and while you're here, make sure you're smashing that like 885 00:40:53,560 --> 00:40:56,440 Speaker 1: button subscribing to the channel. If you're new for Scott 886 00:40:56,480 --> 00:40:59,160 Speaker 1: Bogman set will Cock take care of y'all. 887 00:40:59,200 --> 00:41:01,840 Speaker 5: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you 888 00:41:01,880 --> 00:41:04,239 Speaker 5: love the show, the best freeway to support us is 889 00:41:04,280 --> 00:41:07,680 Speaker 5: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 890 00:41:07,960 --> 00:41:10,600 Speaker 5: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 891 00:41:10,680 --> 00:41:14,320 Speaker 5: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube 892 00:41:14,400 --> 00:41:16,880 Speaker 5: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros