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Speaker 1: What's up guys? How are you welcome into a Thursday

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Speaker 1: morning edition? Yes, I know it's Thursday, not Wednesday or Wednesday.

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Speaker 1: Wdent's Thursday. It is Thursday. My name is Matt Parolt.

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Speaker 1: How are you welcome in here to the Daily Juice podcast,

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Speaker 1: always being brought to by bet MGM. Always found on

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Speaker 1: betting pros dot com wherever get your audio podcasts. YouTube

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Speaker 1: for the video, go search Betting Pros for that. The

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Speaker 1: ten dollars offer ten bucks to win one hundred and

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Speaker 1: fifty dollars on any event. Use that promo Go Juice

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Speaker 1: one fifty at BETMGM, BETANBM dot com, or wherever you

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Speaker 1: have bet mgm app available to you. So I made

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Speaker 1: two mistakes last night. One I knew it was the

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Speaker 1: I said said the wrong day last night. And secondly

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Speaker 1: I said that the forty nine ers and the Cowboys

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Speaker 1: said never played before. Obviously that was dead wrong. It's

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Speaker 1: the wild card round. I believe that's that was. But yeah,

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Speaker 1: that was really stupid. Sorry, they've played for a long time,

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Speaker 1: we know that. So oh not good dumb dumb dumb

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Speaker 1: Sorry sorry sorry, not good for there. But last night

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Speaker 1: one in one, no blood, no foul one in one

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Speaker 1: on the NFL Hockey's one went over, one went under.

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Speaker 1: Toronto had so many chances it was a one nothing score.

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Speaker 1: They should have scored. The goaltender for the Coyotes still

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Speaker 1: on his head, so we go one and one there

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Speaker 1: on that. All right. So I've got four plays, two

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Speaker 1: in hockey and two in the NBA for you guys

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Speaker 1: here today. And I've got my first or yeah, my

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Speaker 1: first Saturday bet for the NFL to give you guys

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Speaker 1: coming up. So there are I've given out two of

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Speaker 1: these already in the discord channels, so if you guys

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Speaker 1: have already bet them, then they may be a bit redundant.

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Speaker 1: But I gave them out early because I didn't want

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Speaker 1: the number to move on you guys. I wanted to

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Speaker 1: give you guys the opportunity to jump on it immediately,

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Speaker 1: for you guys to have that. So here is where

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Speaker 1: we're going to go today, all right, hockey, basketball, and

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Speaker 1: one NFL football, So a little bit of a larger

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Speaker 1: slate than normal. But because it's Thursday and there's no football,

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Speaker 1: I thought, you know, maybe we get involved with a

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Speaker 1: little bit more than normal and then Friday will be light.

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Speaker 1: Today right now, we're light on Friday, and then Saturday

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Speaker 1: Sunday Monday we get heavy player props and all sorts

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Speaker 1: of fun stuff getting into it for the last full

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Speaker 1: weekend three day weekend of football Saturday Sunday Monday for

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Speaker 1: Super wild Card weekend. All right, let's start with hockey

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Speaker 1: because we're going to go back to the first period

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Speaker 1: overs here for two bets, Sabers and the Nashville Predators.

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Speaker 1: All right, so the Sabers in their last game hit

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Speaker 1: We bet Nashville in their last game. We should have

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Speaker 1: bet the Sabers in their last game. They got smoked

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Speaker 1: by the Timpa Bay Lightning Pred's got that goal late

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Speaker 1: or gave up that goal late. I can't remember which

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Speaker 1: one it was, but it was too nothing in that

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Speaker 1: National Predator game that we bet two days ago. So

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Speaker 1: on the year, the Buffalo Sabers are nineteen and sixteen

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Speaker 1: to the over first period. Nashville for their Predators are

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Speaker 1: eighteen eighteen and one to the over. But because these

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Speaker 1: overs when two and one last night, if we bet

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Speaker 1: all three, Montreal and Boston went over, so we didn't

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Speaker 1: bet that we should have all three of those games.

