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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorite's presented by Draft Kings. The crown

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Speaker 1: is yours. We are an Action Network podcast. I'm branding

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Speaker 1: Kravitz back at it on this wonderful and profitable Tuesday morning.

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Speaker 1: The first Lady of the pod Kendra back from Duval County,

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Speaker 1: the prime Minister of DJEN Nation Stucky. On today's podcast,

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Speaker 1: we have got a load to get to for the

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Speaker 1: divisional round in the NFL postseason Plant the Flag Games.

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Speaker 1: Only eight teams left after complete madness ensued in round one. Kendra,

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Speaker 1: she'll share her deepest thoughts and I hope we get

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Speaker 1: a detail of how Jacksonville was outside of Josh Allen

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Speaker 1: running and rumbling and bumbling his way down the field.

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Speaker 1: We'll get the main event as well, Evans Tuesday. The

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Speaker 1: primer is available right now as we speak over on

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Speaker 1: actionnetwork dot Com. So, Kendra, how good was this weekend

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Speaker 1: overall as a football fan? And then I guess how

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Speaker 1: bad was it for you as a Jags fan, a

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Speaker 1: Jags backer and somebody who is in the building for

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Speaker 1: an iconic Josh Allen performance.

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Speaker 2: The first of.

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Speaker 3: All, I'd say thank you to Jimmy John's for sending

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Speaker 3: me some hangover patches.

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Speaker 2: You guys are the only reason that I survived that day.

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Speaker 2: I'm convinced.

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Speaker 3: My friends were like, it's technically vacation, like you should

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Speaker 3: be drinking because you guys know I only drink on vacation, and.

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Speaker 2: I was like, okay, fine.

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Speaker 3: So I had a lot of champagne before the game,

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Speaker 3: and thank God that I did because I needed it.

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Speaker 3: It was so fun, it was so electric, it was

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Speaker 3: so perfect. It was everything that I wanted it to be.

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Speaker 3: The weather was great, and then the.

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Speaker 2: Fourth quarter just sucked. I have to blame Liam Cohen

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Speaker 2: the most. Love him.

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Speaker 3: He's perfect. Picked shout out Lynn Jones. She was right

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Speaker 3: for everything she said, but it was a bad day

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Speaker 3: for him. But he's a rookie head coach, so you

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Speaker 3: know that he's going to have those We got to

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Speaker 3: the playoffs. We didn't expect to be there, and I

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Speaker 3: honestly think number two in line for blame is probably

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Speaker 3: Trevor and then three the.

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Speaker 2: Secondary those are those are my thoughts.

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Speaker 3: I don't know why they didn't run the ball and

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Speaker 3: not stop running the ball. And then also the kind

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Speaker 3: of like crazy part about it is the Bills were

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Speaker 3: so adamant about banning the Toush push, and at the

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Speaker 3: end of the day they ran the Toush push to

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Speaker 3: solidify the game, and the offensive line basically carried Josh

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Speaker 3: Allen on the Toush push and it sucked.

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Speaker 2: It's so sucked.

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Speaker 3: And then we sat in the parking lot and drank

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Speaker 3: for like two hours while traffic died down. And then

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Speaker 3: I went and had a Singer mountain melt. If anybody

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Speaker 3: knows what that is, oh my god, yeah, I went

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Speaker 3: and got a Zinger Mountain melt and a Captain Jack's

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Speaker 3: and it was perfect.

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Speaker 1: For those that don't know what a Zinger mountain melt is,

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Speaker 1: it is a skillet of French fries, a ton of them,

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Speaker 1: coated in cheese, sour cream, bacon.

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Speaker 3: Chick get your chicken tenders on top of it, rolled

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Speaker 3: in whatever like wing sauce you like.

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Speaker 2: So I got Buffalo and.

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Speaker 3: Then a Captain Jack's is like a seven layer hot

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Speaker 3: fudge chocolate ice cream cake.

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Speaker 2: And me and like eight people set.

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Speaker 3: And watched the night game and cried over a Zinger

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Speaker 3: mountain melts.

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Speaker 2: I didn't go to waffle house as well, so I

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Speaker 2: guess it wasn't all the loss.

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Speaker 1: Well, I was mocked openly for backing the Bills because

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Speaker 1: you can't just back them because of Josh Allen. And

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Speaker 1: then Josh Allen took over the football game because that's

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Speaker 1: what great players do. So uh, it was it was

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Speaker 1: a It was a great weekend for me. I'm upset

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Speaker 1: to hear that you're that your day was ruined, But

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Speaker 1: I'd be disingenuous if I said that I didn't enjoy

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Speaker 1: it a little bit.

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Speaker 3: I wasn't mad at you because you chose Josh Allen.

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Speaker 3: I was mad at you because you stabbed our podcast

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Speaker 3: family in the back.

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Speaker 1: No, I was trying to snake a profit out of

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Speaker 1: the wild card round, which is what every sports better

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Speaker 1: should do.

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Speaker 3: No, I think you just pulled a Kravits and you

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Speaker 3: tried to piss everyone off, and for once it worked

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Speaker 3: out for you.

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Speaker 4: Well I did. It was a great weekend.

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Speaker 1: But I will say something that Stucky and Evan mentioned

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Speaker 1: on the Sunday recap show that I think is important

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Speaker 1: to reiterate is process over results, so not just in

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Speaker 1: the betting sense, like for the forty nine ers, another

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Speaker 1: bet that I cashed, horrible process. I got horrible closing

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Speaker 1: line value on that, but the bet won, so I'm

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Speaker 1: not going to victory lap it.

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Speaker 4: You're just happy when things go.

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Speaker 2: You had a great weekend, you should take a victory lap.

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Speaker 1: But I had a great weekend in terms of the

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Speaker 1: wins and the losses. I think some of the process

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Speaker 1: was a little broken, but I'll take I'll take the dubs.

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Speaker 1: This was the most profitable weekend I've had the entire season,

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Speaker 1: so it was. It definitely worked out well the game itself,

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Speaker 1: talking Jags Bills, the move to go run into the

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Speaker 1: end zone on the QB sneak when Jacksonville is gonna

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Speaker 1: let it happen.

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Speaker 4: That was a broken process from Sean McDermott. Stucky. I

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Speaker 4: cannot believe still.

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Speaker 1: That they chose to do that at the end of

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Speaker 1: that game, and that Cam. I mean, all they had

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Speaker 1: to do is get Cam little to the fifty and

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Speaker 1: then they would have paid for it. I worry about

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Speaker 1: Sean McDermott costing this team a game as they get

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Speaker 1: deeper into the postseason.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, that was you had your best week and I

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Speaker 5: had my worst weekend of the year.

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Speaker 2: I had my worst weekend as well.

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Speaker 5: I had really good numbers, Like one of my favorite

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Speaker 5: bets of the year was JAG's first half, which he

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Speaker 5: got it even money and it closed I don't know,

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Speaker 5: minus one forty five. The Jacks closed minus two and

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Speaker 5: a half point favorites at some shops. So yeah, it

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Speaker 5: was just on the margins are so thin in the

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Speaker 5: NFL playoffs. I also love the Packers. Just tons of miskicks.

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Speaker 5: I mean, can literally miss a kick at the end

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Speaker 5: of the first half. But really that game was decided.

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Speaker 5: I mean, if you look at the box squad, the

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Speaker 5: Jags averaged six point six yards per play to the

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Speaker 5: Bills five and a half. They outgained them. There was

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Speaker 5: two huge plays in that game. One was the missed

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Speaker 5: field goal at the end of the first half and

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Speaker 5: then the Trevor Lawrence his shin going down. I mean

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Speaker 5: that probably took seven points off the board in the

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Speaker 5: first half by you know, half of a yard. Well,

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Speaker 5: nothing the Bills really did. I mean, that was just

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Speaker 5: lack of awareness by Lawrence. And I thought Parker Washington

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Speaker 5: being out for most of the first half was absolutely killer.

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Speaker 5: He saw his impact in the second half where he

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Speaker 5: went off and the Bills just couldn't cover him. He

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Speaker 5: was such a difference though. Yeah, but He's still a

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Speaker 5: huge second half.

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Speaker 3: Two of them was averaging like more than ten yards

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Speaker 3: on like the few carry I think he had like

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Speaker 3: five touches and like eighty yards and didn't play a

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Speaker 3: snap the second half, Like that's on Gohen.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, they probably should have run it more, but they

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Speaker 5: were moving the ball the Lawrence pick at the end.

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Speaker 5: But yeah, to that the process, I mean, that was

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Speaker 5: just a terrible play. You have to just go down

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Speaker 5: the reason that you know, there's a couple of reasons

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Speaker 5: how you know it was a bad play. Besides, you know,

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Speaker 5: just logic one, the Jags wanted them to score, so

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Speaker 5: they literally just backed off two. The live money line

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Speaker 5: odds for the Jags improved after the Bills scored on

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Speaker 5: that first on the first down play. But just think

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Speaker 5: about this from a logic standpoint. There's a minute five

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Speaker 5: to go and the Jags have no timeouts and it's

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Speaker 5: first and goal with the one. If you go down

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Speaker 5: at the ones, you just snap it. You could dive forward,

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Speaker 5: you could do a quick knee. You run forty seconds

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Speaker 5: off the clock, leaving the Jags with only twenty twenty

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Speaker 5: five seconds when they get the ball back instead, and

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Speaker 5: then you have by the way, people are like, oh, well,

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Speaker 5: you know you have to take the points when you

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Speaker 5: get them. Josh Allen and the Tush push are automatic,

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Speaker 5: and you'd have three downs to do it. I mean,

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Speaker 5: the chances of that are what ninety nine percent that

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Speaker 5: they would score, and then you leave the Jags almost time.

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Speaker 6: Compare that, Compare the.

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Speaker 5: Chances of something going wrong a fumbled snap which could

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Speaker 5: happen on first down too, to the Jags getting the

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Speaker 5: ball with a minute five compared to twenty seconds and

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Speaker 5: just getting to midfield.

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Speaker 6: You know, you might just need.

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Speaker 5: There's some chances where you would only need one first

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Speaker 5: down to get into field goal range. So yeah, I

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Speaker 5: just because Lawrence threw a pick does not mean that

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Speaker 5: the process was right there. McDermott has messed up some

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Speaker 5: endgame things in the past. We've seen the Chiefs. The

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Speaker 5: Chiefs game, there were a couple of decisions there when

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Speaker 5: there was only thirteen seconds left that led to them

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Speaker 5: losing an overtime.

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Speaker 6: So yeah, I did think that.

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Speaker 5: That was a very very brained play that ended up

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Speaker 5: working out for them. But ultimately it was, you know,

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Speaker 5: sort of a coin flip game that the Bills made

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Speaker 5: more high leverage plays like there in the first half,

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Speaker 5: their offense had one good drive, you know, they got

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Speaker 5: the bad Lawrence pick and then the bad that led

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Speaker 5: to a field goal, the bad Lawrence pick at the

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Speaker 5: end which killed the Jags chances of tying it, and

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Speaker 5: that was ultimately the difference. And Josh Allen was incredible.

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Speaker 5: Uh some of the throws that he made, the plays

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Speaker 5: that he made down the stretch were were just awesome.

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Speaker 5: So uh yeah, hat tip to the Bills for getting

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Speaker 5: it done on the road. It's really a shame that

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Speaker 5: the Jags won. It's really shame that both those teams

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Speaker 5: had to play each other in the first.

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Speaker 4: Round big time.

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Speaker 5: Like, the Jags won the division and.

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Speaker 2: Got screwed, and.

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Speaker 4: It was the worst possible draw for them. Yeah, absolute worse.

