WEBVTT - How Technology Has Reinvented Business

0:00:01.800 --> 0:00:04.440
<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carol Masser and I'm

0:00:04.480 --> 0:00:07.320
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stanovik. We're here every day bringing

0:00:07.320 --> 0:00:09.840
<v Speaker 1>you the latest news from the world to business and finance,

0:00:09.840 --> 0:00:13.640
<v Speaker 1>plus technology, politics, economics, all purnising the power of Business

0:00:13.680 --> 0:00:17.119
<v Speaker 1>Week reporters and editors, not to mention our journalists and

0:00:17.160 --> 0:00:20.000
<v Speaker 1>analyst in more than one twenty countries. You can download

0:00:20.000 --> 0:00:23.239
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business Week and iTunes, SoundCloud, or Bloomberg dot Com.

0:00:23.400 --> 0:00:25.160
<v Speaker 1>You can also listen to our radio show at two

0:00:25.200 --> 0:00:27.880
<v Speaker 1>pm Eastern Time on Bloomberg Radio or watch us on

0:00:27.920 --> 0:00:31.280
<v Speaker 1>YouTube search Bloomberg Global News. Well, we caught up with

0:00:31.760 --> 0:00:34.040
<v Speaker 1>our next guest on the first trading day of this year.

0:00:34.080 --> 0:00:36.320
<v Speaker 1>Tim was back in January and we talked about how

0:00:36.360 --> 0:00:38.680
<v Speaker 1>things were going, how the pandemic has changed and shifted

0:00:38.720 --> 0:00:40.919
<v Speaker 1>the world of technology and I t demand. So it's

0:00:41.000 --> 0:00:44.320
<v Speaker 1>great to get his perspective again. Yeah. Rom Nagapon is

0:00:44.400 --> 0:00:47.160
<v Speaker 1>chief information Officer at bn Y Melon's Pershing. He joins

0:00:47.240 --> 0:00:49.360
<v Speaker 1>us on the phone from New Jersey, Ron, how you

0:00:49.360 --> 0:00:52.879
<v Speaker 1>doing doing good, doing good? Happy to be here with

0:00:53.040 --> 0:00:55.760
<v Speaker 1>you during the week of insight to the in line

0:00:55.800 --> 0:00:59.880
<v Speaker 1>Melon Pershing as Yeah, we are excited to have you back. UM,

0:01:00.200 --> 0:01:02.080
<v Speaker 1>take us through how things have shifted over the last

0:01:02.120 --> 0:01:05.200
<v Speaker 1>five months. Is as we have started this move many

0:01:05.240 --> 0:01:09.120
<v Speaker 1>of us and many of your clients back to the office. Yeah,

0:01:09.640 --> 0:01:13.840
<v Speaker 1>meaning we do see everybody moving into the hybrid. From

0:01:13.840 --> 0:01:16.720
<v Speaker 1>a technology point of view, I want to say we

0:01:16.760 --> 0:01:20.600
<v Speaker 1>did have technology that helps us work on remote, but

0:01:20.720 --> 0:01:22.560
<v Speaker 1>I want to say there's going to be a lot

0:01:22.600 --> 0:01:25.200
<v Speaker 1>of innovation and changes that's going to happen in this

0:01:25.280 --> 0:01:28.640
<v Speaker 1>space because whatever the tools we have has helped us,

0:01:28.840 --> 0:01:31.720
<v Speaker 1>but it is not the best. So the remote work

0:01:32.000 --> 0:01:35.240
<v Speaker 1>or working in a different places is going to exist,

0:01:35.480 --> 0:01:38.200
<v Speaker 1>and a newer technology and a new way of how

0:01:38.280 --> 0:01:41.319
<v Speaker 1>we collaborate is going to happen. We see more and

0:01:41.520 --> 0:01:45.760
<v Speaker 1>more digital capability is going to be rolled out, and

0:01:45.800 --> 0:01:48.720
<v Speaker 1>the experience that our clients are going to face while

0:01:48.800 --> 0:01:51.840
<v Speaker 1>they work, whatever they work, however they work, it's going

0:01:51.840 --> 0:01:54.120
<v Speaker 1>to be very different and it's going to be all

0:01:54.200 --> 0:01:56.520
<v Speaker 1>digital and more innovation is going to happen. And that's

0:01:56.520 --> 0:01:59.600
<v Speaker 1>what I see in this UM. You know, I would

0:01:59.640 --> 0:02:03.160
<v Speaker 1>say the hybrid work, uh environment that's going to go

0:02:03.200 --> 0:02:06.240
<v Speaker 1>into So we're all excited to come back to work. Actually,

0:02:06.560 --> 0:02:10.840
<v Speaker 1>and it's slowly progressing. I would say, we take it

0:02:10.960 --> 0:02:13.520
<v Speaker 1>day by day as things are getting back to our

0:02:13.600 --> 0:02:17.600
<v Speaker 1>original and hope you'll expected to come back to the

0:02:17.639 --> 0:02:20.079
<v Speaker 1>original as soon as possible. Well, I can't wait to

0:02:20.120 --> 0:02:25.400
<v Speaker 1>be with you guys, uh within sight in person because

0:02:25.440 --> 0:02:28.680
<v Speaker 1>it's such a great check from I always feel like

0:02:28.760 --> 0:02:31.360
<v Speaker 1>for me and for a Bloomberg audience to get an

0:02:31.440 --> 0:02:34.680
<v Speaker 1>idea of what's on the mind of investment advisors, what

0:02:34.720 --> 0:02:37.320
<v Speaker 1>they're hearing from clients. You know, what are the themes

0:02:37.320 --> 0:02:38.760
<v Speaker 1>and trends that we need to be aware of. And

0:02:38.840 --> 0:02:40.639
<v Speaker 1>you really kind of put it together. In terms of

0:02:40.840 --> 0:02:44.560
<v Speaker 1>the technology world. You say, more digital, more innovation in

0:02:44.639 --> 0:02:50.080
<v Speaker 1>space to come from. So what does that mean more specifically, Yeah, so,

0:02:50.080 --> 0:02:54.160
<v Speaker 1>so more specifically, what I would say is people are

0:02:54.200 --> 0:02:58.600
<v Speaker 1>applying technology to either be efficient or to deliver the

0:02:58.680 --> 0:03:01.400
<v Speaker 1>right experience and the growth. But here is what I

0:03:01.400 --> 0:03:03.840
<v Speaker 1>wanted to say. I mean people are looking at it

0:03:03.919 --> 0:03:07.640
<v Speaker 1>in an incremental fashion. That's good, there's nothing wrong in

0:03:07.800 --> 0:03:11.600
<v Speaker 1>doing applying technology to make it better in an incremental way.

0:03:11.880 --> 0:03:15.560
<v Speaker 1>But what I would you know, advise or make all

0:03:15.600 --> 0:03:19.600
<v Speaker 1>the innovators think is to be completely reinvent what you

0:03:19.680 --> 0:03:23.200
<v Speaker 1>do using this opportunity reinvent Either it could be a

0:03:23.280 --> 0:03:25.480
<v Speaker 1>business model or it could be the way in which

0:03:25.520 --> 0:03:29.320
<v Speaker 1>we deliver products and tools. So meaning even in the inside,

0:03:29.360 --> 0:03:33.200
<v Speaker 1>we're talking about how the advisory is changing from selling

0:03:33.200 --> 0:03:37.400
<v Speaker 1>products and using tools to almost like perfecting your practice

0:03:37.600 --> 0:03:40.520
<v Speaker 1>and focusing on your clients. So it's it's it's all

0:03:40.560 --> 0:03:45.240
<v Speaker 1>about reinventing your business applying the technology. So it's more

0:03:45.320 --> 0:03:50.120
<v Speaker 1>like technology driving and technology is enabling you to do

0:03:50.200 --> 0:03:52.360
<v Speaker 1>these kind of What about when it comes to new

0:03:52.400 --> 0:03:56.080
<v Speaker 1>innovations like cryptocurrency? Carol and I were talking about bitcoin

0:03:56.360 --> 0:04:00.720
<v Speaker 1>and Al Salvador becoming the first country to actually make

0:04:00.840 --> 0:04:04.920
<v Speaker 1>bitcoin legal tender bitcoin right now trading it about thirty

0:04:04.960 --> 0:04:08.360
<v Speaker 1>six thou dollars. How is technology changed that just during

0:04:08.400 --> 0:04:14.440
<v Speaker 1>the pandemic. Yeah, So so talking about crypto, the underlying blockchain,

0:04:15.240 --> 0:04:19.800
<v Speaker 1>it's used for the digital currency as well as other

0:04:20.000 --> 0:04:23.000
<v Speaker 1>so the technology of blockchain is there to exist now

0:04:23.080 --> 0:04:26.640
<v Speaker 1>talking about crypto per se um, it's it's it is

0:04:26.720 --> 0:04:30.200
<v Speaker 1>volatile and there's a lot of regulatory oversight on it.

0:04:30.520 --> 0:04:34.600
<v Speaker 1>So we at the environment and you know, actually announced

0:04:34.800 --> 0:04:38.159
<v Speaker 1>that we are going to be supporting the crypto pretty

0:04:38.240 --> 0:04:41.120
<v Speaker 1>much the entire life cycle for our clients to come

0:04:41.160 --> 0:04:43.960
<v Speaker 1>and consume either from creation of the asset all the

0:04:44.000 --> 0:04:48.120
<v Speaker 1>way to UM custoding and other type of things on

0:04:48.160 --> 0:04:50.839
<v Speaker 1>top of the crypto. So my view on this is

0:04:51.440 --> 0:04:54.400
<v Speaker 1>the technology is pretty solid, not only in the space

0:04:54.440 --> 0:04:58.039
<v Speaker 1>of the cryptocurrency, but also into a smart contract and

0:04:58.160 --> 0:05:03.599
<v Speaker 1>other type of lockchain applications. UM that's here to stay.

0:05:03.839 --> 0:05:07.160
<v Speaker 1>Even the cryptocurrency is here to say, it's just that UM.

0:05:07.200 --> 0:05:10.080
<v Speaker 1>You know, we need to be conscious about where it

0:05:10.080 --> 0:05:13.120
<v Speaker 1>gets applied, how it gets applied, based on the volatility

0:05:13.240 --> 0:05:16.280
<v Speaker 1>and other things people need to select learned. I think

0:05:16.320 --> 0:05:19.000
<v Speaker 1>the first thing is about the advisory community. It's all

0:05:19.040 --> 0:05:21.839
<v Speaker 1>about learning the new as a classes and we will

0:05:21.880 --> 0:05:25.120
<v Speaker 1>provide all the capabilities, but you need to match exactly

0:05:25.120 --> 0:05:27.919
<v Speaker 1>where to use crypto with your clients and all of

0:05:27.920 --> 0:05:30.120
<v Speaker 1>those is going to happen. So it's an evolving space.

0:05:30.400 --> 0:05:32.640
<v Speaker 1>But I wanted to say it's a space, it's an

0:05:32.640 --> 0:05:35.640
<v Speaker 1>asset class that is here to stay. Run. What was

0:05:35.680 --> 0:05:37.560
<v Speaker 1>the moment that that you realize that it was here

0:05:37.600 --> 0:05:39.440
<v Speaker 1>to stay and you needed to make these changes from

0:05:39.440 --> 0:05:43.479
<v Speaker 1>a technological perspective to offer this to clients. My thing

0:05:43.600 --> 0:05:47.000
<v Speaker 1>is when when you see the price fluctuates and institutions

0:05:47.040 --> 0:05:50.000
<v Speaker 1>getting in. See it started in a long time back.

0:05:50.040 --> 0:05:52.600
<v Speaker 1>It actually started as a retail you know, the initial

0:05:52.640 --> 0:05:56.400
<v Speaker 1>coin offering. But then when the institutions get inside, then

0:05:56.480 --> 0:05:59.480
<v Speaker 1>it's further real. It's further real. It's it's for the time.

0:05:59.520 --> 0:06:02.839
<v Speaker 1>It's here to stay because everyone big and well they're

0:06:02.880 --> 0:06:05.839
<v Speaker 1>all looking at the ethic classes. The regulation is looking

0:06:05.880 --> 0:06:08.560
<v Speaker 1>at it. So they're trying to whether regulations are all

0:06:08.600 --> 0:06:10.920
<v Speaker 1>looking at it. This is an asset class that's here

0:06:11.000 --> 0:06:13.320
<v Speaker 1>to stay because they're all going to make it. You know,

0:06:13.400 --> 0:06:16.799
<v Speaker 1>I don't want to say save and sound and correct

0:06:16.920 --> 0:06:19.560
<v Speaker 1>and um for that athet class to say, and then

0:06:19.720 --> 0:06:21.960
<v Speaker 1>it's for real. It's for you to stay, all right?

0:06:22.000 --> 0:06:23.440
<v Speaker 1>Can I leave with there? Rom so good to hear

0:06:23.480 --> 0:06:25.719
<v Speaker 1>your voice. I'll be well and look forward to talking

0:06:25.760 --> 0:06:28.640
<v Speaker 1>with you again. Rom Nagapon his chief information officer at

0:06:28.640 --> 0:06:30.640
<v Speaker 1>B and Y Malon's pershing on the phone from New

0:06:30.720 --> 0:06:32.880
<v Speaker 1>Jersey and interesting to hear him describe it as an

0:06:32.880 --> 0:06:35.479
<v Speaker 1>asset class I know, and especially the way that they're

0:06:35.520 --> 0:06:38.400
<v Speaker 1>involved in the process from blockchain creation, from the creation

0:06:38.440 --> 0:06:40.360
<v Speaker 1>of the asset on the blockchain, or way they're thinking

0:06:40.400 --> 0:06:42.600
<v Speaker 1>about the blockchain. Michael Clans and we're all going to

0:06:42.680 --> 0:06:45.440
<v Speaker 1>have a piece of it in our portfolio at some point,

0:06:45.480 --> 0:06:50.920
<v Speaker 1>I know who knows. You're listening to Bloomberg Business Week

0:06:51.120 --> 0:06:55.120
<v Speaker 1>with Carol Masser and Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stinovic on

0:06:55.240 --> 0:06:58.560
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Radio. Check it out. Another batch of names have

0:06:58.560 --> 0:07:00.960
<v Speaker 1>been added to the meme stock frenzies. Retail traders latched

0:07:00.960 --> 0:07:03.200
<v Speaker 1>down to their latest favorites today. So yes, we've had

0:07:03.240 --> 0:07:07.039
<v Speaker 1>game Stop AMC hurts so last year, and yesterday we

0:07:07.040 --> 0:07:09.480
<v Speaker 1>talked about Clever Health and Wednesdays. Today, Tim, we got

0:07:09.480 --> 0:07:12.040
<v Speaker 1>some new names we do. Katie Gratfeld from Bloomberg News

0:07:12.120 --> 0:07:13.720
<v Speaker 1>is here to tell us all about it. She's cross

0:07:13.760 --> 0:07:16.920
<v Speaker 1>Asset reporter and joins us in the Bloomberg Interactive Broker Studio.

0:07:16.960 --> 0:07:19.680
<v Speaker 1>She's also my anchor for Bloomberg Quick Take Stock. It

0:07:19.720 --> 0:07:22.840
<v Speaker 1>happens each end every day at noon. You guys talk

0:07:22.920 --> 0:07:28.720
<v Speaker 1>about meme stocks today, today, yesterday, probably tomorrow. It's what

0:07:28.840 --> 0:07:31.640
<v Speaker 1>there is, It's what is happening. And the big, the big,

0:07:31.760 --> 0:07:34.280
<v Speaker 1>big question I have, Katie, is is what makes a

0:07:34.320 --> 0:07:37.640
<v Speaker 1>stock a meme stock? That is what I'm trying to

0:07:37.680 --> 0:07:39.160
<v Speaker 1>figure out, because I mean, if you look at the

0:07:39.200 --> 0:07:42.520
<v Speaker 1>names that are moving today. You have GEO for example,

0:07:42.840 --> 0:07:47.240
<v Speaker 1>that's a prison operator. You have Clean Energy Fuels that

0:07:47.440 --> 0:07:51.640
<v Speaker 1>operates natural gas filling stations. It feels a little bit random.

0:07:51.680 --> 0:07:53.560
<v Speaker 1>I mean, at least GEO. If you look at the

0:07:53.600 --> 0:07:57.200
<v Speaker 1>short interests a G EO not GEO, No, it's GEO,

0:07:57.600 --> 0:08:01.280
<v Speaker 1>and short interest is pretty high. It's a thirty five

0:08:01.360 --> 0:08:04.160
<v Speaker 1>per cent, So that's the potential short squeeze target. But

0:08:04.240 --> 0:08:07.200
<v Speaker 1>it's not as clear. On Clean Energy Fuels. It just

0:08:07.280 --> 0:08:09.760
<v Speaker 1>feels very much as high. I saw it on that

0:08:10.640 --> 0:08:14.000
<v Speaker 1>and Wendy's yesterday wasn't that high, No, Wendy's. So Wendy's

0:08:14.040 --> 0:08:16.720
<v Speaker 1>fits is interesting because it fits into this broader trend

0:08:16.760 --> 0:08:22.240
<v Speaker 1>of very nostalgic names like very early two thousand's names

0:08:22.280 --> 0:08:26.119
<v Speaker 1>like game Stop, AMC. BlackBerry expressed. Those are all names

0:08:26.160 --> 0:08:28.200
<v Speaker 1>that I don't know, at least to me, they evoke

0:08:28.240 --> 0:08:31.600
<v Speaker 1>a specific place and time and that you have seen

0:08:31.640 --> 0:08:34.000
<v Speaker 1>a little bit of that. But in these names that

0:08:34.040 --> 0:08:37.040
<v Speaker 1>we're moving today, I don't think anyone has any warm,

0:08:37.120 --> 0:08:41.000
<v Speaker 1>fuzzy feelings attached to GEO. For example, that prison operator.

0:08:41.440 --> 0:08:44.079
<v Speaker 1>I think that's fair to say, yeah, well, but but

0:08:44.120 --> 0:08:46.520
<v Speaker 1>you know, we we were talking earlier before we get

0:08:46.520 --> 0:08:48.880
<v Speaker 1>started a conversation we were having with Jail Webber, editor

0:08:48.880 --> 0:08:50.800
<v Speaker 1>of Bloomber business Week magazine, because we have to think

0:08:50.800 --> 0:08:53.400
<v Speaker 1>about how do we cover this because often there's a

0:08:53.400 --> 0:08:56.040
<v Speaker 1>fair amount of volume in these names, right, and so

0:08:56.200 --> 0:08:58.240
<v Speaker 1>when you look at the markets overall, but I do

0:08:58.320 --> 0:09:00.240
<v Speaker 1>feel like when you look at market caps and things,

0:09:00.240 --> 0:09:03.480
<v Speaker 1>there's such a small sliver of our financial and market

0:09:03.559 --> 0:09:06.840
<v Speaker 1>universe exactly. It almost feels like Russian roulette, where suddenly

0:09:07.120 --> 0:09:09.040
<v Speaker 1>one day you're gonna wake up and there's just gonna

0:09:09.040 --> 0:09:12.880
<v Speaker 1>be crazy volumes in names that really haven't seen anything

0:09:12.920 --> 0:09:15.040
<v Speaker 1>like it. And it's interesting to me. I mean, it's

0:09:15.080 --> 0:09:17.840
<v Speaker 1>interesting to try to track this ball of money around

0:09:17.880 --> 0:09:21.439
<v Speaker 1>the markets. But it's also interesting to see professional investors

0:09:21.679 --> 0:09:23.760
<v Speaker 1>trying to adapt to it, because I mean, what do

0:09:23.800 --> 0:09:26.120
<v Speaker 1>you do? And there's actually a great article on the

0:09:26.200 --> 0:09:28.840
<v Speaker 1>terminal right now from my colleague Lou Wang, who woke

0:09:28.920 --> 0:09:31.880
<v Speaker 1>to who spoke to Chris Harvey from Walls Fargo, who

0:09:32.040 --> 0:09:35.319
<v Speaker 1>who said that his hedge fund clients they don't want

0:09:35.360 --> 0:09:38.559
<v Speaker 1>to short any specific names. They're afraid of getting squeezed,

0:09:38.600 --> 0:09:41.319
<v Speaker 1>so they're moving into shorting e t f s and

0:09:41.480 --> 0:09:43.680
<v Speaker 1>really large companies because you don't want to end up

0:09:43.720 --> 0:09:45.600
<v Speaker 1>in this situation if you have a lot of money

0:09:45.600 --> 0:09:47.240
<v Speaker 1>on the line. Well, I wonder about the chatter that's

0:09:47.240 --> 0:09:49.120
<v Speaker 1>happening in places like Wall Street Bets right now, and

0:09:49.160 --> 0:09:50.840
<v Speaker 1>it's a place that you spend a lot of time

0:09:50.880 --> 0:09:54.520
<v Speaker 1>and look it's for work, saying I do, because that's

0:09:54.520 --> 0:09:57.040
<v Speaker 1>where you're lurking on most days, and I do. I

0:09:57.080 --> 0:09:59.200
<v Speaker 1>do wonder what they're saying about these companies today. And

0:09:59.200 --> 0:10:01.520
<v Speaker 1>also if it's possible for some hedge fund to come

0:10:01.559 --> 0:10:05.520
<v Speaker 1>in and you know, front run essentially the conversation in

0:10:05.559 --> 0:10:07.360
<v Speaker 1>there and say, wait a second, we're going to get

0:10:07.360 --> 0:10:10.160
<v Speaker 1>in early on this because we know that when people

0:10:10.160 --> 0:10:13.800
<v Speaker 1>talk about this in this forum, there's increased activity. I mean,

0:10:13.880 --> 0:10:18.040
<v Speaker 1>you have heard a few investors or hedge funds come

0:10:18.080 --> 0:10:21.920
<v Speaker 1>out and say that you know, we are basically doing that.

0:10:22.000 --> 0:10:24.959
<v Speaker 1>And if you do scroll through these pages, I mean

0:10:25.120 --> 0:10:26.800
<v Speaker 1>you can kind of get a sense of people are

0:10:26.800 --> 0:10:30.199
<v Speaker 1>trying to like put together blueprints, trying to identify short

0:10:30.400 --> 0:10:34.160
<v Speaker 1>potential short squeeze targets. So there is a sense that,

0:10:34.320 --> 0:10:36.920
<v Speaker 1>I mean, this can't all be retail. At a certain point,

0:10:36.960 --> 0:10:40.559
<v Speaker 1>you probably see some more institutional some professional names come

0:10:40.559 --> 0:10:43.080
<v Speaker 1>in and try to capitalize on that. What's interesting is

0:10:43.080 --> 0:10:46.280
<v Speaker 1>Clean Energy Fuels UM is up six out of the

0:10:46.280 --> 0:10:48.920
<v Speaker 1>past seven trading sessions for a gain of nearly forty percent.

0:10:48.960 --> 0:10:52.880
<v Speaker 1>It's up like forties six or five. I mean these

0:10:52.920 --> 0:10:55.319
<v Speaker 1>are names. If you look at GEO Group, it's up

0:10:55.360 --> 0:10:56.959
<v Speaker 1>eight of the past nine trading days for a gain

0:10:57.000 --> 0:10:59.920
<v Speaker 1>of eighty two percent. So I mean it's it's half

0:11:00.000 --> 0:11:01.560
<v Speaker 1>being over a week's period of time. And I do

0:11:01.600 --> 0:11:04.720
<v Speaker 1>wonder when does it hit your radar or our radar

0:11:04.800 --> 0:11:06.720
<v Speaker 1>that we put it in a story on the Bloomberg.

0:11:06.960 --> 0:11:08.600
<v Speaker 1>I think that's a great point, and that was something

0:11:08.640 --> 0:11:11.280
<v Speaker 1>I was thinking about with clover Health earlier. Today. It's

0:11:11.280 --> 0:11:14.960
<v Speaker 1>not doing so well today, but had an amazing day yesterday,

0:11:15.080 --> 0:11:19.439
<v Speaker 1>and you saw options volume just spike yesterday. But if

0:11:19.480 --> 0:11:23.120
<v Speaker 1>you look into April for example, or even last week,

0:11:23.160 --> 0:11:26.480
<v Speaker 1>a few weeks leading up to yesterday, it was something

0:11:26.559 --> 0:11:31.000
<v Speaker 1>you saw building. So it feels like it doesn't It's

0:11:31.480 --> 0:11:33.920
<v Speaker 1>not like turning on a light switch. It's is something

0:11:33.960 --> 0:11:37.160
<v Speaker 1>that builds, and but it just feels like it explodes

0:11:37.200 --> 0:11:39.600
<v Speaker 1>onto the radar on one specific day. And when you

0:11:39.640 --> 0:11:42.520
<v Speaker 1>get double digit moves right, and I do wonder like,

0:11:42.640 --> 0:11:45.400
<v Speaker 1>is there some formula or algorithm that people are trying

0:11:45.440 --> 0:11:47.600
<v Speaker 1>to figure out that how do you track? Do you

0:11:47.679 --> 0:11:50.679
<v Speaker 1>all of these meme stocks go up for about eight days?

0:11:50.800 --> 0:11:52.360
<v Speaker 1>You know what I mean? Like I do wonder like

0:11:52.480 --> 0:11:55.680
<v Speaker 1>what is how do we kind of find what the

0:11:55.720 --> 0:11:57.840
<v Speaker 1>next one is? Because I knew Bloomberg Intelligence has been

0:11:57.840 --> 0:12:02.480
<v Speaker 1>looking at this stuff. Yeah, and that's something that I mean,

0:12:02.520 --> 0:12:04.840
<v Speaker 1>my colleagues and I are trying to determine is there

0:12:04.960 --> 0:12:07.280
<v Speaker 1>some pattern here? But then you have companies like a

0:12:07.559 --> 0:12:10.200
<v Speaker 1>m C and Game Stop that just are constantly in

0:12:10.200 --> 0:12:14.120
<v Speaker 1>the conversation that started the conversation, still in it. Well,

0:12:14.160 --> 0:12:17.360
<v Speaker 1>you've got lots of work to do. From Bloomberg News

0:12:17.360 --> 0:12:20.120
<v Speaker 1>Cross as a reporter, also Bloomberg Quick Take co anchor.

0:12:20.559 --> 0:12:24.160
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Messer and

0:12:24.240 --> 0:12:28.720
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Quick Takes. Tim Stinovic on Bloomberg Radio. All right,

0:12:28.800 --> 0:12:30.880
<v Speaker 1>I can't sing this, but you know, Marguerite de Ville,

0:12:30.960 --> 0:12:35.760
<v Speaker 1>it's definitely a hit song. I could. It's a chill

0:12:35.800 --> 0:12:38.959
<v Speaker 1>state of mind. It's a multibillion dollar marketing empire, and Tim,

0:12:39.040 --> 0:12:41.240
<v Speaker 1>it is a news attraction in Times Square. It is

0:12:41.240 --> 0:12:43.760
<v Speaker 1>it's also the cover story for the new issue of

0:12:43.760 --> 0:12:46.560
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg business Week magazine. It's available on news stands and

0:12:46.640 --> 0:12:49.320
<v Speaker 1>at bloomberg dot com slash business Week. Joining us now

0:12:49.360 --> 0:12:51.720
<v Speaker 1>is Joel Webber, editor of Bloomberg business Week. He joins

0:12:51.800 --> 0:12:54.040
<v Speaker 1>us right here in the Bloomberg Interactive Broker studio, and

0:12:54.120 --> 0:12:56.960
<v Speaker 1>Austin Carr, technology reporter for Bloomberg News, joining us on

0:12:56.960 --> 0:12:59.840
<v Speaker 1>the phone from l A Joel, I learned so much.

0:13:00.080 --> 0:13:01.920
<v Speaker 1>I learned all I always learned when I read stories

0:13:01.960 --> 0:13:05.840
<v Speaker 1>and delivered business. I had no idea that Marguerita Ville's

0:13:05.840 --> 0:13:09.600
<v Speaker 1>empire was this big. That's the best thing about this

0:13:09.679 --> 0:13:12.480
<v Speaker 1>story is that little I mean, you know Jimmy Buffett

0:13:12.520 --> 0:13:14.960
<v Speaker 1>from music, I mean it's near and dear to me,

0:13:15.640 --> 0:13:19.679
<v Speaker 1>um being the parenthead that I am. Uh. And the

0:13:19.720 --> 0:13:22.640
<v Speaker 1>fact that he was able to turn one song into

0:13:22.679 --> 0:13:26.600
<v Speaker 1>basically something that's even bigger than his music success. Um.

0:13:26.720 --> 0:13:29.480
<v Speaker 1>This the scale of this empire is amazing and and

0:13:29.760 --> 0:13:32.160
<v Speaker 1>it is a I'll call it a modest news hook.

0:13:32.280 --> 0:13:36.560
<v Speaker 1>But they are in the process of opening Margaritaville in

0:13:36.800 --> 0:13:39.920
<v Speaker 1>Times Square, right off Times Square on four Year Street,

0:13:40.679 --> 0:13:43.800
<v Speaker 1>and it is the it feels just like the perfect

0:13:43.840 --> 0:13:47.240
<v Speaker 1>time to take over Manhattan with Margaritaville right as the

0:13:47.240 --> 0:13:50.880
<v Speaker 1>city reopens and uh, you know we're all vaccinated and

0:13:50.920 --> 0:13:53.360
<v Speaker 1>get to go celebrate with you know, um, way too

0:13:53.360 --> 0:13:57.319
<v Speaker 1>many margaritis, I'm sure. Um. So, so Austin rewind the

0:13:57.320 --> 0:13:59.840
<v Speaker 1>clock a little bit. Tell us about how you got

0:13:59.840 --> 0:14:04.319
<v Speaker 1>this story. So um. I actually started reporting this story

0:14:04.400 --> 0:14:08.360
<v Speaker 1>because I had come across their frozen concoction maker, UM,

0:14:08.400 --> 0:14:11.000
<v Speaker 1>which I would highly recommend. I think we described it

0:14:11.040 --> 0:14:15.280
<v Speaker 1>in the story as the uh iPhone of adult beverage makers,

0:14:15.360 --> 0:14:17.560
<v Speaker 1>and it very much is that. I mean, it's it's

0:14:17.600 --> 0:14:20.440
<v Speaker 1>really a beautiful piece of machinery. And I just realized,

0:14:20.440 --> 0:14:23.520
<v Speaker 1>oh my god, like if this company, Margaritaville, which I

0:14:23.560 --> 0:14:27.080
<v Speaker 1>also had not associations to the song or to you know,

0:14:27.080 --> 0:14:30.520
<v Speaker 1>a tequila hangover, but not to this sort of hardware

0:14:30.560 --> 0:14:34.120
<v Speaker 1>maker or hotel empire um. And so I just started

0:14:34.120 --> 0:14:37.920
<v Speaker 1>getting interested in diving deeper into the research, and that's

0:14:37.920 --> 0:14:40.200
<v Speaker 1>where this story started, and we realized there was so

0:14:40.280 --> 0:14:43.600
<v Speaker 1>much more when we started talking with Margaritaville, their executives

0:14:43.600 --> 0:14:46.600
<v Speaker 1>in Florida and just realizing they were not only opening

0:14:46.600 --> 0:14:49.520
<v Speaker 1>this three and seventy million dollar property in Times Square,

0:14:49.720 --> 0:14:52.200
<v Speaker 1>but right now we're in the process of developing twenty

0:14:52.200 --> 0:14:55.560
<v Speaker 1>five or twenty six or more properties around the globe,

0:14:55.560 --> 0:14:58.920
<v Speaker 1>from retirement villages to boutique hotels, to resorts, to r

0:14:58.960 --> 0:15:02.120
<v Speaker 1>V parks, parks, you name it. Uh. They're sort of

0:15:02.120 --> 0:15:05.000
<v Speaker 1>really involved in so many different entities that that just

0:15:05.040 --> 0:15:08.680
<v Speaker 1>sort of boggles the mind. How did it all get started?

0:15:08.880 --> 0:15:12.560
<v Speaker 1>Often so we actually rewinds. Uh it goes back to

0:15:12.640 --> 0:15:16.800
<v Speaker 1>the late nineties nineties. Uh. Margaritaville's CEO is a guy

0:15:16.880 --> 0:15:19.920
<v Speaker 1>named John Colin. Uh, and he was moving down to

0:15:20.320 --> 0:15:25.280
<v Speaker 1>Palm Beach uh and and met Jimmy Buffett through mutual friends.

0:15:25.360 --> 0:15:28.600
<v Speaker 1>And he has been in private equity before, just working

0:15:28.680 --> 0:15:31.880
<v Speaker 1>at a company that owned Long John Silver's and and

0:15:31.960 --> 0:15:35.280
<v Speaker 1>later bought Snapple and was involved in consumer branding. And

0:15:35.320 --> 0:15:37.560
<v Speaker 1>when at a Jimmy Buffett, he just realized this is

0:15:37.600 --> 0:15:40.560
<v Speaker 1>the biggest brand there is. These parrot heads sort of uh,

0:15:40.600 --> 0:15:43.360
<v Speaker 1>you know, just really enjoying themselves at this concert, moving

0:15:43.360 --> 0:15:45.960
<v Speaker 1>in universities and could sort of sort of you know,

0:15:46.000 --> 0:15:48.600
<v Speaker 1>win over more consumers than uh, you know, Long John

0:15:48.640 --> 0:15:52.440
<v Speaker 1>Silver's ever could. And they started exploring John Colin and

0:15:52.520 --> 0:15:54.440
<v Speaker 1>Jimmy whether or not they could build this into a

0:15:54.520 --> 0:15:57.280
<v Speaker 1>larger empire. And the first thing that they opened was

0:15:57.360 --> 0:16:02.280
<v Speaker 1>a big, massive restaurant in Orlando, UH near Universal Studios

0:16:02.320 --> 0:16:04.680
<v Speaker 1>theme Park, which was sort of an ode to Jimmy

0:16:04.720 --> 0:16:08.720
<v Speaker 1>Buffett and what he stood for in terms of Margaritaville's music, um,

0:16:08.760 --> 0:16:11.440
<v Speaker 1>you know, sort of the general salt shaker vibe that

0:16:11.480 --> 0:16:13.760
<v Speaker 1>he has. And they've built it from there throughout the

0:16:13.800 --> 0:16:17.440
<v Speaker 1>two thousands, turning it into more restaurants, a beer brand

0:16:17.480 --> 0:16:20.640
<v Speaker 1>with Anneiser Busch Um, and a lot of consumer goods,

0:16:20.640 --> 0:16:23.480
<v Speaker 1>including that Daquary maker I mentioned, which which retails for

0:16:23.600 --> 0:16:26.840
<v Speaker 1>up to five dollars. You sounded like that one. I

0:16:26.920 --> 0:16:29.360
<v Speaker 1>have to ask Houston five hundred dollars on a deactory maker.

0:16:29.920 --> 0:16:32.720
<v Speaker 1>You saw the Bolli version which only retails for three.

0:16:34.000 --> 0:16:36.240
<v Speaker 1>I'm you know, don't checking. Don't worry, Jill. You we

0:16:36.240 --> 0:16:41.000
<v Speaker 1>will prove that at the end of I think. Okay.

0:16:41.080 --> 0:16:43.120
<v Speaker 1>But the interesting thing is, and we Tim and I

0:16:43.200 --> 0:16:46.040
<v Speaker 1>were talking about this off air, it seems the model

0:16:46.360 --> 0:16:50.240
<v Speaker 1>is very similar to President Trump's model of they don't

0:16:50.280 --> 0:16:52.120
<v Speaker 1>own a lot, right, they don't own a ton of

0:16:52.200 --> 0:16:54.080
<v Speaker 1>real estate behind all of this, they own a lot

0:16:54.080 --> 0:16:57.840
<v Speaker 1>of I p intellectual property that's spread. It's what it's

0:16:57.880 --> 0:17:00.720
<v Speaker 1>called an asset light model. UM. You know, that's Hilton has.

0:17:00.840 --> 0:17:03.200
<v Speaker 1>I mean, that's frankly what European b has or uper

0:17:03.280 --> 0:17:06.080
<v Speaker 1>has to UM. I think it's the one thing that

0:17:06.080 --> 0:17:09.400
<v Speaker 1>they were extremely successful was in a way that perhaps uh,

0:17:09.520 --> 0:17:12.520
<v Speaker 1>former President Trump was not, was just in terms of

0:17:12.600 --> 0:17:15.119
<v Speaker 1>overseeing the quality of products they licensed their name to,

0:17:15.880 --> 0:17:19.679
<v Speaker 1>enforcing strict quality standards, so they're they're very involved in

0:17:19.720 --> 0:17:22.800
<v Speaker 1>the design process, the development resorts, and the branding that

0:17:22.840 --> 0:17:24.960
<v Speaker 1>goes into these things, just to make sure they live

0:17:25.000 --> 0:17:26.679
<v Speaker 1>up to their standards. So there's not sort of the

0:17:26.720 --> 0:17:30.400
<v Speaker 1>equivalent of you know, there actually is a Margaritaville University.

0:17:30.560 --> 0:17:31.800
<v Speaker 1>I was just going to ask if there was a

0:17:31.880 --> 0:17:35.280
<v Speaker 1>Mary Niversity. It's a funny name they used for a

0:17:35.400 --> 0:17:38.280
<v Speaker 1>college ambassador program just to sort of get younger fans

0:17:38.320 --> 0:17:41.399
<v Speaker 1>on board, so they're not actually uh teaching kids. But

0:17:41.640 --> 0:17:43.920
<v Speaker 1>it was I believe a lot more successful than Trump

0:17:44.040 --> 0:17:47.840
<v Speaker 1>University was. But the in terms of just some of

0:17:47.840 --> 0:17:51.800
<v Speaker 1>the other ecosystem products they have, Yeah, it's definitely that model.

0:17:51.800 --> 0:17:53.920
<v Speaker 1>If they like to sort of make sure you're you're

0:17:53.960 --> 0:17:57.440
<v Speaker 1>drinking Jimmy's beer at the same time you're buying Jimmy's tequila,

0:17:57.760 --> 0:18:00.800
<v Speaker 1>staying at their branded restaurants and hopefully later on their hotels,

0:18:00.880 --> 0:18:03.560
<v Speaker 1>their vacation cottages and so forth. So it's sort of

0:18:03.560 --> 0:18:05.720
<v Speaker 1>products that feed into each other and this this this

0:18:05.920 --> 0:18:08.800
<v Speaker 1>virtuous brand loop. So Austin, how do they get the

0:18:08.840 --> 0:18:12.480
<v Speaker 1>next generation of parrot heads? You mentioned the Margarita Ville

0:18:12.520 --> 0:18:14.720
<v Speaker 1>University of the Ambassador program, but but how do they

0:18:14.800 --> 0:18:18.199
<v Speaker 1>make sure that this transcends age? Yeah? I think what

0:18:18.240 --> 0:18:20.560
<v Speaker 1>they're trying to do is make sure that this is

0:18:20.600 --> 0:18:24.360
<v Speaker 1>identified with more of a lifestyle rather than an individual.

0:18:24.640 --> 0:18:26.800
<v Speaker 1>In other words, I think a lot of bands, no

0:18:26.800 --> 0:18:29.679
<v Speaker 1>matter how old how young, will know that song and

0:18:29.720 --> 0:18:32.760
<v Speaker 1>sort of can generally define what it stands for and

0:18:32.840 --> 0:18:35.480
<v Speaker 1>sort of in terms of this beachy cash at a

0:18:35.560 --> 0:18:38.919
<v Speaker 1>sort of sort of vacation island vibe, and that's what

0:18:39.000 --> 0:18:41.480
<v Speaker 1>they're building up more of. Um. I talked to Warren

0:18:41.520 --> 0:18:44.160
<v Speaker 1>Buffett for the story UM, and and that was one

0:18:44.160 --> 0:18:46.800
<v Speaker 1>thing he stood for He sort of mentioned was that

0:18:46.880 --> 0:18:49.320
<v Speaker 1>this idea that it's sort of, um, you know, Jimmy

0:18:49.520 --> 0:18:51.800
<v Speaker 1>is is not just Jimmy. He's sort of an institution

0:18:51.840 --> 0:18:55.720
<v Speaker 1>that stands for this overall lifestyle that you know, Lord

0:18:55.760 --> 0:18:57.959
<v Speaker 1>knows Hyatt would like to have, Lord knows you know

0:18:58.080 --> 0:19:00.640
<v Speaker 1>Airbnb would want to you know have in the sense

0:19:00.680 --> 0:19:03.359
<v Speaker 1>that this stands for something more universal, and I think

0:19:03.400 --> 0:19:05.479
<v Speaker 1>that's how they're going to go after younger fans. They

0:19:05.520 --> 0:19:07.760
<v Speaker 1>also have, you know, land Shark beer, which you might

0:19:07.800 --> 0:19:11.320
<v Speaker 1>have heard of, which is a competitor to Corona Um,

0:19:11.400 --> 0:19:13.200
<v Speaker 1>and they have a lot of consumer goods that are

0:19:13.240 --> 0:19:16.760
<v Speaker 1>targeting younger generations of fans that you know, are just

0:19:16.840 --> 0:19:19.679
<v Speaker 1>different from your average parrot head. I would say, I

0:19:19.760 --> 0:19:22.880
<v Speaker 1>think the article cover story, uh, it makes you look

0:19:22.920 --> 0:19:24.760
<v Speaker 1>at your life and look at your choices, and like,

0:19:24.960 --> 0:19:27.000
<v Speaker 1>you know, it makes me want to build a business

0:19:27.040 --> 0:19:29.600
<v Speaker 1>empired inspired off of a song, and also makes me

0:19:29.600 --> 0:19:32.000
<v Speaker 1>wish I were Austin Car and like have three dollar

0:19:32.040 --> 0:19:35.800
<v Speaker 1>decrees that inspire these stories. So thank you, Austin. We're

0:19:35.800 --> 0:19:38.680
<v Speaker 1>on our way. We'll go ahead. I was just gonna say,

0:19:38.680 --> 0:19:42.679
<v Speaker 1>just to be clear, Joel, I did not expend then,

0:19:42.840 --> 0:19:44.680
<v Speaker 1>needless to say, we're getting on a plane, We're coming over,

0:19:44.720 --> 0:19:46.879
<v Speaker 1>and you've got to make some tagories or margarite is

0:19:46.920 --> 0:19:49.800
<v Speaker 1>for us, um great stuff. Austin Car. It's the domestic

0:19:49.800 --> 0:19:52.200
<v Speaker 1>cover story of Business Week. Magazine Tech Report, Bloomberg News,

0:19:52.280 --> 0:19:54.880
<v Speaker 1>joining us from l A. Weber, editor Bloomberg Business Week.

0:19:54.920 --> 0:19:57.160
<v Speaker 1>I gotta say I love that they the two buffets.

0:19:57.160 --> 0:20:01.879
<v Speaker 1>No no relation though relation relation. Yeah, it's Jimmy is

0:20:01.880 --> 0:20:04.520
<v Speaker 1>definitely the other buffet in our world, you know. But

0:20:05.080 --> 0:20:08.879
<v Speaker 1>clearly that world's bigger than world, depending on your level

0:20:08.880 --> 0:20:16.320
<v Speaker 1>of being a parenthead. Right, yes, exactly. You're listening to

0:20:16.440 --> 0:20:20.320
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Messer and Bloomberg Quick Takes

0:20:20.440 --> 0:20:25.600
<v Speaker 1>Tim Stinovic on Bloomberg Radio. So in about ninety minutes

0:20:25.680 --> 0:20:27.880
<v Speaker 1>or so, we're gonna get earnings from the meme stock

0:20:27.920 --> 0:20:29.640
<v Speaker 1>that started all I guess you could say we're talking

0:20:29.680 --> 0:20:32.920
<v Speaker 1>about game stop. Yes, but do earnings even matter? I

0:20:32.920 --> 0:20:36.040
<v Speaker 1>don't think they do. They've had a twenty one billion

0:20:36.080 --> 0:20:39.360
<v Speaker 1>dollars in market value this year. It's one billion. It's

0:20:39.400 --> 0:20:42.080
<v Speaker 1>the original, it's the it's the original meme stock, Carol,

0:20:42.240 --> 0:20:44.960
<v Speaker 1>Yeah exactly. So all right, let's get some perspective, and

0:20:45.040 --> 0:20:47.960
<v Speaker 1>lucky for us, Bloomberg News Equities reporter Bailey lips Shelter

0:20:48.040 --> 0:20:49.800
<v Speaker 1>is with us on the phone in New York City.

0:20:49.800 --> 0:20:52.040
<v Speaker 1>Barely good to have you here with Tim and myself.

0:20:52.520 --> 0:20:55.680
<v Speaker 1>So as to mentioned the results that we get from

0:20:55.720 --> 0:21:00.000
<v Speaker 1>Game Stop. The fundamental earnings and sales outlooked as it matter,

0:21:01.920 --> 0:21:07.640
<v Speaker 1>not really all right, interviews over and let's you're looking

0:21:07.680 --> 0:21:10.360
<v Speaker 1>from about one point one seven billion and quarterly revenue.

0:21:10.440 --> 0:21:13.160
<v Speaker 1>But outside of that, there's really more of a focus

0:21:13.200 --> 0:21:17.600
<v Speaker 1>on what's next. Obviously, they named Ryan Cohen chairman earlier

0:21:17.640 --> 0:21:19.640
<v Speaker 1>today at their annual meeting, so that was a big

0:21:19.680 --> 0:21:22.840
<v Speaker 1>news um peg and then he spoke to investors, which

0:21:23.080 --> 0:21:25.160
<v Speaker 1>kind of took Reddit by storm. But for the most part,

0:21:25.160 --> 0:21:27.600
<v Speaker 1>from a fundamental standpoint, I don't think you can get

0:21:27.640 --> 0:21:31.640
<v Speaker 1>anyone to come out and say poleheartedly that earnings today

0:21:31.880 --> 0:21:35.080
<v Speaker 1>actually matter given where the stocks trading. Okay, so Bailey,

0:21:35.119 --> 0:21:38.919
<v Speaker 1>what is that future that big believers in games Stop,

0:21:39.200 --> 0:21:41.840
<v Speaker 1>people who have been behind the stock for months? What

0:21:41.920 --> 0:21:43.800
<v Speaker 1>does that future look like? How does it compete with

0:21:43.840 --> 0:21:47.639
<v Speaker 1>Best Buy? How does it compete with Amazon? It's been

0:21:47.680 --> 0:21:50.480
<v Speaker 1>pretty mom Cohen came out today saying that he thinks

0:21:50.520 --> 0:21:52.680
<v Speaker 1>they're going in the right place and they have clear goals,

0:21:53.200 --> 0:21:56.520
<v Speaker 1>but didn't offer too much um in the grand scheme

0:21:56.520 --> 0:21:59.560
<v Speaker 1>of what that strategy looks like. Obviously, they've wiped out

0:21:59.560 --> 0:22:02.680
<v Speaker 1>their dead they're working on closing down storefronts, which we're

0:22:02.880 --> 0:22:06.280
<v Speaker 1>driving big losses. Before Cohen really pushed his way onto

0:22:06.320 --> 0:22:09.359
<v Speaker 1>the board. Um, but from a grand scheme of things,

0:22:09.359 --> 0:22:11.439
<v Speaker 1>the idea is that he'll be able to do what

0:22:11.600 --> 0:22:14.960
<v Speaker 1>happened with Chuli. Obviously everyone said Chuli would be successful

0:22:15.280 --> 0:22:18.000
<v Speaker 1>with your pet cos and pet Smarts, and then obviously

0:22:18.040 --> 0:22:21.120
<v Speaker 1>online retailers. The video games is obviously much much more

0:22:21.200 --> 0:22:24.520
<v Speaker 1>difficult because you can download game straight to the PlayStation

0:22:24.640 --> 0:22:27.399
<v Speaker 1>or straight to your Xbox, and you don't really need

0:22:27.520 --> 0:22:32.760
<v Speaker 1>a company to deliver those products, right especially you know,

0:22:32.840 --> 0:22:35.919
<v Speaker 1>I do wonder is there a way like the Apple

0:22:36.000 --> 0:22:38.520
<v Speaker 1>store has created an experience where you go in and

0:22:38.560 --> 0:22:40.280
<v Speaker 1>play with products. I mean, you can order a lot

0:22:40.280 --> 0:22:42.479
<v Speaker 1>of Apple stuff just online, right, you can easily do that.

0:22:42.840 --> 0:22:44.560
<v Speaker 1>Is there a way for them to create some kind

0:22:44.560 --> 0:22:48.720
<v Speaker 1>of experience at a game stop store that brings people

0:22:48.800 --> 0:22:53.119
<v Speaker 1>in that somehow supports that retail environment. It seems far fetched,

0:22:53.160 --> 0:22:55.440
<v Speaker 1>but I'm just curious. But that's been one of the

0:22:55.520 --> 0:22:57.359
<v Speaker 1>things that, depending who you talk to and who are

0:22:57.400 --> 0:23:01.320
<v Speaker 1>core believers, see as a potential option. Obviously, it's as

0:23:01.320 --> 0:23:03.000
<v Speaker 1>you said, it is a bit parfessional, hard to wrap

0:23:03.000 --> 0:23:06.040
<v Speaker 1>your mind around, but you could have them get into

0:23:06.359 --> 0:23:09.359
<v Speaker 1>the gaming in some capacity, whether that's sponsoring or owning

0:23:09.359 --> 0:23:13.040
<v Speaker 1>a team professionally, or building up kind of like a

0:23:13.080 --> 0:23:15.520
<v Speaker 1>training ground built into the stores that you go and

0:23:15.840 --> 0:23:20.080
<v Speaker 1>practice against peers um in person and online. But that's

0:23:20.160 --> 0:23:21.720
<v Speaker 1>kind of one of these one of the things that

0:23:21.760 --> 0:23:23.960
<v Speaker 1>more people I talked to you want to see that

0:23:24.040 --> 0:23:26.120
<v Speaker 1>laid out. They want to see the future vision, vision,

0:23:26.160 --> 0:23:29.960
<v Speaker 1>and something that can justify a lofty market value that's

0:23:30.040 --> 0:23:32.159
<v Speaker 1>kind of much larger than what it was when it

0:23:32.280 --> 0:23:35.280
<v Speaker 1>was trading for about four dollars last a lot. Bailey,

0:23:35.280 --> 0:23:38.000
<v Speaker 1>you mentioned Ryan Cohen. Talk a little bit about him

0:23:38.000 --> 0:23:41.040
<v Speaker 1>and how important he is to the Game Stops story,

0:23:41.080 --> 0:23:44.840
<v Speaker 1>at least as the retail investors see it. He's what

0:23:44.880 --> 0:23:47.080
<v Speaker 1>you got behind when he came out with r C

0:23:47.240 --> 0:23:50.800
<v Speaker 1>Veners and bought a twelve thirteen take in the company,

0:23:50.960 --> 0:23:53.040
<v Speaker 1>pushed his way onto the board and obviously is now

0:23:53.119 --> 0:23:56.239
<v Speaker 1>chairman um the company is looking for a CEO. So

0:23:56.280 --> 0:23:59.359
<v Speaker 1>it's truly are investing in Game Stop. You're a believer

0:23:59.440 --> 0:24:01.360
<v Speaker 1>that Ryan when he's going to come in and he's

0:24:01.400 --> 0:24:03.280
<v Speaker 1>going to do what he's able to do with Chewy,

0:24:03.320 --> 0:24:06.120
<v Speaker 1>and there is a long term vision where it can

0:24:06.160 --> 0:24:08.280
<v Speaker 1>be very successful. I mean that's only thirtain five years

0:24:08.280 --> 0:24:11.480
<v Speaker 1>old co founder. Obviously, if Chewy turned into a private

0:24:11.480 --> 0:24:14.600
<v Speaker 1>equity investor and has wiped up the board and really

0:24:14.600 --> 0:24:18.600
<v Speaker 1>brought in alumni from Chewey and Amazon with a push

0:24:18.680 --> 0:24:22.440
<v Speaker 1>towards consumer experience. So the goal is, um to kind

0:24:22.440 --> 0:24:24.160
<v Speaker 1>of put your eggs in the basket. Hold on for

0:24:24.280 --> 0:24:26.439
<v Speaker 1>a guy who makes a lot of jokes on Twitter

0:24:26.520 --> 0:24:29.840
<v Speaker 1>with memes, but seems very locked in and obviously pretty

0:24:29.840 --> 0:24:33.240
<v Speaker 1>closed off and hiding his cards. But you do wonder.

0:24:34.080 --> 0:24:38.080
<v Speaker 1>I mean, they did lease write a huge distribution center

0:24:38.160 --> 0:24:43.600
<v Speaker 1>right seven square feet uh in Pennsylvania to improve its

0:24:43.600 --> 0:24:47.719
<v Speaker 1>distribution and delivery, so they obviously have high expectations. I

0:24:47.760 --> 0:24:50.720
<v Speaker 1>do wonder, as you said, Bailey, they've gotten rid of

0:24:50.720 --> 0:24:53.520
<v Speaker 1>their debts, so they have certainly improved their financial house.

0:24:53.960 --> 0:24:56.800
<v Speaker 1>Are their acquisitions they could make that could totally kind

0:24:56.800 --> 0:25:00.000
<v Speaker 1>of turn this company into something different that ultimately made

0:25:00.040 --> 0:25:02.560
<v Speaker 1>be as spun out or sold or acquired by somebody else.

0:25:03.920 --> 0:25:06.720
<v Speaker 1>I think that's the question, Um, what what is the

0:25:06.720 --> 0:25:09.680
<v Speaker 1>big dep what is the big leap for game Stop?

0:25:09.760 --> 0:25:12.400
<v Speaker 1>Do they get into game publishing? Maybe I don't know.

0:25:12.760 --> 0:25:15.720
<v Speaker 1>Do they find a way to partner up with some

0:25:15.840 --> 0:25:18.800
<v Speaker 1>of the game producers, or as you said, a real

0:25:18.880 --> 0:25:21.520
<v Speaker 1>in person experience you look at like David Busters. Is

0:25:21.560 --> 0:25:23.600
<v Speaker 1>that something in a future to be like, Uh, it's

0:25:23.600 --> 0:25:27.640
<v Speaker 1>really remains to be seen. Bailey, we're you're you're you're

0:25:27.640 --> 0:25:29.520
<v Speaker 1>one of the guys who covers meme stocks. Here you're

0:25:29.520 --> 0:25:32.160
<v Speaker 1>one of the people who covers meme stocks. And I'm wondering,

0:25:33.160 --> 0:25:35.879
<v Speaker 1>did you think that, you know, five months after what

0:25:35.960 --> 0:25:37.880
<v Speaker 1>we saw earlier in the year with Game Stop, we'd

0:25:37.880 --> 0:25:40.160
<v Speaker 1>still be talking about game Stop or did you think

0:25:40.160 --> 0:25:43.240
<v Speaker 1>that this would be short lived? I thought we would

0:25:43.240 --> 0:25:46.480
<v Speaker 1>be talking about it. I did not imagine that we

0:25:46.560 --> 0:25:49.919
<v Speaker 1>would see a trend where the basket of the O

0:25:50.040 --> 0:25:52.280
<v Speaker 1>G Memes stock is treading where it was back in

0:25:52.359 --> 0:25:55.639
<v Speaker 1>late January. And I wouldn't have thought that AMC would

0:25:55.640 --> 0:25:58.760
<v Speaker 1>take the world by storm like it has Windy's um

0:25:59.400 --> 0:26:01.920
<v Speaker 1>you name the company clean Energy Tools. People were making

0:26:01.960 --> 0:26:04.359
<v Speaker 1>jokes about cow poop on read it. I did not

0:26:04.440 --> 0:26:07.080
<v Speaker 1>imagine you did big of a deal and this closely

0:26:07.119 --> 0:26:11.280
<v Speaker 1>at touched to buy a core financial institutions. I just

0:26:11.560 --> 0:26:13.280
<v Speaker 1>you know, one of the fun things I did, Bailey

0:26:13.320 --> 0:26:17.359
<v Speaker 1>earlier today was like who owns game Stop and it's

0:26:17.920 --> 0:26:20.560
<v Speaker 1>black Rock. I mean I understands probably in an index fund,

0:26:20.680 --> 0:26:23.080
<v Speaker 1>right and stuff. But and I know the's question is

0:26:23.080 --> 0:26:25.200
<v Speaker 1>about whether it moves out of the Russell correct same

0:26:25.240 --> 0:26:27.680
<v Speaker 1>with you and same with AMC. Right. So I mean

0:26:27.680 --> 0:26:31.639
<v Speaker 1>there's a lot of big institutional investors. But you know, uh,

0:26:31.800 --> 0:26:34.320
<v Speaker 1>Ryan cautioning that we've got a lot of work in

0:26:34.320 --> 0:26:36.159
<v Speaker 1>front of us. I mean, this is not something that

0:26:36.200 --> 0:26:39.240
<v Speaker 1>they flip a switch over night, Bailly, and it's a

0:26:39.280 --> 0:26:43.360
<v Speaker 1>different company or a different story exactly. And it's very

0:26:43.359 --> 0:26:46.359
<v Speaker 1>tough because as an investor, um if your an institution

0:26:47.160 --> 0:26:49.680
<v Speaker 1>almost twenty four billion dollars in market cap, is really

0:26:49.720 --> 0:26:52.159
<v Speaker 1>tough to get behind when you're just talking about a

0:26:52.280 --> 0:26:55.320
<v Speaker 1>vision and what it could be in this curriculaane task

0:26:55.440 --> 0:26:58.480
<v Speaker 1>that is to reinvent and recreate Game Stop and making

0:26:58.560 --> 0:27:02.119
<v Speaker 1>a core part of beginning then ecosystem. It's obviously very

0:27:02.160 --> 0:27:05.199
<v Speaker 1>optimistic and there is a huge growth potential, but what

0:27:05.280 --> 0:27:07.880
<v Speaker 1>does that look like? Because if you're managing a good

0:27:07.880 --> 0:27:10.560
<v Speaker 1>amount of money, it's hard to get behind a guy

0:27:10.600 --> 0:27:14.240
<v Speaker 1>who was great one time with evaluation where it is

0:27:14.280 --> 0:27:17.439
<v Speaker 1>now and let the stock trading got dollars when it

0:27:17.520 --> 0:27:20.919
<v Speaker 1>was again four dollars about eleven months ago. All right,

0:27:20.960 --> 0:27:23.480
<v Speaker 1>we'll be watching nonetheless for Game Stop earnings and we'll

0:27:23.480 --> 0:27:27.520
<v Speaker 1>see what happens on that report. Bailey, great stuff, as

0:27:27.520 --> 0:27:32.080
<v Speaker 1>I always blew R News Equities reporter Bailey Lipshelts brother

0:27:35.200 --> 0:27:42.119
<v Speaker 1>a journal Yeah, but you let me drive. Oh no, no, no, no, home, honey, please,

0:27:42.200 --> 0:27:45.600
<v Speaker 1>I'll do the right gravel. Let me. I want to drive,

0:27:45.680 --> 0:28:00.879
<v Speaker 1>all Just drive, baby. It's good questions trying. This is

0:28:00.920 --> 0:28:07.080
<v Speaker 1>the drive to the globe than on Bloomberg Radio. All right,

0:28:07.119 --> 0:28:09.040
<v Speaker 1>let's get to it. Everyone. Just about ten and a

0:28:09.080 --> 0:28:12.520
<v Speaker 1>half minutes left in today's trading session. It is time

0:28:12.880 --> 0:28:14.720
<v Speaker 1>for the drive to the clothes. We've been bouncing around,

0:28:14.720 --> 0:28:17.320
<v Speaker 1>but we are just we've took another leg down in

0:28:17.400 --> 0:28:19.200
<v Speaker 1>the last hour, so so we're near a loads of

0:28:19.200 --> 0:28:21.920
<v Speaker 1>the session. Let's bring Julian Brigden, co founder and president

0:28:21.920 --> 0:28:24.480
<v Speaker 1>of Macro Intelligence. Are m I two partners. It's a

0:28:24.520 --> 0:28:27.720
<v Speaker 1>global macroeconomic research firm. It's been around for a decade.

0:28:27.960 --> 0:28:30.280
<v Speaker 1>Julian's with us on the phone in Colorado. Julian, how

0:28:30.320 --> 0:28:33.840
<v Speaker 1>are you. I'm fantastic, Thank you very much. I was

0:28:33.920 --> 0:28:36.399
<v Speaker 1>just listening to the weather forecast and relazy realizing why

0:28:36.400 --> 0:28:39.600
<v Speaker 1>I'm glad I moved to Colorado. Hey way to rub

0:28:39.640 --> 0:28:44.680
<v Speaker 1>it in, Okay, exactly three hundred days of sunshiny year

0:28:44.880 --> 0:28:48.400
<v Speaker 1>skiing in the in the winter. All Right, it's a

0:28:48.400 --> 0:28:51.040
<v Speaker 1>little rough here right now. Not for you, though, UM

0:28:51.200 --> 0:28:53.440
<v Speaker 1>markets makes sense of it. For us right now, we're

0:28:53.520 --> 0:28:55.600
<v Speaker 1>we did see a leg down in the last hour.

0:28:55.600 --> 0:28:57.880
<v Speaker 1>We're down undred and thirty seven, is Charlie just mentioned

0:28:57.960 --> 0:29:01.160
<v Speaker 1>on the Dow. So little change the overall when it

0:29:01.200 --> 0:29:04.200
<v Speaker 1>comes to the SMP and NASDAC. It feels like we're

0:29:04.200 --> 0:29:06.360
<v Speaker 1>waiting for that inflation report tomorrow. But how do you

0:29:06.400 --> 0:29:09.520
<v Speaker 1>see the trade right now? So I think, I mean,

0:29:09.560 --> 0:29:12.360
<v Speaker 1>I think these are incredibly calm markets. I mean there's

0:29:12.480 --> 0:29:16.120
<v Speaker 1>really very very little going on. It's almost as though

0:29:16.160 --> 0:29:18.560
<v Speaker 1>the sort of worlds decided post COVID or sending the

0:29:18.600 --> 0:29:20.720
<v Speaker 1>U S has that they're going to disappear on vacation

0:29:21.360 --> 0:29:23.080
<v Speaker 1>early for the summer. But they do think, what do

0:29:23.120 --> 0:29:25.479
<v Speaker 1>you mean calm, the lack of volatility or just what

0:29:25.480 --> 0:29:28.080
<v Speaker 1>what do you mean just lack of lack of clear direction.

0:29:28.120 --> 0:29:30.480
<v Speaker 1>I think, to be briefly honest, I mean, you know,

0:29:30.520 --> 0:29:33.760
<v Speaker 1>we were stuck in relatively big ranges. Whether you look

0:29:33.760 --> 0:29:36.880
<v Speaker 1>at the effects. Some commodities have come off the board

0:29:36.880 --> 0:29:40.160
<v Speaker 1>a little bit, equities really sort of quite quiet and

0:29:40.560 --> 0:29:43.120
<v Speaker 1>a little boring, and volumes that seemed to be very

0:29:43.200 --> 0:29:45.479
<v Speaker 1>lack luster. As I said, it almost feels like an

0:29:45.520 --> 0:29:49.240
<v Speaker 1>August market a month early or too early. But you

0:29:49.480 --> 0:29:52.400
<v Speaker 1>you remember in summer's past, at least pre COVID that

0:29:52.480 --> 0:29:54.960
<v Speaker 1>we saw I want to say, in eighteen and nineteen,

0:29:55.000 --> 0:29:57.440
<v Speaker 1>maybe even before that, that often all of a sudden

0:29:57.840 --> 0:29:59.760
<v Speaker 1>late summer. I only know because I'm often on vacation

0:29:59.840 --> 0:30:03.000
<v Speaker 1>that the market comes apart. We have a big sell off, yes,

0:30:03.120 --> 0:30:06.000
<v Speaker 1>And I don't really see that so much this year.

0:30:06.040 --> 0:30:08.800
<v Speaker 1>I've got to be honest with you. I mean I think, um,

0:30:08.840 --> 0:30:11.040
<v Speaker 1>you know, there are some very important events coming up.

0:30:11.960 --> 0:30:15.440
<v Speaker 1>We do have obviously the ECB tomorrow, and then also

0:30:15.480 --> 0:30:18.080
<v Speaker 1>we've got this inflation print. But I think, you know,

0:30:18.120 --> 0:30:19.880
<v Speaker 1>when I look at the inflation store and I think

0:30:19.880 --> 0:30:22.600
<v Speaker 1>it's a huge story. And I'm not as sanguine as

0:30:22.600 --> 0:30:26.040
<v Speaker 1>the FED when it comes to this assumption of transitory

0:30:26.120 --> 0:30:28.959
<v Speaker 1>at least I think from a market sex perspective. I mean,

0:30:29.000 --> 0:30:31.440
<v Speaker 1>I think the FED would argue that their transitory maybe

0:30:31.520 --> 0:30:33.600
<v Speaker 1>two years out. I really don't think the market is

0:30:33.600 --> 0:30:36.920
<v Speaker 1>going to give them the benefits that about UM. But

0:30:37.000 --> 0:30:39.600
<v Speaker 1>when I look at tomorrow, I'm looking for a pretty

0:30:39.680 --> 0:30:42.240
<v Speaker 1>high number. Our work suggests that we could be looking

0:30:42.280 --> 0:30:44.760
<v Speaker 1>for a number in the very high fives, possibly as

0:30:44.840 --> 0:30:49.840
<v Speaker 1>high as six. For the headline CPI UM. I think, yeah,

0:30:50.000 --> 0:30:52.480
<v Speaker 1>it's just look I mean in part, and it's just

0:30:52.560 --> 0:30:55.360
<v Speaker 1>base effect. It's a natural way of doing that. But

0:30:55.400 --> 0:30:57.120
<v Speaker 1>when you look at just look at simple things like

0:30:57.320 --> 0:31:00.760
<v Speaker 1>how high PPI is going UM and the rate of

0:31:00.920 --> 0:31:03.560
<v Speaker 1>change on those, you can pretty much get a pretty

0:31:03.560 --> 0:31:08.480
<v Speaker 1>good estimate for cp I. And I know J. Powell

0:31:08.520 --> 0:31:11.320
<v Speaker 1>has told us that companies will be reluctant to pass

0:31:11.360 --> 0:31:14.200
<v Speaker 1>on price increases, but I'm calling his bluff on that one.

0:31:14.240 --> 0:31:16.520
<v Speaker 1>I just I think we can see it in every

0:31:16.640 --> 0:31:21.080
<v Speaker 1>single CEO conference call that when you create essentially in

0:31:21.120 --> 0:31:26.040
<v Speaker 1>elastic demand by you know, stimulating the economy to this

0:31:26.120 --> 0:31:29.680
<v Speaker 1>degree and then opening up, then companies do have pricing power,

0:31:29.680 --> 0:31:31.960
<v Speaker 1>and I think CEOs are taking it with both hands

0:31:32.000 --> 0:31:34.480
<v Speaker 1>and using that to push on those increases. So I

0:31:34.520 --> 0:31:37.800
<v Speaker 1>think you get a high print tomorrow, then I think

0:31:37.800 --> 0:31:40.560
<v Speaker 1>we settle down and it's a it's a waiting game

0:31:40.800 --> 0:31:43.640
<v Speaker 1>because we now have to and that the definition is

0:31:43.680 --> 0:31:46.800
<v Speaker 1>we have to discuss this transitory and that doesn't happen

0:31:46.800 --> 0:31:48.720
<v Speaker 1>in a month. It might happen in three months, it

0:31:48.760 --> 0:31:51.800
<v Speaker 1>might happen in six months. Um. But it comes as

0:31:51.880 --> 0:31:53.760
<v Speaker 1>much more as I said, it becomes a weighting game

0:31:53.760 --> 0:31:56.360
<v Speaker 1>and not a sort of where's the peak, let's pickin

0:31:56.520 --> 0:32:00.480
<v Speaker 1>that tail on that if if there is a high

0:32:00.480 --> 0:32:05.720
<v Speaker 1>print tomorrow, what happens to the equity market? Okay, I

0:32:05.720 --> 0:32:07.600
<v Speaker 1>mean it really Well, the first question is what happens

0:32:07.600 --> 0:32:12.240
<v Speaker 1>to the bomb market? I mean the bomber has settled down? Yeah,

0:32:12.280 --> 0:32:14.560
<v Speaker 1>I mean really coming quite a lot. And I do

0:32:14.640 --> 0:32:18.800
<v Speaker 1>think in part Carol, that's because people recognize this is

