1 00:00:02,000 --> 00:00:04,640 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into Week two? 2 00:00:04,920 --> 00:00:09,000 Speaker 1: It's our early best bets looks at the NFL and 3 00:00:09,039 --> 00:00:13,120 Speaker 1: our survivor pools. He'th fitsy, I'm perolt. I'm playing hurt. 4 00:00:13,240 --> 00:00:16,640 Speaker 1: It's two guys talking football where baseball hats today? Thanks 5 00:00:16,640 --> 00:00:18,920 Speaker 1: for watching, everybody. We hope to give you some early 6 00:00:18,960 --> 00:00:20,880 Speaker 1: looks as to what the NFL is gonna look like 7 00:00:20,960 --> 00:00:23,919 Speaker 1: and keep you alive in those survivor pools. Fitsy, how'd 8 00:00:23,960 --> 00:00:24,880 Speaker 1: the week one go for you? 9 00:00:25,440 --> 00:00:28,080 Speaker 2: Yeah? It was. It was a mixed bag, Matt. 10 00:00:28,160 --> 00:00:31,720 Speaker 3: You know enough that I basically lost the juice and 11 00:00:32,080 --> 00:00:33,600 Speaker 3: you know, kind of a five hundred week. 12 00:00:33,600 --> 00:00:35,600 Speaker 2: What about you? How is the betting? And how's the 13 00:00:35,640 --> 00:00:36,200 Speaker 2: shoulder winner? 14 00:00:36,240 --> 00:00:38,680 Speaker 3: You're gonna be able to give the Red Sox five innings. 15 00:00:39,560 --> 00:00:41,559 Speaker 1: It's gonna be a while before I can throw anything. 16 00:00:41,920 --> 00:00:44,960 Speaker 1: The shoulder is okay, it's it's it's a pictorial tendon 17 00:00:45,080 --> 00:00:48,480 Speaker 1: tear surgery that I have so our had. So it's 18 00:00:48,520 --> 00:00:51,960 Speaker 1: been an interesting week. I'm not gonna lie. It's uh, 19 00:00:52,080 --> 00:00:55,360 Speaker 1: it's coming along. It's definitely different to sit here and 20 00:00:55,800 --> 00:00:58,520 Speaker 1: not have the ability to use your right arm. But uh, 21 00:00:58,680 --> 00:01:01,560 Speaker 1: we're we're gonna battle ruined. Luckily, I don't dig ditches 22 00:01:01,600 --> 00:01:04,280 Speaker 1: for a living, so I'm okay to just sit and talk. 23 00:01:04,360 --> 00:01:07,039 Speaker 1: So that's our job here. Week one for me went 24 00:01:07,080 --> 00:01:09,600 Speaker 1: pretty well. The Vikings game kind of tapped off what 25 00:01:09,680 --> 00:01:11,360 Speaker 1: was a pretty good week for me. To come back 26 00:01:11,760 --> 00:01:14,920 Speaker 1: by JJ McCarthy and company in the second half definitely 27 00:01:15,000 --> 00:01:17,279 Speaker 1: kind of turned the tide for me, and he played 28 00:01:17,319 --> 00:01:19,160 Speaker 1: pretty well. I had him for a couple of touchdown 29 00:01:19,200 --> 00:01:21,880 Speaker 1: tosses at plus money, so that was good to get 30 00:01:21,959 --> 00:01:25,399 Speaker 1: him to go and complete that. So overall, a good 31 00:01:25,440 --> 00:01:29,040 Speaker 1: first week. But what was your biggest surprise? What score 32 00:01:29,480 --> 00:01:31,640 Speaker 1: stuck out to you and made you go, huh, that 33 00:01:31,680 --> 00:01:33,360 Speaker 1: didn't go the way I thought it was going to go. 34 00:01:33,720 --> 00:01:35,880 Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, it's got to be my green Bay 35 00:01:35,920 --> 00:01:41,080 Speaker 3: Packers thumping the Detroit Lions pretty decidedly, because Detroit had 36 00:01:41,120 --> 00:01:44,640 Speaker 3: really had their number six and one over excuse me, 37 00:01:44,680 --> 00:01:46,840 Speaker 3: five and one for the Lions over the last three 38 00:01:46,920 --> 00:01:50,360 Speaker 3: years with Dan Campbell just sort of you know, having 39 00:01:50,440 --> 00:01:54,440 Speaker 3: it over Matt lafleur Man. I mean, like women, it 40 00:01:54,480 --> 00:01:56,960 Speaker 3: snaps for Micah Parsons. But even when he was not 41 00:01:57,080 --> 00:02:00,840 Speaker 3: on the field, the green Bay defense was just lights agreed. 42 00:02:01,240 --> 00:02:04,280 Speaker 1: For me, it was the scoring for the Jets and 43 00:02:04,320 --> 00:02:07,320 Speaker 1: the Steelers. I didn't see that coming. That was my 44 00:02:07,400 --> 00:02:09,400 Speaker 1: worst bet of the week. I had the under in that. 45 00:02:09,560 --> 00:02:12,640 Speaker 1: I bet that early. I thought thirty nine was going 46 00:02:12,720 --> 00:02:15,320 Speaker 1: to be good. I expected a ten to seven football 47 00:02:15,360 --> 00:02:17,760 Speaker 1: game when we got thirty four to thirty two. So 48 00:02:17,960 --> 00:02:22,240 Speaker 1: I was not expecting Aaron Rodgers to throw for four touchdowns, 49 00:02:22,280 --> 00:02:24,320 Speaker 1: to throw for over two hundred and forty yards and 50 00:02:24,360 --> 00:02:27,480 Speaker 1: no interceptions in his debut, and no one has done 51 00:02:27,520 --> 00:02:31,080 Speaker 1: that in sixty years in the NFL. So that was 52 00:02:31,280 --> 00:02:34,200 Speaker 1: an eye opener to me. We'll get into that. Week 53 00:02:34,240 --> 00:02:36,600 Speaker 1: two for the Steelers here coming up, all right, So 54 00:02:36,639 --> 00:02:39,360 Speaker 1: the format for this, guys, We're gonna give you three 55 00:02:39,440 --> 00:02:43,280 Speaker 1: bets each that we like right now for week two, 56 00:02:43,840 --> 00:02:46,480 Speaker 1: then a survivor play that you guys can look to 57 00:02:46,560 --> 00:02:49,400 Speaker 1: lock in, and then a bet you should make right 58 00:02:49,440 --> 00:02:52,480 Speaker 1: now as the numbers very well might move on you 59 00:02:52,560 --> 00:02:54,240 Speaker 1: in a way to get the best of the numbers 60 00:02:54,280 --> 00:02:57,119 Speaker 1: here early in the week. So pad for you bet 61 00:02:57,240 --> 00:02:59,040 Speaker 1: number one. What are you looking at for Week two? 62 00:02:59,320 --> 00:03:02,680 Speaker 3: You know I I'm looking at the Commanders and the 63 00:03:02,680 --> 00:03:06,200 Speaker 3: Packers on Thursday night going under forty eight and a half. 64 00:03:06,760 --> 00:03:09,200 Speaker 3: The Packers have given up seventeen point nine points a 65 00:03:09,240 --> 00:03:12,440 Speaker 3: game over their last ten, dating back to last year 66 00:03:12,480 --> 00:03:14,919 Speaker 3: and including their playoff game. They just played their first 67 00:03:14,960 --> 00:03:17,680 Speaker 3: game with Micah Parsons and held the Lions, who have 68 00:03:18,040 --> 00:03:20,760 Speaker 3: one of the best offenses in the league, to thirteen 69 00:03:20,840 --> 00:03:25,400 Speaker 3: points and four yards per play. Packers' defensive coordinator Jeff 70 00:03:25,400 --> 00:03:28,640 Speaker 3: Hafley is just a sharp guy. He is a future 71 00:03:28,760 --> 00:03:31,720 Speaker 3: head coach in the NFL. Giving him Micah Parsons was 72 00:03:31,840 --> 00:03:34,080 Speaker 3: just unfair, Like Green Bay is going to have one 73 00:03:34,120 --> 00:03:36,920 Speaker 3: of the best defenses in the league this year. Also, 74 00:03:37,000 --> 00:03:41,040 Speaker 3: the Green Bay offense operated at a snail's pace in 75 00:03:41,120 --> 00:03:44,640 Speaker 3: Week one, the fourth slowest pace in the league. They 76 00:03:44,640 --> 00:03:47,160 Speaker 3: were run heavy again, just as they were last year. 77 00:03:47,280 --> 00:03:49,960 Speaker 3: So I think the Packers could be kind of an 78 00:03:50,040 --> 00:03:53,720 Speaker 3: undermachine this year. And you know the Commanders. They just 79 00:03:53,760 --> 00:03:56,240 Speaker 3: won their opener over the Giants twenty one to six. 80 00:03:56,920 --> 00:04:00,480 Speaker 3: Their defense looked good, So betting the under here mostly 81 00:04:00,480 --> 00:04:03,360 Speaker 3: about the Packers with their excellent d and their slow paced, 82 00:04:03,440 --> 00:04:07,680 Speaker 3: run heavy offense, but also about the defenses just generally 83 00:04:08,200 --> 00:04:11,160 Speaker 3: being ahead of the offenses across the league. Matt, we 84 00:04:11,200 --> 00:04:13,200 Speaker 3: saw a lot of unders hit in week one, and 85 00:04:13,560 --> 00:04:16,400 Speaker 3: I think weirdly enough, I'm pretty sure that of the 86 00:04:16,480 --> 00:04:20,360 Speaker 3: early afternoon starts on Sunday, Jet Steelers was the only 87 00:04:20,400 --> 00:04:21,200 Speaker 3: one that went over. 88 00:04:21,680 --> 00:04:24,640 Speaker 1: Yeah, three games in total wound up going over in 89 00:04:24,680 --> 00:04:27,599 Speaker 1: week number one, so heavy on the Unders. Defense is 90 00:04:27,640 --> 00:04:29,640 Speaker 1: playing way ahead of the offenses. I don't know if 91 00:04:29,640 --> 00:04:31,960 Speaker 1: that continues in week two, but I do think the 92 00:04:32,000 --> 00:04:34,679 Speaker 1: Packers are going to shut down the Commanders. And that's 93 00:04:34,800 --> 00:04:37,000 Speaker 1: the same game I'm looking at as well. And I 94 00:04:37,040 --> 00:04:39,599 Speaker 1: don't know if it's because it's your team you don't 95 00:04:39,600 --> 00:04:41,880 Speaker 1: want to take them, but I think the Packers are 96 00:04:41,920 --> 00:04:43,799 Speaker 1: going to cover that three and a half point spread. 