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Speaker 5: It was the worst possible draw of any team in

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Speaker 5: the a f C for winning the division. And then

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Speaker 5: you know, the Texans finish and second and get to

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Speaker 5: play the Steelers who get blown out again in the playoffs.

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Speaker 6: Same old song with them.

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Speaker 1: Let's go to Monday Night Football our main dish for

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Speaker 1: today's episode, The Texans dismantle the Steelers. Nicocollins ends up

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Speaker 1: in concussion Protocol I think he's the only player by

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Speaker 1: Mike count that entered concussion protocol and then stayed there.

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Speaker 1: Everybody else it was like a rumor as to whether

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Speaker 1: or not they actually were administered to any sort of test.

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Speaker 1: But it was a close game at the half seven

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Speaker 1: to six Houston, and then it was all Houston from there.

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Speaker 1: Twenty three point fourth quarter almost went over the total

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Speaker 1: despite the Steelers only kicking two field goals and scoring

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Speaker 1: zero touchdowns. Dome team outdoors. Houston's been a great road

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Speaker 1: team this year. They handled the conditions very well. They're

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Speaker 1: gonna have to do it again in the divisional round.

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Speaker 4: Stuck here.

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Speaker 1: Biggest takeaway from the game last night with the Texans

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Speaker 1: dusting the corpse of the Pittsburgh Steelers.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean the Steelers got the breaks that they

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Speaker 5: needed early, like with the turnovers, the fumbles. They were

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Speaker 5: plus three and turnover margin at one point before the

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Speaker 5: Texans added on a couple of defensive scores late. But

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Speaker 5: their offense just couldn't do anything. That Texans defense it's

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Speaker 5: there's no bells and whistles, it's just line up. They're

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Speaker 5: not going to disguise anything, and their edge rush is

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Speaker 5: elite their corners are elite, and the pressure just got

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Speaker 5: to Rogers and they weren't able to move the ball consistently.

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Speaker 5: I thought Straub was very shaky, uh, you know, especially

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Speaker 5: with all the fumbles they had. They had snap issues,

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Speaker 5: but they did enough. Christian Kirk was amazing in that game,

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Speaker 5: and the story of the game was the the Texans

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Speaker 5: defense just dominating that game. And it's just the same

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Speaker 5: old with the Steelers. I mean, if you're a Steelers fan,

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Speaker 5: you have to be exhausted with this. It's just like

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Speaker 5: win nine or ten games, get into the playoffs, get

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Speaker 5: blown out. I think it's the fifth straight time they've

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Speaker 5: lost by double digits in the playoffs that they've lost

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Speaker 5: having i think seven straight now playoff games.

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Speaker 1: And as it turns out, that would be a stronger

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Speaker 1: trend than the one that everyone was pointing to. While

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Speaker 1: they haven't lost on Monday night football and however long,

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Speaker 1: who the fuck cares what day they're playing on, Like

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Speaker 1: that's any relevance. Not winning in the playoffs, Now, that's

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Speaker 1: a trend. That's a trend that matters playing on Monday

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Speaker 1: and playing well when this isn't even a traditional Monday

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Speaker 1: night football game.

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Speaker 3: They're just going to change it to whatever the stat

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Speaker 3: would be in the regular season next time they're on

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Speaker 3: Monday Night Football.

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Speaker 2: That's a.

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Speaker 6: Seven against the spreading straight up.

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Speaker 5: I think seven straight losses is the most any coach

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Speaker 5: ties Marvin Lewis, So, like, what is the future of

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Speaker 5: the Steelers? Like they it's they're just stuck in limbo

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Speaker 5: like that. They haven't and none of these teams that

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Speaker 5: have made the playoffs over the past ten years have

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Speaker 5: had a shot of winning the Super Bowl. They haven't

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Speaker 5: found their franchise quarterback, and but they just keep winning

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Speaker 5: nine ten games, And what is the future of Tomlin?

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Speaker 6: I don't know.

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Speaker 5: But if you're a Steelers fan, it's just like it's

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Speaker 5: the same story over and over again, and because of

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Speaker 5: where you finish, you end up not being able to

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Speaker 5: get a high draft pic and then you just sort

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Speaker 5: of like, let's just run it back. And you know,

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Speaker 5: they paid Watt and then they got to find an

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Speaker 5: aging veteran quarterback and they just don't have that ceiling.

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Speaker 5: So I don't know, if I was a Steelers fan,

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Speaker 5: i'd want to just blow it up start anew But

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Speaker 5: I mean, there is some value in just being in

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Speaker 5: the running every year like as a fan, just you know,

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Speaker 5: instead of going through a couple of years where.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, it's better than being awful.

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Speaker 5: But it's it's it just gotta feel dejav like deja

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Speaker 5: vous for the Steelers, for Steelers fans year and a.

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Speaker 3: Year out, I will say, it does feel like a

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Speaker 3: little bit of I hate anybody get hurt specifically like

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Speaker 3: any kind of TBI, but it does feel like a

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Speaker 3: universal equalizer that Nico's in concussion protocol and so is

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Speaker 3: Christian Gonzalez.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, that's a massive story because the Patriots don't have

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Speaker 5: depth at corner, Like they have a couple of guys

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Speaker 5: including Alex Austin that are on IR.

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Speaker 6: And yeah, and then Nico Collins going up.

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Speaker 5: So say it's no Gonzalez and you have Nico Collins

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Speaker 5: out there, that could be a huge advantage for the Texans.

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Speaker 5: If it's if it's Christian Gonzalez out there, no Nico Collins, right,

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Speaker 5: then that's even more of an advantage for the Patriots defense.

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Speaker 5: So which like it looked like Collins Collins number one

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Speaker 5: has one fewer day, right, shorter short week.

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Speaker 6: Playing on Monday night, and his look bad. Now it's

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Speaker 6: the playoffs.

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Speaker 5: No one will admit that, No teams will admit this,

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Speaker 5: but concussion protocol seems to be a little less. Yeah so,

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Speaker 5: but short week for Nico after how that looked that

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Speaker 5: that was bad. So, But that's that's a huge storyline

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Speaker 5: to watch in this game, is you know, Nico Collins

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Speaker 5: and Christian Gonzalez, to do one of them play?

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Speaker 6: Do both of them miss? Do both of them play?

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Speaker 5: So that's that's something that I'll be monitoring closely throughout

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Speaker 5: the week. But yeah, the Patriots defense I thought played well,

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Speaker 5: played okay, but I thought, I mean, I was dead

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Speaker 5: wrong in this game. I thought Justin Herbert was horrific.

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Speaker 5: I mean, you guys are right, Cloff Herbert, there might

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Speaker 5: be something there.

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Speaker 6: I mean it was.

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Speaker 1: He's now own three owned three in the playoffs, two touchdowns,

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Speaker 1: seven turnovers during his time, there.

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Speaker 5: Were throws to be made, and I mean he had

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Speaker 5: time to throw in the first half. The Patriots don't

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Speaker 5: have some elite pass rush, and in the second half,

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Speaker 5: once they got a big lead, they just started blitzing

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Speaker 5: and then there was and then it just snowballed from there.

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Speaker 5: But in the first half, there was he had clean

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Speaker 5: pockets at times, and there were open receivers down the field.

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Speaker 5: There was a couple touchdowns that he had that he

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Speaker 5: just didn't throw, and he looked completely frout. He looked

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Speaker 5: like a rookie quarterback. It was shocking how bad he was.

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Speaker 6: I believe.

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Speaker 5: Don't quote me on this, but I believe he had

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Speaker 5: a first percentile PFF grade. It was the second lowest

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Speaker 5: single game playoff PFF grade of any quarterback over the

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Speaker 5: past twenty years.

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Speaker 4: Only the bottom.

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Speaker 6: Joe Webb was the worst.

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Speaker 5: But it was like he was shockingly bad and he

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Speaker 5: wouldn't He just wasn't making throws that were to be

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Speaker 5: had down the field. Now, the Chargers, I think Robert

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Speaker 5: Splaine said this that some of the Chargers came up

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Speaker 5: to him after the game and they were like, we

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Speaker 5: have no idea. We had no idea what types of

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Speaker 5: coverages you guys were in. Now, the Patriots, the Skies

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Speaker 5: their coverage as well. They mix it up, but there

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Speaker 5: were throwsy hat and Herbert just looked like he looked

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Speaker 5: completely gun shy in the pocket. It was it was

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Speaker 5: shocking to watch. So did you guys hear that was troubling?

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Speaker 3: Did you guys hear about all the like them bragging

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Speaker 3: about all of the weather gear that they had gotten.

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Speaker 2: No, no, oh my god.

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Speaker 3: This was like a huge news piece up here, probably

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Speaker 3: obviously because the game was here, but about how they

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Speaker 3: had bought all of this like tech year.

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Speaker 2: They flew in all this different like warm weather stuff.

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Speaker 3: We were gonna be wearing this and this kind of

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Speaker 3: warmer and this and that, and everyone was just like okay.

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Speaker 4: And that Derwin James was it wasn't it like thirty degrees?

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Speaker 3: Well, it was definitely warmer up here than usual this weekend.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, that's that's odd to you know.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna go We're gonna go buy some Batman body

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Speaker 1: tech so that we can stay warm and thirty degree weather.

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Speaker 1: Let's talk some Let's talk some opening lines for the

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Speaker 1: divisional round. We've got our plant the Flag games at

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Speaker 1: the end of the pod Evans Tuesday Prime as well,

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Speaker 1: help us get ready for the weekend. Our Thursday episode

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Speaker 1: is where we officially set them in stone. The Rams

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Speaker 1: opened as three and a half point favorites at Chicago.

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Speaker 1: We've seen that line depending on where you look, bounce

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Speaker 1: to four at some places.

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Speaker 4: It's three and a half At Draft King.

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Speaker 1: Still, the Seahawks opened as seven point favorites at home

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Speaker 1: against the forty nine Ers, the third meeting between these

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Speaker 1: two teams. They are now seven and a half point favorites.

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Speaker 1: The Patriots opened US two and a half point favorites

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Speaker 1: against the Texans. That line is up to a soft

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Speaker 1: three minus one oh five on DK.

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Speaker 4: And then this is where we've seen the most movement.

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Speaker 1: The Broncos plus one and a half point underdogs against

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Speaker 1: the Buffalo Bills. The Broncos, of course off the buy

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Speaker 1: they're at home, Allen's all beat up. Well, now the

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Speaker 1: Broncos are favored by a point and a half. It's

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Speaker 1: at even money at plus one hundred. But this one's

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Speaker 1: kind of dancing as it stands right now between the two.

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Speaker 1: So I'm gonna ask you guys this question this way,

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Speaker 1: rather than us diving into what side we're on with

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Speaker 1: these games immediately, because we'll get to that point if

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Speaker 1: I just asked you among the four games this weekend,

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Speaker 1: trying to answer this without giving away your side on

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Speaker 1: the game, which is the most fascinating evaluation, Kendra, We'll

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Speaker 1: start with you on this of these four games, which

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Speaker 1: one do you find yourself most likely to get in

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Speaker 1: the weeds on I'll put it that way.

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Speaker 3: Probably the Bears in the Rams. I feel like this

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Speaker 3: one feels when you say in the weeds, you mean

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Speaker 3: like about the conversation, Like.

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Speaker 1: I'm just gonna need, Like I'm just gonna need as

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Speaker 1: much detail as possible before I can make anything that

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Speaker 1: resembles a decision on whichever game it is.

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Speaker 3: Oh, well, then it's got to be the Patriots and

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Speaker 3: the Texans because of the concussion protocol for Nico Collins

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Speaker 3: and Christian Zalez, like their number one receiver and their

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Speaker 3: number one corner.

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Speaker 2: Like, it's definitely going to be that game. I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: need injury.

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Speaker 3: Reports, probably gonna wait and figure out what the weather is.

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Speaker 3: The Seahawks and the forty nine Ers, we know what

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Speaker 3: to anticipate there. Everybody's going to be, you know, injured

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Speaker 3: for the forty nine ers, and what version of Sam

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Speaker 3: Darnold are we going to get? Those are the two

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Speaker 3: headlines the Bills headlined Josh Allen, the Texans and the Patriots.

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Speaker 3: I think lots of injuries, lots of question marks of

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Speaker 3: who's going to play.

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Speaker 2: And then the Rams and the Bears.

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Speaker 3: How I think the conversation of that is how hurd

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Speaker 3: is Matt Stafford's hand?

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Speaker 4: The end stuck you? What about you?

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Speaker 6: Yeah, Stafford's finger. I don't know.

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Speaker 5: I say it's gonna be okay, But then there's all

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Speaker 5: the weather looks like it's gonna be okay across the

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Speaker 5: world except in Chicago. It's just going to be really,

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Speaker 5: really really cold. Stafford historically is not played well in

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Speaker 5: the cold. You're going to see that stat a lot.

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Speaker 5: I think he's like one in nine.

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Speaker 2: High forty one. This is twenty nine here.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, this is supposed to be the coldest game in

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Speaker 1: his career. Also for a guy that doesn't perform well

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Speaker 1: in cold weather.

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Speaker 5: But last year in the snow in Philly, he played

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Speaker 5: really well for what it's worth. So you always have

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Speaker 5: to worry about sample sizes. It went with like his finger,

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Speaker 5: how does that hould up? I would say as far

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Speaker 5: as like what did what? I want to dive into

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Speaker 5: the most, it's probably Patriots Texans. I mean the Patriots

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Speaker 5: just tough to price because of their schedule, right, and

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Speaker 5: then you played the Chargers. They finally faced a good

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Speaker 5: defense and their offense didn't look great. I mean the

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Speaker 5: Chargers defense did everything it could. They'll keep them in

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Speaker 5: that game. I also thought Harball was really bad. Like

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Speaker 5: you get two trips inside the two and you come

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Speaker 5: away with three points, you go for it. You go

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Speaker 5: for it the first time, to kick a field goal

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Speaker 5: the second time, but like how and then Herbert was

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Speaker 5: just so bad and like there were open receivers. And

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Speaker 5: then obviously you had that Chargers offensive line, but the

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Speaker 5: Texans offensive line isn't great either.

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Speaker 1: And Stroud was bad that I'm worried he stirred the

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Speaker 1: ball over three times.

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Speaker 4: He got away with it.

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Speaker 1: You're not gonna get away with that against New England

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Speaker 1: if that were Yeah, you can.

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Speaker 5: Get away with all those fumbles against the Steelers, but yeah,

443
00:22:01,400 --> 00:22:04,399
Speaker 5: and then what will this Patriots offense look against the

444
00:22:04,400 --> 00:22:07,000
Speaker 5: Texans defense? Like this Texans defense is good enough to

445
00:22:07,000 --> 00:22:10,720
Speaker 5: carry them to a super Bowl, but the offense can't

446
00:22:11,000 --> 00:22:11,760
Speaker 5: turn the ball over.

447
00:22:11,880 --> 00:22:12,919
Speaker 6: And you can't.

448
00:22:13,200 --> 00:22:15,200
Speaker 5: You can't go on the road and fumble it three

449
00:22:15,280 --> 00:22:18,400
Speaker 5: or four times and have miss snaps when you're not playing.

450
00:22:18,920 --> 00:22:22,720
Speaker 5: You know, a statue s Aaron Rodgers and that Steelers offense,

451
00:22:24,520 --> 00:22:31,240
Speaker 5: the Bills Broncos. It seems pretty straightforward in that the

452
00:22:31,280 --> 00:22:34,160
Speaker 5: Broncos should be able to run the ball here, which

453
00:22:34,200 --> 00:22:36,119
Speaker 5: is gonna help bo Knicks can use his legs. The

454
00:22:36,119 --> 00:22:41,240
Speaker 5: Bills have struggled against mobile quarterbacks, and then like they're

455
00:22:41,280 --> 00:22:44,080
Speaker 5: gonna play a lot of man, which the Bills have

456
00:22:44,119 --> 00:22:48,439
Speaker 5: struggled with because the receivers can't really get separation, and

457
00:22:48,480 --> 00:22:50,800
Speaker 5: the Bills that wide receiver room, I mean, it just

458
00:22:50,840 --> 00:22:54,560
Speaker 5: gets more decimated with each passing game, so it's hard

459
00:22:54,560 --> 00:22:58,080
Speaker 5: to see the Bills getting open much. The Broncos are

460
00:22:58,080 --> 00:23:01,440
Speaker 5: probably gonna load the box and you know, trust their

461
00:23:01,440 --> 00:23:03,439
Speaker 5: corners on the outside, so that I think that that

462
00:23:03,560 --> 00:23:08,040
Speaker 5: just comes down to, like what can how heroic can

463
00:23:08,119 --> 00:23:12,680
Speaker 5: Josh Allen be? Because the Jaguars secondary is much worse

464
00:23:12,720 --> 00:23:13,840
Speaker 5: than the Broncos secondary.

465
00:23:13,840 --> 00:23:16,200
Speaker 6: They also play a lot more zone, which the Bills.

466
00:23:15,960 --> 00:23:17,679
Speaker 2: I never want to see Greg Newsome again.

467
00:23:17,880 --> 00:23:21,720
Speaker 5: They've had more success against. And then on the other side,

468
00:23:21,720 --> 00:23:24,560
Speaker 5: it's just like the Bill's defense is not great. But

469
00:23:24,640 --> 00:23:26,760
Speaker 5: what which version of bo Knicks do you get? I

470
00:23:26,760 --> 00:23:31,679
Speaker 5: mean bow Knicks. He can be horrific at times, missing

471
00:23:31,720 --> 00:23:33,159
Speaker 5: open receivers.

472
00:23:34,520 --> 00:23:38,400
Speaker 3: Peyton Manning or brockwall Osweiler in that jersey, which one.

473
00:23:38,400 --> 00:23:40,600
Speaker 4: Yeah, mating or broken Peyton Manning.

474
00:23:41,040 --> 00:23:43,800
Speaker 5: But I do think that the Bills, I mean, the

475
00:23:43,840 --> 00:23:49,640
Speaker 5: Broncos have more consistent, easier paths to offense with their

476
00:23:49,680 --> 00:23:56,119
Speaker 5: running game and you know Bo Nicks's legs and than

477
00:23:56,200 --> 00:23:59,200
Speaker 5: the Bills, who I don't. I don't know if they're

478
00:23:59,240 --> 00:24:01,680
Speaker 5: receivers are going to be able to get open here,

479
00:24:02,200 --> 00:24:04,840
Speaker 5: and that's gonna make it tough. But the wild guard

480
00:24:04,920 --> 00:24:07,840
Speaker 5: is that you have Josh Allen versus Bonis and sometimes,

481
00:24:08,240 --> 00:24:10,760
Speaker 5: like we can break down these games a lot, and

482
00:24:11,040 --> 00:24:16,720
Speaker 5: but like, is Josh Allen in these AFC playoffs? Just

483
00:24:17,800 --> 00:24:20,480
Speaker 5: the Mahomes of years pass?

484
00:24:20,600 --> 00:24:20,760
Speaker 1: Right?

485
00:24:20,840 --> 00:24:23,919
Speaker 5: Like you could like when Mahomes would play the Bills

486
00:24:24,000 --> 00:24:26,480
Speaker 5: or the Ravens and they would be underdogs, and but

487
00:24:26,560 --> 00:24:29,800
Speaker 5: you could just say, but we have Patrick Mahomes, which

488
00:24:29,880 --> 00:24:34,760
Speaker 5: might it might be good enough. So we'll see how

489
00:24:36,000 --> 00:24:40,320
Speaker 5: how Buffalo handles that Denver defense. But yeah, I'm looking

490
00:24:40,359 --> 00:24:44,800
Speaker 5: forward to to all four games. The the Rams Bears,

491
00:24:46,119 --> 00:24:50,040
Speaker 5: like the every every Bears game is the same, like

492
00:24:50,320 --> 00:24:52,479
Speaker 5: it's just like a movie.

493
00:24:53,280 --> 00:24:55,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm having a hard time with that one because

494
00:24:55,480 --> 00:24:59,240
Speaker 1: I can you can kind of sense where the sharp

495
00:24:59,320 --> 00:25:03,560
Speaker 1: money probably is and maybe that tilts some of your

496
00:25:03,560 --> 00:25:05,480
Speaker 1: opinions based on the way that you want to bet

497
00:25:05,520 --> 00:25:08,520
Speaker 1: this league. The Rams are going to be the sharp side,

498
00:25:08,920 --> 00:25:14,240
Speaker 1: but the Bears all year have been the horseshoe, stuck

499
00:25:14,280 --> 00:25:17,280
Speaker 1: in the ass team of the year, even more so

500
00:25:17,359 --> 00:25:19,720
Speaker 1: than Denver, And both of those teams have mastered the

501
00:25:19,840 --> 00:25:22,399
Speaker 1: art of being down in the fourth quarter and figuring

502
00:25:22,440 --> 00:25:24,919
Speaker 1: out a way to win anyway. Chicago's just done it

503
00:25:24,960 --> 00:25:28,800
Speaker 1: in more miraculous fashion. And of all the crowds that

504
00:25:28,840 --> 00:25:32,879
Speaker 1: we saw this past weekend, and I thought Jacksonville's was tremendous, Kendrick,

505
00:25:32,920 --> 00:25:34,720
Speaker 1: you can speak to that better than I can, because.

506
00:25:36,200 --> 00:25:37,159
Speaker 4: I've been at all there.

507
00:25:37,560 --> 00:25:42,159
Speaker 3: I've been at every postseason game that they've had except

508
00:25:42,160 --> 00:25:44,600
Speaker 3: for the twenty seventeen AFC Championship game.

509
00:25:44,920 --> 00:25:47,520
Speaker 2: But you also, like, I think people really showed out because.

510
00:25:47,280 --> 00:25:48,800
Speaker 3: That's the last time fans are going to be in

511
00:25:48,800 --> 00:25:51,880
Speaker 3: that stadium like that because they're renovating it, so next

512
00:25:51,960 --> 00:25:53,400
Speaker 3: year a lot of it's going to be blocked off,

513
00:25:53,400 --> 00:25:54,200
Speaker 3: and in the following.

514
00:25:54,000 --> 00:25:57,600
Speaker 2: Year they're in Orlando. So the city really definitely showed out.

515
00:25:57,600 --> 00:26:00,240
Speaker 1: But being able to hold being able to hold off

516
00:26:00,240 --> 00:26:03,280
Speaker 1: Buffalo in the state of Florida is very difficult because

517
00:26:03,280 --> 00:26:04,800
Speaker 1: the Snowbirds will show up.

518
00:26:04,960 --> 00:26:06,359
Speaker 2: Because it's waiting room.

519
00:26:08,000 --> 00:26:11,439
Speaker 1: But my point is that Chicago's I thought Chicago's crowd

520
00:26:11,600 --> 00:26:13,560
Speaker 1: was the best of the weekend.

521
00:26:13,640 --> 00:26:16,400
Speaker 4: They made a very real difference in the second game.

522
00:26:16,440 --> 00:26:16,920
Speaker 2: It really did.

523
00:26:16,960 --> 00:26:20,120
Speaker 3: Of that game, Gifford, I have videos of how loud

524
00:26:20,160 --> 00:26:21,879
Speaker 3: it was, if you would like to include one in this,

525
00:26:22,000 --> 00:26:26,679
Speaker 3: But I'm very drunk and booing, so.

526
00:26:25,160 --> 00:26:27,440
Speaker 4: I'm assuming that will be hard.

527
00:26:27,560 --> 00:26:32,439
Speaker 5: Yes, So yeah, I mean the Bear it's incredible that

528
00:26:32,640 --> 00:26:34,159
Speaker 5: the wins that they've had, I mean they've now have

529
00:26:34,280 --> 00:26:37,000
Speaker 5: seven wins. Been troun with them two minutes ago, and

530
00:26:37,119 --> 00:26:39,520
Speaker 5: that game, I mean, he need Brandon McManus to miss

531
00:26:39,560 --> 00:26:43,000
Speaker 5: three kicks and then you need a fourth and eight

532
00:26:43,600 --> 00:26:46,200
Speaker 5: where if they don't call the false start, the snap

533
00:26:46,280 --> 00:26:48,320
Speaker 5: goes over the head and the game is over. But

534
00:26:48,400 --> 00:26:50,480
Speaker 5: a fourth and eight, it was a great throw by Caleb,

535
00:26:51,800 --> 00:26:55,760
Speaker 5: but that game, you're down eleven if you don't get

536
00:26:55,760 --> 00:26:57,359
Speaker 5: that fourth and eight with six minutes to go, and

537
00:26:57,400 --> 00:27:00,160
Speaker 5: the game is over like that. It's incredible the things.

538
00:27:00,520 --> 00:27:02,600
Speaker 5: And then the Packers at the end, they have no

539
00:27:02,640 --> 00:27:06,240
Speaker 5: offensive lineman left, no timeouts, they get an injury or runoff,

540
00:27:06,280 --> 00:27:09,760
Speaker 5: they get down on the twenty and then time runs

541
00:27:09,800 --> 00:27:12,639
Speaker 5: out on them. But if McManus doesn't miss all those kicks,

542
00:27:13,240 --> 00:27:15,680
Speaker 5: they could have kicked a field goal to tie it

543
00:27:15,480 --> 00:27:17,440
Speaker 5: to win it. I mean, he probably would have missed

544
00:27:17,440 --> 00:27:20,840
Speaker 5: another one. It was just a horrific game. Maybe it

545
00:27:20,880 --> 00:27:24,040
Speaker 5: was poetic justice for the Bears. The last home game

546
00:27:24,320 --> 00:27:26,720
Speaker 5: prior to that was the double doink and now you

547
00:27:26,760 --> 00:27:32,080
Speaker 5: get the triple miss from McManus. But yeah, it's just like,

548
00:27:33,040 --> 00:27:35,560
Speaker 5: can the Bears pull another one out of their ass?

549
00:27:35,560 --> 00:27:37,600
Speaker 5: I mean, they this easily could have been a seven

550
00:27:37,680 --> 00:27:41,119
Speaker 5: or eight win team during the regular season, but they

551
00:27:41,160 --> 00:27:43,359
Speaker 5: seem to have some magic going.

552
00:27:44,000 --> 00:27:48,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, and they have a quarterback that can do miraculous

553
00:27:48,520 --> 00:27:49,959
Speaker 1: things at the end of games. They've got a good

554
00:27:50,000 --> 00:27:53,320
Speaker 1: head coach, and the turnover differential has worked in their

555
00:27:53,359 --> 00:27:54,200
Speaker 1: favor all year.

556
00:27:54,320 --> 00:27:57,520
Speaker 4: All those things cater to being able.

557
00:27:57,240 --> 00:28:02,159
Speaker 1: To put together unlikely wins at the end of games,

558
00:28:02,359 --> 00:28:05,400
Speaker 1: and so I don't think it's a total accident. One

559
00:28:05,440 --> 00:28:07,280
Speaker 1: thing that I think is really cool about this upcoming

560
00:28:07,320 --> 00:28:10,200
Speaker 1: weekend is that we only have one rematch. The only

561
00:28:10,320 --> 00:28:12,959
Speaker 1: one is the forty nine ers in the Seahawks. All

562
00:28:13,040 --> 00:28:18,120
Speaker 1: the other games the other three are unique matchups. Trivia

563
00:28:18,240 --> 00:28:20,280
Speaker 1: question for you guys, first one to buzz in to

564
00:28:20,280 --> 00:28:22,320
Speaker 1: get the right answer is the winner. Here you win

565
00:28:22,400 --> 00:28:26,680
Speaker 1: nothing of actual substance other than perhaps some self pride.

566
00:28:27,440 --> 00:28:29,800
Speaker 1: The forty nine ers in the Seahawks met in week one,

567
00:28:30,280 --> 00:28:34,160
Speaker 1: and in week eighteen. They now meet in the playoffs.

568
00:28:34,359 --> 00:28:36,800
Speaker 1: Believe Evan can chime in on this. I believe the

569
00:28:37,240 --> 00:28:39,680
Speaker 1: he mentions in the primer first time in NFL history

570
00:28:39,720 --> 00:28:42,520
Speaker 1: Week one, last week of the season, and in the postseason.

571
00:28:43,360 --> 00:28:46,880
Speaker 1: Does anybody remember the first game was in Seattle? What

572
00:28:46,920 --> 00:28:49,800
Speaker 1: the point spread was in that game?

573
00:28:50,480 --> 00:28:55,240
Speaker 5: Say this again the fort Evan playoffs. You just want

574
00:28:55,240 --> 00:28:56,760
Speaker 5: to know that that spread from.

575
00:28:56,760 --> 00:28:59,080
Speaker 1: I was asking the trivia question was I was just

576
00:28:59,240 --> 00:29:02,640
Speaker 1: sort of layering some extra context. But so, this is

577
00:29:02,680 --> 00:29:04,600
Speaker 1: the first time in NFL history that two teams will

578
00:29:04,600 --> 00:29:06,600
Speaker 1: face off after meeting each other in the first week

579
00:29:06,600 --> 00:29:09,080
Speaker 1: of the regular season and the last week of the

580
00:29:09,080 --> 00:29:12,160
Speaker 1: regular season. But the trivia question is much more simplistic

581
00:29:12,200 --> 00:29:14,120
Speaker 1: than that. What was the point spread in Week one

582
00:29:14,440 --> 00:29:16,480
Speaker 1: when these two teams met in Seattle.

583
00:29:17,680 --> 00:29:20,200
Speaker 3: I'm gonna guess a point and a half in favor

584
00:29:20,240 --> 00:29:24,400
Speaker 3: of I'm gonna go La or I mean San Francisco,

585
00:29:24,520 --> 00:29:24,800
Speaker 3: it was.

586
00:29:24,960 --> 00:29:27,160
Speaker 5: Yeah, I think San fran was maybe a one point favorite.

587
00:29:27,200 --> 00:29:35,400
Speaker 5: I mean coming into the year, there were there were questions, remember,

588
00:29:35,440 --> 00:29:38,000
Speaker 5: like so the forty nine ers people were high on,

589
00:29:38,200 --> 00:29:43,000
Speaker 5: Remember they were healthy then, and then the Seahawks. People

590
00:29:43,040 --> 00:29:46,400
Speaker 5: were low on the Seahawks coming into the year with

591
00:29:46,520 --> 00:29:50,680
Speaker 5: Sam Darnold and that offensive line, and so there were

592
00:29:50,680 --> 00:29:54,959
Speaker 5: major questions about the Seahawks. So yeah, I think the

593
00:29:54,960 --> 00:29:57,120
Speaker 5: forty nine Ers were tiny.

594
00:29:56,800 --> 00:29:59,880
Speaker 4: Favorites, two and a half point favorites on the road.

595
00:30:00,400 --> 00:30:03,440
Speaker 1: My how times have changed, and now they are seven

596
00:30:03,520 --> 00:30:05,960
Speaker 1: and a half point underdogs. And I'm not saying that

597
00:30:05,960 --> 00:30:08,360
Speaker 1: that's an overcorrection obviously, a big part of that is

598
00:30:08,400 --> 00:30:12,000
Speaker 1: how good Seattle's been and how decimated the forty nine

599
00:30:12,080 --> 00:30:14,760
Speaker 1: ers are in terms of their injuries. We're about to

600
00:30:14,800 --> 00:30:17,600
Speaker 1: dive into our plant the Flag games, but first a

601
00:30:17,640 --> 00:30:20,320
Speaker 1: word from our very own Kendra Middleton.

602
00:30:20,840 --> 00:30:24,360
Speaker 3: The Favorites podcast is sponsored by DraftKings sportsbook and in

603
00:30:24,440 --> 00:30:27,719
Speaker 3: partnership with DraftKings, our listeners get a great offer right now.

604
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605
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606
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607
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608
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609
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Speaker 3: favorites when signing up with DraftKings. That's called favorites when

610
00:30:45,240 --> 00:30:47,880
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611
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Speaker 3: bonus bets. If you are bet wins, the crown is yours?

612
00:30:51,920 --> 00:30:52,600
Speaker 4: All right, Kendra?

613
00:30:52,680 --> 00:30:55,240
Speaker 1: Before we get to it official picks to start the week?

614
00:30:55,320 --> 00:30:57,120
Speaker 1: What is on your mind?

615
00:30:57,280 --> 00:30:59,760
Speaker 5: What selling you about?

616
00:31:01,520 --> 00:31:02,200
Speaker 6: Could you've been?

617
00:31:07,560 --> 00:31:07,800
Speaker 2: Okay?

618
00:31:07,880 --> 00:31:11,239
Speaker 3: So, before I describe this, if I brought up electromagnetism

619
00:31:11,240 --> 00:31:13,040
Speaker 3: in sports, would either of you know what I was

620
00:31:13,040 --> 00:31:13,560
Speaker 3: talking about?

621
00:31:13,600 --> 00:31:14,800
Speaker 2: Have you seen this news?

622
00:31:15,760 --> 00:31:15,960
Speaker 4: No?

623
00:31:16,560 --> 00:31:16,840
Speaker 2: Stuck?

624
00:31:17,000 --> 00:31:19,080
Speaker 4: They have to do with magnets.

625
00:31:18,880 --> 00:31:20,360
Speaker 2: Kind of stuck. Do you know what I'm talking about?

626
00:31:20,360 --> 00:31:23,840
Speaker 5: If I say this, maybe is it the forty is

627
00:31:23,880 --> 00:31:25,080
Speaker 5: it the forty nine ers?

628
00:31:25,200 --> 00:31:25,440
Speaker 4: Yes?

629
00:31:25,680 --> 00:31:31,400
Speaker 3: Okay, cravits so low frequency electromagnetic fields can degrade collagen,

630
00:31:31,520 --> 00:31:35,240
Speaker 3: weak in tendons and cause soft tissue damage at levels

631
00:31:35,480 --> 00:31:39,360
Speaker 3: regulators call safe. We have a real fast study proving this,

632
00:31:40,200 --> 00:31:42,880
Speaker 3: and an NFL team whose practice facility sits next to

633
00:31:42,920 --> 00:31:46,600
Speaker 3: a match. A massive electrical substrain, and the forty nine

634
00:31:46,680 --> 00:31:51,440
Speaker 3: Ers have the most injured roster in the NFL this season.

635
00:31:51,840 --> 00:31:54,880
Speaker 4: Thoughts, Yeah, makes sense.

636
00:31:55,120 --> 00:31:58,160
Speaker 2: Is artans oil hat on as a podcast? Is marsic question?

637
00:31:58,680 --> 00:32:02,840
Speaker 1: I am not a u I am not a professional scientist,

638
00:32:03,200 --> 00:32:05,760
Speaker 1: but it sounds like it makes sense. You know, you've

639
00:32:05,840 --> 00:32:09,479
Speaker 1: got people that live near polluted water that end up

640
00:32:09,480 --> 00:32:14,400
Speaker 1: with a higher rate of frequency in terms of cancer

641
00:32:14,560 --> 00:32:15,840
Speaker 1: and things of that nature.

642
00:32:15,920 --> 00:32:18,880
Speaker 4: So yeah, it makes sense. I think that it's.

643
00:32:18,800 --> 00:32:21,880
Speaker 1: Unfortunate for San Francisco that they've been put in this

644
00:32:22,600 --> 00:32:24,640
Speaker 1: health bind, but I buy it.

645
00:32:25,800 --> 00:32:27,480
Speaker 5: I have no idea, but I do think that there

646
00:32:27,520 --> 00:32:30,240
Speaker 5: is something like if you go back the last ten years,

647
00:32:30,240 --> 00:32:33,160
Speaker 5: the forty nine ers have been one of the unluckiest

648
00:32:33,160 --> 00:32:37,000
Speaker 5: teams in terms of injuries, Like every year they had

649
00:32:37,040 --> 00:32:39,800
Speaker 5: like one clean year when they went to the zeer Wold,

650
00:32:39,800 --> 00:32:43,080
Speaker 5: but like average games lost to injury, they're always bottom

651
00:32:43,200 --> 00:32:46,000
Speaker 5: one or two. So I don't know if it's some

652
00:32:46,160 --> 00:32:52,880
Speaker 5: other outside force or like their training staff, if they're

653
00:32:52,920 --> 00:32:57,080
Speaker 5: just missing something. But there's been too many years where

654
00:32:57,120 --> 00:32:59,920
Speaker 5: there's it's just that it feels like it just can't be.

655
00:33:00,320 --> 00:33:03,040
Speaker 3: Yeah, do we think it's like a future lawsuit situation, like,

656
00:33:03,080 --> 00:33:05,000
Speaker 3: do you think that you could, like, could you sue?

657
00:33:05,040 --> 00:33:08,680
Speaker 2: I don't know, Yeah, I mean.

658
00:33:08,600 --> 00:33:11,800
Speaker 1: You can sue for anything. What's lot is that CMC

659
00:33:12,040 --> 00:33:14,840
Speaker 1: is healthy of all of all the forty nine ers

660
00:33:14,880 --> 00:33:18,440
Speaker 1: to not experience an injury this year. This year, Christian

661
00:33:18,520 --> 00:33:21,560
Speaker 1: McCaffery one of the most often injured players in the NFL,

662
00:33:21,640 --> 00:33:24,080
Speaker 1: and he's been clean bill of health all year.

663
00:33:24,280 --> 00:33:26,360
Speaker 4: I do think part of it, too, outside of the.

664
00:33:26,280 --> 00:33:30,280
Speaker 1: Electro magneticism, if I'm saying that right, is that this

665
00:33:30,280 --> 00:33:32,320
Speaker 1: this has to be one of the oldest teams in

666
00:33:32,360 --> 00:33:33,120
Speaker 1: the NFL.

667
00:33:33,560 --> 00:33:36,800
Speaker 4: Fred Warner got hurt. He's old. George Kittle got hurt,

668
00:33:36,880 --> 00:33:40,600
Speaker 4: he's old. There's Trent Williams, he's old.

669
00:33:41,560 --> 00:33:45,480
Speaker 1: I think that probably plays as much a factor as

670
00:33:45,560 --> 00:33:48,600
Speaker 1: some factory plant that's next to their practice facility.

671
00:33:49,680 --> 00:33:50,080
Speaker 2: I don't know.

672
00:33:50,240 --> 00:33:53,440
Speaker 3: I think I think my tenfoil hots on I'm fully woke.

673
00:33:53,920 --> 00:33:56,520
Speaker 1: Okay, Is there is there any other context you would

674
00:33:56,560 --> 00:33:58,800
Speaker 1: like to add in terms of your your opinion on

675
00:33:58,840 --> 00:34:01,400
Speaker 1: the matter before we hand out.

676
00:34:01,240 --> 00:34:05,800
Speaker 3: Some picks, not particularly on the injuries, but I would

677
00:34:05,840 --> 00:34:08,280
Speaker 3: like to say justice for my man Robert Sala.

678
00:34:08,560 --> 00:34:11,960
Speaker 2: The Jets were not his fault. He rules the end.

679
00:34:12,440 --> 00:34:14,200
Speaker 4: Yes he does. Yes, that was.

680
00:34:14,480 --> 00:34:16,680
Speaker 2: Fuck the New York Jets Boom Boom.

681
00:34:16,440 --> 00:34:22,080
Speaker 1: Boom coaching coaching masterpiece by Shanahan. And I'll give most

682
00:34:22,120 --> 00:34:24,480
Speaker 1: of the credit to Sala even though he's going up

683
00:34:24,480 --> 00:34:28,040
Speaker 1: against an offense. I'm pretty sure they draw their plays

684
00:34:28,040 --> 00:34:33,440
Speaker 1: on with crayon. In terms of what they're doing in Philadelphia.

685
00:34:33,719 --> 00:34:36,640
Speaker 5: Seven drives for the Eagles, a twenty five percent dropback

686
00:34:36,680 --> 00:34:40,320
Speaker 5: success rate against that defense. They run forty eight hitches

687
00:34:40,960 --> 00:34:44,239
Speaker 5: on thirty seven dropbacks. Forty eight hitches. It's over one

688
00:34:44,400 --> 00:34:47,080
Speaker 5: hitch per play. That's their They broke their own record

689
00:34:47,800 --> 00:34:49,799
Speaker 5: early this season. I mean, I don't know. They kept

690
00:34:49,840 --> 00:34:52,640
Speaker 5: running four verts at the end against quarters coverage, which

691
00:34:52,680 --> 00:34:55,160
Speaker 5: is I mean, I don't know what the Eagles were doing.

692
00:34:56,400 --> 00:34:58,720
Speaker 5: Ye have more injuries. Jayer Brown got hurt for the Niners.

693
00:34:58,800 --> 00:35:01,719
Speaker 5: Kittle obviously, it does it. Fred Warner was saying, like

694
00:35:01,719 --> 00:35:03,719
Speaker 5: a month ago, he's targeting being back to the Division round.

695
00:35:03,760 --> 00:35:07,200
Speaker 5: Doesn't look like he will be back. We'll see on

696
00:35:07,239 --> 00:35:13,759
Speaker 5: some some of the other linebackers, and Ricky Pearsall we'll

697
00:35:13,760 --> 00:35:14,880
Speaker 5: see on him as well.

698
00:35:15,480 --> 00:35:15,879
Speaker 6: Uh said.

699
00:35:15,880 --> 00:35:19,680
Speaker 5: The I mean the Niners injury report always worth monitoring,

700
00:35:20,400 --> 00:35:24,400
Speaker 5: but it's you have to give creditasal for what he did.

701
00:35:24,440 --> 00:35:26,680
Speaker 5: I mean, he was down fifth, sixth, and seventh string

702
00:35:27,080 --> 00:35:30,480
Speaker 5: linebackers and to get the job done in the road

703
00:35:30,600 --> 00:35:33,960
Speaker 5: was definitely impressive, even though a lot of the blame also.

704
00:35:33,719 --> 00:35:36,000
Speaker 6: Has to go to the Eagles for just the play

705
00:35:36,040 --> 00:35:36,680
Speaker 6: calling and.

706
00:35:37,520 --> 00:35:41,600
Speaker 5: They're they're they're just all year. It's like, it's amazing.

707
00:35:41,640 --> 00:35:45,359
Speaker 5: I've never seen an offense just going to the tank

708
00:35:45,480 --> 00:35:48,120
Speaker 5: for two quarters at a time almost every game. I mean,

709
00:35:48,160 --> 00:35:54,440
Speaker 5: it's was stunning, no rhythm, no flow, no sense of urgency,

710
00:35:56,080 --> 00:35:58,520
Speaker 5: and it was a fitting end of their season. But

711
00:35:59,560 --> 00:36:03,200
Speaker 5: I don't know if that forty nine ers defense will

712
00:36:03,200 --> 00:36:04,920
Speaker 5: have the same type of results against.

713
00:36:04,640 --> 00:36:08,600
Speaker 1: Seattle, especially a team that will actually commit to the

714
00:36:08,719 --> 00:36:11,920
Speaker 1: run and the forty nine Ers cannot stop it. I

715
00:36:13,360 --> 00:36:17,440
Speaker 1: cannot find enough ways to throw Seattle money line into

716
00:36:17,920 --> 00:36:21,000
Speaker 1: parlays this weekend. I'm not even I just I want

717
00:36:21,000 --> 00:36:23,279
Speaker 1: nothing to do with the number. I just know I

718
00:36:23,840 --> 00:36:28,080
Speaker 1: feel the most confident opinion I have headed into this weekend,

719
00:36:28,200 --> 00:36:30,280
Speaker 1: which is not a hot take for a team favored

720
00:36:30,320 --> 00:36:33,160
Speaker 1: by a touchdown and a hook, is that Seattle was

721
00:36:33,200 --> 00:36:37,359
Speaker 1: beating San Francisco this it ends now, and I've had

722
00:36:37,360 --> 00:36:39,440
Speaker 1: a pretty good beat on the forty nine ers. This

723
00:36:39,480 --> 00:36:42,000
Speaker 1: is it, that was it. That was the perfect matchup

724
00:36:42,000 --> 00:36:45,880
Speaker 1: for them going up against that vanilla offense. That team's

725
00:36:45,880 --> 00:36:49,880
Speaker 1: broken in Philly after they just don't have the personalities

726
00:36:49,960 --> 00:36:51,880
Speaker 1: to back up a Super Bowl championship.

727
00:36:51,880 --> 00:36:52,839
Speaker 4: But anyway, let's yeah.

728
00:36:52,840 --> 00:36:55,080
Speaker 5: I mean the offense, like the offense can do anything

729
00:36:55,200 --> 00:36:57,000
Speaker 5: against Seattle the last time they played.

730
00:36:57,640 --> 00:36:59,879
Speaker 6: It's going to take a you know, one.

731
00:36:59,800 --> 00:37:02,560
Speaker 5: Of the the most one of the beautiful things about

732
00:37:02,560 --> 00:37:04,400
Speaker 5: the playoffs and then one of the you know, the

733
00:37:04,440 --> 00:37:09,960
Speaker 5: things that makes it very difficult to handicap is number one.

734
00:37:10,000 --> 00:37:12,239
Speaker 5: The lines are very efficient this time of the year.

735
00:37:12,880 --> 00:37:15,480
Speaker 5: But you could dive into like tendency and the NFL

736
00:37:15,520 --> 00:37:17,160
Speaker 5: you're always going to be changing things from a week

737
00:37:17,200 --> 00:37:19,359
Speaker 5: to week basis, but especially in the playoffs like this

738
00:37:19,400 --> 00:37:23,040
Speaker 5: is when you change tendencies a ton and in the

739
00:37:23,080 --> 00:37:27,560
Speaker 5: highest leverage games. And the forty nine ers did just

740
00:37:27,560 --> 00:37:30,640
Speaker 5: play Seattle and couldn't do anything offensively. It's going to

741
00:37:30,719 --> 00:37:37,040
Speaker 5: take a Shanahan masterclass for them, I think, to be

742
00:37:37,040 --> 00:37:39,640
Speaker 5: able to put up enough points here. The way that

743
00:37:39,680 --> 00:37:42,440
Speaker 5: you beat Donald too is that you got to get

744
00:37:42,440 --> 00:37:47,040
Speaker 5: pressure on him, and like that's the forty nine ers

745
00:37:47,800 --> 00:37:53,400
Speaker 5: are incapable of generating pressure. So like, this isn't the

746
00:37:53,480 --> 00:37:57,279
Speaker 5: type of game where I think that Donald is going

747
00:37:57,320 --> 00:38:01,000
Speaker 5: to struggle. And I mean, yes, that last game that

748
00:38:01,040 --> 00:38:07,680
Speaker 5: they played looks relatively was what was it, thirteen to three,

749
00:38:08,160 --> 00:38:12,120
Speaker 5: so it looks relatively close, But the Seahawks had twenty

750
00:38:12,120 --> 00:38:14,520
Speaker 5: three first downs of the Niners nine. The total yarders

751
00:38:14,560 --> 00:38:17,600
Speaker 5: is three sixty one to one seventy three. I mean

752
00:38:17,640 --> 00:38:22,440
Speaker 5: that game was not as close as the final score indicated.

753
00:38:22,680 --> 00:38:26,120
Speaker 5: I mean, you have the the Seahawks went sixty six

754
00:38:26,239 --> 00:38:29,080
Speaker 5: yard drive, turned it over on downs, fifty five yard drive,

755
00:38:29,120 --> 00:38:32,000
Speaker 5: missed a fueld goal, They settled for a couple other

756
00:38:32,040 --> 00:38:34,160
Speaker 5: field goals after long drives. They missed a fuel goal

757
00:38:34,200 --> 00:38:37,520
Speaker 5: after a ninety yard drive. Now, the forty nine Ers

758
00:38:37,520 --> 00:38:42,400
Speaker 5: did throw a pick inside the five late that bounced

759
00:38:42,400 --> 00:38:45,000
Speaker 5: off McCaffrey's hands, but if you watch that game, it

760
00:38:45,080 --> 00:38:48,680
Speaker 5: was the Seahawks were completely dominant on a play by

761
00:38:48,840 --> 00:38:51,360
Speaker 5: play basis. So I'm it's gonna have to be a

762
00:38:51,520 --> 00:38:53,839
Speaker 5: Shanahan masterclass, and he's gonna have to come up with

763
00:38:53,880 --> 00:38:55,719
Speaker 5: some You're gonna have to call up some more like

764
00:38:55,760 --> 00:38:59,040
Speaker 5: reverse passes and uh, some creative ways to get guys

765
00:38:59,080 --> 00:39:01,560
Speaker 5: open and you with the pressure that Seattle can generate

766
00:39:01,600 --> 00:39:03,319
Speaker 5: without blitzing, I.

767
00:39:03,360 --> 00:39:06,160
Speaker 1: Might commission that we throw the Seahawks money line in

768
00:39:06,360 --> 00:39:08,759
Speaker 1: with whatever we come up with on Thursday. Make it

769
00:39:08,800 --> 00:39:10,879
Speaker 1: a four leg Let's see if we can go that,

770
00:39:11,280 --> 00:39:13,839
Speaker 1: or just eliminate someone's and throw that in there. Let's

771
00:39:13,840 --> 00:39:16,320
Speaker 1: get throw our plant the flag games presented by DraftKings.

772
00:39:16,360 --> 00:39:20,160
Speaker 4: The crown is yours.

773
00:39:19,000 --> 00:39:20,359
Speaker 7: Might flag and it shut up.

774
00:39:20,640 --> 00:39:22,279
Speaker 5: I'm trying to plant my flag here.

775
00:39:22,400 --> 00:39:25,360
Speaker 1: Okay, you're really planting your flag in that thick Kendra,

776
00:39:25,560 --> 00:39:26,160
Speaker 1: who you got?

777
00:39:26,840 --> 00:39:31,600
Speaker 3: I came back from the airport literally fifteen minutes before

778
00:39:31,640 --> 00:39:34,120
Speaker 3: our show. I went one in three last weekend. It

779
00:39:34,200 --> 00:39:36,880
Speaker 3: was my worst weekend of the entire year. And my

780
00:39:37,000 --> 00:39:40,360
Speaker 3: uber driver was a nice Lebanese man and he loved

781
00:39:40,360 --> 00:39:43,080
Speaker 3: sports gambling, and he told me that he was all

782
00:39:43,680 --> 00:39:46,400
Speaker 3: over the Patriots this week. He said that they were

783
00:39:46,440 --> 00:39:48,759
Speaker 3: gonna kick ass, not even a Patriots fan, and I

784
00:39:48,840 --> 00:39:51,680
Speaker 3: have to trust him. So since I couldn't hit a bet,

785
00:39:52,120 --> 00:39:54,520
Speaker 3: I'm gonna go with my uber driver's pick of the

786
00:39:54,520 --> 00:40:00,200
Speaker 3: Patriots money line the end. I'm if I.

787
00:39:59,480 --> 00:40:01,799
Speaker 2: Don't hit this, then I don't.

788
00:40:01,880 --> 00:40:04,279
Speaker 3: It's like a reverse curse, like they're in bed jail

789
00:40:04,320 --> 00:40:06,640
Speaker 3: for me, but now they're not. I have bet against

790
00:40:06,640 --> 00:40:08,600
Speaker 3: them and they've won all year, and now that I'm

791
00:40:08,640 --> 00:40:09,920
Speaker 3: on them, are they gonna lose?

792
00:40:10,600 --> 00:40:12,960
Speaker 2: But I'm gonna go with my nice uber driver.

793
00:40:14,280 --> 00:40:19,880
Speaker 1: What was what was his name? Remember John Sadan? So

794
00:40:19,920 --> 00:40:22,560
Speaker 1: it's not really your play. So like there, they could

795
00:40:22,560 --> 00:40:24,720
Speaker 1: still be in jail for you. You're just tailing.

796
00:40:24,360 --> 00:40:27,920
Speaker 3: Sadan in Sadan, I trust, I have nowhere else to go,

797
00:40:28,200 --> 00:40:29,200
Speaker 3: nothing else to do.

798
00:40:29,840 --> 00:40:31,960
Speaker 2: Shout out Sadan, I'm tailing.

799
00:40:33,920 --> 00:40:35,799
Speaker 4: Black planted Stucky who you got.

800
00:40:36,880 --> 00:40:40,680
Speaker 5: Yeah, I haven't bet anything yet still, I mean we're

801
00:40:40,840 --> 00:40:42,799
Speaker 5: really at the dive in this time of the year

802
00:40:42,840 --> 00:40:44,920
Speaker 5: to these games. So that's what I'll be spend in

803
00:40:44,920 --> 00:40:48,279
Speaker 5: the next couple of days doing at over fifty one.

804
00:40:48,360 --> 00:40:51,360
Speaker 5: I thought about the Bears rams under it's not fifty

805
00:40:51,360 --> 00:40:55,440
Speaker 5: and a half. I mean that's a in freezing cold temperatures.

806
00:40:55,440 --> 00:40:57,160
Speaker 5: That's a very high number. Now it's hard, just like

807
00:40:57,840 --> 00:41:00,000
Speaker 5: which defense is getting stops. I mean the Rams secondary

808
00:41:00,120 --> 00:41:02,960
Speaker 5: is over the past month and a half has been torched.

809
00:41:03,480 --> 00:41:05,839
Speaker 5: I mean all of their games have been absolute shootouts,

810
00:41:06,719 --> 00:41:12,000
Speaker 5: but I mean the outdoor totals in the playoffs a

811
00:41:12,280 --> 00:41:14,360
Speaker 5: forty seven or above, which is a key number, fifty

812
00:41:14,400 --> 00:41:17,040
Speaker 5: two to twenty seven and two, it's sixty six percent.

813
00:41:17,400 --> 00:41:20,640
Speaker 5: I think they're sixty seven percent at fifty one or above.

814
00:41:21,680 --> 00:41:23,040
Speaker 5: So I thought about that, but.

815
00:41:24,719 --> 00:41:26,760
Speaker 6: I'm going to go. I also thought I might.

816
00:41:26,600 --> 00:41:30,279
Speaker 5: Play the Broncos first half again. I faded the Bills

817
00:41:30,360 --> 00:41:31,839
Speaker 5: last week, but I would make that bet again. I mean,

818
00:41:31,840 --> 00:41:34,239
Speaker 5: if Washington doesn't get hurt and all Pro misses a

819
00:41:34,320 --> 00:41:36,160
Speaker 5: kick and then you got a fourth down stop on

820
00:41:36,200 --> 00:41:40,200
Speaker 5: a on a fluke play that took seven off the board,

821
00:41:40,239 --> 00:41:43,839
Speaker 5: and you know they still had a chance to to push.

822
00:41:44,000 --> 00:41:46,960
Speaker 5: So I might look at the Broncos first half. Although

823
00:41:47,200 --> 00:41:50,040
Speaker 5: Sean Payton in the playoffs is just six and twelve

824
00:41:50,080 --> 00:41:52,920
Speaker 5: against the spread in the first half, for what it's worth,

825
00:41:54,000 --> 00:41:54,440
Speaker 5: but I'm.

826
00:41:54,280 --> 00:41:54,640
Speaker 6: Going to go.

827
00:41:55,080 --> 00:41:58,400
Speaker 5: Linees more efficient this time of the year, which makes teasers,

828
00:41:58,400 --> 00:42:04,880
Speaker 5: specifically teasers across three and seven more valuable. So I

829
00:42:04,920 --> 00:42:06,920
Speaker 5: think one of the better players on the board teasing

830
00:42:06,960 --> 00:42:09,799
Speaker 5: the Seahawks from seven and a half down to one

831
00:42:09,840 --> 00:42:14,560
Speaker 5: and a half and then the Texans from two and

832
00:42:14,560 --> 00:42:18,720
Speaker 5: a half up to eight and a half that one.

833
00:42:19,120 --> 00:42:22,000
Speaker 5: There's still some uncertainty with Nego Collins and Christian Gonzalez.

834
00:42:22,200 --> 00:42:26,239
Speaker 5: I actually think Gonzalez would be a bigger loss than Collins. Now,

835
00:42:26,320 --> 00:42:29,040
Speaker 5: Collins would give them more upside if Gonzalez doesn't play.

836
00:42:29,280 --> 00:42:32,239
Speaker 5: But the Texans did develop some depth at receiver when

837
00:42:32,400 --> 00:42:34,840
Speaker 5: Collins was out earlier this year.

838
00:42:35,560 --> 00:42:37,480
Speaker 2: So they have nowhere.

839
00:42:37,560 --> 00:42:41,680
Speaker 5: So yeah, now the emergence of Kirk, but they have

840
00:42:41,719 --> 00:42:44,239
Speaker 5: some options. But mainly this is just you're gonna get

841
00:42:44,280 --> 00:42:47,440
Speaker 5: me over a touchdown. With a total that's sitting at

842
00:42:47,440 --> 00:42:50,960
Speaker 5: forty one, I think it makes some sense and that

843
00:42:51,040 --> 00:42:52,920
Speaker 5: Texans defense will keep them in the game. And we

844
00:42:52,960 --> 00:42:57,600
Speaker 5: saw that the Patriots offense, which didn't play a defense

845
00:42:57,600 --> 00:43:01,480
Speaker 5: with a pulse all year, looked a lot more pedestrian

846
00:43:02,040 --> 00:43:04,720
Speaker 5: against the Chargers defense. And the Chargers defense was getting

847
00:43:05,200 --> 00:43:07,879
Speaker 5: the charges. Defense isn't known for getting elite pressure. Would

848
00:43:07,880 --> 00:43:10,400
Speaker 5: they sacked May like five or six times. They were

849
00:43:10,400 --> 00:43:15,080
Speaker 5: getting constant pressure. So I worry about the especially that

850
00:43:15,200 --> 00:43:18,680
Speaker 5: the left side of the Patriots offensive line, I mean

851
00:43:18,719 --> 00:43:24,280
Speaker 5: Will Campbell was getting abused blegend So going up against

852
00:43:24,280 --> 00:43:30,839
Speaker 5: that Texans pass rush, I could see may under constant fire.

