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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast, the number one show

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Speaker 1: for the invested sports fan.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go.

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Speaker 3: Fifteen twenty, twenty five, thirty thirty five, forty forty five,

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Speaker 3: fifty and.

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Speaker 2: The kicks block the college football world.

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Speaker 4: Stunners, Oh my goodness, please.

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Speaker 5: Stumble the bumble, the lateral turn a canter of the job,

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Speaker 5: don't you the lad.

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Speaker 3: Tame them off the.

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Speaker 4: Field to night. It's not the sage of the dog

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Speaker 4: in the fight, it's the.

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Speaker 2: Side of the fight in the all.

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Speaker 4: What's up the generate nation?

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Speaker 5: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast. This is the week

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Speaker 5: sixth college football betting preview. I'm stucky and with me

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Speaker 5: as always is Colin Wilson. We actually have a fire

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Speaker 5: weekend with a lot of top twenty five teams meeting

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Speaker 5: and some movement the polls, and we're about to find

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Speaker 5: out who some certain teams. Are you excited for this weekend?

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Speaker 4: Buddy? Absolutely?

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Speaker 6: It's like we talk ceiling a floor all through September.

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Speaker 6: We're in October. We have not found the ceiling for

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Speaker 6: Ohio State. Will Michigan State be able to answer that

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Speaker 6: this week? See what they can do?

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Speaker 5: Yeah, we will get to that game, don't you worry.

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Speaker 5: We'll cover Friday night lights. There's a game I'm really

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Speaker 5: looking forward to and UCF Cincinnati. I think we disagree

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Speaker 5: on it, so we can argue about that one. We'll

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Speaker 5: obviously go through the whole Saturday slate. We'll also close

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Speaker 5: with our underdog moneyline parlay. Hopefully we can hit both

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Speaker 5: this week. We've hit one of two for five straight weeks.

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Speaker 5: But let's start where we always do, and that's with

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Speaker 5: look ahead or look.

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Speaker 1: Away, hangovers, sleep and the dreaded sandwich spot?

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Speaker 2: Is it time to look ahead or look away?

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Speaker 5: For those not familiar, this is when we look at

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Speaker 5: next week's games and try to determine if there's any

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Speaker 5: situational edge or line value with a specific team. If

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Speaker 5: they're you know, looking ahead, or they come out flat,

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Speaker 5: they might rest starters or pollstarters, or just go a

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Speaker 5: little vanilla with a certain game, usually a big game

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Speaker 5: on deck. Well, the biggest game next weekend is the

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Speaker 5: Red River Rivalry?

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Speaker 4: Is that what we call it now? The Red River Rivalry?

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Speaker 2: Can't say shootout, can't say shootout?

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Speaker 5: Yeah, So Texas and Oklahoma will meet next week and

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Speaker 5: obviously a huge game, but before that they are playing

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Speaker 5: two relatively easy games. They're double digit favorites in each.

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Speaker 5: Oklahoma is a thirty two point favorite, open to thirty

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Speaker 5: five down a thirty two against Kansas West Virginia.

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Speaker 4: Excuse me.

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Speaker 5: Texas has a tougher path against West Virginia in Morgantown.

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Speaker 5: They are a ten and a half point favorite. The

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Speaker 5: thing that jumped right out of me is Texas's injury report.

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Speaker 5: I mean, they're already thinnit linebacker. So they've been playing

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Speaker 5: all these defensive backs and you know, the the eighth

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Speaker 5: is the cowboy formation.

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Speaker 4: With the eight defensive backs.

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Speaker 5: But you know, then you look at Texas, Yeah, starting

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Speaker 5: corner Jalen Green's out. You know, obviously there's safety Cayden

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Speaker 5: Sterens out, Starting nickel Josh Thompson's out. Foster and overshown

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Speaker 5: they were already out. So I mean this secondary is

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Speaker 5: so thin, and you know, obviously you have to look

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Speaker 5: ahead potentially to Oklahoma next week. But the question for

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Speaker 5: me starting with this game is, you know, ken does

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Speaker 5: West Virginia, who can't run the ball, they can't really

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Speaker 5: throw the ball down the field, do they have enough

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Speaker 5: to actually you know, stay in this game and or

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Speaker 5: potentially pull the upset off. I know there was a

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Speaker 5: tweet from somebody who you know, Sean at sw callaways

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Speaker 5: and I know CW is on Texas permafate, but needed

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Speaker 5: to address this game. West Virginia one hundred and thirteenth

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Speaker 5: explosive past and that's where Texas might be the most vulnerable,

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Speaker 5: which we just covered with their secondary injuries and sixty

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Speaker 5: seventh in explosive run. So is it all look ahead

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Speaker 5: or is it something else?

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Speaker 4: What are you seeing here?

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Speaker 5: Yeah?

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Speaker 6: I mean the permafade that tweet that was funny because

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Speaker 6: it does seem like there hasn't been a time that

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Speaker 6: I've been behind Texas.

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Speaker 2: But you're right.

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Speaker 6: I mean the amount of injuries they have and the

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Speaker 6: defense on the secondary that plays a big part of it.

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Speaker 6: Wide receiver Colin Johnson is out too. I mean that

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Speaker 6: is that is Ellinger's go to guy, so you can

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Speaker 6: expect a lot of third and eight and Ellens are

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Speaker 6: picking up first downs on his own. But I mean,

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Speaker 6: just injuries all over this Texas roster. I think they're

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Speaker 6: maybe looking ahead to Oklahoma. It's a tough trip out

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Speaker 6: to West Virginia, and you're right, West Virginia is gross.

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Speaker 6: The defensive line has not been good one hundred and

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Speaker 6: twenty first in line yard one hundred and thirtieth, an

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Speaker 6: opportunity rate one hundred and fifteenth, and stuff rate. Anything

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Speaker 6: Ellinger wants on the ground, he's gonna get it all

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Speaker 6: day like an any too, you know, any two yard

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Speaker 6: to run that they need, or eight yard run or

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Speaker 6: twelve yard run, they're going to get it on the ground.

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Speaker 6: It's the passing game, you know, where I don't know

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Speaker 6: if they're going to be able to get down the

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Speaker 6: field is much. The thing that made this for me

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Speaker 6: was the fact that Tanks Texas ranks tied for and last.

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Speaker 6: They're tied for last. The Longhorns are and giving up

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Speaker 6: explosive plays on defense. They just have a forty nine

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Speaker 6: percent success rate in passing defense. That's last in the

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Speaker 6: Big Twelve. Teams have been able to throw on them.

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Speaker 6: West Virginia Sneaky has been great against explosive plays. They've

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Speaker 6: allowed just two rushes over twenty yards. They've allowed just

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Speaker 6: eight passes over twenty yards. They ranked tenth and twelfth respectively,

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Speaker 6: and they rank fourth against explosive passing in the Big Twelve.

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Speaker 6: So you can expect this maybe to be lower scoring

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Speaker 6: or at least the margin to not get you know.

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Speaker 2: Too high.

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Speaker 6: West Virginia's defense it's like they're rushing two and dropping

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Speaker 6: nine because they've been able to keep everything in front

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Speaker 6: of them, kind of like North Carolina did against Clemson

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Speaker 6: the other day. But nobody's been able to get anything

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Speaker 6: deep on West Virginia. And you know, if Texas takes

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Speaker 6: the week off, especially on defense where all the injuries are,

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Speaker 6: that becomes a very large number at home. I mean,

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Speaker 6: I'm not going to get into the whole Herman as

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Speaker 6: a favorite and everything, but I mean there is definitely

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Speaker 6: a look ahead. This is definitely a big number for Herman,

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Speaker 6: and West Virginia has shown, at least in the success

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Speaker 6: rate and in the explosive plays that their defense can

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Speaker 6: can be up to the task. Now, Texas offensive line,

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Speaker 6: this is going to come through next week.

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Speaker 2: This is going to be a bit deal.

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Speaker 6: Texas offensive line is twentieth and stuff right, twenty fifth

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Speaker 6: in lineyards, third in the nation, first downs they're second

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Speaker 6: in the nation, and third down conversion. So I'm not

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Speaker 6: expecting any big games from Texas through the error on

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Speaker 6: the ground, and I expect them to win this game.

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Speaker 2: I just think it'll be close. This is overlook all

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Speaker 2: the way.

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Speaker 6: Take West Virginia and get the eleven points, get the

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Speaker 6: half if you can look.

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Speaker 5: I think that you're sleeping a little bit on the

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Speaker 5: Texas receivers. I mean Dubernet, I don't think he's dropped

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Speaker 5: the pass all year. He's got thirty nine catches for

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Speaker 5: three hundred and seventy seven yards, and Eagles is averaging

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Speaker 5: what like thirty yards per catch. So you know they've

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Speaker 5: been able to make up in the passing game for

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Speaker 5: the loss of Colin Johnson and if he comes back now,

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Speaker 5: especially for the Oklahoma game. Yeah, wide receiving corps is dynamic.

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Speaker 5: I'm still looking at West Virginia. It's just a spot

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Speaker 5: that I just it's just that Texas's screams, They're going

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Speaker 5: to come out flat, Morgantown crowd will be up. I'm

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Speaker 5: just trying to figure out how West Virginia is going

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Speaker 5: to move the ball. The other team that I'm not

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Speaker 5: really interested in. You know that you make this game

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Speaker 5: thirty two Oklahoma Kansas right where the line is right now.

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Speaker 5: Kansas has been so hard to figure out this year.

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Speaker 5: I still don't know how they got I had them

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Speaker 5: against TCU. How they got just absolutely demolished, demolished in

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Speaker 5: every sense of the word against the tcut and that

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Speaker 5: was missing all their receivers, third string corner and you know,

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Speaker 5: it's puzzling. And then they went up to you know,

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Speaker 5: they barely could score against Coastal Carolina, but they went

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Speaker 5: up to BC and beat them by twenty one as

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Speaker 5: a twenty one point dog. My thinking here is that Oklahoma,

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Speaker 5: all they want to do is they want.

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Speaker 4: To get a big lead.

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Speaker 5: And I believe this happened last year when Kansas put

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Speaker 5: up forty against them, they scored a bunch of points late,

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Speaker 5: get a big lead. They're going to sit everybody go vanilla.

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Speaker 5: So I might look, you know, and you could expect

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Speaker 5: less Miles to pull out all the stops for this

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Speaker 5: game with some trick plays and such. But I might

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Speaker 5: look at Kansas second half. I really have no internet

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Speaker 5: in the game though, even though the spot is pretty good.

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Speaker 4: Do you see anything here?

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Speaker 5: Yeah?

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Speaker 2: I mean that I agree with that.

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Speaker 6: How much everybody should be taking weather into note, especially

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Speaker 6: here in the Midwest. Games that are going to be

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Speaker 6: in the state of Kansas, games that are going to

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Speaker 6: be in Iowa are going to have a heavy weather

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Speaker 6: factor going on here. We've got a sixty percent chance

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Speaker 6: of rain to start off the game, and I think

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Speaker 6: that might be to the advantage of at least trying

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Speaker 6: to slow down Oklahoma's explosive attack, which is just record

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Speaker 6: setting once again, if you didn't think Baker Mayfield could

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Speaker 6: do enough two years ago with Kyler Murray last year.

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Speaker 6: So yeah, I make this game about where the number is.

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Speaker 6: I actually favor Kansas in this game just a little

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Speaker 6: bit because one area to watch Oklahoma is defending the

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Speaker 6: explosive run. They rank second to last in the Big

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Speaker 6: Twelve so far and allowing explosive runs. Now, that could

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Speaker 6: be second half type stuff, you know, putting in backups

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Speaker 6: say it could be that. But Kansas is fifth in

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Speaker 6: the Big twelve and rush explosiveness, so they're not completely terrible,

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Speaker 6: you know. In this spot, I kind of favorite Kansas.

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Speaker 6: I think the weather helps them keep the explosiveness down.

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Speaker 6: You're right, they get a four score lead, Lincoln Riley

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Speaker 6: is probably going to sit on everything and Kansas will

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Speaker 6: be able to do something.

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Speaker 5: All right, Let's move on to Utah State LSU. LSU

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Speaker 5: now up to a twenty eight point favorite. They have

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Speaker 5: Florida on deck. The problem here is, you know, and

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Speaker 5: they have some defensive injuries, and I'm sure they want

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Speaker 5: to get some rest, and you know, I think that

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Speaker 5: they just want to get a big, big lead, and

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Speaker 5: they're going to be able to do that. I mean,

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Speaker 5: the problem with back in Utah State here, you know,

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Speaker 5: they have a great quarterback who could play at the

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Speaker 5: next level, and the back door could obviously be open

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Speaker 5: with him. But is they go so fast? I think

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Speaker 5: they're a fast this team in the country right now

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Speaker 5: so far this season as far as plays per second,

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Speaker 5: this team just flies. So if it's not going right

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Speaker 5: and death of that. Luckily it's not at night. You know,

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Speaker 5: if it's not going right, they're just going to be

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Speaker 5: punting it in. You know, their possessions are going to

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Speaker 5: take thirty forty seconds and then they also he's going

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Speaker 5: to get the ball in that explosive offense who's also

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Speaker 5: really fast. I mean, there's a reason is total what

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Speaker 5: is seventy three ish? So I'm actually looking at LSU

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Speaker 5: first half, I think they just want to bury Utah

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Speaker 5: State and then rest.

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Speaker 4: What are you seeing here?

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Speaker 6: So I took twenty four and a half on open

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Speaker 6: and I thought that was a good number considering that

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Speaker 6: I had this number, you know, around twenty six, but

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Speaker 6: I thought that the number would dip under twenty four.

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Speaker 2: It did.

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Speaker 6: It actually went down to twenty three and a half

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Speaker 6: and has been nothing but LSU money since. And you're right,

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Speaker 6: they are fast. LSU seventy three plays per game. They're

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Speaker 6: trying to play as fast as possible. Utah State is

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Speaker 6: eighty plays per game. One of the reasons I took

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Speaker 6: twenty four and a half is there was an unsubstantiated

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Speaker 6: like rumor going on out there that Joe Burrow may sit.

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Speaker 6: There was an injury report that came out and I

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Speaker 6: had to verify it with a friend of the podcast,

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Speaker 6: Brody Miller.

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Speaker 2: I hit him up to see if Joe Burrow, if

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Speaker 2: something was going on.

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Speaker 6: And as to our knowledge that Joe Burrow is definitely

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Speaker 6: going to play this, he's in the Heisman racing, you know,

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Speaker 6: he's going to play this full speed.

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Speaker 2: Coach on the football field, We're belt to see what

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Speaker 2: Joe Burrow is really made off. And anybody that knows

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Speaker 2: our team, we've made a grip.

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Speaker 6: And if you're putting out injury reports with information like

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Speaker 6: Joe Burrow may sit. I won't name who you are

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Speaker 6: USA today, but I mean that I can't use you

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Speaker 6: as a source city more for stardom sit them. So LU,

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Speaker 6: I think we need to pay attention in this game

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Speaker 6: to their rushing yards. I mean the rushing yards per

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Speaker 6: attempt or eighty fifth in the nation. Lanyard Fornett has

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Speaker 6: left the team, There's some freshmen. Running backs are the

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Speaker 6: bulk of the carries.

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Speaker 2: So I'm going to.

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Speaker 6: Keep an eye specifically in this game in the Jefferson

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Speaker 6: Pilot time slot the eleven am JP Game of the Week,

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Speaker 6: keep an eye on Joe Burrow because the big reason

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Speaker 6: why they beat Texas is that he has been able

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Speaker 6: to have running backs dump them off out in the

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Speaker 6: flats screens. It's just this whole element of the passing

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Speaker 6: game has been able to gel because of the number of

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Speaker 6: times that he's been able to hit the running backs

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Speaker 6: out of the backfield. So if you mix in some

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Speaker 6: inexperienced running backs in that, how does that work pass blocking?

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Speaker 6: How does that work in hitting them out in the flats.

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Speaker 6: So That's what I'm going to have my eye on

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Speaker 6: specifically in this game, LSU was tied for last in

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Speaker 6: the SEC and explosive runs. That might be the reason

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Speaker 6: that we're getting this change. We're going to get the

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Speaker 6: running backs from the freshman involved LSU's fifthness see Western

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Speaker 6: explosive passes allowed. So Utah State's going to be able

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Speaker 6: to get theirs too. Both teams are going to be

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Speaker 6: able to get points upon the board. I think the

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Speaker 6: question is it going to come early or is it

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Speaker 6: going to come late for a Utah State squad that's

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Speaker 6: playing at eleven am Central time, which would be you know,

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Speaker 6: earlier'clock for them.

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Speaker 5: Yep, all right, let's move on to Kent State, Wisconsin, Wisconsin.

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Speaker 5: As Michigan State on deck. They're coming off that lackluster

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Speaker 5: win against Northwestern. This is another early kick. This line

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Speaker 5: was I doubt you're going to see a packed camp Randall.

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Speaker 5: This line opened around thirty six and a half down

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Speaker 5: to thirty five. Now, look, you know Ken State's run defense.

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Speaker 5: I thought it was going to be a lot worse

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Speaker 5: than it has been. It has been great. They're I

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Speaker 5: think one hundred and fourth of the nation at four

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Speaker 5: point nine yards per carry allowed. But they've played Halburn,

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Speaker 5: Arizona State and Auburn ripped them up. But they played

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Speaker 5: pretty well against a But they're just gonna be undersized, right,

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Speaker 5: They're gonna be undersized on the offensive line and the

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Speaker 5: defensive line.

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Speaker 4: Taylor should have a huge day.

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Speaker 5: Now, would it surprised me if Wisconsin won fifty two

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Speaker 5: to three. No, you know, and Taylor could have a

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Speaker 5: big day. But this Wisconsin team's dealing with a lot

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Speaker 5: of injuries. They don't play fast. They're gonna run at

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Speaker 5: a ton. And here's the key, you know, Ken State.

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Speaker 5: I expect we'll have some trickeration in their you know,

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Speaker 5: flash fast flash offense, you know, and I think they

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Speaker 5: can get to fourteen or so, you know. But the

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Speaker 5: key here is Kent State's coach. And this is why

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Speaker 5: I took thirty six. I make it just like you

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Speaker 5: right around thirty one thirty two. So obviously getting over

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Speaker 5: thirty five is big. But there's another angle here, and

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Speaker 5: that's Sean Lewis, the Kent State head coach. Before he

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Speaker 5: went he used to play at Wisconsin before he went

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Speaker 5: into coaching. You know who he called he caught for

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Speaker 5: advice about his career, Paul Christ. They talked for a

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Speaker 5: long long time they're close to Wisconsin guys. Chris was

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Speaker 5: there when you know, as a I think a coordinator

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Speaker 5: or a quarterbacks coach, when Sean Lewis was there and they

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Speaker 5: talked and they were really close, and who got him

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Speaker 5: into coaching. So the lastest the Wisconsin guy, Sean Lewis.

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Speaker 5: The last thing that Chris wants to do is run

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Speaker 5: this thing up. Wisconsin has a bunch of injuries. I

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Speaker 5: don't think they've any tight ends left. They're gonna run it,

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Speaker 5: and they're gonna run it well, and they're gonna win easily.

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Speaker 5: But I think over thirty five, I had to take

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Speaker 5: the Golden Flashes because I think you just see Wisconsin

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Speaker 5: really sit on it once they build a big lead.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and I actually agree with you.

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Speaker 6: This is another game that's got some weather forecasts and

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Speaker 6: forty percent of drizzle and rain. I make the game

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Speaker 6: thirty one, so I agree with you. If you can

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Speaker 6: get thirty five and a half or better, I would not.

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Speaker 6: You know, thirty five might be a push, so I

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Speaker 6: definitely try to get the hook in there. But Wisconsin

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Speaker 6: Steven's been fantastic so far. They ranked number one in HAVOC.

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Speaker 6: You can check that out in the Action network. They've

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Speaker 6: been the best in the Big Ten West for run

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Speaker 6: pass success rate and opponent explosive plays. That's trouble for

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Speaker 6: km's offensive line. So Wisconsin, I mean, there's no chance

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Speaker 6: of this being kept super close. So I think Wisconsin

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Speaker 6: should have this in hand. But Kent's offensive line is

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Speaker 6: outside the top one hundred almost every single category. So

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Speaker 6: Wisconsin's front seven should have a field day with this,

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Speaker 6: and Jack Cone is the key. So I'll say this

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Speaker 6: is we've got to look ahead to Michigan State. The

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Speaker 6: thing that makes me nervous to this point is the

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Speaker 6: explosive plays on offense as far as the pass game goes.

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Speaker 6: Con Leed's a Wisconsin offense that is just twenty six

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Speaker 6: percent and success rate in passing downs and they're only

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Speaker 6: five percent of those are explosive plays.

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Speaker 2: That's one of the worst in the Big Ten.

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Speaker 6: The actually absolute worst in passing explosive plays in the

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Speaker 6: Big Ten right now is Northwestern Wisconsin is second to last.

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Speaker 2: So this is something to look.

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Speaker 6: You know, see how Michigan State handles the Ohio State

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Speaker 6: attack of Justin Fields and just keep in the back

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Speaker 6: of your mind this weekend that Jack Cone and Wisconsin

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Speaker 6: is second to last and explosive passing plays.

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Speaker 2: That's what I'm going to keep my eye on this weekend.

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Speaker 5: All right, let's move on here to Notre Dame and

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Speaker 5: Bowling Green. Notre Dame has USC on deck. They are

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Speaker 5: a what forty five ish point favorite. Now, a lot

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Speaker 5: of what you'll hear is Notre Dame doesn't cover out there.

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Speaker 5: Forty six point favor doesn't cover as a big favorite.

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Speaker 5: And I don't know what this means, but there is

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Speaker 5: some truth to that. The narrative didn't just come out

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Speaker 5: of thin air, you know. They They're twenty eight to

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Speaker 5: forty one and three since two thousand and five as

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Speaker 5: a double digit favorite. That's the second worst of all

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Speaker 5: college football teams. The worst is Iowa twenty three thirty

365
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Speaker 5: seven to one, and then Georgia. The question here is

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Speaker 5: how bad does Notre Dame wan win? I cannot play

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Speaker 5: Bowling Green. They just gave up what's fifty two to

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Speaker 5: Kent State. This team is an abomination and guess why.

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Speaker 5: One of the reasons one of the biggest jokes in

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Speaker 5: all of college football. Brian Van Gorder is the defensive

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Speaker 5: coordinator there, who was at Notre Dame and their defense

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Speaker 5: just went to shit, So maybe Notre Dame just wants

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Speaker 5: to put.

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Speaker 4: It on Van Gorder.

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Speaker 5: I don't know. I can't play this game. It's forty five.

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Speaker 5: I mean it should the Notre Dame could name it,

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Speaker 5: but do they want to? Why do they take out starters?

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Speaker 4: Pass for me? Do you see anything here?

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Speaker 2: Yeah?

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Speaker 6: The Van Gorder thing is interesting because everywhere that he goes,

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Speaker 6: the teams that he faces again want to beat the

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Speaker 6: hell out of him. That's definitely an angle hair. The

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Speaker 6: number is just huge. I've got it in forty four

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Speaker 6: and a half, so it's justified. Bowling Green's outside the

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Speaker 6: top one hundred and almost every single category. You're right,

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Speaker 6: this is Notre Dame. Do they want to name it?

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Speaker 6: Bowling Green just gave up sixty two points to Kent State.

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Speaker 6: Notre Dame could have a really bad day and still

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Speaker 6: cover this number. But I'm not rushing to bet this whatsoever.

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Speaker 4: Yep, I completely agree with you.

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Speaker 5: And the last game that we have here on look

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Speaker 5: Ahead or look Away is Penn State Purdue. You know,

393
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Speaker 5: Penn State has Iowa, Michigan and Sparti on deck, so

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Speaker 5: maybe they're concerned about health and not showing much. But

395
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Speaker 5: in this game opened at sixteen and a half at

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Speaker 5: circa I can't believe it. I wish I was there.

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Speaker 4: But you know, we talked about this.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, maybe the line should have been around I thought

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Speaker 5: the line was gonna be around seventeen if Purdue is

400
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Speaker 5: fully healthy. Now they're obviously not, and the good news

401
00:16:47,120 --> 00:16:49,040
Speaker 5: is produced. Rondo More might not be out for the year,

402
00:16:49,240 --> 00:16:51,720
Speaker 5: but he is out this week. They're other wide receiver

403
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Speaker 5: Jared Sparks still out Sindelar, their quarterback is hurt as well. Also,

404
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Speaker 5: two of the best defenders, Marcus Bailey and Lorenzo O'Neil,

405
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Speaker 5: are out. Bailey's out for the seat and Neil continues

406
00:17:01,360 --> 00:17:03,560
Speaker 5: to be out. Two of their running backs are out.

407
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Speaker 5: They no running game, no offensive line, and I mean,

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Speaker 5: it's a disaster. The only thing they going for him

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Speaker 5: is an explosive passing attack with Cindelar and More.

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Speaker 4: Now they're both well. This line's up to twenty nine. Now.

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Speaker 6: Every time I turn around, it crosses another key number.

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Speaker 6: Every time I take a thirty minute break from the computer,

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Speaker 6: it crosses another key number.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, so, but I can't play for due, I can't

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Speaker 5: play Penn State now twenty nine.

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Speaker 4: If Penn State wants to win forty two to seven,

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Speaker 4: they will.

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Speaker 5: You know, Carduo could have some some fluke things go right,

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Speaker 5: and you know Penn State could take their foot off

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Speaker 5: the gas. But you know, Franklin's not known for doing that.

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Speaker 5: But I can't get involved in this game. Do you

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Speaker 5: see anything here?

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Speaker 2: Perdue was only good at one thing.

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Speaker 6: If you look at their numbers across the board, yards

425
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Speaker 6: per play, points per drive, success rate on rushing, passing,

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Speaker 6: explosive plays. The one thing they were good at is

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Speaker 6: when they were successful in the passing game. Eighteen percent

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Speaker 6: of them were explosive plays. They were fantastic. They were

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Speaker 6: top in the Big ten and explosive plays from passing.

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Speaker 6: And that's all Rondell Moore, that's all Send Delar. The

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Speaker 6: two key players that account for all those numbers are gone.

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Speaker 6: So while it should be seventeen with sin Delar more

433
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Speaker 6: in it that we really can't say where this number

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Speaker 6: should be.

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Speaker 2: Should it be twenty eight or twenty nine, We don't know.

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Speaker 6: I did hit twenty one and a half, and that's

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Speaker 6: where I want to have a little bit of a rant.

438
00:18:13,400 --> 00:18:16,119
Speaker 6: Circa opened up this game at sixteen and a half.

439
00:18:16,240 --> 00:18:18,480
Speaker 6: Most other operators in the world, I'm not going to

440
00:18:18,560 --> 00:18:20,880
Speaker 6: name names or who it was. Most other operators hopped

441
00:18:20,920 --> 00:18:24,160
Speaker 6: into the party way after Circa got steam. One operator

442
00:18:24,200 --> 00:18:25,960
Speaker 6: opened at twenty one and a half, and by the

443
00:18:26,000 --> 00:18:28,040
Speaker 6: time it was everywhere you could get it across the

444
00:18:28,200 --> 00:18:30,960
Speaker 6: United States, it was twenty four and a half or larger.

445
00:18:31,280 --> 00:18:33,400
Speaker 2: I'd steamed since then. But here's my rant.

446
00:18:33,560 --> 00:18:35,440
Speaker 6: You know, first off, you want to tail people's picks

447
00:18:35,480 --> 00:18:37,679
Speaker 6: that actually have skin in the game, that actually bet money.

448
00:18:38,119 --> 00:18:40,480
Speaker 6: I'm just tired of hearing people having opinions that don't

449
00:18:40,480 --> 00:18:42,360
Speaker 6: actually lay any money. But if you're going to tell

450
00:18:42,400 --> 00:18:45,040
Speaker 6: someone's picks this week and they tell you that they

451
00:18:45,080 --> 00:18:47,200
Speaker 6: have less than twenty one and a half, you may

452
00:18:47,280 --> 00:18:50,159
Speaker 6: want a question, seriously, question the validity of that person.

453
00:18:50,480 --> 00:18:52,840
Speaker 6: The only people that had access to the sixteen and

454
00:18:52,880 --> 00:18:54,840
Speaker 6: a half were the ones that were at the circuit

455
00:18:54,880 --> 00:18:57,520
Speaker 6: desk or Circle mobile app. From one oh one to

456
00:18:57,560 --> 00:18:59,960
Speaker 6: one oh three pm, that's how long that number was up.

457
00:19:00,119 --> 00:19:02,800
Speaker 2: By one h six pm, it was nineteen It had

458
00:19:02,840 --> 00:19:03,879
Speaker 2: moved that fast.

459
00:19:03,960 --> 00:19:06,320
Speaker 6: And there are people out there I've seen I've got

460
00:19:06,320 --> 00:19:08,960
Speaker 6: Penn State sixteen and a half really that many people

461
00:19:08,960 --> 00:19:11,080
Speaker 6: were in Las Vegas on the circuit app or at

462
00:19:11,080 --> 00:19:13,840
Speaker 6: the circuit desk, So if you see anybody below twenty

463
00:19:13,920 --> 00:19:15,080
Speaker 6: one and a half, I would question the.

464
00:19:15,080 --> 00:19:17,600
Speaker 2: Validity of that. So trust people that actually bet money.

465
00:19:17,680 --> 00:19:18,480
Speaker 2: We'll get back to the game.

466
00:19:18,520 --> 00:19:20,320
Speaker 6: FanDuel was fourteen and a half in a look aheadline

467
00:19:20,400 --> 00:19:22,439
Speaker 6: last week, So that tells you how far this thing

468
00:19:22,480 --> 00:19:24,720
Speaker 6: has moved since the sindelar More injury. This thing has

469
00:19:25,160 --> 00:19:27,680
Speaker 6: doubled in the points spread. It's impossible to gauge where

470
00:19:27,680 --> 00:19:29,720
Speaker 6: this number should be taking in the injuries, and this

471
00:19:29,840 --> 00:19:31,680
Speaker 6: was the only weapon that they had. And the fact

472
00:19:31,680 --> 00:19:34,720
Speaker 6: that Franklin's just in pure asshole mode of putting up

473
00:19:34,720 --> 00:19:37,000
Speaker 6: as many points as possible and not caring about his

474
00:19:37,080 --> 00:19:40,800
Speaker 6: relationships with his brotherhood of Big ten coaches. I just

475
00:19:40,840 --> 00:19:42,840
Speaker 6: don't see any way that you could hop on a

476
00:19:42,880 --> 00:19:44,400
Speaker 6: Purdue and feel comfortable.

477
00:19:43,960 --> 00:19:44,600
Speaker 2: At any number.

478
00:19:44,800 --> 00:19:45,719
Speaker 4: Completely agree with you.

479
00:19:46,160 --> 00:19:48,040
Speaker 5: By the way I quick plug it, it goes against

480
00:19:48,040 --> 00:19:49,719
Speaker 5: the spread stats. Going to pull up Who's good as

481
00:19:49,720 --> 00:19:52,960
Speaker 5: a favorite? All easy to look out on betlabsports dot com.

482
00:19:53,080 --> 00:19:55,400
Speaker 3: Hope you're enjoying this great Action Network podcast. I want

483
00:19:55,400 --> 00:19:58,000
Speaker 3: to make sure you know about the locked on podcast network.

484
00:19:58,040 --> 00:20:00,960
Speaker 3: Locked On has a daily podcast on your favorite team.

485
00:20:01,080 --> 00:20:03,439
Speaker 4: Welcome to you, Lockdown forty nine ers. You are lockedown

486
00:20:03,480 --> 00:20:05,440
Speaker 4: of the Dallas Marriage. Can everybody to the locked on

487
00:20:05,520 --> 00:20:06,360
Speaker 4: Lakers podcast?

488
00:20:06,520 --> 00:20:07,120
Speaker 5: Let's Go?

489
00:20:07,400 --> 00:20:10,320
Speaker 3: Locked On podcasts are hosted by the local experts who

490
00:20:10,359 --> 00:20:12,560
Speaker 3: know your team better than anyone and give you the

491
00:20:12,640 --> 00:20:15,399
Speaker 3: inside scoop. So go to your podcast app and search

492
00:20:15,600 --> 00:20:19,919
Speaker 3: locked on your favorite team. Subscribe to your locked on podcast.

493
00:20:22,680 --> 00:20:25,400
Speaker 5: All right, let's go through rapid fire, conference by conference.

494
00:20:25,440 --> 00:20:27,800
Speaker 5: A few games in each conference will spend a little

495
00:20:27,920 --> 00:20:29,760
Speaker 5: more time on the Marquey games.

496
00:20:30,080 --> 00:20:35,240
Speaker 1: It's another fabulous weekend of college football. Let's check out

497
00:20:35,280 --> 00:20:39,200
Speaker 1: the Marquee matchups we'll all end up betting for Week six.

498
00:20:40,080 --> 00:20:45,800
Speaker 5: Let's start in the AAC Tulane Army. Tulane, they are

499
00:20:45,840 --> 00:20:47,879
Speaker 5: my boys. Everyone knows that I love this team. I

500
00:20:47,920 --> 00:20:51,840
Speaker 5: love their receivers, I love their defense. Army actually has

501
00:20:51,880 --> 00:20:54,919
Speaker 5: a pretty good secondary this year compared especially compared to

502
00:20:54,920 --> 00:20:56,520
Speaker 5: yours past. It's one of their strengths of their team.

503
00:20:56,720 --> 00:20:59,199
Speaker 5: And you know Riley at corner, mcclin AT's safety. Now

504
00:20:59,240 --> 00:21:02,040
Speaker 5: one of their seniors safeties is out, but their offensive

505
00:21:02,040 --> 00:21:04,400
Speaker 5: line is really banged up. And they have three freshmen

506
00:21:04,440 --> 00:21:07,879
Speaker 5: that are in the rotation during practice. I think that's huge.

507
00:21:08,400 --> 00:21:10,919
Speaker 5: So Tulane is familiar with this option. You know, they

508
00:21:11,000 --> 00:21:13,520
Speaker 5: faced the option almost every year. They run a variation

509
00:21:13,640 --> 00:21:15,760
Speaker 5: of it in years past, so I don't think they're

510
00:21:15,760 --> 00:21:18,800
Speaker 5: going to be surprised by Armies rushing attack. I like

511
00:21:18,880 --> 00:21:22,840
Speaker 5: Tulane here at anything three or under. And then the

512
00:21:22,880 --> 00:21:26,120
Speaker 5: other Service Academy game Navy air Force, the home team

513
00:21:26,200 --> 00:21:30,800
Speaker 5: is actually dominated dominated this series. I actually like air Force.

514
00:21:30,840 --> 00:21:33,359
Speaker 5: I got them at minus two early, like them under three.

515
00:21:33,400 --> 00:21:35,920
Speaker 5: Over three gets a little iffy. One of the things

516
00:21:35,960 --> 00:21:38,040
Speaker 5: to note here, I just think air Force does everything

517
00:21:38,119 --> 00:21:41,479
Speaker 5: Navy does better. Their offensive line, their defensive line is

518
00:21:41,600 --> 00:21:45,400
Speaker 5: just better. Malcolm Paridi should play, but Nelson Smith, their

519
00:21:45,520 --> 00:21:48,720
Speaker 5: fullback who makes the entire offense go, is questionable. He

520
00:21:48,800 --> 00:21:52,040
Speaker 5: left last week's game with an injury, and ken Neo

521
00:21:52,119 --> 00:21:55,280
Speaker 5: Mattola I probably butcher that he has a policy of

522
00:21:55,359 --> 00:21:57,920
Speaker 5: not saying anything about injuries, so you won't say anything.

523
00:21:58,040 --> 00:22:02,080
Speaker 5: But if he's out, that offense becomes significantly worse. And

524
00:22:02,119 --> 00:22:04,159
Speaker 5: so anything under three. I just think air Force is

525
00:22:04,200 --> 00:22:06,720
Speaker 5: better than Navy, even though the home team has dominated.

526
00:22:06,720 --> 00:22:08,120
Speaker 4: There are two mirrors of each other.

527
00:22:08,480 --> 00:22:10,879
Speaker 5: They both practice against the option, they both know the

528
00:22:10,920 --> 00:22:13,720
Speaker 5: option well. But I'll take the offensive defensive line of

529
00:22:13,880 --> 00:22:16,359
Speaker 5: air Force. What are you seeing in either one of

530
00:22:16,359 --> 00:22:17,160
Speaker 5: those games or both?

531
00:22:17,440 --> 00:22:19,560
Speaker 6: Yeah, you and I are opposite on this, but I

532
00:22:19,560 --> 00:22:21,879
Speaker 6: think with Navy, I'm going to wait and play it

533
00:22:21,920 --> 00:22:24,280
Speaker 6: live just because of the injury factor and the fact

534
00:22:24,280 --> 00:22:25,760
Speaker 6: that if you're going to pay extra juice on a

535
00:22:25,800 --> 00:22:27,520
Speaker 6: three and a half, you could probably get it live

536
00:22:27,560 --> 00:22:29,680
Speaker 6: at three and a half flat or maybe even a four.

537
00:22:29,840 --> 00:22:31,639
Speaker 6: So I think these two games are going to be

538
00:22:31,680 --> 00:22:32,320
Speaker 6: extremely close.

539
00:22:32,440 --> 00:22:32,840
Speaker 2: Razor thin.

540
00:22:32,920 --> 00:22:34,680
Speaker 6: The margins say that they will be by have both

541
00:22:34,680 --> 00:22:37,320
Speaker 6: of them projected within a field goal. So three is

542
00:22:37,400 --> 00:22:39,240
Speaker 6: key here, and if you're going to play the favorites,

543
00:22:39,560 --> 00:22:42,000
Speaker 6: playing it below three is key here. As far as

544
00:22:42,000 --> 00:22:43,720
Speaker 6: two lane and Army go, you know, I know the

545
00:22:43,760 --> 00:22:45,919
Speaker 6: injuries and the freshmen that are on the offensive line,

546
00:22:46,280 --> 00:22:48,680
Speaker 6: but two lane just doesn't impress me from a defensive front.

547
00:22:48,960 --> 00:22:50,720
Speaker 6: You know, they're eighty fifth in line yards, seventy first

548
00:22:50,720 --> 00:22:52,680
Speaker 6: an opportunity or eight eighty six and stuff they're not

549
00:22:52,720 --> 00:22:55,400
Speaker 6: getting in backfield, so they're not stopping short runs. That's

550
00:22:55,480 --> 00:22:58,120
Speaker 6: vital against Army Army's rush defense has actually been much

551
00:22:58,119 --> 00:23:00,280
Speaker 6: better than two lanes so far the season teenth and

552
00:23:00,320 --> 00:23:02,879
Speaker 6: Power Success twenty fourth. On opportunity right, they are stopping

553
00:23:02,880 --> 00:23:06,159
Speaker 6: the short stuff. Armies thirty fourth and allowed passing plays

554
00:23:06,160 --> 00:23:08,280
Speaker 6: over twenty yards, which kind of kind of impressed me.

555
00:23:08,520 --> 00:23:10,040
Speaker 6: But that's going to be needed against Tu lane because

556
00:23:10,040 --> 00:23:11,560
Speaker 6: two lane is explosive and they are going to be

557
00:23:11,600 --> 00:23:13,280
Speaker 6: able to get the ball down the field. You know,

558
00:23:13,359 --> 00:23:16,199
Speaker 6: Army's defense is allowed just two rushes this year, just

559
00:23:16,280 --> 00:23:18,919
Speaker 6: two rushes to eclipse twenty yards. This will be a

560
00:23:18,960 --> 00:23:21,480
Speaker 6: stiff test against TWU lane because they can definitely have

561
00:23:21,520 --> 00:23:24,280
Speaker 6: twenty yard breakoffs. Jeffmunckin and Willie Fritz, they're both their

562
00:23:24,320 --> 00:23:26,639
Speaker 6: stabs know each other very well, especially on the defensive

563
00:23:26,640 --> 00:23:27,960
Speaker 6: side of the ball, so I don't think either them

564
00:23:28,000 --> 00:23:29,719
Speaker 6: are going to be able to pull any tricks here.

565
00:23:29,760 --> 00:23:32,199
Speaker 6: I actually like the over. I project this higher than

566
00:23:32,200 --> 00:23:35,280
Speaker 6: the forty three. Both teams are top fifteen and red

567
00:23:35,359 --> 00:23:38,560
Speaker 6: zone points per attempt Specifically, both teams are top ten

568
00:23:38,840 --> 00:23:41,520
Speaker 6: and red zone TD scoring. I like both these teams

569
00:23:41,560 --> 00:23:43,520
Speaker 6: to have touchdowns more than field goals when they get

570
00:23:43,520 --> 00:23:45,240
Speaker 6: into red zone. That's why I like over forty three.

571
00:23:45,480 --> 00:23:47,320
Speaker 6: As far as Navy Air Force goes, Like I said,

572
00:23:47,320 --> 00:23:49,240
Speaker 6: I'm going to play this live. The Air Force blew

573
00:23:49,280 --> 00:23:51,320
Speaker 6: out Navy thirty five to seven at home last year.

574
00:23:51,480 --> 00:23:55,280
Speaker 6: This is a different Navy defense. They showed it against Memphis.

575
00:23:55,280 --> 00:23:57,720
Speaker 6: But Navy's defense is fourth in line yards, seventeenth in

576
00:23:57,720 --> 00:23:59,840
Speaker 6: opportunity right, and one hundred and eighteenth in power six.

577
00:24:00,400 --> 00:24:02,280
Speaker 6: That means they've stopped teams on the ground in every

578
00:24:02,320 --> 00:24:04,879
Speaker 6: scenario except third and short and fourth and short. The

579
00:24:04,920 --> 00:24:07,280
Speaker 6: total has been pounded south of forty five. Any kind

580
00:24:07,280 --> 00:24:08,919
Speaker 6: of defensive score or bust to play could make this

581
00:24:08,960 --> 00:24:10,399
Speaker 6: a twenty one to twenty one game, and then you

582
00:24:10,440 --> 00:24:11,320
Speaker 6: know it's going to go over.

583
00:24:11,600 --> 00:24:13,719
Speaker 2: So I do kind of like the over a little bit.

584
00:24:13,760 --> 00:24:15,680
Speaker 6: But really I'm playing this Navy live and I want

585
00:24:15,680 --> 00:24:17,760
Speaker 6: to get at least, you know, three and a half four.

586
00:24:17,760 --> 00:24:19,760
Speaker 6: I want to make sure from the injury front, everybody's playing.

587
00:24:20,160 --> 00:24:22,040
Speaker 4: And the last one we'll touch on in the AAC

588
00:24:22,720 --> 00:24:24,240
Speaker 4: is SMU The.

589
00:24:24,280 --> 00:24:27,960
Speaker 1: Seeker, the best kept secret in college football.

590
00:24:28,480 --> 00:24:37,840
Speaker 2: SMU has the Seeker. They call me the Secret.

591
00:24:39,440 --> 00:24:42,080
Speaker 5: Our boys at SMU there, Look, I did want to

592
00:24:42,520 --> 00:24:44,879
Speaker 5: I talk about their offense all the time with Bouchelle,

593
00:24:44,880 --> 00:24:49,120
Speaker 5: the Texas transfer quarterback Roberson and Crochet wide receiver. But

594
00:24:49,480 --> 00:24:51,600
Speaker 5: I don't give enough love for their safeties. Patrick Nelson

595
00:24:51,600 --> 00:24:54,880
Speaker 5: and Rodney Clemons are excellent. That defense is really underrated.

596
00:24:55,160 --> 00:24:58,080
Speaker 5: They are undefeated against the spread. Interestingly enough, at this

597
00:24:58,240 --> 00:25:01,879
Speaker 5: exact time last year, SU was also undefeated against the spread,

598
00:25:01,880 --> 00:25:03,920
Speaker 5: them in Utah and the Bills in the Chiefs. In the NFL,

599
00:25:03,920 --> 00:25:06,240
Speaker 5: they were the only undefeated teams against the spread. Right now,

600
00:25:06,280 --> 00:25:09,560
Speaker 5: there's four teams in college football that there's none in

601
00:25:09,560 --> 00:25:13,359
Speaker 5: the NFL that are undefeated against the spread. Auburn, Louisiana,

602
00:25:13,440 --> 00:25:17,560
Speaker 5: La Fayette are Boys, Oklahoma State, and SMU teams that

603
00:25:17,600 --> 00:25:20,320
Speaker 5: are winless against the spread. Akron, of course, Akron is

604
00:25:20,359 --> 00:25:25,679
Speaker 5: the new Ums, is the new Yukon, Florida International, Georgia Tech, Vanderbilt,

605
00:25:25,760 --> 00:25:26,680
Speaker 5: and Virginia Tech.

606
00:25:26,880 --> 00:25:28,879
Speaker 4: Those are the winless against the spread teams. Just very

607
00:25:28,960 --> 00:25:29,919
Speaker 4: quickly here SMU.

608
00:25:30,080 --> 00:25:33,600
Speaker 5: I mean, look, they're playing their minus thirteen against Tulsa.

609
00:25:33,640 --> 00:25:35,919
Speaker 5: I thought the line was a little inflated and was

610
00:25:35,920 --> 00:25:38,320
Speaker 5: maybe gonna look to fade SMU, but nope, no thanks.

611
00:25:38,320 --> 00:25:40,600
Speaker 5: And one of the reasons I believe SMU is now

612
00:25:40,680 --> 00:25:42,800
Speaker 5: favor I mean it's ranked, right, SMU is ranked.

613
00:25:43,040 --> 00:25:44,480
Speaker 2: Yeah tough, yep, yep.

614
00:25:44,520 --> 00:25:46,040
Speaker 5: So they're ranked for the first time since I think

615
00:25:46,119 --> 00:25:50,560
Speaker 5: it's nineteen eighty three. I believe I saw that somewhere.

616
00:25:50,760 --> 00:25:53,639
Speaker 5: But here's the thing, SMU. The place is going to

617
00:25:53,720 --> 00:25:56,640
Speaker 5: be rocking. They have extra motivation for this game because

618
00:25:56,720 --> 00:25:59,520
Speaker 5: last year in the season finale, Tulsa beat them twenty

619
00:25:59,560 --> 00:26:01,600
Speaker 5: seven to twenty four to keep them out of a bowl.

620
00:26:01,840 --> 00:26:04,720
Speaker 5: So that I think is going to keep them focused here.

621
00:26:05,320 --> 00:26:07,320
Speaker 5: I won't lay it because there's just not that much

622
00:26:07,400 --> 00:26:10,480
Speaker 5: value with SMU right now. But that team is just

623
00:26:10,600 --> 00:26:12,800
Speaker 5: rolling right now. Does SMU keep their streak alive or not?

624
00:26:13,080 --> 00:26:15,480
Speaker 6: I mean, like we said on Sunday on the podcast before,

625
00:26:15,520 --> 00:26:17,920
Speaker 6: I mean, this could be our New Year's Day Group

626
00:26:17,960 --> 00:26:19,439
Speaker 6: of five team. I love SMU.

627
00:26:19,440 --> 00:26:19,680
Speaker 4: Here.

628
00:26:20,400 --> 00:26:23,639
Speaker 6: You know, there's been money on Tulsa at this point.

629
00:26:23,680 --> 00:26:25,920
Speaker 6: I have not been led to believe that it's real money.

630
00:26:25,960 --> 00:26:28,600
Speaker 6: I've been led to believe that it's some setup money

631
00:26:28,600 --> 00:26:29,639
Speaker 6: for an SMU comeback.

632
00:26:29,680 --> 00:26:29,800
Speaker 5: Now.

633
00:26:29,840 --> 00:26:33,720
Speaker 6: I made this SMU minus eleven, but Tulsa is bad.

634
00:26:33,960 --> 00:26:35,919
Speaker 6: They've won one game on the road their last thirteen

635
00:26:35,920 --> 00:26:39,840
Speaker 6: attempts under Montgomery Tulsa's decent and pass defense they ranked

636
00:26:39,840 --> 00:26:42,679
Speaker 6: top fifteen and passes over ten yards. They've allowed us

637
00:26:42,680 --> 00:26:45,879
Speaker 6: eleven passes of twenty or more. But Tulsa offensively is

638
00:26:45,880 --> 00:26:48,320
Speaker 6: one hundred and twenty seventh yards per play. You know,

639
00:26:48,320 --> 00:26:50,879
Speaker 6: they can't generate anything on the offensive side of the ball.

640
00:26:51,080 --> 00:26:54,000
Speaker 6: Their defense is mid pack with a schedule that really

641
00:26:54,000 --> 00:26:57,159
Speaker 6: hasn't included anybody like SMU and definitely with the seeker

642
00:26:57,160 --> 00:26:59,320
Speaker 6: and what their wide receivers have been able to do

643
00:26:59,400 --> 00:27:02,119
Speaker 6: after the catch and Michelle back there a quarterback. Tulsa's

644
00:27:02,119 --> 00:27:04,600
Speaker 6: issues with penalties is just how could you ever back

645
00:27:04,600 --> 00:27:06,560
Speaker 6: a team with Tulsa The ranks one hundred and thirtieth

646
00:27:06,600 --> 00:27:09,960
Speaker 6: in the nation in penalties per game ninety five yards

647
00:27:09,960 --> 00:27:12,000
Speaker 6: per game. That's more than anybody else in the country.

648
00:27:12,200 --> 00:27:14,520
Speaker 6: SMU's top twenty five and sacarate. This should be all

649
00:27:14,520 --> 00:27:17,159
Speaker 6: over Tulsa. I like SMU in the spot, and I

650
00:27:17,200 --> 00:27:19,080
Speaker 6: have not been led to believe that the Tulsa money

651
00:27:19,080 --> 00:27:21,600
Speaker 6: that's come in so far is real. I've been led

652
00:27:21,600 --> 00:27:22,879
Speaker 6: to I've been kind of told maybe it could be

653
00:27:22,920 --> 00:27:24,679
Speaker 6: a setup. So by Saturday mornmon, you and I are

654
00:27:24,720 --> 00:27:26,919
Speaker 6: doing our show on the Action network. You know, for

655
00:27:27,000 --> 00:27:29,680
Speaker 6: our subscribers, we could be seeing a different SMU number

656
00:27:29,680 --> 00:27:30,160
Speaker 6: by that time.

657
00:27:30,359 --> 00:27:33,000
Speaker 5: Now ten thirty am Eastern, we tweet out the link

658
00:27:33,080 --> 00:27:36,920
Speaker 5: at Stucky two and at Underscore. Colin won two l's

659
00:27:36,960 --> 00:27:39,600
Speaker 5: in Colin. Let's move on to the ACC very quickly.

660
00:27:39,640 --> 00:27:41,720
Speaker 5: Here not much of interest, but I did want to

661
00:27:41,720 --> 00:27:44,359
Speaker 5: get your thoughts. I know you like Pitt. They're sitting

662
00:27:44,400 --> 00:27:47,359
Speaker 5: at plus five right now against Duke Georgia Tech UNC

663
00:27:47,600 --> 00:27:50,000
Speaker 5: was interesting to me, you know U NC after that

664
00:27:50,280 --> 00:27:54,720
Speaker 5: emotional letdown loss going for two against Clemson. Now they're

665
00:27:54,720 --> 00:27:57,400
Speaker 5: going to Georgia Tech, who just scored two points last week.

666
00:27:57,520 --> 00:27:59,680
Speaker 5: Georgia Tech is dead last in the nation in points

667
00:27:59,680 --> 00:28:02,600
Speaker 5: per game, averaging thirteen and a half points per game.

668
00:28:02,920 --> 00:28:04,880
Speaker 5: The problem with Georgia Tech and now Graham, I think,

669
00:28:04,960 --> 00:28:08,119
Speaker 5: is in there as quarterback. You know, they're he's going

670
00:28:08,160 --> 00:28:09,240
Speaker 5: to throw it a lot more and he's got a

671
00:28:09,320 --> 00:28:10,840
Speaker 5: rocket arm. He's obviously got a long way to go.

672
00:28:10,880 --> 00:28:13,400
Speaker 5: The problem with Georgia Tech is there, they're top receivers

673
00:28:13,400 --> 00:28:17,160
Speaker 5: now out for the year, they're center, their tackle, they're

674
00:28:17,280 --> 00:28:19,439
Speaker 5: you know, their offensive line now is a disaster. Now

675
00:28:19,480 --> 00:28:21,399
Speaker 5: they can roll this kid out, have him throw, But

676
00:28:21,440 --> 00:28:23,359
Speaker 5: I believe they're going to have a walk on play

677
00:28:23,440 --> 00:28:25,919
Speaker 5: center walk on freshman this week.

678
00:28:26,160 --> 00:28:27,960
Speaker 4: I think you and c will come out flat.

679
00:28:28,000 --> 00:28:29,879
Speaker 5: I just don't know if I have the balls to

680
00:28:29,920 --> 00:28:31,000
Speaker 5: play Georgia Tech here.

681
00:28:31,000 --> 00:28:32,879
Speaker 4: But it's a good spot anything and so you like

682
00:28:33,000 --> 00:28:35,320
Speaker 4: you like, do you like Pitt anything in Georgia Tech?

683
00:28:35,359 --> 00:28:35,879
Speaker 4: You and see?

684
00:28:36,119 --> 00:28:37,840
Speaker 6: Yeah, I mean I like Pitt. I took it at seven.

685
00:28:37,880 --> 00:28:39,800
Speaker 6: I don't think it has as much value at five.

686
00:28:40,200 --> 00:28:41,960
Speaker 6: I make this duke minus one, So I still like

687
00:28:41,960 --> 00:28:43,960
Speaker 6: Pitt on that side. Pitt will limit Quinton Harris in

688
00:28:44,000 --> 00:28:46,760
Speaker 6: the passing game. You know, Quinton Harris has been eleventh

689
00:28:46,800 --> 00:28:48,880
Speaker 6: in the nation and completion percentage and Pitt's going to

690
00:28:48,960 --> 00:28:51,520
Speaker 6: make that tough. Duke's been first in the nation at

691
00:28:51,520 --> 00:28:53,920
Speaker 6: sacks given up on the offensive line. Pitt has been

692
00:28:53,960 --> 00:28:56,640
Speaker 6: second in sacks thus far on defense. So that is

693
00:28:56,680 --> 00:28:59,160
Speaker 6: definitely the matchup to watch. See I pick can get

694
00:28:59,160 --> 00:29:02,320
Speaker 6: pressure on Quinton Harris, So I like, definitely like Pit

695
00:29:02,400 --> 00:29:04,880
Speaker 6: to keep it close here. There's only one play Toway UNC.

696
00:29:05,080 --> 00:29:07,600
Speaker 6: There's only one way to play them, and that is

697
00:29:07,720 --> 00:29:09,720
Speaker 6: in the second half. So Georgia Tech, I would think

698
00:29:09,720 --> 00:29:11,959
Speaker 6: would be max effort here I'm not really sure how

699
00:29:12,000 --> 00:29:14,480
Speaker 6: much of a game plan injury wise or just not

700
00:29:15,040 --> 00:29:18,080
Speaker 6: able to execute. Yeah, I mean everything's in transition with

701
00:29:18,120 --> 00:29:20,240
Speaker 6: Georgia Tech right now. It's just impossible to lay money

702
00:29:20,280 --> 00:29:22,200
Speaker 6: with them, even at ten and a half, you know,

703
00:29:22,360 --> 00:29:23,480
Speaker 6: with an inflated spread.

704
00:29:23,520 --> 00:29:26,600
Speaker 2: It's just their numbers are horrid. It's scary.

705
00:29:27,160 --> 00:29:29,560
Speaker 6: I think the only way to play this is North

706
00:29:29,560 --> 00:29:32,000
Speaker 6: Carolina comes out flat in the first half after coming

707
00:29:32,000 --> 00:29:34,480
Speaker 6: within a two point conversion of beating a team that

708
00:29:34,520 --> 00:29:37,320
Speaker 6: should be in the College Football Playoff. Georgia Tech should

709
00:29:37,320 --> 00:29:40,200
Speaker 6: be motivated after just a safety. I think Sam Howe

710
00:29:40,200 --> 00:29:43,320
Speaker 6: in the second half again, for a sixth game, UNC

711
00:29:43,440 --> 00:29:45,920
Speaker 6: second half is always going to be a play until

712
00:29:45,920 --> 00:29:47,240
Speaker 6: we proven otherwise.

713
00:29:47,360 --> 00:29:49,760
Speaker 5: Yeah, maybe to look to Georgia Tech first half. UNC

714
00:29:49,920 --> 00:29:52,440
Speaker 5: is dealing with the number of injuries as well. All right,

715
00:29:52,480 --> 00:29:57,200
Speaker 5: let's move on to the Big twelve, which has a

716
00:29:57,320 --> 00:30:02,000
Speaker 5: number of coin flip games essentially right around field goal

717
00:30:02,200 --> 00:30:04,280
Speaker 5: or less, and that the two most intriguing games with

718
00:30:04,360 --> 00:30:08,120
Speaker 5: TCO Iowa State and Baylor Kansas State. We already talked

719
00:30:08,120 --> 00:30:11,520
Speaker 5: about Texas West Virginia and Oklahoma Kansas. I'll just mention

720
00:30:11,560 --> 00:30:13,720
Speaker 5: real quick, I'm on Texas Tech plus ten. I think

721
00:30:13,720 --> 00:30:15,800
Speaker 5: this number is just too high for an Oak State

722
00:30:15,840 --> 00:30:18,120
Speaker 5: team that you know, they were minus just fourteen point

723
00:30:18,160 --> 00:30:20,360
Speaker 5: favorites of Tulsa and again they had no business covering

724
00:30:20,560 --> 00:30:23,240
Speaker 5: zero none. They were trailing in the second half. You know,

725
00:30:23,320 --> 00:30:25,400
Speaker 5: Jet Duffy's going to get the start from the get go,

726
00:30:25,760 --> 00:30:27,600
Speaker 5: not the Rice transfer who looked off. I don't know

727
00:30:27,640 --> 00:30:30,280
Speaker 5: what Texas Tech was doing. Oklahoma State still has some

728
00:30:30,320 --> 00:30:32,680
Speaker 5: issues in the red zone. I think they come out

729
00:30:32,720 --> 00:30:34,880
Speaker 5: flat here in Lubbock. I think this is a good

730
00:30:34,880 --> 00:30:38,200
Speaker 5: spot to get Texas Tech after getting drummed by Oklahoma.

731
00:30:38,400 --> 00:30:40,480
Speaker 5: The other game that I want to mention is Iowa State.

732
00:30:40,760 --> 00:30:44,280
Speaker 5: I'm looking at the clones they've They've lost two games

733
00:30:44,520 --> 00:30:48,320
Speaker 5: by three total points to good teams, to Baylor and Iowa,

734
00:30:48,320 --> 00:30:49,760
Speaker 5: and they should have beat Iowa. They were a field

735
00:30:49,800 --> 00:30:53,800
Speaker 5: goal miss away from beating Baylor. And this is Broctober, everybody,

736
00:30:53,880 --> 00:30:56,640
Speaker 5: if you don't know what Broctober is, Brock party in

737
00:30:56,720 --> 00:31:00,640
Speaker 5: October and Matt Campbell he's seven to oher in October

738
00:31:00,680 --> 00:31:03,280
Speaker 5: to last two seasons. And Iowa State has done this

739
00:31:03,400 --> 00:31:06,080
Speaker 5: the last two seasons. They started two and two and

740
00:31:06,120 --> 00:31:09,640
Speaker 5: twenty seventeen one in three last year and now two

741
00:31:09,640 --> 00:31:11,560
Speaker 5: and two this year, and then they get on a roll.

742
00:31:11,560 --> 00:31:14,920
Speaker 5: They're slow starters for whatever reason. So you know, I

743
00:31:14,960 --> 00:31:18,520
Speaker 5: think this line is cheap for Iowa State, especially if

744
00:31:18,520 --> 00:31:20,840
Speaker 5: you can get a three based on what we've seen recently.

745
00:31:20,880 --> 00:31:23,120
Speaker 5: But TCU is just so hard to figure out for me.

746
00:31:23,880 --> 00:31:26,200
Speaker 5: So what do you see in any of these Big

747
00:31:26,240 --> 00:31:28,440
Speaker 5: Twelve games? Baylor, Kanpas State included there could be weather

748
00:31:28,440 --> 00:31:30,800
Speaker 5: there in Manhattan, Yeah and yeah.

749
00:31:30,680 --> 00:31:32,640
Speaker 6: So I think one of the ones that I like

750
00:31:32,680 --> 00:31:35,000
Speaker 6: the best out of this is probably Iowa State. Again,

751
00:31:35,040 --> 00:31:37,360
Speaker 6: we've got weather in this, We've got light rain, we

752
00:31:37,480 --> 00:31:40,320
Speaker 6: have fifty percent chance of showers and wins over fifteen

753
00:31:40,360 --> 00:31:43,680
Speaker 6: miles an hour. But you're right, Brockberty, it's that time

754
00:31:43,720 --> 00:31:46,920
Speaker 6: of year. And then it just shows in the explosive

755
00:31:46,920 --> 00:31:49,240
Speaker 6: stats here with these two teams. Ioway stayed from an

756
00:31:49,240 --> 00:31:52,520
Speaker 6: offensive standpoint, thirteen percent of their successful plays through the

757
00:31:52,520 --> 00:31:55,320
Speaker 6: air have been explosive. That's one of the best marks

758
00:31:55,360 --> 00:31:59,000
Speaker 6: in the Big Twelve, the second only behind Oklahoma, actually

759
00:31:59,000 --> 00:32:01,680
Speaker 6: better than Texas and actually better than Baylor at this point.

760
00:32:01,800 --> 00:32:05,240
Speaker 6: And that's going to be something not good for TCU

761
00:32:05,280 --> 00:32:07,200
Speaker 6: to try to catch up with. Their defense has been

762
00:32:07,320 --> 00:32:10,880
Speaker 6: second worst infending explosive plays. You know, they're below average

763
00:32:10,920 --> 00:32:13,680
Speaker 6: and passing downs their success rate just isn't there, and

764
00:32:13,760 --> 00:32:16,600
Speaker 6: TCU has not been good against the long pass. Iowa

765
00:32:16,640 --> 00:32:18,800
Speaker 6: State has been so far offensively, and I think Party

766
00:32:18,880 --> 00:32:20,600
Speaker 6: is going to be able to take advantage Iowa State.

767
00:32:20,640 --> 00:32:22,640
Speaker 6: It's my favorite out of the bunch. Oklahoma State, like

768
00:32:22,680 --> 00:32:25,880
Speaker 6: we've said, going along with the explosiveness, they are the

769
00:32:25,880 --> 00:32:28,440
Speaker 6: second best run explosiveness.

770
00:32:27,840 --> 00:32:28,800
Speaker 2: Team with Chewba Hubbard.

771
00:32:28,800 --> 00:32:31,200
Speaker 6: That's going to be a problem for Texas Tech, who's

772
00:32:31,240 --> 00:32:33,600
Speaker 6: not had much success against a rushing game like Chuba

773
00:32:33,640 --> 00:32:35,360
Speaker 6: Hubbard and Oklahoma State and Olham State's going to be

774
00:32:35,400 --> 00:32:37,560
Speaker 6: able to sing the ball. Not really sure where Texas

775
00:32:37,560 --> 00:32:39,960
Speaker 6: Tech is defensively. Baylor in Kansas State I think is

776
00:32:39,960 --> 00:32:42,320
Speaker 6: actually going to be pretty even. Baylor is only explosive

777
00:32:42,360 --> 00:32:44,520
Speaker 6: on passing plays and Kansas State has been able to

778
00:32:44,520 --> 00:32:47,800
Speaker 6: defend that. Kansas State is the worst I think in

779
00:32:47,840 --> 00:32:48,240
Speaker 6: the nation.

780
00:32:48,280 --> 00:32:48,920
Speaker 2: I've looked this up.

781
00:32:48,920 --> 00:32:50,960
Speaker 6: They're definitely worse in the Big twelve, worst in the

782
00:32:51,040 --> 00:32:54,920
Speaker 6: nation stopping explosive runs. Anybody with a running back that

783
00:32:55,000 --> 00:32:57,160
Speaker 6: can get to them is going to be big trouble

784
00:32:57,200 --> 00:32:59,280
Speaker 6: for Kansas State. I think that game is more evenly match.

785
00:32:59,320 --> 00:33:00,800
Speaker 6: Iould actually kind of mean to Kansas State.

