1 00:00:01,440 --> 00:00:02,160 Speaker 1: From Marhard. 2 00:00:02,320 --> 00:00:06,760 Speaker 2: We're Innovation, Money and Power Collie in Silicon Valley, NBN. 3 00:00:07,080 --> 00:00:11,120 Speaker 3: This is Bloomberg Technology with Caroline Hyde and Ed Ludlow. 4 00:00:24,720 --> 00:00:27,600 Speaker 2: I'm Caroline Hyde Bloomberg's worldtad quarters in New York, and 5 00:00:27,680 --> 00:00:30,520 Speaker 2: I'm Med Ludlow in San Francisco. This is Bloomberg Technology 6 00:00:30,640 --> 00:00:31,640 Speaker 2: coming up the US. 7 00:00:31,640 --> 00:00:35,519 Speaker 4: It plans titan measures against China to restrict its access 8 00:00:35,520 --> 00:00:38,320 Speaker 4: to advanced chip technology. We're going to break down the 9 00:00:38,360 --> 00:00:40,960 Speaker 4: details and the market implications. 10 00:00:40,840 --> 00:00:43,559 Speaker 2: And we have the latest updates from the Israel Hamass 11 00:00:43,640 --> 00:00:47,120 Speaker 2: war and discuss the role social media plays in delivering 12 00:00:47,240 --> 00:00:48,800 Speaker 2: up to date and accurate news. 13 00:00:48,960 --> 00:00:50,919 Speaker 4: Plus, we're going to kick off the coverage of New 14 00:00:51,040 --> 00:00:53,920 Speaker 4: York Tech Week as industry titans gather in the Big 15 00:00:53,920 --> 00:00:57,160 Speaker 4: Apple for a full week of panels, events and much more. 16 00:00:57,480 --> 00:01:03,120 Speaker 2: The top story is Bloomberg reporting expanding technology export curbs 17 00:01:03,320 --> 00:01:06,560 Speaker 2: to China in the semiconductor's space. It had a pronounced 18 00:01:06,600 --> 00:01:09,560 Speaker 2: impact in markets in Asia and Europe, ovin Night, also 19 00:01:09,600 --> 00:01:11,800 Speaker 2: in US pre market. Actually a lot of those names 20 00:01:11,880 --> 00:01:14,800 Speaker 2: are now markedly higher. But pay attention to the chip 21 00:01:14,840 --> 00:01:17,880 Speaker 2: equipment makers because that is a focus of these curves. 22 00:01:17,959 --> 00:01:21,000 Speaker 2: Let's get the specifics and bring in Bloomberg's Mackenzie Hawkins, 23 00:01:21,000 --> 00:01:24,320 Speaker 2: one of the reporters on that Bloomberg exclusive and Mackenzie 24 00:01:24,319 --> 00:01:27,200 Speaker 2: Bloomberg sources are telling us these chip curbs are going 25 00:01:27,280 --> 00:01:29,800 Speaker 2: to be expanded, how so in what ways? 26 00:01:31,760 --> 00:01:34,840 Speaker 5: So these chip curbs are building on initial restrictions that 27 00:01:34,880 --> 00:01:38,080 Speaker 5: the Biden administration posed in October of last year, and 28 00:01:38,120 --> 00:01:41,679 Speaker 5: there's a couple venues for the tightening. So first, we're 29 00:01:41,680 --> 00:01:45,319 Speaker 5: going to see some additional restrictions on graphics chips sales 30 00:01:45,319 --> 00:01:49,680 Speaker 5: to Chinese companies and advanced manufacturing equipment sales to Chinese companies. 31 00:01:50,040 --> 00:01:53,600 Speaker 5: And we're also going to see some tightening on potential 32 00:01:53,640 --> 00:01:57,880 Speaker 5: attempts by Chinese companies to avoid country specific restrictions by 33 00:01:57,960 --> 00:02:00,880 Speaker 5: routing their shipments through other countries. And the last thing 34 00:02:00,880 --> 00:02:03,800 Speaker 5: to keep an eye on is adding Chinese chip design 35 00:02:03,880 --> 00:02:07,560 Speaker 5: firms to a US trade restriction list that basically requires 36 00:02:07,600 --> 00:02:10,840 Speaker 5: overseas manufacturers to get a license from the US government 37 00:02:10,880 --> 00:02:12,680 Speaker 5: before filling orders from those companies. 38 00:02:13,280 --> 00:02:17,520 Speaker 4: McKenzie, what prompted this tightening? Is it well the Republicans 39 00:02:17,720 --> 00:02:21,000 Speaker 4: or is it Huawei? And late more recent events that 40 00:02:21,080 --> 00:02:23,079 Speaker 4: shows that maybe some of these cubs just all working. 41 00:02:24,960 --> 00:02:27,840 Speaker 5: So the US announced as initial rule in October of 42 00:02:27,919 --> 00:02:29,919 Speaker 5: last year and took a couple of months to get 43 00:02:29,960 --> 00:02:33,760 Speaker 5: key allies, particularly the Netherlands and Japan on board, and 44 00:02:33,800 --> 00:02:35,919 Speaker 5: they've been working on a final version of that rule 45 00:02:36,000 --> 00:02:38,280 Speaker 5: for a while. So this is not to be interpreted 46 00:02:38,280 --> 00:02:41,600 Speaker 5: as a reaction to the huge tech breakthrough in China 47 00:02:41,639 --> 00:02:44,800 Speaker 5: in August when Huawei released a smartphonem powered by an 48 00:02:44,880 --> 00:02:48,920 Speaker 5: advanced chip. But that has pretty much defined the conversation 49 00:02:49,000 --> 00:02:51,320 Speaker 5: in US China tech relations in the month and a 50 00:02:51,320 --> 00:02:54,040 Speaker 5: half since, and we'll be looking to the administration to 51 00:02:54,080 --> 00:02:57,600 Speaker 5: see what actions specifically they might take on Huawei and 52 00:02:57,600 --> 00:02:58,959 Speaker 5: its chip making partner. 53 00:02:58,680 --> 00:03:02,280 Speaker 4: Snick indeed keeping a close eye on the implications, and 54 00:03:02,320 --> 00:03:05,040 Speaker 4: so too will of course, the Chinese, who have notably 55 00:03:05,080 --> 00:03:07,840 Speaker 4: said that they don't want this to be weaponized or 56 00:03:07,880 --> 00:03:12,240 Speaker 4: indeed politicized when it comes to technology and trade. Mackenzie Hawkins, 57 00:03:12,400 --> 00:03:14,760 Speaker 4: great bit of reporting, me, thank you. Let's continue the conversation. 58 00:03:14,840 --> 00:03:17,280 Speaker 4: Joanne Phoenie's with US partner and portfolio manager at Advisor's 59 00:03:17,320 --> 00:03:20,680 Speaker 4: Capital Management, with deep knowledge expertise when it comes to 60 00:03:20,760 --> 00:03:26,600 Speaker 4: semiconductors in the landscape and ultimately, is this ever an 61 00:03:26,600 --> 00:03:30,840 Speaker 4: efficient way of trying to curtail what is ultimately an 62 00:03:30,840 --> 00:03:35,160 Speaker 4: ability to make it home really advance chips in China. 63 00:03:36,720 --> 00:03:39,680 Speaker 6: It's never going to be efficient, you know, let's not 64 00:03:40,240 --> 00:03:43,119 Speaker 6: try to guess the ultimate goals of the US policy. 65 00:03:43,840 --> 00:03:47,080 Speaker 6: One effect likely though, is that it will slow down 66 00:03:48,080 --> 00:03:52,800 Speaker 6: China's ability to deploy really advanced chips for use in 67 00:03:52,920 --> 00:03:55,000 Speaker 6: AI oriented servers. 68 00:03:55,520 --> 00:03:58,000 Speaker 7: So it will slow China down now. 69 00:03:58,160 --> 00:04:00,680 Speaker 6: In the meantime, though it's harmful to to the US 70 00:04:00,800 --> 00:04:03,600 Speaker 6: companies that want to sell China those chips, you know, 71 00:04:04,240 --> 00:04:07,120 Speaker 6: potentially like in video that Fortunately, we're in a period 72 00:04:07,160 --> 00:04:11,000 Speaker 6: of time when there's such strong demand for AI capabilities 73 00:04:11,040 --> 00:04:13,960 Speaker 6: in servers that even if in Vidia loses some sales 74 00:04:13,960 --> 00:04:17,479 Speaker 6: in China because of more restrictions, it will likely be 75 00:04:17,520 --> 00:04:19,760 Speaker 6: able to sell them in the United States or someplace 76 00:04:19,800 --> 00:04:20,560 Speaker 6: else in the world. 77 00:04:21,440 --> 00:04:22,760 Speaker 7: So it'll slow China down. 78 00:04:22,800 --> 00:04:25,239 Speaker 6: But the horse has really left the barn in terms 79 00:04:25,320 --> 00:04:29,360 Speaker 6: of the ability of China to ultimately produce advanced chips. 80 00:04:29,400 --> 00:04:31,679 Speaker 7: They just can't do it in a lot of volume 81 00:04:31,760 --> 00:04:32,200 Speaker 7: right now. 82 00:04:32,520 --> 00:04:35,320 Speaker 6: But ultimately, over some years, you know, they'll be able 83 00:04:35,360 --> 00:04:39,240 Speaker 6: to do this because chip technology, you know, has reached 84 00:04:39,240 --> 00:04:42,120 Speaker 6: sort of the limits mostly of Moore's law, and so 85 00:04:42,200 --> 00:04:45,000 Speaker 6: it's hard for you know, our companies to stay ahead 86 00:04:45,320 --> 00:04:48,240 Speaker 6: when all China has to do is copy what we've 87 00:04:48,279 --> 00:04:48,880 Speaker 6: done so far. 88 00:04:50,120 --> 00:04:51,240 Speaker 1: Juanne, good to see you. 89 00:04:51,320 --> 00:04:53,320 Speaker 2: We're just showing the names actually now moving to the 90 00:04:53,400 --> 00:04:56,359 Speaker 2: upside in video and a m D on the GPU 91 00:04:56,440 --> 00:04:59,719 Speaker 2: or graphics side, and then the chip equipment makers LAMB 92 00:05:00,040 --> 00:05:04,599 Speaker 2: PLA also positive. You said that this won't slow China down, 93 00:05:05,320 --> 00:05:08,240 Speaker 2: but there's a refocus on the chip equipment makers, in 94 00:05:08,279 --> 00:05:12,960 Speaker 2: particular with those US based companies with exposure to China. 95 00:05:13,120 --> 00:05:15,120 Speaker 2: Is this more of a concern now than it was 96 00:05:15,160 --> 00:05:16,000 Speaker 2: to you yesterday? 97 00:05:18,440 --> 00:05:21,400 Speaker 6: Yeah, So you know, we've been avoiding exposure to most 98 00:05:21,400 --> 00:05:23,479 Speaker 6: of the equipment guys for a while because of these 99 00:05:23,520 --> 00:05:25,960 Speaker 6: tensions with China, and so you know, our position on 100 00:05:26,000 --> 00:05:29,120 Speaker 6: that hasn't really changed. We have some selective exposure, but 101 00:05:29,200 --> 00:05:32,440 Speaker 6: not to the major players like A Lamber applied. And 102 00:05:32,880 --> 00:05:35,520 Speaker 6: I think what happened earlier, right when when China saw 103 00:05:35,560 --> 00:05:39,960 Speaker 6: this coming, you know, and saw the timing of these restrictions, 104 00:05:40,000 --> 00:05:43,160 Speaker 6: they actually imported a boatload of equipment. 