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Speaker 1: Happy Monday, guys. What's up? How are you? Welcome into

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Speaker 1: another episode of the Daly Juice Podcast with me Matt

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Speaker 1: Perolt at Sports Talk Matt to follow me across all socials.

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Speaker 1: This podcast is being brought to you by omahasteaks dot

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Speaker 1: holiday season with olmahsteaks dot Com promo code Juice. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so I have royally messed this up. I'm not gonna

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Speaker 1: sit here and tell you I have not. The future

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Speaker 1: on Florida State was a disaster. The future on Oregon

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Speaker 1: was a disaster. There's no other way around that disaster.

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Speaker 1: Down one unit with Oregon, down one unit with Florida State,

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Speaker 1: down two more units with a hedge. So we're starting

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Speaker 1: this off down four units already. This is hard because

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Speaker 1: I've got the ten to one on Michigan and I

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Speaker 1: can't really do a lot with it. What I can

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Speaker 1: do is try to get out of the Michigan future

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Speaker 1: and not lose it. Okay, I think Alabama's gonna beat Michigan. Now,

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Speaker 1: I thought that Louisville was going to beat Florida State,

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Speaker 1: So I could be wrong here on this. That's why

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Speaker 1: I'm only going to jump into I said it on

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Speaker 1: the Discord channel for two units. But I'm going to

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Speaker 1: tell you that's what I bet. Okay, I'm gonna tell

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Speaker 1: you guys officially to bet this as one unit just

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Speaker 1: to win one unit Alabama money line. Now, I got

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Speaker 1: plus one and a half. Shop around, see what you

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Speaker 1: can get for Alabama against Michigan. Okay, to hedge, it's

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Speaker 1: a game, it's in a month. You can wait, Okay,

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Speaker 1: But I'm going to tell you right here at the

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Speaker 1: top of the podcast that Alabama plus one and a

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Speaker 1: half for one point one units. That is a play

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Speaker 1: that I'm going to make. That's in order to essentially

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Speaker 1: protect ourselves from losing any money on the one unit

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Speaker 1: bet we have on Michigan ten to one to win

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Speaker 1: the national championship. I think the winner of Alabama Michigan

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Speaker 1: wins it all. But I haven't done a good job here.

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Speaker 1: I put myself into a bad spot. Florida State really

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Speaker 1: messed things up big time. Oregon losing mess things up

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Speaker 1: big time. I had it projected right, I got cute,

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Speaker 1: I got involved too heavy, and I paid the price. Okay,

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Speaker 1: my bankroll's taken a smacking because of it, all right,

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Speaker 1: So this is more of like a protection bet here

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Speaker 1: on this. We still have the ten to one. You

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Speaker 1: can bet Bama to win it all if you want

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Speaker 1: Bama exact. Does Alabama over Texas and Alabama over Washington

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Speaker 1: is four to one and six to one. I don't mind.

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Speaker 1: I'll have personal bets on both those. Okay, I'm jumping

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Speaker 1: in on both, trying to win back some of the

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Speaker 1: money that I blew here on the other side. But

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Speaker 1: I'm not going to make those official because they're not

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Speaker 1: available everywhere. And frankly, I've I've led you guys down

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Speaker 1: a path that's not really all that great, So trying

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Speaker 1: to just break even on this now. Luckily, we've had

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Speaker 1: a hell of a college football season. Okay, we're up

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Speaker 1: well over sixteen units in college football, so I don't

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Speaker 1: really want to cut too far too much further into

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Speaker 1: that because we've had since a great year in college

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Speaker 1: football trying to see what the updated numbers are for

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Speaker 1: college football. Let's see updated fifteen point twenty five units. Okay,

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Speaker 1: fifty five and thirty five up fifteen point twenty five units. Okay,

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Speaker 1: we've had a really good college football season. I don't

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Speaker 1: want to cut too far into that there, so up,

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Speaker 1: you know, six to one percent, getting that right. I

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Speaker 1: screwed up, no, no, no, if aans about about it,

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Speaker 1: I screwed up the future market, I screwed up my

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Speaker 1: own bankroll, and I made a mistake. So that's how

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Speaker 1: we're playing it in case we're wondering. The other point

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Speaker 1: is why didn't Florida State get in? It's a great question, Okay,

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Speaker 1: it really is. All I'm gonna say is this. The

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Speaker 1: committee did what they were supposed to do. The committee

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Speaker 1: literally went with the same four that I would have

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Speaker 1: gone with. So I think they went with the least

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Speaker 1: path of resistance globally, if you will. But they messed

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Speaker 1: up when they put Florida State four because FSU became

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Speaker 1: the first team to drop for winning. They thought Louisville

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Speaker 1: was going to beat them. They thought Louisville was going

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Speaker 1: to get them off, and then just like betting, right

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Speaker 1: when you think it's like what I've done with Oregon

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Speaker 1: and everything else. You think you got the right side,

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Speaker 1: and then the gambling gods get you and you're stuck

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Speaker 1: until you get to drop Florida State out of the

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Speaker 1: top four. If they were going to be in the

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Speaker 1: top four a week ago they won, they're still in

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Speaker 1: the top four. Then you dropping them, I don't care.

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Speaker 1: You knew that the quarterback Jordan Travis was hurt, he

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Speaker 1: played a game. You knew. You had him at four

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Speaker 1: without Jordan Travis. That's the problem. That's the mess up.

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Speaker 1: That's what's gonna sting the committee, and that's why you're

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Speaker 1: gonna see a lot of people be really angry, and

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Speaker 1: they don't really have a good answer. No answer they give.

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Speaker 1: If they left them at five and dealt with the

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Speaker 1: controversy by simply saying a quarterback got hurt, that's why

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Speaker 1: they're five. If others win, maybe they play their way in.

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Speaker 1: But right now they are out because their quarterback got hurt.

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Speaker 1: They chickened out and they hoped that Louisville would take

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Speaker 1: the trash out for them, and they did not get

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Speaker 1: it done. That's why there's anger. I bet it I

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Speaker 1: had Forest State bad break, but I compounded the error.

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Speaker 1: I met it even worse. We're down another unit there,

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Speaker 1: so down one unit with Florida State not making it

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Speaker 1: down a unit for Oregon not making it down two

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Speaker 1: units for Louisville and winning the ACC championship. Not good.

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Speaker 1: So let's see how we can make that back here

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Speaker 1: during the pole season and make up for my mistakes

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Speaker 1: and make up for my poor play with Michigan. Lie

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Speaker 1: is still live. First bet of the day is Alabama

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Speaker 1: plus one and a half for one unit to win

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Speaker 1: the national semifinal or to cover the National semifinal between

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Speaker 1: Alabama and Michigan. You may get two, so there's twos

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Speaker 1: running around. I took one and a half, so we'll

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Speaker 1: take one and a half officially there. On that okay,

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Speaker 1: flat day yesterday, two and two long teaser hit. Other

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Speaker 1: teaser did not because of the Steelers two and two

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Speaker 1: on player props down very little there, pretty much flat.

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Speaker 1: So I think I was down point three. So overall,

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Speaker 1: losing week last week not good. Could have had a

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Speaker 1: winning week. I backed this into a corner with Saturday

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Speaker 1: and the two unit loss on Louisville that causes to

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Speaker 1: be down nearly two units for the week, so snap

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Speaker 1: the winning streak can still have a winning month here. Obviously,

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Speaker 1: December just starting, so plenty of time to make it up.

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Speaker 1: But we start the first week of December down in

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Speaker 1: the red here, let's try and make it back. Okay,

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna I'm not gonna have a heavy card. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna make everything on betting today official. I've decided just

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Speaker 1: to make it all like, rather not give you personal

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Speaker 1: plays and you know official plays, They're all going to

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Speaker 1: be official. Okay, here's what I have bet so far

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Speaker 1: for today. The Jaguars are playing as nine and a

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Speaker 1: half point favorites at home against the Bengals. I'm not

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Speaker 1: laying nine points, however. The Boston Celtics are playing on

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Speaker 1: the road at the Indiana Pacers in the semi final

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Speaker 1: or the sort of the quarterfinal of the NBA Play

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Speaker 1: In Tournament. They win, they get in. I think Boston

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Speaker 1: wants to win this. Okay, Boston is better than Indiana.

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Speaker 1: Boston won by more than twenty three points to get

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Speaker 1: into this bracket, to get into the tournament. I don't

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Speaker 1: think they would have done that if they didn't really

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Speaker 1: seriously want to go win the thing. If there wasn't

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Speaker 1: something in that locker room that saying, you know what, guys,

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Speaker 1: let's go win this whole thing. Got to come to

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Speaker 1: Vegas to win it. Gonna win this game tonight to

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Speaker 1: get there. Jaguars money line Celtics money line minus one

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Speaker 1: twenty five two leg money line parlay one point twenty

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Speaker 1: five units Celtics Jaguars football basketball parlay. Celtics win against

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Speaker 1: the Pacers on the road. Jaguars went at home up

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Speaker 1: against the Bengals. First bet, second bet over two forty

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Speaker 1: and a half Pacers and the Celtics. You think I'm

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Speaker 1: betting under what are your nuts? Come on now, we're

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Speaker 1: betting over there. That's just a bottom line. We're betting

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Speaker 1: over for sure with Boston and the look first half over.

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Speaker 1: Don't mind that. Okay, I'm not betting it, but I

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Speaker 1: looked at it. Okay, just take the game. Boston to

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Speaker 1: come out and score a lot of points. I think

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Speaker 1: it's very, very possible that we see the Celtics score

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Speaker 1: in you know, one twenty five, one thirty. It wouldn't

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Speaker 1: be crazy at all if that were to happen. Indiana

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Speaker 1: is Indiana is sixteen and two to the over this year.

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Speaker 1: Boston on the year has been sort of a middle

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Speaker 1: of the packed up of team. They're nine and ten

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Speaker 1: to the over, so pretty much flat or one game

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Speaker 1: under five hundred and ten and nine to the under

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Speaker 1: on this But I just think the way Indiana plays

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Speaker 1: the way Boston wants to play. I mean, how how

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Speaker 1: up tempo. Indiana at home is now nine and one, sorry,

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Speaker 1: nine to two at home nine and one over their

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Speaker 1: last ten. Boston is five and five. They're nine and

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Speaker 1: eight to the under against the conference, but Indiana is

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Speaker 1: fourteen and one against the Eastern Conference. Celtics team total

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Speaker 1: also not bad. You can do that as well. But

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Speaker 1: Boston just scored one hundred and twenty five points against Philadelphia.

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Speaker 1: That game went over by twenty six points. Last two

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Speaker 1: games for Boston have gone over. They've scored one twenty

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Speaker 1: five and one twenty four. Boston's hot. Indiana doesn't stop

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Speaker 1: anybody over too. Forty and a half Boston and Indiana

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Speaker 1: for one point one units. Those are the two NBA plays.

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Speaker 1: Celtics money lined with the Jaguars money line parlay over

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Speaker 1: to forty and a half for the Celtics and the

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Speaker 1: Pacers Hockey, not betting college basketball per doing Iowa the

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Speaker 1: only game worth talking about. I'm not touching that game.

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Speaker 1: That's no not betting player props tonight, not with the

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Speaker 1: game being as weird as it could be in Jacksonville. However,

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Speaker 1: the Vegas Golden Knights Logan Thompson's probably in net. Aiden

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Speaker 1: Hill might play. He's day to day with a lower

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Speaker 1: body injury. Either goalie is fine by me. But the

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Speaker 1: Blues I want to bet a first period under. Vegas

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Speaker 1: has been a first period under machine. They the best

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Speaker 1: team in hockey to a first period under. They're nine

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Speaker 1: to twenty four so far this year and three of

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Speaker 1: the last ten games have gone over in the first period.

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Speaker 1: But Saint Louis and Jordan Benningson I don't trust them

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Speaker 1: at all. He's in net today for Saint Louis. They're

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Speaker 1: eight and two to a first period over their last

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Speaker 1: ten games. I can't trust it. Thompson last two games

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Speaker 1: played for to one against Washington, the win, for to

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Speaker 1: one against Vancouver. The win just we just rode him

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Speaker 1: to an under in the game against Washington. We're gonna

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Speaker 1: take the under again. Vegas and Saint Louis six could

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Speaker 1: fall six. We're going under six. And the reason Vegas

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Speaker 1: wins on the puck line, Vegas on the puck line

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Speaker 1: at plus one twenty. Why I don't trust joining Bington

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Speaker 1: at all. I think Vegas at home good opportunity here,

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Speaker 1: take advantage of a Saint Louis Blues team that really

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Speaker 1: is not great on the road at all. Saint Louis

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Speaker 1: this year so far on the season on their twelve

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Speaker 1: ten and one overall on the road, Saint Louis is

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Speaker 1: five seven and one. Vegas is nine to two in

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Speaker 1: one at home. Vegas at home puck line against Washington,

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Speaker 1: they do lost to the Arizona Coyotes and their last

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Speaker 1: home game before that, but home games before that for

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Speaker 1: Vegas they won it three to two, or Philadelphia they

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Speaker 1: won it four to three, or they lost four three

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Speaker 1: against Chicago, three to two over Montreal, five to two

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Speaker 1: over Winnipeg. These games tend to go under here for

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Speaker 1: Vegas at home under six, but also Vegas on the

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Speaker 1: puck line. Vegas now is one. Let's see, they've won

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Speaker 1: two straight games on the puck line four one four one.

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Speaker 1: Let's go with another four to one. Final type of

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Speaker 1: game for you know three two three one type of

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Speaker 1: final here for this one under six Vegas on the

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Speaker 1: puck line at plus one twenty. Okay, four bets here

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Speaker 1: on a Monday, seas in Jags money line parlay minus

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Speaker 1: won twenty five over two forty and a half Pacers

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Speaker 1: Celtics Vegas under six up against the Saint Louis Blues.

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Speaker 1: Vegas on the puck line at plus one twenty against

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Speaker 1: the Saint Louis Blues. Okay, four bets little over four

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Speaker 1: units or so in play for us here on a Monday.

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Speaker 1: Let's have a big week here. Okay, Let's bounce back

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Speaker 1: after that losing week. Let's have a big week here

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Speaker 1: coming up for a Monday minus Matt Parole's follow me

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Speaker 1: across all socials at Sports Talk Matt every morning. That

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