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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast presented by BET three

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Speaker 1: six five. We are part of the Action Network. Today

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Speaker 1: is our NFL Week one Tuesday episode. I am Chad Milman,

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Speaker 1: chief Content Officer of the Action Network. In a moment,

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Speaker 1: I'll be joined by my co host, Simon Hunter. We

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Speaker 1: have so many new listeners. Though before Simon comes in

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Speaker 1: so many new listeners, we got to do some housekeeping

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Speaker 1: about the episodes, about what we're doing that's new this season,

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Speaker 1: and of course our one hundred and twenty thousand dollars

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Speaker 1: pickam contests. So first, every week four years, Simon Hunter,

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Speaker 1: Professional Better and I have been picking five games against

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Speaker 1: the spread for a big money season long pick Them contest.

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Speaker 1: We spend Tuesday's episode doing an early look at our

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Speaker 1: leans making some early bets. We do as Simon says, bet,

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Speaker 1: that's where everybody needs to make that bet right away,

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Speaker 1: because we are convinced the line is going to move

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Speaker 1: against us. We are reviewing every single game on the

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Speaker 1: NFL slate. We will do that at one five pm

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Speaker 1: Eastern on Tuesdays during the NFL season. Thursdays, we will

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Speaker 1: talk about the picks that we are likely to put

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Speaker 1: in our season long pick them contest. This is the

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Speaker 1: backbone of the show. We will narrow it down to

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Speaker 1: those five. We will also on Thursday give our big

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Speaker 1: Balls bet of the week five games against the spread

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Speaker 1: for a pick them contest officially lock on Sunday once

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Speaker 1: we've seen all the lines move, usually make like one

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Speaker 1: or two changes on Sunday. So follow the phaves five

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Speaker 1: in the Action Network app. You want to see those

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Speaker 1: official five picks when they lock in. Two massive, massive

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Speaker 1: changes to this year's lineup. Number one, we are adding

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Speaker 1: a Sunday night recap episode, look ahead episode. We just

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Speaker 1: spent way too much time on Tuesday rehashing Sunday's pain.

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Speaker 1: We're going to get that out of our system as

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Speaker 1: soon as we possibly can. We want to share the pain. Plus,

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Speaker 1: we'll take a look if there's any early lines that

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Speaker 1: pequ ourt interest. So that means now going forward, three

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Speaker 1: shows a week, one five pm on Tuesdays, eleven am

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Speaker 1: on Thursdays, probably around seven thirty pm Eastern on Sundays,

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Speaker 1: usually just ending just before Sunday Football. We want to

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Speaker 1: get in as much as we can about the late games.

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Speaker 1: Most important contest contest contest. The whole reason Simon and

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Speaker 1: I started doing the show is to talk about the

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Speaker 1: five picks that we would put in the contest. People

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Speaker 1: love being able to hear what the picks are. Now

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Speaker 1: you can compete against me and Simon. We are hosting

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Speaker 1: the Big Money Contest along with our partner at three

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Speaker 1: six five. We are giving away one hundred and twenty

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Speaker 1: thousand dollars in prizes for season long and weekly Pick

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Speaker 1: Them contests. Compete against me and Simon all season long

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Speaker 1: and every single week. We're paying out the top ten

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Speaker 1: winners in the season long contest. First prize is getting

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Speaker 1: forty grand, second place gets ten grand. We are paying

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Speaker 1: thousands of dollars in prizes to weekly winners. First place

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Speaker 1: in the weekly gets fifteen hundred every single week. Here's

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Speaker 1: how you're going to sign up. Go to Favorites dot

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Speaker 1: actionnetwork dot com to sign up for free favorites dot

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Speaker 1: actionnetwork dot com. If you are listening to this podcast

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Speaker 1: and haven't signed up yet, what is wrong with you?

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Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell wants ten thousand participants. Let's not let Matt

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Speaker 1: Mitchell down. Why listen to this pod if you aren't

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Speaker 1: going to sign up for a free contest?

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Speaker 2: Final got what you to pull this airateer bulltrap all

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Speaker 2: right to your airbaite. Do you want to.

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Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell? What am I missing? You're trying to browbeat people.

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Speaker 1: We still want people to like us.

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Speaker 3: Yes, Chad, Sorry, I've been doing a lot of screaming

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Speaker 3: at people. Don't want to do that to our beautiful listeners.

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Speaker 3: As a reminder to enter, go to Favorites dot actionnetwork

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Speaker 3: dot com and sign up. It should take like two seconds.

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Speaker 3: It's just like your name, your email address, and your

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Speaker 3: betting state. It's very easy. This game is totally free

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Speaker 3: to play for all US residents twenty one or older.

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Speaker 3: You can play in every US state in Washington, DC,

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Speaker 3: except for Rhode Island and Washington State. And if you're

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Speaker 3: mad about that and you're in Providence or Seattle, call

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Speaker 3: your senator. I don't know what to tell you. The

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Speaker 3: contest will cover regular Sunday Slate and Monday night football

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Speaker 3: games only, so no Thursdays, no special games, no European games. Yes,

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Speaker 3: you can change and update your picks. You just cancel

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Speaker 3: your entry and resubmit before one pm on Sundays. Yes,

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Speaker 3: the lines will change throughout the week. They are contest lines,

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Speaker 3: so they'll all be half point spreads, no pushes in

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Speaker 3: the contest. Your lowest two scores your two worst weeks,

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Speaker 3: those will get dropped from your score after Thanksgiving week,

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Speaker 3: which is week twelve. So listen, you lay an egg

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Speaker 3: or you're busy being a long hauld trucker right now.

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Speaker 3: When you miss week one, sign up. Hey, that's fine.

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Speaker 3: You gotta do what you gotta do. Sign up and begin,

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Speaker 3: and don't worry about your two lowest scores. We've also

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Speaker 3: had some folks identify some issues we ran into, like

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Speaker 3: the pick confirmation emails not including the point spreads. Thank you,

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Speaker 3: we are getting those fixts. Everything should be up and

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Speaker 3: running before Sunday. We also have a Frequently Asked Questions

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Speaker 3: page that is live and linked right in the contest,

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Speaker 3: so that page should answer all these questions and many more.

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Speaker 3: Please make sure everyone you know who's twenty one or

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Speaker 3: older signs up. Tell your brother, tell your mother, tell

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Speaker 3: your dentist, tell your mailman. Everyone has a chance. And

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Speaker 3: although it is not required to listen to the Favorites

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Speaker 3: podcast very soon in the weeks ahead, the tiebreaker category

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Speaker 3: will likely be revealed only on this show, So if

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Speaker 3: you want a chance to finish in the money both

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Speaker 3: season long and weekly. It will be very, very beneficial

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Speaker 3: to listen to the first couple minutes of this show.

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Speaker 3: Thanks and good.

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Speaker 1: Luck Favorites dotactionnetwork dot com go sign up for free.

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Speaker 1: We want to thank our partners at BET three sixty

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Speaker 1: five our sponsors. As a reminder of the Favorites podcast

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Speaker 1: is probably presented by Bet three six five of the

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Speaker 1: world's favorites towards a brand sign up with promo code

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Speaker 1: Action to get Bet three six five's exclusive sign up

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Speaker 1: offered that one dollar on any game get two hundred

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Speaker 1: dollars in bonus bets. Must be twenty one or older.

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Speaker 1: Offer is available in Colorado, New Jersey, Ohio, Virginia and Iowa.

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Speaker 1: Gambling problem call or texts one eight hundred Gambler and

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Speaker 1: now without further ado, you can watch them live. Subscribe

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Speaker 1: to the Action Network YouTube page. He is my BFF,

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Speaker 1: He is my companion, he is my campadre, he is

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Speaker 1: my co host professional Better Simon Hunter.

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Speaker 2: Hello, So woymen, finally made it Chad Week one.

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Speaker 1: Listen. I was thinking about this, said this to my

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Speaker 1: kid this morning. Today is the first day of the

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Speaker 1: rest of our lives. I am so excited. We're a

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Speaker 1: football betting podcast and we have football to bet on.

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Speaker 1: I don't want to waste a single second. Evan Abrams

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Speaker 1: has armed us with so many stats. Detroit visiting Kansas

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Speaker 1: City Thursday Night game. The spread is six and a half.

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Speaker 1: Money is on the Lions. Bets are on the Chiefs.

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Speaker 1: This is a no brainer. This is a no freaking brainer.

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Speaker 1: What do you say, Detroit.

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Speaker 2: Try We're not a Detroit fan for the division, but

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Speaker 2: we are a Detroit fan for Thursday Night. Right, so

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Speaker 2: all the people we're gonna say a lot of contradicting

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Speaker 2: stuff that what we send to the summer. It's all

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Speaker 2: broken down into five different seasons. Right, you got the offseason,

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Speaker 2: you got the Draft, you got the regular season. Now

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Speaker 2: we've got the playoffs, and you have the super Bowl.

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Speaker 2: So every season's handled differently. We're thrown out last year.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, looking at this matchup, Chad, is Chris Jones

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Speaker 2: playing in this game? Chad, No? No? And as Chris

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Speaker 2: Jones the most important player by far to the Kansas

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Speaker 2: City defense.

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Speaker 1: So important that Travis Kelsey is begging him to come play.

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Speaker 2: Anyone with a computer can go online and look up

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Speaker 2: the stats. What this deference is against the run with

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Speaker 2: Chris Jones on the field, and how this defense performs

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Speaker 2: with Chris Jones off the field against the run. What

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Speaker 2: is Detroit want?

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Speaker 1: Two?

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Speaker 2: Do? They want to feed David Montgomery and a rookie

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Speaker 2: first round pick they just took this year. So you

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Speaker 2: have a team in Detroit that has an excelled offensive

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Speaker 2: line with two running backs they want to feed going

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Speaker 2: against a defense that was already weak against the run

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Speaker 2: and now without arguably when of the best run defenders

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Speaker 2: in all football, and Chris Jones. For this game, it's

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Speaker 2: exactly the reason why you've seen the money coming on Detroit.

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Speaker 2: And this number has gone from seven to six and

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Speaker 2: a half, and now some books have it at six.

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Speaker 2: Most books have at six and a half. I think

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Speaker 2: the Chiefs will win, so I won't be touching the

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Speaker 2: money line for the Lions here. Like if you want

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Speaker 2: to put the Chiefs in a teaser, I get it.

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Speaker 2: But for this show, when we bet straight bets, it's

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Speaker 2: a no brainer. It's one of those we would make.

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Speaker 2: If it was still seven, it'd probably be a guaranteed

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Speaker 2: player for us in the contest. But they're not accounting

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Speaker 2: enough for how Chris Jones is missing this game. So, yeah, Jed,

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Speaker 2: you knew right away we were going to love this game.

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Speaker 1: And let me give you some stats. So Evan Abrams

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Speaker 1: puts together this great list of stats that are betting

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Speaker 1: relevant for every single game, and he'll do it all

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Speaker 1: season long. A couple of stats to think about Patrick Mahomes.

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Speaker 1: Jared Goff. Who is the most profitable QB against the

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Speaker 1: spread over the past five years?

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Speaker 2: Jared Golf. I think he's covered every year.

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Speaker 1: Jared Goff forty eight thirty two and two is the

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Speaker 1: most profitable quarterback in the NFL against the spread the

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Speaker 1: past five years, six and zero against the spread in

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Speaker 1: Week one. Yeah, here's another stat that's important to know

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Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes. Right, we always talk about like Patrick Mahomes

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Speaker 1: is not a great guy to bet on because the

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Speaker 1: spreads for Patrick Mahomes are always so freaking high. It's

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Speaker 1: impossible for him to cover as a favorite in eighty

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Speaker 1: four games in his career forty one forty two and

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Speaker 1: one against the spread.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and then another staff for pill remember is he's

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Speaker 2: the other way though, when the spread is below three,

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Speaker 2: like when he is two and a half two or

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Speaker 2: an underdog. He is money. It's like everything points to

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Speaker 2: take in this number year with this Lion's team.

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Speaker 1: All right. So in the next game, Cincinnati Bengals visiting

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Speaker 1: the Cleveland Browns, it's another pro joe game. We've got

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Speaker 1: eighty three percent of the money on the Browns. We've

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Speaker 1: got fifty nine percent of the tickets on the Bengals.

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Speaker 1: The Browns are two and a half point dogs. They

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Speaker 1: were three point dogs when this line opened many many

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Speaker 1: months ago. People who listened to us all offseason will

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Speaker 1: know that the Browns were one of the teams that

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Speaker 1: we immediately bet when Week one lines opened. Love the

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Speaker 1: Browns in this spot, small dogs in weeks one and

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Speaker 1: two one to five and a half point underdogs sixty

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Speaker 1: thirty four and two against the spread since twenty eighteen.

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Speaker 2: Brown's in the home spot. We got a home divisional

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Speaker 2: dog here. I was dying for a three. If Burrow

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Speaker 2: was healthy coming into this game, they would have gave

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Speaker 2: us us three for sure. So yeah, kind of sticks

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Speaker 2: for losing. I feel like what we should be getting

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Speaker 2: here is truly a three. But this is easily another

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Speaker 2: game this week. People. If you're new to the show,

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Speaker 2: This is what me and Chad do. We're gonna make bets.

