Speaker 1: Hit.
Speaker 2: Everybody. Welcome back to another episode of the Betting PRESIDENTL Podcast.
Speaker 2: I'm your host Dan Harris, with me is Matt Perrault.
Speaker 2: Find us on Twitter at Dan Harris Adi and at
Speaker 2: Sports Talk Matt Matt super Bowl. I mean we did
Speaker 2: not have we did not have Javagship Weekend. Now, Matt,
Speaker 2: we did not have those games. Now we can just
Speaker 2: be honest about it, right, I mean, oh, we didn't
Speaker 2: have it.
Speaker 3: I need January to end. I need this month to
Speaker 3: go away, because this is I'm looking forward to closing
Speaker 3: the book on the play on the football season because
Speaker 3: you know, college football saved me on weekends like that,
Speaker 3: and without college football to kind of save my tail,
Speaker 3: that's not been fun. And it's just been sort of
Speaker 3: this falling down the stairs to the end eventually you
Speaker 3: hit the ground because well you were on a stairs
Speaker 3: to fall down. So okay, basically what I'm doing here
Speaker 3: with the NFL season.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean talking about it last week, we basically said, Okay,
Speaker 2: I think what we can see is like I can
Speaker 2: see a scenario where one of these games is a blowout,
Speaker 2: and if it is, it's the Packers blowing out the
Speaker 2: Bucks and then Bills plus nine. The fact that the
Speaker 2: Chiefs picked that game against a hot, hot Bills team
Speaker 2: with Patrick Mahomes hobbled by that toe to suddenly just
Speaker 2: basically completely destroy I mean they could You felt like
Speaker 2: they could have put up five hundred points if they
Speaker 2: really wanted to done absolutely whatever they wanted, They could
Speaker 2: have won that game by you know, twenty five points
Speaker 2: they really wanted to just nuts. Man.
Speaker 3: Now, it's hard to say this in sports because on
Speaker 3: most in most sports, when you get to the championship round,
Speaker 3: you can't throw the switch right right. But for whatever reason,
Speaker 3: this Kanasty team has the ability to do that. They
Speaker 3: can just throw the switch if they want to. They
Speaker 3: just go out there and chuck it up and that's it.
Speaker 1: It's over.
Speaker 3: And that's the most scariest thing about this upcoming Super
Speaker 3: Bowl is that you just don't know if they're gonna
Speaker 3: throw the switch again.
Speaker 1: And if they do, uh oh yeah.
Speaker 2: Well let's talk about it. So here's what we're gonna do.
Speaker 2: This is we are recording this. You know, we usually
Speaker 2: record the shows on Thursday Thursday night with the games
Speaker 2: on Sunday. We want to do here. Obviously, we have
Speaker 2: the week off since the super Bowl isn't until next Sunday.
Speaker 2: So what we're doing here is we're gonna go through
Speaker 2: the opening lines. They're not even quite as opening because
Speaker 2: they've moved a little bit, and I'll note that from
Speaker 2: when they immediately opened right after. But our instant reaction
Speaker 2: to this what we think they're gonna do. If we
Speaker 2: think if you want to bet it, when you should
Speaker 2: bet it, and what you should do with it, how
Speaker 2: if we have a lean on any of the lines,
Speaker 2: and then next week we'll do a prop episode where
Speaker 2: we'll do it, and on Super Bowl Sunday we'll have
Speaker 2: more details for this. We'll put it up on Twitter,
Speaker 2: we'll publicize it, will make sure you guys know. We're
Speaker 2: gonna do a nice live stream where we're gonna be
Speaker 2: giving away some awesome prizes. We're gonna talk about prop
Speaker 2: we're gonna talk what all sorts of good stuff that'll
Speaker 2: be in our YouTube channel YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros.
Speaker 2: But for now, Matt, let's talk about it. We've got
Speaker 2: a super Bowl. As you may have heard by now, people,
Speaker 2: this is the first time ever that a Super Bowl
Speaker 2: has been played in the stadium of one of the
Speaker 2: teams that is playing in the Super Bowl. It's a
Speaker 2: home game essentially for the Bucks. Although Matt, you and
Speaker 2: I will talk a little bit and you might have
Speaker 2: more insight into this about just how much of a
Speaker 2: home game other than being comfortable in the stadium. It's
Speaker 2: going to be the line right now, the consensus line
Speaker 2: on bettingpros dot com, which I'm looking at is minus
Speaker 2: three now. Yesterday night I looked at it and it
Speaker 2: looked like it was bouncing around between minus three and
Speaker 2: minus three point five. That's the Chiefs laying three to
Speaker 2: the Bucks or the Chiefs laying three and a half
Speaker 2: to the Bucks. The total right now when I looked
Speaker 2: at it last night was fifty seven and a half.
Speaker 2: That was the highest ever for a Super Bowl. It
Speaker 2: is now down to fifty six and a half as
Speaker 2: the consensus lines, and I believe that that is lower
Speaker 2: than what the Falcons and the Patriots ended up at,
Speaker 2: which I believe was fifty seven. And the money line
Speaker 2: right now out the consensus lign is the Chiefs minus
Speaker 2: one seventy and the Bucks plus one forty five. So, Matt,
Speaker 2: all of it, whatever you want to talk about, what's
Speaker 2: just your reaction to the line. Does it feel right overall?
Speaker 2: You know any any value that you see on either side?
Speaker 1: No, I don't see any value.
Speaker 3: And this is why the game was played in this
Speaker 3: stadium between these two teams.
Speaker 1: The line was three and a half. It fell three.
Speaker 2: I remember, Matt, if you remember, you and I were
Speaker 2: on curferent sides of that game. I like the Bucks,
Speaker 2: you like the Chiefs. Yes, yep.
Speaker 1: So we have seen this game.
Speaker 2: Yep.
Speaker 3: It's been played in this stadium. We have seen these
Speaker 3: two quarterbacks, We've seen these two defenses. We saw the
Speaker 3: Chiefs put up twenty one points in the first half
Speaker 3: and then basically just coast and say, okay, we won.
Speaker 1: Who cares?
Speaker 2: Yep.
Speaker 3: From a book making perspective, this number is cemented, it
Speaker 3: will go three, three and a half.
Speaker 1: That's it.
Speaker 3: There will not be any big line move. I don't
Speaker 3: care if a million dollar comes in here on one
Speaker 3: side of the other. You were not going to see
Speaker 3: the books go over three to two and a half,
Speaker 3: three and a half. It's just that is the maximum
Speaker 3: you're going to see here. We're not getting a four.
Speaker 3: I doubt you're getting a two and a half. That
Speaker 3: would be a shocker if we went to two and
Speaker 3: a half. But this is going to be a line
Speaker 3: where the book is very comfortable where the line is.
Speaker 1: They're going to move the.
Speaker 3: Total because of how big it is, and you could
Speaker 3: see a lot of money coming on the under. I
Speaker 3: think if the puppet gets involved, they're going to bet
Speaker 3: the over, And if I had a gun to my head,
Speaker 3: I would bet the over, even though it took overtime
Speaker 3: for the Patriots and the Falcons to get there. When
Speaker 3: their line was fifty seven. It got to sixty two
Speaker 3: as the final closing number, but that was because of
Speaker 3: the James White touchdown and overtime. So I just think
Speaker 3: right now, I'm not going to play a side or
Speaker 3: a total on this game, even though even if I
Speaker 3: was hot, even if I was going well, I wouldn't
Speaker 3: play this. The reason is I would take the Chiefs. Okay,
Speaker 3: if I had to bet it, I'd take the Chiefs. However,
Speaker 3: I had the Bucks losing to the Washington football team,
Speaker 3: the Bucks losing to the Saints, I the Bucks losing
Speaker 3: last week to the Packers, not doing it in the
Speaker 3: super Bowl. I'm not betting against Tom Brady in the
Speaker 3: Super Bowl, not against Gronkowski and not against this defense,
Speaker 3: which has insane They call it puck luck in hockey,
Speaker 3: it's turnover luck. Okay, these guys are having insane turnover luck,
Speaker 3: and they're getting more turnovers in the postseason than they
Speaker 3: had by a ways in the regular season.
Speaker 1: For those reasons.
Speaker 3: Even though I think Casey wins, if you have two
Speaker 3: turnovers against the Chiefs, that's when Patrick Mahomes loses. I
Speaker 3: think the record is seven and four, and Patrick Mahomes
Speaker 3: has two or more turnovers in the NFL. It's still
Speaker 3: pretty good, but it's seven and four for a Mahomes
Speaker 3: team where he doesn't lose very often. If the Bucks
Speaker 3: are going to win, that turnover luck is gonna have
Speaker 3: to continue.
Speaker 2: So let me ask you something, Matt, just as a
Speaker 2: general sort of because you know, I mean, I think
Speaker 2: I know the answer to this, but I people listening aren't.
Speaker 2: Is tuned into the betting world most most times, Matt,
Speaker 2: if there's line movement or anything like that, like a
Speaker 2: lot of times, it's on probably based on at least
Speaker 2: more on sharp action or people who know what they're
Speaker 2: doing the public, though in this I don't that's not
Speaker 2: what the Super Bowl lines really do, does it? Like,
Speaker 2: I feel like because there's so much public betting on
Speaker 2: it that it's not like, well, the sharps are on
Speaker 2: this side, do the books really care? Oh at this point?
Speaker 1: Oh yeah they do.
Speaker 3: In the Super Bowl, Yeah yeah, yeah, yeah. The first
Speaker 3: move is always the most important move. Now, remember what
Speaker 3: happened when the Patriots played the Eagles. The first move
Speaker 3: was on the Eagles. All that money came in on
Speaker 3: the Eagles early. What happened, Eagles won outright, but the
Speaker 3: Patriots are won six and a half point favorites when
Speaker 3: it opened. I think the line closed at like four
Speaker 3: and a half for the Patriots for the against the Eagles.
Speaker 3: Eagles won the game outright. The first move always matters.
Speaker 3: The first big bets always come in when there is
Speaker 3: value the syndicates and they want closing line value. They
Speaker 3: want that first number that gets put up because they
Speaker 3: want to hammer it. That's why there's you know, there's
Speaker 3: some homogenization of the first line that goes up, but
Speaker 3: oftentimes it's only a point, half a point.
Speaker 1: It's pretty much in the same region.
Speaker 3: Everyone was three or three and a half plasted across
Speaker 3: the board.
Speaker 1: Nobody had four, nobody had two and a half.
Speaker 3: Everyone came up with the same number because the game
Speaker 3: was just played with the Chiefs miles three and a
Speaker 3: half at Tampa and the game fell three. So even
Speaker 3: though I can easily see the Chiefs winning this game
Speaker 3: by seven, I can also see the Tampa Bay Bucks
Speaker 3: coming back and getting more luck and more turnovers and
Speaker 3: turning those turns into points and the Bucks winning it.
Speaker 3: I'm a top I'm a Tom Brady guy. I'm a
Speaker 3: Patriot fan. I'm gonna cheer for Brady. I would love
Speaker 3: to see number seven. And I have a long standing
Speaker 3: feud with chief fans. So I'm all in on the
Speaker 3: Buccaneers coming up this weekend.
Speaker 2: All right?
Speaker 1: So or next weekend?
Speaker 2: I I right, next weekend?
Speaker 1: Right.
Speaker 2: I have a bunch of different thoughts right now. Like
Speaker 2: my instinct just says, just from watching the games, is
Speaker 2: that you cannot possible beat this Chiefs team unless Patrick
Speaker 2: Mahomes gets injured. It isn't I can't in a in
Speaker 2: a must win game, you can't beat him. Like, I
Speaker 2: just don't understand how when you have Kelsey and you
Speaker 2: have Hill and you have Patrick Mahomes. I just don't
Speaker 2: see how you stop that offense with a and.
Speaker 3: You have a horrible secondary that incredibly the Packers could
Speaker 3: not move the football on.
Speaker 1: I don't.
Speaker 3: I still can't figure out what the hell happened in
Speaker 3: that game.
Speaker 2: Yeah, it really as best I could I could say,
Speaker 2: is that, you know, they they decided they were gonna
Speaker 2: essentially take away Stefan Diggs that that's basically where they
Speaker 2: put it. Look, they're good, I mean, oh the pack
Speaker 2: I'm sorry why the Packers couldn't move the ball against
Speaker 2: the box?
Speaker 1: Yeah?
Speaker 2: Is that what you're saying?
Speaker 3: No, I'm sorry, yeah, but both but yeah, but both ways. Sorry, Yes,
Speaker 3: I I skipped over it, Yes, I I I still
Speaker 3: can't figure out. You know, that secondary for the for
Speaker 3: Tampa Bay is bad. And I can't figure out how
Speaker 3: the Packers.
Speaker 2: Didn't lost their safeties in the game, and.
Speaker 3: In Winfield didn't play either. Right, So that's why I
Speaker 3: can't figure out. Because I think the Chiefs are going
Speaker 3: to have an absolute field day right like they did
Speaker 3: the first time. Remember the whole flipping of the end
Speaker 3: zone thing. Sure, I think Hill is going to be
Speaker 3: doing a couple of those coming up.
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, I'm right. So there's a bunch of things
Speaker 2: I'm kind of I'm all over the place a little bit.
Speaker 2: So I think, like, here's my thing. The first my
Speaker 2: first instinct on it, like when the game came out
Speaker 2: and I knew, like I don't know about you, Matt,
Speaker 2: when I knew when it became clear that it was
Speaker 2: going to be the Chiefs in the Bucks. Three is
Speaker 2: what I thought. I thought minus three would be the line.
Speaker 2: I don't know if that's what you thought, because that,
Speaker 2: yeah struck me.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I thought three and a half because I think
Speaker 3: that they would want to try to entice some money
Speaker 3: on tipa bay. Yeah, so I thought three and a
Speaker 3: half would be the number. But yeah, right there, three
Speaker 3: three and a half.
Speaker 2: Right, First of all, I will say again, you guys know,
Speaker 2: if you've listened to this, I'm in New Hampshire. The
Speaker 2: only book I can bet out of Draft Kings, it
Speaker 2: is still three and a half. At Draft it's three
Speaker 2: most it's our consensus line is three. It's three at
Speaker 2: bet MGM, it's three at Fandle, it's three at william Hill.
Speaker 2: But it is three and a half.
Speaker 3: And you know why that is though, right, Why Patriot
Speaker 3: Money DraftKings is in different books if it's Johnny Velli
Speaker 3: know Jhonnavella knows what's going to come into England on.
Speaker 2: When you want to move it then towards the Chiefs.
Speaker 2: Am I crazy?
Speaker 3: You know you want you want because they think Chiefs
Speaker 3: are gonna win that game pretty big.
Speaker 2: Oh. I see they want the money to come in,
Speaker 2: correct it.
Speaker 3: Oh, I see they want people to take the Bucks
Speaker 3: on the hook is what they want.
Speaker 2: I see. I thought what you were saying is they're
Speaker 2: expecting a ton of money to come in, regardless on Brady.
Speaker 2: So if that's the case, if you're saying like whatever,
Speaker 2: but it sounds more like, you know, it's New England.
Speaker 2: They're expecting people to want, like the excuse almost to
Speaker 2: bet on Tom Brady. If they're giving them the hook,
Speaker 2: their likes, I don't care.
Speaker 3: Yeah, That's why I think Johnny Vella was fine. I
Speaker 3: think that that could be the narrative across the entire country.
Speaker 3: I'm not putting it against Brady and mahomes Is tow
Speaker 3: and we're gonna make all these different I mean, I
Speaker 3: think there's a real potential here that this game is
Speaker 3: a disaster for the Bucks. But I'm not going to
Speaker 3: bet it. Oh, But I think that the blowout potential.
Speaker 3: I've been saying this and I might end up going
Speaker 3: this way. I'm the kiss of.
Speaker 1: Death right now.
Speaker 3: So if you're a cheap you don't want me to
Speaker 3: do this, But I'm gonna cheer for Brady and bet
Speaker 3: the chiefs.
Speaker 2: Matt. How many games have the Bucks lost by more
Speaker 2: than three points? This here?
Speaker 1: This year? This year?
Speaker 2: Don't you can just guests number? They've lost two, both
Speaker 2: to the Saints. That's it. Everyone lost.
Speaker 1: What was the what was the loss to the Raiders?
Speaker 1: It was?
Speaker 2: It was, uh, the from the the Bucks. I'm saying,
Speaker 2: how many how many games has the Bucks lost by
Speaker 2: more than three points? Is here? The Bucks?
Speaker 1: Oh? Okay? Yeah, both to the Saints? Right, Both those
Speaker 1: blow losses, right? Correct?
Speaker 2: The other losses now they kept it within three points,
Speaker 2: they don't get And one of them was the first
Speaker 2: game of the year, which I throw out like that
Speaker 2: second game against the Saints. Fine, yeah, that's fine, the
Speaker 2: first game, right, I mean they hadn't even practiced together
Speaker 2: or whatever like that. They don't get blown out. So
Speaker 2: I get it why people are sitting here wanting to
Speaker 2: take the Bucks. But I there's a zero I'll say this,
Speaker 2: there's a zero percent I will bet the Bucks on
Speaker 2: this if the line comes down to three at DraftKings,
Speaker 2: because that's the general consensus. I'll probably put it on
Speaker 2: the Chiefs because again, I don't see how you stop
Speaker 2: the Chiefs at this point whatsoever. And the Bucks. Matt, Look, dude,
Speaker 2: you correct me if I'm wrong. Okay, we watch these games.
Speaker 2: We're objective, we're betting on them and everything like that.
Speaker 2: I haven't been like, oh man, the Bucks are an
Speaker 2: incredible football team right now. They're amazing. I mean, Brady
Speaker 2: tried whatever he could to give that game back. Brady's amazing. Okay,
Speaker 2: Brady's the Goats Gray's of all time. Single handedly has
Speaker 2: basically turned that entire franchise around.
Speaker 1: Can we talk about that for one second.
Speaker 3: Yeah, because I think there's one thing that this goes
Speaker 3: back to the luck factor. Okay, let's just rewind the
Speaker 3: game for a second and play it out as to
Speaker 3: what actually.
Speaker 1: Happened before the first half.
Speaker 3: The throat that I think everyone's gonna remember is the
Speaker 3: catch to Scottie Miller. Okay, yep, King for the Packers
Speaker 3: play the worst game I've seen by a cornerback, maybe
Speaker 3: in the postseason, maybe ever he got beat on the
Speaker 3: first touchdown to Mike Evans, he got beat on the
Speaker 3: Scotty Miller over the top, and he was the one
Speaker 3: who pulled on Tyler Johnson's jersey to get the flag
Speaker 3: at the end of the game. Okay, so three plays,
Speaker 3: all incredibly important, all awful on his part. He miss
Speaker 3: timed his jump on the first touchdown, he let Miller
Speaker 3: get behind him, and then you pull on a jersey
Speaker 3: that was so obvious they had to call it because
Speaker 3: it never should have been called. But fine, they called it.
Speaker 3: So I rate that that call was made. But fine,
Speaker 3: the call was made.
Speaker 2: Yep.
Speaker 3: The play before the Scotty Miller play, the safety comes
Speaker 3: over and the ball goes through his hands. Brady should
Speaker 3: have been picked off four times in that game, and
Speaker 3: then that touchdown doesn't happen, and the chances of the
Speaker 3: Packers winning that game goes up exponentially. That touchdown at
Speaker 3: the end of the first half was the deciding score
Speaker 3: in the entire game. And here we're sitting here talking
Speaker 3: about Tom Brady throwing four picks and Aaron Rodgers beating
Speaker 3: Tom Brady to go to the Super Bowl.
Speaker 2: Yep.
Speaker 3: So that's why I would be careful here about buying
Speaker 3: into this Tampa Bay team because I do think and look,
Speaker 3: teams get hot, teams go on runs, and Tom Brady's
Speaker 3: damn lucky go through the Super Bowl. Okay, Tom Brady
Speaker 3: is five and five straight up in the ten games
Speaker 3: he's played in. He's five and five against the number
Speaker 3: six and three straight up five and five ats. And
Speaker 3: the reason is he gave two leads to his defense
Speaker 3: against the Giants and they coughed it up and blew it.
Speaker 3: He also got real lucky when the Falcons decided not
Speaker 3: to run the football and throw the ball when they
Speaker 3: were up twenty eight to three.
Speaker 1: That let them come back, and.
Speaker 3: Pete Carroll makes a really stupid call, same with the
Speaker 3: offensive coordinator, bad throw interception with the goal line. Patriots
Speaker 3: win that Super Bowl. So there's a lot of luck
Speaker 3: in team sport. You know, football is a team sport.
Speaker 3: But people are gonna buy into this Brady thing a
Speaker 3: little bit too much. I want him to win. I'm
Speaker 3: just I don't think I'm wrong to say the picking
Speaker 3: against this team three straight games was the right decision
Speaker 3: because of they've I mean, look at it was twenty
Speaker 3: to twenty in the fourth quarter against the Saints and Jared.
Speaker 1: Cook fummost the football.
Speaker 3: Yeah, if he doesn't do that in the score a
Speaker 3: field goal or a touchdown, they might win the game
Speaker 3: instead to ten ozer run and two more picks, free
Speaker 3: more picks really from a noodle armed quarterback who couldn't
Speaker 3: throw the ball down the field in crunch time after
Speaker 3: playing the whole game, and we're finding out how many
Speaker 3: injuries Drew Brees had, which were like ridiculous.
