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Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's time to place

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Speaker 1: your bet to this v Joey paid Joe Pi's Apia

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Speaker 1: and it's Friday. You know what that means. It's time

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Speaker 1: to talks and props here with the prop prophet Andrew Erickson.

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Speaker 1: And of course we're bringing a big guess. You know him.

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Speaker 1: He's one of my old Sports Grid colleagues. He does

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Speaker 1: stuff at FT and he's got his own podcast. He's

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Speaker 1: also a dad to a now one year old, which

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Speaker 1: is really the main job at the end of the

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Speaker 1: day for all those of us who have raised small

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Speaker 1: children at one point in our lives. That in of itself,

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Speaker 1: my friends, now that is a real job. Dave Martinez

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Speaker 1: is back with us again, the spit and speeds, the man,

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Speaker 1: the myth, the legend, and we're gonna go through our

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Speaker 1: favorite props four week four in the NFL. Dave Martinez,

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Speaker 1: you are now over the twelve and a half month

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Speaker 1: mark in terms of props goes for the young child,

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Speaker 1: which is a very exciting time. So this is the

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Speaker 1: point in time now in life where they're moving around,

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Speaker 1: they have opinions, and how's that going for you, my friend.

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Speaker 2: It's going well. Man. I think the biggest thing for

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Speaker 2: me is I'm trying to build the little one's stamina

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Speaker 2: so he can watch football for about ten hours straight

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Speaker 2: on Sunday.

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Speaker 3: We're working.

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Speaker 2: Usually I gotta like put in a little cartoon in there,

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Speaker 2: but I'm building the stamina. We got to see if

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Speaker 2: we can do it from nine thirty am until midnight

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Speaker 2: this time around, though, we'll see.

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Speaker 1: Well, I know they're doing the whole thing now where

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Speaker 1: they're doing like the games and they have like the

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Speaker 1: little cartoon toy story versions on Nickelodeon or something if

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Speaker 1: you seen I don't know what it is, or Disney Channel,

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Speaker 1: whatever the heck it is, they're always doing on Sunday. Yes,

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Speaker 1: so I mean that Eric's and that's how you watch

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Speaker 1: the games. I know in the recaps on Monday too, right,

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Speaker 1: Ericson you like the uh you like the cartoon version

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Speaker 1: of Trevor Lawrence. It's better, but it's been better than

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Speaker 1: the real one, at least I guess the last few weeks.

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Speaker 4: Yeah.

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Speaker 3: No, it's gonna be interesting to tune into that, uh

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Speaker 3: that broadcast on Disney where it's like I'm watching Disney,

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Speaker 3: but I'm also gambling at the same time.

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Speaker 4: It's just feel weird.

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Speaker 3: Why does it feel right at the same time? So

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Speaker 3: it should be fun. It should be a fun one.

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Speaker 1: Yes, I got I got two units on The Little

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Speaker 1: Mermaid on Sunday. Let's go. Let's see how it goes.

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Speaker 1: All right, don't forget everybody. When you're watching the show

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Speaker 1: here on YouTube, make sure you subscribe, but make sure

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Speaker 1: you drop a comment below. We want to know the

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Speaker 1: picks that you're in on or you feel about some

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Speaker 1: of these picks. But we love to all. Bet is

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Speaker 1: a community here, that's what we do. And when you

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Speaker 1: do all those things, when you subscribe and drop a comment,

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Speaker 1: you just might win a James Cook autograph jersey. So

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Speaker 1: make sure you go do that again. Make sure you

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Speaker 1: click that little beltill it goes ding also, so you

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Speaker 1: know if you're the big winner. And you know every

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Speaker 1: time a piece of content drops here in the channel.

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Speaker 1: All the podcasts are here, The Daily Juice is here,

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Speaker 1: my top ten videos every week, plus the live streams.

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Speaker 1: We're doing so many things and all the college football stuff.

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Speaker 1: Those college football boys are crushing at Bagman, Mike and

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Speaker 1: thor Oh my god, phenomenal stuff. They're doing there, So

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Speaker 1: make sure you're with us for betting pros. Go win

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Speaker 1: yourself a jersey, Dan Martinez, you're up first today, so

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Speaker 1: why don't we get to you. You're our guest. Give

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Speaker 1: us one of your favorite props for Week four in

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Speaker 1: the NFL.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, sure, I'm gonna You know, I think everybody's so

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Speaker 2: impressed with the Miami offense, and so am I, but

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Speaker 2: I'm Gonnazig on other people's act. I'm going under on

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Speaker 2: Raheem Moster. It's rushing yards this week. I believe the

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Speaker 2: number is fifty four and a half. Now, listen, Do

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Speaker 2: I think the Miami offense is great? Yes? Do I

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Speaker 2: think they're going to score seventy points again? No? I

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Speaker 2: think up against Buffalo, it's going to be a different

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Speaker 2: kind of game. Buffalo's going to be able to score,

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Speaker 2: Buffalo is going to be able to have some time

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Speaker 2: of possession, and so I think that part is a

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Speaker 2: little different. And also, Joe, you know me, I talk

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Speaker 2: about the fantasy herd, and there is a herd in Miami.

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Speaker 2: You never know on any given week who is going

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Speaker 2: to pop off. And I think the kid out of

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Speaker 2: Texas A and m Devin A chain he's growing more

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Speaker 2: and more in his snap percentage, in his carries. He

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Speaker 2: wasn't even live on week one. I think he's eating

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Speaker 2: into some of the pye. I think Jalen Waddle will

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Speaker 2: be back, and I just think Miami won't be as

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Speaker 2: explosive in week four here. So for all those things,

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Speaker 2: I think most start will get a little bit. But

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Speaker 2: I don't think he goes over the number of fifty

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Speaker 2: four and a half. I think Devon a chain really

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Speaker 2: turns this into more of a committee and it'll be

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Speaker 2: a different kind of game in a divisional matchup against

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Speaker 2: the Bills, JOBB.

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Speaker 1: And if this does become a competitive shootout type game,

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Speaker 1: you know, the reacclimation of jail Wall to that offense.

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Speaker 1: It's a great point. And Han, look, I liked him

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Speaker 1: coming into this. I thought he was gonna be really

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Speaker 1: interesting player. I gotta give most of credit though, I

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Speaker 1: mean Week one was you know whatever against the Chargers

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Speaker 1: that became a weird, wide open game. But the Patriots

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Speaker 1: game one hundred and twenty one rushing yards eighty two

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Speaker 1: last week against Denver. But I like where your head's

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Speaker 1: acting because I like this whole zigging with other people

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Speaker 1: zag or zag when people zig, whatever it might be.

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Speaker 1: The interesting thing is the one game on the year

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Speaker 1: so far that might resemble the Buffalo game is that

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Speaker 1: Charger game where he did have only thirty seven rushing yards.

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Speaker 1: So that is a really interesting spot for the under life.

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Speaker 2: In that one. You know there was in week one

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Speaker 2: right when Ah has gone up. I think zero attempts

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Speaker 2: to one attempt to eighteen attempts, zero percent snapcount to

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Speaker 2: ten percent snap count, so forty one percent snap count

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Speaker 2: over these three weeks. So his role I think is growing.

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Speaker 2: I think Mostart is a good back. They all have

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Speaker 2: the next gen stats twenty one miles an hour at all.

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Speaker 2: But I just don't think the pie is going to

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Speaker 2: be as big this week.

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Speaker 1: Now, we always say that life's too short for the unders,

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Speaker 1: but I'm we started with an under this week. I

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Speaker 1: think that's good now. Ericson, I know you you don't

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Speaker 1: like unders, so there's got to be an over where

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Speaker 1: you're starting things off this week, am I right?

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Speaker 3: I'm gonna go right back to that Dolphins Bills game

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Speaker 3: where we're projecting four a lot of points and we

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Speaker 3: should see some yards. So I'm going to the guy

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Speaker 3: that we're giving away his jersey. James Cook over fifty

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Speaker 3: five and a half rushing yards. James Cook ranks third

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Speaker 3: in the NFL in rushing yards like he's up there

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Speaker 3: with Tony Pollard, with Kristia McCaffrey. Those guys were rushing

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Speaker 3: props are around seventy yards seventy five yards. Why is

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Speaker 3: James Cooks down at fifty five and a half against

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Speaker 3: the Miami Dolphins run defense that ranks dead last and

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Speaker 3: expected points added versus the run the season, the Bills

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Speaker 3: have shown a willings to be more balanced through the

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Speaker 3: running game with James Cook so far this year. So

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Speaker 3: if there's any chance of them slowing down this Dolphins office,

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Speaker 3: I think it also talks about ball control. Let's run

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Speaker 3: the football against the Dolphins defense, and that's with James Cook,

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Speaker 3: who's an explosive playmaker. It's not one of these where

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Speaker 3: James Cook has to get fifteen to twenty carries to

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Speaker 3: get there. He can make big plays because he's a

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Speaker 3: big playmaker. So in a game where you're gonna Dolphins

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Speaker 3: have chances to put up points with their explosive guys.

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Speaker 3: James Cook is that answer on the Bill side of things.

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Speaker 3: With his explosive skill set. So I like the over

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Speaker 3: at fifty five and a half.

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Speaker 1: I love that. I love the stature dropping too. If

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Speaker 1: you want more stats like that, Eric's in every single

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Speaker 1: week is basically doing the primer version on the betting

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Speaker 1: side over bettingpros dot Com. You should be reading it

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Speaker 1: because he's got fantastic stats to really back up some

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Speaker 1: of these bets. And of course use the prop bet

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Speaker 1: chi chee too, like we always tell you on VP,

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Speaker 1: because that is such an incredible goal to you. So

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Speaker 1: it's just it's so there for you. All right, let's

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Speaker 1: get to another one of danes picks for week four

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Speaker 1: this weekend. What do you have, Nane?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, sure, you know over in Pittsburgh, I was saying

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Speaker 2: this even preseason. Okay, I think Jalen Warren had so

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Speaker 2: much more juice and so much more dynamic than Naji Harris.

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Speaker 2: But the book is still looking at Naji Harris as

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Speaker 2: the A side of that committee. So I'm gonna go

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Speaker 2: with Jalen Warren over fifty five and a half rushing

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Speaker 2: plus receiving yards. You know, I talked about kind of

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Speaker 2: how the snap count was evolving in Miami. The same

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Speaker 2: thing is happening in Pittsburgh, guys. Okay, Warren is getting

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Speaker 2: more attempts every game. Nase's yards per carry is dropping

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Speaker 2: every game. NASE no good. In my opinion, they're up

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Speaker 2: against Houston. Houston historically has been a bad run defense.

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Speaker 2: They're a little bit better now on the Ryans, kind

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Speaker 2: of in the middle of the pack. But also I

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Speaker 2: like the rushing plus receiving here. I think Warren is

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Speaker 2: going to get more carries. His carries have grown, I

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Speaker 2: think from three to six to eight each of the

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Speaker 2: last three weeks, but he's always been a weapon out

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Speaker 2: of the backfield. Okay, so I get him with more

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Speaker 2: carries in my opinion, and the potential for the swing pass,

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Speaker 2: for the screen pass. I like Jalen Warren, and I

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Speaker 2: think he to your point before Andrew about Cook right

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Speaker 2: being that kind of home run hitter. I think Warren

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Speaker 2: is pretty much the most dynamic player outside of George

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Speaker 2: Pickens on this Pittsburgh offense. And I think fifty five

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Speaker 2: and a half is the number he can get to.

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Speaker 2: I think he's gonna get somewhere in the thirties just

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Speaker 2: running the ball, maybe even in the forties. And then

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Speaker 2: he has gotten over twenty five thirty receiving yards every

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Speaker 2: game this year. He's averaged over five targets a game

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Speaker 2: every game this year, and he's getting four receptions a game.

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Speaker 2: I think he's only got to break one of them

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Speaker 2: or get more of the attempts. Like I'm talking about

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Speaker 2: all told, I think Warren goes over fifty five and

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Speaker 2: a half rushing plus receiving this week.

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Speaker 1: I like this a lot because of the combination. I

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Speaker 1: always think that's a very wise thing to do, even

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Speaker 1: if you have to pay a little bit more on

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Speaker 1: the juice side of it. It makes sense because you're

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Speaker 1: giving yourself, as you said, more opportunities to get it.

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Speaker 1: Whenever you have a player that's going to work both,

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Speaker 1: you know, rushing the football and receiving, all it takes

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Speaker 1: is that one big play, right, you get the one

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Speaker 1: big play, you get this, And I think that's really

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Speaker 1: smart because if you're doing them individually, like the rushing

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Speaker 1: yards is thirty three and a half, so to just

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Speaker 1: kind of add in a little bit more for him,

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Speaker 1: it makes a lot of sense to me. So I

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Speaker 1: like this a lot. Let's go back to you, ericson,

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Speaker 1: give me another one that you've got for Week four,

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Speaker 1: what do you have.

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Speaker 4: Heading over to the pond?

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Speaker 3: Bijon Robinson over twenty five and a half receiving yards.

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Speaker 3: So the receiving props are just are too low because

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Speaker 3: Bijon Robinson plays running back, but he is the number

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Speaker 3: one receiver on his offense, like he said, at least

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Speaker 3: twenty seven receiving yards in all three games. He leads

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Speaker 3: all running backs and target share and is the number

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Speaker 3: one target on the Falcons. When's the last time he

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Speaker 3: saw a number one receiver on a team have a

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Speaker 3: receiving prop this low at twenty five and a half

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Speaker 3: receiving yards.

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Speaker 4: But that's the case with b John Robinson.

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Speaker 3: He's the number one guy that Arthur Smith is dialing

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Speaker 3: up pass attempts for Desmond Ritter to get easy completions.

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Speaker 4: And we know how Bijon is after the catch.

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Speaker 3: He's breaking at least one or two tackles every time

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Speaker 3: he touches the ball. So when you look at the

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Speaker 3: Jaguars defense, they've allowed the most yards after the catch,

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Speaker 3: sixth and miss tackles, you're gonna see Bijon evading.

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Speaker 4: Tackles left and right. The people in London won't know

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Speaker 4: what Hitden dark.

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Speaker 3: Who is this guy? I like this guy and I'm

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Speaker 3: gonna like his over here. Twenty five and a half

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Speaker 3: receiving yards.

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Speaker 1: He hasn't finished below twenty seven all year. He had

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Speaker 1: twenty seven in that first game. Twenty seven.

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Speaker 4: WoT low.

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Speaker 1: It's stulo forty eight and a half, you know, a

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Speaker 1: forty eight yards, I should say in week two. It's

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Speaker 1: kind of like when you looked at last week, you know,

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Speaker 1: we talked about the locks of the week. In my

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Speaker 1: big lock of the week last week was the Patrick

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Speaker 1: Mahomes number of the seventeen and a half rushing yards.

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Speaker 1: Like that's just sometimes you see numbers that are just

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Speaker 1: way too low. This vi Jonne Robinson one is absolutely

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Speaker 1: way too low. I can't wait. I love morning football.

