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Speaker 1: Hey guys, how are you happy Friday? My name is

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Speaker 1: Matt Parralt. With you every morning here for the Daily

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Speaker 1: Juice podcast, always being brought to you by bet MGM

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Speaker 1: Betting Pros. Where you find this podcast audio everywhere anywhere

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Speaker 1: you get your audio podcasts or the video on YouTube.

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Speaker 1: Just go and search Betting Pros to get in Betting

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Speaker 1: Pros and our friends at betmgm this offer. It is

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Speaker 1: a ten dollars offer to win one hundred and fifty

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Speaker 1: dollars on any event using that promo code Juice one fifty,

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Speaker 1: which is always right above me if you ever forget

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Speaker 1: it on YouTube Juice one fifty BETMGM, betmgm dot com.

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Speaker 1: All right, so a cool down day yesterday, down one unit.

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Speaker 1: We lose on both bets to the under the Wisconsin bet.

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Speaker 1: I knew we were in trouble, and I just didn't

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Speaker 1: have the guts to bet the second half over. I

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Speaker 1: probably should have. I was doing a bunch of things

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Speaker 1: and I was like, Wisconsin scored forty five points in

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Speaker 1: the first half. Uh oh, because we knew that. I mean,

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Speaker 1: Iowa was the number one scoring team in the first

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Speaker 1: half with forty four points a game, and they scored

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Speaker 1: thirty two, so Iowa was going to score a bit

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Speaker 1: in the second half. But eighty some odd points for

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Speaker 1: Wisconsin was a shocker. So that game flew over by

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Speaker 1: about twenty points. Dead wrong. There a little bit closer

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Speaker 1: with the Celtics and the Knicks got a couple of

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Speaker 1: bad breaks. If Jason Tatum doesn't hit the shot to

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Speaker 1: tie the game, you know, maybe the Nicks dribble it out,

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Speaker 1: maybe we survive, and we get ourselves a lucky under

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Speaker 1: to eleven. But there is your CLV Society example of

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Speaker 1: when it doesn't matter. We had a great number to

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Speaker 1: eleven to ten, two, nine to eight, to oh seven,

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Speaker 1: all of them lose. Game goes over bank shot three

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Speaker 1: by r. J. Barrett to win the game for the Knicks.

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Speaker 1: So we go zero to two on the night. All right,

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Speaker 1: So here's what I'm going to do here for today.

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Speaker 1: I've got two more basketball plays, one in the NBA

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Speaker 1: in one in college basketball, just like last night. But

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Speaker 1: I'm going light. Okay again, these are picks. You can

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Speaker 1: keep it, bet it, leave it, whatever you want to

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Speaker 1: do with it. Okay. I don't love betting on basketball

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Speaker 1: right now, I'm not betting hockey. It's a very thin

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Speaker 1: slate for hockey. Two games in college I'm taking a

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Speaker 1: look at I'm eyeballing or sorry, one game in college.

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Speaker 1: One game in the pros that I'm eyeballing here on

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Speaker 1: a Friday night, but really, Saturday, Sunday Monday we get rolling. Okay,

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Speaker 1: we have Saturday play. We have Saturday Week eighteen, Sunday

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Speaker 1: Week eighteen, Monday college Football National Championship. Got to figure

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Speaker 1: out what I'm doing with that game on Monday. I

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Speaker 1: just don't know yet. It's going to be tough. I mean,

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Speaker 1: we're six and oh in twenty twenty two for college football,

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Speaker 1: and we're up twelve units in college football. We're down

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Speaker 1: twelve units in the NFL, but we're up twelve units.

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Speaker 1: Being down twelve units in the NFL leads me to

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Speaker 1: my first bet of the day. I tease this on

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Speaker 1: the Discord channel last night. Okay, the Tennessee Titans. The

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Speaker 1: Tennessee Titans before they become the official one seed. You

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Speaker 1: can get the Titans at five to one to win

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Speaker 1: the AFC right now. Okay, search around, try to find it.