786
00:33:00,800 --> 00:33:03,800
Speaker 5: There weird things happen in Manhattan when there's weather going on.

787
00:33:04,280 --> 00:33:07,720
Speaker 5: All right, let's move on to the Big ten. We

788
00:33:07,840 --> 00:33:10,640
Speaker 5: have some really interesting games. We'll start with Michigan State

789
00:33:10,720 --> 00:33:13,720
Speaker 5: Ohio State. Look, I feel like a broken record. I

790
00:33:13,760 --> 00:33:16,920
Speaker 5: am playing Michigan State because of the number. I'm petrified

791
00:33:16,920 --> 00:33:17,840
Speaker 5: of Ohio State.

792
00:33:18,440 --> 00:33:19,000
Speaker 4: I mean, I'll make it.

793
00:33:19,040 --> 00:33:21,040
Speaker 5: Under seventeen, so of course I'm gonna take twenty. If

794
00:33:21,040 --> 00:33:22,680
Speaker 5: it gets to twenty one, I'll take twenty one.

795
00:33:23,360 --> 00:33:23,760
Speaker 4: Mission.

796
00:33:23,760 --> 00:33:26,400
Speaker 5: This is the best defense Ohio State will face all year,

797
00:33:26,480 --> 00:33:29,160
Speaker 5: the best run defense in the country the last two years.

798
00:33:29,160 --> 00:33:31,760
Speaker 5: They should be able to at least contain Dobbins better

799
00:33:31,760 --> 00:33:34,360
Speaker 5: than any team in the country can. And I also

800
00:33:34,440 --> 00:33:37,360
Speaker 5: played the under under forty nine. Look, it's scary, and

801
00:33:37,400 --> 00:33:39,720
Speaker 5: maybe we have to adjust Ohio State again and they're

802
00:33:39,720 --> 00:33:43,320
Speaker 5: just this good. But I think Michigan State has to

803
00:33:43,440 --> 00:33:46,800
Speaker 5: just they're gonna take They're gonna play so slow, they're

804
00:33:46,800 --> 00:33:48,760
Speaker 5: gonna rely on that defense. Also, Ohio State is a

805
00:33:48,800 --> 00:33:52,480
Speaker 5: great punter, so a Michigan State offense is gonna have

806
00:33:52,520 --> 00:33:55,600
Speaker 5: to go even further if they make Ohio State punt.

807
00:33:56,360 --> 00:33:58,400
Speaker 5: The scariest thing about Michigan State is their offensive line.

808
00:33:58,400 --> 00:34:02,200
Speaker 5: It's a disaster with all the injury I believe right now,

809
00:34:02,240 --> 00:34:05,360
Speaker 5: as of right now, they have a fourth string true

810
00:34:05,360 --> 00:34:08,720
Speaker 5: freshman left tackle is going to start against Chase Young. Scary,

811
00:34:09,040 --> 00:34:11,240
Speaker 5: but I'm playing the number here. I think Michigan State's

812
00:34:11,239 --> 00:34:14,080
Speaker 5: defense will show up. You know, this a bad, bad

813
00:34:14,120 --> 00:34:16,759
Speaker 5: Michigan State team. Amost beat Ohio State at the shoe,

814
00:34:16,760 --> 00:34:19,360
Speaker 5: I believe two years ago. But I really do like

815
00:34:19,400 --> 00:34:21,160
Speaker 5: the under. I think Michigan State's going to take the

816
00:34:21,160 --> 00:34:23,160
Speaker 5: air out of the ball. Defense shows up and now

817
00:34:23,200 --> 00:34:25,320
Speaker 5: they're gonna have trouble moving at the Ohio State defense

818
00:34:25,400 --> 00:34:25,840
Speaker 5: is legit.

819
00:34:25,880 --> 00:34:26,520
Speaker 4: What do you see here?

820
00:34:26,640 --> 00:34:28,160
Speaker 6: You know, this is the best havoc matchup of the

821
00:34:28,200 --> 00:34:30,719
Speaker 6: weekend as far as the line goes, I'm waiting for

822
00:34:30,760 --> 00:34:31,200
Speaker 6: twenty one.

823
00:34:31,320 --> 00:34:33,480
Speaker 2: I agree with you that it's it's a little bit

824
00:34:33,480 --> 00:34:34,200
Speaker 2: too many points.

825
00:34:34,760 --> 00:34:36,799
Speaker 6: It's projected close to the number, But I mean, this

826
00:34:36,840 --> 00:34:38,439
Speaker 6: is getting outrageous for Ohio State.

827
00:34:38,440 --> 00:34:40,320
Speaker 2: We got to get some resistance at some point.

828
00:34:40,400 --> 00:34:43,760
Speaker 6: This is a tougher matchup for Ohio State than Nebraska

829
00:34:43,840 --> 00:34:46,080
Speaker 6: ever was This is the best havoc matchup of the weekend.

830
00:34:46,280 --> 00:34:48,680
Speaker 6: Ohio State second the country, led by fifty two tackles

831
00:34:48,680 --> 00:34:52,480
Speaker 6: for loss. Michigan State despite injury on the offensive line,

832
00:34:52,920 --> 00:34:54,560
Speaker 6: they're eighth and havoc allowed.

833
00:34:54,719 --> 00:34:55,279
Speaker 2: They have not.

834
00:34:55,360 --> 00:34:57,759
Speaker 6: Really, you know, only five fumbles. They've only had one

835
00:34:57,800 --> 00:35:00,239
Speaker 6: I in t so far. You know, w Key and

836
00:35:00,280 --> 00:35:02,359
Speaker 6: Sparty is eleventh of the nation and passes over twenty

837
00:35:02,360 --> 00:35:05,719
Speaker 6: plus yards. Larki's been able to get it down the field. Now,

838
00:35:05,800 --> 00:35:07,919
Speaker 6: you know, there's some pretty ugly numbers when you get

839
00:35:07,920 --> 00:35:10,320
Speaker 6: deep into the advanced stats for Michigan State, but Loarurki

840
00:35:10,400 --> 00:35:12,160
Speaker 6: has been able to get it deep. He has been

841
00:35:12,200 --> 00:35:14,239
Speaker 6: protected by the offensive line. They haven't fumbled it, and

842
00:35:14,280 --> 00:35:17,080
Speaker 6: they're not throwing interceptions. They're not beating themselves. Spartans are

843
00:35:17,120 --> 00:35:19,920
Speaker 6: thirteenth in havoc on defense. Pretty light schedules so far,

844
00:35:20,000 --> 00:35:22,440
Speaker 6: so we don't know how real that is. Michigan State's

845
00:35:22,480 --> 00:35:25,279
Speaker 6: top five defensively in line yards, opportunity rates, sack rate.

846
00:35:25,360 --> 00:35:27,880
Speaker 6: But again, when you take it on Arizona State's offense,

847
00:35:28,120 --> 00:35:30,080
Speaker 6: you don't really want to put too much stock into

848
00:35:30,080 --> 00:35:32,879
Speaker 6: those numbers. I want Michigan state plus twenty one. It's

849
00:35:32,880 --> 00:35:34,319
Speaker 6: going to be a live play if I don't get it.

850
00:35:34,520 --> 00:35:36,160
Speaker 6: The total I think is going to go over because

851
00:35:36,160 --> 00:35:39,880
Speaker 6: I think Lawurki in standard downs or in early downs

852
00:35:40,000 --> 00:35:42,400
Speaker 6: will have success throwing it deep. So I like the

853
00:35:42,480 --> 00:35:44,359
Speaker 6: over pregame, and I'm waiting on twenty one. I might

854
00:35:44,360 --> 00:35:45,799
Speaker 6: play a live on Sparty all right.

855
00:35:46,120 --> 00:35:49,320
Speaker 5: Moving on to Michigan, Iowa, I was getting a little

856
00:35:49,320 --> 00:35:52,120
Speaker 5: healthier here. They should get to Lark Jackson back a tackle,

857
00:35:52,640 --> 00:35:56,120
Speaker 5: and that makes their already good offensive line just dominate.

858
00:35:56,640 --> 00:35:58,759
Speaker 5: Their secondary is still not all the way healthy, but

859
00:35:58,760 --> 00:36:01,400
Speaker 5: they should get Merriweather Rents back. That'll enable them to

860
00:36:01,440 --> 00:36:04,080
Speaker 5: run more of their four two five, which they want

861
00:36:04,120 --> 00:36:06,760
Speaker 5: to do. But this defense doesn't create that much havoc,

862
00:36:06,800 --> 00:36:09,320
Speaker 5: which I think is a good thing for Michigan, who's

863
00:36:09,640 --> 00:36:12,799
Speaker 5: you know, really been just throwing the ball away and

864
00:36:12,880 --> 00:36:14,920
Speaker 5: dropping the ball. And I was thinking this might be

865
00:36:14,920 --> 00:36:16,920
Speaker 5: a good time to buy low in the Wolverines. If

866
00:36:16,960 --> 00:36:18,799
Speaker 5: I get three, I certainly will. I think, what was

867
00:36:18,800 --> 00:36:23,240
Speaker 5: this look ahead line fourteen thirteen? Yeah, before the year started.

868
00:36:23,680 --> 00:36:25,839
Speaker 5: I mean Michigan is getting that. I mean their middle

869
00:36:25,880 --> 00:36:29,319
Speaker 5: linebacker is out Josh Ross, which doesn't help I don't

870
00:36:29,360 --> 00:36:31,000
Speaker 5: think they're gonna be able to run the ball, but

871
00:36:31,120 --> 00:36:33,000
Speaker 5: I think they might have some success through the air.

872
00:36:33,480 --> 00:36:36,719
Speaker 5: They can build on that Rutgers game. The Michigan defensive

873
00:36:36,760 --> 00:36:38,600
Speaker 5: line they got to one four back. They're playing some

874
00:36:38,640 --> 00:36:40,520
Speaker 5: of their younger guys that I think are better.

875
00:36:42,760 --> 00:36:48,120
Speaker 4: Don't gamble, don't associate with gamblers. Avoid it like the plague.

876
00:36:49,200 --> 00:36:54,280
Speaker 1: Let's check in with bow Dog Jim and Harball.

877
00:36:54,360 --> 00:36:56,839
Speaker 5: This is just a game Harball wins. It's not a

878
00:36:56,840 --> 00:36:59,320
Speaker 5: top ten team, you know, but a ranked team. I

879
00:36:59,360 --> 00:37:02,000
Speaker 5: think Michigan six and oh against teams ranked fourteen through

880
00:37:02,040 --> 00:37:04,080
Speaker 5: twenty five. They've out scored two hundred and six to

881
00:37:04,120 --> 00:37:07,399
Speaker 5: fifty one against Tarboro Harbor's twenty seven and oh at

882
00:37:07,400 --> 00:37:10,960
Speaker 5: the Big House against teams not named Michigan State or

883
00:37:11,000 --> 00:37:13,719
Speaker 5: Ohio State. So I think if this gets the three,

884
00:37:13,760 --> 00:37:16,480
Speaker 5: I'm going to take Michigan. I don't love it, but

885
00:37:16,480 --> 00:37:18,000
Speaker 5: if they don't win this game, they might have to

886
00:37:18,000 --> 00:37:18,520
Speaker 5: blow this up.

887
00:37:18,520 --> 00:37:19,120
Speaker 4: What do you see here?

888
00:37:19,440 --> 00:37:21,960
Speaker 6: This is a play a three on Michigan. I will

889
00:37:21,960 --> 00:37:24,320
Speaker 6: be looking for that. If I don't get it pregame,

890
00:37:24,680 --> 00:37:27,080
Speaker 6: you know you'll consider buying it to minus one twenty

891
00:37:27,120 --> 00:37:29,279
Speaker 6: on the three if you can find it. If not,

892
00:37:29,400 --> 00:37:31,879
Speaker 6: maybe play it live this. Neither of these teams are

893
00:37:31,880 --> 00:37:35,120
Speaker 6: havoc minded whatsoever. You know, there's zero penetration from the

894
00:37:35,120 --> 00:37:37,279
Speaker 6: Hawkeys defense. They're one hundred and fifth in havoc, one

895
00:37:37,320 --> 00:37:39,440
Speaker 6: hundred and eighteenth in power success. They're just not getting

896
00:37:39,440 --> 00:37:41,640
Speaker 6: into the backfield of anybody, which makes you think Shay

897
00:37:41,640 --> 00:37:44,160
Speaker 6: Patterson probably have a pretty clean game. Michigan, on the

898
00:37:44,200 --> 00:37:45,960
Speaker 6: other hand, one hundred and twenty fourth of the nation

899
00:37:46,040 --> 00:37:49,200
Speaker 6: and havoc nine passes defensed. They're not going to cause

900
00:37:49,200 --> 00:37:52,200
Speaker 6: any turnovers whatsoever. And Iowa's offense is first in the

901
00:37:52,320 --> 00:37:55,319
Speaker 6: nation and havoc allowed, so they don't really beat themselves either.

902
00:37:55,320 --> 00:37:57,359
Speaker 6: They don't allow anybody in the backfield. The offensive line

903
00:37:57,360 --> 00:37:59,160
Speaker 6: has done a great job. Both of these teams are

904
00:37:59,160 --> 00:38:00,839
Speaker 6: going to be able to dick take their own pace

905
00:38:00,880 --> 00:38:02,360
Speaker 6: on offense, and they're going to be able to do

906
00:38:02,400 --> 00:38:03,879
Speaker 6: what they want to do. You think about that from

907
00:38:03,880 --> 00:38:09,440
Speaker 6: an Iowa perspective, long drives, grinding first downs, no explosive

908
00:38:09,480 --> 00:38:12,920
Speaker 6: plays whatsoever. Now, Michigan, maybe it took a month to

909
00:38:12,920 --> 00:38:15,840
Speaker 6: get in sync. Maybe we needed Donovan people Jones to

910
00:38:15,840 --> 00:38:19,560
Speaker 6: get healthy. Maybe Patterson is finally comfortable and has enough reps.

911
00:38:19,840 --> 00:38:22,200
Speaker 6: I like Michigan in this spot with the three. I

912
00:38:22,239 --> 00:38:24,640
Speaker 6: think that they're going to be the more explosive offense.

913
00:38:24,719 --> 00:38:27,160
Speaker 6: The passes that have been great and successful against Iowa's

914
00:38:27,160 --> 00:38:29,920
Speaker 6: defense twelve percent have been explosive plays in the passing

915
00:38:29,960 --> 00:38:32,440
Speaker 6: game that ranks third worst in the Big Ten at

916
00:38:32,440 --> 00:38:32,839
Speaker 6: this time.

917
00:38:32,920 --> 00:38:34,920
Speaker 2: I think Michigan's going to have their way. I like

918
00:38:34,960 --> 00:38:35,480
Speaker 2: the three.

919
00:38:35,640 --> 00:38:37,160
Speaker 6: I like the overn this game because I don't think

920
00:38:37,160 --> 00:38:39,120
Speaker 6: there's going to be any havoc. And I'll play the

921
00:38:39,120 --> 00:38:41,400
Speaker 6: three live if I don't get it before pregame.

922
00:38:41,600 --> 00:38:45,319
Speaker 5: Northwestern Nebraska there I believe like eleventh in defense and

923
00:38:45,360 --> 00:38:47,440
Speaker 5: like one hundred and twenty third in offense, the largest

924
00:38:47,440 --> 00:38:51,279
Speaker 5: gap between your offensive defense since twenty fifteen Northwestern and

925
00:38:51,320 --> 00:38:55,360
Speaker 5: we always talk about Northwestern Voodoo Northwestern Nebraska. This series

926
00:38:55,400 --> 00:38:58,799
Speaker 5: has been the definition, the definition of voodoo. The road

927
00:38:58,840 --> 00:39:02,160
Speaker 5: team has won sixth of the since Nebraska joined the

928
00:39:02,160 --> 00:39:04,839
Speaker 5: Big Ten back in twenty eleven. One of those was

929
00:39:04,960 --> 00:39:07,759
Speaker 5: Hail Mary. The last two games have gone to ot.

930
00:39:07,800 --> 00:39:10,520
Speaker 5: Just a complete voodoo series. You like the under there, Yeah,

931
00:39:10,520 --> 00:39:10,719
Speaker 5: I do.

932
00:39:11,000 --> 00:39:11,440
Speaker 2: I had this.

933
00:39:11,719 --> 00:39:14,239
Speaker 6: We had the Action Network projected totals come out at

934
00:39:14,280 --> 00:39:14,759
Speaker 6: forty eight.

935
00:39:15,120 --> 00:39:16,040
Speaker 2: I was happy to take it.

936
00:39:16,080 --> 00:39:18,000
Speaker 6: With some weather in the forecast in this game, we

937
00:39:18,239 --> 00:39:19,600
Speaker 6: Nebraska is going to be right in the heart of

938
00:39:19,640 --> 00:39:22,440
Speaker 6: this storm that's coming through. It looks like the forecast

939
00:39:22,440 --> 00:39:23,960
Speaker 6: has really kind of died off, but there is still

940
00:39:24,000 --> 00:39:26,640
Speaker 6: some wind involved. These two teams have it allowed on

941
00:39:26,680 --> 00:39:29,120
Speaker 6: the offensive line one hundred and fifteenth and one hundred

942
00:39:29,160 --> 00:39:33,120
Speaker 6: and twenty fourth Adrian Martinez is a walking turnover. Northwestern

943
00:39:33,160 --> 00:39:35,279
Speaker 6: hasn't been much better, So for me, this is an

944
00:39:35,360 --> 00:39:38,480
Speaker 6: underplay all the way. Some of this more sharp shops

945
00:39:38,480 --> 00:39:39,839
Speaker 6: are down to forty eight and a half. I think

946
00:39:39,880 --> 00:39:41,880
Speaker 6: this will keep chugging down down lower.

947
00:39:42,000 --> 00:39:45,600
Speaker 5: All right, let's move on and just thirty seconds or less,

948
00:39:45,600 --> 00:39:48,040
Speaker 5: we have to mention Conference USA. I'm just gonna ask

949
00:39:48,040 --> 00:39:52,839
Speaker 5: two questions. The first one maybe we have to mention

950
00:39:53,160 --> 00:39:57,600
Speaker 5: meet Meet. We have to mention UTSA against our UTEP boys. Man,

951
00:39:57,640 --> 00:39:59,959
Speaker 5: what an ugly game we're talking.

952
00:40:01,520 --> 00:40:04,320
Speaker 4: Out in the West Tixons town of l Past.

953
00:40:04,400 --> 00:40:06,640
Speaker 2: So picks up.

954
00:40:07,760 --> 00:40:09,400
Speaker 4: Are you betting this game or lie to me?

955
00:40:10,200 --> 00:40:11,080
Speaker 2: No, I am betting this game.

956
00:40:11,160 --> 00:40:13,000
Speaker 6: Utsa meet Me is absolutely going to be in my

957
00:40:13,040 --> 00:40:14,759
Speaker 6: round robin Parlays as a dog, all right.

958
00:40:14,760 --> 00:40:17,759
Speaker 5: And then the other one, are we fading UMass with

959
00:40:18,000 --> 00:40:21,080
Speaker 5: FIU laying twenty six twenty seven FIUs yet the cover.

960
00:40:21,239 --> 00:40:23,320
Speaker 4: I am very close to pulling the trigger.

961
00:40:24,040 --> 00:40:26,239
Speaker 6: The number is a couple of points too high. But

962
00:40:26,400 --> 00:40:28,399
Speaker 6: FIU is the only way that I'm going to play

963
00:40:28,400 --> 00:40:30,600
Speaker 6: this game. I think you met. I think that was

964
00:40:30,640 --> 00:40:32,879
Speaker 6: a joke last week. That was a come together game

965
00:40:33,040 --> 00:40:35,239
Speaker 6: on the road here. Sure take this shit show on

966
00:40:35,280 --> 00:40:36,680
Speaker 6: the road. Sure, I'll take you.

967
00:40:37,600 --> 00:40:41,520
Speaker 5: All right, So let's move on to the MAC. I

968
00:40:41,600 --> 00:40:45,160
Speaker 5: will say that one game that I put in the

969
00:40:45,200 --> 00:40:48,640
Speaker 5: app already a couple actually Ball State and IU. I

970
00:40:48,640 --> 00:40:52,000
Speaker 5: played ball State first half plus three. Something to note here,

971
00:40:52,440 --> 00:40:54,880
Speaker 5: or than Illinois going into the year. The linebacker's supposed

972
00:40:54,920 --> 00:40:57,160
Speaker 5: to be their strength, right, and Kyle Pugh was their

973
00:40:57,160 --> 00:41:00,080
Speaker 5: best in Lance Devo Junior and Antonio Jones David, But

974
00:41:00,120 --> 00:41:02,040
Speaker 5: now they lost two of them, and then they were

975
00:41:02,080 --> 00:41:04,560
Speaker 5: down to Cole who was playing, you know, really well,

976
00:41:04,640 --> 00:41:09,120
Speaker 5: Jordan Cole, but he got a targeting suspension against Vanderbilt.

977
00:41:09,120 --> 00:41:11,640
Speaker 5: He's out the first half. I forget the kid's name.

978
00:41:11,680 --> 00:41:13,759
Speaker 5: It's some true freshman. I think he's a walk on.

979
00:41:14,080 --> 00:41:14,839
Speaker 4: We'll start at line.

980
00:41:14,920 --> 00:41:18,760
Speaker 5: Their linebacking corps is decimated, decimated for this first half.

981
00:41:18,920 --> 00:41:21,319
Speaker 5: I played ball State first half, and then the other

982
00:41:21,360 --> 00:41:23,960
Speaker 5: game I played, I played Ohio minus three against Buffalo.

983
00:41:24,040 --> 00:41:28,640
Speaker 5: Buffalo's we can't Their quarterback is questionable, the quarterbacks awful regardless,

984
00:41:28,640 --> 00:41:32,040
Speaker 5: and their backup quarterback who's also the punter, Van Trees.

985
00:41:32,120 --> 00:41:34,640
Speaker 5: He might start. They're going to try to run the ball,

986
00:41:34,760 --> 00:41:37,319
Speaker 5: could have some success against Ohio's run defense, which does

987
00:41:37,320 --> 00:41:39,560
Speaker 5: give me a little concern. But this is what we

988
00:41:40,000 --> 00:41:41,640
Speaker 5: said all off season. I'm not going to change now

989
00:41:41,680 --> 00:41:43,960
Speaker 5: about Ohio. They're going to struggle non con They're going

990
00:41:44,040 --> 00:41:46,160
Speaker 5: to get it together at their revenge tour. You know,

991
00:41:46,160 --> 00:41:47,799
Speaker 5: they lost a number of games lest year they should

992
00:41:47,800 --> 00:41:51,600
Speaker 5: have won, including Buffalo. I think they show their class here.

993
00:41:51,600 --> 00:41:53,719
Speaker 5: They're going to win that division. They get this win

994
00:41:53,760 --> 00:41:57,120
Speaker 5: against Buffalo after a bye, and then Western Michigan to

995
00:41:57,120 --> 00:41:58,920
Speaker 5: the Leado. I'm curious to get your thoughts on because

996
00:41:59,239 --> 00:42:01,040
Speaker 5: I think this game is number one. I don't trust

997
00:42:01,040 --> 00:42:04,279
Speaker 5: Aledo's defense at all, and I actually like what I've

998
00:42:04,280 --> 00:42:07,440
Speaker 5: seen from Western Michigan, one of probably the most experienced

999
00:42:07,440 --> 00:42:09,920
Speaker 5: team in the country. I think Western Michigan gets this

1000
00:42:10,000 --> 00:42:11,440
Speaker 5: win here. Do you see anything in those MAC games

1001
00:42:11,480 --> 00:42:12,040
Speaker 5: that you want to mention.

1002
00:42:12,560 --> 00:42:14,520
Speaker 6: Yeah, the Western Michigan, you're right, I mean they can

1003
00:42:14,960 --> 00:42:17,120
Speaker 6: John Wassink when he was healthy last year he did

1004
00:42:17,200 --> 00:42:18,800
Speaker 6: this before he got hurt at the end of the season.

1005
00:42:19,440 --> 00:42:21,880
Speaker 6: But they are in a very explosive offense, especially from

1006
00:42:21,920 --> 00:42:24,399
Speaker 6: the passing angle, and they should be able to put

1007
00:42:24,400 --> 00:42:26,000
Speaker 6: it up on Toledo's defense. I mean they put it

1008
00:42:26,080 --> 00:42:28,120
Speaker 6: up on Central Michigan last week. The defense just got

1009
00:42:28,120 --> 00:42:30,160
Speaker 6: sloppy in the fourth quarter and allowed a whole bunch

1010
00:42:30,200 --> 00:42:32,440
Speaker 6: of Central Michigan fifteen points there at the end and

1011
00:42:32,520 --> 00:42:34,279
Speaker 6: not get us to cover by one point. But make

1012
00:42:34,360 --> 00:42:36,000
Speaker 6: no mistake, both these teams are going to be able

1013
00:42:36,000 --> 00:42:38,120
Speaker 6: to get points up on the board. So I think

1014
00:42:38,120 --> 00:42:40,160
Speaker 6: the over there is good. I think Western Michigan is

1015
00:42:40,160 --> 00:42:41,839
Speaker 6: good as long as we don't get back doored again.

1016
00:42:42,000 --> 00:42:43,879
Speaker 6: They're a play on team. I think you're right about

1017
00:42:43,880 --> 00:42:46,719
Speaker 6: the injury with Niu. Something is going on with ball State.

1018
00:42:46,840 --> 00:42:48,839
Speaker 6: There has been sharp money on ball State every week

1019
00:42:48,880 --> 00:42:51,160
Speaker 6: and the points spread has moved towards them and away

1020
00:42:51,160 --> 00:42:53,759
Speaker 6: from their opponent every week. So and I still don't

1021
00:42:53,760 --> 00:42:55,439
Speaker 6: see it in the numbers as to why Ball State

1022
00:42:55,480 --> 00:42:57,520
Speaker 6: has been a play on team. They're coming off of

1023
00:42:57,520 --> 00:43:00,000
Speaker 6: a buy here. I got suspensions on North Illinois side.

1024
00:43:00,080 --> 00:43:01,960
Speaker 6: So I think Stuck is exactly right by having the

1025
00:43:02,000 --> 00:43:05,239
Speaker 6: first half number here. Ohio Buffalo, this is another game

1026
00:43:05,280 --> 00:43:07,680
Speaker 6: I think goes over. I have got projected at forty eight,

1027
00:43:08,400 --> 00:43:12,040
Speaker 6: but I just don't see defensively how either one stops

1028
00:43:12,040 --> 00:43:13,640
Speaker 6: what the other one wants to do. I think Work

1029
00:43:13,680 --> 00:43:15,239
Speaker 6: will have a big day. I think the Ohio Rush

1030
00:43:15,280 --> 00:43:17,239
Speaker 6: will have a big day. I think Buffalo is gonna

1031
00:43:17,239 --> 00:43:18,440
Speaker 6: be able to put up enough to get over this

1032
00:43:18,480 --> 00:43:18,919
Speaker 6: over number.

1033
00:43:19,040 --> 00:43:19,239
Speaker 4: Yeah.

1034
00:43:19,239 --> 00:43:20,480
Speaker 5: I would tend to agree there, even though you have

1035
00:43:20,480 --> 00:43:22,920
Speaker 5: two teams that are just going to be extremely run heavy.

1036
00:43:23,360 --> 00:43:25,440
Speaker 5: All right, let's move on to the Mountain West Conference.

1037
00:43:25,480 --> 00:43:27,480
Speaker 5: You know there's San Diego State, Colorido State. We'll talk

1038
00:43:27,480 --> 00:43:32,240
Speaker 5: about that Saturday, Boise UNLV, Oh my god, who cays

1039
00:43:32,880 --> 00:43:33,320
Speaker 5: New Mexico.

1040
00:43:33,320 --> 00:43:36,840
Speaker 4: San Jose State. You'll have a preview out. We'll have

1041
00:43:36,880 --> 00:43:37,640
Speaker 4: a preview out.

1042
00:43:37,520 --> 00:43:39,880
Speaker 5: For Friday night. So not much going on in the

1043
00:43:39,920 --> 00:43:41,600
Speaker 5: mount West that we haven't already talked about this week.

1044
00:43:41,800 --> 00:43:43,520
Speaker 5: All right, So let's move on to the PAC twelve

1045
00:43:43,560 --> 00:43:47,640
Speaker 5: and let's talk Cal Oregon. By the way, there's Stanford injuries.

1046
00:43:47,640 --> 00:43:49,680
Speaker 5: I can't even keep track of them anymore. And Costello's

1047
00:43:49,719 --> 00:43:53,160
Speaker 5: out now they're offensive line. It's crazy that line's Washington

1048
00:43:53,239 --> 00:43:57,000
Speaker 5: sixteen point favorite Stanford crazy to see. Same with Colorado,

1049
00:43:57,280 --> 00:44:00,719
Speaker 5: a lot of injuries on both sides. Here Arizona you

1050
00:44:00,800 --> 00:44:04,239
Speaker 5: have their their running back and then also Khalil Tate's questionable.

1051
00:44:04,280 --> 00:44:06,439
Speaker 5: I think the altitude could be a factor, especially since

1052
00:44:06,480 --> 00:44:09,640
Speaker 5: it's been cold, it's been damp there, so it could

1053
00:44:09,640 --> 00:44:12,200
Speaker 5: be even more of a factor for Arizona. But the

1054
00:44:12,239 --> 00:44:14,160
Speaker 5: game I want to talk about is cal Oregon, And

1055
00:44:14,160 --> 00:44:16,359
Speaker 5: feel free to mention anything that you want on those

1056
00:44:16,400 --> 00:44:19,760
Speaker 5: other games. But look, Oregon hasn't a lot of touchdown

1057
00:44:19,760 --> 00:44:21,880
Speaker 5: in their last three games. They just run this versatile

1058
00:44:21,920 --> 00:44:23,799
Speaker 5: three three five defense. I said how much I love

1059
00:44:23,880 --> 00:44:26,799
Speaker 5: the Andy Avolos higher in the offseason. They're just they're

1060
00:44:26,840 --> 00:44:30,000
Speaker 5: so versatile. They bring unique pressure and disguised pressure from

1061
00:44:30,000 --> 00:44:33,000
Speaker 5: all over. You know, they still can't get a run

1062
00:44:33,040 --> 00:44:34,520
Speaker 5: game go, you know, even though they have this great

1063
00:44:34,520 --> 00:44:36,960
Speaker 5: offensive line. Herbert gets all day to throw. You know,

1064
00:44:36,960 --> 00:44:39,520
Speaker 5: but Oregon's getting really healthy this week. They're getting handsome

1065
00:44:39,520 --> 00:44:43,279
Speaker 5: back at center, They're getting both I believe Schooler and

1066
00:44:43,320 --> 00:44:46,759
Speaker 5: Pittman back at receiver. Maybe Juwan Johnson, maybe not, but

1067
00:44:46,840 --> 00:44:49,080
Speaker 5: now they finally have their receivers they're coming off of

1068
00:44:49,080 --> 00:44:52,120
Speaker 5: by Their defense is playing excellent, but that running game

1069
00:44:52,160 --> 00:44:55,040
Speaker 5: is struggling, which you would think maybe plays into Cal

1070
00:44:55,080 --> 00:44:57,480
Speaker 5: strengthen their secondary. Is Oregon going to be able to

1071
00:44:57,480 --> 00:44:59,160
Speaker 5: move the ball all these new receivers as there's some

1072
00:44:59,200 --> 00:45:02,359
Speaker 5: timing adjustment. I look back at this series, Oregon, by

1073
00:45:02,360 --> 00:45:04,120
Speaker 5: the way, is dominated. They won nine of ten. They

1074
00:45:04,120 --> 00:45:06,640
Speaker 5: scored forty plus in nine of the ten games they

1075
00:45:06,680 --> 00:45:09,720
Speaker 5: won forty two to twenty four last year against Cal's defense.

1076
00:45:10,040 --> 00:45:11,520
Speaker 5: I can't figure it out. They just can't.

1077
00:45:11,800 --> 00:45:12,960
Speaker 4: Just too fast for Cal.

1078
00:45:13,280 --> 00:45:15,640
Speaker 5: So I kind of like under forty six because I

1079
00:45:15,680 --> 00:45:18,480
Speaker 5: don't see Cal scoring much and Cal secondary is excellent,

1080
00:45:18,560 --> 00:45:20,600
Speaker 5: but these past results scare me.

1081
00:45:20,640 --> 00:45:21,680
Speaker 4: What do you see in Oregon Cal?

1082
00:45:21,920 --> 00:45:24,160
Speaker 6: If you're a trends player, which we're not, but if

1083
00:45:24,200 --> 00:45:26,920
Speaker 6: you are, the under has gone. There's been an under

1084
00:45:27,000 --> 00:45:29,279
Speaker 6: in six of Oregon's last seven games, same for Cal,

1085
00:45:29,360 --> 00:45:31,600
Speaker 6: and under in six of Cow's last seven games. In

1086
00:45:31,640 --> 00:45:34,120
Speaker 6: this series against each other, the under has gone eight

1087
00:45:34,200 --> 00:45:36,040
Speaker 6: of the last nine. And now you consider, you know

1088
00:45:36,080 --> 00:45:38,200
Speaker 6: what the defense have been able to do. Oregon sixth

1089
00:45:38,239 --> 00:45:40,800
Speaker 6: in the nation and Havoc thirteenth in the nation. Havoc

1090
00:45:40,840 --> 00:45:43,400
Speaker 6: allowed the defensive line, the defensive front seven, and the

1091
00:45:43,440 --> 00:45:45,600
Speaker 6: offensive line are getting it done on both sides of

1092
00:45:45,640 --> 00:45:48,000
Speaker 6: the ball. That's what's made Organ so good. The number

1093
00:45:48,160 --> 00:45:50,160
Speaker 6: is inflated a little bit. There's no way in the

1094
00:45:50,160 --> 00:45:52,279
Speaker 6: world I would be fading Oregon in this spot. I

1095
00:45:52,280 --> 00:45:54,279
Speaker 6: think their defense could have, you know, really shut down

1096
00:45:54,320 --> 00:45:56,439
Speaker 6: Cal here. We haven't had a Cal game where they've

1097
00:45:56,440 --> 00:45:58,920
Speaker 6: had like five turnovers, and we know that they're completely

1098
00:45:58,920 --> 00:46:01,520
Speaker 6: capable of doing that, so we may see that pop

1099
00:46:01,600 --> 00:46:01,839
Speaker 6: up here.

1100
00:46:01,880 --> 00:46:03,640
Speaker 2: I think Oregon is the only way to play. I

1101
00:46:03,680 --> 00:46:05,480
Speaker 2: agree with you. I like the under in this game.

1102
00:46:05,320 --> 00:46:07,040
Speaker 4: All right, So let's move on to the SEC.

1103
00:46:07,840 --> 00:46:10,320
Speaker 5: I will mention I have some ugly dogs in Troy

1104
00:46:10,400 --> 00:46:12,439
Speaker 5: and Tennessee just because they're over twenty four.

1105
00:46:12,719 --> 00:46:14,680
Speaker 4: But there's the only game that really.

1106
00:46:14,520 --> 00:46:18,279
Speaker 5: Matters Saturday in the SEC is Auburn Florida. We both

1107
00:46:18,360 --> 00:46:21,760
Speaker 5: took Florida plus three. It's we've been talking about Auburn

1108
00:46:21,800 --> 00:46:24,160
Speaker 5: all year. We've given their respect. We were disrespecting them

1109
00:46:24,160 --> 00:46:28,799
Speaker 5: early bow next season, then full effects, you know, but

1110
00:46:29,040 --> 00:46:31,640
Speaker 5: they've had the toughest schedule in the nation. They might

1111
00:46:31,640 --> 00:46:34,600
Speaker 5: have one of the toughest schedules remaining, and they've gotten

1112
00:46:34,680 --> 00:46:36,680
Speaker 5: w's and looked impressive in doing so. But they've been

1113
00:46:36,719 --> 00:46:40,280
Speaker 5: pretty lucky, especially with turnover luck. They've been extremely lucky.

1114
00:46:40,560 --> 00:46:44,520
Speaker 5: Florida is getting all of their defenders back this week,

1115
00:46:44,600 --> 00:46:47,480
Speaker 5: you know Henderson's, and they're going to be fully healthy

1116
00:46:47,840 --> 00:46:50,480
Speaker 5: on defense. This is a huge test.

1117
00:46:50,239 --> 00:46:50,759
Speaker 4: For bow Nick.

1118
00:46:50,800 --> 00:46:52,520
Speaker 5: So I still don't trust at this point. I don't

1119
00:46:52,520 --> 00:46:55,320
Speaker 5: care what he did against Mississippi State. Bow next season

1120
00:46:55,440 --> 00:46:59,120
Speaker 5: then full effects, I'm taking the number of year. This

1121
00:46:59,200 --> 00:47:01,439
Speaker 5: is just a complete over reaction to what Auburn has done.

1122
00:47:01,560 --> 00:47:03,920
Speaker 5: You know, they're undefeated against the spread. What was this

1123
00:47:04,000 --> 00:47:06,200
Speaker 5: last week? All Auburn plus three and the look head

1124
00:47:06,200 --> 00:47:10,040
Speaker 5: line like, yehak about let's six points because they beat

1125
00:47:10,040 --> 00:47:12,839
Speaker 5: miss Stay who just looks like not a good team.

1126
00:47:12,920 --> 00:47:15,080
Speaker 5: So then before the year, this is probably Florida minus six.

1127
00:47:15,160 --> 00:47:16,840
Speaker 5: I don't know what the game of the line was,

1128
00:47:16,920 --> 00:47:18,520
Speaker 5: So the game of the year line was. So I'll

1129
00:47:18,560 --> 00:47:21,200
Speaker 5: trust Dan Mullen here. I'll trust Dan. I'll trust grant

1130
00:47:21,239 --> 00:47:24,319
Speaker 5: them Todd Grantham with all his defenders back, they're going

1131
00:47:24,400 --> 00:47:27,080
Speaker 5: to come after Nicks force him into mistakes. The turnover

1132
00:47:27,160 --> 00:47:29,120
Speaker 5: luck is going to switch. The regression is coming in

1133
00:47:29,120 --> 00:47:32,040
Speaker 5: that department. The offensive line for Florida does scare me.

1134
00:47:32,080 --> 00:47:33,319
Speaker 5: You know, they haven't been able to get a push.

1135
00:47:33,360 --> 00:47:35,239
Speaker 5: Their four new starters haven't been able to run the

1136
00:47:35,239 --> 00:47:37,279
Speaker 5: ball at all in first half. As again, they couldnt

1137
00:47:37,280 --> 00:47:39,880
Speaker 5: even run it against thousand, which is which is concerning

1138
00:47:39,960 --> 00:47:43,600
Speaker 5: against big Cat Bryant and company on that Auburn defensive line.

1139
00:47:43,600 --> 00:47:47,360
Speaker 5: But this number is outrageous. Florida should be a favorite Auburn.

1140
00:47:47,560 --> 00:47:49,799
Speaker 5: You know, they're really good and been really impressive. It

1141
00:47:49,800 --> 00:47:51,640
Speaker 5: doesn't mean they should be a three point favorite here.

1142
00:47:51,760 --> 00:47:53,319
Speaker 5: You agree, Yeah, absolutely agree.

1143
00:47:53,320 --> 00:47:54,960
Speaker 6: It's one of the first plays I put in are

1144
00:47:55,040 --> 00:47:58,719
Speaker 6: havoc pece centered around this. Florida was a play for

1145
00:47:58,840 --> 00:48:01,879
Speaker 6: me at three and let's just say I probably should

1146
00:48:01,920 --> 00:48:03,440
Speaker 6: have put in more than one unit because this is

1147
00:48:03,440 --> 00:48:05,439
Speaker 6: a play that I like so much. Made this game

1148
00:48:05,480 --> 00:48:08,480
Speaker 6: closer to a pick and Auburn's five and oh straight up,

1149
00:48:08,719 --> 00:48:10,600
Speaker 6: you know, and against the spread. Nick's had over threehun

1150
00:48:10,640 --> 00:48:13,360
Speaker 6: yards passing against Mississippi State, and man, Morehead needs a

1151
00:48:13,360 --> 00:48:15,759
Speaker 6: defensive coordinator. The one thing that really made it for

1152
00:48:15,800 --> 00:48:17,520
Speaker 6: me is when I was going through and I understand

1153
00:48:17,520 --> 00:48:19,400
Speaker 6: Florida's rush game has been a bit of a problem,

1154
00:48:19,440 --> 00:48:21,160
Speaker 6: and I understand Trask, you know, only had two in

1155
00:48:21,160 --> 00:48:24,560
Speaker 6: completions against a team like tousand, But Florida is third

1156
00:48:24,640 --> 00:48:28,120
Speaker 6: overall in HAVOC and Auburn is eighty eighth than HAVOC allowed.

1157
00:48:28,360 --> 00:48:31,040
Speaker 6: And that really made me go back and think about

1158
00:48:31,080 --> 00:48:34,279
Speaker 6: how much Oregan was in Auburn's backfield all the time.

1159
00:48:34,360 --> 00:48:37,840
Speaker 2: Nix was under pressure all the time. As far as turnover.

1160
00:48:37,480 --> 00:48:40,080
Speaker 6: Look goes, as far as fumble luck goes, Auburn's had

1161
00:48:40,120 --> 00:48:42,400
Speaker 6: twelve fumbles so far this season. That's one of the

1162
00:48:42,480 --> 00:48:44,879
Speaker 6: highest in the nation. They've fallen on seven of them,

1163
00:48:44,880 --> 00:48:47,200
Speaker 6: seven of them they've recovered, they've had They've done very

1164
00:48:47,239 --> 00:48:50,000
Speaker 6: well in the turnoverlook role. So I think they haven't

1165
00:48:50,000 --> 00:48:51,520
Speaker 6: seen a defense like this. And you say, well, they

1166
00:48:51,560 --> 00:48:54,240
Speaker 6: played Texas A and M and they played no. Florida's

1167
00:48:54,280 --> 00:48:56,640
Speaker 6: defensive line is top five, and sacrate Texas A and

1168
00:48:56,760 --> 00:49:00,000
Speaker 6: M's is ninety first, Mississippi States is eighty nine, is

1169
00:49:00,000 --> 00:49:01,840
Speaker 6: at least twenty first, and they gave Bo Nicks the

1170
00:49:01,880 --> 00:49:03,440
Speaker 6: time of his life. You know, had a couple of

1171
00:49:03,480 --> 00:49:06,280
Speaker 6: Picks limited him in that game. And I'm not bagging

1172
00:49:06,320 --> 00:49:08,160
Speaker 6: on bow Knicks, but at some point you're going to

1173
00:49:08,200 --> 00:49:10,560
Speaker 6: have a true freshman game. And this is by far

1174
00:49:10,640 --> 00:49:13,080
Speaker 6: the best front seventies face. Auburn's Devens is good too,

1175
00:49:13,160 --> 00:49:15,040
Speaker 6: but I mean, this is a whole new ballgame for

1176
00:49:15,080 --> 00:49:16,680
Speaker 6: the Auburn offense. You know, this is going to be

1177
00:49:16,719 --> 00:49:18,840
Speaker 6: a really tough environment. I mean that Organ game was

1178
00:49:18,880 --> 00:49:21,759
Speaker 6: not a road game. That was in Arlington was that

1179
00:49:21,880 --> 00:49:24,360
Speaker 6: was a place that was really favorable for Auburn. I

1180
00:49:24,400 --> 00:49:26,600
Speaker 6: want to loop back real quick on the Georgia Tennessee thing.

1181
00:49:26,640 --> 00:49:28,920
Speaker 6: I know that you're on Tennessee, but I have to

1182
00:49:28,920 --> 00:49:32,080
Speaker 6: think that Kirby has motivation with his defense going up

1183
00:49:32,120 --> 00:49:34,600
Speaker 6: against Jim Cheney, his old offensive coordinator that was just

1184
00:49:34,680 --> 00:49:36,480
Speaker 6: terrible in the red zone last year. I think he's

1185
00:49:36,480 --> 00:49:39,520
Speaker 6: got motivation against Prewett. He does LEAs show what they had,

1186
00:49:39,840 --> 00:49:41,560
Speaker 6: and you know, prew It's trying to get to all

1187
00:49:41,600 --> 00:49:43,440
Speaker 6: the laws rewritten in the state of Tennessee so they

1188
00:49:43,480 --> 00:49:45,759
Speaker 6: can get his program better. So there's there's plenty going

1189
00:49:45,800 --> 00:49:48,200
Speaker 6: on there. That's why I am avoiding to Tennessee. I

1190
00:49:48,560 --> 00:49:50,800
Speaker 6: do see it in the number issue I made a nineteen.

1191
00:49:51,040 --> 00:49:53,440
Speaker 6: But at the same time, if Kirby has a chance

1192
00:49:53,719 --> 00:49:55,440
Speaker 6: to rub it in and put his foot down on

1193
00:49:55,480 --> 00:49:58,160
Speaker 6: the pedal or on you Jim Cheney's neck, he's going

1194
00:49:58,239 --> 00:49:58,480
Speaker 6: to do it.

1195
00:49:58,560 --> 00:50:00,480
Speaker 5: Yeah. My thinking there is the number. I also like

1196
00:50:00,480 --> 00:50:04,320
Speaker 5: the under. Tennessee is getting healthier at corner. But Georgia,

1197
00:50:04,800 --> 00:50:07,279
Speaker 5: I think, now that's the wildcard there. But Georgia after

1198
00:50:07,320 --> 00:50:09,719
Speaker 5: beating Notre Dame, now bye. I think they're going to

1199
00:50:09,760 --> 00:50:11,800
Speaker 5: go into sleep mode the last time they played in

1200
00:50:11,840 --> 00:50:15,560
Speaker 5: September twenty First, they're October is at Tennessee and then

1201
00:50:15,600 --> 00:50:18,279
Speaker 5: home games against South Carolina and Kentucky.

1202
00:50:18,480 --> 00:50:19,480
Speaker 4: That's their October.

1203
00:50:19,520 --> 00:50:22,080
Speaker 5: They don't have to wake up until November two when

1204
00:50:22,200 --> 00:50:24,719
Speaker 5: they play Florida in the largest cocktup party. So I

1205
00:50:24,719 --> 00:50:26,640
Speaker 5: think they're going to kind of go and sleep modear Tennessee.

1206
00:50:26,680 --> 00:50:28,960
Speaker 5: You don't even know who's playing quarterback. Crop might have

1207
00:50:29,000 --> 00:50:32,040
Speaker 5: some some wrinkles in different quarterbacks, things that Georgia might

1208
00:50:32,040 --> 00:50:35,439
Speaker 5: not be prepared for. If Kirby really wants to run

1209
00:50:35,440 --> 00:50:37,600
Speaker 5: this up, and that's the scary thing. But this is

1210
00:50:37,600 --> 00:50:39,120
Speaker 5: Tennessee's best stepper games of the year.

1211
00:50:39,239 --> 00:50:40,759
Speaker 6: I do like the under angle on this, and I

1212
00:50:40,800 --> 00:50:42,640
Speaker 6: think where the tennis where Tennessee gets the cover and

1213
00:50:42,680 --> 00:50:44,560
Speaker 6: where the under comes in is the fact that Georgia

1214
00:50:44,760 --> 00:50:47,600
Speaker 6: is best in the SEC and explosive run plays. They're

1215
00:50:47,680 --> 00:50:49,719
Speaker 6: highly they're one of the best, most they have the

1216
00:50:49,719 --> 00:50:52,080
Speaker 6: best success rate almost not just the SEC but in

1217
00:50:52,080 --> 00:50:55,200
Speaker 6: the nation in rushing down and rushing the ball, and

1218
00:50:55,239 --> 00:50:57,600
Speaker 6: then twelve percent of those have graded out as explosive plays.

1219
00:50:57,600 --> 00:50:59,239
Speaker 6: And they could just sit back and rely on that

1220
00:50:59,239 --> 00:51:01,239
Speaker 6: that's best in this you see, that's gonna be hard

1221
00:51:01,239 --> 00:51:02,920
Speaker 6: for Tennessee to take care of.

1222
00:51:02,960 --> 00:51:03,200
Speaker 2: Either.

