1 00:00:00,960 --> 00:00:03,200 Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros. It's time to place 2 00:00:03,240 --> 00:00:05,840 Speaker 1: your bets. It is V Joey p Joep's APA, and 3 00:00:05,920 --> 00:00:09,000 Speaker 1: this is VP NFL. It's time to look ahead to 4 00:00:09,039 --> 00:00:10,879 Speaker 1: the prop market for a week eleven. And who better 5 00:00:10,920 --> 00:00:13,920 Speaker 1: to do that with than Andrew ericson the Undertaker and 6 00:00:14,000 --> 00:00:17,040 Speaker 1: the Welsh. He's no outcast around these parts. The boys 7 00:00:17,040 --> 00:00:20,040 Speaker 1: went a collective. Uh, let's see last week seven and three. 8 00:00:20,160 --> 00:00:23,360 Speaker 1: Pricky damn good. I would say that the touchdown call 9 00:00:23,440 --> 00:00:26,439 Speaker 1: contest getting real close. Welsh is at nine. Erics and 10 00:00:26,480 --> 00:00:29,640 Speaker 1: I are tied to eleven. Who will pull ahead this week? Well, 11 00:00:29,680 --> 00:00:31,440 Speaker 1: I'll stay with us and find out and make sure 12 00:00:31,440 --> 00:00:33,159 Speaker 1: you subscribe to the channel bring the belt to lit 13 00:00:33,200 --> 00:00:35,159 Speaker 1: goes Ding. Stay with us here on Betting Pros. We've 14 00:00:35,159 --> 00:00:38,120 Speaker 1: got live streams, we've got podcasts, we got everything. Subscribe forever. 15 00:00:38,159 --> 00:00:39,640 Speaker 1: You get your pods as well, and download the Betting 16 00:00:39,640 --> 00:00:41,879 Speaker 1: Pros app. That's what's important. We want you to use 17 00:00:41,880 --> 00:00:43,800 Speaker 1: the tools, and a lot of all the people watch 18 00:00:43,840 --> 00:00:46,120 Speaker 1: the shows hang out with us. They're like, yeah, yeah, yeah, 19 00:00:46,159 --> 00:00:48,440 Speaker 1: we just like the shows. I'm telling you check out 20 00:00:48,440 --> 00:00:50,720 Speaker 1: the tools, download the Betting Pros app. Sink your sports 21 00:00:50,720 --> 00:00:52,560 Speaker 1: books for free. You don't even have to go premium 22 00:00:52,880 --> 00:00:55,440 Speaker 1: at first, but I'm telling you, when you do, it 23 00:00:55,480 --> 00:00:57,880 Speaker 1: opens up even more of a toolbox for you to 24 00:00:58,040 --> 00:01:00,040 Speaker 1: use to be successful. This is the time and the 25 00:01:00,120 --> 00:01:02,920 Speaker 1: NFL where we're gonna have that crunch time November December. 26 00:01:02,960 --> 00:01:06,240 Speaker 1: We're gonna move into the playoffs. We got college football raging, 27 00:01:06,280 --> 00:01:09,040 Speaker 1: We've got NBA, We've got everything happening right now. We 28 00:01:09,080 --> 00:01:11,160 Speaker 1: want you to be a part of it. So gentlemen, 29 00:01:11,280 --> 00:01:14,200 Speaker 1: let's start with two big quarterbacks here. Welsh, I know 30 00:01:14,319 --> 00:01:16,880 Speaker 1: you were on a step ladder last week that got 31 00:01:16,880 --> 00:01:18,760 Speaker 1: you to change a light bulb at least pretty good. 32 00:01:19,200 --> 00:01:21,160 Speaker 1: I like that. I had my bye week last week, 33 00:01:21,200 --> 00:01:23,080 Speaker 1: so I'm sorry I missed that. But I want you 34 00:01:23,120 --> 00:01:25,240 Speaker 1: to start here with Josh Allen in a game that 35 00:01:25,280 --> 00:01:27,760 Speaker 1: Andrew and I have talked about all week. From Monday 36 00:01:28,080 --> 00:01:30,880 Speaker 1: till today, we've been talking about that Bucks Bills game. 37 00:01:30,959 --> 00:01:32,720 Speaker 1: So what is your take? How are you approaching it? 38 00:01:32,760 --> 00:01:33,640 Speaker 1: From the prop market? 39 00:01:33,760 --> 00:01:35,600 Speaker 2: By the way, we bought a couple of light bulbs 40 00:01:35,600 --> 00:01:36,160 Speaker 2: with that bet. 41 00:01:36,240 --> 00:01:39,839 Speaker 1: Oh We're gonna get him Vasco packs, get them twenty 42 00:01:39,920 --> 00:01:42,400 Speaker 1: light bulbs up set for the next Millennia led. 43 00:01:42,800 --> 00:01:46,160 Speaker 2: We did so well, you're getting LEDs, not just fluorescent 44 00:01:46,319 --> 00:01:48,720 Speaker 2: normal ones. We did very well, all right, So we're 45 00:01:48,720 --> 00:01:51,720 Speaker 2: gonna go into the passing yard market for this one, 46 00:01:51,920 --> 00:01:54,160 Speaker 2: and we are going to tag Josh Allen. We're going 47 00:01:54,280 --> 00:01:58,520 Speaker 2: Josh Allen passing yards to ten point five look around 48 00:01:58,520 --> 00:02:00,480 Speaker 2: two because this numbers fled and in a lot of 49 00:02:00,520 --> 00:02:03,400 Speaker 2: different spots. But Allen has gone over this number in 50 00:02:03,440 --> 00:02:07,520 Speaker 2: two straight games. Bucks in this great matchup. They've given 51 00:02:07,560 --> 00:02:09,480 Speaker 2: this up in three of the last four games to 52 00:02:09,560 --> 00:02:12,240 Speaker 2: quarterbacks the two that didn't or I think three of 53 00:02:12,240 --> 00:02:14,919 Speaker 2: the last five weeks the two that didn't hit. We're 54 00:02:14,919 --> 00:02:18,040 Speaker 2: against the Panthers and the Dolphins. By the way, Bucks 55 00:02:18,080 --> 00:02:20,799 Speaker 2: are averaging defensively, giving up over two hundred and thirty 56 00:02:20,840 --> 00:02:23,919 Speaker 2: passing yards two quarterbacks per game. It's about the ninth 57 00:02:24,000 --> 00:02:28,840 Speaker 2: worst in the NFL. And this is a five five 58 00:02:29,000 --> 00:02:32,440 Speaker 2: five time, five time five star bet from the Betting 59 00:02:32,480 --> 00:02:36,079 Speaker 2: Pros app if you check out the Betting Pros prop analyzer, 60 00:02:36,320 --> 00:02:39,360 Speaker 2: and they've got this going over to forty five for him. 61 00:02:39,400 --> 00:02:41,720 Speaker 2: So I think it's a really no low number. This 62 00:02:41,760 --> 00:02:44,120 Speaker 2: is a pretty good implied total on the odds. As 63 00:02:44,120 --> 00:02:46,040 Speaker 2: you guys have been probably talking about around forty seven 64 00:02:46,120 --> 00:02:48,000 Speaker 2: and a half. I think this is going to be 65 00:02:48,000 --> 00:02:49,240 Speaker 2: a game that's going to be one in the air, 66 00:02:49,400 --> 00:02:52,280 Speaker 2: and it's just a nice low passing yard line for 67 00:02:52,320 --> 00:02:54,000 Speaker 2: one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL. So I 68 00:02:54,000 --> 00:02:57,640 Speaker 2: really like this one to ten point five we're going 69 00:02:57,720 --> 00:02:58,800 Speaker 2: over all. 70 00:02:58,760 --> 00:03:00,840 Speaker 1: Right, so an over forwell, just start things out. We 71 00:03:00,919 --> 00:03:03,359 Speaker 1: got to balance that out at some point with the undertaker, 72 00:03:03,360 --> 00:03:04,679 Speaker 1: but I don't think it's gonna be on this. Next 73 00:03:04,680 --> 00:03:06,640 Speaker 1: guy that he wants to talk about. Your first year 74 00:03:07,000 --> 00:03:10,920 Speaker 1: player is Lamar Jackson, and you've got the passing touchdown total. 75 00:03:11,240 --> 00:03:13,520 Speaker 1: Let's talk about that, Andrew in a game here where 76 00:03:14,240 --> 00:03:17,360 Speaker 1: Baltimore's trying to scratch and claw their way back to 77 00:03:17,400 --> 00:03:19,519 Speaker 1: the top of the standings. In that AFC North. 78 00:03:19,560 --> 00:03:23,200 Speaker 3: Lamar Jackson going over one and a half passing touchdowns. 