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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast from the Action Network.

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Speaker 1: I am Chad Meulman, or as I am officially renaming

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Speaker 1: the podcast this week the greatest betting podcast of all

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Speaker 1: time because we for the second week this season, the

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Speaker 1: second week out of six, we've gone five and oh,

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Speaker 1: I am Chad Melman. As I said, I will be

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Speaker 1: joined by Professional Better, Simon Hunter, my partner in brilliance.

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Speaker 1: Simon say hello, take about Hey guys, Hey guys, thanks

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Speaker 1: for being so humble. Chad, someone's gotta do it. I

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Speaker 1: know your ego is massive, and I've got to be

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Speaker 1: here to regulate, modulate and do the things that's sort

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Speaker 1: of appropriate. Host do a reminder for everybody, I'm going

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Speaker 1: to get into sort of Simon's bragging in a second. Uh,

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Speaker 1: Simon Hunter, Professional Better is joining the pod every week

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Speaker 1: and together we have entered the Draft Kings Pro Football

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Speaker 1: pick Up National Championship. We will decide together which pete

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Speaker 1: which picks five picks he should put in every single week. Frankly,

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Speaker 1: right now we are god damn genius. Is but a

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Speaker 1: little extra prize for the fans. You're gonna love this, Simon.

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Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell, producer, You haven't heard this either. I had

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Speaker 1: this idea the other day and I decided to just

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Speaker 1: to do it before we get to the recap. We

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Speaker 1: are trying something new with the phrase that pay something

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Speaker 1: I thought of a very brilliant idea, maybe inspired by

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Speaker 1: being five. And now I can't quite tell you, but

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Speaker 1: anyone who listens to the podcast knows that all season

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Speaker 1: long we've been doing the phrase to pays. Contest. You

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Speaker 1: go put a review of the podcast in iTunes, and

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Speaker 1: if Matt Mitchell, producer extraordinaire and I choose it, you

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Speaker 1: will win a free action network couldy we are raised

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Speaker 1: in the stakes because Simon and I are doing so

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Speaker 1: well and we just went five and oh, I don't

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Speaker 1: think it's enough to give away hoodies anymore. I don't

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Speaker 1: think it's enough to sort of bask in the glory

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Speaker 1: of our brilliance and keep winning these contests week after

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Speaker 1: week after week and not share it with our loyal

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Speaker 1: listeners who continued to provide excellent free you back. So

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Speaker 1: here's what I decided that Mitchell, are you ready? You

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Speaker 1: have no idea this is coming. You do not know

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Speaker 1: this is coming. It sounds like you've gone mad. The

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Speaker 1: power from now through the end of the season, we're

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Speaker 1: just giving away cash. One lucky winner will win one

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Speaker 1: hundred dollars for every game we win each week. What

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Speaker 1: do you think of that? Wow, that's that's that's a

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Speaker 1: that's worth a little. It more than one hooded sweatshirt

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Speaker 1: chat if we win five games. If we win five games,

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Speaker 1: you get five. If we win three games, you get

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Speaker 1: three hundred dollars. You guys get it. Uh. The thing

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Speaker 1: is this prize could evolve, It could become even bigger.

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Speaker 1: Like that's that's the beauty of this. To be eligible

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Speaker 1: go review the podcast. Using the phrase, Simon says, we

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Speaker 1: worked it out. If we like it and randomly choose it,

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Speaker 1: you will win the money starting this week. Um, it's

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Speaker 1: kind of a bummer for last week's winner, who did

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Speaker 1: a really nice job, and he's gonna win a hoodie

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Speaker 1: and we will announce that at the end of the show.

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Speaker 1: In case you are not aware, Simon and I went

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Speaker 1: five an hour in the d in the DraftKings Pro

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Speaker 1: Football pick up contest this past week. Simon, last week

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Speaker 1: on the pod, we were vulnerable. We admitted Twitter users

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Speaker 1: were in our head. We admitted that you and I

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Speaker 1: were communicating. What change? Man? What changed? Cheah? I'm still

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Speaker 1: trying to recover here from you giving away a hundred

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Speaker 1: dollars per win every week. Look at you man big

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Speaker 1: time over here. I believe I believe in us. I

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Speaker 1: believe in us too, buddy. Um yeah, man. Uh we

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Speaker 1: we talked a little Saturday. I mean, you're running a company,

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Speaker 1: so I like, I feel weird even bothering you in

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Speaker 1: the first place, So I like, randomly send you text

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Speaker 1: and if you don't hit me back right away, I'm

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Speaker 1: just like, all right, Chad's doing this thing with this

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Speaker 1: kid or running. Let me pull back the current a

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Speaker 1: little bit. Let me pull back the current a little bit, please,

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Speaker 1: do I think it's fair to say, and Matt Mitchell

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Speaker 1: can confirm this. I do so little here by that.

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Speaker 1: You know, there's so many good quality, talented people at

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Speaker 1: the Action Network. I'll view my job as a manager

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Speaker 1: to hire well, get out of the way, and uh,

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Speaker 1: you know, make sure I'm mixing a cocktail by five

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Speaker 1: o'clock so you're never bothering me. Alright, perfect? So anyway,

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Speaker 1: uh yeah, basically we had our like the games we like.

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Speaker 1: Do you sent me three games? I think all I

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Speaker 1: think they all hit except Houston, which was like the

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Speaker 1: brutal beat of the week. And in between switch Yeah,

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Speaker 1: we were in between switching out the Patriots UM and

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Speaker 1: the Dolphins. And my whole thinking was, I, I just

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Speaker 1: can't these weeks. Can't keep passing, We can't keep not

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Speaker 1: picking against the Dolphins. I didn't care that we had

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Speaker 1: the survivor pool, like I wouldn't recommend doing that, putting

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Speaker 1: so many eggs in one basket. But like we said

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Speaker 1: um last week, like I'll never come on here and

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Speaker 1: say a person shouldn't be playing in the NFL unless

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Speaker 1: it's Joe Flacco. So if I say that about a player,

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Speaker 1: that obviously it sums up how I feel. I really

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Speaker 1: don't care what the spread is. If it's Joe Flacco,

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna bet against it. And man, was that an

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Speaker 1: easy day. The only real sweat was the Bears for us.

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Speaker 1: But like, even with the defense, that's what I was

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Speaker 1: believing the whole time. I didn't care when Caroline had

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Speaker 1: the ball. I just had faith in the defense to

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Speaker 1: get stops and hold them for field goals. So as

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Speaker 1: far as our seasons going, that was definitely the easiest

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Speaker 1: We got the other year. I mean just really no sweat.

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Speaker 1: There was no sweat at all. I mean the Bears

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Speaker 1: was a little sweat, um, the Lions wasn't a sweat

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Speaker 1: in the least, the Steelers wasn't a sweat in the least.

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Speaker 1: The Dolphins not even a conversation. I kept trying to

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Speaker 1: do the gambler's math, like, all right, what happens here?

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Speaker 1: What happens here? Like how can this get screwed up?

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Speaker 1: And it just it couldn't. And then the box like

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Speaker 1: it looked ugly in the beginning, Aaron Rodgers, you know,

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Speaker 1: doing his Dingleberry thing and feeling like, um, we were

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Speaker 1: going to be screwed there. And then on a dime,

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Speaker 1: it changed. And it changed, by the way, for all

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Speaker 1: the things that for all the reasons that we said

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Speaker 1: it would change, Aaron Rodgers was actually playing a real defense, right,

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Speaker 1: and that we just talked about no no teams going

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Speaker 1: undefeat and no teams going on defeat against the spread.

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Speaker 1: It's just all gamblers know this, and that was an

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Speaker 1: easy spot. We talked all the time about teams heading

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Speaker 1: down to Florida, especially Old Weather team coming down there.

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Speaker 1: People think that's just a made up thing. It's a

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Speaker 1: real thing when these teams traveled down the floor and

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Speaker 1: they're not used to be in the human heat. So that, uh,

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Speaker 1: that interception was nice, but it was another day where

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Speaker 1: these teams were losing and they keep coming back, Like

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Speaker 1: I missed on the Colts with the Bengals because I

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Speaker 1: had the Colts and a couple of teasers and Camp

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Speaker 1: comes Sunday. I might have put like just a little

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Speaker 1: bit on the Bengals money line. So when that game

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Speaker 1: picked off, I was feeling pretty good. I was like, man,

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Speaker 1: this this cold steam. There they are who we thought

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Speaker 1: they were. And I was killing myself for not taking

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Speaker 1: that live money line because we keep seeing this happened

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Speaker 1: with these teams at home. They can come back on

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Speaker 1: these on these money lines. So sure enough that Brady

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Speaker 1: got down ten um. What happened? I think they just

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Speaker 1: pointed back to Rogers and I took the live money line,

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Speaker 1: which wasn't even crazy big. It was like plus four

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Speaker 1: hundred or plus three hundred um. But the whole thing

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Speaker 1: was exactly what we talked about, where it was like

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Speaker 1: Rogers playing a real defense. Here, He's gonna slip up,

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Speaker 1: and sure enough, back to back interception shifted that whole game.

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Speaker 1: So that was one of those weeks, buddy, where we

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Speaker 1: couldn't miss. So hopefully that we keep it rolling here

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Speaker 1: another another another week or the tough Slady games. Well, look,

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Speaker 1: obviously we cannot expect to win like go five and

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Speaker 1: now everything. Oh we can't. Oh we can't chat the

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Speaker 1: fans expect it. I have friends out here who have

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Speaker 1: been putting a hundred dollars on each week, parlaying our

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Speaker 1: five picks, and I told him how stupid it was.

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Speaker 1: They're up five k now one, Yeah, they hit week one.

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Speaker 1: It was like a hundred to win two thousand, two thousand,

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Speaker 1: five hundred sixty And then they just said it this

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Speaker 1: past week. So he's only lost three or four weeks

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Speaker 1: out of doing it the whole season. I hate the

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Speaker 1: kid because he's just like laughing about it because he

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Speaker 1: keeps doing it, keeps how much did you put on

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Speaker 1: the Bucks live line at plus four hundred? Just like

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Speaker 1: if I hit these live numbers, I just do it

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Speaker 1: because I already have so much into it, Like I

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Speaker 1: don't want to be a chaser, but if there's value

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Speaker 1: there and I believe in the number, I usually just

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Speaker 1: head a g like it depends on the book. But um,

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Speaker 1: like I joked on Twitter, like I was down Sunday

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Speaker 1: morning before like the NFL rush. This Sunday coming up

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Speaker 1: because the public just got smacked around. I can go

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Speaker 1: out new it's gonna be empty. It's a good weekend

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Speaker 1: as a pro. Good on the sports book because it's

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Speaker 1: gonna be empty before kickoff. Yeah, that was a great

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Speaker 1: video or picture. I ken't forget which what what what

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Speaker 1: it was? You were at some book and it was

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Speaker 1: like just Sunday morning, the rush, and like, look, we

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Speaker 1: try to capture that. We have a show Action Network

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Speaker 1: Live that we do on Sunday mornings at eleven o'clock

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Speaker 1: and it's really a news and information show and it

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Speaker 1: goes all around like these are the big bets and

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Speaker 1: this is the information that you're looking for right now

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Speaker 1: based on the trends we're seeing digitally on our website

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Speaker 1: in our app. And then we'll have Chris Raybon and

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Speaker 1: Stocky and this week we had stuck you. Normally we

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Speaker 1: have Sean Corner and Matthew Friedman who will like give me,

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Speaker 1: try to convince me of the bets that I should take,

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Speaker 1: and that window we do it at eleven o'clock because

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Speaker 1: that window from eleven to one is the most like

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Speaker 1: we do it on an Action Network h Q by

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Speaker 1: the way, or you can get in the app. It's

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Speaker 1: a free app downloaded. You can see this see the

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Speaker 1: show at the top of the feed in the app.

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Speaker 1: Sunday mornings eleven am. Check it out Action Network Live

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Speaker 1: using newfore you can use. It's a great window. It's

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Speaker 1: a great window because, uh, it's so exciting, lad is

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Speaker 1: when all the action happens, and like it is a

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Speaker 1: thrilling experience. Yeah, it's fun. I'm actually I'm the weirdo.

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Speaker 1: I leave like the sports bug as soon as the

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Speaker 1: public starts coming in. I get the hell out of

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Speaker 1: there because it's just like old guys talking like, uh,

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Speaker 1: the lock of the week, the Patriots minus nine and

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Speaker 1: a half, Like these guys are screaming. I'm just like,

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Speaker 1: all right, time to hit the blackjack table or just

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Speaker 1: drive home. But yeah, it's it's definitely watching the lines move.

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Speaker 1: It's it's there's nothing better than the one, especially where

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Speaker 1: the reason I wanted to get off the Patriots so

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Speaker 1: bad was all of a sudden, all this money was

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Speaker 1: coming on Denver like there's other sharp groups out there,

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Speaker 1: like that's not a myth, Like these dudes make a

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Speaker 1: living off this. And when I saw all the money

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Speaker 1: coming in on Denver, I go, oh, ship, these guys

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Speaker 1: got to read we got we gotta get off the

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Speaker 1: Patriots ACEEP. So it's it's fun watching the lines move

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Speaker 1: and try to see where the money's going, because it's

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Speaker 1: gonna lead you astray sometimes. Like people were texting me

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Speaker 1: getting scared of the Tampa Bay pick because it went

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Speaker 1: up to plus three right before kickoff. I said, take

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Speaker 1: it again, Like I took the Eagles eight, I took

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Speaker 1: the Eagles nine. It took the Eagles ten. Yeah, it

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Speaker 1: could have looked like an idiot. They got blown out.

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Speaker 1: When you're playing the number, it's long term. You're just

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Speaker 1: getting the best of the value each week. So if

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Speaker 1: you're already in on a low number, why not just

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Speaker 1: keep riding, trust your instincts and keep keep taking the

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Speaker 1: better number. Well, we're gonna expruss our instincts and we're

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Speaker 1: gonna move on to these games. Let's talk about the

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Speaker 1: Thursday night game. Speaking of the Eagles, the Eagles right

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Speaker 1: now are what four point favorites. Majority of the money,

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Speaker 1: the majority of the bets coming in the Eagles. The

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Speaker 1: Eagles to me, two weeks in a row now played

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Speaker 1: the Steelers hard with no real you know there there.

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Speaker 1: They are banged up, they are not playing a full strength,

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Speaker 1: played the Ravens really really hard. And the Ravens are

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Speaker 1: a team they should have blown the Eagles out. And

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Speaker 1: the Ravens are a team that generally doesn't play down

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Speaker 1: to their competition. So what I saw from the Eagles

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Speaker 1: this week, especially like when it seemed like they were

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Speaker 1: deactivating players and sort of giving in just getting ready

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Speaker 1: to play to win the division on Thursday night, um

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Speaker 1: really really impressive. Yeah. And if you haven't hooked hopped

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Speaker 1: on Twitter in the last twenty four hours, did you

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Speaker 1: know that the NFC East is five and eighteen and one.

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Speaker 1: People keep posting how bad DNC East says. We all

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Speaker 1: watch football, we know Jesus Man as an Eagles here,

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Speaker 1: and I can't take it. It's like, dude, I know

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Speaker 1: I'm in the worst division of football. Please stop posting

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Speaker 1: that it's five and eighteen and one. We get it.

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Speaker 1: They suck. Um. Yeah, I don't know. It's one of

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Speaker 1: those where it's like I wanted fade the Giants because

247
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Speaker 1: they just won. But like, did they really win that game?

248
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Speaker 1: They kind of got out played by Washington. They luckily

249
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Speaker 1: got a striped sack and they went for two at

250
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Speaker 1: the end there for some reason, I don't get why

251
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Speaker 1: Washington didn't trust their defense to get a stop and

252
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Speaker 1: go to overtime and then maybe get the ball back

253
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Speaker 1: and all you need is a field goal to win it.

254
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Speaker 1: So I don't know, like the numbers, this should be three.

255
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Speaker 1: Like the Egos aren't better right now than the Giants.

256
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Speaker 1: They just lost Earths. They just lost Miles Sanders. Those

257
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Speaker 1: are two two of their best weapons. Every Like, when

258
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Speaker 1: I watch game from people really hate, Like I'm an

259
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Speaker 1: Egos fan. I hate Earths right now. He's horrible. When

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Speaker 1: you watch the film, he's bracketed. He oh, he's always

261
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Speaker 1: double covered. He's the only the only guy in our

262
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Speaker 1: entire offense that gets double coverage. So we lost Earths

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Speaker 1: right now. We already we just lost another backup offensive lineman.

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Speaker 1: So we have Kellyslee the one are one center is

265
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Speaker 1: our starter from the season. Like, this is the worst

266
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Speaker 1: offensive line I've ever had as an Egos fan. This

267
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Speaker 1: is like insanity so I'm gonna fade the public on

268
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Speaker 1: a Thursday night. I'm gonna take the points for the Giants,

269
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Speaker 1: and I don't feel great about it, but I just

270
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Speaker 1: think this is situation wal you're getting a good umber

271
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Speaker 1: with four. So I'm on the Giants. We are not

272
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Speaker 1: putting this game in the contest, like psychologically, we cannot

273
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Speaker 1: go into the weekend potentially oh and one because we

274
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Speaker 1: lost the Giants like find what find creative ways to

275
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Speaker 1: Like I was because I loved the Giants this weekend.

276
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Speaker 1: I think they were like a two and a half

277
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Speaker 1: and and we had projections with them as four and

278
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Speaker 1: a half point favorites, and I loved him. And I'm like,

279
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Speaker 1: I'm just done betting the Giants, like they find too

280
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Speaker 1: many creative ways to not cover Daniel Jones just isn't good.

281
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Speaker 1: So yeah, rolling the dice here by backing them, but right,

282
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Speaker 1: we don't We're not putting this up Packers Texans, All right,

283
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Speaker 1: hold on one step, let's move on to uh let's

284
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Speaker 1: move on to the Sunday games, the one PM games immediately.

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Speaker 1: This first game on the board, the Packers visiting the Texans,

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Speaker 1: the Texans three and a half point UM underdogs at

287
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Speaker 1: home a win in Romeo Cornell first game, a disgusting, disgusting,

288
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Speaker 1: inevitable loss and loss against the spread the second they

289
00:15:09,640 --> 00:15:11,880
Speaker 1: didn't convert that two point conversion to go up eight

290
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Speaker 1: with you know a minute left, every Texans better knew

291
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Speaker 1: it was over. I texted you immediately, which is like,

292
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Speaker 1: this is disgusting. Um, this is a game that I

293
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Speaker 1: think a lot of wise guys are gonna peg because

294
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Speaker 1: I feel like they're going to see an advantage in

295
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Speaker 1: the Texans at three and a half. If you're getting

296
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Speaker 1: that hook, what do you think? Yeah? Really Yeah, Like

297
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Speaker 1: I told you I was cool with taking like the

298
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Speaker 1: first game, but I told you I was gonna fade

299
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Speaker 1: him the rest of the year. Like I was one

300
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Speaker 1: of those assholes on the Titan side that won that

301
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Speaker 1: bet that shouldn't have won it. But it's just like

302
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Speaker 1: this guy, man, I don't want to back them, and

303
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Speaker 1: now this is a sharp number, like a home dog.

304
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Speaker 1: Um after a bad loss like that. But the way

305
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Speaker 1: I'm looking at the pas Reckers is they're good against

306
00:16:01,520 --> 00:16:03,800
Speaker 1: these not that good teams, and I don't they don't

307
00:16:03,800 --> 00:16:06,880
Speaker 1: have the defense to stop Rogers on Texas. So yeah,

308
00:16:06,920 --> 00:16:08,600
Speaker 1: this could be a shootout, and that's why you might

309
00:16:08,600 --> 00:16:10,960
Speaker 1: be getting a good number with that three. But I

310
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Speaker 1: had this up four and a half, so I think

311
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Speaker 1: I'm getting good number on green Bay right now. So

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Speaker 1: I'll be on the green Bay side. But I can't

313
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Speaker 1: fallow people for taking Houston here. Wow, this makes me.

314
00:16:23,040 --> 00:16:26,120
Speaker 1: My instinct would be automatically about the Texas. And as

315
00:16:26,160 --> 00:16:29,000
Speaker 1: you know, I'm trying to grow, I'm trying to evolve.

316
00:16:29,040 --> 00:16:31,120
Speaker 1: I'm trying to use the conversations we have to make

317
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Speaker 1: myself another person. I'm not always gonna be right, buddy.

318
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Speaker 1: I know you're not gonna be right, but you're bringing

319
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Speaker 1: a different sensibility and perspective to me that I would

320
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Speaker 1: have looked at this. It's almost like last week in

321
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Speaker 1: the Lions game. I wasn't even thinking about the Lions.

322
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Speaker 1: Like in a million years, I wouldn't look at the

323
00:16:47,720 --> 00:16:50,840
Speaker 1: Lions as road favorites and be comfortable betting it. But

324
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Speaker 1: we had a long conversation about it. You felt really

325
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Speaker 1: strongly about it. Chris Raybon talked about it in the

326
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Speaker 1: Action Network podcast was Stucky, and he wrote about it

327
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Speaker 1: an Action networked out plug plod. Thanks yeah, and like

328
00:17:05,119 --> 00:17:06,879
Speaker 1: it all made sense. And so a game that I

329
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Speaker 1: wouldn't have even considered was now a game that was

330
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Speaker 1: sort of in my top five, right, and and we

331
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Speaker 1: put it in the contest. I bet it separately. So no,

332
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Speaker 1: all of a sudden, I gotta think about this. Yeah,

333
00:17:17,720 --> 00:17:21,240
Speaker 1: I I'm trying to break you off these old school

334
00:17:21,320 --> 00:17:22,840
Speaker 1: things where people would be like, oh, this is the

335
00:17:22,880 --> 00:17:25,520
Speaker 1: sharp play of the week, Like, oh, the Jets last week,

336
00:17:25,560 --> 00:17:27,480
Speaker 1: that was a sharp play of the week. It's like,

337
00:17:27,920 --> 00:17:30,159
Speaker 1: who are these sharps, like the sharp SI I know,

338
00:17:30,359 --> 00:17:33,360
Speaker 1: like the dudes who really do better on football, they're

339
00:17:33,440 --> 00:17:36,560
Speaker 1: they're not taking that, Like maybe they'll take the Jets

340
00:17:36,560 --> 00:17:38,560
Speaker 1: this week if it's Sam Donald, that's a good number

341
00:17:38,560 --> 00:17:42,200
Speaker 1: of divisional game. But like with Flacco, it's just they

342
00:17:42,280 --> 00:17:46,119
Speaker 1: throw the sharp tag out there, like it's because they

343
00:17:46,160 --> 00:17:48,119
Speaker 1: say the money or they see a bad team that

344
00:17:48,280 --> 00:17:49,919
Speaker 1: that people are betting on it. It's just like, no,

345
00:17:50,040 --> 00:17:52,520
Speaker 1: that's just people back in the Jets because they didn't

346
00:17:52,520 --> 00:17:54,880
Speaker 1: believe in Miami. It wasn't sharp money coming on them.

347
00:17:54,920 --> 00:17:57,840
Speaker 1: But I don't know this this week, I definitely get

348
00:17:57,840 --> 00:18:00,119
Speaker 1: what you mean, like this this Green Bay will and

349
00:18:00,320 --> 00:18:02,120
Speaker 1: I might be stepping like I stepped in it last

350
00:18:02,160 --> 00:18:04,480
Speaker 1: week with the Rams going against the forty Niners, which

351
00:18:04,520 --> 00:18:07,199
Speaker 1: was just a classic spot where the fourty Niners the

352
00:18:07,280 --> 00:18:09,960
Speaker 1: line and moved seven points. You always take the team

353
00:18:10,000 --> 00:18:13,760
Speaker 1: that the line moved against at home, and I didn't

354
00:18:13,760 --> 00:18:16,200
Speaker 1: because I just trust what I was watching. So I'm

355
00:18:16,200 --> 00:18:17,800
Speaker 1: with you, man. I could be wrong here in Houston,

356
00:18:17,840 --> 00:18:19,960
Speaker 1: but I do like the Packers in the situation against

357
00:18:20,160 --> 00:18:23,000
Speaker 1: a Texas defense that cannot stop anybody, and they haven't

358
00:18:23,000 --> 00:18:26,440
Speaker 1: played well against good teams this year. For the record,

359
00:18:26,480 --> 00:18:27,919
Speaker 1: I didn't listen to you on the Rams, and I

360
00:18:27,960 --> 00:18:29,840
Speaker 1: went all in on the on the Niners. Not only

361
00:18:29,880 --> 00:18:32,479
Speaker 1: did I go all in on the Niners, I bet

362
00:18:32,560 --> 00:18:34,119
Speaker 1: him on the money line. So that was a pretty

363
00:18:34,119 --> 00:18:37,640
Speaker 1: good playing Mollman. Nice job. Well, thanks, Simon. Chad Millman

364
00:18:38,080 --> 00:18:41,040
Speaker 1: got something right, all right. So let's skip the Packers

365
00:18:41,040 --> 00:18:45,159
Speaker 1: in Texas Cowboys the Washington football team. I don't know

366
00:18:45,200 --> 00:18:46,760
Speaker 1: if there's that much to say, Like, I would not

367
00:18:46,760 --> 00:18:48,760
Speaker 1: put this as a top five game unless you're looking

368
00:18:48,800 --> 00:18:51,920
Speaker 1: at this and you're saying, uh, WHOA, No, I got

369
00:18:51,920 --> 00:18:57,640
Speaker 1: this rated at like Washington minus three, and if you've

370
00:18:57,640 --> 00:19:01,119
Speaker 1: got money to burn, I like I took Washington and

371
00:19:01,160 --> 00:19:03,480
Speaker 1: the Giants to win the division last week. I think

372
00:19:03,520 --> 00:19:09,159
Speaker 1: it was like I think the Giants were, Um, they

373
00:19:09,240 --> 00:19:12,000
Speaker 1: might have been plus like four thousand or maybe plus

374
00:19:12,040 --> 00:19:16,840
Speaker 1: three thousand in Washington was plus a thousand five dred maybe, UM,

375
00:19:16,920 --> 00:19:19,399
Speaker 1: I don't know. It's tough. It's tough here where. I

376
00:19:19,480 --> 00:19:21,919
Speaker 1: really like the Washington football team because I think that

377
00:19:22,000 --> 00:19:24,480
Speaker 1: with Kyle Allen, they're not as bad as all these

378
00:19:24,480 --> 00:19:29,679
Speaker 1: everyone thinks because their defensive front so good and the

379
00:19:29,760 --> 00:19:32,879
Speaker 1: Cowboys their biggest weakness right now on offenses their offensive line.

380
00:19:32,920 --> 00:19:36,680
Speaker 1: So people out there betting I get the bounce back

381
00:19:36,760 --> 00:19:39,640
Speaker 1: spot for the Cowboys like they they will be much

382
00:19:39,680 --> 00:19:41,960
Speaker 1: better than they were in that primetime game where they

383
00:19:41,960 --> 00:19:44,679
Speaker 1: just couldn't stop turning the ball over and they'll have

384
00:19:44,720 --> 00:19:48,560
Speaker 1: some regression on that part. But I don't know then,

385
00:19:48,760 --> 00:19:50,480
Speaker 1: Like I'm the way I'm looking at this number, it

386
00:19:50,640 --> 00:19:53,560
Speaker 1: just feels like I should just take the money line

387
00:19:53,600 --> 00:19:55,800
Speaker 1: with Washington just trusted that d linees is gonna get

388
00:19:55,840 --> 00:19:58,080
Speaker 1: way more stops and turnovers and they're the better team

389
00:19:58,080 --> 00:20:00,320
Speaker 1: in the Cowboys are right now. So I'm on the

390
00:20:00,320 --> 00:20:03,840
Speaker 1: Washington side. Well, look, you already missed the best of

391
00:20:03,880 --> 00:20:06,000
Speaker 1: the number. The game opened it's me. It's an hour

392
00:20:06,400 --> 00:20:10,000
Speaker 1: at DraftKings that Uh the game opened. Uh, Washington is

393
00:20:10,000 --> 00:20:12,560
Speaker 1: a three point dog. It's now Washington is now a

394
00:20:12,600 --> 00:20:15,280
Speaker 1: one and a half point dog. And this is a

395
00:20:15,320 --> 00:20:17,520
Speaker 1: classic pro joe game, Like the majority of the bets

396
00:20:17,520 --> 00:20:19,439
Speaker 1: are coming in on the Cowboys. The majority of the

397
00:20:19,440 --> 00:20:22,040
Speaker 1: money is coming in on Washington. That's why the line moved.

398
00:20:22,359 --> 00:20:24,480
Speaker 1: So you're right, if you like this game, just bet

399
00:20:24,520 --> 00:20:27,199
Speaker 1: the money line like that's that's it. It's probably what

400
00:20:27,400 --> 00:20:31,480
Speaker 1: right now, it's probably a plus one twenty maybe, um,

401
00:20:31,520 --> 00:20:34,320
Speaker 1: So just bet the money on and and that will

402
00:20:34,359 --> 00:20:35,879
Speaker 1: be that by the time the game kicks off, if

403
00:20:35,920 --> 00:20:38,199
Speaker 1: you haven't bet at already, you might be getting that

404
00:20:38,280 --> 00:20:42,720
Speaker 1: kind of it might be even anyway. So next game

405
00:20:43,359 --> 00:20:47,840
Speaker 1: Lions Falcons. This is really interesting because you've got two

406
00:20:47,920 --> 00:20:50,800
Speaker 1: teams that did so well in the past week. The Falcons,

407
00:20:51,320 --> 00:20:53,160
Speaker 1: so those of us who were paying attention, we were

408
00:20:53,160 --> 00:20:56,520
Speaker 1: on them from the second Dan Quinn was fired. The Lions.

409
00:20:56,560 --> 00:20:58,720
Speaker 1: We talked about we love them last week against a

410
00:20:58,880 --> 00:21:03,600
Speaker 1: very bad Jags team. I think the Falcons fall off

411
00:21:03,640 --> 00:21:08,000
Speaker 1: a cliff this week, and you're giving me at DraftKings, right,

412
00:21:08,000 --> 00:21:11,760
Speaker 1: and now the Falcons are three point favorites. The money

413
00:21:11,840 --> 00:21:14,879
Speaker 1: is coming in on Detroit. The bets are coming in

414
00:21:14,960 --> 00:21:18,080
Speaker 1: on the Falcons. I like the Lions in this game.

415
00:21:18,200 --> 00:21:24,520
Speaker 1: Call me crazy. Oh man, it's hard. Um, you're You're

416
00:21:24,560 --> 00:21:26,640
Speaker 1: probably right. The number is that three. I don't hate

417
00:21:26,640 --> 00:21:29,640
Speaker 1: taking the Lions here, but I just prefer to take

418
00:21:29,680 --> 00:21:32,040
Speaker 1: the Falcons at home again. So the Troit team that

419
00:21:32,119 --> 00:21:34,400
Speaker 1: just won on the road, it's really hard to win

420
00:21:34,440 --> 00:21:36,439
Speaker 1: back to back road game, especially when you're not that

421
00:21:36,520 --> 00:21:39,639
Speaker 1: great of a team. And I'm with you that the

422
00:21:39,680 --> 00:21:43,080
Speaker 1: Falcons should be falling off a cliff here. But I'm

423
00:21:43,119 --> 00:21:44,919
Speaker 1: one of the side that if Julio is playing and

424
00:21:44,960 --> 00:21:47,239
Speaker 1: they got Ridley, they're gonna be starting to groof here,

425
00:21:47,240 --> 00:21:48,480
Speaker 1: and I can see them pulling off a couple of

426
00:21:48,600 --> 00:21:51,680
Speaker 1: Raindom wins here. So I'm gonna back the Falcons here

427
00:21:51,720 --> 00:21:53,919
Speaker 1: at home against the Detroit team that's riding high off

428
00:21:53,920 --> 00:21:59,200
Speaker 1: a blowout win. God damn it, I'm sorry. I'm so sorry.

429
00:22:00,080 --> 00:22:04,560
Speaker 1: I come in with like really thoughtful analysis and seeing

430
00:22:04,600 --> 00:22:07,119
Speaker 1: how the bookmakers are that the public is going to

431
00:22:07,160 --> 00:22:10,120
Speaker 1: look at this game and feel differently about these teams,

432
00:22:10,200 --> 00:22:14,080
Speaker 1: and I'm looking at it from a psychological perspective and

433
00:22:14,119 --> 00:22:16,680
Speaker 1: you're giving me logic, like, wait a second, the Falcons

434
00:22:16,760 --> 00:22:19,240
Speaker 1: actually could be getting better right now, and the Lions

435
00:22:19,280 --> 00:22:22,240
Speaker 1: are a bad team who beat up on a worst team.

436
00:22:22,359 --> 00:22:27,320
Speaker 1: Now they're going to play a really good offense. All right,

437
00:22:27,840 --> 00:22:30,959
Speaker 1: I'm putting down, but I don't know if I want

438
00:22:30,960 --> 00:22:32,440
Speaker 1: to put him in the contest. Let me just say

439
00:22:32,480 --> 00:22:35,879
Speaker 1: that it's hard to argue with that. We're gonna come back.

440
00:22:35,880 --> 00:22:38,000
Speaker 1: We're gonna come back to it, because how do I

441
00:22:38,040 --> 00:22:42,000
Speaker 1: not want to bet the Bills as thirteen and a

442
00:22:42,040 --> 00:22:45,800
Speaker 1: half point favorites against the Jets. Yeah, so last week

443
00:22:45,960 --> 00:22:47,880
Speaker 1: we had a lot of really smart people reach out

444
00:22:47,920 --> 00:22:49,760
Speaker 1: to us and tell us how it was dumb to

445
00:22:49,800 --> 00:22:52,280
Speaker 1: take the Dolphins. Now we should just take the Patriots

446
00:22:52,359 --> 00:22:55,080
Speaker 1: or the Colts and our survivor pool. But lucky for us,

447
00:22:55,080 --> 00:22:56,520
Speaker 1: we're a couple of idiots and we just stayed with

448
00:22:56,520 --> 00:22:59,920
Speaker 1: the Dolphins because I want to keep playing it simple,

449
00:23:00,240 --> 00:23:03,760
Speaker 1: like not overthinking this and our survivor pools. We're gonna

450
00:23:03,760 --> 00:23:07,760
Speaker 1: be taking the Bills because they're there off two losses, which, yeah,

451
00:23:07,840 --> 00:23:09,600
Speaker 1: you could say, hey, maybe it's steam rolling right now

452
00:23:09,640 --> 00:23:11,320
Speaker 1: and they're just a team that's falling apart. But I

453
00:23:11,320 --> 00:23:13,480
Speaker 1: think this is the perfect opportunity for them to bounce

454
00:23:13,520 --> 00:23:17,199
Speaker 1: back on weaker competition. So I love the Bills and

455
00:23:17,200 --> 00:23:19,920
Speaker 1: survivor pool. I love the Bills here on the number,

456
00:23:20,040 --> 00:23:23,160
Speaker 1: especially if it's Flacco, and if Sam Darnald comes back,

457
00:23:23,200 --> 00:23:25,440
Speaker 1: we'll just move off of it because they are due

458
00:23:25,440 --> 00:23:29,400
Speaker 1: to cover. Note like people keep putting up the statistic.

459
00:23:29,720 --> 00:23:31,639
Speaker 1: I think the Raiders were the last team in like

460
00:23:31,840 --> 00:23:34,160
Speaker 1: two thousand three or something like that that went oh

461
00:23:34,160 --> 00:23:37,160
Speaker 1: and eight against the spread to start the year. Right now,

462
00:23:37,200 --> 00:23:39,920
Speaker 1: we have two teams that haven't won against the spread,

463
00:23:39,920 --> 00:23:42,760
Speaker 1: and the Cowboys and the Jets. So I said, we

464
00:23:42,920 --> 00:23:44,640
Speaker 1: just keep riding the train and we put the Bills

465
00:23:44,680 --> 00:23:46,719
Speaker 1: in our competition, like this number doesn't scare them if

466
00:23:46,720 --> 00:23:48,960
Speaker 1: it stays under fourteen. I'm not too worried about this

467
00:23:49,000 --> 00:23:58,200
Speaker 1: Bills number, especially against Flacco. Wow wow, Wow, you touchdown

468
00:23:58,280 --> 00:24:01,760
Speaker 1: that's gotta be unpreced unpreced at it Bills as two

469
00:24:01,880 --> 00:24:05,560
Speaker 1: touchdown favorites on the road, and you want to put

470
00:24:05,600 --> 00:24:08,199
Speaker 1: that in the freaking contest that by the way, that

471
00:24:08,359 --> 00:24:11,440
Speaker 1: right there is going to cost a reviewer some money

472
00:24:11,600 --> 00:24:15,600
Speaker 1: because that's gonna be the one that we lose. But

473
00:24:15,640 --> 00:24:19,120
Speaker 1: I'll do it. I like your gumption. I like your gumption. Yeah,

474
00:24:19,119 --> 00:24:21,119
Speaker 1: we've missed out now. We should have just been fading

475
00:24:21,200 --> 00:24:23,720
Speaker 1: the Jets every week, and every week we keep saying

476
00:24:23,760 --> 00:24:25,480
Speaker 1: these lines are too high, we can't go against the

477
00:24:25,560 --> 00:24:27,800
Speaker 1: Jets are like there do and every week they just

478
00:24:27,840 --> 00:24:29,560
Speaker 1: keep going blowing out. So I say we just keep

479
00:24:29,640 --> 00:24:32,240
Speaker 1: riding the train, man, I mean, Lively cannot miss right now.

480
00:24:32,280 --> 00:24:35,120
Speaker 1: As long as Flat goes a quarterback, that team is horrible.

481
00:24:36,040 --> 00:24:38,439
Speaker 1: That has the feeling, it has the vague feeling of

482
00:24:38,480 --> 00:24:41,840
Speaker 1: a bet your balls, bet your balls pick. But I'm

483
00:24:41,880 --> 00:24:43,760
Speaker 1: gonna I don't think it's gonna be it. I think

484
00:24:43,760 --> 00:24:47,600
Speaker 1: we've got to find a different one. Um Panthers visiting

485
00:24:47,640 --> 00:24:51,760
Speaker 1: the Saints. Panthers are seven and a half point road

486
00:24:51,960 --> 00:24:57,359
Speaker 1: underdogs visiting New Orleans. I don't have a read on

487
00:24:57,400 --> 00:25:01,080
Speaker 1: this game right now from a perception in public perception,

488
00:25:01,480 --> 00:25:03,200
Speaker 1: you know. I like to get in the minds of

489
00:25:04,080 --> 00:25:08,480
Speaker 1: the betters. That's what I do psychologically, like a Svengali.

490
00:25:09,240 --> 00:25:10,639
Speaker 1: I don't want to read on this one. What's your

491
00:25:10,680 --> 00:25:14,000
Speaker 1: what's your numbers? Say? What are what are the public

492
00:25:14,040 --> 00:25:20,760
Speaker 1: betting on this? Uh? The Saints game? It's seven and

493
00:25:20,760 --> 00:25:24,879
Speaker 1: a half and it's it's pretty split. It's fifty eight Saints.

494
00:25:24,920 --> 00:25:30,760
Speaker 1: The money coming in on the Panthers right now, and

495
00:25:31,240 --> 00:25:34,240
Speaker 1: I think that sharp money because I like, I'm with them.

496
00:25:34,400 --> 00:25:38,400
Speaker 1: It's definitely yeah, I like. I like that at seven

497
00:25:38,400 --> 00:25:41,640
Speaker 1: and a half, where we've seen from the Saints team

498
00:25:41,800 --> 00:25:44,719
Speaker 1: that they're not that hard to defend. I mean, if

499
00:25:44,760 --> 00:25:47,280
Speaker 1: you if you take away Kamara and you stacked the

500
00:25:47,320 --> 00:25:49,400
Speaker 1: line up. I know Michael Thomps supposed to come back,

501
00:25:50,760 --> 00:25:53,560
Speaker 1: but with no fans at this for the Saints, it's

502
00:25:53,560 --> 00:25:55,440
Speaker 1: really affected them at home. We've seen how they haven't

503
00:25:55,440 --> 00:25:59,520
Speaker 1: played great at home so far. And as long as

504
00:25:59,520 --> 00:26:01,480
Speaker 1: that numbers the seven and a half, and we get

505
00:26:01,480 --> 00:26:05,960
Speaker 1: Teddy Bridgewater, who's just unbelievable covering as a dog, I

506
00:26:06,080 --> 00:26:07,840
Speaker 1: like taking this. I like taking them here. I got

507
00:26:07,840 --> 00:26:09,919
Speaker 1: this number at six, so we're getting to point the

508
00:26:09,920 --> 00:26:13,199
Speaker 1: half of value. I like, I like Carolina here. All right,

509
00:26:13,720 --> 00:26:17,520
Speaker 1: all right, I'll put it in. Listen. We've we've done great.

510
00:26:17,560 --> 00:26:20,920
Speaker 1: You know, we've done great betting on the Panthers and

511
00:26:21,040 --> 00:26:27,560
Speaker 1: underdog situations. Wisely, wisely bet against them is favorites this week.

512
00:26:27,640 --> 00:26:30,480
Speaker 1: I got no problem with this, no problem. I don't

513
00:26:30,480 --> 00:26:32,840
Speaker 1: feel like that is both either bet your balls or

514
00:26:32,880 --> 00:26:35,359
Speaker 1: a hornet's nest. I got your bed in the balls.

515
00:26:35,400 --> 00:26:39,760
Speaker 1: Pick You're not gonna like it all right, all right,

516
00:26:40,160 --> 00:26:45,000
Speaker 1: Bengals is already making me nervous. Bengals Browns, this game,

517
00:26:45,760 --> 00:26:51,040
Speaker 1: This game was a Remember remember Joe Pesci, Remember Joe

518
00:26:51,080 --> 00:26:53,359
Speaker 1: Pesci Lethal Weapon three? Go to the drive through and

519
00:26:53,400 --> 00:26:55,159
Speaker 1: be like, they fuck you have to drive? Let me

520
00:26:55,200 --> 00:26:57,280
Speaker 1: tell you can. I give you two guys a friendly

521
00:26:57,320 --> 00:26:59,879
Speaker 1: piece of advice. So, okay, don't ever go up to

522
00:27:00,000 --> 00:27:02,800
Speaker 1: the drive truk Okay, always walked up to the count

523
00:27:03,000 --> 00:27:06,280
Speaker 1: They fuck do at the drive Okay, stay fucking at

524
00:27:06,320 --> 00:27:09,000
Speaker 1: the drive through. They know you're gonna be miles away

525
00:27:09,119 --> 00:27:12,320
Speaker 1: before you find out you got fucked. Okay. I feel

526
00:27:12,359 --> 00:27:14,240
Speaker 1: like this was a funky at the drive through game,

527
00:27:14,400 --> 00:27:18,040
Speaker 1: Like the Browns. The last time these teams played on

528
00:27:18,080 --> 00:27:22,160
Speaker 1: a Thursday night. They just let the Bengals drive right

529
00:27:22,200 --> 00:27:25,879
Speaker 1: through everybody and score that touchdown that meant nothing to

530
00:27:25,920 --> 00:27:31,560
Speaker 1: anybody except those of us betting on the game. Yeah. Now,

531
00:27:32,280 --> 00:27:35,480
Speaker 1: now the Browns are point favorites, coming off a crappy game,

532
00:27:36,119 --> 00:27:39,080
Speaker 1: getting totally exposed in the exact spot we thought they

533
00:27:39,119 --> 00:27:42,960
Speaker 1: went against the Steelers that game, like it might have

534
00:27:43,000 --> 00:27:47,520
Speaker 1: been the easiest game to handicap this season so far. Yeah,

535
00:27:47,560 --> 00:27:51,000
Speaker 1: and it's funny. Uh, everything you said is so true

536
00:27:51,000 --> 00:27:55,720
Speaker 1: about the Browns. Um. But situationally here, I'm probably gonna

537
00:27:55,760 --> 00:27:57,400
Speaker 1: end up taking him. I have to know more about

538
00:27:57,440 --> 00:27:59,240
Speaker 1: what's going on with Baker. I don't know if his

539
00:27:59,359 --> 00:28:01,320
Speaker 1: egos for of his ribs are hurt. I don't know

540
00:28:01,359 --> 00:28:06,240
Speaker 1: which which is the truth right now, but it seems

541
00:28:06,280 --> 00:28:08,280
Speaker 1: like there's a lot of turmoil O where the Bengals.

542
00:28:08,320 --> 00:28:11,040
Speaker 1: They've got Geno Atkins complaining about the way they're using them.

543
00:28:11,080 --> 00:28:15,679
Speaker 1: You've got a j Green saying trade me on the sideline. Um.

544
00:28:15,720 --> 00:28:19,360
Speaker 1: I know Joe Cool has been great and he's had

545
00:28:19,400 --> 00:28:21,000
Speaker 1: these teams in these games, but if they don't have

546
00:28:21,080 --> 00:28:24,760
Speaker 1: Joe Mixon, that makes them very one dimensional. And what

547
00:28:24,920 --> 00:28:26,680
Speaker 1: we know about the Browns is the Browns can run

548
00:28:26,680 --> 00:28:28,800
Speaker 1: the ball cream Hunt. He might have a down game

549
00:28:28,880 --> 00:28:30,760
Speaker 1: last week, but that was more situational. They were just

550
00:28:30,760 --> 00:28:35,320
Speaker 1: down big early. So even if it's case Keenum, I

551
00:28:35,359 --> 00:28:37,560
Speaker 1: don't hate taking the Browns here. I think we'd get

552
00:28:37,560 --> 00:28:39,120
Speaker 1: a better number two because I don't see a big

553
00:28:39,160 --> 00:28:42,240
Speaker 1: difference really between him and Baker, So I like the

554
00:28:42,280 --> 00:28:43,840
Speaker 1: Browns here. We don't have to put him in though

555
00:28:43,920 --> 00:28:46,000
Speaker 1: right now, because we can wait for that injury report.

