1
00:00:05,400 --> 00:00:08,800
Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Fantasy Pros MLB. This is the

2
00:00:08,840 --> 00:00:11,559
Speaker 1: Fantasy Baseball Podcast. This is me, Joey p Joe Pi

3
00:00:11,640 --> 00:00:14,920
Speaker 1: Zapia with me today Joe, Rico and the Welsh. As

4
00:00:14,920 --> 00:00:18,079
Speaker 1: we continue on our position previews for the twenty twenty

5
00:00:18,120 --> 00:00:21,279
Speaker 1: six Fantasy Baseball season. Our ultimate guides are here, so

6
00:00:21,400 --> 00:00:23,040
Speaker 1: if you've missed any go check him out on our

7
00:00:23,040 --> 00:00:26,319
Speaker 1: YouTube channel. Subscribe to Fantasy Pros MLB and of course

8
00:00:26,360 --> 00:00:28,760
Speaker 1: our podcast feed as well you can catch up. We

9
00:00:28,880 --> 00:00:31,560
Speaker 1: got the pitchers coming next week, some big guests too

10
00:00:31,560 --> 00:00:33,560
Speaker 1: for that, so make sure you're getting up to speed

11
00:00:33,880 --> 00:00:36,360
Speaker 1: on all the guys in twenty twenty six, all the rankings,

12
00:00:36,400 --> 00:00:38,840
Speaker 1: all the sleepers, all the bus and all the muss hafs,

13
00:00:38,840 --> 00:00:40,639
Speaker 1: because we've got them all for you today. We've got

14
00:00:40,640 --> 00:00:43,240
Speaker 1: the outfield as well, so we're gonna talk about those

15
00:00:43,240 --> 00:00:46,120
Speaker 1: guys here where they rank. Let's jump in here with

16
00:00:46,240 --> 00:00:49,360
Speaker 1: the top of the crop. Here Aaron Judge at number one, one,

17
00:00:49,479 --> 00:00:52,840
Speaker 1: Soto at two, Ronald Acuni at three, Julio Rodriguez at four,

18
00:00:53,280 --> 00:00:56,720
Speaker 1: Kyle Tucker the newest Dodger at five, Fernando Tatists at six,

19
00:00:57,160 --> 00:01:00,240
Speaker 1: Corby and Carol and whatever's left of his hand may

20
00:01:00,280 --> 00:01:02,560
Speaker 1: bone at seven. We'll talk about that, I guess at

21
00:01:02,600 --> 00:01:06,199
Speaker 1: some point. Jackson Cheerio at eight, Pete crow Armstrong at nine,

22
00:01:06,640 --> 00:01:09,840
Speaker 1: James Wood at ten. Then we have Brent Rooker, Wyatt

23
00:01:09,880 --> 00:01:12,000
Speaker 1: Langford at twelve, and we're gonna do fifteen in this

24
00:01:12,040 --> 00:01:14,360
Speaker 1: group to make it a little bit more economical for time.

25
00:01:14,680 --> 00:01:18,279
Speaker 1: So Roman Anthony at thirteen, my boy after Wyat Langford

26
00:01:18,319 --> 00:01:20,200
Speaker 1: at twelve, Riley Green at fourteen, coming off a great

27
00:01:20,240 --> 00:01:23,640
Speaker 1: year in Jackson Merrill at fifteen. So let's kick off

28
00:01:23,640 --> 00:01:27,080
Speaker 1: a debate here because Pete crow Armstrong is a guy

29
00:01:27,120 --> 00:01:30,240
Speaker 1: I want to talk about lefties last year did not

30
00:01:30,360 --> 00:01:33,480
Speaker 1: hit them lefties in his career did not hit them.

31
00:01:33,480 --> 00:01:35,600
Speaker 1: When you talk about the splits of this player, they

32
00:01:35,600 --> 00:01:39,560
Speaker 1: are drastic, and the second half numbers were incredibly drastic

33
00:01:39,600 --> 00:01:42,039
Speaker 1: as well for him in terms of disappointment. And then

34
00:01:42,080 --> 00:01:44,200
Speaker 1: you have James Wood. I know the Nats have had

35
00:01:44,240 --> 00:01:47,200
Speaker 1: some tough times here. You know, they continue to jettison players.

36
00:01:47,360 --> 00:01:50,200
Speaker 1: You've got, you know, some guys still around him. We're

37
00:01:50,200 --> 00:01:52,160
Speaker 1: hoping that things start to look up a little bit

38
00:01:52,200 --> 00:01:54,680
Speaker 1: more for the Nats as time goes by, but you know,

39
00:01:54,760 --> 00:01:57,040
Speaker 1: James Wood a pretty solid season for him. But I

40
00:01:57,080 --> 00:01:59,080
Speaker 1: want to flash these numbers for you real quick when

41
00:01:59,120 --> 00:02:01,360
Speaker 1: it comes to peak Crow, because they are very drastic.

42
00:02:01,360 --> 00:02:04,800
Speaker 1: When we're debating him last year versus right handed pitching

43
00:02:04,800 --> 00:02:07,400
Speaker 1: two seventy one batting average versus lefties one to eighty

44
00:02:07,440 --> 00:02:11,080
Speaker 1: eight verse right handed pitching eight thirty eight ops A

45
00:02:11,160 --> 00:02:14,440
Speaker 1: five ninety four OPS against left handed pitching in the

46
00:02:14,480 --> 00:02:17,000
Speaker 1: first half, twenty five homers, twenty seven steals. He more

47
00:02:17,040 --> 00:02:19,720
Speaker 1: than paid for his ADP. But in the second half,

48
00:02:19,840 --> 00:02:22,440
Speaker 1: the batting average run from two sixty five to two sixteen,

49
00:02:22,480 --> 00:02:24,959
Speaker 1: the OPS went from eight forty seven to six thirty four.

50
00:02:25,400 --> 00:02:27,520
Speaker 1: So Welsh, the question is with the home runs going

51
00:02:27,560 --> 00:02:30,000
Speaker 1: from twenty five and seventy one RBI to six and

52
00:02:30,120 --> 00:02:33,040
Speaker 1: twenty four in the second half, as Pete Crow Armstrong

53
00:02:33,120 --> 00:02:35,160
Speaker 1: got figured out, is he a good investment in twenty

54
00:02:35,160 --> 00:02:35,680
Speaker 1: twenty six?

55
00:02:36,160 --> 00:02:38,320
Speaker 2: You know, I mean both of these guys, they just

56
00:02:38,360 --> 00:02:41,960
Speaker 2: have these big warts. Is he a good investment? I

57
00:02:41,960 --> 00:02:44,200
Speaker 2: think there's definitely some pieces to it. If you only

58
00:02:44,240 --> 00:02:46,560
Speaker 2: got the first half of Pete Crow, he was incredible.

59
00:02:46,800 --> 00:02:49,840
Speaker 2: Buddy fell apart, just like James Wood did. There has

60
00:02:49,840 --> 00:02:53,359
Speaker 2: been conversation in camp early on that they've identified a

61
00:02:53,400 --> 00:02:55,840
Speaker 2: few things. I think Alex Bregman has been working with him.

62
00:02:55,840 --> 00:02:57,560
Speaker 2: There's been a lot of positive like, hey, you know,

63
00:02:57,560 --> 00:03:00,840
Speaker 2: at least he's open to working through lot of these things.

64
00:03:01,000 --> 00:03:03,240
Speaker 2: That they've identified some stuff that can probably help with

65
00:03:03,240 --> 00:03:06,440
Speaker 2: some of the consistency. Now do I think the consistency

66
00:03:06,560 --> 00:03:09,960
Speaker 2: is going to help him improve versus left handed pitchers.

67
00:03:10,000 --> 00:03:10,839
Speaker 2: I'm really not sure.

68
00:03:10,880 --> 00:03:13,640
Speaker 3: It's like a really, really bad split, But at.

69
00:03:13,520 --> 00:03:15,880
Speaker 2: The end of the year, you know, it is monster numbers,

70
00:03:15,880 --> 00:03:18,519
Speaker 2: thirty one homers, thirty five stolen bases. That average could

71
00:03:18,520 --> 00:03:21,040
Speaker 2: have looked a lot better. He made some major improvements,

72
00:03:21,200 --> 00:03:23,000
Speaker 2: got the ball in the air at an elite level,

73
00:03:23,240 --> 00:03:26,480
Speaker 2: barrel the ball an elite level. You just needed him

74
00:03:26,520 --> 00:03:27,760
Speaker 2: to walk a little bit less.

75
00:03:27,800 --> 00:03:30,639
Speaker 3: So is he a good investment. I think it's tough

76
00:03:30,680 --> 00:03:31,000
Speaker 3: to say.

77
00:03:31,040 --> 00:03:34,000
Speaker 2: Based on that really bad second half, He's probably a

78
00:03:34,000 --> 00:03:37,360
Speaker 2: guy that I'm avoiding, But I like, I won't be

79
00:03:37,440 --> 00:03:39,360
Speaker 2: surprised when he's a thirty thirty guy or a twenty

80
00:03:39,360 --> 00:03:42,040
Speaker 2: five to twenty five guy. Everyone would have been able

81
00:03:42,040 --> 00:03:44,840
Speaker 2: to stomach him a ton better if it was just

82
00:03:44,960 --> 00:03:46,800
Speaker 2: spanned out through the season. You know, like if he

83
00:03:46,800 --> 00:03:49,080
Speaker 2: would have ended thirty one thirty five with a two

84
00:03:49,160 --> 00:03:52,160
Speaker 2: forty seven average, but there wasn't this dramatic split, I

85
00:03:52,160 --> 00:03:53,880
Speaker 2: think we'd be talking about him a little bit different.

86
00:03:53,880 --> 00:03:56,160
Speaker 2: We'd be like, oh, you know, the things could but no,

87
00:03:56,240 --> 00:03:58,280
Speaker 2: it's because he was incredible and then he was the

88
00:03:58,320 --> 00:04:01,400
Speaker 2: worst thing ever. So I think any of these guys,

89
00:04:01,440 --> 00:04:03,440
Speaker 2: even though they're so loud tools both these players, he

90
00:04:03,440 --> 00:04:05,400
Speaker 2: didn't ask me about James Wood, We'll talk about him

91
00:04:05,400 --> 00:04:06,600
Speaker 2: whenever you point me to it.

92
00:04:06,720 --> 00:04:08,320
Speaker 1: Well, I mean, who is between the two of them?

93
00:04:08,360 --> 00:04:09,440
Speaker 1: Would or Crow? Who would rather?

94
00:04:09,640 --> 00:04:11,560
Speaker 2: I think I think it's gonna be James Wood. And

95
00:04:12,000 --> 00:04:15,040
Speaker 2: he had a historically bad second half too. The only

96
00:04:15,080 --> 00:04:18,400
Speaker 2: thing is he can hit right. He's in lefties like,

97
00:04:18,800 --> 00:04:22,560
Speaker 2: he hasn't even started to implement the ability to get

98
00:04:22,560 --> 00:04:24,400
Speaker 2: the ball in the air a whole bunch Like. He's

99
00:04:24,400 --> 00:04:26,680
Speaker 2: one of those guys that you know he is gonna barrel,

100
00:04:26,720 --> 00:04:29,360
Speaker 2: he's gonna hard hit, but he's an all fields guy.

101
00:04:29,400 --> 00:04:32,080
Speaker 2: He's got pure raw power. I think there's still a

102
00:04:32,120 --> 00:04:34,279
Speaker 2: ton more in his game. And there's a few of

103
00:04:34,279 --> 00:04:36,400
Speaker 2: those tweaks where it's like, well, hey, buddy, you just

104
00:04:36,440 --> 00:04:38,839
Speaker 2: start pulling the ball and you're gonna put up some

105
00:04:38,920 --> 00:04:42,040
Speaker 2: ridiculous monster numbers. He's always going to have big, monster

106
00:04:42,120 --> 00:04:45,200
Speaker 2: power numbers. So I'm worried about the strikeouts. But both

107
00:04:45,200 --> 00:04:48,599
Speaker 2: of these guys had it historically historically bad second half.

108
00:04:48,720 --> 00:04:50,960
Speaker 2: Specifically for James Wood was one of the worst fantasy

109
00:04:50,960 --> 00:04:52,800
Speaker 2: players in the second half with his strikeouts.

110
00:04:53,040 --> 00:04:54,120
Speaker 3: But like I think, a.

111
00:04:54,080 --> 00:04:56,440
Speaker 2: Super young guy, I don't worry about some of the

112
00:04:56,480 --> 00:04:58,359
Speaker 2: splits I do with Pete r arm song Strong, So

113
00:04:58,360 --> 00:05:00,400
Speaker 2: I think I would take James Wood, but I'm not

114
00:05:00,400 --> 00:05:02,560
Speaker 2: sure this is the year either. One of these guys

115
00:05:02,600 --> 00:05:04,840
Speaker 2: are really great investments based on what's around them.

116
00:05:04,880 --> 00:05:07,320
Speaker 3: But I will take James Wood in this debate, and

117
00:05:07,360 --> 00:05:09,599
Speaker 3: I don't know if Rico feels any different.

118
00:05:10,120 --> 00:05:13,080
Speaker 1: A Rico six ninety ops in the second half after

119
00:05:13,240 --> 00:05:15,120
Speaker 1: nine to fifteen for James would in the first half

120
00:05:15,120 --> 00:05:17,880
Speaker 1: two seventy eight, batting average, two twenty three, twenty four,

121
00:05:17,880 --> 00:05:20,880
Speaker 1: home run sixty nine RBI just seven and twenty five.

122
00:05:21,000 --> 00:05:24,640
Speaker 1: But to Welsh's point, against left handed pitching and right

123
00:05:24,680 --> 00:05:27,760
Speaker 1: hand and pitching, he had an OPS that was certainly

124
00:05:27,960 --> 00:05:30,280
Speaker 1: much better eight over eight hundred and eight twenty five

125
00:05:30,320 --> 00:05:33,240
Speaker 1: and eight twenty three against both, so clearly hitting lefties

126
00:05:33,279 --> 00:05:35,440
Speaker 1: and rightings isn't the problem. I'm a James Wood guy too.

127
00:05:35,480 --> 00:05:38,000
Speaker 1: I'm curious James Wood or pe Karl Armstrong in the

128
00:05:38,000 --> 00:05:40,800
Speaker 1: debate of two guys who really fell off after the

129
00:05:40,839 --> 00:05:41,559
Speaker 1: All Star break.

130
00:05:42,040 --> 00:05:44,440
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think the right answer is neither of them.

131
00:05:44,520 --> 00:05:46,960
Speaker 4: But if I had to choose one, I agree with

132
00:05:47,000 --> 00:05:48,960
Speaker 4: Welsh pretty much with everything that he said, which is

133
00:05:49,000 --> 00:05:49,360
Speaker 4: kind of rare.

134
00:05:49,400 --> 00:05:50,800
Speaker 5: We usually disagree a little bit, but.

135
00:05:50,839 --> 00:05:52,320
Speaker 3: We do have some disagreements lately.

136
00:05:52,560 --> 00:05:52,920
Speaker 1: Give a time.

137
00:05:52,920 --> 00:05:55,280
Speaker 5: I've been locked step with Welsh right off the bat here.

138
00:05:55,279 --> 00:05:57,560
Speaker 4: We'll see if that continues throughout the show, but I

139
00:05:57,600 --> 00:06:00,960
Speaker 4: agree with everything you said. This range is really deep

140
00:06:00,960 --> 00:06:03,520
Speaker 4: in terms of sp ones. You can still get yourself

141
00:06:03,520 --> 00:06:06,279
Speaker 4: a guy like a Trey Turner or a Kettle Marte.

142
00:06:06,600 --> 00:06:08,200
Speaker 4: You can get an Edwin Diaz if you want to

143
00:06:08,200 --> 00:06:10,800
Speaker 4: lock in that first closer. I mean, there are a

144
00:06:10,800 --> 00:06:13,719
Speaker 4: lot of really great solid options going here. These guys

145
00:06:13,760 --> 00:06:16,279
Speaker 4: are not discounted at all based on that second half.

146
00:06:16,320 --> 00:06:18,240
Speaker 4: Maybe a little bit because there was some talk of

147
00:06:18,279 --> 00:06:20,640
Speaker 4: Pca could be a first rounder and he's more of

148
00:06:20,680 --> 00:06:24,039
Speaker 4: a second third rounder depending on your format. But they're

149
00:06:24,080 --> 00:06:26,160
Speaker 4: both really, really risky. I mean James Wood in the

150
00:06:26,160 --> 00:06:28,839
Speaker 4: second half it was a thirty nine percent strikeout rate.

151
00:06:29,040 --> 00:06:32,120
Speaker 4: They both really got figured out, and I think it's

152
00:06:32,200 --> 00:06:34,400
Speaker 4: safer to just go with one of those more proven

153
00:06:34,520 --> 00:06:36,840
Speaker 4: commodities in the second and third round. If I'm gonna

154
00:06:36,839 --> 00:06:38,720
Speaker 4: take my chances, if I want to shot at this

155
00:06:38,800 --> 00:06:42,200
Speaker 4: type of profile, specifically in the PCA range, I'm gonna

156
00:06:42,240 --> 00:06:44,560
Speaker 4: just take Michael Harris or Sday and Rafaela because I

157
00:06:44,560 --> 00:06:46,800
Speaker 4: think they're pretty much the same type of player, the

158
00:06:46,880 --> 00:06:49,279
Speaker 4: Boom or bus guys that can give you a six

159
00:06:49,360 --> 00:06:51,960
Speaker 4: homeer six steeal fantasy week and then the next week

160
00:06:52,000 --> 00:06:54,440
Speaker 4: go one for twenty three. If you're talking about swing

161
00:06:54,520 --> 00:06:56,840
Speaker 4: and miss rates, you're talking about chase rates.

162
00:06:56,720 --> 00:06:57,840
Speaker 5: Poor on bass skills.