1223
00:51:03,239 --> 00:51:06,080
Speaker 6: Tennessee has shown the ability to stop you know, some

1224
00:51:06,440 --> 00:51:09,600
Speaker 6: long chunk plays on the ground. Georgia can lean back

1225
00:51:09,640 --> 00:51:11,400
Speaker 6: and wait on that and just have a cover in

1226
00:51:11,400 --> 00:51:13,879
Speaker 6: this game and not something that's you know, completely run

1227
00:51:13,960 --> 00:51:16,200
Speaker 6: up and they may say from you know, for later

1228
00:51:16,239 --> 00:51:17,520
Speaker 6: in the year and not show anything here.

1229
00:51:17,840 --> 00:51:19,879
Speaker 5: I think this is Tennessee's best effort off of Bye.

1230
00:51:19,880 --> 00:51:22,040
Speaker 5: You're gonna get some wrinkles here. That's why I'm playing

1231
00:51:22,080 --> 00:51:23,600
Speaker 5: them before we go three and out and get out

1232
00:51:23,640 --> 00:51:25,200
Speaker 5: of here. We do have to mention the sun Belt,

1233
00:51:25,200 --> 00:51:26,400
Speaker 5: so we cover every conference.

1234
00:51:27,200 --> 00:51:30,080
Speaker 2: Don't let the latest come between you and the bill.

1235
00:51:30,960 --> 00:51:35,359
Speaker 4: And our voice from Liberty. I'm fading them.

1236
00:51:35,440 --> 00:51:37,640
Speaker 5: So I got plus six with the Mexico State, which

1237
00:51:37,640 --> 00:51:40,160
Speaker 5: I thought was a joke. New Mexico State somehow got

1238
00:51:40,160 --> 00:51:43,600
Speaker 5: a cover for me against New Mexico thanks to knees

1239
00:51:44,360 --> 00:51:46,359
Speaker 5: at the end. So I think this is the game

1240
00:51:46,400 --> 00:51:49,440
Speaker 5: they win. I just game closer to a pick, so

1241
00:51:49,480 --> 00:51:50,239
Speaker 5: I'm taking six.

1242
00:51:50,320 --> 00:51:50,920
Speaker 4: It's gross.

1243
00:51:51,320 --> 00:51:53,200
Speaker 6: Yeah, Liberty should not be favored by that much on

1244
00:51:53,239 --> 00:51:55,839
Speaker 6: the road. Plus they this is the third time these

1245
00:51:55,880 --> 00:51:57,719
Speaker 6: teams have played each other in the last calendar year.

1246
00:51:57,719 --> 00:52:00,359
Speaker 6: They will play again later this year. Last year, you know,

1247
00:52:00,640 --> 00:52:03,120
Speaker 6: home team won, So I don't think Liberty should be

1248
00:52:03,160 --> 00:52:04,080
Speaker 6: favored here whatsoever.

1249
00:52:04,320 --> 00:52:05,640
Speaker 2: In New Mexico State. I love this.

1250
00:52:05,680 --> 00:52:08,040
Speaker 6: I'm actually as we are cutting this podcast, I'm betting

1251
00:52:08,120 --> 00:52:09,400
Speaker 6: it right now and it's gonna be in all My

1252
00:52:09,440 --> 00:52:10,520
Speaker 6: dog parlays love it.

1253
00:52:10,920 --> 00:52:12,600
Speaker 5: All right, let's for we get out here. Let's go

1254
00:52:12,880 --> 00:52:18,160
Speaker 5: three and out. There's no fcs or no, let's.

1255
00:52:17,920 --> 00:52:19,760
Speaker 2: Make it a quick three and out.

1256
00:52:20,920 --> 00:52:23,400
Speaker 5: We said that we'll have right up on the Saturday

1257
00:52:23,440 --> 00:52:24,880
Speaker 5: State game Friday night lights.

1258
00:52:25,280 --> 00:52:28,200
Speaker 2: Let's here, gentlemen, clear eyes, full hearts.

1259
00:52:29,000 --> 00:52:30,120
Speaker 5: Let's go play some football.

1260
00:52:30,640 --> 00:52:32,960
Speaker 4: Let's cover this UCF Since the game quickly.

1261
00:52:33,400 --> 00:52:36,160
Speaker 5: I disagree with you. I played since plus four. I

1262
00:52:36,200 --> 00:52:38,239
Speaker 5: also played the under sixty and a half. I think

1263
00:52:38,280 --> 00:52:40,920
Speaker 5: it might rise. I might play it some more. It's scary.

1264
00:52:41,239 --> 00:52:43,080
Speaker 5: Uc have to score like thirty plus points for a

1265
00:52:43,120 --> 00:52:43,959
Speaker 5: million straight games.

1266
00:52:43,960 --> 00:52:44,920
Speaker 4: It's some record.

1267
00:52:45,120 --> 00:52:47,120
Speaker 5: And they last year they were number one in adjusted pace.

1268
00:52:47,160 --> 00:52:50,480
Speaker 5: They're gonna go fast, fast, fast. They're explosive. Cincinnati's defense

1269
00:52:50,920 --> 00:52:53,719
Speaker 5: is legit, though last year they play really aggressive, so

1270
00:52:53,760 --> 00:52:56,160
Speaker 5: they are vulnerable to explosive passes. I think they're gonna

1271
00:52:56,160 --> 00:52:58,320
Speaker 5: be able to run on UCF. Their running backs are healthy.

1272
00:52:58,360 --> 00:53:00,880
Speaker 5: Now they're gonna run. They're gonna run. They don't have

1273
00:53:00,880 --> 00:53:02,040
Speaker 5: a kicker, by the way, but they have one of

1274
00:53:02,040 --> 00:53:04,520
Speaker 5: the best punters in the country that will help with

1275
00:53:04,560 --> 00:53:07,000
Speaker 5: the under. I think their defense shows up. One other

1276
00:53:07,040 --> 00:53:08,880
Speaker 5: reason why I like the under is since he might

1277
00:53:08,880 --> 00:53:10,920
Speaker 5: struggle in the red zone. They struggle with some penalties.

1278
00:53:10,960 --> 00:53:13,000
Speaker 5: Their offensive line hasn't been great. I think they're going

1279
00:53:13,040 --> 00:53:15,520
Speaker 5: to run it, grind the clock. Their defense shows up.

1280
00:53:15,560 --> 00:53:17,200
Speaker 5: I'm taking the four here in a game I make

1281
00:53:17,280 --> 00:53:19,279
Speaker 5: one and a half. The only team that UCF has

1282
00:53:19,320 --> 00:53:21,360
Speaker 5: played is that pit and they lost. But you like

1283
00:53:21,440 --> 00:53:22,480
Speaker 5: UCF here, I.

1284
00:53:22,440 --> 00:53:24,080
Speaker 6: Do like UCF here and even though I make it

1285
00:53:24,080 --> 00:53:26,040
Speaker 6: three and a half and the market tells me that

1286
00:53:26,080 --> 00:53:28,439
Speaker 6: I'm completely on the wrong side the way that I read.

1287
00:53:28,600 --> 00:53:29,879
Speaker 6: You know the market, and I know how to try

1288
00:53:29,880 --> 00:53:31,440
Speaker 6: to get the best number. I didn't get the best

1289
00:53:31,520 --> 00:53:33,160
Speaker 6: number in this instance because I didn't think that I

1290
00:53:33,160 --> 00:53:35,000
Speaker 6: would need it. And that's how much disrespect that I

1291
00:53:35,040 --> 00:53:36,960
Speaker 6: had for Cincinnati. This was a spot that I played

1292
00:53:37,000 --> 00:53:40,160
Speaker 6: last year. Did have any issues with it whatsoever. Cincinnati

1293
00:53:40,239 --> 00:53:42,320
Speaker 6: was blown out and held scoreless against Ohio State. And

1294
00:53:42,360 --> 00:53:44,680
Speaker 6: I'm not saying Ohio State is like UCF, but from

1295
00:53:44,680 --> 00:53:47,759
Speaker 6: a havoc perspective, you know Ohio State and UCF forre

1296
00:53:47,760 --> 00:53:50,120
Speaker 6: top ten and plays of you know, twenty yards or

1297
00:53:50,160 --> 00:53:53,239
Speaker 6: more from scrimmage, and Ohio State just blew Sincy out

1298
00:53:53,280 --> 00:53:55,040
Speaker 6: of the water and didn't even let him score. I'm

1299
00:53:55,080 --> 00:53:57,360
Speaker 6: just saying that, you know, the Knights are fifth and

1300
00:53:57,400 --> 00:53:59,520
Speaker 6: passing in their eighth and rushing as far as you

1301
00:53:59,520 --> 00:54:02,719
Speaker 6: know plays from scrimmage to go over twenty yards, they're fantastic.

1302
00:54:03,000 --> 00:54:04,759
Speaker 6: So habit great is going to be an issue for

1303
00:54:04,800 --> 00:54:06,719
Speaker 6: the since the offensive line. Since the's offensive line is

1304
00:54:06,719 --> 00:54:09,319
Speaker 6: one hundred and fourteenth in sacrate, you know Riddter just

1305
00:54:09,440 --> 00:54:11,440
Speaker 6: drops off the map when he gets pressure. I like

1306
00:54:11,520 --> 00:54:14,640
Speaker 6: UCF from a red zone perspective. Dariel Mack is back

1307
00:54:14,640 --> 00:54:16,719
Speaker 6: in the back and play for UCF. He can do

1308
00:54:16,760 --> 00:54:19,480
Speaker 6: the red zone package. This is not the sharp side whatsoever.

1309
00:54:19,560 --> 00:54:21,399
Speaker 6: So it depends on what kind of player you are.

1310
00:54:21,680 --> 00:54:25,080
Speaker 6: I just have blind faith and belief that if UCF

1311
00:54:25,080 --> 00:54:27,200
Speaker 6: gets a ten point lead, Cincinnati can't come back from it.

1312
00:54:27,280 --> 00:54:27,440
Speaker 4: Yeah.

1313
00:54:27,440 --> 00:54:28,520
Speaker 5: I mean, the one thing on your side is that

1314
00:54:28,560 --> 00:54:31,000
Speaker 5: exposive passing game, which since he will be vulnerable to.

1315
00:54:31,080 --> 00:54:33,480
Speaker 5: And Desmond Ritter has not played well against any teams

1316
00:54:33,840 --> 00:54:36,839
Speaker 5: with a pulse, just terrible. And their defense hasn't showed

1317
00:54:36,920 --> 00:54:39,600
Speaker 5: up against the lead offenses. So that's what you have

1318
00:54:39,640 --> 00:54:42,080
Speaker 5: working in your favor. But I'll be on the home

1319
00:54:42,160 --> 00:54:45,279
Speaker 5: dog and the under here. All right, let's move on

1320
00:54:45,360 --> 00:54:48,239
Speaker 5: to second down. One word answer here, A favorite overdog?

1321
00:54:48,560 --> 00:54:51,000
Speaker 5: The overdog is a favorite. We had someone call in

1322
00:54:51,080 --> 00:54:53,480
Speaker 5: on our voicemail, by the way, lead voicemails all weekend,

1323
00:54:53,640 --> 00:54:56,839
Speaker 5: cry bitch, moan, y'all scream five seven five six five

1324
00:54:56,960 --> 00:55:00,759
Speaker 5: five zero six six'. Four did someone say that you

1325
00:55:00,800 --> 00:55:02,680
Speaker 5: guys should have got more? OVERDOGS i think they thought

1326
00:55:02,680 --> 00:55:04,560
Speaker 5: the opposite of an underdog is an, Overdog so now

1327
00:55:04,560 --> 00:55:04,759
Speaker 5: it's a.

1328
00:55:04,760 --> 00:55:06,279
Speaker 2: Segment it's called the overdog.

1329
00:55:06,360 --> 00:55:09,960
Speaker 5: Parlay my favorite overdog or favorite of the, Week, Ohio

1330
00:55:10,160 --> 00:55:12,480
Speaker 5: we've been talking about the spot all off, season so

1331
00:55:12,880 --> 00:55:14,200
Speaker 5: roll with. It how about you a favorite.

1332
00:55:14,200 --> 00:55:17,200
Speaker 6: Favorite i'm gonna go With, oregon just fading cal here

1333
00:55:17,239 --> 00:55:20,280
Speaker 6: And oregon's been fantastic on both sides of the, ball

1334
00:55:20,360 --> 00:55:23,239
Speaker 6: at taking care of the ball or causing, havoc all, Right.

1335
00:55:23,200 --> 00:55:24,680
Speaker 5: And then before we get out of here on third,

1336
00:55:24,719 --> 00:55:27,320
Speaker 5: down let's finish with our underdog money line.

1337
00:55:27,400 --> 00:55:35,640
Speaker 1: Parlay turning good weekends into great. Weekends it's time for

1338
00:55:35,800 --> 00:55:36,760
Speaker 1: the money line.

1339
00:55:36,800 --> 00:55:42,439
Speaker 5: PARLAY i am going back to machin And i've gone

1340
00:55:42,480 --> 00:55:45,840
Speaker 5: there far too often this. Year worked out last week With.

1341
00:55:45,920 --> 00:55:48,839
Speaker 5: Toledo i'm Fading toledo this week and gone with a

1342
00:55:48,840 --> 00:55:51,759
Speaker 5: short dog In Western. MICHIGAN i think they're the better,

1343
00:55:51,800 --> 00:55:55,120
Speaker 5: team more experienced. TEAM i trust their defense to just

1344
00:55:55,160 --> 00:55:57,959
Speaker 5: get a few more. STOPS i actually liked this OVER

1345
00:55:58,040 --> 00:56:00,040
Speaker 5: i can't see it not just not getting into the.

1346
00:56:00,080 --> 00:56:04,000
Speaker 5: Forties The toledo defense is just. Abysmal you can just run.

1347
00:56:03,800 --> 00:56:04,319
Speaker 4: All day on.

1348
00:56:04,360 --> 00:56:07,719
Speaker 5: Them Western michigan can also throw on. Them toledo will get.

1349
00:56:07,760 --> 00:56:10,120
Speaker 5: Theirs BUT i Like Western michigan to make a statement

1350
00:56:10,120 --> 00:56:11,800
Speaker 5: on the road in the glass.

1351
00:56:11,800 --> 00:56:12,399
Speaker 4: Bowl how about.

1352
00:56:12,400 --> 00:56:14,359
Speaker 6: YOU i want you AND i to hit. This SO

1353
00:56:14,480 --> 00:56:16,560
Speaker 6: i could have Gone yukon AND i could have Gone.

1354
00:56:16,640 --> 00:56:18,680
Speaker 6: Rutgers And i'm saying that with a straight. FACE i

1355
00:56:18,680 --> 00:56:22,080
Speaker 6: am not counting starting For, RUTGERS i. Know But YUKON

1356
00:56:22,160 --> 00:56:24,239
Speaker 6: i think can Beat South florida flat. OUT i mean

1357
00:56:24,280 --> 00:56:26,399
Speaker 6: that plays about to come through. Here but, No i'm

1358
00:56:26,400 --> 00:56:28,520
Speaker 6: gonna go With. FLORIDA i one or percent believe the

1359
00:56:28,600 --> 00:56:30,279
Speaker 6: numbers should be a. PICK i Think florida is an

1360
00:56:30,360 --> 00:56:31,840
Speaker 6: extremely live dog a home here in the.

1361
00:56:31,840 --> 00:56:36,560
Speaker 5: Swamp all, right there you have, It florida And Western.

1362
00:56:36,760 --> 00:56:40,080
Speaker 5: Michigan we'll write it up On. Saturday we'll have some

1363
00:56:40,120 --> 00:56:42,640
Speaker 5: more info on. It thanks for, Listening thanks for joining, Me,

1364
00:56:42,680 --> 00:56:46,279
Speaker 5: colin don't forget about the, voicemails rate, Review tell a,

1365
00:56:46,320 --> 00:56:47,520
Speaker 5: Friend tell an.

1366
00:56:47,640 --> 00:56:48,719
Speaker 4: Enemy thanks for.

1367
00:56:48,760 --> 00:56:51,640
Speaker 5: Listening we'll catch you All saturday, morning ten thirty Am

1368
00:56:51,680 --> 00:56:52,439
Speaker 5: eastern on The Live.

1369
00:56:52,480 --> 00:56:53,360
Speaker 4: Show good luck this.

1370
00:56:53,400 --> 00:57:16,600
Speaker 5: Weekend, cheers peace, out