Speaker 1: Right, I'm with you.
Speaker 3: I just I don't think this team's that great. Right,
Speaker 3: and again that fans might hate me for saying that, but.
Speaker 2: Well let's let's let's you know, let's make it clear.
Speaker 2: Of course, like Tom Brady is even at his advancedtage, Yeah,
Speaker 2: forget about his history, obviously, the goat. Even at his
Speaker 2: advanced age, he's he's an excellent quarterback. Okay, he's not
Speaker 2: one of the best quarterbacks in the league. The mental
Speaker 2: side of the game, he's still great. But yeah, this
Speaker 2: is what I'm saying is that. And I was on
Speaker 2: them the first two rounds. I picked against some of
Speaker 2: the Packers, but I had them to beat the Saints.
Speaker 2: That was one of the ones that you and I
Speaker 2: disagreed on I had them to be the Saints and
Speaker 2: I had them to beat Washington, although I teased it
Speaker 2: down in terms of the points spread. But I've been
Speaker 2: watching them. I've been watching them closely, and I think
Speaker 2: they're a very good football team. I do. I think
Speaker 2: they're a very good football team. They're in the super Bowl.
Speaker 2: You really don't get there unless you are. But I'm
Speaker 2: just your point. The way you broke down yesterday, I
Speaker 2: think is absolutely correct, which is that touchdown right on
Speaker 2: the last play, essentially the last play left one second left,
Speaker 2: but the last play the half never should have happened. Ever,
Speaker 2: it was basically like the Greg Williams call against the Raiders.
Speaker 2: You left King out there alone by himself. Miller just
Speaker 2: ran right by him for that touchdown. That doesn't happen.
Speaker 2: Who knows if the game is different. Aaron Jones fumbled
Speaker 2: like you know, you expecting the Packers to get the
Speaker 2: ball right out of the half. He fumbled, Then he's
Speaker 2: out for the game. Brady threw pretty bad intercepting. I mean,
Speaker 2: the deep one to Evans was way too inside. The
Speaker 2: other one obviously they could have scored a touch and
Speaker 2: that was too high. Maybe you make that catch, maybe
Speaker 2: you don't, whatever, but they have not. They easily could
Speaker 2: have lost one of these games. And look, the Chiefs
Speaker 2: could have lost to the Browns, but that was really
Speaker 2: without Patrick Mahomes. Essentially, it's this is just something where
Speaker 2: I think the Chiefs are a much better football team
Speaker 2: in this scenario. So it is something where there's no
Speaker 2: way I could bet on the Bucks. And I'm hoping
Speaker 2: the DraftKings moves it down to three and then I'll
Speaker 2: probably fire something on the Chiefs. But again, before this
Speaker 2: game that we talked about it forever, Chiefs don't blow
Speaker 2: anybody out, like they just don't. They let every team
Speaker 2: hang around. They don't cover the spread.
Speaker 1: Whatsoever except the Bills.
Speaker 2: Except the Bills when you and I teased it up
Speaker 2: by the way nine right where they were like great.
Speaker 2: And there's a couple of things, Okay, so let's just
Speaker 2: talk let's break down other than this, Well, let's break
Speaker 2: down a couple of things about the game. Number One,
Speaker 2: we know Andy Reid generally speaking off of bye play
Speaker 2: as well, has his guys ready to go. I don't
Speaker 2: know how much of a difference it's gonna make at
Speaker 2: this point, but we assume Sammy Watkins is probably going
Speaker 2: to be back since he was close to playing in
Speaker 2: this game. Necessarily get another you know, week of recovery
Speaker 2: for Clyde Edwards Hileiro, though Derel Williams is running better something.
Speaker 2: I don't know how much you put into this at
Speaker 2: this point because usually, you know, offensive linemen, especially good
Speaker 2: one when they're out that really hurts a team. Eric
Speaker 2: Fisher is not going to play in the Super Bowl
Speaker 2: two of it, yeah, correct, Eric Fisher really kind of
Speaker 2: the big one especially, But I don't know how much
Speaker 2: it matters with Mahomes, Like, I just don't I know,
Speaker 2: his mobility is limited, but he looked fine. I mean,
Speaker 2: you know, he didn't look like he's ready to take
Speaker 2: off and run for forty yards, but he looks fine.
Speaker 1: So, oh, he looks fine.
Speaker 3: But I also think there's a real chance they just
Speaker 3: go Brian Dabble on this, yeah, and they scrap the
Speaker 3: running attack and they just say, look, we're not going
Speaker 3: to run the ball because we can't. We're just going
Speaker 3: to protect Patrick Mahomes and pass down because you can't
Speaker 3: cover us.
Speaker 1: Yeah.
Speaker 3: So I think there's a real chance that Mahomes, I
Speaker 3: mean we'll get into it later in the prop bets.
Speaker 3: But I just think I think there's a chance Mahome
Speaker 3: just throws for a stupid amount of yards. Sure, and
Speaker 3: just I mean, I think Mahomes puts up a number
Speaker 3: that is just going to be god like. I wouldn't
Speaker 3: be surprised if Patrick Mahomes throws for three hundred and
Speaker 3: fifty yards in four touchdowns.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I just think he.
Speaker 1: I think he's gonna torch this defense.
Speaker 3: And I again, going back to April when I lost
Speaker 3: my mind on the Packers selecting Jordan Love, I simply
Speaker 3: cannot get over the fact that they blew a first
Speaker 3: round pick for a player that may not play even.
Speaker 1: Next year for the Packers. I mean, King could have
Speaker 1: been replaced by a safety. They could have drafted an
Speaker 1: Tony Winfield.
Speaker 3: Winfield could have been on that field, Nott King, they
Speaker 3: could have gotten in safety. They could have gotten somebody
Speaker 3: on the back end, a linebacker. I mean Queen got
Speaker 3: drafted right bright afterwards, I mean they had They could
Speaker 3: have gotten t Higgins. I mean, they could have gotten
Speaker 3: Michael Pittman. I mean, there's so many guys that could
Speaker 3: have drafted. Instead, they took a quarterback who may not
Speaker 3: play in twenty twenty one, and it was the biggest
Speaker 3: wasted first round pick for a team that went to
Speaker 3: back to back NFC Championship games.
Speaker 2: Yep.
Speaker 3: And it's just like, I'm so if I'm Aaron Rodgers,
Speaker 3: I'm so mad, because of course he needed Demante Adams
Speaker 3: needed somebody to take the pressure off. He needed somebody else,
Speaker 3: and there just wasn't anybody else to help him.
Speaker 2: Well, don't forget. Look they're they're you know, they also
Speaker 2: took Dylan who's a fine running back, but he you know,
Speaker 2: he doesn't you had Aaron Jones right now like they needed.
Speaker 2: They ignored this year of course, and Roder Still, they
Speaker 2: still got to thirteen and three and they could have
Speaker 2: won that game and gone to the Super Bowl.
Speaker 1: So NBP season, I know. And then after the game
Speaker 1: it's like, are you gonna come back? Basically he's like,
Speaker 1: I don't know.
Speaker 2: I know, I you know, I I for me, I
Speaker 2: think that's just like a he was devastated and he
Speaker 2: just kind of is like, uh, the gout to think
Speaker 2: of things. But whatever. All that to say, we've got
Speaker 2: plenty of time to analyze that. Here's how I feel
Speaker 2: about the game number one. However you feel about it,
Speaker 2: I don't think you need to bet it right now.