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Speaker 1: First period had opportunities to go over. It went two

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Speaker 1: and one, so another winning night if you bet all

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Speaker 1: of them. I'm just looking around for options. Teams that

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Speaker 1: have poor goaltending, teams that give up goals, teams that

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Speaker 1: can score goals. I'm going over one and a half

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Speaker 1: goals here for Buffalo and Nashville at minus one twenty

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Speaker 1: five for a half a unit. All right. Second bet

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Speaker 1: Columbus and Carolina. These two teams are extremely extremely good.

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Speaker 1: Columbus twenty three, ten and one, all right, it's the

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Speaker 1: best nine over the limit. Is the best number over

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Speaker 1: the limit in terms of units so far here in

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Speaker 1: the NHL. Huge huge number there for the Columbus Blue Jackets,

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Speaker 1: and they're taking on the Carolina Hurricanes. Carolina on the

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Speaker 1: year is a little bit under five hundred sixteen and seventeen,

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Speaker 1: so not great there. But because they're almost at five

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Speaker 1: hundred and they're taking on one of, if not the

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Speaker 1: best first period over team in the NHL, being the

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Speaker 1: Columbus Blue Jackets, we're gonna go ahead here and we're

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Speaker 1: gonna jump in with this bet for a half a

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Speaker 1: unit at minus one thirty five. Both those bets can

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Speaker 1: be found at bet MGM so over one and a

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Speaker 1: half goals, Buffalo, Nashville over one and a half goals

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Speaker 1: for Columbus and Carolina. All right, second bet half a

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Speaker 1: unit on Steph Curry in his game, big game against

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Speaker 1: the Milwaukee Bucks for three point shooting. Now, this has

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Speaker 1: been a very big conversation point with Dave Sheripan and

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Speaker 1: myself over the last couple of days. The books are

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Speaker 1: being absolutely ridiculous with this pricing. They're being predatory in

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Speaker 1: some ways with this pricing. It is right now plus

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Speaker 1: one twenty at DraftKings over four and a half made

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Speaker 1: threes for Steph Curry. The under is minus one sixty.

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Speaker 1: That is an unreal, not fair pricing for a prop.

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Speaker 1: It's just out of control for a prop. But the

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Speaker 1: reason why it's so heavily juiced to the unders because

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Speaker 1: they keep on getting hammered when it comes to people

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Speaker 1: betting on Steph Curry. Under Steph Curry right now is

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Speaker 1: in the worst shooting slump of his NBA career. Steph

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Speaker 1: Curry in twenty twenty two is shooting twenty eight percent.

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Speaker 1: Steph Curry right now four and a half. If you

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Speaker 1: look at where Steph Curry has been so far here.

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Speaker 1: In twenty twenty two, Steph Curry has covered this number once, okay,

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Speaker 1: six of twelve against Utah. The last four games, he's

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Speaker 1: gone under four and a half may threes one for ten,

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Speaker 1: one for nine, four for eleven, two for nine, and

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Speaker 1: those last two games were with his buddy Klay Thompson

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Speaker 1: back in the lineup. Four for eleven, two for nine.

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Speaker 1: Not great, all right. This is a good team in

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Speaker 1: the Milwaukee Bucks. They have a top ten three point defense.

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Speaker 1: And I get everyone's coming in here and betting the under,

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Speaker 1: all right, I get it under under. Steph Curry may

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Speaker 1: be hurt. The knee might not be great. He had

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Speaker 1: a triple double in his last game, Okay, unbelievable. He's

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Speaker 1: doing other things twenty seven points, ten rebounds, tennysis, so

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Speaker 1: doing other things that are helping him out to get

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Speaker 1: production for his team. But his team lost to the

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Speaker 1: Memphis Grizzlies in the last game one sixteen to one.

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Speaker 1: Eight Curry eight of eight of twenty one shooting eight

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Speaker 1: of twenty one. Shooting for Steph Curry is just absolutely insanity,

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Speaker 1: like nothing you expect from a player of this caliber.

