1 00:00:00,120 --> 00:00:07,040 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:10,000 --> 00:00:12,080 Speaker 2: This is the Blue Big dayba Q your podcast Givebrning. 3 00:00:12,119 --> 00:00:15,080 Speaker 2: It's Friday, the nineteenth of September. I'm Caroline Hepget in 4 00:00:15,120 --> 00:00:18,960 Speaker 2: London coming up today, and Vidia's Jensen Wong rounds off 5 00:00:19,000 --> 00:00:22,439 Speaker 2: a big week for American tech in Britain as Keir 6 00:00:22,520 --> 00:00:26,560 Speaker 2: Starmer's flattery of the US President pays off with major 7 00:00:26,600 --> 00:00:31,080 Speaker 2: pitfalls averted and a hint at better trade terms. Donald 8 00:00:31,080 --> 00:00:34,440 Speaker 2: Trump and China Xijingping get ready for a call to 9 00:00:34,520 --> 00:00:38,880 Speaker 2: discuss TikTok tariffs and trade curbs. Plus, as US stock 10 00:00:39,040 --> 00:00:42,920 Speaker 2: indexes close and a simultaneous record high for the first 11 00:00:42,920 --> 00:00:45,880 Speaker 2: time since twenty twenty one, we look at the hedge 12 00:00:45,880 --> 00:00:49,680 Speaker 2: America trade that is expected to top a trillion dollars. 13 00:00:49,960 --> 00:00:52,680 Speaker 2: Let's start with a roundup of our top stories. In 14 00:00:52,800 --> 00:00:56,120 Speaker 2: Vidia plans to invest two billion pounds to support the 15 00:00:56,200 --> 00:01:00,080 Speaker 2: UK's artificial intelligence industry. The chip maker is giving the 16 00:01:00,160 --> 00:01:03,040 Speaker 2: money to venture capital firms to invest in the likes 17 00:01:03,080 --> 00:01:07,560 Speaker 2: of Wave Revolute and Synthesia. CEO Jensen Wong says Britain 18 00:01:07,680 --> 00:01:09,399 Speaker 2: is in a goldilocks moment. 19 00:01:10,120 --> 00:01:13,280 Speaker 3: This is the third largest AI stargs ecosystem in the world, 20 00:01:13,520 --> 00:01:16,120 Speaker 3: only behind the United States and China. So I think 21 00:01:16,160 --> 00:01:19,319 Speaker 3: that the moment is right, it's just missing the infrastructure. 22 00:01:19,600 --> 00:01:22,240 Speaker 3: This is the week. This is the week that I 23 00:01:22,360 --> 00:01:25,520 Speaker 3: declare that the UK will be an AI superpower. 24 00:01:26,319 --> 00:01:29,360 Speaker 2: Jensen Wong, speaking there to journalists at a press briefing 25 00:01:29,400 --> 00:01:32,200 Speaker 2: about the news. And Vidia's investments are part of a 26 00:01:32,319 --> 00:01:36,520 Speaker 2: slew of AI announcements from US technology companies this week 27 00:01:36,600 --> 00:01:41,120 Speaker 2: time to coincide with President Trump's visit to Britain. While 28 00:01:41,200 --> 00:01:44,679 Speaker 2: the UK is the biggest European market for startups by 29 00:01:44,760 --> 00:01:47,920 Speaker 2: volume and by size of deals, Britain has yet to 30 00:01:48,000 --> 00:01:51,720 Speaker 2: produce a national AI champion like Open AI in the 31 00:01:51,800 --> 00:01:57,400 Speaker 2: US or France's mistral President Donald Trump Ampraman is a kistarma, 32 00:01:57,440 --> 00:02:01,480 Speaker 2: though concluded and historic state visit by hailing the transatlantic 33 00:02:01,560 --> 00:02:05,559 Speaker 2: relationship with little sign of public disagreement, the two world 34 00:02:05,640 --> 00:02:09,120 Speaker 2: leaders welcome two hundred and fifty billion pounds of bilateral 35 00:02:09,160 --> 00:02:13,480 Speaker 2: investment deals and a new tech agreement. After the summit 36 00:02:13,560 --> 00:02:16,800 Speaker 2: US at President Trump told Fox News that the UK 37 00:02:17,040 --> 00:02:20,400 Speaker 2: had pushed for lower tariffs on its steel exports. 38 00:02:20,760 --> 00:02:22,359 Speaker 4: They would like to see if they could make a 39 00:02:22,400 --> 00:02:23,880 Speaker 4: little bit better were you open to that. 40 00:02:24,760 --> 00:02:25,480 Speaker 5: I like them. 41 00:02:25,760 --> 00:02:28,000 Speaker 6: We're making a lot of money. 42 00:02:27,760 --> 00:02:29,440 Speaker 2: So they're at twenty five percent right now, you're going 43 00:02:29,480 --> 00:02:30,839 Speaker 2: to go lower than they're actually. 44 00:02:30,520 --> 00:02:36,160 Speaker 4: Had fifty percent for steal and aluminum, and I want 45 00:02:36,160 --> 00:02:36,600 Speaker 4: to see them. 46 00:02:36,600 --> 00:02:37,880 Speaker 5: They're having a lot of difficulty. 47 00:02:38,880 --> 00:02:41,600 Speaker 2: But talks between the two leaders did not lead to 48 00:02:41,639 --> 00:02:47,079 Speaker 2: any obvious diplomatic breakthroughs on Ukraine or Gaza. Despite that, 49 00:02:47,320 --> 00:02:51,440 Speaker 2: one UK official expressed relief to Bloomberg that the UK's 50 00:02:51,560 --> 00:02:54,400 Speaker 2: Prime Minister kist Salma had got through the visit without 51 00:02:54,440 --> 00:02:59,520 Speaker 2: any further controversy over the UK's former ambassador Peter Mandelson's 52 00:02:59,560 --> 00:03:04,400 Speaker 2: relationship with Jeffrey Epstein. The Bank of England's decision to 53 00:03:04,520 --> 00:03:08,600 Speaker 2: rain in its quantitative tightening plan has shattered any illusion 54 00:03:08,680 --> 00:03:12,600 Speaker 2: that the policy remains on autopilot. This amid recent volatility 55 00:03:12,600 --> 00:03:15,600 Speaker 2: in the bond market. Yesterday's announcements or the Bank's Manage 56 00:03:15,760 --> 00:03:20,200 Speaker 2: Policy Committee reduced the annual runoff of its guilt holdings 57 00:03:20,240 --> 00:03:22,959 Speaker 2: to seventy billion pounds a year, down from one hundred billion. 58 00:03:23,560 --> 00:03:25,760 Speaker 2: The Governor of the Bank of England, Andrew Bailey, says 59 00:03:25,760 --> 00:03:28,400 Speaker 2: that he would take into account the impact of guilt 60 00:03:28,440 --> 00:03:30,000 Speaker 2: sales on interest rates. 61 00:03:30,560 --> 00:03:34,640 Speaker 6: We take into account all market conditions, so any effect 62 00:03:34,800 --> 00:03:38,960 Speaker 6: that our sales have on market conditions and therefore on 63 00:03:40,080 --> 00:03:43,280 Speaker 6: interest rates going out along the sort of the whole 64 00:03:43,280 --> 00:03:46,960 Speaker 6: maturity spectrum of interest rates, we will take into account 65 00:03:46,960 --> 00:03:50,320 Speaker 6: when we set a bank rates, so there wouldn't be 66 00:03:50,360 --> 00:03:54,160 Speaker 6: an offset there. In other words, if there's a feeling 67 00:03:54,240 --> 00:03:56,800 Speaker 6: that in some sense quantity of tightening it's pushing rates 68 00:03:56,880 --> 00:04:00,920 Speaker 6: up in the market, then the effect of that we 69 00:04:00,960 --> 00:04:03,240 Speaker 6: would take into account when we say bank correct, so 70 00:04:03,680 --> 00:04:05,560 Speaker 6: there would be an offset there. 71 00:04:06,600 --> 00:04:08,440 Speaker 2: So that was the Governor of the Bank of England, 72 00:04:08,520 --> 00:04:12,800 Speaker 2: Andrew Bailey speaking. He announced the changes to a quantitative 73 00:04:12,920 --> 00:04:15,960 Speaker 2: tightening alongside the bank's decision to hold interest rates at 74 00:04:16,000 --> 00:04:20,480 Speaker 2: four percent. The bank kept its guidance warning that future 75 00:04:20,480 --> 00:04:24,640 Speaker 2: cuts will be quote gradual and careful and depend on 76 00:04:24,720 --> 00:04:32,160 Speaker 2: the extent to which underlying disinflationary pressures continued to ease. Now, 77 00:04:32,279 --> 00:04:36,000 Speaker 2: Chinese President Shi Jinping and US President Donald Trump will 78 00:04:36,000 --> 00:04:39,960 Speaker 2: discuss trade tariffs and the future of TikTok on a 79 00:04:40,080 --> 00:04:44,280 Speaker 2: phone call at two pm London time today. It's the 80 00:04:44,400 --> 00:04:47,360 Speaker 2: first conversation since June between the leaders of the world's 81 00:04:47,360 --> 00:04:50,599 Speaker 2: two largest economies. Part of the discussion will focus on 82 00:04:50,640 --> 00:04:54,720 Speaker 2: plans to shift control of TikTok's US operations from Chinese 83 00:04:54,760 --> 00:04:58,520 Speaker 2: parent company byte Dance to a group of American investors. 84 00:04:58,760 --> 00:05:02,120 Speaker 2: Speaking yesterday, Trump tease the head to the deal. 85 00:05:02,880 --> 00:05:06,159 Speaker 4: The United States is getting a tremendous fee plus. I 86 00:05:06,200 --> 00:05:08,760 Speaker 4: call it a fee plus for just making the deal. 87 00:05:08,839 --> 00:05:10,960 Speaker 4: And I don't want to throw that out the window now. 88 00:05:11,000 --> 00:05:14,800 Speaker 4: I'd rather reap the benefits. I mean, the kind of 89 00:05:14,839 --> 00:05:17,839 Speaker 4: money we're talking about is very substantial, and it'll be 90 00:05:17,880 --> 00:05:21,760 Speaker 4: owned by all American investors, and the best investors, and 91 00:05:21,839 --> 00:05:25,400 Speaker 4: the very rich people and companies are going to be 92 00:05:25,400 --> 00:05:29,719 Speaker 4: owning it, very very straight, very legitimate companies, and really 93 00:05:29,760 --> 00:05:32,880 Speaker 4: companies that love America. So they're going to be owning it. 94 00:05:32,320 --> 00:05:37,680 Speaker 2: It's a big thing, President Trump speaking there, As Bloomberg understands, 95 00:05:37,720 --> 00:05:41,719 Speaker 2: byte Dance will hold no more than a twenty percent 96 00:05:41,760 --> 00:05:47,640 Speaker 2: stake in TikTok, while other investors, including Oracle and silver Lake, 97 00:05:47,680 --> 00:05:51,599 Speaker 2: would be involved. The two leaders will also discuss ongoing 98 00:05:51,640 --> 00:05:55,320 Speaker 2: trade restrictions when it comes to semiconductors and rare earth. 