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Speaker 1: Hey guys, how are you welcome into a Thursday morning

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Speaker 1: edition of the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is Matt Parolt.

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Speaker 1: You can follow me on Twitter at sports Talk met

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Speaker 1: We heard every single morning approaching our one year anniversary

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Speaker 1: here on Bettingpros dot Com, always being brought to you

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Speaker 1: by our title sponsor in BETMGM. All right, lots to

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Speaker 1: get to. You can probably see by my face I

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Speaker 1: am pretty well sunburned out in the Vegas heat playing golf.

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Speaker 2: Yesterday I played with Dave.

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Speaker 1: One of our owners for Fantasy Pros and Betting Pros,

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Speaker 1: to have a celibratory round of golf. And you guys

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Speaker 1: may or may not have seen this on my Twitter

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Speaker 1: account this morning or yesterday morning when I made the

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Speaker 1: announcement that we have agreed to another year deal to

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Speaker 1: extend the Daily Juice Podcast. To re sign, not resign,

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Speaker 1: because Grammar and me at seven o'clock in the morning

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Speaker 1: that does not mix. So I apologize for some people

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Speaker 1: that say, wait, what resign? That dash is very important.

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Speaker 1: So I have re upped another year for the Daily

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Speaker 1: Juice Podcast. We will hit our one year anniversary coming

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Speaker 1: up on July the seventh. We will pass two million

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Speaker 1: listens before we get to July the seventh, and it's

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Speaker 1: been incredible. We have over six thy six hundred users

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Speaker 1: on the Discord channel. We have made nearly fifteen thousand

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Speaker 1: bets over the course of a year, and we're pretty

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Speaker 1: much flat unit wise.

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Speaker 2: I think we're up.

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Speaker 1: I think after last night, I think we're up like

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Speaker 1: half a unit or something over the course of an

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Speaker 1: entire year, which is really incredible.

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Speaker 2: Got a bunch of future wagers still going.

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Speaker 1: Obviously, we'll see how those pan out as we close

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Speaker 1: up and wrap up the first full year of the

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Speaker 1: Daily Juice podcast. But let me just say real quick

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Speaker 1: here that I would not be here if it wasn't

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Speaker 1: for you guys. And when I tell you that my

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Speaker 1: radio career, in my broadcasting career, I have talked into

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Speaker 1: the wide audience of not knowing who's listening for a

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Speaker 1: long time. And radio is somewhat of a medium. In particular,

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Speaker 1: national radio can be a medium where you don't get

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Speaker 1: a ton of feedback from people. Local radio you get

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Speaker 1: a lot of feedback, phone calls and whatnot. But national radio,

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Speaker 1: which is what I've been doing now for about seven years,

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Speaker 1: it's different and I love the community we have built,

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Speaker 1: and you guys are the reason why this podcast will

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Speaker 1: exist for another year. You guys are the reason why

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Speaker 1: I get fired up every night to record this and

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Speaker 1: I owe a lot.

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Speaker 2: Of this to you guys.

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Speaker 1: The success of The Daily Juice is the people. It's

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Speaker 1: you guys, It's the Discord Channel, it's the Twitter interaction,

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Speaker 1: it's everything we're doing every day. And I owe you

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Speaker 1: a lot and I want to say thank you for that,

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Speaker 1: and I hope that you will continue to be along

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Speaker 1: for the ride. I hope you will continue to recommend

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Speaker 1: The Daily Juice to whoever likes sports gambling content and

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Speaker 1: sports gambling podcasts, and I hope you'll welcome them into

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Speaker 1: the Discord Channel. And we've created this whole little ecosphere

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Speaker 1: and community with our own standards and what we accept

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Speaker 1: and don't accept, and it's just a lot of fun.

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Speaker 1: And it was nothing a year ago. It was nothing,

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Speaker 1: and it feels like it's been longer than that. But

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Speaker 1: we've got guys with handles, and people recognize who's good

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Speaker 1: at this sport, who's good at that sport, and you know,

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Speaker 1: watching games and sweating games and talking about it every

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Speaker 1: morning every day, and the live discord stage conversation is

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Speaker 1: just another iteration where we can talk to meet people

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Speaker 1: who are part of this community and find out what

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Speaker 1: they like and they don't like, and talk about picks

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Speaker 1: and plays and just doing what we're doing every single day.

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Speaker 1: So the one year anniversary and combined with the announcement

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Speaker 1: that we were going to continue this at least for

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Speaker 1: one more year and played golf today and had great

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Speaker 1: conversations about what we're doing in the future. And I

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Speaker 1: think everybody from Dan Harris on down with betting pros,

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Speaker 1: we believe in this product.

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Speaker 2: We believe in what we're doing.

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Speaker 1: We believe in our mission to help to have a

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Speaker 1: lot of fun and talk to gamblers and welcome new

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Speaker 1: players in every single week who are in states who

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Speaker 1: maybe never have gambled before and bring them in and

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Speaker 1: you know, show them that the water is warm and

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Speaker 1: we're we're welcoming and we want to have it be

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Speaker 1: part of their daily routine. And you know, I think

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Speaker 1: we have accomplished that. You know, we've we're baby stepping this.

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Speaker 1: You know, we haven't started to truly crawl yet. We're

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Speaker 1: still kind of you know, teetering on our feet. If

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Speaker 1: you will, trying to, you know, turn into a little

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Speaker 1: kid and start to walk and then run and then

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Speaker 1: really start to.

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Speaker 2: Do some cool things. So thank you, and well, I'm.

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Speaker 1: Super excited for the future, really really fired up and

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Speaker 1: pumped up for the future. Okay, let's talk about last

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Speaker 1: night the Discord bet man. It falls to five and

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Speaker 1: seven because of Javeil McGee. Javeil McGee blame him missing

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Speaker 1: free throws acting like he's Michael Jo, jacking shots like crazy.

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Speaker 1: We fell one point short of a push. We felt

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Speaker 1: one basket short of a cover. Two twenty two was

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Speaker 1: the number. It ended at two twenty one.

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Speaker 2: Yuck.

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Speaker 1: I would have loved that because I would have gone

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Speaker 1: two and two overall three and three. I had the

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Speaker 1: red sox on the money line that missed, but we did.

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Speaker 1: I did bet the Dodgers and the Pirates, yes for

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Speaker 1: a run in the first inning, and both teams.

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Speaker 2: Scored, so that was nice. We got that right. I

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Speaker 2: got that right.

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Speaker 1: So it was one in one personal two and or

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Speaker 1: one and two overall. And then unfortunately, like the Discord

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Speaker 1: bet goes one and three, so it was a losing day.

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Speaker 1: Losing day for the podcast. One and two officially is

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Speaker 1: what we go because of the Bruins. My Boston Bruins

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Speaker 1: did not show up. Two Harasks did not show up.

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Speaker 1: New York Islanders tip of a cap. They outplayed the Bruins.

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Speaker 1: They were the better team. They deserved it more. Boston

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Speaker 1: just did not execute. And they played really poorly in

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Speaker 1: really big moments. And Tuke Rask played poorly in really

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Speaker 1: big moment. And so was it to two? Was the

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Speaker 1: final eight? Goals got lit up in a five and

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Speaker 1: a half underplay. But some of you listen because once

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Speaker 1: that some books dropped it to five and you fired

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Speaker 1: on the over. I'm telling you five, you see five,

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Speaker 1: fire on the over, just do it. It's been it's working.

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Speaker 1: I haven't really been keeping track, but it's hitting way

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Speaker 1: more often than not. Okay, And if in these playoffs,

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Speaker 1: if the books dropped to five and you have access

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Speaker 1: to that book, fire on it and bet the over five.

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Speaker 2: It's hit again last night. So that was wrong.

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Speaker 1: And then we got the Padres run line.

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Speaker 2: They lost three to one to the Cubs. Yuck.

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Speaker 1: I thought they'd score a ton of runs day game.

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Speaker 1: Jake arieta pitch really well, that's stunk. So I misread

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Speaker 1: that Areata you know, going back like five years ago

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Speaker 1: looked pretty good.

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Speaker 2: So we got that wrong.

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Speaker 1: So overall a one and two personal day, a zero

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Speaker 1: to one on the Discord bet. We don't count those

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Speaker 1: for my official record, but the Discord bet does go

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Speaker 1: to five and seven now officially for the podcast.

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Speaker 2: So before I.

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Speaker 1: Give you the picks in the place coming up, we

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Speaker 1: got three of them going for you guys. Here coming

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Speaker 1: let's talk about the Vegas game tonight. So there is

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Speaker 1: some game theory I'm going at this with. Okay, so

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Speaker 1: if Vegas wins, we cash a one sixty five bet.

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Speaker 1: We can't hedge off that until game seven because of

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Speaker 1: that reason. Because we can't hedge off it until game seven,

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Speaker 1: I'm betting Vegas today to win and close the series out. Okay,

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Speaker 1: So it's a half a unit at plus one sixty five.

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Speaker 1: I'm going to bet a half a unit at minus one.

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Speaker 2: Thirty three for Vegas.

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Speaker 1: I do think they win this game, but if they don't,

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Speaker 1: they go back to Colorado for Game seven, which we

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Speaker 1: will then bet on Colorado to win back the initial

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Speaker 1: wager with Vegas, if that makes any sense. So we

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Speaker 1: can't hedge I can't hedge off that until we get

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Speaker 1: to game seven. So we might as well just bet

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Speaker 1: Vegas here today and see if we can double dip. Okay,

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Speaker 1: you might say, well, why don't use bet Colorado? Matt Well,

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Speaker 1: I think Vegas wins, so I think there's a chance

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Speaker 1: to jump in here. You're getting the team that has

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Speaker 1: played much better over the last four games. They've won

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Speaker 1: three games in a row. I totally get it. Winning

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Speaker 1: four games in a row against Colorado's gonna be really hard.

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Speaker 1: But they don't look like the same team. The Avalanche

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Speaker 1: look like they're searching and they don't really know what's

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Speaker 1: going to happen. And everyone's like, oh, they're fine, they're

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Speaker 1: going home.

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Speaker 2: Eh. I don't know.

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Speaker 1: Vegas with Marc Andre Flurry. I think this could be

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Speaker 1: a high scoring game. It could be a low scoring game.

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Speaker 1: I don't really know. I just know the energy in

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Speaker 1: the building is going to be insane. Full house. Vegas

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Speaker 1: is two and oho at home with a sold out crowd.

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Speaker 1: I'm expecting them to go to three and oh with

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Speaker 1: the sold out crowd. This is why we bet them

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Speaker 1: to win the Cup at plus five point fifty because

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Speaker 1: of the whole atmosphere at Team Obile Arena, and I

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Speaker 1: expect Vegas to be flying flying.

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Speaker 2: Do I think we could see some penalties? Maybe?

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Speaker 1: Do the folks in at the NHL do they want

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Speaker 1: a Game seven? Probably? But if Mark Andre Flury plays

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Speaker 1: the way he's capable of and Vegas wins this series,

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Speaker 1: you'd go back to Game one and Pete de Boor

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Speaker 1: giving Mark Andre.

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Speaker 2: Flury four days off before.

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Speaker 1: He played in Game two, what a move if this

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Speaker 1: game winds up being a victory for Vegas. So again,

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Speaker 1: we're betting Vegas tonight on the money line at minus

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Speaker 1: one thirty three, and if Vegas loses, we'll come back

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Speaker 1: and bet Colorado in game number seven to make sure

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Speaker 1: that we're going to hedge off of the wager that

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Speaker 1: we got going on for the plus one sixty five

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Speaker 1: bet on Vegas to win the series. So that's how

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Speaker 1: I'm going to play this. That's how I'm approaching this.

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Speaker 1: It's not really a breakdown as much as it's a well,

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Speaker 1: let's just double dip and if we're wrong, we can

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Speaker 1: come back and make up that money. Coming up on

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Speaker 1: the other side with Vegas if they do end up

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Speaker 1: losing and we have that bet for them to win

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Speaker 1: the series with a Game seven. So technically we already

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Speaker 1: have a Game seven money line bet waiting there for

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Speaker 1: us at plus one sixty five, which is pretty good odds,

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Speaker 1: probably better odds that we will get for Vegas and

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Speaker 1: Colorado with the DOW want up playing Game seven coming

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Speaker 1: up on Saturday after noon. Interesting start time there after

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Speaker 1: noon game uh for thirty? I think West Coast time

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Speaker 1: five thirty. I think Mountain time for that game on

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Speaker 1: Saturday if we do play game seven, But I don't

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Speaker 1: think we're getting there Vegas Min's one thirty three.

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Speaker 2: Okay.

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Speaker 1: We have not bet this officially yet. Cold Brewster on

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Speaker 1: the Discord channel has been on this for a long time.

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Speaker 1: I've bet this the last two days. I wanted to

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Speaker 1: see what it was like. I wanted to test it out. Pirates, Yes,

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Speaker 1: run in the first inning. It is forty and twenty

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Speaker 1: on the year. It's pretty good. The Pirates are either

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Speaker 1: scoring or they are giving up runs. Forty out of

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Speaker 1: sixty games. That's not a small sample size. Okay, that's

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Speaker 1: a preally good sample size. If you want to go

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Speaker 1: and say, oh, well, you know, it's kind of fluky.

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Speaker 1: It's not really a solid is a solid trend?

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Speaker 2: All right?

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Speaker 1: This is a really good solid trend. And this is

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Speaker 1: the end of a four game series. This is a

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Speaker 1: early start time. That is the only worry here. Okay,

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Speaker 1: it is a nine to thirty five Pacific time start.

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Speaker 1: It is a twelve thirty five Eastern time start, so

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Speaker 1: in Pittsburgh, early start time for the LA Dodgers. Little

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Speaker 1: concern there. However, Mitch Keller is horrible three and six

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Speaker 1: with a six point sixty five ERA. He's also nine

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Speaker 1: to two in first inning runs. Okay, eleven starts, he's

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Speaker 1: given up a run in the first inning nine times.

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Speaker 1: It's pretty good. This is a good spot. The only

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Speaker 1: fear is the start time. But maybe the picture will

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Speaker 1: be asleep as well. Okay, get a solo home run,

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Speaker 1: get something, get a run scored in the first inning.

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Speaker 1: Juli Arias is a really good picture for the Dodgers.

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Speaker 1: So it's probably gonna have to be the Dodger lineup

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Speaker 1: scoring against Mitch Keller, which hopefully that happens. We're gonna

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Speaker 1: go a half a unit here, all right.

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Speaker 2: This is this is tough.

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Speaker 1: This is a little bit of a quick one, okay,

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Speaker 1: but I'm going to bet a half a unit on

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Speaker 1: first inning, yes for a run minus one ten bet

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Speaker 1: MGM's got this at minus one ten, Yes, run in

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Speaker 1: the first inning for the Pirates and the Dodgers forty

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Speaker 1: and twenty. We might ride this for a little bit

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Speaker 1: just to see how it goes. Pittsburgh goes on the

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Speaker 1: road to Milwaukee tomorrow. If this misses, I may come

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Speaker 1: back and bet it again and have it be an

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Speaker 1: official play for a couple of days. I don't think

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Speaker 1: this can be a one off. I don't think because

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Speaker 1: it's such a quick bet. I don't think you can

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Speaker 1: just be like, oh, forget it, you bet at once.

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Speaker 1: If it doesn't hit, we're off of it. I think

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Speaker 1: we may have to be on it for a little

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Speaker 1: bit just to get a proper sample size here. Maybe

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Speaker 1: we'll play it throughout the weekend. Remember back during the bubble,

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Speaker 1: when did I do this? Or it was like I

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Speaker 1: was betting money line NHL in money Line NBA, and

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Speaker 1: we just bet it for like three or four days

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Speaker 1: in a row, just straight.

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Speaker 2: It wasn't official plays, but we just wouldn't. We just

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Speaker 2: bet it.

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Speaker 1: I've now bet this for two straight days. I'll make

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Speaker 1: this official at least for today, maybe for tomorrow as well,

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Speaker 1: just to see how far we can ride this and

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Speaker 1: how long and if the books start to pay attention

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Speaker 1: to this. Forty and twenty is not a small sample side, Okay,

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Speaker 1: it's a really big samples in sixty games. It's you

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Speaker 1: can feel pretty good about this. So I think cold

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Speaker 1: Brewster has found himself a pretty cool stat that I

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Speaker 1: don't think a lot of people are on. I haven't

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Speaker 1: seen many people in the sports gambling media talk about this,

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Speaker 1: and normally a stat like this, like in the bubble

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Speaker 1: it was the under in first period goals got very

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Speaker 1: popular and then third period goals got very popular. So

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Speaker 1: you know, once it gets to forty and twenty, that's

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Speaker 1: pretty impressive. That's a pretty good number of times casing.

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Speaker 1: So we're going, yes, run in the first inning. Mine's

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Speaker 1: one ten for the Pirates and the Dodgers, and one

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Speaker 1: more bet to come back with and it's the nets

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Speaker 1: in the bucks. I am going to go against all

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Speaker 1: the trends here with this. The over for Milwaukee this

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Speaker 1: year forty three thirty four in one at home Milwaukee

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Speaker 1: twenty three and fifteen to the over the Brooklyn Nets

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Speaker 1: forty three and thirty six to the over. Okay, forty

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Speaker 1: three and thirty six to the over. Two of the

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Speaker 1: last two and three in the last five, five and

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Speaker 1: five over the last ten, four and six for Milwaukee

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Speaker 1: over the last ten on the road the Brooklyn Nets

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Speaker 1: twenty two and sixteen. So we got a twenty three

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Speaker 1: and fifteen Milwaukee team in home, twenty two and sixteen

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Speaker 1: team to the over for the Brooklyn Nets. The total

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Speaker 1: is two to thirty four. It's coming down. Opened up

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Speaker 1: a two thirty five and a half already dropped down

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Speaker 1: much like last night. Right last night, the under hit

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Speaker 1: because the first move from two to twenty two, twenty

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Speaker 1: two and a half for the Suns and the Nuggets.

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Speaker 1: It ended up coming in at two twenty one. Like

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Speaker 1: we talked about the start of the podcast, two twenty one,

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Speaker 1: I am betting the over here.

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Speaker 2: I think the.

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Speaker 1: Only way Milwaukee can be in this series is to

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Speaker 1: get into a shootout. The two games that happened on

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Speaker 1: May second and fourth on the road at Milwaukee two

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Speaker 1: forty two and two forty three, it went under by

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Speaker 1: eleven and under by one. If we get a one

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Speaker 1: twenty four one eighteen game, we're golden okay for having

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Speaker 1: a two thirty four total. That's the type of game

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Speaker 1: I'm expecting here, up tempo. I'm expecting the role players

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Speaker 1: to shoot a lot better. From Milwaukee. I expect we're

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Speaker 1: gonna see up tempo all over the place. First game

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Speaker 1: total was two thirty nine and a half. It went

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Speaker 1: under by seventeen points, seventeen and a half points. Game

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Speaker 1: two was two thirty eight and a half. It went

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Speaker 1: under by two twenty seven and a half points. So

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Speaker 1: I am bucking the trend here a little bit. The

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Speaker 1: last three games for the Brooklyn Nets, last game against Boston,

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Speaker 1: first two against Milwaukee, all at home, have all gone under. However,

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Speaker 1: the road games against Boston over the last two over

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Speaker 1: by sixteen and a half, over by thirty eight points,

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Speaker 1: with totals of two twenty seven and a half and

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Speaker 1: two twenty nine. I think Kyrie, Irving, Kevin Durant are

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Speaker 1: gonna have to score a lot because I think Giannis

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Speaker 1: comes out on fire. Home crowd behind him. Everyone plays

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Speaker 1: better at home. They just score more, they play better,

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Speaker 1: they shoot better. I expect Milwaukee to score at least

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Speaker 1: one hundred and fifteen points coming up tonight, and that

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Speaker 1: means Brooklyn's gonna get after it as well. I can

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Speaker 1: see like a one to twenty five, one twenty type

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Speaker 1: of win for the Milwaukee Bucks. It comes in at

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Speaker 1: two forty, we clear the two thirty four. I'm going

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Speaker 1: to better half of the unit here on Brooklyn and Milwaukee.

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Speaker 1: Over to thirty four here tonight against all of the numbers,

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Speaker 1: but probably with the public. Even though the pros have

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Speaker 1: come in here and to give us a little bit

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Speaker 1: of a better number, they bet under two thirty five

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Speaker 1: and a half. We're going over to thirty four here

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Speaker 1: for Brooklyn and Milwaukee. All right, So those are our

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Speaker 1: three plays. I will have player props. There are two

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Speaker 1: NBA games coming up, Clippers in Utah, Brooklyn and Milwaukee.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna watch this, okay, because Game two I don't know.

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Speaker 1: I'll probably have an in game bet on the Clippers

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Speaker 1: in Utah, but I don't The Clippers played pretty poorly

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Speaker 1: in the second half. Utah played horribly in the first half.

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Speaker 1: I don't have a great feel for this series at

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Speaker 1: the moment. I want to watch a game just to

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Speaker 1: kind of see I would lean Utah, and I think

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Speaker 1: if it gets to a point where, you know, if

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Speaker 1: the line continues to come down, if it's two or one,

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Speaker 1: I probably will jump on Utah if we're getting a pick.

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Speaker 1: But I want to do an in game wager here.

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Speaker 1: I want to watch the game a little bit. But

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Speaker 1: player props can be available because we have two games

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Speaker 1: Brooklyn at Milwaukee and the Clippers at Utah. So two games,

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Speaker 1: so enough players to pick from from a prop bet perspective.

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Speaker 2: So I will have two player props.

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Speaker 1: Going coming up tonight here in the NBA for you

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Speaker 1: guys on the Discord channel. All that information it's underneath

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Speaker 1: me on YouTube, or you guys can go to Betting

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Speaker 1: Pros dot com slast chats Betting Pros dot com slast

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Speaker 1: chats to get into it. Okay, so the recap are

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Speaker 1: going Vegas money line mine's one thirty three, Yes to

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Speaker 1: a run of the first inning Pirates Dodgers at mine's

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Speaker 1: one ten and over for the Nets in the Bucks

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Speaker 1: at two thirty four at minus one ten for our

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Speaker 1: three plays, all half of units coming up for a

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Speaker 1: Thursday's Daily Juice podcast, minus my parole to follow me

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Speaker 1: on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt.

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Speaker 2: Each and every morning is the Daily Juice

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Speaker 1: Podcast right here on bettingpros dot com, brought to you

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Speaker 1: by betem jam