97 00:04:44,240 --> 00:04:46,880 Speaker 1: And I know that the books are making you stop 98 00:04:46,920 --> 00:04:49,080 Speaker 1: and go. You're sure you want to bet more than three, 99 00:04:49,360 --> 00:04:51,000 Speaker 1: and that's why they hook that. They put the hook 100 00:04:51,040 --> 00:04:53,000 Speaker 1: on it to kind of keep people off of it. 101 00:04:53,040 --> 00:04:55,440 Speaker 1: But I don't think the Commanders are going to move 102 00:04:55,480 --> 00:04:57,680 Speaker 1: the football. And I think this is where Micah parsons 103 00:04:57,680 --> 00:05:00,679 Speaker 1: in week two. You can build a pack kids ready 104 00:05:00,680 --> 00:05:03,400 Speaker 1: to go for him to chase down a very mobile 105 00:05:03,480 --> 00:05:06,920 Speaker 1: quarterback and get Daniels to the ground and not allow 106 00:05:07,000 --> 00:05:09,920 Speaker 1: him to beat you with his legs. Look, I think 107 00:05:09,960 --> 00:05:11,960 Speaker 1: the Giants are a bad football team, and I think 108 00:05:12,000 --> 00:05:13,960 Speaker 1: the Giants are going to be a bad football team 109 00:05:14,040 --> 00:05:17,360 Speaker 1: all year. I don't care who plays quarterback for the Giants. 110 00:05:17,480 --> 00:05:20,640 Speaker 1: That offense is not going to be successful week to week. 111 00:05:20,960 --> 00:05:24,159 Speaker 1: So I know they only scored six points. I don't 112 00:05:24,200 --> 00:05:27,160 Speaker 1: think Commanders defense is any good. I think the Packers 113 00:05:27,200 --> 00:05:29,279 Speaker 1: are going to move the football on that defense. I 114 00:05:29,279 --> 00:05:32,440 Speaker 1: think they'll run the football on that defense. I like 115 00:05:32,480 --> 00:05:34,120 Speaker 1: your team to go to two and oh here. And 116 00:05:34,160 --> 00:05:36,480 Speaker 1: there's going to be a lot of talk about this 117 00:05:36,600 --> 00:05:39,720 Speaker 1: Packers team in what they may look like coming up, 118 00:05:39,800 --> 00:05:46,560 Speaker 1: say January February. They've got the quarterback, They've got the receivers. Now, 119 00:05:46,880 --> 00:05:49,640 Speaker 1: how'd you like Matthew Golden's debut in a Packer uniform? 120 00:05:49,880 --> 00:05:52,600 Speaker 2: A little quieter than I would have liked. Hopefully he'll 121 00:05:52,760 --> 00:05:53,600 Speaker 2: be a little. 122 00:05:53,320 --> 00:05:55,640 Speaker 3: More active in the weeks to come, but we kind 123 00:05:55,640 --> 00:05:57,880 Speaker 3: of knew it was going to be an ensemble cast 124 00:05:57,920 --> 00:06:01,400 Speaker 3: of pass catchers for Green Bay. One thing I'll add, man, 125 00:06:01,440 --> 00:06:04,240 Speaker 3: the reason I may eventually wind up betting the Packers 126 00:06:04,240 --> 00:06:07,839 Speaker 3: and tailing you on this one is it's just a 127 00:06:07,880 --> 00:06:10,560 Speaker 3: more comfortable setup for the Packers. They opened at home, 128 00:06:10,600 --> 00:06:12,479 Speaker 3: and they get to stay at home in the short week. 129 00:06:12,680 --> 00:06:14,840 Speaker 2: Yeah, Commanders have to travel in the short week. 130 00:06:14,960 --> 00:06:18,320 Speaker 1: So yeah, and it's quick right week one, week two? Like, 131 00:06:18,400 --> 00:06:20,839 Speaker 1: think about when you started a new workout regiment, like 132 00:06:20,960 --> 00:06:23,560 Speaker 1: what your body feels like after the first week or 133 00:06:23,560 --> 00:06:26,320 Speaker 1: the first couple of days. You're like, oh, playing your 134 00:06:26,320 --> 00:06:28,800 Speaker 1: first NFL football game and then having to turn around 135 00:06:28,800 --> 00:06:31,320 Speaker 1: and play on a Thursday night on the road in 136 00:06:31,360 --> 00:06:35,400 Speaker 1: a hostile environment with Micah Parsons and Jordan Love. It's 137 00:06:35,440 --> 00:06:38,039 Speaker 1: a recipe for success. I'm actually surprised the number is 138 00:06:38,040 --> 00:06:40,159 Speaker 1: not higher than three and a half, to be quite honest, 139 00:06:40,200 --> 00:06:42,559 Speaker 1: and I think it's just in the market at the moment. 140 00:06:42,600 --> 00:06:44,880 Speaker 1: People think the Commanders are going to be the same 141 00:06:44,920 --> 00:06:47,960 Speaker 1: Commander's team as last year. I don't agree with it, 142 00:06:48,040 --> 00:06:49,760 Speaker 1: and I think the Packers are going to be a 143 00:06:49,839 --> 00:06:52,120 Speaker 1: much better team than people think. We may look back 144 00:06:52,120 --> 00:06:54,000 Speaker 1: on this number in a couple of weeks and go man. 145 00:06:54,000 --> 00:06:56,360 Speaker 1: We got the Packers at three and a half on 146 00:06:56,480 --> 00:07:00,240 Speaker 1: Thursday night against the Commanders. That was a step of 147 00:07:00,279 --> 00:07:02,880 Speaker 1: a price. So I like the Commanders. Sorry, I like 148 00:07:02,880 --> 00:07:05,000 Speaker 1: the Packers zero over the Commanders lay in three and 149 00:07:05,000 --> 00:07:07,720 Speaker 1: a half for number two game for you which. 150 00:07:07,520 --> 00:07:11,800 Speaker 3: Is it another under Cowboys Giants under forty four and 151 00:07:11,840 --> 00:07:14,960 Speaker 3: a half, And I'm just going to keep betting unders 152 00:07:15,080 --> 00:07:18,600 Speaker 3: on Giants games until I lose one. They just lost 153 00:07:18,640 --> 00:07:20,640 Speaker 3: to the Commander's twenty one six. The Giants are going 154 00:07:20,680 --> 00:07:23,760 Speaker 3: to be an under machine this year. Their offense stinks. 155 00:07:24,080 --> 00:07:26,480 Speaker 3: It's possible we see them make a QB change as 156 00:07:26,520 --> 00:07:30,080 Speaker 3: early as this week. They don't have Andrew Thomas, their 157 00:07:30,120 --> 00:07:32,480 Speaker 3: star left tackle. I don't think they're supposed to get 158 00:07:32,520 --> 00:07:34,920 Speaker 3: him back this week, and the rest of the offensive 159 00:07:34,920 --> 00:07:38,720 Speaker 3: line is terrible. And on defense, the Giants have Dexter Lawrence, 160 00:07:38,800 --> 00:07:43,120 Speaker 3: Brian Burns, Cavon Thibodeau, Abdul Carter wreaking havoc up front. 161 00:07:43,760 --> 00:07:47,440 Speaker 3: The Cowboys had a respectable offensive showing against a good 162 00:07:47,440 --> 00:07:50,640 Speaker 3: Eagles defense in Week one, although the Eagles lost Jalen 163 00:07:50,640 --> 00:07:53,640 Speaker 3: Carter before the game and that one for the spitting episode. 164 00:07:53,680 --> 00:07:57,680 Speaker 3: But this is still a pretty one dimensional Dallas offense 165 00:07:57,720 --> 00:08:01,560 Speaker 3: with very little punch in the running game. Dak Prescott 166 00:08:01,600 --> 00:08:03,320 Speaker 3: is gonna have to try to make plays against this 167 00:08:03,400 --> 00:08:06,680 Speaker 3: Giants defense that can really put the heat on quarterback. 