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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast, the number one show

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Speaker 1: for the invested sports fan.

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Speaker 2: A trick your down, you got real telling, don't concentrate

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Speaker 2: on God.

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Speaker 1: Hello and welcome to the Action Network Podcast. I'm senior

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Speaker 1: golf writer Jason Sobel alongside Peter Jennings.

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Speaker 3: And Drew Stoltz aka The Sleeves.

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Speaker 1: And tonight we've got a special guest with us, very special.

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Speaker 1: If you follow him on Twitter, if you know about

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Speaker 1: his work, this is going to be.

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Speaker 3: A treat for you.

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Speaker 1: Jeff Sherman. He's at Golf Odds on Twitter. He's the

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Speaker 1: VP of risk Management for Superbook USA. Jeff, thanks for

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Speaker 1: joining us, and for those who don't know, just kind

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Speaker 1: of explain what VP of risk management actually means and

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Speaker 1: what you do on a daily basis.

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Speaker 4: Oh, we take care of the odds at our book.

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Speaker 4: You know, we're one property and skate in Las Vegas,

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Speaker 4: and you know, just manage the liabilities and set our

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Speaker 4: odds market in relation to what's out there. So it's

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Speaker 4: up to us to you know, decide what type of

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Speaker 4: wagers to accept, what type of wagers to offer, and

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Speaker 4: you know, it's just all about putting the book in

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Speaker 4: the best position that we can.

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Speaker 1: Well, we're going to get into a little done Deer

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Speaker 1: Classic that we have coming up this week, but mostly

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Speaker 1: we want to talk to you about the Open Championship

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Speaker 1: coming up next.

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Speaker 3: Week, of course, and I think everybody's looking forward to

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Speaker 3: that next week.

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Speaker 1: And You've got a little news for us because as

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Speaker 1: of the last time I'd.

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Speaker 3: Heard from you, and the last time I saw some.

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Speaker 1: Tweets from you, brooks Kepka was the favorite next week

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Speaker 1: at Royal Port Rushi, and that is no longer the.

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Speaker 3: Case, is it.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I've drifted Kopka out to ten to one, second

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Speaker 4: choice behind Rory mcloy. Mclroy opened ten to one, he's

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Speaker 4: now eight to one, so they basically kind of flip positions.

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Speaker 4: But mclroy's by far leading the ticke account and the

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Speaker 4: money wager right now. He's the Westgate's largest liability, so

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Speaker 4: everyone's supporting mclroy in his home event this time.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, speaking of the John Deere Classic, care, I want

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Speaker 5: to get into some of these young guns that are

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Speaker 5: making noise right now. Obviously you got Matthew Wolfe winning

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Speaker 5: last week. Colin Morica is making huge noise. Victor Hoblin's

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Speaker 5: been steady Eddy since he got out there. How hard

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Speaker 5: is it to handicap these young guns who come out

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Speaker 5: weekend week out when you don't have much, if any,

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Speaker 5: of the data on them that you have on some

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Speaker 5: of these other guys.

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Speaker 4: Well, generally we're overly aggressive on them. You know, matt

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Speaker 4: Wolfe was one twenty five to one last week and

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Speaker 4: he only had one ticket for two dollars at our place.

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Speaker 4: So we did well with him winning, but that was

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Speaker 4: a product of him coming off a couple misscuts in

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Speaker 4: a row. But anytime that these guys do anything well

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Speaker 4: at all, you're going to see extremely large, aggressive adjustments

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Speaker 4: on the books end because a lot of the times

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Speaker 4: the general public these are the guys that they target.

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Speaker 4: They want to get basically ahead of where they expect

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Speaker 4: these guys to end up. For instance, Matthew wolf now

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Speaker 4: qualified for the twenty twenty Masters. I just opened them

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Speaker 4: up at sixty to one for that because I'm anticipating

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Speaker 4: over the next eight months or so a lot of

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Speaker 4: wagering support him. So even though it's going to be

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Speaker 4: his first time there, he's still probably gonna be one

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Speaker 4: of our liabilities by the time we get to the tournament.

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Speaker 4: But that's how it is on a weekly basis. You

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Speaker 4: see it with Hovelin, you see it with Moran Kawa.

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Speaker 4: These are the guys people are looking to target at

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Speaker 4: longer odds before they get that first win. So you

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Speaker 4: know it's you're just gonna see aggressive adjustments on these guys,

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Speaker 4: more so than some veterans.

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Speaker 1: If you give line movement and look at it next week,

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Speaker 1: look at some of the bigger names.

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Speaker 3: Looks like one big name has fallen off.

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Speaker 1: And for good reason that he's gone all the way

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Speaker 1: up to one hundred to one, and that's Phil Mickelson

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Speaker 1: one name, and another good reasons.

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Speaker 3: Has dropped a lot.

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Speaker 1: That's John Brom who obviously won on a links course

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Speaker 1: of the Irish Open last week.

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Speaker 3: Have you seen some other big movers for next weekend?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, those are the two most pronounced ones, especially Rom.

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Speaker 4: You know, the closer you get to the Major and

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Speaker 4: someone comes off a win, especially a top name like him,

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Speaker 4: you're gonna see a large movement because through the weekend,

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Speaker 4: as these guys are playing well, we're accumulating wagers throughout

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Speaker 4: on him. So we saw some wagers on Rom over

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Speaker 4: the weekend to twenty five to one he's down the

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Speaker 4: sixteen to one. Now with the expectations that a hot

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Speaker 4: dolf for coming in, we're going to see some more

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Speaker 4: action on him. And conversely with Phil Mickelson, I opened

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Speaker 4: him at fifty to one, he's up to one hundred

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Speaker 4: to one. And generally he's supported in the majors, especially

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Speaker 4: the Masters, but in the Open Championship, especially at coming

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Speaker 4: off what he did in the US Open where he

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Speaker 4: really didn't sniff winning the tournament at all, he hasn't

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Speaker 4: been getting much betting support, so his odds keep drifting out.

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Speaker 6: Yeah, another big name that I'm really interested to hear

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Speaker 6: your opinion on is Justin Thomas. I've seldom bet outrights

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Speaker 6: and he's the only outrupus this might have at forty

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Speaker 6: five and a half to one. He's had really bad

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Speaker 6: putting since he's come back from the wrist entry. In general,

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Speaker 6: that's something that we look at to have regression. How

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Speaker 6: much opinion are you guys putting into any place a

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Speaker 6: price on someone like j T or round trest movement

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Speaker 6: or is it more about the liability of the book.

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Speaker 4: Right now, it's about the liability. You know, he's been

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Speaker 4: well supported over the recent years. But like you mentioned,

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Speaker 4: coming off the wrist injury, his performances haven't been that

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Speaker 4: solid and he's not used to being in the thirty

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Speaker 4: forty to one range for these majors. If you look

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Speaker 4: over the last couple of years, every time I drift

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Speaker 4: out to forty to one, we tend to see some

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Speaker 4: action come in on him. So I've been bouncing back

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Speaker 4: and forth between thirty and forty and right now he's

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Speaker 4: a small liability for the book and if that changes,

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Speaker 4: then I'll ease him back out. But you know, his

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Speaker 4: performance between these last couple of majors with dealing with

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Speaker 4: the wrist injury, you know, it's led a little bit

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Speaker 4: less acts on him than we usually see in the

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Speaker 4: hence you're seeing him in that range right now.

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Speaker 6: Yeah, just along those lines, I just want to get into,

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Speaker 6: like the recncy bias, and I think that's something that's

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Speaker 6: so interesting as a bookmaker.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, that's a big thing that you have

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Speaker 4: to consider, and you're gonna see a lot of that

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Speaker 4: taking into account more so in matchup prices rather than

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Speaker 4: the outrights, because the general public likes to bet based

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Speaker 4: on that recency bias. Now, someone like Matthew Wilf's a

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Speaker 4: great example because last week he was one hundred and

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Speaker 4: twenty five to one. Now he's in a weaker field,

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Speaker 4: but he's only twenty five to one. When you see

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Speaker 4: such a large adjustment like that, a lot of the

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Speaker 4: times some of the sharpbetters think that that's too much

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Speaker 4: of an adjustment, and then they look to fade him

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Speaker 4: in matchups against guys in that odds range, where generally

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Speaker 4: he shouldn't make that large of the leap right away.

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Speaker 4: So if you look in the matchup market, you might

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Speaker 4: see some prices that aren't exactly reflective of the outright market.

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Speaker 4: You know, rom is a different case because he's going

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Speaker 4: to get the public on that, and I think the

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Speaker 4: sharps will stay away from him, respecting him in that.

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Speaker 4: But when you see somebody that's young and makes a

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Speaker 4: leap like that, you can definitely pinpoint some differences based

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Speaker 4: on that recency bias.

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Speaker 5: Getting back into the Open Championship, we got to talk

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Speaker 5: a little bit about Tiger and I saw that you

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Speaker 5: opened him up at or he's currently at sixteen to one.

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Speaker 5: How to his opening odds at Port Rush compared to

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Speaker 5: what his odds would be at some of the other venues.

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Speaker 5: Would we see him more heavily favored if it was

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Speaker 5: at somewhere like Saint Andrew's.

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Speaker 4: First of all, regarding Tiger, I mean, his odds are

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Speaker 4: only what they were opening at twelve to one based

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Speaker 4: on what we've seen the season out of him coming

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Speaker 4: off the Masters. When the type of betting support that

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Speaker 4: we've been seeing over the last few Majors, so it's

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Speaker 4: been relatively low. And in a tournament like this, with

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Speaker 4: the conditions so important and sometimes the luck of the draw,

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Speaker 4: he should be higher than that, and we've actually seen

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Speaker 4: a lot less money on him based on that for

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Speaker 4: me to drift him out to sixteen to one. Currently

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Speaker 4: he's sitting eleventh in ticke account in eighth and money wagers.

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Speaker 4: That's extremely low down the list for someone like Tigers,

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Speaker 4: who's usually in a top three each time. But if

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Speaker 4: it were something at like you mentioned Saint Andrews, I

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Speaker 4: think that he'd be getting more betting support and they'd

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Speaker 4: be holding a little bit more firm in the twelve

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Speaker 4: toh one range rather than a little bit of the

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Speaker 4: unknown playing port rush for a lot of the betting

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Speaker 4: public where if they had something to go off from

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Speaker 4: recent years, there'd be more involvement on the tiger side.

