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Speaker 1: to hundred in Wyoming, or visit www one eight hundred

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Speaker 1: gambler dot net in West Virginia. Welcome to the favorites,

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Speaker 1: the podcast from the volume podcast network. I am Chad Mellman,

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Speaker 1: chief content officer of the Action Network. I am joined,

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Speaker 1: as I am every single episode, by my companion, my

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Speaker 1: co host, my bff, my compadre, professional better, Simon Hunter. Chat.

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Speaker 1: What a weekend. What at last, thirty six hours for

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Speaker 1: your friends, Simon here, I bet green bay right, we're

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Speaker 1: all we're all in on Green Bay half time. went

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Speaker 1: to bed at Sunday night, say ten o'clock. Wake up

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Speaker 1: three am, answer emails, text, get all the bets in,

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Speaker 1: make new bets. See what bets hit. Five Am. Quick shower,

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Speaker 1: head over to my MOM's. Go in. Guess what it is, chat,

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Speaker 1: it's the funeral for the Queen. Don't know a lot

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Speaker 1: of new listeners. You're from England, loosely. My Mom's from England.

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Speaker 1: I was born in America, but I am British like

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Speaker 1: I spent a lot of lived in England for a

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Speaker 1: long time, but I don't want the government to knock

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Speaker 1: on my door. I am an American citizen. Um, yeah,

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Speaker 1: so I went over with my mom, watched the funeral

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Speaker 1: and I said, were like it's like eight am at

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Speaker 1: this point. I go I gotta go work. She goes, Oh,

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Speaker 1: don't worry, it will be over soon. The Queen's very modest.

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Speaker 1: She says she don't want a long funeral. So I

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Speaker 1: go back my go home, I sleep, I wake up,

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Speaker 1: I call her, she says, yeah, it's still going on.

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Speaker 1: So I mean six hours passed. So this woman had

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Speaker 1: a funeral for about eleven hours. Uh, got bust. The

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Speaker 1: Queen head to the Eagles game. Obviously saw that game,

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Speaker 1: went to bed, woke up work this morning. Now I'm

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Speaker 1: doing a podcast with chat. So for me it's been

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Speaker 1: a world win three or six hours and I'm excited

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Speaker 1: to talk about week three. Slightly underprepared, but come on,

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Speaker 1: people get let me live a little. It's rare the

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Speaker 1: Eagles win a Monday night game. I think it's the

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Speaker 1: first time we've opened the season on a Monday night

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Speaker 1: in about fifteen years. So well, this podcast had a

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Speaker 1: really big night on Monday night. The Buffalo Bills, Matt

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Speaker 1: Mitchell's team. Uh. They dominated the Tennessee Titans as ten

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Speaker 1: point favorites in prime time and they are looking like

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Speaker 1: one of those teams that you get, those teams that

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Speaker 1: they just come out and they're so dominant from the beginning.

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Speaker 1: They exceed every expectation when they were already high. The Eagles,

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Speaker 1: a team we've been loving since before the season started,

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Speaker 1: are really performing at a level that proves the roster moves.

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Speaker 1: We're smart, but also the jitalen hurts, who the numbers

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Speaker 1: back up, has been one of the best performing quarterbacks

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Speaker 1: since he started, uh as a starter for the eagles.

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Speaker 1: He was amazing last night, Simon even more amazing. We

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Speaker 1: went three and two in our phase five. Uh. So

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Speaker 1: we are now eight and two on the year. Goal

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Speaker 1: of my friend, uh, you and you cash right and

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Speaker 1: you do very well. So we went three and two.

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Speaker 1: Is My favorite saying. If you're six, you can go

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Speaker 1: three and two every weekend. Are Good News for you

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Speaker 1: can literally quit your job and do this as a career.

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Speaker 1: That's right. If you want to again, follow the phase

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Speaker 1: five in the action network APP. That's where we put

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Speaker 1: all of our contest picks. We did really well with

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Speaker 1: all of our picks last week. Um, uh, I would

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Speaker 1: say the team that we totally love right now the

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Speaker 1: Jacksonville Jaguars. They were one of our phase five. They

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Speaker 1: were my exact decision. Uh. They opened it four and

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Speaker 1: a half. Last week they closed it three. They dominated.

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Speaker 1: They were great. Here's what's interesting to me, and I

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Speaker 1: want to get your take on this. We were on

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Speaker 1: the Jags at twelve to to win the A F

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Speaker 1: C south. We like the Jacks at seven and a half,

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Speaker 1: eight to want to win the A F C south.

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Speaker 1: I'm surprised that now the odds for the A F

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Speaker 1: C south, uh, the jags are still like three to one,

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Speaker 1: at least before the game last night. I should have

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Speaker 1: checked before I came on the podcast today. How about

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Speaker 1: the jags not the odds on favorite to win that

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Speaker 1: division right now? Yeah, I'd say that goes a lot

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Speaker 1: into the money that's driving that number around. Right the

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Speaker 1: position the book needs to take, and also they got

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Speaker 1: other factors into it. Of this Jaguar team really hasn't

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Speaker 1: proved them before. I know neither of the culture right

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Speaker 1: the colts have not won that division, but it just

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Speaker 1: seems like the book is just hesitant to it. So

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Speaker 1: it was the public where, like me and you talked

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Speaker 1: about it. We just looked at this whole division overall

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Speaker 1: and said, who the hell are the cults? Who is?

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Speaker 1: Who the hell is Tennessee to be favored by again?

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Speaker 1: Twelve to one is what we were giving out the

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Speaker 1: jags all summer. Um. It's it's just typical football, right.

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Speaker 1: People are based on everything off last year. Now looking

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Speaker 1: at this year and looking all the weaknesses of Tennessee,

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Speaker 1: you know, look at the same thing with the colts.

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Speaker 1: It's like, yeah, nothing against Matt Ryan, it's just we

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Speaker 1: really haven't seen it from him in a lot of

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Speaker 1: years and people expected him to come in and just

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Speaker 1: be this savior for them, which is not so. And

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Speaker 1: we backed a second year quarterback and that's always an

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Speaker 1: advantage for us back in the second year quarterback to

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Speaker 1: take a step and the team has the money to

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Speaker 1: spend on the rest of the team. Like again, there's

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Speaker 1: gonna be a bunch teams we'll talk about today. That's

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Speaker 1: the building blocks. Like if you can get that cheat

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Speaker 1: coat of a cheap quarterback, you can spend the money

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Speaker 1: elsewhere and the quarterback improves. That's how you make runs.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, feeling really good. Two weeks in. A bunch

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Speaker 1: of calls we made. Um, it's they're we're looking pretty smart.

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Speaker 1: Like again the lines, big win. That was another team

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Speaker 1: we really love coming into the year in Houston, and

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Speaker 1: the in Atlanta, both too, and Oh, against the spread,

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Speaker 1: two teams we talked about being undervalued coming into the season,

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Speaker 1: Atlanta shure. I still think Atlanta should be too, and

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Speaker 1: know they've left these games. They didn't get away from him.

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Speaker 1: But again it's just exciting seeing like the work we

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Speaker 1: put in. It's coming to fruition. Our only big miss,

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Speaker 1: only team we're really out on that came to the

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Speaker 1: year and did well. Giants too, and Oh, giants start

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Speaker 1: the year again. It's two weeks in, but man, that

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Speaker 1: that to me is one of more shocking records. You

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Speaker 1: look on paper, because again there's only like five or

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Speaker 1: six teams to and Oh, the giants really stand out

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Speaker 1: right now. We went three and two last week. We

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Speaker 1: won the Jags, we won the Patriots, we won the eagles,

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Speaker 1: we lost in the saints, we lost the Panthers. If

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Speaker 1: we had to frame it as which team has stabbed

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Speaker 1: us in the back, the panthers. Still, they lost the

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Speaker 1: giants this past weekend game they should have won, ugly

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Speaker 1: game they lost. They lost to the browns the weekend before,

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Speaker 1: another one that they should have won. Man, I was

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Speaker 1: really high on this Panther's team before the season started. UH,

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Speaker 1: they're not performing up to their I see what you're like.

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Speaker 1: I saw what you see, though, right like we still

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Speaker 1: think thefc south. A couple of games go a little

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Speaker 1: different again at Lanta, their two and O will be

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Speaker 1: tied with the bucks. Right now in that division. It's like,

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Speaker 1: you know, it's it's a closer then people are perceived.

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Speaker 1: But the baker factor, so that that's been the tough

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Speaker 1: pill to swallow. It's like we need Baker to have

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Speaker 1: these moments to stop up in two weeks in a

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Speaker 1: row he's kind of burned us. So, yeah, he just

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Speaker 1: hasn't been. He just hasn't that's exactly what it is.

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Speaker 1: I believed in Baker. Maybe I shouldn't have to close

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Speaker 1: it out. The housekeeping. Sonnon says last week it was

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Speaker 1: the niners minus nine and a half. Excellent work. The

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Speaker 1: exact decision was the Jags by me. Excellent work, Chad.

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Speaker 1: The big balls New York. Yet yea US Foxhole was

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Speaker 1: the saints. We lost that one. Chad had the JAGS

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Speaker 1: and Scooch Roulette. He's now two, and Oh Simon had

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Speaker 1: the saints and scootrow letting one and one reminder. Follow

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Speaker 1: the favorites podcast in the action network APP to get

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Speaker 1: those picks. We're separating out the phase five at its

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Speaker 1: own handle so we can just track the five that

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Speaker 1: we love for our contest every week. And someone, someone

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Speaker 1: DM me and said can you explain the contest? So

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Speaker 1: you and I are in a high stakes contest where

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Speaker 1: we have to choose five games every week. Those lines

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Speaker 1: lock in the middle of the week, but the selections

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Speaker 1: aren't doing until Sunday. So we are constantly in contact

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Speaker 1: thinking about the five that we love and then on

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Speaker 1: Sunday we nail, we lock in those, those five picks,

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Speaker 1: and we put that in the APP under the phase

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Speaker 1: five and I'll put in notes about whether or not

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Speaker 1: we still like the line, if the line has moved, etcetera, etcetera.

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Speaker 1: Simon steelers Brown's open two and a half. This Thursday

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Speaker 1: night football got bet up to five and a half.

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Speaker 1: Now it's four and a half. I will tell you.

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Speaker 1: I bet the steelers at five and a half. That

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Speaker 1: was just too big of an adjustment. Made no sense

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Speaker 1: for me for this number to be at five and

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Speaker 1: a half. The money on the steelers right now. That's interesting.

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Speaker 1: You like you came in on Pittsburgh. I would have

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Speaker 1: been all over the browns coming out just because of

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Speaker 1: that loss they just had, where the steelers just looked,

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Speaker 1: not that they gave up, but like, like we talked

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Speaker 1: about having a quarterback you can believe in. It just

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Speaker 1: doesn't feel like they believe in Mitch so. I just

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Speaker 1: don't really have a good vibe with them right now,

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Speaker 1: where it's like the Patriots were dying to give that

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Speaker 1: game away, like they had the ball three different times

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Speaker 1: when they were down three and they could not put

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Speaker 1: a drive together with Mitch Um. So, coming in this game,

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Speaker 1: I was looking actually back on the browns. Um I

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Speaker 1: thought you were getting a fair number and in fact

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Speaker 1: it was under six. But now we're a getting news

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Speaker 1: that you know, clowne's out, miles Garrett might be out

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Speaker 1: now you just popped up the injury report again. Short week,

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Speaker 1: quick turnaround. Tough for me to really make a play

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Speaker 1: on this. Like I might be inclined to take the

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Speaker 1: over because I have two quarterbacks that you know, they

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Speaker 1: could turn their ball over. They're kind of a risky

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Speaker 1: quarterback play, like both of them are. For set played

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Speaker 1: very well against the jets Um. That was just more

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Speaker 1: on the defense that broke down the end there. So

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Speaker 1: to me, yeah, I honestly leaned towards the Browns, but

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Speaker 1: because it's so early and I don't really know enough

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Speaker 1: injury news, I can't really tell anyone to bet this one.

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Speaker 1: Like me and Chad have zero chance to play this

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Speaker 1: in the contest because there's not much value in it.

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Speaker 1: Um To me, the only reason we're gonna talk about

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Speaker 1: and play this because it's a Thursday night game. This

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Speaker 1: is just a classic, Gross Thursday night divisional game. Well,

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Speaker 1: that's why that that's one of the reasons for me

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Speaker 1: and UH is. I think the number got too high.

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Speaker 1: These games tend to be very close. Four is now

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Speaker 1: a key number as well. I was getting well over

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Speaker 1: the four at five and a half. I felt like

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Speaker 1: I had a decent amount of cushion. In a short week.

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Speaker 1: Divisional rivals, these games tend to play to three. I

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Speaker 1: like the dogs here. Don't know it again, this is

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Speaker 1: gonna be an underplay too. So it's like historically short,

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Speaker 1: short total. You take this. You just blindly take the

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Speaker 1: dog here, especially divisionally. Um, I told you. I just Paul,

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Speaker 1: because the data backs up. The home favorites historically click covered,

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Speaker 1: almost clip on Thursday nights. So that's one of those

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Speaker 1: where it's like yeah, Sunday game I look at it

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Speaker 1: a little differently, but I always leaned towards the favorites

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Speaker 1: on Thursday nights. If I get back door again, like

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Speaker 1: last week, so be it. Uh, it just prevails out

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Speaker 1: the math that has taken favorites on Thursdays. Here's a

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Speaker 1: great note from Evan Abrahams are Director of research at

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Speaker 1: the Action Network. UH, since two thousand ten Thursday games

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Speaker 1: with a total of forty or below are eighteen and

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Speaker 1: five to the under, hitting the under by eight point

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Speaker 1: nine points per game. UH, so they're averaging about thirty

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Speaker 1: one points per game. Uh. This is the lowest Thursday

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Speaker 1: night football total since Chicago played Detroit in two thousand nineteen.

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Speaker 1: It was thirty seven and a half. The total in

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Speaker 1: this game, if I haven't said it, is a thirty

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Speaker 1: eight and a half is the best number that you

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Speaker 1: can get right now. Oh, I guess we know what

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Speaker 1: we're gonna bet, then, Chid I guess we do right.

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Speaker 1: Two thousand, two thousand, a twenty two. When it comes

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Speaker 1: dot com slash favorites right now. NETSUITE DOT COM slash favorites.

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Speaker 1: That's net suite dot com slash favorites. All Right, Ravens, patriots, boy,

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Speaker 1: this look aheadline on this was pick. It's now ravens

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Speaker 1: minus three. Ravens. Look, we got to talk about the

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Speaker 1: Ravens for a second. There was an interesting conversation on

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Speaker 1: the Action Network, a podcast that's stucky and Raybond had

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Speaker 1: again listen to the Action Network podcast. That Thursday version.

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Speaker 1: Chris Raybond and stuck. You will nail down six of

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Speaker 1: their favorite picks. There's Sunday six pack. Stucky was all

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Speaker 1: over the first half in this game. He's like, just

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Speaker 1: bet the Ravens in the first half. It turns out

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Speaker 1: he was right. We liked the ravens minus three and

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Speaker 1: a half. We knew weren't going to get the three,

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Speaker 1: so we bet it three and a half. Boy, we

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Speaker 1: looked good for about forty seven minutes. Yeah, what can

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Speaker 1: you do it? There's honest the only thing I would

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Speaker 1: take away from that. I'd be really happy is Miami Fan.

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Speaker 1: It's like your coach obviously can scheme it up two

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Speaker 1: obviously throw it and you have two incredible wide receivers.

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Speaker 1: But now there's nothing to take away. I mean, I

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Speaker 1: guess I'm a little worried. The Ravens can't eat a

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Speaker 1: clock away and there's supposed to be a great running team,

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Speaker 1: but they're up the defense. It was on a hot

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Speaker 1: field in the second half and just had a track

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Speaker 1: meet and they just got burnt like. Well, I don't

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Speaker 1: know what. They give up twenty eight points, I think

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Speaker 1: in the fourth quarter. It's yeah, yeah, we've we've never

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Speaker 1: seen it before. It's a historical things. So yeah, it sucks.

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Speaker 1: I lost a ton of money on it, but it's

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Speaker 1: just like all right, under the next one. It's just

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Speaker 1: something you've never seen before in dolphins history, dolphins long history.

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Speaker 1: They've never scored that many points in the fourth quarter.

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Speaker 1: Like even thinking all those Don Shula teams, the Marino teams,

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Speaker 1: never happened. So it's just I don't know what to

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Speaker 1: take from it. It's like, should I overrate Miami? Nour

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Speaker 1: do nothing with it? I'm probably gonna do nothing. My

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Speaker 1: only pause is, what the Hell is going on Baltimore?

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Speaker 1: They can't freaking run the ball and milk away a

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Speaker 1: thirty five or four team lead. It's it's a little

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Speaker 1: scary when they're supposed to be the best unning team

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Speaker 1: of football. So I guess that's the biggest pause. But

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Speaker 1: the only thing is I'm just I guess I'm just

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Speaker 1: excited about Miami. It's like that. That too is stuff.

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Speaker 1: That's a lot of noise. He dealt with the Tom

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Speaker 1: Brady stuff, everything that went on. He obviously's got the goods,

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Speaker 1: like he was making those throws. Um. It's just hard

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Speaker 1: to know if that was legit or if that was

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Speaker 1: just a fluke in that situation. Well, look, he might

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Speaker 1: have all the talents in the world and wasn't being

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Speaker 1: put in the right schemes. Um and there was a stat.

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Speaker 1: Next Gen stats had it. I think UH Brandon Anderson

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Speaker 1: mentioned this on the Monday Action Network podcast, the review podcast.

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Speaker 1: Ravens defensive backs ran sixty four hundred yards trying to

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Speaker 1: keep up with dolphins receivers on Sunday afternoon. Yeah, it's

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Speaker 1: that's an impossible situation you put in. Here's another interesting

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Speaker 1: one and John Harbaugh in his career is the best

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Speaker 1: first half R O I as a coach in his career.

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Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson the last five years, first half most profitable

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Speaker 1: qb Tibet in the first half. All that said, Ravens

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Speaker 1: are three point favorites on the road against the Patriots.

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Speaker 1: I feel like the Patriots are not a very good team.

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Speaker 1: You know what to do, though. We have there's no

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Speaker 1: there's only one play here, Chad. We make this bet

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Speaker 1: almost nine out of ten times. The numbers back it

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Speaker 1: up to but we play the Patriots here every time.

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Speaker 1: It's again belichick at home as a dog against a

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Speaker 1: team that something's not right there clearly, like the jets,

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Speaker 1: were actually moving the ball on this Baltimore team. So

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Speaker 1: if the Ravens are down four cornerbacks again, that's a

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Speaker 1: major issue. Like Mac Jones, look pedestrian. This could be

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Speaker 1: the cure he needs a team that's given up the

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Speaker 1: most receiving yards to anyone else in football. So, Um Yeah, too,

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Speaker 1: too much respect for a ravens team that doesn't deserve

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Speaker 1: the respect right now. I'm with you. Patriots Stink, but

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Speaker 1: I take this plus three every time. It's just a

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Speaker 1: situational play for the most part. Do we think this

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Speaker 1: is a this doesn't feel like a contest play to me.

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Speaker 1: We'll see. It could turn into one, maybe if they

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Speaker 1: give us a better number, because like three. Three is

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Speaker 1: a great number, but obviously went three and a half,

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Speaker 1: so I would say three. No, but three and a

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Speaker 1: half I definitely think about it. We might get there.

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Speaker 1: Right now, the split between on bets is nine Ravens.

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Speaker 1: So this number could get higher. It could, but again

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Speaker 1: we saw it last week of the pros. The pros

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Speaker 1: always keep these numbers in check. So, Dallas, we loved

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Speaker 1: it eight and a half. We still liked that at seven,

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Speaker 1: but we literally did the shows eight and a half.

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Speaker 1: The next show we did it was down to seven.

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Speaker 1: Like the pros, don't let the numbers sit at a

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Speaker 1: key number for that long. So if you see three

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Speaker 1: and a half, I would grab that right away. Again,

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Speaker 1: action APP turned the alert on, but we'll let you know.

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Speaker 1: And it's three and a half. Good promotion right there, buddy.

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Speaker 1: All right, this next game chief's colts. Colts are seven

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Speaker 1: point underdogs right now. That's the best number out there.

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Speaker 1: Full Confession. I bet the colts plus seven this morning.

356
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Speaker 1: I would have waited on the injury report Um see

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Speaker 1: if if their team's gonna be healthy, just because they

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Speaker 1: had two major injuries last week. But yeah, no brainer play.

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Speaker 1: Colts are are run dominant team going against the chiefs team.

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Speaker 1: That that's kind of their biggest weaknesses. They can give

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Speaker 1: up big runs, you can ball control against the chiefs.

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Speaker 1: It's a great spot to be in and we already

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Speaker 1: knew as soon as this number came out. I saw

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Speaker 1: the six and a half. Every teaser leg will have

365
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Speaker 1: the chiefs in it this week. It's like the bengals

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Speaker 1: from last week. It's just even Cleveland last week. There

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Speaker 1: are just no brain or teaser plays that's what the

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Speaker 1: chiefs will be this week. So I would say it

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Speaker 1: makes sense. You better early because again, I don't think

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Speaker 1: that seven is gonna be there that long. I think

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Speaker 1: the pros will hit it. Um. But yeah, again, I

372
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Speaker 1: wanted to make this my Simon says play, but I

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Speaker 1: just don't see enough sevens out there to give it out.

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Speaker 1: I think everyone's stuck at six and a half and

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Speaker 1: I don't wanna be that guy ticking the seven, giving

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Speaker 1: out the six and a half. Well, the one thing

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Speaker 1: I can say is the seven has been there for

378
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Speaker 1: a while. I thought it would disappear immediately. What's that?

379
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Speaker 1: And only that. All depends on the book. Like I'm

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Speaker 1: on the APP right now. There's plenty, plenty of six

381
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Speaker 1: and a half. Yeah, there's a lot of six and

382
00:19:56,640 --> 00:19:58,959
Speaker 1: a half. There's not. There's one seven and it's just

383
00:19:59,320 --> 00:20:01,199
Speaker 1: sitting there and I it's actually interesting to me that

384
00:20:01,240 --> 00:20:05,240
Speaker 1: it hasn't moved. Um, I would say that's probably the

385
00:20:05,240 --> 00:20:08,880
Speaker 1: most public book. Yeah, I guess that's true. Yeah, it's

386
00:20:08,920 --> 00:20:12,960
Speaker 1: totally true. Um, all right. Well, I thought this would

387
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Speaker 1: we we would make this some kind of Simon says

388
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Speaker 1: executive decision. It's got a foxhole feel to it, but

389
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Speaker 1: I can see why you'd want to hold off. I'm

390
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Speaker 1: putting this in any one of these things until we

391
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Speaker 1: get more status on the injury yeah, because that's again

392
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Speaker 1: they have two. Two of their best players were hurt

393
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Speaker 1: last week. So to me, if Leonard's out and Pittman's

394
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Speaker 1: out again, that's that's that's again the best defensive player

395
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Speaker 1: than the best receiver are out. That's that's a big deal.

396
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Speaker 1: All right. So right now, basically what you've said is

397
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Speaker 1: I bet the UH steelers five and a half. You

398
00:20:48,359 --> 00:20:51,439
Speaker 1: don't love it. I bet the colts plus seven. You

399
00:20:51,480 --> 00:20:54,360
Speaker 1: feel like I might have pulled the trigger too early. Oh,

400
00:20:54,600 --> 00:20:56,240
Speaker 1: I think you've got a good number. I'm saying anyone

401
00:20:56,280 --> 00:20:57,960
Speaker 1: else that's getting six and a half, I just wouldn't

402
00:20:57,960 --> 00:20:59,920
Speaker 1: do it. It's not worth it because you already missed

403
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Speaker 1: the seven. The lions. It's not going blows six right

404
00:21:03,160 --> 00:21:05,879
Speaker 1: like there's no chance. That's number six. So that's what

405
00:21:05,920 --> 00:21:11,040
Speaker 1: I'm saying. The lions are visiting the Vikings. I don't

406
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Speaker 1: know why this number is so big right now. The

407
00:21:13,200 --> 00:21:19,119
Speaker 1: lions are six point underdogs in this game. The money

408
00:21:19,200 --> 00:21:21,280
Speaker 1: and the tickets are moving in their direction. So the

409
00:21:21,320 --> 00:21:24,440
Speaker 1: line has moved down from six and a half. Uh.

410
00:21:24,560 --> 00:21:26,720
Speaker 1: Kirk cousins was terrible on money night football, which is

411
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Speaker 1: what we expect. Um, the lions either can't stop anybody

412
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Speaker 1: or are the greatest offensive team since the San Diego chargers.

413
00:21:38,400 --> 00:21:45,840
Speaker 1: Dan Campbell continues to be both lovable and sneaky, sneaky smart. Um,

414
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Speaker 1: lions plus six. What's say? You like new coming in?

415
00:21:50,200 --> 00:21:51,960
Speaker 1: I feel like the Vikens are probably gonna be an

416
00:21:51,960 --> 00:21:54,280
Speaker 1: auto played for me, just coming in off the fact

417
00:21:54,280 --> 00:21:56,840
Speaker 1: that everything you just said like we all love the lines.

418
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Speaker 1: They just had back to back home games. Now they're

419
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Speaker 1: going on the road to play divisional foe that just lost.

420
00:22:02,040 --> 00:22:05,399
Speaker 1: That we know. At one o'clock on a Sunday against

421
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Speaker 1: a divisional team, you just take Kirk here. So to me,

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna work this week trying to convince chat and

423
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Speaker 1: make this one o war five, but this is one

424
00:22:13,600 --> 00:22:16,520
Speaker 1: of my favorite favorites this week. Um, they had all

425
00:22:16,520 --> 00:22:18,359
Speaker 1: the opportunity of the world right against the eagles. They

426
00:22:18,400 --> 00:22:21,040
Speaker 1: had a blocked field goal, they had to turn over

427
00:22:21,080 --> 00:22:24,680
Speaker 1: in the red zone, like it just wasn't their night.

428
00:22:24,960 --> 00:22:27,000
Speaker 1: Every little thing they could go wrong went wrong, and

429
00:22:27,080 --> 00:22:30,719
Speaker 1: Kirk looked horrible. We've seen this now ten times out

430
00:22:30,720 --> 00:22:34,520
Speaker 1: of Kirk Right. He's he's doing ten on Monday night football. Um,

431
00:22:34,600 --> 00:22:36,160
Speaker 1: maybe I'll reach out to evan and try to get

432
00:22:36,160 --> 00:22:38,280
Speaker 1: the Info and what his record is after that Monday

433
00:22:38,359 --> 00:22:40,720
Speaker 1: night game. But it's gotta be good, like this is

434
00:22:40,760 --> 00:22:42,720
Speaker 1: the this is the buying low on Kirk and this

435
00:22:42,760 --> 00:22:44,440
Speaker 1: is where we want to be with Kirk right. This

436
00:22:44,520 --> 00:22:46,399
Speaker 1: always works out for me and Chad, buying low and

437
00:22:46,480 --> 00:22:50,360
Speaker 1: Kirk at home on a Sunday. I mean, I want

438
00:22:50,400 --> 00:22:51,840
Speaker 1: to be all in on the lines because this is

439
00:22:51,920 --> 00:22:54,159
Speaker 1: this is a big deal right. This would flip to

440
00:22:54,240 --> 00:22:56,760
Speaker 1: me their divisional odds. If the lines win this game,

441
00:22:57,080 --> 00:22:59,399
Speaker 1: I think they would be even odds right now to

442
00:22:59,480 --> 00:23:01,320
Speaker 1: win this divis and obviously Green Bay would still be

443
00:23:01,320 --> 00:23:03,959
Speaker 1: at the top. But yeah, a huge game for the lines.

444
00:23:05,119 --> 00:23:07,280
Speaker 1: I just can't get behind it. It's just like I

445
00:23:07,320 --> 00:23:09,320
Speaker 1: get it. They've they've they've played well. They had to

446
00:23:09,320 --> 00:23:11,440
Speaker 1: come back on the eagles, who looked like world beaters.

447
00:23:11,480 --> 00:23:13,359
Speaker 1: But I don't think the Vikings are as bad as

448
00:23:13,400 --> 00:23:15,400
Speaker 1: people perceived it. They just had a really bad night

449
00:23:15,960 --> 00:23:18,959
Speaker 1: on Monday night against the eagles. How do you have

450
00:23:19,119 --> 00:23:21,320
Speaker 1: what's your number on this game seven. So, like I

451
00:23:21,359 --> 00:23:23,480
Speaker 1: thought it was good at seven like that made sense

452
00:23:23,480 --> 00:23:25,880
Speaker 1: to me. The fact that dropped a point makes even

453
00:23:25,880 --> 00:23:28,280
Speaker 1: more sense. Right, like literally what we just saw last night.

454
00:23:28,680 --> 00:23:30,840
Speaker 1: WHO's gonna Back Kirk? There's just a few of us

455
00:23:30,840 --> 00:23:32,960
Speaker 1: out here that's gonna be like no, like this is

456
00:23:33,000 --> 00:23:35,000
Speaker 1: what Kirk does, this is when you went in back Kirk.

457
00:23:35,200 --> 00:23:37,920
Speaker 1: But I think the public just forgets that. They're just

458
00:23:37,960 --> 00:23:40,600
Speaker 1: so piste off at him because it's like, you suck, Kirk,

459
00:23:40,760 --> 00:23:42,320
Speaker 1: this is why we all hate you. or it's like

460
00:23:42,640 --> 00:23:45,680
Speaker 1: he's not terrible, he's just average. He's never gonna be

461
00:23:46,200 --> 00:23:49,640
Speaker 1: above average. He's just is what he is. I don't

462
00:23:49,640 --> 00:23:51,280
Speaker 1: know why you feel like you have to convince me

463
00:23:51,320 --> 00:23:54,000
Speaker 1: of that. Uh Well, I just figured you'd be on lines,

464
00:23:54,040 --> 00:23:55,800
Speaker 1: because we love the lines like we love the lines,

465
00:23:55,840 --> 00:23:57,240
Speaker 1: and this is a good number at six, six and

466
00:23:57,280 --> 00:24:01,320
Speaker 1: a half. Listen to me, I'm a profession you know, okay,

467
00:24:01,520 --> 00:24:04,760
Speaker 1: I don't bet the emotions, I bet what the right

468
00:24:05,040 --> 00:24:08,560
Speaker 1: side is, and right now I think you're getting a

469
00:24:08,640 --> 00:24:14,159
Speaker 1: bilow sell, high spot, boxel, Vikings and the lines, Foxhel on,

470
00:24:14,200 --> 00:24:22,200
Speaker 1: the Vikings, foxhole it. Let's clide down into the Foxhole,

471
00:24:23,800 --> 00:24:26,280
Speaker 1: Minnesota Vikings, because the money is are you saying? The

472
00:24:26,320 --> 00:24:30,680
Speaker 1: money and the tickets are on Detroit? Yeah, so, yeah, Foxhol, Foxhol,

473
00:24:31,440 --> 00:24:40,359
Speaker 1: Minnesota Vikings. I love it. I freaking love that bet. Man,

474
00:24:40,480 --> 00:24:42,480
Speaker 1: I still like I didn't know what I want to do,

475
00:24:42,520 --> 00:24:44,639
Speaker 1: and now then you're talking. I freaking love it. It

476
00:24:44,680 --> 00:24:46,760
Speaker 1: makes all the sense in the world. And this, by

477
00:24:46,760 --> 00:24:49,560
Speaker 1: the way, is the lesson we have to remember every

478
00:24:49,560 --> 00:24:53,600
Speaker 1: single week. Stick to our principles. This is and it

479
00:24:53,640 --> 00:24:56,280
Speaker 1: gets harder in week three because you don't have the

480
00:24:56,320 --> 00:25:00,000
Speaker 1: immediacy of the overreaction under reaction. You're sort of get

481
00:25:00,000 --> 00:25:04,840
Speaker 1: and clouded with biases from two weeks of games. But look,

482
00:25:05,280 --> 00:25:08,320
Speaker 1: you want to bet on the team that just floundered

483
00:25:08,520 --> 00:25:11,560
Speaker 1: in prime time. You want to bet against the team

484
00:25:11,600 --> 00:25:16,000
Speaker 1: that is the sentimental darling and they just look so good.

485
00:25:16,119 --> 00:25:18,239
Speaker 1: Like the last two weeks. The offense for Detroit has

486
00:25:18,280 --> 00:25:22,280
Speaker 1: just been absolutely humming. Yeah, alright, this next game, the

487
00:25:22,320 --> 00:25:24,359
Speaker 1: stats and the panthers, the stints or two and a

488
00:25:24,400 --> 00:25:26,560
Speaker 1: half point favorites on the road. Look, we just talked

489
00:25:26,600 --> 00:25:29,399
Speaker 1: about this. The panthers have been stabbing us in the

490
00:25:29,560 --> 00:25:33,240
Speaker 1: fucking back, in the fucking stomach, in the fucking groin.

491
00:25:33,880 --> 00:25:37,080
Speaker 1: They've been kicking our teeth in. They have disappointed US

492
00:25:37,080 --> 00:25:39,200
Speaker 1: both weeks. I think you might want to get yourself

493
00:25:39,240 --> 00:25:41,640
Speaker 1: a helmet and a bulletproof vest and an iron jockstrap,

494
00:25:41,960 --> 00:25:43,919
Speaker 1: because you're gonna get your head shot, your back stabbed

495
00:25:43,960 --> 00:25:46,320
Speaker 1: and you're nuts danced on. I feel like we did

496
00:25:46,320 --> 00:25:48,320
Speaker 1: this a couple of years ago. It might have been

497
00:25:48,359 --> 00:25:51,119
Speaker 1: the falcons, where we kept thinking that we saw something

498
00:25:51,720 --> 00:25:55,240
Speaker 1: that nobody else was seeing. It was totally fucking US up.

499
00:25:55,640 --> 00:25:59,480
Speaker 1: The Saints Look Against the Bucks. What was it? Five

500
00:25:59,520 --> 00:26:02,960
Speaker 1: turnovers multiple times they had a chance to like close

501
00:26:03,040 --> 00:26:05,639
Speaker 1: the gap and at least cover that game. CHRYSTAL law.

502
00:26:05,760 --> 00:26:08,280
Speaker 1: They fumbles the ball. When he falls to the ground

503
00:26:08,359 --> 00:26:12,440
Speaker 1: on a great play, like a great catch, Jamie went

504
00:26:12,480 --> 00:26:14,960
Speaker 1: back to being Jamis. The bucks were not very good.

505
00:26:15,560 --> 00:26:20,640
Speaker 1: So how do we not get the Panthers Plus Three here? Yeah,

506
00:26:20,880 --> 00:26:23,680
Speaker 1: and again I would say that game it was three, three,

507
00:26:23,680 --> 00:26:25,600
Speaker 1: and then that became a ref show, right like that

508
00:26:25,680 --> 00:26:29,359
Speaker 1: whole fight happen with Mike Evans, latymore and something clearly

509
00:26:29,359 --> 00:26:31,600
Speaker 1: happened when the referees took a side, like there was

510
00:26:31,640 --> 00:26:35,000
Speaker 1: back to back calls. They took Tampa down the field,

511
00:26:35,000 --> 00:26:36,719
Speaker 1: Tom threw a touchdown. That was the game, because then

512
00:26:36,800 --> 00:26:39,160
Speaker 1: Jamis had to start forcing it and we saw it happened.

513
00:26:39,200 --> 00:26:41,000
Speaker 1: Jamis forced it in there through a pick six. So

514
00:26:41,720 --> 00:26:44,320
Speaker 1: Saints Team. I definitely want to bet a lot of

515
00:26:44,320 --> 00:26:46,520
Speaker 1: money on them. Last week, if I've known that Winston

516
00:26:46,560 --> 00:26:48,920
Speaker 1: had what I was at four fractured ribs or something

517
00:26:48,960 --> 00:26:51,840
Speaker 1: like that, it's like it's brutal when you get that

518
00:26:51,920 --> 00:26:55,360
Speaker 1: alert at twelve thirty from Schefter of a major injury

519
00:26:55,440 --> 00:26:57,679
Speaker 1: and it's like well, I can't get out of any

520
00:26:57,680 --> 00:26:59,440
Speaker 1: of these bets, I just gotta ride this out. I've

521
00:26:59,440 --> 00:27:01,480
Speaker 1: given out a podcast. I give it on our show

522
00:27:01,480 --> 00:27:04,880
Speaker 1: on Sunday morning. So that was brutal. But just looking

523
00:27:04,880 --> 00:27:07,240
Speaker 1: at this matchup, I think Chad touched on it. You

524
00:27:07,320 --> 00:27:11,200
Speaker 1: have two teams ots. Neither of them have covered this season. Right,

525
00:27:11,760 --> 00:27:15,720
Speaker 1: Carolina's owned two. Just historically in this position you take

526
00:27:15,800 --> 00:27:17,720
Speaker 1: the underdog and it hits it like a fifty eight

527
00:27:17,760 --> 00:27:21,160
Speaker 1: six rate. In Week three the team that two owned

528
00:27:21,160 --> 00:27:23,840
Speaker 1: team to own. Two teams were facing off a t s.

529
00:27:24,359 --> 00:27:26,080
Speaker 1: You just take the dog in this position. There's another

530
00:27:26,160 --> 00:27:28,840
Speaker 1: game like that this week. Um who was at raiders

531
00:27:28,840 --> 00:27:31,200
Speaker 1: Tennessee so it's kind of one of those where it's

532
00:27:31,240 --> 00:27:33,440
Speaker 1: like I alredy knew it was gonna like Carolina. They're

533
00:27:33,440 --> 00:27:36,439
Speaker 1: gonna be a home divisional dog at plus three. The

534
00:27:36,440 --> 00:27:38,879
Speaker 1: fact that there's gonna be trends back in it and

535
00:27:39,119 --> 00:27:42,439
Speaker 1: Jameis has this major injury. It's a big deal, but

536
00:27:43,200 --> 00:27:45,080
Speaker 1: I cannot let us, and I will not let us

537
00:27:45,080 --> 00:27:46,800
Speaker 1: do it to the fans and putting this in our

538
00:27:46,840 --> 00:27:49,399
Speaker 1: contest again, because I just got so much hated that.

539
00:27:49,520 --> 00:27:53,040
Speaker 1: I'm with him. It's like I that was so unenjoyable

540
00:27:53,080 --> 00:27:55,320
Speaker 1: because I just had so I felt good. Didn't you

541
00:27:55,320 --> 00:27:58,159
Speaker 1: feel good that Carolina game? It's like yeah, yeah, it

542
00:27:58,200 --> 00:27:59,639
Speaker 1: was feeling. Even during the game I was like no,

543
00:27:59,720 --> 00:28:02,600
Speaker 1: like acres having these moments, Daniel Jones has falling apart

544
00:28:02,640 --> 00:28:04,640
Speaker 1: and it's like no, like as much as we want

545
00:28:04,640 --> 00:28:07,440
Speaker 1: to bag on the giants, Daniel Jones is making the

546
00:28:07,520 --> 00:28:09,280
Speaker 1: play and the head coach is making the right call.

547
00:28:09,440 --> 00:28:13,159
Speaker 1: So it's like yeah, Carolina Auto played for me and Chad,

548
00:28:13,200 --> 00:28:15,400
Speaker 1: but no chance, lets be on my five. There's other

549
00:28:15,400 --> 00:28:21,600
Speaker 1: games I like way more than this. We one felt great. Honestly,

550
00:28:22,240 --> 00:28:26,399
Speaker 1: we felt great, like about the saints, about the panthers,

551
00:28:28,160 --> 00:28:30,240
Speaker 1: all of those games. Like in the early Games, I

552
00:28:30,280 --> 00:28:32,639
Speaker 1: looked at the action APP and like I've got nothing

553
00:28:32,680 --> 00:28:36,000
Speaker 1: but green circles for win probability, and then, like as

554
00:28:36,040 --> 00:28:39,240
Speaker 1: the day went on, it all fell apart. Like I'll

555
00:28:39,240 --> 00:28:41,760
Speaker 1: tell you what's gonna kill us. I thought about this

556
00:28:41,840 --> 00:28:48,480
Speaker 1: last night. Illegal contact is going to be this year's

557
00:28:48,800 --> 00:28:54,480
Speaker 1: you know, holding the year before. You know it's going

558
00:28:54,520 --> 00:28:58,080
Speaker 1: to be the call that fucking kills us on so

559
00:28:58,120 --> 00:29:02,120
Speaker 1: many bets. A I mean no again. Refs rough stick

560
00:29:02,160 --> 00:29:04,800
Speaker 1: did a lot of these games. Even that raiders cardinals game.

561
00:29:05,280 --> 00:29:06,960
Speaker 1: They said there was holding in the end zone, even

562
00:29:06,960 --> 00:29:09,400
Speaker 1: though Kylin Murray was outside the tackle box, which means

563
00:29:09,400 --> 00:29:11,640
Speaker 1: you can put hands on defenders once the KBI bricks

564
00:29:11,680 --> 00:29:14,440
Speaker 1: tackle box again. It's just there's just so much that

565
00:29:14,480 --> 00:29:15,920
Speaker 1: goes on and that kind of stuff where it's like

566
00:29:16,240 --> 00:29:17,880
Speaker 1: trying to get bogged down on if I'm with you

567
00:29:17,920 --> 00:29:19,800
Speaker 1: about that, like that's something you gotta keep in mind

568
00:29:19,840 --> 00:29:23,640
Speaker 1: about betting. These totals unders have been great, though. Yeah,

569
00:29:23,760 --> 00:29:29,440
Speaker 1: Texans visiting the Chicago bears. They are right now two

570
00:29:29,440 --> 00:29:33,080
Speaker 1: and a half point underdogs. They have been overachieving as

571
00:29:33,120 --> 00:29:38,000
Speaker 1: a team against the spread. undervalued. Professional betters have loved them.

572
00:29:38,120 --> 00:29:41,960
Speaker 1: Look the bears. They were destined to get crushed by

573
00:29:42,000 --> 00:29:46,440
Speaker 1: the packers in prime time. We said it, we knew it. Uh,

574
00:29:46,480 --> 00:29:50,160
Speaker 1: we bet the under. We liked the packers at minus nine,

575
00:29:50,240 --> 00:29:53,640
Speaker 1: minus ten. The packers are. The bears are young team

576
00:29:53,800 --> 00:29:56,720
Speaker 1: that seemed hungover, like they were celebrating too much for

577
00:29:57,160 --> 00:30:00,720
Speaker 1: winning a game in the slop. Fundamentally disappointing as a

578
00:30:00,760 --> 00:30:04,800
Speaker 1: bears fan, but we've got to move on. Short home

579
00:30:04,880 --> 00:30:08,920
Speaker 1: favorites not getting any love. I don't think I want

580
00:30:08,920 --> 00:30:10,920
Speaker 1: to bet the Texas here, though. It feels like we've

581
00:30:10,960 --> 00:30:13,640
Speaker 1: lost the value. Yeah, I would say if you can

582
00:30:13,680 --> 00:30:15,480
Speaker 1: stick at the three, I would take it, just because

583
00:30:15,840 --> 00:30:18,040
Speaker 1: I honestly have a lot more confidence in Davis Mills

584
00:30:18,040 --> 00:30:20,120
Speaker 1: then right now than I'm doing justin fields. He he

585
00:30:20,160 --> 00:30:22,720
Speaker 1: had guys open and he was not making the reads

586
00:30:22,760 --> 00:30:24,719
Speaker 1: he needed to make. Against the packers, like he had

587
00:30:24,720 --> 00:30:27,880
Speaker 1: opportunities and he was missing them. Obviously, rest and help either. Right.

588
00:30:27,920 --> 00:30:29,920
Speaker 1: We've all seen the clip. He clearly crossed the goal

589
00:30:29,960 --> 00:30:33,480
Speaker 1: on that second touchdown. Terrible, terrible, terrible call by that refs.

590
00:30:33,520 --> 00:30:37,600
Speaker 1: Even replayed it and they still got it wrong. Um, bears,

591
00:30:37,640 --> 00:30:40,280
Speaker 1: it's just we came into there. I said the two

592
00:30:40,280 --> 00:30:42,560
Speaker 1: worst teams on my list for the Seahawks and the bears.

593
00:30:42,680 --> 00:30:45,040
Speaker 1: They both one week one. I took a ton of

594
00:30:45,040 --> 00:30:47,160
Speaker 1: ship and I just said that. People. Listen, this is

595
00:30:47,200 --> 00:30:49,880
Speaker 1: literally how it goes in football, like ugly teams are

596
00:30:49,880 --> 00:30:51,880
Speaker 1: gonna Win Games, like it's so hard to go. Oh

597
00:30:52,000 --> 00:30:54,720
Speaker 1: and sixteen, oh and seventeen. Now it just doesn't happen.

598
00:30:55,760 --> 00:30:58,120
Speaker 1: I felt like that bears was the ultimate trap. We

599
00:30:58,160 --> 00:31:00,240
Speaker 1: both kind of knew with Green Bay this week, I'm

600
00:31:00,280 --> 00:31:01,680
Speaker 1: kind of with you in the sense that the bears

601
00:31:01,720 --> 00:31:04,600
Speaker 1: you're expecting to bounce back. But man, the Texans just

602
00:31:04,600 --> 00:31:06,720
Speaker 1: played tough and like they hang in these games. And

603
00:31:07,000 --> 00:31:08,880
Speaker 1: say what you want about the colts, like the colts

604
00:31:08,880 --> 00:31:11,320
Speaker 1: have more talent on paper than they do. Denver hasn't

605
00:31:11,360 --> 00:31:14,160
Speaker 1: more talent than they do Texans, and both games they're

606
00:31:14,160 --> 00:31:16,160
Speaker 1: in it, like I couldn't believe me and Chad, we're

607
00:31:16,200 --> 00:31:20,120
Speaker 1: sweating again. Broncos, UH, knock it out, Asher and survivor

608
00:31:20,120 --> 00:31:22,800
Speaker 1: almost knocked this out while we picked them this year. Um.

609
00:31:22,840 --> 00:31:25,440
Speaker 1: So to me, Texans, I think the public will be

610
00:31:25,480 --> 00:31:27,480
Speaker 1: on them too, like what you're talking about. The public

611
00:31:27,560 --> 00:31:29,240
Speaker 1: is gonna like the Texans again too, and o a

612
00:31:29,360 --> 00:31:32,280
Speaker 1: t s. they're just in these games with love you Smith,

613
00:31:32,760 --> 00:31:35,800
Speaker 1: Revenge Game For love you Smith. Give me the plus three,

614
00:31:35,840 --> 00:31:38,040
Speaker 1: two and a half. Maybe I think about the bears,

615
00:31:38,040 --> 00:31:41,280
Speaker 1: but at plus three I'll take the Texans on that number. Well,

616
00:31:41,360 --> 00:31:43,120
Speaker 1: right now it's it's kind of all over the place.

617
00:31:43,200 --> 00:31:46,160
Speaker 1: So if you can find the plus three, you gotta

618
00:31:46,160 --> 00:31:49,000
Speaker 1: get it. Otherwise it's kind of you just gotta wait.

619
00:31:49,320 --> 00:31:52,600
Speaker 1: You gotta assume the number might go back up. UH,

620
00:31:52,760 --> 00:31:54,760
Speaker 1: it probably won't go back on. So if you haven't

621
00:31:54,760 --> 00:31:58,720
Speaker 1: gotten three, then as it goes down, because I think

622
00:31:58,760 --> 00:32:01,520
Speaker 1: more money come in on the Texans, you might want

623
00:32:01,520 --> 00:32:03,200
Speaker 1: to think about the bears. It could be one of

624
00:32:03,200 --> 00:32:05,920
Speaker 1: those panthers giant situation like we had where the panthers

625
00:32:05,920 --> 00:32:09,360
Speaker 1: were dogs and then went off his favorites. Yep, you're right.

626
00:32:09,520 --> 00:32:13,800
Speaker 1: Lines in Washington too. I think Washington closed minus one favorite. Yep,

627
00:32:14,080 --> 00:32:16,920
Speaker 1: and in both cases the home team one. All right,

628
00:32:17,440 --> 00:32:23,000
Speaker 1: Eagles on the road at the commander's plus six and

629
00:32:23,040 --> 00:32:27,600
Speaker 1: a half. Listen, I hate to say it, but if

630
00:32:27,600 --> 00:32:30,720
Speaker 1: there's a time to fade the fly and bet the

631
00:32:30,760 --> 00:32:33,640
Speaker 1: commanders not to win, but at six and a half

632
00:32:33,680 --> 00:32:35,600
Speaker 1: that's a big number for a home dog. It's all

633
00:32:35,640 --> 00:32:38,320
Speaker 1: about your comfort level. Like, how do you feel about

634
00:32:38,360 --> 00:32:43,200
Speaker 1: back in, Carson Wentz? It's really we talked about roulette

635
00:32:43,320 --> 00:32:46,080
Speaker 1: on this show. It's the definition of Roulette. You're literally

636
00:32:46,080 --> 00:32:47,800
Speaker 1: taking a gun, throwing a couple of bullets in IT

637
00:32:47,920 --> 00:32:50,080
Speaker 1: and spinning it. With Carson Wentz, you have no idea

638
00:32:50,480 --> 00:32:52,280
Speaker 1: the outcome. I could give you all the numbers I

639
00:32:52,360 --> 00:32:54,840
Speaker 1: got back, all the reasons why you gotta take Washington here.

640
00:32:55,760 --> 00:32:57,880
Speaker 1: I have the hardest time ever convincing anyone listening to

641
00:32:57,880 --> 00:33:00,520
Speaker 1: the show to do it. It's it's disc susting, but

642
00:33:00,760 --> 00:33:03,880
Speaker 1: I think Chad's exactly right. Like not that we're just

643
00:33:03,920 --> 00:33:06,680
Speaker 1: selling them blindly. The Eagles in this position. This is

644
00:33:06,720 --> 00:33:09,040
Speaker 1: lines inflated like it should be four and a half.

645
00:33:09,080 --> 00:33:11,080
Speaker 1: It's six and a half. You getting two free points.

646
00:33:11,760 --> 00:33:15,000
Speaker 1: You take this every time Wentz can throw the ball.

647
00:33:15,160 --> 00:33:18,160
Speaker 1: This is clearly a great matchup for their offense. I

648
00:33:18,200 --> 00:33:21,480
Speaker 1: know the Egos look like unbelievable against the Vikings. Yeah,

649
00:33:21,480 --> 00:33:23,440
Speaker 1: and we just talked about the Vikings at all opportunity

650
00:33:23,440 --> 00:33:25,080
Speaker 1: of the world. They just didn't connect in the red zone.

651
00:33:25,440 --> 00:33:26,680
Speaker 1: I guess WHO's one of the best teams in the

652
00:33:26,680 --> 00:33:29,040
Speaker 1: red zone this season. The Washington football teams. I think

653
00:33:29,040 --> 00:33:30,840
Speaker 1: they're hitting at a nine percent clip in the red

654
00:33:30,920 --> 00:33:34,200
Speaker 1: zone again, only two weeks in, but they're efficient once

655
00:33:34,200 --> 00:33:36,960
Speaker 1: again in the red zone. So to me Chad's right.

656
00:33:37,120 --> 00:33:38,880
Speaker 1: We'll take the six and a half. But it's like

657
00:33:39,080 --> 00:33:41,640
Speaker 1: Carson Wentz man. I just don't know I'm gonna get

658
00:33:41,680 --> 00:33:43,880
Speaker 1: from play to play. The Guy is truly a wild card.

659
00:33:45,120 --> 00:33:49,280
Speaker 1: It's it's so frustrating to be a carson wentz better

660
00:33:49,400 --> 00:33:51,760
Speaker 1: one way or the other, because we've seen him fuck

661
00:33:51,840 --> 00:33:55,840
Speaker 1: us in every way. Yes, many times. You know, week

662
00:33:55,880 --> 00:33:58,280
Speaker 1: one he fucked us against the jags by coming back.

663
00:33:58,320 --> 00:34:02,320
Speaker 1: In Week two he almost sucked us by our contest

664
00:34:02,800 --> 00:34:06,360
Speaker 1: coming back. Uh. Here's an interesting stat from Evan Abrams.

665
00:34:06,760 --> 00:34:09,400
Speaker 1: Jalen hurts was forty one to win the M v

666
00:34:09,480 --> 00:34:14,000
Speaker 1: P when the odds opened. That was a h then

667
00:34:14,040 --> 00:34:17,880
Speaker 1: he moved down too to one, which is about eleven.

668
00:34:18,280 --> 00:34:22,560
Speaker 1: He's now tend to one, tied for yeah. So again,

669
00:34:22,600 --> 00:34:25,880
Speaker 1: as people that love the egos coming to the season,

670
00:34:25,960 --> 00:34:28,160
Speaker 1: we loved all the town the biggest question was can

671
00:34:28,280 --> 00:34:31,640
Speaker 1: hurts read a defense and make his third the second read?

672
00:34:31,719 --> 00:34:33,720
Speaker 1: Like you can't just throw it to your number one receiver,

673
00:34:34,280 --> 00:34:36,640
Speaker 1: a J Brown, was double covered all last night. He

674
00:34:36,719 --> 00:34:38,719
Speaker 1: worked his tight end, he worked his third receiver, he

675
00:34:38,719 --> 00:34:41,200
Speaker 1: worked his second re Siver. It's like, as an Egos Ferian,

676
00:34:41,239 --> 00:34:43,880
Speaker 1: that could not be happier. Um, but I also know

677
00:34:44,960 --> 00:34:48,000
Speaker 1: it's like I don't know, not that I think it's

678
00:34:48,040 --> 00:34:50,120
Speaker 1: moving too quick but like Chad just talked about, like

679
00:34:50,600 --> 00:34:53,560
Speaker 1: Eagles winning a primetime game like that so dominantly, just

680
00:34:53,640 --> 00:34:55,040
Speaker 1: the hype is gonna be out of the world right now.

681
00:34:55,080 --> 00:34:58,399
Speaker 1: Like I can't even imagine Philadelphia Sports Talk Radio. It's

682
00:34:58,440 --> 00:35:00,600
Speaker 1: just all gonna be such good vibes. This is kind

683
00:35:00,600 --> 00:35:03,160
Speaker 1: of where you're gonna FADE THE EAGLES team. People in

684
00:35:03,200 --> 00:35:05,120
Speaker 1: Philly don't really know what to do with good vibes.

685
00:35:07,160 --> 00:35:09,239
Speaker 1: They do because the weather is nice right now. I

686
00:35:09,239 --> 00:35:11,680
Speaker 1: would say once it's like December, you know, when it

687
00:35:11,680 --> 00:35:15,040
Speaker 1: gets cold it's different. But like at the tailgates last night, man,

688
00:35:15,040 --> 00:35:18,080
Speaker 1: everyone's not that everyone's really cocky, but we feel like

689
00:35:18,080 --> 00:35:20,799
Speaker 1: we kind of owned the Vikings just because we beat

690
00:35:20,840 --> 00:35:23,560
Speaker 1: them on the way to our super bowl. Um, I

691
00:35:23,719 --> 00:35:27,120
Speaker 1: just I could not get over how happy the vibes were.

692
00:35:27,200 --> 00:35:29,000
Speaker 1: Chat it made me so worried about our bet I

693
00:35:29,040 --> 00:35:31,200
Speaker 1: was like, we are fucked, like these people are already

694
00:35:31,239 --> 00:35:33,799
Speaker 1: cashing these tickets. This is not the position we want

695
00:35:33,800 --> 00:35:36,279
Speaker 1: to be in. But the eagles are good. Six and

696
00:35:36,280 --> 00:35:38,719
Speaker 1: a half point favorite on the ruin against the divisional team. Good,

697
00:35:38,880 --> 00:35:40,960
Speaker 1: I don't think so. Would you go to the game

698
00:35:41,000 --> 00:35:44,360
Speaker 1: with client? Yeah, like last minute, reached it out to

699
00:35:44,400 --> 00:35:46,400
Speaker 1: me to go. Um, so, I tell you, with buddies

700
00:35:46,400 --> 00:35:48,000
Speaker 1: and I met up with him in the stadiums. I

701
00:35:48,000 --> 00:35:49,160
Speaker 1: don't even know if the guy listened to shot. I

702
00:35:49,160 --> 00:35:50,799
Speaker 1: don't care. Not The biggest fan of the guy. He's

703
00:35:50,840 --> 00:35:55,520
Speaker 1: a pompous Asshole, nice enough to invite me to a game. Um,

704
00:35:55,560 --> 00:35:57,320
Speaker 1: while tell me about how amazing his life is. The

705
00:35:57,360 --> 00:36:02,120
Speaker 1: whole time when we went to the phillies game together,

706
00:36:03,239 --> 00:36:05,200
Speaker 1: I didn't tell you how amazing in my life was.

707
00:36:05,239 --> 00:36:06,560
Speaker 1: The whole time. I felt like we had a really

708
00:36:06,640 --> 00:36:09,040
Speaker 1: nice conversation. Now it was great. Now you're a humble

709
00:36:09,440 --> 00:36:11,560
Speaker 1: you're a sweetheart and you like Philadelphia because you drew

710
00:36:11,560 --> 00:36:14,240
Speaker 1: around a convertible and felt the city looked really beautiful

711
00:36:14,320 --> 00:36:17,879
Speaker 1: without realizing the city was showing up that night. Yeah,

712
00:36:17,920 --> 00:36:22,080
Speaker 1: that's true. The bills look that Mitchell, you want to

713
00:36:22,120 --> 00:36:23,600
Speaker 1: jump in here? For a second. You get anything you

714
00:36:23,600 --> 00:36:26,680
Speaker 1: want to say about eating wings at halftime with purple

715
00:36:26,719 --> 00:36:31,360
Speaker 1: gloves on. Yeah, obviously I was able to enjoy my

716
00:36:31,440 --> 00:36:34,160
Speaker 1: wings at halftime after the children went to bed. Slipped

717
00:36:34,200 --> 00:36:36,799
Speaker 1: on the late text clubs. I cannot and will not

718
00:36:36,920 --> 00:36:40,719
Speaker 1: deal with saucy nails. I had a great time. I

719
00:36:40,760 --> 00:36:43,600
Speaker 1: hate the titans have for twenty three years since the

720
00:36:43,680 --> 00:36:46,920
Speaker 1: music city miracle. Seeing them unhappy was such a delight.

721
00:36:47,040 --> 00:36:51,480
Speaker 1: Steve Levy just absolutely grave dancing with some of his calls,

722
00:36:51,600 --> 00:36:55,160
Speaker 1: talking about how the children of Orchard Park got out

723
00:36:55,160 --> 00:36:57,600
Speaker 1: of school early, but they got to bed early too

724
00:36:57,840 --> 00:37:00,880
Speaker 1: as they signed off, was fantastic stick and I know

725
00:37:00,920 --> 00:37:03,319
Speaker 1: a lot of people are sick of hearing the built

726
00:37:03,360 --> 00:37:06,200
Speaker 1: shout song. They made that pretty clear. That's why I

727
00:37:06,280 --> 00:37:10,120
Speaker 1: made uh the new Josh Allen Alarm as a response

728
00:37:10,200 --> 00:37:13,359
Speaker 1: to some of Simon Hunters but I would consider unwarranted

729
00:37:13,400 --> 00:37:17,440
Speaker 1: criticism of western New York's greatest natural resource. So I

730
00:37:17,480 --> 00:37:21,040
Speaker 1: will play that alarm right now and I will play

731
00:37:21,080 --> 00:37:23,200
Speaker 1: it every time the bills win and cover, until we're

732
00:37:23,280 --> 00:37:28,360
Speaker 1: left with no listeners at all. Alert here for Josh Allen,

733
00:37:30,080 --> 00:37:37,359
Speaker 1: looking for he's he's alarms, he's a football player through

734
00:37:37,400 --> 00:37:44,120
Speaker 1: and through. Its R and there you go, John, excuse me, putsdown.

735
00:37:44,440 --> 00:37:47,399
Speaker 1: How many quarterbacks have you ever seen? ARDLE? Anyone good?

736
00:37:48,120 --> 00:38:08,160
Speaker 1: There's no feeling, no way demands to do something about this. All,

737
00:38:18,640 --> 00:38:22,239
Speaker 1: all right, we'll listen. The bills were unbelievable last night.

738
00:38:22,680 --> 00:38:25,319
Speaker 1: The Way Josh Allen can throw the ball. It's just

739
00:38:25,400 --> 00:38:28,719
Speaker 1: something to behold. There's there's a level of comfort and

740
00:38:28,800 --> 00:38:32,520
Speaker 1: confidence where every time he throws it you're just in

741
00:38:32,680 --> 00:38:35,360
Speaker 1: wonder where it's gonna end up and you can't stop

742
00:38:35,400 --> 00:38:39,160
Speaker 1: saying wow, I love it, except I don't know if

743
00:38:39,200 --> 00:38:40,680
Speaker 1: I love them going on the road and being six

744
00:38:40,719 --> 00:38:44,960
Speaker 1: and a half point favorites against the Miami Dolphins. Yeah,

745
00:38:45,120 --> 00:38:48,480
Speaker 1: and I think exactly what Matt's talking about is just

746
00:38:48,520 --> 00:38:50,920
Speaker 1: the bills fans think we don't love the bills. Me

747
00:38:50,960 --> 00:38:53,040
Speaker 1: and Chad both said WHO's who we greater? Is Our

748
00:38:53,040 --> 00:38:55,520
Speaker 1: best quarterback and football coming to this year? Josh Owen.

749
00:38:55,600 --> 00:38:58,640
Speaker 1: We're both Patrick homes. I might have said Patrick homes,

750
00:38:58,960 --> 00:39:01,120
Speaker 1: but I said Josh Allen. So again, I love the guy.

751
00:39:01,239 --> 00:39:03,080
Speaker 1: I said I thought he was bigger superstar in the

752
00:39:03,120 --> 00:39:06,960
Speaker 1: Buffalo American eyes and O J Simpson probably was a

753
00:39:07,040 --> 00:39:09,680
Speaker 1: little earlier on that, but I still think he's like

754
00:39:09,880 --> 00:39:12,680
Speaker 1: the next big man because it's just in the football aspect.

755
00:39:12,760 --> 00:39:15,880
Speaker 1: He's just really likable and an incredible player. I think

756
00:39:15,960 --> 00:39:17,680
Speaker 1: was the first time they punted last night was like

757
00:39:17,760 --> 00:39:20,359
Speaker 1: midway through the third quarter. Um, he might have been

758
00:39:20,360 --> 00:39:21,560
Speaker 1: out of the game by then. I don't even know

759
00:39:21,600 --> 00:39:25,359
Speaker 1: because he was so good. I just I feel like

760
00:39:25,800 --> 00:39:27,879
Speaker 1: not that I got hate for Josh Allen. My whole

761
00:39:27,920 --> 00:39:29,319
Speaker 1: knock on him. The reason I was so much highing

762
00:39:29,360 --> 00:39:32,120
Speaker 1: the chief is the chiefs. Josh is Oh and two

763
00:39:32,120 --> 00:39:33,960
Speaker 1: in the playoffs against the chiefs. He's three and three

764
00:39:34,000 --> 00:39:36,719
Speaker 1: in the playoffs for his career. Nothing against him, it's

765
00:39:36,760 --> 00:39:40,320
Speaker 1: just basic stats. It's like Peyton manning took a long

766
00:39:40,360 --> 00:39:42,439
Speaker 1: time to get over that Tom Brady Hill. It took

767
00:39:42,480 --> 00:39:45,160
Speaker 1: a long time. Little things kept happy and they kept

768
00:39:45,200 --> 00:39:48,600
Speaker 1: losing in those battles. So to me, yeah, I'm excited.

769
00:39:48,719 --> 00:39:51,080
Speaker 1: I love everything I've seen from the bills. I think

770
00:39:51,080 --> 00:39:52,520
Speaker 1: we talked about coming of the year. They have to

771
00:39:52,520 --> 00:39:54,919
Speaker 1: get that one seed. Like just watching them at home,

772
00:39:55,719 --> 00:39:58,000
Speaker 1: Josh Allen is just a different beast at home and

773
00:39:58,040 --> 00:40:01,919
Speaker 1: their defense is different at home. So that that is unbelievable.

774
00:40:02,440 --> 00:40:04,719
Speaker 1: Now we have to make a decision. Chat, where you

775
00:40:04,760 --> 00:40:07,080
Speaker 1: get Miami coming off one of the craziest wins of

776
00:40:07,080 --> 00:40:11,040
Speaker 1: their entire lives at home against the bills. Who you

777
00:40:11,080 --> 00:40:12,600
Speaker 1: could say that was a big win for the bills.

778
00:40:12,719 --> 00:40:14,680
Speaker 1: It was like to me, that's just another night. To

779
00:40:14,800 --> 00:40:17,239
Speaker 1: Josh Allen, like that's nothing to him. We're two on

780
00:40:17,360 --> 00:40:19,400
Speaker 1: this Miami team nuts and everything went to them right

781
00:40:19,440 --> 00:40:22,879
Speaker 1: this ravens, that's the tone center for the season historically.

782
00:40:23,400 --> 00:40:26,880
Speaker 1: I think he's owing three now to against the bills

783
00:40:27,520 --> 00:40:29,640
Speaker 1: every time Josh Allen plays the bills. I mean Matt

784
00:40:29,640 --> 00:40:31,560
Speaker 1: Mitchell can speak to it. Am I wrong here? Matt is,

785
00:40:31,600 --> 00:40:35,080
Speaker 1: he just dominated them his whole early career. That's correct.

786
00:40:35,640 --> 00:40:40,160
Speaker 1: Bills fans hate Miami and Josh is dominant of that franchise.

787
00:40:40,640 --> 00:40:43,800
Speaker 1: Is a key component to why we love him so

788
00:40:43,800 --> 00:40:46,560
Speaker 1: so faithfully. So what do you want to do here? Chat,

789
00:40:46,560 --> 00:40:49,080
Speaker 1: because this screams over sharp trap that we're walking into.

790
00:40:49,640 --> 00:40:52,640
Speaker 1: But nine at times times I'm betting this number. It's

791
00:40:52,960 --> 00:40:55,960
Speaker 1: a divisional dog at home. The bills are coming down

792
00:40:55,960 --> 00:40:58,000
Speaker 1: to that hot, humid weather. We know they're gonna be

793
00:40:58,000 --> 00:41:00,200
Speaker 1: in the sideline with all the sun on them. This

794
00:41:00,239 --> 00:41:01,920
Speaker 1: is when we go against the bills. But it's like

795
00:41:02,760 --> 00:41:06,480
Speaker 1: this is a firepower game. Literally, Lamar, he's great. Josh

796
00:41:06,520 --> 00:41:09,200
Speaker 1: Allen is the better version of Lamar. You can run

797
00:41:09,200 --> 00:41:11,640
Speaker 1: and throw it better than Lamar. We just saw Lamar

798
00:41:11,680 --> 00:41:14,520
Speaker 1: did this Miami defense. It feels like we don't have

799
00:41:14,520 --> 00:41:16,759
Speaker 1: a choice here, but it's like, can I just take

800
00:41:16,800 --> 00:41:19,120
Speaker 1: the over and just be happy there? Do I have

801
00:41:19,160 --> 00:41:21,440
Speaker 1: to take Miami because it just feels like we have to, like,

802
00:41:21,520 --> 00:41:23,560
Speaker 1: I don't know how we don't take Miami in this position,

803
00:41:24,800 --> 00:41:27,040
Speaker 1: we're violating all of our principles if we don't take

804
00:41:27,080 --> 00:41:30,440
Speaker 1: this bit of a home dog. Then the team that

805
00:41:30,520 --> 00:41:35,279
Speaker 1: they're playing against is the number one public team in

806
00:41:35,320 --> 00:41:41,960
Speaker 1: the NFL right now. Totally. You were automatically getting at

807
00:41:42,040 --> 00:41:45,560
Speaker 1: least two points of value betting against this team every time.

808
00:41:45,840 --> 00:41:48,640
Speaker 1: But it might not matter. Look, that's what I mean.

809
00:41:48,680 --> 00:41:51,359
Speaker 1: Like you have to say to yourself, historically, Josh Allen,

810
00:41:51,400 --> 00:41:53,960
Speaker 1: you can look at the record as a favorite, we're

811
00:41:54,000 --> 00:41:56,560
Speaker 1: better off just taking Miami's money line because if he doesn't,

812
00:41:56,600 --> 00:41:59,560
Speaker 1: he doesn't cover. He Kills Teams Josh Allen in these positions. So,

813
00:41:59,600 --> 00:42:01,799
Speaker 1: like that's the hardest part. It's like we're literally going

814
00:42:01,840 --> 00:42:04,160
Speaker 1: against the guy that kind of breaks the rules. He's

815
00:42:04,239 --> 00:42:08,280
Speaker 1: that dominant right now in football. Uh. Here's two great

816
00:42:08,360 --> 00:42:11,279
Speaker 1: stats from Evan Abrams that actually you might want to

817
00:42:11,320 --> 00:42:14,040
Speaker 1: cover your ears for one of them. Through two games,

818
00:42:14,080 --> 00:42:16,440
Speaker 1: the bills are beating their opponents by twenty seven and

819
00:42:16,440 --> 00:42:19,920
Speaker 1: a half points per game, covering by twenty two points

820
00:42:19,960 --> 00:42:25,319
Speaker 1: per game. In the last twenty years, only four other

821
00:42:25,400 --> 00:42:29,120
Speaker 1: teams have won and covered by twenty plus points per

822
00:42:29,200 --> 00:42:35,400
Speaker 1: game through two games. Two Thousand Nineteen Patriots, Detroit Lions,

823
00:42:35,920 --> 00:42:39,720
Speaker 1: two thousand six San Diego chargers, two thousand six Chicago bears,

824
00:42:39,920 --> 00:42:43,279
Speaker 1: who went to the Super Bowl. By the way, none

825
00:42:43,280 --> 00:42:46,399
Speaker 1: of those four teams covered in week three at least.

826
00:42:46,440 --> 00:42:49,799
Speaker 1: That like doesn't influence us at all for betting, other

827
00:42:49,840 --> 00:42:53,160
Speaker 1: than it tells you the line gets inflated by week

828
00:42:53,200 --> 00:42:56,759
Speaker 1: three when teams are this dominant. Here's another one. The

829
00:42:56,800 --> 00:42:59,600
Speaker 1: bills are the nineteen ninth team in the Super Bowl

830
00:42:59,640 --> 00:43:03,600
Speaker 1: era with a scoring margin of plus sixty or better

831
00:43:03,719 --> 00:43:09,520
Speaker 1: through two games. None of the previous eight reached the

832
00:43:09,680 --> 00:43:14,280
Speaker 1: Super Bowl, and that's what sucks. It's like the public

833
00:43:14,760 --> 00:43:17,719
Speaker 1: the books make a killing of public favorite darling teams

834
00:43:17,760 --> 00:43:21,040
Speaker 1: that haven't done it before. It's like, I love everything

835
00:43:21,080 --> 00:43:24,360
Speaker 1: I've seen from them. It's just historically it does not

836
00:43:24,440 --> 00:43:26,840
Speaker 1: work out for the bill is like in these positions.

837
00:43:26,880 --> 00:43:29,839
Speaker 1: So that that's crazy number. Again. Another thing I haven't

838
00:43:29,840 --> 00:43:32,400
Speaker 1: sent to me that I loved that we talked division

839
00:43:32,440 --> 00:43:34,080
Speaker 1: dogs all year. There are four and one to start

840
00:43:34,120 --> 00:43:36,759
Speaker 1: the year. Home divisional dogs are four and one. The

841
00:43:36,880 --> 00:43:40,839
Speaker 1: only lost me Chad's lonely saints. So it's obviously been

842
00:43:40,920 --> 00:43:43,759
Speaker 1: very profitable lost earlier in the season to blindly take

843
00:43:43,800 --> 00:43:47,959
Speaker 1: these home dogs. Oh Simon, you know what, we gotta

844
00:43:48,000 --> 00:43:49,480
Speaker 1: put a pin in this one. I think this is

845
00:43:49,480 --> 00:43:51,760
Speaker 1: on our list. It's gonna be in our big balls,

846
00:43:51,800 --> 00:43:53,160
Speaker 1: but I already know it. It's just I'm trying to

847
00:43:53,200 --> 00:43:55,239
Speaker 1: fight it here on a Tuesday because every ounce of

848
00:43:55,239 --> 00:43:56,920
Speaker 1: my body like I just watched the tape on the

849
00:43:56,960 --> 00:43:59,839
Speaker 1: bills before he came on. It's unreal. He is UN

850
00:44:00,000 --> 00:44:02,200
Speaker 1: it would be like third and nine and ten. You

851
00:44:02,280 --> 00:44:04,040
Speaker 1: knew he was gonna throw for a first down or

852
00:44:04,040 --> 00:44:06,240
Speaker 1: he's gonna run for a first down. Like that fourth

853
00:44:06,360 --> 00:44:10,120
Speaker 1: that fourth down touchdown the digs. It's ridiculous. It's ridiculous

854
00:44:10,239 --> 00:44:12,239
Speaker 1: like it is truly ridiculous. How good is? So that's

855
00:44:12,239 --> 00:44:15,560
Speaker 1: what I'm just thinking in my head right now. Well, look,

856
00:44:15,840 --> 00:44:18,600
Speaker 1: let's let's put a pin in this one. We'll talk

857
00:44:18,600 --> 00:44:21,000
Speaker 1: about it on Thursday. It could end up being our

858
00:44:21,040 --> 00:44:22,839
Speaker 1: big balls, it could end up being on the list.

859
00:44:23,200 --> 00:44:26,359
Speaker 1: We still got to give people an exact decision and

860
00:44:26,520 --> 00:44:29,839
Speaker 1: a Simon says. So we got some room to maneuver here.

861
00:44:30,200 --> 00:44:34,760
Speaker 1: Putting a pin in the bills Dolphin. UH, bengals minus

862
00:44:34,800 --> 00:44:38,000
Speaker 1: four and a half against the jets. Uh, this line

863
00:44:38,000 --> 00:44:40,680
Speaker 1: has moved down. I think the look aheadline on this

864
00:44:40,760 --> 00:44:46,799
Speaker 1: game was seven. So my theory on this again, I've

865
00:44:46,800 --> 00:44:48,919
Speaker 1: already bet the bengals at minus four and a half.

866
00:44:49,000 --> 00:44:53,480
Speaker 1: I know jets at home, home underdog, decent sized number,

867
00:44:54,080 --> 00:44:57,560
Speaker 1: but that's too much love for the jets, too much

868
00:44:57,600 --> 00:45:01,680
Speaker 1: hate for the bengals. This is a really by low,

869
00:45:01,719 --> 00:45:06,720
Speaker 1: sell high situation for me, in fact. In fact, exact decision.

870
00:45:07,000 --> 00:45:10,719
Speaker 1: Bengals minus four and a half, the choice between the

871
00:45:10,920 --> 00:45:20,600
Speaker 1: unthinkable and the impossible decision. Wow, I'm shocked you're taking

872
00:45:20,640 --> 00:45:23,560
Speaker 1: this stance just because historically you usually want to take

873
00:45:23,600 --> 00:45:26,200
Speaker 1: the jets in this position, because we've seen kind of

874
00:45:26,200 --> 00:45:28,359
Speaker 1: what the bengals are like. We talked about it all

875
00:45:28,440 --> 00:45:31,839
Speaker 1: last season, all the way through the postseason. They can

876
00:45:31,920 --> 00:45:34,359
Speaker 1: muddy the waters, they make games ugly and they would

877
00:45:34,360 --> 00:45:37,359
Speaker 1: win by a field goal. What has happened this season Chad?

878
00:45:38,160 --> 00:45:41,279
Speaker 1: Their last three games they've played right, including the Super Bowl.

879
00:45:41,320 --> 00:45:43,360
Speaker 1: In the first two this year they've lost by a

880
00:45:43,400 --> 00:45:46,799
Speaker 1: field goal. So a team that was due for regression

881
00:45:47,200 --> 00:45:50,120
Speaker 1: has now had the regression. So I'm a little worried

882
00:45:50,160 --> 00:45:51,960
Speaker 1: because we're just playing the numbers here. We're getting four

883
00:45:52,000 --> 00:45:53,600
Speaker 1: and a half of the dog against a team that

884
00:45:53,719 --> 00:45:56,719
Speaker 1: loves to win by three or lose by three. But

885
00:45:56,840 --> 00:45:59,680
Speaker 1: I feel like everything is said true. It's like, are

886
00:45:59,680 --> 00:46:02,520
Speaker 1: we gonna FADE JOE BUR own three against the spread

887
00:46:02,560 --> 00:46:04,960
Speaker 1: and start your own three, um, because again, this is

888
00:46:04,960 --> 00:46:06,879
Speaker 1: probably one of our survivor picks. This is a tough

889
00:46:06,920 --> 00:46:09,800
Speaker 1: week for survivor. then either them or Minnesota. In my opinion,

890
00:46:09,800 --> 00:46:13,600
Speaker 1: there were the two best spots. But man, that's that's crazy.

891
00:46:13,640 --> 00:46:16,040
Speaker 1: You just went right in on a road favorite. You've

892
00:46:16,080 --> 00:46:18,640
Speaker 1: been killing it with home dogs in your exact pick.

893
00:46:19,560 --> 00:46:21,440
Speaker 1: I'm shocked at this. This I don't even know how

894
00:46:21,440 --> 00:46:25,799
Speaker 1: to call it a true turn by Chad. It is

895
00:46:25,840 --> 00:46:28,839
Speaker 1: by and low, though, on the bengals or or, by

896
00:46:28,840 --> 00:46:33,719
Speaker 1: the way, I just made a sharp right turn into Squaresville.

897
00:46:35,719 --> 00:46:37,920
Speaker 1: That's what stuff picking this on a Tuesday, though. It's like,

898
00:46:38,080 --> 00:46:39,560
Speaker 1: I kind of get what you're coming from, but I

899
00:46:39,600 --> 00:46:41,480
Speaker 1: can see the public being with you. I kind of

900
00:46:41,480 --> 00:46:43,560
Speaker 1: get what you're saying here. It's just scared where. The

901
00:46:43,600 --> 00:46:46,080
Speaker 1: bengals have just keep showing US exactly what they are,

902
00:46:46,080 --> 00:46:48,560
Speaker 1: a team that just wins and grinds games by three.

903
00:46:49,200 --> 00:46:51,200
Speaker 1: I think this is their make or break game, I

904
00:46:51,280 --> 00:46:55,080
Speaker 1: really do. They're owing to Joe Burrow, has now had

905
00:46:55,120 --> 00:46:57,239
Speaker 1: two games. Remember, he's had to play himself into shape

906
00:46:57,239 --> 00:47:00,000
Speaker 1: a little bit because he didn't get a full training camp.

907
00:47:01,360 --> 00:47:05,080
Speaker 1: The jets don't have the same pass rush that the

908
00:47:05,120 --> 00:47:07,560
Speaker 1: bengals faced in the steelers and that they faced in

909
00:47:07,600 --> 00:47:11,600
Speaker 1: the cowboys. Um, this is a good, get healthy spot

910
00:47:11,920 --> 00:47:14,440
Speaker 1: for the bengals and, like, I know, it goes against

911
00:47:14,480 --> 00:47:17,920
Speaker 1: everything I believe in betting against the home dog, but

912
00:47:18,000 --> 00:47:23,000
Speaker 1: I am. I am putting more faith in the number

913
00:47:23,080 --> 00:47:27,280
Speaker 1: moving and the public perception than I am in the

914
00:47:27,320 --> 00:47:30,719
Speaker 1: home dog. That's fair. Again, I'm just a little word.

915
00:47:30,760 --> 00:47:32,680
Speaker 1: You're underrating the jets team. Okay, I don't want to

916
00:47:32,680 --> 00:47:34,799
Speaker 1: overrate them, because I know what we're talking about. They're

917
00:47:34,840 --> 00:47:37,680
Speaker 1: literally down by fourteen and they should have lost to

918
00:47:37,719 --> 00:47:41,000
Speaker 1: the browns of Nick Chubbs just filling the ball. But man,

919
00:47:41,160 --> 00:47:44,480
Speaker 1: it's it's crazy. This kid Wilson, the receiver for the

920
00:47:44,560 --> 00:47:47,600
Speaker 1: jets right now. He is he's something special. That Kudata,

921
00:47:47,600 --> 00:47:52,319
Speaker 1: Ohio State. What are you afraid of? Robert Salo, like

922
00:47:52,360 --> 00:47:55,360
Speaker 1: he's I'm not keeping not at all. I honestly just

923
00:47:55,360 --> 00:47:57,919
Speaker 1: scared to Zach Taylor. It's like I've seen so many

924
00:47:57,920 --> 00:48:00,319
Speaker 1: clips now, even that bikes game or the cow his game.