99 00:05:55,800 --> 00:05:58,120 Speaker 2: It's hope that the call may lay the groundwork for 100 00:05:58,200 --> 00:06:01,960 Speaker 2: their first in person meeting since President Trump returned to 101 00:06:02,040 --> 00:06:06,440 Speaker 2: office in the US. Now, President Trump says that US 102 00:06:06,600 --> 00:06:12,159 Speaker 2: broadcasters should face licensed scrutiny if they are too critical 103 00:06:12,279 --> 00:06:16,240 Speaker 2: of him. The comments came as he defended ABC's decision 104 00:06:16,360 --> 00:06:21,880 Speaker 2: to suspend Jimmy Kimmel's TV show indefinitely following remarks about 105 00:06:22,000 --> 00:06:26,960 Speaker 2: conservative activist Charlie Kirk. Speaking to reporters on board Air 106 00:06:27,000 --> 00:06:30,960 Speaker 2: Force one, the president suggested he is often targeted by 107 00:06:31,040 --> 00:06:32,880 Speaker 2: late night television hosts. 108 00:06:33,400 --> 00:06:36,919 Speaker 7: I read some places that the networks were ninety seven 109 00:06:37,000 --> 00:06:40,280 Speaker 7: percent against me. I get ninety seven percent negative, and 110 00:06:40,320 --> 00:06:44,400 Speaker 7: yet I won easily won all seven s, makes safe popular. 111 00:06:44,080 --> 00:06:44,840 Speaker 5: WORTE won everything. 112 00:06:45,000 --> 00:06:49,080 Speaker 7: And if they're ninety seven percent against, they give you 113 00:06:49,160 --> 00:06:53,200 Speaker 7: only bad bookless or press. I mean they're getting a license. 114 00:06:53,600 --> 00:06:57,839 Speaker 7: I would think maybe their license should be taken away. 115 00:06:58,040 --> 00:07:01,920 Speaker 2: So that was Donald Trump's speaking there. His remarks come 116 00:07:02,080 --> 00:07:06,160 Speaker 2: days after he filed a fifteen billion dollar lawsuit against 117 00:07:06,279 --> 00:07:09,640 Speaker 2: the New York Times newspaper. The president and his allies 118 00:07:09,640 --> 00:07:14,400 Speaker 2: have long complained that America's mainstream media is biased against conservatives. 119 00:07:14,720 --> 00:07:19,240 Speaker 2: Trump has repeatedly called for CBS, ABC and NBC News 120 00:07:19,280 --> 00:07:22,520 Speaker 2: on networks to get rid of late night comedy hosts, 121 00:07:23,320 --> 00:07:29,680 Speaker 2: who he says frequently criticize his administration. And lastly, the 122 00:07:29,960 --> 00:07:34,360 Speaker 2: UK's Secret Surface is aiming to recruit new spies using a. 123 00:07:34,360 --> 00:07:35,960 Speaker 5: Website on the dark web. 124 00:07:36,520 --> 00:07:39,920 Speaker 2: Six IS chief Richard Moore is launching a secure messaging 125 00:07:39,960 --> 00:07:44,840 Speaker 2: platform called Silent Courier, which is designed to target foreign agents. 126 00:07:44,960 --> 00:07:46,640 Speaker 2: Bloomberg's James Walcock has more. 127 00:07:47,160 --> 00:07:50,280 Speaker 8: How do you become the next James bond Well? One 128 00:07:50,360 --> 00:07:56,160 Speaker 8: modern answer is b Russian and download a VPN. Six's boss, 129 00:07:56,200 --> 00:07:59,480 Speaker 8: who goes by the moniker C is calling on people 130 00:07:59,560 --> 00:08:02,800 Speaker 8: all over the world to help British intelligence over the 131 00:08:02,880 --> 00:08:06,920 Speaker 8: Internet in the name of global stability. It's a message 132 00:08:06,920 --> 00:08:10,760 Speaker 8: being targeted particularly at Russians, with a new website being 133 00:08:10,800 --> 00:08:15,120 Speaker 8: hosted on the Darkweb for anonymity in London. James Wilcock, 134 00:08:15,240 --> 00:08:16,080 Speaker 8: Bloomberg Radio. 135 00:08:16,840 --> 00:08:19,280 Speaker 2: Those are our top stories this morning. Let's get to 136 00:08:19,440 --> 00:08:22,360 Speaker 2: the markets. Europe In stocks rose eight tens of one 137 00:08:22,360 --> 00:08:24,880 Speaker 2: percent at the close yesterday, but we didn't quite make 138 00:08:24,920 --> 00:08:27,280 Speaker 2: the highs that we saw for four of the US's 139 00:08:27,320 --> 00:08:32,000 Speaker 2: main stock indices yesterday. Huge run up in terms of 140 00:08:32,040 --> 00:08:34,480 Speaker 2: the S and P five hundred futures. They are consolidating 141 00:08:34,520 --> 00:08:39,480 Speaker 2: above six seven hundred. Also, we saw the Bank of 142 00:08:39,559 --> 00:08:42,400 Speaker 2: Japan keep interest rates at half of one percent at 143 00:08:42,440 --> 00:08:45,360 Speaker 2: the end of a very busy central banking week. That 144 00:08:45,400 --> 00:08:49,000 Speaker 2: has meant the yen has strengthen, Japanese equities have dropped. 145 00:08:49,440 --> 00:08:52,360 Speaker 2: You've also heard about the Bank of Japan of floating 146 00:08:52,440 --> 00:08:55,840 Speaker 2: its ETF holdings or beginning to do that. So that 147 00:08:55,920 --> 00:08:58,880 Speaker 2: was the other big news from that decision. In terms 148 00:08:58,920 --> 00:09:03,439 Speaker 2: of treasure yields, ten year treasury yields at the moment 149 00:09:03,520 --> 00:09:06,240 Speaker 2: upper basis point at four twelve. Right now, the Bloomberg 150 00:09:06,240 --> 00:09:09,160 Speaker 2: dollar spot indexes flat, all prices are down, and gold 151 00:09:09,240 --> 00:09:12,640 Speaker 2: is up four tenths of one percent. Those are the markets. 152 00:09:12,679 --> 00:09:14,280 Speaker 2: In a moment, I'm going to bring you more on 153 00:09:14,320 --> 00:09:17,040 Speaker 2: the Trump she call that we're expecting at nine am 154 00:09:17,240 --> 00:09:19,800 Speaker 2: Washington time at two pm in London here, and also 155 00:09:20,320 --> 00:09:24,240 Speaker 2: the global surge in stocks after a record breaking QS 156 00:09:24,360 --> 00:09:26,560 Speaker 2: rally yesterday. So we'll get to that in a moment. 157 00:09:26,600 --> 00:09:29,800 Speaker 2: But another story caught my eye is being marketed as 158 00:09:29,800 --> 00:09:33,000 Speaker 2: a quick fix for mental health. But behind the slick advertising, 159 00:09:33,000 --> 00:09:38,520 Speaker 2: the drug ketamine has some unknown, possibly really serious downsides, 160 00:09:38,559 --> 00:09:41,960 Speaker 2: and it is the subject of Bloomberg Businessweeks. Michelle Luke 161 00:09:42,000 --> 00:09:45,880 Speaker 2: in a piece that she's written, she describes ketamine as 162 00:09:46,080 --> 00:09:50,280 Speaker 2: this rapid acting substance that increases the brain's neuroplasticity. It 163 00:09:50,280 --> 00:09:53,880 Speaker 2: has also got some antidepressant effects. Obviously we know that 164 00:09:54,000 --> 00:09:57,080 Speaker 2: it has been used as an anesthetic in operations, both 165 00:09:57,080 --> 00:09:59,320 Speaker 2: for human beings and yes, for horses. 166 00:10:00,120 --> 00:10:02,199 Speaker 5: But she talks in a. 167 00:10:02,240 --> 00:10:05,040 Speaker 2: Very interesting way in her piece about how social media 168 00:10:05,120 --> 00:10:08,400 Speaker 2: has fueled the rise of ketamine is a kind of 169 00:10:08,440 --> 00:10:12,760 Speaker 2: trendy mental health hack, and that this market staggeringly is 170 00:10:12,800 --> 00:10:17,320 Speaker 2: worth three point four billion dollars in the US, and 171 00:10:17,360 --> 00:10:19,640 Speaker 2: she kind of charts the rise of it, but also 172 00:10:20,000 --> 00:10:24,640 Speaker 2: the massive potential unknowns and downsides, the risks of addiction 173 00:10:24,800 --> 00:10:27,360 Speaker 2: and misuse, and I just it got me thinking about 174 00:10:27,360 --> 00:10:30,440 Speaker 2: the UK. Ketamine use here in the UK has also 175 00:10:30,559 --> 00:10:33,160 Speaker 2: been massively on the rise. It hit a record high 176 00:10:33,520 --> 00:10:36,000 Speaker 2: in the year to the end of March twenty twenty three. 177 00:10:36,000 --> 00:10:38,720 Speaker 2: That's why it's got the government thinking about raising it 178 00:10:38,800 --> 00:10:41,559 Speaker 2: not just from a Class B drug I illegal to 179 00:10:41,600 --> 00:10:44,400 Speaker 2: buy and sell, but actually to a Class A drug, 180 00:10:44,440 --> 00:10:46,440 Speaker 2: which would you know, put it into an even more 181 00:10:46,520 --> 00:10:50,080 Speaker 2: serious category. But it is just staggering, you know how 182 00:10:50,120 --> 00:10:53,880 Speaker 2: much the online hype has sort of contributed to the 183 00:10:53,920 --> 00:10:56,880 Speaker 2: rise of ketamine that it really isn't such a straightforward, 184 00:10:57,480 --> 00:11:00,719 Speaker 2: you know, life hack. Anyway, it's a very piece. I 185 00:11:00,720 --> 00:11:03,120 Speaker 2: will put a link to it in our show notes 186 00:11:03,120 --> 00:11:07,920 Speaker 2: to Bloomberg BusinessWeek's Michelle Luke. Now present, Trump will hold 187 00:11:08,000 --> 00:11:14,080 Speaker 2: a call with Xijingping this Friday. It will include potentially 188 00:11:14,160 --> 00:11:17,480 Speaker 2: a decision on TikTok and also whyder trade discussions, perhaps 189 00:11:17,520 --> 00:11:20,280 Speaker 2: setting up an in person meeting. It comes after a 190 00:11:20,360 --> 00:11:23,640 Speaker 2: state visit to the UK in which policy differences were 191 00:11:23,679 --> 00:11:27,520 Speaker 2: smoved over. Joining me now is Bloomberg's Chief Asia correspondent 192 00:11:27,600 --> 00:11:33,719 Speaker 2: Roslyn Matheson to discuss Good morning, was TikTok and transactional diplomacy? 