1 00:00:02,200 --> 00:00:05,640 Speaker 1: Global business news twenty four hours a day. If Bloomberg 2 00:00:05,680 --> 00:00:08,760 Speaker 1: dot Com the radio plus Mobile act and on your radio, 3 00:00:09,039 --> 00:00:13,000 Speaker 1: this is a Bloomberg Business fla on Bloomberg World Handquarters. 4 00:00:13,000 --> 00:00:17,119 Speaker 1: I'm Charlie Pellett. Stocks are rallying, consumer confidence jumping, banking 5 00:00:17,200 --> 00:00:21,000 Speaker 1: shares rebounding. The SMP five hundred index up thirteen now 6 00:00:21,280 --> 00:00:24,439 Speaker 1: TOFT nine, a gain of six tenths of one percent, 7 00:00:24,920 --> 00:00:27,520 Speaker 1: as stack up forty six points, a gain of nine 8 00:00:27,560 --> 00:00:30,040 Speaker 1: tenths of one percent. Down in US reels off on 9 00:00:30,840 --> 00:00:33,159 Speaker 1: eight points, a gain of seven tenths of one percent, 10 00:00:33,600 --> 00:00:37,040 Speaker 1: Gold down thirty to thirteen twenty six or drop of 11 00:00:37,080 --> 00:00:40,840 Speaker 1: one percent, and crude oil West Texas Intermediate down three 12 00:00:40,840 --> 00:00:43,600 Speaker 1: point two percent forty four forty seven for barrel of 13 00:00:43,680 --> 00:00:48,479 Speaker 1: dot I I'm Charlie Pallett, and that's a Bloomberg Business Flash. 14 00:00:48,800 --> 00:00:50,920 Speaker 1: Thank you very much, Charlie Pellett. It's time now for 15 00:00:50,960 --> 00:00:53,280 Speaker 1: the et F Report. It's brought you buy withim Smith 16 00:00:53,320 --> 00:00:57,279 Speaker 1: and Brown CPA's audit, tax and advisory service, helping you 17 00:00:57,480 --> 00:00:59,920 Speaker 1: end your business to be in a position of straight. 18 00:01:00,000 --> 00:01:03,880 Speaker 1: Ain't experienced the WITHYM way by visiting with him dot Com. 19 00:01:04,040 --> 00:01:06,280 Speaker 1: That's go to Catherine Calgary for the et F Report. 20 00:01:07,360 --> 00:01:10,440 Speaker 1: When it comes to income inequality, there's someone in the 21 00:01:10,440 --> 00:01:14,559 Speaker 1: financial world who has helped in a subtle way. He's 22 00:01:14,640 --> 00:01:17,800 Speaker 1: Jack Bogel, the founder of the multi trillion dollar investment 23 00:01:17,880 --> 00:01:22,520 Speaker 1: firm Vanguard Group. Bloomberg intelligence analyist Eric Beltunist estimates that 24 00:01:22,640 --> 00:01:26,080 Speaker 1: Damgard has directly saved investors at least five hundred billion 25 00:01:26,120 --> 00:01:29,679 Speaker 1: dollars by charging lower fees that would otherwise have gone 26 00:01:29,680 --> 00:01:33,560 Speaker 1: to Wall Street investment firms. On Bloomberg TV, Bogel put 27 00:01:33,600 --> 00:01:36,680 Speaker 1: that savings even higher. So if you put some kind 28 00:01:36,680 --> 00:01:40,000 Speaker 1: of a return on the money that we save investors 29 00:01:40,040 --> 00:01:42,759 Speaker 1: each year and look at it over twenty years or so, 30 00:01:43,600 --> 00:01:46,600 Speaker 1: you find out a huge, staggering number. Whether a trion 31 00:01:46,680 --> 00:01:48,680 Speaker 1: is the right number, a treeion and a half, I 32 00:01:48,920 --> 00:01:52,639 Speaker 1: wouldn't know. But it's big, very big, and it's good 33 00:01:52,640 --> 00:01:55,680 Speaker 1: for the investor. That's the important thing. Bogel has been 34 00:01:55,680 --> 00:02:00,800 Speaker 1: nominated for the Presidential Medal of Freedom Beltunist his impact 35 00:02:00,880 --> 00:02:04,400 Speaker 1: on the financial industry mind blowing. In addition to launching 36 00:02:04,400 --> 00:02:07,120 Speaker 1: the S and p FI founded index fund for retail investors, 37 00:02:07,400 --> 00:02:10,000 Speaker 1: Vocal Structured Vanguard in such a way that as the 38 00:02:10,080 --> 00:02:13,600 Speaker 1: company makes a profit, it goes to lower fees benefiting 39 00:02:13,680 --> 00:02:17,160 Speaker 1: it's fund investors. That's your Bloomberg et F report. I'm 40 00:02:17,240 --> 00:02:21,880 Speaker 1: Katherine Calderie. You're listening to Taking Stock with Pinn Fox 41 00:02:21,919 --> 00:02:27,280 Speaker 1: and Kathleen Hayes on Bloomberg Radio. What's hurting the markets? 42 00:02:27,320 --> 00:02:30,760 Speaker 1: Can consumers drive it fast enough to attempt the feed 43 00:02:30,880 --> 00:02:33,040 Speaker 1: into another interest rate increase? And is there a new 44 00:02:33,080 --> 00:02:36,280 Speaker 1: debt bubble? We've heard some FETE officials worry allowed about that. 45 00:02:36,320 --> 00:02:39,079 Speaker 1: And above all, what does this all mean for your investments? 46 00:02:39,080 --> 00:02:41,799 Speaker 1: Were very happy to welcome to the show now. Tom Stringfeld, 47 00:02:42,040 --> 00:02:46,320 Speaker 1: chief investment officer at Frost Investment Advisors with eleven point 48 00:02:46,400 --> 00:02:51,840 Speaker 1: one billion dollars of assets under management across all asset classes, 49 00:02:52,280 --> 00:02:55,400 Speaker 1: including the firm's five star rated fund f A t 50 00:02:56,000 --> 00:02:58,880 Speaker 1: r X, based in San Antonio in New York City today. 51 00:02:59,000 --> 00:03:01,519 Speaker 1: So Tom, thanks for stoff by. Appreciate it very much. 52 00:03:01,680 --> 00:03:03,800 Speaker 1: So tell us a little bit more about Frost Investment 53 00:03:03,840 --> 00:03:08,680 Speaker 1: Advisors UM and your your five star rated fund. We'll do. 54 00:03:09,040 --> 00:03:13,720 Speaker 1: Frost is a Texas BACE company, Our parent is Frost Bank. 55 00:03:14,560 --> 00:03:19,040 Speaker 1: Our investment advisor was fun out of the Wealth Advisor 56 00:03:19,120 --> 00:03:23,480 Speaker 1: Group back in two thousand and eight, and Uh, at 57 00:03:23,520 --> 00:03:27,760 Speaker 1: that point in time, we were at about four billion. 58 00:03:27,840 --> 00:03:32,560 Speaker 1: We've since grown to eleven billion. We've launched a number 59 00:03:32,600 --> 00:03:36,800 Speaker 1: of mutual funds, some institutionals, some retail class. Uh. You 60 00:03:36,840 --> 00:03:40,240 Speaker 1: mentioned one of the funds that's our fixed income total return. 61 00:03:40,560 --> 00:03:44,960 Speaker 1: We have both an institutional class and a investor class. 62 00:03:46,120 --> 00:03:49,920 Speaker 1: Toss a little bit about your investment strategy and the 63 00:03:49,920 --> 00:03:53,800 Speaker 1: themes that you see playing out absolutely the there's a 64 00:03:53,960 --> 00:03:57,920 Speaker 1: number of strategies. We run traditional equity, we run traditional 65 00:03:57,960 --> 00:04:02,160 Speaker 1: fixed income. The equity is a value and growth MidCap 66 00:04:02,520 --> 00:04:06,880 Speaker 1: bent on the fixed income. It's credit. It's a total return, 67 00:04:06,960 --> 00:04:10,360 Speaker 1: which is an intermediate and low duration. Those are are 68 00:04:10,480 --> 00:04:14,680 Speaker 1: primary funds. We also have ascid allocations strategies. So the 69 00:04:14,760 --> 00:04:17,559 Speaker 1: clients that we have worked with over the years tend 70 00:04:17,640 --> 00:04:22,640 Speaker 1: to run the we'll call the traditional institutional, traditional high 71 00:04:22,680 --> 00:04:27,680 Speaker 1: net worth clients. So you know, we're very cognizant of 72 00:04:27,839 --> 00:04:31,520 Speaker 1: the macro events driving the market. Um. You know, those 73 00:04:31,520 --> 00:04:36,279 Speaker 1: tend to be the the most impactful on traditional investing, 74 00:04:36,960 --> 00:04:39,360 Speaker 1: both on the fixed income side and the equity sign 75 00:04:39,480 --> 00:04:43,040 Speaker 1: so on the on the private wealth management side, how 76 00:04:43,080 --> 00:04:45,800 Speaker 1: has your business been affected by the big downturn and 77 00:04:46,040 --> 00:04:49,800 Speaker 1: energy in you know, Texas. I know Texas is more 78 00:04:49,800 --> 00:04:52,800 Speaker 1: diversified than it used to be. Nevertheless, still a pretty 79 00:04:52,800 --> 00:04:54,440 Speaker 1: big deal. And I would think there's a lot of 80 00:04:54,520 --> 00:04:56,960 Speaker 1: a lot of people who are wealthy in Texas or 81 00:04:57,040 --> 00:04:59,320 Speaker 1: are they Are they in a different position than they 82 00:04:59,360 --> 00:05:03,080 Speaker 1: weren't As it aff at your business, I would the answers, yes, 83 00:05:03,160 --> 00:05:06,280 Speaker 1: the the impaire As you mentioned, Texas is a lot 84 00:05:06,320 --> 00:05:09,919 Speaker 1: more diversified, and I can tell you the impact to 85 00:05:09,960 --> 00:05:14,960 Speaker 1: our our base customer on our investment side was relatively 86 00:05:15,040 --> 00:05:17,919 Speaker 1: unchanged this time around. You know, it speaks to the 87 00:05:17,960 --> 00:05:22,440 Speaker 1: diversification of the of this of the state, and i'd 88 00:05:22,480 --> 00:05:26,080 Speaker 1: say the diversification of our of our investment client base. 89 00:05:27,080 --> 00:05:32,200 Speaker 1: As you know, Surprisingly, as the old prices were tanking, 90 00:05:32,839 --> 00:05:35,040 Speaker 1: we talked a lot about what the impact would be 91 00:05:35,080 --> 00:05:38,520 Speaker 1: to the consumer ultimately, which was going to be a 92 00:05:38,560 --> 00:05:41,440 Speaker 1: little bit more money in their pocket, whether they used 93 00:05:41,440 --> 00:05:44,279 Speaker 1: it to pay off debt or they used it to 94 00:05:44,720 --> 00:05:49,080 Speaker 1: save you know, Eventually that started to resonate. I think 95 00:05:49,200 --> 00:05:53,320 Speaker 1: we eventually saw it actually taking place with our consumers 96 00:05:53,320 --> 00:05:58,719 Speaker 1: and and you know, consumer health started improving. So the 97 00:05:58,800 --> 00:06:03,080 Speaker 1: impact was definitely felt in certain parts of the state 98 00:06:03,440 --> 00:06:07,160 Speaker 1: prone to energy. You know, West Texas, South Texas are 99 00:06:07,200 --> 00:06:10,359 Speaker 1: great examples, but overall for most of the state, you know, 100 00:06:10,400 --> 00:06:15,080 Speaker 1: we saw unemployment head south, but you still saw a 101 00:06:15,160 --> 00:06:19,279 Speaker 1: fairly stable economy, a fairly stable economy. Is it too 102 00:06:19,279 --> 00:06:21,560 Speaker 1: early do you think for people to start buying and 103 00:06:21,640 --> 00:06:25,560 Speaker 1: inchy assets. I'll tell you I've heard a number of 104 00:06:26,839 --> 00:06:31,200 Speaker 1: industry we'll call them experts here recently talking about the 105 00:06:31,240 --> 00:06:37,640 Speaker 1: time is still now that all prices are attractive moving 106 00:06:37,640 --> 00:06:41,680 Speaker 1: into the fifty dollar barrel range. The problem with a 107 00:06:41,760 --> 00:06:43,920 Speaker 1: number of the experts is, I don't know anybody that's 108 00:06:43,920 --> 00:06:47,559 Speaker 1: actually gotten all prices right over any period of time. 109 00:06:47,640 --> 00:06:50,320 Speaker 1: When it's all fit and done, All prices are going 110 00:06:50,360 --> 00:06:53,039 Speaker 1: to depend on the emotions of the market. So tell 111 00:06:53,040 --> 00:06:55,919 Speaker 1: me about your bond strategy right now, because we have 112 00:06:56,040 --> 00:06:59,520 Speaker 1: one story on the Bloomberg today about this very very 113 00:06:59,640 --> 00:07:03,520 Speaker 1: narrow range that treasury bonds, sovereign bonds are locked into. 114 00:07:03,600 --> 00:07:05,720 Speaker 1: And of course there's the bank in Japan that wants 115 00:07:05,800 --> 00:07:08,080 Speaker 1: to steepen the yield curve. There's big of being that 116 00:07:08,120 --> 00:07:10,720 Speaker 1: started buying corporate bonds ECBs open that I got the 117 00:07:10,720 --> 00:07:14,560 Speaker 1: doorp into buying more bonds as well. You've got very 118 00:07:14,640 --> 00:07:16,920 Speaker 1: low yield, You've got a debate over how much yields 119 00:07:16,920 --> 00:07:18,480 Speaker 1: are going to It seems to me, what do you 120 00:07:18,520 --> 00:07:21,720 Speaker 1: do just to stick in the shortest term bonds possible 121 00:07:21,760 --> 00:07:24,000 Speaker 1: for a while? Now a lot of this gonna be 122 00:07:24,040 --> 00:07:26,360 Speaker 1: answered A lot better buy out of our fixed income. 123 00:07:26,400 --> 00:07:29,880 Speaker 1: I'll give you the the overview. The total return fund, 124 00:07:30,760 --> 00:07:32,960 Speaker 1: which I'll tell you a few years ago was around 125 00:07:33,000 --> 00:07:37,400 Speaker 1: two hundred million. Now it's pushing two billion actively managed. 126 00:07:37,440 --> 00:07:40,080 Speaker 1: And what that means is the team can move up 127 00:07:40,080 --> 00:07:44,720 Speaker 1: and down the duration spread by plus minus three to 128 00:07:44,880 --> 00:07:48,160 Speaker 1: the intermediate. So what that does allow them to do 129 00:07:48,320 --> 00:07:52,040 Speaker 1: is manage an intermediate like strategy with the duration of 130 00:07:52,040 --> 00:07:56,720 Speaker 1: around three what's minus today and in a fairly attractive yield. 131 00:07:56,760 --> 00:07:58,720 Speaker 1: I want to say it's it's somewhere in the three 132 00:07:58,720 --> 00:08:03,040 Speaker 1: and three quarters for sent range today. But it is 133 00:08:03,080 --> 00:08:06,080 Speaker 1: a group that it's not afraid of stepping into assetbacks 134 00:08:06,080 --> 00:08:09,360 Speaker 1: when it's time, treasuries when it's time. But what you 135 00:08:09,440 --> 00:08:14,160 Speaker 1: are seeing is a little more defensive strategy in anticipation 136 00:08:14,240 --> 00:08:18,800 Speaker 1: of that inevitable hike. You know it's inevitable. We've were 137 00:08:18,840 --> 00:08:22,760 Speaker 1: missing the timing at this point. We've recently spoken about 138 00:08:22,800 --> 00:08:26,160 Speaker 1: the new SMP industry group for the Real Estate Investment 139 00:08:26,160 --> 00:08:28,720 Speaker 1: Trust used to be part of financials. Comes about that 140 00:08:28,920 --> 00:08:32,880 Speaker 1: specific industry and whether you think that big investors are 141 00:08:32,920 --> 00:08:35,560 Speaker 1: going to have to own a piece of this and 142 00:08:35,600 --> 00:08:38,319 Speaker 1: that could help the stocks just because you've got to 143 00:08:38,360 --> 00:08:43,040 Speaker 1: own something. I don't disagree. Uh, Given it was a 144 00:08:43,080 --> 00:08:46,520 Speaker 1: major slice of the financials. Given it is a new sector, 145 00:08:46,880 --> 00:08:49,560 Speaker 1: I think by definition you're going to see the passive 146 00:08:50,040 --> 00:08:53,319 Speaker 1: moving into it. You're going to see large institutional managers 147 00:08:53,360 --> 00:08:57,360 Speaker 1: moving into it. It becomes a self fulfilling prophecy at 148 00:08:57,400 --> 00:09:00,400 Speaker 1: that point in time. So I'm actually kind of positive 149 00:09:00,400 --> 00:09:03,240 Speaker 1: and I find it interesting. You know, it's the real 150 00:09:03,360 --> 00:09:06,760 Speaker 1: estate sector has had a nice run. I don't think 151 00:09:06,800 --> 00:09:10,959 Speaker 1: for those reasons that run is over again. So in equities, 152 00:09:11,120 --> 00:09:13,880 Speaker 1: where do you see the most value? Where? Where your 153 00:09:13,920 --> 00:09:16,439 Speaker 1: where your team saying you're you're looking for some good 154 00:09:16,520 --> 00:09:19,680 Speaker 1: places to add to your positions. I can talk sectors, 155 00:09:19,960 --> 00:09:26,120 Speaker 1: um Uh. Assumptions are the recessions aren't around the corner 156 00:09:26,440 --> 00:09:30,199 Speaker 1: that you know, yields are going to interest rates are 157 00:09:30,200 --> 00:09:34,480 Speaker 1: going to stay fairly but nine hike or two over 158 00:09:34,520 --> 00:09:36,840 Speaker 1: the next six months, maybe two or three over the 159 00:09:36,880 --> 00:09:40,679 Speaker 1: next year, we do look at we are looking at 160 00:09:40,720 --> 00:09:45,800 Speaker 1: consumer discretionaries, We are looking at some of the technologies. Uh. 161 00:09:45,960 --> 00:09:51,920 Speaker 1: You know, the transportation stocks have have been interesting. Uh. 162 00:09:52,080 --> 00:09:55,040 Speaker 1: The energy stocks have not been an area that we've 163 00:09:55,120 --> 00:09:58,679 Speaker 1: jumped into, primarily because it's it's been a matter of 164 00:09:58,880 --> 00:10:02,000 Speaker 1: more of a want to wait and see to uh 165 00:10:02,120 --> 00:10:06,840 Speaker 1: see if fifty price is a is a solid number. 166 00:10:06,920 --> 00:10:11,839 Speaker 1: But when you start looking at what's attractive, it's still 167 00:10:12,000 --> 00:10:17,600 Speaker 1: the consumer lead sectors in this market. And if you 168 00:10:17,679 --> 00:10:22,760 Speaker 1: start looking at some of the politics, uh, healthcare becomes 169 00:10:22,920 --> 00:10:28,199 Speaker 1: uh either interesting or suspect. Defense becomes either interesting or suspect. 170 00:10:28,280 --> 00:10:31,440 Speaker 1: We just need to let some of the politics play out. 171 00:10:32,200 --> 00:10:34,319 Speaker 1: You mentioned politics, and this way I'll need get to 172 00:10:34,360 --> 00:10:37,680 Speaker 1: give you back ten seconds that what is the general 173 00:10:37,760 --> 00:10:41,480 Speaker 1: zeitgeists coming from Texas from San Antonio. Well, I would 174 00:10:41,520 --> 00:10:44,640 Speaker 1: say that it all the markets probably lead the way, 175 00:10:45,000 --> 00:10:50,280 Speaker 1: and uh, the market's reaction to the the debates last 176 00:10:50,400 --> 00:10:54,320 Speaker 1: night probably tells the story. All Right, I want to 177 00:10:54,320 --> 00:10:58,200 Speaker 1: thank you very much, absolutely appreciate the time. Tom string Fellow, 178 00:10:58,280 --> 00:11:02,360 Speaker 1: chief investment Officer for Investment Advisers, helping to manage more 179 00:11:02,400 --> 00:11:07,480 Speaker 1: than eleven billion dollars based in San Antonio, Texas. We're 180 00:11:07,520 --> 00:11:09,559 Speaker 1: gonna take you through to the close on Wall Street. 181 00:11:09,600 --> 00:11:11,959 Speaker 1: That's next. This is Bloomberg