925
00:48:00,400 --> 00:48:03,080
Speaker 1: Joe Burrow is like give me help, like give me

926
00:48:03,160 --> 00:48:06,600
Speaker 1: some of the chip block. Michael Parsons and Zach Taylor

927
00:48:06,680 --> 00:48:09,720
Speaker 1: didn't do it again, Joe Burrow, I'd be so terrified

928
00:48:09,719 --> 00:48:11,440
Speaker 1: as a Branglos Fan, like this guy is about the

929
00:48:11,480 --> 00:48:13,239
Speaker 1: pull of David Carr on you like he's gonna be

930
00:48:13,239 --> 00:48:15,160
Speaker 1: out of the League in five years because his body

931
00:48:15,200 --> 00:48:17,960
Speaker 1: is gonna break down. No, no, players haven't sacked more

932
00:48:17,960 --> 00:48:21,000
Speaker 1: in the history of football to start their career than

933
00:48:21,120 --> 00:48:24,279
Speaker 1: Joe Burrow. And he's missed time. He's still outpacing every

934
00:48:24,320 --> 00:48:27,200
Speaker 1: other quarterback. It's it's truly terrified. As a fan of

935
00:48:27,280 --> 00:48:33,160
Speaker 1: Joe and a coworker of Joe Burrows, I think he

936
00:48:33,200 --> 00:48:37,200
Speaker 1: shows up this week for Colin show. He's a pro.

937
00:48:38,360 --> 00:48:42,799
Speaker 1: He's Joe the pro. Uh. The raiders. All right, well,

938
00:48:42,800 --> 00:48:44,560
Speaker 1: that's interesting. You still gotta give us a sign and

939
00:48:44,600 --> 00:48:48,640
Speaker 1: says the raiders h two point favorites on the road

940
00:48:48,640 --> 00:48:55,400
Speaker 1: of Tennessee. Come on, come on. The Autumn win is

941
00:48:55,400 --> 00:48:59,279
Speaker 1: a raider pillaging just for fun. I don't know what

942
00:48:59,320 --> 00:49:02,520
Speaker 1: to do. Every bounce of my biases take Tennessee, but

943
00:49:03,080 --> 00:49:06,880
Speaker 1: the raiders actually have a good talent on offense. Like

944
00:49:06,960 --> 00:49:10,360
Speaker 1: I don't know what Tennessee's identity is like. Even Derrick

945
00:49:10,400 --> 00:49:13,439
Speaker 1: Henry looks old and broken right, like, yeah, he looked,

946
00:49:13,480 --> 00:49:16,760
Speaker 1: didn't is it amazing how there were there were plays

947
00:49:16,840 --> 00:49:19,640
Speaker 1: last night where a year ago it would have been

948
00:49:19,640 --> 00:49:22,719
Speaker 1: Derrick Henry for fifty breaking four tackles and he was

949
00:49:22,719 --> 00:49:27,000
Speaker 1: getting there was nothing intimidating about tackling Derrick Henry. You

950
00:49:27,040 --> 00:49:30,640
Speaker 1: get any defensive back or linebacker WHO's coming up playing

951
00:49:30,640 --> 00:49:35,000
Speaker 1: the titans and you'll get some you know media person

952
00:49:35,040 --> 00:49:37,680
Speaker 1: who can't think of a better question than was Ada,

953
00:49:37,800 --> 00:49:43,480
Speaker 1: Dear Henry, and last night I doing a little very hard. Yeah,

954
00:49:43,520 --> 00:49:45,720
Speaker 1: I would say even if you checked out the fantasy

955
00:49:45,719 --> 00:49:47,680
Speaker 1: show this summer, they're kind of on it right that

956
00:49:47,760 --> 00:49:52,320
Speaker 1: the running back after Um, I know Sean Corner was

957
00:49:52,360 --> 00:49:55,799
Speaker 1: definitely on it. Talking about this, historical data backs up.

958
00:49:55,840 --> 00:49:58,239
Speaker 1: There's a cliff. These guys fall off after hitting that number.

959
00:49:58,320 --> 00:50:00,920
Speaker 1: Twenty seven. kind of see and out Derek like. I

960
00:50:00,920 --> 00:50:03,000
Speaker 1: don't want to doubt him because it's it's King Henry

961
00:50:03,120 --> 00:50:06,240
Speaker 1: and this guy always puts up the numbers, but something's

962
00:50:06,239 --> 00:50:08,960
Speaker 1: wrong clear with that Tennessee offense. Um, they look a

963
00:50:08,960 --> 00:50:11,319
Speaker 1: little broken right now. So I don't know what to do.

964
00:50:11,440 --> 00:50:13,319
Speaker 1: chaving this one. I'd probably passed on it right now,

965
00:50:13,400 --> 00:50:15,640
Speaker 1: but I, let's say, my instincts want me to take

966
00:50:15,719 --> 00:50:19,399
Speaker 1: the raiders, but I just feel so freaking piste off

967
00:50:19,440 --> 00:50:22,600
Speaker 1: about them and I just don't know if their head

968
00:50:22,640 --> 00:50:25,840
Speaker 1: coach is good. Like mcdanields might be a freaking idiot.

969
00:50:25,880 --> 00:50:29,400
Speaker 1: Like again, there's a reason he failed in Denver starting

970
00:50:29,400 --> 00:50:31,960
Speaker 1: his career. And two straight up and two against the

971
00:50:31,960 --> 00:50:33,839
Speaker 1: spread with the raiders. I don't know, it's not getting

972
00:50:33,880 --> 00:50:36,200
Speaker 1: too much to want to back here. gave the game away.

973
00:50:36,480 --> 00:50:40,839
Speaker 1: gave it w away at home had to be excruciating

974
00:50:40,840 --> 00:50:42,840
Speaker 1: to watch that from the sideline, because it was as

975
00:50:42,840 --> 00:50:47,759
Speaker 1: cruciating to watch it from my fucking couch. Yeah, Jaguars

976
00:50:47,880 --> 00:50:51,000
Speaker 1: on the road at the Los Angeles chargers. They are

977
00:50:51,080 --> 00:50:55,320
Speaker 1: seven point underdogs right now. This is our pro Joe

978
00:50:55,800 --> 00:50:59,080
Speaker 1: Game of the week. Of the bets on the chargers

979
00:50:59,120 --> 00:51:02,000
Speaker 1: at seven point. If it's eight, two percent of the

980
00:51:02,040 --> 00:51:07,200
Speaker 1: money coming in on the JAG wires. That might be me.

981
00:51:07,719 --> 00:51:09,279
Speaker 1: I might be walking ready to do it here, but

982
00:51:09,360 --> 00:51:12,160
Speaker 1: it's like you're giving me a banged up Herbert. He's

983
00:51:12,239 --> 00:51:14,040
Speaker 1: tough as ship. I know he's gonna play in this

984
00:51:14,080 --> 00:51:17,000
Speaker 1: game and if he's not, even better. I already locked

985
00:51:17,080 --> 00:51:21,160
Speaker 1: up a jags plus seven. Just grab it, just grab

986
00:51:21,280 --> 00:51:24,320
Speaker 1: this number. Ride with the ride with the other pros. Again,

987
00:51:24,600 --> 00:51:27,000
Speaker 1: nothing against the chargers. I think on paper they're much

988
00:51:27,040 --> 00:51:31,480
Speaker 1: more talented team. The Jaguars are sending at the perfect

989
00:51:31,480 --> 00:51:33,239
Speaker 1: time right now. To me, their offense just looked like

990
00:51:33,239 --> 00:51:35,479
Speaker 1: it was clicking it every way and their defense looks

991
00:51:35,480 --> 00:51:39,480
Speaker 1: really good, like they've made moves on defense that I've

992
00:51:39,480 --> 00:51:41,279
Speaker 1: really panned out. I mean they're again their first round

993
00:51:41,320 --> 00:51:43,640
Speaker 1: pick from this year looks great and Josh Allen still

994
00:51:43,640 --> 00:51:45,279
Speaker 1: the other on the other side at the end. It's

995
00:51:45,320 --> 00:51:47,439
Speaker 1: like people forget how dominant at the end and pass

996
00:51:47,520 --> 00:51:50,200
Speaker 1: rusher he is as well. So to me I love

997
00:51:50,280 --> 00:51:52,520
Speaker 1: this number. Plus seven. I already knew me and she

998
00:51:52,680 --> 00:51:54,719
Speaker 1: were probably gonna have this one because we both love

999
00:51:54,800 --> 00:51:58,640
Speaker 1: the jags. Um The fact that Herbert's banged up just

1000
00:51:58,640 --> 00:52:01,600
Speaker 1: gives even more of a reason to take the Jaguars here, right.

1001
00:52:01,680 --> 00:52:03,600
Speaker 1: We know he's gonna get roughed up a little bit.

1002
00:52:03,920 --> 00:52:06,160
Speaker 1: He's gonna be feeling it. To me, you're taking a

1003
00:52:06,200 --> 00:52:09,359
Speaker 1: bang up quarterback at minus seven that they have to have,

1004
00:52:09,840 --> 00:52:11,920
Speaker 1: you know, much more going on than what the chargers do.

1005
00:52:12,040 --> 00:52:15,800
Speaker 1: The chargers team. They haven't covered. They haven't earned that seven.

1006
00:52:15,880 --> 00:52:17,799
Speaker 1: To me, like right, this is more the public being

1007
00:52:17,840 --> 00:52:20,160
Speaker 1: like coming to the year the Jaguars will look down

1008
00:52:20,200 --> 00:52:22,520
Speaker 1: on charger. Were supposed to be a super bowl favorite.

1009
00:52:23,280 --> 00:52:24,560
Speaker 1: I don't really see it that way. I see these

1010
00:52:24,560 --> 00:52:27,080
Speaker 1: two evenly match teams. So to me, as long as

1011
00:52:27,120 --> 00:52:28,520
Speaker 1: it's about four and a half, which is why I

1012
00:52:28,520 --> 00:52:29,960
Speaker 1: have this number at I would take it down to

1013
00:52:30,040 --> 00:52:35,880
Speaker 1: that number. Alright. So is this a a Simon says moment? No,

1014
00:52:36,160 --> 00:52:38,000
Speaker 1: I got that coming up, because this one feels like, honestly,

1015
00:52:38,000 --> 00:52:39,680
Speaker 1: the public will be easy to bet on, like people

1016
00:52:39,719 --> 00:52:41,640
Speaker 1: are gonna want to bet this Jack's team. So this

1017
00:52:41,680 --> 00:52:43,880
Speaker 1: is not like again I, like Simon says, to be

1018
00:52:43,920 --> 00:52:46,560
Speaker 1: a game that no one really wants to bet. All right. Well,

1019
00:52:46,760 --> 00:52:50,080
Speaker 1: for the record, while you were talking, I went into

1020
00:52:50,120 --> 00:52:54,239
Speaker 1: Fandel and I played the Jaguars at plus seven. I

1021
00:52:54,320 --> 00:52:57,960
Speaker 1: gotta do it and I have now tracked that in

1022
00:52:58,000 --> 00:53:01,880
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1052
00:54:42,400 --> 00:54:46,759
Speaker 1: in Wyoming or visit www. One eight hundred gambler dot

1053
00:54:46,800 --> 00:54:53,239
Speaker 1: net in West Virginia. All right, packers on the road

1054
00:54:53,239 --> 00:54:57,440
Speaker 1: of the buccaneers. This is an interesting one. This is

1055
00:54:57,480 --> 00:55:01,920
Speaker 1: an interesting game, my friend, packers plus two and a

1056
00:55:01,960 --> 00:55:06,160
Speaker 1: half of the bucks. The bucks might be the worst

1057
00:55:06,280 --> 00:55:08,600
Speaker 1: looking to an old team in the NFL right now.

1058
00:55:09,000 --> 00:55:13,160
Speaker 1: How dare you? And Look. They've just been terrible in

1059
00:55:13,239 --> 00:55:16,279
Speaker 1: both of their games. The packers did exactly what we

1060
00:55:16,320 --> 00:55:20,280
Speaker 1: thought they would do in years past when the packers

1061
00:55:20,280 --> 00:55:23,000
Speaker 1: have played the bucks. This is when Aaron Rodgers gets

1062
00:55:23,040 --> 00:55:30,400
Speaker 1: most confused, most frustrated and most angry. Minus two Simon says,

1063
00:55:30,840 --> 00:55:38,480
Speaker 1: bet the bucks do it first bet I made when

1064
00:55:38,480 --> 00:55:40,520
Speaker 1: I woke up, before I go in and watch that

1065
00:55:40,640 --> 00:55:43,759
Speaker 1: Queen get putting the ground sucking years. Minus two and

1066
00:55:43,760 --> 00:55:46,359
Speaker 1: a half loved it. Jumped out on me right away

1067
00:55:46,400 --> 00:55:49,080
Speaker 1: where it's like people don't really get what this bucks

1068
00:55:49,120 --> 00:55:52,680
Speaker 1: team is. A great, great defense. This is gonna be

1069
00:55:52,680 --> 00:55:56,080
Speaker 1: the best defense that our guy at rodgers ever played

1070
00:55:56,080 --> 00:55:57,920
Speaker 1: against this bucks team, and we're already seen what he's

1071
00:55:57,920 --> 00:56:01,600
Speaker 1: done against those other defenses. He floundered, especially against the

1072
00:56:01,640 --> 00:56:05,480
Speaker 1: bucks in Florida. Love this position again. They've changed their

1073
00:56:05,520 --> 00:56:09,560
Speaker 1: identity Tampa. To me he's just kind of survived these

1074
00:56:09,560 --> 00:56:11,880
Speaker 1: injuries brady. They're bringing in guys off the street like

1075
00:56:11,920 --> 00:56:14,560
Speaker 1: Cole Beasley, adding weapons. It kind of shows that Brady

1076
00:56:14,800 --> 00:56:16,239
Speaker 1: he just wants guys in there and he kind of

1077
00:56:16,280 --> 00:56:18,160
Speaker 1: just wants this guy drunk back and kind of saw

1078
00:56:18,160 --> 00:56:20,120
Speaker 1: that in that game, like he doesn't have trust in

1079
00:56:20,120 --> 00:56:21,960
Speaker 1: these other receivers. So I say that would maybe be

1080
00:56:22,040 --> 00:56:24,880
Speaker 1: my pause. But I love this defensive matchup against a

1081
00:56:24,880 --> 00:56:27,920
Speaker 1: Green Bay team that's still figure out their identity. It's like, okay,

1082
00:56:27,920 --> 00:56:29,440
Speaker 1: all you have to do is take aways, two running

1083
00:56:29,440 --> 00:56:32,120
Speaker 1: backs and what's Rogers Really gonna do? Again, there's a

1084
00:56:32,120 --> 00:56:34,600
Speaker 1: couple of times against the bears where he's Wunning to

1085
00:56:34,600 --> 00:56:36,160
Speaker 1: get a good defense. I don't think he'd be making

1086
00:56:36,200 --> 00:56:38,960
Speaker 1: those plays Um, and this is to me, when the

1087
00:56:38,960 --> 00:56:42,560
Speaker 1: best defense is the football a team that I was

1088
00:56:42,719 --> 00:56:44,719
Speaker 1: in on and Chad was not in on coming into

1089
00:56:44,719 --> 00:56:47,160
Speaker 1: the season. The fact that he thinks they're they're one

1090
00:56:47,160 --> 00:56:48,799
Speaker 1: of the worst looking two and oh teams. When we

1091
00:56:48,800 --> 00:56:51,080
Speaker 1: have the giants who're sitting there too and Oh, it's

1092
00:56:51,120 --> 00:56:55,320
Speaker 1: just amazing. It's just classic chat. So I love the

1093
00:56:55,360 --> 00:56:57,959
Speaker 1: books in this position. I think that again we're talking

1094
00:56:58,000 --> 00:57:02,160
Speaker 1: about numbers, moving base stuff. What happened last week summer

1095
00:57:02,280 --> 00:57:03,680
Speaker 1: was three and a half. It dropped down to two

1096
00:57:03,719 --> 00:57:05,920
Speaker 1: and a half. Off the Mike, Emma's news and everything else.

1097
00:57:06,560 --> 00:57:08,359
Speaker 1: That doesn't really matter. It doesn't really bother me. It's

1098
00:57:08,400 --> 00:57:11,319
Speaker 1: like I'm back in this team here in Tampa that

1099
00:57:11,360 --> 00:57:13,719
Speaker 1: can run the ball really well against screen bay team

1100
00:57:13,719 --> 00:57:15,759
Speaker 1: that really can't stop the run and that it's kind

1101
00:57:15,760 --> 00:57:18,640
Speaker 1: of become one dimensional offense. I just think you're getting

1102
00:57:18,640 --> 00:57:22,120
Speaker 1: a great number here, especially the fact that Stampa's first

1103
00:57:22,120 --> 00:57:26,200
Speaker 1: game at home. I love this position with Brady. The

1104
00:57:26,200 --> 00:57:27,960
Speaker 1: reason I say they looked like one of the worst

1105
00:57:28,000 --> 00:57:31,520
Speaker 1: two and oh teams is because there's been no joy

1106
00:57:31,720 --> 00:57:35,439
Speaker 1: in this team. And and honestly, the giants, while they're

1107
00:57:35,480 --> 00:57:39,560
Speaker 1: not very good, they're joyful. The bucks just look like

1108
00:57:39,640 --> 00:57:43,640
Speaker 1: they're completely lacking any joy. Yeah, I mean Brady, you

1109
00:57:43,640 --> 00:57:45,680
Speaker 1: can just tell he's going through some ship. Like anytime

1110
00:57:45,720 --> 00:57:48,840
Speaker 1: you see a forty five year old man screaming at

1111
00:57:48,880 --> 00:57:51,680
Speaker 1: some twenty year old, it just looks weird. It just

1112
00:57:51,760 --> 00:57:55,240
Speaker 1: looks weird. So I'm with you. Like Brady, it felt

1113
00:57:55,240 --> 00:57:57,440
Speaker 1: like he was having a mini temper temper tantrum on

1114
00:57:57,480 --> 00:58:00,400
Speaker 1: the field, like every other play, because this as were

1115
00:58:00,400 --> 00:58:03,320
Speaker 1: just beating the crap out of them, but I just

1116
00:58:03,560 --> 00:58:06,400
Speaker 1: I love them in this position. So I understand where

1117
00:58:06,400 --> 00:58:10,080
Speaker 1: you're coming from. Them looking not that fun, but it's

1118
00:58:10,120 --> 00:58:12,160
Speaker 1: just it's just kind of the Brady level of like

1119
00:58:12,360 --> 00:58:14,680
Speaker 1: Super Bowl or bust, and I do believe in them.

1120
00:58:15,640 --> 00:58:20,600
Speaker 1: Falcons on the road, two point underdogs against the Seattle seahawks.

1121
00:58:22,440 --> 00:58:24,000
Speaker 1: What the Hell am I gonna do here, Chad? You

1122
00:58:24,040 --> 00:58:26,200
Speaker 1: already know we want to bet Atlanta like a great

1123
00:58:26,280 --> 00:58:29,560
Speaker 1: running team against a bad run defense in Seattle with

1124
00:58:29,640 --> 00:58:32,080
Speaker 1: Geno Smith the quarterback that could not do a single thing,

1125
00:58:32,960 --> 00:58:36,160
Speaker 1: but we're buying high in Atlanta right now. Yeah, so

1126
00:58:36,200 --> 00:58:37,600
Speaker 1: I don't know what to do with this one. Like

1127
00:58:37,640 --> 00:58:39,760
Speaker 1: I really wanted to grab it. It was, I think,

1128
00:58:39,880 --> 00:58:42,680
Speaker 1: three interesting is back up. That means some pro money

1129
00:58:42,760 --> 00:58:45,240
Speaker 1: must came in on the Seahawks, because to me I

1130
00:58:45,280 --> 00:58:49,760
Speaker 1: don't see any public betting seahawks. It's gonna be probably

1131
00:58:49,760 --> 00:58:51,800
Speaker 1: a pros versus shows game. I see the pros probably

1132
00:58:51,800 --> 00:58:54,720
Speaker 1: back in the sea seahawks at home and the public

1133
00:58:54,800 --> 00:58:59,000
Speaker 1: taking uh, Atlanta. I'm I'm torn here because I like Atlanta.

1134
00:58:59,080 --> 00:59:00,960
Speaker 1: I just love they're all offense. I love their run

1135
00:59:01,000 --> 00:59:03,840
Speaker 1: scheme and I think they have more playmakers on defense

1136
00:59:03,840 --> 00:59:06,160
Speaker 1: and the SEAHAWKS team does. So this is the rare

1137
00:59:06,200 --> 00:59:08,200
Speaker 1: time I'll be with the public, but I can't be

1138
00:59:08,200 --> 00:59:09,880
Speaker 1: talked out of I'll be on Atlanta in this game.

1139
00:59:12,560 --> 00:59:14,920
Speaker 1: I have different feelings about Atlanta than you do. I

1140
00:59:14,960 --> 00:59:17,160
Speaker 1: don't think Arthur Smith right now is a good enough

1141
00:59:17,200 --> 00:59:21,920
Speaker 1: coach to win these Games, and we're essentially saying it

1142
00:59:22,040 --> 00:59:24,440
Speaker 1: a number this short. I like that. I like the

1143
00:59:24,480 --> 00:59:28,400
Speaker 1: Falcons is big dogs. A number this short, we're essentially saying, hey,

1144
00:59:28,680 --> 00:59:32,360
Speaker 1: Marcus Mariotta, Arthur Smith, go on the road to Seattle

1145
00:59:33,400 --> 00:59:37,040
Speaker 1: in a game at that where they're going to feel

1146
00:59:37,040 --> 00:59:43,120
Speaker 1: desperate and try to beat the seahawks. Don't. Doesn't phaze me.

1147
00:59:43,280 --> 00:59:45,760
Speaker 1: I just think it's see how sucks. I really do

1148
00:59:45,880 --> 00:59:47,840
Speaker 1: like that's why I was so big on the point

1149
00:59:47,880 --> 00:59:50,080
Speaker 1: Ander's last week. I wish I didn't buckle on that.

1150
00:59:50,160 --> 00:59:52,960
Speaker 1: It was just like this team is not good. They

1151
00:59:53,040 --> 00:59:55,720
Speaker 1: got so many good breaks and bounces for them against

1152
00:59:55,760 --> 00:59:58,920
Speaker 1: that Denver team, where I'm with you in Atlanta, like

1153
00:59:59,000 --> 01:00:00,800
Speaker 1: I don't really trust art or Smith either, and he

1154
01:00:00,840 --> 01:00:03,840
Speaker 1: says some stupid ship as pressors where I'm like rolling

1155
01:00:03,840 --> 01:00:07,040
Speaker 1: my eyes at the Guy, but I love the run scheme.

1156
01:00:07,040 --> 01:00:10,200
Speaker 1: He's running with this team like he's literally using Mariana strengths.

1157
01:00:10,880 --> 01:00:13,000
Speaker 1: And I know people are losing their minds about Kyle Pitts.

1158
01:00:13,040 --> 01:00:15,600
Speaker 1: It's like, what do you want Mary to do? Kyle

1159
01:00:15,640 --> 01:00:17,680
Speaker 1: Pitts is getting double teams, so he's going to drake London.

1160
01:00:17,720 --> 01:00:20,800
Speaker 1: It's just he's a simple quarterback and that's a simple play.

1161
01:00:20,920 --> 01:00:24,760
Speaker 1: So I exactly understand where Chad's coming from. So I

1162
01:00:24,800 --> 01:00:27,400
Speaker 1: know this won't be one of our five, but I'm

1163
01:00:27,440 --> 01:00:29,120
Speaker 1: just having a tough time talk to myself out of

1164
01:00:29,120 --> 01:00:31,480
Speaker 1: the Atlanta team. I'm sucked in. I just love their

1165
01:00:31,520 --> 01:00:34,800
Speaker 1: scheme and I love this matchup for them. All right,

1166
01:00:35,080 --> 01:00:37,360
Speaker 1: I could be talked into it right now. By the way,

1167
01:00:37,720 --> 01:00:41,520
Speaker 1: we've got probably four games that we definitely like, then

1168
01:00:41,560 --> 01:00:43,720
Speaker 1: a whole list of game we're waiting to see some

1169
01:00:43,760 --> 01:00:46,120
Speaker 1: action on. I mean it is Tuesday, like there's there's

1170
01:00:46,120 --> 01:00:48,160
Speaker 1: a bunch of injuries right now. It is tough to

1171
01:00:48,200 --> 01:00:50,240
Speaker 1: just dive in on some of these games. Let me

1172
01:00:50,240 --> 01:00:52,600
Speaker 1: ask you a question. Have you bet the commanders at

1173
01:00:52,640 --> 01:00:55,360
Speaker 1: plus six and a half yet? No, because I'm open

1174
01:00:55,400 --> 01:00:57,760
Speaker 1: a seven. Like I I was hoping for a seven

1175
01:00:57,840 --> 01:01:00,560
Speaker 1: just because of I woke up the this morning. That

1176
01:01:00,680 --> 01:01:02,480
Speaker 1: was the first thing I checked after the eagles one

1177
01:01:03,120 --> 01:01:05,120
Speaker 1: and it's just not there. So maybe the pros did

1178
01:01:05,160 --> 01:01:06,640
Speaker 1: bet it when it got to seven. I just haven't

1179
01:01:06,640 --> 01:01:09,080
Speaker 1: seen a seven yet. Um. But again, I don't hate

1180
01:01:09,120 --> 01:01:11,600
Speaker 1: at six and a half either, like that's good value.

1181
01:01:11,760 --> 01:01:13,520
Speaker 1: It's just if I'm gonna bet a decent on the money,

1182
01:01:13,520 --> 01:01:16,920
Speaker 1: I want to get the best number. Yeah, UH, rams

1183
01:01:16,920 --> 01:01:21,280
Speaker 1: on the road at the cardinals. Resurgent, cardinals, comeback, cardinals.

1184
01:01:22,680 --> 01:01:25,240
Speaker 1: The rams look like crap. They could have lost that game.

1185
01:01:26,120 --> 01:01:29,760
Speaker 1: Three and a half point road favorites. I don't know, man,

1186
01:01:30,320 --> 01:01:32,880
Speaker 1: you feel like you bet the cardinals here. Yeah, we'll

1187
01:01:32,920 --> 01:01:35,160
Speaker 1: hold our nose and we'll bet it. Like again, there's, there's.

1188
01:01:35,320 --> 01:01:37,840
Speaker 1: We could break this down this game, but like, I

1189
01:01:37,840 --> 01:01:39,560
Speaker 1: don't really know what the breakdown is. I don't really

1190
01:01:39,560 --> 01:01:41,840
Speaker 1: know what I'm getting with Kingsberry, like the guy just

1191
01:01:41,880 --> 01:01:44,320
Speaker 1: looks lost and then Kyler Murray just goes video game

1192
01:01:44,360 --> 01:01:47,360
Speaker 1: mode and wins Games. It's like I saw some crazy

1193
01:01:47,400 --> 01:01:50,680
Speaker 1: stad he ran over eighty yards um on that two

1194
01:01:50,680 --> 01:01:55,280
Speaker 1: point convergon. I love that. So don't really have it's

1195
01:01:55,320 --> 01:01:57,040
Speaker 1: probably more of I don't have faith in this rams

1196
01:01:57,040 --> 01:02:00,000
Speaker 1: team that they don't have a running back to really

1197
01:02:00,040 --> 01:02:02,960
Speaker 1: help them milk the clock away. So getting a three

1198
01:02:02,960 --> 01:02:04,760
Speaker 1: and a half point team and the cardinals, that we've

1199
01:02:04,760 --> 01:02:07,240
Speaker 1: already seen, can score fast when they need to and

1200
01:02:07,240 --> 01:02:10,840
Speaker 1: they can put points up in a comeback position. I'll

1201
01:02:10,840 --> 01:02:12,640
Speaker 1: take the three and a half. But yeah, don't this

1202
01:02:12,640 --> 01:02:13,960
Speaker 1: won't be one of our five. I just don't have

1203
01:02:14,000 --> 01:02:17,080
Speaker 1: confidence in either of these teams right now. NOPE, Nope,

1204
01:02:17,160 --> 01:02:21,760
Speaker 1: not at all. Forty niners visiting the broncos. This is

1205
01:02:21,800 --> 01:02:26,560
Speaker 1: the Sunday night game. Well, I'll get Jimmy g against

1206
01:02:26,640 --> 01:02:30,440
Speaker 1: Russell Wilson. Part of me feels like had a better

1207
01:02:30,560 --> 01:02:33,080
Speaker 1: chance with Jimmy g than they do with Trade Lance.

1208
01:02:33,120 --> 01:02:35,840
Speaker 1: I know what I'm getting here. Yeah, but my my

1209
01:02:35,920 --> 01:02:38,680
Speaker 1: only argument against is the upsides. Cats. You know exactly

1210
01:02:38,720 --> 01:02:40,480
Speaker 1: what we're getting from Jimmy where you didn't know you're

1211
01:02:40,480 --> 01:02:43,200
Speaker 1: gonna get from track. Yeah, you know the ceiling right now? Yes,

1212
01:02:43,440 --> 01:02:46,360
Speaker 1: and we've seen Jimmy ceiling, and his ceiling is he's

1213
01:02:46,400 --> 01:02:49,120
Speaker 1: up ten in an NFC championship game and he has

1214
01:02:49,160 --> 01:02:51,280
Speaker 1: back to back turn either to turnover in a three

1215
01:02:51,280 --> 01:02:53,440
Speaker 1: and out or a three out then a turnover against

1216
01:02:53,440 --> 01:02:56,200
Speaker 1: that rams team and he couldn't get it back. He

1217
01:02:56,280 --> 01:02:57,920
Speaker 1: saw him the Super Bowl against the chiefs. You had

1218
01:02:57,920 --> 01:03:00,680
Speaker 1: a lead, he gave the lead away. It's just I'm

1219
01:03:00,720 --> 01:03:02,280
Speaker 1: just bummed out because I did have high hopes for

1220
01:03:02,280 --> 01:03:05,560
Speaker 1: the point n and Trey Lance. It's Prout for that

1221
01:03:05,600 --> 01:03:08,280
Speaker 1: fan base now like again, it's fun Jimmy's backs. At

1222
01:03:08,320 --> 01:03:10,560
Speaker 1: least you have a chance this year. But it's another

1223
01:03:10,600 --> 01:03:14,240
Speaker 1: year wasted on a great young talent prospect. And there's

1224
01:03:14,240 --> 01:03:18,160
Speaker 1: built in excuses. Right, he's only played one game, right,

1225
01:03:18,200 --> 01:03:20,840
Speaker 1: and that covid season and North Dakota came the league,

1226
01:03:20,840 --> 01:03:22,920
Speaker 1: played in two games and then this year played in

1227
01:03:22,920 --> 01:03:25,720
Speaker 1: a game and a half. It's just it's a nightmare

1228
01:03:25,760 --> 01:03:29,040
Speaker 1: start for your rookie, your second year quarterback with Trey Lance.

1229
01:03:29,080 --> 01:03:32,240
Speaker 1: So I'm with you this season. I'd be happy again

1230
01:03:32,240 --> 01:03:34,360
Speaker 1: because it's like Jimmy, you know exactly where you're getting

1231
01:03:34,400 --> 01:03:36,760
Speaker 1: and this team is built to win right now, but

1232
01:03:36,920 --> 01:03:39,760
Speaker 1: just thinks where. It's like exciting upside of the four team.

1233
01:03:39,840 --> 01:03:43,280
Speaker 1: So I don't know. Looking at this matchup, I loved

1234
01:03:44,040 --> 01:03:45,840
Speaker 1: like everyone else, I love the four and ninners. I

1235
01:03:45,880 --> 01:03:49,240
Speaker 1: think Nathaniel Hackett, holy sh it, man, like this is

1236
01:03:49,240 --> 01:03:51,640
Speaker 1: why I can never be a GM r owner. He

1237
01:03:51,680 --> 01:03:53,880
Speaker 1: would have been fired as soon as that game was over.

1238
01:03:54,120 --> 01:03:55,600
Speaker 1: I would not have let him back in the locker room.

