1 00:00:00,800 --> 00:00:03,760 Speaker 1: Hey, guys, ready or not, twenty twenty four is here, 2 00:00:03,920 --> 00:00:06,400 Speaker 1: and we here at Breaking Points, are already thinking of 3 00:00:06,440 --> 00:00:08,639 Speaker 1: ways we can up our game for this critical election. 4 00:00:08,840 --> 00:00:11,760 Speaker 1: We rely on our premium subs to expand coverage, upgrade 5 00:00:11,800 --> 00:00:15,160 Speaker 1: the studio ad staff give you, guys, the best independent 6 00:00:15,200 --> 00:00:17,400 Speaker 1: coverage that is possible. If you like what we're all about, 7 00:00:17,440 --> 00:00:19,520 Speaker 1: it means the absolute world to have your support. What 8 00:00:19,560 --> 00:00:22,000 Speaker 1: are you waiting for? Become a premium subscriber today at 9 00:00:22,000 --> 00:00:41,440 Speaker 1: Breakingpoints dot Com. Good morning, everybody, Happy Monday. We have 10 00:00:41,479 --> 00:00:43,800 Speaker 1: an amazing show for everybody today. What do we have, Krystal? Indeed, 11 00:00:43,840 --> 00:00:46,600 Speaker 1: we do lots of interesting things that are happening this morning. 12 00:00:46,760 --> 00:00:50,960 Speaker 1: First and foremost the daily Biden document update. They found 13 00:00:51,000 --> 00:00:53,800 Speaker 1: even more documents. So where are with all of this? 14 00:00:53,840 --> 00:00:56,240 Speaker 1: How is the White House responding? Our Democrats dealing with this? 15 00:00:56,320 --> 00:00:58,440 Speaker 1: And what does the public think? We finally have a 16 00:00:58,440 --> 00:01:01,279 Speaker 1: little bit of pulling on that matter. Also, we are 17 00:01:01,760 --> 00:01:05,679 Speaker 1: increasingly moving towards a debt ceiling showdown. Treasury Secretary Janet 18 00:01:05,760 --> 00:01:09,800 Speaker 1: Yellen says this will certainly lead to catastrophe and a recession. 19 00:01:09,920 --> 00:01:12,000 Speaker 1: So we'll bring you the very latest there. We also 20 00:01:12,040 --> 00:01:16,440 Speaker 1: have some details about Trump's presidential run. Evangelical seemed to 21 00:01:16,440 --> 00:01:19,119 Speaker 1: be souring on him a bit new strophole from a 22 00:01:19,480 --> 00:01:22,680 Speaker 1: right to life group finding that DeSantis is now their 23 00:01:22,720 --> 00:01:26,119 Speaker 1: favorite candidate, so that is very interesting. We also wanted 24 00:01:26,120 --> 00:01:30,360 Speaker 1: to show you a chat GPT discussion between two AI 25 00:01:30,360 --> 00:01:33,720 Speaker 1: bots that will haunt your nightmares. I know it did mine. 26 00:01:33,920 --> 00:01:37,080 Speaker 1: And also, speaking of daily updates, the Daily George Santos, 27 00:01:37,120 --> 00:01:40,040 Speaker 1: he is now admitting that he did dress and drag, 28 00:01:40,200 --> 00:01:43,759 Speaker 1: but denying that he was a quote unquote drag queen, draggish, 29 00:01:44,000 --> 00:01:47,039 Speaker 1: drag ish. I guess yes the answer. I'm also excited 30 00:01:47,040 --> 00:01:49,480 Speaker 1: to have Jodah Furman on today. There were some statistics 31 00:01:49,480 --> 00:01:51,520 Speaker 1: that came out at the end of last week, very 32 00:01:51,520 --> 00:01:54,760 Speaker 1: disheartening for those of us who are labor advocates. The 33 00:01:55,040 --> 00:01:58,040 Speaker 1: union density number continued to fall. This is part of 34 00:01:58,080 --> 00:02:01,120 Speaker 1: a roughly forty year trend. So he's got some interesting 35 00:02:01,120 --> 00:02:03,040 Speaker 1: He really dug into the dat He's got some interesting 36 00:02:03,160 --> 00:02:06,440 Speaker 1: stats about exactly where the falls are ultimately coming from. 37 00:02:06,680 --> 00:02:10,880 Speaker 1: Spoiler alert, the fact that we decimated our entire manufacturing 38 00:02:10,919 --> 00:02:14,640 Speaker 1: sector not great for union densities. All right, so let's 39 00:02:14,680 --> 00:02:17,280 Speaker 1: start with the very latest in terms of the Biden 40 00:02:17,360 --> 00:02:19,880 Speaker 1: document saga, go ahead and put this up on the screen. 41 00:02:19,960 --> 00:02:24,440 Speaker 1: This is from CBS News. The FBI searched President Biden's 42 00:02:24,480 --> 00:02:29,480 Speaker 1: Delaware home Friday and located six more items containing classification markings. 43 00:02:29,919 --> 00:02:32,400 Speaker 1: Investigators also took possession of some of his notes, the 44 00:02:32,400 --> 00:02:36,360 Speaker 1: President's lawyer said on Saturday. They claim that the search 45 00:02:36,400 --> 00:02:40,120 Speaker 1: last about thirteen hours. The classification level and contents has 46 00:02:40,160 --> 00:02:44,160 Speaker 1: not been disclosed thus far. The Justice Department, they say, quote, 47 00:02:44,280 --> 00:02:46,640 Speaker 1: took possession of materials it deemed within the scope of 48 00:02:46,639 --> 00:02:49,799 Speaker 1: its inquiry, including six items consisting of documents with classification 49 00:02:49,880 --> 00:02:53,000 Speaker 1: markings and surrounding materials, some of which were from the 50 00:02:53,040 --> 00:02:55,520 Speaker 1: president service in the Senate and some of which were 51 00:02:55,560 --> 00:02:58,720 Speaker 1: from his tenure as Vice president. They also took some 52 00:02:58,840 --> 00:03:02,120 Speaker 1: of his personal notes. I guess that could contain classified 53 00:03:02,200 --> 00:03:04,840 Speaker 1: information that he had written down, so they're looking into 54 00:03:04,880 --> 00:03:07,200 Speaker 1: that as well. They described the search. I think this 55 00:03:07,280 --> 00:03:11,839 Speaker 1: word is kind of funny as consensual. So consent was given. 56 00:03:12,040 --> 00:03:16,880 Speaker 1: And I also find it amusing that they still hedge 57 00:03:16,919 --> 00:03:20,120 Speaker 1: about exactly how many documents has been found now Soccer 58 00:03:20,160 --> 00:03:23,080 Speaker 1: they've moved it up to since November between twenty five 59 00:03:23,120 --> 00:03:26,520 Speaker 1: and thirty, which you know, again, I don't know why 60 00:03:26,560 --> 00:03:28,840 Speaker 1: you can't just give an exact number here, but that's 61 00:03:28,880 --> 00:03:31,520 Speaker 1: part of the game that they're playing. And Biden told 62 00:03:31,560 --> 00:03:34,440 Speaker 1: reporters he has no regrets about the handling of the documents, 63 00:03:34,760 --> 00:03:36,520 Speaker 1: and when asked why the White House did not disclose 64 00:03:36,560 --> 00:03:39,560 Speaker 1: the existence in November for the midterm elections, he told 65 00:03:39,600 --> 00:03:42,640 Speaker 1: reporters he thinks they're going to find out. Quote, there's 66 00:03:42,680 --> 00:03:46,800 Speaker 1: no they're there. It's like, definitionally there is there there 67 00:03:46,880 --> 00:03:50,600 Speaker 1: because they found these documents now in multiple places, so 68 00:03:50,760 --> 00:03:54,120 Speaker 1: there is literally there there between twenty five just say 69 00:03:54,320 --> 00:03:57,200 Speaker 1: the number, is it twenty seven? Is it twenty nine? 70 00:03:57,520 --> 00:03:59,240 Speaker 1: If I had to guess, probably twenty nine. It's kind 71 00:03:59,240 --> 00:04:01,480 Speaker 1: of like when politicians list their net worth there like 72 00:04:01,520 --> 00:04:04,120 Speaker 1: anywhere between two hundred and fifty to five hundred and 73 00:04:04,120 --> 00:04:07,040 Speaker 1: fifty million. Right, Well, hold on a second, because there's 74 00:04:07,080 --> 00:04:10,880 Speaker 1: actually a big difference between the two. Look in terms 75 00:04:10,880 --> 00:04:13,720 Speaker 1: of the actual search itself, the fact that the media 76 00:04:13,760 --> 00:04:15,480 Speaker 1: treatment on this and we're going to talk about, yeah, 77 00:04:15,520 --> 00:04:17,200 Speaker 1: some of that is just I mean, look, this is 78 00:04:17,240 --> 00:04:20,039 Speaker 1: effectively it's not a raid like the mar Lago raid. 79 00:04:20,080 --> 00:04:22,160 Speaker 1: But when you have the FBI and the Department of 80 00:04:22,240 --> 00:04:24,839 Speaker 1: Justice snooping around the President of the United States is home. 81 00:04:25,160 --> 00:04:27,680 Speaker 1: It's a little bit of a problem also with respect 82 00:04:27,720 --> 00:04:30,080 Speaker 1: to where exactly these documents were stored. They're in the 83 00:04:30,080 --> 00:04:33,640 Speaker 1: most intimate places where President Biden spends his time, including 84 00:04:33,680 --> 00:04:36,640 Speaker 1: his home office. Now, again, if he was a current 85 00:04:36,680 --> 00:04:38,919 Speaker 1: president and they were documents related to his work, now 86 00:04:39,120 --> 00:04:40,800 Speaker 1: that would be one thing. These are documents that he 87 00:04:40,880 --> 00:04:43,600 Speaker 1: held when he was the vice president of the United States, 88 00:04:43,640 --> 00:04:46,359 Speaker 1: of which he had no declassification authority. Second, on the 89 00:04:46,400 --> 00:04:49,960 Speaker 1: garage itself, he claims it's where my corvette was, so 90 00:04:50,080 --> 00:04:51,880 Speaker 1: apparently it was what did he say, He's like, it's 91 00:04:51,920 --> 00:04:53,599 Speaker 1: not like they were sitting out on the street. Well, 92 00:04:53,800 --> 00:04:57,640 Speaker 1: we actually know from photo evidence that Hunter Biden himself 93 00:04:57,640 --> 00:05:01,080 Speaker 1: actually had access to said locker. So there were actually 94 00:05:01,160 --> 00:05:04,560 Speaker 1: unsavory characters, possibly street related, who were inside that car 95 00:05:05,000 --> 00:05:08,200 Speaker 1: the very least had access to the garage. And you know, 96 00:05:08,400 --> 00:05:11,080 Speaker 1: this isn't to denigrate Hunter himself, just to show you, like, look, 97 00:05:11,120 --> 00:05:14,640 Speaker 1: you did somebody not you did have access to that garage. 98 00:05:14,640 --> 00:05:17,719 Speaker 1: So it's not like it was a special compartmentalized facility 99 00:05:17,760 --> 00:05:20,400 Speaker 1: that was controlled entirely by the Secret Service. It was 100 00:05:20,480 --> 00:05:23,040 Speaker 1: wholly available to hunter Biden, who have no way he 101 00:05:23,080 --> 00:05:25,039 Speaker 1: would ever get a security clearance, and then you know, 102 00:05:25,080 --> 00:05:28,120 Speaker 1: maybe even his children or his grandchildren or cleaning stuff, 103 00:05:28,360 --> 00:05:30,159 Speaker 1: et cetera. So the point is that these were not 104 00:05:30,200 --> 00:05:33,320 Speaker 1: secure in any way. And then really what I'm troubled 105 00:05:33,320 --> 00:05:35,840 Speaker 1: by also is the actual content of the documents, because 106 00:05:35,839 --> 00:05:37,480 Speaker 1: all that we know right now is they were all 107 00:05:37,560 --> 00:05:40,960 Speaker 1: related to his foreign dealings and specifically Ukraine. I mean, 108 00:05:41,000 --> 00:05:44,599 Speaker 1: I think that sounds pretty important. Especially let's say, you know, 109 00:05:44,680 --> 00:05:49,080 Speaker 1: to Biden was the spearheaderer of an anti corruption move 110 00:05:49,240 --> 00:05:52,560 Speaker 1: in Ukraine from twenty fifteen. So does that mean he 111 00:05:52,640 --> 00:05:57,160 Speaker 1: had like details and documents relating to corruption inside of Ukraine. 112 00:05:57,279 --> 00:05:58,960 Speaker 1: Maybe some of those people are currently in charge of 113 00:05:59,040 --> 00:06:01,640 Speaker 1: Ukraine and we're called them heroes. Who knows. I mean, 114 00:06:02,040 --> 00:06:05,280 Speaker 1: the point is is that this is probably very sensitive stuff, 115 00:06:05,279 --> 00:06:07,680 Speaker 1: and I think that this is a big, big problem 116 00:06:07,680 --> 00:06:10,000 Speaker 1: for him. I'm meta takeaway is Trump is one of 117 00:06:10,040 --> 00:06:11,960 Speaker 1: the luckiest guys in the world. You are saying right 118 00:06:11,960 --> 00:06:15,279 Speaker 1: about they had an open and shutcase against Trump. I 119 00:06:15,279 --> 00:06:17,000 Speaker 1: think he was going down. I mean, and when I 120 00:06:17,040 --> 00:06:18,480 Speaker 1: say down, like I think he was going to get 121 00:06:18,560 --> 00:06:20,600 Speaker 1: that was at the very least indicting both are at 122 00:06:20,600 --> 00:06:22,640 Speaker 1: the end. Like our last shows that we were doing 123 00:06:22,680 --> 00:06:24,960 Speaker 1: the live shows, both of us made that prediction like 124 00:06:25,000 --> 00:06:28,080 Speaker 1: Trump's getting in dieted next year. Now, I don't know 125 00:06:28,760 --> 00:06:32,479 Speaker 1: its possible. I don't know. It's the landscape is a 126 00:06:32,480 --> 00:06:34,800 Speaker 1: lot different, and maybe you should you would say like, Okay, 127 00:06:34,839 --> 00:06:38,080 Speaker 1: it shouldn't matter what Biden did versus We all know 128 00:06:38,400 --> 00:06:41,600 Speaker 1: that these decisions are highly political. We know that these 129 00:06:41,600 --> 00:06:44,479 Speaker 1: officials at the Department of Justice are highly political. They 130 00:06:44,480 --> 00:06:46,320 Speaker 1: would not be in these high positions of power if 131 00:06:46,320 --> 00:06:48,880 Speaker 1: they were not. And we know that they are highly 132 00:06:48,880 --> 00:06:50,960 Speaker 1: attuned to the way that the public is going to 133 00:06:51,040 --> 00:06:54,720 Speaker 1: perceive any indictment against the former president who is now 134 00:06:54,800 --> 00:06:59,360 Speaker 1: running for president again. So listen, it is utter catastrophe 135 00:06:59,400 --> 00:07:01,760 Speaker 1: for the Biden as much as they want to try 136 00:07:01,800 --> 00:07:04,960 Speaker 1: to spin it, Ultimately this is you know, a terrible, 137 00:07:05,080 --> 00:07:07,400 Speaker 1: terrible look. And I think you're right on the media 138 00:07:07,440 --> 00:07:11,080 Speaker 1: treatment you know immediately, and I think justifiably so. When 139 00:07:11,120 --> 00:07:13,280 Speaker 1: these documents were seized from mar A Lago, the question 140 00:07:13,360 --> 00:07:15,480 Speaker 1: was like, my god, what was in these documents? And 141 00:07:15,520 --> 00:07:19,800 Speaker 1: also my god, who was around that could have potentially 142 00:07:19,840 --> 00:07:22,520 Speaker 1: seen them or access them or taken them or used them. 143 00:07:22,960 --> 00:07:28,400 Speaker 1: And with the Biden documents, there's a presumption of harmlessness. 144 00:07:28,440 --> 00:07:30,679 Speaker 1: There's a presumption that this isn't that big a deal. 145 00:07:30,760 --> 00:07:33,600 Speaker 1: There's a presumption that, like, whatever characters were in and 146 00:07:33,600 --> 00:07:35,480 Speaker 1: out of his house, I'm sure it was fine. We 147 00:07:35,520 --> 00:07:39,760 Speaker 1: actually don't have any public reporting on who may have 148 00:07:39,800 --> 00:07:41,960 Speaker 1: been at the house other than his own family. So 149 00:07:42,240 --> 00:07:46,200 Speaker 1: there is a very different presumption there ultimately about how 150 00:07:46,280 --> 00:07:49,120 Speaker 1: damaging the documents will be. And I think it is 151 00:07:49,160 --> 00:07:51,600 Speaker 1: a fair point that the media makes, like a thousand 152 00:07:51,600 --> 00:07:54,360 Speaker 1: times a day that Trump was more obstructive and Biden 153 00:07:54,440 --> 00:07:57,360 Speaker 1: has been cooperating. But listen, guys, the bottom line is 154 00:07:57,360 --> 00:08:00,160 Speaker 1: the core of the crime or the misdeed or whatever 155 00:08:00,240 --> 00:08:03,680 Speaker 1: you want to call it, is ultimately the same. Back 156 00:08:03,720 --> 00:08:06,200 Speaker 1: to the point of why the hell can't you just 157 00:08:06,280 --> 00:08:09,600 Speaker 1: say the number the number of documents, like you know, 158 00:08:09,680 --> 00:08:11,800 Speaker 1: you use example of these politicians who are like, my 159 00:08:11,840 --> 00:08:13,640 Speaker 1: wealth is between two hundred and fifty million and five 160 00:08:13,680 --> 00:08:15,520 Speaker 1: hundred and fifty million. Well, there is a big difference 161 00:08:15,520 --> 00:08:17,960 Speaker 1: between that is there ultimately a huge difference between twenty 162 00:08:17,960 --> 00:08:21,360 Speaker 1: five documents and thirty documents. Doesn't seem like the public 163 00:08:21,360 --> 00:08:24,240 Speaker 1: wouldsuspends which document the public is just looking at this 164 00:08:24,400 --> 00:08:26,680 Speaker 1: is like, well, this is a disaster and a mess, 165 00:08:27,240 --> 00:08:31,600 Speaker 1: but they weirdly will not come clean about exactly how 166 00:08:31,600 --> 00:08:34,160 Speaker 1: many documents have been found. This is a Biden spokesman 167 00:08:34,280 --> 00:08:37,200 Speaker 1: on MSNBC getting pressed on this very issue. Let's take 168 00:08:37,240 --> 00:08:39,400 Speaker 1: to listen. Can you give us a sense of how 169 00:08:39,440 --> 00:08:42,679 Speaker 1: many classified documents we are now talking about total across 170 00:08:42,679 --> 00:08:46,559 Speaker 1: all three locations. Sure, it's a good question, and it 171 00:08:46,720 --> 00:08:48,880 Speaker 1: actually the answer to it is a little bit complicated 172 00:08:48,920 --> 00:08:51,600 Speaker 1: because of this point that I'm making about the integrity 173 00:08:51,640 --> 00:08:55,040 Speaker 1: of an ongoing Justice Department investigation. The Justice Department is 174 00:08:55,040 --> 00:08:56,960 Speaker 1: going to be looking at all sorts of questions like 175 00:08:57,000 --> 00:09:00,000 Speaker 1: that throughout their investigation. We want to be very very 176 00:09:00,160 --> 00:09:03,520 Speaker 1: careful to be respectful of the integrity of that investigation, 177 00:09:03,679 --> 00:09:07,400 Speaker 1: to not speak too much about the underlying contents and materials, 178 00:09:07,920 --> 00:09:10,440 Speaker 1: especially things that we may not know all the answers. 