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Speaker 1: Some books are at four to one, Some books are

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Speaker 1: at five to one for the Titans. To win the AFC. Now,

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Speaker 1: if the Titans go ahead and win, most likely they're

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Speaker 1: going to win this weekend, right, I mean, the Texans

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Speaker 1: are bad, they win, they're the one seed. Let's play

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Speaker 1: out the bracket here for just one second, so the

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Speaker 1: Titans get to buy, right, so they don't play on

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Speaker 1: wild card weekend, Dereck Henry gets to rest, and Derek

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Speaker 1: Henry's back at practice. Dereck Henry at home. Running the

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Speaker 1: football against a Buffalo Bills team that couldn't stop the

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Speaker 1: Patriots running the football is a very nice scenario, all right,

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Speaker 1: Titans win one game and they are in the AFC

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Speaker 1: Championship Game. So essentially this bet comes down to whether

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Speaker 1: or not the Titans can beat the Bills. So what

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Speaker 1: we could potentially do if we get there and the

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Speaker 1: Titans are the one set against Buffalo, depending on where

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Speaker 1: the numbers are, you actually could bet the Buffalo Bills

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Speaker 1: knowing that we've got the other side with the Titans. Okay,

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Speaker 1: but if you don't want to hedge twice, because that's

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Speaker 1: what you'd have to do, Titans just win the game.

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Speaker 1: They beat the Buffalo Bills outright, and they are in

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Speaker 1: the AFC Championship game. What do you think the odds

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Speaker 1: are going to be. The Titans might be home dogs

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Speaker 1: if their favorites against the Chiefs. It's a small line

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Speaker 1: minus one, minus two type of thing. If they are favorite,

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Speaker 1: you can come back. We can come back, and we

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Speaker 1: can bet on the Chiefs if we get plus money

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Speaker 1: on KC, and even if we don't, we can still

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Speaker 1: bet CAC. It's probably gonna be a short number, probably

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Speaker 1: minus you know, one, twenty one, fifteen, somewhere in that range.

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Speaker 1: Bet the Chiefs for one unit, and then we basically

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Speaker 1: hedge ourselves on both sides and we're good. Right. We

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Speaker 1: can bet to peing on how much we want to

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Speaker 1: wager on because we know that we've got a five

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Speaker 1: to one return on the Titans to win the AFC.

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Speaker 1: And on the other side, you take the one unit

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Speaker 1: win for Kansas City, or you bet two units on

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Speaker 1: KC to win two units, and it's either we win

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Speaker 1: five or we win two lose one. Come out up one.

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Speaker 1: I'm betting on the Titans officially one unit. Let's try

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Speaker 1: to make some money back. Let's try to make a dent.

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Speaker 1: If you want to let it ride, and I might

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Speaker 1: just let it ride depending on how the playoffs go.

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Speaker 1: I may have the Titans to win the AFC and

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Speaker 1: go to the super Bowl. And if that happens, if

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Speaker 1: the Titans are in the super Bowl, boy oh boy,

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Speaker 1: that would be something. But the return of Derrick Henry

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Speaker 1: with fresh legs? Are you kidding me? Dereck Henry with

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Speaker 1: fresh legs? It's you know how dominant he is in

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Speaker 1: September right, It's like, oh my gosh, takes five guys

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Speaker 1: to tackle him. This guy, I know, coming back off

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Speaker 1: of an injury. Gotta be worried about that. But I

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Speaker 1: love this idea that the Titans defense is good enough

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Speaker 1: to slow down the Bills and the Chiefs to allow

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Speaker 1: Derrick Henry to run the football. The bet comes down

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Speaker 1: to Ryan Tannehill. You can't blow it Ryan Tannehill. But

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Speaker 1: as long as he doesn't, I think the Titans are

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Speaker 1: going to go to Los Angeles. I really do. They

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Speaker 1: probably don't win it, but I think they're going to

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Speaker 1: the Super Bowl. I think the Titans are. And even

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Speaker 1: if they're not, this gives us a flag. You put

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Speaker 1: a flag down five to one, the Titans five to

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Speaker 1: one plus fifth plus five hundred to win the AFC

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Speaker 1: one unit bet is what I am doing here. Maybe

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Speaker 1: we make five units back, and what a beautiful dent

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Speaker 1: that would make in our negative minus twelve units down

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Speaker 1: for the NFL. Maybe this is the time I think

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Speaker 1: this is worth the shot plus five hundred Titans. We're

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Speaker 1: going plus five hundred on the Titans to win the

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Speaker 1: AFC for one unit. All right, let's get to the

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Speaker 1: games tonight. Let's start in the NBA. It's the big

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Speaker 1: one at the Nets numbers three and a half. There

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Speaker 1: are big COVID problems for the Milwaukee Bucks. All right.