79 00:03:23,360 --> 00:03:26,320 Speaker 3: So he didn't hit this last week, but before last week, 80 00:03:26,480 --> 00:03:28,560 Speaker 3: he had hit over one and a half passing touchdowns 81 00:03:28,600 --> 00:03:31,200 Speaker 3: in fourteen of his last sixteen games played. Again, there 82 00:03:31,240 --> 00:03:32,639 Speaker 3: was another game this year where didn't hit it, but 83 00:03:32,639 --> 00:03:34,840 Speaker 3: he's because he got injured against Kansas City Chiefs. But 84 00:03:34,880 --> 00:03:37,640 Speaker 3: this is a number that Lamar Jackson hits almost every 85 00:03:37,800 --> 00:03:40,880 Speaker 3: single week. He has the longest streak in the NFL 86 00:03:40,920 --> 00:03:43,920 Speaker 3: currently of quarterbacks with at least one passing touchdown, So 87 00:03:44,120 --> 00:03:45,760 Speaker 3: he's gonna get at least one. And I know the 88 00:03:45,800 --> 00:03:47,960 Speaker 3: Cleveland Browns defense is a little bit tougher they are 89 00:03:47,960 --> 00:03:50,800 Speaker 3: playing on the road, but three matchups so far last 90 00:03:50,800 --> 00:03:53,320 Speaker 3: two years against Cleveland, Lamar Jackson has at least two 91 00:03:53,360 --> 00:03:56,160 Speaker 3: passing touchdowns in all three of those games. The strength 92 00:03:56,160 --> 00:03:58,480 Speaker 3: of the Browns defense is their run defense, So I 93 00:03:58,480 --> 00:04:00,360 Speaker 3: think if they get into inside the red zone, it's 94 00:04:00,360 --> 00:04:03,000 Speaker 3: gonna be more pass attempts for Lamar Jackson, not necessarily 95 00:04:03,080 --> 00:04:05,960 Speaker 3: Derek Henry rushing the score. So Lamar Jackson over one 96 00:04:06,000 --> 00:04:08,720 Speaker 3: a half passing touchdowns. Usually this number is really juiced. 97 00:04:08,760 --> 00:04:11,360 Speaker 3: It's usually like minus one eighty. It's minus one ten 98 00:04:11,440 --> 00:04:13,640 Speaker 3: this time because he hasn't done it last week. So 99 00:04:13,640 --> 00:04:15,080 Speaker 3: I think you're buying the dip here on a prop 100 00:04:15,120 --> 00:04:16,920 Speaker 3: that hits at a pretty high clip. 101 00:04:17,800 --> 00:04:19,599 Speaker 2: I want to jump in on this real quick, because 102 00:04:20,720 --> 00:04:23,599 Speaker 2: Erickson got to the sheet before any of us, and 103 00:04:23,839 --> 00:04:25,479 Speaker 2: I did the scan and then I went to do 104 00:04:25,560 --> 00:04:27,920 Speaker 2: my work, going da da da. I landed on this 105 00:04:27,960 --> 00:04:29,840 Speaker 2: one like three different times and I kept staring at it, 106 00:04:29,839 --> 00:04:32,240 Speaker 2: and then I started to do like the process of it, 107 00:04:32,400 --> 00:04:34,640 Speaker 2: not realizing even though I saw you did it. I 108 00:04:34,640 --> 00:04:37,440 Speaker 2: think you incepted my brain and I almost put this 109 00:04:37,520 --> 00:04:40,080 Speaker 2: on the sheet, and I really like would not have 110 00:04:40,120 --> 00:04:42,320 Speaker 2: realized that until we literally got into the show and 111 00:04:42,360 --> 00:04:43,920 Speaker 2: you just said it again, because I was like, I 112 00:04:43,960 --> 00:04:45,560 Speaker 2: think I'm gonna do this one. Yeah. I think he's 113 00:04:45,600 --> 00:04:48,159 Speaker 2: also thrown two or more touchdowns against the Browns in 114 00:04:48,200 --> 00:04:50,640 Speaker 2: three straight games as well, Like, I really really like 115 00:04:50,720 --> 00:04:51,920 Speaker 2: this one. I'm gonna tell you on it. 116 00:04:52,040 --> 00:04:54,359 Speaker 1: And he's not gonna be running as much too, coming 117 00:04:54,360 --> 00:04:56,160 Speaker 1: off that injury too. I think you want to maintain 118 00:04:56,240 --> 00:04:58,479 Speaker 1: him in that you know, safety zone a little bit 119 00:04:58,520 --> 00:05:00,560 Speaker 1: in the bubble wrap. So is this the dream within 120 00:05:00,600 --> 00:05:01,600 Speaker 1: the dream? Welsh? 121 00:05:01,640 --> 00:05:01,719 Speaker 2: Like? 122 00:05:01,720 --> 00:05:03,200 Speaker 1: Where are we? 123 00:05:03,240 --> 00:05:06,040 Speaker 2: Like you have to watch the spindle the spindle if 124 00:05:06,080 --> 00:05:07,680 Speaker 2: it's still going, It's. 125 00:05:07,240 --> 00:05:09,800 Speaker 1: Still going after all these years. I like that I 126 00:05:09,839 --> 00:05:11,400 Speaker 1: got it the first time. I don't know why everyone 127 00:05:11,440 --> 00:05:13,560 Speaker 1: else is so confused. He's got to make sure you 128 00:05:13,600 --> 00:05:15,640 Speaker 1: stay awake the whole time. That's like, if you doze off, 129 00:05:15,640 --> 00:05:16,360 Speaker 1: you can totally get. 130 00:05:16,279 --> 00:05:18,360 Speaker 2: Lost in It was an inception that was a problem. 131 00:05:18,480 --> 00:05:21,600 Speaker 2: It was Tenant. They even acknowledged, like they're like, see Tenant, 132 00:05:21,680 --> 00:05:23,720 Speaker 2: we don't even really know what this means, Like they 133 00:05:23,760 --> 00:05:25,920 Speaker 2: just were having fun with it, like no one Tenant 134 00:05:26,000 --> 00:05:27,920 Speaker 2: is the one you don't understand, and now. 135 00:05:27,800 --> 00:05:29,480 Speaker 1: I want to see it more. All right, let's talk 136 00:05:29,520 --> 00:05:32,760 Speaker 1: about a huge game here for the NFC West Division. 137 00:05:32,760 --> 00:05:35,320 Speaker 1: Here we got the Seattle Seahawks Welsh, we've got the 138 00:05:35,320 --> 00:05:38,040 Speaker 1: Los Angeles Rams, and you've got Kyron Williams on your 139 00:05:38,080 --> 00:05:38,799 Speaker 1: board this week. 140 00:05:38,880 --> 00:05:40,400 Speaker 2: It's like that one guy on YouTube, He's like, I 141 00:05:40,480 --> 00:05:43,440 Speaker 2: understand it now. This is the best I understand it now. 142 00:05:43,480 --> 00:05:48,040 Speaker 2: It is Kyron Williams. Twelve point five over rush attempts. Man, 143 00:05:48,080 --> 00:05:51,880 Speaker 2: this number is low, between twelve and twelve point five 144 00:05:51,920 --> 00:05:54,559 Speaker 2: and thirteen point five. I like both of them. Five 145 00:05:54,600 --> 00:05:56,680 Speaker 2: of nine games this year he's actually gone over this, 146 00:05:56,720 --> 00:06:00,040 Speaker 2: which actually doesn't seem like a super impressive number. But 147 00:06:00,440 --> 00:06:02,799 Speaker 2: since the bye he has gone back to back weeks 148 00:06:02,800 --> 00:06:06,720 Speaker 2: of having fourteen or more carries, which should continue. Seattle's 149 00:06:06,720 --> 00:06:09,680 Speaker 2: a tough matchup, but they are eighteenth in yards allowed 150 00:06:09,720 --> 00:06:13,600 Speaker 2: after contact. These tough divisional games with tough secondary help 151 00:06:13,640 --> 00:06:16,360 Speaker 2: as well, could slow the pace a little bit. I know, 152 00:06:16,720 --> 00:06:18,640 Speaker 2: Korm has gotten a little bit more involved, but you 153 00:06:18,680 --> 00:06:20,960 Speaker 2: get inside the five, it's going to start to become 154 00:06:21,040 --> 00:06:24,440 Speaker 2: Kyen Williams time tough divisional matchups. They've had two divisional 155 00:06:24,440 --> 00:06:26,440 Speaker 2: matchups so far this year against the forty nine ers. 156 00:06:26,560 --> 00:06:29,280 Speaker 2: He has had fourteen carries in both of those. So 157 00:06:29,360 --> 00:06:32,440 Speaker 2: at thirteen carries for Kyen Williams in a very important 158 00:06:32,440 --> 00:06:35,800 Speaker 2: matchup where the passing game could even slightly get taken out. 159 00:06:36,279 --> 00:06:39,600 Speaker 2: I love this one. So twelve point five over Russ attempts. 