1 00:00:05,760 --> 00:00:07,240 Speaker 1: Loker trillions. I'm Joe Webber and. 2 00:00:07,200 --> 00:00:11,680 Speaker 2: I'm Eric Balchernas. 3 00:00:11,800 --> 00:00:16,080 Speaker 3: Eric, you sent a note that caught my attention because 4 00:00:16,079 --> 00:00:18,920 Speaker 3: you were like, it's the wave of the future. Manufactured 5 00:00:18,960 --> 00:00:22,079 Speaker 3: high yield gonna be a big category. I was like, 6 00:00:22,160 --> 00:00:27,400 Speaker 3: that's like Eric Balchina's at his finest. Let's unpack those three. 7 00:00:27,640 --> 00:00:31,640 Speaker 3: The category a new one Auto callables. Yeah. 8 00:00:31,720 --> 00:00:33,960 Speaker 2: I honestly I'd heard the word a couple of times, 9 00:00:33,960 --> 00:00:35,920 Speaker 2: didn't know what it meant. This is part of a 10 00:00:35,920 --> 00:00:38,239 Speaker 2: bigger theme that we call yield three point zero where 11 00:00:38,320 --> 00:00:41,680 Speaker 2: manufactured yield. We used to use the meme of the 12 00:00:41,720 --> 00:00:44,519 Speaker 2: breaking bad where using the lab making the meth. They 13 00:00:44,520 --> 00:00:48,320 Speaker 2: are making yield that isn't from like bonds or stoughts. 14 00:00:48,400 --> 00:00:52,559 Speaker 2: They're just making it and it's very popular, especially if 15 00:00:52,600 --> 00:00:53,320 Speaker 2: it's a big yield. 16 00:00:53,360 --> 00:00:55,480 Speaker 4: So auto callibles are. 17 00:00:55,400 --> 00:00:58,240 Speaker 2: One of the latest areas that has a big yield, 18 00:00:58,320 --> 00:01:02,160 Speaker 2: usually thirteen fourteen percent at least in the colum most 19 00:01:02,160 --> 00:01:05,280 Speaker 2: etf that I looked at, And there is a huge 20 00:01:05,280 --> 00:01:07,960 Speaker 2: demand for this. People love income. I've been to the 21 00:01:08,000 --> 00:01:10,800 Speaker 2: Money Show several times, especially older people. They just go 22 00:01:10,880 --> 00:01:15,320 Speaker 2: crazy for income. So these products are quite complicated. In 23 00:01:15,360 --> 00:01:17,880 Speaker 2: my opinion. I used to say VIX and China were 24 00:01:17,880 --> 00:01:21,000 Speaker 2: the two most complicated areas of ETFs. This is more complicated. 25 00:01:21,120 --> 00:01:24,280 Speaker 2: So I want to make sure that we understand this 26 00:01:24,480 --> 00:01:28,360 Speaker 2: and that we could explain it to you know, our 27 00:01:28,400 --> 00:01:30,240 Speaker 2: aunt or uncle, like just somebody in our lives. 28 00:01:30,360 --> 00:01:32,640 Speaker 1: We're gonna try, but we can't. 29 00:01:32,600 --> 00:01:36,320 Speaker 2: End this podcast until we both understand it. I think 30 00:01:36,360 --> 00:01:38,399 Speaker 2: I get it, but I get it on a very 31 00:01:38,440 --> 00:01:40,480 Speaker 2: superficial level that I just learned it quickly for the note, 32 00:01:40,520 --> 00:01:42,600 Speaker 2: but I really want to get it, and also want 33 00:01:42,640 --> 00:01:44,360 Speaker 2: to make sure that people are aware of like the 34 00:01:44,360 --> 00:01:47,080 Speaker 2: pros and cons of these, because Joel, they're going to grow. 35 00:01:47,319 --> 00:01:50,000 Speaker 2: This thing came out. This calumost One already has four 36 00:01:50,040 --> 00:01:53,800 Speaker 2: hundred million, and for something complex to come out, it's 37 00:01:53,840 --> 00:01:55,920 Speaker 2: pretty good money for that, so I would suspect. And 38 00:01:55,960 --> 00:01:57,360 Speaker 2: I'm hearing a lot of other issuers are going to 39 00:01:57,400 --> 00:01:59,360 Speaker 2: launch these, And it's a word I hear when I 40 00:01:59,360 --> 00:02:02,360 Speaker 2: travel around, including from our index team. They bring up 41 00:02:02,400 --> 00:02:04,480 Speaker 2: auto callables all the time. So it's a word you're 42 00:02:04,520 --> 00:02:06,280 Speaker 2: gonna hear more and more. Might as well get get 43 00:02:06,280 --> 00:02:06,920 Speaker 2: our heads around it. 44 00:02:06,960 --> 00:02:10,520 Speaker 3: Now I'm surrounded by papers trying to make sense of this, 45 00:02:10,600 --> 00:02:11,720 Speaker 3: it's kind of hilarious. 46 00:02:12,240 --> 00:02:14,840 Speaker 1: Uh I don't think I understand it. 47 00:02:14,880 --> 00:02:18,919 Speaker 3: So I'll be the litmus test and to help us 48 00:02:18,919 --> 00:02:21,080 Speaker 3: make sense of this, we're gonna be joined by Matt 49 00:02:21,160 --> 00:02:26,400 Speaker 3: Kaufman Global ahead of ETFs at Klamos Investments First market 50 00:02:26,520 --> 00:02:33,079 Speaker 3: or this year with a UTF in this space, this 51 00:02:33,200 --> 00:02:38,639 Speaker 3: time my trillions auto callibles. 52 00:02:38,639 --> 00:02:40,440 Speaker 1: Matt, welcome jillions. 53 00:02:40,080 --> 00:02:42,040 Speaker 4: Joel, thanks for having me. Great to be here. 54 00:02:42,560 --> 00:02:43,840 Speaker 1: How does this stuff work? 55 00:02:45,040 --> 00:02:48,480 Speaker 4: We are going to hopefully get off of the meth analogy. Yeah, 56 00:02:48,520 --> 00:02:52,919 Speaker 4: that was We'll move toward first step something. 57 00:02:53,040 --> 00:02:55,400 Speaker 2: Listen, Matt, Matt goes to work every day in like 58 00:02:55,440 --> 00:02:58,760 Speaker 2: this white suit. Then he's in there testing different things. Yes, 59 00:02:59,120 --> 00:03:03,040 Speaker 2: that was the hollow costing this year, so you might 60 00:03:03,080 --> 00:03:03,280 Speaker 2: as well. 61 00:03:03,320 --> 00:03:06,000 Speaker 4: You already have ramid lab. 62 00:03:06,080 --> 00:03:10,079 Speaker 3: But Colam Moos came out with a ticker ce ai E. 63 00:03:10,240 --> 00:03:12,079 Speaker 3: That's the ticker if you want to look into this more. 64 00:03:12,080 --> 00:03:16,480 Speaker 4: That is the ticker Auto Callable Income ETF. So let's 65 00:03:16,720 --> 00:03:19,880 Speaker 4: take our minds from the equity markets and move it 66 00:03:20,040 --> 00:03:23,200 Speaker 4: toward the fixed income market. So think like a bond 67 00:03:23,600 --> 00:03:27,600 Speaker 4: that will pay you a monthly income and return your principle. 68 00:03:28,280 --> 00:03:30,880 Speaker 4: As long as the equity markets don't fall too far. 69 00:03:31,560 --> 00:03:34,720 Speaker 4: If you can understand that, you can understand an auto callable. 70 00:03:35,080 --> 00:03:37,240 Speaker 4: So it's a lot like a bond that pays a 71 00:03:37,240 --> 00:03:40,720 Speaker 4: monthly income and delivers your principle back to you either 72 00:03:40,800 --> 00:03:45,040 Speaker 4: at maturity or if you're called away early. That is 73 00:03:45,120 --> 00:03:48,640 Speaker 4: the auto call feature. And it's tied to the equity markets. 74 00:03:48,640 --> 00:03:51,240 Speaker 4: So bonds are usually tied to duration and credit. This 75 00:03:51,440 --> 00:03:54,839 Speaker 4: is tied to the equity markets. That's essentially it. 76 00:03:54,960 --> 00:03:57,680 Speaker 3: That was a really great way of breaking it down. 77 00:03:57,800 --> 00:03:59,520 Speaker 3: It's also a quote that you had in the story 78 00:03:59,560 --> 00:04:02,200 Speaker 3: Waltree Cream's more auto callables into ETFs and race for 79 00:04:02,280 --> 00:04:03,840 Speaker 3: yield by our colleagues at Bloomberg News. 80 00:04:03,920 --> 00:04:07,200 Speaker 1: Yes, Matt, though I got that part. Where does the 81 00:04:07,240 --> 00:04:10,200 Speaker 1: yield come from? The income? Where am I getting? Where 82 00:04:10,200 --> 00:04:12,000 Speaker 1: are you getting that income to give it to me from? 83 00:04:12,160 --> 00:04:15,320 Speaker 4: Yeah, great question. I think one of the easiest ways 84 00:04:15,360 --> 00:04:17,640 Speaker 4: to think about this is to you know, normally you 85 00:04:17,680 --> 00:04:20,240 Speaker 4: would frame it around a covered call so that covered 86 00:04:20,279 --> 00:04:22,920 Speaker 4: call space, as Eric was talking about, is a massive market. 87 00:04:23,040 --> 00:04:26,160 Speaker 4: It's one hundred and fifty billion dollar market. I was 88 00:04:26,200 --> 00:04:28,680 Speaker 4: fortunate enough to be at Power Shares in early two thousands. 89 00:04:28,680 --> 00:04:31,200 Speaker 4: We built the first buy right ETF in two thousand 90 00:04:31,240 --> 00:04:33,640 Speaker 4: and seven. I think it was a little before it's time. 91 00:04:33,760 --> 00:04:36,560 Speaker 4: You know, nobody really bought it back then. Now that 92 00:04:36,680 --> 00:04:39,000 Speaker 4: space is one hundred and fifty one hundred and sixty 93 00:04:39,040 --> 00:04:42,520 Speaker 4: billion in assets. It's a massive market. And you know, 94 00:04:42,520 --> 00:04:44,400 Speaker 4: what are you doing with a covered call? You're selling 95 00:04:44,440 --> 00:04:48,040 Speaker 4: off your upside. It's a by right strategy. Twenty years ago, 96 00:04:48,279 --> 00:04:51,560 Speaker 4: very few people understood that term. Today it's commonplace. There's 97 00:04:51,680 --> 00:04:55,560 Speaker 4: equity premium income strategies. You're selling off upside collecting an 98 00:04:55,600 --> 00:04:59,520 Speaker 4: income payment, and auto callable is a long dated put 99 00:04:59,600 --> 00:05:02,159 Speaker 4: right stra strategy. So take the other side of the trade. 100 00:05:02,440 --> 00:05:06,359 Speaker 4: It's a long dated, say five year put right with 101 00:05:06,440 --> 00:05:09,440 Speaker 4: a call feature, and that's it. That's all. You're collecting. 102 00:05:10,160 --> 00:05:11,599 Speaker 2: What he just said, and he goes, that's it. You 103 00:05:11,680 --> 00:05:14,320 Speaker 2: come on, dude, it's okay. 104 00:05:14,120 --> 00:05:16,359 Speaker 4: You want it simple. So we're starting simple. 105 00:05:16,480 --> 00:05:18,960 Speaker 2: I'm gonna break this down. Okay, I have ten thousand dollars. 