1 00:00:00,400 --> 00:00:02,759 Speaker 1: Welcome in, everybody to betting pros. It's time to place 2 00:00:02,800 --> 00:00:05,000 Speaker 1: your bets. It's me Joey v Joe, Pi's a P 3 00:00:05,200 --> 00:00:09,039 Speaker 1: and this is BP NFL. We've gotten not one, but 4 00:00:09,200 --> 00:00:12,119 Speaker 1: two Monday night football games to talk about today, and 5 00:00:12,200 --> 00:00:14,040 Speaker 1: to help me do it, the proud father of Camp 6 00:00:14,080 --> 00:00:18,119 Speaker 1: Scattaboo himself, Scott Bogman, is here. What's it like to 7 00:00:18,160 --> 00:00:20,119 Speaker 1: watch your son run all over the Eagles for a 8 00:00:20,120 --> 00:00:23,120 Speaker 1: million touchdowns on Thursday night football box? You know? 9 00:00:23,440 --> 00:00:27,240 Speaker 2: I mean, my first born Alejandro Kirk has been on 10 00:00:27,320 --> 00:00:30,400 Speaker 2: a great he's been on a great streak in the 11 00:00:30,440 --> 00:00:33,840 Speaker 2: playoffs for the Blue Jays, and my other son, Cam 12 00:00:33,880 --> 00:00:38,000 Speaker 2: Skataboo is handing out CTE to all the Phillies Philly 13 00:00:38,040 --> 00:00:41,120 Speaker 2: defensive players. So uh yeah, it's been a great time 14 00:00:41,200 --> 00:00:45,160 Speaker 2: being the big man on Camp Scataboo for the entire offseason. 15 00:00:45,200 --> 00:00:46,600 Speaker 2: You were on the train too, man. 16 00:00:46,560 --> 00:00:48,360 Speaker 1: Right behind your man. Ye look you were. 17 00:00:48,880 --> 00:00:49,960 Speaker 2: You are early in that one. 18 00:00:50,159 --> 00:00:52,400 Speaker 1: You're the conductor. I was, I was right there, man. 19 00:00:52,479 --> 00:00:54,720 Speaker 1: I told you. It was it was the really it 20 00:00:54,760 --> 00:00:56,360 Speaker 1: was the game against Texas where it just put out 21 00:00:56,400 --> 00:00:59,240 Speaker 1: yes and I'm very careful. I never text Bogman during 22 00:00:59,240 --> 00:01:02,319 Speaker 1: Texas games, let alone college football playoff. So I had 23 00:01:02,360 --> 00:01:04,240 Speaker 1: to wait because I knew if I had anything to say, 24 00:01:04,280 --> 00:01:05,640 Speaker 1: I had to wait till that game was over. And 25 00:01:05,640 --> 00:01:07,920 Speaker 1: then it went to overtime as a whole deal. But 26 00:01:07,959 --> 00:01:10,040 Speaker 1: we had a long conversation back and forth about him 27 00:01:10,080 --> 00:01:12,640 Speaker 1: after that, and it was just it's incredible to watch man, 28 00:01:12,400 --> 00:01:16,000 Speaker 1: And it's the vibes of the environment, it's for sure. 29 00:01:16,280 --> 00:01:17,960 Speaker 1: And we've got vibes today for these games too, and 30 00:01:18,040 --> 00:01:21,320 Speaker 1: we're going to talk about these games. We got Buffalo, Atlanta, Chicago, Washington. 31 00:01:21,680 --> 00:01:24,480 Speaker 1: So make sure you are downloading the Betting Pros app, 32 00:01:24,520 --> 00:01:26,880 Speaker 1: make sure you are subscribing to our YouTube channel here. 33 00:01:27,080 --> 00:01:29,840 Speaker 1: Stay with us all season long for NFL because we 34 00:01:29,880 --> 00:01:33,039 Speaker 1: are here to help you cash and look, we've got 35 00:01:33,160 --> 00:01:35,679 Speaker 1: good times going on here. Plus we've also got to giveaway. 36 00:01:35,720 --> 00:01:38,200 Speaker 1: We've got the Nick Chubb helmet giveaway right now, sign 37 00:01:38,200 --> 00:01:40,360 Speaker 1: from Pristine Auction dot com. And if you want to 38 00:01:40,400 --> 00:01:42,000 Speaker 1: win this, bad boy, I'm gonna tell you how to 39 00:01:42,040 --> 00:01:44,240 Speaker 1: do it. The first thing you do is you go 40 00:01:44,280 --> 00:01:47,080 Speaker 1: ahead to Bettingpros dot com slash contest. You fill out 41 00:01:47,080 --> 00:01:49,080 Speaker 1: that little tiny form there and then you download the 42 00:01:49,120 --> 00:01:51,040 Speaker 1: Betting Pros app, you leave a review of the Betting 43 00:01:51,040 --> 00:01:54,200 Speaker 1: Pros podcast, You subscribe to our social media channels at 44 00:01:54,200 --> 00:01:57,720 Speaker 1: Betting Pros on x and on TikTok It's singular No 45 00:01:57,880 --> 00:02:00,840 Speaker 1: S Today and Betting Pros NFL on the IG. The 46 00:02:00,880 --> 00:02:04,240 Speaker 1: more actions you'll complete here, the more entries you'll receive, 47 00:02:04,280 --> 00:02:06,560 Speaker 1: and we'll be announcing the winner gets where right here 48 00:02:06,600 --> 00:02:08,280 Speaker 1: on the YouTube channel. So make sure you turn on 49 00:02:08,320 --> 00:02:10,400 Speaker 1: those notifications so he let you know if you are 50 00:02:10,440 --> 00:02:12,560 Speaker 1: the winner of the new Big prize here the Nick 51 00:02:12,600 --> 00:02:15,440 Speaker 1: Chubb helmet. All right, Bogs, let's start with game number 52 00:02:15,440 --> 00:02:18,160 Speaker 1: one here and by the way, at the record show, 53 00:02:18,200 --> 00:02:21,280 Speaker 1: Scot bogwin three and two for Thursday Night Football. Very good, 54 00:02:21,320 --> 00:02:24,519 Speaker 1: very good. Unfortunately my boy let me down at the 55 00:02:24,520 --> 00:02:26,720 Speaker 1: tight end position there. But that's a yeah, come on, 56 00:02:27,320 --> 00:02:28,840 Speaker 1: you know what, I should have known better too that 57 00:02:28,960 --> 00:02:31,320 Speaker 1: Like okay, it's like that was really fun. Now it's gonna, 58 00:02:31,360 --> 00:02:33,520 Speaker 1: you know, just all be scataboo. I should I should 59 00:02:33,520 --> 00:02:34,960 Speaker 1: have known at home it's just gonna be scataboo. 