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Speaker 1: Hey guys, how are you.

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Speaker 2: It's time for a Wednesday morning episode of the dal

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Speaker 2: Juice Podcast with me Matt part at Sports Talk Matt

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Speaker 2: to follow me across all socials. If you like content

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Speaker 2: from the super Bowl, you will see a lot of

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Speaker 2: content on my socials at Sports Talk Matt from Radio

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Speaker 2: Row now called Media Row, interviews and videos and all

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Speaker 2: sorts of fun stuff as we continue from the super

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Speaker 2: Bowl all week long, and I am going to be

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Speaker 2: really tired.

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Speaker 1: At the end of this week.

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Speaker 2: One and two last night. We went zero and three

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Speaker 2: on Sunday three and ozero on Monday, and then one

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Speaker 2: and two last night.

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Speaker 1: It's funny.

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Speaker 2: I went two and one in hockey, one and two

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Speaker 2: in basketball. That's gambling, right, three and three and we're

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Speaker 2: that was down for the day, down one point one

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Speaker 2: units for the podcast, which puts us down about one

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Speaker 2: point six units for the week, losing week yesterday. So

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Speaker 2: you know, we're gonna pick it up here a little

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Speaker 2: bit and get rolling. But it's a little bit of

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Speaker 2: a busy time, so it's I can't watch these games

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Speaker 2: as much as I would like at the moment, but

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Speaker 2: I do have two college basketball bets. I'm still betting

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Speaker 2: college basketball. I still like where we are here on

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Speaker 2: the hardwood for college basketball.

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Speaker 1: And one NHL play.

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Speaker 2: I did well last night, so I want to come

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Speaker 2: in and bet hockey here tonight. Got a total that

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Speaker 2: I like, I want to give to you guys coming

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Speaker 2: up and look here is you know, Ole Miss lost

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Speaker 2: the game but covered, and we had a shot at

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Speaker 2: the buzzer by South Carolina to win and cover. They

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Speaker 2: won the game, they didn't cover. We laid four number

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Speaker 2: closed to three and a half. They won by three.

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Speaker 2: Bummer there, Okay, we get the win with Butler, who

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Speaker 2: continues to be disrespected in the market. I don't really

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Speaker 2: know why Butler that w AATs. They lost the game,

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Speaker 2: but they lost by nine. They were catching fourteen up

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Speaker 2: fifteen at one point. Fourteen and a half is what

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Speaker 2: we took. Uh and then we missed on the oh,

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Speaker 2: North Carolina. I got beat at home by Clemson first

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Speaker 2: only a second time, like like like twenty years Clemson

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Speaker 2: won at North Carolina. So it's funny because when I

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Speaker 2: saw the numbers, I was like, I think Clemson can

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Speaker 2: cover that. I had no intention of Clemson winning that game.

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Speaker 2: But after Duke, you know, Duke plays tonight. Maybe you

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Speaker 2: want to fade Duke's laying sixteen and a half against

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Speaker 2: Notre Dame. Maybe you'll take Notre Dame given him what

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Speaker 2: Duke just looked, what North Carolina looked like. Maybe Duke

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Speaker 2: just you know, hangover from the big rivalry game. But

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Speaker 2: big win, you get all high and mighty. You know

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Speaker 2: Baycot saying the acc runs through me. Well, Clemson just

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Speaker 2: ran through you. So we lost that one and two

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Speaker 2: on the night, down one point one units. This podcast

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Speaker 2: let's start in the Big East with Creighton on the

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Speaker 2: road against Providence. The Jays are laying two. Why why

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Speaker 2: why is Creighton laying two? Look, I've been wrong before,

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Speaker 2: but this is just a principal play now, the Creighton

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Speaker 2: Blue Jays.

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Speaker 1: I love the team. Okay, you've been watching this podcast,

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Speaker 1: you know how I am. On the Jays. They're three

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Speaker 1: and eight ats in the Big East.

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Speaker 2: Now on the road, they're six and four, but they're

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Speaker 2: one in four over the last five and three and

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Speaker 2: seven over the last ten against the number the Dunk,

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Speaker 2: which I'm still calling it that, Okay, I'm sorry. It

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Speaker 2: may be the Amika Center or whatever they call it now,

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Speaker 2: but it's the Dunk to me, Okay, is a house

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Speaker 2: of horrors for the Creighton Blue Jays. I don't know

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Speaker 2: when the last time they won there. I'm gonna be honest.

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Speaker 2: I didn't read the game notes. Normally I do, but

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Speaker 2: I didn't need to. Like the J's are favored at Providence.

