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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast Podcast Podcast. All right,

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Speaker 1: here we go spreading in the corn.

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Speaker 2: Ten seconds remaining, we just go show up to the basket.

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Speaker 1: Under the basket, it's.

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Speaker 3: The crew for the wind. God make a miracle. I'd

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Speaker 3: chop the water hit that one from the parking lot.

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Speaker 2: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast presented by

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Speaker 2: bet MGM. I am your host, Kai, joined by the

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Speaker 2: rest of the three man Weave crew, Jim and Matt.

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Speaker 2: We've come to the end drama in the desert time.

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Speaker 2: We have our final four, a strange mix of powerhouses

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Speaker 2: and surprises looking at UNC State, and it's time for

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Speaker 2: us to break it all down from a gambling lens.

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Speaker 2: You'll get plenty of coverage from the action crew, but

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Speaker 2: we are giving you a perspective on u excuse me,

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Speaker 2: both games this weekend, sides totals, other angles, maybe some props,

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Speaker 2: and there we'll see some outstanding Player awards. Little future

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Speaker 2: talk from the boys, Yes, it'll be included in this episode.

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Speaker 2: We're gonna jump on into it, fellas. We're talking Game

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Speaker 2: one NC State Purdue, then we're talking Game two Alabama Yukon.

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Speaker 2: At the end we'll talk about some futures markets. But yeah,

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Speaker 2: let's get into it. First of all, NC State, Wow,

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Speaker 2: surprising they're here. They've won nine straight games, absolutely Cinderella's story.

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Speaker 2: They should not have beaten Virginia in the AC Tournament,

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Speaker 2: needed some magic to just get by that game, and

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Speaker 2: yet here they are, Jim. They're sitting in the national

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Speaker 2: title game against Purdue. The Boilermakers the one seed redemption

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Speaker 2: tour from losing to Fairley Dickinson last year as the

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Speaker 2: one seed won sixteen upset. Yikes, can they pull out

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Speaker 2: Virginia here? They're favored by nine points right now at MGM. Jim,

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Speaker 2: your thoughts on NC State Purdue?

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Speaker 1: Yeah? The ultimate topic of discussion here is America's sweetheart

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Speaker 1: DJ Burns taking on America's villain, Zach Edy. I don't

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Speaker 1: agree with those assessment. I'm sorry, folks. I actually enjoy

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Speaker 1: watching Zach Edy play. I know people hate it, but

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Speaker 1: I don't know. I can't help it. It's subjective. I

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Speaker 1: think this is going to be tough for Burns because

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Speaker 1: throughout this tournament he's had strength advantages in a lot

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Speaker 1: of one v one matchups. Marquet's the only team that

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Speaker 1: really doubled him. He cut them apart head seven assists.

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Speaker 1: I think Purdue is going to say good luck, here's

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Speaker 1: Zach Edy and even Trey Kaufman. Wren is like not

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Speaker 1: a tiny little pipsqueak, But the Edi matchup is the

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Speaker 1: one where he has no strength advantage. Even if he's

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Speaker 1: kind of doing his spin back and forth trying to

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Speaker 1: get to that left hand, He's got length and intelligence

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Speaker 1: in terms of how he goes and walls up vertically.

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Speaker 1: He's not going to reach over and try to block.

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Speaker 1: He's just going to make that shot super, super difficult. Now,

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Speaker 1: Matt Burns has the touch, he can potentially score over

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Speaker 1: the top of d even somebody as big as him,

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Speaker 1: but I think it takes away a go to option

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Speaker 1: Frensis State makes it tougher for them to score. On

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Speaker 1: the other end, Edie is likely to get Burns and

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Speaker 1: foul of trouble. Unfortunately, faransis State fans. I'm kind of

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Speaker 1: tilted towards Purdue that, but the magic carpet ride that

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Speaker 1: NC State is on has me a nervous betting the

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Speaker 1: full game. I think it's some of the narrower focuses

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Speaker 1: in terms of props that I think I'm gonna end

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Speaker 1: up looking at Yeah.

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Speaker 4: I think the only NC State competes in this game

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Speaker 4: in or wins as if their guards are white hot.

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Speaker 4: Dj Horn continues, his scorcher probably gets some Michael O'Connell

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Speaker 4: timely shots, Marcel Jaydan Taylor. They're gonna need those guys

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Speaker 4: today because you're not going to post up Zachi dy

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Speaker 4: one B one Right. That's been kind of in the

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Speaker 4: Burns cheat code all the way to this tournament. Now

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Speaker 4: to your point, we saw it makes some of those

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Speaker 4: like mid range floaters eight to ten feet. I think

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Speaker 4: that's the only way he's going to really score against CD.

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Speaker 4: Far less efficient that way, And if you're doing that,

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Speaker 4: you're not getting you're not drolling the gravitational pull of

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Speaker 4: the defense where you can spray it to shooters. So yeah,

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Speaker 4: NC State's gonna need to find different source of offense

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Speaker 4: in my opinion, especially if Purdue is smart and attacks

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Speaker 4: Burnsey and ball screens, which Duke was very kind of

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Speaker 4: reluctant to do, which was dumb. Like we've seen it

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Speaker 4: gets teams that have crucified NC State all year. They

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Speaker 4: just basically run hard off ball screens with Burns on there,

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Speaker 4: and Burns is on Island, but do kind of like

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Speaker 4: came off them really methodically, and Burns was there and

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Speaker 4: could slide his feet.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I think did it Mar Yeah right, they just

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Speaker 1: didn't make them.

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Speaker 4: So Yeah, if we need to avoid the variant monster,

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Speaker 4: I guess there if you're Purdue. But hey, kay, we

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Speaker 4: saw those other guards for Purdue look a little dicey

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Speaker 4: last game, like they kind of like too much of Hey, Zach,

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Speaker 4: Edie bail us out carry as They're gonna need a

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Speaker 4: little bit of lift I think in this game, especially

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Speaker 4: with how the bigs of NC State have kind.

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Speaker 2: Of emerged up front, Middlebrooks and and your boy Modiara

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Speaker 2: as well. Yeah, Purdue did not shoot well against Tennessee.

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Speaker 2: The regression kind of came for Purdue, or at least

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Speaker 2: the variants came for Purdue. They are now the number

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Speaker 2: two three point percentage team in the country after going

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Speaker 2: into that game number one. I don't see that happening

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Speaker 2: twice in C State has been very fortunate with teams

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Speaker 2: missing against them. Man, if Produce is getting the same

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Speaker 2: looks they got against Tennessee, I'll bet on Purdue to

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Speaker 2: hit those shots. Personally, I think Edie's going to destroy Burns.

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Speaker 2: I know that's not a popular take, but look at

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Speaker 2: the size man. Burns six nine, two seventy five. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: he usually has the weight edge, or he's too quick

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Speaker 2: for the plotting big Edie's seven to four to three

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Speaker 2: hundred pounds. He's always in position. You can't spin around

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Speaker 2: him either. He is wider than you. I just do

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Speaker 2: not see Edie having any trouble offensively against Burns or Middlebrooks,

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Speaker 2: even though Middlebrook's, you know, certainly a great hustle guy,

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Speaker 2: and I don't only see ed having trouble on the

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Speaker 2: defensive end. Eye gree with Jim that this could be

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Speaker 2: a foul trouble game for Burns. Purdue a glass edge significantly.

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Speaker 2: Kennoncy State keep Dye off the boards. In general, I'm

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Speaker 2: not sure we saw Kevin Keats play one three one

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Speaker 2: at UNCW. He hasn't done it much against it or

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Speaker 2: at nc State this season. But they will extend pressure.

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Speaker 2: Perhaps that's their greatest hope, Jim extending pressure and trying

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Speaker 2: to bother the guards a little bit.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I think that's that's generally a very good move.

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Speaker 1: Braiden Smith is going to have to be able to

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Speaker 1: exploit it and kind that leads into my favorite player,

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Speaker 1: that is Braiden Smith over six and a half. That

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Speaker 1: is the line right now at that MGM it is

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Speaker 1: minus one twenty five, so it does juice.

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Speaker 2: To the over. I still love it.

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Speaker 1: Though he has been brilliant dishing the ball all all postseason.

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Speaker 1: I know this probably won't be like a super high

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Speaker 1: possession game given how NC State has played, but you

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Speaker 1: just go back through Smith's game log. His assist number

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Speaker 1: seven fifteen six, the only time he's gone under in

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Speaker 1: the past, like eight seven fifteen six, ten, ten, eight ten.

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Speaker 1: He's been a complete maestro. He plays as long as

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Speaker 1: he stays out of foul trouble, which I think he should.

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Speaker 1: Will play thirty five to forty minutes in this game.

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Speaker 1: He's got the giant target and Eedie to go to

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Speaker 1: down low, and like you said, I think they shoot

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Speaker 1: the ball a little better from the perimeter. That helps

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Speaker 1: him with assist numbers as well. Very very into that angle.

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Speaker 1: Matt also just won one other small little note. I

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Speaker 1: mentioned the Magic Carpet Ride to say an air quote

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Speaker 1: so that NC State is on shock quality is not law,

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Speaker 1: it is not Bible, but it has NC State losing

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Speaker 1: five of their last six, and they have won all six.

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Speaker 1: They have been fortunate in terms of shooting variants. I

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Speaker 1: will say it's not the only reason they've won. It

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Speaker 1: is not the only reason. I think it's the only

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Speaker 1: reason they want against Marquette personally. But in like the

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Speaker 1: Duke game, they controlled that game Oakland. They were not

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Speaker 1: the worst team. They were the better team against Texas Tech,

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Speaker 1: of course, But even in like the North Carolina game

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Speaker 1: in the ACC Tournament Virginia, they win because a slot

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Speaker 1: forty footer by Michael o'connoll goes in. I think NC

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Speaker 1: State isn't as good as they have looked Matthew So again,

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Speaker 1: I do lean Purdue, and my favorite player prop is

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Speaker 1: Braden Smith over six and a half assists minus one

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Speaker 1: twenty five A slight.

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Speaker 2: Lean to Purdue.

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Speaker 4: I think the thing that the NC State that made

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Speaker 4: them undervalue coming to this tournament. They were one of

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Speaker 4: the best effective possession ratio teams. Like we talked for this,

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Speaker 4: like they don't turn it over, they turn you over

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Speaker 4: a little bit. They're pretty good on the glass on

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Speaker 4: both ends. Like their shot volume has always been, it's

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Speaker 4: been far above where their actual overall analytic ranking has

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Speaker 4: been because they hadn't shot them bull really well and

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Speaker 4: they were sort of schematically and dis and it finally

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Speaker 4: just took Keats a while to turn on the light

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Speaker 4: bulb of like, oh yeah, I have this weapon and Burns,

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Speaker 4: I have these other big guys I've just basically ignored.

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Speaker 4: And they got Jack Clark back, which has been a

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Speaker 4: huge I'm sorry, got Jack Clark. They modar Ago, which

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Speaker 4: has been a huge boon. So I do think there's

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Speaker 4: some real uptick to it. But yeah, it's obviously been

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Speaker 4: a run of insanity proportions that it's not probably not

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Speaker 4: sustainable here for nine's a big number to lay with.

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Speaker 4: How I'm just not super into the Purdue guards the

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Speaker 4: way they're playing right now.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't want to lay it.

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Speaker 1: Kay at NCCATE has given up double digit offensive rebounds

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Speaker 1: every game this tournament. They gave a double digits offensive

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Speaker 1: muns at North Carolina and the ACC final ed is

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Speaker 1: going to be all over the glass. Perdue attacks the

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Speaker 1: boards and then I think they get fifteen plus offensive boards.

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Speaker 2: Again.

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Speaker 1: All this is saying I like Perdue. Just the number

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Speaker 1: makes me queasy.

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Speaker 2: Numbers big and it's funny though NCCATE has gone up

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Speaker 2: thirty five spots and kim bump since the end of

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Speaker 2: the regular season. This number would be fifteen if it

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Speaker 2: was the end of the regular season. So it's crazy

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Speaker 2: if you I think the number I agree is a

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Speaker 2: little bit high eight and a half at some places

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Speaker 2: out there. I am considering it is up to nine

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Speaker 2: and a half in uncertain places as well, So obviously

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Speaker 2: shop around. Yeah, I'm leaning towards Purdue, but boy, it's

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Speaker 2: hard to bet against Ncstate right now with what they've

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Speaker 2: got going. Maybe Matt Painter is the answer for the

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Speaker 2: wolf Pack. All right, Before we get to our next game,

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Speaker 2: Nothing like a little spring cleaning in your pants. Okay, Fellas,

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Speaker 2: Game two, Here we go, Alabama Yukon. It's been talked

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Speaker 2: about Matthew time and time again. Yukon nine straight NCAA

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Speaker 2: tournament wins by thirteen plus points. We all saw what

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Speaker 2: they did in the Elite eight, a thirty to zero

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Speaker 2: run against a very good Illinois team. Yukon's crazy right now.

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Speaker 2: They're number one on offense, they're number four in defense.

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Speaker 2: In Kimpom. They are by far the best team. They're

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Speaker 2: one of the best teams in Kimpom's history. Right now,

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Speaker 2: I think top five is where they currently sit. Alabama,

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Speaker 2: though they have a chance they can shoot, they're high team,

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Speaker 2: big number eleven and a half twelve out there at MGM.

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Speaker 2: I believe it is eleven and a half currently. Matthew,

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Speaker 2: who do you like right now?

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Speaker 4: I'm crazy because I did take Alabama very small, and

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Speaker 4: emphasis on small because there's no provene reason to bet

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Speaker 4: anything legitimate or large.

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Speaker 2: Against this Yukon freight train.

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Speaker 4: But kind of some of the same points I mentioned

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Speaker 4: with NC State, I think BAM is a little bit

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Speaker 4: underrated in some of the possession tugg of war stuff.

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Speaker 4: They've been great on the glass all year, and I

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Speaker 4: know it's sort of like, well, you're not going to

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Speaker 4: rebound against Donovan Klingen, But with the amount of threes

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Speaker 4: they shoot, their offensive rebounds are generally long offensive rebounds,

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Speaker 4: so it's more like Scrambley type offensive rebounds that I

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Speaker 4: think they can actually find in this game to at

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Speaker 4: least give them enough shots to give them a chance

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Speaker 4: to stay inside, you know, a few possessions here. It's

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Speaker 4: sitting at twelve. I don't feel like it's going to

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Speaker 4: go any higher than twelve. We saw some late Yukon

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Speaker 4: money the last round. I think twelves at a point

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Speaker 4: where it's just like gone so far that that there

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Speaker 4: will be maybe some sharp QT buyback. But I don't

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Speaker 4: think you're going to, like, you know, if you want

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Speaker 4: to bet Yukon, bet it now, or you miss your number,

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Speaker 4: if you want to bet Alabama, you know, I don't

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Speaker 4: think you can, you know, keep waiting, I guess and

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Speaker 4: get like thirteen. It's eight on ken Pom, and I

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Speaker 4: just think the matchups that they've had have probably been

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Speaker 4: a little bit for too.

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Speaker 2: It is as dominant as they've been.

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Speaker 4: I don't know, Jim, the fact you kind of haven't

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Speaker 4: made any shots and they've been winning by a million

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Speaker 4: points sort of concerns me obviously. But Natoas is kind

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Speaker 4: of my X factor here. I think he's going to

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Speaker 4: look at the data and ignore his rigid blueprint of

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Speaker 4: rim and three and make it more meta rangey in

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Speaker 4: three because you can't just go to bat with your

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Speaker 4: basic game of a plan of attack against Yukon.

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Speaker 2: It's not going to work.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I well know. I prove that they hit their

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Speaker 1: heads against the wall repeatedly and we're zero for nineteen

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Speaker 1: with Klingon as the primary defender. They just kept going

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Speaker 1: at them and under what even talked about it in

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Speaker 1: the in game interview, and it's like, dude, this isn't

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Speaker 1: going to work.

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Speaker 2: Stop it. So, yeah, Matt, good luck to you.

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Speaker 1: QD Alabama backer a little.

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Speaker 3: I am on.

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Speaker 1: I took a Yukon early number. I tweeted it out

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Speaker 1: at minus ten and a half. I am gonna stick

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Speaker 1: with that. Actually, I don't think I'm going to like

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Speaker 1: broadly advertise min as twelve kai, but I'm just gonna

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Speaker 1: sit on that. I think it's the right side. Yukon,

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Speaker 1: like Matt has mentioned, has not had a good shooting game,

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Speaker 1: and they continue to steamroll even outstanding teams. They've gotten

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Speaker 1: up by thirty in every single NCAA tournament game so far.

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Speaker 1: Are they played. It's absolutely ludicrous. Yeah, I look at

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Speaker 1: The thing that stands out most to Yukon to me

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Speaker 1: is their dominance at the rim on both ends. Two

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Speaker 1: point percentage top five on both sides of the floor.

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Speaker 1: I know Alabama has a great offensive two point percentage,

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Speaker 1: but that is strictly a shot selection thing to me.

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Speaker 1: They don't take those mid range jumpers, so the twesda

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Speaker 1: they do take are very high value, they're not high

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Speaker 1: value against Yukon. You can't really capture how intimidating and

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Speaker 1: imposing Clinging is at the rim. He just takes everything

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Speaker 1: away and maybe there's a chance, like you get a

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Speaker 1: Pringle offensive rebound, he gets a foul, and Estrada gets

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Speaker 1: downhill and has an unconventional lefty finish that gives cling

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Speaker 1: In a second foul. But I wouldn't be super comfortable

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Speaker 1: relying on that, And I think the Yukon offense just

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Speaker 1: cuts Alabama to ribbons. The way they game plan every

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Speaker 1: single time out is always so focused on attacking a

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Speaker 1: specific thing, like early Illinois, like we are going four

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Speaker 1: out around Klinging and letting him Daddy Coleman Hawkins in

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Speaker 1: the paint. Maybe that's what they do here against Pringle.

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Speaker 1: I think it's going to be more the off ball

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Speaker 1: movement and all the screening action that they have. I

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Speaker 1: just think we continue to see Yukon steamroll teams, the

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Speaker 1: offensive game plan plus the defense at the rim. Hurley

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Speaker 1: is also smart with taking away the three. It's not

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Speaker 1: something they actually give up that frequently. So I don't

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Speaker 1: think that Aladama looks would be that open. So yeah,

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Speaker 1: I think Yukon wins going away once again.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Jim real quick.

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Speaker 4: Just to the foul point three fouls Clayon committed against

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Speaker 4: San Diego State, he had won last game and won

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Speaker 4: against Northwestern like he had three against Shane Ladie, who's

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Speaker 4: the probably one of the biggest freak interior guys in

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Speaker 4: the country. You're not going to see a guy like

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Speaker 4: that until you play Zach Edie, which is looming obviously,

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Speaker 4: But in this matter, the odds of clinging being and

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Speaker 4: foul trouble are.

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Speaker 2: Like next to none. So don't try and do the

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Speaker 2: Illinois thing like be smart adjust. Yeah, I think they will.

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Speaker 2: And another advantage for Yukon Matt mentioned in the offensive

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Speaker 2: glass for Alabama, Well, the offensive glass for Yukon is

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Speaker 2: a major major advantage here top fifteen in the country

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Speaker 2: and offensive rebounding rate. Alabama is two hundred and seventy

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Speaker 2: second in defensive rebounding rate. That's a huge problem. I

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Speaker 2: think clinging is a problem. I do think Yukon sets

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Speaker 2: are a huge problem. Bama is a bit undisciplined at

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Speaker 2: times on defense and the off ball cutting and screening action.

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Speaker 2: I think is really going to slice and dice them. Now,

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Speaker 2: can Bama shoot? Yes, they can. Again, I go back

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Speaker 2: to my first point highvariant's top twenty three point in

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Speaker 2: tenth rate and twenty first and three point percentage. I

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Speaker 2: agree with Jim, Yukon has been really good defending the arc.

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Speaker 2: But I do think Bama's going to get the shots up.

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Speaker 2: Will they be fantastic looks every single time? Probably not,

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Speaker 2: but they have talented shooters. Mark Sears has been excellent

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Speaker 2: this tournament. He got got off to a slow start

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Speaker 2: against Clemson, eventually found the range a bit. I think

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Speaker 2: Bama can hit enough shots to hang. I say that

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Speaker 2: very very hesitantly. I just think twelve is a huge number.

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Speaker 2: And again, maybe the transition is there for Alabama. Maybe

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Speaker 2: they get a couple of easy buckets there. Well, again,

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Speaker 2: Yukon's transition defense is so good. It really is tough

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Speaker 2: to pull holes in Yukon. You really can't. I think

348
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Speaker 2: it's a matter of hey, this spread has gotten way

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Speaker 2: too high the numbers. I don't think there's value taking

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Speaker 2: Yukon at twelve. There might be a little bit in Alabama. Yeah.

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Speaker 1: The thing like people are pitching themselves in Alabama in

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Speaker 1: terms of being high variants, like they can beat anybody

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Speaker 1: on any given day. In the regular season, they were

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Speaker 1: one to nine against top twenty five Ken Pond teams.

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Speaker 1: Like the style didn't work being good teams. They're only

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Speaker 1: win teams though, ye yep. The only big win was

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Speaker 1: at home against Auburn by four, and then they get

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Speaker 1: the UNC one by two by the hair of their

359
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Speaker 1: chiney chinchin on a super human Grant Nelson out of

360
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Speaker 1: body performance. Clemson actually was a top twenty five win

361
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Speaker 1: two and they got scorching hot in the second half.

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Speaker 1: That's the variance, that's where you're hoping for. But that's

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Speaker 1: what it takes against North Carolina and Clemson, and you

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Speaker 1: kind of did a completely different beast. I just kind

365
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Speaker 1: of surrendered to the onslaught that is the Huskies at

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Speaker 1: this point. I think they continue doing that all the

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Speaker 1: way to the title game. Monday Night.

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Speaker 3: BBOC is presented by North Carolina's newest sportsbook, bet MGM

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Speaker 3: Gambling problem called one hundred gambler props.

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Speaker 4: Do you guys see any for robery poo Maddy props?

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00:17:47,160 --> 00:17:50,880
Speaker 4: Grant Nelson, Jared Stevenson right like stretch fives that can

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Speaker 4: bowl cleaning away and just launch it. But I think

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Speaker 4: they're going to have a healthy opportunity to just bombs away,

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Speaker 4: whether it if this game is closer, if it's like

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00:18:01,720 --> 00:18:05,040
Speaker 4: a complete garbage time runaway and you need some guys

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00:18:05,080 --> 00:18:07,800
Speaker 4: to start launching it from distance to cut the margin.

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Speaker 4: Stevenson was awesome last game. Nelson had his big outburst.

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Speaker 4: You could argue that they're even at a high risk

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Speaker 4: of getting foul trouble against Clean because they have no

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Speaker 4: chance one on one at the post against him. Let's

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00:18:17,320 --> 00:18:19,439
Speaker 4: be honest. But again, I think Oates is gonna get

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Speaker 4: cute and try and play you know, you know, chess

388
00:18:22,520 --> 00:18:25,160
Speaker 4: first checkers with just an all five out shooting five

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Speaker 4: shooters at all times, and Stevenson and Nelson are kind

390
00:18:28,160 --> 00:18:30,679
Speaker 4: of the quasi stretch five so that they can deploy.

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Speaker 4: So yeah, I think Nelson and Nelson's more readily available

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Speaker 4: out there. Stevens is more kind of a fringe guy

393
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Speaker 4: who just kind of had his coming out party last game.

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Speaker 4: But I think both of those overs are probably could

395
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Speaker 4: look for Bama. I'm excited for what Oates crafts up here.

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Speaker 4: He might just go total, heyre threes more than two.

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Speaker 4: It's like, yeah, you're gonna kill us in the post clean, Okay,

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Speaker 4: Cleon gets his or we double hard, either choice he makes,

399
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Speaker 4: and we're going to spread you out with.

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Speaker 2: Five and try to make your life hell. On the

401
00:19:00,080 --> 00:19:02,200
Speaker 2: other end of the floor, Oates is a very good coach.

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Speaker 2: He knows analytics very well. He has a whole staff

403
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Speaker 2: of analytics guys. I'm very curious to see what he

404
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Speaker 2: does against Yukun.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, the grant Nelson probablyo point five three is made.

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00:19:12,720 --> 00:19:17,240
Speaker 1: Matthew is minus one thirty five of that. You think

407
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Speaker 1: he's going to attempt him. I know he's only make

408
00:19:18,880 --> 00:19:21,120
Speaker 1: him like twenty seven percent this year, but I can't

409
00:19:21,160 --> 00:19:23,080
Speaker 1: see a world where he doesn't take at least three

410
00:19:23,200 --> 00:19:25,960
Speaker 1: or four just because of the matchup and what's going

411
00:19:26,040 --> 00:19:29,560
Speaker 1: to be available, and at that point, okay, I'll guess

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Speaker 1: I'll take my chances on that. Percentage. Assists numbers two

413
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Speaker 1: for Alabama I think will be decently high because I

414
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Speaker 1: don't think they're going to go io ball against this

415
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Speaker 1: defense and to be a lot of perimeter ball movement.

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Speaker 1: So Estrada are seears. Their numbers are four and a half.

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Speaker 1: Astrada I think I like a little more, but it's

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Speaker 1: juiced more to the over. I don't mind that. And

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Speaker 1: rebound numbers guys Clingings nine and a half. I think

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Speaker 1: he should be on the floor plenty. He might get

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Speaker 1: six offensive rebounds, so I think I do like a

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Speaker 1: potential double double for Klingon. I think he's also heard

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Speaker 1: a lot of the churf about like, oh, you're in

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Speaker 1: worst shape than Zach ed. He wants us to play

425
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Speaker 1: more than eighteen minutes. I think he's going to be

426
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Speaker 1: out there for twenty five, which would certainly help his rebounding.

427
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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'd kind of peek at Yukon's assist numbers as well. Spencer,

428
00:20:13,440 --> 00:20:16,720
Speaker 2: Newton and Castle each had five assists against Illinois. They

429
00:20:16,800 --> 00:20:18,960
Speaker 2: played through Klingon. It seems like they probably will play

430
00:20:19,000 --> 00:20:21,880
Speaker 2: through Clingon again. I focus on getting him the ball,

431
00:20:22,240 --> 00:20:24,920
Speaker 2: racking up the assist numbers a bit. It is spread

432
00:20:24,960 --> 00:20:26,840
Speaker 2: out what was spread out last game, but maybe target

433
00:20:26,880 --> 00:20:31,040
Speaker 2: to Spencer or a Newton assist total, depending what's out there.

434
00:20:31,840 --> 00:20:34,560
Speaker 1: Yeah, no, no Pringle points for BETMGM. But that's one

435
00:20:34,680 --> 00:20:37,280
Speaker 1: under I like. I think he had his monster game

436
00:20:37,320 --> 00:20:40,240
Speaker 1: against Clemson inside, and I just I don't envision that

437
00:20:40,359 --> 00:20:41,639
Speaker 1: happening against Yukon.

438
00:20:43,119 --> 00:20:45,880
Speaker 2: Well, let's shift gears a little bit here, Phellas, let's

439
00:20:45,880 --> 00:20:48,960
Speaker 2: go futures market. And yes, there's only two games left,

440
00:20:48,960 --> 00:20:51,800
Speaker 2: but there's still a futures market out there. Most Outstanding

441
00:20:51,960 --> 00:20:54,720
Speaker 2: Player market for bet MGM is where we're going to start,

442
00:20:55,040 --> 00:20:56,720
Speaker 2: and then we're going to talk about a little bit

443
00:20:56,840 --> 00:21:01,600
Speaker 2: exacta pricing for the title game. So Zach Edy is

444
00:21:01,680 --> 00:21:05,240
Speaker 2: the favorite to win Most Outstanding Player, and that's basically

445
00:21:05,320 --> 00:21:09,040
Speaker 2: because we know if Purdue wins, Zach Edy will win

446
00:21:09,119 --> 00:21:11,960
Speaker 2: the Most Outstanding Player award. He's at plus two to ten.

447
00:21:12,600 --> 00:21:14,760
Speaker 2: That's the exact same price Purdue is in the market

448
00:21:14,840 --> 00:21:18,080
Speaker 2: right now to win the titles. That's hilarious, makes sense, Yeah,

449
00:21:18,160 --> 00:21:20,640
Speaker 2: don't even bother with another Purdue player. If you want

450
00:21:21,040 --> 00:21:24,760
Speaker 2: Edy or Purdue, pick your poison. Although we will talk

451
00:21:24,800 --> 00:21:27,040
Speaker 2: about in a second and the exact pricing, I think

452
00:21:27,080 --> 00:21:29,520
Speaker 2: you might be able to get a better number out there.

453
00:21:29,520 --> 00:21:30,920
Speaker 2: If you really want to make a bet on Purdue

454
00:21:30,960 --> 00:21:34,199
Speaker 2: winning the title, then it's Yukon players. It's Cleaning at

455
00:21:34,200 --> 00:21:36,680
Speaker 2: two twenty five, it's Newton at four to one, it's

456
00:21:36,720 --> 00:21:39,840
Speaker 2: Spencer at five to one. Personally, Fellas, I think any

457
00:21:39,920 --> 00:21:43,600
Speaker 2: of these guys can win most Outstanding Player. I wouldn't

458
00:21:43,680 --> 00:21:46,200
Speaker 2: take Clinging at plus two twenty five. I love cling

459
00:21:46,359 --> 00:21:49,240
Speaker 2: I love Clinging, man. I'd rather take Spencer or Newton

460
00:21:49,280 --> 00:21:51,360
Speaker 2: really at four to one or five to one. Both

461
00:21:51,359 --> 00:21:53,639
Speaker 2: of them could have great games in either game, in

462
00:21:53,680 --> 00:21:57,640
Speaker 2: both games. I think Clingon is too they're too balanced

463
00:21:57,720 --> 00:22:00,080
Speaker 2: to take. I think a favorite and Clinging he g

464
00:22:00,080 --> 00:22:02,840
Speaker 2: had a great games against Illinois. If they play Perdue,

465
00:22:03,400 --> 00:22:04,880
Speaker 2: I don't think Klingon's going to have a good game.

466
00:22:07,119 --> 00:22:09,760
Speaker 1: I'm with you, kay I Actually I think the Klingon,

467
00:22:09,840 --> 00:22:12,280
Speaker 1: like everybody's just saw how dominant he was against Illinois,

468
00:22:13,080 --> 00:22:14,920
Speaker 1: and that's kind of led to the odds being where

469
00:22:14,920 --> 00:22:16,880
Speaker 1: they're at. But Matt, you kind of making the case

470
00:22:17,080 --> 00:22:20,080
Speaker 1: Alabama's not going to go bludgeon themselves at Klingon over

471
00:22:20,160 --> 00:22:21,800
Speaker 1: and over again. I don't think they're going to make

472
00:22:21,840 --> 00:22:23,960
Speaker 1: that mistake, so you won't get the same dominant defense.

473
00:22:24,720 --> 00:22:25,720
Speaker 2: And again.

474
00:22:25,760 --> 00:22:27,960
Speaker 1: Oates is also a pretty smart game planner. I tweeted

475
00:22:28,000 --> 00:22:32,159
Speaker 1: this Ukon excuse me has lost both games. That are

476
00:22:32,200 --> 00:22:34,960
Speaker 1: the two highest scoring games of Tristan Newton's season. He's

477
00:22:35,000 --> 00:22:37,800
Speaker 1: averaging twenty five and their three losses. I think that's

478
00:22:37,880 --> 00:22:40,280
Speaker 1: going to be the goal for Alabama's to make him

479
00:22:40,280 --> 00:22:43,879
Speaker 1: a score and if and when Yukon still wins and

480
00:22:44,000 --> 00:22:47,280
Speaker 1: he racks up big numbers, I think Newton is very

481
00:22:47,320 --> 00:22:49,000
Speaker 1: appealing to me here. He's going to fill the statute

482
00:22:49,040 --> 00:22:51,680
Speaker 1: with rebounds and assists. Already, he was awesome in the

483
00:22:51,760 --> 00:22:54,680
Speaker 1: national title game last year for Yukon. On this stage, Matt,

484
00:22:54,680 --> 00:22:56,960
Speaker 1: I think that's my favorite most outstanding player. But is

485
00:22:57,040 --> 00:22:59,080
Speaker 1: Tristan Newton fair?

486
00:22:59,200 --> 00:23:01,640
Speaker 4: I can't get away from the maybe the Anthony Davis

487
00:23:01,680 --> 00:23:06,240
Speaker 4: comparison twenty twenty sorry twenty twelve Kentucky like. He scored

488
00:23:06,320 --> 00:23:08,920
Speaker 4: nine points and six points in two of their six games,

489
00:23:08,960 --> 00:23:10,600
Speaker 4: six points in the title game, but it was like

490
00:23:11,359 --> 00:23:13,800
Speaker 4: the team was so clear, he was so clearly dominant,

491
00:23:13,800 --> 00:23:16,160
Speaker 4: as like the epicenter of that team on a balanced

492
00:23:16,160 --> 00:23:18,520
Speaker 4: type team. I think Klingon has the exact same narrative

493
00:23:18,560 --> 00:23:21,400
Speaker 4: going for him now. Kind of using that awesome game

494
00:23:21,400 --> 00:23:24,439
Speaker 4: against Illinois is like a leaping off point. You're right,

495
00:23:24,480 --> 00:23:26,040
Speaker 4: Bamon may not attack him, he may not have the

496
00:23:26,080 --> 00:23:28,200
Speaker 4: dominant defensive game, but I feel pretty common he's gonna

497
00:23:28,200 --> 00:23:31,679
Speaker 4: dominate offensively into Alabama and then whoever he sees probably

498
00:23:31,760 --> 00:23:32,560
Speaker 4: perdue in.

499
00:23:32,560 --> 00:23:33,080
Speaker 2: The title game.

500
00:23:33,080 --> 00:23:36,040
Speaker 4: I think that's sort of his like him just neutralizing Edy.

501
00:23:36,119 --> 00:23:37,920
Speaker 4: He doesn't have to like dominate d but him just

502
00:23:38,400 --> 00:23:41,080
Speaker 4: playing Eadie to a stalemate or close to it. If

503
00:23:41,119 --> 00:23:42,920
Speaker 4: we love Yukon as much as I think we all do,

504
00:23:43,320 --> 00:23:46,359
Speaker 4: we feel pretty good that they win. I would be shocked, honestly.

505
00:23:46,400 --> 00:23:48,120
Speaker 4: If you kind of win, then there's another one, another

506
00:23:48,160 --> 00:23:50,879
Speaker 4: guy to emerge here unless someone goes bananas, right, and

507
00:23:51,200 --> 00:23:52,440
Speaker 4: I think Newton can go bananas.

508
00:23:52,920 --> 00:23:54,760
Speaker 2: You you know, Spencer can go bananas too.

509
00:23:55,440 --> 00:23:58,159
Speaker 4: Kind of has like that that raw, raw type of moxy,

510
00:23:58,280 --> 00:24:00,400
Speaker 4: that sort of you know, galvanized people.

511
00:24:00,440 --> 00:24:02,280
Speaker 2: I think you want that kind of part. And Clinton

512
00:24:02,320 --> 00:24:03,960
Speaker 2: starting to sort of build.

513
00:24:03,760 --> 00:24:06,240
Speaker 4: That with how dominant he's been on both ends, and

514
00:24:06,400 --> 00:24:08,359
Speaker 4: I think you're right, Jim, he will play closer to

515
00:24:08,440 --> 00:24:10,879
Speaker 4: thirty minutes than these games. He hasn't the last few weeks,

516
00:24:11,160 --> 00:24:13,119
Speaker 4: the last few months because he's had not been fully healthy.

517
00:24:13,680 --> 00:24:15,919
Speaker 4: I mean they're the restrictor played should be fully off here.

