WEBVTT - Bloomberg Daybreak: August 9, 2022 - Hour 1 (Radio)

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<v Speaker 1>Nathan. Thanks five o seven on Walls Free Time to

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<v Speaker 1>bring in Michael Barne out with more on what else

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<v Speaker 1>is going on in New York and around the world. John,

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<v Speaker 1>thank you very much, sir. The bad news the heat

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<v Speaker 1>wave continues in the Tri State area. The good news

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<v Speaker 1>it ends tonight. Bloomberg meteorologist Rob Caroline has the latest.

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<v Speaker 1>Good morning, Michael, we have a heated vistory and effect

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<v Speaker 1>for the Tri State area until eight pm this evening.

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<v Speaker 1>Heat advised me though the last one of the week.

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<v Speaker 1>It looks like temperatures are gonna cool off quite a

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<v Speaker 1>bit as we head to the remainder of the week.

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<v Speaker 1>Today we're up around ninety five Tomorrow, it's eighty five

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<v Speaker 1>and eighty five again on Thursday, than only five on Friday,

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<v Speaker 1>with much less humidity, so we're definitely gonna be breaking

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<v Speaker 1>the heat wave, Michael. Thanks for Rob. Con Ed is

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<v Speaker 1>asking residents and parts of Brooklyn and Queens to curb

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<v Speaker 1>their energy use as high heats herees New York City.

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<v Speaker 1>The utility asked homes and businesses and the affected areas

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<v Speaker 1>to refrain from using power hungry appliances, including washers, dryers,

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<v Speaker 1>and microwaves until the crew completes repair airs, and also

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<v Speaker 1>requested that presidents only use one air conditioner. President Biden

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<v Speaker 1>extended help and the FEMA check book to flood soaked

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<v Speaker 1>eastern Kentucky as he visited storm damaged areas. The president

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<v Speaker 1>toward water demolished neighborhoods, where he immediately issued federal disaster

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<v Speaker 1>declarations so they could rebuild from last week's deadly storms.

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<v Speaker 1>After meeting with families impacted by the flooding in the

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<v Speaker 1>town of Lost Creek, President Biden says he will be

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<v Speaker 1>back to help them rebuild from the flooding. All Americans,

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<v Speaker 1>everybody has an obligation to help. We have the capacity

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<v Speaker 1>to do this. It's not like it's beyond our control.

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<v Speaker 1>The President also preaching unity in the response to the disaster.

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<v Speaker 1>The Pentagon says it believed that as many as eighty

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<v Speaker 1>thousand Russian troops have been killed or wounded and under

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<v Speaker 1>six months of fighting in Ukraine. Under Secretary of Defense

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<v Speaker 1>from Policy Colin cull says, it's pretty remarkable considering that

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<v Speaker 1>the Russians have achieved none of Vladimir Putin's objectives at

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<v Speaker 1>the getting of the war. China has extended military drills

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<v Speaker 1>near Taiwan's airspace and sees today Taiwan says China is

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<v Speaker 1>using war drills to plan a future invasion. Beloved actress

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<v Speaker 1>and singer Olivia Newton John has died. She was famous

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<v Speaker 1>for her hits like letting Me Be There, Physical and

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<v Speaker 1>her breakout role in Greece. Olivia Newton John was seventy

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<v Speaker 1>three Global News twenty four hours a day on air

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<v Speaker 1>and on Bloomberg Quicktake, powered by more than twenty seven

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<v Speaker 1>hundred journalists and analysts more than a hundred twenty countries.

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<v Speaker 1>Michael barn this is Bloomberg, John Michael, thank you, guys.

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<v Speaker 1>I'll find Tanda all wall Street. That's time for the

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Sports Update. And good morning, John Stash all Right,

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<v Speaker 1>good morning, John Tucker. When the Yankees were flying high

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<v Speaker 1>first half of the season, they were relatively healthy. That's

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<v Speaker 1>no longer the case, John Carla Stanton on the injured list,

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<v Speaker 1>those Luis sevareno, Michael King done for the year. And

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<v Speaker 1>last night in Seattle, Matt kar Finger foul the ball

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<v Speaker 1>off his foot. It's a fracture that might end what's

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<v Speaker 1>been a remarkable season for Carpenter. He had hit only

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<v Speaker 1>seven home runs over his previous two seasons. He joined

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<v Speaker 1>the Yankees in late May. His slugging percentage since then

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<v Speaker 1>is the best of the major leagues. Yankee beat the

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<v Speaker 1>Mariners nine to four to end a five game loving three.

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<v Speaker 1>Josh Donaldson was his best game of the season. Two doubles,

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<v Speaker 1>a home run. He drove in three, so did Andrew

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<v Speaker 1>Benn and Tendie, who had struggled since his acquisition. Jamison

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<v Speaker 1>Tyn won seventens, allowed only three hits. He's now eleven

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<v Speaker 1>and two. And City Field Mets beat the Reds. They

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<v Speaker 1>made a thirteen of their last fifteen to run homer

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<v Speaker 1>in the first anybody Darling Marte and the Mets put

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<v Speaker 1>it away in the eighth. The pitch sw'ar gonna drive

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<v Speaker 1>deep too, right back those at Kino under the track

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<v Speaker 1>here the fence reaches up. If bounces off his glove.

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<v Speaker 1>If the score from seconders tata here comes big deal

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<v Speaker 1>around third to score take it for third. A stink.

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<v Speaker 1>He's in with a triple. And that's how a five

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<v Speaker 1>to work play. And that was the final w CBS

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<v Speaker 1>to call the Tyler nake from triple. Chris Bassett worked

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<v Speaker 1>eight in did not allow an earned run. The Let's

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<v Speaker 1>now lead the Braves by seven games. That key Jet

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<v Speaker 1>has suffered an injury training game Tapla McKay Beckton heard

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<v Speaker 1>his knee, same one that kept him out last season.

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<v Speaker 1>He had an m R I now headed for further tests.

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<v Speaker 1>An eventful day for the Giants. Several fights broke out

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<v Speaker 1>that does sometimes happen at training camp. Linebacker Take Crowder

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<v Speaker 1>and center John Feliciano among those involved. Giants have their

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<v Speaker 1>preseason opener Thursday at New England. John stashually went Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>spots John, all right, thanks John, and just the cash

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<v Speaker 1>open Wall Street. Down futures right now, they're up sixty

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<v Speaker 1>seven points. He has to be evening futures up about

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<v Speaker 1>eight points and an asset features twelve points higher. And

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<v Speaker 1>as we look at the two year yield three twenty one,

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<v Speaker 1>the ten year to seventy eight, this is Bloomberg. Dame

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<v Speaker 1>Brad just a Hand will speak with Wendy Schiller to

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<v Speaker 1>enter the Talment Center for American Politics and Policy at

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<v Speaker 1>Around University for analysis and perspective on the FBI raid

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<v Speaker 1>At the former President's Maral longer was State Markets, headlines

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<v Speaker 1>and breaking news twenty four hours a day at Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>dot Com, The Bloomberg Business at and at Bloomberg Quicktake,

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<v Speaker 1>She's a Bloomberg Business Flash, Nathan Hagar. Futures are holding

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<v Speaker 1>steady this morning. The dollar is slipping as investors bet

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<v Speaker 1>strong earnings can continue despite recent disappointments. We check the

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<v Speaker 1>markets every fifteen minutes during the trading day on Bloomberg.

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<v Speaker 1>SMP futures right now have seven points. Stout futures are

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<v Speaker 1>hired by sixty nine NASDAC futures, a gain of eleven points.

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<v Speaker 1>The tenure Treasury is down seven thirty seconds. The yield

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<v Speaker 1>two point seven eight percent. Yield on the two year

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<v Speaker 1>is three point to one percent. Nimex Screwed is down

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<v Speaker 1>one point two percent, down a dollar eleven at eighty

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<v Speaker 1>nine dollar sixty five cents. A barrel. Comic Gold is

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<v Speaker 1>up one tenth percent or two dollars fifty cents at

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<v Speaker 1>eighteen o seven seventy an ounce. The euro one point

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<v Speaker 1>zero two four five against the dollar. The en is

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<v Speaker 1>at one thirty four point nine zero. That's a Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>is this flash? Now? Here's Michael Barr with more on

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<v Speaker 1>what's going on around the Girl Up the morning, Michael,

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<v Speaker 1>Good morning, Nathan. The FBI has searched former President Donald

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<v Speaker 1>Trump's from Mamara Lago with State as part of an

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<v Speaker 1>investigation into whether he took classified records from the White

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<v Speaker 1>House to his Florida residents. Trump says agents opened up

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<v Speaker 1>a safe at his home and describes their work as

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<v Speaker 1>an unannounced raid that he likened to prosecutorial misconduct. Will

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<v Speaker 1>have more on this straight Ahead. Teachers and staff returned

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<v Speaker 1>to work today at public schools in Yuvoldi, Texas. It

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<v Speaker 1>follows the deadly mass shooting in May at rob Elementary School.

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<v Speaker 1>In baseball, the Yankees beat the Mariners nine four, The

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<v Speaker 1>Mets beat the Reds five one, the Nationals and A's lost.

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<v Speaker 1>The Orioles and Giants won Global news twenty four hours

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<v Speaker 1>a day on air and on Bloomberg Quick Take, powered

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<v Speaker 1>by more than twenty seven hundred journalists and analysts and

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<v Speaker 1>more than a hundred twenty countries. Michael Barr and this

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<v Speaker 1>is Bloomberg, John and Michael, thank you, five nineteen at

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<v Speaker 1>Wall Street. We are in live from the Bloomberg into

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<v Speaker 1>Anto Broker Studios. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. As Michael mentioned,

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<v Speaker 1>stunning development and the ongoing legal battles involving former President Trump.

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<v Speaker 1>For the first time in history, a search warrant executed

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<v Speaker 1>at the home of a former president, and let's find

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<v Speaker 1>out more this morning, joined by Joe Matthew, the host

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<v Speaker 1>of Bloomberg's Sound On. Joe, thanks for me with us.

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<v Speaker 1>There are a couple of ways that the law enforcement

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<v Speaker 1>can get stuff that they want, either through a subpoena

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<v Speaker 1>or a search warrant, and the distinction is important here,

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<v Speaker 1>Well it is, and this is you know, we want

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<v Speaker 1>to be careful here in the way we're framing this.

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<v Speaker 1>People are using the word raid because that's what Donald

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<v Speaker 1>Trump called it in his statement to the media last night.

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<v Speaker 1>This was a search warrant facilitated by the Secret Service,

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<v Speaker 1>So I just want to be clear. They weren't knocking

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<v Speaker 1>down doors, there were no battering rams. People were not

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<v Speaker 1>taken into custody. And this brings us back to January

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<v Speaker 1>when the National Archives first went in to retrieve fifteen

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<v Speaker 1>boxes at that point of documents and items from our

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<v Speaker 1>a lago that should have been turned over when Trump

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<v Speaker 1>left the White House. At that time, they said they

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<v Speaker 1>were continuing to search for additional records, and they have

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<v Speaker 1>been asking the Trump former White House, the former administration

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<v Speaker 1>to hand these over ever since. So what we saw yesterday,

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<v Speaker 1>just to be clear, was was a very deliberate search

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<v Speaker 1>facilitated by the Secret Service, approved by a judge. And

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<v Speaker 1>you cannot get a search warrant like this unless you

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<v Speaker 1>not only make the case of probable cause, but you

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<v Speaker 1>also have to be specific about what you are looking for. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>granted they took a lot of boxes out of there,

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<v Speaker 1>they got into the safe, they could be looking for

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<v Speaker 1>as little as one document, as far as we know,

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<v Speaker 1>if it is top secret, that's all it would take

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<v Speaker 1>to trigger that search yesterday. Is it implicit that not

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<v Speaker 1>going the root of a subpoena, they thought that they

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<v Speaker 1>wouldn't get it. Otherwise that's possible. We don't know this.

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<v Speaker 1>We have to remember, of course, that there have been

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of reports about Donald Trump disposing of documents,

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<v Speaker 1>tearing them up, flushing them down the toilet, and in fact,

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<v Speaker 1>some of the documents that were provided to the National

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<v Speaker 1>Archives at the beginning of the year, as I mentioned

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<v Speaker 1>in January uh in fact had been taped back together,

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<v Speaker 1>they were torn up, thrown away, and they had to

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<v Speaker 1>be reconstructed at the White House. All of that violates

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<v Speaker 1>the Presidential Records Act. Do we know what the documents

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<v Speaker 1>they were looking for possibly relate to? We We really don't.

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<v Speaker 1>And this is where it gets interesting here, Like, look,

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<v Speaker 1>just about every administration people should also understand this have

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<v Speaker 1>had some violation of the Presidential Records Act. The Washington

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<v Speaker 1>Post reminds us this morning, Bill and Hillary Clinton had

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<v Speaker 1>to return twenty eight thousand dollars in furnishings that they

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<v Speaker 1>said we're gifts were actually property of the White House.

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<v Speaker 1>We've just never seen anything on this scale. So it

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<v Speaker 1>does imply that this is important. This is a top

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<v Speaker 1>secret memo, It could be a series of documents, and

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<v Speaker 1>it also John could be tied potentially to the Department

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<v Speaker 1>of Justices January six investigation. That remains completely unclear to us.

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<v Speaker 1>And we have to be honest about how little we know. Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>so what is the former president and what are his

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<v Speaker 1>supporters saying at this point? Well, it's know it's a

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<v Speaker 1>doom scroll. This morning on Twitter, Kevin McCarthy was quick

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<v Speaker 1>to tweet, this is the Minority leader that he promises

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<v Speaker 1>an investigation into this. He will be specifically investigating Merrick Garland.

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<v Speaker 1>He tweeted to him, he said, put the date on

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<v Speaker 1>your calendar, assuming that he becomes speaker after the mid terms.

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<v Speaker 1>New oversight to the FBI Marjorie Taylor Green among others. Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>in Trump's uh ecosphere, if you will, are calling for

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<v Speaker 1>defunding the FBI, not unlike defund the police. Now this

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<v Speaker 1>is the new defund the FBI. Uh. Matt Gates, another

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<v Speaker 1>Trump supporter congressman, refers to January six as the FED surrection.

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<v Speaker 1>So this really reinforces this allergy that Trump supporters have

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<v Speaker 1>to federal law enforcement. Well, can the former president metaphorically

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<v Speaker 1>set fire to the Justice Department with his supporters to

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<v Speaker 1>evade responsibility? Could I ask the question again, could he

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<v Speaker 1>do what? Could he metaphorically set fire to the Justice

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<v Speaker 1>Department at this point? Well, if he got reelected, I suppose,

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<v Speaker 1>but I'm not sure. If you mean Donald Trump, I'm

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<v Speaker 1>not sure what's way he would have over the Justice

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<v Speaker 1>Department right now. If Republicans take the majority in the House,

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<v Speaker 1>you're gonna see a lot of hearings. But that does

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<v Speaker 1>not necessarily do anything to change the case for Donald Trump.

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<v Speaker 1>And what does it do to change the case, possibly

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<v Speaker 1>for the general election. That's a great question, and it's

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<v Speaker 1>pretty difficult to roll out more than two years at

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<v Speaker 1>the moment. Here. I would remind you, though, that Christopher Ray,

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<v Speaker 1>the FBI director, was selected by President Trump after he

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<v Speaker 1>fired Director Comey. And uh, although you would not necessarily expect,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, such a bold move a hundred days before

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<v Speaker 1>the midterm elections for violating the Presidential Records Act, never

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<v Speaker 1>mind the elections. All right, Joe, thanks very much. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>before you go, what do we look for next? Well, gosh,

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<v Speaker 1>that's a great question. Look, Donald Trump would also it

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<v Speaker 1>strikes me have a copy of that warrant. I think

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<v Speaker 1>that we will. We will have to learn at some

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<v Speaker 1>point what it is they were looking for. But knowing

0:11:57.320 --> 0:12:00.319
<v Speaker 1>that they have laptops, hard drives, documents, and so fourth,

0:12:00.440 --> 0:12:02.679
<v Speaker 1>there's gonna be weeks, if not months of downloading and

0:12:02.840 --> 0:12:05.720
<v Speaker 1>ingesting data, could be some time before we understand, unless,

0:12:05.760 --> 0:12:07.960
<v Speaker 1>of course, the FBI is a little leaky, and then

0:12:08.000 --> 0:12:10.280
<v Speaker 1>we might know as soon as today. Joe, always a pleasure,

0:12:10.320 --> 0:12:14.000
<v Speaker 1>appreciate it, Joe Matthew host a Bloomberg Sound Dot. As

0:12:14.000 --> 0:12:16.120
<v Speaker 1>we look at markets right now ahead of the cash

0:12:16.160 --> 0:12:19.160
<v Speaker 1>open on Wall Street. The futures indicate the higher open

0:12:19.640 --> 0:12:22.520
<v Speaker 1>the dowl right now Dale futures of sixty one points,

0:12:22.520 --> 0:12:24.720
<v Speaker 1>that's a rise of two tents of a percent. Smp

0:12:24.920 --> 0:12:27.520
<v Speaker 1>E many futures there are up six points, that's up

0:12:27.559 --> 0:12:30.160
<v Speaker 1>to tens of a percent. And the tech heavy nazac

0:12:30.480 --> 0:12:33.679
<v Speaker 1>E many futures right now four points higher. And as

0:12:33.679 --> 0:12:35.800
<v Speaker 1>we look at treasuries, the two year you have three,

0:12:35.840 --> 0:12:39.679
<v Speaker 1>twenty two, the ten year year to seventy eight. You

0:12:39.720 --> 0:12:46.800
<v Speaker 1>are listening to Bloomberg Daybreak. Day Break brought to you

0:12:46.840 --> 0:12:50.320
<v Speaker 1>by Pepack Private Wealth Management. Pepack Private Wealth Management knows

0:12:50.320 --> 0:12:52.679
<v Speaker 1>that a portfoligo is more than a collection of assets.

0:12:52.720 --> 0:12:55.160
<v Speaker 1>It's a path to your future. Because the Pepack Private

0:12:55.200 --> 0:13:03.520
<v Speaker 1>dot Com begin your financial legacy today, broadcasting live from

0:13:03.520 --> 0:13:07.679
<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg Interactive Broker Studio in New York, Bloomberg Loving

0:13:08.200 --> 0:13:12.360
<v Speaker 1>to Washington, d C. Bloomberg to Boston, Bloomberg one O

0:13:12.559 --> 0:13:16.040
<v Speaker 1>six one to San Francisco, Bloomberg No. Sixt to the Country,

0:13:16.160 --> 0:13:19.160
<v Speaker 1>Sirius XM Chado one nine team and around the globe,

0:13:19.240 --> 0:13:22.880
<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg Business app and Bloomberg Radio dot Com. This

0:13:23.160 --> 0:13:31.280
<v Speaker 1>is Bloomberg Daybreak. He has five thirty on Wall Street.

0:13:31.320 --> 0:13:33.680
<v Speaker 1>Good morning, I'm John Tucker and I'm Nathan Hagar. We

0:13:33.679 --> 0:13:35.920
<v Speaker 1>are about four hours away from the open of US trading.

0:13:35.960 --> 0:13:37.320
<v Speaker 1>Let's get you have the data on the news you

0:13:37.320 --> 0:13:39.320
<v Speaker 1>need to know at this hour. Beginning with a stunning

0:13:39.360 --> 0:13:43.440
<v Speaker 1>political development overnight, former President Donald Trump says federal agents

0:13:43.559 --> 0:13:46.280
<v Speaker 1>rated his residence at Mara Lango. It's part of an

0:13:46.320 --> 0:13:49.920
<v Speaker 1>investigation into whether the former president took classified documents from

0:13:49.920 --> 0:13:52.840
<v Speaker 1>the White House. We get analysis from Robert Mints, partner

0:13:52.880 --> 0:13:59.040
<v Speaker 1>at mcarter and English. It's absolutely shocking and completely unprecedented.

0:13:59.600 --> 0:14:04.040
<v Speaker 1>This to require approval from the highest levels of the

0:14:04.080 --> 0:14:08.160
<v Speaker 1>Department of Justice. Merrick Garland, the Attorney General himself, would

0:14:08.200 --> 0:14:11.280
<v Speaker 1>certainly have had to have been a part of this decision,

0:14:11.679 --> 0:14:14.200
<v Speaker 1>and I've signed off on this before going to a

0:14:14.240 --> 0:14:17.520
<v Speaker 1>federal judge. Attorney Robert Mint says the search warrant has

0:14:17.600 --> 0:14:20.520
<v Speaker 1>quote the nuclear bomb in the arsenal of prosecutors. The

0:14:20.520 --> 0:14:23.600
<v Speaker 1>search stems from a National Archives request about the transfer

0:14:23.600 --> 0:14:26.400
<v Speaker 1>of presidential documents tomorrow lago and we get more from

0:14:26.440 --> 0:14:31.440
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg political contributor former GOP strategist Rick Davis. There is

0:14:31.760 --> 0:14:36.400
<v Speaker 1>a penalty associated with violating this provision. It says that

0:14:36.480 --> 0:14:41.080
<v Speaker 1>if you're convicted of violating this rule of holding these documents,

0:14:41.200 --> 0:14:44.400
<v Speaker 1>especially top secret documents, you'll forfeit your office and be

0:14:44.520 --> 0:14:48.000
<v Speaker 1>disqualified from holding any other office under the United States.

0:14:48.600 --> 0:14:51.800
<v Speaker 1>Rick Davis sends this investigation adds to the former president's

0:14:51.920 --> 0:14:55.280
<v Speaker 1>legal worries, which include a separate grand jury probb efforts

0:14:55.280 --> 0:14:59.000
<v Speaker 1>to overturn the twenty election. Donald Trump anytimes says he's

0:14:59.040 --> 0:15:02.120
<v Speaker 1>being targeted to a rail another run for the White House.

0:15:02.520 --> 0:15:04.640
<v Speaker 1>More on this developing story throughout the morning here on

0:15:04.680 --> 0:15:07.360
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Radio. But first, let's turn to the markets for

0:15:07.400 --> 0:15:11.320
<v Speaker 1>a moment. Right now, we have futures. They are mixed,

0:15:11.400 --> 0:15:14.400
<v Speaker 1>amptery yesterday's session. What saw on the SMP five punder

0:15:14.480 --> 0:15:16.840
<v Speaker 1>give up a one percent game to close little change.

0:15:17.040 --> 0:15:20.320
<v Speaker 1>Treasury yields are higher, Stocks in Europe and Asia are mixed,

0:15:20.560 --> 0:15:24.200
<v Speaker 1>and the dollar weakening this morning. Shares of Novovas genre

0:15:24.280 --> 0:15:27.120
<v Speaker 1>down about thirty percent in early trading. That's after the

0:15:27.160 --> 0:15:30.920
<v Speaker 1>drugmaker slashed its revenue forecast. Bloomberg's Ornita Young joins its

0:15:30.960 --> 0:15:33.280
<v Speaker 1>live with the details. Good morning, Grenita, Good morning, Nathan.

0:15:33.400 --> 0:15:36.720
<v Speaker 1>Novavax expects sales this year to be between two billion

0:15:36.760 --> 0:15:39.920
<v Speaker 1>and two point three billion dollars. That's about half of

0:15:40.000 --> 0:15:43.360
<v Speaker 1>the earlier estimate of four billion to five billion dollars

0:15:43.360 --> 0:15:46.720
<v Speaker 1>for the year. And it's all because it's COVID nineteen vaccine,

0:15:46.880 --> 0:15:50.440
<v Speaker 1>which already trailed competitors getting to market, failed to live

0:15:50.520 --> 0:15:54.000
<v Speaker 1>up to expectations. Demand for its vaccine fell both in

0:15:54.080 --> 0:15:58.480
<v Speaker 1>the US and globally. Novovax also reports second quarter losses

0:15:58.560 --> 0:16:02.480
<v Speaker 1>wider than analyst xtations. Live in New York, I'm gonna

0:16:02.520 --> 0:16:04.840
<v Speaker 1>need a young Bloomberg daybreak. We need to thank you.

0:16:04.920 --> 0:16:07.720
<v Speaker 1>Futures are mixed this morning, SMP futures up three point,

0:16:07.760 --> 0:16:11.280
<v Speaker 1>staff futures of forty seven, nastack futures down five points.

0:16:11.560 --> 0:16:19.200
<v Speaker 1>Local headlines in a check of sports. Next, this is Bloomberg, alright,

0:16:19.200 --> 0:16:22.360
<v Speaker 1>Thanks on Wall Street. Time to bring in Michael Barr

0:16:22.400 --> 0:16:24.280
<v Speaker 1>with Moore of what else is going on in New

0:16:24.360 --> 0:16:27.080
<v Speaker 1>York and around the world, John, thank you very much.

0:16:27.120 --> 0:16:29.960
<v Speaker 1>Sarah Khan ed as asking residents and parts of Brooklyn

0:16:30.000 --> 0:16:32.800
<v Speaker 1>and Queens to curb their energy use as high heat

0:16:32.920 --> 0:16:36.920
<v Speaker 1>sears New York City. The utility reduced voltage by eight

0:16:36.920 --> 0:16:41.440
<v Speaker 1>percent protect equipment while crews make unspecified repairs and several

0:16:41.480 --> 0:16:44.680
<v Speaker 1>communities that are home to about a d nine thousand customers.

0:16:45.000 --> 0:16:47.840
<v Speaker 1>A heat advisory is in place for the area until

0:16:48.000 --> 0:16:52.600
<v Speaker 1>eight pm tonight. President Biden and First Lady Jill Biden

0:16:52.720 --> 0:16:56.720
<v Speaker 1>toured the devastation in eastern Kentucky where these thirty seven

0:16:56.760 --> 0:17:00.040
<v Speaker 1>people were killed during the flooding last week. After a

0:17:00.120 --> 0:17:02.840
<v Speaker 1>meeting with families impacted by the flooding and the town

0:17:02.880 --> 0:17:06.679
<v Speaker 1>of Lost Creek. President Biden vows to support Kentucky however

0:17:06.760 --> 0:17:09.520
<v Speaker 1>long it takes to recover from the flooding. I don't

0:17:09.560 --> 0:17:11.960
<v Speaker 1>want any Kentucky and telling me you don't. You don't

0:17:11.960 --> 0:17:14.119
<v Speaker 1>have to do this for me. Oh yeah, we do.

0:17:14.760 --> 0:17:18.560
<v Speaker 1>You're an American citizen. We never give up. We never stopped,

0:17:18.600 --> 0:17:21.320
<v Speaker 1>We never bow, we never bent. We just go forward.

0:17:21.800 --> 0:17:23.960
<v Speaker 1>And that's what we're going to do here. The President

0:17:24.040 --> 0:17:27.000
<v Speaker 1>is sending FEMA money for people to help rebuild. China

0:17:27.080 --> 0:17:30.720
<v Speaker 1>has extended a schedule of military drills around Taiwan. Bloomberg

0:17:30.720 --> 0:17:33.360
<v Speaker 1>has had backs to reports the US is, saying Beijing

0:17:33.560 --> 0:17:36.240
<v Speaker 1>needs to be careful. President Joe Biden says he is

0:17:36.280 --> 0:17:40.640
<v Speaker 1>not worried, but is concerned, while spokesman Karine Jean Pierre

0:17:40.680 --> 0:17:43.239
<v Speaker 1>says they can't continue the way they are. They are

0:17:43.280 --> 0:17:46.639
<v Speaker 1>provocative and irresponsible and raise the risk of miscalculation, and

0:17:46.800 --> 0:17:50.160
<v Speaker 1>Under Secretary of Defense for Policy Call and Calls says,

0:17:50.359 --> 0:17:52.600
<v Speaker 1>the US is not going to pull back. What's important

0:17:52.640 --> 0:17:55.439
<v Speaker 1>for US right now um is to make sure that

0:17:55.480 --> 0:17:58.840
<v Speaker 1>Beijing understands that our forces in the region will continue

0:17:58.880 --> 0:18:01.520
<v Speaker 1>to operate. Also as China should be very careful to

0:18:01.560 --> 0:18:05.800
<v Speaker 1>protect against any miscalculations. In San Francisco, I'm at Baxter,

0:18:05.880 --> 0:18:09.040
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Gay Break, voters would choose a Republican nominee for

0:18:09.080 --> 0:18:13.320
<v Speaker 1>Wisconsin governor today. Tim Michael's, backed by former President Trump,

0:18:13.359 --> 0:18:17.280
<v Speaker 1>is up against former Lieutenant Governor Rebecca Cleefish, backed by

0:18:17.480 --> 0:18:21.520
<v Speaker 1>former Vice President Mike Pence. The winner faces Democratic Governor

0:18:21.680 --> 0:18:24.720
<v Speaker 1>Tony Evers. Global News twenty four hours a day on

0:18:24.840 --> 0:18:28.080
<v Speaker 1>air and on Bloomberg Quicktake, powered by more than twenty

0:18:28.080 --> 0:18:30.760
<v Speaker 1>seven hundred journalist and analyst more than a hundred twenty countries.

0:18:30.840 --> 0:18:33.200
<v Speaker 1>I'm Michael bar This is Bloomberg, John Michael, Thank you

0:18:38.320 --> 0:18:41.119
<v Speaker 1>on Wall Street. That's time for the Bloomberg Sports Update.

0:18:41.280 --> 0:18:43.480
<v Speaker 1>Good morning, John Stann Show. All right, John, much needed

0:18:43.520 --> 0:18:45.560
<v Speaker 1>win for the Yankees They've just gotten swept in St.

0:18:45.600 --> 0:18:47.719
<v Speaker 1>Louis had lost five and a row only nine wins

0:18:47.760 --> 0:18:50.480
<v Speaker 1>in twenty five games. They won in Seattle nine to four.

0:18:50.640 --> 0:18:53.359
<v Speaker 1>Josh Donaldson had a big game for it, two doubles,

0:18:53.359 --> 0:18:55.440
<v Speaker 1>a home run, drove in three, and Aaron Judge Homer

0:18:55.480 --> 0:18:58.560
<v Speaker 1>to the ninth. That's number forty four. Jamison tyone went

0:18:58.560 --> 0:19:00.960
<v Speaker 1>to eleven and two. But the win is costly. Matt

0:19:01.000 --> 0:19:04.280
<v Speaker 1>Carpenter broke his left foot fouling a pitch off. It's

0:19:04.280 --> 0:19:09.119
<v Speaker 1>obviously not ideal. I mean, you know, treaty pretty disappointing,

0:19:09.359 --> 0:19:13.320
<v Speaker 1>but uh, you know, I've my mindset is that this

0:19:13.440 --> 0:19:15.919
<v Speaker 1>won't be the end for me here this year. I mean,

0:19:15.960 --> 0:19:18.840
<v Speaker 1>I'm hopeful that I can come back and contribute, and

0:19:19.800 --> 0:19:21.800
<v Speaker 1>you know I haven't don't have a timeline yet, but

0:19:21.880 --> 0:19:25.800
<v Speaker 1>I'm hopeful for the best. Carpenter has been amazing since

0:19:25.840 --> 0:19:28.280
<v Speaker 1>his debut in late May, batting over three hundred fifteen

0:19:28.320 --> 0:19:30.960
<v Speaker 1>home runs. Speaking of amazing, Mets minute thirteen oh last

0:19:30.960 --> 0:19:34.240
<v Speaker 1>fifteen at City Field five one over Cincinnati before the

0:19:34.280 --> 0:19:36.119
<v Speaker 1>Reds got him out. That's led to nothing on the

0:19:36.119 --> 0:19:38.800
<v Speaker 1>Starley Marte Homer, Chris Bassett sharp and Eightian ings of

0:19:38.840 --> 0:19:41.399
<v Speaker 1>the Mets now leave the NL East by seven. At

0:19:41.480 --> 0:19:44.720
<v Speaker 1>Jets training camp, tackle McKay Beckton reinjrew the knee that

0:19:44.840 --> 0:19:47.560
<v Speaker 1>kept him that most of last season. Several reports that

0:19:47.680 --> 0:19:50.560
<v Speaker 1>Kevin Durant met with Josiah and told the Nets owner

0:19:50.640 --> 0:19:54.159
<v Speaker 1>either trade may or fire coach Steve Nash and general

0:19:54.160 --> 0:19:56.959
<v Speaker 1>manager Shawn Marks, and SI has already said he's not

0:19:57.000 --> 0:19:59.880
<v Speaker 1>firing them, so the trade talks continue. With Boston, Miami

0:19:59.880 --> 0:20:03.000
<v Speaker 1>and Toronto scene is the most likely destinations for Durant,

0:20:03.000 --> 0:20:05.239
<v Speaker 1>who has yet to start the four year, near two

0:20:05.320 --> 0:20:08.480
<v Speaker 1>hundred million dollar contract he agreed to a year ago.

0:20:08.560 --> 0:20:11.600
<v Speaker 1>It's not known why he wants Nash out. The feeling

0:20:11.640 --> 0:20:13.760
<v Speaker 1>had always been that Katie was the one who wanted

0:20:13.760 --> 0:20:16.879
<v Speaker 1>the Nets to hire him. John Stash a Bloomberg Sports

0:20:16.960 --> 0:20:19.760
<v Speaker 1>John all right, John, thanks very less. He's five thirty

0:20:19.760 --> 0:20:21.600
<v Speaker 1>seven old Wall Street. Time Now for the Dry and

0:20:21.600 --> 0:20:25.480
<v Speaker 1>State Business Report. Here's Ed Corey. New York City's hotel

0:20:25.560 --> 0:20:28.040
<v Speaker 1>industry is starting to come back from the dark days

0:20:28.040 --> 0:20:32.000
<v Speaker 1>of the pandemic. Hotel occupancy tax revenue more than quadrupled

0:20:32.160 --> 0:20:35.040
<v Speaker 1>to one forty million dollars from the second quarters of

0:20:35.080 --> 0:20:39.800
<v Speaker 1>twenty one. Second quarter of two total near levels seen

0:20:39.840 --> 0:20:42.880
<v Speaker 1>in the second quarter of two thousand nineteen, riders are

0:20:42.880 --> 0:20:46.120
<v Speaker 1>not returning to New York City subways and enough numbers

0:20:46.320 --> 0:20:49.680
<v Speaker 1>to stop a worsening cash crisis. Officials from the mt

0:20:49.840 --> 0:20:52.520
<v Speaker 1>A planned to sit down with lawmakers and labor groups

0:20:52.560 --> 0:20:56.199
<v Speaker 1>to begin negotiations on new sources of funding and cost cutting.

0:20:56.520 --> 0:20:59.520
<v Speaker 1>They say it's too early to talk about specific options.

0:21:00.000 --> 0:21:02.480
<v Speaker 1>In New Jersey, the governor has signed a law prohibiting

0:21:02.520 --> 0:21:07.920
<v Speaker 1>tax preparers from engaging in certain practices involving refund anticipation

0:21:08.000 --> 0:21:12.440
<v Speaker 1>checks and loans. It includes prohibiting preparers from requiring clients

0:21:12.720 --> 0:21:16.600
<v Speaker 1>to enter into a refund anticipation check agreement to complete

0:21:16.600 --> 0:21:19.880
<v Speaker 1>a tax return. At your Bloomberg Tri State Business Report,

0:21:19.960 --> 0:21:22.880
<v Speaker 1>I'm Ed Corey, Thanks, said five thirty eight on Wall Street.

0:21:22.880 --> 0:21:25.880
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Radios on the year from San Francisco to New York,

0:21:26.280 --> 0:21:28.679
<v Speaker 1>London to Hong Kong, and let's check in now with

0:21:28.720 --> 0:21:30.880
<v Speaker 1>their global news team for some of the top stories

0:21:30.960 --> 0:21:34.040
<v Speaker 1>heard on our three hundred affiliate of radio stations around

0:21:34.080 --> 0:21:40.360
<v Speaker 1>the world. I'm Steve Potaskan on k X in Los Angeles.

0:21:40.440 --> 0:21:43.320
<v Speaker 1>We're talking about the co founder of Whole Foods starting

0:21:43.320 --> 0:21:46.720
<v Speaker 1>a chain of vegetarian restaurants and a wellness centers, first

0:21:46.800 --> 0:21:51.080
<v Speaker 1>in southern California. Um corneys ho on ktr H in Houston.

0:21:51.200 --> 0:21:53.960
<v Speaker 1>Whole Foods co founder John Mackie is planning to open

0:21:54.000 --> 0:21:56.800
<v Speaker 1>a chain of plant based restaurants and wellness centers and

0:21:57.000 --> 0:22:00.400
<v Speaker 1>Gina Servetti and for Double Dum in Chicago. I'm reporting

0:22:00.400 --> 0:22:04.440
<v Speaker 1>that new deliveries of Boeing seven Dreamliner are finally set

0:22:04.480 --> 0:22:07.200
<v Speaker 1>to take off again. I'm Stephen Carol and Bloomberg d

0:22:07.280 --> 0:22:09.560
<v Speaker 1>a BJ to the radio in London. We've been reporting

0:22:09.600 --> 0:22:13.760
<v Speaker 1>on British retail sales rising in July, driven by higher prices.

0:22:13.760 --> 0:22:16.960
<v Speaker 1>Hadds hot Weather. I'm at Corey on w T A

0:22:17.119 --> 0:22:20.600
<v Speaker 1>M in Cleveland. I'm reporting Amazon has opened its Brooklyn,

0:22:20.640 --> 0:22:25.399
<v Speaker 1>Ohio delivery center. It's five thirty nine on Wall Street.

0:22:26.600 --> 0:22:30.760
<v Speaker 1>The following is an editorial from Bloomberg Opinion. This editorial

0:22:31.040 --> 0:22:34.600
<v Speaker 1>was written by the Bloomberg Editorial Board. The Bank of

0:22:34.640 --> 0:22:38.879
<v Speaker 1>England as startled analysts last week with its unexpectedly bleak

0:22:38.960 --> 0:22:44.280
<v Speaker 1>assessment of the UK's medium term prospects. Its main projection

0:22:44.400 --> 0:22:49.479
<v Speaker 1>shows a shallow but protracted recession with essentially no growth

0:22:49.480 --> 0:22:53.240
<v Speaker 1>in output over the next three years and inflation peaking

0:22:53.280 --> 0:22:57.919
<v Speaker 1>at more than thirteen percent before the end of twenty two.

0:22:58.280 --> 0:23:03.440
<v Speaker 1>Officials rightly emph the size the uncertainty attached to such projections.

0:23:03.720 --> 0:23:06.359
<v Speaker 1>Yet when all is said and done, one thing stands out.

0:23:06.640 --> 0:23:10.600
<v Speaker 1>With Britain politically paralyzed and still awaiting the appointment of

0:23:10.640 --> 0:23:13.959
<v Speaker 1>its next prime minister. This could hardly have come at

0:23:13.960 --> 0:23:17.760
<v Speaker 1>a worse time. In recent weeks, the Tories contenders to

0:23:17.880 --> 0:23:21.800
<v Speaker 1>lead the country have been mostly debating their rival brands

0:23:21.880 --> 0:23:28.400
<v Speaker 1>of conservatism. But the UK's looming economic challenges demand practical solutions.

0:23:28.880 --> 0:23:35.160
<v Speaker 1>Whichever candidate prevails in September will need to start delivering them.

0:23:35.160 --> 0:23:38.720
<v Speaker 1>This editorial was written by the Bloomberg Editorial Board. For

0:23:38.800 --> 0:23:42.160
<v Speaker 1>more Bloomberg opinion, please go to Bloomberg dot com, slash

0:23:42.200 --> 0:23:46.199
<v Speaker 1>Opinion or O P I N go on the Bloomberg Terminal.

0:23:46.440 --> 0:23:50.359
<v Speaker 1>This has been Bloomberg Opinion and Bloomberg Opinion editorials can

0:23:50.400 --> 0:23:53.919
<v Speaker 1>be heard every week day at this time at terminal. Customers,

0:23:54.000 --> 0:23:57.359
<v Speaker 1>he can read more at OP I n go. This

0:23:57.760 --> 0:24:03.639
<v Speaker 1>is avery. They are futures. This morning turn mixed the

0:24:03.800 --> 0:24:08.720
<v Speaker 1>down futures of SMP futures of three futures right now

0:24:08.880 --> 0:24:12.440
<v Speaker 1>down seven points just ahead. Dan Morris from the begin

0:24:12.560 --> 0:24:19.920
<v Speaker 1>peint parrat Ball, Markets, headlines and breaking news twenty four

0:24:19.960 --> 0:24:23.000
<v Speaker 1>hours a day at Bloomberg dot Com, the Bloomberg Business

0:24:23.000 --> 0:24:26.200
<v Speaker 1>apt and at Bloomberg Quick Tape. This He's a Bloomberg

0:24:26.280 --> 0:24:35.320
<v Speaker 1>Business Flash. I'm Nathan Hagar. Futures are holding steady this morning.

0:24:35.320 --> 0:24:38.160
<v Speaker 1>The dollar is slipping. His investors at a strong earnings

0:24:38.160 --> 0:24:42.320
<v Speaker 1>performance can continue despite recent disappointments. European stocks are falling

0:24:42.359 --> 0:24:45.320
<v Speaker 1>this morning. We check the markets every fifteen minutes during

0:24:45.320 --> 0:24:47.960
<v Speaker 1>the trading day. On Bloomberg SMP futures are up five

0:24:48.000 --> 0:24:51.200
<v Speaker 1>points down, futures up fifty nine. Nastack futures are lower

0:24:51.240 --> 0:24:53.800
<v Speaker 1>by two points. The decks in Germany's down six tenths

0:24:53.800 --> 0:24:55.720
<v Speaker 1>per cent. The cat in Paris is lower by two

0:24:55.720 --> 0:24:58.200
<v Speaker 1>tenths of one per cent. The tenure Treasury is down

0:24:58.200 --> 0:25:00.240
<v Speaker 1>eight thirty seconds. The yield two points set an eight

0:25:00.240 --> 0:25:02.760
<v Speaker 1>percent yield on the two year three point to two percent.

0:25:03.119 --> 0:25:05.199
<v Speaker 1>Nim X screwed is down eight tenths per cent, or

0:25:05.200 --> 0:25:09.440
<v Speaker 1>seventy seven cents. At barrel comex sold little changed that

0:25:09.520 --> 0:25:12.000
<v Speaker 1>thirty cents eighteen o five forty announced the euro one

0:25:12.000 --> 0:25:14.200
<v Speaker 1>point zero to three against the dollar, the pound one

0:25:14.240 --> 0:25:16.560
<v Speaker 1>point two one two two. The end is at one

0:25:16.600 --> 0:25:19.399
<v Speaker 1>thirty four point nine zero a bitcoin down two percent,

0:25:19.600 --> 0:25:22.720
<v Speaker 1>tree thousand, six hundred dollars. That's a Bloomberg Business Flash.

0:25:23.080 --> 0:25:25.440
<v Speaker 1>Now here's Michael Varr with on what's going on around

0:25:25.440 --> 0:25:28.879
<v Speaker 1>the world. Michael Nathan, thank you very much, and explosive development.

0:25:28.920 --> 0:25:32.560
<v Speaker 1>Federal investigators searched the Florida residents of Donald Trump as

0:25:32.600 --> 0:25:35.560
<v Speaker 1>part of an investigation and to whether he took classified

0:25:35.640 --> 0:25:38.840
<v Speaker 1>documents from the White House when he left office. Trump

0:25:38.960 --> 0:25:40.760
<v Speaker 1>was in New York City at the time at the search.

0:25:40.880 --> 0:25:44.040
<v Speaker 1>More on this story straight ahead. The US announced four

0:25:44.080 --> 0:25:47.960
<v Speaker 1>point five billion dollars in additional direct budgetary support to Ukraine.

0:25:48.320 --> 0:25:51.560
<v Speaker 1>You will also add one billion dollars more in military

0:25:51.600 --> 0:25:55.800
<v Speaker 1>aid drawn from existing Pentagon inventory. In baseball, the Yankees

0:25:55.800 --> 0:25:58.960
<v Speaker 1>beat the Mariners nine four, the Mets beat the Reds

0:25:59.000 --> 0:26:02.879
<v Speaker 1>five one, The Nationals and A's lost. The Orioles and

0:26:03.200 --> 0:26:06.520
<v Speaker 1>Giants won Global news twenty four hours a day on

0:26:06.720 --> 0:26:10.240
<v Speaker 1>air and on Bloomberg Quicktake, powered by more than twenty

0:26:10.320 --> 0:26:13.200
<v Speaker 1>seven hundred journalists antilists. More than a hundred twenty countries.

0:26:13.560 --> 0:26:16.679
<v Speaker 1>Michael barn this is Bloomberg. Nathan. Okay, Michael, thank you.

0:26:16.720 --> 0:26:19.080
<v Speaker 1>We're coming up to five forty nine on Wall Street

0:26:19.119 --> 0:26:22.080
<v Speaker 1>Line from the Bloomberg Interactive Burger Studios. This is Bloomberg

0:26:22.160 --> 0:26:24.800
<v Speaker 1>Day Break time now for our daily Bloomberg Law Brief,

0:26:24.800 --> 0:26:27.720
<v Speaker 1>exploring legal issues in the news, and today we are

0:26:27.760 --> 0:26:30.840
<v Speaker 1>looking at the FBI search of former President Donald Trump's

0:26:30.880 --> 0:26:34.560
<v Speaker 1>Marrow Lago residents. Agents come through his Florida home as

0:26:34.600 --> 0:26:37.800
<v Speaker 1>part of an investigation into whether he took classified documents

0:26:37.800 --> 0:26:39.960
<v Speaker 1>from the White House. For more on the legal and

0:26:40.080 --> 0:26:44.399
<v Speaker 1>political implications, Bloomberg's June Grosso speaks with Robert Mints, partner

0:26:44.400 --> 0:26:48.280
<v Speaker 1>at McCarter in English, and Bloomberg political contributor Jeanie Schanzano.

0:26:48.440 --> 0:26:52.760
<v Speaker 1>Let's listen in. People have criticized Merrick Garland, the Attorney General,

0:26:52.840 --> 0:26:56.719
<v Speaker 1>for going too slow on this investigation. He keeps saying

0:26:56.760 --> 0:26:59.159
<v Speaker 1>that no one is above the law. Is this a

0:26:59.280 --> 0:27:02.080
<v Speaker 1>signal I think there's no turning back from this that

0:27:02.720 --> 0:27:05.960
<v Speaker 1>the gloves are off? Oh? Yes, this really raises the

0:27:06.040 --> 0:27:09.639
<v Speaker 1>bar for federal prosecutors, which is about to suggest that

0:27:09.720 --> 0:27:13.000
<v Speaker 1>every time a search warrant is executed that there will

0:27:13.040 --> 0:27:17.040
<v Speaker 1>necessarily be federal charges brought down the road. Remember that

0:27:17.160 --> 0:27:20.240
<v Speaker 1>this only means that there was probable cause of a

0:27:20.400 --> 0:27:24.200
<v Speaker 1>violation of federal law at a particular location. But probable

0:27:24.320 --> 0:27:27.720
<v Speaker 1>cause is a long way from beyond a reasonable doubt,

0:27:27.760 --> 0:27:31.040
<v Speaker 1>which is what prosecutors would have to satisfy in order

0:27:31.119 --> 0:27:34.320
<v Speaker 1>to charge the former president or frankly, anybody else with

0:27:34.440 --> 0:27:37.520
<v Speaker 1>a crime based upon this evidence. So it's a tool

0:27:37.640 --> 0:27:41.240
<v Speaker 1>that prosecutors used to gather evidence. But on the other hand,

0:27:41.400 --> 0:27:46.560
<v Speaker 1>it is the most intrusive and heavy handed tool that

0:27:46.640 --> 0:27:50.480
<v Speaker 1>prosecutors have in order to gather evidence. And again, it's

0:27:50.520 --> 0:27:53.200
<v Speaker 1>not something that a judge will sign off on lightly.

0:27:53.560 --> 0:27:55.959
<v Speaker 1>He or she would have to be satisfied that not

0:27:56.000 --> 0:27:59.399
<v Speaker 1>only the evidence was there, but there was some basis

0:27:59.680 --> 0:28:03.119
<v Speaker 1>to a too that a less intrusive means such as

0:28:03.119 --> 0:28:07.159
<v Speaker 1>as Satina, would not give the prosecutors the evidence they

0:28:07.200 --> 0:28:11.880
<v Speaker 1>are seeking. Jenny, I'm wondering, looking at the statement that

0:28:11.960 --> 0:28:15.680
<v Speaker 1>Trump has written, does he see this as a political

0:28:15.720 --> 0:28:19.200
<v Speaker 1>opportunity He does? I mean, I think this is part

0:28:19.200 --> 0:28:21.960
<v Speaker 1>of the sunny aspect of this is that this information

0:28:22.080 --> 0:28:26.640
<v Speaker 1>was released by Donald Trump via his pack and much

0:28:26.640 --> 0:28:29.840
<v Speaker 1>of what we're hearing, and we have heard for some

0:28:29.920 --> 0:28:33.679
<v Speaker 1>time is that if he decided to announce early that

0:28:33.760 --> 0:28:36.680
<v Speaker 1>he was going to run for the presidency in four

0:28:37.160 --> 0:28:39.760
<v Speaker 1>it was likely going to be for legal reasons and

0:28:39.920 --> 0:28:44.360
<v Speaker 1>not necessarily for political reasons. And you know, another aspect

0:28:44.440 --> 0:28:46.880
<v Speaker 1>of this, and again this is so early, we have

0:28:46.920 --> 0:28:49.840
<v Speaker 1>to be very careful here, is that if there was

0:28:49.880 --> 0:28:52.880
<v Speaker 1>a conviction as it pertained to what we think that

0:28:53.000 --> 0:28:57.200
<v Speaker 1>they are looking into regarding these records, the person who

0:28:57.320 --> 0:28:59.440
<v Speaker 1>was charged and if that was Donald Trump at the

0:28:59.480 --> 0:29:03.040
<v Speaker 1>big if would not be able to run for office

0:29:03.160 --> 0:29:07.480
<v Speaker 1>in the future. So that's another really really important aspect

0:29:07.520 --> 0:29:09.080
<v Speaker 1>of this story. And again I don't want to get

0:29:09.120 --> 0:29:11.800
<v Speaker 1>too far afield because of course we're still very early

0:29:11.880 --> 0:29:13.920
<v Speaker 1>and don't have a lot of information as to exactly

0:29:13.960 --> 0:29:16.840
<v Speaker 1>what they were looking for, and even if it pertained

0:29:16.880 --> 0:29:18.680
<v Speaker 1>to the president, if there was going to be, you know,

0:29:19.200 --> 0:29:22.680
<v Speaker 1>anything pertaining to him. But that's another aspect of this

0:29:22.840 --> 0:29:26.080
<v Speaker 1>record sort of charging. And that was Bloomberg political contributor

0:29:26.160 --> 0:29:29.640
<v Speaker 1>Jeanie Schanzano and McCarter and English partner Robert men speaking

0:29:29.640 --> 0:29:33.160
<v Speaker 1>with Bloomberg's June Gross catch More plus analysis of the

0:29:33.200 --> 0:29:36.200
<v Speaker 1>latest legal news by subscribing to the Bloomberg Law podcast

0:29:36.400 --> 0:29:39.440
<v Speaker 1>or downloading the show at Bloomberg dot com, Slash podcasts,

0:29:39.640 --> 0:29:42.960
<v Speaker 1>and attorneys can find exceptional legal research and business development

0:29:42.960 --> 0:29:45.680
<v Speaker 1>tools at Bloomberg Law dot com and on the Bloomberg

0:29:45.760 --> 0:29:49.360
<v Speaker 1>terminal at b Law. Go John, all right, Nathan, thanks

0:29:49.480 --> 0:29:52.640
<v Speaker 1>very much. It is five fifty two on Wall Street.

0:29:52.720 --> 0:29:56.240
<v Speaker 1>Let's shift our focus now to the markets futures. They

0:29:56.280 --> 0:29:59.880
<v Speaker 1>have turned mixed, too little change as traders to wait

0:30:00.000 --> 0:30:03.240
<v Speaker 1>Wednesday's inflation report, trying to gauge the path of the

0:30:03.240 --> 0:30:06.120
<v Speaker 1>federal reserve tightening ahead. Well, let's get you set up

0:30:06.120 --> 0:30:08.640
<v Speaker 1>this morning for the trading day ahead with Daniel Morris,

0:30:08.720 --> 0:30:12.479
<v Speaker 1>the chief market strategist at PMB Paraba. Good to talk

0:30:12.520 --> 0:30:15.800
<v Speaker 1>to you. Thanks for me with US. Rate expectations have jumped,

0:30:15.960 --> 0:30:22.240
<v Speaker 1>so why hasn't it resulted in the reversal inequities. Yeah,

0:30:22.280 --> 0:30:25.560
<v Speaker 1>that's what's interesting about what occurred so far. Certainly in

0:30:25.600 --> 0:30:28.000
<v Speaker 1>contrast to the pattern that we had at the beginning

0:30:28.080 --> 0:30:31.000
<v Speaker 1>of the year. Then the story was higher than expected inflation,

0:30:31.240 --> 0:30:34.800
<v Speaker 1>higher levels of FED fund raids, and then certainly a

0:30:34.880 --> 0:30:38.640
<v Speaker 1>compression in the multiples, notably for gross stalks. That's not

0:30:38.720 --> 0:30:42.480
<v Speaker 1>happening yet, but it seems to me still the clearest

0:30:42.640 --> 0:30:44.840
<v Speaker 1>risk out there. You know, it'd be great if we

0:30:44.920 --> 0:30:48.800
<v Speaker 1>got a pleasant inflation surprise on Wednesday, that the numbers

0:30:48.800 --> 0:30:51.320
<v Speaker 1>came in lower than expectations. That hasn't happened in a

0:30:51.400 --> 0:30:54.280
<v Speaker 1>very long time. But barring that, even if they come

0:30:54.320 --> 0:30:56.960
<v Speaker 1>in as expected, that number is still pretty high. It's

0:30:56.960 --> 0:31:00.160
<v Speaker 1>going to be over six percent for core uh core

0:31:00.200 --> 0:31:04.160
<v Speaker 1>inflation core CPI, which then suggests the Fed has got

0:31:04.200 --> 0:31:06.840
<v Speaker 1>to do more, and they've been signaling that anyway, and

0:31:06.840 --> 0:31:09.720
<v Speaker 1>the markets generally just seemed to ignore that. But that's

0:31:09.760 --> 0:31:12.120
<v Speaker 1>the key risk, and at the end of the day,

0:31:12.160 --> 0:31:15.920
<v Speaker 1>it's how much companies are making. As far as the

0:31:16.000 --> 0:31:19.600
<v Speaker 1>earnings analysis goes, it has not been a bad earning season.

0:31:19.680 --> 0:31:24.520
<v Speaker 1>What is your take, Well, it wasn't certainly not a

0:31:24.600 --> 0:31:27.000
<v Speaker 1>great season, but there were so many worries coming in.

0:31:27.360 --> 0:31:30.360
<v Speaker 1>You know, certainly a lot of people anticipating bigger margin

0:31:30.440 --> 0:31:33.120
<v Speaker 1>squeezes given how high inflation has been and all of

0:31:33.120 --> 0:31:35.280
<v Speaker 1>the problems. We know that you have still supply chains

0:31:35.320 --> 0:31:39.160
<v Speaker 1>and labor, but earnings, you know, still being expectations just

0:31:39.280 --> 0:31:42.000
<v Speaker 1>a parenthesis, though they were even better in Europe, and

0:31:42.040 --> 0:31:44.720
<v Speaker 1>that doesn't happen very often. So when a highlight the

0:31:44.760 --> 0:31:47.840
<v Speaker 1>fact that European corporates again even with the bigger head

0:31:47.880 --> 0:31:51.240
<v Speaker 1>winds arguably that they face, also did much better than expected.

0:31:51.280 --> 0:31:54.040
<v Speaker 1>And I think that's what supporting the markets now despite

0:31:54.040 --> 0:31:56.960
<v Speaker 1>the rate rise. It's just we'll see how long that

0:31:57.080 --> 0:32:00.479
<v Speaker 1>after effect from a good earning season last. When we're

0:32:00.520 --> 0:32:02.840
<v Speaker 1>gonna have otherwise what we think is going to be

0:32:02.920 --> 0:32:07.680
<v Speaker 1>kind of persistently rising expectations for policy rates, and expectations

0:32:07.720 --> 0:32:11.800
<v Speaker 1>for policy rate will also drive the dollar presumably higher

0:32:12.200 --> 0:32:15.000
<v Speaker 1>because it is about rate differentials. And what does that

0:32:15.080 --> 0:32:17.640
<v Speaker 1>do to the multinationals in the US. Does it mean

0:32:17.680 --> 0:32:23.720
<v Speaker 1>you favor more domestically oriented stocks. I mean that makes sense,

0:32:23.760 --> 0:32:26.080
<v Speaker 1>and I think it is also part of the explanation

0:32:26.120 --> 0:32:28.840
<v Speaker 1>for how well European companies did because with the week hero,

0:32:29.320 --> 0:32:32.960
<v Speaker 1>you know, certainly being able to export at better prices.

0:32:33.040 --> 0:32:35.880
<v Speaker 1>But then for US companies, it would argue for an

0:32:35.880 --> 0:32:39.800
<v Speaker 1>orientation towards domestic oriented perhaps small cap stocks, uh that

0:32:39.880 --> 0:32:42.400
<v Speaker 1>they're not going to be facing that currency headwind. Okay,

0:32:42.440 --> 0:32:44.120
<v Speaker 1>the c P I tomorrow, what is that going to

0:32:44.200 --> 0:32:46.320
<v Speaker 1>signal as to where the FED has to go? Are

0:32:46.360 --> 0:32:50.600
<v Speaker 1>we anywhere near peak inflation in the United States, Well,

0:32:50.720 --> 0:32:52.520
<v Speaker 1>we should be, but we also need to be careful

0:32:52.560 --> 0:32:55.920
<v Speaker 1>about focusing too much on the current monthly invation. I mean,

0:32:55.960 --> 0:32:59.280
<v Speaker 1>don't forget that monetary policy works with the twelve eighteen

0:32:59.400 --> 0:33:02.600
<v Speaker 1>month last. So what the head's already done, We're really

0:33:02.640 --> 0:33:04.160
<v Speaker 1>not going to see the full effect of that for

0:33:04.400 --> 0:33:06.800
<v Speaker 1>probably a year. So if and we don't think the

0:33:06.920 --> 0:33:09.160
<v Speaker 1>head is doing this, but we also don't want to

0:33:09.200 --> 0:33:11.320
<v Speaker 1>think that, you know, depending on the number we get

0:33:11.360 --> 0:33:14.480
<v Speaker 1>this month, that that should lead to a big change

0:33:14.480 --> 0:33:16.960
<v Speaker 1>in the policy. They've got to calibrate what they're doing

0:33:17.080 --> 0:33:20.000
<v Speaker 1>now and they affected that on inflation and a year

0:33:20.040 --> 0:33:22.520
<v Speaker 1>from now, and you know, just to acknowledge the challenges

0:33:22.560 --> 0:33:24.920
<v Speaker 1>that they face. That's not an easy thing to do.

0:33:25.200 --> 0:33:26.960
<v Speaker 1>Is there a pivot to head for starts that you

0:33:27.080 --> 0:33:31.160
<v Speaker 1>see what You've got to mention at some point, given

0:33:31.320 --> 0:33:33.800
<v Speaker 1>how far we think rates are going to continue to

0:33:33.880 --> 0:33:36.120
<v Speaker 1>go up, you know, the whole point to that is

0:33:36.200 --> 0:33:38.560
<v Speaker 1>to slow growth, because that's really the only way that

0:33:38.600 --> 0:33:40.320
<v Speaker 1>they're going to be able to get inflation back down

0:33:40.320 --> 0:33:43.360
<v Speaker 1>to target. You know, some of these transitory factors really

0:33:43.360 --> 0:33:46.000
<v Speaker 1>should prove to be transitory, but there's still well, there

0:33:46.080 --> 0:33:48.560
<v Speaker 1>is now a lot of entrenched inflation. The only way

0:33:48.600 --> 0:33:52.680
<v Speaker 1>to get that down, particularly wage growth, is through slower growth,

0:33:53.040 --> 0:33:55.080
<v Speaker 1>and that's got to hit profits at some point. So

0:33:55.200 --> 0:33:57.240
<v Speaker 1>it's just when is the market going to start paying

0:33:57.280 --> 0:33:59.720
<v Speaker 1>attention to that is really going to be the heat

0:33:59.760 --> 0:34:02.800
<v Speaker 1>question in terms of performance over arguably the next year.

0:34:03.000 --> 0:34:08.080
<v Speaker 1>Are there alternatives first stocks at this point? Well, yeah,

0:34:08.160 --> 0:34:12.960
<v Speaker 1>that's a good alternatives that worked well exactly. Yeah, alternatives,

0:34:12.960 --> 0:34:15.200
<v Speaker 1>whether they're going to go up or down? As the question, uh,

0:34:15.239 --> 0:34:18.239
<v Speaker 1>you know, we're still we're actually more short duration than

0:34:18.280 --> 0:34:22.320
<v Speaker 1>we were, so certainly don't see treasuries uh as as

0:34:22.400 --> 0:34:25.880
<v Speaker 1>an opportunity. Uh you know, basically in terms of our

0:34:25.920 --> 0:34:28.520
<v Speaker 1>equity allocations are actually outside the US. On one hand,

0:34:28.600 --> 0:34:30.719
<v Speaker 1>the opportunities outside the US that this is the market

0:34:30.760 --> 0:34:32.800
<v Speaker 1>where you're going to have the biggest increase in rates,

0:34:32.800 --> 0:34:34.720
<v Speaker 1>you probably want to live for markets where you don't

0:34:34.760 --> 0:34:38.040
<v Speaker 1>have such big increases in rates are overweights, are U T. E.

0:34:38.200 --> 0:34:41.680
<v Speaker 1>M A Your China specifically in Japan. We also like

0:34:42.000 --> 0:34:46.959
<v Speaker 1>Eurozone investment grade credit where you've got pretty good valuations,

0:34:46.960 --> 0:34:49.960
<v Speaker 1>are high spreads relative to the risk. But you're right,

0:34:50.040 --> 0:34:53.239
<v Speaker 1>it is selective at this point, perhaps having to wait

0:34:53.239 --> 0:34:56.560
<v Speaker 1>for a better entry in the months ahead. Dan always

0:34:56.560 --> 0:34:59.799
<v Speaker 1>a pleasure appreciated Daniel Moore's chief Market Strategies to be

0:34:59.880 --> 0:35:02.680
<v Speaker 1>a be paraba with us this morning as we look

0:35:02.719 --> 0:35:06.400
<v Speaker 1>ahead to the market open this morning. Futures Indicata mixed

0:35:06.440 --> 0:35:09.600
<v Speaker 1>open down futures right now there are thirty eight points

0:35:09.640 --> 0:35:12.800
<v Speaker 1>arisive about a tenth of a percent. The SMP Emitate

0:35:12.880 --> 0:35:16.280
<v Speaker 1>futures up only a point, and the tech heavy NANCA

0:35:16.440 --> 0:35:20.080
<v Speaker 1>futures right now they are down nineteen points. That's down

0:35:20.440 --> 0:35:23.400
<v Speaker 1>two tenths of a percent. Ten Ure yield to seventy

0:35:23.400 --> 0:35:27.640
<v Speaker 1>eight or two year at one. You're listening to Boomberg

0:35:27.680 --> 0:35:28.120
<v Speaker 1>Daybreak