168 00:08:06,760 --> 00:08:08,560 Speaker 3: So I think this one plays under forty four and 169 00:08:08,560 --> 00:08:09,000 Speaker 3: a half. 170 00:08:09,360 --> 00:08:11,520 Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm gonna trail you on this. I know I'll 171 00:08:11,560 --> 00:08:14,080 Speaker 1: be on the under. There is a pretty good chance 172 00:08:14,120 --> 00:08:17,160 Speaker 1: I'm gonna be on the Cowboys as well. Early in 173 00:08:17,200 --> 00:08:19,280 Speaker 1: the year, I'm gonna fade the Giants. I'm on the 174 00:08:19,360 --> 00:08:21,800 Speaker 1: under five and a half wins for the Giants. I've 175 00:08:21,800 --> 00:08:24,960 Speaker 1: been down to them all summer, and nothing happened in 176 00:08:25,000 --> 00:08:28,320 Speaker 1: week one that led me to go, Yeah, I want 177 00:08:28,320 --> 00:08:30,800 Speaker 1: to go ahead and take the Giants at any number. 178 00:08:30,840 --> 00:08:34,360 Speaker 1: And I know eight is heavy, and so that's why 179 00:08:34,400 --> 00:08:36,920 Speaker 1: I wouldn't say bet it right away, Like, let's watch 180 00:08:37,000 --> 00:08:38,680 Speaker 1: the number a bit and see if you can wind 181 00:08:38,760 --> 00:08:41,920 Speaker 1: up getting a better number. Maybe the pro money comes 182 00:08:41,960 --> 00:08:45,200 Speaker 1: in on the Giants, because the professionals can help themselves 183 00:08:45,200 --> 00:08:48,080 Speaker 1: when it comes to plus money and plus eight, so 184 00:08:48,120 --> 00:08:49,840 Speaker 1: they take the Giants, and maybe we get a seven 185 00:08:49,880 --> 00:08:51,720 Speaker 1: and a half or a seven on the Cowboys. But 186 00:08:52,240 --> 00:08:55,199 Speaker 1: most likely I'm gonna wind up being on the Cowboys. 187 00:08:55,200 --> 00:08:58,080 Speaker 1: But from an under perspective, yeah, I mean, the only 188 00:08:58,160 --> 00:09:01,360 Speaker 1: fear is that the game gets away from the Giants 189 00:09:01,720 --> 00:09:03,800 Speaker 1: and it turns into like, you know, a thirty eight 190 00:09:04,000 --> 00:09:06,960 Speaker 1: seven type of game, and it just gets really really ugly. 191 00:09:07,360 --> 00:09:10,080 Speaker 1: On New York if there's a lot of interceptions, you know, 192 00:09:10,120 --> 00:09:12,680 Speaker 1: if from an under perspective, I'd rather have Russ play 193 00:09:13,360 --> 00:09:16,920 Speaker 1: than Jackson Dart just because the interception potential is super 194 00:09:17,040 --> 00:09:20,199 Speaker 1: high for Jackson Dart, So I don't want the turnovers 195 00:09:20,200 --> 00:09:24,000 Speaker 1: and the short fields and the easy points for Dallas. 196 00:09:24,240 --> 00:09:26,080 Speaker 1: So that would be my only concern with the under. 197 00:09:26,120 --> 00:09:29,320 Speaker 1: But if it is going to be, like Double said, 198 00:09:29,320 --> 00:09:31,200 Speaker 1: if he's going to play at least to start with 199 00:09:31,320 --> 00:09:34,080 Speaker 1: Russell Wilson, yeah, I like your bet with the under 200 00:09:34,160 --> 00:09:37,720 Speaker 1: a lot. I'm gonna talk about We talked going on 201 00:09:37,760 --> 00:09:41,280 Speaker 1: the road, and I think Seattle is going to have 202 00:09:41,320 --> 00:09:43,920 Speaker 1: a tough time here going to Pittsburgh in their home 203 00:09:44,000 --> 00:09:46,800 Speaker 1: opener with what we just saw out of this offense 204 00:09:47,160 --> 00:09:50,680 Speaker 1: with renegade in full throat, because a lot of Pittsburgh 205 00:09:50,720 --> 00:09:53,680 Speaker 1: Steeler fans went into Week one going I don't know 206 00:09:53,720 --> 00:09:56,560 Speaker 1: about Aaron Rodgers, I don't know about this team, and 207 00:09:56,600 --> 00:09:58,440 Speaker 1: I know the defense gave up a bunch of points, 208 00:09:58,840 --> 00:10:00,800 Speaker 1: but I feel like that to steel can fix the 209 00:10:00,800 --> 00:10:03,360 Speaker 1: defense pretty quickly. And I'm not in love with what 210 00:10:03,440 --> 00:10:06,000 Speaker 1: I saw out of Sam Darnold in that Seahawks offense 211 00:10:06,160 --> 00:10:08,920 Speaker 1: and look big jumps from week one to week two, 212 00:10:09,320 --> 00:10:12,680 Speaker 1: but that's a defensive minded team. I don't mind the under, 213 00:10:12,840 --> 00:10:15,320 Speaker 1: but I'm a little gun shy because the Steelers just 214 00:10:15,400 --> 00:10:17,960 Speaker 1: burn me. And what happens if Aaron Rodgers puts up 215 00:10:17,960 --> 00:10:20,680 Speaker 1: another big game against the defense that we think is 216 00:10:20,720 --> 00:10:23,480 Speaker 1: going to be pretty good. So I have not bet 217 00:10:23,520 --> 00:10:25,640 Speaker 1: the under yet in this game, but I like the 218 00:10:26,040 --> 00:10:29,240 Speaker 1: home Steelers laying just a field goal against a team 219 00:10:29,280 --> 00:10:31,520 Speaker 1: going across the country in week number two for the 220 00:10:31,559 --> 00:10:33,760 Speaker 1: Steelers and the Seahawks. 221 00:10:33,440 --> 00:10:36,120 Speaker 3: Yeah, that's my favorite part of this is that these 222 00:10:36,800 --> 00:10:40,319 Speaker 3: Seahawks have to travel coast to coast early in the season. 223 00:10:40,440 --> 00:10:44,120 Speaker 3: So I don't know what to make of the Seahawks matn. 224 00:10:44,160 --> 00:10:47,480 Speaker 3: I certainly expected a better offensive showing in Week one 225 00:10:47,800 --> 00:10:53,080 Speaker 3: with Clint Kubiak, who an offensive coordinator I generally like 226 00:10:53,160 --> 00:10:55,920 Speaker 3: and have faith in. They just look kind of ragged 227 00:10:56,080 --> 00:10:59,440 Speaker 3: at home against the Niners in Week one. One thing, though, 228 00:10:59,440 --> 00:11:01,960 Speaker 3: like I expect their running game to get going a 229 00:11:01,960 --> 00:11:05,000 Speaker 3: little bit. I think the running game usually works for 230 00:11:05,080 --> 00:11:08,160 Speaker 3: the koobi ACX, whether it's Clinton or his dad Gary 231 00:11:08,280 --> 00:11:12,079 Speaker 3: back in the day, and the Pittsburgh run defense did 232 00:11:12,120 --> 00:11:14,880 Speaker 3: not look that great in Week one against the Jets. 233 00:11:14,960 --> 00:11:16,600 Speaker 3: They let Breece Hall have kind of a big day 234 00:11:16,640 --> 00:11:18,720 Speaker 3: on the ground. It seemed like they were missing Keanu 235 00:11:18,800 --> 00:11:22,800 Speaker 3: Bent and their their nose tackle. So I'm a little 236 00:11:22,840 --> 00:11:25,199 Speaker 3: nervous about this one, Matt. I don't know if I'm 237 00:11:25,200 --> 00:11:27,760 Speaker 3: going to be on it. I'm not betting Seattle, but 238 00:11:28,200 --> 00:11:31,600 Speaker 3: I don't know if I have enough faith in the 239 00:11:31,640 --> 00:11:34,920 Speaker 3: Steelers yet with Aaron Rodgers to take this on. 240 00:11:36,840 --> 00:11:39,679 Speaker 1: You like Seattle, You liked him last week. You liked him, 241 00:11:39,679 --> 00:11:42,400 Speaker 1: and then we talked in week one. God, you like Seattle. 242 00:11:42,559 --> 00:11:44,360 Speaker 1: I need to see more out of the Seahawks before 243 00:11:44,360 --> 00:11:47,400 Speaker 1: I can get to your side. Very clear, Sam Arnold, 244 00:11:48,080 --> 00:11:51,960 Speaker 1: I mean, I love Kevin O'Connell. I love the Vikings. 245 00:11:52,200 --> 00:11:54,480 Speaker 1: JJ McCarthy had a bad first half, and then JJ 246 00:11:54,559 --> 00:11:57,320 Speaker 1: McCarthy played his butt off in the second half. It 247 00:11:57,360 --> 00:11:59,600 Speaker 1: gets the Bears on the road and it was like, Okay, 248 00:11:59,640 --> 00:12:03,400 Speaker 1: the coach got to the kid, calmed him down, focused him, 249 00:12:03,040 --> 00:12:05,440 Speaker 1: got him, you know, in the right mindset. I don't 250 00:12:05,440 --> 00:12:07,760 Speaker 1: know if there's anybody like that on the Seattle Seahawks 251 00:12:07,800 --> 00:12:11,760 Speaker 1: sidelines with Sam Darnold, so on the road to Pittsburgh, 252 00:12:11,880 --> 00:12:14,240 Speaker 1: really tough place to play, in the Steelers defense gave 253 00:12:14,320 --> 00:12:17,040 Speaker 1: up over thirty points in Week one. I don't think 254 00:12:17,040 --> 00:12:20,200 Speaker 1: that happens again. Coming up in week number two for 255 00:12:20,320 --> 00:12:22,480 Speaker 1: game number three. For you pat where are you going? 256 00:12:23,240 --> 00:12:25,559 Speaker 3: I can't wait to hear your take on this one, Matts, 257 00:12:25,559 --> 00:12:28,400 Speaker 3: because I am taking your Patriots on the money line, 258 00:12:28,840 --> 00:12:30,760 Speaker 3: going to Miami on the road. 259 00:12:30,840 --> 00:12:35,079 Speaker 2: The Patriots plus one oh September in September September. 260 00:12:35,320 --> 00:12:36,280 Speaker 1: Uh oh, Matt. 261 00:12:36,360 --> 00:12:39,040 Speaker 3: This is all about the Dolphins, who are an early 262 00:12:39,160 --> 00:12:42,760 Speaker 3: candidate for the Disaster Team of twenty twenty five. I mean, 263 00:12:42,760 --> 00:12:45,920 Speaker 3: they were just smoked by the Colts in their season 264 00:12:45,960 --> 00:12:49,720 Speaker 3: opener thirty three to eight, and none of us are 265 00:12:49,720 --> 00:12:52,240 Speaker 3: really expecting the Colts to be world beaters this year. 266 00:12:52,440 --> 00:12:54,880 Speaker 3: The Colts lift gained the Dolphins four hundred and eighteen 267 00:12:54,960 --> 00:12:57,959 Speaker 3: yards to two hundred and eleven yards in that game. 268 00:12:58,480 --> 00:13:01,360 Speaker 3: To a tongue of I Loo looked awful at quarterback 269 00:13:01,440 --> 00:13:06,160 Speaker 3: for Miami. The Dolphins defense made Daniel Freaking Jones look 270 00:13:06,200 --> 00:13:08,760 Speaker 3: like a star. I don't think this was a one 271 00:13:08,800 --> 00:13:11,960 Speaker 3: off bad performance. Like the Dolphins have been giving off 272 00:13:12,280 --> 00:13:15,440 Speaker 3: terrible vibes for a while. I don't think Mike McDaniel 273 00:13:15,520 --> 00:13:17,960 Speaker 3: is going to last the season as head coach. And 274 00:13:18,440 --> 00:13:21,040 Speaker 3: you know, the Patriots weren't exactly world beaters. In Week one, 275 00:13:21,120 --> 00:13:23,719 Speaker 3: they lost their home opener to the Raiders, but the 276 00:13:23,840 --> 00:13:27,079 Speaker 3: game was at least competitive throughout. I know, man, I'm 277 00:13:27,120 --> 00:13:30,360 Speaker 3: curious about your expectations for the Raiders. I don't know 278 00:13:30,400 --> 00:13:32,840 Speaker 3: that I'm expecting a lot of wins this year, but 279 00:13:33,800 --> 00:13:36,240 Speaker 3: I do expect them to play respectably all year under 280 00:13:36,280 --> 00:13:39,120 Speaker 3: Mike Vrabel. And you know I will happily take them 281 00:13:39,160 --> 00:13:41,040 Speaker 3: at plus money to beat this Miami team. 282 00:13:41,400 --> 00:13:44,160 Speaker 1: Yeah, it is interesting. The first move came on Miami. 283 00:13:44,360 --> 00:13:48,480 Speaker 1: I think that was a historical move because generally speaking, 284 00:13:48,559 --> 00:13:51,640 Speaker 1: the Patriots when they play in September in Miami melt 285 00:13:52,200 --> 00:13:55,160 Speaker 1: it's normally one hundred degrees. They put the opposing team 286 00:13:55,240 --> 00:13:58,560 Speaker 1: in the sun side of the field. Dolphins normally are 287 00:13:58,640 --> 00:14:01,200 Speaker 1: very competitive. And then the Patriots returned the favor in 288 00:14:01,280 --> 00:14:04,000 Speaker 1: December when the Dolphins must go to New England and 289 00:14:04,040 --> 00:14:06,880 Speaker 1: play in the freezing cold. So when it's scheduled out 290 00:14:06,920 --> 00:14:11,160 Speaker 1: like this, generally the Patriots split with the Dolphins. However, 291 00:14:12,080 --> 00:14:15,079 Speaker 1: effort to go back just a Pop Warner football, what's 292 00:14:15,120 --> 00:14:18,360 Speaker 1: the one thing you control and its effort, and there 293 00:14:18,440 --> 00:14:21,200 Speaker 1: was no effort there for the Dolphins. In Week number one, 294 00:14:21,400 --> 00:14:26,480 Speaker 1: Daniel Jones scored on his first seven possessions. That's Daniel 295 00:14:26,560 --> 00:14:29,920 Speaker 1: Jones from the New York Giants scored on seven consecutive 296 00:14:29,960 --> 00:14:34,680 Speaker 1: possessions to start his career with the Indianapolis Colts. If 297 00:14:34,720 --> 00:14:38,560 Speaker 1: I'm a Dolphin fan, I'm thinking to myself, Okay, how 298 00:14:38,560 --> 00:14:40,200 Speaker 1: do we get out of this? And when do we 299 00:14:40,360 --> 00:14:42,920 Speaker 1: fire the head coach and try to make something of 300 00:14:42,960 --> 00:14:46,480 Speaker 1: this season? Because you can't have to fighting with receivers. 301 00:14:46,800 --> 00:14:50,200 Speaker 1: Tarreek Hall was already yelling at people the Patriots should 302 00:14:50,280 --> 00:14:53,960 Speaker 1: have Christian Gonzalez back. I think they held him out 303 00:14:54,000 --> 00:14:56,680 Speaker 1: knowing who they're playing. In week number two, saying okay, 304 00:14:56,760 --> 00:15:00,520 Speaker 1: let's hopefully get past the Raiders without Christian Gonzales didn't happen, 305 00:15:00,600 --> 00:15:03,720 Speaker 1: unfortunately the Patriots. I think the Raiders are going to 306 00:15:03,760 --> 00:15:06,080 Speaker 1: be better than people think. We'll talk more about them 307 00:15:06,120 --> 00:15:08,520 Speaker 1: here in a second. I was not surprised I was 308 00:15:08,520 --> 00:15:10,960 Speaker 1: on the Raiders. I took them at plus three. I 309 00:15:11,000 --> 00:15:13,920 Speaker 1: think Gino Smith and company are going to surprise some 310 00:15:13,960 --> 00:15:17,440 Speaker 1: people early in the defensive line, led by Max Crosby, 311 00:15:17,840 --> 00:15:20,800 Speaker 1: has the potential to do some real damage for Vegas. 312 00:15:21,000 --> 00:15:23,600 Speaker 1: So the Patriots losing has everybody in my neck of 313 00:15:23,640 --> 00:15:25,760 Speaker 1: the woods where I'm sitting right now in New Hampshire, 314 00:15:25,880 --> 00:15:30,480 Speaker 1: freaking out. But I'm not freaking out. I like your play. 315 00:15:30,600 --> 00:15:32,360 Speaker 1: I think the Patriots are one of the teams that 316 00:15:32,440 --> 00:15:35,440 Speaker 1: will make a big step from week one to week two. 317 00:15:35,760 --> 00:15:37,560 Speaker 1: And I think Drake may will make a big step 318 00:15:37,600 --> 00:15:39,760 Speaker 1: from week one to week two. I think he needs 319 00:15:39,800 --> 00:15:42,840 Speaker 1: to learn what this offense looks like under Josh McDaniels 320 00:15:43,320 --> 00:15:46,440 Speaker 1: in real time, under fire with the bullets flying, not 321 00:15:46,560 --> 00:15:49,960 Speaker 1: in preseason, not in practice, what it's like to quarterback 322 00:15:50,000 --> 00:15:52,920 Speaker 1: this offense when you're actually playing in a game. And 323 00:15:52,960 --> 00:15:56,280 Speaker 1: I think film study wise, I expect Drake man company 324 00:15:56,280 --> 00:15:58,680 Speaker 1: to make a big step forward. I like your play. 325 00:15:58,760 --> 00:16:01,320 Speaker 1: I like the Dolphins. Like the Patriots to beat the Dolphins, 326 00:16:01,360 --> 00:16:03,800 Speaker 1: even though historically speaking, it's been a house of horrors. 327 00:16:04,160 --> 00:16:06,600 Speaker 3: Yeah, the trends I think are going to keep this low. 328 00:16:06,640 --> 00:16:08,240 Speaker 3: I don't think we're going to agree is move in 329 00:16:08,280 --> 00:16:09,880 Speaker 3: the direction of the Patriots at all. 330 00:16:10,120 --> 00:16:11,640 Speaker 1: Yeah. No, I think that that's a huge point that 331 00:16:11,680 --> 00:16:13,680 Speaker 1: you're going to be able to see. People are going 332 00:16:13,720 --> 00:16:16,120 Speaker 1: to be a bit scared if you will to go 333 00:16:16,160 --> 00:16:18,240 Speaker 1: and say Okay, yeah, go jump on the Patriots and 334 00:16:18,280 --> 00:16:20,560 Speaker 1: you may get a plus money price or no plus 335 00:16:20,640 --> 00:16:22,320 Speaker 1: one plus two. 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Concerned about gambling 353 00:17:19,119 --> 00:17:21,919 Speaker 1: in Florida called one eighty to eight admit it. Or 354 00:17:21,920 --> 00:17:24,520 Speaker 1: in Indiana if you are someone you know had the 355 00:17:24,520 --> 00:17:27,199 Speaker 1: gambling problem and wants help, call one eight hundred and 356 00:17:27,320 --> 00:17:30,600 Speaker 1: nine with it. Gambling problem, call one one hundred gambler 357 00:17:30,760 --> 00:17:36,040 Speaker 1: in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, and Virginia. 358 00:17:36,119 --> 00:17:38,159 Speaker 1: For me, and I had a hard time finding a 359 00:17:38,200 --> 00:17:40,880 Speaker 1: third one. I'll admit because the Raiders. If I had 360 00:17:40,880 --> 00:17:42,160 Speaker 1: to put one in here, it would be the Raiders 361 00:17:42,240 --> 00:17:43,840 Speaker 1: game on Monday Night. But we'll get to that in 362 00:17:43,880 --> 00:17:46,719 Speaker 1: a second. I really liked what I saw out of Tampa, 363 00:17:47,080 --> 00:17:50,119 Speaker 1: and I think their receiving core is going to be 364 00:17:50,200 --> 00:17:53,560 Speaker 1: really hard to stop and Baker Mayfield is going to 365 00:17:53,600 --> 00:17:56,720 Speaker 1: have a huge year for Tampa. I'm big on them 366 00:17:56,760 --> 00:17:59,280 Speaker 1: to win the division. At a couple different points in 367 00:17:59,280 --> 00:18:01,920 Speaker 1: that game, they proably should have lost to the Falcons 368 00:18:01,920 --> 00:18:04,240 Speaker 1: in Week one, but they found a way to win 369 00:18:04,480 --> 00:18:07,840 Speaker 1: on the road in a divisional situation. And so to me, 370 00:18:08,560 --> 00:18:10,800 Speaker 1: I go, you know what, I don't like the Texans 371 00:18:11,000 --> 00:18:13,080 Speaker 1: I haven't been high on them going into the year, 372 00:18:13,720 --> 00:18:16,160 Speaker 1: and I wasn't highing them last year. I'm not high 373 00:18:16,160 --> 00:18:18,720 Speaker 1: in them this year. There's a famous joke the people 374 00:18:18,960 --> 00:18:21,480 Speaker 1: who know me say that I can't pick Texans games. 375 00:18:21,520 --> 00:18:24,280 Speaker 1: That's like my blind spot. So fading the Texans in 376 00:18:24,320 --> 00:18:27,119 Speaker 1: Week two maybe a bad idea. But I'll take the 377 00:18:27,119 --> 00:18:30,479 Speaker 1: Buccaneers here on Monday night in the early game on 378 00:18:30,560 --> 00:18:33,399 Speaker 1: the road to surprise some people. I know it's a 379 00:18:33,480 --> 00:18:36,760 Speaker 1: travel for Tampa. Back to back road games always a fear, 380 00:18:37,040 --> 00:18:40,440 Speaker 1: but that extra day of rest I think might counteract 381 00:18:40,440 --> 00:18:43,560 Speaker 1: that back to back travel because they're playing on Monday night. 382 00:18:43,600 --> 00:18:45,520 Speaker 1: How do you feel about the Bucks on the road 383 00:18:45,520 --> 00:18:46,160 Speaker 1: to the Texans? 384 00:18:46,320 --> 00:18:46,760 Speaker 2: Pretty good? 385 00:18:46,800 --> 00:18:52,160 Speaker 3: Getting points with a Todd Bowles defense, bringing pressure from 386 00:18:52,240 --> 00:18:56,000 Speaker 3: unexpected places against the worst offensive line in the league. 387 00:18:56,400 --> 00:18:59,400 Speaker 3: That's what makes me like this game and getting points 388 00:18:59,600 --> 00:19:02,159 Speaker 3: with this one. Matt, and you know, like Baker Mayfield. 389 00:19:02,359 --> 00:19:04,640 Speaker 3: I do worry a little bit about the Buccaneers being 390 00:19:04,640 --> 00:19:06,879 Speaker 3: able to keep Baker Mayfield clean. If they don't have 391 00:19:06,960 --> 00:19:10,880 Speaker 3: Tristan Wurf's trying to help block the combination of Will 392 00:19:10,920 --> 00:19:13,400 Speaker 3: Anderson and Daniel Hunter, like that could be a problem. 393 00:19:13,440 --> 00:19:16,919 Speaker 2: For Mayfield, but he's also a mobile and you know, 394 00:19:17,040 --> 00:19:18,919 Speaker 2: really resourceful quarterback. 395 00:19:19,000 --> 00:19:19,199 Speaker 1: Like I. 396 00:19:21,359 --> 00:19:24,880 Speaker 3: Respect the ability of Baker Mayfield to operate under duress 397 00:19:24,920 --> 00:19:29,439 Speaker 3: and make plays off script. So I'm I'm with you 398 00:19:29,480 --> 00:19:31,600 Speaker 3: on this lean like I like this one too. I 399 00:19:31,640 --> 00:19:34,760 Speaker 3: just I don't feel good about the Texans offense right now. 400 00:19:35,240 --> 00:19:38,919 Speaker 2: No running game, terrible offensive line. C J. 401 00:19:39,040 --> 00:19:41,600 Speaker 3: Stroud is, you know, kind of a pocket passer who 402 00:19:41,600 --> 00:19:44,159 Speaker 3: needs time back there to feel comfortable. And you know 403 00:19:44,160 --> 00:19:46,639 Speaker 3: he's got a lot of new receivers too. Just Nico 404 00:19:46,720 --> 00:19:49,960 Speaker 3: Collins is really the only incumbent there. So I'm kind 405 00:19:49,960 --> 00:19:51,560 Speaker 3: of with you on this one. I think there's value 406 00:19:51,560 --> 00:19:52,880 Speaker 3: with the points, all. 407 00:19:52,840 --> 00:19:55,159 Speaker 1: Right, those are our three games, each of us like 408 00:19:55,240 --> 00:19:58,600 Speaker 1: early looks for week two. Let's talk survivor pools here. 409 00:19:59,200 --> 00:20:03,120 Speaker 1: If you advance past week one, you're alive for week two. 410 00:20:03,359 --> 00:20:06,280 Speaker 1: What's a play you would make here for a survivor pool? 411 00:20:06,320 --> 00:20:09,520 Speaker 3: Pat oh Man, I know you've got the policy of 412 00:20:09,520 --> 00:20:11,240 Speaker 3: not betting divisional games, but. 413 00:20:12,240 --> 00:20:16,520 Speaker 1: I'll say this, I feel like the schedulers in the 414 00:20:16,640 --> 00:20:21,960 Speaker 1: NFL wanted to become hunger game schedulers in week number 415 00:20:21,960 --> 00:20:26,320 Speaker 1: two because Week one did not have the chaos. I 416 00:20:26,359 --> 00:20:29,159 Speaker 1: sat for a better part of thirty minutes trying to 417 00:20:29,240 --> 00:20:32,760 Speaker 1: find what I would take this week in a survivor pool, 418 00:20:33,119 --> 00:20:36,840 Speaker 1: because I believe there are three games on the docket 419 00:20:36,920 --> 00:20:41,240 Speaker 1: that do not involve divisional opponents. Like it is if 420 00:20:41,280 --> 00:20:43,960 Speaker 1: you go by my philosophy, and it's not a unique one, 421 00:20:43,960 --> 00:20:46,679 Speaker 1: but to say we're not taking anyone inside of a 422 00:20:46,720 --> 00:20:51,240 Speaker 1: divisional game situation, you have three games basically to pick from. 423 00:20:51,520 --> 00:20:53,040 Speaker 1: It's brutal this week. 424 00:20:53,440 --> 00:20:55,800 Speaker 3: And I understand the policy of not wanting to bet 425 00:20:55,840 --> 00:20:59,479 Speaker 3: divisional games, but I think the clear the layup this 426 00:20:59,560 --> 00:21:02,480 Speaker 3: week is the Ravens at home against the Browns. And 427 00:21:03,080 --> 00:21:06,080 Speaker 3: you know the way the Ravens lost that game in Buffalo, 428 00:21:07,520 --> 00:21:10,960 Speaker 3: you know, and the way their schedule early in the 429 00:21:11,000 --> 00:21:14,080 Speaker 3: season is so murderous, like this is the one stepping 430 00:21:14,119 --> 00:21:17,160 Speaker 3: stone game they have early in the season, and after 431 00:21:17,160 --> 00:21:19,520 Speaker 3: blowing that one at Buffalo, that they cannot afford to 432 00:21:19,520 --> 00:21:21,200 Speaker 3: blow this one. So the Browns are going to have 433 00:21:21,240 --> 00:21:26,040 Speaker 3: the Ravens full attention this week, and I just I 434 00:21:26,040 --> 00:21:28,120 Speaker 3: don't think this one's going to be any contests, So 435 00:21:28,359 --> 00:21:30,800 Speaker 3: that would be the first one. And I mean, if 436 00:21:30,840 --> 00:21:32,480 Speaker 3: you want to go out a division I guess the 437 00:21:32,480 --> 00:21:36,080 Speaker 3: one you have to look at is maybe Cardinals against 438 00:21:36,119 --> 00:21:36,640 Speaker 3: the Panthers. 439 00:21:36,680 --> 00:21:38,560 Speaker 2: But I just don't feel. 440 00:21:39,760 --> 00:21:44,040 Speaker 3: Very much at ease betting the Cardinals, especially the Panthers 441 00:21:44,040 --> 00:21:47,080 Speaker 3: played kind of a disjointed game. They had that long 442 00:21:47,119 --> 00:21:50,399 Speaker 3: weather delay in Jacksonville. Like, I think they're a better 443 00:21:50,440 --> 00:21:53,440 Speaker 3: team than they showed against the Jaguars in Week one, 444 00:21:53,520 --> 00:21:55,720 Speaker 3: So that one makes me a little nervous. I think 445 00:21:56,040 --> 00:21:57,600 Speaker 3: you might have to sweat that one if you want 446 00:21:57,600 --> 00:21:59,280 Speaker 3: to go out a division and take the Cards. 447 00:21:59,720 --> 00:22:02,399 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think you have to follow your philosophy to 448 00:22:02,440 --> 00:22:05,760 Speaker 1: be quite honest. I mean, the Ravens losing the first 449 00:22:05,800 --> 00:22:09,320 Speaker 1: two games of the regular season, including their home opener 450 00:22:09,480 --> 00:22:14,000 Speaker 1: against Joe Flacco in company, would be stunning. And I 451 00:22:14,080 --> 00:22:17,399 Speaker 1: know Joe Flacco has a great history in Baltimore, and 452 00:22:17,440 --> 00:22:21,000 Speaker 1: I understand this is a divisional game, but I find 453 00:22:21,040 --> 00:22:23,879 Speaker 1: it really hard to believe that the Baltimore Ravens would 454 00:22:23,880 --> 00:22:27,479 Speaker 1: lose as double digit favorites at home to the Cleveland Browns. Like, 455 00:22:27,520 --> 00:22:29,320 Speaker 1: if that knocks you out of a survivor pool, you 456 00:22:29,359 --> 00:22:31,240 Speaker 1: just tip your cap and say, Okay, you got me. 457 00:22:31,680 --> 00:22:35,640 Speaker 1: So I think your play is good. The only other 458 00:22:35,720 --> 00:22:37,760 Speaker 1: play that came to mind when I was looking at 459 00:22:37,760 --> 00:22:40,480 Speaker 1: this is just continue to fade the Titans and take 460 00:22:40,520 --> 00:22:43,640 Speaker 1: the Rams. But again, this is a West Coast team 461 00:22:43,680 --> 00:22:47,400 Speaker 1: going east. The Titans are horrible. The Rams are going 462 00:22:47,440 --> 00:22:49,840 Speaker 1: to be good. Their defense is going to be very good. 463 00:22:50,320 --> 00:22:52,440 Speaker 1: But I like what I saw out of cam Ward. 464 00:22:52,920 --> 00:22:55,280 Speaker 1: Cam Moore doesn't have a receiving corps. Like cam Moore 465 00:22:55,359 --> 00:22:57,400 Speaker 1: doesn't have people to catch the football. If he did, 466 00:22:57,640 --> 00:23:00,400 Speaker 1: the Titans would have won and beaten the Broncos because 467 00:23:00,440 --> 00:23:03,439 Speaker 1: cam Ward in the second half put the ball on 468 00:23:03,760 --> 00:23:07,440 Speaker 1: a platter on a te numerous times for Calvin Ridley 469 00:23:07,480 --> 00:23:10,720 Speaker 1: and company and they couldn't catch it. And that I 470 00:23:10,760 --> 00:23:12,760 Speaker 1: mean I was on the Broncos. All of my survivor 471 00:23:12,760 --> 00:23:15,400 Speaker 1: pools were on the Broncos, and I was petrified because 472 00:23:15,400 --> 00:23:18,359 Speaker 1: I was like, thank goodness, no one can catch Because 473 00:23:18,400 --> 00:23:20,720 Speaker 1: if the Titans had a receiving core, cam Ward can 474 00:23:20,800 --> 00:23:23,719 Speaker 1: only throw the ball, he can't catch it. So I'm 475 00:23:23,760 --> 00:23:25,640 Speaker 1: with you on the Ravens. I think that's a good 476 00:23:25,680 --> 00:23:28,360 Speaker 1: play if you don't want to do the division, I 477 00:23:28,400 --> 00:23:30,879 Speaker 1: think the Rams will win and beat the Titans. I 478 00:23:30,920 --> 00:23:32,480 Speaker 1: don't think the Titans are going to have that great 479 00:23:32,480 --> 00:23:34,560 Speaker 1: of a year. I liked what I saw out of 480 00:23:34,560 --> 00:23:37,960 Speaker 1: the Rams in week number one. Yes, it's on the road, 481 00:23:38,160 --> 00:23:40,160 Speaker 1: but I think the Titans are garbage, so I would 482 00:23:40,200 --> 00:23:42,280 Speaker 1: go with the Rams as the other play for that. 483 00:23:42,800 --> 00:23:46,520 Speaker 1: Is there anything else besides Ravens Browns that jumps off 484 00:23:46,560 --> 00:23:47,800 Speaker 1: the page to you? 485 00:23:47,840 --> 00:23:48,000 Speaker 4: No? 486 00:23:48,080 --> 00:23:50,120 Speaker 3: I mean, I think the Lions are going to come 487 00:23:50,160 --> 00:23:52,919 Speaker 3: back with a vengeance. But another divisional game, and I 488 00:23:53,119 --> 00:23:54,640 Speaker 3: you know, if I'm going to pick a divisional game, 489 00:23:54,680 --> 00:23:57,800 Speaker 3: I'd much rather just, yeah, a divisional game with a 490 00:23:57,840 --> 00:24:00,560 Speaker 3: really good team, you know, like burning a good team. 491 00:24:00,760 --> 00:24:03,760 Speaker 2: It's gonna I would just rather pick the Ravens than 492 00:24:03,800 --> 00:24:04,840 Speaker 2: the Lions this week. 493 00:24:05,520 --> 00:24:07,760 Speaker 1: And finally, we tell you a game that you should 494 00:24:07,760 --> 00:24:10,840 Speaker 1: bet right now before the number moves for you, Pat, 495 00:24:10,880 --> 00:24:12,680 Speaker 1: what's a game that you would fire on right now 496 00:24:12,680 --> 00:24:13,600 Speaker 1: here early in the week. 497 00:24:13,920 --> 00:24:16,440 Speaker 3: It's Lions minus four and a half over the Bears, Matt, 498 00:24:16,520 --> 00:24:21,960 Speaker 3: And honestly, I'm surprised the numbers this low after the 499 00:24:22,000 --> 00:24:25,639 Speaker 3: Bears collapsing against the Vikings and blowing a game they 500 00:24:25,640 --> 00:24:27,800 Speaker 3: shouldn't have blown on Monday night. 501 00:24:28,200 --> 00:24:31,240 Speaker 2: And you know, the Lions laid an egg in Week one. 502 00:24:32,280 --> 00:24:35,399 Speaker 3: But this has been this has become a culture team 503 00:24:35,680 --> 00:24:39,400 Speaker 3: under Dan Campbell, like they just a strong team culture, 504 00:24:39,880 --> 00:24:42,640 Speaker 3: and I feel like culture teams rarely play two poor 505 00:24:42,720 --> 00:24:44,679 Speaker 3: games in a row, and they'll often come back with 506 00:24:44,840 --> 00:24:47,200 Speaker 3: sort of a vengeance after one bad game in a 507 00:24:48,119 --> 00:24:50,680 Speaker 3: one bad game. So the Bears just can't be in 508 00:24:50,720 --> 00:24:54,760 Speaker 3: a great headspace after blowing that game at home. And 509 00:24:56,359 --> 00:24:59,280 Speaker 3: I mean, I still think the Lions are really sound 510 00:24:59,280 --> 00:25:01,560 Speaker 3: across the board at a good offense. I'm surprised they 511 00:25:01,600 --> 00:25:04,640 Speaker 3: couldn't run the ball in the Packers, solid passing game, 512 00:25:05,160 --> 00:25:08,560 Speaker 3: good defense. I just I think they're gonna make a 513 00:25:08,640 --> 00:25:10,280 Speaker 3: much better showing of it in week two than they 514 00:25:10,320 --> 00:25:13,240 Speaker 3: did in Week one and handle the Bears pretty easily 515 00:25:13,280 --> 00:25:15,720 Speaker 3: at home. So four and a half, I do think 516 00:25:15,800 --> 00:25:18,920 Speaker 3: this money is going to move towards the Lions at 517 00:25:18,960 --> 00:25:21,639 Speaker 3: four and a half, Like I expect this to maybe 518 00:25:21,680 --> 00:25:23,440 Speaker 3: open up at like five