106 00:05:19,440 --> 00:05:22,120 Speaker 2: I give you ten thousand dollars to this. So first 107 00:05:22,120 --> 00:05:25,279 Speaker 2: of all, who makes the auto callable? Like is it 108 00:05:25,320 --> 00:05:27,400 Speaker 2: a bank? And this is like what like a swap 109 00:05:27,440 --> 00:05:30,479 Speaker 2: contract or? Like whom I am I doing? It's just 110 00:05:30,560 --> 00:05:33,320 Speaker 2: like Michael Burry where I'm walking into Goldman and I 111 00:05:33,360 --> 00:05:35,880 Speaker 2: say I have this idea and the bank just says, okay, 112 00:05:35,920 --> 00:05:38,080 Speaker 2: I'll make a thing for you. Is that what we're 113 00:05:38,080 --> 00:05:38,479 Speaker 2: doing here? 114 00:05:38,640 --> 00:05:38,839 Speaker 1: Yeah. 115 00:05:38,880 --> 00:05:41,159 Speaker 4: So you can't go to the market and you can't 116 00:05:41,160 --> 00:05:43,919 Speaker 4: go to the listed options market and find an auto 117 00:05:43,960 --> 00:05:48,159 Speaker 4: callable yield, you know, option that does not exist. You 118 00:05:48,200 --> 00:05:50,599 Speaker 4: can go to the listed options markets and do put 119 00:05:50,600 --> 00:05:54,000 Speaker 4: writing strategies, you can call writing strategies. But what we've 120 00:05:54,040 --> 00:05:57,320 Speaker 4: done is we've partnered with JP Morgan. There you go, 121 00:05:57,360 --> 00:05:59,320 Speaker 4: biggest bank in the world. So yes, it is a 122 00:05:59,320 --> 00:06:02,560 Speaker 4: bank strategy. You cannot do this with listed options. So 123 00:06:02,600 --> 00:06:05,920 Speaker 4: we've partnered with JP Morgan. We took their auto callable 124 00:06:06,000 --> 00:06:10,560 Speaker 4: pricing methodology and we built a laddered version of this hold. 125 00:06:10,440 --> 00:06:14,839 Speaker 2: On, hold on. What is JP Morgan's auto callable pricing methodology? 126 00:06:14,920 --> 00:06:17,000 Speaker 2: So the first of all, what is the index that 127 00:06:17,040 --> 00:06:18,440 Speaker 2: were based? What's the equity index? 128 00:06:18,640 --> 00:06:21,240 Speaker 4: Sure, so let me let me explain this to you 129 00:06:21,279 --> 00:06:23,279 Speaker 4: in a way that we can we can understand. So, 130 00:06:23,880 --> 00:06:26,080 Speaker 4: you know, you talked about you know what happens if 131 00:06:26,120 --> 00:06:28,560 Speaker 4: you have ten thousand dollars. So I brought monopoly money, 132 00:06:28,600 --> 00:06:31,280 Speaker 4: you did I did. Yeah, I actually brought monopoly money 133 00:06:31,279 --> 00:06:33,200 Speaker 4: here before, so we can we can play with this. 134 00:06:33,760 --> 00:06:37,359 Speaker 4: So here, Eric, I'll give you one hundred dollars monopolyous. 135 00:06:37,520 --> 00:06:38,520 Speaker 1: He just gave you a hundred back. 136 00:06:38,839 --> 00:06:40,840 Speaker 4: It's easy. He would be a bad banker, and it's 137 00:06:40,880 --> 00:06:43,320 Speaker 4: easier to think about that because it's a Let's let's 138 00:06:43,320 --> 00:06:45,240 Speaker 4: pretend like that hundred dollars is the par amount. 139 00:06:45,480 --> 00:06:46,640 Speaker 2: Okay, Okay, So. 140 00:06:46,760 --> 00:06:48,800 Speaker 1: By the way, I get nothing. I don't like this game. 141 00:06:48,800 --> 00:06:50,080 Speaker 4: You're going to be the Joel. You're going to be 142 00:06:50,120 --> 00:06:51,880 Speaker 4: the market. You're going to go to the market here, 143 00:06:52,440 --> 00:06:55,360 Speaker 4: all right, So Eric's gonna buy an auto callable. Note, 144 00:06:55,440 --> 00:06:57,640 Speaker 4: I'll be the bank. So you're going to invest in 145 00:06:57,680 --> 00:06:59,200 Speaker 4: an auto call but note, so give me your hundred 146 00:06:59,200 --> 00:07:02,880 Speaker 4: oct here's sliding it across the table. Okay, now that's. 147 00:07:02,800 --> 00:07:04,119 Speaker 1: Stuck in the middle. I'm moving it across. 148 00:07:04,200 --> 00:07:04,680 Speaker 4: Let's put it. 149 00:07:04,680 --> 00:07:05,719 Speaker 2: We don't want it in free parking. 150 00:07:05,800 --> 00:07:08,240 Speaker 4: Sure, So let's put some terms to this note. Let's 151 00:07:08,279 --> 00:07:10,680 Speaker 4: say it has a five year life, it has a 152 00:07:10,800 --> 00:07:15,120 Speaker 4: sixty percent principal coupon barrier. So we're gonna pay you 153 00:07:15,360 --> 00:07:19,360 Speaker 4: monthly income as long as an equity index does not 154 00:07:19,600 --> 00:07:21,320 Speaker 4: fall by forty. 155 00:07:21,000 --> 00:07:22,440 Speaker 2: Percent during what time period? 156 00:07:22,520 --> 00:07:23,040 Speaker 4: Every month? 157 00:07:23,080 --> 00:07:25,200 Speaker 2: It's a monthly look, so if the S and P. 158 00:07:25,360 --> 00:07:27,320 Speaker 2: Let's say it's the SMP index. If it doesn't fall 159 00:07:27,360 --> 00:07:28,520 Speaker 2: forty percent a month. 160 00:07:28,880 --> 00:07:31,160 Speaker 4: In a month while a starting date, so then I 161 00:07:31,240 --> 00:07:34,320 Speaker 4: get a little a little something. Yeah, that's right, and 162 00:07:34,360 --> 00:07:36,679 Speaker 4: then there's so and then there's the same thing at maturity. 163 00:07:36,760 --> 00:07:37,680 Speaker 4: So let's just play this out. 164 00:07:37,760 --> 00:07:39,920 Speaker 2: But hold on, does the forty percent restart in the 165 00:07:39,960 --> 00:07:43,880 Speaker 2: second month. Uh, it's from the starting point we're starting 166 00:07:43,920 --> 00:07:46,480 Speaker 2: for interception. And let's say the first month the SMP 167 00:07:46,600 --> 00:07:48,559 Speaker 2: is down two percent. I get I get paid. 168 00:07:48,720 --> 00:07:50,440 Speaker 4: So Joel, Joel gets to decided he's going to be 169 00:07:50,480 --> 00:07:52,760 Speaker 4: the market here. Okay, okay, So let's say this pays 170 00:07:52,800 --> 00:07:55,520 Speaker 4: twelve percent annualized income every month. So I've got you 171 00:07:55,560 --> 00:07:58,800 Speaker 4: one hundred dollars safe here. So Joel, let's go thirty 172 00:07:58,840 --> 00:08:01,200 Speaker 4: days in the future. What is the market going to do? 173 00:08:01,320 --> 00:08:02,440 Speaker 4: Pick a number up or down? 174 00:08:02,600 --> 00:08:02,800 Speaker 1: Right? 175 00:08:02,960 --> 00:08:05,440 Speaker 3: This year, I'm gonna say, if we're if we're playing 176 00:08:05,440 --> 00:08:07,160 Speaker 3: this from the beginning of the year, market gove up. 177 00:08:07,400 --> 00:08:09,800 Speaker 4: Okay, let's say you're up five percent. So market's of 178 00:08:09,920 --> 00:08:12,160 Speaker 4: five percent in a month, Eric, you get a dollar 179 00:08:12,440 --> 00:08:12,760 Speaker 4: you're good. 180 00:08:12,800 --> 00:08:13,200 Speaker 1: You're good. 181 00:08:13,240 --> 00:08:15,960 Speaker 4: Okay. Next month, let's say the market. 182 00:08:15,920 --> 00:08:19,320 Speaker 1: Well it happened, okay, kind kind of was a little chaotic. 183 00:08:19,440 --> 00:08:20,880 Speaker 4: Okay, let's say it happens. 184 00:08:20,960 --> 00:08:22,240 Speaker 1: Let's say market went down. 185 00:08:22,800 --> 00:08:25,400 Speaker 4: Market goes down how much? Ten percent? All right, Eric, 186 00:08:25,480 --> 00:08:27,440 Speaker 4: you still get a dollar. Market's down ten. It's not 187 00:08:27,480 --> 00:08:29,000 Speaker 4: down forty, it's down ten. 188 00:08:29,240 --> 00:08:30,280 Speaker 2: It resets every month. 189 00:08:31,240 --> 00:08:33,640 Speaker 4: Uh, it's not, it's it's from the inception of the 190 00:08:33,679 --> 00:08:35,000 Speaker 4: note to that month. 191 00:08:35,040 --> 00:08:35,360 Speaker 1: I see. 192 00:08:35,400 --> 00:08:37,600 Speaker 2: So because it went up and down. Now year to date, 193 00:08:37,640 --> 00:08:39,199 Speaker 2: what do we down six percent or something? 194 00:08:40,880 --> 00:08:43,520 Speaker 1: We were up five, Now we're down ten, So down 195 00:08:43,559 --> 00:08:44,800 Speaker 1: five so far? Yeah. 196 00:08:44,920 --> 00:08:46,640 Speaker 4: Right, So let's let's just keep playing out. Let's say 197 00:08:46,679 --> 00:08:49,640 Speaker 4: the market is down forty percent the next month from 198 00:08:49,679 --> 00:08:51,520 Speaker 4: inception no dollar for you. 199 00:08:51,520 --> 00:08:54,840 Speaker 2: Hold on, stop real quick. So we're down five percent, 200 00:08:55,000 --> 00:08:56,600 Speaker 2: so the market would have to go down like another 201 00:08:56,880 --> 00:08:59,679 Speaker 2: thirty five percent. Then, so it hits forty percent year 202 00:08:59,679 --> 00:09:02,240 Speaker 2: to date. Correct that month, I don't get a dollar. 203 00:09:02,360 --> 00:09:02,839 Speaker 4: That's correct. 204 00:09:02,840 --> 00:09:05,600 Speaker 2: And then because this got called in other. 205 00:09:05,520 --> 00:09:06,920 Speaker 4: Words, the whole getting called yet. 206 00:09:06,920 --> 00:09:08,280 Speaker 2: Oh okay, so don't get a dollar. 207 00:09:08,400 --> 00:09:08,720 Speaker 4: Correct. 208 00:09:08,760 --> 00:09:10,840 Speaker 2: Now the next month it goes up five percent. 209 00:09:11,000 --> 00:09:12,040 Speaker 4: Your dollar kicks back in. 210 00:09:12,160 --> 00:09:14,640 Speaker 2: I get another dollar, You get a dollar. Okay, what 211 00:09:14,679 --> 00:09:16,560 Speaker 2: if it goes down another twenty percent from. 212 00:09:16,440 --> 00:09:18,920 Speaker 4: The forty then you do not get your dollar, gotcha? 213 00:09:19,080 --> 00:09:19,360 Speaker 1: Yes? 214 00:09:19,520 --> 00:09:21,240 Speaker 2: So in other words, as long as it doesn't come 215 00:09:21,280 --> 00:09:24,439 Speaker 2: above the forty percent watermark, I get no dollars. If 216 00:09:24,440 --> 00:09:26,000 Speaker 2: it comes up above the forty percent of water mark, 217 00:09:26,000 --> 00:09:26,400 Speaker 2: I start. 218 00:09:26,280 --> 00:09:27,800 Speaker 4: Getting my dollars again, exactly. 219 00:09:27,840 --> 00:09:29,319 Speaker 1: And the one hundred you just hold on to. 220 00:09:30,000 --> 00:09:32,080 Speaker 2: Who How is this a good deal for JP Morgan? 221 00:09:33,000 --> 00:09:33,120 Speaker 4: Uh? 222 00:09:34,960 --> 00:09:37,000 Speaker 2: It seems a little too good, Like I feel like 223 00:09:37,040 --> 00:09:38,920 Speaker 2: the number should be ten percent. That'd be fair for 224 00:09:39,040 --> 00:09:39,640 Speaker 2: JP Morgan. 