WEBVTT - Why It's High Time for Federal Cannabis Legislation: Simply Pure CEO

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to the Bloomberg Markets Podcast. I'm Paul Sweeney, along

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<v Speaker 1>with my co host of Bonnie Quinn. Every business day

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<v Speaker 1>we bring you interviews from CEOs, market pros, and Bloomberg experts,

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<v Speaker 1>along with essential market moving news. Find the Bloomberg Markets

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<v Speaker 1>Podcast on Apple podcast or wherever you listen to podcasts,

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<v Speaker 1>and on Bloomberg dot com. Alright, well, we know that

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<v Speaker 1>one of the ballot measures that passed in several states

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<v Speaker 1>was legalizing marijuana. New Jersey was among them. So we

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<v Speaker 1>thought it'd be nice to talk to somebody who has

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<v Speaker 1>expertise in this, not just recently, but really from the

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<v Speaker 1>very start, from when the very first state legalized marijuana.

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<v Speaker 1>Wanda James as founder and CEO of Simply Pure Dispensary

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<v Speaker 1>in Colorado. And Wanda, welcome, right, how are you doing

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<v Speaker 1>this morning? Absolutely great? So talk to us about a business,

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<v Speaker 1>first of all, in just in your area. How has

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<v Speaker 1>it been since the beginning of the pandemic. How have

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<v Speaker 1>you managed to us to write this out? So you

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<v Speaker 1>know it's it's interesting because at the very beginning of

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<v Speaker 1>the pandemic, I think that most of the business here

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<v Speaker 1>in Colorado, you know, dropped to ridiculously low levels. UM,

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<v Speaker 1>and then the mayor of Denver actually shut down dispensaries

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<v Speaker 1>for about four hours, and the rush of people that

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<v Speaker 1>came to the dispensaries and looker stores was so overwhelming

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<v Speaker 1>that Denver actually in Colorado. UM, and I guess most

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<v Speaker 1>places at this point called the cannabis businesses essential businesses.

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<v Speaker 1>And we've remained open during the pandemic. Our sales UM

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<v Speaker 1>have soared. UH. People have found that cannabis helps them

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<v Speaker 1>get through UM, a pandemic and isolation and all of

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<v Speaker 1>the things that we're dealing with. And then being a

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<v Speaker 1>black owned business, UM, we have found that so many

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<v Speaker 1>people have been looking to support black owned businesses, women

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<v Speaker 1>owned businesses, and today because it's Veteran's day, veteran's own businesses,

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<v Speaker 1>which is what we are. So it has actually um

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<v Speaker 1>businesswise during the pandemic. UM, I believe cannabis has done

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<v Speaker 1>very well. So wand you you've you've been in it

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<v Speaker 1>since the very beginning. You're an absolute expert on how

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<v Speaker 1>to do this. When you saw that ballot measures on

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<v Speaker 1>legalizing marlana past in several states, did it make you,

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<v Speaker 1>you know happy? I guess from your point of view

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<v Speaker 1>that more states are legalizing it, or is it a

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<v Speaker 1>step backwards in the sense that it is taking a

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<v Speaker 1>step away from having it recognized at a federal level. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>I don't know that it stops it from being recognized

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<v Speaker 1>at a federal level. I believe that this is the

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<v Speaker 1>court that is going to let politicians know on the

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<v Speaker 1>federal level that it is time. Um. You know, I

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<v Speaker 1>believe and and and don't quote me there maybe one

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<v Speaker 1>or two, but I believe in just about every state

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<v Speaker 1>in the nation right now, UM, there are cannabis laws

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<v Speaker 1>on the books, meaning that it's either decriminalized so you

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<v Speaker 1>won't go to jail for possessing it. Um, it's medically

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<v Speaker 1>legal that you can buy it for medicinal purposes, or

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<v Speaker 1>that it is legal in the adult use market, which

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<v Speaker 1>means that anybody over the age of twenty one can purchase.

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<v Speaker 1>So you know, most Americans right now have access have

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<v Speaker 1>access to legal cannabis. So the federal level needs to

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<v Speaker 1>get on board and follow what now. I believe it's

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<v Speaker 1>almost sixty eight percent of Americans right now want to

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<v Speaker 1>see full legalization across America. And as you know, sixty

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<v Speaker 1>percent of Americans don't agree on anything apparently, except for cannabis,

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<v Speaker 1>that's for sure. Wanta, have you managed to stay solo

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<v Speaker 1>or how is simply pure? Looking at the next five

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<v Speaker 1>to ten years, are you, you know, going to expand

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<v Speaker 1>maybe moving to other states? Have you done that already? Yes?

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<v Speaker 1>So this is a big place for us right now.

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<v Speaker 1>We've been doing this now for ten years. We were

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<v Speaker 1>the first African Americans legally licensed in America to own

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<v Speaker 1>a dispensary, a growth facility UM, and an edible company.

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<v Speaker 1>And so now we are ploised UM for national growth UM.

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<v Speaker 1>Over the next few months, we will be looking at

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<v Speaker 1>UM a a national prospect to be able to move

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<v Speaker 1>UM simply pure stores and products UM throughout the United States.

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<v Speaker 1>So we were absolutely thrilled to see more states legalized

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<v Speaker 1>because with legalization also brings UM, you know, less opportunity

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<v Speaker 1>for police harassment UM. And quite frankly, given the fact

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<v Speaker 1>that of all black businesses in America have failed during

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<v Speaker 1>the pandemic, we see cannabis entrepreneurism as a way of

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<v Speaker 1>revitalizing UM the black and brown communities by allowing them

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<v Speaker 1>to have these types of businesses. Well, Wanda, how are

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<v Speaker 1>you looking at doing this has private equity approached you

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<v Speaker 1>you know, might you think even about going public at

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<v Speaker 1>some point through a spack or one of those types

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<v Speaker 1>of entities. Yeah, so right now, you know, for the

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<v Speaker 1>most part, it's all private equity. Um. You know, there's

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<v Speaker 1>a few you know, public companies out of Canada that

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<v Speaker 1>are currently investing um. But you know, it's still private equity.

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<v Speaker 1>Be because as of today, we can't go to a

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<v Speaker 1>bank and get alone. Heck, I can't even go to

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<v Speaker 1>a bank and get a credit card in my business.

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<v Speaker 1>So and in most cases we have a legal bank

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<v Speaker 1>account which allows us to deposit, but most businesses don't

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<v Speaker 1>even have a legal bank account in which they can

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<v Speaker 1>deposit funds. So these are all of the reasons why

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<v Speaker 1>legalization has to happen. When you have a multibillion dollar business.

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<v Speaker 1>Here in Colorado, we do an excess of two billion

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<v Speaker 1>dollars in sales in the state. Um, California will do

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<v Speaker 1>well over ten billion dollars. So when you start to

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<v Speaker 1>look at these kinds of numbers and we don't even

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<v Speaker 1>have bank accounts, credit cards, atm cards, lines of credit,

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<v Speaker 1>it seems absurd that we are still discussing whether this

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<v Speaker 1>business should be legal or not when Americans have been

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<v Speaker 1>using cannabis now since George Washington. And this is of

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<v Speaker 1>course because the state rules on banking, which go back

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<v Speaker 1>for you know, decades and generations wanted very very beefly

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<v Speaker 1>wanted to ask about supply and whether that had been

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<v Speaker 1>a problem during the pandemic, if if farmers weren't able

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<v Speaker 1>to keep on staff and so on. So here in Colorado, no, um,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, we are a finally tuned machine here in Colorado. UM.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, I will say that we did definitely uh,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, supply and demand. So the price of cannabis

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<v Speaker 1>definitely skyrocketed through the summer months because of the demand

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<v Speaker 1>for flower. Um. What we found, um, at least in

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<v Speaker 1>my dispensary, is that the sales of when we say flower,

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<v Speaker 1>actual bud um more than doubled. So we saw a

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<v Speaker 1>rise in edibles and bait pens as well too. But

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<v Speaker 1>the sale of flower actually went through the ceiling. So

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<v Speaker 1>while we were able to manage demand, um, and we

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<v Speaker 1>also have our own row facility, it was still demand

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<v Speaker 1>is definitely up. I wanta just wonderful to speak with

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<v Speaker 1>you today. Thank you for giving us your time and

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<v Speaker 1>much appreciated. Want to James, founder and CEO of Simply

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<v Speaker 1>Pure Dispensary in Colorado, opened ten years ago. In fact,

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<v Speaker 1>well let's get back to the markets now and bringing

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<v Speaker 1>Jim Poles and ce IO of the Little Old Group, Jim,

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<v Speaker 1>where are we at? Has been just a fascinating few weeks, months,

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<v Speaker 1>and indeed a few days just just fighting Monday sessions

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<v Speaker 1>alone would have you scratching your head wondering what's going

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<v Speaker 1>to happen next? What do you think? Will you know? Banni? I?

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<v Speaker 1>I kind of think that the big ELpH of the

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<v Speaker 1>room is the pace of economic growth. One anything else,

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<v Speaker 1>We've got so many issues going on, but we of

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<v Speaker 1>course had a super strong third quarter, and quite frankly,

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<v Speaker 1>we're halfway through the fourth quarter and a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>momentum is still very evident in the economy. Most of

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<v Speaker 1>the reports that come out every day, whether it's I S, M,

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<v Speaker 1>employment or confidence reports remained very strong um. And I

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<v Speaker 1>think that's going to be the key if the economy,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, the expectation for the fourth quarter might be

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<v Speaker 1>around three. I think it might be more like five

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<v Speaker 1>or six for the fourth quarter. And if it is,

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<v Speaker 1>I think that's going to continue to be a really

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<v Speaker 1>positive force for the market overall. And no, I think

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<v Speaker 1>in some degree that reflects some of the change in

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<v Speaker 1>leadership that we're seeing here a little bit starting to

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<v Speaker 1>become more pronounced. Um. You know, certainly the vaccine helps,

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<v Speaker 1>but we also are going to have the lagged impact

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<v Speaker 1>of PAS stimulus that's going to help us next year.

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<v Speaker 1>We've got a cent savings rate out there that could

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<v Speaker 1>be spent. There was virtually the inventory to GDP ratios

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<v Speaker 1>of almost record lows, So if that's spent on no inventory,

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<v Speaker 1>that could have quite an impact. You're seeing a fair

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<v Speaker 1>number of confident behaviors being displayed by both consumers, laborers

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<v Speaker 1>and businesses. Consumers are buying big tickets. Labors, the job

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<v Speaker 1>lever rates climbing, the more people now say jobs are

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<v Speaker 1>plentiful and hard to get. Businesses capital good orders just

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<v Speaker 1>went to new high So I think that's a sustainable

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<v Speaker 1>sign as well. Overall. So I think there's a fair

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<v Speaker 1>number of positive forces against right seen COVID cases to

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<v Speaker 1>keep eat. You think it's so sustainable though, Jim, And

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<v Speaker 1>what is this market thinking when you have a million

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<v Speaker 1>cases in Texas alone, A million cases now in all

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<v Speaker 1>of Italy, which means, you know, it's it's back with

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<v Speaker 1>a vengeance in Europe, and it's probably only amount of

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<v Speaker 1>time before it's back with the avengeance in various other places.

