WEBVTT - Infrastructure, Ukraine, Tech, and Lamborghini (Podcast)

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to the Bloomberg Markets Podcast. I'm Paul Sweeney, alongside

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<v Speaker 1>my co host Matt Miller. Every business day, we bring

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<v Speaker 1>you interviews from CEOs, market pros, and Bloomberg experts, along

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<v Speaker 1>with essential market moving news. Find the Bloomberg Markets Podcast

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<v Speaker 1>on Apple Podcasts or wherever you listen to podcasts, and

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<v Speaker 1>at Bloomberg dot com slash podcast. But one of the

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<v Speaker 1>I guess results of the pandemic has been a migration move.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean a lot of folks leaving like New York

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<v Speaker 1>City and they're going and the other and the coasts

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<v Speaker 1>and the high cost, high tax areas and go into

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<v Speaker 1>places like I don't know, Nashville, Tennessee, Austin, Texas, and

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<v Speaker 1>the great state of North Carolina has been a beneficiary

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<v Speaker 1>of that as well, and we want to break that down.

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<v Speaker 1>We're gonna do that today. We're fortunate to have here

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<v Speaker 1>in our Bloomberg Interactive Broker Studio Michelle Baker Sanders, North

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<v Speaker 1>Carolina Secretary of Commerce, and Mike Fox, President and CEO

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<v Speaker 1>of the Piedmont Triad Partnership. Uh So, Michelle and Mike,

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<v Speaker 1>thanks so much for joining us here. Michelle talked to

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<v Speaker 1>us about the state of North Carolina and what you

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<v Speaker 1>guys have experienced from a commerce perspective, a business perspective

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<v Speaker 1>over the last several years. Thank you. Over the last

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<v Speaker 1>several years, what we have experienced is at UM booming

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<v Speaker 1>growth and a momentum with some I believe attraction UH

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<v Speaker 1>bringing an in migration of people, families, and jobs. As

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<v Speaker 1>you mentioned, UM over the past couple of years, despite

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<v Speaker 1>the pandemic and UH concerns about a recession and the

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<v Speaker 1>labor sup wild market, we have broken records when it

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<v Speaker 1>comes to the number of job creation creation created and

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<v Speaker 1>the capital investment into the state. UM. I'd specifically her

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<v Speaker 1>at highlight the Carolina Core, which we're gonna hopefully talk about.

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<v Speaker 1>So the Carolina Core UM is a region of North

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<v Speaker 1>Carolina Central Region which is anchored by UM high Point

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<v Speaker 1>Winston Salem and then with Greensboro. And within that region

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<v Speaker 1>they have seen UM extraordinary success, especially in the e

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<v Speaker 1>V space and semiconductor space, all the advancing technology and

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<v Speaker 1>advanced manufacturing and so over the past year or so,

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<v Speaker 1>they have UM attracted over fifteen billion dollars billion dollars

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<v Speaker 1>in capital investment and as a result of that created

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<v Speaker 1>UM sixteen thousand jobs, and so, as you just mentioned,

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<v Speaker 1>people are looking for a great place to live, a

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<v Speaker 1>great place to start business, and a place where they

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<v Speaker 1>can thrive. And that's what we have found in North Carolina.

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<v Speaker 1>And the example I'm highlighting the Carolina Core is definitely

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<v Speaker 1>a place that it's experienced in that you have and

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<v Speaker 1>you have a lot of experience manufacturing as well. Right,

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<v Speaker 1>you come from Biogen, You were working at a number

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<v Speaker 1>of different manufacturers, global manufacturers before this UM and we're

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<v Speaker 1>just appointed Secretary Commerce kind of smack dab in the

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<v Speaker 1>middle of the pandemic right February. Has that driven you think,

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<v Speaker 1>more manufacts acturers as we kind of unwind these global

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<v Speaker 1>supply chains or at least try and produce more locally.

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<v Speaker 1>Has that driven a migration to your state? Um? I

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<v Speaker 1>believe that that might. The migration that we experience and

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<v Speaker 1>has been building over a number of years because of

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<v Speaker 1>many visionaries across the state and the great investments that

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<v Speaker 1>have been made by the state as well as other

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<v Speaker 1>partners across the state like the university, community college system

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<v Speaker 1>and business owners in the state. UM, you're correct. I

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<v Speaker 1>spent about thirty years in the biotech life science industry.

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<v Speaker 1>So I connect deeply with manufacturing, and as you know,

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<v Speaker 1>that's a core competency for North Carolina. We have the

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<v Speaker 1>largest manufacturing UH talent pool in the southeastern US, and

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<v Speaker 1>advanced manufacturing, which I missioned earlier UM has been UM

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<v Speaker 1>something that we have leveraged and built on that strength.

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<v Speaker 1>We're continuing to see it grow and we're expecting to

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<v Speaker 1>and anticipate in even more growth an advanced manufacturing. So, Mike,

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<v Speaker 1>you're the CEO of the Piedmont Triad Partnership. When I

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<v Speaker 1>think of the Piedmont Tried, I think Winston, Salem, Burlington

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<v Speaker 1>and all those kinds of stuff. I think, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>making furniture, textiles and things like that. How was that

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<v Speaker 1>part of the state kind of tobacco of course, how

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<v Speaker 1>is that part of the state kind of evolved over

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<v Speaker 1>the last decade or so, so we've really made a

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<v Speaker 1>great transition to advanced manufacturing. We have a history of

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<v Speaker 1>manufacturing in that area, particularly with the textiles and the furniture,

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<v Speaker 1>and we've seen those industries shrink or go off shore.

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<v Speaker 1>That's sad because it's some of the greatest furniture you

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<v Speaker 1>can buy. It's still is some of the best furniture

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<v Speaker 1>you can source in the country. And we still have

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<v Speaker 1>a thriving furniture industry. The world's largest furniture market is

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<v Speaker 1>in High Point twice a year every year. So what

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<v Speaker 1>we've seen is more niche manufacturing there. Uh. At the

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<v Speaker 1>same with textiles, those have moved to more medical specialty garments,

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<v Speaker 1>not just the commodities. But this advanced manufacturing has really

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<v Speaker 1>taken hold. We You've had the foresight to develop some

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<v Speaker 1>large sites to attract large transformational projects like Toyota, then

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<v Speaker 1>fast Wolf Speed and Boom Supersonic at our airport. And

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<v Speaker 1>so we started we were sitting you know, a year

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<v Speaker 1>ago literally with four legitimate mega sites, you know, with

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of interest but no tenants. And within the

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<v Speaker 1>space of a year we've had four large announcements of

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<v Speaker 1>tenants that the Secretary mentioned that total those fifteen billion

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<v Speaker 1>investment and you know, approximately twenty thousand new jobs. What's

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<v Speaker 1>driven I mean, secretary points out this has been developing

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<v Speaker 1>for years and we I think Paul and I both

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<v Speaker 1>have seen North Carolina really develop UM. But the pandemic

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<v Speaker 1>coupled with you know, the money UM that was pushed

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<v Speaker 1>into the economy and the Chips Act have to be

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<v Speaker 1>huge drivers. They are, and you know, quite simply, I

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<v Speaker 1>think one of the answers is the rest of the

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<v Speaker 1>world is realizing what we've known for a long time

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<v Speaker 1>that North Carolina is a great place to live, to work,

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<v Speaker 1>to play. It's also got an incredible business climate. Thanks

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<v Speaker 1>to Secretary Sanders, Governor Cooper, and our legislature, we have

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<v Speaker 1>very favorable uh, you know, business laws and and a

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<v Speaker 1>tax situation. But primarily to your point, with the pandemic,

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<v Speaker 1>I think reshoring has become a lot more of a focus. Uh.

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<v Speaker 1>The supply chain dynamics going from just in time to

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<v Speaker 1>just in case have become important, and I think manufacturers

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<v Speaker 1>want to be able to have their supply chain closer

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<v Speaker 1>to them and not worry about is it sitting on

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<v Speaker 1>a container somewhere in the Pacific Ocean exactly. And so

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<v Speaker 1>Secretary representing the state of North Carolina, when you are

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<v Speaker 1>courting business, when you're saying to a you know, a

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<v Speaker 1>Toyota or so many, you need to really think about

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<v Speaker 1>coming to our state. Who do you find yourself competing against?