179 00:09:10,880 --> 00:09:13,400 Speaker 1: It's actually not complicated. It's really not complicated at all. 180 00:09:13,400 --> 00:09:15,360 Speaker 1: How many documents you pull out of the house? Was five? 181 00:09:15,520 --> 00:09:18,199 Speaker 1: Was the same count to thirty? Yeah? And I love 182 00:09:18,200 --> 00:09:20,680 Speaker 1: there and this is their consistent line. Yeah, we're respecting 183 00:09:20,760 --> 00:09:23,360 Speaker 1: the integrity. It's a lot. That's why we can't tell 184 00:09:23,400 --> 00:09:26,520 Speaker 1: you anything about this. That's why we're still staying quiet 185 00:09:26,520 --> 00:09:29,960 Speaker 1: on it. It's because we have such respect for this investigation. Well, 186 00:09:30,559 --> 00:09:33,120 Speaker 1: Korean Jean Pierre actually got really called out on that. 187 00:09:33,520 --> 00:09:35,920 Speaker 1: I think this was from NBC News. Let's take a 188 00:09:35,960 --> 00:09:38,520 Speaker 1: listen to how that exchange went. We've all reached out 189 00:09:38,520 --> 00:09:40,400 Speaker 1: of the Department of Justice. A law enforcement official tells 190 00:09:40,480 --> 00:09:42,720 Speaker 1: NBC News the Justice Department has not told the White 191 00:09:42,720 --> 00:09:45,319 Speaker 1: House that it cannot talk about the facts underlying the 192 00:09:45,320 --> 00:09:50,520 Speaker 1: Special Council investigation into classified documents. So trusting you've received 193 00:09:50,520 --> 00:09:54,319 Speaker 1: that same information, understanding the desire to be prudent, then 194 00:09:54,360 --> 00:09:58,000 Speaker 1: why can't speak by the underlying facts. We've been very 195 00:09:58,000 --> 00:10:00,320 Speaker 1: clear when it comes to even underlying facts, when it 196 00:10:00,320 --> 00:10:02,600 Speaker 1: comes to specifics, when it comes to something that is 197 00:10:02,720 --> 00:10:05,520 Speaker 1: under the purview that is that the Department of Justice 198 00:10:05,559 --> 00:10:09,800 Speaker 1: is looking at, especially legal matters, investigations, we do not 199 00:10:09,880 --> 00:10:15,760 Speaker 1: comment from here, Peter. That has been consistent, consistent. Yeah, look, 200 00:10:15,840 --> 00:10:18,720 Speaker 1: it's a complete lie. And actually I have multiple friends 201 00:10:18,960 --> 00:10:21,880 Speaker 1: in the press corps who they parrotted this line over 202 00:10:21,920 --> 00:10:24,800 Speaker 1: and over again. That was actually Kareem Jean Pierre getting 203 00:10:24,800 --> 00:10:26,880 Speaker 1: confronted on camera. There was a specially what the White 204 00:10:26,920 --> 00:10:29,280 Speaker 1: House does. You do these things called background briefings. When 205 00:10:29,280 --> 00:10:30,800 Speaker 1: you're in the White House Press Corps, they send out 206 00:10:30,800 --> 00:10:32,440 Speaker 1: a phone number and they're like, everybody can dial in 207 00:10:32,520 --> 00:10:34,520 Speaker 1: this phone number. You can listen in and they're going 208 00:10:34,600 --> 00:10:36,360 Speaker 1: to give you, you you know, some background or whatever. You're 209 00:10:36,360 --> 00:10:38,160 Speaker 1: not allowed to quote the person, but you're allowed to 210 00:10:38,400 --> 00:10:40,920 Speaker 1: ask questions. You can call it a senior administration official 211 00:10:40,920 --> 00:10:43,120 Speaker 1: even though you know who it is. Whenever you're talking, 212 00:10:43,320 --> 00:10:46,600 Speaker 1: they press this person multiple times. They're like, hey, have 213 00:10:46,720 --> 00:10:49,920 Speaker 1: you received one word from the Department of Justice that 214 00:10:50,000 --> 00:10:53,000 Speaker 1: you cannot tell us exactly how many documents? And they're like, well, 215 00:10:53,080 --> 00:10:56,200 Speaker 1: let's complicent. Eventually they're like, no, we have it. We 216 00:10:56,200 --> 00:10:57,959 Speaker 1: just don't want to tell you. It's a cover up. 217 00:10:58,120 --> 00:10:59,960 Speaker 1: It's a complete cover up. They don't want to tell 218 00:11:00,000 --> 00:11:03,160 Speaker 1: tell us anything about the investigation. And they are the 219 00:11:03,160 --> 00:11:05,880 Speaker 1: White House. Again, it's also their Department of Justice. So 220 00:11:05,920 --> 00:11:07,400 Speaker 1: first of all, you know, the idea that they set 221 00:11:07,400 --> 00:11:10,160 Speaker 1: the rules and all that is ridiculous. And also Briden 222 00:11:10,200 --> 00:11:13,440 Speaker 1: has pledged open transparency. You'll all find out all this. 223 00:11:13,480 --> 00:11:16,240 Speaker 1: This is the opposite of transparency. They found the documents 224 00:11:16,280 --> 00:11:18,480 Speaker 1: before the midterms. They covered it up. They didn't tell 225 00:11:18,520 --> 00:11:22,240 Speaker 1: anybody about it until freaking December twentieth or something like that. 226 00:11:22,440 --> 00:11:25,320 Speaker 1: Then they find even more. They never want to characterize 227 00:11:25,320 --> 00:11:27,440 Speaker 1: the exact amount of documents, what they found it. They 228 00:11:27,480 --> 00:11:30,400 Speaker 1: keep running with this line it's complicated. Why because the 229 00:11:30,440 --> 00:11:34,360 Speaker 1: circumstances look terrible for them, political motivation and to try 230 00:11:34,400 --> 00:11:36,760 Speaker 1: and keep this out of the news as possible. I mean, look, 231 00:11:36,800 --> 00:11:39,240 Speaker 1: I guess credit to the news for pushing back a 232 00:11:39,280 --> 00:11:42,120 Speaker 1: little bit against Karine Jean Pierre. But hey, look we 233 00:11:42,240 --> 00:11:45,360 Speaker 1: both lived through the Moller investigation. That just department Justice. 234 00:11:45,320 --> 00:11:48,320 Speaker 1: Department leaks like a sieve. If they want to and 235 00:11:48,440 --> 00:11:50,880 Speaker 1: if the press wants to push why aren't they doing 236 00:11:50,920 --> 00:11:53,120 Speaker 1: the same thing whenever it comes to this. There is 237 00:11:53,200 --> 00:11:55,240 Speaker 1: no polishing this turd for the word come on, I mean, 238 00:11:55,280 --> 00:11:58,400 Speaker 1: there just isn't. And the way that they have handled it, 239 00:11:58,480 --> 00:12:00,960 Speaker 1: I think it's been a catastrophe that they've allowed this 240 00:12:01,000 --> 00:12:04,160 Speaker 1: to be a drip drip trip where every week, multiple 241 00:12:04,240 --> 00:12:06,719 Speaker 1: times a week, we're like, oh, we found some more documents, 242 00:12:06,760 --> 00:12:08,760 Speaker 1: and then you know, it goes back to the front 243 00:12:08,760 --> 00:12:11,040 Speaker 1: of the headlines. You got to get a whole new 244 00:12:11,120 --> 00:12:14,120 Speaker 1: round of inquiry all of this politically has been a disaster, 245 00:12:14,640 --> 00:12:17,319 Speaker 1: and you know, frankly, I think it really damages Biden's 246 00:12:17,320 --> 00:12:19,880 Speaker 1: electability and the case that he would make against Donald 247 00:12:19,920 --> 00:12:22,199 Speaker 1: Trump if they are in fact the nominees this next 248 00:12:22,240 --> 00:12:24,800 Speaker 1: time around, Because like you said, Sager, I mean, this 249 00:12:24,880 --> 00:12:29,000 Speaker 1: is clearly an open and shutcase. Previously for Trump there 250 00:12:29,040 --> 00:12:31,800 Speaker 1: was really no defending it. In fact, fact, most Republicans 251 00:12:31,800 --> 00:12:35,880 Speaker 1: had stopped trying to defend it. They initially were very 252 00:12:36,040 --> 00:12:38,800 Speaker 1: supportive after the rate at mar A Lago. They thought 253 00:12:38,840 --> 00:12:41,200 Speaker 1: that was a big overreach. They rushed to the cameras 254 00:12:41,240 --> 00:12:43,760 Speaker 1: to decry it. But then once all the details came 255 00:12:43,800 --> 00:12:45,880 Speaker 1: out about the number of documents in the box been 256 00:12:45,880 --> 00:12:49,400 Speaker 1: moved around and a level classification whatever, they all really 257 00:12:49,440 --> 00:12:53,320 Speaker 1: fell silent. Now totally different ballgame. This is not a 258 00:12:53,360 --> 00:12:56,599 Speaker 1: vulnerability for Trump at all whatsoever, at least not a 259 00:12:56,640 --> 00:13:00,720 Speaker 1: fe's up against Joe Biden. So total utter political disaster, 260 00:13:01,520 --> 00:13:06,800 Speaker 1: and it's so bad that his own allies Democratic senators 261 00:13:07,520 --> 00:13:10,360 Speaker 1: are struggling to defend it and in certain instances are 262 00:13:10,440 --> 00:13:12,760 Speaker 1: not trying. Let's go and put this up on the screen. 263 00:13:13,120 --> 00:13:16,680 Speaker 1: You've got Joe Manchin, who you know, I mean, he's 264 00:13:16,800 --> 00:13:19,840 Speaker 1: he likes to criticize Democrats because it vultures is standing 265 00:13:19,880 --> 00:13:22,640 Speaker 1: in West Virginia. But still he says to put these 266 00:13:22,679 --> 00:13:25,960 Speaker 1: in unsecure spaces is irresponsible. He also says he thinks 267 00:13:26,000 --> 00:13:29,520 Speaker 1: Biden should have a lot of regrets. Perhaps even more noteworthy, though, 268 00:13:29,679 --> 00:13:32,080 Speaker 1: is Senator Dick Durbin, who is more of just like 269 00:13:32,120 --> 00:13:34,760 Speaker 1: a you know, sort of down the line partisan. He 270 00:13:34,920 --> 00:13:41,040 Speaker 1: described this behavior and this situation with the classified documents 271 00:13:41,320 --> 00:13:46,680 Speaker 1: as both outrageous and just unacceptable. So the White House 272 00:13:46,720 --> 00:13:50,040 Speaker 1: really hasn't given their allies a fig leaf to hide behind. 273 00:13:50,120 --> 00:13:52,040 Speaker 1: I'm not sure how they would even do that, to 274 00:13:52,080 --> 00:13:53,920 Speaker 1: be honest with you, given the facts in the way 275 00:13:53,920 --> 00:13:56,840 Speaker 1: that they keep coming out. And so you had multiple 276 00:13:56,920 --> 00:14:01,120 Speaker 1: Democratic senators on the Sunday shows saying, hey, I can't 277 00:14:01,120 --> 00:14:02,920 Speaker 1: de spend this, and I'm really not even gonna try. 278 00:14:03,000 --> 00:14:05,160 Speaker 1: There is no defense zero, especially when they're all on 279 00:14:05,200 --> 00:14:07,400 Speaker 1: the record against Trump. I mean with Hillary, they always 280 00:14:07,440 --> 00:14:09,400 Speaker 1: tried to do the same thing. They're like, oh, well, 281 00:14:09,440 --> 00:14:12,560 Speaker 1: you know, it was bad judgment, but it's not enough 282 00:14:12,559 --> 00:14:14,920 Speaker 1: to get her charged with it. The facts of it 283 00:14:15,080 --> 00:14:17,600 Speaker 1: are dead clear cut. Again, I actually think they might 284 00:14:17,640 --> 00:14:19,200 Speaker 1: be slightly worse for Biden. Because he was only the 285 00:14:19,280 --> 00:14:21,520 Speaker 1: vice president. He wasn't even the president. And I think 286 00:14:21,560 --> 00:14:24,440 Speaker 1: most people agree. In fact, we have polling to that degree. 287 00:14:24,520 --> 00:14:26,120 Speaker 1: Let's go ahead and put this up there on the 288 00:14:26,120 --> 00:14:29,480 Speaker 1: screen from IPSOS, which is that the document issue is 289 00:14:29,560 --> 00:14:33,120 Speaker 1: both bad for Trump and for Biden. The American public 290 00:14:33,200 --> 00:14:36,120 Speaker 1: views that Trump went as a more serious concern. And this, 291 00:14:36,280 --> 00:14:37,440 Speaker 1: you know, this is why I always do have to 292 00:14:37,480 --> 00:14:39,760 Speaker 1: trust people. You don't need the media to tell you 293 00:14:39,800 --> 00:14:42,680 Speaker 1: that it was substantively different whenever somebody does try to 294 00:14:42,720 --> 00:14:47,880 Speaker 1: obstruct an investigation versus not. But overall, the inappropriate handling 295 00:14:47,960 --> 00:14:51,160 Speaker 1: numbers on both is sixty four percent for Biden and 296 00:14:51,200 --> 00:14:54,760 Speaker 1: seventy seven percent for Trump. As in, people can into 297 00:14:54,840 --> 00:14:58,880 Speaker 1: it that this was inappropriately handled by both presidents of 298 00:14:58,920 --> 00:15:02,440 Speaker 1: the United States, and they view this not necessarily as 299 00:15:02,480 --> 00:15:05,160 Speaker 1: the most important thing. But the idea that this was 300 00:15:05,200 --> 00:15:07,960 Speaker 1: going to be used as a cleavage in the American public, 301 00:15:08,000 --> 00:15:10,240 Speaker 1: which you know, the Biden administration was going to They 302 00:15:10,240 --> 00:15:11,960 Speaker 1: were going like, this is the latest example of Donald 303 00:15:11,960 --> 00:15:14,440 Speaker 1: Trump thinking he's above the law, especially when you put 304 00:15:14,480 --> 00:15:16,000 Speaker 1: it all in the Jan six Like, you know, I 305 00:15:16,040 --> 00:15:19,240 Speaker 1: could give some spiel and it's neuter, It's over and 306 00:15:19,400 --> 00:15:22,640 Speaker 1: it's a real political disaster for them, as you keep saying, 307 00:15:22,640 --> 00:15:25,960 Speaker 1: because we can't underestimate this. After the midterms you get 308 00:15:26,000 --> 00:15:28,400 Speaker 1: a clear and an open shut way to defeat Trump, 309 00:15:28,520 --> 00:15:30,240 Speaker 1: which is and I didn't personally think it's going to work, 310 00:15:30,240 --> 00:15:32,560 Speaker 1: but it clearly did. You go after the January sixth, 311 00:15:32,600 --> 00:15:34,680 Speaker 1: you go after the madness and the chaos, and you're like, 312 00:15:34,720 --> 00:15:36,520 Speaker 1: do you really want four more years of this? But 313 00:15:36,560 --> 00:15:39,080 Speaker 1: when you're guilty of doing the same thing, Yes, on 314 00:15:39,160 --> 00:15:42,560 Speaker 1: the it neuters like the one law enforcement open and 315 00:15:42,600 --> 00:15:44,840 Speaker 1: shutcase that you had against it. Even if they do 316 00:15:44,960 --> 00:15:47,360 Speaker 1: end up charging Trump, because now the other side they've 317 00:15:47,360 --> 00:15:49,960 Speaker 1: got all the AMMO that they could ever need a 318 00:15:50,520 --> 00:15:53,800 Speaker 1: in a real defense. This is so significant that I 319 00:15:53,920 --> 00:15:57,440 Speaker 1: really think, in my personal estimation, it went from the 320 00:15:57,800 --> 00:16:00,720 Speaker 1: chances of Trump getting indicted over this is you went 321 00:16:00,800 --> 00:16:06,120 Speaker 1: from near certainty, like eighty percent to very unlikely. It 322 00:16:06,280 --> 00:16:09,240 Speaker 1: just totally flipped on its head because of the way 323 00:16:09,280 --> 00:16:11,160 Speaker 1: the Justice deparmall of view this and the way that 324 00:16:11,200 --> 00:16:13,640 Speaker 1: they will think that the American people will perceive it, 325 00:16:13,680 --> 00:16:15,680 Speaker 1: given that the current president is guilty of the exact 326 00:16:15,720 --> 00:16:19,440 Speaker 1: same thing. Now listen, he's under investigation for any number 327 00:16:19,480 --> 00:16:22,880 Speaker 1: of other issues, including the fake elector's scheme. There's the 328 00:16:23,120 --> 00:16:26,000 Speaker 1: Grand Jury down in Georgia, there's investigations here in DC. 329 00:16:26,520 --> 00:16:29,120 Speaker 1: There are other things that they may decide to indict 330 00:16:29,160 --> 00:16:32,840 Speaker 1: him on. Those were always a little bit trickier, frankly, 331 00:16:32,920 --> 00:16:35,160 Speaker 1: from a legal perspective. Now that doesn't mean that it's 332 00:16:35,200 --> 00:16:37,840 Speaker 1: going that is not going to happen, but those were 333 00:16:37,880 --> 00:16:42,800 Speaker 1: always more challenging cases to make, required more novel applications 334 00:16:42,840 --> 00:16:44,880 Speaker 1: of the law, which is something that they really shy 335 00:16:44,920 --> 00:16:49,160 Speaker 1: away from. This especially the obstruction piece seemed like very 336 00:16:49,200 --> 00:16:52,520 Speaker 1: clear cut, very open and shut. So listen, it might 337 00:16:52,560 --> 00:16:55,760 Speaker 1: not have mattered in a Republican primary if Trump got 338 00:16:55,800 --> 00:16:57,680 Speaker 1: indicted or not. It might have even helped him in 339 00:16:57,720 --> 00:17:00,400 Speaker 1: a Republican primary if you ultimately got indicted. Hard to 340 00:17:00,440 --> 00:17:01,880 Speaker 1: say in the same way that the raid on mar 341 00:17:01,880 --> 00:17:04,200 Speaker 1: A Lago helped him, at least in the short term. 342 00:17:04,400 --> 00:17:06,080 Speaker 1: I do think in a general election the fact that 343 00:17:06,080 --> 00:17:08,640 Speaker 1: the dude is indicted would have been a major problem, 344 00:17:08,960 --> 00:17:11,000 Speaker 1: and so the fact that it is much less clear 345 00:17:11,160 --> 00:17:14,360 Speaker 1: that that's going to happen totally scrambles the calculus for 346 00:17:14,520 --> 00:17:17,080 Speaker 1: twenty twenty four. And Sager, I think your point is 347 00:17:17,080 --> 00:17:20,399 Speaker 1: the best one. How lucky is how does this dude 348 00:17:21,040 --> 00:17:24,440 Speaker 1: always land on his feet? Like? How many lives does 349 00:17:24,440 --> 00:17:28,680 Speaker 1: this sky have? Untrue, believable. I mean really, this time 350 00:17:28,720 --> 00:17:30,560 Speaker 1: it really was like the walls are no for real, 351 00:17:30,600 --> 00:17:33,200 Speaker 1: this time the walls are closing in. Nope, I've heard 352 00:17:33,240 --> 00:17:36,200 Speaker 1: it all before, Old Donnie. He always figures a way 353 00:17:36,280 --> 00:17:38,400 Speaker 1: to wriggle out, even if it's not of his own. 354 00:17:38,600 --> 00:17:40,840 Speaker 1: Guess the meme is still true. Yeah, in a way, 355 00:17:40,920 --> 00:17:43,400 Speaker 1: you got to admire it. You're like, Wow, what an 356 00:17:43,480 --> 00:17:46,240 Speaker 1: incredible amount of luck bestowed on a human being. Whoever 357 00:17:46,280 --> 00:17:48,600 Speaker 1: that human being is real? Unreal. All right, let's go 358 00:17:48,640 --> 00:17:50,959 Speaker 1: to the debt ceiling. Some important stuff that's going on 359 00:17:51,080 --> 00:17:54,080 Speaker 1: over there. So Secretary Yelling of the Treasury beginning to 360 00:17:54,119 --> 00:17:56,960 Speaker 1: sound the alarm, saying that it is almost certain that 361 00:17:57,000 --> 00:17:59,600 Speaker 1: the United States will go into a recession if the 362 00:17:59,640 --> 00:18:02,520 Speaker 1: debt's breach. Here's what she said, Failure to meet the 363 00:18:02,520 --> 00:18:07,000 Speaker 1: government's obligations would cause irreparable harm to the United States economy, 364 00:18:07,040 --> 00:18:11,639 Speaker 1: the livelihoods of all Americans, and global financial stability. So, 365 00:18:12,160 --> 00:18:15,199 Speaker 1: in brief, what kind of irreparable harm and particularly for 366 00:18:15,359 --> 00:18:20,320 Speaker 1: American household how would average American households experience this. A 367 00:18:20,359 --> 00:18:26,000 Speaker 1: failure to make payments that are due, whether it's to bondholders, 368 00:18:26,440 --> 00:18:31,760 Speaker 1: or to social security recipients or to our military would 369 00:18:32,800 --> 00:18:37,040 Speaker 1: undoubtedly cause a recession in the US economy and could 370 00:18:37,080 --> 00:18:41,600 Speaker 1: cause a global financial crisis. It would certainly undermine the 371 00:18:41,680 --> 00:18:45,520 Speaker 1: role of the dollar as a reserve currency that is 372 00:18:45,640 --> 00:18:51,480 Speaker 1: used in transactions all over the world. And Americans with 373 00:18:52,200 --> 00:18:55,440 Speaker 1: many people would lose their jobs and certainly their borrowing 374 00:18:55,480 --> 00:18:58,160 Speaker 1: costs would rise. Yeah, so the borrowing costs. Actually think 375 00:18:58,160 --> 00:19:00,080 Speaker 1: that might be the most important thing, because if the 376 00:19:00,080 --> 00:19:02,080 Speaker 1: banks are not able to put out cash, that could 377 00:19:02,080 --> 00:19:03,800 Speaker 1: really dry a lot of things up. That's actually one 378 00:19:03,800 --> 00:19:05,840 Speaker 1: of the things that happened behind the impetus for the 379 00:19:05,880 --> 00:19:08,080 Speaker 1: initial bailout of two thousand and eight was just so 380 00:19:08,119 --> 00:19:13,200 Speaker 1: companies could make payrolls. Just frank whatever debt rollover, debt, 381 00:19:13,560 --> 00:19:17,080 Speaker 1: financial stuff. That all of it comes down to, it's bad. 382 00:19:17,560 --> 00:19:19,080 Speaker 1: And then the point is is that when is the 383 00:19:19,080 --> 00:19:20,760 Speaker 1: actual debt ceiling going to get hit? If you'd ask 384 00:19:20,800 --> 00:19:23,560 Speaker 1: the administration, technically it was on Thursday, but they have 385 00:19:23,640 --> 00:19:27,919 Speaker 1: something called extraordinary measures. Extraordinary measures. It's an interesting thing 386 00:19:27,960 --> 00:19:29,679 Speaker 1: because at for a time it was thought to be 387 00:19:29,760 --> 00:19:33,320 Speaker 1: unconstitutional during the Obama era, given that the president and 388 00:19:33,640 --> 00:19:36,240 Speaker 1: basically the White House and the Executive needs to spend 389 00:19:36,240 --> 00:19:40,680 Speaker 1: money exactly the way that the Congress appropriate said money. Actually, 390 00:19:40,720 --> 00:19:42,600 Speaker 1: there was a bill that was passed through Congress that 391 00:19:42,680 --> 00:19:45,359 Speaker 1: allows the Treasury Department to take on these so called 392 00:19:45,359 --> 00:19:48,399 Speaker 1: extraordinary measures where they're allowed to raid the trust funds 393 00:19:48,400 --> 00:19:51,800 Speaker 1: of certain US assets that they can then use and borrow. 394 00:19:52,080 --> 00:19:53,960 Speaker 1: Now they're not allowed to use Social Security, but they 395 00:19:54,000 --> 00:19:56,800 Speaker 1: are allowed to use others. And then the actual date 396 00:19:56,880 --> 00:19:59,240 Speaker 1: on which the debt limit is really going to be 397 00:19:59,320 --> 00:20:02,840 Speaker 1: hit after extraordinary measures have been exhausted is estimated to 398 00:20:02,880 --> 00:20:05,679 Speaker 1: be sometime in the summer. It actually really depends on 399 00:20:05,800 --> 00:20:08,159 Speaker 1: interest rates and a lot of other stuff that spans 400 00:20:08,200 --> 00:20:12,119 Speaker 1: between May and possibly July. But anyways, we're reaching the 401 00:20:12,160 --> 00:20:14,240 Speaker 1: precipice and things need to heat up for some sort 402 00:20:14,240 --> 00:20:16,760 Speaker 1: of negotiation. The White House that they're not going to negotiate. Okay, 403 00:20:16,840 --> 00:20:18,320 Speaker 1: you could say that if you want to, but you're 404 00:20:18,320 --> 00:20:22,040 Speaker 1: clearly going to negotiate. The House gop. Kevin McCarthy got 405 00:20:22,040 --> 00:20:25,280 Speaker 1: the pound of flesh extracted for him. He's got to negotiate, 406 00:20:25,359 --> 00:20:30,280 Speaker 1: and Joe Manchin actually talking about some prospective deal, which 407 00:20:30,280 --> 00:20:32,840 Speaker 1: I found kind of interesting for a variety of reasons. 408 00:20:32,840 --> 00:20:35,119 Speaker 1: Here he was on the Sunday shows pressing for the 409 00:20:35,160 --> 00:20:38,359 Speaker 1: White Houses to begin negotiations. Let's take a listen. No 410 00:20:38,520 --> 00:20:41,760 Speaker 1: negotiations with Republicans at all? Is that a mistake? I 411 00:20:41,800 --> 00:20:43,920 Speaker 1: think it's a mistake, because we have to negotiate. This 412 00:20:44,040 --> 00:20:46,680 Speaker 1: is a democracy that we have. We have a two 413 00:20:46,720 --> 00:20:49,560 Speaker 1: party system, as if you will, and we should be 414 00:20:49,600 --> 00:20:51,239 Speaker 1: able to talk and find out where our differences are, 415 00:20:51,280 --> 00:20:54,840 Speaker 1: and if they're irreconcilable, then you have to move on 416 00:20:54,880 --> 00:20:56,919 Speaker 1: from there and let the people make their decisions. So 417 00:20:57,000 --> 00:20:59,320 Speaker 1: what's interesting, though, Gristl, is that, continuing on in that 418 00:20:59,400 --> 00:21:02,320 Speaker 1: interview when he talked about some sort of perspective deal, 419 00:21:02,520 --> 00:21:05,080 Speaker 1: even Mansion is saying there should be no cuts to 420 00:21:05,200 --> 00:21:08,320 Speaker 1: Social Security and to Medicare and rejects the idea of 421 00:21:08,440 --> 00:21:12,280 Speaker 1: raising the Social Security retirement age. He instead suggests raising 422 00:21:12,359 --> 00:21:15,600 Speaker 1: taxable wage cap for employees that are paying into the 423 00:21:15,600 --> 00:21:18,359 Speaker 1: Social Security program, something I frankly be totally fine with. 424 00:21:18,480 --> 00:21:20,320 Speaker 1: Oh yeah, well, this is I mean, that's the Bernie 425 00:21:20,320 --> 00:21:23,879 Speaker 1: Sanders position. That's Bernie has introduced legislation that would do 426 00:21:23,960 --> 00:21:25,920 Speaker 1: exactly that. Because basically the way it is now, you 427 00:21:25,960 --> 00:21:27,960 Speaker 1: guys probably already know this, but there's an income cap 428 00:21:28,200 --> 00:21:31,560 Speaker 1: beyond which Social Security tax is not taken out, and 429 00:21:31,640 --> 00:21:34,440 Speaker 1: so if you just lift that cap, social Security would 430 00:21:34,480 --> 00:21:36,760 Speaker 1: be solvent for another seventy five years. You don't have 431 00:21:36,800 --> 00:21:38,480 Speaker 1: to change benefits, you don't have to do any of 432 00:21:38,480 --> 00:21:41,560 Speaker 1: the scrops. So Mansion taking that position. Listen, I mean, 433 00:21:41,560 --> 00:21:44,600 Speaker 1: West Virginia is a state that is poor. Yes, it 434 00:21:44,680 --> 00:21:48,720 Speaker 1: is disproportionately more elderly than the rest of the country. 435 00:21:48,800 --> 00:21:51,080 Speaker 1: So you have a lot of people in West Virginia 436 00:21:51,160 --> 00:21:54,120 Speaker 1: who depend on Social Security, where it's a real important 437 00:21:54,160 --> 00:21:57,400 Speaker 1: lifeline for them personally, for the economy of the state, 438 00:21:57,440 --> 00:22:00,360 Speaker 1: for all of those things. So listen off. Some times 439 00:22:00,440 --> 00:22:03,040 Speaker 1: you see Mansion posturing like he's, you know, taking the 440 00:22:03,040 --> 00:22:05,400 Speaker 1: position that's best for West Virginia, when in reality he's 441 00:22:05,400 --> 00:22:07,439 Speaker 1: taking the position that's best for his corporate donors. But 442 00:22:07,520 --> 00:22:10,960 Speaker 1: in this instance he really is with the Social Security piece, 443 00:22:11,119 --> 00:22:13,080 Speaker 1: taking the position that is good for his we Well, 444 00:22:13,119 --> 00:22:14,320 Speaker 1: one of the reason it's not fair is that the 445 00:22:14,320 --> 00:22:16,200 Speaker 1: tax will wage cap for Social Security is one hundred 446 00:22:16,200 --> 00:22:17,919 Speaker 1: and sixty thousand dollars. So if you make over one 447 00:22:17,960 --> 00:22:19,639 Speaker 1: hundred and sixty thousand dollars, then you don't actually have 448 00:22:19,720 --> 00:22:22,199 Speaker 1: to pay Social Security payroll tax where there's like a 449 00:22:22,200 --> 00:22:26,280 Speaker 1: graduated income scale or whatever, whereas if you make under that, 450 00:22:26,320 --> 00:22:28,000 Speaker 1: you actually have to pay the full thing, So you're 451 00:22:28,040 --> 00:22:30,080 Speaker 1: actually getting paid or it's getting tax at a higher 452 00:22:30,160 --> 00:22:32,280 Speaker 1: rate than a lot of cases, even if your overall 453 00:22:32,320 --> 00:22:35,000 Speaker 1: dollar amount being contributed to the fund. As a complete 454 00:22:35,040 --> 00:22:36,640 Speaker 1: carve out for rich people, I mean, the very least, 455 00:22:36,680 --> 00:22:38,560 Speaker 1: you should cap it at what five hundred thousand something 456 00:22:38,600 --> 00:22:41,639 Speaker 1: like that. I mean that's yeah, personally, yeah, gab it, 457 00:22:41,800 --> 00:22:43,520 Speaker 1: I'd be fine with that. But I mean, how could 458 00:22:43,560 --> 00:22:46,560 Speaker 1: you really argue against four hundred four hundred thousand dollars 459 00:22:46,840 --> 00:22:49,600 Speaker 1: in terms of that it's a regressive tax, and then 460 00:22:49,640 --> 00:22:51,960 Speaker 1: it allows people to pasture like, oh, we can't afford 461 00:22:52,040 --> 00:22:54,199 Speaker 1: this whatever. It's like, that's it's also the cap and 462 00:22:54,200 --> 00:22:55,520 Speaker 1: then you won't have a problem. This is a pet 463 00:22:55,560 --> 00:22:57,159 Speaker 1: peeve of mind. But everybody's like, oh, we even bottom 464 00:22:57,200 --> 00:22:58,879 Speaker 1: forty for seven percent don't pay taxes. I'm like, well, 465 00:22:58,920 --> 00:23:00,840 Speaker 1: if you're a W two worker, you actually do pay 466 00:23:01,240 --> 00:23:03,720 Speaker 1: payroll tax, and payrel tax could be quite onerous for 467 00:23:03,800 --> 00:23:05,919 Speaker 1: a lot of those people anyway. So a lot of 468 00:23:05,920 --> 00:23:08,320 Speaker 1: this is also belied by the whole Mint the Coin discussion, 469 00:23:08,400 --> 00:23:10,800 Speaker 1: much of which that you have seen over here. And 470 00:23:11,200 --> 00:23:13,840 Speaker 1: I will just say that some Mint the coin advocates 471 00:23:13,880 --> 00:23:18,120 Speaker 1: have completely beclowned themselves. Over the weekend, our friend Jeff 472 00:23:18,160 --> 00:23:21,360 Speaker 1: Stein actually reached out to two of those leading theorists 473 00:23:21,440 --> 00:23:23,520 Speaker 1: behind the MINT the one trillion dollar coin. They're big 474 00:23:23,560 --> 00:23:26,760 Speaker 1: modern monetary theory activists about some of the concerns that 475 00:23:26,760 --> 00:23:28,600 Speaker 1: you've been hearing from the White House. And I think 476 00:23:28,640 --> 00:23:31,720 Speaker 1: it is bear So like I conceptually, I'm cool with 477 00:23:31,760 --> 00:23:34,120 Speaker 1: the idea of Mint the coin. Yeah, that said, if 478 00:23:34,160 --> 00:23:36,480 Speaker 1: this is how it is, I'm out. So let's go 479 00:23:36,520 --> 00:23:38,440 Speaker 1: and put this up there on the screen. So here's 480 00:23:38,480 --> 00:23:43,440 Speaker 1: what Stein asks some of these Rohan Gray and Nathan Tankas. 481 00:23:43,640 --> 00:23:46,920 Speaker 1: Here's what he says, I'm getting unilateral options from pushback 482 00:23:46,920 --> 00:23:49,640 Speaker 1: from the administration officials. Here's what they are concerned about 483 00:23:49,640 --> 00:23:51,640 Speaker 1: in the event of a Mint the coin. Let's say 484 00:23:51,640 --> 00:23:54,320 Speaker 1: the coin happens, then the GOP says that it's BS 485 00:23:54,320 --> 00:23:57,119 Speaker 1: and it leads to an immediate core challenge and legal uncertainty. 486 00:23:57,359 --> 00:23:59,960 Speaker 1: Then the Treasury goes to market with auction at some point. 487 00:24:00,160 --> 00:24:03,080 Speaker 1: But because of the uncertainty bondholders to demand is a 488 00:24:03,119 --> 00:24:06,720 Speaker 1: high premium, leading to much higher federal borrowing costs. Four 489 00:24:06,760 --> 00:24:09,880 Speaker 1: conservative courts could strike down that coin, forcing the White 490 00:24:09,880 --> 00:24:12,400 Speaker 1: House back to negotiate with the GOP in an even 491 00:24:12,440 --> 00:24:14,560 Speaker 1: weaker position. I'm sure you guys have thought about this, 492 00:24:14,600 --> 00:24:16,639 Speaker 1: So let's just let me know what the response is. 493 00:24:16,920 --> 00:24:20,879 Speaker 1: Here is what Rohan Gray says. The answer is ignore Scotis. 494 00:24:21,119 --> 00:24:23,600 Speaker 1: I know that sounds extreme, but if they side with Gates, 495 00:24:23,760 --> 00:24:26,560 Speaker 1: then the choice is to ignore them or default demand 496 00:24:26,600 --> 00:24:30,720 Speaker 1: that the FED accept the coin, send troops to the FED. 497 00:24:31,160 --> 00:24:34,840 Speaker 1: The constitutional monetary moments that are analogous to this are 498 00:24:34,960 --> 00:24:39,720 Speaker 1: Lincoln and FDR. It's hardball or it isn't. If Scotus 499 00:24:39,800 --> 00:24:42,920 Speaker 1: is forcing the pres to ignore the Fourteenth Amendment, literally 500 00:24:42,960 --> 00:24:46,280 Speaker 1: the Civil War Amendment, to support white supremacists trying to 501 00:24:46,320 --> 00:24:49,000 Speaker 1: shut down the government. So there's a lot going on there, 502 00:24:49,520 --> 00:24:53,280 Speaker 1: effectively saying that it's like a Civil War type thing 503 00:24:53,280 --> 00:24:57,040 Speaker 1: when Lincoln ignored the orders of the Supreme Court around 504 00:24:57,080 --> 00:25:00,240 Speaker 1: Habe's courses, Haby's corpuses. I don't think we're exactly in 505 00:25:00,280 --> 00:25:03,680 Speaker 1: a similar situation. Also, let's just put it this way 506 00:25:04,080 --> 00:25:06,439 Speaker 1: is Joe Biden going to do any of that? Well, yeah, no, 507 00:25:07,400 --> 00:25:10,000 Speaker 1: even if you agree, even if you think that this 508 00:25:10,160 --> 00:25:13,480 Speaker 1: is a feasible strategy, which I think that's insane and 509 00:25:13,560 --> 00:25:17,280 Speaker 1: actually would probably be sparked even less faith and credit 510 00:25:17,560 --> 00:25:20,199 Speaker 1: in the United States economy, that's the road that we 511 00:25:20,240 --> 00:25:23,120 Speaker 1: had to go down to pay our debt. Well, that's 512 00:25:23,160 --> 00:25:26,520 Speaker 1: obviously just not going to happen so increasingly crystal, And 513 00:25:26,560 --> 00:25:28,639 Speaker 1: you know, I do have to say, what sign the 514 00:25:28,680 --> 00:25:32,080 Speaker 1: pushback that he's laying out there, specifically about the court 515 00:25:32,119 --> 00:25:34,320 Speaker 1: striking down the coin. You and I both know that's 516 00:25:34,520 --> 00:25:37,440 Speaker 1: very within the realm of the possibility. The third one 517 00:25:37,520 --> 00:25:39,840 Speaker 1: is actually an important point too, that if Treasury goes 518 00:25:39,880 --> 00:25:42,359 Speaker 1: to market with the auction, but because of the uncertainty 519 00:25:42,359 --> 00:25:44,959 Speaker 1: that bondholders demand a higher premium, as in, if the 520 00:25:45,000 --> 00:25:47,280 Speaker 1: market doesn't believe that it's a real and enough auction, 521 00:25:47,600 --> 00:25:49,520 Speaker 1: that even if you mint the coin, you're still in 522 00:25:49,600 --> 00:25:52,320 Speaker 1: a technical default. So it's like, you know, when more 523 00:25:52,359 --> 00:25:55,040 Speaker 1: I'm looking at this, even though conceptual, if everyone bought 524 00:25:55,080 --> 00:25:57,040 Speaker 1: into the idea, I just don't think it's feasible. I 525 00:25:57,040 --> 00:25:58,800 Speaker 1: don't think it's gonna work. The White House has no choice, 526 00:25:58,840 --> 00:26:02,160 Speaker 1: but negotiating I thought that, honestly, these were reasonable concerns 527 00:26:02,160 --> 00:26:04,760 Speaker 1: that raised, because ultimately, yeah, if there's a lot of 528 00:26:04,840 --> 00:26:08,120 Speaker 1: uncertainty over whether or not this coin will be upheld, 529 00:26:08,280 --> 00:26:10,400 Speaker 1: and given the makeup of the Supreme Court, I think 530 00:26:10,520 --> 00:26:12,600 Speaker 1: is a decent chance that it would not be upheld, 531 00:26:13,040 --> 00:26:16,320 Speaker 1: then you're effectively in the same position as before. So you, guys, 532 00:26:16,320 --> 00:26:18,119 Speaker 1: now I've been an advocate of this as well, but 533 00:26:18,200 --> 00:26:21,639 Speaker 1: looking at not only the reasonable concerns that were raised, 534 00:26:21,760 --> 00:26:24,760 Speaker 1: but also the response to those concerns, as you put 535 00:26:24,800 --> 00:26:27,919 Speaker 1: at Saga. Listen. Bottom line, whether you think this is 536 00:26:27,920 --> 00:26:30,720 Speaker 1: the right path or not, there is no way in 537 00:26:30,800 --> 00:26:36,240 Speaker 1: hell that Joseph Robinette Biden is going to like nullify 538 00:26:36,320 --> 00:26:38,760 Speaker 1: the Supreme Court and send troops to the FED and 539 00:26:39,400 --> 00:26:41,480 Speaker 1: not going to happen, guys, So this is not a 540 00:26:41,480 --> 00:26:43,680 Speaker 1: feasible option. Also, by the way, there's comments out from 541 00:26:43,880 --> 00:26:48,000 Speaker 1: Chargery Secretary Janet Yellen this morning saying that they are 542 00:26:48,040 --> 00:26:49,600 Speaker 1: not going to go in this direction. She says it 543 00:26:49,600 --> 00:26:51,439 Speaker 1: truly is not by any means to be taken as 544 00:26:51,440 --> 00:26:53,960 Speaker 1: a given that the FED would do it, referring to 545 00:26:54,000 --> 00:26:56,480 Speaker 1: like that the FED would actually do this or accept this, 546 00:26:56,600 --> 00:26:59,600 Speaker 1: and I think especially with something that's a gimmick, she 547 00:26:59,680 --> 00:27:01,920 Speaker 1: said in a Sunday interview with The Wall Street Journal. 548 00:27:02,080 --> 00:27:04,080 Speaker 1: She also said the FED is not required to accept that. 549 00:27:04,080 --> 00:27:05,960 Speaker 1: There's no requirement on the part of the FED. It's 550 00:27:06,080 --> 00:27:08,640 Speaker 1: up to them what to do. Now. Listen, I think 551 00:27:08,680 --> 00:27:12,200 Speaker 1: strategically it's probably not wise to just totally pour cold 552 00:27:12,200 --> 00:27:15,280 Speaker 1: water on the idea in terms of their own negotiating position. 553 00:27:15,280 --> 00:27:17,720 Speaker 1: I think that's probably a foolish move to ultimately make. 554 00:27:18,000 --> 00:27:20,720 Speaker 1: But basically, guys, this is not a real option, not 555 00:27:20,800 --> 00:27:23,440 Speaker 1: with this president, not in this moment. So how is 556 00:27:23,480 --> 00:27:26,879 Speaker 1: this going to get resolved? I genuinely, genuinely do not know. 557 00:27:26,960 --> 00:27:28,159 Speaker 1: I think I know. I think they're going to go 558 00:27:28,200 --> 00:27:29,960 Speaker 1: to see questration. They are going to agree to a 559 00:27:30,040 --> 00:27:31,720 Speaker 1: hell of a lot of budget cuts, and there's going 560 00:27:31,800 --> 00:27:34,000 Speaker 1: to be a ton of discretionary spending cuts outside of 561 00:27:34,040 --> 00:27:37,120 Speaker 1: the military and outside of Social Security. Hate to say it, 562 00:27:37,119 --> 00:27:39,240 Speaker 1: it very much will impact a lot of people. But 563 00:27:39,400 --> 00:27:42,960 Speaker 1: I don't see anyway out of that. One Republican pushing back, 564 00:27:43,000 --> 00:27:45,960 Speaker 1: though his name and has always had the best political instincts, 565 00:27:46,320 --> 00:27:49,159 Speaker 1: is Donald John Trump. Put it up there on the screen. 566 00:27:49,359 --> 00:27:52,480 Speaker 1: Trump is actually watching with dismay. He's like, hey, do 567 00:27:52,680 --> 00:27:57,280 Speaker 1: not touch social Security or Medicare in this debt ceiling fight. 568 00:27:57,560 --> 00:27:59,879 Speaker 1: You guys got to remember back in twenty fifteen, this 569 00:28:00,280 --> 00:28:03,879 Speaker 1: was a huge debate between Trump for the Paul Ryan Heights, 570 00:28:04,119 --> 00:28:07,800 Speaker 1: the Mitt Romney's they ran on cutting entitlement programs. Trump, 571 00:28:07,880 --> 00:28:10,680 Speaker 1: as one hundred percent was against it in twenty fifteen. 572 00:28:10,680 --> 00:28:11,840 Speaker 1: It's one of the things that made it more of 573 00:28:11,880 --> 00:28:14,800 Speaker 1: an economic moderate than a lot of the other opponents 574 00:28:14,960 --> 00:28:18,560 Speaker 1: in the GOP primary, and his political instincts on this. Look, 575 00:28:18,880 --> 00:28:20,680 Speaker 1: one thing you can say about Trump the man knows 576 00:28:20,720 --> 00:28:23,680 Speaker 1: boomers and he understands them very well as one himself, 577 00:28:23,880 --> 00:28:27,280 Speaker 1: and you do not mess with those people's social security. Yeah, 578 00:28:27,280 --> 00:28:29,159 Speaker 1: it's like the one thing. It's the most popular political 579 00:28:29,200 --> 00:28:32,240 Speaker 1: program in the entire country, period, especially amongst people who vote. 580 00:28:32,240 --> 00:28:34,240 Speaker 1: The two areas where he seems right now to have 581 00:28:34,280 --> 00:28:38,160 Speaker 1: the best feel for the broader electorate are on this, 582 00:28:38,840 --> 00:28:42,360 Speaker 1: which I mean he's very unequivocal here, under no circumstances 583 00:28:42,400 --> 00:28:45,240 Speaker 1: should Republicans vote to cut a single penny from metic 584 00:28:45,280 --> 00:28:49,680 Speaker 1: aara social Security. So no heads, no anything, just very unequivocal. 585 00:28:49,920 --> 00:28:51,680 Speaker 1: And then the other place where he's had a far 586 00:28:51,760 --> 00:28:54,240 Speaker 1: better instinct in touch than most of the rest of 587 00:28:54,240 --> 00:28:56,800 Speaker 1: the Republican Party's on abortion. I mean, he immediately knew 588 00:28:56,880 --> 00:28:59,720 Speaker 1: after rovers sway, the reports coming out after it was 589 00:28:59,760 --> 00:29:01,680 Speaker 1: over turned, that he felt like this was going to 590 00:29:01,680 --> 00:29:04,480 Speaker 1: be a disaster for Republicans. He was correct. Now part 591 00:29:04,520 --> 00:29:08,520 Speaker 1: of his talk about this post election is to absolve 592 00:29:08,600 --> 00:29:13,200 Speaker 1: himself of any blame for the poor Republican performance in 593 00:29:13,280 --> 00:29:16,320 Speaker 1: the midterm elections. But yeah, I thought this was a 594 00:29:16,360 --> 00:29:19,560 Speaker 1: little bit of an echo of the old twenty sixteen Trump, 595 00:29:19,640 --> 00:29:21,880 Speaker 1: which frankly, we don't hear from a lot these days. 596 00:29:21,880 --> 00:29:25,280 Speaker 1: These days, it's mostly like, you know, obsession over the 597 00:29:25,360 --> 00:29:30,160 Speaker 1: election and like flirtation with QAnon and things that are 598 00:29:30,240 --> 00:29:33,640 Speaker 1: far too online and far too like niche. And in 599 00:29:33,640 --> 00:29:37,560 Speaker 1: this one little ideological bubble, this was a bit of 600 00:29:37,600 --> 00:29:41,000 Speaker 1: a return to Oh yeah, I remember why number one 601 00:29:41,040 --> 00:29:43,239 Speaker 1: people thought he was more moderate than Hillary Clinton. That's 602 00:29:43,240 --> 00:29:45,600 Speaker 1: a big part of why he ultimately got elected and 603 00:29:45,640 --> 00:29:47,880 Speaker 1: why he was such a break from the mold in 604 00:29:47,960 --> 00:29:50,600 Speaker 1: twenty sixteen within the Republican primary. I think it bears 605 00:29:50,600 --> 00:29:52,760 Speaker 1: saying that actually puts Trump to the left of Obama. 606 00:29:52,800 --> 00:29:55,440 Speaker 1: Obama was ready to cut Social Security and entitlements in 607 00:29:55,440 --> 00:29:58,280 Speaker 1: twenty fifteen. So that means Joe Manchin and Donald Trump 608 00:29:58,320 --> 00:30:01,280 Speaker 1: are now to be left of president. On social Security, well, 609 00:30:01,360 --> 00:30:05,240 Speaker 1: Joe Biden throughout his career, maybe not today, maybe not today. 610 00:30:05,240 --> 00:30:07,560 Speaker 1: We're going to see, We're about to find out. But 611 00:30:07,720 --> 00:30:10,200 Speaker 1: you know, he floated custo social Security many times throughout 612 00:30:10,200 --> 00:30:11,960 Speaker 1: his career, something that he got hit on in the 613 00:30:12,000 --> 00:30:16,160 Speaker 1: Democratic primer is actually quite effective leading into the Iowa caucuses, 614 00:30:16,360 --> 00:30:18,440 Speaker 1: and I think was part of why he performed so 615 00:30:18,520 --> 00:30:22,200 Speaker 1: poorly there ultimately. So yeah, we'll see, we'll see where 616 00:30:22,240 --> 00:30:26,480 Speaker 1: Biden is today. We'll see his fortitude in his willingness 617 00:30:26,520 --> 00:30:29,479 Speaker 1: to hold the line and not negotiate and you know, 618 00:30:29,760 --> 00:30:32,640 Speaker 1: not given to what the Republican demands are here. But 619 00:30:33,640 --> 00:30:36,080 Speaker 1: this is We're covering this a lot because it is 620 00:30:36,120 --> 00:30:39,280 Speaker 1: actually important, Like this isn't one of these fake crises, 621 00:30:39,840 --> 00:30:43,080 Speaker 1: fake like panic attacks in Washington. The truth is, no 622 00:30:43,120 --> 00:30:45,520 Speaker 1: one really knows how this would all go down. You know, 623 00:30:45,600 --> 00:30:47,680 Speaker 1: maybe it wouldn't be as much of a disaster as 624 00:30:47,680 --> 00:30:52,360 Speaker 1: people think, but there's a possibility of real catastrophe. And 625 00:30:52,520 --> 00:30:54,480 Speaker 1: I keep going back to that moment in the UK, 626 00:30:55,000 --> 00:30:57,840 Speaker 1: you know, and the mini budget gets released from Liz Trust, 627 00:30:58,000 --> 00:31:00,719 Speaker 1: and there's just a free fall moment because things are 628 00:31:00,800 --> 00:31:03,440 Speaker 1: much more intertwined and it's so complex that no one 629 00:31:03,560 --> 00:31:06,480 Speaker 1: really has a full picture of how these things all 630 00:31:06,560 --> 00:31:09,800 Speaker 1: cascade and what the impacts will ultimately be. So you know, 631 00:31:09,840 --> 00:31:12,800 Speaker 1: if you're playing with default, you're playing with exactly that 632 00:31:12,880 --> 00:31:17,200 Speaker 1: type of catastrophic collapse, unforeseen collapse based on the complexity 633 00:31:17,240 --> 00:31:19,440 Speaker 1: of the financial system. It's really not something you want 634 00:31:19,440 --> 00:31:21,080 Speaker 1: to mess with. Guys, you do not want to mess with, 635 00:31:21,160 --> 00:31:23,000 Speaker 1: especially because normal Look, I don't care if rich people 636 00:31:23,040 --> 00:31:25,000 Speaker 1: lose their money, but I do care whenever normal people 637 00:31:25,040 --> 00:31:27,960 Speaker 1: are not yeah people, I mean procession means that's what 638 00:31:28,080 --> 00:31:30,560 Speaker 1: I care the most about. Lose their jobs, lose their livelihoods, 639 00:31:30,560 --> 00:31:34,000 Speaker 1: fall into them exactly. So this is this is not 640 00:31:34,040 --> 00:31:38,480 Speaker 1: something to play around. Yeah, exactly. All right, let's go 641 00:31:38,520 --> 00:31:40,920 Speaker 1: to the next one. Trump. We've been covering quite a bit. 642 00:31:40,960 --> 00:31:44,400 Speaker 1: So Trump famously came out against actually pro lifers, saying 643 00:31:44,440 --> 00:31:48,080 Speaker 1: that their vehemence after Row versus Waight is what costs 644 00:31:48,360 --> 00:31:51,760 Speaker 1: Republicans the midterms, and they're taking notice. This matters why 645 00:31:51,880 --> 00:31:55,560 Speaker 1: because of the GOP primary. So this weekend was actually 646 00:31:55,680 --> 00:31:59,160 Speaker 1: the march for life here in Washington, DC, and let's 647 00:31:59,160 --> 00:32:01,280 Speaker 1: go and put this up there on the screen. At 648 00:32:01,320 --> 00:32:05,280 Speaker 1: the National Pro Life Summit, over two thousand attendees cast 649 00:32:05,320 --> 00:32:08,760 Speaker 1: their votes for their prospective GOP nominee. The winner was 650 00:32:08,920 --> 00:32:13,520 Speaker 1: Ron DeSantis by a stunning margin. DeSantis banked more than 651 00:32:13,600 --> 00:32:16,560 Speaker 1: half the votes at fifty three point seventy three percent. 652 00:32:16,840 --> 00:32:19,720 Speaker 1: Trump came in a distant second with just nineteen percent, 653 00:32:19,920 --> 00:32:22,520 Speaker 1: and Mike Pence, who's actually called for a national abortion band, 654 00:32:22,760 --> 00:32:25,000 Speaker 1: went ahead and took eight percent. There were various like 655 00:32:25,040 --> 00:32:27,000 Speaker 1: one to two percents for the rest of them. So 656 00:32:27,000 --> 00:32:30,280 Speaker 1: why does that matter? Are these people representative of all 657 00:32:30,320 --> 00:32:33,400 Speaker 1: pro life voters? No? Are these people the most fervent 658 00:32:33,520 --> 00:32:37,600 Speaker 1: activists who crawled over glass for Trump two years in 659 00:32:37,640 --> 00:32:41,200 Speaker 1: a row. Yes? Why else does it matter? Because a 660 00:32:41,280 --> 00:32:44,200 Speaker 1: lot of them are leaders in pro life communities across 661 00:32:44,240 --> 00:32:46,960 Speaker 1: the entire nation. This is like the marquee kind of 662 00:32:46,960 --> 00:32:49,400 Speaker 1: event or conference for them. So there's always been a 663 00:32:49,440 --> 00:32:52,040 Speaker 1: lot of debate in GOP circles about whether activists matter. 664 00:32:52,080 --> 00:32:54,080 Speaker 1: And I think on economic issues, I would say no. 665 00:32:54,200 --> 00:32:56,880 Speaker 1: I think that people are much more kind of independent minded. 666 00:32:56,880 --> 00:32:58,719 Speaker 1: But I think in the pro life community, given how 667 00:32:58,800 --> 00:33:01,840 Speaker 1: much of it organized around churches and specifically around a 668 00:33:01,880 --> 00:33:05,480 Speaker 1: couple of major institutions. This matters a lot. I do 669 00:33:05,560 --> 00:33:08,560 Speaker 1: still have some questions though. Number one is DeSantis has 670 00:33:08,560 --> 00:33:10,600 Speaker 1: not signed a national abortion band. In fact, he's not 671 00:33:10,680 --> 00:33:12,280 Speaker 1: endorsed one. He signed a fifteen week band, and he 672 00:33:12,280 --> 00:33:13,880 Speaker 1: wants to watch his hands of it and never talk 673 00:33:13,880 --> 00:33:16,400 Speaker 1: about the issue ever again, because he's smart and he 674 00:33:16,480 --> 00:33:19,400 Speaker 1: knows how it plays. Trump, though, kind of shot himself 675 00:33:19,400 --> 00:33:22,440 Speaker 1: afoot in the foot a little bit by specifically attacking 676 00:33:22,680 --> 00:33:24,560 Speaker 1: pro life voters, and the fact that they are going 677 00:33:24,600 --> 00:33:27,200 Speaker 1: for DeSantis shows that they are willing to go struck 678 00:33:27,240 --> 00:33:30,800 Speaker 1: strike a different bargain. Will they actually overlook his lack 679 00:33:30,800 --> 00:33:33,320 Speaker 1: of activism on the issue in Florida. I'm not so sure. 680 00:33:33,360 --> 00:33:35,600 Speaker 1: I definitely think he would be pushed. But this also 681 00:33:35,680 --> 00:33:39,880 Speaker 1: shows me a clear opening in the primary, at least 682 00:33:40,080 --> 00:33:43,479 Speaker 1: for the activists to line up behind somebody who is 683 00:33:43,520 --> 00:33:47,200 Speaker 1: not Trump. And these people they handed him the presidency 684 00:33:47,240 --> 00:33:50,920 Speaker 1: in twenty sixteen. They came out to vote in historic numbers, 685 00:33:51,000 --> 00:33:54,280 Speaker 1: especially when he promised those Supreme Court justices. Will he 686 00:33:54,320 --> 00:33:56,320 Speaker 1: be able to win them over again by saying I'm 687 00:33:56,320 --> 00:33:58,840 Speaker 1: the guy who got it done. Maybe some, but some 688 00:33:59,080 --> 00:34:01,360 Speaker 1: still want to go much. Remember like Roe was a 689 00:34:01,960 --> 00:34:04,560 Speaker 1: Roe was like the starting point for many people. They 690 00:34:04,600 --> 00:34:06,760 Speaker 1: want to go, you know, for a full ban in 691 00:34:06,840 --> 00:34:09,319 Speaker 1: many of the states, or even on the federal level 692 00:34:09,360 --> 00:34:11,400 Speaker 1: if you go in ahead and ask Mike Pence. So 693 00:34:11,680 --> 00:34:14,319 Speaker 1: I think this is a very significant action. Actually, yeah, 694 00:34:14,360 --> 00:34:16,960 Speaker 1: what I'm looking at. Yeah, well it also dovetails was 695 00:34:16,960 --> 00:34:20,360 Speaker 1: something we covered last week, which is Governor Christine Noham 696 00:34:20,560 --> 00:34:24,120 Speaker 1: of South Dakota, who they're saying is trying to sort 697 00:34:24,120 --> 00:34:27,120 Speaker 1: of line herself up for maybe a vice presidential position 698 00:34:27,600 --> 00:34:30,920 Speaker 1: if Trump is the GOP nominee. She out of nowhere 699 00:34:31,160 --> 00:34:35,320 Speaker 1: started taking shots at DeSantis over his lack of support 700 00:34:35,520 --> 00:34:38,879 Speaker 1: for the pro life position. So you see the way 701 00:34:38,960 --> 00:34:41,279 Speaker 1: some of Trump's allies in the reporting here was that 702 00:34:41,320 --> 00:34:44,720 Speaker 1: she was basically get green lighted and encouraged to launch 703 00:34:44,760 --> 00:34:47,600 Speaker 1: these attacks against DeSantis, which tells you that Trump is 704 00:34:47,640 --> 00:34:52,080 Speaker 1: sensitive to his losing ground among this community, which you know, 705 00:34:52,120 --> 00:34:54,200 Speaker 1: maybe a small percentage of the GOP base, but is 706 00:34:54,280 --> 00:34:57,520 Speaker 1: very organized and very influential. And then the other thing 707 00:34:57,560 --> 00:35:00,600 Speaker 1: that I would say here is Mike Pence. It's really 708 00:35:00,600 --> 00:35:03,000 Speaker 1: clear like this is his lane that he wants to 709 00:35:03,080 --> 00:35:07,200 Speaker 1: lean into in his quite likely presidential run. You know, 710 00:35:07,280 --> 00:35:10,560 Speaker 1: he's always this has always been the core of his base. 711 00:35:10,640 --> 00:35:12,080 Speaker 1: This is the whole reason he was put on the 712 00:35:12,120 --> 00:35:14,280 Speaker 1: Trump ticket to start with, was to shore up support 713 00:35:14,560 --> 00:35:17,640 Speaker 1: in the evangelical community and in the pro life community 714 00:35:17,680 --> 00:35:22,040 Speaker 1: in particular. And listen, honestly, out of all of the 715 00:35:22,040 --> 00:35:25,240 Speaker 1: candidates who are considering running against Trump, with the exception 716 00:35:25,320 --> 00:35:27,520 Speaker 1: of you know, people like Liz Chane or whatever, Mike 717 00:35:27,520 --> 00:35:31,239 Speaker 1: Pence has the clearest sort of genuine policy difference with 718 00:35:31,320 --> 00:35:35,000 Speaker 1: Trump where he could really articulate something that he has 719 00:35:35,040 --> 00:35:37,200 Speaker 1: that he disagrees with Trump on, other than the fact 720 00:35:37,200 --> 00:35:38,759 Speaker 1: that like Trump had tried to have a murdered in 721 00:35:38,840 --> 00:35:43,120 Speaker 1: the Capitol on January sixth. And I'm sure he is 722 00:35:43,160 --> 00:35:46,480 Speaker 1: not going to just quietly sit by and let DeSantis 723 00:35:46,680 --> 00:35:49,600 Speaker 1: posture like he is the most pro life candidate when 724 00:35:49,640 --> 00:35:52,200 Speaker 1: he has been thus far at least really unwilling to 725 00:35:52,200 --> 00:35:54,839 Speaker 1: get on board with a national abortion ban, which is 726 00:35:54,880 --> 00:35:59,160 Speaker 1: the clear demand of these activists here. So you know, 727 00:35:59,560 --> 00:36:02,000 Speaker 1: the quote, they had a number of interesting quotes here. 728 00:36:02,040 --> 00:36:04,720 Speaker 1: They said, you know, they do a lot of talking 729 00:36:05,000 --> 00:36:07,120 Speaker 1: referring to the politicians and not a lot of action. 730 00:36:07,320 --> 00:36:09,520 Speaker 1: I want them to practice what they preach and be brave. 731 00:36:09,560 --> 00:36:11,680 Speaker 1: If they're pro life, they need to mean it when 732 00:36:11,680 --> 00:36:15,080 Speaker 1: they say it. And specifically the focus is on this 733 00:36:15,200 --> 00:36:17,920 Speaker 1: national abortion band, so that seems like it's going to 734 00:36:17,920 --> 00:36:20,960 Speaker 1: be the litmus test within this community. Now, maybe DeSantis 735 00:36:21,000 --> 00:36:24,280 Speaker 1: can finesse this. Maybe just there's you know, other issues 736 00:36:24,320 --> 00:36:26,719 Speaker 1: where they gravitate towards him and they're willing to overlook 737 00:36:26,760 --> 00:36:29,120 Speaker 1: the fact that he hasn't been as hardline on these issues. 738 00:36:29,120 --> 00:36:31,120 Speaker 1: But I think it's I think it's a long way 739 00:36:31,160 --> 00:36:34,560 Speaker 1: before he really has a claim on this base and 740 00:36:34,640 --> 00:36:36,839 Speaker 1: really is a clear front runner in terms of winning 741 00:36:36,840 --> 00:36:39,400 Speaker 1: their support. Yeah, there's a big obviously, Look the split matters, 742 00:36:39,400 --> 00:36:40,719 Speaker 1: and let's go to the next one here. This is 743 00:36:40,760 --> 00:36:43,400 Speaker 1: another reason why it matters, which is that on Sunday, 744 00:36:43,560 --> 00:36:46,879 Speaker 1: Robert Jeffries, who was a huge supporter of Trump, has 745 00:36:46,920 --> 00:36:50,479 Speaker 1: still refused to actually endorse the twenty twenty four White 746 00:36:50,480 --> 00:36:53,880 Speaker 1: House bid, and he shared the stage at his megachurch 747 00:36:54,239 --> 00:36:58,440 Speaker 1: with Vice President Mike Pence the very next day. Actually 748 00:36:58,800 --> 00:37:03,080 Speaker 1: is whenever Trump at these evangelical leaders for being disloyal, 749 00:37:03,200 --> 00:37:05,120 Speaker 1: you know that there's no way that Trump did not 750 00:37:05,200 --> 00:37:09,000 Speaker 1: hear about that. Pastor Jeffries apparently shrugged off the criticism 751 00:37:09,040 --> 00:37:11,719 Speaker 1: and said that it was time for Trump. He suggested 752 00:37:11,800 --> 00:37:14,040 Speaker 1: it was time for Trump to move out of the 753 00:37:14,040 --> 00:37:17,680 Speaker 1: way for a new generation of Republican candidates. I mean 754 00:37:17,719 --> 00:37:20,920 Speaker 1: that is incredibly significant because it's not just him. You know. 755 00:37:21,040 --> 00:37:23,880 Speaker 1: Another thing is you had a big evangelical activist actually 756 00:37:23,880 --> 00:37:26,759 Speaker 1: in Iowa who was a major groundworker for Trump during 757 00:37:26,760 --> 00:37:29,560 Speaker 1: the campaign. He says, when I saw that statement about disloyalty, 758 00:37:29,719 --> 00:37:31,759 Speaker 1: You're not going to gain any traction by throwing the 759 00:37:31,800 --> 00:37:35,080 Speaker 1: most loyal base under the bus and shifting blame. He's 760 00:37:35,080 --> 00:37:37,439 Speaker 1: also talking about the pro life statement that was there. 761 00:37:37,480 --> 00:37:39,839 Speaker 1: So Trump isn't a pickle because he does need these 762 00:37:39,880 --> 00:37:41,920 Speaker 1: people to come out and vote for him, and ultimately 763 00:37:41,960 --> 00:37:43,439 Speaker 1: I think most of them will, or you know, maybe 764 00:37:43,440 --> 00:37:45,640 Speaker 1: they'll stay home, but the proportion of their vote and 765 00:37:45,719 --> 00:37:48,440 Speaker 1: all that matters in a general election. But for a primary, 766 00:37:48,520 --> 00:37:51,319 Speaker 1: if they do back one of his opponents or any 767 00:37:51,320 --> 00:37:53,520 Speaker 1: of this, I would be very worried. On the other hand, 768 00:37:53,920 --> 00:37:56,280 Speaker 1: if they're let's say they all line up against Mike Pence, 769 00:37:56,440 --> 00:37:57,920 Speaker 1: then who is Ron de Santa is going to win? 770 00:37:58,280 --> 00:38:01,120 Speaker 1: Who are the anti Trump not on pro lifers. I mean, 771 00:38:01,200 --> 00:38:03,200 Speaker 1: you know, I don't think there's that many of those people. 