556
00:28:49,160 --> 00:28:52,440
Speaker 1: You know what I thought was really interesting When the

557
00:28:52,560 --> 00:28:59,600
Speaker 1: Ravens played the Bengals a couple of weeks ago, the

558
00:29:00,040 --> 00:29:03,640
Speaker 1: Letchers made a note that Patrick Queen nao Joe Burrow

559
00:29:03,680 --> 00:29:05,960
Speaker 1: a couple of times, and the announcers made a point

560
00:29:06,000 --> 00:29:09,160
Speaker 1: of saying that those two guys when they played at

561
00:29:09,280 --> 00:29:13,920
Speaker 1: LSU together did not get along. And I thought that

562
00:29:13,960 --> 00:29:16,719
Speaker 1: was surprising because I thought Joe Burrow like was one

563
00:29:16,760 --> 00:29:20,640
Speaker 1: of those guys who everybody loved, which just made me wonder, like,

564
00:29:21,080 --> 00:29:24,040
Speaker 1: what what could this situation be between Joe Burrow and

565
00:29:24,040 --> 00:29:27,560
Speaker 1: Patrick Queen. Well, Chad, you're gonna learn in life not

566
00:29:27,600 --> 00:29:30,240
Speaker 1: everyone's gonna like you, Bud. Some people just look at

567
00:29:30,280 --> 00:29:32,640
Speaker 1: your face and they're gonna say I don't like this guy, Chad,

568
00:29:33,320 --> 00:29:35,920
Speaker 1: and it's someone with an ugly face. I go through

569
00:29:35,960 --> 00:29:39,120
Speaker 1: that a lot. I'm not a man, I mean, people

570
00:29:39,280 --> 00:29:42,200
Speaker 1: just different, different backgrounds, different situations. I think Joe is

571
00:29:42,240 --> 00:29:45,160
Speaker 1: probably the man, but like, Joe might have done something

572
00:29:45,160 --> 00:29:46,880
Speaker 1: wrong with this kid as a freshman. This kid for

573
00:29:46,880 --> 00:29:48,800
Speaker 1: the rest of his Life's like, I don't like that kid.

574
00:29:48,920 --> 00:29:50,840
Speaker 1: He might be the best quarterback ever played l s U.

575
00:29:51,040 --> 00:29:53,680
Speaker 1: I don't like him so and I wouldn't take too

576
00:29:53,760 --> 00:29:58,640
Speaker 1: much from that. I think this. Uh, that's funny you said, though,

577
00:29:58,640 --> 00:30:00,800
Speaker 1: because I did see those hey, and I was like, damn,

578
00:30:00,800 --> 00:30:02,360
Speaker 1: you look like you put a little mustard on that.

579
00:30:02,440 --> 00:30:04,320
Speaker 1: He Like that makes sense now that you said that,

580
00:30:04,320 --> 00:30:07,160
Speaker 1: that's funny because he was all over that game, Patrick Queen,

581
00:30:07,200 --> 00:30:09,480
Speaker 1: another guy the Eagles passed over for a wide receiver

582
00:30:09,560 --> 00:30:13,520
Speaker 1: that's not playing right now. Thank you. I won't surprise

583
00:30:13,600 --> 00:30:17,520
Speaker 1: you to know that there's never been anybody who doesn't

584
00:30:17,560 --> 00:30:26,680
Speaker 1: like me. Uh. Steelers on the road two point favorites

585
00:30:26,720 --> 00:30:31,000
Speaker 1: over the Titans right now, two point favorites the undefeated

586
00:30:31,040 --> 00:30:37,720
Speaker 1: Steelers against the Titans. That, my friend, is what I

587
00:30:37,800 --> 00:30:42,200
Speaker 1: call walking into a hornets nest. I'm walking to a

588
00:30:42,240 --> 00:30:45,240
Speaker 1: fucking hornets nest. All right, I'll be my companion, Chad.

589
00:30:45,520 --> 00:30:47,600
Speaker 1: What side do you like here as your honest opinion

590
00:30:47,640 --> 00:30:49,920
Speaker 1: just looking at it? What side do you like? Very

591
00:30:49,960 --> 00:30:54,040
Speaker 1: first instinct? I like the Titans, right, That's why I

592
00:30:54,040 --> 00:30:57,160
Speaker 1: think we should go Steelers. It's like I feel like that,

593
00:30:57,360 --> 00:30:58,560
Speaker 1: like I looked at it too, and that's what I

594
00:30:58,560 --> 00:31:00,719
Speaker 1: thought to myself, Like, Man, I like, I like the

595
00:31:00,760 --> 00:31:03,560
Speaker 1: Titans here, Like the Steelers are so do for a loss,

596
00:31:04,360 --> 00:31:07,920
Speaker 1: and Big Ben always has these like crazy sloppy letdown games.

597
00:31:08,800 --> 00:31:12,520
Speaker 1: But I watch Pittsburgh. They're keeping it so simple for

598
00:31:12,680 --> 00:31:16,560
Speaker 1: a quarterback that's been in the NFL for it feels

599
00:31:16,560 --> 00:31:19,440
Speaker 1: like twenty years. He he has one of the quickest

600
00:31:19,440 --> 00:31:22,000
Speaker 1: released times on the season, where he's just making first

601
00:31:22,080 --> 00:31:24,400
Speaker 1: or second quick reads on these quick passes and just

602
00:31:24,440 --> 00:31:28,000
Speaker 1: getting into his players hands. And but the way they're

603
00:31:28,080 --> 00:31:31,520
Speaker 1: humming right now with Claypool and the Titans coming off

604
00:31:31,560 --> 00:31:37,400
Speaker 1: a huge, emotional, close fault game in their division, I

605
00:31:37,520 --> 00:31:39,160
Speaker 1: just like the Steelers shore. I think there's gonna be

606
00:31:39,160 --> 00:31:41,320
Speaker 1: a nice little letdown spot for the Titans here, especially

607
00:31:41,320 --> 00:31:44,160
Speaker 1: the fact that they have a lost shit on the season. Um,

608
00:31:44,960 --> 00:31:46,440
Speaker 1: I trust the Steelers here on the road, and I

609
00:31:46,520 --> 00:31:48,320
Speaker 1: like that we're getting a number under three still, So

610
00:31:48,520 --> 00:31:52,720
Speaker 1: I'll take Pittsburgh. You don't have to convince me hard

611
00:31:53,920 --> 00:31:57,920
Speaker 1: to bet on the Steelers. I will go completely right now,

612
00:31:57,960 --> 00:32:03,200
Speaker 1: as I tend to do after you've spoken. But the

613
00:32:03,240 --> 00:32:04,960
Speaker 1: other thing you can do is look at the Titans

614
00:32:05,200 --> 00:32:10,000
Speaker 1: and and how they've won their games. They haven't looked amazing.

615
00:32:10,360 --> 00:32:13,480
Speaker 1: They they beat a Bill's team after they were off

616
00:32:13,520 --> 00:32:16,760
Speaker 1: for two weeks that Titans were they barely beat a

617
00:32:16,800 --> 00:32:20,520
Speaker 1: Texans team that probably U is not very good according

618
00:32:22,080 --> 00:32:26,760
Speaker 1: and should have won that game outright. Um, and like

619
00:32:27,320 --> 00:32:31,280
Speaker 1: they haven't looked amazing this year. Like sometimes they're five

620
00:32:31,280 --> 00:32:32,800
Speaker 1: and not in spite of themselves, or they're five and

621
00:32:32,840 --> 00:32:35,480
Speaker 1: know because Mike Vrabel just might be a genius coach

622
00:32:35,520 --> 00:32:38,280
Speaker 1: who knows how to manufacture extra minutes in the game.

623
00:32:38,360 --> 00:32:41,440
Speaker 1: And anybody who went on Twitter and saw sort of

624
00:32:41,560 --> 00:32:45,720
Speaker 1: yesterday Vabel was trending. On Monday, Vrabel was trending because

625
00:32:46,760 --> 00:32:50,400
Speaker 1: people realized it might have been Wren Sharp who recognized

626
00:32:50,440 --> 00:32:52,920
Speaker 1: this first, and that's where I saw it. He put

627
00:32:53,000 --> 00:32:57,080
Speaker 1: up a video that showed Mike Vrabel sending a player

628
00:32:57,200 --> 00:33:00,240
Speaker 1: in on a second one sending the Texans had the

629
00:33:00,280 --> 00:33:03,800
Speaker 1: ball second and one three minutes left. Mike Rabel sent

630
00:33:03,880 --> 00:33:06,120
Speaker 1: a player in, so they had twelve men on the

631
00:33:06,200 --> 00:33:10,040
Speaker 1: field and the defensive captain for the time for the

632
00:33:10,080 --> 00:33:12,000
Speaker 1: Titans looked at him like what are you doing? But

633
00:33:12,040 --> 00:33:16,240
Speaker 1: they got the five yard penalty. Rabel it probably his

634
00:33:16,320 --> 00:33:19,680
Speaker 1: assumption was, they're gonna get this first down, it's gonna

635
00:33:19,680 --> 00:33:21,600
Speaker 1: waste more time on the clock. Why not just give

636
00:33:21,640 --> 00:33:24,440
Speaker 1: him the first down, save the time, restart the downs.

637
00:33:24,680 --> 00:33:26,800
Speaker 1: And he ended up having more time to go down

638
00:33:26,840 --> 00:33:29,600
Speaker 1: in the field and score. That is genius clock management.

639
00:33:29,600 --> 00:33:32,480
Speaker 1: That is belichicky. And obviously he played with the paths forever,

640
00:33:32,800 --> 00:33:34,479
Speaker 1: similar to what he did in the playoffs last year

641
00:33:34,480 --> 00:33:36,440
Speaker 1: when he was sort of managing the clock so wisely.

642
00:33:37,000 --> 00:33:41,440
Speaker 1: Um so maybe they're just manufacturing wins and the Steelers

643
00:33:41,440 --> 00:33:44,640
Speaker 1: are a better team. So yes, let's let's go with

644
00:33:44,680 --> 00:33:48,320
Speaker 1: the Steelers. Not only not only have I come around

645
00:33:48,360 --> 00:33:51,520
Speaker 1: completely from thinking the Titans were my first instinct. This

646
00:33:51,560 --> 00:33:54,120
Speaker 1: is an automatic to me, automatic play on the Steelers.

647
00:33:54,760 --> 00:33:58,440
Speaker 1: There you go. I am so weak. This is why

648
00:33:58,480 --> 00:34:01,160
Speaker 1: people like me. Though you know I come around. I'm

649
00:34:01,160 --> 00:34:04,080
Speaker 1: not in flexible. All right, let's get out of the

650
00:34:04,120 --> 00:34:09,799
Speaker 1: Steelers Titans. Let's move on to the late afternoon games.

651
00:34:10,360 --> 00:34:14,479
Speaker 1: Seahawks three and a half point favorites on the road,

652
00:34:14,560 --> 00:34:17,000
Speaker 1: three points three or three and a half on the

653
00:34:17,080 --> 00:34:19,960
Speaker 1: road at Arizona. I don't trust him. I just don't

654
00:34:20,000 --> 00:34:24,920
Speaker 1: trust him. You trust Arizona? No, I don't trust either

655
00:34:24,920 --> 00:34:26,239
Speaker 1: of them, so I don't I don't want to bet

656
00:34:26,239 --> 00:34:28,719
Speaker 1: this game. Well, we gotta pick a side. We can't

657
00:34:28,719 --> 00:34:34,520
Speaker 1: be those guys. But yeah, man, you could the Cardinals

658
00:34:34,560 --> 00:34:36,239
Speaker 1: could show up here and they could actually play a

659
00:34:36,280 --> 00:34:39,840
Speaker 1: decent game. Well, Russell Wilson, off of bye week, facing

660
00:34:39,840 --> 00:34:41,879
Speaker 1: a team that's just went two straight on the road,

661
00:34:42,280 --> 00:34:44,319
Speaker 1: more than happy to take the Seahawks here. I take

662
00:34:44,360 --> 00:34:47,360
Speaker 1: this number up to five or six, So I'm with

663
00:34:47,520 --> 00:34:50,879
Speaker 1: the public on this and I'm gonna be taking the Seahawks. Interesting,

664
00:34:52,280 --> 00:34:55,600
Speaker 1: very interesting. How much of this is because do you

665
00:34:55,719 --> 00:34:58,960
Speaker 1: think he's impacted by the Cardinals beating up in the

666
00:34:59,000 --> 00:35:02,799
Speaker 1: Cowboys so bad way? Uh? Not much. I think it's

667
00:35:02,840 --> 00:35:06,480
Speaker 1: more that, um, like you're probably you're probably right on

668
00:35:06,560 --> 00:35:08,799
Speaker 1: with the like the numbers are saying. The way the

669
00:35:08,800 --> 00:35:11,840
Speaker 1: Seahawks are playing, it just isn't sustainable. All the holes

670
00:35:11,880 --> 00:35:13,839
Speaker 1: on their team is eventually gonna come to a head.

671
00:35:14,680 --> 00:35:16,920
Speaker 1: And I think they open this line to three to

672
00:35:17,000 --> 00:35:20,239
Speaker 1: kind of scare off a lot of sharp money or

673
00:35:20,320 --> 00:35:22,719
Speaker 1: maybe get making people come in on Arizona saying, oh

674
00:35:22,719 --> 00:35:24,680
Speaker 1: why is this number three? That's a weird number to

675
00:35:24,840 --> 00:35:28,200
Speaker 1: open with. But I think this is just a bad number.

676
00:35:28,200 --> 00:35:30,200
Speaker 1: And it's one of those where the books going to

677
00:35:30,280 --> 00:35:32,239
Speaker 1: trick people and they're trying to scare people off the

678
00:35:32,400 --> 00:35:35,239
Speaker 1: end of the Seahawks and come Sunday, this is gonna

679
00:35:35,239 --> 00:35:37,000
Speaker 1: be one of the biggest liability games. That's my only

680
00:35:37,040 --> 00:35:39,400
Speaker 1: pause with it. That everyone's gonna come in on the Seahawks.

681
00:35:39,400 --> 00:35:41,200
Speaker 1: That's the public. They're gonna be taking this number. The

682
00:35:41,239 --> 00:35:44,480
Speaker 1: only people are really on the Cardinals come Sunday are

683
00:35:44,480 --> 00:35:47,400
Speaker 1: going to be sharps. But for me looking at this,

684
00:35:47,640 --> 00:35:50,880
Speaker 1: I think they're still undervalue. In Russell Wilson coming off

685
00:35:50,880 --> 00:35:53,080
Speaker 1: a bye week, they might come out sleepwalking maybe for

686
00:35:53,120 --> 00:35:56,600
Speaker 1: the first half, like who knows what the Seahawks, but

687
00:35:56,640 --> 00:35:58,319
Speaker 1: I just think once they turn it on once they

688
00:35:58,360 --> 00:36:00,640
Speaker 1: just start laying into the Cardinals. The Cardinals aren'ta be

689
00:36:00,640 --> 00:36:02,240
Speaker 1: able to come back. We're gonna a couple of Murray

690
00:36:02,239 --> 00:36:04,880
Speaker 1: turnovers and I think this will just snowball. So I

691
00:36:04,920 --> 00:36:07,960
Speaker 1: do like this number a lot for the Seahawks. What

692
00:36:08,040 --> 00:36:10,880
Speaker 1: do you haven't rated at I had it at six,

693
00:36:11,160 --> 00:36:12,360
Speaker 1: so that's what I mean. I would take it up

694
00:36:12,400 --> 00:36:13,879
Speaker 1: to five and a half, up to six, and once

695
00:36:13,920 --> 00:36:16,080
Speaker 1: across the six and a half seven, the value is

696
00:36:16,080 --> 00:36:18,080
Speaker 1: gonna shift to the Cardinals. So like, at that point,

697
00:36:18,680 --> 00:36:21,319
Speaker 1: by some crazy reason, it gets all up to that number,

698
00:36:21,320 --> 00:36:24,120
Speaker 1: I would take the Cardinals, but I'm happy taking the Seahawks.

699
00:36:24,760 --> 00:36:27,680
Speaker 1: Jesus Christ, you have it at six. Like what am

700
00:36:27,680 --> 00:36:29,920
Speaker 1: I supposed to do with that kind of information? I'm

701
00:36:29,960 --> 00:36:32,399
Speaker 1: going to be the guy who goes from like not

702
00:36:32,440 --> 00:36:34,279
Speaker 1: even wanting to talk about a game to the guy

703
00:36:34,280 --> 00:36:37,120
Speaker 1: who puts like his entire bank roll on the game,

704
00:36:37,160 --> 00:36:38,600
Speaker 1: because you're telling me there's a two and a half

705
00:36:38,600 --> 00:36:40,880
Speaker 1: point delta right now between your number and what the

706
00:36:41,080 --> 00:36:43,920
Speaker 1: what the bookmakers are showing. It's like the Browns and

707
00:36:43,960 --> 00:36:45,680
Speaker 1: the Steelers last week, but you were like, I don't

708
00:36:45,760 --> 00:36:48,360
Speaker 1: want to touch this game, and you said, come Sunday,

709
00:36:48,360 --> 00:36:50,200
Speaker 1: we're playing other Browns and and back, and then I said, no,

710
00:36:50,360 --> 00:36:52,520
Speaker 1: come Sunday, We're definitely at the Steelers. And thank god

711
00:36:52,960 --> 00:36:54,360
Speaker 1: you came around the end of the week and you're like,

712
00:36:54,360 --> 00:36:55,919
Speaker 1: you know what, You're so right, this is an easy

713
00:36:55,960 --> 00:36:57,960
Speaker 1: play with the Steelers. So this is one of those

714
00:36:57,960 --> 00:36:59,400
Speaker 1: Maybe I'll come around and later the week, but I

715
00:36:59,400 --> 00:37:01,400
Speaker 1: think it's another one of those they're trying to give

716
00:37:01,400 --> 00:37:04,759
Speaker 1: you the hook and a divisional game, saying this should

717
00:37:04,800 --> 00:37:07,080
Speaker 1: be a close, full game with the Cardinals, But I

718
00:37:07,200 --> 00:37:10,960
Speaker 1: just like the Seehawks here, we haven't gotten to your

719
00:37:11,560 --> 00:37:14,960
Speaker 1: bet your balls game yet and we've only got a handful.

720
00:37:15,000 --> 00:37:18,560
Speaker 1: We've got five games left, including the Chiefs on the

721
00:37:18,680 --> 00:37:21,960
Speaker 1: road at the Broncos. Chiefs is nine point favorites on

722
00:37:22,000 --> 00:37:26,719
Speaker 1: the road. Too much, too much against this defense, too

723
00:37:26,840 --> 00:37:32,319
Speaker 1: much for a Chiefs team that plays inconsistently against division opponents,

724
00:37:32,960 --> 00:37:39,880
Speaker 1: and um, well that's it too much. Yeah, playing with

725
00:37:39,920 --> 00:37:42,200
Speaker 1: fire though, So I wouldn't even touch it because we're

726
00:37:42,280 --> 00:37:44,560
Speaker 1: back in the Denver team, who are their first team

727
00:37:44,719 --> 00:37:46,799
Speaker 1: since two thousand one to go to New England, have

728
00:37:47,080 --> 00:37:50,080
Speaker 1: the QB throw tener restructions and win the game. So

729
00:37:52,480 --> 00:37:55,360
Speaker 1: are the Broncos just hitting teams in the right situations

730
00:37:55,360 --> 00:37:57,360
Speaker 1: and catching teams on the right spots to be covering

731
00:37:57,400 --> 00:38:00,400
Speaker 1: so much and getting these wins. It's hard to saying, like,

732
00:38:00,440 --> 00:38:02,680
Speaker 1: I'm with you, like this could be an easy spot

733
00:38:02,719 --> 00:38:04,640
Speaker 1: to take the Broncos because it's so many points in

734
00:38:04,680 --> 00:38:08,960
Speaker 1: divisional games, especially while they're at home. But in my mind,

735
00:38:09,080 --> 00:38:11,400
Speaker 1: it's it's tough for me to really think the Broncos

736
00:38:11,480 --> 00:38:15,879
Speaker 1: can keep up with the Chiefs, especially well, the Chiefs

737
00:38:15,920 --> 00:38:17,719
Speaker 1: team looked like they were trying against the Bills. That

738
00:38:17,760 --> 00:38:19,319
Speaker 1: was such a weird game because of the rain and

739
00:38:19,480 --> 00:38:22,880
Speaker 1: just the way they're playing that. I'm with you, I'm

740
00:38:22,920 --> 00:38:24,960
Speaker 1: gonna be back in the Broncos here, but in the contest,

741
00:38:25,200 --> 00:38:26,759
Speaker 1: I don't want to put either of these guys in,

742
00:38:26,920 --> 00:38:32,359
Speaker 1: so I'm just gonna leave it out all right. Four

743
00:38:32,400 --> 00:38:39,000
Speaker 1: games left to pay your balls. Patriots forty Niners two

744
00:38:39,040 --> 00:38:43,800
Speaker 1: and a half point dogs on the road at New England.

745
00:38:44,560 --> 00:38:47,600
Speaker 1: I feel like I'm being baited here because the Patriots

746
00:38:47,640 --> 00:38:50,920
Speaker 1: are clearly not the same team with Cam Newton playing quarterback,

747
00:38:51,440 --> 00:38:53,359
Speaker 1: and he hasn't been a guy who, even when they've

748
00:38:53,400 --> 00:38:57,040
Speaker 1: been winning, was you know play it was the reason

749
00:38:57,080 --> 00:39:00,839
Speaker 1: they were winning. And then it is like to me,

750
00:39:02,040 --> 00:39:04,880
Speaker 1: I was all over this past week against your advice,

751
00:39:05,160 --> 00:39:07,040
Speaker 1: went so far as to go so far from your

752
00:39:07,040 --> 00:39:11,760
Speaker 1: advice that I actually just begged them to win and cash.

753
00:39:11,840 --> 00:39:13,640
Speaker 1: But I still like the Niners and Dogs down the

754
00:39:13,719 --> 00:39:18,799
Speaker 1: road like in this spot, It's like why because they

755
00:39:18,800 --> 00:39:21,479
Speaker 1: went on Sunday night and the Patriots look so bad. Chad,

756
00:39:21,480 --> 00:39:27,040
Speaker 1: You're better than this, You're right, and you know no,

757
00:39:28,960 --> 00:39:31,920
Speaker 1: you're telling me, I got it back to page. Yeah,

758
00:39:32,160 --> 00:39:34,960
Speaker 1: like the I mean, I get it. It's all a

759
00:39:34,960 --> 00:39:38,080
Speaker 1: new year, Belichick. We we know the stats. Before Brady

760
00:39:38,080 --> 00:39:39,799
Speaker 1: got to him, he wasn't that great of a coach.

761
00:39:39,840 --> 00:39:41,759
Speaker 1: Apparently he lost a lot of games before you had

762
00:39:41,800 --> 00:39:45,200
Speaker 1: Tom Brady under said him. But how am I gonna

763
00:39:45,239 --> 00:39:47,759
Speaker 1: bet on? The page is going to own three and

764
00:39:48,400 --> 00:39:51,360
Speaker 1: you're you're back in Jimmy Garoppolo, who he might have

765
00:39:51,360 --> 00:39:54,200
Speaker 1: had like four passes that were over five yards. Everything

766
00:39:54,239 --> 00:39:57,120
Speaker 1: he was doing, we're quick dump offs to the sidelines,

767
00:39:57,280 --> 00:40:00,319
Speaker 1: quick passes because that ain't going isn't right. They kept

768
00:40:00,320 --> 00:40:03,160
Speaker 1: showing a bunch of times. It's all taped out. So

769
00:40:04,360 --> 00:40:06,400
Speaker 1: I'm gonna back to Patriots. They have no more COVID

770
00:40:06,440 --> 00:40:09,359
Speaker 1: stoppage of practices. They can get a weekend together. They

771
00:40:09,440 --> 00:40:11,359
Speaker 1: just look like a team that was rusty. Especially Can.

772
00:40:11,480 --> 00:40:12,839
Speaker 1: He looked like he had to played in a month.

773
00:40:13,000 --> 00:40:16,000
Speaker 1: So I like the Patriots, Tya, and I especially like

774
00:40:16,160 --> 00:40:18,120
Speaker 1: that the early money came in on San fran and

775
00:40:18,120 --> 00:40:20,520
Speaker 1: move this line down below three. Like, I gets what

776
00:40:20,520 --> 00:40:23,160
Speaker 1: you're saying. They're trapping us in here. I think Vegas

777
00:40:23,239 --> 00:40:24,879
Speaker 1: is like everyone else, so they're just unsure they don't

778
00:40:24,880 --> 00:40:27,080
Speaker 1: really trust this Patriots team because they're a different team

779
00:40:27,160 --> 00:40:32,359
Speaker 1: right now. But I'm gonna trust New England and I'm

780
00:40:32,360 --> 00:40:34,640
Speaker 1: gonna trust that this country cost country trip for San

781
00:40:34,680 --> 00:40:37,279
Speaker 1: France after a big win on primetime game is gonna

782
00:40:37,320 --> 00:40:39,279
Speaker 1: affect them. So I like this number a lot. I'm

783
00:40:39,280 --> 00:40:43,759
Speaker 1: gonna take the Patriots line opened uh Patriots minus five

784
00:40:43,760 --> 00:40:45,160
Speaker 1: and a half. It is now at two and a half.

785
00:40:45,160 --> 00:40:49,319
Speaker 1: So clearly it's been bent down the money uhtycent of

786
00:40:49,320 --> 00:40:53,000
Speaker 1: the money, So that's usually professional indication of professional support

787
00:40:53,920 --> 00:40:57,520
Speaker 1: is on San Francisco right now. So all right, then

788
00:40:57,520 --> 00:40:59,319
Speaker 1: I'm gonna I'm gonna put him on a list right now.

789
00:40:59,360 --> 00:41:01,680
Speaker 1: We got six teams on our list that we're gonna

790
00:41:01,680 --> 00:41:05,120
Speaker 1: be choosing from with at least one have some injury concerns.

791
00:41:05,520 --> 00:41:09,520
Speaker 1: So yeah, and like you just said, one week is

792
00:41:09,560 --> 00:41:12,680
Speaker 1: a three is it worth three points of line movement?

793
00:41:13,000 --> 00:41:15,200
Speaker 1: So that's like one of those where it's like exactly,

794
00:41:15,239 --> 00:41:17,440
Speaker 1: so it's even if you lose this England bet, we're

795
00:41:17,440 --> 00:41:18,759
Speaker 1: getting the best of the number and this is the

796
00:41:18,840 --> 00:41:22,600
Speaker 1: smart smart play this week. You're right, You're right, simon,

797
00:41:22,640 --> 00:41:25,160
Speaker 1: see see what you do? Like I I would have

798
00:41:25,200 --> 00:41:28,640
Speaker 1: skipped it and now you're making me reimagine how I

799
00:41:28,680 --> 00:41:30,759
Speaker 1: make decisions. And it's not just about betting, it's about

800
00:41:30,760 --> 00:41:35,080
Speaker 1: everyday life. There you go, Oh my god, it's just

801
00:41:35,120 --> 00:41:36,719
Speaker 1: gonna be the bet your balls? Am I gonna have

802
00:41:36,800 --> 00:41:39,160
Speaker 1: to bet in the Jags against the Chargers? The Jags

803
00:41:39,280 --> 00:41:41,359
Speaker 1: is seven and a half point underdogs on the road.

804
00:41:41,440 --> 00:41:43,879
Speaker 1: Is that what you're telling me I'm gonna have to do? No, don't,

805
00:41:43,920 --> 00:41:48,919
Speaker 1: don't you worry, it's coming. I'm saving the best for last, buddy. Uh,

806
00:41:49,200 --> 00:41:51,320
Speaker 1: I don't want to do it. Like, of course we

807
00:41:51,320 --> 00:41:53,560
Speaker 1: should take the Jaguars here. This is a good number

808
00:41:53,719 --> 00:41:57,640
Speaker 1: going to get to a rookie quarterback. Um, a rookie

809
00:41:57,719 --> 00:41:59,839
Speaker 1: quarterback that makes one or two dumb plays a game.

810
00:42:00,520 --> 00:42:03,360
Speaker 1: But the fact that the Chargers are coming off of

811
00:42:03,440 --> 00:42:06,520
Speaker 1: buy and the Jaguars they've been down there some of

812
00:42:06,560 --> 00:42:08,960
Speaker 1: their best defenders the last two weeks and we've really shown,

813
00:42:09,120 --> 00:42:11,760
Speaker 1: we've really seen how they just can't stop anyone, especially

814
00:42:11,760 --> 00:42:15,759
Speaker 1: that on Josh Allen as a pass rusher. So I'm

815
00:42:15,760 --> 00:42:17,279
Speaker 1: cool with taking the Chargers here. I know it's a

816
00:42:17,320 --> 00:42:19,720
Speaker 1: bad number. That's my seven and a half and technically

817
00:42:19,719 --> 00:42:21,839
Speaker 1: the value will be on the Jags. But I think

818
00:42:21,840 --> 00:42:23,920
Speaker 1: they're just trying to get money on the Jags right

819
00:42:23,960 --> 00:42:26,080
Speaker 1: now because I know so many teasers and different things

820
00:42:26,120 --> 00:42:28,160
Speaker 1: we've tied to the Chargers. But I don't mind taking

821
00:42:28,160 --> 00:42:31,719
Speaker 1: the number for the Chargers. All right, Well, we're not

822
00:42:31,760 --> 00:42:36,160
Speaker 1: putting in the contest no way. All right, we got

823
00:42:36,200 --> 00:42:38,040
Speaker 1: two games left and we haven't done to bet your

824
00:42:38,080 --> 00:42:40,720
Speaker 1: balls pick, So it's got to be either the Bucks

825
00:42:41,040 --> 00:42:45,080
Speaker 1: at like minus three on the road against the Raiders,

826
00:42:45,200 --> 00:42:49,360
Speaker 1: or the Bears, who are five and a half point

827
00:42:49,560 --> 00:42:55,920
Speaker 1: dogs on the road on Monday Night football against the Rams. Um.

828
00:42:55,920 --> 00:42:59,640
Speaker 1: Well let's go to the Bucks first, Bucks, big, big win.

829
00:42:59,760 --> 00:43:01,439
Speaker 1: On my god, this is gonna be it. You're gonna

830
00:43:01,480 --> 00:43:04,440
Speaker 1: tell me to bet the Raiders in Vegas coming off

831
00:43:04,480 --> 00:43:07,800
Speaker 1: a huge home win over the undefeated Packers for Tom Brady,

832
00:43:07,840 --> 00:43:11,680
Speaker 1: that's what we're gonna tell me to do. Situationally, I'm

833
00:43:11,719 --> 00:43:13,839
Speaker 1: with you. It's probably the right move. But this is now.

834
00:43:13,880 --> 00:43:15,799
Speaker 1: This This isn't a bet the balls of the week.

835
00:43:16,040 --> 00:43:19,719
Speaker 1: This is a This is one of those I really

836
00:43:19,719 --> 00:43:21,600
Speaker 1: don't It's it's tough to pick a side because I

837
00:43:21,640 --> 00:43:23,319
Speaker 1: could see it end up being a shootout. I know

838
00:43:23,400 --> 00:43:25,839
Speaker 1: we talked about last week how good the Bucks defense is.

839
00:43:26,600 --> 00:43:30,920
Speaker 1: But the way the Raiders play, it's hard for what

840
00:43:30,960 --> 00:43:33,080
Speaker 1: Tampa does well to stipen and what the Raiders do

841
00:43:33,120 --> 00:43:38,400
Speaker 1: and they're just quick hitters with just a lot of speed.

842
00:43:38,880 --> 00:43:42,000
Speaker 1: And my mentality coming to this game is I don't

843
00:43:42,000 --> 00:43:43,920
Speaker 1: like either side because I just see it being a shootout,

844
00:43:43,960 --> 00:43:46,120
Speaker 1: like this is a Sunday night shootout. It feels like

845
00:43:46,360 --> 00:43:50,520
Speaker 1: and if you're gonna bet this game, it's hard not

846
00:43:50,560 --> 00:43:55,080
Speaker 1: to take the Bucks here because it's easier trust for me,

847
00:43:55,120 --> 00:43:57,520
Speaker 1: it's easier trusting Brady here than it is to trust

848
00:43:57,560 --> 00:44:00,840
Speaker 1: Derek Carr and shootout game. But I'm gonna leave this

849
00:44:00,880 --> 00:44:03,719
Speaker 1: one out. I'm not gonna put this in the competition. Well,

850
00:44:04,040 --> 00:44:06,080
Speaker 1: I'm so glad. Can I convince you to take the

851
00:44:06,120 --> 00:44:08,560
Speaker 1: Raiders or your bank wrong? I'm kidding, I have no

852
00:44:08,680 --> 00:44:13,480
Speaker 1: interest in that. Let's talk about the bet your balls

853
00:44:14,160 --> 00:44:20,600
Speaker 1: bet of the week. The Bears are visiting the Los

854
00:44:20,600 --> 00:44:24,280
Speaker 1: Angeles Rams. There are five and a half point dogs

855
00:44:25,360 --> 00:44:29,920
Speaker 1: Monday night for all my favorite team in prime time.

856
00:44:30,040 --> 00:44:35,040
Speaker 1: That's always, uh, a little bit disconcerting. Tell me what

857
00:44:35,080 --> 00:44:38,799
Speaker 1: you're thinking here, Simon, And you know the meme with

858
00:44:38,840 --> 00:44:41,160
Speaker 1: Paul Rudden. It's him like eating the wings and you say,

859
00:44:41,320 --> 00:44:43,200
Speaker 1: who would have saw us sitting here? Who would have thought?

860
00:44:43,239 --> 00:44:46,720
Speaker 1: Who'd have thought? You know, thank you? Look at us, Hey,

861
00:44:47,080 --> 00:44:51,919
Speaker 1: look at us, Look at us. The Bears man five

862
00:44:51,960 --> 00:44:54,239
Speaker 1: and one, the top of the division. I don't know

863
00:44:54,239 --> 00:44:56,000
Speaker 1: how many people are calling that in May, but you're

864
00:44:56,080 --> 00:44:58,360
Speaker 1: you're listening to people that talked about the value of

865
00:44:58,400 --> 00:45:00,600
Speaker 1: the Bears and now we we saw this kind of

866
00:45:00,600 --> 00:45:04,960
Speaker 1: season coming from. So that's what I'm talking about. You.

867
00:45:04,960 --> 00:45:12,800
Speaker 1: You are my Matthew McConaughey to my what do you alright? Alright? Alright?

868
00:45:12,840 --> 00:45:15,200
Speaker 1: For those who don't know, follow Simon Hunter on Twitter.

869
00:45:15,239 --> 00:45:18,719
Speaker 1: There was a beautiful picture of McConaughey and Harrelson together

870
00:45:19,040 --> 00:45:22,520
Speaker 1: swimming and Simon's like, this is me and chat just

871
00:45:22,600 --> 00:45:26,439
Speaker 1: pure bliss man. Time is a circle two guys who

872
00:45:26,520 --> 00:45:29,239
Speaker 1: have who have just figured out how to live in

873
00:45:29,280 --> 00:45:33,200
Speaker 1: every single way. And now that I warmed up play

874
00:45:33,200 --> 00:45:35,120
Speaker 1: you Bear fans, I'm sorry to say it. Well, this

875
00:45:35,200 --> 00:45:38,080
Speaker 1: is easy pick of the Rams, easy player of the week.

876
00:45:38,160 --> 00:45:42,880
Speaker 1: That your balls on the Rams and all the public

877
00:45:42,960 --> 00:45:45,759
Speaker 1: coming in on the Bears after a big road win,

878
00:45:45,880 --> 00:45:51,040
Speaker 1: people are starting to believe the Rams played horribly against

879
00:45:51,040 --> 00:45:56,799
Speaker 1: San fran And it's just an easy game where the

880
00:45:56,880 --> 00:45:58,960
Speaker 1: Bears they're gonna win a lot of games and they're

881
00:45:58,960 --> 00:46:02,399
Speaker 1: a great team, but they're gonna have weeks like this

882
00:46:02,440 --> 00:46:05,440
Speaker 1: where it's just gonna catch up to them. And I mean,

883
00:46:05,480 --> 00:46:07,279
Speaker 1: how many wins straight are they on right now? They

884
00:46:07,280 --> 00:46:12,200
Speaker 1: have four straight wins? No, no, they've won five, but

885
00:46:12,280 --> 00:46:16,759
Speaker 1: they lost to the Colts three weeks ago, so they

886
00:46:16,800 --> 00:46:22,239
Speaker 1: have two straight wins. Okay, right, So just like they

887
00:46:22,280 --> 00:46:26,399
Speaker 1: beat the Box, then they beat Thes. Just looking at it, um,

888
00:46:26,719 --> 00:46:29,840
Speaker 1: it's really tough to win two divisions, two division on

889
00:46:29,880 --> 00:46:33,040
Speaker 1: two road games in a row, let alone two ones

890
00:46:33,120 --> 00:46:35,200
Speaker 1: that you're flying down to North Carolina, now you're flying back,

891
00:46:35,239 --> 00:46:36,880
Speaker 1: and now you're flying a way out to the West Coast.

892
00:46:37,600 --> 00:46:41,399
Speaker 1: So I think, just situationally, the Bears defense, they're gonna

893
00:46:41,400 --> 00:46:43,720
Speaker 1: have a letdown game, especially into on this turf field.

894
00:46:43,840 --> 00:46:45,920
Speaker 1: I think the speed is gonna be too much for

895
00:46:45,960 --> 00:46:49,399
Speaker 1: them to handle with the Rams, and I like the Rams.

896
00:46:49,400 --> 00:46:51,319
Speaker 1: You're in a bounce back spot and a lot of

897
00:46:51,320 --> 00:46:52,920
Speaker 1: people are gonna be trying a lot of money into

898
00:46:52,960 --> 00:46:55,200
Speaker 1: the Bears in this game, especially in teasers, because you

899
00:46:55,200 --> 00:46:58,640
Speaker 1: can get this number above ten putting a teaser. I

900
00:46:58,719 --> 00:47:02,319
Speaker 1: like the rams and I like them big Wow, you

901
00:47:02,400 --> 00:47:04,920
Speaker 1: like him big? All right, I'm sorry, I don't think so.

902
00:47:05,360 --> 00:47:08,000
Speaker 1: I don't mind the emotional hedge. This is a good

903
00:47:08,000 --> 00:47:11,440
Speaker 1: opportunity for me, so I'm all for us. So here, Simon,

904
00:47:11,480 --> 00:47:14,239
Speaker 1: let me recap for people. Right now, we want to

905
00:47:14,280 --> 00:47:17,240
Speaker 1: go five and oh this week. Right now, the teams

906
00:47:17,239 --> 00:47:20,640
Speaker 1: and so just so everyone knows, we will choose from

907
00:47:20,680 --> 00:47:24,600
Speaker 1: these teams on Sunday morning. Follow Simon Hunter in the

908
00:47:24,640 --> 00:47:27,880
Speaker 1: Action Network app. Reminder, download the app. It's free. Simon

909
00:47:27,920 --> 00:47:30,080
Speaker 1: Hunter in the Action Network app. That's where you can

910
00:47:30,120 --> 00:47:33,560
Speaker 1: get like our final decisions. Um, but these are the

911
00:47:33,560 --> 00:47:36,319
Speaker 1: teams that we're thinking about as of Tuesday, and then

912
00:47:36,320 --> 00:47:39,759
Speaker 1: we will make these decisions on Sunday morning. Simon will

913
00:47:39,760 --> 00:47:42,480
Speaker 1: text me. I will drop everything and I will immediately

914
00:47:42,520 --> 00:47:46,040
Speaker 1: respond and then I will go onto the Action Network

915
00:47:46,080 --> 00:47:50,000
Speaker 1: Live at at Action Network HQ, growing every week bills

916
00:47:50,040 --> 00:47:51,879
Speaker 1: minus thirteen and a half. We're gonna keep an eye

917
00:47:51,880 --> 00:47:54,880
Speaker 1: on that line. Over the Jets. We look at the

918
00:47:55,000 --> 00:47:58,879
Speaker 1: Panthers seven have a good saint Browns. This one makes

919
00:47:58,880 --> 00:48:01,239
Speaker 1: me sick to my stomach. Browns minus three and a

920
00:48:01,280 --> 00:48:04,520
Speaker 1: half on the road against the Bengals. If we find

921
00:48:04,520 --> 00:48:07,160
Speaker 1: out what's happening with Baker, we gotta sort of understand

922
00:48:07,200 --> 00:48:09,600
Speaker 1: that this one I didn't want to do at all.

923
00:48:09,800 --> 00:48:13,520
Speaker 1: Came around. Steelers minus two against the Titans on the road.

924
00:48:14,080 --> 00:48:16,759
Speaker 1: Also didn't even want to talk about this game, but

925
00:48:16,800 --> 00:48:19,319
Speaker 1: now we are putting our entire bank roll on it.

926
00:48:19,680 --> 00:48:23,880
Speaker 1: Seahawks minus three and a half on the road against Arizona. Uh, Pats.

927
00:48:23,960 --> 00:48:26,200
Speaker 1: This game opened at Pat's minus five and a half.

928
00:48:26,239 --> 00:48:28,200
Speaker 1: It is now two and a half playing against the

929
00:48:28,200 --> 00:48:32,279
Speaker 1: forty Niners in Foxborough. Uh we like that game. And

930
00:48:32,280 --> 00:48:36,560
Speaker 1: then Rams minus five and a half against the Bears.

931
00:48:37,040 --> 00:48:41,200
Speaker 1: That's our bet your Balls pick of the week. It

932
00:48:41,239 --> 00:48:43,520
Speaker 1: sounds about right, doesn't It sounds about right. It sounds

933
00:48:43,520 --> 00:48:45,960
Speaker 1: like a lot of favorites. Usually we're big dog guys,

934
00:48:46,040 --> 00:48:48,319
Speaker 1: but it looks like this week we're liking the value

935
00:48:48,320 --> 00:48:50,920
Speaker 1: of the favorite. So we've got one favorite. We've got

936
00:48:50,920 --> 00:48:53,520
Speaker 1: one dog here with the Panthers. And you mentioned teasers.

937
00:48:53,560 --> 00:48:56,600
Speaker 1: By the way, we do have some cool opportunities for teasers.

938
00:48:56,640 --> 00:48:58,560
Speaker 1: We've got like if we want to do with this

939
00:48:58,680 --> 00:49:01,719
Speaker 1: point teaser and get through key numbers, I I am

940
00:49:01,760 --> 00:49:05,319
Speaker 1: now thinking about key numbers is eight Seahawks minus three

941
00:49:05,320 --> 00:49:06,759
Speaker 1: and a half. You can tease it up to nine

942
00:49:06,760 --> 00:49:09,120
Speaker 1: and a half. Pats minus two and a half, tease

943
00:49:09,160 --> 00:49:11,000
Speaker 1: it up to eight and a half. Rams. You mentioned

944
00:49:11,120 --> 00:49:14,319
Speaker 1: you can tease that, um, you can tease that through

945
00:49:14,360 --> 00:49:16,680
Speaker 1: eight through seven, eight and ten. I think it's time

946
00:49:16,719 --> 00:49:21,120
Speaker 1: to uh announce the winner of last week's pod. Because

947
00:49:21,200 --> 00:49:22,719
Speaker 1: last week we asked fans to rate and review of

948
00:49:22,719 --> 00:49:25,080
Speaker 1: the podcast. Those who did and use the winning phrase

949
00:49:25,080 --> 00:49:26,839
Speaker 1: in the review were eligible to win a free Action

950
00:49:26,880 --> 00:49:29,560
Speaker 1: network hoodie. We had a lot of reviews and and

951
00:49:29,600 --> 00:49:33,040
Speaker 1: as you remember, last week, I stupidly admitted that I've

952
00:49:33,040 --> 00:49:35,040
Speaker 1: once gotten a fight with my wife about breastfeeding. So

953
00:49:35,120 --> 00:49:37,400
Speaker 1: don't be surprised if that's part of the winning review.

954
00:49:38,400 --> 00:49:41,759
Speaker 1: But a reminder, a reminder. This week's phrase that pay

955
00:49:41,880 --> 00:49:43,960
Speaker 1: starting for the second half of the season or week seven,

956
00:49:44,160 --> 00:49:46,320
Speaker 1: because we went five to know this week, we are celebrating,

957
00:49:46,360 --> 00:49:48,600
Speaker 1: we are feeling cocky. We want to give away some cash.

958
00:49:48,680 --> 00:49:52,160
Speaker 1: The winner for this week's phrase that pays contest earns

959
00:49:52,239 --> 00:49:55,239
Speaker 1: one hundred dollars for every win Simon and I have

960
00:49:55,840 --> 00:49:58,520
Speaker 1: in this week's contest. We go five to Know someone's

961
00:49:58,520 --> 00:50:01,279
Speaker 1: winning five hundred, we go four and one, someone's winning

962
00:50:01,280 --> 00:50:05,000
Speaker 1: four hundred, etcetera, etcetera, etcetera. Rate review the podcast using

963
00:50:05,040 --> 00:50:08,279
Speaker 1: the phrase Simon says, we worked it out and we

964
00:50:08,320 --> 00:50:13,400
Speaker 1: will randomly choose the winner of that cash. Meanwhile, the

965
00:50:13,400 --> 00:50:17,399
Speaker 1: winner of a hoodie. Sorry, buddy, just you know too bad?

966
00:50:17,920 --> 00:50:22,640
Speaker 1: Jeff Brauner Jeff Browner, who's five star review was titled

967
00:50:22,680 --> 00:50:25,920
Speaker 1: we have a failure to communicate, So Simon says, we

968
00:50:26,040 --> 00:50:29,400
Speaker 1: need to communicate, but not if all you do is

969
00:50:29,600 --> 00:50:34,080
Speaker 1: listen to this podcast. As long as you stopped communicating

970
00:50:34,280 --> 00:50:37,440
Speaker 1: after listening and go with this advice, you will have

971
00:50:37,520 --> 00:50:40,799
Speaker 1: your winners all day long, and then you can move

972
00:50:40,920 --> 00:50:44,120
Speaker 1: on arguing with your wife about her friend's boyfriends or

973
00:50:44,160 --> 00:50:47,399
Speaker 1: whether or not she should breastfeed. Jeff, thanks for making

974
00:50:47,400 --> 00:50:49,800
Speaker 1: this a part of our day. I love it. Jeff.

975
00:50:50,480 --> 00:50:52,480
Speaker 1: I'm sorry we can't give you money, buddy, but hopefully

976
00:50:52,480 --> 00:50:54,799
Speaker 1: you even win along with us will make up for it.

977
00:50:54,880 --> 00:50:56,960
Speaker 1: Just get a hoody and enjoy it. Just bet the

978
00:50:57,000 --> 00:50:59,440
Speaker 1: bets we make and you will be swimming in money.

979
00:51:00,040 --> 00:51:02,200
Speaker 1: This has been the favorite podcast from the Action Network.

980
00:51:02,200 --> 00:51:07,360
Speaker 1: Guy him Chad Moment. He is Simon Hunter downloaded, iTunes, Spotify,

981
00:51:07,400 --> 00:51:13,040
Speaker 1: wherever you get your podcasts, Rate review, Subscribe until next time,

982
00:51:14,160 --> 00:51:14,520
Speaker 1: Love you,