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Speaker 2: You're gonna feel uncomfortable, you're gonna hate it, but you'll

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Speaker 2: see it's gonna work for you. The math backs it

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Speaker 2: up like this is one of these games. Me and

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Speaker 2: Chad as soon as this number was played out, as

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Speaker 2: soon as it wasn't a pick, which it should be

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Speaker 2: a pick, we had to take Cleveland. Like if if

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Speaker 2: the Bengals here were plus three, we would love the

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Speaker 2: Bengals in this matchup. It's going to be a close,

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Speaker 2: ugly game, and it's a divisional game. We're getting We're

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Speaker 2: getting plus two and a half of the home dog

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Speaker 2: in a divisional game. People don't realize yet, but they're

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Speaker 2: gonna see in this game. The Browns on one of

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Speaker 2: the best d lines in all football, and I think

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Speaker 2: they're gonna dominate both sides. I think they're gonna able

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Speaker 2: to run the ball. It will against Cincinnati. Then on

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Speaker 2: the other side, they're gonna be able to get after

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Speaker 2: Joe Burrow really well in this game where Joe he

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Speaker 2: might be back, right, he might be back, but you

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Speaker 2: know it's gonna to be weird. Anyone has to come

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Speaker 2: back for an injury. That first game back is always

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Speaker 2: a little weird, right, You're always a little nervous about

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Speaker 2: that leg. So the one of the things that makes

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Speaker 2: you know Joe and Pat Mahomes and Josh Allen. The

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Speaker 2: reason these guys are top three is their movement in

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Speaker 2: the pocket. The fact that they can run at any

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Speaker 2: point and get you those ten yards that first down.

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Speaker 2: Now we're taking that away from Joe two and a half, Chad,

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Speaker 2: we'll take that. I already knew months ago this was

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Speaker 2: going to be a contest play for us, So no

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Speaker 2: doubt or play. I wouldn't make this, my Simon says,

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Speaker 2: because my hope is Joe Burrow gets cleared, the public

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Speaker 2: money keeps flowing in on this Bengals team, and we

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Speaker 2: get that plus three. So if you don't want to

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Speaker 2: bet the two and a half yet, I got no problem. Wait.

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Speaker 2: I think I'll either get up to the three or

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Speaker 2: it just stays at plus two plus two and a half.

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Speaker 1: All right. Kevin Stefanski, by the way, another Evan Abrams special.

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Speaker 1: Of the one hundred and forty two head coaches in

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Speaker 1: the NFL the past twenty years, Kevin Stefanski is the

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Speaker 1: second least profitable ahead of just Joe Filden. We're banking

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Speaker 1: on the least profitable head coach against the spread of

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Speaker 1: the past twenty years. But I love the spot.

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Speaker 2: How theology sontional? The Brown's been the last two seasons, right,

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Speaker 2: Guess what, Joe Burrow is one in three ats against

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Speaker 2: them and last two seasons. So for some reason, it's

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Speaker 2: a team he struggles against. And that's what happens. You

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Speaker 2: played divisional foe. Some teams just have a good read

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Speaker 2: on that player. Seems like the Brown's of a good read.

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Speaker 2: I'm Joe Burrow.

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Speaker 1: All right, Well, look we've already locked one in. We

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Speaker 1: love the Browns plus two and a half Simon. Everybody

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Speaker 1: at Action knows I treat my body like a temple.

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Speaker 1: That's the nicest thing people would say about my eating habits.

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Speaker 1: That's why I'm excited about our new sponsor, Factor, America's

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Speaker 1: has also been a Factor guy for a year now.

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Speaker 1: No joke. We got these meals. They lasted thirty six

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Speaker 1: hours in my house. And yes, I share because I'm

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Speaker 1: a giver.

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Speaker 2: Signing jef let me just stop yours. Travis Kelce hyper

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Speaker 2: extended his knee and his availability is in question for

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Speaker 2: Thursday nights, so I just fired away. My phone's blowing

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Speaker 2: up right now. I just fired away on the lines.

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Speaker 2: I'd grab it now if you can. If you can

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Speaker 2: get this people, six, grab it six and a half

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Speaker 2: if you can still find it. But this is a

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Speaker 2: huge deal like Travis Kelce if you learn it, look

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Speaker 2: at their third down success rate. He is the key

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Speaker 2: to that Chief's offense and staying on the field on

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Speaker 2: third down. So now they're without him and Chris Jones.

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Speaker 2: This is a nightmare for the Chiefs to start their season,

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Speaker 2: their campaign and repeat a Super Bowl champion. So Lively

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Speaker 2: on my phone is going crazier now. People.

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Speaker 1: By the way, this is another reason why you have

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Speaker 1: to download the Action Network app and follow us in

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Speaker 1: the Action Network app. I bet the Lions plus six

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Speaker 1: and a half on Saturday while I was making college

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Speaker 1: football bets, I saw us sitting there and I'm like,

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Speaker 1: why am I waiting? What am I waiting for?

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Speaker 2: Here?

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Speaker 1: Let's talk about the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who I believe

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Speaker 1: might be the worst team in the NFL this year

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Speaker 1: visiting the Minnesota Vikings. Not surprisingly, given someone like me

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Speaker 1: believing this, sixty three percent of the bets are on

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Speaker 1: the Vikings, but eighty three percent of the money is

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Speaker 1: coming in on the Buccaneers. Let me give you one

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Speaker 1: thing before we get to the analysis here. Todd Bowles

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Speaker 1: as a dog eighteen twenty seven and three against the spread.

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Speaker 1: That's one hundred and fortieth out of all NFL coaches

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Speaker 1: in the past twenty years. I think this team is terrible, Simon.

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Speaker 1: I don't think you want Baker Mayfield to be your quarterback.

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Speaker 1: I feel like it's a big number and I feel

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Speaker 1: like the professionals are betting on the regression for the

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Speaker 1: Minnesota Vikings. Personally, I want nothing to do with this game.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, we can stay away from People will be shocked

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Speaker 2: to know, Well, my dumbass is all over the Saints

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Speaker 2: for this division, while everyone in their grandmam is telling

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Speaker 2: you to bet Atlanta for this division. The pros have

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Speaker 2: quietly been betting the Bucks that they love the fact

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Speaker 2: that it's Baker and this Bucks team in the sense

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Speaker 2: that Baker don't care. Baker gonna throw three picks and

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Speaker 2: he's like Brett Faive, he would just come out there

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Speaker 2: and keep slinging. And when you have Mike Evans and

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Speaker 2: Chris Godwin, you know, I get it. I get what

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Speaker 2: the pros are betting here, but I'm with Chad like

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Speaker 2: I just I can't get behind this team. I don't

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Speaker 2: feel comfortable putting on my money on Baker yet in

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Speaker 2: this team, so people won't be shocked to see even

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Speaker 2: though the money in the betcher coming on the Vikings.

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Speaker 2: I know plenty of pro groups have come in. They've

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Speaker 2: taken the seven, they took the six and a half,

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Speaker 2: and they've taken the six. Now the bucks. So if

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Speaker 2: people don't know what the pros are betting, they're taking

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Speaker 2: the bucks in this game. I'm with Chad. I will

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Speaker 2: either bet the Bucks, maybe I'll tease the Vikings, but

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Speaker 2: no way is this gonna be one of the picks

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Speaker 2: for my contests. I just don't have a read on

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Speaker 2: either of these teams.

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Speaker 1: This is an easy pass. Here's one cool stat though.

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Speaker 1: The Vikings have the worst point differential among thirteen plus

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Speaker 1: win teams since the merger. They had a negative ten

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Speaker 1: point differential last year. The next lowest of thirteen plus

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Speaker 1: win teams the Houston Oilers plus twenty six in nineteen

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Speaker 1: seventy nine. All right, this next game is really tricky,

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Speaker 1: really tricky. It's Carolina at Atlanta. The Falcons right now

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Speaker 1: are three and a half point favorites. What's interesting to

352
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Speaker 1: me is slight edge and the bets, so generally that's

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Speaker 1: the public for those who are listening for the first time.

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Speaker 1: If I say bets, that means the public, That means

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Speaker 1: the Joe's, the Schmo's, the people who don't do this

356
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Speaker 1: for a living, who know less. They usually bet popular players,

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Speaker 1: They usually bet popular teams. They usually bet in negative

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Speaker 1: ev situations, the pros. That's usually the money. That's the

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Speaker 1: Simon Hunters of the world. Those are the guys who

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Speaker 1: do this for a living. Have a little bit more

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Speaker 1: of insight. Bet with a little more of an edge,

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Speaker 1: Panther's slight edge, with the number of bets, fifty money

363
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Speaker 1: rolling in on the Falcons. I love the Falcons. I do.

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Speaker 1: I mean I got Bijon to lead the league in rushing.

365
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Speaker 1: You know how I feel about Arthur Smith? Why do

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Speaker 1: I hate three and a half?

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Speaker 2: And I said, I'm not gonna let it scare me

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Speaker 2: off where I'm all for bad Math in Atlanta and

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Speaker 2: Rader in this spot. But this is a great spot

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Speaker 2: right He is a second year quarterback, starting at home,

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Speaker 2: playing against a rookie quarterback and a coach that is terrible.

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Speaker 2: An opening day historically has been horrible. Again, his guys

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Speaker 2: prepared and ready for opening Day. We have a great coach.

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Speaker 2: So you know, I look at this matchup and I

375
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Speaker 2: think exactly what you're thinking, Chad. And I also think

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Speaker 2: if Burns doesn't playing this game, and Brian Burns is

377
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Speaker 2: gonna hold out and not play for Carolina in this game,

378
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Speaker 2: even more of a giant edge to this Atlanta team.

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Speaker 2: So not shocked this number open at two and a

380
00:20:16,800 --> 00:20:20,200
Speaker 2: half the pro started betting it. We kind of saw

381
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Speaker 2: that game where the Panthers really couldn't block anyone, their

382
00:20:24,560 --> 00:20:27,560
Speaker 2: starters couldn't block anyone. And you know, as soup as

383
00:20:27,600 --> 00:20:29,320
Speaker 2: it sounds, the number didn't move. It move from two

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00:20:29,320 --> 00:20:31,719
Speaker 2: and a half to three. Now we've seen it take

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00:20:31,720 --> 00:20:33,320
Speaker 2: another step up a three and a half. Just so

386
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Speaker 2: much money's coming to Atlanta because it is a good

387
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Speaker 2: spot to take Atlanta. Like you'll see in this show,

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Speaker 2: I mainly like taking dogs weeek one. I just feel

389
00:20:40,280 --> 00:20:42,440
Speaker 2: like you're getting good value there. There are a couple

390
00:20:42,440 --> 00:20:44,760
Speaker 2: of Chalk favorites I'll take, and I'm with you, Chad,

391
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Speaker 2: I mean, maybe we'll force this one in. You don't

392
00:20:48,000 --> 00:20:49,040
Speaker 2: love it at three and a half, but I'm not

393
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Speaker 2: gonna let it scare me off like I would still

394
00:20:50,640 --> 00:20:52,760
Speaker 2: take it at three and a half. To me, Atlanta

395
00:20:52,800 --> 00:20:55,119
Speaker 2: feels like the right side here, especially they have a

396
00:20:55,119 --> 00:20:57,600
Speaker 2: three headed running back monster there, like they don't need

397
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Speaker 2: the quarterback in this game. Really, to me, this could

398
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Speaker 2: be low scoring, drag it out kind of win. And

399
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Speaker 2: I think they're the better team this matchup. So yeah,

400
00:21:04,720 --> 00:21:06,720
Speaker 2: I'm with you. I like the Falcons here, So.

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00:21:06,680 --> 00:21:08,119
Speaker 1: We like the Falcons. I don't know if I like

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00:21:08,160 --> 00:21:10,600
Speaker 1: it enough for the contest. I'm writing it down, but

403
00:21:10,680 --> 00:21:12,760
Speaker 1: I will be betting the Falcons at minus three and

404
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Speaker 1: a half. Yeah, all right, we got to talk about

405
00:21:19,320 --> 00:21:25,359
Speaker 1: the Jacksonville Jaguars visiting the Indianapolis Colts. Colts are up

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Speaker 1: to five and a half right now. What's interesting here

407
00:21:29,560 --> 00:21:32,639
Speaker 1: is that the money and the bets coming in on

408
00:21:32,680 --> 00:21:35,720
Speaker 1: the Jags, and I feel like you and I are

409
00:21:35,800 --> 00:21:41,840
Speaker 1: gonna run counter to every single metric here. This is

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Speaker 1: the one we were slacking about this weekend. It bounced

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Speaker 1: to five this weekend because of the Jonathan Taylor stuff.

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Speaker 1: You said, let's wait, it's now five and a half.

413
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Speaker 1: Every year we've been making money on the Jags visiting

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Speaker 1: or hosting the Colts and betting on the Jag and

415
00:22:00,520 --> 00:22:02,400
Speaker 1: that being the only game in which we really felt

416
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Speaker 1: comfortable betting on the Jags, and now all of a

417
00:22:05,720 --> 00:22:08,840
Speaker 1: sudden we get the reverse. But this feels like a

418
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Speaker 1: smash spot. The Colts have a decent defensive line, probably

419
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Speaker 1: one of the better defensive lines in the division. They

420
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Speaker 1: have good middle of the defensive good players in the

421
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Speaker 1: middle of the defensive line, to Forrest Bruckner is probably

422
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Speaker 1: one of the better interier defensive linemen in the league.