518
00:24:15,960 --> 00:24:17,399
Speaker 4: I mean the Final four, I think hardly will let

519
00:24:17,480 --> 00:24:19,280
Speaker 4: him go as much as he can go. So I

520
00:24:19,560 --> 00:24:20,840
Speaker 4: kind of love playing. It's my best bet at the

521
00:24:20,920 --> 00:24:23,000
Speaker 4: entire Final four. Most outstanding player.

522
00:24:23,960 --> 00:24:26,960
Speaker 2: There's a difference between the Davis thing, though, because he

523
00:24:27,040 --> 00:24:29,760
Speaker 2: has sixteen boards, six blocks, five assists, three steals that

524
00:24:29,840 --> 00:24:34,160
Speaker 2: game as well. I don't think that that's clinging block shots. Sure,

525
00:24:34,200 --> 00:24:35,760
Speaker 2: but you saw in San Diego State he had eight

526
00:24:35,800 --> 00:24:39,280
Speaker 2: and eight one block. I think it's I think Newton

527
00:24:39,359 --> 00:24:41,639
Speaker 2: is too important to this team to not be a

528
00:24:41,760 --> 00:24:44,080
Speaker 2: strong consideration. He could have a triple double. If he

529
00:24:44,119 --> 00:24:46,920
Speaker 2: has a triple double in one of these games, it's Newton. Yeah,

530
00:24:46,920 --> 00:24:47,320
Speaker 2: that's fair.

531
00:24:47,760 --> 00:24:47,960
Speaker 4: Yeah.

532
00:24:48,280 --> 00:24:53,760
Speaker 1: News rebounding numbers past few games eight, five, thirteen, eleven, fifteen, fifteen, eleven,

533
00:24:53,960 --> 00:24:56,200
Speaker 1: ten like that is a that's your point guard racking

534
00:24:56,280 --> 00:24:58,560
Speaker 1: up those rebounds. Again, I think that maybe Newton's rebounding

535
00:24:58,600 --> 00:25:00,360
Speaker 1: total at six and a half is worth the it too,

536
00:25:01,600 --> 00:25:03,159
Speaker 1: because there's gonna be a lot of shots going up,

537
00:25:03,160 --> 00:25:05,240
Speaker 1: a lot of long rebounds. As you guys mentioned, Newton

538
00:25:05,240 --> 00:25:07,360
Speaker 1: will track those down. Boy, I think I just talked

539
00:25:07,400 --> 00:25:10,960
Speaker 1: that myself into that maybe being my favorite bet Newton rebounds,

540
00:25:11,000 --> 00:25:13,199
Speaker 1: but yeah, I like him for most out saying player too.

541
00:25:13,480 --> 00:25:15,680
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's been double figures every game for like the

542
00:25:15,760 --> 00:25:17,840
Speaker 4: last third. I mean he's been steady Eddy and his

543
00:25:18,000 --> 00:25:19,520
Speaker 4: system or as it's just I go back to the

544
00:25:19,600 --> 00:25:22,040
Speaker 4: what was it? Was it last year's fun Tier Final

545
00:25:22,080 --> 00:25:24,159
Speaker 4: four where we all thought McCormick should have won, but

546
00:25:24,240 --> 00:25:27,320
Speaker 4: they gave it to Baji like Bojie, and I just

547
00:25:27,359 --> 00:25:29,040
Speaker 4: feel like this clean's not backed up.

548
00:25:29,320 --> 00:25:32,080
Speaker 2: Clinton's not the guy for Yukon. He's not the best

549
00:25:32,119 --> 00:25:35,600
Speaker 2: player on the team as as like obviously seen, Baji

550
00:25:35,880 --> 00:25:39,960
Speaker 2: was the star star star. No questions asked. That's Fairs

551
00:25:40,080 --> 00:25:43,359
Speaker 2: had a great game Yukon. It's pick your poison, and I.

552
00:25:43,600 --> 00:25:46,480
Speaker 4: Think I guess my point is the stats will not

553
00:25:46,640 --> 00:25:49,359
Speaker 4: necessarily determine this. I feel like there's gonna be some

554
00:25:50,240 --> 00:25:51,200
Speaker 4: the most deserving player.

555
00:25:51,240 --> 00:25:51,320
Speaker 3: Man.

556
00:25:51,320 --> 00:25:56,120
Speaker 2: I also get it and even the narrative driven stuff. Yeah,

557
00:25:56,119 --> 00:25:59,520
Speaker 2: I think Clinton's gravity that gravity. So if you're if

558
00:25:59,520 --> 00:26:02,760
Speaker 2: you're looking at elsewhere besides Yukon and Purdue, and he

559
00:26:02,880 --> 00:26:05,800
Speaker 2: might be sure, why not, you're a gambler. So DJ

560
00:26:05,920 --> 00:26:09,480
Speaker 2: Burns is twenty to one to win Most Outstanding Player.

561
00:26:10,240 --> 00:26:12,399
Speaker 2: And while we don't expect NC State to win the title,

562
00:26:12,800 --> 00:26:14,480
Speaker 2: there's sixteen to one in the market to win the

563
00:26:14,520 --> 00:26:18,560
Speaker 2: title right now at MGM. Speaking of narratives, there's no

564
00:26:18,680 --> 00:26:21,320
Speaker 2: way NC State wins this title and DJ Burns doesn't

565
00:26:21,320 --> 00:26:24,800
Speaker 2: win the most Outstanding Player awards. So don't take NC State.

566
00:26:25,480 --> 00:26:28,240
Speaker 2: Take DJ Burns twenty to one most outsending Player. In

567
00:26:28,359 --> 00:26:31,680
Speaker 2: my opinion, NC State perdue, you're taking will Edy and

568
00:26:31,760 --> 00:26:33,840
Speaker 2: produce same price. That's well priced. But yeah, if you

569
00:26:33,880 --> 00:26:35,959
Speaker 2: actually NC State has it has a fair chance. There

570
00:26:36,000 --> 00:26:37,720
Speaker 2: is zero chance even if Hoorn goes for thirty in

571
00:26:37,760 --> 00:26:38,240
Speaker 2: both games.

572
00:26:38,320 --> 00:26:40,280
Speaker 4: Like DJ Burns is the face that is the reason

573
00:26:40,359 --> 00:26:43,159
Speaker 4: he's here, he will not be completely useless in the

574
00:26:43,200 --> 00:26:43,680
Speaker 4: final four.

575
00:26:43,720 --> 00:26:45,080
Speaker 2: I promise you. Yeah, I'm with you on that one.

576
00:26:45,119 --> 00:26:47,360
Speaker 2: Cock Yeah, yeah, that's one. Like he's got Kai kind

577
00:26:47,400 --> 00:26:47,760
Speaker 2: of said that.

578
00:26:47,880 --> 00:26:50,080
Speaker 1: The narrative will just be like, yeah, we know he

579
00:26:50,160 --> 00:26:51,960
Speaker 1: ever lost points and rebounds, but it's Burns.

580
00:26:52,040 --> 00:26:53,359
Speaker 2: Come on, we're all going to vote for.

581
00:26:53,440 --> 00:26:54,880
Speaker 1: Him like he's winning that award.

582
00:26:55,119 --> 00:26:58,560
Speaker 2: And also to a same extent, I don't see Mark

583
00:26:58,600 --> 00:27:01,720
Speaker 2: Sears not winning for Alabama. If Alabama wins the title,

584
00:27:01,920 --> 00:27:03,640
Speaker 2: He's twenty five to one right now in the market,

585
00:27:03,720 --> 00:27:07,159
Speaker 2: Bama's eighteen to one. You look down the line, the

586
00:27:07,359 --> 00:27:10,200
Speaker 2: next highest Alabama player is Grant Nelson at one hundred

587
00:27:10,240 --> 00:27:13,720
Speaker 2: to one. I think Sears wins it. He is their trup,

588
00:27:13,800 --> 00:27:15,760
Speaker 2: he is their leader, their point guard. They're all American,

589
00:27:16,080 --> 00:27:18,360
Speaker 2: et cetera, et cetera. I'd rather have him at twenty

590
00:27:18,400 --> 00:27:20,040
Speaker 2: five to one than take Bama eighteen to.

591
00:27:20,080 --> 00:27:25,080
Speaker 1: One, scoring in three the last four games. I think

592
00:27:25,119 --> 00:27:27,159
Speaker 1: you're probably right, Nelson's not winning. I think it might

593
00:27:27,280 --> 00:27:29,880
Speaker 1: like maybe Estrata has a monster game, but Sears also

594
00:27:30,000 --> 00:27:30,920
Speaker 1: is very much painted as.

595
00:27:30,920 --> 00:27:34,119
Speaker 4: Yeah and right, cell could be coming back. Sounds like

596
00:27:34,200 --> 00:27:36,359
Speaker 4: it actually the good chance he does, So keep that

597
00:27:36,400 --> 00:27:38,840
Speaker 4: in mind for how he cannibalizes. You know, I would

598
00:27:38,880 --> 00:27:41,280
Speaker 4: say more so Estrada and maybe some of the other

599
00:27:41,359 --> 00:27:42,159
Speaker 4: guards for Bama.

600
00:27:42,560 --> 00:27:44,879
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's not gonna be Sears. It's not gonna be Sears,

601
00:27:45,119 --> 00:27:46,000
Speaker 2: But he cannibalizes.

602
00:27:46,080 --> 00:27:47,960
Speaker 4: Yeah right, Sears is Like I mean, yeah, Seiars is

603
00:27:48,000 --> 00:27:49,560
Speaker 4: the guy I went you on that, He's the alphan,

604
00:27:49,600 --> 00:27:49,960
Speaker 4: no question.

605
00:27:51,080 --> 00:27:54,280
Speaker 2: Okay, So that's the player, the player of the excuse me,

606
00:27:54,400 --> 00:27:57,600
Speaker 2: player of the tournament market, most outstanding player market.

607
00:27:58,080 --> 00:27:59,960
Speaker 4: It's confusing, right because last year thought I was like, fine,

608
00:28:00,280 --> 00:28:02,480
Speaker 4: there's always confusion with this, right, like it is it is.

609
00:28:02,720 --> 00:28:04,920
Speaker 1: It is final four, it is the award is most

610
00:28:04,920 --> 00:28:06,240
Speaker 1: assading player of the Final Four.

611
00:28:06,359 --> 00:28:06,560
Speaker 3: Yeah.

612
00:28:06,680 --> 00:28:08,520
Speaker 1: So, but narratives carry over.

613
00:28:08,520 --> 00:28:12,000
Speaker 2: For Sight exactly because like Bogie had huge games leading

614
00:28:12,040 --> 00:28:16,240
Speaker 2: into it. Correct, everyone said McCormick, clearly those two games,

615
00:28:16,280 --> 00:28:18,280
Speaker 2: but it wasn't so. But remember who's voting on this.

616
00:28:19,119 --> 00:28:22,119
Speaker 2: It's humans, it's riders and guys that might have been

617
00:28:22,359 --> 00:28:25,520
Speaker 2: honestly were probably in the media market media room during

618
00:28:25,560 --> 00:28:30,439
Speaker 2: the game. Okay, So exact of pricing really quick. MGM

619
00:28:30,560 --> 00:28:35,240
Speaker 2: offers a team to beat team markets exactly in the

620
00:28:35,320 --> 00:28:38,760
Speaker 2: national title game, no surprise, Yukon over Purdue is the

621
00:28:39,240 --> 00:28:43,160
Speaker 2: odds on favorite. It's minus one twenty. Yukon by itself

622
00:28:43,280 --> 00:28:46,840
Speaker 2: is minus one ninety. Personally, I'd rather have the minus

623
00:28:46,880 --> 00:28:49,480
Speaker 2: one twenty against Purdue. The chances that Purdue or Yukon

624
00:28:49,600 --> 00:28:52,640
Speaker 2: lose in the Final four are pretty slim knock on?

625
00:28:52,760 --> 00:28:54,960
Speaker 2: Would I want that to be the title game? And

626
00:28:55,120 --> 00:28:57,880
Speaker 2: then the other side of that, Perdue to beat Yukon

627
00:28:58,360 --> 00:29:01,560
Speaker 2: plus three hundred like this bet way better than plus

628
00:29:01,600 --> 00:29:03,840
Speaker 2: two to ten for Purdue straight up, because again I

629
00:29:04,000 --> 00:29:07,240
Speaker 2: don't expect Alabama to beat Yukon, and I'd rather have

630
00:29:07,320 --> 00:29:09,080
Speaker 2: three to one. I'm Purdue. If you really think producing

631
00:29:09,120 --> 00:29:11,440
Speaker 2: to beat Ukon in the title game, wouldn't you rather

632
00:29:11,520 --> 00:29:14,200
Speaker 2: have that than two to one? I think so there

633
00:29:14,240 --> 00:29:16,800
Speaker 2: are prices on down the line here we can discuss.

634
00:29:16,880 --> 00:29:18,680
Speaker 2: We expect it to do Ukon Perdue. We hope it's

635
00:29:18,760 --> 00:29:20,959
Speaker 2: Ucon Perdue. It gets all the way up to NC

636
00:29:21,080 --> 00:29:23,520
Speaker 2: State beating bam Met sixty to one. Jim, we hope

637
00:29:23,560 --> 00:29:25,920
Speaker 2: it's not Alabama n C State. Just give us the

638
00:29:26,000 --> 00:29:26,520
Speaker 2: game we want.

639
00:29:27,240 --> 00:29:29,760
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's a please please know. For me, I think

640
00:29:29,800 --> 00:29:32,360
Speaker 1: you lose a lot of general interest. I mean, perhaps

641
00:29:32,400 --> 00:29:36,480
Speaker 1: Burns keeps everybody invested, but it's a little like twenty

642
00:29:36,520 --> 00:29:39,760
Speaker 1: twenty one where truly probably the two best teams all season,

643
00:29:39,760 --> 00:29:42,680
Speaker 1: where you kind of Purdue apologies to Houston, who would

644
00:29:42,680 --> 00:29:45,280
Speaker 1: be in that conversation with a healthy shed, but that

645
00:29:45,400 --> 00:29:47,920
Speaker 1: was Gonzaga Baylor. We kind of had the inevitable march

646
00:29:48,000 --> 00:29:51,720
Speaker 1: to that meeting despite a very very classic Gonzaga versus

647
00:29:51,800 --> 00:29:53,000
Speaker 1: UCLA game in the Semis.

648
00:29:53,400 --> 00:29:54,000
Speaker 2: That's what I hope.

649
00:29:54,000 --> 00:29:55,800
Speaker 1: I hope we get some kind of fun games in

650
00:29:55,840 --> 00:29:58,920
Speaker 1: the Semis. But give me that final of Yukon perdue.

651
00:29:58,920 --> 00:30:01,400
Speaker 1: I think it's definitely the most obviously as indicated by

652
00:30:01,440 --> 00:30:04,200
Speaker 1: the odds. I'm with you, kay, I'm working on a

653
00:30:04,800 --> 00:30:06,960
Speaker 1: I have a Purdue future in Obama future, and I'm

654
00:30:07,000 --> 00:30:09,680
Speaker 1: going to leave NC State to the side out of

655
00:30:09,720 --> 00:30:11,840
Speaker 1: my portfolio, very similar to twenty one when I left

656
00:30:11,960 --> 00:30:13,840
Speaker 1: Ucla out. I just don't know how I going to

657
00:30:13,920 --> 00:30:15,760
Speaker 1: do my Yukon headshet Am I going to just take

658
00:30:15,840 --> 00:30:18,560
Speaker 1: that Yukon over Purdue and gamble that the Boilers don't

659
00:30:18,600 --> 00:30:21,880
Speaker 1: get upset. Maybe I kind of like having that minus

660
00:30:21,920 --> 00:30:24,680
Speaker 1: one twenty instead of minus one eighty five one ninety.

661
00:30:25,200 --> 00:30:28,840
Speaker 4: I was looking at the Yeah, the Purdue Yukon pre

662
00:30:28,960 --> 00:30:30,960
Speaker 4: to b Yukon plus three hundred, you kind of be

663
00:30:30,960 --> 00:30:33,400
Speaker 4: Purdue minus one twenty. That's effectively the same price as

664
00:30:33,440 --> 00:30:36,560
Speaker 4: if you parlayed Yukon and Purdue. It both win first rounds,

665
00:30:36,560 --> 00:30:38,280
Speaker 4: so like there's not like some major mispricing there as

666
00:30:38,320 --> 00:30:38,840
Speaker 4: you would expect.

667
00:30:38,880 --> 00:30:42,200
Speaker 2: But question to both, you mean to beat each other

668
00:30:42,280 --> 00:30:43,480
Speaker 2: also in the title game?

669
00:30:44,080 --> 00:30:46,560
Speaker 4: Yeah, perdue to be Yukon in the title is plus

670
00:30:46,680 --> 00:30:48,840
Speaker 4: three hundred, kind of be Purdue in the title game

671
00:30:48,960 --> 00:30:49,800
Speaker 4: is minus one twenty.

672
00:30:51,080 --> 00:30:53,080
Speaker 1: If you combine those both of them, that would end

673
00:30:53,160 --> 00:30:54,120
Speaker 1: up being the same as.

674
00:30:54,120 --> 00:30:57,480
Speaker 4: The same as the parlay of the final four, which

675
00:30:57,520 --> 00:30:59,120
Speaker 4: is just I feel like that was a misprice, but

676
00:30:59,160 --> 00:31:00,920
Speaker 4: I went through It's like, no, that's right, that's show

677
00:31:01,000 --> 00:31:04,080
Speaker 4: odds makers. Sorry, tangent aside, who do you guys think

678
00:31:04,080 --> 00:31:06,880
Speaker 4: has a legitimate chance better chance to win? NC State

679
00:31:07,080 --> 00:31:09,760
Speaker 4: or Bama? I know the spread applies NC State, but like,

680
00:31:09,800 --> 00:31:11,840
Speaker 4: I don't feel like we think that, do we or

681
00:31:11,920 --> 00:31:12,400
Speaker 4: do we think that?

682
00:31:12,600 --> 00:31:14,320
Speaker 1: I think I think NC State has a way better

683
00:31:14,400 --> 00:31:17,600
Speaker 1: chance to win than Bama. Personally, Yeah, Purdue could go

684
00:31:17,680 --> 00:31:19,720
Speaker 1: cold and it's.

685
00:31:19,640 --> 00:31:21,440
Speaker 2: Like close, right, it's kind of sick to me. I

686
00:31:21,480 --> 00:31:23,640
Speaker 2: think it's pretty even I don't believe produce on line

687
00:31:23,720 --> 00:31:27,080
Speaker 2: nine points better than NC State, So yeah, I think

688
00:31:27,120 --> 00:31:27,840
Speaker 2: it's pretty I think.

689
00:31:28,400 --> 00:31:31,040
Speaker 1: I think if if if Bama makes fifteen threes that

690
00:31:31,120 --> 00:31:34,200
Speaker 1: could still lose by fifteen like that, I think they

691
00:31:34,320 --> 00:31:36,840
Speaker 1: have to go absolutely bonkers and have you kind of

692
00:31:36,880 --> 00:31:38,040
Speaker 1: be freezing cold.

693
00:31:38,680 --> 00:31:40,160
Speaker 2: So what was your point in the premise? No, I

694
00:31:40,200 --> 00:31:40,680
Speaker 2: had no point.

695
00:31:40,680 --> 00:31:42,440
Speaker 4: I was just thinking about Jim kind of going back

696
00:31:42,440 --> 00:31:44,520
Speaker 4: to here, how do you hedge this from that side

697
00:31:44,520 --> 00:31:46,560
Speaker 4: of the brackets, Like, well, maybe if you if you

698
00:31:46,600 --> 00:31:48,720
Speaker 4: think there is variants on the NC State side, but

699
00:31:48,840 --> 00:31:49,480
Speaker 4: I don't, I don't know.

700
00:31:49,560 --> 00:31:53,080
Speaker 2: I'm I'm torn. Well, I mean, you can get in

701
00:31:53,160 --> 00:31:55,600
Speaker 2: C State money line at plus three fifty over Purdue alone,

702
00:31:56,200 --> 00:31:59,040
Speaker 2: so maybe start with that or start with the Alabama

703
00:31:59,120 --> 00:32:03,760
Speaker 2: five to one money line. Yeah, you can tour with it.

704
00:32:03,880 --> 00:32:06,920
Speaker 2: I probably won't. Just interesting that I like that that

705
00:32:07,840 --> 00:32:10,040
Speaker 2: prop exists out there the exacta. It just makes you

706
00:32:10,120 --> 00:32:12,240
Speaker 2: think a little bit more and gives you more options

707
00:32:12,880 --> 00:32:16,560
Speaker 2: for your future's portfolio. But okay, fell as, that closes

708
00:32:16,640 --> 00:32:19,160
Speaker 2: us out for bbo C. I believe it's our last

709
00:32:19,200 --> 00:32:22,480
Speaker 2: show of the season for Big Bets on Campus. So

710
00:32:22,800 --> 00:32:26,600
Speaker 2: we enjoyed coming to you every single week during the year.

711
00:32:26,800 --> 00:32:30,080
Speaker 2: Matt singing Vitamin c Uh. Listen to the rest of

712
00:32:30,120 --> 00:32:34,000
Speaker 2: the Action Network podcasts on this stream as well. Big

713
00:32:34,040 --> 00:32:35,600
Speaker 2: bets on Campus is going to have a lot more

714
00:32:35,960 --> 00:32:38,960
Speaker 2: coming your way till then be good. Enjoy the Final

715
00:32:39,000 --> 00:32:54,560
Speaker 2: four and the National Championship. Game Action Network reminds you

716
00:32:55,040 --> 00:32:58,640
Speaker 2: please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you care about

717
00:32:58,720 --> 00:33:01,960
Speaker 2: has a gambling problem, help is available twenty four seven

718
00:33:02,160 --> 00:33:03,560
Speaker 2: at one eight hundred Gambler