193 00:11:33,720 --> 00:11:37,320 Speaker 2: What do you think might emerge a US owned but 194 00:11:37,440 --> 00:11:39,280 Speaker 2: a Chinese controlled algorithm? 195 00:11:39,920 --> 00:11:41,800 Speaker 9: Well seems to be it'll be owned by a group 196 00:11:41,840 --> 00:11:44,640 Speaker 9: of US investors. But we don't know a lot of 197 00:11:44,640 --> 00:11:46,880 Speaker 9: the details yet and Donald Trump did not want to 198 00:11:46,920 --> 00:11:50,440 Speaker 9: be drawn on it, particularly yesterday. But what we do 199 00:11:50,559 --> 00:11:53,720 Speaker 9: understand is part of that is bitt dancers holding would 200 00:11:53,720 --> 00:11:57,079 Speaker 9: go down to less than twenty percent, so potentially under 201 00:11:57,080 --> 00:12:01,559 Speaker 9: that threshold that would trigger those national security law aspects 202 00:12:01,600 --> 00:12:05,520 Speaker 9: and Oracle silver Lake and recent Horowitz would have the rest. So, 203 00:12:05,559 --> 00:12:08,720 Speaker 9: as you're saying, byt Dance essentially licenses its technology to 204 00:12:08,880 --> 00:12:11,360 Speaker 9: that group for a new platform, so that the people 205 00:12:11,360 --> 00:12:14,280 Speaker 9: who use TikTok now in the US will be migrated 206 00:12:14,320 --> 00:12:17,559 Speaker 9: to a new platform that essentially mirrors the experience they 207 00:12:17,600 --> 00:12:20,320 Speaker 9: have now. And by it, Dance and TikTok as we 208 00:12:20,360 --> 00:12:22,640 Speaker 9: know it now would help build it because they have 209 00:12:22,679 --> 00:12:25,400 Speaker 9: to know how. But the US feeling this is an 210 00:12:25,480 --> 00:12:29,599 Speaker 9: arrangement that protects US users. Well, the Chinese company retains 211 00:12:30,080 --> 00:12:33,440 Speaker 9: ownership of its technology, which is a key asset in 212 00:12:33,520 --> 00:12:36,119 Speaker 9: its own right, So those appear to be the parameters 213 00:12:36,160 --> 00:12:39,040 Speaker 9: for now, at least the understanding going into the call. 214 00:12:39,240 --> 00:12:45,160 Speaker 9: So of course the majority ownership shifts to those US shareholders, 215 00:12:45,160 --> 00:12:49,079 Speaker 9: but byt Dance retains control, particularly of its technology. 216 00:12:50,400 --> 00:12:53,040 Speaker 2: There are lots of wider trade tensions, of course, between 217 00:12:53,040 --> 00:12:56,679 Speaker 2: the US and China. Will tariffs or chip controls be eased? 218 00:12:57,480 --> 00:13:00,960 Speaker 9: Well, Trump's been talking in recent days mostly about extending 219 00:13:01,080 --> 00:13:05,280 Speaker 9: the current trade truth on its existing terms. It's due 220 00:13:05,320 --> 00:13:08,680 Speaker 9: to expire in November, so perhaps extending it again, which 221 00:13:08,720 --> 00:13:11,319 Speaker 9: doesn't sound like movement much on tarifs in the minute, 222 00:13:11,320 --> 00:13:13,320 Speaker 9: but you never know, obviously, when the two of them 223 00:13:13,720 --> 00:13:16,480 Speaker 9: are on the call together, and perhaps they might prefer 224 00:13:16,559 --> 00:13:20,000 Speaker 9: to have a big bang announcement on taris if or 225 00:13:20,000 --> 00:13:23,080 Speaker 9: when they meet in person, because the idea is this call, 226 00:13:23,120 --> 00:13:25,480 Speaker 9: as you say, paves the way potentially for a meeting 227 00:13:26,040 --> 00:13:27,480 Speaker 9: in October in Asia. 228 00:13:27,559 --> 00:13:28,120 Speaker 5: So perhaps this. 229 00:13:28,240 --> 00:13:30,440 Speaker 9: Lays the groundwork and they want to come out and 230 00:13:30,480 --> 00:13:34,280 Speaker 9: make a splash with an announcement on tariffs in the minute. Obviously, 231 00:13:34,320 --> 00:13:36,720 Speaker 9: there are a lot of issues there still to go through, 232 00:13:36,720 --> 00:13:40,000 Speaker 9: in a lot of potential roadblocks for them, and Chips 233 00:13:40,040 --> 00:13:43,600 Speaker 9: a particular issue because we have China saying in Video 234 00:13:43,720 --> 00:13:47,240 Speaker 9: violated anti monopoly laws. They're trying to get Chinese tech 235 00:13:47,280 --> 00:13:50,839 Speaker 9: companies to stop buying in video products. And no doubt 236 00:13:51,360 --> 00:13:54,120 Speaker 9: the CEO of in Video, Jensen Huang, who's got a 237 00:13:54,240 --> 00:13:57,840 Speaker 9: very close relationship with Donald Trump, will be hoping the 238 00:13:57,960 --> 00:14:00,760 Speaker 9: US President brings it up on the cour But again, 239 00:14:00,760 --> 00:14:04,160 Speaker 9: you're unlikely to see China change it stance significantly in 240 00:14:04,160 --> 00:14:04,800 Speaker 9: a minute. 241 00:14:06,000 --> 00:14:08,920 Speaker 2: In terms of conflicts, do you think the US person 242 00:14:09,040 --> 00:14:11,440 Speaker 2: will try to press China in terms of support for 243 00:14:11,480 --> 00:14:14,320 Speaker 2: Russia's war in Ukraine or even on Taiwan, the South 244 00:14:14,440 --> 00:14:16,800 Speaker 2: China Sea where's the US president on those issues? 245 00:14:16,840 --> 00:14:17,000 Speaker 7: Now? 246 00:14:18,480 --> 00:14:22,040 Speaker 9: Well, it's obviously frustrated with Vladimir Putin, the Russian president. 247 00:14:22,120 --> 00:14:25,480 Speaker 9: He wants traction on ending the war in Ukraine, but 248 00:14:25,520 --> 00:14:27,320 Speaker 9: his stance seems to be more that it's on Europe 249 00:14:27,360 --> 00:14:30,320 Speaker 9: to pressure Russia first on the energy side, and to 250 00:14:30,360 --> 00:14:34,840 Speaker 9: do so perhaps by penalizing China on Russian energy purchases. 251 00:14:34,960 --> 00:14:37,000 Speaker 9: So it be interesting to see whether or how that 252 00:14:37,080 --> 00:14:40,480 Speaker 9: comes up, because Trump does want to keep this call 253 00:14:40,520 --> 00:14:43,120 Speaker 9: as a starting point to that in person meeting, and 254 00:14:43,240 --> 00:14:46,720 Speaker 9: Russian energy is a very sensitive topic for cgmping. 255 00:14:46,760 --> 00:14:48,160 Speaker 5: It's something he might bristle. 256 00:14:47,960 --> 00:14:49,480 Speaker 9: At the idea that he's like, well, this is an 257 00:14:49,520 --> 00:14:51,560 Speaker 9: issue for China and Russia, this is not an issue 258 00:14:51,760 --> 00:14:55,080 Speaker 9: for anybody else to get involved in. So be interesting 259 00:14:55,160 --> 00:14:59,040 Speaker 9: to see how or whether that comes up. And on Taiwan, interestingly, 260 00:14:59,080 --> 00:15:01,480 Speaker 9: we have this report in the Washington Post that Trump 261 00:15:01,480 --> 00:15:04,520 Speaker 9: has declined to approve it's a more than four hundred 262 00:15:04,520 --> 00:15:09,200 Speaker 9: million military aid package for Taiwan, and this include minissions 263 00:15:09,240 --> 00:15:14,160 Speaker 9: and autonomous drones rejected by the White House, and interesting 264 00:15:14,200 --> 00:15:17,880 Speaker 9: to see that happen also potentially so close to this 265 00:15:17,960 --> 00:15:21,960 Speaker 9: call and a potential meeting because Taiwan's a very sensitive 266 00:15:22,000 --> 00:15:26,760 Speaker 9: issue obviously in the relationship. Beijing sees Taiwan as a 267 00:15:26,840 --> 00:15:29,080 Speaker 9: self you know, as part of its territory. It is 268 00:15:29,120 --> 00:15:33,240 Speaker 9: a self ruled democracy, of course, and perhaps you know, 269 00:15:33,520 --> 00:15:36,400 Speaker 9: gold Trump's just treading a bit carefully. They're also so yeah, 270 00:15:36,400 --> 00:15:38,520 Speaker 9: it'll be interesting to see how weather that comes up to. 271 00:15:39,160 --> 00:15:42,000 Speaker 2: Okay, So that's all the kind of anticipation around the 272 00:15:42,040 --> 00:15:42,800 Speaker 2: US and China. 273 00:15:43,000 --> 00:15:44,760 Speaker 5: But I do want to get a word in. 274 00:15:44,720 --> 00:15:47,400 Speaker 2: There about the president's state visit to the UK. What 275 00:15:47,480 --> 00:15:49,080 Speaker 2: did you make of it? What do you think is 276 00:15:49,120 --> 00:15:52,520 Speaker 2: the conclusion in Britain certainly around. 277 00:15:52,240 --> 00:15:55,520 Speaker 9: This well, I imagine quite a few size of relief 278 00:15:55,760 --> 00:15:59,760 Speaker 9: this morning he's gone. There were no major problems in 279 00:15:59,800 --> 00:16:02,640 Speaker 9: the it. He got all the pomp and ceremony of 280 00:16:02,680 --> 00:16:05,320 Speaker 9: the royal family, which he likes. They kind of stepped 281 00:16:05,320 --> 00:16:08,160 Speaker 9: over the most delicate issues in the minute. 282 00:16:08,520 --> 00:16:09,080 Speaker 5: Even in their. 283 00:16:09,000 --> 00:16:11,400 Speaker 9: Press conference yesterday, you know, things came up on the 284 00:16:11,520 --> 00:16:15,640 Speaker 9: UK stance on a Palestinian state, on free speech, on migration. 285 00:16:15,920 --> 00:16:18,000 Speaker 9: Trump said he disagreed with Stum on a few things, 286 00:16:18,000 --> 00:16:19,600 Speaker 9: but they were quite polite about it. 287 00:16:19,560 --> 00:16:21,520 Speaker 5: And the mood seemed pretty friendly. 