1 00:00:00,320 --> 00:00:04,120 Speaker 1: It's the Favorites presented by FanDuel. Football season is here 2 00:00:04,160 --> 00:00:06,320 Speaker 1: and there's no better place to get in on the 3 00:00:06,360 --> 00:00:09,640 Speaker 1: action than FanDuel. I love betting with fandel because They're 4 00:00:09,640 --> 00:00:11,840 Speaker 1: app is safe, secure and easy to use, and when 5 00:00:11,880 --> 00:00:15,239 Speaker 1: I win, I get paid fast. So use promo code 6 00:00:15,240 --> 00:00:17,919 Speaker 1: Favorites and download the FanDuel app today to make every 7 00:00:17,920 --> 00:00:21,759 Speaker 1: moment more this football season. 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In Kansas call one 16 00:00:50,479 --> 00:00:53,960 Speaker 1: eight seven seven seven seven zero stop in Louisiana one 17 00:00:54,040 --> 00:00:57,680 Speaker 1: eight seven seven eight hope and why or text hope 18 00:00:57,720 --> 00:01:00,840 Speaker 1: and why four seven three six nine. In York, Tennessee, 19 00:01:00,840 --> 00:01:04,960 Speaker 1: redline is one eight eight nine called one eight hundred 20 00:01:05,000 --> 00:01:07,679 Speaker 1: five to two four seven zero zero in Wyoming or 21 00:01:07,760 --> 00:01:19,759 Speaker 1: visit www Dot one Gambler dot net in West Virginia. 22 00:01:20,959 --> 00:01:25,400 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites the Podcast from the Volume Podcast Network. 23 00:01:25,440 --> 00:01:30,280 Speaker 1: I am Chad Melman, Chief Content Officer of the Action Network. 24 00:01:30,920 --> 00:01:34,479 Speaker 1: I am joined by my co host, my companion, Michael 25 00:01:34,480 --> 00:01:42,280 Speaker 1: padre my bff Mr Simon Hunter. Packed show today, Buddy, packed, 26 00:01:42,440 --> 00:01:47,080 Speaker 1: Packed show. Tighter than a suitcase that's expanded and will 27 00:01:47,120 --> 00:01:51,880 Speaker 1: no longer fit in the overhead space. Yeah, a lot 28 00:01:51,920 --> 00:01:53,920 Speaker 1: of a lot of calls to get to a lot 29 00:01:53,960 --> 00:01:56,240 Speaker 1: of conversation about this week, a lot of pick flipping. 30 00:01:56,440 --> 00:01:59,240 Speaker 1: Hopefully people forgive us, but I think that's how it is. 31 00:01:59,280 --> 00:02:01,280 Speaker 1: Sometimes we're a week to come in right chat of 32 00:02:01,320 --> 00:02:04,400 Speaker 1: the plan, and the plans change, kind of get in 33 00:02:04,440 --> 00:02:06,240 Speaker 1: the mouth. A lot of information in a couple of days. 34 00:02:06,400 --> 00:02:10,920 Speaker 1: Blown up, Yeah, exactly, blown up. As a reminder, we 35 00:02:10,960 --> 00:02:15,760 Speaker 1: will go through our final five, which we will put 36 00:02:15,800 --> 00:02:19,720 Speaker 1: in the app on Sunday. Things change. We gotta follow 37 00:02:19,840 --> 00:02:23,959 Speaker 1: the phase five in the Action Network app to get 38 00:02:24,000 --> 00:02:27,440 Speaker 1: where we land. Because things do change. We're going to 39 00:02:27,520 --> 00:02:30,440 Speaker 1: finalize our big balls better the week. We will do 40 00:02:30,520 --> 00:02:33,919 Speaker 1: our Scooch Roulette, we will do our money line Underdog 41 00:02:34,480 --> 00:02:38,720 Speaker 1: Round Robin Parlay. But first, as we do every week, 42 00:02:39,280 --> 00:02:47,200 Speaker 1: let's get to some sharp calls. Hello, who's there? I'm 43 00:02:47,240 --> 00:02:56,600 Speaker 1: talking rhone. Right. We had a lot of things to 44 00:02:56,600 --> 00:02:59,320 Speaker 1: say the other day. As always, the wise guys will 45 00:02:59,320 --> 00:03:01,079 Speaker 1: call you and you view your take on what we 46 00:03:01,160 --> 00:03:04,840 Speaker 1: talked about. What do they say? Very rare. I will 47 00:03:04,880 --> 00:03:07,720 Speaker 1: be woken up in my sleep by many calls. And basically, 48 00:03:08,240 --> 00:03:10,120 Speaker 1: so I have three phones. I got one phone I 49 00:03:10,120 --> 00:03:11,959 Speaker 1: don't even bring in the room. You got the other 50 00:03:11,960 --> 00:03:14,400 Speaker 1: phone that's just on silent mode, which is pretty much 51 00:03:15,040 --> 00:03:16,880 Speaker 1: just text and other things like that. And I want 52 00:03:16,880 --> 00:03:20,520 Speaker 1: my emergency phone, which I keep off silent just because 53 00:03:20,520 --> 00:03:23,720 Speaker 1: it's you know, I feel like anyone if you're living alone, 54 00:03:23,800 --> 00:03:27,239 Speaker 1: you've got ring cameras. I mean, you need to be alerted, 55 00:03:27,320 --> 00:03:30,240 Speaker 1: especially for someone like me that has cash. Anyone wants 56 00:03:30,280 --> 00:03:32,440 Speaker 1: to attempt it. I keep that thing loaded. And I 57 00:03:32,480 --> 00:03:34,760 Speaker 1: got both exits with cameras, so I don't even don't 58 00:03:34,840 --> 00:03:37,480 Speaker 1: wanna worry about it. But basically that's why I always 59 00:03:37,560 --> 00:03:41,680 Speaker 1: keep the one phone off silent, and you know, get 60 00:03:41,720 --> 00:03:44,240 Speaker 1: the first call, hit ignore right when I am reach 61 00:03:44,280 --> 00:03:47,480 Speaker 1: over my phone, just hit ignore, get another call. I 62 00:03:47,600 --> 00:03:49,400 Speaker 1: roll over and see the guy's name, so pro I 63 00:03:49,480 --> 00:03:51,960 Speaker 1: respect ignore because again it's late. It's like one thirty 64 00:03:52,000 --> 00:03:55,360 Speaker 1: at this time. Then I get another call from another guy. 65 00:03:56,120 --> 00:03:57,840 Speaker 1: It's like, holy ship, something must be going on. I 66 00:03:57,840 --> 00:04:00,400 Speaker 1: thought so many that got robbed or something big going on, 67 00:04:00,440 --> 00:04:02,840 Speaker 1: a big, big bet coming in. So I answer it 68 00:04:02,880 --> 00:04:05,600 Speaker 1: little do I know, chatsman about our our little show 69 00:04:05,680 --> 00:04:11,560 Speaker 1: here the world on fire with our love for the Dolphins. Uh? 70 00:04:11,920 --> 00:04:14,840 Speaker 1: That was multiple pros hitting me up and listen to 71 00:04:14,920 --> 00:04:18,440 Speaker 1: the show. I guess man, Mitchell drops it um or 72 00:04:18,480 --> 00:04:21,400 Speaker 1: the volume does at midnight or one am East Coast time. 73 00:04:21,440 --> 00:04:25,080 Speaker 1: So again that's ten ten pm Vegas time, not that late. 74 00:04:25,600 --> 00:04:27,280 Speaker 1: So a couple of guys listen to it, and they 75 00:04:27,279 --> 00:04:31,080 Speaker 1: reached out that they had gotten word really really really 76 00:04:31,120 --> 00:04:33,080 Speaker 1: sharp groupe was gonna come in heavy this week on 77 00:04:33,120 --> 00:04:37,920 Speaker 1: the Jets. So, you know, me thinking, what the hell 78 00:04:38,000 --> 00:04:39,560 Speaker 1: is going on here? I gotta all right, break this 79 00:04:39,640 --> 00:04:41,160 Speaker 1: down to me. What am I missing here? All my 80 00:04:41,240 --> 00:04:43,640 Speaker 1: love for the Dolphins. And we talked Teddy covers this 81 00:04:43,720 --> 00:04:45,400 Speaker 1: is a good spot to be taking Teddy against the 82 00:04:45,440 --> 00:04:47,919 Speaker 1: Jets team off a win. I just felt like a 83 00:04:47,960 --> 00:04:51,760 Speaker 1: really prime, prime chance to take the Dolphins, and I 84 00:04:51,800 --> 00:04:54,919 Speaker 1: think they're firing back with the stealth is defense. Are 85 00:04:54,920 --> 00:04:56,720 Speaker 1: they're really that good a team that you can give 86 00:04:56,800 --> 00:04:59,080 Speaker 1: up points? And the Jets offense that we've seen be 87 00:04:59,120 --> 00:05:00,880 Speaker 1: able to move a ball, they have weapons of the 88 00:05:00,880 --> 00:05:03,640 Speaker 1: wide receiver position, So to them, they think three and 89 00:05:03,640 --> 00:05:05,800 Speaker 1: a half is too big of a number. I had 90 00:05:05,800 --> 00:05:07,200 Speaker 1: to put it out there. I had to buy that position. 91 00:05:07,240 --> 00:05:08,640 Speaker 1: I mean that was I twoted out. I know people 92 00:05:08,640 --> 00:05:10,600 Speaker 1: got mad about it. There's more just because me and 93 00:05:10,640 --> 00:05:12,160 Speaker 1: Chad talked about love for my aim. I just want 94 00:05:12,160 --> 00:05:14,400 Speaker 1: to make sure people didn't bet it off of that, 95 00:05:14,480 --> 00:05:19,400 Speaker 1: because when a when a group again, there's certain groups 96 00:05:19,400 --> 00:05:21,440 Speaker 1: that bet, like me, the bet every week, they've bet 97 00:05:21,480 --> 00:05:23,200 Speaker 1: multiple games. They might have one or two big bets 98 00:05:23,240 --> 00:05:25,160 Speaker 1: a week, but they're they're betting a lot of the games. 99 00:05:26,440 --> 00:05:28,920 Speaker 1: These are three sixty groups. Three sixty means they don't 100 00:05:28,960 --> 00:05:31,080 Speaker 1: do anything for three sixty out of the year, but 101 00:05:31,120 --> 00:05:34,240 Speaker 1: for five days they make five bets. So this is 102 00:05:34,240 --> 00:05:36,720 Speaker 1: one of the days they're making a bet. I gotta 103 00:05:36,800 --> 00:05:39,160 Speaker 1: change my position. I can't be I know it all 104 00:05:39,320 --> 00:05:42,359 Speaker 1: jerk like. I gotta just listen to these guys. And 105 00:05:42,480 --> 00:05:45,240 Speaker 1: if it's multiple guys reaching out to me. Clearly they 106 00:05:45,240 --> 00:05:47,440 Speaker 1: aren't something here with this Jets team guy. So we've 107 00:05:47,440 --> 00:05:49,320 Speaker 1: seen the three and a half, I haven't really seen 108 00:05:49,360 --> 00:05:51,120 Speaker 1: it dip that much. It went down to three, bounce 109 00:05:51,200 --> 00:05:53,920 Speaker 1: back up at three and a half. But again it's 110 00:05:54,040 --> 00:05:56,720 Speaker 1: it's just one of those where I got blind spots. 111 00:05:56,760 --> 00:05:59,200 Speaker 1: I know that, Like I'm young in the game. Um, 112 00:05:59,240 --> 00:06:01,120 Speaker 1: if a guy that had as we're thirty five forty 113 00:06:01,160 --> 00:06:03,920 Speaker 1: years experiences reaching out and they're taking a position, one 114 00:06:03,960 --> 00:06:07,240 Speaker 1: of the five positions they take all year, I'm out 115 00:06:07,360 --> 00:06:09,160 Speaker 1: and I'll have to try to force Chad to let 116 00:06:09,160 --> 00:06:10,720 Speaker 1: me get this one in. But it just seems like 117 00:06:10,760 --> 00:06:13,440 Speaker 1: a three and a half. These guys are claiming this 118 00:06:13,480 --> 00:06:15,080 Speaker 1: is free money on the Jets. I know there's no 119 00:06:15,160 --> 00:06:19,600 Speaker 1: such thing, but it's it's clearly a position that these 120 00:06:19,640 --> 00:06:22,559 Speaker 1: pros are taken. The next game. Again, not as crazy 121 00:06:22,560 --> 00:06:29,080 Speaker 1: as that Jets one, because hold on one second. Yeah, 122 00:06:29,520 --> 00:06:33,560 Speaker 1: Stocky in the Action Network podcast had the Jets in 123 00:06:33,800 --> 00:06:39,360 Speaker 1: his UH money line Underdog Parlay. He and Raybon will 124 00:06:39,520 --> 00:06:43,480 Speaker 1: choose two teams to put into an underdog money line 125 00:06:43,520 --> 00:06:46,560 Speaker 1: Underdog Parlay. He had the Jets in there. That surprised 126 00:06:46,600 --> 00:06:50,360 Speaker 1: me a little bit um, I will say it piqued 127 00:06:50,360 --> 00:06:52,719 Speaker 1: my interest. I also saw that you put the Jets 128 00:06:52,720 --> 00:06:54,520 Speaker 1: into the app. You made a pick on the Jets 129 00:06:54,800 --> 00:06:56,280 Speaker 1: at three and a half. I saw you put her 130 00:06:56,279 --> 00:06:58,760 Speaker 1: too the app yesterday. I was like, Oh, that's interesting. 131 00:06:58,760 --> 00:07:01,800 Speaker 1: We're gonna talk about that tomorrow on the podcast. I 132 00:07:01,880 --> 00:07:05,960 Speaker 1: will say this, I don't give a fuck. This Jets 133 00:07:06,000 --> 00:07:11,560 Speaker 1: team is trash and this Miami team is better. And 134 00:07:11,600 --> 00:07:14,840 Speaker 1: while in a million years it goes against every fiber 135 00:07:14,880 --> 00:07:17,560 Speaker 1: of my being and all of my principles to bet 136 00:07:17,640 --> 00:07:20,880 Speaker 1: a road dog, I mean a road favorite, a short 137 00:07:20,960 --> 00:07:25,480 Speaker 1: road favorite. I'm riding with the Dolphins here all we're 138 00:07:25,480 --> 00:07:27,480 Speaker 1: having a bet off, and I'm just I'm with you. 139 00:07:27,560 --> 00:07:30,080 Speaker 1: I was, I was al on this. It's like it's 140 00:07:30,080 --> 00:07:32,200 Speaker 1: like we're in West Side Story right now. We're having 141 00:07:32,200 --> 00:07:34,560 Speaker 1: a bet off. Yeah, I just I gotta listen to 142 00:07:34,560 --> 00:07:38,280 Speaker 1: these guys. It's like, again, I'm pretty damn good at 143 00:07:38,320 --> 00:07:41,160 Speaker 1: what I do. These guys are the goal like I 144 00:07:41,200 --> 00:07:43,560 Speaker 1: want their lives. These are the o g s, the 145 00:07:43,560 --> 00:07:47,840 Speaker 1: guys who they moved mountains. So to me, I don't 146 00:07:47,840 --> 00:07:50,320 Speaker 1: like it either, but I me and Chad don't have 147 00:07:50,400 --> 00:07:52,200 Speaker 1: in this competition. I'll have and every other one. It's 148 00:07:52,240 --> 00:07:54,760 Speaker 1: just like I bet numbers and I play off other 149 00:07:54,920 --> 00:07:58,080 Speaker 1: players plays, and it's like I know, I don't know everything. 150 00:07:58,240 --> 00:08:00,120 Speaker 1: But as soon as a group, like last week the 151 00:08:00,120 --> 00:08:03,080 Speaker 1: Seahawks one Chad hated that until Sunday late Sunday, like 152 00:08:03,120 --> 00:08:06,560 Speaker 1: I literally had to be like, dude, just take this number. Um. 153 00:08:06,640 --> 00:08:09,320 Speaker 1: It feels like maybe the same boat here the Jets. 154 00:08:09,320 --> 00:08:11,720 Speaker 1: But yeah, the second one was they think we're stepping 155 00:08:11,720 --> 00:08:13,440 Speaker 1: in it with the Seahawks again. We can break that 156 00:08:13,480 --> 00:08:16,600 Speaker 1: one down. They like the Saints fun that I kind 157 00:08:16,600 --> 00:08:19,440 Speaker 1: of I'm kind of taking your stands here where it's like, nah, 158 00:08:19,560 --> 00:08:21,560 Speaker 1: I don't care, I'm on the public side of public dog. 159 00:08:22,000 --> 00:08:24,440 Speaker 1: I'm gonna take this the Seahawks here just to keep 160 00:08:24,480 --> 00:08:29,640 Speaker 1: this game close. Um. And then the last one, no shocker, uh, 161 00:08:29,680 --> 00:08:32,320 Speaker 1: they love our Rams play, so they think like I 162 00:08:32,320 --> 00:08:34,280 Speaker 1: had a bunch of guys call reach out about that one. 163 00:08:34,320 --> 00:08:37,080 Speaker 1: They love the Rams too. Um, I kind of wish 164 00:08:37,120 --> 00:08:38,439 Speaker 1: I had made it my sign and says, I think 165 00:08:38,440 --> 00:08:39,760 Speaker 1: I went from the four and a half to five 166 00:08:39,800 --> 00:08:42,559 Speaker 1: and a half, but what can you do? Still a 167 00:08:42,559 --> 00:08:45,800 Speaker 1: good number on the Rams. Um. But yeah, we'll break 168 00:08:45,800 --> 00:08:48,160 Speaker 1: that one down too, because again, it's rare me and 169 00:08:48,240 --> 00:08:49,800 Speaker 1: chatter on a bunch of favorites this week, but I 170 00:08:49,800 --> 00:08:51,240 Speaker 1: feel like that's a trend for a lot of pros 171 00:08:51,280 --> 00:08:54,960 Speaker 1: this week. There's just some undervalued favorites. I agree. I agree. 172 00:08:55,000 --> 00:08:59,240 Speaker 1: There does feel like we're seeing that. We also saw it. 173 00:08:59,520 --> 00:09:01,800 Speaker 1: You mentioned and Simon says you had the Ravens at 174 00:09:01,800 --> 00:09:04,400 Speaker 1: minus three as your Simon says, a lot of sharp 175 00:09:04,480 --> 00:09:07,720 Speaker 1: love on the Ravens to remind people your fun. The 176 00:09:07,720 --> 00:09:11,120 Speaker 1: foxel was Seattle plus five and a half. I'm feeling 177 00:09:11,480 --> 00:09:14,000 Speaker 1: a little aunty about a couple of our underdog plays 178 00:09:14,160 --> 00:09:17,880 Speaker 1: and the exact decision by me was the Browns plus three. 179 00:09:18,520 --> 00:09:21,080 Speaker 1: Two bets that are making me very nervous right now. 180 00:09:21,760 --> 00:09:26,320 Speaker 1: Seattle plus five and a half Atlanta, which has gone 181 00:09:26,320 --> 00:09:28,080 Speaker 1: from eight and a half to nine and a half. 182 00:09:28,400 --> 00:09:31,920 Speaker 1: And I am shocked that that number has gone up, 183 00:09:32,800 --> 00:09:36,160 Speaker 1: given how the Bucks got beat on Sunday night. It 184 00:09:36,360 --> 00:09:38,760 Speaker 1: just I felt like that number would come down. So 185 00:09:38,800 --> 00:09:41,280 Speaker 1: I'm a little surprised by that. It's making me a 186 00:09:41,280 --> 00:09:43,599 Speaker 1: little aunty. Yeah, but we kind of touched on in 187 00:09:43,640 --> 00:09:45,760 Speaker 1: the Atlanta spot where it's like I was on the 188 00:09:45,760 --> 00:09:48,199 Speaker 1: other end from it, just from the get go of 189 00:09:48,720 --> 00:09:51,079 Speaker 1: Brady tone oh at home playing against the team that's 190 00:09:51,080 --> 00:09:53,720 Speaker 1: four and oh a t s now a huge dog. 191 00:09:54,240 --> 00:09:57,480 Speaker 1: I know you read Evan Abrams piece. It's a great 192 00:09:57,480 --> 00:10:00,200 Speaker 1: spot the back Tampa. Historically, this is a good a 193 00:10:00,240 --> 00:10:04,160 Speaker 1: good time to take a favorite like this. But I 194 00:10:04,160 --> 00:10:06,600 Speaker 1: think the pau is right for everyone. But Tampa right 195 00:10:06,640 --> 00:10:09,079 Speaker 1: now is what's up with Brady? Like like rarely, he 196 00:10:09,160 --> 00:10:11,000 Speaker 1: is the guy on the injury report. I think they 197 00:10:11,000 --> 00:10:12,480 Speaker 1: had him on there for a shoulder like a road 198 00:10:12,520 --> 00:10:15,240 Speaker 1: tartir cuff maybe and then a finger. Yeah, not a 199 00:10:15,280 --> 00:10:17,480 Speaker 1: big deal. He was supposed to take Wednesday's off anyway. 200 00:10:17,520 --> 00:10:20,360 Speaker 1: He was still at the facility againting treatment, watching the practice. 201 00:10:21,120 --> 00:10:23,840 Speaker 1: That's something a monitor because like to me, I'm gonna 202 00:10:23,880 --> 00:10:26,760 Speaker 1: put a favorite of over eight points into our contest. 203 00:10:27,400 --> 00:10:30,200 Speaker 1: I gotta know it's all right. So again, weeks like 204 00:10:30,240 --> 00:10:31,360 Speaker 1: this we can talk about litle bit. I do a 205 00:10:31,400 --> 00:10:33,520 Speaker 1: lot of chalky stuff. I think we talked about last 206 00:10:33,520 --> 00:10:36,000 Speaker 1: week with the London games. It's like eighteen and three 207 00:10:36,080 --> 00:10:38,800 Speaker 1: or nineteen and three now the favorite on the money 208 00:10:38,800 --> 00:10:40,800 Speaker 1: line winning out right in London. So again, that's a 209 00:10:40,880 --> 00:10:43,240 Speaker 1: nice one you compare with with Tampa, with Tom Brady 210 00:10:43,280 --> 00:10:46,800 Speaker 1: tenan oh straight up after two losses. Can't beat that, Like, 211 00:10:46,840 --> 00:10:49,160 Speaker 1: that's a good spot. So there's a bunch of little 212 00:10:49,200 --> 00:10:51,000 Speaker 1: things like that I'll do this week. But trying to 213 00:10:51,040 --> 00:10:53,280 Speaker 1: convince Chad to take a banged up Brady at a 214 00:10:53,400 --> 00:10:56,080 Speaker 1: nine point favorite probably not gonna happen. But I would 215 00:10:56,080 --> 00:10:58,000 Speaker 1: just say to other people in pickpools, I would feel 216 00:10:58,000 --> 00:11:00,400 Speaker 1: comfortable taking Brady in this spot just because it is 217 00:11:00,440 --> 00:11:02,440 Speaker 1: a good position to take them and fade in Atlanta 218 00:11:02,480 --> 00:11:04,800 Speaker 1: team that could be slowly overvalud right now just because 219 00:11:04,800 --> 00:11:07,040 Speaker 1: of what they've done the last four weeks. Yeah, that's 220 00:11:07,080 --> 00:11:09,880 Speaker 1: what's making me more nervous about it is it's like 221 00:11:10,000 --> 00:11:12,440 Speaker 1: investing right you want to ride the wave and you 222 00:11:12,480 --> 00:11:16,000 Speaker 1: want to sell before you hit the peak. You want 223 00:11:16,000 --> 00:11:18,880 Speaker 1: to time the market, and we're usually really good at 224 00:11:18,920 --> 00:11:21,160 Speaker 1: timing the market on teams that are on the upswing, 225 00:11:21,600 --> 00:11:25,880 Speaker 1: as we have been with Atlanta. I worry that I 226 00:11:26,000 --> 00:11:28,120 Speaker 1: might have gone a week too long in Atlanta. I'm 227 00:11:28,120 --> 00:11:29,880 Speaker 1: having a lot of second thoughts on that one. That's 228 00:11:29,880 --> 00:11:31,640 Speaker 1: the one I have the most second thoughts on, and 229 00:11:31,640 --> 00:11:34,040 Speaker 1: it's not in our contest right now anyway. So you 230 00:11:34,280 --> 00:11:36,000 Speaker 1: touch on the sea all's real quick. Yeah, let's talk 231 00:11:36,000 --> 00:11:37,800 Speaker 1: about this. I want to go through our our sort 232 00:11:37,840 --> 00:11:41,840 Speaker 1: of that's making you uneasy about the Seahawks. Well, Seattle 233 00:11:41,960 --> 00:11:44,319 Speaker 1: right now is in our final five. It's one of 234 00:11:44,360 --> 00:11:48,120 Speaker 1: those situations where I am betting the number. But if 235 00:11:48,120 --> 00:11:52,280 Speaker 1: I look at the the flow of the teams, I've 236 00:11:52,280 --> 00:11:54,640 Speaker 1: got a Saints team coming off a tough loss. I've 237 00:11:54,640 --> 00:11:58,480 Speaker 1: got a Seahawks team coming off a huge win traveling again. 238 00:11:59,240 --> 00:12:03,120 Speaker 1: Is Geno for Rio? I don't know. Are his offensive 239 00:12:03,160 --> 00:12:06,800 Speaker 1: stats and the Seahawks offensive rankings inflated because of a 240 00:12:06,840 --> 00:12:10,760 Speaker 1: couple of games. Um. I looked at the number and 241 00:12:10,800 --> 00:12:13,840 Speaker 1: immediately liked, I just didn't think New Orleans should be 242 00:12:14,200 --> 00:12:16,280 Speaker 1: favored by five and a half. That's really what it is. 243 00:12:17,320 --> 00:12:19,719 Speaker 1: So I played the number. That's it, you know, I 244 00:12:19,760 --> 00:12:21,760 Speaker 1: would say the pros, that's what they were talking about. 245 00:12:21,800 --> 00:12:23,880 Speaker 1: Kind of the Seahawks. They're big. Pause. Like a couple 246 00:12:23,880 --> 00:12:25,200 Speaker 1: of guys that called me and said why they like 247 00:12:25,280 --> 00:12:28,440 Speaker 1: the Saints is okay, I'm buying high on Gino, who 248 00:12:28,520 --> 00:12:32,960 Speaker 1: just beat Aligns terrible defense in Atlanta, Atlanta, terrible defense 249 00:12:33,000 --> 00:12:35,079 Speaker 1: at home again. He didn't beat Atlanta bumps, and he 250 00:12:35,120 --> 00:12:37,400 Speaker 1: put up staff. He put up good numbers against them. 251 00:12:37,720 --> 00:12:41,120 Speaker 1: He got shut down by Denver. Will not shut down. 252 00:12:41,120 --> 00:12:43,120 Speaker 1: He just didn't do much against Denver in the second half. 253 00:12:43,600 --> 00:12:45,880 Speaker 1: He did nothing against the fourty niners, right, he put 254 00:12:45,960 --> 00:12:48,160 Speaker 1: up zero points. The only point they scored was on 255 00:12:48,160 --> 00:12:50,839 Speaker 1: a blocked field goal. So I kind of get where 256 00:12:50,840 --> 00:12:54,120 Speaker 1: they're coming from. The Seattle team. It's just, honestly me 257 00:12:54,240 --> 00:12:56,680 Speaker 1: fade New Orleans like they're they're coming off and they're 258 00:12:56,679 --> 00:12:58,760 Speaker 1: skipped a bye week right coming back from England. They 259 00:12:58,760 --> 00:13:00,240 Speaker 1: had option to take a bye week this and no, 260 00:13:00,760 --> 00:13:03,360 Speaker 1: they're coming off even a longer travel than Seattle is 261 00:13:03,679 --> 00:13:08,640 Speaker 1: um coming back home to New Orleans. And maybe you're right, 262 00:13:08,760 --> 00:13:11,040 Speaker 1: maybe like what I'm what I'm overlooking is affect that 263 00:13:11,040 --> 00:13:13,160 Speaker 1: any Golden is that much of an upgrade over Winston, 264 00:13:13,920 --> 00:13:16,520 Speaker 1: because again Winston was just a corpseback there. He'd really 265 00:13:16,520 --> 00:13:18,400 Speaker 1: been doing enough, and we saw any Dolan really turned 266 00:13:18,440 --> 00:13:20,160 Speaker 1: on that second quarter and kind of going forward against 267 00:13:20,200 --> 00:13:23,240 Speaker 1: the Vikings. I'm with you, it's a tough one. But 268 00:13:23,320 --> 00:13:25,199 Speaker 1: to me, I just like the number of the sense 269 00:13:25,280 --> 00:13:27,839 Speaker 1: I think Gino he'll be able to backdoor. This number 270 00:13:27,880 --> 00:13:30,360 Speaker 1: just just feels like a Satts team that Yeah, they're 271 00:13:30,360 --> 00:13:33,079 Speaker 1: strong against the run, but we've seen teams going to 272 00:13:33,120 --> 00:13:34,839 Speaker 1: move it like Kirk Cousins just moved the ball in 273 00:13:34,880 --> 00:13:38,640 Speaker 1: this this Satans defense. Um, again, I don't think Gino 274 00:13:38,720 --> 00:13:40,720 Speaker 1: is as good as Kirk, but it's not that much worse. 275 00:13:40,880 --> 00:13:42,920 Speaker 1: And he got his weapons a DK metcalf and lock 276 00:13:43,040 --> 00:13:46,120 Speaker 1: it like those are all good weapons. So maybe me 277 00:13:46,240 --> 00:13:48,720 Speaker 1: Chad gets scared off of it because again he's hearing 278 00:13:48,760 --> 00:13:51,240 Speaker 1: noise from people too, and like it's it is. It 279 00:13:51,240 --> 00:13:54,200 Speaker 1: feels like we're kind of like you just said, we're 280 00:13:54,240 --> 00:13:57,360 Speaker 1: staying along with the public on this on this Seahawks 281 00:13:57,400 --> 00:13:59,120 Speaker 1: team where it feels like we much we should maybe 282 00:13:59,200 --> 00:14:01,880 Speaker 1: jump off. But man, I just got a bad grade 283 00:14:01,880 --> 00:14:04,080 Speaker 1: on the scenes team. Like they again they're so lucky 284 00:14:04,120 --> 00:14:05,800 Speaker 1: they have that one win. They stole a week one 285 00:14:05,800 --> 00:14:07,959 Speaker 1: again to Atlanta because they look like an OH and 286 00:14:08,040 --> 00:14:10,360 Speaker 1: four team this year. They just things haven't really gone 287 00:14:10,400 --> 00:14:13,360 Speaker 1: their way in most of these games. So I'm I'm 288 00:14:13,360 --> 00:14:15,840 Speaker 1: not gonna fight you on a Chad comes Sunday, but 289 00:14:16,040 --> 00:14:17,240 Speaker 1: I do feel like it's gonna be one of those 290 00:14:17,280 --> 00:14:19,200 Speaker 1: we're gonna be like fighting about who's gonna be our 291 00:14:19,240 --> 00:14:20,440 Speaker 1: fifth one in it's gonna be hard to take the 292 00:14:20,440 --> 00:14:24,160 Speaker 1: Seahawks out. Yeah, all right, well I agree with you. Uh. 293 00:14:24,360 --> 00:14:29,160 Speaker 1: Next on the list the Houston Texans. Uh, if we 294 00:14:29,200 --> 00:14:31,920 Speaker 1: can get it at seven and a half, we like 295 00:14:32,040 --> 00:14:34,640 Speaker 1: it at seven and a half. I think I still 296 00:14:34,720 --> 00:14:38,920 Speaker 1: like it at seven and a half. But it does 297 00:14:39,000 --> 00:14:43,440 Speaker 1: feel a little bit like a trappy spot. And even 298 00:14:43,480 --> 00:14:48,680 Speaker 1: though it's divisional game, the Jaguars all of a sudden, 299 00:14:48,680 --> 00:14:51,080 Speaker 1: I think are getting the credit they deserve in the market. 300 00:14:52,240 --> 00:14:56,760 Speaker 1: And I feel like this is a really good team 301 00:14:56,920 --> 00:15:00,840 Speaker 1: and I love them against the Eagle. I think they 302 00:15:00,840 --> 00:15:04,000 Speaker 1: could have covered against the Eagles. It was a bad 303 00:15:04,040 --> 00:15:07,800 Speaker 1: game for Trevor Lawrence. I think they go home and 304 00:15:07,840 --> 00:15:09,840 Speaker 1: they start to see how good they are and Doug 305 00:15:09,880 --> 00:15:15,960 Speaker 1: Peterson has them playing and believing. I could just see 306 00:15:16,000 --> 00:15:20,280 Speaker 1: this becoming a blowout game against a competitive but not 307 00:15:20,400 --> 00:15:24,240 Speaker 1: talented Texans team. It worries me, Yeah, and you would. 308 00:15:24,320 --> 00:15:27,080 Speaker 1: You would honestly think that if we if the Jaguars 309 00:15:27,120 --> 00:15:29,480 Speaker 1: or who we think they are, which is a top five, 310 00:15:29,600 --> 00:15:32,360 Speaker 1: top six team in the FC right now, this should 311 00:15:32,360 --> 00:15:33,600 Speaker 1: be what you just talked about. The should be able 312 00:15:33,640 --> 00:15:36,120 Speaker 1: to come home after a bad loss and dominate a 313 00:15:36,160 --> 00:15:38,560 Speaker 1: bad team. Just like, again, the Charges were on the 314 00:15:38,600 --> 00:15:41,200 Speaker 1: road and did it against this team last week. I'm 315 00:15:41,240 --> 00:15:43,960 Speaker 1: with you, it feels a little yeah, like it doesn't 316 00:15:43,960 --> 00:15:45,680 Speaker 1: really give me a bunch of confidence bet in the 317 00:15:45,720 --> 00:15:47,080 Speaker 1: seven and a half. It kind of just feels like 318 00:15:47,080 --> 00:15:48,920 Speaker 1: I'm going through the motions of something I should do 319 00:15:49,080 --> 00:15:52,640 Speaker 1: where I'm paying. I'm honestly, I'm willing to pay it 320 00:15:52,640 --> 00:15:54,760 Speaker 1: that I'm willing to pay to see the Jaguars be 321 00:15:54,840 --> 00:15:57,920 Speaker 1: the team we think they are, because to me, it's 322 00:15:57,920 --> 00:16:00,360 Speaker 1: always interests on books in the public move and number 323 00:16:00,440 --> 00:16:03,640 Speaker 1: after a team loses. So the Jaguars lost, their divisional 324 00:16:03,640 --> 00:16:05,920 Speaker 1: odds went up got better, means they became more of 325 00:16:05,920 --> 00:16:08,200 Speaker 1: a favorite to win the AFC South, and the Super 326 00:16:08,240 --> 00:16:11,320 Speaker 1: Bowl odds got better. So clearly, I think other people 327 00:16:11,360 --> 00:16:12,840 Speaker 1: are kind of with us now at this point where 328 00:16:12,880 --> 00:16:14,800 Speaker 1: it's like, okay, they're probably the best in their division. 329 00:16:16,040 --> 00:16:18,240 Speaker 1: I don't know, it's just hard for me to be like, yeah, 330 00:16:18,320 --> 00:16:21,240 Speaker 1: take the Jaguars minus seven and a half. We're as 331 00:16:21,240 --> 00:16:24,440 Speaker 1: a pro just like, yeah, you take that in this position, 332 00:16:24,520 --> 00:16:26,520 Speaker 1: You take the dog seven and a half a divisional 333 00:16:26,600 --> 00:16:29,360 Speaker 1: game against a team that who are they to get 334 00:16:29,400 --> 00:16:31,920 Speaker 1: that kind of number? Like the Jaguars haven't proven it yet. 335 00:16:31,960 --> 00:16:35,440 Speaker 1: They gotta earn earned to me, earned that number. Um, 336 00:16:35,600 --> 00:16:38,880 Speaker 1: the only thing that really dominated this year was the Colts, 337 00:16:39,160 --> 00:16:41,280 Speaker 1: And like, we've kind of seen what the Colts are, right, 338 00:16:41,320 --> 00:16:43,520 Speaker 1: So yeah, I'm willing to pay for them to prove it. 339 00:16:43,560 --> 00:16:47,200 Speaker 1: But yeah, sliding out of our contest it seems likely. 340 00:16:47,240 --> 00:16:49,640 Speaker 1: But again, seven and a half, it's so tempting to 341 00:16:49,680 --> 00:16:51,760 Speaker 1: put in because it's just that it's just a nice number, 342 00:16:52,040 --> 00:16:56,080 Speaker 1: Isn't it weird how sometimes we see numbers like this 343 00:16:57,040 --> 00:17:00,440 Speaker 1: and we know the right side. We go to bet 344 00:17:00,480 --> 00:17:02,600 Speaker 1: the number and it's a no brainer. We don't care 345 00:17:02,640 --> 00:17:05,440 Speaker 1: who the teams are, we don't care what the circumstances are. 346 00:17:06,400 --> 00:17:07,919 Speaker 1: I think this is. You know, we talked about this 347 00:17:07,960 --> 00:17:11,879 Speaker 1: all the time about our biases getting in the way, 348 00:17:12,200 --> 00:17:15,800 Speaker 1: and last year that we struggled with this a lot, Right, 349 00:17:16,320 --> 00:17:18,520 Speaker 1: So all of a sudden we are in love with 350 00:17:18,520 --> 00:17:21,240 Speaker 1: this Jaguars team. We have been open about it since 351 00:17:21,240 --> 00:17:25,840 Speaker 1: the season began, our our biases about the potential we 352 00:17:25,960 --> 00:17:28,760 Speaker 1: see for this team getting in the way of our 353 00:17:28,800 --> 00:17:32,640 Speaker 1: ability to just neutrally examine a seven and a half 354 00:17:32,680 --> 00:17:35,320 Speaker 1: and saying, yeah, this is a no brainer. Because of 355 00:17:35,359 --> 00:17:37,280 Speaker 1: course I should be in the same way the Bears 356 00:17:37,280 --> 00:17:39,640 Speaker 1: plus seven and a half should be a no brainer 357 00:17:40,240 --> 00:17:42,720 Speaker 1: against the Vikings. I'm having a really hard time pulling 358 00:17:42,760 --> 00:17:45,600 Speaker 1: the trigger around that. I think we're paying too much 359 00:17:45,640 --> 00:17:48,119 Speaker 1: attention to these teams because we're invested in them in 360 00:17:48,160 --> 00:17:50,320 Speaker 1: different ways. Well, the hard sport for me is I'm 361 00:17:50,320 --> 00:17:52,040 Speaker 1: trying to find the best five for us in the 362 00:17:52,119 --> 00:17:55,320 Speaker 1: contest where those are percentage plays, those are numbers I 363 00:17:55,320 --> 00:17:58,520 Speaker 1: get I gained you or at least above fifty lifetime. 364 00:17:58,520 --> 00:18:01,080 Speaker 1: Where you just take a team Houston in this position, 365 00:18:01,480 --> 00:18:03,280 Speaker 1: it's gonna work out for you in the divisional game. 366 00:18:03,880 --> 00:18:05,960 Speaker 1: We've seen the time and time again, usually these games 367 00:18:06,000 --> 00:18:08,399 Speaker 1: kind of work out for you. Well, we are getting 368 00:18:08,440 --> 00:18:09,879 Speaker 1: better than we were last year. Is we would be 369 00:18:09,960 --> 00:18:12,440 Speaker 1: blindly taking the Commanders this week, and I'm so happy 370 00:18:12,440 --> 00:18:14,640 Speaker 1: we're not doing it because I've been saying that number 371 00:18:14,720 --> 00:18:17,280 Speaker 1: NonStop again. I had to had a couple of pros 372 00:18:17,320 --> 00:18:18,960 Speaker 1: call me on it, but that was one of those 373 00:18:18,960 --> 00:18:21,399 Speaker 1: as soon as I heard come man, and I just 374 00:18:21,480 --> 00:18:23,320 Speaker 1: hung up. As soon as I started hearing them talk 375 00:18:23,840 --> 00:18:26,440 Speaker 1: like like I don't even want to hear it. I 376 00:18:26,440 --> 00:18:29,679 Speaker 1: don't want to be convinced into it. Um, that's one 377 00:18:29,720 --> 00:18:31,159 Speaker 1: of those were like, I want to load up on 378 00:18:31,240 --> 00:18:34,439 Speaker 1: Tennessee every roomor you here is Rivera has lost the 379 00:18:34,480 --> 00:18:36,680 Speaker 1: locker room and that team is flipped on them and 380 00:18:36,720 --> 00:18:39,560 Speaker 1: it's proved out. They've had two horrible losses two weeks 381 00:18:39,560 --> 00:18:42,680 Speaker 1: in a row to get then this divisional foe. Now 382 00:18:42,720 --> 00:18:45,919 Speaker 1: they're playing a Tennessee team that none of us know 383 00:18:45,920 --> 00:18:48,359 Speaker 1: how to really feel about. It's just a really weird game. 384 00:18:48,440 --> 00:18:51,480 Speaker 1: So I would say, me and you last year would 385 00:18:51,480 --> 00:18:53,359 Speaker 1: have been on this commander's team. I'm just so happy 386 00:18:53,400 --> 00:18:57,159 Speaker 1: we're both just like, nah, yep, that is that is 387 00:18:57,200 --> 00:19:00,359 Speaker 1: so true, by the way, right, It's so interest thing though, 388 00:19:00,480 --> 00:19:06,800 Speaker 1: how there are how we are blending the automatic play 389 00:19:06,880 --> 00:19:09,960 Speaker 1: based on a number and historical precedent and what the 390 00:19:10,000 --> 00:19:13,439 Speaker 1: wise guy play should be with what we're seeing on 391 00:19:13,480 --> 00:19:17,640 Speaker 1: the field and the player personnel and what we've seen 392 00:19:17,680 --> 00:19:19,560 Speaker 1: on the field with the Commanders and what we've seen 393 00:19:19,560 --> 00:19:22,680 Speaker 1: from Carson Wentz makes us very shy about pulling the 394 00:19:22,720 --> 00:19:25,720 Speaker 1: trigger on what should be an automatic play against a 395 00:19:25,760 --> 00:19:29,560 Speaker 1: mediocre Titans team. Uh. Fascinating. Yeah, I told you though. 396 00:19:29,760 --> 00:19:32,159 Speaker 1: One of my favorite, like one of the legends of Vegas. 397 00:19:32,200 --> 00:19:34,840 Speaker 1: My favorite lines the multiple guys are always sat but 398 00:19:34,880 --> 00:19:37,840 Speaker 1: guys always just saying in the book is hey, hey, assle, 399 00:19:37,920 --> 00:19:40,600 Speaker 1: I'm wrong for you another time. Don't take it too serious, 400 00:19:40,600 --> 00:19:43,160 Speaker 1: all right, that's the joke that goes well. At least 401 00:19:43,160 --> 00:19:45,320 Speaker 1: I know I got a four intent chance. So that's 402 00:19:45,400 --> 00:19:47,280 Speaker 1: that's the tough part about going on the other side 403 00:19:47,320 --> 00:19:50,880 Speaker 1: against professional money. Yeah, well we're doing it this week. 404 00:19:51,880 --> 00:19:54,920 Speaker 1: Speaking up, we talked about Miami Go Fins. Well, we 405 00:19:54,960 --> 00:19:56,320 Speaker 1: got to talk about that one. What do you want 406 00:19:56,320 --> 00:19:58,000 Speaker 1: to do there? Chat? Well, I don't want to put 407 00:19:58,040 --> 00:19:59,560 Speaker 1: in the contest because I want to make it our 408 00:19:59,600 --> 00:20:01,480 Speaker 1: big balls. Bet you're being a little bit about it. 409 00:20:01,520 --> 00:20:03,959 Speaker 1: You're scared, and that's when you need big balls. By 410 00:20:04,000 --> 00:20:06,520 Speaker 1: the way, No, no, no, no, no no, you're scared. No, 411 00:20:06,840 --> 00:20:08,480 Speaker 1: I'm not. I was scared too when I got woken 412 00:20:08,560 --> 00:20:13,359 Speaker 1: up here and take the jets. I'm not so scared. 413 00:20:13,440 --> 00:20:16,800 Speaker 1: I don't have ring nests, I don't pass I got nothing. 414 00:20:17,280 --> 00:20:22,160 Speaker 1: I got nothing. Okay, I got a twenty pound dog 415 00:20:22,200 --> 00:20:24,520 Speaker 1: who sleeps in a crate that's covered in the back 416 00:20:24,560 --> 00:20:29,240 Speaker 1: of the dining room. If we don't have I'm not scared, Okay, 417 00:20:29,480 --> 00:20:31,399 Speaker 1: I just don't think it's the right side. If you 418 00:20:31,440 --> 00:20:33,000 Speaker 1: want to make it our big balls better the week, 419 00:20:34,400 --> 00:20:36,919 Speaker 1: totally fine. I'm not scared either. I'm prepared. That's what 420 00:20:36,960 --> 00:20:40,000 Speaker 1: I like to think a well. In this case, you 421 00:20:40,000 --> 00:20:42,600 Speaker 1: know what I think you are. I think you're the bitch. 422 00:20:42,840 --> 00:20:46,320 Speaker 1: I think you're the one who's so influenced by what 423 00:20:46,359 --> 00:20:48,960 Speaker 1: everyone else is doing you can't see the forest for 424 00:20:49,000 --> 00:20:51,800 Speaker 1: the trees. And I'm telling you right now, Miami is 425 00:20:51,840 --> 00:20:53,920 Speaker 1: the right side of this game. And we are going 426 00:20:54,000 --> 00:20:56,280 Speaker 1: head to head bet to bet, Sharks and Jets. We 427 00:20:56,320 --> 00:21:01,800 Speaker 1: are against each other in this game, very god very 428 00:21:02,520 --> 00:21:09,960 Speaker 1: bad guy. Only we just disagree. But what does it 429 00:21:10,040 --> 00:21:11,760 Speaker 1: ever work that when you write it with the public. 430 00:21:12,480 --> 00:21:16,800 Speaker 1: I don't think ever and never literally the definition of 431 00:21:16,800 --> 00:21:19,919 Speaker 1: stepping in it. No, I'm not. I'm not. I'm not 432 00:21:19,960 --> 00:21:22,440 Speaker 1: stepping in it. I hate them on such an island 433 00:21:22,440 --> 00:21:24,880 Speaker 1: here because I hate this Jets bet too. But it's 434 00:21:24,920 --> 00:21:26,639 Speaker 1: just one of those it feels like I have to 435 00:21:26,760 --> 00:21:29,600 Speaker 1: make it. It's just a smart side. Let's go big 436 00:21:29,680 --> 00:21:35,560 Speaker 1: ball better the week Jets plus three? Is it plus 437 00:21:35,600 --> 00:21:37,600 Speaker 1: three or three and a half? Right now, I'll do three. 438 00:21:37,800 --> 00:21:39,640 Speaker 1: That's how much of a man I am New York 439 00:21:39,720 --> 00:21:47,920 Speaker 1: Jets plus three is our big Balls bet of the week. Listen, now, 440 00:21:47,960 --> 00:21:51,679 Speaker 1: I'll be torn because I always want I always all 441 00:21:51,680 --> 00:21:54,040 Speaker 1: over again. I root for the show, but if we 442 00:21:54,080 --> 00:21:57,440 Speaker 1: don't win, I'm not going to be upset. 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One gambler dot net in West Virginia. The 481 00:24:08,320 --> 00:24:10,120 Speaker 1: next one on the list is the Browns plus three. 482 00:24:10,400 --> 00:24:12,800 Speaker 1: Still love it. Hopefully be lucky enough. This is three 483 00:24:12,800 --> 00:24:14,359 Speaker 1: and a half in our contest because that's what it 484 00:24:14,440 --> 00:24:17,159 Speaker 1: was for the early part of the week. No brainer. 485 00:24:17,440 --> 00:24:19,040 Speaker 1: Like even at two and a half, I don't hate it, 486 00:24:19,119 --> 00:24:22,080 Speaker 1: but like three is the number, Like we play that 487 00:24:22,160 --> 00:24:24,960 Speaker 1: number every time we've seen it. Now that hopefully it's 488 00:24:24,960 --> 00:24:26,879 Speaker 1: professional money or not walking in it with all the 489 00:24:26,880 --> 00:24:30,040 Speaker 1: other squares. But this is a really good spot to 490 00:24:30,040 --> 00:24:32,119 Speaker 1: take a Cleveland team that just can move the ball. 491 00:24:32,640 --> 00:24:34,480 Speaker 1: I think the Glaren thing that people have really noticed 492 00:24:34,520 --> 00:24:37,400 Speaker 1: this week is their defense might be a little suspect. 493 00:24:37,720 --> 00:24:40,240 Speaker 1: Um you looked at who they played this year. It's 494 00:24:40,240 --> 00:24:42,440 Speaker 1: been bad quarterbacks. The teams have semi been on move 495 00:24:42,520 --> 00:24:46,119 Speaker 1: the ball on this Cleveland team. But you know, to me, Chad, 496 00:24:46,480 --> 00:24:49,520 Speaker 1: I kind of we kind of touched on it. Um 497 00:24:49,359 --> 00:24:51,320 Speaker 1: I really sure pros I talked through came in heavy 498 00:24:51,320 --> 00:24:53,240 Speaker 1: on the under in this game for the simple fact 499 00:24:53,240 --> 00:24:55,440 Speaker 1: they think Nick Chubb's gonna ball control this game. So 500 00:24:56,000 --> 00:24:58,280 Speaker 1: I feel like they aligned with our view of we're 501 00:24:58,280 --> 00:25:02,880 Speaker 1: getting plus three with of the all around better healthier team. 502 00:25:03,040 --> 00:25:05,520 Speaker 1: The only scary part for us as were set, like 503 00:25:05,800 --> 00:25:08,359 Speaker 1: we're back and we're set against Herbert Me and I 504 00:25:08,359 --> 00:25:11,240 Speaker 1: don't feel great about that, but playing the numbers, that 505 00:25:11,280 --> 00:25:13,639 Speaker 1: should be closer to a pick than that plus three, 506 00:25:13,720 --> 00:25:15,760 Speaker 1: So both of you can still get that plus three 507 00:25:15,760 --> 00:25:18,320 Speaker 1: out there. Chargers getting way too much credit right now. 508 00:25:18,359 --> 00:25:22,040 Speaker 1: I think it's numbers down to two and a half. Um, 509 00:25:22,080 --> 00:25:24,880 Speaker 1: so the money is coming in on the Browns. I 510 00:25:24,920 --> 00:25:28,720 Speaker 1: think that. Uh, it's a different experience to go on 511 00:25:28,760 --> 00:25:32,720 Speaker 1: the road at Cleveland against a really talented team in 512 00:25:32,760 --> 00:25:35,760 Speaker 1: the Browns, then to go win on the road as 513 00:25:35,840 --> 00:25:40,320 Speaker 1: favorites in Houston against the Texans, and again it was close, right, 514 00:25:40,320 --> 00:25:41,800 Speaker 1: It was like a three point game. That game was 515 00:25:41,880 --> 00:25:45,199 Speaker 1: much closer than the final, So you gotta peel it back. 516 00:25:45,280 --> 00:25:48,480 Speaker 1: Keenan Allen did not practice yesterday with a hamstring injury. 517 00:25:48,520 --> 00:25:51,120 Speaker 1: It's good for us. Wednesday is usually a big sort 518 00:25:51,119 --> 00:25:53,600 Speaker 1: of indicator of whether or not you're gonna suit up 519 00:25:54,080 --> 00:25:56,840 Speaker 1: when it comes to practicing. I think Nick Chubb goes 520 00:25:56,880 --> 00:25:59,199 Speaker 1: off in this game over eighty six and a half 521 00:25:59,320 --> 00:26:02,240 Speaker 1: rushing yards. In the app following the Action Network app, 522 00:26:02,240 --> 00:26:04,199 Speaker 1: you've seen a lot of experts betting on that as 523 00:26:04,400 --> 00:26:08,320 Speaker 1: as props player props start to roll out um for 524 00:26:08,400 --> 00:26:11,080 Speaker 1: a lot of these games. So you know, I like 525 00:26:11,200 --> 00:26:13,800 Speaker 1: the Browns here. I like him a lot. First first 526 00:26:13,800 --> 00:26:15,720 Speaker 1: bet I made last week, and then I made the 527 00:26:15,720 --> 00:26:19,840 Speaker 1: Miami Dolphins minus three. Uh, the other game we loved. 528 00:26:19,840 --> 00:26:22,280 Speaker 1: You talked about it, Rams minus four and a half, 529 00:26:22,760 --> 00:26:26,800 Speaker 1: all over it. This line's moved up. Wise, guys love it. Uh, 530 00:26:27,160 --> 00:26:30,359 Speaker 1: great spot for the Rams who have the Cowboys beaten 531 00:26:30,359 --> 00:26:33,760 Speaker 1: with Cooper Rush. Right, you're gonna make that case for Miami. 532 00:26:33,840 --> 00:26:35,719 Speaker 1: You can make that case for a lot of teams. 533 00:26:35,960 --> 00:26:38,639 Speaker 1: Cooper Rush hasn't need any interceptions. Again, I'm stealing this 534 00:26:38,680 --> 00:26:40,800 Speaker 1: from Stucky from the Action Network pod. You can go 535 00:26:40,840 --> 00:26:43,679 Speaker 1: back play by play. It's about five picks that should 536 00:26:43,680 --> 00:26:47,840 Speaker 1: have been if not for defensive penalties or drops by 537 00:26:47,840 --> 00:26:50,800 Speaker 1: the other team. So this Cowboys team has beaten some 538 00:26:50,880 --> 00:26:56,200 Speaker 1: teams in chaos, uh, Washington Commanders, Bengals UM during their 539 00:26:56,240 --> 00:27:00,320 Speaker 1: little streak here Rams offensive line is trash, but I 540 00:27:00,320 --> 00:27:03,120 Speaker 1: still like the Rams at four and a half year. Yeah. Again, 541 00:27:03,119 --> 00:27:06,119 Speaker 1: there's a lot of historical stuff backing up of the 542 00:27:06,200 --> 00:27:08,960 Speaker 1: Cowboys winning a home divisional game by ten or more points. 543 00:27:08,960 --> 00:27:11,320 Speaker 1: Going on the road is not good for them, McVeigh. 544 00:27:11,359 --> 00:27:14,080 Speaker 1: After a divisional loss, coming home has been very good 545 00:27:14,080 --> 00:27:16,360 Speaker 1: for the Rams. So not only are the trends kind 546 00:27:16,359 --> 00:27:19,359 Speaker 1: of pointing to us taking the Rams, we just like 547 00:27:19,440 --> 00:27:23,760 Speaker 1: the number again, Dallas. They've had a great run. Usually 548 00:27:23,760 --> 00:27:26,400 Speaker 1: that's how football is, right, Teams get a nice little run, 549 00:27:26,480 --> 00:27:27,919 Speaker 1: have a couple of good wins, and then they just 550 00:27:27,960 --> 00:27:30,600 Speaker 1: have a letdown game. This was this game kind of stinks, 551 00:27:30,600 --> 00:27:32,920 Speaker 1: so a letdown spot for what you had to talk about. 552 00:27:32,920 --> 00:27:36,560 Speaker 1: This guy Cooper Rush four starts four and oh going 553 00:27:36,600 --> 00:27:39,760 Speaker 1: back to last year four no a t s He's 554 00:27:39,840 --> 00:27:42,480 Speaker 1: so do man like the guy. We joke all the time. 555 00:27:42,520 --> 00:27:45,000 Speaker 1: We have a luck metric here at the Action Network 556 00:27:45,040 --> 00:27:47,440 Speaker 1: that people great out. He's gonna be way up there 557 00:27:47,520 --> 00:27:49,560 Speaker 1: right now, Dallas. It feels like their bounces are just 558 00:27:49,600 --> 00:27:53,680 Speaker 1: going their way. Um, this is uh a nice matchup 559 00:27:53,720 --> 00:27:56,880 Speaker 1: for the Rams and the sense that I get people 560 00:27:56,920 --> 00:28:00,439 Speaker 1: are worried about their offensive line woes. I just I 561 00:28:00,560 --> 00:28:02,439 Speaker 1: just see this team able to move the ball against 562 00:28:02,480 --> 00:28:04,399 Speaker 1: this Dallas team that has kind of looked better than 563 00:28:04,400 --> 00:28:06,679 Speaker 1: they really are right after playing a Carson wentz Na 564 00:28:06,720 --> 00:28:10,080 Speaker 1: Daniel Jones. Now they're playing Super Bowl winning quarterback and 565 00:28:10,119 --> 00:28:12,240 Speaker 1: Matthew Stafford a guy that can really move the ball. 566 00:28:12,320 --> 00:28:14,560 Speaker 1: So we saw him able to move the ball against 567 00:28:14,600 --> 00:28:16,720 Speaker 1: the four nine or is you just couldn't finish the drives. 568 00:28:17,040 --> 00:28:18,359 Speaker 1: I don't think it'll be the same thing for this 569 00:28:18,440 --> 00:28:21,760 Speaker 1: Ramp team this week. Um, it does suck that already 570 00:28:21,760 --> 00:28:22,960 Speaker 1: bounced up the five and a half. It was like, 571 00:28:23,080 --> 00:28:25,320 Speaker 1: nice number four and a half. I would still take it, 572 00:28:25,400 --> 00:28:26,800 Speaker 1: right We talked a lot the time. I think six 573 00:28:26,840 --> 00:28:28,879 Speaker 1: is such a key number. I wouldn't mind taking it. 574 00:28:29,440 --> 00:28:31,760 Speaker 1: But it is brutal where all the money, all the 575 00:28:31,760 --> 00:28:33,639 Speaker 1: tickets are pouring in on Dallas and they moved that 576 00:28:33,680 --> 00:28:36,000 Speaker 1: line off sharp money. You hope maybe it could go 577 00:28:36,040 --> 00:28:39,200 Speaker 1: back after the public bets even more this weekend on Dallas. 578 00:28:39,240 --> 00:28:41,920 Speaker 1: But I'd wait, honest, I would wait. I don't I 579 00:28:41,960 --> 00:28:43,680 Speaker 1: gain't see you jumping up the six right now. I 580 00:28:43,680 --> 00:28:45,560 Speaker 1: would just keep waiting, hoping you get back to four 581 00:28:45,640 --> 00:28:48,480 Speaker 1: or four and a half. The other game that we loved. 