1 00:00:02,960 --> 00:00:06,320 Speaker 1: Global business news twenty four hours a day at Bloomberg 2 00:00:06,400 --> 00:00:09,480 Speaker 1: dot Com, the Radio plus Mobile Act and on your radio. 3 00:00:09,760 --> 00:00:13,760 Speaker 1: This is a Bloomberg Business flag from Bloomberg World Headquarters. 4 00:00:13,840 --> 00:00:16,000 Speaker 1: I'm Charlie Pelic. We begin with an update on the 5 00:00:16,000 --> 00:00:18,639 Speaker 1: shooting at u c l A. Two people shot on 6 00:00:18,720 --> 00:00:21,640 Speaker 1: the u c l A campus. Conditions of the victims 7 00:00:21,720 --> 00:00:24,400 Speaker 1: not yet known. The campus on the city's west side 8 00:00:24,920 --> 00:00:28,160 Speaker 1: is lockdown. University and l A police officers moving around 9 00:00:28,160 --> 00:00:32,240 Speaker 1: with weapons drawn. Shooting occurred a week before final exams 10 00:00:32,280 --> 00:00:34,880 Speaker 1: at the school, which is the flagship of the University 11 00:00:34,880 --> 00:00:39,800 Speaker 1: of California system with about forty three thousand students. Stocks 12 00:00:39,800 --> 00:00:43,520 Speaker 1: are fluctuating. SMP, the down, naz DAK all trading higher. 13 00:00:43,600 --> 00:00:45,960 Speaker 1: Right now. We've got the SMP five hundred index up 14 00:00:46,000 --> 00:00:48,520 Speaker 1: a point at two thousand ninety eight, a gain there 15 00:00:48,520 --> 00:00:51,959 Speaker 1: of point one percent. Nastack up nine to forty nine 16 00:00:52,080 --> 00:00:55,040 Speaker 1: fifty seven, again there of two tenths of one percent down. 17 00:00:55,120 --> 00:00:59,040 Speaker 1: Industrials up by less than point one percent, Gold down 18 00:00:59,040 --> 00:01:01,400 Speaker 1: four or forty the alms to twelve thirteen, a drop 19 00:01:01,440 --> 00:01:04,959 Speaker 1: of four tenths of one percent. Crude oil lower little change, 20 00:01:05,000 --> 00:01:07,600 Speaker 1: down five tenths of one percent now falling twenty four 21 00:01:07,720 --> 00:01:12,080 Speaker 1: cents to eight seven for barrel of West Texas Intermediate 22 00:01:12,440 --> 00:01:14,160 Speaker 1: and just getting word from the l A p D. 23 00:01:14,280 --> 00:01:18,120 Speaker 1: It is confirming two fatalities. Now at you see l A. 24 00:01:18,680 --> 00:01:23,360 Speaker 1: I'm Charlie Pellet. That's a Bloomberg business flash. The FED 25 00:01:23,600 --> 00:01:25,959 Speaker 1: our on taking stock. That's what we're doing now and 26 00:01:26,000 --> 00:01:28,560 Speaker 1: it's brought to you by Commonwealth Financial Network. When it's 27 00:01:28,600 --> 00:01:31,000 Speaker 1: time to change the conversation, talk with a broker dealer 28 00:01:31,120 --> 00:01:33,280 Speaker 1: r I A. That's ready to listen called eight six 29 00:01:33,360 --> 00:01:36,120 Speaker 1: six four six two three six eight or visit Commonwealth 30 00:01:36,160 --> 00:01:41,280 Speaker 1: dot com to learn more Bloomberg taking stock in fotus, 31 00:01:41,400 --> 00:01:44,399 Speaker 1: the interest rates start to row. For where the economy 32 00:01:44,480 --> 00:01:46,839 Speaker 1: is going, the question is how much higher should it be. 33 00:01:47,040 --> 00:01:50,720 Speaker 1: FED has increased to fast, yes, and in doing so 34 00:01:51,040 --> 00:01:55,279 Speaker 1: it has increased its liability. Keeping interest rates at neural 35 00:01:55,560 --> 00:01:58,560 Speaker 1: for a long time is not going to cause inflation 36 00:01:58,600 --> 00:02:01,440 Speaker 1: to go up. It's a very controversial. I think what 37 00:02:01,480 --> 00:02:02,960 Speaker 1: we need to do is find a way for the 38 00:02:03,000 --> 00:02:05,760 Speaker 1: FED to integrate its policy and think more about its 39 00:02:05,760 --> 00:02:09,320 Speaker 1: impact on the world. The FED in Focus on Roombord 40 00:02:09,400 --> 00:02:13,720 Speaker 1: Radio FED Reserve meets on June fifteen, well, it raised 41 00:02:13,760 --> 00:02:16,480 Speaker 1: its key rate again for the first time since December. 42 00:02:16,520 --> 00:02:19,760 Speaker 1: Manufacturing the health of factories in the United States will 43 00:02:19,800 --> 00:02:22,600 Speaker 1: certainly be a factor to that point to Daily got 44 00:02:22,639 --> 00:02:26,560 Speaker 1: News that manufacturing unexpectedly expanded at a faster pace in May, 45 00:02:26,720 --> 00:02:29,880 Speaker 1: helped by other by an increase in orders. That signals 46 00:02:29,919 --> 00:02:33,880 Speaker 1: factories rebounding from an early slump. Let's bring in now 47 00:02:33,919 --> 00:02:37,160 Speaker 1: the man who puts together this survey for the Institute 48 00:02:37,200 --> 00:02:40,320 Speaker 1: for Supply and Management, and that is Brad Holcomb. He's 49 00:02:40,360 --> 00:02:45,079 Speaker 1: chairman of the Business Survey Committee. So Brad, the number 50 00:02:45,160 --> 00:02:49,239 Speaker 1: looking better at fifte three, up from fifty point eight 51 00:02:49,280 --> 00:02:53,760 Speaker 1: in April. Anything above fifty signals expansion. You gotta like 52 00:02:53,880 --> 00:02:59,080 Speaker 1: at one three growing for three consecutive months after five 53 00:02:59,200 --> 00:03:04,000 Speaker 1: months of contraction, so hopefully we're setting up a new 54 00:03:04,040 --> 00:03:08,320 Speaker 1: positive trend. And as you mentioned, that's led by a 55 00:03:08,400 --> 00:03:12,200 Speaker 1: good quality number in new orders fifty five point seven, 56 00:03:12,720 --> 00:03:14,960 Speaker 1: down just a tenth of a point from a strong 57 00:03:15,080 --> 00:03:19,600 Speaker 1: fifty five point eight last month, growing for five consecutive months, 58 00:03:19,600 --> 00:03:25,280 Speaker 1: so good things for this month's report. The production UH 59 00:03:25,520 --> 00:03:28,840 Speaker 1: series still positive at fifty two point six in me 60 00:03:29,200 --> 00:03:32,600 Speaker 1: not quite as strong as April fifty four point two. 61 00:03:32,680 --> 00:03:37,600 Speaker 1: So it's growing, but it's growing more slowly, growing more slowly, 62 00:03:37,680 --> 00:03:42,360 Speaker 1: but growing five consecutive months, and production will vary according 63 00:03:42,440 --> 00:03:48,360 Speaker 1: to employment levels, asset levels, shutdowns, etcetera. But it did 64 00:03:48,520 --> 00:03:51,280 Speaker 1: eat into the backlog of orders as well as work 65 00:03:51,320 --> 00:03:54,600 Speaker 1: off some new orders and jumping down to the backlog 66 00:03:54,720 --> 00:03:57,720 Speaker 1: ads off off three and a half points to forty seven, 67 00:03:57,760 --> 00:04:04,400 Speaker 1: contracting again normal very nations supplier deliveries. Explain to our 68 00:04:04,440 --> 00:04:08,480 Speaker 1: listeners what that is and why it's so important that 69 00:04:08,560 --> 00:04:10,960 Speaker 1: it jumped to fifty four point one in May from 70 00:04:11,000 --> 00:04:15,960 Speaker 1: forty nine point one in April. Yes, so there's delving 71 00:04:16,000 --> 00:04:19,600 Speaker 1: into because it's up five percentage points to fifty four 72 00:04:19,640 --> 00:04:26,800 Speaker 1: point one, meaning that supplier deliveries are slower from suppliers 73 00:04:26,880 --> 00:04:30,000 Speaker 1: to our factories, and that indicates a tightness in the 74 00:04:30,080 --> 00:04:36,719 Speaker 1: supply chain and also lower supplies inventories, which we generally 75 00:04:36,839 --> 00:04:39,920 Speaker 1: feel that its supplier deliveries above fifty we feel is 76 00:04:39,960 --> 00:04:44,640 Speaker 1: a good thing in a growing environment because it represents 77 00:04:45,000 --> 00:04:47,320 Speaker 1: the suppliers are having a bit of a hard time 78 00:04:47,400 --> 00:04:51,440 Speaker 1: sort of catching up and keeping up. Now, your survey 79 00:04:51,640 --> 00:04:58,159 Speaker 1: covers eighteen manufacturing industries, from wood products to fabricated metal 80 00:04:58,360 --> 00:05:01,560 Speaker 1: to plastic and rubber in or twelve report of growth 81 00:05:01,560 --> 00:05:04,000 Speaker 1: in MAZE. That means six did not. Which are the 82 00:05:04,040 --> 00:05:08,360 Speaker 1: six ones that are lagging? Number one, the one that's 83 00:05:08,440 --> 00:05:12,480 Speaker 1: lagging the most in our list is apparel, leather and 84 00:05:12,680 --> 00:05:17,279 Speaker 1: allied products. And then comes to no surprise, petroleum and 85 00:05:17,360 --> 00:05:23,480 Speaker 1: coal products. Transportation equipment is on that list. Let's remember 86 00:05:23,520 --> 00:05:29,480 Speaker 1: that that contains autos, rail equipment, airplanes, etcetera. So while 87 00:05:29,520 --> 00:05:34,320 Speaker 1: autos is doing well, transportation equipment overall is a bit soft. 88 00:05:34,920 --> 00:05:38,960 Speaker 1: Non metallic mineral products, chemical products is one of the 89 00:05:39,040 --> 00:05:42,919 Speaker 1: largest ones that that we followed death on the list, 90 00:05:43,000 --> 00:05:46,960 Speaker 1: and then furniture and related products. Purchasing managers are the 91 00:05:46,960 --> 00:05:50,560 Speaker 1: people who are surveyed for this report. How many companies 92 00:05:50,600 --> 00:05:54,719 Speaker 1: at this point do you have in your universe three 93 00:05:54,960 --> 00:06:00,279 Speaker 1: D and fifty scattered throughout our eighteen different industries cross 94 00:06:00,320 --> 00:06:02,240 Speaker 1: the u s. What are some of the comments you've 95 00:06:02,240 --> 00:06:04,400 Speaker 1: got that stood out to you, because you always includes 96 00:06:04,480 --> 00:06:06,919 Speaker 1: some of the comments that people make in addition to 97 00:06:07,000 --> 00:06:11,040 Speaker 1: just saying if things are growing faster, the same or slower. 98 00:06:11,040 --> 00:06:13,200 Speaker 1: And that's what this is. It's a rather subjective survey 99 00:06:13,279 --> 00:06:15,880 Speaker 1: of the purchasing managers who do have their finger on 100 00:06:15,920 --> 00:06:19,599 Speaker 1: the pulse of their own companies right, and these comments 101 00:06:19,640 --> 00:06:23,640 Speaker 1: give us insights more into the future time frame, whereas 102 00:06:23,640 --> 00:06:27,159 Speaker 1: the numbers are specific to last month. Here's some of 103 00:06:27,200 --> 00:06:31,599 Speaker 1: the comments from wood products market is improving steadily in 104 00:06:31,680 --> 00:06:38,080 Speaker 1: both orders and pricing. From the machinery industry, steady to 105 00:06:38,279 --> 00:06:44,479 Speaker 1: slightly up production rates versus prior months. On the negative side, however, 106 00:06:44,640 --> 00:06:49,000 Speaker 1: slow down in Chinese economy is causing low orders. That's 107 00:06:49,080 --> 00:06:53,160 Speaker 1: from the computer and electronic products industry. Brad, would it 108 00:06:53,240 --> 00:06:56,080 Speaker 1: matter much to manufacturers if the FED raised the key 109 00:06:56,160 --> 00:07:00,479 Speaker 1: rate next month? No, it wouldn't. We'd go right through it. Well, 110 00:07:00,480 --> 00:07:04,279 Speaker 1: that's good, as we did, as we did. Okay, Well 111 00:07:04,720 --> 00:07:06,839 Speaker 1: that's well then, FEDER reserve. I hope you're listening. I 112 00:07:06,839 --> 00:07:10,040 Speaker 1: know the FED watches this report very closely. The Institute 113 00:07:10,080 --> 00:07:15,840 Speaker 1: for Supply Management's monthly Survey of Manufacturing Activity. We want 114 00:07:15,840 --> 00:07:19,160 Speaker 1: to thank Brad Holcum for joining us. Brad is the 115 00:07:19,240 --> 00:07:22,440 Speaker 1: chairman of the Business Survey Committee at the i s M. 116 00:07:22,520 --> 00:07:24,880 Speaker 1: Says it's a good report. Doesn't matter FED raises rates. 117 00:07:24,880 --> 00:07:28,840 Speaker 1: Manufacturer is going to keep on moving ahead. Got a 118 00:07:28,880 --> 00:07:32,680 Speaker 1: reserve in focus, continues up next professor who says the 119 00:07:32,680 --> 00:07:34,280 Speaker 1: head of the Bank of England. In fact, the Bank 120 00:07:34,280 --> 00:07:37,720 Speaker 1: of England itself should not be proclaiming on the damages 121 00:07:38,000 --> 00:07:41,440 Speaker 1: that Brexit could cause the US UK economy. Find out why. 122 00:07:41,520 --> 00:07:48,080 Speaker 1: On taking Stock Bloomberg Radio, We're gonna be speaking with 123 00:07:48,200 --> 00:07:53,120 Speaker 1: Lonnie Chen as we follow the political races, the California primary, 124 00:07:53,200 --> 00:07:56,400 Speaker 1: a Pole, and so much more. This is Bloomberg Radio 125 00:08:00,000 --> 00:08:00,040 Speaker 1: like