1 00:00:13,240 --> 00:00:14,960 Speaker 1: The show goes on. 2 00:00:15,720 --> 00:00:19,040 Speaker 2: This is the official show on the fish Stripes podcast 3 00:00:19,120 --> 00:00:23,160 Speaker 2: channel with Eli Sussman, the managing editor of fish Stripes. 4 00:00:23,760 --> 00:00:24,640 Speaker 1: What do we do here? 5 00:00:24,760 --> 00:00:28,840 Speaker 2: We cover your Miami Marlins every day in our own way. 6 00:00:29,320 --> 00:00:32,080 Speaker 2: Be sure to subscribe to the pod wherever you normally 7 00:00:32,200 --> 00:00:34,440 Speaker 2: get your pods to keep up with all of our 8 00:00:34,520 --> 00:00:37,680 Speaker 2: audio offerings here on fish Stripes as well as full 9 00:00:37,720 --> 00:00:42,560 Speaker 2: coverage of course at fishstripes dot com. I am doing 10 00:00:42,600 --> 00:00:45,640 Speaker 2: some multitasking here on Wednesday night recording this pod for 11 00:00:45,680 --> 00:00:48,360 Speaker 2: you guys as well as watching the conclusion of the 12 00:00:48,360 --> 00:00:53,120 Speaker 2: Marlins versus Cardinals game. Hopefully this times up just rights 13 00:00:53,200 --> 00:00:55,800 Speaker 2: that we get a conclusion to the close game which 14 00:00:55,840 --> 00:00:58,800 Speaker 2: is scoreless at the moment, in time for me to 15 00:00:58,840 --> 00:01:02,160 Speaker 2: add that. At the very end of the show, off 16 00:01:02,160 --> 00:01:06,040 Speaker 2: the top had to give a shout out to Sandy Alcntra, 17 00:01:07,200 --> 00:01:09,560 Speaker 2: having to this point his best start of the season. 18 00:01:10,160 --> 00:01:13,280 Speaker 2: In his fourth career start against the Saint Louis Cardinals, 19 00:01:13,280 --> 00:01:18,040 Speaker 2: his original team held them scoreless through eight innings. Only 20 00:01:18,080 --> 00:01:20,280 Speaker 2: if I have this correct, the third pitcher in all 21 00:01:20,360 --> 00:01:23,200 Speaker 2: of Major League Baseball this year to work eight complete innings. 22 00:01:23,680 --> 00:01:27,000 Speaker 2: Given the abbreviated Spring training, the kind of efficiency and 23 00:01:27,120 --> 00:01:29,880 Speaker 2: dominance you need, and frankly, this was not even a 24 00:01:30,080 --> 00:01:34,240 Speaker 2: plus version of Sandy. It was close, it was great, 25 00:01:34,280 --> 00:01:36,560 Speaker 2: but he didn't even need his A plus stuff to 26 00:01:37,640 --> 00:01:42,280 Speaker 2: be terrific, so almost single handedly put the Marlins in 27 00:01:42,319 --> 00:01:46,520 Speaker 2: front in this one. This week was just another reminder 28 00:01:46,560 --> 00:01:49,600 Speaker 2: of how immensely fortunate the Marlins are to have signed 29 00:01:49,680 --> 00:01:53,480 Speaker 2: him when they did, to the contract that they did. Meanwhile, 30 00:01:53,480 --> 00:01:56,320 Speaker 2: in Colorado, the Rockies gave sixty four and a half 31 00:01:56,400 --> 00:02:00,840 Speaker 2: million dollars to Kyle Freeland Sandy fifty six million at 32 00:02:00,840 --> 00:02:03,520 Speaker 2: a similar stage of his career and just so much 33 00:02:03,600 --> 00:02:08,080 Speaker 2: more potential in him. Early indications are that he's every 34 00:02:08,080 --> 00:02:09,800 Speaker 2: bit as good as he was last year, if not 35 00:02:09,880 --> 00:02:12,000 Speaker 2: even a little bit better. For a guy that really 36 00:02:12,040 --> 00:02:15,239 Speaker 2: does get better every single year his following his career 37 00:02:15,280 --> 00:02:18,440 Speaker 2: has been such a delight for me personally, and I'm 38 00:02:18,440 --> 00:02:20,720 Speaker 2: sure for a lot of you guys as well. So 39 00:02:20,760 --> 00:02:22,520 Speaker 2: hopefully by the end of this pot they're able to 40 00:02:22,560 --> 00:02:24,919 Speaker 2: pull out what will look like to be a walk 41 00:02:24,919 --> 00:02:27,880 Speaker 2: off win if they do win it for him at 42 00:02:27,919 --> 00:02:33,040 Speaker 2: the very end, and end this on a more satisfying note, given, 43 00:02:33,400 --> 00:02:36,440 Speaker 2: of course, the scars that we have of watching Sandy 44 00:02:36,520 --> 00:02:39,960 Speaker 2: pitch so well in recent years without the run support 45 00:02:40,040 --> 00:02:42,360 Speaker 2: that he deserves. On the other side of this break, 46 00:02:42,360 --> 00:02:45,880 Speaker 2: we're going to get into geez Aggie and the Lizard. 47 00:02:46,160 --> 00:02:46,720 Speaker 1: Stick with me. 48 00:02:52,200 --> 00:02:56,320 Speaker 2: Only four active Major League Baseball players have the first 49 00:02:56,400 --> 00:03:00,280 Speaker 2: name Heyeseuss, and three of them are on the Fish 50 00:03:00,480 --> 00:03:05,000 Speaker 2: incredible coincidence, all them acquired in very different ways. It's 51 00:03:05,040 --> 00:03:11,160 Speaker 2: Hasu Sanchez, Haesus Lozardo, and Hasu's Aguilar calling this episode 52 00:03:11,160 --> 00:03:14,880 Speaker 2: the Hasu's power rankings, which is sort of ironic in 53 00:03:14,919 --> 00:03:17,280 Speaker 2: that we're at a time where the rankings can never 54 00:03:17,600 --> 00:03:19,280 Speaker 2: be more clear between these three guys. 55 00:03:19,320 --> 00:03:20,440 Speaker 1: Imagine how differently we. 56 00:03:20,360 --> 00:03:23,720 Speaker 2: Felt about them going back nine months ago, even the 57 00:03:23,840 --> 00:03:26,360 Speaker 2: end of the regular season in twenty twenty one as well. 58 00:03:27,120 --> 00:03:29,320 Speaker 2: But things have shifted in a pretty concise way in 59 00:03:29,400 --> 00:03:31,400 Speaker 2: terms of the roles they have on this team, the 60 00:03:31,440 --> 00:03:33,959 Speaker 2: starts that they've gotten off to here in twenty twenty two. 61 00:03:34,760 --> 00:03:37,440 Speaker 2: Each of the three are very fascinating to me for 62 00:03:37,520 --> 00:03:40,280 Speaker 2: different reasons, and I wanted to do these quick hits 63 00:03:40,360 --> 00:03:43,080 Speaker 2: on each of them for this podcast episode. It's a 64 00:03:43,120 --> 00:03:45,480 Speaker 2: power ranking, so we go from one to the bottom, 65 00:03:45,880 --> 00:03:49,120 Speaker 2: and number one is very clear cut. At this moment 66 00:03:49,200 --> 00:03:51,040 Speaker 2: in time, it is Hasu's. 67 00:03:51,000 --> 00:03:53,680 Speaker 1: Sanchez, thank you, thank you so much. 68 00:03:54,360 --> 00:03:56,840 Speaker 2: As of this recording, having a very quiet night, one 69 00:03:56,840 --> 00:03:58,920 Speaker 2: of his few hitless games this year, and yet still 70 00:03:59,000 --> 00:04:03,480 Speaker 2: hitting three forty one on the season in what is 71 00:04:03,480 --> 00:04:05,880 Speaker 2: setting up to be his first full major league season, 72 00:04:05,960 --> 00:04:10,480 Speaker 2: his third total with the Marlins. Jesus Sanchez, at times, 73 00:04:10,720 --> 00:04:13,040 Speaker 2: really throughout most of his minor league career, regarded as 74 00:04:13,120 --> 00:04:16,839 Speaker 2: a consensus top one hundred baseball prospect, but never a 75 00:04:16,880 --> 00:04:19,880 Speaker 2: perfect one, and some of the doubts about him back 76 00:04:19,880 --> 00:04:24,800 Speaker 2: then still hold true about his defense, about his plate discipline. 77 00:04:25,160 --> 00:04:29,200 Speaker 2: Yet he is just such a gifted hitter, and ultimately 78 00:04:29,240 --> 00:04:32,359 Speaker 2: that is the most important thing that any player can possess. 79 00:04:33,000 --> 00:04:35,039 Speaker 2: That makes up for most of it. You know, he 80 00:04:35,080 --> 00:04:37,960 Speaker 2: has flirted with an ops right around a thousand in 81 00:04:38,000 --> 00:04:40,880 Speaker 2: the early going. So far this year, he has taken 82 00:04:40,920 --> 00:04:44,120 Speaker 2: over as the everyday center fielder for the Marlins, which 83 00:04:44,160 --> 00:04:48,760 Speaker 2: did not seem like his clear role until midway through 84 00:04:48,800 --> 00:04:50,640 Speaker 2: spring training. Right we knew he was going to be 85 00:04:50,720 --> 00:04:52,680 Speaker 2: on this Marlins opening day roster, he was going to 86 00:04:52,720 --> 00:04:55,240 Speaker 2: get close to every day playing time, but it wasn't 87 00:04:55,279 --> 00:04:58,080 Speaker 2: even clear whether he'd be in center field, whether he'd 88 00:04:58,120 --> 00:05:02,279 Speaker 2: be in right with avas say el Garcia in centerfield. Potentially, 89 00:05:03,720 --> 00:05:06,640 Speaker 2: it's he hadn't played any center at all for the 90 00:05:06,680 --> 00:05:09,400 Speaker 2: Marlins and the Majors in twenty twenty or twenty twenty one. 91 00:05:09,560 --> 00:05:12,760 Speaker 2: He had scarcely played it even in the minors at 92 00:05:12,800 --> 00:05:15,680 Speaker 2: any point in his career, despite always being you know, 93 00:05:16,120 --> 00:05:19,599 Speaker 2: that key prospect in the organization that give him chances 94 00:05:19,640 --> 00:05:23,359 Speaker 2: to do it. He's a lot bigger than most center 95 00:05:23,360 --> 00:05:26,600 Speaker 2: fielders are, and he doesn't have the same agility as 96 00:05:26,600 --> 00:05:30,120 Speaker 2: a typical centerfielder does. Yeah, there was an interesting piece 97 00:05:30,279 --> 00:05:32,719 Speaker 2: a few days ago from Jordan McPherson of the Miami 98 00:05:32,720 --> 00:05:37,000 Speaker 2: Herald where he mentioned something from Keith Johnson, who works 99 00:05:37,040 --> 00:05:40,120 Speaker 2: with the outfield defenders, about the Marlins and how they 100 00:05:40,120 --> 00:05:44,599 Speaker 2: were putting a focus on him finishing plays defensively like 101 00:05:44,760 --> 00:05:46,800 Speaker 2: that is. The one particular thing that stuck out about 102 00:05:46,880 --> 00:05:51,080 Speaker 2: him last year is he does have really outstanding reaction time. 103 00:05:51,160 --> 00:05:53,680 Speaker 2: That goes quite a ways towards making up for the 104 00:05:53,760 --> 00:05:56,320 Speaker 2: lack of agility. Is that he gets really good reads 105 00:05:56,640 --> 00:06:00,640 Speaker 2: on the balls, and at least initially his routes are sound. 106 00:06:01,200 --> 00:06:02,960 Speaker 2: As I'm actually watching him at the plate here in 107 00:06:02,960 --> 00:06:05,080 Speaker 2: the bottom of the eighth inning with a potential go 108 00:06:05,120 --> 00:06:06,360 Speaker 2: ahead run on base for him. 109 00:06:06,400 --> 00:06:07,400 Speaker 1: We'll see how that goes. 110 00:06:08,320 --> 00:06:10,719 Speaker 2: In getting back to his defense, it was just about 111 00:06:10,720 --> 00:06:15,280 Speaker 2: finishing plays. Very memorably. He had the bare handed catch 112 00:06:15,320 --> 00:06:19,280 Speaker 2: in foul territory in right field late last season, which 113 00:06:19,400 --> 00:06:23,440 Speaker 2: was a fun highlight, but ultimately came out of a 114 00:06:23,600 --> 00:06:28,200 Speaker 2: poorly run rout. It was a mistake that he was 115 00:06:28,240 --> 00:06:32,720 Speaker 2: able to redeem in the last possible instant. Watching him 116 00:06:32,720 --> 00:06:34,800 Speaker 2: as much as I did last year, I didn't even 117 00:06:34,800 --> 00:06:37,000 Speaker 2: think he was that great as a corner outfielder, so 118 00:06:37,040 --> 00:06:40,719 Speaker 2: I had real concerns about him being a liability in 119 00:06:40,760 --> 00:06:44,279 Speaker 2: center field, which would have been just magnified by the 120 00:06:44,279 --> 00:06:48,960 Speaker 2: fact that he is sandwiched between Garcia and Jorge Solaire, 121 00:06:49,080 --> 00:06:53,200 Speaker 2: neither of whom are particularly agile in the corner spots. 122 00:06:53,200 --> 00:06:56,239 Speaker 2: It just was a really difficult assignment for him, playing 123 00:06:56,240 --> 00:06:59,000 Speaker 2: half his games in lone debot park and most often 124 00:06:59,080 --> 00:07:04,479 Speaker 2: being flanked by those two thirty something players. It was 125 00:07:04,480 --> 00:07:08,160 Speaker 2: such a demanding role for him defensively that I did 126 00:07:08,160 --> 00:07:10,400 Speaker 2: not think it was going to go well, and to 127 00:07:10,440 --> 00:07:12,760 Speaker 2: this point in the season, it just reminds you how 128 00:07:12,800 --> 00:07:15,400 Speaker 2: early we are. We really don't know. We don't know 129 00:07:15,440 --> 00:07:19,040 Speaker 2: how good he is defensively. He had that one notable 130 00:07:19,240 --> 00:07:23,280 Speaker 2: mistake in the opening series in San Francisco, where it 131 00:07:23,320 --> 00:07:26,440 Speaker 2: looked like with ordinary effort most centerfielders would have been 132 00:07:26,440 --> 00:07:29,320 Speaker 2: able to run it down and left centerfield gap. Aside 133 00:07:29,320 --> 00:07:31,600 Speaker 2: from that, he just has not been tested. He has 134 00:07:31,600 --> 00:07:33,320 Speaker 2: made all the players that have been hit to him 135 00:07:33,800 --> 00:07:34,960 Speaker 2: as far as I can recall. 136 00:07:35,800 --> 00:07:36,640 Speaker 1: Of course, the. 137 00:07:36,600 --> 00:07:40,800 Speaker 2: Beautiful stat cast system assigns a catch probability to every 138 00:07:41,080 --> 00:07:44,800 Speaker 2: outfield play so far the season, and I cannot remember 139 00:07:45,400 --> 00:07:48,720 Speaker 2: any place since then that has been catchable but has 140 00:07:48,760 --> 00:07:52,160 Speaker 2: had like a less than eighty percent catch probability. There 141 00:07:52,240 --> 00:07:55,480 Speaker 2: just have not been many challenges for him to this point. 142 00:07:55,520 --> 00:07:58,000 Speaker 2: He hasn't been tested to to this small sample, so 143 00:07:58,080 --> 00:07:59,800 Speaker 2: part of that is due to the Marlins pitching staff 144 00:08:00,040 --> 00:08:03,160 Speaker 2: not allowing very many fly balls to center field. It's 145 00:08:03,160 --> 00:08:05,560 Speaker 2: going to take some time to know exactly where he 146 00:08:05,640 --> 00:08:09,400 Speaker 2: goes defensively, as I just saw him strike out on 147 00:08:09,440 --> 00:08:11,680 Speaker 2: a pitch low on the zone here in the bottom 148 00:08:11,720 --> 00:08:12,440 Speaker 2: of the eighth inning. 149 00:08:12,600 --> 00:08:14,200 Speaker 1: This being one of the few hitless games. 150 00:08:14,320 --> 00:08:17,280 Speaker 2: It drops his average to three point thirty three, which 151 00:08:17,360 --> 00:08:21,720 Speaker 2: is still outstanding. A weighted runs created plus in the 152 00:08:21,760 --> 00:08:24,200 Speaker 2: one eighties. I believe it's going to be where one 153 00:08:24,280 --> 00:08:28,680 Speaker 2: hundred represents league average WRC plus. Is this that we 154 00:08:28,760 --> 00:08:31,000 Speaker 2: use a lot on the side just to context major 155 00:08:31,080 --> 00:08:33,319 Speaker 2: league production, and you can actually applied to any league 156 00:08:33,320 --> 00:08:36,840 Speaker 2: that somebody plays in for his career. He is at 157 00:08:36,880 --> 00:08:41,520 Speaker 2: one thirteen WRC plus and that is just as high 158 00:08:41,559 --> 00:08:46,040 Speaker 2: as anybody on this active roster outside of Brian Delacruz 159 00:08:46,280 --> 00:08:52,040 Speaker 2: with his small sample size two two, probably Iglesias Sanchez 160 00:08:52,080 --> 00:08:56,280 Speaker 2: with a high drive deep right field and he's gone 161 00:08:56,400 --> 00:09:02,280 Speaker 2: deep again. Second home run of the game four Hazu Shchez, 162 00:09:03,840 --> 00:09:07,800 Speaker 2: even though he hasn't accomplished much to this point relative 163 00:09:07,840 --> 00:09:10,600 Speaker 2: to the other players on this roster, it is very notable. 164 00:09:10,640 --> 00:09:13,240 Speaker 2: It also drives home the fact that there's just not 165 00:09:13,400 --> 00:09:16,559 Speaker 2: a lot of star power in this offense right now 166 00:09:17,080 --> 00:09:20,360 Speaker 2: who you can trust to be reliable run producers. Considering 167 00:09:20,360 --> 00:09:23,040 Speaker 2: that if you look at their career track records, even 168 00:09:23,080 --> 00:09:24,920 Speaker 2: the ones that have been All Stars in the past 169 00:09:24,960 --> 00:09:29,840 Speaker 2: and have been receiving accolades, that there are not a 170 00:09:29,840 --> 00:09:31,800 Speaker 2: whole lot of guys that you would prefer to see 171 00:09:31,880 --> 00:09:34,280 Speaker 2: high up in the laneup than Sanchez. Pretty much all 172 00:09:34,280 --> 00:09:36,880 Speaker 2: season long, Sanchez has been with few exceptions, he's been 173 00:09:36,880 --> 00:09:38,960 Speaker 2: batting in the top third of the order. They even 174 00:09:38,960 --> 00:09:42,800 Speaker 2: had him lead off the other night, so picking apart 175 00:09:42,880 --> 00:09:45,360 Speaker 2: his game a little bit, he has drawn only one 176 00:09:45,520 --> 00:09:48,720 Speaker 2: walk to this point in the season. Forty something played 177 00:09:48,760 --> 00:09:51,800 Speaker 2: appearances into the season only one walk. One of the 178 00:09:51,960 --> 00:09:55,280 Speaker 2: pleasant developments from him last year was the willingness to walk. 179 00:09:55,320 --> 00:09:58,200 Speaker 2: He was that an eight percent clip, right around league 180 00:09:58,240 --> 00:10:02,000 Speaker 2: average for someone that was kind of gloriously over aggressive, 181 00:10:02,480 --> 00:10:05,079 Speaker 2: and he has slipped into some bad habits this year. 182 00:10:05,640 --> 00:10:08,360 Speaker 2: What I noticed is that he swings so much at 183 00:10:08,360 --> 00:10:11,880 Speaker 2: the first pitch of a played appearance. It's not the 184 00:10:11,960 --> 00:10:13,679 Speaker 2: highest rate in the league. In fact, it's not even 185 00:10:13,679 --> 00:10:17,640 Speaker 2: the highest on the team because Aves El Garcia is 186 00:10:17,679 --> 00:10:21,160 Speaker 2: the biggest offender in this department. Nearly fifty percent of 187 00:10:21,200 --> 00:10:24,360 Speaker 2: his plate appearances, Sanchez is swinging at the first pitch, 188 00:10:25,240 --> 00:10:27,720 Speaker 2: which has resulted in I could probably look it up 189 00:10:27,760 --> 00:10:29,960 Speaker 2: how many hits he has on those first pitches, but 190 00:10:30,080 --> 00:10:33,559 Speaker 2: also puts them in situations where the walk is almost 191 00:10:33,600 --> 00:10:36,240 Speaker 2: off the table. If he's constantly in that situation, he 192 00:10:36,240 --> 00:10:39,120 Speaker 2: has three of his hits on the first pitch so 193 00:10:39,200 --> 00:10:43,280 Speaker 2: far this season. He's never going to be a guy 194 00:10:43,320 --> 00:10:47,280 Speaker 2: I don't think that boasts that huge OBP or the 195 00:10:47,320 --> 00:10:49,520 Speaker 2: one that has the big differential between his average and 196 00:10:49,559 --> 00:10:52,719 Speaker 2: his OBP, and that's all right, But I do think 197 00:10:52,760 --> 00:10:56,200 Speaker 2: he is kind of on a little bit too much 198 00:10:56,720 --> 00:10:58,640 Speaker 2: on the aggressive side at this point in the season, 199 00:10:59,120 --> 00:11:02,280 Speaker 2: and he's not going to be that batting title contender, 200 00:11:02,400 --> 00:11:04,800 Speaker 2: that All Star player if he keeps it up at 201 00:11:04,840 --> 00:11:07,280 Speaker 2: this rate. You know, eventually he's not going to have 202 00:11:07,400 --> 00:11:10,560 Speaker 2: quite as much production on balls and play as he's 203 00:11:10,559 --> 00:11:13,360 Speaker 2: had to this point in the season. Anyway you slice it, 204 00:11:13,800 --> 00:11:18,360 Speaker 2: super encouraging first two weeks of the season for Sanchez. 205 00:11:19,080 --> 00:11:23,360 Speaker 2: It does help validate the Marlins decision not to trade 206 00:11:23,600 --> 00:11:26,560 Speaker 2: for a center fielder. I mean, the best of all worlds, 207 00:11:26,600 --> 00:11:28,640 Speaker 2: in my opinion, would have been pulling off one of 208 00:11:28,640 --> 00:11:32,319 Speaker 2: those trades and declining to sign both of the corner 209 00:11:32,320 --> 00:11:34,960 Speaker 2: outfielders that they did. I felt like the money that 210 00:11:35,000 --> 00:11:37,680 Speaker 2: they committed to both Garcia and Hilaire is going to 211 00:11:37,679 --> 00:11:39,800 Speaker 2: come back to bite them a little bit. That's a 212 00:11:39,800 --> 00:11:43,960 Speaker 2: conversation for another day. Sanchez pretty emphatically number one in 213 00:11:44,040 --> 00:11:45,600 Speaker 2: my Haesius Power rankings. 214 00:11:45,800 --> 00:11:46,400 Speaker 1: At the moment. 215 00:11:46,720 --> 00:11:51,200 Speaker 2: Number two Hayesius Lozardo, who was coming off his second 216 00:11:51,240 --> 00:11:56,079 Speaker 2: start of the season on Tuesday against the Cardinals, which 217 00:11:56,240 --> 00:11:58,840 Speaker 2: started off in the first stenning looking a lot like 218 00:11:58,920 --> 00:12:02,240 Speaker 2: his season opening start dominance, and then from there on 219 00:12:02,640 --> 00:12:06,320 Speaker 2: just got hit around, and it was very familiar to 220 00:12:06,720 --> 00:12:11,000 Speaker 2: last season. So the question is where does he fall. 221 00:12:11,360 --> 00:12:14,280 Speaker 2: Where's his real talent level at this point between what 222 00:12:14,360 --> 00:12:16,560 Speaker 2: we saw in twenty twenty one and what we saw 223 00:12:16,559 --> 00:12:19,400 Speaker 2: throughout spring training and in his season opening start where 224 00:12:19,440 --> 00:12:23,560 Speaker 2: he was nearly perfect against the Angels. One particular detail 225 00:12:23,600 --> 00:12:26,400 Speaker 2: about that Angel start, where he went five scoreless endings 226 00:12:26,400 --> 00:12:28,680 Speaker 2: struck out twelve that I don't think got enough play 227 00:12:28,720 --> 00:12:32,120 Speaker 2: afterwards is the impact that the shadows had in that game. 228 00:12:32,200 --> 00:12:36,880 Speaker 2: It was a mid afternoon start time in LA in 229 00:12:36,960 --> 00:12:40,360 Speaker 2: a stadium unlike Lone deepa park that doesn't have a 230 00:12:40,360 --> 00:12:43,679 Speaker 2: retractable roof or anything, which means that the shadows come 231 00:12:43,720 --> 00:12:47,760 Speaker 2: into play the way that most ballparks are oriented when 232 00:12:47,800 --> 00:12:51,480 Speaker 2: you start games at that time, there is shadows that 233 00:12:51,520 --> 00:12:54,240 Speaker 2: split between the mounds and home plate, as was the 234 00:12:54,240 --> 00:12:57,160 Speaker 2: case for the first several innings of this game, and 235 00:12:57,160 --> 00:13:00,880 Speaker 2: that made pitchers on both sides better both Lizardo and 236 00:13:00,960 --> 00:13:05,000 Speaker 2: Patrick Sandoval of the Angels. It was never realistic to 237 00:13:05,040 --> 00:13:07,720 Speaker 2: think that he was going to replicate that in his 238 00:13:07,760 --> 00:13:10,440 Speaker 2: next start against anybody. I don't think there's going to 239 00:13:10,440 --> 00:13:13,560 Speaker 2: be very many starts with him this year where he 240 00:13:13,600 --> 00:13:17,360 Speaker 2: strikes out twelve, just because of some of the questions 241 00:13:17,440 --> 00:13:19,640 Speaker 2: I still have about his fastball. You know, what stood 242 00:13:19,679 --> 00:13:22,520 Speaker 2: out immediately in spring training is that the velocity is 243 00:13:22,600 --> 00:13:24,600 Speaker 2: even higher than it was last year. For someone that 244 00:13:24,679 --> 00:13:28,280 Speaker 2: has had plus velocity throughout most of his pro career, Like, 245 00:13:28,720 --> 00:13:31,600 Speaker 2: you're really trending towards elite territory. With what he's shown 246 00:13:31,920 --> 00:13:34,440 Speaker 2: early on this season, I could probably pull up the average. 247 00:13:34,440 --> 00:13:36,880 Speaker 2: I think it's right around ninety eight miles per hour 248 00:13:37,040 --> 00:13:39,320 Speaker 2: on his heaters this year, if not very close to that, 249 00:13:40,000 --> 00:13:44,280 Speaker 2: which is just absurd for a left handed starting pitcher. 250 00:13:44,320 --> 00:13:47,040 Speaker 2: It is right near the top of the heap of 251 00:13:47,160 --> 00:13:50,000 Speaker 2: just pure stuff. With that, and with the quality of 252 00:13:50,040 --> 00:13:54,920 Speaker 2: his breaking ball, which has always been awesome, and the 253 00:13:54,960 --> 00:13:57,240 Speaker 2: adjustment he made towards the end of last season was 254 00:13:57,280 --> 00:13:59,760 Speaker 2: just throwing the breaking ball away more than he ever 255 00:13:59,800 --> 00:14:03,199 Speaker 2: had as before. He continued with that in spring training 256 00:14:03,240 --> 00:14:06,080 Speaker 2: and he just carried that into the regular season as well. 257 00:14:06,520 --> 00:14:08,960 Speaker 2: Yet to this point, through two starts, throwing his breaking 258 00:14:09,000 --> 00:14:12,079 Speaker 2: bault nearly as much as his fastball forty five percent 259 00:14:12,400 --> 00:14:14,440 Speaker 2: of the time, and that's going to be a pitch 260 00:14:14,440 --> 00:14:16,160 Speaker 2: that is going to get a lot of whiffs as 261 00:14:16,240 --> 00:14:18,600 Speaker 2: long as he is ahead of the count. That's going 262 00:14:18,679 --> 00:14:20,280 Speaker 2: to be really crucial for him to get ahead of 263 00:14:20,320 --> 00:14:23,920 Speaker 2: the count. And also for in order to get ahead 264 00:14:23,920 --> 00:14:26,520 Speaker 2: of the count, you need to be actually miss some 265 00:14:26,640 --> 00:14:29,000 Speaker 2: bats with your fastball. And that continues to be the 266 00:14:29,080 --> 00:14:31,120 Speaker 2: question that I have with him about the shape of 267 00:14:31,120 --> 00:14:34,440 Speaker 2: his past ball and whether he's able to miss bats 268 00:14:34,520 --> 00:14:36,720 Speaker 2: with it, whether he's able to command it in the 269 00:14:36,800 --> 00:14:40,560 Speaker 2: right spots, and even when he does, is going to 270 00:14:40,640 --> 00:14:43,080 Speaker 2: actually miss barrels in a way that allows him to 271 00:14:43,160 --> 00:14:46,960 Speaker 2: set up that great secondary stuff that he has. Yeah, 272 00:14:46,960 --> 00:14:49,080 Speaker 2: in case you didn't follow his most recent outing. The 273 00:14:49,120 --> 00:14:52,280 Speaker 2: final line from that second start against the Cardinals, who 274 00:14:52,400 --> 00:14:57,080 Speaker 2: are an average ish offensive team all things considered, he 275 00:14:57,120 --> 00:15:00,720 Speaker 2: went four and a third seven hits, two walks, five runs, 276 00:15:00,760 --> 00:15:04,640 Speaker 2: four of them earned three strikeouts. The average together his 277 00:15:04,640 --> 00:15:07,200 Speaker 2: first two starts a four to eight to two ERA 278 00:15:07,360 --> 00:15:10,360 Speaker 2: and a one point twenty nine whip which honestly would 279 00:15:10,440 --> 00:15:13,000 Speaker 2: not be like the worst outcome for his season, right 280 00:15:13,040 --> 00:15:15,360 Speaker 2: considering he's coming off a year in twenty twenty one 281 00:15:15,800 --> 00:15:18,560 Speaker 2: where he had a six and a half ERA and 282 00:15:18,600 --> 00:15:19,560 Speaker 2: a one point. 283 00:15:19,360 --> 00:15:20,440 Speaker 1: Six to two whip. 284 00:15:20,480 --> 00:15:22,520 Speaker 2: You know, so if he shaves almost two runs off 285 00:15:22,560 --> 00:15:26,520 Speaker 2: the ERA and one base runner every three innings, and 286 00:15:26,560 --> 00:15:28,280 Speaker 2: he keeps the ball in the park, so that'll be 287 00:15:28,280 --> 00:15:30,720 Speaker 2: a pretty big key is how much he's able to 288 00:15:30,760 --> 00:15:34,800 Speaker 2: do that. One of the quiet storylines across baseball is 289 00:15:34,840 --> 00:15:37,520 Speaker 2: that home runs are down quite a bit, more so 290 00:15:37,600 --> 00:15:40,400 Speaker 2: than they have been each of the last three years 291 00:15:40,600 --> 00:15:44,760 Speaker 2: or so. Lazarda last year allowed twenty home runs in 292 00:15:44,840 --> 00:15:47,520 Speaker 2: ninety five and a third innings, which even by last 293 00:15:47,600 --> 00:15:52,320 Speaker 2: year's standards was very bad. If he's a beneficiary of 294 00:15:52,680 --> 00:15:54,960 Speaker 2: this change seemingly seems to be a change in the 295 00:15:54,960 --> 00:15:57,000 Speaker 2: ball if at the very least a change in the 296 00:15:57,040 --> 00:16:01,040 Speaker 2: playing conditions. If he's able to keep ball in the ballpark, 297 00:16:01,800 --> 00:16:04,480 Speaker 2: that's going to be pretty big for him because he 298 00:16:04,600 --> 00:16:07,000 Speaker 2: is going to get those strikeouts with the quality of 299 00:16:07,000 --> 00:16:10,480 Speaker 2: his stuff at an above average clip. As we're here 300 00:16:10,520 --> 00:16:12,200 Speaker 2: on the top of the ninth and it looks like 301 00:16:12,640 --> 00:16:16,640 Speaker 2: Anthony Bender just blew the game. Yep, just allowed a 302 00:16:16,800 --> 00:16:19,680 Speaker 2: game winning, likely game winning, a go ahead to around 303 00:16:19,720 --> 00:16:25,160 Speaker 2: home run to Nolan Arenado. We'll revisit that again at 304 00:16:25,160 --> 00:16:26,720 Speaker 2: the end of the pod as I finish up here 305 00:16:26,960 --> 00:16:31,560 Speaker 2: on Louzardo, my second ranked hesus on the Marlins right now. 306 00:16:31,640 --> 00:16:35,000 Speaker 2: So he just Lozardo made his last start against the Cardinals. 307 00:16:35,080 --> 00:16:36,880 Speaker 2: Let's see, the next series they have is on the 308 00:16:36,960 --> 00:16:39,040 Speaker 2: road against the Nationals. So he has lined up to 309 00:16:39,200 --> 00:16:44,000 Speaker 2: start on Sunday against the Nationals, who you know, have 310 00:16:44,080 --> 00:16:48,000 Speaker 2: won Soto but at this point have very little else 311 00:16:48,640 --> 00:16:51,000 Speaker 2: which means it's a pretty favorable matchup. Oh, I should 312 00:16:51,040 --> 00:16:53,600 Speaker 2: correct that it is against the Braves. The next year 313 00:16:53,640 --> 00:16:55,640 Speaker 2: is against the Braves, then the Nationals, so his next 314 00:16:55,680 --> 00:16:58,080 Speaker 2: start will be against the Braves in Atlanta. That is 315 00:16:58,080 --> 00:17:01,880 Speaker 2: a different assignment, even with no Freddie Freeman, no Ronald 316 00:17:01,920 --> 00:17:05,400 Speaker 2: Acuna junior back yet that is an above average offensive 317 00:17:05,400 --> 00:17:09,600 Speaker 2: team on the road that Lozardo faces. That's going to 318 00:17:09,680 --> 00:17:11,719 Speaker 2: be very fascinating to watch where he falls in between 319 00:17:11,880 --> 00:17:14,240 Speaker 2: the two extremes that we saw in his season opening 320 00:17:14,240 --> 00:17:17,040 Speaker 2: start and his second one. You guys, if you've been 321 00:17:17,040 --> 00:17:21,399 Speaker 2: following my coverage entering the season, I was airing on 322 00:17:21,440 --> 00:17:25,280 Speaker 2: the side of skepticism about Lozardo being significantly better than 323 00:17:25,359 --> 00:17:28,520 Speaker 2: he had been previously, and so this is going to 324 00:17:28,840 --> 00:17:31,239 Speaker 2: be a big data point in my evaluation, is how 325 00:17:31,280 --> 00:17:35,119 Speaker 2: he does against the Braves in his third start of 326 00:17:35,160 --> 00:17:38,200 Speaker 2: the season. Considering it's going to be the last game 327 00:17:38,560 --> 00:17:41,080 Speaker 2: of the week and the last game at a sixth straight. 328 00:17:41,160 --> 00:17:44,399 Speaker 2: You know that might be one where Jacob Stallings sits 329 00:17:44,440 --> 00:17:47,160 Speaker 2: and they pair him with Peyton Henry, So we'll see 330 00:17:47,440 --> 00:17:50,600 Speaker 2: what that might do working with Henry instead of Stallings 331 00:17:50,640 --> 00:17:51,160 Speaker 2: in that one. 332 00:17:51,280 --> 00:17:53,400 Speaker 1: Just speculating about what. 333 00:17:53,440 --> 00:17:57,199 Speaker 2: The roadt what the day off might be for the 334 00:17:57,200 --> 00:18:02,400 Speaker 2: catching position on his next start. Line Either way, with Lozardo, 335 00:18:03,440 --> 00:18:06,040 Speaker 2: he it's not a make or break year for him. 336 00:18:06,119 --> 00:18:08,359 Speaker 2: Of course, they got him as a big trade piece 337 00:18:08,440 --> 00:18:11,119 Speaker 2: for Starrong Marte. They're gonna give him a bigg opportunity 338 00:18:11,359 --> 00:18:13,720 Speaker 2: to stick in the rotation. If he is every bit 339 00:18:13,760 --> 00:18:16,480 Speaker 2: as bad as he was last year, he would be 340 00:18:16,520 --> 00:18:19,720 Speaker 2: the one you consider sending down to make room for 341 00:18:20,119 --> 00:18:22,399 Speaker 2: some of these other great starting pitchers in the pipeline, 342 00:18:22,440 --> 00:18:27,080 Speaker 2: like Edward Carbrera, like Max Meyer. But we're getting ahead 343 00:18:27,080 --> 00:18:30,080 Speaker 2: of ourselves because unless he does struggle again, as much 344 00:18:30,080 --> 00:18:31,639 Speaker 2: as he did against the Cardinals, and he does it 345 00:18:31,720 --> 00:18:34,399 Speaker 2: several times, They're going to give him a long leash 346 00:18:34,440 --> 00:18:37,560 Speaker 2: to prove himself. At this point. I believe he is 347 00:18:38,520 --> 00:18:42,639 Speaker 2: on track to be under club control through twenty twenty six, 348 00:18:42,880 --> 00:18:47,359 Speaker 2: so this season and then four more after that, and 349 00:18:47,520 --> 00:18:50,720 Speaker 2: as long as he is just like a piece of 350 00:18:50,760 --> 00:18:53,400 Speaker 2: the rotation, even at the very tail end of it, 351 00:18:53,480 --> 00:18:57,520 Speaker 2: that would be a really nice pickup for them under 352 00:18:57,520 --> 00:19:01,000 Speaker 2: the circumstances that they got him a lot to prove. 353 00:19:01,400 --> 00:19:05,040 Speaker 2: But I am encouraged by the quality of the stuff 354 00:19:05,119 --> 00:19:07,800 Speaker 2: and the usage of his stuff that we've seen really 355 00:19:07,880 --> 00:19:11,399 Speaker 2: early on this season. Bringing up the rear of my 356 00:19:11,440 --> 00:19:16,400 Speaker 2: HASI's power rankings, it is, of course Jesus Aguilar oh Boy, 357 00:19:17,160 --> 00:19:20,600 Speaker 2: entering his third season with the Marlins, his final year 358 00:19:20,720 --> 00:19:25,320 Speaker 2: before being eligible for free agency. I should say that earlier, 359 00:19:25,600 --> 00:19:27,840 Speaker 2: about what a week and a half ago, two weeks ago, 360 00:19:27,920 --> 00:19:30,760 Speaker 2: they signed him to I guess you would call it 361 00:19:30,800 --> 00:19:33,880 Speaker 2: an extension. There's a mutual option for twenty twenty three, 362 00:19:34,200 --> 00:19:35,600 Speaker 2: which rarely gets picked up. 363 00:19:35,640 --> 00:19:36,960 Speaker 1: You never really see that happening. 364 00:19:37,200 --> 00:19:39,000 Speaker 2: That's the one they had in place with Adam Duval 365 00:19:39,200 --> 00:19:42,840 Speaker 2: last year, and unlike Duval. He doesn't have any years 366 00:19:42,840 --> 00:19:46,600 Speaker 2: of control remaining on him. This is almost certainly going 367 00:19:46,640 --> 00:19:49,719 Speaker 2: to be Aguilar's final year with the Marlins, the key 368 00:19:49,840 --> 00:19:52,560 Speaker 2: question being whether he actually makes it through the entire. 369 00:19:52,400 --> 00:19:53,800 Speaker 1: Year on the roster. 370 00:19:54,160 --> 00:19:56,120 Speaker 2: So let me double check as I'm recording this live 371 00:19:56,400 --> 00:19:59,479 Speaker 2: that Aguilar's about to bat, so I will carry on 372 00:19:59,520 --> 00:20:02,560 Speaker 2: the segment until seeing his final plate appearance of this 373 00:20:02,640 --> 00:20:05,439 Speaker 2: game in the bottom of the ninth inning. Entering today, 374 00:20:05,760 --> 00:20:09,080 Speaker 2: across baseball, he was one of only nine qualified hitters 375 00:20:09,080 --> 00:20:10,320 Speaker 2: without an extra base hit. 376 00:20:11,040 --> 00:20:11,639 Speaker 1: Yikes. 377 00:20:11,760 --> 00:20:14,280 Speaker 2: You know, with some guys that's not as worrisome as others. 378 00:20:14,920 --> 00:20:20,520 Speaker 2: A huge part of Aggie's value is extra base hits. 379 00:20:20,680 --> 00:20:22,520 Speaker 2: Is driving in runs, and the easiest way to do 380 00:20:22,560 --> 00:20:25,440 Speaker 2: that is by getting extra base hits. You'll remember he 381 00:20:25,480 --> 00:20:27,760 Speaker 2: got off to a pretty strong start last season. You know, 382 00:20:27,800 --> 00:20:30,119 Speaker 2: there was a portion of time in late April or 383 00:20:30,119 --> 00:20:32,399 Speaker 2: early May where he was leading the National League and 384 00:20:32,480 --> 00:20:36,920 Speaker 2: runs batted in. He wasn't hitting for home runs early 385 00:20:36,960 --> 00:20:40,760 Speaker 2: on last year, either, but he did show that there 386 00:20:40,760 --> 00:20:43,360 Speaker 2: are other ways that he was being very productive even 387 00:20:43,400 --> 00:20:45,959 Speaker 2: in spite of that. The difference this year is that 388 00:20:46,000 --> 00:20:49,000 Speaker 2: there's no home runs and there's really nothing to make 389 00:20:49,080 --> 00:20:51,600 Speaker 2: up for that, aside from a few walks. He is 390 00:20:51,640 --> 00:20:54,360 Speaker 2: on the opposite end of the spectrum as Sanchez when 391 00:20:54,359 --> 00:20:58,159 Speaker 2: it comes to plate discipline. Last year swing at the 392 00:20:58,200 --> 00:21:00,959 Speaker 2: first pitch, I mentioned that Sanchez was close to fifty 393 00:21:01,000 --> 00:21:04,479 Speaker 2: percent swinging at the first pitch. Aguilar is right around 394 00:21:04,560 --> 00:21:09,879 Speaker 2: ten percent, almost an automatic first pitch take every single 395 00:21:09,920 --> 00:21:13,040 Speaker 2: time last year and that has continued into this year. 396 00:21:13,560 --> 00:21:16,040 Speaker 2: Throughout his career, he's been pretty far down there. The 397 00:21:16,119 --> 00:21:18,840 Speaker 2: league average right around thirty percent, and for most of 398 00:21:18,880 --> 00:21:21,240 Speaker 2: his career he was around fifteen. And then was last 399 00:21:21,320 --> 00:21:25,320 Speaker 2: year that he added the extra discipline, which had overall 400 00:21:25,760 --> 00:21:28,399 Speaker 2: was more of a positive than a negative. It's just 401 00:21:28,480 --> 00:21:32,000 Speaker 2: that early on this year he might be leaning too 402 00:21:32,040 --> 00:21:35,520 Speaker 2: far in that direction. So I dinged Sanchez for being 403 00:21:35,520 --> 00:21:38,320 Speaker 2: a little too over aggressive and now Aguilar for the 404 00:21:38,400 --> 00:21:42,720 Speaker 2: opposite reason. There was a perfect example earlier tonight where 405 00:21:42,880 --> 00:21:45,280 Speaker 2: he got ahead in the count three to zero and 406 00:21:45,320 --> 00:21:47,720 Speaker 2: then he just really wasn't looking to do anything on 407 00:21:47,760 --> 00:21:50,600 Speaker 2: the next couple of pitches, got himself into a full count, 408 00:21:50,840 --> 00:21:53,400 Speaker 2: and then in that full count just got surprised by 409 00:21:53,440 --> 00:21:55,920 Speaker 2: a breaking ball and swung through it. In a situation 410 00:21:56,320 --> 00:21:58,600 Speaker 2: where the game was tied. It was really important for 411 00:21:58,640 --> 00:22:01,120 Speaker 2: him to do something if possible, on a night where 412 00:22:01,119 --> 00:22:04,320 Speaker 2: the Marlins offense was dormant and he didn't really seem 413 00:22:04,359 --> 00:22:07,040 Speaker 2: to be hitterish, as they say, not really looking to 414 00:22:07,640 --> 00:22:10,280 Speaker 2: do much. Even so, he's been playing almost every day. 415 00:22:10,920 --> 00:22:18,040 Speaker 2: He's been rotating almost equally constantly with Cooper between first 416 00:22:18,040 --> 00:22:22,639 Speaker 2: base and DH. This was something that came up beginning 417 00:22:22,680 --> 00:22:24,320 Speaker 2: in twenty twenty when both of them were on the 418 00:22:24,320 --> 00:22:27,040 Speaker 2: same roster and the Marlins had the dhpot. It's a 419 00:22:27,080 --> 00:22:31,320 Speaker 2: little bit comical at this point that it's an even rotation. 420 00:22:31,600 --> 00:22:33,880 Speaker 1: It really is. Let me double check tonight tonight. 421 00:22:33,960 --> 00:22:38,080 Speaker 2: Yeah, tonight being the tenth game that Hayesus Aguilar has played, 422 00:22:38,480 --> 00:22:41,160 Speaker 2: and this has been his game logs of his defensive 423 00:22:41,160 --> 00:22:46,040 Speaker 2: position DH first base, DH first Base, DH first base, 424 00:22:46,200 --> 00:22:53,639 Speaker 2: DH first base, DH tonight first base. No imagination, really 425 00:22:53,680 --> 00:22:58,160 Speaker 2: no discretion going into that decision. Don Mattingly, Happy birthday 426 00:22:58,200 --> 00:23:00,880 Speaker 2: to Don Mattingly, by the way, turning sixty one's a day. 427 00:23:01,400 --> 00:23:03,600 Speaker 2: He has kind of just put it in his mind 428 00:23:03,680 --> 00:23:09,600 Speaker 2: to just swap those two evenly at that position, and frankly, 429 00:23:10,359 --> 00:23:13,280 Speaker 2: Oggie is limited at first base. He had a really 430 00:23:13,400 --> 00:23:16,120 Speaker 2: nice scoop tonight. He does have good hands over there 431 00:23:16,119 --> 00:23:17,920 Speaker 2: for the most part, but just does not have the 432 00:23:18,040 --> 00:23:25,919 Speaker 2: range and sometimes not really great thrower from first base either. Overall, 433 00:23:25,960 --> 00:23:28,119 Speaker 2: I think he'd have to say slightly below average at 434 00:23:28,119 --> 00:23:30,400 Speaker 2: that position, even though he has a lot of experience there. 435 00:23:30,880 --> 00:23:34,760 Speaker 2: So if you're not going to have any versatility beyond 436 00:23:34,800 --> 00:23:38,280 Speaker 2: that position, and if you don't play that position particularly well. 437 00:23:38,440 --> 00:23:41,320 Speaker 1: You need to hit. And he's just not hitting. 438 00:23:42,200 --> 00:23:44,200 Speaker 2: Just to get you the update stats at the moment, 439 00:23:44,320 --> 00:23:47,320 Speaker 2: so he has one single tonight that should point out 440 00:23:47,400 --> 00:23:49,359 Speaker 2: was the hardest hit ball that he has had this year, 441 00:23:50,040 --> 00:23:52,679 Speaker 2: one hundred and two point two miles per hour. And 442 00:23:52,760 --> 00:23:56,879 Speaker 2: if that sounds impressive in the vacuum, that's why I 443 00:23:56,920 --> 00:23:59,320 Speaker 2: want to give you some context, because it is not impressive. 444 00:23:59,359 --> 00:24:01,320 Speaker 2: The biggest issue with him right now is he's just 445 00:24:01,560 --> 00:24:05,399 Speaker 2: not hitting the ball hard. That's a very critical skill 446 00:24:05,520 --> 00:24:07,479 Speaker 2: to have as a hitter, and it's one that he 447 00:24:07,520 --> 00:24:10,639 Speaker 2: has always been solid at. You. He has been the 448 00:24:10,720 --> 00:24:15,000 Speaker 2: last several years consistently well above average with the quality 449 00:24:15,000 --> 00:24:17,840 Speaker 2: of the contact that he makes with the maximum exit 450 00:24:17,920 --> 00:24:21,600 Speaker 2: velocity that he has so last year according to stackass 451 00:24:21,600 --> 00:24:25,920 Speaker 2: season then seventy fifth percentile in max exit v low, 452 00:24:26,160 --> 00:24:29,240 Speaker 2: fifty fifth percentile in average exit VE low, so even 453 00:24:29,240 --> 00:24:31,919 Speaker 2: above average in that regard. You go back to twenty twenty, 454 00:24:32,040 --> 00:24:36,200 Speaker 2: very similar story, seventieth percentile, sixtieth percentile. You can go 455 00:24:36,240 --> 00:24:38,280 Speaker 2: back to twenty nineteen, which was only the worst years 456 00:24:38,280 --> 00:24:41,560 Speaker 2: of his career, and he was still above average average 457 00:24:41,680 --> 00:24:45,360 Speaker 2: xmuth velocity that year, and this year he is really 458 00:24:45,440 --> 00:24:48,159 Speaker 2: close to the bottom in baseball, especially for first basement. 459 00:24:48,200 --> 00:24:50,440 Speaker 2: He's not hitting the ball hard. Already told you his 460 00:24:50,560 --> 00:24:53,439 Speaker 2: max is one oh two, whereas in previous years it 461 00:24:53,520 --> 00:24:57,320 Speaker 2: was one eleven, one ten, one twelve, one ten, one twelve. 462 00:24:59,480 --> 00:25:01,840 Speaker 2: So it's a small sample size, but this is something 463 00:25:01,840 --> 00:25:05,440 Speaker 2: that can normalize pretty quickly as he strikes out right 464 00:25:05,480 --> 00:25:09,159 Speaker 2: here again in the bottom of the ninth let me 465 00:25:09,200 --> 00:25:12,919 Speaker 2: give you the final updated stats that they'll be entering Thursday. 466 00:25:13,040 --> 00:25:16,600 Speaker 2: He's hitting one seventy one. He is slugging one to 467 00:25:16,960 --> 00:25:21,159 Speaker 2: seventy one. Real short list of guys that have a 468 00:25:21,440 --> 00:25:24,440 Speaker 2: isolated power of zero, and he's one of the few 469 00:25:24,480 --> 00:25:27,760 Speaker 2: that is a first baseman. Earning seven point five million 470 00:25:27,800 --> 00:25:31,320 Speaker 2: dollars this year, final year of arbitration eligibility I've heard 471 00:25:31,320 --> 00:25:34,880 Speaker 2: some people suggest cutting him, and that's just not going 472 00:25:34,920 --> 00:25:38,240 Speaker 2: to happen, not even an option frankly until they yet 473 00:25:38,640 --> 00:25:42,480 Speaker 2: perhaps into June. To consider that I was beating this 474 00:25:42,560 --> 00:25:45,480 Speaker 2: drum since the offseason started that it just did not 475 00:25:45,520 --> 00:25:47,040 Speaker 2: make sense to me that they were ever going to 476 00:25:47,080 --> 00:25:50,840 Speaker 2: go into the season with Cooper, with Aggie and with 477 00:25:50,960 --> 00:25:54,240 Speaker 2: Leywin Diaz all on the forty man roster, just because 478 00:25:54,240 --> 00:25:55,879 Speaker 2: they weren't going to be able to coexist on the 479 00:25:55,920 --> 00:25:58,280 Speaker 2: active roster at the same time when they're all just 480 00:25:58,400 --> 00:26:03,080 Speaker 2: first base only guys. The fact that Marlin's committed over 481 00:26:03,160 --> 00:26:06,199 Speaker 2: ten million dollars to the first basement between Aggie and Cooper, 482 00:26:07,400 --> 00:26:11,000 Speaker 2: it puzzled me, especially with the fact that even last 483 00:26:11,040 --> 00:26:14,480 Speaker 2: year Aggie's batted ball quality, his peripherals just were not 484 00:26:14,560 --> 00:26:19,040 Speaker 2: quite as outstanding as even Cooper's were. So for as 485 00:26:19,080 --> 00:26:21,760 Speaker 2: much as he means to the clubhouse, as great as 486 00:26:21,800 --> 00:26:24,560 Speaker 2: he is with the fans and with the media, I 487 00:26:24,640 --> 00:26:27,159 Speaker 2: just did not see the fit really here, and this 488 00:26:27,240 --> 00:26:30,840 Speaker 2: start is a worst case scenario. He is playing really 489 00:26:30,880 --> 00:26:34,359 Speaker 2: poorly to start the season. Our own Lewis Adio Weiss 490 00:26:34,400 --> 00:26:36,320 Speaker 2: is going to have a full article on Aggie lar 491 00:26:36,480 --> 00:26:37,480 Speaker 2: on fish. 492 00:26:37,240 --> 00:26:37,920 Speaker 1: Stripes dot Com. 493 00:26:37,960 --> 00:26:41,280 Speaker 2: That'll be up today probably right run you're listening to this, 494 00:26:41,320 --> 00:26:44,239 Speaker 2: go check it out for more than data behind what 495 00:26:44,280 --> 00:26:47,080 Speaker 2: we're seeing from him early on this season. An easy 496 00:26:47,160 --> 00:26:50,760 Speaker 2: choice for the bottom spot in these Jesus Power rankings 497 00:26:51,720 --> 00:26:55,360 Speaker 2: at this point in the season. So I don't really 498 00:26:55,400 --> 00:26:57,240 Speaker 2: know how this shicks out. If he continues to be 499 00:26:57,359 --> 00:26:59,480 Speaker 2: this bad. You know, if we get pretty deep into 500 00:26:59,480 --> 00:27:03,240 Speaker 2: meg and he has no extra base, it's it could 501 00:27:03,240 --> 00:27:05,400 Speaker 2: be a situation where they just make up an injury 502 00:27:05,480 --> 00:27:07,800 Speaker 2: for him just to clear space on the forty man, 503 00:27:07,880 --> 00:27:10,640 Speaker 2: either to call up a hot hitter from TRIPAA, whether 504 00:27:10,680 --> 00:27:13,280 Speaker 2: that be Lewin Diaz or whether it be paid in 505 00:27:13,400 --> 00:27:17,840 Speaker 2: Verdick somebody like that that's a little bit more athletic 506 00:27:18,160 --> 00:27:21,000 Speaker 2: and it can actually perform. 507 00:27:21,400 --> 00:27:23,399 Speaker 1: Of course, the one thing I didn't mention about Aggie. 508 00:27:23,200 --> 00:27:26,200 Speaker 2: Is that he's one of the slowest players in baseball, 509 00:27:26,359 --> 00:27:27,879 Speaker 2: and people have a lot of fun with that, with 510 00:27:27,960 --> 00:27:30,639 Speaker 2: his physique and with his lack of agility, and you 511 00:27:30,720 --> 00:27:33,760 Speaker 2: can kind of laugh it off when he's excelling in 512 00:27:33,800 --> 00:27:37,439 Speaker 2: other departments, and the problem is when he's not excelling 513 00:27:37,440 --> 00:27:41,240 Speaker 2: in other departments, it creates this very tense situation where 514 00:27:41,280 --> 00:27:45,240 Speaker 2: he's one of the biggest disappointments of this team so far, 515 00:27:45,880 --> 00:27:48,560 Speaker 2: and despite being that he is. I gave you his 516 00:27:48,600 --> 00:27:51,840 Speaker 2: defensive positions each game. These are his batting order positions 517 00:27:51,880 --> 00:27:59,960 Speaker 2: so far this season. Fourth third, fourth, fourth, fourth, fourth, third, third, third, fourth. 518 00:28:00,640 --> 00:28:02,800 Speaker 2: He's always in the top half of the lineup for 519 00:28:02,840 --> 00:28:04,879 Speaker 2: this team, a team that to this point in the 520 00:28:04,880 --> 00:28:09,879 Speaker 2: season has been a little bit underwhelming offensively, and for 521 00:28:09,960 --> 00:28:12,280 Speaker 2: him if he if you just know that he's not 522 00:28:12,320 --> 00:28:14,160 Speaker 2: going to give you anything when he's on base. While 523 00:28:14,160 --> 00:28:18,560 Speaker 2: it's nice that he draws those walks and tonight a single, 524 00:28:18,640 --> 00:28:21,280 Speaker 2: so he got his decent mix of walks and singles, 525 00:28:21,800 --> 00:28:25,280 Speaker 2: but those are kind of valueless or a lot less 526 00:28:25,320 --> 00:28:27,800 Speaker 2: valuable for him than anybody else, just because of how 527 00:28:27,840 --> 00:28:30,640 Speaker 2: slow he is. You're not going to score him from 528 00:28:30,680 --> 00:28:33,359 Speaker 2: first base without hitting it over the wall or with 529 00:28:33,520 --> 00:28:38,000 Speaker 2: sequencing a few different hits. Despite the RBI total that 530 00:28:38,040 --> 00:28:41,880 Speaker 2: he's had, despite the intangibles, even the best version of 531 00:28:41,960 --> 00:28:44,840 Speaker 2: himself last year, is just not a super valuable player 532 00:28:45,160 --> 00:28:48,720 Speaker 2: on the field for a team that desperately needs value 533 00:28:49,240 --> 00:28:54,640 Speaker 2: from its position players at this point in the year. No, uh, 534 00:28:55,560 --> 00:28:58,400 Speaker 2: I'm not going to totally freak out at this point. 535 00:28:58,440 --> 00:29:01,480 Speaker 2: But I've officially, you know, Race the alarm about concerns 536 00:29:02,000 --> 00:29:06,120 Speaker 2: about Aggie. I think it's a fair call right now 537 00:29:06,160 --> 00:29:08,520 Speaker 2: to actually move him down in the lineup. I don't 538 00:29:08,520 --> 00:29:11,400 Speaker 2: think that's too much of a demand to ask why 539 00:29:11,480 --> 00:29:14,840 Speaker 2: is he consistently batting above Joey Wendall in the lineup? 540 00:29:15,560 --> 00:29:19,040 Speaker 1: As one example, that's a secret baby, I'm sorry. 541 00:29:19,760 --> 00:29:22,520 Speaker 2: As I'm watching Brian Anderson draw walk. That's another topic 542 00:29:22,560 --> 00:29:25,920 Speaker 2: about BA and how much flack that he took in 543 00:29:25,960 --> 00:29:28,440 Speaker 2: spring training and early in the year for his initial struggles. 544 00:29:28,440 --> 00:29:31,360 Speaker 2: But I'd rather have Brian Anderson at the blade right now, 545 00:29:31,840 --> 00:29:36,960 Speaker 2: higher up in the lineup than I would Aguilar. That's 546 00:29:37,000 --> 00:29:39,400 Speaker 2: the most immediate thing that I want to see from Mattingley. 547 00:29:39,680 --> 00:29:42,960 Speaker 2: Of course, people have mentioned Jazz the case for Jazz 548 00:29:43,040 --> 00:29:43,960 Speaker 2: moving up. 549 00:29:43,880 --> 00:29:44,520 Speaker 1: In the lineup. 550 00:29:45,000 --> 00:29:47,960 Speaker 2: There's really no argument right now for Jazz be batting 551 00:29:48,160 --> 00:29:51,040 Speaker 2: less often than Aggie is, especially knowing that he is 552 00:29:52,040 --> 00:29:54,520 Speaker 2: athleticism wise, what he can do as a base runner 553 00:29:54,760 --> 00:29:56,400 Speaker 2: is so much different. 554 00:29:56,680 --> 00:29:58,000 Speaker 1: Than what Aggie can do. 555 00:29:58,840 --> 00:30:02,200 Speaker 2: Yeah, that's something that I think it's fair to expect 556 00:30:02,240 --> 00:30:06,000 Speaker 2: change as soon as this weekend. With moving Aguilar down 557 00:30:06,520 --> 00:30:09,200 Speaker 2: into the bottom half of the lineup and not necessarily 558 00:30:09,240 --> 00:30:12,000 Speaker 2: making him an everyday player if he's not going to 559 00:30:12,000 --> 00:30:15,560 Speaker 2: be driving the ball with authority. The baseline stats don't 560 00:30:15,640 --> 00:30:19,600 Speaker 2: like it, the peripheral stats don't like it, and I 561 00:30:19,600 --> 00:30:21,719 Speaker 2: think I've made my point already clearly. As we come 562 00:30:21,800 --> 00:30:23,840 Speaker 2: up on the half hour mark of this podcast, the 563 00:30:23,880 --> 00:30:26,680 Speaker 2: Marlins game is still not over. Watching the bottom of 564 00:30:26,680 --> 00:30:28,360 Speaker 2: the order get its shot in the bottom of the 565 00:30:28,440 --> 00:30:32,240 Speaker 2: ninth inning against Giovanni Diegos, Marlins down to nothing, but 566 00:30:32,520 --> 00:30:35,600 Speaker 2: with the potential tying runs on base. So I think 567 00:30:35,600 --> 00:30:37,640 Speaker 2: we got this wrapped up even before the game is over, 568 00:30:38,000 --> 00:30:39,960 Speaker 2: and you'll know by the time you're listening to this 569 00:30:40,040 --> 00:30:42,760 Speaker 2: how they that game played out. Regardless, the Marlins will 570 00:30:42,760 --> 00:30:48,920 Speaker 2: still be below five hundred with a negative run differential 571 00:30:49,080 --> 00:30:52,760 Speaker 2: on the season. All things considered, the team does show 572 00:30:52,760 --> 00:30:54,960 Speaker 2: the makings of being better than last year. I think 573 00:30:55,000 --> 00:30:58,959 Speaker 2: that's something that even the most pessimistic person can notice 574 00:30:59,000 --> 00:31:01,520 Speaker 2: that notice the different and how some of the moves 575 00:31:01,560 --> 00:31:05,800 Speaker 2: are coming together. But it will take key players like 576 00:31:05,880 --> 00:31:10,040 Speaker 2: Lizardo to deliver on the best case scenario for them, 577 00:31:10,080 --> 00:31:13,280 Speaker 2: and one's like Aguilar to at least be within striking 578 00:31:13,320 --> 00:31:15,640 Speaker 2: distance of the player that he was just in twenty 579 00:31:15,680 --> 00:31:18,520 Speaker 2: twenty one, because he was a bright spot last year. 580 00:31:19,000 --> 00:31:21,120 Speaker 2: For him to go from a bright spot to one 581 00:31:21,160 --> 00:31:25,160 Speaker 2: that is dragging down everybody else right now, that's pretty unfortunate, 582 00:31:25,640 --> 00:31:27,800 Speaker 2: and you don't want to see an ugly ending to 583 00:31:27,880 --> 00:31:30,240 Speaker 2: his tenure because overall he has been a really nice 584 00:31:30,240 --> 00:31:33,600 Speaker 2: pickup for this team this year. And I don't need 585 00:31:33,640 --> 00:31:36,160 Speaker 2: to sell you on, Hey, sus Sanchez, we know exactly 586 00:31:36,160 --> 00:31:38,840 Speaker 2: why he's going to be thrilling to watch, and he's 587 00:31:38,880 --> 00:31:41,719 Speaker 2: going to be for the foreseeable future penciled in as 588 00:31:41,720 --> 00:31:44,240 Speaker 2: a pretty much everyday player in a way that we 589 00:31:44,280 --> 00:31:52,680 Speaker 2: couldn't have probably anticipated just a few months ago. Geezy, 590 00:31:53,080 --> 00:31:57,080 Speaker 2: Aggie and Lizard all fascinating to me for different reasons. 591 00:31:57,120 --> 00:32:00,440 Speaker 2: This has been the official show with Eli Sussman. Got 592 00:32:00,480 --> 00:32:02,680 Speaker 2: a couple episodes on deck for you guys next week 593 00:32:02,760 --> 00:32:05,440 Speaker 2: and every other week moving forward throughout the regular season. 594 00:32:05,720 --> 00:32:07,400 Speaker 2: Lining up a special guest that I don't want to 595 00:32:07,400 --> 00:32:09,600 Speaker 2: announce quite yet, but let's say it's going to be 596 00:32:09,640 --> 00:32:14,360 Speaker 2: related to Miguel Cabrera reaching three thousand career hits, as 597 00:32:14,360 --> 00:32:17,840 Speaker 2: he's about to with the Detroit Tigers former Marlins legend, 598 00:32:18,160 --> 00:32:19,640 Speaker 2: so it's going to be related to that. It's going 599 00:32:19,720 --> 00:32:21,760 Speaker 2: to be a great mix of history as well as 600 00:32:22,440 --> 00:32:26,640 Speaker 2: modern Marlins twenty twenty two analysis as well. Be sure 601 00:32:26,680 --> 00:32:29,840 Speaker 2: to join our live stream previewing will be the Marlins 602 00:32:29,840 --> 00:32:31,920 Speaker 2: and Brave series on Friday Night. We do those prior 603 00:32:32,000 --> 00:32:34,600 Speaker 2: to the start of every series. Make your Fish Picks 604 00:32:34,720 --> 00:32:38,400 Speaker 2: free prop bets prior to every series as well at 605 00:32:38,600 --> 00:32:41,640 Speaker 2: bit dot l y Slash twenty twenty two fish Picks, 606 00:32:41,640 --> 00:32:44,280 Speaker 2: and you can find that link everywhere on the site 607 00:32:44,760 --> 00:32:48,080 Speaker 2: as well. It's I'm glad to have baseball back to 608 00:32:48,080 --> 00:32:49,680 Speaker 2: be in the middle of this, to finally have enough 609 00:32:49,760 --> 00:32:52,880 Speaker 2: data about these players here in twenty twenty two to 610 00:32:52,920 --> 00:32:58,160 Speaker 2: start reaching meaningful analytical conclusions about them. And I hope 611 00:32:58,200 --> 00:33:00,400 Speaker 2: you guys appreciated the way that I broke it down 612 00:33:00,680 --> 00:33:04,840 Speaker 2: between the three Hejesuses so far this season. Appreciate the 613 00:33:04,880 --> 00:33:17,000 Speaker 2: support and as always, go Fish