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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Action Network podcast, the number one show

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Speaker 1: for the invested sports fan.

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Speaker 2: All Right, here we go, throwing show.

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Speaker 3: I'm saying it's a catch touch. We'll see most gamblers

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Speaker 3: when they go to gamble, they go to win.

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Speaker 4: God, that's incredible.

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Speaker 5: Big banks, small banks.

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Speaker 3: I like to make money.

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Speaker 4: All right, this is the ultimate kaba and we are underway.

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Speaker 2: Hello, everyone, Welcome back to the NFL Week eleven Fantasy

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Speaker 2: Flex on the Action Network podcast. I'm Matthew Friedman, the

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Speaker 2: editor in chief of Fantasy Labs with me as Sean

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Speaker 2: Corner and Chris Raybonshawn is our director of predictive Analytics

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Speaker 2: and one of the top end season fantasy football rankers

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Speaker 2: for the past half decade. And Chris is a senior

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Speaker 2: editor and analystic the Action Network and a co host

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Speaker 2: of the Action Network show on Sirius XM Fantasy Radio.

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Speaker 2: And joining us is one of my dearest frenemies, Matt Kelly,

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Speaker 2: aka the Podfather aka Fantasy Mansion. He's the proprietor of

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Speaker 2: Player Profiler, the host of the row Underworld radio podcast,

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Speaker 2: one of the original Chris Godwin Truthers, and apparently a

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Speaker 2: longtime stalker of Osmakers D ms Matt Week ten? How

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Speaker 2: was it for you?

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Speaker 6: Oh?

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Speaker 4: Excellent, man, excellent, all the Christian Kirk, Christian Kirk dance party.

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Speaker 2: Baby. Who imagine having a guest who doesn't bring props

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Speaker 2: to the show? All right, Sean, Chris, how was week

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Speaker 2: ten for you? Guys?

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Speaker 5: Well?

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Speaker 7: I'll go first because I have Hooper on like all

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Speaker 7: my teams, so it's pretty devastating having him go down.

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Speaker 7: You know, gonna have to stream tight ends for the

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Speaker 7: time being, which sucks. And also one other thing I've

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Speaker 7: been sweating was my Chris Godwin hundred to one that

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Speaker 7: earlier in the season to lead the league. It was

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Speaker 7: looking pretty promising, but it looks like Michael Thomas is

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Speaker 7: running away with it now, so that tickets almost trash

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Speaker 7: at this point. But I still have Nick Chubb and

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Speaker 7: Jamis Winston a pretty good odds too. But I was

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Speaker 7: really hoping that Chris Godwin one hundred one bet would

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Speaker 7: would hit this year, but it's not looking good.

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Speaker 6: I wanted to know why the Action Network hasn't sent

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Speaker 6: me any props to use on the podcast.

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Speaker 3: I'm feeling kind of Joe.

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Speaker 6: Like I'm filling out, kind of Joe is like pod Father.

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Speaker 6: You don't you know start you don't slide in my

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Speaker 6: DMS like I feel left out.

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Speaker 4: Rayvaughon, I love you, buddy, I love I lispro Look

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Speaker 4: at this prop. This is a paper towel roll.

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Speaker 5: I love you right Vaughn, You're coming on the show

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Speaker 5: soon too.

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Speaker 8: I'll DM you all week, I.

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Speaker 3: Promise, Thank you. I feel better now.

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Speaker 2: All right, So for this episode, we're going to break

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Speaker 2: down the players at the top of our rankings available

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Speaker 2: by the way at actionnetwork dot com slash Fantasy. We

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Speaker 2: were discussing the guys who are high and low on.

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Speaker 2: We're speculating on some props, and at the end of

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Speaker 2: the show we're answering some Twitter fantasy questions, which I

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Speaker 2: know Podfather absolutely loves to do.

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Speaker 4: Oh those Twitter people, they're so smart and they're so again.

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Speaker 4: They they're so insightful. The questions they asked that they

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Speaker 4: really stimulate.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, like should I start this guy or this guy instead.

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Speaker 4: Of yeah, stimulating of the intellect. Thank you Twitter.

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Speaker 2: All right, let's get to uh, let's get to the rankings. Quarterbacks.

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Speaker 2: The guys at the top of our rankings, I'm pretty chocky,

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Speaker 2: Lamar Jackson, Dak Prescott, Deshaun Watson, Matt Kelly. Is there

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Speaker 2: anyone that you would include in the top three other

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Speaker 2: than those guys?

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Speaker 4: What would Josh Allen? Can Josh Allen get there? It's

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Speaker 4: a pretty weak week, right, Why not Josh Allen?

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Speaker 2: Is this a Josh Allen week? I don't know, Sean,

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Speaker 2: do you have any thoughts on that?

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Speaker 5: Yeah? Against the Dolphins, it's tricky.

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Speaker 7: I mean, he bailed himself out last week with two

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Speaker 7: more rushing touchdowns at you know, he's he's the ultimate

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Speaker 7: high ceiling play this week. But if they get up

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Speaker 7: early on the Dolphins, I mean we could have a Floorgam.

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Speaker 7: He's my QB six. But so Matt's right this this

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Speaker 7: is a pretty weak week at QB. So, I mean,

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Speaker 7: I don't hate Josh Allen just yet. You have to

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Speaker 7: expect the wide range gout comes from the suit.

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Speaker 4: He has more upside than Drew Brees, though Drew Brees

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Speaker 4: looks at active. Oh going to Tampa oh wow? Right,

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Speaker 4: But when it's not a home game for Drew Brees,

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Speaker 4: the splits are damning and you gotta like the idea

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Speaker 4: that finally Josh Allen goes to a warm weather and

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Speaker 4: if you have Josh Allen with great conditions against one

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Speaker 4: of the worst secondaries in the league, and you have

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Speaker 4: John Brown on the outside, you could he could go

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Speaker 4: for two hundred and fifty yards three touchdowns through the

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Speaker 4: air at a rushing touchdown. He's at the top of

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Speaker 4: the Millie Maker. That's how it happens. It's Miami. It's

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Speaker 4: very easy to just close your eyes and imagine that

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Speaker 4: stat line from Josh Allen.

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Speaker 2: Right, yeah, I mean they're starting like three undrafted third

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Speaker 2: stringers as their cornerbacks. It's a pretty exploitable situation.

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Speaker 4: It's like who he was facing when he was at Wyoming,

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Speaker 4: right right, this is like a mountain wax secondary in Miami.

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Speaker 4: Let's go, Josh.

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Speaker 2: I mean, I'm not even like.

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Speaker 4: Josh Allen, but this is the week, right, come on, you're.

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Speaker 2: Relatively high on Josh Allen. Is there anyone else you

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Speaker 2: are relatively high on this week?

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Speaker 4: I think that Dak Prescott might be a trap. Dak

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Speaker 4: Prescott looks like a guy like, oh yeah, I gotta

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Speaker 4: play Dak Prescott this week. Love Dak Scott. I want

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Speaker 4: to play him in tournaments. But if you play Dak

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Speaker 4: Prescott in tournaments, you're necessarily also believing in Jeff Driscoll.

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Speaker 4: The Jeff Driscoll could make it a game, right. I

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Speaker 4: don't know if Dak Prescott is going to be forced

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Speaker 4: to throw enough to get there for GPPs, because when

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Speaker 4: you open up the slate, boom, it just jumps right

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Speaker 4: out at you. In tournaments, Oh all that we got

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Speaker 4: Prescott and we got a Marta Cooper, whoa, it feels

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Speaker 4: like a trap.

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Speaker 2: Chris, I believe you have Dak in the top three.

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Speaker 2: Can you make the pro Dak case?

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Speaker 6: Dak is just for me, like in every week heb

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Speaker 6: like top five QB at this point, not quite you

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Speaker 6: know there with a guy like Lamar or Patrick Mahomes.

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Speaker 6: But Dak has tended to put up numbers regardless of

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Speaker 6: the matchup. And they just have a lot of talent

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Speaker 6: there in Dallas. I mean, Amari Cooper, Michael Gallup, you know,

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Speaker 6: still got Zeke. They don't even have to throw to

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Speaker 6: him half the time because you know, Cooper and Gallup

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Speaker 6: is galla anting down the field. So Dak, like even

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Speaker 6: last week it didn't feel great having him. I think

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Speaker 6: it was like fifth or six against Minnesota, but you know,

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Speaker 6: kind of stuck with it.

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Speaker 3: And you know Lo and Behold, I.

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Speaker 6: Think that's just he's a guy that it's going to

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Speaker 6: be efficient if the volume's not there. And if the

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Speaker 6: volume's there, you can have one of those Green Bay

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Speaker 6: games where you might throw a couple of picks, but

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Speaker 6: he goes for like four or five hundred yards.

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Speaker 2: Who else are you relatively high on this week?

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Speaker 6: You know, we talked about traps and Drew Brees was

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Speaker 6: kind of a trap last week against the Falcons. But

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Speaker 6: I like Kyle Allen, like, you know, going back to

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Speaker 6: the well here. I think you see these defenses and

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Speaker 6: maybe they have one good game and you get scared away,

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Speaker 6: but you know, I would go right back to it

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Speaker 6: against the defense that's just been bottom five and everything.

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Speaker 6: And I think Jimmy Garoppolo too, you know, going against

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Speaker 6: the Cardinals. You put up big numbers last time, you know,

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Speaker 6: in the same spot, and we're starting to see that

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Speaker 6: they're not. It's kind of like Minnesota where everyone's like, oh,

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Speaker 6: they're only going to run and no, like if there

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Speaker 6: are certain situations where they'll throw. And now that we

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Speaker 6: have seen kind of upside from Jimmy, I believe it

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Speaker 6: was forty six pass attempts against the Seahawks. Granted the

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Speaker 6: game to go to overtime, but you know, I think

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Speaker 6: that makes me a lot more comfortable with kind of

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Speaker 6: kind of using him.

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Speaker 3: Of course, you know the health of his you know

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Speaker 3: all of his receivers.

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Speaker 2: Permitting Sean Kyle Allen make the case for him or

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Speaker 2: is there anyone else you want to talk about?

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Speaker 7: No, I think just you know, Rayvaughn piggybacking just proves

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Speaker 7: that he's a good play this week, especially on DK's

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Speaker 7: fifty three hundred. I consider him more of a high

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Speaker 7: floor play this week. He doesn't really give the rushing

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Speaker 7: upside to be QB one overall, but I have him

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Speaker 7: as a low en QB one this week. The Panthers

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Speaker 7: have the third highest team total, so they have the

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Speaker 7: same team total as the Chiefs and Saints, so I

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Speaker 7: think he's a good shot to throw from multiple touchdowns.

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Speaker 7: You know, we saw the Falcons defense come alive last week,

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Speaker 7: but they'll probably aggress a bit this weekend. You know

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Speaker 7: Kyle Allen, you know he has a ton of stacking partners.

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Speaker 7: I love Dj Moore and Samuel and Olsen are great

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Speaker 7: stacking partners along with McCaffrey, so he gives you a

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Speaker 7: lot of options at fifty three hundred this week to

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Speaker 7: spend up at other positions as well.

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Speaker 4: And the great thing with playing a quarterback that may

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Speaker 4: not be as talented as the other quarterbacks available on

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Speaker 4: the slate, look at the supporting cast. Dj Moore is

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Speaker 4: one of the best YAK wide receivers in the league.

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Speaker 4: Christian McCaffrey is obviously one of the best yack running

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Speaker 4: backs in the league. Is necessarily true, right, And Curtis

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Speaker 4: Samuel is one of the best field stretchers, so he

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Speaker 4: doesn't have to do it on his own. He doesn't

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Speaker 4: have to thread the needle every time. He could just

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Speaker 4: dump it off to Christian McCaffrey and let him go.

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Speaker 4: He can just hit Dj Moore in a quick slant

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Speaker 4: and then boom, it goes for fifty yards in a

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Speaker 4: touchdown on a play to play basis. Those are the

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Speaker 4: mechanics behind that being such a strong play. What about

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Speaker 4: Jeff Driscoll though, because I said, hey, listen, I don't

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Speaker 4: think Jeff Driscoll has it in him to create a

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Speaker 4: shootout environment in Detroit, even though it's a home game

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Speaker 4: to get DAK Prescott to be over the top to

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Speaker 4: be the best quarterback this week. But he's so inexpensive,

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Speaker 4: and he's less expensive than Kyle Allen on DK is

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Speaker 4: only four point six k and he actually has rushing

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Speaker 4: up Did you know that Jeff Driscoll is faster than

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Speaker 4: Cam Newton. Jeff Driscoll runs a four five six. There

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Speaker 4: is real rushing upside with Jeff Driscoll. I kind of

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Speaker 4: like it because he also has a supporting cast like

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Speaker 4: Kyle Allen that can make plays on their own. You

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Speaker 4: can just throw it up to Kenny Gallada, you can

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Speaker 4: go get it. So there is if you, for example, right,

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Speaker 4: let's say you're let's say you're trying to play three

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Speaker 4: top running backs this week. Let's say you want to

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Speaker 4: play Zeke, you want to play McCaffrey, you want to

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Speaker 4: play Dalvin Cook. You have to pay down everywhere and

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Speaker 4: that includes potentially playing Driscoll. Or is that too fringy?

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Speaker 3: Now? Love Driscoll. He was one of the guys that

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Speaker 3: was popping in my mottol.

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Speaker 6: I was actually surprised, like I think we still have

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Speaker 6: Stafford as like a placeholder, but Driscoll is up to

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Speaker 6: like I think twelve or thirteen at quarterback in my

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Speaker 6: moudol No, granted it's a bad week, but for those

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Speaker 6: exact reasons you mentioned, man, I mean, you know, the

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Speaker 6: rushing outside that's only really need a little bit of

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Speaker 6: rushing upside.

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Speaker 3: You put decer receivers. Yeah, you can't make it's twenty nineteen.

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Speaker 3: You can complete six percent of your passes even if

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Speaker 3: you're a bad quarterback.

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Speaker 4: You know they're gonna have to score points. But Dallas

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Speaker 4: is gonna make them score. They're gonna have to switch

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Speaker 4: in the comeback mode. They're gonna be the hurry up

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Speaker 4: offense with Jeff Driscoll pulling it down and running and

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Speaker 4: or throwing it up to Kenny gall and I play

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Speaker 4: that out man, No love it.

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Speaker 6: And they have no running game. Like even now Ty

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Speaker 6: Johnson's in the protocol. I mean, it's it's just getting

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Speaker 6: worse and worse that backfield.

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Speaker 4: But the thing is, it's counterintuitive that I actually prefer

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Speaker 4: to use him in cash for those reasons than in

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Speaker 4: tournaments where you just you really need the top quarterback

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Speaker 4: that week to get there.

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Speaker 6: I feel like sometimes we overthink it though, like Driscoll

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Speaker 6: could be that top quarterback just because think about You know, Dak.

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Speaker 3: We know he has that upside. We're debating whether he

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Speaker 3: will reach it.

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Speaker 6: But if Dak hits his upside, Let's say he gets

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Speaker 6: thirty d K points and Driscoll has to like play

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Speaker 6: in a shootout and gets twenty eight or twenty nine.

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Speaker 4: Oh yeah, yeah, today, you're right. I actually I didn't

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Speaker 4: let my mind go there, but you just went there.

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Speaker 4: So thank you?

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Speaker 2: All right, Manchin, So you are interested at least in

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Speaker 2: Jeff chery school. This week? You are down on Drew Brees,

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Speaker 2: anyone else you're relatively down on.

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Speaker 4: You know, Cowboys scouts wanted to draft Driscoll over Dak Prescott.

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Speaker 4: The great irony of this game is that Cowboys were

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Speaker 4: gonna select Jef Driskell. They had his name written down,

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Speaker 4: and Jerry Jones fielded a call for Michael Irvin, and

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Speaker 4: in real time Michael Irvin convinced Jerry Jones it had

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Speaker 4: to be Dak Prescott and he switched the card at

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Speaker 4: the last minute.

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Speaker 2: Is there a quarterback you're relatively down on this week?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, Dak Prescott for all the reasons I said earlier.

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Speaker 4: Drew Brees, Right, Drew Brees on the road. I think

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Speaker 4: that's another trap game for Drew Brees. Drew Brees also

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Speaker 4: is forty. I know that this is a very available information.

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Speaker 4: This is not an advanced metric, but he is forty

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Speaker 4: and he has not looked great. So maybe just don't

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Speaker 4: play him on the road. Maybe they may just make

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Speaker 4: that rule, make that hard and fast rule in your model,

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Speaker 4: you don't play Drew Brees on the road, even when

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Speaker 4: it looks enticing. He also doesn't have the mobility. So

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Speaker 4: if you're not gonna have the mobility and you have

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Speaker 4: these home road splits working against you and it feels trappy,

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Speaker 4: you just you don't have to play that guy, all.

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Speaker 2: Right, Sean, who are you relatively low on this week?

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Speaker 7: I'm gonna go with Jimmy g It's a great match

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Speaker 7: up on paper. He threw for over three hundred yards

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Speaker 7: and four touchdowns against these Cardinals just you know, a

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Speaker 7: couple of games ago. But you know, depending on Emanuel

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Speaker 7: Sanders and George Kittle's health, this could be a game

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Speaker 7: they just go run heavy, lean on their defense to

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Speaker 7: win it. So you know, at sixty seven hundred, I

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Speaker 7: just don't think he has the ceiling to warrant that

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Speaker 7: price when Josh Allen dak Sean Watson are the same

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Speaker 7: exact price.

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Speaker 4: Josh Allen over Jimmy Garoppolo, Right, Sean.

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Speaker 7: Yeah, for sure, Alan has a better ceiling for combo.

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Speaker 7: He's actually one hundred dollars cheaper. So yeah, this is

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Speaker 7: the matchup where I don't think Jimmy G is gonna

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Speaker 7: go off. We might see Tevin Coleman finally have a

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Speaker 7: big game. He's been due. So I think they'll just

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Speaker 7: this will be a more run heavy game and lean

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Speaker 7: on the defense than Jimmy G.

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Speaker 5: Going off, especially if Sanders and Kittle are out again.

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Speaker 7: I think that they'll just run at a ton got

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Speaker 7: For me, it's.

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Speaker 6: Like guys like in rankings, just Gared Goff, Carson Wentz,

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Speaker 6: guys that you might think, are you know, kind of

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Speaker 6: QB one streambul guys, Uh, you know, golfing a tough

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Speaker 6: matchup against the Bears defense, not as tough as it

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Speaker 6: used to be. That don't really like, especially with all

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Speaker 6: the old line injuries and then Wentz. You know, it

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Speaker 6: just seems like every week after week it's a tough

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Speaker 6: matchup for him. Just now going up to face the Patriots,

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Speaker 6: he is not Lamar Jackson, so I do not think

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Speaker 6: you want to start him. But in just in on

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Speaker 6: draft Kings, yeah, I think Jimmy g probably sticks out

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Speaker 6: as the guy that's the most overpriced.

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Speaker 3: Maybe Tom Brady a.

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Speaker 6: Little bit too, uh you know. He just I don't

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Speaker 6: think he has that same type of upside that that

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Speaker 6: we necessarily see. It's kind of not not not the

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Speaker 6: Drew Brees level of he's just like deteriorating or anything

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Speaker 6: like that. But you know, this is the kind of

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Speaker 6: offense they're they're thinking dunk, you know, no Josh Gordon

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Speaker 6: and all that. So not really I'm excited for even

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Speaker 6: against the Eagles defense, I think they could get some

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Speaker 6: pressure and kind of mess with with with what the

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Speaker 6: Patriots wanted to do.

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Speaker 4: Secondary is playing better too. They have Jalen Mills back,

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Speaker 4: they have Ronald Darby back, and they have a front

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Speaker 4: seven that gets pressure. So you're getting pressure and you

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Speaker 4: have an improved secondary. So the Philadelphia Eagles pass defense

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Speaker 4: isn't as bad as it was five weeks ago when

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Speaker 4: they were down to Avonte Maddox. It's just you have

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Speaker 4: to look at these defenses in context. Where are they

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Speaker 4: at right now with their unit? They haven't been as

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Speaker 4: healthy as they are right now all season coming out

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Speaker 4: of the buy totally agree.

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Speaker 6: I think I think that's a defense that they've always

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Speaker 6: been good at getting pressure, and you look at them

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Speaker 6: as like, oh, they gave these big numbers in a

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Speaker 6: pass game, but you want to target them more with

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Speaker 6: wide receivers and just hope that like a wide like

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Speaker 6: a you know, a guy like Doorset or somebody like

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Speaker 6: that can hit, rather than just saying, oh, they're a

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Speaker 6: bad pass defense because they could just get like eight

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Speaker 6: sacks and yeah, I just completely ruined somebody's day.

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Speaker 4: Now, it's going to be a s New week, That's

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Speaker 4: what it's going to be. And it's going to be

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Speaker 4: a big turd of a SiNW week whatever.

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Speaker 2: Man. Speaking of SNeW one thing that is almost unfathomable.

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Speaker 2: Unfathomable is that the Eagles are willingly still starting Avonte

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Speaker 2: Maddox in the slot. For some reason, they are they're

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Speaker 2: opting to do that. So, I mean, even though they're healthy,

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Speaker 2: they are still not as good as they should be,

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Speaker 2: and they're you know, exploitable in some areas, but they

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Speaker 2: will probably be better than they've shown to this point

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Speaker 2: in the season. Sean give us some of the props.

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Speaker 2: By the way, I should mention that everyone should check

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Speaker 2: out the prop school at Fantasy Labs. For the past

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Speaker 2: year year and a half. Since twenty eighteen, the props

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Speaker 2: that we've greaded with a bat quality of ten have

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Speaker 2: a sixty percent win rate. So pretty good number, right there, Sean,

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Speaker 2: What quarterback number do you want to give us?

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Speaker 7: So the pod Feather has been tipping his hand a

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Speaker 7: little bit of this one, but I'm going with Drew

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Speaker 7: Brees passing yards at the Bay. I think I think

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Speaker 7: he's made some great points. You know, this is a

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Speaker 7: smash spot, but we know Breeze, you know, tons of

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Speaker 7: struggle on the road. So right now I have his

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Speaker 7: his overrunner at two eighty six and a half.

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Speaker 4: Oh god, I'm going over.

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Speaker 3: I think it's the contrarian pig.

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Speaker 6: But I think everyone's going to be It's like the classic,

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Speaker 6: Oh we're down on breeze.

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Speaker 3: He's going to Tampa Bay. People don't. People don't try

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Speaker 3: to run on Tampa Bay.

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Speaker 6: First of all, like they're if you look at the

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Speaker 6: amount of carries they're allowing to the running back position.

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Speaker 6: And granted, now, like defensive matchupdate, you have to be

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Speaker 6: very careful with it. But this has been like a

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Speaker 6: repeating trend of just teams aren't trying to run against them.

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Speaker 6: They're top run defense.

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Speaker 4: Uh.

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Speaker 6: You know, Drew Brees could dump it off to Alvin

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Speaker 6: Kamara fifteen times, Michael Thomas fifteen times.

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Speaker 3: They could go for six yards to catch and Boomy hits.

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Speaker 3: He is his prop. So I'm going over terrible paths.

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Speaker 6: That's it.

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Speaker 4: I love how you said that's contrarian, even though to

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Speaker 4: the public what you said was chalk. But because you're

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Speaker 4: on this show with the characters, you had to go contrarian. Contrarian. Yeah,

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Speaker 4: I mean any old contrarian.

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Speaker 3: Any over to me is control is like contrarian and yeah,

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Speaker 3: and like it.

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Speaker 4: Was chock contrarian. In the context of the show, you have.

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Speaker 6: To just bang like unders are just the default, like

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Speaker 6: and every bet so every yeah, it's like in my

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Speaker 6: own head and over is contrarian.

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Speaker 2: That's right.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, And you're in your head it's the under.

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Speaker 8: Take the under I'm going.

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Speaker 2: Over actually, And I know like Breeze is a flow

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Speaker 2: chart quarterback that when he's not at home, you don't

390
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Speaker 2: start him. But Sampa Bay is so bad they just

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Speaker 2: cut Vernon Hargraves, which is like a good thing, but

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Speaker 2: it's also a sign of like where they are as

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Speaker 2: a franchise that they're basically still cutting their number one

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Speaker 2: corner back and that might be a good thing for them,

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Speaker 2: like their their secondary is.

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Speaker 4: Oh, it is a good thing. The other corners they

397
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Speaker 4: have in the secondary athletic so it puts better players

398
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Speaker 4: in a position to cover primary wide receivers. I like

399
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Speaker 4: the move for them. I think it helps their pass

400
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Speaker 4: defense getting rid of Vernon Hargreaves.

401
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Speaker 2: Yeah, they're starting rookies now. It's like this is not

402
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Speaker 2: a good situation in general. Like Breeze, he can get

403
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Speaker 2: over two hundred and eighty eight starts. I haven't projected for

404
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Speaker 2: two hundred and ninety. I'll take the over. I think

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Speaker 2: the line's close, but I'll take the over there. All right,

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Speaker 2: let's go to running backs. The guys at the top

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Speaker 2: of our rankings McCaffrey, Dalvin Cook, Ezekiel, Elliott Podfather. What

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Speaker 2: do you think of those guys anyone else that you

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Speaker 2: would include in the top three.

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Speaker 4: I think you could build a case for moving Josh

411
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Speaker 4: Jacobs into the top three and moving out Ezekiel Elliott,

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Speaker 4: and I think in cash games, you're gonna make a choice.

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Speaker 4: I have two of these three running backs unless you

414
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Speaker 4: want to play Driscoll and Ryan Griffin right, go down

415
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Speaker 4: the board. There there's a path right to play all

416
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Speaker 4: to jam in all three. But if you're making a

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Speaker 4: decision in cash, who are you knocking out? I'm knocking

418
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Speaker 4: out Elliott because he's not involved in the passing game.

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Speaker 4: He's just not In the offseason, the Dallas Cowboys tip

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Speaker 4: their hand, right. You have Michael Gallup developing into a

421
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Speaker 4: true weapon on the outside. They add Randall Cobb, who

422
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Speaker 4: operates close to the line of scrimmage. They had a

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Speaker 4: Jason Witten close to the line of scrimmage. They added

424
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Speaker 4: Tony Pollard right, So the law of the conservation of

425
00:19:01,359 --> 00:19:04,000
Speaker 4: targets tells you all those close to line of scrimmage

426
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Speaker 4: targets that were going to Ezekiel Elliott are now being

427
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Speaker 4: distributed around all these new weapons. So now he's getting

428
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Speaker 4: one to two targets a game the last couple of weeks,

429
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Speaker 4: and now they're in a position where they're gonna be

430
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Speaker 4: facing Jeff Driscoll right nine k on DK for running back.

431
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Speaker 4: They no longer catch his passes. How is that possible?

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Speaker 4: I think Derreck Henry would ever be nine k on DraftKings.

433
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Speaker 4: That's a brand equity salary pegging by DraftKings. Get out

434
00:19:33,880 --> 00:19:36,680
Speaker 4: of here, Get out of here with a player who's

435
00:19:36,720 --> 00:19:38,520
Speaker 4: now a workhorse. I give it as a workers He's

436
00:19:38,520 --> 00:19:40,240
Speaker 4: just not a bell cow. He's just not a bell cow.

437
00:19:40,400 --> 00:19:42,520
Speaker 4: And in that game it might be low scoring, and

438
00:19:42,560 --> 00:19:46,920
Speaker 4: you're banking on Ezekiel Elliott going over one hundred yards

439
00:19:46,960 --> 00:19:48,720
Speaker 4: and two touchdowns, that's the path.

440
00:19:49,160 --> 00:19:49,400
Speaker 2: I mean.

441
00:19:49,560 --> 00:19:51,600
Speaker 4: Even then, even if he goes over one hundred yards

442
00:19:51,800 --> 00:19:54,480
Speaker 4: and two touchdowns, he still may not get to three

443
00:19:54,720 --> 00:19:57,600
Speaker 4: X on DraftKings. Think about that. Let that sink in

444
00:19:57,880 --> 00:20:02,480
Speaker 4: without the passing game upside.

445
00:20:00,440 --> 00:20:03,360
Speaker 3: Who somebody's gotta to score.

446
00:20:03,160 --> 00:20:05,760
Speaker 6: Fantasy points in this game though, one of the rejected

447
00:20:05,840 --> 00:20:07,040
Speaker 6: highest scoring games of the week.

448
00:20:07,160 --> 00:20:09,840
Speaker 4: Somebody's got to score. Cranday, someone's gonna score. It's gonna

449
00:20:09,840 --> 00:20:12,600
Speaker 4: be draft This is gonna be Jeff driscoll. And Okay,

450
00:20:12,600 --> 00:20:14,320
Speaker 4: they get in the red zone. Great, right over the

451
00:20:14,320 --> 00:20:16,800
Speaker 4: red zone. Oh, Dak Prescott five yard touchdown?

452
00:20:17,080 --> 00:20:19,520
Speaker 2: All right, So you are relatively down on Zeeke, You're

453
00:20:19,560 --> 00:20:21,880
Speaker 2: high on Josh Jacobs I'm there with you on Jacobs

454
00:20:22,080 --> 00:20:25,280
Speaker 2: double digit home favorite going against the Bank that's top

455
00:20:25,320 --> 00:20:27,920
Speaker 2: four and running back scoring a great spot for him.

456
00:20:27,960 --> 00:20:30,639
Speaker 2: Totally love it. Sean, who are you relatively high on

457
00:20:30,640 --> 00:20:31,040
Speaker 2: this week?

458
00:20:31,440 --> 00:20:35,080
Speaker 7: Pretty high on both running backs in the Bills Dolphins game.

459
00:20:35,760 --> 00:20:37,919
Speaker 7: You know Caln Belage, say what you want. I know

460
00:20:37,960 --> 00:20:40,840
Speaker 7: he's he's pretty bad, but at forty three hundred, I'll

461
00:20:40,840 --> 00:20:43,280
Speaker 7: take him this week. You know, he had the full

462
00:20:43,640 --> 00:20:46,719
Speaker 7: workhorse role last week. You know we thought Gaskin and

463
00:20:47,119 --> 00:20:49,960
Speaker 7: layered with mix in, but you know, Blage played eighty

464
00:20:50,000 --> 00:20:53,359
Speaker 7: two percent of snaps. He saw four targets. Granted he

465
00:20:53,480 --> 00:20:56,680
Speaker 7: converted that into four catches for two yards, but at

466
00:20:56,680 --> 00:20:58,679
Speaker 7: forty three hundred, we're not asking for much. And you

467
00:20:58,680 --> 00:21:00,840
Speaker 7: know he's gonna get the goal line carry if they

468
00:21:00,880 --> 00:21:03,000
Speaker 7: arise in this game for them. And then you know

469
00:21:03,040 --> 00:21:06,240
Speaker 7: Devin Singletary again, he had sixty seven percent of the snaps.

470
00:21:06,400 --> 00:21:09,600
Speaker 7: We didn't really see, you know, the touch count you'd

471
00:21:09,640 --> 00:21:10,240
Speaker 7: expect from that.

472
00:21:10,920 --> 00:21:11,639
Speaker 5: It could have had.

473
00:21:11,480 --> 00:21:13,600
Speaker 7: To do with the game flow. You know, the Bills

474
00:21:13,600 --> 00:21:16,760
Speaker 7: were down pretty early playing catch up. So in this

475
00:21:16,800 --> 00:21:19,600
Speaker 7: matchup against the Dolphins, I think we're going to see

476
00:21:19,600 --> 00:21:22,280
Speaker 7: you know, fifteen to twenty touches for him, and again

477
00:21:22,320 --> 00:21:24,480
Speaker 7: they gave Frank or another goal line carry and he

478
00:21:24,520 --> 00:21:27,720
Speaker 7: got stuffed. So you know, I think they're going to

479
00:21:27,800 --> 00:21:30,879
Speaker 7: start to give Singletary the goal line carries. So I

480
00:21:31,000 --> 00:21:33,560
Speaker 7: just view Singletary as like a low key workhorse back

481
00:21:33,800 --> 00:21:37,000
Speaker 7: at six K against the Dolphins. He's gonna be one

482
00:21:37,000 --> 00:21:39,320
Speaker 7: of my high zone running backs on this slate. So

483
00:21:39,600 --> 00:21:42,240
Speaker 7: I love both. I wouldn't say I love the Lodge,

484
00:21:42,280 --> 00:21:44,359
Speaker 7: but I like him at his price relative to his

485
00:21:44,400 --> 00:21:45,200
Speaker 7: projection this week.

486
00:21:45,280 --> 00:21:47,560
Speaker 4: You can never love Blage, right, you can't love them,

487
00:21:47,720 --> 00:21:50,160
Speaker 4: you can never love No one's ever gonna love Ballage.

488
00:21:50,240 --> 00:21:51,640
Speaker 4: You can love Singletary this week.

489
00:21:51,640 --> 00:21:53,640
Speaker 3: Oh my god, yeah, exactly, exactly, my god.

490
00:21:53,920 --> 00:21:56,480
Speaker 4: I love that Frank Gore only got five carries last week.

491
00:21:56,800 --> 00:21:59,880
Speaker 4: That was the most important number, and that once again

492
00:22:00,040 --> 00:22:02,640
Speaker 4: Devin Singletary doubled his yards for carring.

493
00:22:03,320 --> 00:22:04,479
Speaker 8: He does it every week.

494
00:22:05,000 --> 00:22:07,560
Speaker 4: Eventually, the Bills coaches have to put on the tape

495
00:22:07,560 --> 00:22:09,720
Speaker 4: from the previous week, right and be like, okay, Frank,

496
00:22:09,800 --> 00:22:11,719
Speaker 4: why don't you just take a seat, buddy, maybe not

497
00:22:11,760 --> 00:22:12,160
Speaker 4: get up.

498
00:22:12,320 --> 00:22:15,119
Speaker 7: If they're smart Singletary, we'll, you know, see twenty touches

499
00:22:15,160 --> 00:22:18,600
Speaker 7: this week, so I agree, and this matchup is perfect

500
00:22:18,640 --> 00:22:18,960
Speaker 7: for him.

501
00:22:19,400 --> 00:22:20,600
Speaker 2: Ray Bound, Who do you like this week?

502
00:22:20,920 --> 00:22:21,359
Speaker 3: A couple of.

503
00:22:21,359 --> 00:22:25,040
Speaker 6: Guys going against bad run defenses. You got Brian Hill

504
00:22:25,400 --> 00:22:28,320
Speaker 6: for the Falcons. Looks like he's going to be starting

505
00:22:28,359 --> 00:22:32,880
Speaker 6: for Devonte Freeman Panthers, the number thirty two ranked run defense.

506
00:22:32,600 --> 00:22:34,159
Speaker 3: And I thought, I always think it's interesting, like we

507
00:22:34,160 --> 00:22:34,760
Speaker 3: talked about this a.

508
00:22:34,720 --> 00:22:37,040
Speaker 6: Little bit with Bolige last week, but looking at the

509
00:22:37,119 --> 00:22:39,480
Speaker 6: guys who may back up a guy who's kind of

510
00:22:39,480 --> 00:22:41,800
Speaker 6: thrust into the role, because there was a lot of

511
00:22:41,840 --> 00:22:44,400
Speaker 6: value there in terms of touches for guys like Edmunds

512
00:22:44,440 --> 00:22:46,280
Speaker 6: and Blige, even they didn't really hit.

513
00:22:46,640 --> 00:22:47,680
Speaker 3: And then so for.

514
00:22:47,640 --> 00:22:50,480
Speaker 6: The Falcons, like Kenjon Barner is the other running back

515
00:22:50,520 --> 00:22:52,239
Speaker 6: and he played special teams, but they only gave him

516
00:22:52,280 --> 00:22:55,680
Speaker 6: one carry. That's his high for the year. He's only

517
00:22:55,680 --> 00:22:58,880
Speaker 6: got two carries on a year. And Quinn said Quadria

518
00:22:58,960 --> 00:23:02,359
Speaker 6: Allison might be involved, which kind of tens He's been

519
00:23:02,359 --> 00:23:04,480
Speaker 6: a scratch all year. So it's kind of another situation,

520
00:23:04,680 --> 00:23:06,879
Speaker 6: kind of like the Gaskin thing where I think you

521
00:23:07,320 --> 00:23:11,239
Speaker 6: kind of slot Hill in for twenty touch upside and

522
00:23:11,280 --> 00:23:14,600
Speaker 6: he got twenty carries last week went when Freeman went down,

523
00:23:14,640 --> 00:23:17,840
Speaker 6: So I like him, you know, cheap option on DK

524
00:23:18,119 --> 00:23:21,159
Speaker 6: and then on the high end Leonard Fournette. He's a

525
00:23:21,200 --> 00:23:22,800
Speaker 6: guy I think you could also make a case for

526
00:23:23,280 --> 00:23:26,680
Speaker 6: over Ezekiel Elliott. Leonard Fournette has for the most part

527
00:23:26,720 --> 00:23:29,399
Speaker 6: been involved in the passing game all season.

528
00:23:29,440 --> 00:23:32,560
Speaker 3: His low and snap count is seventy eight percent.

529
00:23:33,040 --> 00:23:36,480
Speaker 6: And this Colts defense is number twenty seven and run

530
00:23:36,560 --> 00:23:40,000
Speaker 6: DVA number six in past DVOA, So it sets up

531
00:23:40,040 --> 00:23:42,399
Speaker 6: in one of those situations where they keep handed it

532
00:23:42,480 --> 00:23:43,080
Speaker 6: to four Nette.

533
00:23:43,200 --> 00:23:46,000
Speaker 4: Are you guys worried about the Carolina Panthers defense not

534
00:23:46,119 --> 00:23:48,000
Speaker 4: being as bad as they look. They've given up all

535
00:23:48,000 --> 00:23:52,080
Speaker 4: these touchdowns to opposing running backs, but not as much

536
00:23:52,119 --> 00:23:55,080
Speaker 4: on they're not as bad against running backs, and we

537
00:23:55,200 --> 00:23:58,920
Speaker 4: just when you'll get pure yardage and efficiency getting correct

538
00:23:59,040 --> 00:24:01,480
Speaker 4: like we see the the same old Falcons where the

539
00:24:01,560 --> 00:24:03,200
Speaker 4: run game has been one of the worst in the league,

540
00:24:03,560 --> 00:24:07,680
Speaker 4: lowest efficiency run blocking in the NFC. It's very possible

541
00:24:07,720 --> 00:24:10,800
Speaker 4: that Brian Hill doesn't get there just because he's shut down.

542
00:24:11,040 --> 00:24:13,919
Speaker 4: He shut out early, they have to pivot over to

543
00:24:13,960 --> 00:24:17,000
Speaker 4: pass mode and he's forgotten about in the second half

544
00:24:17,359 --> 00:24:20,560
Speaker 4: that's that's the risk with Brian Hill on the road

545
00:24:20,600 --> 00:24:21,280
Speaker 4: at Carolina.

546
00:24:21,359 --> 00:24:23,359
Speaker 6: I don't know about that though, because I think, you know,

547
00:24:23,400 --> 00:24:27,080
Speaker 6: with running backs, efficiency is so close together between you know,

548
00:24:27,119 --> 00:24:28,560
Speaker 6: the top guys in the bottom guys that you have

549
00:24:28,600 --> 00:24:30,560
Speaker 6: to go with opportunity. He was a guy that even

550
00:24:30,560 --> 00:24:32,359
Speaker 6: in the like we saw the preseason, he can play

551
00:24:32,359 --> 00:24:35,040
Speaker 6: on it on passdowns as well. I think the only

552
00:24:35,080 --> 00:24:37,280
Speaker 6: reason Barney even got any run was because, I mean,

553
00:24:37,359 --> 00:24:40,720
Speaker 6: Hill did have twenty carries and they had to put

554
00:24:40,760 --> 00:24:42,439
Speaker 6: some other back in the game at some point. But

555
00:24:43,040 --> 00:24:44,760
Speaker 6: I do think I think you just have to go

556
00:24:44,800 --> 00:24:47,200
Speaker 6: with the opportunity here, and you have a situation where

557
00:24:47,200 --> 00:24:50,640
Speaker 6: a guy who could essentially get all of the touches

558
00:24:50,720 --> 00:24:52,879
Speaker 6: for you know, a really cheap price.

559
00:24:53,000 --> 00:24:55,720
Speaker 4: In the context of the slate, I'm just struggling to

560
00:24:55,800 --> 00:24:59,439
Speaker 4: find places where I would be motivated to plug in

561
00:24:59,480 --> 00:25:02,680
Speaker 4: Brian Hill in DFS. So it's very much the difference

562
00:25:02,680 --> 00:25:07,480
Speaker 4: between the DFS play versus seasonal leagues, where he's definitely

563
00:25:07,480 --> 00:25:08,479
Speaker 4: someone you're gonna flex.

564
00:25:08,880 --> 00:25:10,800
Speaker 6: I would just flex like I would feel more comfortable

565
00:25:10,800 --> 00:25:13,000
Speaker 6: flexing him than Blage, to be honest, I mean.

566
00:25:13,200 --> 00:25:15,880
Speaker 4: Seoul, would you rather flex Hill or Bolage.

567
00:25:16,119 --> 00:25:18,920
Speaker 7: Yeah, absolutely, And I'm not that concerned about Barner or

568
00:25:18,960 --> 00:25:20,800
Speaker 7: even Olison. I think they'll just be a change of

569
00:25:20,840 --> 00:25:24,159
Speaker 7: pace back. Well, Ollison look like shit in the preseason.

570
00:25:24,480 --> 00:25:25,800
Speaker 4: I think he's terrible.

571
00:25:26,040 --> 00:25:27,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, I reading these guys are scratches.

572
00:25:28,000 --> 00:25:30,159
Speaker 6: Look at Gaskin like he didn't get a cat did

573
00:25:30,240 --> 00:25:31,960
Speaker 6: he even get a cag like one carry or something

574
00:25:31,960 --> 00:25:33,000
Speaker 6: like two touches last week?

575
00:25:33,160 --> 00:25:35,280
Speaker 3: Like this is there's major upset here.

576
00:25:35,359 --> 00:25:37,800
Speaker 7: If they get down early, I could see them turning

577
00:25:37,840 --> 00:25:40,359
Speaker 7: to Barner as being sort of the you know, the

578
00:25:40,400 --> 00:25:42,480
Speaker 7: pass catching back. That'd be my only concern. But I

579
00:25:42,520 --> 00:25:44,800
Speaker 7: do think he's going to be the workhorse back here,

580
00:25:44,800 --> 00:25:48,200
Speaker 7: and you know the price at forty one hundred, I

581
00:25:48,240 --> 00:25:50,640
Speaker 7: don't think you're taking that much a risk with him.

582
00:25:50,680 --> 00:25:53,399
Speaker 7: He probably will be chalky, so that's the only reason

583
00:25:53,480 --> 00:25:54,639
Speaker 7: to maybe fad him in terments.

584
00:25:54,680 --> 00:25:57,280
Speaker 5: But I do like Hill a lot this week.

585
00:25:57,480 --> 00:26:00,320
Speaker 2: Or Kelly, you're relatively low on Zeke anyone else you

586
00:26:00,359 --> 00:26:01,520
Speaker 2: are kind of low on this week.

587
00:26:02,280 --> 00:26:05,080
Speaker 4: That's a good question. I don't know. I mean, maybe

588
00:26:05,200 --> 00:26:08,240
Speaker 4: Marlon Mack. I mean I like the home game, but

589
00:26:08,800 --> 00:26:13,240
Speaker 4: quarterback matters man and Brian Hoyer is not Jacoby Brissett.

590
00:26:13,280 --> 00:26:15,760
Speaker 4: I think we're now starting to have this additional appreciation

591
00:26:15,880 --> 00:26:20,359
Speaker 4: for Jacoby Brissett. It was really bad timing, right. This

592
00:26:20,960 --> 00:26:24,000
Speaker 4: reminded me of the Teddy Bridgewater knee injury where the

593
00:26:24,040 --> 00:26:26,679
Speaker 4: guys took a free agent he's going to make millions

594
00:26:26,720 --> 00:26:29,720
Speaker 4: of dollars, become the starter next season. Then he hears me,

595
00:26:30,359 --> 00:26:33,120
Speaker 4: and that happened to Jacoby Brissette as well. So kind

596
00:26:33,119 --> 00:26:36,439
Speaker 4: of a devastating timing for that knee injury, and devastating

597
00:26:36,440 --> 00:26:38,680
Speaker 4: timing for the Colts who had actually figured out a

598
00:26:38,720 --> 00:26:41,359
Speaker 4: way to win with their backup quarterback in the NFL,

599
00:26:41,440 --> 00:26:44,240
Speaker 4: which is hard to do. But Marlon Mack is really,

600
00:26:44,280 --> 00:26:46,440
Speaker 4: I think the guy that suffers more than the receivers.

601
00:26:46,680 --> 00:26:48,800
Speaker 4: If you can't matriculate the ball down the field, if

602
00:26:48,840 --> 00:26:51,680
Speaker 4: you can't sustain drives, Marlon Mack needs those red zone

603
00:26:51,720 --> 00:26:55,480
Speaker 4: touches to score fantasy points. And it's an underdiscussed aspect

604
00:26:55,520 --> 00:26:58,320
Speaker 4: of running back production. Who the quarterback is and can

605
00:26:58,359 --> 00:27:02,280
Speaker 4: they sustain drives. The answer is not really, and especially

606
00:27:02,280 --> 00:27:04,520
Speaker 4: not against Jacksonville, even even at home. You want to

607
00:27:04,520 --> 00:27:06,800
Speaker 4: play Molin Mack at home, I get it, but to me,

608
00:27:06,880 --> 00:27:08,440
Speaker 4: it's an easy fade Sean.

609
00:27:08,200 --> 00:27:09,320
Speaker 2: Who you relatively lo on.

610
00:27:10,080 --> 00:27:12,040
Speaker 7: So you know, Royce Freeman is a guy that I

611
00:27:12,040 --> 00:27:15,440
Speaker 7: think people usually overlook, so he might be surprising as

612
00:27:15,640 --> 00:27:17,439
Speaker 7: he's on my low on. But he's a guy I've

613
00:27:17,480 --> 00:27:19,960
Speaker 7: been sort of propping up the past couple of weeks.

614
00:27:20,040 --> 00:27:23,320
Speaker 7: Is a you know, by loguy, I love RB two

615
00:27:23,320 --> 00:27:25,800
Speaker 7: flex type running backs that have the potential to be

616
00:27:25,800 --> 00:27:29,400
Speaker 7: an RB one if their counterpart and their committee goes down.

617
00:27:29,960 --> 00:27:31,520
Speaker 5: So but you know, the.

618
00:27:31,480 --> 00:27:34,720
Speaker 7: First game Brandon Allen started is a big concerning that

619
00:27:34,840 --> 00:27:38,720
Speaker 7: he only targeted Freeman and Lindsay once. And Freeman does

620
00:27:38,800 --> 00:27:41,439
Speaker 7: get most of his production in the past game, so

621
00:27:41,720 --> 00:27:43,480
Speaker 7: it's a bit concerning that Brandon Allen he was more

622
00:27:43,520 --> 00:27:45,199
Speaker 7: willing to just pull it down run with it than

623
00:27:45,280 --> 00:27:47,840
Speaker 7: dump it off to Freeman. So we're gonna have to

624
00:27:47,880 --> 00:27:50,280
Speaker 7: monitor this. I wouldn't start him this week if you

625
00:27:50,320 --> 00:27:52,400
Speaker 7: can help it, So leave them on your bench and

626
00:27:52,480 --> 00:27:55,560
Speaker 7: sort of see how this pans out. But also, DeVante

627
00:27:55,600 --> 00:27:58,040
Speaker 7: Booker made his first appearance this this year and got

628
00:27:58,080 --> 00:28:01,199
Speaker 7: to catch, so you know he can. Yeah, so if

629
00:28:01,240 --> 00:28:04,320
Speaker 7: he gets involved at all, you know he's back. He's back,

630
00:28:05,720 --> 00:28:07,240
Speaker 7: So you know, you just put.

631
00:28:07,080 --> 00:28:10,960
Speaker 4: Him and Frank Gore and Calum Belage on a team

632
00:28:11,000 --> 00:28:14,159
Speaker 4: together is never forgetting just league forgot that team, man.

633
00:28:14,119 --> 00:28:15,600
Speaker 5: Right, put him on the Eagles, that'd be great.

634
00:28:15,600 --> 00:28:16,760
Speaker 4: I put him somewhere.

635
00:28:16,840 --> 00:28:18,840
Speaker 5: But yeah, so that's a big concern.

636
00:28:18,920 --> 00:28:21,360
Speaker 7: So I'm leaving Freemaw on my bench this week, which

637
00:28:21,359 --> 00:28:23,040
Speaker 7: is a shame because that you know, the past few

638
00:28:23,040 --> 00:28:24,879
Speaker 7: weeks I've been telling people buy low. I do love

639
00:28:24,960 --> 00:28:28,199
Speaker 7: him long term, but with Brandon Allen under center, it

640
00:28:28,240 --> 00:28:30,320
Speaker 7: has changed things. So that's that's why I'm pretty low

641
00:28:30,359 --> 00:28:30,880
Speaker 7: on this week.

642
00:28:31,400 --> 00:28:35,000
Speaker 4: Well that's actually you're taking that in a more granular way,

643
00:28:35,080 --> 00:28:37,080
Speaker 4: not just saying, hey, is this quarterback good or bad?

644
00:28:37,400 --> 00:28:41,600
Speaker 4: But specifically the way this quarterback plays hurts particular running

645
00:28:41,600 --> 00:28:43,760
Speaker 4: backs he had. That's interesting.

646
00:28:43,880 --> 00:28:45,400
Speaker 7: He would pull it down and run with it, and

647
00:28:45,480 --> 00:28:47,680
Speaker 7: Flacco would not do that. He would dump it off

648
00:28:47,720 --> 00:28:51,280
Speaker 7: to the running backs. So that's and you know he

649
00:28:51,640 --> 00:28:54,680
Speaker 7: does seem to gravitate to dumping off the tight end.

650
00:28:54,720 --> 00:28:57,240
Speaker 7: So that's why had a better game. So it's just

651
00:28:57,240 --> 00:28:59,200
Speaker 7: something I'm monitor. It's a one game sample, but just

652
00:28:59,200 --> 00:29:01,840
Speaker 7: something a monitor. So so Freeman should be on your

653
00:29:01,840 --> 00:29:02,440
Speaker 7: bench this week.

654
00:29:02,800 --> 00:29:05,480
Speaker 2: Raybond, who are you relatively long on this week.

655
00:29:05,440 --> 00:29:09,480
Speaker 6: The Eagles run game, Jordan Howard, mostly because I think

656
00:29:09,480 --> 00:29:11,560
Speaker 6: Miles Sanders can do some things in the past game.

657
00:29:11,600 --> 00:29:14,240
Speaker 6: But you know, I think you have to fade these

658
00:29:14,360 --> 00:29:18,760
Speaker 6: running backs that are dependent mostly on touchdown scoring and

659
00:29:19,000 --> 00:29:21,160
Speaker 6: getting getting fed a out of carriers and positive game

660
00:29:21,200 --> 00:29:23,680
Speaker 6: script when there is a decent chance that they're not.

661
00:29:23,720 --> 00:29:25,760
Speaker 6: Like So this is where I think, like what Matt

662
00:29:25,840 --> 00:29:28,360
Speaker 6: was saying about about Brian Hill, you know, he's so

663
00:29:28,440 --> 00:29:31,120
Speaker 6: cheap in DFS and that I don't think it matters.

664
00:29:31,120 --> 00:29:33,880
Speaker 6: But a guy like Howard, I would try to bench

665
00:29:33,960 --> 00:29:37,280
Speaker 6: this week in in season long weeks, just because the Patriots,

666
00:29:37,280 --> 00:29:40,000
Speaker 6: you know, coming off a loss, coming off a bye,

667
00:29:40,520 --> 00:29:43,800
Speaker 6: all these things, they tend to produce above expectation at

668
00:29:44,120 --> 00:29:46,680
Speaker 6: and kind of smash, you know, in that next week.

669
00:29:46,760 --> 00:29:49,120
Speaker 3: So this could be a tough spot. You know.

670
00:29:49,160 --> 00:29:50,840
Speaker 6: I know the Eagles are at home, but it could

671
00:29:50,840 --> 00:29:53,960
Speaker 6: be a tough spot for them again. You know, Lamar

672
00:29:54,080 --> 00:29:57,840
Speaker 6: Jackson is one thing, Carson Wentz in this Eagles offense

673
00:29:58,280 --> 00:30:00,000
Speaker 6: is a whole other thing, and they they haven't been

674
00:30:00,160 --> 00:30:00,800
Speaker 6: really good all year.

675
00:30:01,120 --> 00:30:04,400
Speaker 7: All right, Sean hit us with the prop, So I'm

676
00:30:04,400 --> 00:30:07,680
Speaker 7: gonna go with Damian Williams total rushing and receiving yards.

677
00:30:07,720 --> 00:30:10,680
Speaker 7: You know, yeah, the big game, le Shaun McCoy was inactive,

678
00:30:11,280 --> 00:30:14,240
Speaker 7: probably due to fumbeling issues, so Damian got the start

679
00:30:14,240 --> 00:30:16,720
Speaker 7: and then he had a pretty costly fumble for it

680
00:30:16,800 --> 00:30:19,400
Speaker 7: got returned for a touchdown. So curious to hear where

681
00:30:19,440 --> 00:30:22,000
Speaker 7: you guys have Williams this week. I have his over

682
00:30:22,080 --> 00:30:24,200
Speaker 7: under at seventy two and a half right now.

683
00:30:24,240 --> 00:30:26,600
Speaker 2: I will take the under. I have him projected for

684
00:30:26,640 --> 00:30:29,720
Speaker 2: a nice sixty nine, So that's where I'm gonna be.

685
00:30:30,240 --> 00:30:31,480
Speaker 3: Yeah, I have him just under two.

686
00:30:31,480 --> 00:30:35,640
Speaker 6: I mean, this casey backfield has been just miserable to

687
00:30:35,680 --> 00:30:37,720
Speaker 6: project all. Yes, I wouldn't be surprised if like Williams

688
00:30:37,760 --> 00:30:38,920
Speaker 6: gets two carries next week.

689
00:30:39,560 --> 00:30:39,840
Speaker 5: Right.

690
00:30:40,560 --> 00:30:43,200
Speaker 7: It's tough, right, and it's not like we can ignore them.

691
00:30:43,240 --> 00:30:46,040
Speaker 7: I mean, there's just too much potential there. So I mean,

692
00:30:46,240 --> 00:30:48,960
Speaker 7: this week's going to be pretty tough. I mean, McCoy

693
00:30:49,000 --> 00:30:51,120
Speaker 7: could end up being, you know, the guy that gets

694
00:30:51,120 --> 00:30:52,280
Speaker 7: fifteen to twenty touches this game.

695
00:30:52,280 --> 00:30:52,840
Speaker 5: We just don't know.

696
00:30:53,120 --> 00:30:53,800
Speaker 3: I'd pick him one.

697
00:30:53,880 --> 00:30:55,600
Speaker 4: How do we even do this withou way knowing if

698
00:30:55,680 --> 00:30:57,560
Speaker 4: McCoy is active. This is one of those lines that

699
00:30:57,640 --> 00:31:02,680
Speaker 4: should be off until all the actives inactives get released,

700
00:31:02,880 --> 00:31:03,680
Speaker 4: because it's like.

701
00:31:03,680 --> 00:31:04,240
Speaker 2: How do you know?

702
00:31:04,600 --> 00:31:06,560
Speaker 6: Can you said a line on that sean like like

703
00:31:06,640 --> 00:31:09,040
Speaker 6: what are the odds of one of one of the

704
00:31:09,040 --> 00:31:12,720
Speaker 6: two being scratched, like whether it's Williams or McCoy this week.

705
00:31:13,240 --> 00:31:15,000
Speaker 5: I think they're done scratching McCoy.

706
00:31:15,360 --> 00:31:18,480
Speaker 7: If anything, it'll be Darwin Thompson again that gets scratched.

707
00:31:19,680 --> 00:31:22,000
Speaker 7: I know there were some issues, you know, when michoy

708
00:31:22,040 --> 00:31:24,840
Speaker 7: got when McCoy got scratched. I loaded up on the

709
00:31:24,920 --> 00:31:28,000
Speaker 7: Damian Williams overprops, and I think one of the books

710
00:31:28,800 --> 00:31:31,480
Speaker 7: canceled them because they said they weren't sure which Dee

711
00:31:31,520 --> 00:31:33,880
Speaker 7: Williams it was, because you know they have Darryl as well,

712
00:31:34,480 --> 00:31:38,040
Speaker 7: oh w which is interesting. But you know, you know

713
00:31:38,160 --> 00:31:40,800
Speaker 7: these four running backs, one of them will merge I

714
00:31:40,840 --> 00:31:44,120
Speaker 7: think in the fancy playoffs. So I think it's it's

715
00:31:44,120 --> 00:31:47,640
Speaker 7: worth always just investing in these casey running backs to

716
00:31:47,680 --> 00:31:49,600
Speaker 7: have on your bench for the time being, but hopefully

717
00:31:49,680 --> 00:31:52,120
Speaker 7: hopefully one of them emerges in the next couple of weeks.

718
00:31:52,960 --> 00:31:54,920
Speaker 4: I the Chargers give up a lot of yards to

719
00:31:54,960 --> 00:31:57,920
Speaker 4: opposing running backs. They are a run funnel defense and

720
00:31:58,680 --> 00:32:01,840
Speaker 4: it's the Kansas City Chiefs, and they spread you out

721
00:32:01,960 --> 00:32:05,280
Speaker 4: and they make it very difficult to stop anyone at

722
00:32:05,280 --> 00:32:08,360
Speaker 4: any time. Right, So he's going to be facing a

723
00:32:08,400 --> 00:32:11,360
Speaker 4: lot of nickel defense against a team that wants you

724
00:32:11,400 --> 00:32:13,200
Speaker 4: to run the ball, is coaxing you to run the ball.

725
00:32:13,280 --> 00:32:15,320
Speaker 4: So I'll take the over just on that alone. And

726
00:32:15,360 --> 00:32:18,280
Speaker 4: he has the breakaway speed, right so he is one

727
00:32:18,280 --> 00:32:20,160
Speaker 4: of the faster running backs in the league, especially for

728
00:32:20,160 --> 00:32:22,719
Speaker 4: those over two hundred and twenty pounds. So for that reason,

729
00:32:23,040 --> 00:32:26,240
Speaker 4: Also assuming that if Leshron McCoy was inactive last week,

730
00:32:26,280 --> 00:32:29,040
Speaker 4: there's no reason why he wouldn't be inactive this week.

731
00:32:29,440 --> 00:32:32,160
Speaker 4: There's been no injuries in that backfield. He had one

732
00:32:32,200 --> 00:32:36,200
Speaker 4: fumble Damian Williams as a veteran, so ideally that it

733
00:32:36,200 --> 00:32:39,000
Speaker 4: wouldn't be hold against him because he's a veteran. The

734
00:32:39,080 --> 00:32:43,360
Speaker 4: matchup is enticing. If we know McCoy to be inactive,

735
00:32:43,400 --> 00:32:44,640
Speaker 4: I'll take the over. How about that.

736
00:32:44,720 --> 00:32:46,960
Speaker 1: I hope you're enjoying this great Action network podcast. I

737
00:32:47,000 --> 00:32:48,640
Speaker 1: want to make sure you know about the locked On

738
00:32:48,800 --> 00:32:52,040
Speaker 1: podcast network. Locked On has a daily podcast on your

739
00:32:52,080 --> 00:32:52,680
Speaker 1: favorite team.

740
00:32:52,840 --> 00:32:54,600
Speaker 4: Welcome to you, Lockdown forty nine ers.

741
00:32:54,600 --> 00:32:55,960
Speaker 3: You are locked own of the Dallas Maverick.

742
00:32:56,120 --> 00:32:59,479
Speaker 4: Can everybody to the Lockdown Lakers podcast Let's Go Locked

743
00:32:59,520 --> 00:33:02,080
Speaker 4: On pod Gut are hosted by the local experts who

744
00:33:02,120 --> 00:33:04,320
Speaker 4: know your team better than anyone and give you the

745
00:33:04,360 --> 00:33:05,080
Speaker 4: inside scoop.

746
00:33:05,200 --> 00:33:07,840
Speaker 1: So go to your podcast app and search locked on

747
00:33:08,160 --> 00:33:11,640
Speaker 1: your favorite team, subscribe to your locked on podcast.

748
00:33:14,520 --> 00:33:17,360
Speaker 2: Joining us for a weekly DFS interlude is Peter Jennings

749
00:33:17,400 --> 00:33:20,320
Speaker 2: akacs he or Amy, a two time DFS World champion

750
00:33:20,360 --> 00:33:23,520
Speaker 2: and co founder of Fantasy Labs. Pete Week ten, How

751
00:33:23,600 --> 00:33:23,880
Speaker 2: was it?

752
00:33:24,040 --> 00:33:24,440
Speaker 4: Week ten?

753
00:33:24,600 --> 00:33:25,320
Speaker 2: Was good?

754
00:33:25,600 --> 00:33:28,400
Speaker 8: I did well in cash games. I had a good week.

755
00:33:28,560 --> 00:33:31,120
Speaker 8: I have not done as well in DraftKings over the

756
00:33:31,200 --> 00:33:33,680
Speaker 8: last year or so, and I actually got top five

757
00:33:33,720 --> 00:33:36,760
Speaker 8: in the Gridiron, which was a month long tournament, and

758
00:33:37,000 --> 00:33:38,719
Speaker 8: plays well my main tournament team, and did it well

759
00:33:38,760 --> 00:33:42,320
Speaker 8: in DraftKings. So hoping to keep grinding and yeah, it

760
00:33:42,360 --> 00:33:44,640
Speaker 8: was a good week all right on to week eleven.

761
00:33:45,520 --> 00:33:48,160
Speaker 2: How do you think you are approaching cash games and GPPs.

762
00:33:48,400 --> 00:33:50,560
Speaker 8: I think it's pretty wide open. There's a lot of

763
00:33:50,560 --> 00:33:54,320
Speaker 8: different plays that we have. We'll see what news breaks,

764
00:33:54,920 --> 00:33:57,120
Speaker 8: but it's pretty wide open in terms of construction. I

765
00:33:57,120 --> 00:33:59,400
Speaker 8: have a lot of plays. I like cheap mid tier

766
00:33:59,400 --> 00:34:02,560
Speaker 8: and expensive. So as we sit here on Tuesday, hard

767
00:34:02,600 --> 00:34:04,719
Speaker 8: to tell exactly how I'm gonna build, but I have

768
00:34:04,760 --> 00:34:06,120
Speaker 8: a lot of plays I like, all.

769
00:34:06,080 --> 00:34:08,880
Speaker 2: Right, let's start to get into those plays. At quarterback.

770
00:34:08,880 --> 00:34:09,880
Speaker 2: Who has caught your eye?

771
00:34:10,440 --> 00:34:11,959
Speaker 8: Well, I think if you want to go cheap, Kyle

772
00:34:12,000 --> 00:34:14,120
Speaker 8: Allen makes the most sense. He's fifty three hundred on

773
00:34:14,280 --> 00:34:17,160
Speaker 8: DraftKings going against Atlanta. I know the Staints just played

774
00:34:17,160 --> 00:34:19,480
Speaker 8: poorly versus defense, but I'm going to look at that

775
00:34:19,560 --> 00:34:20,600
Speaker 8: as more of an anomaly.

776
00:34:21,320 --> 00:34:22,120
Speaker 2: Atlanta has been.

777
00:34:22,040 --> 00:34:26,160
Speaker 8: Awful defensively all year, and I think Kyle Allen can have.

778
00:34:26,120 --> 00:34:26,879
Speaker 2: A great game here.

779
00:34:27,160 --> 00:34:29,359
Speaker 8: You get a little exposure to Christian McCaffrey this way,

780
00:34:30,040 --> 00:34:32,960
Speaker 8: you know him throwing the ball to Christian and fifty

781
00:34:32,960 --> 00:34:35,400
Speaker 8: three hundred I like spending down at quarterback. He's a

782
00:34:35,480 --> 00:34:38,839
Speaker 8: nice option in the mid tier. Towards the expensive range.

783
00:34:38,880 --> 00:34:41,520
Speaker 8: I think Dak Prescott stands out quite a bit. I

784
00:34:41,560 --> 00:34:44,000
Speaker 8: definitely want to exposure to Dallas players looking to stack

785
00:34:44,080 --> 00:34:46,320
Speaker 8: him with Amari and Michael Gallup and then all the

786
00:34:46,360 --> 00:34:48,960
Speaker 8: way at the top. And Lamar Jackson has just been

787
00:34:49,080 --> 00:34:53,560
Speaker 8: so ridiculously good as a huge floor and obviously has

788
00:34:53,600 --> 00:34:56,360
Speaker 8: the highest ceiling with his rushing upside, So against Houston,

789
00:34:56,360 --> 00:34:58,480
Speaker 8: who could actually push the Ravens a bit, I think

790
00:34:58,560 --> 00:35:00,640
Speaker 8: Lamar Jackson has the high ceiling.

791
00:35:01,120 --> 00:35:03,800
Speaker 2: And to your point about Kyle Allen, he's definitely popping

792
00:35:03,920 --> 00:35:07,520
Speaker 2: in many of our DraftKings models at Fantasy Labs at

793
00:35:07,600 --> 00:35:09,960
Speaker 2: running back. Who are you looking at right now?

794
00:35:10,120 --> 00:35:12,680
Speaker 8: So running back is probably the toughest position right now.

795
00:35:12,800 --> 00:35:16,920
Speaker 8: I think it's definitely a tricky position relative to other weeks. Obviously,

796
00:35:16,960 --> 00:35:19,560
Speaker 8: at the top you can go with Christian McCaffrey. He's

797
00:35:19,840 --> 00:35:24,400
Speaker 8: really really expensive, so that's the challenge ten to five.

798
00:35:25,080 --> 00:35:26,919
Speaker 8: We saw last week. He really needs to go nuts

799
00:35:26,920 --> 00:35:29,440
Speaker 8: to pay off. But something he's a good play. So

800
00:35:29,480 --> 00:35:32,040
Speaker 8: at the top I like Christan McCaffrey, that's not news

801
00:35:32,040 --> 00:35:33,560
Speaker 8: to anyone. I think In the mid tier, I like

802
00:35:33,600 --> 00:35:36,719
Speaker 8: Josh Jacobs the most. Cincinnati's been really really bad us

803
00:35:36,800 --> 00:35:40,279
Speaker 8: running backs, and Josh Jacobs has been awesome for you know,

804
00:35:40,440 --> 00:35:42,480
Speaker 8: basically the last month or so. I didn't have a

805
00:35:42,520 --> 00:35:45,160
Speaker 8: great game versus the Texans, but three touchdowns is the

806
00:35:45,200 --> 00:35:47,719
Speaker 8: last two games getting a lot of opportunity and starting

807
00:35:47,719 --> 00:35:49,480
Speaker 8: to see some more involvement in the passing game. Five

808
00:35:49,480 --> 00:35:52,560
Speaker 8: targets last week was encouraging. So I'm on Josh Jacobs

809
00:35:52,600 --> 00:35:55,600
Speaker 8: and then if you need a punt, Camon Belage for

810
00:35:55,680 --> 00:35:59,239
Speaker 8: the Dolphins got a lot of work last week. It's

811
00:35:59,360 --> 00:36:02,640
Speaker 8: brutal trying roster of Dolphin versus the Bills. But twenty

812
00:36:02,719 --> 00:36:05,000
Speaker 8: carries last week, as well as four targets in the

813
00:36:05,040 --> 00:36:08,080
Speaker 8: passing game. Hard to get that much volume or it's

814
00:36:08,120 --> 00:36:10,960
Speaker 8: not possible to find that much volume really outside of

815
00:36:11,000 --> 00:36:12,279
Speaker 8: Blage for that price tag.

816
00:36:12,800 --> 00:36:15,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, to your point about Jacob's double digit home favorite

817
00:36:15,640 --> 00:36:18,759
Speaker 2: going against a Bengals defense that is top four and

818
00:36:18,840 --> 00:36:21,560
Speaker 2: running back scoring and has allowed pretty much any running

819
00:36:21,560 --> 00:36:23,480
Speaker 2: back who touches the ball at least, you know, eight

820
00:36:24,000 --> 00:36:26,480
Speaker 2: times a game to go off. So a good situation

821
00:36:26,600 --> 00:36:30,160
Speaker 2: for him there. At wide receiver, who are you looking at? Yeah?

822
00:36:30,200 --> 00:36:33,319
Speaker 8: My favorite wide receiver on the board this week is

823
00:36:33,760 --> 00:36:37,720
Speaker 8: actually probably going to be Mike Evans or Chris Godwin.

824
00:36:37,800 --> 00:36:39,960
Speaker 8: I really want to use this Tampa Bay receivers.

825
00:36:40,200 --> 00:36:40,239
Speaker 3: No.

826
00:36:40,400 --> 00:36:43,680
Speaker 8: New Orleans has been somewhat stinging defense. I respect their

827
00:36:43,719 --> 00:36:46,799
Speaker 8: defensive line a lot, but I want exposure to that

828
00:36:46,960 --> 00:36:49,960
Speaker 8: game and I think those receivers could be interesting, especially

829
00:36:50,000 --> 00:36:52,000
Speaker 8: coming off a week where they were chocky and didn't

830
00:36:52,120 --> 00:36:56,080
Speaker 8: exceed expectations. They are both pretty average, you know, I

831
00:36:56,080 --> 00:36:58,880
Speaker 8: think they're both really strong plays. You know in the

832
00:36:58,920 --> 00:37:01,200
Speaker 8: mid tier, DJ Moore, you're going to play Allen. I

833
00:37:01,239 --> 00:37:04,000
Speaker 8: think he's a really nice stack. Fifty nine hundred on

834
00:37:04,120 --> 00:37:07,279
Speaker 8: DraftKings is a pretty nice price tag given the opportunity.

835
00:37:07,640 --> 00:37:10,200
Speaker 8: He's seen, you know, no fewer than nine targets the

836
00:37:10,280 --> 00:37:12,879
Speaker 8: last four games, really starting to rack up a total

837
00:37:12,920 --> 00:37:15,120
Speaker 8: amount of targets and went over one hundred yards last

838
00:37:15,120 --> 00:37:17,560
Speaker 8: two games as well, without a touchdown. So a big

839
00:37:17,600 --> 00:37:20,200
Speaker 8: ceiling game could be here in the mix for DJ Moore.

840
00:37:20,520 --> 00:37:22,440
Speaker 8: And then in terms of punts, you got some pretty

841
00:37:22,480 --> 00:37:27,440
Speaker 8: ugly options Hunter Renfros popping for me right now. You know,

842
00:37:27,560 --> 00:37:29,600
Speaker 8: coming into the season, you know you had all the

843
00:37:30,160 --> 00:37:33,440
Speaker 8: hype around DK Metcalf and there's those funny pictures of

844
00:37:33,760 --> 00:37:36,560
Speaker 8: Metcalf for next to Renfro. He's not going to allow

845
00:37:36,600 --> 00:37:40,040
Speaker 8: you with his athleticism, but man, he's been getting it done.

846
00:37:40,120 --> 00:37:43,160
Speaker 8: And at four K he's a nice contrarian pivot off

847
00:37:43,239 --> 00:37:46,400
Speaker 8: Jacobs and exposure to this Oakland offense, which you mentioned

848
00:37:46,440 --> 00:37:47,560
Speaker 8: is a big home favorite.

849
00:37:47,760 --> 00:37:49,680
Speaker 2: I'm with you there on Evans. One thing that's in

850
00:37:49,719 --> 00:37:53,480
Speaker 2: his favor is that Marshaun Lattimore left last game with

851
00:37:53,520 --> 00:37:56,440
Speaker 2: a thigh injury. I'm expecting he's probably going to be

852
00:37:56,480 --> 00:37:58,320
Speaker 2: out this game. Even if he's active, I think he

853
00:37:58,360 --> 00:38:02,839
Speaker 2: will be limited. So good situation for Evans. Finally, tight ends.

854
00:38:03,040 --> 00:38:04,359
Speaker 2: Who are you looking at right now?

855
00:38:05,000 --> 00:38:08,640
Speaker 8: Yeah, I mean you want to play basically, Well, there's

856
00:38:08,640 --> 00:38:10,480
Speaker 8: a couple of things. Let mean, the first thing is

857
00:38:10,600 --> 00:38:14,000
Speaker 8: if Kittle is healthy, he's I just I'm a huge

858
00:38:14,040 --> 00:38:17,120
Speaker 8: George Kittle fan. You know it's cool here Kyle Shanahan

859
00:38:17,120 --> 00:38:20,440
Speaker 8: and say he is their best player. We won't know

860
00:38:20,560 --> 00:38:22,919
Speaker 8: until later in the week, but man Oj Howard got

861
00:38:22,920 --> 00:38:25,960
Speaker 8: it going against Arizona. They've just been giving up so

862
00:38:25,960 --> 00:38:28,440
Speaker 8: many fantasy points to tight end. So George Kittle's okay.

863
00:38:28,520 --> 00:38:30,480
Speaker 8: I will pay the price tag even with the injury

864
00:38:30,480 --> 00:38:33,080
Speaker 8: concern cheaper down. I think Greg Olsen. You know, we've

865
00:38:33,080 --> 00:38:35,479
Speaker 8: talked a lot about all the Carolina players, He's another

866
00:38:35,520 --> 00:38:38,120
Speaker 8: piece you could go to. I think he's fine. Eric

867
00:38:38,160 --> 00:38:40,359
Speaker 8: Ebron I think will be on the field a lot

868
00:38:40,480 --> 00:38:43,040
Speaker 8: given the lack of receivers that this team has, So

869
00:38:43,840 --> 00:38:45,680
Speaker 8: he's another player that I think is interesting. Kind of

870
00:38:45,719 --> 00:38:49,360
Speaker 8: in that lower tier, and then zach Ertz. You know,

871
00:38:49,400 --> 00:38:52,600
Speaker 8: he's priced way down going against the Patriots, the Eagles

872
00:38:52,600 --> 00:38:54,920
Speaker 8: coming off of buye as well as the Patriots, so

873
00:38:54,920 --> 00:38:57,720
Speaker 8: that's an interesting game to me. I think zach Ertz

874
00:38:58,400 --> 00:39:00,480
Speaker 8: is a decent play, and then the best play in

875
00:39:00,480 --> 00:39:04,200
Speaker 8: that same range as probably Darren Waller going against the Bangles, all.

876
00:39:04,160 --> 00:39:07,319
Speaker 2: Right, and then finally any stacks that you think have

877
00:39:07,440 --> 00:39:09,400
Speaker 2: some value but might be lower owned.

878
00:39:10,000 --> 00:39:12,960
Speaker 8: Yeah, so one stack that has a ton of value,

879
00:39:12,960 --> 00:39:15,040
Speaker 8: I'm not sure how it's going to be owned. But

880
00:39:15,160 --> 00:39:17,920
Speaker 8: Drew Brees to any of the pass catchers. It's crazy

881
00:39:17,960 --> 00:39:19,719
Speaker 8: what they did to Michael Thomas's price. I mean they

882
00:39:19,800 --> 00:39:23,280
Speaker 8: made Michael Thomas ninety nine hundred, so he's really expensive.

883
00:39:23,320 --> 00:39:24,800
Speaker 8: So that could be a pay up to be contrarion

884
00:39:24,880 --> 00:39:27,160
Speaker 8: type spot, but I definitely want to be buying Drew

885
00:39:27,239 --> 00:39:29,840
Speaker 8: Brees off a really poor game. I think it's a

886
00:39:29,880 --> 00:39:33,160
Speaker 8: really nice bounce back spot. Tampa Bay probably the biggest

887
00:39:33,160 --> 00:39:35,279
Speaker 8: funnel in the NFL. Great against the run, really bad

888
00:39:35,320 --> 00:39:38,600
Speaker 8: against the pass. So Drew Brees to literally Michael Thomas,

889
00:39:38,640 --> 00:39:40,640
Speaker 8: you going to pet pe Conurrion. I don't hate ted Gin,

890
00:39:40,760 --> 00:39:43,760
Speaker 8: don't hate Jared Cook, trey Quon Smith came back, Alvin

891
00:39:43,800 --> 00:39:46,960
Speaker 8: Kamara is there. So that's a lot of value I

892
00:39:47,000 --> 00:39:50,160
Speaker 8: think in buying the dip on these New Orleans guys,

893
00:39:50,360 --> 00:39:51,920
Speaker 8: and I think there's a ton of upside against this

894
00:39:51,920 --> 00:39:54,920
Speaker 8: Tampa Bay defense, which has gotten killed. As you noted

895
00:39:55,080 --> 00:39:59,200
Speaker 8: in your cornerback receiver article. They have just been putrid

896
00:39:59,440 --> 00:40:02,760
Speaker 8: versus receives. So I want Saints offense this week after

897
00:40:02,760 --> 00:40:04,200
Speaker 8: a bad game against the Falcons.

898
00:40:04,400 --> 00:40:06,760
Speaker 2: Yep, I'm right there with you. That was Peter Jennings

899
00:40:06,760 --> 00:40:10,239
Speaker 2: with his DFS thoughts for Week eleven. Okay, let's get

900
00:40:10,239 --> 00:40:13,880
Speaker 2: to the wide receivers. Matt Kelly. We have Michael Thomas,

901
00:40:14,160 --> 00:40:17,120
Speaker 2: Tyreek Hill, DeAndre Hopkins at the top of our rankings.

902
00:40:17,280 --> 00:40:19,320
Speaker 2: What are your thoughts on those guys anyone else you

903
00:40:19,360 --> 00:40:20,720
Speaker 2: think should be in the top tier.

904
00:40:20,920 --> 00:40:25,560
Speaker 4: Michael Thomas, Right, Michael Thomas and Michael Thomas and Michael Thomas.

905
00:40:25,640 --> 00:40:28,000
Speaker 4: Michael Thomas. Although I think he's going to be hurt

906
00:40:28,000 --> 00:40:30,239
Speaker 4: by the fact that there's no Vernon Hargreaves. We talked

907
00:40:30,239 --> 00:40:33,480
Speaker 4: about this earlier. You wish that there was a Vernon

908
00:40:33,520 --> 00:40:35,759
Speaker 4: Hargreaves that he could just beat like a drum on

909
00:40:35,800 --> 00:40:39,520
Speaker 4: the outside, but ninety nine hundred on DraftKings. I mean,

910
00:40:39,560 --> 00:40:43,440
Speaker 4: I think he's priced up so high that you maybe

911
00:40:43,520 --> 00:40:46,840
Speaker 4: use him in tournaments with the idea that the ownership

912
00:40:46,880 --> 00:40:48,879
Speaker 4: will be low because he's priced.

913
00:40:48,640 --> 00:40:49,520
Speaker 2: Up so high.

914
00:40:49,880 --> 00:40:51,560
Speaker 4: But I think that some will look at the matchup

915
00:40:51,600 --> 00:40:54,040
Speaker 4: and just find a way to play Michael Thomas anyway.

916
00:40:54,280 --> 00:40:56,360
Speaker 4: So it is hard to build a case for Michael

917
00:40:56,400 --> 00:40:59,480
Speaker 4: Thomas and tournaments at nine point nine k on DraftKings.

918
00:40:59,680 --> 00:41:03,360
Speaker 4: But I mean, he is the number one wide receiver

919
00:41:03,760 --> 00:41:06,480
Speaker 4: across the board. I mean, I can't construct an argument

920
00:41:06,800 --> 00:41:08,319
Speaker 4: for not having him number one, all.

921
00:41:08,280 --> 00:41:10,840
Speaker 2: Right, and then anyone else you are relatively high on

922
00:41:10,880 --> 00:41:11,880
Speaker 2: at the position.

923
00:41:11,680 --> 00:41:15,040
Speaker 4: Amari Cooper, right, I mean, how good was Amari Cooper

924
00:41:15,120 --> 00:41:18,280
Speaker 4: last week? Mark Cooper has been hurt all year. Remember

925
00:41:18,320 --> 00:41:21,040
Speaker 4: he hurt his foot in preseason, he hurt his knee

926
00:41:21,080 --> 00:41:25,080
Speaker 4: mid season, and he's finally healthy. And when he's finally healthy,

927
00:41:25,200 --> 00:41:29,080
Speaker 4: no one creates more separation at the target point than

928
00:41:29,120 --> 00:41:31,640
Speaker 4: Amari Cooper. And what do he do? Oh, I don't know.

929
00:41:31,960 --> 00:41:35,319
Speaker 4: Against Minnesota, the most overrated secondary in the league, up

930
00:41:35,360 --> 00:41:37,920
Speaker 4: fourteen targets close to one hundred and fifty yards in

931
00:41:37,960 --> 00:41:41,560
Speaker 4: a touchdown, Now he goes up against the Lions defense

932
00:41:41,600 --> 00:41:45,240
Speaker 4: and they allow a lot of yards on the ground

933
00:41:45,280 --> 00:41:48,359
Speaker 4: and through the air. So the only thing holding him

934
00:41:48,360 --> 00:41:51,480
Speaker 4: back is the negative the positive game script. Once you

935
00:41:51,480 --> 00:41:53,800
Speaker 4: get into the second half, they may shut him down

936
00:41:54,160 --> 00:41:57,560
Speaker 4: come fourth quarter, but Chris mentioned this earlier. They have

937
00:41:57,640 --> 00:41:59,880
Speaker 4: to score their points somehow, and it could be the

938
00:42:00,280 --> 00:42:02,760
Speaker 4: Cooper gets most of his production in the first half,

939
00:42:03,000 --> 00:42:06,120
Speaker 4: and so what he'll get there either way. I'm surprised

940
00:42:06,200 --> 00:42:09,359
Speaker 4: he's only seven point seven k on DraftKings. I thought

941
00:42:09,400 --> 00:42:10,960
Speaker 4: they would bid him up a little bit more, but

942
00:42:11,280 --> 00:42:13,800
Speaker 4: it was I think they played Sunday night, so because

943
00:42:13,800 --> 00:42:16,719
Speaker 4: it was a Sunday night game, they released the prices

944
00:42:17,000 --> 00:42:21,359
Speaker 4: for the next Sunday slate before the game starts, so

945
00:42:21,400 --> 00:42:23,960
Speaker 4: his salary has not yet been adjusted. That's why you're

946
00:42:23,960 --> 00:42:26,839
Speaker 4: going to see big ownership on Amari Cooper this week.

947
00:42:26,960 --> 00:42:31,120
Speaker 4: You can actually argue to fade him based on ownership potentially.

948
00:42:31,200 --> 00:42:32,360
Speaker 4: It's a tricky spot.

949
00:42:32,520 --> 00:42:33,960
Speaker 2: Sean, who are you relatively high on?

950
00:42:34,440 --> 00:42:37,000
Speaker 7: So I'm going DJ Moore again this week. He's only

951
00:42:37,040 --> 00:42:39,960
Speaker 7: fifty nine hundred. He hasn't scored a touchdowns since Week three,

952
00:42:40,040 --> 00:42:41,919
Speaker 7: but you know, with a high team twelve this week,

953
00:42:42,120 --> 00:42:45,040
Speaker 7: it's bumping up everybody in my model. He's due to score,

954
00:42:45,080 --> 00:42:47,080
Speaker 7: and I think that's why the buzz for him's sort

955
00:42:47,080 --> 00:42:49,960
Speaker 7: of been at bay. But he's just racking up targets,

956
00:42:50,000 --> 00:42:51,920
Speaker 7: catches and yards, so that this is a great spot

957
00:42:51,920 --> 00:42:55,120
Speaker 7: for him. Fifty nine k probably the last time you're

958
00:42:55,120 --> 00:42:57,280
Speaker 7: going to get in below six K, to be honest,

959
00:42:58,000 --> 00:43:00,759
Speaker 7: and then you know, Deebo Samuel, we got sort of

960
00:43:00,760 --> 00:43:04,560
Speaker 7: the Monday night football price discount with him at four k,

961
00:43:05,080 --> 00:43:08,759
Speaker 7: especially if Emmanuel Sanders and George Kill don't suit up,

962
00:43:08,800 --> 00:43:11,799
Speaker 7: he's gonna be extremely chocky at this price. And you

963
00:43:11,800 --> 00:43:13,840
Speaker 7: know he went off for eight catches, one hundred and

964
00:43:13,880 --> 00:43:16,200
Speaker 7: twelve yards, So if those two guys are out the

965
00:43:16,520 --> 00:43:18,920
Speaker 7: Leona and heavily in four k is just a steals.

966
00:43:19,160 --> 00:43:21,840
Speaker 7: People are gonna be able to spend down, and you

967
00:43:21,880 --> 00:43:24,520
Speaker 7: know they'll probably be able to fit in Michael Thomas,

968
00:43:24,760 --> 00:43:27,080
Speaker 7: like you said earlier, I don't think people are going

969
00:43:27,160 --> 00:43:28,839
Speaker 7: to show it just because he's nine point nine k.

970
00:43:29,239 --> 00:43:31,600
Speaker 7: The values like Samuel pop up, Yeah, more people will

971
00:43:31,640 --> 00:43:34,600
Speaker 7: be on Thomas, and yeah, Cooper Cooper at seventy seven hundred,

972
00:43:34,600 --> 00:43:36,799
Speaker 7: I agree. I think he's going to be pretty highly

973
00:43:36,880 --> 00:43:39,200
Speaker 7: on it. And you said you mentioned that he's backed

974
00:43:39,200 --> 00:43:42,200
Speaker 7: one hundred percent. I don't think that's true. He's he's

975
00:43:42,200 --> 00:43:44,239
Speaker 7: playing through a few injuries, so it's scary to think,

976
00:43:44,280 --> 00:43:46,080
Speaker 7: you know how well he's playing, given he's not at

977
00:43:46,080 --> 00:43:46,719
Speaker 7: one hundred percent.

978
00:43:46,840 --> 00:43:48,920
Speaker 4: No, I think he's as healthy as he's been.

979
00:43:49,040 --> 00:43:50,080
Speaker 5: Exactly, So I agree with you.

980
00:43:50,120 --> 00:43:52,040
Speaker 2: They were on the same page, Raymond. Who are you

981
00:43:52,080 --> 00:43:53,000
Speaker 2: relatively high on.

982
00:43:53,239 --> 00:43:55,240
Speaker 3: At the top? I think Julio Jones.

983
00:43:55,680 --> 00:43:58,640
Speaker 6: You know, everyone's gonna kind of say that the Panther's

984
00:43:58,760 --> 00:44:01,080
Speaker 6: tough matchup in the past, which I think they are,

985
00:44:01,600 --> 00:44:03,319
Speaker 6: but we've seen Julio Jones kind of come through in

986
00:44:03,400 --> 00:44:06,840
Speaker 6: some some really in the past and some tough matchups.

987
00:44:06,880 --> 00:44:10,000
Speaker 6: So you know, now you got Hooper, looks like he's

988
00:44:10,000 --> 00:44:12,040
Speaker 6: going to be out, you got Freeman out. That's about

989
00:44:12,080 --> 00:44:15,319
Speaker 6: twenty over about thirty percent of the targets. There's no

990
00:44:15,400 --> 00:44:18,160
Speaker 6: guarantee that that, you know, gets redistributed to like a

991
00:44:18,239 --> 00:44:22,319
Speaker 6: Russell gage or you know those guys. So I love

992
00:44:22,560 --> 00:44:25,840
Speaker 6: Julio Jones, just kind of like a monster target week

993
00:44:26,320 --> 00:44:28,200
Speaker 6: in a week that people might not be thinking about

994
00:44:28,280 --> 00:44:30,480
Speaker 6: him as much, and then going down the with Terry

995
00:44:30,560 --> 00:44:34,239
Speaker 6: McLaurin has been a guy that we haven't really been

996
00:44:34,239 --> 00:44:37,040
Speaker 6: able to play because Washington's been all these low scoring

997
00:44:37,120 --> 00:44:39,520
Speaker 6: kind of games. But I think against this Jets defense,

998
00:44:40,080 --> 00:44:42,120
Speaker 6: I think he has some potential. I think people are

999
00:44:42,120 --> 00:44:44,279
Speaker 6: going to overlook it because the total is solo, but

1000
00:44:44,640 --> 00:44:46,439
Speaker 6: he's one of the best young receivers in the league

1001
00:44:46,440 --> 00:44:48,480
Speaker 6: and I think he has monster potentially against the bad

1002
00:44:48,560 --> 00:44:52,840
Speaker 6: Jets defense. I think Jamison Crowder has huge volume upside

1003
00:44:53,000 --> 00:44:56,160
Speaker 6: Sam Darnold in him. Their connection has been really good.

1004
00:44:56,320 --> 00:44:58,560
Speaker 6: I think it's now eighty yards and four of the

1005
00:44:58,600 --> 00:45:01,080
Speaker 6: six games with the note for it for crowd or so,

1006
00:45:01,960 --> 00:45:04,040
Speaker 6: you know, including that fourteen catch game he had in

1007
00:45:04,120 --> 00:45:04,600
Speaker 6: Week one.

1008
00:45:04,960 --> 00:45:08,200
Speaker 3: So like him going a little further down the price.

1009
00:45:08,560 --> 00:45:09,840
Speaker 4: I think you're going to see a lot of Chris

1010
00:45:09,880 --> 00:45:13,960
Speaker 4: Godwin in the player profile or DFS lineup genius GPPs

1011
00:45:14,080 --> 00:45:17,600
Speaker 4: because he's not facing Marshawn Lattimore. So whenever you see

1012
00:45:17,960 --> 00:45:21,520
Speaker 4: a true number one corner matching up with Mike Evans,

1013
00:45:21,560 --> 00:45:24,200
Speaker 4: that's always a cue to move off Evans and go

1014
00:45:24,280 --> 00:45:26,200
Speaker 4: over to Godwin. So when you see one of these

1015
00:45:26,200 --> 00:45:30,759
Speaker 4: prototypical shadow corners, and I know that Marshall Lattimore hasn't

1016
00:45:30,800 --> 00:45:34,160
Speaker 4: been playing well this year necessarily, and neither is Patrick Peterson.

1017
00:45:34,440 --> 00:45:36,640
Speaker 4: They do suppress the target share in the weeks that

1018
00:45:36,680 --> 00:45:40,799
Speaker 4: they line up across from, you know, a prototypical X

1019
00:45:40,880 --> 00:45:44,160
Speaker 4: receiver like Mike Evans. If there's going to be points

1020
00:45:44,200 --> 00:45:47,160
Speaker 4: scored right, someone has to score the points right, and

1021
00:45:47,280 --> 00:45:48,800
Speaker 4: you can imagine it being Godwin.

1022
00:45:49,040 --> 00:45:51,120
Speaker 2: All right, this is actually a week where I think

1023
00:45:51,120 --> 00:45:53,560
Speaker 2: I am going to be on Evans for a few reasons,

1024
00:45:53,560 --> 00:45:56,120
Speaker 2: and not to discount some of what you said there,

1025
00:45:56,120 --> 00:45:59,719
Speaker 2: because Godwin is always in play every week because he

1026
00:45:59,760 --> 00:46:03,399
Speaker 2: has Immen's talent, but Evans leads the league in air

1027
00:46:03,520 --> 00:46:05,560
Speaker 2: yards and yards after the catch combined on a per

1028
00:46:05,600 --> 00:46:09,239
Speaker 2: game basis. And more importantly, I think Latimore is likely

1029
00:46:09,280 --> 00:46:11,560
Speaker 2: to be out or limited this week because of the

1030
00:46:11,640 --> 00:46:14,799
Speaker 2: thigh injury he had last week, and so that means

1031
00:46:14,800 --> 00:46:17,800
Speaker 2: that everything gets better for all of those Tampa Bay players.

1032
00:46:17,800 --> 00:46:20,200
Speaker 2: So you have Eli Apple, who's going to be shadowing

1033
00:46:20,320 --> 00:46:23,799
Speaker 2: I'm assuming it's going to be shadowing Evans. PJ. Williams

1034
00:46:23,880 --> 00:46:27,440
Speaker 2: is going to go outside, and that means that Chauncey Gardner,

1035
00:46:27,600 --> 00:46:30,640
Speaker 2: Phillips or whatever his name is, like the third string

1036
00:46:30,800 --> 00:46:33,920
Speaker 2: safety who's a rookie is going to be playing in

1037
00:46:34,000 --> 00:46:37,200
Speaker 2: the slot. So a great spot for Godwin and a

1038
00:46:37,239 --> 00:46:38,960
Speaker 2: better spot for Evans as well.

1039
00:46:39,120 --> 00:46:42,320
Speaker 6: But for the per the Fantasy Labs NFL Trends tool,

1040
00:46:42,480 --> 00:46:45,400
Speaker 6: if you have played Mike Evans and Chris Godwin together

1041
00:46:45,560 --> 00:46:48,000
Speaker 6: every week, like regardless who just put.

1042
00:46:47,840 --> 00:46:50,560
Speaker 3: Both of them in, you'd have averaged out to.

1043
00:46:51,400 --> 00:46:56,080
Speaker 6: Forty three point eight points combined and plus thirteen plus

1044
00:46:56,080 --> 00:46:58,600
Speaker 6: minus essentially, So I think pretty good.

1045
00:46:58,880 --> 00:47:01,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, like this, this is maybe a spot where you

1046
00:47:01,960 --> 00:47:03,400
Speaker 2: just stack both of those guys.

1047
00:47:03,560 --> 00:47:06,160
Speaker 4: They should be the top like two or three price receivers.

1048
00:47:06,200 --> 00:47:08,200
Speaker 4: Can I take back what I said earlier. I'm going

1049
00:47:08,280 --> 00:47:11,040
Speaker 4: over on Drew Brees. Sorry, Sean, we got to change

1050
00:47:11,040 --> 00:47:13,040
Speaker 4: our opinion here. This changes everything.

1051
00:47:13,320 --> 00:47:16,799
Speaker 7: Stack Winston, Evans, Godwin and the Saints defense for when

1052
00:47:16,840 --> 00:47:19,600
Speaker 7: he throws a couple of pis ultimate stack.

1053
00:47:20,040 --> 00:47:22,840
Speaker 4: Oh definitely love it. I love that. Love throwing the

1054
00:47:22,840 --> 00:47:26,600
Speaker 4: defense in there, Kelly, who are you relatively long? Stefan Diggs?

1055
00:47:26,719 --> 00:47:30,840
Speaker 4: I mean Denver's defense is a run funnel defense, like

1056
00:47:30,880 --> 00:47:33,680
Speaker 4: they want you to run the ball, and you know,

1057
00:47:33,800 --> 00:47:37,960
Speaker 4: Chris Harris is is I think the ideal matchup. You know,

1058
00:47:38,000 --> 00:47:40,439
Speaker 4: if you're looking at cornerbacks that can handle a guy

1059
00:47:40,520 --> 00:47:43,160
Speaker 4: like Stefan Diggs. He's not too big, He's sort of

1060
00:47:43,160 --> 00:47:45,440
Speaker 4: a slot corner plus, and I think those guys do

1061
00:47:45,520 --> 00:47:48,319
Speaker 4: the best against Stefan Diggs. So I think this is

1062
00:47:48,320 --> 00:47:50,160
Speaker 4: going to be the Dalvin Cook Show. And I think

1063
00:47:50,200 --> 00:47:54,200
Speaker 4: that even without Adam Thielen, you're expecting, oh no, Adam Thielen. Wow,

1064
00:47:54,239 --> 00:47:57,440
Speaker 4: it's going to be definitely play digs, and you certainly

1065
00:47:57,480 --> 00:48:00,439
Speaker 4: should depending on your roster and see in the league,

1066
00:48:00,480 --> 00:48:04,400
Speaker 4: you're probably playing digs anyway. But I'm relatively low on

1067
00:48:04,520 --> 00:48:07,719
Speaker 4: him because in these types of matchups where you have

1068
00:48:07,840 --> 00:48:10,960
Speaker 4: a strong running game at home and going up against

1069
00:48:10,960 --> 00:48:15,400
Speaker 4: a strong secondary, I mean, all the headwinds are lining

1070
00:48:15,520 --> 00:48:18,520
Speaker 4: up to throttle Stefan Diggs production this week.

1071
00:48:18,880 --> 00:48:21,880
Speaker 6: Bro, I get a double take when I ran my

1072
00:48:22,000 --> 00:48:24,279
Speaker 6: projections and I saw where Stefan Diggs ended up.

1073
00:48:24,440 --> 00:48:26,720
Speaker 3: He's at number thirty one. It's just one of those well.

1074
00:48:26,560 --> 00:48:29,120
Speaker 6: Scoring projected games that could get could get ugly for

1075
00:48:29,160 --> 00:48:29,960
Speaker 6: the pass catchers.

1076
00:48:30,280 --> 00:48:33,160
Speaker 4: But also remember Mike Zimmer said that Adam Thielen's week

1077
00:48:33,200 --> 00:48:35,000
Speaker 4: to week, which we know means month to month, so

1078
00:48:35,040 --> 00:48:37,520
Speaker 4: there's no guarantee feeling plays. There's a lot of fate

1079
00:48:37,600 --> 00:48:38,479
Speaker 4: opportunity there.

1080
00:48:38,680 --> 00:48:41,200
Speaker 2: All right, So Raymond, you are relatively low on Diggs

1081
00:48:41,239 --> 00:48:42,880
Speaker 2: as well, Sean, who are you low on?

1082
00:48:43,480 --> 00:48:45,840
Speaker 7: I'm going to go with DJ Chark just I'm going

1083
00:48:45,920 --> 00:48:48,240
Speaker 7: to be a little bit cautious with him with Foles returning,

1084
00:48:48,760 --> 00:48:51,640
Speaker 7: obviously a great chemistry with Minshew. I could see Foles,

1085
00:48:51,680 --> 00:48:54,640
Speaker 7: you know, widening the target tree, so to speak. You know,

1086
00:48:54,719 --> 00:48:57,680
Speaker 7: he had chemistry of Ddee Westbrook in the preseason, and

1087
00:48:57,800 --> 00:49:01,000
Speaker 7: DD's supposedly back to one hundred percent. We know if Foles,

1088
00:49:01,080 --> 00:49:03,440
Speaker 7: you know, brought in Chris Connelly, they have chemistry. So

1089
00:49:03,640 --> 00:49:06,200
Speaker 7: I get to see Chark getting a slightly lower target share.

1090
00:49:06,440 --> 00:49:08,400
Speaker 5: So I have him right now. Is my wide receiver eighteen.

1091
00:49:08,480 --> 00:49:11,239
Speaker 3: I think his ECR is wide wide receiver ten.

1092
00:49:12,000 --> 00:49:13,720
Speaker 7: So I'm just going to be a little bit cautious

1093
00:49:13,760 --> 00:49:16,759
Speaker 7: with Foles returning to see where this goes. But it's

1094
00:49:16,760 --> 00:49:19,400
Speaker 7: not an indictment against Chuck's skill set. I think his

1095
00:49:19,560 --> 00:49:22,080
Speaker 7: numbers have matched his talent. But just with Foles under center,

1096
00:49:22,120 --> 00:49:23,560
Speaker 7: I'm going be a little bit careful with him this

1097
00:49:23,600 --> 00:49:25,440
Speaker 7: week in terms of my projections.

1098
00:49:25,560 --> 00:49:28,760
Speaker 2: All right, Sean, I believe that your prop is also

1099
00:49:28,840 --> 00:49:30,800
Speaker 2: for Shark. Go ahead, give it to us.

1100
00:49:30,680 --> 00:49:32,879
Speaker 5: Yeah, exactly. So I want to hear your guys take

1101
00:49:32,920 --> 00:49:33,160
Speaker 5: on it.

1102
00:49:33,600 --> 00:49:36,680
Speaker 7: You know, if Foles returning, I have Charks receiving yards

1103
00:49:36,760 --> 00:49:38,120
Speaker 7: right now, they're at Indy.

1104
00:49:38,840 --> 00:49:40,240
Speaker 5: I have it at sixty and a half.

1105
00:49:40,719 --> 00:49:43,839
Speaker 2: Also take the over. I get your rationale for why

1106
00:49:43,880 --> 00:49:46,840
Speaker 2: he would maybe be less targeted this week, but I

1107
00:49:46,880 --> 00:49:49,319
Speaker 2: have him projected for about sixty five.

1108
00:49:49,640 --> 00:49:51,359
Speaker 3: Yeah, I have him four or five for sixty five.

1109
00:49:51,440 --> 00:49:53,080
Speaker 3: So I'm going going over.

1110
00:49:53,440 --> 00:49:56,600
Speaker 4: I'll go under with Dede Westbrook back. We don't know

1111
00:49:56,680 --> 00:49:59,400
Speaker 4: how the targets will be distributed. We haven't seen him

1112
00:49:59,440 --> 00:50:02,480
Speaker 4: play solong. We just don't know what his preference is

1113
00:50:02,560 --> 00:50:04,160
Speaker 4: going to be, what the game plan is going to be.

1114
00:50:04,600 --> 00:50:08,279
Speaker 4: And inside receivers do better against the Indianapolis Colts, that's

1115
00:50:08,320 --> 00:50:10,839
Speaker 4: how their defense is set up. So I'm going under

1116
00:50:10,920 --> 00:50:11,360
Speaker 4: on Shark.

1117
00:50:11,600 --> 00:50:13,200
Speaker 2: All right, Let's get to the tight ends. The guys

1118
00:50:13,239 --> 00:50:16,880
Speaker 2: at the top of our rankings George Kittle, Travis Kelcey, Hunter, Henry.

1119
00:50:16,960 --> 00:50:19,600
Speaker 2: But all three of those guys are somewhat uncertain, and

1120
00:50:20,120 --> 00:50:21,920
Speaker 2: you know, obviously those last who are not on the

1121
00:50:21,960 --> 00:50:24,080
Speaker 2: main slate, Kelly, who has your eye?

1122
00:50:24,280 --> 00:50:27,360
Speaker 4: I mean Mark Andrews, baby, I mean all the Mark Andrews,

1123
00:50:27,360 --> 00:50:29,359
Speaker 4: because you want to play Lamar Jackson, right, and if

1124
00:50:29,360 --> 00:50:32,960
Speaker 4: you're playing Lamar Jackson, you're gonna want to play Mark

1125
00:50:33,040 --> 00:50:36,240
Speaker 4: Andrews a tight end that's in the Millimaker. Of course,

1126
00:50:36,280 --> 00:50:39,880
Speaker 4: he's by far and away the best option. Because of

1127
00:50:39,920 --> 00:50:42,759
Speaker 4: the Mexico City game is off the milli Maker. They

1128
00:50:42,840 --> 00:50:45,680
Speaker 4: might go back to Jack Doyle. We know that Brian

1129
00:50:45,760 --> 00:50:48,239
Speaker 4: Hoyer likes Jack Doyle. I think that there's very few

1130
00:50:48,239 --> 00:50:50,400
Speaker 4: options in that receiving game. We had a lot of

1131
00:50:50,480 --> 00:50:54,480
Speaker 4: drops from everyone in that passing game last week, and

1132
00:50:54,800 --> 00:50:57,880
Speaker 4: it seems like the only receiver you can trust in

1133
00:50:57,920 --> 00:51:01,680
Speaker 4: Indianapolis right now is Jack Doyle. So I'd play him.

1134
00:51:01,800 --> 00:51:04,359
Speaker 4: I mean, it's it's so the position is so thin

1135
00:51:04,680 --> 00:51:06,319
Speaker 4: that it's like it's like a lock that you're playing

1136
00:51:06,400 --> 00:51:07,320
Speaker 4: Jack Doyle this week.

1137
00:51:07,480 --> 00:51:10,520
Speaker 2: Sean wanting to talk about Eric Ebron is someone he's

1138
00:51:10,520 --> 00:51:11,359
Speaker 2: relatively high on.

1139
00:51:11,800 --> 00:51:14,200
Speaker 5: Yeah, I love Ebron at thirty six hundred.

1140
00:51:14,680 --> 00:51:16,480
Speaker 7: You know, he had that closed door meeting with Frank

1141
00:51:16,520 --> 00:51:18,640
Speaker 7: Reich last week saying, you know, he wanted to get

1142
00:51:18,640 --> 00:51:20,600
Speaker 7: more involved in the offense, and sure enough, he saw

1143
00:51:20,719 --> 00:51:24,360
Speaker 7: twelve targets. It only resulted in a five fifty sixth line,

1144
00:51:24,440 --> 00:51:26,120
Speaker 7: so you know he left a lot on the board.

1145
00:51:26,160 --> 00:51:28,600
Speaker 7: He actually caught a touchdown and the ball just slipped

1146
00:51:28,600 --> 00:51:32,160
Speaker 7: out into the Dolphins defender for a pick. He made

1147
00:51:32,200 --> 00:51:34,000
Speaker 7: a pretty bad drop later in the game too, But

1148
00:51:34,040 --> 00:51:38,400
Speaker 7: the opportunity's there, and you know, hopefully Brussette can return

1149
00:51:38,440 --> 00:51:40,879
Speaker 7: this week, or maybe they tried tried Kelly out. I'm

1150
00:51:40,960 --> 00:51:43,600
Speaker 7: under center. I didn't think Clayer good at all, but

1151
00:51:43,680 --> 00:51:45,719
Speaker 7: you know, the opportunities there and that's all you can

1152
00:51:45,760 --> 00:51:48,160
Speaker 7: ask for for a tight end under four K. So

1153
00:51:48,440 --> 00:51:50,560
Speaker 7: give me Eric Ebron drops an all.

1154
00:51:50,640 --> 00:51:53,880
Speaker 4: I would feel comfortable playing Jack Doyle in seasonal leagues

1155
00:51:53,920 --> 00:51:56,720
Speaker 4: and in cash games, but in GPPs, I mean, fire

1156
00:51:56,800 --> 00:52:00,000
Speaker 4: up Eric Ebron, baby, yep, exactly, Raybon, who are you high?

1157
00:52:00,880 --> 00:52:02,480
Speaker 3: Jared Cook comes out of nowhere.

1158
00:52:02,560 --> 00:52:04,560
Speaker 6: Now he's up at He's number seven in the league

1159
00:52:04,600 --> 00:52:06,960
Speaker 6: in air yard share at twenty percent.

1160
00:52:07,440 --> 00:52:09,239
Speaker 3: But yeah, that kind of came out of nowhere. And

1161
00:52:09,239 --> 00:52:10,680
Speaker 3: now he's going the Bucks.

1162
00:52:10,680 --> 00:52:14,960
Speaker 6: Who are they are number twenty nine in DVOA versus

1163
00:52:14,960 --> 00:52:17,319
Speaker 6: the tight end position. So I think this is a

1164
00:52:17,320 --> 00:52:20,359
Speaker 6: matchup where you know you've got to have you're don't

1165
00:52:20,360 --> 00:52:21,920
Speaker 6: have to pay attention to Michael Thomas, and I think

1166
00:52:21,920 --> 00:52:23,759
Speaker 6: that that's gonna start to help Cook. We've seen is

1167
00:52:23,840 --> 00:52:25,760
Speaker 6: upside in the past. Then you have a good spot

1168
00:52:25,840 --> 00:52:29,040
Speaker 6: for Greg Olsen going against the Falcons defense. You know

1169
00:52:29,320 --> 00:52:32,440
Speaker 6: they've just been decimated by injuries, you know, in the secondary,

1170
00:52:32,719 --> 00:52:35,520
Speaker 6: so this is nothing new with them. You know, they're

1171
00:52:36,080 --> 00:52:38,719
Speaker 6: eighteenth and DVOA versus tight ends and this could be

1172
00:52:38,920 --> 00:52:42,560
Speaker 6: a higher scoring game. So like Olsen and and like

1173
00:52:42,600 --> 00:52:45,120
Speaker 6: Cook this week in Waller, I mean, Cincinnati's number thirty

1174
00:52:45,120 --> 00:52:47,480
Speaker 6: one versus tight ends in DVO. They have no linebackers.

1175
00:52:47,560 --> 00:52:50,200
Speaker 6: It's just like you said, the game script, but somebody's

1176
00:52:50,239 --> 00:52:52,200
Speaker 6: got to do something for them to get into positive

1177
00:52:52,200 --> 00:52:54,879
Speaker 6: game script. And they give a lot more. They give

1178
00:52:54,920 --> 00:52:56,400
Speaker 6: up more production to tight ends than they give up

1179
00:52:56,400 --> 00:52:58,160
Speaker 6: to like number one wide receivers and all that.

1180
00:52:58,239 --> 00:53:01,240
Speaker 4: So we's averaged thirty yards last three weeks.

1181
00:53:01,360 --> 00:53:02,160
Speaker 3: Great time to buyball.

1182
00:53:02,440 --> 00:53:05,520
Speaker 2: Let's just skip the tight ends we aren't high on

1183
00:53:05,560 --> 00:53:09,520
Speaker 2: because that's basically everyone. Let's get to the prop because

1184
00:53:09,560 --> 00:53:11,360
Speaker 2: that's what Sean is going to talk about.

1185
00:53:11,520 --> 00:53:14,080
Speaker 7: Yeah, getting to the Darren Waller prop. I already got

1186
00:53:14,080 --> 00:53:15,960
Speaker 7: your guys take you guys seem pretty high on him.

1187
00:53:16,360 --> 00:53:17,919
Speaker 7: He was the guy I'm below on because I think

1188
00:53:17,960 --> 00:53:21,000
Speaker 7: this game script where our ten point favorites could hurt him.

1189
00:53:21,080 --> 00:53:23,680
Speaker 7: You know, we've seen him. He's averaged sixteen point three

1190
00:53:23,680 --> 00:53:27,080
Speaker 7: to five half VPR points in their four losses and

1191
00:53:27,200 --> 00:53:29,640
Speaker 7: only seven point three eight on their five wins, So

1192
00:53:29,680 --> 00:53:32,160
Speaker 7: I think he's sort of a guy that benefits from

1193
00:53:32,200 --> 00:53:35,760
Speaker 7: negative game scripts either way. I have his receiving yards

1194
00:53:36,440 --> 00:53:39,719
Speaker 7: at fifty four and a half right now under I'll

1195
00:53:39,760 --> 00:53:40,160
Speaker 7: go over.

1196
00:53:40,440 --> 00:53:42,160
Speaker 6: I just think this defense is bad enough that all

1197
00:53:42,160 --> 00:53:44,440
Speaker 6: it takes is one big play, And sometimes I think

1198
00:53:44,600 --> 00:53:46,520
Speaker 6: we talk ourselves into all these games scripts with the

1199
00:53:46,560 --> 00:53:48,480
Speaker 6: bottom line is I mean, Cincinnati could come out and

1200
00:53:48,560 --> 00:53:51,239
Speaker 6: just like that Oakwen defense is bad, Ryan Finley could

1201
00:53:51,239 --> 00:53:52,600
Speaker 6: get it to go with like two touchdowns in the

1202
00:53:52,600 --> 00:53:54,440
Speaker 6: first quarter. Like, I think this is one of those

1203
00:53:54,480 --> 00:53:58,040
Speaker 6: high variant games where I wouldn't mind loading up on

1204
00:53:58,080 --> 00:53:58,719
Speaker 6: some water.

1205
00:53:59,239 --> 00:54:00,799
Speaker 2: I'll take the over. I think it's a good line.

1206
00:54:00,840 --> 00:54:02,759
Speaker 2: I'm actually pretty close on it, but I'm slightly to

1207
00:54:02,840 --> 00:54:06,160
Speaker 2: the over. Let's get to the Twitter fantasy questions and

1208
00:54:06,440 --> 00:54:09,680
Speaker 2: let's blaze through them. Mansion. This is from Yeah Okay, dude,

1209
00:54:09,719 --> 00:54:11,719
Speaker 2: does Brian Hill have a real chance of being the man,

1210
00:54:11,840 --> 00:54:14,480
Speaker 2: not just this year but next year in Atlanta?

1211
00:54:14,600 --> 00:54:17,720
Speaker 4: No, of course not. Have you seen the running backs

1212
00:54:17,760 --> 00:54:20,880
Speaker 4: that are set to enter the draft in twenty twenty,

1213
00:54:21,120 --> 00:54:25,680
Speaker 4: Oh my god, And you know the Falcon is going

1214
00:54:25,719 --> 00:54:27,799
Speaker 4: to be in the market for a running back. I

1215
00:54:28,000 --> 00:54:30,680
Speaker 4: project the Falcons to draft running back in the second

1216
00:54:30,760 --> 00:54:36,640
Speaker 4: round and immediately render or relegate Brian Hill to backup duties.

1217
00:54:36,680 --> 00:54:39,319
Speaker 4: But he's going to be fantasy relevant for a long time.

1218
00:54:39,640 --> 00:54:42,920
Speaker 4: He was an all purpose back at Wyoming. He's twittered

1219
00:54:42,920 --> 00:54:46,080
Speaker 4: and twenty pounds. He's an above average athlete across the board.

1220
00:54:46,160 --> 00:54:49,440
Speaker 4: I think he's an adequate at best receiver. He has

1221
00:54:49,480 --> 00:54:52,439
Speaker 4: at least shown that he can catch the ball. He's

1222
00:54:52,480 --> 00:54:56,040
Speaker 4: not the most incompetent receiver. And if you're just the

1223
00:54:56,080 --> 00:54:58,560
Speaker 4: backup running back for the Atlanta Falcons, if they could

1224
00:54:58,560 --> 00:55:01,719
Speaker 4: invest in the offensive line next year, plenty of running backs,

1225
00:55:01,800 --> 00:55:04,439
Speaker 4: especially rookie running backs, flame out in their first year

1226
00:55:04,480 --> 00:55:07,120
Speaker 4: for one reason or another. So he's a guy you're

1227
00:55:07,120 --> 00:55:09,640
Speaker 4: gonna want a draft next year in the double digit rounds,

1228
00:55:09,680 --> 00:55:12,400
Speaker 4: assuming he's the backup. But I think he's good, like

1229
00:55:12,440 --> 00:55:15,000
Speaker 4: I think that's the big debate is Brian Hill good

1230
00:55:15,080 --> 00:55:17,000
Speaker 4: or bad? I think he's good. I think he's going

1231
00:55:17,040 --> 00:55:19,239
Speaker 4: to be in the NFL a long time. But I

1232
00:55:19,320 --> 00:55:21,880
Speaker 4: do believe the Falcons will be drafting a talent at

1233
00:55:21,920 --> 00:55:22,880
Speaker 4: running back in the draft.

1234
00:55:23,040 --> 00:55:25,680
Speaker 2: All right, Sean, this is from Triple Crown. With the

1235
00:55:25,760 --> 00:55:29,000
Speaker 2: loss of Austin Hooper, who should owners be looking at

1236
00:55:29,040 --> 00:55:29,680
Speaker 2: for tight end?

1237
00:55:30,040 --> 00:55:33,040
Speaker 7: Yeah, so I mentioned this earlier. I'm in the same predicament.

1238
00:55:33,360 --> 00:55:35,600
Speaker 7: There's nothing much you can do. You just have to

1239
00:55:35,640 --> 00:55:38,560
Speaker 7: stream tight end. So that involves looking at our rankings

1240
00:55:38,680 --> 00:55:41,480
Speaker 7: and whoever is the highest ranked tight end that is available,

1241
00:55:41,520 --> 00:55:43,560
Speaker 7: You're going to play that guy. It's not pleasant, but

1242
00:55:43,600 --> 00:55:46,520
Speaker 7: that's all you can do. Don't do something stupid like trade,

1243
00:55:47,400 --> 00:55:49,399
Speaker 7: you know, Dave Montgomery Way just to get Jared Cook.

1244
00:55:49,480 --> 00:55:51,120
Speaker 7: I see people do that where they feel like they

1245
00:55:51,200 --> 00:55:54,000
Speaker 7: need to just have a top fifteen tight end just

1246
00:55:54,040 --> 00:55:56,200
Speaker 7: to have on their team. You're just gonna have to

1247
00:55:56,239 --> 00:55:58,880
Speaker 7: survive with, you know, like a Noah fan or.

1248
00:55:59,520 --> 00:56:01,880
Speaker 4: I have a great idea if a guy named Ryan

1249
00:56:01,920 --> 00:56:05,760
Speaker 4: Griffin is available. He's run twenty five or more routes

1250
00:56:06,239 --> 00:56:10,359
Speaker 4: in all three games since Sam Darnold returned until last week.

1251
00:56:10,400 --> 00:56:12,360
Speaker 4: Of course, with Chris Herndon. But now Chris Herndon is

1252
00:56:12,360 --> 00:56:14,640
Speaker 4: out again, we're gonna see a lot of routes run

1253
00:56:14,640 --> 00:56:17,920
Speaker 4: by Ryan Griffin and he has double digit touchdown upside,

1254
00:56:17,960 --> 00:56:20,959
Speaker 4: which we saw in Week eight against Jacksonville. Look Out

1255
00:56:21,000 --> 00:56:22,640
Speaker 4: for Ryan Griffin, guys, a stud.

1256
00:56:22,800 --> 00:56:25,040
Speaker 7: Yeah, so exactly if you have Hooper, you're gonna have

1257
00:56:25,040 --> 00:56:28,879
Speaker 7: for land, you know, garbage like Ryan Griffin for the time.

1258
00:56:30,239 --> 00:56:32,600
Speaker 3: Hopefully, hopefully, hopefully.

1259
00:56:33,040 --> 00:56:35,200
Speaker 7: You know, a lot of my Hooper teams are you know,

1260
00:56:35,280 --> 00:56:37,799
Speaker 7: pretty much set for the playoffs. Hopefully he'll be back

1261
00:56:37,840 --> 00:56:39,719
Speaker 7: for the fancy playoffs and you know, you'll just have

1262
00:56:39,760 --> 00:56:41,480
Speaker 7: to survive the next couple weeks with them.

1263
00:56:41,520 --> 00:56:43,240
Speaker 5: So so hopefully he's back in three weeks.

1264
00:56:43,480 --> 00:56:47,000
Speaker 2: All right, final question here, Raymond, is Todd Gurley toast

1265
00:56:47,120 --> 00:56:48,880
Speaker 2: or is it a product of the O line.

1266
00:56:49,480 --> 00:56:51,160
Speaker 3: It is a product of the old line.

1267
00:56:51,160 --> 00:56:53,560
Speaker 6: It's also a product of just they do really want

1268
00:56:53,600 --> 00:56:54,800
Speaker 6: to kind of limit his workload.

1269
00:56:55,440 --> 00:56:56,719
Speaker 3: But at the end of the day, I think you're

1270
00:56:56,719 --> 00:56:59,080
Speaker 3: gonna get more of the same from him.

1271
00:56:59,080 --> 00:57:02,000
Speaker 6: You're gonna get about fifteen carries, you're gonna get, you know,

1272
00:57:02,120 --> 00:57:04,959
Speaker 6: good games when he has touchdown variants go on his side.

1273
00:57:04,960 --> 00:57:06,960
Speaker 6: And he gets one or two and some bad games

1274
00:57:06,960 --> 00:57:09,240
Speaker 6: when he does it. But I'm still a top twenty

1275
00:57:09,239 --> 00:57:11,200
Speaker 6: four running back in mind, all.

1276
00:57:11,160 --> 00:57:13,319
Speaker 2: Right, everyone, be sure to follow Matt on Twitter at

1277
00:57:13,360 --> 00:57:16,000
Speaker 2: Fantasy Underscore Mansion. You can follow Sean, Chris and Me

1278
00:57:16,040 --> 00:57:18,560
Speaker 2: and the Action Network app at the Underscore Odds maker

1279
00:57:18,680 --> 00:57:21,040
Speaker 2: Chris Raybond and Matt f the Oracle. Use the app

1280
00:57:21,120 --> 00:57:23,560
Speaker 2: to get real time odds and track your bets for free.

1281
00:57:23,680 --> 00:57:25,200
Speaker 2: That is going to do it for this episode of

1282
00:57:25,240 --> 00:57:27,640
Speaker 2: the Action Network podcast. Check out the rest of our

1283
00:57:27,680 --> 00:57:30,360
Speaker 2: episodes and live shows this week. Please subscribe to and

1284
00:57:30,480 --> 00:57:33,600
Speaker 2: rate and review the show on Apple Podcasts, Radio dot com,

1285
00:57:33,680 --> 00:57:44,320
Speaker 2: or wherever you get your podcast. See again next episode.