WEBVTT - Bloomberg Daybreak: March 31, 2022 - Hour 1 (Radio)

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<v Speaker 1>And it's now five oh seven on Wall Street where

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<v Speaker 1>forty six degrees in Central Park. That's emergency roadwork on

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<v Speaker 1>the New Jersey Turnpike. Look at the details and traffic shortly. First,

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<v Speaker 1>Michael Bars here with more on what's going on in

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<v Speaker 1>New York and around the world. Good morning, Michael, Good

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<v Speaker 1>morning Nathan. New York City Task Force has removed almost

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<v Speaker 1>two hundred forty homeless encampments over the past two weeks.

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<v Speaker 1>It's part of Mayor Eric adams strategy to clean up

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<v Speaker 1>public spaces and connect people living on the streets with

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<v Speaker 1>housing and social services. As if Mayor, of all of us,

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<v Speaker 1>including my homeless brothers assistants, I'm not leaving any New

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<v Speaker 1>York Is behind. We're moving together and that is the

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<v Speaker 1>goal of what we must accomplish. I'm not abandoning anyone.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm not believing that dignity is living in a cardboard

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<v Speaker 1>without a shower, without a toilet, living in terrible living conditions.

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<v Speaker 1>Mayor Adams has more than three hundred homeless people have

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<v Speaker 1>accepted social services New York City COVID nineteen. Cases are

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<v Speaker 1>rising again, particularly among people to thirty four years old.

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<v Speaker 1>Surge appears to be concentrated in Manhattan, the most vaccinated burrow.

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<v Speaker 1>The New York City Department of Health posted a warning

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<v Speaker 1>on Twitter saying they strongly recommend New Yorker's mask up

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<v Speaker 1>indoors and get booster shots. A deadly strain of bird

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<v Speaker 1>flu that's been raising egg prices ahead of Easter has

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<v Speaker 1>been discovered in five New u s States. According to

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<v Speaker 1>the Department of Agriculture, the virus increasingly is threatening American

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<v Speaker 1>poultry exports. The influenza was discovered in Massachusetts, North Carolina,

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<v Speaker 1>North Dakota, Ohio, and Wyoming. Chris Rock says he is

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<v Speaker 1>still processing the Will Smith slap at the Oscars. Rock

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<v Speaker 1>played before a sold out show in Boston last night.

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<v Speaker 1>The fifty seven year old comedian got a long standing

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<v Speaker 1>ovation from the crowd. Meanwhile, the Motion Picture Academy is

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<v Speaker 1>now revealing that Smith was asked to leave the Oscars

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<v Speaker 1>after he slapped Rock, but he refused. The Academy says

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<v Speaker 1>it has begun disperlinary proceedings against Smith, which could include expulsion.

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<v Speaker 1>Actor Bruce Willis is stepping away from his acting career.

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<v Speaker 1>His family says he has recently been diagnosed with aphasia,

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<v Speaker 1>which is impacting is cognitive abilities. Dr Jagen Polai is

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<v Speaker 1>a cognitive neurologist at the Cleveland Clinic Center for Brain Health.

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<v Speaker 1>There is a change in the language function of the

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<v Speaker 1>person because of blind change happening the language part of

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<v Speaker 1>the brain. Dr Belin told a d c a phasia

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<v Speaker 1>can be caused by an injury, stroke, or denderative disease.

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<v Speaker 1>Global News twenty four hours a day on air and

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<v Speaker 1>on Bloomberg Quick Take, powered by more than twenty seven

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<v Speaker 1>hundred journalists analysts more than a hundred twenty countries. Michael

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<v Speaker 1>bar this is Bloomberg, Nathan, tough news for Bruce Willis.

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<v Speaker 1>Thank you, Michael. Coming up to five ten on Wall

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<v Speaker 1>Street time for the Bloomberg Sports Up, Tay, Good morning,

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<v Speaker 1>John Stanshawn. You morning, Nathan. It has obviously been a

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<v Speaker 1>much better season for the Rangers than it has been

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<v Speaker 1>for the next they'll be a play off hockey at

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<v Speaker 1>the Garden, almost certainly not playoff hoops. Last night Rangers won,

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<v Speaker 1>Knicks lost their season high four game winspe came to

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<v Speaker 1>an end. Charlotte one one fourteen. Miles Bridges score thirty

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<v Speaker 1>one points, Flamelo Ball had twenty and fifteen assists Evan

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<v Speaker 1>for the Knicks with thirty. As to the Rangers back

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<v Speaker 1>and forth game in Detroit and didn't have to go

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<v Speaker 1>on the power play they score? Is it Crider or

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<v Speaker 1>cop of the doorstep? Prider took the shot. It's a

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<v Speaker 1>power play goal. We're tied at four. Miller on the ice,

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<v Speaker 1>cop pannerin far circle. Pennarities got cop gets at the

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<v Speaker 1>cop shoots at scores and crew copping over time. How

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<v Speaker 1>the Rangers win five full WPN had it a time?

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<v Speaker 1>Goal was by Chris Cryder. That's his forty six. It's

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<v Speaker 1>the Rangers sports may win. Some coaching news. First one

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<v Speaker 1>Seaton Hall, where Kevin Willard recently left to take over

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<v Speaker 1>at Maryland. Shaheen Halloway had been Willard's top assistant, first

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<v Speaker 1>at Iona, then for eight years at Seton Hall, where

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<v Speaker 1>Holloway was once his star point guard. So he might

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<v Speaker 1>have gotten this job even if he hadn't just coached St.

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<v Speaker 1>Peter's to arguably the greatest Cinderella run and n C

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<v Speaker 1>double A tournament history. No surprise, Holloway leaving the Peacocks

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<v Speaker 1>stayed in New Jersey, the coach of the Pirates, but

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<v Speaker 1>a big surprise last night out of Tampa Bay, Brose

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<v Speaker 1>Arians stepped down. He's going to assist Bucks GM Jason White,

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<v Speaker 1>Todd Bowles, who was the defense supportator before that. The

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<v Speaker 1>head coach of the Jets takes over. The sixty nine

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<v Speaker 1>year old Arians has had health issues, but insisted that

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<v Speaker 1>was not the reason for this movement. John Dash Award

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<v Speaker 1>and Bloomberg Sports Nathan Okay, John, thanks right now. S

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<v Speaker 1>and P futures up four points, Staff Futures down six,

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<v Speaker 1>nasdack futures hi are by fifty seven points. NIMEX s

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<v Speaker 1>crew down five point three per cent to a hundred

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<v Speaker 1>two dollars twelve cents of barrel on word, the Biden

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<v Speaker 1>administration could be thinking of a massive release from the

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<v Speaker 1>strategic reserve. We'll talk about the war next with Julie

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<v Speaker 1>Norman of uc L. This is Bloomberg Bloomberg eleven three

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<v Speaker 1>oh weather cloudie, breezy today, some afternoon showers possible of

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<v Speaker 1>the high year seventy turning partly sunny and breezy. Tomorrow.

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<v Speaker 1>Upper fifties will be the low fifties under a mix

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<v Speaker 1>of sun and clouds on Saturday. Right now forty six

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<v Speaker 1>in central Park, Markets, headlines and breaking news twenty four

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<v Speaker 1>hours a day at Bloomberg dot Com, the Bloomberg Business

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<v Speaker 1>Outland at Bloomberg Quick Take, this is a Bloombern business

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<v Speaker 1>lash and I'm Karin Moscow and energy stocks are dropping

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<v Speaker 1>with oil prices and investors Way reports that the Biden

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<v Speaker 1>administration is considering a massive release of crude from US

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<v Speaker 1>reserves to find inflation. Stocks in Europe are set for

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<v Speaker 1>the first quarterly declient since US dock index futures are

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<v Speaker 1>pairing in advance, and we checked the markets every fifteen

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<v Speaker 1>minutes throughout the trading day. On Bloomberg U S and

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<v Speaker 1>P Future is up six points right now, DAL Future

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<v Speaker 1>is little changed. Nasdack Future is up sixty eight. The

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<v Speaker 1>decks in Germany is little changed as well. Ten your

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<v Speaker 1>treasury up to thirty seconds. You have two point three

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<v Speaker 1>three percent. They yield on the two year two point

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<v Speaker 1>to nine percent. Nine X Screwed oil is down five

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<v Speaker 1>point six percent on six dollars eight cents and a

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<v Speaker 1>hundred one dollar seventy cents of barrel. Comma School down

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<v Speaker 1>six tents per cent or twelve dollars at ninety eight

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<v Speaker 1>announce the euro one point nine against the dollar, British

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<v Speaker 1>pound one point three one to seven, the ends at

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<v Speaker 1>one two point oh three and Bitcoin this morning lower

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<v Speaker 1>down two chance per set at forty seven thousand, one

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<v Speaker 1>seventy dollars. That's a Bloomberg business flash. Now here's Muchael

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<v Speaker 1>Barrow with more on what's going on around the world. Muchel,

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<v Speaker 1>Good morning, Good morning, Karen. Ukraine's president says his country's

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<v Speaker 1>defense against the Russian invasion is at a turning point,

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<v Speaker 1>but Lodamir Zelenski again press the United States for more help,

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<v Speaker 1>hours after the Kremlin's forces renegged on a pledge to

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<v Speaker 1>scale back some of their operations. Meanwhile, a Ukrainian negotiators

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<v Speaker 1>as officials from Ukraine and Russia are set to resume

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<v Speaker 1>talks via video conference tomorrow. As the regular NBA season

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<v Speaker 1>winds down. The next Celtics and Warriors lost, the Wizards won.

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<v Speaker 1>Coach Sheeen Holloway is leaving St. Peter's for Seaton Hall,

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<v Speaker 1>just days after helping the Little Jesuit School make history

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<v Speaker 1>becoming the first fifteenth seed to reach the n C

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<v Speaker 1>Double A Tournaments Elite eight. In the NHL, the Rangers

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<v Speaker 1>beat the Red Wings and o t five four Global

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<v Speaker 1>News twenty four hours a day on air and on

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Quick Take, powered by more than journalists and analysts

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<v Speaker 1>more than a hundred twenty countries. Michael Barr and this

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<v Speaker 1>is Bloomberg, Nathan. Yeah, you'd think that coach would be

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<v Speaker 1>in high demand now, Thank you, Michael. It's five nineteen

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<v Speaker 1>on Wall Street Live from the Bloomberg Interactive Broker Studios.

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Daybreak, and Julie Norman is with us

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<v Speaker 1>this morning, co director of the Center on US Politics

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<v Speaker 1>at University College London, as we continue following the latest

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<v Speaker 1>on the war in Ukraine, Professor, Good morning. As we

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<v Speaker 1>heard from Michael Barr in the news, talks could resume

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<v Speaker 1>tomorrow between Ukrainian and Russia negotiators. Is there any reason

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<v Speaker 1>to think that the discussions would make any more headway

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<v Speaker 1>than what we saw in Turkey earlier this week? Well,

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<v Speaker 1>good morning, Nathan. One of the challenges right now is

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<v Speaker 1>what we're hearing out of the negotiations and then what

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<v Speaker 1>we're hearing from the Kremlin and seeing on the back

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<v Speaker 1>a field tend to be quite different. So on the

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<v Speaker 1>one hand, there was some apparent progress made earlier this week,

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<v Speaker 1>at the meetings in Turkey, with very frank discussions about

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<v Speaker 1>Ukraine's potential neutral status moving forward with central security guarantees

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<v Speaker 1>from other states UH and talking about more of a

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<v Speaker 1>focus on what the territories in the East will look

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<v Speaker 1>like in the future. So I think that's still where

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<v Speaker 1>the crux of the negotiations will ultimately end up. But

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<v Speaker 1>unfortunately we're not seeing is a ceasefire or withdrawal of

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<v Speaker 1>troops that would actually allow for those more substantive UH

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<v Speaker 1>negotiations to happen. And indeed, Russia's claims that they would

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<v Speaker 1>be drawing down some of their offenses near Kievan elsewhere

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<v Speaker 1>have not borne out. In practice, we're still seeing we're

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<v Speaker 1>still seeing offenses in those areas as well as in

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<v Speaker 1>the East. So until things actually changed on the ground,

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<v Speaker 1>it's going to be difficult for the real substance measures

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<v Speaker 1>to move forward at the table in the negotiations. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>that's certainly what we're hearing from officials on the ground

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<v Speaker 1>in Ukraine as well as from the Pentagon. They're terming

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<v Speaker 1>the Russian claims of de escalation as more like a repositioning.

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<v Speaker 1>What does that say about where this war could go

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<v Speaker 1>from here? Well, I think it's that the war will

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<v Speaker 1>likely go on for for quite a bit longer, unfortunately,

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<v Speaker 1>but it's it's also most likely that Russia will start

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<v Speaker 1>emphasizing their operations in the east much more strongly. I

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<v Speaker 1>think it's pretty clear now and definitely from the start

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<v Speaker 1>even of the the invasion, that Putin is really trying

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<v Speaker 1>to control the dun Bus region, um Danetsk and enhance

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<v Speaker 1>those areas that already had large separatist regions within them,

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<v Speaker 1>trying to expand those trying to build a land bridge

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<v Speaker 1>to Crimea. So in terms of territory and where I

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<v Speaker 1>think we'll see the offenses focus, I do think we'll

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<v Speaker 1>see that shift to the east, but again I think

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<v Speaker 1>we'll still see that pressure on other parts of the

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<v Speaker 1>country as well. Um, all we can hope is that

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<v Speaker 1>these negotiations, which have been you know, extremely sluggish but

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<v Speaker 1>are like some extremely baby steps of progress, will just

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<v Speaker 1>keep chipping away at the meantime to a point that

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<v Speaker 1>Zelenski and Putin can actually meets and and trying work

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<v Speaker 1>out what this might look like. It's also been very

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<v Speaker 1>interesting to hear the Biden administration sharing intelligence in the

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<v Speaker 1>way it has even before the war began telegraphing that

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<v Speaker 1>Russia would be invading within days. And now the White

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<v Speaker 1>House saying that they have intelligence that Russian President Vladimir

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<v Speaker 1>Putin is being misinformed by his military about how the

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<v Speaker 1>war is going. What is the advantage for the US

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<v Speaker 1>and allies to share intelligence in this way. Yeah, with

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<v Speaker 1>an interesting approach, Nathan, And it's one that the US started,

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<v Speaker 1>as you noted, before the invasion, essentially to try and

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<v Speaker 1>get out ahead of Putin's own misinformation. So again, at

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<v Speaker 1>that time, they were worried that Putin would kind of

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<v Speaker 1>orchestrate a false flag incident, that he would you accuse

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<v Speaker 1>NATO or Ukraine of you know, using chemical weapons or

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<v Speaker 1>doing something like this. So they're trying to get out

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<v Speaker 1>ahead of some of the disinformation they thought might be

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<v Speaker 1>coming from the Kremlin. This latest kind of reporting now,

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<v Speaker 1>I think, is again just trying to keep the pressure

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<v Speaker 1>on Russian on Putin in particular. Um, this intelligence from

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<v Speaker 1>yesterday suggesting that Putin is not getting the full picture

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<v Speaker 1>from his military commanders is uh, you know, I think

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<v Speaker 1>something that obviously we're we're watching the intelligence, but also

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<v Speaker 1>most of us watched that press conference before the invasion started.

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<v Speaker 1>Where Putin's advisors had to take it up and pretty

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<v Speaker 1>much tell him exactly what he wanted to hear. So

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<v Speaker 1>I don't think that's super surprising that some of his

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<v Speaker 1>advisors are still probably under that kind of pressure. And

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<v Speaker 1>in our last minute here, Professor, we're expecting President Biden

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<v Speaker 1>to announce this massive release of oil from the Strategic reserve,

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<v Speaker 1>something like a million barrels a day. Is that a

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<v Speaker 1>sign that the war is starting to take a pinch

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<v Speaker 1>on this country? Now? Well, I think we've certainly seen

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<v Speaker 1>the pinch, Nathan. You know, crude is up from this

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<v Speaker 1>time last year, Gases at four for an average of

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<v Speaker 1>Americans right now, so I think we're seeing that pinch.

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<v Speaker 1>Biden has been under pressure from both parties to uh

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<v Speaker 1>to use the Strategic Petroleum Reserve. It's interesting they did

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<v Speaker 1>release about fifty million barrels from the reserve back in November.

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<v Speaker 1>That helps momentarily, but prices obviously went up again. What

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<v Speaker 1>they're talking about now is releasing one million barrels per

0:12:05.080 --> 0:12:07.680
<v Speaker 1>day over several months, so trying to have it be

0:12:07.760 --> 0:12:10.400
<v Speaker 1>more of a slow release as to help with prices.

0:12:10.440 --> 0:12:12.640
<v Speaker 1>So it could help in the short term, but in

0:12:12.679 --> 0:12:15.040
<v Speaker 1>the long term old depend a lot on US demand

0:12:15.200 --> 0:12:18.000
<v Speaker 1>and also how other countries play this, if other members

0:12:18.040 --> 0:12:21.760
<v Speaker 1>of the Internal International Energy Agency like Japan, France, Germany

0:12:21.800 --> 0:12:24.120
<v Speaker 1>do the same, and also what OPEC plus chooses to

0:12:24.160 --> 0:12:27.600
<v Speaker 1>do with their meeting tomorrow. As always, thanks for joining us,

0:12:27.640 --> 0:12:30.319
<v Speaker 1>Julie Norman, Co director of the Center on US Politics

0:12:30.640 --> 0:12:33.319
<v Speaker 1>at University College London. Stay well us, We're gonna get

0:12:33.360 --> 0:12:35.880
<v Speaker 1>much more on the White House oil release plans and

0:12:36.080 --> 0:12:38.520
<v Speaker 1>stocks get ready to close out their worst quarter in

0:12:38.559 --> 0:12:41.800
<v Speaker 1>two years. Because we check your top stories of the

0:12:41.880 --> 0:12:49.400
<v Speaker 1>morning on Bloomberg day Break Bloomberg eleven three oh weather cloudy, breezy,

0:12:49.480 --> 0:12:52.439
<v Speaker 1>some afternoon showers possible. The high your seventy today, you'll

0:12:52.480 --> 0:12:55.280
<v Speaker 1>turn partly sending breezy tomorrow with highs in the upper fifties,

0:12:55.520 --> 0:12:58.079
<v Speaker 1>low fifties, mix of sun and cloud Saturday right now

0:12:58.160 --> 0:13:04.400
<v Speaker 1>forty seven in Central Park, broadcasting live from the Bloomberg

0:13:04.440 --> 0:13:08.160
<v Speaker 1>Interactive Broker Studio in New York. Bloomberg E Living Freedom

0:13:08.280 --> 0:13:12.439
<v Speaker 1>to Washington, d C. Bloomberg to Boston, Bloomberg one O

0:13:12.640 --> 0:13:16.120
<v Speaker 1>six one does San Francisco, Bloomberg nine sixty to the Country,

0:13:16.200 --> 0:13:19.240
<v Speaker 1>Sirius XM tod A one nine team and around the globe,

0:13:19.320 --> 0:13:23.320
<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg Business and Bloomberg Radio dot Com. This is

0:13:23.320 --> 0:13:31.880
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Daybreak and it's five thirty on Wall Street. Good morning.

0:13:31.880 --> 0:13:34.880
<v Speaker 1>I'm Nathan Hagar and I'm Karen Moscow, and we're just

0:13:34.960 --> 0:13:37.640
<v Speaker 1>about four hours away from the open of US trading.

0:13:37.720 --> 0:13:39.120
<v Speaker 1>Let's get you have to date on the news you

0:13:39.160 --> 0:13:42.280
<v Speaker 1>need to know at this hour. Ukraine says cease fire

0:13:42.400 --> 0:13:46.840
<v Speaker 1>talks with Russia could resume tomorrow. This would follow negotiations

0:13:46.880 --> 0:13:50.320
<v Speaker 1>that led to no cease fire but did have Russia

0:13:50.440 --> 0:13:54.319
<v Speaker 1>saying it would de escalate. Pentagon's spokesman John Kirby says

0:13:54.480 --> 0:13:57.840
<v Speaker 1>it's less a de escalation and more like a repositioning.

0:13:58.440 --> 0:14:03.560
<v Speaker 1>Some of those troops we assess a repositioning into Belarus.

0:14:04.160 --> 0:14:06.840
<v Speaker 1>We don't have an exact number for you, but that's

0:14:06.840 --> 0:14:10.200
<v Speaker 1>our early assessments. Uh, none of them, we have seen

0:14:10.240 --> 0:14:13.720
<v Speaker 1>none of them reposition to their home garrison in Pentagon

0:14:13.840 --> 0:14:17.080
<v Speaker 1>spokesman John Kirby says the southern city of Mariopol is

0:14:17.120 --> 0:14:19.840
<v Speaker 1>still taking heavy fire the meantime, Karen, it looks like

0:14:19.880 --> 0:14:23.400
<v Speaker 1>Vladimir Putin may not be getting accurate information on the war.

0:14:23.560 --> 0:14:27.440
<v Speaker 1>Here's White House Communications Director Kate Bettingfield. We believe that

0:14:27.440 --> 0:14:30.960
<v Speaker 1>Putin is being misinformed by his advisors about how badly

0:14:31.240 --> 0:14:34.160
<v Speaker 1>the Russian military is performing and how the Russian economy

0:14:34.200 --> 0:14:36.920
<v Speaker 1>is being crippled by sanctions because the senior advisers are

0:14:36.960 --> 0:14:39.120
<v Speaker 1>too afraid to tell him the truth. Kate Beddingfield that

0:14:39.160 --> 0:14:41.520
<v Speaker 1>the White House did not specify how the US got

0:14:41.520 --> 0:14:45.040
<v Speaker 1>its intelligence on Putin, Well Nathan. Energy prices have climbed

0:14:45.040 --> 0:14:47.640
<v Speaker 1>sharply since the start of the war. Now, the Biden

0:14:47.680 --> 0:14:51.720
<v Speaker 1>administration is weighing a massive release of oil from US reserves,

0:14:51.720 --> 0:14:54.440
<v Speaker 1>and we get the latest live from Bloomberg's Randia Young.

0:14:54.480 --> 0:14:57.560
<v Speaker 1>Good morning, Randina, Good morning Karen. Bloomberg sources say the

0:14:57.600 --> 0:15:00.600
<v Speaker 1>White House is considering releasing about a mill in barrels

0:15:00.640 --> 0:15:03.560
<v Speaker 1>of oil a day from US reserves for several months.

0:15:03.920 --> 0:15:06.440
<v Speaker 1>The total release could be as much as one eighty

0:15:06.520 --> 0:15:09.880
<v Speaker 1>million barrels, and along with the plan comes a diplomatic

0:15:09.920 --> 0:15:12.440
<v Speaker 1>push for the i e A to coordinate a global

0:15:12.480 --> 0:15:15.440
<v Speaker 1>release by other countries. A final decision on that has

0:15:15.480 --> 0:15:18.280
<v Speaker 1>not been reached yet, but Bloomberg sources say the White

0:15:18.280 --> 0:15:21.320
<v Speaker 1>House may make an announcement on the US release as

0:15:21.360 --> 0:15:24.040
<v Speaker 1>soon as today live in New York. I'm gonna need

0:15:24.080 --> 0:15:26.320
<v Speaker 1>a young Bloomberg daybreak. Okay, we need a thanks in

0:15:26.400 --> 0:15:28.320
<v Speaker 1>checking all right now, and I'm ex Screws down five

0:15:28.360 --> 0:15:30.240
<v Speaker 1>and a half percent at a hundred one dollar eighty

0:15:30.320 --> 0:15:32.200
<v Speaker 1>nine cents of barrel. Brent Is at a hundred seven

0:15:32.320 --> 0:15:35.280
<v Speaker 1>sixty eight. That drop is helping lift stock futures, but

0:15:35.360 --> 0:15:38.080
<v Speaker 1>global equities are still on track for their worst quarter

0:15:38.120 --> 0:15:41.080
<v Speaker 1>in two years. Aaron Kennon is CEO at Clear Harbor

0:15:41.120 --> 0:15:43.760
<v Speaker 1>Asset Management. You know, I think we're heading into a

0:15:44.240 --> 0:15:48.000
<v Speaker 1>stormy or weather over the next several weeks and perhaps months,

0:15:48.200 --> 0:15:50.520
<v Speaker 1>and uh, I think investors are to be prepared for that.