163
00:06:57,880 --> 00:07:00,640
Speaker 4: I think those three guys PCA, Rafaela, and Harris are

164
00:07:00,640 --> 00:07:02,599
Speaker 4: pretty much the same guy, and you can get the

165
00:07:02,600 --> 00:07:05,600
Speaker 4: other two about a seventy one hundred picks later depending

166
00:07:05,600 --> 00:07:08,680
Speaker 4: on your format. So by and large, I'm staying away

167
00:07:08,680 --> 00:07:10,720
Speaker 4: from both of these guys unless I got a dramatic fault.

168
00:07:10,720 --> 00:07:11,920
Speaker 5: I think Wood is safer.

169
00:07:12,000 --> 00:07:13,480
Speaker 4: Like you guys mentioned, you can hit right e's and

170
00:07:13,560 --> 00:07:16,800
Speaker 4: lefties equally as well, But there are also risks with

171
00:07:16,840 --> 00:07:19,560
Speaker 4: his profile. The lineup around him is really bad. I

172
00:07:19,600 --> 00:07:21,600
Speaker 4: think they're both better left for somebody else this year.

173
00:07:21,680 --> 00:07:24,640
Speaker 2: But by the way, as I was driving in today

174
00:07:24,680 --> 00:07:27,120
Speaker 2: before we got into the show, this is good that

175
00:07:27,120 --> 00:07:30,160
Speaker 2: we're agreeing because I opened up Instagram and I saw

176
00:07:30,240 --> 00:07:32,120
Speaker 2: your two faces looking at me. I wasn't here for

177
00:07:32,160 --> 00:07:35,320
Speaker 2: the shortstop show and this was they They clipped Ellie

178
00:07:35,400 --> 00:07:38,360
Speaker 2: Day La Cruz and this dude over here, Rico is

179
00:07:38,400 --> 00:07:40,840
Speaker 2: just trashing Ellie Day La Cruz and Joe's like, oh,

180
00:07:40,880 --> 00:07:43,160
Speaker 2: the comments are gonna get into it. And I was like, Joe,

181
00:07:43,200 --> 00:07:45,640
Speaker 2: I'm screaming, Like I was screaming. I was like, get

182
00:07:45,920 --> 00:07:47,680
Speaker 2: him off of here. What is he doing?

183
00:07:47,880 --> 00:07:50,000
Speaker 3: And so it's good that where I'm just jacked.

184
00:07:50,000 --> 00:07:51,760
Speaker 1: By the way, have you seen him in camp? Ye?

185
00:07:52,000 --> 00:07:53,640
Speaker 2: He looks absolutely I know. I actually I've been trying

186
00:07:53,640 --> 00:07:55,320
Speaker 2: to go to the Reds this coming week.

187
00:07:55,640 --> 00:07:56,480
Speaker 1: I saw him yesterday.

188
00:07:56,760 --> 00:07:57,160
Speaker 5: Yeah.

189
00:07:58,440 --> 00:08:00,280
Speaker 4: Because this is actually somebody hit the weight. This is

190
00:08:00,320 --> 00:08:02,120
Speaker 4: a James Wood type of point as well. It's the

191
00:08:02,160 --> 00:08:05,200
Speaker 4: ground ball stuff. You know, James Wood hits the ball

192
00:08:05,200 --> 00:08:06,960
Speaker 4: in the ground more than fifty percent of the time.

193
00:08:06,960 --> 00:08:09,320
Speaker 4: It's that single digit launch angle You've seen it with

194
00:08:09,400 --> 00:08:11,560
Speaker 4: my guy Vlad, with O'Neil Cruz, with a lot of

195
00:08:11,560 --> 00:08:14,120
Speaker 4: great power hitters, they just can't elevate. And I think

196
00:08:14,120 --> 00:08:16,840
Speaker 4: that does cap James Wood and Ellie unless they make

197
00:08:16,880 --> 00:08:18,160
Speaker 4: some changes in their hitting profile.

198
00:08:18,280 --> 00:08:18,680
Speaker 1: Yeah, but I.

199
00:08:18,680 --> 00:08:21,520
Speaker 2: Also think like that is like that's what's in store.

200
00:08:21,560 --> 00:08:25,080
Speaker 2: Like if you don't view future progression, then I understand that.

201
00:08:25,280 --> 00:08:26,880
Speaker 2: And also, by the way, you can't just be like, oh,

202
00:08:26,920 --> 00:08:28,720
Speaker 2: every single player is just going to keep getting better

203
00:08:28,760 --> 00:08:30,640
Speaker 2: and better, like that doesn't happen. But when you do

204
00:08:30,680 --> 00:08:32,920
Speaker 2: look at like elite players and specifically, like I look

205
00:08:32,960 --> 00:08:35,679
Speaker 2: at James Wood and this is it was that common

206
00:08:35,720 --> 00:08:37,360
Speaker 2: by the way, and the Instagram reel that I was

207
00:08:37,400 --> 00:08:39,400
Speaker 2: just like, ah, when you were talking about Ellie and

208
00:08:39,400 --> 00:08:40,920
Speaker 2: you're just like, well, here's a great you call them

209
00:08:40,920 --> 00:08:42,920
Speaker 2: the ground ball merchant, and it's like he needs to

210
00:08:42,920 --> 00:08:44,840
Speaker 2: get the ball in the air, like, yeah, we're doing that.

211
00:08:44,920 --> 00:08:46,720
Speaker 2: Twenty five homers, the fifty stolen.

212
00:08:46,440 --> 00:08:47,439
Speaker 3: Bases is great.

213
00:08:47,600 --> 00:08:50,559
Speaker 2: But he also has this profile that if those changes

214
00:08:50,600 --> 00:08:53,240
Speaker 2: start to lock in, then great things can happen.

215
00:08:53,280 --> 00:08:54,000
Speaker 3: But his speed is there.

216
00:08:54,080 --> 00:08:57,680
Speaker 2: James Wood specifically is a guy that is sixteen percent

217
00:08:57,720 --> 00:09:01,040
Speaker 2: barrel rate fifty six percent hard hit and he could

218
00:09:01,120 --> 00:09:05,200
Speaker 2: hit both sides for righty's and lefties. This is classic

219
00:09:05,320 --> 00:09:07,440
Speaker 2: young guy stuff. Yes, it's a six or gree launch

220
00:09:07,440 --> 00:09:10,839
Speaker 2: angle that sucks eleven percent poll rate. That's not good,

221
00:09:11,160 --> 00:09:13,760
Speaker 2: But the guy has got crazy big like Max CV,

222
00:09:13,880 --> 00:09:16,280
Speaker 2: he hit ball one hundred and eighteen miles per hour

223
00:09:16,360 --> 00:09:20,040
Speaker 2: last year. He had a ninety four average exit velocity.

224
00:09:20,600 --> 00:09:23,880
Speaker 2: He has tripled his launch angle year over year. So

225
00:09:24,600 --> 00:09:26,840
Speaker 2: I don't think we're done. I don't think, and I

226
00:09:26,880 --> 00:09:29,480
Speaker 2: feel the same way about Ellie. But James Wood specifically,

227
00:09:29,520 --> 00:09:31,360
Speaker 2: James Wood's a guy. He's gonna hit forty homers at

228
00:09:31,360 --> 00:09:33,679
Speaker 2: some point in his major league career, and he has

229
00:09:33,679 --> 00:09:38,040
Speaker 2: the underlying profile that small tweaks can get him there.

230
00:09:38,120 --> 00:09:40,520
Speaker 2: So that is why I want to play the side

231
00:09:40,520 --> 00:09:42,240
Speaker 2: of James Wood where Pete Crow is really tough.

232
00:09:42,280 --> 00:09:45,440
Speaker 4: I don't deny the raw talent and the raw power.

233
00:09:45,520 --> 00:09:47,640
Speaker 4: I think part of it, maybe for me being in Toronto,

234
00:09:47,720 --> 00:09:50,280
Speaker 4: is being biased and watching Vlaty with those same sexy,

235
00:09:50,320 --> 00:09:53,080
Speaker 4: sexy tools. Great point, and he hit twenty three home

236
00:09:53,160 --> 00:09:55,880
Speaker 4: runs last year despite the hardest exsit velocities. The barrel

237
00:09:55,920 --> 00:09:58,520
Speaker 4: rates are still in the upper limit and even as

238
00:09:58,559 --> 00:10:00,600
Speaker 4: a generational type of t all in a top ten

239
00:10:00,679 --> 00:10:02,480
Speaker 4: hitter in the sport, for a guy with Vladdie's talent,

240
00:10:02,520 --> 00:10:04,120
Speaker 4: it's still been hard to reach the thirty home run

241
00:10:04,160 --> 00:10:05,400
Speaker 4: threshold a couple of times, so.

242
00:10:05,840 --> 00:10:08,040
Speaker 2: Highend contact hitters though a little different than Ellie and

243
00:10:08,120 --> 00:10:09,959
Speaker 2: James Wood. But your point is still valid.

244
00:10:10,040 --> 00:10:12,120
Speaker 5: Yeah, fair, Yeah, all right.

245
00:10:12,120 --> 00:10:14,040
Speaker 1: We know we're getting at the top here with guys

246
00:10:14,040 --> 00:10:16,040
Speaker 1: like Judge and Soto. I mean, Julio, you have to

247
00:10:16,080 --> 00:10:17,600
Speaker 1: wait for that. You know, the first two months to

248
00:10:17,640 --> 00:10:19,800
Speaker 1: be slow. I think we've all learned that a tatis,

249
00:10:19,800 --> 00:10:21,640
Speaker 1: you know what you're getting. But Corbyn, Carrol Rico, how

250
00:10:21,640 --> 00:10:23,160
Speaker 1: far have you dropped him off of the Hamma bon

251
00:10:23,240 --> 00:10:25,320
Speaker 1: issue just out of curiosity? Is he at seven for

252
00:10:25,400 --> 00:10:27,439
Speaker 1: you overall? Or if you dropped him further down, would

253
00:10:27,440 --> 00:10:30,080
Speaker 1: you take Churyo over him or even guys like Wyatt

254
00:10:30,120 --> 00:10:31,880
Speaker 1: Langford or Roman Anthony? At this point, what's.

255
00:10:32,040 --> 00:10:34,280
Speaker 2: Bigger the number of outfielders you've dropped him or the

256
00:10:34,320 --> 00:10:38,240
Speaker 2: number of rounds has he dropped from outfielder five to six,

257
00:10:38,840 --> 00:10:40,800
Speaker 2: five to seven or did you drop him from round

258
00:10:40,880 --> 00:10:43,280
Speaker 2: one to four or five? Because I do remember a

259
00:10:43,320 --> 00:10:45,360
Speaker 2: little chat we all had and you were talking about

260
00:10:45,400 --> 00:10:48,199
Speaker 2: corbyin in the third maybe fourth round.

261
00:10:48,600 --> 00:10:51,480
Speaker 4: Yeah, my initial instinct was to drop him and Lindoor

262
00:10:51,520 --> 00:10:54,840
Speaker 4: about twenty five picks apiece, So going from and I

263
00:10:54,920 --> 00:10:57,440
Speaker 4: had Carol like a little bit above consensus before, like

264
00:10:57,480 --> 00:11:00,440
Speaker 4: he was my third outfielder in my initial run, I

265
00:11:00,480 --> 00:11:03,520
Speaker 4: had Judge Soto and then Carol. And for me, now

266
00:11:03,559 --> 00:11:06,040
Speaker 4: he's hovering around that tenth outfielder type of range. I

267
00:11:06,040 --> 00:11:08,120
Speaker 4: would still take him over Pca. I've take him over Wood,

268
00:11:08,160 --> 00:11:11,199
Speaker 4: But I think Churio is safer, Tattoos is safe, for

269
00:11:11,280 --> 00:11:14,600
Speaker 4: Tucker is safer. I really am a sucker for Wyat Langford.

270
00:11:14,960 --> 00:11:18,000
Speaker 4: I think Brent Rooker is probably just about as safe.

271
00:11:18,679 --> 00:11:21,040
Speaker 4: So yeah, he's followed more in the outfield rankings than

272
00:11:21,040 --> 00:11:23,000
Speaker 4: in the round range. I think if we're talking about

273
00:11:23,040 --> 00:11:26,319
Speaker 4: a traditional snake draft, he's probably a target for me.

274
00:11:26,400 --> 00:11:28,599
Speaker 4: If we start to get into the thirties, and I

275
00:11:28,679 --> 00:11:32,160
Speaker 4: think that's about right, maybe maybe late twenties, maybe late twenties.

276
00:11:33,480 --> 00:11:34,920
Speaker 1: Welsh, how far have you dropped him?

277
00:11:34,920 --> 00:11:37,760
Speaker 2: So I had some of the initial reactions. I think

278
00:11:37,760 --> 00:11:40,320
Speaker 2: it's you have to like we're now at the point

279
00:11:40,320 --> 00:11:42,000
Speaker 2: where it's like you gotta go Kyle Tucker. You gotta

280
00:11:42,040 --> 00:11:44,760
Speaker 2: go Tatis. I had him also as like my third outfielder.

281
00:11:44,920 --> 00:11:47,040
Speaker 2: He's got to go behind those guys. There's this really

282
00:11:47,080 --> 00:11:50,200
Speaker 2: interesting line like Jackson Churio, which in ECR he is

283
00:11:50,240 --> 00:11:52,079
Speaker 2: at I have him right there.

284
00:11:52,360 --> 00:11:54,160
Speaker 3: I have him at seven. That is where I've got him.

285
00:11:54,480 --> 00:11:58,679
Speaker 3: Out of camp. Yesterday the word was that we're talking.

286
00:11:58,480 --> 00:12:01,080
Speaker 2: About Alec Thomas, and Alec Thomas had been working at

287
00:12:01,240 --> 00:12:03,520
Speaker 2: left and center and everyone's like, oh, that's interesting, why

288
00:12:03,559 --> 00:12:05,920
Speaker 2: is he working it right? And he even said the

289
00:12:06,040 --> 00:12:08,920
Speaker 2: expectation is it's not looking like CORBMANC Carrol might not

290
00:12:08,960 --> 00:12:11,520
Speaker 2: miss anytime, if not a whole bunch at the beginning

291
00:12:11,520 --> 00:12:14,200
Speaker 2: of the season. Today at camp, as we're recording this,

292
00:12:14,600 --> 00:12:17,439
Speaker 2: he was doing his workouts and he is castless already.

293
00:12:17,440 --> 00:12:18,559
Speaker 3: I mean, he's a freak of nature.

294
00:12:18,600 --> 00:12:20,480
Speaker 2: Now that's not to say that, you know, they don't

295
00:12:20,480 --> 00:12:22,720
Speaker 2: put him on the il, but it really looks like

296
00:12:22,800 --> 00:12:25,760
Speaker 2: this stint is going to be lower. But there's an

297
00:12:25,800 --> 00:12:28,880
Speaker 2: inherent risk of bringing on an injured guy. I'm gonna

298
00:12:28,880 --> 00:12:31,040
Speaker 2: put him at seven. I think you definitely can get

299
00:12:31,120 --> 00:12:33,520
Speaker 2: him earlier if you want to take Cheerio over him.

300
00:12:33,760 --> 00:12:37,360
Speaker 2: I think that's fine, but then like you just listen off, Okay,

301
00:12:37,400 --> 00:12:40,240
Speaker 2: Pete Crow, James Wood, we're worried about Brent Rooker for power.

302
00:12:40,480 --> 00:12:43,080
Speaker 2: I think Corbyn sits nicely in the back of the

303
00:12:43,120 --> 00:12:45,200
Speaker 2: second round right now. I think he's a really good,

304
00:12:45,280 --> 00:12:48,240
Speaker 2: like reel ish second round pick, maybe even in the

305
00:12:48,280 --> 00:12:50,320
Speaker 2: mid second round if you feel comfortable, if it's like

306
00:12:50,320 --> 00:12:51,920
Speaker 2: a shorter like twelve team and you can get to

307
00:12:52,000 --> 00:12:54,080
Speaker 2: more guys. But I'm comfortable with him in the second

308
00:12:54,160 --> 00:12:55,160
Speaker 2: round as outfield seven.

309
00:12:56,120 --> 00:12:58,400
Speaker 1: All right, a Rico, let's talk about a guy that

310
00:12:58,400 --> 00:13:00,320
Speaker 1: you want to pinporin here. I'll talk about Roald acoup here,

311
00:13:00,360 --> 00:13:03,480
Speaker 1: who is currently the third outfielder off the board. Obviously,

312
00:13:03,520 --> 00:13:05,600
Speaker 1: he had missed time in the last couple of years,

313
00:13:05,920 --> 00:13:08,440
Speaker 1: one ACL, then another ACL. So what are we looking

314
00:13:08,480 --> 00:13:10,280
Speaker 1: for out of Acunya in twent twenty six.

315
00:13:10,600 --> 00:13:12,600
Speaker 4: That's the thing I wanted to discuss him because I

316
00:13:12,640 --> 00:13:14,800
Speaker 4: really don't know one hundred percent what to expect with Ronald.

317
00:13:14,800 --> 00:13:16,960
Speaker 4: With Kunya, he has gone as high as pick four

318
00:13:17,000 --> 00:13:19,400
Speaker 4: over the last couple weeks. Just looking at NFBC drafts,

319
00:13:19,400 --> 00:13:21,640
Speaker 4: I think if we start to see some crazy spring

320
00:13:21,679 --> 00:13:23,600
Speaker 4: training videos, he could go as high as three, and

321
00:13:23,640 --> 00:13:25,720
Speaker 4: we could end up potentially seeing a big three there

322
00:13:25,760 --> 00:13:29,320
Speaker 4: with Judge Otani and Acunya, depending on what happens over

323
00:13:29,320 --> 00:13:30,640
Speaker 4: the next few weeks. When you look at what he

324
00:13:30,679 --> 00:13:33,360
Speaker 4: did in the Venezuelan League, and I know some people

325
00:13:33,400 --> 00:13:35,400
Speaker 4: will say, well, it's the Venezuelan League, Like, how much

326
00:13:35,400 --> 00:13:37,040
Speaker 4: do we need to take that into account? It's winter

327
00:13:37,120 --> 00:13:40,040
Speaker 4: Ball eleven for eleven in stolen base attempts and he

328
00:13:40,200 --> 00:13:42,440
Speaker 4: had just seventy one played appearances, So that shows that

329
00:13:42,480 --> 00:13:44,920
Speaker 4: he's feeling healthy enough to at least test it out right.

330
00:13:45,160 --> 00:13:46,959
Speaker 4: Whether or not the quality of the catchers trying to

331
00:13:47,000 --> 00:13:48,720
Speaker 4: throw him out whatever like, you can debate all that,

332
00:13:48,760 --> 00:13:50,840
Speaker 4: but the fact that he's willing to run on it

333
00:13:50,880 --> 00:13:51,839
Speaker 4: is a decent sign.

334
00:13:51,920 --> 00:13:52,040
Speaker 5: Right.

335
00:13:52,040 --> 00:13:53,199
Speaker 4: I don't know if he's going to get back to

336
00:13:53,240 --> 00:13:55,000
Speaker 4: seventy three seals. In fact, I would bet that he

337
00:13:55,040 --> 00:13:57,440
Speaker 4: never does. But I think there's also a chance that

338
00:13:57,480 --> 00:14:00,760
Speaker 4: Acunya gives you thirty homers thirty deals hits for a

339
00:14:00,840 --> 00:14:03,080
Speaker 4: very high batting average in a lineup that should be

340
00:14:03,240 --> 00:14:04,080
Speaker 4: very very good.

341
00:14:04,440 --> 00:14:05,720
Speaker 5: The problem here is that we're.

342
00:14:05,600 --> 00:14:08,160
Speaker 4: Not getting any discount considering that if you combine the

343
00:14:08,160 --> 00:14:10,080
Speaker 4: games he's played in twenty four and twenty five, it

344
00:14:10,120 --> 00:14:12,599
Speaker 4: still doesn't equal a full season's worth of games. I

345
00:14:12,640 --> 00:14:14,160
Speaker 4: think you should be getting more of a discount. But

346
00:14:14,200 --> 00:14:16,640
Speaker 4: the upside being the number one overall player makes him

347
00:14:16,640 --> 00:14:19,520
Speaker 4: just so enticing. I figured I would just discuss the

348
00:14:19,520 --> 00:14:21,520
Speaker 4: pros and cons of Acuna because I think for somebody

349
00:14:21,520 --> 00:14:23,960
Speaker 4: who's playing in ten or fifteen leagues, like we probably

350
00:14:24,000 --> 00:14:25,480
Speaker 4: will by the end of it, it's worth taking one

351
00:14:25,560 --> 00:14:27,560
Speaker 4: or two shots on Acunya. If you're playing in one

352
00:14:27,600 --> 00:14:29,320
Speaker 4: fantasy league this year and you're up at pick three

353
00:14:29,360 --> 00:14:32,920
Speaker 4: pick four, really really risky to take Acunya and have

354
00:14:33,040 --> 00:14:34,280
Speaker 4: that be your only league for the year.

355
00:14:34,880 --> 00:14:37,320
Speaker 1: Look, I'm not thinking he's going to steal seventy bases again,

356
00:14:37,440 --> 00:14:39,240
Speaker 1: but I do think he gets back into the thirties,

357
00:14:39,240 --> 00:14:41,000
Speaker 1: and I think the home run power gets back into

358
00:14:41,000 --> 00:14:43,360
Speaker 1: the mid thirties as well, and that's going to be

359
00:14:43,360 --> 00:14:45,840
Speaker 1: a very productive player. I think he's going exactly where

360
00:14:45,840 --> 00:14:47,800
Speaker 1: he should, which is after Judge and after Soto, and

361
00:14:47,840 --> 00:14:51,800
Speaker 1: I don't think there's another outfield I'd rather have. It's Akunya.

362
00:14:52,120 --> 00:14:53,480
Speaker 1: And then the only guys that would take over him

363
00:14:53,480 --> 00:14:55,480
Speaker 1: are the two guys I just mentioned Welsh. That's my take.

364
00:14:55,680 --> 00:14:57,720
Speaker 3: I mean, I'll say I have Julio over him. I

365
00:14:57,760 --> 00:15:00,440
Speaker 3: think Julio's really established curiosity.

366
00:15:00,480 --> 00:15:02,440
Speaker 1: When is Julio ever had a season that the peak

367
00:15:02,480 --> 00:15:03,800
Speaker 1: of what Rondalcuni can give you?

368
00:15:04,200 --> 00:15:05,000
Speaker 3: Oh, I'm not.

369
00:15:05,120 --> 00:15:07,520
Speaker 2: I mean, you're right, like the peak of Ronald d'acunha

370
00:15:07,560 --> 00:15:09,880
Speaker 2: is better than Julio. But I get thirty thirties from

371
00:15:09,920 --> 00:15:13,040
Speaker 2: Julio Rodriguez. Like he's consistent, and I think he is

372
00:15:13,040 --> 00:15:15,280
Speaker 2: stepping into his maturity and I know it and I

373
00:15:15,280 --> 00:15:17,480
Speaker 2: can count on him. What that means to me is

374
00:15:17,560 --> 00:15:20,040
Speaker 2: like I do have worries about Acuni. He's pretty perpetually

375
00:15:20,080 --> 00:15:23,960
Speaker 2: hurt and if the running, like we know, if something

376
00:15:24,000 --> 00:15:26,120
Speaker 2: happens early on, what's the first thing to go, It's

377
00:15:26,120 --> 00:15:27,560
Speaker 2: like the running is going to stop. But he has

378
00:15:27,600 --> 00:15:30,400
Speaker 2: missed significant time. So this to me is not a

379
00:15:30,400 --> 00:15:33,840
Speaker 2: talent thing. Ronald'cunya is immensely talented, one of the most

380
00:15:33,880 --> 00:15:37,920
Speaker 2: talented baseball players out there, but like he is borderlining

381
00:15:38,080 --> 00:15:40,920
Speaker 2: like a hardcore like gian Carlos Stanton like injury thing

382
00:15:40,920 --> 00:15:44,000
Speaker 2: where it's just like every single year. So I just

383
00:15:44,040 --> 00:15:47,800
Speaker 2: like Julio, I like Julio, like one hundred hundred and

384
00:15:47,800 --> 00:15:50,320
Speaker 2: thirty thirty guy. The average is sticking in. He even

385
00:15:50,360 --> 00:15:53,160
Speaker 2: talked about he's like, you know, I learned more about

386
00:15:53,160 --> 00:15:55,640
Speaker 2: myself this past year than any other season, and I

387
00:15:55,640 --> 00:15:57,400
Speaker 2: think it's the consistency of.

388
00:15:57,440 --> 00:15:58,920
Speaker 3: Like where he's established himself.

389
00:15:59,240 --> 00:16:01,400
Speaker 2: But if I'm going side, yeah, I'm not going to

390
00:16:01,520 --> 00:16:03,040
Speaker 2: disagree with you on Ronald d'acunya.

391
00:16:03,240 --> 00:16:04,560
Speaker 3: The stuff is all there.

392
00:16:04,760 --> 00:16:07,360
Speaker 2: I think the biggest question we have is the stolen bases?

393
00:16:07,600 --> 00:16:10,800
Speaker 2: Are those going to tick up? Venezuelan league might be

394
00:16:10,840 --> 00:16:14,400
Speaker 2: a good telling sign of it. If he's a forty

395
00:16:14,480 --> 00:16:16,960
Speaker 2: thirty guy, he's a no doubt first rounder in no

396
00:16:17,080 --> 00:16:19,480
Speaker 2: world should he go above soda? You guys mentioned like

397
00:16:19,520 --> 00:16:22,560
Speaker 2: the big three, the Big three is Sodo. Acunya could

398
00:16:22,560 --> 00:16:26,360
Speaker 2: be part of the Big four maybe, But like this

399
00:16:26,440 --> 00:16:28,280
Speaker 2: is and this is part of my screaming match on

400
00:16:28,320 --> 00:16:30,960
Speaker 2: the Instagram thing. I think like Elie de la Cruz

401
00:16:31,000 --> 00:16:33,680
Speaker 2: has got the same upside of Ronald d'acunya, Like he

402
00:16:33,760 --> 00:16:37,120
Speaker 2: could steal fifty sixty bases, he could hit twenty thirty homers.

403
00:16:37,120 --> 00:16:40,040
Speaker 2: He plays on the middle infil What is your irking

404
00:16:40,160 --> 00:16:43,360
Speaker 2: about Arico? Like, I know we got one year from Acunya.

405
00:16:43,600 --> 00:16:45,480
Speaker 2: That was like one of the best fantasy seasons ever.

406
00:16:45,560 --> 00:16:48,400
Speaker 2: Not disagreeing with that or far off. What can Why

407
00:16:48,440 --> 00:16:51,880
Speaker 2: can't Ellie do a ronald'cune season? I don't mean to

408
00:16:51,880 --> 00:16:54,840
Speaker 2: make two instances in the outfield episode about Ellie.

409
00:16:54,520 --> 00:16:57,600
Speaker 5: But no, but it's Ellie's But that's kind of what

410
00:16:57,640 --> 00:16:58,080
Speaker 5: you're doing.

411
00:16:58,200 --> 00:17:00,120
Speaker 3: Just yeah, I did do that. Sorry, I mean I

412
00:17:00,120 --> 00:17:01,440
Speaker 3: just saw the real It got me worked out.

413
00:17:01,720 --> 00:17:05,639
Speaker 4: I will say that Ellie has immense upside, but I

414
00:17:05,680 --> 00:17:08,040
Speaker 4: think that there is some limitations to it because of

415
00:17:08,080 --> 00:17:10,480
Speaker 4: what we talked about earlier with the ground balls. I

416
00:17:10,480 --> 00:17:12,720
Speaker 4: don't think he has the home run upside that Acuna has.

417
00:17:12,720 --> 00:17:15,080
Speaker 4: He hit forty one home runs in his age twenty

418
00:17:15,119 --> 00:17:17,439
Speaker 4: one season. He had forty one home runs again in

419
00:17:17,480 --> 00:17:19,800
Speaker 4: his age twenty five season. I think the batting average

420
00:17:19,800 --> 00:17:22,119
Speaker 4: is more stable. I think the counting stats are more

421
00:17:22,160 --> 00:17:23,800
Speaker 4: stable for him in that lineup. I mean, he scored

422
00:17:23,800 --> 00:17:25,720
Speaker 4: one hundred and fifty runs a couple of years ago.

423
00:17:26,119 --> 00:17:28,640
Speaker 4: That's probably not happening again. But I think the upside

424
00:17:28,680 --> 00:17:31,439
Speaker 4: is higher for Acunya across the board, except maybe in

425
00:17:31,480 --> 00:17:32,360
Speaker 4: stolen bases.

426
00:17:32,840 --> 00:17:34,560
Speaker 5: Consider what's happened with his knees and.

427
00:17:34,520 --> 00:17:35,960
Speaker 2: I'm not like, I'm not trying to make the big

428
00:17:36,000 --> 00:17:38,320
Speaker 2: point there. Like Ron, it was more about the freakish

429
00:17:38,320 --> 00:17:41,119
Speaker 2: counting stats like that Ellie can steal sixty bases and

430
00:17:41,160 --> 00:17:43,679
Speaker 2: I think he can hit thirty plus homers ninety on

431
00:17:43,760 --> 00:17:46,199
Speaker 2: the homer combined stalin basis, and that's something that Acunya did.

432
00:17:46,200 --> 00:17:48,679
Speaker 2: He had over one hit one hundred and fourteen combined

433
00:17:48,680 --> 00:17:51,639
Speaker 2: homers in stolen bases in two thousand and three, but

434
00:17:51,880 --> 00:17:54,400
Speaker 2: has not you know, has failed to like get far

435
00:17:54,440 --> 00:17:56,520
Speaker 2: over five hundred bats over the last two seasons. So

436
00:17:56,760 --> 00:17:58,440
Speaker 2: if he gets it back, ronal A Kun is great.

437
00:17:58,440 --> 00:18:00,800
Speaker 2: The profile is still there. There's injury thing that you

438
00:18:00,880 --> 00:18:03,320
Speaker 2: kind of worry about. He's a first round pick, you know.

439
00:18:03,359 --> 00:18:05,560
Speaker 2: That's where the debate kind of ends here. But I

440
00:18:05,600 --> 00:18:08,199
Speaker 2: had Corbyn Carrol over him. I had Julio Rodriguez over him,

441
00:18:08,240 --> 00:18:10,600
Speaker 2: because if you want to play the safe game, I

442
00:18:10,600 --> 00:18:13,320
Speaker 2: felt both of those guys were like immensely safer. But like,

443
00:18:13,320 --> 00:18:16,439
Speaker 2: Acuna's great, Like, don't get it twisted that Acuna is

444
00:18:16,440 --> 00:18:18,920
Speaker 2: not great. It's just he stopped ceiling bases last year.

445
00:18:18,960 --> 00:18:21,239
Speaker 2: He got hurt, and you'd really love to get like,

446
00:18:21,400 --> 00:18:23,800
Speaker 2: give me that forty forty season that we know Acunya

447
00:18:23,840 --> 00:18:27,000
Speaker 2: has in his you know, in his pocket. But there's

448
00:18:27,040 --> 00:18:29,119
Speaker 2: injured guys and he's kind of floating around as one

449
00:18:29,119 --> 00:18:30,920
Speaker 2: of those that it's like, can we get a non

450
00:18:30,960 --> 00:18:32,760
Speaker 2: injured season? That would be awesome because it'd be the

451
00:18:32,760 --> 00:18:33,680
Speaker 2: first time in three years.

452
00:18:34,600 --> 00:18:37,040
Speaker 1: All right. One of my favorite guys Welsh that I'm

453
00:18:37,040 --> 00:18:38,840
Speaker 1: not leaving drafts without that I just did a video

454
00:18:38,920 --> 00:18:41,800
Speaker 1: on was Roman Anthony because I feel like he's a

455
00:18:41,840 --> 00:18:43,840
Speaker 1: fifty overall player right now and I think next year

456
00:18:43,880 --> 00:18:46,400
Speaker 1: is gonna be closer to a twenty five overall players.

457
00:18:46,520 --> 00:18:49,720
Speaker 1: That's my bet for twenty twenty six. Welsh. What are

458
00:18:49,760 --> 00:18:52,040
Speaker 1: your thoughts on Roman Anthony? A guy who is kind

459
00:18:52,040 --> 00:18:54,280
Speaker 1: of at the tail end of this first grouping here,

460
00:18:54,359 --> 00:18:57,160
Speaker 1: but I think could easily work his way into the

461
00:18:57,200 --> 00:18:58,360
Speaker 1: top twelve next year.

462
00:18:58,400 --> 00:18:58,600
Speaker 5: Yeah.

463
00:18:58,600 --> 00:19:01,199
Speaker 2: I targeted him because I am the highest on Fantasy

464
00:19:01,240 --> 00:19:02,800
Speaker 2: pros no one. You love him, but no one is

465
00:19:02,840 --> 00:19:05,720
Speaker 2: higher than me. Bogman. Actually, just me and Bogman did

466
00:19:05,760 --> 00:19:09,600
Speaker 2: an episode looking at ECR and ADP, and we found

467
00:19:09,640 --> 00:19:12,520
Speaker 2: out that I am the world's highest on Roman Anthony

468
00:19:13,040 --> 00:19:16,480
Speaker 2: positionally and on the overall because I think he's a

469
00:19:16,520 --> 00:19:18,240
Speaker 2: third round talent, and if you can get him in

470
00:19:18,240 --> 00:19:19,879
Speaker 2: the fourth round, I think that's great. I said this

471
00:19:19,920 --> 00:19:22,160
Speaker 2: a lot that we looked at the profile of Nick

472
00:19:22,240 --> 00:19:23,720
Speaker 2: Kurtz and the stats and we were.

473
00:19:23,560 --> 00:19:25,000
Speaker 3: Like, oh my god.

474
00:19:25,320 --> 00:19:28,560
Speaker 2: The only thing we missed from Roman Anthony versus the

475
00:19:29,240 --> 00:19:33,119
Speaker 2: what Nick Kurtz had. It's a similar insane profile except

476
00:19:33,160 --> 00:19:35,520
Speaker 2: for the other positives. He just didn't get the big

477
00:19:35,560 --> 00:19:39,160
Speaker 2: counting stat numbers, which I think this profile tells us

478
00:19:39,320 --> 00:19:43,080
Speaker 2: is coming fifteen percent barrel, sixty percent hard rate. Hard

479
00:19:43,119 --> 00:19:46,560
Speaker 2: hit rate is absurd. His average ex velocity was ninety

480
00:19:46,600 --> 00:19:49,640
Speaker 2: four and a half, which that is one hundred percent elite.

481
00:19:49,880 --> 00:19:51,879
Speaker 2: The only thing he did, like James Wood, it's the

482
00:19:52,160 --> 00:19:54,040
Speaker 2: young guy thing they don't. They hadn't got the ball

483
00:19:54,080 --> 00:19:55,400
Speaker 2: in the air a ton. He had like a six

484
00:19:55,840 --> 00:19:58,199
Speaker 2: almost seven degree launch angle. If he starts doing that

485
00:19:58,240 --> 00:20:02,640
Speaker 2: and pulling that, projectable eighteen homers is going to turn

486
00:20:02,640 --> 00:20:03,480
Speaker 2: into thirty plus.

487
00:20:03,600 --> 00:20:04,000
Speaker 3: It's great.