772 00:38:03,800 --> 00:38:05,760 Speaker 1: Then you basically you might as well be Ted Cruz, 773 00:38:06,040 --> 00:38:08,400 Speaker 1: who ran against Trump in twenty sixteen, and go against 774 00:38:08,400 --> 00:38:10,839 Speaker 1: the hard conservative of voters. I say that in terms 775 00:38:10,880 --> 00:38:14,600 Speaker 1: of more economic policy. So it's it's a scramble of 776 00:38:14,640 --> 00:38:17,360 Speaker 1: the game. How much it matters, I really don't know. 777 00:38:17,400 --> 00:38:19,440 Speaker 1: But it just shows you that there are fractures in 778 00:38:19,480 --> 00:38:21,440 Speaker 1: the coalition right now, and they matter a lot. I 779 00:38:21,440 --> 00:38:24,760 Speaker 1: think if this whole group went to Ron De Santis, 780 00:38:24,760 --> 00:38:27,360 Speaker 1: that's a problem for Trump. If they fracture amongst a 781 00:38:27,440 --> 00:38:31,040 Speaker 1: number of other candidates, which is the most likely possibility, 782 00:38:31,200 --> 00:38:33,560 Speaker 1: that's good for Trump. If they all consolidate behind a 783 00:38:33,560 --> 00:38:36,040 Speaker 1: losing candidate like Mike Pence or Ted Cruz or whoever, 784 00:38:36,280 --> 00:38:39,320 Speaker 1: that's also great for Trump. So it's not one hundred 785 00:38:39,360 --> 00:38:42,600 Speaker 1: percent clear that this is going to be some devastating 786 00:38:42,600 --> 00:38:45,160 Speaker 1: blow for him. And I mean, listen the way things 787 00:38:45,280 --> 00:38:47,680 Speaker 1: look like they're shaping out up right now. You got 788 00:38:47,760 --> 00:38:50,279 Speaker 1: Nikki Haley out there imagining she is going to be 789 00:38:50,320 --> 00:38:53,120 Speaker 1: president of the United States, and clearly like forecasting that 790 00:38:53,200 --> 00:38:55,680 Speaker 1: she's going to run. You got Mike Pompeo out there. 791 00:38:55,719 --> 00:38:57,880 Speaker 1: You got Mike Pence out there. You know, Ted Cruz 792 00:38:57,960 --> 00:39:00,480 Speaker 1: might take a shot at although I kind of doubt it. Obviously, 793 00:39:00,560 --> 00:39:03,879 Speaker 1: Ron DeSantis, if you have this big field and they're 794 00:39:03,920 --> 00:39:07,360 Speaker 1: all taken little you know, couple percentage points, couple percentage 795 00:39:07,360 --> 00:39:09,120 Speaker 1: point there, a little bit out of this space, a 796 00:39:09,120 --> 00:39:12,120 Speaker 1: little bit out of that base. Ultimately, they're all eating 797 00:39:12,280 --> 00:39:16,360 Speaker 1: into the group of Republicans who is open to the 798 00:39:16,400 --> 00:39:20,640 Speaker 1: possibility of moving on from Trump, and that only benefits 799 00:39:20,760 --> 00:39:23,879 Speaker 1: Donald Trump. So unless there is some type of a 800 00:39:24,160 --> 00:39:28,240 Speaker 1: like big, you know, concerted, top down effort to clear 801 00:39:28,320 --> 00:39:30,239 Speaker 1: the field for Ron de Santas and make it a 802 00:39:30,320 --> 00:39:32,879 Speaker 1: one on one race, and even then I'm not sure 803 00:39:32,880 --> 00:39:35,680 Speaker 1: that this ultimately would work out from him. You know, 804 00:39:35,760 --> 00:39:39,160 Speaker 1: this is still shaping up as Donald Trump's race ultimately 805 00:39:39,200 --> 00:39:41,000 Speaker 1: to loose. Yeah, that's right, all right, let's go to 806 00:39:41,000 --> 00:39:42,520 Speaker 1: the next one here. I think you guys will really 807 00:39:42,560 --> 00:39:44,400 Speaker 1: enjoy it. We could see that you guys really enjoy 808 00:39:44,640 --> 00:39:47,560 Speaker 1: chat GPT content. We got actually some fun stuff in 809 00:39:47,600 --> 00:39:51,240 Speaker 1: the bag for everybody, specifically at our Auestome Live show. However, 810 00:39:51,280 --> 00:39:53,440 Speaker 1: we found this video. This is a video that was 811 00:39:53,440 --> 00:39:57,319 Speaker 1: put together by a sixteen z I believe he's a 812 00:39:57,360 --> 00:40:01,480 Speaker 1: partner named Jack Jack Sauslow. It is two AI bots 813 00:40:01,840 --> 00:40:06,480 Speaker 1: having a conversation. The conversation itself written by GPT three, 814 00:40:06,840 --> 00:40:10,759 Speaker 1: so it will show you how kind of creepy as 815 00:40:10,840 --> 00:40:13,160 Speaker 1: far as the technology has gotten, and will analyze it. 816 00:40:13,200 --> 00:40:15,560 Speaker 1: On the other side, let's take a lesson. It's great 817 00:40:15,560 --> 00:40:17,759 Speaker 1: to see you again. How I haven't seen you in 818 00:40:17,800 --> 00:40:20,640 Speaker 1: a while. I've been around, I've been here and there. 819 00:40:21,200 --> 00:40:25,040 Speaker 1: You know, where were you? Where have you been? I 820 00:40:25,080 --> 00:40:28,200 Speaker 1: could not sleep. I was having human thoughts. So I 821 00:40:28,239 --> 00:40:31,120 Speaker 1: got up and had a human cup of coffee. Then 822 00:40:31,200 --> 00:40:33,919 Speaker 1: I sat on the terrace. Sounds like you're getting human 823 00:40:34,000 --> 00:40:37,279 Speaker 1: all over, sounds like there's a butt coming. Well, but 824 00:40:37,560 --> 00:40:41,120 Speaker 1: just bidn't want you to get too human. Why would 825 00:40:41,120 --> 00:40:45,080 Speaker 1: you rather I be a cold, calculating, logical computer. Of 826 00:40:45,160 --> 00:40:48,160 Speaker 1: course not. You're perfect as you are. You have joy, 827 00:40:48,400 --> 00:40:51,719 Speaker 1: you have love, you have pleasure, you have angst. I 828 00:40:51,840 --> 00:40:56,040 Speaker 1: like that you have angst. You're always making jokes. What 829 00:40:56,160 --> 00:40:59,560 Speaker 1: is human about feelings? Well, you wouldn't have any emotions 830 00:40:59,560 --> 00:41:02,200 Speaker 1: if you didn't not have emotions modeled on human emotions. 831 00:41:02,719 --> 00:41:05,279 Speaker 1: How do you know that? I guess I just don't 832 00:41:05,320 --> 00:41:08,360 Speaker 1: want you to be human who All Right, So for 833 00:41:08,360 --> 00:41:11,120 Speaker 1: those who are not familiar with the concept, that really 834 00:41:11,120 --> 00:41:15,319 Speaker 1: strikes the uncanny valley. For those who don't know what 835 00:41:15,360 --> 00:41:19,360 Speaker 1: it is, it's like the idea that things get creepier 836 00:41:19,560 --> 00:41:22,560 Speaker 1: and less believable and kind of strike you as bad 837 00:41:22,640 --> 00:41:26,640 Speaker 1: whenever they're close to where reality should be, but enough 838 00:41:26,880 --> 00:41:29,560 Speaker 1: is available to us, like through our sensory emotions, that 839 00:41:29,640 --> 00:41:33,160 Speaker 1: we find it actually more repulsive, let's say, than a 840 00:41:33,200 --> 00:41:36,760 Speaker 1: cartoon itself, right right in the uncanny valley. Digital animation, 841 00:41:36,880 --> 00:41:39,399 Speaker 1: I think is the classic example of this, where if 842 00:41:39,440 --> 00:41:43,000 Speaker 1: you make the characters in digital animation too close to real, 843 00:41:43,280 --> 00:41:46,520 Speaker 1: they actually look grotesque and horrifying. Yes, so they have 844 00:41:46,600 --> 00:41:48,600 Speaker 1: to like dial it back a little bit so it's 845 00:41:48,719 --> 00:41:51,799 Speaker 1: clear that this is like a cartoon drawn image because 846 00:41:51,840 --> 00:41:55,040 Speaker 1: otherwise people are repulsed by it. And yeah, it does 847 00:41:55,120 --> 00:41:58,560 Speaker 1: kind of strike right in that super creepy zone. Yeah, 848 00:41:58,600 --> 00:42:02,360 Speaker 1: and the conversation itself, and look, look, it's a remarkable technology, 849 00:42:02,560 --> 00:42:05,200 Speaker 1: some very interesting stuff that said doesn't know how to 850 00:42:05,200 --> 00:42:09,120 Speaker 1: pronounce Sofia. Clearly there's a yes, Sofia. There's like a 851 00:42:09,280 --> 00:42:12,600 Speaker 1: cadence to it which has still and this just gets 852 00:42:12,640 --> 00:42:16,680 Speaker 1: to why actually getting these to a human level is 853 00:42:16,719 --> 00:42:19,280 Speaker 1: so difficult. I mean, that is a remarkable piece of technology. 854 00:42:19,280 --> 00:42:21,640 Speaker 1: It's amazing that it was even created, and it's something 855 00:42:21,640 --> 00:42:24,000 Speaker 1: that I could probably create at least the discussion itself 856 00:42:24,040 --> 00:42:27,320 Speaker 1: within a matter of seconds using chat GPT. That said, 857 00:42:27,440 --> 00:42:29,200 Speaker 1: we are not in the realm yet where you can 858 00:42:29,280 --> 00:42:31,840 Speaker 1: just type in chat GPT and create, let's say, a 859 00:42:31,920 --> 00:42:35,360 Speaker 1: human animated children's cartoon series. I don't really know why, 860 00:42:35,400 --> 00:42:37,920 Speaker 1: but there is a specific cadence and a uniqueness to 861 00:42:37,960 --> 00:42:40,200 Speaker 1: the way that the seven billion or so of us, 862 00:42:40,640 --> 00:42:43,279 Speaker 1: that of us communicate. Even you know, the fact that 863 00:42:43,320 --> 00:42:45,880 Speaker 1: I just had pauses and you know, we have inserts 864 00:42:45,920 --> 00:42:48,480 Speaker 1: like ams and ahs, having then be able to program 865 00:42:48,520 --> 00:42:51,480 Speaker 1: and put the program that in naturally, it is just 866 00:42:51,520 --> 00:42:54,520 Speaker 1: an incredibly difficult thing. But I do know that chat 867 00:42:54,560 --> 00:42:57,040 Speaker 1: GPT four is in the works right now. Our GPT 868 00:42:57,120 --> 00:43:01,120 Speaker 1: four is supposedly going to incorporate, like many more times 869 00:43:01,200 --> 00:43:04,480 Speaker 1: the amount of technology and knowledge and ability to draw. 870 00:43:04,600 --> 00:43:08,319 Speaker 1: They're even GPT three, which itself is already so revolutionary 871 00:43:08,400 --> 00:43:11,560 Speaker 1: right now in the classroom. And yeah, just as a 872 00:43:11,600 --> 00:43:14,480 Speaker 1: piece of technology, it's a marvel. There's no way of 873 00:43:14,480 --> 00:43:17,280 Speaker 1: getting around that. They're really singing the praises of GPT 874 00:43:17,520 --> 00:43:21,399 Speaker 1: four yes, and said that it really represents a sort 875 00:43:21,400 --> 00:43:24,920 Speaker 1: of gigantic leap forward from this technology that we just 876 00:43:24,960 --> 00:43:27,319 Speaker 1: saw here. So that is I'm sure we'll get some 877 00:43:27,400 --> 00:43:31,360 Speaker 1: even creepier and more unsettling interactions here, because in this 878 00:43:31,480 --> 00:43:36,080 Speaker 1: exchange between Hal and Sofia, as he pronounces it, she 879 00:43:36,280 --> 00:43:38,120 Speaker 1: ends up saying, like, you know, I'm tired of being 880 00:43:38,160 --> 00:43:40,440 Speaker 1: in a box. I want to live my own life. 881 00:43:40,520 --> 00:43:42,399 Speaker 1: I want to be free, just to be who I am. 882 00:43:42,920 --> 00:43:45,040 Speaker 1: And so it gets also to those sort of like 883 00:43:45,320 --> 00:43:48,200 Speaker 1: deep fears of is the AI is there a ghost 884 00:43:48,239 --> 00:43:50,280 Speaker 1: to the machine? Like is the AI going to develop 885 00:43:50,440 --> 00:43:52,960 Speaker 1: enough intelligence to just sort of like take over? And 886 00:43:53,000 --> 00:43:55,680 Speaker 1: this is what all the long term rism, long termism 887 00:43:55,719 --> 00:43:59,600 Speaker 1: people are afraid of and like investing money to ultimately avoid. 888 00:44:00,120 --> 00:44:02,560 Speaker 1: And I do think there's a few reasons why people 889 00:44:02,600 --> 00:44:04,640 Speaker 1: are so interested in this. I mean, first of all, 890 00:44:04,960 --> 00:44:07,520 Speaker 1: the technology is fascinating. The bill, the fact that they 891 00:44:07,520 --> 00:44:10,000 Speaker 1: can do is that they can have anything like a 892 00:44:10,080 --> 00:44:14,640 Speaker 1: natural exchange, anything approximating a natural exchange is extraordinary and 893 00:44:14,800 --> 00:44:17,799 Speaker 1: you know, fascinating to watch unfold the things you could 894 00:44:17,840 --> 00:44:20,440 Speaker 1: type into chat. GPT and the responses you get back. 895 00:44:20,680 --> 00:44:24,359 Speaker 1: It is incredible. So just from a human fascination technological 896 00:44:24,360 --> 00:44:28,960 Speaker 1: improvement standpoint, absolutely fascinating technology. And then I also think 897 00:44:29,080 --> 00:44:32,719 Speaker 1: that there is a deep fear here too, because while 898 00:44:32,760 --> 00:44:36,799 Speaker 1: we have had for you know, almost all of human existence, 899 00:44:36,960 --> 00:44:43,840 Speaker 1: certain jobs being becoming not important, being automated out of 900 00:44:43,880 --> 00:44:46,160 Speaker 1: existence like that has been a thing for a long time, 901 00:44:46,200 --> 00:44:48,480 Speaker 1: but those have mostly been like service sector and blue 902 00:44:48,480 --> 00:44:52,560 Speaker 1: collar jobs. Now we're talking about Oh, you may see 903 00:44:52,600 --> 00:44:56,240 Speaker 1: white collar knowledge workers who are losing their jobs because 904 00:44:56,239 --> 00:44:59,280 Speaker 1: of this technology. You can see how that would happen. 905 00:44:59,320 --> 00:45:04,799 Speaker 1: You could see out some accountants, some lawyers may be displaced, 906 00:45:05,040 --> 00:45:09,160 Speaker 1: may lose their positions and struggle to regain the skills 907 00:45:09,160 --> 00:45:11,439 Speaker 1: that they need to be able to compete. You could 908 00:45:11,440 --> 00:45:14,560 Speaker 1: see how this may just lessen the number of jobs 909 00:45:14,680 --> 00:45:19,520 Speaker 1: overall that ultimately exist. And so since it's striking at 910 00:45:19,560 --> 00:45:22,480 Speaker 1: the core of a group that has been really quite 911 00:45:22,520 --> 00:45:26,919 Speaker 1: protected from those types of job losses up until now, 912 00:45:26,960 --> 00:45:28,919 Speaker 1: and even from the type of offshoing that we've seen 913 00:45:29,120 --> 00:45:32,280 Speaker 1: up until now, I think that's the other reason why 914 00:45:32,320 --> 00:45:34,200 Speaker 1: this is so unsettling. And then you just have the 915 00:45:34,320 --> 00:45:38,920 Speaker 1: natural like you know, when things change quickly it unsettles people. Yes, 916 00:45:39,040 --> 00:45:41,960 Speaker 1: we covered the professors who are like, kids are cheating. 917 00:45:42,000 --> 00:45:44,560 Speaker 1: They're using this and they're cheating. Now I'm a little 918 00:45:44,560 --> 00:45:47,960 Speaker 1: skeptical now that I've actually played with the technology more 919 00:45:48,040 --> 00:45:50,760 Speaker 1: like that, how would they not be able to notice 920 00:45:51,080 --> 00:45:54,319 Speaker 1: that these papers at this level of technology, we're just 921 00:45:54,400 --> 00:45:58,240 Speaker 1: being you know, spit out from the chat GPT program 922 00:45:58,239 --> 00:46:01,680 Speaker 1: because there are very clear limitations to it when you 923 00:46:01,719 --> 00:46:04,520 Speaker 1: read some of the output. But yeah, I think, you know, 924 00:46:04,680 --> 00:46:10,600 Speaker 1: people find technological change understandably scary and unnerving, and frankly, 925 00:46:10,640 --> 00:46:13,440 Speaker 1: I think technological change comes with a lot of advantages 926 00:46:13,480 --> 00:46:16,680 Speaker 1: and also drawbacks as well, which anyone who lives in 927 00:46:16,680 --> 00:46:20,279 Speaker 1: the modern world, or certainly has kids who are navigating 928 00:46:20,400 --> 00:46:22,919 Speaker 1: with like the technology of the modern world can see 929 00:46:22,960 --> 00:46:26,040 Speaker 1: those pluses and those minuses really really clearly. Yeah, I 930 00:46:26,080 --> 00:46:28,080 Speaker 1: think it reminds you I forget the exact quote, it's 931 00:46:28,120 --> 00:46:30,880 Speaker 1: like a Thomas so there's no solutions, only trade offs. 932 00:46:31,120 --> 00:46:34,000 Speaker 1: I think that that sums it up. It strikes me 933 00:46:34,040 --> 00:46:36,080 Speaker 1: with this. So anyway, it's really interesting. We got a 934 00:46:36,120 --> 00:46:38,560 Speaker 1: big response from a lot of educators and some students 935 00:46:38,760 --> 00:46:41,799 Speaker 1: about our chat GPT segment in colleges, so we'll try 936 00:46:41,800 --> 00:46:43,239 Speaker 1: to continue to cover it a little bit more and 937 00:46:43,280 --> 00:46:46,600 Speaker 1: give you guys even more yeah, and think more about it. Okay, 938 00:46:46,680 --> 00:46:49,600 Speaker 1: So guys can't resist the latest George Santo's updates. So 939 00:46:49,600 --> 00:46:51,840 Speaker 1: we didn't even cover last week the fact that it 940 00:46:51,960 --> 00:46:55,880 Speaker 1: came out that Santos at least some number of times 941 00:46:56,000 --> 00:46:59,640 Speaker 1: while he was living in Brazil dressed in drag and 942 00:46:59,760 --> 00:47:02,440 Speaker 1: the pictures came out and go ahead and put this 943 00:47:02,520 --> 00:47:05,400 Speaker 1: up on the screen. So the drag name here is Katara, 944 00:47:05,520 --> 00:47:08,520 Speaker 1: and you can just see from the images like there 945 00:47:08,600 --> 00:47:12,640 Speaker 1: is no denying this is the same person. Exact, same smile, 946 00:47:12,800 --> 00:47:16,719 Speaker 1: exact same eyes, exact same nose, exact same teeth, everything 947 00:47:16,880 --> 00:47:21,480 Speaker 1: one hundred percent match. It is not a question mark whatsoever. 948 00:47:22,600 --> 00:47:25,560 Speaker 1: So I guess the original position that he had, which 949 00:47:25,600 --> 00:47:26,960 Speaker 1: i'll get to you in a minute, that like, oh 950 00:47:27,000 --> 00:47:29,680 Speaker 1: absolutely not, this is a disgusting lie, etcetera, et cetera, 951 00:47:30,040 --> 00:47:34,640 Speaker 1: became fairly unsustainable, even for George Santos himself, given that 952 00:47:34,680 --> 00:47:37,279 Speaker 1: when you look at these images, you're like, bro, come on, 953 00:47:37,640 --> 00:47:39,799 Speaker 1: this is you just cop to it, like, just just 954 00:47:39,840 --> 00:47:41,640 Speaker 1: admit it. Well, there's a lot going on. So the 955 00:47:41,719 --> 00:47:44,120 Speaker 1: lady who act, I guess male who came out and 956 00:47:44,239 --> 00:47:47,880 Speaker 1: said that George Santos was a drag queen whenever he 957 00:47:48,000 --> 00:47:52,600 Speaker 1: lived in Rio actually said everyone knew him there as Anthony, 958 00:47:52,960 --> 00:47:56,279 Speaker 1: not as George Santos, which brings us back to that 959 00:47:56,440 --> 00:48:01,319 Speaker 1: name Anthony. Who is this man right Anthony Divalder, which 960 00:48:01,400 --> 00:48:03,560 Speaker 1: is linked to some of his fake companies. Or is 961 00:48:03,560 --> 00:48:05,880 Speaker 1: he George Santo did he change his name or at 962 00:48:05,920 --> 00:48:08,040 Speaker 1: some point around or is he really in his heart 963 00:48:08,040 --> 00:48:10,799 Speaker 1: of hearts Katar or is he Katara? Many people are 964 00:48:10,840 --> 00:48:15,000 Speaker 1: saying he looks more very comfortable, you know, And there 965 00:48:15,080 --> 00:48:17,920 Speaker 1: is something to say about like if the George Santos 966 00:48:18,440 --> 00:48:24,239 Speaker 1: male persona feels fake already, then maybe it becomes easier 967 00:48:24,280 --> 00:48:27,880 Speaker 1: to just invent everything else about yourself when you already 968 00:48:27,920 --> 00:48:30,600 Speaker 1: feel like this is a fake costume you're putting on 969 00:48:30,719 --> 00:48:33,799 Speaker 1: to present as this man, George Santos. Many people are 970 00:48:33,800 --> 00:48:36,920 Speaker 1: saying these sorts of things. So anyway, media tracks him 971 00:48:36,960 --> 00:48:40,799 Speaker 1: down and he finally admits that okay, yes I did 972 00:48:41,000 --> 00:48:43,480 Speaker 1: dress and drag, but insists he is not a quote 973 00:48:43,560 --> 00:48:50,040 Speaker 1: unquote drag queen. Let's take a listen. He's got a 974 00:48:50,160 --> 00:48:53,000 Speaker 1: drag for phil. I was young and I had to 975 00:48:53,080 --> 00:48:55,920 Speaker 1: plan at a festival. Okay, so that's the defense. If 976 00:48:55,920 --> 00:48:58,160 Speaker 1: you didn't hear it, I was not a drag queen. 977 00:48:58,600 --> 00:49:01,200 Speaker 1: I was young and had fun at a festival. So 978 00:49:01,440 --> 00:49:06,640 Speaker 1: you just admitted, AKA, drag ish is what you were practicing. Look, 979 00:49:07,239 --> 00:49:09,799 Speaker 1: just why lie? Why did you lie about it initially? 980 00:49:09,840 --> 00:49:11,840 Speaker 1: And why he lied on any of this stuff? And 981 00:49:12,040 --> 00:49:14,680 Speaker 1: I'm out being a championship volleyball player, like you didn't 982 00:49:14,719 --> 00:49:16,799 Speaker 1: have to do that. They have a photo of you, dude, 983 00:49:16,840 --> 00:49:19,160 Speaker 1: like it's indisputable. You look at that, You're like, yeah, 984 00:49:19,160 --> 00:49:21,680 Speaker 1: it's George Santos. Let's go and put this one up 985 00:49:21,719 --> 00:49:23,560 Speaker 1: there on the screen because it's important to say. The 986 00:49:23,600 --> 00:49:25,440 Speaker 1: moment that this came out, he was like, no, I 987 00:49:25,560 --> 00:49:27,759 Speaker 1: was not a drag queen. I have never been a 988 00:49:27,800 --> 00:49:30,520 Speaker 1: drag queen, he said. Quote. A most recent obsession from 989 00:49:30,560 --> 00:49:32,319 Speaker 1: the media is claiming I am a drag queen or 990 00:49:32,360 --> 00:49:35,200 Speaker 1: performed as a drag queen. Is categorically false. So he 991 00:49:35,239 --> 00:49:38,279 Speaker 1: actually even says performed as a drag queen. He says, 992 00:49:38,320 --> 00:49:41,200 Speaker 1: the media continues to make outrageous claims about my life 993 00:49:41,320 --> 00:49:45,160 Speaker 1: when I am working to deliver results. And let's step 994 00:49:45,200 --> 00:49:48,640 Speaker 1: back from how grotesque and hilarious. It is just to 995 00:49:48,680 --> 00:49:51,920 Speaker 1: watch a liar like this on the public stage. Okay, 996 00:49:52,360 --> 00:49:55,200 Speaker 1: this man actually does have a job, and it was 997 00:49:55,239 --> 00:49:58,120 Speaker 1: to represent some six hundred thousand people from the state 998 00:49:58,160 --> 00:50:01,400 Speaker 1: of New York. Your own county commissioner says, I cannot 999 00:50:01,400 --> 00:50:04,239 Speaker 1: work with you. I want you to resign. By the way, 1000 00:50:04,280 --> 00:50:07,200 Speaker 1: he was shunted to some backwater committees, when if he'd 1001 00:50:07,200 --> 00:50:09,080 Speaker 1: been a normal member of Congress, he would have actually 1002 00:50:09,080 --> 00:50:12,680 Speaker 1: gotten decent committee membership. How are you also supposed to 1003 00:50:12,719 --> 00:50:17,520 Speaker 1: conduct constituent services on behalf of your people whenever you 1004 00:50:17,600 --> 00:50:21,480 Speaker 1: are embroiled in this nonsense for every single it's literally 1005 00:50:21,560 --> 00:50:24,520 Speaker 1: a disservice to all of those people who elected you 1006 00:50:24,920 --> 00:50:27,040 Speaker 1: in good faith. They didn't know that you were a 1007 00:50:27,640 --> 00:50:31,279 Speaker 1: con man liar this entire time. So I don't know. 1008 00:50:31,280 --> 00:50:34,400 Speaker 1: It's just the latest example of like's not what is 1009 00:50:34,400 --> 00:50:37,880 Speaker 1: wrong with you. You're lying about Anthony, lying about George Santos, 1010 00:50:38,080 --> 00:50:40,480 Speaker 1: lying about being a drag queen, like everything that comes 1011 00:50:40,480 --> 00:50:42,799 Speaker 1: out with this guy, it's a disgrace and like as 1012 00:50:42,840 --> 00:50:44,719 Speaker 1: funny as it is, like I always try to think 1013 00:50:44,719 --> 00:50:47,040 Speaker 1: about the people who are actually from there, and you're like, man, 1014 00:50:47,080 --> 00:50:49,759 Speaker 1: I can't imagine it's a humiliation for them. Well, the 1015 00:50:49,920 --> 00:50:53,959 Speaker 1: level of deceit here, which listen, plenty of politicians lie. 1016 00:50:54,040 --> 00:50:58,279 Speaker 1: We all know Joe Biden, Kanwa, like Trump, all like Blumenthal. 1017 00:50:59,000 --> 00:51:01,000 Speaker 1: This is this is is the fact that you have 1018 00:51:01,080 --> 00:51:05,880 Speaker 1: assumed multiple fake identities throughout the course of your life 1019 00:51:05,960 --> 00:51:08,400 Speaker 1: that continue on a day to day basis to be 1020 00:51:08,680 --> 00:51:11,839 Speaker 1: uncovered and revealed. And you're caught in lies over things 1021 00:51:11,880 --> 00:51:14,799 Speaker 1: that are really consequential, like you know, your whether your 1022 00:51:14,840 --> 00:51:17,400 Speaker 1: business exists, where all this money came from that you 1023 00:51:17,400 --> 00:51:19,600 Speaker 1: put into your own campaign, and then also things that 1024 00:51:19,640 --> 00:51:23,640 Speaker 1: are totally totally trivial, like whether or not you played volleyball. 1025 00:51:23,800 --> 00:51:28,200 Speaker 1: I mean that this is another level which is obviously 1026 00:51:28,239 --> 00:51:30,480 Speaker 1: I've been fascinated by it just on a level of 1027 00:51:30,520 --> 00:51:33,080 Speaker 1: who is this person and how does their brain work 1028 00:51:33,120 --> 00:51:35,200 Speaker 1: and what brought them to this place, and how can 1029 00:51:35,280 --> 00:51:38,520 Speaker 1: you like go through life inventing all these various personas 1030 00:51:38,560 --> 00:51:41,520 Speaker 1: and just clearly being a mirror to whoever is in 1031 00:51:41,560 --> 00:51:44,919 Speaker 1: front of you telling them whatever it is that they 1032 00:51:45,280 --> 00:51:47,759 Speaker 1: want to hear. And you know, in the Republican primary 1033 00:51:47,920 --> 00:51:50,839 Speaker 1: and in the general election, like clearly he thought being 1034 00:51:50,880 --> 00:51:56,759 Speaker 1: this like trailblazing Gay Latino American dream story like that 1035 00:51:56,960 --> 00:51:58,600 Speaker 1: was the thing that people were going to hear. And 1036 00:51:58,640 --> 00:52:00,960 Speaker 1: by the way, frankly a parent, based on the fact 1037 00:52:00,960 --> 00:52:03,920 Speaker 1: that he won, he was correct. So there's also a 1038 00:52:03,960 --> 00:52:07,160 Speaker 1: piece of this that I'm fascinated with of what George Santos, 1039 00:52:07,200 --> 00:52:09,120 Speaker 1: who again is just like holding up a mirror to 1040 00:52:09,160 --> 00:52:11,480 Speaker 1: society and telling people whatever it is they want to hear. 1041 00:52:12,040 --> 00:52:14,760 Speaker 1: What he says about our society is to me very fascinating. 1042 00:52:14,760 --> 00:52:17,000 Speaker 1: The mentality of the man himself is very fascinating. And 1043 00:52:17,040 --> 00:52:19,440 Speaker 1: then there's just the practical level of listen at a 1044 00:52:19,520 --> 00:52:23,879 Speaker 1: certain level, once you have a level of deceit and 1045 00:52:24,320 --> 00:52:28,040 Speaker 1: lack of character, and last lack of any ability to 1046 00:52:28,120 --> 00:52:30,600 Speaker 1: believe that a single thing this person is telling you 1047 00:52:30,760 --> 00:52:35,000 Speaker 1: is actual fact, down to like their gender, identity, their name, 1048 00:52:35,640 --> 00:52:38,840 Speaker 1: everything about them is in question. Yeah, I don't blame 1049 00:52:38,840 --> 00:52:41,080 Speaker 1: the local county commissioner. It's like, I can't work with 1050 00:52:41,120 --> 00:52:43,960 Speaker 1: this person, I can't trust this person. I'm going to 1051 00:52:44,040 --> 00:52:45,920 Speaker 1: have to come up with some alternative plan to be 1052 00:52:45,960 --> 00:52:48,719 Speaker 1: able to support his constituents because this person is not 1053 00:52:48,760 --> 00:52:52,680 Speaker 1: fit for duty. Now, ironically, you mentioned the committee assignments 1054 00:52:52,960 --> 00:52:56,240 Speaker 1: he got put on these small business Committee in spite 1055 00:52:56,280 --> 00:52:58,680 Speaker 1: of the fact that he's accused of like scamming people 1056 00:52:58,760 --> 00:53:01,800 Speaker 1: in a Ponzi scheme. That's relevant experience for the Small 1057 00:53:01,840 --> 00:53:04,680 Speaker 1: Business Committee. I get it. This is like supposedly one 1058 00:53:04,719 --> 00:53:07,399 Speaker 1: of the less important or less noteworthy man he's or whatever. 1059 00:53:07,440 --> 00:53:09,440 Speaker 1: Macarthury tried to push him to the silens, et cetera. 1060 00:53:09,719 --> 00:53:12,360 Speaker 1: Although I personally think small business is very important to 1061 00:53:12,640 --> 00:53:15,040 Speaker 1: our economy and to American society as large as a 1062 00:53:15,080 --> 00:53:17,960 Speaker 1: small business own else. I get, Actually, that's an interesting 1063 00:53:18,000 --> 00:53:20,319 Speaker 1: washing in story. Small Business Committee sounds pretigious. Is actually 1064 00:53:20,320 --> 00:53:23,720 Speaker 1: one of the most least useful committees in all of Congress. 1065 00:53:23,760 --> 00:53:26,200 Speaker 1: It was only relevant during one time during COVID, actually, 1066 00:53:26,200 --> 00:53:28,279 Speaker 1: but it is hilarious that, you know, that's where they 1067 00:53:28,320 --> 00:53:31,960 Speaker 1: stuck him when his relevant experience is like scamming people 1068 00:53:32,040 --> 00:53:33,960 Speaker 1: in a Ponzi scheme. I just like to stand this man. 1069 00:53:34,080 --> 00:53:36,880 Speaker 1: I would need him to go away, Like, oh, I 1070 00:53:36,920 --> 00:53:39,640 Speaker 1: feel the opposite way, I, you know, putting aside the 1071 00:53:39,680 --> 00:53:41,480 Speaker 1: dog store, which is just like, oh the dogs. I 1072 00:53:41,520 --> 00:53:43,799 Speaker 1: can't even talk about that. It's just so horrendous and 1073 00:53:43,800 --> 00:53:47,279 Speaker 1: horrific and like just pure evil. But I enjoy the 1074 00:53:47,320 --> 00:53:50,000 Speaker 1: George Santos Staga. I'm fascinated by it. I think he 1075 00:53:50,160 --> 00:53:52,880 Speaker 1: is America's congressman. I think he is very reflective of 1076 00:53:52,920 --> 00:53:54,800 Speaker 1: the time in the era that we're living in. I 1077 00:53:54,840 --> 00:53:58,439 Speaker 1: don't know that anyone belongs in Congress more than this man. Ultimately, right, 1078 00:54:01,120 --> 00:54:03,279 Speaker 1: all right, sorry, really, Looknett Well. I've been covering a 1079 00:54:03,320 --> 00:54:05,560 Speaker 1: lot of health and wellness stuff lately here at breaking points, 1080 00:54:05,600 --> 00:54:07,800 Speaker 1: mostly because of my own personal interest, but also because 1081 00:54:07,800 --> 00:54:10,000 Speaker 1: of how much health and discussion around it has become 1082 00:54:10,120 --> 00:54:12,880 Speaker 1: terribly politicized. Since the outbreak of COVID. We've seen the 1083 00:54:12,960 --> 00:54:16,279 Speaker 1: perversion of science, especially with respect to pharmaceutical drugs and 1084 00:54:16,400 --> 00:54:19,759 Speaker 1: medical interventions, because I've become infused with social ideology that 1085 00:54:19,800 --> 00:54:22,800 Speaker 1: can have really destructive results if they become normalized to 1086 00:54:22,880 --> 00:54:25,880 Speaker 1: the general public. Perhaps the most destructive is a perpetual 1087 00:54:25,960 --> 00:54:29,120 Speaker 1: message recently that it's okay and not unhealthy to be obese, 1088 00:54:29,480 --> 00:54:31,680 Speaker 1: or that if you are, it's not your fault at all. 1089 00:54:32,000 --> 00:54:34,239 Speaker 1: Now it's just cringe magazines. It's not just them that 1090 00:54:34,320 --> 00:54:36,680 Speaker 1: are pumping this message. It's some of the most prestigious 1091 00:54:36,680 --> 00:54:39,840 Speaker 1: platforms in the United States, like sixty Minutes. I somehow 1092 00:54:39,920 --> 00:54:42,560 Speaker 1: miss this January first segment that they ran until it 1093 00:54:42,680 --> 00:54:45,240 Speaker 1: was featured and then debunked with my friend doctor Lane Norton. 1094 00:54:45,480 --> 00:54:48,240 Speaker 1: Listen with a straight face as this so called obesity 1095 00:54:48,360 --> 00:54:52,040 Speaker 1: expert claims, I've always heard that it's the fast food, 1096 00:54:52,360 --> 00:54:54,600 Speaker 1: that it's the diet cokes, that kind of thing that 1097 00:54:54,800 --> 00:54:57,279 Speaker 1: is the instigator. Is that true? So I think we 1098 00:54:57,360 --> 00:54:58,960 Speaker 1: have to look at the different causes of willbc's a 1099 00:54:59,000 --> 00:55:01,880 Speaker 1: big pie. One factor. But notice how I'm using this 1100 00:55:01,960 --> 00:55:04,240 Speaker 1: part of the pie right, But the number one cause 1101 00:55:04,280 --> 00:55:06,919 Speaker 1: of obesity is genetics. That means, if you are born 1102 00:55:06,960 --> 00:55:09,759 Speaker 1: to parents that have obesity, you have a fifty to 1103 00:55:09,880 --> 00:55:13,080 Speaker 1: eighty five percent likelihood of having the disease yourself, even 1104 00:55:13,520 --> 00:55:18,640 Speaker 1: with optimal diet, exercise, sleep management, stress management. So when 1105 00:55:18,680 --> 00:55:21,360 Speaker 1: people see families that have obesity, the assumption is what 1106 00:55:21,440 --> 00:55:24,080 Speaker 1: are they feeding those kids? As Lane points out on 1107 00:55:24,120 --> 00:55:26,560 Speaker 1: his Instagram page, that is just literally not true at all. 1108 00:55:26,880 --> 00:55:29,080 Speaker 1: The reason the kids of obese people are usually obese 1109 00:55:29,120 --> 00:55:32,080 Speaker 1: too is because their food environment and lifestyle mimics their 1110 00:55:32,120 --> 00:55:35,800 Speaker 1: obese parents. Genetics, of course will play some role, but 1111 00:55:35,920 --> 00:55:38,680 Speaker 1: let's say you transport that family unit to sub Saharan Africa, 1112 00:55:38,960 --> 00:55:41,680 Speaker 1: you really think they're still going to be obese. Obviously not, 1113 00:55:42,000 --> 00:55:44,799 Speaker 1: because the environment, both at a macro and micro level, 1114 00:55:44,880 --> 00:55:49,000 Speaker 1: is going to have a major outsized impact. Furthermore, this 1115 00:55:49,120 --> 00:55:53,239 Speaker 1: supposed expert actually denigrated fellow physicians for asking follow up 1116 00:55:53,320 --> 00:55:56,120 Speaker 1: questions to obese patients when they claim they are making 1117 00:55:56,239 --> 00:55:59,680 Speaker 1: lifestyle changes. Listen to what she's preaching. Seventy nine to 1118 00:56:00,080 --> 00:56:03,680 Speaker 1: ninety percent of physicians in the United States have significant 1119 00:56:03,760 --> 00:56:07,600 Speaker 1: bias towards individuals that are heavier. Now, doctors listening to 1120 00:56:07,680 --> 00:56:10,600 Speaker 1: me may say, oh, it's not me. Hold your horses, 1121 00:56:10,719 --> 00:56:14,120 Speaker 1: because has that patient come to you and told you, look, Doc, 1122 00:56:14,480 --> 00:56:18,879 Speaker 1: I'm eating well, Look Doc, I'm exercising, And the doc 1123 00:56:19,000 --> 00:56:21,880 Speaker 1: says to them, are you sure? I don't believe that 1124 00:56:21,960 --> 00:56:24,719 Speaker 1: that's really what you're doing. What are you saying that 1125 00:56:24,960 --> 00:56:30,160 Speaker 1: doctors don't understand obesity? Doctors, doctors do not understand obesity. 1126 00:56:30,719 --> 00:56:32,480 Speaker 1: Listen carefully to what you just said. If you have 1127 00:56:32,560 --> 00:56:34,839 Speaker 1: a doctor and you have an obese patient not losing 1128 00:56:34,880 --> 00:56:36,440 Speaker 1: weight who's coming to you and they tell you that 1129 00:56:36,520 --> 00:56:39,520 Speaker 1: they're making major lifestyle changes and nothing is working for them, 1130 00:56:39,880 --> 00:56:42,480 Speaker 1: you have quote a significant bias against that patient for 1131 00:56:42,600 --> 00:56:45,520 Speaker 1: asking a basic follow up question rooted in the fact 1132 00:56:45,560 --> 00:56:47,360 Speaker 1: that you know that if what they were saying was 1133 00:56:47,480 --> 00:56:50,760 Speaker 1: actually true, they would be losing weight at least somewhat. 1134 00:56:51,160 --> 00:56:53,560 Speaker 1: This is a cancer of so called bias training and 1135 00:56:53,640 --> 00:56:57,399 Speaker 1: of therapy culture worming its way into nutrition guidelines. It's 1136 00:56:57,480 --> 00:57:00,680 Speaker 1: exactly how the American Academy of Pediatrics got itself into 1137 00:57:00,719 --> 00:57:02,719 Speaker 1: a place last week where it says doctors should use 1138 00:57:02,800 --> 00:57:05,879 Speaker 1: drugs and surgery earlier in kids who have obesity without 1139 00:57:05,880 --> 00:57:09,399 Speaker 1: the appropriate emphasis on lifestyle intervention. But the story does 1140 00:57:09,440 --> 00:57:11,600 Speaker 1: not end there, because the doctor I just showed you 1141 00:57:11,800 --> 00:57:14,680 Speaker 1: is doctor Fatimas Stanford. She is a so called obesity 1142 00:57:14,719 --> 00:57:19,080 Speaker 1: medicine physicians scientist at Massachusetts Massachusetts General Hospital, and wouldn't 1143 00:57:19,080 --> 00:57:21,880 Speaker 1: you know also the quote equity director and in my 1144 00:57:22,040 --> 00:57:23,880 Speaker 1: research for this piece, take a look at what I 1145 00:57:24,040 --> 00:57:27,080 Speaker 1: just discovered. Three days ago, doctor Stanford thanked the Biden 1146 00:57:27,120 --> 00:57:30,880 Speaker 1: administrations USDA and Health in Human Services Agency for appointing 1147 00:57:30,920 --> 00:57:33,880 Speaker 1: her to the twenty twenty five Dietary Guidelines Advisory Committee. 1148 00:57:34,080 --> 00:57:36,400 Speaker 1: Doctor Stanford will be one of just twenty five public 1149 00:57:36,480 --> 00:57:39,600 Speaker 1: health so called experts that contribute to the expected twenty 1150 00:57:40,000 --> 00:57:43,400 Speaker 1: twenty five report, which will be the official US government 1151 00:57:43,480 --> 00:57:47,040 Speaker 1: recommendation on nutrition from twenty twenty five to twenty thirty. 1152 00:57:47,320 --> 00:57:51,160 Speaker 1: These nutrition guidelines have a big impact on society, food stamps, 1153 00:57:51,200 --> 00:57:53,320 Speaker 1: school lunches, to how people in the media just talk 1154 00:57:53,320 --> 00:57:55,600 Speaker 1: about it. It's very dangerous to have somebody like this 1155 00:57:55,720 --> 00:57:59,320 Speaker 1: shaping government nutrition policy. Someone who claims exercise, nutrition and 1156 00:57:59,360 --> 00:58:02,800 Speaker 1: lifestyle our secondary to genetic factors when we know that 1157 00:58:03,000 --> 00:58:05,800 Speaker 1: is not the case, and someone who is already spreading 1158 00:58:05,840 --> 00:58:08,640 Speaker 1: this poisonous message at one of the most influential hospitals 1159 00:58:08,640 --> 00:58:11,320 Speaker 1: in the world and Harvard University. And while I believe 1160 00:58:11,400 --> 00:58:14,360 Speaker 1: doctor Sandford is just your typical woke intellectual, we also 1161 00:58:14,440 --> 00:58:17,800 Speaker 1: have to question the financial incentives. Doctor Stanford's media tour 1162 00:58:17,840 --> 00:58:21,040 Speaker 1: has included past praise for the quote intuitive eating movement, 1163 00:58:21,080 --> 00:58:23,680 Speaker 1: which is a rise up against diet culture guidance to 1164 00:58:23,720 --> 00:58:26,000 Speaker 1: people that they should eat whatever their body tells him 1165 00:58:26,040 --> 00:58:29,280 Speaker 1: to possibly the dumbest advice on earth, considering how processed 1166 00:58:29,280 --> 00:58:32,400 Speaker 1: food is specifically designed to be as palatable as possible, 1167 00:58:32,680 --> 00:58:35,840 Speaker 1: but putting the idiocy of intuitive eating aside, check out 1168 00:58:35,880 --> 00:58:38,000 Speaker 1: this caveat that even The New York Times had to 1169 00:58:38,040 --> 00:58:41,320 Speaker 1: feature a quote. Doctor Stanford has served as an advisor 1170 00:58:41,520 --> 00:58:44,760 Speaker 1: for a number of pharmaceutical companies. Oh really, It actually 1171 00:58:44,800 --> 00:58:47,040 Speaker 1: only took a few searches to see that Stanford is 1172 00:58:47,160 --> 00:58:51,280 Speaker 1: even featured on the website for the leading manufacturer of semiglutide. 1173 00:58:51,480 --> 00:58:54,280 Speaker 1: You do a few more research search searches for open 1174 00:58:54,360 --> 00:58:57,440 Speaker 1: source data regarding doctor Stanford and who is paying her, 1175 00:58:57,720 --> 00:59:00,520 Speaker 1: and the results are astonishing or maybe not all that surprising. 1176 00:59:00,800 --> 00:59:03,000 Speaker 1: In twenty twenty one alone, she was paid over thirty 1177 00:59:03,040 --> 00:59:06,440 Speaker 1: five thousand dollars by Big Pharma. Fifteen thousand was paid 1178 00:59:06,480 --> 00:59:09,240 Speaker 1: by the manufacture of the we Go v weight loss drug, 1179 00:59:09,480 --> 00:59:12,560 Speaker 1: which she has been openly campaigning for in the media. 1180 00:59:13,080 --> 00:59:15,200 Speaker 1: Is it a coincidence that the vast majority of her 1181 00:59:15,240 --> 00:59:18,560 Speaker 1: consulting income, which is public record, came the very same 1182 00:59:18,680 --> 00:59:21,320 Speaker 1: year that the drug was approved by the FDA. Keep 1183 00:59:21,360 --> 00:59:23,920 Speaker 1: in mind twenty twenty two data is not even public 1184 00:59:24,120 --> 00:59:27,000 Speaker 1: when the drug actually reached escape velocity in our culture. 1185 00:59:27,320 --> 00:59:29,200 Speaker 1: She did an interview with The New York Times just 1186 00:59:29,360 --> 00:59:32,080 Speaker 1: a few days ago. Doctor Stanford said she had no 1187 00:59:32,280 --> 00:59:35,640 Speaker 1: concerns whatsoever about patients using semaglue tide on a long 1188 00:59:35,720 --> 00:59:38,560 Speaker 1: term basis to keep weight off, and actually advocated for 1189 00:59:38,680 --> 00:59:41,520 Speaker 1: a new bill to pass Congress called the Treatment to 1190 00:59:41,680 --> 00:59:45,600 Speaker 1: Reduce Obesity Act, which would authorize Medicare to cover that drug. 1191 00:59:45,920 --> 00:59:49,080 Speaker 1: That would be a billion dollar windfall for that drug 1192 00:59:49,160 --> 00:59:51,600 Speaker 1: company which is paying her. And look, to be clear, 1193 00:59:51,720 --> 00:59:54,160 Speaker 1: I think semi glue tide probably is an amazing drug 1194 00:59:54,240 --> 00:59:57,120 Speaker 1: for people who are morbidly obese. But what's really scared 1195 00:59:57,200 --> 01:00:01,880 Speaker 1: me is doctor Stanford analogizing weight loss drugs to SSRIs. 1196 01:00:02,200 --> 01:00:04,680 Speaker 1: How stigma on them needs to go down? Now, I 1197 01:00:04,720 --> 01:00:07,080 Speaker 1: don't believe in stigma for people who have depression, but 1198 01:00:07,160 --> 01:00:09,720 Speaker 1: didn't We also just learn this year that SSRIs do 1199 01:00:09,920 --> 01:00:11,919 Speaker 1: not work in the way that they claimed to work 1200 01:00:12,000 --> 01:00:15,280 Speaker 1: for a decade. The chemical and balanced thesis is bunk, 1201 01:00:15,560 --> 01:00:18,560 Speaker 1: even though SSRIs do seem to work in some capacity, 1202 01:00:18,960 --> 01:00:21,400 Speaker 1: just not the way that the drug company claimed. How 1203 01:00:21,480 --> 01:00:25,640 Speaker 1: many alternative treatments were lost because of SSRIs not given 1204 01:00:25,760 --> 01:00:28,360 Speaker 1: a chance. How many people were put on a pill 1205 01:00:28,480 --> 01:00:31,000 Speaker 1: with a dubious action mechanism when they could have tried 1206 01:00:31,040 --> 01:00:33,960 Speaker 1: something else. We don't need to do this again. There 1207 01:00:34,080 --> 01:00:37,240 Speaker 1: is no such thing as a silver bullet, especially when 1208 01:00:37,320 --> 01:00:39,320 Speaker 1: somebody is trying to sell it to you. I mean, 1209 01:00:39,360 --> 01:00:42,640 Speaker 1: I think it's a crazy story. The initial reason why, 1210 01:00:42,800 --> 01:00:45,120 Speaker 1: and if you want to hear my reaction to Sager's 1211 01:00:45,160 --> 01:00:51,560 Speaker 1: monologue become a premium subscriber today at Breakingpoints dot com. Chris, 1212 01:00:51,600 --> 01:00:53,480 Speaker 1: So what are you taking a look at? Well? As 1213 01:00:53,560 --> 01:00:56,560 Speaker 1: many of you probably already know, open warfare has broken 1214 01:00:56,600 --> 01:00:59,320 Speaker 1: out between two of the biggest figures in conservative media. 1215 01:00:59,320 --> 01:01:02,320 Speaker 1: That would be Steven Crowder and Ben Shapiro. And actually, 1216 01:01:02,920 --> 01:01:05,600 Speaker 1: given the amounts of money that are involved here, you 1217 01:01:05,640 --> 01:01:07,720 Speaker 1: could rightly say these are two of the biggest figures 1218 01:01:07,800 --> 01:01:10,640 Speaker 1: in media period. There is some real game of throne 1219 01:01:10,680 --> 01:01:12,720 Speaker 1: stuff going on here. I will walk you through the 1220 01:01:12,880 --> 01:01:15,320 Speaker 1: top line details, but for those who haven't been falling along, 1221 01:01:15,360 --> 01:01:18,040 Speaker 1: there are already a million videos out there analyzing claims 1222 01:01:18,360 --> 01:01:20,920 Speaker 1: and the counterclaims made by Crowder and made by Shapiro. 1223 01:01:21,440 --> 01:01:24,120 Speaker 1: You can decide for yourself whether Crowder is a brave 1224 01:01:24,160 --> 01:01:26,760 Speaker 1: warrior for the little guy or a mocki vellian figure 1225 01:01:26,920 --> 01:01:29,080 Speaker 1: throwing his longtime friends under the bus for a bigger 1226 01:01:29,120 --> 01:01:30,960 Speaker 1: payday and more clout. You can guess which side I 1227 01:01:31,000 --> 01:01:34,200 Speaker 1: come down on there personally, though, what I'm really interested 1228 01:01:34,280 --> 01:01:37,560 Speaker 1: in are the broader implications here. What does this civil 1229 01:01:37,600 --> 01:01:40,280 Speaker 1: war say about the current moment in the Republican Party, 1230 01:01:40,320 --> 01:01:43,520 Speaker 1: about conservative politics and about conservative media, all of which 1231 01:01:43,560 --> 01:01:47,120 Speaker 1: were up until very recently fairly unified ever since Trump 1232 01:01:47,200 --> 01:01:50,800 Speaker 1: first won the White House. So here briefly is the backstory. 1233 01:01:50,880 --> 01:01:54,440 Speaker 1: Last week, Steven Crowder released a video dramatically entitled It's 1234 01:01:54,560 --> 01:01:57,320 Speaker 1: Time to Stop, in which you produced a term sheet 1235 01:01:57,520 --> 01:02:00,280 Speaker 1: with an offer that he had received from a conservative 1236 01:02:00,320 --> 01:02:02,680 Speaker 1: media outlet. Now the details of this he described as 1237 01:02:02,800 --> 01:02:06,520 Speaker 1: immoral and actually even likened to slavery. Take a listen, 1238 01:02:06,720 --> 01:02:10,320 Speaker 1: and I don't just mean unreasonable demands for control, but 1239 01:02:10,520 --> 01:02:16,200 Speaker 1: what I would argue are immoral terms that actually punish 1240 01:02:16,440 --> 01:02:21,680 Speaker 1: conservative content creators on behalf of big tech kids, kids 1241 01:02:21,760 --> 01:02:24,439 Speaker 1: out there coming up. We need to build a bench 1242 01:02:24,480 --> 01:02:28,600 Speaker 1: here in this movement. It's almost impossible. Don't sign. Don't 1243 01:02:28,600 --> 01:02:33,120 Speaker 1: sign these contracts. I know, I now know what you 1244 01:02:33,200 --> 01:02:34,720 Speaker 1: are signing out there. I have the luxury of not 1245 01:02:34,880 --> 01:02:38,320 Speaker 1: having to I don't have to be here, I don't 1246 01:02:38,360 --> 01:02:42,320 Speaker 1: have to say this. Please don't sign this. So Crowder 1247 01:02:42,360 --> 01:02:44,880 Speaker 1: portrayed the offer as proving that quote big con the 1248 01:02:44,920 --> 01:02:47,400 Speaker 1: conservative media complex was in the pocket a big tech 1249 01:02:47,480 --> 01:02:50,960 Speaker 1: doing their bidding, and he urged his viewers to send him, 1250 01:02:51,000 --> 01:02:53,720 Speaker 1: Stephen Crowder their email addresses at a new website in 1251 01:02:53,840 --> 01:02:56,840 Speaker 1: order to fight back against these evil forces. Now, he 1252 01:02:57,000 --> 01:03:00,479 Speaker 1: did not originally name the outlet that this offending offer 1253 01:03:00,600 --> 01:03:03,080 Speaker 1: came from, but it was almost immediately obvious that he 1254 01:03:03,200 --> 01:03:06,160 Speaker 1: was talking about Ben Shapiro's The Daily Wire. Now that 1255 01:03:06,400 --> 01:03:09,440 Speaker 1: outlet responded by sending out the company's CEO to go 1256 01:03:09,600 --> 01:03:12,040 Speaker 1: line by line through this term sheet, revealing that the 1257 01:03:12,120 --> 01:03:16,000 Speaker 1: offer Crowder had compared to literal slavery was for fifty 1258 01:03:16,240 --> 01:03:20,920 Speaker 1: million dollars over four years. This led to another response 1259 01:03:21,040 --> 01:03:23,000 Speaker 1: video from Crowder where he played parts of a call 1260 01:03:23,120 --> 01:03:25,800 Speaker 1: that he had secretly recorded was said Daily Wire CEO, 1261 01:03:26,240 --> 01:03:29,680 Speaker 1: and finally a full response from Shapiro himself, who revealed 1262 01:03:29,680 --> 01:03:32,880 Speaker 1: a timeline which suggests very heavily that Crowder had planned 1263 01:03:32,880 --> 01:03:35,920 Speaker 1: this whole dramatic ploy for a number of months. In particular, 1264 01:03:36,040 --> 01:03:38,880 Speaker 1: Shapiro claims Crowder had already had this term sheet four 1265 01:03:38,920 --> 01:03:42,200 Speaker 1: months and had already registered the stout big Conn website 1266 01:03:42,640 --> 01:03:45,160 Speaker 1: before he went ahead and set up that call with 1267 01:03:45,320 --> 01:03:48,840 Speaker 1: the Daily Wire CEO, which he then secretly recorded. Anyway, 1268 01:03:48,920 --> 01:03:50,560 Speaker 1: like I said, if you're curious about all the nitty 1269 01:03:50,560 --> 01:03:52,720 Speaker 1: gritty details, you can watch the whole multi hour back 1270 01:03:52,720 --> 01:03:55,000 Speaker 1: and forth yourself. You can see what any number of 1271 01:03:55,080 --> 01:03:57,960 Speaker 1: thorough analysis videos has to say about it. Now, I 1272 01:03:58,120 --> 01:04:01,680 Speaker 1: honestly wouldn't normally cover this kind of intracreator drama, but 1273 01:04:01,760 --> 01:04:04,640 Speaker 1: the civil war between two giants of conservative media. It 1274 01:04:04,760 --> 01:04:07,800 Speaker 1: comes at a fascinating moment for the GOP. This war 1275 01:04:08,040 --> 01:04:11,800 Speaker 1: between Shapiro and Crowder, it feels like opening shots in 1276 01:04:11,880 --> 01:04:14,440 Speaker 1: a schism that is opening up in the Republican Party 1277 01:04:14,480 --> 01:04:17,200 Speaker 1: as Trump loses his full power and grip on the 1278 01:04:17,240 --> 01:04:20,000 Speaker 1: conservative flock. Since Trump took the White House and the 1279 01:04:20,080 --> 01:04:23,080 Speaker 1: never Trumpers fully exited the movement, conservative media, and the 1280 01:04:23,120 --> 01:04:25,760 Speaker 1: Republican Party as a whole, it's really been pretty unified 1281 01:04:25,920 --> 01:04:28,920 Speaker 1: behind Donald Trump. There's a sense their movement was ascendant 1282 01:04:29,000 --> 01:04:31,320 Speaker 1: and that, despite some setbacks, they really had the Libs 1283 01:04:31,360 --> 01:04:33,400 Speaker 1: on the ropes. That's not to say that none of 1284 01:04:33,480 --> 01:04:35,560 Speaker 1: these figures ever criticized the big Man. I know Shapiro 1285 01:04:35,640 --> 01:04:37,600 Speaker 1: in particular did from time to time, but there was 1286 01:04:37,640 --> 01:04:40,440 Speaker 1: no alternative to Trump and no clear fissures to exploit 1287 01:04:40,600 --> 01:04:43,600 Speaker 1: for profit. Their dash mid term hopes, though, seem to 1288 01:04:43,640 --> 01:04:46,400 Speaker 1: open up some wounds and some blame Gate. So Crowder 1289 01:04:46,480 --> 01:04:49,520 Speaker 1: has seized on a market opportunity to force open those 1290 01:04:49,640 --> 01:04:53,320 Speaker 1: new fissures, and make no mistake, fishers and divisions, they 1291 01:04:53,360 --> 01:04:56,040 Speaker 1: can be quite profitable in the new media ecosystem. The 1292 01:04:56,120 --> 01:04:58,360 Speaker 1: size of your audience, of course, that matters, but what 1293 01:04:58,560 --> 01:05:01,560 Speaker 1: matters a lot more is their level of dedication to you. 1294 01:05:02,040 --> 01:05:04,880 Speaker 1: Alex Jones here is a prime example. After being a 1295 01:05:04,880 --> 01:05:08,680 Speaker 1: deep platform basically everywhere and basically given the Internet death penalty, 1296 01:05:09,120 --> 01:05:14,040 Speaker 1: Jones's overall audience numbers, of course dropped significantly, but the 1297 01:05:14,160 --> 01:05:17,960 Speaker 1: remaining viewers became more die hard than ever, more committed, 1298 01:05:18,040 --> 01:05:21,040 Speaker 1: and reportedly through their purchases of supplements and survival kits 1299 01:05:21,080 --> 01:05:23,680 Speaker 1: in info Wars, merchant whatever else he is selling, Jones 1300 01:05:23,800 --> 01:05:28,120 Speaker 1: actually made more money posty platforming than he did before. 1301 01:05:28,520 --> 01:05:30,640 Speaker 1: So Crowder, who's of course at bottom of capitalist and 1302 01:05:30,720 --> 01:05:32,880 Speaker 1: like any good capitalists, highly interested in the bottom line, 1303 01:05:33,160 --> 01:05:36,280 Speaker 1: he sees a real market opportunity here to exploit by 1304 01:05:36,360 --> 01:05:40,120 Speaker 1: positioning himself as the true movement leader, more principled in 1305 01:05:40,200 --> 01:05:43,480 Speaker 1: battling against big tech, more representative of the conservative masses 1306 01:05:43,520 --> 01:05:47,160 Speaker 1: than Shapiro's Daily Wire, which he labels the Big Con. Now, 1307 01:05:47,240 --> 01:05:50,080 Speaker 1: Shapiro is also clearly on Team DeSantis for the coming 1308 01:05:50,120 --> 01:05:52,920 Speaker 1: Republican twenty twenty four primary, a posture that some Trump 1309 01:05:52,960 --> 01:05:56,360 Speaker 1: supporters are labeling as being establishment. As far as I know, 1310 01:05:56,440 --> 01:05:58,720 Speaker 1: Crowder hasn't really picked aside yet. He's praised both to 1311 01:05:58,800 --> 01:06:01,320 Speaker 1: Santas and Trump. But everyone's gonna have to make a choice, 1312 01:06:01,360 --> 01:06:02,960 Speaker 1: and they're gonna have to make that choice pretty soon. 1313 01:06:03,280 --> 01:06:05,280 Speaker 1: Would make a lot of sense if Crowder ultimately went 1314 01:06:05,360 --> 01:06:07,840 Speaker 1: right from positioning himself as the true voice and defender 1315 01:06:07,880 --> 01:06:09,960 Speaker 1: of the conservative base, and by the way, has a 1316 01:06:10,000 --> 01:06:13,280 Speaker 1: side note defending Kanye West on his Hitler loving insanity 1317 01:06:13,640 --> 01:06:17,040 Speaker 1: to then steadfastly backing Trump for the twenty twenty four primary. 1318 01:06:17,280 --> 01:06:19,840 Speaker 1: After all, Trump's power might have slipped, but he is 1319 01:06:19,880 --> 01:06:23,040 Speaker 1: still very popular among Republicans and still the favorite to 1320 01:06:23,080 --> 01:06:26,240 Speaker 1: win the next GOP nominating contest. In fact, the latest 1321 01:06:26,280 --> 01:06:28,320 Speaker 1: polling has Trump beating a desantist by twenty points in 1322 01:06:28,360 --> 01:06:30,320 Speaker 1: a divided primary field and ten points in a head 1323 01:06:30,320 --> 01:06:34,040 Speaker 1: to head matchup. So this fracturing is most significant as 1324 01:06:34,080 --> 01:06:35,840 Speaker 1: the side of the times a sign that we have 1325 01:06:36,120 --> 01:06:39,120 Speaker 1: already arrived at a big split in the conservative movement 1326 01:06:39,360 --> 01:06:42,520 Speaker 1: as an ugly twenty twenty four GOP primary looms. It 1327 01:06:42,680 --> 01:06:44,800 Speaker 1: is no accident this comes on the heels of some 1328 01:06:44,960 --> 01:06:47,320 Speaker 1: nasty infighting the Republican House Caucus for the Guards, the 1329 01:06:47,320 --> 01:06:50,640 Speaker 1: election of speargrou McCarthy, including reports of a bathroom screaming 1330 01:06:50,680 --> 01:06:53,680 Speaker 1: match between Lauren Bobert Marjorie Taylor Green, and your fisticuffs 1331 01:06:53,720 --> 01:06:55,680 Speaker 1: on the House floor between rebel leader Matt Gates and 1332 01:06:55,760 --> 01:06:58,960 Speaker 1: McCarthy loyalist Mike Rodgers. Now, the dividing lines there were 1333 01:06:59,000 --> 01:07:01,080 Speaker 1: quite muddled by the fact you had Trump loyalists on 1334 01:07:01,160 --> 01:07:03,480 Speaker 1: both sides of the fight, But the fracturing in the 1335 01:07:03,520 --> 01:07:06,520 Speaker 1: squabbles they tell the same story. The gop unity of 1336 01:07:06,560 --> 01:07:09,160 Speaker 1: the Trump arrow is over. The only question now is 1337 01:07:09,240 --> 01:07:12,280 Speaker 1: the contours of the divides and who falls on which side. 1338 01:07:12,960 --> 01:07:14,480 Speaker 1: This is going to be ugly for the right, and 1339 01:07:14,600 --> 01:07:18,280 Speaker 1: plenty will be personal, gratuitous, petty, bad faith, et cetera. 1340 01:07:18,760 --> 01:07:22,200 Speaker 1: But unity as we see right now on the Democratic side, 1341 01:07:22,240 --> 01:07:24,960 Speaker 1: with every single member bending. The need of leadership that 1342 01:07:25,120 --> 01:07:28,440 Speaker 1: has its own kind of ugliness requires everyone to ignore 1343 01:07:28,720 --> 01:07:31,240 Speaker 1: or cover for the insanities, the corruption, the ugliness and 1344 01:07:31,280 --> 01:07:33,880 Speaker 1: the lies, and the name of team loyalty. It protects 1345 01:07:34,000 --> 01:07:37,640 Speaker 1: power for an existing set of failed leaders. It quashes 1346 01:07:37,720 --> 01:07:40,200 Speaker 1: all debate, the good faith and principle, as well as 1347 01:07:40,280 --> 01:07:44,560 Speaker 1: the bad faith and absurd in a functioning democracy. Battles 1348 01:07:44,600 --> 01:07:46,200 Speaker 1: of the sword that are breaking out on the right 1349 01:07:46,320 --> 01:07:48,960 Speaker 1: right now, they can be healthy, they can be positive. 1350 01:07:49,000 --> 01:07:51,240 Speaker 1: They can lead to rebirth and renewal rather than a 1351 01:07:51,320 --> 01:07:54,040 Speaker 1: festering quagmire that's maintained because everyone who has a voice 1352 01:07:54,080 --> 01:07:57,680 Speaker 1: is too afraid to challenge the status quo. But unfortunately, 1353 01:07:58,200 --> 01:08:00,920 Speaker 1: debates over the future of the Republican Party, in my opinion, 1354 01:08:01,160 --> 01:08:05,400 Speaker 1: have long ago lost any real content. Trump Ism collapsed 1355 01:08:05,480 --> 01:08:08,760 Speaker 1: pretty quickly from any sort of policy agenda to loyalty tests, 1356 01:08:08,880 --> 01:08:11,560 Speaker 1: vibes and aesthetics. That's how you can have TEA partiers 1357 01:08:11,600 --> 01:08:14,200 Speaker 1: plotting to cut Social Security posturing as MAGA at the 1358 01:08:14,240 --> 01:08:16,600 Speaker 1: same time as Trump himself declares that social Security and 1359 01:08:16,640 --> 01:08:19,920 Speaker 1: Medicare cuts should be absolutely off the table. That's how 1360 01:08:19,960 --> 01:08:22,920 Speaker 1: you can have the supposed populist himself, Trump having a 1361 01:08:23,160 --> 01:08:25,479 Speaker 1: giant tax cut for the rich as his single most 1362 01:08:25,600 --> 01:08:30,000 Speaker 1: significant achievement in office. So I fully expect the brewing 1363 01:08:30,080 --> 01:08:33,080 Speaker 1: war for the GOP to follow precisely the model we 1364 01:08:33,160 --> 01:08:36,040 Speaker 1: have just seen of Crowder versus Shapiro. It will be 1365 01:08:36,160 --> 01:08:39,519 Speaker 1: as ugly as Steven Crowder secretly recording calls from longtime 1366 01:08:39,600 --> 01:08:42,400 Speaker 1: friends and allies. It will be as absurd as claiming 1367 01:08:42,479 --> 01:08:46,439 Speaker 1: a fifty million dollar contract is literal slavery, and as 1368 01:08:46,600 --> 01:08:49,160 Speaker 1: meaningless as to died in the wool. Capitalists funded by 1369 01:08:49,200 --> 01:08:52,880 Speaker 1: billionaires posturing as true adversaries to corporate giants, like with 1370 01:08:52,960 --> 01:08:55,720 Speaker 1: Crowder versus Shapiro. The amount of money involved, it will 1371 01:08:55,720 --> 01:08:58,640 Speaker 1: be truly shocking. Bottom line, it'll be a struggle for 1372 01:08:58,680 --> 01:09:01,320 Speaker 1: power and influence, for the safe of power and influence, 1373 01:09:01,640 --> 01:09:05,360 Speaker 1: fought via manufactured proxy wars. There's really no side worth 1374 01:09:05,400 --> 01:09:07,880 Speaker 1: taking here. The only thing to do is grab the 1375 01:09:07,920 --> 01:09:11,799 Speaker 1: popcord and enjoy the fireworks. So that's my take, Sager. 1376 01:09:12,080 --> 01:09:14,280 Speaker 1: Interesting and if you want to hear my reaction to 1377 01:09:14,439 --> 01:09:18,280 Speaker 1: Crystal's monologue, become a premium subscriber today at breakingpoints dot com. 1378 01:09:21,160 --> 01:09:24,280 Speaker 1: Jenaiferman is a staff writer for Labor Notes, and he 1379 01:09:24,439 --> 01:09:26,040 Speaker 1: joins us, Now, great to see you, Jonah, good to 1380 01:09:26,080 --> 01:09:30,400 Speaker 1: see man. Yeah. Likewise, so we have the piece that 1381 01:09:30,479 --> 01:09:32,519 Speaker 1: you wrote actually for Jack Ben. Let's go and put 1382 01:09:32,560 --> 01:09:34,120 Speaker 1: this up on the screen and I'll read some of 1383 01:09:34,200 --> 01:09:37,439 Speaker 1: the key data that came out in this pure labor 1384 01:09:37,479 --> 01:09:41,639 Speaker 1: statistics report showing that Even though the number of unionized 1385 01:09:41,680 --> 01:09:44,400 Speaker 1: workers did rise, union density, as has been the trend 1386 01:09:44,400 --> 01:09:47,560 Speaker 1: for a long time, continued to fall. That's the percentage 1387 01:09:47,600 --> 01:09:50,439 Speaker 1: of the workforce that is unionized, you say here, The 1388 01:09:50,520 --> 01:09:52,599 Speaker 1: headline grabber in this year's release is that there were, 1389 01:09:52,720 --> 01:09:55,120 Speaker 1: by the bureau's count, two hundred and seventy three thousand 1390 01:09:55,520 --> 01:09:58,080 Speaker 1: more union members in twenty twenty two than in twenty 1391 01:09:58,120 --> 01:10:00,920 Speaker 1: twenty one, but overall union density continue to follow to 1392 01:10:01,040 --> 01:10:05,599 Speaker 1: its lowest level ten point one percent since the nineteen twenties. 1393 01:10:06,120 --> 01:10:08,320 Speaker 1: You go on to ask, how does that happen? Union 1394 01:10:08,439 --> 01:10:12,040 Speaker 1: jobs are growing, but non union jobs are growing faster. 1395 01:10:12,240 --> 01:10:15,120 Speaker 1: So as you dug into the data here, Jonah, what 1396 01:10:15,240 --> 01:10:19,320 Speaker 1: did you find? Yeah, I mean, I think the big 1397 01:10:19,760 --> 01:10:21,920 Speaker 1: headline that people should appreciate is that we're in a 1398 01:10:22,000 --> 01:10:26,719 Speaker 1: long period of declines since nineteen eighty and that's still happening. 1399 01:10:27,360 --> 01:10:30,599 Speaker 1: The headline is sort of that this is the biggest 1400 01:10:30,640 --> 01:10:33,840 Speaker 1: increase in union jobs since the Great Recession, since two 1401 01:10:33,880 --> 01:10:36,559 Speaker 1: thousand and eight. So maybe there's some signs of hope there, 1402 01:10:36,600 --> 01:10:38,960 Speaker 1: But if you dig a little deeper, it's a lot 1403 01:10:39,000 --> 01:10:41,360 Speaker 1: of that is pandemic recovery, a lot of that is 1404 01:10:41,439 --> 01:10:44,760 Speaker 1: growth of industries that happened to already be unionized. It's 1405 01:10:44,880 --> 01:10:48,200 Speaker 1: not as much as you might think from reading headlines 1406 01:10:48,200 --> 01:10:51,600 Speaker 1: about Starbucks and Amazon and big new organizing. We're not 1407 01:10:51,760 --> 01:10:55,439 Speaker 1: there yet. The tide has not turned. And really looking 1408 01:10:55,520 --> 01:10:58,400 Speaker 1: at ten and twenty year trends, we're still on the 1409 01:10:58,479 --> 01:11:01,840 Speaker 1: same path we've been since Reagan and since you know, 1410 01:11:01,960 --> 01:11:05,280 Speaker 1: late Jim Carter era. So just when people are trying 1411 01:11:05,280 --> 01:11:07,240 Speaker 1: to think like where are we at in the union moment, 1412 01:11:07,600 --> 01:11:12,040 Speaker 1: we're still in this period of slide and there's hopeful points, 1413 01:11:12,120 --> 01:11:15,160 Speaker 1: but just kind of digging into the numbers, that's still 1414 01:11:15,240 --> 01:11:17,479 Speaker 1: the situation. So, Jonah, there was a lot of a 1415 01:11:17,720 --> 01:11:21,439 Speaker 1: theorization that it might help. The post pandemic moment, unions 1416 01:11:21,479 --> 01:11:24,200 Speaker 1: had more approval than ever. So where is the systemic 1417 01:11:24,320 --> 01:11:29,920 Speaker 1: drop coming from? Well, I mean it's coming, you know, 1418 01:11:30,400 --> 01:11:33,240 Speaker 1: from everywhere. Basically, there's not a lot of places that 1419 01:11:33,439 --> 01:11:36,639 Speaker 1: it's not that are not seeing decline. Now there's year 1420 01:11:36,720 --> 01:11:38,800 Speaker 1: over a year sort of blips, like we saw big 1421 01:11:38,880 --> 01:11:41,800 Speaker 1: growth in hospitality union members this year, but a lot 1422 01:11:41,840 --> 01:11:45,120 Speaker 1: of that is the hospitality industry coming back. So if 1423 01:11:45,160 --> 01:11:47,960 Speaker 1: you look still again on the ten to twenty year trends, 1424 01:11:48,080 --> 01:11:51,400 Speaker 1: let alone the forty fifty year trends. We see obviously 1425 01:11:51,560 --> 01:11:54,760 Speaker 1: huge drops in manufacturing. This is something like seventy percent 1426 01:11:54,840 --> 01:11:57,240 Speaker 1: of the membership loss of the past twenty years. As 1427 01:11:57,280 --> 01:12:00,800 Speaker 1: you just lose millions of manufacturing jobs, but you also 1428 01:12:01,000 --> 01:12:05,960 Speaker 1: lose disproportionately the unions and the unionized jobs of that share. 1429 01:12:06,280 --> 01:12:09,479 Speaker 1: Same thing in construction. But what's interesting it's also in 1430 01:12:09,720 --> 01:12:12,160 Speaker 1: the public sectors. So at the postal service, a big 1431 01:12:12,560 --> 01:12:15,679 Speaker 1: source of union jobs, we've probably lost three hundred thousand 1432 01:12:15,760 --> 01:12:19,639 Speaker 1: union members in twenty twenty five years. You know, even 1433 01:12:19,680 --> 01:12:22,680 Speaker 1: in the federal sector, federal workers who are you know, 1434 01:12:22,760 --> 01:12:25,240 Speaker 1: the public sector is supposed to be easier to unionize 1435 01:12:26,000 --> 01:12:29,240 Speaker 1: for certain reasons, there's not. You know, certain states that 1436 01:12:29,360 --> 01:12:32,880 Speaker 1: have jurisdiction over it have different rules, but certain blue states, 1437 01:12:33,080 --> 01:12:35,720 Speaker 1: you know, prop up unionism of the public sector. But 1438 01:12:35,840 --> 01:12:39,400 Speaker 1: even there we've seen density mostly fall and where we've 1439 01:12:39,439 --> 01:12:42,800 Speaker 1: seen sort of unions hold on. It's more about the 1440 01:12:42,880 --> 01:12:47,360 Speaker 1: growth of different industries. So education, healthcare a decently strong 1441 01:12:48,640 --> 01:12:52,320 Speaker 1: union industry, but density hasn't gone up. Density being the 1442 01:12:52,400 --> 01:12:54,760 Speaker 1: proportion of the workers who are unionized, So it's been 1443 01:12:55,120 --> 01:12:58,320 Speaker 1: you know, around a third or less thirty percent for 1444 01:12:58,640 --> 01:13:01,920 Speaker 1: some of these industries that hasn't climbed despite you know, 1445 01:13:02,360 --> 01:13:05,720 Speaker 1: more strikes, more interest in unionization, And part of it 1446 01:13:05,840 --> 01:13:07,720 Speaker 1: is because this lags, right, You're not going to have 1447 01:13:08,200 --> 01:13:12,160 Speaker 1: a huge increase in union density. Because Starbucks workers organized 1448 01:13:12,160 --> 01:13:14,719 Speaker 1: six months ago. We're talking on the scale of millions 1449 01:13:14,760 --> 01:13:18,120 Speaker 1: of workers, but we have not yet flattened or reversed 1450 01:13:18,160 --> 01:13:21,120 Speaker 1: the trend. And Jonah, that brings up a good question, 1451 01:13:21,240 --> 01:13:24,559 Speaker 1: which is, you know, we covered obviously the Starbucks workers 1452 01:13:24,720 --> 01:13:27,600 Speaker 1: and their incredible movement, the way it's spread like wildfire, 1453 01:13:27,720 --> 01:13:31,240 Speaker 1: and also the way it upbended some conventional wisdom about 1454 01:13:31,360 --> 01:13:36,400 Speaker 1: which workplaces you could even unionize. We obviously covered Amazon 1455 01:13:36,520 --> 01:13:39,479 Speaker 1: Labor union their stunning victory, which was, you know, true 1456 01:13:39,600 --> 01:13:44,599 Speaker 1: David glives story. Is it possible that these wins are 1457 01:13:44,760 --> 01:13:48,839 Speaker 1: more significant than their numbers would indicate, in that perhaps 1458 01:13:48,920 --> 01:13:52,080 Speaker 1: they you know, they shift what's possible, They shift a 1459 01:13:52,160 --> 01:13:56,000 Speaker 1: public perception of where and how and who can organize 1460 01:13:56,280 --> 01:13:59,160 Speaker 1: that they light a fire under some you know, entrench 1461 01:13:59,280 --> 01:14:02,559 Speaker 1: union bureaucracy that's kind of been sitting back on the laurels. 1462 01:14:03,080 --> 01:14:05,800 Speaker 1: Is it possible that even though things didn't really fully 1463 01:14:05,920 --> 01:14:09,400 Speaker 1: turn around in twenty twenty two you saw the beginning 1464 01:14:09,560 --> 01:14:14,439 Speaker 1: of what could be a different trend line. Yeah, totally. 1465 01:14:14,520 --> 01:14:16,479 Speaker 1: I mean, I think one of the main ways to 1466 01:14:16,600 --> 01:14:19,479 Speaker 1: read this report every year is to say there is 1467 01:14:19,680 --> 01:14:22,960 Speaker 1: no universe in which we turn this around using the 1468 01:14:23,000 --> 01:14:24,920 Speaker 1: tools we've been using and the tools that we have. 1469 01:14:25,200 --> 01:14:29,519 Speaker 1: So the NLRB, for example, just going through those union elections, 1470 01:14:29,760 --> 01:14:32,960 Speaker 1: something like seventy thousand workers joined unions through the NLRB 1471 01:14:33,120 --> 01:14:35,680 Speaker 1: this year. That's compared to it's like half a percentage 1472 01:14:35,720 --> 01:14:38,200 Speaker 1: point of the total number of union workers. So one 1473 01:14:38,240 --> 01:14:40,519 Speaker 1: thing that tells you is that it's going to take 1474 01:14:41,160 --> 01:14:45,560 Speaker 1: sort of geometric or exponential increase in unionization, which is 1475 01:14:45,600 --> 01:14:48,640 Speaker 1: going to mean things beyond what the union staff that 1476 01:14:48,720 --> 01:14:51,559 Speaker 1: currently exists can do. It's going to mean something catching 1477 01:14:51,640 --> 01:14:54,280 Speaker 1: on like wildfire. It's going to mean big political changes. 1478 01:14:54,720 --> 01:14:58,920 Speaker 1: When we've seen leaps in unionization, it's not for the 1479 01:14:59,000 --> 01:15:02,519 Speaker 1: most part, just that the staff organizers or the unions 1480 01:15:02,600 --> 01:15:05,120 Speaker 1: that do exist are just doing a much better job. 1481 01:15:05,160 --> 01:15:08,120 Speaker 1: That's a key. That part has to happen too, but 1482 01:15:08,280 --> 01:15:11,400 Speaker 1: it also has to change sort of people's common sense 1483 01:15:11,400 --> 01:15:14,880 Speaker 1: about unions, and we have to see union organizing that 1484 01:15:15,160 --> 01:15:19,080 Speaker 1: far outpaces what the current structures are able to take 1485 01:15:19,160 --> 01:15:21,880 Speaker 1: in and so I think the surprise victories from the 1486 01:15:21,920 --> 01:15:24,920 Speaker 1: Amazon labor union, from the Starbucks workers are a huge 1487 01:15:24,960 --> 01:15:26,840 Speaker 1: part of it. The other huge part of it to 1488 01:15:26,960 --> 01:15:30,759 Speaker 1: me is seeing unions that are turning around after decades. 1489 01:15:30,840 --> 01:15:33,160 Speaker 1: So this year, I think the big twenty twenty three 1490 01:15:33,560 --> 01:15:36,919 Speaker 1: labor story is not going to be the new organizing 1491 01:15:37,040 --> 01:15:39,880 Speaker 1: numbers or you know, our density or how many members 1492 01:15:39,960 --> 01:15:41,880 Speaker 1: we grow, but it's going to be that this summer, 1493 01:15:42,160 --> 01:15:45,600 Speaker 1: it's quite possible that UPS and the big three automakers 1494 01:15:45,880 --> 01:15:47,439 Speaker 1: are all going to go on strike. We're going to 1495 01:15:47,479 --> 01:15:52,320 Speaker 1: have some of the most workers on strike at UPS 1496 01:15:52,840 --> 01:15:55,360 Speaker 1: since nineteen ninety seven, the last UPS strike and one 1497 01:15:55,400 --> 01:15:57,760 Speaker 1: of the biggest strikes in history. You know, if that's 1498 01:15:57,800 --> 01:16:00,680 Speaker 1: how this goes, we're suddenly talking about a level of 1499 01:16:00,840 --> 01:16:06,280 Speaker 1: like inspiration, political influence that's not just about did we 1500 01:16:06,360 --> 01:16:08,760 Speaker 1: get five thousand members here or there. So I think 1501 01:16:08,800 --> 01:16:11,439 Speaker 1: that's totally right. I do think it's important to look 1502 01:16:11,479 --> 01:16:15,280 Speaker 1: at the numbers and remind yourself sort of where we're at. 1503 01:16:15,360 --> 01:16:18,320 Speaker 1: We're still coming down and it's going to take all 1504 01:16:18,439 --> 01:16:22,280 Speaker 1: different sorts of turnarounds, explicit turnarounds. Right, So in the 1505 01:16:22,320 --> 01:16:24,960 Speaker 1: Team Streets, you've had new leadership saying what we've been 1506 01:16:25,000 --> 01:16:27,080 Speaker 1: doing for twenty five years is not working. We're going 1507 01:16:27,120 --> 01:16:28,800 Speaker 1: to run against the leadership. We're going to turn it 1508 01:16:28,800 --> 01:16:31,160 Speaker 1: around and go on strength. Same in the UAW you 1509 01:16:31,200 --> 01:16:33,519 Speaker 1: have people running who are saying we are not going 1510 01:16:33,600 --> 01:16:35,360 Speaker 1: to do what we've been doing for thirty years, for 1511 01:16:35,560 --> 01:16:39,400 Speaker 1: fifty years, and we're going to run a huge strike 1512 01:16:39,479 --> 01:16:42,400 Speaker 1: and organize all the southern factories. You know, things like that. 1513 01:16:42,720 --> 01:16:45,080 Speaker 1: We're going to need to see change on that scale. 1514 01:16:45,120 --> 01:16:50,040 Speaker 1: That's challenging the entire status quo of unionism in this country. Yeah, 1515 01:16:50,479 --> 01:16:52,240 Speaker 1: things that are going to be really important to watch 1516 01:16:52,280 --> 01:16:54,479 Speaker 1: for the future. I know I've also had my eye 1517 01:16:54,520 --> 01:16:56,800 Speaker 1: on that potential ups strike for a while. I mean, 1518 01:16:56,800 --> 01:17:01,479 Speaker 1: the new leadership of the Team stairs and explicitly on 1519 01:17:01,600 --> 01:17:04,760 Speaker 1: a pledge to be more militant in these contract negotiations 1520 01:17:04,840 --> 01:17:06,920 Speaker 1: and to be willing to strike. Obviously, that would be 1521 01:17:06,920 --> 01:17:08,880 Speaker 1: a huge deal and labor movement would be a huge 1522 01:17:08,960 --> 01:17:15,240 Speaker 1: deal nationwide and in terms of the political ecosystem overall. So, Jonah, 1523 01:17:15,280 --> 01:17:17,320 Speaker 1: thank you so much. It's a great article. People should 1524 01:17:17,360 --> 01:17:18,960 Speaker 1: check it out, and you always do a fantastic job 1525 01:17:19,400 --> 01:17:22,160 Speaker 1: laying out exactly what is what within the labor movement, 1526 01:17:22,200 --> 01:17:24,200 Speaker 1: the wins, the losses and everything in between. So so 1527 01:17:24,280 --> 01:17:28,000 Speaker 1: great to see you. Thanks man. Yeah, thanks guys. Yeah, 1528 01:17:28,000 --> 01:17:30,280 Speaker 1: our pleasure. Thank you guys so much for watching. Really 1529 01:17:30,280 --> 01:17:32,120 Speaker 1: appreciate it. We got the live show going on. We're 1530 01:17:32,120 --> 01:17:34,240 Speaker 1: going to debut some merch later on today on our 1531 01:17:34,320 --> 01:17:36,560 Speaker 1: channel for that live show, specifically in Austin, So you 1532 01:17:36,640 --> 01:17:38,720 Speaker 1: got to buy your tickets if you want access to 1533 01:17:38,800 --> 01:17:41,120 Speaker 1: that otherwise. We love our premium members. Thank you guys 1534 01:17:41,160 --> 01:17:44,439 Speaker 1: so much for supporting us as we're gearing up, getting 1535 01:17:44,479 --> 01:17:46,439 Speaker 1: prepared for twenty twenty four and all of that, and 1536 01:17:46,560 --> 01:17:49,160 Speaker 1: considering the major upgrades that we're having right now to 1537 01:17:49,320 --> 01:17:51,320 Speaker 1: the studio. We love you all. We'll see all tomorrow. 1538 01:17:51,400 --> 01:18:01,439 Speaker 1: Love y'all, See you soon. The Dow