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Speaker 1: And the Jags offensive line was already bad when Cambu

424
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Speaker 1: Robinson was playing, and now he's not even playing because

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Speaker 1: of the suspension. So it feels like we have to

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Speaker 1: take the Colts here.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean just I'm looking at it right now.

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Speaker 1: This is a big balls candidate. I'm just saying it

429
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Speaker 1: right now.

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Speaker 2: Definitely, And like what you just talked about, I'm just

431
00:22:48,320 --> 00:22:50,000
Speaker 2: looking at it right now. It is up to a

432
00:22:50,000 --> 00:22:53,119
Speaker 2: lot of books at five and a half. So another

433
00:22:53,160 --> 00:22:55,000
Speaker 2: game that I was going to make. My Simon says,

434
00:22:55,640 --> 00:22:57,880
Speaker 2: but the way the money's coming in and the tickets,

435
00:22:58,400 --> 00:23:02,520
Speaker 2: it could get the six. So the fear here, Chad,

436
00:23:02,560 --> 00:23:04,560
Speaker 2: is what I talked about months ago, is we're backing

437
00:23:04,600 --> 00:23:08,280
Speaker 2: a rookie head coach and a rookie QB in Week one.

438
00:23:08,720 --> 00:23:11,199
Speaker 2: So the fear is this coach doesn't know how to

439
00:23:11,200 --> 00:23:13,360
Speaker 2: prepare right and he doesn't have the team prepared right,

440
00:23:13,560 --> 00:23:16,159
Speaker 2: and it's a bad spot to step in. But what

441
00:23:16,320 --> 00:23:19,239
Speaker 2: makes me have to make this bet and Chad is

442
00:23:20,000 --> 00:23:22,320
Speaker 2: the Jags are the team. I mean, people not stop

443
00:23:22,320 --> 00:23:25,320
Speaker 2: and talking about them all summer. So now we're in

444
00:23:25,359 --> 00:23:27,280
Speaker 2: a spot to fade the team that has been hyped

445
00:23:27,320 --> 00:23:30,720
Speaker 2: up all summer. Yes, they might win it, but me

446
00:23:30,720 --> 00:23:32,159
Speaker 2: and Chad are gonna have to bet this and we

447
00:23:32,240 --> 00:23:34,320
Speaker 2: have to put on our money line round robin. It's

448
00:23:34,400 --> 00:23:38,040
Speaker 2: just the perfect spot of a home divisional jaw a

449
00:23:38,119 --> 00:23:42,360
Speaker 2: dog that's getting close to six. Now, that's that's crazy

450
00:23:42,359 --> 00:23:44,880
Speaker 2: to think about. So to me, most guys I talk

451
00:23:44,960 --> 00:23:47,720
Speaker 2: to make this number three, three and a half. We're

452
00:23:47,720 --> 00:23:51,159
Speaker 2: getting a ton of free points, and yeah, this is

453
00:23:51,200 --> 00:23:53,120
Speaker 2: going to be one of the biggest bet public games

454
00:23:53,160 --> 00:23:55,800
Speaker 2: of the week. They just they love the Jaguars that

455
00:23:55,840 --> 00:23:57,919
Speaker 2: they're the fun, exciting team, right, they have all the

456
00:23:58,000 --> 00:24:03,000
Speaker 2: fun new toys. Calvin Ridley's first game, man, that's that's crazy.

457
00:24:03,040 --> 00:24:04,960
Speaker 2: I didn't know he was getting that high. I saw

458
00:24:05,000 --> 00:24:06,040
Speaker 2: it at five. I didn't know it was up to

459
00:24:06,040 --> 00:24:08,119
Speaker 2: five and a half. So the fact that it's getting

460
00:24:08,119 --> 00:24:11,200
Speaker 2: close to six now just wait. I just don't see

461
00:24:11,200 --> 00:24:15,000
Speaker 2: this number dropping too low. So it's looking really good

462
00:24:15,040 --> 00:24:15,200
Speaker 2: to me.

463
00:24:16,080 --> 00:24:18,240
Speaker 1: Here's another great stat You know, you and I both

464
00:24:18,280 --> 00:24:20,440
Speaker 1: love Doug Peterson, and we were all over the Jags

465
00:24:20,560 --> 00:24:22,720
Speaker 1: last year, and we like a lot about the Jags

466
00:24:22,800 --> 00:24:24,680
Speaker 1: this year. I like Trevor Lawrence to lead the league

467
00:24:24,720 --> 00:24:29,960
Speaker 1: in touchdown passes. But Doug Peterson is a coach whose

468
00:24:30,000 --> 00:24:34,080
Speaker 1: teams get better as the year gets on September to

469
00:24:34,160 --> 00:24:36,639
Speaker 1: November of twenty nine, thirty seven against the spread, thank you,

470
00:24:36,640 --> 00:24:39,919
Speaker 1: Evan Abrams December on twenty four and fifteen. He is

471
00:24:39,960 --> 00:24:43,359
Speaker 1: a late season coach. He's one of those savvy veteran

472
00:24:43,440 --> 00:24:46,160
Speaker 1: coaches who understands the league. Simon, you talked about their

473
00:24:46,320 --> 00:24:49,840
Speaker 1: five sort of seasons and ten polls for the NFL.

474
00:24:51,160 --> 00:24:54,399
Speaker 1: The in season ten polls are kind of built the

475
00:24:54,440 --> 00:24:58,320
Speaker 1: same way, and Doug Peterson is a guy who understands

476
00:24:58,359 --> 00:25:00,439
Speaker 1: how to get his team motivated for the latter half

477
00:25:00,480 --> 00:25:02,760
Speaker 1: of the year. We both believe the Jabs are going

478
00:25:02,800 --> 00:25:04,679
Speaker 1: to run away with this division. I think Trevor Lawrence

479
00:25:04,680 --> 00:25:06,359
Speaker 1: will be a pro bowler he'll step up into that

480
00:25:06,400 --> 00:25:07,480
Speaker 1: superstar category.

481
00:25:08,359 --> 00:25:09,960
Speaker 2: Have you shot? Though?

482
00:25:11,040 --> 00:25:13,880
Speaker 1: We do because we love Mike Rabel and we love

483
00:25:13,920 --> 00:25:15,320
Speaker 1: that defense. But I think at the end of the

484
00:25:15,400 --> 00:25:18,280
Speaker 1: year it's going to be the Jags division to lose.

485
00:25:18,800 --> 00:25:19,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, for sure.

486
00:25:20,080 --> 00:25:26,480
Speaker 1: All right, Simon, I'm calling it right now, executive decision.

487
00:25:27,320 --> 00:25:31,840
Speaker 1: Forty nine Ers visiting the Steelers. Steelers are two and

488
00:25:31,920 --> 00:25:37,639
Speaker 1: a half point home underdogs. We got fifty nine percent

489
00:25:37,680 --> 00:25:41,680
Speaker 1: of the bets coming in on the Niners, eighty four

490
00:25:41,800 --> 00:25:45,320
Speaker 1: percent of the money coming in on the Steelers. Can

491
00:25:45,359 --> 00:25:50,560
Speaker 1: I give you a couple of stats about Mike Tomlin, okay, please?

492
00:25:51,359 --> 00:25:55,480
Speaker 1: The Steelers fifty three thirty and four as an underdog

493
00:25:55,680 --> 00:25:59,600
Speaker 1: under Tomlin. That's sixty four percent. He is the most

494
00:25:59,680 --> 00:26:04,439
Speaker 1: proper football coach as a dog in the past twenty years. Rob, Rob,

495
00:26:04,520 --> 00:26:08,240
Speaker 1: Mike Tomlin, Matt Mitchell, play the hits, rip it what

496
00:26:09,119 --> 00:26:12,919
Speaker 1: a raw Ron, Mike Tomlin, Spot we win the game.

497
00:26:13,359 --> 00:26:16,880
Speaker 2: We just drove of bodies right here today. Run y'all

498
00:26:17,040 --> 00:26:17,600
Speaker 2: game to day.

499
00:26:19,440 --> 00:26:24,240
Speaker 1: Steelers as a home dog under Tomlin sixteen four and

500
00:26:24,280 --> 00:26:27,520
Speaker 1: three and by the way, fourteen to nine straight up.

501
00:26:27,760 --> 00:26:32,200
Speaker 1: So now we get the overhyped forty nine Ers coming

502
00:26:32,280 --> 00:26:35,840
Speaker 1: to play the Steelers at home with Brock Purty back

503
00:26:35,840 --> 00:26:38,960
Speaker 1: from injury, with Nick Bosa still holding out, not knowing

504
00:26:38,960 --> 00:26:41,359
Speaker 1: what his status is going to be, against a team

505
00:26:41,440 --> 00:26:44,959
Speaker 1: with TJ. Watt, who, by the way, when TJ. Watt

506
00:26:45,240 --> 00:26:48,840
Speaker 1: is playing, Steelers were eight and two last year straight

507
00:26:48,920 --> 00:26:52,880
Speaker 1: up and against the spread. Like of course, the executive

508
00:26:52,880 --> 00:26:57,240
Speaker 1: decision has to be take the Pittsburgh Steelers as home dogs.

509
00:26:57,160 --> 00:27:00,800
Speaker 3: The choice between the unthinkable and the impossible?

510
00:27:00,960 --> 00:27:06,360
Speaker 2: Are you heavy on the wat killed? It's simply decision. Yeah,

511
00:27:06,359 --> 00:27:08,480
Speaker 2: and it's it's a public dog. But we have to

512
00:27:08,520 --> 00:27:11,119
Speaker 2: take it. Do we love it? Mainly because Nick Bosa

513
00:27:11,119 --> 00:27:13,679
Speaker 2: isn't out, No, but that is a big factor, the

514
00:27:13,720 --> 00:27:15,639
Speaker 2: fact that he won't be in this game. We know

515
00:27:15,800 --> 00:27:18,639
Speaker 2: that as good as you want to make this defensive

516
00:27:18,680 --> 00:27:21,919
Speaker 2: front for the forty nine Ers, it all goes with

517
00:27:22,040 --> 00:27:24,040
Speaker 2: Nick Bosa. Like he's the one that's getting the double

518
00:27:24,080 --> 00:27:26,680
Speaker 2: teams and fighting through that and still getting sacks. He's

519
00:27:26,720 --> 00:27:29,359
Speaker 2: just the game wrecker. And you take that away and

520
00:27:29,400 --> 00:27:31,000
Speaker 2: you go on the other side and bring in TJ.

521
00:27:31,160 --> 00:27:34,160
Speaker 2: Watt fully healthy like last year he just wasn't healthy.

522
00:27:34,160 --> 00:27:35,800
Speaker 2: Even when he came back, he said he was playing hurt,

523
00:27:35,840 --> 00:27:38,240
Speaker 2: so I didn't even know that stat. The fact that

524
00:27:38,240 --> 00:27:40,320
Speaker 2: he was eight and two fighting through those injuries with

525
00:27:40,400 --> 00:27:44,520
Speaker 2: this team ats it's it is very public. There's there's

526
00:27:44,520 --> 00:27:46,920
Speaker 2: two really public dogs this week. This is one of them.

527
00:27:47,240 --> 00:27:49,240
Speaker 2: I'm with Chad. We loved it at plus three, we

528
00:27:49,280 --> 00:27:51,480
Speaker 2: still love it at two and a half. I make

529
00:27:51,480 --> 00:27:53,479
Speaker 2: the forty nine Ers a one a one point favorite,

530
00:27:53,520 --> 00:27:55,160
Speaker 2: So I do. I do think they'll win this game,

531
00:27:55,600 --> 00:27:58,320
Speaker 2: but I think it's going to be really close. And

532
00:27:58,920 --> 00:28:01,240
Speaker 2: the fact that you're taking Nick bo so away, I

533
00:28:01,280 --> 00:28:03,120
Speaker 2: probably would move it to a picket at this point.

534
00:28:03,359 --> 00:28:04,760
Speaker 2: It's just such a big deal. The fact that he

535
00:28:04,800 --> 00:28:06,760
Speaker 2: won't be in this game even if he signs a

536
00:28:06,760 --> 00:28:10,240
Speaker 2: contract right now, right that means it gets into camp

537
00:28:10,760 --> 00:28:14,240
Speaker 2: by what tomorrow Wednesday, and then he's on an airplane

538
00:28:14,320 --> 00:28:17,840
Speaker 2: Friday in Pittsburgh. Like there's just if anyone could get

539
00:28:17,840 --> 00:28:19,840
Speaker 2: away with it, it's him. But they're not gonna throw

540
00:28:19,880 --> 00:28:22,240
Speaker 2: him in there and play a full game. They just won't.

541
00:28:22,280 --> 00:28:24,760
Speaker 2: They're not that dumb with an organization. He'll be part

542
00:28:24,760 --> 00:28:26,439
Speaker 2: time even if he signs this week, which is a

543
00:28:26,440 --> 00:28:30,040
Speaker 2: big deal to me. So we both we both love

544
00:28:30,080 --> 00:28:32,879
Speaker 2: Kenny Pickett. We think I'll take another step, and we

545
00:28:32,920 --> 00:28:34,760
Speaker 2: do believe in Tomlin and these kind of spots as

546
00:28:34,800 --> 00:28:37,359
Speaker 2: a home dog. So another game you'll get used to

547
00:28:37,440 --> 00:28:40,160
Speaker 2: listening to the show. The Pittsburgh was good to us.

548
00:28:40,200 --> 00:28:41,680
Speaker 2: Last year, we took Pittsburgh and a lot of these

549
00:28:41,760 --> 00:28:43,920
Speaker 2: kinds of spots and they were really good to us.

