1 00:00:14,240 --> 00:00:15,920 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you happy? Saturday? 2 00:00:15,960 --> 00:00:18,880 Speaker 2: Welcome into another episode of the Daily Juice podcast with 3 00:00:18,920 --> 00:00:21,279 Speaker 2: me Matt Perelt at Sports Talk Matt to follow me 4 00:00:21,320 --> 00:00:23,960 Speaker 2: across all socials and this podcast being brought to you 5 00:00:24,040 --> 00:00:26,479 Speaker 2: by our friends at olmah Steaks dot com. You guys 6 00:00:26,520 --> 00:00:28,120 Speaker 2: know that you are al, but now almost as dot 7 00:00:28,120 --> 00:00:32,320 Speaker 2: com slash Juice subscriptions are available. When you get a subscription, 8 00:00:32,440 --> 00:00:34,720 Speaker 2: you get ten percent off everything you buy at almost 9 00:00:34,720 --> 00:00:36,680 Speaker 2: steaks dot com and they're gonna give you free burgers 10 00:00:36,720 --> 00:00:40,440 Speaker 2: for life, plus that one hundred money back guarantee at 11 00:00:40,440 --> 00:00:43,320 Speaker 2: almost steaks dot com slash juice. Go check it out. 12 00:00:43,840 --> 00:00:48,519 Speaker 2: We have to keep the backdrop different. Why that is 13 00:00:48,680 --> 00:00:52,520 Speaker 2: five consecutive full unit plays that have cashed for us 14 00:00:52,560 --> 00:00:54,080 Speaker 2: here with the Daily Juice. 15 00:00:54,760 --> 00:00:57,920 Speaker 1: All of a sudden we're having a winning week. Amazing 16 00:00:57,960 --> 00:00:58,600 Speaker 1: how that works? 17 00:00:58,680 --> 00:01:02,200 Speaker 2: Right? This is the roller coaster. I'm not gonna sit 18 00:01:02,240 --> 00:01:03,959 Speaker 2: here and tell you I'm gonna win today because who knows, 19 00:01:04,040 --> 00:01:07,920 Speaker 2: I probably won't. But one in two, one in two, 20 00:01:08,360 --> 00:01:12,320 Speaker 2: one in two, three and oh two and oh that 21 00:01:12,480 --> 00:01:16,840 Speaker 2: is betting. That is the roller coaster. So for the 22 00:01:16,959 --> 00:01:20,520 Speaker 2: DMS I got comparing me to book at Trent and 23 00:01:20,560 --> 00:01:23,320 Speaker 2: all the other people saying I can't bet and I 24 00:01:23,360 --> 00:01:27,400 Speaker 2: don't know what I'm talking about, And Okay, that's fine, man, 25 00:01:27,440 --> 00:01:30,360 Speaker 2: I mean that's say and do whatever you want. 26 00:01:30,440 --> 00:01:32,480 Speaker 1: Just keep on watching, keep on listening. 27 00:01:32,640 --> 00:01:34,200 Speaker 2: I don't care what you write, I don't care what 28 00:01:34,240 --> 00:01:36,119 Speaker 2: you say, as long as you keep on coming back. Now, 29 00:01:36,319 --> 00:01:38,280 Speaker 2: the Discord Channel is a little bit of a different world. 30 00:01:38,360 --> 00:01:40,560 Speaker 2: That is a community. So like you, you come in 31 00:01:40,600 --> 00:01:42,920 Speaker 2: there and you kind of pee in the cheerios, Eh, 32 00:01:43,120 --> 00:01:44,000 Speaker 2: we're gonna kick you out. 33 00:01:44,080 --> 00:01:45,240 Speaker 1: That's kind of how that's gonna work. 34 00:01:45,280 --> 00:01:48,200 Speaker 2: But as long as you're respectful and you know there 35 00:01:48,200 --> 00:01:49,960 Speaker 2: to have a good time like everybody else, you're more 36 00:01:49,960 --> 00:01:52,559 Speaker 2: than welcome to hop on in two player props got 37 00:01:52,880 --> 00:01:55,640 Speaker 2: given out correctly. Two player props got given out incorrectly. 38 00:01:55,640 --> 00:02:00,320 Speaker 2: Went two and two, literally flat like down zero point 39 00:02:00,560 --> 00:02:03,800 Speaker 2: zero two, like not even anything to talk about for us. 40 00:02:03,840 --> 00:02:06,080 Speaker 2: In the player prop model, Giannis hit a three. We 41 00:02:06,120 --> 00:02:09,000 Speaker 2: got that right. We got the rebounds over for Valahunas. 42 00:02:10,240 --> 00:02:13,040 Speaker 2: We could have swept it, Luca and it was three. 43 00:02:13,440 --> 00:02:16,400 Speaker 2: We bet over three and a half threes and Ingram 44 00:02:16,480 --> 00:02:19,240 Speaker 2: finished with one. We bet over one and a half threes, 45 00:02:19,480 --> 00:02:22,000 Speaker 2: So that was kind of a disappointment Ingram went one 46 00:02:22,040 --> 00:02:24,160 Speaker 2: for two, Luca went three for nine. He had plenty 47 00:02:24,160 --> 00:02:26,079 Speaker 2: of chances. He scored thirty eight points, so it was 48 00:02:26,160 --> 00:02:29,840 Speaker 2: kind of those numbers are right, they're red hot, razor 49 00:02:29,880 --> 00:02:32,560 Speaker 2: sharp numbers there on that. So Luca went over the 50 00:02:32,600 --> 00:02:35,160 Speaker 2: points prop. The points prop was a better play for Luca, 51 00:02:35,280 --> 00:02:38,440 Speaker 2: not his three point shot. But I thought the points hit, 52 00:02:38,600 --> 00:02:40,400 Speaker 2: then the three point prop should hit. 53 00:02:41,040 --> 00:02:41,840 Speaker 1: Four for nine. 54 00:02:41,880 --> 00:02:44,200 Speaker 2: We're good three for nine, We're not just the way 55 00:02:44,200 --> 00:02:46,360 Speaker 2: that it goes. So two and two there, two and 56 00:02:46,400 --> 00:02:49,160 Speaker 2: zero on the under with the Bucks again, two unders 57 00:02:49,160 --> 00:02:52,520 Speaker 2: that came rolling in for us with the NBA can't 58 00:02:52,919 --> 00:02:55,240 Speaker 2: quit it. I got an NBA play, I got a 59 00:02:55,240 --> 00:02:58,440 Speaker 2: hockey play, and I've got three college basketball plays for 60 00:02:58,560 --> 00:02:59,560 Speaker 2: us going on here. 61 00:02:59,600 --> 00:03:01,480 Speaker 1: Four to day. Let's start with the game of the 62 00:03:01,560 --> 00:03:02,040 Speaker 1: day for me. 63 00:03:02,720 --> 00:03:04,720 Speaker 2: The Creighton Blue Jays are laying four and a half 64 00:03:04,800 --> 00:03:09,880 Speaker 2: at home against Marquette. Now, this is the annual whiteout game. 65 00:03:10,600 --> 00:03:13,600 Speaker 2: So I had a hand in this way back in 66 00:03:13,680 --> 00:03:16,120 Speaker 2: like two thousand and seven when the Creighton Blue Jays 67 00:03:16,120 --> 00:03:20,080 Speaker 2: were not doing whiteout games and I was on my 68 00:03:20,200 --> 00:03:23,160 Speaker 2: radio show. I worked afternoon drive in Omaha, and I 69 00:03:23,200 --> 00:03:25,440 Speaker 2: did the pre and postgame show for the Creighton Blue Jays. 70 00:03:25,440 --> 00:03:27,320 Speaker 2: In case you wonder where the Creighton love comes from, 71 00:03:27,360 --> 00:03:30,560 Speaker 2: that's where it comes from. So I noticed that they 72 00:03:30,600 --> 00:03:33,400 Speaker 2: weren't doing what was being done around the country. They 73 00:03:33,400 --> 00:03:35,440 Speaker 2: weren't doing white out. So I started talking about it, 74 00:03:35,480 --> 00:03:37,520 Speaker 2: like every day on my radio show. Why not do 75 00:03:37,560 --> 00:03:39,440 Speaker 2: a white out. Let's do a white out. And so 76 00:03:39,520 --> 00:03:41,840 Speaker 2: they did it against witch Dall State at the time 77 00:03:42,360 --> 00:03:44,880 Speaker 2: was the biggest rival for the Creighton Blue Jays in 78 00:03:44,920 --> 00:03:48,840 Speaker 2: the Valley. It was a huge game, huge rival. My 79 00:03:48,960 --> 00:03:52,080 Speaker 2: photographer at the time, a guy who still shoots Creighton 80 00:03:52,120 --> 00:03:56,320 Speaker 2: basketball games now, took a picture, blew it up, framed 81 00:03:56,320 --> 00:03:57,080 Speaker 2: it and gave it to me. 82 00:03:57,160 --> 00:03:57,960 Speaker 1: I still have it. 83 00:03:57,960 --> 00:04:00,400 Speaker 2: It's in Massachusetts, it's not with me here in Vegas, 84 00:04:00,400 --> 00:04:02,360 Speaker 2: but I still have it from the first ever white 85 00:04:02,400 --> 00:04:04,520 Speaker 2: out game, and like I just walked around. 86 00:04:04,560 --> 00:04:06,000 Speaker 1: I was like, this is awesome. I was like, look 87 00:04:06,040 --> 00:04:06,320 Speaker 1: at this. 88 00:04:06,840 --> 00:04:10,480 Speaker 2: And now we're here going into i mean years later, 89 00:04:10,640 --> 00:04:14,560 Speaker 2: nearly you know, it's two thousand and seven. We're talking 90 00:04:14,560 --> 00:04:18,920 Speaker 2: about almost twenty years of this happening, right, So it's 91 00:04:18,960 --> 00:04:22,080 Speaker 2: really cool. It's awesome to see it still going on, 92 00:04:22,880 --> 00:04:25,479 Speaker 2: and this is a big game. It's a big game 93 00:04:25,520 --> 00:04:27,039 Speaker 2: every year when they do the white out, but this 94 00:04:27,080 --> 00:04:28,960 Speaker 2: is a huge game for the Creton Blue Jays up 95 00:04:28,960 --> 00:04:33,920 Speaker 2: against Marquette. They beat Yukon in this building. They lost 96 00:04:34,040 --> 00:04:39,000 Speaker 2: to Marquette at Marquette in the first matchup the Jays 97 00:04:39,440 --> 00:04:42,960 Speaker 2: were at Marquette. They lost seventy two to sixty seven. 98 00:04:43,480 --> 00:04:45,600 Speaker 2: They opened up the league play oho and two if 99 00:04:45,600 --> 00:04:48,640 Speaker 2: you remember, lost to Nova, lost to Marquette. Jays are 100 00:04:48,680 --> 00:04:52,560 Speaker 2: now twelve and six with a chance to win against Marquette. 101 00:04:52,680 --> 00:04:53,800 Speaker 1: It is Senior Day. 102 00:04:54,400 --> 00:04:57,920 Speaker 2: When I tell you that, Senior Day is always really 103 00:04:58,000 --> 00:05:01,159 Speaker 2: hard for the Creton Blue Jays and any program, Senior 104 00:05:01,240 --> 00:05:02,479 Speaker 2: Day is a really hard day. 105 00:05:03,080 --> 00:05:05,320 Speaker 1: You do not want to go out a loser for 106 00:05:05,360 --> 00:05:06,040 Speaker 1: your seniors. 107 00:05:06,360 --> 00:05:08,960 Speaker 2: And for some of the players, either A they will 108 00:05:09,000 --> 00:05:11,440 Speaker 2: transfer out they know it, or B they're going to 109 00:05:11,520 --> 00:05:14,400 Speaker 2: go pro. Mike Trey Alexander going professional is very likely. 110 00:05:15,880 --> 00:05:17,920 Speaker 2: He's going to be probably a second round pick, maybe 111 00:05:17,920 --> 00:05:20,039 Speaker 2: a late first round pick, but he's going to be 112 00:05:20,800 --> 00:05:22,840 Speaker 2: in the NBA on a bench. You know, he just 113 00:05:22,920 --> 00:05:28,280 Speaker 2: has a really smooth game that NBA guards are lacking. Frankly, 114 00:05:28,320 --> 00:05:31,440 Speaker 2: at the moment, right now, So mid range game and 115 00:05:31,520 --> 00:05:34,960 Speaker 2: just a really good shooter. So he'll go out. Baylor Shireman, 116 00:05:35,080 --> 00:05:37,600 Speaker 2: this is it. He's out of eligibility. So he came 117 00:05:37,640 --> 00:05:39,880 Speaker 2: back for one more year, used the COVID year, and 118 00:05:39,880 --> 00:05:41,000 Speaker 2: that's it for Baylor Shireman. 119 00:05:41,080 --> 00:05:41,599 Speaker 1: So he's out. 120 00:05:41,800 --> 00:05:44,200 Speaker 2: There's questions about Ryan Cochbrewner, will he'd be back next year, 121 00:05:44,240 --> 00:05:45,880 Speaker 2: will he used the COVID year, will he go to 122 00:05:45,920 --> 00:05:49,880 Speaker 2: the NBA. So there's a lot of finality at the 123 00:05:49,960 --> 00:05:53,080 Speaker 2: end of this. They host a ceremony at the end, 124 00:05:53,240 --> 00:05:56,800 Speaker 2: like every team does. It's always really emotionally charged, and 125 00:05:56,839 --> 00:06:00,599 Speaker 2: it sucks when you lose, man, it sucks and you lose. 126 00:06:01,440 --> 00:06:05,800 Speaker 2: So look at there's two ways to play this. Okay, 127 00:06:06,200 --> 00:06:08,320 Speaker 2: there's two ways to play this. The total for this 128 00:06:08,400 --> 00:06:12,520 Speaker 2: game is one fifty five. It's four and a half. 129 00:06:12,960 --> 00:06:16,640 Speaker 2: It feels a little heavy. I'm not gonna lie. It 130 00:06:16,680 --> 00:06:18,719 Speaker 2: was three and a half. It was bet up to 131 00:06:18,800 --> 00:06:22,719 Speaker 2: four and a half. Kempom has this as a three 132 00:06:22,880 --> 00:06:26,719 Speaker 2: point win for the Jays seventy six to seventy three. 133 00:06:26,839 --> 00:06:32,560 Speaker 2: Now that's one forty nine. The total is one fifty five. 134 00:06:33,440 --> 00:06:35,599 Speaker 2: So when you start looking at the way the Jays 135 00:06:35,600 --> 00:06:38,320 Speaker 2: have played at home. They're ten and five to the over. 136 00:06:38,480 --> 00:06:42,480 Speaker 2: But the first game against Marquette it was one fifty four. 137 00:06:43,279 --> 00:06:45,520 Speaker 2: This is now one fifty five. The game went under 138 00:06:45,560 --> 00:06:49,080 Speaker 2: by fifteen points. It was seventy two to sixty seven. 139 00:06:49,200 --> 00:06:52,080 Speaker 2: The win for Marquette. Marquette on the road is nine 140 00:06:52,120 --> 00:06:55,520 Speaker 2: and four to the under. On the road on the 141 00:06:55,600 --> 00:06:59,440 Speaker 2: road against Yukon, it went under. Butler, it went under 142 00:06:59,680 --> 00:07:04,200 Speaker 2: your town, it went under, Nova went over, DePaul went over, 143 00:07:04,680 --> 00:07:09,400 Speaker 2: but Saint John's went under. Seaton Hall went over, Providence 144 00:07:09,440 --> 00:07:16,400 Speaker 2: went under. The last one two three road game, four 145 00:07:16,600 --> 00:07:20,240 Speaker 2: road games for Marquette have all gone under. What is 146 00:07:20,320 --> 00:07:26,080 Speaker 2: Shaka smart preach defense, defense, defense, defense, That's what the 147 00:07:26,120 --> 00:07:31,239 Speaker 2: calling card is for Marquette. I'm concern for the Creighton 148 00:07:31,240 --> 00:07:34,320 Speaker 2: Blue Jays. I'm not gonna lie. I'm going to bet 149 00:07:34,320 --> 00:07:36,880 Speaker 2: the four and a half personally, Okay, I think it's 150 00:07:36,920 --> 00:07:38,680 Speaker 2: going to be a game where the Jays will hit 151 00:07:38,680 --> 00:07:42,200 Speaker 2: their threes well enough. But I think pace of play 152 00:07:42,240 --> 00:07:44,520 Speaker 2: is a really big problem here for the Creighton Blue Jays. 153 00:07:45,040 --> 00:07:47,760 Speaker 2: Seventy second for pace of play for Marquette. But they 154 00:07:47,760 --> 00:07:49,240 Speaker 2: can really take the air out of the ball if 155 00:07:49,240 --> 00:07:53,920 Speaker 2: they want to. Defensively for Marquette, their fifteenth in defensive efficiency. 156 00:07:54,360 --> 00:07:57,080 Speaker 2: They're one hundred and ninth in effective field goal percentage, 157 00:07:57,120 --> 00:08:01,440 Speaker 2: but they're ninety second and two point defense. They do 158 00:08:01,480 --> 00:08:05,680 Speaker 2: not give up offensive rebounds for the most part. They 159 00:08:05,760 --> 00:08:08,360 Speaker 2: hit their free throws, and they get a lot of 160 00:08:08,400 --> 00:08:12,080 Speaker 2: their points both behind the basket, behind the arc and 161 00:08:12,120 --> 00:08:15,160 Speaker 2: at the basket. We know for the Creighton Blue Jays, 162 00:08:15,280 --> 00:08:17,720 Speaker 2: thirty five point six percent of their points this year 163 00:08:17,840 --> 00:08:21,200 Speaker 2: come from the three point line. That is thirty fourth 164 00:08:21,640 --> 00:08:27,680 Speaker 2: in college basketball Marquette. Marquette fifty one point seven percent 165 00:08:27,880 --> 00:08:31,440 Speaker 2: of their two pointers come from inside the arc. That's 166 00:08:31,440 --> 00:08:34,600 Speaker 2: one hundred and fortieth three pointers thirty four point two. 167 00:08:35,800 --> 00:08:39,880 Speaker 2: The biggest storyline of this game is Tyler Koleik's ankle. 168 00:08:39,960 --> 00:08:40,360 Speaker 1: Ankle. 169 00:08:40,880 --> 00:08:43,719 Speaker 2: He's gonna play, there's no debate, but how healthy is he? 170 00:08:44,320 --> 00:08:46,400 Speaker 2: One of the best players in the Big East may 171 00:08:46,440 --> 00:08:49,760 Speaker 2: not be healthy. If he's not healthy, you do you 172 00:08:49,920 --> 00:08:51,920 Speaker 2: just know Shaka Smart is going to go into a 173 00:08:51,960 --> 00:08:55,440 Speaker 2: turtle shell here and not look to push and let 174 00:08:55,440 --> 00:08:58,800 Speaker 2: the Creighton Blue Jays push either. This is a two 175 00:08:59,000 --> 00:09:02,000 Speaker 2: thirty Eastern top. I'm one thirty Central time. Start on 176 00:09:02,120 --> 00:09:05,520 Speaker 2: Big Fox, not little Fox, Big Fox. A lot of 177 00:09:05,559 --> 00:09:08,000 Speaker 2: eyeballs will be on this basketball game. This is a 178 00:09:08,160 --> 00:09:11,920 Speaker 2: huge game. This will feel like a tournament game. For 179 00:09:11,960 --> 00:09:15,760 Speaker 2: that reason, I'm betting the under under one fifty five 180 00:09:16,240 --> 00:09:19,160 Speaker 2: for one point one units. I do think Creyton wins. 181 00:09:19,520 --> 00:09:22,600 Speaker 2: I do think Creyton covers. I will bet the Jays 182 00:09:22,679 --> 00:09:26,520 Speaker 2: minus four and a half on this, but I am concerned. 183 00:09:26,559 --> 00:09:29,400 Speaker 2: I'm not gonna lie on this. I feel stronger about 184 00:09:29,440 --> 00:09:31,679 Speaker 2: the under. I feel stronger about the pace of play. 185 00:09:31,760 --> 00:09:33,880 Speaker 2: The first matchup win under by fifteen points at one 186 00:09:33,920 --> 00:09:36,520 Speaker 2: fifty four. Yes, the Jays are better at home, but 187 00:09:36,559 --> 00:09:39,080 Speaker 2: the Creyton Blue Jays have had games where they couldn't 188 00:09:39,120 --> 00:09:41,880 Speaker 2: hit the broadside of a barn from behind the arc, 189 00:09:42,040 --> 00:09:44,640 Speaker 2: and that's really caused a lot of problems for them 190 00:09:44,880 --> 00:09:47,760 Speaker 2: when that happens. Now against against Seaton Hall, they scored 191 00:09:47,800 --> 00:09:51,320 Speaker 2: eighty five. Against Yukon, this scored eighty five. Against Georgetown, 192 00:09:51,320 --> 00:09:54,840 Speaker 2: this scored ninety four. They've been hot at home over 193 00:09:54,880 --> 00:09:59,040 Speaker 2: the last three games. Butler, they scored ninety eight to 194 00:09:59,160 --> 00:10:03,360 Speaker 2: Paul This scored eighty Xavier, they scored eighty five. Saint 195 00:10:03,440 --> 00:10:07,760 Speaker 2: John's they scored sixty six. Providence they scored sixty nine. 196 00:10:08,880 --> 00:10:13,160 Speaker 2: They've been hitting shots, hitting threes recently. I just think 197 00:10:13,200 --> 00:10:15,160 Speaker 2: Shoka Smart's gonna have a game plan here. Take the 198 00:10:15,200 --> 00:10:17,400 Speaker 2: air out of the ball. We're going under one fifty 199 00:10:17,440 --> 00:10:20,600 Speaker 2: five for one point one units the Jays and Marquette. 200 00:10:20,600 --> 00:10:22,440 Speaker 2: I do think Creighton wins and covers, though at miss 201 00:10:22,440 --> 00:10:24,240 Speaker 2: four and a half, you want some extra you can 202 00:10:24,320 --> 00:10:28,640 Speaker 2: jump in on that second bet. Let's talk about North 203 00:10:28,640 --> 00:10:32,640 Speaker 2: Carolina tar Heels, another team that I absolutely love this year. 204 00:10:33,360 --> 00:10:34,760 Speaker 2: We have a future bet on them to win it 205 00:10:34,800 --> 00:10:38,680 Speaker 2: all thirteen point win. According to kempom. The number opened 206 00:10:38,720 --> 00:10:42,000 Speaker 2: up a twelve and a half immediately it was bet down. 207 00:10:42,920 --> 00:10:46,320 Speaker 2: This game is not Senior Day. Notre Dame will be 208 00:10:46,360 --> 00:10:52,760 Speaker 2: Senior Night that's on Tuesday. NC State is a team that, look, 209 00:10:53,200 --> 00:10:56,560 Speaker 2: they're not that good. NC State is nine and eight 210 00:10:56,760 --> 00:11:00,839 Speaker 2: in the ACC. They're seventeen and eleven. They just went 211 00:11:00,880 --> 00:11:04,240 Speaker 2: to Florida State and lost. They beat Boston College but 212 00:11:04,320 --> 00:11:07,760 Speaker 2: lost at home to Syracuse. They lost at Wake Forest 213 00:11:07,800 --> 00:11:10,280 Speaker 2: on the road, they lost at home to Pittsburgh, they 214 00:11:10,320 --> 00:11:13,160 Speaker 2: lost to Syracuse on the road, Virginia on the road, 215 00:11:13,480 --> 00:11:15,720 Speaker 2: Virginia Tech on the road, and in the first matchup 216 00:11:16,240 --> 00:11:19,079 Speaker 2: North Carolina beat them sixty seven to fifty four. They 217 00:11:19,120 --> 00:11:22,160 Speaker 2: won by thirteen points in the first matchup. That was 218 00:11:22,240 --> 00:11:25,199 Speaker 2: back on the tenth of January when NC State was 219 00:11:25,240 --> 00:11:28,240 Speaker 2: eleven and three and three and oh in conference play 220 00:11:28,320 --> 00:11:30,520 Speaker 2: going into that game, and North Carolina walked in and 221 00:11:30,960 --> 00:11:33,720 Speaker 2: really kind of handed them their lunch in that one. 222 00:11:34,400 --> 00:11:36,760 Speaker 2: I'm surprised at the movement here. I'm not going to 223 00:11:36,800 --> 00:11:39,200 Speaker 2: be I'm not gonna lie. I am surprised that we 224 00:11:39,240 --> 00:11:42,400 Speaker 2: aren't seeing more people or more money come in here 225 00:11:42,440 --> 00:11:45,480 Speaker 2: on North Carolina. This might be a situation where they're 226 00:11:45,480 --> 00:11:48,360 Speaker 2: trying to buy the price down to then hit on 227 00:11:48,440 --> 00:11:51,280 Speaker 2: a bigger number, because it does seem a little bit 228 00:11:51,280 --> 00:11:54,800 Speaker 2: weird that North Carolina is not a bigger favorite here, 229 00:11:54,880 --> 00:11:57,800 Speaker 2: in particular when KEMPOM is at where KEMPOM is at, 230 00:11:58,600 --> 00:12:01,040 Speaker 2: just it feels like this nomber, this is a little 231 00:12:01,040 --> 00:12:01,760 Speaker 2: bit of a headfake. 232 00:12:02,000 --> 00:12:02,600 Speaker 1: It's not right. 233 00:12:04,280 --> 00:12:06,640 Speaker 2: On the road, NC State is four to seven and 234 00:12:06,760 --> 00:12:11,120 Speaker 2: one ats. North Carolina is seven and six at home ats, 235 00:12:11,160 --> 00:12:13,880 Speaker 2: but they're ten and seven in the ACC. NC State 236 00:12:13,960 --> 00:12:17,480 Speaker 2: is seven nine and one ats on the road this 237 00:12:17,640 --> 00:12:21,280 Speaker 2: year didn't cover against Florida State on the road. They 238 00:12:21,320 --> 00:12:25,439 Speaker 2: did cover against Clemson and wake Forest. Didn't cover against Syracuse, 239 00:12:25,480 --> 00:12:30,240 Speaker 2: though didn't cover against Virginia, didn't cover against Louisville. Look, 240 00:12:30,960 --> 00:12:34,240 Speaker 2: last time out against Miami, UNC didn't look good. They 241 00:12:34,280 --> 00:12:37,880 Speaker 2: won by four, laying fourteen. I don't think they take 242 00:12:37,920 --> 00:12:40,280 Speaker 2: their rival lately. This is a big game here on 243 00:12:40,280 --> 00:12:43,160 Speaker 2: a Saturday afternoon. I'm gonna lay to ten a half points. 244 00:12:43,160 --> 00:12:44,880 Speaker 2: It's a big number, I know, but I think NC 245 00:12:45,000 --> 00:12:48,440 Speaker 2: State's going to house them. North Carolina four pm Eastern 246 00:12:48,480 --> 00:12:51,840 Speaker 2: time on ESPN at home at the Dean Dome. Let's 247 00:12:51,880 --> 00:12:54,280 Speaker 2: got a big w here for North Carolina minus ten 248 00:12:54,320 --> 00:12:57,400 Speaker 2: and a half. North Carolina for one point one units. 249 00:12:58,200 --> 00:13:01,720 Speaker 2: Third bet in college basketball. Well, Alabama Tennessee. 250 00:13:02,120 --> 00:13:02,800 Speaker 1: What a game? 251 00:13:03,280 --> 00:13:05,520 Speaker 2: I mean, Oh my gosh, what a game. This is 252 00:13:05,559 --> 00:13:10,640 Speaker 2: going to be awesome. Revenge city for Alabama. They went 253 00:13:10,679 --> 00:13:14,800 Speaker 2: to Tennessee and got housed by the balls ninety one 254 00:13:15,280 --> 00:13:20,440 Speaker 2: seventy one. If Tennessee wins this game, I will bet 255 00:13:20,440 --> 00:13:23,400 Speaker 2: on Tennessee to win it all. If Dalton connect can 256 00:13:23,480 --> 00:13:26,920 Speaker 2: walk into a place where Alabama has lost one time 257 00:13:27,080 --> 00:13:33,880 Speaker 2: in two years, they do not lose at home. Doesn't happen. Okay, 258 00:13:34,280 --> 00:13:37,679 Speaker 2: They're twelve and three in the SEC. They're twenty and 259 00:13:37,800 --> 00:13:42,920 Speaker 2: eight overall their losses. I mean they lost to Clemson 260 00:13:43,040 --> 00:13:45,640 Speaker 2: back on the twenty eighth of November. Okay, they didn't 261 00:13:45,679 --> 00:13:47,840 Speaker 2: lose it all at home last year. They lost to 262 00:13:47,880 --> 00:13:51,720 Speaker 2: Clemson back in November. But since then they've beaten everyone 263 00:13:51,800 --> 00:13:56,240 Speaker 2: that's come to town, South Carolina coming to town, Auburn coming 264 00:13:56,280 --> 00:14:00,560 Speaker 2: to town, LSU who went there, to A and M 265 00:14:00,559 --> 00:14:04,600 Speaker 2: who went there, Florida who went there, anyone who walks 266 00:14:04,600 --> 00:14:08,560 Speaker 2: in Tennessee is the highest rated team. Though Auburn was 267 00:14:08,600 --> 00:14:13,440 Speaker 2: sixth on Kempom, Tennessee is five on Kempom. We bet 268 00:14:13,480 --> 00:14:17,319 Speaker 2: Alabama against Auburn. We got a little bit fortuitous with that. 269 00:14:17,400 --> 00:14:19,360 Speaker 2: If you remember, that was that three pointer that got 270 00:14:19,400 --> 00:14:22,560 Speaker 2: waved off. This game could be very similar, coming right 271 00:14:22,560 --> 00:14:25,240 Speaker 2: down to the wire. I know people are betting the 272 00:14:25,320 --> 00:14:27,760 Speaker 2: over in this game. I would be a little bit careful. 273 00:14:27,840 --> 00:14:30,200 Speaker 2: It's a it's a big number. One sixty seven and 274 00:14:30,200 --> 00:14:33,440 Speaker 2: a half is a big number in college basketball for 275 00:14:33,520 --> 00:14:36,720 Speaker 2: anybody to go over. So I would just be a 276 00:14:36,840 --> 00:14:39,200 Speaker 2: little bit careful with the total it's up to. Wow, 277 00:14:39,240 --> 00:14:41,040 Speaker 2: it's up for one seventy and a half. Now, yeah, 278 00:14:41,160 --> 00:14:44,120 Speaker 2: I'd be careful with the number. Just it's this is 279 00:14:44,120 --> 00:14:46,600 Speaker 2: college basketball, okay, I mean, I know Bama goes over 280 00:14:46,680 --> 00:14:50,080 Speaker 2: a ton at home and Alabama is known to shoot 281 00:14:50,120 --> 00:14:52,400 Speaker 2: just three after three, after three, and that's happening against 282 00:14:52,400 --> 00:14:54,560 Speaker 2: Tennessee on the road that got killed. THEMA is ten 283 00:14:54,600 --> 00:14:58,200 Speaker 2: and four to the over at home. Tennessee is nine 284 00:14:58,240 --> 00:15:00,760 Speaker 2: and four to the over on the road. Everyone's betting 285 00:15:00,800 --> 00:15:04,640 Speaker 2: the over if it's if the game goes over, Alabama wins. Okay, 286 00:15:04,760 --> 00:15:06,840 Speaker 2: game goes under. Tennessee's have a chance to win the 287 00:15:06,840 --> 00:15:10,920 Speaker 2: game outright. Alabama's on a streak of seven consecutive games 288 00:15:10,960 --> 00:15:13,800 Speaker 2: to go over, so everyone's going to be on the 289 00:15:13,840 --> 00:15:17,480 Speaker 2: over in this one. But Bama's eleven and three ats 290 00:15:17,520 --> 00:15:21,400 Speaker 2: at home. They've lost one game at home so far. 291 00:15:21,640 --> 00:15:24,560 Speaker 2: They're thirteen and one straight up, eleven and three ats. 292 00:15:24,720 --> 00:15:27,840 Speaker 2: Tennessee is four and nine on the road this year, 293 00:15:28,200 --> 00:15:32,520 Speaker 2: Tennessee against Missouri, didn't cover. They did cover against Arkansas, 294 00:15:32,680 --> 00:15:34,800 Speaker 2: didn't cover against six A and M. They did cover 295 00:15:34,880 --> 00:15:37,120 Speaker 2: against Kentucky. They won the game as dogs. That was 296 00:15:37,160 --> 00:15:40,800 Speaker 2: a shocker. Didn't cover against Vanderbilt, didn't cover against Georgia, 297 00:15:40,960 --> 00:15:42,920 Speaker 2: didn't cover Againssissippi. 298 00:15:42,160 --> 00:15:45,560 Speaker 1: State so not a great record here. 299 00:15:45,640 --> 00:15:48,600 Speaker 2: They've been unbelievable at home except for that loss to 300 00:15:48,640 --> 00:15:51,600 Speaker 2: South Carolina, which was stunning. That was the one like 301 00:15:51,680 --> 00:15:54,320 Speaker 2: what happened their game. But I'm telling you right now, 302 00:15:54,560 --> 00:15:58,240 Speaker 2: if Tennessee walks in Tuscaloosa and beats Alabama, I'm betting 303 00:15:58,280 --> 00:16:00,640 Speaker 2: on Tennessee to win it all regularly and Rick or not. 304 00:16:01,120 --> 00:16:04,120 Speaker 2: If Dalton connect can pull this off in Tuscaloosa, oh my, 305 00:16:05,000 --> 00:16:08,120 Speaker 2: Alabama minus two and a half one point one units. 306 00:16:08,280 --> 00:16:11,880 Speaker 2: Kempom has this as a two point win. Let's take 307 00:16:11,920 --> 00:16:15,960 Speaker 2: the tide at home here to keep going home teams Creighton, 308 00:16:16,120 --> 00:16:19,800 Speaker 2: North Carolina, Alabama, Like, I'm all the winning cover here. Yes, 309 00:16:19,840 --> 00:16:22,960 Speaker 2: it's favorites, but it's late in the year. Favorites tend 310 00:16:22,960 --> 00:16:25,400 Speaker 2: to cover late because the numbers are really sharp. Okay, 311 00:16:25,760 --> 00:16:27,280 Speaker 2: so it's really hard to win on the road in 312 00:16:27,280 --> 00:16:30,040 Speaker 2: college basketball this year. So not taking, not laying any 313 00:16:30,080 --> 00:16:32,960 Speaker 2: points on the road, Iowa States on the road, I 314 00:16:32,960 --> 00:16:35,000 Speaker 2: think Iowa State will win and cover that short number 315 00:16:35,160 --> 00:16:37,920 Speaker 2: at three and a half today, you got you know, 316 00:16:38,040 --> 00:16:41,080 Speaker 2: Kansas on the road. You might take Kansas plus five 317 00:16:41,120 --> 00:16:44,480 Speaker 2: plus six maybe for KU on the road at Baylor. Nope, 318 00:16:44,520 --> 00:16:46,840 Speaker 2: not touching that. I would say it's at Central Florida. 319 00:16:47,760 --> 00:16:49,680 Speaker 2: I mean, a lot of teams road, teams in the 320 00:16:49,680 --> 00:16:51,680 Speaker 2: Big twelve might have a good day. I'm just gonna 321 00:16:51,680 --> 00:16:53,320 Speaker 2: stayway from the Big twelve today. I'm a little bit 322 00:16:53,320 --> 00:16:55,360 Speaker 2: concerned about those numbers, a little bit concerned about what's 323 00:16:55,400 --> 00:16:56,080 Speaker 2: going to happen there. 324 00:16:56,240 --> 00:16:58,000 Speaker 1: Okay, let's talk to the NHL. 325 00:16:58,560 --> 00:17:02,280 Speaker 2: The Winnipeg Jets are on the road at the Carolina Hurricanes. 326 00:17:02,680 --> 00:17:05,160 Speaker 2: We got number one goaltenders going here in this game. 327 00:17:05,320 --> 00:17:08,280 Speaker 2: The Jets are seventeen to nine and two to the 328 00:17:08,520 --> 00:17:11,760 Speaker 2: under this year, totals five and a half, seven and 329 00:17:11,800 --> 00:17:14,119 Speaker 2: three over the last ten, three and two over the 330 00:17:14,160 --> 00:17:16,200 Speaker 2: last five, but seven and three over to last ten. 331 00:17:16,520 --> 00:17:19,119 Speaker 2: Carolina is sixteen and fourteen to the under so far 332 00:17:19,200 --> 00:17:21,480 Speaker 2: this year. They're seven and three also to the under 333 00:17:21,640 --> 00:17:24,240 Speaker 2: over their last ten games at home, seven and three 334 00:17:24,359 --> 00:17:27,400 Speaker 2: last ten on the road. Winnipeg seven and three under. 335 00:17:27,480 --> 00:17:30,000 Speaker 2: First matchup was two to one first game of the 336 00:17:30,080 --> 00:17:33,520 Speaker 2: day to twelve thirty start. Maybe a sleepy start, like 337 00:17:33,560 --> 00:17:36,480 Speaker 2: a first period under in the game as well, but 338 00:17:36,840 --> 00:17:38,920 Speaker 2: I think you're gonna see a better version now. In 339 00:17:38,960 --> 00:17:41,199 Speaker 2: the first matchup two to one, it was brosois it 340 00:17:41,240 --> 00:17:45,399 Speaker 2: was not Connor Hellibuk for the Jets. Hellibuk's been a 341 00:17:45,400 --> 00:17:48,440 Speaker 2: little bit shaky recently. Okay, he needs to play well. 342 00:17:48,440 --> 00:17:51,000 Speaker 2: But Carolina, I mean they can win the game four 343 00:17:51,040 --> 00:17:53,160 Speaker 2: to one and the game goes under. 344 00:17:54,480 --> 00:17:58,840 Speaker 1: Five and a half. I think this number might go up. 345 00:17:59,320 --> 00:18:02,520 Speaker 2: But it's like some books are five and a half 346 00:18:02,800 --> 00:18:05,119 Speaker 2: slight to the over with juice, some are five and 347 00:18:05,160 --> 00:18:08,159 Speaker 2: a half to the under. More books are slight to 348 00:18:08,200 --> 00:18:11,320 Speaker 2: the under than the over. But I just have flat 349 00:18:11,560 --> 00:18:13,760 Speaker 2: miss won ten on this at five and a half. 350 00:18:14,440 --> 00:18:17,760 Speaker 2: I'm gonna get the under under five and a half 351 00:18:17,880 --> 00:18:20,879 Speaker 2: the Jets in Carolina. This is gonna feel like a 352 00:18:20,920 --> 00:18:23,000 Speaker 2: playoff game in a lot of ways. I think this 353 00:18:23,040 --> 00:18:26,320 Speaker 2: is going to be a hard, physical game. Carolina for 354 00:18:26,320 --> 00:18:28,720 Speaker 2: the most part has been playing unders and again number 355 00:18:28,720 --> 00:18:31,680 Speaker 2: one goaltenders going for both teams. First game of the 356 00:18:31,760 --> 00:18:35,159 Speaker 2: day's a nine to thirty Pacific time twelve thirty Eastern 357 00:18:35,200 --> 00:18:38,080 Speaker 2: times starts, So maybe a sleepy start for the Jets 358 00:18:38,119 --> 00:18:39,600 Speaker 2: here a little bit, because it's going to be really 359 00:18:39,640 --> 00:18:40,480 Speaker 2: early in the morning. 360 00:18:40,240 --> 00:18:41,880 Speaker 1: For a West Coast team. 361 00:18:42,280 --> 00:18:44,800 Speaker 2: I'm going under five and a half Jets in Carolina 362 00:18:45,080 --> 00:18:47,880 Speaker 2: for one point one units and to round out the card, 363 00:18:47,920 --> 00:18:50,000 Speaker 2: we're going back to the NBA and we're just going 364 00:18:50,080 --> 00:18:51,720 Speaker 2: to fire on the play that we hit on a 365 00:18:51,720 --> 00:18:54,159 Speaker 2: couple of days ago. The Atlanta Hawks are at the 366 00:18:54,160 --> 00:18:58,440 Speaker 2: Brooklyn Nets. These teams just played, but it was, yeah, 367 00:18:58,440 --> 00:19:02,720 Speaker 2: it was at Brooklyn. Game was two twenty three. I 368 00:19:02,760 --> 00:19:05,320 Speaker 2: think we bet right now. It closed at two nineteen 369 00:19:05,359 --> 00:19:08,119 Speaker 2: and a half and went over that number by a 370 00:19:08,160 --> 00:19:11,200 Speaker 2: point and a half. This is two twenty and a half, 371 00:19:11,440 --> 00:19:13,840 Speaker 2: all right, So technically it would have been a push 372 00:19:14,680 --> 00:19:17,919 Speaker 2: one twenty four ninety seven to win for Brooklyn. It 373 00:19:17,920 --> 00:19:19,920 Speaker 2: would have been a push if we had bet two 374 00:19:20,040 --> 00:19:23,119 Speaker 2: twenty and a half or to twenty there yues to 375 00:19:23,240 --> 00:19:25,040 Speaker 2: twenty one is what it would landed. So we would 376 00:19:25,080 --> 00:19:29,199 Speaker 2: lose this if it it repeats itself. But this is 377 00:19:29,760 --> 00:19:33,840 Speaker 2: just too It's an automatic play for me. Given where 378 00:19:33,880 --> 00:19:37,760 Speaker 2: we are. Brooklyn is eight and two to the under, 379 00:19:37,920 --> 00:19:40,080 Speaker 2: I'm gonna say that they're actually nine and one to 380 00:19:40,119 --> 00:19:43,440 Speaker 2: the under over the last ten and you can extrapolate 381 00:19:43,480 --> 00:19:45,840 Speaker 2: that you can push it out even more because technically 382 00:19:45,880 --> 00:19:48,200 Speaker 2: the last game did go over, but we got it under, 383 00:19:48,960 --> 00:19:52,119 Speaker 2: and that would be going back to the fifth of February, 384 00:19:52,240 --> 00:19:56,199 Speaker 2: only one game has gone over involving the Brooklyn Nets. Okay, 385 00:19:57,000 --> 00:20:00,560 Speaker 2: Atlanta equally has been an under team four in a row. 386 00:20:00,640 --> 00:20:02,119 Speaker 1: I say it's five in a row. 387 00:20:02,200 --> 00:20:06,320 Speaker 2: They got to push against Toronto, under against Charlotte, under 388 00:20:06,320 --> 00:20:09,560 Speaker 2: against Orlando, under against Utah. Those are home games under 389 00:20:09,600 --> 00:20:12,639 Speaker 2: against Charlotte in their last road game, under against Brooklyn 390 00:20:12,640 --> 00:20:13,480 Speaker 2: in their last road game. 391 00:20:13,520 --> 00:20:14,879 Speaker 1: And we're running right. 392 00:20:14,720 --> 00:20:17,880 Speaker 2: Back here from two days ago with Brooklyn in Atlanta. 393 00:20:18,920 --> 00:20:20,639 Speaker 2: I know you could say, well, normally it kind of 394 00:20:20,640 --> 00:20:22,880 Speaker 2: flip flops when these teams play the same team back 395 00:20:22,880 --> 00:20:26,680 Speaker 2: to back, sometimes it's a different outcome. I don't think so. 396 00:20:26,760 --> 00:20:28,440 Speaker 2: I think it's going to be a very similar outcome. 397 00:20:28,600 --> 00:20:30,440 Speaker 2: I think it's going to be an under. We're going 398 00:20:30,560 --> 00:20:33,920 Speaker 2: under two twenty and a half for Atlanta and Brooklyn. 399 00:20:34,000 --> 00:20:36,479 Speaker 2: This game in Brooklyn, it's going to be a three 400 00:20:36,520 --> 00:20:40,320 Speaker 2: o'clock each time start noon Pacific time start in Brooklyn. 401 00:20:40,480 --> 00:20:42,720 Speaker 2: Let's just keep riding it here with these teams going 402 00:20:42,800 --> 00:20:47,120 Speaker 2: under consistently going under. Let's take under Atlanta and Brooklyn 403 00:20:47,760 --> 00:20:52,320 Speaker 2: for one point one units. Okay, so five plays for 404 00:20:52,480 --> 00:20:57,640 Speaker 2: us here on a Saturday, Yes, you can fade them all. Okay, yes, 405 00:20:57,720 --> 00:20:59,840 Speaker 2: I turn things around. Am I do to have like 406 00:20:59,880 --> 00:21:02,439 Speaker 2: a three and two day absolutely, maybe a two and 407 00:21:02,520 --> 00:21:06,919 Speaker 2: three day absolutely under five and a half Winnipeg and 408 00:21:07,040 --> 00:21:10,520 Speaker 2: Carolina for one point one units under two twenty and 409 00:21:10,560 --> 00:21:14,080 Speaker 2: a half, Atlanta and Brooklyn for one point one units 410 00:21:14,520 --> 00:21:17,159 Speaker 2: under one p fifty five, the Creighton Blue Jays and 411 00:21:17,240 --> 00:21:20,720 Speaker 2: Marquette for one point one units. North Carolina min Is 412 00:21:20,760 --> 00:21:22,840 Speaker 2: ten and a half for one point one units in 413 00:21:22,920 --> 00:21:28,040 Speaker 2: Alabama against Tennessee at home for one point one units. 414 00:21:28,080 --> 00:21:29,760 Speaker 2: If you want some extra I think the Creighton Blue 415 00:21:29,800 --> 00:21:32,480 Speaker 2: Jays do win at four and a half. I think 416 00:21:32,520 --> 00:21:35,000 Speaker 2: you got to look at Kansas. How many points are 417 00:21:35,000 --> 00:21:35,960 Speaker 2: they gonna get from Baylor? 418 00:21:36,760 --> 00:21:41,240 Speaker 1: Six? Six and a half? Seven? Maybe a good look there. 419 00:21:41,560 --> 00:21:43,280 Speaker 2: And then a guy always State does win and cover 420 00:21:43,359 --> 00:21:45,640 Speaker 2: against Central Florida. But I'm not laying points on the road, 421 00:21:45,760 --> 00:21:48,280 Speaker 2: so those are leans. If you want some extra action 422 00:21:48,440 --> 00:21:51,159 Speaker 2: for us here on a Saturday min as Matt Parold's 423 00:21:51,160 --> 00:21:53,520 Speaker 2: following me across all socials at Sports Talk Matt every 424 00:21:53,560 --> 00:21:55,880 Speaker 2: morning Dale Juice podcast. I was being brought to you 425 00:21:55,920 --> 00:22:10,000 Speaker 2: by Omaha Steakes dot Com