225 00:09:39,720 --> 00:09:41,760 Speaker 4: Sure, No, that's a good question. So let's keep playing 226 00:09:41,760 --> 00:09:44,000 Speaker 4: this out. So now you've got your hundred dollars still here. 227 00:09:44,160 --> 00:09:44,400 Speaker 1: Yep. 228 00:09:44,720 --> 00:09:48,240 Speaker 4: So five years from now, let's say the market is 229 00:09:49,040 --> 00:09:52,439 Speaker 4: down twenty percent, you are maturing at par. You get 230 00:09:52,440 --> 00:09:55,640 Speaker 4: your hundred dollars back. If the market is down forty 231 00:09:55,640 --> 00:09:58,640 Speaker 4: percent or more, that's when you have principle at risk. 232 00:09:58,720 --> 00:10:01,360 Speaker 4: So let's say the market is down forty percent five 233 00:10:01,400 --> 00:10:03,480 Speaker 4: years from now. If I can make the sound in 234 00:10:03,520 --> 00:10:05,920 Speaker 4: the in the mic, we're gonna tear your one hundred 235 00:10:05,960 --> 00:10:09,360 Speaker 4: dollars bill by forty percent. You're gonna get sixty percent 236 00:10:09,400 --> 00:10:12,240 Speaker 4: of your principle back. Oh, that is the risk that 237 00:10:12,280 --> 00:10:12,959 Speaker 4: you're taking on. 238 00:10:13,160 --> 00:10:17,480 Speaker 1: But he's collected income along the way. Correct if if it. 239 00:10:16,920 --> 00:10:20,360 Speaker 2: So after five years, if I collected a dollar every 240 00:10:20,400 --> 00:10:24,040 Speaker 2: month minus say like five months, that would be fifty 241 00:10:24,080 --> 00:10:27,960 Speaker 2: five dollars against my sixty forty percent that I lost. 242 00:10:28,000 --> 00:10:29,559 Speaker 2: So it would cush it in a little bit. That's 243 00:10:29,559 --> 00:10:31,440 Speaker 2: like a cover call. Okay, yes, exactly. 244 00:10:31,520 --> 00:10:34,280 Speaker 4: Okay, So that's how a single auto call of works. 245 00:10:34,600 --> 00:10:37,520 Speaker 4: The call feature then would be if the market is positive, 246 00:10:37,679 --> 00:10:41,320 Speaker 4: usually after a non call period like one year, then 247 00:10:41,640 --> 00:10:44,960 Speaker 4: you are called away. JP gets the money back, your prince, 248 00:10:45,120 --> 00:10:47,360 Speaker 4: you get your principal, you get your hundred dollars back, 249 00:10:47,720 --> 00:10:51,080 Speaker 4: you get your final coupon payment. Good job shows over, 250 00:10:51,240 --> 00:10:53,400 Speaker 4: everyone goes home, you have to go buy a new note. 251 00:10:53,440 --> 00:10:54,160 Speaker 1: That's how it works. 252 00:10:54,320 --> 00:10:56,960 Speaker 2: Wait, wait, that's that's when it gets called. I thought 253 00:10:56,960 --> 00:10:58,520 Speaker 2: it got called if it goes down too much, No 254 00:10:58,559 --> 00:11:00,920 Speaker 2: one goes up. Correct, So so when does it get 255 00:11:00,920 --> 00:11:01,360 Speaker 2: called again? 256 00:11:01,480 --> 00:11:04,679 Speaker 4: Yeah, so you're getting called when the market is positive 257 00:11:04,920 --> 00:11:07,440 Speaker 4: after a one year nine all period. 258 00:11:07,480 --> 00:11:09,840 Speaker 2: So if the market's up seven percent after like the 259 00:11:09,840 --> 00:11:11,719 Speaker 2: market is up this year, it's up fourteen percent, so 260 00:11:11,800 --> 00:11:14,160 Speaker 2: let's just say correct the year under. Now we're up 261 00:11:14,200 --> 00:11:17,560 Speaker 2: fourteen percent in twenty twenty five, and therefore I would 262 00:11:17,559 --> 00:11:20,400 Speaker 2: get the one hundred dollars back correct, and then I 263 00:11:20,440 --> 00:11:22,760 Speaker 2: would have my twelve dollars because it every went down 264 00:11:22,760 --> 00:11:25,360 Speaker 2: below forty exactly, so I would have So at that 265 00:11:25,480 --> 00:11:27,559 Speaker 2: point the fund would automatically reinvest in. 266 00:11:27,480 --> 00:11:29,640 Speaker 4: A new auto callable. That's correct. 267 00:11:29,679 --> 00:11:31,880 Speaker 2: So now in that getting on the hundred dollars back, 268 00:11:31,920 --> 00:11:34,360 Speaker 2: big reset, Well right now, a loss of money in 269 00:11:34,400 --> 00:11:35,880 Speaker 2: that one hundred dollars getting called. 270 00:11:35,640 --> 00:11:36,480 Speaker 4: Back or not? 271 00:11:36,600 --> 00:11:39,400 Speaker 2: Those resets correct and you you reset it automatically. 272 00:11:39,480 --> 00:11:41,960 Speaker 4: Well, so I'm teaching you about an auto callable, so 273 00:11:42,000 --> 00:11:43,640 Speaker 4: we know how the auto callable works. 274 00:11:43,800 --> 00:11:44,000 Speaker 1: Now. 275 00:11:44,640 --> 00:11:48,640 Speaker 4: So what we have done with CIE is we've laddered 276 00:11:48,679 --> 00:11:51,480 Speaker 4: exposure to fifty two or more of these. It's a 277 00:11:51,520 --> 00:11:56,720 Speaker 4: weekly ladder, a laddered portfolio of auto callables. So now 278 00:11:57,280 --> 00:12:00,000 Speaker 4: at week fifty three, if the market's down, you might 279 00:12:00,160 --> 00:12:03,240 Speaker 4: lose coupon on one, I say, but you have fifty 280 00:12:03,280 --> 00:12:06,040 Speaker 4: one others in the portfolio. So it's highly diversified. 281 00:12:06,880 --> 00:12:11,960 Speaker 2: Wow, And the answer is in reality, in this fun CIAE, 282 00:12:12,640 --> 00:12:14,640 Speaker 2: it is forty percent. That's the number. You don't want 283 00:12:14,679 --> 00:12:15,880 Speaker 2: the market to go down below. 284 00:12:16,000 --> 00:12:18,840 Speaker 4: For a severe and sustained time period. 285 00:12:18,920 --> 00:12:20,559 Speaker 1: That's correct, Like, what's that mean? 286 00:12:21,160 --> 00:12:24,400 Speaker 4: So we built all of this with JP Morgan and Mercube, 287 00:12:24,840 --> 00:12:28,640 Speaker 4: a custom indexing provider, and this is all built inside 288 00:12:28,640 --> 00:12:31,560 Speaker 4: of an index that we trade on swap with JP Morgan. 289 00:12:32,040 --> 00:12:35,640 Speaker 4: So the risk would be a severe sustained market decline 290 00:12:36,000 --> 00:12:40,720 Speaker 4: that never recovers, and that in five years your autocollables 291 00:12:40,760 --> 00:12:42,880 Speaker 4: start to mature below the barrier. 292 00:12:42,960 --> 00:12:43,760 Speaker 1: Let's back test it. 293 00:12:44,000 --> 00:12:48,120 Speaker 3: What happened, What happens at the if March twenty twenty happens, 294 00:12:48,160 --> 00:12:49,280 Speaker 3: we're back in the pandemic. 295 00:12:49,360 --> 00:12:51,679 Speaker 2: Yeah, use one hundred dollars, put one hundred dollars in. 296 00:12:51,840 --> 00:12:54,840 Speaker 2: Let's say I get Let's say for a year it's fine, 297 00:12:54,920 --> 00:12:57,520 Speaker 2: so I got twelve dollars back, but then this next 298 00:12:57,640 --> 00:12:59,520 Speaker 2: year it's like a twenty Let's say it's a two 299 00:12:59,559 --> 00:13:01,880 Speaker 2: thousand and eight where the market, well, the market wasn't 300 00:13:01,880 --> 00:13:04,080 Speaker 2: even down forty percent. It was down thirty three percent, 301 00:13:04,720 --> 00:13:06,480 Speaker 2: thirty five percent in two thousand and eight, right, So 302 00:13:06,720 --> 00:13:09,440 Speaker 2: way it's down forty five percent that year, Yeah, and 303 00:13:09,480 --> 00:13:12,280 Speaker 2: it stays down. What happens? 304 00:13:12,440 --> 00:13:14,640 Speaker 4: So, because this is an index. We can look at 305 00:13:14,640 --> 00:13:16,640 Speaker 4: that history. We go back to two thousand and five, 306 00:13:17,280 --> 00:13:21,120 Speaker 4: and you would have lost on two point eight percent 307 00:13:21,400 --> 00:13:24,600 Speaker 4: of those autocollables. Historically, it would have equated to a 308 00:13:24,679 --> 00:13:27,959 Speaker 4: seventeen percent principle impairment. That was the only time you 309 00:13:27,960 --> 00:13:30,240 Speaker 4: would have lost money. Again, you did not lose that 310 00:13:30,280 --> 00:13:31,280 Speaker 4: forty percent. 311 00:13:31,040 --> 00:13:33,480 Speaker 2: So you don't lose everything. You lost seventy percent, So 312 00:13:33,600 --> 00:13:36,760 Speaker 2: you basically you bet a seventeen percent loss on something 313 00:13:36,800 --> 00:13:39,360 Speaker 2: that's almost not never gonna happen because the Fed's going 314 00:13:39,440 --> 00:13:40,960 Speaker 2: to step in and start buying assets if a go 315 00:13:41,120 --> 00:13:41,640 Speaker 2: that low again. 316 00:13:41,679 --> 00:13:42,880 Speaker 4: Probably I think you're right. 317 00:13:42,920 --> 00:13:45,120 Speaker 1: That's why I don't get I look, it's in this 318 00:13:45,160 --> 00:13:45,839 Speaker 1: for JP Morgan. 319 00:13:45,920 --> 00:13:48,800 Speaker 2: Yeah, this sounds like genius from your point of view, 320 00:13:49,200 --> 00:13:51,720 Speaker 2: But it feels like JP Morgan is pretty smart, Like 321 00:13:51,920 --> 00:13:54,160 Speaker 2: we had them on, they're pretty smart people. I feel 322 00:13:54,200 --> 00:13:56,400 Speaker 2: like they could almost get you to do this deal 323 00:13:56,720 --> 00:14:00,000 Speaker 2: at like fifteen percent. What do you mean, like if 324 00:14:00,000 --> 00:14:03,360 Speaker 2: if the market goes down below fifteen percent, that's the threshold, 325 00:14:03,800 --> 00:14:06,439 Speaker 2: Like going down forty seems like almost like beyond a 326 00:14:06,480 --> 00:14:08,800 Speaker 2: tail risk event. I feel like they could do the 327 00:14:08,800 --> 00:14:12,559 Speaker 2: same deal with you at fifteen percent like that would 328 00:14:12,559 --> 00:14:14,400 Speaker 2: be almost pretty good deal because I don't even mark 329 00:14:14,400 --> 00:14:17,200 Speaker 2: go down. We'll go down fifteen percent before the government 330 00:14:17,240 --> 00:14:18,240 Speaker 2: starts buying up assets. 331 00:14:18,320 --> 00:14:21,480 Speaker 4: Sure, I think when you're trying to build something with 332 00:14:21,600 --> 00:14:23,960 Speaker 4: risk management, you know, Calamos is a risk manager who's 333 00:14:23,960 --> 00:14:26,600 Speaker 4: been doing this for nearly fifty years. We want to 334 00:14:26,640 --> 00:14:29,280 Speaker 4: give people the risk managed exposure. We want to give 335 00:14:29,320 --> 00:14:32,680 Speaker 4: them a high stable tax efficient income. If there is 336 00:14:32,720 --> 00:14:35,920 Speaker 4: a payoff that we are after, it's that it's high 337 00:14:36,000 --> 00:14:39,280 Speaker 4: stable tax efficient income. So when you take this and 338 00:14:39,400 --> 00:14:41,920 Speaker 4: ladder it out fifty two or more times, you put 339 00:14:41,960 --> 00:14:45,280 Speaker 4: forty percent principal barriers on it, you get this really 340 00:14:45,400 --> 00:14:47,160 Speaker 4: high stable taxificient income. 341 00:14:55,440 --> 00:14:57,720 Speaker 2: Just jpen working consider this like issuing a bond on 342 00:14:57,760 --> 00:15:00,680 Speaker 2: their port, where it's a high yield bond, but with 343 00:15:00,760 --> 00:15:03,440 Speaker 2: this tail risk possibility. Therefore, that's why they're giving you 344 00:15:03,440 --> 00:15:04,080 Speaker 2: a higher yield. 