853
00:43:30,920 --> 00:43:31,720
Speaker 6: Now the same you.

854
00:43:31,719 --> 00:43:34,480
Speaker 5: You're gonna probably get a heavy blitz package from the

855
00:43:34,520 --> 00:43:35,320
Speaker 5: Patriots again.

856
00:43:35,719 --> 00:43:38,600
Speaker 2: Could I think they're getting Tonga back.

857
00:43:39,200 --> 00:43:42,400
Speaker 5: Yeah, I could get Tonga back, but I think it

858
00:43:42,560 --> 00:43:45,800
Speaker 5: just makes sense to tease that over seven in a

859
00:43:46,320 --> 00:43:48,880
Speaker 5: in a game with a total forty one. So I

860
00:43:48,880 --> 00:43:53,520
Speaker 5: we'll go Seahawks Texans teaser. I mean, he's yeh, Seahawks Texans.

861
00:43:53,239 --> 00:43:57,360
Speaker 1: Caesar speaking my language over here. I'm gonna go with

862
00:43:57,440 --> 00:44:01,520
Speaker 1: the Bills money line. I don't trust the Broncos. I

863
00:44:01,600 --> 00:44:04,239
Speaker 1: think they're one of the most overrated one seeds of

864
00:44:04,360 --> 00:44:08,560
Speaker 1: my lifetime. Their defense is great, their offense is average

865
00:44:08,680 --> 00:44:12,759
Speaker 1: at best. Denver failed to get to twenty or past

866
00:44:12,840 --> 00:44:15,600
Speaker 1: twenty and their final three games their last two games

867
00:44:15,640 --> 00:44:19,000
Speaker 1: were against the Chiefs and the Chargers, essentially their backups.

868
00:44:19,040 --> 00:44:21,719
Speaker 1: Definitely for the Chargers, the Chiefs were just broken at

869
00:44:21,760 --> 00:44:24,120
Speaker 1: the end of the year, still couldn't score. The Jags

870
00:44:24,160 --> 00:44:26,120
Speaker 1: held them to twenty and that was on their home field.

871
00:44:26,600 --> 00:44:29,400
Speaker 1: The defense is great. One of their big weaknesses is

872
00:44:29,760 --> 00:44:34,040
Speaker 1: against slot wide receivers. Well, that's what Khalil Shakira is.

873
00:44:34,280 --> 00:44:36,359
Speaker 1: So if you want to go next level, I mean

874
00:44:36,440 --> 00:44:40,560
Speaker 1: Josh Allen just against man coverage. If you turn your

875
00:44:40,600 --> 00:44:43,160
Speaker 1: back to him and you allow him to take off,

876
00:44:43,400 --> 00:44:47,239
Speaker 1: then that's where he's the most dangerous. I fear that

877
00:44:47,320 --> 00:44:49,440
Speaker 1: the Broncos will not commit to the run the way

878
00:44:49,480 --> 00:44:52,640
Speaker 1: that they absolutely should against Buffalo, the way that Jacksonville

879
00:44:53,200 --> 00:44:56,040
Speaker 1: failed miserably, and doing that, they were way too committed

880
00:44:56,080 --> 00:44:58,440
Speaker 1: to their game plan and what they've been all year,

881
00:44:58,480 --> 00:45:01,080
Speaker 1: which is run to set up the pass. Well, all

882
00:45:01,080 --> 00:45:04,960
Speaker 1: they had to do was run against Buffalo. Bagel Touton

883
00:45:05,040 --> 00:45:07,120
Speaker 1: was unstoppable in this game. They went away from him.

884
00:45:07,120 --> 00:45:11,080
Speaker 1: Made no sense whatsoever. Sixty three percent pass rate and

885
00:45:11,160 --> 00:45:14,000
Speaker 1: neutral situations are the Denver Broncos. That's not how you

886
00:45:14,080 --> 00:45:17,120
Speaker 1: want to play against the Buffalo Bills. Alan is in

887
00:45:17,239 --> 00:45:19,799
Speaker 1: hero ball mode. I think he goes out and gets

888
00:45:19,800 --> 00:45:22,840
Speaker 1: a win. Now on the teaser front, I am playing

889
00:45:22,880 --> 00:45:24,880
Speaker 1: this from both sides, so I want to be completely

890
00:45:24,960 --> 00:45:25,759
Speaker 1: transparent on this.

891
00:45:26,400 --> 00:45:29,000
Speaker 4: I like the Bills on the money line. I also

892
00:45:29,239 --> 00:45:29,640
Speaker 4: tease the.

893
00:45:29,680 --> 00:45:31,880
Speaker 1: Broncos when they were one and a half up to

894
00:45:31,960 --> 00:45:34,439
Speaker 1: seven and a half and the Seahawks down to one.

895
00:45:34,920 --> 00:45:38,960
Speaker 1: So I would love if this was a Bill's win

896
00:45:39,480 --> 00:45:43,120
Speaker 1: somewhere between one and seven. That would be ideal profit

897
00:45:43,280 --> 00:45:45,040
Speaker 1: for me, but I do like the Bills on the

898
00:45:45,080 --> 00:45:47,160
Speaker 1: money line. Anybody want to yell at me about it

899
00:45:47,239 --> 00:45:47,560
Speaker 1: this week?

900
00:45:48,400 --> 00:45:51,640
Speaker 2: I can't yell you you you you you can't. I

901
00:45:51,840 --> 00:45:52,479
Speaker 2: literally can't.

902
00:45:53,239 --> 00:45:53,279
Speaker 8: No.

903
00:45:53,680 --> 00:45:56,640
Speaker 5: I have no strong opinion on the full game, So

904
00:45:57,000 --> 00:45:59,000
Speaker 5: I'm fine with you. Run your take, Josh Allen in

905
00:45:59,000 --> 00:45:59,960
Speaker 5: the playoffs of a bonick.

906
00:46:00,600 --> 00:46:01,120
Speaker 6: That's fine.

907
00:46:01,680 --> 00:46:04,800
Speaker 4: So a two recap. I was letting that marinate for

908
00:46:04,880 --> 00:46:05,239
Speaker 4: a moment.

909
00:46:05,280 --> 00:46:08,040
Speaker 1: By the way, Kendra, thank you for that Patriots money

910
00:46:08,120 --> 00:46:13,080
Speaker 1: line against the Texans teaser. Seahawks down to a point,

911
00:46:13,520 --> 00:46:15,520
Speaker 1: Texans up to eight and a half, and I've got

912
00:46:15,560 --> 00:46:19,960
Speaker 1: the Bills money line. That all presented by Draft Kings

913
00:46:20,200 --> 00:46:22,160
Speaker 1: where the crown is yours.

914
00:46:22,320 --> 00:46:23,160
Speaker 4: Now for the main event.

915
00:46:23,280 --> 00:46:26,560
Speaker 1: No betting week can start without it, especially when you

916
00:46:26,640 --> 00:46:32,160
Speaker 1: get to the playoffs. The primer courtesy of Evan Abrams. Evan,

917
00:46:32,480 --> 00:46:35,200
Speaker 1: Welcome to the show. How did you do this past weekend?

918
00:46:36,440 --> 00:46:38,279
Speaker 8: I put four picks in the app and went two

919
00:46:38,360 --> 00:46:40,320
Speaker 8: and two one loss. That sucked.

920
00:46:40,360 --> 00:46:42,560
Speaker 7: I had Jaden Reid under three and a half receptions.

921
00:46:42,600 --> 00:46:45,800
Speaker 7: He got that fourth reception on that final catch. So

922
00:46:46,000 --> 00:46:48,400
Speaker 7: but that's what ends up happening. When you end up

923
00:46:48,440 --> 00:46:50,799
Speaker 7: taking unders, you get stabbed in the heart. I also

924
00:46:50,800 --> 00:46:53,600
Speaker 7: said Parkinson over receiving yards on that last catch. So

925
00:46:53,840 --> 00:46:56,279
Speaker 7: you know, give if, take if, what's that we do here?

926
00:46:57,360 --> 00:46:59,719
Speaker 1: So we have a couple of teams that get to

927
00:46:59,840 --> 00:47:02,280
Speaker 1: they were able to sit back and watch the wild

928
00:47:02,360 --> 00:47:05,080
Speaker 1: Card round just like the rest of us. The Seahawks

929
00:47:05,120 --> 00:47:08,279
Speaker 1: and the Broncos off of a bye. How have those

930
00:47:08,400 --> 00:47:11,080
Speaker 1: teams performed in recent years?

931
00:47:12,480 --> 00:47:15,800
Speaker 7: You know, kravitz by suck, especially for covering the spread.

932
00:47:16,360 --> 00:47:19,480
Speaker 7: I mean, that's what we've seen historically. So just blanketed

933
00:47:19,560 --> 00:47:22,080
Speaker 7: since O three home team's division round coming off of bye,

934
00:47:22,560 --> 00:47:26,680
Speaker 7: forty three percent ats three and seven ats since twenty

935
00:47:26,760 --> 00:47:30,120
Speaker 7: twenty in that Seattle spot, when you're a favorite of

936
00:47:30,160 --> 00:47:33,400
Speaker 7: seven plus seventeen and twenty six forty percent, so.

937
00:47:34,160 --> 00:47:35,600
Speaker 8: It's usually pretty difficult.

938
00:47:35,680 --> 00:47:39,200
Speaker 7: But you also aren't usually facing an electrocuted team who's

939
00:47:39,239 --> 00:47:42,520
Speaker 7: missing half their roster. So we'll have to see how

940
00:47:42,560 --> 00:47:46,040
Speaker 7: that San Francisco walking Dead does in this situation.

941
00:47:47,400 --> 00:47:51,359
Speaker 1: What about Chicago? They came back down twenty one to three,

942
00:47:51,560 --> 00:47:54,000
Speaker 1: could have even been more if McManus could make a

943
00:47:54,080 --> 00:47:57,960
Speaker 1: kick or two. They're off of one of the most

944
00:47:58,000 --> 00:48:02,560
Speaker 1: epic comebacks in playoff history. I would guess that teams

945
00:48:02,719 --> 00:48:06,399
Speaker 1: in that situation do not perform well the following week,

946
00:48:06,440 --> 00:48:07,320
Speaker 1: would I be correct?

947
00:48:08,360 --> 00:48:08,960
Speaker 8: Yeah, you're right.

948
00:48:09,040 --> 00:48:12,640
Speaker 7: It's also one of the craziest situations we've seen so Chicago.

949
00:48:12,800 --> 00:48:16,560
Speaker 7: Being a home underdog in back to back games in

950
00:48:16,680 --> 00:48:19,680
Speaker 7: the playoffs is just not something we really see, right, Like,

951
00:48:19,840 --> 00:48:22,279
Speaker 7: usually you win the first game and everyone's like, oh wow,

952
00:48:22,360 --> 00:48:24,800
Speaker 7: look at this team, and you end up as a favorite.

953
00:48:24,880 --> 00:48:27,440
Speaker 7: This would be just the second time a team is

954
00:48:27,480 --> 00:48:30,080
Speaker 7: an home underdog in back to back playoff games. The

955
00:48:30,160 --> 00:48:33,040
Speaker 7: Eagles did it in seventeen eighteen, and the Bears are

956
00:48:33,080 --> 00:48:36,239
Speaker 7: the first team in NFL history and since we've had

957
00:48:36,280 --> 00:48:38,440
Speaker 7: wildcards to do it in Wildcard and Divisional.

958
00:48:38,800 --> 00:48:40,840
Speaker 8: So we've never seen a team be home dog in

959
00:48:40,920 --> 00:48:41,560
Speaker 8: back to backs.

960
00:48:42,560 --> 00:48:45,840
Speaker 7: Crazy there, and you mentioned it yourself. I'll give you

961
00:48:45,880 --> 00:48:48,480
Speaker 7: a few here. So those teams, and you've seen the

962
00:48:48,520 --> 00:48:51,000
Speaker 7: stat everywhere. Teams leading a playoff game by fifteen plus

963
00:48:51,080 --> 00:48:53,600
Speaker 7: start of the fourth quarter have lost two games before

964
00:48:53,640 --> 00:48:56,200
Speaker 7: the Super Bowl. The twenty two forty nine Ers over

965
00:48:56,239 --> 00:48:58,680
Speaker 7: the Giants, the seventy two Cowboys of the Niners. They

966
00:48:58,760 --> 00:49:02,680
Speaker 7: both lost the following week by a combined score. I'm

967
00:49:02,680 --> 00:49:06,800
Speaker 7: gonna do quick math of fifty seven to nine in

968
00:49:06,920 --> 00:49:08,200
Speaker 7: their next game, which.

969
00:49:08,120 --> 00:49:11,360
Speaker 8: Is absolutely terrible. I'll go one further.

970
00:49:11,480 --> 00:49:14,080
Speaker 7: Since division re alignment in two thousand and two, teams

971
00:49:14,080 --> 00:49:16,080
Speaker 7: that after coming back from ten plus points down in

972
00:49:16,120 --> 00:49:19,200
Speaker 7: the playoffs just eight and twenty two in the next

973
00:49:19,239 --> 00:49:22,319
Speaker 7: playoff game and five and fifteen in aning round before

974
00:49:22,360 --> 00:49:25,560
Speaker 7: the Super Bowl. So yes, very difficult to bounce back.

975
00:49:25,680 --> 00:49:28,880
Speaker 7: But Chicago's seeing a little bit of love here. Sixty

976
00:49:28,920 --> 00:49:31,880
Speaker 7: five percent of tickets early week lines come down at TAD.

977
00:49:32,080 --> 00:49:34,080
Speaker 7: I saw some fours now three and a half, so

978
00:49:34,960 --> 00:49:36,640
Speaker 7: we will see that.

979
00:49:37,040 --> 00:49:39,560
Speaker 5: Teams also teams off of a home teams off of

980
00:49:39,600 --> 00:49:42,520
Speaker 5: a win, and now right win is a home dog

981
00:49:42,800 --> 00:49:48,640
Speaker 5: in the wild card round since two thousand and three,

982
00:49:48,680 --> 00:49:51,520
Speaker 5: which is what our database goes back to zero to

983
00:49:51,640 --> 00:49:57,120
Speaker 5: twelve straight up. Yeah, against the spread. One of the

984
00:49:57,160 --> 00:50:03,280
Speaker 5: covers was the the jag when uh, they're not the Jags.

985
00:50:03,320 --> 00:50:06,120
Speaker 5: It was the Texans when the Chiefs took that intentional

986
00:50:06,160 --> 00:50:07,920
Speaker 5: safety at the end of the game.

987
00:50:09,040 --> 00:50:10,719
Speaker 4: Do you remember that it wasn't even a real cover.

988
00:50:11,280 --> 00:50:14,520
Speaker 5: Yeah, So teams off of a win as a home

989
00:50:14,600 --> 00:50:17,359
Speaker 5: dog the next round historically, No, it's only a twelve

990
00:50:17,360 --> 00:50:17,840
Speaker 5: game sample.

991
00:50:17,920 --> 00:50:20,879
Speaker 6: Size, but it has been pretty most of those games

992
00:50:20,880 --> 00:50:21,560
Speaker 6: have been blowouts.

993
00:50:23,160 --> 00:50:25,640
Speaker 4: We are outdoors for all of these.

994
00:50:25,920 --> 00:50:30,560
Speaker 1: You had that the stat the trend of unders wild

995
00:50:30,640 --> 00:50:33,279
Speaker 1: card round outdoors went four and two to the under.

996
00:50:33,400 --> 00:50:34,160
Speaker 4: So thank you for that.

997
00:50:34,440 --> 00:50:36,960
Speaker 1: Was able to add that to the profit sheet this

998
00:50:37,120 --> 00:50:40,279
Speaker 1: past weekend. Do we have anything similar in the divisional round?

999
00:50:41,480 --> 00:50:42,520
Speaker 8: It usually evens out.

1000
00:50:42,640 --> 00:50:46,440
Speaker 7: That is a very wild CARDI stat once we get

1001
00:50:46,520 --> 00:50:48,400
Speaker 7: to this time of year, it does even out of it.

1002
00:50:48,480 --> 00:50:50,000
Speaker 8: I know, Stuck you had just talked about.

1003
00:50:50,200 --> 00:50:54,640
Speaker 7: I mean mostly outdoor games, totals in that higher range

1004
00:50:54,960 --> 00:50:56,080
Speaker 7: do go under the total.

1005
00:50:56,440 --> 00:50:58,480
Speaker 8: But I'll add it to the primer if there's anything

1006
00:50:58,520 --> 00:50:59,120
Speaker 8: interest in there.

1007
00:50:59,600 --> 00:51:01,640
Speaker 6: Yeah, card round it's like twenty and three to the

1008
00:51:01,760 --> 00:51:02,440
Speaker 6: under or something.

1009
00:51:03,560 --> 00:51:07,239
Speaker 1: It's still probably because you have some of the offenses

1010
00:51:07,280 --> 00:51:09,560
Speaker 1: that make it to the playoffs just aren't very good,

1011
00:51:09,840 --> 00:51:11,600
Speaker 1: and I would think that that has something to do

1012
00:51:11,719 --> 00:51:14,120
Speaker 1: with it too, and those teams get weeded out by

1013
00:51:14,160 --> 00:51:16,600
Speaker 1: the time you get to the divisional round, like Pittsburgh

1014
00:51:16,719 --> 00:51:18,680
Speaker 1: is a good example. That game should have gone over

1015
00:51:18,840 --> 00:51:22,840
Speaker 1: last night, but Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh's ineptitude on offense is what

1016
00:51:23,000 --> 00:51:24,040
Speaker 1: held it below the total.

1017
00:51:25,120 --> 00:51:29,600
Speaker 4: Yeah, anything else for Evan before we cut them loose.

1018
00:51:30,520 --> 00:51:33,080
Speaker 3: Is there any major red flags that you don't think

1019
00:51:33,120 --> 00:51:36,239
Speaker 3: people are talking about that we should be aware of.

1020
00:51:37,320 --> 00:51:37,839
Speaker 4: Great question.

1021
00:51:39,080 --> 00:51:41,120
Speaker 8: I mean I will say this so and stuck. You

1022
00:51:41,200 --> 00:51:41,880
Speaker 8: kind of alluded to it.

1023
00:51:42,360 --> 00:51:44,840
Speaker 7: Teams win as an underdog wildcard round are eight and

1024
00:51:45,160 --> 00:51:48,480
Speaker 7: thirty straight up in the divisional round. So when is

1025
00:51:48,520 --> 00:51:51,480
Speaker 7: an underdog in the wildcard round? Usually difficult to repeat that.

1026
00:51:51,920 --> 00:51:55,200
Speaker 7: Since twenty eleven they are three and twenty two. So

1027
00:51:55,320 --> 00:51:59,480
Speaker 7: that's San Francisco, Buffalo, and Chicago. So just a difficult

1028
00:51:59,560 --> 00:52:01,280
Speaker 7: spot to do it again.

1029
00:52:02,320 --> 00:52:03,879
Speaker 4: Okay, I'll check it out.

1030
00:52:03,880 --> 00:52:05,399
Speaker 6: I think I also had that I'm really looking forward

1031
00:52:05,400 --> 00:52:07,560
Speaker 6: to is in the NFC. I mean, it's weird, it's crazy.

1032
00:52:07,640 --> 00:52:11,239
Speaker 5: We have three NFC West teams out of the the

1033
00:52:11,360 --> 00:52:15,239
Speaker 5: NFC West and the Bears. By the way, I bet

1034
00:52:15,280 --> 00:52:19,440
Speaker 5: the Cardinals to win that division before the year, so, uh,

1035
00:52:19,920 --> 00:52:22,000
Speaker 5: what a bet? We got three teams left in the

1036
00:52:22,040 --> 00:52:23,920
Speaker 5: division around I bet the one that didn't make the

1037
00:52:23,920 --> 00:52:29,920
Speaker 5: playoffs to win the division. But the NFC coaches are awesome.

1038
00:52:30,680 --> 00:52:37,520
Speaker 5: You have Ben Johnson versus McVeigh, Shanahan versus McDonald and

1039
00:52:37,719 --> 00:52:41,239
Speaker 5: like coaching in the playoffs and just coming up with

1040
00:52:42,320 --> 00:52:47,600
Speaker 5: you know, schematic wrinkles new like, that's what decides these

1041
00:52:47,640 --> 00:52:51,080
Speaker 5: games that are close. So in the NFC, these coaches

1042
00:52:51,120 --> 00:52:53,360
Speaker 5: that are left, I can't wait to just see what

1043
00:52:53,440 --> 00:52:54,040
Speaker 5: they come up with.

1044
00:52:55,480 --> 00:52:56,920
Speaker 8: And to answer your question, grab it.

1045
00:52:57,040 --> 00:53:01,520
Speaker 7: So fifty seven wild card unders out yours divisionals thirty

1046
00:53:01,560 --> 00:53:03,920
Speaker 7: seven and thirty three really comes back to even.

1047
00:53:04,000 --> 00:53:07,319
Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah, that's not playable based on that. Thanks so much, Evan.

1048
00:53:07,320 --> 00:53:09,399
Speaker 1: Go and check out the primary Action Network dot com

1049
00:53:09,800 --> 00:53:11,880
Speaker 1: or on the Action Network app. That'll do it for

1050
00:53:11,960 --> 00:53:15,080
Speaker 1: today's episode special thanks to our producers David Paine and

1051
00:53:15,160 --> 00:53:15,880
Speaker 1: Gifford Gold.

1052
00:53:15,960 --> 00:53:19,200
Speaker 4: The Favorites. We'll be back on Thursday right here.

1053
00:53:19,160 --> 00:53:22,319
Speaker 1: On the Action Network YouTube page where we talk divisional round,

1054
00:53:22,400 --> 00:53:27,440
Speaker 1: best bets, more information on these injuries, and some solidified plays.

1055
00:53:27,719 --> 00:53:31,279
Speaker 1: Two Kings and a Queen Parlay will nominate those as well.

1056
00:53:31,440 --> 00:53:33,520
Speaker 1: We'll see you next time here on the Favorites presented

1057
00:53:33,880 --> 00:53:36,200
Speaker 1: by Draft King to the Crown is yours.

1058
00:53:45,360 --> 00:53:48,799
Speaker 2: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

1059
00:53:49,239 --> 00:53:52,000
Speaker 4: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem.

1060
00:53:52,360 --> 00:53:54,960
Speaker 2: Help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

1061
00:53:55,080 --> 00:53:55,800
Speaker 2: hundred Gambler