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Speaker 1: I wish I could watch it, but I'm doing television

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Speaker 1: at the time, so I get to kind of see

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Speaker 1: like the second half, kind of sort of like the

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Speaker 1: last quarter of the game basically. But I will say this,

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Speaker 1: I think it's cool that it's a global product. I

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Speaker 1: enjoy it. I know people in the West Coast don't

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Speaker 1: care for it because it happens way too early and

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Speaker 1: then they have to get up super early. So you

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Speaker 1: know what, it's my East Coast bias coming into play again.

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Speaker 1: There you go. I just don't care. I like the

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Speaker 1: Morning Football Dane. You got another pick for us before

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Speaker 1: we get to that. Just a reminder, everybody, make your

261
00:10:35,040 --> 00:10:37,160
Speaker 1: picks on the Betting Pros app and join our NFL

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00:10:37,240 --> 00:10:41,200
Speaker 1: contest Bettingpros dot Com slash NFL Contest or if you

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00:10:41,240 --> 00:10:43,480
Speaker 1: have the Apparetti and I know you do, just go

264
00:10:43,480 --> 00:10:46,040
Speaker 1: to the community tab click the NFL Contest Join, make

265
00:10:46,080 --> 00:10:48,400
Speaker 1: five picks a week and you go in free stuff,

266
00:10:48,840 --> 00:10:51,280
Speaker 1: the big grand prize, the Jackson Smith and jig but

267
00:10:51,280 --> 00:10:54,439
Speaker 1: autographed jersey we're giving away. We're also doing weekly prizes,

268
00:10:54,520 --> 00:10:57,559
Speaker 1: monthly prizes. We're giving away Betting Pros and Fantasy Pro

269
00:10:57,720 --> 00:11:00,640
Speaker 1: swag to our shop. We're also giving away pre upgrades

270
00:11:00,679 --> 00:11:02,560
Speaker 1: the Fantasy Pros and Betting Pros. And by the way,

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00:11:02,600 --> 00:11:04,680
Speaker 1: if you haven't already, download the Betting Pros app this

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00:11:04,760 --> 00:11:07,240
Speaker 1: week because you get three free days of premium when

273
00:11:07,280 --> 00:11:10,079
Speaker 1: you do on io, So go do that right now.

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00:11:10,120 --> 00:11:12,520
Speaker 1: Sink all your sports book, check out the tools, and

275
00:11:12,600 --> 00:11:14,280
Speaker 1: win some stuff. Five picks a week. That's all you

276
00:11:14,280 --> 00:11:15,280
Speaker 1: got to do. You don't have to bet them.

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Speaker 2: Just make the picks.

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Speaker 1: We just want you to be part of the community

279
00:11:18,120 --> 00:11:20,160
Speaker 1: and come and join us over here on betting Pros.

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Speaker 1: Dan Martinez, you gave us two good ones. Give us

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Speaker 1: another one that you got for week four.

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Speaker 2: Yeah. First of all, I need a Jackson Smith and

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Speaker 2: Jigba jersey that thirteen month all that we were talking about.

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Speaker 2: His name NFL Jackson j XO N So I gotta get.

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Speaker 1: A good download the app, Download the app and join

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Speaker 1: the NFL contest. And you know, one hundred picks on

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00:11:42,240 --> 00:11:43,839
Speaker 1: the year. You have to do one hundred picks in

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Speaker 1: the NFL season. That's nothing for you. That's like two

289
00:11:45,600 --> 00:11:48,360
Speaker 1: weeks for you, and then five picks a week. That's it.

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Speaker 1: That's all you gotta do to be eligible. Very easy.

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Speaker 2: Okay. I'm definitely gonna do that as soon as we're

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Speaker 2: done here because I need this jersey. But on pick three, right,

293
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Speaker 2: so ding dong, the King is not dead in my opinion,

294
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Speaker 2: I don't know. You tell me, guy, when have you

295
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Speaker 2: ever seen a Derrick Henry rushing prop at this level?

296
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Speaker 2: It is sixty six and a half. Okay, Now, I

297
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Speaker 2: understand that it has not looked amazing the last couple

298
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Speaker 2: of weeks, but I think that's a function of the

299
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Speaker 2: defenses they've been playing. I don't think people understand. I

300
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Speaker 2: believe this Cleveland Browns defense is one of the better

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Speaker 2: units in the NFL. They're second against the run, and

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Speaker 2: that's part of why I think Derek Henry didn't look

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Speaker 2: great last week. Remember also, they've got a game in

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Speaker 2: there against the New Orleans Saints. They too are top

305
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Speaker 2: ten against the run and one of the better defenses.

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Speaker 2: I think it is a lot different this week the

307
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Speaker 2: Cincinnati Bengals come to town. They are thirtieth against the run,

308
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Speaker 2: twenty eighth defensively, DVOA and I believe I'm gonna buy

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00:12:43,000 --> 00:12:45,600
Speaker 2: the dip in this one. To me, King Henry is

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Speaker 2: still a piece of the puzzle. He is still able

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Speaker 2: to go for big numbers. I mean, he went for

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Speaker 2: under this number I think only like three times in

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Speaker 2: all of last year, and the fact that it's happened

314
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Speaker 2: twice already this year I think has kind of juked

315
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Speaker 2: the stats a little bit. He is playing a far

316
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Speaker 2: worse run defense. I don't know if we get kind

317
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Speaker 2: of the one hundred and eighty yards like we get

318
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Speaker 2: if he's playing the Houston Texans, but I do think

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Speaker 2: he goes over sixty six and a half.

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Speaker 3: Joe.

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Speaker 1: The toe issue, I think was the big issue that

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Speaker 1: people didn't discuss enough of why last week was last

323
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Speaker 1: week too, So not only was it the matchup a

324
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Speaker 1: little bit, but it's also that he wasn't one hundred

325
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Speaker 1: percent now if it is a turf toe, which again

326
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Speaker 1: they haven't quite said, and yesterday there was an undisclosed

327
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Speaker 1: thing with him, so I'm not sure what's going on

328
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Speaker 1: with the health of him. But if you get a

329
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Speaker 1: good practice report here on Friday, where hey, Henry was

330
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Speaker 1: a full practice everything's ago, then I agree with you

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Speaker 1: sixty six and a half would be a smash if

332
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Speaker 1: you get some not so great news. This is why

333
00:13:39,320 --> 00:13:40,880
Speaker 1: you go and you have the betting bros happen you

334
00:13:40,880 --> 00:13:43,080
Speaker 1: know exactly, Hey, let me go hit that under before

335
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Speaker 1: everybody else catches up to it, because sixty six and

336
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Speaker 1: a half, at to Dane's point, even for a guy

337
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Speaker 1: that historically has been a slow starter some years, like

338
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Speaker 1: you look at the Dereck Henry game log and sometimes

339
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Speaker 1: September's kind of what's going on with Dereck Henry? Oh No,

340
00:13:54,679 --> 00:13:57,120
Speaker 1: And next thing. You know, he goes bananas for you know,

341
00:13:57,160 --> 00:14:00,120
Speaker 1: the next three months. But just keep an eye on

342
00:14:00,160 --> 00:14:02,040
Speaker 1: that toe, everybody, see what's going on there and if

343
00:14:02,040 --> 00:14:04,480
Speaker 1: the toe is good. I'm with Dane here on the

344
00:14:04,480 --> 00:14:06,400
Speaker 1: over two for Derek Henry. Let's go to another one

345
00:14:06,400 --> 00:14:08,920
Speaker 1: from you. I've kind of tried to will this one

346
00:14:08,920 --> 00:14:12,199
Speaker 1: into existence last week. It fell short, you know, probably

347
00:14:12,200 --> 00:14:14,600
Speaker 1: because of the seventy points on the other side. But

348
00:14:14,679 --> 00:14:17,360
Speaker 1: I mean, isn't it time already for Javonte Williams the

349
00:14:17,400 --> 00:14:18,960
Speaker 1: training wheelzie to come off? Ericsson?

350
00:14:19,040 --> 00:14:22,600
Speaker 3: Let's go, yeah, Javonte Williams over thirteen a half rushing attempts,

351
00:14:22,600 --> 00:14:24,720
Speaker 3: which you can actually get at plus money over a

352
00:14:24,800 --> 00:14:27,360
Speaker 3: DraftKings sportsbook, which is a reason why I just really

353
00:14:27,400 --> 00:14:27,800
Speaker 3: like to bet.

354
00:14:27,840 --> 00:14:29,080
Speaker 4: Look, he's averaged twelve.

355
00:14:28,880 --> 00:14:31,200
Speaker 3: Rushing attempts per game through the first three weeks, but

356
00:14:31,320 --> 00:14:34,040
Speaker 3: in all those contests, the Broncos have basically sputtered out

357
00:14:34,080 --> 00:14:36,080
Speaker 3: in the second half of games, like they haven't done

358
00:14:36,080 --> 00:14:38,440
Speaker 3: anything on offensive the second half where they've been really productive.

359
00:14:38,440 --> 00:14:40,520
Speaker 3: In the first half of some games, He's averaged seven

360
00:14:40,600 --> 00:14:44,040
Speaker 3: rushing attempts per game in the first half. So again

361
00:14:44,080 --> 00:14:46,600
Speaker 3: it's the Bears defense they ranked first, and Carrie's face

362
00:14:46,680 --> 00:14:48,160
Speaker 3: this year against opposing running.

363
00:14:47,880 --> 00:14:49,720
Speaker 4: Backs twenty nine per game.

364
00:14:50,040 --> 00:14:52,560
Speaker 3: So although some measure p Ryan is operating in that

365
00:14:52,640 --> 00:14:55,960
Speaker 3: receiving role, Javonte Williams is still dominating the rush share

366
00:14:56,040 --> 00:14:58,960
Speaker 3: in this backfield again another week removed, coming back from

367
00:14:59,000 --> 00:15:01,440
Speaker 3: his injury from last year. I think that we're gonna

368
00:15:01,440 --> 00:15:04,400
Speaker 3: finally get Givonta Williams off the training feels like you said, Joe,

369
00:15:04,520 --> 00:15:06,480
Speaker 3: he's gonna go over thirteen half rushing contempts. And if I

370
00:15:06,480 --> 00:15:08,320
Speaker 3: can get this at plus money, it makes the bet

371
00:15:08,320 --> 00:15:10,320
Speaker 3: even sweeter for me. So over thirteen half for me

372
00:15:10,400 --> 00:15:12,120
Speaker 3: for Javonte Dan.

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Speaker 1: I gotta ask you this question because this is kind

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Speaker 1: of like the hot button topic I think of the

375
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Speaker 1: week is. You know, we have the Chicago Bears lined

376
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Speaker 1: up here for the Denver Broncos. Denver Broncos got embarrassed.

377
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Speaker 1: They are zero to three. They're going to Chicago, who

378
00:15:23,240 --> 00:15:25,720
Speaker 1: might be the only team more dysfunctional than them. Right now?

379
00:15:26,440 --> 00:15:29,840
Speaker 1: Do you see the Denver Broncos responding here to the

380
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Speaker 1: absolute butt kicking that they got last week for the

381
00:15:32,080 --> 00:15:34,160
Speaker 1: Miami Dolphins, Because let's be honest, that's what it was.

382
00:15:34,680 --> 00:15:36,640
Speaker 1: And do they beat up on the Chicago Bears here

383
00:15:36,680 --> 00:15:40,080
Speaker 1: a team that is kind of just falling apart around itself.

384
00:15:42,160 --> 00:15:47,480
Speaker 2: Do they bounce back? Sure? Do they beat up on anyone? No? Okay,

385
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Speaker 2: So I think that's the difference. I'm gonna split the

386
00:15:49,560 --> 00:15:51,880
Speaker 2: middle there, right. I do think you're right. They're all

387
00:15:51,880 --> 00:15:54,800
Speaker 2: pissed off. They they got a seventy hung on them.

388
00:15:55,000 --> 00:15:57,240
Speaker 2: I do think it will look better, but I do

389
00:15:57,360 --> 00:15:59,720
Speaker 2: not think that this Denver Broncos offense is really a

390
00:15:59,800 --> 00:16:02,880
Speaker 2: quip to kind of stomp anybody. So I think this

391
00:16:02,960 --> 00:16:05,160
Speaker 2: is gonna be kind of an ugly game. But I

392
00:16:05,200 --> 00:16:08,200
Speaker 2: agree with you that Bears kind of situation. I'll say

393
00:16:08,320 --> 00:16:10,000
Speaker 2: it's more than the offense. It's more than the defense.

394
00:16:10,040 --> 00:16:12,520
Speaker 2: It's that entire building. We can leave that topic for

395
00:16:12,560 --> 00:16:15,160
Speaker 2: another day. But I think that the Bears are in trouble.

396
00:16:15,200 --> 00:16:17,280
Speaker 2: I like Denver to win the game, but I don't

397
00:16:17,280 --> 00:16:19,560
Speaker 2: think all of a sudden, you know, they're covering a

398
00:16:19,560 --> 00:16:22,800
Speaker 2: double digit number or anything like that, So win, sure,

399
00:16:23,080 --> 00:16:25,000
Speaker 2: but blow anybody out. No.

400
00:16:25,680 --> 00:16:28,720
Speaker 1: Yeah, it feels very system of a down. Lots of toxicity.

401
00:16:29,960 --> 00:16:32,640
Speaker 1: You know, how do you own disorder? I don't know,

402
00:16:32,680 --> 00:16:35,200
Speaker 1: asked the Chicago Bears. All, let's get to another one

403
00:16:35,240 --> 00:16:38,360
Speaker 1: of Dan's picks four Week four. You already gave us

404
00:16:38,440 --> 00:16:42,000
Speaker 1: mos dirt, Warren and Henry. Let's go to another one here.

405
00:16:42,440 --> 00:16:44,240
Speaker 1: Maybe a quarterback prop you got for us?

406
00:16:44,720 --> 00:16:46,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, you were talking about Denver and the Bears as

407
00:16:46,680 --> 00:16:49,520
Speaker 2: the most dysfunctional teams in the NFL. I'll give you

408
00:16:49,600 --> 00:16:52,960
Speaker 2: the worst quarterback potentially in the NFL, and it's Zach Wilson.

409
00:16:52,960 --> 00:16:54,440
Speaker 2: I don't know if you could see, but I've got

410
00:16:54,440 --> 00:16:58,080
Speaker 2: a Jets voodoo doll behind me. Technically, I am a

411
00:16:58,240 --> 00:17:00,880
Speaker 2: Jets fan. My grandparents had Season two Biggets back in

412
00:17:01,000 --> 00:17:03,760
Speaker 2: Chase Stadium, So this one hurts, okay, And the number

413
00:17:03,840 --> 00:17:07,280
Speaker 2: is incredibly low, but I'm going under it. I'm going

414
00:17:07,440 --> 00:17:11,160
Speaker 2: under one hundred and seventy six and a half pass

415
00:17:11,200 --> 00:17:15,760
Speaker 2: of yards for Zach Wilson. Joe's laughing, Andrew's laughing. When

416
00:17:15,800 --> 00:17:17,680
Speaker 2: I saw this, I was like, I can't believe I'm

417
00:17:17,720 --> 00:17:21,000
Speaker 2: actually good at stomach saying this out loud on air,

418
00:17:21,320 --> 00:17:23,879
Speaker 2: but I'm doing it. I went back and he hasn't

419
00:17:23,920 --> 00:17:27,600
Speaker 2: gone over this number in any game so far this year.

420
00:17:27,840 --> 00:17:30,600
Speaker 2: I went back to twenty twenty two. He went over

421
00:17:30,680 --> 00:17:36,120
Speaker 2: one hundred and fifty five passing yards four times last season.

422
00:17:36,359 --> 00:17:39,320
Speaker 2: So he has done this four times of his last

423
00:17:39,560 --> 00:17:42,720
Speaker 2: twelve games, and I don't necessarily expect it. Now. You

424
00:17:42,800 --> 00:17:45,080
Speaker 2: may say the Chiefs are gonna be up by three

425
00:17:45,160 --> 00:17:48,600
Speaker 2: touchdowns at halftime, What about garbage time? What about game script?

426
00:17:48,720 --> 00:17:51,280
Speaker 2: I see it a slightly different way. I think that

427
00:17:51,480 --> 00:17:53,760
Speaker 2: when up big, the Kansas City Chiefs will be able

428
00:17:53,800 --> 00:17:57,920
Speaker 2: to proverbally pin their ears back and go after Zack Wilson.

429
00:17:58,040 --> 00:18:01,000
Speaker 2: And if anybody has seen Zach Wilson and under pressure,

430
00:18:01,400 --> 00:18:03,640
Speaker 2: you know it's a problem. Okay. You know he will

431
00:18:03,720 --> 00:18:06,480
Speaker 2: run around. You know he will not actually kind of

432
00:18:06,480 --> 00:18:09,040
Speaker 2: deliver the ball where he needs. So I think game

433
00:18:09,080 --> 00:18:12,199
Speaker 2: script does not necessarily help for garbage time. And then

434
00:18:12,200 --> 00:18:14,800
Speaker 2: you guys just mentioned the Bears, right, The Chiefs blew

435
00:18:14,840 --> 00:18:17,199
Speaker 2: out the Bears a couple of weeks ago, so the

436
00:18:17,200 --> 00:18:20,520
Speaker 2: game script could have been there justin Field's ninety nine

437
00:18:20,680 --> 00:18:24,320
Speaker 2: yards passing in that game. Okay, So the Chiefs are

438
00:18:24,359 --> 00:18:27,439
Speaker 2: actually sixth in the NFL against the pass, giving up

439
00:18:27,480 --> 00:18:29,520
Speaker 2: around this number. I think it's one hundred and seventy

440
00:18:29,520 --> 00:18:32,720
Speaker 2: six yards a game, and that included games against Detroit

441
00:18:32,920 --> 00:18:37,240
Speaker 2: against Jacksonville, which I think are far better passing offenses

442
00:18:37,560 --> 00:18:40,560
Speaker 2: than this Jets game. It's than this Jets team. I

443
00:18:40,600 --> 00:18:43,000
Speaker 2: think it is ugly. It makes me think Joe. To

444
00:18:43,040 --> 00:18:45,000
Speaker 2: be honest, you know a lot of people think why

445
00:18:45,000 --> 00:18:46,879
Speaker 2: they draft Zach Wilson number two, Maybe they could have

446
00:18:46,880 --> 00:18:49,640
Speaker 2: had justin fields. No, what I was saying years ago

447
00:18:50,000 --> 00:18:53,440
Speaker 2: was give Sam Darnold a chance and use that pick

448
00:18:53,600 --> 00:18:55,600
Speaker 2: to actually build out the rest of your roster, and

449
00:18:55,640 --> 00:18:58,159
Speaker 2: I wonder if they'd be in a better place. I

450
00:18:58,160 --> 00:19:01,399
Speaker 2: can't believe I'm saying this with Sami than any of

451
00:19:01,480 --> 00:19:04,080
Speaker 2: these guys, but we'll leave that for another time. I

452
00:19:04,119 --> 00:19:07,359
Speaker 2: actually do not think Zach Wilson gets to one hundred

453
00:19:07,359 --> 00:19:10,560
Speaker 2: and seventy seven yards, even in a game where they'll

454
00:19:10,600 --> 00:19:12,920
Speaker 2: probably be down by three scores in the second half

455
00:19:12,920 --> 00:19:15,200
Speaker 2: and have plenty of garbage time. I'm taking the under

456
00:19:15,200 --> 00:19:15,760
Speaker 2: on Wilson.

457
00:19:16,359 --> 00:19:18,280
Speaker 1: I hope this was good for you because I know,

458
00:19:18,320 --> 00:19:20,160
Speaker 1: as a Jet fan you kind of needed that therapist.

459
00:19:21,119 --> 00:19:23,160
Speaker 1: It feels like it feels like, you know, you kind

460
00:19:23,160 --> 00:19:24,959
Speaker 1: of empty the tank a little bit. It feels like

461
00:19:25,080 --> 00:19:26,840
Speaker 1: now you can take a nice deep breath and enjoy

462
00:19:26,840 --> 00:19:29,000
Speaker 1: the rest of your afternoon. I can't say you're gonna

463
00:19:29,040 --> 00:19:31,880
Speaker 1: enjoy your Sunday night. You mentioned pinning their ears back.

464
00:19:32,320 --> 00:19:34,280
Speaker 1: I also love this one in the under because you're

465
00:19:34,280 --> 00:19:37,639
Speaker 1: talking about maybe pitting their shoulders down and making Robert

466
00:19:37,760 --> 00:19:41,639
Speaker 1: Sala one two three and tap out. Because if it

467
00:19:41,720 --> 00:19:44,600
Speaker 1: was maybe we don't say. Maybe Zach Wilson doesn't even

468
00:19:44,720 --> 00:19:47,119
Speaker 1: see the fourth quarter in this game. And if that's

469
00:19:47,160 --> 00:19:49,560
Speaker 1: the case, then you gotta love this number. So this

470
00:19:49,680 --> 00:19:51,760
Speaker 1: might be the pick of the week. I'm gonna bet

471
00:19:51,800 --> 00:19:53,960
Speaker 1: this directly after the show, my friends. I can't wait

472
00:19:54,000 --> 00:19:55,359
Speaker 1: till the show be over just to do this. But

473
00:19:55,480 --> 00:19:57,439
Speaker 1: it ain't over yet, Erickson, give us another one for

474
00:19:57,440 --> 00:19:57,880
Speaker 1: a week four.

475
00:19:58,240 --> 00:20:00,520
Speaker 3: Yeah, the only reason I didn't put Zach Wilson is

476
00:20:00,520 --> 00:20:04,680
Speaker 3: because Dane Beaby to it and then Negotiat was running

477
00:20:04,720 --> 00:20:06,879
Speaker 3: it in so lock stem there. So I'm gonna go

478
00:20:06,880 --> 00:20:09,320
Speaker 3: with a different under here, going to the Bengals. Joe

479
00:20:09,400 --> 00:20:12,040
Speaker 3: Mixon under fifty two and a half rushing yards. Now,

480
00:20:12,080 --> 00:20:14,359
Speaker 3: Mixing has gone over this in his three straight games

481
00:20:14,440 --> 00:20:17,960
Speaker 3: fifty six, fifty nine, sixty five. So he's not crushing

482
00:20:18,000 --> 00:20:20,440
Speaker 3: these props like he's just barely getting over it because

483
00:20:20,440 --> 00:20:23,399
Speaker 3: he's faced some weaker defenses. The Titans are defense just

484
00:20:23,400 --> 00:20:26,480
Speaker 3: can't run on like they are just these different animal

485
00:20:26,720 --> 00:20:29,000
Speaker 3: when it comes to running the football. No running bick

486
00:20:29,040 --> 00:20:31,080
Speaker 3: they have faced this year has gone over forty five yards.

487
00:20:31,240 --> 00:20:33,800
Speaker 3: They haven't allowed a guy to get sixty rushing yards

488
00:20:33,920 --> 00:20:36,480
Speaker 3: since Week three of last year, so it's been almost

489
00:20:36,520 --> 00:20:39,359
Speaker 3: a full calendar year since they've getting up sixty rushing

490
00:20:39,400 --> 00:20:41,880
Speaker 3: yards to a running back. So for me, the Bengals

491
00:20:41,880 --> 00:20:44,240
Speaker 3: are in a situation where they know that they can

492
00:20:44,240 --> 00:20:46,080
Speaker 3: beat the Titans through the passing game, like that's what

493
00:20:46,119 --> 00:20:48,760
Speaker 3: they're gonna do. So Joe Mixon probably be involved in

494
00:20:48,760 --> 00:20:50,959
Speaker 3: the passing game. I like his receptions over but when

495
00:20:51,000 --> 00:20:53,080
Speaker 3: it comes to rushing, I think that the Bengals are

496
00:20:53,080 --> 00:20:55,040
Speaker 3: going to abandon it quickly and be like, we're going

497
00:20:55,080 --> 00:20:56,720
Speaker 3: to dial up passing attempts because this is how we're

498
00:20:56,720 --> 00:20:58,200
Speaker 3: going to beat this Titans defense.

499
00:20:58,200 --> 00:20:59,960
Speaker 4: I'm gona take the under on Joe Mixon.

500
00:21:00,359 --> 00:21:02,439
Speaker 1: All right, because I'm a liar, and I said that

501
00:21:02,640 --> 00:21:04,240
Speaker 1: I was gonna wait till after the show. I went

502
00:21:04,280 --> 00:21:06,399
Speaker 1: to go try to bet this already the Zach Willison

503
00:21:06,480 --> 00:21:08,560
Speaker 1: number just while we were talking. Now here's a fun

504
00:21:08,600 --> 00:21:10,639
Speaker 1: thing on fandol. They've got a little special running and

505
00:21:10,680 --> 00:21:13,159
Speaker 1: typically you know, you never go into these parlays, But

506
00:21:13,200 --> 00:21:16,560
Speaker 1: I just want to talk about this Chiefs alternate spread

507
00:21:16,600 --> 00:21:18,800
Speaker 1: minus six and a half Zach Wilson under one hundred

508
00:21:18,840 --> 00:21:22,240
Speaker 1: and seventy and a half passing yards mahomes two plus

509
00:21:22,280 --> 00:21:25,320
Speaker 1: passing touchdowns and anytime touchdown score for Travis Kelce. You

510
00:21:25,320 --> 00:21:27,159
Speaker 1: get four to twenty six on that plus four to

511
00:21:27,200 --> 00:21:31,080
Speaker 1: two six on that. Bad boy, gentlemen, I don't I

512
00:21:31,200 --> 00:21:33,159
Speaker 1: usually do this like this is not something I usually do.

513
00:21:34,119 --> 00:21:36,120
Speaker 1: I like this one. I'm going in on this one.

514
00:21:36,200 --> 00:21:38,280
Speaker 1: Let's go especially Taylor Swift's gonna be there again, so

515
00:21:38,320 --> 00:21:40,200
Speaker 1: you know Kelsey's gonna get another score for the girl.

516
00:21:40,240 --> 00:21:42,720
Speaker 1: I mean, come on, you gotta show up, Travis. You

517
00:21:42,800 --> 00:21:44,199
Speaker 1: can't do it that one time and then not do

518
00:21:44,200 --> 00:21:45,679
Speaker 1: it on the road. You gotta make sure you travel.

519
00:21:45,680 --> 00:21:48,040
Speaker 1: Can't just be good at home. All right, let's get

520
00:21:48,080 --> 00:21:50,840
Speaker 1: to another pick here, your final one. Now, I know

521
00:21:50,880 --> 00:21:52,520
Speaker 1: this one might have a caveat to it, at or at

522
00:21:52,520 --> 00:21:54,919
Speaker 1: least for me, because it involves Adam Thielen, and you know,

523
00:21:54,960 --> 00:21:57,400
Speaker 1: Bryce Young says he might play. Now again, we don't

524
00:21:57,400 --> 00:21:59,600
Speaker 1: have Defendip News. This is you know, early on Friday,

525
00:21:59,600 --> 00:22:02,000
Speaker 1: We're so for more of that. But this next one

526
00:22:02,040 --> 00:22:05,280
Speaker 1: involving Adam Thielen, is this regardless of whoever is playing

527
00:22:05,320 --> 00:22:08,880
Speaker 1: quarterback or is it dependent on Andy Dalton over Bryce Young.

528
00:22:09,400 --> 00:22:11,679
Speaker 2: Now that's a good question, Joe, And yes, the passing

529
00:22:11,720 --> 00:22:15,000
Speaker 2: game looked a lot better under Andy Dalton last week,

530
00:22:15,040 --> 00:22:17,679
Speaker 2: But for me, no, it is not because steeln was

531
00:22:17,720 --> 00:22:21,160
Speaker 2: building that rapport with Bryce Young anyway. So I got

532
00:22:21,200 --> 00:22:25,200
Speaker 2: a feeling that Week four a good week and I'm

533
00:22:25,200 --> 00:22:29,000
Speaker 2: going over four and a half receptions. Okay, First of all,

534
00:22:29,040 --> 00:22:31,680
Speaker 2: they're playing against the Minnesota Vikings. The Minnesota Vikings are

535
00:22:31,720 --> 00:22:34,639
Speaker 2: a bottom six or seven pass defense. They were one

536
00:22:34,640 --> 00:22:36,520
Speaker 2: of the worst ones last year as well. They're giving

537
00:22:36,600 --> 00:22:39,119
Speaker 2: up something like two hundred and sixty plus passing yards

538
00:22:39,240 --> 00:22:41,920
Speaker 2: a game, So I think the opportunity will be there.

539
00:22:42,160 --> 00:22:44,640
Speaker 2: And then Feeling has really kind of established himself as

540
00:22:44,640 --> 00:22:47,960
Speaker 2: the leading pass catcher on this Carolina Panthers team over

541
00:22:48,000 --> 00:22:50,040
Speaker 2: the last two weeks. You make the point about the

542
00:22:50,040 --> 00:22:52,119
Speaker 2: shift to Dalton, and I think that is a fair one.

543
00:22:52,200 --> 00:22:56,200
Speaker 2: But still twenty three targets joke in his last two weeks.

544
00:22:56,240 --> 00:22:59,120
Speaker 2: That's like target monster kind of numbers. I think it's

545
00:22:59,200 --> 00:23:03,240
Speaker 2: eighteen over the last two weeks, all right, two touchdowns,

546
00:23:03,240 --> 00:23:05,879
Speaker 2: so I think he's kind of established himself. The Panthers

547
00:23:06,000 --> 00:23:08,440
Speaker 2: are underdog, so I could get a little boost on

548
00:23:08,560 --> 00:23:11,199
Speaker 2: game script there them throwing a little bit. And I

549
00:23:11,200 --> 00:23:13,159
Speaker 2: don't know how much stock you put into this, but

550
00:23:13,240 --> 00:23:18,560
Speaker 2: this is Adam Thielen in Minnesota and Minnesota game Benge

551
00:23:18,640 --> 00:23:21,679
Speaker 2: game as well. You put it all together, and I

552
00:23:21,720 --> 00:23:24,280
Speaker 2: think that Adam Feeling can in fact catch five balls

553
00:23:24,320 --> 00:23:26,840
Speaker 2: regardless of it's young or if it's dulled.

554
00:23:27,320 --> 00:23:30,040
Speaker 1: There you go Adam Thielen. Look, who knew everyone thought

555
00:23:30,080 --> 00:23:32,520
Speaker 1: he was done? Turns out not so much. I mean,

556
00:23:32,520 --> 00:23:34,160
Speaker 1: in all fairness too, if you look at that wide

557
00:23:34,160 --> 00:23:38,360
Speaker 1: receiver corp, he's by far the most experienced and proven

558
00:23:38,560 --> 00:23:40,640
Speaker 1: entity there. So in four and a half is still

559
00:23:40,680 --> 00:23:42,560
Speaker 1: a pretty decent number there where you can go to

560
00:23:42,600 --> 00:23:44,399
Speaker 1: the over and I think either way you're in good shape.

561
00:23:44,440 --> 00:23:46,080
Speaker 1: I kind of wonder if the Jews gets a little

562
00:23:46,080 --> 00:23:47,119
Speaker 1: better if they keep it at the four and a

563
00:23:47,200 --> 00:23:50,480
Speaker 1: half and Bryce Young comes back, and I think it's

564
00:23:50,720 --> 00:23:53,680
Speaker 1: just as appealing. Then if indeed there's any adjustment on it,

565
00:23:53,720 --> 00:23:56,639
Speaker 1: all right, before he gets to anytime touchdown scores. I know, ericson,

566
00:23:57,160 --> 00:23:59,000
Speaker 1: you've got another one for us, So what do you

567
00:23:59,080 --> 00:24:02,280
Speaker 1: have for four before we get to the big TD calls.

568
00:24:03,200 --> 00:24:05,560
Speaker 3: I don't think. I'm not expecting really anything for zach Ertz.

569
00:24:05,640 --> 00:24:07,800
Speaker 3: So under twenty five and a half receiving yards, so

570
00:24:07,840 --> 00:24:10,320
Speaker 3: I'm taking the under on some dusty tight end. You know,

571
00:24:10,480 --> 00:24:12,000
Speaker 3: through the first two weeks of the year, he had

572
00:24:12,000 --> 00:24:14,520
Speaker 3: a lot of targets like seeing monster target number, and

573
00:24:14,600 --> 00:24:17,320
Speaker 3: yet he still was barely getting over twenty five and

574
00:24:17,359 --> 00:24:19,159
Speaker 3: a half receiving yards. He only done it once so

575
00:24:19,240 --> 00:24:22,119
Speaker 3: far this year, and he's seen his snaps and routes

576
00:24:22,359 --> 00:24:25,800
Speaker 3: decrease in every single week so far. So last week

577
00:24:25,960 --> 00:24:28,639
Speaker 3: it was fifty two percent of snaps, sixty four of

578
00:24:28,680 --> 00:24:31,040
Speaker 3: the dropbacks he was running a route on basically turned

579
00:24:31,080 --> 00:24:33,359
Speaker 3: back into a pumpkin. Two catches for six yards on

580
00:24:33,359 --> 00:24:36,200
Speaker 3: two targets for It's the Cowboys, so the usage is

581
00:24:36,240 --> 00:24:38,280
Speaker 3: going down, and we look at the forty nine ers

582
00:24:38,400 --> 00:24:42,000
Speaker 3: like this team suffocates opposing tight ends. They have held

583
00:24:42,040 --> 00:24:45,880
Speaker 3: Pat Friarmouth, Tyler Higbee, and Daryan Waller to a combined

584
00:24:45,880 --> 00:24:48,560
Speaker 3: over the past three weeks. Seven catches for thirty five

585
00:24:48,640 --> 00:24:51,760
Speaker 3: yards in three games starting tight ends. That are all

586
00:24:52,040 --> 00:24:55,280
Speaker 3: vastly superior to zach Ertz at his age. So for

587
00:24:55,320 --> 00:24:57,560
Speaker 3: me it was a nice story, gave him getting targets.

588
00:24:57,560 --> 00:24:59,920
Speaker 3: But we're seeing his usage dip. I don't think I'm

589
00:24:59,920 --> 00:25:02,199
Speaker 3: not expecting really anything for zach Ertz. So under on

590
00:25:02,240 --> 00:25:03,600
Speaker 3: the dusty old tight end.

591
00:25:04,280 --> 00:25:06,400
Speaker 1: Okay, there you go, the under on the dust catch

592
00:25:06,400 --> 00:25:07,760
Speaker 1: the ball and fall down, zach Ertz.

593
00:25:07,760 --> 00:25:09,000
Speaker 4: There you go, zachly Rt so.

594
00:25:09,320 --> 00:25:11,520
Speaker 1: Under on zach Er twenty five and a half under

595
00:25:11,560 --> 00:25:14,040
Speaker 1: on Mixing fifty two and a half for Ericson over

596
00:25:14,200 --> 00:25:17,520
Speaker 1: thirteen and a half rushing attempts for Javanti Williams over

597
00:25:17,680 --> 00:25:19,800
Speaker 1: twenty five and a half. Receiving yards for Jon Robinson

598
00:25:19,880 --> 00:25:21,919
Speaker 1: also fifty five and a half rushing yards over for

599
00:25:22,000 --> 00:25:25,000
Speaker 1: James Cook Dane has most are under fifty four and

600
00:25:25,040 --> 00:25:27,840
Speaker 1: a half. He's being different out there, folks. Jalen Worn

601
00:25:27,960 --> 00:25:30,919
Speaker 1: over fifty five and a half scrimmage yards, Derek Henry

602
00:25:30,960 --> 00:25:34,080
Speaker 1: sixty six and a half rushing yards going over that number.

603
00:25:34,160 --> 00:25:36,680
Speaker 1: Zach Wilson love it under one seventy six and a half.

604
00:25:36,720 --> 00:25:39,159
Speaker 1: I know some places already dropped that, So again, use

605
00:25:39,200 --> 00:25:41,000
Speaker 1: the betting pros app to get the best number you can.

606
00:25:41,040 --> 00:25:44,440
Speaker 1: Adam Thielen over four and a half receptions versus Minnesota

607
00:25:44,560 --> 00:25:47,200
Speaker 1: as well. Let's call some touchdowns on the way out.

608
00:25:47,560 --> 00:25:49,760
Speaker 1: Give us a lock for a touchdown this week, Dane

609
00:25:49,760 --> 00:25:52,040
Speaker 1: Martinez anytime TD call it now.

610
00:25:52,720 --> 00:25:55,439
Speaker 2: Yeah, Karen Williams gets in city end zone for the Rams.

611
00:25:55,440 --> 00:25:58,000
Speaker 2: In my opinion, Listen, he had four touchdowns in his

612
00:25:58,040 --> 00:26:01,200
Speaker 2: first two games. Obviously, can Makers is gone. He was

613
00:26:01,280 --> 00:26:04,480
Speaker 2: kind of in mcveigh's doghouse anyway. I can't believe we're

614
00:26:04,480 --> 00:26:06,679
Speaker 2: saying this, Joe. You know, if we were talking in August,

615
00:26:06,720 --> 00:26:08,560
Speaker 2: we would think that Kien Williams would be one of

616
00:26:08,600 --> 00:26:11,960
Speaker 2: the best house or workhorses of the National Football League.

617
00:26:12,000 --> 00:26:14,600
Speaker 2: He's on there all three downs, and you know he

618
00:26:14,640 --> 00:26:16,639
Speaker 2: didn't score last week, so I think you get a

619
00:26:16,640 --> 00:26:18,320
Speaker 2: little bit of a discount. I saw the number at

620
00:26:18,320 --> 00:26:21,240
Speaker 2: minus one ten, minus one oh five, minus one fifteen

621
00:26:21,680 --> 00:26:24,520
Speaker 2: in that area going up against the Colts. Colts are

622
00:26:24,640 --> 00:26:27,480
Speaker 2: I believe, twentieth in the NFL. They're giving up over

623
00:26:27,600 --> 00:26:30,640
Speaker 2: twenty points a game. I think the Rams will get

624
00:26:30,680 --> 00:26:33,480
Speaker 2: three touchdowns in this one and Karen Williams will get

625
00:26:33,520 --> 00:26:35,360
Speaker 2: one of them. The fact remains here. He's just on

626
00:26:35,400 --> 00:26:38,600
Speaker 2: the field more than I would have ever expected, and

627
00:26:38,680 --> 00:26:41,640
Speaker 2: maybe Pokinda cool can continue. But I believe the Rams

628
00:26:41,680 --> 00:26:43,920
Speaker 2: will get three touchdowns and I believe Tyron gets one

629
00:26:43,960 --> 00:26:47,320
Speaker 2: of them. And at minus one ten or thereabouts, it's

630
00:26:47,359 --> 00:26:49,000
Speaker 2: not too juicy for me to drink. So give me

631
00:26:49,080 --> 00:26:51,160
Speaker 2: Karen Williams to get to pay dirt this week against

632
00:26:51,200 --> 00:26:51,600
Speaker 2: the Colts.

633
00:26:51,800 --> 00:26:55,280
Speaker 1: I mean, you've got Zach Moss and Karen Williams ranked

634
00:26:55,280 --> 00:26:57,200
Speaker 1: his top ten running backs. Of course, we all had

635
00:26:57,200 --> 00:26:59,560
Speaker 1: that this week in our Bengo cord. So you go

636
00:26:59,600 --> 00:27:01,560
Speaker 1: look at Elsie Pros. That's where they are in the rankings,

637
00:27:01,600 --> 00:27:05,800
Speaker 1: Zach Moss, Karen Williams. All right, Ericson, give us a look.

638
00:27:05,800 --> 00:27:08,840
Speaker 1: You now this one last week? No pressure, Erickson, because

639
00:27:08,840 --> 00:27:11,440
Speaker 1: the parum one last week was so good. Not only

640
00:27:11,480 --> 00:27:14,720
Speaker 1: anytime touchdown, but the first touchdown scorer are thirty to one.

641
00:27:15,200 --> 00:27:17,880
Speaker 1: So Ericson, now you gotta follow up. What's the sequel

642
00:27:18,040 --> 00:27:18,600
Speaker 1: for week four?

643
00:27:18,920 --> 00:27:20,679
Speaker 3: Well, I'm just going back to tight ends. It seems

644
00:27:20,680 --> 00:27:22,879
Speaker 3: like that's the that's my niche here, and I'm looking

645
00:27:22,920 --> 00:27:24,200
Speaker 3: at the Bills Dolphins game.

646
00:27:24,600 --> 00:27:25,280
Speaker 4: Dawson Knox.

647
00:27:25,520 --> 00:27:27,640
Speaker 3: He leads the Bills in red zone targets throughout this year.

648
00:27:28,040 --> 00:27:29,920
Speaker 3: He had two red zone targets last week. Didn't catch

649
00:27:30,000 --> 00:27:32,240
Speaker 3: either of them, but he's played the most snaps or

650
00:27:32,280 --> 00:27:35,000
Speaker 3: excuse me, third most snaps among tight ends inside the

651
00:27:35,040 --> 00:27:38,320
Speaker 3: ten yard line. Last two games against Miami. He scored

652
00:27:38,359 --> 00:27:40,600
Speaker 3: in both of them, and Miami's allowed touchdown to a

653
00:27:40,600 --> 00:27:42,359
Speaker 3: tight end their first two games when they payed the

654
00:27:42,359 --> 00:27:45,520
Speaker 3: Patriots when they played the Chargers, who was Donald parm

655
00:27:45,560 --> 00:27:47,879
Speaker 3: shout out to my guy. So I'm just gonna kind

656
00:27:47,880 --> 00:27:50,159
Speaker 3: of ride this tight end streak with these touchdowns if

657
00:27:50,160 --> 00:27:52,159
Speaker 3: they get in the red zone. Josh Allen looks for

658
00:27:52,240 --> 00:27:54,240
Speaker 3: Dawson Knock a lot, you know, just watching these Bills

659
00:27:54,280 --> 00:27:56,359
Speaker 3: out the last couple of weeks. That's who he's looking for.

660
00:27:56,640 --> 00:27:57,880
Speaker 3: So I know I'm gonna look up and it's gonna

661
00:27:57,880 --> 00:27:59,840
Speaker 3: be dal kin k because I have very similar numbers.

662
00:27:59,680 --> 00:28:01,879
Speaker 4: And be like, oh, that's the wrong tight end. But

663
00:28:01,960 --> 00:28:04,720
Speaker 4: bet bo I like the Titans in this matchup, bet

664
00:28:04,800 --> 00:28:05,160
Speaker 4: them both.

665
00:28:05,160 --> 00:28:06,919
Speaker 1: There you have it, everybody, what are you in on

666
00:28:07,119 --> 00:28:09,760
Speaker 1: this week for Week four? Drop your favorite props below

667
00:28:10,359 --> 00:28:12,680
Speaker 1: and let us know because we like to see them

668
00:28:12,720 --> 00:28:15,040
Speaker 1: as well. Also, don't forget to subscribe to the Betting

669
00:28:15,040 --> 00:28:17,840
Speaker 1: Pros YouTube channel and when you drop the comment below

670
00:28:17,840 --> 00:28:20,159
Speaker 1: and subscribe, you might win a James Cook autograph Jersey

671
00:28:20,359 --> 00:28:23,720
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673
00:28:27,240 --> 00:28:29,720
Speaker 1: dot com slash Joe slash Ericsson. That's how you stay

674
00:28:29,720 --> 00:28:32,040
Speaker 1: on top of all the latest and track all your bets,

675
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676
00:28:34,960 --> 00:28:37,760
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677
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Speaker 1: downloaded yet. On iOS especially, you can get the three

678
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Speaker 1: free premium days and kind of get a sense of

679
00:28:42,680 --> 00:28:45,000
Speaker 1: how great the tools are. Dave Martinez, we already have

680
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Speaker 1: a sense of how great you are. Follow him at

681
00:28:46,640 --> 00:28:49,240
Speaker 1: Spitting Speeds on the Twitter Machine or x wherever the

682
00:28:49,280 --> 00:28:51,760
Speaker 1: heck it is today. Thanks for joining us. Have a

683
00:28:51,800 --> 00:28:54,560
Speaker 1: great week for everybody. Go make some cash. We'll see

684
00:28:54,560 --> 00:28:56,520
Speaker 1: you again on Monday and also we'll be around for

685
00:28:56,520 --> 00:28:58,480
Speaker 1: the live streams as well this weekend. That'll do it

686
00:28:58,520 --> 00:29:00,160
Speaker 1: for us. But the story of the game goes on.

687
00:29:00,200 --> 00:29:02,960
Speaker 1: For Andrew Erickson, I'm Joey P. We'll see you next

688
00:29:02,960 --> 00:29:06,720
Speaker 1: time kids. Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast.

689
00:29:06,960 --> 00:29:09,600
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690
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