105 00:05:43,320 --> 00:05:45,880 Speaker 7: So they're pretty well positioned. You know. Again, it's going 106 00:05:45,960 --> 00:05:48,080 Speaker 7: to slow them down in terms of deploying. 107 00:05:47,640 --> 00:05:50,600 Speaker 6: Really high end AI based servers because they're not going 108 00:05:50,600 --> 00:05:52,440 Speaker 6: to be able to get all those chips, but they 109 00:05:52,480 --> 00:05:55,120 Speaker 6: have a lot of equipment from lithography out of you know, 110 00:05:55,279 --> 00:05:58,640 Speaker 6: the metalin from ASML to the etching machines to the 111 00:05:58,680 --> 00:06:01,280 Speaker 6: deposition machines, right so they can do an awful lot 112 00:06:01,360 --> 00:06:03,640 Speaker 6: right now with the equipment that they have. There are 113 00:06:03,640 --> 00:06:06,520 Speaker 6: always ways to get the smaller and smaller future sizes 114 00:06:06,800 --> 00:06:10,560 Speaker 6: to those more advanced chips using the older technology. It 115 00:06:10,680 --> 00:06:13,640 Speaker 6: just takes many more steps to get there. It's much 116 00:06:13,680 --> 00:06:16,680 Speaker 6: more expensive. So your question earlier ed, is it efficient. 117 00:06:17,000 --> 00:06:18,960 Speaker 6: It's not going to be efficient for China to make 118 00:06:19,000 --> 00:06:20,960 Speaker 6: these advanced chips, but they're going to be able to 119 00:06:21,000 --> 00:06:24,760 Speaker 6: make almost everything with the equipment they have except for 120 00:06:24,839 --> 00:06:27,279 Speaker 6: the most the very most advanced ships. And that's where 121 00:06:27,440 --> 00:06:29,839 Speaker 6: US policy, I think wants to be binding, and it 122 00:06:29,880 --> 00:06:32,520 Speaker 6: will be for a while until China can make further 123 00:06:32,560 --> 00:06:35,920 Speaker 6: advances in their own deployment of equipment or refinement of 124 00:06:35,960 --> 00:06:37,360 Speaker 6: the equipment that they already have in place. 125 00:06:38,000 --> 00:06:41,560 Speaker 2: Bloomberg's reporting that these expanded restrictions could come early this week. 126 00:06:41,600 --> 00:06:44,240 Speaker 2: For what it's worth, the US Commisces Department and National 127 00:06:44,240 --> 00:06:47,039 Speaker 2: Security Council declined to comment on the story, but a 128 00:06:47,160 --> 00:06:52,360 Speaker 2: Chinese Foreign Ministry spokeswoman called this the US politicizing, instrumentalizing, 129 00:06:52,440 --> 00:06:56,240 Speaker 2: and weaponizing trade and tech issues. Our colleague me and 130 00:06:56,360 --> 00:06:58,800 Speaker 2: Mackenzie Hawkins pointed out that this is not sort of 131 00:06:59,120 --> 00:07:02,000 Speaker 2: an escalation from the US, It's a rethink of a 132 00:07:02,080 --> 00:07:05,440 Speaker 2: year long policy. Where do you stand on what this 133 00:07:05,600 --> 00:07:07,080 Speaker 2: is or is not the US doing? 134 00:07:08,720 --> 00:07:10,240 Speaker 6: So you're asking me to sort of put on a 135 00:07:10,240 --> 00:07:11,160 Speaker 6: policy walk head. 136 00:07:11,520 --> 00:07:13,880 Speaker 7: I'll do my best. I mean, clearly, the US wants 137 00:07:13,880 --> 00:07:14,480 Speaker 7: to slow. 138 00:07:14,280 --> 00:07:18,720 Speaker 6: Down China's ability to use AI and to develop AI applications, 139 00:07:18,720 --> 00:07:21,760 Speaker 6: particularly in the military, and so to the extent that 140 00:07:21,800 --> 00:07:24,360 Speaker 6: the US can succeed in that by restricting their access 141 00:07:24,400 --> 00:07:27,160 Speaker 6: to these most advanced chips and the equipment to make 142 00:07:27,240 --> 00:07:30,760 Speaker 6: the most advanced chips, the US will be successful. It's 143 00:07:30,800 --> 00:07:33,960 Speaker 6: not the first time that trade policy has been used 144 00:07:34,000 --> 00:07:38,840 Speaker 6: for things other than you know, tamping down illegal trade. 145 00:07:38,880 --> 00:07:41,840 Speaker 6: I mean, clearly this is a political objective, not an 146 00:07:41,920 --> 00:07:46,520 Speaker 6: unfair trade practices response, and so you know, it's certainly 147 00:07:46,560 --> 00:07:51,680 Speaker 6: not something that's probably authorized under WTO rules. Nevertheless, under 148 00:07:51,800 --> 00:07:55,800 Speaker 6: national security reasons, clearly the US is pursuing the strategy 149 00:07:55,880 --> 00:07:57,800 Speaker 6: and it will be effective. It'll just slow China down. 150 00:07:57,960 --> 00:08:00,320 Speaker 6: But as many have been saying, we have also it's 151 00:08:00,360 --> 00:08:04,880 Speaker 6: only going to accelerate China's own investments in developing their 152 00:08:04,920 --> 00:08:07,600 Speaker 6: own capabilities. Now, we think they're a long way off 153 00:08:07,840 --> 00:08:10,360 Speaker 6: from being able to replicate what ASML has done or. 154 00:08:10,280 --> 00:08:11,240 Speaker 7: What WEAM has done. 155 00:08:11,400 --> 00:08:16,600 Speaker 6: But again by repeating the processes that the intels and 156 00:08:16,680 --> 00:08:20,239 Speaker 6: ibms and global founderies and tsmcs of the world used, 157 00:08:20,560 --> 00:08:24,360 Speaker 6: SMICK can get to pretty close to some of the 158 00:08:24,360 --> 00:08:26,680 Speaker 6: most advanced chips, as they've shown in that Huawei chip 159 00:08:26,720 --> 00:08:27,240 Speaker 6: for example. 160 00:08:27,960 --> 00:08:30,760 Speaker 4: Joan, we ask you sometimes to put a policy hat on, 161 00:08:30,800 --> 00:08:32,680 Speaker 4: and to that point, do you try and take that 162 00:08:32,760 --> 00:08:35,600 Speaker 4: policy hat off when it comes to actually having exposure 163 00:08:35,640 --> 00:08:38,320 Speaker 4: to such companies? He said, how you've limited your exposure 164 00:08:38,320 --> 00:08:41,400 Speaker 4: to chip equipment makers because of some of the issues 165 00:08:41,480 --> 00:08:44,440 Speaker 4: with US and China. Well, what about an Nvidia that 166 00:08:44,480 --> 00:08:48,040 Speaker 4: at the moment can sacrifice Chinese sales? But ultimately do 167 00:08:48,120 --> 00:08:50,160 Speaker 4: you want to be out of companies that have such 168 00:08:50,200 --> 00:08:51,120 Speaker 4: exposure to China? 169 00:08:52,400 --> 00:08:52,600 Speaker 7: Yeah? 170 00:08:52,760 --> 00:08:55,679 Speaker 6: No, so right, So the investor hat, the portfolio manager hat, 171 00:08:55,720 --> 00:08:57,120 Speaker 6: requires that you look at policy. 172 00:08:57,240 --> 00:08:58,120 Speaker 7: Obviously, you need. 173 00:08:58,000 --> 00:09:01,280 Speaker 6: To handle have a little bit what is going to 174 00:09:01,280 --> 00:09:03,280 Speaker 6: be in the US interests, what they're going to try 175 00:09:03,320 --> 00:09:06,200 Speaker 6: to do, as well as sort of the economic outlook. 176 00:09:06,280 --> 00:09:08,400 Speaker 6: So you know, at ACM, at Advisor's Capital, what we 177 00:09:08,440 --> 00:09:11,720 Speaker 6: do is both the top down macro and political situation, 178 00:09:11,880 --> 00:09:14,040 Speaker 6: and we then build up the bottom up analysis of 179 00:09:14,120 --> 00:09:15,000 Speaker 6: companies by companies. 180 00:09:15,000 --> 00:09:17,199 Speaker 7: So in video is a great example, they have so. 181 00:09:17,280 --> 00:09:20,600 Speaker 6: Many different opportunities because demand is so strong right now 182 00:09:20,679 --> 00:09:23,080 Speaker 6: for AI capabilities in servers that. 183 00:09:23,160 --> 00:09:25,160 Speaker 7: We think if they lose a little bit from China, 184 00:09:25,400 --> 00:09:27,400 Speaker 7: they'll be able to make it up elsewhere. It looks 185 00:09:27,440 --> 00:09:28,280 Speaker 7: to us like. 186 00:09:28,280 --> 00:09:30,200 Speaker 6: They have kind of a waiting list, if you like, 187 00:09:30,640 --> 00:09:33,679 Speaker 6: of companies that would like their most advanced chips. So 188 00:09:33,880 --> 00:09:36,680 Speaker 6: you know, China could potentially hurt in the longer run 189 00:09:37,320 --> 00:09:40,520 Speaker 6: if China is able to replicate the level and quality 190 00:09:40,559 --> 00:09:44,080 Speaker 6: of chip that Invidia could otherwise supply. But if they can't, 191 00:09:44,080 --> 00:09:45,240 Speaker 6: and we don't think they'll be able to do that 192 00:09:45,240 --> 00:09:48,080 Speaker 6: for some years, China's going to have to be satisfied 193 00:09:48,120 --> 00:09:50,880 Speaker 6: with lower end graphics chips out of the likes of 194 00:09:50,960 --> 00:09:53,760 Speaker 6: Nvidia and amb So ultimately we don't think there's going 195 00:09:53,840 --> 00:09:57,000 Speaker 6: to be a big shift in spending by China, They're 196 00:09:57,040 --> 00:10:00,200 Speaker 6: going to have to be satisfied with lesser chips, even 197 00:10:00,240 --> 00:10:01,120 Speaker 6: more so than they were. 198 00:10:01,040 --> 00:10:03,120 Speaker 7: After last Octobers a level of. 199 00:10:03,120 --> 00:10:07,160 Speaker 6: Restrictions and Video will be able to sell again more 200 00:10:07,160 --> 00:10:11,559 Speaker 6: of its ultimately higher endships to US and European and 201 00:10:11,640 --> 00:10:15,160 Speaker 6: other Southeast Asian customers. 202 00:10:15,640 --> 00:10:19,120 Speaker 2: To FOMI partner and portfolio manager and advisors capital management, 203 00:10:19,120 --> 00:10:20,839 Speaker 2: but also just long, long time. 204 00:10:21,080 --> 00:10:23,320 Speaker 1: Researcher in the field of semiconductors. Thank you. 205 00:10:23,440 --> 00:10:26,560 Speaker 2: Speaking of and sticking with chips in Video's H one 206 00:10:26,679 --> 00:10:29,680 Speaker 2: hundred GPU has been one of the technology stories of 207 00:10:29,720 --> 00:10:32,559 Speaker 2: the year. Before the Israel hamass war broke out. The 208 00:10:32,679 --> 00:10:36,200 Speaker 2: chip giant had planned on holding its AI summit today 209 00:10:36,640 --> 00:10:39,960 Speaker 2: in Tel Aviv, with insight into its AI strategy expected, 210 00:10:40,000 --> 00:10:43,960 Speaker 2: but then canceled the event. Bloomberg Technology visited in VideA 211 00:10:44,240 --> 00:10:45,840 Speaker 2: and took a look at what the H one hundred 212 00:10:45,840 --> 00:10:48,720 Speaker 2: GPU used to train AI models looks like in the 213 00:10:48,760 --> 00:10:53,840 Speaker 2: real world. This is an individual H one hundred GPU 214 00:10:53,920 --> 00:10:57,520 Speaker 2: or graphics processing unit in Videa's AI accelerator, but in 215 00:10:57,559 --> 00:10:59,520 Speaker 2: reality it's not just a chip that comes out of 216 00:10:59,520 --> 00:11:01,840 Speaker 2: a plant. When we talk about the H one hundred 217 00:11:01,880 --> 00:11:07,520 Speaker 2: GPUs training AI models. We're likely talking about dgxh one hundred, 218 00:11:07,800 --> 00:11:12,400 Speaker 2: Nvidia's AI supercomputer. That's eight h one hundred GPUs combined, 219 00:11:12,440 --> 00:11:16,680 Speaker 2: capable of thirty two quadrillion floating point operations per second, 220 00:11:17,160 --> 00:11:20,560 Speaker 2: crazy computer performance. It's a server design, and this is 221 00:11:20,559 --> 00:11:22,520 Speaker 2: what it looks like under the lid. It starts with 222 00:11:22,559 --> 00:11:25,200 Speaker 2: an h one hundred GPU seen here in the form 223 00:11:25,280 --> 00:11:28,360 Speaker 2: of an SXM module. Eight individual sxms are topped with 224 00:11:28,440 --> 00:11:31,959 Speaker 2: heat six, designed to dissipate heat generated from running big 225 00:11:32,000 --> 00:11:35,880 Speaker 2: AI workloads. Those are connected on a single baseboard by interconnectors, 226 00:11:36,080 --> 00:11:39,280 Speaker 2: and that assembly alone weighs sixty pounds. Add CPUs and 227 00:11:39,320 --> 00:11:42,360 Speaker 2: other components, and a finished DGX system weighs almost three 228 00:11:42,440 --> 00:11:45,320 Speaker 2: hundred pounds. But the scale in the real world is 229 00:11:45,360 --> 00:11:48,600 Speaker 2: bigger still. Some of the most powerful large language models 230 00:11:48,679 --> 00:11:52,800 Speaker 2: are trained on the Nvidia DGX super Pod, that is 231 00:11:52,840 --> 00:11:56,600 Speaker 2: thirty two DGX eight one hundred systems combined into what's 232 00:11:56,600 --> 00:12:00,880 Speaker 2: called a scalable unit. At its absolute most mind modeling scale, 233 00:12:00,960 --> 00:12:04,960 Speaker 2: DGX Superpod can be up to sixty four scalable units. 234 00:12:05,200 --> 00:12:10,079 Speaker 2: That's more than sixteen thousand individual h one hundred GPUs 235 00:12:10,480 --> 00:12:14,960 Speaker 2: an AI company may use several superpods to train their LLLM. 236 00:12:15,240 --> 00:12:17,640 Speaker 2: In the end, the DGX infrastructure sent out to the 237 00:12:17,720 --> 00:12:22,600 Speaker 2: hyperscale cloud providers to put in their massive data centers. 238 00:12:23,960 --> 00:12:26,000 Speaker 2: I wanted to get my hands on an H one 239 00:12:26,040 --> 00:12:29,920 Speaker 2: hundred Caroline, but it isn't just this little chip. That's 240 00:12:29,960 --> 00:12:31,559 Speaker 2: the reality of what we're talking about. 241 00:12:31,640 --> 00:12:34,360 Speaker 8: You happen to do squatz squats to be able. 242 00:12:34,200 --> 00:12:36,960 Speaker 2: To I just wanted to demonstrate that in the real 243 00:12:37,000 --> 00:12:40,280 Speaker 2: world sometimes you have to deadlift what we're talking about. 244 00:12:40,880 --> 00:12:42,280 Speaker 2: And I've already got a lot of flak for that 245 00:12:42,600 --> 00:12:44,880 Speaker 2: on the show, but check it out online. Really interesting 246 00:12:44,920 --> 00:12:46,480 Speaker 2: experience going down to Nvidia. 247 00:12:46,520 --> 00:12:49,040 Speaker 4: It's a great piece to just digest really what is 248 00:12:49,040 --> 00:12:51,760 Speaker 4: behind technology. We thank you for it. Meanwhile, coming up, 249 00:12:52,040 --> 00:12:54,320 Speaker 4: we are going to get serious and turn our attention 250 00:12:54,400 --> 00:12:56,600 Speaker 4: back to the latest in Israel and Hamas the war 251 00:12:57,240 --> 00:12:59,840 Speaker 4: and discuss the wall of social media during the times 252 00:12:59,840 --> 00:13:27,880 Speaker 4: of isis One. Next this is Bloombog technology. 253 00:13:17,679 --> 00:13:21,600 Speaker 2: Mid ongoing war between Israel and Hamas. President Biden is 254 00:13:21,640 --> 00:13:24,199 Speaker 2: weighing a visit to nation. Want to get more in 255 00:13:24,240 --> 00:13:27,440 Speaker 2: the latest from the ground of bringing Bloomberg's Oliver Crook, 256 00:13:27,480 --> 00:13:30,440 Speaker 2: who's life for us in Tel Aviv. Biden's visit largely 257 00:13:30,480 --> 00:13:33,600 Speaker 2: speculative at this point. There are other leaders both from 258 00:13:33,600 --> 00:13:35,720 Speaker 2: North America and the EU coming to town. 259 00:13:36,120 --> 00:13:37,959 Speaker 1: What is the latest on the ground, Oliver. 260 00:13:38,760 --> 00:13:40,880 Speaker 9: Yeah, so let's talk for us about the military action. 261 00:13:40,960 --> 00:13:43,559 Speaker 9: Over the weekend, we got sort of confirmation from something 262 00:13:43,600 --> 00:13:47,000 Speaker 9: that we've widely anticipated, but basically Israel saying that the 263 00:13:47,040 --> 00:13:49,280 Speaker 9: next stage of this war is going to involve a 264 00:13:49,679 --> 00:13:53,120 Speaker 9: ground operation of some kind, and that was sort of 265 00:13:53,160 --> 00:13:56,120 Speaker 9: confirmed over the weekend. Their focus right now has been 266 00:13:56,160 --> 00:13:59,520 Speaker 9: on the aerial assault. They have been absolutely pummeling Gaza 267 00:13:59,679 --> 00:14:02,440 Speaker 9: for at least the last week. They've had a few 268 00:14:02,480 --> 00:14:05,200 Speaker 9: evacuation passages a few hours where they say they're not 269 00:14:05,200 --> 00:14:07,800 Speaker 9: going to bomb major arteries so that people can move south. 270 00:14:08,040 --> 00:14:10,960 Speaker 9: We had one today, yesterday and on Saturday as well. 271 00:14:11,080 --> 00:14:12,839 Speaker 9: And the main question on the ground there is a 272 00:14:12,920 --> 00:14:14,920 Speaker 9: question of AID. There is AID that is not really 273 00:14:14,920 --> 00:14:17,520 Speaker 9: being able to get through. There have been speculation all 274 00:14:17,600 --> 00:14:21,200 Speaker 9: day and reports about potentially AID being able to move 275 00:14:21,240 --> 00:14:24,120 Speaker 9: through the Egyptian border at the checkpoint at Rafa, but 276 00:14:24,160 --> 00:14:25,000 Speaker 9: that has not been. 277 00:14:26,360 --> 00:14:27,200 Speaker 7: Confirmed by US. 278 00:14:27,480 --> 00:14:30,120 Speaker 9: In terms of the diplomacy side, yes, we're expecting all 279 00:14:30,160 --> 00:14:33,000 Speaker 9: Off Schultz, the German Chancellor, to arrive tomorrow, and whether 280 00:14:33,080 --> 00:14:35,880 Speaker 9: or not Biden comes, you know, to try to again 281 00:14:36,080 --> 00:14:38,080 Speaker 9: as a sort of deterrent, but also to show the 282 00:14:38,080 --> 00:14:40,600 Speaker 9: support of the United States for Israel, which has been 283 00:14:40,960 --> 00:14:42,400 Speaker 9: fairly vocal at this point. 284 00:14:42,840 --> 00:14:46,560 Speaker 4: Meanwhile, I mean, you bring our attention to the human cost, Oliver, 285 00:14:46,640 --> 00:14:48,720 Speaker 4: and we appreciate it. Just talk to us about the 286 00:14:48,800 --> 00:14:52,160 Speaker 4: timing and time running out. According to Iran, at least 287 00:14:52,200 --> 00:14:55,240 Speaker 4: Auran's foreign minister really talking about and if we're going 288 00:14:55,240 --> 00:14:57,720 Speaker 4: to avoid some sort of expungeon to the conflict. 289 00:14:58,680 --> 00:15:00,840 Speaker 9: Yeah, so this has been we've been hearing from Iran 290 00:15:00,960 --> 00:15:03,320 Speaker 9: kind of on the sidelines of this for the last 291 00:15:03,320 --> 00:15:05,880 Speaker 9: few days. On Friday was sort of the first kind 292 00:15:05,920 --> 00:15:08,320 Speaker 9: of ominous threat. And then we had the other foreign 293 00:15:08,360 --> 00:15:10,800 Speaker 9: ministries today saying that the time for the political the 294 00:15:10,840 --> 00:15:13,680 Speaker 9: political solution is running out and the expansion of the 295 00:15:13,720 --> 00:15:16,960 Speaker 9: war to other fronts approaching is inevitable, they said in 296 00:15:17,200 --> 00:15:20,200 Speaker 9: on An X And again, this is part of the 297 00:15:20,240 --> 00:15:23,440 Speaker 9: whole reason that Lincoln has been going to uh Qatar, 298 00:15:23,840 --> 00:15:28,680 Speaker 9: the UAE, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Bahrain. This is where he 299 00:15:28,720 --> 00:15:30,920 Speaker 9: has been because it's in one side to get sort 300 00:15:30,920 --> 00:15:34,600 Speaker 9: of the back channels communicating with Tehran, but also deterrence. 301 00:15:34,600 --> 00:15:37,000 Speaker 9: We also have a second aircraft carrier fleet that is 302 00:15:37,040 --> 00:15:40,440 Speaker 9: coming to the Eastern Mediterranean. This is all about trying 303 00:15:40,480 --> 00:15:43,360 Speaker 9: to provoke that sort of deterrence. But it's not just Iran, 304 00:15:43,480 --> 00:15:46,160 Speaker 9: right So, just in the same way that the Israelis 305 00:15:46,160 --> 00:15:48,160 Speaker 9: saw all of the horror on their phones, they were 306 00:15:48,160 --> 00:15:50,040 Speaker 9: glued to it, the rest of the Arab world is 307 00:15:50,080 --> 00:15:52,440 Speaker 9: seeing the exact same thing on what's going on in 308 00:15:52,480 --> 00:15:55,360 Speaker 9: Gaza right now. And you've had protesters through the streets 309 00:15:55,360 --> 00:15:56,480 Speaker 9: throughout this process. 310 00:15:57,360 --> 00:15:59,720 Speaker 4: II thank you so much for most Oliver Krook there 311 00:15:59,720 --> 00:16:01,600 Speaker 4: with an latest on the ground from Tel Aviv, But 312 00:16:02,200 --> 00:16:04,120 Speaker 4: I mean lot of it just painted the picture there 313 00:16:04,160 --> 00:16:06,840 Speaker 4: of how much everyone has turned to social media in 314 00:16:06,880 --> 00:16:10,280 Speaker 4: this moment, and indeed, well the Uranian foreign minister actually 315 00:16:10,280 --> 00:16:12,640 Speaker 4: posting on x You want to understand really how people 316 00:16:12,680 --> 00:16:15,600 Speaker 4: are using social media and what they should be looking 317 00:16:15,680 --> 00:16:18,200 Speaker 4: at if at all nor A Benavidez is with us 318 00:16:18,360 --> 00:16:21,160 Speaker 4: just free press and or are You're a senior counsel, 319 00:16:21,240 --> 00:16:24,160 Speaker 4: your director of Digital Justice and civil rights, and really 320 00:16:24,160 --> 00:16:28,160 Speaker 4: you run the organization's platform accountability, the digital civil rights 321 00:16:28,200 --> 00:16:34,480 Speaker 4: work there and how accountable ultimately are x, Meta, TikTok, Town, 322 00:16:34,560 --> 00:16:36,720 Speaker 4: and bike Dance. How much are they looking for this 323 00:16:36,800 --> 00:16:40,160 Speaker 4: moment of responsible nurturing of what's being put onto the 324 00:16:40,160 --> 00:16:41,080 Speaker 4: platforms right now? 325 00:16:42,320 --> 00:16:44,680 Speaker 10: Well, thanks for having me, both of you. You know, 326 00:16:44,920 --> 00:16:49,080 Speaker 10: most of the major platforms have really failed the massive 327 00:16:49,120 --> 00:16:52,600 Speaker 10: stress test over the last week and a half. In particular, 328 00:16:52,680 --> 00:16:57,720 Speaker 10: Twitter or x now has created the perfect environment for 329 00:16:57,840 --> 00:17:02,200 Speaker 10: disinformation to thrive. And as your colleagues mentioned, people are 330 00:17:02,240 --> 00:17:05,320 Speaker 10: turning to social media now more than ever as their 331 00:17:05,359 --> 00:17:09,360 Speaker 10: primary way of getting rapid information. Most of us are 332 00:17:09,440 --> 00:17:12,480 Speaker 10: hungry to figure out what's going on on the ground 333 00:17:12,760 --> 00:17:17,480 Speaker 10: and whether it's family members, journalists, or others returning to 334 00:17:17,520 --> 00:17:21,360 Speaker 10: these platforms only to be met with a deluge of 335 00:17:21,840 --> 00:17:27,560 Speaker 10: mislabeled videos, images that are taken from other time places, regions, 336 00:17:27,680 --> 00:17:32,160 Speaker 10: et cetera. Ultimately, Elon Musk has shown that Twitter has failed, 337 00:17:32,240 --> 00:17:35,800 Speaker 10: I think with a kind of grandeur. You know, his 338 00:17:35,960 --> 00:17:40,119 Speaker 10: bad decisions have literally led us to this moment. He 339 00:17:40,240 --> 00:17:44,119 Speaker 10: gutted critical teams as other platforms have, like Meta and 340 00:17:44,400 --> 00:17:45,600 Speaker 10: TikTok and YouTube. 341 00:17:46,800 --> 00:17:49,440 Speaker 11: Elon Musk has also changed the blue check. 342 00:17:49,280 --> 00:17:52,479 Speaker 10: Mark feature, which is in the scheme of all of 343 00:17:52,520 --> 00:17:53,960 Speaker 10: these swirling forces. 344 00:17:54,000 --> 00:17:55,520 Speaker 11: One of the really big problems. 345 00:17:55,760 --> 00:17:59,960 Speaker 10: It incentivizes people to now subscribe and they pay us 346 00:18:00,080 --> 00:18:03,399 Speaker 10: small fee, but their content gets boosted. So if you're 347 00:18:03,440 --> 00:18:06,040 Speaker 10: willing to pay that eight dollars, your content might be 348 00:18:06,119 --> 00:18:09,760 Speaker 10: featured in more people's feeds. He also needs add money 349 00:18:09,800 --> 00:18:13,120 Speaker 10: because advertisers have been fleeing the platform for a lot 350 00:18:13,160 --> 00:18:17,160 Speaker 10: of these reasons, and one of his incentives has been 351 00:18:17,240 --> 00:18:20,919 Speaker 10: to pay people for engagement and virality. 352 00:18:21,080 --> 00:18:25,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, it's crazy, Naura Nora. Just for our audience. 353 00:18:25,760 --> 00:18:28,919 Speaker 2: X's response to this has been to basically call an 354 00:18:28,960 --> 00:18:32,359 Speaker 2: all hands on deck situation. They've told us here on 355 00:18:32,359 --> 00:18:36,200 Speaker 2: Limo Technology that all staff are focused on the Israel 356 00:18:36,280 --> 00:18:40,240 Speaker 2: hamass war. They've given us data on community notes action, 357 00:18:40,400 --> 00:18:43,680 Speaker 2: and for Meta's part, they have a special operations team 358 00:18:43,760 --> 00:18:47,439 Speaker 2: in place now with fluent Hebrew and Arabic speakers that 359 00:18:47,480 --> 00:18:50,960 Speaker 2: are basically working twenty four to seven to review content. 360 00:18:51,080 --> 00:18:55,720 Speaker 2: But at issue specifically seems to be video content, videos 361 00:18:55,760 --> 00:18:59,520 Speaker 2: purporting to show one thing when in reality they are another. 362 00:19:00,080 --> 00:19:02,520 Speaker 2: What is your view on the role video is playing here? 363 00:19:04,320 --> 00:19:06,400 Speaker 11: Video is one of the last frontiers. 364 00:19:06,440 --> 00:19:11,200 Speaker 10: It's really very difficult to moderate video content, and frankly, 365 00:19:11,480 --> 00:19:14,520 Speaker 10: Elon Musk pointing to community notes as a way for 366 00:19:14,760 --> 00:19:19,040 Speaker 10: users to do his job is inadequate. It's also inadequate 367 00:19:19,080 --> 00:19:21,760 Speaker 10: that a week and a half after the conflict escalated, 368 00:19:22,480 --> 00:19:25,080 Speaker 10: now is the moment that social media companies are pulling 369 00:19:25,080 --> 00:19:26,879 Speaker 10: their rapid crisis centers together. 370 00:19:27,240 --> 00:19:29,240 Speaker 11: That is days and days too late. 371 00:19:29,760 --> 00:19:33,040 Speaker 10: Citing to the ability to remove hundreds of thousands of 372 00:19:33,119 --> 00:19:36,080 Speaker 10: posts is also inadequate, because we have to understand the 373 00:19:36,160 --> 00:19:39,520 Speaker 10: environment here is there are millions and millions of posts 374 00:19:39,600 --> 00:19:42,879 Speaker 10: going out every day about this subject, and billions of 375 00:19:42,960 --> 00:19:46,199 Speaker 10: active monthly users trying to get that content, and so 376 00:19:46,520 --> 00:19:49,280 Speaker 10: the lack of teams, the lack of policies in place, 377 00:19:49,760 --> 00:19:53,639 Speaker 10: the slow to respond crisis centers are just not enough 378 00:19:54,000 --> 00:19:56,440 Speaker 10: to rain in the level of toxicity. 379 00:19:57,720 --> 00:20:00,240 Speaker 2: All right, Nora Benavidez a free Press thank you for 380 00:20:00,280 --> 00:20:11,880 Speaker 2: your time here on the show. This is Talking Tech 381 00:20:11,920 --> 00:20:14,800 Speaker 2: First up kPr raising seven hundred and twenty three million 382 00:20:14,880 --> 00:20:18,320 Speaker 2: dollars in Japan's largest listing in nearly five years, that 383 00:20:18,880 --> 00:20:22,560 Speaker 2: of chip equipment maker Kokutse Electric Shares a expence to 384 00:20:22,560 --> 00:20:26,400 Speaker 2: begin trading on October twenty fifth, plus Indonesia's biggest tech firm, 385 00:20:26,440 --> 00:20:30,040 Speaker 2: go To, plunged it's most on record earlier today after 386 00:20:30,119 --> 00:20:33,560 Speaker 2: revelations of a stock sale by a co founder, which 387 00:20:33,600 --> 00:20:36,600 Speaker 2: ignited a selloff, but go To recovered after anlis argued 388 00:20:36,600 --> 00:20:39,280 Speaker 2: the selloff was overdone and not some more supported by 389 00:20:39,320 --> 00:20:46,120 Speaker 2: Fundamental School. 390 00:20:47,560 --> 00:20:49,760 Speaker 4: Welcome back to Blue Meg Technology. I'm Caroline Hid in New. 391 00:20:49,720 --> 00:20:52,960 Speaker 2: York, Meed Lovelow in San Francisco, Cara A very quick 392 00:20:53,040 --> 00:20:54,560 Speaker 2: check in on the market. So we started the week 393 00:20:54,600 --> 00:20:57,520 Speaker 2: with the NASDA one hundred higher fi percentage point. Remember 394 00:20:57,520 --> 00:21:00,720 Speaker 2: we're coming off three straight weekly gains on the NAZAQ 395 00:21:00,760 --> 00:21:03,720 Speaker 2: one hundred amid all of the volatility of global markets, 396 00:21:03,760 --> 00:21:07,199 Speaker 2: worries about China's economy. We're ahead of earning season, but 397 00:21:07,320 --> 00:21:09,399 Speaker 2: two of those weeks we notched again of just like 398 00:21:09,440 --> 00:21:12,439 Speaker 2: a tenth of one percent, and that's inclusive of the 399 00:21:12,480 --> 00:21:15,479 Speaker 2: IPO window that we had, which hasn't done much to 400 00:21:15,520 --> 00:21:18,600 Speaker 2: give us sort of that much momentum to the upside. 401 00:21:18,720 --> 00:21:20,520 Speaker 1: This week's big a lot of FED speak. 402 00:21:20,560 --> 00:21:25,520 Speaker 2: We get China g GDP reading on Wednesday, but there 403 00:21:25,640 --> 00:21:28,360 Speaker 2: is a growing list of factors and if you read 404 00:21:28,400 --> 00:21:30,560 Speaker 2: that story about on the Bloomberg. A lot of hope 405 00:21:30,640 --> 00:21:33,359 Speaker 2: pinning on those big five megacap tech names this earning 406 00:21:33,400 --> 00:21:36,520 Speaker 2: season in terms of owning's growth to bring that positive 407 00:21:36,560 --> 00:21:39,320 Speaker 2: story back to tech, but also tech continuing to lead 408 00:21:39,359 --> 00:21:41,760 Speaker 2: the way amid a broader market that's kind of not 409 00:21:41,800 --> 00:21:43,159 Speaker 2: sure where it stands. 410 00:21:42,960 --> 00:21:44,960 Speaker 4: And that's in the public markets. Of course, this all 411 00:21:44,960 --> 00:21:47,000 Speaker 4: feeds into the private markets as well, and we're going 412 00:21:47,040 --> 00:21:49,280 Speaker 4: to be talking about both right here in New York 413 00:21:49,280 --> 00:21:51,840 Speaker 4: because it's Tech Week upon us officially kicking off in 414 00:21:51,920 --> 00:21:55,040 Speaker 4: the Big Apple with industry titans, startups gathering well basically 415 00:21:55,040 --> 00:21:58,400 Speaker 4: throughout the entire week for events, there's can be panels, conversations, breakfast, 416 00:21:58,640 --> 00:22:01,320 Speaker 4: much more, a week on blueing bog technology. Look, we're 417 00:22:01,320 --> 00:22:03,520 Speaker 4: going to be speaking with those founders, with those investors, 418 00:22:03,520 --> 00:22:07,159 Speaker 4: with those executives to discuss the tech ecosystem here in 419 00:22:07,200 --> 00:22:09,399 Speaker 4: New York City and why they choose to call it 420 00:22:09,480 --> 00:22:12,400 Speaker 4: home NYC. I please to say we're now joined by 421 00:22:12,680 --> 00:22:16,560 Speaker 4: two key players when it comes to investing in the area. 422 00:22:16,760 --> 00:22:19,720 Speaker 4: David Haber, General Partner Andrews and Horowitz, who focuses on 423 00:22:19,760 --> 00:22:22,560 Speaker 4: technology investments, particularly in financial services, and Julie You and 424 00:22:22,600 --> 00:22:25,359 Speaker 4: general partner in the bio and health team at Andrewson, 425 00:22:25,560 --> 00:22:28,880 Speaker 4: who needs investments in companies that are transforming how we access, pay, 426 00:22:28,920 --> 00:22:31,640 Speaker 4: and experience healthcare, a lot of which is an epicenter 427 00:22:31,680 --> 00:22:33,119 Speaker 4: here in New York. And David, I start with you, 428 00:22:33,200 --> 00:22:35,760 Speaker 4: because what do you see at the moment in New 429 00:22:35,840 --> 00:22:38,520 Speaker 4: York that is making more people put boots on the ground, 430 00:22:38,520 --> 00:22:40,479 Speaker 4: particularly Andrews and what You've got eighty plus New York 431 00:22:40,480 --> 00:22:42,359 Speaker 4: based employees, now you've got new office space. 432 00:22:42,680 --> 00:22:47,080 Speaker 12: Absolutely why Yeah. Look, I've always believed that opportunities live 433 00:22:47,119 --> 00:22:51,040 Speaker 12: between fields of expertise, and I really enjoy exploring those intersections. 434 00:22:51,080 --> 00:22:53,080 Speaker 12: And I think it really is a metaphor for New 435 00:22:53,119 --> 00:22:57,320 Speaker 12: York City because technology has a tendency of cunning across industries, 436 00:22:57,320 --> 00:22:59,240 Speaker 12: and I think the companies that really represent New York 437 00:22:59,320 --> 00:23:03,000 Speaker 12: best are those really live at the intersection between technology 438 00:23:03,400 --> 00:23:06,199 Speaker 12: and many of the large incoming industries that exist here 439 00:23:06,240 --> 00:23:10,600 Speaker 12: in New York, whether that's media, advertising, fashion, or financial services. 440 00:23:10,240 --> 00:23:12,560 Speaker 4: And indeed healthcare. And it's interesting, Julie, that's the area 441 00:23:12,600 --> 00:23:14,359 Speaker 4: that you focus on, and how much are you seeing 442 00:23:14,400 --> 00:23:17,520 Speaker 4: that health is becoming some of the deals the checks 443 00:23:17,520 --> 00:23:20,440 Speaker 4: the VC count that so we're currently seeing a chart 444 00:23:20,600 --> 00:23:22,280 Speaker 4: just showing that about four hundred and three in the 445 00:23:22,320 --> 00:23:25,600 Speaker 4: third quarter is how many per metro area we've seen 446 00:23:25,760 --> 00:23:28,199 Speaker 4: the share of us VC deals, the count that is 447 00:23:28,200 --> 00:23:30,240 Speaker 4: in New York. How much of that as healthcare and 448 00:23:30,240 --> 00:23:31,040 Speaker 4: how much should it be? 449 00:23:32,400 --> 00:23:35,199 Speaker 3: Absolutely, I mean healthcare in many ways. When I started 450 00:23:35,200 --> 00:23:37,879 Speaker 3: investing here at the firm about four years ago, I 451 00:23:37,920 --> 00:23:40,159 Speaker 3: sort of likened it to the nineteen ninety nine of 452 00:23:40,200 --> 00:23:42,120 Speaker 3: the Internet era, and so I feel like we're really 453 00:23:42,160 --> 00:23:44,439 Speaker 3: at the beginning of a dawn of this new digital 454 00:23:44,440 --> 00:23:46,240 Speaker 3: health era in domain. 455 00:23:46,760 --> 00:23:48,600 Speaker 13: And to David's point. 456 00:23:48,440 --> 00:23:50,560 Speaker 3: I think maybe a little known fact about the New 457 00:23:50,640 --> 00:23:53,359 Speaker 3: York tech scene is that, whereas most people think about 458 00:23:53,359 --> 00:23:56,520 Speaker 3: fintech is really the biggest sort of cohort of startups 459 00:23:56,520 --> 00:23:59,639 Speaker 3: and venture capital activity, it turns out that depending on 460 00:23:59,640 --> 00:24:02,000 Speaker 3: what charge do you look at, health tech is also 461 00:24:02,480 --> 00:24:05,000 Speaker 3: number one or number two within the New York tech 462 00:24:05,000 --> 00:24:09,080 Speaker 3: scene as well, because of the incumbency. In the same 463 00:24:09,119 --> 00:24:13,320 Speaker 3: way that we have financial services, bank companies and such 464 00:24:13,840 --> 00:24:16,719 Speaker 3: in the New York scene, we also have tremendously huge 465 00:24:17,240 --> 00:24:20,159 Speaker 3: healthcare companies, whether they be insurance companies, whether they be 466 00:24:20,160 --> 00:24:24,159 Speaker 3: biopharmaceutical companies, whether they be hospital systems also based in 467 00:24:24,160 --> 00:24:27,200 Speaker 3: that city, and it creates a really unique ecosystem for innovation, 468 00:24:27,680 --> 00:24:29,280 Speaker 3: and so we've really seen a ton of activity in 469 00:24:29,320 --> 00:24:30,479 Speaker 3: recent years in that domain. 470 00:24:30,800 --> 00:24:33,240 Speaker 2: Julia, let's show that chart again, which is deal count 471 00:24:33,320 --> 00:24:37,159 Speaker 2: right in San Francisco or the Silicon Valley area has 472 00:24:37,240 --> 00:24:40,200 Speaker 2: kind of led historically from a deal count even dollar 473 00:24:40,280 --> 00:24:44,280 Speaker 2: volume perspective. But if you extrapolate back, the gap in 474 00:24:44,400 --> 00:24:48,000 Speaker 2: terms of deal count and dollar volume is closing between 475 00:24:48,080 --> 00:24:49,679 Speaker 2: New York and San Francisco. 476 00:24:49,720 --> 00:24:50,639 Speaker 1: What does that tell you? 477 00:24:50,880 --> 00:24:51,080 Speaker 6: Yeah? 478 00:24:51,080 --> 00:24:51,600 Speaker 13: Absolutely. 479 00:24:51,760 --> 00:24:53,280 Speaker 3: This is one of the reasons that we've invested so 480 00:24:53,280 --> 00:24:55,680 Speaker 3: heavily in the New York tech scene is that healthcare 481 00:24:55,720 --> 00:24:58,159 Speaker 3: in particular has really seen a rise there. One of 482 00:24:58,160 --> 00:25:00,480 Speaker 3: the feces that we have about why that's the case 483 00:25:00,640 --> 00:25:02,639 Speaker 3: is that we have this concept of what's called a 484 00:25:02,680 --> 00:25:05,600 Speaker 3: digital health native founder, someone who has actually grown up 485 00:25:05,640 --> 00:25:08,359 Speaker 3: in digital health companies that have been quite successful and 486 00:25:08,400 --> 00:25:10,879 Speaker 3: are now coming out and starting their own businesses and 487 00:25:10,920 --> 00:25:13,960 Speaker 3: really seeding the next generation of entrepreneurs. And many of 488 00:25:13,960 --> 00:25:16,000 Speaker 3: those companies, most of those companies, in fact, have actually 489 00:25:16,000 --> 00:25:18,000 Speaker 3: been based in New York. So we have the legs 490 00:25:18,040 --> 00:25:20,480 Speaker 3: of companies like Oscar Health, which is a publicly traded 491 00:25:20,480 --> 00:25:23,399 Speaker 3: insure tech business that has now spawned a number of 492 00:25:23,520 --> 00:25:26,479 Speaker 3: entrepreneurs that we've backed that have again grown up in 493 00:25:26,520 --> 00:25:30,000 Speaker 3: a company that sits at the intersection of healthcare, technology 494 00:25:30,040 --> 00:25:33,000 Speaker 3: and financial services and can now take those skills into 495 00:25:33,320 --> 00:25:35,000 Speaker 3: the next wave of companies that are being built. 496 00:25:35,920 --> 00:25:39,520 Speaker 2: David, the story in San Francisco Bay Area Silicon Valley 497 00:25:39,560 --> 00:25:42,400 Speaker 2: is well told, right, you have the Stanford Computer science 498 00:25:42,480 --> 00:25:45,639 Speaker 2: drop out and they start a company here because the 499 00:25:45,760 --> 00:25:48,879 Speaker 2: funding was here and the like minded people were here. 500 00:25:49,119 --> 00:25:49,680 Speaker 1: And in some. 501 00:25:49,560 --> 00:25:51,240 Speaker 2: Sense that's still true, right, We talk about it on 502 00:25:51,280 --> 00:25:52,040 Speaker 2: the show all the time. 503 00:25:52,359 --> 00:25:54,560 Speaker 1: What is the equivalent story in New York? 504 00:25:55,880 --> 00:25:57,920 Speaker 12: Look, as I said, I think New York is such 505 00:25:57,920 --> 00:25:59,560 Speaker 12: a unique ecosystem. 506 00:25:59,800 --> 00:26:00,480 Speaker 8: I joined. 507 00:26:00,520 --> 00:26:02,280 Speaker 12: I first moved to New York City in two thousand 508 00:26:02,280 --> 00:26:04,960 Speaker 12: and nine in the wake of the financial crisis, you know, 509 00:26:05,000 --> 00:26:06,920 Speaker 12: and at the time, technology was sort of this cute 510 00:26:06,920 --> 00:26:09,520 Speaker 12: little underdog industry again in the shadows of you know, 511 00:26:09,520 --> 00:26:11,520 Speaker 12: many of the large kind of incoming industries here in 512 00:26:11,560 --> 00:26:15,200 Speaker 12: New York. As I mentioned, you know, bea media, you know, advertising, 513 00:26:15,640 --> 00:26:18,000 Speaker 12: you know, fashion, or financial services. And again, I think 514 00:26:18,720 --> 00:26:20,679 Speaker 12: the companies that are really sort of indicative of this 515 00:26:20,760 --> 00:26:25,040 Speaker 12: ecosystem are those that sort of intersect with those in industries. 516 00:26:26,119 --> 00:26:28,600 Speaker 12: You know, obviously I'm quite biased, but fintech is you know, 517 00:26:28,600 --> 00:26:31,400 Speaker 12: a huge presence here in New York and it's really 518 00:26:31,880 --> 00:26:34,399 Speaker 12: a great place to become sort of bridge between the 519 00:26:34,440 --> 00:26:37,280 Speaker 12: startup ecosystem and a lot of these you know, decision 520 00:26:37,320 --> 00:26:38,840 Speaker 12: makers at a lot of these large companies. 521 00:26:39,040 --> 00:26:42,119 Speaker 4: The reason, perhaps, David, that your bio hasaw that you 522 00:26:42,200 --> 00:26:43,760 Speaker 4: might say, is because you were a founder. Of course, 523 00:26:43,800 --> 00:26:45,840 Speaker 4: Bond Street was brought by Goldman. It was all about 524 00:26:45,880 --> 00:26:49,640 Speaker 4: sort of growth financing to businesses. What is the financing 525 00:26:50,720 --> 00:26:53,000 Speaker 4: like right now for entrepreneurs who want to go and 526 00:26:53,000 --> 00:26:55,320 Speaker 4: build things, who want to be ensuring that they're bringing 527 00:26:55,359 --> 00:26:58,720 Speaker 4: together the large caps meet the startup ecosystem? Are you 528 00:26:58,760 --> 00:27:02,200 Speaker 4: writing checks? Is the see community energize right now to 529 00:27:02,240 --> 00:27:02,760 Speaker 4: write checks? 530 00:27:02,840 --> 00:27:03,399 Speaker 8: Absolutely? 531 00:27:03,440 --> 00:27:05,400 Speaker 12: Again, just for context, you know, I joined in dres 532 00:27:05,440 --> 00:27:08,000 Speaker 12: and Horowitz in July twenty twenty one really to help 533 00:27:08,000 --> 00:27:10,280 Speaker 12: plant the flag here in New York City. At the time, 534 00:27:10,359 --> 00:27:12,000 Speaker 12: we were six people in New York. Today were over 535 00:27:12,040 --> 00:27:14,320 Speaker 12: eighty people in New York, which makes us likely one 536 00:27:14,320 --> 00:27:16,719 Speaker 12: of the largest venture capital firms at least by headcount 537 00:27:16,720 --> 00:27:18,960 Speaker 12: here in New York City. So you know, we're incredibly 538 00:27:18,960 --> 00:27:21,119 Speaker 12: excited to be here and to be writing you know, 539 00:27:21,200 --> 00:27:24,640 Speaker 12: checks into the entrepreneurs in this ecosystem. And again we've 540 00:27:24,640 --> 00:27:26,840 Speaker 12: seen a lot of other large firms join, you know, 541 00:27:26,920 --> 00:27:30,439 Speaker 12: open up offices in New York in the last twelve months. 542 00:27:30,440 --> 00:27:32,560 Speaker 12: And so while the markets are challenging, I think there's 543 00:27:32,560 --> 00:27:35,400 Speaker 12: plenty of capital available for entrepreneurs starting new companies. 544 00:27:36,640 --> 00:27:41,399 Speaker 2: Julie, You're academic background MIT both as an undergrad and 545 00:27:41,440 --> 00:27:45,520 Speaker 2: then have an MIT for masters. I believe how closely 546 00:27:46,160 --> 00:27:48,840 Speaker 2: as an expanded group of partners in New York City 547 00:27:48,880 --> 00:27:52,840 Speaker 2: in the East Coast do you track the academic basis 548 00:27:52,920 --> 00:27:54,919 Speaker 2: that talent can come from. You know, there's a lot 549 00:27:54,920 --> 00:27:58,320 Speaker 2: of emphasis here obviously on Stanford and Berkeley. Is there 550 00:27:58,359 --> 00:28:01,720 Speaker 2: the same pool of talent being generationally created each year 551 00:28:01,760 --> 00:28:02,600 Speaker 2: out of the East Coast? 552 00:28:02,720 --> 00:28:03,200 Speaker 8: Absolutely? 553 00:28:03,280 --> 00:28:05,240 Speaker 3: I mean, I think when you look at our portfolio, 554 00:28:05,720 --> 00:28:08,600 Speaker 3: roughly about half of our biown health portfolio is based 555 00:28:08,600 --> 00:28:10,080 Speaker 3: somewhere on the East Coast, whether it be in the 556 00:28:10,080 --> 00:28:14,280 Speaker 3: Boston ecosystem largely biotech focused there. And then the majority 557 00:28:14,320 --> 00:28:16,320 Speaker 3: of my personal portfolio is actually based in New York 558 00:28:16,320 --> 00:28:17,960 Speaker 3: and hence I spend a ton of time there with 559 00:28:18,000 --> 00:28:20,280 Speaker 3: my partner David on companies that really sit at the 560 00:28:20,280 --> 00:28:23,399 Speaker 3: intersection actually of healthcare and fintech, where we see a 561 00:28:23,440 --> 00:28:26,480 Speaker 3: huge amount of opportunity. I think the other piece of 562 00:28:26,520 --> 00:28:29,200 Speaker 3: this David mentioned that he is a recovering fintech entrepreneur. 563 00:28:29,440 --> 00:28:31,840 Speaker 3: I'm also a way of recovering health tech entrepreneur, and 564 00:28:31,880 --> 00:28:34,239 Speaker 3: that's really where we see a huge advantage for our 565 00:28:34,280 --> 00:28:36,879 Speaker 3: team in that we have all been ex builders in 566 00:28:36,920 --> 00:28:39,400 Speaker 3: these domains, and really that's I would say probably more 567 00:28:39,400 --> 00:28:41,520 Speaker 3: where we focus is where the pools of talent that 568 00:28:41,560 --> 00:28:44,920 Speaker 3: have actually built businesses that are native to different industries 569 00:28:44,960 --> 00:28:47,920 Speaker 3: that can now come together and see these unique opportunities 570 00:28:47,920 --> 00:28:48,760 Speaker 3: at those intersections. 571 00:28:48,880 --> 00:28:50,960 Speaker 4: Of course, you were only member of a software engineering 572 00:28:51,000 --> 00:28:54,200 Speaker 4: team that was eventually acquired by Oracle, so you know 573 00:28:54,240 --> 00:28:57,200 Speaker 4: how the exit route tends to look like, Julie, and 574 00:28:57,240 --> 00:29:01,120 Speaker 4: I'm interested as to whether or not it's more diversity 575 00:29:01,360 --> 00:29:03,840 Speaker 4: in terms of the founders that you see in New York. 576 00:29:03,880 --> 00:29:06,520 Speaker 4: I mean, there's always been this concern that you know, 577 00:29:06,560 --> 00:29:08,480 Speaker 4: when we are seeing it from the same pool of 578 00:29:08,800 --> 00:29:10,959 Speaker 4: Mit and Harvard as you two sit in front of us, 579 00:29:11,000 --> 00:29:15,600 Speaker 4: as there has been within that ecosystem not always as 580 00:29:15,680 --> 00:29:17,719 Speaker 4: much diversity as you'd like to see in terms of 581 00:29:17,920 --> 00:29:20,480 Speaker 4: people of color, women coming forward with businesses ideas. 582 00:29:20,600 --> 00:29:21,680 Speaker 8: How does that look at New York? 583 00:29:22,680 --> 00:29:25,360 Speaker 3: Yeah, I think New York has always been a huge 584 00:29:25,480 --> 00:29:28,640 Speaker 3: exemplary sort of diversity pool in many ways, whether it 585 00:29:28,720 --> 00:29:32,400 Speaker 3: be culturally, whether it be based on background, and more importantly, 586 00:29:32,400 --> 00:29:35,280 Speaker 3: as we've talked about, in terms of the actual experience 587 00:29:35,280 --> 00:29:38,080 Speaker 3: set that founders are able to bring to this next 588 00:29:38,200 --> 00:29:40,480 Speaker 3: wave of startups. So we absolutely do see that in 589 00:29:40,520 --> 00:29:41,440 Speaker 3: the New York scene. 590 00:29:41,920 --> 00:29:43,840 Speaker 2: David, tell me what New York Tech Week looks like 591 00:29:43,880 --> 00:29:46,040 Speaker 2: for you. How many hackathons are you going to, how 592 00:29:46,040 --> 00:29:49,560 Speaker 2: many mixes, what kind of events? Seriously, that's what's going 593 00:29:49,600 --> 00:29:51,240 Speaker 2: on out here on the West coast. What's it like 594 00:29:51,240 --> 00:29:51,960 Speaker 2: on the East coast. 595 00:29:52,080 --> 00:29:55,280 Speaker 12: Yeah, we're really incredibly exciting to be here. You know, 596 00:29:55,280 --> 00:29:57,400 Speaker 12: as I mentioned in Reason has been hosting these tech 597 00:29:57,400 --> 00:30:00,560 Speaker 12: weeks in cities like San Francisco and Los Angeles. York City, 598 00:30:01,280 --> 00:30:04,320 Speaker 12: New York Tech Week stands to be our largest event ever. 599 00:30:04,840 --> 00:30:07,280 Speaker 12: We have three hundred and fifty different events hosted not 600 00:30:07,360 --> 00:30:10,520 Speaker 12: only by our firm, but by folks across the tech ecosystem, 601 00:30:10,560 --> 00:30:14,440 Speaker 12: which again, I think speaks to how dynamic this ecosystem 602 00:30:14,480 --> 00:30:17,560 Speaker 12: has become. So we're kicking things off with an event tonight, 603 00:30:18,040 --> 00:30:20,000 Speaker 12: which we're really excited about. And then Julie and I 604 00:30:20,080 --> 00:30:22,800 Speaker 12: are hosting an event again at the intersection of healthcare 605 00:30:22,840 --> 00:30:25,240 Speaker 12: and fintech and really excited to host you know a 606 00:30:25,280 --> 00:30:28,360 Speaker 12: number of entrepreneurs building at that intersection and I love it. 607 00:30:28,440 --> 00:30:32,560 Speaker 4: David Haber, Julieu, thank you as your well Social Endeavors 608 00:30:32,960 --> 00:30:35,520 Speaker 4: pick up a please for this particular wig. We thank 609 00:30:35,520 --> 00:30:37,760 Speaker 4: you both from Andrews and Horowitz. And what else we've 610 00:30:37,760 --> 00:30:38,560 Speaker 4: got coming up. 611 00:30:38,960 --> 00:30:43,640 Speaker 2: Well, digesting recovering fintech entrepreneur, recovering health tech founder. What's 612 00:30:43,640 --> 00:30:45,960 Speaker 2: said about but coming up on the show talking targeted 613 00:30:46,000 --> 00:30:48,800 Speaker 2: advertising on your social media feeds and how it isn't 614 00:30:48,880 --> 00:30:52,160 Speaker 2: likely to change anytime soon. We're going to discuss this 615 00:30:52,600 --> 00:31:08,480 Speaker 2: is bloomber technology. 616 00:31:10,080 --> 00:31:12,280 Speaker 4: We want to do a bit of a deep dive on, well, 617 00:31:12,400 --> 00:31:14,200 Speaker 4: a certain business model at play at the moment, the 618 00:31:14,200 --> 00:31:18,200 Speaker 4: economics of zero ad versions on mainstream social media services. 619 00:31:18,800 --> 00:31:21,800 Speaker 4: They're not particularly likely to appeal to tech companies or 620 00:31:21,880 --> 00:31:22,600 Speaker 4: indeed their users. 621 00:31:22,600 --> 00:31:23,400 Speaker 1: It would seem. 622 00:31:23,200 --> 00:31:26,880 Speaker 4: Indeed, targeted advertising it totally revolutionized the media business. May Meta, 623 00:31:27,000 --> 00:31:29,960 Speaker 4: for example, one of the most valuable companies in the world, 624 00:31:30,280 --> 00:31:33,640 Speaker 4: A very own Bloomberg Max Chafkin writes in Today's Bloomberg 625 00:31:33,680 --> 00:31:36,080 Speaker 4: Business Week, all about the pros and the cons You 626 00:31:36,160 --> 00:31:40,640 Speaker 4: join us now, and basically, why will they be ultimately 627 00:31:40,920 --> 00:31:43,480 Speaker 4: such a push against this unless they're regulated that way? 628 00:31:43,800 --> 00:31:43,960 Speaker 8: Right? 629 00:31:44,080 --> 00:31:47,760 Speaker 14: So, the big reason that this model is popular is 630 00:31:47,800 --> 00:31:53,120 Speaker 14: that it's extremely lucrative. Facebook Meta has built a very 631 00:31:53,200 --> 00:31:55,600 Speaker 14: large a business that generates more than one hundred billion 632 00:31:55,600 --> 00:31:58,800 Speaker 14: dollars a year serving these targeted ads to people. It 633 00:31:58,840 --> 00:32:02,400 Speaker 14: has a lot of power or over retailers anyone wants 634 00:32:02,440 --> 00:32:04,760 Speaker 14: to show sell products on the Internet, as well as 635 00:32:04,760 --> 00:32:09,000 Speaker 14: media companies because it's amassed this huge database essentially of 636 00:32:09,040 --> 00:32:11,880 Speaker 14: personal information about people that it can then rent to 637 00:32:12,240 --> 00:32:13,000 Speaker 14: third parties. 638 00:32:13,160 --> 00:32:15,920 Speaker 8: And in Europe right now, we have regulators pushing. 639 00:32:15,680 --> 00:32:18,480 Speaker 14: Back against aspects of that model, and metas sort of 640 00:32:18,480 --> 00:32:20,640 Speaker 14: turning around saying, well, Okay, if you don't like it, 641 00:32:20,840 --> 00:32:24,440 Speaker 14: you can pay us for Facebook and Instagram, pay us 642 00:32:24,560 --> 00:32:27,160 Speaker 14: a relatively high monthly price. It looks like they're talking 643 00:32:27,160 --> 00:32:30,000 Speaker 14: somewhere in the neighborhood of twenty dollars a month and 644 00:32:30,040 --> 00:32:32,720 Speaker 14: you'll see no ads at all, which you know, I 645 00:32:32,760 --> 00:32:35,080 Speaker 14: would guess that very few people will actually be willing 646 00:32:35,120 --> 00:32:37,120 Speaker 14: to pay for because you're talking about a price, you know, 647 00:32:37,160 --> 00:32:39,880 Speaker 14: that costs more than some wireless plans obviously costs more 648 00:32:39,880 --> 00:32:43,120 Speaker 14: than a lot of newspapers, Disney plus Netflix and so on. 649 00:32:43,200 --> 00:32:45,280 Speaker 8: It's a lot of money for social media. 650 00:32:44,880 --> 00:32:46,960 Speaker 4: It is, and it's also a lot of money for 651 00:32:47,280 --> 00:32:49,800 Speaker 4: people who don't make as money as others. And in 652 00:32:49,840 --> 00:32:53,120 Speaker 4: some way then means someone who is well has more 653 00:32:53,160 --> 00:32:56,240 Speaker 4: money to spend becomes able to pay for more privacy, 654 00:32:56,240 --> 00:32:57,560 Speaker 4: and that doesn't seem particularly fast. 655 00:32:57,560 --> 00:33:00,360 Speaker 14: So this is an argument that Mark Zuckerberg, under of 656 00:33:00,440 --> 00:33:03,160 Speaker 14: Facebook and Meta, has long used as an argument against this, 657 00:33:03,280 --> 00:33:06,440 Speaker 14: saying that it would be unfair, be unequal to allow 658 00:33:06,480 --> 00:33:08,480 Speaker 14: people to sort of buy their way out of ads. 659 00:33:09,560 --> 00:33:10,360 Speaker 8: What happened, you know? 660 00:33:10,440 --> 00:33:14,200 Speaker 14: Twenty eighteen, Europe passes the GDPR, this big privacy regulation, 661 00:33:14,320 --> 00:33:16,920 Speaker 14: and basically Facebook has been fighting. 662 00:33:16,640 --> 00:33:18,960 Speaker 8: Ever since over exactly how it. 663 00:33:18,920 --> 00:33:20,959 Speaker 14: Applies the company, and now this is kind of their 664 00:33:21,040 --> 00:33:25,560 Speaker 14: latest gambit to make the regulators happy. Yet to be 665 00:33:25,560 --> 00:33:27,920 Speaker 14: seen where the regulators will definitely sign off on this plane, 666 00:33:27,880 --> 00:33:31,000 Speaker 14: although it's looking certainly possible if not likely. 667 00:33:32,160 --> 00:33:35,120 Speaker 2: Max, Let's look at the proposed subscription costs Facebook and 668 00:33:35,120 --> 00:33:36,480 Speaker 2: Instagram versus everything else. 669 00:33:36,480 --> 00:33:37,960 Speaker 1: There it is twenty bucks. 670 00:33:38,440 --> 00:33:41,160 Speaker 2: I pay for X premium for example, eight dollars a 671 00:33:41,160 --> 00:33:42,880 Speaker 2: month or eighty four dollars a year, depending how you 672 00:33:42,920 --> 00:33:45,480 Speaker 2: look at it. And I did that because I wanted 673 00:33:45,560 --> 00:33:49,959 Speaker 2: to experience those additional features. But beyond price, what this 674 00:33:50,040 --> 00:33:53,479 Speaker 2: chart illustrates is choice. Right, at some point, you're just 675 00:33:53,520 --> 00:33:56,560 Speaker 2: going to say this is a platform be it Facebook 676 00:33:56,600 --> 00:33:58,160 Speaker 2: or Instagram, that I don't need to have. 677 00:33:59,000 --> 00:34:01,480 Speaker 14: Yeah, although the thing is you're not going to have 678 00:34:01,560 --> 00:34:03,600 Speaker 14: to make that choice, and that's the whole point of this, 679 00:34:03,720 --> 00:34:06,760 Speaker 14: because you will be allowed to continue looking at your 680 00:34:06,800 --> 00:34:10,000 Speaker 14: personalized ads. And I think that's the bet here from 681 00:34:10,080 --> 00:34:13,359 Speaker 14: from Mark Zuckerberg's standpoint that you know, most people are 682 00:34:13,360 --> 00:34:15,360 Speaker 14: going to look at twenty dollars and say, you know, 683 00:34:15,560 --> 00:34:17,359 Speaker 14: heck no, I don't want to pay for that, and 684 00:34:17,360 --> 00:34:21,160 Speaker 14: they'll stay in the in the personalized advertising scheme, which 685 00:34:21,239 --> 00:34:24,040 Speaker 14: generates a ton of money. So the you know, average 686 00:34:24,080 --> 00:34:27,200 Speaker 14: revenue per user in the United States for Facebook is 687 00:34:27,680 --> 00:34:30,719 Speaker 14: something like two hundred more than two hundred dollars a year, 688 00:34:30,960 --> 00:34:34,880 Speaker 14: so they're totally happy to have you continue to experience 689 00:34:34,920 --> 00:34:38,359 Speaker 14: this free social network and for them to have you know, 690 00:34:39,120 --> 00:34:41,480 Speaker 14: a near monopoly or a doopoly, depending on how you 691 00:34:41,520 --> 00:34:42,040 Speaker 14: think about it. 692 00:34:42,239 --> 00:34:45,160 Speaker 8: On social ads, you know, on the internet. 693 00:34:46,000 --> 00:34:48,760 Speaker 2: The buzzword right now in tech across both social media 694 00:34:48,760 --> 00:34:52,759 Speaker 2: and a guess e commerce's personalization and meta's whole thing 695 00:34:52,840 --> 00:34:55,520 Speaker 2: has been taking data to make sure that what you 696 00:34:55,560 --> 00:34:59,240 Speaker 2: look at is relevant to you. How does a premium 697 00:34:59,320 --> 00:35:01,600 Speaker 2: subscription to impact that, Well, what. 698 00:35:01,880 --> 00:35:05,520 Speaker 14: They'll say is that you know, if you if you pay, 699 00:35:05,560 --> 00:35:08,239 Speaker 14: if you have no ads whatsoever, then it would be fine. Right, 700 00:35:08,280 --> 00:35:11,160 Speaker 14: You're still going to see the personalized feed you know, 701 00:35:11,239 --> 00:35:14,160 Speaker 14: your friends and and things that you're interested in. You 702 00:35:14,160 --> 00:35:17,200 Speaker 14: will no longer see personalized ads, which you know if 703 00:35:17,239 --> 00:35:19,080 Speaker 14: if you're talking to like their ad sales people. That 704 00:35:19,120 --> 00:35:21,560 Speaker 14: would be a huge problem for most people, it's probably 705 00:35:21,560 --> 00:35:23,880 Speaker 14: no big deal. The thing that they're really fighting against 706 00:35:23,920 --> 00:35:26,439 Speaker 14: would be some kind of rule that would prevent them 707 00:35:26,560 --> 00:35:29,000 Speaker 14: or allow people to opt out of personalization, or make 708 00:35:29,040 --> 00:35:32,080 Speaker 14: it easy to opt out of personalization, because then they 709 00:35:32,080 --> 00:35:34,040 Speaker 14: would just have to serve you ads you know, based 710 00:35:34,080 --> 00:35:39,160 Speaker 14: on you know, your location or whatever. Some essentially use context, 711 00:35:39,520 --> 00:35:41,359 Speaker 14: like the way that Google does to serve you ads 712 00:35:41,440 --> 00:35:44,080 Speaker 14: rather than serving ads based on things it knows about you, 713 00:35:44,200 --> 00:35:46,000 Speaker 14: which from their point of view would be bad and 714 00:35:46,080 --> 00:35:47,960 Speaker 14: I think would certainly be less lucrative. 715 00:35:49,040 --> 00:35:51,360 Speaker 4: Ultimately, I mean, you can in some way pay for 716 00:35:51,680 --> 00:35:54,600 Speaker 4: what a blue take subscription subscription, I don't think it 717 00:35:54,600 --> 00:35:57,600 Speaker 4: seemed a subscription, but to be in some way anointed 718 00:35:57,760 --> 00:36:00,560 Speaker 4: someone that should be listened to on Meta and Facebook 719 00:36:00,560 --> 00:36:02,400 Speaker 4: in the same way that Twitter does a little bit. 720 00:36:02,440 --> 00:36:04,240 Speaker 4: But I think you actually have to take some bookses 721 00:36:04,280 --> 00:36:08,440 Speaker 4: and actually whether you're someone who needs to have that 722 00:36:08,480 --> 00:36:11,120 Speaker 4: privacy and needs to have it said that you are 723 00:36:11,160 --> 00:36:13,319 Speaker 4: whom you say you are and pay for it. So 724 00:36:13,480 --> 00:36:15,640 Speaker 4: how is that thing going that sort of whole experiment 725 00:36:15,680 --> 00:36:16,040 Speaker 4: the start. 726 00:36:16,120 --> 00:36:16,719 Speaker 8: So and we. 727 00:36:16,719 --> 00:36:18,759 Speaker 14: Should say this is something that not just Meta is 728 00:36:18,760 --> 00:36:22,880 Speaker 14: playing with. TikTok is testing sort of paid paid experiences 729 00:36:22,880 --> 00:36:25,239 Speaker 14: with fewer ads or no ads. Snapchat has a no 730 00:36:25,320 --> 00:36:30,040 Speaker 14: ads paid experience that's piloting, and Twitter, of course x 731 00:36:30,320 --> 00:36:32,760 Speaker 14: has this you know, much vaunted blue. 732 00:36:32,600 --> 00:36:35,239 Speaker 8: Check system and might go to three. You don't level 733 00:36:35,280 --> 00:36:36,400 Speaker 8: and exactly. 734 00:36:36,000 --> 00:36:38,719 Speaker 14: And Linda Acarino is signal there's going to be a 735 00:36:38,760 --> 00:36:41,240 Speaker 14: higher tier, you know, as EDG just said, the current 736 00:36:41,280 --> 00:36:43,799 Speaker 14: subscription costs between eight and eleven dollars, depending on where 737 00:36:43,800 --> 00:36:46,439 Speaker 14: you buy it. You know, maybe the new one will 738 00:36:46,440 --> 00:36:48,600 Speaker 14: cost twenty dollars or something like that. For no ads, 739 00:36:48,719 --> 00:36:50,680 Speaker 14: we should say none of these have done very well. 740 00:36:51,120 --> 00:36:55,839 Speaker 14: Elon Musk has relentlessly promoted you know, this subscription thing. 741 00:36:56,239 --> 00:37:00,000 Speaker 14: We're talking about a tiny percentage of Twitter X's audio, 742 00:37:00,520 --> 00:37:03,640 Speaker 14: you know, a revenue stream that in no way replaces 743 00:37:03,680 --> 00:37:06,640 Speaker 14: the kind of revenue they were able to achieve from advertising. 744 00:37:06,719 --> 00:37:09,400 Speaker 14: I mean, the problem here isn't necessarily that people don't want, 745 00:37:09,680 --> 00:37:13,080 Speaker 14: you know, ad free experiences or premium social network experiences. 746 00:37:13,320 --> 00:37:16,720 Speaker 14: It's that online advertising is a much much better business 747 00:37:16,719 --> 00:37:19,480 Speaker 14: than that, and so companies that are looking to, you know, 748 00:37:19,560 --> 00:37:22,080 Speaker 14: change their business model would be giving up huge sums 749 00:37:22,080 --> 00:37:24,440 Speaker 14: of revenue, which something maybe Elon Musk can do, you know, 750 00:37:24,520 --> 00:37:26,600 Speaker 14: private company, and he's Elon Musk, but it's. 751 00:37:26,440 --> 00:37:28,160 Speaker 8: Going to be a lot harder for most public companies 752 00:37:28,160 --> 00:37:28,960 Speaker 8: to pull off. 753 00:37:29,680 --> 00:37:29,920 Speaker 13: All right. 754 00:37:30,000 --> 00:37:33,239 Speaker 2: Bloomberg Business Feed columnist Max Chafkin with the breakdown, Thank you. 755 00:37:41,560 --> 00:37:44,880 Speaker 2: Apple's iPhone fifteen may not be as hot a commodity 756 00:37:44,880 --> 00:37:48,120 Speaker 2: on the smartphone market, at least in China. Data from 757 00:37:48,160 --> 00:37:51,840 Speaker 2: Counterpoint Research estimates the iPhone fifteen sales are down nearbly 758 00:37:51,880 --> 00:37:56,160 Speaker 2: five percent compared to the iPhone fourteen after the first 759 00:37:56,200 --> 00:38:00,160 Speaker 2: seventeen days post release. However, the data does lump of 760 00:38:00,200 --> 00:38:04,160 Speaker 2: those phone fifteen models together in aggregate, joining us who 761 00:38:04,200 --> 00:38:08,759 Speaker 2: else Bloomberg's Mark Gum and chief correspondent Mark It's an 762 00:38:08,760 --> 00:38:12,360 Speaker 2: interesting data point because it's kind of counted to the 763 00:38:12,360 --> 00:38:15,120 Speaker 2: commentary that Apple gave us in earnings to the end 764 00:38:15,160 --> 00:38:17,480 Speaker 2: of the June quarter, right iPhone would accelerate. 765 00:38:17,760 --> 00:38:19,880 Speaker 1: We thought the iPhone fifteen be a hit. What have 766 00:38:19,960 --> 00:38:20,440 Speaker 1: we learned? 767 00:38:21,360 --> 00:38:23,120 Speaker 13: Yeah, these are a couple interesting data points. 768 00:38:23,120 --> 00:38:26,960 Speaker 15: They're pointing towards the iPhone potentially going down double digits 769 00:38:27,000 --> 00:38:28,359 Speaker 15: in recent weeks in terms of. 770 00:38:28,320 --> 00:38:30,560 Speaker 13: Sales in mainland China. 771 00:38:30,719 --> 00:38:33,479 Speaker 15: Now, the June quarter was very strong for Apple and China, 772 00:38:33,480 --> 00:38:36,200 Speaker 15: one of their strongest in the company's history. But there's 773 00:38:36,239 --> 00:38:38,520 Speaker 15: been a few things that happened since then. There was 774 00:38:38,520 --> 00:38:41,400 Speaker 15: the launch of the Walway, the new mate phone. There 775 00:38:41,880 --> 00:38:44,759 Speaker 15: there was discussion of some government agencies banning the use 776 00:38:44,840 --> 00:38:47,640 Speaker 15: or expanding the banning of use of iPhones. There there 777 00:38:47,640 --> 00:38:50,960 Speaker 15: were some concerns around nationalism and potentially some consumers in 778 00:38:51,040 --> 00:38:52,760 Speaker 15: China souring on the iPhone. 779 00:38:52,760 --> 00:38:53,680 Speaker 13: Ahead of that launch. 780 00:38:54,200 --> 00:38:56,439 Speaker 15: We saw when the new iPhone fifteens went on sale 781 00:38:56,480 --> 00:38:59,040 Speaker 15: in China that there was a tremendous amount of early 782 00:38:59,120 --> 00:39:02,840 Speaker 15: demand the credible lines for the iPhone fifteen in China. 783 00:39:03,080 --> 00:39:04,320 Speaker 13: So these are two data points. 784 00:39:04,400 --> 00:39:07,400 Speaker 15: We won't necessarily know for sure what's going on with 785 00:39:07,440 --> 00:39:10,760 Speaker 15: the iPhone, not even this earning cycle. Right Apple reports 786 00:39:10,800 --> 00:39:14,319 Speaker 15: fourth quarter earnings November two. We're not going to get 787 00:39:14,320 --> 00:39:16,319 Speaker 15: a full picture of how the iPhone is doing in 788 00:39:16,400 --> 00:39:19,360 Speaker 15: China the latest model until the end of January or 789 00:39:19,360 --> 00:39:22,759 Speaker 15: early February when they report Q one sales. Obviously, the 790 00:39:22,760 --> 00:39:24,359 Speaker 15: fourth quarter only had about a week and a half 791 00:39:24,480 --> 00:39:27,040 Speaker 15: or so of iPhone sales, so we have to take 792 00:39:27,040 --> 00:39:30,000 Speaker 15: all these data points into consideration, probably have to wait 793 00:39:30,000 --> 00:39:32,960 Speaker 15: a few months to know the real story, but certainly 794 00:39:33,160 --> 00:39:36,480 Speaker 15: I am tending to believe that there is some decline. 795 00:39:36,120 --> 00:39:37,160 Speaker 13: There on the iPhone in China. 796 00:39:37,320 --> 00:39:40,880 Speaker 15: The good news is as you're seeing a tremendous increase 797 00:39:40,960 --> 00:39:43,840 Speaker 15: for the iPhone momentum in the United States and elsewhere, 798 00:39:43,920 --> 00:39:45,799 Speaker 15: so you're probably going to get a bit of an 799 00:39:45,880 --> 00:39:49,600 Speaker 15: offset there from going down in one country and significantly 800 00:39:49,680 --> 00:39:50,160 Speaker 15: up in the other. 801 00:39:50,560 --> 00:39:53,080 Speaker 4: And talk to us therefore about the US and the 802 00:39:53,080 --> 00:39:55,480 Speaker 4: executive team that they have based here, Mark, because you 803 00:39:55,520 --> 00:39:58,440 Speaker 4: wrote over the weekend that actually, well, amid sort of 804 00:39:58,480 --> 00:40:01,759 Speaker 4: these pushes and pulls glob there has been some more 805 00:40:01,800 --> 00:40:04,160 Speaker 4: elevated titles in VP land at least. 806 00:40:04,840 --> 00:40:05,440 Speaker 13: Yeah, that's right. 807 00:40:05,520 --> 00:40:08,120 Speaker 15: So Apple obviously is run by Tim Cook, and under 808 00:40:08,200 --> 00:40:10,600 Speaker 15: him is what's called the ET. That's the executive team. 809 00:40:10,760 --> 00:40:14,600 Speaker 15: That's about eleven senior vice presidents. That's your head of hardware, 810 00:40:14,680 --> 00:40:17,680 Speaker 15: head of software, hed illegal, CFO, etc. But below all 811 00:40:17,719 --> 00:40:21,640 Speaker 15: of those people is a group called the top one hundred, right, 812 00:40:21,680 --> 00:40:24,319 Speaker 15: that is their vice presidents. The top one hundred actually 813 00:40:24,320 --> 00:40:26,440 Speaker 15: includes all of those people, but you have about one 814 00:40:26,520 --> 00:40:30,040 Speaker 15: hundred vps below them. They do promotions every October. They 815 00:40:30,080 --> 00:40:32,640 Speaker 15: lost about a dozen vice presidents over the last two 816 00:40:32,680 --> 00:40:35,480 Speaker 15: years or so, and so they're sort of refueling those ranks. 817 00:40:35,520 --> 00:40:37,160 Speaker 13: There's new vps for retail. 818 00:40:37,560 --> 00:40:40,600 Speaker 15: Actually three women have been elevated to the vice president 819 00:40:40,680 --> 00:40:43,759 Speaker 15: level in the retail organization, which is pretty significant for 820 00:40:43,800 --> 00:40:47,120 Speaker 15: the company in terms of the diversity efforts and putting 821 00:40:47,160 --> 00:40:50,279 Speaker 15: new lieutenants under their head of retail. There there are 822 00:40:50,360 --> 00:40:54,840 Speaker 15: new vice presidents in Operations, Product operations and product manufacturing, 823 00:40:55,320 --> 00:40:58,480 Speaker 15: and a few new vice presidents in software engineering, so 824 00:40:58,960 --> 00:41:02,560 Speaker 15: pretty significant elevations across the board at the company, sort 825 00:41:02,600 --> 00:41:07,560 Speaker 15: of creating this new generation of top executives at the Firm's. 826 00:41:06,880 --> 00:41:09,600 Speaker 4: Mart Bogerman always with the best breakdown. We thank you 827 00:41:09,680 --> 00:41:11,640 Speaker 4: so much. Meanwhile, look, and that does it for this 828 00:41:11,800 --> 00:41:12,920 Speaker 4: edition of Bluebot Technology. 829 00:41:13,480 --> 00:41:15,400 Speaker 2: Yeah, big thank you to those of you listening to 830 00:41:15,440 --> 00:41:19,520 Speaker 2: the podcast. You can get it on all the bluebo platforms, Apple, Iheartspotify, 831 00:41:19,560 --> 00:41:22,480 Speaker 2: and we're also posting the show to YouTube from SF 832 00:41:22,480 --> 00:41:23,360 Speaker 2: in New York City. 833 00:41:23,840 --> 00:41:25,080 Speaker 1: This has been Bot Technology