488
00:20:04,000 --> 00:20:07,600
Speaker 2: Obp gets on base. Was leading off for this team

489
00:20:07,800 --> 00:20:09,840
Speaker 2: last year before he ended up getting hurt and missing

490
00:20:09,880 --> 00:20:15,000
Speaker 2: significant significant time. I think he's a massively, massively talented

491
00:20:15,080 --> 00:20:18,880
Speaker 2: young player who it feels it's kind of like White

492
00:20:18,960 --> 00:20:21,560
Speaker 2: Langford last year, but I guess Hite Langford didn't really

493
00:20:21,560 --> 00:20:23,160
Speaker 2: like ever step in and he's kind of going around

494
00:20:23,200 --> 00:20:25,320
Speaker 2: the same spot. This feels like if you can get

495
00:20:25,400 --> 00:20:28,160
Speaker 2: him in the forties and fifties, I legitimately think Roman

496
00:20:28,160 --> 00:20:31,080
Speaker 2: Anthony is going to be like a thirty to fifteen

497
00:20:31,200 --> 00:20:33,199
Speaker 2: guy with a ton of runs and a ton of

498
00:20:33,240 --> 00:20:35,520
Speaker 2: RBIs and high batting average. That's the other thing, Like

499
00:20:35,760 --> 00:20:38,399
Speaker 2: I've put more value into batting average on some of

500
00:20:38,400 --> 00:20:40,600
Speaker 2: these guys just because he's gonna get on base and

501
00:20:40,600 --> 00:20:43,520
Speaker 2: make big impact. Now, hopefully the Red Sox aren't you know,

502
00:20:43,600 --> 00:20:45,960
Speaker 2: not score not running him in because they've lost a

503
00:20:45,960 --> 00:20:48,280
Speaker 2: lot of the you know, talented bats that are behind him.

504
00:20:48,280 --> 00:20:51,160
Speaker 2: But wherever Roman Anthony is hitting, whether it's one, whether

505
00:20:51,200 --> 00:20:54,440
Speaker 2: it's three, I want him on my team. I've got

506
00:20:54,520 --> 00:20:57,159
Speaker 2: him higher than anybody, and I hope to get a

507
00:20:57,160 --> 00:20:59,400
Speaker 2: little bit of a discount on him. But like fourth round,

508
00:20:59,480 --> 00:21:02,480
Speaker 2: Roman Anthony is chef's kiss man. He is going to

509
00:21:02,520 --> 00:21:04,640
Speaker 2: do a lot of good wonders for your teams. And

510
00:21:05,320 --> 00:21:06,960
Speaker 2: I love the rank range for him, and just don't

511
00:21:07,000 --> 00:21:09,120
Speaker 2: sleep on him because he's around a bunch of names.

512
00:21:09,119 --> 00:21:11,040
Speaker 2: I think that we were talking a lot about comfort here.

513
00:21:11,080 --> 00:21:13,239
Speaker 2: We're like, hey, Brent Rooker and James Wood and we

514
00:21:13,280 --> 00:21:15,400
Speaker 2: know these guys Jackson Merril, he looks like a value

515
00:21:15,480 --> 00:21:19,000
Speaker 2: Roman Anthony Sandwich in between there, and legitimately we could

516
00:21:19,040 --> 00:21:21,919
Speaker 2: be talking about him in the same respect of Jackson Churio.

517
00:21:22,080 --> 00:21:23,880
Speaker 2: You know, he could be a second round pick next

518
00:21:23,920 --> 00:21:25,280
Speaker 2: year and I don't think it would take that much.

519
00:21:25,320 --> 00:21:26,760
Speaker 2: So very very talented bat.

520
00:21:27,600 --> 00:21:29,960
Speaker 1: All right, let's talk also about the draft simular, where

521
00:21:30,000 --> 00:21:31,520
Speaker 1: you could start mocking some of these guys and where

522
00:21:31,520 --> 00:21:32,720
Speaker 1: you're going to get them, and you could do it

523
00:21:32,800 --> 00:21:34,679
Speaker 1: right now Fantasy Pros. Just download the app. We're going

524
00:21:34,680 --> 00:21:37,480
Speaker 1: to fantasypros dot com last Draft Wizard. He gets instant

525
00:21:37,520 --> 00:21:39,800
Speaker 1: feedback at the end of your drafts what your strategy

526
00:21:39,840 --> 00:21:42,119
Speaker 1: should have been, what you could do better, where the

527
00:21:42,119 --> 00:21:45,240
Speaker 1: sleepers were you missed. And also when you're in the draft,

528
00:21:45,280 --> 00:21:46,760
Speaker 1: you could start going through and if you don't like

529
00:21:46,840 --> 00:21:48,440
Speaker 1: the players are taking or you don't like where things

530
00:21:48,480 --> 00:21:50,040
Speaker 1: are going, you back out of it. You can also

531
00:21:50,320 --> 00:21:52,800
Speaker 1: see where you are in terms of categories projections too,

532
00:21:52,800 --> 00:21:54,760
Speaker 1: which is one of our favorite things here. You've seen

533
00:21:54,840 --> 00:21:56,480
Speaker 1: us do the mock drafts here a million times on

534
00:21:56,520 --> 00:21:58,640
Speaker 1: the shows. You should do a million of them on

535
00:21:58,680 --> 00:22:01,520
Speaker 1: your own. Again. Download the mock draft simulator at draft

536
00:22:01,520 --> 00:22:04,720
Speaker 1: Wizard or just go to fantasypros dot com slash draft Wizard.

537
00:22:04,760 --> 00:22:06,480
Speaker 1: And while you're at it, you might as well be

538
00:22:06,520 --> 00:22:08,960
Speaker 1: shopping around for a good place to actually play leagues

539
00:22:09,000 --> 00:22:11,240
Speaker 1: and fan Tracks has all the bells and whistles you

540
00:22:11,240 --> 00:22:13,560
Speaker 1: need for this fantasy baseball season. Their leagues are open

541
00:22:13,600 --> 00:22:15,639
Speaker 1: three hundred and sixty five days a year. If you're

542
00:22:15,680 --> 00:22:20,840
Speaker 1: looking for the ultimate customization when there it be tailing rosters, scoring, playoffs, consolations,

543
00:22:21,200 --> 00:22:23,800
Speaker 1: anything you want, fan Tracks can do. And of course

544
00:22:23,840 --> 00:22:26,720
Speaker 1: you can even make multiple trades with different teams as well,

545
00:22:26,800 --> 00:22:28,520
Speaker 1: all at once. You want to do a three a

546
00:22:28,560 --> 00:22:30,760
Speaker 1: team trade, you could do it. They've got all kinds

547
00:22:30,800 --> 00:22:33,879
Speaker 1: of amazing fun things there, plus multidivision leagues as well.

548
00:22:33,920 --> 00:22:36,080
Speaker 1: So whatever you can dream up, fan Tracks can make

549
00:22:36,080 --> 00:22:38,760
Speaker 1: it a reality for your fantasy baseball season. So bring

550
00:22:38,800 --> 00:22:40,720
Speaker 1: your fantasy baseball league to fan Tracks today for an

551
00:22:40,800 --> 00:22:44,160
Speaker 1: unbeatable user experience. Sign up today at fantracks dot com

552
00:22:44,160 --> 00:22:47,919
Speaker 1: slash Fantasy Pros. That's fantracks dot com slash Fantasy pros.

553
00:22:48,160 --> 00:22:50,119
Speaker 1: All right, let's get to that. Next year of outfielders

554
00:22:50,119 --> 00:22:52,919
Speaker 1: starts at number sixteen. Jaron Duran, a nice all round player.

555
00:22:53,160 --> 00:22:55,280
Speaker 1: Cody Bellinger had a great year for the Yankees. Hopefully

556
00:22:55,320 --> 00:22:58,680
Speaker 1: you can repeat it in year two. Certainly the ballpark

557
00:22:58,720 --> 00:23:01,120
Speaker 1: loves Cody Bellinger, and Cody bell love the ballpark. Kyle

558
00:23:01,160 --> 00:23:03,320
Speaker 1: Schwarber hit a bunch of swar bombs. He is coming

559
00:23:03,320 --> 00:23:07,000
Speaker 1: in at eighteen. Byron Buckson at nineteen, or Nalvarez at twenty,

560
00:23:07,720 --> 00:23:11,040
Speaker 1: Jeorge Springer at twenty one, Seya Suzuki at twenty two,

561
00:23:11,160 --> 00:23:14,840
Speaker 1: Randy Rose, Arena, Tyler Soderstrom, Michael Harris at twenty five

562
00:23:14,880 --> 00:23:18,639
Speaker 1: then at twenty six, O'neo Cruz, Jose l Tuve, Kyle

563
00:23:18,680 --> 00:23:21,479
Speaker 1: Stowers at twenty eight, Taoscarnandez at twenty nine, and Michael

564
00:23:21,480 --> 00:23:25,679
Speaker 1: Garcia at thirty. All right, so let's talk about some

565
00:23:25,760 --> 00:23:28,040
Speaker 1: of these players here. Let's talk about Kyle Stowers, who

566
00:23:28,040 --> 00:23:32,640
Speaker 1: came off of a breakout season. Here, Welsh and Frankly,

567
00:23:32,720 --> 00:23:35,399
Speaker 1: Now the question is can he repeat it? Certainly he

568
00:23:35,560 --> 00:23:38,359
Speaker 1: was probably a pleasant surprise for fantasy managers and the

569
00:23:38,359 --> 00:23:40,560
Speaker 1: Marlins alike. Do you think twenty twenty six will be

570
00:23:40,560 --> 00:23:44,000
Speaker 1: equally kind to Kyle Stowers, who finds himself at the

571
00:23:44,080 --> 00:23:45,760
Speaker 1: bottom of this second tier at twenty eight.

572
00:23:45,840 --> 00:23:47,400
Speaker 3: I love Kyle Stowers.

573
00:23:47,440 --> 00:23:50,520
Speaker 2: I actually think the profile it kind of screams a

574
00:23:50,560 --> 00:23:52,560
Speaker 2: little bit like Roman Anthony. It's another one of those

575
00:23:52,600 --> 00:23:55,280
Speaker 2: guys where it's like top percentiles, and he had a

576
00:23:55,359 --> 00:23:57,840
Speaker 2: nineteen percent bailery that is literally one of the best

577
00:23:57,840 --> 00:23:59,520
Speaker 2: in the league's He had a fifty two percent hard

578
00:23:59,560 --> 00:24:02,000
Speaker 2: hit rate that's top six percentile of the league. It's

579
00:24:02,040 --> 00:24:05,080
Speaker 2: a super big, quick, fast bat, gets the ball in

580
00:24:05,119 --> 00:24:07,960
Speaker 2: the air, unlike Roman Anthony had a fourteen degree launch

581
00:24:07,960 --> 00:24:11,280
Speaker 2: angle with really good like twenty three to almost twenty

582
00:24:11,280 --> 00:24:13,879
Speaker 2: four percent pull percent pull air numbers. So it's like

583
00:24:13,920 --> 00:24:15,520
Speaker 2: when he gets the ball in the air, he's also

584
00:24:15,520 --> 00:24:17,760
Speaker 2: pulling it, which is going to equate to more home runs.

585
00:24:17,920 --> 00:24:20,480
Speaker 3: And he had like some really you know, really good results, like.

586
00:24:20,480 --> 00:24:23,080
Speaker 2: I ended up hitting twenty five homers in like just

587
00:24:23,160 --> 00:24:25,840
Speaker 2: under four hundred at bats, So I think he can repeat.

588
00:24:25,960 --> 00:24:29,399
Speaker 2: I am open to some regression because I think if

589
00:24:29,440 --> 00:24:31,520
Speaker 2: you're staring at like he at two eighty eight, you

590
00:24:31,600 --> 00:24:33,280
Speaker 2: know you had twenty five homers and then he played

591
00:24:33,280 --> 00:24:34,760
Speaker 2: the extrapolation game, it's.

592
00:24:34,560 --> 00:24:35,720
Speaker 3: Like, well, he should hit thirty five.

593
00:24:35,960 --> 00:24:38,120
Speaker 2: He might have a similar season in a full run.

594
00:24:38,359 --> 00:24:40,840
Speaker 2: He did have a twenty seven percent K percentage. His

595
00:24:40,920 --> 00:24:45,639
Speaker 2: expected batting average was over twenty points lower, but he

596
00:24:45,720 --> 00:24:48,320
Speaker 2: hit all the pitch types really well. I think it's

597
00:24:48,359 --> 00:24:51,440
Speaker 2: a really good underlying profile. And the thing I would

598
00:24:51,560 --> 00:24:54,400
Speaker 2: talk about with like the you know, like he could

599
00:24:54,440 --> 00:24:56,800
Speaker 2: regress or whatever, he actually comes at a good cost.

600
00:24:56,880 --> 00:24:59,600
Speaker 2: I don't think he's super expensive down there, so he's

601
00:24:59,640 --> 00:25:01,720
Speaker 2: definitely a piece that I want to try to get

602
00:25:01,760 --> 00:25:04,120
Speaker 2: in drafts as much as possible. I think thirty homers

603
00:25:04,160 --> 00:25:06,879
Speaker 2: is within the realm of possibility, even if it's two sixty.

604
00:25:06,920 --> 00:25:09,439
Speaker 2: I think we're golden. Might get some stolen bases in

605
00:25:09,480 --> 00:25:11,119
Speaker 2: there if he can stay healthy. And that's a kind

606
00:25:11,160 --> 00:25:13,359
Speaker 2: of sneaky Marlins team. They want to win some games.

607
00:25:13,440 --> 00:25:15,240
Speaker 2: They got some guys that are gonna be on base

608
00:25:15,320 --> 00:25:17,960
Speaker 2: and running in front of him. So yes, Kyle Stowers

609
00:25:18,000 --> 00:25:19,520
Speaker 2: is like a really good piece, kind of a Roman

610
00:25:19,520 --> 00:25:20,160
Speaker 2: Anthony Light.

611
00:25:21,280 --> 00:25:23,160
Speaker 1: All right, Joe, I know there's a guy you want

612
00:25:23,160 --> 00:25:24,560
Speaker 1: to talk about, but I gotta throw another one at

613
00:25:24,640 --> 00:25:27,320
Speaker 1: you too. On the fly to Byron Buxton, coming off

614
00:25:27,320 --> 00:25:29,520
Speaker 1: a season where he was far more productive because he

615
00:25:29,560 --> 00:25:33,399
Speaker 1: played more games, something that's not been usual fashion for

616
00:25:33,400 --> 00:25:36,280
Speaker 1: Byron Buxton. So is this ranking so far that you've

617
00:25:36,320 --> 00:25:38,920
Speaker 1: seen appropriate for him as the nineteenth outfield or is

618
00:25:38,960 --> 00:25:41,640
Speaker 1: he a top twenty guy or do you feel hey,

619
00:25:41,800 --> 00:25:43,280
Speaker 1: you know you got lucky? Is some of the thread

620
00:25:43,280 --> 00:25:44,960
Speaker 1: of the needle last year in twenty twenty five.

621
00:25:46,000 --> 00:25:47,440
Speaker 4: So the thing with the injuries is that we're really

622
00:25:47,440 --> 00:25:49,280
Speaker 4: bad at predicting them. It doesn't matter if it's pitchers,

623
00:25:49,280 --> 00:25:51,679
Speaker 4: it's position players. Every year there are certain guys that

624
00:25:51,680 --> 00:25:53,960
Speaker 4: we think are super super injury prone and they last

625
00:25:53,960 --> 00:25:55,800
Speaker 4: the whole season, and vice versus the guys that are

626
00:25:55,840 --> 00:25:58,120
Speaker 4: super safe get hurt before the season even starts.

627
00:25:58,400 --> 00:25:59,879
Speaker 5: I think that the price is reasonable.

628
00:26:00,280 --> 00:26:01,879
Speaker 4: He's not a big target of mine, but if you're

629
00:26:01,920 --> 00:26:04,280
Speaker 4: getting him in the fifth or sixth round, I think

630
00:26:04,440 --> 00:26:06,840
Speaker 4: that it is reasonable if you have a fairly safe

631
00:26:07,160 --> 00:26:09,600
Speaker 4: build early on, especially one that's kind of built around

632
00:26:09,640 --> 00:26:11,600
Speaker 4: high played appearance guys. If you have the vladdies, the

633
00:26:11,600 --> 00:26:14,080
Speaker 4: Bobby Wood junior types, the guys that play every single day,

634
00:26:14,320 --> 00:26:16,600
Speaker 4: the Matt Olson's, I feel a bit better about taking

635
00:26:16,640 --> 00:26:18,119
Speaker 4: a chance on a guy like Byron Buckston.

636
00:26:18,160 --> 00:26:20,160
Speaker 5: If you're taking guys in the early rounds.

637
00:26:19,960 --> 00:26:22,720
Speaker 4: Who are a little bit more, you know, platoon risk guys,

638
00:26:22,840 --> 00:26:24,960
Speaker 4: or guys who are not as stable in terms of

639
00:26:24,960 --> 00:26:27,240
Speaker 4: their health, then I'm not going to be as interested

640
00:26:27,240 --> 00:26:29,760
Speaker 4: in Buckston. But I think that he is priced reasonably

641
00:26:29,760 --> 00:26:32,920
Speaker 4: considering he had a thirty five twenty four season while

642
00:26:32,960 --> 00:26:35,800
Speaker 4: still missing thirty some odd games last year. Yeah, I'm

643
00:26:35,800 --> 00:26:38,480
Speaker 4: not taking him very regularly, but like I alluded to earlier,

644
00:26:38,520 --> 00:26:40,080
Speaker 4: I play in a lot of leagues, so I'll probably

645
00:26:40,119 --> 00:26:42,359
Speaker 4: take him once or twice just to dip my toe

646
00:26:42,359 --> 00:26:43,640
Speaker 4: in case he's able to repeat.

647
00:26:43,640 --> 00:26:46,800
Speaker 5: But we know what's going to happen more likely than not.

648
00:26:46,920 --> 00:26:49,440
Speaker 4: If you look every single year of his career, He's

649
00:26:49,440 --> 00:26:52,959
Speaker 4: only played one hundred games three times, so I'm not

650
00:26:53,000 --> 00:26:54,679
Speaker 4: going to really bank on him doing it again, but

651
00:26:54,720 --> 00:26:56,840
Speaker 4: there is a possibility. Like I said, we don't really

652
00:26:56,880 --> 00:26:59,080
Speaker 4: know how to predict injuries. It's very hard to do.

653
00:26:59,200 --> 00:27:01,440
Speaker 4: Even the top up of the field experts can't really

654
00:27:01,440 --> 00:27:03,000
Speaker 4: do it well. So if he played one hundred and

655
00:27:03,000 --> 00:27:05,000
Speaker 4: fifty two games this year, nobody should be surprised, but

656
00:27:05,040 --> 00:27:06,440
Speaker 4: nobody should really expect it either.

657
00:27:06,960 --> 00:27:08,920
Speaker 2: The Super Bowl dudes kind of scare me this year,

658
00:27:09,040 --> 00:27:11,320
Speaker 2: like I'm fading off like you were, Like yeah, Bucks,

659
00:27:11,359 --> 00:27:14,439
Speaker 2: it like bet Buckson's production was cool versus where you

660
00:27:14,520 --> 00:27:18,199
Speaker 2: draft him, but firing Bucks and like I'm I know

661
00:27:18,320 --> 00:27:21,680
Speaker 2: better than anybody, like fool me once, shame on you

662
00:27:21,680 --> 00:27:22,399
Speaker 2: fool me twice.

663
00:27:22,440 --> 00:27:23,320
Speaker 1: Well you've been fulled.

664
00:27:23,800 --> 00:27:25,520
Speaker 3: I can't get fulled again. That's what I'm saying. I

665
00:27:25,520 --> 00:27:27,239
Speaker 3: can't get fouled again, is what I'm going at.

666
00:27:27,280 --> 00:27:29,080
Speaker 1: Well, it's funny because the one year that you were

667
00:27:29,119 --> 00:27:30,679
Speaker 1: not you know, lion Bucks was last year in the

668
00:27:30,720 --> 00:27:33,240
Speaker 1: one year that he guess what, So maybe we can

669
00:27:33,280 --> 00:27:35,280
Speaker 1: predict it, Arico. Maybe it's just whether or not Welsch

670
00:27:35,359 --> 00:27:36,960
Speaker 1: is it on Bucks And he says Welsh is out.

671
00:27:37,000 --> 00:27:37,720
Speaker 1: Everyone else would be.

672
00:27:37,800 --> 00:27:38,960
Speaker 3: He's as expensive as hell.

673
00:27:39,040 --> 00:27:40,840
Speaker 2: I mean, I'm actually gonna talk about this in the

674
00:27:40,880 --> 00:27:42,760
Speaker 2: Bust territory for another outfielder.

675
00:27:42,880 --> 00:27:44,639
Speaker 3: Joe's gonna hate that I do. But I'm not getting

676
00:27:44,680 --> 00:27:46,080
Speaker 3: to it. But that's the same thing.

677
00:27:46,520 --> 00:27:51,240
Speaker 1: Yeah, don't give anything, Just make everybody watching into the show.

678
00:27:51,280 --> 00:27:53,680
Speaker 1: All right, Well, who was your target in this group

679
00:27:53,720 --> 00:27:55,200
Speaker 1: that you want to talk about that you love or

680
00:27:55,240 --> 00:27:55,520
Speaker 1: you hate?

681
00:27:55,560 --> 00:27:57,720
Speaker 2: Yeah, this is a hate one I mentioned this is

682
00:27:57,760 --> 00:28:00,639
Speaker 2: a some months ago, and frankly, you know, of the

683
00:28:00,720 --> 00:28:03,320
Speaker 2: like players that I've defended over the last couple of years, definitely,

684
00:28:03,400 --> 00:28:04,359
Speaker 2: I was always like, I'm.

685
00:28:04,200 --> 00:28:05,000
Speaker 3: Going to take Buckston.

686
00:28:05,520 --> 00:28:07,639
Speaker 2: I stupidly get into the like if you give me

687
00:28:07,640 --> 00:28:09,879
Speaker 2: a cheap trout, I kind of can't help myself. But

688
00:28:10,040 --> 00:28:13,560
Speaker 2: I've always also been like, give me O'Neil Cruz. He's

689
00:28:13,600 --> 00:28:16,520
Speaker 2: an absolute freak, and I just can't. So this is

690
00:28:16,560 --> 00:28:18,639
Speaker 2: something I think Arico and I. Rico and I are

691
00:28:18,640 --> 00:28:21,679
Speaker 2: going to find some agreements here in this world, and

692
00:28:21,760 --> 00:28:23,240
Speaker 2: I think we did this a long time. I just

693
00:28:23,359 --> 00:28:26,399
Speaker 2: can't with O'Neil Cruz, even though I think the counting

694
00:28:26,440 --> 00:28:29,560
Speaker 2: stats are, you know, freakish. He hit twenty homers, thirty

695
00:28:29,600 --> 00:28:31,600
Speaker 2: eight stolen bases. There was a point where you know

696
00:28:31,640 --> 00:28:34,240
Speaker 2: he was just like the far gone leader. He still

697
00:28:34,280 --> 00:28:38,520
Speaker 2: puts up crazy like eighteen percent barrel rate, fifty six

698
00:28:38,520 --> 00:28:40,400
Speaker 2: percent hard hit rate. Those are two things I'm always

699
00:28:40,400 --> 00:28:43,160
Speaker 2: going to look at first. Those are awesome. He hits

700
00:28:43,200 --> 00:28:46,719
Speaker 2: the ball harder than anybody, but like, the strikeouts are

701
00:28:46,720 --> 00:28:49,520
Speaker 2: getting worse. He actually in twenty twenty three he got

702
00:28:49,560 --> 00:28:52,280
Speaker 2: to strikeouts into twenty percent in the very very short stint.

703
00:28:52,520 --> 00:28:55,400
Speaker 2: Then it was thirty and it's thirty two. We're regressing

704
00:28:55,440 --> 00:28:58,040
Speaker 2: in the wrong direction with him. The batting average is

705
00:28:58,080 --> 00:29:01,840
Speaker 2: not stable anymore to eighteen expected batting average. It stinks

706
00:29:02,120 --> 00:29:06,000
Speaker 2: he only hit fastballs this past year. Now, it's great

707
00:29:06,040 --> 00:29:07,680
Speaker 2: that he hits the ball hard and he's got this

708
00:29:07,800 --> 00:29:10,920
Speaker 2: crazy big profile, but this is a guy that we

709
00:29:10,960 --> 00:29:13,800
Speaker 2: need a major change from and I've heard no major changes,

710
00:29:13,880 --> 00:29:15,880
Speaker 2: like no approach, no one's working with him. I've just

711
00:29:15,920 --> 00:29:19,320
Speaker 2: heard nothing. So I expect more of the same. I

712
00:29:19,440 --> 00:29:22,960
Speaker 2: expect a batting average that will drag your team down.

713
00:29:23,440 --> 00:29:26,480
Speaker 2: It's not a great team, even though they picked up

714
00:29:26,520 --> 00:29:27,680
Speaker 2: all the dhs in the world.

715
00:29:27,800 --> 00:29:30,120
Speaker 3: Good for them. Then nobody that can play defense and

716
00:29:30,160 --> 00:29:31,000
Speaker 3: they can all just hit.

717
00:29:31,400 --> 00:29:32,680
Speaker 2: But like, I just don't think there's a lot of

718
00:29:32,680 --> 00:29:35,120
Speaker 2: support there for the RBIs. I don't think he's gonna

719
00:29:35,160 --> 00:29:37,160
Speaker 2: hit much higher than two twenty. I want to love

720
00:29:37,200 --> 00:29:40,480
Speaker 2: Oneil Cruz, but you can't love Oneo Cruz when he

721
00:29:40,520 --> 00:29:42,560
Speaker 2: destroys your batting average and he's going inside the top

722
00:29:42,560 --> 00:29:44,760
Speaker 2: one hundred, So I don't like it. I don't like

723
00:29:44,840 --> 00:29:47,480
Speaker 2: how high he's going. Really, for any player that hits

724
00:29:47,520 --> 00:29:50,719
Speaker 2: two hundred, you shouldn't be drafted inside the top one fifty.

725
00:29:51,080 --> 00:29:53,880
Speaker 2: Maybe things will break in the right direction, because again

726
00:29:53,960 --> 00:29:56,320
Speaker 2: he has these like great underlying things in his profile

727
00:29:56,320 --> 00:29:57,960
Speaker 2: that you have to love. No one hits the ball

728
00:29:58,000 --> 00:30:01,440
Speaker 2: harder than him in all of base ball, but also

729
00:30:01,600 --> 00:30:05,080
Speaker 2: just nobody is as inconsistent as him in all of baseball.

730
00:30:05,120 --> 00:30:07,440
Speaker 2: And you know, it's the fastest bat out there, biggest

731
00:30:07,800 --> 00:30:10,200
Speaker 2: hard hit stuff, But what does it matter when you

732
00:30:10,280 --> 00:30:13,280
Speaker 2: hit two hundred. So I'm a hate on O'Neill Cruz

733
00:30:13,320 --> 00:30:15,760
Speaker 2: as someone who's always loved So he'll probably hit two

734
00:30:15,840 --> 00:30:17,360
Speaker 2: sixty this year and be in the first round.

735
00:30:17,440 --> 00:30:20,200
Speaker 1: Boy, well, when it comes to consistency and things you

736
00:30:20,200 --> 00:30:22,240
Speaker 1: can count on, taosk Carnandez Joe is one of those.

737
00:30:22,280 --> 00:30:23,640
Speaker 1: And I know you want to talk about him, like

738
00:30:23,640 --> 00:30:25,479
Speaker 1: every year you're gonna get at least twenty five homers,

739
00:30:25,520 --> 00:30:29,480
Speaker 1: probably somewhere around ninety RBI and he is just that dude,

740
00:30:29,600 --> 00:30:33,360
Speaker 1: and that lineup is never quit basically, So let's talk

741
00:30:33,360 --> 00:30:35,040
Speaker 1: about ta Oscar. What kind of value do you see

742
00:30:35,080 --> 00:30:37,280
Speaker 1: him as or is he a player that maybe scares

743
00:30:37,280 --> 00:30:39,239
Speaker 1: you a little bit when you're looking at the rest

744
00:30:39,280 --> 00:30:41,200
Speaker 1: of these guys, cause to me, he seems like a

745
00:30:41,280 --> 00:30:42,280
Speaker 1: value of twenty nine.

746
00:30:42,400 --> 00:30:45,040
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's scaring me a little bit that I'm pretty

747
00:30:45,080 --> 00:30:48,080
Speaker 4: much interested in every single Dodger player this year, which

748
00:30:48,120 --> 00:30:49,720
Speaker 4: hurts me on a spiritual level.

749
00:30:49,760 --> 00:30:51,360
Speaker 5: But when you look at the.

750
00:30:51,600 --> 00:30:53,600
Speaker 2: Can't beat him join us, I say, I don't think

751
00:30:53,640 --> 00:30:55,120
Speaker 2: that's a bad thing, but I get your pain.

752
00:30:55,640 --> 00:30:56,240
Speaker 3: That's suffering.

753
00:30:56,680 --> 00:30:59,280
Speaker 5: I mean, the team is so fresh, super super deep.

754
00:30:59,320 --> 00:31:02,120
Speaker 4: They get deeper every single year, and with all their prospects,

755
00:31:02,120 --> 00:31:04,840
Speaker 4: if they traded for another superstar player, I don't think

756
00:31:04,840 --> 00:31:06,440
Speaker 4: anybody should be shocked by it. But when you look

757
00:31:06,440 --> 00:31:08,760
Speaker 4: at what Teo's done over the course of his career,

758
00:31:08,800 --> 00:31:11,760
Speaker 4: you're banking mid twenties homers. Usually you're getting at least

759
00:31:11,800 --> 00:31:14,800
Speaker 4: eighty some odd runs, ninety some odd RBI, and usually

760
00:31:14,840 --> 00:31:16,880
Speaker 4: you're getting a decent batting average. I think there's a

761
00:31:16,920 --> 00:31:18,600
Speaker 4: little bit more of a discount this year on him

762
00:31:18,600 --> 00:31:20,160
Speaker 4: because he's coming off a bit of a poor year.

763
00:31:20,320 --> 00:31:23,280
Speaker 4: You're getting him around the ADP of one forty ish.

764
00:31:23,600 --> 00:31:25,920
Speaker 4: But I read a really good article this morning from

765
00:31:25,960 --> 00:31:28,920
Speaker 4: our friend Ryan Bloomfield about not so much focusing on

766
00:31:29,000 --> 00:31:32,320
Speaker 4: recency bias of the previous season, but looking over the

767
00:31:32,360 --> 00:31:35,440
Speaker 4: previous few seasons and trying to build a picture based

768
00:31:35,480 --> 00:31:37,600
Speaker 4: on that, and Taoska Hernandez is a guy where if

769
00:31:37,600 --> 00:31:39,200
Speaker 4: you just look at twenty twenty five, you'd say, well,

770
00:31:39,240 --> 00:31:42,080
Speaker 4: he's probably declining a little bit. Batting average was lower,

771
00:31:42,080 --> 00:31:44,400
Speaker 4: the WRC plus was lower. But if you look over

772
00:31:44,440 --> 00:31:46,280
Speaker 4: the picture of the last few seasons, you're still getting

773
00:31:46,280 --> 00:31:47,760
Speaker 4: a guy who's going to chip in some speed. He's

774
00:31:47,800 --> 00:31:49,800
Speaker 4: going to give you probably twenty five to thirty homers

775
00:31:50,120 --> 00:31:52,880
Speaker 4: in what is inarguably the best lineup in baseball.

776
00:31:53,040 --> 00:31:54,520
Speaker 5: And you're getting him cheaper than you usually do.

777
00:31:54,640 --> 00:31:56,280
Speaker 4: You're usually playing a top one hundred price for him,

778
00:31:56,280 --> 00:31:58,720
Speaker 4: and now you're pushing one fifty on Taoska Hernandez. He's

779
00:31:58,720 --> 00:32:00,560
Speaker 4: one of those steady guys that you just set it

780
00:32:00,600 --> 00:32:02,000
Speaker 4: and forget it, never have to worry about it.

781
00:32:02,640 --> 00:32:03,400
Speaker 3: That's projections.

782
00:32:03,400 --> 00:32:05,400
Speaker 2: By the way, I don't like make us going a thing,

783
00:32:05,440 --> 00:32:07,720
Speaker 2: but like that statement, it's a great statement by Ryan,

784
00:32:08,080 --> 00:32:09,959
Speaker 2: but like that is projections. It's like, hey, don't look

785
00:32:10,000 --> 00:32:12,200
Speaker 2: at recently last couple of years, Well, guess what projections

786
00:32:12,200 --> 00:32:14,480
Speaker 2: are built out. They're curved and stuff like that, and

787
00:32:14,520 --> 00:32:16,720
Speaker 2: weighted heavier to the Recncy year. But that's also why

788
00:32:16,760 --> 00:32:19,680
Speaker 2: you kind of like want to pay attention to projections,

789
00:32:19,720 --> 00:32:21,880
Speaker 2: because it is waiting those couple of years. It's a

790
00:32:21,880 --> 00:32:24,200
Speaker 2: little tougher when you do get like I think once

791
00:32:24,200 --> 00:32:26,040
Speaker 2: a guy gets like thirty two, thirty three, like you

792
00:32:26,080 --> 00:32:27,960
Speaker 2: start maybe paying a little bit more attention to like

793
00:32:28,000 --> 00:32:30,880
Speaker 2: age declines and stuff like that. But I just want

794
00:32:30,920 --> 00:32:32,880
Speaker 2: to agree with you that, like it's a super cheap

795
00:32:32,920 --> 00:32:35,840
Speaker 2: cost on the best team in baseball with incredible run

796
00:32:36,160 --> 00:32:40,280
Speaker 2: RBI opportunities, So like Taskar's in a good spot all right.

797
00:32:40,280 --> 00:32:43,360
Speaker 1: Tier number three at thirty one, Joe Adell, who had

798
00:32:43,360 --> 00:32:46,280
Speaker 1: a very surprisingly fun season there for power and speed.

799
00:32:46,320 --> 00:32:49,240
Speaker 1: Brandon Nimo, the newest Texas ranger at thirty two. Andy

800
00:32:49,280 --> 00:32:50,880
Speaker 1: Paiya is one of my favorites. At thirty three. I

801
00:32:50,880 --> 00:32:53,240
Speaker 1: think he's a little too low. Luis Robert at thirty four,

802
00:32:53,320 --> 00:32:56,560
Speaker 1: also a very intriguing lottery ticket there. Taylor Ward is

803
00:32:56,600 --> 00:32:59,320
Speaker 1: now in Baltimore thirty five, Laurrence Butler a disappointing year

804
00:32:59,320 --> 00:33:02,320
Speaker 1: for him at thirty six, Jacob Marci at thirty seven,

805
00:33:02,480 --> 00:33:05,680
Speaker 1: Stephen Quo at thirty eight, so Donny Ralfael at thirty nine,

806
00:33:05,720 --> 00:33:08,080
Speaker 1: Ian Happ at forty, then Christian Yellwich at forty one,

807
00:33:08,160 --> 00:33:11,080
Speaker 1: Jerks and Profar forty two, Noeve Marty at forty three,

808
00:33:11,160 --> 00:33:13,600
Speaker 1: Brian Reynolds at forty four, and at forty five Breton

809
00:33:13,680 --> 00:33:15,960
Speaker 1: Doyle a name I did not mention it at the

810
00:33:15,960 --> 00:33:19,520
Speaker 1: top forty five. Mike Trout outside of the top forty five.

811
00:33:19,880 --> 00:33:21,800
Speaker 1: I feel like every year we have this conversation in

812
00:33:21,840 --> 00:33:23,960
Speaker 1: the Every year it keeps getting suppressed more and more

813
00:33:24,000 --> 00:33:27,800
Speaker 1: and more. Welsh, is Mike Trout in your top fifty outfielders?

814
00:33:28,040 --> 00:33:29,040
Speaker 3: Don't ask me this.

815
00:33:29,600 --> 00:33:32,720
Speaker 2: Don't ask me about Mike Trout. Uh, you know, actually

816
00:33:32,760 --> 00:33:34,800
Speaker 2: that's a good question. I don't have my ranks up

817
00:33:34,840 --> 00:33:37,440
Speaker 2: in front of me, so let me answer it like this.

818
00:33:38,120 --> 00:33:41,920
Speaker 2: He's probably not, because I think there are like I've

819
00:33:41,960 --> 00:33:45,160
Speaker 2: always been very blindly defendee of Mike Trout because it's

820
00:33:45,200 --> 00:33:47,240
Speaker 2: like it was for a couple of years it was

821
00:33:47,280 --> 00:33:50,320
Speaker 2: like have Jacob de Grom, where I was like, hey, listen,

822
00:33:50,400 --> 00:33:52,680
Speaker 2: yes he gets hurt, but look at all the stuff

823
00:33:52,720 --> 00:33:54,760
Speaker 2: is there. He's still buriing, he's still doing this, he's

824
00:33:54,760 --> 00:33:56,360
Speaker 2: doing that, And then it's like that was the defense.

825
00:33:56,840 --> 00:33:59,880
Speaker 3: This past year was really in our face.

826
00:33:59,680 --> 00:34:02,840
Speaker 2: About like, yes he can still barrow the ball, Yes

827
00:34:02,920 --> 00:34:05,320
Speaker 2: he hits the ball hard, yes he walks, but he

828
00:34:05,360 --> 00:34:08,359
Speaker 2: had thirty two percent strikeout right, Like that's really worse.

829
00:34:08,440 --> 00:34:09,759
Speaker 1: He did play one hundred and thirty games.

830
00:34:09,960 --> 00:34:13,160
Speaker 3: No, he played the games, which was really it's really good.

831
00:34:13,160 --> 00:34:15,400
Speaker 2: But this was the first year where it was like

832
00:34:15,480 --> 00:34:18,080
Speaker 2: in our face of like, oh, the strikeouts and the

833
00:34:18,080 --> 00:34:22,000
Speaker 2: batting average, like that's that's not that's shaky ground, Like

834
00:34:22,040 --> 00:34:24,680
Speaker 2: that doesn't seem really good. But a lot of the

835
00:34:24,680 --> 00:34:27,560
Speaker 2: other stuff is still there. So let's wrap it back around.

836
00:34:27,920 --> 00:34:29,520
Speaker 2: See in my top fifty, I'm not sure. Will I

837
00:34:29,560 --> 00:34:33,120
Speaker 2: be drafting him? Yeah, I will. I was out at

838
00:34:33,200 --> 00:34:37,880
Speaker 2: Angels camp yesterday. Now I get Mike Trotter's my fifth outfielder.

839
00:34:37,880 --> 00:34:40,080
Speaker 2: Because Joe's shaking his head. I don't disagree.

840
00:34:40,200 --> 00:34:42,560
Speaker 1: I think there's lots of scary I get it there, like,

841
00:34:42,760 --> 00:34:44,120
Speaker 1: that's fine if you want to throw it out there

842
00:34:44,120 --> 00:34:45,240
Speaker 1: on Mike Trout fifty.

843
00:34:45,320 --> 00:34:46,759
Speaker 3: This is like the Byron Buckston thing. This is the

844
00:34:46,800 --> 00:34:48,720
Speaker 3: Byron Buckson when Buckson was going in the two thirties,

845
00:34:48,760 --> 00:34:50,279
Speaker 3: two forties. Guess what I take.

846
00:34:50,320 --> 00:34:53,200
Speaker 2: Mike Trotter's my fifth outfielder. Which he essentially is at

847
00:34:53,200 --> 00:34:55,359
Speaker 2: this point, and he fails and he gets hurt again.

848
00:34:56,239 --> 00:34:58,680
Speaker 1: See you throw him back to the Dalton var Show

849
00:34:58,760 --> 00:35:00,880
Speaker 1: or Mike t Mike Trout. That's the question. Literally, you

850
00:35:00,920 --> 00:35:01,520
Speaker 1: have to ask yourself.

851
00:35:01,680 --> 00:35:03,440
Speaker 2: Take him off the boat, throw him back in for

852
00:35:03,560 --> 00:35:05,719
Speaker 2: chum in the water. I don't care, but I was

853
00:35:05,760 --> 00:35:09,280
Speaker 2: just at Angels camp. He did an early morning workout

854
00:35:09,320 --> 00:35:13,320
Speaker 2: at nine. Looks great, He's playing center field. Seems healthy,

855
00:35:13,360 --> 00:35:16,040
Speaker 2: good spirits, blah blah blah, Pollyanna Wels who cares?

856
00:35:16,280 --> 00:35:16,360
Speaker 1: Like?

857
00:35:16,440 --> 00:35:19,560
Speaker 2: I still think that big talented player is in there,

858
00:35:19,800 --> 00:35:22,600
Speaker 2: But I do completely agree that he is on way

859
00:35:22,680 --> 00:35:26,520
Speaker 2: shakier ground than he's ever been before. But like he's

860
00:35:26,520 --> 00:35:29,720
Speaker 2: the cheapest he's ever been ever, He's still he played

861
00:35:29,760 --> 00:35:32,759
Speaker 2: games last year, he hit twenty five homers. Can Mike

862
00:35:32,880 --> 00:35:36,560
Speaker 2: Trout find you know, his ability to hit you know,

863
00:35:36,719 --> 00:35:38,920
Speaker 2: solid contact, the guy that had a two sixty year

864
00:35:38,960 --> 00:35:42,799
Speaker 2: higher XBA every single year of his career. And all

865
00:35:42,840 --> 00:35:45,120
Speaker 2: that means is that's supportive of a guy that consistently

866
00:35:45,160 --> 00:35:47,680
Speaker 2: hits for contact, that has a great profile. Can can

867
00:35:47,719 --> 00:35:50,000
Speaker 2: he come off of one bad year? Yeah he can,

868
00:35:50,320 --> 00:35:52,160
Speaker 2: but he might fall apart. His back might he's like

869
00:35:52,160 --> 00:35:53,960
Speaker 2: a lego piece and he just might tumble. All of

870
00:35:53,960 --> 00:35:55,759
Speaker 2: that's a possibility, But you get to do it this

871
00:35:55,880 --> 00:35:58,520
Speaker 2: year at Free ninety nine, not me trying to make

872
00:35:58,800 --> 00:36:01,799
Speaker 2: arguments about him as a player and being right for

873
00:36:01,840 --> 00:36:04,200
Speaker 2: three weeks and the Scott Pianowski gets a laugh at me. No,

874
00:36:04,280 --> 00:36:07,239
Speaker 2: it's the cheapest it's ever been on the planet. So yeah,

875
00:36:07,239 --> 00:36:10,839
Speaker 2: I probably will have some investment in Trout, but like

876
00:36:10,920 --> 00:36:11,520
Speaker 2: you don't have to.

877
00:36:11,880 --> 00:36:13,239
Speaker 3: Like it's especially the.

878
00:36:13,160 --> 00:36:14,680
Speaker 2: Guys that are around. I don't know if you're gonna

879
00:36:15,000 --> 00:36:17,240
Speaker 2: you had a debate on here. It's a fascinating debate.

880
00:36:17,280 --> 00:36:19,160
Speaker 2: Like you can make the pass on Mike Trout if

881
00:36:19,200 --> 00:36:20,840
Speaker 2: you want to, but if you want to chase thirty

882
00:36:20,840 --> 00:36:23,480
Speaker 2: plus homers, I think he's still that guy in there.

883
00:36:23,520 --> 00:36:26,200
Speaker 2: I just don't there's no MVP season. The strikeouts are worries,

884
00:36:26,680 --> 00:36:28,239
Speaker 2: and I think people like Joe I don't blame you

885
00:36:28,280 --> 00:36:30,960
Speaker 2: for being those like you're probably completely out on him whatsoever.

886
00:36:32,360 --> 00:36:35,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm I don't know about Arico. Are you completely

887
00:36:35,040 --> 00:36:37,520
Speaker 1: out on Mike Trout just out of curiosity outside of

888
00:36:37,520 --> 00:36:38,320
Speaker 1: the crew, Yeah.

889
00:36:38,200 --> 00:36:39,760
Speaker 5: Yeah, I can't do it, guys.

890
00:36:39,840 --> 00:36:41,920
Speaker 4: I mean, there's still a lot of outfielders in this

891
00:36:42,080 --> 00:36:44,520
Speaker 4: range that I really like. We're going to talk about

892
00:36:44,520 --> 00:36:45,799
Speaker 4: a couple of them, but a couple we're not going

893
00:36:45,880 --> 00:36:48,960
Speaker 4: to mention today. Like Jack Haglione is like thirty picks cheaper,

894
00:36:49,840 --> 00:36:50,640
Speaker 4: you know, a profar.

895
00:36:50,760 --> 00:36:52,319
Speaker 5: You're getting a top of a good line up there.

896
00:36:52,360 --> 00:36:54,600
Speaker 4: If you want the super speed, you got Chadler SIPs

897
00:36:54,640 --> 00:36:56,600
Speaker 4: and there's there's a lot of Alec Burl sim.

898
00:36:57,320 --> 00:36:59,000
Speaker 1: Well, can I throw another one at you? Cause you're

899
00:36:59,080 --> 00:37:00,560
Speaker 1: naming a lot of good ones a lot of reasons.

900
00:37:00,640 --> 00:37:03,120
Speaker 1: Dalan Lyle, player ten years younger, who had a really

901
00:37:03,200 --> 00:37:04,600
Speaker 1: nice little cup of coffee there at the end of

902
00:37:04,640 --> 00:37:06,960
Speaker 1: the year with the nets, showed some batting average from

903
00:37:07,040 --> 00:37:08,799
Speaker 1: some pops, show some speed, Like is that a player

904
00:37:08,800 --> 00:37:10,480
Speaker 1: who's pretty much in that same range as Trout that

905
00:37:10,480 --> 00:37:11,200
Speaker 1: you would take over him?

906
00:37:11,360 --> 00:37:13,240
Speaker 4: Lyle is kind of a little bit of a fade

907
00:37:13,280 --> 00:37:15,680
Speaker 4: for me as well. I think that he is fine,

908
00:37:15,960 --> 00:37:17,520
Speaker 4: but I don't know that we're going to get close

909
00:37:17,520 --> 00:37:20,040
Speaker 4: to a three hundred batting average, you know, five percent

910
00:37:20,040 --> 00:37:21,680
Speaker 4: barrel rate. I don't think we're going to get a

911
00:37:21,719 --> 00:37:24,160
Speaker 4: ton of home runs out of him. The lineup is

912
00:37:24,239 --> 00:37:26,440
Speaker 4: not great. I think he's I think he's okay, and

913
00:37:26,480 --> 00:37:28,000
Speaker 4: I think that you know, if you're looking for a

914
00:37:28,040 --> 00:37:30,439
Speaker 4: more contact driven profile, I think in a points league,

915
00:37:30,520 --> 00:37:32,319
Speaker 4: Lyle is probably the way that you should be going.

916
00:37:32,920 --> 00:37:35,640
Speaker 4: Trout's just changed his profile so much over the last

917
00:37:35,680 --> 00:37:37,800
Speaker 4: couple of seasons where he's really sold out for power,

918
00:37:37,840 --> 00:37:40,600
Speaker 4: and we got the best case scenario this past season.

919
00:37:40,640 --> 00:37:43,279
Speaker 4: After so many years of you know, thirty six games

920
00:37:43,320 --> 00:37:45,359
Speaker 4: eighty two twenty nine, we got one hundred and thirty games,

921
00:37:45,360 --> 00:37:47,880
Speaker 4: five hundred and fifty play appearances out of him, and

922
00:37:47,960 --> 00:37:49,880
Speaker 4: without having the player raider up in front of me,

923
00:37:49,920 --> 00:37:52,680
Speaker 4: I think he was like a you know, seventieth outfielder

924
00:37:52,760 --> 00:37:53,440
Speaker 4: or something like that.

925
00:37:53,560 --> 00:37:54,080
Speaker 5: Like it.

926
00:37:54,160 --> 00:37:56,680
Speaker 4: Even when he was able to play, it still wasn't

927
00:37:56,719 --> 00:37:59,239
Speaker 4: that impressive. The twenty six homers was nice, but that's

928
00:37:59,320 --> 00:38:01,080
Speaker 4: kind of it. He doesn't steal anymore, he doesn't hit

929
00:38:01,080 --> 00:38:04,600
Speaker 4: for average. I just can't really see myself doing it.

930
00:38:04,640 --> 00:38:06,719
Speaker 4: And there's also one other factor we haven't mentioned yet.

931
00:38:06,719 --> 00:38:08,279
Speaker 4: I don't know if it's one hundred percent confirm, but

932
00:38:08,320 --> 00:38:09,680
Speaker 4: they want him playing center this year.

933
00:38:10,040 --> 00:38:12,239
Speaker 5: You kidding me? That's crazy talk for.

934
00:38:12,200 --> 00:38:14,440
Speaker 4: A guy who can't say al who's DH all of

935
00:38:14,520 --> 00:38:17,239
Speaker 4: last year and played right, maybe fifteen twenty times. Now

936
00:38:17,239 --> 00:38:18,879
Speaker 4: they're going to put him in center every day again

937
00:38:18,920 --> 00:38:21,640
Speaker 4: at his age. I think it's a recipe for disaster.

938
00:38:22,640 --> 00:38:24,279
Speaker 2: I think one thing I want to throw in there too,

939
00:38:24,320 --> 00:38:26,520
Speaker 2: just real quick, is I do think it's important because

940
00:38:26,520 --> 00:38:29,360
Speaker 2: I'm going to miss out on trout pieces here because

941
00:38:29,880 --> 00:38:32,399
Speaker 2: the other thing that does happen is like, there are

942
00:38:32,440 --> 00:38:34,560
Speaker 2: some guys that fit the build of your team. You

943
00:38:34,600 --> 00:38:36,839
Speaker 2: mentioned Chandler Simpson on thousand percent. I did a mock

944
00:38:36,880 --> 00:38:39,040
Speaker 2: draft where I waited and I was like, Chandler Simpson

945
00:38:39,040 --> 00:38:41,680
Speaker 2: fits my build perfect because I had taken Iohaneil Swarez

946
00:38:41,680 --> 00:38:42,680
Speaker 2: and Kurtz and I was like, I.

947
00:38:42,600 --> 00:38:44,960
Speaker 5: Need airing in an auction. The other night I got

948
00:38:45,040 --> 00:38:46,080
Speaker 5: Simpson and Suarez.

949
00:38:46,600 --> 00:38:48,200
Speaker 3: Yeah, and I put those guys together.

950
00:38:48,280 --> 00:38:50,319
Speaker 2: So like, I agree on that because I don't want

951
00:38:50,360 --> 00:38:51,560
Speaker 2: it to be like I'm going to do a drud

952
00:38:51,760 --> 00:38:53,080
Speaker 2: But I also think, like.

953
00:38:53,360 --> 00:38:54,920
Speaker 1: The what don't you want to do?

954
00:38:54,960 --> 00:38:57,400
Speaker 3: It's like, you know he's not going to be anything,

955
00:38:57,600 --> 00:38:58,920
Speaker 3: Like I just wanted.

956
00:38:58,719 --> 00:39:01,960
Speaker 2: To make sure I heard it, Like I think because

957
00:39:02,000 --> 00:39:05,120
Speaker 2: it's so dirt cheap, like you can make the investment,

958
00:39:05,200 --> 00:39:07,200
Speaker 2: especially if you're trying to build for some power on

959
00:39:07,239 --> 00:39:11,040
Speaker 2: your teams. But like, I'm also not taking him over

960
00:39:11,080 --> 00:39:12,080
Speaker 2: some of the guys we talked about.

961
00:39:12,080 --> 00:39:13,360
Speaker 3: I got a sleeper that's below.

962
00:39:13,239 --> 00:39:15,120
Speaker 2: I like him Dale and Lyle Frankly, if you want

963
00:39:15,160 --> 00:39:18,000
Speaker 2: to pair a twenty stolen bases, but like Adultest Garcia

964
00:39:18,080 --> 00:39:19,560
Speaker 2: or Mike Trout, I'm gonna take Mike Trout.

965
00:39:20,000 --> 00:39:22,120
Speaker 4: If that way, as you're comparing, I'm kind of buying

966
00:39:22,160 --> 00:39:24,800
Speaker 4: back in on Garcia. The projections love him. He feels

967
00:39:24,800 --> 00:39:26,960
Speaker 4: like one of those kind of forgotten about names. I

968
00:39:27,000 --> 00:39:29,360
Speaker 4: could still give you, like twenty five and ten. But

969
00:39:29,440 --> 00:39:30,920
Speaker 4: what I have to say about all these guys is

970
00:39:30,920 --> 00:39:32,880
Speaker 4: George Springer showed us last year that just because you've

971
00:39:32,920 --> 00:39:34,760
Speaker 4: been declining for a couple of years in your mid thirties,

972
00:39:34,760 --> 00:39:37,040
Speaker 4: you can still pop off an amazing season. Mike Trout

973
00:39:37,280 --> 00:39:39,600
Speaker 4: one of the greatest baseball players of all time. If

974
00:39:39,600 --> 00:39:42,080
Speaker 4: he finishes six and MVP voting and hits thirty seven

975
00:39:42,080 --> 00:39:45,040
Speaker 4: home runs and hits two eighty four, we shouldn't be

976
00:39:45,040 --> 00:39:46,560
Speaker 4: shocked by it. It's a possibility.

977
00:39:47,400 --> 00:39:50,279
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's it's in the range of outcomes as are not.

978
00:39:50,440 --> 00:39:52,759
Speaker 1: Like Brown likes to say, let's Arica, let's talk about

979
00:39:52,760 --> 00:39:54,640
Speaker 1: a target in this range here, between thirty one and

980
00:39:54,680 --> 00:39:56,680
Speaker 1: forty five, who's a guy that you really like to target.

981
00:39:57,000 --> 00:39:58,600
Speaker 4: So it kind of goes back to my point about

982
00:39:58,640 --> 00:40:00,799
Speaker 4: tay Oscar. Just the boring names that are a little

983
00:40:00,840 --> 00:40:03,080
Speaker 4: bit cheaper than usual, the guys that always tend to

984
00:40:03,080 --> 00:40:05,560
Speaker 4: produce for you. And Ian Happ has been that guy

985
00:40:05,760 --> 00:40:07,680
Speaker 4: pretty much every year of his career. He's a one

986
00:40:07,680 --> 00:40:10,480
Speaker 4: to sixteen WRC plus each of the last three years,

987
00:40:10,520 --> 00:40:12,879
Speaker 4: you're getting twenty plus homers. Two of the last three years,

988
00:40:12,880 --> 00:40:15,000
Speaker 4: you're getting at least thirteen steals. And he is providing

989
00:40:15,040 --> 00:40:18,560
Speaker 4: counting stats eighty six runs, eighty nine, eighty seven, eighty

990
00:40:18,600 --> 00:40:21,279
Speaker 4: four RBI, eighty six, seventy nine. He's not killing you

991
00:40:21,320 --> 00:40:23,759
Speaker 4: in the batting average department, and he has positions at

992
00:40:23,760 --> 00:40:26,440
Speaker 4: the top of a really good lineup roster. Resource on

993
00:40:26,520 --> 00:40:28,880
Speaker 4: Fangrasse projects him to hit third. Now he's usually been

994
00:40:28,880 --> 00:40:31,000
Speaker 4: their leadoff hitter. He was in the leadoff spot for

995
00:40:31,000 --> 00:40:32,839
Speaker 4: more than half of the game's last season. But even

996
00:40:32,880 --> 00:40:35,000
Speaker 4: if he's hitting third first, it doesn't really matter. The

997
00:40:35,040 --> 00:40:36,960
Speaker 4: top of that order is a prime spot for him

998
00:40:37,120 --> 00:40:40,400
Speaker 4: to repeat that you know, roughly ninety run, ninety RBI

999
00:40:40,520 --> 00:40:43,000
Speaker 4: season where he's giving you kind of twenty five home

1000
00:40:43,080 --> 00:40:45,400
Speaker 4: run ten stolen base type of seasons as well, So

1001
00:40:45,840 --> 00:40:48,640
Speaker 4: he feels very very inexpensive for a guy who's hitting

1002
00:40:48,640 --> 00:40:49,720
Speaker 4: at the top of a great lineup.

1003
00:40:50,840 --> 00:40:53,160
Speaker 1: All right, Welsh, how about same question to you in

1004
00:40:53,200 --> 00:40:55,560
Speaker 1: this target range here, who's the guy for you on

1005
00:40:55,600 --> 00:40:56,680
Speaker 1: the Welsh rosters? Yeah?

1006
00:40:56,719 --> 00:40:58,600
Speaker 2: So you know, something I was just thinking about is

1007
00:40:58,800 --> 00:41:01,560
Speaker 2: Joe is talking too, because there's little part where Arica.

1008
00:41:01,239 --> 00:41:02,520
Speaker 3: I wanted to be like, who do you like?

1009
00:41:02,960 --> 00:41:04,759
Speaker 2: And then I was listening because you've had a lot

1010
00:41:04,800 --> 00:41:06,839
Speaker 2: of hates on this, but then you've also kind of

1011
00:41:06,880 --> 00:41:09,320
Speaker 2: like thrown out like you like a lot of boring guys,

1012
00:41:09,520 --> 00:41:12,520
Speaker 2: and that's okay, but it made me think that, like,

1013
00:41:12,680 --> 00:41:15,520
Speaker 2: there's different spots where I have been a little bit

1014
00:41:15,560 --> 00:41:18,480
Speaker 2: more boring in the beginning of drafts, and then I

1015
00:41:18,640 --> 00:41:22,480
Speaker 2: see a lot of opportunities to take risks later in drafts,

1016
00:41:22,719 --> 00:41:24,799
Speaker 2: and I'm not you're definitely you're definitely. I'm not saying

1017
00:41:24,840 --> 00:41:27,239
Speaker 2: you are the opposite of that because you don't want

1018
00:41:27,239 --> 00:41:29,080
Speaker 2: any part of Ellie and you've got quite a few.

1019
00:41:29,080 --> 00:41:30,600
Speaker 2: You don't want any part of Kurtz. So like the

1020
00:41:30,640 --> 00:41:33,080
Speaker 2: Super young. You don't like the young guys that don't

1021
00:41:33,080 --> 00:41:34,240
Speaker 2: have proven track records.

1022
00:41:34,560 --> 00:41:35,680
Speaker 3: But I feel like your.

1023
00:41:35,600 --> 00:41:38,160
Speaker 2: Overall team builds are going to lean more heavy to boring,

1024
00:41:38,239 --> 00:41:43,520
Speaker 2: where I have like boring safe in the first eight rounds,

1025
00:41:43,560 --> 00:41:45,120
Speaker 2: the big core things, and then I want to take

1026
00:41:45,120 --> 00:41:47,799
Speaker 2: some shots. And that leads me to a guy that

1027
00:41:47,840 --> 00:41:49,319
Speaker 2: I think I want to take a shot back in

1028
00:41:49,400 --> 00:41:51,280
Speaker 2: on because you know he's coming at a cheaper price

1029
00:41:51,320 --> 00:41:53,720
Speaker 2: because he was a disappointment last year was Lawrence Butler.

1030
00:41:54,120 --> 00:41:57,279
Speaker 2: Lawrence Butler twenty one homer's twenty two stolen bases didn't

1031
00:41:57,320 --> 00:41:59,359
Speaker 2: live up to expectations, and I think people were thinking

1032
00:41:59,360 --> 00:42:02,400
Speaker 2: of thirty thirty season was in line for He regressed

1033
00:42:02,440 --> 00:42:05,440
Speaker 2: from a batting average standpoint, which is a bummer, and

1034
00:42:05,480 --> 00:42:08,759
Speaker 2: the strikeouts they went in the wrong direction. He's been

1035
00:42:08,800 --> 00:42:12,040
Speaker 2: working through a lot of swing changes over the last year,

1036
00:42:12,080 --> 00:42:13,520
Speaker 2: and I think he had like even like a mid

1037
00:42:13,600 --> 00:42:16,840
Speaker 2: season It was the previous year he had like a

1038
00:42:16,880 --> 00:42:19,359
Speaker 2: mid season adjustment, and I think he needs that again

1039
00:42:19,400 --> 00:42:21,279
Speaker 2: because he hit two fifty one in the first half,

1040
00:42:21,320 --> 00:42:24,279
Speaker 2: which was really solid. Still sixteen bases in around three

1041
00:42:24,360 --> 00:42:27,279
Speaker 2: hundred and fifty played appearances with thirteen homers, and then

1042
00:42:27,280 --> 00:42:29,360
Speaker 2: he fell apart in the second half he couldn't maintain.

1043
00:42:29,600 --> 00:42:31,799
Speaker 2: There are also some injury stuff where he hit only

1044
00:42:31,840 --> 00:42:35,880
Speaker 2: two oh three. He's recovering from a knee thing in

1045
00:42:35,920 --> 00:42:37,960
Speaker 2: the offseason where he's not going to play until halfway

1046
00:42:38,000 --> 00:42:40,160
Speaker 2: through some of the spring training games.

1047
00:42:40,239 --> 00:42:42,400
Speaker 3: But I was over at A's camp. Obviously.

1048
00:42:42,480 --> 00:42:45,440
Speaker 2: Nick Kurtz is like just a behemoth to watch. Jacob

1049
00:42:45,440 --> 00:42:49,719
Speaker 2: Wilson is great. Lawrence Butler looks absolutely phenomenal. When you

1050
00:42:49,760 --> 00:42:52,239
Speaker 2: just see him in person, you can see just the

1051
00:42:52,480 --> 00:42:56,719
Speaker 2: glowing fantasy upside. He's still hitting the ball really great.

1052
00:42:56,920 --> 00:42:59,680
Speaker 2: His swing looks a little bit cleaner this year, and

1053
00:43:00,160 --> 00:43:02,040
Speaker 2: just throw out that like he had some aggression points.

1054
00:43:02,040 --> 00:43:03,640
Speaker 2: But I think he can pop back from this. I

1055
00:43:03,680 --> 00:43:05,640
Speaker 2: think he could be a twenty five to twenty five guy.

1056
00:43:05,760 --> 00:43:07,520
Speaker 2: And he's one of those guys that is cheaper that

1057
00:43:07,600 --> 00:43:09,239
Speaker 2: I think I can take a risk on, and I

1058
00:43:09,320 --> 00:43:11,440
Speaker 2: want to take a risk on. And that just brings

1059
00:43:11,480 --> 00:43:13,520
Speaker 2: me back to that whole idea we were talking about

1060
00:43:13,520 --> 00:43:17,759
Speaker 2: of like boring versus upside, where you do it if

1061
00:43:17,800 --> 00:43:19,560
Speaker 2: you ever do it, and Lawrence Butler's one of those

1062
00:43:19,600 --> 00:43:21,440
Speaker 2: players pretty late here that I think he can get

1063
00:43:21,440 --> 00:43:22,640
Speaker 2: twenty five to twenty five out.

1064
00:43:22,480 --> 00:43:25,360
Speaker 1: Of boring is good. Predictable is good because you know

1065
00:43:25,400 --> 00:43:28,120
Speaker 1: what you're getting. Unpredictable sometimes can win you a league,

1066
00:43:28,120 --> 00:43:29,919
Speaker 1: but it can lose your league. It depends on how

1067
00:43:29,960 --> 00:43:31,600
Speaker 1: you construct and how many of those guys you want,

1068
00:43:31,680 --> 00:43:33,239
Speaker 1: like I'll give you. For instance, like in a league

1069
00:43:33,239 --> 00:43:35,359
Speaker 1: where I like how things are going, I would take

1070
00:43:35,360 --> 00:43:38,400
Speaker 1: the lottery ticket on Louis Robert because Louise Robert to

1071
00:43:38,440 --> 00:43:42,239
Speaker 1: me contract year, new situation. We know how good he

1072
00:43:42,320 --> 00:43:44,160
Speaker 1: can be. I've seen him take some VP in a

1073
00:43:44,200 --> 00:43:47,040
Speaker 1: little he looks pretty fresh to me. Again, just new

1074
00:43:47,080 --> 00:43:49,319
Speaker 1: for him is good. Anything new is good for him.

1075
00:43:49,680 --> 00:43:53,040
Speaker 1: But if I was in the different kind of scenario

1076
00:43:53,200 --> 00:43:56,000
Speaker 1: too and I needed more, just solidify my guys, like

1077
00:43:56,040 --> 00:43:58,279
Speaker 1: Andy Paiez is the guy that I like. Okay, I

1078
00:43:58,320 --> 00:43:59,480
Speaker 1: think I know what I'm getting with this guy. It

1079
00:43:59,480 --> 00:44:01,880
Speaker 1: seems pretty solid. He's a dodger. Let me move on.

1080
00:44:01,960 --> 00:44:04,239
Speaker 1: So again, roster construction has a lot to do with this.

1081
00:44:04,880 --> 00:44:06,480
Speaker 1: Before we get to the sleepers, the bus and the

1082
00:44:06,520 --> 00:44:08,600
Speaker 1: must haves. Quick shout out to our sponsor, hard Rock

1083
00:44:08,600 --> 00:44:10,480
Speaker 1: Bet and if you haven't tried yet, make your first

1084
00:44:10,520 --> 00:44:12,520
Speaker 1: bet over at hard Rock bet there's still time. You

1085
00:44:12,520 --> 00:44:14,319
Speaker 1: get one hundred and fifteen bonus bets when you win,

1086
00:44:14,400 --> 00:44:16,759
Speaker 1: plus when you go ahead and bet five bucks, you

1087
00:44:16,800 --> 00:44:19,000
Speaker 1: get your winnings and one hundred and fifteen bonus bets

1088
00:44:19,040 --> 00:44:21,359
Speaker 1: when you win. Pretty good deal there from Hard Rock Bets.

1089
00:44:21,360 --> 00:44:24,239
Speaker 1: So download the app today. That's Hard Rock Bets, sportsbook,

1090
00:44:24,239 --> 00:44:26,279
Speaker 1: paybal and bonus Bets not a cash offer offered by

1091
00:44:26,280 --> 00:44:28,400
Speaker 1: the Seminal Tribe of Florida and Florida offered by the

1092
00:44:28,400 --> 00:44:31,080
Speaker 1: Seminal hard Rock Digital LLC in other states must be

1093
00:44:31,120 --> 00:44:35,880
Speaker 1: twenty one plus in physically present in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, Michigan,

1094
00:44:35,920 --> 00:44:39,120
Speaker 1: New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, or Virginia. Play terms of conditions apply.

1095
00:44:39,120 --> 00:44:41,680
Speaker 1: Concerned about gambling in Florida, call one eight three three

1096
00:44:41,680 --> 00:44:44,080
Speaker 1: play wise. In Indiana, if you are someone you know

1097
00:44:44,120 --> 00:44:46,440
Speaker 1: as a gambling problem, laants help called one eight hundred

1098
00:44:46,440 --> 00:44:49,080
Speaker 1: and nine with it gambling problem called one hundred gambler

1099
00:44:49,080 --> 00:44:52,759
Speaker 1: in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia.

1100
00:44:52,920 --> 00:44:55,240
Speaker 1: All right, rico, give me your sleeper for the outfield

1101
00:44:55,239 --> 00:44:56,560
Speaker 1: for twenty twenty six. Who is it?

1102
00:44:56,800 --> 00:44:57,000
Speaker 5: Yeah.

1103
00:44:57,040 --> 00:44:59,359
Speaker 4: I mean, I'm not beating the boring allegations here because

1104
00:44:59,360 --> 00:44:59,959
Speaker 4: I'm going right.

1105
00:44:59,840 --> 00:45:00,920
Speaker 1: Back, no, you were not.

1106
00:45:01,360 --> 00:45:03,640
Speaker 4: But I mean I will take my shots on the

1107
00:45:03,719 --> 00:45:05,759
Speaker 4: upside guys mixed in throughout the draft, but I will

1108
00:45:05,760 --> 00:45:08,400
Speaker 4: also really take my shots on guys who have a

1109
00:45:08,440 --> 00:45:11,279
Speaker 4: discounted price, who have an established baseline for a number

1110
00:45:11,280 --> 00:45:13,080
Speaker 4: of years, They have a poor season, and then that

1111
00:45:13,120 --> 00:45:16,360
Speaker 4: price is dramatically different than it has been. Ryan Reynolds

1112
00:45:16,400 --> 00:45:18,000
Speaker 4: has been a top one hundred pick for the last

1113
00:45:18,239 --> 00:45:20,320
Speaker 4: pretty much since the COVID season. Every year you're getting

1114
00:45:20,440 --> 00:45:22,799
Speaker 4: twenty four and five, twenty seven and seven, twenty four

1115
00:45:22,840 --> 00:45:25,600
Speaker 4: and twelve, twenty four and ten. This past season it

1116
00:45:25,680 --> 00:45:28,400
Speaker 4: was sixteen and three with a reduced batting average WRC

1117
00:45:28,520 --> 00:45:31,279
Speaker 4: plus's ninety nine. But below the surface, there wasn't much

1118
00:45:31,280 --> 00:45:33,120
Speaker 4: that really changed from him. The barrel rate was still

1119
00:45:33,120 --> 00:45:35,719
Speaker 4: in double digits, the average exit velocity at ninety one was.

1120
00:45:35,719 --> 00:45:36,560
Speaker 5: The best of his career.

1121
00:45:36,840 --> 00:45:39,000
Speaker 4: Forty six percent hard hit rate is still really good,

1122
00:45:39,080 --> 00:45:41,440
Speaker 4: and the contact profile is still pretty solid as well.

1123
00:45:41,480 --> 00:45:43,440
Speaker 4: Let's swing and missus a little bit higher than i'd

1124
00:45:43,520 --> 00:45:46,200
Speaker 4: like with a thirteen percent twing strike rate, but that's

1125
00:45:46,320 --> 00:45:48,640
Speaker 4: kind of roughly where he has been throughout his career.

1126
00:45:48,680 --> 00:45:50,239
Speaker 4: I don't think it's going to kill him to be

1127
00:45:50,400 --> 00:45:52,040
Speaker 4: in that range. I think he is a twenty and

1128
00:45:52,120 --> 00:45:54,879
Speaker 4: ten guy that people don't really care about in their drafts.

1129
00:45:54,920 --> 00:45:56,880
Speaker 4: He's pushing outside of the top two hundred picks in

1130
00:45:56,920 --> 00:45:59,440
Speaker 4: a lot of rooms. Sometimes he's just inside. But the

1131
00:45:59,520 --> 00:46:01,560
Speaker 4: recent eight I'm looking out over the last two weeks

1132
00:46:01,600 --> 00:46:03,960
Speaker 4: two to five adp for a guy who's in the

1133
00:46:03,960 --> 00:46:05,640
Speaker 4: best lineup he's ever been, who's going to be hitting

1134
00:46:05,640 --> 00:46:07,839
Speaker 4: in the middle of it, who plays every single day.

1135
00:46:07,840 --> 00:46:10,239
Speaker 4: He's logged at least six hundred play appearances in each

1136
00:46:10,239 --> 00:46:12,319
Speaker 4: of the last five seasons, and like I mentioned that,

1137
00:46:12,320 --> 00:46:13,640
Speaker 4: he's one hundred picks cheaper than usual.

1138
00:46:13,719 --> 00:46:15,799
Speaker 5: So I will take my shots. But I love me

1139
00:46:15,800 --> 00:46:16,759
Speaker 5: some boring players too.

1140
00:46:17,960 --> 00:46:19,880
Speaker 1: All right, give me a sleeper here, Welsh for you

1141
00:46:19,920 --> 00:46:20,400
Speaker 1: at the outfield.

1142
00:46:20,440 --> 00:46:22,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, I've talked abou him a decent amount. And obviously,

1143
00:46:22,960 --> 00:46:25,680
Speaker 2: when taking your shots, you can't pair a bunch of

1144
00:46:25,760 --> 00:46:27,880
Speaker 2: risky guys together, so you're going to have to figure

1145
00:46:27,920 --> 00:46:31,279
Speaker 2: out your boring, exciting combination. And one of the guys

1146
00:46:31,320 --> 00:46:33,320
Speaker 2: that I want to get really late is Dylan Cruz

1147
00:46:33,400 --> 00:46:35,799
Speaker 2: and I've talked a bunch about it. Dylan Cruz. He

1148
00:46:35,880 --> 00:46:38,040
Speaker 2: kind of stunk last year. He hit two to oh eight,

1149
00:46:38,120 --> 00:46:40,200
Speaker 2: and I you know, oh but oh no, Cruz hit

1150
00:46:40,200 --> 00:46:43,200
Speaker 2: two hundred. I don't think that's sticky. He had expected

1151
00:46:43,200 --> 00:46:45,960
Speaker 2: batting average that was almost thirty points higher at two

1152
00:46:46,000 --> 00:46:48,799
Speaker 2: thirty five. Still nothing to just scream home about. But

1153
00:46:49,000 --> 00:46:51,560
Speaker 2: while he sucked, he hit ten homers in seventeen stolen

1154
00:46:51,560 --> 00:46:53,359
Speaker 2: bases in under three hundred of bats. So he could

1155
00:46:53,360 --> 00:46:57,000
Speaker 2: have continued sucking and been a twenty thirty guy. If

1156
00:46:57,040 --> 00:46:59,160
Speaker 2: you think the profile is going to improve, which I

1157
00:46:59,200 --> 00:47:01,120
Speaker 2: do think is going to then there could be a

1158
00:47:01,200 --> 00:47:04,040
Speaker 2: lot of good stuff in the future. He went from

1159
00:47:04,120 --> 00:47:06,839
Speaker 2: six point four to nine point seven barrel percentage. He's

1160
00:47:06,880 --> 00:47:09,680
Speaker 2: still walking, he's still hitting the ball hard, and he's

1161
00:47:09,680 --> 00:47:12,480
Speaker 2: got this really not it's an anomaly thing that it

1162
00:47:12,600 --> 00:47:14,399
Speaker 2: just doesn't stick with a lot of players. When you

1163
00:47:14,560 --> 00:47:17,600
Speaker 2: really really struggle against forcing fastballs, that's going to change.

1164
00:47:17,719 --> 00:47:20,319
Speaker 2: He hit one sixty four against forceeing fastballs, the number

1165
00:47:20,360 --> 00:47:23,080
Speaker 2: one pitch he saw, with an expected batting average forty

1166
00:47:23,080 --> 00:47:27,080
Speaker 2: points higher. If he gets just that improvement alone, that's

1167
00:47:27,080 --> 00:47:28,279
Speaker 2: going to get him back up to being a two

1168
00:47:28,320 --> 00:47:30,280
Speaker 2: forty two to fifty hitter. I think there's a legitimate

1169
00:47:30,280 --> 00:47:33,400
Speaker 2: twenty thirty season in front of him, And don't be shocked,

1170
00:47:33,480 --> 00:47:35,200
Speaker 2: especially with all the weird stuff we talked about with

1171
00:47:35,280 --> 00:47:37,520
Speaker 2: James Wood, Dylan Cruz could be right back in the discussion,

1172
00:47:37,600 --> 00:47:40,040
Speaker 2: maybe even more valuable than him. So he's going super

1173
00:47:40,040 --> 00:47:42,239
Speaker 2: dirt cheap. I think we're gonna get this young guy.

1174
00:47:42,320 --> 00:47:45,400
Speaker 2: Bounced back on Dylan Cruz, and I like him as

1175
00:47:45,440 --> 00:47:47,080
Speaker 2: an easy twenty twenty guy pretty late.

1176
00:47:47,960 --> 00:47:49,480
Speaker 1: All right, well give me your bust. Then on the

1177
00:47:49,520 --> 00:47:51,040
Speaker 1: other end of that spectrum, I think you're guy is

1178
00:47:51,080 --> 00:47:52,799
Speaker 1: a guy that I actually picked that I'm avoiding this

1179
00:47:52,880 --> 00:47:55,279
Speaker 1: year as well, based on age and how well he

1180
00:47:55,320 --> 00:47:57,520
Speaker 1: did last year. And I just don't think we can

1181
00:47:57,840 --> 00:47:59,319
Speaker 1: copy and paste twenty twenty five.

1182
00:48:00,160 --> 00:48:02,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, and I'll just be absolutely blatant, Like

1183
00:48:03,000 --> 00:48:06,760
Speaker 2: when you look at the profile, there's not a great argument,

1184
00:48:06,880 --> 00:48:10,000
Speaker 2: and it's George Springer, what's the good argument when you say, hey,

1185
00:48:10,080 --> 00:48:12,400
Speaker 2: forty seven percent hard hit rate? Holy crap, he almost

1186
00:48:12,400 --> 00:48:15,840
Speaker 2: doubled his barrel sixteen percent. He got the Everything was

1187
00:48:15,920 --> 00:48:19,480
Speaker 2: so dramatic, but it was so out of pocket, like

1188
00:48:19,520 --> 00:48:22,799
Speaker 2: he had had three straight years where it was like

1189
00:48:22,960 --> 00:48:25,799
Speaker 2: really low barrel rates. He wasn't hitting the ball hard. Yes,

1190
00:48:25,840 --> 00:48:29,120
Speaker 2: he doesn't strike out. Everything changed to a degree that

1191
00:48:29,160 --> 00:48:32,880
Speaker 2: seems really really hard to replicate if he does. He

1192
00:48:33,000 --> 00:48:35,080
Speaker 2: was almost a thirty twenty guy. He was an MVP

1193
00:48:35,239 --> 00:48:38,000
Speaker 2: candidate to some degree. But he's also like thirty six

1194
00:48:38,040 --> 00:48:41,040
Speaker 2: years old. I think there's an age decline situation that's

1195
00:48:41,080 --> 00:48:41,440
Speaker 2: going on.

1196
00:48:41,560 --> 00:48:43,160
Speaker 3: I don't buy last year.

1197
00:48:43,200 --> 00:48:45,800
Speaker 2: But even outside of that, I don't like the cost,

1198
00:48:46,280 --> 00:48:49,319
Speaker 2: like I have to pay top with a twenty or

1199
00:48:49,320 --> 00:48:52,799
Speaker 2: twenty five outfielder for what he did last year, and

1200
00:48:53,000 --> 00:48:55,080
Speaker 2: I think there's some inherent risks in it. He doesn't

1201
00:48:55,120 --> 00:48:57,480
Speaker 2: strike out, which is good, and maybe this will kind

1202
00:48:57,480 --> 00:48:59,600
Speaker 2: of be silly, but I just maybe this is the

1203
00:48:59,680 --> 00:49:02,799
Speaker 2: ultimate boring guy. I don't want to I don't want

1204
00:49:02,840 --> 00:49:05,480
Speaker 2: to pay last year's price for George Springer this year.

1205
00:49:05,760 --> 00:49:09,000
Speaker 2: So again, there's not like an awesome, compelling marker, except that,

1206
00:49:09,080 --> 00:49:12,080
Speaker 2: like a lot of this was just so dramatically bigger.

1207
00:49:12,120 --> 00:49:13,160
Speaker 3: It seems like an outlier.

1208
00:49:13,160 --> 00:49:14,920
Speaker 1: All right, Joe Rico, give me your bust here for

1209
00:49:14,960 --> 00:49:15,719
Speaker 1: twenty twenty six.

1210
00:49:15,800 --> 00:49:17,480
Speaker 4: I will say about Springer that he went he was

1211
00:49:17,520 --> 00:49:19,800
Speaker 4: the third outfielder last year, and now he's being drafted

1212
00:49:19,840 --> 00:49:22,000
Speaker 4: as a twenty second outfielder. So I agree with you,

1213
00:49:22,080 --> 00:49:24,480
Speaker 4: but I think that the price difference is justified. I

1214
00:49:24,520 --> 00:49:27,080
Speaker 4: think that he's fallen enough where it's a conversation. But

1215
00:49:27,080 --> 00:49:29,480
Speaker 4: then again, you guys already know I like my boring guys,

1216
00:49:29,520 --> 00:49:30,080
Speaker 4: I really do.

1217
00:49:30,719 --> 00:49:32,000
Speaker 5: O'Neil Cruz is my bust.

1218
00:49:32,000 --> 00:49:33,600
Speaker 4: I won't go too deep in him because we've already

1219
00:49:33,600 --> 00:49:35,720
Speaker 4: talked about him a lot, but I just don't trust

1220
00:49:35,760 --> 00:49:36,919
Speaker 4: his profile at all.

1221
00:49:37,880 --> 00:49:39,400
Speaker 5: I think that there is a decent chance that he

1222
00:49:39,520 --> 00:49:40,160
Speaker 5: is not even in.

1223
00:49:40,120 --> 00:49:41,720
Speaker 4: The major leagues in a few years if he doesn't

1224
00:49:41,719 --> 00:49:44,600
Speaker 4: shape up, because he plays a horrible defense wherever he

1225
00:49:44,680 --> 00:49:46,200
Speaker 4: is on the field, whether is it's short or in

1226
00:49:46,200 --> 00:49:49,680
Speaker 4: the outfield. We're talking like negative fourteen defensive run saved

1227
00:49:49,719 --> 00:49:51,960
Speaker 4: last year in the outfield. It's some of the metrics

1228
00:49:52,000 --> 00:49:53,640
Speaker 4: disagree on him, but if you're not doing it for

1229
00:49:53,760 --> 00:49:57,080
Speaker 4: me either side, then you're causing problems. He's the highest

1230
00:49:57,200 --> 00:49:59,719
Speaker 4: drafted player who is a platoon bat by far on

1231
00:49:59,760 --> 00:50:01,560
Speaker 4: the so you're already missing out on a bunch of

1232
00:50:01,560 --> 00:50:03,239
Speaker 4: at bats, and I think that he could potentially even

1233
00:50:03,280 --> 00:50:05,399
Speaker 4: lose more playing time if he doesn't figure things out

1234
00:50:05,400 --> 00:50:06,080
Speaker 4: pretty soon.

1235
00:50:07,239 --> 00:50:10,200
Speaker 1: All right, So Joe gimme er must have then, since

1236
00:50:10,200 --> 00:50:12,000
Speaker 1: we were light on ONEO Cruz, who's the guy that

1237
00:50:12,040 --> 00:50:13,920
Speaker 1: you gotta have in twenty twenty six in the outfield.

1238
00:50:13,960 --> 00:50:15,640
Speaker 4: It's one of our people, Joe, and I'll call him

1239
00:50:15,680 --> 00:50:18,800
Speaker 4: by his Italian name, Jack Kalliano, name Jack Kaglio.

1240
00:50:19,120 --> 00:50:20,279
Speaker 5: Hey, Hey, how you doing?

1241
00:50:20,440 --> 00:50:21,000
Speaker 1: How you doing?

1242
00:50:21,160 --> 00:50:23,040
Speaker 4: You know, he had a horrible season last year, no

1243
00:50:23,160 --> 00:50:26,160
Speaker 4: question about it, one fifty seven batting average, seven home runs,

1244
00:50:26,160 --> 00:50:28,680
Speaker 4: But I trust the profile still. This is the guy

1245
00:50:28,680 --> 00:50:30,440
Speaker 4: who we were talking about in the same breath as

1246
00:50:30,520 --> 00:50:32,920
Speaker 4: Nick Kurtz. And obviously Nick Kurtz far exceeded what he

1247
00:50:33,120 --> 00:50:34,359
Speaker 4: what Kaglion did last year.

1248
00:50:34,360 --> 00:50:35,200
Speaker 5: It wasn't even close.

1249
00:50:35,400 --> 00:50:37,879
Speaker 4: But Kaglion showed better to play discipline in some extent

1250
00:50:37,920 --> 00:50:40,040
Speaker 4: only a twenty two percent strikeout rate, he was walking

1251
00:50:40,080 --> 00:50:42,280
Speaker 4: eight percent of the time. I think we can see

1252
00:50:42,440 --> 00:50:44,520
Speaker 4: some pretty high on base percentages. He was over four

1253
00:50:44,600 --> 00:50:46,080
Speaker 4: hundred in the miners. I don't think he's going to

1254
00:50:46,160 --> 00:50:48,480
Speaker 4: be that high, but the projections have him mostly in

1255
00:50:48,520 --> 00:50:50,920
Speaker 4: like the three twenty type of on base percentage range,

1256
00:50:51,040 --> 00:50:53,680
Speaker 4: twenty some odd home runs, a couple of steals in

1257
00:50:53,719 --> 00:50:56,080
Speaker 4: a really really good lineup. I like what the Royals

1258
00:50:56,080 --> 00:50:58,239
Speaker 4: have done as a whole. I think they're a really

1259
00:50:58,320 --> 00:51:00,480
Speaker 4: fun fantasy team. We mentioned it on the Catch preview

1260
00:51:00,480 --> 00:51:03,279
Speaker 4: as well with Carter Jensen, but I think kgli Owen

1261
00:51:03,360 --> 00:51:05,480
Speaker 4: with his twelve percent barrel right and the walls coming in,

1262
00:51:05,920 --> 00:51:07,719
Speaker 4: could be a very cheap source of thirty home runs

1263
00:51:07,719 --> 00:51:08,040
Speaker 4: this year.

1264
00:51:09,040 --> 00:51:10,680
Speaker 1: All right, Welsh, give me your must have guy in

1265
00:51:10,719 --> 00:51:12,160
Speaker 1: the outfield for twenty twenty.

1266
00:51:11,920 --> 00:51:14,240
Speaker 3: Six outside the top fifty.

1267
00:51:14,400 --> 00:51:17,520
Speaker 2: So he's must have because you can have him if

1268
00:51:17,560 --> 00:51:18,719
Speaker 2: you want him, and I do.

1269
00:51:19,200 --> 00:51:21,480
Speaker 3: It's will your bray you? Will you d Breo, who.

1270
00:51:21,520 --> 00:51:23,759
Speaker 2: Had been in the world of kind of platoon bat,

1271
00:51:23,760 --> 00:51:25,439
Speaker 2: and I think this is going to be the year

1272
00:51:25,480 --> 00:51:27,160
Speaker 2: that that is going to go by the wayside. They're

1273
00:51:27,160 --> 00:51:29,279
Speaker 2: going to give him a full time look and will

1274
00:51:29,280 --> 00:51:31,759
Speaker 2: your bre you Last year two forty seven twenty two

1275
00:51:31,800 --> 00:51:35,879
Speaker 2: homers in under four hundred at bats, and like I said,

1276
00:51:35,880 --> 00:51:38,600
Speaker 2: he's already kind of bucked that trend. Great barrel, He's

1277
00:51:38,600 --> 00:51:41,360
Speaker 2: improved that every single year. He's still hitting the ball hard.

1278
00:51:41,400 --> 00:51:43,960
Speaker 2: He lowered his strikeouts, he got the ball in the

1279
00:51:44,000 --> 00:51:45,840
Speaker 2: air more, and he pulled the living crap out of it,

1280
00:51:45,880 --> 00:51:47,520
Speaker 2: and he's going to be put in a big position.

1281
00:51:47,680 --> 00:51:49,440
Speaker 2: I guess I like some Red Sox this year for

1282
00:51:49,560 --> 00:51:53,240
Speaker 2: RBI opportunities. I think it is very without, very well

1283
00:51:53,239 --> 00:51:55,640
Speaker 2: within reason that Willyard Bray you can put up thirty

1284
00:51:55,640 --> 00:51:58,680
Speaker 2: homers and he is not even a top fifty outfielder.

1285
00:51:58,760 --> 00:52:01,640
Speaker 2: So will your bre You should and will be on

1286
00:52:01,680 --> 00:52:03,600
Speaker 2: every one of my teams. And he's a guy that

1287
00:52:03,640 --> 00:52:07,280
Speaker 2: you can put as your fourth or fifth outfielder if

1288
00:52:07,400 --> 00:52:09,239
Speaker 2: need be on so many teams that is going to

1289
00:52:09,280 --> 00:52:11,240
Speaker 2: provide a little bit of everything that you need outside

1290
00:52:11,239 --> 00:52:12,000
Speaker 2: of stolen bases.

1291
00:52:12,480 --> 00:52:14,520
Speaker 1: All right, there you have it, everybody. That's the ultimate

1292
00:52:14,520 --> 00:52:17,120
Speaker 1: outfield guide. Again, We've got the ultimate guides here on

1293
00:52:17,160 --> 00:52:19,799
Speaker 1: the channel. Go through the whole playlist, watch them all,

1294
00:52:19,840 --> 00:52:22,120
Speaker 1: get ready for all of your drafts this upcoming season,

1295
00:52:22,560 --> 00:52:25,520
Speaker 1: and of course, subscribe to the Fantasy pros MLB channel

1296
00:52:25,600 --> 00:52:29,960
Speaker 1: next week starting Pitchers, Ino, Sarahs, Nick Pollock, lots of

1297
00:52:29,960 --> 00:52:32,200
Speaker 1: big guests here joining us to talk to those pictures.

1298
00:52:32,480 --> 00:52:33,960
Speaker 1: We only bring the best here for all of you,

1299
00:52:34,040 --> 00:52:35,800
Speaker 1: because that's what we try to do here at Fantasy

1300
00:52:35,840 --> 00:52:38,640
Speaker 1: Pros MLB. Gentlemen, great job as always that'll do it

1301
00:52:38,640 --> 00:52:40,319
Speaker 1: for us, but the story of the game goes on

1302
00:52:40,360 --> 00:52:43,560
Speaker 1: for the Welsh. I'm Joey P and joe Elrico all

1303
00:52:43,600 --> 00:52:47,200
Speaker 1: of his Italian pronunciations, all the Joes. We'll see you

1304
00:52:47,200 --> 00:52:50,600
Speaker 1: next time. Kids, get ready for Fantasy baseball. Baby. Thanks

1305
00:52:50,600 --> 00:52:53,520
Speaker 1: for listening to the Fantasy Pros Fantasy Baseball podcast.

1306
00:52:53,800 --> 00:52:56,160
Speaker 3: If you love the show, the best freeway to support

1307
00:52:56,239 --> 00:52:56,319
Speaker 3: us

1308
00:52:56,360 --> 00:52:59,840
Speaker 1: Is by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify,

1309
00:53:00,120 --> 00:53:03,680
Speaker 1: follow us on x, Instagram, and TikTok at Fantasy Pros,

1310
00:53:03,800 --> 00:53:06,480
Speaker 1: and subscribe to our YouTube channel at YouTube dot com

1311
00:53:06,480 --> 00:53:08,080
Speaker 1: slash Fantasy Pros MLB