550
00:28:43,920 --> 00:28:46,720
Speaker 2: So yeah, Chad, no no brainer. I love that you

551
00:28:46,760 --> 00:28:48,720
Speaker 2: made this one of your Plays's just we were gonna

552
00:28:48,720 --> 00:28:50,640
Speaker 2: be on Pittsburgh months ago and we still are at

553
00:28:50,640 --> 00:28:51,080
Speaker 2: this point.

554
00:28:52,080 --> 00:28:53,920
Speaker 1: We were on the Steelers at plus three. I still

555
00:28:53,960 --> 00:28:55,400
Speaker 1: like him at two and a half. I probably would

556
00:28:55,440 --> 00:28:58,920
Speaker 1: have avoided it if not for the Nick Bosas situation

557
00:28:59,080 --> 00:29:04,280
Speaker 1: and then going through's notes and seeing what he added

558
00:29:04,720 --> 00:29:06,480
Speaker 1: about the Steelers, and he just put another one in

559
00:29:06,480 --> 00:29:10,480
Speaker 1: the chat that the Steelers are profitable as a dog

560
00:29:10,560 --> 00:29:13,240
Speaker 1: on the money line each of the past six years

561
00:29:13,240 --> 00:29:17,520
Speaker 1: and eight of the past nine years. Also, I love

562
00:29:17,600 --> 00:29:21,040
Speaker 1: Kenny Pickett. I love George Pickens like I think pick

563
00:29:21,160 --> 00:29:23,440
Speaker 1: is just a baller, like I love his attitude. I

564
00:29:23,480 --> 00:29:26,400
Speaker 1: love him on the team. They just feel like a

565
00:29:26,440 --> 00:29:28,920
Speaker 1: really fun team to bet on, and I'm going to

566
00:29:28,960 --> 00:29:32,160
Speaker 1: look forward to watching them beat up on the Niners

567
00:29:32,160 --> 00:29:34,280
Speaker 1: because I'll probably put a little bit of a taste,

568
00:29:34,520 --> 00:29:36,800
Speaker 1: maybe a quarter of a unit on the money line.

569
00:29:36,960 --> 00:29:39,360
Speaker 2: It's gonna be our money line around. Robin already knew

570
00:29:39,360 --> 00:29:39,600
Speaker 2: that one.

571
00:29:39,720 --> 00:29:43,520
Speaker 1: Oh totally. Yeah, all right, here's a game we can

572
00:29:43,600 --> 00:29:47,600
Speaker 1: basically skip from my opinion, unless you feel differently. Arizona

573
00:29:47,840 --> 00:29:52,720
Speaker 1: at Washington. The Commanders have moved up to seven. Everybody's

574
00:29:52,760 --> 00:29:55,959
Speaker 1: on the Commanders because Colt McCoy was cut. Kyle Murray's

575
00:29:56,000 --> 00:29:58,960
Speaker 1: not playing you and I actually liked the Cardinals of

576
00:29:59,000 --> 00:30:02,360
Speaker 1: plus six during the off season, even though we knew

577
00:30:02,440 --> 00:30:04,280
Speaker 1: Kyler Murray wasn't going to play. We like the idea

578
00:30:04,320 --> 00:30:08,480
Speaker 1: of Colt McCoy without McCoy. I don't know what I'm getting.

579
00:30:09,240 --> 00:30:12,880
Speaker 1: This is a pass to me. Should Sam Howell be

580
00:30:12,960 --> 00:30:16,120
Speaker 1: a seven point favorite at home in his first opening

581
00:30:16,200 --> 00:30:17,200
Speaker 1: day NFL start?

582
00:30:18,840 --> 00:30:21,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, And we definitely got caught. But again it wasn't

583
00:30:21,640 --> 00:30:24,160
Speaker 2: like we bet big into it. But I was saying thought,

584
00:30:24,200 --> 00:30:26,000
Speaker 2: as you Chat, I thought, this is way too many points.

585
00:30:26,240 --> 00:30:29,600
Speaker 2: We'll take the veteran quarterback in Colton McCoy. And now

586
00:30:29,720 --> 00:30:33,560
Speaker 2: it's it's completely gonother way where you know the fact

587
00:30:33,560 --> 00:30:35,000
Speaker 2: this is up to seven, Chat, I know you say

588
00:30:35,000 --> 00:30:36,600
Speaker 2: you don't want to take it or talk about it. Really,

589
00:30:37,120 --> 00:30:38,640
Speaker 2: I gotta do it, Like this is one of these

590
00:30:38,640 --> 00:30:41,040
Speaker 2: games I have to take Arizona and the seven. I mean,

591
00:30:41,560 --> 00:30:44,760
Speaker 2: they're just it's gonna be a fun bet where we

592
00:30:44,800 --> 00:30:47,360
Speaker 2: won't play in the contest, right, and this one needs

593
00:30:47,400 --> 00:30:49,880
Speaker 2: I'll probably lose forty five to nothing. And I feel

594
00:30:49,880 --> 00:30:52,120
Speaker 2: like people be like, oh, what a stupid bet. But

595
00:30:52,240 --> 00:30:54,600
Speaker 2: if you go over time and you take these bets, right,

596
00:30:54,680 --> 00:30:57,840
Speaker 2: which is Washington's gonna be the most bet team, they'll

597
00:30:57,840 --> 00:30:59,840
Speaker 2: be the most teased team. I mean, I see the

598
00:30:59,840 --> 00:31:01,160
Speaker 2: first first game that popped in my head when I

599
00:31:01,200 --> 00:31:06,320
Speaker 2: saw this matchup was when Tampa Bay went to No.

600
00:31:06,600 --> 00:31:10,240
Speaker 2: Orleans and played against the Saints Drew Brees Sean Payton,

601
00:31:10,520 --> 00:31:12,840
Speaker 2: and they were a fourteen point favorite and they lost

602
00:31:12,920 --> 00:31:16,760
Speaker 2: outright to Ryan Fitzpatrick and Tampa. Because Tampa at that time,

603
00:31:16,800 --> 00:31:18,760
Speaker 2: everyone's like they're tanking. They're the worst team of football.

604
00:31:18,800 --> 00:31:21,040
Speaker 2: They're gonna tank for Winston or whatever it was at

605
00:31:21,040 --> 00:31:23,920
Speaker 2: that time. Football is really stupid people. That's what I'm

606
00:31:23,920 --> 00:31:26,680
Speaker 2: trying to explain to you. Guys, like that team Tampa,

607
00:31:26,720 --> 00:31:28,200
Speaker 2: they might only want two more games the rest of

608
00:31:28,240 --> 00:31:32,120
Speaker 2: the year, but that Week one they upseted that Saints team.

609
00:31:32,160 --> 00:31:35,320
Speaker 2: Because there's a rhythm to football and there is no

610
00:31:35,400 --> 00:31:38,160
Speaker 2: rhythm yet. Right it's week one, things are weird, people

611
00:31:38,240 --> 00:31:40,480
Speaker 2: get really tense, and Chad just nailed it. This is

612
00:31:40,520 --> 00:31:44,000
Speaker 2: this kid's first start for Washington at home. They've sold out.

613
00:31:44,080 --> 00:31:47,320
Speaker 2: The fans are coming back because they fucking hated that owner.

614
00:31:47,480 --> 00:31:49,320
Speaker 2: They got a new ownership group in there, so they're

615
00:31:49,360 --> 00:31:51,680
Speaker 2: showing out. It's gonna be allowed. It's gonna be a rowdy.

616
00:31:52,320 --> 00:31:54,880
Speaker 2: I gotta take Arizona and it's disgusting. So I'm not

617
00:31:55,200 --> 00:31:56,800
Speaker 2: gonna make us take it because there's other games I

618
00:31:56,880 --> 00:31:58,840
Speaker 2: like more. But if you want to bet what the

619
00:31:58,880 --> 00:32:01,680
Speaker 2: pros are betting, this is what they're doing again. If

620
00:32:01,680 --> 00:32:03,560
Speaker 2: you want to tease Washington, totally get it. I can

621
00:32:03,560 --> 00:32:05,520
Speaker 2: see them winning this game. But if you're going to

622
00:32:05,560 --> 00:32:08,080
Speaker 2: take the number, you have to do it. You have

623
00:32:08,160 --> 00:32:10,240
Speaker 2: to take the seven, and just know there's like you

624
00:32:10,720 --> 00:32:13,040
Speaker 2: and four other guys in the entire Great State of

625
00:32:13,560 --> 00:32:16,360
Speaker 2: World of America and everywhere else holding that ticket because

626
00:32:16,400 --> 00:32:18,480
Speaker 2: no one's betting Arizona. That's kind of why you have

627
00:32:18,520 --> 00:32:20,560
Speaker 2: to make this bet. It's just you're playing with the

628
00:32:20,600 --> 00:32:23,640
Speaker 2: book here and saying the public has overinflated this line.

629
00:32:23,640 --> 00:32:25,480
Speaker 2: It should still be six. Probably the fact that it's

630
00:32:25,480 --> 00:32:27,640
Speaker 2: alway up to seven seven and a half now, Chat,

631
00:32:27,680 --> 00:32:29,960
Speaker 2: It's just it's one of these bets. I'll hold my

632
00:32:30,000 --> 00:32:31,760
Speaker 2: nose and I'll bet it, all right.

633
00:32:31,800 --> 00:32:35,360
Speaker 1: So here's the one reason why we now have to

634
00:32:35,360 --> 00:32:41,000
Speaker 1: bet Arizona. In the Action Network out the Commanders are

635
00:32:41,040 --> 00:32:43,240
Speaker 1: the most public side.

636
00:32:43,480 --> 00:32:46,600
Speaker 2: Wow. Yeah, so that again, that's week one. You don't

637
00:32:46,600 --> 00:32:48,120
Speaker 2: want to be that team. You don't want to be

638
00:32:48,120 --> 00:32:50,440
Speaker 2: the most bet side. Last year, I believe it was

639
00:32:50,480 --> 00:32:55,720
Speaker 2: the Colts at minus eight. They tied Houston, so they

640
00:32:55,720 --> 00:32:57,560
Speaker 2: went to overtime. So if you had a Houston ticket

641
00:32:57,600 --> 00:32:59,520
Speaker 2: at eight and a half, you already won your bet

642
00:32:59,520 --> 00:33:02,240
Speaker 2: going it over time. It was a beautiful thing. So yeah,

643
00:33:02,240 --> 00:33:03,760
Speaker 2: it feels like one of those spots once again.

644
00:33:04,880 --> 00:33:07,040
Speaker 1: All right, next game. We talked about the Titans a

645
00:33:07,080 --> 00:33:10,320
Speaker 1: little bit in the in the AFC South and when

646
00:33:10,360 --> 00:33:13,320
Speaker 1: we were doing the division previews, I would say the

647
00:33:13,360 --> 00:33:15,720
Speaker 1: Titans and the Saints, and we did this with Raybon

648
00:33:16,400 --> 00:33:19,520
Speaker 1: and Brandon Anderson. One of our last episodes of the previews,

649
00:33:20,320 --> 00:33:23,960
Speaker 1: Raybon's favorite bet was the Titans over seven and a half,

650
00:33:24,240 --> 00:33:28,560
Speaker 1: and your favorite bet was the Saints. I can't remember

651
00:33:28,560 --> 00:33:30,920
Speaker 1: if it was the Saints to win the division or the.

652
00:33:30,840 --> 00:33:33,240
Speaker 2: Saints seems to be the ones in the NFC.

653
00:33:33,320 --> 00:33:35,760
Speaker 1: Is twenty one like a long shot? That on that?

654
00:33:35,920 --> 00:33:40,360
Speaker 1: So this this match of two teams that we've sort

655
00:33:40,400 --> 00:33:42,160
Speaker 1: of been talking a lot about in the run ups

656
00:33:42,160 --> 00:33:44,600
Speaker 1: of the season. We now know Ryan Tannah isn't going

657
00:33:44,640 --> 00:33:47,680
Speaker 1: to be traded. We know that Mike Vrabel as an

658
00:33:47,840 --> 00:33:52,800
Speaker 1: underdog we love, we absolutely love him. He's twenty and

659
00:33:52,880 --> 00:33:56,360
Speaker 1: nineteen straight up, twenty three and fifteen one against the spread,

660
00:33:57,320 --> 00:34:00,840
Speaker 1: including twenty two and nine and one when the spread

661
00:34:01,280 --> 00:34:06,360
Speaker 1: is three or higher. We got that spot. Everything says,

662
00:34:06,840 --> 00:34:10,600
Speaker 1: take Mike Vrabel and the Titans. Is that contest play?

663
00:34:11,080 --> 00:34:13,600
Speaker 1: Are you are you? Are you comfortable with the Titans

664
00:34:14,040 --> 00:34:15,319
Speaker 1: against the Saints right here?

665
00:34:15,880 --> 00:34:17,680
Speaker 2: I would because we already have one public dog in

666
00:34:17,719 --> 00:34:20,399
Speaker 2: the contest and the same the Steelers. So I can't.

667
00:34:20,400 --> 00:34:22,759
Speaker 2: I can't do Tennessee, which is another biggest public dog

668
00:34:22,840 --> 00:34:26,040
Speaker 2: of the week. Every everyone's taking them. Most pros have

669
00:34:26,160 --> 00:34:29,120
Speaker 2: this game at Saints minus three, minus three and a half.