0:32:19.000 --> 0:32:22.400
<v Speaker 1>likely to be the high print, right, you know, just

0:32:22.440 --> 0:32:24.640
<v Speaker 1>from a base effect perspective. And then I said, we

0:32:24.720 --> 0:32:29.240
<v Speaker 1>go into this longer before elongated debate. Um. But obviously

0:32:29.280 --> 0:32:32.960
<v Speaker 1>I think if you saw a number of this magnitude, mechanically,

0:32:33.000 --> 0:32:35.320
<v Speaker 1>you've got to see a move in things like break evens,

0:32:35.800 --> 0:32:40.840
<v Speaker 1>which should push push put some pression on on on nominals. Well, Jilian,

0:32:40.920 --> 0:32:43.880
<v Speaker 1>but you know most of us, as I know, I've

0:32:43.880 --> 0:32:45.960
<v Speaker 1>got my logical brain and I've got my oh my god,

0:32:46.000 --> 0:32:48.600
<v Speaker 1>look at that print. Our Bloomberg intelligence team has been

0:32:48.640 --> 0:32:51.160
<v Speaker 1>reminding us that it's all going to take more time

0:32:51.240 --> 0:32:53.680
<v Speaker 1>when it comes to these inflation numbers and really economic

0:32:53.760 --> 0:32:57.040
<v Speaker 1>data points, and they're talking about in two to fully

0:32:57.080 --> 0:32:59.480
<v Speaker 1>separate when it comes to things like you know, the

0:32:59.520 --> 0:33:03.520
<v Speaker 1>transfer tory forces pushing prices higher than durable increases inflation,

0:33:04.160 --> 0:33:07.360
<v Speaker 1>we will we be logical though, when we see kind

0:33:07.360 --> 0:33:10.520
<v Speaker 1>of a crazy print tomorrow. Do you think, especially when

0:33:10.520 --> 0:33:12.760
<v Speaker 1>we're waiting kind of on earnings and that next batch

0:33:12.760 --> 0:33:14.920
<v Speaker 1>of reports where CEO is give us some indication of

0:33:14.920 --> 0:33:18.040
<v Speaker 1>what's going on. So look, I mean, I think there's

0:33:18.160 --> 0:33:21.880
<v Speaker 1>enough stimulus, There is enough economic momentum in the economy.

0:33:22.880 --> 0:33:24.680
<v Speaker 1>I mean, if I just look at so the invatory cycle,

0:33:24.720 --> 0:33:27.600
<v Speaker 1>it's only really starting now and we can barely get

0:33:27.640 --> 0:33:30.160
<v Speaker 1>ahead of the thing. When I look at the capex cycle,

0:33:30.600 --> 0:33:35.400
<v Speaker 1>to me, this seems early cycled type stuff. I mean,

0:33:35.440 --> 0:33:37.600
<v Speaker 1>I think we've got enough economic remains to keep this

0:33:37.640 --> 0:33:42.680
<v Speaker 1>economy going into the middle of next year. So you know, look,

0:33:42.720 --> 0:33:44.720
<v Speaker 1>if you get a knee joke reaction on the NASTAC

0:33:44.760 --> 0:33:48.160
<v Speaker 1>and I do think that's a market that still looks

0:33:48.280 --> 0:33:51.960
<v Speaker 1>very very expensive, or should we say growth in inverted

0:33:52.000 --> 0:33:56.120
<v Speaker 1>commas versus value looks still extraordinarily expensive even where the

0:33:56.120 --> 0:33:58.719
<v Speaker 1>bond market is now. I mean, our work suggests that

0:33:58.720 --> 0:34:01.760
<v Speaker 1>that ratio between CDs and BE growth indexes and BE

0:34:01.880 --> 0:34:06.280
<v Speaker 1>value index should be even where bond deals are now.

0:34:07.160 --> 0:34:09.960
<v Speaker 1>Um that we could continue some of this sort of

0:34:10.080 --> 0:34:15.960
<v Speaker 1>rotation game and you could get a knee jerk reaction tomorrow. UM,

0:34:16.000 --> 0:34:17.799
<v Speaker 1>I'd love to say, I think it's going to be

0:34:17.840 --> 0:34:22.560
<v Speaker 1>extraordinarily volatile, because that's what makes our day. I think

0:34:22.680 --> 0:34:24.759
<v Speaker 1>we're going to be turning our wheels for a little bit.

0:34:25.120 --> 0:34:27.280
<v Speaker 1>How do you think equities are priced right now relative

0:34:27.280 --> 0:34:30.279
<v Speaker 1>to where you think the economy is going, because you

0:34:30.320 --> 0:34:34.719
<v Speaker 1>said the economy can continue strong into Excuse me, but

0:34:34.760 --> 0:34:37.040
<v Speaker 1>I'm wondering what's priced into equities right now? And you

0:34:37.080 --> 0:34:40.640
<v Speaker 1>said now that you think you're both so I think

0:34:40.719 --> 0:34:42.680
<v Speaker 1>I think well, I think in general, I think the

0:34:42.760 --> 0:34:47.040
<v Speaker 1>US looks extraordinarily expensive. Um. You know, I like to

0:34:47.120 --> 0:34:50.919
<v Speaker 1>be invested in exuities. I think you know, macro guys

0:34:50.920 --> 0:34:52.640
<v Speaker 1>and we always get a bad rap for this. You

0:34:52.640 --> 0:34:54.680
<v Speaker 1>know constantly want to pick the tops and things. But

0:34:54.719 --> 0:34:56.359
<v Speaker 1>we all know that you don't really make that much

0:34:56.400 --> 0:34:59.240
<v Speaker 1>money doing that. Long term, you've got to be invested

0:34:59.760 --> 0:35:02.160
<v Speaker 1>um And when I look at US markets, they are

0:35:03.040 --> 0:35:08.120
<v Speaker 1>extraordinarily high and extraordinarily high. But just to wrap up Julian,

0:35:08.560 --> 0:35:11.520
<v Speaker 1>maybe not though, if that's where the growth is ultimately like,

0:35:11.560 --> 0:35:14.040
<v Speaker 1>if the US market is leading in terms of growth, right,

0:35:14.040 --> 0:35:15.440
<v Speaker 1>don't we have to compare it to kind of what's

0:35:15.480 --> 0:35:18.359
<v Speaker 1>going on around the rest of the world. Not really,

0:35:18.400 --> 0:35:21.160
<v Speaker 1>because it's I think one factor that people don't necessarily

0:35:21.160 --> 0:35:23.120
<v Speaker 1>take into account is the role of the dollar and

0:35:23.239 --> 0:35:26.120
<v Speaker 1>the ability of the dollars the sucking that flow of

0:35:26.239 --> 0:35:29.439
<v Speaker 1>funds to prop up those equities. And I think now

0:35:29.480 --> 0:35:31.600
<v Speaker 1>that the dollar has started what I think is going

0:35:31.640 --> 0:35:33.520
<v Speaker 1>to be a multi year decline. I mean the sort

0:35:33.560 --> 0:35:35.279
<v Speaker 1>of thing that we saw between say two thousand and

0:35:35.280 --> 0:35:39.719
<v Speaker 1>two and two thousand and eight, where the dollar drop um.

0:35:40.000 --> 0:35:42.880
<v Speaker 1>US equities tend to underperform in that environment because because

0:35:42.920 --> 0:35:45.759
<v Speaker 1>foreign equity investors tend to take their money home because

0:35:45.760 --> 0:35:48.279
<v Speaker 1>they don't hedge. So every day when they wake up

0:35:48.320 --> 0:35:50.319
<v Speaker 1>their statement and they see, oh, well look they have

0:35:50.400 --> 0:35:52.840
<v Speaker 1>that up a few percent, wait a second, the dollars

0:35:52.880 --> 0:35:56.319
<v Speaker 1>down and equally offsetting them out they're not making any

0:35:56.320 --> 0:35:59.279
<v Speaker 1>money in their currency, so I think, to me, that's

0:35:59.280 --> 0:36:01.960
<v Speaker 1>an important point going forward. It just go ahead, girl,

0:36:02.120 --> 0:36:03.839
<v Speaker 1>go ahead. I was just gonna ask about wage growth

0:36:03.840 --> 0:36:08.640
<v Speaker 1>and how important wage growth is because that, yeah, seconds

0:36:08.640 --> 0:36:12.040
<v Speaker 1>extraordinarily important. And I think the big mistake that FED

0:36:12.160 --> 0:36:13.960
<v Speaker 1>is making is that they viewed this as a O

0:36:14.080 --> 0:36:17.280
<v Speaker 1>A CO nine type situation. When you look at the numbers,

0:36:17.280 --> 0:36:19.919
<v Speaker 1>they look nothing like that. We're not dropping anywhere close

0:36:19.920 --> 0:36:22.319
<v Speaker 1>to that degree. So we're starting at a much high level. Tim. Yeah,

0:36:22.320 --> 0:36:24.560
<v Speaker 1>it definitely feels like a different thing. What fun come back?

0:36:24.640 --> 0:36:27.360
<v Speaker 1>Please soon. Julian bringed In, his co found and president

0:36:27.360 --> 0:36:30.840
<v Speaker 1>of the Macro of Macro Intelligence are am I, two partners,

0:36:30.840 --> 0:36:34.040
<v Speaker 1>as we mentioned, a global macro economic research burn from

0:36:34.040 --> 0:36:38.440
<v Speaker 1>that's been around for about a decade. Thanks for listening

0:36:38.480 --> 0:36:41.880
<v Speaker 1>to Bloomberg Business Week. Download the podcast on iTunes, SoundCloud,

0:36:42.040 --> 0:36:44.160
<v Speaker 1>or Bloomberg dot com, and you can also listen to

0:36:44.200 --> 0:36:46.799
<v Speaker 1>our radio show at two pm Eastern on Bloomberg Radio

0:36:46.920 --> 0:36:49.680
<v Speaker 1>or watch us on YouTube. Search to Bloomberg Global News