288 00:16:22,120 --> 00:16:25,040 Speaker 9: So this visit probably went as well as it could 289 00:16:25,440 --> 00:16:28,160 Speaker 9: for the UK Prime Minister, but the hard stuff was 290 00:16:28,200 --> 00:16:31,120 Speaker 9: also off the table in a way. They punted on 291 00:16:31,160 --> 00:16:34,560 Speaker 9: steel tariffs, they didn't really get into detail on Ukraine 292 00:16:35,000 --> 00:16:37,480 Speaker 9: and a path forward from there. So you know, some 293 00:16:37,520 --> 00:16:39,560 Speaker 9: of the hard stuff was obviously left off the table 294 00:16:39,920 --> 00:16:41,960 Speaker 9: in order just to have this meeting go as smoothly 295 00:16:41,960 --> 00:16:42,560 Speaker 9: as possible. 296 00:16:43,200 --> 00:16:46,000 Speaker 2: Yeah, absolutely, Rolls, thank you so much for being with 297 00:16:46,040 --> 00:16:51,720 Speaker 2: me this morning. BlueBag Chief Asia correspondent Roslyn Matheson, stay 298 00:16:51,760 --> 00:16:56,640 Speaker 2: with us. More from Bloomberg dbake Cube coming up after this. Now, 299 00:16:56,680 --> 00:16:59,280 Speaker 2: the S and P five hundred, NASDAQ one hundred, Dow 300 00:16:59,360 --> 00:17:02,720 Speaker 2: Jones in dust to average and Russell two thousand small 301 00:17:02,760 --> 00:17:06,480 Speaker 2: cap indegs all closed together at fresh record highs for 302 00:17:06,520 --> 00:17:09,639 Speaker 2: the first time since November twenty twenty one. So it 303 00:17:09,680 --> 00:17:12,119 Speaker 2: turns out that all the Cell America Incs swelling in 304 00:17:12,200 --> 00:17:15,639 Speaker 2: marcuts earlier this year may have been misplaced. Is the 305 00:17:15,680 --> 00:17:19,120 Speaker 2: mansion now for global in versus more like Hedge America? Well, 306 00:17:19,119 --> 00:17:20,720 Speaker 2: that's the question that I'm going to put to Bloomberg's 307 00:17:20,720 --> 00:17:22,040 Speaker 2: markets were bought of Titel. 308 00:17:22,080 --> 00:17:22,960 Speaker 5: Good morning val. 309 00:17:23,200 --> 00:17:26,280 Speaker 2: Rning just forir Sally on the stocks rally and what 310 00:17:26,359 --> 00:17:28,560 Speaker 2: happened at the end of yesterday's trading. I mean, how 311 00:17:28,640 --> 00:17:31,720 Speaker 2: rare is this to happen to have all these indices 312 00:17:31,760 --> 00:17:32,840 Speaker 2: doing so well. 313 00:17:32,960 --> 00:17:33,920 Speaker 5: Look, it's pretty rare. 314 00:17:34,240 --> 00:17:37,240 Speaker 10: It's not happened since twenty twenty one, and it's something 315 00:17:37,280 --> 00:17:40,280 Speaker 10: that's only happened twenty five times in this century that 316 00:17:40,320 --> 00:17:42,920 Speaker 10: we've seen. The S and P five hundred, the tech 317 00:17:42,960 --> 00:17:46,040 Speaker 10: heavy NASDAC, the small cap Russell two thousand, and the 318 00:17:46,040 --> 00:17:49,679 Speaker 10: blue chip Dow Jones all hit record high closing levels 319 00:17:50,040 --> 00:17:52,119 Speaker 10: at the same time. Now, a lot of it, I 320 00:17:52,200 --> 00:17:56,040 Speaker 10: think was it maybe a reassessment of the FED yesterday? 321 00:17:56,080 --> 00:17:59,159 Speaker 10: The fact that they are cutting to protect growth instead 322 00:17:59,160 --> 00:18:02,200 Speaker 10: of fighting in fla in some way cutting interestrates because 323 00:18:02,240 --> 00:18:05,199 Speaker 10: they can not necessarily because they have to, led to 324 00:18:05,359 --> 00:18:09,399 Speaker 10: quite a risk on rally yesterday. Across at the equity market, 325 00:18:09,400 --> 00:18:12,480 Speaker 10: the Russell two thousand was actually the outperformer yesterday, that's 326 00:18:12,520 --> 00:18:14,800 Speaker 10: the small cap index. It was up some two and 327 00:18:14,880 --> 00:18:17,320 Speaker 10: a half percent, which kind of ties into that narrative 328 00:18:17,359 --> 00:18:21,280 Speaker 10: of domestically led US growth that would benefit small caps 329 00:18:21,600 --> 00:18:24,280 Speaker 10: the most on the back of this restarted easing cycle 330 00:18:24,320 --> 00:18:24,840 Speaker 10: from the FED. 331 00:18:25,600 --> 00:18:28,440 Speaker 2: So why do you think that leaves valuations then. 332 00:18:29,160 --> 00:18:30,920 Speaker 10: Well, look, that's a hard one to argue. I mean, 333 00:18:31,080 --> 00:18:32,480 Speaker 10: there are plenty of people who have come on this 334 00:18:32,600 --> 00:18:35,040 Speaker 10: show and sat around this table and said valuations are 335 00:18:35,080 --> 00:18:38,040 Speaker 10: stretched in the US, only to get it wrong a 336 00:18:38,080 --> 