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<v Speaker 1>It's already exponential in the United States. So what makes

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<v Speaker 1>you think that the economy can can continue to recover

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<v Speaker 1>like it was. Well, may be wrong, and it could

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<v Speaker 1>certainly get bad enough, but you know, hope we have

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<v Speaker 1>to shut down economic activity like we did March again

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<v Speaker 1>would be a disaster, but I don't think we're going

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<v Speaker 1>to get there money. You know, we had a surge

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<v Speaker 1>in March up to around thirty thousand cases that created

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<v Speaker 1>the death rate of about a day on average at

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<v Speaker 1>the peaks. The second surge in the summer went up

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<v Speaker 1>to sixty five thousand cases, more than double, but the

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<v Speaker 1>death rate fell more more than a half to the

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<v Speaker 1>round a thousand or a little over. Now we're five

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<v Speaker 1>thousands daily cases and death rates still around a thousand,

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<v Speaker 1>So I don't I think it reflects the fact that

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<v Speaker 1>we've gotten a lot better of doing this. We protect

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<v Speaker 1>more vulnerable groups than we did earlier. We we UH,

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<v Speaker 1>we also have better treatments available UH to lower the

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<v Speaker 1>lethality of this thing, which and then there's there's just

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of the things we might shut down are

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<v Speaker 1>already shut down. You know, We've got a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>places where restaurant capacities or we can't probably do a

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<v Speaker 1>lot more there. So I really think we're not going

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<v Speaker 1>to have a meaningful nationwide shut down that radically reduces

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<v Speaker 1>economic growth like we did in March. So if you

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<v Speaker 1>had dry powder, or if you were thinking of taking

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<v Speaker 1>some profits somewhere, where would you put that money now, Jim,

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<v Speaker 1>in order to try and take advantage of what you

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<v Speaker 1>see as an improving situation. Well, I think it's a

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<v Speaker 1>portant to remain barbelled. I still think I think tech

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<v Speaker 1>is gonna underperform over the next year because the economy

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<v Speaker 1>picks up, it's going to favor the Hurning's growth broader marketplace.

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<v Speaker 1>But I don't think it's going to fall apart. I

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<v Speaker 1>don't think it's gonna collapse. I think it's just gonna underperform.

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<v Speaker 1>I think a day like today is a great example

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<v Speaker 1>of why you still want to own some technology. But

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<v Speaker 1>over the case, I think small cap stocks, um cyclical sectors,

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<v Speaker 1>particularly the financials, the industrials and materials I think are

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<v Speaker 1>very good places to look. And I would also start

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<v Speaker 1>to lift my international exposure, particularly in emerging markets excluding China.

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<v Speaker 1>I think China's gonna underperform next year, UM, but the

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<v Speaker 1>other emerging markets probably do pretty well. Overall. I think

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<v Speaker 1>there's a bountiful list of opportunities, in part because this

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<v Speaker 1>market has been so concentrated among mega caps, it's left

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of the marketplace. I think this will has

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of value and they have greater cyclical earnings

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<v Speaker 1>leverage here for going into two thousand twenty one. Are

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<v Speaker 1>we completely dependent on the Federal Reserve though, Jim and

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<v Speaker 1>we only really have a half minute left? UM, I

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<v Speaker 1>don't believe so. I UM. I think that the Fed

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<v Speaker 1>is going to have to back away by economy remains

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<v Speaker 1>relatively healthy. I think it's gonna have to slow UM

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<v Speaker 1>bond purchases, quantitative easing, and allow bond yields to climb.

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<v Speaker 1>They might already be starting to do that a little bit.

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<v Speaker 1>I think we're going to have bond yields to go

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<v Speaker 1>up next year, and uh, if they do, that could

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<v Speaker 1>actually build confidence. If we go back above a one

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<v Speaker 1>per cent treasure I think people worry less about negative

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<v Speaker 1>yields will also be assigned of economic strength. It could

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<v Speaker 1>fuel more animal spirits. Jim, it's always lovely chatting with you.

0:12:48.960 --> 0:12:52.000
<v Speaker 1>Thank you for that. I forgot to ask you, however,

0:12:52.040 --> 0:12:53.920
<v Speaker 1>thing is in your home state, But I guess we

0:12:54.040 --> 0:12:56.559
<v Speaker 1>have to do that the next time. That is Jim Paulson,

0:12:56.920 --> 0:13:06.760
<v Speaker 1>c I O of the Little Old Group. Well, we're

0:13:06.760 --> 0:13:10.000
<v Speaker 1>getting a lot of vaccine news in the last few days,

0:13:10.040 --> 0:13:12.800
<v Speaker 1>which on the one hand is fabulous, but perhaps we

0:13:12.800 --> 0:13:15.320
<v Speaker 1>should hit the brakes just a little bit. We'll see

0:13:15.320 --> 0:13:18.560
<v Speaker 1>with our next guest, who heads up the global sector

0:13:18.840 --> 0:13:24.560
<v Speaker 1>leadership for healthcare at Third Bridge. Let's welcome now, Jallen Mamadova. Jlen.

0:13:24.920 --> 0:13:28.480
<v Speaker 1>This vaccine news from Fiser and also Maderna, we know

0:13:28.600 --> 0:13:31.839
<v Speaker 1>is coming close to you know, being able to announce something,

0:13:32.000 --> 0:13:34.840
<v Speaker 1>and there are plenty more companies out there being able

0:13:34.880 --> 0:13:39.440
<v Speaker 1>to announce antibody type therapeutics or vaccines in the next while.

0:13:39.920 --> 0:13:43.280
<v Speaker 1>Talk to us about the downsides of this current spate

0:13:43.360 --> 0:13:47.680
<v Speaker 1>of news. Thanks for having me, Ronny. So definitely the

0:13:47.720 --> 0:13:50.839
<v Speaker 1>market is self reacting a bit too early with has

0:13:50.880 --> 0:13:53.840
<v Speaker 1>been the case of all the news around COVID this

0:13:53.960 --> 0:13:55.959
<v Speaker 1>is good news and that this close served as a

0:13:56.040 --> 0:13:59.200
<v Speaker 1>positive not to all of the vaccine candidates start getting

0:13:59.800 --> 0:14:03.000
<v Speaker 1>the like proteins, but definitely a positive not for the pipeline,

0:14:03.480 --> 0:14:07.320
<v Speaker 1>but without that data on efficacy for the elderly, your ability,

0:14:07.400 --> 0:14:11.080
<v Speaker 1>and additional safety collection which will probably continue even if

0:14:11.120 --> 0:14:14.160
<v Speaker 1>an fd e WAY is granted, it is definitely too

0:14:14.200 --> 0:14:17.560
<v Speaker 1>student to call this a winner. Um also to know

0:14:17.760 --> 0:14:20.600
<v Speaker 1>that this requires some multiple storage requirements and that needs

0:14:20.640 --> 0:14:23.880
<v Speaker 1>present additional challenges. So if we do have a candidate

0:14:23.920 --> 0:14:26.920
<v Speaker 1>with more convenience dozing, is your storage, better efficacy and

0:14:26.960 --> 0:14:30.560
<v Speaker 1>elderly and better your ability, this will definitely ad fiser

0:14:30.680 --> 0:14:33.280
<v Speaker 1>with whatever initial upstates they take on. Now, we do

0:14:33.400 --> 0:14:36.040
<v Speaker 1>expect an e way, but it's probably going to be limited,

0:14:36.400 --> 0:14:38.840
<v Speaker 1>as we saw was Lilas e way earlier on on

0:14:38.880 --> 0:14:44.880
<v Speaker 1>their monoclonal antibody, essentially restricting this to people of their impurity. Yes, well, well,

0:14:44.920 --> 0:14:47.160
<v Speaker 1>I was just gonna ask on the storage, because this

0:14:47.200 --> 0:14:49.760
<v Speaker 1>will be a problem even in places like CDs and

0:14:50.040 --> 0:14:53.800
<v Speaker 1>so on. What companies are working on this problem storing

0:14:53.920 --> 0:14:58.600
<v Speaker 1>something at a reasonable price at minus what between seventy

0:14:58.640 --> 0:15:03.760
<v Speaker 1>and a hundred degrees? Yes, minus seminie celsius. Maderna is

0:15:03.800 --> 0:15:06.400
<v Speaker 1>another minus twenty selsie. So I've actually Sizer and Maderna

0:15:06.440 --> 0:15:08.880
<v Speaker 1>are trying to tweak this and bring it, bring this

0:15:09.040 --> 0:15:12.480
<v Speaker 1>up to a more manageable temperature where hospitals are not

0:15:12.520 --> 0:15:15.280
<v Speaker 1>going to have to buy additional you know, fridges and

0:15:15.360 --> 0:15:19.360
<v Speaker 1>storage equipment to make this a viable vaccine candidate. But

0:15:19.360 --> 0:15:21.560
<v Speaker 1>when you look at Mirk, Mirk actually has had to

0:15:21.680 --> 0:15:26.000
<v Speaker 1>use ultra coold storage for its a bowl of vaccine.

0:15:26.240 --> 0:15:29.600
<v Speaker 1>But uh, they were never able to tweak it, and

0:15:29.720 --> 0:15:32.480
<v Speaker 1>ultimately this may not be as big of a challenge

0:15:32.480 --> 0:15:35.400
<v Speaker 1>as they do well on the efficacy front, there's definitely

0:15:35.480 --> 0:15:37.960
<v Speaker 1>a way of start of comventing this. Again with Mark

0:15:38.040 --> 0:15:41.280
<v Speaker 1>they were able to distribute to gl Congo right in

0:15:41.320 --> 0:15:45.040
<v Speaker 1>the US. They are much better kind of storage capability.

0:15:45.400 --> 0:15:48.200
<v Speaker 1>Having said that, though it doesn't really seem like they

0:15:48.240 --> 0:15:50.760
<v Speaker 1>can tweak this anymore than it is now, Maderna does

0:15:50.800 --> 0:15:52.920
<v Speaker 1>have an upper hand in this and that it is

0:15:52.960 --> 0:15:57.120
<v Speaker 1>negative twenty celsius, so it's not extreme as Speiser, But

0:15:57.240 --> 0:16:00.600
<v Speaker 1>having said that, they have additional issues when it comes

0:16:00.640 --> 0:16:04.040
<v Speaker 1>to potential distribution factory. But ultimately it's going to come

0:16:04.040 --> 0:16:07.120
<v Speaker 1>down to their contracting uh, contracts being in many factor

0:16:07.160 --> 0:16:09.760
<v Speaker 1>and relationships that are in place. Some art experts are

0:16:09.760 --> 0:16:15.120
<v Speaker 1>pretty skeptical that they can tweak the storage requirements if

0:16:15.200 --> 0:16:19.760
<v Speaker 1>that would require additional engineering capability. I know, it's fascinating, right,

0:16:19.880 --> 0:16:22.800
<v Speaker 1>And the idea that there's a lot of short interest

0:16:22.880 --> 0:16:25.160
<v Speaker 1>in Maderna would also give you pause. I mean, there's

0:16:25.160 --> 0:16:29.040
<v Speaker 1>obviously a big contingent of money, be it a smart

0:16:29.040 --> 0:16:31.920
<v Speaker 1>money or dumb money out there that is betting against MODERNA.

0:16:32.360 --> 0:16:36.640
<v Speaker 1>So what is your thinking on when we'll have something workable? Jallen?

0:16:38.640 --> 0:16:41.880
<v Speaker 1>When we will have something workable if if we define

0:16:41.920 --> 0:16:45.520
<v Speaker 1>that as something that's available for mass distributions. So let's

0:16:45.520 --> 0:16:49.080
<v Speaker 1>say right now, you know Fiser has signed some supply

0:16:49.120 --> 0:16:53.120
<v Speaker 1>agreements UM around promising to supply rents the under million

0:16:53.200 --> 0:16:56.760
<v Speaker 1>doses by mid next year UM. Really we're thinking about

0:16:56.840 --> 0:17:00.920
<v Speaker 1>mass administration probably ACCU three of the next year at

0:17:00.960 --> 0:17:04.560
<v Speaker 1>earliest UM, and that's across the patient populations, and maybe

0:17:04.640 --> 0:17:08.080
<v Speaker 1>mid next year UM some form of voting available for

0:17:09.000 --> 0:17:11.639
<v Speaker 1>the at risk or the any population. So those are

0:17:11.680 --> 0:17:14.880
<v Speaker 1>the healthcare workers and the elderly. So really, even though

0:17:14.880 --> 0:17:17.119
<v Speaker 1>it was good news, and you know, we have to

0:17:17.200 --> 0:17:18.800
<v Speaker 1>have this good news before we can get the next

0:17:18.840 --> 0:17:21.439
<v Speaker 1>little bit of good news. It really doesn't speed up

0:17:21.480 --> 0:17:24.320
<v Speaker 1>the process at all, more than more than we thought.

0:17:24.320 --> 0:17:28.320
<v Speaker 1>It just means that we are still on the right path. Yeah,

0:17:28.359 --> 0:17:31.160
<v Speaker 1>that's exactly what. It's the right path, but doesn't speed anything.

0:17:31.160 --> 0:17:36.000
<v Speaker 1>If anything, we've been consistently seeing delays um the promises

0:17:36.040 --> 0:17:38.360
<v Speaker 1>for readouts earlier on and those have been pushed back

0:17:38.400 --> 0:17:42.560
<v Speaker 1>with SIS or biotic really being cation point. What are

0:17:42.560 --> 0:17:45.880
<v Speaker 1>you doing at Third Bridge in terms of investment or

0:17:45.960 --> 0:17:51.080
<v Speaker 1>in terms of advising on investment, So a third Bach

0:17:51.119 --> 0:17:53.680
<v Speaker 1>we don't directly advice on investment, but we do help

0:17:53.760 --> 0:17:57.200
<v Speaker 1>with is the due diligence components for our institutional investors,

0:17:57.200 --> 0:18:00.240
<v Speaker 1>and we speak to experts that give guidance across the

0:18:00.640 --> 0:18:04.000
<v Speaker 1>vaccine place. The most recently, for example, we have been

0:18:04.040 --> 0:18:08.480
<v Speaker 1>focusing on Mark and uh Novo vaccine vaccine candidate well

0:18:08.480 --> 0:18:10.640
<v Speaker 1>for the America, Well it is a later entrance. Their

0:18:10.720 --> 0:18:14.320
<v Speaker 1>VFC platform and their v Diesel Space platform actually could

0:18:14.359 --> 0:18:16.760
<v Speaker 1>potentially bode well when it comes to you know, single

0:18:16.840 --> 0:18:20.879
<v Speaker 1>dosage and UPDAK in the elderly based on the efficacy

0:18:20.920 --> 0:18:23.960
<v Speaker 1>that they have shown once they're proven platforms, they also

0:18:24.040 --> 0:18:26.760
<v Speaker 1>potentially have an oral formulation. And we've also been focusing

0:18:26.800 --> 0:18:29.920
<v Speaker 1>on novavax Um for a while now because their anti

0:18:30.080 --> 0:18:33.320
<v Speaker 1>body responses have been pretty amazing and we uh we

0:18:33.320 --> 0:18:37.280
<v Speaker 1>weren't surprised by the FDA fast expisignation which they received

0:18:37.280 --> 0:18:39.879
<v Speaker 1>earlier this week. We're pretty much out of time, but

0:18:39.920 --> 0:18:41.760
<v Speaker 1>can you give us a rundown very briefly on the

0:18:41.760 --> 0:18:44.920
<v Speaker 1>companies that are concentrating on things like distribution and refrigeration

0:18:45.040 --> 0:18:48.840
<v Speaker 1>so we can continue to keep an eye on those two, Yes,

0:18:49.000 --> 0:18:52.080
<v Speaker 1>for sure. So right now the main focus is s Fizer,

0:18:52.160 --> 0:18:56.480
<v Speaker 1>Biontec and Maderna and their supplier relationships with certain CDMs,

0:18:56.560 --> 0:18:59.800
<v Speaker 1>But those storage requirements and manufacturing of them will actually

0:18:59.800 --> 0:19:02.560
<v Speaker 1>come down to the bio farma itself and the capability

0:19:02.680 --> 0:19:05.320
<v Speaker 1>that they have at hand. And again case some point

0:19:05.359 --> 0:19:09.080
<v Speaker 1>is is marked with their ultracol storage solution. Wow amazing.

0:19:09.119 --> 0:19:10.840
<v Speaker 1>So it's the companies themselves that are going to have

0:19:10.880 --> 0:19:13.280
<v Speaker 1>to solve that problem. Jillen, thank you for joining us.

0:19:13.280 --> 0:19:15.040
<v Speaker 1>We do have to catch up with you again very soon.

0:19:15.400 --> 0:19:20.240
<v Speaker 1>Jillen Momadova is Global sector lead for healthcare at Third Bridge.

0:19:23.400 --> 0:19:26.920
<v Speaker 1>But the President elect is extraordinarily close to veterans. This

0:19:27.160 --> 0:19:29.919
<v Speaker 1>on Veterans Day. No better person to talk to about

0:19:30.280 --> 0:19:33.679
<v Speaker 1>what might happen under a Biden presidency for veterans than

0:19:33.720 --> 0:19:36.200
<v Speaker 1>to be Harsha. This, of course, as well as President

0:19:36.240 --> 0:19:38.879
<v Speaker 1>Trump and Vice President Mike Pence took a tour of

0:19:39.119 --> 0:19:42.800
<v Speaker 1>Arlington National Cemetery for the day. That was in it, Toby,

0:19:42.920 --> 0:19:45.440
<v Speaker 1>you know, borrowing some kind of strange thing happening. It

0:19:45.480 --> 0:19:47.440
<v Speaker 1>does look like we're going to get a Biden presidency,

0:19:47.440 --> 0:19:51.800
<v Speaker 1>which means possibly some good news for veterans. Is there

0:19:52.000 --> 0:19:54.280
<v Speaker 1>something that Biden will put on his list to get

0:19:54.320 --> 0:19:58.280
<v Speaker 1>accomplished for these people that are still experiencing hardships and

0:19:58.359 --> 0:20:03.960
<v Speaker 1>suffering and oh discrimination. Weirdly, you know, so many generations

0:20:04.000 --> 0:20:08.879
<v Speaker 1>after their problems were first brought to light. Thanks Bunny,

0:20:09.200 --> 0:20:12.280
<v Speaker 1>I'm happy to be here. Um. I wish that Biden

0:20:12.359 --> 0:20:16.440
<v Speaker 1>had said, um, anything that was more specific during the campaign.

0:20:16.840 --> 0:20:20.000
<v Speaker 1>He said all of the right things, um, but but

0:20:20.160 --> 0:20:24.080
<v Speaker 1>sort of deep generalizations that, um, you know, veterans need

0:20:24.119 --> 0:20:26.520
<v Speaker 1>the jobs that they need, they need the care that

0:20:26.560 --> 0:20:30.560
<v Speaker 1>they deserve, things like that, But there really wasn't anything specific. Um.

0:20:30.600 --> 0:20:33.520
<v Speaker 1>It's it's not a huge campaign issue. No, it's not.

0:20:34.000 --> 0:20:37.600
<v Speaker 1>What is the biggest need for veterans right now to UM,

0:20:38.119 --> 0:20:41.560
<v Speaker 1>I think sort of the overwriting topic is mental health care. UM.

0:20:41.600 --> 0:20:44.720
<v Speaker 1>You know, as we know, the veterans have a higher

0:20:44.720 --> 0:20:48.960
<v Speaker 1>suicide rate than the population in general. UM. You know,

0:20:49.080 --> 0:20:55.479
<v Speaker 1>PTSD is now finally considered a legitimate diagnosis. UM. And uh,

0:20:55.760 --> 0:20:59.320
<v Speaker 1>it's just it's very hard u A to supply enough

0:20:59.359 --> 0:21:03.040
<v Speaker 1>healthcare and be often the trick is bringing people into

0:21:03.160 --> 0:21:07.760
<v Speaker 1>mental healthcare. Veterans, not not to de cliche about veterans

0:21:07.760 --> 0:21:09.960
<v Speaker 1>tend to be you know, think of themselves as tough

0:21:10.119 --> 0:21:13.040
<v Speaker 1>and self sufficient. UM. And it's often hard to bring

0:21:13.080 --> 0:21:16.760
<v Speaker 1>people into you know, it's sort of broad based mental

0:21:16.760 --> 0:21:20.160
<v Speaker 1>health care. Yeah, it's UM, there's so many problems out there.

0:21:20.160 --> 0:21:22.080
<v Speaker 1>But you know, if anyone should have a stake in

0:21:22.119 --> 0:21:24.439
<v Speaker 1>our national defense or at least, you know, an opinion

0:21:24.440 --> 0:21:26.880
<v Speaker 1>we should listen to, it's our veterans. What do they

0:21:26.960 --> 0:21:30.360
<v Speaker 1>think of the military changes that we're seeing right now

0:21:30.480 --> 0:21:33.720
<v Speaker 1>or the changes of the Pentagon? UM? And and what

0:21:33.720 --> 0:21:36.560
<v Speaker 1>what what should be there instead? Yeah, I don't want to,

0:21:36.560 --> 0:21:38.760
<v Speaker 1>I don't want to to lump them all into one

0:21:38.880 --> 0:21:42.120
<v Speaker 1>voice or one opinion. And there's not really polling on this. UM.

0:21:42.200 --> 0:21:45.680
<v Speaker 1>I would imagine there's deep dissatisfaction, especially with the Shenanigans

0:21:45.760 --> 0:21:48.280
<v Speaker 1>that Trump has been up to this week. UM. You

0:21:48.359 --> 0:21:51.560
<v Speaker 1>know it's funny that that Mark Esper was called yasper

0:21:51.960 --> 0:21:54.879
<v Speaker 1>um behind his back and considered this Trump loyalist, and

0:21:54.920 --> 0:21:57.760
<v Speaker 1>yet now Trump astared him for not being sufficiently loyal

0:21:57.960 --> 0:22:01.119
<v Speaker 1>and put in um or replacement who I don't want

0:22:01.119 --> 0:22:06.200
<v Speaker 1>to say unqualified, but certainly under qualified. UM. And UM,

0:22:06.480 --> 0:22:08.840
<v Speaker 1>you know I I just don't think this makes anyone happy.

0:22:09.119 --> 0:22:13.120
<v Speaker 1>Um inside the services, polling is is is done. Um,

0:22:13.160 --> 0:22:15.639
<v Speaker 1>it's a little bit sketchy. UM, I guess, as polling

0:22:15.800 --> 0:22:19.520
<v Speaker 1>is everywhere these days. But there's there's a little question

0:22:19.720 --> 0:22:25.680
<v Speaker 1>that President Trump's um uh ratings among the officer class

0:22:25.880 --> 0:22:29.640
<v Speaker 1>UM declined heavily over his four years UM to no depths.

0:22:29.640 --> 0:22:34.160
<v Speaker 1>Probably that any Republican UM has, any Republican incumbent has

0:22:34.200 --> 0:22:39.160
<v Speaker 1>reached uh certainly in modern history. That brings us to Biden.

0:22:39.280 --> 0:22:42.800
<v Speaker 1>And you know, yes, I'm not We could talk for

0:22:42.840 --> 0:22:45.399
<v Speaker 1>a long time about about how President Tromp treated the

0:22:45.440 --> 0:22:48.800
<v Speaker 1>military and and the arms of the military, but let's

0:22:48.960 --> 0:22:53.000
<v Speaker 1>let's talk about Biden. Will Biden's you know, domestic policy

0:22:53.000 --> 0:22:56.160
<v Speaker 1>and foreign policy, national security policy, as it relates to

0:22:56.240 --> 0:22:59.520
<v Speaker 1>the various branches of the military. Will it be significantly

0:22:59.560 --> 0:23:03.240
<v Speaker 1>different to what we have now? Yeah, I mean the

0:23:03.600 --> 0:23:08.040
<v Speaker 1>headline issue is the remaining troops in Afghanistan. UM, and

0:23:08.200 --> 0:23:10.800
<v Speaker 1>Biden's uh, you know, the positions that he put out

0:23:10.800 --> 0:23:13.640
<v Speaker 1>on the campaign trail weren't all that much different than Trump's.

0:23:13.640 --> 0:23:15.840
<v Speaker 1>He'd like to bring them home, but unlike Trump, he

0:23:15.880 --> 0:23:18.600
<v Speaker 1>puts a greater emphasis on the on the ground conditions

0:23:19.080 --> 0:23:22.520
<v Speaker 1>UM and simply making sure that Afghanistan won't collapse. UM

0:23:22.560 --> 0:23:24.960
<v Speaker 1>as soon as our troops are gone. Remember, there's not

0:23:25.000 --> 0:23:27.439
<v Speaker 1>that many. There's about twelve thousand UM, which is not

0:23:27.560 --> 0:23:29.760
<v Speaker 1>to not to be a little the sacrifice and the

0:23:29.840 --> 0:23:32.560
<v Speaker 1>danger that they're facing, UM. But compared to the height

0:23:32.600 --> 0:23:36.119
<v Speaker 1>of these two wars, UM, it's it's it's a fairly

0:23:36.400 --> 0:23:38.199
<v Speaker 1>you know, I don't want to see in significant it's

0:23:38.200 --> 0:23:40.560
<v Speaker 1>a very small amount of troops left there. In terms

0:23:40.560 --> 0:23:44.040
<v Speaker 1>of broader issues, UM, there were a lot of concerns

0:23:44.080 --> 0:23:47.400
<v Speaker 1>I think about the Pentagon budget UM being slashed if

0:23:47.440 --> 0:23:52.040
<v Speaker 1>the Democrats won the presidency and UM took control of Congress.

0:23:52.080 --> 0:23:55.480
<v Speaker 1>And I'm not particularly worried about that. UM. The Pentic

0:23:56.160 --> 0:23:59.560
<v Speaker 1>budget came out of UH Congress the other day. For

0:23:59.640 --> 0:24:03.840
<v Speaker 1>twenty one it was seventy was the top line. And

0:24:03.880 --> 0:24:06.520
<v Speaker 1>then you know, when you factor in the war funding

0:24:06.680 --> 0:24:09.200
<v Speaker 1>plus the money that goes to the nuclear program and

0:24:09.240 --> 0:24:11.960
<v Speaker 1>the Energy Department, it's gonna it's gonna be about seven

0:24:12.240 --> 0:24:14.480
<v Speaker 1>thirty million, which is about tied for the highest it's

0:24:14.480 --> 0:24:17.280
<v Speaker 1>ever been. UM. Democrats will want to pull back on

0:24:17.359 --> 0:24:19.359
<v Speaker 1>that a little bit, but I wouldn't imagine by more

0:24:19.400 --> 0:24:21.679
<v Speaker 1>than a percentage or two. UM. I think the bigger

0:24:21.760 --> 0:24:23.919
<v Speaker 1>changes are going to be on what that money is

0:24:24.000 --> 0:24:27.119
<v Speaker 1>spent on. UM. And I think we're going to see

0:24:27.200 --> 0:24:30.200
<v Speaker 1>some big ticket items, you know, trimmed back. That would

0:24:30.200 --> 0:24:33.919
<v Speaker 1>be the aircraft carriers, UM, the brigade combat groups, the

0:24:34.000 --> 0:24:38.240
<v Speaker 1>things that are that are super money intensive. UM. And

0:24:38.320 --> 0:24:40.040
<v Speaker 1>I think that will you know, that will go to

0:24:40.119 --> 0:24:42.560
<v Speaker 1>things that get better bang from the bunk, better bang

0:24:42.640 --> 0:24:44.640
<v Speaker 1>for the buck, which is drone for the most part,

0:24:44.680 --> 0:24:48.720
<v Speaker 1>and not just little drones like we think of, but UM, submarines, UH,

0:24:49.400 --> 0:24:52.840
<v Speaker 1>long range strategic bombers. Lots of things can be done unmanned.

0:24:53.119 --> 0:24:56.160
<v Speaker 1>So essentially we'll be returning to the Obama era for

0:24:56.200 --> 0:25:01.320
<v Speaker 1>that type of policy. Yeah, UM, I I think we Will.

0:25:01.359 --> 0:25:04.879
<v Speaker 1>I think the Pentagon has always been headed in that direction. UM.

0:25:04.920 --> 0:25:07.119
<v Speaker 1>I think there's a lot of politics involved. You have

0:25:07.160 --> 0:25:10.639
<v Speaker 1>to remember that the in that gigantic seven hundred billion

0:25:10.680 --> 0:25:15.240
<v Speaker 1>dollar UM Pentagon spending bill, almost every penny of it

0:25:15.280 --> 0:25:17.879
<v Speaker 1>is accounted for by Congress and says this has to

0:25:17.920 --> 0:25:19.439
<v Speaker 1>go to this, This has to go to that, this

0:25:19.560 --> 0:25:25.160
<v Speaker 1>has to go to that. UM and UM more flexibility

0:25:25.320 --> 0:25:28.920
<v Speaker 1>is what the Pentagon really needs. UM. Pentagon, the Congress

0:25:28.920 --> 0:25:31.080
<v Speaker 1>has to allow the Pentagon to spend that, you know,

0:25:31.080 --> 0:25:33.520
<v Speaker 1>almost a trillion dollars in UM in the ways that

0:25:33.560 --> 0:25:39.840
<v Speaker 1>it feels it needs to. Toby, will Joe Biden be

0:25:40.000 --> 0:25:44.560
<v Speaker 1>any more interventionist than President Obama because the President of

0:25:44.600 --> 0:25:48.280
<v Speaker 1>Alma made it, made it, you know, a high bar

0:25:48.440 --> 0:25:51.880
<v Speaker 1>to intervene. Yeah, UM, well you know we we did

0:25:51.960 --> 0:25:55.720
<v Speaker 1>intervene in Libya. UM I would say no, I don't

0:25:55.760 --> 0:25:59.760
<v Speaker 1>think so. I think interventionism is out of favor with

0:25:59.800 --> 0:26:04.480
<v Speaker 1>both parties at this point. UM. I think that UM,

0:26:04.520 --> 0:26:07.480
<v Speaker 1>there will be a much bigger emphasis now on UM

0:26:07.600 --> 0:26:11.359
<v Speaker 1>using diplomacy and especially on using alliances UM to shore

0:26:11.440 --> 0:26:14.919
<v Speaker 1>up America's security needs, particularly in terms of China but

0:26:14.960 --> 0:26:19.000
<v Speaker 1>also Russia. UM. I think that the big the big

0:26:19.080 --> 0:26:21.680
<v Speaker 1>change will be that you know place that President Trump

0:26:21.680 --> 0:26:25.520
<v Speaker 1>basically tried to extort our Asian allies, Japan and South

0:26:25.600 --> 0:26:28.919
<v Speaker 1>Korea by making them pay more money to host US troops.

0:26:29.000 --> 0:26:31.240
<v Speaker 1>And that pressure I think will be relieved. And it

0:26:31.280 --> 0:26:33.600
<v Speaker 1>was an idiotic strategy, um not to put to find

0:26:33.640 --> 0:26:36.040
<v Speaker 1>a point on it, because it's cheaper actually to store

0:26:36.040 --> 0:26:38.199
<v Speaker 1>our troops, to have our troops stationed abroad than it

0:26:38.280 --> 0:26:39.680
<v Speaker 1>is to keep them at home, and we have to

0:26:39.680 --> 0:26:42.000
<v Speaker 1>pay them no matter where they are, and there's huge

0:26:42.040 --> 0:26:46.160
<v Speaker 1>security dividends played by that, Toby, It's a fascinating conversation

0:26:46.200 --> 0:26:47.840
<v Speaker 1>we just had. I'd love to have longer. Let's talk

0:26:47.880 --> 0:26:49.800
<v Speaker 1>about the Middle East as well, because that you know,

0:26:50.040 --> 0:26:52.040
<v Speaker 1>it may not be front of mind, given all of

0:26:52.080 --> 0:26:55.440
<v Speaker 1>the various parts of the world that are front of mind,

0:26:55.600 --> 0:26:58.560
<v Speaker 1>but it's definitely going to be something that Biden administration

0:26:58.560 --> 0:27:01.520
<v Speaker 1>will have to have a plan and for. Toby Harshaw

0:27:01.560 --> 0:27:06.919
<v Speaker 1>is Bloomberg Opinion editor. Here for Bloomberg Opinion. Thanks for

0:27:06.920 --> 0:27:10.440
<v Speaker 1>listening to Bloomberg Markets podcast. You can subscribe and listen

0:27:10.480 --> 0:27:14.440
<v Speaker 1>to interviews at Apple Podcasts or whatever podcast platform you prefer.

0:27:14.680 --> 0:27:17.639
<v Speaker 1>I'm Bonnie Quinn, I'm on Twitter at Bonnie Quinn, and

0:27:17.720 --> 0:27:20.320
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0:27:20.359 --> 0:27:23.200
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