160 00:06:39,640 --> 00:06:42,240 Speaker 2: I think this is my first rush attempt bet of 161 00:06:42,279 --> 00:06:44,480 Speaker 2: the year and this is my favorite one. 162 00:06:44,760 --> 00:06:47,599 Speaker 1: All right, let's talk about the Denver Broncos and bow 163 00:06:47,720 --> 00:06:51,039 Speaker 1: Knicks a little erratic this year. You know the stats 164 00:06:51,040 --> 00:06:52,960 Speaker 1: in terms of Fantasy or there, but in terms of 165 00:06:52,960 --> 00:06:55,000 Speaker 1: performance for the Denver Broncos, it's been an up and 166 00:06:55,040 --> 00:06:57,320 Speaker 1: down season for bow Knicks. So what kind of game 167 00:06:57,360 --> 00:07:00,280 Speaker 1: will it be for him on Monday night? Here? And Eric, 168 00:07:00,360 --> 00:07:02,400 Speaker 1: excuse not Monday night? What would kind of game will 169 00:07:02,400 --> 00:07:05,520 Speaker 1: this be for him this week against the Kansas City 170 00:07:05,600 --> 00:07:08,200 Speaker 1: Chiefs here? As the Chiefs are coming off that buy. 171 00:07:08,200 --> 00:07:10,400 Speaker 1: So let's talk about your bon Nicks thoughts for Week eleven. 172 00:07:10,560 --> 00:07:12,960 Speaker 3: Big spot for the Broncos hosting the Kansas City Chiefs 173 00:07:13,000 --> 00:07:16,240 Speaker 3: as they try to win the AFC West. But for me, 174 00:07:16,480 --> 00:07:18,920 Speaker 3: I'm taking the under on Bonnicks in the pass attempts 175 00:07:18,960 --> 00:07:21,760 Speaker 3: at thirty four and a half. Last week, we bet 176 00:07:21,760 --> 00:07:23,600 Speaker 3: the under on Michael Pennis thirty four and a half 177 00:07:23,640 --> 00:07:26,160 Speaker 3: pass attempts meanwhiles we're talking about it in slack, and 178 00:07:26,200 --> 00:07:29,960 Speaker 3: despite the game going into overtime, we still cash the under. 179 00:07:30,120 --> 00:07:32,240 Speaker 3: And that was a bet that came to me as 180 00:07:32,240 --> 00:07:34,600 Speaker 3: a five star bet in the prop bet cheat sheet. 181 00:07:34,720 --> 00:07:38,280 Speaker 3: I've been very profitable. The betting pros feed has fed 182 00:07:38,320 --> 00:07:40,320 Speaker 3: me that, Yeah, when you bet on pass attempts, this 183 00:07:40,360 --> 00:07:42,040 Speaker 3: is one of the most profitable markets that you've been 184 00:07:42,080 --> 00:07:44,000 Speaker 3: able to hit on. So going right back to it 185 00:07:44,040 --> 00:07:46,160 Speaker 3: here with another five star bet courtesy of the prop 186 00:07:46,160 --> 00:07:49,240 Speaker 3: bet cheat sheet, Bonnicks. You look at the Kansas City Chiefs. 187 00:07:49,640 --> 00:07:52,520 Speaker 3: No quarterback this season has gone over thirty four and 188 00:07:52,520 --> 00:07:54,680 Speaker 3: a half pass attempt against the Chiefs, none of them. 189 00:07:54,880 --> 00:07:57,320 Speaker 3: Every quarterback that face has gone under this number. And 190 00:07:57,360 --> 00:07:59,640 Speaker 3: when you think about what Bonix does when he is 191 00:07:59,640 --> 00:08:02,680 Speaker 3: an un versus when he's a favorite, he runs the 192 00:08:02,800 --> 00:08:04,960 Speaker 3: ball a little bit more. He's more lucky to scramble 193 00:08:05,120 --> 00:08:07,160 Speaker 3: against a tough defense with Kansas City coming off the 194 00:08:07,160 --> 00:08:09,440 Speaker 3: bye week. I just don't think that Sean Payton is 195 00:08:09,440 --> 00:08:11,160 Speaker 3: going to all right, this is the spot. We're just 196 00:08:11,200 --> 00:08:14,800 Speaker 3: gonna totally unleash bon Nicks against the Kansas City Chiefs 197 00:08:14,840 --> 00:08:16,840 Speaker 3: at home. That doesn't make sense to me. It's hey, 198 00:08:16,840 --> 00:08:19,440 Speaker 3: we got to play strong defense, keep it tight, win 199 00:08:19,480 --> 00:08:21,280 Speaker 3: by a field goal, and I think that means we're 200 00:08:21,280 --> 00:08:22,960 Speaker 3: not going to see a shootout. I like the under 201 00:08:23,000 --> 00:08:24,560 Speaker 3: in this game. That was one of my best bets 202 00:08:24,560 --> 00:08:26,600 Speaker 3: on the Week eleven show that we did together Joe 203 00:08:26,720 --> 00:08:29,080 Speaker 3: earlier this week, So I'm taking the under on Bonnicks. 204 00:08:29,120 --> 00:08:31,160 Speaker 3: Trusting the prop bet cheat sheet. 205 00:08:32,120 --> 00:08:35,200 Speaker 1: All right again, prop bet chiachep, bettingpros dot Com, slash props, 206 00:08:35,240 --> 00:08:36,559 Speaker 1: or just download the app. That's where you find the 207 00:08:36,600 --> 00:08:38,840 Speaker 1: prop bet cheat sheet. You should also, while you're at it, 208 00:08:38,880 --> 00:08:42,000 Speaker 1: since you're downloading stuff, download the hard Rock Bet sportsbook app. 209 00:08:42,040 --> 00:08:44,040 Speaker 1: They are the sponsor of our shows. We love hard 210 00:08:44,080 --> 00:08:46,360 Speaker 1: Rock Bet. 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If you are somebody you know has a 237 00:09:48,800 --> 00:09:51,160 Speaker 1: gambling problem and wants help, call one eight hundred and 238 00:09:51,240 --> 00:09:54,920 Speaker 1: nine with it gambling problem called one hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, 239 00:09:54,960 --> 00:09:58,760 Speaker 1: in New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. Next up here on 240 00:09:58,800 --> 00:10:01,199 Speaker 1: our list of props Week eleven in the NFL. A 241 00:10:01,200 --> 00:10:03,640 Speaker 1: guy who had a pretty good week last week, Ken 242 00:10:03,720 --> 00:10:07,960 Speaker 1: Devanta Smith roll it over again in week eleven. 243 00:10:08,600 --> 00:10:11,280 Speaker 2: Let's do it again. We're running it back. Davante Smith 244 00:10:11,320 --> 00:10:14,920 Speaker 2: receiving yards fifty five point five. Actually decent matchup for 245 00:10:15,320 --> 00:10:18,679 Speaker 2: AJ Brown and all of his crazy controversy going on. 246 00:10:19,320 --> 00:10:21,480 Speaker 2: But one big thing I do agree, by the way, 247 00:10:21,520 --> 00:10:23,640 Speaker 2: with what AJ Brown was saying, was like that you 248 00:10:23,720 --> 00:10:26,560 Speaker 2: just need to be become more innovative or adjustable in 249 00:10:26,600 --> 00:10:29,320 Speaker 2: your offense. You can't become one dimensional. And that is 250 00:10:29,360 --> 00:10:31,199 Speaker 2: I think something that is going to have to happen 251 00:10:31,240 --> 00:10:33,120 Speaker 2: in this one and it's going to have to have 252 00:10:33,280 --> 00:10:36,000 Speaker 2: to happen in the air. DeVante Smith has hit this 253 00:10:36,160 --> 00:10:38,200 Speaker 2: in four of his last five games. He's hit this 254 00:10:38,240 --> 00:10:42,719 Speaker 2: prop number got the great matchup grade according to PFF 255 00:10:43,000 --> 00:10:46,800 Speaker 2: the corners for Detroit, by the way, ranking sixtieth eighty 256 00:10:46,920 --> 00:10:50,000 Speaker 2: third and then unranked out of one twelve. So you 257 00:10:50,080 --> 00:10:53,600 Speaker 2: really like that corner matchup. Pros projections have this number 258 00:10:53,640 --> 00:10:57,480 Speaker 2: at sixty six. There's a slight lean on the PFF projections, 259 00:10:57,520 --> 00:11:00,600 Speaker 2: but Fantasy pros projections really like this. And we've seen 260 00:11:01,160 --> 00:11:03,680 Speaker 2: Smith be a really big deep option. And if they're 261 00:11:03,720 --> 00:11:05,920 Speaker 2: going to be kind of playing point for point, obviously 262 00:11:06,080 --> 00:11:07,920 Speaker 2: you know they're going to run the ball as they 263 00:11:07,920 --> 00:11:10,240 Speaker 2: always do. But Davante Smith is going to get the 264 00:11:10,280 --> 00:11:12,320 Speaker 2: action where aj Brown gets a lot of attention. So 265 00:11:12,320 --> 00:11:14,840 Speaker 2: the corner matchups work really well in this Dante Smith 266 00:11:14,880 --> 00:11:17,120 Speaker 2: has been hitting this fifty five point five is a 267 00:11:17,240 --> 00:11:20,000 Speaker 2: very reasonable number. He's been kind of a mainstay usually 268 00:11:20,000 --> 00:11:22,439 Speaker 2: for ericson in the betting market. But I'm going to 269 00:11:22,559 --> 00:11:24,720 Speaker 2: jump in this week and take him from a third 270 00:11:24,760 --> 00:11:25,559 Speaker 2: prop of the week. 271 00:11:25,800 --> 00:11:27,560 Speaker 1: All right, let's go with another receiver, a guy who 272 00:11:27,640 --> 00:11:30,400 Speaker 1: actually just showed up in Seattle, last week and now 273 00:11:30,440 --> 00:11:33,000 Speaker 1: he's in a big game here Rashid Shaheed, So Andrew, 274 00:11:33,160 --> 00:11:36,240 Speaker 1: what carn of impact could Shahied make in this week 275 00:11:36,280 --> 00:11:39,120 Speaker 1: eleven contest? Huge game here for both teams in terms 276 00:11:39,160 --> 00:11:41,719 Speaker 1: of the standings when it comes to the NFC West, I. 277 00:11:41,640 --> 00:11:43,840 Speaker 3: Think that Rashij jah he is an X factor in 278 00:11:43,880 --> 00:11:45,800 Speaker 3: this game for the SAX. I think that he's that 279 00:11:45,920 --> 00:11:49,120 Speaker 3: extra explosive element that if the Rams are going to 280 00:11:49,160 --> 00:11:51,320 Speaker 3: try to put all their attention on Jack Smith and Jigba, 281 00:11:51,520 --> 00:11:53,240 Speaker 3: then I think Shaheed is going to get some favorable 282 00:11:53,280 --> 00:11:55,640 Speaker 3: looks here. So I like the over here at thirty 283 00:11:55,760 --> 00:11:58,640 Speaker 3: one and a half receiving yards. Last week, Shahied and 284 00:11:58,679 --> 00:12:01,360 Speaker 3: his debut just three touches for twenty six total yards, 285 00:12:01,360 --> 00:12:04,439 Speaker 3: but Sam Donald attempted to twelve passes. Right, it was 286 00:12:04,480 --> 00:12:05,640 Speaker 3: a total blowout game. 287 00:12:05,720 --> 00:12:06,080 Speaker 1: Script. 288 00:12:06,200 --> 00:12:08,640 Speaker 3: We haven't only seen Seattle pushed in the last couple weeks. 289 00:12:08,720 --> 00:12:10,959 Speaker 3: They've just been basically just killing all the teams that 290 00:12:11,000 --> 00:12:13,160 Speaker 3: they have faced. So against the Rams on the road 291 00:12:13,480 --> 00:12:16,439 Speaker 3: tight spread, I'm expecting a more back and forth contest, 292 00:12:16,440 --> 00:12:18,440 Speaker 3: and I think that means that the coaching are going 293 00:12:18,480 --> 00:12:20,280 Speaker 3: to have to use Si. They traded for him for 294 00:12:20,320 --> 00:12:22,360 Speaker 3: a reason. And I know that we're really talking up 295 00:12:22,400 --> 00:12:25,360 Speaker 3: the Cooper Cup revenge game narrative. I think that she 296 00:12:25,480 --> 00:12:27,320 Speaker 3: he is actually going to have a big impact here 297 00:12:27,480 --> 00:12:29,599 Speaker 3: because she He's already played the Rams. He played the 298 00:12:29,720 --> 00:12:32,680 Speaker 3: Rams two weeks ago in his last game with the Saints. 299 00:12:32,920 --> 00:12:35,840 Speaker 3: He had a thirty six percent target share in that game, 300 00:12:36,160 --> 00:12:39,280 Speaker 3: five capts on nine targets for sixty eight yards. He 301 00:12:39,400 --> 00:12:41,880 Speaker 3: is a big play machine. And what has Sam Donald 302 00:12:41,920 --> 00:12:45,480 Speaker 3: been doing all year long? Just dropping absolute bombs to 303 00:12:45,520 --> 00:12:47,520 Speaker 3: guys like Jack Fith and Jigbo. So thirty one and 304 00:12:47,559 --> 00:12:50,240 Speaker 3: a half receiving yards. Again, he can get this on one 305 00:12:50,080 --> 00:12:54,440 Speaker 3: single play, and when he was with Kubiak with the Saints, 306 00:12:54,679 --> 00:12:58,640 Speaker 3: he was consistently going over seventy plus receiving yards. So 307 00:12:59,200 --> 00:13:01,959 Speaker 3: again credit to Welsh. Hitting the ladder last week with 308 00:13:02,040 --> 00:13:04,720 Speaker 3: Dalton Schultz it kind of felt gross because Dald Schultz 309 00:13:04,800 --> 00:13:07,839 Speaker 3: not the super explosive guy. So I'm doubling down here 310 00:13:07,840 --> 00:13:10,120 Speaker 3: with Shaheed and doing a ladder bet up to seventy 311 00:13:10,120 --> 00:13:12,959 Speaker 3: receiving yards because that's what this guy does. All he 312 00:13:13,000 --> 00:13:16,040 Speaker 3: does is rip off Matt explosive plays. He almost hit 313 00:13:16,080 --> 00:13:18,080 Speaker 3: this two weeks ago against the Rams. He had sixty 314 00:13:18,120 --> 00:13:20,040 Speaker 3: eight receiving yards and that was with a rookie quarterback 315 00:13:20,240 --> 00:13:22,800 Speaker 3: making his first start on the road. Give me Sam 316 00:13:22,880 --> 00:13:25,599 Speaker 3: Darnell as an upgrade with the explosive element against a 317 00:13:25,720 --> 00:13:29,440 Speaker 3: kind of leak ear Sam's or Rams secondary. So I 318 00:13:29,559 --> 00:13:31,000 Speaker 3: like shaheat a lot here. You look at some of 319 00:13:31,000 --> 00:13:33,240 Speaker 3: the receivers that have given up seventy receiving yards to 320 00:13:33,360 --> 00:13:37,760 Speaker 3: the Rams. Juwan Jennings, Travis Hunter, Kendrick Bourne, ad Deny Mitchell, 321 00:13:37,880 --> 00:13:40,200 Speaker 3: the guy who couldn't catch a cold against the Patriots. 322 00:13:40,440 --> 00:13:43,680 Speaker 3: He went over seventy yards against the Rams defense. So 323 00:13:43,720 --> 00:13:45,480 Speaker 3: if those guys can do it, I'm pretty sure she 324 00:13:45,559 --> 00:13:46,400 Speaker 3: Head can as well. 325 00:13:47,040 --> 00:13:49,240 Speaker 2: You had me at Ladder. He had me at Ladder. 326 00:13:49,679 --> 00:13:51,760 Speaker 1: Yeah, you know what you sold me as well. I'll 327 00:13:51,800 --> 00:13:53,160 Speaker 1: tell you what too. Another one that I like in 328 00:13:53,200 --> 00:13:55,079 Speaker 1: this game too, just because we've talked about a few 329 00:13:55,080 --> 00:13:57,920 Speaker 1: things from it, is the DeVante Adams under sixty and 330 00:13:57,960 --> 00:13:59,679 Speaker 1: a half receiving yards. He's a little banged up, he's 331 00:13:59,679 --> 00:14:02,600 Speaker 1: not a hunder. Seattle defense is very good. But also 332 00:14:02,640 --> 00:14:05,880 Speaker 1: he's only going over that mark twice since Week three 333 00:14:05,960 --> 00:14:08,440 Speaker 1: and only three times all year. Adams has been productive, 334 00:14:08,480 --> 00:14:10,800 Speaker 1: scoring touchdowns, making you know, places when he needs to. 335 00:14:11,040 --> 00:14:12,960 Speaker 1: But in terms of like that big yardage total hasn't 336 00:14:12,960 --> 00:14:15,079 Speaker 1: really been Davante's game this year, and I think in 337 00:14:15,160 --> 00:14:16,800 Speaker 1: this game that's gonna be, you know, play a little 338 00:14:16,800 --> 00:14:19,560 Speaker 1: bit tighter with these defenses. I think that's one to 339 00:14:19,560 --> 00:14:19,880 Speaker 1: look at. 340 00:14:20,040 --> 00:14:24,000 Speaker 2: Also a secondary one. The other touchdown passing prop. I 341 00:14:24,160 --> 00:14:26,800 Speaker 2: was staring at hard with Lamar Jackson with Sam Donald, 342 00:14:26,880 --> 00:14:28,600 Speaker 2: and it's a it's a little bit of a lower number. 