1239
01:03:55,600 --> 01:03:57,200
Speaker 1: I literally would have went on down the field and

1240
01:03:57,280 --> 01:04:00,000
Speaker 1: fired him and just being like, I'm sure you're great offensively,

1241
01:04:00,640 --> 01:04:02,640
Speaker 1: you don't know how to manage clock, you're not how

1242
01:04:02,720 --> 01:04:04,480
Speaker 1: to manage your time outs and you're not now to

1243
01:04:04,560 --> 01:04:06,360
Speaker 1: manage the red zone. They have not scored a red

1244
01:04:06,400 --> 01:04:09,640
Speaker 1: Joe in touchdown yet the broncos and they played Seattle

1245
01:04:10,080 --> 01:04:14,400
Speaker 1: and Houston. Holy Sh it. So yeah, this guy might

1246
01:04:14,440 --> 01:04:16,200
Speaker 1: make leaps and bounds this week and I'll feel like

1247
01:04:16,200 --> 01:04:18,680
Speaker 1: a genius back in this Denver team in this position.

1248
01:04:18,720 --> 01:04:22,520
Speaker 1: But it's like no logical reason other than I think

1249
01:04:22,520 --> 01:04:24,200
Speaker 1: I'm getting a good number on Denver as a home

1250
01:04:24,240 --> 01:04:27,640
Speaker 1: dog in this position. But if you're betting the forty nine,

1251
01:04:28,000 --> 01:04:29,920
Speaker 1: I think that's probably a good bet too. It's just

1252
01:04:29,960 --> 01:04:32,840
Speaker 1: like there's no real field to this game because again,

1253
01:04:32,880 --> 01:04:35,280
Speaker 1: I was already down on Russell Wilson coming into this year.

1254
01:04:35,720 --> 01:04:37,760
Speaker 1: Now that I've watched his head coach in two games

1255
01:04:38,360 --> 01:04:40,840
Speaker 1: just an absolute train wreck, like this Denver team might

1256
01:04:40,880 --> 01:04:43,000
Speaker 1: be worse than I thought. So I don't know what

1257
01:04:43,040 --> 01:04:44,560
Speaker 1: the hell to do with it. Like every ounce of

1258
01:04:44,640 --> 01:04:46,640
Speaker 1: my body is like, just take the home team in

1259
01:04:46,680 --> 01:04:49,600
Speaker 1: a primetime game here. But I get it. If you're

1260
01:04:49,600 --> 01:04:51,960
Speaker 1: getting under three with a better team, the forty niners,

1261
01:04:52,040 --> 01:04:53,760
Speaker 1: I really can't knock it. If that's what you want

1262
01:04:53,760 --> 01:04:55,920
Speaker 1: to go chat. I don't want. I don't want to

1263
01:04:55,920 --> 01:04:57,440
Speaker 1: touch this game. You know what I want to do

1264
01:04:57,440 --> 01:04:59,200
Speaker 1: with this game? I want to go to sleep at

1265
01:04:59,200 --> 01:05:02,000
Speaker 1: eight thirty. You can bet the under, then just bet

1266
01:05:02,000 --> 01:05:18,640
Speaker 1: the under and go to sleep. Cowboys on the road

1267
01:05:18,640 --> 01:05:20,680
Speaker 1: at the giants. Two and no. Giants looking like one

1268
01:05:20,680 --> 01:05:22,320
Speaker 1: of the best two and no teams in the NFL.

1269
01:05:22,680 --> 01:05:26,360
Speaker 1: Cowboys led by Cooper rush and a defense that is spirited.

1270
01:05:26,840 --> 01:05:30,440
Speaker 1: Two and a half point dogs. Dallas cowboys. Number moved.

1271
01:05:30,600 --> 01:05:34,160
Speaker 1: Was it four? Oh, real, and it's crazy to coming

1272
01:05:34,200 --> 01:05:36,240
Speaker 1: into this week right now. The unders in prime time

1273
01:05:36,320 --> 01:05:39,200
Speaker 1: or six and one, and I'm on three. Another three

1274
01:05:39,320 --> 01:05:41,200
Speaker 1: unders in prime time. Like I liked under in this

1275
01:05:41,240 --> 01:05:43,280
Speaker 1: game too. I like the under in Sunday night. I

1276
01:05:43,320 --> 01:05:47,040
Speaker 1: like the under on Thursday's man. Hopefully I don't get

1277
01:05:47,040 --> 01:05:48,760
Speaker 1: caught because the unders have been going to us, but

1278
01:05:48,840 --> 01:05:52,080
Speaker 1: this just lines up as such bad offenses, all these

1279
01:05:52,080 --> 01:05:55,160
Speaker 1: teams where the defenses are the strongest unit, like the

1280
01:05:55,240 --> 01:05:59,000
Speaker 1: Giants Defensive Front. UH, looked really against Baker, like they

1281
01:05:59,000 --> 01:06:02,240
Speaker 1: put him in a lot of pressure spots. Michael Parsons,

1282
01:06:02,560 --> 01:06:04,160
Speaker 1: I mean I can say this now not feel like

1283
01:06:04,160 --> 01:06:06,600
Speaker 1: a complete idiot. He's gotta be the Best Yend we've

1284
01:06:06,600 --> 01:06:10,200
Speaker 1: seen since LD like Lawrence Taylor. We've never seen anyone

1285
01:06:10,280 --> 01:06:12,720
Speaker 1: like Lawrence Taylor until, I think, Michael Parsons, like the

1286
01:06:12,720 --> 01:06:15,840
Speaker 1: stuff he does weekly. Teams looked a game playing around

1287
01:06:15,880 --> 01:06:18,000
Speaker 1: him now because they know this is his second year.

1288
01:06:18,760 --> 01:06:21,160
Speaker 1: Guy Does Not stop man like just through two weeks.

1289
01:06:21,160 --> 01:06:25,040
Speaker 1: It's unbelievable. So I kind of like New York here,

1290
01:06:25,160 --> 01:06:28,280
Speaker 1: Fading Cooper rush off a win. Um. You can get

1291
01:06:28,280 --> 01:06:31,439
Speaker 1: two and a half at certain books. It's a great number. Again.

1292
01:06:31,480 --> 01:06:32,960
Speaker 1: Opened up four down to two and a half. Now

1293
01:06:33,000 --> 01:06:35,640
Speaker 1: I'm gonna home team that everyone feels like me and

1294
01:06:35,680 --> 01:06:38,520
Speaker 1: each other, just like you know. The giants are the

1295
01:06:38,560 --> 01:06:41,840
Speaker 1: fraudist too. And Oh, Daniel Jones is making these plays

1296
01:06:41,880 --> 01:06:44,680
Speaker 1: like that. Literally, a third down he made this crazy

1297
01:06:44,760 --> 01:06:46,920
Speaker 1: run cut up the field to get them to ice

1298
01:06:47,000 --> 01:06:49,400
Speaker 1: to clock. I'm looking for. That was kind of place

1299
01:06:49,520 --> 01:06:52,480
Speaker 1: like that is A. All right, this Gud has some Moxie.

1300
01:06:52,560 --> 01:06:55,400
Speaker 1: We're last year I don't think they scored even a

1301
01:06:55,440 --> 01:06:57,360
Speaker 1: field goal in the final two minutes. Like it's just

1302
01:06:57,400 --> 01:07:00,200
Speaker 1: a total flip this year where they're actually small and

1303
01:07:00,240 --> 01:07:02,000
Speaker 1: maybe can manage at the end of the game, but

1304
01:07:02,080 --> 01:07:04,960
Speaker 1: they didn't had that last year. So I guess this

1305
01:07:05,000 --> 01:07:07,040
Speaker 1: is more of a fade on the cowboys, coming off

1306
01:07:07,040 --> 01:07:09,200
Speaker 1: the big win with Cooper Russia quarterback, now going on

1307
01:07:09,240 --> 01:07:12,320
Speaker 1: the road. Um, but it's honestly, I just have more

1308
01:07:12,400 --> 01:07:15,960
Speaker 1: faith in this giants team right now. Um, where the

1309
01:07:16,000 --> 01:07:19,000
Speaker 1: cowboys again? That was a great win against the bengals.

1310
01:07:19,200 --> 01:07:21,000
Speaker 1: I think that was more about the bengals kind of

1311
01:07:21,000 --> 01:07:24,200
Speaker 1: losing that game than the cowboys. Where in this position here.

1312
01:07:24,200 --> 01:07:26,200
Speaker 1: I just think the cowboys defense is really gonna shut

1313
01:07:26,200 --> 01:07:28,920
Speaker 1: down this, I mean I should say giants defense will

1314
01:07:28,960 --> 01:07:35,960
Speaker 1: shut down this cowboys offense. Yeah, UH, right now we're

1315
01:07:36,000 --> 01:07:41,440
Speaker 1: looking at the paths, plus three colts, plus seven bikes,

1316
01:07:41,520 --> 01:07:45,880
Speaker 1: minus six bucks, minus two. I think those are the

1317
01:07:45,880 --> 01:07:50,439
Speaker 1: four we felt most confident about. The only one that's

1318
01:07:50,440 --> 01:07:55,240
Speaker 1: a question mark is pending an injury assessment for the colts,

1319
01:07:55,240 --> 01:08:00,400
Speaker 1: but we will examine on Thursday. Basically, every their game.

1320
01:08:00,840 --> 01:08:04,479
Speaker 1: Panthers plus three, commanders, plus six, uh and a half,

1321
01:08:04,640 --> 01:08:07,680
Speaker 1: dolphins plus six and a half, Jacks plus seven. Uh.

1322
01:08:07,880 --> 01:08:09,919
Speaker 1: Why wouldn't we put the jags on our list right now?

1323
01:08:10,560 --> 01:08:13,560
Speaker 1: I don't hate it again because, like the Patriots one again,

1324
01:08:13,600 --> 01:08:16,200
Speaker 1: it's not just a trend play. But belichick is a

1325
01:08:16,240 --> 01:08:18,519
Speaker 1: home dog. I think he's like fifteen and four, fifteen

1326
01:08:18,520 --> 01:08:20,360
Speaker 1: and five as a home dog in this position. So

1327
01:08:20,360 --> 01:08:21,960
Speaker 1: it's like there's a bunch of little things we'll have

1328
01:08:22,320 --> 01:08:26,200
Speaker 1: on Thursday. That's we'll just reaffirm our positions. But yeah,

1329
01:08:26,320 --> 01:08:28,200
Speaker 1: right now I would not mind having the Jackson is

1330
01:08:28,200 --> 01:08:30,120
Speaker 1: our fifth one. I just love that number at seven. Yeah,

1331
01:08:30,320 --> 01:08:34,400
Speaker 1: Jack's plus seven, and then Falcons plus two, cards, plus four, giants,

1332
01:08:34,439 --> 01:08:37,759
Speaker 1: minus two and a half. Look, none of them are ugly.

1333
01:08:37,840 --> 01:08:41,320
Speaker 1: None of them speak to me the way that the

1334
01:08:41,360 --> 01:08:44,880
Speaker 1: game's last week spoke to me. The foxhold is the

1335
01:08:44,960 --> 01:08:49,360
Speaker 1: VIKES minus six. The exact decision is bengals minus four

1336
01:08:49,360 --> 01:08:53,240
Speaker 1: and a half and the Simon says, is bucks minus two. Yeah,

1337
01:08:53,280 --> 01:08:56,599
Speaker 1: I would say our grossest play, especially if you, if

1338
01:08:56,600 --> 01:08:58,600
Speaker 1: you love betting these like again, if you bet the

1339
01:08:58,680 --> 01:09:00,760
Speaker 1: jets with us last week, you took the alboys with us.

1340
01:09:01,520 --> 01:09:04,599
Speaker 1: You have to take the colts. That's just it's one

1341
01:09:04,600 --> 01:09:06,439
Speaker 1: of those auto plays. But again, I want you to

1342
01:09:06,479 --> 01:09:08,759
Speaker 1: get that seven because to me that's a great number.

1343
01:09:08,880 --> 01:09:11,280
Speaker 1: But I think we'll revisit it. Who who do you

1344
01:09:11,280 --> 01:09:13,519
Speaker 1: think are you? I mean obviously like the bengals. Is that?

1345
01:09:14,280 --> 01:09:16,840
Speaker 1: Is that the move? Like we burned, we burned our

1346
01:09:16,880 --> 01:09:20,080
Speaker 1: Tuesday guys with the Bengals last week. But to me

1347
01:09:20,120 --> 01:09:23,160
Speaker 1: it's either the bengals are the Vikings Um, but Detroit

1348
01:09:23,240 --> 01:09:26,320
Speaker 1: scares me a little bit. Where right, like the bengals

1349
01:09:26,320 --> 01:09:28,120
Speaker 1: are just so desperate. How do how do they lose

1350
01:09:28,160 --> 01:09:32,760
Speaker 1: this one? I think it's the bengals. I'll put that in.

1351
01:09:32,800 --> 01:09:36,519
Speaker 1: Then we're talking about survivor. It doesn't feel as easy

1352
01:09:36,600 --> 01:09:39,120
Speaker 1: as week one or week two right now. Oh really,

1353
01:09:39,240 --> 01:09:41,679
Speaker 1: this is this felt really easy. I just I always

1354
01:09:41,680 --> 01:09:43,559
Speaker 1: think back, like when we're in here a week eight,

1355
01:09:43,640 --> 01:09:45,920
Speaker 1: nine and ten, especially if you come off a two

1356
01:09:45,960 --> 01:09:48,240
Speaker 1: and three, one and four a week. Those are the

1357
01:09:48,240 --> 01:09:51,559
Speaker 1: tough ones because I'm just, Oh man, every line looks

1358
01:09:51,560 --> 01:09:53,920
Speaker 1: gross where this week. Like even when I woke up

1359
01:09:53,960 --> 01:09:56,680
Speaker 1: this morning, I like immediately saw what Chad I was

1360
01:09:56,720 --> 01:09:59,160
Speaker 1: talking about. That cold s number. I was like, Oh man,

1361
01:09:59,240 --> 01:10:01,280
Speaker 1: me and me and chat both gonna love that cold thumber.

1362
01:10:01,520 --> 01:10:05,320
Speaker 1: Oh my God, loved it, loved it. So, wait, what

1363
01:10:05,400 --> 01:10:08,240
Speaker 1: bets have you made right now that are just sides?

1364
01:10:08,840 --> 01:10:14,920
Speaker 1: Because I've made so far? UH, Tampa minus two, Jack

1365
01:10:15,080 --> 01:10:19,600
Speaker 1: minus plus seven, Indie plus seven, Cincinnati minus four and

1366
01:10:19,600 --> 01:10:22,400
Speaker 1: a half, Pittsburgh plus five and a half, then new Pittsburgh,

1367
01:10:22,439 --> 01:10:25,479
Speaker 1: then do bengals. Uh that that the Patriots right when

1368
01:10:25,479 --> 01:10:28,320
Speaker 1: I saw the three, and I took that giants at

1369
01:10:28,320 --> 01:10:30,200
Speaker 1: minus two and a half just in case it goes

1370
01:10:30,280 --> 01:10:33,599
Speaker 1: up the three. So again, early weeks like this, people

1371
01:10:33,640 --> 01:10:36,080
Speaker 1: I can barely get a grand down, like it's just books.

1372
01:10:36,080 --> 01:10:39,519
Speaker 1: Are just sending out fuelers Um on certain games. But

1373
01:10:40,040 --> 01:10:41,599
Speaker 1: that's why I like my thirds. That can really start

1374
01:10:41,600 --> 01:10:46,320
Speaker 1: figuring out my my bigger bets. Alright, Sannah, I think

1375
01:10:46,360 --> 01:10:48,000
Speaker 1: we've done at all. I think we've done all we

1376
01:10:48,080 --> 01:10:52,920
Speaker 1: can do here. Simon Hunter, for Simon Hunter, for Matt Mitchell,

1377
01:10:53,439 --> 01:10:56,760
Speaker 1: I am Chad millman. This has been the favorites podcast.

1378
01:10:57,360 --> 01:11:00,720
Speaker 1: Download us from Apple podcasts, from spotify, wherever you get

1379
01:11:00,760 --> 01:11:04,759
Speaker 1: your podcast. Rate, review, subscribe, leave us five stars, feedback

1380
01:11:04,800 --> 01:11:08,000
Speaker 1: as a gift. Say whatever you want until next time.

1381
01:11:08,760 --> 01:11:10,400
Speaker 1: I love you h