670
00:34:29,160 --> 00:34:31,000
Speaker 2: So I think the thing it is where it should be.

671
00:34:31,080 --> 00:34:32,799
Speaker 2: So to me, there's not much to talk about here.

672
00:34:32,800 --> 00:34:36,000
Speaker 2: It's just two teams. We have high expectations for this season.

673
00:34:36,560 --> 00:34:39,239
Speaker 2: It's a good number. Like the books, they made it

674
00:34:39,239 --> 00:34:40,720
Speaker 2: a good number. They're gonna get a lot of public

675
00:34:40,760 --> 00:34:43,759
Speaker 2: money on Tennessee. For what I just talked about. I

676
00:34:43,760 --> 00:34:45,879
Speaker 2: think most people view them as the same level as

677
00:34:45,920 --> 00:34:49,000
Speaker 2: the Saints. So yeah, that's that's one of the most

678
00:34:49,000 --> 00:34:51,359
Speaker 2: public sides this week is going to beat Tennessee three

679
00:34:51,400 --> 00:34:53,879
Speaker 2: and a half four. It's gonna I mean, everyone's gonna

680
00:34:53,880 --> 00:34:54,279
Speaker 2: betting that.

681
00:34:55,440 --> 00:34:59,440
Speaker 1: All right, Let's get to our friends at game Time, Simon.

682
00:35:00,000 --> 00:35:02,359
Speaker 1: I know that you know the fastest growing ticketing app

683
00:35:02,440 --> 00:35:05,400
Speaker 1: in the United States. It's our sponsor, game Time. I

684
00:35:05,440 --> 00:35:08,000
Speaker 1: love Game Time for two reasons. One because they sponsor

685
00:35:08,080 --> 00:35:11,840
Speaker 1: the show. Number two, I actually use game Time Dubai tickets.

686
00:35:11,880 --> 00:35:13,880
Speaker 1: Everybody knows that. I talk about it on every show.

687
00:35:14,080 --> 00:35:17,240
Speaker 1: They've got amazing last minute deals on all sorts of tickets,

688
00:35:17,440 --> 00:35:20,520
Speaker 1: including pro and college football games. Speaking of which, I'm

689
00:35:20,560 --> 00:35:25,359
Speaker 1: in Game Time right now from my house here in Connecticut.

690
00:35:25,760 --> 00:35:29,120
Speaker 1: What can I do well? I can definitely go see

691
00:35:29,160 --> 00:35:33,200
Speaker 1: the New York Yankees for less than ten bucks this week.

692
00:35:33,239 --> 00:35:36,520
Speaker 1: I can also go see the New York Liberty WNBA

693
00:35:36,600 --> 00:35:39,279
Speaker 1: super Team for less than thirty five bucks. No matter

694
00:35:39,280 --> 00:35:41,719
Speaker 1: where you live, download the game time app Get out

695
00:35:41,800 --> 00:35:44,120
Speaker 1: have some fun this week. Sweat your bets live and

696
00:35:44,239 --> 00:35:47,600
Speaker 1: in person. You can redeem code favorites for twenty dollars

697
00:35:47,680 --> 00:35:51,040
Speaker 1: off your first purchase. Terms apply again. Just download the

698
00:35:51,040 --> 00:35:53,080
Speaker 1: app and in our code favorites for twenty dollars off

699
00:35:53,280 --> 00:35:57,720
Speaker 1: last minute tickets, lowes price, get wrong teed. This one's juicy.

700
00:35:58,239 --> 00:36:04,440
Speaker 1: This one is juicy. The Houston Texans visiting the Baltimore Ravens.

701
00:36:04,480 --> 00:36:07,319
Speaker 1: This is the biggest biggest spread of the week. We

702
00:36:07,320 --> 00:36:09,480
Speaker 1: were in danger of not having any Week one double

703
00:36:09,520 --> 00:36:13,479
Speaker 1: digit spreads. We now have it. Baltimore Ravens at home

704
00:36:13,680 --> 00:36:17,239
Speaker 1: ten points against the Texans. Sign me up, Sign me

705
00:36:17,360 --> 00:36:20,440
Speaker 1: up for something gross, sign me up for something uncomfortable.

706
00:36:20,640 --> 00:36:22,640
Speaker 1: Sign me up for the Houston Texans plus ten.

707
00:36:23,160 --> 00:36:25,600
Speaker 2: Simon says, Houston plus ten.

708
00:36:27,560 --> 00:36:31,440
Speaker 1: Do it, we do Sion's I love it.

709
00:36:32,480 --> 00:36:34,480
Speaker 2: This one's stay at ten by even Thursday. I think

710
00:36:34,520 --> 00:36:36,279
Speaker 2: this time will be back to nine and a half nine.

711
00:36:36,400 --> 00:36:39,000
Speaker 2: I'm shocked at got to ten, But at the same time,

712
00:36:39,239 --> 00:36:42,640
Speaker 2: maybe it's because Houston didn't look so great in the preseason.

713
00:36:42,719 --> 00:36:44,320
Speaker 2: But I'll try to be quick on this one just

714
00:36:44,360 --> 00:36:46,680
Speaker 2: because it's it is very simple. We have a Ravens

715
00:36:46,719 --> 00:36:50,920
Speaker 2: team who just implemented a totally new offense. They have

716
00:36:51,080 --> 00:36:53,840
Speaker 2: not had anything coming out of camp that sounds like

717
00:36:53,880 --> 00:36:55,799
Speaker 2: it's been amazing, right. That said, there's been a lot

718
00:36:55,800 --> 00:36:58,839
Speaker 2: of struggles earning the new offense. Lamars had struggles pushing

719
00:36:58,840 --> 00:37:01,400
Speaker 2: the ball down the field. Houston has a lot of

720
00:37:01,600 --> 00:37:03,399
Speaker 2: a lot of things that aren't great. Right. They got

721
00:37:03,400 --> 00:37:05,920
Speaker 2: a new a new coach, they got a rookie quarterback

722
00:37:06,280 --> 00:37:09,000
Speaker 2: on the road. I would honestly usually just stay away

723
00:37:09,000 --> 00:37:10,560
Speaker 2: from that. But the fact that it's gotten to ten

724
00:37:10,680 --> 00:37:13,080
Speaker 2: now I have to take that number. It's just it's

725
00:37:13,120 --> 00:37:15,200
Speaker 2: too inflatid. This Ravens team. I do think they are

726
00:37:15,239 --> 00:37:18,360
Speaker 2: really good. Got them in the playoffs. It's just a

727
00:37:18,440 --> 00:37:20,960
Speaker 2: team that will be performing well this season if Flamares

728
00:37:20,960 --> 00:37:22,800
Speaker 2: stay's healthy all season. They have a ton of talent.

729
00:37:23,400 --> 00:37:26,279
Speaker 2: But in this spot, that's so many points for a

730
00:37:26,320 --> 00:37:30,560
Speaker 2: team that's going a whole new route offensively. So to me,

731
00:37:30,680 --> 00:37:33,560
Speaker 2: the fact they have questions that with Zay Flowers, they

732
00:37:33,560 --> 00:37:36,440
Speaker 2: got questions with Odell, we got Mark Andrews just popped

733
00:37:36,480 --> 00:37:38,680
Speaker 2: up on the injury list. These are all things the

734
00:37:38,719 --> 00:37:40,920
Speaker 2: factor're in here. Okay, that's that's a big deal for

735
00:37:40,960 --> 00:37:44,839
Speaker 2: this Ravens offense. So uh yeah. My biggest thing here

736
00:37:44,920 --> 00:37:47,800
Speaker 2: is Chatty's touched on. We take double digit dogs in

737
00:37:47,840 --> 00:37:50,080
Speaker 2: week one, so we're lucky enough to get one. I

738
00:37:50,080 --> 00:37:52,359
Speaker 2: didn't think the books will get us there. They did.

739
00:37:52,480 --> 00:37:54,279
Speaker 2: It's for a good reason. You're betting on a rookie

740
00:37:54,280 --> 00:37:56,960
Speaker 2: head coach on a rookie QB on the road in

741
00:37:57,000 --> 00:38:00,800
Speaker 2: Baltimore week one. But that's a ton of points in

742
00:38:00,840 --> 00:38:03,319
Speaker 2: the NFL. This ain't college in the NFL. Being a

743
00:38:03,320 --> 00:38:08,200
Speaker 2: double digit favorite maybe week seven, eight, Sure, that's fine.

744
00:38:08,280 --> 00:38:10,879
Speaker 2: In Week one, that's too many points for so many

745
00:38:10,920 --> 00:38:14,080
Speaker 2: question marks with his Ravens team. So yeah, no brainer.

746
00:38:14,120 --> 00:38:15,480
Speaker 2: Bet Simon says, take the ten.

747
00:38:16,239 --> 00:38:19,680
Speaker 1: Simon says, Houston Texans plus ten. Since two thousand and two,

748
00:38:19,760 --> 00:38:22,520
Speaker 1: Ricky head coaches fifty six thirty nine and two. That's

749
00:38:22,560 --> 00:38:25,239
Speaker 1: fifty eight percent against the spread in their first ever

750
00:38:25,440 --> 00:38:29,200
Speaker 1: road game. Vodes well for Damico Ryans. That's from Chris Raybon.

751
00:38:30,200 --> 00:38:33,319
Speaker 1: You're right, this isn't college football. Ten is huge. This

752
00:38:33,360 --> 00:38:36,200
Speaker 1: is in Oklahoma minus thirty six. Shout out Mike Calabreeze,

753
00:38:36,200 --> 00:38:39,120
Speaker 1: who gave that away. I'm big bets on campus. I

754
00:38:39,239 --> 00:38:40,319
Speaker 1: cash that ticket, all right?

755
00:38:40,560 --> 00:38:43,200
Speaker 2: Then, stucky man, he gave us Bama. Were they minus

756
00:38:43,239 --> 00:38:45,279
Speaker 2: forty minus thirty nine? That one hit two.

757
00:38:45,880 --> 00:38:46,520
Speaker 1: That's what we do.

758
00:38:46,880 --> 00:38:47,520
Speaker 2: Let's go get you.

759
00:38:47,760 --> 00:38:50,839
Speaker 1: We break it down and we talk about winners. Here's

760
00:38:50,840 --> 00:38:53,120
Speaker 1: a game that worries me. We know we love the Bears.

761
00:38:53,160 --> 00:38:56,480
Speaker 1: They've been one of our favorites all season long. They

762
00:38:56,719 --> 00:39:00,600
Speaker 1: have been darling. The Super Bowl odds cut in half

763
00:39:00,800 --> 00:39:03,880
Speaker 1: justin Fields Lois odds for a Bears player to win,

764
00:39:04,000 --> 00:39:07,719
Speaker 1: MVP s and Jay Cutler this numbers dropping. Was it

765
00:39:07,800 --> 00:39:10,080
Speaker 1: two and a half Bears minus two and a half,

766
00:39:10,160 --> 00:39:12,840
Speaker 1: Now it was Bears minus one. It's kind of a

767
00:39:12,920 --> 00:39:18,400
Speaker 1: pass for me. I think that there's too much unknown

768
00:39:18,520 --> 00:39:20,680
Speaker 1: on both sides, and I think too much hype for

769
00:39:20,719 --> 00:39:24,919
Speaker 1: the Bears and still so much unknown about Jordan. Love

770
00:39:25,000 --> 00:39:27,480
Speaker 1: that knowing how much is on the board that we

771
00:39:27,520 --> 00:39:29,959
Speaker 1: still love. I'm walking away from this one.

772
00:39:30,960 --> 00:39:33,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's that's a good job by you. Chat. I

773
00:39:33,360 --> 00:39:36,640
Speaker 2: was worried're gonna be a little too emotional. Let's just

774
00:39:36,640 --> 00:39:38,799
Speaker 2: stay away because I'm with you AMPTI bias to this

775
00:39:38,800 --> 00:39:40,799
Speaker 2: one where I want to take the Bears. I'm getting

776
00:39:40,840 --> 00:39:44,640
Speaker 2: a good number on the Bears now, but a lot

777
00:39:44,640 --> 00:39:48,319
Speaker 2: of pros like Green Bay. The public loves green Bay

778
00:39:48,320 --> 00:39:51,080
Speaker 2: in this spot just because everyone's taking out this division.

779
00:39:51,640 --> 00:39:54,040
Speaker 2: They think Jordan will love even though he's not shown anything,

780
00:39:55,360 --> 00:39:58,120
Speaker 2: they think he is that guy. So you know, to me,

781
00:39:59,200 --> 00:40:04,200
Speaker 2: this is like thirty years of you know, the Bears

782
00:40:04,200 --> 00:40:07,759
Speaker 2: have been the little brothers and they are finally This

783
00:40:07,800 --> 00:40:10,919
Speaker 2: is like the moment where the next ten years will

784
00:40:10,960 --> 00:40:13,319
Speaker 2: be the era of Justin Fields and glory for the

785
00:40:13,360 --> 00:40:17,800
Speaker 2: Bears team or they kind of fall lose this game.

786
00:40:18,440 --> 00:40:20,759
Speaker 2: All Bears fans are just crushed and Jordan Love now

787
00:40:20,840 --> 00:40:23,399
Speaker 2: is right back to what they were dreading on scening,

788
00:40:23,400 --> 00:40:26,719
Speaker 2: which is another good quarterback in Green Bay. So as

789
00:40:26,760 --> 00:40:30,000
Speaker 2: far as futures go and just the next ten years

790
00:40:30,040 --> 00:40:33,319
Speaker 2: five years for franchises, this is probably I mean, it's

791
00:40:33,320 --> 00:40:36,359
Speaker 2: stupid because it's Week one, but this sets the whole

792
00:40:36,400 --> 00:40:38,640
Speaker 2: tone for the whole season for Green Bay and for

793
00:40:38,680 --> 00:40:42,239
Speaker 2: the Bears. Like the winner of this that's the cat up,

794
00:40:42,480 --> 00:40:44,480
Speaker 2: like that shoots you off to maybe win the division

795
00:40:44,560 --> 00:40:47,240
Speaker 2: upcoming season. You lose this game. That's truly I punched

796
00:40:47,280 --> 00:40:49,239
Speaker 2: the gut to them and their entire fan bases because

797
00:40:49,280 --> 00:40:51,680
Speaker 2: both fan bases are losing their minds right now, like

798
00:40:51,719 --> 00:40:55,360
Speaker 2: they're both can't stop defending Jordan Love, can't stop defending fields.

799
00:40:55,360 --> 00:40:58,960
Speaker 2: So yeah, I'm glad checking with senses. We're not forcing

800
00:40:59,000 --> 00:41:01,600
Speaker 2: the Bears in here. We'll bet, we'll bet the Bears,

801
00:41:01,640 --> 00:41:03,200
Speaker 2: but we'll just we'll watch from a distance.

802
00:41:04,040 --> 00:41:06,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, we're not. We're not forcing a bet on a

803
00:41:06,000 --> 00:41:09,680
Speaker 1: team that lost seventh straight home games to end the season,

804
00:41:09,800 --> 00:41:14,040
Speaker 1: lost ten consettive consecutive games to end the season, and

805
00:41:14,080 --> 00:41:17,120
Speaker 1: finished third three and fourteen last year. Let's get some perspective,

806
00:41:17,160 --> 00:41:20,880
Speaker 1: all right. Besides, the next game involves your Philadelphia Eagles,

807
00:41:20,880 --> 00:41:24,000
Speaker 1: whom you love, and the New England Patriots, and we

808
00:41:24,040 --> 00:41:27,040
Speaker 1: have been talking about this game all season. Some one

809
00:41:27,040 --> 00:41:30,279
Speaker 1: of us got an itchy tricker finger on Saturday and

810
00:41:30,320 --> 00:41:32,600
Speaker 1: bet the Patriots at plus three and a half. The

811
00:41:32,600 --> 00:41:35,360
Speaker 1: line is now four in a lot of places, which

812
00:41:35,400 --> 00:41:38,520
Speaker 1: bums me out, But we love the Patriots here like

813
00:41:38,880 --> 00:41:40,239
Speaker 1: this is this is a game we're gonna have to

814
00:41:40,239 --> 00:41:42,760
Speaker 1: talk about on Thursday as we get closer to the contest,

815
00:41:43,080 --> 00:41:44,399
Speaker 1: because I think it's going to be hard to keep

816
00:41:44,400 --> 00:41:44,680
Speaker 1: it out.

817
00:41:45,680 --> 00:41:48,839
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's definitely going to be in there. It's it's

818
00:41:48,880 --> 00:41:50,960
Speaker 2: one of those spots where it was dropping and the

819
00:41:51,120 --> 00:41:53,200
Speaker 2: news came out that the right tackle for the Patriots

820
00:41:53,280 --> 00:41:55,880
Speaker 2: is going to miss this game most likely. That's a

821
00:41:56,000 --> 00:41:59,640
Speaker 2: big deal. Like, you know, if they're right tackles out

822
00:41:59,680 --> 00:42:02,680
Speaker 2: and they're lef guard is out, that's a huge deal

823
00:42:02,719 --> 00:42:04,239
Speaker 2: when you're going to get in some defense that had

824
00:42:04,239 --> 00:42:07,799
Speaker 2: seventy sacks last season. So makes sense how the line

825
00:42:07,840 --> 00:42:10,440
Speaker 2: moved up to four. I can tell you there's not

826
00:42:10,480 --> 00:42:12,560
Speaker 2: a professional in the world that's not taking the Patriots

827
00:42:12,600 --> 00:42:14,640
Speaker 2: in this game. It's just it's one of those games

828
00:42:14,640 --> 00:42:16,560
Speaker 2: where the line came out in May. It was one

829
00:42:16,600 --> 00:42:19,239
Speaker 2: of the first bets I made. It's just it's just

830
00:42:19,280 --> 00:42:22,000
Speaker 2: really easy. Sometimes our job's really easy. Usually it's hard,

831
00:42:22,080 --> 00:42:25,000
Speaker 2: But in these kind of spots, it's probably the least

832
00:42:25,040 --> 00:42:26,359
Speaker 2: amount of work I had to do in a game,

833
00:42:26,520 --> 00:42:28,319
Speaker 2: just because I knew I was already going to get

834
00:42:28,440 --> 00:42:30,440
Speaker 2: a bunch of points of value, just because the Eagles

835
00:42:30,440 --> 00:42:32,560
Speaker 2: went to the Super Bowl last year. And that's how

836
00:42:32,560 --> 00:42:35,440
Speaker 2: the public bets. Right. The public is looking at this

837
00:42:35,520 --> 00:42:37,840
Speaker 2: Eagles team as if this is Week ten and twenty

838
00:42:37,880 --> 00:42:41,040
Speaker 2: twenty two, without realizing it's Week one in twenty twenty three.

839
00:42:41,520 --> 00:42:45,240
Speaker 2: It's totally irrelevant how dominant good the Eagles were last season.

840
00:42:45,680 --> 00:42:49,000
Speaker 2: This is a team that has a new OC, they

841
00:42:49,040 --> 00:42:51,080
Speaker 2: have a new DC, they have a bunch of young

842
00:42:51,120 --> 00:42:54,799
Speaker 2: guys starting for them now on defense. That's a big deal.

843
00:42:55,000 --> 00:42:57,600
Speaker 2: Like that's just not throw it out right because I

844
00:42:57,600 --> 00:43:00,120
Speaker 2: think if you put these two teams, same exact teams

845
00:43:00,440 --> 00:43:02,080
Speaker 2: and they played in Week ten, this would be a

846
00:43:02,120 --> 00:43:04,480
Speaker 2: totally different line this season. But because it's Week one,

847
00:43:05,360 --> 00:43:07,479
Speaker 2: the public is just in love with this Eagles team.

848
00:43:07,600 --> 00:43:11,080
Speaker 2: So yeah, this is probably gonna be on our Foxhole Bets,

849
00:43:11,160 --> 00:43:13,279
Speaker 2: Big balls bet. This is gonna be one of them

850
00:43:13,280 --> 00:43:17,000
Speaker 2: on Thursday, just because most people I talked to this

851
00:43:17,040 --> 00:43:18,840
Speaker 2: is a hard bet for them the stomach taking this

852
00:43:18,880 --> 00:43:21,560
Speaker 2: Patriots team against this Eagles team that they were just like,

853
00:43:21,600 --> 00:43:24,400
Speaker 2: this is the best offense in the league. Hurts is

854
00:43:24,400 --> 00:43:26,880
Speaker 2: gonna be a top three, top four quarterback this season. Like,

855
00:43:27,360 --> 00:43:29,200
Speaker 2: it's just hard for them not to take the Eagles

856
00:43:29,200 --> 00:43:31,480
Speaker 2: here where I mean, you were just taking the value chat.

857
00:43:31,560 --> 00:43:33,359
Speaker 2: That's why I love making these kind of bets where

858
00:43:33,400 --> 00:43:35,840
Speaker 2: it's like We're getting an extra two two and a

859
00:43:35,840 --> 00:43:39,040
Speaker 2: half points of value here for doing nothing Like this

860
00:43:39,120 --> 00:43:42,319
Speaker 2: Patriots team only got better this offseason by Adam Bill

861
00:43:42,360 --> 00:43:45,319
Speaker 2: O'Brien by really getting this defense strengthened up, and the

862
00:43:45,360 --> 00:43:47,279
Speaker 2: old line should be better than it was last year.

863
00:43:47,320 --> 00:43:49,680
Speaker 2: So again, that's the way right now is they have

864
00:43:49,680 --> 00:43:51,920
Speaker 2: injuries to the O line, but that's why we're getting

865
00:43:51,920 --> 00:43:55,759
Speaker 2: that extra point. So plus four, Yeah, gotta take the Patriots.

866
00:43:56,400 --> 00:43:59,120
Speaker 1: I'm really proud of a Simon. We're passing on the Bears.

867
00:43:59,560 --> 00:44:05,239
Speaker 1: Where betting against the Eagles. We're professionals, Okay, we don't

868
00:44:05,239 --> 00:44:08,800
Speaker 1: get emotional. We're like, we're like Gordon get Go's. We

869
00:44:08,840 --> 00:44:12,600
Speaker 1: don't get emotional about stocks. We play the number that's

870
00:44:12,600 --> 00:44:15,360
Speaker 1: in front of us. That's what we do. Ram Seahawks

871
00:44:15,600 --> 00:44:17,600
Speaker 1: rams on the road. It looks like they're about plus

872
00:44:17,680 --> 00:44:21,680
Speaker 1: five and a half plus five pretty evenly. Split bets

873
00:44:21,680 --> 00:44:25,200
Speaker 1: on the Seahawks, money on the Seahawks slightly. I see

874
00:44:25,280 --> 00:44:27,759
Speaker 1: zero advantage in this game given all that we have

875
00:44:27,840 --> 00:44:29,440
Speaker 1: on the board. This is kind of a pass for me.

876
00:44:29,480 --> 00:44:33,080
Speaker 1: I'm looking at I'm looking at six games already, seven

877
00:44:33,120 --> 00:44:34,880
Speaker 1: games already that I know we want to talk about

878
00:44:35,560 --> 00:44:36,440
Speaker 1: I don't see any yet.

879
00:44:36,440 --> 00:44:39,879
Speaker 2: Sure, Yeah, so say I had Travis kelsa great as

880
00:44:39,880 --> 00:44:41,839
Speaker 2: my number two most important player for the third down

881
00:44:41,880 --> 00:44:45,719
Speaker 2: success rate. Number one is Cooper Cup. So all my

882
00:44:45,840 --> 00:44:48,759
Speaker 2: Rams futures are dead. My over under bet on the

883
00:44:48,840 --> 00:44:52,160
Speaker 2: Rams is dead. It all died before these seasons then started.

884
00:44:52,560 --> 00:44:56,160
Speaker 2: Because Cooper Cupp he must be in real, real pain

885
00:44:56,239 --> 00:44:57,840
Speaker 2: with his hamstring if he went all the way to

886
00:44:57,920 --> 00:45:00,160
Speaker 2: Minnesota and Minneapolis to get this thing checked out, like

887
00:45:00,640 --> 00:45:02,640
Speaker 2: the fact that he left California because he is a

888
00:45:02,640 --> 00:45:05,600
Speaker 2: specialist in a different state. That's a nightmare. And it's

889
00:45:05,600 --> 00:45:09,560
Speaker 2: week one, so yeah, I'm pissed it. It's one of

890
00:45:09,560 --> 00:45:13,360
Speaker 2: those teams where if he was right and Stafford was

891
00:45:13,440 --> 00:45:16,279
Speaker 2: right and Aaron Donald's right, this team is way better

892
00:45:16,280 --> 00:45:18,399
Speaker 2: than people were receiving them to be because those guys

893
00:45:18,400 --> 00:45:20,919
Speaker 2: are also talented. You take one of them away, there's

894
00:45:20,920 --> 00:45:22,440
Speaker 2: no team that could afford to lose one of their

895
00:45:22,480 --> 00:45:25,239
Speaker 2: three big stars than they're Rams, because it's literally those

896
00:45:25,280 --> 00:45:28,360
Speaker 2: guys and a bunch of junk. So yeah, just an

897
00:45:28,360 --> 00:45:31,360
Speaker 2: absolute nightmare if you're a Rams believer this season. Cooper Cup,

898
00:45:32,320 --> 00:45:34,359
Speaker 2: I don't think he plays in this game like most

899
00:45:34,360 --> 00:45:36,480
Speaker 2: guys are talking saying he probably won't play next week.

900
00:45:36,520 --> 00:45:38,359
Speaker 2: Togither week three is when you expected to be back.

901
00:45:38,400 --> 00:45:40,719
Speaker 2: So I've already bet on this game. I've already taken

902
00:45:40,719 --> 00:45:42,320
Speaker 2: the Rams, but I'm not putting any more money on it.

903
00:45:42,360 --> 00:45:44,040
Speaker 2: I'll just I'll let it ride. I'm not buying out.

904
00:45:44,040 --> 00:45:46,120
Speaker 2: I still think I'll be a close divisional game. But

905
00:45:46,200 --> 00:45:48,920
Speaker 2: Chad's right, this won't be in our contest.

906
00:45:49,200 --> 00:45:54,200
Speaker 1: No Raiders on the road at the Broncos. Look, everyone's

907
00:45:54,239 --> 00:45:58,040
Speaker 1: anticipating a lot from Sean Payton. Everyone's excited. We love

908
00:45:58,120 --> 00:46:00,000
Speaker 1: the idea of the Broncos over eight and a half

909
00:46:00,120 --> 00:46:04,759
Speaker 1: wins the money though, coming in on the Raiders in

910
00:46:04,800 --> 00:46:07,399
Speaker 1: this game, I don't have a strong feeling about it.

