1 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:08,160 Speaker 1: You found Fantasy Football Weekly Micro a deep dive on 2 00:00:08,160 --> 00:00:10,680 Speaker 1: one player in just five to ten minutes. 3 00:00:10,880 --> 00:00:15,480 Speaker 2: Now here's your host, Paul Chargian. It's Fantasy Football Weekly 4 00:00:15,600 --> 00:00:19,800 Speaker 2: Micro editioned Paul Charchian and Tyler KINABELEI with you super 5 00:00:19,840 --> 00:00:21,200 Speaker 2: excited about today's subject. 6 00:00:21,600 --> 00:00:24,280 Speaker 3: Yeah, you like a little Deontay Johnson. 7 00:00:26,000 --> 00:00:30,280 Speaker 2: I'm super excited about tomorrow's player. Today's player is a 8 00:00:30,280 --> 00:00:33,919 Speaker 2: little less exciting. Deontay Johnson. Hard to muster a ton 9 00:00:33,920 --> 00:00:38,320 Speaker 2: of enthusiasm here. Even by by wide receiver one standards, 10 00:00:39,800 --> 00:00:41,640 Speaker 2: there's only a couple of guys I think I'm less 11 00:00:41,640 --> 00:00:44,919 Speaker 2: interested in than Deontay Johnson for a team's number one 12 00:00:44,960 --> 00:00:47,080 Speaker 2: wide receiver. But let's play it out. Let's do a 13 00:00:47,120 --> 00:00:48,760 Speaker 2: deep dive on him, find out what we like, what 14 00:00:48,800 --> 00:00:49,239 Speaker 2: we don't like. 15 00:00:49,280 --> 00:00:50,600 Speaker 3: All right, let's do it. 16 00:00:50,400 --> 00:00:52,800 Speaker 1: Uh finish says the wide receiver twenty eight last season 17 00:00:52,880 --> 00:00:55,240 Speaker 1: in total points and total points was the wide receiver 18 00:00:55,400 --> 00:00:58,120 Speaker 1: forty three though in average points per game, So one 19 00:00:58,120 --> 00:01:00,920 Speaker 1: of those beneficiaries who is that's a little flavor. You 20 00:01:00,920 --> 00:01:02,280 Speaker 1: just look at the points because he played and I 21 00:01:02,320 --> 00:01:04,680 Speaker 1: think get in all seventeen games, which is great from 22 00:01:04,680 --> 00:01:08,600 Speaker 1: an injury standpoint. But didn't do much in those games. 23 00:01:08,720 --> 00:01:10,880 Speaker 1: I mean, he's currently going off the board is why 24 00:01:10,959 --> 00:01:12,520 Speaker 1: does he wear thirty six? And the big thing with 25 00:01:12,560 --> 00:01:15,240 Speaker 1: Deontay Johnson was he had zero touchdowns. 26 00:01:14,800 --> 00:01:17,200 Speaker 2: Last week, which obviously, you know, he's never been a 27 00:01:17,240 --> 00:01:20,360 Speaker 2: big touchdown guy, but yeah, obviously he'll score more than 28 00:01:20,440 --> 00:01:21,119 Speaker 2: zero next year. 29 00:01:21,160 --> 00:01:23,800 Speaker 1: This is the one guy the regression bros love. Oh, 30 00:01:23,840 --> 00:01:29,000 Speaker 1: I bet everyone who talks about he's due for aggressions whatever, 31 00:01:29,200 --> 00:01:31,360 Speaker 1: standard deviation, whatever those fancy words are. 32 00:01:32,000 --> 00:01:34,400 Speaker 2: The mean, Yes, yeah, that's what I was looking for. Yes, 33 00:01:35,760 --> 00:01:40,119 Speaker 2: So I think there's probably some people just look at well, 34 00:01:40,520 --> 00:01:42,960 Speaker 2: he gets he gets all. He's a big part of 35 00:01:42,959 --> 00:01:45,600 Speaker 2: this offense. The ball gets in his hands a lot, 36 00:01:45,720 --> 00:01:48,279 Speaker 2: and eventually good things will happen, would be the thinking, Right. 37 00:01:48,720 --> 00:01:51,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, that's definitely the thinking and the case to like 38 00:01:51,040 --> 00:01:52,840 Speaker 1: you said, going off that, the case to make for 39 00:01:53,120 --> 00:01:57,200 Speaker 1: Deontay was he finished sixth in targets last season, which 40 00:01:57,680 --> 00:01:58,960 Speaker 1: considering he finished. 41 00:01:58,640 --> 00:02:01,760 Speaker 2: As why receiver thirty or whatever forty. 42 00:02:01,560 --> 00:02:04,440 Speaker 3: Three average points per game, how do you it just 43 00:02:04,440 --> 00:02:05,440 Speaker 3: doesn't make sense for me and. 44 00:02:05,640 --> 00:02:08,040 Speaker 2: Zero efficiency with all the zero all those targets. 45 00:02:08,160 --> 00:02:11,000 Speaker 1: He was also numbered nine in routes run number ten 46 00:02:11,160 --> 00:02:15,000 Speaker 1: red zone targets, no touchdowns, and he he was number 47 00:02:15,000 --> 00:02:18,320 Speaker 1: two with an unrealized air yards What that. 48 00:02:18,320 --> 00:02:21,520 Speaker 2: Down unrealized What is unrealized air yards? 49 00:02:21,560 --> 00:02:24,520 Speaker 1: So it takes your air yards, which is the mount 50 00:02:25,040 --> 00:02:27,320 Speaker 1: the yards traveled the ball in the air to like 51 00:02:27,360 --> 00:02:30,280 Speaker 1: when you on the target. So we had fifteen fifteen 52 00:02:30,400 --> 00:02:33,680 Speaker 1: hundred air yards and they subtract it from his actual 53 00:02:33,800 --> 00:02:38,720 Speaker 1: receiving yards. So basically on targeted ball. So like Kyle 54 00:02:38,760 --> 00:02:42,160 Speaker 1: Pitts is a really high UH air yard stat because 55 00:02:42,200 --> 00:02:43,799 Speaker 1: he was targeted on a lot of balls like deep 56 00:02:43,800 --> 00:02:45,919 Speaker 1: down the field, and but he did he catch you 57 00:02:46,000 --> 00:02:48,200 Speaker 1: didn't catch them because Marcus Mariota is not good. 58 00:02:48,320 --> 00:02:50,800 Speaker 2: Yeah, well that's a problem here too because pick it 59 00:02:50,840 --> 00:02:52,640 Speaker 2: also does not look like an NFL start. 60 00:02:52,680 --> 00:02:54,959 Speaker 1: So he had eight hundred and seventy two unrealized area. 61 00:02:55,040 --> 00:02:58,360 Speaker 1: So it's pretty much just how many yards he could 62 00:02:58,400 --> 00:03:00,200 Speaker 1: have got. Yes, pretty much the stat. 63 00:03:00,240 --> 00:03:03,320 Speaker 2: Had the balls been thrown accurately, maybe the coverage wasn't 64 00:03:03,320 --> 00:03:05,560 Speaker 2: as good. Had he caught all the balls that he 65 00:03:05,600 --> 00:03:08,359 Speaker 2: could have, he would have had fifteen you know, he 66 00:03:08,360 --> 00:03:11,880 Speaker 2: would have had fifteen hundred area at fifteen hundred yards. 67 00:03:12,040 --> 00:03:14,760 Speaker 1: Yeah, so the caseke is that maybe he catches more 68 00:03:14,880 --> 00:03:16,600 Speaker 1: balls for some little bit more yards. 69 00:03:17,360 --> 00:03:20,960 Speaker 3: But as we noted, the efficiency is just is not there. 70 00:03:21,280 --> 00:03:24,160 Speaker 1: So his ad on his average depth of target, he 71 00:03:24,200 --> 00:03:25,800 Speaker 1: was number fifty three among white is he. 72 00:03:26,320 --> 00:03:28,960 Speaker 2: That is a killer for wide receivers. Now you're catching 73 00:03:29,000 --> 00:03:31,240 Speaker 2: the ball at and around the line of scrimmage, you 74 00:03:31,280 --> 00:03:32,600 Speaker 2: are not a fantasy factor. 75 00:03:32,760 --> 00:03:37,040 Speaker 1: Yep, yards after catch number forty seven and he played 76 00:03:37,040 --> 00:03:39,760 Speaker 1: seventeen games. That isn't a yards per like per catch, 77 00:03:41,560 --> 00:03:44,360 Speaker 1: just like just a total amount of yards. 78 00:03:44,400 --> 00:03:48,800 Speaker 2: And he break tackles. He's not elusive. He does not 79 00:03:48,880 --> 00:03:50,520 Speaker 2: make people miss. He's not a yat guy. 80 00:03:50,720 --> 00:03:53,280 Speaker 1: He was number fifty two in yards per route run 81 00:03:53,480 --> 00:03:55,840 Speaker 1: and he was number eighty three in contested catch rate. 82 00:03:55,880 --> 00:03:58,200 Speaker 1: He also had nine drops, good for second most. 83 00:03:58,520 --> 00:04:01,000 Speaker 2: You know, I feel like what we're doing here is 84 00:04:01,080 --> 00:04:03,440 Speaker 2: we're making a case for a breakout season for George Picktens. 85 00:04:03,560 --> 00:04:05,720 Speaker 2: Is what we're doing here is what I feel like 86 00:04:05,760 --> 00:04:09,600 Speaker 2: this has headed. Kenny Pickett is a problem to my eyes. 87 00:04:09,640 --> 00:04:13,640 Speaker 2: He is a backup grade starter who was taken in 88 00:04:13,640 --> 00:04:15,760 Speaker 2: the first round two drafts ago out of just sheer 89 00:04:15,840 --> 00:04:18,600 Speaker 2: desperation when the team had to find a starter and 90 00:04:18,720 --> 00:04:21,600 Speaker 2: to replace Ben Roethlisberger. You know, he gave us twelve 91 00:04:21,640 --> 00:04:25,520 Speaker 2: starts last year. Kenny Pickett did. He had seven touchdowns 92 00:04:25,680 --> 00:04:28,640 Speaker 2: in twelve starts. He never had two touchdowns in a 93 00:04:28,720 --> 00:04:33,720 Speaker 2: single game out of twelve starts. No explosiveness, no downfield 94 00:04:33,960 --> 00:04:38,839 Speaker 2: explosiveness whatsoever from Kenny Pickett. Now it's here too. He'll 95 00:04:38,880 --> 00:04:42,159 Speaker 2: be better. But man, I just didn't see the traits. 96 00:04:42,480 --> 00:04:44,400 Speaker 2: So you know what you're looking for a rookie quarterback, 97 00:04:44,520 --> 00:04:46,280 Speaker 2: even if it doesn't materialize in the box scores, you 98 00:04:46,320 --> 00:04:49,440 Speaker 2: want to see some special throws that make people go man. 99 00:04:49,960 --> 00:04:53,960 Speaker 2: If he can expand on that trait, he's gonna really 100 00:04:53,960 --> 00:04:56,640 Speaker 2: do something in the NFL. I didn't see anything that 101 00:04:56,720 --> 00:04:59,280 Speaker 2: I could I could hitch my wagon to with Kenny 102 00:04:59,320 --> 00:05:02,520 Speaker 2: Pickett that make me go wow. Year two, he's gonna 103 00:05:02,520 --> 00:05:04,000 Speaker 2: be a lot better because he's gonna get better at 104 00:05:04,000 --> 00:05:06,000 Speaker 2: this part of his game. And I think that's gonna 105 00:05:06,000 --> 00:05:08,159 Speaker 2: take down Deontay Johnson as well. To get back to 106 00:05:08,200 --> 00:05:10,800 Speaker 2: Deontay Johnson, I don't think that helps here either. 107 00:05:11,200 --> 00:05:14,240 Speaker 1: I agree, And it's just you mentioned the change. What 108 00:05:14,360 --> 00:05:17,720 Speaker 1: is going to change this year where Deontay Johnson just 109 00:05:17,760 --> 00:05:20,560 Speaker 1: propels into this this next tier of guys. 110 00:05:21,120 --> 00:05:21,640 Speaker 3: It's the same. 111 00:05:21,720 --> 00:05:23,800 Speaker 1: He has the same oc that Literally, I think every 112 00:05:23,839 --> 00:05:26,480 Speaker 1: Steelers fan absolutely hates in Matt Canada. 113 00:05:26,520 --> 00:05:31,040 Speaker 3: I feel like I've heard tell you everything because Steelers. 114 00:05:30,640 --> 00:05:33,599 Speaker 1: Fans are big on Twitter, they love Twitter, and it's 115 00:05:33,600 --> 00:05:36,520 Speaker 1: just Matt Canada slander every single game. 116 00:05:36,640 --> 00:05:38,080 Speaker 3: I'm just it's just not good. 117 00:05:38,520 --> 00:05:40,800 Speaker 1: George Pickens, we mentioned it probably going to be more 118 00:05:40,800 --> 00:05:42,960 Speaker 1: involved this year, considering as his rookie year last year, 119 00:05:43,200 --> 00:05:44,640 Speaker 1: He's going to be more involved this year. 120 00:05:44,680 --> 00:05:46,600 Speaker 2: And they got to know. I mean, you're the coaching 121 00:05:46,640 --> 00:05:48,719 Speaker 2: staff of the Steelers, you're Matt Canada. You go back, 122 00:05:48,760 --> 00:05:52,840 Speaker 2: you watch your tape of last year, you go, well, 123 00:05:53,160 --> 00:05:54,880 Speaker 2: why were we throwing all those balls? So a guy 124 00:05:54,880 --> 00:05:57,200 Speaker 2: who does nothing with them, we gotta change this up. 125 00:05:57,480 --> 00:05:59,159 Speaker 2: I think they're gonna learn some lessons from this. And 126 00:05:59,160 --> 00:06:02,200 Speaker 2: I've I'm walk I walked away from this. Deontay Johnson 127 00:06:02,200 --> 00:06:04,919 Speaker 2: exercise more enthusiastic about George Pickens honestly. 128 00:06:05,160 --> 00:06:05,680 Speaker 3: Yeah. 129 00:06:05,720 --> 00:06:08,680 Speaker 1: And Alan Robinson's also in town, which I mean, I know, 130 00:06:08,920 --> 00:06:11,520 Speaker 1: I know we saw last season. I know we lost 131 00:06:11,720 --> 00:06:13,240 Speaker 1: last SEU season, but it's just another It's it's at 132 00:06:13,279 --> 00:06:15,479 Speaker 1: least another name, so it's not I wouldn't say it's 133 00:06:15,480 --> 00:06:19,720 Speaker 1: good for Deontay Johnson. It also feels like Pat friarm Youth, 134 00:06:19,880 --> 00:06:22,120 Speaker 1: so just in terms of red zone goal line options, 135 00:06:22,160 --> 00:06:23,840 Speaker 1: because people are talking about the touchdowns are going to 136 00:06:23,920 --> 00:06:27,240 Speaker 1: go up, But all these guys I would take just 137 00:06:27,320 --> 00:06:29,680 Speaker 1: on the goal line, they're all more red zone threats 138 00:06:29,720 --> 00:06:32,600 Speaker 1: than Deontay Johnson. We got Pat fryarm Youth, big red 139 00:06:32,680 --> 00:06:34,000 Speaker 1: zone for sure. 140 00:06:34,200 --> 00:06:36,440 Speaker 2: Guardy already carved that out in two years. 141 00:06:36,320 --> 00:06:40,479 Speaker 1: Najie Harris, George Pickens, and even if they used, if 142 00:06:40,520 --> 00:06:42,520 Speaker 1: Darna Washington get established in this offense, he's a better 143 00:06:42,560 --> 00:06:44,360 Speaker 1: red zone guy than Deontay Johnson is too. 144 00:06:44,440 --> 00:06:46,680 Speaker 2: So I totally agree that there's just there's not a 145 00:06:46,680 --> 00:06:47,280 Speaker 2: lot to like here. 146 00:06:47,320 --> 00:06:48,880 Speaker 3: So it's so the question I'm asking is what am 147 00:06:48,880 --> 00:06:51,320 Speaker 3: I missing that? Why is he going at wild? 148 00:06:51,520 --> 00:06:53,479 Speaker 2: I know the regression guys who love him, but I'm 149 00:06:53,520 --> 00:06:55,640 Speaker 2: just I'm out on Deontay Johnson. We know who he 150 00:06:55,720 --> 00:07:00,599 Speaker 2: is and there's zero upside for this. The only format 151 00:07:00,640 --> 00:07:04,040 Speaker 2: where Deontay Johnson makes any sense to me is a 152 00:07:04,080 --> 00:07:07,040 Speaker 2: guillotine league. Yeah, and early, only early in the season, 153 00:07:07,160 --> 00:07:09,480 Speaker 2: because in your guillotine league, you're just looking for guys 154 00:07:09,520 --> 00:07:13,320 Speaker 2: who don't give you dud games. Deontay Johnson is always 155 00:07:13,360 --> 00:07:15,880 Speaker 2: catching four or five balls, six ball, seven balls, doesn't 156 00:07:15,880 --> 00:07:18,120 Speaker 2: do it anything with them, So it's like sixty yards, 157 00:07:18,400 --> 00:07:21,240 Speaker 2: but five catches sixty yards is an eleven point PPR game, 158 00:07:21,760 --> 00:07:24,080 Speaker 2: and that's good enough to give me, not cut. So 159 00:07:24,560 --> 00:07:26,760 Speaker 2: the only format where I feel like deoncey J. Johnson 160 00:07:26,800 --> 00:07:31,360 Speaker 2: helps me is an early season guillotine league where I'm 161 00:07:31,400 --> 00:07:35,040 Speaker 2: gonna get the sure catches and the sure usage, assuming 162 00:07:35,080 --> 00:07:37,360 Speaker 2: that they do keep going back to him at this level. 163 00:07:37,400 --> 00:07:39,280 Speaker 2: But otherwise I'm out on this guy. 164 00:07:39,600 --> 00:07:39,840 Speaker 3: Yep. 165 00:07:40,080 --> 00:07:42,560 Speaker 2: By the way, play your guillotine leagues at guillotine leagues 166 00:07:42,600 --> 00:07:46,000 Speaker 2: dot com. Private leagues, public leagues however you like to 167 00:07:46,040 --> 00:07:48,040 Speaker 2: play your guillotine league. Got a bunch of different styles 168 00:07:48,040 --> 00:07:50,520 Speaker 2: options for your private league, or you can join a 169 00:07:50,640 --> 00:07:54,560 Speaker 2: public contest as well, play with others, win some prizes. Okay, 170 00:07:55,400 --> 00:07:58,320 Speaker 2: let's play the ADP. Game's going off at wide Receiver 171 00:07:58,360 --> 00:08:00,800 Speaker 2: thirty six, and I can already tell you, not even 172 00:08:00,840 --> 00:08:02,560 Speaker 2: looking at the list, I already like everybody else better. 173 00:08:02,600 --> 00:08:04,960 Speaker 3: All right, yeah, so are you still gonna go through it? 174 00:08:05,040 --> 00:08:06,880 Speaker 3: Or sure? I just do it? Mike Evans, why is 175 00:08:06,920 --> 00:08:07,640 Speaker 3: he were thirty four? 176 00:08:07,880 --> 00:08:11,320 Speaker 2: Yeah? And this is down as You've never been able 177 00:08:11,320 --> 00:08:13,520 Speaker 2: to get Mike Evans that he cheap as cheaply as this, 178 00:08:13,600 --> 00:08:16,080 Speaker 2: and I feel like they've dripped. He's actually a bye 179 00:08:16,200 --> 00:08:18,880 Speaker 2: at wide receiver thirty six, So I'm taking Evans for sure. 180 00:08:19,080 --> 00:08:20,960 Speaker 2: I get touchdown upside if nothing else. 181 00:08:21,280 --> 00:08:23,680 Speaker 3: Yeah. Jordan Addison, why is he were thirty five? 182 00:08:24,800 --> 00:08:27,800 Speaker 2: Yeah, I'll bank on the rookie being uh being an 183 00:08:27,840 --> 00:08:29,440 Speaker 2: instant splash in Minnesota. 184 00:08:29,560 --> 00:08:31,800 Speaker 1: Yeah, Adam You know how Adam Feelin had the second 185 00:08:31,840 --> 00:08:34,400 Speaker 1: most routees ran last season too, and he's seemingly just 186 00:08:34,400 --> 00:08:35,560 Speaker 1: gonna step right into that role. 187 00:08:35,559 --> 00:08:37,320 Speaker 2: He he is gonna step into that role. 188 00:08:37,440 --> 00:08:38,680 Speaker 3: Yep. I'm with it. 189 00:08:38,760 --> 00:08:42,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm taking Yeah, I'm taking every guy over Deonta Johnson, 190 00:08:42,559 --> 00:08:43,199 Speaker 1: but let's go through it. 191 00:08:43,280 --> 00:08:45,199 Speaker 3: Cadarius Tony, why does he were thirty seven? 192 00:08:45,720 --> 00:08:48,000 Speaker 2: Right? So, Kadarius Tony has done nothing in his career 193 00:08:48,040 --> 00:08:50,559 Speaker 2: to deserve to be wide receiver thirty seven, but right 194 00:08:50,600 --> 00:08:53,400 Speaker 2: now he is the go to wide receiver under Patrick 195 00:08:53,440 --> 00:08:56,800 Speaker 2: Mahomes led offense. Now, in the past, that hasn't always 196 00:08:56,800 --> 00:08:59,000 Speaker 2: meant anything. Look at last year. Jujus Smiths Schuster I 197 00:08:59,000 --> 00:09:01,600 Speaker 2: guess was the go to. I He was not even 198 00:09:01,640 --> 00:09:04,000 Speaker 2: startable for half of the year. You know, half his 199 00:09:04,080 --> 00:09:08,000 Speaker 2: games were just dud games. So, but Cadarius Tony can 200 00:09:08,040 --> 00:09:10,600 Speaker 2: be electric after the catch, and so I'll take Cadarius 201 00:09:10,600 --> 00:09:12,559 Speaker 2: Tony and just hope he stays healthy for two thirds 202 00:09:12,559 --> 00:09:13,040 Speaker 2: of the season. 203 00:09:13,160 --> 00:09:14,680 Speaker 3: Yeah, and just all these guys. 204 00:09:14,679 --> 00:09:16,720 Speaker 1: There is even more upside too, Like, yeah, I think 205 00:09:16,760 --> 00:09:19,120 Speaker 1: Kadarius Tony might have a lower floor than Deonday Johnson, 206 00:09:19,120 --> 00:09:19,920 Speaker 1: but way it does. 207 00:09:20,080 --> 00:09:22,439 Speaker 3: Yeah, agreed, all right, Treylon Burks, why is you a 208 00:09:22,520 --> 00:09:22,959 Speaker 3: thirty eight? 209 00:09:23,200 --> 00:09:25,760 Speaker 2: Hopefully better in year two? I mean last year was 210 00:09:25,800 --> 00:09:28,640 Speaker 2: a disaster. Hopefully this will be better. Yep, I'll bank 211 00:09:28,679 --> 00:09:30,880 Speaker 2: on a year two receiver over Deontay Johnson. 212 00:09:31,080 --> 00:09:31,320 Speaker 3: Yep. 213 00:09:33,200 --> 00:09:36,160 Speaker 2: It's cruel, We're down, it's but this is this is 214 00:09:36,160 --> 00:09:38,280 Speaker 2: a tough game. We're not here to make friends, Tyler. 215 00:09:38,400 --> 00:09:39,400 Speaker 3: Yeah, definitely not. 216 00:09:39,559 --> 00:09:42,839 Speaker 2: Thank you for listening to Fantasy Football Weekly. Back tomorrow 217 00:09:42,960 --> 00:09:46,560 Speaker 2: with more and a much more compelling wide receiver, a 218 00:09:46,600 --> 00:09:51,040 Speaker 2: guy I'm I love buying low on this season. Coming 219 00:09:51,120 --> 00:09:54,600 Speaker 2: up tomorrow in Fantasy Football Weekly. Micro addition, we will 220 00:09:54,600 --> 00:09:58,400 Speaker 2: talk to you then, everybody, Bye bye. 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