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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into the Black

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Speaker 1: Friday edition of the Daily Juice podcast Here at fittingpros

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Speaker 1: dot com. I'll being brought to you by BETMGM. I

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Speaker 1: am your host, Matt Perrault here every single morning and

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Speaker 1: you can follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt. Well,

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Speaker 1: yesterday was Thanksgiving and it was well, really good. We

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Speaker 1: went five and oh five and oh yesterday on Thanksgiving. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna take that every day of time. And if

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Speaker 1: you didn't play the prop Bets, well, I guess it

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Speaker 1: was four and oh because the Gonzaga pic was on

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Speaker 1: the podcast. Sorry, it was on the live stream, not

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Speaker 1: the podcast. I guess technically went four and oh on

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Speaker 1: the podcast yesterday, and then you add in the Gonzaga victory,

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Speaker 1: and then you add in the under for Andy Dalton passing.

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Speaker 1: We got the Jordan Aiken prop wrong, and we got

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Speaker 1: the Watson prop. He got to twenty seven yards rushing.

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Speaker 1: We had thirty one and a half, so we were

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Speaker 1: close there from nearly going seven and one on the day.

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Speaker 1: So instead at six and two down we willieve I mean,

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Speaker 1: my gosh, only two half a unit's two quarter units

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Speaker 1: downs or half a unit down, but a bunch of

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Speaker 1: units up yesterday. It was tremendous. So a lot of

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Speaker 1: you guys have been following and firing dms and talking

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Speaker 1: to me, and it's look, this is fun right now,

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Speaker 1: right when we're into this run, When you're getting these

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Speaker 1: games right like this, it's fun. Will it always be

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Speaker 1: like this? Of course not. Am I gonna fall in

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Speaker 1: my face at some point? Of course I am. However,

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Speaker 1: while we're hot, let's ride it, all right. I have

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Speaker 1: four college football plays going today, and I've got two

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Speaker 1: college basketball plays going today. I've got three full units

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Speaker 1: in college football in one unit here going four were

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Speaker 1: college basketball, So four units in play today here on

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Speaker 1: a Friday. This is normally one of the best college

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Speaker 1: football days of the year. I don't have a ton

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Speaker 1: going on today, you know, I don't do the Black

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Speaker 1: Friday shopping. Thank you for those folks on the Discord

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Speaker 1: channel or on Twitter, if you gave me some advice

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Speaker 1: on what TV to buy. That was the only thing

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Speaker 1: I had to buy today, and I got that, so

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Speaker 1: got that taken care of, and you know, so what

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Speaker 1: else there to do? Not much? Right I can't pick

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Speaker 1: up the TV for a couple of days, and I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna be watching football. Dan Harris and I today are

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Speaker 1: gonna tape our podcast for the Betting Pros NFL Podcast.

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Speaker 1: We're not going to take a week of You have

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Speaker 1: to take two weeks off in the DraftKings. This is

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Speaker 1: one of the weeks we're taking off. This week is

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Speaker 1: a mess in the NFL. But we already give you

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Speaker 1: one play on that with the Chiefs at minus three

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Speaker 1: and a half. But you know tomorrow we got Saturday,

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Speaker 1: and then Sunday we got NFL football, and you know,

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Speaker 1: here we are in November trying to dodge the COVID

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Speaker 1: problems which are everywhere in causing all sorts of issues

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Speaker 1: all over the NFL and all over college football and

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Speaker 1: all over college basketball. But I got a bunch of

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Speaker 1: plays going today and crossing our fingers and all these

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Speaker 1: games are going to go off today because I do

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Speaker 1: like a lot of them. So I'm going to save

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Speaker 1: some time here to break down the new plays. Let

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Speaker 1: me just remind you of the old place the plays

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Speaker 1: I gave you yesterday and well one Iowa today at

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Speaker 1: home against Nebraska at minus thirteen and a half. Here's

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Speaker 1: the thing. The number hasn't moved, all right, So the

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Speaker 1: books don't want to go to fourteen. They go to fourteen,

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Speaker 1: they feel like there's going to be professional money coming

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Speaker 1: in on Nebraska. So I'm comfortable sitting here at thirteen

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Speaker 1: and a half a right, I'm glad we got it

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Speaker 1: below that because the books clearly don't want to go

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Speaker 1: to fourteen. They think that's the number where Nebraska may

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Speaker 1: keep the game relatively close. So thirteen and a half,

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Speaker 1: fourteen point victory for Iowa and we're good. North Carolina

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Speaker 1: same thing. Line has stayed at five, hasn't really moved.

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Speaker 1: It's been five North Carolina at home against Notre Dame today,

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Speaker 1: so the books tend to like that number. Kind of

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Speaker 1: a dead number, right. But then the over sixty eight

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Speaker 1: has ticked up a little bit. It's up to sixty

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Speaker 1: eight and a half right now for Notre Dame and UNC.

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Speaker 1: So we're on the over, We're on North Carolina plus five.

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Speaker 1: If you want to sprinkle on the money line, I'm

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Speaker 1: not gonna hate on that. By the way, that's not

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Speaker 1: a horrible idea to go ahead and do that, but

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Speaker 1: you know I'm not gonna do that, you know, I

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Speaker 1: just I'm comfortable just taking plus five and I'm comfortable

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Speaker 1: going with the over here. So before I give you

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Speaker 1: the one college football play in the two college basketball plays,

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Speaker 1: have asked me, Matt, how do you do same game teasers?

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Speaker 1: located in Colorado, Tennessee, Indiana, New Jersey or West Virginia.

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Speaker 1: in New Jersey and West Virginia, or one hundred and

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Speaker 1: nine with it in Indiana. So we've got three games

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Speaker 1: that just told you about in college football. Let's talk

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Speaker 1: about the one one unit edition we're gonna make here.

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Speaker 1: I've talked a lot about the fact that I'd like

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Speaker 1: to play games where I've got some experience, right I

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Speaker 1: like to play, like to bet on games where I

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Speaker 1: have some type of feel as to what's gonna happen.

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Speaker 1: Texas and Iowa State, let's talk about Texas and Iowa State.

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Speaker 1: So the winner of this game basically will play in

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Speaker 1: the Big Twelve championship game. Now, Iowa State is on

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Speaker 1: the road. Tom Herman, the former Iowa State offensive coordinator,

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Speaker 1: a lot of history with the cycles. Here got Brock Perdy,

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Speaker 1: you got Matt Campbell, You've got a Tom Herman coach team.

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Speaker 1: Lay in two, lay in one, depending on where you

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Speaker 1: want to go here. And what's interesting is that Texas

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Speaker 1: at home can move the football. Texas at home can

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Speaker 1: put some points up on the board, but Iowa State

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Speaker 1: also can put some points up on the board. Iowa State,

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Speaker 1: it's been pretty good here scoring Texas this year is

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Speaker 1: five and two to the over. Iowa State is four

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Speaker 1: and four to the over. Two of the last three

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Speaker 1: games have gone over for Iowa State, but on the

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Speaker 1: road at TCU, the over hit by twenty eight points.

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Speaker 1: On the road. At Kansas, the over hit by twenty

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Speaker 1: five points. On the road. At Oklahoma State they lost

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Speaker 1: the game twenty four to twenty one, and the under

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Speaker 1: did not hit in that one. But you look at

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Speaker 1: Iowa State historically in this game against Texas, this is offense. Now. Now,

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Speaker 1: I know seventeen thirteen was the last game for West

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Speaker 1: virginigaan for for Texas, but the first four games of

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Speaker 1: the year all went over. Against Baylor, it did go under,

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Speaker 1: but the total was sixty one and a half. That

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Speaker 1: was a pretty high number. And then it went over

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Speaker 1: against Oklahoma State fifty nine and a half. That number

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Speaker 1: went over by fifteen and a half points. So clearly

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Speaker 1: flew over that one. And now you get West Virginia here,

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Speaker 1: fifty five was the total kind of a novely went

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Speaker 1: under by twenty five points. But I think Texas is

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Speaker 1: going to be able to move the football and score.

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Speaker 1: I don't think either one of these two teams are

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Speaker 1: going to play defense. I don't think this is going

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Speaker 1: to be a low scoring game by any stretch of

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Speaker 1: the imagination. And I think that just typically looking at

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Speaker 1: Iowa State in Texas, these games are historically shootouts. These

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Speaker 1: games just I mean, Iowa State's defense is not that good.

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Speaker 1: It's okay, they're giving up twenty three points per game.

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Speaker 1: Texas is giving up twenty nine points per game. On

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Speaker 1: the other side, Iowa State scoring thirty four points per

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Speaker 1: game and Texas is scoring forty points per game. Texas

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Speaker 1: can throw the football seven point three yards with Sam Ellinger,

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Speaker 1: and you've got rock Perty on the other side for

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Speaker 1: Iowa State, who can throw it at seven point six

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Speaker 1: yards per game. Both defenses aren't that good. Texas gives

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Speaker 1: up nearly seven yards to pass over seven and a

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Speaker 1: half yards passing given up for Iowa State. So you

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Speaker 1: can move the football through the air on both these teams.

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Speaker 1: And it's the Big twelve. Okay, I feel comfortable betting

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Speaker 1: on overs in big games. In the Big twelve. I

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Speaker 1: just think this is going to be a high scoring game.

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Speaker 1: The number opened up by fift six and a half

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Speaker 1: ticked up to fifty seven. I'm still betting the over

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Speaker 1: fifty seven Iowa State and Texas. We're going over for

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Speaker 1: one unit. Texas hosting Iowa State over fifty seven for

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Speaker 1: one unit. Here in college football, two plays in college

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Speaker 1: basketball to talk about half a unit each. Remember, we're

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Speaker 1: kind of limping in with college basketball. We're not going

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Speaker 1: to be overly aggressive with college basketball because we know better, right,

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Speaker 1: I mean, we just we know better, we know what

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Speaker 1: might happen, we know how difficult it is, but hey,

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Speaker 1: the Villanova over got there for us last second three

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Speaker 1: by Arizona State, which was like one of those hold

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Speaker 1: your breath, oh my gosh, is it actually gonna happen

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Speaker 1: type of moments, and it did, which was really nice

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Speaker 1: to see that happen. You're like, oh, thank goodness. Okay,

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Speaker 1: that's good. Now, let's talk about Boise State in Houston

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Speaker 1: here for a second, because Boise State is an interesting team.

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Speaker 1: Boise State. There's a lot of people that like Boise

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Speaker 1: State to be one of the better teams in the

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Speaker 1: Mountain West Conference this year, and well, look at I

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Speaker 1: haven't been great with my Mountain West thoughts. Maybe I'm

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Speaker 1: too close to unlv U and lv supposedly watched three

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Speaker 1: hours of game film, by the way, on Thanksgiving. Oh boy, yeah,

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Speaker 1: coach Ostenberger not happy at all. But the Broncos this

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Speaker 1: is their first game of the year. Okay, so we

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Speaker 1: don't know what really to make of them as of yet,

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Speaker 1: but you know, the matchup against Houston is kind of interesting.

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Speaker 1: Kelvin Sampson plays really slow. Okay, they don't, I mean

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Speaker 1: for them to blow anybody out. It's kind of surprising

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Speaker 1: to see them blow anybody out. They've got a great backcourt. Okay,

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Speaker 1: they've got some interesting players who can score. But to me,

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Speaker 1: I just think the Broncos haven't been great offensively. But

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Speaker 1: they've been okay, been okay, not great, but then okay offensively.

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Speaker 1: So they need to keep the game within striking distance.

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Speaker 1: I don't expect a high scoring game here. I don't

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Speaker 1: think Houston really is gonna go and blow people out.

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Speaker 1: But there are some new players for both teams. Houston's

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Speaker 1: got depth. Houston wins this game all right, but at

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Speaker 1: plus eleven and a half, I don't think Houston plays

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Speaker 1: fast enough to blow anybody out. I think Boise's got

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Speaker 1: some defense. I watched Boise play and some different players

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Speaker 1: on the team, but I watched Boise play in the

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Speaker 1: Mountain West Conference tournament last year and I came away

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Speaker 1: pretty impressed. I mean, their style of play is tough,

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Speaker 1: They're a smart basketball team. They don't hurt themselves all

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Speaker 1: that often, and I think they keep this game relatively close.

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Speaker 1: So I'm catching double digits here in the first game

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Speaker 1: of the year. They're gonna be excited to come on

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Speaker 1: out and play hard. I'm taking Boise plus eleven and

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Speaker 1: a half here. The line was thirteen and a half.

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Speaker 1: It's come down, so there's money coming in here. On Boise.

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Speaker 1: I'll continue here. Take Boise, you know, to lose by

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Speaker 1: five or six points, by one or two possessions to Houston,

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Speaker 1: but give me the eleven and a half Boise plus

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Speaker 1: eleven and a half for a half a unit. And

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Speaker 1: the other game that we're gonna take. Did you see

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Speaker 1: what Gonzaga did at the end to Kansas. Did you

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Speaker 1: see how good Gonzaga is. So Gonzaga was laying the

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Speaker 1: number opened up at eleven. The number is now fifteen,

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Speaker 1: Gonzaga minus fifteen. But they are just so good. They

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Speaker 1: are incredible. They went on a thirteen to two run

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Speaker 1: at the end of that game to get a monster

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Speaker 1: victory over Kansas. And you might say, well, Matt, there

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Speaker 1: are they're primed to have a big letdown against Auburn.

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Speaker 1: No they're not. No, they're not. I mean, Gonzaga is

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Speaker 1: so deep, They've got so many weapons, they've got so

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Speaker 1: much size. Their guards are so good they don't hurt themselves.

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Speaker 1: I mean, Gonzaga was thirty three assists for forty made

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Speaker 1: field goals against a top five team in Kansas. So

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Speaker 1: now here comes Auburn, who had an up and down

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Speaker 1: game in their first one A game in Saint Joe's.

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Speaker 1: And Auburn knows they're not very good. Because Auburn is

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Speaker 1: now serving his self imposed postseason ban for improper behavior,

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Speaker 1: they have punted on this entire season. They know they're

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Speaker 1: not very good. This is gonna be ugly. In my mind,

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Speaker 1: I don't think this game is within twenty points. I

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Speaker 1: think that this is just a runaway here. Gonzaga monster

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Speaker 1: number here over Auburn. I laid the fifteen points here,

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Speaker 1: Gonzaga best team in the country. Maybe by a ways

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Speaker 1: here you got Auburn coming in. Nah, I don't think

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Speaker 1: this is good. The Rims are funky, by the way,

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Speaker 1: at the Rocket Mortgage Fort Myers tip off, the Rims

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Speaker 1: are super soft. It's a little weird. Some people are

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Speaker 1: betting the dogs for this reason. But since Gonzaga played

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Speaker 1: a big game yesterday on these Rims, I think they'll

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Speaker 1: be more comfortable with them after having some real big

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Speaker 1: experience with the Rims. So I don't think they're gonna

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Speaker 1: panic two too much. About that. So to me, I

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Speaker 1: think Gonzaga minus fifteen. I know there are two The

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Speaker 1: better numbers were eleven and thirteen and a half. So

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Speaker 1: we got worse numbers. And I don't like betting into

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Speaker 1: markets where I've got bad numbers. But I just to me,

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Speaker 1: I'm okay with it right now. I just I don't

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Speaker 1: think it's that big of a deal. It's two points

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Speaker 1: and four points. I'm comfortable laying it even getting worse

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Speaker 1: numbers because I'm comfortable where we are here. So to

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Speaker 1: recap the entire day, and we have a lot riding

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Speaker 1: on Friday, let's try to replicate where we are from yesterday,

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Speaker 1: because yesterday was awesome. Six and two on the day,

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Speaker 1: up a bunch of units. Let's see if we can

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Speaker 1: do it again here on a Friday. We're going Iowa

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Speaker 1: minus thirteen and a half North Carolina plus five the

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Speaker 1: over with Carolina and Notre Dame sixty eight over Texas

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Speaker 1: in Iowa state fifty seven, Boise plus eleven and a half,

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Speaker 1: Gonzaga minus fifteen for our six place going today. This

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Speaker 1: is gonna burn me at some point. I fully understand that.

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Speaker 1: But we're having a good stretch. We're having a good run.

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Speaker 1: I'll have to go count up where we are right

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Speaker 1: now over the last two weeks. We've had a really

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Speaker 1: nice couple of weeks. I checked it like last Tuesday,

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Speaker 1: and it was like twenty six and thirteen or something

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Speaker 1: like that, So we were probably summer in the neighborhood

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Speaker 1: of like thirty five and twenty at worst right now.

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Speaker 1: As to like where we are, so we've been doing

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Speaker 1: really well. So I'm okay expanding it a little bit

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Speaker 1: and getting a little bit more involved than I normally

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Speaker 1: would be. But we're seeing the board well, we're hitting

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Speaker 1: on a bunch of good shots in bets, so you

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Speaker 1: know when you get a three at the buzzer kind

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Speaker 1: of how we hadn't met over you know, things are

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Speaker 1: going our way right now. So let's just kind of

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Speaker 1: try to extend it a little bit and see how

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Speaker 1: much we can pad the bankroll as we go through

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Speaker 1: here at the end of November. So we feasted yesterday,

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Speaker 1: Let's see if we can keep going with some Black

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Speaker 1: Fridday deals here with us with six plays going for

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Speaker 1: the Daily Juice. My name is Matt Parolt. Thank you

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Speaker 1: for everybody who showed up yesterday at the live stream

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Speaker 1: on Thanksgiving morning. That was so cool. I really appreciate it.

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Speaker 1: Don't forget. We're back on Sunday with another one of

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Speaker 1: those for the Sunday NFL Slate. So just because we

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Speaker 1: did it Thursday doesn't mean we're not doing it again.

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Speaker 1: So for some of you, is there first time ever

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Speaker 1: going and being involved with the live stream. So that's

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Speaker 1: every Sunday that we do that. We give up prop

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Speaker 1: bets and plays and whatnot. So with college basketball going concurrently,

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Speaker 1: we will give out plays when we like it on

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Speaker 1: college basketball, I'll give it out during the live stream

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Speaker 1: on Sunday mornings eleven am Eastern eighty am Pacific, every

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Speaker 1: single Sunday morning during NFL season off the Betting Pros

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Speaker 1: channel for YouTube. YouTube for Bettingpros dot com. So my

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Speaker 1: name is Matt Parolt. You can follow me on Twitter

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Speaker 1: at sports Talk Maatt in the Discord Chat. I'll be

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Speaker 1: in there off and on all day Bettingpros dot COM's

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Speaker 1: last chat to get involved to be a part of

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Speaker 1: the Discord channel. We're hot. Let's keep it rolling. Follow

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Speaker 1: me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt. Every morning, it's

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Speaker 1: the Daily Juice podcast presented by bedamgm offfenningpros dot Com