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<v Speaker 1>Most often we find ourselves competing against, uh, the global market. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>there are certain states I'm sure that companies tend to

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<v Speaker 1>have an attraction to but we are competing against the

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<v Speaker 1>global markets. So that's why it's so important for us

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<v Speaker 1>did not only highlight our assets such as the university

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<v Speaker 1>of the community college system, the quality of life UM,

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<v Speaker 1>the cost of doing business in North Carolina UM, as

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<v Speaker 1>well as UM the talent pool, the diverse and skilled

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<v Speaker 1>talent pool. It's important for us to highlight those assets,

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<v Speaker 1>but it's also important for UH those companies to experience

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<v Speaker 1>North Carolina, to visit us and experience the people, the culture, UM,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, experience what their employees with experience when they

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<v Speaker 1>come to North Carolina. And so that's what we UM

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<v Speaker 1>enjoy and and like to show and give that experience. UM.

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<v Speaker 1>We also, you know, we're courting companies to come to

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<v Speaker 1>North Carolina and businesses. But I believe what's unique is

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<v Speaker 1>that we are with those kind companies not only in

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<v Speaker 1>that initial period, that courtship period. Once we marry, once

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<v Speaker 1>we bring them to North Carolina, we are intend and

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<v Speaker 1>we work with them and partner with them throughout the

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<v Speaker 1>longevity of their business. Talk to us about infrastructure in

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<v Speaker 1>the state. For example, when I was a duke, the

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<v Speaker 1>Raleig Durham Airport was like a grass grass strip. Now

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<v Speaker 1>it's this huge airport modern I mean is that? I

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<v Speaker 1>mean it seems like the infrastructure in the state is

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<v Speaker 1>getting better and better and better. How much of the

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<v Speaker 1>requirement is that when you're talking to against some of

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<v Speaker 1>these big corporations. North Carolina has invested deeply in infrastructure

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<v Speaker 1>and because of that we have been successful, as we've discussed,

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<v Speaker 1>with economic development and building more resilient communities across the

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<v Speaker 1>state UM, and the airports are surely a part of

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<v Speaker 1>that UM. You know, within the Carolina core, we have

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<v Speaker 1>access to airports in the areas you know Charlotte Greensboro

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<v Speaker 1>has airport ore I do you UM. We also have

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<v Speaker 1>ports that are part of our transportation infrastructure, and we

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<v Speaker 1>invest heavily in communities to to build a sewer and

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<v Speaker 1>water systems that are required to support these businesses. As

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<v Speaker 1>you know, UM for semiconductor industry and advanced manufacturing utilities,

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<v Speaker 1>the cost of energy, the cost of doing business matters

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<v Speaker 1>and it's very important and so within North Carolina we

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<v Speaker 1>prioritize that UM to attract and to retain and help

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<v Speaker 1>businesses grow for those for those people who haven't spent

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<v Speaker 1>much time in North Carolina. Let's define the core or

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<v Speaker 1>the Piedmont Triad. What exactly is that. So it's roughly

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<v Speaker 1>add twenty miles stretch that runs from Greensboro, Winston Salem

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<v Speaker 1>and high Point, which is traditionally known as the Triad

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<v Speaker 1>down up in the north, down to Fayetteville and kind

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<v Speaker 1>of the southeast, and it follows roughly Highway for twenty one,

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<v Speaker 1>which has recently received designation as a future industry that

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<v Speaker 1>would connect the Triad and points west all the way

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<v Speaker 1>to uh Wilkesboro and potentially Boon down to Fayettville. And

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<v Speaker 1>of course Fayetteville is the nation the home of the

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<v Speaker 1>nation's largest military base in Fort Bragg. And those retiring

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<v Speaker 1>service members who regularly you know, decide they want to

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<v Speaker 1>stay in North Carolina, those are a great source of

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<v Speaker 1>talent for our employers, and so being able to have

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<v Speaker 1>that connection to that area, to the Triad and also

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<v Speaker 1>to Charlotte and Raleigh is important for us in terms

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<v Speaker 1>of developing our workforce. See I think of North Carolina

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<v Speaker 1>just been a student there. I got the eastern part,

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<v Speaker 1>which is kind of the beach. Are close to the beach,

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<v Speaker 1>then the west is amazing mountains Asheville, North Carolina, one

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<v Speaker 1>of my favorite places to go exactly. The music scene,

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<v Speaker 1>the culture of the arts amazing there. And then you

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<v Speaker 1>got everything in the middle, which I call the middle,

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<v Speaker 1>but now you guys call the cord and all that

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<v Speaker 1>kind of stuff. But that's kind of where a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of development is taking place. Real quick, Secretary urtp Research

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<v Speaker 1>Triangle Park that's been there for decades generations, is that's

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<v Speaker 1>still a for technology restarts Triangle part is still a

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<v Speaker 1>thing for technology in North Carolina. Al Right, that's good

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<v Speaker 1>stuff because I think of North Carolina State, University of

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<v Speaker 1>North Carolina, Chapel Hill Boo and Duke University. Um, you

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<v Speaker 1>put those two and plus you got Wake Farcet close by.

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<v Speaker 1>It's that's kind of been the source of research, tronical parks,

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<v Speaker 1>I think stuff. So it's just been awesome, so good

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<v Speaker 1>to talk about it. We had some Chicago pm MY

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<v Speaker 1>data came in a little bit weaker today, but it

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<v Speaker 1>just goes to show kind of where some of the

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<v Speaker 1>Chicago Chicago very far away from Charlotte exactly. So good

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<v Speaker 1>North Carolina discussion here. Michelle Baker Sanders, North Carolina Secretary

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<v Speaker 1>of Commerce and Mike Fox, president CEO of Pete Montrey,

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<v Speaker 1>is there by the way, a rivalry with South Carolina

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<v Speaker 1>at all, because I always think of Spartanburg being a

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<v Speaker 1>gear head, you know, uh, the BMW plant down there

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<v Speaker 1>is there is a little bit of we compete with

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<v Speaker 1>South Carolina and um so they're a part of the

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<v Speaker 1>Southeastern family. But let's be clear, we do compete. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>that's what I was wondering about their their sec these

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<v Speaker 1>North Carolina's acc all right, I want to switch gears

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<v Speaker 1>because we had a trade that happened in m and

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<v Speaker 1>A trade over the last couple of days. I got

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<v Speaker 1>my attention because A it's involves banks, uh and be

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<v Speaker 1>it's M and A and I like M and A fees.

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<v Speaker 1>So I'm gonna get Paul Goldberg in here. Paul's the

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<v Speaker 1>senior equity research channels with Boomberg Intelligence. He covers the

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<v Speaker 1>banks talk to us about this deal. Bank of Canada

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<v Speaker 1>is buying h species Canadian unit. So the biggest investment

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<v Speaker 1>bank in Canada is getting even bigger. Yeah, thank you

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<v Speaker 1>for having me, Paul. This is absolutely correct. RBC is

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<v Speaker 1>the largest bank in Canada in cross retail in many

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<v Speaker 1>cases across business landing, so you look at different categories,

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<v Speaker 1>they have in some cases more than that of the market.

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<v Speaker 1>So they are buying the number seven bank. And this

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<v Speaker 1>is an extremely unique opportunity in Canada because most of

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<v Speaker 1>the Canadian loans and deposits have basically distributed between the

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<v Speaker 1>six banks. So, and we were just hearing about higher,

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<v Speaker 1>stronger net interest margins um in terms of some US banks,

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<v Speaker 1>I assume the situation is the same there. Right as

0:13:11.800 --> 0:13:14.080
<v Speaker 1>we see rates pick up around the world, banks start

0:13:14.160 --> 0:13:19.440
<v Speaker 1>to recover those margins. It's actually very interesting and very similar,

0:13:19.600 --> 0:13:23.040
<v Speaker 1>but it's shifting already in the US and Canada. RBC

0:13:23.120 --> 0:13:26.960
<v Speaker 1>actually reported their fourth quarter earliest this morning, so the

0:13:27.040 --> 0:13:30.920
<v Speaker 1>rates momentum was running out. It's been very strong for them.

0:13:31.040 --> 0:13:33.560
<v Speaker 1>They probably still going to see another ten fifteen basis

0:13:33.640 --> 0:13:35.720
<v Speaker 1>points in the first half in terms of net interest

0:13:35.760 --> 0:13:39.920
<v Speaker 1>margin expansion, but that will slow down throughout the year

0:13:40.520 --> 0:13:43.240
<v Speaker 1>and a lot of the banks are starting to hedge

0:13:43.400 --> 0:13:47.560
<v Speaker 1>for slowdown and interesting already already. Well. RBC was a

0:13:47.600 --> 0:13:50.480
<v Speaker 1>case in point this morning. They owned City National Bank

0:13:50.679 --> 0:13:53.960
<v Speaker 1>in the US, so they're heading out both the US

0:13:54.040 --> 0:13:57.920
<v Speaker 1>and Canada. They not They're not position into rates, turning

0:13:57.960 --> 0:14:01.400
<v Speaker 1>over and go next going the addit direction. But they

0:14:01.440 --> 0:14:04.439
<v Speaker 1>are trying to hedge out that upside, not negative, hopefully

0:14:04.440 --> 0:14:08.120
<v Speaker 1>never negative again, well not negative. But I hear you,

0:14:08.160 --> 0:14:11.400
<v Speaker 1>I hear instead of jacking up seventy five or fifty

0:14:11.440 --> 0:14:13.680
<v Speaker 1>basis points and meeting, at some point, they're gonna start

0:14:13.679 --> 0:14:15.520
<v Speaker 1>to cut. And even Gina Martin Adams, I think we

0:14:15.520 --> 0:14:17.559
<v Speaker 1>were just hearing from critious think thinks the next year

0:14:17.600 --> 0:14:20.440
<v Speaker 1>we'll see fifty basis points of cuts. That'd be nice.

0:14:20.520 --> 0:14:22.800
<v Speaker 1>That's got to be good for the markets. My bullish call,

0:14:22.920 --> 0:14:25.320
<v Speaker 1>I mean, hopefully they get some build up, some dry

0:14:25.320 --> 0:14:27.880
<v Speaker 1>powder before that, right exactly? Yeah, alright, So Paul, we

0:14:27.960 --> 0:14:31.760
<v Speaker 1>got you know, Royal Bank of Canada, quality quality player,

0:14:32.360 --> 0:14:35.880
<v Speaker 1>doubling down on investment banking. They're in Canada. What's their

0:14:35.920 --> 0:14:39.000
<v Speaker 1>bullish call on Canada? Do you think we're If I'm

0:14:39.040 --> 0:14:40.760
<v Speaker 1>in a banker, how do how do I make money

0:14:40.760 --> 0:14:43.680
<v Speaker 1>in Canada over the next five years? Well, it's kinda

0:14:43.720 --> 0:14:46.680
<v Speaker 1>there's a closed ecosystem right in terms of the banking.

0:14:46.720 --> 0:14:48.920
<v Speaker 1>They're only a handful of banks. They're fifty banks in

0:14:48.960 --> 0:14:52.880
<v Speaker 1>total in Canada, okay, uh, and six of them essentially

0:14:52.880 --> 0:14:56.920
<v Speaker 1>around the market. So whatever the banks can do and

0:14:57.000 --> 0:14:59.440
<v Speaker 1>whenever they can get their hands and they expending the

0:14:59.480 --> 0:15:03.120
<v Speaker 1>market here in that very unique asset, they do it.

0:15:03.200 --> 0:15:05.880
<v Speaker 1>So why why does the Hong Kong Shanghai Banking Corporation

0:15:05.880 --> 0:15:09.760
<v Speaker 1>want to sell? Well, I will defer to our European

0:15:09.760 --> 0:15:12.400
<v Speaker 1>analysts who cover it, but I will mention that they

0:15:12.400 --> 0:15:14.600
<v Speaker 1>did no, no no, no, But they will mention that that

0:15:14.640 --> 0:15:18.400
<v Speaker 1>they did have came down to their lower end of

0:15:18.440 --> 0:15:22.200
<v Speaker 1>the capitol range where they wanted to be, and that

0:15:22.320 --> 0:15:25.880
<v Speaker 1>transaction what John Tye said in this note added about

0:15:25.920 --> 0:15:28.760
<v Speaker 1>a hundred thirty basis points of c to one capital.

0:15:29.360 --> 0:15:31.520
<v Speaker 1>So that puts them in a very good position in

0:15:31.600 --> 0:15:34.920
<v Speaker 1>terms of capital potentially by bags. All right, talk to

0:15:35.000 --> 0:15:39.240
<v Speaker 1>us about the Canadian residential housing market. That's different there

0:15:39.320 --> 0:15:42.760
<v Speaker 1>than it is here. It's a bigger part of the

0:15:43.040 --> 0:15:45.560
<v Speaker 1>you know, a consumer's total net worth than it is. Well,

0:15:45.560 --> 0:15:47.800
<v Speaker 1>and it was on fire for a while, right. I

0:15:47.800 --> 0:15:49.920
<v Speaker 1>don't know what are the banks saying about the real

0:15:50.040 --> 0:15:54.240
<v Speaker 1>estate market up there. It's slowing down very dramatically. It's

0:15:54.280 --> 0:15:55.960
<v Speaker 1>not just the band what the banks they're saying. We've

0:15:56.000 --> 0:16:02.440
<v Speaker 1>seen that in the numbers. Uh, But RBC, for example,

0:16:02.560 --> 0:16:05.280
<v Speaker 1>just this morning they see and it's still growing in

0:16:05.240 --> 0:16:08.120
<v Speaker 1>the mid single digits. Not the prices, not the sales,

0:16:08.200 --> 0:16:11.400
<v Speaker 1>but the mortgage loans because people still need to refinance.

0:16:11.480 --> 0:16:13.720
<v Speaker 1>Can this slightly different market. They don't have the thirty

0:16:13.760 --> 0:16:17.560
<v Speaker 1>year mortgages. The mortgages refinance every five years, so there's

0:16:17.600 --> 0:16:20.360
<v Speaker 1>a lot of turnover. That's right, That's what I was

0:16:20.360 --> 0:16:22.800
<v Speaker 1>thinking about. Yeah, they have much more interest rate risk

0:16:22.920 --> 0:16:25.760
<v Speaker 1>than we. They have more interest rate risk, but that

0:16:26.000 --> 0:16:28.600
<v Speaker 1>a lot of the interest rate risk on the customer,

0:16:28.680 --> 0:16:31.640
<v Speaker 1>not on the not on the bank cooking refinance. All right,

0:16:31.960 --> 0:16:34.280
<v Speaker 1>good stuff, Paul Goldberg, He covers a lot of the

0:16:34.320 --> 0:16:37.760
<v Speaker 1>banking stuff, including Canada for Bloomberg intell just just want

0:16:37.800 --> 0:16:39.200
<v Speaker 1>to get the latest on what was a pretty big

0:16:39.320 --> 0:16:41.200
<v Speaker 1>m and a trade up in kinda Royal Bank of

0:16:41.240 --> 0:16:45.800
<v Speaker 1>Canada acquiring HSPCs Canadian unit, doubling down on their investment banking.

0:16:48.680 --> 0:16:53.280
<v Speaker 1>Lamborghini is unveiling its latest twoundred seventy thousand dollars supercar

0:16:53.640 --> 0:16:56.280
<v Speaker 1>that apparently is ready to take drivers off the highway

0:16:56.920 --> 0:16:59.920
<v Speaker 1>and onto the dirts. We welcome now are Bloomberg Televi

0:17:00.120 --> 0:17:03.640
<v Speaker 1>an audience, our radio and listeners because we're joined by

0:17:03.640 --> 0:17:08.359
<v Speaker 1>Stephan Winkelman, he is the Lamborghini CEO and chair joining

0:17:08.440 --> 0:17:12.439
<v Speaker 1>us as well a very excited Bloomberg's Matt Miller um Stefan,

0:17:12.640 --> 0:17:15.520
<v Speaker 1>thank you very very much, indeed your time. Why are

0:17:15.560 --> 0:17:22.280
<v Speaker 1>you taking Lamborghini off road? Can Serrato is our last

0:17:23.240 --> 0:17:27.160
<v Speaker 1>internal combustion engine car only, so it's the last launch

0:17:27.200 --> 0:17:28.639
<v Speaker 1>we are going to do with a car like this.

0:17:29.520 --> 0:17:32.800
<v Speaker 1>And I think that the Lamborghini always was easy and

0:17:32.880 --> 0:17:36.480
<v Speaker 1>wars and expected unexpected. It will continue to be so.

0:17:37.119 --> 0:17:40.359
<v Speaker 1>So I think to have an old in car is

0:17:40.400 --> 0:17:43.720
<v Speaker 1>something which is incredible and it's really fun to drive,

0:17:43.840 --> 0:17:47.679
<v Speaker 1>and it's very much sticking to our DNA and all.

0:17:47.760 --> 0:17:50.480
<v Speaker 1>We have a permanent bob we drive system on this car.

0:17:50.840 --> 0:17:54.399
<v Speaker 1>There's more ground clearance, so it's very easy to drive

0:17:55.640 --> 0:17:58.880
<v Speaker 1>on the on the normal roads, on the race sick,

0:17:59.320 --> 0:18:03.560
<v Speaker 1>but also of on on gravel road. So it's fun,

0:18:03.720 --> 0:18:06.399
<v Speaker 1>it's performing, but it's also a life cycle for the

0:18:06.440 --> 0:18:08.840
<v Speaker 1>for big sit. Stephen Guy was asking me yesterday like

0:18:08.840 --> 0:18:12.000
<v Speaker 1>why would I need an off road Lamborghini um and

0:18:12.280 --> 0:18:14.480
<v Speaker 1>I pointed out that we have, you know, six to

0:18:14.520 --> 0:18:18.160
<v Speaker 1>eight inch potholes in the major highways around New York City.

0:18:18.400 --> 0:18:21.840
<v Speaker 1>That's the same in all of the major cities around

0:18:22.040 --> 0:18:24.520
<v Speaker 1>well in Europe at least, and here in the US.

0:18:24.680 --> 0:18:27.320
<v Speaker 1>Is that part of the draw, like if I'm driving

0:18:27.320 --> 0:18:30.560
<v Speaker 1>at a Venta door um I drove on recently around

0:18:30.640 --> 0:18:34.320
<v Speaker 1>Barcelona and it's kind of terrifying with such low ground clearance.

0:18:34.400 --> 0:18:35.639
<v Speaker 1>Is that part of the draw of one of these

0:18:35.680 --> 0:18:39.760
<v Speaker 1>lifted Lambos. But I think we always tried to do

0:18:39.880 --> 0:18:43.560
<v Speaker 1>something which is new and which was never there before,

0:18:44.240 --> 0:18:48.879
<v Speaker 1>and already years back we were looking into an opportunity

0:18:49.000 --> 0:18:52.440
<v Speaker 1>to do it. Seems it seemed very difficult to achieve.

0:18:53.080 --> 0:18:56.400
<v Speaker 1>But then when I came back to Lamborghini a couple

0:18:56.440 --> 0:19:00.359
<v Speaker 1>of years ago, we refocused on it and we made it.

0:19:00.400 --> 0:19:04.360
<v Speaker 1>And for sure it's a car which is very much

0:19:04.400 --> 0:19:09.080
<v Speaker 1>fitting into our environment because the situation of the infrastructure,

0:19:09.119 --> 0:19:11.840
<v Speaker 1>as you said, no in Europe, but also yeah, in

0:19:11.880 --> 0:19:14.680
<v Speaker 1>the US, is not the best one when it comes

0:19:14.720 --> 0:19:17.640
<v Speaker 1>to to the to the to the streets, so it's

0:19:18.080 --> 0:19:21.400
<v Speaker 1>very easy to drive, also with the roads which are

0:19:21.440 --> 0:19:24.399
<v Speaker 1>not in the best condition. Definitely strikes me that Folkswagen

0:19:24.440 --> 0:19:26.639
<v Speaker 1>may have brought you back to Lamborghini, not just because

0:19:26.680 --> 0:19:28.919
<v Speaker 1>you know the business and you're a great operator. But

0:19:29.560 --> 0:19:32.040
<v Speaker 1>because they may want an I p O the brand,

0:19:32.080 --> 0:19:34.520
<v Speaker 1>they just did it very successfully with Porsche, even in

0:19:34.520 --> 0:19:39.439
<v Speaker 1>a tough market. Have you prepared Lambeau for an IPL No,

0:19:39.640 --> 0:19:42.000
<v Speaker 1>there's nothing which we are doing to prepare an IPO,

0:19:42.119 --> 0:19:46.320
<v Speaker 1>So this is not on our agenda timing. Okay, okay,

0:19:46.400 --> 0:19:50.920
<v Speaker 1>But but your margins, Stefan are looking phenomenal. You've got

0:19:50.920 --> 0:19:53.520
<v Speaker 1>margins that the bit margins that are better than Ferraris

0:19:53.680 --> 0:19:57.720
<v Speaker 1>right now. I'm assuming that the new car as well

0:19:58.000 --> 0:20:01.880
<v Speaker 1>will only improve those margins. Are these martins as high

0:20:01.960 --> 0:20:04.920
<v Speaker 1>as they are because you you are sending this message

0:20:05.119 --> 0:20:07.200
<v Speaker 1>that this is a business that people would want to buy.

0:20:08.840 --> 0:20:12.840
<v Speaker 1>But I think that what we're doing is to work

0:20:12.880 --> 0:20:15.320
<v Speaker 1>on the product, to work on the brand, to do

0:20:15.720 --> 0:20:19.679
<v Speaker 1>the best we can with all the opportunities we have

0:20:19.800 --> 0:20:22.040
<v Speaker 1>on our base models and all the events and or

0:20:22.440 --> 0:20:25.520
<v Speaker 1>the hula can and the urdles to create very rates

0:20:25.560 --> 0:20:28.960
<v Speaker 1>and the brand is very young and fresh. So it's

0:20:29.000 --> 0:20:34.520
<v Speaker 1>also inviting us to to attempt new territories and to

0:20:34.680 --> 0:20:39.920
<v Speaker 1>launch things like the Serato and the results are very positive,

0:20:40.119 --> 0:20:43.919
<v Speaker 1>not only in the United States but all over the world.

0:20:44.000 --> 0:20:48.879
<v Speaker 1>And we're always selling more cars so far then we

0:20:48.880 --> 0:20:51.280
<v Speaker 1>are able to produce and this is creating already an

0:20:51.320 --> 0:20:54.399
<v Speaker 1>order bank which is exceeding creating months, and this is

0:20:54.480 --> 0:20:57.920
<v Speaker 1>very positive. Also looking into the future, which is going

0:20:57.960 --> 0:21:01.359
<v Speaker 1>to be hybrid from twenty onwards and which will be

0:21:01.440 --> 0:21:06.120
<v Speaker 1>then concluded by the end of four So we now

0:21:06.200 --> 0:21:10.200
<v Speaker 1>have the Starato, we also have the the nine eleven Tacca,

0:21:10.960 --> 0:21:15.359
<v Speaker 1>and I understand there has been some cooperation conversations between

0:21:15.359 --> 0:21:18.600
<v Speaker 1>you and Posta as as these cars have evolved. How

0:21:18.640 --> 0:21:23.960
<v Speaker 1>close is that relationship right now, Stefan. We are big groups,

0:21:23.960 --> 0:21:28.280
<v Speaker 1>so when we speak, when the brands come together, for

0:21:28.400 --> 0:21:31.520
<v Speaker 1>sure there are there is a clear positioning of the

0:21:31.640 --> 0:21:35.639
<v Speaker 1>different brands and of the cars. But everybody is proud

0:21:36.320 --> 0:21:39.200
<v Speaker 1>on doing his own product and he's trying to do

0:21:39.560 --> 0:21:43.199
<v Speaker 1>and to create the best out of what he has

0:21:43.240 --> 0:21:47.160
<v Speaker 1>in his doors. And I think that this is very good.

0:21:47.240 --> 0:21:50.280
<v Speaker 1>Then they set out towards just approved on how how

0:21:50.359 --> 0:21:53.280
<v Speaker 1>much our engineers and also our marketing people in the

0:21:53.680 --> 0:21:57.840
<v Speaker 1>in general, our people in the Stageta Bolognese are passionate

0:21:57.920 --> 0:22:01.920
<v Speaker 1>about what we're doing. Stephan. I'm lucky enough to bend

0:22:01.920 --> 0:22:05.600
<v Speaker 1>the Santa Aguta a few times. I've senior production facilities,

0:22:05.640 --> 0:22:08.840
<v Speaker 1>recommend everyone who gets a chance goes and tours the factory.

0:22:09.000 --> 0:22:11.040
<v Speaker 1>How much is that going to change when you go

0:22:11.119 --> 0:22:14.520
<v Speaker 1>to hybridization or electric cars. Are you going to have

0:22:14.560 --> 0:22:19.200
<v Speaker 1>a new infrastructure footprint? For sure? We are in fact

0:22:19.280 --> 0:22:23.760
<v Speaker 1>now we are the super sports car factory with the

0:22:23.760 --> 0:22:27.959
<v Speaker 1>Hohoda Can and the event of follower is now changing

0:22:28.000 --> 0:22:32.359
<v Speaker 1>a lot. We are building a new assembly line which

0:22:32.520 --> 0:22:35.160
<v Speaker 1>when the new Hooda Can is a hybrid is coming

0:22:35.160 --> 0:22:38.200
<v Speaker 1>at the end of four will not be too as

0:22:38.280 --> 0:22:40.920
<v Speaker 1>it today, but there will be then one line which

0:22:41.040 --> 0:22:45.040
<v Speaker 1>is being able to produce both of the super sports guys.

0:22:45.080 --> 0:22:46.919
<v Speaker 1>So we're doing a lot. It's not only about the

0:22:46.960 --> 0:22:50.840
<v Speaker 1>product and let's say the marketing, but it's also a

0:22:50.880 --> 0:22:54.159
<v Speaker 1>lot about what we're doing our factory and how we

0:22:54.200 --> 0:22:58.480
<v Speaker 1>work also without supplies, also changing all the people with

0:22:58.600 --> 0:23:05.320
<v Speaker 1>the new types of a job descriptions, a different intelligence,

0:23:05.440 --> 0:23:09.320
<v Speaker 1>and all the things which are going around the hybridization,

0:23:09.400 --> 0:23:12.640
<v Speaker 1>electification with battery technology. So when you get I mean

0:23:13.359 --> 0:23:19.679
<v Speaker 1>massive margins, everybody loves these limited edition vehicles. Are you

0:23:19.720 --> 0:23:22.639
<v Speaker 1>planning on producing more of those before you change the

0:23:22.680 --> 0:23:28.600
<v Speaker 1>production facilities? But you know by the beginning of next year.

0:23:28.640 --> 0:23:34.640
<v Speaker 1>Actually we will have a last incredible surprise on the

0:23:34.640 --> 0:23:39.320
<v Speaker 1>B twelve engine. Only there will be a very nice

0:23:39.359 --> 0:23:43.879
<v Speaker 1>announcement which I will not anticipate too much, but in

0:23:43.920 --> 0:23:47.760
<v Speaker 1>generally will do a big announcement about a single car

0:23:47.960 --> 0:23:50.960
<v Speaker 1>which is going to be phenomenal. And this system still

0:23:51.000 --> 0:23:53.880
<v Speaker 1>based on our actual bat Wealth engine and we're very

0:23:53.880 --> 0:23:59.040
<v Speaker 1>proud to talk about this when we are doing the announcement.

0:23:59.160 --> 0:24:01.480
<v Speaker 1>And again in order, can you can you reserve one

0:24:01.520 --> 0:24:05.000
<v Speaker 1>for me back for the next one. You know, we

0:24:05.080 --> 0:24:08.240
<v Speaker 1>have a queue. We have a lot of our customers

0:24:08.280 --> 0:24:12.879
<v Speaker 1>which are applying to create and we're together with us

0:24:13.359 --> 0:24:16.000
<v Speaker 1>one off, but they stakes years and we are doing

0:24:16.040 --> 0:24:20.360
<v Speaker 1>these things only once in a while. Matt's one off

0:24:20.400 --> 0:24:22.720
<v Speaker 1>as well. I think he should definitely go to the

0:24:22.720 --> 0:24:25.040
<v Speaker 1>top of the queue. Stepan come back in January. We'll

0:24:25.040 --> 0:24:27.080
<v Speaker 1>look forward to hearing about the new car. Thank you

0:24:27.160 --> 0:24:32.440
<v Speaker 1>very much, indeed for your time today. You get it

0:24:32.560 --> 0:24:36.119
<v Speaker 1>right to our next guest. James Stravitis retired admiral with

0:24:36.160 --> 0:24:39.640
<v Speaker 1>the US Navy, having served thirty seven years. He served

0:24:39.680 --> 0:24:43.520
<v Speaker 1>as a fifteenth Commander in US European Command and it's

0:24:43.560 --> 0:24:48.440
<v Speaker 1>also Natives sixteen Supreme Allied commander in Europe is also

0:24:48.480 --> 0:24:51.720
<v Speaker 1>a published author. His latest book is entitled twenty thirty four,

0:24:51.840 --> 0:24:54.480
<v Speaker 1>a Novel of the Next World World Adam, thank you

0:24:54.520 --> 0:24:56.639
<v Speaker 1>so much for joining us here. I'd love to just

0:24:56.680 --> 0:25:01.080
<v Speaker 1>get your latest thinking on Ukraine. Where could this go

0:25:01.280 --> 0:25:07.200
<v Speaker 1>in the coming days? Weeks? And dare say months? Yeah, unfortunately,

0:25:07.240 --> 0:25:09.800
<v Speaker 1>I think it will be months, but I don't think

0:25:09.840 --> 0:25:13.200
<v Speaker 1>it's going to be years. Um, let's put it this way.

0:25:13.240 --> 0:25:16.400
<v Speaker 1>At the moment, it's a tale of two wars. One

0:25:16.480 --> 0:25:19.400
<v Speaker 1>is being fought on the ground. The Ukrainians are winning

0:25:19.480 --> 0:25:22.600
<v Speaker 1>that one. They're pushing the Russians back. I like their

0:25:22.680 --> 0:25:26.560
<v Speaker 1>chances in ground warfare. The other war tail the two wars.

0:25:26.600 --> 0:25:29.879
<v Speaker 1>The other one is an air war, which Putin is winning.

0:25:30.080 --> 0:25:34.240
<v Speaker 1>He is has a much bigger air force. The Ukrainians

0:25:34.280 --> 0:25:38.040
<v Speaker 1>don't have sufficient air defense to really knock it down,

0:25:38.440 --> 0:25:41.320
<v Speaker 1>and therefore Putin is going after the electric grid, He's

0:25:41.320 --> 0:25:45.520
<v Speaker 1>going to after water supplies. He's really committing war crimes

0:25:45.560 --> 0:25:48.720
<v Speaker 1>going after the civilian population. So he's winning in the air.

0:25:49.119 --> 0:25:53.840
<v Speaker 1>Bottom line, if the US NATO to west, if we

0:25:54.080 --> 0:25:58.159
<v Speaker 1>help the Ukrainians close their skies, giving them surface to

0:25:58.240 --> 0:26:03.800
<v Speaker 1>air missiles. Patriot battery combat aircraft are under discussion. If

0:26:03.800 --> 0:26:05.920
<v Speaker 1>we take those kind of steps, take the air war

0:26:05.960 --> 0:26:09.879
<v Speaker 1>away from Putin, I think that pushes us toward a

0:26:09.920 --> 0:26:13.920
<v Speaker 1>negotiation simply because Putin begins to run out and runway here,

0:26:14.320 --> 0:26:16.879
<v Speaker 1>and I think that probably happens to put it all together,

0:26:16.960 --> 0:26:20.520
<v Speaker 1>Matt and Paul, that probably happens in the late winter

0:26:20.800 --> 0:26:23.399
<v Speaker 1>early spring of next year. Watch for this to go

0:26:23.440 --> 0:26:27.520
<v Speaker 1>to a negotiation at that point. Wow. So, by the way,

0:26:27.560 --> 0:26:30.159
<v Speaker 1>what is there to negotiate? I mean, the Ukrainians have

0:26:30.280 --> 0:26:35.080
<v Speaker 1>said they will accept nothing less than the complete um

0:26:35.280 --> 0:26:40.320
<v Speaker 1>pull out of Russia from all Ukrainian lands and territories. Yeah,

0:26:40.320 --> 0:26:43.560
<v Speaker 1>we're on a business network here, and whenever you start

0:26:43.560 --> 0:26:47.399
<v Speaker 1>a negotiation, uh, in business and or and love, you

0:26:47.480 --> 0:26:50.240
<v Speaker 1>start with a maximum list position. I'd say that's what

0:26:50.359 --> 0:26:55.640
<v Speaker 1>the Ukrainians correctly are conveying. At some point. Realistically, it's

0:26:55.640 --> 0:26:58.720
<v Speaker 1>going to be very difficult for the Ukrainians to completely

0:26:58.880 --> 0:27:02.800
<v Speaker 1>expel the Russia armed forces. That is why you have

0:27:02.880 --> 0:27:06.040
<v Speaker 1>a negotiates And I would say our job in the

0:27:06.080 --> 0:27:08.879
<v Speaker 1>West is to give the Ukrainians the tools to go

0:27:08.960 --> 0:27:15.120
<v Speaker 1>to the negotiating cable and the strongest possible position admiral.

0:27:15.160 --> 0:27:19.840
<v Speaker 1>Whose decision do you think ultimately will be to UH?

0:27:19.920 --> 0:27:22.720
<v Speaker 1>I guess build up the air defenses the air forces

0:27:22.800 --> 0:27:25.560
<v Speaker 1>of Ukraine like you suggest. Is this primarily a U

0:27:25.640 --> 0:27:28.080
<v Speaker 1>S decision or this to be a broader NATO decision

0:27:29.000 --> 0:27:32.160
<v Speaker 1>the latter And we just saw the NATO foreign ministers

0:27:32.200 --> 0:27:36.679
<v Speaker 1>get together um in Europe, to include our own Secretary

0:27:36.720 --> 0:27:39.520
<v Speaker 1>of State Tony B. Lincoln. They're backed up by the

0:27:39.560 --> 0:27:43.359
<v Speaker 1>ministers of defense, are Secretary of Defense General Lloyd to

0:27:43.359 --> 0:27:49.080
<v Speaker 1>Austin And those conversations are live, They're real. You're certainly

0:27:49.119 --> 0:27:52.679
<v Speaker 1>going to see additional air defense flowing into Ukraine. The

0:27:52.800 --> 0:27:56.240
<v Speaker 1>question that was under discussion continues to be as whether

0:27:56.560 --> 0:28:02.000
<v Speaker 1>the Ukrainians should be provided combat aircraft, either MID twenty

0:28:02.080 --> 0:28:04.920
<v Speaker 1>nine from Poland or F sixteen from the United States.

0:28:05.200 --> 0:28:08.440
<v Speaker 1>I think we will probably end up providing those sometime

0:28:08.520 --> 0:28:11.119
<v Speaker 1>in the months ahead. Is I mean, can you count

0:28:11.119 --> 0:28:14.280
<v Speaker 1>on this administration to be there? Um for Ukraine? Can

0:28:14.280 --> 0:28:17.240
<v Speaker 1>you count Washington to be there? It's not just in

0:28:17.280 --> 0:28:19.680
<v Speaker 1>the hands of the president. Of course, now that the Republicans,

0:28:19.680 --> 0:28:23.200
<v Speaker 1>a lot of whom do not want to continue um

0:28:23.240 --> 0:28:28.560
<v Speaker 1>supplying Ukraine with money or supplies. UM. I think that

0:28:28.600 --> 0:28:33.480
<v Speaker 1>there remains very strong bipartisan support. Certainly, you hear some

0:28:33.600 --> 0:28:37.199
<v Speaker 1>cracking noises on the far right, and you hear some

0:28:37.280 --> 0:28:40.080
<v Speaker 1>cracking noises on the far left. And I think that

0:28:40.240 --> 0:28:43.640
<v Speaker 1>on this one the center will hold UM and you're

0:28:43.680 --> 0:28:46.520
<v Speaker 1>going to continue to see, particularly on the Senate side.

0:28:46.520 --> 0:28:49.000
<v Speaker 1>But I think even in the House, UM, I don't

0:28:49.040 --> 0:28:52.600
<v Speaker 1>feel there's a ground swell that completely cut off E

0:28:52.800 --> 0:28:56.520
<v Speaker 1>to Ukraine. That would be disastrous economically, it would be

0:28:56.560 --> 0:29:01.520
<v Speaker 1>disastrous militarily and diplomatically go forward, it would send many

0:29:01.640 --> 0:29:05.000
<v Speaker 1>wrong signals. I don't see that happening. I think Washington

0:29:05.360 --> 0:29:09.800
<v Speaker 1>broadly will hold together. Might be some dimmusion of support,

0:29:09.840 --> 0:29:13.720
<v Speaker 1>but I think that support broadly will continue. Admiral, how

0:29:13.720 --> 0:29:16.800
<v Speaker 1>do you game out the putin risk if you will,

0:29:16.840 --> 0:29:22.080
<v Speaker 1>that perhaps he does something you know, really unusual, unwise

0:29:22.480 --> 0:29:26.280
<v Speaker 1>and it just really escalates this thing. I think that's

0:29:26.280 --> 0:29:30.200
<v Speaker 1>a possibility, UM, and I would categorize it as the

0:29:30.280 --> 0:29:35.600
<v Speaker 1>cards he's playing now cutting off hydrocarbons to Western Europe,

0:29:35.600 --> 0:29:38.120
<v Speaker 1>hoping to crack their resolved. That will play out through

0:29:38.120 --> 0:29:41.840
<v Speaker 1>the winter and this air campaign, this kind of carpet

0:29:41.920 --> 0:29:45.040
<v Speaker 1>bombing of the infrastructure. He's gonna wait to see how

0:29:45.080 --> 0:29:48.600
<v Speaker 1>those two cards play out. If neither of those produced

0:29:48.600 --> 0:29:50.960
<v Speaker 1>for him the intended result, then he might reach for

0:29:51.080 --> 0:29:55.240
<v Speaker 1>something more dramatic at the really dark end of the spectrum.

0:29:55.240 --> 0:29:57.920
<v Speaker 1>He could consider the use of the tactical nuclear weapon.

0:29:58.200 --> 0:30:01.680
<v Speaker 1>I think that's highly unlike he knows. It would cause

0:30:01.960 --> 0:30:06.600
<v Speaker 1>a massive im media shift in global attitudes toward Russia.

0:30:06.920 --> 0:30:10.800
<v Speaker 1>It would move that swing boat of India and Nigeria,

0:30:10.880 --> 0:30:13.360
<v Speaker 1>South Africa, Brazil, those countries that are kind of in

0:30:13.400 --> 0:30:15.760
<v Speaker 1>the middle on this. I don't think he goes there.

0:30:15.840 --> 0:30:18.080
<v Speaker 1>That's why I think he starts to run out of

0:30:18.120 --> 0:30:22.160
<v Speaker 1>options once these two cards I just mentioned get played. Um.