582 00:28:49,160 --> 00:28:50,920 Speaker 1: And if we haven't mentioned any of the game, the 583 00:28:51,000 --> 00:28:52,600 Speaker 1: game that you still want to talk about it, we 584 00:28:52,600 --> 00:28:56,720 Speaker 1: should do it after Ravens minus three. Love love this spot. 585 00:28:58,120 --> 00:29:00,480 Speaker 1: I love the Ravens Here. Ravens are couple of players 586 00:29:00,480 --> 00:29:04,000 Speaker 1: away from being four now. And this is a team 587 00:29:04,040 --> 00:29:08,720 Speaker 1: that I think is devalued right now versus a team 588 00:29:08,720 --> 00:29:10,640 Speaker 1: in the Bengals that still has a little bit of 589 00:29:10,640 --> 00:29:12,360 Speaker 1: Super Bowl bounce and now was one a couple of 590 00:29:12,400 --> 00:29:14,600 Speaker 1: games in a row last time we saw them, they 591 00:29:14,640 --> 00:29:23,800 Speaker 1: won big. Come on, yeah, I'm more waiver. Don't fucking waiver, dude, 592 00:29:23,800 --> 00:29:26,120 Speaker 1: this is your Simon says, I'm already already bet it 593 00:29:26,200 --> 00:29:28,560 Speaker 1: mumple of times. There's no no going back. I'm invested, 594 00:29:29,200 --> 00:29:32,400 Speaker 1: um the more. The biggest pass for me right now 595 00:29:32,560 --> 00:29:35,719 Speaker 1: is who who is playing for the Ravens. We keep 596 00:29:35,760 --> 00:29:38,239 Speaker 1: getting every time I check their injury report. Are they 597 00:29:38,360 --> 00:29:42,320 Speaker 1: still starting to left a rookie a left tackle? Like again, 598 00:29:42,400 --> 00:29:44,040 Speaker 1: if you're if you're waiting on this number, I can't 599 00:29:44,080 --> 00:29:46,160 Speaker 1: see this get in before Like the worst case, I 600 00:29:46,160 --> 00:29:47,840 Speaker 1: see this getting back to minus three and a half. 601 00:29:48,520 --> 00:29:50,880 Speaker 1: Grab the three if you can, um, But again, another 602 00:29:50,880 --> 00:29:52,320 Speaker 1: one of those. I don't mind wait until Sunday to 603 00:29:52,400 --> 00:29:54,600 Speaker 1: you see the injury report. Me chatter will be on 604 00:29:54,640 --> 00:29:56,520 Speaker 1: this one. Like I love the Ravens the spot. I 605 00:29:56,520 --> 00:29:58,800 Speaker 1: think it's a good number. I would take it up 606 00:29:58,880 --> 00:30:01,080 Speaker 1: to three and a half, but hopefully you can just 607 00:30:01,080 --> 00:30:02,680 Speaker 1: get the three. It's been out there for a couple 608 00:30:02,680 --> 00:30:05,640 Speaker 1: of days now. Um, just a bad position for this 609 00:30:05,680 --> 00:30:08,360 Speaker 1: Bangles team to be in against the Ravens team that 610 00:30:08,920 --> 00:30:11,520 Speaker 1: kind of desperately needs this one right there. They're there, 611 00:30:12,120 --> 00:30:14,080 Speaker 1: they're going through it right now. They've they've been getting 612 00:30:14,080 --> 00:30:17,480 Speaker 1: interviewed all week, um about letting that Bills one really 613 00:30:17,480 --> 00:30:21,400 Speaker 1: slip away, which is again, it's not hyperbably that one 614 00:30:21,440 --> 00:30:23,600 Speaker 1: could have decided to one seed. Like both these teams 615 00:30:23,600 --> 00:30:26,080 Speaker 1: we expect to be at the top level. If they 616 00:30:26,120 --> 00:30:28,680 Speaker 1: both finished the year with the same record, the tiebreaker 617 00:30:28,720 --> 00:30:30,320 Speaker 1: goes to the Bills. They won the head to head, 618 00:30:30,400 --> 00:30:32,440 Speaker 1: so that was such a big game last week. I 619 00:30:32,480 --> 00:30:34,520 Speaker 1: just see them using that as fuel of this upcoming week. 620 00:30:34,600 --> 00:30:38,240 Speaker 1: But the fact that every guy I've heard is on 621 00:30:38,280 --> 00:30:41,880 Speaker 1: the Ravens with us, Chad, that's my paulse Like everyone 622 00:30:41,920 --> 00:30:44,000 Speaker 1: we work with feels like they're in behind with us 623 00:30:44,360 --> 00:30:46,320 Speaker 1: on the Ravens, which is can be great, like we 624 00:30:46,360 --> 00:30:49,400 Speaker 1: work with really smart guys. That's also scary where it's like, 625 00:30:49,600 --> 00:30:52,120 Speaker 1: is this one too easy because it feels that way 626 00:30:52,240 --> 00:30:54,600 Speaker 1: right like we're getting on our value team at a 627 00:30:54,680 --> 00:30:57,880 Speaker 1: field goal with the best kicker of football. Kind of 628 00:30:57,880 --> 00:31:00,760 Speaker 1: feels like we're stealing money here with the Ravens. But um, 629 00:31:00,800 --> 00:31:02,880 Speaker 1: I already took the position that I really can't get out. 630 00:31:03,360 --> 00:31:05,240 Speaker 1: I'll probably just keep betting it at three. It's just 631 00:31:05,280 --> 00:31:08,360 Speaker 1: such a good number in this game. I can't get out, 632 00:31:09,800 --> 00:31:13,280 Speaker 1: stuck in a moment, get out of it. So my 633 00:31:13,720 --> 00:31:16,400 Speaker 1: last one was gonna try to convince you on and 634 00:31:16,560 --> 00:31:19,000 Speaker 1: I know there's no web donut, but because it's so chalky, 635 00:31:20,080 --> 00:31:23,120 Speaker 1: talk to me about this Eagle's brother, you know what. 636 00:31:25,760 --> 00:31:29,560 Speaker 1: I'm coming around, coming around, good, coming around. I've been 637 00:31:29,560 --> 00:31:32,520 Speaker 1: watching more Hurts interviews because that guy is a cool 638 00:31:32,600 --> 00:31:40,360 Speaker 1: as a cute cumber. I love Jalen Hurts. I I 639 00:31:40,400 --> 00:31:44,880 Speaker 1: feel like there's some real disarray on the Cardinals right now. 640 00:31:46,080 --> 00:31:48,760 Speaker 1: Cliff Kingsbridge is not a very good coach, and this 641 00:31:48,840 --> 00:31:51,480 Speaker 1: team continues to get pummeled in the first half. It's 642 00:31:51,520 --> 00:31:54,200 Speaker 1: like he it's almost like he doesn't really know how 643 00:31:54,200 --> 00:31:56,520 Speaker 1: to prepare for the game, doesn't know how to do 644 00:31:56,600 --> 00:31:59,520 Speaker 1: anything to get the team ready until he sees what's 645 00:31:59,520 --> 00:32:02,800 Speaker 1: happening the field. Then clearly he's good at making adjustments 646 00:32:02,840 --> 00:32:05,200 Speaker 1: because this team is really good in the second half. 647 00:32:05,240 --> 00:32:10,560 Speaker 1: That's what gives me pause is that the Eagles tend 648 00:32:10,600 --> 00:32:13,720 Speaker 1: to let teams back in it, and the Eagles tend 649 00:32:13,800 --> 00:32:16,680 Speaker 1: to be a great first half team. So you're getting 650 00:32:16,680 --> 00:32:19,640 Speaker 1: a great first half team against the great second half team. 651 00:32:19,680 --> 00:32:21,800 Speaker 1: With the second half team on the road and a 652 00:32:21,800 --> 00:32:24,560 Speaker 1: lot of variants in the quarterback who can sneak away 653 00:32:24,680 --> 00:32:27,560 Speaker 1: and make plays, they can keep a game closer than 654 00:32:27,600 --> 00:32:30,480 Speaker 1: it should be. That's my biggest pause. It's fair. So again, 655 00:32:30,520 --> 00:32:32,880 Speaker 1: if you're feeling like Chat is, just do Eagles first half, 656 00:32:32,920 --> 00:32:35,840 Speaker 1: then I think it's minus three and a half at 657 00:32:35,840 --> 00:32:39,440 Speaker 1: plus money or minus three and minus one. Just do that. 658 00:32:39,520 --> 00:32:41,400 Speaker 1: If you're kind of the same botus Chat, I'm more 659 00:32:41,440 --> 00:32:44,040 Speaker 1: look at it as all right, I've seen them play 660 00:32:44,080 --> 00:32:46,840 Speaker 1: four games now on a team that everyone coming to 661 00:32:46,840 --> 00:32:49,080 Speaker 1: the airs down. We're all down on this team right 662 00:32:49,280 --> 00:32:52,080 Speaker 1: coming to the year. Just the Mojile felled off of Arizona, 663 00:32:52,120 --> 00:32:54,240 Speaker 1: we all felt like they overachieved last year, and so's 664 00:32:54,280 --> 00:32:57,440 Speaker 1: me natural aggression for this team. Yeah, cha had neither 665 00:32:57,480 --> 00:32:59,000 Speaker 1: of us had hasn't had them in the playoffs when 666 00:32:59,000 --> 00:33:01,360 Speaker 1: we did before the year or seven from the NFC, 667 00:33:01,960 --> 00:33:04,480 Speaker 1: So I was luckily down and coming in on him. 668 00:33:04,520 --> 00:33:07,040 Speaker 1: This year. We didn't play two home games. They play 669 00:33:07,040 --> 00:33:10,320 Speaker 1: against the Chiefs. They lost, No big deal. I was 670 00:33:10,360 --> 00:33:12,000 Speaker 1: Week one. The Chiefs are probably the best, one of 671 00:33:12,000 --> 00:33:15,080 Speaker 1: the best teams in football. In Week three, they played 672 00:33:15,120 --> 00:33:18,640 Speaker 1: the Rams at home. They were down, uh what was 673 00:33:18,680 --> 00:33:20,880 Speaker 1: a twenty to six heading to the fourth quarter. I 674 00:33:20,880 --> 00:33:22,480 Speaker 1: think they got a late touchdown so it made a 675 00:33:22,880 --> 00:33:25,720 Speaker 1: twelve game. So again, they're two home games. They got 676 00:33:25,760 --> 00:33:27,440 Speaker 1: dominated by the Ramps, who we're just talking about. I 677 00:33:27,440 --> 00:33:29,600 Speaker 1: don't think they're that good, and absolutely dominated by the 678 00:33:29,640 --> 00:33:31,600 Speaker 1: Chiefs that we do think is a good team. Then 679 00:33:31,640 --> 00:33:33,280 Speaker 1: they went on the road. They beat Carolina, which we 680 00:33:33,280 --> 00:33:35,920 Speaker 1: all think is the joke. They beat Vegas, right, they 681 00:33:35,920 --> 00:33:38,560 Speaker 1: had that insane comeback. They're down twenty three to three. 682 00:33:38,840 --> 00:33:41,280 Speaker 1: It came all the way back against Vegas. So I'm 683 00:33:41,280 --> 00:33:43,880 Speaker 1: looking at a team that, yeah, they've been able to 684 00:33:43,920 --> 00:33:48,320 Speaker 1: do art against bad teams and have crazy comebacks. Again, 685 00:33:48,320 --> 00:33:50,160 Speaker 1: I'm not here to shoot on Josh McDaniels. Is he 686 00:33:50,200 --> 00:33:52,120 Speaker 1: really that good of a coach? Certainly not in Nick 687 00:33:52,160 --> 00:33:54,840 Speaker 1: Sirianni's level right now. So I look at the Egos 688 00:33:54,840 --> 00:33:57,400 Speaker 1: team that's got a really good defense, a really good 689 00:33:57,440 --> 00:33:59,680 Speaker 1: head coach, and then an offense I can move the 690 00:33:59,680 --> 00:34:03,719 Speaker 1: ball no weather, they're indoors this week against an Arizona team. 691 00:34:03,800 --> 00:34:06,560 Speaker 1: I love it under six and it's like, my again, 692 00:34:06,640 --> 00:34:09,279 Speaker 1: my biggest pause is this is another game like I'm 693 00:34:09,280 --> 00:34:12,000 Speaker 1: throwing the Eagle's money line in there with Tampa and 694 00:34:12,080 --> 00:34:14,880 Speaker 1: throwing them in there with Green Bay like you're giving 695 00:34:14,920 --> 00:34:16,920 Speaker 1: You're giving people free money. It feels like when you're 696 00:34:16,920 --> 00:34:19,160 Speaker 1: moving that number under six because everyone's gonna tease the 697 00:34:19,160 --> 00:34:21,239 Speaker 1: Eagles down. Everyone's gonna have them in a teaser. So 698 00:34:21,680 --> 00:34:24,000 Speaker 1: that's probably my biggest pause. But again, chalk does win. 699 00:34:24,920 --> 00:34:27,520 Speaker 1: You're scared, Like Chad just said, just go first half 700 00:34:27,520 --> 00:34:29,919 Speaker 1: the Eagles four Oh this year a t S first half, 701 00:34:29,920 --> 00:34:32,960 Speaker 1: you only need to go money line there. Cardinals had 702 00:34:33,040 --> 00:34:36,080 Speaker 1: the worst scoring discrepancy and of all teams of football 703 00:34:36,120 --> 00:34:38,480 Speaker 1: in the first half. I don't think it's scored a 704 00:34:38,480 --> 00:34:40,239 Speaker 1: single point in the first quarter this year. Maybe it's 705 00:34:40,280 --> 00:34:42,760 Speaker 1: three points. They kicked one field goal in four games 706 00:34:42,760 --> 00:34:45,360 Speaker 1: in the first quarter. They're bad. They've got major issues 707 00:34:45,360 --> 00:34:48,600 Speaker 1: in Arizona. We're talked about last show and seven a 708 00:34:48,680 --> 00:34:51,160 Speaker 1: t s oh and seven straight up Arizona as well 709 00:34:51,200 --> 00:34:54,080 Speaker 1: their last seven home games. Um, it just feels like, 710 00:34:54,120 --> 00:34:56,120 Speaker 1: get five and a half. We're getting a good number 711 00:34:56,160 --> 00:34:59,400 Speaker 1: and like I know, maybe two pros again out of 712 00:34:59,480 --> 00:35:02,200 Speaker 1: like fifty the twenty guys I talked to that liked 713 00:35:02,200 --> 00:35:05,279 Speaker 1: the Arizona and I asked them why, it's kind of 714 00:35:05,280 --> 00:35:07,560 Speaker 1: what Chad just said. They're like, well, Eagles second half, 715 00:35:07,640 --> 00:35:10,120 Speaker 1: Kyler Murray's second half, he'll just turn it on. Maybe 716 00:35:10,120 --> 00:35:12,640 Speaker 1: he'll get the back door, which is all fun and well, 717 00:35:12,760 --> 00:35:14,880 Speaker 1: so I get if Chad doesn't let me put in 718 00:35:14,960 --> 00:35:16,840 Speaker 1: the contest, but to me, you have to bet this 719 00:35:16,920 --> 00:35:19,480 Speaker 1: first half in the Eagles. This is a really nice matchup. 720 00:35:19,719 --> 00:35:23,279 Speaker 1: UM on a team that literally dominates first half. First, 721 00:35:23,280 --> 00:35:26,080 Speaker 1: a team that has been horrible all season in the 722 00:35:26,080 --> 00:35:29,600 Speaker 1: first half. I'm surprised. I thought I didn't know what 723 00:35:29,680 --> 00:35:31,920 Speaker 1: you were going to bring up. I'm surprised you to 724 00:35:32,000 --> 00:35:36,200 Speaker 1: bring up the Raiders or the Bears. Tell me about 725 00:35:36,200 --> 00:35:38,360 Speaker 1: the because Raiders we had a long conversation about the 726 00:35:38,400 --> 00:35:42,359 Speaker 1: other day. Yeah, and Raiders again. Someone called me out 727 00:35:42,400 --> 00:35:45,560 Speaker 1: and said, well, they got absolutely blown out last year. 728 00:35:45,600 --> 00:35:47,560 Speaker 1: Like I think my Home's beat him by forty in 729 00:35:47,680 --> 00:35:49,680 Speaker 1: both games. And it's like we'll go look at the 730 00:35:49,719 --> 00:35:52,160 Speaker 1: year before, like Derek Carr won a game against them, 731 00:35:52,160 --> 00:35:54,600 Speaker 1: and I think they lost the other game by six points. Um, 732 00:35:54,640 --> 00:35:57,240 Speaker 1: I know historically right, that guy is right where Derek 733 00:35:57,239 --> 00:36:02,080 Speaker 1: Carr isn't fairly well against my homes. Uh, statistically, mahomes 734 00:36:02,080 --> 00:36:05,799 Speaker 1: and primetime games should be an auto play. He I 735 00:36:05,800 --> 00:36:09,040 Speaker 1: think I haven't wrote about it. He's been unbelievable in 736 00:36:09,040 --> 00:36:11,480 Speaker 1: these primetimes. The hell meet Chad just got smoked by 737 00:36:11,520 --> 00:36:14,800 Speaker 1: him last week on a Sunday night primetime game, leaking 738 00:36:14,840 --> 00:36:17,040 Speaker 1: confidence like a mother on that one. Like I was 739 00:36:17,239 --> 00:36:19,759 Speaker 1: excited to bet it. Fuck it. I'll just do the 740 00:36:19,840 --> 00:36:21,800 Speaker 1: over and just be happy with that because I just 741 00:36:21,800 --> 00:36:23,680 Speaker 1: see these two teams putting up points. I still like 742 00:36:23,800 --> 00:36:26,759 Speaker 1: the Raiders offense. My issue is like, how am I 743 00:36:26,800 --> 00:36:29,560 Speaker 1: gonna find stops on their defense? Like the only thing 744 00:36:29,560 --> 00:36:31,520 Speaker 1: that stops the Chief seems like it is my homes. 745 00:36:31,640 --> 00:36:33,960 Speaker 1: Like that game against the Colts that was not the 746 00:36:33,960 --> 00:36:35,960 Speaker 1: Colts winning, that was Kelsey dropping a touchdown the back 747 00:36:36,000 --> 00:36:37,680 Speaker 1: of the end zone of up eleven with two minutes 748 00:36:37,719 --> 00:36:41,239 Speaker 1: to go. So it's I'm with the fans of the 749 00:36:41,239 --> 00:36:44,440 Speaker 1: show being like, please don't make me bet the Raiders. Fine, 750 00:36:44,600 --> 00:36:46,440 Speaker 1: I won't. I won't do it. We won't have him 751 00:36:46,440 --> 00:36:49,279 Speaker 1: in the contest. Seven a half though, so tempting because 752 00:36:49,280 --> 00:36:51,000 Speaker 1: that's what it's gonna be most likely. I see this 753 00:36:51,080 --> 00:36:53,719 Speaker 1: never again the seven and a half, but stayed away 754 00:36:53,719 --> 00:36:56,759 Speaker 1: from that one. There's I I feel like you're gonna 755 00:36:56,760 --> 00:36:58,319 Speaker 1: come to me Sunday morning. I probably able to get 756 00:36:58,320 --> 00:37:00,239 Speaker 1: convinced on it because I'm with you chatted. It's like 757 00:37:01,040 --> 00:37:02,960 Speaker 1: there's just something about these teams coming up from back 758 00:37:02,960 --> 00:37:05,719 Speaker 1: from London playing at home. I just think it's a 759 00:37:05,760 --> 00:37:09,160 Speaker 1: bad spot for them. But again, the biggest pause with 760 00:37:09,200 --> 00:37:11,640 Speaker 1: the Bears team is we don't know we're getting from 761 00:37:11,680 --> 00:37:15,799 Speaker 1: fields like this team they're just not competitive, like even 762 00:37:15,800 --> 00:37:18,759 Speaker 1: when they're in games. That's my fear. It's like, I 763 00:37:18,760 --> 00:37:20,160 Speaker 1: don't know if if we were going to take the 764 00:37:20,160 --> 00:37:22,759 Speaker 1: Bears ignore honestly be a bet on fading Kirk right 765 00:37:22,800 --> 00:37:24,880 Speaker 1: because it's such a big spread for a guy in 766 00:37:24,920 --> 00:37:29,240 Speaker 1: a divisional game. But I got no numbers the backup 767 00:37:29,280 --> 00:37:31,120 Speaker 1: take them here like this line to me is good. 768 00:37:31,760 --> 00:37:33,799 Speaker 1: I have it at six or seven, Like that's a 769 00:37:33,840 --> 00:37:37,759 Speaker 1: fair price. Um, I just I don't know. There's other 770 00:37:37,760 --> 00:37:40,280 Speaker 1: games I'd rather take right that happen to be sweating 771 00:37:40,280 --> 00:37:43,640 Speaker 1: the Bears and your boy Fields. The interesting thing about 772 00:37:43,640 --> 00:37:48,960 Speaker 1: the Bears to me, everybody in the league knows that 773 00:37:49,000 --> 00:37:53,480 Speaker 1: they can't pass right now, Cooper Cup has more receptions 774 00:37:53,520 --> 00:38:00,200 Speaker 1: than Justin Fields has completions. Okay, but the Bears, even 775 00:38:00,320 --> 00:38:04,400 Speaker 1: if everybody knows what they're gonna do, are still averaging 776 00:38:05,040 --> 00:38:10,000 Speaker 1: five point two yards per carry, which is top five 777 00:38:10,040 --> 00:38:13,239 Speaker 1: in the NFL. And if if you had said to me, well, 778 00:38:13,280 --> 00:38:15,880 Speaker 1: the Bears are the number one team in rushing in 779 00:38:15,960 --> 00:38:18,480 Speaker 1: terms of total rushing yards, I'd be like, who gives 780 00:38:18,480 --> 00:38:20,799 Speaker 1: a fuck? Like they're running at fifty times a game. 781 00:38:21,520 --> 00:38:23,799 Speaker 1: You know it doesn't matter. But everyone knows what they're 782 00:38:23,800 --> 00:38:27,200 Speaker 1: doing and they're still averaging more than five yards per carry. 783 00:38:27,920 --> 00:38:31,640 Speaker 1: That means it could be a much sort of faster game. 784 00:38:31,920 --> 00:38:34,120 Speaker 1: I don't mean fast paced in terms of scoring, but 785 00:38:34,440 --> 00:38:37,600 Speaker 1: the clock will run more because the Bears will have 786 00:38:37,760 --> 00:38:43,200 Speaker 1: longer drives or be running it more. Um, that doesn't 787 00:38:43,239 --> 00:38:45,759 Speaker 1: bode well for a potentially big number like seven and 788 00:38:45,800 --> 00:38:49,359 Speaker 1: a half. Yeah, I would say, also teams, you're happy 789 00:38:49,360 --> 00:38:53,399 Speaker 1: you'll let other teams run the ball, right It's it's 790 00:38:53,560 --> 00:38:55,120 Speaker 1: one of those things where you like, I'm with you. 791 00:38:55,160 --> 00:38:56,680 Speaker 1: The Bears have actually been on move the ball. They 792 00:38:56,719 --> 00:38:58,600 Speaker 1: just aren't finishing any of these drives. Like they get 793 00:38:58,640 --> 00:39:00,880 Speaker 1: down there and you, oh, it is a bearrass fan. 794 00:39:00,920 --> 00:39:03,400 Speaker 1: If it's third and eight, third and nine, that's it 795 00:39:03,640 --> 00:39:06,239 Speaker 1: either kicking a field goal or you're not going to 796 00:39:06,320 --> 00:39:08,839 Speaker 1: pick up that first down. It's just that's the that's 797 00:39:08,840 --> 00:39:10,600 Speaker 1: the problem just in fields right now. And he's not 798 00:39:10,680 --> 00:39:12,520 Speaker 1: running it, which I don't really get, Like he is 799 00:39:12,560 --> 00:39:15,880 Speaker 1: such insane athleticism. I thought this team would roll in 800 00:39:15,960 --> 00:39:20,000 Speaker 1: now the pocket more and get him moving. Um yeah. Agin, 801 00:39:20,120 --> 00:39:21,840 Speaker 1: it's just a weird week for me where it's like 802 00:39:21,880 --> 00:39:23,680 Speaker 1: there's dogs I do like, and there's just something I 803 00:39:23,680 --> 00:39:25,920 Speaker 1: don't trust because I don't really know what to make 804 00:39:25,960 --> 00:39:28,960 Speaker 1: of these teams still, Like I just don't know. Again, 805 00:39:29,040 --> 00:39:31,200 Speaker 1: I should know what the Bears are. They're a bad 806 00:39:31,239 --> 00:39:33,560 Speaker 1: offense that likes to run the ball. I just see 807 00:39:33,560 --> 00:39:35,880 Speaker 1: so much potential in fields. I just can't really pigeonhold 808 00:39:35,920 --> 00:39:37,359 Speaker 1: them like that where it's like I see that they 809 00:39:37,400 --> 00:39:40,440 Speaker 1: have more to offer. Um, you did get who the 810 00:39:40,440 --> 00:39:42,320 Speaker 1: hell do you guys get back this week to kill Harry? 811 00:39:42,880 --> 00:39:45,840 Speaker 1: Some receiver came back. I know it's all irrelevant, but 812 00:39:45,880 --> 00:39:48,400 Speaker 1: it's just like, at least they're getting somebodies back in 813 00:39:48,440 --> 00:39:50,319 Speaker 1: the mix of guys who we know that connection catch 814 00:39:50,400 --> 00:39:52,560 Speaker 1: the ball um because we're not just seeing from the 815 00:39:52,560 --> 00:39:55,839 Speaker 1: Bears offense. I can't do it. Yeah, They're just they're 816 00:39:55,880 --> 00:39:57,920 Speaker 1: so bad right now. I just can't put them in 817 00:39:58,760 --> 00:40:01,839 Speaker 1: all right, U, All right, Well, look we've narrowed it down. 818 00:40:02,280 --> 00:40:10,799 Speaker 1: I would say our list currently looks like Seattle, Houston, Brown's, Rams, Ravens, 819 00:40:11,239 --> 00:40:16,120 Speaker 1: potentially Eagles, and you know, we'll see where the lines 820 00:40:16,680 --> 00:40:19,800 Speaker 1: fall on Sunday when it's time to put the picks 821 00:40:19,880 --> 00:40:23,319 Speaker 1: in again. Follow the phapes five in the Action Network app. 822 00:40:23,600 --> 00:40:27,720 Speaker 1: We'll have everything in there locked in by noon. Also 823 00:40:27,800 --> 00:40:31,799 Speaker 1: follow the favorite podcasts. Keep up with Our Foxhold our 824 00:40:31,880 --> 00:40:35,640 Speaker 1: Simon says, our exact decision, our Scooch Roulette, which it 825 00:40:35,760 --> 00:40:40,400 Speaker 1: is time to make a choice. When all hope is lost, 826 00:40:40,880 --> 00:40:48,600 Speaker 1: all this left is relief. Let's play Roulette, Simon. We 827 00:40:48,680 --> 00:40:52,080 Speaker 1: both lost last week. I am winning on the year. 828 00:40:52,680 --> 00:40:55,600 Speaker 1: I'm three and one. I believe you are two and two. 829 00:40:56,600 --> 00:40:59,600 Speaker 1: So it's time for me to make a scooch roulette pick. 830 00:41:00,400 --> 00:41:05,600 Speaker 1: M hmm, it's tough. It is tough. You know what 831 00:41:05,600 --> 00:41:09,040 Speaker 1: we should do? Here we go, We're so on opposite sides. 832 00:41:09,080 --> 00:41:11,560 Speaker 1: While you're making the big balls better the week the Jets, 833 00:41:12,160 --> 00:41:16,360 Speaker 1: we might as well make screwt roulette Jets and Dolphins. No, 834 00:41:16,480 --> 00:41:18,239 Speaker 1: I've learned not to put all my eggs in one 835 00:41:18,239 --> 00:41:21,640 Speaker 1: basket after the bucks last week. A coward, So your 836 00:41:21,680 --> 00:41:27,200 Speaker 1: total coward, simon hunter, professional coward. Not. I already know 837 00:41:27,239 --> 00:41:29,200 Speaker 1: I already won those bets. I'm happy to do that. 838 00:41:29,520 --> 00:41:30,839 Speaker 1: But I had a fun I had a fun move 839 00:41:30,920 --> 00:41:33,319 Speaker 1: for the scuotulet. Now you're throwing it off al well, No, 840 00:41:33,440 --> 00:41:37,280 Speaker 1: that's fine, fine, t you know what, I'm taking Miami 841 00:41:37,320 --> 00:41:42,839 Speaker 1: and a half. I am all in Chad minus three 842 00:41:42,840 --> 00:41:45,200 Speaker 1: and a half Miami, I'll take. I'll do it. That's 843 00:41:45,239 --> 00:41:48,319 Speaker 1: fine because you took the big balls at my plus three. 844 00:41:48,800 --> 00:41:50,720 Speaker 1: Because I'm a man, so I'm gonna do another manly 845 00:41:50,760 --> 00:41:54,360 Speaker 1: thing here, and I'm gonna take the Bills minus fourteen 846 00:41:54,800 --> 00:41:59,279 Speaker 1: and scot Roulette. That's how much of a man I am. No. 847 00:41:59,400 --> 00:42:01,880 Speaker 1: I just looked at this line. I was just thinking myself, 848 00:42:02,360 --> 00:42:04,440 Speaker 1: what is the one game that no one will expect 849 00:42:04,480 --> 00:42:06,600 Speaker 1: me betting for scruture letting? That's gotta be it. Who's 850 00:42:06,640 --> 00:42:10,160 Speaker 1: gonna who's gonna think I would take a fourteen point favorite? Um, 851 00:42:10,400 --> 00:42:12,920 Speaker 1: literally make the line fourteen like there's no value here. 852 00:42:12,960 --> 00:42:15,759 Speaker 1: I just I love this spot for this Bills team. 853 00:42:15,760 --> 00:42:18,799 Speaker 1: I know Brandon Anderson, one of our colleagues, gave out, 854 00:42:19,320 --> 00:42:21,520 Speaker 1: what the hell it was a Bill second half? That's 855 00:42:21,520 --> 00:42:23,040 Speaker 1: fun too. If you don't if you don't want to 856 00:42:23,040 --> 00:42:26,200 Speaker 1: pay the minus fourteen, I think, um, it might be 857 00:42:26,239 --> 00:42:29,480 Speaker 1: minus six for them. Uh. Second half Bills this year 858 00:42:29,520 --> 00:42:31,359 Speaker 1: have not been well done well the first half. They've 859 00:42:31,400 --> 00:42:34,359 Speaker 1: actually last year they're incredible first half. This year, they've 860 00:42:34,400 --> 00:42:36,239 Speaker 1: coming out a little slower. If you want to do that, 861 00:42:36,280 --> 00:42:38,600 Speaker 1: go ahead take the second half. I'm not scared of 862 00:42:38,600 --> 00:42:40,200 Speaker 1: the fourteen. I just see that. I just see them 863 00:42:40,280 --> 00:42:43,319 Speaker 1: rolling offensively and defensively. It's a great matchup for this 864 00:42:43,360 --> 00:42:46,200 Speaker 1: Bills team. We talked about this earlier in the week. 865 00:42:46,560 --> 00:42:51,160 Speaker 1: We settled on Bills as our survivor. I'd still go 866 00:42:51,360 --> 00:42:56,840 Speaker 1: with the Bills as our survivor maybe the Jacks, but 867 00:42:56,880 --> 00:43:00,000 Speaker 1: I'd probably go with Bills. Yeah, I mean another one, 868 00:43:00,000 --> 00:43:01,880 Speaker 1: and again I didn't use the Green Bay and I 869 00:43:01,960 --> 00:43:04,560 Speaker 1: thought about that. Right, we already know the circle data. 870 00:43:04,640 --> 00:43:07,320 Speaker 1: These favorites do really well winning straight up in England 871 00:43:07,760 --> 00:43:10,800 Speaker 1: Green Bay against the either banged up Daniel Jones or 872 00:43:10,840 --> 00:43:13,160 Speaker 1: no Daniel Jones. That could be a good spot. We 873 00:43:13,160 --> 00:43:15,440 Speaker 1: were just talking about Tom Brady Tenant, oh, straight up 874 00:43:15,480 --> 00:43:19,320 Speaker 1: tennano um. In a position after losing two straight games, 875 00:43:19,640 --> 00:43:21,839 Speaker 1: you expect the Bucks to win. So if you want 876 00:43:21,840 --> 00:43:23,600 Speaker 1: to save the Bills for any reason, go ahead. I 877 00:43:23,680 --> 00:43:25,960 Speaker 1: just I'd rather use the Bills here just because their 878 00:43:25,960 --> 00:43:27,359 Speaker 1: division is so tough. I don't know when we could 879 00:43:27,400 --> 00:43:31,320 Speaker 1: use them again. Should we talk about a money line? 880 00:43:31,800 --> 00:43:35,040 Speaker 1: Who this week was really hard for me? Like a 881 00:43:35,080 --> 00:43:38,680 Speaker 1: couple that were easy obviously the Browns. Chad just wanted 882 00:43:38,680 --> 00:43:42,839 Speaker 1: to open like the Jets, Seahawks. I like those three, 883 00:43:42,920 --> 00:43:45,520 Speaker 1: like right away the other ones I throw and just 884 00:43:45,560 --> 00:43:47,520 Speaker 1: because I think you have a good chance of an upset. 885 00:43:47,960 --> 00:43:50,560 Speaker 1: My fourth lag and now pains me to do it 886 00:43:50,960 --> 00:43:53,560 Speaker 1: because the Jags are a team, but the Texas gotta 887 00:43:53,600 --> 00:43:55,799 Speaker 1: get their first one. Eventually they're owing three on one 888 00:43:56,239 --> 00:43:58,840 Speaker 1: some day. Texas are gonna hit so for my biggest 889 00:43:58,840 --> 00:44:01,200 Speaker 1: dog this week, got I'm gonna of the Texans for 890 00:44:01,280 --> 00:44:03,319 Speaker 1: the fifth leg. I'll go with the Bears like that 891 00:44:03,400 --> 00:44:05,960 Speaker 1: at a big number against his Flightkings team. All Right, 892 00:44:06,040 --> 00:44:09,160 Speaker 1: I feel like you and I are misaligned on a 893 00:44:09,200 --> 00:44:11,319 Speaker 1: lot of different things this week. I know I'm feeling good. 894 00:44:11,360 --> 00:44:13,480 Speaker 1: I feel like I should double all my bets. I 895 00:44:13,520 --> 00:44:18,200 Speaker 1: could main one friend. Good luck to you. We've locked 896 00:44:18,239 --> 00:44:20,760 Speaker 1: it in. We've locked in the big balls, We've locked 897 00:44:20,800 --> 00:44:24,920 Speaker 1: in the final five. Ish well updated in the Action 898 00:44:24,920 --> 00:44:27,560 Speaker 1: Network app. Watch The Son Convinced Me. You'll probably get 899 00:44:27,560 --> 00:44:29,200 Speaker 1: a little bit of an idea of where we're leaning 900 00:44:29,480 --> 00:44:32,760 Speaker 1: if you watch The Sound Convinced Me Sunday mornings, eleven 901 00:44:32,800 --> 00:44:36,759 Speaker 1: am Eastern. Watch it in the Action Network app. It's 902 00:44:36,800 --> 00:44:38,960 Speaker 1: really cool. You can do picture and picture and then 903 00:44:39,000 --> 00:44:42,840 Speaker 1: while we're talking, while Me, Sean Croner, Chris RayBan Simon 904 00:44:42,880 --> 00:44:45,920 Speaker 1: are talking, you can immediately go make some of your bets. 905 00:44:46,280 --> 00:44:48,080 Speaker 1: You can watch it on YouTube. You can watch it 906 00:44:48,640 --> 00:44:52,239 Speaker 1: on Twitter at Action Network h Q. Friday is the 907 00:44:52,280 --> 00:44:56,040 Speaker 1: start of the Major League Baseball Playoffs. That means starting Friday. 908 00:44:56,160 --> 00:44:59,640 Speaker 1: Action Networks baseball podcast Payoff Pitch. We'll have new episodes 909 00:44:59,719 --> 00:45:03,279 Speaker 1: bay sickly every weekday through the World Series. So if 910 00:45:03,320 --> 00:45:06,319 Speaker 1: you want to bet some playoff baseball, check out the 911 00:45:06,400 --> 00:45:10,160 Speaker 1: Playoff Pitch podcast. This has been the favorites from the 912 00:45:10,239 --> 00:45:13,880 Speaker 1: Volume podcast Network. On him Chad Millman. He is Simon 913 00:45:13,920 --> 00:45:17,800 Speaker 1: Hunter for a producer Matt Mitchell. Download us from Apple 914 00:45:17,840 --> 00:45:22,440 Speaker 1: podcasts from Spotify wherever you get your podcast. Rate review, subscribe, 915 00:45:22,520 --> 00:45:25,239 Speaker 1: leave us five stars, say whatever you want. Feedback is 916 00:45:25,400 --> 00:45:29,080 Speaker 1: a gift. Until next time. I Love you.