1
00:00:01,040 --> 00:00:22,320
Speaker 1: This is the Action Network Podcast.

2
00:00:29,160 --> 00:00:32,040
Speaker 2: Welcome into the Action Network Podcast. We are presented by

3
00:00:32,080 --> 00:00:36,879
Speaker 2: the Fan Duels sportsbook special edition of Payoff Pitch on

4
00:00:37,120 --> 00:00:40,200
Speaker 2: the Action Network Podcast. Of course, Payoff Pitch is our

5
00:00:40,479 --> 00:00:43,680
Speaker 2: Action Network MLB betting podcast. But we come to you

6
00:00:44,360 --> 00:00:47,640
Speaker 2: on the Action Network Podcast today for Home Run Derby

7
00:00:48,000 --> 00:00:51,800
Speaker 2: and American League National League All Star Game matchup, which

8
00:00:51,840 --> 00:00:55,920
Speaker 2: takes place on Tuesday, July eleventh. Brendan Glasheen joined by

9
00:00:55,960 --> 00:00:59,640
Speaker 2: Sean Zarillo and Anthony Dubundo. Gentlemen, great to be talking

10
00:00:59,640 --> 00:01:03,280
Speaker 2: to you. We are actually separated by five feet apiece.

11
00:01:03,320 --> 00:01:06,480
Speaker 2: We are in New York for a meeting, so folks

12
00:01:06,520 --> 00:01:09,119
Speaker 2: at home, we figured this was better than nothing as

13
00:01:09,120 --> 00:01:12,000
Speaker 2: far as getting a podcast out to the people hours

14
00:01:12,040 --> 00:01:16,039
Speaker 2: before the All Star festivities that get underway. So thank

15
00:01:16,040 --> 00:01:17,760
Speaker 2: you for your patience for those of you that are

16
00:01:17,800 --> 00:01:20,640
Speaker 2: tuning into the festivities in Seattle. So we won't waste

17
00:01:20,680 --> 00:01:22,400
Speaker 2: any time. We'll dive right in. We're going to get

18
00:01:22,440 --> 00:01:24,720
Speaker 2: to Home Run Derby first, then we'll look to the

19
00:01:24,760 --> 00:01:27,920
Speaker 2: All Star Game and we'll work from there. We're presented

20
00:01:27,920 --> 00:01:30,160
Speaker 2: by FanDuel today, so we'll have all of our odds

21
00:01:30,360 --> 00:01:34,559
Speaker 2: and all that good stuff, presented by the FanDuel sportsbook Shanzarillo.

22
00:01:34,880 --> 00:01:37,199
Speaker 3: Hi, what do you got yeah for home run Derby?

23
00:01:37,280 --> 00:01:40,480
Speaker 4: Favorite bet Lulu Rodriguez in the first round about plus

24
00:01:40,560 --> 00:01:44,000
Speaker 4: one forty over Pete Alonzo Alonso obviously two time Derby champion.

25
00:01:44,240 --> 00:01:47,960
Speaker 4: But in my lifetime, there's three Derby performances that if

26
00:01:48,000 --> 00:01:49,440
Speaker 4: you know, I just think about the home run Derby.

27
00:01:49,440 --> 00:01:51,600
Speaker 4: If somebody mentions the home run derbty to me says,

28
00:01:51,960 --> 00:01:54,520
Speaker 4: give me the three most memorable performances of your lifetime

29
00:01:54,520 --> 00:01:55,880
Speaker 4: in the home run Derby. The first would be Mark

30
00:01:55,920 --> 00:01:58,920
Speaker 4: McGuire at Fenway when he was juiced out of his mind,

31
00:01:59,720 --> 00:02:01,440
Speaker 4: but he hit thirteen home runs in the first round.

32
00:02:01,480 --> 00:02:04,600
Speaker 4: Put a couple over the Green Monster. He got a

33
00:02:04,640 --> 00:02:06,760
Speaker 4: couple close to the best his turnpike out there. I mean,

34
00:02:06,760 --> 00:02:11,120
Speaker 4: that was just absolutely stunning to watch as a teenager preteen.

35
00:02:12,000 --> 00:02:14,520
Speaker 4: The next would be Josh Hamilton at Yankee Stadium hitting

36
00:02:14,560 --> 00:02:17,600
Speaker 4: balls and nearly out of Yankee Stadium. And the third

37
00:02:17,880 --> 00:02:20,760
Speaker 4: was Julio Rodriguez last year, hitting sixty two home runs

38
00:02:20,760 --> 00:02:22,640
Speaker 4: combined in the first two rounds. What all three of

39
00:02:22,680 --> 00:02:25,280
Speaker 4: those guys have in common is the fact that none

40
00:02:25,320 --> 00:02:26,960
Speaker 4: of them actually won the home run deer. They all

41
00:02:26,960 --> 00:02:30,880
Speaker 4: put up wildly impressive first rounds and then probably gas

42
00:02:30,919 --> 00:02:33,919
Speaker 4: themselves out hitting somebody home runs in the first round,

43
00:02:33,960 --> 00:02:36,000
Speaker 4: and Julio's case hitting so many home runs in the

44
00:02:36,000 --> 00:02:39,359
Speaker 4: first two rounds. But that said Julio, you know, looking

45
00:02:39,400 --> 00:02:42,720
Speaker 4: at the advanced metrics, how hard both Julio and the

46
00:02:42,760 --> 00:02:45,360
Speaker 4: rest of the field hit the ball. He ranks second

47
00:02:45,400 --> 00:02:48,200
Speaker 4: in terms of peak eggs velocity, and you know maximum

48
00:02:48,200 --> 00:02:51,520
Speaker 4: eggs and velocity. Peak eggs and velocity is when you

49
00:02:51,560 --> 00:02:54,359
Speaker 4: see a guy achieve a new max eggs velocity. It's

50
00:02:54,360 --> 00:02:58,840
Speaker 4: a very good indicator of overall power expectations or overall

51
00:02:58,880 --> 00:02:59,720
Speaker 4: power potentials.

52
00:02:59,760 --> 00:03:01,800
Speaker 3: So when you have guys like John.

53
00:03:01,639 --> 00:03:03,720
Speaker 4: Carlos Dan who are typically you know, at the top

54
00:03:03,720 --> 00:03:06,520
Speaker 4: of the league in piagaggs in velocity, right, not just

55
00:03:06,560 --> 00:03:09,160
Speaker 4: avererdag and velocity, but how hard they're able to hit

56
00:03:09,200 --> 00:03:11,480
Speaker 4: the ball at its peak, it just shows you their

57
00:03:11,520 --> 00:03:15,239
Speaker 4: overall raw power upside. Pete Alonzo in this field actually

58
00:03:15,320 --> 00:03:18,920
Speaker 4: ranks closer to average. Julia Rodriguez is in the top

59
00:03:18,960 --> 00:03:22,440
Speaker 4: two players along with Laguerrero Junior. So the fact that

60
00:03:22,480 --> 00:03:25,760
Speaker 4: you have Guerrero who's been dominant in derbies in the past,

61
00:03:25,760 --> 00:03:27,720
Speaker 4: Pete Alonzo has been dominant in derbies in the past,

62
00:03:27,919 --> 00:03:30,079
Speaker 4: and Hulio Rodriguez, who put one of the most impressive

63
00:03:30,160 --> 00:03:33,440
Speaker 4: derby performances ever last year, all on the same side

64
00:03:33,480 --> 00:03:35,840
Speaker 4: of the bracket. I think it really leaves it open

65
00:03:36,240 --> 00:03:38,560
Speaker 4: for the left hand side of the bracket for somebody

66
00:03:38,560 --> 00:03:40,720
Speaker 4: from there to potentially win and have an easier path.

67
00:03:40,760 --> 00:03:43,080
Speaker 4: I think Julio actually has the easier or the most

68
00:03:43,080 --> 00:03:45,600
Speaker 4: difficult path of all these guys in the derby because

69
00:03:45,640 --> 00:03:47,080
Speaker 4: he has to take out lad and Pete just to

70
00:03:47,080 --> 00:03:50,200
Speaker 4: make the finals. But comparing them straight up, Julio is

71
00:03:50,200 --> 00:03:52,560
Speaker 4: the better metrics on paper. I know Pete has performed

72
00:03:52,600 --> 00:03:54,400
Speaker 4: well in derbies in the past, but Julio has, as

73
00:03:54,440 --> 00:03:56,080
Speaker 4: I said, done one of the most impressive things that

74
00:03:56,080 --> 00:03:57,600
Speaker 4: I've ever seen in derby. One thing I want to

75
00:03:57,600 --> 00:04:01,640
Speaker 4: mention too, Pete Alonzo was injured risk injury in June,

76
00:04:01,680 --> 00:04:03,520
Speaker 4: and because the Mets have been struggling, they kind of

77
00:04:03,600 --> 00:04:05,600
Speaker 4: rushed him back, or it seemed like he rushed himself

78
00:04:05,640 --> 00:04:08,680
Speaker 4: back Stintce. Coming back from that injury, Pete is hitting

79
00:04:08,720 --> 00:04:11,040
Speaker 4: one fifty three with a two sixty five on base

80
00:04:11,080 --> 00:04:14,000
Speaker 4: and a three sixty one slug his four home runs

81
00:04:14,000 --> 00:04:17,119
Speaker 4: an eighty three played appearance. He had not seemed fully healthy.

82
00:04:17,120 --> 00:04:19,680
Speaker 4: I was actually surprised that he was participating in the derby.

83
00:04:19,720 --> 00:04:22,000
Speaker 4: Now this does remind me a little bit of Won

84
00:04:22,080 --> 00:04:24,120
Speaker 4: Soto last year, who seemed to be injured coming into

85
00:04:24,120 --> 00:04:25,640
Speaker 4: the derby and ended up winning it.

86
00:04:25,720 --> 00:04:27,440
Speaker 3: So take away from that what you will.

87
00:04:27,480 --> 00:04:29,640
Speaker 4: I just think cooler Rodriguez in the first round against

88
00:04:29,640 --> 00:04:32,719
Speaker 4: Pete Alonzo plus one forty is a bit underrated.

89
00:04:32,720 --> 00:04:34,000
Speaker 3: I think this should be closer to pick him.

90
00:04:34,040 --> 00:04:36,680
Speaker 4: So we're gonna take Jay rodiplus one forty to upset

91
00:04:36,680 --> 00:04:38,719
Speaker 4: the two time Derby champion and one of my favorite players.

92
00:04:38,760 --> 00:04:40,800
Speaker 3: The polar are as my best bet.

93
00:04:41,320 --> 00:04:43,080
Speaker 4: We could talk about, you know, the other half of

94
00:04:43,120 --> 00:04:45,320
Speaker 4: the bracket in a minute, but curious to hear Anthony's

95
00:04:45,360 --> 00:04:46,360
Speaker 4: thoughts on the Sturby as well.

96
00:04:46,640 --> 00:04:48,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, real quick, just to kind of map this out.

97
00:04:48,600 --> 00:04:50,560
Speaker 2: I know most folks have probably gotten to this already,

98
00:04:50,560 --> 00:04:53,200
Speaker 2: But in Alonzo Rodriguez the two seven, they get the

99
00:04:53,200 --> 00:04:56,520
Speaker 2: winner of Bets s Guerrero, which is the three six, respectively,

100
00:04:57,240 --> 00:05:00,360
Speaker 2: And at the top of the bracket, Robert is the

101
00:05:00,480 --> 00:05:04,719
Speaker 2: number one seed. Rochman the eight Garcia and a Rosa

102
00:05:04,760 --> 00:05:07,520
Speaker 2: Raina four and five, respectively, So that's how it breaks

103
00:05:07,560 --> 00:05:10,360
Speaker 2: down for the Derby. I keep reminding myself that they've

104
00:05:10,400 --> 00:05:13,520
Speaker 2: got the bracket form these days. Go ahead to bundo

105
00:05:13,560 --> 00:05:14,040
Speaker 2: what he got.

106
00:05:14,320 --> 00:05:17,360
Speaker 5: Yeah, I agree with Zarrilla on Alonso and being concerned

107
00:05:17,400 --> 00:05:19,800
Speaker 5: about him coming into this. He only has five barrels

108
00:05:20,080 --> 00:05:23,840
Speaker 5: since coming back in his barrel rates well below ten percent,

109
00:05:24,440 --> 00:05:26,960
Speaker 5: So you're not seeing the same quality of batted balls

110
00:05:27,320 --> 00:05:29,880
Speaker 5: with Pete that you saw prior to injury and.

111
00:05:29,839 --> 00:05:30,560
Speaker 3: In years past.

112
00:05:30,640 --> 00:05:33,240
Speaker 5: And I actually think, you know, trying to price this

113
00:05:33,279 --> 00:05:35,560
Speaker 5: out is pretty difficult in the sense that there's a

114
00:05:35,560 --> 00:05:38,640
Speaker 5: lot of variability, and the biggest one is the pitcher quality.

115
00:05:38,920 --> 00:05:41,479
Speaker 5: We just don't know necessarily how good the pitching is

116
00:05:41,480 --> 00:05:43,279
Speaker 5: going to be from some of these guys. And I

117
00:05:43,279 --> 00:05:46,400
Speaker 5: think Alonso and Guerrero are almost a little overvalued off

118
00:05:46,440 --> 00:05:49,720
Speaker 5: of their history in this competition, and with him those

119
00:05:49,760 --> 00:05:52,720
Speaker 5: two en Rodriguez all being on the same half of

120
00:05:52,760 --> 00:05:54,680
Speaker 5: the draw, I'm actually going to the other side for

121
00:05:54,839 --> 00:05:56,800
Speaker 5: my pick. I'm gonna take Luis Robert. You can find

122
00:05:56,839 --> 00:05:58,839
Speaker 5: him as high as five to one to win this.

123
00:05:59,560 --> 00:06:01,880
Speaker 5: Robert a really interesting season in that his strikeout rate

124
00:06:01,960 --> 00:06:04,240
Speaker 5: is way up and he's been chasing as much as ever.

125
00:06:04,320 --> 00:06:07,440
Speaker 5: He's never had good played discipline. But even if you

126
00:06:07,440 --> 00:06:09,840
Speaker 5: look at his average exit velocity eighty nine point one

127
00:06:09,960 --> 00:06:12,160
Speaker 5: is like pretty below average for this field, pretty average

128
00:06:12,200 --> 00:06:14,480
Speaker 5: for Major League baseball. But if you look at the

129
00:06:14,520 --> 00:06:17,440
Speaker 5: top end of that profile, the batted balls that he

130
00:06:17,480 --> 00:06:20,080
Speaker 5: really connects on, he's hitting harder than last year. He's

131
00:06:20,160 --> 00:06:22,320
Speaker 5: hitting more barrels. His barrel raid has gone up to

132
00:06:22,360 --> 00:06:24,440
Speaker 5: fifteen percent, which is the second highest in the field,

133
00:06:24,640 --> 00:06:28,000
Speaker 5: behind only at the least Garcia. And Robert gets i

134
00:06:28,000 --> 00:06:31,640
Speaker 5: think the most favorable draw to this final, where he gets, yes,

135
00:06:31,680 --> 00:06:33,920
Speaker 5: he's a first time participant, but he gets Addie Rutchman,

136
00:06:34,160 --> 00:06:36,240
Speaker 5: who is, you know, the longest shot to win this

137
00:06:36,320 --> 00:06:38,960
Speaker 5: event in the first round, and then potentially Randy rose

138
00:06:39,000 --> 00:06:41,280
Speaker 5: Rena or out of least Garcia in the second round.

139
00:06:41,320 --> 00:06:43,320
Speaker 5: So it's a pretty favorable draw for him to avoid

140
00:06:43,720 --> 00:06:45,760
Speaker 5: the three biggest sluggers in my view, and the three

141
00:06:45,760 --> 00:06:47,880
Speaker 5: people that should be lined as kind of the favorites

142
00:06:48,560 --> 00:06:50,640
Speaker 5: with the fact that they off to play each other

143
00:06:50,680 --> 00:06:53,120
Speaker 5: and knock each other out before they would potentially play

144
00:06:53,160 --> 00:06:54,840
Speaker 5: Robert and the thing with Robert is you know, if

145
00:06:54,839 --> 00:06:57,039
Speaker 5: you take out his biggest flaw, which is the chase,

146
00:06:57,080 --> 00:06:59,760
Speaker 5: like you're not being pitched selective in the home run derby,

147
00:07:00,040 --> 00:07:01,720
Speaker 5: You're just getting pitches right down the middle. I mean,

148
00:07:01,760 --> 00:07:04,599
Speaker 5: nobody's done more damage on those kinds of pitches this

149
00:07:04,680 --> 00:07:07,320
Speaker 5: year than Robert. The problem with his average velosphy being

150
00:07:07,320 --> 00:07:09,360
Speaker 5: lower is when he's you know, using the hit tool

151
00:07:09,400 --> 00:07:12,239
Speaker 5: to kind of you know, make weak contact on bad pitches.

152
00:07:12,520 --> 00:07:15,040
Speaker 5: So Robert for me is my pick five to one.

153
00:07:15,080 --> 00:07:17,640
Speaker 5: Like I said, second highest barrel rate has shown the

154
00:07:17,680 --> 00:07:21,000
Speaker 5: max ev one seventeen in years past. We know, you know,

155
00:07:21,080 --> 00:07:22,880
Speaker 5: he has the raw power to hit one really far.

156
00:07:23,120 --> 00:07:25,400
Speaker 5: And I also like under for the longest home run.

157
00:07:25,440 --> 00:07:27,680
Speaker 5: Four ninety and a half is the highest number that

158
00:07:27,720 --> 00:07:30,440
Speaker 5: I see out there right now. I understand that there

159
00:07:30,480 --> 00:07:33,160
Speaker 5: is some wind blowing out tonight to left, which should

160
00:07:33,200 --> 00:07:35,720
Speaker 5: help you know, a very righty heavy field in this

161
00:07:35,760 --> 00:07:39,120
Speaker 5: home run derby, But given the relatively low humidity and

162
00:07:39,200 --> 00:07:42,000
Speaker 5: just the way that Seattle's Park plays, four ninety seems

163
00:07:42,040 --> 00:07:43,760
Speaker 5: like an awfully high number to get two for me.

164
00:07:43,960 --> 00:07:45,960
Speaker 5: And that sounds like a really fun sweat too, given

165
00:07:46,000 --> 00:07:48,440
Speaker 5: that you know you're gonna be sweating every home run

166
00:07:48,440 --> 00:07:50,000
Speaker 5: and hoping that the stat cast doesn't say it went

167
00:07:50,040 --> 00:07:51,800
Speaker 5: over four hundred ninety one feet.

168
00:07:52,240 --> 00:07:54,680
Speaker 2: Right now, Fandel's got it at for eighty five and

169
00:07:54,680 --> 00:07:56,280
Speaker 2: a half? Is that playoffs?

170
00:07:57,200 --> 00:07:59,320
Speaker 5: Would I would shop around just because there are other

171
00:07:59,360 --> 00:08:02,000
Speaker 5: numbers out there that makes a big difference. This number

172
00:08:02,040 --> 00:08:03,760
Speaker 5: opened as high as four ninety two and a half

173
00:08:04,240 --> 00:08:06,680
Speaker 5: at vandal actually and has been bet down at some

174
00:08:06,720 --> 00:08:09,840
Speaker 5: books and has been moving around a lot, So definitely

175
00:08:09,960 --> 00:08:11,840
Speaker 5: chop around for the best number. Every foot counts.

176
00:08:12,120 --> 00:08:13,400
Speaker 4: I would just want to comment on a few more

177
00:08:13,440 --> 00:08:15,160
Speaker 4: props too before we leave the home run every So

178
00:08:15,200 --> 00:08:18,160
Speaker 4: total home runs in the first round, you know, just

179
00:08:18,240 --> 00:08:21,760
Speaker 4: comparing the domestic markets in the offshore markets, that was

180
00:08:21,800 --> 00:08:24,040
Speaker 4: heavily juiced to the under offshore. So if you're looking

181
00:08:24,080 --> 00:08:26,080
Speaker 4: at total home runs in the first round, I would

182
00:08:26,200 --> 00:08:30,080
Speaker 4: lean under the National League versus American League props. Six

183
00:08:30,120 --> 00:08:32,319
Speaker 4: of these eight hitters are from the National League. If

184
00:08:32,320 --> 00:08:34,920
Speaker 4: you price that out based on where the betting market

185
00:08:34,960 --> 00:08:36,720
Speaker 4: has them, they have peed alonzo a three to one,

186
00:08:37,080 --> 00:08:41,280
Speaker 4: and they have Mooie bets at about twenty to one. Combined,

187
00:08:41,400 --> 00:08:44,040
Speaker 4: their implied probability about twenty nine and a half to

188
00:08:44,120 --> 00:08:47,400
Speaker 4: thirty percent. So the National League should be about minus

189
00:08:47,440 --> 00:08:50,240
Speaker 4: two or I should say plus two to thirty, or

190
00:08:50,280 --> 00:08:52,880
Speaker 4: the National League should be minus two thirty. You're going

191
00:08:52,960 --> 00:08:55,560
Speaker 4: to really not find much value in that market. That

192
00:08:55,600 --> 00:08:57,280
Speaker 4: was something that caught my attention though, because six to

193
00:08:57,280 --> 00:09:01,040
Speaker 4: the eight hitters are from the American League. And then lastly,

194
00:09:01,120 --> 00:09:02,480
Speaker 4: I just want to talk about the left hand side

195
00:09:02,480 --> 00:09:04,880
Speaker 4: of the bracket. I think the key matchup is at

196
00:09:04,840 --> 00:09:07,520
Speaker 4: Alas Garcia against Randy rose Arena. On paper, they have

197
00:09:07,600 --> 00:09:10,439
Speaker 4: very comparable metrics in terms of their peak eggs of

198
00:09:10,480 --> 00:09:14,800
Speaker 4: velocity is Garcia ninety six percentile a Rosorina ninety third,

199
00:09:15,200 --> 00:09:18,840
Speaker 4: Luis Robert eighty nine. So I actually like one of

200
00:09:18,840 --> 00:09:22,240
Speaker 4: Garcia or rose Arena to pull the upset, whichever one

201
00:09:22,280 --> 00:09:25,240
Speaker 4: it is against Luise Robert around two. And just Luis Robert,

202
00:09:25,240 --> 00:09:27,120
Speaker 4: when I was going through this competition, kind of struck

203
00:09:27,200 --> 00:09:29,280
Speaker 4: me as a guy who is probably either gonna win

204
00:09:29,679 --> 00:09:31,560
Speaker 4: or get upset in the first round by Adli Rushman.

205
00:09:31,880 --> 00:09:34,040
Speaker 4: So all of these guys is that we've talked about

206
00:09:34,120 --> 00:09:36,560
Speaker 4: so far, aside from Adley and Betts, all in the

207
00:09:36,640 --> 00:09:40,559
Speaker 4: eighty ninth percentile or higher for average or for maximum

208
00:09:40,559 --> 00:09:44,040
Speaker 4: exit velocity. Right their raw power potential Adlie Rushman seventy

209
00:09:44,040 --> 00:09:48,560
Speaker 4: first percentile, Mookie Betts sixty eight percentile. So just in

210
00:09:48,640 --> 00:09:50,880
Speaker 4: terms of how you compare all of their raw power

211
00:09:50,960 --> 00:09:55,320
Speaker 4: on paper, I've actually might make Bets the biggest underdog

212
00:09:55,360 --> 00:09:57,480
Speaker 4: in the field, you know, the least likely to win it.

213
00:09:57,679 --> 00:09:58,640
Speaker 3: I think Russian should be.

214
00:09:58,720 --> 00:10:02,000
Speaker 4: Seventh, and compare to the metrics that Robert has, I

215
00:10:02,040 --> 00:10:03,560
Speaker 4: actually think he has a chance of pulling the upset.

216
00:10:03,600 --> 00:10:05,559
Speaker 4: So I might sprinkle a little bit on Adlie, especially

217
00:10:05,559 --> 00:10:08,360
Speaker 4: going back to Spacific Northwest, playing in front of a

218
00:10:08,360 --> 00:10:10,480
Speaker 4: crowd that's going to be pulling for Roum. But now

219
00:10:10,880 --> 00:10:13,480
Speaker 4: it's Jay Rod for me, is my winner at plus

220
00:10:13,480 --> 00:10:15,440
Speaker 4: five fifty, and then I'm gonna play him in matchup

221
00:10:15,480 --> 00:10:19,000
Speaker 4: props with the Dolis, Garcia and Randi rose Arena, I

222
00:10:19,040 --> 00:10:20,640
Speaker 4: believe you can get eleven to one fifteen to one

223
00:10:20,720 --> 00:10:22,760
Speaker 4: respectively on those two to be in the finalists, or

224
00:10:22,880 --> 00:10:25,560
Speaker 4: you know that that group of three to meet up

225
00:10:25,559 --> 00:10:30,199
Speaker 4: in the finals. But the outright props Julio over Adolis

226
00:10:30,280 --> 00:10:32,679
Speaker 4: is twenty to one over Rosarin is third to one.

227
00:10:32,720 --> 00:10:34,880
Speaker 4: So I hit both of those as well, all.

228
00:10:34,880 --> 00:10:38,160
Speaker 2: Right, excellent. Why don't we you know, I just I

229
00:10:38,200 --> 00:10:40,559
Speaker 2: kind of laughed Whendbundo mentioned every foot counts. Like a

230
00:10:40,600 --> 00:10:42,800
Speaker 2: week ago everyone was betting on hot dog totals and

231
00:10:42,840 --> 00:10:44,760
Speaker 2: now we're betting on all runs.

232
00:10:44,920 --> 00:10:45,880
Speaker 3: It's just kind of you know.

233
00:10:46,280 --> 00:10:49,960
Speaker 2: Every foot does count. Moving on to the All Star

234
00:10:50,040 --> 00:10:53,640
Speaker 2: Game again games in cl as we know Tuesday night,

235
00:10:53,640 --> 00:10:57,440
Speaker 2: eight o'clock Eastern time, National League is the underdog in

236
00:10:57,480 --> 00:10:59,600
Speaker 2: the spot plus one o two on the money line

237
00:10:59,640 --> 00:11:02,280
Speaker 2: at FA. American League favorite at minus one twenty. We

238
00:11:02,360 --> 00:11:05,320
Speaker 2: know that the notable injuries. I mean, there's injuries both ways.

239
00:11:05,320 --> 00:11:08,160
Speaker 2: But American League no O Tani, no Aaron Judge, no

240
00:11:08,320 --> 00:11:11,560
Speaker 2: Mike Trout when on m Spiel on Friday about that

241
00:11:11,600 --> 00:11:14,640
Speaker 2: whole thing to Bundo, as you remember, but Zilla, how

242
00:11:14,640 --> 00:11:16,680
Speaker 2: do you look at this game with some key some

243
00:11:16,760 --> 00:11:21,040
Speaker 2: bigger names, like names that folks must see box box office,

244
00:11:21,080 --> 00:11:23,760
Speaker 2: as Steven A. Smith says, being out for this game.

245
00:11:25,240 --> 00:11:27,600
Speaker 4: Yes, So I project the National League's slight favorites here.

246
00:11:27,640 --> 00:11:29,319
Speaker 4: I made the minus one or two you could get

247
00:11:29,320 --> 00:11:31,400
Speaker 4: plus money on them right now. I bet them down

248
00:11:31,400 --> 00:11:32,960
Speaker 4: to plus one or two. You don't normally like for

249
00:11:32,960 --> 00:11:35,160
Speaker 4: a two percent edge on a typical baseball game here

250
00:11:35,200 --> 00:11:37,040
Speaker 4: a million toll over that price Starget two about one

251
00:11:37,040 --> 00:11:39,720
Speaker 4: percent even a half percent just have some action on

252
00:11:39,840 --> 00:11:41,600
Speaker 4: the Austar game. But I do make the National League

253
00:11:41,600 --> 00:11:45,319
Speaker 4: slave favorites in terms of how I project this game out.

254
00:11:45,480 --> 00:11:50,240
Speaker 4: The National League starters defensively are better than the American

255
00:11:50,320 --> 00:11:54,640
Speaker 4: League starters. The National League starters offensively are better than

256
00:11:54,640 --> 00:11:58,600
Speaker 4: the American League starters. The two benches are relatively comparable

257
00:12:00,040 --> 00:12:02,920
Speaker 4: both offensively and defensively, but I still lean with the

258
00:12:03,040 --> 00:12:06,560
Speaker 4: NL players position players. The one place that the American

259
00:12:06,640 --> 00:12:09,800
Speaker 4: League has a slight advantage is pitching. Projected the AL

260
00:12:09,880 --> 00:12:13,920
Speaker 4: e RA at about three forty eight, the NLRA at

261
00:12:13,920 --> 00:12:17,800
Speaker 4: about three sixty. Just in terms of where I have

262
00:12:17,960 --> 00:12:22,360
Speaker 4: roughly the runs per game offensively right against. You know,

263
00:12:22,360 --> 00:12:25,080
Speaker 4: if I was just a projectors out on an average

264
00:12:25,160 --> 00:12:28,760
Speaker 4: day in Seattle against the opposing pitching staff, I'd have

265
00:12:28,880 --> 00:12:31,240
Speaker 4: the NL scoring about four point two runs a game

266
00:12:32,000 --> 00:12:36,000
Speaker 4: and the AL scoring anywhere between three point eight and

267
00:12:36,040 --> 00:12:37,360
Speaker 4: four point one, depending if.

268
00:12:37,240 --> 00:12:38,640
Speaker 3: They were facing a righty or lefty.

269
00:12:38,720 --> 00:12:41,160
Speaker 4: So there's much more variance in the American League lineup

270
00:12:41,480 --> 00:12:44,920
Speaker 4: in terms of splits. I think the National League if

271
00:12:44,960 --> 00:12:48,720
Speaker 4: they are aggressive with their right handed pitcher usage, and

272
00:12:48,760 --> 00:12:50,120
Speaker 4: you know, play the matchups correctly.

273
00:12:50,160 --> 00:12:53,040
Speaker 3: They have Steal and Hater out there. Doesn't seem like

274
00:12:53,040 --> 00:12:55,000
Speaker 3: they have too many lefties though. It just looks like

275
00:12:55,080 --> 00:12:55,560
Speaker 3: those two.

276
00:12:56,160 --> 00:12:59,280
Speaker 4: So if they play the matchups correctly, get the lefties

277
00:12:59,320 --> 00:13:02,520
Speaker 4: in against the right lefties. On the other side, I

278
00:13:02,520 --> 00:13:05,320
Speaker 4: think the National League should have an advantage in terms

279
00:13:05,360 --> 00:13:08,120
Speaker 4: of their position player group. Mike Trout not being in

280
00:13:08,160 --> 00:13:10,800
Speaker 4: the All Star Game certainly hurts that. To agree for

281
00:13:10,840 --> 00:13:14,839
Speaker 4: the American League, I believe the ALE also lost Aaron Judge,

282
00:13:14,840 --> 00:13:17,160
Speaker 4: So yeah, I mean two of the best when you

283
00:13:17,240 --> 00:13:19,560
Speaker 4: just like I modeled it out right, put all the

284
00:13:19,559 --> 00:13:22,400
Speaker 4: players in my model. But when you really think about it,

285
00:13:22,440 --> 00:13:24,400
Speaker 4: the advantage of that I give VNL over the ALE

286
00:13:24,600 --> 00:13:27,400
Speaker 4: offensively kind of come down to Mike Trout and Air

287
00:13:27,520 --> 00:13:29,280
Speaker 4: Judge not being available in the starting one up and

288
00:13:29,280 --> 00:13:31,720
Speaker 4: the two played appearances from each. The four plate appearance

289
00:13:31,760 --> 00:13:34,080
Speaker 4: is total out of your twenty seven outs that you're

290
00:13:34,120 --> 00:13:35,880
Speaker 4: gonna take away from those two guys. So yeah, I

291
00:13:35,920 --> 00:13:38,079
Speaker 4: do make the NL slight favorites. I think the biggest

292
00:13:38,080 --> 00:13:41,360
Speaker 4: fear for me making that bet is Felix Bautista coming

293
00:13:41,360 --> 00:13:43,440
Speaker 4: into a close game late, because you know that that

294
00:13:43,520 --> 00:13:46,760
Speaker 4: is an automatic shutdown inning for the American League. Felix

295
00:13:46,760 --> 00:13:50,560
Speaker 4: has been impossible to hit this year, setting strikeout records,

296
00:13:50,600 --> 00:13:53,160
Speaker 4: and I've started to see some ale Cy Young buzz

297
00:13:53,200 --> 00:13:55,920
Speaker 4: for Felix Bautista, and I really don't think it's getting

298
00:13:56,280 --> 00:13:59,040
Speaker 4: out of hand actually talking about it, because of how

299
00:13:59,120 --> 00:14:01,200
Speaker 4: ridiculous is his number are. But yeah, it's a free

300
00:14:01,200 --> 00:14:03,240
Speaker 4: shutdown inating for the al if it's a tight game late.

301
00:14:04,080 --> 00:14:06,920
Speaker 4: That's my my only concern really, because he's like a

302
00:14:07,160 --> 00:14:09,400
Speaker 4: you know, he's a free pass button for them if

303
00:14:09,400 --> 00:14:12,040
Speaker 4: they get the tight spot up. Other than that, I

304
00:14:12,120 --> 00:14:15,679
Speaker 4: think the National League has the advantages, and yeah, I

305
00:14:15,720 --> 00:14:18,520
Speaker 4: think the trout and judge injuries actually do have some impact.