Speaker 2: Like that's why I mean, I guess, Matt, if you
Speaker 2: like the Chiefs, maybe you take them now in three
Speaker 2: because it's possible that the books go to three and
Speaker 2: a half.
Speaker 3: They'll be able to find three. All right, I mean
Speaker 3: you'll be able to it's not gonna move. I mean
Speaker 3: it's everyone. I talked to everyone that was on my show,
Speaker 3: all the book makers. Everyone is saying, it's a really
Speaker 3: easy line. It's just three.
Speaker 1: Yes, they just put it up. It's three, and they're good.
Speaker 1: Maybe three and a half, but they're good.
Speaker 3: I mean they may go to three and a half
Speaker 3: if they need to get some buck money, but go
Speaker 3: to three and a half yea, then they'll go back
Speaker 3: down to three. Like it's just from a book making perspective,
Speaker 3: the line itself. They're very comfortable where it is, and
Speaker 3: they're comfortable on the two way action.
Speaker 1: They're going to receive the total. I think if you're
Speaker 1: looking for.
Speaker 3: An over under bet, I think that's where the volatility
Speaker 3: is going to come in.
Speaker 2: Okay, So where do you think it goes?
Speaker 1: Man? Because right now, down for six down and then
Speaker 1: the public will bet it back up.
Speaker 2: Okay, all right, so I guess I.
Speaker 3: Think the ceiling is fifty five would be my guess.
Speaker 3: I think you'll start to see it come down as
Speaker 3: the week goes on. You'll see more and more people
Speaker 3: make a case that the Chief's going to kick field
Speaker 3: goals and that you know, Tom Brady might not be
Speaker 3: able to because historically speaking, Brady and Super Bowls has
Speaker 3: not scored a ton. So you know, just look at
Speaker 3: you know, just where he is and again post you know,
Speaker 3: the last nine crazy to say that us nine super
Speaker 3: Bowls for Brady. It doesn't matter because he's not with
Speaker 3: that team anymore. He's with Bruce Arians. I'm real concerned
Speaker 3: about Bruce Arians. I'm gonna say right now, I'm real
Speaker 3: concerned about him. I'm really concerned that Andy Reid's gonna
Speaker 3: absolutely torch that guy in coach circles around him. Todd
Speaker 3: Bowles has been tremendous and he's probably the biggest saving
Speaker 3: grace for Bruce Arians to keep him from really like
Speaker 3: completely blowing this. And I think they owe him a
Speaker 3: big raise that they keep him, because that guy could
Speaker 3: get a head coaching job and he's.
Speaker 2: You know what's so funny is said Bulls. And again,
Speaker 2: I you know, I have a very very close friend
Speaker 2: who's a huge Bucks fan, and so we basically after
Speaker 2: the game, we have like an hour phone call every
Speaker 2: time just kind of dissect the game. That first game
Speaker 2: against Washington, he was screaming about Bulls because you know,
Speaker 2: Heineke was throwing, you know, doing what guys were wide
Speaker 2: open right in the game. And again, I think that
Speaker 2: that was much more just because they prepared for Alex Smith, right,
Speaker 2: I think they thought Alex Smith was going to play,
Speaker 2: and they were not prepared for somebody to just be
Speaker 2: slinging down the field and no one's seen.
Speaker 1: That guy play really so right game tap my kid exactly.
Speaker 2: But yeah, what they did in this last game against Packers,
Speaker 2: against the Saints, and again especially against the Packers with
Speaker 2: all the injuries. So Igreen Bowles was a coach of
Speaker 2: the Jets, and I didn't love him then, but he's
Speaker 2: he's done a really good job the last Look, some.
Speaker 1: Guys are DC's and they shouldn't be head coaches. He's
Speaker 1: one of them.
Speaker 3: He shouldn't be a head coach. He's a great defensive mind,
Speaker 3: focus on defense. And look, if Jason Pierre Paul plays
Speaker 3: like he did against Aaron Rodgers against Tom Brady, Britty's
Speaker 3: in trouble. I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean
Speaker 3: Mahomes could be in trouble because he's running around like
Speaker 3: the giant version of j Brady. So that to me
Speaker 3: is a significant factor if they can get pressure on Mahomes.
Speaker 3: The difference is Rodgers for whatever reason his I don't
Speaker 3: want to say he aged before our eyes, but he
Speaker 3: doesn't have that quickness he once did to get out
Speaker 3: of the pocket his first couple of steps, and he
Speaker 3: clearly doesn't trust himself to outrun defensive lineman or he
Speaker 3: would have ran it on third and nine to go
Speaker 3: to the pylon or try to get down to the
Speaker 3: one yard line.
Speaker 2: Yeah, that was row shocking to everybody.
Speaker 3: I know, yep, that throat because but but like if
Speaker 3: you look at the tape and run it, it's because
Speaker 3: he sees JPP and he made a business decision. He
Speaker 3: made His decision was do I want to run for
Speaker 3: the pylon with Jason Pierre Paul running me down from behind,
Speaker 3: or do I want to try to squeeze it in
Speaker 3: a tight window to DeVante Adams at the goal line
Speaker 3: and hope that Adams can beat two defenders and come
Speaker 3: up with the football, and he couldn't. So if JPP
Speaker 3: is running like this and playing the way that he
Speaker 3: is or he did in that game, you know he
Speaker 3: could run down Mahomes. He could be a problem in
Speaker 3: the game. And if Mahomes his toe is not healthy,
Speaker 3: then maybe there is something there. But I think after
Speaker 3: two weeks having Mahomes rest, that toe is going to
Speaker 3: be pretty big.
Speaker 2: I mean, I guess the way I put it, the
Speaker 2: way I think about it is any team can beat
Speaker 2: any team if you're going to get crazy breaks at
Speaker 2: anything or special teams plays. Other than that, though, I
Speaker 2: really just I cannot see the Chiefs losing this game.
Speaker 3: If Brady throws jump balls like he's been throwing all year,
Speaker 3: it's going to be a route.
Speaker 2: The thing is, it was also crazy, Like I'm and again,
Speaker 2: I was texting with my buddy, who is just screaming
Speaker 2: about the fact, you know, you're sitting on this lead.
Speaker 2: It's a pretty substantial lead at one point, and arians
Speaker 2: is still taking these huge shots downfield like all day
Speaker 2: long instead of just kind of you know, running shorter passes,
Speaker 2: chewing up the clock. It's just non stop shots downfield,
Speaker 2: regardless of the game situation. That doesn't work against the Chiefs.
Speaker 2: The Chiefs kind of funnel everything to the middle. So
Speaker 2: again when we talk about props, and you know, I
Speaker 2: usually like the Godwin over props, and this last one
Speaker 2: I thought, really thought should have hit. As we both
Speaker 2: sort of talked about over and half receptions.
Speaker 3: Dropped two balls in the first half, clear that had it.
Speaker 3: I mean there were numerous plays that kid. Jeez, that
Speaker 3: was bad.
Speaker 2: He's got a lot of drops right now. You look
Speaker 2: at his career, it's like, I do know, seven drops
Speaker 2: in the playoffs or something crazy. But look, they don't
Speaker 2: they you saw with Diggs, you know, they take away.