0:30:22.200 --> 0:30:25.400
<v Speaker 1>I think that's why it's unlikely he'll be able to

0:30:25.440 --> 0:30:29.719
<v Speaker 1>suddenly hit the script admire. On another note, you know

0:30:29.920 --> 0:30:33.160
<v Speaker 1>I'm a huge fan of because I tell you pretty

0:30:33.200 --> 0:30:35.920
<v Speaker 1>much every time you come on great book, and I've

0:30:36.120 --> 0:30:39.280
<v Speaker 1>gotta ask when the next one is coming? Are you

0:30:39.320 --> 0:30:42.680
<v Speaker 1>working on another novel? We are, and um I co

0:30:42.840 --> 0:30:46.800
<v Speaker 1>wrote and novel of the Next World War with Elliott Ackerman,

0:30:47.160 --> 0:30:52.360
<v Speaker 1>combat marine veteran. The next book is set entitled four

0:30:52.960 --> 0:30:58.320
<v Speaker 1>and it's about artificial intelligence, cyber and challenges here domestically

0:30:58.360 --> 0:31:01.920
<v Speaker 1>in the United States, civil disagreements in the United States

0:31:02.200 --> 0:31:08.400
<v Speaker 1>come together mid century. That's like four. This novel is

0:31:08.440 --> 0:31:11.560
<v Speaker 1>a work of cautionary fiction. We need to be careful

0:31:11.600 --> 0:31:13.560
<v Speaker 1>as we move forward in these decades. Well, and it's

0:31:13.640 --> 0:31:17.560
<v Speaker 1>kind of scary how prescient four already looks it does,

0:31:17.760 --> 0:31:21.840
<v Speaker 1>and I hope it remains fictional exactly. All right, Admiral,

0:31:21.880 --> 0:31:24.400
<v Speaker 1>thank you so much. We really appreciate it. Admiral James Trevites,

0:31:24.840 --> 0:31:29.760
<v Speaker 1>retired U S. Navy, sixteenth Supreme Supreme Allied Commander in Europe,

0:31:29.760 --> 0:31:37.400
<v Speaker 1>giving us his latest thoughts. Let's talk some technology, uh,

0:31:37.440 --> 0:31:39.560
<v Speaker 1>and because that's always fun to talk about and things

0:31:39.600 --> 0:31:41.720
<v Speaker 1>are always moving there. And to do that, we bring

0:31:41.760 --> 0:31:44.440
<v Speaker 1>in on a Rock Rana. He's a senior technology annalys

0:31:44.480 --> 0:31:46.720
<v Speaker 1>for Bloomberg Intelligence. He joins us here in our Bloomberg

0:31:46.720 --> 0:31:49.360
<v Speaker 1>Interactive Broker studio. And let's just start with Apple, but

0:31:49.360 --> 0:31:50.480
<v Speaker 1>I want to get to a couple of other names.

0:31:50.480 --> 0:31:52.640
<v Speaker 1>I see workdays of stock that's just ripping today. We'll

0:31:52.640 --> 0:31:56.160
<v Speaker 1>get to that in Apple Strike. Are they going to

0:31:56.160 --> 0:31:58.120
<v Speaker 1>to talk us about the supply chain and their ability

0:31:58.120 --> 0:32:00.920
<v Speaker 1>to deliver iPhones? And how long is this gonna be

0:32:00.920 --> 0:32:03.640
<v Speaker 1>an issue for my friends and Apple. Oh, it's going

0:32:03.680 --> 0:32:05.800
<v Speaker 1>to be an issue till they let the factories open,

0:32:05.840 --> 0:32:08.520
<v Speaker 1>and I think that is a bigger issue for everybody. Now,

0:32:09.200 --> 0:32:11.080
<v Speaker 1>all the iPhones are not made in that region or

0:32:11.160 --> 0:32:14.400
<v Speaker 1>in that factory. It's only the iPhone fourteen Pro model,

0:32:14.440 --> 0:32:16.720
<v Speaker 1>which is the more expensive model and which is in

0:32:16.880 --> 0:32:20.080
<v Speaker 1>really high demand. That this is the most important model. Yes,

0:32:20.360 --> 0:32:24.320
<v Speaker 1>so so Apple, one of the biggest and most important

0:32:24.360 --> 0:32:28.080
<v Speaker 1>companies in the world, makes basically all of its main

0:32:28.200 --> 0:32:32.080
<v Speaker 1>iPhone models in one place in China. No, no, that's

0:32:32.080 --> 0:32:35.920
<v Speaker 1>only the iPhone Pro model, the other iPhone normal models,

0:32:35.960 --> 0:32:38.880
<v Speaker 1>others that one. Right, it's no prof you're gonna spend

0:32:38.880 --> 0:32:42.320
<v Speaker 1>seven in for a grant. No, No, they they do

0:32:42.440 --> 0:32:44.960
<v Speaker 1>by the other ones as well. This is only a

0:32:44.960 --> 0:32:47.440
<v Speaker 1>small portion of it, but it makes a difference to

0:32:47.480 --> 0:32:50.040
<v Speaker 1>in terms of mathematically you're gonna lose a few billion

0:32:50.080 --> 0:32:52.680
<v Speaker 1>dollars because of it in the upcoming quarter. But the

0:32:53.040 --> 0:32:55.680
<v Speaker 1>you know, we have two very strong analysts in Asia

0:32:55.720 --> 0:32:58.760
<v Speaker 1>and they explained it to me. It's a listen. January

0:32:58.880 --> 0:33:01.560
<v Speaker 1>fab is a very slow month in production. They're gonna

0:33:01.640 --> 0:33:03.680
<v Speaker 1>make up for that at that time and for the

0:33:03.760 --> 0:33:06.640
<v Speaker 1>year it's going to be okay. So which means, you know,

0:33:06.680 --> 0:33:08.880
<v Speaker 1>sales are gonna get pushed out from the December quarter

0:33:09.040 --> 0:33:11.280
<v Speaker 1>to the Jim quarter jan Fab quarter. It's not a

0:33:11.320 --> 0:33:15.520
<v Speaker 1>big deal. And other vendors, they have a lot of

0:33:15.520 --> 0:33:17.760
<v Speaker 1>other vendors, and they've already asked them to to you know,

0:33:17.800 --> 0:33:20.880
<v Speaker 1>start preparing for making those phones going out in the

0:33:20.920 --> 0:33:24.440
<v Speaker 1>first quarters. So hopefully they asked them like five years ago.

0:33:25.280 --> 0:33:28.720
<v Speaker 1>Now again, these things do take time. So you you know,

0:33:28.760 --> 0:33:31.160
<v Speaker 1>if something happened ten days ago, you just can't you know,

0:33:31.200 --> 0:33:33.520
<v Speaker 1>start making it in you know, somebody's basement. It's it's

0:33:33.560 --> 0:33:37.600
<v Speaker 1>not that the same. So, but something happened, remember Donald Trump. No,

0:33:38.400 --> 0:33:42.600
<v Speaker 1>I mean we've been at odds with China for a while. Now.

0:33:43.120 --> 0:33:45.400
<v Speaker 1>You think that they would say, hey, let's move around

0:33:45.400 --> 0:33:47.960
<v Speaker 1>the supply chain. Here. They are moving around it. They

0:33:47.960 --> 0:33:51.000
<v Speaker 1>have plants and you know in assembly areas in India

0:33:51.000 --> 0:33:53.200
<v Speaker 1>and other areas. But again, think about it, that's something

0:33:53.240 --> 0:33:55.680
<v Speaker 1>that took twenty years to build. You just can't untravel

0:33:55.720 --> 0:33:57.600
<v Speaker 1>it and in a couple of years. It just takes time.

0:33:57.960 --> 0:34:01.200
<v Speaker 1>And I think investors don't understand that. Fit uh, And

0:34:01.560 --> 0:34:03.800
<v Speaker 1>it'll be fine. I think over the long run, they

0:34:03.840 --> 0:34:07.080
<v Speaker 1>will diversify I think it from a from a you say,

0:34:07.280 --> 0:34:09.759
<v Speaker 1>being conscious about this is a very good thing for them,

0:34:09.960 --> 0:34:12.480
<v Speaker 1>and I think they will open areas outside the offside

0:34:12.520 --> 0:34:14.920
<v Speaker 1>China is button, all right, You've been talking to us

0:34:14.960 --> 0:34:18.160
<v Speaker 1>about this cloud thing for years and years and years,

0:34:18.160 --> 0:34:21.359
<v Speaker 1>and here's another one work day. Wait a second, we're

0:34:21.360 --> 0:34:23.960
<v Speaker 1>gonna move off Apple? Yeah? I hang on a second.

0:34:24.040 --> 0:34:28.080
<v Speaker 1>Why because they are set up for stockstassive showdown. Okay,

0:34:28.120 --> 0:34:30.479
<v Speaker 1>the stock may not be moving now, but Tim Cook

0:34:30.560 --> 0:34:34.600
<v Speaker 1>is in Washington today why to meet with incoming Republicans

0:34:34.840 --> 0:34:37.120
<v Speaker 1>Because they are gaining a lot of power in Washington

0:34:37.440 --> 0:34:40.520
<v Speaker 1>and they're gonna be They're gonna be on team Elon, Right,

0:34:41.680 --> 0:34:43.680
<v Speaker 1>whose side do you want to be on? I don't.

0:34:43.880 --> 0:34:46.280
<v Speaker 1>I'm not taking a side, but I'm gonna say. Elon

0:34:46.400 --> 0:34:52.880
<v Speaker 1>Musk is now accusing Apple of uh advertising and of

0:34:53.000 --> 0:34:55.880
<v Speaker 1>cracking down on free speech. Essentially, this is kind of

0:34:55.920 --> 0:34:59.919
<v Speaker 1>a Republican rally and cry because he wants to get

0:35:00.080 --> 0:35:04.080
<v Speaker 1>out of their app store ecosystem and not pay the

0:35:04.080 --> 0:35:06.840
<v Speaker 1>thirty gate fee. So how is that going to be

0:35:06.920 --> 0:35:09.160
<v Speaker 1>set up? It's again, this is for the courts to decide,

0:35:09.160 --> 0:35:12.200
<v Speaker 1>so it's very difficult, but you know, our generally who's

0:35:12.200 --> 0:35:15.720
<v Speaker 1>are expert in this area and says listen, you know Apple,

0:35:16.120 --> 0:35:18.640
<v Speaker 1>Epic Games, make it a case against Apple, and in

0:35:18.680 --> 0:35:21.640
<v Speaker 1>the end they lost. I mean at the end of that,

0:35:21.640 --> 0:35:23.960
<v Speaker 1>that's already done. It's already been done. So he can

0:35:24.000 --> 0:35:25.799
<v Speaker 1>make a little bit cry that's okay, let him cry,

0:35:25.840 --> 0:35:28.520
<v Speaker 1>it's fine. So but our Apple investors are you talked

0:35:28.560 --> 0:35:31.600
<v Speaker 1>about they concerned about a showdown between Elon Musk and Apple.

0:35:31.960 --> 0:35:33.440
<v Speaker 1>You know, let it be because at the end of

0:35:33.480 --> 0:35:35.840
<v Speaker 1>the day that the court has already decided that's a

0:35:35.840 --> 0:35:39.319
<v Speaker 1>fair fee for placing your product on the app store.

0:35:39.600 --> 0:35:41.640
<v Speaker 1>And I think the bigger question is going to be

0:35:42.000 --> 0:35:43.560
<v Speaker 1>is he going to open it and make it a

0:35:43.560 --> 0:35:46.920
<v Speaker 1>lot more you know, crazy? And will it have content

0:35:47.040 --> 0:35:52.040
<v Speaker 1>that apps on Twitter now, yeah, can't tolerate well, has

0:35:52.080 --> 0:35:55.759
<v Speaker 1>thematic tweets from very popular people. App app store has

0:35:55.800 --> 0:35:58.880
<v Speaker 1>certain rules and it could be multiple areas. This is

0:35:58.920 --> 0:36:02.160
<v Speaker 1>just one topic that a topic talking about and if

0:36:02.239 --> 0:36:05.040
<v Speaker 1>the if Twitter you know, breaks that, it will say

0:36:05.040 --> 0:36:07.319
<v Speaker 1>you can't be on the platform. It's a very simple thing. Now,

0:36:07.360 --> 0:36:09.960
<v Speaker 1>the rules out for everybody. It's not specifically for Twitter.

0:36:10.200 --> 0:36:12.799
<v Speaker 1>Those rules are there for any other app store or

0:36:12.840 --> 0:36:16.000
<v Speaker 1>anybody who's building an application and they decided to go

0:36:16.080 --> 0:36:18.040
<v Speaker 1>break out of it, then they you know, that's that's

0:36:18.040 --> 0:36:20.080
<v Speaker 1>a problem for them, all right, So Matt wants to

0:36:20.120 --> 0:36:22.200
<v Speaker 1>stay on this story, so we'll stay on this story.

0:36:22.560 --> 0:36:25.959
<v Speaker 1>We've seen the tweets from Elon. Okay, have we seen

0:36:26.000 --> 0:36:30.040
<v Speaker 1>any response from Apple? I don't know. I just think

0:36:30.040 --> 0:36:32.600
<v Speaker 1>he said Happy Thanksgiving like a few days ago. That

0:36:32.719 --> 0:36:34.759
<v Speaker 1>was like that. That's all I can remember. So they're

0:36:34.760 --> 0:36:37.920
<v Speaker 1>not going to be going back and forth. I guess

0:36:37.920 --> 0:36:41.800
<v Speaker 1>Elon Musk's had tweeted a meme where, um, there's a

0:36:41.880 --> 0:36:44.520
<v Speaker 1>highway with the fork in the road right one one

0:36:44.640 --> 0:36:48.799
<v Speaker 1>one direction is pay gate fee to get into apple

0:36:48.840 --> 0:36:53.000
<v Speaker 1>eCos system, and one side is go to war with Apple,

0:36:53.120 --> 0:36:55.879
<v Speaker 1>and Elon must chooses go to war with Apple. Yeah,

0:36:55.920 --> 0:36:58.720
<v Speaker 1>I think this could be I think you're pretty sanguine.

0:36:58.719 --> 0:37:01.680
<v Speaker 1>I think this could be a bit more than a ripple. Yeah.

0:37:01.760 --> 0:37:03.799
<v Speaker 1>But the thing is that, I mean, frankly, you know,

0:37:03.840 --> 0:37:05.360
<v Speaker 1>he can go make a phone and then figure it

0:37:05.400 --> 0:37:07.960
<v Speaker 1>out his his company makes what eight ten billion in

0:37:08.000 --> 0:37:11.000
<v Speaker 1>free cash flow? Apple makes hundred billion. Let's see how

0:37:11.040 --> 0:37:14.480
<v Speaker 1>that how that shows up? Okay, Okay, well, well we'll

0:37:14.480 --> 0:37:16.880
<v Speaker 1>watch this space because I think you could see a

0:37:16.920 --> 0:37:20.240
<v Speaker 1>Republican Congress start to act on this try and crack

0:37:20.280 --> 0:37:23.880
<v Speaker 1>down more on Apple. We've already seen even Democrats like

0:37:23.920 --> 0:37:27.239
<v Speaker 1>Elizabeth Warren have already commented today that they want to

0:37:27.719 --> 0:37:30.040
<v Speaker 1>uh that they want to crack down on this monopoly.

0:37:30.640 --> 0:37:33.239
<v Speaker 1>They have a problem with the app stare. Everybody wants

0:37:33.280 --> 0:37:35.160
<v Speaker 1>to crack down on big tech. But at the end

0:37:35.160 --> 0:37:38.000
<v Speaker 1>of the day, quotes to you know matter all right,

0:37:38.440 --> 0:37:40.520
<v Speaker 1>good stuff will pay attention. And plus there's the isn't

0:37:40.520 --> 0:37:43.600
<v Speaker 1>there an aroid android thing out there too? What were

0:37:43.640 --> 0:37:45.960
<v Speaker 1>you talking about? World calm or something? What was the stocky?

0:37:47.840 --> 0:37:49.960
<v Speaker 1>It's a forty billion dollar market kept stock ups. The

0:37:50.000 --> 0:37:53.480
<v Speaker 1>main of my existence work day is yeah, exactly all right.

0:37:53.480 --> 0:37:55.440
<v Speaker 1>I don't know Ron. It covers all things technology for

0:37:55.480 --> 0:37:58.360
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Intelligence. He graced us with his presence here in

0:37:58.360 --> 0:38:04.840
<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg Interactive Brokeer Studio. We appreciate that. Thanks for

0:38:04.840 --> 0:38:08.319
<v Speaker 1>listening to the Bloomberg Markets podcast. You can subscribe and

0:38:08.400 --> 0:38:12.480
<v Speaker 1>listen to interviews with Apple podcasts or whatever podcast platform

0:38:12.520 --> 0:38:15.839
<v Speaker 1>you prefer. I'm Matt Miller. I'm on Twitter at Matt

0:38:15.880 --> 0:38:20.240
<v Speaker 1>Miller on Fall Sweeney, I'm on Twitter at pt Sweeney.

0:38:20.280 --> 0:38:22.920
<v Speaker 1>Before the podcast, you can always catch us worldwide at

0:38:22.960 --> 0:38:23.719
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Radio