306
00:14:19,800 --> 00:14:23,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, so lefties for the American League are both starters,

307
00:14:24,000 --> 00:14:28,120
Speaker 2: McClanahan and Valdez. They have no lefties out of the pen, and.

308
00:14:28,160 --> 00:14:31,440
Speaker 4: McClanahan is mcclanahan's off the roster, so that's not even

309
00:14:31,480 --> 00:14:36,560
Speaker 4: a yeah, that's not even an issue. But yeah, there's like,

310
00:14:36,720 --> 00:14:38,960
Speaker 4: you know, there's some really bad pitchers potentially in this game,

311
00:14:39,040 --> 00:14:42,600
Speaker 4: like Michael Renzen, respectfully, like congratulate making the All Star

312
00:14:42,680 --> 00:14:44,800
Speaker 4: Game to Michael Renzon. I'm I'm happy he's having a

313
00:14:44,840 --> 00:14:46,920
Speaker 4: good year, but compared to the other guys on.

314
00:14:46,880 --> 00:14:50,840
Speaker 2: His team too. Sorry, yeah, so they're both out.

315
00:14:51,160 --> 00:14:54,360
Speaker 4: Yeah yeah, so that the American League pitching staff is

316
00:14:54,400 --> 00:14:55,040
Speaker 4: all right handed.

317
00:14:55,040 --> 00:14:57,160
Speaker 3: The NL has a couple of lefties.

318
00:14:57,880 --> 00:15:00,160
Speaker 4: That you know that is problematic for the NL the

319
00:15:00,480 --> 00:15:02,840
Speaker 4: ALE as well, you know, trying to play matchups against

320
00:15:02,880 --> 00:15:04,400
Speaker 4: you know, any left hand of bats on the n

321
00:15:04,440 --> 00:15:06,480
Speaker 4: A lineup, they don't really have the lefties to do it.

322
00:15:06,640 --> 00:15:10,320
Speaker 4: So yeah, I you know, intuitively that's an advantage too,

323
00:15:11,440 --> 00:15:12,840
Speaker 4: but I you know, I just want to mention, you know,

324
00:15:12,920 --> 00:15:16,880
Speaker 4: guys like Michael Renzen, Josiah Gray, these are guys who's

325
00:15:16,960 --> 00:15:19,440
Speaker 4: expected the Rays are closer to four and a half,

326
00:15:19,560 --> 00:15:21,680
Speaker 4: where everybody else pitching in this game is closer to

327
00:15:21,680 --> 00:15:24,080
Speaker 4: three and a half. So if one of Gray or

328
00:15:24,240 --> 00:15:27,720
Speaker 4: Lorensen comes in, that's a bit hairy because these are

329
00:15:27,720 --> 00:15:29,760
Speaker 4: guys who I don't think should be pitching this game.

330
00:15:29,800 --> 00:15:33,000
Speaker 4: Even Bryce Elder for the National League, you know, expected

331
00:15:33,240 --> 00:15:34,720
Speaker 4: Ray four and a half and got lit up a

332
00:15:34,760 --> 00:15:35,280
Speaker 4: little bit.

333
00:15:35,120 --> 00:15:36,000
Speaker 3: By the Rays yesterday.

334
00:15:36,040 --> 00:15:37,960
Speaker 4: So there's some arms in this game who if they

335
00:15:38,040 --> 00:15:40,880
Speaker 4: come in, I'm gonna be a little sketched out, especially

336
00:15:40,880 --> 00:15:44,840
Speaker 4: if I have DNL, you know, with Elder Josiah Gray.

337
00:15:44,880 --> 00:15:47,680
Speaker 4: But yeah, I would expect the managers to select their

338
00:15:47,680 --> 00:15:49,920
Speaker 4: most efficient arms and kind of save the guys who

339
00:15:50,120 --> 00:15:53,800
Speaker 4: are less effective for you know, emergency situations.

340
00:15:53,800 --> 00:15:56,840
Speaker 5: Interestingly enough, Elder pitched Sunday, so he's not eligible anymore,

341
00:15:56,880 --> 00:15:58,760
Speaker 5: and that's a huge benefit to the National League.

342
00:15:59,360 --> 00:16:00,640
Speaker 3: Yes, they lose.

343
00:16:00,480 --> 00:16:03,720
Speaker 5: Elder, they also lost Stroman, and not that I you know,

344
00:16:03,720 --> 00:16:05,440
Speaker 5: Marcus Stroman's having a great year and he's a good pitcher,

345
00:16:05,480 --> 00:16:07,800
Speaker 5: but I you know, generally think he's probably worse than

346
00:16:07,800 --> 00:16:10,000
Speaker 5: most of the guys that would come into the game

347
00:16:10,000 --> 00:16:11,720
Speaker 5: for the National League. So I actually think the National

348
00:16:11,760 --> 00:16:14,520
Speaker 5: League got a little bit of a boost getting Cobb

349
00:16:14,600 --> 00:16:16,480
Speaker 5: and Sanga in there for Elder and Stroman, because I

350
00:16:16,480 --> 00:16:18,680
Speaker 5: think you could argue that's that's an upgrade in both spots.

351
00:16:19,360 --> 00:16:21,600
Speaker 5: They do lose Spencer Strider, but now Corbyn Burns has

352
00:16:21,600 --> 00:16:24,880
Speaker 5: been picked, and Burns has looked like the Reds commented

353
00:16:24,920 --> 00:16:27,080
Speaker 5: that it was the best best stuff they've seen all

354
00:16:27,200 --> 00:16:29,840
Speaker 5: year on Friday after him shut them down. Uh, so,

355
00:16:30,240 --> 00:16:31,880
Speaker 5: you know, the National League did get a little bit

356
00:16:31,920 --> 00:16:34,680
Speaker 5: of a boost, and you mentioned it. No left handed arms,

357
00:16:34,680 --> 00:16:36,960
Speaker 5: I think is going to be a problem potentially for

358
00:16:37,000 --> 00:16:38,760
Speaker 5: the American League. That's the one thing that I noticed

359
00:16:38,760 --> 00:16:41,320
Speaker 5: as well. You're gonna have some pretty good right handed

360
00:16:41,360 --> 00:16:43,600
Speaker 5: bats or left handed bats in this National League lineup.

361
00:16:43,600 --> 00:16:47,040
Speaker 5: When you look at Freddie Freeman, Luisa Rise, Corby Carroll,

362
00:16:47,240 --> 00:16:48,760
Speaker 5: and then even off the bench like there's a bunch

363
00:16:48,800 --> 00:16:51,240
Speaker 5: of lefties they can go to, whether it's Ozzie h

364
00:16:51,840 --> 00:16:56,520
Speaker 5: and Soto. So there are some really really tough outs

365
00:16:56,560 --> 00:16:58,840
Speaker 5: for right eyes to get against lefties in that lineup.

366
00:16:58,880 --> 00:17:00,720
Speaker 5: So I also favored the Nation the League as well,

367
00:17:00,920 --> 00:17:03,720
Speaker 5: and would bet them at anything plus money too really quick.

368
00:17:04,480 --> 00:17:07,520
Speaker 2: Five of the last six All Star Games total has

369
00:17:07,560 --> 00:17:10,880
Speaker 2: gone seven or under. In the total tonight is seven

370
00:17:10,920 --> 00:17:13,639
Speaker 2: and a half. A part of me Tuesday night, it's

371
00:17:13,680 --> 00:17:16,400
Speaker 2: seven and a half. How do we feel about the total, Sorollo.

372
00:17:16,480 --> 00:17:17,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm made at seven point three.

373
00:17:18,000 --> 00:17:20,840
Speaker 4: I would lean to the under park factor in Seattle

374
00:17:20,920 --> 00:17:23,399
Speaker 4: is about fourteen percent below the major league average, So

375
00:17:23,440 --> 00:17:26,119
Speaker 4: if you were playing in a league average park, this

376
00:17:26,280 --> 00:17:28,240
Speaker 4: total would be eight and a half. Because we're in

377
00:17:28,280 --> 00:17:30,920
Speaker 4: a pitcher's park, you see it at seven and a half.

378
00:17:31,600 --> 00:17:33,520
Speaker 4: You know, generally speaking with all the All Star Games,

379
00:17:33,560 --> 00:17:35,080
Speaker 4: I like to lean under because you're getting a new

380
00:17:35,080 --> 00:17:37,520
Speaker 4: picture ever inning, so you're not getting that second time

381
00:17:37,560 --> 00:17:39,240
Speaker 4: through the order, third time through the order splits that

382
00:17:39,280 --> 00:17:43,560
Speaker 4: you typically get. The managers have plenty of arms available,

383
00:17:43,640 --> 00:17:45,919
Speaker 4: so if any pitcher gets in trouble first and second

384
00:17:45,960 --> 00:17:48,360
Speaker 4: no out, you're immediately going to see somebody getting warm

385
00:17:48,359 --> 00:17:50,400
Speaker 4: and looking to come in behind them. So yeah, there's

386
00:17:50,720 --> 00:17:52,920
Speaker 4: you know, almost no situation where you're going to have

387
00:17:52,960 --> 00:17:55,760
Speaker 4: a pitcher trying to pitch through trouble and you also

388
00:17:55,840 --> 00:17:58,240
Speaker 4: have all of these elite arms coming in on top

389
00:17:58,280 --> 00:18:00,639
Speaker 4: of it, maxing out for an inning, what have you.

390
00:18:00,680 --> 00:18:04,000
Speaker 4: So yeah, unless like one guy blows up, it's hard

391
00:18:04,040 --> 00:18:05,360
Speaker 4: to imagine this total going over.

392
00:18:05,440 --> 00:18:08,120
Speaker 3: It's you know, it's going to take one.

393
00:18:07,960 --> 00:18:11,080
Speaker 4: Pitcher in particular, completely imploding and probably getting left out

394
00:18:11,080 --> 00:18:14,439
Speaker 4: there too long to get this over, potentially going to extras.

395
00:18:14,440 --> 00:18:16,879
Speaker 4: I believe we'd have the runner on second base and extras.

396
00:18:16,880 --> 00:18:18,800
Speaker 4: So if this was three three going to extras, I'd

397
00:18:18,840 --> 00:18:22,120
Speaker 4: certainly be sweating. But beyond that, yeah, I always lean

398
00:18:22,200 --> 00:18:24,600
Speaker 4: under in the All Star Game, And if this got

399
00:18:24,600 --> 00:18:26,840
Speaker 4: to plus money, even minus one of five under seven,

400
00:18:26,880 --> 00:18:28,560
Speaker 4: I'd certainly bet it, but it looks like it's going

401
00:18:29,000 --> 00:18:31,320
Speaker 4: the other way, you know, towards minus one fifteen minus

402
00:18:31,359 --> 00:18:32,600
Speaker 4: one twenty, which I think is correct.

403
00:18:33,080 --> 00:18:34,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, the candidate was to blow up with

404
00:18:35,080 --> 00:18:37,160
Speaker 2: Elder who pitched the other day. He's probably the one

405
00:18:37,160 --> 00:18:39,560
Speaker 2: guy based on how we've you know or not we

406
00:18:39,760 --> 00:18:42,760
Speaker 2: you have all most of you have bet against him

407
00:18:43,560 --> 00:18:46,840
Speaker 2: in his starts and then you know, three months later

408
00:18:46,880 --> 00:18:47,760
Speaker 2: in the first inning.

409
00:18:49,080 --> 00:18:51,720
Speaker 5: Go ahead to I think Gonsolin blew up last year, right,

410
00:18:51,760 --> 00:18:54,160
Speaker 5: And it was the same thing. We had a come

411
00:18:54,160 --> 00:18:55,560
Speaker 5: We had a co I remember mclana and gave up

412
00:18:55,560 --> 00:18:57,159
Speaker 5: a couple runs early, but then it was the American

413
00:18:57,200 --> 00:18:59,520
Speaker 5: League came back and it was Tony Gonsolin, who we

414
00:18:59,520 --> 00:19:01,400
Speaker 5: talked about all year was kind of like a fraud

415
00:19:01,480 --> 00:19:03,320
Speaker 5: All Star and what was good as his numbers? And

416
00:19:03,359 --> 00:19:05,360
Speaker 5: he blew up in the All Star Game too, So yeah,

417
00:19:05,359 --> 00:19:07,320
Speaker 5: I mean, it's just really hard given the pitching quality,

418
00:19:08,160 --> 00:19:10,399
Speaker 5: especially since not every pitcher will get used, and you

419
00:19:10,560 --> 00:19:13,760
Speaker 5: have to think that Thompson and Baker know who the

420
00:19:13,800 --> 00:19:15,720
Speaker 5: worst guys on their lineups are and they're probably not

421
00:19:15,720 --> 00:19:19,239
Speaker 5: gonna see the game in the In the situation, I'd

422
00:19:19,280 --> 00:19:19,960
Speaker 5: actually be curious.

423
00:19:20,000 --> 00:19:21,359
Speaker 3: You have to go back, like I'm looking at the

424
00:19:21,359 --> 00:19:22,400
Speaker 3: box score from last year.

425
00:19:22,440 --> 00:19:24,440
Speaker 4: Two runs on the bottom of the first, three runs

426
00:19:24,440 --> 00:19:26,000
Speaker 4: on the top of the fourth, no runs in any

427
00:19:26,040 --> 00:19:26,880
Speaker 4: other happening in the game.

428
00:19:26,920 --> 00:19:30,320
Speaker 3: I'm curious if you go under those. Yeah, yeah, exactly.

429
00:19:30,600 --> 00:19:32,960
Speaker 4: I'm curious if you go back through other iterations of

430
00:19:32,960 --> 00:19:35,240
Speaker 4: the All Star Game, especially the past few years, how

431
00:19:35,240 --> 00:19:38,359
Speaker 4: many half innings ended scoreless, right, Like, how many of

432
00:19:38,400 --> 00:19:41,600
Speaker 4: the runs were responsible to individual pitchers. I'd imagine it

433
00:19:41,640 --> 00:19:44,000
Speaker 4: was very few happenings where we had scoring. So, as

434
00:19:44,000 --> 00:19:46,040
Speaker 4: Anthony said, if you get a live under, if there's

435
00:19:46,080 --> 00:19:47,720
Speaker 4: a bunch of early scoring, we get a live under

436
00:19:47,760 --> 00:19:49,159
Speaker 4: nine and a half, certainly going to pounce on that.

437
00:19:49,160 --> 00:19:52,120
Speaker 4: If I get a live under nine, gonna love that too.

438
00:19:52,480 --> 00:19:53,960
Speaker 4: You know, if it's getting closer to the middle of

439
00:19:54,000 --> 00:19:55,640
Speaker 4: the game and you can still get that live under

440
00:19:55,680 --> 00:19:57,320
Speaker 4: seven and a half and there's been some early scoring

441
00:19:57,320 --> 00:19:59,359
Speaker 4: so it's two to one in the fourth inning, you

442
00:19:59,400 --> 00:20:00,560
Speaker 4: get that live on seven and a half.

443
00:20:00,600 --> 00:20:02,040
Speaker 3: Still, I think I'd be interested at that point.

444
00:20:02,119 --> 00:20:05,360
Speaker 4: So yeah, you know, looking for live angles, But certainly

445
00:20:05,760 --> 00:20:07,760
Speaker 4: if I could get it over nine and a half, nine,

446
00:20:08,240 --> 00:20:12,040
Speaker 4: that's probably where my interest would be peaked right, just

447
00:20:12,080 --> 00:20:14,080
Speaker 4: in terms of MVP. I just wanted to talk real quick,

448
00:20:14,119 --> 00:20:17,160
Speaker 4: low scoring game, higher probability.

449
00:20:16,600 --> 00:20:18,040
Speaker 3: That a pitcher might get the awards.

450
00:20:18,080 --> 00:20:22,280
Speaker 4: So potentially the guys starting the game may go two innings.

451
00:20:22,280 --> 00:20:24,639
Speaker 4: You know, they're the only pitchers we're going to have

452
00:20:24,760 --> 00:20:27,280
Speaker 4: probably the ability to go two innings, and sometimes we

453
00:20:27,320 --> 00:20:29,560
Speaker 4: do see the manager run them out there for their

454
00:20:29,560 --> 00:20:31,280
Speaker 4: second inning. So take a look at the two starting

455
00:20:31,320 --> 00:20:35,040
Speaker 4: pitchers potential MVPs unless the managers confirm they're not going

456
00:20:35,040 --> 00:20:37,520
Speaker 4: more than one inning. The other thing I'll mention is

457
00:20:37,560 --> 00:20:40,520
Speaker 4: guys who are going to be starting and may get

458
00:20:40,520 --> 00:20:42,760
Speaker 4: that second or third plate appearance. You know, you typically

459
00:20:42,760 --> 00:20:44,440
Speaker 4: see the guys coming off the bench for the late inning,

460
00:20:44,480 --> 00:20:46,680
Speaker 4: seventh day to nine inning get one plate appearance. So

461
00:20:46,680 --> 00:20:48,720
Speaker 4: the guy like Lewis, a Rise who might hit second,

462
00:20:49,080 --> 00:20:51,400
Speaker 4: get three plate appearances because he's in there to hit,

463
00:20:51,440 --> 00:20:53,800
Speaker 4: he's not in there to field. I think might interest

464
00:20:53,840 --> 00:20:55,800
Speaker 4: me if a Rise goes two or three in a

465
00:20:55,800 --> 00:20:57,679
Speaker 4: low scoring game, he has a chance to get the awards.

466
00:20:57,720 --> 00:20:59,679
Speaker 3: So yeah, you know, a guy.

467
00:20:59,560 --> 00:21:02,080
Speaker 4: Who's high probability of putting the ball in play, I

468
00:21:02,080 --> 00:21:03,639
Speaker 4: think interests me and then maybe even a guy like

469
00:21:03,680 --> 00:21:06,399
Speaker 4: Corman Carroll who is likely to steel bases make some

470
00:21:06,440 --> 00:21:07,399
Speaker 4: good defensive plays.

471
00:21:07,520 --> 00:21:08,880
Speaker 3: I think you might interest me as well.

472
00:21:09,000 --> 00:21:11,640
Speaker 2: All right, excellent, Thank you all for tuning in. Again,

473
00:21:11,680 --> 00:21:15,120
Speaker 2: apologies for some not the greatest audio, but again, we're

474
00:21:15,160 --> 00:21:19,879
Speaker 2: all together in parts unknown trying to pull off this podcast.

475
00:21:19,920 --> 00:21:23,440
Speaker 2: So thanks for your patients. Payoff Pitch we're tuning into

476
00:21:23,440 --> 00:21:25,600
Speaker 2: the Action Network podcast. I realize that if you were

477
00:21:25,600 --> 00:21:28,560
Speaker 2: looking for Payoff Pitch and you did find us, Payoff

478
00:21:28,600 --> 00:21:31,879
Speaker 2: Pitch returns on Friday, so we will be back in

479
00:21:32,000 --> 00:21:35,000
Speaker 2: action as the second half resumes after the break. Payoff

480
00:21:35,040 --> 00:21:38,639
Speaker 2: Pitch regularly scheduled Payoff Pitch on Friday morning, so you

481
00:21:38,680 --> 00:21:42,240
Speaker 2: can find us there. In the meantime, I look forward

482
00:21:42,280 --> 00:21:46,080
Speaker 2: to sweating out these bets in person with some of

483
00:21:46,119 --> 00:21:49,919
Speaker 2: these baseball analysts from Action Network. It's going to be

484
00:21:49,920 --> 00:21:53,680
Speaker 2: a lot of fun for Dubundo Zillo and who knows

485
00:21:53,720 --> 00:21:56,920
Speaker 2: who else shows up. Brendan Glashan, thanks for tuning in.

486
00:21:57,320 --> 00:22:00,639
Speaker 2: The Action Network podcast were presented by Fandel. Enjoy the

487
00:22:00,680 --> 00:22:03,359
Speaker 2: home run Derby, Enjoy the All Star Game, and if

488
00:22:03,359 --> 00:22:05,840
Speaker 2: you're looking for Payoff Pitch for back on Friday, see.

489
00:22:05,720 --> 00:22:23,199
Speaker 1: Y Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you

490
00:22:23,480 --> 00:22:26,240
Speaker 1: or someone you care about has a gambling problem, help

491
00:22:26,320 --> 00:22:29,040
Speaker 1: is available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred

492
00:22:29,040 --> 00:22:29,520
Speaker 1: gambler