343 00:14:28,640 --> 00:14:31,160 Speaker 2: It's like minus one oh five one oh seven or 344 00:14:31,160 --> 00:14:33,640 Speaker 2: something like that for one point five over. Like you said, 345 00:14:33,720 --> 00:14:36,320 Speaker 2: Donald's just dropping bombs. So I know the secondary for 346 00:14:36,360 --> 00:14:39,040 Speaker 2: the for the rams. You know, the defense in general 347 00:14:39,120 --> 00:14:41,880 Speaker 2: is a strength by Sam Donald is just in dued level. 348 00:14:41,960 --> 00:14:43,680 Speaker 2: So I don't hate that. It's not on my card 349 00:14:43,760 --> 00:14:45,640 Speaker 2: or anything, but I don't don't hate that one at all. 350 00:14:45,680 --> 00:14:49,160 Speaker 2: And I'm gonna tail my boy. My boy didn't tail 351 00:14:49,520 --> 00:14:52,000 Speaker 2: the full ladder of Schultz last week, but you did 352 00:14:52,320 --> 00:14:55,000 Speaker 2: bet the prop and it hit. I'm gonna at least 353 00:14:55,000 --> 00:14:56,720 Speaker 2: do a step ladder with the sheet. I don't think 354 00:14:56,720 --> 00:14:58,280 Speaker 2: I'm gonna go to seventy, but I might go to 355 00:14:58,320 --> 00:14:59,560 Speaker 2: fifty with you if. 356 00:14:59,480 --> 00:15:01,760 Speaker 1: You go the under on Adams at sixty one and 357 00:15:01,800 --> 00:15:04,520 Speaker 1: a half. Actually I'm finding it now and the over 358 00:15:04,600 --> 00:15:07,480 Speaker 1: on thirty one and a half for shaheed. Uh, you're 359 00:15:07,480 --> 00:15:09,520 Speaker 1: getting to plus two thirty one by the way, well 360 00:15:09,600 --> 00:15:12,440 Speaker 1: SGP action for you, so get you get your double 361 00:15:12,520 --> 00:15:14,520 Speaker 1: up there. So there you have it. All right. We 362 00:15:14,560 --> 00:15:17,000 Speaker 1: already talking about propat chi chee again, same game, parley tool. 363 00:15:17,000 --> 00:15:18,480 Speaker 1: I just plug those things in to take a look 364 00:15:18,480 --> 00:15:20,440 Speaker 1: for it. So again, use the tools out there help 365 00:15:20,520 --> 00:15:22,720 Speaker 1: you get ahead. All right, Well, let's talk about something 366 00:15:22,720 --> 00:15:24,080 Speaker 1: it might be a little bit more on the depressing 367 00:15:24,120 --> 00:15:27,480 Speaker 1: side of Tennessee. Titans. Not a lot going right for them, 368 00:15:27,640 --> 00:15:29,840 Speaker 1: So how can we make some money off what's going 369 00:15:29,960 --> 00:15:30,680 Speaker 1: wrong for them? 370 00:15:31,240 --> 00:15:34,800 Speaker 2: Is it the over? It is not? Is it the over? 371 00:15:34,960 --> 00:15:38,800 Speaker 2: As Erickson says, when I talk unders, listen because I 372 00:15:38,800 --> 00:15:41,600 Speaker 2: don't bet a lot of under. I am very picky 373 00:15:41,680 --> 00:15:44,400 Speaker 2: about my unders. We are picking an under on the 374 00:15:44,440 --> 00:15:47,840 Speaker 2: Titans this week and we are going cam Ward under 375 00:15:48,200 --> 00:15:52,120 Speaker 2: one point eighty seven point five passing yards one eight seven. 376 00:15:52,240 --> 00:15:56,400 Speaker 2: The call Houston rank second out of thirty two in 377 00:15:56,520 --> 00:15:58,760 Speaker 2: overall defensive grade. Here are some of the grades according 378 00:15:58,760 --> 00:16:02,200 Speaker 2: to PFF. They are the number one in coverage on 379 00:16:02,280 --> 00:16:05,280 Speaker 2: running backs number one pass rush. They are a top 380 00:16:05,480 --> 00:16:09,800 Speaker 2: twelve against tight ends and wide receivers in general. The 381 00:16:09,920 --> 00:16:14,000 Speaker 2: Texans have held quarterbacks to under two hundred passing yards 382 00:16:14,120 --> 00:16:17,160 Speaker 2: four of the last five weeks, and the under to 383 00:16:17,280 --> 00:16:20,760 Speaker 2: this prop has hit in three of the last four 384 00:16:20,800 --> 00:16:24,560 Speaker 2: outings versus quarterbacks now cam Ward. Cam Ward has gone 385 00:16:24,600 --> 00:16:27,120 Speaker 2: over this total only five times this year, but he 386 00:16:27,160 --> 00:16:29,000 Speaker 2: has done it in four of the last five weeks. 387 00:16:29,480 --> 00:16:33,120 Speaker 2: But he has never had more than one hundred and 388 00:16:33,200 --> 00:16:37,640 Speaker 2: eighty seven passing yards without completing twenty one or more passes. 389 00:16:38,080 --> 00:16:42,680 Speaker 2: The Texans averaging only seventeen completions a game to quarterbacks. 390 00:16:42,920 --> 00:16:46,360 Speaker 2: PFF projections have this at one eighty five. Everything is 391 00:16:46,400 --> 00:16:49,080 Speaker 2: relatively close. I don't think cam Ward is going to 392 00:16:49,120 --> 00:16:51,080 Speaker 2: be able to pass the ball at success. There ain't 393 00:16:51,080 --> 00:16:53,080 Speaker 2: no wide receivers. They're going to be in his face 394 00:16:53,120 --> 00:16:55,880 Speaker 2: all day. What he marks is their only hope. Under 395 00:16:56,240 --> 00:17:00,120 Speaker 2: passing yards one eight seven point five on cam Ward. 396 00:17:00,760 --> 00:17:02,360 Speaker 2: That is my under call of the week. 397 00:17:03,600 --> 00:17:05,720 Speaker 1: I already him on the team total under. If you've 398 00:17:05,720 --> 00:17:07,159 Speaker 1: been watching our Best Bet show or any of the 399 00:17:07,200 --> 00:17:08,840 Speaker 1: shows here all week, I've been in on that. I 400 00:17:08,840 --> 00:17:10,239 Speaker 1: think he the number is fifteen and a half. You're 401 00:17:10,280 --> 00:17:13,320 Speaker 1: finding it right now over on BP. For the Tennessee Titans, 402 00:17:13,359 --> 00:17:14,639 Speaker 1: I just don't think things are gonna go well for 403 00:17:14,680 --> 00:17:18,000 Speaker 1: them against the Houston Texans defense. And Welsh also seems 404 00:17:18,000 --> 00:17:21,360 Speaker 1: to agree. One thing that could go well even if 405 00:17:21,359 --> 00:17:24,199 Speaker 1: it doesn't go well, quote unquote in the air quotes 406 00:17:24,640 --> 00:17:27,760 Speaker 1: is Jameis Winston. Because he's a guy that could, you know, 407 00:17:27,880 --> 00:17:31,040 Speaker 1: throw for three hundred yards, throw for four touchdowns, and 408 00:17:31,080 --> 00:17:33,520 Speaker 1: throw for five picks in the same game. That's the 409 00:17:33,560 --> 00:17:36,200 Speaker 1: beauty of the Jameis Winston experience. And I hope we 410 00:17:36,240 --> 00:17:38,360 Speaker 1: all get to sit down and enjoy that this Sunday, 411 00:17:38,400 --> 00:17:42,040 Speaker 1: So Andrew Ericson, I implore you, what's the best way to 412 00:17:42,280 --> 00:17:44,720 Speaker 1: enjoy that experience? From the betting point of view? 413 00:17:44,760 --> 00:17:46,399 Speaker 3: We kind of buried the lead there, Joe when you 414 00:17:46,440 --> 00:17:49,199 Speaker 3: said throw, throw, throw, Yeah, it's gonna be James Winson 415 00:17:49,280 --> 00:17:52,160 Speaker 3: throwing the ball over thirty four and a halfs Oh, 416 00:17:52,240 --> 00:17:54,600 Speaker 3: this Jameis Winston because he's not coming off the bench 417 00:17:54,720 --> 00:17:57,000 Speaker 3: to hand the ball off to Tyln Tracy. That's not 418 00:17:57,040 --> 00:17:59,880 Speaker 3: happening though. You're never gonna see Winston. Oh yeah, run, 419 00:18:00,000 --> 00:18:03,560 Speaker 3: p check check. We're going four verts, let's go, We're 420 00:18:03,560 --> 00:18:06,360 Speaker 3: going to be throwing the football. So I love Winston 421 00:18:06,400 --> 00:18:08,920 Speaker 3: because we know that he is going to be aggressive. 422 00:18:09,560 --> 00:18:12,280 Speaker 3: Pick six's result in more plays for the Giants to 423 00:18:12,400 --> 00:18:14,520 Speaker 3: have the ball again. But when it comes to the matchup, 424 00:18:14,960 --> 00:18:16,439 Speaker 3: I think that the Packers defense is a little bit 425 00:18:16,480 --> 00:18:18,439 Speaker 3: overrated when they play on the road versus when they 426 00:18:18,480 --> 00:18:20,320 Speaker 3: played home. Their last three road games have given up 427 00:18:20,320 --> 00:18:22,359 Speaker 3: a ton of passing yards. They're also going to be 428 00:18:22,400 --> 00:18:24,560 Speaker 3: missing quarnerback Nate Hobbs. It looks like he's been on 429 00:18:24,600 --> 00:18:26,680 Speaker 3: the injury report this week. So their last three road 430 00:18:26,680 --> 00:18:29,760 Speaker 3: games over two hundred and nineteen passing yards, thirty six 431 00:18:29,800 --> 00:18:32,320 Speaker 3: plus pass attempts in all three of those games, including 432 00:18:32,320 --> 00:18:35,320 Speaker 3: two plus passing touchdowns. Every road game the Packers have 433 00:18:35,320 --> 00:18:37,240 Speaker 3: played this year as it featured the quarterback attempting at 434 00:18:37,320 --> 00:18:40,320 Speaker 3: least thirty six passing attempts, and for the last two weeks, 435 00:18:40,600 --> 00:18:42,720 Speaker 3: every quarterback that it faced the Packers had at least 436 00:18:42,840 --> 00:18:46,240 Speaker 3: hit thirty six pass attempts, and last year, in five 437 00:18:46,240 --> 00:18:49,000 Speaker 3: of his six full starts with the Cleveland Browns, Winston 438 00:18:49,200 --> 00:18:51,680 Speaker 3: hit at least thirty six and a half passing attempts. 439 00:18:53,480 --> 00:18:55,600 Speaker 1: That's some good stats right there. I can't wait for it. 440 00:18:55,640 --> 00:18:58,000 Speaker 1: I gotta say, you know, it's like the running theme 441 00:18:58,040 --> 00:18:59,720 Speaker 1: of the year. The Giants were always the most boring 442 00:18:59,720 --> 00:19:01,479 Speaker 1: team for me in the NFL, and I lived in 443 00:19:01,480 --> 00:19:03,880 Speaker 1: a New York area basically my whole life, and even 444 00:19:03,920 --> 00:19:05,920 Speaker 1: when they were good, they were boring. But this year, 445 00:19:05,920 --> 00:19:08,960 Speaker 1: with Scataboo and Dart, they've been fun. And unfortunately that's 446 00:19:09,000 --> 00:19:12,159 Speaker 1: come to an end. So's the only cure. Winston's the 447 00:19:12,160 --> 00:19:14,520 Speaker 1: only cure for all that. That's what I need. I 448 00:19:14,560 --> 00:19:17,560 Speaker 1: got a fever and the only cure is more Winston. 449 00:19:17,800 --> 00:19:21,119 Speaker 1: That's what I want. Sorry, let's go to the last 450 00:19:21,160 --> 00:19:23,560 Speaker 1: here of the favorite prop bets and we'll get to 451 00:19:23,560 --> 00:19:26,760 Speaker 1: the touchdown calls. So Welsh it's taken. I don't know, 452 00:19:27,480 --> 00:19:29,920 Speaker 1: seven eight weeks. I cave it. I cave it to track. 453 00:19:30,200 --> 00:19:32,199 Speaker 1: Since the last time I saw Ricky Piersoll, he's been 454 00:19:32,200 --> 00:19:33,800 Speaker 1: on the back of a milk carton for the last 455 00:19:33,840 --> 00:19:36,400 Speaker 1: few weeks here, for the last few months. So he's returning. 456 00:19:36,880 --> 00:19:38,640 Speaker 1: So do we want to fade him into the under 457 00:19:38,640 --> 00:19:41,240 Speaker 1: oblivion because it's first game back, or do we want 458 00:19:41,240 --> 00:19:43,240 Speaker 1: to charge in guns of blazing to week eleven with. 459 00:19:43,280 --> 00:19:45,520 Speaker 2: Ricky p Yeah, the NFL has had like their own 460 00:19:45,600 --> 00:19:47,560 Speaker 2: version if you've seen the movie Weapons, where it's just 461 00:19:47,640 --> 00:19:51,600 Speaker 2: all of these children, but it's football players, Bucky Irving, 462 00:19:51,680 --> 00:19:54,959 Speaker 2: Ricky Piersall, they've all just been in a basement disappeared 463 00:19:55,400 --> 00:19:58,440 Speaker 2: spoiler alert, and Ricky Pierre saw I was a little 464 00:19:58,440 --> 00:20:01,120 Speaker 2: different on this was a little bit different on this one. 465 00:20:02,000 --> 00:20:04,560 Speaker 2: I even think in the rank show because I don't 466 00:20:04,680 --> 00:20:06,600 Speaker 2: love a lot of these guys coming off of injury. 467 00:20:06,640 --> 00:20:09,160 Speaker 2: But here was my big thing with Pearsall was if 468 00:20:09,160 --> 00:20:11,080 Speaker 2: it was gonna be like a game time decision or 469 00:20:11,119 --> 00:20:13,800 Speaker 2: it's gonna come up into like Sunday, I am not 470 00:20:14,200 --> 00:20:17,520 Speaker 2: super interested in playing him. They lock this down on Thursday, 471 00:20:17,600 --> 00:20:20,280 Speaker 2: said he's back, he's healthy, he's good to go. This 472 00:20:20,359 --> 00:20:23,560 Speaker 2: gives me a greater sense of confidence that he's going 473 00:20:23,640 --> 00:20:25,520 Speaker 2: to be able to return back into the role that 474 00:20:25,520 --> 00:20:28,440 Speaker 2: we've seen out of Ricky Piersaul, plus Brock Purty as well. 475 00:20:28,880 --> 00:20:30,560 Speaker 2: So then not screwing around with us. He's getting back 476 00:20:30,560 --> 00:20:33,840 Speaker 2: into practices, So thumbs up there. So we are going 477 00:20:33,920 --> 00:20:36,520 Speaker 2: to go with probably the lowest Ricky Piersol number we've 478 00:20:36,520 --> 00:20:39,840 Speaker 2: seen in a while. Ricky Piersol receiving yards forty three 479 00:20:39,920 --> 00:20:43,080 Speaker 2: point five, So the Cardinals in general twenty nine of 480 00:20:43,160 --> 00:20:45,840 Speaker 2: thirty two and overall defensive grade. So we like that, 481 00:20:45,880 --> 00:20:48,960 Speaker 2: even though you know Cardinals can have their moments. Ricky's 482 00:20:49,600 --> 00:20:53,400 Speaker 2: last game against the Cardinals this year torched him eight 483 00:20:53,440 --> 00:20:56,800 Speaker 2: catches over one hundred yards. This was also with Party back. 484 00:20:57,640 --> 00:20:59,800 Speaker 2: I think he's hit this receiving aird total in every 485 00:20:59,800 --> 00:21:02,040 Speaker 2: game he was active so far this year where he's 486 00:21:02,040 --> 00:21:05,400 Speaker 2: actually playing, projections are slight lean in favor, and there's 487 00:21:05,400 --> 00:21:08,000 Speaker 2: obviously like a risk with the injury and the snap counts. 488 00:21:08,240 --> 00:21:13,800 Speaker 2: But on the year with purty Ricky Piersol has represented 489 00:21:13,880 --> 00:21:17,280 Speaker 2: a forty three percent air yard share and an over 490 00:21:17,480 --> 00:21:21,600 Speaker 2: fifteen a dot. Ricky could get this on two catches, 491 00:21:21,920 --> 00:21:25,000 Speaker 2: so very important divisional matchup as well. With all the 492 00:21:25,000 --> 00:21:28,200 Speaker 2: guys back low forty three point five, we're going over 493 00:21:28,280 --> 00:21:30,000 Speaker 2: on the receiving yard. It's a little bit risky. I 494 00:21:30,280 --> 00:21:33,440 Speaker 2: sometimes put my ugly nasty bets at number five. I 495 00:21:33,440 --> 00:21:35,159 Speaker 2: could see why people might want to move away from this, 496 00:21:35,280 --> 00:21:38,520 Speaker 2: but dude's a stud. Party's back gonna get him on 497 00:21:38,520 --> 00:21:41,200 Speaker 2: the big plays. Don't even hate longest reception on Ricky Piersol, 498 00:21:41,240 --> 00:21:43,080 Speaker 2: and that's what we're rolling with for my fifth. 499 00:21:43,119 --> 00:21:45,000 Speaker 1: All right, sticking with that game too. We get the 500 00:21:45,040 --> 00:21:49,760 Speaker 1: return of Rock Party, you get the return of Ricky Piersol. 501 00:21:49,920 --> 00:21:52,639 Speaker 1: And maybe flying under the radar is the recent uptick 502 00:21:52,680 --> 00:21:56,879 Speaker 1: in usage for Brian Robinson Junior last two games, the 503 00:21:56,880 --> 00:21:59,080 Speaker 1: first one maybe feels like a one off. Two in 504 00:21:59,080 --> 00:22:01,159 Speaker 1: a row seems like a bit of a trend. So 505 00:22:01,280 --> 00:22:04,000 Speaker 1: ericson with his volume upticking, how can we wager on 506 00:22:04,080 --> 00:22:04,679 Speaker 1: it this week? 507 00:22:05,000 --> 00:22:07,200 Speaker 3: At the over on his carries over four and a 508 00:22:07,240 --> 00:22:09,480 Speaker 3: half carries for Brian Robinson Junior. I'm surprised that the 509 00:22:09,560 --> 00:22:11,960 Speaker 3: numbers this low actually, and this is another five star 510 00:22:12,080 --> 00:22:14,480 Speaker 3: bet on the prop bet cheat sheet, because I was 511 00:22:14,560 --> 00:22:18,159 Speaker 3: kind of flabbergasted thinking, have we watched Brian Robinson the 512 00:22:18,200 --> 00:22:20,880 Speaker 3: last couple of weeks like he's been very efficient. He's 513 00:22:20,880 --> 00:22:23,440 Speaker 3: actually gone over forty rushing yards and back to back 514 00:22:23,440 --> 00:22:27,160 Speaker 3: games despite not seeing double digit carries. So the coaching 515 00:22:27,160 --> 00:22:29,400 Speaker 3: staff is starting to take note that, hey, Brian Robinson 516 00:22:29,560 --> 00:22:31,560 Speaker 3: is filling in as a nice compliment to Christian McCaffrey, 517 00:22:31,600 --> 00:22:34,320 Speaker 3: so we don't have to give McCaffrey thirty touches per game, 518 00:22:34,359 --> 00:22:36,800 Speaker 3: so we can at least survive the rest of the season, 519 00:22:37,240 --> 00:22:39,119 Speaker 3: and I think that's going to continue here. It's a 520 00:22:39,119 --> 00:22:41,920 Speaker 3: plus matchup against the Arizona Cardinals and Welsh I don't 521 00:22:41,920 --> 00:22:43,720 Speaker 3: know which show was, but we were talking about the 522 00:22:43,720 --> 00:22:45,760 Speaker 3: forty nine Ers run game and you expect, Hey, we're 523 00:22:45,760 --> 00:22:47,520 Speaker 3: going to see a lot of this forty Nineers run 524 00:22:47,520 --> 00:22:49,800 Speaker 3: game between CMC and Brian Robinson. That was in my 525 00:22:49,840 --> 00:22:52,119 Speaker 3: mind when I saw this prop. And it matches up 526 00:22:52,119 --> 00:22:54,760 Speaker 3: with what Brian Robinson has been doing recently. Again, gone 527 00:22:54,760 --> 00:22:57,120 Speaker 3: over in two of his last three games here, three 528 00:22:57,200 --> 00:22:59,920 Speaker 3: of his last four, So I really love this year. 529 00:23:00,000 --> 00:23:02,880 Speaker 3: Arizona's faced thirty rushing attempts on average per game over 530 00:23:02,920 --> 00:23:04,800 Speaker 3: their last three games. They've had a lot of injuries 531 00:23:04,840 --> 00:23:06,879 Speaker 3: on the defense side of the football. This game should 532 00:23:06,880 --> 00:23:09,240 Speaker 3: be higher scoring just because both defenses for the Cardinals 533 00:23:09,280 --> 00:23:11,199 Speaker 3: and forty nine Ers are so banged up, and I 534 00:23:11,240 --> 00:23:13,880 Speaker 3: expect Brian Robinson to get a decent amount of work here. 535 00:23:13,920 --> 00:23:17,199 Speaker 1: So over four and a half carries all right, So 536 00:23:17,280 --> 00:23:19,840 Speaker 1: a lot of stuff betted this week against you, or 537 00:23:19,840 --> 00:23:21,800 Speaker 1: should I say, in the forty nine Ers game. A 538 00:23:21,840 --> 00:23:23,679 Speaker 1: lot of investments being made there. We're all gonna make 539 00:23:23,680 --> 00:23:26,240 Speaker 1: some investments in some touchdown calls right now as well. 540 00:23:26,480 --> 00:23:28,480 Speaker 1: So if you want to check out the Touchdown Score Report, 541 00:23:28,560 --> 00:23:31,360 Speaker 1: it lives at bettingpros dot com slash touchdown. It'll give 542 00:23:31,359 --> 00:23:33,560 Speaker 1: you the edge you're looking for for anytime TV stats 543 00:23:33,800 --> 00:23:36,480 Speaker 1: prop bets, odds projections to help you identify the very 544 00:23:36,520 --> 00:23:39,560 Speaker 1: best at any time touchdown bets. I'm going with Ceedee 545 00:23:39,600 --> 00:23:42,679 Speaker 1: Lamb at plus one fifteen. Emotional night for the Cowboys 546 00:23:43,080 --> 00:23:45,040 Speaker 1: coming up here for sure, coming off that buy and 547 00:23:45,040 --> 00:23:48,400 Speaker 1: coming off a team tragedy there plus one fifteen, So 548 00:23:48,480 --> 00:23:50,399 Speaker 1: Ceedee Lamb. I look for him to get in the 549 00:23:50,480 --> 00:23:52,439 Speaker 1: end zone, a big spot there, and then give me 550 00:23:52,480 --> 00:23:56,199 Speaker 1: THEO Johnson because I'm enjoying the ride of Jameis Winston. 551 00:23:56,240 --> 00:23:58,760 Speaker 1: I think the best way to do it is to 552 00:23:58,800 --> 00:24:01,639 Speaker 1: make some investments of the Giant. So we have already 553 00:24:01,680 --> 00:24:03,760 Speaker 1: one Winston bet. I'm gonna give you a THEO Johnson 554 00:24:03,800 --> 00:24:06,000 Speaker 1: bet to catch touchdown plus two twenty. I think it's 555 00:24:06,000 --> 00:24:08,200 Speaker 1: a really good number. Darius Layton out, I was thinking 556 00:24:08,200 --> 00:24:10,680 Speaker 1: about Wandale, but you know what, I think THEO in 557 00:24:10,720 --> 00:24:12,520 Speaker 1: that red zone area is the guy that I prefer 558 00:24:12,600 --> 00:24:14,640 Speaker 1: to give me Theo Johnson plus two twenty Welsh Where 559 00:24:14,640 --> 00:24:16,439 Speaker 1: are you going for your TV calls in week eleven? 560 00:24:16,920 --> 00:24:18,719 Speaker 2: Joe, you a cat or a dog person? 561 00:24:18,920 --> 00:24:19,960 Speaker 1: I'm a dog person. 562 00:24:20,080 --> 00:24:22,840 Speaker 2: Well, guess what, I got dogs and we're chasing out 563 00:24:22,880 --> 00:24:25,480 Speaker 2: the cats. We got dogs that are chasing out cats 564 00:24:25,520 --> 00:24:28,400 Speaker 2: this week. Because first up, we got a Rendez Gadsden 565 00:24:28,600 --> 00:24:31,680 Speaker 2: who's taking out those jaggu wars. We're getting the cats out. 566 00:24:31,720 --> 00:24:35,280 Speaker 2: We got any time touchdown plus one seventy. Jags have 567 00:24:35,359 --> 00:24:38,639 Speaker 2: given up four receiving touchdowns to tight ends in the 568 00:24:38,720 --> 00:24:42,040 Speaker 2: last three weeks, So we pick on him and the 569 00:24:42,080 --> 00:24:44,760 Speaker 2: second kittie cat that we're kicking out. Get out of here, Panthers, 570 00:24:44,960 --> 00:24:47,800 Speaker 2: because the birds are coming in. Bijon Robinson, he's a 571 00:24:47,840 --> 00:24:50,520 Speaker 2: dog who's not scoring touchdowns. It's gonna fix this week. 572 00:24:50,560 --> 00:24:52,480 Speaker 2: But guess what we're gonna do a Joe Piece of 573 00:24:52,520 --> 00:24:55,760 Speaker 2: Pa special. We're gonna play the first half scoring a 574 00:24:55,840 --> 00:24:58,960 Speaker 2: touchdown because we're getting plus one seventy on Vjon. Everyone's 575 00:24:58,960 --> 00:25:02,600 Speaker 2: freaking out. Good b Joe Bevinson's not scoring by low 576 00:25:02,800 --> 00:25:06,200 Speaker 2: Bjon Robinson touchdown in the first half. No, Tyler Algier, 577 00:25:06,800 --> 00:25:09,439 Speaker 2: they've given up the Panthers those Kiddy Cats three rushing 578 00:25:09,480 --> 00:25:12,560 Speaker 2: touchdowns over the last three weeks. Bijon Robinson first half 579 00:25:12,600 --> 00:25:17,240 Speaker 2: touchdown plus one seventy, Gadsten plus one seventy. My dog's 580 00:25:17,320 --> 00:25:17,840 Speaker 2: over those. 581 00:25:17,720 --> 00:25:21,359 Speaker 1: Cats, all right. So any animals for you this week 582 00:25:21,520 --> 00:25:23,480 Speaker 1: in the touchdown calls? Andrew Rickson, Yes. 583 00:25:23,480 --> 00:25:26,160 Speaker 3: Actually we're keeping the theme of these animals. Jalen Wattle 584 00:25:26,200 --> 00:25:28,879 Speaker 3: for the Miami Dolphins, which ah is an animal, it's 585 00:25:28,920 --> 00:25:31,800 Speaker 3: a mammal. Mammal technically it lives in water, but it's 586 00:25:31,800 --> 00:25:33,640 Speaker 3: not a fish. So we'll going with water. 587 00:25:33,720 --> 00:25:34,720 Speaker 2: Still an animal at. 588 00:25:34,600 --> 00:25:37,879 Speaker 3: Even money to score touchdown against the worst secondary in 589 00:25:37,880 --> 00:25:41,720 Speaker 3: the NFL, maybe Washington Commanders. They've they've allowed top three 590 00:25:41,760 --> 00:25:45,040 Speaker 3: in terms of receiving touchdowns per game too. Wide receivers. 591 00:25:45,280 --> 00:25:47,640 Speaker 3: Wattle's been the number one since Tyreek Hill went down, 592 00:25:47,720 --> 00:25:50,000 Speaker 3: been very very productive over eighty two receiving yards and 593 00:25:50,080 --> 00:25:51,800 Speaker 3: five of his six games. If he's gonna get pepper 594 00:25:51,840 --> 00:25:53,600 Speaker 3: with volume, and he's going to find the end zone 595 00:25:53,600 --> 00:25:55,679 Speaker 3: for the second straight week. So I like Wattle to 596 00:25:55,760 --> 00:25:59,560 Speaker 3: score a touchdown in Spain, Yo soy fiesta. And then 597 00:25:59,560 --> 00:26:02,920 Speaker 3: my other one is Chase Brown Cincinnati Bengals. A cat 598 00:26:02,960 --> 00:26:06,120 Speaker 3: here facing against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Chase Brown has seven 599 00:26:06,200 --> 00:26:08,440 Speaker 3: plus rushing and receiving yards in three straight games. He 600 00:26:08,480 --> 00:26:10,119 Speaker 3: went over one hundred rushing yards the last time you 601 00:26:10,160 --> 00:26:12,800 Speaker 3: faced the Steelers, and there's no samajp Ryan. So we're 602 00:26:12,800 --> 00:26:15,600 Speaker 3: looking at Chase Brown with a ninety percent plus snapshare. 603 00:26:15,840 --> 00:26:17,800 Speaker 3: I think he finds the end zone. He has eighteen 604 00:26:17,920 --> 00:26:20,879 Speaker 3: or excuse me, nineteen red zone attempts and targets this season, 605 00:26:20,960 --> 00:26:23,320 Speaker 3: only has three touchdowns, so I think he's due for 606 00:26:23,320 --> 00:26:26,320 Speaker 3: some positive touchdown regression as the workhorse and the work 607 00:26:26,359 --> 00:26:28,840 Speaker 3: cat for that Bengals backfield. 608 00:26:29,359 --> 00:26:31,880 Speaker 1: All right, gentlemen, I'm gonna throw out a bonus bet here, dude, 609 00:26:31,920 --> 00:26:33,320 Speaker 1: just because I bet it this morning, and I've bet 610 00:26:33,359 --> 00:26:35,960 Speaker 1: it pretty heavy. Maybe I'm just riding the wave and 611 00:26:36,000 --> 00:26:38,720 Speaker 1: feeling the fields from another win from the New England 612 00:26:38,760 --> 00:26:41,920 Speaker 1: Patriots going to nine and two. But Mike Rabel was 613 00:26:41,920 --> 00:26:43,680 Speaker 1: at plus one twenty five for Coach of the Year. 614 00:26:43,720 --> 00:26:45,399 Speaker 1: This is probably the last time you're going to see that. 615 00:26:45,880 --> 00:26:48,680 Speaker 1: Mike Rabel has the best eleven games start nine and 616 00:26:48,760 --> 00:26:51,760 Speaker 1: two by head coach after inheriting a thirteen lost team. Ever, 617 00:26:52,359 --> 00:26:55,280 Speaker 1: so there's also a narrative growing here, I feel like 618 00:26:55,359 --> 00:26:58,280 Speaker 1: of the Patriots as these darling comeback kids, which is 619 00:26:58,359 --> 00:27:00,639 Speaker 1: hilarious because they were a dynasty for twenty year and 620 00:27:00,680 --> 00:27:03,280 Speaker 1: most people hated them. But there's something about this team. 621 00:27:03,320 --> 00:27:05,360 Speaker 1: There's something about what's happening on social media. There's something 622 00:27:05,400 --> 00:27:08,439 Speaker 1: about how the traction of Mike Vrabel trending on X 623 00:27:08,480 --> 00:27:11,160 Speaker 1: this morning when I woke up, and I just feel 624 00:27:11,200 --> 00:27:13,440 Speaker 1: as though that's where the narrative is. So no matter 625 00:27:13,480 --> 00:27:15,760 Speaker 1: how good the Colts are and how much they've ride 626 00:27:15,800 --> 00:27:17,600 Speaker 1: the ship, and they have, Shane Styke has done a 627 00:27:17,600 --> 00:27:21,320 Speaker 1: great job. We all know what a great job McDonald's 628 00:27:21,320 --> 00:27:24,640 Speaker 1: done in Seattle this year. I just think the Mike 629 00:27:24,720 --> 00:27:28,040 Speaker 1: Vrabel narrative and the love that everybody is showing that 630 00:27:28,119 --> 00:27:31,280 Speaker 1: team that just so darn likable. Right now. I don't 631 00:27:31,320 --> 00:27:32,920 Speaker 1: think it's gonna be beaten. I think you got to 632 00:27:32,960 --> 00:27:34,240 Speaker 1: bet it now. I think it's gonna be a minus 633 00:27:34,280 --> 00:27:35,800 Speaker 1: money the rest of the year. So just a little 634 00:27:35,880 --> 00:27:39,080 Speaker 1: public service announcement for the futures market for me, Joey P. 635 00:27:39,320 --> 00:27:42,119 Speaker 1: So thank your bonus and thank me later. All right, 636 00:27:42,160 --> 00:27:44,520 Speaker 1: great stuff, gentlemen. As always, make sure you download the 637 00:27:44,520 --> 00:27:47,120 Speaker 1: bank pros app, subscribe to the channel. Drop your comments below. 638 00:27:47,119 --> 00:27:50,719 Speaker 1: Who's getting the touchdown area this year, who's crossing the 639 00:27:50,760 --> 00:27:53,480 Speaker 1: goal line this week? Let me know drop them in 640 00:27:53,520 --> 00:27:55,159 Speaker 1: the YouTube comments. We love to hear from all of 641 00:27:55,160 --> 00:27:56,639 Speaker 1: you and that'll do it for us. But the story 642 00:27:56,640 --> 00:27:59,240 Speaker 1: of the game goes on for Andrew Erickson and the 643 00:27:59,240 --> 00:28:02,000 Speaker 1: Welsh I'm Joey. We'll see you next time. Kids. 644 00:28:02,359 --> 00:28:04,960 Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you 645 00:28:05,040 --> 00:28:07,399 Speaker 4: love the show, the best freeway to support us is 646 00:28:07,400 --> 00:28:10,800 Speaker 4: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 647 00:28:11,119 --> 00:28:13,720 Speaker 4: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 648 00:28:13,840 --> 00:28:17,480 Speaker 4: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube 649 00:28:17,560 --> 00:28:20,160 Speaker 4: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros