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Speaker 1: Hit.

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Speaker 2: Everybody. Welcome back to another episode of the Betting PRESIDENTL Podcast.

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Speaker 2: I'm your host Dan Harris, with me is Matt Perrault.

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Speaker 2: Find us on Twitter at Dan Harris Adi and at

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Speaker 2: Sports Talk Matt Matt super Bowl. I mean we did

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Speaker 2: not have we did not have Javagship Weekend. Now, Matt,

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Speaker 2: we did not have those games. Now we can just

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Speaker 2: be honest about it, right, I mean, oh, we didn't

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Speaker 2: have it.

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Speaker 3: I need January to end. I need this month to

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Speaker 3: go away, because this is I'm looking forward to closing

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Speaker 3: the book on the play on the football season because

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Speaker 3: you know, college football saved me on weekends like that,

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Speaker 3: and without college football to kind of save my tail,

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Speaker 3: that's not been fun. And it's just been sort of

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Speaker 3: this falling down the stairs to the end eventually you

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Speaker 3: hit the ground because well you were on a stairs

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Speaker 3: to fall down. So okay, basically what I'm doing here

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Speaker 3: with the NFL season.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean talking about it last week, we basically said, Okay,

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Speaker 2: I think what we can see is like I can

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Speaker 2: see a scenario where one of these games is a blowout,

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Speaker 2: and if it is, it's the Packers blowing out the

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Speaker 2: Bucks and then Bills plus nine. The fact that the

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Speaker 2: Chiefs picked that game against a hot, hot Bills team

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Speaker 2: with Patrick Mahomes hobbled by that toe to suddenly just

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Speaker 2: basically completely destroy I mean they could You felt like

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Speaker 2: they could have put up five hundred points if they

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Speaker 2: really wanted to done absolutely whatever they wanted, They could

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Speaker 2: have won that game by you know, twenty five points

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Speaker 2: they really wanted to just nuts. Man.

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Speaker 3: Now, it's hard to say this in sports because on

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Speaker 3: most in most sports, when you get to the championship round,

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Speaker 3: you can't throw the switch right right. But for whatever reason,

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Speaker 3: this Kanasty team has the ability to do that. They

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Speaker 3: can just throw the switch if they want to. They

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Speaker 3: just go out there and chuck it up and that's it.

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Speaker 1: It's over.

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Speaker 3: And that's the most scariest thing about this upcoming Super

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Speaker 3: Bowl is that you just don't know if they're gonna

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Speaker 3: throw the switch again.

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Speaker 1: And if they do, uh oh yeah.

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Speaker 2: Well let's talk about it. So here's what we're gonna do.

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Speaker 2: This is we are recording this. You know, we usually

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Speaker 2: record the shows on Thursday Thursday night with the games

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Speaker 2: on Sunday. We want to do here. Obviously, we have

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Speaker 2: the week off since the super Bowl isn't until next Sunday.

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Speaker 2: So what we're doing here is we're gonna go through

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Speaker 2: the opening lines. They're not even quite as opening because

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Speaker 2: they've moved a little bit, and I'll note that from

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Speaker 2: when they immediately opened right after. But our instant reaction

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Speaker 2: to this what we think they're gonna do. If we

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Speaker 2: think if you want to bet it, when you should

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Speaker 2: bet it, and what you should do with it, how

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Speaker 2: if we have a lean on any of the lines,

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Speaker 2: and then next week we'll do a prop episode where

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Speaker 2: we'll do it, and on Super Bowl Sunday we'll have

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Speaker 2: more details for this. We'll put it up on Twitter,

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Speaker 2: we'll publicize it, will make sure you guys know. We're

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Speaker 2: gonna do a nice live stream where we're gonna be

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Speaker 2: giving away some awesome prizes. We're gonna talk about prop

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Speaker 2: we're gonna talk what all sorts of good stuff that'll

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Speaker 2: be in our YouTube channel YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros.

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Speaker 2: But for now, Matt, let's talk about it. We've got

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Speaker 2: a super Bowl. As you may have heard by now, people,

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Speaker 2: this is the first time ever that a Super Bowl

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Speaker 2: has been played in the stadium of one of the

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Speaker 2: teams that is playing in the Super Bowl. It's a

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Speaker 2: home game essentially for the Bucks. Although Matt, you and

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Speaker 2: I will talk a little bit and you might have

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Speaker 2: more insight into this about just how much of a

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Speaker 2: home game other than being comfortable in the stadium. It's

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Speaker 2: going to be the line right now, the consensus line

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Speaker 2: on bettingpros dot com, which I'm looking at is minus

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Speaker 2: three now. Yesterday night I looked at it and it

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Speaker 2: looked like it was bouncing around between minus three and

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Speaker 2: minus three point five. That's the Chiefs laying three to

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Speaker 2: the Bucks or the Chiefs laying three and a half

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Speaker 2: to the Bucks. The total right now when I looked

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Speaker 2: at it last night was fifty seven and a half.

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Speaker 2: That was the highest ever for a Super Bowl. It

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Speaker 2: is now down to fifty six and a half as

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Speaker 2: the consensus lines, and I believe that that is lower

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Speaker 2: than what the Falcons and the Patriots ended up at,

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Speaker 2: which I believe was fifty seven. And the money line

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Speaker 2: right now out the consensus lign is the Chiefs minus

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Speaker 2: one seventy and the Bucks plus one forty five. So, Matt,

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Speaker 2: all of it, whatever you want to talk about, what's

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Speaker 2: just your reaction to the line. Does it feel right overall?

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Speaker 2: You know any any value that you see on either side?

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Speaker 1: No, I don't see any value.

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Speaker 3: And this is why the game was played in this

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Speaker 3: stadium between these two teams.

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Speaker 1: The line was three and a half. It fell three.

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Speaker 2: I remember, Matt, if you remember, you and I were

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Speaker 2: on curferent sides of that game. I like the Bucks,

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Speaker 2: you like the Chiefs. Yes, yep.

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Speaker 1: So we have seen this game.

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Speaker 2: Yep.

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Speaker 3: It's been played in this stadium. We have seen these

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Speaker 3: two quarterbacks, We've seen these two defenses. We saw the

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Speaker 3: Chiefs put up twenty one points in the first half

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Speaker 3: and then basically just coast and say, okay, we won.

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Speaker 1: Who cares?

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Speaker 2: Yep.

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Speaker 3: From a book making perspective, this number is cemented, it

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Speaker 3: will go three, three and a half.

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Speaker 1: That's it.

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Speaker 3: There will not be any big line move. I don't

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Speaker 3: care if a million dollar comes in here on one

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Speaker 3: side of the other. You were not going to see

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Speaker 3: the books go over three to two and a half,

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Speaker 3: three and a half. It's just that is the maximum

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Speaker 3: you're going to see here. We're not getting a four.

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Speaker 3: I doubt you're getting a two and a half. That

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Speaker 3: would be a shocker if we went to two and

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Speaker 3: a half. But this is going to be a line

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Speaker 3: where the book is very comfortable where the line is.

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Speaker 1: They're going to move the.

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Speaker 3: Total because of how big it is, and you could

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Speaker 3: see a lot of money coming on the under. I

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Speaker 3: think if the puppet gets involved, they're going to bet

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Speaker 3: the over, And if I had a gun to my head,

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Speaker 3: I would bet the over, even though it took overtime

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Speaker 3: for the Patriots and the Falcons to get there. When

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Speaker 3: their line was fifty seven. It got to sixty two

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Speaker 3: as the final closing number, but that was because of

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Speaker 3: the James White touchdown and overtime. So I just think

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Speaker 3: right now, I'm not going to play a side or

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Speaker 3: a total on this game, even though even if I

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Speaker 3: was hot, even if I was going well, I wouldn't

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Speaker 3: play this. The reason is I would take the Chiefs. Okay,

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Speaker 3: if I had to bet it, I'd take the Chiefs. However,

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Speaker 3: I had the Bucks losing to the Washington football team,

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Speaker 3: the Bucks losing to the Saints, I the Bucks losing

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Speaker 3: last week to the Packers, not doing it in the

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Speaker 3: super Bowl. I'm not betting against Tom Brady in the

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Speaker 3: Super Bowl, not against Gronkowski and not against this defense,

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Speaker 3: which has insane They call it puck luck in hockey,

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Speaker 3: it's turnover luck. Okay, these guys are having insane turnover luck,

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Speaker 3: and they're getting more turnovers in the postseason than they

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Speaker 3: had by a ways in the regular season.

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Speaker 1: For those reasons.

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Speaker 3: Even though I think Casey wins, if you have two

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Speaker 3: turnovers against the Chiefs, that's when Patrick Mahomes loses. I

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Speaker 3: think the record is seven and four, and Patrick Mahomes

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Speaker 3: has two or more turnovers in the NFL. It's still

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Speaker 3: pretty good, but it's seven and four for a Mahomes

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Speaker 3: team where he doesn't lose very often. If the Bucks

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Speaker 3: are going to win, that turnover luck is gonna have

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Speaker 3: to continue.

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Speaker 2: So let me ask you something, Matt, just as a

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Speaker 2: general sort of because you know, I mean, I think

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Speaker 2: I know the answer to this, but I people listening aren't.

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Speaker 2: Is tuned into the betting world most most times, Matt,

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Speaker 2: if there's line movement or anything like that, like a

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Speaker 2: lot of times, it's on probably based on at least

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Speaker 2: more on sharp action or people who know what they're

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Speaker 2: doing the public, though in this I don't that's not

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Speaker 2: what the Super Bowl lines really do, does it? Like,

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Speaker 2: I feel like because there's so much public betting on

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Speaker 2: it that it's not like, well, the sharps are on

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Speaker 2: this side, do the books really care? Oh at this point?

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Speaker 1: Oh yeah they do.

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Speaker 3: In the Super Bowl, Yeah yeah, yeah, yeah. The first

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Speaker 3: move is always the most important move. Now, remember what

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Speaker 3: happened when the Patriots played the Eagles. The first move

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Speaker 3: was on the Eagles. All that money came in on

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Speaker 3: the Eagles early. What happened, Eagles won outright, but the

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Speaker 3: Patriots are won six and a half point favorites when

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Speaker 3: it opened. I think the line closed at like four

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Speaker 3: and a half for the Patriots for the against the Eagles.

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Speaker 3: Eagles won the game outright. The first move always matters.

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Speaker 3: The first big bets always come in when there is

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Speaker 3: value the syndicates and they want closing line value. They

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Speaker 3: want that first number that gets put up because they

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Speaker 3: want to hammer it. That's why there's you know, there's

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Speaker 3: some homogenization of the first line that goes up, but

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Speaker 3: oftentimes it's only a point, half a point.

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Speaker 1: It's pretty much in the same region.

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Speaker 3: Everyone was three or three and a half plasted across

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Speaker 3: the board.

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Speaker 1: Nobody had four, nobody had two and a half.

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Speaker 3: Everyone came up with the same number because the game

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Speaker 3: was just played with the Chiefs miles three and a

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Speaker 3: half at Tampa and the game fell three. So even

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Speaker 3: though I can easily see the Chiefs winning this game

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Speaker 3: by seven, I can also see the Tampa Bay Bucks

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Speaker 3: coming back and getting more luck and more turnovers and

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Speaker 3: turning those turns into points and the Bucks winning it.

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Speaker 3: I'm a top I'm a Tom Brady guy. I'm a

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Speaker 3: Patriot fan. I'm gonna cheer for Brady. I would love

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Speaker 3: to see number seven. And I have a long standing

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Speaker 3: feud with chief fans. So I'm all in on the

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Speaker 3: Buccaneers coming up this weekend.

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Speaker 2: All right?

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Speaker 1: So or next weekend?

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Speaker 2: I I right, next weekend?

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Speaker 1: Right.

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Speaker 2: I have a bunch of different thoughts right now. Like

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Speaker 2: my instinct just says, just from watching the games, is

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Speaker 2: that you cannot possible beat this Chiefs team unless Patrick

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Speaker 2: Mahomes gets injured. It isn't I can't in a in

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Speaker 2: a must win game, you can't beat him. Like, I

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Speaker 2: just don't understand how when you have Kelsey and you

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Speaker 2: have Hill and you have Patrick Mahomes. I just don't

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Speaker 2: see how you stop that offense with a and.

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Speaker 3: You have a horrible secondary that incredibly the Packers could

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Speaker 3: not move the football on.

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Speaker 1: I don't.

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Speaker 3: I still can't figure out what the hell happened in

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Speaker 3: that game.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it really as best I could I could say,

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Speaker 2: is that, you know, they they decided they were gonna

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Speaker 2: essentially take away Stefan Diggs that that's basically where they

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Speaker 2: put it. Look, they're good, I mean, oh the pack

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Speaker 2: I'm sorry why the Packers couldn't move the ball against

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Speaker 2: the box?

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Speaker 1: Yeah?

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Speaker 2: Is that what you're saying?

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Speaker 3: No, I'm sorry, yeah, but both but yeah, but both ways. Sorry, Yes,

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Speaker 3: I I skipped over it, Yes, I I I still

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Speaker 3: can't figure out. You know, that secondary for the for

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Speaker 3: Tampa Bay is bad. And I can't figure out how

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Speaker 3: the Packers.

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Speaker 2: Didn't lost their safeties in the game, and.

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Speaker 3: In Winfield didn't play either. Right, So that's why I

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Speaker 3: can't figure out. Because I think the Chiefs are going

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Speaker 3: to have an absolute field day right like they did

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Speaker 3: the first time. Remember the whole flipping of the end

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Speaker 3: zone thing. Sure, I think Hill is going to be

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Speaker 3: doing a couple of those coming up.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, I'm right. So there's a bunch of things

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Speaker 2: I'm kind of I'm all over the place a little bit.

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Speaker 2: So I think, like, here's my thing. The first my

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Speaker 2: first instinct on it, like when the game came out

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Speaker 2: and I knew, like I don't know about you, Matt,

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Speaker 2: when I knew when it became clear that it was

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Speaker 2: going to be the Chiefs in the Bucks. Three is

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Speaker 2: what I thought. I thought minus three would be the line.

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Speaker 2: I don't know if that's what you thought, because that,

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Speaker 2: yeah struck me.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I thought three and a half because I think

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Speaker 3: that they would want to try to entice some money

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Speaker 3: on tipa bay. Yeah, so I thought three and a

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Speaker 3: half would be the number. But yeah, right there, three

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Speaker 3: three and a half.

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Speaker 2: Right, First of all, I will say again, you guys know,

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Speaker 2: if you've listened to this, I'm in New Hampshire. The

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Speaker 2: only book I can bet out of Draft Kings, it

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Speaker 2: is still three and a half. At Draft it's three

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Speaker 2: most it's our consensus line is three. It's three at

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Speaker 2: bet MGM, it's three at Fandle, it's three at william Hill.

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Speaker 2: But it is three and a half.

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Speaker 3: And you know why that is though, right, Why Patriot

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Speaker 3: Money DraftKings is in different books if it's Johnny Velli

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Speaker 3: know Jhonnavella knows what's going to come into England on.

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Speaker 2: When you want to move it then towards the Chiefs.

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Speaker 2: Am I crazy?

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Speaker 3: You know you want you want because they think Chiefs

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Speaker 3: are gonna win that game pretty big.

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Speaker 2: Oh. I see they want the money to come in,

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Speaker 2: correct it.

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Speaker 3: Oh, I see they want people to take the Bucks

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Speaker 3: on the hook is what they want.

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Speaker 2: I see. I thought what you were saying is they're

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Speaker 2: expecting a ton of money to come in, regardless on Brady.

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Speaker 2: So if that's the case, if you're saying like whatever,

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Speaker 2: but it sounds more like, you know, it's New England.

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Speaker 2: They're expecting people to want, like the excuse almost to

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Speaker 2: bet on Tom Brady. If they're giving them the hook,

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Speaker 2: their likes, I don't care.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, That's why I think Johnny Vella was fine. I

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Speaker 3: think that that could be the narrative across the entire country.

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Speaker 3: I'm not putting it against Brady and mahomes Is tow

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Speaker 3: and we're gonna make all these different I mean, I

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Speaker 3: think there's a real potential here that this game is

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Speaker 3: a disaster for the Bucks. But I'm not going to

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Speaker 3: bet it. Oh, But I think that the blowout potential.

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Speaker 3: I've been saying this and I might end up going

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Speaker 3: this way. I'm the kiss of.

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Speaker 1: Death right now.

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Speaker 3: So if you're a cheap you don't want me to

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Speaker 3: do this, But I'm gonna cheer for Brady and bet

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Speaker 3: the chiefs.

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Speaker 2: Matt. How many games have the Bucks lost by more

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Speaker 2: than three points? This here?

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Speaker 1: This year? This year?

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Speaker 2: Don't you can just guests number? They've lost two, both

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Speaker 2: to the Saints. That's it. Everyone lost.

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Speaker 1: What was the what was the loss to the Raiders?

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Speaker 1: It was?

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Speaker 2: It was, uh, the from the the Bucks. I'm saying,

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Speaker 2: how many how many games has the Bucks lost by

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Speaker 2: more than three points? Is here? The Bucks?

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Speaker 1: Oh? Okay? Yeah, both to the Saints? Right, Both those

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Speaker 1: blow losses, right? Correct?

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Speaker 2: The other losses now they kept it within three points,

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Speaker 2: they don't get And one of them was the first

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Speaker 2: game of the year, which I throw out like that

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Speaker 2: second game against the Saints. Fine, yeah, that's fine, the

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Speaker 2: first game, right, I mean they hadn't even practiced together

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Speaker 2: or whatever like that. They don't get blown out. So

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Speaker 2: I get it why people are sitting here wanting to

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Speaker 2: take the Bucks. But I there's a zero I'll say this,

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Speaker 2: there's a zero percent I will bet the Bucks on

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Speaker 2: this if the line comes down to three at DraftKings,

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Speaker 2: because that's the general consensus. I'll probably put it on

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Speaker 2: the Chiefs because again, I don't see how you stop

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Speaker 2: the Chiefs at this point whatsoever. And the Bucks. Matt, Look, dude,

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Speaker 2: you correct me if I'm wrong. Okay, we watch these games.

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Speaker 2: We're objective, we're betting on them and everything like that.

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Speaker 2: I haven't been like, oh man, the Bucks are an

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Speaker 2: incredible football team right now. They're amazing. I mean, Brady

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Speaker 2: tried whatever he could to give that game back. Brady's amazing. Okay,

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Speaker 2: Brady's the Goats Gray's of all time. Single handedly has

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Speaker 2: basically turned that entire franchise around.

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Speaker 1: Can we talk about that for one second.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, because I think there's one thing that this goes

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Speaker 3: back to the luck factor. Okay, let's just rewind the

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Speaker 3: game for a second and play it out as to

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Speaker 3: what actually.

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Speaker 1: Happened before the first half.

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Speaker 3: The throat that I think everyone's gonna remember is the

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Speaker 3: catch to Scottie Miller. Okay, yep, King for the Packers

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Speaker 3: play the worst game I've seen by a cornerback, maybe

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Speaker 3: in the postseason, maybe ever he got beat on the

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Speaker 3: first touchdown to Mike Evans, he got beat on the

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Speaker 3: Scotty Miller over the top, and he was the one

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Speaker 3: who pulled on Tyler Johnson's jersey to get the flag

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Speaker 3: at the end of the game. Okay, so three plays,

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Speaker 3: all incredibly important, all awful on his part. He miss

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Speaker 3: timed his jump on the first touchdown, he let Miller

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Speaker 3: get behind him, and then you pull on a jersey

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Speaker 3: that was so obvious they had to call it because

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Speaker 3: it never should have been called. But fine, they called it.

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Speaker 3: So I rate that that call was made. But fine,

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Speaker 3: the call was made.

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Speaker 2: Yep.

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Speaker 3: The play before the Scotty Miller play, the safety comes

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Speaker 3: over and the ball goes through his hands. Brady should

342
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Speaker 3: have been picked off four times in that game, and

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Speaker 3: then that touchdown doesn't happen, and the chances of the

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Speaker 3: Packers winning that game goes up exponentially. That touchdown at

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Speaker 3: the end of the first half was the deciding score

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Speaker 3: in the entire game. And here we're sitting here talking

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Speaker 3: about Tom Brady throwing four picks and Aaron Rodgers beating

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Speaker 3: Tom Brady to go to the Super Bowl.

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Speaker 2: Yep.

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Speaker 3: So that's why I would be careful here about buying

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Speaker 3: into this Tampa Bay team because I do think and look,

352
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Speaker 3: teams get hot, teams go on runs, and Tom Brady's

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Speaker 3: damn lucky go through the Super Bowl. Okay, Tom Brady

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Speaker 3: is five and five straight up in the ten games

355
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Speaker 3: he's played in. He's five and five against the number

356
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Speaker 3: six and three straight up five and five ats. And

357
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Speaker 3: the reason is he gave two leads to his defense

358
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Speaker 3: against the Giants and they coughed it up and blew it.

359
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Speaker 3: He also got real lucky when the Falcons decided not

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Speaker 3: to run the football and throw the ball when they

361
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Speaker 3: were up twenty eight to three.

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Speaker 1: That let them come back, and.

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Speaker 3: Pete Carroll makes a really stupid call, same with the

364
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Speaker 3: offensive coordinator, bad throw interception with the goal line. Patriots

365
00:15:43,720 --> 00:15:46,960
Speaker 3: win that Super Bowl. So there's a lot of luck

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Speaker 3: in team sport. You know, football is a team sport.

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Speaker 3: But people are gonna buy into this Brady thing a

368
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Speaker 3: little bit too much. I want him to win. I'm

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Speaker 3: just I don't think I'm wrong to say the picking

370
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Speaker 3: against this team three straight games was the right decision

371
00:16:00,760 --> 00:16:02,760
Speaker 3: because of they've I mean, look at it was twenty

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Speaker 3: to twenty in the fourth quarter against the Saints and Jared.

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Speaker 1: Cook fummost the football.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, if he doesn't do that in the score a

375
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Speaker 3: field goal or a touchdown, they might win the game

376
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Speaker 3: instead to ten ozer run and two more picks, free

377
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Speaker 3: more picks really from a noodle armed quarterback who couldn't

378
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Speaker 3: throw the ball down the field in crunch time after

379
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Speaker 3: playing the whole game, and we're finding out how many

380
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Speaker 3: injuries Drew Brees had, which were like ridiculous.

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Speaker 1: Right, I'm with you.

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Speaker 3: I just I don't think this team's that great. Right,

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00:16:27,960 --> 00:16:30,000
Speaker 3: and again that fans might hate me for saying that, but.

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Speaker 2: Well let's let's let's you know, let's make it clear.

385
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Speaker 2: Of course, like Tom Brady is even at his advancedtage, Yeah,

386
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Speaker 2: forget about his history, obviously, the goat. Even at his

387
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Speaker 2: advanced age, he's he's an excellent quarterback. Okay, he's not

388
00:16:45,840 --> 00:16:48,640
Speaker 2: one of the best quarterbacks in the league. The mental

389
00:16:48,680 --> 00:16:50,640
Speaker 2: side of the game, he's still great. But yeah, this

390
00:16:50,760 --> 00:16:53,360
Speaker 2: is what I'm saying is that. And I was on

391
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Speaker 2: them the first two rounds. I picked against some of

392
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Speaker 2: the Packers, but I had them to beat the Saints.

393
00:16:57,520 --> 00:16:58,480
Speaker 2: That was one of the ones that you and I

394
00:16:58,520 --> 00:17:00,760
Speaker 2: disagreed on I had them to be the Saints and

395
00:17:00,800 --> 00:17:04,000
Speaker 2: I had them to beat Washington, although I teased it

396
00:17:04,040 --> 00:17:07,399
Speaker 2: down in terms of the points spread. But I've been

397
00:17:07,400 --> 00:17:09,640
Speaker 2: watching them. I've been watching them closely, and I think

398
00:17:09,640 --> 00:17:12,200
Speaker 2: they're a very good football team. I do. I think

399
00:17:12,200 --> 00:17:13,960
Speaker 2: they're a very good football team. They're in the super Bowl.

400
00:17:14,040 --> 00:17:17,080
Speaker 2: You really don't get there unless you are. But I'm

401
00:17:17,480 --> 00:17:20,440
Speaker 2: just your point. The way you broke down yesterday, I

402
00:17:20,440 --> 00:17:24,719
Speaker 2: think is absolutely correct, which is that touchdown right on

403
00:17:24,760 --> 00:17:27,240
Speaker 2: the last play, essentially the last play left one second left,

404
00:17:27,320 --> 00:17:30,320
Speaker 2: but the last play the half never should have happened. Ever,

405
00:17:30,760 --> 00:17:34,480
Speaker 2: it was basically like the Greg Williams call against the Raiders.

406
00:17:34,520 --> 00:17:37,960
Speaker 2: You left King out there alone by himself. Miller just

407
00:17:38,040 --> 00:17:40,879
Speaker 2: ran right by him for that touchdown. That doesn't happen.

408
00:17:41,240 --> 00:17:44,520
Speaker 2: Who knows if the game is different. Aaron Jones fumbled

409
00:17:44,760 --> 00:17:47,159
Speaker 2: like you know, you expecting the Packers to get the

410
00:17:47,200 --> 00:17:49,320
Speaker 2: ball right out of the half. He fumbled, Then he's

411
00:17:49,359 --> 00:17:53,800
Speaker 2: out for the game. Brady threw pretty bad intercepting. I mean,

412
00:17:53,800 --> 00:17:56,320
Speaker 2: the deep one to Evans was way too inside. The

413
00:17:56,400 --> 00:17:58,720
Speaker 2: other one obviously they could have scored a touch and

414
00:17:58,760 --> 00:18:00,600
Speaker 2: that was too high. Maybe you make that catch, maybe

415
00:18:00,640 --> 00:18:03,640
Speaker 2: you don't, whatever, but they have not. They easily could

416
00:18:03,680 --> 00:18:05,720
Speaker 2: have lost one of these games. And look, the Chiefs

417
00:18:05,760 --> 00:18:07,440
Speaker 2: could have lost to the Browns, but that was really

418
00:18:07,520 --> 00:18:11,080
Speaker 2: without Patrick Mahomes. Essentially, it's this is just something where

419
00:18:11,240 --> 00:18:13,480
Speaker 2: I think the Chiefs are a much better football team

420
00:18:13,640 --> 00:18:16,879
Speaker 2: in this scenario. So it is something where there's no

421
00:18:16,920 --> 00:18:20,040
Speaker 2: way I could bet on the Bucks. And I'm hoping

422
00:18:20,080 --> 00:18:23,280
Speaker 2: the DraftKings moves it down to three and then I'll

423
00:18:23,320 --> 00:18:27,480
Speaker 2: probably fire something on the Chiefs. But again, before this

424
00:18:27,560 --> 00:18:29,360
Speaker 2: game that we talked about it forever, Chiefs don't blow

425
00:18:29,359 --> 00:18:31,680
Speaker 2: anybody out, like they just don't. They let every team

426
00:18:31,720 --> 00:18:33,320
Speaker 2: hang around. They don't cover the spread.

427
00:18:33,119 --> 00:18:34,320
Speaker 1: Whatsoever except the Bills.

428
00:18:34,600 --> 00:18:36,600
Speaker 2: Except the Bills when you and I teased it up

429
00:18:36,640 --> 00:18:38,760
Speaker 2: by the way nine right where they were like great.

430
00:18:39,040 --> 00:18:41,080
Speaker 2: And there's a couple of things, Okay, so let's just

431
00:18:41,119 --> 00:18:42,760
Speaker 2: talk let's break down other than this, Well, let's break

432
00:18:42,760 --> 00:18:44,720
Speaker 2: down a couple of things about the game. Number One,

433
00:18:45,000 --> 00:18:48,120
Speaker 2: we know Andy Reid generally speaking off of bye play

434
00:18:48,160 --> 00:18:50,480
Speaker 2: as well, has his guys ready to go. I don't

435
00:18:50,520 --> 00:18:52,359
Speaker 2: know how much of a difference it's gonna make at

436
00:18:52,359 --> 00:18:55,320
Speaker 2: this point, but we assume Sammy Watkins is probably going

437
00:18:55,400 --> 00:18:58,080
Speaker 2: to be back since he was close to playing in

438
00:18:58,119 --> 00:19:01,840
Speaker 2: this game. Necessarily get another you know, week of recovery

439
00:19:01,920 --> 00:19:05,240
Speaker 2: for Clyde Edwards Hileiro, though Derel Williams is running better something.

440
00:19:05,560 --> 00:19:07,400
Speaker 2: I don't know how much you put into this at

441
00:19:07,400 --> 00:19:10,160
Speaker 2: this point because usually, you know, offensive linemen, especially good

442
00:19:10,160 --> 00:19:13,200
Speaker 2: one when they're out that really hurts a team. Eric

443
00:19:13,200 --> 00:19:14,840
Speaker 2: Fisher is not going to play in the Super Bowl

444
00:19:14,880 --> 00:19:19,800
Speaker 2: two of it, yeah, correct, Eric Fisher really kind of

445
00:19:20,200 --> 00:19:22,120
Speaker 2: the big one especially, But I don't know how much

446
00:19:22,119 --> 00:19:23,879
Speaker 2: it matters with Mahomes, Like, I just don't I know,

447
00:19:23,960 --> 00:19:27,000
Speaker 2: his mobility is limited, but he looked fine. I mean,

448
00:19:27,040 --> 00:19:29,040
Speaker 2: you know, he didn't look like he's ready to take

449
00:19:29,040 --> 00:19:31,879
Speaker 2: off and run for forty yards, but he looks fine.

450
00:19:31,960 --> 00:19:32,920
Speaker 1: So, oh, he looks fine.

451
00:19:32,960 --> 00:19:35,119
Speaker 3: But I also think there's a real chance they just

452
00:19:35,200 --> 00:19:37,879
Speaker 3: go Brian Dabble on this, yeah, and they scrap the

453
00:19:37,960 --> 00:19:39,920
Speaker 3: running attack and they just say, look, we're not going

454
00:19:39,920 --> 00:19:41,959
Speaker 3: to run the ball because we can't. We're just going

455
00:19:42,000 --> 00:19:44,480
Speaker 3: to protect Patrick Mahomes and pass down because you can't

456
00:19:44,520 --> 00:19:44,959
Speaker 3: cover us.

457
00:19:45,320 --> 00:19:45,560
Speaker 1: Yeah.

458
00:19:45,760 --> 00:19:48,879
Speaker 3: So I think there's a real chance that Mahomes, I

459
00:19:48,920 --> 00:19:50,680
Speaker 3: mean we'll get into it later in the prop bets.

460
00:19:50,720 --> 00:19:52,439
Speaker 3: But I just think I think there's a chance Mahome

461
00:19:52,560 --> 00:19:55,560
Speaker 3: just throws for a stupid amount of yards. Sure, and

462
00:19:56,160 --> 00:19:58,679
Speaker 3: just I mean, I think Mahomes puts up a number

463
00:19:58,800 --> 00:20:00,879
Speaker 3: that is just going to be god like. I wouldn't

464
00:20:00,880 --> 00:20:03,040
Speaker 3: be surprised if Patrick Mahomes throws for three hundred and

465
00:20:03,080 --> 00:20:04,440
Speaker 3: fifty yards in four touchdowns.

466
00:20:04,720 --> 00:20:05,800
Speaker 2: Yeah, I just think he.

467
00:20:05,920 --> 00:20:08,000
Speaker 1: I think he's gonna torch this defense.

468
00:20:08,480 --> 00:20:13,000
Speaker 3: And I again, going back to April when I lost

469
00:20:13,080 --> 00:20:17,720
Speaker 3: my mind on the Packers selecting Jordan Love, I simply

470
00:20:17,800 --> 00:20:19,880
Speaker 3: cannot get over the fact that they blew a first

471
00:20:19,960 --> 00:20:23,480
Speaker 3: round pick for a player that may not play even.

472
00:20:23,320 --> 00:20:26,440
Speaker 1: Next year for the Packers. I mean, King could have

473
00:20:26,520 --> 00:20:28,320
Speaker 1: been replaced by a safety. They could have drafted an

474
00:20:28,320 --> 00:20:28,960
Speaker 1: Tony Winfield.

475
00:20:29,000 --> 00:20:31,359
Speaker 3: Winfield could have been on that field, Nott King, they

476
00:20:31,400 --> 00:20:34,040
Speaker 3: could have gotten in safety. They could have gotten somebody

477
00:20:34,200 --> 00:20:36,159
Speaker 3: on the back end, a linebacker. I mean Queen got

478
00:20:36,200 --> 00:20:38,200
Speaker 3: drafted right bright afterwards, I mean they had They could

479
00:20:38,200 --> 00:20:40,160
Speaker 3: have gotten t Higgins. I mean, they could have gotten

480
00:20:40,480 --> 00:20:42,520
Speaker 3: Michael Pittman. I mean, there's so many guys that could

481
00:20:42,560 --> 00:20:45,159
Speaker 3: have drafted. Instead, they took a quarterback who may not

482
00:20:45,240 --> 00:20:48,439
Speaker 3: play in twenty twenty one, and it was the biggest

483
00:20:48,440 --> 00:20:51,000
Speaker 3: wasted first round pick for a team that went to

484
00:20:51,040 --> 00:20:53,160
Speaker 3: back to back NFC Championship games.

485
00:20:53,320 --> 00:20:53,560
Speaker 2: Yep.

486
00:20:53,640 --> 00:20:57,960
Speaker 3: And it's just like, I'm so if I'm Aaron Rodgers,

487
00:20:58,000 --> 00:21:02,080
Speaker 3: I'm so mad, because of course he needed Demante Adams

488
00:21:02,160 --> 00:21:05,639
Speaker 3: needed somebody to take the pressure off. He needed somebody else,

489
00:21:06,040 --> 00:21:08,040
Speaker 3: and there just wasn't anybody else to help him.

490
00:21:08,359 --> 00:21:10,720
Speaker 2: Well, don't forget. Look they're they're you know, they also

491
00:21:10,760 --> 00:21:12,840
Speaker 2: took Dylan who's a fine running back, but he you know,

492
00:21:12,920 --> 00:21:15,080
Speaker 2: he doesn't you had Aaron Jones right now like they needed.

493
00:21:15,119 --> 00:21:18,280
Speaker 2: They ignored this year of course, and Roder Still, they

494
00:21:18,320 --> 00:21:20,960
Speaker 2: still got to thirteen and three and they could have

495
00:21:21,240 --> 00:21:23,160
Speaker 2: won that game and gone to the Super Bowl.

496
00:21:23,280 --> 00:21:26,280
Speaker 1: So NBP season, I know. And then after the game

497
00:21:26,320 --> 00:21:27,840
Speaker 1: it's like, are you gonna come back? Basically he's like,

498
00:21:27,880 --> 00:21:28,440
Speaker 1: I don't know.

499
00:21:28,720 --> 00:21:31,159
Speaker 2: I know, I you know, I I for me, I

500
00:21:31,160 --> 00:21:34,639
Speaker 2: think that's just like a he was devastated and he

501
00:21:34,760 --> 00:21:36,719
Speaker 2: just kind of is like, uh, the gout to think

502
00:21:36,760 --> 00:21:38,919
Speaker 2: of things. But whatever. All that to say, we've got

503
00:21:38,960 --> 00:21:40,920
Speaker 2: plenty of time to analyze that. Here's how I feel

504
00:21:40,960 --> 00:21:44,040
Speaker 2: about the game number one. However you feel about it,

505
00:21:44,040 --> 00:21:45,960
Speaker 2: I don't think you need to bet it right now.

506
00:21:46,119 --> 00:21:47,800
Speaker 2: Like that's why I mean, I guess, Matt, if you

507
00:21:48,000 --> 00:21:50,800
Speaker 2: like the Chiefs, maybe you take them now in three

508
00:21:50,880 --> 00:21:52,800
Speaker 2: because it's possible that the books go to three and

509
00:21:52,800 --> 00:21:53,080
Speaker 2: a half.

510
00:21:53,200 --> 00:21:54,840
Speaker 3: They'll be able to find three. All right, I mean

511
00:21:55,000 --> 00:21:57,440
Speaker 3: you'll be able to it's not gonna move. I mean

512
00:21:57,440 --> 00:22:01,600
Speaker 3: it's everyone. I talked to everyone that was on my show,

513
00:22:01,880 --> 00:22:04,520
Speaker 3: all the book makers. Everyone is saying, it's a really

514
00:22:04,560 --> 00:22:06,600
Speaker 3: easy line. It's just three.

515
00:22:06,480 --> 00:22:09,240
Speaker 1: Yes, they just put it up. It's three, and they're good.

516
00:22:09,280 --> 00:22:10,679
Speaker 1: Maybe three and a half, but they're good.

517
00:22:10,880 --> 00:22:12,040
Speaker 3: I mean they may go to three and a half

518
00:22:12,080 --> 00:22:14,480
Speaker 3: if they need to get some buck money, but go

519
00:22:14,520 --> 00:22:16,560
Speaker 3: to three and a half yea, then they'll go back

520
00:22:16,560 --> 00:22:19,360
Speaker 3: down to three. Like it's just from a book making perspective,

521
00:22:19,400 --> 00:22:23,080
Speaker 3: the line itself. They're very comfortable where it is, and

522
00:22:23,320 --> 00:22:24,840
Speaker 3: they're comfortable on the two way action.

523
00:22:24,920 --> 00:22:27,120
Speaker 1: They're going to receive the total. I think if you're

524
00:22:27,119 --> 00:22:27,439
Speaker 1: looking for.

525
00:22:27,440 --> 00:22:29,960
Speaker 3: An over under bet, I think that's where the volatility

526
00:22:30,040 --> 00:22:30,640
Speaker 3: is going to come in.

527
00:22:31,000 --> 00:22:32,480
Speaker 2: Okay, So where do you think it goes?

528
00:22:32,520 --> 00:22:34,560
Speaker 1: Man? Because right now, down for six down and then

529
00:22:34,600 --> 00:22:35,800
Speaker 1: the public will bet it back up.

530
00:22:36,080 --> 00:22:38,000
Speaker 2: Okay, all right, so I guess I.

531
00:22:38,000 --> 00:22:40,320
Speaker 3: Think the ceiling is fifty five would be my guess.

532
00:22:40,640 --> 00:22:42,280
Speaker 3: I think you'll start to see it come down as

533
00:22:42,280 --> 00:22:44,200
Speaker 3: the week goes on. You'll see more and more people

534
00:22:44,240 --> 00:22:46,000
Speaker 3: make a case that the Chief's going to kick field

535
00:22:46,040 --> 00:22:49,040
Speaker 3: goals and that you know, Tom Brady might not be

536
00:22:49,119 --> 00:22:51,919
Speaker 3: able to because historically speaking, Brady and Super Bowls has

537
00:22:51,960 --> 00:22:54,920
Speaker 3: not scored a ton. So you know, just look at

538
00:22:54,960 --> 00:22:58,520
Speaker 3: you know, just where he is and again post you know,

539
00:22:58,560 --> 00:23:01,520
Speaker 3: the last nine crazy to say that us nine super

540
00:23:01,560 --> 00:23:04,159
Speaker 3: Bowls for Brady. It doesn't matter because he's not with

541
00:23:04,240 --> 00:23:07,439
Speaker 3: that team anymore. He's with Bruce Arians. I'm real concerned

542
00:23:07,440 --> 00:23:09,280
Speaker 3: about Bruce Arians. I'm gonna say right now, I'm real

543
00:23:09,320 --> 00:23:11,920
Speaker 3: concerned about him. I'm really concerned that Andy Reid's gonna

544
00:23:11,920 --> 00:23:15,200
Speaker 3: absolutely torch that guy in coach circles around him. Todd

545
00:23:15,200 --> 00:23:18,440
Speaker 3: Bowles has been tremendous and he's probably the biggest saving

546
00:23:18,480 --> 00:23:21,159
Speaker 3: grace for Bruce Arians to keep him from really like

547
00:23:21,480 --> 00:23:24,080
Speaker 3: completely blowing this. And I think they owe him a

548
00:23:24,080 --> 00:23:26,480
Speaker 3: big raise that they keep him, because that guy could

549
00:23:26,480 --> 00:23:27,920
Speaker 3: get a head coaching job and he's.

550
00:23:27,800 --> 00:23:30,080
Speaker 2: You know what's so funny is said Bulls. And again,

551
00:23:30,119 --> 00:23:32,359
Speaker 2: I you know, I have a very very close friend

552
00:23:32,400 --> 00:23:34,800
Speaker 2: who's a huge Bucks fan, and so we basically after

553
00:23:34,840 --> 00:23:36,439
Speaker 2: the game, we have like an hour phone call every

554
00:23:36,480 --> 00:23:38,800
Speaker 2: time just kind of dissect the game. That first game

555
00:23:38,800 --> 00:23:42,800
Speaker 2: against Washington, he was screaming about Bulls because you know,

556
00:23:42,920 --> 00:23:46,240
Speaker 2: Heineke was throwing, you know, doing what guys were wide

557
00:23:46,280 --> 00:23:48,560
Speaker 2: open right in the game. And again, I think that

558
00:23:48,560 --> 00:23:51,840
Speaker 2: that was much more just because they prepared for Alex Smith, right,

559
00:23:52,040 --> 00:23:53,760
Speaker 2: I think they thought Alex Smith was going to play,

560
00:23:53,760 --> 00:23:55,879
Speaker 2: and they were not prepared for somebody to just be

561
00:23:55,960 --> 00:23:57,920
Speaker 2: slinging down the field and no one's seen.

562
00:23:57,720 --> 00:24:01,160
Speaker 1: That guy play really so right game tap my kid exactly.

563
00:24:01,200 --> 00:24:03,880
Speaker 2: But yeah, what they did in this last game against Packers,

564
00:24:03,960 --> 00:24:05,800
Speaker 2: against the Saints, and again especially against the Packers with

565
00:24:05,840 --> 00:24:07,800
Speaker 2: all the injuries. So Igreen Bowles was a coach of

566
00:24:07,800 --> 00:24:09,240
Speaker 2: the Jets, and I didn't love him then, but he's

567
00:24:09,400 --> 00:24:11,359
Speaker 2: he's done a really good job the last Look, some.

568
00:24:11,280 --> 00:24:13,440
Speaker 1: Guys are DC's and they shouldn't be head coaches. He's

569
00:24:13,440 --> 00:24:13,840
Speaker 1: one of them.

570
00:24:13,840 --> 00:24:16,080
Speaker 3: He shouldn't be a head coach. He's a great defensive mind,

571
00:24:16,359 --> 00:24:20,200
Speaker 3: focus on defense. And look, if Jason Pierre Paul plays

572
00:24:20,240 --> 00:24:23,640
Speaker 3: like he did against Aaron Rodgers against Tom Brady, Britty's

573
00:24:23,680 --> 00:24:25,160
Speaker 3: in trouble. I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean

574
00:24:25,480 --> 00:24:29,320
Speaker 3: Mahomes could be in trouble because he's running around like

575
00:24:29,440 --> 00:24:33,080
Speaker 3: the giant version of j Brady. So that to me

576
00:24:33,359 --> 00:24:36,320
Speaker 3: is a significant factor if they can get pressure on Mahomes.

577
00:24:36,320 --> 00:24:40,480
Speaker 3: The difference is Rodgers for whatever reason his I don't

578
00:24:40,480 --> 00:24:42,439
Speaker 3: want to say he aged before our eyes, but he

579
00:24:42,480 --> 00:24:44,960
Speaker 3: doesn't have that quickness he once did to get out

580
00:24:44,960 --> 00:24:47,240
Speaker 3: of the pocket his first couple of steps, and he

581
00:24:47,359 --> 00:24:50,159
Speaker 3: clearly doesn't trust himself to outrun defensive lineman or he

582
00:24:50,160 --> 00:24:52,359
Speaker 3: would have ran it on third and nine to go

583
00:24:52,400 --> 00:24:54,000
Speaker 3: to the pylon or try to get down to the

584
00:24:54,000 --> 00:24:54,720
Speaker 3: one yard line.

585
00:24:54,840 --> 00:24:57,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, that was row shocking to everybody.

586
00:24:57,240 --> 00:24:59,280
Speaker 3: I know, yep, that throat because but but like if

587
00:24:59,320 --> 00:25:01,359
Speaker 3: you look at the tape and run it, it's because

588
00:25:01,359 --> 00:25:05,439
Speaker 3: he sees JPP and he made a business decision. He

589
00:25:05,480 --> 00:25:07,800
Speaker 3: made His decision was do I want to run for

590
00:25:07,840 --> 00:25:10,800
Speaker 3: the pylon with Jason Pierre Paul running me down from behind,

591
00:25:11,240 --> 00:25:12,640
Speaker 3: or do I want to try to squeeze it in

592
00:25:12,680 --> 00:25:15,240
Speaker 3: a tight window to DeVante Adams at the goal line

593
00:25:15,240 --> 00:25:17,359
Speaker 3: and hope that Adams can beat two defenders and come

594
00:25:17,440 --> 00:25:20,760
Speaker 3: up with the football, and he couldn't. So if JPP

595
00:25:21,160 --> 00:25:23,000
Speaker 3: is running like this and playing the way that he

596
00:25:23,200 --> 00:25:25,000
Speaker 3: is or he did in that game, you know he

597
00:25:25,000 --> 00:25:27,080
Speaker 3: could run down Mahomes. He could be a problem in

598
00:25:27,119 --> 00:25:29,119
Speaker 3: the game. And if Mahomes his toe is not healthy,

599
00:25:29,480 --> 00:25:31,600
Speaker 3: then maybe there is something there. But I think after

600
00:25:31,600 --> 00:25:33,679
Speaker 3: two weeks having Mahomes rest, that toe is going to

601
00:25:33,680 --> 00:25:34,640
Speaker 3: be pretty big.

602
00:25:34,920 --> 00:25:36,399
Speaker 2: I mean, I guess the way I put it, the

603
00:25:36,440 --> 00:25:38,800
Speaker 2: way I think about it is any team can beat

604
00:25:38,840 --> 00:25:42,320
Speaker 2: any team if you're going to get crazy breaks at

605
00:25:42,359 --> 00:25:46,040
Speaker 2: anything or special teams plays. Other than that, though, I

606
00:25:46,280 --> 00:25:49,200
Speaker 2: really just I cannot see the Chiefs losing this game.

607
00:25:49,280 --> 00:25:52,160
Speaker 3: If Brady throws jump balls like he's been throwing all year,

608
00:25:52,320 --> 00:25:53,320
Speaker 3: it's going to be a route.

609
00:25:53,400 --> 00:25:56,000
Speaker 2: The thing is, it was also crazy, Like I'm and again,

610
00:25:56,040 --> 00:25:59,040
Speaker 2: I was texting with my buddy, who is just screaming

611
00:25:59,080 --> 00:26:00,800
Speaker 2: about the fact, you know, you're sitting on this lead.

612
00:26:00,840 --> 00:26:03,719
Speaker 2: It's a pretty substantial lead at one point, and arians

613
00:26:04,240 --> 00:26:08,480
Speaker 2: is still taking these huge shots downfield like all day

614
00:26:08,520 --> 00:26:11,560
Speaker 2: long instead of just kind of you know, running shorter passes,

615
00:26:11,600 --> 00:26:14,400
Speaker 2: chewing up the clock. It's just non stop shots downfield,

616
00:26:14,440 --> 00:26:17,400
Speaker 2: regardless of the game situation. That doesn't work against the Chiefs.

617
00:26:17,400 --> 00:26:19,800
Speaker 2: The Chiefs kind of funnel everything to the middle. So

618
00:26:20,040 --> 00:26:21,919
Speaker 2: again when we talk about props, and you know, I

619
00:26:22,000 --> 00:26:24,000
Speaker 2: usually like the Godwin over props, and this last one

620
00:26:24,040 --> 00:26:25,800
Speaker 2: I thought, really thought should have hit. As we both

621
00:26:25,840 --> 00:26:27,600
Speaker 2: sort of talked about over and half receptions.

622
00:26:27,920 --> 00:26:30,280
Speaker 3: Dropped two balls in the first half, clear that had it.

623
00:26:30,320 --> 00:26:32,679
Speaker 3: I mean there were numerous plays that kid. Jeez, that

624
00:26:32,760 --> 00:26:33,080
Speaker 3: was bad.

625
00:26:33,480 --> 00:26:35,040
Speaker 2: He's got a lot of drops right now. You look

626
00:26:35,040 --> 00:26:36,879
Speaker 2: at his career, it's like, I do know, seven drops

627
00:26:36,880 --> 00:26:39,680
Speaker 2: in the playoffs or something crazy. But look, they don't

628
00:26:39,880 --> 00:26:43,800
Speaker 2: they you saw with Diggs, you know, they take away.

629
00:26:43,800 --> 00:26:46,560
Speaker 2: They're very good against wide receiver Spignelo, you know, and

630
00:26:46,600 --> 00:26:49,400
Speaker 2: he's done well against Brady obviously, but his scheme is good.

631
00:26:49,600 --> 00:26:51,800
Speaker 2: He funnels everything a little bit towards. You saw Cole

632
00:26:51,840 --> 00:26:55,160
Speaker 2: Beasley on a broken leg apparently was you know, still

633
00:26:55,200 --> 00:26:57,080
Speaker 2: getting his and everything like that. They're okay that. So

634
00:26:57,119 --> 00:26:59,320
Speaker 2: I think Godwin in the middle of field will be fine.

635
00:26:59,320 --> 00:27:01,080
Speaker 2: But I think at the are going to continue to

636
00:27:01,080 --> 00:27:04,280
Speaker 2: take these giant shots down the field. They're just not

637
00:27:04,359 --> 00:27:06,919
Speaker 2: going to have that much success against the Chiefs. And

638
00:27:06,960 --> 00:27:09,280
Speaker 2: I think, really regardless, throw it all out, like what

639
00:27:09,960 --> 00:27:13,320
Speaker 2: to beat the Chiefs, you have to make it so

640
00:27:13,440 --> 00:27:16,080
Speaker 2: that there is a we've talked about it, a zero

641
00:27:16,160 --> 00:27:20,920
Speaker 2: percent chance that Patrick Mahomes can beat you with anything,

642
00:27:21,200 --> 00:27:23,320
Speaker 2: you know, more than thirty seconds left, because if you

643
00:27:23,440 --> 00:27:26,120
Speaker 2: if you leave that, that's done. I mean, Tyreek Hill

644
00:27:26,160 --> 00:27:28,480
Speaker 2: can take a slant, you know, eighty five yards or whatever,

645
00:27:28,520 --> 00:27:31,040
Speaker 2: and just they're they're two goods. So for me, there's

646
00:27:31,080 --> 00:27:33,159
Speaker 2: no I mean, I'm waiting if it comes down to

647
00:27:33,240 --> 00:27:35,359
Speaker 2: three at DraftKings again, that's one of the few books

648
00:27:35,359 --> 00:27:37,160
Speaker 2: that's still at three and a half right now. If

649
00:27:37,160 --> 00:27:39,240
Speaker 2: it comes down to three, I'm going to bet it

650
00:27:39,240 --> 00:27:40,760
Speaker 2: because I think the Chiefs are gonna win. I may

651
00:27:40,800 --> 00:27:43,600
Speaker 2: sprinkle on the Chief's money line, which again that is

652
00:27:43,640 --> 00:27:47,119
Speaker 2: a little more favorable. It's minus one sixty seven. The

653
00:27:47,160 --> 00:27:50,119
Speaker 2: consensus line is one seventy William Hills one seventy. So

654
00:27:50,440 --> 00:27:53,080
Speaker 2: maybe I don't know, but yeah, it's it's you know,

655
00:27:53,200 --> 00:27:55,679
Speaker 2: there's no real value on either side, like this is

656
00:27:55,680 --> 00:27:58,440
Speaker 2: the super Bowl at this point. They know what they're doing. Yeah,

657
00:27:58,480 --> 00:28:01,160
Speaker 2: and the total I don't know, man, I can tell

658
00:28:01,160 --> 00:28:03,160
Speaker 2: you again that I'm I'm I don't care how sharp

659
00:28:03,200 --> 00:28:05,000
Speaker 2: it might be. I'm not betting unders, like, there's no

660
00:28:05,040 --> 00:28:06,960
Speaker 2: way I'm betting under. Yeah, there's not.

661
00:28:07,080 --> 00:28:08,200
Speaker 1: The not the look.

662
00:28:08,320 --> 00:28:10,800
Speaker 3: I had someone on my show today say get me

663
00:28:10,800 --> 00:28:13,639
Speaker 3: to sixty, and I might listen to an under, but not.

664
00:28:13,720 --> 00:28:15,280
Speaker 3: I'm not listening to the under until you get me

665
00:28:15,320 --> 00:28:19,560
Speaker 3: to sixty. Yeah, and I think that's really possible. I look,

666
00:28:20,320 --> 00:28:22,200
Speaker 3: this is how I'm going to approach this. I am

667
00:28:22,240 --> 00:28:26,200
Speaker 3: going to have a laundry list of props going. Yes,

668
00:28:26,240 --> 00:28:29,320
Speaker 3: I'm I'm just gonna watch this game for who wins.

669
00:28:29,359 --> 00:28:32,320
Speaker 3: I'm gonna hope for Tom Brady. I'm not sweating this

670
00:28:32,400 --> 00:28:34,400
Speaker 3: out where I gotta worry about two Hall of Fame

671
00:28:34,480 --> 00:28:36,359
Speaker 3: quarterbacks going up and down the field and again on

672
00:28:36,440 --> 00:28:40,600
Speaker 3: that on somewhat questionable defenses. I don't want to worry

673
00:28:40,600 --> 00:28:43,400
Speaker 3: about turnovers changing games. I don't want to worry about

674
00:28:43,440 --> 00:28:46,120
Speaker 3: on side kicks and missed extra points. I don't want

675
00:28:46,160 --> 00:28:48,200
Speaker 3: to I don't want to worry about fluky stuff. I

676
00:28:48,240 --> 00:28:52,240
Speaker 3: just want to line up receptions, touchdowns, coin flips, national anthem.

677
00:28:52,280 --> 00:28:55,600
Speaker 3: I I just want to get all crazy with prop bets,

678
00:28:55,840 --> 00:28:58,880
Speaker 3: and that would be my recommendation to everyone here because

679
00:28:59,160 --> 00:29:01,480
Speaker 3: the one thing that I saw on Twitter last night

680
00:29:01,520 --> 00:29:03,640
Speaker 3: from the bookmakers here in Las Vegas. What they were

681
00:29:03,640 --> 00:29:07,720
Speaker 3: reporting is that they were dumbfounded at the crickets they heard.

682
00:29:07,880 --> 00:29:11,640
Speaker 3: When the line went up, it didn't move. There weren't

683
00:29:11,640 --> 00:29:14,760
Speaker 3: big bets. Circus Sports in Vegas had one hundred thousand

684
00:29:14,760 --> 00:29:17,080
Speaker 3: dollars limit, and people were betting on the money lines.

685
00:29:17,160 --> 00:29:20,080
Speaker 1: They were not touching the total, the sides of the totals.

686
00:29:20,520 --> 00:29:23,600
Speaker 3: It was just chiefs win, here's one hundred grand bucks win,

687
00:29:23,760 --> 00:29:26,320
Speaker 3: here's one hundred grand not worrying about the point spreads,

688
00:29:26,360 --> 00:29:28,960
Speaker 3: not worrying about And I think that's pretty much the

689
00:29:29,000 --> 00:29:30,320
Speaker 3: smartest way to approach this.

690
00:29:30,360 --> 00:29:32,600
Speaker 1: If you're going to bet a side, just bet the

691
00:29:32,640 --> 00:29:34,520
Speaker 1: team to win, don't worry about the points spread.

692
00:29:34,800 --> 00:29:36,800
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's fair. And again you talked about it. At

693
00:29:36,800 --> 00:29:41,480
Speaker 2: this point, everybody knows props are really how to best

694
00:29:41,600 --> 00:29:44,560
Speaker 2: enjoy the Super Bowl. And again we've had, you know,

695
00:29:44,920 --> 00:29:47,600
Speaker 2: props have been whatever so far in the playoffs. The

696
00:29:47,720 --> 00:29:51,680
Speaker 2: last two Super Bowls have been really really problem for

697
00:29:51,800 --> 00:29:54,200
Speaker 2: me from my bood perspective. Yeah, I know. So let's

698
00:29:54,200 --> 00:29:56,040
Speaker 2: hope that we crushed it. Now we're going to be

699
00:29:56,080 --> 00:29:59,719
Speaker 2: doing another podcast where we're going to talk about props.

700
00:30:00,040 --> 00:30:01,640
Speaker 2: You'll talk about it of course on The Daily Juice

701
00:30:01,920 --> 00:30:03,920
Speaker 2: we're talking about how to maybe mix the two. And

702
00:30:03,960 --> 00:30:05,959
Speaker 2: then again I will give you details on this, but

703
00:30:06,120 --> 00:30:08,080
Speaker 2: Matt and I are going to be doing a live

704
00:30:08,080 --> 00:30:10,120
Speaker 2: stream on Super Bowl Sunday. We're gonna have a ton

705
00:30:10,120 --> 00:30:12,000
Speaker 2: of stuff. We're also going to be giving away some

706
00:30:12,080 --> 00:30:14,239
Speaker 2: incredible prizes. I'm not gonna tell you what they are

707
00:30:14,280 --> 00:30:16,920
Speaker 2: right now, but they're going to be incredible, I promise you.

708
00:30:17,040 --> 00:30:19,000
Speaker 2: That's at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros. We will

709
00:30:19,000 --> 00:30:21,240
Speaker 2: give you more information on that, but until then, yeah,

710
00:30:21,280 --> 00:30:23,640
Speaker 2: I agree. I mean, whatever, man, you want to bet.

711
00:30:23,960 --> 00:30:26,000
Speaker 2: I'm telling you, if gun to my head, I am

712
00:30:26,040 --> 00:30:30,280
Speaker 2: taking the Chiefs minus three, and even at minus three

713
00:30:30,280 --> 00:30:31,760
Speaker 2: and a half, I'd probably just take them because I

714
00:30:32,320 --> 00:30:34,239
Speaker 2: can tell you there is no number right now, like

715
00:30:35,040 --> 00:30:37,320
Speaker 2: you know, short of seven where I would take the

716
00:30:37,320 --> 00:30:39,800
Speaker 2: Bucks because I just can't. I'd go over the fifty

717
00:30:39,800 --> 00:30:41,120
Speaker 2: six and a half gun to my head if I

718
00:30:41,200 --> 00:30:43,120
Speaker 2: had ten, and I'd take the Chiefs on the money line.

719
00:30:43,120 --> 00:30:45,840
Speaker 2: But I'm not running out there to do any of that.

720
00:30:45,920 --> 00:30:48,440
Speaker 2: You know, I feel like you probably feel roughly the

721
00:30:48,480 --> 00:30:49,840
Speaker 2: same on both.

722
00:30:50,520 --> 00:30:51,800
Speaker 1: Entirely exactly the same.

723
00:30:51,880 --> 00:30:56,320
Speaker 3: I mean, if I think this is a game, it's

724
00:30:57,480 --> 00:31:00,640
Speaker 3: it's hard to bet against Tom Brady, but it's even

725
00:31:00,720 --> 00:31:03,760
Speaker 3: more hard to bet against this chief team with Patrick Mahomes,

726
00:31:03,800 --> 00:31:07,360
Speaker 3: just given the arm talent, given the offensive game plan,

727
00:31:07,440 --> 00:31:09,960
Speaker 3: and given the weapons that they've got. You're right the

728
00:31:10,000 --> 00:31:14,360
Speaker 3: way it happens, patrick Mahomes gets hurt. Yes, if Mahomes

729
00:31:14,360 --> 00:31:17,920
Speaker 3: gets hurt, the whole world comes undone, right, And not

730
00:31:18,360 --> 00:31:20,440
Speaker 3: to say that if you bet the Bucks, you're banking

731
00:31:20,480 --> 00:31:23,560
Speaker 3: on a Mahomes injury, but you kind of are. I

732
00:31:23,600 --> 00:31:25,920
Speaker 3: mean that's kind of the thing that you you're expecting

733
00:31:25,960 --> 00:31:28,320
Speaker 3: him to have something significant happen in the football game

734
00:31:28,360 --> 00:31:30,920
Speaker 3: to him, and hopefully no more. If you bet the Chiefs,

735
00:31:31,040 --> 00:31:33,120
Speaker 3: hopefully you aren't going to see you know, any more

736
00:31:33,160 --> 00:31:36,320
Speaker 3: fourth than one option runs with better Mahomes. Let's not

737
00:31:36,360 --> 00:31:37,120
Speaker 3: ever see that again.

738
00:31:37,360 --> 00:31:39,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, if you're a Chief backer, I agree with that.

739
00:31:39,360 --> 00:31:42,200
Speaker 2: And again another big point is you don't you don't

740
00:31:42,240 --> 00:31:43,880
Speaker 2: have to run to bet this. I mean, I think

741
00:31:43,920 --> 00:31:45,479
Speaker 2: part of doing it right now is to give our

742
00:31:45,640 --> 00:31:48,080
Speaker 2: kind of immediate reaction to the line. But I think

743
00:31:48,120 --> 00:31:50,600
Speaker 2: whatever our immediate reaction is, like, it's not gonna You

744
00:31:50,640 --> 00:31:53,479
Speaker 2: have seen the point total move, you know, from the

745
00:31:53,640 --> 00:31:56,240
Speaker 2: very first time that they opened it down a point.

746
00:31:56,280 --> 00:31:57,560
Speaker 2: I think it was fifty seven and a half when

747
00:31:57,560 --> 00:32:00,280
Speaker 2: it first open down a point. But again, it's really

748
00:32:00,320 --> 00:32:02,440
Speaker 2: just not gonna be much at this point. You're right

749
00:32:02,520 --> 00:32:04,960
Speaker 2: between three, three and a half maybe, but I think

750
00:32:04,960 --> 00:32:07,120
Speaker 2: it's gonna mostly stick at three for where it is.

751
00:32:07,120 --> 00:32:08,640
Speaker 2: It's kind of you said fifty six and a half.

752
00:32:08,680 --> 00:32:10,760
Speaker 2: It's gonna be around their money line, safe thing. So

753
00:32:11,040 --> 00:32:13,400
Speaker 2: take your time, enjoy it, do as much reachars as

754
00:32:13,400 --> 00:32:15,360
Speaker 2: you can. Better. Yet, if you don't want to bet it,

755
00:32:15,960 --> 00:32:18,520
Speaker 2: use the props, use our what what is our prop Matt,

756
00:32:18,560 --> 00:32:21,000
Speaker 2: you talked about it. What's our prop bet cheat? Sheat?

757
00:32:21,040 --> 00:32:22,960
Speaker 1: What's the cop prop bet cheat sheet?

758
00:32:23,040 --> 00:32:25,560
Speaker 3: Yes, okay, don't on that because even that needs to

759
00:32:25,600 --> 00:32:27,640
Speaker 3: be done through an algorithm. It's going to take some

760
00:32:27,640 --> 00:32:30,520
Speaker 3: time for that to populate through around different players playing

761
00:32:30,600 --> 00:32:33,920
Speaker 3: and injury reports, and there's a lot of things. I mean,

762
00:32:34,120 --> 00:32:37,320
Speaker 3: it's this this week is a really good week. Just

763
00:32:37,400 --> 00:32:42,120
Speaker 3: to get yourself situated, like, start looking at the props.

764
00:32:42,160 --> 00:32:44,760
Speaker 3: You're probably gonna look And also I tried doing this

765
00:32:44,800 --> 00:32:47,000
Speaker 3: sometimes if you got extra time, make your own prop

766
00:32:47,000 --> 00:32:49,400
Speaker 3: bets and then match them up with the book. So like,

767
00:32:49,760 --> 00:32:52,600
Speaker 3: how many numbers? How many touchdowns do you expect Tom

768
00:32:52,640 --> 00:32:54,720
Speaker 3: Brady to throw? What's the number? Is it two and

769
00:32:54,760 --> 00:32:56,080
Speaker 3: a half if it's two and a half? What I

770
00:32:56,080 --> 00:32:57,760
Speaker 3: think it is right now at DraftKings it's two and

771
00:32:57,800 --> 00:33:00,480
Speaker 3: a half at plus one fifty? Right likelihood Ay throwing

772
00:33:00,480 --> 00:33:02,400
Speaker 3: two or more touchdowns or two and a half touchdowns?

773
00:33:02,400 --> 00:33:04,840
Speaker 3: Three touchdowns probably pretty good, right for plus money? Not

774
00:33:04,960 --> 00:33:07,080
Speaker 3: a bad place to be. How many for Mahomes? Is

775
00:33:07,160 --> 00:33:09,320
Speaker 3: gonna be three to using me three and a half

776
00:33:09,360 --> 00:33:12,440
Speaker 3: for Patrick Mahomes? How many rushing yards for Clyde Edwards Hilaire.

777
00:33:12,480 --> 00:33:14,040
Speaker 3: If you agree with me that they're just gonna scrap

778
00:33:14,040 --> 00:33:15,560
Speaker 3: the run and throw the whole time, maybe you're betting

779
00:33:15,560 --> 00:33:18,600
Speaker 3: the under on Clyde Edwards Hilaire rushing, So like, make

780
00:33:18,640 --> 00:33:20,520
Speaker 3: your own and then match it up once it comes out,

781
00:33:20,600 --> 00:33:22,200
Speaker 3: or even still, go and check out the books that

782
00:33:22,240 --> 00:33:25,320
Speaker 3: dot props up and kind of see where your number

783
00:33:25,400 --> 00:33:27,840
Speaker 3: is versus where their number is, and that can help

784
00:33:27,920 --> 00:33:30,000
Speaker 3: you make these wages on prop bets. And look, the

785
00:33:30,040 --> 00:33:32,920
Speaker 3: majority of people are gonna make ten, fifteen, twenty five

786
00:33:32,960 --> 00:33:34,600
Speaker 3: buck bets on the props.

787
00:33:34,760 --> 00:33:36,760
Speaker 1: They're gonna take your business all day long.

788
00:33:37,160 --> 00:33:38,840
Speaker 3: So if you have a couple of hundred dollars and

789
00:33:38,880 --> 00:33:40,880
Speaker 3: that's what you're gonna betting on the super Bowl, rather

790
00:33:40,920 --> 00:33:42,800
Speaker 3: than putting it down on one side or the other,

791
00:33:42,960 --> 00:33:44,840
Speaker 3: it's a whole lot more fun to sprinkle that around.

792
00:33:45,200 --> 00:33:47,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's a good point. That is a really good point.

793
00:33:47,320 --> 00:33:51,120
Speaker 2: And again I probably started doing that, I mean certainly

794
00:33:51,200 --> 00:33:54,800
Speaker 2: last year, but two years ago, you know, I went

795
00:33:54,800 --> 00:33:57,800
Speaker 2: out to Vegas and I did prop bets. Are there's

796
00:33:57,880 --> 00:34:00,320
Speaker 2: so much fun, especially in the Super Bowl in.

797
00:34:00,280 --> 00:34:02,920
Speaker 3: Line when you came here, Yeah, oh yeah, did did

798
00:34:03,000 --> 00:34:04,800
Speaker 3: they limit you to two bets at a time?

799
00:34:05,040 --> 00:34:05,240
Speaker 2: Yep?

800
00:34:05,640 --> 00:34:06,880
Speaker 1: That's the worst I know.

801
00:34:07,440 --> 00:34:10,399
Speaker 3: It's it's actually comical to watch it, if you ever.

802
00:34:10,719 --> 00:34:13,600
Speaker 3: It's like a people watching experiment because you have this

803
00:34:13,760 --> 00:34:17,040
Speaker 3: line of like seventy five fifty plus year old white

804
00:34:17,080 --> 00:34:19,520
Speaker 3: dudes yea, all like looking like something out of the

805
00:34:19,520 --> 00:34:21,960
Speaker 3: movie Casino, and they're all in line and they all

806
00:34:22,000 --> 00:34:24,000
Speaker 3: got these big, huge stack of stuff, and they walk

807
00:34:24,080 --> 00:34:25,799
Speaker 3: up and they make their two bets and they go

808
00:34:25,840 --> 00:34:28,040
Speaker 3: back to the end of the line and they make

809
00:34:28,040 --> 00:34:29,360
Speaker 3: their two bets and walk back to the end of

810
00:34:29,360 --> 00:34:29,719
Speaker 3: the line.

811
00:34:29,920 --> 00:34:32,040
Speaker 2: I did it, thankfully, with like ten friends, so we

812
00:34:32,160 --> 00:34:33,759
Speaker 2: all sort of like there was like a bunch of

813
00:34:33,800 --> 00:34:34,440
Speaker 2: us going.

814
00:34:34,400 --> 00:34:35,839
Speaker 1: Oh, that's good. So you all get to bet too,

815
00:34:36,200 --> 00:34:37,440
Speaker 1: exactly exactly what I do.

816
00:34:37,960 --> 00:34:40,400
Speaker 2: That's how we did it. But thankfully now i've draftings.

817
00:34:40,400 --> 00:34:41,759
Speaker 2: But again, yeah, that really is the best way to

818
00:34:41,760 --> 00:34:43,399
Speaker 2: do it. And we're gonna have a ton of prop

819
00:34:43,400 --> 00:34:45,440
Speaker 2: bet information. There's a ton on betting pros that prop

820
00:34:45,480 --> 00:34:47,360
Speaker 2: bet cheat cheo. But again, you're right, wait on that,

821
00:34:47,480 --> 00:34:50,239
Speaker 2: wait for all the information that you can. In the meantime.

822
00:34:50,440 --> 00:34:52,920
Speaker 2: Oh boy, it's gonna be fun. Matt, Tom Brady and

823
00:34:52,920 --> 00:34:55,560
Speaker 2: Patrick Mahomes. It's it's been a crazy season. It's a

824
00:34:55,560 --> 00:34:58,000
Speaker 2: good way to end it. So we'll be there for

825
00:34:58,040 --> 00:34:58,399
Speaker 2: you again.

826
00:34:58,719 --> 00:35:00,080
Speaker 1: Didn't ask me the one important.

827
00:34:59,800 --> 00:35:01,799
Speaker 2: Question, though, what's your one important question?

828
00:35:01,880 --> 00:35:03,080
Speaker 1: You didn't ask Peo about home field?

829
00:35:03,960 --> 00:35:05,960
Speaker 2: Oh, I get you're right, My apologies.

830
00:35:06,000 --> 00:35:07,120
Speaker 1: Didn't ask me about home field.

831
00:35:07,280 --> 00:35:08,480
Speaker 2: What's what's the impact?

832
00:35:08,480 --> 00:35:12,080
Speaker 1: Matt means nothing and nothing.

833
00:35:12,200 --> 00:35:14,440
Speaker 2: I agree with you, but say why you think.

834
00:35:14,280 --> 00:35:16,720
Speaker 3: That, because if they're going to have seven five hundred

835
00:35:16,760 --> 00:35:19,760
Speaker 3: fans there. They're all going to be Tampa Bay fans. Technically,

836
00:35:19,760 --> 00:35:21,719
Speaker 3: the Chiefs are going to send their own fans. There's

837
00:35:21,719 --> 00:35:23,760
Speaker 3: gonna be Chief fans there, So like, what's the maximum

838
00:35:23,840 --> 00:35:24,839
Speaker 3: number of people are going to be there?

839
00:35:24,880 --> 00:35:27,480
Speaker 1: Sixteen thousand? Are they all going to be on one side?

840
00:35:27,680 --> 00:35:32,600
Speaker 3: No, it's just the typical audience for a Super Bowl

841
00:35:32,760 --> 00:35:35,680
Speaker 3: is pretty muted anyway because it's a lot of corporate windings.

842
00:35:35,760 --> 00:35:39,560
Speaker 2: Corporate tickets are going for like twenty thousand dollars a

843
00:35:39,560 --> 00:35:42,400
Speaker 2: piece at this point, Like I just read it's going

844
00:35:42,480 --> 00:35:44,160
Speaker 2: to be no corporate so go ahead.

845
00:35:44,360 --> 00:35:46,879
Speaker 1: Zero. They shouldn't be on the secondary market, by the way,

846
00:35:46,920 --> 00:35:50,680
Speaker 1: it shouldn't be. They shouldn't have them. But whatever, fine.

847
00:35:50,440 --> 00:35:53,120
Speaker 3: That people are going to get the tickets and sell them.

848
00:35:53,200 --> 00:35:58,440
Speaker 3: But I think there is absolutely no advantage other than

849
00:35:58,440 --> 00:35:59,479
Speaker 3: sleeping in your own bed.

850
00:36:00,640 --> 00:36:00,879
Speaker 1: Right.

851
00:36:00,960 --> 00:36:03,640
Speaker 2: But again, the other thing to sort of talk about is,

852
00:36:03,920 --> 00:36:06,759
Speaker 2: you know, it's the Super Bowl is always kind of

853
00:36:06,760 --> 00:36:09,160
Speaker 2: its own animal, regardless of where it is, Like of course,

854
00:36:09,200 --> 00:36:11,279
Speaker 2: being home, you're not having that. The Chiefs are gonna

855
00:36:11,280 --> 00:36:13,560
Speaker 2: fly there right the day before the game, right, I mean,

856
00:36:13,560 --> 00:36:15,160
Speaker 2: this is gonna be like a normal other than the

857
00:36:15,200 --> 00:36:16,840
Speaker 2: fact that the Super Bowl, you don't have the usual

858
00:36:17,280 --> 00:36:19,640
Speaker 2: like Super Bowl two weeks of you know, stuff that's

859
00:36:19,640 --> 00:36:19,920
Speaker 2: going on.

860
00:36:20,160 --> 00:36:22,719
Speaker 3: Oh, it's a huge deal that there's no radio row,

861
00:36:23,239 --> 00:36:27,200
Speaker 3: there's no parties, there's none of that. Nothing like that

862
00:36:27,320 --> 00:36:30,120
Speaker 3: is happening. And that's why again to go back to

863
00:36:30,640 --> 00:36:32,640
Speaker 3: the Bucks run for a second, with their three games

864
00:36:32,680 --> 00:36:35,200
Speaker 3: that they've won on the road. Yes, it's impressive as

865
00:36:35,239 --> 00:36:37,759
Speaker 3: the first team since the twenty ten Packers to do it,

866
00:36:38,239 --> 00:36:40,279
Speaker 3: but it's not that impressive to me because they did

867
00:36:40,280 --> 00:36:40,719
Speaker 3: it with no.

868
00:36:40,719 --> 00:36:44,760
Speaker 1: Fans in stands. Yeah, you're just playing on a quiet field.

869
00:36:45,000 --> 00:36:47,160
Speaker 3: And yeah there were fans there in Green Bay, and yep,

870
00:36:47,160 --> 00:36:49,560
Speaker 3: there were banging signs like crazy and they're making some noise.

871
00:36:49,600 --> 00:36:52,080
Speaker 3: So it definitely was a typical. But it wasn't sixty

872
00:36:52,160 --> 00:36:56,520
Speaker 3: thousand at Lambeau, right, It wasn't your typical screaming, you know,

873
00:36:56,920 --> 00:36:59,360
Speaker 3: making your head hurt type of crowd at Lambeau Field.

874
00:37:00,320 --> 00:37:03,279
Speaker 3: From it's normally pretty calm anyway, in the Super Bowl,

875
00:37:03,400 --> 00:37:05,600
Speaker 3: it's going to be even more calm and without the

876
00:37:05,600 --> 00:37:08,640
Speaker 3: pomp and circumstance, without all the hoop law that normally

877
00:37:08,680 --> 00:37:09,319
Speaker 3: goes into it.

878
00:37:09,480 --> 00:37:12,400
Speaker 1: I mean, what's what's media day going to be? Like nothing,

879
00:37:12,520 --> 00:37:13,600
Speaker 1: They're not having a media day.

880
00:37:13,600 --> 00:37:16,839
Speaker 3: It's virtual like all that stuff, no crazy people ever

881
00:37:17,160 --> 00:37:20,680
Speaker 3: with marriage proposals and all the nuts stuff with Tom

882
00:37:20,719 --> 00:37:22,919
Speaker 3: Brady crying about his father like he does every time,

883
00:37:23,360 --> 00:37:25,520
Speaker 3: Like that stuff's gone. That stuff's not going to be there.

884
00:37:25,560 --> 00:37:29,680
Speaker 3: So I think it's a significant deal that the distraction

885
00:37:29,840 --> 00:37:32,560
Speaker 3: potential is not likely for the Casey Chiefs.

886
00:37:32,960 --> 00:37:36,279
Speaker 2: I mean for me, frankly, the Chiefs won the Super

887
00:37:36,320 --> 00:37:39,800
Speaker 2: Bowl last year. Brady's been to you know, a million

888
00:37:39,800 --> 00:37:42,319
Speaker 2: of them, this is tenth one or whatever. It doesn't

889
00:37:42,320 --> 00:37:45,040
Speaker 2: matter at this point regardless, especially for these teams. I

890
00:37:45,080 --> 00:37:46,880
Speaker 2: mean maybe with the Bucks, because.

891
00:37:46,640 --> 00:37:48,120
Speaker 1: I think it's the deal for the Bucks, by the way,

892
00:37:48,160 --> 00:37:48,920
Speaker 1: not to have any of that.

893
00:37:49,080 --> 00:37:50,720
Speaker 2: I really do you think it's better?

894
00:37:50,960 --> 00:37:51,200
Speaker 1: Yeah?

895
00:37:51,360 --> 00:37:52,759
Speaker 3: Or I think it's better for them to just turn

896
00:37:52,840 --> 00:37:54,560
Speaker 3: like a normal football game. I think it's better than that.

897
00:37:54,640 --> 00:37:56,560
Speaker 3: You don't act like it's the super Bowl. I think

898
00:37:56,560 --> 00:37:58,680
Speaker 3: it's a big I think it's a bigger deal. I

899
00:37:58,719 --> 00:38:00,680
Speaker 3: think it's a big deal actually of the Bucks, who

900
00:38:00,719 --> 00:38:02,600
Speaker 3: have a bunch of guys who can get caught up

901
00:38:02,640 --> 00:38:05,040
Speaker 3: in that moment, young guys who had never been there before.

902
00:38:05,640 --> 00:38:08,000
Speaker 3: You know, for Brady and Gronk, I don't think it matters.

903
00:38:08,040 --> 00:38:11,719
Speaker 3: But I think for Godwin and for Tyler Johnson and

904
00:38:11,880 --> 00:38:13,680
Speaker 3: the guys who are young in their careers who have

905
00:38:13,760 --> 00:38:17,000
Speaker 3: never seen this before, I think all that media could

906
00:38:17,080 --> 00:38:19,279
Speaker 3: really flip them on their heads. On a media day

907
00:38:19,360 --> 00:38:23,040
Speaker 3: or then multiple media days, appearances and talking every morning.

908
00:38:23,080 --> 00:38:26,200
Speaker 3: It's normally Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, it's Monday night for the

909
00:38:26,360 --> 00:38:29,120
Speaker 3: media night, and then Tuesday they talk again, then Wednesday

910
00:38:29,120 --> 00:38:31,200
Speaker 3: they talk again, and then they stop talking to the media.

911
00:38:31,800 --> 00:38:32,920
Speaker 1: They're not going to have any of that.

912
00:38:34,160 --> 00:38:35,839
Speaker 3: So I think for the young guys for the Bucks

913
00:38:35,840 --> 00:38:37,839
Speaker 3: and think that is a pretty big break for them

914
00:38:37,880 --> 00:38:38,359
Speaker 3: in this game.

915
00:38:38,800 --> 00:38:42,040
Speaker 2: So the impact is more of the fact that it's

916
00:38:42,160 --> 00:38:44,759
Speaker 2: the pandemic and we don't have the normal radio sort

917
00:38:44,800 --> 00:38:46,480
Speaker 2: of stuff, not as much the home field.

918
00:38:46,760 --> 00:38:49,959
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think it's much less distractions going this time around.

919
00:38:50,000 --> 00:38:51,399
Speaker 3: And I think if you're the Tampa Bay Bucks, you'd

920
00:38:51,520 --> 00:38:54,680
Speaker 3: rather have the Chiefs be distracted. You'd rather have that

921
00:38:55,480 --> 00:38:58,160
Speaker 3: it's better for you, But it's worse because the Chiefs,

922
00:38:58,200 --> 00:39:00,640
Speaker 3: just as you mentioned, will fly in. Two days before

923
00:39:00,640 --> 00:39:02,600
Speaker 3: the game, went through a couple of workouts on the

924
00:39:02,600 --> 00:39:04,600
Speaker 3: field and then go and that's bad news.

925
00:39:04,920 --> 00:39:07,399
Speaker 2: Yeah, no, I agree, I agree with you. The home

926
00:39:07,400 --> 00:39:09,400
Speaker 2: field means not. I mean, it's a great story, but

927
00:39:09,480 --> 00:39:11,399
Speaker 2: if there were ever a year to have the home

928
00:39:11,440 --> 00:39:13,600
Speaker 2: field for the super Bowl, this is not the year.

929
00:39:13,680 --> 00:39:13,960
Speaker 1: This is.

930
00:39:14,120 --> 00:39:16,320
Speaker 2: This is not I mean, it's good for Patrick Mahomes,

931
00:39:16,719 --> 00:39:19,799
Speaker 2: of course, but certainly would have worked way more in

932
00:39:19,840 --> 00:39:22,360
Speaker 2: their favor had there been real fans and all that

933
00:39:22,360 --> 00:39:24,680
Speaker 2: sort of stuff. But anyway, we got a long time,

934
00:39:24,760 --> 00:39:26,920
Speaker 2: long time to think about this. But again, focus on

935
00:39:26,960 --> 00:39:28,799
Speaker 2: the player props. That's where all the fun is. So

936
00:39:28,840 --> 00:39:30,960
Speaker 2: we'll be back again next week. We'll do a player

937
00:39:30,960 --> 00:39:33,279
Speaker 2: prop episode because again there's a lot of them are

938
00:39:33,280 --> 00:39:36,120
Speaker 2: out already anyway, so we'll be able to talk about

939
00:39:36,120 --> 00:39:38,520
Speaker 2: them a little earlier than usual. And again we'll do

940
00:39:38,560 --> 00:39:41,680
Speaker 2: a live stream on our YouTube channel, YouTube dot com

941
00:39:41,680 --> 00:39:42,560
Speaker 2: slash Benning Presence and.

942
00:39:42,640 --> 00:39:44,879
Speaker 1: They have before we go real quick.

943
00:39:45,280 --> 00:39:47,520
Speaker 3: Yeah, so you can't see this stamp, but I'm wearing

944
00:39:47,560 --> 00:39:51,360
Speaker 3: the Daily Juice T shirt. Yes, you guys are dming

945
00:39:51,400 --> 00:39:53,200
Speaker 3: me and asking me how to buy these and how

946
00:39:53,200 --> 00:39:54,440
Speaker 3: to buy the hoodies.

947
00:39:54,600 --> 00:39:54,920
Speaker 1: Okay.

948
00:39:55,120 --> 00:40:00,560
Speaker 3: Fantasypros dot Com slash shot correct, Fantasypros dot Com slash shop.

949
00:40:01,080 --> 00:40:03,759
Speaker 2: You can't see me. Hold on, I'm gonna move my

950
00:40:03,920 --> 00:40:08,240
Speaker 2: uh my microphone here. But I'm wearing a Fantasy Pros

951
00:40:08,400 --> 00:40:11,279
Speaker 2: nice right now. Of course as we do it that

952
00:40:11,320 --> 00:40:11,759
Speaker 2: they got it.

953
00:40:11,719 --> 00:40:12,240
Speaker 1: So that stuff.

954
00:40:12,280 --> 00:40:14,279
Speaker 3: If you're asking me, I'm getting like messages all the

955
00:40:14,280 --> 00:40:15,480
Speaker 3: time like what hoody, we're gonna get it.

956
00:40:15,520 --> 00:40:17,600
Speaker 1: What T shirt? We're gonna get it. That's where you

957
00:40:17,640 --> 00:40:18,319
Speaker 1: go and get it, guys.

958
00:40:18,480 --> 00:40:21,319
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, absolutely. Also, Betting Pros hats are new, as

959
00:40:21,640 --> 00:40:25,279
Speaker 2: the hats now their hats for Betting Pros. I don't

960
00:40:25,280 --> 00:40:26,200
Speaker 2: think the Juice hats yet.

961
00:40:26,200 --> 00:40:29,200
Speaker 1: I think BP's BP hats are cool.

962
00:40:29,400 --> 00:40:31,839
Speaker 2: Don't worry, but we're coming. We're coming tons of stuff.

963
00:40:31,840 --> 00:40:33,560
Speaker 2: Don't worry. More and more every day.

964
00:40:33,440 --> 00:40:33,759
Speaker 1: You know that.

965
00:40:33,800 --> 00:40:36,799
Speaker 3: Every time we add something, somebody asks me for something else. Right, yeah,

966
00:40:36,960 --> 00:40:39,520
Speaker 3: just keep now I've gotten I've got people saying they

967
00:40:39,520 --> 00:40:41,319
Speaker 3: want long T shirts, long sleeve T shirt.

968
00:40:41,400 --> 00:40:43,480
Speaker 2: Yes, yes, I'm gonna They're like where.

969
00:40:43,680 --> 00:40:46,680
Speaker 3: And now the big boys are all mad because Triple

970
00:40:46,840 --> 00:40:48,880
Speaker 3: X is the best. Is the biggest size.

971
00:40:48,680 --> 00:40:49,080
Speaker 1: We go to.

972
00:40:49,560 --> 00:40:50,360
Speaker 2: They need bigger.

973
00:40:50,560 --> 00:40:52,399
Speaker 1: I'm like, dude, like what, like, I.

974
00:40:52,360 --> 00:40:53,520
Speaker 2: Mean bigger than Triple X.

975
00:40:54,000 --> 00:40:55,600
Speaker 1: They said they be big and tall.

976
00:40:56,480 --> 00:40:58,600
Speaker 3: I was like, I don't do any of this stuff, guys,

977
00:40:58,640 --> 00:41:01,680
Speaker 3: but like Triple X is pretty damn big, and I'm

978
00:41:01,719 --> 00:41:04,680
Speaker 3: sorry I'm not in charge of this, but damn.

979
00:41:04,719 --> 00:41:06,560
Speaker 2: All right, I'll see if we can get giant size.

980
00:41:06,560 --> 00:41:08,400
Speaker 2: Don't worry, I'm on it. I'll see what the boys

981
00:41:08,400 --> 00:41:10,160
Speaker 2: can do back there. But yeah, we're adding stuff again,

982
00:41:10,160 --> 00:41:13,520
Speaker 2: Fantasypros dot Com, slash Shop, plenty of stuff there, and

983
00:41:13,560 --> 00:41:15,520
Speaker 2: again We're going to be adding new stuff more and

984
00:41:15,600 --> 00:41:17,920
Speaker 2: more all the time. But Matt, anything you get, anytime

985
00:41:17,920 --> 00:41:19,600
Speaker 2: people ask you about it, just send it my way.

986
00:41:19,640 --> 00:41:21,560
Speaker 2: I'll see what I can do to get things up

987
00:41:21,560 --> 00:41:24,279
Speaker 2: and running. And they are. I was looking at the

988
00:41:24,360 --> 00:41:26,560
Speaker 2: numbers today. They are some of our Daily Juice are

989
00:41:26,600 --> 00:41:28,520
Speaker 2: definitely some of our best sellers. So it's nice to

990
00:41:28,560 --> 00:41:32,360
Speaker 2: see that our listeners are really coming out to support.

991
00:41:32,440 --> 00:41:34,359
Speaker 2: All Right, Anyway, we'll be back next week talking about

992
00:41:34,360 --> 00:41:36,759
Speaker 2: player props again. Don't forget YouTube dot com slash Betting

993
00:41:36,760 --> 00:41:38,800
Speaker 2: pro subscribe so you don't miss it. We'll be talking

994
00:41:38,800 --> 00:41:41,160
Speaker 2: about props big day on the Super Bowl, for sure.

995
00:41:41,200 --> 00:41:44,800
Speaker 2: You're going to want tune into that. Until then, just relax,

996
00:41:45,000 --> 00:41:47,120
Speaker 2: enjoy it, don't rush to bet anything or anything like that.

997
00:41:47,200 --> 00:41:49,440
Speaker 2: Take your time, survey the props, and we'll talk to

998
00:41:49,440 --> 00:42:04,000
Speaker 2: you next week.