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Speaker 2: Fade fade a quick, not even blank fade. Now Providence

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Speaker 2: is six six and one at home. But here's the thing.

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Speaker 2: Up against Georgetown at home, they didn't cover. They're laying eleven.

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Speaker 2: They won by eight again. Xavier they lost by twenty.

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Speaker 1: Again.

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Speaker 2: Seaton Hall they lost by four, but I guess Butler

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Speaker 2: they won by ten, and Marquette they won by fifteen.

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Speaker 2: Now you can say, Matt, they're not playing very well

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Speaker 2: right now. They've lost two games in a row. They

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Speaker 2: lost on the road to Yukon, but they covered that game.

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Speaker 2: And they lost at home to Villanova by eight. Sorry,

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Speaker 2: lost on the road to Villanova by eighteen points as

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Speaker 2: four and a half point dogs. The jay has just

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Speaker 2: lost a Butler at home as nine point dogs. Outright,

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Speaker 2: sorry nine point favor excuse me outright? Ten closed to ten,

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Speaker 2: which overtime they still lost. Last time on the road,

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Speaker 2: they went to Seaton Hall, they laid one and a half.

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Speaker 2: It went to triple overtime and they won by three.

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Speaker 2: They were incredibly fortunate to win the game at all.

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Speaker 2: Probably should have lost the game against Yukon, they caught six,

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Speaker 2: they lost by fourteen. Now they killed to Paul and

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Speaker 2: they killed Georgetown. Those are bad teams. But they lost

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Speaker 2: to Marquette and they lost to UNLV, who plays in

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Speaker 2: a very similar style to how Providence plays, which is

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Speaker 2: grinded out. You know, they're one hundred and thirty ninth

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Speaker 2: in tempo. They're playing faster under King English than they

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Speaker 2: have in other years. But again this factor is right

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Speaker 2: into my you know, on the road, come home to

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Speaker 2: be a home dog after a road loss. They lost

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Speaker 2: back to back road games at Nova and at Yukon.

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Speaker 2: They come home and take on a Creighton Blue Jay team.

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Speaker 2: Ken Palm has it as a one point loss, sixty

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Speaker 2: nine to sixty eight.

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Speaker 1: The number is two. I just can't do it, I got.

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Speaker 2: I mean, until the Jays shown me something against the number,

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Speaker 2: this is a game they're gonna lose. I think they

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Speaker 2: lose this game outright, and I hate to say that,

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Speaker 2: but look, the J's are going to be in the tournament.

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Speaker 2: They're going to be a four or five, six seed,

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Speaker 2: somewhere in that range. Okay, And winning on the road

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Speaker 2: in college basketball is so incredibly difficult, and this place

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Speaker 2: in particular for the Creighton Blue Jays. Look, they're seven

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Speaker 2: and four in the Big East. They're not gonna catch Yukon.

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Speaker 2: They're eleven and one, Marquette's eight and three, Jays are

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Speaker 2: seven and four, Seaton Hall is seven and four, sixteen

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Speaker 2: and six overall. For the Jays, they're ten and two

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Speaker 2: at home and they're five and two on the road. Look,

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Speaker 2: this is just a really tough matchup. And I know

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Speaker 2: Providence is not very good. They're five and six in conference,

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Speaker 2: they're eleven and two at home, though they're eleven and

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Speaker 2: two straight up at home, they're two and five on

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Speaker 2: the road. Different team at home under Kim English, and

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Speaker 2: I just think the Jays do not play well in

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Speaker 2: this building. Games on Fox Sports two, which is not

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Speaker 2: everyone gets that. But I'm taking Providence at home friars

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Speaker 2: plus two for one point one units. Let's go to

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Speaker 2: Alabama and Auburn. Massive rivalry game. Now, if you remember,

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Speaker 2: we laid two and a half with Alabama at home

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Speaker 2: three point are at the buzzer didn't count the count did,

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Speaker 2: Auburn would have covered the game, would have lost by one. Instead,

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Speaker 2: they lost by four. Auburn's now laying four and a

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Speaker 2: half at home against Alabama. So remember the total was

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Speaker 2: four Alabama one by four, really Alba one by one.

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Speaker 1: They're four to win the game. Auburn's at home.

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Speaker 2: Bama's offense Auburn's offense Alabama number two in efficiency, Auburn's

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Speaker 2: offense number thirteen Bama effective field goal percentage three Auburn

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Speaker 2: sixty two in terms of three point percentage Alabama sixteen

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Speaker 2: Auburn one eighty three, two point nine twenty eight. For Auburn,

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Speaker 2: this game is going to come down to defense, and

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Speaker 2: Auburn's defense is better than Alabama's Auburn's fifth and efficiency

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Speaker 2: second in effective field goal percentage nineteenth and three point

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Speaker 2: percentage in third and two point percentage Alabama fifty seventh,

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Speaker 2: defense defensive efficiency eighty seventh, effective field goal percentage sixty

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Speaker 2: ninth and three point percentage, and one hundred and twenty

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Speaker 2: fourth in two point percentage. This game gets won on

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Speaker 2: the defensive end for Auburn at home. Also, Auburn seven

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Speaker 2: and four ats at home this season. They are seven

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Speaker 2: and two in the SEC ATS. So is Alabama, though

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Speaker 2: they're seven and two, but they're four and six away

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Speaker 2: from home. That tied a much better team at home

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Speaker 2: than on the road. Now, look, we faded them against

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Speaker 2: Georgia and they burned us absolutely.

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Speaker 1: Okay, I was on Georgia. Here came MA Alabama.

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Speaker 2: They shot the lights out the game was covering the

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Speaker 2: entire game, and then Bama got nuclear and Georgia stopped scoring.

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Speaker 2: I don't think Auburn will have the same problem here.

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Speaker 2: Alabama against Georgia they won and covered. Against Tennessee they

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Speaker 2: lost by twenty. Agains mississ State they won by eight.

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Speaker 2: Against Vanderbilt, they won by three. They did not cover.

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Speaker 2: So in the SEC on the road, Georgia they won

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Speaker 2: and covered. Tennessee they lost outright by twenty. It's five

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Speaker 2: point dogs. One in one. Mississippi State they were one

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Speaker 2: point dog. They're won by eight, so two and one

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Speaker 2: and North against Vanderbilt they're laying thirteen. They want by three,

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Speaker 2: so they're two and two ats in the SEC on

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Speaker 2: the road. On the other side for Auburn, they killed

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Speaker 2: Vandy and they covered. They killed Ale miss and they covered.

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Speaker 2: They killed LSU and they covered. They killed tax A

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Speaker 2: and M and they covered. They're four to oh straight

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Speaker 2: up in four to oh Ats at home, I'm laying

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Speaker 2: the four and a half points with Auburn one point

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Speaker 2: one units down, Auburn minus four and a half up

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Speaker 2: against Alabama. Okay, if you want an extra play, by

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Speaker 2: the way, you want to fade Nebraska, which I always.

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Speaker 1: Like to do.

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Speaker 2: If you've known me at all, you know I love

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Speaker 2: to fade Nebraska. Well, you know I would take a long,

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Speaker 2: hard look at Northwestern here up against Nebraska tonight. Northwestern

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Speaker 2: at home, they're laying four and a half or five

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Speaker 2: depending on the book that you're looking at. Here they

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Speaker 2: are better at home. But Nebraska is three and five

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Speaker 2: on the road ats this year. And the Huskers on

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Speaker 2: the road, I mean, yes, they covered against Illino and

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Speaker 2: I faded them and I paid the price there. But

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Speaker 2: against Maryland they lost by twenty two. Against Rutgers they

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Speaker 2: lost by five and didn't cover. Against Iowa they lost

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Speaker 2: by eighteen and didn't cover. Against Wisconsin they lost by sixteen,

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Speaker 2: and they didn't cover. Inside the Big Ten. I think

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Speaker 2: Illinois was just just an anomaly there. They're one in

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Speaker 2: three ats and in the last four games on the

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Speaker 2: road in the Big Ten.

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Speaker 1: I would fade. I would take no.

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Speaker 2: I would live the four and a half points with

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Speaker 2: Northwestern at home. They beat a house date by twenty five.

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Speaker 2: They beat Illinois by five is four point home dogs.

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Speaker 2: They beat Maryland at home. They beat Michigan State at home.

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Speaker 2: Northwestern is a much different animal at home. I mean

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Speaker 2: much different animal they. I mean they went ahead and

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Speaker 2: they they they hung with Purdue for a while. They covered,

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Speaker 2: catching fourteen points on the road, lost by nine, but

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Speaker 2: they've had the big wins at home. For Northwestern, I'll

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Speaker 2: lay the four and a half way Northwestern, So that's

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Speaker 2: an extra play if you want. Not official, but I

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Speaker 2: like the Northwestern West four and a half if against

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Speaker 2: Nebraska because we're gonna fade Crate and might as well

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Speaker 2: fade Nebraska too and make it a whole Omaha thing,

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Speaker 2: Omaha Nebraska thing.

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Speaker 1: One hockey game is official.

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Speaker 2: We're gonna look at the Rangers, who just we took

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Speaker 2: them with the under in their first game after the break.

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Speaker 2: But this is the second game for the Rangers after

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Speaker 2: the break. It was a two to one win over

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Speaker 2: the Avalanche. Here come the Lightning games on tnt Okay.

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Speaker 2: First time these two teams met, five to one win

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Speaker 2: for the Rangers. That game was in Tampa. It's probably

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Speaker 2: gonna be Egor in net. I don't really care which

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Speaker 2: one it is, but Quick played the first game. My

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Speaker 2: guess is Egor plays in this game unless Egor is hurt,

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Speaker 2: which we don't know if he is, reason we didn't

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Speaker 2: play the first game. Out of the break, Quick did,

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Speaker 2: and Quick look good. It's most likely going to be

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Speaker 2: Egor in net, which is kind of what I want here,

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Speaker 2: because I think the six gives us a really good

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Speaker 2: opportunity to bet the over over six at minus one

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Speaker 2: ten for this game up against Tampa, because I think

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Speaker 2: both teams are going to score. I think it's a

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Speaker 2: real good shot. We had a three to three type

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Speaker 2: of game here and it goes over could get a

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Speaker 2: five to one game, similar type of situation that we've

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Speaker 2: had in the early in the first matchup in Tampa.

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Speaker 2: But the Rangers are going to most likely start let's see, Yeah,

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Speaker 2: Egor is expected and for Tampa it's going to be Vassileski.

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Speaker 2: He's also expected in net for both of them. So

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Speaker 2: your stric kid's been up and down nine to twelve

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Speaker 2: and one with a two point eighty six goals against

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Speaker 2: average it's been a little bit elevated. Rangers are sixteen

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Speaker 2: and seven at home. Lightning are ten thirteen and two

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Speaker 2: on the road. But you look at the numbers and

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Speaker 2: the Rangers are slightly an over team. They're twelve nine

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Speaker 2: and two at home this year to the over for

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Speaker 2: Tampa Bay this year on the road, they've been a

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Speaker 2: little bit of an under team. They're thirteen ten and

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Speaker 2: two to the under. But you start looking at this

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Speaker 2: a little bit more. Over the last ten games, Rangers

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Speaker 2: are five to three and two. Sorry on the road.

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Speaker 2: At home, the Rangers have been decent to the over,

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Speaker 2: outstanding but good enough, six and four at home to

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Speaker 2: the over. Tampa Bay on the road has been a

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Speaker 2: little bit on the underside. They're three to six and

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Speaker 2: one to the under over their last ten games. But

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Speaker 2: that was before the break. This is after the break,

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Speaker 2: and I think we're going to see offense for the

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Speaker 2: Rangers and Tampa I think can give up a lot

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Speaker 2: of goals. Six to three was their win in their

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Speaker 2: last game up against the Devils, and we've seen them

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Speaker 2: play a lot of games where they're just like that

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Speaker 2: six to three finals going in here, and that was

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Speaker 2: and this is the first game back for Tampa too

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Speaker 2: after the break, so Rangers have a game under their belt.

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Speaker 2: If you want to bet Rangers money line, I don't

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Speaker 2: hate that play either, to bet on, to bet on

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Speaker 2: the Rangers to win the game, just outright. If you

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Speaker 2: don't like the price, you can do Rangers in regulation

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Speaker 2: if you want as well. That isn't a bad play.

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Speaker 2: But I'm gonna bet the over six here and to

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Speaker 2: be a four to two final, push potential five to

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Speaker 2: two final with an open net somewhere in those range.

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Speaker 2: I like the Rangers to win the game, but I

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Speaker 2: think Tampa's going to score just because it's e two

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Speaker 2: goals minimum, he's gonna give up. He may give up three.

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Speaker 2: So total is climbing. At certain books, you might find

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Speaker 2: a six and a half, but I have six in

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Speaker 2: and over. I feel better about that six and a half.

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Speaker 2: I might lean towards the under, but at six I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna go over Rangers lightning over six for one point

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Speaker 2: one units, and I do lean towards the Rangers to

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Speaker 2: win the game. It's you know, a little pricey one

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Speaker 2: forty one forty on the Rangers, but I do think

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Speaker 2: New York.

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Speaker 1: Wins the game. Up against Tampa.

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Speaker 2: All right three official plays for US here on a

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Speaker 2: Wednesday over six Rangers, Lightning Providence plus two at home

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Speaker 2: against Creighton in Auburn, minus four and a half at

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Speaker 2: home against Alabama Mins Matt Paroltz. Follow me acrost All

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Speaker 2: Socials at Sports Talk Matt. Every morning the Eligues Podcast

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Speaker 2: I would being brought to you by Omaha Steaks dot

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Speaker 2: com