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Speaker 1: Drew Holliday is in the protocols. He is out, So

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Speaker 1: is Pat Connington. So is Grayson Allen, so is George Hill. Okay, now,

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Speaker 1: no Kyrie for the Brooklyn Nets. Big deal. They just

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Speaker 1: came up with a really impressive, very big, big, big

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Speaker 1: deal win for them in the last game. Kyrie can't

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Speaker 1: play in this game. But Kevin Durant ken Brooklyn is

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Speaker 1: a small favorite minus three and a half. But have

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Speaker 1: you seen what the Milwaukee Bucks have done this year

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Speaker 1: as a dog? It is wild. Let's go through the

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Speaker 1: whole schedule for the Milwaukee Bucks when they are catching

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Speaker 1: points this season Okay against Miami on the road, catching

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Speaker 1: two and a half, they lost by forty two. Catching five.

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Speaker 1: Against Utah at home, they lost by twelve, catching three

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Speaker 1: and a half. Against the New York Knicks on the road,

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Speaker 1: they won the game by twelve, catching five and a half.

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Speaker 1: Against Boston. Two nights later on the road, they lost

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Speaker 1: by nine, catching two Against Atlanta two nights later, they

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Speaker 1: lost by twenty. Later in the season, they went a

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Speaker 1: pretty good stretch of being favors, and then they caught

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Speaker 1: one point against Toronto back on the twelfth, the second

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Speaker 1: of December, catching one, lost the game by four, catching three.

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Speaker 1: Against Indiana, they won the game by fifteen points. On

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Speaker 1: the fifteenth of December, but then against New Orleans they

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Speaker 1: caught one and a half. They lost by four. Against Cleveland,

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Speaker 1: they were catching six they lost by twenty nine. They're

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Speaker 1: two and seven against the spread as underdogs this season,

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Speaker 1: and they've been blown out by numerous teams when they

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Speaker 1: have been underdogs this year. It's a wacko weirir are

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Speaker 1: a wacko year. They are eleven and nine on the

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Speaker 1: road against the spread overall, but they haven't covered their

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Speaker 1: last two games, both at home against Detroit and against Toronto.

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Speaker 1: Giannis was out the game against Toronto, lost the game

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Speaker 1: by six. As two and a half point favorites. Ghanas

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Speaker 1: should play in this game, but Soshia Kevin Durant, how

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Speaker 1: about the Brooklyn Nets. They suck at home against the number.

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Speaker 1: They're four fourteen and one, four fourteen and one to

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Speaker 1: the to the number at home. That is awful, But

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Speaker 1: I'm backing them. I'm gonna lay the three and a

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Speaker 1: half here with the Brooklyn Nets because of how bad

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Speaker 1: the the Milwaukee Bucks are as a dog this season,

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Speaker 1: and because they're gonna be without numerous players, their bench

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Speaker 1: and starting rotation severely knocked up due to COVID. I know,

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Speaker 1: Kyrie Irving, that's significant. But look, Net's got that win

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Speaker 1: on the road against Indiana one nine, one twenty one.

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Speaker 1: Maybe they turned things around. They snapped their three game

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Speaker 1: winning streak. Maybe they've righted the ship here a little bit.

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Speaker 1: Back to back losses for the Milwaukee Bucks, COVID's kicking

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Speaker 1: their tail. I don't think they're gonna be anywhere near

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Speaker 1: one hundred percent. I'll lay the short number for a

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Speaker 1: home favorite, Brooklyn minus three and a half, hopefully, Kevin

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Speaker 1: Durant goes off here Brooklyn minus three and a half

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Speaker 1: for half a unit's play number one here on a Friday,

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Speaker 1: and play number two. We're going to college basketball. We're

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Speaker 1: going to the Big East. We're going to Marquette and Georgetown.

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Speaker 1: Marquette favored by two and a half total at one

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Speaker 1: fifty three all right to the over. Marquette this year

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Speaker 1: eight six and one to the over Georgetown six and five.

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Speaker 1: Georgetown coming off of a COVID stoppage. They have not

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Speaker 1: played since a game against TCU back on the eighteenth

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Speaker 1: of December. Okay, last three games for Marquette, they have

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Speaker 1: scored eighty eight, sixty nine, and seventy points. The over

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Speaker 1: has gone to on two to one over those last

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Speaker 1: three games. Last game went over by five, the Creighton

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Speaker 1: game went to overtime, it still went under even and

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Speaker 1: overtime under by two and a half points. And against

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Speaker 1: Connecticut it went over by seven and a half points

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Speaker 1: in an eight point loss at home to Yukon. They're

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Speaker 1: on the road here, going to Georgetown. Georgetown at home

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Speaker 1: is five and three to the over. This season. Three

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Speaker 1: to the last four games for Georgetown, all at home,

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Speaker 1: have all gone over TCU and Howard went over by

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Speaker 1: eight and a half a point against Maryland. Baltimore County

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Speaker 1: went over by eighteen Syracuse given their defense that came

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Speaker 1: went under by a half a point, just barely miss

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Speaker 1: going over. A seventy nine to seventy five win for

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Speaker 1: Georgetown against Syracuse. In that game, the total is one

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Speaker 1: fifty three. When I'm eyeballing right now, we star up

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Speaker 1: breaking down the stats for these two teams. And again,

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Speaker 1: I know George Soun's coming off of a COVID stoppage.

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Speaker 1: I just, for the most part, I think people are

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Speaker 1: over valuing or over handicapping when it comes to COVID stoppages.

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Speaker 1: But maybe their legs aren't going to be there, and

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Speaker 1: maybe defensively they won't be that sharp. That means more

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Speaker 1: points for Marquette. So even if they aren't great off

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Speaker 1: the COVID stoppage, I think it helps us here because

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Speaker 1: I like the over one point fifty three. Marquette scores

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Speaker 1: seventy three point four points per game, but Georgetown gives

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Speaker 1: up seventy three points a game. That's two hundred and

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Speaker 1: forty eighth in college basketball. Yikes. Georgetown scores seventy seven

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Speaker 1: points per game, but Marquette gives up seventy point three

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Speaker 1: points per game. That's one hundred and ninety first in

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Speaker 1: college basketball. These teams don't play defense. Okay, they don't

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Speaker 1: stop anybody. They don't play defense. I mean effective field

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Speaker 1: goal percentage. Georgetown forty nine point six given up. That's

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Speaker 1: one hundred and eighty first in college basketball. That is

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Speaker 1: absolutely awful in college basketball. They give up not so

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Speaker 1: many three pointers. I mean, Marquette doesn't shoot a bunch

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Speaker 1: of threes. They're really down in three point percentage. But

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Speaker 1: Georgetown shoots it hits thirty nine point two percent of

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Speaker 1: their threes on the year, thirteenth best in college basketball.

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Speaker 1: Marquette gives up thirty one point eight that's one hundred

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Speaker 1: and eighteenth in college basketball. So George down hits their

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Speaker 1: threes and Marquette hits their twos. Marquette runs, runs, runs,

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Speaker 1: gets up and down. We start looking at ken Palm

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Speaker 1: for adjusted tempo. It's in Georgetown right now is twenty

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Speaker 1: third in the country in adjusted tempo. Do you know

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Speaker 1: who is twenty two? Twenty two is Marquette, which is

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Speaker 1: right behind them here for adjusted tempo, which I think

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Speaker 1: is really really interesting. It's just a number of possessions

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Speaker 1: these teams are having over the course of over a game,

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Speaker 1: seventy two point six and seventy two point five, twenty

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Speaker 1: two and twenty three in the country. So they get

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Speaker 1: up and down they go. Marquete goes fast, Shaka Smart's

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Speaker 1: got them moving. Defense not so much, Georgetown moving really fast,

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Speaker 1: Jack and threes. Let's hit shots, let's go up tempo,

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Speaker 1: let's go lots of points. Half a unit over Marquette

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Speaker 1: and Georgetown in the Big East. Here on a Friday

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Speaker 1: night for a half a unit. All right, three plays

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Speaker 1: for you guys, one future bet and two bets on

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Speaker 1: a Friday coming up. We got playoff games on Saturday.

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Speaker 1: Got tons of stuff to get into. And by the way,

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Speaker 1: if you're in New York, welcome to the party, guys.

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Speaker 1: You guys can bet now on your mobile application. Here

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Speaker 1: the bet MGM offer. I don't know if that's gonna

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Speaker 1: but I don't think it. I don't think it works yet,

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Speaker 1: but it may work soon. So when you guys are

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Speaker 1: to one plus five hundred to win the AFC for

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Speaker 1: one unit half a unit. We're going Brooklyn minus three

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Speaker 1: and a half against Milwaukee, and we're going over one

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Speaker 1: fifty three for Marquette in Georgetown. Here on a Friday night,

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Speaker 1: minus Matt Parol to follow me on Twitter at Sports

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Speaker 1: Talk Matt. Each other morning, it's the Daily Juice Podcast,

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Speaker 1: always being brought to you by bet MGM.