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Speaker 1: I'm going to take the plus money here. Okay, I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna take the poison. I'm going to jump in and

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna say Steph Curry hits over four and a

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Speaker 1: half three is today against the Milwaukee Bucks. Call it

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Speaker 1: a gut feeling. Say, I'm just, you know, throwing one

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Speaker 1: at the wall, hoping and praying that Curry comes up

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Speaker 1: and has a great shooting night. It's not like he's

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Speaker 1: not shooting right. This game's on TNT, nationally televised. They

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Speaker 1: had a bad performance in their last game. They're thirty

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Speaker 1: and ten. They're now a game behind the Phoenix Suns,

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Speaker 1: and I think, not this is the game they break out,

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Speaker 1: but I think this is the game that Curry hits

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Speaker 1: five threes. I'm gonna throw a half a unit on

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Speaker 1: Steph Curry. Yeah, half a unit, half a unit on

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Speaker 1: Steph Curry. Over four and a half made threes for

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Speaker 1: Steph Curry to go plus one twenty or better. Okay,

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Speaker 1: that's where I'm finding it at DraftKings plus one twenty again,

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Speaker 1: four games in a row on the under Steph is

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Speaker 1: due hate that term, but he's too good of a

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Speaker 1: shooter to be shooting like this. I'm going over plus

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Speaker 1: one twenty Steph Curry over four and a half made

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Speaker 1: threes here against the Milwaukee Bucks tonight. Hopefully it's five.

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Speaker 1: Get five in the first half, go crazy, Steph, go off,

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Speaker 1: and then the other half a unit. We're going to

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Speaker 1: the Memphis Grizzlies and their ten game winning streak. Memphis

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Speaker 1: has covered seven games in a row. Memphis is the

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Speaker 1: hottest team in the NBA. They have covered over their

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Speaker 1: last ten nine and one against the spread. The number

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Speaker 1: at Caesars in win Bet at the time of taping

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Speaker 1: is four and a half. Okay, I hope you get

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Speaker 1: four and a half. Hopefully you lift and listen to

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Speaker 1: this overnight. This has CLV Society CLV value in all

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Speaker 1: over it. This number is gonna close at six and

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Speaker 1: a half or seven. Public's gonna come in and hammer

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Speaker 1: this number. Timberwolves have been very good lately, three and

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Speaker 1: two against the spread. They're winning games, they're playing better.

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Speaker 1: They're twenty two and nineteen against the spread. But Memphis

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Speaker 1: is twenty eight and fifteen against the spread. Ironically, they're

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Speaker 1: fifteen and five on the road against the number, just

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Speaker 1: thirteen and ten at home, which is weird. It's like, hmm,

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Speaker 1: that's weird. But they're five and zero against the spread

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Speaker 1: over their last five games, including an eight point win

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Speaker 1: over Golden State. In their last game, beat Detroit by thirty,

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Speaker 1: covering a thirteen and a half point number. They lost

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Speaker 1: to the h They beat the Lakers by five, didn't

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Speaker 1: cover that game. One by five is six point favorites.

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Speaker 1: But like right now, they are on the number for

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Speaker 1: them and the rest of these get And then against

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Speaker 1: San Antonio they were five and a half point favorites

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Speaker 1: and then one by thirteen in covered. So it's not

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Speaker 1: like they're not covering at home during this stretch. Just

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Speaker 1: early in the year they weren't covering at home. This

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Speaker 1: is the hottest team in the NBA. I don't see

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Speaker 1: them cooling down. Let's bet the streak. Okay, Memphis, Mine

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Speaker 1: is four and a half. Half a unit at home

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Speaker 1: against the Minnesota Timberwolves. Is where we're going here for

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Speaker 1: a half a unit, all right? So those are the

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Speaker 1: plays coming up here for Friday, sort for Thursday. Let's

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Speaker 1: talk about Saturday, and let's talk about the New England

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Speaker 1: Patriots at the Buffalo Bills. Weather forecasts two degrees somewhere

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Speaker 1: in that neighborhood. Wind is going to be a factor.

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Speaker 1: But we don't know how big of a factor the

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Speaker 1: wind's going to be. In order for me to take

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Speaker 1: the four points, I need the wind to be blowing,

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Speaker 1: and I mean blowing hard all right for that to

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Speaker 1: happen right now, I'm not seeing it right now. It's

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Speaker 1: going to be a little breezy, but nothing like the

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Speaker 1: first matchup in Buffalo. If it gets like that among

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Speaker 1: the Patriots plus four, but maybe the line will drop down,

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Speaker 1: probably won't below go blow three. But even if the

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Speaker 1: linees like that, Patriots can win the game. Outright snow

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Speaker 1: doesn't bother me. Right cold and snow from a total

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Speaker 1: perspective doesn't bother me. But these two teams aren't going

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Speaker 1: to play up tempo, and these two teams aren't gonna

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Speaker 1: score a lot of points in my opinion. So Buffalo

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Speaker 1: is nine to six and two against the spread this year.

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Speaker 1: They're four to three and two at home. Patriots are

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Speaker 1: ten and seven against the spread this year. They're five

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Speaker 1: and three on the road, including that outright victory at

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Speaker 1: Buffalo back on the sixth of December where they're catching

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Speaker 1: three and they won by four. Patriots through the ball

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Speaker 1: three times. The game went way way under in that

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Speaker 1: one because nobody can move the football. Patriots are nine

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Speaker 1: to eight to the over this year, Buffalo eight and

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Speaker 1: nine to the over this year. Last three games to

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Speaker 1: the Patriots have gone over, three to the last five

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Speaker 1: for the Bills have gone over, but the last two

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Speaker 1: Jets and the Falcons have gone under. But that may

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Speaker 1: be because of who they're playing home, both at home

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Speaker 1: games that were in the cold. But their offenses Atlanta

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Speaker 1: and the New York Jets offenses are not that good,

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Speaker 1: so you can't pick a whole lot of stock in that.

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Speaker 1: But the Patriots offense is not all that good. This

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Speaker 1: is a playoff game, this is Bill Belichick, and this

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Speaker 1: is a grinder of a football game in my opinion

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Speaker 1: on both sides. I'm not positive who wins this game yet,

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Speaker 1: but I'm gonna same game tease this. Okay, I got

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Speaker 1: Mius one twenty on this same game teaser. You take

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Speaker 1: the Patriots at plus four and you put them up

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Speaker 1: to plus ten, and you take the total from forty

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Speaker 1: four and you put it up to fifty and we

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Speaker 1: bet the under. I can't see fifty points being scored

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Speaker 1: in this game. I just can't. The weather, the teams,

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Speaker 1: the defenses, the offenses, the quarterbacks. I just can't see it.

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Speaker 1: I also can't see a blowout on both sides. Patriots

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Speaker 1: aren't blown out the Bills. I don't think the Bills

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Speaker 1: blow out the Patriots. I think this is a really

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Speaker 1: tight game. It's a three to seven point game, so

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Speaker 1: I think by giving the Patriots ten points, we're going

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Speaker 1: to be good. Here, I'm going one unit Patriots plus

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Speaker 1: ten total from forty four up to fifty, taking the

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Speaker 1: under on that for minus one twenty. Here for a

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Speaker 1: same game teaser for Saturday. I'll have more on this weekend. Okay,

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Speaker 1: I'm eyeballing Cincy. I'm watching that number. I'm eyeballing the Patriots.

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Speaker 1: I'm watching the weather. We'll have more going on in

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Speaker 1: this for Saturday, for sure. But the first play for

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Speaker 1: Saturday Patriots plus ten total fifty on the under, same

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Speaker 1: game teaser from minus one twenty for one unit. All right,

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Speaker 1: So to recap all five of the plays here on

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Speaker 1: the podcast for us on a on a Thursday morning,

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Speaker 1: Sabers Predators over one and a half goals first period,

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Speaker 1: minus one twenty five Blue Jackets Hurricanes over one and

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Speaker 1: a half goals first period minus one thirty five, Steph

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Speaker 1: Curry over four and a half made threes at plus

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Speaker 1: one twenty or better, and the Memphis Grizzlies minus four

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Speaker 1: and a half at home against Minnesota and minus won ten.

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Speaker 1: Patriots plus ten under fifty same game teaser Patriots and

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Speaker 1: the Bills minus Matt parolog You can follow me on

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Speaker 1: Twitter at sports doc Matt each In morning, it's the

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Speaker 1: Deleges podcast. I was being brought to you by BETHAMGM