345 00:15:04,280 --> 00:15:07,080 Speaker 4: Well, they're issuing the auto callables, so they're the issuer 346 00:15:07,280 --> 00:15:09,000 Speaker 4: of the auto callables, so they're going to take a 347 00:15:09,040 --> 00:15:11,320 Speaker 4: spread on that note. They're going to make money on 348 00:15:11,400 --> 00:15:14,320 Speaker 4: the on the swap that we're trading, so we trade 349 00:15:14,400 --> 00:15:18,320 Speaker 4: so for plus ten basis points. It's much more efficient 350 00:15:18,560 --> 00:15:21,360 Speaker 4: for JP Morgan to trade swap with us than it 351 00:15:21,440 --> 00:15:24,640 Speaker 4: is for somebody to go buy a note from JP Morgan, 352 00:15:25,040 --> 00:15:27,280 Speaker 4: where you tie up all of their balance sheet, tie 353 00:15:27,360 --> 00:15:30,560 Speaker 4: up all their capital. You've got a subordinated debt structure 354 00:15:30,640 --> 00:15:33,720 Speaker 4: to that note, whereas here, if you build it synthetically 355 00:15:34,160 --> 00:15:37,160 Speaker 4: and just trade on swap, well, ninety five percent of 356 00:15:37,200 --> 00:15:39,960 Speaker 4: the assets in the ETF are in treasuries, so that 357 00:15:40,040 --> 00:15:43,400 Speaker 4: money is sitting at State Street at the custodian. There's 358 00:15:43,440 --> 00:15:46,600 Speaker 4: no real credit risk from that perspective. And then post 359 00:15:46,680 --> 00:15:50,800 Speaker 4: Dodd Frank, JP Morgan has got to pay variation margin 360 00:15:50,920 --> 00:15:53,560 Speaker 4: on the swap, so the whole structure is nearly one 361 00:15:53,600 --> 00:15:56,800 Speaker 4: hundred percent collateralized. So go back to eight. You know, 362 00:15:56,880 --> 00:15:59,240 Speaker 4: when a couple banks went under, you're on the hook 363 00:15:59,280 --> 00:16:00,960 Speaker 4: for a lot of that. Hopefully you get some of 364 00:16:01,000 --> 00:16:02,800 Speaker 4: your money back if you're a note issue or if 365 00:16:02,840 --> 00:16:04,520 Speaker 4: you're a note buyer, who's here. 366 00:16:04,360 --> 00:16:06,520 Speaker 2: You don't have that whose money is in collateral? Does 367 00:16:06,600 --> 00:16:08,520 Speaker 2: JPM Moore can get a cut of the interest from 368 00:16:08,560 --> 00:16:09,040 Speaker 2: the collateral. 369 00:16:09,120 --> 00:16:12,480 Speaker 4: No, it's the investor. So we pay JP Morgan SOFA 370 00:16:12,520 --> 00:16:13,600 Speaker 4: plus ten bases points. 371 00:16:13,600 --> 00:16:13,960 Speaker 1: I see. 372 00:16:13,960 --> 00:16:17,560 Speaker 4: Okay, They in turn give us the performance of that 373 00:16:17,680 --> 00:16:23,840 Speaker 4: auto callable index that we've created with Sofa overnight rate, so. 374 00:16:23,840 --> 00:16:25,800 Speaker 2: You pay I see. So they get a little interest 375 00:16:25,800 --> 00:16:29,400 Speaker 2: from you plus ten BIPs correct, and they feel like 376 00:16:29,480 --> 00:16:31,400 Speaker 2: that's what they get out of it. That's right, and 377 00:16:31,440 --> 00:16:33,960 Speaker 2: that balances out the income they have to give you. 378 00:16:34,520 --> 00:16:38,640 Speaker 2: But they also have this like sort of you know, 379 00:16:39,400 --> 00:16:41,840 Speaker 2: fine print that if it goes down for forty percent, 380 00:16:41,880 --> 00:16:43,880 Speaker 2: they really wine that's right. 381 00:16:43,880 --> 00:16:45,200 Speaker 4: They're taking the other side of the trade. 382 00:16:45,240 --> 00:16:46,600 Speaker 3: I feel a little bit like the guy at the 383 00:16:46,600 --> 00:16:48,680 Speaker 3: craps table that's like, now, I'm gonna just watch that 384 00:16:48,720 --> 00:16:50,240 Speaker 3: game play out. 385 00:16:49,800 --> 00:16:53,400 Speaker 2: What well I mean, I mean here, I'll if you 386 00:16:53,480 --> 00:16:55,600 Speaker 2: yield is twelve is well, if you get a dollar 387 00:16:55,640 --> 00:16:57,520 Speaker 2: a month, that's twelve percent, but this is like fourteen 388 00:16:57,560 --> 00:16:58,760 Speaker 2: percent a little more of a dollar. 389 00:16:58,880 --> 00:17:01,400 Speaker 4: The average weighted coop on which is based on that 390 00:17:01,440 --> 00:17:04,320 Speaker 4: par amount of your note, is fourteen point four percent. 391 00:17:04,400 --> 00:17:06,359 Speaker 4: Right now. Okay, So the thing that we did not 392 00:17:06,440 --> 00:17:08,640 Speaker 4: get into yet, which we have to build a base 393 00:17:08,720 --> 00:17:12,760 Speaker 4: understanding of auto callables. It's a one hundred billion dollar 394 00:17:12,800 --> 00:17:14,760 Speaker 4: market in the United States. You know, as you alluded 395 00:17:14,800 --> 00:17:18,280 Speaker 4: to the structured note world, Well, let me back up 396 00:17:18,680 --> 00:17:20,199 Speaker 4: the cover call space. You know, he said is one 397 00:17:20,240 --> 00:17:23,920 Speaker 4: hundred and fifty billion dollar market. Derivative income is dominating 398 00:17:24,040 --> 00:17:27,480 Speaker 4: the ETF landscape. If you go to the other side 399 00:17:27,520 --> 00:17:31,600 Speaker 4: of the house, the structured note house, derivative income dominates 400 00:17:31,600 --> 00:17:33,960 Speaker 4: there as well, but it's through the auto call. The 401 00:17:34,000 --> 00:17:36,240 Speaker 4: auto callable is one hundred billion dollar market in the 402 00:17:36,359 --> 00:17:40,199 Speaker 4: United States alone, multiples of that globally. People love this 403 00:17:40,280 --> 00:17:41,640 Speaker 4: type of exposure. 404 00:17:41,200 --> 00:17:43,320 Speaker 1: And it's never been in an ETF until this show. 405 00:17:43,359 --> 00:17:44,960 Speaker 4: We built the first ETF correct. 406 00:17:45,240 --> 00:17:47,960 Speaker 2: This is really interesting. You know that when he talks 407 00:17:48,000 --> 00:17:51,919 Speaker 2: about people wanting income that is derivatives based. If you 408 00:17:51,960 --> 00:17:54,720 Speaker 2: look at all the flows into income ETFs that would 409 00:17:54,720 --> 00:17:58,160 Speaker 2: be equity, including which we've talked about before, that could 410 00:17:58,160 --> 00:18:00,240 Speaker 2: be divid in ETFs which a plane vanilla or these 411 00:18:00,280 --> 00:18:04,280 Speaker 2: derivative yield three point zero, over eighty percent goes into 412 00:18:04,320 --> 00:18:08,040 Speaker 2: the derivative ones, which again would include the covered call. 413 00:18:08,480 --> 00:18:11,480 Speaker 2: So this is again that the ones the stock ETFs 414 00:18:11,480 --> 00:18:14,320 Speaker 2: that pay dividends like those old school, they're less than 415 00:18:14,359 --> 00:18:16,400 Speaker 2: twenty percent of the flow. So this yield three point 416 00:18:16,400 --> 00:18:20,200 Speaker 2: zero is taking the lion's share of all the income 417 00:18:20,240 --> 00:18:22,800 Speaker 2: seeking money in the equity space. And I'm not counting 418 00:18:22,840 --> 00:18:23,360 Speaker 2: bonds but. 419 00:18:23,320 --> 00:18:26,840 Speaker 1: You were talking about since the CTF has come out. 420 00:18:26,720 --> 00:18:28,440 Speaker 2: I'm talking about this year, so this is TF came 421 00:18:28,480 --> 00:18:30,879 Speaker 2: out after this year. So like the thing is to me, 422 00:18:31,480 --> 00:18:34,720 Speaker 2: I'm going to put this into a category with JEPY. 423 00:18:34,960 --> 00:18:37,199 Speaker 2: This is a little more complex than JEPY, but the 424 00:18:37,200 --> 00:18:39,040 Speaker 2: covered call space is huge now. 425 00:18:40,240 --> 00:18:42,119 Speaker 4: But I might push back on you a little bit 426 00:18:42,200 --> 00:18:45,560 Speaker 4: if you look at equity premium income strategies. You know, 427 00:18:45,600 --> 00:18:48,840 Speaker 4: again another JP Morgan, you know tide product, but JEPI 428 00:18:48,920 --> 00:18:53,600 Speaker 4: and JEFQ will hold actual equity linked notes and then 429 00:18:53,680 --> 00:18:57,400 Speaker 4: deliver you know, that income which is somewhat tax inefficient, 430 00:18:57,920 --> 00:19:00,879 Speaker 4: but you don't really know what's going on side those notes. 431 00:19:01,320 --> 00:19:03,840 Speaker 4: Like you, you have to look at what they're publishing, 432 00:19:03,880 --> 00:19:06,560 Speaker 4: which a lot of times they do it late and 433 00:19:06,640 --> 00:19:08,680 Speaker 4: so there's there's not a lot of transparency all those. 434 00:19:08,560 --> 00:19:11,720 Speaker 2: To be fair to them, though, in the yield that 435 00:19:11,800 --> 00:19:13,920 Speaker 2: you get like that we display on the des is 436 00:19:13,960 --> 00:19:16,320 Speaker 2: pretty good. I mean, I think what's like nine ten percent? 437 00:19:16,920 --> 00:19:18,640 Speaker 2: And I think to some degree, like some of these 438 00:19:18,640 --> 00:19:21,800 Speaker 2: products I've seen over the years, you just either trust 439 00:19:21,880 --> 00:19:24,520 Speaker 2: the issue or you don't because correct a lot of advisors, 440 00:19:24,840 --> 00:19:27,160 Speaker 2: they're not going to get what you're selling, they're gonna say, Matt, 441 00:19:27,240 --> 00:19:29,720 Speaker 2: I trust you, You're a good guy. Calamos has a reputation. 442 00:19:30,680 --> 00:19:33,160 Speaker 2: I also think the target altcome ETFs. The buffers are 443 00:19:33,160 --> 00:19:36,280 Speaker 2: also like I just trust Innovator and Bruce Bond or 444 00:19:36,280 --> 00:19:39,679 Speaker 2: I trust black Rock, because these are very complicated. The 445 00:19:39,720 --> 00:19:41,960 Speaker 2: good news is the ETF industry does have this like 446 00:19:42,359 --> 00:19:45,320 Speaker 2: really good track record, and from what you're describing it 447 00:19:45,359 --> 00:19:47,960 Speaker 2: does seem like a pretty good bet to me. I'm 448 00:19:48,000 --> 00:19:51,600 Speaker 2: not really seeing anything too outrageous, except the fact that 449 00:19:52,160 --> 00:19:55,320 Speaker 2: obviously if there's somebody very bearish, this might not be 450 00:19:55,320 --> 00:19:56,000 Speaker 2: the product for them. 451 00:19:56,160 --> 00:20:00,240 Speaker 3: So who who was doing it before the ETF going 452 00:20:00,240 --> 00:20:01,960 Speaker 3: to a bank and saying I want. 453 00:20:01,880 --> 00:20:05,280 Speaker 1: That autocullable, autocullable thing that you guys have told me about. 454 00:20:05,600 --> 00:20:08,520 Speaker 3: And then how is that changing now that it's you know, 455 00:20:08,640 --> 00:20:10,280 Speaker 3: potentially retail friendly. 456 00:20:11,440 --> 00:20:13,520 Speaker 4: You mentioned the buffer at ETF, so I had a 457 00:20:13,560 --> 00:20:15,320 Speaker 4: hand in building though, so if you trust the bus 458 00:20:15,400 --> 00:20:18,200 Speaker 4: buffer ETF SO, those have been working phenomenally for nearly 459 00:20:18,240 --> 00:20:21,840 Speaker 4: a decade. It's a very big space. Now that model 460 00:20:21,920 --> 00:20:25,439 Speaker 4: is very commoditized. Everybody who builds buffers tends to do 461 00:20:25,480 --> 00:20:28,880 Speaker 4: it closely the same way, So yeah, if you understand 462 00:20:28,960 --> 00:20:32,320 Speaker 4: that space or that was something that was mildly confusing. 463 00:20:32,359 --> 00:20:34,960 Speaker 4: Back then, people had to get their heads around it. 464 00:20:34,960 --> 00:20:38,000 Speaker 4: It was new. Now it's not. Most people understand it. 465 00:20:38,040 --> 00:20:40,240 Speaker 4: The same is going to happen with auto calls. It's 466 00:20:40,280 --> 00:20:42,480 Speaker 4: a new space for ETFs. People are going to wrap 467 00:20:42,520 --> 00:20:45,760 Speaker 4: their heads around it. They're going to understand it, you know. 468 00:20:45,800 --> 00:20:48,880 Speaker 4: But what we did with the buffers was largely disruptive 469 00:20:48,920 --> 00:20:52,280 Speaker 4: to the banks. They did not really appreciate that there 470 00:20:52,280 --> 00:20:54,840 Speaker 4: were flex options being built around this. It wasn't a 471 00:20:54,880 --> 00:20:58,919 Speaker 4: bank driven product, whereas here this is collaborative with the banks. 472 00:20:59,640 --> 00:21:02,320 Speaker 4: You know, we're seeing a tremendous amount of demand to 473 00:21:02,359 --> 00:21:05,919 Speaker 4: actually bring in those structured note strategies and do that 474 00:21:06,040 --> 00:21:09,720 Speaker 4: inside the ETF world. That's going to be a massive space. 475 00:21:09,800 --> 00:21:12,600 Speaker 4: We've opened this huge gate where we can now partner 476 00:21:12,680 --> 00:21:16,200 Speaker 4: with banks and bring their structured strategies into a liquid, 477 00:21:16,640 --> 00:21:21,680 Speaker 4: transparent and ETF ETF wrapper. I'd say it's also tax efficient. 478 00:21:22,240 --> 00:21:25,880 Speaker 4: So most large banks around the world have an equity 479 00:21:25,920 --> 00:21:31,479 Speaker 4: derivatives desk, they have an autocallable business JP Morgan, Morgan Stanley, RBC, 480 00:21:31,560 --> 00:21:34,280 Speaker 4: like you name it, SoC Chan, Barclays, They all have 481 00:21:34,880 --> 00:21:37,560 Speaker 4: these types of products that they issue, and it's on 482 00:21:37,600 --> 00:21:40,040 Speaker 4: a massive scale, hundreds of billions of dollars. And so 483 00:21:40,080 --> 00:21:44,240 Speaker 4: we've taken one of the most popular versions, laddered it together, 484 00:21:44,640 --> 00:21:46,840 Speaker 4: did it in swap form, and did it in a 485 00:21:46,880 --> 00:21:50,119 Speaker 4: way where we can deliver really high stable income in 486 00:21:50,160 --> 00:21:54,840 Speaker 4: a very tax efficient way. Most derivative income products are 487 00:21:54,840 --> 00:21:57,600 Speaker 4: a little less tax efficient. They'll give you either ordinary 488 00:21:57,600 --> 00:22:00,720 Speaker 4: income or they'll give you maybe sixty four already treatment 489 00:22:00,800 --> 00:22:05,919 Speaker 4: if it's index options. Here the coupon that we're delivering, 490 00:22:06,880 --> 00:22:09,600 Speaker 4: about eighty to ninety percent of it will be treated. 491 00:22:09,960 --> 00:22:13,400 Speaker 4: Our expectation is that it'll be return of capital, so 492 00:22:13,440 --> 00:22:16,760 Speaker 4: that will be tax deferred until you sell, and then 493 00:22:16,760 --> 00:22:18,400 Speaker 4: if you held for a year, it'll be long term 494 00:22:18,400 --> 00:22:19,080 Speaker 4: capital gains. 495 00:22:19,119 --> 00:22:23,120 Speaker 3: So his ten thousand spits out this income for the 496 00:22:23,200 --> 00:22:27,440 Speaker 3: duration and then you give up whatever the market gains. 497 00:22:27,480 --> 00:22:29,080 Speaker 1: But you're going to get your principle back. 498 00:22:29,680 --> 00:22:30,360 Speaker 4: That's correct. 499 00:22:30,440 --> 00:22:33,280 Speaker 3: And at what percentage of the time do you get 500 00:22:33,280 --> 00:22:34,399 Speaker 3: your principle back when you did this. 501 00:22:34,440 --> 00:22:36,960 Speaker 4: If you look historically, it would have been ninety seven 502 00:22:37,040 --> 00:22:39,600 Speaker 4: point two percent of the time for our our US 503 00:22:39,720 --> 00:22:42,800 Speaker 4: large cat version. We're launching a NASDAK version that historically 504 00:22:42,920 --> 00:22:47,520 Speaker 4: had never breached principle. Yeah, so I know, I know 505 00:22:47,560 --> 00:22:49,200 Speaker 4: what you're saying. It sounds too good to be true. 506 00:22:49,880 --> 00:22:52,800 Speaker 4: So the piece that we have not unlocked yet now 507 00:22:52,840 --> 00:22:56,040 Speaker 4: that we know understand auto calls is the reference index. 508 00:22:56,640 --> 00:22:59,320 Speaker 4: So if you just tied this to the S and 509 00:22:59,320 --> 00:23:02,680 Speaker 4: P five hundred, you would get a low coupon. You'd 510 00:23:02,680 --> 00:23:06,320 Speaker 4: get maybe seven eight percent something like that, a little 511 00:23:06,320 --> 00:23:10,520 Speaker 4: bit over risk free. If you're familiar with covered call strategies, 512 00:23:11,000 --> 00:23:15,159 Speaker 4: the income that you collect changes with market parameters, it 513 00:23:15,240 --> 00:23:19,879 Speaker 4: changes with volatility, interest rates, dividends. So what we have 514 00:23:19,960 --> 00:23:23,200 Speaker 4: done is we've built an equity index that has been 515 00:23:23,240 --> 00:23:26,760 Speaker 4: customized for auto callables. So it's an S and P 516 00:23:26,880 --> 00:23:30,359 Speaker 4: five hundred base and it has a high volatility target. 517 00:23:30,480 --> 00:23:34,560 Speaker 4: It's a stable vault target of thirty five percent, so 518 00:23:34,600 --> 00:23:37,920 Speaker 4: that every week when we write a new auto callable 519 00:23:38,040 --> 00:23:43,200 Speaker 4: inside that index, the volatility is the same. So that's 520 00:23:43,240 --> 00:23:45,560 Speaker 4: how I can come here confidently and say you're going 521 00:23:45,600 --> 00:23:49,720 Speaker 4: to get a high stable income because we've stabilized the 522 00:23:49,760 --> 00:23:53,560 Speaker 4: parameter inside that options pricing model. I know we're getting 523 00:23:53,560 --> 00:23:55,560 Speaker 4: really deep. But then when you compile all that together, 524 00:23:56,359 --> 00:23:59,800 Speaker 4: the VALL of the strategy historically has been around eighteen percent. 525 00:24:00,040 --> 00:24:03,840 Speaker 1: But what happens in those moments where the volatility spikes. 526 00:24:03,440 --> 00:24:06,359 Speaker 4: Then your VALL will come down in the VALL target. 527 00:24:06,400 --> 00:24:08,760 Speaker 4: So you mentioned twenty twenty, so I put that on 528 00:24:08,840 --> 00:24:11,679 Speaker 4: pause for a reason. So in twenty twenty, what was 529 00:24:11,720 --> 00:24:16,119 Speaker 4: equity market volatility sixty seventy percent, So you're at thirty five. 530 00:24:16,600 --> 00:24:20,439 Speaker 4: So in that environment you're defending the barrier. Not only 531 00:24:20,480 --> 00:24:23,480 Speaker 4: do you now have a forty percent barrier, but it's 532 00:24:23,520 --> 00:24:26,200 Speaker 4: even more powerful because your VALL is at thirty five 533 00:24:26,280 --> 00:24:27,880 Speaker 4: while the SMP is at seventy. 534 00:24:31,119 --> 00:24:34,480 Speaker 2: But in twenty twenty. 535 00:24:33,680 --> 00:24:37,040 Speaker 3: Only that was like when Eric's quite it that long, 536 00:24:37,080 --> 00:24:39,520 Speaker 3: He's like, it's like next level, We've done it. 537 00:24:39,880 --> 00:24:42,000 Speaker 4: We have never made Eric Roy too like. 538 00:24:41,960 --> 00:24:44,760 Speaker 2: A physics conversation you can have in like our podcast. 539 00:24:45,200 --> 00:24:45,600 Speaker 1: This is. 540 00:24:47,119 --> 00:24:48,879 Speaker 2: I mean, we're about to get into black holes and 541 00:24:48,920 --> 00:24:49,600 Speaker 2: like dark matters. 542 00:24:49,720 --> 00:24:52,760 Speaker 4: No, no, no, black shoals, not black holes. 543 00:24:53,080 --> 00:24:56,000 Speaker 2: But in twenty twenty, you still got your thing. You 544 00:24:56,080 --> 00:24:58,960 Speaker 2: still got the there was no call. It didn't get called. 545 00:24:59,119 --> 00:25:01,000 Speaker 4: Over the last ten years, you would have gotten every 546 00:25:01,040 --> 00:25:03,720 Speaker 4: single coupon and you never would have breached barrier. 547 00:25:04,119 --> 00:25:06,400 Speaker 2: So I think this is something When you go talk 548 00:25:06,440 --> 00:25:09,720 Speaker 2: to advisors and people about this, it sounds like you're 549 00:25:09,760 --> 00:25:12,800 Speaker 2: gonna get interest. But I'm assuming they put like two 550 00:25:12,880 --> 00:25:13,280 Speaker 2: percent to. 551 00:25:13,280 --> 00:25:14,280 Speaker 4: Three percent of the portfolio. 552 00:25:14,320 --> 00:25:16,240 Speaker 2: Wouldn't go too crazy and where do you put it? 553 00:25:16,280 --> 00:25:17,520 Speaker 2: What do you ad this? 554 00:25:17,520 --> 00:25:21,240 Speaker 4: This has equity market like volatility. So think of fifty 555 00:25:21,280 --> 00:25:25,080 Speaker 4: two auto callables like rubber bands that will trade at par. 556 00:25:25,680 --> 00:25:28,199 Speaker 4: And as the market goes down, the rubber bands will 557 00:25:28,240 --> 00:25:30,680 Speaker 4: start to stretch. You'll trade at a discount to par. 558 00:25:31,400 --> 00:25:33,960 Speaker 4: And as long as they don't break, then you're going 559 00:25:34,040 --> 00:25:36,159 Speaker 4: to snap back to par. Those rubber bands will go 560 00:25:36,240 --> 00:25:39,719 Speaker 4: back to par. So we want to make sure that 561 00:25:39,800 --> 00:25:43,080 Speaker 4: people are comfortable with equity market like volatility. If you're 562 00:25:43,080 --> 00:25:46,160 Speaker 4: comfortable with that, you can exchange it for a high, stable, 563 00:25:46,200 --> 00:25:47,240 Speaker 4: tax efficient coupon. 564 00:25:47,400 --> 00:25:50,159 Speaker 2: So if the markets go down, say twenty percent, and 565 00:25:50,440 --> 00:25:53,680 Speaker 2: you're seeing a discount in these, there's a certain kind 566 00:25:53,720 --> 00:25:57,080 Speaker 2: of trader who may think that's the braid yeah, Versus 567 00:25:57,119 --> 00:25:59,600 Speaker 2: in the flip side, if the market keeps going up, 568 00:26:00,240 --> 00:26:01,960 Speaker 2: a trader may be like, you know what, let me 569 00:26:02,359 --> 00:26:04,720 Speaker 2: not buy that right now because it's looking a little pricey. 570 00:26:05,440 --> 00:26:05,919 Speaker 2: I get it. 571 00:26:06,359 --> 00:26:08,359 Speaker 4: I mean we have so let me. 572 00:26:08,320 --> 00:26:11,879 Speaker 2: Ask you this. Are these used mostly by buy and 573 00:26:11,960 --> 00:26:14,440 Speaker 2: hold with a little traders if it gets into a discount, 574 00:26:14,480 --> 00:26:16,960 Speaker 2: like what's the buy and hold trader ratio here for 575 00:26:17,000 --> 00:26:17,439 Speaker 2: something like this? 576 00:26:17,800 --> 00:26:22,000 Speaker 4: It's both early adopters. There's more than ten thousand shareholders 577 00:26:22,000 --> 00:26:24,400 Speaker 4: in KAI right now. Let's what we're calling ci E KAI. 578 00:26:25,480 --> 00:26:27,760 Speaker 4: A lot of them are financial advisors who use auto 579 00:26:27,760 --> 00:26:30,600 Speaker 4: callable notes. They said, we've been using these for decades. 580 00:26:31,160 --> 00:26:33,480 Speaker 4: We get called away after you know, six months to 581 00:26:33,520 --> 00:26:35,359 Speaker 4: a year, we have to go buy a new note 582 00:26:35,520 --> 00:26:38,600 Speaker 4: of all changes on us. The parameters are different, might 583 00:26:38,640 --> 00:26:40,960 Speaker 4: not be able to get the same terms. I've got 584 00:26:40,960 --> 00:26:42,919 Speaker 4: a hundred of these things on the books, one for 585 00:26:43,000 --> 00:26:46,120 Speaker 4: every different client. I can't keep it all straight. One 586 00:26:46,160 --> 00:26:47,919 Speaker 4: advisor that we were talking to said, I go to 587 00:26:47,960 --> 00:26:50,600 Speaker 4: New York every quarter, meet with the banks, find good 588 00:26:51,160 --> 00:26:54,040 Speaker 4: you know, good products. He said, I'm canceling my flights 589 00:26:54,080 --> 00:26:57,000 Speaker 4: to New York. I've got this. This ETF gives me 590 00:26:57,080 --> 00:27:00,240 Speaker 4: what I'm looking for. It's an evergreen solution. I'm going 591 00:27:00,280 --> 00:27:02,240 Speaker 4: to play golf and this makes things easy for me. 592 00:27:02,320 --> 00:27:02,960 Speaker 2: Where does he live? 593 00:27:03,400 --> 00:27:04,159 Speaker 4: He's out West. 594 00:27:04,640 --> 00:27:07,920 Speaker 2: Yeah, that's it. That's a long flight. Yeah, well this 595 00:27:08,000 --> 00:27:11,439 Speaker 2: is the this is what ETFs do, drool. They take complicated, messy, 596 00:27:12,040 --> 00:27:15,440 Speaker 2: institutional type stuff and they just make it simple, fast, 597 00:27:15,440 --> 00:27:15,920 Speaker 2: good cheap. 598 00:27:24,280 --> 00:27:27,439 Speaker 3: Okay, so fast, good cheap. How do you what color 599 00:27:27,480 --> 00:27:29,960 Speaker 3: of uh light do you give this? 600 00:27:30,040 --> 00:27:30,800 Speaker 4: We have what we do. 601 00:27:31,520 --> 00:27:32,199 Speaker 1: I don't believe if we. 602 00:27:32,200 --> 00:27:36,439 Speaker 2: Could dress this one yet, I think, hold on, hold on, 603 00:27:36,480 --> 00:27:36,920 Speaker 2: what do you give? 604 00:27:37,000 --> 00:27:39,359 Speaker 4: What do you give? Covered? Call ETFs? What light do 605 00:27:39,400 --> 00:27:39,720 Speaker 4: they get? 606 00:27:41,000 --> 00:27:43,879 Speaker 2: I gotta look. I believe they're green. They might get 607 00:27:43,960 --> 00:27:47,560 Speaker 2: dinged once for using derivatives. Okay, so maybe you'd be 608 00:27:47,600 --> 00:27:50,399 Speaker 2: the same green, but one little note for like the 609 00:27:50,440 --> 00:27:53,479 Speaker 2: fact that it uses derivatives. But I guess that's it. 610 00:27:53,560 --> 00:27:58,480 Speaker 2: I mean there's no leverage thet there's no rolling of commodities, 611 00:27:58,480 --> 00:28:01,639 Speaker 2: and there's no hidden fees. Correct, those would be the 612 00:28:01,680 --> 00:28:04,080 Speaker 2: things we ding them. But I'd have to look deeper. 613 00:28:04,080 --> 00:28:08,320 Speaker 2: But I would to me, these feel you know, between 614 00:28:08,359 --> 00:28:10,920 Speaker 2: PG and PG thirteen somewhere. 615 00:28:11,160 --> 00:28:13,080 Speaker 3: So the risk really is I'm not going to get 616 00:28:13,080 --> 00:28:17,920 Speaker 3: my principal back if there's some you know, real big downturn, 617 00:28:19,480 --> 00:28:21,800 Speaker 3: or I'm going to give up some upside. 618 00:28:22,680 --> 00:28:24,840 Speaker 4: Yeah, your risk is largely to the other side. 619 00:28:25,680 --> 00:28:26,080 Speaker 1: Here's what I. 620 00:28:26,080 --> 00:28:28,679 Speaker 2: Don't get like, if I'm in the VU, right, I'm 621 00:28:28,680 --> 00:28:32,119 Speaker 2: a SAP five hundred, and I get Oh, I know 622 00:28:32,160 --> 00:28:34,080 Speaker 2: why you don't get the return of the index. 623 00:28:34,160 --> 00:28:36,720 Speaker 1: You just get the Yeah. Yeah, the principle just comes back. Yeah. 624 00:28:36,760 --> 00:28:38,560 Speaker 2: So in the end, VU could be up twenty percent 625 00:28:39,080 --> 00:28:43,000 Speaker 2: that would outperform this. This is more like just getting 626 00:28:43,000 --> 00:28:45,680 Speaker 2: a little income based on VU not going down a 627 00:28:45,720 --> 00:28:48,800 Speaker 2: super amount, which I feel like is a sort of 628 00:28:48,840 --> 00:28:51,720 Speaker 2: the words. This would be kind of a little less 629 00:28:51,800 --> 00:28:53,960 Speaker 2: risky than VU in a way. 630 00:28:55,000 --> 00:28:57,880 Speaker 4: At times it could be forget volatility. Yeah, if you're 631 00:28:57,880 --> 00:29:00,440 Speaker 4: looking for income, yeah, or if you don't think the 632 00:29:00,480 --> 00:29:03,000 Speaker 4: market's going up fourteen and a half percent next year, 633 00:29:03,600 --> 00:29:05,560 Speaker 4: then this would be a way to essentially lock that 634 00:29:05,640 --> 00:29:07,240 Speaker 4: in as long as you're not going to fall by 635 00:29:07,240 --> 00:29:07,719 Speaker 4: that barrier. 636 00:29:07,880 --> 00:29:10,280 Speaker 1: So maybe instead of buying a. 637 00:29:12,280 --> 00:29:16,280 Speaker 3: Rental property real estate property like this, this is in 638 00:29:16,320 --> 00:29:18,480 Speaker 3: that category if you're thinking about it from like what 639 00:29:18,560 --> 00:29:20,760 Speaker 3: a financial advisor would tell a client. 640 00:29:21,080 --> 00:29:22,920 Speaker 4: Yeah, that's an interesting here. 641 00:29:22,920 --> 00:29:27,360 Speaker 2: It is. It's a rental property in Florida. But you've 642 00:29:27,400 --> 00:29:29,600 Speaker 2: got to pray there's nothing once everything in your hurricane. 643 00:29:29,960 --> 00:29:30,680 Speaker 2: That's what it is. 644 00:29:31,160 --> 00:29:32,880 Speaker 4: It is your God kind of like that. Yeah, so 645 00:29:33,520 --> 00:29:36,960 Speaker 4: let's pretend like you are the insurer and you are 646 00:29:36,960 --> 00:29:39,880 Speaker 4: collecting premiums from people all over the country. 647 00:29:40,280 --> 00:29:41,760 Speaker 1: It was way more fun when we were doing it 648 00:29:41,800 --> 00:29:42,120 Speaker 1: a way. 649 00:29:42,720 --> 00:29:45,160 Speaker 2: I'm an insured I think we nailed it, and that's 650 00:29:45,240 --> 00:29:47,160 Speaker 2: I don't think you're can improve on it though. 651 00:29:47,280 --> 00:29:49,440 Speaker 4: No, I say, if you're an insurer, you're collecting premiums, 652 00:29:50,040 --> 00:29:52,400 Speaker 4: maybe there's a storm in Florida, but everyone else is 653 00:29:52,440 --> 00:29:53,000 Speaker 4: still paying you. 654 00:29:53,800 --> 00:29:56,240 Speaker 2: Yeah, but aren't you doing these fifty or so all 655 00:29:56,240 --> 00:29:58,520 Speaker 2: are on equity indexes, right, I mean one of them. 656 00:29:58,840 --> 00:30:03,360 Speaker 5: Insures got out of not but there's fifty starting in 657 00:30:03,440 --> 00:30:06,680 Speaker 5: the starting You're right, I say, Oh, I say, okay, 658 00:30:06,720 --> 00:30:08,760 Speaker 5: so it's like all over the country, but there's one 659 00:30:08,800 --> 00:30:09,640 Speaker 5: hurricane in Miami. 660 00:30:09,680 --> 00:30:09,960 Speaker 1: Okay. 661 00:30:09,960 --> 00:30:12,200 Speaker 4: Correct. You're diversified by time instead of geography. 662 00:30:12,560 --> 00:30:14,800 Speaker 2: That's a lot of work. Yeah, Like do you have 663 00:30:15,320 --> 00:30:17,800 Speaker 2: like associates that like do all this like keep up 664 00:30:18,400 --> 00:30:21,640 Speaker 2: Kai take like an army of people like putting these 665 00:30:21,680 --> 00:30:23,959 Speaker 2: new notes on like just seems like a lot of effort. 666 00:30:24,240 --> 00:30:26,800 Speaker 4: The beauty of KAI is that it's all swap based. 667 00:30:27,240 --> 00:30:28,680 Speaker 4: So we built everything. 668 00:30:28,800 --> 00:30:30,440 Speaker 2: JP Morgan is the rest. It's all in them. 669 00:30:30,640 --> 00:30:36,160 Speaker 4: Well, we built everything inside that Mercube index. And so Mercube, Yeah. 670 00:30:36,280 --> 00:30:39,800 Speaker 2: That sounds like like matrix or something that sounds like 671 00:30:40,120 --> 00:30:44,240 Speaker 2: what's that sounds too much? Merkcube? Who is that somebody's 672 00:30:44,280 --> 00:30:44,680 Speaker 2: last name? 673 00:30:44,920 --> 00:30:47,760 Speaker 4: Mercube is an indexing provider that was ok yeah, founded 674 00:30:47,760 --> 00:30:49,760 Speaker 4: by the former head of custom indexing at S. 675 00:30:49,720 --> 00:30:51,920 Speaker 2: And P the Mercube theory. 676 00:30:52,480 --> 00:30:54,280 Speaker 1: Okay, so you're not alone anymore? 677 00:30:54,600 --> 00:30:54,760 Speaker 2: Right? 678 00:30:55,080 --> 00:30:57,760 Speaker 3: You got Kai was out there first. Yeah, you got 679 00:30:57,760 --> 00:30:59,600 Speaker 3: some competition. What does the competition look like? 680 00:30:59,680 --> 00:31:02,000 Speaker 4: Can I backup for thirty seconds? And we're going to 681 00:31:02,040 --> 00:31:04,800 Speaker 4: spend a while on this. So on the ETF side, 682 00:31:05,240 --> 00:31:08,280 Speaker 4: the last point here, because we did this index based 683 00:31:08,840 --> 00:31:11,920 Speaker 4: it trades extremely tight. We don't have to post Greeks 684 00:31:11,920 --> 00:31:15,640 Speaker 4: to the website. There's not a lot of active management here. 685 00:31:16,120 --> 00:31:17,880 Speaker 4: So we take this index by Greeks. 686 00:31:17,880 --> 00:31:20,840 Speaker 2: By the way, Ajoul, he doesn't mean Athnosios. He means 687 00:31:20,920 --> 00:31:27,320 Speaker 2: like formulas like Vega, Gamma, Kalamos. He's picturing Athnosios and 688 00:31:27,400 --> 00:31:28,880 Speaker 2: John Stamos on your website and. 689 00:31:28,800 --> 00:31:31,360 Speaker 4: That's not true, that's right. Not yet. We do have 690 00:31:31,440 --> 00:31:36,200 Speaker 4: Yanis though. Yeah, yeah, so where was I We take 691 00:31:36,240 --> 00:31:39,000 Speaker 4: that index, We give that price almost like an intra 692 00:31:39,080 --> 00:31:42,440 Speaker 4: day nave to the market makers, so they are very 693 00:31:42,480 --> 00:31:45,680 Speaker 4: tight to that index level. JP Morgan is trading swap 694 00:31:45,720 --> 00:31:48,760 Speaker 4: on the index. It is trading at one to three 695 00:31:48,800 --> 00:31:52,760 Speaker 4: cents wide every day, and that's largely because of that index. 696 00:31:52,800 --> 00:31:54,920 Speaker 4: So it's extremely operationally light. 697 00:31:56,120 --> 00:31:58,760 Speaker 3: Okay, now my question, yes, oh yes, you were first. 698 00:31:58,880 --> 00:32:01,080 Speaker 3: Now there's some competition. Yes, how do you feel about 699 00:32:01,160 --> 00:32:01,840 Speaker 3: the competition? 700 00:32:02,000 --> 00:32:05,640 Speaker 4: I think it's great. Competition is good for the market. 701 00:32:05,840 --> 00:32:08,600 Speaker 4: It's going to grow. We're not going to raise you know, 702 00:32:08,640 --> 00:32:11,360 Speaker 4: one hundred billion dollars all by ourselves. I hope we do, 703 00:32:11,480 --> 00:32:13,720 Speaker 4: but I know it's going to be because a rising 704 00:32:13,760 --> 00:32:17,239 Speaker 4: tide is lifting all boats. If there's an encouragement, I 705 00:32:17,280 --> 00:32:21,040 Speaker 4: hope that it's done correctly. The covered call space took 706 00:32:21,080 --> 00:32:24,360 Speaker 4: fifteen twenty years to grow and then become more risky. 707 00:32:24,400 --> 00:32:28,160 Speaker 4: You've got weekly daily single stock. My fear is the 708 00:32:28,160 --> 00:32:30,880 Speaker 4: auto call space does that too fast, and you go 709 00:32:30,920 --> 00:32:33,640 Speaker 4: into this risky stuff and then people get hurt and 710 00:32:33,680 --> 00:32:35,760 Speaker 4: they get burned, and like I thought, I had a barrier, 711 00:32:35,800 --> 00:32:38,080 Speaker 4: I was tied to a single stock. It went down fast. 712 00:32:38,640 --> 00:32:39,440 Speaker 4: That's what we don't want. 713 00:32:39,480 --> 00:32:42,040 Speaker 2: Oh yeah, because somebody filed for single stock auto call 714 00:32:42,960 --> 00:32:46,640 Speaker 2: Yeah you too. I see so that well, let's go 715 00:32:46,720 --> 00:32:48,400 Speaker 2: I know you don't do those, but like let's say 716 00:32:48,400 --> 00:32:51,480 Speaker 2: you're doing Navidia. Let's say you did Navidia single stock 717 00:32:51,560 --> 00:32:52,640 Speaker 2: auto call Well, what would. 718 00:32:52,480 --> 00:32:52,920 Speaker 1: The barrier be? 719 00:32:53,000 --> 00:32:56,040 Speaker 4: You think, Well, the volatility would be you know, fairly 720 00:32:56,120 --> 00:32:57,680 Speaker 4: high higher, but it comes at it. 721 00:32:57,720 --> 00:32:58,880 Speaker 2: Could the barrier be sixty? 722 00:32:59,160 --> 00:33:01,520 Speaker 4: It depends. You know, you can pull those levers and 723 00:33:01,640 --> 00:33:02,280 Speaker 4: change your coupon. 724 00:33:02,480 --> 00:33:04,960 Speaker 2: So what you're worried about is somebody going for the 725 00:33:05,040 --> 00:33:08,160 Speaker 2: jacked up yield with a lower barrier and people being 726 00:33:08,200 --> 00:33:11,440 Speaker 2: like not understanding the auto callable. Correct, yeah, and then 727 00:33:11,440 --> 00:33:13,000 Speaker 2: it changed the whole camera and you know the industry 728 00:33:13,080 --> 00:33:15,000 Speaker 2: is going to do this and you and they like 729 00:33:15,040 --> 00:33:16,000 Speaker 2: to push the envelope. 730 00:33:16,040 --> 00:33:18,120 Speaker 4: Oh for sure, for sure and you and we've seen 731 00:33:18,160 --> 00:33:21,480 Speaker 4: this in Korea. We've seen this in other markets where 732 00:33:21,520 --> 00:33:24,840 Speaker 4: folks these are big. In South Korea, I extremely they 733 00:33:24,920 --> 00:33:26,040 Speaker 4: love risk, they love risk. 734 00:33:26,080 --> 00:33:29,320 Speaker 2: Going theo is it's a gen per capita in South 735 00:33:29,400 --> 00:33:31,080 Speaker 2: Korea is like off the charts. 736 00:33:31,840 --> 00:33:35,200 Speaker 3: The the Calamost strategy is we're just going to go 737 00:33:35,640 --> 00:33:39,240 Speaker 3: to indexes S and P five hundred. 738 00:33:40,560 --> 00:33:44,120 Speaker 4: Yeah, let's build an index that is customized for auto 739 00:33:44,160 --> 00:33:48,240 Speaker 4: callables to give you the best chance of getting a high, stable, 740 00:33:48,320 --> 00:33:49,400 Speaker 4: tax efficient coupon. 741 00:33:50,120 --> 00:33:52,600 Speaker 2: By the way, has have you talked to Bruce Bond regularly? 742 00:33:53,440 --> 00:33:55,640 Speaker 4: I have you talked to him in about this strategy? 743 00:33:55,680 --> 00:33:55,840 Speaker 1: Yeah? 744 00:33:55,880 --> 00:33:57,640 Speaker 2: I feel like he's an eye in this. I don't know, 745 00:33:57,640 --> 00:33:59,160 Speaker 2: I just feel like this is Bruce bondish. 746 00:33:59,240 --> 00:34:02,760 Speaker 4: Oh that's funny. You know Innovator brought out were First Trust. 747 00:34:02,800 --> 00:34:03,720 Speaker 2: I feel like they might just. 748 00:34:03,760 --> 00:34:06,200 Speaker 4: Like, so we all filed around the same time. Okay, 749 00:34:06,640 --> 00:34:10,200 Speaker 4: Innovator brought out some single stock products. I don't know 750 00:34:10,239 --> 00:34:11,920 Speaker 4: how well those that have done, like you do the 751 00:34:12,040 --> 00:34:15,520 Speaker 4: research on that, and then the other competitors have not 752 00:34:15,560 --> 00:34:17,520 Speaker 4: come to market yet. There's about four or five in 753 00:34:17,560 --> 00:34:20,120 Speaker 4: the market. So you know why you probably feel that way. 754 00:34:20,040 --> 00:34:22,000 Speaker 2: Is because you guys all live in the same town 755 00:34:22,000 --> 00:34:22,680 Speaker 2: and what and Illinois? 756 00:34:22,719 --> 00:34:23,560 Speaker 4: Wow, this is true? 757 00:34:23,719 --> 00:34:26,040 Speaker 2: Like by the way, in Wheaton, like where he lives, 758 00:34:26,040 --> 00:34:28,480 Speaker 2: he has like a cul de sac. His next door 759 00:34:28,480 --> 00:34:31,440 Speaker 2: neighbor is Innovator and this other nextraor neighbor is First 760 00:34:31,440 --> 00:34:33,759 Speaker 2: Trust and all their kids are friends. But they hate 761 00:34:33,760 --> 00:34:34,399 Speaker 2: each other at work? 762 00:34:34,680 --> 00:34:35,320 Speaker 1: Is that true? 763 00:34:35,719 --> 00:34:37,120 Speaker 4: Something like that hate each other? 764 00:34:37,239 --> 00:34:39,880 Speaker 3: Okay, all right, but just confront of me, are you 765 00:34:39,920 --> 00:34:41,600 Speaker 3: on the same kids baseball teams. 766 00:34:41,800 --> 00:34:43,879 Speaker 4: It is a small town, and well, we have seven kids, 767 00:34:43,880 --> 00:34:46,279 Speaker 4: so there's a good chance that we're on everybody's baseball team. 768 00:34:46,320 --> 00:34:49,160 Speaker 1: All right, you have seven kids. We do? Wow? Yeah, 769 00:34:49,200 --> 00:34:49,480 Speaker 1: we do. 770 00:34:49,640 --> 00:34:52,399 Speaker 2: Oh my god, that's going. Wow, that must be you're wow. 771 00:34:52,560 --> 00:34:53,960 Speaker 2: You look pretty good for seven kids. 772 00:34:54,560 --> 00:34:56,080 Speaker 4: I don't sit down. You just got to keep keep 773 00:34:56,080 --> 00:34:56,479 Speaker 4: on going. 774 00:34:56,560 --> 00:34:56,880 Speaker 1: Yeah. 775 00:34:57,000 --> 00:34:58,920 Speaker 2: Yeah, that's your exercise, I guess. But I think the 776 00:34:58,960 --> 00:34:59,720 Speaker 2: reason amazing. 777 00:35:00,040 --> 00:35:02,239 Speaker 4: I think the reason you are thinking that way is, 778 00:35:03,000 --> 00:35:06,240 Speaker 4: you know, the buffers at the time replicated the largest 779 00:35:06,239 --> 00:35:09,080 Speaker 4: structured note market, and in a zero rate environment, buffers 780 00:35:09,080 --> 00:35:12,400 Speaker 4: were the king. When rates rose to five percent, what 781 00:35:12,440 --> 00:35:15,560 Speaker 4: are people doing. They're buying fixed indexinuities. They're buying capital 782 00:35:15,640 --> 00:35:18,800 Speaker 4: protected notes. So that was what we brought at Calamos, 783 00:35:18,800 --> 00:35:22,800 Speaker 4: one hundred percent protected products. I helped Bruce build innovator 784 00:35:22,800 --> 00:35:24,840 Speaker 4: when I was at Milliman. I was there for twelve years. 785 00:35:25,440 --> 00:35:27,640 Speaker 4: So what are people doing now? They won income? You know, 786 00:35:27,719 --> 00:35:30,279 Speaker 4: rates are coming back down, they're chasing that, you know, 787 00:35:30,440 --> 00:35:34,759 Speaker 4: high stable income. The forty year run in bonds is over. 788 00:35:35,280 --> 00:35:38,799 Speaker 4: You cannot get ballast and income from bonds anymore, and 789 00:35:38,840 --> 00:35:41,799 Speaker 4: so they're parsing it out and so the auto call 790 00:35:41,840 --> 00:35:44,480 Speaker 4: space was always the golden goose. We happened to win 791 00:35:44,520 --> 00:35:45,279 Speaker 4: the race this time. 792 00:35:46,120 --> 00:35:48,960 Speaker 2: Yeah, No, he Matt comes from that world. This is 793 00:35:49,080 --> 00:35:52,000 Speaker 2: organic to because I've known him for quite a while 794 00:35:52,560 --> 00:35:56,280 Speaker 2: and his work on the early days of the target outcome, 795 00:35:56,960 --> 00:36:00,600 Speaker 2: having worked in an options industry. But what you will 796 00:36:00,640 --> 00:36:02,760 Speaker 2: find is a lot of the issuers who don't normally 797 00:36:02,800 --> 00:36:04,160 Speaker 2: do this are going to get involved. That's just the 798 00:36:04,160 --> 00:36:07,759 Speaker 2: way it goes, but it is I also think ETFs 799 00:36:07,960 --> 00:36:09,839 Speaker 2: everybody who's seen the Big Short and then Mayor Michael 800 00:36:09,880 --> 00:36:12,400 Speaker 2: Burry going over to Goldman and JP Morgan and being like, 801 00:36:12,480 --> 00:36:16,640 Speaker 2: I want to make this specific bet against the housing market, 802 00:36:16,760 --> 00:36:18,400 Speaker 2: and at first JP More they're like laughing at them. 803 00:36:18,400 --> 00:36:21,800 Speaker 2: They're like, no problem. That idea of a swap contract 804 00:36:21,800 --> 00:36:24,360 Speaker 2: with a bank. People don't realize, like the levere ETFs, 805 00:36:24,400 --> 00:36:27,400 Speaker 2: like so many ETFs are basically just democratizing what you 806 00:36:27,440 --> 00:36:29,680 Speaker 2: saw in the Big Short, and that's kind of cool 807 00:36:30,160 --> 00:36:32,719 Speaker 2: as long as it's done responsibly. Obviously, some of the 808 00:36:32,800 --> 00:36:34,560 Speaker 2: leverage that are they're trying to file his five X 809 00:36:34,560 --> 00:36:37,320 Speaker 2: where you're gonna get like irresponsible. But for the most part, 810 00:36:37,760 --> 00:36:39,239 Speaker 2: you know those two guys who are waiting the lobby 811 00:36:39,280 --> 00:36:42,040 Speaker 2: of JP Morgan in the beginning that this is what Matt. 812 00:36:42,080 --> 00:36:46,160 Speaker 2: Matt has access to those desks that those guys were 813 00:36:46,160 --> 00:36:49,680 Speaker 2: trying to get access to. These are just customized contracts 814 00:36:49,719 --> 00:36:51,839 Speaker 2: with a big bank. It's almost like a high roller 815 00:36:51,880 --> 00:36:53,560 Speaker 2: to casino. Who can get a special table. 816 00:36:53,719 --> 00:36:56,280 Speaker 1: Yeah, and I'm at that special table just watching it happen. 817 00:36:56,440 --> 00:36:58,360 Speaker 2: I know now you now you can just get the 818 00:36:58,800 --> 00:37:02,879 Speaker 2: for twenty five dollars that can be Let me ask 819 00:37:02,880 --> 00:37:07,920 Speaker 2: you this, you have seven kids, you have other film members. 820 00:37:08,280 --> 00:37:10,359 Speaker 2: Would you feel safe putting your own family in here? 821 00:37:10,480 --> 00:37:12,160 Speaker 2: Is this more for a sophisticated investor? 822 00:37:12,560 --> 00:37:15,120 Speaker 4: No, I would what we've done here, you know, going 823 00:37:15,160 --> 00:37:17,400 Speaker 4: all the way back to the beginning, if you tie 824 00:37:17,680 --> 00:37:19,600 Speaker 4: all of your money or tie your money to a 825 00:37:19,640 --> 00:37:23,480 Speaker 4: single auto callable, you have single point coupon risk, single 826 00:37:23,480 --> 00:37:26,560 Speaker 4: point maturity risk where you can lose forty percent or 827 00:37:26,560 --> 00:37:29,040 Speaker 4: more of your money when you ladder that out fifty 828 00:37:29,040 --> 00:37:31,799 Speaker 4: two or more times and do it weekly. Now you've 829 00:37:31,800 --> 00:37:35,080 Speaker 4: got an opportunity to diversify out that risk. You've got a 830 00:37:35,080 --> 00:37:37,160 Speaker 4: product that looks a lot like the equity markets, but 831 00:37:37,280 --> 00:37:39,920 Speaker 4: delivers that high stable coupon, So you know, I own 832 00:37:40,000 --> 00:37:43,000 Speaker 4: this in my account, you know, not to create suitability. 833 00:37:43,120 --> 00:37:45,239 Speaker 4: My parents, you know, are doing similar. They own a 834 00:37:45,280 --> 00:37:47,840 Speaker 4: lot of buffers. They own this for income. When you 835 00:37:47,880 --> 00:37:51,120 Speaker 4: can tie your money to the equity markets, now you 836 00:37:51,160 --> 00:37:54,280 Speaker 4: can keep pace with inflation. You can do remarkably better 837 00:37:54,320 --> 00:37:57,680 Speaker 4: than your fixed income, which would be inversely correlated to inflation. 838 00:37:58,440 --> 00:37:59,719 Speaker 4: So there's a lot of ways to think about it. 839 00:38:00,000 --> 00:38:03,120 Speaker 3: Best time we talked about this space, boomer candy was 840 00:38:03,200 --> 00:38:04,439 Speaker 3: the phrase that came out of your mouth. 841 00:38:04,640 --> 00:38:06,239 Speaker 1: Is this boomer candy? 842 00:38:06,440 --> 00:38:09,319 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean I think so, because it's a way 843 00:38:09,320 --> 00:38:12,320 Speaker 2: to participate boomer's love income. But then again, sort of 844 00:38:12,360 --> 00:38:14,719 Speaker 2: the gen z ers too, So I would say the 845 00:38:14,719 --> 00:38:16,640 Speaker 2: only thing that doesn't make this boomer candy is that 846 00:38:18,360 --> 00:38:21,480 Speaker 2: there isn't a protection element. I mean, you're betting the 847 00:38:21,480 --> 00:38:25,120 Speaker 2: market won't get on forty percent, and that actual income 848 00:38:25,160 --> 00:38:27,640 Speaker 2: can be a buffer if it does go down. But 849 00:38:28,239 --> 00:38:29,960 Speaker 2: I think, I don't know. It might be like half 850 00:38:30,000 --> 00:38:32,719 Speaker 2: boomer candy. I consider boomer candy something that helps you 851 00:38:32,760 --> 00:38:35,759 Speaker 2: sleep at night and cures anxiety. 852 00:38:35,920 --> 00:38:39,200 Speaker 1: This is angiin boom boomer candy. 853 00:38:39,239 --> 00:38:42,640 Speaker 2: Maybe, or I don't know, it's just it's ancillary, but 854 00:38:42,719 --> 00:38:44,920 Speaker 2: I could see this appealing, especially we like guy from 855 00:38:44,960 --> 00:38:48,560 Speaker 2: Texas who's a YouTube star. I could see the other 856 00:38:49,160 --> 00:38:52,239 Speaker 2: younger investors actually getting into this because it does have 857 00:38:52,360 --> 00:38:54,560 Speaker 2: you know, that's a pretty big yield. I mean, that's 858 00:38:54,600 --> 00:38:56,680 Speaker 2: going to excite some people. Although some of the yield 859 00:38:56,680 --> 00:38:59,080 Speaker 2: max field like eighty to one hundred percent. But with those, 860 00:38:59,120 --> 00:39:00,920 Speaker 2: you're giving up so much much total return. 861 00:39:01,320 --> 00:39:03,600 Speaker 4: What makes me nervous with those? Well, so you, if 862 00:39:03,640 --> 00:39:06,040 Speaker 4: I remember correctly, you came up with the boomer candy 863 00:39:06,120 --> 00:39:09,200 Speaker 4: term after we launched the one hundred percent protected ETFs. 864 00:39:09,800 --> 00:39:12,040 Speaker 2: Yeah, well it was that I camera when I camp 865 00:39:12,080 --> 00:39:14,200 Speaker 2: with it, but it was that it was the buffers 866 00:39:14,200 --> 00:39:17,520 Speaker 2: combined with the cover calls. Yes, those are both. I 867 00:39:17,560 --> 00:39:17,840 Speaker 2: don't know. 868 00:39:17,880 --> 00:39:21,000 Speaker 4: They just feel it as a specific protection amount. Yes, 869 00:39:21,040 --> 00:39:24,480 Speaker 4: here you're taking diet market correct. Here you're taking on 870 00:39:25,200 --> 00:39:27,600 Speaker 4: tail risks. So there's a chance some of those coupons. 871 00:39:27,680 --> 00:39:28,759 Speaker 2: That's why it's a little. 872 00:39:28,480 --> 00:39:30,960 Speaker 4: Bit I would agree with you. You got to be 873 00:39:31,000 --> 00:39:35,080 Speaker 4: comfortable with equity market like volatility, the single stock covered 874 00:39:35,120 --> 00:39:38,520 Speaker 4: call ETFs as a risk manager, you know, coming from 875 00:39:38,520 --> 00:39:42,319 Speaker 4: an actuarial consulting firm, not something we would build Calamos. As 876 00:39:42,360 --> 00:39:45,440 Speaker 4: a forty five year old risk manager, we would not 877 00:39:45,560 --> 00:39:49,719 Speaker 4: build those. But the yield that those are stating is 878 00:39:49,840 --> 00:39:51,560 Speaker 4: not a yield that you will likely get. 879 00:39:52,120 --> 00:39:52,319 Speaker 1: You know. 880 00:39:52,440 --> 00:39:54,600 Speaker 4: It's if it's a daily by ride or a weekly 881 00:39:54,640 --> 00:39:57,719 Speaker 4: by right, they'll take that number that they've collected and 882 00:39:57,760 --> 00:39:59,920 Speaker 4: they'll annualize it. So if it's a daily buy right 883 00:40:00,120 --> 00:40:02,279 Speaker 4: and the market's volatile, I'm going to get a good 884 00:40:02,320 --> 00:40:04,960 Speaker 4: coupon today and now times that by two hundred and 885 00:40:04,960 --> 00:40:07,840 Speaker 4: fifty two trading days, and it looks like this massive number. 886 00:40:08,360 --> 00:40:11,320 Speaker 4: The odds of you actually achieving that are next to zero. 887 00:40:12,440 --> 00:40:14,440 Speaker 3: All right, Matt, I have one final question for you, 888 00:40:14,480 --> 00:40:17,600 Speaker 3: which is what is your favorite ETF ticker other than 889 00:40:17,840 --> 00:40:18,520 Speaker 3: any of your own. 890 00:40:19,920 --> 00:40:24,480 Speaker 4: Oh that's a good question. A Power Shares product. I 891 00:40:24,520 --> 00:40:28,799 Speaker 4: don't work there anymore. We launched food and Beverage ETF. Eric, 892 00:40:28,840 --> 00:40:30,040 Speaker 4: do you remember the ticker PBJ. 893 00:40:30,200 --> 00:40:33,080 Speaker 2: Here you go, Yes, that is a good one. Yeah, 894 00:40:33,239 --> 00:40:34,239 Speaker 2: no one's ever picked it. 895 00:40:34,200 --> 00:40:37,840 Speaker 3: And it really PBJ protein beverage, I know, healthy fads. 896 00:40:38,080 --> 00:40:41,000 Speaker 2: Yeah, nice kicker, that's a good one PBJ. 897 00:40:41,600 --> 00:40:44,080 Speaker 1: Matt Koffman, thanks so much for joining us on trillions. 898 00:40:44,320 --> 00:40:45,120 Speaker 4: Thanks for having me. 899 00:40:51,920 --> 00:40:54,480 Speaker 3: Thanks for listening to Trillions until next time. You can 900 00:40:54,480 --> 00:40:58,840 Speaker 3: find us on the Bloomberg terminal, Bloomberg dot com, Apple Podcasts, Spotify, 901 00:40:59,440 --> 00:41:01,640 Speaker 3: or wherever you'd like to listen. We'd love to hear 902 00:41:01,640 --> 00:41:03,919 Speaker 3: from you. Hit us up on social I'm at Joel 903 00:41:03,920 --> 00:41:07,359 Speaker 3: Weber Show, He's at Eric Balcino's. Trillions is produced by 904 00:41:07,360 --> 00:41:10,720 Speaker 3: Magnus Hendrickson. Sage Bauman is the head of Bloomberg Podcast