00:18:40,720 Speaker 10: few weeks later. I think the issue here, Caroline is 337 00:18:40,720 --> 00:18:43,119 Speaker 10: is that if you miss a bull market, if you're 338 00:18:43,160 --> 00:18:45,960 Speaker 10: a portfolio manager, if you're a manager of funds, and 339 00:18:46,000 --> 00:18:48,840 Speaker 10: you miss a bull market, it's the biggest thing to 340 00:18:48,920 --> 00:18:53,320 Speaker 10: make up for in your portfolio. So, yes, valuations are stretched, 341 00:18:53,359 --> 00:18:56,320 Speaker 10: but the FED is kicking off the second round of 342 00:18:56,320 --> 00:18:59,679 Speaker 10: this easing cycle. And usually when the FED is cutting, 343 00:19:00,640 --> 00:19:03,520 Speaker 10: if there's no immediate recession on the horizon, that is 344 00:19:03,520 --> 00:19:07,120 Speaker 10: a good that is a good framework for equity sur rally. 345 00:19:07,160 --> 00:19:09,200 Speaker 10: And I think that was just was the conclusion yesterday 346 00:19:09,200 --> 00:19:12,000 Speaker 10: that no matter the valuation, it is looking better and 347 00:19:12,040 --> 00:19:14,439 Speaker 10: better for US stocks if the interest rate of the 348 00:19:14,480 --> 00:19:16,840 Speaker 10: Federal Reserve is going to keep decreasing this year. 349 00:19:17,080 --> 00:19:17,399 Speaker 5: Yeah. 350 00:19:17,440 --> 00:19:20,120 Speaker 2: Absolutely, And so does that mean the rest of the world, 351 00:19:20,200 --> 00:19:23,479 Speaker 2: As you say once in on this US Dot market Valley, 352 00:19:23,560 --> 00:19:26,080 Speaker 2: I mean, what does it mean for other US assets? 353 00:19:26,160 --> 00:19:28,359 Speaker 10: Well, I think it's interesting what you noted there about 354 00:19:29,480 --> 00:19:32,400 Speaker 10: inflows into US assets, But a lot of these inflows 355 00:19:32,440 --> 00:19:35,280 Speaker 10: are becoming hedged on an FX basis, and that's something 356 00:19:35,280 --> 00:19:37,920 Speaker 10: that's really interesting to talk about because the first time 357 00:19:38,000 --> 00:19:42,600 Speaker 10: this decade, FX hedged inflows into US assets are now 358 00:19:42,720 --> 00:19:47,000 Speaker 10: dominating unhedged exposure. And this is a very big shift 359 00:19:47,080 --> 00:19:49,680 Speaker 10: that's happened in the market in the last six months, 360 00:19:49,760 --> 00:19:53,919 Speaker 10: really since the tariff tailspin back in April. Because previously, 361 00:19:55,280 --> 00:19:59,480 Speaker 10: you know, holding unhedged dollar unhedged tech stocks was the 362 00:19:59,520 --> 00:20:02,960 Speaker 10: biggest winning trade of the century. The fact that we 363 00:20:03,400 --> 00:20:05,760 Speaker 10: at least in the previous decade had a rising stock 364 00:20:05,840 --> 00:20:11,760 Speaker 10: market alongside US dollar appreciation really led to foreign investors 365 00:20:11,920 --> 00:20:15,439 Speaker 10: dropping their FX hedges on a pretty steady basis. But 366 00:20:15,440 --> 00:20:17,800 Speaker 10: that a lot of that has been spun around. We 367 00:20:17,840 --> 00:20:20,000 Speaker 10: have some estimates from the street that out of the 368 00:20:20,080 --> 00:20:24,159 Speaker 10: thirty trillion dollars of US assets held in foreign hands, 369 00:20:24,200 --> 00:20:27,280 Speaker 10: now one trillion of that is now hedged, which puts 370 00:20:27,320 --> 00:20:29,679 Speaker 10: the hedging ratio really back in line to where it 371 00:20:29,720 --> 00:20:30,520 Speaker 10: was a decade ago. 372 00:20:32,000 --> 00:20:34,760 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg Daybreak Europe, your morning brief on the 373 00:20:34,800 --> 00:20:37,880 Speaker 1: stories making news from London to Wall Street and beyond. 374 00:20:38,200 --> 00:20:42,160 Speaker 2: Look for us on your podcast feed every morning. On Apples, Spotify, 375 00:20:42,280 --> 00:20:44,280 Speaker 2: and anywhere else you get your podcasts. 376 00:20:44,359 --> 00:20:47,439 Speaker 1: You can also listen live each morning on London Dab Radio, 377 00:20:47,480 --> 00:20:49,959 Speaker 1: the Bloomberg Business app, and Bloomberg dot Com. 378 00:20:50,200 --> 00:20:52,959 Speaker 2: Our flagship New York station, is also available on your 379 00:20:53,000 --> 00:20:57,719 Speaker 2: Amazon Alexa devices. Just say Alexa Play Bloomberg eleven thirty. 380 00:20:57,960 --> 00:20:59,240 Speaker 5: I'm Caroline Hepka and. 381 00:20:59,200 --> 00:21:01,840 Speaker 1: I'm Stephen Carroll. Join us again tomorrow morning for all 382 00:21:01,880 --> 00:21:04,280 Speaker 1: the news you need to start your day right here 383 00:21:04,320 --> 00:21:07,600 Speaker 1: on Bloomberg day Break Europe