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Speaker 4: And you know, we take two thousand on matchups during

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Speaker 4: majors one thousand on the weekly tournaments. Because of the volume,

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Speaker 4: we see a lot more general public getting involved in

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Speaker 4: the popular and popular names for the matchups during majors,

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Speaker 4: where they really don't get involved on a week to

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Speaker 4: week basis for the regular tournaments. Realistically, you're seeing about

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Speaker 4: ninety five percent sharp play on matchups versus the general public,

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Speaker 4: and conversely on the outright market it's about ninety five

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Speaker 4: percent general public play, so they're really two different markets.

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Speaker 4: So on a week to week basis, we're really seeing

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Speaker 4: not too much volume from the general public. It's mostly

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Speaker 4: just dealing with the sharps. But then when you get

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Speaker 4: to the majors, the general public will get involved in

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Speaker 4: some matchups, so we can afford to take a little

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Speaker 4: bit more and it's a little easier to book, and

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Speaker 4: the market's so much more solid too, because a lot

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Speaker 4: of the books take more and we offer about eighty

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Speaker 4: matchups during a major as opposed to ten on the

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Speaker 4: weekly basis, so it's a lot easier to write. During

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Speaker 4: the majors, and that's why we offer all the propositions,

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Speaker 4: where we usually do about one hundred propositions for each

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Speaker 4: major too.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, if you mentioned that ninety percent of the outright bets,

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Speaker 1: the bets on winners are from the public and not

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Speaker 1: from the sharps. Do you ever get a bet like

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Speaker 1: a fairly big bet on Let's say I'm looking at

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Speaker 1: the Open Championship ods on Brandon Stone at five hundred

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Speaker 1: to one, and you get a pretty big bet. It

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Speaker 1: just makes you go, hmm, what does that person know

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Speaker 1: that we don't know what's going on here?

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Speaker 3: It just sort of makes you think about things.

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Speaker 1: I know you said you only got two dollars on

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Speaker 1: Matthew Wolf last week, which is mind boggling, But do you.

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Speaker 3: Ever get something on a guy that just so far

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Speaker 3: off the radar? It just makes you think, like, does.

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Speaker 1: Someone know something or they just you know, throwing money

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Speaker 1: out there and see what happens.

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Speaker 4: Oh, I don't put it as someone knowing something. I

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Speaker 4: think it's more of just taking a shot at some

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Speaker 4: odds that they're interested in. For example, we recently took

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Speaker 4: one on the Open Championship on Christian Bezweden Hope at

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Speaker 4: three hundred to one. He's down to two hundred to one.

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Speaker 4: But I took a four hundred dollars wager on him

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Speaker 4: at three hundred and one. That's a little bit of

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Speaker 4: a head scratcher there. I wasn't expecting that one, but

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Speaker 4: it was enough enough to shift the odds. So that

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Speaker 4: goes right along with your example on someone that a

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Speaker 4: little bit of a surprise.

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Speaker 3: How long did you practice that game before he came

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Speaker 3: on the pod?

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Speaker 4: I just tossed it out there and hoped it was right.

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Speaker 3: That was pretty good. That was pretty good.

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Speaker 1: That's that's a good pull by somebody if and I'm

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Speaker 1: sure it's the Besweden Height family who's got that ticket

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Speaker 1: right there.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, you know, we've seen a few of those over time.

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Speaker 1: You know.

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Speaker 4: I just took one on Adam Hadwin today at a

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Speaker 4: two hundred to one, dropped him to one hundred and fifty.

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Speaker 4: I took five hundred on him at two hundred and one.

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Speaker 4: So once I wanted to get some decent sized flyers

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Speaker 4: out there, and you know, it's it's good to, you know,

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Speaker 4: keep the odds high so we can try to write

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Speaker 4: on all these guys all the way down to one

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Speaker 4: hundred and fifty six golfers, and that's the goal of it,

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Speaker 4: just to spread the money out and keep the bets

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Speaker 4: coming in.

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Speaker 5: I'm definitely firing on both of those guys now that

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Speaker 5: I've heard this. Somebody out there knows something. I'm the

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Speaker 5: general public idiot. I'm firing both of those guys. Jeff,

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Speaker 5: you mentioned the unknown, and more so than any other

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Speaker 5: event I think that we see in golf, the British

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Speaker 5: Open has some unknown in terms of the weather and

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Speaker 5: the waves where we've seen, you know, particular waves one

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Speaker 5: side of the draw almost eliminated, you know, based on

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Speaker 5: the weather the factors that they can have out there

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Speaker 5: versus you know, the other wave that has perfect conditions.

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Speaker 7: Do you view the Open Championship as.

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Speaker 5: Like a higher risk event for you in terms of handicapping,

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Speaker 5: knowing that the weather can play such an enormous factor.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, there's no question I do. When I get involved

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Speaker 4: in it myself. This is the major that I'm least

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Speaker 4: involved in, and I even see it coming across the

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Speaker 4: betting counter that we see a lot less action from

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Speaker 4: the sharps on the matchups and the Open Championship than

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Speaker 4: we do on the other majors, especially when you see

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Speaker 4: it Augusta playing the same course over and over and

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Speaker 4: you have that history to go off. But you know,

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Speaker 4: the only thing that we can really look back is

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Speaker 4: they played the twenty twelve Irish Open here, so that's

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Speaker 4: a little bit you can try to read into that

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Speaker 4: as far as scoring, and then obviously the weather conditions.

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Speaker 4: But the one thing I recommend is if you're going

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Speaker 4: to get involved, especially in the matchups themselves, is wait

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Speaker 4: for those tea times to come out. Go ahead and

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Speaker 4: wait for the weather conditions to get closer. Unless you

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Speaker 4: see a matchup that you really think is egregious, wait

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Speaker 4: till Wednesday and find those weather conditions out. You might

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Speaker 4: be able to put something into your advantage. So it

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Speaker 4: might behove you to wait a little bit longer than

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Speaker 4: getting involved in the early markets on the matchups just

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Speaker 4: for this major.

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Speaker 7: Yeah, that makes sense.

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Speaker 5: One more question, just as me as the you know,

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Speaker 5: Peter's kind of are pro gambler, are the brains of

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Speaker 5: the operation if you will, I'm kind of the idiot

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Speaker 5: that just likes to fire on a whim, and so

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Speaker 5: hearing you talk about you know, the sharps will do

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Speaker 5: this the sharps.

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Speaker 7: Will do that.

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Speaker 5: How do you identify a sharp that's making bets out there?

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Speaker 5: I think for the average gambler might be interested in knowing, like,

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Speaker 5: how are you identifying wages that you're taking, Like, oh,

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Speaker 5: this guy's a sharp, or oh this guy's general public.

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Speaker 5: What sort of stuff are you looking for?

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Speaker 4: First of all, it's some customers that have built up

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Speaker 4: relationships with us over time, and if we see that

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Speaker 4: they've been winning betting golf matchups, we can respect that.

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Speaker 4: Or if someone comes in and makes some matchup wagers

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Speaker 4: and you know, a half hour later you see the

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Speaker 4: market move based on those wagers, then obviously you can

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Speaker 4: identify it that way. Sometimes we'll have some guests come

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Speaker 4: in and just bet some matchups and they're just betting

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Speaker 4: into a market price and we don't feel compelled to

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Speaker 4: move it at all. But it's really gauging on what

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Speaker 4: you see in the marketplace and what our betting history

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Speaker 4: is with that individual. So sometimes a small sample size,

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Speaker 4: we're not going to put as much stock into that.

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Speaker 4: Where we might have a guess that has longevity and

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Speaker 4: has been winning at golf matchups for years, and we'll

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Speaker 4: go ahead and put credence behind that and respect it

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Speaker 4: move those a little bit more aggressively.

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Speaker 1: What's the one where you had the most liability this

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Speaker 1: year is that the Masters of Tiger will.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, and it usually is with Tiger and the Masters

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Speaker 4: the past few years it's been like that, and you know,

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Speaker 4: even when the odds get short, that's the one that

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Speaker 4: everyone pinpoints. You know, that's also a major that has

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Speaker 4: the longest shelf life. I have been putting that up

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Speaker 4: right when the PGA Championship it ended, so it'd have,

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Speaker 4: you know, a good eight months for people to bet

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Speaker 4: on that. This is the first time that I've ever

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Speaker 4: put the Masters up as soon as the last Masters

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Speaker 4: just ended. So this time around, I'm going to have

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Speaker 4: a full year of shelf life on it. And we've

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Speaker 4: already been getting some handle right now. Brooks kept his

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Speaker 4: leading the liability as far as that goes. But you know,

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Speaker 4: when in between the last major and the next one,

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Speaker 4: when you have that large blong of a shelf life,

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Speaker 4: that's where you're going to see everything built up over time.

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Speaker 4: And when you're dealing with Tiger, people like to bet

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Speaker 4: if you've done it before, we think you can do

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Speaker 4: it again. And when he's done it fifteen times. Now

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Speaker 4: that's where they really concentrate on it.

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Speaker 3: Where are most of.

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Speaker 1: The tickets and most of the money going so far,

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Speaker 1: I know you have those numbers just over a week

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Speaker 1: out before the Open Championship starts.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, so far it's been all Rory McRoy. Like I mentioned,

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Speaker 4: he's number one in tickets, number one in money and

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Speaker 4: I expect that to continue. We continue to write money

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Speaker 4: on him at eight to one and we'll see how

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Speaker 4: he does in the Scottish Open this week, where if

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Speaker 4: he were to come away with a win on that,

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Speaker 4: I think you'd see his market price drop probably the

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Speaker 4: six to one with even more anticipated betting support. But

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Speaker 4: right now he's running away with those and some other

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Speaker 4: guys in ticket account Right now it goes McElroy chofle Fleetwood,

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Speaker 4: then Kepka fourth, then us Taizen and if you look

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Speaker 4: at the money wagered, it's mclroy, then Kepka, then Dustin Johnson,

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Speaker 4: Usteauzen and Mullinary, so you got Ustazen in the top five.

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Speaker 4: He's seeing a lot of support. I opened him at

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Speaker 4: forty to one, he's down at thirty to one. But

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Speaker 4: he's been he's always been a popular play in the

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Speaker 4: Open Championships because of the history on the links courses

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Speaker 4: for him.

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Speaker 3: Changed on Kepa over the last couple of years.

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Speaker 4: He's been one of the top guys in the past

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Speaker 4: couple of years as far as money wagered ticket counts.

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Speaker 4: I'm surprised that it's shying away from him a little

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Speaker 4: bit this week because he had been so high recently.

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Speaker 4: He's been a liability of ours. In the US Open,

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Speaker 4: though we were actually in a position for the first

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Speaker 4: time in many majors that we are in a positive

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Speaker 4: position on him, and right now it's the same way

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Speaker 4: for the Open Championship that it's subsided a little bit.

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Speaker 4: But he's always one of the most popular golfers just

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Speaker 4: because everyone sees, you know, even if he's not winning

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Speaker 4: when he concentrates on these majors, usually in the top five.

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Speaker 4: And you know, that's the toughest thing when you're handicapping

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Speaker 4: this is to try to get someone that's going to

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Speaker 4: be in position for you on Sunday to give you

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Speaker 4: a chance to win. And he's been doing that, so

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Speaker 4: people have been involving him in their portfolios, and the

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Speaker 4: liability has been there over the last couple of years.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, staying on Brooks Like I'm looking at it from

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Speaker 5: an outsider's perspective, is he a challenge for someone in

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Speaker 5: your industry to handicap on a week to week basis?

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Speaker 7: Thing that like it?

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Speaker 5: It seems like the regular tour events just don't get

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Speaker 5: his attention for whatever reason, He's just not into it.

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Speaker 5: But then when majors show up, he obviously shines.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, there's no doubt about it. I mean, it's such

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Speaker 4: a dichotomy you see with them between that where you

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Speaker 4: see all the betting support and the performance and the majors,

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Speaker 4: and then week in and week out it's not too

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Speaker 4: much so his odds could be a little higher than

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Speaker 4: they are, and lately he's still been in single digits

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Speaker 4: in the tournaments and he hasn't been performing that well.

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Speaker 4: But the one thing you can really notice in the

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Speaker 4: markets is his matchup price in the non majors, where

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Speaker 4: he might be a betting favorite and he might end

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Speaker 4: up being a dog to someone that has a little

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Speaker 4: longer odds in him because of that aspect, where the

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Speaker 4: sharps are expecting him not to concentrate like he does

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Speaker 4: for majors, and they fade him in those because his

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Speaker 4: price isn't really that efficient being so low when it's

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Speaker 4: predicated on the action we've seen for majors. And you know,

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Speaker 4: we obviously start out with the outright markets, and a

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Speaker 4: lot of those odds the top five top ten are

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Speaker 4: predicated on that. But as we get closer and the

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Speaker 4: matchups come out, and if I see some sharps that

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Speaker 4: are either on or fading a certain golfer in matchups,

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Speaker 4: and you see it throughout, and maybe there's one guy

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Speaker 4: they're betting against two or three times, I'll go ahead

401
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Speaker 4: and price that into the propositions for the top five

402
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Speaker 4: top ten, and adjust those accordingly, respecting the money I've

403
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Speaker 4: seen in the matchups, and go ahead and adjust the

404
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Speaker 4: rest of the markets that we have, even all the

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Speaker 4: way down to the outright markets.

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Speaker 6: Yeah, and I imagine Rory along those lines. You can

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Speaker 6: get all the money coming in on him. He's had

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Speaker 6: some ridiculous rounds this year, and really the only thing

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Speaker 6: holding him back so far has been the punter. Do

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Speaker 6: you expect him to be an overwhelming favorite in the matchups? Again,

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Speaker 6: He'll be a starting point, Definitely, He'll be favored in

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Speaker 6: every matchup. He's a number one power rated guy, and

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Speaker 6: you're seeing it in the outright market, but you're gonna

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Speaker 6: see that in the other markets too. Like you said,

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Speaker 6: top five, top ten the matchups, and I don't envision

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Speaker 6: even kept McRoy will be a small favorite in that matchup,

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Speaker 6: And it wouldn't surprise me if that price is driven

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Speaker 6: a little longer or Rory ends up being a larger

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Speaker 6: favorite than where it starts.

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Speaker 1: Jeff I wrote a piece it's gonna be up on

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Speaker 1: Action Network in a couple of days about players either

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Speaker 1: choosing to play the week before choosing to prep the

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Speaker 1: week before.

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Speaker 3: This is a good week for it because we've got

425
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Speaker 3: big events both on.

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Speaker 1: The PGA Tour and over on the European Tour. A

427
00:17:36,600 --> 00:17:38,440
Speaker 1: lot of guys go over to play the Scottish.

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Speaker 3: Open, and what I found is there's really no conclusive evidence.

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Speaker 1: It's not like, hey, if you play the week before,

430
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Speaker 1: you win a lot more than if you prep the

431
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Speaker 1: week before. I think it's sixty one to thirty nine

432
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Speaker 1: is basically on the numbers shook out. But what I

433
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Speaker 1: found is that those who do play the week before,

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Speaker 1: if they play really well the week.

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Speaker 3: Before, they have a really good chance.

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Speaker 1: I mean, basically, the momentum factor builds into there. How

437
00:17:58,119 --> 00:17:59,800
Speaker 1: much do you build that in and how much you

438
00:17:59,800 --> 00:18:00,680
Speaker 1: see market.

439
00:18:00,600 --> 00:18:03,520
Speaker 4: Move well, you'll see us be reactive to that, and

440
00:18:03,760 --> 00:18:06,000
Speaker 4: as they play well, you know, obviously there's one spot

441
00:18:06,080 --> 00:18:09,080
Speaker 4: left open for the John Deere for the winner top

442
00:18:09,119 --> 00:18:12,480
Speaker 4: five if that person hasn't already qualified, and if they

443
00:18:12,520 --> 00:18:15,040
Speaker 4: do well enough, you're going to see their odds if

444
00:18:15,080 --> 00:18:17,960
Speaker 4: they are now qualified for that tournament open lower than

445
00:18:18,000 --> 00:18:19,880
Speaker 4: they would have been had they not already been qualified

446
00:18:19,920 --> 00:18:22,840
Speaker 4: based on their performance and exactly what we see out

447
00:18:22,840 --> 00:18:25,399
Speaker 4: of the Scottish Open. You got a really solid field

448
00:18:25,400 --> 00:18:29,560
Speaker 4: here with McElroy, Fowler, Coucher, justin Thomas Denson. You can

449
00:18:29,640 --> 00:18:32,399
Speaker 4: keep going down the list. It's a really solid field.

450
00:18:32,400 --> 00:18:35,520
Speaker 4: But whoever is in the top five of the Scottish Open,

451
00:18:35,800 --> 00:18:38,119
Speaker 4: you're going to see some adjustments, and some of them

452
00:18:38,160 --> 00:18:40,919
Speaker 4: might be rather large based on the expected action that

453
00:18:40,920 --> 00:18:42,800
Speaker 4: we're going to see coming in the next week, because

454
00:18:43,240 --> 00:18:45,639
Speaker 4: just like we talked earlier that recency bias, people are

455
00:18:45,680 --> 00:18:48,720
Speaker 4: going to want to support those guys thinking they're going

456
00:18:48,800 --> 00:18:51,120
Speaker 4: to be coming in with momentum. So the books try

457
00:18:51,160 --> 00:18:53,000
Speaker 4: to stay ahead of that and we'll be watching it,

458
00:18:53,560 --> 00:18:57,040
Speaker 4: you know, over here in Las Vegas, Scottish Open will

459
00:18:57,040 --> 00:19:00,200
Speaker 4: be going on through the night. So each morning I'll

460
00:19:00,200 --> 00:19:03,120
Speaker 4: be able to start adjusting some numbers before our book

461
00:19:03,160 --> 00:19:05,639
Speaker 4: even opens at eight a m. Pacific time, based on

462
00:19:05,640 --> 00:19:07,159
Speaker 4: how these guys have been playing through the night in

463
00:19:07,200 --> 00:19:09,760
Speaker 4: the Scottish Open. But there'll be a lot more interest

464
00:19:09,800 --> 00:19:13,040
Speaker 4: in the Scottish Open prepping for the Open Championship. You know,

465
00:19:13,160 --> 00:19:16,000
Speaker 4: links course a better field. John Deere is in that

466
00:19:16,160 --> 00:19:18,400
Speaker 4: great of a field, and there's not as many golfers

467
00:19:18,440 --> 00:19:20,640
Speaker 4: that are playing in the Open Championship. So you'll see

468
00:19:20,640 --> 00:19:23,600
Speaker 4: a lot more coming out of the Scottish Open with

469
00:19:23,680 --> 00:19:26,000
Speaker 4: some price movements next week for the Open Championship.

470
00:19:27,119 --> 00:19:27,720
Speaker 7: All right, Jeff.

471
00:19:27,800 --> 00:19:32,119
Speaker 5: Hypothetically speaking, say a person had two hundred dollars that

472
00:19:32,240 --> 00:19:35,120
Speaker 5: he or she would like to wager on the outright

473
00:19:35,160 --> 00:19:38,360
Speaker 5: winner for the Open Championship. Where should that person lean

474
00:19:38,440 --> 00:19:39,680
Speaker 5: in terms of best value.

475
00:19:39,800 --> 00:19:42,119
Speaker 4: I've got three wagers, and I know that some of

476
00:19:42,119 --> 00:19:45,080
Speaker 4: my wagers have better than market prices now. But I

477
00:19:45,119 --> 00:19:47,320
Speaker 4: did play Ram at twenty five to one. I was

478
00:19:47,359 --> 00:19:49,920
Speaker 4: able to get some of that as those odds were dropping.

479
00:19:50,200 --> 00:19:52,399
Speaker 4: I'm a big Patrick Cantley guy. I had him at

480
00:19:52,400 --> 00:19:54,400
Speaker 4: the Memorial when he won that at twenty to one.

481
00:19:54,840 --> 00:19:56,880
Speaker 4: I've invested in him. I had him in the US Open,

482
00:19:56,920 --> 00:19:58,760
Speaker 4: I've got him in the Open Championship. I was able

483
00:19:58,800 --> 00:20:01,080
Speaker 4: to get fifty to one in forty to one on Cantley.

484
00:20:01,119 --> 00:20:03,720
Speaker 4: I've already bet him for the twenty twenty Masters. I'm

485
00:20:03,760 --> 00:20:06,000
Speaker 4: really high on him. I think over the next few

486
00:20:06,000 --> 00:20:08,440
Speaker 4: months he's going to be one of those guys that's

487
00:20:08,800 --> 00:20:12,240
Speaker 4: power rated top five amongst anybody. So I think anytime

488
00:20:12,280 --> 00:20:13,840
Speaker 4: you can get thirty to one or higher on him,

489
00:20:13,880 --> 00:20:16,320
Speaker 4: it's a good investment. And one guy that I've been

490
00:20:16,320 --> 00:20:18,000
Speaker 4: liking that his odds have been dropping over the last

491
00:20:18,000 --> 00:20:20,800
Speaker 4: few majors. He's had some great performances now he's playing

492
00:20:21,280 --> 00:20:23,840
Speaker 4: more in his environment is Matt Wallace. I played him

493
00:20:23,840 --> 00:20:26,119
Speaker 4: at sixty to one. You can still find that out there,

494
00:20:26,280 --> 00:20:28,760
Speaker 4: but I think it wouldn't surprise me at all if

495
00:20:28,800 --> 00:20:30,359
Speaker 4: he's there on Sunday on the leader board.

496
00:20:30,840 --> 00:20:32,680
Speaker 5: I like that that rom at twenty five to one

497
00:20:32,720 --> 00:20:33,480
Speaker 5: sounds pretty good.

498
00:20:33,760 --> 00:20:36,120
Speaker 4: That's the only reason I was able to get involved

499
00:20:36,119 --> 00:20:38,320
Speaker 4: with him is because some of the books out here

500
00:20:38,320 --> 00:20:40,679
Speaker 4: in Las Vegas on Sunday still had twenty five to

501
00:20:40,680 --> 00:20:43,639
Speaker 4: one as he was winning the Irish Open. You know,

502
00:20:43,720 --> 00:20:46,040
Speaker 4: I adjusted down a sixteen to one, and you know

503
00:20:46,160 --> 00:20:48,159
Speaker 4: that if you can get a guy like that this

504
00:20:48,280 --> 00:20:51,159
Speaker 4: close to a major and get that much value in it,

505
00:20:51,160 --> 00:20:54,240
Speaker 4: it's worth getting involved in. I've seen in other jurisdictions

506
00:20:54,240 --> 00:20:56,520
Speaker 4: in the US more offerings than we can offer here

507
00:20:56,560 --> 00:20:58,880
Speaker 4: in the Las Vegas market. Our operating system, the one

508
00:20:58,880 --> 00:21:01,720
Speaker 4: that we're currently on, I can't offer each way wagering.

509
00:21:02,080 --> 00:21:04,399
Speaker 4: I'm hoping that is something in the near future that

510
00:21:04,440 --> 00:21:06,480
Speaker 4: we can do. But you'll see some things like that

511
00:21:06,480 --> 00:21:08,800
Speaker 4: that are entering into the US market that are influenced

512
00:21:08,840 --> 00:21:11,800
Speaker 4: from the European markets. The golf markets keep growing all

513
00:21:11,800 --> 00:21:14,720
Speaker 4: the time. When we eventually end up going national, I

514
00:21:14,760 --> 00:21:18,280
Speaker 4: want to do some unique propositions such as over underwinning

515
00:21:18,320 --> 00:21:21,200
Speaker 4: score on a weekly basis. That's something that you really

516
00:21:21,200 --> 00:21:23,920
Speaker 4: can't find many places that our crew wants to get

517
00:21:23,920 --> 00:21:26,720
Speaker 4: involved in. Once we have more than one operation going.

518
00:21:26,840 --> 00:21:29,800
Speaker 4: So it's definitely a competitive market and there's more opportunities

519
00:21:29,840 --> 00:21:30,879
Speaker 4: for people to get involved.

520
00:21:31,200 --> 00:21:33,800
Speaker 1: Jeff, any interesting tickets this week and get the John

521
00:21:33,840 --> 00:21:35,600
Speaker 1: d or end of kind of show open, anything coming

522
00:21:35,640 --> 00:21:37,400
Speaker 1: through the sort of cut your eye.

523
00:21:37,480 --> 00:21:39,720
Speaker 4: I actually took some a couple of wagers in the

524
00:21:39,720 --> 00:21:44,040
Speaker 4: Scottish Open on Ricky Fowler against Rory McElroy from general public,

525
00:21:44,080 --> 00:21:46,439
Speaker 4: but they took plus one seventy plus one sixty in

526
00:21:46,480 --> 00:21:49,600
Speaker 4: his matchup, which is interesting because of mcroy's power rating

527
00:21:49,680 --> 00:21:52,880
Speaker 4: this time. So we got someone that's involved that likes

528
00:21:52,880 --> 00:21:55,600
Speaker 4: followed over McElroy. And you know, other than that, it's

529
00:21:55,640 --> 00:21:58,720
Speaker 4: been We get most of our action the day before

530
00:21:58,840 --> 00:22:01,200
Speaker 4: the weekly tournament, so we'll probably see about eighty percent

531
00:22:01,200 --> 00:22:04,000
Speaker 4: of what we handle on Wednesday versus what we've seen

532
00:22:04,040 --> 00:22:04,440
Speaker 4: so far.

533
00:22:04,920 --> 00:22:07,600
Speaker 1: Jeff, we could literally listen to you for hours because

534
00:22:07,640 --> 00:22:10,080
Speaker 1: you are just so smart and so knowledgeable about all

535
00:22:10,160 --> 00:22:10,639
Speaker 1: this stuff.

536
00:22:10,680 --> 00:22:12,800
Speaker 3: So we thank you so much for coming on the

537
00:22:12,800 --> 00:22:13,679
Speaker 3: podcast today.

538
00:22:14,000 --> 00:22:16,959
Speaker 1: Jeff Sherman at Golf Odds on Twitter, You guys have

539
00:22:17,040 --> 00:22:18,760
Speaker 1: to follow him if you're not all ready, and if

540
00:22:18,760 --> 00:22:21,000
Speaker 1: you're not, you're doing something wrong. He's a VP of

541
00:22:21,080 --> 00:22:24,200
Speaker 1: risk management at super Book USA. Jeff, thanks so much

542
00:22:24,240 --> 00:22:25,240
Speaker 1: for being with us this week.

543
00:22:25,400 --> 00:22:28,280
Speaker 4: All right, thanks for having me, guys man, that was awesome.

544
00:22:28,640 --> 00:22:32,080
Speaker 1: I can't believe guys, one two dollars bet on Matthew

545
00:22:32,080 --> 00:22:32,880
Speaker 1: Wolf last week.

546
00:22:32,920 --> 00:22:35,000
Speaker 3: I mean, what were we doing people, Are we.

547
00:22:35,000 --> 00:22:35,800
Speaker 7: Not listening to pod?

548
00:22:35,880 --> 00:22:37,640
Speaker 3: I mean, we're talking about Matthew Wolf, We're.

549
00:22:37,520 --> 00:22:40,720
Speaker 1: Talking about Hovlin, more Cali, even justin Sewell that we've

550
00:22:40,760 --> 00:22:41,960
Speaker 1: been talking about these guys.

551
00:22:41,960 --> 00:22:43,320
Speaker 3: And I guess I wasn't on.

552
00:22:43,359 --> 00:22:45,879
Speaker 1: Wolf that much last week either, So I guess, uh,

553
00:22:46,240 --> 00:22:48,040
Speaker 1: I guess I should. I'm in the same group as

554
00:22:48,040 --> 00:22:51,080
Speaker 1: everybody else. One two dollars bet just astounds me. So

555
00:22:51,640 --> 00:22:53,160
Speaker 1: that was a fun tournament to watch those guys.

556
00:22:53,160 --> 00:22:55,080
Speaker 3: I went out to the three M just for the

557
00:22:55,080 --> 00:22:57,360
Speaker 3: weekend and was able to catch one of the best

558
00:22:57,359 --> 00:22:58,440
Speaker 3: tournaments of the year so far.

559
00:22:58,800 --> 00:23:01,919
Speaker 5: Yeah, for my money, best tournament, the most exciting tournament,

560
00:23:01,920 --> 00:23:03,879
Speaker 5: I should say of the year. We've been talking about

561
00:23:03,880 --> 00:23:06,159
Speaker 5: all three of those guys, or you know, we've been

562
00:23:06,200 --> 00:23:08,879
Speaker 5: talking about Wolf and Maricawa a ton leading up to it.

563
00:23:08,920 --> 00:23:10,920
Speaker 7: I actually liked Wolf last week. Not so that would

564
00:23:10,920 --> 00:23:12,679
Speaker 7: have bet him to win out right, I wouldn't have.

565
00:23:12,880 --> 00:23:14,600
Speaker 5: But he didn't have any matchups on the books that

566
00:23:14,640 --> 00:23:18,439
Speaker 5: I was looking at, which I thought sucked. But we

567
00:23:18,520 --> 00:23:22,000
Speaker 5: did do what we do and roll on Victor Hobland

568
00:23:22,119 --> 00:23:24,840
Speaker 5: as we always do. Four and oh since the US Open.

569
00:23:24,920 --> 00:23:28,280
Speaker 5: So Victor Hoblin with another major showing for the pod.

570
00:23:28,720 --> 00:23:31,000
Speaker 5: But dude, I thought it was so cool that it's

571
00:23:31,119 --> 00:23:33,439
Speaker 5: unbelievable young those guys are, how good they are, the

572
00:23:33,440 --> 00:23:36,080
Speaker 5: shots they were hitting down the stretch for for Wolf

573
00:23:36,119 --> 00:23:39,240
Speaker 5: to watch de Chambeau make the eagle know that all

574
00:23:39,320 --> 00:23:41,480
Speaker 5: right now, I really need an eagle outright to win

575
00:23:41,560 --> 00:23:43,119
Speaker 5: this thing without a playoff and then go and do

576
00:23:43,200 --> 00:23:45,440
Speaker 5: it the way he did. The balls on these kids

577
00:23:45,520 --> 00:23:48,399
Speaker 5: these days are are unlike anything we've ever seen. So

578
00:23:48,880 --> 00:23:50,920
Speaker 5: huge props to who ever bet the two bucks on

579
00:23:51,280 --> 00:23:53,679
Speaker 5: Matthew Wolf. We're idiots for not taking our own advice.

580
00:23:54,320 --> 00:23:57,119
Speaker 6: Yeah, great finishing hole and it was really fun. And

581
00:23:57,280 --> 00:23:59,200
Speaker 6: the young guns we talked about him on the podcast.

582
00:23:59,280 --> 00:24:01,359
Speaker 6: I think everyone in the golf vidia world's talking about

583
00:24:01,359 --> 00:24:04,440
Speaker 6: these guys place. If you got them into the mix

584
00:24:04,520 --> 00:24:07,600
Speaker 6: of Tiger still is going up, the Masters win and

585
00:24:07,600 --> 00:24:08,959
Speaker 6: should be a lot of fun down the stretch.

586
00:24:09,200 --> 00:24:11,880
Speaker 5: The only bad news about this is we've been on Hobbling.

587
00:24:11,920 --> 00:24:15,199
Speaker 5: I've been loving Hoblin, obviously riding him every week. Had

588
00:24:15,240 --> 00:24:18,400
Speaker 5: a big bet on Moricola last week over Nate Lashley,

589
00:24:18,520 --> 00:24:20,040
Speaker 5: which obviously cash.

590
00:24:20,160 --> 00:24:21,960
Speaker 7: We are heavy on these young guys.

591
00:24:22,000 --> 00:24:25,240
Speaker 5: The bad news everybody's on him now, the whole world knows.

592
00:24:25,320 --> 00:24:26,320
Speaker 7: There's no more secret.

593
00:24:26,359 --> 00:24:28,520
Speaker 5: Same with Chez right, we get on Chez early before

594
00:24:28,520 --> 00:24:30,320
Speaker 5: he heats up, and then he comes in and now

595
00:24:30,320 --> 00:24:31,360
Speaker 5: he's priced super high.

596
00:24:31,400 --> 00:24:33,560
Speaker 7: So these matchups with some of these guys, now the.

597
00:24:33,520 --> 00:24:36,359
Speaker 5: Markets are catching up and there there's no more easy

598
00:24:36,400 --> 00:24:38,840
Speaker 5: bets out there anymore with these guys, which sucks from

599
00:24:38,840 --> 00:24:41,639
Speaker 5: a money perspective, which is really all I care about.

600
00:24:41,920 --> 00:24:44,560
Speaker 1: And now the betting favorites, like you said, DraftKings has

601
00:24:44,920 --> 00:24:47,600
Speaker 1: has Hoblin, Mori Kawam, Matthew Wolf, the.

602
00:24:47,520 --> 00:24:48,480
Speaker 3: Top three on board.

603
00:24:48,640 --> 00:24:50,560
Speaker 1: One thing guys that that struck me, And we'll get

604
00:24:50,560 --> 00:24:52,600
Speaker 1: to DraftKings because we're gonna make a lineup like we

605
00:24:52,600 --> 00:24:54,640
Speaker 1: always do, and we're gonna smash like we do every week.

606
00:24:54,720 --> 00:24:57,520
Speaker 1: So we're gonna pay back the listeners. We've listened to

607
00:24:57,560 --> 00:24:59,600
Speaker 1: this entire thing the whole time. I hope your commute

608
00:24:59,640 --> 00:25:00,000
Speaker 1: was fun.

609
00:25:00,080 --> 00:25:03,640
Speaker 3: Guys. The one thing that struck me being out there

610
00:25:03,640 --> 00:25:05,760
Speaker 3: in Minnesota. I spoke with Matthew Wolf a little bit.

611
00:25:06,000 --> 00:25:08,120
Speaker 1: I got a chance to talk to Markowell a lot,

612
00:25:08,160 --> 00:25:11,560
Speaker 1: which I hadn't talked to him before. These kids looking

613
00:25:11,720 --> 00:25:14,240
Speaker 1: sound like they've been on tour for ten years already.

614
00:25:14,400 --> 00:25:18,040
Speaker 1: These are extremely mature kids. Not just inside the ropes.

615
00:25:18,560 --> 00:25:21,000
Speaker 1: I get that, Hey, they're really good golfers, and inside

616
00:25:21,040 --> 00:25:24,600
Speaker 1: the ropes their games are mature and better than twenty

617
00:25:24,640 --> 00:25:27,080
Speaker 1: one to twenty two year olds. This is like off

618
00:25:27,119 --> 00:25:30,000
Speaker 1: the course, they treat the media and the fans like

619
00:25:30,000 --> 00:25:31,119
Speaker 1: they've been doing this forever.

620
00:25:31,240 --> 00:25:35,040
Speaker 3: I mean, not any sense of immaturity whatsoever. Really impressive.

621
00:25:35,280 --> 00:25:37,840
Speaker 5: I think that's a testament to where college golf has gone.

622
00:25:37,920 --> 00:25:40,560
Speaker 5: Like if you look at Matthew Bolle freshman year at

623
00:25:40,560 --> 00:25:44,280
Speaker 5: Oklahoma State at Carston Creek, he makes the national championship

624
00:25:44,640 --> 00:25:47,520
Speaker 5: clinching putt in front of a shitload of Oklahoma State

625
00:25:47,560 --> 00:25:50,360
Speaker 5: fans that were out there watching him. Cameras everywhere he's

626
00:25:50,400 --> 00:25:52,560
Speaker 5: playing in front of a camera, He's given interviews. Then

627
00:25:52,560 --> 00:25:55,560
Speaker 5: this year he wins in CAA championship, given interviews. He's like,

628
00:25:55,800 --> 00:25:57,960
Speaker 5: this is nothing new to these guys anymore. These big

629
00:25:58,040 --> 00:26:00,160
Speaker 5: name guys that are playing the top tier amber golf off,

630
00:26:00,160 --> 00:26:03,280
Speaker 5: winning national championships, they've done this. So yeah, the stage

631
00:26:03,320 --> 00:26:05,000
Speaker 5: is bigger and that it's a PGA tour, but they're

632
00:26:05,040 --> 00:26:07,280
Speaker 5: going through the same stuff that they've gone through for

633
00:26:07,320 --> 00:26:09,480
Speaker 5: the last couple of years, which until the last few

634
00:26:09,560 --> 00:26:10,920
Speaker 5: years wasn't the case.

635
00:26:11,000 --> 00:26:13,120
Speaker 7: You know, Like when I was playing college.

636
00:26:12,800 --> 00:26:14,879
Speaker 5: Golf, I don't even instead ofa's, I don't even think

637
00:26:14,880 --> 00:26:16,359
Speaker 5: we're on TV, you know what I mean, And the

638
00:26:16,359 --> 00:26:18,760
Speaker 5: guys winning weren't getting interviewed by Golf Channel and doing

639
00:26:18,760 --> 00:26:20,760
Speaker 5: a round by round recap. So these dudes are, like,

640
00:26:21,359 --> 00:26:23,520
Speaker 5: you know, as seasoned as you can get coming in

641
00:26:23,560 --> 00:26:25,919
Speaker 5: as rookies on the PGA Tour, and it shows like

642
00:26:26,040 --> 00:26:27,680
Speaker 5: not only in their games but also in the way

643
00:26:27,720 --> 00:26:29,000
Speaker 5: that they handle it.

644
00:26:29,520 --> 00:26:31,440
Speaker 1: So I want to get into some of what we're

645
00:26:31,440 --> 00:26:33,359
Speaker 1: looking at this week at the John Dear Classic. All

646
00:26:33,440 --> 00:26:36,000
Speaker 1: three of those guys are playing this week and Justin

647
00:26:36,040 --> 00:26:39,720
Speaker 1: soon too. As I wrote my column Sunday night, it

648
00:26:39,800 --> 00:26:43,080
Speaker 1: feels like Sue hasn't played quite as well, is like

649
00:26:43,119 --> 00:26:43,760
Speaker 1: the outlier.

650
00:26:44,119 --> 00:26:47,119
Speaker 3: Actually, like the other three guys are the outliers.

651
00:26:46,600 --> 00:26:49,280
Speaker 1: And Justin's doing exactly what we're supposed to do, which

652
00:26:49,320 --> 00:26:51,399
Speaker 1: is play pretty well and make a few cuts, and

653
00:26:52,000 --> 00:26:53,960
Speaker 1: it kind of ease his way into being a professional,

654
00:26:54,000 --> 00:26:56,200
Speaker 1: like that's normal. What the other three guys are doing

655
00:26:56,240 --> 00:26:58,880
Speaker 1: is not normal at all. So we're seeing that from

656
00:26:58,880 --> 00:27:01,200
Speaker 1: those guys, but I want to get into the John

657
00:27:01,240 --> 00:27:03,919
Speaker 1: Deer Classic a little bit. I know we'll get some

658
00:27:03,960 --> 00:27:05,080
Speaker 1: Scottish Open as well.

659
00:27:05,119 --> 00:27:05,720
Speaker 3: That's kind of a.

660
00:27:05,640 --> 00:27:08,080
Speaker 1: Bigger tournament this week, but we like to stay mostly

661
00:27:08,119 --> 00:27:10,640
Speaker 1: on the PGA Tour. And sleez, I know you're looking

662
00:27:10,760 --> 00:27:11,400
Speaker 1: some matchups.

663
00:27:11,560 --> 00:27:14,080
Speaker 3: Let's go around the horn, pick one match up each

664
00:27:14,119 --> 00:27:15,880
Speaker 3: and see what we all like. So if may were

665
00:27:15,880 --> 00:27:17,119
Speaker 3: on the same page with any of these.

666
00:27:17,240 --> 00:27:18,000
Speaker 7: Yeah, beautiful.

667
00:27:18,040 --> 00:27:19,960
Speaker 5: So for the first week, I am not going to

668
00:27:20,040 --> 00:27:22,560
Speaker 5: have a Victor Hoblin play, which which pains me.

669
00:27:22,640 --> 00:27:24,800
Speaker 7: But it's just too tough to bet. Prices are too tough,

670
00:27:24,840 --> 00:27:26,320
Speaker 7: matchups are tough. So I was.

671
00:27:26,280 --> 00:27:28,080
Speaker 5: Scrolling through and I was looking for a guy that

672
00:27:28,119 --> 00:27:30,640
Speaker 5: I won a short and I was looking high and low,

673
00:27:30,720 --> 00:27:35,119
Speaker 5: and I finally found one in Danny Lee over Cameron Champ.

674
00:27:35,160 --> 00:27:37,760
Speaker 5: And it's not too long ago that Cameron Champ was

675
00:27:37,760 --> 00:27:40,040
Speaker 5: the hit guy on the PGA Tour, hitting at miles

676
00:27:40,119 --> 00:27:42,399
Speaker 5: one earlier in the year and he was the dude.

677
00:27:42,440 --> 00:27:44,879
Speaker 5: But things have seriously changed. So I got Danny Lee

678
00:27:45,200 --> 00:27:47,320
Speaker 5: minus one fifteen over Cameron Champ.

679
00:27:47,440 --> 00:27:49,200
Speaker 7: And Peter talks about this a lot.

680
00:27:49,480 --> 00:27:51,879
Speaker 5: Shop your books here because one of the other books

681
00:27:51,920 --> 00:27:54,359
Speaker 5: I looked at was Danny Lee minus one forty five

682
00:27:54,400 --> 00:27:56,399
Speaker 5: and I was able to find it at minus one fifteen,

683
00:27:56,400 --> 00:27:58,840
Speaker 5: which makes me like it even more. But Champ, this

684
00:27:58,920 --> 00:28:01,520
Speaker 5: is a Champ short. I was looking back at his stats.

685
00:28:01,560 --> 00:28:04,199
Speaker 5: He's missed the cut or w DD in nine of

686
00:28:04,240 --> 00:28:07,240
Speaker 5: his last twelve events like and I actually thought last

687
00:28:07,240 --> 00:28:09,720
Speaker 5: week that the three M Classic, I thought that would

688
00:28:09,720 --> 00:28:11,320
Speaker 5: be a good venue for him when where he could

689
00:28:11,359 --> 00:28:12,800
Speaker 5: hit a lot of drivers do.

690
00:28:12,840 --> 00:28:14,440
Speaker 7: What he does that makes him superman.

691
00:28:14,840 --> 00:28:17,120
Speaker 5: And I think he shot seventy four to seventy five,

692
00:28:17,200 --> 00:28:19,560
Speaker 5: like really a bad showing from him. And on the

693
00:28:19,560 --> 00:28:21,560
Speaker 5: other side of that, I don't think that John Deere

694
00:28:21,600 --> 00:28:24,000
Speaker 5: Classic with the shorter golf course, guy's hitting a lot

695
00:28:24,040 --> 00:28:25,879
Speaker 5: of fairways, hitting a lot of irons, three woods, that

696
00:28:25,880 --> 00:28:28,639
Speaker 5: sort of thing. I think this takes away a superpower,

697
00:28:28,760 --> 00:28:31,680
Speaker 5: turns them even into more of a Clark Kent and

698
00:28:31,760 --> 00:28:33,879
Speaker 5: he just becomes a normal dude. So with that the

699
00:28:33,920 --> 00:28:36,919
Speaker 5: recent form and the course this week, I am heavy

700
00:28:37,000 --> 00:28:39,560
Speaker 5: short Cam Champ and Danny Lee was the matchup that

701
00:28:39,600 --> 00:28:41,640
Speaker 5: I found. I'm not like heavy on Danny Lee. Think

702
00:28:41,720 --> 00:28:44,600
Speaker 5: he's great or playing great. He's been fine this year,

703
00:28:44,600 --> 00:28:46,640
Speaker 5: but this is more of just a Champ short. So

704
00:28:47,160 --> 00:28:49,360
Speaker 5: Lee minus one fifteen over Champ. That was the one

705
00:28:49,360 --> 00:28:50,080
Speaker 5: that jumped out of me.

706
00:28:50,520 --> 00:28:53,480
Speaker 6: Yeah, that's a great price, especially when you shop around,

707
00:28:53,640 --> 00:28:55,760
Speaker 6: you know, looking at a couple of matchups, Charles Howsill

708
00:28:55,880 --> 00:29:00,400
Speaker 6: polarising in the market is closer to even money. I'm

709
00:29:00,440 --> 00:29:03,440
Speaker 6: seeing Clover minas one of five that in truly doesn't

710
00:29:03,480 --> 00:29:05,600
Speaker 6: feel great. But Clover is coming off a really good

711
00:29:05,600 --> 00:29:07,720
Speaker 6: week last week, and his ball striking's been there. But

712
00:29:07,760 --> 00:29:10,160
Speaker 6: I think he's rounding into form again. So I think

713
00:29:10,160 --> 00:29:13,000
Speaker 6: that's some decent value. And been on these young guys

714
00:29:13,040 --> 00:29:14,880
Speaker 6: and now the prices are just too high and I

715
00:29:14,880 --> 00:29:17,040
Speaker 6: think it's unfortunately time we have to fade him. So

716
00:29:17,440 --> 00:29:20,000
Speaker 6: the non section matchups for like Cowan Glover, but Glover

717
00:29:20,080 --> 00:29:21,040
Speaker 6: at one h five are better.

718
00:29:21,080 --> 00:29:21,920
Speaker 4: I like, for sure.

719
00:29:22,000 --> 00:29:25,160
Speaker 1: Guys from the years two thousand and nine through twenty fifteen.

720
00:29:25,560 --> 00:29:29,600
Speaker 1: Zach Johnson for his top three at this tournament every year,

721
00:29:29,640 --> 00:29:32,360
Speaker 1: but once in his last forty rounds there, he's been

722
00:29:32,440 --> 00:29:34,240
Speaker 1: under par thirty eight of those rounds.

723
00:29:34,400 --> 00:29:36,520
Speaker 3: He's earned three million dollars in the Quad.

724
00:29:36,280 --> 00:29:40,320
Speaker 1: Cities alone, and he's only a small favorite against Kyle Stanley,

725
00:29:40,320 --> 00:29:42,720
Speaker 1: And you know what, I love Kyle Stanley this week.

726
00:29:43,120 --> 00:29:45,040
Speaker 1: Really good ball striker. He's starting a trend in the

727
00:29:45,120 --> 00:29:48,960
Speaker 1: right direction. Zach has really fallen off. He is outside

728
00:29:49,000 --> 00:29:51,960
Speaker 1: the top one hundred, moved outside for the first time

729
00:29:52,040 --> 00:29:54,800
Speaker 1: in some like twelve years, fourteen years, just a few

730
00:29:54,840 --> 00:29:58,280
Speaker 1: weeks ago. And I know the recent history is there,

731
00:29:58,320 --> 00:30:01,400
Speaker 1: the course history. I understand that he gets to John

732
00:30:01,480 --> 00:30:04,160
Speaker 1: Deere and he just lights it up usually every single year.

733
00:30:04,200 --> 00:30:08,200
Speaker 1: But the last three results thirty, fourth, fifth, sixteenth good.

734
00:30:08,520 --> 00:30:10,680
Speaker 1: I don't think sixteenth this year is good enough to

735
00:30:10,680 --> 00:30:13,480
Speaker 1: beat Kyle Stanley. I really like him a lot this week,

736
00:30:13,520 --> 00:30:16,680
Speaker 1: and Kyle Stanley as an underdog in that matchup, that's.

737
00:30:16,480 --> 00:30:18,160
Speaker 3: My favorite one going on the board right now.

738
00:30:18,440 --> 00:30:20,440
Speaker 5: I was wondering if anyone on here was gonna jump

739
00:30:20,480 --> 00:30:22,320
Speaker 5: on that. On the other side of Zach with his

740
00:30:22,520 --> 00:30:26,040
Speaker 5: with his track record at this course being unbelievable, like

741
00:30:26,200 --> 00:30:28,920
Speaker 5: really weirdly good, how well he's played here, but with

742
00:30:29,000 --> 00:30:31,600
Speaker 5: his form this year being so bad, that was just

743
00:30:31,600 --> 00:30:33,360
Speaker 5: one of those ones that was dangling there, like do

744
00:30:33,400 --> 00:30:34,120
Speaker 5: you want to tempt it?

745
00:30:34,160 --> 00:30:36,680
Speaker 7: Do you want to take it? And I'm not.

746
00:30:36,640 --> 00:30:39,040
Speaker 5: Disagreeing with you here that I think, of course, history,

747
00:30:39,280 --> 00:30:42,160
Speaker 5: you know, five, six, eight years back even matters way

748
00:30:42,240 --> 00:30:44,040
Speaker 5: less than the way you're playing in the last month

749
00:30:44,120 --> 00:30:46,120
Speaker 5: or two. And I don't see nothing from Zach to

750
00:30:46,160 --> 00:30:48,280
Speaker 5: make me want to jump all over him. So kudos

751
00:30:48,320 --> 00:30:50,080
Speaker 5: to you so for polling that one.

752
00:30:50,400 --> 00:30:54,120
Speaker 6: Varner and Wyndham Clark are coin clip BFFs.

753
00:30:54,680 --> 00:30:58,080
Speaker 5: Yeah, that's tough man, you really like Those are two

754
00:30:58,120 --> 00:31:00,400
Speaker 5: of my guys there. This could be a lead the

755
00:31:00,400 --> 00:31:03,720
Speaker 5: fifth type of scenario. I'm so partial to the guy

756
00:31:03,760 --> 00:31:08,160
Speaker 5: on here. I'm so biased. I like Windham on obviously

757
00:31:08,200 --> 00:31:11,240
Speaker 5: his length is unbelievable, but it's also his biggest nemesis

758
00:31:11,280 --> 00:31:12,960
Speaker 5: and that he misses a lot of fairways, as you

759
00:31:13,000 --> 00:31:15,040
Speaker 5: saw with some of the club drops last week, which

760
00:31:15,080 --> 00:31:18,240
Speaker 5: were incredible followed through. Is very proud of him letting

761
00:31:18,280 --> 00:31:21,480
Speaker 5: go of that thing quick gun to my head. I

762
00:31:21,520 --> 00:31:24,080
Speaker 5: would probably take Windham just because I think he hits

763
00:31:24,080 --> 00:31:27,520
Speaker 5: fewer drivers this week, and the fewer drivers, the fewer

764
00:31:27,520 --> 00:31:30,200
Speaker 5: fairways he can miss. I think he's pretty good from

765
00:31:30,240 --> 00:31:33,200
Speaker 5: there on end. So maybe Wyndham flight edge over Harold,

766
00:31:33,200 --> 00:31:35,040
Speaker 5: but I'm definitely not betting guys.

767
00:31:34,760 --> 00:31:36,920
Speaker 1: Before we get to make our DraftKings line up anything

768
00:31:36,960 --> 00:31:38,840
Speaker 1: from the Scottish Open jumping out at you.

769
00:31:39,200 --> 00:31:40,760
Speaker 3: A couple of guys I'm looking at.

770
00:31:41,440 --> 00:31:43,680
Speaker 1: We're all about the same price, three of them that

771
00:31:43,960 --> 00:31:45,840
Speaker 1: I don't even know how much I necessarily like him

772
00:31:45,840 --> 00:31:47,800
Speaker 1: with the Scottish, but I'm keeping an eye on all

773
00:31:47,840 --> 00:31:50,280
Speaker 1: of them for next week because I like them at

774
00:31:50,320 --> 00:31:53,320
Speaker 1: the Open. If they have good weeks since Matt Fitzpatrick,

775
00:31:53,640 --> 00:31:57,040
Speaker 1: Matthew Wallace, and Rotha Caberbeo all belt, like I said,

776
00:31:57,080 --> 00:31:59,760
Speaker 1: the same price, and if one of those guys jumps

777
00:31:59,760 --> 00:32:02,920
Speaker 1: out like a top ten, top five finish this week,

778
00:32:03,160 --> 00:32:05,680
Speaker 1: I might be jumping on board for next week as well.

779
00:32:06,000 --> 00:32:09,360
Speaker 6: I like the Matt Wallace over Eddie pepper roll. And

780
00:32:09,480 --> 00:32:11,760
Speaker 6: you know, Eddie is definitely probably the best guy on

781
00:32:11,800 --> 00:32:13,360
Speaker 6: Twitter and golf without question.

782
00:32:14,600 --> 00:32:15,880
Speaker 7: Michleson is the biggest star.

783
00:32:16,160 --> 00:32:19,040
Speaker 5: He does good work, but Michelson's got the star power

784
00:32:19,040 --> 00:32:22,000
Speaker 5: over Eddie. Eddie's quality of tweet is higher than philth

785
00:32:22,280 --> 00:32:23,160
Speaker 5: in my opinion.

786
00:32:22,920 --> 00:32:25,240
Speaker 3: I agree with that. I agree that we shouldst make

787
00:32:25,320 --> 00:32:26,800
Speaker 3: we should make a Twitter All Star team.

788
00:32:26,800 --> 00:32:29,040
Speaker 1: At some point we get Eddie phill sort of the

789
00:32:29,200 --> 00:32:30,880
Speaker 1: you know, the honor and captain of the team or

790
00:32:30,920 --> 00:32:31,440
Speaker 1: something like that.

791
00:32:31,520 --> 00:32:36,560
Speaker 3: Joel Damon's on there, Max is the flag Homa. Absolutely,

792
00:32:36,760 --> 00:32:38,720
Speaker 3: We've got a bunch more guys on there. Yeah.

793
00:32:38,920 --> 00:32:40,720
Speaker 7: I like that Matt Wallace though over there.

794
00:32:40,840 --> 00:32:42,960
Speaker 5: I mean, he's really good in links golf, and I

795
00:32:42,960 --> 00:32:44,640
Speaker 5: think he's a guy that's got the type of game

796
00:32:44,680 --> 00:32:47,400
Speaker 5: that once he clicks, once he starts peeling off a

797
00:32:47,400 --> 00:32:49,080
Speaker 5: few of these things, I think he could be a force,

798
00:32:49,320 --> 00:32:52,280
Speaker 5: uh for Europe. So I like Matt. Matt Wallace will

799
00:32:52,320 --> 00:32:53,880
Speaker 5: be the guy would lean towards out of those three

800
00:32:53,880 --> 00:32:54,520
Speaker 5: that you mentioned.

801
00:32:55,000 --> 00:32:57,400
Speaker 3: All right, falls, let's take a lineup, as we do

802
00:32:57,480 --> 00:33:01,120
Speaker 3: every week. Theoretically, if you'd put our lineup.

803
00:33:00,720 --> 00:33:04,520
Speaker 1: Into a forty four dollars DraftKings tournament last week.

804
00:33:04,360 --> 00:33:06,640
Speaker 3: You would have just barely cashed. I don't know how

805
00:33:06,680 --> 00:33:07,160
Speaker 3: I would.

806
00:33:07,040 --> 00:33:08,960
Speaker 1: Know that at all, but it would have been really

807
00:33:08,960 --> 00:33:11,160
Speaker 1: good if Sleeves had been on his usual guy Wyndam

808
00:33:11,160 --> 00:33:13,800
Speaker 1: Clark and said, who is our only guy who missed

809
00:33:13,800 --> 00:33:14,480
Speaker 1: the cut last week?

810
00:33:14,520 --> 00:33:17,200
Speaker 3: We're so close to being right on it, so close, guys.

811
00:33:17,600 --> 00:33:20,239
Speaker 5: That one's things the nostrils. Boys, I'm gonna take that one.

812
00:33:20,240 --> 00:33:22,320
Speaker 5: I'm gonna wear that one. I'll take it, all.

813
00:33:22,280 --> 00:33:24,520
Speaker 7: Right, We'll give you I'll take.

814
00:33:24,480 --> 00:33:25,600
Speaker 3: We'll give you the first pick.

815
00:33:25,960 --> 00:33:27,960
Speaker 5: I was gonna defer because I really don't know what

816
00:33:28,040 --> 00:33:29,800
Speaker 5: to do up top. I got some middle guys that

817
00:33:29,840 --> 00:33:31,880
Speaker 5: I like. Do you have either of you three someone

818
00:33:32,080 --> 00:33:34,360
Speaker 5: up north that you like a lot? Because I'm I do.

819
00:33:34,560 --> 00:33:35,160
Speaker 3: I'm gonna fire.

820
00:33:35,360 --> 00:33:38,080
Speaker 1: And this came from another player who saw him play

821
00:33:38,160 --> 00:33:40,240
Speaker 1: last week, who literally sent me a text earlier this

822
00:33:40,320 --> 00:33:43,400
Speaker 1: week and said, you're taking sun Jay this week, I assume, right,

823
00:33:43,760 --> 00:33:47,520
Speaker 1: like pushing me in that direction, like this is the week.

824
00:33:47,560 --> 00:33:50,440
Speaker 1: Guys like you know this is happening this week, right

825
00:33:51,120 --> 00:33:52,360
Speaker 1: Like it was so definitive.

826
00:33:52,720 --> 00:33:55,120
Speaker 3: So I am all over Sung j in this week.

827
00:33:55,480 --> 00:34:00,400
Speaker 7: That's very like that. Okay, perfect, I'll fire. I got

828
00:34:00,440 --> 00:34:02,560
Speaker 7: a guy that I like. I think this is a

829
00:34:02,600 --> 00:34:03,440
Speaker 7: great course fit.

830
00:34:03,720 --> 00:34:05,840
Speaker 5: And this is the type of places where he shows

831
00:34:05,920 --> 00:34:07,240
Speaker 5: up a lot, and I like Ryan Moore.

832
00:34:07,640 --> 00:34:09,319
Speaker 3: I will throw one out at he sleeps. I'm just

833
00:34:09,320 --> 00:34:11,799
Speaker 3: gonna say this too, okay. I didn't realize it until

834
00:34:11,800 --> 00:34:12,439
Speaker 3: this past week.

835
00:34:12,640 --> 00:34:15,440
Speaker 1: Ryan Moore had been with his longtime caddy JJ Jakovic

836
00:34:15,560 --> 00:34:17,000
Speaker 1: for eight years.

837
00:34:17,320 --> 00:34:20,200
Speaker 3: They parted ways after the PG Championship two months ago.

838
00:34:20,280 --> 00:34:23,319
Speaker 1: JJ was offered a few other bags wasn't sure he's

839
00:34:23,320 --> 00:34:25,480
Speaker 1: got a young family home. Then he took a beg

840
00:34:25,560 --> 00:34:28,399
Speaker 1: this young kid. He's no catting for Colin Moore Kawa.

841
00:34:28,480 --> 00:34:30,759
Speaker 1: How about that for an upgrade after a long time

842
00:34:30,760 --> 00:34:33,520
Speaker 1: with Ryan Moore. So all of that said, I'm just

843
00:34:33,600 --> 00:34:34,879
Speaker 1: I like Ryan Moore a lot.

844
00:34:35,160 --> 00:34:37,960
Speaker 3: He's played well at this one. I'm just saying he's

845
00:34:38,000 --> 00:34:39,440
Speaker 3: kind of in a little transition period.

846
00:34:39,680 --> 00:34:42,000
Speaker 5: He is and is a recent play has not been

847
00:34:42,400 --> 00:34:44,440
Speaker 5: anything that jumps out at you. I just feel like

848
00:34:44,800 --> 00:34:46,759
Speaker 5: these are the type of spots that are just like

849
00:34:46,880 --> 00:34:49,879
Speaker 5: where he thrives, you know, like these not overly long

850
00:34:49,920 --> 00:34:53,480
Speaker 5: golf courses, more precision, more iron play. I feel like

851
00:34:53,520 --> 00:34:55,960
Speaker 5: this is the right type of fit for him. That's

852
00:34:56,000 --> 00:34:58,319
Speaker 5: the reason why I like him, and I think there's

853
00:34:58,320 --> 00:34:59,879
Speaker 5: a lot of good options in this range too.

854
00:35:00,040 --> 00:35:00,640
Speaker 7: You guys want to.

855
00:35:00,560 --> 00:35:02,640
Speaker 5: If you want a veto use your veto power kick

856
00:35:02,719 --> 00:35:05,600
Speaker 5: him off the squad, you can use it. But he

857
00:35:05,719 --> 00:35:08,080
Speaker 5: was my guy at ninety two hundred, Peter, I'll let

858
00:35:08,120 --> 00:35:10,200
Speaker 5: you let the pro time in.

859
00:35:10,880 --> 00:35:12,960
Speaker 6: I want to take Lucas Glover over Gover and Lucas

860
00:35:13,000 --> 00:35:15,480
Speaker 6: Glover's MIAs one to thirty five ers song job, which

861
00:35:15,520 --> 00:35:18,000
Speaker 6: is interesting I think that he's right there with Stanley.

862
00:35:18,000 --> 00:35:19,920
Speaker 6: He's basically a coin flip right now in the market.

863
00:35:20,040 --> 00:35:22,480
Speaker 6: So Glover is the guy who's dand out today. I

864
00:35:22,480 --> 00:35:24,960
Speaker 6: love song Jay as well. I like that angle.

865
00:35:24,920 --> 00:35:27,520
Speaker 5: Kick Ryan off the squad. Sorry you were on briefly.

866
00:35:27,560 --> 00:35:31,200
Speaker 5: We're replacing you with Lucas Glover ninety eight hundred. Tough break.

867
00:35:31,520 --> 00:35:34,200
Speaker 5: That was like a trade, a quick trade, sign and

868
00:35:34,280 --> 00:35:35,280
Speaker 5: trade type of scenario.

869
00:35:35,480 --> 00:35:37,720
Speaker 6: I'm gonna make our team even more tilting with another

870
00:35:37,760 --> 00:35:41,640
Speaker 6: guy who's been playing well recently. But uh, he's on

871
00:35:41,640 --> 00:35:45,560
Speaker 6: one of the all team tilting DFS guys. Von Taylor

872
00:35:46,160 --> 00:35:48,840
Speaker 6: not the strongest name, but he's only seventy seven hundred,

873
00:35:48,960 --> 00:35:51,239
Speaker 6: and just look at his current form. I'm pretty high

874
00:35:51,239 --> 00:35:52,200
Speaker 6: on Von Taylor this week.

875
00:35:52,760 --> 00:35:54,600
Speaker 1: I like Vaughan a lot this week too, And you're

876
00:35:54,680 --> 00:35:56,640
Speaker 1: usually on Vong on the right times too.

877
00:35:56,680 --> 00:35:59,720
Speaker 3: I will say that's that much. You're a a Von Taylor.

878
00:36:00,000 --> 00:36:00,640
Speaker 3: I'm a sewer.

879
00:36:01,120 --> 00:36:04,719
Speaker 1: We got seventy seventy six hundred per man left. We

880
00:36:04,840 --> 00:36:06,240
Speaker 1: had Kyle Stanley sitting.

881
00:36:06,040 --> 00:36:08,600
Speaker 3: There at eighty eight hundred. It is even my turn.

882
00:36:08,640 --> 00:36:10,480
Speaker 3: It's not even my turn, but I'm just gonna talk.

883
00:36:10,360 --> 00:36:12,239
Speaker 7: Fire him if you've got conviction to take them.

884
00:36:12,440 --> 00:36:14,279
Speaker 1: I mentioned him before, I mentioned everything I like about

885
00:36:14,360 --> 00:36:16,919
Speaker 1: Kyle Stanley's striking the ball really well. If you guys

886
00:36:16,920 --> 00:36:18,680
Speaker 1: are on board, we can go eighty eight hundred. And

887
00:36:18,760 --> 00:36:20,680
Speaker 1: then you guys got a couple of cheaper guys to

888
00:36:20,719 --> 00:36:21,200
Speaker 1: get in there.

889
00:36:21,400 --> 00:36:22,040
Speaker 7: Do it, do it?

890
00:36:22,400 --> 00:36:26,160
Speaker 5: Fire him official old sign Stanley. Oh there he is,

891
00:36:26,800 --> 00:36:30,239
Speaker 5: my boy, Mattie Every I like him. This week the

892
00:36:30,280 --> 00:36:32,840
Speaker 5: five putts really scarred me with him. I got some

893
00:36:32,920 --> 00:36:35,360
Speaker 5: serious scar tissue to get over with Matty Every. But

894
00:36:35,440 --> 00:36:37,399
Speaker 5: you know what, I'm gonna go back to the well.

895
00:36:37,480 --> 00:36:40,040
Speaker 5: I think I still stick by this. His upside when

896
00:36:40,080 --> 00:36:42,440
Speaker 5: he's priced down here below seven thousand, is higher than

897
00:36:42,480 --> 00:36:44,799
Speaker 5: any of these other guys. So if he Every has

898
00:36:44,840 --> 00:36:47,960
Speaker 5: a good week, that's a winner's check, that's a top three.

899
00:36:48,080 --> 00:36:49,640
Speaker 5: There's not a lot of these guys like It's like

900
00:36:49,719 --> 00:36:52,560
Speaker 5: Robert Strapp. You know, I don't know you line don't

901
00:36:52,600 --> 00:36:54,319
Speaker 5: think this is a good fit for him. You know,

902
00:36:54,400 --> 00:36:57,520
Speaker 5: I don't think there's any other potential winners below seven thousand.

903
00:36:57,640 --> 00:36:59,840
Speaker 5: That's my that's kind of my constant go to with that.

904
00:37:00,160 --> 00:37:01,799
Speaker 5: But yeah, I'm on every Let's ride him again.

905
00:37:01,920 --> 00:37:05,120
Speaker 6: I'll let you guys decide. There's two guys. Matt Jones,

906
00:37:05,480 --> 00:37:08,359
Speaker 6: there's some upside, but definitely he's not played his best

907
00:37:08,400 --> 00:37:12,440
Speaker 6: golf as of recently. And then Michael Thompson is another

908
00:37:12,480 --> 00:37:16,160
Speaker 6: guy who MDF last week. He's been popping my models.

909
00:37:16,320 --> 00:37:16,480
Speaker 3: Uh.

910
00:37:17,000 --> 00:37:19,400
Speaker 6: Any preference of those two Michael Thompson.

911
00:37:19,560 --> 00:37:23,240
Speaker 1: I almost I was gonna say I hate Michael Thompson,

912
00:37:23,280 --> 00:37:24,120
Speaker 1: so oh God.

913
00:37:25,400 --> 00:37:29,080
Speaker 6: Conclusion, Michael Thompson is like he made some just played well,

914
00:37:29,160 --> 00:37:31,279
Speaker 6: the heritage straight hitter, good putter.

915
00:37:31,680 --> 00:37:37,840
Speaker 1: Through hank Lebota who's played pretty well and kg Lee

916
00:37:38,000 --> 00:37:39,960
Speaker 1: who's got a decent course fitter both out there.

917
00:37:39,800 --> 00:37:40,320
Speaker 3: On the STARTU.

918
00:37:40,840 --> 00:37:44,239
Speaker 6: I could be talking to Leota, all right, you call it, Peter,

919
00:37:44,280 --> 00:37:45,560
Speaker 6: it's ultimately your pick.

920
00:37:47,480 --> 00:37:48,360
Speaker 7: I'm gonna allow you to.

921
00:37:50,080 --> 00:37:52,200
Speaker 3: Like this in alphabetical order.

922
00:37:52,239 --> 00:37:56,320
Speaker 1: Man, every Lucas Glover, j M, Kyle Stanley, Von Taylor,

923
00:37:56,480 --> 00:37:57,320
Speaker 1: Michael Thompson.

924
00:37:57,640 --> 00:37:59,920
Speaker 3: Put all of your money on that, and there's no

925
00:38:00,239 --> 00:38:01,600
Speaker 3: way you can lose, right.

926
00:38:01,560 --> 00:38:04,719
Speaker 5: Guys, guaranteed money. That's what we do here at the

927
00:38:04,760 --> 00:38:07,680
Speaker 5: Action Network. It's our complaint line at the Sleezy Man.

928
00:38:07,719 --> 00:38:09,759
Speaker 5: Make sure you tell me everyone who sucks ass that

929
00:38:09,800 --> 00:38:10,880
Speaker 5: we picked this week.

930
00:38:11,040 --> 00:38:14,120
Speaker 1: We're pretty much guaranteed a Ryan Moore Matt Jones playoff

931
00:38:14,120 --> 00:38:15,439
Speaker 1: at this point, aren't we right?

932
00:38:15,520 --> 00:38:17,720
Speaker 5: Yeah, if More plays good, I'm gonna kill you guys,

933
00:38:18,400 --> 00:38:22,560
Speaker 5: just for the record.

934
00:38:20,960 --> 00:38:24,160
Speaker 1: Just throw it in another lineup more as well. Cover

935
00:38:24,239 --> 00:38:27,799
Speaker 1: your butts in there. So guys, great week. Thanks, We

936
00:38:27,840 --> 00:38:29,480
Speaker 1: can't wait for next week. We're gonna talk some more

937
00:38:29,480 --> 00:38:30,320
Speaker 1: Open Championship.

938
00:38:30,360 --> 00:38:33,120
Speaker 3: We just might have a really really good guest.

939
00:38:33,160 --> 00:38:35,719
Speaker 1: I'm gonna tease it with that, and I won't tell

940
00:38:35,719 --> 00:38:37,960
Speaker 1: you who because there's like a five percent chance it

941
00:38:38,000 --> 00:38:40,680
Speaker 1: won't happen. But hopefully we have a really good guest

942
00:38:40,719 --> 00:38:42,320
Speaker 1: coming next week, someone really fun.

943
00:38:42,600 --> 00:38:44,520
Speaker 3: And if we don't, you never heard this anyway. So

944
00:38:44,840 --> 00:38:45,520
Speaker 3: thanks for everything.

945
00:38:45,520 --> 00:38:48,640
Speaker 1: Thanks to Jeff Sherman, who is fantastic as always.

946
00:38:48,920 --> 00:38:51,720
Speaker 3: Like I said, listen to him forever at Golf Odds on.

947
00:38:51,520 --> 00:38:54,960
Speaker 1: Twitter, to everybody else. John Deer Classics, Scottage O Open,

948
00:38:55,040 --> 00:38:57,520
Speaker 1: Looking ahead the Open Championship next week.

949
00:38:57,640 --> 00:38:58,399
Speaker 3: It's good luck