1 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:07,000 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News. 2 00:00:09,960 --> 00:00:10,520 Speaker 2: Good morning. 3 00:00:10,560 --> 00:00:13,319 Speaker 3: I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the 4 00:00:13,440 --> 00:00:14,920 Speaker 3: stories we're following today. 5 00:00:15,440 --> 00:00:18,639 Speaker 2: Karen, we begin on day seven of the federal government shutdown. 6 00:00:18,720 --> 00:00:21,040 Speaker 2: The Senate has voted for a fifth time on a 7 00:00:21,079 --> 00:00:24,160 Speaker 2: stopgap spending bill that would reopen the government until November 8 00:00:24,160 --> 00:00:27,440 Speaker 2: twenty first, but would not include the healthcare subsidies that 9 00:00:27,520 --> 00:00:31,120 Speaker 2: Democrats are demanding. That bill has failed for a fifth time, 10 00:00:31,360 --> 00:00:34,400 Speaker 2: but now President Trump is signaling he's willing to negotiate. 11 00:00:34,880 --> 00:00:37,120 Speaker 4: We have a negotiation going on right now with the 12 00:00:37,240 --> 00:00:40,000 Speaker 4: Democrats that could lead to very good things. 13 00:00:41,120 --> 00:00:43,720 Speaker 5: And I'm talking about good things with regard to healthcare. 14 00:00:43,880 --> 00:00:46,880 Speaker 2: The President Trump did not say specifically which Democrats he's 15 00:00:46,880 --> 00:00:50,600 Speaker 2: negotiating with. House Minoriti Leader Hakim Jeffrey says it's not him. 16 00:00:50,840 --> 00:00:55,520 Speaker 6: Either Leader Schumer or myself have heard a word from 17 00:00:55,560 --> 00:00:59,640 Speaker 6: the administration about resolving this issue, making clear to us 18 00:01:00,200 --> 00:01:02,480 Speaker 6: that the White House wanted to shut the government down. 19 00:01:02,960 --> 00:01:06,360 Speaker 2: That's House Minoriti Leader Hakim Jeffries. Later, President Trump posted 20 00:01:06,400 --> 00:01:08,720 Speaker 2: on truth Social that he'd be willing to work with Democrats, 21 00:01:08,760 --> 00:01:11,640 Speaker 2: but only after they allowed the government to reopen. He's 22 00:01:11,680 --> 00:01:14,760 Speaker 2: also suggested layoffs of federal workers could be triggered if 23 00:01:14,760 --> 00:01:18,240 Speaker 2: the shutdown continues much longer. Those workers will begin to 24 00:01:18,240 --> 00:01:21,559 Speaker 2: miss paychecks this Friday, and the military will start going 25 00:01:21,600 --> 00:01:26,400 Speaker 2: without pay on October fifteenth unless the government reopens well Nathan. 26 00:01:26,480 --> 00:01:29,840 Speaker 3: President Trump is facing more pushback over his efforts to 27 00:01:29,880 --> 00:01:34,440 Speaker 3: send the National Guard to counter immigration protesters in major cities. 28 00:01:34,520 --> 00:01:37,000 Speaker 3: The state of Illinois is suing over the President's plan 29 00:01:37,080 --> 00:01:40,280 Speaker 3: to deploy the Guard to Chicago, but a federal judge 30 00:01:40,319 --> 00:01:42,880 Speaker 3: is declining to rule right away on the state's request 31 00:01:42,920 --> 00:01:46,280 Speaker 3: for a two week haul to the deployment. Illinois Governor J. B. 32 00:01:46,400 --> 00:01:49,680 Speaker 3: Prisker says the President's moves are entirely political. 33 00:01:50,000 --> 00:01:54,240 Speaker 7: The Trump administration is following a playbook. Cause chaos, create 34 00:01:54,320 --> 00:01:58,360 Speaker 7: fear and confusion, make it seem like peaceful protesters are 35 00:01:58,400 --> 00:02:01,800 Speaker 7: a mob by fire, uring gas pellets and tear gas 36 00:02:01,840 --> 00:02:07,200 Speaker 7: canisters at them, why to create the pretext for invoking 37 00:02:07,400 --> 00:02:08,680 Speaker 7: the Insurrection Act. 38 00:02:09,120 --> 00:02:13,240 Speaker 3: Illinois Governor JB. Pritzker denies the White House's claims that 39 00:02:13,320 --> 00:02:16,519 Speaker 3: a local police are not doing enough to protect immigration 40 00:02:16,639 --> 00:02:19,959 Speaker 3: and customs enforcement. US Sister Judge April Perry is not 41 00:02:20,080 --> 00:02:23,520 Speaker 3: ruling immediately on the state's request for a temporary restraining order, 42 00:02:23,560 --> 00:02:26,200 Speaker 3: but she says she's troubled by a lack of clarity 43 00:02:26,480 --> 00:02:29,600 Speaker 3: on where troops should be mobilizing and what they'd be doing. 44 00:02:29,880 --> 00:02:32,840 Speaker 3: She asked the Trump administration to delay its plans until 45 00:02:32,880 --> 00:02:34,760 Speaker 3: she holds a hearing on Thursday. 46 00:02:35,080 --> 00:02:37,840 Speaker 2: Karen, we turned out to the political crisis in France. 47 00:02:38,040 --> 00:02:41,960 Speaker 2: President Dmanuel McCraw is giving his outgoing Prime Minister Sebastian 48 00:02:42,040 --> 00:02:45,359 Speaker 2: Lecorneo until tomorrow night to negotiate a last ditch deal 49 00:02:45,400 --> 00:02:48,919 Speaker 2: to salvage his government. The decision buys mccrawl a little 50 00:02:48,919 --> 00:02:51,520 Speaker 2: more time to decide his next steps, and we get 51 00:02:51,520 --> 00:02:55,480 Speaker 2: the latest in Paris from Bloomberg Daybreak. Euro banker Stephen Carroll. 52 00:02:55,400 --> 00:02:58,000 Speaker 4: What of twenty four hours at spainber we heard, you know, 53 00:02:58,040 --> 00:03:00,160 Speaker 4: a cobnist only announced on Sunday night, for the prime 54 00:03:00,200 --> 00:03:04,400 Speaker 4: minister to resign yesterday morning, only to be told no way, 55 00:03:04,680 --> 00:03:07,239 Speaker 4: go back and try again. You get an extra forty 56 00:03:07,280 --> 00:03:11,079 Speaker 4: eight hours to try and negotiate some sort of compromise 57 00:03:11,160 --> 00:03:15,240 Speaker 4: that might eventually lead to a budget Bloomberg. 58 00:03:15,280 --> 00:03:18,680 Speaker 2: Stephen Carroll says President mccorum's options include appointing a new 59 00:03:18,680 --> 00:03:22,920 Speaker 2: prime minister, calling a new parliamentary election, or resigning. Opposition 60 00:03:23,040 --> 00:03:26,720 Speaker 2: groups are clamoring for a fresh legislative vote. 61 00:03:26,960 --> 00:03:29,720 Speaker 3: Well n than today March, two years since the October seventh, 62 00:03:29,760 --> 00:03:33,200 Speaker 3: the checks on Israel Hamas in Israel are continuing. Indirect 63 00:03:33,200 --> 00:03:36,200 Speaker 3: negotiations for a second day in Egypt be the very 64 00:03:36,240 --> 00:03:39,760 Speaker 3: latest from Bloomberg Middle East correspondent Jumana Burccci. 65 00:03:40,200 --> 00:03:43,400 Speaker 8: There is a degree of optimism that perhaps this is 66 00:03:43,400 --> 00:03:47,000 Speaker 8: the diplomatic breakthrough that the families of those hostages have 67 00:03:47,040 --> 00:03:50,800 Speaker 8: been waiting for, that Palestinians have been striving for. President 68 00:03:50,800 --> 00:03:53,080 Speaker 8: Trump says, I really think we're going to have a deal. 69 00:03:53,160 --> 00:03:57,000 Speaker 8: He's personally invested in this, and you can question his motivations, 70 00:03:57,040 --> 00:03:59,120 Speaker 8: but what is very clear is the US right now 71 00:03:59,320 --> 00:04:02,120 Speaker 8: the administration is very focused on getting a deal across 72 00:04:02,240 --> 00:04:04,800 Speaker 8: the line because President jomp seems to think that he's 73 00:04:04,880 --> 00:04:07,960 Speaker 8: the only world leader capable of getting two piece in Gaza. 74 00:04:08,120 --> 00:04:11,040 Speaker 8: So there is a lot of stake right now. There's 75 00:04:11,080 --> 00:04:13,920 Speaker 8: a lot of focus from the international community. Many people 76 00:04:13,960 --> 00:04:17,239 Speaker 8: are saying that this is perhaps the last real efforts 77 00:04:17,279 --> 00:04:20,479 Speaker 8: and last attempt to get to some form of resolution, 78 00:04:20,680 --> 00:04:22,800 Speaker 8: so cautious optim is imprevailing. 79 00:04:22,880 --> 00:04:25,880 Speaker 3: And Bloomberg Middle East correspondent j Mona Brissecci there twelve 80 00:04:25,960 --> 00:04:28,320 Speaker 3: hundred people were killed in another two hundred and fifty 81 00:04:28,360 --> 00:04:31,520 Speaker 3: were abducted. On the attack on Israel two years ago. 82 00:04:31,760 --> 00:04:35,039 Speaker 3: More than sixty seven thousand Palestinians have been killed in 83 00:04:35,040 --> 00:04:37,840 Speaker 3: the conflict, according to the AMAS run Health Ministry in 84 00:04:37,880 --> 00:04:38,680 Speaker 3: the territory. 85 00:04:39,000 --> 00:04:41,280 Speaker 2: Turning to Wall Street, now Karen futures are lower a 86 00:04:41,360 --> 00:04:44,520 Speaker 2: day after stocks closed, it yet another record high. The 87 00:04:44,600 --> 00:04:46,760 Speaker 2: S and P five hundred is now gained for seven 88 00:04:46,920 --> 00:04:50,040 Speaker 2: straight sessions for its longest winning streak since early May. 89 00:04:50,480 --> 00:04:54,839 Speaker 2: Leslie Marx is chief investment Officer for Equities at Mackenzie Investments. 90 00:04:55,120 --> 00:04:58,000 Speaker 9: When you look at the factors that are driving equities, 91 00:04:58,320 --> 00:05:01,359 Speaker 9: it's been primarily, of course, price momentum. The things that 92 00:05:01,440 --> 00:05:04,880 Speaker 9: are going higher are what people want, of course, but 93 00:05:05,040 --> 00:05:08,960 Speaker 9: also earnings momentum has been a top factor, and earnings 94 00:05:09,000 --> 00:05:11,719 Speaker 9: momentum is a very strong fundamental that we can really 95 00:05:11,760 --> 00:05:15,080 Speaker 9: anchor ourselves on and say that actually, with these companies 96 00:05:15,120 --> 00:05:18,320 Speaker 9: reporting strong earnings, we can build comfortable with the higher 97 00:05:18,400 --> 00:05:20,799 Speaker 9: valuations that they're trading at today. 98 00:05:20,960 --> 00:05:24,080 Speaker 2: It's Leslie Marcus at mackenzie Investments. The SMP five hundred 99 00:05:24,200 --> 00:05:26,280 Speaker 2: rows four tenths of one percent yesterday. 100 00:05:26,680 --> 00:05:30,600 Speaker 3: Well, Nathan, the biggest winner was the Nasdaq one hundred index, 101 00:05:30,640 --> 00:05:33,479 Speaker 3: which rose another eight tenths of a percent, leading the 102 00:05:33,480 --> 00:05:36,960 Speaker 3: way Advanced micro Devices, which soared almost twenty four percent 103 00:05:37,000 --> 00:05:40,120 Speaker 3: after inking a deal with open Ai. AMD will build 104 00:05:40,120 --> 00:05:42,800 Speaker 3: out AI infrastructure and a pack that chip maker said 105 00:05:42,800 --> 00:05:45,680 Speaker 3: could generate tens of billions of dollars in new revenue. 106 00:05:45,800 --> 00:05:48,839 Speaker 3: And we spoke with AMD CEO Lisa Sue. 107 00:05:49,040 --> 00:05:53,240 Speaker 10: Together now we're embarking on a massive buildout of six 108 00:05:53,360 --> 00:05:57,040 Speaker 10: gigawatts of AI compute and it's a big deal for us, 109 00:05:57,120 --> 00:06:00,560 Speaker 10: for our shareholders, for our teams, and you know the 110 00:06:00,600 --> 00:06:03,279 Speaker 10: partnership and the overall AI ecosystem. 111 00:06:03,520 --> 00:06:07,000 Speaker 3: And get the full conversation with AMD CEO Lisa Sue 112 00:06:07,000 --> 00:06:11,000 Speaker 3: and Open Ai president Greg Brockman on the Bloomberg Podcast 113 00:06:11,080 --> 00:06:12,599 Speaker 3: channel on Youtubell Karen. 114 00:06:12,640 --> 00:06:15,760 Speaker 2: We've also been speaking with Citadel's Ken Griffin. He says 115 00:06:15,920 --> 00:06:19,680 Speaker 2: investors are starting to see gold is safer than the dollar. 116 00:06:20,200 --> 00:06:23,159 Speaker 2: He says that's something people should be worried about. The 117 00:06:23,160 --> 00:06:26,880 Speaker 2: billionaire says it is clear many are now reassessing the greenback. 118 00:06:27,600 --> 00:06:30,960 Speaker 11: As you see sovereigns around the world, the central banks 119 00:06:31,000 --> 00:06:34,320 Speaker 11: around the world, as you see individual investors around the 120 00:06:34,360 --> 00:06:37,560 Speaker 11: world go, you know what, I now view gold as 121 00:06:37,560 --> 00:06:40,600 Speaker 11: a safe harbor asset in a way that the dollar 122 00:06:40,920 --> 00:06:45,200 Speaker 11: used to be viewed. That's that's what's really concerning to me. 123 00:06:45,640 --> 00:06:48,120 Speaker 2: Ken Griffin made those comments in an interview with Bloomberg's 124 00:06:48,120 --> 00:06:52,120 Speaker 2: Fancy Lacua at the Citadel Securities Conference. That conversation is 125 00:06:52,160 --> 00:06:54,599 Speaker 2: also on the Bloomberg Podcast channel on YouTube. 126 00:06:54,839 --> 00:06:58,159 Speaker 3: In company news, Nathan Bloomberg News has learned Tesla plans 127 00:06:58,200 --> 00:07:01,400 Speaker 3: to unveil a cheaper version of the Model Y later today. 128 00:07:01,600 --> 00:07:04,520 Speaker 3: Sources say the cheaper vehicle will lack certain features and 129 00:07:04,640 --> 00:07:07,240 Speaker 3: use less premium materials to offset the loss of the 130 00:07:07,320 --> 00:07:10,120 Speaker 3: up to seventy five hundred dollars federal tax credit that 131 00:07:10,200 --> 00:07:12,000 Speaker 3: the US stopped offering this month. 132 00:07:12,200 --> 00:07:15,000 Speaker 2: Karen Tesla CEO. Elon Musk has reportedly named a former 133 00:07:15,040 --> 00:07:19,600 Speaker 2: Morgan Stanley executive the chief financial officer of his artificial 134 00:07:19,760 --> 00:07:24,840 Speaker 2: intelligence startup XAI. The Financial Times is reporting that Anthony 135 00:07:24,920 --> 00:07:29,280 Speaker 2: Armstrong will help finance both Xai and Musk's social media 136 00:07:29,320 --> 00:07:33,560 Speaker 2: platform x The paper says Armstrong helped Musk complete the 137 00:07:33,640 --> 00:07:37,920 Speaker 2: forty four billion dollar acquisition of the former Twitter. 138 00:07:41,320 --> 00:07:41,480 Speaker 5: Time. 139 00:07:41,560 --> 00:07:43,200 Speaker 3: Now for look at some of the other stories making 140 00:07:43,240 --> 00:07:44,800 Speaker 3: news in New York and around the world, and for 141 00:07:44,840 --> 00:07:46,679 Speaker 3: that we're joined by Bloomberg's Michael Mahr. 142 00:07:46,720 --> 00:07:48,520 Speaker 6: Michael, good morning, Good morning Karen. 143 00:07:48,560 --> 00:07:51,480 Speaker 12: It's the homestretch for the three remaining New York City 144 00:07:51,520 --> 00:07:57,120 Speaker 12: mayoral candidates. Front Runner Democratic nominee Zoron Mumdani proposes city 145 00:07:57,240 --> 00:08:01,720 Speaker 12: owned grocery stores, fair free buses, free childcare, and a 146 00:08:01,800 --> 00:08:06,360 Speaker 12: freeze on rent stabilized apartments. He spoke to ABC seven 147 00:08:06,400 --> 00:08:08,280 Speaker 12: about how it will be funded. 148 00:08:08,240 --> 00:08:10,600 Speaker 4: By increasing taxes on the top one percent of New 149 00:08:10,680 --> 00:08:11,680 Speaker 4: Yorkers by two percent. 150 00:08:11,720 --> 00:08:14,240 Speaker 3: It is by increasing the state's top corporate tax rate 151 00:08:14,240 --> 00:08:15,240 Speaker 3: to match that of New Jersey. 152 00:08:15,800 --> 00:08:19,480 Speaker 12: Meanwhile, former New York Governor Andrew Cuomo, running as an independent, 153 00:08:19,840 --> 00:08:23,040 Speaker 12: says if Mamdani wins the election in November, it would 154 00:08:23,080 --> 00:08:24,720 Speaker 12: be a gift to President Trump. 155 00:08:25,000 --> 00:08:29,360 Speaker 8: He said, if they elect this person, then I Donald Trump, 156 00:08:29,400 --> 00:08:31,240 Speaker 8: I'm going to have to step in take over New 157 00:08:31,320 --> 00:08:33,880 Speaker 8: York to protect the good people of New York. 158 00:08:34,160 --> 00:08:38,080 Speaker 12: Cuomo spoke yesterday on ABC's The View Mamdani leads the 159 00:08:38,080 --> 00:08:41,040 Speaker 12: field in the polls over Cuomo and Republican Curtis Sliwa 160 00:08:41,440 --> 00:08:45,280 Speaker 12: on Bloomberg's Leewa says the polls had been wrong several times. 161 00:08:45,800 --> 00:08:48,640 Speaker 5: Two munch into the Democratic primary, they were preparing the 162 00:08:48,640 --> 00:08:52,200 Speaker 5: coronation of Andrew Cuomo as on next MAYA forty points 163 00:08:52,200 --> 00:08:55,400 Speaker 5: ahead is Johann Mandani. He lust by thirteen points. I 164 00:08:55,400 --> 00:08:58,560 Speaker 5: look at my mentor in this rate, George Bataki on 165 00:08:58,760 --> 00:09:03,800 Speaker 5: November second of nineteen ninety four against the better Cuomo Mario. 166 00:09:04,360 --> 00:09:07,319 Speaker 5: They had him down by twelve points. He won by 167 00:09:07,360 --> 00:09:07,920 Speaker 5: three points. 168 00:09:08,960 --> 00:09:11,720 Speaker 12: Current Mayor Eric Adams dropped out of the race about 169 00:09:11,760 --> 00:09:16,120 Speaker 12: a week ago. Former Mayor Michael Bloomberg, founder and majority 170 00:09:16,160 --> 00:09:19,840 Speaker 12: owner of Bloomberg News parent Bloomberg Lp, endorsed Cuomo in 171 00:09:19,880 --> 00:09:24,120 Speaker 12: the primary and has contributed to a pack supporting his candidacy. 172 00:09:24,679 --> 00:09:28,440 Speaker 12: Sean Diddycomb's lawyers want the hip hop mogul sent to 173 00:09:28,640 --> 00:09:31,839 Speaker 12: a low security federal prison in New Jersey to serve 174 00:09:31,920 --> 00:09:35,200 Speaker 12: his four year prison sentence. They were told a judge 175 00:09:35,200 --> 00:09:38,880 Speaker 12: Monday that the facility's drug treatment program will help him 176 00:09:38,920 --> 00:09:42,319 Speaker 12: stay clean. The Supreme Court has rejected an appeal from 177 00:09:42,440 --> 00:09:46,720 Speaker 12: Glaine Maxwell, the imprisoned ex girlfriend of Jeffrey Epstein. The 178 00:09:46,920 --> 00:09:49,960 Speaker 12: Justices declined to take up a case that would have 179 00:09:50,120 --> 00:09:54,000 Speaker 12: renewed attention on the Epstein's sexual abuse saget. Lawyers from 180 00:09:54,000 --> 00:09:57,319 Speaker 12: Maxwell argued she never should have been tried or convicted 181 00:09:57,600 --> 00:10:01,280 Speaker 12: for a role in luring teenage girls be sexually abused 182 00:10:01,280 --> 00:10:03,800 Speaker 12: by Epstein. Global News twenty four hours, a date and 183 00:10:03,840 --> 00:10:05,679 Speaker 12: whenever you want it with the Bloomberg News Now now 184 00:10:05,720 --> 00:10:07,720 Speaker 12: Michael Barrn, this is Bloomberg Karen. 185 00:10:08,440 --> 00:10:11,760 Speaker 3: Thanks Michael, time now for our Bloomberg Sports update, and 186 00:10:11,800 --> 00:10:13,720 Speaker 3: for that we bring in John stash Hour. 187 00:10:13,920 --> 00:10:17,199 Speaker 13: Thanks Staring. A pair of NLDS game twos. The Dodgers, 188 00:10:17,200 --> 00:10:19,280 Speaker 13: with four runs in the seventh inning, held on on 189 00:10:19,320 --> 00:10:21,240 Speaker 13: the bottom of the ninth and beat the Phillies four 190 00:10:21,280 --> 00:10:23,120 Speaker 13: to three, and they go back to LA with the 191 00:10:23,160 --> 00:10:26,120 Speaker 13: two games to none lead. The Brewers hit three home runs, 192 00:10:26,120 --> 00:10:27,880 Speaker 13: two of them were three run shots, a seven to 193 00:10:27,880 --> 00:10:30,760 Speaker 13: three win over the Cubs. Milwaukee leads the series two zip. 194 00:10:31,000 --> 00:10:33,480 Speaker 13: Mother Night football in Jacksonville, Kansas City had a two 195 00:10:33,559 --> 00:10:36,080 Speaker 13: touchdown lead, then trailed retook the lead with less than 196 00:10:36,120 --> 00:10:39,480 Speaker 13: two minutes ago. Trevor Lawrence slipped and fell getting a snap, 197 00:10:39,520 --> 00:10:42,440 Speaker 13: but scored a one yard run with twenty three seconds lap. 198 00:10:42,600 --> 00:10:44,800 Speaker 13: The Jags won thirty one twenty eight. That's your Bloomberg 199 00:10:44,840 --> 00:10:45,439 Speaker 13: Sports Update. 200 00:10:46,960 --> 00:10:49,839 Speaker 3: Stay with us more from Bloomberg day Break coming up 201 00:10:50,040 --> 00:10:50,559 Speaker 3: after this. 202 00:10:54,960 --> 00:10:59,160 Speaker 1: Coast to coast on Bloomberg Radio, nationwide on Serious XM, 203 00:10:59,280 --> 00:11:02,120 Speaker 1: and around the world world on Bloomberg dot Com and the 204 00:11:02,160 --> 00:11:05,280 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Business Appum. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. 205 00:11:05,440 --> 00:11:08,360 Speaker 2: Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager. Forty eight hours. That is 206 00:11:08,400 --> 00:11:11,440 Speaker 2: the window that French President Emanuel mccron has given his 207 00:11:11,600 --> 00:11:15,560 Speaker 2: newest Prime Minister, Sebastian Lecornu to salvage his government and 208 00:11:15,679 --> 00:11:18,840 Speaker 2: keep their country from going even deeper into a political 209 00:11:18,880 --> 00:11:24,199 Speaker 2: crisis that had Lecornu announcing his resignation only yesterday. Joining 210 00:11:24,280 --> 00:11:27,120 Speaker 2: us from Paris for the very latest his Bloomberg Daybreak, 211 00:11:27,120 --> 00:11:31,000 Speaker 2: Europe Banker Stephen Carroll, Stephen, good morning. It took Prime 212 00:11:31,000 --> 00:11:34,360 Speaker 2: Minister Lecorno less than twenty four hours to hand in 213 00:11:34,480 --> 00:11:38,320 Speaker 2: his walking papers. Will another forty eight make a difference? 214 00:11:38,400 --> 00:11:40,400 Speaker 2: Good morning, Good morning, Nathany. 215 00:11:40,400 --> 00:11:42,280 Speaker 4: I mean, that's the question that everyone in Paris here 216 00:11:42,400 --> 00:11:45,760 Speaker 4: is wondering about, and indeed across France, because we are 217 00:11:45,840 --> 00:11:48,920 Speaker 4: looking at a situation where the the first of those 218 00:11:48,960 --> 00:11:52,199 Speaker 4: meetings that Sebastian Lecorneo was due to hold with the 219 00:11:52,240 --> 00:11:55,600 Speaker 4: center right political parties has just finished in the past 220 00:11:55,720 --> 00:11:58,720 Speaker 4: few minutes. No news of what was discussed just yet, 221 00:11:58,840 --> 00:12:02,280 Speaker 4: but they were trying essentially to rebuild the coalition they 222 00:12:02,320 --> 00:12:06,360 Speaker 4: had before it all fell apart yesterday morning and Sebastian 223 00:12:06,360 --> 00:12:09,559 Speaker 4: and the Coornu resigned. So that's the first goal they 224 00:12:09,559 --> 00:12:11,680 Speaker 4: have to try and get back to where they started from. 225 00:12:11,679 --> 00:12:14,000 Speaker 4: But that still doesn't leave them with a sufficient number 226 00:12:14,400 --> 00:12:17,280 Speaker 4: of parliamentarians to pass a budget, which is of course 227 00:12:17,320 --> 00:12:20,760 Speaker 4: the broader goal. A question that we'll have to try 228 00:12:20,760 --> 00:12:22,800 Speaker 4: and answer between now and tomorrow night is whether or 229 00:12:22,800 --> 00:12:25,920 Speaker 4: not there's any hope for the original alliance or indeed 230 00:12:25,960 --> 00:12:28,480 Speaker 4: an expanded alliance that might actually be able to make 231 00:12:28,559 --> 00:12:32,400 Speaker 4: progress on this key point. The optimism is fairly thin 232 00:12:32,760 --> 00:12:34,520 Speaker 4: at the moment. I think it's fair to say the 233 00:12:34,520 --> 00:12:36,760 Speaker 4: markets so have cammed down a little. We're still looking 234 00:12:36,800 --> 00:12:39,839 Speaker 4: at that spread between French and German bonds at over 235 00:12:40,080 --> 00:12:42,720 Speaker 4: eighty basis points. That's our critical measure of risk that 236 00:12:42,720 --> 00:12:45,160 Speaker 4: we're watching in markets. Markets certainly got a fright when 237 00:12:45,200 --> 00:12:47,959 Speaker 4: Sebastian the Coornu resigned yesterday. But things are at least 238 00:12:47,960 --> 00:12:49,160 Speaker 4: in a holding pattern for now. 239 00:12:49,679 --> 00:12:53,640 Speaker 2: So what are the options for Lacornu with this clock 240 00:12:53,760 --> 00:12:54,680 Speaker 2: ticking down now? 241 00:12:55,360 --> 00:12:57,440 Speaker 4: Well, look, he has to try and make sure, first 242 00:12:57,440 --> 00:12:59,240 Speaker 4: of all, the original partners are on board, and we're 243 00:12:59,240 --> 00:13:02,640 Speaker 4: talking mostly about the center right Republicans Party led by 244 00:13:02,679 --> 00:13:06,200 Speaker 4: the outgoing interim Interior Minister, whatever term he'd like to 245 00:13:06,200 --> 00:13:09,480 Speaker 4: apply at the moment, Bruno Rataio. He's not taken part 246 00:13:09,480 --> 00:13:12,000 Speaker 4: in that meeting this morning at the Prime Minister's office, 247 00:13:12,040 --> 00:13:14,679 Speaker 4: although he has spoken directly to Sebas General Kornu. If 248 00:13:14,720 --> 00:13:17,559 Speaker 4: he comes back on board, at least there's some hope 249 00:13:17,679 --> 00:13:21,200 Speaker 4: of that coalition holding together. The issue is and was, 250 00:13:21,480 --> 00:13:24,040 Speaker 4: whether or not you can convince the center left Socialist 251 00:13:24,040 --> 00:13:26,440 Speaker 4: Party to get on board and to help put together 252 00:13:26,559 --> 00:13:28,840 Speaker 4: a budget plan, which is what they're all trying to 253 00:13:29,160 --> 00:13:32,920 Speaker 4: work towards. If that doesn't happen by tomorrow evening, Emmanuel 254 00:13:32,960 --> 00:13:36,520 Speaker 4: Macron has used this expression he will take his responsibilities now. 255 00:13:36,559 --> 00:13:38,720 Speaker 4: Plenty of interpretation as to what that might mean, but 256 00:13:38,720 --> 00:13:42,079 Speaker 4: it's seen as a sort of veiled threat to these parties, 257 00:13:42,400 --> 00:13:46,880 Speaker 4: to that he will hold fresh parliamentary elections if there 258 00:13:46,920 --> 00:13:49,800 Speaker 4: isn't an agreement reached. And those centrist parties, according to 259 00:13:49,800 --> 00:13:52,000 Speaker 4: the polls, are those that are likely to suffer. From 260 00:13:52,000 --> 00:13:54,240 Speaker 4: the center left to the center right, those are the 261 00:13:54,240 --> 00:13:56,920 Speaker 4: parties likely to lose out. Voters seem more likely to 262 00:13:56,960 --> 00:13:59,920 Speaker 4: go to the extremes, the far left and the far right. 263 00:14:00,360 --> 00:14:02,520 Speaker 4: So that is the threat whether if you don't manage 264 00:14:02,520 --> 00:14:04,920 Speaker 4: to put together a deal and agree to something now, 265 00:14:05,280 --> 00:14:07,080 Speaker 4: is that you could end up in a worse off 266 00:14:07,120 --> 00:14:08,119 Speaker 4: position afterwards. 267 00:14:08,160 --> 00:14:10,480 Speaker 2: And it sounds Stephen like that's the kind of threat 268 00:14:10,520 --> 00:14:14,680 Speaker 2: that could hurt President Macron himself politically. I mean, we've 269 00:14:14,720 --> 00:14:18,200 Speaker 2: talked before about how he's resisted all this time the 270 00:14:18,280 --> 00:14:22,160 Speaker 2: idea of resigning himself. But what are the options for 271 00:14:22,240 --> 00:14:25,440 Speaker 2: President Macron if there if it comes to the point 272 00:14:25,480 --> 00:14:27,640 Speaker 2: that they could be calling a new election. 273 00:14:28,080 --> 00:14:29,800 Speaker 4: Well, look, the same three options are on the table 274 00:14:29,800 --> 00:14:32,160 Speaker 4: for him now that have been every time that he's 275 00:14:32,360 --> 00:14:34,840 Speaker 4: found himself in this situation, and it's been fairly frequent 276 00:14:35,000 --> 00:14:37,760 Speaker 4: over the past two years. He can find a new 277 00:14:37,800 --> 00:14:40,760 Speaker 4: Prime Minister or even reappoints abas General Kornu, by the way, 278 00:14:40,760 --> 00:14:42,920 Speaker 4: that's still on the table, he can call those parliamentary 279 00:14:42,960 --> 00:14:45,640 Speaker 4: elections we talked about, or he could go as far 280 00:14:46,040 --> 00:14:49,160 Speaker 4: as resigning. One key development in the conversations this morning 281 00:14:49,200 --> 00:14:52,520 Speaker 4: has been the commentary from one of Macron's closest allies, 282 00:14:52,680 --> 00:14:55,680 Speaker 4: Eduar Philippoho's's first prime minister when he was elected in 283 00:14:55,760 --> 00:14:59,120 Speaker 4: twenty seventeen. Now they've had somewhat of a political separation since, 284 00:14:59,160 --> 00:15:01,600 Speaker 4: but have remained close allies. And Edward Philippe said this 285 00:15:01,680 --> 00:15:06,120 Speaker 4: morning that Emmanuel Macron should call early presidential elections once 286 00:15:06,160 --> 00:15:10,000 Speaker 4: he has passed this budget. That is a big departure 287 00:15:10,120 --> 00:15:13,560 Speaker 4: from Edward Philippe's position. It's an indication of how even 288 00:15:13,600 --> 00:15:15,920 Speaker 4: Macron's close allies are a bit fed up with them. 289 00:15:15,960 --> 00:15:18,200 Speaker 4: The leader of Macron's own party on television last night, 290 00:15:18,200 --> 00:15:20,320 Speaker 4: by the way, admitted he didn't understand the decisions that 291 00:15:20,360 --> 00:15:23,280 Speaker 4: Emmanuel Macron was making any more. Now you have to 292 00:15:23,280 --> 00:15:25,840 Speaker 4: think about this in a broader political context. All of 293 00:15:25,880 --> 00:15:28,840 Speaker 4: these political figures and political parties are thinking about the 294 00:15:28,840 --> 00:15:32,560 Speaker 4: next presidential election, currently scheduled for twenty twenty seven. They 295 00:15:32,640 --> 00:15:34,640 Speaker 4: might want to put a bit of clear blue water 296 00:15:34,680 --> 00:15:37,920 Speaker 4: between themselves and Emmanuel Macron to make things easier for 297 00:15:38,000 --> 00:15:41,200 Speaker 4: them and to increase their own prospects of election. From 298 00:15:41,200 --> 00:15:44,160 Speaker 4: the Elise's point of view, no sign or sound that 299 00:15:44,200 --> 00:15:47,760 Speaker 4: Emmanuel Macron's even considering resigning for now. That's been ruled 300 00:15:47,760 --> 00:15:49,480 Speaker 4: out by everyone that we've heard of, and the last 301 00:15:49,520 --> 00:15:52,240 Speaker 4: time we heard from Emmanuel Macron himself, he's also ruled 302 00:15:52,240 --> 00:15:54,000 Speaker 4: it out. But a lot can happen, as we know 303 00:15:54,080 --> 00:15:56,160 Speaker 4: in French politics, in a short period of time, and 304 00:15:56,200 --> 00:15:59,720 Speaker 4: we're still about thirty six hours away from that deadline 305 00:15:59,720 --> 00:16:00,800 Speaker 4: set tomorrow evening. 306 00:16:02,280 --> 00:16:05,720 Speaker 3: This is Bloomberg Daybreak, your morning podcast on the stories 307 00:16:05,760 --> 00:16:08,800 Speaker 3: making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. 308 00:16:09,080 --> 00:16:11,480 Speaker 2: Look for us on your podcast feed by six am 309 00:16:11,520 --> 00:16:14,920 Speaker 2: Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, or anywhere else you listen. 310 00:16:15,120 --> 00:16:17,960 Speaker 3: You can also listen live each morning starting at five 311 00:16:18,000 --> 00:16:20,720 Speaker 3: am Wall Street Time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero 312 00:16:20,720 --> 00:16:23,640 Speaker 3: in New York, Bloomberg in ninety nine to one in Washington, 313 00:16:23,680 --> 00:16:27,640 Speaker 3: Bloomberg ninety two nine in Boston, and nationwide on serious 314 00:16:27,840 --> 00:16:29,400 Speaker 3: XM Channel one twenty one. 315 00:16:29,800 --> 00:16:32,520 Speaker 2: Plus listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business app 316 00:16:32,560 --> 00:16:36,120 Speaker 2: Now with Apple CarPlay and Android Atto interfaces. 317 00:16:35,600 --> 00:16:38,600 Speaker 3: And don't forget to subscribe. To Bloomberg News Now. It's 318 00:16:38,640 --> 00:16:41,360 Speaker 3: the latest news, whenever you want it in five minutes 319 00:16:41,440 --> 00:16:44,560 Speaker 3: or less. Search Bloomberg News Now on your favorite podcast 320 00:16:44,600 --> 00:16:46,800 Speaker 3: platform to stay informed all day long. 321 00:16:47,160 --> 00:16:50,240 Speaker 2: I'm Karen Moscow and I'm Nathan Hager. Join us again 322 00:16:50,280 --> 00:16:52,400 Speaker 2: tomorrow morning for all the news you need to start 323 00:16:52,440 --> 00:17:00,880 Speaker 2: your day right here on Bloomberg Day Bray