Speaker 2: They're very good against wide receiver Spignelo, you know, and
Speaker 2: he's done well against Brady obviously, but his scheme is good.
Speaker 2: He funnels everything a little bit towards. You saw Cole
Speaker 2: Beasley on a broken leg apparently was you know, still
Speaker 2: getting his and everything like that. They're okay that. So
Speaker 2: I think Godwin in the middle of field will be fine.
Speaker 2: But I think at the are going to continue to
Speaker 2: take these giant shots down the field. They're just not
Speaker 2: going to have that much success against the Chiefs. And
Speaker 2: I think, really regardless, throw it all out, like what
Speaker 2: to beat the Chiefs, you have to make it so
Speaker 2: that there is a we've talked about it, a zero
Speaker 2: percent chance that Patrick Mahomes can beat you with anything,
Speaker 2: you know, more than thirty seconds left, because if you
Speaker 2: if you leave that, that's done. I mean, Tyreek Hill
Speaker 2: can take a slant, you know, eighty five yards or whatever,
Speaker 2: and just they're they're two goods. So for me, there's
Speaker 2: no I mean, I'm waiting if it comes down to
Speaker 2: three at DraftKings again, that's one of the few books
Speaker 2: that's still at three and a half right now. If
Speaker 2: it comes down to three, I'm going to bet it
Speaker 2: because I think the Chiefs are gonna win. I may
Speaker 2: sprinkle on the Chief's money line, which again that is
Speaker 2: a little more favorable. It's minus one sixty seven. The
Speaker 2: consensus line is one seventy William Hills one seventy. So
Speaker 2: maybe I don't know, but yeah, it's it's you know,
Speaker 2: there's no real value on either side, like this is
Speaker 2: the super Bowl at this point. They know what they're doing. Yeah,
Speaker 2: and the total I don't know, man, I can tell
Speaker 2: you again that I'm I'm I don't care how sharp
Speaker 2: it might be. I'm not betting unders, like, there's no
Speaker 2: way I'm betting under. Yeah, there's not.
Speaker 1: The not the look.
Speaker 3: I had someone on my show today say get me
Speaker 3: to sixty, and I might listen to an under, but not.
Speaker 3: I'm not listening to the under until you get me
Speaker 3: to sixty. Yeah, and I think that's really possible. I look,
Speaker 3: this is how I'm going to approach this. I am
Speaker 3: going to have a laundry list of props going. Yes,
Speaker 3: I'm I'm just gonna watch this game for who wins.
Speaker 3: I'm gonna hope for Tom Brady. I'm not sweating this
Speaker 3: out where I gotta worry about two Hall of Fame
Speaker 3: quarterbacks going up and down the field and again on
Speaker 3: that on somewhat questionable defenses. I don't want to worry
Speaker 3: about turnovers changing games. I don't want to worry about
Speaker 3: on side kicks and missed extra points. I don't want
Speaker 3: to I don't want to worry about fluky stuff. I
Speaker 3: just want to line up receptions, touchdowns, coin flips, national anthem.
Speaker 3: I I just want to get all crazy with prop bets,
Speaker 3: and that would be my recommendation to everyone here because
Speaker 3: the one thing that I saw on Twitter last night
Speaker 3: from the bookmakers here in Las Vegas. What they were
Speaker 3: reporting is that they were dumbfounded at the crickets they heard.
Speaker 3: When the line went up, it didn't move. There weren't
Speaker 3: big bets. Circus Sports in Vegas had one hundred thousand
Speaker 3: dollars limit, and people were betting on the money lines.
Speaker 1: They were not touching the total, the sides of the totals.
Speaker 3: It was just chiefs win, here's one hundred grand bucks win,
Speaker 3: here's one hundred grand not worrying about the point spreads,
Speaker 3: not worrying about And I think that's pretty much the
Speaker 3: smartest way to approach this.
Speaker 1: If you're going to bet a side, just bet the
Speaker 1: team to win, don't worry about the points spread.
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's fair. And again you talked about it. At
Speaker 2: this point, everybody knows props are really how to best
Speaker 2: enjoy the Super Bowl. And again we've had, you know,
Speaker 2: props have been whatever so far in the playoffs. The
Speaker 2: last two Super Bowls have been really really problem for
Speaker 2: me from my bood perspective. Yeah, I know. So let's
Speaker 2: hope that we crushed it. Now we're going to be
Speaker 2: doing another podcast where we're going to talk about props.
Speaker 2: You'll talk about it of course on The Daily Juice
Speaker 2: we're talking about how to maybe mix the two. And
Speaker 2: then again I will give you details on this, but
Speaker 2: Matt and I are going to be doing a live
Speaker 2: stream on Super Bowl Sunday. We're gonna have a ton
Speaker 2: of stuff. We're also going to be giving away some
Speaker 2: incredible prizes. I'm not gonna tell you what they are
Speaker 2: right now, but they're going to be incredible, I promise you.
Speaker 2: That's at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros. We will
Speaker 2: give you more information on that, but until then, yeah,
Speaker 2: I agree. I mean, whatever, man, you want to bet.
Speaker 2: I'm telling you, if gun to my head, I am
Speaker 2: taking the Chiefs minus three, and even at minus three
Speaker 2: and a half, I'd probably just take them because I
Speaker 2: can tell you there is no number right now, like
Speaker 2: you know, short of seven where I would take the
Speaker 2: Bucks because I just can't. I'd go over the fifty
Speaker 2: six and a half gun to my head if I
Speaker 2: had ten, and I'd take the Chiefs on the money line.
Speaker 2: But I'm not running out there to do any of that.
Speaker 2: You know, I feel like you probably feel roughly the
Speaker 2: same on both.
Speaker 1: Entirely exactly the same.
Speaker 3: I mean, if I think this is a game, it's
Speaker 3: it's hard to bet against Tom Brady, but it's even
Speaker 3: more hard to bet against this chief team with Patrick Mahomes,
Speaker 3: just given the arm talent, given the offensive game plan,
Speaker 3: and given the weapons that they've got. You're right the
Speaker 3: way it happens, patrick Mahomes gets hurt. Yes, if Mahomes
Speaker 3: gets hurt, the whole world comes undone, right, And not
Speaker 3: to say that if you bet the Bucks, you're banking
Speaker 3: on a Mahomes injury, but you kind of are. I
Speaker 3: mean that's kind of the thing that you you're expecting
Speaker 3: him to have something significant happen in the football game
Speaker 3: to him, and hopefully no more. If you bet the Chiefs,
Speaker 3: hopefully you aren't going to see you know, any more
Speaker 3: fourth than one option runs with better Mahomes. Let's not
Speaker 3: ever see that again.
Speaker 2: Yeah, if you're a Chief backer, I agree with that.
Speaker 2: And again another big point is you don't you don't
Speaker 2: have to run to bet this. I mean, I think
Speaker 2: part of doing it right now is to give our
Speaker 2: kind of immediate reaction to the line. But I think
Speaker 2: whatever our immediate reaction is, like, it's not gonna You
Speaker 2: have seen the point total move, you know, from the
Speaker 2: very first time that they opened it down a point.
Speaker 2: I think it was fifty seven and a half when
Speaker 2: it first open down a point. But again, it's really
Speaker 2: just not gonna be much at this point. You're right
Speaker 2: between three, three and a half maybe, but I think
Speaker 2: it's gonna mostly stick at three for where it is.
Speaker 2: It's kind of you said fifty six and a half.
Speaker 2: It's gonna be around their money line, safe thing. So
Speaker 2: take your time, enjoy it, do as much reachars as
Speaker 2: you can. Better. Yet, if you don't want to bet it,
Speaker 2: use the props, use our what what is our prop Matt,
Speaker 2: you talked about it. What's our prop bet cheat? Sheat?
Speaker 1: What's the cop prop bet cheat sheet?
Speaker 3: Yes, okay, don't on that because even that needs to
Speaker 3: be done through an algorithm. It's going to take some
Speaker 3: time for that to populate through around different players playing
Speaker 3: and injury reports, and there's a lot of things. I mean,
Speaker 3: it's this this week is a really good week. Just
Speaker 3: to get yourself situated, like, start looking at the props.
Speaker 3: You're probably gonna look And also I tried doing this
Speaker 3: sometimes if you got extra time, make your own prop
Speaker 3: bets and then match them up with the book. So like,
Speaker 3: how many numbers? How many touchdowns do you expect Tom
Speaker 3: Brady to throw? What's the number? Is it two and
Speaker 3: a half if it's two and a half? What I
Speaker 3: think it is right now at DraftKings it's two and
Speaker 3: a half at plus one fifty? Right likelihood Ay throwing
Speaker 3: two or more touchdowns or two and a half touchdowns?
Speaker 3: Three touchdowns probably pretty good, right for plus money? Not
Speaker 3: a bad place to be. How many for Mahomes? Is
Speaker 3: gonna be three to using me three and a half
Speaker 3: for Patrick Mahomes? How many rushing yards for Clyde Edwards Hilaire.
Speaker 3: If you agree with me that they're just gonna scrap
Speaker 3: the run and throw the whole time, maybe you're betting
Speaker 3: the under on Clyde Edwards Hilaire rushing, So like, make
Speaker 3: your own and then match it up once it comes out,
Speaker 3: or even still, go and check out the books that
Speaker 3: dot props up and kind of see where your number
Speaker 3: is versus where their number is, and that can help
Speaker 3: you make these wages on prop bets. And look, the
Speaker 3: majority of people are gonna make ten, fifteen, twenty five
Speaker 3: buck bets on the props.
Speaker 1: They're gonna take your business all day long.
Speaker 3: So if you have a couple of hundred dollars and
Speaker 3: that's what you're gonna betting on the super Bowl, rather
Speaker 3: than putting it down on one side or the other,
Speaker 3: it's a whole lot more fun to sprinkle that around.
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's a good point. That is a really good point.
Speaker 2: And again I probably started doing that, I mean certainly
Speaker 2: last year, but two years ago, you know, I went
Speaker 2: out to Vegas and I did prop bets. Are there's
Speaker 2: so much fun, especially in the Super Bowl in.
Speaker 3: Line when you came here, Yeah, oh yeah, did did
Speaker 3: they limit you to two bets at a time?
Speaker 2: Yep?
Speaker 1: That's the worst I know.
Speaker 3: It's it's actually comical to watch it, if you ever.
Speaker 3: It's like a people watching experiment because you have this
Speaker 3: line of like seventy five fifty plus year old white
Speaker 3: dudes yea, all like looking like something out of the
Speaker 3: movie Casino, and they're all in line and they all
Speaker 3: got these big, huge stack of stuff, and they walk
Speaker 3: up and they make their two bets and they go
Speaker 3: back to the end of the line and they make
Speaker 3: their two bets and walk back to the end of
Speaker 3: the line.
Speaker 2: I did it, thankfully, with like ten friends, so we
Speaker 2: all sort of like there was like a bunch of
Speaker 2: us going.
Speaker 1: Oh, that's good. So you all get to bet too,
Speaker 1: exactly exactly what I do.
Speaker 2: That's how we did it. But thankfully now i've draftings.
Speaker 2: But again, yeah, that really is the best way to
Speaker 2: do it. And we're gonna have a ton of prop
Speaker 2: bet information. There's a ton on betting pros that prop
Speaker 2: bet cheat cheo. But again, you're right, wait on that,
Speaker 2: wait for all the information that you can. In the meantime.
Speaker 2: Oh boy, it's gonna be fun. Matt, Tom Brady and
Speaker 2: Patrick Mahomes. It's it's been a crazy season. It's a
Speaker 2: good way to end it. So we'll be there for
Speaker 2: you again.
Speaker 1: Didn't ask me the one important.
Speaker 2: Question, though, what's your one important question?
Speaker 1: You didn't ask Peo about home field?
Speaker 2: Oh, I get you're right, My apologies.
Speaker 1: Didn't ask me about home field.
Speaker 2: What's what's the impact?
Speaker 1: Matt means nothing and nothing.
Speaker 2: I agree with you, but say why you think.
Speaker 3: That, because if they're going to have seven five hundred
Speaker 3: fans there. They're all going to be Tampa Bay fans. Technically,
Speaker 3: the Chiefs are going to send their own fans. There's
Speaker 3: gonna be Chief fans there, So like, what's the maximum
Speaker 3: number of people are going to be there?
Speaker 1: Sixteen thousand? Are they all going to be on one side?
Speaker 3: No, it's just the typical audience for a Super Bowl
Speaker 3: is pretty muted anyway because it's a lot of corporate windings.
Speaker 2: Corporate tickets are going for like twenty thousand dollars a
Speaker 2: piece at this point, Like I just read it's going
Speaker 2: to be no corporate so go ahead.
Speaker 1: Zero. They shouldn't be on the secondary market, by the way,
Speaker 1: it shouldn't be. They shouldn't have them. But whatever, fine.
Speaker 3: That people are going to get the tickets and sell them.
Speaker 3: But I think there is absolutely no advantage other than
Speaker 3: sleeping in your own bed.
Speaker 1: Right.
Speaker 2: But again, the other thing to sort of talk about is,
Speaker 2: you know, it's the Super Bowl is always kind of
Speaker 2: its own animal, regardless of where it is, Like of course,
Speaker 2: being home, you're not having that. The Chiefs are gonna
Speaker 2: fly there right the day before the game, right, I mean,
Speaker 2: this is gonna be like a normal other than the
Speaker 2: fact that the Super Bowl, you don't have the usual
Speaker 2: like Super Bowl two weeks of you know, stuff that's
Speaker 2: going on.
Speaker 3: Oh, it's a huge deal that there's no radio row,
Speaker 3: there's no parties, there's none of that. Nothing like that
Speaker 3: is happening. And that's why again to go back to
Speaker 3: the Bucks run for a second, with their three games
Speaker 3: that they've won on the road. Yes, it's impressive as
Speaker 3: the first team since the twenty ten Packers to do it,
Speaker 3: but it's not that impressive to me because they did
Speaker 3: it with no.
Speaker 1: Fans in stands. Yeah, you're just playing on a quiet field.
Speaker 3: And yeah there were fans there in Green Bay, and yep,
Speaker 3: there were banging signs like crazy and they're making some noise.
Speaker 3: So it definitely was a typical. But it wasn't sixty
Speaker 3: thousand at Lambeau, right, It wasn't your typical screaming, you know,
Speaker 3: making your head hurt type of crowd at Lambeau Field.
Speaker 3: From it's normally pretty calm anyway, in the Super Bowl,
Speaker 3: it's going to be even more calm and without the
Speaker 3: pomp and circumstance, without all the hoop law that normally
Speaker 3: goes into it.
Speaker 1: I mean, what's what's media day going to be? Like nothing,
Speaker 1: They're not having a media day.
Speaker 3: It's virtual like all that stuff, no crazy people ever
Speaker 3: with marriage proposals and all the nuts stuff with Tom
Speaker 3: Brady crying about his father like he does every time,
Speaker 3: Like that stuff's gone. That stuff's not going to be there.
Speaker 3: So I think it's a significant deal that the distraction
Speaker 3: potential is not likely for the Casey Chiefs.
Speaker 2: I mean for me, frankly, the Chiefs won the Super
Speaker 2: Bowl last year. Brady's been to you know, a million
Speaker 2: of them, this is tenth one or whatever. It doesn't
Speaker 2: matter at this point regardless, especially for these teams. I
Speaker 2: mean maybe with the Bucks, because.
Speaker 1: I think it's the deal for the Bucks, by the way,
Speaker 1: not to have any of that.
Speaker 2: I really do you think it's better?
Speaker 1: Yeah?
Speaker 3: Or I think it's better for them to just turn
Speaker 3: like a normal football game. I think it's better than that.
Speaker 3: You don't act like it's the super Bowl. I think
Speaker 3: it's a big I think it's a bigger deal. I
Speaker 3: think it's a big deal actually of the Bucks, who
Speaker 3: have a bunch of guys who can get caught up
Speaker 3: in that moment, young guys who had never been there before.
Speaker 3: You know, for Brady and Gronk, I don't think it matters.
Speaker 3: But I think for Godwin and for Tyler Johnson and
Speaker 3: the guys who are young in their careers who have
Speaker 3: never seen this before, I think all that media could
Speaker 3: really flip them on their heads. On a media day
Speaker 3: or then multiple media days, appearances and talking every morning.
Speaker 3: It's normally Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, it's Monday night for the
Speaker 3: media night, and then Tuesday they talk again, then Wednesday
Speaker 3: they talk again, and then they stop talking to the media.
Speaker 1: They're not going to have any of that.
Speaker 3: So I think for the young guys for the Bucks
Speaker 3: and think that is a pretty big break for them
Speaker 3: in this game.
Speaker 2: So the impact is more of the fact that it's
Speaker 2: the pandemic and we don't have the normal radio sort
Speaker 2: of stuff, not as much the home field.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think it's much less distractions going this time around.
Speaker 3: And I think if you're the Tampa Bay Bucks, you'd
Speaker 3: rather have the Chiefs be distracted. You'd rather have that
Speaker 3: it's better for you, But it's worse because the Chiefs,
Speaker 3: just as you mentioned, will fly in. Two days before
Speaker 3: the game, went through a couple of workouts on the
Speaker 3: field and then go and that's bad news.
Speaker 2: Yeah, no, I agree, I agree with you. The home
Speaker 2: field means not. I mean, it's a great story, but
Speaker 2: if there were ever a year to have the home
Speaker 2: field for the super Bowl, this is not the year.
Speaker 1: This is.
Speaker 2: This is not I mean, it's good for Patrick Mahomes,
Speaker 2: of course, but certainly would have worked way more in
Speaker 2: their favor had there been real fans and all that
Speaker 2: sort of stuff. But anyway, we got a long time,
Speaker 2: long time to think about this. But again, focus on
Speaker 2: the player props. That's where all the fun is. So
Speaker 2: we'll be back again next week. We'll do a player
Speaker 2: prop episode because again there's a lot of them are
Speaker 2: out already anyway, so we'll be able to talk about
Speaker 2: them a little earlier than usual. And again we'll do
Speaker 2: a live stream on our YouTube channel, YouTube dot com
Speaker 2: slash Benning Presence and.
Speaker 1: They have before we go real quick.
Speaker 3: Yeah, so you can't see this stamp, but I'm wearing
Speaker 3: the Daily Juice T shirt. Yes, you guys are dming
Speaker 3: me and asking me how to buy these and how
Speaker 3: to buy the hoodies.
Speaker 1: Okay.
Speaker 3: Fantasypros dot Com slash shot correct, Fantasypros dot Com slash shop.
Speaker 2: You can't see me. Hold on, I'm gonna move my
Speaker 2: uh my microphone here. But I'm wearing a Fantasy Pros
Speaker 2: nice right now. Of course as we do it that
Speaker 2: they got it.
Speaker 1: So that stuff.
Speaker 3: If you're asking me, I'm getting like messages all the
Speaker 3: time like what hoody, we're gonna get it.
Speaker 1: What T shirt? We're gonna get it. That's where you
Speaker 1: go and get it, guys.
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, absolutely. Also, Betting Pros hats are new, as
Speaker 2: the hats now their hats for Betting Pros. I don't
Speaker 2: think the Juice hats yet.
Speaker 1: I think BP's BP hats are cool.
Speaker 2: Don't worry, but we're coming. We're coming tons of stuff.
Speaker 2: Don't worry. More and more every day.
Speaker 1: You know that.
Speaker 3: Every time we add something, somebody asks me for something else. Right, yeah,
Speaker 3: just keep now I've gotten I've got people saying they
Speaker 3: want long T shirts, long sleeve T shirt.
Speaker 2: Yes, yes, I'm gonna They're like where.
Speaker 3: And now the big boys are all mad because Triple
Speaker 3: X is the best. Is the biggest size.
Speaker 1: We go to.
Speaker 2: They need bigger.
Speaker 1: I'm like, dude, like what, like, I.
Speaker 2: Mean bigger than Triple X.
Speaker 1: They said they be big and tall.
Speaker 3: I was like, I don't do any of this stuff, guys,
Speaker 3: but like Triple X is pretty damn big, and I'm
Speaker 3: sorry I'm not in charge of this, but damn.
Speaker 2: All right, I'll see if we can get giant size.
Speaker 2: Don't worry, I'm on it. I'll see what the boys
Speaker 2: can do back there. But yeah, we're adding stuff again,
Speaker 2: Fantasypros dot Com, slash Shop, plenty of stuff there, and
Speaker 2: again We're going to be adding new stuff more and
Speaker 2: more all the time. But Matt, anything you get, anytime
Speaker 2: people ask you about it, just send it my way.
Speaker 2: I'll see what I can do to get things up
Speaker 2: and running. And they are. I was looking at the
Speaker 2: numbers today. They are some of our Daily Juice are
Speaker 2: definitely some of our best sellers. So it's nice to
Speaker 2: see that our listeners are really coming out to support.
Speaker 2: All Right, Anyway, we'll be back next week talking about
Speaker 2: player props again. Don't forget YouTube dot com slash Betting
Speaker 2: pro subscribe so you don't miss it. We'll be talking
Speaker 2: about props big day on the Super Bowl, for sure.
Speaker 2: You're going to want tune into that. Until then, just relax,
Speaker 2: enjoy it, don't rush to bet anything or anything like that.
Speaker 2: Take your time, survey the props, and we'll talk to
Speaker 2: you next week.