and a half or six. 519 00:25:24,240 --> 00:25:26,480 Speaker 3: So I'm jumping on the Lions now. 520 00:25:26,840 --> 00:25:29,840 Speaker 1: My only concern with that is whether the Lions offense 521 00:25:29,960 --> 00:25:34,040 Speaker 1: is actually broken in that does Ben Johnson's return does 522 00:25:34,040 --> 00:25:38,080 Speaker 1: that play some type of like voodoo magic distraction type 523 00:25:38,080 --> 00:25:41,360 Speaker 1: of thing here with that team, because that's the guy 524 00:25:41,400 --> 00:25:43,400 Speaker 1: that was calling the plays and that's the guy who 525 00:25:43,440 --> 00:25:46,480 Speaker 1: had the offense clicking, and Jared Goff feels like his 526 00:25:46,520 --> 00:25:49,199 Speaker 1: ex girlfriend's in the building and he's all distracted. Like 527 00:25:49,440 --> 00:25:52,439 Speaker 1: that's my only concern with it, because on paper, I 528 00:25:52,480 --> 00:25:55,160 Speaker 1: think the Lions should win the game going away. And 529 00:25:55,200 --> 00:25:57,800 Speaker 1: as the as the night went on, you saw the 530 00:25:57,840 --> 00:26:01,800 Speaker 1: regression of Caleb Williams. The first quarter, he was tremendous, 531 00:26:01,840 --> 00:26:04,679 Speaker 1: and the second quarter things got a little bit shaky, 532 00:26:04,720 --> 00:26:07,439 Speaker 1: and then everything just collapsed in the third and the 533 00:26:07,480 --> 00:26:09,840 Speaker 1: fourth quarter. And you could say that that was Brian 534 00:26:09,840 --> 00:26:12,640 Speaker 1: Flores's defense with the Vikings just kind of figuring out 535 00:26:12,680 --> 00:26:15,840 Speaker 1: what was happening for Ben Johnson, but I think a 536 00:26:15,840 --> 00:26:18,480 Speaker 1: lot of it was also that Caleb just started to 537 00:26:18,520 --> 00:26:21,679 Speaker 1: throw the ball all over the place. And look, I 538 00:26:21,680 --> 00:26:25,040 Speaker 1: mean he had touchdown passes wide open that he overthrew 539 00:26:25,280 --> 00:26:28,080 Speaker 1: by four or five yards in the second half late 540 00:26:28,080 --> 00:26:29,679 Speaker 1: in that game. That could have made it more of 541 00:26:29,680 --> 00:26:33,679 Speaker 1: a tighter football game. So I'm not inclined to like 542 00:26:33,800 --> 00:26:36,760 Speaker 1: go and run and jump on this and say, hey, 543 00:26:36,800 --> 00:26:39,440 Speaker 1: this Bears team is going to go to Detroit on 544 00:26:39,480 --> 00:26:42,960 Speaker 1: the road, hostile environment after the team didn't play well 545 00:26:43,320 --> 00:26:46,640 Speaker 1: back to back divisional games for the Lions. It wouldn't 546 00:26:46,640 --> 00:26:48,960 Speaker 1: just be an zero and two start for the Lions 547 00:26:49,359 --> 00:26:51,919 Speaker 1: record wise, it'd be zero to two in the division 548 00:26:52,359 --> 00:26:56,760 Speaker 1: for Detroit to start the year. So I like your play. 549 00:26:57,640 --> 00:26:59,720 Speaker 1: I'm going to take the points. With the Raiders at 550 00:26:59,720 --> 00:27:03,200 Speaker 1: home at three and a half. Now, I think the 551 00:27:03,680 --> 00:27:07,160 Speaker 1: hook is important here. The Chargers and the Raiders historically 552 00:27:07,200 --> 00:27:10,240 Speaker 1: have played one score games and they've played some unbelievable 553 00:27:10,320 --> 00:27:13,560 Speaker 1: Barn Berner coming down to the wire last second type 554 00:27:13,920 --> 00:27:19,680 Speaker 1: of contests. Home opener Monday Night, Allegiance Stadium the Chargers. 555 00:27:19,800 --> 00:27:22,520 Speaker 1: This is one of the few teams that will come 556 00:27:22,560 --> 00:27:27,120 Speaker 1: to Vegas that do not bring road fans. There's actually 557 00:27:27,160 --> 00:27:30,000 Speaker 1: going to be a home environment for the Raiders here 558 00:27:30,240 --> 00:27:32,840 Speaker 1: on Monday Night. It's hard to imagine, but when the 559 00:27:32,880 --> 00:27:35,680 Speaker 1: Chiefs show up or the Broncos show up, that's a 560 00:27:35,760 --> 00:27:38,800 Speaker 1: road game for the Raiders. Not so with the Chargers 561 00:27:38,920 --> 00:27:42,000 Speaker 1: showing up. The Raiders also will have to feel really 562 00:27:42,000 --> 00:27:44,320 Speaker 1: good about themselves as they head home with a one 563 00:27:44,359 --> 00:27:46,520 Speaker 1: to zero record, and that means people in Vegas will 564 00:27:46,520 --> 00:27:49,200 Speaker 1: pay attention and go, oh, Monday night, let's go to 565 00:27:49,240 --> 00:27:51,680 Speaker 1: the game. There's going to be a pretty cool atmosphere 566 00:27:51,800 --> 00:27:55,040 Speaker 1: on Monday night in Vegas for this football game. And 567 00:27:55,200 --> 00:27:58,520 Speaker 1: I know the Chargers looked really good against the Chiefs, 568 00:27:58,800 --> 00:28:01,680 Speaker 1: but that's travel in a national travel and now you're 569 00:28:01,680 --> 00:28:03,879 Speaker 1: going on the road. It's a quick little trip to Vegas, 570 00:28:03,960 --> 00:28:05,760 Speaker 1: but it's still a road trip. Still not your home 571 00:28:05,800 --> 00:28:08,520 Speaker 1: and your bed that you're sleeping in. You're getting up 572 00:28:08,520 --> 00:28:10,920 Speaker 1: and playing a football game against a team that maybe 573 00:28:10,960 --> 00:28:13,480 Speaker 1: better than people think. Three and a half is important, 574 00:28:13,520 --> 00:28:15,159 Speaker 1: But I would take the Raiders at plus three and 575 00:28:15,160 --> 00:28:17,440 Speaker 1: a half. How do you feel about Vegas at home? 576 00:28:17,760 --> 00:28:20,679 Speaker 3: I like the narratives you laid out, Matt, and you 577 00:28:20,720 --> 00:28:23,040 Speaker 3: know the fact that this has been like there have 578 00:28:23,080 --> 00:28:25,639 Speaker 3: been a lot of tight games in this series historically. 579 00:28:25,720 --> 00:28:28,800 Speaker 3: But I just talked about Dan Campbell as a culture 580 00:28:28,840 --> 00:28:31,359 Speaker 3: builder with the Detroit Lions. I think Pete Carroll's going 581 00:28:31,400 --> 00:28:33,760 Speaker 3: to be the same way for the Raiders and you 582 00:28:33,760 --> 00:28:35,480 Speaker 3: can kind of see it on the sidelines with the 583 00:28:35,480 --> 00:28:37,879 Speaker 3: way he interacted with players in Week one and that 584 00:28:37,920 --> 00:28:42,160 Speaker 3: game against the Patriots. So I like this one, you know, 585 00:28:42,240 --> 00:28:45,400 Speaker 3: I don't I don't know if I have the guts 586 00:28:45,440 --> 00:28:47,040 Speaker 3: to put my own money on it. I know in 587 00:28:47,080 --> 00:28:49,120 Speaker 3: a couple of pools where I have to pick every 588 00:28:49,280 --> 00:28:52,320 Speaker 3: every game so far, I've locked that one in early 589 00:28:52,600 --> 00:28:55,200 Speaker 3: as the Raiders being my play in that one. 590 00:28:55,240 --> 00:28:57,400 Speaker 2: But you know, we'll see you might you might have 591 00:28:57,480 --> 00:28:58,240 Speaker 2: talked me into that. 592 00:28:58,160 --> 00:29:00,280 Speaker 1: One, Matt. If the Raiders win this game, they open 593 00:29:00,360 --> 00:29:02,720 Speaker 1: up two and zero, I think people are gonna go, 594 00:29:02,880 --> 00:29:05,320 Speaker 1: wait a minute, hold on a second. And I made 595 00:29:05,360 --> 00:29:07,200 Speaker 1: the point in the preseason that the Raiders might be 596 00:29:07,280 --> 00:29:10,360 Speaker 1: the best four seed in football because I don't think 597 00:29:10,360 --> 00:29:12,880 Speaker 1: they're as good as the Chiefs, Broncos are Chargers once 598 00:29:13,080 --> 00:29:14,880 Speaker 1: at the end of the year, I don't think they're 599 00:29:14,920 --> 00:29:16,719 Speaker 1: going to be as good. I think their secondary has 600 00:29:16,720 --> 00:29:18,480 Speaker 1: got some issues, and you know, I just think their 601 00:29:18,520 --> 00:29:20,400 Speaker 1: defense is not going to be as good. As we 602 00:29:20,480 --> 00:29:23,280 Speaker 1: go through the year, they'll be exposed a bit. But 603 00:29:24,040 --> 00:29:26,960 Speaker 1: early in the year, getting off to a really fast start, 604 00:29:27,320 --> 00:29:29,200 Speaker 1: you can start to build culture. Like you mentioned with 605 00:29:29,240 --> 00:29:32,400 Speaker 1: Pete Carroll, guys start to believe and look, Gino Smith 606 00:29:32,800 --> 00:29:35,440 Speaker 1: that this was why I took the Raiders last week. 607 00:29:35,640 --> 00:29:37,440 Speaker 1: It's because Gino Smith has been sort of like this, 608 00:29:37,520 --> 00:29:41,800 Speaker 1: like disrespected quarterback in the NFL for a really long time, 609 00:29:41,840 --> 00:29:43,960 Speaker 1: and that fits the narrative of the Raiders. I mean 610 00:29:43,960 --> 00:29:47,600 Speaker 1: that that's their whole deal, that we're disrespected and nobody 611 00:29:47,640 --> 00:29:50,720 Speaker 1: respects us and no one pays attention to us. And 612 00:29:50,800 --> 00:29:53,280 Speaker 1: I've bet every year on the Raiders to go over 613 00:29:53,320 --> 00:29:55,800 Speaker 1: their win total in the last three years it's hit. 614 00:29:56,160 --> 00:29:59,000 Speaker 1: I didn't bet it this year because I didn't fully believe, 615 00:29:59,240 --> 00:30:01,320 Speaker 1: but I'm like, I'm going to bet them week by 616 00:30:01,440 --> 00:30:04,400 Speaker 1: week and I probably will wind up more profitable because 617 00:30:04,440 --> 00:30:06,520 Speaker 1: I do think this team's going to surprise some people 618 00:30:06,560 --> 00:30:09,200 Speaker 1: and to be a home dog in primetime on Monday 619 00:30:09,280 --> 00:30:12,040 Speaker 1: Night Football. I think the Raiders are gonna have a 620 00:30:12,120 --> 00:30:14,840 Speaker 1: chance to show some people some stuff. And I like 621 00:30:14,880 --> 00:30:17,640 Speaker 1: Harball a lot, I like Herbert a lot, but I 622 00:30:17,680 --> 00:30:19,720 Speaker 1: felt like the love was maybe a little bit over 623 00:30:19,720 --> 00:30:22,440 Speaker 1: the top for the win over the Chiefs and just 624 00:30:22,840 --> 00:30:25,320 Speaker 1: what Herbert's going to look like this year and MVP 625 00:30:25,560 --> 00:30:28,640 Speaker 1: candidate Herbert and like, okay, hold on a second, like 626 00:30:28,720 --> 00:30:31,320 Speaker 1: it's a long year, and maybe more on what the 627 00:30:31,400 --> 00:30:33,680 Speaker 1: Chiefs were doing and what they looked like in Week 628 00:30:33,760 --> 00:30:36,680 Speaker 1: number one in Brazil than what the Chargers necessarily did. 629 00:30:36,760 --> 00:30:39,760 Speaker 3: So there is like there is the concern that maybe 630 00:30:39,760 --> 00:30:42,200 Speaker 3: the Raiders have to play this one without brock Bowers. 631 00:30:42,520 --> 00:30:45,680 Speaker 2: YEP, and the sprain mcl I think that's what he has. 632 00:30:45,720 --> 00:30:48,720 Speaker 3: But the nice thing is, like if Bowers is ruled out, 633 00:30:48,760 --> 00:30:51,880 Speaker 3: you're probably getting another point tacked onto this this number, 634 00:30:52,000 --> 00:30:54,400 Speaker 3: I mean, like fair, we're talking about lock it in 635 00:30:54,440 --> 00:30:57,480 Speaker 3: now numbers, but like I could potentially see this one moving. 636 00:30:58,200 --> 00:31:01,840 Speaker 2: You know's not horrible. I mean, no, he was good 637 00:31:01,960 --> 00:31:02,440 Speaker 2: in week FO. 638 00:31:02,880 --> 00:31:05,240 Speaker 1: They've got a good backup, so I know Bowers, but 639 00:31:05,280 --> 00:31:07,760 Speaker 1: Bowers wasn't a huge part of the offense. I think 640 00:31:07,760 --> 00:31:10,200 Speaker 1: it's all it's about Genty. To me, it's about a 641 00:31:10,280 --> 00:31:15,280 Speaker 1: running game and Gino Smith, and I felt like the receivers. Again, 642 00:31:15,360 --> 00:31:17,760 Speaker 1: it could be the Patriots without Christian Gonzales, but that 643 00:31:17,880 --> 00:31:20,160 Speaker 1: was a team that the Patriots secondary they thought that 644 00:31:20,200 --> 00:31:21,760 Speaker 1: was gonna be one of the strengths of the team. 645 00:31:22,360 --> 00:31:25,080 Speaker 1: And the receivers were open all over the field for 646 00:31:25,160 --> 00:31:27,600 Speaker 1: the Raiders, and they had big plays, Gino throwing the 647 00:31:27,600 --> 00:31:30,680 Speaker 1: ball down the field with play action with Genty. So 648 00:31:30,920 --> 00:31:33,240 Speaker 1: I think you're gonna see a similar situation. The Chargers 649 00:31:33,280 --> 00:31:35,960 Speaker 1: defense is definitely better than the Patriots, there's no debating that. 650 00:31:36,360 --> 00:31:39,200 Speaker 1: But I think with the chance to watch what they 651 00:31:39,200 --> 00:31:43,400 Speaker 1: did against the Chiefs, I think they'll score. And again, 652 00:31:43,760 --> 00:31:46,200 Speaker 1: these teams have played historical games that come down to, 653 00:31:46,400 --> 00:31:49,080 Speaker 1: you know, three points or six points, and I think 654 00:31:49,080 --> 00:31:50,800 Speaker 1: taking three and a half is a good play and 655 00:31:50,840 --> 00:31:52,360 Speaker 1: then if you need to get out of it in game, 656 00:31:52,400 --> 00:31:55,080 Speaker 1: you might be able to. So I expect a pretty 657 00:31:55,120 --> 00:31:56,960 Speaker 1: fun game on Monday nights. And for me on the 658 00:31:57,000 --> 00:32:00,840 Speaker 1: East Coast, my gosh, ten o'clock start time, ten o'clocks 659 00:32:00,880 --> 00:32:04,120 Speaker 1: to our time. Oh my gosh, it's gonna kill me 660 00:32:04,240 --> 00:32:06,920 Speaker 1: to be up. It's gonna be a one am Monday night. 661 00:32:07,000 --> 00:32:09,480 Speaker 1: We're taping this next week, next Tuesday. This is gonna 662 00:32:09,480 --> 00:32:11,719 Speaker 1: be a bro I'm gonna be, you know, taping my 663 00:32:11,720 --> 00:32:15,600 Speaker 1: eyelids open, trying to get myself set. So bring the coffee, Matt, 664 00:32:15,640 --> 00:32:18,800 Speaker 1: bring you absolutely absolutely, guys. That is week number two. 665 00:32:18,840 --> 00:32:20,840 Speaker 1: If you like what you see, hit the like button, 666 00:32:20,920 --> 00:32:23,960 Speaker 1: subscribe to the Betting Pros YouTube channel. All of our 667 00:32:24,040 --> 00:32:27,600 Speaker 1: content comes at you. We are fire hosing this this year. Guys. 668 00:32:27,600 --> 00:32:31,160 Speaker 1: We're giving you plays, picks, thoughts on so many different plays. 669 00:32:31,200 --> 00:32:33,280 Speaker 1: If you haven't gone and downloaded the new Betting Pros 670 00:32:33,280 --> 00:32:36,920 Speaker 1: app go and do so right now. It's all shiny 671 00:32:37,000 --> 00:32:40,960 Speaker 1: and new picks, plays and stats and information. We've got 672 00:32:41,080 --> 00:32:44,280 Speaker 1: curated picks available for you guys as well. It's available 673 00:32:44,320 --> 00:32:47,120 Speaker 1: for you wherever you get your apps. Going download the 674 00:32:47,160 --> 00:32:50,400 Speaker 1: new Betting Pros app right now. He is Pattist Morris. 675 00:32:50,440 --> 00:32:52,560 Speaker 1: I am at Parultiple. Talk to you next week for 676 00:32:52,680 --> 00:32:55,680 Speaker 1: Week three early looks at the NFL and survivor pool 677 00:32:55,720 --> 00:32:57,200 Speaker 1: picks here with Betting Pros. 678 00:32:57,400 --> 00:33:00,080 Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you 679 00:33:00,120 --> 00:33:02,440 Speaker 4: love the show, the best freeway to support us is 680 00:33:02,480 --> 00:33:05,880 Speaker 4: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 681 00:33:06,160 --> 00:33:08,800 Speaker 4: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 682 00:33:08,880 --> 00:33:12,520 Speaker 4: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube 683 00:33:12,600 --> 00:33:15,080 Speaker 4: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros