WEBVTT - FFW Micro - Diontae Johnson

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<v Speaker 1>You found Fantasy Football Weekly Micro a deep dive on

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<v Speaker 1>one player in just five to ten minutes.

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<v Speaker 2>Now here's your host, Paul Chargian. It's Fantasy Football Weekly

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<v Speaker 2>Micro editioned Paul Charchian and Tyler KINABELEI with you super

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<v Speaker 2>excited about today's subject.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, you like a little Deontay Johnson.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm super excited about tomorrow's player. Today's player is a

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<v Speaker 2>little less exciting. Deontay Johnson. Hard to muster a ton

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<v Speaker 2>of enthusiasm here. Even by by wide receiver one standards,

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<v Speaker 2>there's only a couple of guys I think I'm less

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<v Speaker 2>interested in than Deontay Johnson for a team's number one

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<v Speaker 2>wide receiver. But let's play it out. Let's do a

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<v Speaker 2>deep dive on him, find out what we like, what

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<v Speaker 2>we don't like.

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<v Speaker 3>All right, let's do it.

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<v Speaker 1>Uh finish says the wide receiver twenty eight last season

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<v Speaker 1>in total points and total points was the wide receiver

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<v Speaker 1>forty three though in average points per game, So one

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<v Speaker 1>of those beneficiaries who is that's a little flavor. You

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<v Speaker 1>just look at the points because he played and I

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<v Speaker 1>think get in all seventeen games, which is great from

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<v Speaker 1>an injury standpoint. But didn't do much in those games.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, he's currently going off the board is why

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<v Speaker 1>does he wear thirty six? And the big thing with

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<v Speaker 1>Deontay Johnson was he had zero touchdowns.

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<v Speaker 2>Last week, which obviously, you know, he's never been a

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<v Speaker 2>big touchdown guy, but yeah, obviously he'll score more than

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<v Speaker 2>zero next year.

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<v Speaker 1>This is the one guy the regression bros love. Oh,

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<v Speaker 1>I bet everyone who talks about he's due for aggressions whatever,

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<v Speaker 1>standard deviation, whatever those fancy words are.

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<v Speaker 2>The mean, Yes, yeah, that's what I was looking for. Yes,

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<v Speaker 2>So I think there's probably some people just look at well,

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<v Speaker 2>he gets he gets all. He's a big part of

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<v Speaker 2>this offense. The ball gets in his hands a lot,

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<v Speaker 2>and eventually good things will happen, would be the thinking, Right.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, that's definitely the thinking and the case to like

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<v Speaker 1>you said, going off that, the case to make for

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<v Speaker 1>Deontay was he finished sixth in targets last season, which

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<v Speaker 1>considering he finished.

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<v Speaker 2>As why receiver thirty or whatever forty.

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<v Speaker 3>Three average points per game, how do you it just

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<v Speaker 3>doesn't make sense for me and.

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<v Speaker 2>Zero efficiency with all the zero all those targets.

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<v Speaker 1>He was also numbered nine in routes run number ten

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<v Speaker 1>red zone targets, no touchdowns, and he he was number

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<v Speaker 1>two with an unrealized air yards What that.

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<v Speaker 2>Down unrealized What is unrealized air yards?

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<v Speaker 1>So it takes your air yards, which is the mount

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<v Speaker 1>the yards traveled the ball in the air to like

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<v Speaker 1>when you on the target. So we had fifteen fifteen

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<v Speaker 1>hundred air yards and they subtract it from his actual

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<v Speaker 1>receiving yards. So basically on targeted ball. So like Kyle

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<v Speaker 1>Pitts is a really high UH air yard stat because

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<v Speaker 1>he was targeted on a lot of balls like deep

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<v Speaker 1>down the field, and but he did he catch you

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<v Speaker 1>didn't catch them because Marcus Mariota is not good.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, well that's a problem here too because pick it

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<v Speaker 2>also does not look like an NFL start.

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<v Speaker 1>So he had eight hundred and seventy two unrealized area.

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<v Speaker 1>So it's pretty much just how many yards he could

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<v Speaker 1>have got. Yes, pretty much the stat.

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<v Speaker 2>Had the balls been thrown accurately, maybe the coverage wasn't

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<v Speaker 2>as good. Had he caught all the balls that he

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<v Speaker 2>could have, he would have had fifteen you know, he

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<v Speaker 2>would have had fifteen hundred area at fifteen hundred yards.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, so the caseke is that maybe he catches more

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<v Speaker 1>balls for some little bit more yards.

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<v Speaker 3>But as we noted, the efficiency is just is not there.

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<v Speaker 1>So his ad on his average depth of target, he

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<v Speaker 1>was number fifty three among white is he.

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<v Speaker 2>That is a killer for wide receivers. Now you're catching

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<v Speaker 2>the ball at and around the line of scrimmage, you

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<v Speaker 2>are not a fantasy factor.

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<v Speaker 1>Yep, yards after catch number forty seven and he played

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<v Speaker 1>seventeen games. That isn't a yards per like per catch,

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<v Speaker 1>just like just a total amount of yards.

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<v Speaker 2>And he break tackles. He's not elusive. He does not

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<v Speaker 2>make people miss. He's not a yat guy.

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<v Speaker 1>He was number fifty two in yards per route run

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<v Speaker 1>and he was number eighty three in contested catch rate.

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<v Speaker 1>He also had nine drops, good for second most.

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<v Speaker 2>You know, I feel like what we're doing here is

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<v Speaker 2>we're making a case for a breakout season for George Picktens.

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<v Speaker 2>Is what we're doing here is what I feel like

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<v Speaker 2>this has headed. Kenny Pickett is a problem to my eyes.

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<v Speaker 2>He is a backup grade starter who was taken in

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<v Speaker 2>the first round two drafts ago out of just sheer

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<v Speaker 2>desperation when the team had to find a starter and

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<v Speaker 2>to replace Ben Roethlisberger. You know, he gave us twelve

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<v Speaker 2>starts last year. Kenny Pickett did. He had seven touchdowns

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<v Speaker 2>in twelve starts. He never had two touchdowns in a

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<v Speaker 2>single game out of twelve starts. No explosiveness, no downfield

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<v Speaker 2>explosiveness whatsoever from Kenny Pickett. Now it's here too. He'll

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<v Speaker 2>be better. But man, I just didn't see the traits.

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<v Speaker 2>So you know what you're looking for a rookie quarterback,

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<v Speaker 2>even if it doesn't materialize in the box scores, you

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<v Speaker 2>want to see some special throws that make people go man.

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<v Speaker 2>If he can expand on that trait, he's gonna really

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<v Speaker 2>do something in the NFL. I didn't see anything that

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<v Speaker 2>I could I could hitch my wagon to with Kenny

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<v Speaker 2>Pickett that make me go wow. Year two, he's gonna

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<v Speaker 2>be a lot better because he's gonna get better at

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<v Speaker 2>this part of his game. And I think that's gonna

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<v Speaker 2>take down Deontay Johnson as well. To get back to

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<v Speaker 2>Deontay Johnson, I don't think that helps here either.

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<v Speaker 1>I agree, And it's just you mentioned the change. What

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<v Speaker 1>is going to change this year where Deontay Johnson just

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<v Speaker 1>propels into this this next tier of guys.

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<v Speaker 3>It's the same.

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<v Speaker 1>He has the same oc that Literally, I think every

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<v Speaker 1>Steelers fan absolutely hates in Matt Canada.

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<v Speaker 3>I feel like I've heard tell you everything because Steelers.

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<v Speaker 1>Fans are big on Twitter, they love Twitter, and it's

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<v Speaker 1>just Matt Canada slander every single game.

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<v Speaker 3>I'm just it's just not good.

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<v Speaker 1>George Pickens, we mentioned it probably going to be more

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<v Speaker 1>involved this year, considering as his rookie year last year,

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<v Speaker 1>He's going to be more involved this year.

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<v Speaker 2>And they got to know. I mean, you're the coaching

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<v Speaker 2>staff of the Steelers, you're Matt Canada. You go back,

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<v Speaker 2>you watch your tape of last year, you go, well,

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<v Speaker 2>why were we throwing all those balls? So a guy

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<v Speaker 2>who does nothing with them, we gotta change this up.

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<v Speaker 2>I think they're gonna learn some lessons from this. And

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<v Speaker 2>I've I'm walk I walked away from this. Deontay Johnson

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<v Speaker 2>exercise more enthusiastic about George Pickens honestly.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 1>And Alan Robinson's also in town, which I mean, I know,

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<v Speaker 1>I know we saw last season. I know we lost

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<v Speaker 1>last SEU season, but it's just another It's it's at

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<v Speaker 1>least another name, so it's not I wouldn't say it's

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<v Speaker 1>good for Deontay Johnson. It also feels like Pat friarm Youth,

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<v Speaker 1>so just in terms of red zone goal line options,

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<v Speaker 1>because people are talking about the touchdowns are going to

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<v Speaker 1>go up, But all these guys I would take just

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<v Speaker 1>on the goal line, they're all more red zone threats

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<v Speaker 1>than Deontay Johnson. We got Pat fryarm Youth, big red

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<v Speaker 1>zone for sure.

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<v Speaker 2>Guardy already carved that out in two years.

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<v Speaker 1>Najie Harris, George Pickens, and even if they used, if

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<v Speaker 1>Darna Washington get established in this offense, he's a better

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<v Speaker 1>red zone guy than Deontay Johnson is too.

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<v Speaker 2>So I totally agree that there's just there's not a

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<v Speaker 2>lot to like here.

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<v Speaker 3>So it's so the question I'm asking is what am

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<v Speaker 3>I missing that? Why is he going at wild?

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<v Speaker 2>I know the regression guys who love him, but I'm

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<v Speaker 2>just I'm out on Deontay Johnson. We know who he

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<v Speaker 2>is and there's zero upside for this. The only format

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<v Speaker 2>where Deontay Johnson makes any sense to me is a

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<v Speaker 2>guillotine league. Yeah, and early, only early in the season,

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<v Speaker 2>because in your guillotine league, you're just looking for guys

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<v Speaker 2>who don't give you dud games. Deontay Johnson is always

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<v Speaker 2>catching four or five balls, six ball, seven balls, doesn't

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<v Speaker 2>do it anything with them, So it's like sixty yards,

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<v Speaker 2>but five catches sixty yards is an eleven point PPR game,

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<v Speaker 2>and that's good enough to give me, not cut. So

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<v Speaker 2>the only format where I feel like deoncey J. Johnson

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<v Speaker 2>helps me is an early season guillotine league where I'm

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<v Speaker 2>gonna get the sure catches and the sure usage, assuming

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<v Speaker 2>that they do keep going back to him at this level.

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<v Speaker 2>But otherwise I'm out on this guy.

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<v Speaker 3>Yep.

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<v Speaker 2>By the way, play your guillotine leagues at guillotine leagues

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<v Speaker 2>dot com. Private leagues, public leagues however you like to

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<v Speaker 2>play your guillotine league. Got a bunch of different styles

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<v Speaker 2>options for your private league, or you can join a

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<v Speaker 2>public contest as well, play with others, win some prizes. Okay,

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<v Speaker 2>let's play the ADP. Game's going off at wide Receiver

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<v Speaker 2>thirty six, and I can already tell you, not even

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<v Speaker 2>looking at the list, I already like everybody else better.

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<v Speaker 3>All right, yeah, so are you still gonna go through it?

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<v Speaker 3>Or sure? I just do it? Mike Evans, why is

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<v Speaker 3>he were thirty four?

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah? And this is down as You've never been able

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<v Speaker 2>to get Mike Evans that he cheap as cheaply as this,

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<v Speaker 2>and I feel like they've dripped. He's actually a bye

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<v Speaker 2>at wide receiver thirty six, So I'm taking Evans for sure.

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<v Speaker 2>I get touchdown upside if nothing else.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah. Jordan Addison, why is he were thirty five?

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I'll bank on the rookie being uh being an

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<v Speaker 2>instant splash in Minnesota.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, Adam You know how Adam Feelin had the second

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<v Speaker 1>most routees ran last season too, and he's seemingly just

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<v Speaker 1>gonna step right into that role.

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<v Speaker 2>He he is gonna step into that role.

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<v Speaker 3>Yep. I'm with it.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I'm taking Yeah, I'm taking every guy over Deonta Johnson,

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<v Speaker 1>but let's go through it.

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<v Speaker 3>Cadarius Tony, why does he were thirty seven?

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<v Speaker 2>Right? So, Kadarius Tony has done nothing in his career

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<v Speaker 2>to deserve to be wide receiver thirty seven, but right

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<v Speaker 2>now he is the go to wide receiver under Patrick

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<v Speaker 2>Mahomes led offense. Now, in the past, that hasn't always

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<v Speaker 2>meant anything. Look at last year. Jujus Smiths Schuster I

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<v Speaker 2>guess was the go to. I He was not even

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<v Speaker 2>startable for half of the year. You know, half his

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<v Speaker 2>games were just dud games. So, but Cadarius Tony can

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<v Speaker 2>be electric after the catch, and so I'll take Cadarius

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<v Speaker 2>Tony and just hope he stays healthy for two thirds

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<v Speaker 2>of the season.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, and just all these guys.

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<v Speaker 1>There is even more upside too, Like, yeah, I think

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<v Speaker 1>Kadarius Tony might have a lower floor than Deonday Johnson,

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<v Speaker 1>but way it does.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, agreed, all right, Treylon Burks, why is you a

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<v Speaker 3>thirty eight?

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<v Speaker 2>Hopefully better in year two? I mean last year was

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<v Speaker 2>a disaster. Hopefully this will be better. Yep, I'll bank

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<v Speaker 2>on a year two receiver over Deontay Johnson.

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<v Speaker 3>Yep.

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<v Speaker 2>It's cruel, We're down, it's but this is this is

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<v Speaker 2>a tough game. We're not here to make friends, Tyler.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, definitely not.

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<v Speaker 2>Thank you for listening to Fantasy Football Weekly. Back tomorrow

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<v Speaker 2>with more and a much more compelling wide receiver, a

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<v Speaker 2>guy I'm I love buying low on this season. Coming

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<v Speaker 2>up tomorrow in Fantasy Football Weekly. Micro addition, we will

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<v Speaker 2>talk to you then, everybody, Bye bye. Fantasy Football Weekly

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<v Speaker 2>is a production of iheartrate. For more podcasts from iHeartRadio,

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