911
00:46:07,560 --> 00:46:10,680
Speaker 1: I would lean Raiders because of what you just said

912
00:46:10,719 --> 00:46:14,799
Speaker 1: about the Rams too. Like divisional game, they tend to

913
00:46:14,800 --> 00:46:17,279
Speaker 1: be pretty close. Not a strong feeling though.

914
00:46:17,520 --> 00:46:19,279
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm on the Broncos just because I think it's

915
00:46:19,280 --> 00:46:22,279
Speaker 2: a coaching mismatch. I just think Sean Payne so much

916
00:46:22,320 --> 00:46:25,920
Speaker 2: better than Josh McDaniels. He'll have his offense so prepared

917
00:46:25,960 --> 00:46:28,960
Speaker 2: for this game. And yeah, Chad's right though, this is

918
00:46:28,960 --> 00:46:30,239
Speaker 2: one of these This is one of these games. We

919
00:46:30,280 --> 00:46:32,480
Speaker 2: just all playing the contest like this doesn't make my

920
00:46:32,560 --> 00:46:35,480
Speaker 2: top ten biggest bets. It's just yeah, I'll take the Broncos.

921
00:46:35,480 --> 00:46:38,080
Speaker 2: I'll take Sean Payne here. But no real feel for it.

922
00:46:38,160 --> 00:46:39,880
Speaker 2: But not shock Vegas is getting a lot of the

923
00:46:39,920 --> 00:46:43,120
Speaker 2: money Chad just talked about there. It's a divisional dog

924
00:46:43,520 --> 00:46:45,640
Speaker 2: with two teams that no one's really sure about. Like

925
00:46:45,719 --> 00:46:49,319
Speaker 2: there's just total unknowns with Jimmy Garoppolo, total unknown what

926
00:46:49,400 --> 00:46:51,360
Speaker 2: Russell Wilson will be like in this new offense. So

927
00:46:52,080 --> 00:46:53,880
Speaker 2: I'm with you, Chad, Let's pass on this one.

928
00:46:54,560 --> 00:46:58,800
Speaker 1: Dolphins visiting the Chargers Dolphins plus three ton of money

929
00:46:58,800 --> 00:47:01,719
Speaker 1: coming in on the Dolphins, most of the tickets coming

930
00:47:01,760 --> 00:47:03,960
Speaker 1: in on the Dolphins. They're a little bit of a

931
00:47:05,320 --> 00:47:08,440
Speaker 1: public darling right now because of what they did in

932
00:47:08,440 --> 00:47:11,840
Speaker 1: that offense. Obviously there's a lot to be seen for

933
00:47:12,040 --> 00:47:19,759
Speaker 1: how Tua can protect himself. Man, it's weird to me

934
00:47:19,880 --> 00:47:24,000
Speaker 1: that so much money Simon is coming in on the Dolphins.

935
00:47:24,000 --> 00:47:25,719
Speaker 1: I don't think this is a contest play for us,

936
00:47:26,120 --> 00:47:30,319
Speaker 1: but something you know, part of the pun fishy by

937
00:47:30,400 --> 00:47:32,360
Speaker 1: that much money coming in on the Dolphins against the

938
00:47:32,440 --> 00:47:33,640
Speaker 1: Chargers team that we kind of like.

939
00:47:34,600 --> 00:47:36,120
Speaker 2: Yeah, if it gets a three and a half, maybe

940
00:47:36,120 --> 00:47:38,680
Speaker 2: they'll give me some pause and maybe I will take Miami.

941
00:47:38,760 --> 00:47:41,080
Speaker 2: But you could have got Chargers two and a half.

942
00:47:41,120 --> 00:47:42,759
Speaker 2: Still a couple of books, you can still get it.

943
00:47:42,800 --> 00:47:46,120
Speaker 2: That's the play. You're taking the better team at home

944
00:47:46,200 --> 00:47:48,920
Speaker 2: under a field goal. We already saw if you go

945
00:47:49,000 --> 00:47:50,960
Speaker 2: back and watch a tape from last year the Chargers

946
00:47:51,040 --> 00:47:54,239
Speaker 2: defense wise, they matched up really well against what this

947
00:47:54,360 --> 00:47:56,439
Speaker 2: Miami team likes to do on offense. They totally shut

948
00:47:56,480 --> 00:48:00,640
Speaker 2: them down last season. So you know he's been hearing

949
00:48:00,640 --> 00:48:02,759
Speaker 2: about it all week. We'll see if Mike makes the

950
00:48:02,760 --> 00:48:06,520
Speaker 2: adjustments here for the Dolphins. But you know McDaniels has

951
00:48:08,640 --> 00:48:11,120
Speaker 2: He definitely has a lot of weapons at his disposal

952
00:48:11,160 --> 00:48:13,759
Speaker 2: here consider the Chargers. So it's one of those where

953
00:48:13,800 --> 00:48:16,120
Speaker 2: this will be the biggest bet overs of the week.

954
00:48:16,160 --> 00:48:18,839
Speaker 2: Everyone's gonna be on this over. Yeah, if you can

955
00:48:18,840 --> 00:48:20,600
Speaker 2: get Chargers two and a half, I take it. If

956
00:48:20,640 --> 00:48:22,279
Speaker 2: you can get Miami later in the week at three

957
00:48:22,320 --> 00:48:24,440
Speaker 2: and a half, I take that too. It just feels

958
00:48:24,480 --> 00:48:27,640
Speaker 2: like this is a three point game. So yeah, Chad,

959
00:48:27,680 --> 00:48:30,680
Speaker 2: you're right, it's not a play for us. But if

960
00:48:30,680 --> 00:48:32,080
Speaker 2: you're looking for what side. I'll be on. I'll be

961
00:48:32,120 --> 00:48:33,640
Speaker 2: on the Chargers at two and a half three.

962
00:48:34,000 --> 00:48:35,719
Speaker 1: We got to get to the primetime er. Here's an

963
00:48:35,760 --> 00:48:39,600
Speaker 1: interesting piece of trivia I for you with the Dallas

964
00:48:39,600 --> 00:48:43,600
Speaker 1: Cowboys visiting the New York Football Giants as what is

965
00:48:43,600 --> 00:48:46,160
Speaker 1: it about three three and a half point favorites depending

966
00:48:46,160 --> 00:48:51,000
Speaker 1: on where you see it. Dak Prescott with Aaron Rodgers

967
00:48:51,080 --> 00:48:56,759
Speaker 1: leaving the Packers, is now the longest tenured quarterback for

968
00:48:56,840 --> 00:49:00,120
Speaker 1: his team, longest tenureds starting quarterback for his team in

969
00:49:00,160 --> 00:49:03,640
Speaker 1: the NFL. Dak Prescott, it honest to god, feels like

970
00:49:03,719 --> 00:49:06,440
Speaker 1: he just started playing yesterday and now he is the

971
00:49:06,440 --> 00:49:13,239
Speaker 1: longest tenured starting quarterback. Look, you love the Cowboys this offseason.

972
00:49:14,000 --> 00:49:18,640
Speaker 1: The only reason we give the Giants any credit as

973
00:49:18,640 --> 00:49:21,839
Speaker 1: a team in the year in which they just came

974
00:49:21,880 --> 00:49:25,960
Speaker 1: off more wins, more one score wins than anybody in

975
00:49:26,120 --> 00:49:30,640
Speaker 1: history is Brian Dable. And like, we believe that Brian

976
00:49:30,760 --> 00:49:35,040
Speaker 1: Dable as a coach can mask so many of the

977
00:49:35,120 --> 00:49:38,680
Speaker 1: issues this Giants football team has in a way that

978
00:49:38,760 --> 00:49:42,680
Speaker 1: will help them impede regression that we've seen from so

979
00:49:42,680 --> 00:49:46,960
Speaker 1: many teams in this spot, I kind of like the

980
00:49:47,040 --> 00:49:48,799
Speaker 1: Giants if I can get half a point here.

981
00:49:50,600 --> 00:49:53,279
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's it is one of those where I've heard

982
00:49:53,280 --> 00:49:56,319
Speaker 2: from playing a cowboy, betters and fans where it's like

983
00:49:56,400 --> 00:50:00,319
Speaker 2: we own the Giants, stay away from this this team here,

984
00:50:00,360 --> 00:50:02,719
Speaker 2: and I just can't help it. I think Chad just

985
00:50:02,719 --> 00:50:04,600
Speaker 2: talked about it a little bit where it's like when

986
00:50:04,640 --> 00:50:07,759
Speaker 2: I look at my ratings, I have Daniel Jones just

987
00:50:07,880 --> 00:50:12,560
Speaker 2: ahead of Dak, and I get it. They love Dak

988
00:50:12,600 --> 00:50:15,680
Speaker 2: and the fans really believe in him. But come on, people,

989
00:50:16,239 --> 00:50:17,600
Speaker 2: Chad just talk about this. Man is the longest ten

990
00:50:17,680 --> 00:50:24,520
Speaker 2: year quarterback NFC. He's never been to an NFC championship team, NFL, NFL.

991
00:50:24,600 --> 00:50:28,719
Speaker 2: That's even crazier. It's one of those where I can't

992
00:50:28,760 --> 00:50:30,799
Speaker 2: just throw out the game against Rock Party, like he

993
00:50:30,960 --> 00:50:34,279
Speaker 2: lost to a seventh round pick in the playoffs last year.

994
00:50:34,280 --> 00:50:36,120
Speaker 2: At quarterback he got out played by Rock Party in

995
00:50:36,120 --> 00:50:38,799
Speaker 2: the playoffs last year. Like, those are real issues. So

996
00:50:40,080 --> 00:50:42,279
Speaker 2: we'll see if they if the adjustments they make right,

997
00:50:42,320 --> 00:50:44,800
Speaker 2: if getting rid of Kellam Moore is what fixes this team.

998
00:50:45,640 --> 00:50:49,120
Speaker 2: But from this standpoint, we got to take what I

999
00:50:49,160 --> 00:50:51,239
Speaker 2: think is the better quarterback and the better coach. At

1000
00:50:51,280 --> 00:50:53,759
Speaker 2: three and a half Opening night at home in prime time.

1001
00:50:54,840 --> 00:50:57,080
Speaker 2: This is one of those where we might end up

1002
00:50:57,120 --> 00:51:00,040
Speaker 2: making it one of our five, but we have the

1003
00:51:00,040 --> 00:51:01,520
Speaker 2: next game we're talking about is definitely in one of

1004
00:51:01,560 --> 00:51:03,279
Speaker 2: our five. So that's why I don't know if I

1005
00:51:03,320 --> 00:51:08,000
Speaker 2: want two primetime games in our picks here, But man,

1006
00:51:08,120 --> 00:51:09,799
Speaker 2: I do love that three and a half. That's another

1007
00:51:09,800 --> 00:51:11,520
Speaker 2: one where I can see the public joining me, Like

1008
00:51:11,560 --> 00:51:13,360
Speaker 2: it feels like the public most people think they'll come

1009
00:51:13,400 --> 00:51:15,480
Speaker 2: in on Dallas. I think most of them will take

1010
00:51:15,520 --> 00:51:17,200
Speaker 2: the Giants at night at three and a half. It's

1011
00:51:17,280 --> 00:51:19,479
Speaker 2: just it's just a good number in a divisional game

1012
00:51:19,600 --> 00:51:22,920
Speaker 2: at home opening night. So yeah, it's it's hard not

1013
00:51:22,960 --> 00:51:24,040
Speaker 2: to take that three and a half.

1014
00:51:24,600 --> 00:51:30,000
Speaker 1: It's gonna be a phenomenal chase game. Everybody who blew,

1015
00:51:30,080 --> 00:51:35,640
Speaker 1: who blew their stack their money stack on the Ravens

1016
00:51:36,280 --> 00:51:40,840
Speaker 1: or the Eagles or the Niners is going to be

1017
00:51:40,960 --> 00:51:44,960
Speaker 1: going all in on the Cowboys as road favorites in

1018
00:51:45,000 --> 00:51:50,080
Speaker 1: the division in primetime on Sunday night. Dude, I've never

1019
00:51:50,120 --> 00:51:53,200
Speaker 1: been more convinced about the Giants than I am in

1020
00:51:53,239 --> 00:51:57,640
Speaker 1: this in this second right now, all right, it's scary, right,

1021
00:51:57,719 --> 00:52:01,000
Speaker 1: all right? What did you and I say as soon

1022
00:52:01,040 --> 00:52:05,440
Speaker 1: as Aaron Rodgers signed with the Jets f A d E.

1023
00:52:05,960 --> 00:52:19,640
Speaker 1: The j E T S Jets Jets Jets, Bill's on

1024
00:52:19,680 --> 00:52:22,880
Speaker 1: the road under a field goal in the Division Monday

1025
00:52:22,960 --> 00:52:28,320
Speaker 1: Night Football Aaron Rodgers' debut. Oh my god, Matt Mitchell

1026
00:52:28,680 --> 00:52:32,520
Speaker 1: is going to have his gloved hands. For those who

1027
00:52:32,560 --> 00:52:36,000
Speaker 1: are new to the show, Producer Matt Mitchell from the

1028
00:52:36,080 --> 00:52:40,040
Speaker 1: Paris of Western New York, the Rochester Buffalo region. Such

1029
00:52:40,080 --> 00:52:43,480
Speaker 1: a Bills fan. He likes to eat wings with rubber

1030
00:52:43,520 --> 00:52:48,600
Speaker 1: gloves because he's kind of crazy. He doesn't like to

1031
00:52:48,640 --> 00:52:51,319
Speaker 1: get his hands dirty. I'm thinking about him watching this

1032
00:52:51,360 --> 00:52:53,240
Speaker 1: game with the Bills is two and a half point favorites,

1033
00:52:53,280 --> 00:52:54,839
Speaker 1: and how is he going to feel when it's over?

1034
00:52:54,880 --> 00:52:58,880
Speaker 2: Simon, He he hates this number. He hates this game,

1035
00:52:59,160 --> 00:53:02,360
Speaker 2: and for good reason. It's the definition of a trap.

1036
00:53:02,680 --> 00:53:04,760
Speaker 2: Like you know, we always joking about getting the script.

1037
00:53:05,320 --> 00:53:08,400
Speaker 2: This is what the script says. The script says, the

1038
00:53:08,480 --> 00:53:11,640
Speaker 2: Bills will lose this game. All week, we will hear

1039
00:53:11,640 --> 00:53:14,560
Speaker 2: about how great Aaron Rodgers is, how great the Jets are.

1040
00:53:14,840 --> 00:53:17,359
Speaker 2: I mean, Espin will be going ape shit talking about

1041
00:53:17,360 --> 00:53:19,560
Speaker 2: the Jets all week, and then we'll get into a

1042
00:53:19,560 --> 00:53:23,399
Speaker 2: little gift the following weekend, we'll catch Dallas at home

1043
00:53:23,520 --> 00:53:26,239
Speaker 2: against his Jets team. They'll blow them the f out.

1044
00:53:26,640 --> 00:53:29,399
Speaker 2: The Bills will come home play the Raiders at home

1045
00:53:29,480 --> 00:53:33,160
Speaker 2: next week, they'll blow them the f out. So people already, people,

1046
00:53:33,200 --> 00:53:34,880
Speaker 2: you're gonna be pissed. But we're gonna be on the

1047
00:53:34,880 --> 00:53:37,720
Speaker 2: Bills next week, Gonna be on Dallas next week, this week,

1048
00:53:38,080 --> 00:53:41,160
Speaker 2: fading both of them, like this is I am praying, Chad,

1049
00:53:41,200 --> 00:53:44,640
Speaker 2: this gets the three. Please give me this three. I'm

1050
00:53:44,680 --> 00:53:46,640
Speaker 2: dying for it to get there. I've been annoying the

1051
00:53:46,640 --> 00:53:49,560
Speaker 2: shit of all these bookies all week, just saying give

1052
00:53:49,600 --> 00:53:51,400
Speaker 2: me the three. You know you're gonna have the three

1053
00:53:51,520 --> 00:53:53,560
Speaker 2: by Monday, Just give me it now. Why are we

1054
00:53:53,640 --> 00:53:57,040
Speaker 2: wasting time at the two and a half. Any when

1055
00:53:57,080 --> 00:53:59,919
Speaker 2: I talk to it's like four to one, five to one.

1056
00:54:00,080 --> 00:54:02,080
Speaker 2: The money, the tickets, all of it on the Bills.

1057
00:54:02,680 --> 00:54:05,239
Speaker 2: It's just this is how the NFL does it, Like

1058
00:54:05,320 --> 00:54:09,520
Speaker 2: these these kind of games. The matchup, it's it's literally

1059
00:54:09,520 --> 00:54:11,080
Speaker 2: on the trenches here, and that's where we're gonna get

1060
00:54:11,080 --> 00:54:14,439
Speaker 2: the advantage. Where the Jets D line couldn't have asked

1061
00:54:14,480 --> 00:54:16,719
Speaker 2: for a better matchup against this Bills O line. That's

1062
00:54:16,760 --> 00:54:19,600
Speaker 2: the Bills only Achilles Hill is their offensive line, So

1063
00:54:20,280 --> 00:54:23,239
Speaker 2: love that matchup. On the flip side, the Bills have

1064
00:54:23,320 --> 00:54:26,120
Speaker 2: no pass rushers. Von Miller isn't in this game. Like

1065
00:54:26,160 --> 00:54:28,560
Speaker 2: that's the key here where the Jets weakness is their

1066
00:54:28,560 --> 00:54:30,640
Speaker 2: O line. There's nothing to attack it here on this

1067
00:54:30,680 --> 00:54:32,840
Speaker 2: Bill side. I mean, it's just a big deal the

1068
00:54:32,920 --> 00:54:36,160
Speaker 2: fact that he's not in this game. So yeah, no brainer,

1069
00:54:37,080 --> 00:54:39,760
Speaker 2: this is gonna I like, again, I love that Giants number.

1070
00:54:39,800 --> 00:54:41,480
Speaker 2: I love this number even more. I just love the

1071
00:54:41,560 --> 00:54:45,200
Speaker 2: Jets defense in this spot. I love Aaron Rodgers offensively

1072
00:54:45,239 --> 00:54:49,279
Speaker 2: in this spot. Give me the Jets to, you know,

1073
00:54:49,760 --> 00:54:51,720
Speaker 2: be the team that everyone talks about all next week

1074
00:54:51,880 --> 00:54:53,960
Speaker 2: and then gets totally blown out by the Cowboys the

1075
00:54:53,960 --> 00:54:56,560
Speaker 2: following weekend. It's just sometimes it's too easy. It just

1076
00:54:56,560 --> 00:54:57,879
Speaker 2: feels like it's setting up that way.

1077
00:54:58,600 --> 00:55:00,000
Speaker 1: Is it an amazing how that happened?

1078
00:55:00,320 --> 00:55:00,400
Speaker 2: Right?

1079
00:55:00,480 --> 00:55:02,400
Speaker 1: We've been talking about how much we hate the Jets

1080
00:55:02,440 --> 00:55:05,719
Speaker 1: all season long, and in Week one we're like, of

1081
00:55:05,760 --> 00:55:08,400
Speaker 1: course we're taking the Jets. This is a no brainer

1082
00:55:09,800 --> 00:55:12,240
Speaker 1: in our list. Right now, I'm looking at our list

1083
00:55:12,280 --> 00:55:16,000
Speaker 1: of games that we've sort of pegged. I'm looking at

1084
00:55:16,000 --> 00:55:18,319
Speaker 1: the Browns plus two and a half. I'm looking at

1085
00:55:18,320 --> 00:55:20,719
Speaker 1: the Colts plus five and a half hoping it'll go up.

1086
00:55:21,520 --> 00:55:24,480
Speaker 1: I'm looking at who else am I looking at the

1087
00:55:24,520 --> 00:55:29,320
Speaker 1: Steelers plus two and a half, the Cardinals plus seven.

1088
00:55:30,320 --> 00:55:33,120
Speaker 1: Simon says, is the Texans plus ten. By the way,

1089
00:55:33,160 --> 00:55:35,600
Speaker 1: the exact decision is the Steelers plus two and a half.

1090
00:55:35,920 --> 00:55:38,200
Speaker 1: Simon give me a backhanded compliment, saying it was a

1091
00:55:38,200 --> 00:55:41,200
Speaker 1: public dog if he would take it. Anyways, Patriots plus

1092
00:55:41,280 --> 00:55:43,719
Speaker 1: three and a half, Giants plus three and a half.

1093
00:55:43,719 --> 00:55:45,320
Speaker 1: We're hoping to get a plus three on the Jets.

1094
00:55:45,600 --> 00:55:47,520
Speaker 1: What's interesting to me is I left out the Falcons

1095
00:55:47,520 --> 00:55:51,000
Speaker 1: there at minus three and a half because that's the

1096
00:55:51,040 --> 00:55:52,200
Speaker 1: only favorite we.

1097
00:55:52,239 --> 00:55:54,000
Speaker 2: Have, and we might do it because of our rule

1098
00:55:54,080 --> 00:55:56,239
Speaker 2: is we try to always force in one favorite. We

1099
00:55:56,239 --> 00:55:58,479
Speaker 2: should go one favorite, four dogs, and that's been really

1100
00:55:58,480 --> 00:56:00,959
Speaker 2: good to us so that they might make the cut.

1101
00:56:02,000 --> 00:56:05,120
Speaker 1: But even looking at the whole board, like the favorites

1102
00:56:05,160 --> 00:56:08,000
Speaker 1: we liked, you like the Broncos, I kind of like

1103
00:56:08,080 --> 00:56:10,360
Speaker 1: the Raiders there not always it's.

1104
00:56:10,239 --> 00:56:11,960
Speaker 2: Hard to find a favorite. Week one jet out, Like,

1105
00:56:12,520 --> 00:56:14,080
Speaker 2: I know you're probably gonna go through it. There's probably

1106
00:56:14,080 --> 00:56:17,560
Speaker 2: three favorites I like, it's just really tough to find them,

1107
00:56:17,920 --> 00:56:20,760
Speaker 2: just because the public overrates what happened last year so much.

1108
00:56:21,360 --> 00:56:25,719
Speaker 1: Dude, there's two favorites that you like, it's the Falcons

1109
00:56:25,840 --> 00:56:29,400
Speaker 1: and the Broncos. Other than that, there is not a

1110
00:56:29,440 --> 00:56:31,359
Speaker 1: single favorite that you like. And I only like one

1111
00:56:31,360 --> 00:56:35,200
Speaker 1: of the Still yeah, but still, we don't want know,

1112
00:56:36,160 --> 00:56:38,480
Speaker 1: you know, we don't love them. I don't like and

1113
00:56:38,520 --> 00:56:40,560
Speaker 1: I don't like the Raiders enough to make the Broncos

1114
00:56:40,600 --> 00:56:45,480
Speaker 1: Raiders our first bet off. It's too early right now.

1115
00:56:45,480 --> 00:56:50,640
Speaker 1: I just want us to be friends. Okay, reminder, quick reminder,

1116
00:56:51,560 --> 00:56:54,200
Speaker 1: I just recaped the games. These are the games we're

1117
00:56:54,200 --> 00:56:57,040
Speaker 1: going to focus on on Thursday Show. On Thursday Show,

1118
00:56:57,400 --> 00:56:59,960
Speaker 1: what will happen is over the next forty eight hours,

1119
00:57:00,000 --> 00:57:01,520
Speaker 1: we're going to get to get a bunch of calls

1120
00:57:01,840 --> 00:57:05,160
Speaker 1: from other people in the industry who are critiquing or

1121
00:57:05,200 --> 00:57:07,959
Speaker 1: supporting a lot of the lines that we talked about.

1122
00:57:08,239 --> 00:57:10,279
Speaker 1: Some of the games that we talked about, they might say, wait,

1123
00:57:10,360 --> 00:57:12,480
Speaker 1: I love this game. You guys missed it. Some of

1124
00:57:12,520 --> 00:57:14,120
Speaker 1: the games that we talked about that we love, they

1125
00:57:14,160 --> 00:57:16,200
Speaker 1: might say, hey, we hate this. That'll be sharp calls.

1126
00:57:17,200 --> 00:57:19,960
Speaker 1: We will get to our foxhol Bet, which is the

1127
00:57:19,960 --> 00:57:21,760
Speaker 1: bet where Simon and I are alone. We'll get to

1128
00:57:21,760 --> 00:57:23,280
Speaker 1: our big balls bet. I think we got a pretty

1129
00:57:23,280 --> 00:57:26,840
Speaker 1: good feeling. Well, that's going to be and so, and

1130
00:57:26,880 --> 00:57:32,880
Speaker 1: we'll sort of narrow it down to our final five. Listen,

1131
00:57:33,880 --> 00:57:36,920
Speaker 1: as I've told you a thousand times, we are doing

1132
00:57:37,200 --> 00:57:41,840
Speaker 1: a massive, massive contest. Everything we're talking about, the five

1133
00:57:41,880 --> 00:57:45,360
Speaker 1: picks Simon and I put in, you can compete against

1134
00:57:45,480 --> 00:57:51,680
Speaker 1: us this year for the first time ever. Okay, we

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00:57:51,760 --> 00:57:57,160
Speaker 1: are doing the Favorite podcast one hundred thousand dollars Pro

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Speaker 1: dollars if you come in first place on a weekly basis,

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Speaker 1: because we were paying out weekly best scores as well.

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Speaker 1: Go to Favorites dot actionnetwork dot com to sign up

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Speaker 1: for free. If you're listening to this podcast, how have

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Speaker 1: you not signed up for the contest which is free

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Speaker 1: Favorites dot actionnetwork dot com. All right, we are presented

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Speaker 1: one Finally got. It was good to go through those games.

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Speaker 1: I felt felt like the only natural thing I do

1154
00:59:06,640 --> 00:59:10,240
Speaker 1: talking about these games for my BFF Professional Better Simon Hunter.

1155
00:59:10,400 --> 00:59:13,000
Speaker 1: I am Chad Milman. This has been the favorite podcast

1156
00:59:13,040 --> 00:59:15,440
Speaker 1: presented by BET three sixty five. We are part of

1157
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Speaker 1: the Action Network. Listen to everything we're doing. Listen to BBOC,

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Speaker 1: Listen to the Action Network podcast. You got to check

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Speaker 1: out Thursday episode with Chris Raybond and Stocky breaking down NFL.

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Speaker 1: a gift until Thursday at eleven am. Thursday at eleven am,

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