WEBVTT - NFL Super Bowl LV Game Lines Reactions (Ep. 75) 0:00:13.800 --> 0:00:13.920 Hit. 0:00:14.000 --> 0:00:17.279 Everybody. Welcome back to another episode of the Betting PRESIDENTL Podcast. 0:00:17.320 --> 0:00:19.680 I'm your host Dan Harris, with me is Matt Perrault. 0:00:19.680 --> 0:00:21.880 Find us on Twitter at Dan Harris Adi and at 0:00:21.880 --> 0:00:26.480 Sports Talk Matt Matt super Bowl. I mean we did 0:00:26.480 --> 0:00:30.400 not have we did not have Javagship Weekend. Now, Matt, 0:00:30.440 --> 0:00:34.080 we did not have those games. Now we can just 0:00:34.080 --> 0:00:36.320 be honest about it, right, I mean, oh, we didn't 0:00:36.360 --> 0:00:36.639 have it. 0:00:37.280 --> 0:00:41.360 I need January to end. I need this month to 0:00:41.400 --> 0:00:46.240 go away, because this is I'm looking forward to closing 0:00:46.280 --> 0:00:48.760 the book on the play on the football season because 0:00:49.479 --> 0:00:52.120 you know, college football saved me on weekends like that, 0:00:52.200 --> 0:00:54.120 and without college football to kind of save my tail, 0:00:54.560 --> 0:00:56.920 that's not been fun. And it's just been sort of 0:00:56.960 --> 0:01:00.680 this falling down the stairs to the end eventually you 0:01:00.760 --> 0:01:02.920 hit the ground because well you were on a stairs 0:01:02.960 --> 0:01:05.800 to fall down. So okay, basically what I'm doing here 0:01:05.840 --> 0:01:06.960 with the NFL season. 0:01:07.120 --> 0:01:11.080 Yeah, I mean talking about it last week, we basically said, Okay, 0:01:11.400 --> 0:01:13.759 I think what we can see is like I can 0:01:13.880 --> 0:01:16.880 see a scenario where one of these games is a blowout, 0:01:17.000 --> 0:01:19.160 and if it is, it's the Packers blowing out the 0:01:19.200 --> 0:01:22.520 Bucks and then Bills plus nine. The fact that the 0:01:22.640 --> 0:01:28.800 Chiefs picked that game against a hot, hot Bills team 0:01:29.000 --> 0:01:32.920 with Patrick Mahomes hobbled by that toe to suddenly just 0:01:33.120 --> 0:01:35.440 basically completely destroy I mean they could You felt like 0:01:35.440 --> 0:01:37.240 they could have put up five hundred points if they 0:01:37.280 --> 0:01:39.920 really wanted to done absolutely whatever they wanted, They could 0:01:39.959 --> 0:01:41.920 have won that game by you know, twenty five points 0:01:42.200 --> 0:01:45.479 they really wanted to just nuts. Man. 0:01:45.600 --> 0:01:48.600 Now, it's hard to say this in sports because on 0:01:48.680 --> 0:01:52.400 most in most sports, when you get to the championship round, 0:01:52.880 --> 0:01:56.360 you can't throw the switch right right. But for whatever reason, 0:01:56.400 --> 0:01:59.800 this Kanasty team has the ability to do that. They 0:01:59.840 --> 0:02:01.720 can just throw the switch if they want to. They 0:02:01.760 --> 0:02:03.320 just go out there and chuck it up and that's it. 0:02:03.320 --> 0:02:03.720 It's over. 0:02:04.240 --> 0:02:08.720 And that's the most scariest thing about this upcoming Super 0:02:08.720 --> 0:02:11.680 Bowl is that you just don't know if they're gonna 0:02:11.680 --> 0:02:12.519 throw the switch again. 0:02:12.560 --> 0:02:15.520 And if they do, uh oh yeah. 0:02:15.160 --> 0:02:17.080 Well let's talk about it. So here's what we're gonna do. 0:02:17.280 --> 0:02:19.040 This is we are recording this. You know, we usually 0:02:19.040 --> 0:02:21.760 record the shows on Thursday Thursday night with the games 0:02:21.800 --> 0:02:24.280 on Sunday. We want to do here. Obviously, we have 0:02:24.360 --> 0:02:27.640 the week off since the super Bowl isn't until next Sunday. 0:02:27.639 --> 0:02:29.480 So what we're doing here is we're gonna go through 0:02:29.520 --> 0:02:32.880 the opening lines. They're not even quite as opening because 0:02:32.880 --> 0:02:35.239 they've moved a little bit, and I'll note that from 0:02:35.240 --> 0:02:38.000 when they immediately opened right after. But our instant reaction 0:02:38.120 --> 0:02:39.960 to this what we think they're gonna do. If we 0:02:39.960 --> 0:02:41.760 think if you want to bet it, when you should 0:02:41.800 --> 0:02:43.680 bet it, and what you should do with it, how 0:02:43.760 --> 0:02:45.639 if we have a lean on any of the lines, 0:02:45.680 --> 0:02:48.440 and then next week we'll do a prop episode where 0:02:48.480 --> 0:02:50.440 we'll do it, and on Super Bowl Sunday we'll have 0:02:50.440 --> 0:02:52.200 more details for this. We'll put it up on Twitter, 0:02:52.240 --> 0:02:54.440 we'll publicize it, will make sure you guys know. We're 0:02:54.440 --> 0:02:56.760 gonna do a nice live stream where we're gonna be 0:02:56.760 --> 0:02:59.480 giving away some awesome prizes. We're gonna talk about prop 0:02:59.520 --> 0:03:01.440 we're gonna talk what all sorts of good stuff that'll 0:03:01.480 --> 0:03:04.160 be in our YouTube channel YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros. 0:03:04.200 --> 0:03:06.120 But for now, Matt, let's talk about it. We've got 0:03:06.120 --> 0:03:09.000 a super Bowl. As you may have heard by now, people, 0:03:09.120 --> 0:03:11.359 this is the first time ever that a Super Bowl 0:03:11.560 --> 0:03:14.440 has been played in the stadium of one of the 0:03:14.480 --> 0:03:17.480 teams that is playing in the Super Bowl. It's a 0:03:17.520 --> 0:03:20.360 home game essentially for the Bucks. Although Matt, you and 0:03:20.360 --> 0:03:21.840 I will talk a little bit and you might have 0:03:21.919 --> 0:03:23.960 more insight into this about just how much of a 0:03:24.040 --> 0:03:26.760 home game other than being comfortable in the stadium. It's 0:03:26.800 --> 0:03:29.360 going to be the line right now, the consensus line 0:03:29.400 --> 0:03:32.360 on bettingpros dot com, which I'm looking at is minus 0:03:32.400 --> 0:03:34.520 three now. Yesterday night I looked at it and it 0:03:34.560 --> 0:03:37.200 looked like it was bouncing around between minus three and 0:03:37.280 --> 0:03:39.440 minus three point five. That's the Chiefs laying three to 0:03:39.520 --> 0:03:41.200 the Bucks or the Chiefs laying three and a half 0:03:41.240 --> 0:03:43.400 to the Bucks. The total right now when I looked 0:03:43.400 --> 0:03:46.040 at it last night was fifty seven and a half. 0:03:46.120 --> 0:03:48.840 That was the highest ever for a Super Bowl. It 0:03:48.880 --> 0:03:51.480 is now down to fifty six and a half as 0:03:51.560 --> 0:03:54.400 the consensus lines, and I believe that that is lower 0:03:54.440 --> 0:03:57.440 than what the Falcons and the Patriots ended up at, 0:03:57.440 --> 0:03:59.720 which I believe was fifty seven. And the money line 0:03:59.760 --> 0:04:02.520 right now out the consensus lign is the Chiefs minus 0:04:02.560 --> 0:04:06.200 one seventy and the Bucks plus one forty five. So, Matt, 0:04:06.400 --> 0:04:08.560 all of it, whatever you want to talk about, what's 0:04:08.680 --> 0:04:11.840 just your reaction to the line. Does it feel right overall? 0:04:12.280 --> 0:04:14.720 You know any any value that you see on either side? 0:04:15.240 --> 0:04:16.840 No, I don't see any value. 0:04:17.200 --> 0:04:21.719 And this is why the game was played in this 0:04:21.839 --> 0:04:24.200 stadium between these two teams. 0:04:25.560 --> 0:04:29.040 The line was three and a half. It fell three. 0:04:29.200 --> 0:04:30.920 I remember, Matt, if you remember, you and I were 0:04:30.960 --> 0:04:33.560 on curferent sides of that game. I like the Bucks, 0:04:33.560 --> 0:04:35.520 you like the Chiefs. Yes, yep. 0:04:35.560 --> 0:04:37.119 So we have seen this game. 0:04:37.520 --> 0:04:37.719 Yep. 0:04:37.720 --> 0:04:40.280 It's been played in this stadium. We have seen these 0:04:40.279 --> 0:04:43.320 two quarterbacks, We've seen these two defenses. We saw the 0:04:43.400 --> 0:04:45.360 Chiefs put up twenty one points in the first half 0:04:45.360 --> 0:04:48.040 and then basically just coast and say, okay, we won. 0:04:48.120 --> 0:04:48.599 Who cares? 0:04:48.880 --> 0:04:49.120 Yep. 0:04:49.920 --> 0:04:53.359 From a book making perspective, this number is cemented, it 0:04:53.400 --> 0:04:55.159 will go three, three and a half. 0:04:55.440 --> 0:04:55.920 That's it. 0:04:56.320 --> 0:04:59.000 There will not be any big line move. I don't 0:04:59.040 --> 0:05:01.520 care if a million dollar comes in here on one 0:05:01.520 --> 0:05:03.440 side of the other. You were not going to see 0:05:03.480 --> 0:05:05.520 the books go over three to two and a half, 0:05:05.560 --> 0:05:07.680 three and a half. It's just that is the maximum 0:05:07.680 --> 0:05:09.440 you're going to see here. We're not getting a four. 0:05:09.839 --> 0:05:11.320 I doubt you're getting a two and a half. That 0:05:11.360 --> 0:05:12.920 would be a shocker if we went to two and 0:05:12.960 --> 0:05:15.160 a half. But this is going to be a line 0:05:15.200 --> 0:05:17.720 where the book is very comfortable where the line is. 0:05:18.320 --> 0:05:19.600 They're going to move the. 0:05:19.600 --> 0:05:21.880 Total because of how big it is, and you could 0:05:21.880 --> 0:05:24.000 see a lot of money coming on the under. I 0:05:24.080 --> 0:05:25.960 think if the puppet gets involved, they're going to bet 0:05:26.000 --> 0:05:28.160 the over, And if I had a gun to my head, 0:05:28.200 --> 0:05:31.240 I would bet the over, even though it took overtime 0:05:31.279 --> 0:05:33.720 for the Patriots and the Falcons to get there. When 0:05:33.760 --> 0:05:36.280 their line was fifty seven. It got to sixty two 0:05:36.360 --> 0:05:38.279 as the final closing number, but that was because of 0:05:38.279 --> 0:05:41.720 the James White touchdown and overtime. So I just think 0:05:41.960 --> 0:05:45.440 right now, I'm not going to play a side or 0:05:45.480 --> 0:05:47.800 a total on this game, even though even if I 0:05:48.000 --> 0:05:50.240 was hot, even if I was going well, I wouldn't 0:05:50.279 --> 0:05:53.800 play this. The reason is I would take the Chiefs. Okay, 0:05:53.920 --> 0:05:56.360 if I had to bet it, I'd take the Chiefs. However, 0:05:56.880 --> 0:05:59.600 I had the Bucks losing to the Washington football team, 0:06:00.200 --> 0:06:03.000 the Bucks losing to the Saints, I the Bucks losing 0:06:03.279 --> 0:06:06.560 last week to the Packers, not doing it in the 0:06:06.600 --> 0:06:10.480 super Bowl. I'm not betting against Tom Brady in the 0:06:10.520 --> 0:06:13.920 Super Bowl, not against Gronkowski and not against this defense, 0:06:13.960 --> 0:06:17.719 which has insane They call it puck luck in hockey, 0:06:18.240 --> 0:06:23.480 it's turnover luck. Okay, these guys are having insane turnover luck, 0:06:23.480 --> 0:06:26.160 and they're getting more turnovers in the postseason than they 0:06:26.200 --> 0:06:28.719 had by a ways in the regular season. 0:06:29.040 --> 0:06:29.920 For those reasons. 0:06:30.320 --> 0:06:33.360 Even though I think Casey wins, if you have two 0:06:33.360 --> 0:06:36.560 turnovers against the Chiefs, that's when Patrick Mahomes loses. I 0:06:36.560 --> 0:06:38.600 think the record is seven and four, and Patrick Mahomes 0:06:38.640 --> 0:06:40.480 has two or more turnovers in the NFL. It's still 0:06:40.480 --> 0:06:42.640 pretty good, but it's seven and four for a Mahomes 0:06:42.720 --> 0:06:45.080 team where he doesn't lose very often. If the Bucks 0:06:45.080 --> 0:06:47.440 are going to win, that turnover luck is gonna have 0:06:47.480 --> 0:06:48.000 to continue. 0:06:48.800 --> 0:06:52.000 So let me ask you something, Matt, just as a 0:06:52.240 --> 0:06:54.800 general sort of because you know, I mean, I think 0:06:54.839 --> 0:06:57.760 I know the answer to this, but I people listening aren't. 0:06:57.760 --> 0:07:00.839 Is tuned into the betting world most most times, Matt, 0:07:01.040 --> 0:07:03.240 if there's line movement or anything like that, like a 0:07:03.279 --> 0:07:06.719 lot of times, it's on probably based on at least 0:07:06.960 --> 0:07:09.000 more on sharp action or people who know what they're 0:07:09.040 --> 0:07:11.800 doing the public, though in this I don't that's not 0:07:11.840 --> 0:07:13.920 what the Super Bowl lines really do, does it? Like, 0:07:14.280 --> 0:07:16.720 I feel like because there's so much public betting on 0:07:16.760 --> 0:07:19.280 it that it's not like, well, the sharps are on 0:07:19.280 --> 0:07:22.360 this side, do the books really care? Oh at this point? 0:07:22.560 --> 0:07:23.200 Oh yeah they do. 0:07:24.000 --> 0:07:26.560 In the Super Bowl, Yeah yeah, yeah, yeah. The first 0:07:26.560 --> 0:07:29.400 move is always the most important move. Now, remember what 0:07:29.440 --> 0:07:31.680 happened when the Patriots played the Eagles. The first move 0:07:31.800 --> 0:07:34.000 was on the Eagles. All that money came in on 0:07:34.040 --> 0:07:36.800 the Eagles early. What happened, Eagles won outright, but the 0:07:36.800 --> 0:07:38.920 Patriots are won six and a half point favorites when 0:07:38.920 --> 0:07:40.760 it opened. I think the line closed at like four 0:07:40.800 --> 0:07:44.080 and a half for the Patriots for the against the Eagles. 0:07:44.080 --> 0:07:47.640 Eagles won the game outright. The first move always matters. 0:07:47.720 --> 0:07:50.680 The first big bets always come in when there is 0:07:50.840 --> 0:07:54.640 value the syndicates and they want closing line value. They 0:07:54.680 --> 0:07:57.400 want that first number that gets put up because they 0:07:57.440 --> 0:07:59.760 want to hammer it. That's why there's you know, there's 0:07:59.800 --> 0:08:02.600 some homogenization of the first line that goes up, but 0:08:02.680 --> 0:08:05.120 oftentimes it's only a point, half a point. 0:08:05.160 --> 0:08:06.640 It's pretty much in the same region. 0:08:06.800 --> 0:08:10.320 Everyone was three or three and a half plasted across 0:08:10.360 --> 0:08:10.800 the board. 0:08:10.960 --> 0:08:13.640 Nobody had four, nobody had two and a half. 0:08:13.800 --> 0:08:16.800 Everyone came up with the same number because the game 0:08:16.880 --> 0:08:19.240 was just played with the Chiefs miles three and a 0:08:19.280 --> 0:08:23.080 half at Tampa and the game fell three. So even 0:08:23.120 --> 0:08:25.640 though I can easily see the Chiefs winning this game 0:08:25.680 --> 0:08:28.320 by seven, I can also see the Tampa Bay Bucks 0:08:28.320 --> 0:08:30.840 coming back and getting more luck and more turnovers and 0:08:30.880 --> 0:08:34.280 turning those turns into points and the Bucks winning it. 0:08:34.840 --> 0:08:36.800 I'm a top I'm a Tom Brady guy. I'm a 0:08:36.800 --> 0:08:39.000 Patriot fan. I'm gonna cheer for Brady. I would love 0:08:39.000 --> 0:08:42.040 to see number seven. And I have a long standing 0:08:42.080 --> 0:08:44.720 feud with chief fans. So I'm all in on the 0:08:44.720 --> 0:08:46.520 Buccaneers coming up this weekend. 0:08:46.800 --> 0:08:47.240 All right? 0:08:47.800 --> 0:08:48.840 So or next weekend? 0:08:49.080 --> 0:08:50.319 I I right, next weekend? 0:08:50.440 --> 0:08:50.600 Right. 0:08:50.679 --> 0:08:53.720 I have a bunch of different thoughts right now. Like 0:08:53.840 --> 0:08:58.280 my instinct just says, just from watching the games, is 0:08:58.320 --> 0:09:01.960 that you cannot possible beat this Chiefs team unless Patrick 0:09:01.960 --> 0:09:06.080 Mahomes gets injured. It isn't I can't in a in 0:09:06.160 --> 0:09:09.240 a must win game, you can't beat him. Like, I 0:09:09.320 --> 0:09:12.120 just don't understand how when you have Kelsey and you 0:09:12.160 --> 0:09:14.640 have Hill and you have Patrick Mahomes. I just don't 0:09:14.679 --> 0:09:16.640 see how you stop that offense with a and. 0:09:16.640 --> 0:09:19.439 You have a horrible secondary that incredibly the Packers could 0:09:19.520 --> 0:09:20.640 not move the football on. 0:09:20.960 --> 0:09:21.320 I don't. 0:09:21.400 --> 0:09:25.320 I still can't figure out what the hell happened in 0:09:25.400 --> 0:09:25.960 that game. 0:09:26.360 --> 0:09:29.400 Yeah, it really as best I could I could say, 0:09:29.559 --> 0:09:32.200 is that, you know, they they decided they were gonna 0:09:32.280 --> 0:09:35.920 essentially take away Stefan Diggs that that's basically where they 0:09:35.920 --> 0:09:38.800 put it. Look, they're good, I mean, oh the pack 0:09:38.960 --> 0:09:41.160 I'm sorry why the Packers couldn't move the ball against 0:09:41.200 --> 0:09:41.560 the box? 0:09:41.800 --> 0:09:42.040 Yeah? 0:09:42.080 --> 0:09:42.720 Is that what you're saying? 0:09:42.800 --> 0:09:45.199 No, I'm sorry, yeah, but both but yeah, but both ways. Sorry, Yes, 0:09:45.240 --> 0:09:48.120 I I skipped over it, Yes, I I I still 0:09:48.160 --> 0:09:50.920 can't figure out. You know, that secondary for the for 0:09:51.000 --> 0:09:53.439 Tampa Bay is bad. And I can't figure out how 0:09:53.480 --> 0:09:54.320 the Packers. 0:09:53.960 --> 0:09:57.600 Didn't lost their safeties in the game, and. 0:09:57.040 --> 0:10:00.199 In Winfield didn't play either. Right, So that's why I 0:10:00.200 --> 0:10:01.640 can't figure out. Because I think the Chiefs are going 0:10:01.679 --> 0:10:04.480 to have an absolute field day right like they did 0:10:04.480 --> 0:10:06.240 the first time. Remember the whole flipping of the end 0:10:06.320 --> 0:10:08.199 zone thing. Sure, I think Hill is going to be 0:10:08.200 --> 0:10:09.400 doing a couple of those coming up. 0:10:09.559 --> 0:10:11.800 Yeah, yeah, I'm right. So there's a bunch of things 0:10:11.880 --> 0:10:13.560 I'm kind of I'm all over the place a little bit. 0:10:13.600 --> 0:10:16.880 So I think, like, here's my thing. The first my 0:10:16.920 --> 0:10:19.400 first instinct on it, like when the game came out 0:10:19.400 --> 0:10:21.040 and I knew, like I don't know about you, Matt, 0:10:21.080 --> 0:10:23.240 when I knew when it became clear that it was 0:10:23.280 --> 0:10:25.200 going to be the Chiefs in the Bucks. Three is 0:10:25.200 --> 0:10:27.720 what I thought. I thought minus three would be the line. 0:10:27.760 --> 0:10:29.319 I don't know if that's what you thought, because that, 0:10:29.400 --> 0:10:30.120 yeah struck me. 0:10:30.400 --> 0:10:32.880 Yeah, I thought three and a half because I think 0:10:32.880 --> 0:10:34.520 that they would want to try to entice some money 0:10:34.520 --> 0:10:36.480 on tipa bay. Yeah, so I thought three and a 0:10:36.480 --> 0:10:38.679 half would be the number. But yeah, right there, three 0:10:38.760 --> 0:10:39.240 three and a half. 0:10:39.480 --> 0:10:41.520 Right, First of all, I will say again, you guys know, 0:10:41.520 --> 0:10:43.079 if you've listened to this, I'm in New Hampshire. The 0:10:43.080 --> 0:10:44.680 only book I can bet out of Draft Kings, it 0:10:44.760 --> 0:10:47.480 is still three and a half. At Draft it's three 0:10:47.640 --> 0:10:49.560 most it's our consensus line is three. It's three at 0:10:49.600 --> 0:10:52.040 bet MGM, it's three at Fandle, it's three at william Hill. 0:10:52.280 --> 0:10:53.320 But it is three and a half. 0:10:53.360 --> 0:10:57.080 And you know why that is though, right, Why Patriot 0:10:57.080 --> 0:11:03.480 Money DraftKings is in different books if it's Johnny Velli 0:11:03.520 --> 0:11:06.679 know Jhonnavella knows what's going to come into England on. 0:11:07.080 --> 0:11:09.200 When you want to move it then towards the Chiefs. 0:11:09.200 --> 0:11:10.000 Am I crazy? 0:11:10.160 --> 0:11:12.400 You know you want you want because they think Chiefs 0:11:12.400 --> 0:11:13.559 are gonna win that game pretty big. 0:11:13.600 --> 0:11:15.560 Oh. I see they want the money to come in, 0:11:15.640 --> 0:11:16.679 correct it. 0:11:16.840 --> 0:11:19.360 Oh, I see they want people to take the Bucks 0:11:19.400 --> 0:11:20.640 on the hook is what they want. 0:11:20.880 --> 0:11:22.480 I see. I thought what you were saying is they're 0:11:22.520 --> 0:11:26.160 expecting a ton of money to come in, regardless on Brady. 0:11:26.440 --> 0:11:28.480 So if that's the case, if you're saying like whatever, 0:11:28.720 --> 0:11:31.320 but it sounds more like, you know, it's New England. 0:11:31.480 --> 0:11:34.720 They're expecting people to want, like the excuse almost to 0:11:34.760 --> 0:11:36.559 bet on Tom Brady. If they're giving them the hook, 0:11:36.559 --> 0:11:37.320 their likes, I don't care. 0:11:37.400 --> 0:11:39.560 Yeah, That's why I think Johnny Vella was fine. I 0:11:39.559 --> 0:11:41.720 think that that could be the narrative across the entire country. 0:11:41.760 --> 0:11:44.840 I'm not putting it against Brady and mahomes Is tow 0:11:44.960 --> 0:11:46.880 and we're gonna make all these different I mean, I 0:11:46.880 --> 0:11:49.800 think there's a real potential here that this game is 0:11:49.840 --> 0:11:51.640 a disaster for the Bucks. But I'm not going to 0:11:51.720 --> 0:11:54.640 bet it. Oh, But I think that the blowout potential. 0:11:55.400 --> 0:11:57.520 I've been saying this and I might end up going 0:11:57.559 --> 0:11:59.000 this way. I'm the kiss of. 0:11:58.960 --> 0:11:59.440 Death right now. 0:11:59.440 --> 0:12:01.000 So if you're a cheap you don't want me to 0:12:01.000 --> 0:12:04.400 do this, But I'm gonna cheer for Brady and bet 0:12:04.400 --> 0:12:05.720 the chiefs. 0:12:05.720 --> 0:12:08.760 Matt. How many games have the Bucks lost by more 0:12:08.800 --> 0:12:09.800 than three points? This here? 0:12:10.880 --> 0:12:12.240 This year? This year? 0:12:13.360 --> 0:12:16.320 Don't you can just guests number? They've lost two, both 0:12:16.320 --> 0:12:19.080 to the Saints. That's it. Everyone lost. 0:12:19.280 --> 0:12:21.000 What was the what was the loss to the Raiders? 0:12:21.000 --> 0:12:21.319 It was? 0:12:21.840 --> 0:12:25.960 It was, uh, the from the the Bucks. I'm saying, 0:12:26.360 --> 0:12:30.240 how many how many games has the Bucks lost by 0:12:30.280 --> 0:12:32.199 more than three points? Is here? The Bucks? 0:12:32.640 --> 0:12:34.840 Oh? Okay? Yeah, both to the Saints? Right, Both those 0:12:34.880 --> 0:12:36.240 blow losses, right? Correct? 0:12:36.280 --> 0:12:39.640 The other losses now they kept it within three points, 0:12:39.800 --> 0:12:41.440 they don't get And one of them was the first 0:12:41.440 --> 0:12:43.200 game of the year, which I throw out like that 0:12:43.280 --> 0:12:45.480 second game against the Saints. Fine, yeah, that's fine, the 0:12:45.520 --> 0:12:47.520 first game, right, I mean they hadn't even practiced together 0:12:47.600 --> 0:12:51.520 or whatever like that. They don't get blown out. So 0:12:52.080 --> 0:12:55.800 I get it why people are sitting here wanting to 0:12:55.840 --> 0:12:58.720 take the Bucks. But I there's a zero I'll say this, 0:12:58.880 --> 0:13:02.559 there's a zero percent I will bet the Bucks on 0:13:02.559 --> 0:13:05.640 this if the line comes down to three at DraftKings, 0:13:05.640 --> 0:13:08.839 because that's the general consensus. I'll probably put it on 0:13:08.880 --> 0:13:13.440 the Chiefs because again, I don't see how you stop 0:13:13.880 --> 0:13:19.040 the Chiefs at this point whatsoever. And the Bucks. Matt, Look, dude, 0:13:19.080 --> 0:13:21.240 you correct me if I'm wrong. Okay, we watch these games. 0:13:21.280 --> 0:13:23.520 We're objective, we're betting on them and everything like that. 0:13:24.240 --> 0:13:29.800 I haven't been like, oh man, the Bucks are an 0:13:29.840 --> 0:13:33.280 incredible football team right now. They're amazing. I mean, Brady 0:13:33.720 --> 0:13:36.679 tried whatever he could to give that game back. Brady's amazing. Okay, 0:13:36.720 --> 0:13:39.560 Brady's the Goats Gray's of all time. Single handedly has 0:13:39.600 --> 0:13:41.320 basically turned that entire franchise around. 0:13:41.440 --> 0:13:42.720 Can we talk about that for one second. 0:13:42.840 --> 0:13:45.480 Yeah, because I think there's one thing that this goes 0:13:45.520 --> 0:13:48.840 back to the luck factor. Okay, let's just rewind the 0:13:48.880 --> 0:13:50.520 game for a second and play it out as to 0:13:50.600 --> 0:13:51.559 what actually. 0:13:51.200 --> 0:13:53.840 Happened before the first half. 0:13:53.920 --> 0:13:56.280 The throat that I think everyone's gonna remember is the 0:13:56.360 --> 0:13:59.760 catch to Scottie Miller. Okay, yep, King for the Packers 0:13:59.760 --> 0:14:03.280 play the worst game I've seen by a cornerback, maybe 0:14:03.360 --> 0:14:05.680 in the postseason, maybe ever he got beat on the 0:14:05.679 --> 0:14:08.480 first touchdown to Mike Evans, he got beat on the 0:14:08.480 --> 0:14:10.920 Scotty Miller over the top, and he was the one 0:14:10.920 --> 0:14:14.160 who pulled on Tyler Johnson's jersey to get the flag 0:14:14.200 --> 0:14:16.520 at the end of the game. Okay, so three plays, 0:14:16.800 --> 0:14:20.320 all incredibly important, all awful on his part. He miss 0:14:20.440 --> 0:14:22.960 timed his jump on the first touchdown, he let Miller 0:14:22.960 --> 0:14:25.320 get behind him, and then you pull on a jersey 0:14:25.320 --> 0:14:26.960 that was so obvious they had to call it because 0:14:27.000 --> 0:14:28.800 it never should have been called. But fine, they called it. 0:14:30.040 --> 0:14:32.440 So I rate that that call was made. But fine, 0:14:32.440 --> 0:14:33.320 the call was made. 0:14:33.520 --> 0:14:33.760 Yep. 0:14:34.440 --> 0:14:37.680 The play before the Scotty Miller play, the safety comes 0:14:37.680 --> 0:14:40.880 over and the ball goes through his hands. Brady should 0:14:40.920 --> 0:14:43.240 have been picked off four times in that game, and 0:14:43.280 --> 0:14:46.360 then that touchdown doesn't happen, and the chances of the 0:14:46.360 --> 0:14:51.040 Packers winning that game goes up exponentially. That touchdown at 0:14:51.080 --> 0:14:53.400 the end of the first half was the deciding score 0:14:53.480 --> 0:14:56.320 in the entire game. And here we're sitting here talking 0:14:56.320 --> 0:14:59.080 about Tom Brady throwing four picks and Aaron Rodgers beating 0:14:59.120 --> 0:15:00.560 Tom Brady to go to the Super Bowl. 0:15:00.640 --> 0:15:00.880 Yep. 0:15:01.440 --> 0:15:04.960 So that's why I would be careful here about buying 0:15:05.000 --> 0:15:08.240 into this Tampa Bay team because I do think and look, 0:15:08.280 --> 0:15:11.360 teams get hot, teams go on runs, and Tom Brady's 0:15:11.400 --> 0:15:14.000 damn lucky go through the Super Bowl. Okay, Tom Brady 0:15:14.080 --> 0:15:17.120 is five and five straight up in the ten games 0:15:17.160 --> 0:15:19.480 he's played in. He's five and five against the number 0:15:19.600 --> 0:15:22.240 six and three straight up five and five ats. And 0:15:22.280 --> 0:15:25.080 the reason is he gave two leads to his defense 0:15:25.120 --> 0:15:27.720 against the Giants and they coughed it up and blew it. 0:15:28.160 --> 0:15:32.240 He also got real lucky when the Falcons decided not 0:15:32.360 --> 0:15:34.120 to run the football and throw the ball when they 0:15:34.120 --> 0:15:35.320 were up twenty eight to three. 0:15:35.640 --> 0:15:37.520 That let them come back, and. 0:15:37.640 --> 0:15:40.000 Pete Carroll makes a really stupid call, same with the 0:15:40.040 --> 0:15:43.680 offensive coordinator, bad throw interception with the goal line. Patriots 0:15:43.720 --> 0:15:46.960 win that Super Bowl. So there's a lot of luck 0:15:47.120 --> 0:15:49.680 in team sport. You know, football is a team sport. 0:15:50.080 --> 0:15:51.840 But people are gonna buy into this Brady thing a 0:15:51.880 --> 0:15:55.160 little bit too much. I want him to win. I'm 0:15:55.200 --> 0:15:57.200 just I don't think I'm wrong to say the picking 0:15:57.240 --> 0:16:00.640 against this team three straight games was the right decision 0:16:00.760 --> 0:16:02.760 because of they've I mean, look at it was twenty 0:16:02.760 --> 0:16:05.520 to twenty in the fourth quarter against the Saints and Jared. 0:16:05.280 --> 0:16:06.360 Cook fummost the football. 0:16:06.520 --> 0:16:08.240 Yeah, if he doesn't do that in the score a 0:16:08.280 --> 0:16:10.200 field goal or a touchdown, they might win the game 0:16:10.240 --> 0:16:12.760 instead to ten ozer run and two more picks, free 0:16:12.840 --> 0:16:16.040 more picks really from a noodle armed quarterback who couldn't 0:16:16.040 --> 0:16:17.960 throw the ball down the field in crunch time after 0:16:18.000 --> 0:16:20.280 playing the whole game, and we're finding out how many 0:16:20.280 --> 0:16:22.600 injuries Drew Brees had, which were like ridiculous. 0:16:22.800 --> 0:16:24.400 Right, I'm with you. 0:16:24.600 --> 0:16:27.840 I just I don't think this team's that great. Right, 0:16:27.960 --> 0:16:30.000 and again that fans might hate me for saying that, but. 0:16:29.960 --> 0:16:33.480 Well let's let's let's you know, let's make it clear. 0:16:33.600 --> 0:16:38.480 Of course, like Tom Brady is even at his advancedtage, Yeah, 0:16:38.480 --> 0:16:41.080 forget about his history, obviously, the goat. Even at his 0:16:41.160 --> 0:16:45.640 advanced age, he's he's an excellent quarterback. Okay, he's not 0:16:45.840 --> 0:16:48.640 one of the best quarterbacks in the league. The mental 0:16:48.680 --> 0:16:50.640 side of the game, he's still great. But yeah, this 0:16:50.760 --> 0:16:53.360 is what I'm saying is that. And I was on 0:16:53.480 --> 0:16:55.760 them the first two rounds. I picked against some of 0:16:55.840 --> 0:16:57.520 the Packers, but I had them to beat the Saints. 0:16:57.520 --> 0:16:58.480 That was one of the ones that you and I 0:16:58.520 --> 0:17:00.760 disagreed on I had them to be the Saints and 0:17:00.800 --> 0:17:04.000 I had them to beat Washington, although I teased it 0:17:04.040 --> 0:17:07.399 down in terms of the points spread. But I've been 0:17:07.400 --> 0:17:09.640 watching them. I've been watching them closely, and I think 0:17:09.640 --> 0:17:12.200 they're a very good football team. I do. I think 0:17:12.200 --> 0:17:13.960 they're a very good football team. They're in the super Bowl. 0:17:14.040 --> 0:17:17.080 You really don't get there unless you are. But I'm 0:17:17.480 --> 0:17:20.440 just your point. The way you broke down yesterday, I 0:17:20.440 --> 0:17:24.719 think is absolutely correct, which is that touchdown right on 0:17:24.760 --> 0:17:27.240 the last play, essentially the last play left one second left, 0:17:27.320 --> 0:17:30.320 but the last play the half never should have happened. Ever, 0:17:30.760 --> 0:17:34.480 it was basically like the Greg Williams call against the Raiders. 0:17:34.520 --> 0:17:37.960 You left King out there alone by himself. Miller just 0:17:38.040 --> 0:17:40.879 ran right by him for that touchdown. That doesn't happen. 0:17:41.240 --> 0:17:44.520 Who knows if the game is different. Aaron Jones fumbled 0:17:44.760 --> 0:17:47.159 like you know, you expecting the Packers to get the 0:17:47.200 --> 0:17:49.320 ball right out of the half. He fumbled, Then he's 0:17:49.359 --> 0:17:53.800 out for the game. Brady threw pretty bad intercepting. I mean, 0:17:53.800 --> 0:17:56.320 the deep one to Evans was way too inside. The 0:17:56.400 --> 0:17:58.720 other one obviously they could have scored a touch and 0:17:58.760 --> 0:18:00.600 that was too high. Maybe you make that catch, maybe 0:18:00.640 --> 0:18:03.640 you don't, whatever, but they have not. They easily could 0:18:03.680 --> 0:18:05.720 have lost one of these games. And look, the Chiefs 0:18:05.760 --> 0:18:07.440 could have lost to the Browns, but that was really 0:18:07.520 --> 0:18:11.080 without Patrick Mahomes. Essentially, it's this is just something where 0:18:11.240 --> 0:18:13.480 I think the Chiefs are a much better football team 0:18:13.640 --> 0:18:16.879 in this scenario. So it is something where there's no 0:18:16.920 --> 0:18:20.040 way I could bet on the Bucks. And I'm hoping 0:18:20.080 --> 0:18:23.280 the DraftKings moves it down to three and then I'll 0:18:23.320 --> 0:18:27.480 probably fire something on the Chiefs. But again, before this 0:18:27.560 --> 0:18:29.360 game that we talked about it forever, Chiefs don't blow 0:18:29.359 --> 0:18:31.680 anybody out, like they just don't. They let every team 0:18:31.720 --> 0:18:33.320 hang around. They don't cover the spread. 0:18:33.119 --> 0:18:34.320 Whatsoever except the Bills. 0:18:34.600 --> 0:18:36.600 Except the Bills when you and I teased it up 0:18:36.640 --> 0:18:38.760 by the way nine right where they were like great. 0:18:39.040 --> 0:18:41.080 And there's a couple of things, Okay, so let's just 0:18:41.119 --> 0:18:42.760 talk let's break down other than this, Well, let's break 0:18:42.760 --> 0:18:44.720 down a couple of things about the game. Number One, 0:18:45.000 --> 0:18:48.120 we know Andy Reid generally speaking off of bye play 0:18:48.160 --> 0:18:50.480 as well, has his guys ready to go. I don't 0:18:50.520 --> 0:18:52.359 know how much of a difference it's gonna make at 0:18:52.359 --> 0:18:55.320 this point, but we assume Sammy Watkins is probably going 0:18:55.400 --> 0:18:58.080 to be back since he was close to playing in 0:18:58.119 --> 0:19:01.840 this game. Necessarily get another you know, week of recovery 0:19:01.920 --> 0:19:05.240 for Clyde Edwards Hileiro, though Derel Williams is running better something. 0:19:05.560 --> 0:19:07.400 I don't know how much you put into this at 0:19:07.400 --> 0:19:10.160 this point because usually, you know, offensive linemen, especially good 0:19:10.160 --> 0:19:13.200 one when they're out that really hurts a team. Eric 0:19:13.200 --> 0:19:14.840 Fisher is not going to play in the Super Bowl 0:19:14.880 --> 0:19:19.800 two of it, yeah, correct, Eric Fisher really kind of 0:19:20.200 --> 0:19:22.120 the big one especially, But I don't know how much 0:19:22.119 --> 0:19:23.879 it matters with Mahomes, Like, I just don't I know, 0:19:23.960 --> 0:19:27.000 his mobility is limited, but he looked fine. I mean, 0:19:27.040 --> 0:19:29.040 you know, he didn't look like he's ready to take 0:19:29.040 --> 0:19:31.879 off and run for forty yards, but he looks fine. 0:19:31.960 --> 0:19:32.920 So, oh, he looks fine. 0:19:32.960 --> 0:19:35.119 But I also think there's a real chance they just 0:19:35.200 --> 0:19:37.879 go Brian Dabble on this, yeah, and they scrap the 0:19:37.960 --> 0:19:39.920 running attack and they just say, look, we're not going 0:19:39.920 --> 0:19:41.959 to run the ball because we can't. We're just going 0:19:42.000 --> 0:19:44.480 to protect Patrick Mahomes and pass down because you can't 0:19:44.520 --> 0:19:44.959 cover us. 0:19:45.320 --> 0:19:45.560 Yeah. 0:19:45.760 --> 0:19:48.879 So I think there's a real chance that Mahomes, I 0:19:48.920 --> 0:19:50.680 mean we'll get into it later in the prop bets. 0:19:50.720 --> 0:19:52.439 But I just think I think there's a chance Mahome 0:19:52.560 --> 0:19:55.560 just throws for a stupid amount of yards. Sure, and 0:19:56.160 --> 0:19:58.679 just I mean, I think Mahomes puts up a number 0:19:58.800 --> 0:20:00.879 that is just going to be god like. I wouldn't 0:20:00.880 --> 0:20:03.040 be surprised if Patrick Mahomes throws for three hundred and 0:20:03.080 --> 0:20:04.440 fifty yards in four touchdowns. 0:20:04.720 --> 0:20:05.800 Yeah, I just think he. 0:20:05.920 --> 0:20:08.000 I think he's gonna torch this defense. 0:20:08.480 --> 0:20:13.000 And I again, going back to April when I lost 0:20:13.080 --> 0:20:17.720 my mind on the Packers selecting Jordan Love, I simply 0:20:17.800 --> 0:20:19.880 cannot get over the fact that they blew a first 0:20:19.960 --> 0:20:23.480 round pick for a player that may not play even. 0:20:23.320 --> 0:20:26.440 Next year for the Packers. I mean, King could have 0:20:26.520 --> 0:20:28.320 been replaced by a safety. They could have drafted an 0:20:28.320 --> 0:20:28.960 Tony Winfield. 0:20:29.000 --> 0:20:31.359 Winfield could have been on that field, Nott King, they 0:20:31.400 --> 0:20:34.040 could have gotten in safety. They could have gotten somebody 0:20:34.200 --> 0:20:36.159 on the back end, a linebacker. I mean Queen got 0:20:36.200 --> 0:20:38.200 drafted right bright afterwards, I mean they had They could 0:20:38.200 --> 0:20:40.160 have gotten t Higgins. I mean, they could have gotten 0:20:40.480 --> 0:20:42.520 Michael Pittman. I mean, there's so many guys that could 0:20:42.560 --> 0:20:45.159 have drafted. Instead, they took a quarterback who may not 0:20:45.240 --> 0:20:48.439 play in twenty twenty one, and it was the biggest 0:20:48.440 --> 0:20:51.000 wasted first round pick for a team that went to 0:20:51.040 --> 0:20:53.160 back to back NFC Championship games. 0:20:53.320 --> 0:20:53.560 Yep. 0:20:53.640 --> 0:20:57.960 And it's just like, I'm so if I'm Aaron Rodgers, 0:20:58.000 --> 0:21:02.080 I'm so mad, because of course he needed Demante Adams 0:21:02.160 --> 0:21:05.639 needed somebody to take the pressure off. He needed somebody else, 0:21:06.040 --> 0:21:08.040 and there just wasn't anybody else to help him. 0:21:08.359 --> 0:21:10.720 Well, don't forget. Look they're they're you know, they also 0:21:10.760 --> 0:21:12.840 took Dylan who's a fine running back, but he you know, 0:21:12.920 --> 0:21:15.080 he doesn't you had Aaron Jones right now like they needed. 0:21:15.119 --> 0:21:18.280 They ignored this year of course, and Roder Still, they 0:21:18.320 --> 0:21:20.960 still got to thirteen and three and they could have 0:21:21.240 --> 0:21:23.160 won that game and gone to the Super Bowl. 0:21:23.280 --> 0:21:26.280 So NBP season, I know. And then after the game 0:21:26.320 --> 0:21:27.840 it's like, are you gonna come back? Basically he's like, 0:21:27.880 --> 0:21:28.440 I don't know. 0:21:28.720 --> 0:21:31.159 I know, I you know, I I for me, I 0:21:31.160 --> 0:21:34.639 think that's just like a he was devastated and he 0:21:34.760 --> 0:21:36.719 just kind of is like, uh, the gout to think 0:21:36.760 --> 0:21:38.919 of things. But whatever. All that to say, we've got 0:21:38.960 --> 0:21:40.920 plenty of time to analyze that. Here's how I feel 0:21:40.960 --> 0:21:44.040 about the game number one. However you feel about it, 0:21:44.040 --> 0:21:45.960 I don't think you need to bet it right now. 0:21:46.119 --> 0:21:47.800 Like that's why I mean, I guess, Matt, if you 0:21:48.000 --> 0:21:50.800 like the Chiefs, maybe you take them now in three 0:21:50.880 --> 0:21:52.800 because it's possible that the books go to three and 0:21:52.800 --> 0:21:53.080 a half. 0:21:53.200 --> 0:21:54.840 They'll be able to find three. All right, I mean 0:21:55.000 --> 0:21:57.440 you'll be able to it's not gonna move. I mean 0:21:57.440 --> 0:22:01.600 it's everyone. I talked to everyone that was on my show, 0:22:01.880 --> 0:22:04.520 all the book makers. Everyone is saying, it's a really 0:22:04.560 --> 0:22:06.600 easy line. It's just three. 0:22:06.480 --> 0:22:09.240 Yes, they just put it up. It's three, and they're good. 0:22:09.280 --> 0:22:10.679 Maybe three and a half, but they're good. 0:22:10.880 --> 0:22:12.040 I mean they may go to three and a half 0:22:12.080 --> 0:22:14.480 if they need to get some buck money, but go 0:22:14.520 --> 0:22:16.560 to three and a half yea, then they'll go back 0:22:16.560 --> 0:22:19.360 down to three. Like it's just from a book making perspective, 0:22:19.400 --> 0:22:23.080 the line itself. They're very comfortable where it is, and 0:22:23.320 --> 0:22:24.840 they're comfortable on the two way action. 0:22:24.920 --> 0:22:27.120 They're going to receive the total. I think if you're 0:22:27.119 --> 0:22:27.439 looking for. 0:22:27.440 --> 0:22:29.960 An over under bet, I think that's where the volatility 0:22:30.040 --> 0:22:30.640 is going to come in. 0:22:31.000 --> 0:22:32.480 Okay, So where do you think it goes? 0:22:32.520 --> 0:22:34.560 Man? Because right now, down for six down and then 0:22:34.600 --> 0:22:35.800 the public will bet it back up. 0:22:36.080 --> 0:22:38.000 Okay, all right, so I guess I. 0:22:38.000 --> 0:22:40.320 Think the ceiling is fifty five would be my guess. 0:22:40.640 --> 0:22:42.280 I think you'll start to see it come down as 0:22:42.280 --> 0:22:44.200 the week goes on. You'll see more and more people 0:22:44.240 --> 0:22:46.000 make a case that the Chief's going to kick field 0:22:46.040 --> 0:22:49.040 goals and that you know, Tom Brady might not be 0:22:49.119 --> 0:22:51.919 able to because historically speaking, Brady and Super Bowls has 0:22:51.960 --> 0:22:54.920 not scored a ton. So you know, just look at 0:22:54.960 --> 0:22:58.520 you know, just where he is and again post you know, 0:22:58.560 --> 0:23:01.520 the last nine crazy to say that us nine super 0:23:01.560 --> 0:23:04.159 Bowls for Brady. It doesn't matter because he's not with 0:23:04.240 --> 0:23:07.439 that team anymore. He's with Bruce Arians. I'm real concerned 0:23:07.440 --> 0:23:09.280 about Bruce Arians. I'm gonna say right now, I'm real 0:23:09.320 --> 0:23:11.920 concerned about him. I'm really concerned that Andy Reid's gonna 0:23:11.920 --> 0:23:15.200 absolutely torch that guy in coach circles around him. Todd 0:23:15.200 --> 0:23:18.440 Bowles has been tremendous and he's probably the biggest saving 0:23:18.480 --> 0:23:21.159 grace for Bruce Arians to keep him from really like 0:23:21.480 --> 0:23:24.080 completely blowing this. And I think they owe him a 0:23:24.080 --> 0:23:26.480 big raise that they keep him, because that guy could 0:23:26.480 --> 0:23:27.920 get a head coaching job and he's. 0:23:27.800 --> 0:23:30.080 You know what's so funny is said Bulls. And again, 0:23:30.119 --> 0:23:32.359 I you know, I have a very very close friend 0:23:32.400 --> 0:23:34.800 who's a huge Bucks fan, and so we basically after 0:23:34.840 --> 0:23:36.439 the game, we have like an hour phone call every 0:23:36.480 --> 0:23:38.800 time just kind of dissect the game. That first game 0:23:38.800 --> 0:23:42.800 against Washington, he was screaming about Bulls because you know, 0:23:42.920 --> 0:23:46.240 Heineke was throwing, you know, doing what guys were wide 0:23:46.280 --> 0:23:48.560 open right in the game. And again, I think that 0:23:48.560 --> 0:23:51.840 that was much more just because they prepared for Alex Smith, right, 0:23:52.040 --> 0:23:53.760 I think they thought Alex Smith was going to play, 0:23:53.760 --> 0:23:55.879 and they were not prepared for somebody to just be 0:23:55.960 --> 0:23:57.920 slinging down the field and no one's seen. 0:23:57.720 --> 0:24:01.160 That guy play really so right game tap my kid exactly. 0:24:01.200 --> 0:24:03.880 But yeah, what they did in this last game against Packers, 0:24:03.960 --> 0:24:05.800 against the Saints, and again especially against the Packers with 0:24:05.840 --> 0:24:07.800 all the injuries. So Igreen Bowles was a coach of 0:24:07.800 --> 0:24:09.240 the Jets, and I didn't love him then, but he's 0:24:09.400 --> 0:24:11.359 he's done a really good job the last Look, some. 0:24:11.280 --> 0:24:13.440 Guys are DC's and they shouldn't be head coaches. He's 0:24:13.440 --> 0:24:13.840 one of them. 0:24:13.840 --> 0:24:16.080 He shouldn't be a head coach. He's a great defensive mind, 0:24:16.359 --> 0:24:20.200 focus on defense. And look, if Jason Pierre Paul plays 0:24:20.240 --> 0:24:23.640 like he did against Aaron Rodgers against Tom Brady, Britty's 0:24:23.680 --> 0:24:25.160 in trouble. I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean 0:24:25.480 --> 0:24:29.320 Mahomes could be in trouble because he's running around like 0:24:29.440 --> 0:24:33.080 the giant version of j Brady. So that to me 0:24:33.359 --> 0:24:36.320 is a significant factor if they can get pressure on Mahomes. 0:24:36.320 --> 0:24:40.480 The difference is Rodgers for whatever reason his I don't 0:24:40.480 --> 0:24:42.439 want to say he aged before our eyes, but he 0:24:42.480 --> 0:24:44.960 doesn't have that quickness he once did to get out 0:24:44.960 --> 0:24:47.240 of the pocket his first couple of steps, and he 0:24:47.359 --> 0:24:50.159 clearly doesn't trust himself to outrun defensive lineman or he 0:24:50.160 --> 0:24:52.359 would have ran it on third and nine to go 0:24:52.400 --> 0:24:54.000 to the pylon or try to get down to the 0:24:54.000 --> 0:24:54.720 one yard line. 0:24:54.840 --> 0:24:57.240 Yeah, that was row shocking to everybody. 0:24:57.240 --> 0:24:59.280 I know, yep, that throat because but but like if 0:24:59.320 --> 0:25:01.359 you look at the tape and run it, it's because 0:25:01.359 --> 0:25:05.439 he sees JPP and he made a business decision. He 0:25:05.480 --> 0:25:07.800 made His decision was do I want to run for 0:25:07.840 --> 0:25:10.800 the pylon with Jason Pierre Paul running me down from behind, 0:25:11.240 --> 0:25:12.640 or do I want to try to squeeze it in 0:25:12.680 --> 0:25:15.240 a tight window to DeVante Adams at the goal line 0:25:15.240 --> 0:25:17.359 and hope that Adams can beat two defenders and come 0:25:17.440 --> 0:25:20.760 up with the football, and he couldn't. So if JPP 0:25:21.160 --> 0:25:23.000 is running like this and playing the way that he 0:25:23.200 --> 0:25:25.000 is or he did in that game, you know he 0:25:25.000 --> 0:25:27.080 could run down Mahomes. He could be a problem in 0:25:27.119 --> 0:25:29.119 the game. And if Mahomes his toe is not healthy, 0:25:29.480 --> 0:25:31.600 then maybe there is something there. But I think after 0:25:31.600 --> 0:25:33.679 two weeks having Mahomes rest, that toe is going to 0:25:33.680 --> 0:25:34.640 be pretty big. 0:25:34.920 --> 0:25:36.399 I mean, I guess the way I put it, the 0:25:36.440 --> 0:25:38.800 way I think about it is any team can beat 0:25:38.840 --> 0:25:42.320 any team if you're going to get crazy breaks at 0:25:42.359 --> 0:25:46.040 anything or special teams plays. Other than that, though, I 0:25:46.280 --> 0:25:49.200 really just I cannot see the Chiefs losing this game. 0:25:49.280 --> 0:25:52.160 If Brady throws jump balls like he's been throwing all year, 0:25:52.320 --> 0:25:53.320 it's going to be a route. 0:25:53.400 --> 0:25:56.000 The thing is, it was also crazy, Like I'm and again, 0:25:56.040 --> 0:25:59.040 I was texting with my buddy, who is just screaming 0:25:59.080 --> 0:26:00.800 about the fact, you know, you're sitting on this lead. 0:26:00.840 --> 0:26:03.719 It's a pretty substantial lead at one point, and arians 0:26:04.240 --> 0:26:08.480 is still taking these huge shots downfield like all day 0:26:08.520 --> 0:26:11.560 long instead of just kind of you know, running shorter passes, 0:26:11.600 --> 0:26:14.400 chewing up the clock. It's just non stop shots downfield, 0:26:14.440 --> 0:26:17.400 regardless of the game situation. That doesn't work against the Chiefs. 0:26:17.400 --> 0:26:19.800 The Chiefs kind of funnel everything to the middle. So 0:26:20.040 --> 0:26:21.919 again when we talk about props, and you know, I 0:26:22.000 --> 0:26:24.000 usually like the Godwin over props, and this last one 0:26:24.040 --> 0:26:25.800 I thought, really thought should have hit. As we both 0:26:25.840 --> 0:26:27.600 sort of talked about over and half receptions. 0:26:27.920 --> 0:26:30.280 Dropped two balls in the first half, clear that had it. 0:26:30.320 --> 0:26:32.679 I mean there were numerous plays that kid. Jeez, that 0:26:32.760 --> 0:26:33.080 was bad. 0:26:33.480 --> 0:26:35.040 He's got a lot of drops right now. You look 0:26:35.040 --> 0:26:36.879 at his career, it's like, I do know, seven drops 0:26:36.880 --> 0:26:39.680 in the playoffs or something crazy. But look, they don't 0:26:39.880 --> 0:26:43.800 they you saw with Diggs, you know, they take away. 0:26:43.800 --> 0:26:46.560 They're very good against wide receiver Spignelo, you know, and 0:26:46.600 --> 0:26:49.400 he's done well against Brady obviously, but his scheme is good. 0:26:49.600 --> 0:26:51.800 He funnels everything a little bit towards. You saw Cole 0:26:51.840 --> 0:26:55.160 Beasley on a broken leg apparently was you know, still 0:26:55.200 --> 0:26:57.080 getting his and everything like that. They're okay that. So 0:26:57.119 --> 0:26:59.320 I think Godwin in the middle of field will be fine. 0:26:59.320 --> 0:27:01.080 But I think at the are going to continue to 0:27:01.080 --> 0:27:04.280 take these giant shots down the field. They're just not 0:27:04.359 --> 0:27:06.919 going to have that much success against the Chiefs. And 0:27:06.960 --> 0:27:09.280 I think, really regardless, throw it all out, like what 0:27:09.960 --> 0:27:13.320 to beat the Chiefs, you have to make it so 0:27:13.440 --> 0:27:16.080 that there is a we've talked about it, a zero 0:27:16.160 --> 0:27:20.920 percent chance that Patrick Mahomes can beat you with anything, 0:27:21.200 --> 0:27:23.320 you know, more than thirty seconds left, because if you 0:27:23.440 --> 0:27:26.120 if you leave that, that's done. I mean, Tyreek Hill 0:27:26.160 --> 0:27:28.480 can take a slant, you know, eighty five yards or whatever, 0:27:28.520 --> 0:27:31.040 and just they're they're two goods. So for me, there's 0:27:31.080 --> 0:27:33.159 no I mean, I'm waiting if it comes down to 0:27:33.240 --> 0:27:35.359 three at DraftKings again, that's one of the few books 0:27:35.359 --> 0:27:37.160 that's still at three and a half right now. If 0:27:37.160 --> 0:27:39.240 it comes down to three, I'm going to bet it 0:27:39.240 --> 0:27:40.760 because I think the Chiefs are gonna win. I may 0:27:40.800 --> 0:27:43.600 sprinkle on the Chief's money line, which again that is 0:27:43.640 --> 0:27:47.119 a little more favorable. It's minus one sixty seven. The 0:27:47.160 --> 0:27:50.119 consensus line is one seventy William Hills one seventy. So 0:27:50.440 --> 0:27:53.080 maybe I don't know, but yeah, it's it's you know, 0:27:53.200 --> 0:27:55.679 there's no real value on either side, like this is 0:27:55.680 --> 0:27:58.440 the super Bowl at this point. They know what they're doing. Yeah, 0:27:58.480 --> 0:28:01.160 and the total I don't know, man, I can tell 0:28:01.160 --> 0:28:03.160 you again that I'm I'm I don't care how sharp 0:28:03.200 --> 0:28:05.000 it might be. I'm not betting unders, like, there's no 0:28:05.040 --> 0:28:06.960 way I'm betting under. Yeah, there's not. 0:28:07.080 --> 0:28:08.200 The not the look. 0:28:08.320 --> 0:28:10.800 I had someone on my show today say get me 0:28:10.800 --> 0:28:13.639 to sixty, and I might listen to an under, but not. 0:28:13.720 --> 0:28:15.280 I'm not listening to the under until you get me 0:28:15.320 --> 0:28:19.560 to sixty. Yeah, and I think that's really possible. I look, 0:28:20.320 --> 0:28:22.200 this is how I'm going to approach this. I am 0:28:22.240 --> 0:28:26.200 going to have a laundry list of props going. Yes, 0:28:26.240 --> 0:28:29.320 I'm I'm just gonna watch this game for who wins. 0:28:29.359 --> 0:28:32.320 I'm gonna hope for Tom Brady. I'm not sweating this 0:28:32.400 --> 0:28:34.400 out where I gotta worry about two Hall of Fame 0:28:34.480 --> 0:28:36.359 quarterbacks going up and down the field and again on 0:28:36.440 --> 0:28:40.600 that on somewhat questionable defenses. I don't want to worry 0:28:40.600 --> 0:28:43.400 about turnovers changing games. I don't want to worry about 0:28:43.440 --> 0:28:46.120 on side kicks and missed extra points. I don't want 0:28:46.160 --> 0:28:48.200 to I don't want to worry about fluky stuff. I 0:28:48.240 --> 0:28:52.240 just want to line up receptions, touchdowns, coin flips, national anthem. 0:28:52.280 --> 0:28:55.600 I I just want to get all crazy with prop bets, 0:28:55.840 --> 0:28:58.880 and that would be my recommendation to everyone here because 0:28:59.160 --> 0:29:01.480 the one thing that I saw on Twitter last night 0:29:01.520 --> 0:29:03.640 from the bookmakers here in Las Vegas. What they were 0:29:03.640 --> 0:29:07.720 reporting is that they were dumbfounded at the crickets they heard. 0:29:07.880 --> 0:29:11.640 When the line went up, it didn't move. There weren't 0:29:11.640 --> 0:29:14.760 big bets. Circus Sports in Vegas had one hundred thousand 0:29:14.760 --> 0:29:17.080 dollars limit, and people were betting on the money lines. 0:29:17.160 --> 0:29:20.080 They were not touching the total, the sides of the totals. 0:29:20.520 --> 0:29:23.600 It was just chiefs win, here's one hundred grand bucks win, 0:29:23.760 --> 0:29:26.320 here's one hundred grand not worrying about the point spreads, 0:29:26.360 --> 0:29:28.960 not worrying about And I think that's pretty much the 0:29:29.000 --> 0:29:30.320 smartest way to approach this. 0:29:30.360 --> 0:29:32.600 If you're going to bet a side, just bet the 0:29:32.640 --> 0:29:34.520 team to win, don't worry about the points spread. 0:29:34.800 --> 0:29:36.800 Yeah, that's fair. And again you talked about it. At 0:29:36.800 --> 0:29:41.480 this point, everybody knows props are really how to best 0:29:41.600 --> 0:29:44.560 enjoy the Super Bowl. And again we've had, you know, 0:29:44.920 --> 0:29:47.600 props have been whatever so far in the playoffs. The 0:29:47.720 --> 0:29:51.680 last two Super Bowls have been really really problem for 0:29:51.800 --> 0:29:54.200 me from my bood perspective. Yeah, I know. So let's 0:29:54.200 --> 0:29:56.040 hope that we crushed it. Now we're going to be 0:29:56.080 --> 0:29:59.719 doing another podcast where we're going to talk about props. 0:30:00.040 --> 0:30:01.640 You'll talk about it of course on The Daily Juice 0:30:01.920 --> 0:30:03.920 we're talking about how to maybe mix the two. And 0:30:03.960 --> 0:30:05.959 then again I will give you details on this, but 0:30:06.120 --> 0:30:08.080 Matt and I are going to be doing a live 0:30:08.080 --> 0:30:10.120 stream on Super Bowl Sunday. We're gonna have a ton 0:30:10.120 --> 0:30:12.000 of stuff. We're also going to be giving away some 0:30:12.080 --> 0:30:14.239 incredible prizes. I'm not gonna tell you what they are 0:30:14.280 --> 0:30:16.920 right now, but they're going to be incredible, I promise you. 0:30:17.040 --> 0:30:19.000 That's at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros. We will 0:30:19.000 --> 0:30:21.240 give you more information on that, but until then, yeah, 0:30:21.280 --> 0:30:23.640 I agree. I mean, whatever, man, you want to bet. 0:30:23.960 --> 0:30:26.000 I'm telling you, if gun to my head, I am 0:30:26.040 --> 0:30:30.280 taking the Chiefs minus three, and even at minus three 0:30:30.280 --> 0:30:31.760 and a half, I'd probably just take them because I 0:30:32.320 --> 0:30:34.239 can tell you there is no number right now, like 0:30:35.040 --> 0:30:37.320 you know, short of seven where I would take the 0:30:37.320 --> 0:30:39.800 Bucks because I just can't. I'd go over the fifty 0:30:39.800 --> 0:30:41.120 six and a half gun to my head if I 0:30:41.200 --> 0:30:43.120 had ten, and I'd take the Chiefs on the money line. 0:30:43.120 --> 0:30:45.840 But I'm not running out there to do any of that. 0:30:45.920 --> 0:30:48.440 You know, I feel like you probably feel roughly the 0:30:48.480 --> 0:30:49.840 same on both. 0:30:50.520 --> 0:30:51.800 Entirely exactly the same. 0:30:51.880 --> 0:30:56.320 I mean, if I think this is a game, it's 0:30:57.480 --> 0:31:00.640 it's hard to bet against Tom Brady, but it's even 0:31:00.720 --> 0:31:03.760 more hard to bet against this chief team with Patrick Mahomes, 0:31:03.800 --> 0:31:07.360 just given the arm talent, given the offensive game plan, 0:31:07.440 --> 0:31:09.960 and given the weapons that they've got. You're right the 0:31:10.000 --> 0:31:14.360 way it happens, patrick Mahomes gets hurt. Yes, if Mahomes 0:31:14.360 --> 0:31:17.920 gets hurt, the whole world comes undone, right, And not 0:31:18.360 --> 0:31:20.440 to say that if you bet the Bucks, you're banking 0:31:20.480 --> 0:31:23.560 on a Mahomes injury, but you kind of are. I 0:31:23.600 --> 0:31:25.920 mean that's kind of the thing that you you're expecting 0:31:25.960 --> 0:31:28.320 him to have something significant happen in the football game 0:31:28.360 --> 0:31:30.920 to him, and hopefully no more. If you bet the Chiefs, 0:31:31.040 --> 0:31:33.120 hopefully you aren't going to see you know, any more 0:31:33.160 --> 0:31:36.320 fourth than one option runs with better Mahomes. Let's not 0:31:36.360 --> 0:31:37.120 ever see that again. 0:31:37.360 --> 0:31:39.320 Yeah, if you're a Chief backer, I agree with that. 0:31:39.360 --> 0:31:42.200 And again another big point is you don't you don't 0:31:42.240 --> 0:31:43.880 have to run to bet this. I mean, I think 0:31:43.920 --> 0:31:45.479 part of doing it right now is to give our 0:31:45.640 --> 0:31:48.080 kind of immediate reaction to the line. But I think 0:31:48.120 --> 0:31:50.600 whatever our immediate reaction is, like, it's not gonna You 0:31:50.640 --> 0:31:53.479 have seen the point total move, you know, from the 0:31:53.640 --> 0:31:56.240 very first time that they opened it down a point. 0:31:56.280 --> 0:31:57.560 I think it was fifty seven and a half when 0:31:57.560 --> 0:32:00.280 it first open down a point. But again, it's really 0:32:00.320 --> 0:32:02.440 just not gonna be much at this point. You're right 0:32:02.520 --> 0:32:04.960 between three, three and a half maybe, but I think 0:32:04.960 --> 0:32:07.120 it's gonna mostly stick at three for where it is. 0:32:07.120 --> 0:32:08.640 It's kind of you said fifty six and a half. 0:32:08.680 --> 0:32:10.760 It's gonna be around their money line, safe thing. So 0:32:11.040 --> 0:32:13.400 take your time, enjoy it, do as much reachars as 0:32:13.400 --> 0:32:15.360 you can. Better. Yet, if you don't want to bet it, 0:32:15.960 --> 0:32:18.520 use the props, use our what what is our prop Matt, 0:32:18.560 --> 0:32:21.000 you talked about it. What's our prop bet cheat? Sheat? 0:32:21.040 --> 0:32:22.960 What's the cop prop bet cheat sheet? 0:32:23.040 --> 0:32:25.560 Yes, okay, don't on that because even that needs to 0:32:25.600 --> 0:32:27.640 be done through an algorithm. It's going to take some 0:32:27.640 --> 0:32:30.520 time for that to populate through around different players playing 0:32:30.600 --> 0:32:33.920 and injury reports, and there's a lot of things. I mean, 0:32:34.120 --> 0:32:37.320 it's this this week is a really good week. Just 0:32:37.400 --> 0:32:42.120 to get yourself situated, like, start looking at the props. 0:32:42.160 --> 0:32:44.760 You're probably gonna look And also I tried doing this 0:32:44.800 --> 0:32:47.000 sometimes if you got extra time, make your own prop 0:32:47.000 --> 0:32:49.400 bets and then match them up with the book. So like, 0:32:49.760 --> 0:32:52.600 how many numbers? How many touchdowns do you expect Tom 0:32:52.640 --> 0:32:54.720 Brady to throw? What's the number? Is it two and 0:32:54.760 --> 0:32:56.080 a half if it's two and a half? What I 0:32:56.080 --> 0:32:57.760 think it is right now at DraftKings it's two and 0:32:57.800 --> 0:33:00.480 a half at plus one fifty? Right likelihood Ay throwing 0:33:00.480 --> 0:33:02.400 two or more touchdowns or two and a half touchdowns? 0:33:02.400 --> 0:33:04.840 Three touchdowns probably pretty good, right for plus money? Not 0:33:04.960 --> 0:33:07.080 a bad place to be. How many for Mahomes? Is 0:33:07.160 --> 0:33:09.320 gonna be three to using me three and a half 0:33:09.360 --> 0:33:12.440 for Patrick Mahomes? How many rushing yards for Clyde Edwards Hilaire. 0:33:12.480 --> 0:33:14.040 If you agree with me that they're just gonna scrap 0:33:14.040 --> 0:33:15.560 the run and throw the whole time, maybe you're betting 0:33:15.560 --> 0:33:18.600 the under on Clyde Edwards Hilaire rushing, So like, make 0:33:18.640 --> 0:33:20.520 your own and then match it up once it comes out, 0:33:20.600 --> 0:33:22.200 or even still, go and check out the books that 0:33:22.240 --> 0:33:25.320 dot props up and kind of see where your number 0:33:25.400 --> 0:33:27.840 is versus where their number is, and that can help 0:33:27.920 --> 0:33:30.000 you make these wages on prop bets. And look, the 0:33:30.040 --> 0:33:32.920 majority of people are gonna make ten, fifteen, twenty five 0:33:32.960 --> 0:33:34.600 buck bets on the props. 0:33:34.760 --> 0:33:36.760 They're gonna take your business all day long. 0:33:37.160 --> 0:33:38.840 So if you have a couple of hundred dollars and 0:33:38.880 --> 0:33:40.880 that's what you're gonna betting on the super Bowl, rather 0:33:40.920 --> 0:33:42.800 than putting it down on one side or the other, 0:33:42.960 --> 0:33:44.840 it's a whole lot more fun to sprinkle that around. 0:33:45.200 --> 0:33:47.320 Yeah, that's a good point. That is a really good point. 0:33:47.320 --> 0:33:51.120 And again I probably started doing that, I mean certainly 0:33:51.200 --> 0:33:54.800 last year, but two years ago, you know, I went 0:33:54.800 --> 0:33:57.800 out to Vegas and I did prop bets. Are there's 0:33:57.880 --> 0:34:00.320 so much fun, especially in the Super Bowl in. 0:34:00.280 --> 0:34:02.920 Line when you came here, Yeah, oh yeah, did did 0:34:03.000 --> 0:34:04.800 they limit you to two bets at a time? 0:34:05.040 --> 0:34:05.240 Yep? 0:34:05.640 --> 0:34:06.880 That's the worst I know. 0:34:07.440 --> 0:34:10.399 It's it's actually comical to watch it, if you ever. 0:34:10.719 --> 0:34:13.600 It's like a people watching experiment because you have this 0:34:13.760 --> 0:34:17.040 line of like seventy five fifty plus year old white 0:34:17.080 --> 0:34:19.520 dudes yea, all like looking like something out of the 0:34:19.520 --> 0:34:21.960 movie Casino, and they're all in line and they all 0:34:22.000 --> 0:34:24.000 got these big, huge stack of stuff, and they walk 0:34:24.080 --> 0:34:25.799 up and they make their two bets and they go 0:34:25.840 --> 0:34:28.040 back to the end of the line and they make 0:34:28.040 --> 0:34:29.360 their two bets and walk back to the end of 0:34:29.360 --> 0:34:29.719 the line. 0:34:29.920 --> 0:34:32.040 I did it, thankfully, with like ten friends, so we 0:34:32.160 --> 0:34:33.759 all sort of like there was like a bunch of 0:34:33.800 --> 0:34:34.440 us going. 0:34:34.400 --> 0:34:35.839 Oh, that's good. So you all get to bet too, 0:34:36.200 --> 0:34:37.440 exactly exactly what I do. 0:34:37.960 --> 0:34:40.400 That's how we did it. But thankfully now i've draftings. 0:34:40.400 --> 0:34:41.759 But again, yeah, that really is the best way to 0:34:41.760 --> 0:34:43.399 do it. And we're gonna have a ton of prop 0:34:43.400 --> 0:34:45.440 bet information. There's a ton on betting pros that prop 0:34:45.480 --> 0:34:47.360 bet cheat cheo. But again, you're right, wait on that, 0:34:47.480 --> 0:34:50.239 wait for all the information that you can. In the meantime. 0:34:50.440 --> 0:34:52.920 Oh boy, it's gonna be fun. Matt, Tom Brady and 0:34:52.920 --> 0:34:55.560 Patrick Mahomes. It's it's been a crazy season. It's a 0:34:55.560 --> 0:34:58.000 good way to end it. So we'll be there for 0:34:58.040 --> 0:34:58.399 you again. 0:34:58.719 --> 0:35:00.080 Didn't ask me the one important. 0:34:59.800 --> 0:35:01.799 Question, though, what's your one important question? 0:35:01.880 --> 0:35:03.080 You didn't ask Peo about home field? 0:35:03.960 --> 0:35:05.960 Oh, I get you're right, My apologies. 0:35:06.000 --> 0:35:07.120 Didn't ask me about home field. 0:35:07.280 --> 0:35:08.480 What's what's the impact? 0:35:08.480 --> 0:35:12.080 Matt means nothing and nothing. 0:35:12.200 --> 0:35:14.440 I agree with you, but say why you think. 0:35:14.280 --> 0:35:16.720 That, because if they're going to have seven five hundred 0:35:16.760 --> 0:35:19.760 fans there. They're all going to be Tampa Bay fans. Technically, 0:35:19.760 --> 0:35:21.719 the Chiefs are going to send their own fans. There's 0:35:21.719 --> 0:35:23.760 gonna be Chief fans there, So like, what's the maximum 0:35:23.840 --> 0:35:24.839 number of people are going to be there? 0:35:24.880 --> 0:35:27.480 Sixteen thousand? Are they all going to be on one side? 0:35:27.680 --> 0:35:32.600 No, it's just the typical audience for a Super Bowl 0:35:32.760 --> 0:35:35.680 is pretty muted anyway because it's a lot of corporate windings. 0:35:35.760 --> 0:35:39.560 Corporate tickets are going for like twenty thousand dollars a 0:35:39.560 --> 0:35:42.400 piece at this point, Like I just read it's going 0:35:42.480 --> 0:35:44.160 to be no corporate so go ahead. 0:35:44.360 --> 0:35:46.879 Zero. They shouldn't be on the secondary market, by the way, 0:35:46.920 --> 0:35:50.680 it shouldn't be. They shouldn't have them. But whatever, fine. 0:35:50.440 --> 0:35:53.120 That people are going to get the tickets and sell them. 0:35:53.200 --> 0:35:58.440 But I think there is absolutely no advantage other than 0:35:58.440 --> 0:35:59.479 sleeping in your own bed. 0:36:00.640 --> 0:36:00.879 Right. 0:36:00.960 --> 0:36:03.640 But again, the other thing to sort of talk about is, 0:36:03.920 --> 0:36:06.759 you know, it's the Super Bowl is always kind of 0:36:06.760 --> 0:36:09.160 its own animal, regardless of where it is, Like of course, 0:36:09.200 --> 0:36:11.279 being home, you're not having that. The Chiefs are gonna 0:36:11.280 --> 0:36:13.560 fly there right the day before the game, right, I mean, 0:36:13.560 --> 0:36:15.160 this is gonna be like a normal other than the 0:36:15.200 --> 0:36:16.840 fact that the Super Bowl, you don't have the usual 0:36:17.280 --> 0:36:19.640 like Super Bowl two weeks of you know, stuff that's 0:36:19.640 --> 0:36:19.920 going on. 0:36:20.160 --> 0:36:22.719 Oh, it's a huge deal that there's no radio row, 0:36:23.239 --> 0:36:27.200 there's no parties, there's none of that. Nothing like that 0:36:27.320 --> 0:36:30.120 is happening. And that's why again to go back to 0:36:30.640 --> 0:36:32.640 the Bucks run for a second, with their three games 0:36:32.680 --> 0:36:35.200 that they've won on the road. Yes, it's impressive as 0:36:35.239 --> 0:36:37.759 the first team since the twenty ten Packers to do it, 0:36:38.239 --> 0:36:40.279 but it's not that impressive to me because they did 0:36:40.280 --> 0:36:40.719 it with no. 0:36:40.719 --> 0:36:44.760 Fans in stands. Yeah, you're just playing on a quiet field. 0:36:45.000 --> 0:36:47.160 And yeah there were fans there in Green Bay, and yep, 0:36:47.160 --> 0:36:49.560 there were banging signs like crazy and they're making some noise. 0:36:49.600 --> 0:36:52.080 So it definitely was a typical. But it wasn't sixty 0:36:52.160 --> 0:36:56.520 thousand at Lambeau, right, It wasn't your typical screaming, you know, 0:36:56.920 --> 0:36:59.360 making your head hurt type of crowd at Lambeau Field. 0:37:00.320 --> 0:37:03.279 From it's normally pretty calm anyway, in the Super Bowl, 0:37:03.400 --> 0:37:05.600 it's going to be even more calm and without the 0:37:05.600 --> 0:37:08.640 pomp and circumstance, without all the hoop law that normally 0:37:08.680 --> 0:37:09.319 goes into it. 0:37:09.480 --> 0:37:12.400 I mean, what's what's media day going to be? Like nothing, 0:37:12.520 --> 0:37:13.600 They're not having a media day. 0:37:13.600 --> 0:37:16.839 It's virtual like all that stuff, no crazy people ever 0:37:17.160 --> 0:37:20.680 with marriage proposals and all the nuts stuff with Tom 0:37:20.719 --> 0:37:22.919 Brady crying about his father like he does every time, 0:37:23.360 --> 0:37:25.520 Like that stuff's gone. That stuff's not going to be there. 0:37:25.560 --> 0:37:29.680 So I think it's a significant deal that the distraction 0:37:29.840 --> 0:37:32.560 potential is not likely for the Casey Chiefs. 0:37:32.960 --> 0:37:36.279 I mean for me, frankly, the Chiefs won the Super 0:37:36.320 --> 0:37:39.800 Bowl last year. Brady's been to you know, a million 0:37:39.800 --> 0:37:42.319 of them, this is tenth one or whatever. It doesn't 0:37:42.320 --> 0:37:45.040 matter at this point regardless, especially for these teams. I 0:37:45.080 --> 0:37:46.880 mean maybe with the Bucks, because. 0:37:46.640 --> 0:37:48.120 I think it's the deal for the Bucks, by the way, 0:37:48.160 --> 0:37:48.920 not to have any of that. 0:37:49.080 --> 0:37:50.720 I really do you think it's better? 0:37:50.960 --> 0:37:51.200 Yeah? 0:37:51.360 --> 0:37:52.759 Or I think it's better for them to just turn 0:37:52.840 --> 0:37:54.560 like a normal football game. I think it's better than that. 0:37:54.640 --> 0:37:56.560 You don't act like it's the super Bowl. I think 0:37:56.560 --> 0:37:58.680 it's a big I think it's a bigger deal. I 0:37:58.719 --> 0:38:00.680 think it's a big deal actually of the Bucks, who 0:38:00.719 --> 0:38:02.600 have a bunch of guys who can get caught up 0:38:02.640 --> 0:38:05.040 in that moment, young guys who had never been there before. 0:38:05.640 --> 0:38:08.000 You know, for Brady and Gronk, I don't think it matters. 0:38:08.040 --> 0:38:11.719 But I think for Godwin and for Tyler Johnson and 0:38:11.880 --> 0:38:13.680 the guys who are young in their careers who have 0:38:13.760 --> 0:38:17.000 never seen this before, I think all that media could 0:38:17.080 --> 0:38:19.279 really flip them on their heads. On a media day 0:38:19.360 --> 0:38:23.040 or then multiple media days, appearances and talking every morning. 0:38:23.080 --> 0:38:26.200 It's normally Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, it's Monday night for the 0:38:26.360 --> 0:38:29.120 media night, and then Tuesday they talk again, then Wednesday 0:38:29.120 --> 0:38:31.200 they talk again, and then they stop talking to the media. 0:38:31.800 --> 0:38:32.920 They're not going to have any of that. 0:38:34.160 --> 0:38:35.839 So I think for the young guys for the Bucks 0:38:35.840 --> 0:38:37.839 and think that is a pretty big break for them 0:38:37.880 --> 0:38:38.359 in this game. 0:38:38.800 --> 0:38:42.040 So the impact is more of the fact that it's 0:38:42.160 --> 0:38:44.759 the pandemic and we don't have the normal radio sort 0:38:44.800 --> 0:38:46.480 of stuff, not as much the home field. 0:38:46.760 --> 0:38:49.959 Yeah, I think it's much less distractions going this time around. 0:38:50.000 --> 0:38:51.399 And I think if you're the Tampa Bay Bucks, you'd 0:38:51.520 --> 0:38:54.680 rather have the Chiefs be distracted. You'd rather have that 0:38:55.480 --> 0:38:58.160 it's better for you, But it's worse because the Chiefs, 0:38:58.200 --> 0:39:00.640 just as you mentioned, will fly in. Two days before 0:39:00.640 --> 0:39:02.600 the game, went through a couple of workouts on the 0:39:02.600 --> 0:39:04.600 field and then go and that's bad news. 0:39:04.920 --> 0:39:07.399 Yeah, no, I agree, I agree with you. The home 0:39:07.400 --> 0:39:09.400 field means not. I mean, it's a great story, but 0:39:09.480 --> 0:39:11.399 if there were ever a year to have the home 0:39:11.440 --> 0:39:13.600 field for the super Bowl, this is not the year. 0:39:13.680 --> 0:39:13.960 This is. 0:39:14.120 --> 0:39:16.320 This is not I mean, it's good for Patrick Mahomes, 0:39:16.719 --> 0:39:19.799 of course, but certainly would have worked way more in 0:39:19.840 --> 0:39:22.360 their favor had there been real fans and all that 0:39:22.360 --> 0:39:24.680 sort of stuff. But anyway, we got a long time, 0:39:24.760 --> 0:39:26.920 long time to think about this. But again, focus on 0:39:26.960 --> 0:39:28.799 the player props. That's where all the fun is. So 0:39:28.840 --> 0:39:30.960 we'll be back again next week. We'll do a player 0:39:30.960 --> 0:39:33.279 prop episode because again there's a lot of them are 0:39:33.280 --> 0:39:36.120 out already anyway, so we'll be able to talk about 0:39:36.120 --> 0:39:38.520 them a little earlier than usual. And again we'll do 0:39:38.560 --> 0:39:41.680 a live stream on our YouTube channel, YouTube dot com 0:39:41.680 --> 0:39:42.560 slash Benning Presence and. 0:39:42.640 --> 0:39:44.879 They have before we go real quick. 0:39:45.280 --> 0:39:47.520 Yeah, so you can't see this stamp, but I'm wearing 0:39:47.560 --> 0:39:51.360 the Daily Juice T shirt. Yes, you guys are dming 0:39:51.400 --> 0:39:53.200 me and asking me how to buy these and how 0:39:53.200 --> 0:39:54.440 to buy the hoodies. 0:39:54.600 --> 0:39:54.920 Okay. 0:39:55.120 --> 0:40:00.560 Fantasypros dot Com slash shot correct, Fantasypros dot Com slash shop. 0:40:01.080 --> 0:40:03.759 You can't see me. Hold on, I'm gonna move my 0:40:03.920 --> 0:40:08.240 uh my microphone here. But I'm wearing a Fantasy Pros 0:40:08.400 --> 0:40:11.279 nice right now. Of course as we do it that 0:40:11.320 --> 0:40:11.759 they got it. 0:40:11.719 --> 0:40:12.240 So that stuff. 0:40:12.280 --> 0:40:14.279 If you're asking me, I'm getting like messages all the 0:40:14.280 --> 0:40:15.480 time like what hoody, we're gonna get it. 0:40:15.520 --> 0:40:17.600 What T shirt? We're gonna get it. That's where you 0:40:17.640 --> 0:40:18.319 go and get it, guys. 0:40:18.480 --> 0:40:21.319 Oh yeah, absolutely. Also, Betting Pros hats are new, as 0:40:21.640 --> 0:40:25.279 the hats now their hats for Betting Pros. I don't 0:40:25.280 --> 0:40:26.200 think the Juice hats yet. 0:40:26.200 --> 0:40:29.200 I think BP's BP hats are cool. 0:40:29.400 --> 0:40:31.839 Don't worry, but we're coming. We're coming tons of stuff. 0:40:31.840 --> 0:40:33.560 Don't worry. More and more every day. 0:40:33.440 --> 0:40:33.759 You know that. 0:40:33.800 --> 0:40:36.799 Every time we add something, somebody asks me for something else. Right, yeah, 0:40:36.960 --> 0:40:39.520 just keep now I've gotten I've got people saying they 0:40:39.520 --> 0:40:41.319 want long T shirts, long sleeve T shirt. 0:40:41.400 --> 0:40:43.480 Yes, yes, I'm gonna They're like where. 0:40:43.680 --> 0:40:46.680 And now the big boys are all mad because Triple 0:40:46.840 --> 0:40:48.880 X is the best. Is the biggest size. 0:40:48.680 --> 0:40:49.080 We go to. 0:40:49.560 --> 0:40:50.360 They need bigger. 0:40:50.560 --> 0:40:52.399 I'm like, dude, like what, like, I. 0:40:52.360 --> 0:40:53.520 Mean bigger than Triple X. 0:40:54.000 --> 0:40:55.600 They said they be big and tall. 0:40:56.480 --> 0:40:58.600 I was like, I don't do any of this stuff, guys, 0:40:58.640 --> 0:41:01.680 but like Triple X is pretty damn big, and I'm 0:41:01.719 --> 0:41:04.680 sorry I'm not in charge of this, but damn. 0:41:04.719 --> 0:41:06.560 All right, I'll see if we can get giant size. 0:41:06.560 --> 0:41:08.400 Don't worry, I'm on it. I'll see what the boys 0:41:08.400 --> 0:41:10.160 can do back there. But yeah, we're adding stuff again, 0:41:10.160 --> 0:41:13.520 Fantasypros dot Com, slash Shop, plenty of stuff there, and 0:41:13.560 --> 0:41:15.520 again We're going to be adding new stuff more and 0:41:15.600 --> 0:41:17.920 more all the time. But Matt, anything you get, anytime 0:41:17.920 --> 0:41:19.600 people ask you about it, just send it my way. 0:41:19.640 --> 0:41:21.560 I'll see what I can do to get things up 0:41:21.560 --> 0:41:24.279 and running. And they are. I was looking at the 0:41:24.360 --> 0:41:26.560 numbers today. They are some of our Daily Juice are 0:41:26.600 --> 0:41:28.520 definitely some of our best sellers. So it's nice to 0:41:28.560 --> 0:41:32.360 see that our listeners are really coming out to support. 0:41:32.440 --> 0:41:34.359 All Right, Anyway, we'll be back next week talking about 0:41:34.360 --> 0:41:36.759 player props again. Don't forget YouTube dot com slash Betting 0:41:36.760 --> 0:41:38.800 pro subscribe so you don't miss it. We'll be talking 0:41:38.800 --> 0:41:41.160 about props big day on the Super Bowl, for sure. 0:41:41.200 --> 0:41:44.800 You're going to want tune into that. Until then, just relax, 0:41:45.000 --> 0:41:47.120 enjoy it, don't rush to bet anything or anything like that. 0:41:47.200 --> 0:41:49.440 Take your time, survey the props, and we'll talk to 0:41:49.440 --> 0:42:04.000 you next week.