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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you?

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Speaker 2: It's a Wednesday for the Daily Juice podcast. I'm your host,

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Speaker 2: Matt Parolt, every single morning, you guys, get here wherever

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Speaker 2: you get your audio podcasts our videos are always available

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Speaker 2: on Bettingpros, bettingpros dot com and the Betting Pros YouTube channel.

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Speaker 2: My name is Matt Parolt. You guys can follow me

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Speaker 2: across all socials at Sports Talk Matt and Boy. Betting

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Speaker 2: is a roller coaster, so one in four on Monday,

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Speaker 2: we did get the plus one eighty five to come

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Speaker 2: in with Daytona. That fortuitous break got us hot. We

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Speaker 2: swept the board yesterday three and oh the Creighton Blue

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Speaker 2: Jays with their first win over a number one ranked

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Speaker 2: team in school history, the Creaton Blue Jays beating and

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Speaker 2: defending champion for the first time since nineteen forty seven.

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Speaker 2: And they didn't just beat Yukon, they beat the living

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Speaker 2: daylights out of Yukon last night. That was awesome. They

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Speaker 2: went down and then foul trouble got involved with Yukon

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Speaker 2: and the Jays just didn't miss. And I got to

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Speaker 2: eat all of my words about Steven Ashworth over the

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Speaker 2: last couple of months because I did not think he fit.

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Speaker 2: I was very concerned with his inability to guard. I

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Speaker 2: was very concerned about his inability to be a true

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Speaker 2: point guard. And yet he has played very well over

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Speaker 2: the last really like six games for the Creighton Blue Jays.

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Speaker 2: What a damn win for coach McDermott, What a win

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Speaker 2: for Omaha. I've been covering Creighton basketball since two thousand

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Speaker 2: and five. I don't remember a court storm. On the broadcast,

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Speaker 2: they said happened in twenty twenty, right before the COVID year. Okay,

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Speaker 2: I don't remember it in twenty twelve.

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Speaker 1: I don't remember that at all.

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Speaker 2: I mean it was in a bracketbuster game, so I

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Speaker 2: definitely think that's possible.

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Speaker 1: That was during.

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Speaker 2: The the Dan Altman era. But the Jays generally do

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Speaker 2: not like court storming. They do not allow it. They

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Speaker 2: don't like it. But he beat the number one team

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Speaker 2: in the country. Get out of the way. They're going

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Speaker 2: to storm the court and board. Did they ever have

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Speaker 2: a good time last night in Omaha? That was great.

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Speaker 2: Utah State came in. We got that right BYU bounced

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Speaker 2: back after a rough couple of minutes to.

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Speaker 1: Start the game against Baylor. To get that right three

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Speaker 1: and oh, up three units on the day.

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Speaker 2: So from one and four to three and oh, and

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Speaker 2: we're four and four and we're up on the week.

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Speaker 2: Just like that. That's gambling. That's sports bending in a nutshell.

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Speaker 2: And that's why, you know, one of the fun things

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Speaker 2: about this podcast is that I tell you guys everything

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Speaker 2: when I lose, when I win, I just I'm transparent

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Speaker 2: with my official plays as to how I have done.

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Speaker 2: And some of you understand the roller coaster. Some of

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Speaker 2: you got kind of crazy and you're like, bet two

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Speaker 2: units on everything he's playing because he's gonna win today

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Speaker 2: and it happened. I mean, that's the rollercoaster of it,

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Speaker 2: up and down, up and down. So down Monday, up Tuesday.

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Speaker 2: What does that mean for Wednesday? I don't know. Probably down.

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Speaker 2: But we're sticking with college basketball.

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Speaker 1: The number.

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Speaker 2: I'm now fifty three and thirty nine in college basketball.

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Speaker 2: We're up over thirteen units in college basketball.

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Speaker 1: Let's just ride this sport.

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Speaker 2: Okay, hockey, I didn't bet anything, but I like mythical

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Speaker 2: bet hockey. I don't know if you guys ever do that,

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Speaker 2: but you're like, let's see how cold I am in

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Speaker 2: a sport. If I were to have bet, what would

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Speaker 2: I have come out with with the NHL. I would

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Speaker 2: have gone one in four with the NHL. No, thank

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Speaker 2: you staying away from hockey. Clearly you know no NBA

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Speaker 2: to bet yet, so that comes back later in the week.

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Speaker 2: Let's just stick with college basketball. This podcast being brought

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Speaker 2: to you by Omaha Steaks dot Com. The customized URL

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Speaker 2: is Omaha Steaks dot com slash juice. When you guys

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Speaker 2: use that url, you can sign up for a subscription

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Speaker 2: service to Omaha Steaks dot com. They'll give you free

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Speaker 2: burgers for life for doing it, plus ten percent off

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Speaker 2: there sign up from the sub go there at Omaha

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Speaker 2: Steaks dot com slash juice. Okay, tough night. This is

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Speaker 2: a tough night. Just gonna be honest. This is a

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Speaker 2: tough night. Duke's at Miami numbers five and a half.

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Speaker 2: Kempalm has this as a six point win for Duke

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Speaker 2: Numbers five and a half.

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Speaker 1: Duke's offense is really good.

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Speaker 2: They're twelfth in efficiency, they're twenty ninth in effective field

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Speaker 2: goal percentage, their twentieth and three point percentage, their fiftieth

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Speaker 2: and two point percentage. Miami's offense is good, not outstanding.

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Speaker 2: It's good sixty eighth inefficiency, thirty six in effective field

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Speaker 2: goal percentage, twenty ninth and three point defense sorry three

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Speaker 2: point shooting, and sixty fourth and two points percentage. They

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Speaker 2: get thirty four point five percent of their points from

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Speaker 2: behind the three point line. This is the identical handicap

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Speaker 2: to the Creyton Blue Jays up against Yukon as it

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Speaker 2: is Miami up against Duke. It's the same handicap. Miami

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Speaker 2: has to hit their threes. If Miami hits their threes,

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Speaker 2: Miami can win this game outright? Will they probably not?

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Speaker 2: But I feel like five and a half is too

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Speaker 2: many points. It's too heavy now. Duke on the road

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Speaker 2: this year is five to four and one, but Miami

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Speaker 2: is eight five and one ats at home, and darn

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Speaker 2: do they need a win here.

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Speaker 1: They've lost four in a row, They've.

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Speaker 2: Lost five out of six, and I mean everything is

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Speaker 2: going south for Jim Larronege's team. For Duke, the exact opposite.

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Speaker 2: They beat Florida State laying six, they.

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Speaker 1: Won by nine.

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Speaker 2: They beat Wake Forest by laying seven, they won by eight.

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Speaker 2: They beat Boston College leg twelve and a half one

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Speaker 2: by fifteen. They beat nor Name Lane the one by eighteen.

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Speaker 2: They lost to North Carolina. But since that lost to

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Speaker 2: Carolina on the road, they've won four games in a

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Speaker 2: row and covered all four. They're hot, but on the

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Speaker 2: road this year they've been kind of wishy washy.

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Speaker 1: You know.

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Speaker 2: They didn't cover against Notre Dame on the road. They

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Speaker 2: didn't cover against Louisville on the road, didn't cover against

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Speaker 2: North Carolina on the road. Yes, they did cover against

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Speaker 2: Florida State in their last game. But I got a

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Speaker 2: team in Miami that's playing for their life, I mean

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Speaker 2: literally playing for their life here. They have got to

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Speaker 2: try to I mean, if not win this game, keep

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Speaker 2: this game extremely close five and a half. I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: ride this home late February home trend Miami plus five

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Speaker 2: and a half for one point one units. Let's lose

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Speaker 2: the game by three. ESPN's got the broadcast huge game

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Speaker 2: in the ACC. Miami has to have it. I'm taking

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Speaker 2: the home to Miami plus five and a half to

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Speaker 2: the big eats we go. Providence is on the road

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Speaker 2: against Xavier. According to kempom, this is going to be

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Speaker 2: a four point win. The number is five. Xavier at

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Speaker 2: home laying five up against Providence. They played in Providence

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Speaker 2: eighty five sixty five, twenty point win. Xavier killed Providence

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Speaker 2: earlier this year. Now does that mean that's going to

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Speaker 2: happen again. No, Obviously, new venue, different time, different teams. Really,

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Speaker 2: Providence on the road this year is very good ats.

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Speaker 1: They're seven and three.

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Speaker 2: Xavier at home this year they're eight and seven, having

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Speaker 2: covered in their last three games. Seven and seven Xavier

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Speaker 2: ats against the Beast Providence ten and five. Here's the thing,

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Speaker 2: back to back losses for Xavier. They are in jeopardy

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Speaker 2: of not making the NAA turn. Their backs are squarely

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Speaker 2: against the wall, and they got a home crowd to

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Speaker 2: try to take them a victory.

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Speaker 1: They need it.

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Speaker 2: They're laying five. Providence has been great at keeping games close. Okay,

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Speaker 2: Providence won by three against Saint John's in covered. They

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Speaker 2: lost by three against Butler in covered. They won by

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Speaker 2: four against the creaton Blue Jays at home two point,

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Speaker 2: Dogs one by four and covered on the road against

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Speaker 2: Nova they got worked four and a half point. Dogs

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Speaker 2: lost by eighteen. But against Seaton Hall on the road,

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Speaker 2: catching four. They won by four against DePaul they laid

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Speaker 2: nine and a half. They won by thirty eight. Against

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Speaker 2: Saint John's on the road, catching seven and a half,

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Speaker 2: they lost by two. Against the Great and Blue Jays,

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Speaker 2: catching eleven, they lost by nine. They have a good

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Speaker 2: they have a good knack of keeping games close. But

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Speaker 2: if you go to Kempom and take a look at

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Speaker 2: how Camp Pomp sees this game, four point win, it's

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Speaker 2: one possession, right, It's one more free throw, It's one

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Speaker 2: more bucket that comes in here. And I think, given

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Speaker 2: the fact that they've already killed them once, I think,

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Speaker 2: with your backs squarely against the wall, in a must

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Speaker 2: win situation, they're ten and five straight up at home.

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Speaker 2: They've beaten some decent teams like Saint John's at home

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Speaker 2: so far this year. I'm going to take the more

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Speaker 2: desperate team here. I think if you just look at

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Speaker 2: the wins so far at home, Butler eighty five seventy one,

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Speaker 2: Georgetown ninety two, ninety one, that's a fluke. Saint John's

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Speaker 2: eighty eight seventy seven, Villanova fifty six fifty three, Seaton

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Speaker 2: Hall seventy four fifty four. They've blown teams out at home.

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Speaker 2: They already blew out Providence once this year. I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: go ahead and back Xavier here at home for Shawn

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Speaker 2: Miller's club, they're thirteen and twelve straight up, they're seven

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Speaker 2: and seven in the Big East. It's absolute go time

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Speaker 2: for them. They play Providence, then then if a Marquette

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Speaker 2: on the road to Paul and home, George on the road,

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Speaker 2: Butler on the road in Marquette at home. They can't

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Speaker 2: afford any more losses. I mean they literally they lose

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Speaker 2: this game. They probably lose both games to Marquette and

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Speaker 2: they're out.

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Speaker 1: That's it.

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Speaker 2: No naa tournament for Xavier. Huge game tonight for them,

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Speaker 2: A lay the five at home Xavier minus five for

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Speaker 2: one point one units. And finally we're gonna go to

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Speaker 2: Kentucky in LSU. Who I've gone back and forth like

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Speaker 2: crazy on this game. Okay, the number is up to seven. Now?

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Speaker 2: Why well, I think what the pros are hearing and

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Speaker 2: whether it's true or not, we're gonna find out. But

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Speaker 2: it sounds like from an injury standpoint, it sounds like

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Speaker 2: one of the key guards for LSU, Jalen Cook, is out.

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Speaker 1: He's questionable.

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Speaker 2: But the number jumped to seven because I think the

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Speaker 2: theory is he's out Kentucky minus seven. Now this year,

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Speaker 2: Kentucky on the road is eight and two. Ats. They've

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Speaker 2: been tremendous five and eight. LSU five and eight eight.

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Speaker 2: Excuse me ats, but Kentucky is seven and five. In

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Speaker 2: the SEC, LSU was six and six. Everybody was wowed

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Speaker 2: by what Kentucky did to Auburn in their last game

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Speaker 2: on the road. Crushed them. They were catching eight and

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Speaker 2: a half points. They won by eleven. They routed Auburn.

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Speaker 2: Remember what happened at Yukon when Yukon destroyed Marquette. What

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Speaker 2: happened in the next game. The inconsistencies of Kentucky worries

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Speaker 2: may here. So you know, they beat Missouri by thirteen.

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Speaker 2: Then they went on the road and they lost to Missouri.

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Speaker 2: Sorry no, sorry, did they beat Missouri by thirteen? They

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Speaker 2: went on the road, they lost Texa and m by five.

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Speaker 2: They beat Georgia by nine, went on the road and

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Speaker 2: lost by seventeen to South Carolina. They beat Vanderbilt by

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Speaker 2: thirty two. They lost agains zagad home. See my point

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Speaker 2: when they have a big win, they're very inconsistent. Everyone

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Speaker 2: like Kentucky is beloved by so many people that when

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Speaker 2: Kentucky wins and they blow people out, they're like up,

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Speaker 2: they're back.

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Speaker 1: John Keller Parti's got them fixed, they're all back.

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Speaker 2: On the road against South Carolina last time out, LSU

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Speaker 2: won the game outright, it's eight point docs Against Florida

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Speaker 2: on the road, they were catching eleven. They lost by two.

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Speaker 2: Now Bama did kill them in both games against Alabama

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Speaker 2: they lost by seventeen and by twenty one. Yes, they

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Speaker 2: got killed on the road against Tennessee lost by twenty.

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Speaker 2: They beat Arkansall by twenty one. Though they beat Ole

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Speaker 2: Miss by nine. They lost to A and M by four.

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Speaker 2: At home, they went to Auburn, they lost by fifteen points.

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Speaker 2: Kentucky went there won. The point is LSU is really

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Speaker 2: up and down, but they've covered their last two games.

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Speaker 2: And this is Kentucky in baton rouge. This is a

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Speaker 2: chance to do some damage. This is a chance to

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Speaker 2: get an absolute monster, monster win if they can pull

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Speaker 2: this off. Now, chances are they're not going to pull

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Speaker 2: this off. But it feels heavy. Seven points just feels

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Speaker 2: like it's too much for Kentucky. Kempum has this as

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Speaker 2: a four point win. Now I get it. Key injury.

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Speaker 2: Pros are betting against it, but it's still three points

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Speaker 2: of value here on this in college basketball, Yes, one

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Speaker 2: kids are One kid is incredibly important and it can

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Speaker 2: change everything for LSU if they do not If Jalen

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Speaker 2: Cook is out. He's a guy who's been tremendous playing

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Speaker 2: thirty four minutes a game for them, a guy who

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Speaker 2: has the basketball on his hands a lot. He can

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Speaker 2: shoot from three, he can you know, he's a good

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Speaker 2: foul shooter. He's he's a huge loss. I'm not saying

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Speaker 2: he's not, but I'm not sure that he's worth three points.

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Speaker 2: One player college basketball, I'm gonna take the dog. Give

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Speaker 2: me LSU at home plus seven. We're taking the Tigers

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Speaker 2: at home this year. Fading that number for Kentucky at

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Speaker 2: eight and two because well it's Kentucky, and I think

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Speaker 2: the numbers inflated because it's Kentucky. I think they win

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Speaker 2: the game. But winning on the road in college basketball

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Speaker 2: is so hard. We just saw it last night, right,

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Speaker 2: So tough to win on the road. Got a home

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Speaker 2: dog in LSU. Give me seven LSU plus seven for

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Speaker 2: one point one units, all right, three bets in college basketball?

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Speaker 2: Like last night, Miami plus five and a half, Xavier

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Speaker 2: minus five, LSU plus seven. All three teams are at home,

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Speaker 2: just like last night. Backing home teams here late in February,

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Speaker 2: because well, winning on the road in college basketball is

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Speaker 2: next to impossible right now.

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Speaker 1: It's really really hard.

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Speaker 2: Minus Matt Parolt, you guessn't follow me across all socials

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Speaker 2: at sports Talk Matt. Each every morning, the Dale Juice

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Speaker 2: podcast ills being brought to you by Omaha stakes dot

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Speaker 2: Com