1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:01,599 Speaker 1: Hey guys, Saga and Crystal here. 2 00:00:01,680 --> 00:00:05,200 Speaker 2: Independent media just played a truly massive role in this election, 3 00:00:05,360 --> 00:00:07,840 Speaker 2: and we are so excited about what that means for 4 00:00:07,880 --> 00:00:08,720 Speaker 2: the future of the show. 5 00:00:08,880 --> 00:00:10,760 Speaker 1: This is the only place where you can find honest 6 00:00:10,760 --> 00:00:13,280 Speaker 1: perspectives from the left and the right that simply does 7 00:00:13,320 --> 00:00:14,680 Speaker 1: not exist anywhere else. 8 00:00:14,760 --> 00:00:17,080 Speaker 2: So if that is something that's important to you, please 9 00:00:17,120 --> 00:00:19,599 Speaker 2: go to Breakingpoints dot com. Become a member today and 10 00:00:19,640 --> 00:00:22,800 Speaker 2: you'll get access to our full shows, unedited, ad free, 11 00:00:22,800 --> 00:00:25,600 Speaker 2: and all put together for you every morning in your inbox. 12 00:00:25,680 --> 00:00:27,560 Speaker 1: We need your help to build the future of independent 13 00:00:27,560 --> 00:00:29,920 Speaker 1: news media and we hope to see you at Breakingpoints 14 00:00:29,960 --> 00:00:36,280 Speaker 1: dot com. Good morning, everybody, Happy Tuesday. Have an amazing 15 00:00:36,320 --> 00:00:37,920 Speaker 1: show for everybody today. What do we have, Crystal? 16 00:00:38,040 --> 00:00:38,559 Speaker 3: Indeed we do. 17 00:00:38,760 --> 00:00:42,720 Speaker 2: As for usual, many many things are happening. Yesterday was 18 00:00:42,760 --> 00:00:44,600 Speaker 2: the worst day of the year in these stock markets. 19 00:00:44,640 --> 00:00:46,760 Speaker 2: We will get into what is going on there to 20 00:00:46,840 --> 00:00:49,159 Speaker 2: the best of our ability and what the fallout could be. 21 00:00:49,440 --> 00:00:52,280 Speaker 2: Republicans are scrambling to get a spending bill, paths to 22 00:00:52,280 --> 00:00:55,000 Speaker 2: avoid a shutdown, and Trump is threatening a key hold 23 00:00:55,000 --> 00:00:57,560 Speaker 2: out with a primary challenge that would be Thomas Massey. 24 00:00:57,640 --> 00:01:01,320 Speaker 2: So interesting drama there also some drama with our great 25 00:01:01,320 --> 00:01:03,000 Speaker 2: ally Israel over US. 26 00:01:02,960 --> 00:01:04,560 Speaker 3: Negotiations directly with Hamas. 27 00:01:04,800 --> 00:01:07,200 Speaker 2: We've also got a bunch of updates for you on 28 00:01:07,319 --> 00:01:10,360 Speaker 2: that pro Palestine activist Green card Holder that the Trump 29 00:01:10,400 --> 00:01:13,039 Speaker 2: administration arrested and starting with deportation. 30 00:01:13,160 --> 00:01:14,200 Speaker 3: We've got a court. 31 00:01:14,240 --> 00:01:16,600 Speaker 2: Update there and lots of news, so we'll break all 32 00:01:16,600 --> 00:01:19,600 Speaker 2: of that down for you. We also have Elon and 33 00:01:19,640 --> 00:01:22,520 Speaker 2: Bannon actually told by Trump to make up. So what's 34 00:01:22,560 --> 00:01:26,040 Speaker 2: going on there in that key relationship. That's an interesting one, 35 00:01:26,280 --> 00:01:28,760 Speaker 2: and Twitter was down for most of yesterday. Elon is 36 00:01:28,760 --> 00:01:31,560 Speaker 2: claiming potentially Ukrainians were attacking it. 37 00:01:31,959 --> 00:01:34,320 Speaker 1: We'll see, we'll explore who knows. I wouldn't put it 38 00:01:34,360 --> 00:01:36,120 Speaker 1: past them. Also would like to see some evidence. 39 00:01:36,240 --> 00:01:38,960 Speaker 2: I yeah, don't trust anyone involved in that particular dispute. 40 00:01:39,040 --> 00:01:41,920 Speaker 3: So well, look at what we know there. I'm taking 41 00:01:41,920 --> 00:01:43,080 Speaker 3: a look at Tesla. 42 00:01:43,240 --> 00:01:45,360 Speaker 2: Actually I had to update my monologue because I woke 43 00:01:45,440 --> 00:01:47,240 Speaker 2: up to the news that Trump is saying he's going 44 00:01:47,319 --> 00:01:49,560 Speaker 2: to buy a Tesla to support the great and wonderful 45 00:01:49,600 --> 00:01:51,080 Speaker 2: Elon Muss So that's kind of funny. 46 00:01:51,320 --> 00:01:52,960 Speaker 3: And we had an interview. 47 00:01:52,720 --> 00:01:55,880 Speaker 2: That we recorded yesterday with Brian Tyler Cohen his channel 48 00:01:56,000 --> 00:02:00,720 Speaker 2: is just absolutely blowing up as liberals are fleeing MSNBC 49 00:02:00,840 --> 00:02:02,880 Speaker 2: and CNN. So we really wanted to talk to him 50 00:02:02,920 --> 00:02:06,080 Speaker 2: about who he thinks, his audiences, what they're interested in, 51 00:02:06,200 --> 00:02:09,120 Speaker 2: and you know, to what he attributes his success and 52 00:02:09,160 --> 00:02:11,320 Speaker 2: the sort of failure of liberal outlets. 53 00:02:11,320 --> 00:02:12,480 Speaker 3: So really interesting conversation. 54 00:02:12,560 --> 00:02:14,480 Speaker 1: Yeah, I really enjoyed talking to him. I think that 55 00:02:14,600 --> 00:02:18,000 Speaker 1: Brian Midas, Touch and a few others are really at 56 00:02:18,000 --> 00:02:20,400 Speaker 1: the vanguard of where the Democratic Party is right now 57 00:02:20,480 --> 00:02:24,800 Speaker 1: and just observing you know, here in Washington, everybody writes 58 00:02:24,840 --> 00:02:29,520 Speaker 1: profiles about each other, but they're ignoring the actual stars 59 00:02:29,600 --> 00:02:32,720 Speaker 1: on YouTube right now on the left who are not 60 00:02:32,760 --> 00:02:36,240 Speaker 1: only exploding but like leading a lot of the liberal 61 00:02:36,400 --> 00:02:39,480 Speaker 1: energy that's not on MSNBC, it's not on CNN. So 62 00:02:39,520 --> 00:02:41,600 Speaker 1: I really wanted to talk to Brian just about like 63 00:02:41,639 --> 00:02:44,320 Speaker 1: what he thinks about the current moment, what he thinks 64 00:02:44,360 --> 00:02:47,720 Speaker 1: the Democratic Party should do, his analysis of where thing's wrong. 65 00:02:47,800 --> 00:02:49,760 Speaker 1: And he's an interesting guy and I think people will 66 00:02:49,840 --> 00:02:50,800 Speaker 1: get a lot out of the comment. 67 00:02:51,040 --> 00:02:52,720 Speaker 3: And he's also a guy with access. 68 00:02:52,760 --> 00:02:54,639 Speaker 1: I mean, yeah, that's right. This guy was on the 69 00:02:54,680 --> 00:02:58,200 Speaker 1: White House, on the Capitol Hill like literally last week. 70 00:02:58,240 --> 00:03:02,760 Speaker 1: He interviewed AOC. They're paying attention in an interesting way 71 00:03:03,440 --> 00:03:05,880 Speaker 1: where he could be if he wanted to be one 72 00:03:05,880 --> 00:03:08,800 Speaker 1: of the biggest, you know, most important young people so 73 00:03:08,880 --> 00:03:11,079 Speaker 1: called in the Democratic Party. So it's important to get 74 00:03:11,080 --> 00:03:13,320 Speaker 1: to know who are these people, what do they want? 75 00:03:13,560 --> 00:03:17,240 Speaker 1: Policy wise? Politics wise? How do they think the last election? 76 00:03:17,320 --> 00:03:17,400 Speaker 4: What? 77 00:03:17,560 --> 00:03:19,520 Speaker 1: Who are the right? You know, the new stars and 78 00:03:19,560 --> 00:03:22,480 Speaker 1: all of that will be so anyway breaking points. We're 79 00:03:22,480 --> 00:03:25,400 Speaker 1: trying to be here at the vanguard literally where politics is. 80 00:03:25,720 --> 00:03:27,920 Speaker 1: I'm fascinated by it. I really am. All right, might 81 00:03:28,000 --> 00:03:30,160 Speaker 1: have touched guys. Ben what's that guy's name? Neck? I 82 00:03:30,160 --> 00:03:32,959 Speaker 1: can never say his last name. He's whatever. Anybody, Ben, 83 00:03:33,000 --> 00:03:36,160 Speaker 1: you should come on to I'll treat you fairly. Yeah, 84 00:03:36,360 --> 00:03:37,760 Speaker 1: I would love to talk to him. I really would. 85 00:03:37,800 --> 00:03:39,720 Speaker 1: It's purely analytical. I'm just like, who are you? What 86 00:03:39,720 --> 00:03:41,400 Speaker 1: do you guys want? You know, you and a couple 87 00:03:41,400 --> 00:03:43,920 Speaker 1: of brothers. You got the top podcast in the entire country. 88 00:03:43,920 --> 00:03:45,160 Speaker 1: What's up with that? Right? 89 00:03:45,280 --> 00:03:45,480 Speaker 5: You know? 90 00:03:45,560 --> 00:03:47,760 Speaker 1: What do you attribute your success? 91 00:03:47,960 --> 00:03:48,280 Speaker 3: Change? 92 00:03:48,360 --> 00:03:51,560 Speaker 1: Absolutely fascinated? All right, let's start with the markets. As 93 00:03:51,880 --> 00:03:55,640 Speaker 1: you said, it's been an absolutely dizzying twenty four seventy 94 00:03:55,680 --> 00:04:00,400 Speaker 1: two week hours in the markets. Absolutely, you know, terrible 95 00:04:00,440 --> 00:04:03,320 Speaker 1: start right now. It's the worst stock market performance for 96 00:04:03,400 --> 00:04:06,560 Speaker 1: an American president in their opening days since two thousand 97 00:04:06,680 --> 00:04:11,320 Speaker 1: and nine. White House is not exactly offering up quite 98 00:04:11,360 --> 00:04:14,520 Speaker 1: a bit of confidence. Here is Kevin Hassett. He is 99 00:04:14,560 --> 00:04:18,000 Speaker 1: the White House Economic advisor previously served in the Trump administration, 100 00:04:18,120 --> 00:04:21,040 Speaker 1: downplaying the stock market drop, saying it's just a blip. 101 00:04:21,160 --> 00:04:22,320 Speaker 1: Let's take a lesson if. 102 00:04:22,279 --> 00:04:24,440 Speaker 6: You think about, like, what's going to happen to capital 103 00:04:24,480 --> 00:04:27,080 Speaker 6: formation of the US. If you take our costa capital measures, 104 00:04:27,120 --> 00:04:29,320 Speaker 6: it goes up ten to eleven percent over the next year. 105 00:04:29,560 --> 00:04:31,960 Speaker 6: There are a lot of reasons to be extremely bullish 106 00:04:32,160 --> 00:04:35,200 Speaker 6: about the economy going forward. But for sure this quarter 107 00:04:35,320 --> 00:04:37,880 Speaker 6: there are some blips of the data, including the negative 108 00:04:37,920 --> 00:04:40,839 Speaker 6: GDP DOW, which are related both to the Biden inheritance 109 00:04:40,920 --> 00:04:43,719 Speaker 6: and to some you know, timing effects that are happening 110 00:04:43,800 --> 00:04:44,440 Speaker 6: ahead of tariffs. 111 00:04:44,680 --> 00:04:46,200 Speaker 1: You don't think Trump owns any of that. 112 00:04:46,279 --> 00:04:49,599 Speaker 7: I think you know someone there was right in the middle, 113 00:04:49,880 --> 00:04:52,839 Speaker 7: right in the middle, would not immediately attribute to soft 114 00:04:52,960 --> 00:04:55,760 Speaker 7: I'm seeing it on Twitter constantly. You know, how's this 115 00:04:55,800 --> 00:04:59,080 Speaker 7: guy doing? Now, how's that feel? How's winning feel with 116 00:04:59,200 --> 00:05:01,599 Speaker 7: the economy and they're not tying it to Biden, Kevin, 117 00:05:01,600 --> 00:05:04,840 Speaker 7: they're tying it to some of the incertainty from the 118 00:05:04,880 --> 00:05:05,840 Speaker 7: Trump administration. 119 00:05:06,240 --> 00:05:08,960 Speaker 6: Well, well, let's be clear, though, Joe. The last year, 120 00:05:09,080 --> 00:05:11,680 Speaker 6: the Biden numbers, we kept getting these great jobs numbers, 121 00:05:11,680 --> 00:05:13,120 Speaker 6: and then by the end of the year we see 122 00:05:13,120 --> 00:05:15,800 Speaker 6: that they're revised down by a whole million, and so 123 00:05:16,160 --> 00:05:17,919 Speaker 6: a lot of the numbers that looked kind of good 124 00:05:18,120 --> 00:05:20,720 Speaker 6: at the advance release weren't good and red words. 125 00:05:20,480 --> 00:05:21,360 Speaker 1: They're still pretty good. 126 00:05:21,400 --> 00:05:22,800 Speaker 7: And that was a technical. 127 00:05:22,400 --> 00:05:25,359 Speaker 1: Thing then, So it's just a blip, just a blip, 128 00:05:25,360 --> 00:05:28,200 Speaker 1: don't worry about it. I'm not so sure that's the 129 00:05:28,240 --> 00:05:30,200 Speaker 1: way that I would read it, especially when you take 130 00:05:30,200 --> 00:05:31,800 Speaker 1: a look at the indicies. Let's go and put this 131 00:05:31,880 --> 00:05:34,080 Speaker 1: up there on the screen. So we got the Dow 132 00:05:34,160 --> 00:05:38,080 Speaker 1: Jones Industrial Average dropped some six points in the last month, 133 00:05:38,400 --> 00:05:40,279 Speaker 1: and a couple I think two or three percent of 134 00:05:40,320 --> 00:05:42,400 Speaker 1: that or sorry, six percent just in the last month, 135 00:05:42,400 --> 00:05:44,080 Speaker 1: and a couple of percent just yesterday. Let's go to 136 00:05:44,120 --> 00:05:46,280 Speaker 1: the next one, please, and let's take a look at that. Oh, 137 00:05:46,360 --> 00:05:50,000 Speaker 1: there's the NASDAC down eleven percent on the month, down 138 00:05:50,160 --> 00:05:53,479 Speaker 1: full four percent yesterday. NASDAK is a very tech heavy index. 139 00:05:53,520 --> 00:05:55,880 Speaker 1: So that's another reason why you should pay attention. Let's 140 00:05:55,880 --> 00:05:58,320 Speaker 1: go to the next one, the S and P five hundred, 141 00:05:58,440 --> 00:06:00,560 Speaker 1: and what do we see there? That's right down seven 142 00:06:00,560 --> 00:06:03,680 Speaker 1: point five percent they are in the last month. Keep 143 00:06:03,720 --> 00:06:06,039 Speaker 1: in mind, things obviously could change, you know, by the 144 00:06:06,080 --> 00:06:08,960 Speaker 1: time that we post this, but futures are not looking 145 00:06:09,040 --> 00:06:11,280 Speaker 1: that great right now. I mean, basically a point five 146 00:06:11,320 --> 00:06:14,960 Speaker 1: percent increase there in the S and P five hundred, 147 00:06:15,000 --> 00:06:18,720 Speaker 1: but not erasing the multiple points that were dropped yesterday 148 00:06:18,839 --> 00:06:22,000 Speaker 1: in the overall index. And the most worrying part of 149 00:06:22,040 --> 00:06:26,559 Speaker 1: this is it basically is making a reality of something 150 00:06:26,600 --> 00:06:28,480 Speaker 1: that we've really been warning about here on this show 151 00:06:28,520 --> 00:06:31,159 Speaker 1: now for several months, if not years, which is just 152 00:06:31,240 --> 00:06:35,120 Speaker 1: the way that these indexes are. Indices are so heavily 153 00:06:35,160 --> 00:06:38,800 Speaker 1: reliant on these so called magnificent seven stocks. And today 154 00:06:38,880 --> 00:06:41,919 Speaker 1: is a very inauspicious day if you're a technology investor. 155 00:06:42,000 --> 00:06:43,960 Speaker 1: Let's go and put this up there on the screen. 156 00:06:44,320 --> 00:06:49,039 Speaker 1: Today is exactly twenty five years to the day from 157 00:06:49,080 --> 00:06:51,839 Speaker 1: when the dot com bubble burst. And if you read this, 158 00:06:51,920 --> 00:06:55,040 Speaker 1: it's really interesting what the dot com bus can tell 159 00:06:55,120 --> 00:06:59,160 Speaker 1: us about today's AI boom is quote today some investors 160 00:06:59,200 --> 00:07:01,440 Speaker 1: are worried the same cycle is playing out when it 161 00:07:01,440 --> 00:07:04,440 Speaker 1: comes to artificial intelligence. Even if that's the case, there 162 00:07:04,480 --> 00:07:07,360 Speaker 1: is an important lester for investors. Ultimately, the early Internet 163 00:07:07,440 --> 00:07:11,520 Speaker 1: hype did prove correct, but it took years for that 164 00:07:11,640 --> 00:07:15,880 Speaker 1: to materialize. The economy was effectively in a recession. I 165 00:07:15,960 --> 00:07:18,920 Speaker 1: went back and was reading some chapters from John Cassidy. 166 00:07:18,960 --> 00:07:21,400 Speaker 1: He's a New Yorker reporter book and he wrote a 167 00:07:21,400 --> 00:07:24,920 Speaker 1: book in three Call dot Com highly recommend it, and 168 00:07:25,040 --> 00:07:28,960 Speaker 1: that book just nails the very similar way that we 169 00:07:29,040 --> 00:07:33,360 Speaker 1: think about Nvidia, about Google, about Meta, about not only 170 00:07:33,520 --> 00:07:36,080 Speaker 1: there not only the amount of capital that they were 171 00:07:36,120 --> 00:07:39,040 Speaker 1: burning as much at the time, but in the similar 172 00:07:39,120 --> 00:07:42,240 Speaker 1: way of the sky is the limit in the moonshot 173 00:07:42,400 --> 00:07:45,440 Speaker 1: ideas that people had behind them. Now, not everything is 174 00:07:45,440 --> 00:07:48,640 Speaker 1: as insane as diapers or Priceline dot com per se. 175 00:07:48,800 --> 00:07:53,200 Speaker 1: But remember even a modest correction of let's say thirty 176 00:07:53,280 --> 00:07:56,360 Speaker 1: forty percent for end Video, which still leave it massively valuable, 177 00:07:56,560 --> 00:07:59,600 Speaker 1: that's a huge percentage of the S and P five hundred, 178 00:07:59,680 --> 00:08:02,520 Speaker 1: same for the Nasdaq, for the Dow Jones, for the 179 00:08:02,520 --> 00:08:06,440 Speaker 1: total market, and it affects everything going forward, just as 180 00:08:06,480 --> 00:08:09,760 Speaker 1: the dot com bubble did as well, interest rates, how 181 00:08:09,800 --> 00:08:13,520 Speaker 1: Americans are thinking about their retirement, consumer spending. Don't forget 182 00:08:13,640 --> 00:08:16,040 Speaker 1: how many of these dollars are flowing through the economy 183 00:08:16,040 --> 00:08:19,720 Speaker 1: that are keeping up employment statistics, housing. I mean, there's 184 00:08:19,800 --> 00:08:23,640 Speaker 1: so many different downstream effects of what the dot com recession, 185 00:08:23,720 --> 00:08:26,000 Speaker 1: which we effetively were in recession for almost two years. 186 00:08:26,240 --> 00:08:28,040 Speaker 1: After that period, it was not a good time. Remember 187 00:08:28,080 --> 00:08:30,440 Speaker 1: we also had nine to eleven and even with that 188 00:08:30,480 --> 00:08:32,760 Speaker 1: there was a huge public bailout, but the markets did 189 00:08:32,800 --> 00:08:35,120 Speaker 1: not recover for quite some time. So I am very 190 00:08:35,120 --> 00:08:37,800 Speaker 1: worried about this situation. No, you know, it's not about 191 00:08:37,800 --> 00:08:40,319 Speaker 1: the fact that rich people have lost a bunch of money. 192 00:08:40,400 --> 00:08:44,280 Speaker 1: It's that, especially today, America has a social contract. Our 193 00:08:44,280 --> 00:08:47,800 Speaker 1: social contract is we don't have any social welfare beyond 194 00:08:47,840 --> 00:08:51,040 Speaker 1: social Security. We have the number and the number has 195 00:08:51,080 --> 00:08:52,640 Speaker 1: got to go up because if it doesn't go up, 196 00:08:52,640 --> 00:08:55,520 Speaker 1: then none of us can retire. And with that, Americans 197 00:08:55,559 --> 00:08:58,040 Speaker 1: are very very tuned in right now, just as they 198 00:08:58,040 --> 00:09:00,840 Speaker 1: were back in two thousand and eight. It not only 199 00:09:00,920 --> 00:09:04,080 Speaker 1: causes a lot of fear at the retirement level, it 200 00:09:04,320 --> 00:09:07,800 Speaker 1: obviously restricts consumer spending, which is a disaster in an 201 00:09:07,840 --> 00:09:10,240 Speaker 1: economy with seventy percent. Not on top of that, we've 202 00:09:10,280 --> 00:09:12,719 Speaker 1: got tariff threats, some that are literally supposed to go 203 00:09:12,720 --> 00:09:15,760 Speaker 1: into effect today and April second is the big one 204 00:09:16,000 --> 00:09:19,560 Speaker 1: Donald Trump's words reciprocal tariffs. So all of that right 205 00:09:19,559 --> 00:09:22,880 Speaker 1: now markets are spooked. Really with a takeaway that I've 206 00:09:22,880 --> 00:09:25,959 Speaker 1: seen on Wall Street is he's not kidden around and 207 00:09:26,120 --> 00:09:28,680 Speaker 1: this is bad for us. It could be good in 208 00:09:28,720 --> 00:09:30,880 Speaker 1: the long run, could be you need to sell it 209 00:09:30,880 --> 00:09:34,000 Speaker 1: to us though, you know, I remember the Biden administrations saying, oh, actually, 210 00:09:34,040 --> 00:09:36,000 Speaker 1: what you're seeing and hearing is in all that is 211 00:09:36,040 --> 00:09:38,840 Speaker 1: actually okay. Things are good at the fundamentals, or look 212 00:09:38,880 --> 00:09:41,760 Speaker 1: in the future for where things are. Nobody, nobody in 213 00:09:41,760 --> 00:09:44,440 Speaker 1: American politics has ever won a message with something like that. 214 00:09:44,480 --> 00:09:45,719 Speaker 1: They need to have a lot of trust and a 215 00:09:45,720 --> 00:09:47,079 Speaker 1: lot of faith they're going to put them through a 216 00:09:47,120 --> 00:09:47,680 Speaker 1: period of pain. 217 00:09:47,760 --> 00:09:50,680 Speaker 2: Yeah, and certainly Donald Trump has a vastly greater ability 218 00:09:50,720 --> 00:09:53,280 Speaker 2: to sell a story to the American public than Joe 219 00:09:53,320 --> 00:09:56,560 Speaker 2: Biden did. But as of right now, there is nothing. 220 00:09:56,600 --> 00:09:58,679 Speaker 2: And I mean I think, you know, I have long 221 00:09:58,760 --> 00:10:01,160 Speaker 2: thought that his policy was and sane and made no sense, 222 00:10:01,440 --> 00:10:04,520 Speaker 2: especially given the economic landscape that we're facing today. But 223 00:10:04,600 --> 00:10:07,719 Speaker 2: to your point, Sager, you know, for Hassett to say like, oh, 224 00:10:07,760 --> 00:10:08,760 Speaker 2: this is just a blip. 225 00:10:08,880 --> 00:10:11,840 Speaker 3: Yeah, sure, we're just we got the hangover from the 226 00:10:11,840 --> 00:10:13,600 Speaker 3: Biden administration. We're dealing with. 227 00:10:13,520 --> 00:10:16,240 Speaker 2: That, and you know, maybe there's a little adjustment period. 228 00:10:16,320 --> 00:10:19,840 Speaker 2: Is the tariffs kick in, et cetera. It's hard to imagine. 229 00:10:20,080 --> 00:10:22,200 Speaker 2: Maybe he's right, but it's hard to imagine that's the 230 00:10:22,240 --> 00:10:25,960 Speaker 2: case when you have no end in sight of the 231 00:10:26,080 --> 00:10:30,360 Speaker 2: sort of tumult and chaos. So, as Ager mentioned, you've 232 00:10:30,400 --> 00:10:34,720 Speaker 2: got the imposition of the reciprocal reciprocal tariffs coming into 233 00:10:34,760 --> 00:10:38,080 Speaker 2: effect on April second, So you know, all of the 234 00:10:38,120 --> 00:10:41,000 Speaker 2: tariffs that were rolled back with regard to Canada and Mexico, 235 00:10:41,000 --> 00:10:43,920 Speaker 2: those are supposed to be put back on at that point, 236 00:10:43,960 --> 00:10:48,320 Speaker 2: along with additional tariffs, you know, levied against countries around 237 00:10:48,360 --> 00:10:51,040 Speaker 2: the world. So it's going to be even larger action 238 00:10:51,480 --> 00:10:53,560 Speaker 2: than the last one that he flirted with the last 239 00:10:53,559 --> 00:10:55,680 Speaker 2: time we went through the teriffs. Are they on again, 240 00:10:55,720 --> 00:10:58,160 Speaker 2: off again, et cetera. And also we should keep in mind, 241 00:10:58,280 --> 00:11:00,280 Speaker 2: you know, we didn't roll back all of the terrors 242 00:11:00,320 --> 00:11:03,080 Speaker 2: on Canada and Mexico, majority of them. The goods that 243 00:11:03,120 --> 00:11:05,439 Speaker 2: are subject to the USMCA will rolled back, but there's 244 00:11:05,480 --> 00:11:08,000 Speaker 2: still a significant portion of goods coming in from those 245 00:11:08,040 --> 00:11:10,160 Speaker 2: countries that are subject to tariffs. 246 00:11:09,960 --> 00:11:11,520 Speaker 3: So you already have that. 247 00:11:12,240 --> 00:11:14,360 Speaker 2: You have, as we're going to talk about in this show, 248 00:11:14,720 --> 00:11:16,959 Speaker 2: potential shut down battle. 249 00:11:17,120 --> 00:11:18,000 Speaker 3: How is that going to go? 250 00:11:18,080 --> 00:11:20,640 Speaker 2: It looks like there continue to be some Republican holdouts. 251 00:11:20,679 --> 00:11:23,760 Speaker 2: Are they going to ultimately buckle? The Democrats say that 252 00:11:23,800 --> 00:11:26,079 Speaker 2: they are holding the line, so you've got that as well, 253 00:11:26,960 --> 00:11:29,640 Speaker 2: and you've got you know, Doge and elons still doing 254 00:11:29,880 --> 00:11:33,240 Speaker 2: their thing out there, imposing austerity at a time when 255 00:11:33,400 --> 00:11:35,200 Speaker 2: you know, it looks like the economy is in danger 256 00:11:35,280 --> 00:11:37,880 Speaker 2: of pulling back and even potentially retracting, if you believe 257 00:11:37,880 --> 00:11:40,720 Speaker 2: what the Atlanta Fed has to say. So there's just 258 00:11:40,840 --> 00:11:45,000 Speaker 2: a lot out there, and consumers are increasingly concerned consumer 259 00:11:45,040 --> 00:11:50,640 Speaker 2: spending is soft and is retreating. You have the reverberating 260 00:11:50,640 --> 00:11:55,080 Speaker 2: effects of the federal government cuts and freezes that are ongoing. 261 00:11:55,880 --> 00:11:57,800 Speaker 2: So there are quite a lot of reasons to think 262 00:11:57,840 --> 00:11:59,840 Speaker 2: that this is not, in fact just a blip. 263 00:12:00,040 --> 00:12:01,679 Speaker 3: Now, it's hard to know these things in the moment. 264 00:12:02,000 --> 00:12:02,520 Speaker 3: You know, if you. 265 00:12:02,480 --> 00:12:05,640 Speaker 2: Look at that graph of what the market did during 266 00:12:05,679 --> 00:12:09,880 Speaker 2: the Dot com crash. It's not like it was straight down, 267 00:12:10,720 --> 00:12:12,560 Speaker 2: you know. There it would go to oh, and then 268 00:12:12,640 --> 00:12:15,120 Speaker 2: it's recovering. Now it's going back to oh, it's recovering 269 00:12:15,160 --> 00:12:17,120 Speaker 2: a little bit more. And so it can be hard 270 00:12:17,160 --> 00:12:21,040 Speaker 2: to know what the ultimate trajectory is. And you know, 271 00:12:21,080 --> 00:12:24,439 Speaker 2: there's no guarantees here as well, what direction the market 272 00:12:24,480 --> 00:12:27,320 Speaker 2: is ultimately going to go in. But while you know, 273 00:12:27,840 --> 00:12:32,240 Speaker 2: the gains in the stock market are disproportionately consolidated among 274 00:12:32,320 --> 00:12:36,080 Speaker 2: the rich, everybody suffers when the market crashes because people 275 00:12:36,240 --> 00:12:40,400 Speaker 2: lose their jobs, consumer spending drops. And there is a 276 00:12:40,440 --> 00:12:42,520 Speaker 2: theory out there that that's actually kind of a plan 277 00:12:42,559 --> 00:12:46,000 Speaker 2: from Trump that you know, he's worried that the tariffs 278 00:12:46,000 --> 00:12:49,080 Speaker 2: could hike inflation, and one way to deal with inflation 279 00:12:49,200 --> 00:12:51,720 Speaker 2: is basically to crush regular people so they have no 280 00:12:51,760 --> 00:12:54,520 Speaker 2: money to spend in the economy, so that there's less demand, 281 00:12:55,480 --> 00:12:58,320 Speaker 2: as you know, to combat the other pressures that would 282 00:12:58,360 --> 00:13:00,640 Speaker 2: cause prices to increase. So that could what's going on 283 00:13:00,679 --> 00:13:01,120 Speaker 2: here as well. 284 00:13:01,200 --> 00:13:04,160 Speaker 1: Yeah, they also call that the Federal reserve theory of politics. 285 00:13:04,400 --> 00:13:06,880 Speaker 1: Let's also take a listen to Donald Trump on Air 286 00:13:06,920 --> 00:13:10,600 Speaker 1: Force one being asked about a recession and how he 287 00:13:10,640 --> 00:13:12,720 Speaker 1: will quote land the plane. Let's take a listen. 288 00:13:13,200 --> 00:13:14,720 Speaker 4: We're just about ready to land. 289 00:13:15,160 --> 00:13:16,600 Speaker 3: Are you worried about a recession? 290 00:13:16,679 --> 00:13:19,559 Speaker 4: Maria Burdero will ask you, and he kind of hesitated. 291 00:13:20,280 --> 00:13:22,440 Speaker 4: I'll tell you what, of course you hesitated? Who knows? 292 00:13:22,480 --> 00:13:25,240 Speaker 4: All I notice is we're gonna take in hundreds of 293 00:13:25,320 --> 00:13:29,120 Speaker 4: billions of dollars in tariffs, and we're gonna become so rich. 294 00:13:29,320 --> 00:13:31,520 Speaker 4: You're not gonna know where to spend all that money. 295 00:13:31,520 --> 00:13:34,000 Speaker 4: I'm telling you you just watch. We're gonna have jobs. 296 00:13:34,000 --> 00:13:36,160 Speaker 4: We're gonna have open factories. It's gonna be great. And 297 00:13:36,280 --> 00:13:38,240 Speaker 4: to play is landing and we gotta go. Thank you 298 00:13:38,240 --> 00:13:41,040 Speaker 4: for a lot of good questions. Okay, thank you very much, everybody. 299 00:13:41,080 --> 00:13:45,160 Speaker 1: Thank you. So he still won't rule out a recession, 300 00:13:45,200 --> 00:13:48,200 Speaker 1: even though his commerce secretary did and Fox News having 301 00:13:48,200 --> 00:13:51,280 Speaker 1: a full blown freak out Fox Business over at Charles 302 00:13:51,320 --> 00:13:54,000 Speaker 1: Gasparino is like kind of a what how would you say? 303 00:13:54,000 --> 00:13:57,520 Speaker 1: It's he's kind of a business whisperer of the Fox 304 00:13:57,559 --> 00:14:00,280 Speaker 1: business community. But he is definitely somebody who try has 305 00:14:00,320 --> 00:14:02,319 Speaker 1: taken seriously. I know that for sure. Let's take a 306 00:14:02,360 --> 00:14:03,320 Speaker 1: listen to what he had to say. 307 00:14:03,840 --> 00:14:06,480 Speaker 5: One thing that people need to do maybe is go 308 00:14:06,559 --> 00:14:09,240 Speaker 5: back and maybe Scott Besson should do this. Read his 309 00:14:09,400 --> 00:14:13,200 Speaker 5: old boss's book, George Soros, The Age of Turbulence, where 310 00:14:13,240 --> 00:14:17,200 Speaker 5: he talks about herd mentality. The herd is really negative 311 00:14:17,280 --> 00:14:19,480 Speaker 5: right now and it's focused all on tarrs and I 312 00:14:19,480 --> 00:14:21,720 Speaker 5: think what Scott Bessen needs to do, that's a treasure secretary. 313 00:14:21,840 --> 00:14:24,400 Speaker 5: I saw him at the Economic Club, and you know, 314 00:14:24,440 --> 00:14:26,520 Speaker 5: it was a very wonky speech where it was all about. 315 00:14:26,320 --> 00:14:28,440 Speaker 1: Tariffs and trying to explain it and all this stuff. 316 00:14:28,680 --> 00:14:30,280 Speaker 5: And at the end he starts talking about all the 317 00:14:30,320 --> 00:14:33,080 Speaker 5: good stuff, the candy that's coming. We're getting good stuff 318 00:14:33,120 --> 00:14:35,720 Speaker 5: coming for this economy and for the markets, and I 319 00:14:35,720 --> 00:14:37,520 Speaker 5: think some of this is a sales job. They have 320 00:14:37,600 --> 00:14:40,360 Speaker 5: to go out there and maybe stop talking about tariffs 321 00:14:40,400 --> 00:14:42,680 Speaker 5: so much and start talking about how we're going to 322 00:14:42,760 --> 00:14:45,920 Speaker 5: infuse the economy. We're we're going to release the animal spirits, 323 00:14:46,200 --> 00:14:48,160 Speaker 5: we're going to deregulate stuff. 324 00:14:47,800 --> 00:14:50,080 Speaker 8: Bich he has said in the past. Yeah, No, I 325 00:14:50,080 --> 00:14:55,160 Speaker 8: think those are enormously stimulative positive messages or businesses especially. 326 00:14:55,280 --> 00:14:57,520 Speaker 8: You know, there's been a number of things in terms 327 00:14:57,560 --> 00:15:01,080 Speaker 8: of depreciation on equipment, all that kind of that business 328 00:15:01,120 --> 00:15:04,720 Speaker 8: really really loves. And also the enticement to you know, 329 00:15:04,840 --> 00:15:07,720 Speaker 8: to open new businesses, which is something they want. They've 330 00:15:07,720 --> 00:15:09,600 Speaker 8: got a lot of business coming in from overseas and 331 00:15:09,640 --> 00:15:11,720 Speaker 8: building companies here in the United States. So all of 332 00:15:11,720 --> 00:15:14,520 Speaker 8: that very positive. I think this whipsaw effect of that 333 00:15:14,560 --> 00:15:16,400 Speaker 8: the tariffs are in, the tariffs are out, and I 334 00:15:16,440 --> 00:15:18,680 Speaker 8: see it from you know, small business owners. We're trying 335 00:15:18,680 --> 00:15:20,640 Speaker 8: to figure out their supply chain. You know, might do 336 00:15:20,680 --> 00:15:22,280 Speaker 8: you to be more on this or less on that? 337 00:15:22,480 --> 00:15:25,000 Speaker 8: Do I have to stockpile stuff at my factories so 338 00:15:25,000 --> 00:15:27,800 Speaker 8: that I you know, don't get over understanded. 339 00:15:27,840 --> 00:15:31,000 Speaker 1: And is he serious or. 340 00:15:30,960 --> 00:15:32,600 Speaker 5: Is he using this as a negotiating tool. 341 00:15:32,760 --> 00:15:33,160 Speaker 1: We don't know. 342 00:15:33,200 --> 00:15:35,160 Speaker 5: So there's always going to be turbulence in the in 343 00:15:35,200 --> 00:15:38,040 Speaker 5: the in Trump in the Trump Economic Plan. But again, 344 00:15:38,080 --> 00:15:40,640 Speaker 5: you've got to lead with your best shot, and the 345 00:15:40,640 --> 00:15:43,000 Speaker 5: best shot here is the tax cuts. I will say 346 00:15:43,000 --> 00:15:44,880 Speaker 5: this though, and here's another thing that I'm picking up. 347 00:15:45,560 --> 00:15:48,520 Speaker 5: You get the impression that the that that the people 348 00:15:48,560 --> 00:15:50,720 Speaker 5: in the White House say, well, our voters are not 349 00:15:50,760 --> 00:15:51,960 Speaker 5: being affected by this. 350 00:15:52,520 --> 00:15:55,080 Speaker 1: That you know, we had a very good base. 351 00:15:55,240 --> 00:15:57,840 Speaker 8: What percentage of Americans have money in the stock market. 352 00:15:57,640 --> 00:15:59,240 Speaker 5: Well, you know, they all have for own case, but 353 00:15:59,360 --> 00:16:02,720 Speaker 5: what percentage, how much? How big are there are four 354 00:16:02,720 --> 00:16:05,160 Speaker 5: to one k's, And I think they're making a calculus 355 00:16:05,480 --> 00:16:08,240 Speaker 5: that most Americans did not do well over the past 356 00:16:08,240 --> 00:16:11,440 Speaker 5: four years. They got hitmid inflation, the economy was revved 357 00:16:11,480 --> 00:16:13,920 Speaker 5: up by the government by Joe Biden, and people could 358 00:16:13,960 --> 00:16:16,720 Speaker 5: speculate rich people in the stock market to get around it. 359 00:16:17,000 --> 00:16:20,640 Speaker 5: Average Americans working class couldn't do that. That theory is 360 00:16:20,720 --> 00:16:21,800 Speaker 5: going to be put to the test. 361 00:16:22,080 --> 00:16:24,120 Speaker 1: You know, he's actually making a good point there, which 362 00:16:24,160 --> 00:16:26,440 Speaker 1: is the idea is that the stock market is only 363 00:16:26,440 --> 00:16:28,720 Speaker 1: paid attention to by rich people. And I would say 364 00:16:28,720 --> 00:16:31,680 Speaker 1: it's paid attention to the most by people who are rich. 365 00:16:31,800 --> 00:16:34,240 Speaker 1: But that does not mean that people who don't have 366 00:16:34,280 --> 00:16:37,160 Speaker 1: four oh one k's and or retirement are not paying attention. 367 00:16:37,200 --> 00:16:39,640 Speaker 1: There's also something emotional about the stock market, as you 368 00:16:39,680 --> 00:16:43,720 Speaker 1: and I know from covering politics, people feel very viscerally 369 00:16:43,800 --> 00:16:46,280 Speaker 1: whenever they see it go down. I think as a 370 00:16:46,320 --> 00:16:49,120 Speaker 1: measure of knowing so many times in the past, how 371 00:16:49,360 --> 00:16:51,640 Speaker 1: when that thing starts to go down, that means my 372 00:16:51,720 --> 00:16:53,840 Speaker 1: job is on the line. Yeah, that means that spending 373 00:16:53,840 --> 00:16:56,320 Speaker 1: at my company is going to start to restrict that 374 00:16:56,360 --> 00:16:58,880 Speaker 1: means you know X, y Z. There's been so many 375 00:16:58,880 --> 00:17:02,000 Speaker 1: different periods where the recession, let's say from two thousand 376 00:17:02,000 --> 00:17:04,480 Speaker 1: and eight, wasn't just about housing. Of course it was devastating, 377 00:17:04,520 --> 00:17:06,879 Speaker 1: but those stock market drops had a real pullback effect, 378 00:17:06,920 --> 00:17:10,080 Speaker 1: and there was huge problems with consumer sentiment, with unemployment, 379 00:17:10,200 --> 00:17:13,800 Speaker 1: there were issues with mass layoffs and with firing, and 380 00:17:13,840 --> 00:17:16,879 Speaker 1: a lot of that was financialization. So even if you 381 00:17:17,040 --> 00:17:20,040 Speaker 1: don't care, you should pay attention simply because you're going 382 00:17:20,119 --> 00:17:22,520 Speaker 1: to be affected by it. No matter what every American is. 383 00:17:22,560 --> 00:17:26,000 Speaker 1: It's like the Federal Reserve, there's just the American financial system. 384 00:17:26,080 --> 00:17:29,840 Speaker 1: This is the bedrock really of our entire social contract. 385 00:17:30,000 --> 00:17:32,520 Speaker 1: Let's go to a seven, please, because this again just 386 00:17:32,600 --> 00:17:36,280 Speaker 1: highlights the real danger that we are walking into right now. 387 00:17:36,320 --> 00:17:40,160 Speaker 1: The seven most valuable stocks on Wall Street yesterday lost 388 00:17:40,280 --> 00:17:43,600 Speaker 1: seven hundred and fifty billion dollars in market cap, the 389 00:17:43,680 --> 00:17:47,520 Speaker 1: worst day for the Nasdaq since two thousand and two. Now, 390 00:17:47,720 --> 00:17:50,520 Speaker 1: the reason why I think that this is really interesting 391 00:17:50,520 --> 00:17:53,199 Speaker 1: in a dot com bubble way is if, again, if 392 00:17:53,240 --> 00:17:56,320 Speaker 1: you look back to that time, nothing really happened in 393 00:17:56,440 --> 00:17:59,840 Speaker 1: March of two thousand and one, nothing or in March 394 00:17:59,840 --> 00:18:04,399 Speaker 1: of two thousand. There was no great precipitating event. It 395 00:18:04,480 --> 00:18:07,479 Speaker 1: was just a confluence of factors. It was the Federal Reserve, 396 00:18:07,800 --> 00:18:10,520 Speaker 1: it was asking questions, It was this panal. As you said, 397 00:18:10,560 --> 00:18:12,479 Speaker 1: there was a bump a little bit later on that 398 00:18:12,520 --> 00:18:15,919 Speaker 1: definitely happened. So people weren't one hundred percent in that 399 00:18:16,040 --> 00:18:18,919 Speaker 1: day saying oh, it's all a fugasi. It's just that 400 00:18:19,000 --> 00:18:21,800 Speaker 1: it took time to evaluate those and it was pushed 401 00:18:21,840 --> 00:18:23,440 Speaker 1: off a cliff for a variety of reasons. It was 402 00:18:23,440 --> 00:18:26,040 Speaker 1: almost like the straw that broke the camel's back. That 403 00:18:26,359 --> 00:18:29,720 Speaker 1: is the problem that we have here with the tariff policy, 404 00:18:29,720 --> 00:18:32,160 Speaker 1: with the chaos and with everything, is that the pullback 405 00:18:32,240 --> 00:18:35,200 Speaker 1: the yo yo from that gives a lack of confidence 406 00:18:35,240 --> 00:18:38,760 Speaker 1: of both to investors and to companies, which was restricting 407 00:18:38,880 --> 00:18:42,640 Speaker 1: overall consumer sentiments. So across the board, all of the 408 00:18:42,640 --> 00:18:45,760 Speaker 1: inputs and the outputs of the economy are very very 409 00:18:45,840 --> 00:18:48,440 Speaker 1: uncertain right now, which means that we're going to see 410 00:18:48,440 --> 00:18:51,600 Speaker 1: that not only the drop there, but potential ramifications. The 411 00:18:51,600 --> 00:18:54,679 Speaker 1: White House has got to project confidence and faith with 412 00:18:54,760 --> 00:18:57,160 Speaker 1: the people, which I don't think that they have done 413 00:18:57,240 --> 00:18:59,720 Speaker 1: a good job at right now. There's just no there's 414 00:18:59,720 --> 00:19:03,119 Speaker 1: too much uncertainty for both Main Street and Wall Street, 415 00:19:03,280 --> 00:19:05,680 Speaker 1: and in both of those you are not going to 416 00:19:05,720 --> 00:19:08,720 Speaker 1: see enough confidence from them to be like I can 417 00:19:08,760 --> 00:19:11,160 Speaker 1: make a decision for one month from now, three months 418 00:19:11,160 --> 00:19:13,000 Speaker 1: from now, or even people who are retiring. There's a 419 00:19:13,040 --> 00:19:14,440 Speaker 1: lot of old people in this country. A lot of 420 00:19:14,520 --> 00:19:16,240 Speaker 1: them decide when to retire based on their four oh 421 00:19:16,280 --> 00:19:18,080 Speaker 1: one k you know, so what are they going to do? 422 00:19:18,240 --> 00:19:19,960 Speaker 1: I wouldn't be too happy if I was sixty nine 423 00:19:20,000 --> 00:19:21,280 Speaker 1: years old right now. I can tell you that. 424 00:19:23,920 --> 00:19:25,879 Speaker 2: The one thing he could do is if he said 425 00:19:25,880 --> 00:19:28,640 Speaker 2: definitively we're not doing the tariffs, that's what the markets 426 00:19:28,840 --> 00:19:29,720 Speaker 2: really want to hear it. 427 00:19:29,960 --> 00:19:31,600 Speaker 1: Or you could say we're going to do the tariffs, 428 00:19:31,640 --> 00:19:33,680 Speaker 1: and it's because we're going to do them. It's six 429 00:19:33,760 --> 00:19:36,320 Speaker 1: months and in that six month period companies have X, 430 00:19:36,400 --> 00:19:39,000 Speaker 1: Y and z. In the tax bill that's coming up, 431 00:19:39,200 --> 00:19:42,280 Speaker 1: you will have specific investment credits for taking care of this. 432 00:19:42,359 --> 00:19:45,119 Speaker 1: I will make that an absolute priority of this White House. 433 00:19:45,200 --> 00:19:46,919 Speaker 1: Then you actually don't need to have a market correction 434 00:19:46,960 --> 00:19:48,320 Speaker 1: at all. Will give you a tax break if you 435 00:19:48,320 --> 00:19:51,320 Speaker 1: build stuff here, and we won't have to have a selloff, 436 00:19:51,359 --> 00:19:53,159 Speaker 1: and we can have terrort. You can have everything that 437 00:19:53,200 --> 00:19:55,400 Speaker 1: you want right now, just not this way. 438 00:19:55,680 --> 00:19:56,360 Speaker 3: Maybe. I mean. 439 00:19:56,480 --> 00:19:58,320 Speaker 2: The thing is like that sort of defeats the whole 440 00:19:58,359 --> 00:20:00,960 Speaker 2: policy of tariffs because if you're like they're ending in 441 00:20:01,000 --> 00:20:03,240 Speaker 2: six months, then everyone will go, okay, then we're. 442 00:20:03,040 --> 00:20:04,399 Speaker 3: Just waiting the metal feel like we're not going to 443 00:20:04,440 --> 00:20:05,240 Speaker 3: change their policy. 444 00:20:05,359 --> 00:20:07,840 Speaker 1: They're going to effect six months, So you have six months. 445 00:20:07,840 --> 00:20:09,440 Speaker 1: You have to reshore, figure it out. You have to 446 00:20:09,440 --> 00:20:11,000 Speaker 1: come to this government and you have to say here 447 00:20:11,080 --> 00:20:12,679 Speaker 1: is X, Y and Z, and if you don't do it, 448 00:20:12,720 --> 00:20:15,040 Speaker 1: you're going to be severely punished. No Fox cons No 449 00:20:15,119 --> 00:20:17,480 Speaker 1: more Fox cons man. You know, it's like, but that's 450 00:20:17,520 --> 00:20:19,920 Speaker 1: what real policy make maybe looks. 451 00:20:19,760 --> 00:20:21,439 Speaker 2: Like maybe, I mean, And that's the thing is like 452 00:20:21,520 --> 00:20:23,720 Speaker 2: so much of his domestic policy has been outsourced to 453 00:20:23,800 --> 00:20:27,600 Speaker 2: Elon who's just on this like radical Austerian austerity tour. 454 00:20:27,960 --> 00:20:29,240 Speaker 3: Yesterday he said. 455 00:20:29,080 --> 00:20:33,159 Speaker 2: That entitlements need to be eliminated, social Security, Medicare, and 456 00:20:33,200 --> 00:20:36,800 Speaker 2: Medicaid eliminated because those are quote unquote the big ones. 457 00:20:37,320 --> 00:20:39,560 Speaker 3: So you know, you've got that going. 458 00:20:39,359 --> 00:20:42,280 Speaker 2: On, which obviously for average people is just a complete 459 00:20:42,320 --> 00:20:44,919 Speaker 2: and utter disaster. You've got the government freezes going on. 460 00:20:45,760 --> 00:20:49,080 Speaker 2: There's just a lot of headwinds at this point that 461 00:20:49,160 --> 00:20:52,840 Speaker 2: are all directly generated by this administration and their decisions. 462 00:20:52,840 --> 00:20:54,440 Speaker 3: And I just don't think that people are going. 463 00:20:54,440 --> 00:20:56,679 Speaker 2: To buy this line from them that like, oh, if 464 00:20:56,680 --> 00:20:59,280 Speaker 2: things are going poorly, it's all Joe Biden's fault, because 465 00:20:59,400 --> 00:21:02,000 Speaker 2: I mean, Trump's been in charge for fifty days now, 466 00:21:02,480 --> 00:21:06,200 Speaker 2: and it's quite clear he's doing a lot. We can, 467 00:21:06,320 --> 00:21:08,840 Speaker 2: you know, have differing opinions about whether that a lot 468 00:21:08,880 --> 00:21:10,600 Speaker 2: is good or bad. You guys know where I stand 469 00:21:10,600 --> 00:21:13,400 Speaker 2: on that. But he's certainly doing a lot, and he 470 00:21:13,600 --> 00:21:16,160 Speaker 2: owns what's happening in the economy now, you know, he 471 00:21:16,240 --> 00:21:18,959 Speaker 2: really has taken control of it him and Elon, and 472 00:21:19,000 --> 00:21:22,919 Speaker 2: he owns whatever happens from here on out. So, you know, 473 00:21:22,960 --> 00:21:26,000 Speaker 2: to go back to Gasparino, I think it was interesting 474 00:21:26,040 --> 00:21:28,359 Speaker 2: hearing what he was saying because it reminded me of 475 00:21:28,359 --> 00:21:30,840 Speaker 2: a few things. First of all, it reminded me of 476 00:21:30,880 --> 00:21:33,680 Speaker 2: all the wish casting that the business world in Wall 477 00:21:33,720 --> 00:21:36,439 Speaker 2: Street did around Trump and what his policies would be. 478 00:21:36,680 --> 00:21:37,879 Speaker 2: You know, there are a lot of things that have 479 00:21:37,920 --> 00:21:40,840 Speaker 2: happened in this administration that I did not necessarily anticipate. 480 00:21:41,200 --> 00:21:43,960 Speaker 2: Tariffs are not one of them. He was really clear, 481 00:21:44,359 --> 00:21:48,280 Speaker 2: repeatedly on the campaign trail. Terras is the most beautiful word. 482 00:21:48,359 --> 00:21:50,359 Speaker 2: I love tariffs, we're doing across the board. 483 00:21:50,440 --> 00:21:50,680 Speaker 1: Terrors. 484 00:21:50,720 --> 00:21:53,200 Speaker 3: I mean, he was consistent. And if you didn't listen 485 00:21:53,280 --> 00:21:54,160 Speaker 3: to that and take. 486 00:21:54,200 --> 00:21:56,199 Speaker 2: That seriously, like, I don't know what to tell you, 487 00:21:56,440 --> 00:21:58,560 Speaker 2: because the man told you many many times that that's 488 00:21:58,560 --> 00:22:01,560 Speaker 2: the direction that he was heading. So no one should 489 00:22:01,600 --> 00:22:04,760 Speaker 2: be surprised when he moved forward with the plans that 490 00:22:04,800 --> 00:22:07,640 Speaker 2: he himself repeatedly announced that he was going to put 491 00:22:07,680 --> 00:22:10,480 Speaker 2: into place. The other thing it reminded me of is 492 00:22:10,680 --> 00:22:15,560 Speaker 2: how Democrats would talk about like and still do act 493 00:22:15,800 --> 00:22:18,639 Speaker 2: like their only issue is like a messaging problem, like 494 00:22:18,640 --> 00:22:20,800 Speaker 2: that's what oh they need to, you know, just talk 495 00:22:20,800 --> 00:22:24,160 Speaker 2: about the deregulation and just don't really talk about the terrors, 496 00:22:24,200 --> 00:22:26,600 Speaker 2: like let's just pretend that is all not happening. No, 497 00:22:27,280 --> 00:22:31,000 Speaker 2: especially when it comes to the economy, you have a 498 00:22:31,400 --> 00:22:35,720 Speaker 2: reality problem. People have their own personal experience with the economy, 499 00:22:36,040 --> 00:22:39,640 Speaker 2: and yes, they are subject to political narratives, and they 500 00:22:39,680 --> 00:22:42,920 Speaker 2: are subject to changing their mind based on which president. 501 00:22:42,680 --> 00:22:44,080 Speaker 3: Is in power or what they are. 502 00:22:44,200 --> 00:22:46,480 Speaker 2: Leaders that are both trusted, you don't have to say 503 00:22:46,480 --> 00:22:49,960 Speaker 2: about what the economic status is currently. But if you 504 00:22:50,160 --> 00:22:52,520 Speaker 2: are looking at people are in the center, who are 505 00:22:52,680 --> 00:22:55,800 Speaker 2: independents who could go either way in an election, they 506 00:22:55,880 --> 00:22:59,200 Speaker 2: have their own personal experience with how things are going 507 00:22:59,200 --> 00:23:02,399 Speaker 2: for them. I just don't think that you can spin 508 00:23:02,600 --> 00:23:05,840 Speaker 2: and message your way out of real economic trouble. And 509 00:23:05,880 --> 00:23:08,360 Speaker 2: it looks like we could very well be headed for 510 00:23:08,480 --> 00:23:11,159 Speaker 2: real economic trouble. The last thing I would say, because 511 00:23:11,160 --> 00:23:14,920 Speaker 2: we've made the dot com comparison and there are definitely 512 00:23:15,240 --> 00:23:18,160 Speaker 2: there feels like there are some real echoes here with this, 513 00:23:18,240 --> 00:23:21,639 Speaker 2: you know, technology that has yet to fully arrive, but 514 00:23:21,680 --> 00:23:24,239 Speaker 2: there's a lot of speculation around it. The one thing 515 00:23:24,280 --> 00:23:27,919 Speaker 2: that is very different though from this bubble versus that 516 00:23:28,040 --> 00:23:31,280 Speaker 2: bubble is the fact that our eggs are in many 517 00:23:31,359 --> 00:23:34,879 Speaker 2: fewer baskets this time around than last time. You know, 518 00:23:34,920 --> 00:23:36,720 Speaker 2: the story of the dot com bubble was all of 519 00:23:36,760 --> 00:23:40,760 Speaker 2: these startups that we're getting, you know, massive investment, and 520 00:23:41,040 --> 00:23:43,320 Speaker 2: part of the pull back back starts when the Federal 521 00:23:43,359 --> 00:23:46,719 Speaker 2: Reserve hikes rates and then they're financing becomes more expensive 522 00:23:47,280 --> 00:23:49,560 Speaker 2: and lo and behold, they're not turning a profit yet, 523 00:23:49,680 --> 00:23:52,280 Speaker 2: so you know, they're getting they're not able to get funding, 524 00:23:52,320 --> 00:23:54,679 Speaker 2: and then there starts to be this gradual realization that 525 00:23:54,720 --> 00:23:56,520 Speaker 2: a bunch of these things are just kind of like 526 00:23:56,600 --> 00:23:58,520 Speaker 2: fake and not ever going to work and not ever 527 00:23:58,560 --> 00:23:59,720 Speaker 2: going to really have a self. 528 00:23:59,520 --> 00:24:00,680 Speaker 3: Sustaining business model. 529 00:24:01,320 --> 00:24:04,399 Speaker 2: Here, I would say we have profoundly actually more risk 530 00:24:04,920 --> 00:24:09,640 Speaker 2: because we have so much concentrated in these seven giant 531 00:24:09,920 --> 00:24:14,760 Speaker 2: tech effectively monopolies. And that's what makes me really really 532 00:24:14,800 --> 00:24:17,800 Speaker 2: nervous about this particular moment. You know, I think that 533 00:24:18,000 --> 00:24:21,439 Speaker 2: Trump believes he can sort of control things and you know, 534 00:24:21,520 --> 00:24:24,120 Speaker 2: put the terrafs on and take him off and let 535 00:24:24,119 --> 00:24:26,800 Speaker 2: the market drop just enough so that he's comfortable and 536 00:24:27,119 --> 00:24:29,760 Speaker 2: maybe flirt with a recession, but not go full recession 537 00:24:30,040 --> 00:24:32,199 Speaker 2: or be able to pull back from that. Like I 538 00:24:32,240 --> 00:24:34,320 Speaker 2: think he feels like his hands are on the levers 539 00:24:34,359 --> 00:24:37,880 Speaker 2: in that way. But these things are really unpredictable and 540 00:24:37,960 --> 00:24:41,000 Speaker 2: can have massive cascading effects that just get totally out 541 00:24:41,000 --> 00:24:43,240 Speaker 2: of hand. And if you think that ordinary people don't 542 00:24:43,240 --> 00:24:46,160 Speaker 2: suffer when the stock market drops, like I would recommend 543 00:24:46,240 --> 00:24:48,959 Speaker 2: you go back and look at every major stock market 544 00:24:48,960 --> 00:24:52,400 Speaker 2: crash and how ordinary people fared in the wake of that, 545 00:24:52,440 --> 00:24:54,720 Speaker 2: because it ends up the pain does not just stay 546 00:24:54,720 --> 00:24:56,679 Speaker 2: on Wall Street. The pain does not just stay with 547 00:24:56,760 --> 00:24:59,360 Speaker 2: wealthy people or even with people who are looking towards retirement, 548 00:24:59,400 --> 00:25:02,199 Speaker 2: and therefore a way and case has a massive reverberating 549 00:25:02,240 --> 00:25:03,320 Speaker 2: effect throughout the economy. 550 00:25:03,400 --> 00:25:06,159 Speaker 1: YEP, absolutely correct. So that's the last thing. I just 551 00:25:06,200 --> 00:25:08,000 Speaker 1: want to make this point here. Yeah, let's put this 552 00:25:08,080 --> 00:25:11,600 Speaker 1: up there on the screen. This is the changes in 553 00:25:11,640 --> 00:25:14,280 Speaker 1: the S and P five hundred since the inauguration day 554 00:25:14,480 --> 00:25:17,440 Speaker 1: of Trump's first and second term. And you can just 555 00:25:17,480 --> 00:25:20,920 Speaker 1: see that yellow line going reel down in the first 556 00:25:21,000 --> 00:25:23,960 Speaker 1: fifty days of the Trump administration as opposed to the 557 00:25:24,000 --> 00:25:28,359 Speaker 1: first Trump administration, where even the drop that happened in 558 00:25:28,880 --> 00:25:32,040 Speaker 1: even modest drops or whatever that happened, were overcome by 559 00:25:32,080 --> 00:25:35,720 Speaker 1: some pretty overwhelming growth up to almost twenty percent in 560 00:25:35,760 --> 00:25:38,040 Speaker 1: the first two hundred and twenty five days that he 561 00:25:38,160 --> 00:25:40,160 Speaker 1: was in office. So keep that in mind. And that's 562 00:25:40,160 --> 00:25:42,879 Speaker 1: certainly something that a lot of people who if you 563 00:25:42,920 --> 00:25:46,680 Speaker 1: think back to especially the quote normal voter, like the 564 00:25:46,760 --> 00:25:50,200 Speaker 1: voter who voted for Trump to restore normalcy, was like, listen, 565 00:25:50,240 --> 00:25:51,760 Speaker 1: you know, we had a lot of issues. Sure it 566 00:25:51,760 --> 00:25:54,280 Speaker 1: was chaotic, et cetera. But the stock market went up, 567 00:25:54,280 --> 00:25:57,080 Speaker 1: and deregulation and the tax bill et cetera. Much more 568 00:25:57,440 --> 00:26:00,800 Speaker 1: middle class, suburban type folks. And the big question here 569 00:26:00,880 --> 00:26:03,520 Speaker 1: now is how working class voters, other populist voters who 570 00:26:03,680 --> 00:26:06,560 Speaker 1: decided to back Donald Trump in a Hail Mary style 571 00:26:07,000 --> 00:26:09,600 Speaker 1: for this election, how are they going to feel about 572 00:26:09,640 --> 00:26:12,720 Speaker 1: much of this, especially if this continues. So we'll see, 573 00:26:13,000 --> 00:26:15,320 Speaker 1: but I do think it's a significant problem for the 574 00:26:15,359 --> 00:26:18,119 Speaker 1: White House, and if they don't adjust their messaging and 575 00:26:18,200 --> 00:26:21,200 Speaker 1: policy soon, they could have a big, big problem on 576 00:26:21,240 --> 00:26:21,720 Speaker 1: their hands. 577 00:26:24,359 --> 00:26:27,320 Speaker 2: This sets up the spending bill because we've got more 578 00:26:27,480 --> 00:26:30,640 Speaker 2: rocky road ahead of us this week, so Republicans planning 579 00:26:30,640 --> 00:26:33,440 Speaker 2: to vote on what's called a continuing resolution to basically 580 00:26:33,720 --> 00:26:36,080 Speaker 2: keep the government open. President Trump has been making the 581 00:26:36,119 --> 00:26:38,520 Speaker 2: pitch like, just give me some a few more months 582 00:26:38,760 --> 00:26:41,640 Speaker 2: so we can then tackle this out of control spending 583 00:26:41,680 --> 00:26:45,200 Speaker 2: and pass our budget. So that's the pitch he's been making. Because, 584 00:26:45,200 --> 00:26:47,040 Speaker 2: of course, you've got some people in the caucus who 585 00:26:47,080 --> 00:26:50,560 Speaker 2: do not want to continue spending at the current levels. 586 00:26:50,600 --> 00:26:53,800 Speaker 2: They're you know, into fiscal austerity and they're concerned about 587 00:26:53,800 --> 00:26:56,560 Speaker 2: the dead and the deficit. People like Thomas Massey, who 588 00:26:56,560 --> 00:27:00,720 Speaker 2: has been most consistent Republican on this issue, true, died 589 00:27:00,760 --> 00:27:05,120 Speaker 2: in the wool libertarian and Tea party type, really concerned 590 00:27:05,160 --> 00:27:06,520 Speaker 2: about smaller government. 591 00:27:06,600 --> 00:27:07,360 Speaker 3: You know, he's not my. 592 00:27:07,480 --> 00:27:09,920 Speaker 2: Political ideology, but I respect the fact that the man 593 00:27:09,960 --> 00:27:13,760 Speaker 2: remains quite principled at times when it's very difficult, including 594 00:27:13,760 --> 00:27:16,680 Speaker 2: on things like free speech in Israel. In any case, 595 00:27:16,960 --> 00:27:21,120 Speaker 2: Trump is out now threatening Thomas Massey with a primary challenge. 596 00:27:21,240 --> 00:27:23,199 Speaker 2: Let's go and put this up on the screen. He 597 00:27:23,280 --> 00:27:25,800 Speaker 2: posted this on True Social He says, thank you to 598 00:27:25,840 --> 00:27:28,240 Speaker 2: the House Freedom Caucus for just delivering a big blow 599 00:27:28,680 --> 00:27:31,480 Speaker 2: to the radical left Democrats their desire to raise taxes 600 00:27:31,520 --> 00:27:33,560 Speaker 2: and shut our country down. They hate American all it 601 00:27:33,640 --> 00:27:36,679 Speaker 2: stands for. That's why they allowed millions of criminals invade 602 00:27:36,680 --> 00:27:38,919 Speaker 2: our nations. Sometimes it takes great courage to do the 603 00:27:38,960 --> 00:27:43,159 Speaker 2: right thing. Congressman Thomas Massey, a beautiful Kentucky, is an 604 00:27:43,200 --> 00:27:46,600 Speaker 2: automatic no vote on just about everything, despite the fact 605 00:27:46,600 --> 00:27:49,280 Speaker 2: that he has always voted for continuing resolutions in the past. 606 00:27:49,520 --> 00:27:52,080 Speaker 2: He should be primaried and I will lead the charge 607 00:27:52,119 --> 00:27:55,400 Speaker 2: against him. He's just another grand stander who's too much 608 00:27:55,400 --> 00:27:57,320 Speaker 2: trouble and not worth a fight. He reminds me of 609 00:27:57,320 --> 00:28:01,520 Speaker 2: Liz Cheney before her historic record breakings. Fault loss the 610 00:28:01,520 --> 00:28:03,040 Speaker 2: people of Kentucky won't stand for it. 611 00:28:03,160 --> 00:28:03,520 Speaker 1: Just watch. 612 00:28:03,600 --> 00:28:05,520 Speaker 3: Do I have any takers anyway? Thank you again to 613 00:28:05,520 --> 00:28:06,000 Speaker 3: the House. 614 00:28:05,840 --> 00:28:08,080 Speaker 2: Freedom Caucus for you a very important vote. We need 615 00:28:08,119 --> 00:28:10,480 Speaker 2: to buy some time in order to make America great again, 616 00:28:10,600 --> 00:28:14,000 Speaker 2: greater than ever before. Unite and win soccer. You may 617 00:28:14,040 --> 00:28:15,679 Speaker 2: know more about this than I do. I know Thomas 618 00:28:15,680 --> 00:28:17,639 Speaker 2: Massey has faced primary challenges before. 619 00:28:17,720 --> 00:28:19,359 Speaker 3: I don't think that he's faced one. 620 00:28:19,240 --> 00:28:23,359 Speaker 2: That was backed so directly by President Trump or been 621 00:28:23,359 --> 00:28:25,760 Speaker 2: put on blast quite to this extent by President Trump. 622 00:28:25,760 --> 00:28:27,560 Speaker 3: So you have to take that seriously. 623 00:28:28,600 --> 00:28:31,440 Speaker 2: I will say, I think he has his own support base, 624 00:28:31,560 --> 00:28:33,560 Speaker 2: and people in his district seem to really, you know, 625 00:28:33,760 --> 00:28:37,159 Speaker 2: really appreciate him for the principled stances that he's been taking. 626 00:28:37,520 --> 00:28:40,240 Speaker 2: But when you've got the combination of Trump, who has 627 00:28:40,280 --> 00:28:43,640 Speaker 2: his cult of personality and Elon who has almost limitless 628 00:28:43,680 --> 00:28:46,840 Speaker 2: money to fund said primary challenges, of course you have 629 00:28:46,960 --> 00:28:49,360 Speaker 2: to ultimately take this seriously. 630 00:28:49,640 --> 00:28:52,040 Speaker 3: So what did you make of this move from Trump? 631 00:28:52,080 --> 00:28:54,920 Speaker 2: And doesn't betray sort of any nervousness about whether or 632 00:28:54,960 --> 00:28:56,720 Speaker 2: not the CR is going to pass? Because I did 633 00:28:56,720 --> 00:28:59,080 Speaker 2: see there were a few other Republicans who may continue 634 00:28:59,120 --> 00:28:59,720 Speaker 2: to be holding. 635 00:29:00,160 --> 00:29:02,000 Speaker 1: Be afraid because it's not just about the House. Don't forget. 636 00:29:02,000 --> 00:29:03,880 Speaker 1: They've got to pass this thing through the Senate as well, 637 00:29:03,880 --> 00:29:06,240 Speaker 1: and all the Democrats are currently on the record. No, 638 00:29:06,280 --> 00:29:08,360 Speaker 1: they're gonna have huge problems being able to get this 639 00:29:08,440 --> 00:29:11,560 Speaker 1: piece of legislation on the Massy front. I mean, look, 640 00:29:12,040 --> 00:29:14,280 Speaker 1: like you said, I remember five years ago, I hated 641 00:29:14,320 --> 00:29:16,040 Speaker 1: Thomas Massey because he voted against a lot of the 642 00:29:16,040 --> 00:29:18,680 Speaker 1: COVID stimulus checks and he was, you know, holding it 643 00:29:19,000 --> 00:29:21,120 Speaker 1: all up. You could say what you want about the guy, 644 00:29:21,160 --> 00:29:22,720 Speaker 1: but I think what it has proven out is, like 645 00:29:22,800 --> 00:29:25,080 Speaker 1: you said, he's principal. He's one of the rarest people 646 00:29:25,160 --> 00:29:27,440 Speaker 1: in Washington. Right, there's like only four or five people 647 00:29:27,520 --> 00:29:31,400 Speaker 1: like him in the entire United States Congress, including the Senate. 648 00:29:31,480 --> 00:29:34,680 Speaker 3: So if people having having people like him around. 649 00:29:34,400 --> 00:29:37,280 Speaker 1: It's good. It's good for us to have wild cards. 650 00:29:37,400 --> 00:29:40,040 Speaker 1: And it's not the Republic. It's not Massi's fault of 651 00:29:40,080 --> 00:29:43,040 Speaker 1: the Republicans only have a two or three seat majority, right, 652 00:29:43,120 --> 00:29:46,440 Speaker 1: It's like, it's why are we backing primary challenges against him? 653 00:29:46,480 --> 00:29:49,040 Speaker 1: As you said, he'd been absolutely courageous on foreign eight, 654 00:29:49,160 --> 00:29:51,719 Speaker 1: on Israel, he stood up to a pack free speech. 655 00:29:51,800 --> 00:29:54,480 Speaker 1: I mean this got maha. I mean, don't forget. By 656 00:29:54,520 --> 00:29:56,000 Speaker 1: the way, even on the Elon thing, it would be 657 00:29:56,080 --> 00:29:59,560 Speaker 1: preposterous for Thomas Massey to speak out against Elon. Thomas 658 00:29:59,600 --> 00:30:01,360 Speaker 1: mass was one of the first people in Congress to 659 00:30:01,440 --> 00:30:05,880 Speaker 1: buy a Tesla, and if you'll all recall he Massey 660 00:30:06,040 --> 00:30:08,520 Speaker 1: was on that call with Elon Musk when Ron DeSantis 661 00:30:08,560 --> 00:30:12,200 Speaker 1: did his disastrous campaign launch. Thomas Massy loves Elon Musk 662 00:30:12,240 --> 00:30:15,440 Speaker 1: and he loves Dose, So this idea is ridiculous that 663 00:30:15,480 --> 00:30:17,640 Speaker 1: he's not, you know, in the camp. It's just that 664 00:30:17,920 --> 00:30:20,360 Speaker 1: he is a libertarian and he doesn't want to vote 665 00:30:20,360 --> 00:30:23,160 Speaker 1: for CRS and continued spending. He even said, he's like, look, 666 00:30:23,520 --> 00:30:26,680 Speaker 1: according to you, Dose, you found massive fraud in USAID. 667 00:30:27,040 --> 00:30:30,719 Speaker 1: This CR continues to fully fund USAID. So aren't you 668 00:30:30,760 --> 00:30:32,680 Speaker 1: guys kind of full of it from the White House 669 00:30:32,760 --> 00:30:36,160 Speaker 1: asking for full funding of an agency you say is corrupt. 670 00:30:36,200 --> 00:30:36,959 Speaker 1: So what's up with that? 671 00:30:37,160 --> 00:30:37,320 Speaker 9: Right? 672 00:30:37,400 --> 00:30:39,760 Speaker 1: None of it makes it any sense? Now, you're right, 673 00:30:40,640 --> 00:30:43,880 Speaker 1: he has survived multiple primary challenges. I was just looking 674 00:30:43,880 --> 00:30:44,240 Speaker 1: back here. 675 00:30:44,360 --> 00:30:46,959 Speaker 2: I know APAK came after Oh they came out and 676 00:30:46,960 --> 00:30:49,600 Speaker 2: funded a primary challenge in twenty twenty. I don't think 677 00:30:49,640 --> 00:30:50,920 Speaker 2: I don't think they even came close. 678 00:30:51,000 --> 00:30:53,680 Speaker 1: No, he didn't even break twenty percent. Yeah, year, And 679 00:30:53,920 --> 00:30:57,520 Speaker 1: Massy is again he's one of those folks who is 680 00:30:57,760 --> 00:31:00,720 Speaker 1: genuinely he's like Bernie. He's one of those people to 681 00:31:00,760 --> 00:31:03,960 Speaker 1: me at least, where all the caricatures of him are bs. 682 00:31:04,320 --> 00:31:07,680 Speaker 1: You know who he is. He's a principal guy in 683 00:31:07,720 --> 00:31:10,959 Speaker 1: his votes, in the way he talks, in how I mean, 684 00:31:11,000 --> 00:31:13,440 Speaker 1: He's made decisions which are some of the most inconvenient 685 00:31:13,440 --> 00:31:15,840 Speaker 1: in all of Washington because of what he believes, and 686 00:31:15,880 --> 00:31:19,000 Speaker 1: I think his constituents reward him for that, so broadly, 687 00:31:19,160 --> 00:31:21,880 Speaker 1: I don't think that this will work. You know, people 688 00:31:21,920 --> 00:31:24,240 Speaker 1: like him. Chip Roy is another example who Trump is 689 00:31:24,240 --> 00:31:27,680 Speaker 1: currently backing a primary challenge against these these guys are 690 00:31:27,720 --> 00:31:29,800 Speaker 1: you know, they actually believe what they say, which is 691 00:31:29,800 --> 00:31:32,080 Speaker 1: one of the most rare things in the entire city. 692 00:31:32,160 --> 00:31:34,000 Speaker 1: So I'm behind him one hundred percent, and I do 693 00:31:34,040 --> 00:31:37,600 Speaker 1: think it's pretty ridiculous to primary him for the problems 694 00:31:37,640 --> 00:31:41,800 Speaker 1: and the challenges that are a creation of this GOP caucus, 695 00:31:41,840 --> 00:31:45,080 Speaker 1: not of Thomas Massey. It's not his fault. Also, by 696 00:31:45,080 --> 00:31:49,200 Speaker 1: the way, you could easily have the CR pass if 697 00:31:49,240 --> 00:31:51,760 Speaker 1: you had worked with Democrats, right, but you're not. You 698 00:31:51,760 --> 00:31:53,320 Speaker 1: don't want to do that, right, There's a lot of 699 00:31:53,360 --> 00:31:56,080 Speaker 1: different varieties. It's like this is just where they demand 700 00:31:56,120 --> 00:31:59,440 Speaker 1: fealty to the king, and I think that's just ridiculous and. 701 00:31:59,320 --> 00:32:01,880 Speaker 2: Not to overend analyze this, but also the comparison to 702 00:32:01,920 --> 00:32:06,000 Speaker 2: Liz Change, yeah right, I mean these are scottiologically like 703 00:32:06,360 --> 00:32:07,880 Speaker 2: wild different people. 704 00:32:08,320 --> 00:32:11,280 Speaker 3: But to me, it's the perfect emblem. 705 00:32:10,920 --> 00:32:13,920 Speaker 2: Of how politics in the Trump era just collapses down 706 00:32:14,080 --> 00:32:16,600 Speaker 2: to the central divide are you with Trump or are 707 00:32:16,600 --> 00:32:19,440 Speaker 2: you against him? And so if you go against him 708 00:32:19,720 --> 00:32:22,640 Speaker 2: on anything, even though he's like completely I mean, he 709 00:32:22,720 --> 00:32:25,400 Speaker 2: is probably the biggest Doge supporter, you know, he's all 710 00:32:25,440 --> 00:32:28,920 Speaker 2: about the project of cutting government that Elon is engaged 711 00:32:28,960 --> 00:32:31,160 Speaker 2: in that Trump has fully you know, thrown his backing 712 00:32:31,160 --> 00:32:33,600 Speaker 2: for At this point he would be the number one 713 00:32:33,600 --> 00:32:37,440 Speaker 2: guy in support of that. But because he dares to 714 00:32:37,560 --> 00:32:41,200 Speaker 2: buck Trump on anything, then you get thrown in the 715 00:32:41,240 --> 00:32:44,760 Speaker 2: category of Liz Cheney, which you know, for the Republicans, 716 00:32:44,800 --> 00:32:48,360 Speaker 2: that's like the greatest insult you can possibly be imagined 717 00:32:48,400 --> 00:32:51,600 Speaker 2: to be compared to a trader such as Liz Cheney. 718 00:32:51,920 --> 00:32:54,360 Speaker 2: So I thought that was you know, interesting and very 719 00:32:54,400 --> 00:32:56,440 Speaker 2: telling as well, let me go ahead and get into 720 00:32:56,440 --> 00:32:58,400 Speaker 2: some of the details of this bill. I think Soccer 721 00:32:58,520 --> 00:33:01,160 Speaker 2: makes a good point about one of the levels of 722 00:33:01,200 --> 00:33:04,360 Speaker 2: absurdity about this is, of course, all the Republicans are 723 00:33:04,360 --> 00:33:06,920 Speaker 2: claiming that the government is rife with all of this 724 00:33:07,080 --> 00:33:09,920 Speaker 2: massive waste, fraud, and abuse, that some of these agencies 725 00:33:09,920 --> 00:33:12,640 Speaker 2: should be destroyed and cut out entirely. Get here, you 726 00:33:12,760 --> 00:33:16,680 Speaker 2: are whipping your entire caucus to vote to continue what 727 00:33:16,760 --> 00:33:21,400 Speaker 2: you allege is massively fraudulent spending across the board and 728 00:33:21,480 --> 00:33:23,760 Speaker 2: all of this government. So this is one of the 729 00:33:23,800 --> 00:33:27,360 Speaker 2: things that a Thomas Massey would certainly be bucking. But 730 00:33:27,960 --> 00:33:30,040 Speaker 2: I think let's put this up on the screen. They say, 731 00:33:30,040 --> 00:33:33,280 Speaker 2: the ninety nine page legislation was slightly decreased spending overall 732 00:33:33,320 --> 00:33:35,520 Speaker 2: from last year's funding levels, but would increase spending for 733 00:33:35,560 --> 00:33:38,200 Speaker 2: the military. Don't worry, and a not to the concerns 734 00:33:38,240 --> 00:33:41,440 Speaker 2: of GOP defense hawks that stopgap measures would hamstring the Pentagon. 735 00:33:41,640 --> 00:33:44,560 Speaker 2: Would not include any funds for any earmarks for projects 736 00:33:44,560 --> 00:33:48,280 Speaker 2: in lawmaker's districts or state, saving roughly thirteen billion according 737 00:33:48,320 --> 00:33:51,800 Speaker 2: to Congressional Aids. Also provides a slight funding boost for ICE. 738 00:33:52,080 --> 00:33:54,800 Speaker 2: An additional four hundred eighty five million, gives administration more 739 00:33:54,840 --> 00:33:58,320 Speaker 2: flexibility on how the agency can spend. It also increases 740 00:33:58,320 --> 00:34:00,600 Speaker 2: funding for the federal program that provides free groceries to 741 00:34:00,640 --> 00:34:03,280 Speaker 2: millions of low income women and children, known as WICK, 742 00:34:03,640 --> 00:34:07,280 Speaker 2: by about five hundred million dollars. The other line from 743 00:34:07,600 --> 00:34:12,280 Speaker 2: Democrats is who I think are going to hang together 744 00:34:12,400 --> 00:34:15,680 Speaker 2: and vote in locksteps. Certainly in the House, Schumer has 745 00:34:15,760 --> 00:34:19,319 Speaker 2: been a little bit cagier about the direction there. But 746 00:34:19,520 --> 00:34:22,400 Speaker 2: I know Takim Jefferies is whipping a no vote among 747 00:34:22,440 --> 00:34:25,400 Speaker 2: the Democratic House members, and I think they're likely to 748 00:34:25,640 --> 00:34:27,799 Speaker 2: stick with that, and all of them vote against this 749 00:34:27,880 --> 00:34:30,600 Speaker 2: continuing resolution. Basically be like, look, y'all have the majority, 750 00:34:31,000 --> 00:34:34,480 Speaker 2: go ahead, do your thing. Republicans did get a little 751 00:34:34,480 --> 00:34:37,440 Speaker 2: bit of a boost because a Democratic member just died, 752 00:34:37,680 --> 00:34:41,319 Speaker 2: so their majority has They now have like a four 753 00:34:41,400 --> 00:34:43,239 Speaker 2: vote margin instead of a three vote margin. 754 00:34:43,280 --> 00:34:45,520 Speaker 3: I think I'm correct about the numbers there. 755 00:34:45,560 --> 00:34:48,759 Speaker 2: But Democrats are also saying because of the nature of 756 00:34:48,800 --> 00:34:53,880 Speaker 2: a continuing resolution versus actual budgeting and you know, specific 757 00:34:53,960 --> 00:34:58,160 Speaker 2: appropriations and funding bills, it hands more power and discretion 758 00:34:58,320 --> 00:35:02,799 Speaker 2: to the executive and you know, amidst their concerns and 759 00:35:02,840 --> 00:35:05,480 Speaker 2: my concerns and many people's concerns about what Dose is 760 00:35:05,560 --> 00:35:08,160 Speaker 2: doing and the unaccountable nature of the way that they 761 00:35:08,160 --> 00:35:11,040 Speaker 2: are grabbing power for the executive That is one of 762 00:35:11,040 --> 00:35:13,879 Speaker 2: the concerns that Democrats have with this as well. 763 00:35:14,480 --> 00:35:17,520 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean if the problem I just see with 764 00:35:17,600 --> 00:35:20,719 Speaker 1: this is what are we trying to do here? Are 765 00:35:20,760 --> 00:35:23,799 Speaker 1: you funding USAID or not? Why would you fully fund 766 00:35:23,840 --> 00:35:25,720 Speaker 1: the government if you don't agree with funding the government? 767 00:35:25,760 --> 00:35:29,239 Speaker 1: The argument right now from the White House is that, well, 768 00:35:29,280 --> 00:35:32,239 Speaker 1: we need full range so that we can continue to 769 00:35:32,400 --> 00:35:35,880 Speaker 1: work and then maybe in September, after all that runway, 770 00:35:35,920 --> 00:35:38,040 Speaker 1: we'll be able to come back and say that we're 771 00:35:38,040 --> 00:35:39,960 Speaker 1: going to It's like, okay, I've never seen that ever 772 00:35:40,040 --> 00:35:42,600 Speaker 1: happen before. Right, This idea that you're supposed to vote 773 00:35:42,600 --> 00:35:45,439 Speaker 1: for something that funds programs which you yourself are saying 774 00:35:45,440 --> 00:35:47,320 Speaker 1: are bad, now, that's on the Republican side. On the 775 00:35:47,360 --> 00:35:50,520 Speaker 1: Democratic side, it's the opposite. It's, well, why would we 776 00:35:50,600 --> 00:35:53,040 Speaker 1: vote to authorize funding for these programs If you guys 777 00:35:53,080 --> 00:35:55,680 Speaker 1: are just going to decide if you're want so, then 778 00:35:55,719 --> 00:35:57,239 Speaker 1: if you're going to shut it down, then no, we're 779 00:35:57,280 --> 00:35:58,879 Speaker 1: not going to vote for it. So it's a very 780 00:35:59,120 --> 00:36:03,200 Speaker 1: ideologically inconsistent position and genuinely could lead to a shutdown. 781 00:36:03,280 --> 00:36:04,879 Speaker 1: I mean, that's one thing that I think people really 782 00:36:04,880 --> 00:36:07,640 Speaker 1: should pay attention to. Put B three back up there, 783 00:36:07,719 --> 00:36:10,520 Speaker 1: because it's very important to say, like the House Democrats 784 00:36:10,520 --> 00:36:13,000 Speaker 1: are whipping no on this plan. There is a razor 785 00:36:13,160 --> 00:36:16,240 Speaker 1: thin margin right now in the House of Representatives. Massy 786 00:36:16,480 --> 00:36:19,239 Speaker 1: is a no. How is this going to pass through 787 00:36:19,280 --> 00:36:22,600 Speaker 1: the House. And even if it did as we said, 788 00:36:22,880 --> 00:36:25,680 Speaker 1: they're going to have to have some votes that happen 789 00:36:25,800 --> 00:36:28,480 Speaker 1: in the Senate and effectively play chicken. And if they 790 00:36:28,520 --> 00:36:31,359 Speaker 1: do play chicken over this, I'm not sure yet that 791 00:36:31,360 --> 00:36:35,400 Speaker 1: the Democrats wouldn't want to cause a government shutdown because 792 00:36:35,560 --> 00:36:38,200 Speaker 1: I mean, can you think of anything that would send 793 00:36:38,239 --> 00:36:40,719 Speaker 1: the stock markets and all of that even more over 794 00:36:40,760 --> 00:36:43,279 Speaker 1: a cliff? It would be a shutdown, right because of 795 00:36:43,280 --> 00:36:46,160 Speaker 1: how much public money and services and all that are 796 00:36:46,320 --> 00:36:49,920 Speaker 1: the American public is dependent on, So purely from just 797 00:36:50,000 --> 00:36:53,080 Speaker 1: a cynical standpoint, you would want to cause as much 798 00:36:53,200 --> 00:36:55,840 Speaker 1: chaos as possible and just say like, no, we're not 799 00:36:55,840 --> 00:36:57,759 Speaker 1: going to bail you out in a messaging war, I 800 00:36:57,760 --> 00:37:01,319 Speaker 1: don't think you win. My general theory of shutdowns has 801 00:37:01,440 --> 00:37:04,839 Speaker 1: always been that shutdowns always fall on the person who 802 00:37:04,880 --> 00:37:07,480 Speaker 1: is in charge, and as much as the president and 803 00:37:07,520 --> 00:37:10,400 Speaker 1: all of them try always try and campaign against Congress 804 00:37:10,560 --> 00:37:13,400 Speaker 1: unless somebody like Knut Gingrich literally stands up and it's like, 805 00:37:13,480 --> 00:37:15,800 Speaker 1: I'm shutting down the government specifically for this is and 806 00:37:15,880 --> 00:37:17,399 Speaker 1: this You're gonna have a tough time and you're gonna 807 00:37:17,400 --> 00:37:17,680 Speaker 1: eat it. 808 00:37:17,800 --> 00:37:18,759 Speaker 3: I mean, they have a charge. 809 00:37:19,160 --> 00:37:20,759 Speaker 2: No, I know, they're in control, so I mean, I 810 00:37:20,800 --> 00:37:24,359 Speaker 2: think most people just logically can conclude you're in charge 811 00:37:24,360 --> 00:37:26,720 Speaker 2: of the government, so this is probably your fault. 812 00:37:27,160 --> 00:37:28,279 Speaker 3: And I think they know that. 813 00:37:28,360 --> 00:37:30,800 Speaker 2: I mean, they're certainly trying to shift the blame to Democrats, 814 00:37:30,840 --> 00:37:32,440 Speaker 2: but I don't know who could really buy that when 815 00:37:32,480 --> 00:37:36,040 Speaker 2: Democrats don't control the House or the Senate or the 816 00:37:36,080 --> 00:37:39,000 Speaker 2: White House. You know, in terms of the prospects in 817 00:37:39,040 --> 00:37:42,680 Speaker 2: the Senate, there was some hope there on the Republican 818 00:37:42,760 --> 00:37:45,719 Speaker 2: side because Schumer has said things about how Democrats don't 819 00:37:45,719 --> 00:37:47,439 Speaker 2: want to be part of shutting down the government blah 820 00:37:47,480 --> 00:37:51,080 Speaker 2: blah blah, but more and more moderate like sort of 821 00:37:51,120 --> 00:37:55,120 Speaker 2: centristy type Democrats like Mark Warner, like Tim Kaine have 822 00:37:55,200 --> 00:37:57,360 Speaker 2: come out and said, no, we're not we're not helping 823 00:37:57,400 --> 00:37:58,359 Speaker 2: Republicans with this. 824 00:37:58,360 --> 00:37:59,279 Speaker 3: This is all on them. 825 00:37:59,320 --> 00:38:01,440 Speaker 2: So I think hope fading in the Senate too, that 826 00:38:01,520 --> 00:38:04,560 Speaker 2: any Democrats would be likely to go along with maybe 827 00:38:04,560 --> 00:38:07,680 Speaker 2: you'll get a John Fetterman. You never know, you never know, 828 00:38:07,920 --> 00:38:10,200 Speaker 2: you could get a John Fetterman. But in any case, 829 00:38:10,239 --> 00:38:13,360 Speaker 2: it's not looking great for Republicans in terms of Democrats 830 00:38:13,360 --> 00:38:15,800 Speaker 2: helping them out of the jam that they have created 831 00:38:15,800 --> 00:38:18,719 Speaker 2: for themselves. Just to get a sense of the democratic 832 00:38:18,880 --> 00:38:22,799 Speaker 2: messaging on this, we have a clip who is this from? 833 00:38:22,880 --> 00:38:26,360 Speaker 2: I don't remember some congressman that I don't know, McGovern 834 00:38:26,640 --> 00:38:30,799 Speaker 2: congresson McGovern sort of laying out his case, and you know, 835 00:38:30,840 --> 00:38:33,640 Speaker 2: I think this is pretty consistent with overall democratic messaging 836 00:38:33,640 --> 00:38:34,760 Speaker 2: on the Continuing Resolution. 837 00:38:34,840 --> 00:38:35,600 Speaker 3: Let's take a listen. 838 00:38:36,160 --> 00:38:38,760 Speaker 10: I think maybe you guys get a take a refresher 839 00:38:38,800 --> 00:38:41,840 Speaker 10: question at arithmetic. Last time I checked, you have the 840 00:38:41,920 --> 00:38:45,080 Speaker 10: majority in the House and in the Senate, and you 841 00:38:45,120 --> 00:38:48,759 Speaker 10: control the White House. The idea that somehow Democrats have 842 00:38:48,840 --> 00:38:53,080 Speaker 10: the responsibility to pass a CR or any bill quite 843 00:38:53,080 --> 00:38:56,040 Speaker 10: frankly where we don't have any input on I think 844 00:38:56,120 --> 00:38:59,240 Speaker 10: is ridiculous. I mean, you will run around bragging about 845 00:38:59,280 --> 00:39:01,759 Speaker 10: this big man we'll put on your mandate pants and 846 00:39:01,760 --> 00:39:04,759 Speaker 10: pass whatever you want to do, and I think you 847 00:39:04,840 --> 00:39:08,040 Speaker 10: probably will have the votes, because even the so called 848 00:39:08,160 --> 00:39:11,880 Speaker 10: principal Conservators who don't like Sierras, I think they're suffering 849 00:39:11,920 --> 00:39:15,560 Speaker 10: from a case of victorious spots syndrome, where on Monday 850 00:39:15,640 --> 00:39:18,480 Speaker 10: there are hard no and then on Tuesday there are 851 00:39:18,520 --> 00:39:22,560 Speaker 10: hard Yes, they'll cave so, but the idea that somehow 852 00:39:23,360 --> 00:39:25,560 Speaker 10: being in charge means that you don't have to take 853 00:39:25,600 --> 00:39:28,840 Speaker 10: the responsibility of running this place is absurd. 854 00:39:29,760 --> 00:39:33,520 Speaker 2: So he's I think he may be correct there that 855 00:39:33,640 --> 00:39:36,320 Speaker 2: at the end of the day, even the Republican holdowns 856 00:39:36,440 --> 00:39:39,239 Speaker 2: save for Massy, will probably fall in line in the House. 857 00:39:39,880 --> 00:39:41,279 Speaker 3: But for this they did last time. 858 00:39:41,320 --> 00:39:44,240 Speaker 2: And I do think a lot of the Tea Party 859 00:39:44,280 --> 00:39:48,360 Speaker 2: era rebellion is basically over, of course, the combination of 860 00:39:48,400 --> 00:39:51,239 Speaker 2: Trump winning again and winning the popular vote, and the 861 00:39:51,320 --> 00:39:54,600 Speaker 2: just like unbreakable culture personality that he has, and then 862 00:39:54,600 --> 00:39:58,319 Speaker 2: Elon as the enforcer with limitless cash at his disposal, 863 00:39:58,800 --> 00:40:01,560 Speaker 2: like the party is just whatever Trump wants the party 864 00:40:01,600 --> 00:40:03,759 Speaker 2: to be at this point, and so I think there 865 00:40:03,840 --> 00:40:08,160 Speaker 2: is very little appetite even among people like you know, 866 00:40:08,360 --> 00:40:11,640 Speaker 2: Chip Roy or whoever else would position themselves as Freedom 867 00:40:11,680 --> 00:40:14,279 Speaker 2: Caucus or tea party members, et cetera. I think there's 868 00:40:14,560 --> 00:40:18,359 Speaker 2: very little willingness to buck what party leadership wants them 869 00:40:18,400 --> 00:40:18,640 Speaker 2: to do. 870 00:40:18,600 --> 00:40:19,240 Speaker 3: At this point. 871 00:40:19,480 --> 00:40:21,640 Speaker 2: So I wouldn't be surprised if he's correct that almost 872 00:40:21,680 --> 00:40:24,200 Speaker 2: everybody saved for maybe Thomas Massey does end up voting 873 00:40:24,200 --> 00:40:25,040 Speaker 2: for it on the Republicans. 874 00:40:25,120 --> 00:40:27,279 Speaker 1: Do I think this will go down in the House. 875 00:40:27,440 --> 00:40:30,040 Speaker 1: Probably not. I still think the Senate is a huge 876 00:40:30,080 --> 00:40:32,000 Speaker 1: bottleneck for them. I mean, at the end of the 877 00:40:32,080 --> 00:40:35,640 Speaker 1: day too, let's not think so big of Democrats right 878 00:40:36,120 --> 00:40:39,200 Speaker 1: in this moment. They're probably too afraid to shut down 879 00:40:39,200 --> 00:40:41,920 Speaker 1: the government. So will that really happen? I don't think so. 880 00:40:41,960 --> 00:40:44,600 Speaker 1: It's mart fourteenth, but look shut down politics and all that. 881 00:40:44,719 --> 00:40:47,440 Speaker 1: And don't forget this would reauthorize much of the funding 882 00:40:47,719 --> 00:40:51,160 Speaker 1: that the government itself says is fraud, so it doesn't 883 00:40:51,200 --> 00:40:53,520 Speaker 1: make any sense they should have just cut it. That's 884 00:40:53,520 --> 00:40:57,080 Speaker 1: actually Massi's point. He goes, you told us you uncovered fraud, 885 00:40:57,239 --> 00:41:00,080 Speaker 1: so why are you funding it? He's right, Why what 886 00:41:00,080 --> 00:41:03,160 Speaker 1: would you fund it? If the government's position is that 887 00:41:03,239 --> 00:41:06,799 Speaker 1: this is fraud and an unnecessary program, why would you 888 00:41:06,920 --> 00:41:10,319 Speaker 1: reauthorize the fund You're actually wasting money by doing so, 889 00:41:10,440 --> 00:41:12,880 Speaker 1: according to your logic, or it's off. So which is it? 890 00:41:12,920 --> 00:41:15,920 Speaker 1: I mean, just this is the problem with Washington, just 891 00:41:15,960 --> 00:41:18,400 Speaker 1: the hypocrisy of it, where we're not supposed to just 892 00:41:18,440 --> 00:41:21,839 Speaker 1: notice these like basic procedural things. And you know, will 893 00:41:21,880 --> 00:41:25,160 Speaker 1: anybody online who's like pro USAID being shut down and 894 00:41:25,280 --> 00:41:29,080 Speaker 1: pro primary Thomas Massey even pay attention. Probably not, But 895 00:41:29,160 --> 00:41:31,160 Speaker 1: you know, honestly, you should, like, if you're going to 896 00:41:31,200 --> 00:41:33,520 Speaker 1: try and shut these things down and then also call 897 00:41:33,560 --> 00:41:35,759 Speaker 1: out the one guy who's just asking you to be 898 00:41:35,840 --> 00:41:39,400 Speaker 1: ideological consistent, the whole thing is ridiculous. Indeed, all right, 899 00:41:39,480 --> 00:41:40,640 Speaker 1: I hope Massi makes it. 900 00:41:43,200 --> 00:41:43,319 Speaker 3: So. 901 00:41:43,520 --> 00:41:47,279 Speaker 2: We continue to get recriminations from the Israelis over the 902 00:41:47,400 --> 00:41:50,960 Speaker 2: US's decision to negotiate directly with Hamas. Specifically, it was 903 00:41:51,040 --> 00:41:55,520 Speaker 2: US President Trump's hostage envoy Adam Bohler who negotiated with 904 00:41:55,560 --> 00:41:58,600 Speaker 2: Hamas and made some very interesting comments in a recent 905 00:41:58,680 --> 00:41:59,439 Speaker 2: cable news segment. 906 00:41:59,520 --> 00:42:00,239 Speaker 3: Let's take a some. 907 00:42:00,280 --> 00:42:03,799 Speaker 6: Of those understand why N's on Yahoo Dermer Others might 908 00:42:03,800 --> 00:42:04,320 Speaker 6: be upset. 909 00:42:05,840 --> 00:42:06,759 Speaker 1: I do understand. 910 00:42:07,480 --> 00:42:11,240 Speaker 11: I spoke with Ron, and I'm sympathetic. He has someone 911 00:42:11,280 --> 00:42:14,600 Speaker 11: that he doesn't know well making direct contact with the moss. 912 00:42:14,840 --> 00:42:17,480 Speaker 11: Maybe I would see them and say, look, they don't 913 00:42:17,480 --> 00:42:18,879 Speaker 11: have horns growing out of their head. 914 00:42:19,400 --> 00:42:20,520 Speaker 3: They're actually guys like us. 915 00:42:20,560 --> 00:42:24,680 Speaker 11: They're pretty nice guys. So he doesn't know me, and 916 00:42:24,719 --> 00:42:27,400 Speaker 11: there are big stakes. He lives in a country where 917 00:42:27,480 --> 00:42:30,480 Speaker 11: if it sets certain precedents then it will hurt or 918 00:42:30,520 --> 00:42:33,040 Speaker 11: help a lot of other people. So I understand the 919 00:42:33,120 --> 00:42:36,719 Speaker 11: consternation and the concern, and I wasn't upset. At the 920 00:42:36,760 --> 00:42:41,200 Speaker 11: same time, were the United States, We're not an agent 921 00:42:41,239 --> 00:42:44,000 Speaker 11: of Israel. We have specific interests at play. 922 00:42:44,440 --> 00:42:47,359 Speaker 2: So there were two comments there that caught a lot 923 00:42:47,360 --> 00:42:47,880 Speaker 2: of attention. 924 00:42:48,040 --> 00:42:49,200 Speaker 3: One him saying what. 925 00:42:49,400 --> 00:42:52,440 Speaker 2: Should be just obvious statement of fact, which is we 926 00:42:52,520 --> 00:42:54,640 Speaker 2: are the United States and not an agent of Israel. 927 00:42:54,719 --> 00:42:57,480 Speaker 2: I'm not sure that that also always plays out in practice, 928 00:42:57,640 --> 00:43:00,319 Speaker 2: as we'll cover in our next segment about what's going 929 00:43:00,360 --> 00:43:03,880 Speaker 2: on with deportations. But the other one is he said 930 00:43:04,239 --> 00:43:07,680 Speaker 2: that he's they're worried. Ron Dermer is Bbi's one of 931 00:43:07,719 --> 00:43:11,120 Speaker 2: his top aids is worried that he may realize in 932 00:43:11,160 --> 00:43:14,360 Speaker 2: meeting with Hamas that quote, they don't have horns growing 933 00:43:14,360 --> 00:43:17,000 Speaker 2: out of their heads. They're actually pretty nice guys, guys 934 00:43:17,080 --> 00:43:20,800 Speaker 2: like us. So Yeah, this caused a lot of concern. 935 00:43:22,080 --> 00:43:25,720 Speaker 2: Durmer was upset. Boehler sort of walked back the comments 936 00:43:25,760 --> 00:43:28,480 Speaker 2: about the maybe they will find out that they're pretty 937 00:43:28,520 --> 00:43:33,080 Speaker 2: nice guys. We also have some insight that apparently during 938 00:43:33,120 --> 00:43:36,680 Speaker 2: a Security Cabinet meeting on Sunday, Dermer said that he 939 00:43:36,800 --> 00:43:39,600 Speaker 2: was assured the meetings with Hamas did not represent the 940 00:43:39,600 --> 00:43:43,680 Speaker 2: Trump administration's position. He also told ministers they received assurances 941 00:43:43,680 --> 00:43:46,320 Speaker 2: from the Trump administration that a quote won't happen again 942 00:43:46,800 --> 00:43:48,880 Speaker 2: and that Witkoff will be the only channel for the 943 00:43:48,920 --> 00:43:53,440 Speaker 2: negotiations over the hostages. Also some indications that I mean, 944 00:43:53,520 --> 00:43:56,520 Speaker 2: certainly they weren't able to strike a direct deal, but 945 00:43:56,680 --> 00:43:58,600 Speaker 2: you know, I mean, I think in principle you should 946 00:43:58,640 --> 00:44:01,759 Speaker 2: be negotiating with the parties who are involved in the negotiations. 947 00:44:01,760 --> 00:44:03,040 Speaker 3: That seems like it makes sense to me. 948 00:44:03,400 --> 00:44:06,400 Speaker 2: But you know, Trump administration, after getting a slap on 949 00:44:06,440 --> 00:44:08,399 Speaker 2: the rist here from Israel, seems to be pulling back 950 00:44:08,440 --> 00:44:08,960 Speaker 2: from that a bit. 951 00:44:09,160 --> 00:44:12,040 Speaker 1: Yeah, exactly, And let's put the Wall Street Journal piece 952 00:44:12,160 --> 00:44:14,640 Speaker 1: up on the screen, because this is actually kind of amazing, 953 00:44:14,760 --> 00:44:18,680 Speaker 1: you know, as you said, inside of Israel, they he 954 00:44:18,719 --> 00:44:21,600 Speaker 1: actually went Adam Mueller on Israeli television to say his 955 00:44:21,680 --> 00:44:24,840 Speaker 1: main goal was just the release of the last American hostage. 956 00:44:25,040 --> 00:44:29,000 Speaker 1: But the Israeli public broadcasters were then basically furious with 957 00:44:29,160 --> 00:44:31,759 Speaker 1: him because they had told he had told them that 958 00:44:31,800 --> 00:44:34,600 Speaker 1: they had offered a five to ten year truce under 959 00:44:34,640 --> 00:44:37,160 Speaker 1: which they would release all of the hostages, and he 960 00:44:37,239 --> 00:44:40,840 Speaker 1: called it quote not a bad first offer, which is 961 00:44:41,200 --> 00:44:44,800 Speaker 1: where people really started to lose it. Now, it's still 962 00:44:44,880 --> 00:44:48,640 Speaker 1: unclear how much Bohler speaks for the administration. Donald Trump 963 00:44:48,640 --> 00:44:52,279 Speaker 1: backed him up. Yesterday, Secretary of State Marco Rubio kind 964 00:44:52,280 --> 00:44:54,000 Speaker 1: of has downplayed him a little bit. Let's put c 965 00:44:54,120 --> 00:44:56,120 Speaker 1: three guys, can we up on the screen. He said 966 00:44:56,160 --> 00:44:58,880 Speaker 1: that the US hostage direct meeting with Hamas was quote 967 00:44:59,040 --> 00:45:03,319 Speaker 1: a one off. They're affirming that Steve Witkoff is the sole, like, 968 00:45:03,520 --> 00:45:06,600 Speaker 1: you know, major representative representative of the US government in 969 00:45:06,640 --> 00:45:10,520 Speaker 1: their talks with Hamas. But Boehler still is receiving back 970 00:45:10,600 --> 00:45:13,040 Speaker 1: up from the administration. One of the reasons why is 971 00:45:13,080 --> 00:45:15,239 Speaker 1: I looked into his background. He previously worked on the 972 00:45:15,320 --> 00:45:17,239 Speaker 1: Abraham Accords, and it does appear as you've got a 973 00:45:17,239 --> 00:45:19,320 Speaker 1: lot of trust in at least in some of the 974 00:45:19,360 --> 00:45:21,600 Speaker 1: closest circles. I think he also worked with Jared Kushner. 975 00:45:21,840 --> 00:45:26,560 Speaker 1: So basically, with all of that together, what we're seeing 976 00:45:26,800 --> 00:45:31,320 Speaker 1: is there's a split between actual like Israeli foreign policy 977 00:45:31,360 --> 00:45:35,520 Speaker 1: goals and at least rhetorically in where the Trump administration is. 978 00:45:35,800 --> 00:45:39,279 Speaker 1: I did see z say and suggest it's possible that 979 00:45:39,400 --> 00:45:43,560 Speaker 1: one reason Trump is ramping up this deportation of these 980 00:45:43,560 --> 00:45:47,440 Speaker 1: Palestinian students is specifically because he is behind the scenes 981 00:45:47,480 --> 00:45:50,640 Speaker 1: pursuing a lot of policy where even the Zionists people 982 00:45:50,680 --> 00:45:54,440 Speaker 1: will admit this, like if Biden Todd direct talks with Hamas, 983 00:45:54,560 --> 00:45:57,520 Speaker 1: they would lose. Like you would find Tom Cotton and 984 00:45:57,560 --> 00:46:00,759 Speaker 1: all those people screaming from the rooftop here there and 985 00:46:00,800 --> 00:46:03,759 Speaker 1: they're saying nothing because they can't really right. Yeah, So 986 00:46:03,960 --> 00:46:07,399 Speaker 1: I do think it's fascinating to watch this all play out, 987 00:46:07,440 --> 00:46:09,879 Speaker 1: and listen, I'm cheering for this more than anybody else, 988 00:46:09,960 --> 00:46:12,759 Speaker 1: like to have a guy, like a United States representative 989 00:46:12,760 --> 00:46:15,280 Speaker 1: to finally just say we're not an agent of Israel 990 00:46:15,280 --> 00:46:18,399 Speaker 1: and we have sometimes diversity interests. Just saying that, I mean, 991 00:46:18,440 --> 00:46:23,000 Speaker 1: you know, the Zionists, like the Zionist people online, were 992 00:46:23,040 --> 00:46:27,720 Speaker 1: just absolutely furious with him for stating a basic fact 993 00:46:28,040 --> 00:46:31,360 Speaker 1: of national interest on behalf of the United States government 994 00:46:31,520 --> 00:46:35,280 Speaker 1: or that negotiating with terrorists. It's like, oh my god, again, 995 00:46:35,640 --> 00:46:37,799 Speaker 1: they are the people who are in control. What are 996 00:46:37,840 --> 00:46:40,600 Speaker 1: we supposed to do? They're holding our people. Of course 997 00:46:40,640 --> 00:46:42,440 Speaker 1: we would talk to them. Who wo, we be idiots 998 00:46:42,480 --> 00:46:45,800 Speaker 1: not to unless you don't care about the hostages. Oh okay, 999 00:46:45,840 --> 00:46:48,200 Speaker 1: all right, it's very interesting, isn't it. So there's a 1000 00:46:48,239 --> 00:46:50,839 Speaker 1: lot going on behind the scenes, a lot of you know, 1001 00:46:50,960 --> 00:46:51,600 Speaker 1: what do you think? 1002 00:46:51,640 --> 00:46:53,440 Speaker 3: And I mean, I don't know's. 1003 00:46:53,560 --> 00:46:55,640 Speaker 2: There's also a lot of vibes here too, of sort 1004 00:46:55,640 --> 00:46:59,720 Speaker 2: of like the Biden administration. Oh, Netanya, who's really upset 1005 00:46:59,760 --> 00:47:02,719 Speaker 2: with us? You know, like leaked the leaked conversations. Oh, 1006 00:47:02,760 --> 00:47:05,279 Speaker 2: they're really upset with us this time. Like Biden's really 1007 00:47:05,280 --> 00:47:07,800 Speaker 2: pushing Bebe and he's really you know, standing up for 1008 00:47:07,840 --> 00:47:09,960 Speaker 2: American interest. So it does have a little bit of 1009 00:47:10,000 --> 00:47:13,479 Speaker 2: those vibes reducts for me as well. Rubio ultimately said, 1010 00:47:13,480 --> 00:47:15,759 Speaker 2: the full quote was that was a one off situation 1011 00:47:15,960 --> 00:47:18,480 Speaker 2: in which our special envoy for hostages, whose job it 1012 00:47:18,520 --> 00:47:20,960 Speaker 2: is to get people released, had an opportunity to talk 1013 00:47:20,960 --> 00:47:22,920 Speaker 2: directly to someone who has control over these people and 1014 00:47:23,000 --> 00:47:25,960 Speaker 2: was given permission and couraged to do so. He did so. 1015 00:47:25,960 --> 00:47:28,880 Speaker 2: So you know again emphasia as a one off. It 1016 00:47:28,880 --> 00:47:31,759 Speaker 2: didn't bear fruit. We won't do it again. It's just 1017 00:47:31,800 --> 00:47:34,520 Speaker 2: gonna be wit Coff who you deal with going forward, 1018 00:47:34,560 --> 00:47:35,040 Speaker 2: et cetera. 1019 00:47:35,560 --> 00:47:36,000 Speaker 3: I don't know. 1020 00:47:36,120 --> 00:47:38,759 Speaker 2: It feels like they're more or less walking back this 1021 00:47:38,840 --> 00:47:41,520 Speaker 2: approach that they were taking and the reason it made 1022 00:47:41,640 --> 00:47:45,640 Speaker 2: the Israeli so nervous and Smochrich actually made some comments 1023 00:47:45,680 --> 00:47:49,880 Speaker 2: to this effect. He said he that Bowler sought to 1024 00:47:49,920 --> 00:47:53,680 Speaker 2: conduct negotiations to free American hostages on his own accord 1025 00:47:53,960 --> 00:47:57,440 Speaker 2: and called it an utter mistake. The issue there is 1026 00:47:57,680 --> 00:48:02,040 Speaker 2: they're concerned that Trump and Bowler and Witcough and whoever 1027 00:48:02,320 --> 00:48:04,319 Speaker 2: are just going to go be like, Okay, we'll make 1028 00:48:04,320 --> 00:48:06,520 Speaker 2: a deal with you for our American hostages and then 1029 00:48:06,560 --> 00:48:08,839 Speaker 2: good luck with y'all with the rest of this whole thing. 1030 00:48:09,120 --> 00:48:11,640 Speaker 2: Do I think that's likely what happens. No, But that's 1031 00:48:11,680 --> 00:48:15,279 Speaker 2: their concern. And the other thing is that Bibe has 1032 00:48:15,320 --> 00:48:18,719 Speaker 2: positioned himself like, oh, my first paramount concern is the 1033 00:48:18,719 --> 00:48:22,640 Speaker 2: return of the hostages. That has obviously never been the case. 1034 00:48:23,200 --> 00:48:27,480 Speaker 2: But if the Trump administration actually followed through with the policy, 1035 00:48:27,680 --> 00:48:31,960 Speaker 2: where the primary goal actually was the return of the hostages. Well, 1036 00:48:32,000 --> 00:48:35,160 Speaker 2: that would move us forward significantly in terms of, you know, 1037 00:48:35,200 --> 00:48:38,600 Speaker 2: continuing to phase two of this agreement, trying to actually 1038 00:48:38,680 --> 00:48:43,000 Speaker 2: wrap down this war, etc. Because right now bib is 1039 00:48:43,200 --> 00:48:45,360 Speaker 2: you know, doing exactly what he promised to do, not 1040 00:48:45,480 --> 00:48:49,040 Speaker 2: moving forward with negotiations and threatening to restart the war. 1041 00:48:49,680 --> 00:48:51,399 Speaker 2: We also know, you know, the other piece to add 1042 00:48:51,400 --> 00:48:54,759 Speaker 2: into this is that the Trump administration is backing the 1043 00:48:55,239 --> 00:48:59,680 Speaker 2: new siege on Gaza, where humanitarian aid is being blocked 1044 00:48:59,760 --> 00:49:03,799 Speaker 2: and now electricity is being cut off, which is incredibly significant, 1045 00:49:04,120 --> 00:49:07,200 Speaker 2: not just for you know, electricity being important in general 1046 00:49:07,280 --> 00:49:11,359 Speaker 2: and hospitals needing electricity, et cetera, but you also need 1047 00:49:11,440 --> 00:49:16,600 Speaker 2: electricity to be able to you know, purify water, and 1048 00:49:16,840 --> 00:49:19,960 Speaker 2: it would cut off some seventy percent of access to 1049 00:49:20,000 --> 00:49:22,840 Speaker 2: water in the Gaza strips. So the Trump administration is 1050 00:49:22,880 --> 00:49:25,600 Speaker 2: backing them in that particular policy, which is obviously a 1051 00:49:25,640 --> 00:49:29,520 Speaker 2: collective punishment of war crime and porrent and counter to 1052 00:49:29,920 --> 00:49:33,080 Speaker 2: the direction of wanting to resolve this issue and move forward. 1053 00:49:33,200 --> 00:49:35,880 Speaker 2: So I don't know, I continue to be not terribly hopeful. 1054 00:49:36,040 --> 00:49:39,319 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, I'm not hopeful in the sense of 1055 00:49:39,440 --> 00:49:43,360 Speaker 1: my ideal. I am somewhat hopeful for having a envoy. 1056 00:49:43,400 --> 00:49:45,839 Speaker 1: He says, we're not your client state. And while yes, 1057 00:49:45,920 --> 00:49:48,719 Speaker 1: they may support this if they were able to get 1058 00:49:48,719 --> 00:49:51,360 Speaker 1: some sort of five to ten year truce, which clearly 1059 00:49:51,440 --> 00:49:53,759 Speaker 1: these Raelis are freaking out about because they're wondering if 1060 00:49:53,800 --> 00:49:57,000 Speaker 1: that's even a remote possibility. We went from basically zero 1061 00:49:57,120 --> 00:49:59,320 Speaker 1: chance I think under Biden to I don't know what 1062 00:49:59,560 --> 00:50:02,919 Speaker 1: fifteen two percent that's high enough. Yeah, Phase two right 1063 00:50:02,960 --> 00:50:06,000 Speaker 1: now is still up in the air. I wouldn't bet 1064 00:50:06,040 --> 00:50:09,279 Speaker 1: on it per se, but Wakoff is still dedicated to it. 1065 00:50:09,480 --> 00:50:11,960 Speaker 1: Trump has not yet mentioned we're going to take over 1066 00:50:12,040 --> 00:50:14,520 Speaker 1: Gaza in what the last like ten fifteen days or so. 1067 00:50:14,760 --> 00:50:16,600 Speaker 1: I'm hopeful that he didn't say anything in the State 1068 00:50:16,640 --> 00:50:18,680 Speaker 1: of the Union. All right. Ever, since that stupid video 1069 00:50:18,719 --> 00:50:21,920 Speaker 1: of bearded women and woke Gaza gone woke, haven't heard 1070 00:50:21,960 --> 00:50:24,839 Speaker 1: anything from the guy, So maybe you know there's something 1071 00:50:24,880 --> 00:50:29,120 Speaker 1: there right now. Actually, Secretary of Rubio is in Saudi 1072 00:50:29,160 --> 00:50:32,839 Speaker 1: Arabia meeting with the Ukrainians. But importantly, the readout from 1073 00:50:32,840 --> 00:50:36,239 Speaker 1: his meeting with MBS was that they discussed the reconstruction 1074 00:50:36,560 --> 00:50:39,160 Speaker 1: of Gaza. Don't forget that the dream of the Trump 1075 00:50:39,200 --> 00:50:42,480 Speaker 1: administration is Saudi is really normalization deal, of which the 1076 00:50:42,520 --> 00:50:45,120 Speaker 1: Saudi say they will not sign unless there is a 1077 00:50:45,320 --> 00:50:48,680 Speaker 1: free God or at least a different gaza under either 1078 00:50:48,719 --> 00:50:51,800 Speaker 1: the Palestinian authority or some sort of separate political entity. 1079 00:50:51,880 --> 00:50:53,640 Speaker 1: So they have a lot of different, you know, things 1080 00:50:53,640 --> 00:50:56,759 Speaker 1: that are pressing against them from the uae Emir, who 1081 00:50:56,800 --> 00:51:00,160 Speaker 1: is also very close with the Trump administration, and the 1082 00:51:00,200 --> 00:51:02,080 Speaker 1: Nowadiys of course have a ton of money that they 1083 00:51:02,360 --> 00:51:05,080 Speaker 1: very easily can deploy not only in our politics, but 1084 00:51:05,239 --> 00:51:08,239 Speaker 1: they can effect the Ukraine situation as well. Part of 1085 00:51:08,239 --> 00:51:10,640 Speaker 1: the reason that these talks are happening in Riod literally 1086 00:51:10,680 --> 00:51:13,000 Speaker 1: as we speak. Yeah, oh, I'm not discounting all that 1087 00:51:13,239 --> 00:51:13,960 Speaker 1: just yet. You know. 1088 00:51:14,120 --> 00:51:17,000 Speaker 2: I just to go back to Buller's comments about like, oh, 1089 00:51:17,040 --> 00:51:19,279 Speaker 2: they're worried that we're going to realize there are good guys, 1090 00:51:19,320 --> 00:51:21,239 Speaker 2: they don't have horns coming out of their heads or whatever. 1091 00:51:21,320 --> 00:51:23,160 Speaker 2: I actually think that comment is really revealing, and I 1092 00:51:23,239 --> 00:51:24,839 Speaker 2: think it does speak exactly to. 1093 00:51:24,840 --> 00:51:28,120 Speaker 3: Why there is such a prohibition on. 1094 00:51:28,360 --> 00:51:32,720 Speaker 2: They were very upset when Witkoff went to Gaza, obviously 1095 00:51:32,840 --> 00:51:37,160 Speaker 2: very upset about the direct talks with Hamas because you know, 1096 00:51:37,320 --> 00:51:42,040 Speaker 2: the Natan Yahoo has built his political career on making 1097 00:51:42,080 --> 00:51:45,360 Speaker 2: Hamas the ultimate boogeyman that you can never talk to, 1098 00:51:45,400 --> 00:51:47,879 Speaker 2: you can never negotiate. As long as they're there, there's 1099 00:51:47,920 --> 00:51:51,319 Speaker 2: no partner for peace. They're just like the epitome of 1100 00:51:51,680 --> 00:51:54,960 Speaker 2: absolute evil. And I know I'm not here to like 1101 00:51:55,239 --> 00:51:57,440 Speaker 2: whitewash or sanitize Hmas and what they're all about and 1102 00:51:57,480 --> 00:51:59,440 Speaker 2: the things that they've done or whatever. But you know, 1103 00:51:59,440 --> 00:52:04,000 Speaker 2: when you're actually sitting face to face with members of 1104 00:52:04,040 --> 00:52:06,880 Speaker 2: that group and you're talking to them, and they're explaining 1105 00:52:06,920 --> 00:52:10,120 Speaker 2: their reasoning and they're staking out positions and negotiating you 1106 00:52:10,320 --> 00:52:12,839 Speaker 2: with you like they are human beings, because they are, 1107 00:52:13,440 --> 00:52:16,520 Speaker 2: it makes it much more difficult to maintain. 1108 00:52:16,200 --> 00:52:17,880 Speaker 3: That caricature and have its stick. 1109 00:52:18,160 --> 00:52:20,720 Speaker 2: And it's such an important part both of Beebe's power 1110 00:52:20,840 --> 00:52:25,759 Speaker 2: and of you know, overall Hasbara propaganda campaigns that I 1111 00:52:25,800 --> 00:52:29,160 Speaker 2: think that is that really does speak to why they're 1112 00:52:29,200 --> 00:52:32,200 Speaker 2: such a freak out at the mere idea of any 1113 00:52:32,280 --> 00:52:34,920 Speaker 2: American representative meeting face to face with Hamas. 1114 00:52:35,040 --> 00:52:39,080 Speaker 1: Yeah, so we'll see. I'm definitely enjoying some of the 1115 00:52:39,080 --> 00:52:41,640 Speaker 1: freak out that's going on over there. And if Trump 1116 00:52:41,680 --> 00:52:44,160 Speaker 1: wants to go more in this direction, be my guest. 1117 00:52:44,800 --> 00:52:47,560 Speaker 1: The problem, as you know, is that there is a 1118 00:52:47,880 --> 00:52:51,680 Speaker 1: major political force here in this town where even the 1119 00:52:51,719 --> 00:52:55,080 Speaker 1: mere suggestion of this the light up, you know, the phone, 1120 00:52:55,520 --> 00:52:58,400 Speaker 1: Marco Rubio. Can you imagine, you know, all of the 1121 00:52:58,400 --> 00:53:01,399 Speaker 1: people calling people like Mere Adelson and others and their 1122 00:53:01,400 --> 00:53:05,400 Speaker 1: pressure points over there. So there is a massive pressure 1123 00:53:05,440 --> 00:53:10,120 Speaker 1: campaign in Washington outside of Washington trying to basically derail 1124 00:53:10,280 --> 00:53:13,239 Speaker 1: any of this. Their dream is basically just blank check 1125 00:53:13,520 --> 00:53:15,920 Speaker 1: to Israel and then basically in an abandonment of a 1126 00:53:15,920 --> 00:53:19,920 Speaker 1: lot of this hostage negotiation period, right, And so for 1127 00:53:20,040 --> 00:53:23,480 Speaker 1: them watching them go from their wildest dream of America 1128 00:53:23,600 --> 00:53:25,600 Speaker 1: is going to take over Gaza to no, we're talking 1129 00:53:25,640 --> 00:53:27,799 Speaker 1: about Hamas in a five ten year truce. It must 1130 00:53:27,800 --> 00:53:30,640 Speaker 1: be dizzying, and they're trying everything they possibly can to 1131 00:53:30,680 --> 00:53:31,640 Speaker 1: push back against it. 1132 00:53:34,320 --> 00:53:37,120 Speaker 2: The next segment cuts against the idea that we aren't 1133 00:53:37,160 --> 00:53:41,000 Speaker 2: an agent of Israel, since we are apparently crushing people's 1134 00:53:41,000 --> 00:53:43,640 Speaker 2: free speech rights in service of making sure they can 1135 00:53:43,640 --> 00:53:47,320 Speaker 2: never criticize a foreign government. Yesterday we covered the story 1136 00:53:47,360 --> 00:53:52,040 Speaker 2: of Mahmun Khalil. He's a Columbia University graduate student who 1137 00:53:52,560 --> 00:53:55,399 Speaker 2: is a Green card holder so, a permanent resident of 1138 00:53:55,400 --> 00:53:58,000 Speaker 2: the United States who was a leader in the pro 1139 00:53:58,120 --> 00:54:03,160 Speaker 2: Palestine protest on Columbia's campus. He was arrested, reportedly without 1140 00:54:03,520 --> 00:54:08,720 Speaker 2: a warrant and put into a DHS facility and slated 1141 00:54:08,880 --> 00:54:13,000 Speaker 2: for deportation based on his protest activities. Now, we actually 1142 00:54:13,040 --> 00:54:16,560 Speaker 2: haven't gotten really any specifics from the administration about exactly 1143 00:54:16,600 --> 00:54:18,560 Speaker 2: why they targeted this guy, although we'll get to that 1144 00:54:18,640 --> 00:54:21,319 Speaker 2: in a minute, of why he ended up probably being 1145 00:54:21,600 --> 00:54:22,880 Speaker 2: at the top of their list. 1146 00:54:23,239 --> 00:54:24,240 Speaker 3: But we did get. 1147 00:54:24,120 --> 00:54:27,680 Speaker 2: Some what I considered to be encouraging news here, which 1148 00:54:27,760 --> 00:54:31,840 Speaker 2: is that yesterday a judge weighed in on this case. 1149 00:54:32,120 --> 00:54:34,439 Speaker 2: I was concerned that we weren't even going to get 1150 00:54:34,440 --> 00:54:38,040 Speaker 2: to like an immigration judge or going through normal due process, 1151 00:54:38,080 --> 00:54:39,920 Speaker 2: which you know, if you are a Green card holder, 1152 00:54:40,200 --> 00:54:43,920 Speaker 2: you have most of the rights of a US citizen, 1153 00:54:44,000 --> 00:54:46,759 Speaker 2: including certainly rights to due process. So we can put 1154 00:54:46,760 --> 00:54:49,920 Speaker 2: this important update on the screen here. Ryan has been 1155 00:54:49,920 --> 00:54:52,560 Speaker 2: following this closely, so he says, a federal judge has 1156 00:54:52,600 --> 00:54:56,640 Speaker 2: temporarily blocked the deportation of Mahmu Khalil, the Columbia protester 1157 00:54:56,760 --> 00:55:00,920 Speaker 2: detained by the Trump administration, and they also ordered that 1158 00:55:01,080 --> 00:55:04,000 Speaker 2: Council for all Parties appear for a conference with the 1159 00:55:04,000 --> 00:55:08,479 Speaker 2: Court on March twelfth at eleven thirty am in New York. 1160 00:55:08,640 --> 00:55:11,160 Speaker 2: And they said Council must confirm advance of the conference 1161 00:55:11,200 --> 00:55:14,440 Speaker 2: to submit a joint letter no later than today March eleventh, 1162 00:55:14,880 --> 00:55:18,759 Speaker 2: So you know they are intervening here swiftly. They also 1163 00:55:18,760 --> 00:55:21,920 Speaker 2: said they needed to preserve the court's jurisdiction pending a 1164 00:55:22,040 --> 00:55:25,440 Speaker 2: ruling on the petition, the petitioner shall not be removed 1165 00:55:25,760 --> 00:55:27,279 Speaker 2: from the United States and less and. 1166 00:55:27,320 --> 00:55:28,800 Speaker 3: Until the Court orders otherwise. 1167 00:55:28,840 --> 00:55:30,600 Speaker 2: So there seems to have been some concern here Soger, 1168 00:55:30,760 --> 00:55:34,320 Speaker 2: that the administration was just going to deport him before 1169 00:55:34,560 --> 00:55:37,680 Speaker 2: the justice system the immigration courts had a chance to 1170 00:55:37,840 --> 00:55:40,600 Speaker 2: weigh in on whether or not this was a lawful 1171 00:55:40,760 --> 00:55:45,680 Speaker 2: revocation of his green card holder status. Trump administration though 1172 00:55:45,800 --> 00:55:50,239 Speaker 2: certainly doubling down, tripling down, quadrupling down, whatever. We've got 1173 00:55:50,239 --> 00:55:53,239 Speaker 2: a couple of messages here from both Trump directly and 1174 00:55:53,320 --> 00:55:55,239 Speaker 2: from the White House account as well. 1175 00:55:55,239 --> 00:55:56,560 Speaker 3: It can put this up on the screen. 1176 00:55:56,960 --> 00:56:00,719 Speaker 2: Trump posted this on truth following my I previously signed 1177 00:56:00,760 --> 00:56:04,560 Speaker 2: executive orders. Ice proudly apprehended and de tayed machmu Khalil 1178 00:56:04,880 --> 00:56:08,000 Speaker 2: a radical foreign pro hamas student on the campus of 1179 00:56:08,040 --> 00:56:10,759 Speaker 2: Columbia University. By the way, it was also revealed that 1180 00:56:10,840 --> 00:56:13,920 Speaker 2: the DHS agent who arrested him was one of the 1181 00:56:15,040 --> 00:56:18,680 Speaker 2: guest special guests that Trump honored at the State of 1182 00:56:18,719 --> 00:56:21,239 Speaker 2: the Union, so you've got that as well. He goes 1183 00:56:21,239 --> 00:56:23,120 Speaker 2: on to say, this is the first arrest of many 1184 00:56:23,160 --> 00:56:25,960 Speaker 2: to come. We know there are more students at Columbia 1185 00:56:25,960 --> 00:56:29,040 Speaker 2: and other universities across the country who engaged in pro terrorists, 1186 00:56:29,400 --> 00:56:33,920 Speaker 2: anti Semitic, anti American activity, and the Trump administration will 1187 00:56:33,960 --> 00:56:36,719 Speaker 2: not tolerate it. Many are not students, they are paid agitators. 1188 00:56:36,760 --> 00:56:39,359 Speaker 2: We will find apprehended to port these terrorist sympathizers from 1189 00:56:39,360 --> 00:56:42,120 Speaker 2: our country, never to return again. If you support terrorism, 1190 00:56:42,160 --> 00:56:44,840 Speaker 2: including the slaughtering of innocent men, women, and children, your presence, 1191 00:56:44,840 --> 00:56:47,200 Speaker 2: it's contrary to our national foreign policy interest. You are 1192 00:56:47,200 --> 00:56:50,320 Speaker 2: not welcome here. We expect every one of America's colleges 1193 00:56:50,360 --> 00:56:53,160 Speaker 2: and universities to comply. Thank you, and then put the 1194 00:56:53,160 --> 00:56:57,239 Speaker 2: next one up on the screen, specifically targeting Mahmoud. The 1195 00:56:57,440 --> 00:56:59,880 Speaker 2: White House account put out this image of him that 1196 00:57:00,080 --> 00:57:03,680 Speaker 2: says Shalom machmod and then has a quote from Trump 1197 00:57:03,840 --> 00:57:07,120 Speaker 2: that says we will find, apprehend, and deport these terrorist 1198 00:57:07,160 --> 00:57:10,880 Speaker 2: sympathizers from our country, never to return again. 1199 00:57:11,080 --> 00:57:13,640 Speaker 1: President Donald White House the United States using a Hebrew 1200 00:57:13,719 --> 00:57:15,799 Speaker 1: term interesting. Okay, all right, got it. 1201 00:57:16,360 --> 00:57:17,840 Speaker 3: But we're not agents of Israel. 1202 00:57:17,840 --> 00:57:22,560 Speaker 1: Don't worry like this whole thing is preposterous. Uh, and 1203 00:57:23,880 --> 00:57:26,960 Speaker 1: just looking, you know, why don't we play his words? 1204 00:57:27,040 --> 00:57:31,000 Speaker 1: I think that's important because everybody's talking about him, uh, characterizing, 1205 00:57:31,000 --> 00:57:34,680 Speaker 1: et cetera. Here this was from an oppo account. I 1206 00:57:34,680 --> 00:57:37,080 Speaker 1: want to make everybody clear on that this was posted 1207 00:57:37,360 --> 00:57:40,640 Speaker 1: by somebody who was making the case for why you should. 1208 00:57:40,400 --> 00:57:43,320 Speaker 2: Be Yeah, so this is a cherry pick us they like, 1209 00:57:43,720 --> 00:57:44,600 Speaker 2: oh see. 1210 00:57:44,400 --> 00:57:44,920 Speaker 3: How reasonable. 1211 00:57:45,040 --> 00:57:47,880 Speaker 2: No, this is the people who want to depoort him, right, 1212 00:57:48,000 --> 00:57:51,360 Speaker 2: compiling online dossiers of what they consider to be the 1213 00:57:51,360 --> 00:57:53,080 Speaker 2: worst things that they could find. 1214 00:57:53,120 --> 00:57:54,320 Speaker 1: So let's find it that he did. 1215 00:57:54,480 --> 00:57:56,560 Speaker 3: So this is c ten guys, let's go ahead and 1216 00:57:56,600 --> 00:57:56,920 Speaker 3: play it. 1217 00:57:57,360 --> 00:58:00,280 Speaker 6: Are you guys going to listen to the university and 1218 00:58:00,960 --> 00:58:01,880 Speaker 6: lead the in cam in here? 1219 00:58:01,960 --> 00:58:04,000 Speaker 9: Of course not. The university is the one who should 1220 00:58:04,000 --> 00:58:06,160 Speaker 9: listen to us. They should listen to their student body 1221 00:58:06,280 --> 00:58:09,720 Speaker 9: who are demanding to end their their investment and the 1222 00:58:09,760 --> 00:58:13,040 Speaker 9: war that's happening in Palestine. Our our demands are clear. 1223 00:58:13,080 --> 00:58:17,480 Speaker 9: Our demands are regarding the investment from from the Israeli occupation, 1224 00:58:17,680 --> 00:58:21,440 Speaker 9: the companies that are profiting and and contributing to the 1225 00:58:21,480 --> 00:58:26,080 Speaker 9: genocide of our people. Again the university. Uh, once again, 1226 00:58:26,160 --> 00:58:29,520 Speaker 9: they are so stubborn and and listening to their students. 1227 00:58:29,800 --> 00:58:29,960 Speaker 1: Uh. 1228 00:58:30,000 --> 00:58:33,000 Speaker 9: They they they are treating this matter as a disciplinary matter. 1229 00:58:33,080 --> 00:58:33,360 Speaker 4: They're not. 1230 00:58:33,480 --> 00:58:36,040 Speaker 9: They're not treating this as an anti war movement, an 1231 00:58:36,080 --> 00:58:40,640 Speaker 9: anti war movement that that actually gathered thousands of students here. 1232 00:58:40,440 --> 00:58:44,480 Speaker 9: They that actually sparked thousands of students across the United States. 1233 00:58:44,720 --> 00:58:48,280 Speaker 1: How far are you all willing to go here on campus. 1234 00:58:48,480 --> 00:58:50,600 Speaker 9: We're going to go as far as as as we 1235 00:58:50,680 --> 00:58:54,560 Speaker 9: need to to to pressure the university from from from 1236 00:58:54,600 --> 00:58:58,040 Speaker 9: the pressure the university today invest from from the occupation. 1237 00:58:58,480 --> 00:58:58,680 Speaker 7: Uh. 1238 00:58:58,920 --> 00:59:00,560 Speaker 9: This is up to the group that neither true of 1239 00:59:00,560 --> 00:59:03,240 Speaker 9: tigbook to decide how far they will go. But now 1240 00:59:03,280 --> 00:59:06,640 Speaker 9: it's clear that the students are will remain here. They 1241 00:59:06,640 --> 00:59:09,880 Speaker 9: will stay here until they achieved their units. 1242 00:59:11,680 --> 00:59:14,560 Speaker 1: Okay, I didn't hear anything that bad there. I mean, 1243 00:59:14,640 --> 00:59:17,560 Speaker 1: you can disagree with the guy. That's okay, you could 1244 00:59:18,000 --> 00:59:20,120 Speaker 1: deport him if he committed a crime, I'd be okay 1245 00:59:20,200 --> 00:59:22,600 Speaker 1: with that fine too, But he didn't commit a crime. 1246 00:59:23,040 --> 00:59:26,200 Speaker 1: He actually has not violated both New York State law, 1247 00:59:26,920 --> 00:59:30,240 Speaker 1: of New York City law, and or US government. Now, 1248 00:59:30,400 --> 00:59:32,919 Speaker 1: according to them, what they're saying is that they can 1249 00:59:33,000 --> 00:59:38,080 Speaker 1: make a case for deportation based on any alien present 1250 00:59:38,160 --> 00:59:41,120 Speaker 1: in the United States who poses a direct threat two 1251 00:59:41,200 --> 00:59:46,040 Speaker 1: hour foreign policy. Now that's a very interesting justification because 1252 00:59:46,080 --> 00:59:50,120 Speaker 1: what threat would it make two our foreign policy? So 1253 00:59:50,240 --> 00:59:53,360 Speaker 1: are we saying that his presence in the United States 1254 00:59:53,520 --> 00:59:56,560 Speaker 1: would be detrimental to the US relationship with Israel? Because 1255 00:59:56,640 --> 00:59:59,880 Speaker 1: if we're saying that, we're basically acknowledging that these campus 1256 01:00:00,040 --> 01:00:04,320 Speaker 1: protests are now a leverage point for the Israeli government 1257 01:00:04,400 --> 01:00:07,640 Speaker 1: in its relations with US. Now, they're not even supposed 1258 01:00:07,640 --> 01:00:11,000 Speaker 1: to have opinions about protests on our soil, I should 1259 01:00:11,040 --> 01:00:14,160 Speaker 1: you know. Look, if the US government was openly supporting 1260 01:00:14,280 --> 01:00:16,760 Speaker 1: or not those protests happening in Tel avivon it was 1261 01:00:16,840 --> 01:00:18,320 Speaker 1: like shut up, all right, let them deal with it. 1262 01:00:18,640 --> 01:00:20,320 Speaker 1: But even that's a little difference, since we do pay 1263 01:00:20,360 --> 01:00:22,480 Speaker 1: for most of the stuff that's going on in their country. 1264 01:00:22,880 --> 01:00:26,680 Speaker 1: I just think the whole thing is the most preposterous 1265 01:00:26,960 --> 01:00:29,280 Speaker 1: overreach I've ever seen. And that's another thing. I want 1266 01:00:29,320 --> 01:00:32,880 Speaker 1: to speak directly to a lot of these forces that 1267 01:00:32,960 --> 01:00:36,240 Speaker 1: are cheering this on. You have no idea what's coming 1268 01:00:36,320 --> 01:00:38,680 Speaker 1: your way when you break the seal something like this, 1269 01:00:38,960 --> 01:00:41,400 Speaker 1: you want to openly set the standard that people who 1270 01:00:41,480 --> 01:00:44,000 Speaker 1: protest on a foreign government are going to be violated 1271 01:00:44,080 --> 01:00:47,200 Speaker 1: or their due process rights and revoked permanent residency in 1272 01:00:47,240 --> 01:00:50,240 Speaker 1: the United States of America. That is like an anti 1273 01:00:50,360 --> 01:00:54,240 Speaker 1: Semitic caricature of how people are saying, but it's reality now. 1274 01:00:54,480 --> 01:00:59,240 Speaker 1: And so when you then at the simultaneously speak out 1275 01:00:59,240 --> 01:01:01,880 Speaker 1: against the Eai Carols of the world on Joe Rogan 1276 01:01:02,200 --> 01:01:05,320 Speaker 1: or Candae Owins or any of these other folks who 1277 01:01:05,400 --> 01:01:09,000 Speaker 1: are noticing things, even if oftentimes they may say things 1278 01:01:09,040 --> 01:01:12,080 Speaker 1: that are incorrect or whatever, good luck to you trying 1279 01:01:12,120 --> 01:01:15,400 Speaker 1: to police the opinion, because I think that Americans have 1280 01:01:15,520 --> 01:01:18,760 Speaker 1: very very open eyes, and especially if you're somebody like 1281 01:01:18,800 --> 01:01:21,240 Speaker 1: me who wants to see a lot less immigration here 1282 01:01:21,400 --> 01:01:25,480 Speaker 1: in the United States. It's absolutely insane that the United 1283 01:01:25,480 --> 01:01:29,360 Speaker 1: States government has actually paused military deportation flights because of 1284 01:01:29,400 --> 01:01:32,960 Speaker 1: the cost they got doged. So the cost of apprehending 1285 01:01:33,480 --> 01:01:36,360 Speaker 1: people who are present here illegally in the United States. 1286 01:01:36,680 --> 01:01:39,520 Speaker 1: Has is something that we can't bear. The deportation numbers 1287 01:01:39,560 --> 01:01:42,800 Speaker 1: are basically where they were with Biden, not particularly all 1288 01:01:42,840 --> 01:01:45,400 Speaker 1: that great, and the full force of the White House 1289 01:01:45,640 --> 01:01:48,680 Speaker 1: of the United States of America is focused on some 1290 01:01:48,880 --> 01:01:52,520 Speaker 1: campus protester. Give me a break if you think that's 1291 01:01:52,560 --> 01:01:55,880 Speaker 1: anywhere even close to America. First, so for all those 1292 01:01:55,880 --> 01:01:58,000 Speaker 1: people out there, for all the people who are supporting, 1293 01:01:58,080 --> 01:02:01,280 Speaker 1: cheering all of us on, good luck to you in 1294 01:02:01,320 --> 01:02:04,040 Speaker 1: the future. You have the cannon worms, the Pandora's box 1295 01:02:04,320 --> 01:02:08,280 Speaker 1: that you're opening, you bear a total responsibility for it. 1296 01:02:08,360 --> 01:02:10,360 Speaker 2: I mean this truly is it truly is a new 1297 01:02:10,600 --> 01:02:13,600 Speaker 2: red scare. I mean it truly is like it justifies 1298 01:02:13,640 --> 01:02:18,160 Speaker 2: the term McCarthyist, because they're saying openly it's not just this, 1299 01:02:18,360 --> 01:02:21,000 Speaker 2: there's nothing special about this particular guy. We have a 1300 01:02:21,000 --> 01:02:22,840 Speaker 2: whole list. There are going to be many more to come. 1301 01:02:23,360 --> 01:02:26,920 Speaker 2: They sent letters to sixty different universities accusing them and 1302 01:02:26,960 --> 01:02:28,440 Speaker 2: saying that they're going to be you know, there's going 1303 01:02:28,520 --> 01:02:31,680 Speaker 2: to be enforcement actions for them not upholding the civil 1304 01:02:31,760 --> 01:02:33,080 Speaker 2: rights of Jewish students. 1305 01:02:33,240 --> 01:02:34,560 Speaker 3: And if you read what they. 1306 01:02:34,440 --> 01:02:38,360 Speaker 2: Put down, it would be impossible for anyone to really 1307 01:02:38,440 --> 01:02:41,720 Speaker 2: prove that they complied with what they want. You know, 1308 01:02:41,760 --> 01:02:44,760 Speaker 2: to your point, Sager, we were all chuckling yesterday and 1309 01:02:44,840 --> 01:02:47,800 Speaker 2: Culter put on a tweet that said, there's almost no 1310 01:02:47,840 --> 01:02:51,480 Speaker 2: one I don't want to deport, but unless they've committed 1311 01:02:51,520 --> 01:02:53,960 Speaker 2: a crime, isn't this a violation of the First Amendment. 1312 01:02:54,400 --> 01:02:55,280 Speaker 3: So even in. 1313 01:02:55,120 --> 01:02:59,600 Speaker 2: Culter is like, yeah, this particular deportation, I'm not really 1314 01:02:59,600 --> 01:03:03,000 Speaker 2: sure that I'm on board with this one. And so 1315 01:03:03,600 --> 01:03:07,439 Speaker 2: you know, it is preposterous, it is naked, and yes 1316 01:03:07,520 --> 01:03:10,280 Speaker 2: it is dangerous. I mean it is a dangerous assault. 1317 01:03:10,840 --> 01:03:15,120 Speaker 2: The intent is a witch hunt to create an example 1318 01:03:15,480 --> 01:03:18,480 Speaker 2: so that people shut up about an issue that the 1319 01:03:18,720 --> 01:03:21,560 Speaker 2: administration does not want to hear about, that they find 1320 01:03:21,600 --> 01:03:25,520 Speaker 2: to be politically inconvenient, that you know, some significant of 1321 01:03:25,600 --> 01:03:28,960 Speaker 2: their allies and donors find to be politically inconvenient and 1322 01:03:29,240 --> 01:03:32,080 Speaker 2: disagree with and everyone, I don't care where you stand 1323 01:03:32,080 --> 01:03:33,000 Speaker 2: on this issue. 1324 01:03:32,680 --> 01:03:33,800 Speaker 3: Like you should you. 1325 01:03:34,200 --> 01:03:37,800 Speaker 2: In fact, if you disagree with these protesters, it's even 1326 01:03:37,880 --> 01:03:40,919 Speaker 2: more important for you to stand up for these First 1327 01:03:40,920 --> 01:03:45,760 Speaker 2: Amendment rights, because that's when it counts, when it is difficult, 1328 01:03:46,240 --> 01:03:49,240 Speaker 2: when it is potentially unpopular. Although I have to say, 1329 01:03:49,320 --> 01:03:51,880 Speaker 2: you know, the other thing that has been really noteworthy 1330 01:03:52,440 --> 01:03:54,960 Speaker 2: is how has this whole approach gone for you guys 1331 01:03:55,000 --> 01:03:58,560 Speaker 2: in terms of maintaining support for Israel. I can tell 1332 01:03:58,600 --> 01:04:01,920 Speaker 2: you if you look at numbers across the board in 1333 01:04:02,000 --> 01:04:04,120 Speaker 2: terms of when they ask who do you sympathize more 1334 01:04:04,120 --> 01:04:10,840 Speaker 2: with Israelis or Palestinians, those numbers have shifted dramatically towards Palestinians. 1335 01:04:11,360 --> 01:04:16,880 Speaker 2: In the Democratic Party specifically, it's completely switched, completely switched. 1336 01:04:17,120 --> 01:04:20,160 Speaker 2: So now many more Democrats say they are more sympathetic 1337 01:04:20,200 --> 01:04:23,400 Speaker 2: to Palestinians than Israelis. I cannot tell you what to 1338 01:04:23,440 --> 01:04:26,200 Speaker 2: see change that is in terms of American public opinion. 1339 01:04:26,640 --> 01:04:29,840 Speaker 2: And so for a country that is so dependent on 1340 01:04:29,920 --> 01:04:33,400 Speaker 2: the United States of America to provide a diplomatic shield 1341 01:04:33,480 --> 01:04:36,840 Speaker 2: and funding and military resources and all sorts of other 1342 01:04:36,880 --> 01:04:41,200 Speaker 2: things besides to be gambling with public opinion like this, 1343 01:04:41,360 --> 01:04:45,880 Speaker 2: you are one president away from someone who actually represents 1344 01:04:45,920 --> 01:04:48,400 Speaker 2: those shifts in the country from things being completely and 1345 01:04:48,440 --> 01:04:51,280 Speaker 2: totally different. Not to mention, you know, when you have 1346 01:04:51,400 --> 01:04:55,920 Speaker 2: the whole United States government cracking down on college student 1347 01:04:56,040 --> 01:05:01,520 Speaker 2: protesters for protesting israel foreign government, and you are you 1348 01:05:02,440 --> 01:05:06,800 Speaker 2: the Zionists conflate all the time Jews with Israel, something 1349 01:05:06,840 --> 01:05:09,240 Speaker 2: that the left is very careful and people who object 1350 01:05:09,240 --> 01:05:11,800 Speaker 2: to these follows are very careful to not conflate those 1351 01:05:11,800 --> 01:05:14,240 Speaker 2: two and say these are two very separate things. But 1352 01:05:14,520 --> 01:05:19,840 Speaker 2: the Zionist supporters frequently conflate Israel and non Jewish people. Yeah, 1353 01:05:19,880 --> 01:05:22,680 Speaker 2: do you think you're going to cause an increase in 1354 01:05:22,800 --> 01:05:25,240 Speaker 2: anti Semitism? Do you think that you're going to cause 1355 01:05:25,240 --> 01:05:27,800 Speaker 2: an increased spread in these sorts of tropes when it 1356 01:05:27,840 --> 01:05:30,440 Speaker 2: does seem like the US government is more interested in 1357 01:05:30,480 --> 01:05:33,440 Speaker 2: policing speech of Americans on behalf of this foreign country 1358 01:05:33,640 --> 01:05:36,439 Speaker 2: of course, Like, of course that's going to happen, and 1359 01:05:36,600 --> 01:05:39,920 Speaker 2: it is happening, so you know, this is an insane 1360 01:05:40,200 --> 01:05:44,680 Speaker 2: violation of First Amendment rights. These sorts of things never 1361 01:05:44,760 --> 01:05:47,240 Speaker 2: stay with you know, people who are over there you 1362 01:05:47,280 --> 01:05:49,560 Speaker 2: don't really care about, or issues that you aren't really 1363 01:05:49,560 --> 01:05:54,600 Speaker 2: particularly keen on. This is an aggressive crushing of descent, 1364 01:05:54,960 --> 01:05:58,080 Speaker 2: and every American who cares about their own rights needs 1365 01:05:58,120 --> 01:05:59,960 Speaker 2: to care about what is happening with MACUCLI. 1366 01:06:00,200 --> 01:06:02,640 Speaker 1: Yeah, well there you go. All right, Oh, why don't 1367 01:06:02,680 --> 01:06:05,280 Speaker 1: we play put C eleven up there from fire? We 1368 01:06:05,360 --> 01:06:06,240 Speaker 1: got to show them some LFE. 1369 01:06:06,280 --> 01:06:07,320 Speaker 3: Yeah, I gotta give them some lay. 1370 01:06:07,360 --> 01:06:10,760 Speaker 1: They're a great organization. Fire has written now to the 1371 01:06:10,800 --> 01:06:14,080 Speaker 1: Department of Homeland Security the Justice Department, requesting answers. This 1372 01:06:14,160 --> 01:06:16,920 Speaker 1: is America. The administration must not use immigration enforcement to 1373 01:06:16,960 --> 01:06:19,520 Speaker 1: punish and filter out ideas disfavored by the government, or 1374 01:06:19,560 --> 01:06:22,880 Speaker 1: deny due process to anyone facing arrest and detention. They 1375 01:06:22,960 --> 01:06:25,520 Speaker 1: ask a series of questions, what is a specific legal 1376 01:06:25,560 --> 01:06:28,040 Speaker 1: and factual basis for a coloil's arrest, for his detention 1377 01:06:28,400 --> 01:06:30,720 Speaker 1: for which you are seeking revocation of the careen card 1378 01:06:30,920 --> 01:06:33,640 Speaker 1: for where he'd be afforded due process protections required by 1379 01:06:33,760 --> 01:06:36,520 Speaker 1: US law? And is it your intention to seek the 1380 01:06:36,520 --> 01:06:39,560 Speaker 1: revocation of lawful immigration status on the basis of speech 1381 01:06:39,600 --> 01:06:42,640 Speaker 1: protected by the First Amendment. So we'll find out some 1382 01:06:42,680 --> 01:06:44,360 Speaker 1: answers to that question. Yeah, certainly. 1383 01:06:44,440 --> 01:06:46,880 Speaker 2: Well, one last thing I wanted to note on this is, 1384 01:06:46,920 --> 01:06:49,480 Speaker 2: you know, they were passing all these like definitions of 1385 01:06:49,520 --> 01:06:52,520 Speaker 2: anti Semitism and we were covering it here, and some 1386 01:06:52,600 --> 01:06:54,440 Speaker 2: of the pushback was like, ah, this is just kind 1387 01:06:54,440 --> 01:06:57,040 Speaker 2: of meaningless, like it's no big deal, They're just doing that. 1388 01:06:57,160 --> 01:07:00,320 Speaker 2: People say that, Yeah, yes, people were like down playing 1389 01:07:00,360 --> 01:07:06,080 Speaker 2: that this mattered. Well, Rubio is asserting that Mahmud Khalil 1390 01:07:06,360 --> 01:07:09,360 Speaker 2: is you know, damaging our foreign policy on the basis 1391 01:07:09,440 --> 01:07:13,000 Speaker 2: that part of our foreign policy is to combat anti 1392 01:07:13,160 --> 01:07:18,200 Speaker 2: Semitism around the world. And so those definitions that were 1393 01:07:18,240 --> 01:07:21,240 Speaker 2: passed come directly into play. As far as I can tell, 1394 01:07:21,320 --> 01:07:24,360 Speaker 2: and as we covered here and as you guys likely know, 1395 01:07:24,400 --> 01:07:30,680 Speaker 2: they very clearly conflate criticism of Israel with anti semitism. 1396 01:07:31,200 --> 01:07:35,800 Speaker 2: So those that's why it mattered that these official definitions 1397 01:07:35,800 --> 01:07:39,040 Speaker 2: were being adopted by the White House and passed through Congress, 1398 01:07:39,040 --> 01:07:41,440 Speaker 2: et cetera, because now you have a situation where they 1399 01:07:41,440 --> 01:07:44,640 Speaker 2: could say, oh, well, he said, you know, he criticized Israel. 1400 01:07:44,720 --> 01:07:46,880 Speaker 2: He said there should be a one state solution. He said, 1401 01:07:46,880 --> 01:07:49,240 Speaker 2: from the river to the sea, Palaesigne should be free. 1402 01:07:49,280 --> 01:07:52,560 Speaker 2: So this is a problem for our foreign policy of 1403 01:07:52,600 --> 01:07:56,880 Speaker 2: combating anti Semitism as defined by these you know, this 1404 01:07:57,280 --> 01:08:00,800 Speaker 2: resolution that we adopted. So that's why the things ultimately 1405 01:08:00,840 --> 01:08:03,040 Speaker 2: end up really mattering a lot, and you know, we'll 1406 01:08:03,040 --> 01:08:05,160 Speaker 2: see what happens. One other thing that I read is 1407 01:08:05,200 --> 01:08:08,480 Speaker 2: that a lot of times administrations will go like judge 1408 01:08:08,480 --> 01:08:13,560 Speaker 2: shopping for the immigration particular immigration judge that they want. 1409 01:08:13,920 --> 01:08:17,639 Speaker 2: We know, we can put C nine up on the screen. 1410 01:08:17,720 --> 01:08:20,439 Speaker 2: We know now that Mahmud has been moved all the 1411 01:08:20,439 --> 01:08:25,800 Speaker 2: way to Louisiana. And so the suspicion is that they 1412 01:08:25,920 --> 01:08:30,640 Speaker 2: are going to attempt to judge shop and get a 1413 01:08:30,920 --> 01:08:34,400 Speaker 2: Louisiana judge that they think will be more favorable to 1414 01:08:34,560 --> 01:08:38,080 Speaker 2: their arguments versus the judge that immediately jumped in here 1415 01:08:38,200 --> 01:08:40,439 Speaker 2: to you know, say you can't deport this guy. We're 1416 01:08:40,479 --> 01:08:42,559 Speaker 2: going to have a hearing, et cetera. That's a New 1417 01:08:42,640 --> 01:08:44,400 Speaker 2: York judge. So we'll see how all this plays on 1418 01:08:44,439 --> 01:08:45,080 Speaker 2: the legal system. 1419 01:08:45,200 --> 01:08:45,400 Speaker 4: Yep. 1420 01:08:45,560 --> 01:08:48,360 Speaker 1: Absolutely, they're going to be very very curious. 1421 01:09:00,080 --> 01:09:00,320 Speaker 6: Yeah,