60 00:02:35,000 --> 00:02:37,320 Speaker 2: But yeah, I mean, because everybody on their card had 61 00:02:37,320 --> 00:02:40,359 Speaker 2: the Giants dominating this game and running away with it. 62 00:02:40,400 --> 00:02:41,840 Speaker 1: But the one thing we talked about I was like, 63 00:02:41,880 --> 00:02:43,760 Speaker 1: I am not comfortable with this eagle seven at all. 64 00:02:43,919 --> 00:02:45,959 Speaker 1: Like I am not We talked about that. Go back 65 00:02:45,960 --> 00:02:48,400 Speaker 1: and watch check the receipts. I was on the Giants 66 00:02:48,400 --> 00:02:50,560 Speaker 1: side of that football game, but I was not comfortable 67 00:02:50,560 --> 00:02:52,720 Speaker 1: at all with the Philly points. I thought Philly might 68 00:02:52,720 --> 00:02:55,320 Speaker 1: eke it out, but you know, and they might have 69 00:02:55,800 --> 00:02:58,160 Speaker 1: had that turnover in the red zone not happened towards 70 00:02:58,320 --> 00:03:01,160 Speaker 1: in the fourth quarter. There maybe things change a little 71 00:03:01,160 --> 00:03:03,040 Speaker 1: bit there the dynamic. You start to feel a little like, 72 00:03:03,080 --> 00:03:05,040 Speaker 1: oh no, like where are we going? But it's in 73 00:03:05,080 --> 00:03:07,040 Speaker 1: the past now. All we can do is look ahead 74 00:03:07,080 --> 00:03:08,639 Speaker 1: to the future. And the future gives us the four 75 00:03:08,639 --> 00:03:11,520 Speaker 1: to one Buffalo Bills against the Atlanta Falcons coming off 76 00:03:11,560 --> 00:03:14,480 Speaker 1: of bye Atlanta is a five point underdog at home 77 00:03:14,639 --> 00:03:17,519 Speaker 1: minus four for the Buffalo Bills forty nine and a 78 00:03:17,520 --> 00:03:20,240 Speaker 1: half the over fifty is the under. You're getting minus 79 00:03:20,240 --> 00:03:21,720 Speaker 1: two five on the money line for the Bills and 80 00:03:21,720 --> 00:03:23,880 Speaker 1: plus one ninety eight. So the Bills looking their wounds 81 00:03:23,919 --> 00:03:27,200 Speaker 1: after a big home loss here, huge one to the 82 00:03:27,400 --> 00:03:30,400 Speaker 1: Indivision New York excuse me, the New England Patriots. So 83 00:03:30,919 --> 00:03:32,600 Speaker 1: for this one, I'm just gonna stick with the over 84 00:03:32,680 --> 00:03:36,200 Speaker 1: in this. I don't love the Buffalo Bills defense. I've 85 00:03:36,200 --> 00:03:39,080 Speaker 1: made no qualms about that. I like Atlanta rested off 86 00:03:39,080 --> 00:03:41,080 Speaker 1: a bye and starting to play a little better in 87 00:03:41,080 --> 00:03:42,840 Speaker 1: that last game leading up to the by So hopefully 88 00:03:42,880 --> 00:03:45,839 Speaker 1: we get a rested Byjon Robinson running a muckle over 89 00:03:45,880 --> 00:03:49,160 Speaker 1: that Buffalo defense, and if he does, that forces Josh 90 00:03:49,200 --> 00:03:50,680 Speaker 1: Allen to play up a little bit. So give me 91 00:03:50,760 --> 00:03:52,440 Speaker 1: over forty nine and a half. That's where I am. 92 00:03:52,520 --> 00:03:55,000 Speaker 1: Where are you at for this game? Pawks Man? 93 00:03:55,080 --> 00:03:57,680 Speaker 2: I'm him and and hawing in this game because I 94 00:03:57,720 --> 00:04:01,280 Speaker 2: think at minus three want on Buffalo, but at plus 95 00:04:01,360 --> 00:04:03,800 Speaker 2: five I want Atlanta. So I do think it's going 96 00:04:03,880 --> 00:04:06,720 Speaker 2: to be a nice tight one. Atlanta being at home 97 00:04:06,800 --> 00:04:08,440 Speaker 2: and coming off of bye week, it's hard to pick 98 00:04:08,480 --> 00:04:12,880 Speaker 2: against them. I'll probably just take points in both these games, honestly, 99 00:04:12,920 --> 00:04:15,600 Speaker 2: but the first one up I was on Buffalo. I 100 00:04:15,600 --> 00:04:18,279 Speaker 2: think if I can get five, if this sixpands anymore 101 00:04:18,360 --> 00:04:21,080 Speaker 2: to five and a half, six, I'm definitely taking Atlanta, 102 00:04:21,160 --> 00:04:24,360 Speaker 2: and I think it might. Buffalo's obviously very popular team 103 00:04:24,440 --> 00:04:27,359 Speaker 2: right now, but you know, Atlanta being at home and 104 00:04:27,360 --> 00:04:29,599 Speaker 2: coming off of bye two weeks to prep for this team. 105 00:04:29,839 --> 00:04:32,279 Speaker 2: They should have a better effort than a lot of teams, 106 00:04:32,279 --> 00:04:33,880 Speaker 2: and most NFL games are pretty close. 107 00:04:34,160 --> 00:04:36,479 Speaker 1: Bucks think about this. Let's say that they had pulled 108 00:04:36,480 --> 00:04:38,520 Speaker 1: the rabbit out of their hat and they beat the Patriots, Right, 109 00:04:38,800 --> 00:04:40,120 Speaker 1: what do you think this number would be? 110 00:04:41,320 --> 00:04:42,479 Speaker 2: Probably seven and a half. 111 00:04:42,680 --> 00:04:45,279 Speaker 1: That's what I think too. So I think you're getting 112 00:04:45,320 --> 00:04:48,920 Speaker 1: value here with Buffalo. So I think people are overestimating 113 00:04:48,920 --> 00:04:50,880 Speaker 1: a little bit in this line what happened last week 114 00:04:50,960 --> 00:04:53,560 Speaker 1: to the Buffalo Bills. So I think there's value with Buffalo. 115 00:04:53,640 --> 00:04:55,280 Speaker 1: I just don't want to bet it because. 116 00:04:55,120 --> 00:04:57,200 Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't want to take Atlanta either, because we 117 00:04:57,240 --> 00:05:00,680 Speaker 2: saw them lose thirty to zip to Carolina. Right. This 118 00:05:00,720 --> 00:05:03,360 Speaker 2: is a wishy, washy team right now. Michael Penix is 119 00:05:03,360 --> 00:05:05,680 Speaker 2: a young starter. He's gonna have hits and misses. I 120 00:05:05,720 --> 00:05:08,120 Speaker 2: do think that this. I do like your overplay too, 121 00:05:08,160 --> 00:05:10,120 Speaker 2: because I think that this Buffalo defense can be taken 122 00:05:10,160 --> 00:05:10,680 Speaker 2: advantage of. 123 00:05:10,800 --> 00:05:14,120 Speaker 1: Right now. Yeah, if you put the Bills, by the 124 00:05:14,160 --> 00:05:17,120 Speaker 1: way minus four and a half with the over forty 125 00:05:17,200 --> 00:05:18,839 Speaker 1: nine and a half, you get plus two forty five. 126 00:05:18,920 --> 00:05:20,920 Speaker 1: That's an interesting way to just kind of if you're 127 00:05:20,960 --> 00:05:22,680 Speaker 1: just gonna go all in on this game. That's the 128 00:05:22,680 --> 00:05:23,200 Speaker 1: way to do it. 129 00:05:23,200 --> 00:05:23,360 Speaker 2: Now. 130 00:05:23,400 --> 00:05:25,599 Speaker 1: Game number two, we have the Chicago Bears two and 131 00:05:25,640 --> 00:05:28,680 Speaker 1: two off thereby against the Washington Commanders, who got Jaydon 132 00:05:28,720 --> 00:05:30,800 Speaker 1: Daniels and got back on the win column last week. 133 00:05:31,080 --> 00:05:33,320 Speaker 1: The Commanders are four and a half point favorites at home, 134 00:05:33,360 --> 00:05:35,200 Speaker 1: which makes sense. You're getting plus four and a half 135 00:05:35,200 --> 00:05:37,240 Speaker 1: on the Bears. That's the best consensus line at betting 136 00:05:37,279 --> 00:05:39,760 Speaker 1: pros forty nine for the over, fifty and a half 137 00:05:39,760 --> 00:05:42,039 Speaker 1: for the under, plus two hundred on the money line 138 00:05:42,040 --> 00:05:44,640 Speaker 1: for the Chicago Bears, minus two fifteen on the money 139 00:05:44,680 --> 00:05:48,240 Speaker 1: line for the Commanders. You know, I'm trying my bet 140 00:05:48,360 --> 00:05:51,560 Speaker 1: No McLaurin for this game. Again, I'm trying my best. 141 00:05:51,560 --> 00:05:54,440 Speaker 2: People question now, didn't practice on Thursday. 142 00:05:54,560 --> 00:05:56,839 Speaker 1: Well, I think the debo questionable thing is like, look, 143 00:05:56,880 --> 00:05:58,720 Speaker 1: we just need to put debo and bubble rap because 144 00:05:58,720 --> 00:06:00,560 Speaker 1: we can't afford to lose anybody else. I'm sure he's 145 00:06:00,600 --> 00:06:03,839 Speaker 1: gonna play. I'm not too concerned about that. But again, 146 00:06:03,880 --> 00:06:06,120 Speaker 1: I don't love this one. I'm more apt to go 147 00:06:06,640 --> 00:06:08,640 Speaker 1: Buffalo in the over than I am to touch this 148 00:06:08,720 --> 00:06:10,440 Speaker 1: game at all. But if I had to lean on 149 00:06:10,480 --> 00:06:14,360 Speaker 1: this one, my lean right now would be towards Washington 150 00:06:14,360 --> 00:06:16,320 Speaker 1: with the four and a half, just because I feel 151 00:06:16,320 --> 00:06:18,640 Speaker 1: like the Bears make mistakes and they just they're their 152 00:06:18,680 --> 00:06:22,200 Speaker 1: own worst enemy at times. And with the fact that 153 00:06:22,279 --> 00:06:24,960 Speaker 1: the Washingt Commanders run the football so effectively, they're leading 154 00:06:24,960 --> 00:06:27,000 Speaker 1: the league and rushing this year, people won't realize that 155 00:06:27,040 --> 00:06:29,440 Speaker 1: as a team, and that was with Daniel's missing some games. 156 00:06:29,920 --> 00:06:31,520 Speaker 1: I think they can control this game a little bit 157 00:06:31,560 --> 00:06:33,359 Speaker 1: more and take advantage of some of those mistakes. So 158 00:06:33,360 --> 00:06:36,599 Speaker 1: that's my thought. But again, don't love this. I definitely 159 00:06:36,640 --> 00:06:38,120 Speaker 1: like the other one more for the over. That's my 160 00:06:38,160 --> 00:06:39,920 Speaker 1: favorite of these two games. But Bogs, where do you 161 00:06:39,960 --> 00:06:40,719 Speaker 1: stand with this one? 162 00:06:41,200 --> 00:06:43,039 Speaker 2: I feel like this is a field goal game, so 163 00:06:43,040 --> 00:06:45,960 Speaker 2: if you're gonna give me more than three, I'm gonna 164 00:06:46,000 --> 00:06:48,280 Speaker 2: take points. So I'm gonna take the plus four and 165 00:06:48,320 --> 00:06:50,720 Speaker 2: a half With Chicago, they are coming off of buy 166 00:06:50,800 --> 00:06:52,920 Speaker 2: as well, a couple weeks to prepare for this game. 167 00:06:53,000 --> 00:06:55,360 Speaker 2: But I kind of like an overplay in this one 168 00:06:55,400 --> 00:06:57,479 Speaker 2: as well. I might be a little overhappy here, but 169 00:06:58,640 --> 00:07:00,720 Speaker 2: you know, we have a lot of injuries in the 170 00:07:00,839 --> 00:07:06,040 Speaker 2: Chicago secondary. Obviously they are injuries for Washington's offense as well, 171 00:07:06,120 --> 00:07:08,479 Speaker 2: but I think Jayden Daniels, like you said, is going 172 00:07:08,520 --> 00:07:10,320 Speaker 2: to be able to have a big game. I like 173 00:07:10,640 --> 00:07:13,440 Speaker 2: the fact that we get Ben Johnson for two weeks 174 00:07:13,440 --> 00:07:16,240 Speaker 2: to draw plays for this game as well, So I 175 00:07:16,360 --> 00:07:18,480 Speaker 2: like a nice back and forth shootout here, So give 176 00:07:18,480 --> 00:07:20,800 Speaker 2: me the over in this one. I also take Chicago 177 00:07:20,880 --> 00:07:21,720 Speaker 2: plus the points. 178 00:07:21,880 --> 00:07:23,680 Speaker 1: All right, let's start with the props here, and it's 179 00:07:23,680 --> 00:07:25,800 Speaker 1: always easier when we get two games to choose from. 180 00:07:25,840 --> 00:07:29,840 Speaker 1: Let's start with Bill mister Krosky merrit himself, Tom Brady's 181 00:07:29,840 --> 00:07:32,200 Speaker 1: new favorite running back. Sixty three and a half is 182 00:07:32,200 --> 00:07:33,960 Speaker 1: the number for the rushing yards. And I was toying 183 00:07:33,960 --> 00:07:36,600 Speaker 1: around with this one. The projections have this very close Bogs, 184 00:07:36,760 --> 00:07:39,680 Speaker 1: but you're taking an over. So where's the confidence coming here? 185 00:07:39,720 --> 00:07:42,880 Speaker 1: Because obviously the projections are very spot on here with 186 00:07:43,120 --> 00:07:46,040 Speaker 1: this line. So what is it about that Bears defense? 187 00:07:46,080 --> 00:07:47,640 Speaker 1: You think there's a hole in where we can exploit 188 00:07:47,720 --> 00:07:48,320 Speaker 1: it the other way? 189 00:07:48,840 --> 00:07:51,520 Speaker 2: Well, I think there's two things. Number One, Grady Jarrett 190 00:07:51,520 --> 00:07:53,680 Speaker 2: looks like he's not going to go in this game. 191 00:07:53,720 --> 00:07:55,720 Speaker 2: But also the Bears run defense is thirty first in 192 00:07:55,800 --> 00:07:57,760 Speaker 2: yards allowed per game, they're twenty eighth and run defense 193 00:07:57,800 --> 00:08:01,400 Speaker 2: great on PFF also, Chrisriguez probably not going to play 194 00:08:01,400 --> 00:08:04,080 Speaker 2: in this game. And you know, in two of the 195 00:08:04,080 --> 00:08:08,120 Speaker 2: three games that Bill has played with Jade Daniels, he's 196 00:08:08,120 --> 00:08:10,520 Speaker 2: had much better rushing totals than he had with Mariota. 197 00:08:10,680 --> 00:08:14,000 Speaker 2: So I think that you know, Jayden being here plus 198 00:08:14,040 --> 00:08:17,080 Speaker 2: being down a couple of weapons, plus a bad Bears 199 00:08:17,160 --> 00:08:20,560 Speaker 2: run defense, that's that's three strikes here out. Let's go 200 00:08:20,600 --> 00:08:21,200 Speaker 2: get this over. 201 00:08:21,720 --> 00:08:24,800 Speaker 1: Okay, So the over for JCM here in this one. 202 00:08:25,200 --> 00:08:27,840 Speaker 1: B Jon Robinson. I've got a Bjon Bett coming later 203 00:08:27,880 --> 00:08:30,120 Speaker 1: in the show that I'm very enamored of, But this 204 00:08:30,400 --> 00:08:32,480 Speaker 1: rushing prop is seventy three and a half for him, 205 00:08:32,559 --> 00:08:34,920 Speaker 1: and you're taking the over. I know it was a 206 00:08:35,000 --> 00:08:36,640 Speaker 1: slow first game out of the game for him, but 207 00:08:36,679 --> 00:08:38,679 Speaker 1: after that we've been pretty close to this number. So 208 00:08:38,760 --> 00:08:41,240 Speaker 1: let's talk about the game log of b Jhon Robinson 209 00:08:41,400 --> 00:08:44,080 Speaker 1: and arrested B Jon Robinson against the Bills defense that 210 00:08:44,480 --> 00:08:46,320 Speaker 1: frankly is trouble stopping a lot of people. 211 00:08:46,880 --> 00:08:48,880 Speaker 2: And this is the last week. I feel like you're 212 00:08:48,920 --> 00:08:50,720 Speaker 2: really going to be able to take advantage of the 213 00:08:50,720 --> 00:08:54,280 Speaker 2: front seven for the Bills, Right, Michael Hoyt, Larry Ogunjobi, 214 00:08:54,320 --> 00:08:56,679 Speaker 2: two guys that they signed had that six week suspension, 215 00:08:56,840 --> 00:08:59,000 Speaker 2: so this is it. This is the last time, this 216 00:08:59,160 --> 00:09:01,880 Speaker 2: last game they're going to miss. So you're still down 217 00:09:01,920 --> 00:09:04,600 Speaker 2: those two guys at Oliver's banged up. TJ. Sanders looks 218 00:09:04,600 --> 00:09:07,080 Speaker 2: to be out. They are definitely less than one hundred 219 00:09:07,080 --> 00:09:09,800 Speaker 2: percent if they play in this game. And what do 220 00:09:09,880 --> 00:09:12,959 Speaker 2: you do when you are across from Josh Allen? You 221 00:09:13,040 --> 00:09:15,720 Speaker 2: run the ball, you slow the pace, you keep the 222 00:09:15,800 --> 00:09:18,320 Speaker 2: ball away from Josh Allen. So I think be Sean 223 00:09:18,440 --> 00:09:20,760 Speaker 2: is going to have tons of carries in this game. 224 00:09:21,040 --> 00:09:23,880 Speaker 2: Obviously he's explosive as well. So if he's getting a 225 00:09:23,880 --> 00:09:26,880 Speaker 2: bunch of carries, plus it's still a banged up and 226 00:09:26,960 --> 00:09:29,839 Speaker 2: suspended front seven for the Bills here, I think be 227 00:09:29,920 --> 00:09:31,559 Speaker 2: Sean's gonna eat all right. 228 00:09:31,600 --> 00:09:34,720 Speaker 1: Speaking of Josh Allen, he's gonna have to pull this 229 00:09:34,760 --> 00:09:36,520 Speaker 1: team up by the haunches as he always does. The 230 00:09:36,600 --> 00:09:38,440 Speaker 1: number is two to twenty eight and a half here 231 00:09:38,840 --> 00:09:40,880 Speaker 1: on the passing yards. We want to go over or 232 00:09:40,960 --> 00:09:42,640 Speaker 1: under that for Josh. 233 00:09:42,600 --> 00:09:44,400 Speaker 2: I mean I want to go over this. I feel 234 00:09:44,440 --> 00:09:47,560 Speaker 2: like this game is going to be a little shootout y, right. 235 00:09:47,679 --> 00:09:50,319 Speaker 2: I mean I think that the Buffalo defense last week 236 00:09:50,400 --> 00:09:52,640 Speaker 2: was smoked by New England and that was in twenty five, 237 00:09:52,760 --> 00:09:55,480 Speaker 2: twenty nine a possession for New England. So this might 238 00:09:55,559 --> 00:09:57,640 Speaker 2: need to play a little bit more. Point for point, 239 00:09:57,840 --> 00:10:01,200 Speaker 2: Atlanta pass defense has been strong, but after Mayfield, they 240 00:10:01,200 --> 00:10:05,000 Speaker 2: faced JJ mccarthen his second start, Bryce Young and Marcus Mariota. 241 00:10:05,160 --> 00:10:09,000 Speaker 2: That's why they have good statistical Uh you know, they 242 00:10:09,000 --> 00:10:11,439 Speaker 2: look good in the stats and they grade well. Uh, 243 00:10:11,679 --> 00:10:13,640 Speaker 2: it's you got to kind of dig a little deeper 244 00:10:13,679 --> 00:10:15,680 Speaker 2: and see that strength to schedule. Right, So I think 245 00:10:15,720 --> 00:10:18,280 Speaker 2: that Josh Allen will be able to pass all over 246 00:10:18,320 --> 00:10:21,000 Speaker 2: this team, and I think this number is set too low. 247 00:10:21,679 --> 00:10:23,960 Speaker 1: Yeah, let's get to the next one here on the 248 00:10:24,000 --> 00:10:27,960 Speaker 1: list here, which is actually DeAndre Swift. Now it's interesting 249 00:10:27,960 --> 00:10:30,320 Speaker 1: because coming out of this buy, I was really looking 250 00:10:30,360 --> 00:10:31,719 Speaker 1: forward to seeing what kalle man on Guy might be 251 00:10:31,760 --> 00:10:33,280 Speaker 1: able to do in this backfields, a little bit of 252 00:10:33,320 --> 00:10:35,559 Speaker 1: a shift there, especially since Swift has not played well. 253 00:10:35,880 --> 00:10:37,920 Speaker 1: That touchdown he had kind of masked some of the 254 00:10:37,960 --> 00:10:41,079 Speaker 1: bad play in the last game we saw. But unfortunately 255 00:10:41,120 --> 00:10:43,200 Speaker 1: Man Guy picked up an injury this week, so some 256 00:10:43,320 --> 00:10:45,240 Speaker 1: questionable thoughts whether or not he's going to play again. 257 00:10:45,280 --> 00:10:47,720 Speaker 1: We've got more time, but we're recording this Friday morning, 258 00:10:48,240 --> 00:10:51,000 Speaker 1: So again we don't know exactly what's going to happen here, 259 00:10:51,000 --> 00:10:53,439 Speaker 1: how this backfield does shake out, But there could be 260 00:10:53,480 --> 00:10:55,720 Speaker 1: some value here with Swift if indeed Manong Guy is 261 00:10:55,720 --> 00:10:57,959 Speaker 1: out to jump on early bogs, So let's talk about it. 262 00:10:59,360 --> 00:11:02,680 Speaker 2: I mean, the real thing here is is that, uh, look, 263 00:11:03,120 --> 00:11:05,640 Speaker 2: just Manog Guy is probably not gonna play, and this 264 00:11:05,840 --> 00:11:09,560 Speaker 2: is a bye He didn't practice on a Thursday after 265 00:11:09,640 --> 00:11:12,520 Speaker 2: a bye week. That's a really bad sign. Like if 266 00:11:12,520 --> 00:11:15,000 Speaker 2: you're coming off a game and you want to be 267 00:11:15,120 --> 00:11:18,760 Speaker 2: rested because you're playing Monday, sometimes you use Thursday as 268 00:11:18,760 --> 00:11:21,559 Speaker 2: a veteran rest day instead of Wednesday as a veteran 269 00:11:21,600 --> 00:11:23,960 Speaker 2: rest day, right, Joey. But this is not a veteran 270 00:11:24,400 --> 00:11:27,360 Speaker 2: and you're off of a bye week. So I don't 271 00:11:27,360 --> 00:11:29,080 Speaker 2: think monag Guy is going to play in this game. 272 00:11:29,200 --> 00:11:30,880 Speaker 2: So I think DeAndre Swift gets a lot of run 273 00:11:30,920 --> 00:11:34,200 Speaker 2: because Roshan has been on this roster and they've given 274 00:11:34,280 --> 00:11:36,920 Speaker 2: him nothing. He hasn't touched the football yet, so he 275 00:11:36,960 --> 00:11:39,679 Speaker 2: will definitely get touches in this game. But I think 276 00:11:40,000 --> 00:11:43,200 Speaker 2: you know, if you're that if you're if he's that 277 00:11:43,320 --> 00:11:45,160 Speaker 2: low in your depth chart, kind of like De Mercado 278 00:11:45,280 --> 00:11:48,040 Speaker 2: was for the Cardinals before everybody got hurt there. I 279 00:11:48,040 --> 00:11:50,080 Speaker 2: don't know how much you're gonna trust this dude. So 280 00:11:51,080 --> 00:11:53,320 Speaker 2: I love Roshan. I think he's a great running back, 281 00:11:53,480 --> 00:11:56,839 Speaker 2: power back for sure, my boy from Texas, but doesn't 282 00:11:56,880 --> 00:11:58,800 Speaker 2: seem like Ben Johnson likes him. So two weeks to 283 00:11:58,840 --> 00:12:00,360 Speaker 2: prep for this game, I think we're going see a 284 00:12:00,360 --> 00:12:03,920 Speaker 2: lot of design nice plays here. I think Swift can 285 00:12:03,960 --> 00:12:06,360 Speaker 2: get this on like ten to twelve touches. I mean, 286 00:12:06,720 --> 00:12:10,679 Speaker 2: you know they're still giving up Washington four yards per 287 00:12:10,760 --> 00:12:13,360 Speaker 2: carry even though the defense has been strong. So you 288 00:12:13,400 --> 00:12:16,120 Speaker 2: give him twelve carries, thirteen carries. He should get this, 289 00:12:16,200 --> 00:12:18,719 Speaker 2: and I think he gets that with no Manangai in 290 00:12:18,760 --> 00:12:19,040 Speaker 2: this game. 291 00:12:19,120 --> 00:12:20,760 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think it's the volume. It's just the volume 292 00:12:20,760 --> 00:12:23,120 Speaker 1: player right now for him here potentially this one. It's smart, 293 00:12:23,160 --> 00:12:25,040 Speaker 1: all right. DJ Moore is the next one here, thirty 294 00:12:25,120 --> 00:12:27,280 Speaker 1: nine and a half receiving yards. This one again kind 295 00:12:27,280 --> 00:12:29,440 Speaker 1: of tricky. It's been like the Roma Doonesday Show. So 296 00:12:29,840 --> 00:12:32,000 Speaker 1: can we get to this low number? I mean every 297 00:12:32,040 --> 00:12:33,720 Speaker 1: week we look up and it's less and less for 298 00:12:33,800 --> 00:12:36,800 Speaker 1: DJ Moore, feels like and still we have to hold 299 00:12:36,800 --> 00:12:38,400 Speaker 1: our breath to see if he can get there? Can 300 00:12:38,400 --> 00:12:39,880 Speaker 1: he get there for thirty nine and a half? 301 00:12:40,720 --> 00:12:43,400 Speaker 2: I think so? I mean, look, I know that coming 302 00:12:43,440 --> 00:12:46,480 Speaker 2: off of buy, maybe Luther Burden sees a little bit 303 00:12:46,480 --> 00:12:48,320 Speaker 2: more in this game. I know people are concerned with that, 304 00:12:48,400 --> 00:12:52,160 Speaker 2: but projections are way over Every projection I saw was 305 00:12:52,200 --> 00:12:55,360 Speaker 2: way over this for DJ Moore this week. And if 306 00:12:55,360 --> 00:12:57,640 Speaker 2: it's if we're putting tree Amos on a doonsday right, 307 00:12:57,679 --> 00:13:00,360 Speaker 2: because he's played the best. So if he goes to 308 00:13:00,400 --> 00:13:03,000 Speaker 2: cover their best wide receiver, it's gonna be Marshaw the 309 00:13:03,040 --> 00:13:07,000 Speaker 2: ghost of Marshaw Lattimore covering Dj Moore here. And I 310 00:13:07,040 --> 00:13:08,959 Speaker 2: know DJ Moore hasn't had a great year, but he's 311 00:13:08,960 --> 00:13:11,000 Speaker 2: still way better than Latimore at this point in his 312 00:13:11,040 --> 00:13:13,160 Speaker 2: career because Latimore is eighty eight of one hundred and 313 00:13:13,200 --> 00:13:17,200 Speaker 2: twelve great cornerbacks and coverage this season, so giving up 314 00:13:17,240 --> 00:13:20,079 Speaker 2: one of his worst completion percentages in his careers. So 315 00:13:20,520 --> 00:13:23,320 Speaker 2: I think that Dj Moore is going to be open 316 00:13:23,360 --> 00:13:25,319 Speaker 2: in this game. Like we said, we'd like this to 317 00:13:25,360 --> 00:13:27,120 Speaker 2: go a little bit more point for point with some 318 00:13:27,200 --> 00:13:30,680 Speaker 2: guys being hurt in the secondary for Chicago and Chicago 319 00:13:30,760 --> 00:13:32,680 Speaker 2: coming off of bye with two weeks for Johnson to 320 00:13:33,320 --> 00:13:36,040 Speaker 2: drop some plays. I think that this is going to 321 00:13:36,080 --> 00:13:38,000 Speaker 2: go point for point. I think I think a lot 322 00:13:38,040 --> 00:13:41,720 Speaker 2: of wide receivers eat in this game. It's all the 323 00:13:41,720 --> 00:13:43,640 Speaker 2: guys with the bears and whoever the hell plays for 324 00:13:43,679 --> 00:13:47,040 Speaker 2: the commanders. 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In Indiana, if you are something 368 00:15:37,560 --> 00:15:39,400 Speaker 1: you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 369 00:15:39,480 --> 00:15:41,800 Speaker 1: one eight hundred and nine with it gambling problem called 370 00:15:41,800 --> 00:15:45,760 Speaker 1: one hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, in New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. 371 00:15:45,800 --> 00:15:47,680 Speaker 1: All right, let's take a look at the next one. Here, 372 00:15:47,760 --> 00:15:50,720 Speaker 1: it's the step and I've gone stone cold. Week one 373 00:15:50,800 --> 00:15:53,680 Speaker 1: was great. I'm a week one wonder. That's it. But 374 00:15:54,000 --> 00:15:57,360 Speaker 1: I'm gonna try my best to just put the head down, 375 00:15:57,480 --> 00:16:00,920 Speaker 1: keep working. That's all I gotta do. About the past 376 00:16:01,160 --> 00:16:02,840 Speaker 1: here talking about your past, talking about the future. 377 00:16:03,040 --> 00:16:05,920 Speaker 2: Jon hit you hit two though you're still up units 378 00:16:06,040 --> 00:16:06,240 Speaker 2: for the. 379 00:16:06,440 --> 00:16:08,200 Speaker 1: I am, I am, but it doesn't matter. I want 380 00:16:08,240 --> 00:16:09,800 Speaker 1: to hit every week. I want to hit one every week. 381 00:16:09,960 --> 00:16:13,080 Speaker 1: I know that's ridiculous, but it's just it's the perfections 382 00:16:13,120 --> 00:16:14,400 Speaker 1: in me box. I just want to hit it. I 383 00:16:14,440 --> 00:16:16,120 Speaker 1: want to be I want to be there for the people. 384 00:16:16,280 --> 00:16:19,320 Speaker 1: So it's gonna be s g joep with a lowercase 385 00:16:19,360 --> 00:16:21,600 Speaker 1: P pretty soon if we don't get out of this 386 00:16:22,040 --> 00:16:25,560 Speaker 1: tail span. So let's take Bjon Robinson to get in 387 00:16:25,600 --> 00:16:27,520 Speaker 1: the end zone. If he doesn't go against the Bills, 388 00:16:27,560 --> 00:16:29,520 Speaker 1: I'll just be shocked. Then I want to give myself 389 00:16:29,520 --> 00:16:31,600 Speaker 1: somewhere outs here one hundred and twelve and a half 390 00:16:31,680 --> 00:16:34,640 Speaker 1: rushing plus receiving, So this gives me options here. So 391 00:16:34,880 --> 00:16:36,960 Speaker 1: he has a big day rushing to football, great, If 392 00:16:37,000 --> 00:16:38,520 Speaker 1: he has a big day receiving the football, great, he 393 00:16:38,560 --> 00:16:40,560 Speaker 1: has a big day period all over the place. Great. 394 00:16:41,120 --> 00:16:43,160 Speaker 1: I've got a lot of options there, plus the touchdown. 395 00:16:43,240 --> 00:16:45,280 Speaker 1: Then I'm gonna add Deebo Samuel over sixteen and a 396 00:16:45,320 --> 00:16:48,200 Speaker 1: half receiving cards at minus one fourteen. I do think 397 00:16:48,200 --> 00:16:50,200 Speaker 1: he will play. If he does not play, I would 398 00:16:50,200 --> 00:16:52,320 Speaker 1: just pin this down to the two to the b 399 00:16:52,440 --> 00:16:55,360 Speaker 1: Jon Robinson two stats here and you're not getting plus 400 00:16:55,440 --> 00:16:58,160 Speaker 1: three forty nine then, But when you add in debo. 401 00:16:58,360 --> 00:17:00,240 Speaker 1: I think you can make that work here for plus 402 00:17:00,280 --> 00:17:02,280 Speaker 1: three forty nine and I do think he will play. 403 00:17:02,360 --> 00:17:05,119 Speaker 1: So that is the SGP of the week here for 404 00:17:05,240 --> 00:17:07,720 Speaker 1: Monday Night Football and Gorse. We got the SGP tool 405 00:17:08,200 --> 00:17:10,720 Speaker 1: still going on. Same game parlay tool over on Betting 406 00:17:10,760 --> 00:17:12,960 Speaker 1: Pros right now helps you correlate some of the bets 407 00:17:12,960 --> 00:17:15,520 Speaker 1: you want to make and how to spin them in 408 00:17:15,600 --> 00:17:18,120 Speaker 1: one game into an SGP. So it's a really fun 409 00:17:18,600 --> 00:17:20,760 Speaker 1: tool there on Betting Pros which brings us to our 410 00:17:20,800 --> 00:17:22,800 Speaker 1: touchdown calls. And I'm going to go look for zach 411 00:17:22,920 --> 00:17:25,640 Speaker 1: Ertz to bounce back here. Jane Daniels is back under center. 412 00:17:25,720 --> 00:17:27,760 Speaker 1: Eartz has been quiet. I think we get back to 413 00:17:27,800 --> 00:17:29,639 Speaker 1: business here with zach Ertz and he gets a tuddy 414 00:17:29,640 --> 00:17:32,200 Speaker 1: And I like the number two plus two ten bogs 415 00:17:32,240 --> 00:17:34,600 Speaker 1: where you're going for your touchdown call this week. 416 00:17:34,880 --> 00:17:37,399 Speaker 2: I feel like the touchdown calls are juiced to hell 417 00:17:37,680 --> 00:17:39,760 Speaker 2: this week, like they are. They want to. 418 00:17:40,160 --> 00:17:43,720 Speaker 1: Action on Monday's Nobody don't want anybody to have action 419 00:17:43,800 --> 00:17:44,240 Speaker 1: on Monday. 420 00:17:44,480 --> 00:17:47,720 Speaker 2: Debo is bad. I just went to double up close 421 00:17:47,760 --> 00:17:50,000 Speaker 2: you care got nine targets last week starting to lead 422 00:17:50,040 --> 00:17:52,320 Speaker 2: the Bills. Let's just go with him to find the 423 00:17:52,359 --> 00:17:54,919 Speaker 2: end zone. Double up our money here. If we're thinking 424 00:17:54,920 --> 00:17:56,880 Speaker 2: this is going to be a nice shootout game, both 425 00:17:56,880 --> 00:18:00,680 Speaker 2: these games hopefully are nice shootout games, then I think 426 00:18:00,680 --> 00:18:03,600 Speaker 2: we can get there. So let's go with Shakir for 427 00:18:03,720 --> 00:18:05,320 Speaker 2: a touchdown to double up some money here. 428 00:18:05,440 --> 00:18:07,000 Speaker 1: You know last year of the Bills didn't think they 429 00:18:07,040 --> 00:18:09,000 Speaker 1: had enough a wide receiver and they traded for Marii Cooper, 430 00:18:09,000 --> 00:18:11,440 Speaker 1: which did not work right right at all? Do you 431 00:18:11,480 --> 00:18:13,320 Speaker 1: think they try that again this year where they go, 432 00:18:13,400 --> 00:18:15,119 Speaker 1: you know, we still don't have enough a wide receiver, 433 00:18:15,200 --> 00:18:16,439 Speaker 1: and if so, who do you think that would be? 434 00:18:16,800 --> 00:18:17,399 Speaker 1: Set of curios? 435 00:18:17,560 --> 00:18:19,439 Speaker 2: I don't think they're gonna do it right because I 436 00:18:19,480 --> 00:18:21,480 Speaker 2: think we see Kincaid, who's the guy I want to 437 00:18:21,480 --> 00:18:24,280 Speaker 2: bet on a lot in this game in particular, but 438 00:18:24,440 --> 00:18:27,240 Speaker 2: he's banged up and may not play. I think Kinkaid 439 00:18:27,280 --> 00:18:29,800 Speaker 2: is developing. I think they're getting way more from Coleman 440 00:18:29,840 --> 00:18:32,120 Speaker 2: than they had last year as well, So I don't 441 00:18:32,160 --> 00:18:33,800 Speaker 2: think they are going to make the move. If they 442 00:18:33,800 --> 00:18:36,160 Speaker 2: do make them move, I think they trade for somebody big. 443 00:18:36,400 --> 00:18:39,159 Speaker 2: I don't think it's like a limp move, like a 444 00:18:39,200 --> 00:18:41,760 Speaker 2: Marii Cooper. I think he go after something much bigger, 445 00:18:41,920 --> 00:18:45,600 Speaker 2: trade a first or second round pick and lose your 446 00:18:45,600 --> 00:18:46,040 Speaker 2: window here. 447 00:18:46,040 --> 00:18:48,240 Speaker 1: If you're the Bills, you know Josh Allen's at his prime. 448 00:18:48,480 --> 00:18:50,800 Speaker 1: You know you're still in a division that's relatively soft. 449 00:18:51,080 --> 00:18:53,520 Speaker 1: Although my patriot's starting to knock on the door a 450 00:18:53,520 --> 00:18:54,760 Speaker 1: little bit getting better there. 451 00:18:54,840 --> 00:18:57,399 Speaker 2: So Miami's better than people give him credit for. And 452 00:18:57,400 --> 00:18:59,040 Speaker 2: the Jets are worse than people give him credit for. 453 00:18:59,160 --> 00:19:02,680 Speaker 2: It seems like, uh, you know, no one was giving 454 00:19:02,720 --> 00:19:03,320 Speaker 2: them much credit. 455 00:19:03,400 --> 00:19:04,959 Speaker 1: Will the Jets be allowed back in the country if 456 00:19:04,960 --> 00:19:05,720 Speaker 1: they go oh and six? 457 00:19:06,119 --> 00:19:06,720 Speaker 2: That's a question. 458 00:19:08,080 --> 00:19:09,879 Speaker 1: Let me know the answer to that question down in 459 00:19:09,880 --> 00:19:12,320 Speaker 1: the comments below. Will the Jets be allowed back in 460 00:19:12,400 --> 00:19:14,920 Speaker 1: New York in the airport if they lose another game 461 00:19:14,960 --> 00:19:16,920 Speaker 1: here and go to O and six? It's a yes 462 00:19:17,000 --> 00:19:18,679 Speaker 1: or no, But still we love to hear from you 463 00:19:18,760 --> 00:19:21,679 Speaker 1: and again, go win the new Nick Chubb giveaway we 464 00:19:21,720 --> 00:19:24,199 Speaker 1: got going on right now from Pristine Auction dot com, 465 00:19:24,240 --> 00:19:26,680 Speaker 1: and of course, don't forget to download the betting pros 466 00:19:26,680 --> 00:19:28,760 Speaker 1: app bets Smarter or Not Harder and make all your 467 00:19:28,800 --> 00:19:30,719 Speaker 1: bets at hard Rock Bet. That'll do it for us. 468 00:19:30,720 --> 00:19:33,040 Speaker 1: But the story of the game goes on for Scott Bogman, 469 00:19:33,040 --> 00:19:35,680 Speaker 1: I'm Joey P. We'll see you next time. Kids. Enjoy 470 00:19:35,720 --> 00:19:40,280 Speaker 1: your Monday night football games plural good times good. 471 00:19:40,359 --> 00:19:42,960 Speaker 3: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. 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