0:15:50.640 --> 0:15:53.120
<v Speaker 1>Aaron Kennon a Clear Harbor SAEs higher interest rates as

0:15:53.160 --> 0:15:56.720
<v Speaker 1>a major headwind for stocks and incorporate news. This morning, Nathan,

0:15:56.760 --> 0:15:59.359
<v Speaker 1>we have word of a data breach at Apple and Facebook.

0:15:59.360 --> 0:16:02.640
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg News has learned that Apple and Meta platforms provided

0:16:02.680 --> 0:16:07.360
<v Speaker 1>customer data to hackers who posed as law enforcement officials.

0:16:07.360 --> 0:16:10.280
<v Speaker 1>Straight ahead, we have your latest local headlines, plus a

0:16:10.400 --> 0:16:19.200
<v Speaker 1>check of sports, and this is Bloomberg Sparing thirty three

0:16:19.200 --> 0:16:21.720
<v Speaker 1>on Wall Street, where forty six degrees in Central Park

0:16:21.760 --> 0:16:23.800
<v Speaker 1>off to a quiet start on the roads. Hope, I

0:16:23.800 --> 0:16:25.840
<v Speaker 1>didn't jink sit you find out from Peter Van in

0:16:25.880 --> 0:16:27.760
<v Speaker 1>a few minutes. First, Michael Bars here with more on

0:16:27.840 --> 0:16:29.960
<v Speaker 1>what's going on in New York and around the world. Michael,

0:16:30.040 --> 0:16:32.640
<v Speaker 1>thank you very much, Nathan. New York City has dismantled

0:16:32.640 --> 0:16:36.080
<v Speaker 1>more than two hundred encampments for homeless people. Mayor Eric

0:16:36.120 --> 0:16:38.800
<v Speaker 1>Adams says the task force over the past two weeks

0:16:39.080 --> 0:16:41.640
<v Speaker 1>is trying to clean up public spaces and connect people

0:16:41.680 --> 0:16:45.240
<v Speaker 1>living on the streets with housing and social services. This

0:16:45.400 --> 0:16:51.200
<v Speaker 1>city is now engaged in a multi agency mission with

0:16:51.280 --> 0:16:56.320
<v Speaker 1>compassion and caring taken out time. Not rushing through this,

0:16:56.720 --> 0:17:02.080
<v Speaker 1>but being compassionate to people who experience send terrible circumstances

0:17:02.280 --> 0:17:06.160
<v Speaker 1>that they're living through. Mayor Adams says anyone removed from

0:17:06.160 --> 0:17:09.479
<v Speaker 1>the encampments was offered avoucher to pick up their items

0:17:09.480 --> 0:17:12.880
<v Speaker 1>at another location. Donald Trump's son in law, Jared Kushner,

0:17:12.960 --> 0:17:15.960
<v Speaker 1>is expected to speak today, but the committee investigating the

0:17:16.040 --> 0:17:19.720
<v Speaker 1>January sixth attack on the Capitol bird flew is spreading

0:17:19.720 --> 0:17:22.560
<v Speaker 1>in the US. According to the Department of Agriculture, the

0:17:22.600 --> 0:17:26.639
<v Speaker 1>deadly strain was discovered in five more states. The states

0:17:26.680 --> 0:17:31.920
<v Speaker 1>involved include Massachusetts, North Dakota, North Carolina, Ohio, and Wyoming.

0:17:32.160 --> 0:17:35.159
<v Speaker 1>Since mid January, it's been found in twenty three states.

0:17:35.560 --> 0:17:39.720
<v Speaker 1>The Motion Picture Academy has initiated disciplinary action against Will

0:17:39.760 --> 0:17:42.800
<v Speaker 1>Smith for slapping Chris Rock on stage at the Oscars.

0:17:43.040 --> 0:17:46.160
<v Speaker 1>Smith could be expelled. Meanwhile, Rock says he is still

0:17:46.160 --> 0:17:50.680
<v Speaker 1>processing what happened last Sunday. The comedian performed before a

0:17:50.800 --> 0:17:54.119
<v Speaker 1>sold out crowd last night in Boston. The Family movie

0:17:54.119 --> 0:17:56.720
<v Speaker 1>star Bruce Willis announced that he will be stepping away

0:17:56.760 --> 0:18:00.480
<v Speaker 1>from his acting career after he was diagnosed with phasia.

0:18:00.840 --> 0:18:04.960
<v Speaker 1>The condition is impacting is speech and cognitive abilities. Dr

0:18:05.040 --> 0:18:08.679
<v Speaker 1>Jagan Poli is a cognitive neurologist at the Cleveland Clinic

0:18:08.800 --> 0:18:12.080
<v Speaker 1>Center for Brain Hilth. Diagnosis of PA is pretty broad

0:18:12.119 --> 0:18:15.280
<v Speaker 1>in the sense that it basically says some a person

0:18:15.400 --> 0:18:18.960
<v Speaker 1>has changes in their language function because it changes going

0:18:18.960 --> 0:18:22.439
<v Speaker 1>on the brain. Dr Polli told ABC ephasia can be

0:18:22.520 --> 0:18:27.040
<v Speaker 1>caused by an injury or degenerative disease. Global News twenty

0:18:27.040 --> 0:18:29.560
<v Speaker 1>four hours a day on air and on Bloomberg quick Take,

0:18:29.840 --> 0:18:32.840
<v Speaker 1>powered by more than twenty seven under journalist and analysts

0:18:32.960 --> 0:18:35.200
<v Speaker 1>in more than a hundred twenty countries. I'm Michael barr

0:18:35.240 --> 0:18:43.119
<v Speaker 1>and this is Bloomberg, Nathan, Michael, thank you five on

0:18:43.160 --> 0:18:46.280
<v Speaker 1>Wall Street. Time for the Bloomberg Sports Update. Here's John Stanshower. Nathan,

0:18:46.320 --> 0:18:48.800
<v Speaker 1>what a difference a year makes year ago? The next minute,

0:18:48.880 --> 0:18:51.480
<v Speaker 1>fourth in the East this season, couldn't crack the top

0:18:51.560 --> 0:18:55.240
<v Speaker 1>ten to get into the play in after home loss

0:18:55.240 --> 0:18:57.320
<v Speaker 1>to Charlotte that ended their season nin four game winning

0:18:57.359 --> 0:19:01.040
<v Speaker 1>speak Nix could be mathematically out as early as tonight.

0:19:01.080 --> 0:19:04.840
<v Speaker 1>There coach Tom Thibodeaux last night channeled Jilgibera, just keep

0:19:04.880 --> 0:19:07.760
<v Speaker 1>concentrating on what we're doing. You know, get better, and

0:19:07.800 --> 0:19:10.679
<v Speaker 1>then you're not eliminated to your eliminated, and then when

0:19:10.720 --> 0:19:14.640
<v Speaker 1>you are, you know what you want to get dump

0:19:14.800 --> 0:19:17.080
<v Speaker 1>Rangers are getting ready for the Stanley Cup. Last they

0:19:17.080 --> 0:19:18.760
<v Speaker 1>won their fourth and road type game in Detroit. It

0:19:18.840 --> 0:19:20.960
<v Speaker 1>was tied at one to three, and then after Chris

0:19:21.040 --> 0:19:24.000
<v Speaker 1>Cryder power play goal with less than four minutes to go,

0:19:24.160 --> 0:19:26.680
<v Speaker 1>Crider's forty six goals season, he gave US tide at four.

0:19:26.760 --> 0:19:30.000
<v Speaker 1>The Rangers won five four on an Andrew cop goal minute.

0:19:30.000 --> 0:19:32.520
<v Speaker 1>It happened over time, the only way the US men's

0:19:32.600 --> 0:19:35.040
<v Speaker 1>national soccer team was not going to qualify for the

0:19:35.040 --> 0:19:37.120
<v Speaker 1>World Cup was if they had lost in coastal Rico

0:19:37.240 --> 0:19:39.679
<v Speaker 1>by six goals. They lost but only to nothing, so

0:19:40.320 --> 0:19:43.320
<v Speaker 1>US heading the Qatar in November. The US failed to

0:19:43.400 --> 0:19:46.000
<v Speaker 1>qualify for the World Cup four years ago. Amazing to

0:19:46.080 --> 0:19:48.480
<v Speaker 1>think that in the historically long career of Tom Brady,

0:19:48.480 --> 0:19:50.639
<v Speaker 1>he's only played for two coaches. He's now getting the

0:19:50.720 --> 0:19:53.800
<v Speaker 1>third surprise move out of Tampa Bay. Sixty nine year

0:19:53.800 --> 0:19:56.520
<v Speaker 1>old Bruce Arian stepping down. He'll stay with the Buffs

0:19:56.520 --> 0:19:58.919
<v Speaker 1>but work in the front office. He'll be replaced by

0:19:59.040 --> 0:20:02.400
<v Speaker 1>defensive or Todd Bowles, the former head coach of the Jets.

0:20:02.520 --> 0:20:05.119
<v Speaker 1>So ten NFL teams will have a new coach next season.

0:20:05.440 --> 0:20:07.960
<v Speaker 1>To the surprise of No. One, Seaton Hall names he

0:20:08.000 --> 0:20:10.919
<v Speaker 1>and Holloway. It's new coach. Former star point guard former

0:20:10.920 --> 0:20:14.200
<v Speaker 1>Seaton Hall assisted down the road at St. Peter Hollowegen

0:20:14.240 --> 0:20:16.440
<v Speaker 1>has took the Peats to the n c A O.

0:20:16.800 --> 0:20:20.000
<v Speaker 1>Kate John Station went Bloomberg Sports Nathan Okay. John thanks

0:20:20.320 --> 0:20:22.480
<v Speaker 1>thirty seven on Wall Street time for the Tri State

0:20:22.480 --> 0:20:26.240
<v Speaker 1>Business Report. Here's Bloomberg's head cory. Blocks of empty offices

0:20:26.280 --> 0:20:29.240
<v Speaker 1>in the financial district helped push the supply of available

0:20:29.320 --> 0:20:33.320
<v Speaker 1>space in Manhattan to another record high. The office availability

0:20:33.400 --> 0:20:36.840
<v Speaker 1>rate in New York hit in the first quarter, the

0:20:36.880 --> 0:20:39.639
<v Speaker 1>highest and data going back to two thousand. According to

0:20:39.680 --> 0:20:43.600
<v Speaker 1>a report this week by Seville's Research, State lawmakers are

0:20:43.600 --> 0:20:45.960
<v Speaker 1>weighing whether the fast track and moved to allow three

0:20:46.000 --> 0:20:48.920
<v Speaker 1>new casinos in the New York City area. It's part

0:20:48.920 --> 0:20:52.960
<v Speaker 1>of this year's budget negotiations. The Times reports seven gambling

0:20:53.000 --> 0:20:56.119
<v Speaker 1>companies are spending about three hundred bucks a month on

0:20:56.160 --> 0:20:58.800
<v Speaker 1>a lobbying blitz to push the state the fast track

0:20:58.920 --> 0:21:03.479
<v Speaker 1>the timetable for New York's final three casino licenses. Bird

0:21:03.760 --> 0:21:06.679
<v Speaker 1>Global says it's received approval to double the size of

0:21:06.680 --> 0:21:09.240
<v Speaker 1>a shared East scooter fleet in New York City. It

0:21:09.320 --> 0:21:12.160
<v Speaker 1>says daily average ridership of East scooters in New York

0:21:12.200 --> 0:21:16.000
<v Speaker 1>has increased by about seventy percent in March compared to February.

0:21:16.280 --> 0:21:19.439
<v Speaker 1>That your Bloomberg Try State Business Report. I'm Ed Corey.

0:21:19.600 --> 0:21:21.800
<v Speaker 1>Thanks that it's five thirty eight on Wall Street. Bloomberg

0:21:21.840 --> 0:21:24.040
<v Speaker 1>Radio is on the air from San Francisco to New York,

0:21:24.080 --> 0:21:26.520
<v Speaker 1>London to Hong Kong. Let's check in with our global

0:21:26.520 --> 0:21:28.320
<v Speaker 1>news team for some of the top stories heard on

0:21:28.359 --> 0:21:34.720
<v Speaker 1>our three hundred affiliate radio stations around the world. I'm

0:21:34.760 --> 0:21:37.920
<v Speaker 1>Steve Podascan on ten ten Wins in New York. We're

0:21:37.960 --> 0:21:40.760
<v Speaker 1>talking about the growing number of companies jumping onto the

0:21:40.920 --> 0:21:45.480
<v Speaker 1>subscription bandwagon. Um Corney's Anaho on ktr H in Houston.

0:21:45.600 --> 0:21:48.880
<v Speaker 1>American business has just had its most profitable year since

0:21:49.040 --> 0:21:52.560
<v Speaker 1>nineteen On Gina Servetti and for Whammle of an eight

0:21:52.720 --> 0:21:56.480
<v Speaker 1>in Rochester, New York. I'm reporting that paychecks chairs rang

0:21:56.560 --> 0:22:00.480
<v Speaker 1>up gains after delivering a forecast that impressed analysts. I'm

0:22:00.520 --> 0:22:03.320
<v Speaker 1>Caroline Headcolled bloom Bag dav Digital Radio in London. We're

0:22:03.320 --> 0:22:06.080
<v Speaker 1>reporting on the UK economy growing one point three percent

0:22:06.160 --> 0:22:08.480
<v Speaker 1>in the FOD quarter. Britain is now in the middle

0:22:08.560 --> 0:22:12.320
<v Speaker 1>of the G seven countries for economic performance. I made

0:22:12.400 --> 0:22:15.840
<v Speaker 1>Cory on w w J and Detroit. I'm reporting hundreds

0:22:15.880 --> 0:22:18.560
<v Speaker 1>of workers at the Kellogg's plant that makes cheese. It's

0:22:18.600 --> 0:22:21.480
<v Speaker 1>we're getting a raid mmm. Those are some of the

0:22:21.480 --> 0:22:24.520
<v Speaker 1>stories our twenty seven hundred Bloomberg journalists and analysts working

0:22:24.560 --> 0:22:26.680
<v Speaker 1>on this morning around the world. It's five thirty nine

0:22:26.720 --> 0:22:30.880
<v Speaker 1>on Wall Street. The following is an editorial from Bloomberg Opinion.

0:22:31.240 --> 0:22:36.159
<v Speaker 1>This editorial was written by the Bloomberg Editorial Board. Headlines

0:22:36.200 --> 0:22:40.520
<v Speaker 1>about Russia's use of hypersonic missiles in Ukraine have fueled

0:22:40.560 --> 0:22:43.840
<v Speaker 1>fears that the US is falling behind its rivals in

0:22:43.960 --> 0:22:48.399
<v Speaker 1>developing such weapons. But before pouring tens of billions of

0:22:48.440 --> 0:22:51.600
<v Speaker 1>dollars into a new arms race, the Pentagon needs to

0:22:51.720 --> 0:22:56.399
<v Speaker 1>carefully assess how hypersonics would help meet its strategic goals.

0:22:56.760 --> 0:22:59.960
<v Speaker 1>It could be cheaper and more effective to simply up

0:23:00.040 --> 0:23:04.320
<v Speaker 1>grade existing missiles. What's more, US leaders should not lose

0:23:04.359 --> 0:23:09.960
<v Speaker 1>sight of how destabilizing hypersonic weapons could become. While hypersonic

0:23:10.040 --> 0:23:13.160
<v Speaker 1>arms control agreements are hard to imagine right now, they

0:23:13.240 --> 0:23:17.239
<v Speaker 1>may become necessary in the future. Pentagon planners are, of

0:23:17.280 --> 0:23:21.920
<v Speaker 1>course right to carefully monitor the threat posed by hypersonics.

0:23:21.960 --> 0:23:26.600
<v Speaker 1>The key is to avoid a costly overreaction. For sight

0:23:26.720 --> 0:23:30.080
<v Speaker 1>and sensible investment will serve the US better than an

0:23:30.119 --> 0:23:34.080
<v Speaker 1>unfettered new arms race would. The seditorial was written by

0:23:34.119 --> 0:23:37.479
<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg Editorial Board. For more Bloomberg opinion, please go

0:23:37.520 --> 0:23:40.560
<v Speaker 1>to Bloomberg dot com, slash opinion or O P I

0:23:40.800 --> 0:23:45.040
<v Speaker 1>N go on the Bloomberg terminal. This has been Bloomberg opinion.

0:23:45.240 --> 0:23:48.400
<v Speaker 1>You can hear Bloomberg opinion editorials every weekday. At this time,

0:23:48.520 --> 0:23:51.320
<v Speaker 1>terminal customers can read more at op I n Go.

0:23:52.000 --> 0:23:56.359
<v Speaker 1>Futures starting to turn up just a bit. Stay with us,

0:23:56.480 --> 0:24:04.359
<v Speaker 1>you're listening to Bloomberg Tame Bloomber eleven three oh weather cloudy, breezy,

0:24:04.440 --> 0:24:07.240
<v Speaker 1>some afternoon showers likely. We'll get up to near seventy degrees,

0:24:07.680 --> 0:24:10.879
<v Speaker 1>upper fifties, partly sunny and breezy Tomorrow mixes sun and clouds,

0:24:10.960 --> 0:24:14.360
<v Speaker 1>low fifties for Saturday. Right now forty seven in Central

0:24:14.359 --> 0:24:20.320
<v Speaker 1>Park Markets. Headlines and breaking news twenty four hours a

0:24:20.400 --> 0:24:23.720
<v Speaker 1>day at Bloomberg dot Com, at Bloomberg Business Atland, at

0:24:23.720 --> 0:24:33.240
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Quick Tape. This is a Bloomberg business lash and

0:24:33.320 --> 0:24:36.560
<v Speaker 1>I'm camera and Moscow energy stocks dropping with oil prices

0:24:36.560 --> 0:24:39.240
<v Speaker 1>as investors, we were ports at the Biden administration is

0:24:39.280 --> 0:24:42.679
<v Speaker 1>considering a massive release of crude from US reserves to

0:24:42.720 --> 0:24:45.240
<v Speaker 1>fight inflation. Stocks in Europe are set for the first

0:24:45.320 --> 0:24:49.639
<v Speaker 1>quarterly decline since shares ambiguous energy companies are declining in

0:24:49.720 --> 0:24:52.440
<v Speaker 1>pre market trading, while U S Dock index futures are

0:24:52.520 --> 0:24:55.679
<v Speaker 1>mostly advancing. We checked the markets every fifteen minutes throughout

0:24:55.680 --> 0:24:58.400
<v Speaker 1>the trading day on Bloomberg right now, isn't p futures

0:24:58.400 --> 0:25:01.520
<v Speaker 1>are up about seven points DAL futures that will change

0:25:01.560 --> 0:25:04.359
<v Speaker 1>now ASDACK future is up sixty seven. The decks in

0:25:04.400 --> 0:25:07.520
<v Speaker 1>Germany is little changed as well. Ten your treasury up

0:25:07.520 --> 0:25:09.879
<v Speaker 1>five thirty seconds, you'll two point three three percent in

0:25:09.920 --> 0:25:12.240
<v Speaker 1>the yield on a two year two point to eight percent.

0:25:12.680 --> 0:25:15.359
<v Speaker 1>Nine X Screwed oil is down five point three percent

0:25:15.440 --> 0:25:17.600
<v Speaker 1>on five dollars sixty eight cents and a hundred two

0:25:17.600 --> 0:25:20.560
<v Speaker 1>dollars eighteen cents of barrel comics. Gold is down half

0:25:20.560 --> 0:25:23.480
<v Speaker 1>percent or ten dollars fifty cents. In ninety eight fifty

0:25:23.520 --> 0:25:26.800
<v Speaker 1>announced the euro one point one one o nine against

0:25:26.800 --> 0:25:29.080
<v Speaker 1>the dollar, British found one point three one one four

0:25:29.400 --> 0:25:31.640
<v Speaker 1>and the YenS a one to two point oh four.

0:25:31.960 --> 0:25:35.160
<v Speaker 1>And Bitcoin this morning lower at forty seven thousand, two

0:25:35.240 --> 0:25:37.880
<v Speaker 1>hundred dollars, down about two tenths of five percent. That's

0:25:37.880 --> 0:25:40.520
<v Speaker 1>a Bloomberg business flash. Now here's Michael Barr with more

0:25:40.560 --> 0:25:43.640
<v Speaker 1>on what's going on around the world. Michael Karen, thank

0:25:43.680 --> 0:25:46.320
<v Speaker 1>you very much. The White House says Russian President Vladimir

0:25:46.400 --> 0:25:50.480
<v Speaker 1>Putin has been misinformed by advisors about his military's performance

0:25:50.480 --> 0:25:54.440
<v Speaker 1>in Ukraine. Meanwhile, Britain's Defense Ministry says Russia continues to

0:25:54.480 --> 0:25:58.080
<v Speaker 1>pound northern Ukraine. The chairman of the House committee investigating

0:25:58.080 --> 0:26:00.840
<v Speaker 1>the January sixth attack on the U s Appitol said

0:26:00.920 --> 0:26:04.720
<v Speaker 1>the panel is considering subpoena ng former President Donald Trump's

0:26:04.960 --> 0:26:08.320
<v Speaker 1>personal phone records. In the NBA, the next Celtics and

0:26:08.359 --> 0:26:13.000
<v Speaker 1>Warriors lost. The Wizards won. College basketball coach Sheen Holloway

0:26:13.119 --> 0:26:16.800
<v Speaker 1>is leaving records setting St. Peter's for Seaton Hall. In

0:26:16.840 --> 0:26:18.720
<v Speaker 1>the NHL, the Rangers beat the Red Wings and O

0:26:19.119 --> 0:26:22.399
<v Speaker 1>five four. NFL head coach Bruce Arians has decided to

0:26:22.400 --> 0:26:24.960
<v Speaker 1>retire and is moving into the Buccaneers for an office.

0:26:25.160 --> 0:26:28.680
<v Speaker 1>He's being replaced by defensive coordinator Todd Bowles, the former

0:26:28.760 --> 0:26:31.440
<v Speaker 1>head coach with the Jets. Global News twenty four hours

0:26:31.440 --> 0:26:34.160
<v Speaker 1>a day on air and on Bloomberg quick Take, powered

0:26:34.160 --> 0:26:37.480
<v Speaker 1>by more than twenty journalists analysts in more than a

0:26:37.520 --> 0:26:40.119
<v Speaker 1>hundred twenty countries and Michael Barr. This is Bloomberg NA.

0:26:40.440 --> 0:26:43.919
<v Speaker 1>Thanks Michael on Wall Street line from the Bloomberg intractor

0:26:43.960 --> 0:26:47.119
<v Speaker 1>Brooker Studios. This is Bloomberg Daybreak, and as Karen mentioned,

0:26:47.119 --> 0:26:48.680
<v Speaker 1>we are getting ready to close the books on the

0:26:48.720 --> 0:26:53.000
<v Speaker 1>first quarterly declined for stocks in two years. So what's

0:26:53.080 --> 0:26:55.879
<v Speaker 1>the rest of this year having store? With war inflation

0:26:55.920 --> 0:26:58.840
<v Speaker 1>and a tighter fed in the foreground. Let's get insights

0:26:58.840 --> 0:27:02.159
<v Speaker 1>now from Jeff Mortimer, director of investment strategy at b

0:27:02.320 --> 0:27:05.560
<v Speaker 1>n y Melon Wealth Management. Jeffrey, you're looking forward to

0:27:05.560 --> 0:27:09.520
<v Speaker 1>closing the books on this one. I guess you could

0:27:09.520 --> 0:27:13.359
<v Speaker 1>say that, right. Markets unfortunately don't move in a straight line.

0:27:13.920 --> 0:27:17.199
<v Speaker 1>And uh, you know, last year I remind investors, I was,

0:27:17.280 --> 0:27:20.280
<v Speaker 1>I hosted a dinner last night, and it's nice to

0:27:20.280 --> 0:27:22.280
<v Speaker 1>be out on the road again. But you know, we're

0:27:22.359 --> 0:27:26.320
<v Speaker 1>up on the SMP sometimes. You know, markets don't think

0:27:26.320 --> 0:27:30.400
<v Speaker 1>in calendar years or quarters. Um. But certainly there has

0:27:30.440 --> 0:27:33.600
<v Speaker 1>been some major changes. You know, I am impressed with

0:27:33.640 --> 0:27:36.600
<v Speaker 1>the markets resiliency in spite of sort of all that

0:27:36.680 --> 0:27:39.200
<v Speaker 1>has gone on. You know, if we do close the books,

0:27:39.240 --> 0:27:42.119
<v Speaker 1>you know, down rough numbers among friends, you know, five

0:27:42.160 --> 0:27:46.280
<v Speaker 1>percent or so. Um quite Uh, you know, I give

0:27:46.320 --> 0:27:50.200
<v Speaker 1>the market credit for its resilience. Certainly, diversification hasn't helped.

0:27:50.240 --> 0:27:52.280
<v Speaker 1>That's been one of the pain points of the quarter.

0:27:52.920 --> 0:27:55.520
<v Speaker 1>Or bonds typically move up when stocks have moved down.

0:27:55.600 --> 0:27:59.240
<v Speaker 1>Historically most of the time, UM, that hasn't happened this quarter.

0:28:00.040 --> 0:28:04.520
<v Speaker 1>Do you expect that resiliency to continue when we're facing

0:28:04.520 --> 0:28:09.080
<v Speaker 1>a tighter FED and some talk of maybe fifty basis

0:28:09.119 --> 0:28:12.240
<v Speaker 1>point moves at the next meeting, even more fifty basis

0:28:12.240 --> 0:28:14.280
<v Speaker 1>point moves. You've heard talk of that as well in

0:28:14.400 --> 0:28:18.680
<v Speaker 1>subsequent meetings. Yeah, we have in our base forecast now

0:28:19.200 --> 0:28:23.719
<v Speaker 1>uh to uh to the next FED meetings will be

0:28:23.880 --> 0:28:28.359
<v Speaker 1>fifty basis points of peace. So if we are projecting that,

0:28:28.440 --> 0:28:31.600
<v Speaker 1>I always remind investors the market is projecting that too.

0:28:32.200 --> 0:28:35.120
<v Speaker 1>I want to, you know, remind investors the market prices

0:28:35.160 --> 0:28:37.600
<v Speaker 1>in the most likely outcomes. It's doing that on a

0:28:37.640 --> 0:28:41.560
<v Speaker 1>regular basis. And so a tighter FED, you know, I

0:28:41.600 --> 0:28:44.760
<v Speaker 1>think is becoming priced into markets. I think we're gonna

0:28:44.760 --> 0:28:46.480
<v Speaker 1>have to look out the yield curve and see what

0:28:46.560 --> 0:28:49.480
<v Speaker 1>happens to to ten spreads. You're gonna have to look

0:28:49.480 --> 0:28:51.800
<v Speaker 1>at inversion of curves. You're gonna have to look at

0:28:51.840 --> 0:28:55.400
<v Speaker 1>sort of what messages of the bond market maybe sending,

0:28:55.760 --> 0:28:58.600
<v Speaker 1>which might be you know, slower growth going forward, so

0:28:58.680 --> 0:29:01.440
<v Speaker 1>you might see the stock market kind of rotate into

0:29:01.960 --> 0:29:05.760
<v Speaker 1>companies that can grow in a slower growth economy. I mean,

0:29:05.800 --> 0:29:08.680
<v Speaker 1>I think that is a is a potential as the

0:29:08.840 --> 0:29:11.240
<v Speaker 1>as the year sort of plays out. Also in a

0:29:11.280 --> 0:29:13.760
<v Speaker 1>midterm election year, this tends to be the weakest. The

0:29:13.880 --> 0:29:17.880
<v Speaker 1>year of a four year presidential cycle anyway, intends to

0:29:17.920 --> 0:29:21.560
<v Speaker 1>be back end loaded the uncertainty of the election, you know,

0:29:21.640 --> 0:29:24.280
<v Speaker 1>as also in overhang to markets, although I think they're

0:29:24.280 --> 0:29:26.880
<v Speaker 1>beginning to price in how that may end as well.

0:29:27.000 --> 0:29:29.120
<v Speaker 1>So I think you know you have to bunckle up that.

0:29:29.160 --> 0:29:33.360
<v Speaker 1>Our our advice to clients to stay at your target allocation.

0:29:34.000 --> 0:29:36.560
<v Speaker 1>We are not defensive on behalf of our clients. We

0:29:36.640 --> 0:29:39.480
<v Speaker 1>are if you're sixty forty or fifty fifty from an

0:29:39.480 --> 0:29:42.720
<v Speaker 1>allocation standpoint, we want you at that target, and we

0:29:42.800 --> 0:29:46.920
<v Speaker 1>want you using weakness. If if you're underneath that target,

0:29:46.960 --> 0:29:49.080
<v Speaker 1>you should be using weakness to make sure that you

0:29:49.120 --> 0:29:51.080
<v Speaker 1>treat yourself up to that target. I think as you

0:29:51.120 --> 0:29:55.520
<v Speaker 1>get into late two and into twenty three, it's possible

0:29:55.560 --> 0:29:59.640
<v Speaker 1>that you're in a lower inflationary environment. Naturally both sort

0:29:59.640 --> 0:30:02.240
<v Speaker 1>of what of feed because of what the FET has done,

0:30:02.520 --> 0:30:05.720
<v Speaker 1>and perhaps supply chains get better, perhaps O Macron or

0:30:05.720 --> 0:30:08.520
<v Speaker 1>COVID nine King gets sort of put continues to get

0:30:08.520 --> 0:30:11.000
<v Speaker 1>put behind us, and you might see yourself in a

0:30:11.080 --> 0:30:15.000
<v Speaker 1>world in which you have low inflation, decent growth, FED

0:30:15.040 --> 0:30:18.000
<v Speaker 1>which has most of its work behind it, and decent

0:30:18.080 --> 0:30:21.000
<v Speaker 1>valuations and stocks. We still think earnings sort of hold

0:30:21.040 --> 0:30:25.480
<v Speaker 1>tight this year around twenty on the SMP, and again

0:30:25.560 --> 0:30:27.880
<v Speaker 1>multiples may contract a bit, But as long as that

0:30:28.000 --> 0:30:30.600
<v Speaker 1>those earnings sort of sit underneath markets, I think we

0:30:30.600 --> 0:30:32.880
<v Speaker 1>should still be in a pretty good place, you know,

0:30:32.960 --> 0:30:36.000
<v Speaker 1>as we look out six twelve or eighteen months. All

0:30:36.040 --> 0:30:38.440
<v Speaker 1>that said, in our last thirty seconds here, Jeff, what's

0:30:38.480 --> 0:30:40.360
<v Speaker 1>your target for the SMP at the end of the year.

0:30:41.800 --> 0:30:44.560
<v Speaker 1>So our target is is right about where we are today.

0:30:44.840 --> 0:30:46.840
<v Speaker 1>I mean that the rally of the past you know,

0:30:47.000 --> 0:30:50.480
<v Speaker 1>three or four weeks has been impressive. Our target is

0:30:50.520 --> 0:30:54.880
<v Speaker 1>between forty three and undred for the SMPI year end,

0:30:55.240 --> 0:30:56.920
<v Speaker 1>and then we'll probably take it up, you know, another

0:30:56.960 --> 0:30:59.160
<v Speaker 1>ten percent into next year if sort of what we

0:30:59.280 --> 0:31:02.760
<v Speaker 1>see um as we've talked about earlier, sort of plays out,

0:31:03.160 --> 0:31:05.320
<v Speaker 1>and we are looking for the SMP to open the

0:31:05.360 --> 0:31:09.120
<v Speaker 1>final day of this first quarter at oh two. Jeff,

0:31:09.240 --> 0:31:12.360
<v Speaker 1>thanks for this really appreciated dear insights this morning. Jeff Mortimer,

0:31:12.640 --> 0:31:16.120
<v Speaker 1>director of Investment Strategy at b n Y melon Wealth Management,

0:31:16.280 --> 0:31:19.200
<v Speaker 1>Karen Nathan. It is five three on Wall Street. It's

0:31:19.240 --> 0:31:21.400
<v Speaker 1>time for the Bloomberg Law Report, and we get to

0:31:21.400 --> 0:31:24.920
<v Speaker 1>the legal stories we're watching this morning. From Bloomberg's Jeff Villinger.

0:31:27.800 --> 0:31:30.920
<v Speaker 1>A federal judge in Texas ordered track Cell Technologies to

0:31:31.040 --> 0:31:35.040
<v Speaker 1>reimburse Sprint and Verizon for attorneys fees after track Cell

0:31:35.160 --> 0:31:39.000
<v Speaker 1>pursued meritist patent suits against the wireless companies. Employers in

0:31:39.080 --> 0:31:41.720
<v Speaker 1>Washington State will have to include a salary or pay

0:31:41.840 --> 0:31:44.200
<v Speaker 1>range in their help Wanted ads under a new state

0:31:44.280 --> 0:31:48.280
<v Speaker 1>law aimed at increasing pay transparency to prevent discrimination. A

0:31:48.360 --> 0:31:52.400
<v Speaker 1>Planned Parenthood affiliate is challenging Idaho's new anti abortion law,

0:31:52.480 --> 0:31:56.320
<v Speaker 1>which prohibits abortions after cardiac activity is detected. The suit

0:31:56.440 --> 0:32:00.680
<v Speaker 1>says the law violates the state constitution. Bloomberg Law everything

0:32:00.720 --> 0:32:04.840
<v Speaker 1>you need, all on one legal research platform, including guidance

0:32:04.880 --> 0:32:09.200
<v Speaker 1>analysis and Bloomberg Market Intelligence. Find out more at Bloomberg

0:32:09.280 --> 0:32:12.200
<v Speaker 1>Law dot com. All right, Jack, thank you now. Another

0:32:12.280 --> 0:32:15.200
<v Speaker 1>legal story we're watching brings us at the planned kidnapping

0:32:15.320 --> 0:32:20.320
<v Speaker 1>of Michigan Governor Gretchen whitmer In. After thirteen days of trial,

0:32:20.400 --> 0:32:23.840
<v Speaker 1>prosecutors rested their case yesterday against the four men charged

0:32:23.840 --> 0:32:27.560
<v Speaker 1>in the matter, but more attention was focused outside the courtroom,

0:32:27.600 --> 0:32:30.720
<v Speaker 1>where the FBI rated a home in suburban Detroit in

0:32:30.840 --> 0:32:34.280
<v Speaker 1>response to threats made against the judge and defense attorneys

0:32:34.280 --> 0:32:37.560
<v Speaker 1>in the case. Data show federal judges where the target

0:32:37.560 --> 0:32:41.040
<v Speaker 1>of more than forty five hundred threats and inappropriate communications

0:32:41.120 --> 0:32:43.920
<v Speaker 1>last year. For more in the matter, Bloomberry student Grosso

0:32:43.960 --> 0:32:47.240
<v Speaker 1>speaks to Matthew Schneider, former United States Attorney for the

0:32:47.240 --> 0:32:50.480
<v Speaker 1>Eastern District of Michigan and now a partner at Huntinggman.

0:32:51.000 --> 0:32:53.880
<v Speaker 1>Online threats were made to the judge and two of

0:32:53.920 --> 0:32:58.960
<v Speaker 1>the defense attorneys. The FBI conducted a raid in suburban Detroit,

0:32:59.120 --> 0:33:02.240
<v Speaker 1>but no one was a rested. How unusual are these

0:33:02.360 --> 0:33:06.640
<v Speaker 1>kinds of threats in the middle of a trial, Well, unfortunately,

0:33:06.720 --> 0:33:09.640
<v Speaker 1>it's not all that unusual. In the middle of any

0:33:09.680 --> 0:33:13.120
<v Speaker 1>type of criminal trial that's high profile. You'll have threats

0:33:13.160 --> 0:33:15.400
<v Speaker 1>to the parties involved. And here's the judge and the

0:33:15.400 --> 0:33:18.800
<v Speaker 1>defense attorneys. And the key I think is whether or

0:33:18.840 --> 0:33:21.440
<v Speaker 1>not the jury finds out about this. And it's not

0:33:21.520 --> 0:33:23.960
<v Speaker 1>really relevant to the trial, to the case at hand,

0:33:24.320 --> 0:33:27.760
<v Speaker 1>so most likely the jury will never know that in

0:33:27.800 --> 0:33:29.880
<v Speaker 1>the middle of the trial, there were threats made. But

0:33:30.240 --> 0:33:32.719
<v Speaker 1>you know, in our day and age, more and more

0:33:33.160 --> 0:33:37.440
<v Speaker 1>is happening that that defendants and prosecutors and judges are

0:33:37.520 --> 0:33:40.440
<v Speaker 1>indeed being threatened. It's kind of a sad commentary on

0:33:40.520 --> 0:33:44.800
<v Speaker 1>our society. Oftentimes you hear about prosecutors being threatened rather

0:33:44.880 --> 0:33:49.719
<v Speaker 1>than defense attorneys. Do prosecutors have protection a certain amount?

0:33:49.880 --> 0:33:52.080
<v Speaker 1>When I was a prosecutor, I carried a gun and

0:33:52.160 --> 0:33:54.480
<v Speaker 1>I was a deputy U. S. Marshal at the same time,

0:33:54.520 --> 0:33:58.080
<v Speaker 1>I was deputized because of threats, And that happens because

0:33:58.120 --> 0:34:01.480
<v Speaker 1>so many people just take man is into their own hands.

0:34:01.480 --> 0:34:05.360
<v Speaker 1>But both prosecutors and defense attorneys are always targets, and

0:34:05.440 --> 0:34:09.440
<v Speaker 1>sometimes for different reasons. The prosecution might be targeted because

0:34:09.560 --> 0:34:12.520
<v Speaker 1>the defendants or whoever else does look like what they're doing.

0:34:12.760 --> 0:34:16.200
<v Speaker 1>But then the defense attorneys themselves can be targets because

0:34:16.239 --> 0:34:19.200
<v Speaker 1>people might not like the way they're approaching the case

0:34:19.320 --> 0:34:21.319
<v Speaker 1>or they think they're not doing a good enough job.

0:34:21.520 --> 0:34:24.800
<v Speaker 1>So either way, there can be threats. And the judge

0:34:24.840 --> 0:34:29.160
<v Speaker 1>in this case has been careful about security. He's keeping

0:34:29.200 --> 0:34:32.520
<v Speaker 1>the jurors name secrets. So do you think that's because

0:34:32.560 --> 0:34:35.720
<v Speaker 1>of the nature of the case. Yes, and you often

0:34:35.760 --> 0:34:39.399
<v Speaker 1>see that in very high profile maskia cases or mob

0:34:39.520 --> 0:34:42.600
<v Speaker 1>cases or cases with a lot of violence to keep

0:34:42.680 --> 0:34:45.200
<v Speaker 1>the jurors out of it. So that that protects the

0:34:45.280 --> 0:34:47.960
<v Speaker 1>jurors and it makes them feel better and more comfortable

0:34:48.080 --> 0:34:51.160
<v Speaker 1>in actually doing the deliberation. And as former U S

0:34:51.200 --> 0:34:54.680
<v Speaker 1>attorney Matthew Schneider speaking of the Bloomberg Student Grosso, catch

0:34:54.719 --> 0:34:57.600
<v Speaker 1>more that interview plus analysis of the latest legal news

0:34:57.800 --> 0:35:00.640
<v Speaker 1>by listening to the Bloomberg Law Show attend m Eastern

0:35:00.680 --> 0:35:04.040
<v Speaker 1>Time or subscribing to the Bloomberg Law Podcast, and attorneys

0:35:04.040 --> 0:35:06.840
<v Speaker 1>can find exception only go research and business development tools

0:35:06.880 --> 0:35:10.680
<v Speaker 1>at Bloomberg Law dot com. And again, futures this morning,

0:35:10.880 --> 0:35:13.480
<v Speaker 1>S and P futures are higher, up seven points. And

0:35:13.520 --> 0:35:16.799
<v Speaker 1>we're watching crude oil this morning as it falls down

0:35:16.880 --> 0:35:20.440
<v Speaker 1>five point nine percent at a hundred one dollar forty

0:35:20.560 --> 0:35:25.239
<v Speaker 1>seven cents a barrel, and Bloomberg Daybreak continues. This is

0:35:25.280 --> 0:35:25.880
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg