Speaker 1: You are listening to the Dan Patrick Show on Fox
Speaker 1: Sports Radio. Oh, it's a prediction guaranteed to go wrong.
Speaker 1: I've got the Chargers and the Packers in the Super Bowl.
Speaker 1: I did strongly consider the Ravens. I liked the Ravens
Speaker 1: a lot, maybe more than I should. I do fall
Speaker 1: in love like sometimes you have a crush. I fall
Speaker 1: in love like I'm ready to move in and give
Speaker 1: you my bank account. And then that was the feeling.
Speaker 1: And I've done this with the Chargers before. Where I go, No,
Speaker 1: I think this is the year. No. But I think
Speaker 1: then they get to the playoffs, they go, no, this
Speaker 1: isn't the year Green Bay. Yes, I'm worried about the
Speaker 1: wide receivers, but I think that defense is really good.
Speaker 1: I think they got a great running game. Yeah, offensive line, back,
Speaker 1: tr being healthy. You know, there's a lot of things.
Speaker 1: Everybody has a question marker too. I started to look
Speaker 1: at the Rams and go, how does it go wrong?
Speaker 1: And I kept coming back to Matthew Stafford and his health.
Speaker 1: Although John Wafford is considered a very good backup quarterback,
Speaker 1: case Keenum's the backup quarterback with the Buffalo Bills. If
Speaker 1: something would happen to John sh Allen. I just I
Speaker 1: couldn't follow everybody on the Buffalo Bills here. Love the story,
Speaker 1: be great if they want a super Bowl for that city.
Speaker 1: But I started to think, Okay, do I love like
Speaker 1: the Chiefs? I love a lot as well, because I
Speaker 1: think I think people are under playing how good the
Speaker 1: Chiefs still are. Yeah, they lost Tyreek Hill, They're still
Speaker 1: a great team, but it feels like sometimes we're looking
Speaker 1: for that news story and Buffalo Bills that struggle and
Speaker 1: maybe they could win a championship. The Chargers always disappointing,
Speaker 1: always find the bananappeal. But I love Justin Herbert. They
Speaker 1: got skilled position, you got some impact players on defense.
Speaker 1: I like their coach, but it's you know, when you're
Speaker 1: it's like throwing darts in the dark, where you're going,
Speaker 1: all right? Who you picking? And I strongly considered Kansas
Speaker 1: City against Green Bay Tampa Bay. It still feels like
Speaker 1: there's unrest there, like it's it just doesn't feel as
Speaker 1: syncopated as as you would want from a Tom Brady
Speaker 1: led team. Todd Bowle's new head coach. No Gronk got
Speaker 1: injuries the offensive line, but I didn't I didn't consider
Speaker 1: too many other teams, so it was the Rams, Green Bay,
Speaker 1: little Bit Tampa Bay, and then in the AFC it
Speaker 1: felt like there's maybe five or six teams. Yeah, Poy,
Speaker 1: I like your Ravens movie. It makes a lot of sense.
Speaker 1: I don't think the Ravens have had two losing seasons
Speaker 1: in a row under Harbaugh. They seem to be always
Speaker 1: ten eleven, twelve wins, you know, occasionally off here, but
Speaker 1: off here for them, it's eight and eight historically. Yeah,
Speaker 1: and Lamar Jackson, I don't know what's going to happen
Speaker 1: with the contract and if it's done by tomorrow, where
Speaker 1: it's not done by tomorrow, does does he play differently?
Speaker 1: But yeah, those are just some of the things, you know,
Speaker 1: trying to factor this in. UH stat of the Day
Speaker 1: brought to you by Panini America, the official Trading Cards.
Speaker 1: So the Dan Patrick Show, the season kicks off tonight
Speaker 1: NBC and Peacock Peacock our streaming partner watch the Bills
Speaker 1: and the Rams at kickoff tonight seven o'clock, the pregame
Speaker 1: show on NBC and Pick Peacock. We'll get some more
Speaker 1: phone calls coming up. Johnny Evello is the director of
Speaker 1: Draft Kings sports book Operations. In other words, he knows
Speaker 1: how to gamble. And what do you think about my
Speaker 1: pick there, Johnny? I got the Chargers Packers in the
Speaker 1: Super Bowl. Dan, you were all over the place, so
Speaker 1: I don't know which one was actually your pick. No, No,
Speaker 1: it's Chargers Packers. I had to give you. I had
Speaker 1: to give you my reasoning for how I came to
Speaker 1: that conclusion. I understand. No, that's a that's a good pick.
Speaker 1: You know what you're You're staying away from all the chalk,
Speaker 1: which is usually a good thing to do. Uh. You
Speaker 1: know you mentioned the Bills, and the Bills have just
Speaker 1: run across hard times for so many years, and so
Speaker 1: many things have gone wrong. They certainly have the talent
Speaker 1: to get there. But yeah, you know, Tom Brady won
Speaker 1: the Super Bowl so many times, and you know it
Speaker 1: wasn't always because they were the better team. It's because
Speaker 1: they were fortunate. And that's the way I see it.
Speaker 1: You have to be fortunate. Good luck has to come
Speaker 1: upon you to win the Super Bowl. Okay, but would
Speaker 1: you rather go like all the money is going towards
Speaker 1: Buffalo right now? Right? Correct? Yes, that's correct. Flows our
Speaker 1: number one choice for to win the Super Bowl, and
Speaker 1: what's your pick. I'm a bookmaker. I'm not supposed to
Speaker 1: be picking teams to win. I'm just supposed to be
Speaker 1: booking the action. Now. Seriously, I've bet Buffalo in the past,
Speaker 1: but I got him at much better odds than five
Speaker 1: and a half to one. So I think Buffalo is
Speaker 1: the team to beat. But that is such short odds
Speaker 1: you can't you can't take that price at this time
Speaker 1: during the season, before we've even had a snap. Um,
Speaker 1: there's some teams out there. I think, you know longer
Speaker 1: shots that you know could have you mentioned the Ravens.
Speaker 1: I think that's one of the Eagles you didn't mention. Um,
Speaker 1: you know, the the unsophisticated and sophisticated betters both are
Speaker 1: on that team to win the NFC, So, uh, you
Speaker 1: know that could also be a pick. And you know
Speaker 1: the Vikens. If the Packers don't materialize, they're always there's
Speaker 1: always a chance there. I wouldn't go much further down
Speaker 1: the line though, than the Patriots at fifty to one.
Speaker 1: That that includes teams like the Raiders, the Cards, the Titans. Uh,
Speaker 1: you know all those teams have an outside shot. Is
Speaker 1: there Is there a Bengals team this year that you see?
Speaker 1: I liked the season last year? Can they you know,
Speaker 1: do the similar thing? Uh? You know, only lose games
Speaker 1: by your losses are three points or less. I don't know,
Speaker 1: But is there a team that will be this year's
Speaker 1: Bengals that's a hundred? Well, the Bengals were about one
Speaker 1: hundred and twenty five to one at one point last season,
Speaker 1: So who's gonna let's go with our our Las Vegas Raiders.
Speaker 1: They are not that type of price, but they are
Speaker 1: in at forty forty five to one range. They have
Speaker 1: the pieces. I think it's up to Derek Carr. And
Speaker 1: how involved are you with setting the line as a bookmaker? Um,
Speaker 1: we had a large team, so I'm a consultant for
Speaker 1: the team now, you know? So I don't you know?
Speaker 1: When when I ran the bricks and mortars locations in
Speaker 1: Las Vegas, I only had a team of seven guys,
Speaker 1: so I pretty much primarily had to do all the work.
Speaker 1: But now that we have a trading team of seventy
Speaker 1: five plus, we rely on a lot of other guys
Speaker 1: to do the work. In various sports, give me the
Speaker 1: game that still haunts you as a bookmaker in Vegas.
Speaker 1: That would be the Seattle New England game with Seattle
Speaker 1: on the one yard line, and we have a decision
Speaker 1: of a couple million dollars to the plus for the house,
Speaker 1: and we know that we know Seattle's win that game.
Speaker 1: They're just given the bottle Lynch and he's running in.
Speaker 1: It's the end of the game. They elect the pass
Speaker 1: and so that's a turnaround of four million dollars. What's
Speaker 1: it like when you lose a bet like that in
Speaker 1: the room when you look in the room, if you
Speaker 1: have that type of decision, then the general public is
Speaker 1: on the opposite side. So they went absolutely nuts because
Speaker 1: I was down in the room when that happened. For
Speaker 1: the bookmaker, it's if you've been into business long enough,
Speaker 1: it's let's move on. We have another not football game tomorrow,
Speaker 1: but we have a basketball game tomorrow, so uh, you know,
Speaker 1: we start a whole brand new season. Bookmakers, you just
Speaker 1: don't cry, You just move on. How much money is
Speaker 1: on the Rams to repeat, they're not looking at the
Speaker 1: Rams this year. The Rams are in the middle of
Speaker 1: the pack, so there's a lot of other teams above
Speaker 1: the Rams. The Bills are ahead of the Rams. The
Speaker 1: Bucks are head of the Rams Packers. You know, we
Speaker 1: already mentioned the Bills Chargers, so they're Charges are actually
Speaker 1: one of the picks that are in the top three.
Speaker 1: So uh, you know they're not looking at the Rams
Speaker 1: repeating at least early the season. But remember, these futures
Speaker 1: are up all season long and we'll be adjusted. They'll
Speaker 1: be up even while the games are being played. What's
Speaker 1: the best piece of advice you've given a better stay
Speaker 1: within your limits. Don't chase, you know, have a game plan,
Speaker 1: do this for entertainment. I remember i'd bet college football
Speaker 1: and if I lost, then I would go I'd double
Speaker 1: up on the NFL on Sunday, and then I always
Speaker 1: had Monday night as a bailout. And that's what you
Speaker 1: mean by chasing where you know you cut your losses.
Speaker 1: You have to swallow your pride and then just try
Speaker 1: to bet smart and we rarely do. Then, exactly how
Speaker 1: did you fail after you lost that, you know that
Speaker 1: double up bet? You didn't feel too good, did you?
Speaker 1: You know what, Johnny, I never enjoyed the win as
Speaker 1: much as I hated the loss, So when I won,
Speaker 1: it wasn't as big a deal. When I lost that,
Speaker 1: so the pain was something that always over would override
Speaker 1: the joy of winning. Yeah, I know there is pain
Speaker 1: in losing. But that goes for anything, isn't it. Why
Speaker 1: do you have a scale in the background there of
Speaker 1: your room. That's an old scale then that I picked
Speaker 1: up at an antique store. It was in pretty bad
Speaker 1: shape when I got it, and I, uh, you know,
Speaker 1: got it to where it's, uh, you know, in good
Speaker 1: shape now. I don't need the weigh myself. I just
Speaker 1: thought it was a nice, old, old time looking scale.
Speaker 1: I thought it might have been from a way in
Speaker 1: at at a Vegas fight like Holyfield, Tyson or something. Well,
Speaker 1: you're you're all right, Dan, I'll tell you the truth.
Speaker 1: It's it's how I weigh the money that we win. Wow,
Speaker 1: you might need one of those scales where they weighed cattle,
Speaker 1: you know, where you can put something a little heavier
Speaker 1: on there. Johnny, Uh, have fun tonight, and we appreciate
Speaker 1: your time. Thanks for joining us. Thank you, Dan, have
Speaker 1: a good day. That's Johnny Avello. He is the director
Speaker 1: of drafting sports book operations. He runs the book there
Speaker 1: at least helps them run the book. You know, bookies
Speaker 1: are fascinating people. The bookie that I had growing up,
Speaker 1: you live right around the corner. He was a man
Speaker 1: held in high regard in my town, had a reputable job,
Speaker 1: and very few people knew what he did for a living.
Speaker 1: He drove a beautiful car, had a nice house. And
Speaker 1: when I would lose my bets, I would go over
Speaker 1: to his house, which was a mile away, and I'd
Speaker 1: have to walk up to the front door and I'd
Speaker 1: hand him the money in the envelope or when I
Speaker 1: started winning, and then I'd go over there and collect
Speaker 1: because I always wanted to collect it, because he'd always say,
Speaker 1: just leave the money with me, and I go, no, no, no,
Speaker 1: I'd like to see it. And the last bet I
Speaker 1: placed was Oklahoma Arkansas Bowl game. Lost thirty three hundred
Speaker 1: dollars that night. Who's got it better than we do?
Speaker 1: That one was and he talked me out. He talked
Speaker 1: me out of my pick. I was going to take
Speaker 1: Arkansas and he said, oh man, all the money is
Speaker 1: going and he talk me out of it. And I'm
Speaker 1: glad he did, because I would still be gambling probably so.
Speaker 1: And by the way, the gambling podcast dan Patrick dot Com,
Speaker 1: Shay and Irving is going to join Bad Larry and
Speaker 1: Dylan the graphics guy, and they will make their picks
Speaker 1: later today. That podcast will be available at dan patrick
Speaker 1: dot com. Yes point, at my college Southern Illinois, there
Speaker 1: was our campus bookmaker. He's a nice guy. He actually
Speaker 1: was pretty cool, but he looked like he was unbelievably jacked.
Speaker 1: Remember the Ultimate Warrior from WWE. You know, this guy
Speaker 1: was like crazy Jackie had that long hair. I remember
Speaker 1: one time he introduced himself, took. I knew him pretty well.
Speaker 1: He issues him a couple of young guys who wanted
Speaker 1: to bet, and they're like, yeah, well beat, why don't
Speaker 1: we collecting there all excited, and he's trying to make
Speaker 1: the point that you have to pay. You know, this
Speaker 1: is not like a bunch of college kids. Yeah, he goes,
Speaker 1: you know how bookies have like a big, strong, tough
Speaker 1: guy who enforces picking out with the bats. He goes,
Speaker 1: I'm that guy too, That's what he said to him,
Speaker 1: because he's so big. Like, okay, remember the sheets that
Speaker 1: they handed out in college where you had to kind
Speaker 1: of you know, pick pick the spread, but you had
Speaker 1: to pick them all And I remember that, like you
Speaker 1: you know sports, well, you can know sports that doesn't
Speaker 1: mean you know how to gamble. And I've been around
Speaker 1: people to go Indiana against Michigan. Indiana is terrible. They
Speaker 1: won't cover, They're getting twenty four. You're like, uh, Indiana covered.
Speaker 1: There are times when you go, how did that happen?
Speaker 1: And I've had these moments because I have these flashbacks
Speaker 1: where when I did Football Night in America and I
Speaker 1: would at prior to the one o'clock games, Peter King
Speaker 1: would always say, Dan, who do you like? And I
Speaker 1: would always I probably was seventy five to eight on
Speaker 1: one game. And if you're not putting money on it,
Speaker 1: then I'm just saying, you know, I like this, I
Speaker 1: like this team against this team, and it'd be one game.
Speaker 1: I'd never pick more than that one game. And for
Speaker 1: some reason, I had that gut feeling. Now there are
Speaker 1: times when I go, I don't have one. They go,
Speaker 1: who's your pick? I go, I don't have one, But
Speaker 1: when I've felt it, I bet it. Although I don't
Speaker 1: do that now, yes time. Don't you find it fascinating?
Speaker 1: It's not fixed or anything, but that they get it
Speaker 1: so accurate with the points prints and the over unders,
Speaker 1: they so often they get it within one, and you
Speaker 1: have these bad beats at the very end. How do
Speaker 1: you explain that? I know, And it's when you go,
Speaker 1: you know, it's a half a yard or it's a
Speaker 1: half a point, it's the over under. Now, there are
Speaker 1: times I can remember my losses. I don't remember my
Speaker 1: wins in gambling, and I ended up on the plus side.
Speaker 1: But I just remember those losses because that's what it's
Speaker 1: all about. When you win, it's like, all right, I won,
Speaker 1: and then it's like you're holding on until you lose.
Speaker 1: When you lose, it's not like you go, well, I'll
Speaker 1: get that back. You don't. All you do is rent
Speaker 1: the money, like I'm just holding on to it for
Speaker 1: a little. That's why I. I always collected from the bookie,
Speaker 1: so I at least had it for a moment too,
Speaker 1: then hand it back to him the following week update
Speaker 1: the pole results. There. See, you make me want a bet,
Speaker 1: by the way, I can't watch a game that I
Speaker 1: bet on. I'm I'm I'm the polar opposite from people
Speaker 1: who go, god, I got I mean, it's a Carolina
Speaker 1: against Clear, I gotta throw something on this. I was
Speaker 1: never like that. I'd be like, oh, thankfully, I don't
Speaker 1: have to bet on this game. I get to just
Speaker 1: watch it. Yes, he does. Sounds like a lot of fun, though,
Speaker 1: you know, I think it is fun until you have
Speaker 1: to go, wait, do I have four hundred dollars in
Speaker 1: my bet? I don't have four I owe four hundred
Speaker 1: and fifty dollars. Then you're like, um, can I give
Speaker 1: you four hundred and I'll give you a fifty later?
Speaker 1: And that's not good. Like tonight, I'd be sitting there
Speaker 1: watching and be like I got Cooper Cup at seven
Speaker 1: and a half. You know catches, You know, you just
Speaker 1: sit there counting off each one. I like it, but
Speaker 1: I but I don't even no, no, sorry. And I
Speaker 1: have friends when they go who do you like? And
Speaker 1: I go, no, not telling you because I don't want
Speaker 1: any I don't want them to go. You told me
Speaker 1: you love the Raiders. I mean, like you didn't tell
Speaker 1: me you were betting. All right, let me take a break.
Speaker 1: Let's see we'll get some more phone calls coming up.
Speaker 1: Steve Palozzolo, our good buddy from Pro Football Focus on
Speaker 1: best roster in the NFL the Worst roster in the NFL.
Speaker 1: We'll talk to him about that coming up. Back after
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Speaker 1: National Football League. Thanks for listening to The Dan Patrick
Speaker 1: Show podcast. Be sure to catch us live every weekday
Speaker 1: morning nine until noon eastern six to nine Pacific on
Speaker 1: Fox Sports Radio, and you can find us on the
Speaker 1: iHeartRadio app at FSR or stream us live on the
Speaker 1: Peacock App. A couple of phone calls. Brandon in New
Speaker 1: York joins us on the program. Hi Brandon, how are
Speaker 1: you buddy? Hey Dan, I'm doing well man, Thanks for
Speaker 1: taking my call. Sure well. First of all, I had
Speaker 1: achille surgery last month and the DP show got me
Speaker 1: through it, So thank you very much joining the club.
Speaker 1: And secondly, lifelong Bills fan, you want to talk about
Speaker 1: lost trauma. I'm still processing super Bowl twenty five and
Speaker 1: this is their year. If there's any year that it's
Speaker 1: gonna be, it's gonna be this year. But I'm a realist.
Speaker 1: So Dan, I want to put up to the Danetts.
Speaker 1: I'm willing to take a pie to the face that
Speaker 1: the Buffalo Bills will not make the Super Bowl, and
Speaker 1: I will record this video if the Bills win it
Speaker 1: with my dad, my two brothers, my uncle, and any
Speaker 1: Bills fan at the halftime of the Super Bowl smashing
Speaker 1: my face with Kie and it'll taste so great. Okay, wait,
Speaker 1: so what's the bet that Buffalo makes the Super Bowl?
Speaker 1: I am betting that they will not against Okay, there
Speaker 1: any yes, PAULI we're just trying to spice us up
Speaker 1: all of it since it's buffalo wings to the face.
Speaker 1: Oh my god, if that works, scalding hot buffalo wings. Okay, Paul,
Speaker 1: will you take wings to the faith? Not me. I
Speaker 1: would never disrespect and play away its like that. No,
Speaker 1: then I'm keeping it to a five. U. I don't
Speaker 1: want to bet against the Buffalo Bills. I mean, I
Speaker 1: that would be a great story. And having covered gosh,
Speaker 1: I covered what three of those Super Bowls four? I
Speaker 1: covered all four of those Super Bowls four with tears, Dan,
Speaker 1: and I just don't want it to happen again. I
Speaker 1: don't think you have any takers here, Brandon, but I
Speaker 1: don't think anybody wants to root against Buffalo. Thanks for
Speaker 1: the phone call, Yeah, Poems. I watched the thirty for
Speaker 1: thirty a little bit last night about the four Super
Speaker 1: Bowl losses for the Bills, and it was very interesting
Speaker 1: when it was the first Was it the first Super
Speaker 1: Bowl loss where Scott Norwood missed it wide right against
Speaker 1: the Giants? They showed it and it was interesting. They
Speaker 1: delved deep into it. He spent half an hour after
Speaker 1: the Super Bowl loss answering questions from reporters and waited
Speaker 1: for them to be done till he left the building.
Speaker 1: It was unbelievable. But there's been a couple of moments
Speaker 1: like that. I was I was in the Giants locker room,
Speaker 1: so I wasn't there with Scott Norwood, but I remember
Speaker 1: when Bill Buckner had the ball go through his legs.
Speaker 1: He sat there and answered every question afterwards. Now there
Speaker 1: was one more game to be played, a Game seven.
Speaker 1: When Mitch Williams gave up the home run to Joe Carter.
Speaker 1: Mitch Williams answered all those phone calls in Toronto that day.
Speaker 1: So I've been around these guys that you know, they're
Speaker 1: stand up guys. Hey, I made a mistake, or the
Speaker 1: ball went through my legs, or I gave up the
Speaker 1: home run, or whatever it is. I'll sit here and
Speaker 1: answer those questions. Scott Nebraska, then we'll take break. Then
Speaker 1: we'll get to uh, Steve Pamelozolo here. Hey, Scott, Hey, Scotty, Yes,
Speaker 1: Scott Hey. I'm currently cruising westbound across Nebraska and there's
Speaker 1: a town called Brady and there was a sign that
Speaker 1: said Brady twelve, and I thought, wow, that was kind
Speaker 1: of unique. And I got eleven miles up the road,
Speaker 1: and there's another sign that said Brady Exit one nine.
Speaker 1: Oh that was his draft number, raft number. How weird
Speaker 1: is that? Wow? Okay, well, thank you Scott. I did
Speaker 1: not know that. I had no numerology. The Yes, I'm
Speaker 1: big into numerology. So it's Fritzie by the way. I
Speaker 1: love it. Thank you. Yes, I'm throwing the BS flag.
Speaker 1: I'm looking at Brady, Nebraska and it's off Route thirty
Speaker 1: and UT five sixty out there in Nebraska. Yeah, but
Speaker 1: what's the exit number? Is it mile one ninety nine,
Speaker 1: which is the number that he was drafted? I can't
Speaker 1: find that. Wait, are you you're throwing the BS flag?
Speaker 1: Saying it's very convenient, should throw the BS flag? And
Speaker 1: you can't. But you don't know it. Shouldn't you wait
Speaker 1: to throw the BS You just throw it. Better, you
Speaker 1: throw it just like an official. You throw it and
Speaker 1: then you look at replay more like a BS grenade
Speaker 1: than as flag. I have an update. Okay, off I
Speaker 1: eighty west exit one nine nine and get you to Brady, Nebraska. Okay,
Speaker 1: but I don't five Route twelve that's BS. Throw the
Speaker 1: BS flag. What are the odds of Brady, Nebraska and
Speaker 1: it's exit one ninety nine and that's where he was drafted.
Speaker 1: Number of this at the hitching post in Brady, Nebraska.
Speaker 1: You should build a house there. He might he might
Speaker 1: be able to move to another state to Steve Palozzolo
Speaker 1: are good buddy, senior analyst at Pro Football Focus, co
Speaker 1: host of Pro Football Focused NFL podcast. He joins us
Speaker 1: on the program. Uh, best roster talent right now going
Speaker 1: into this season is who Steve. That is the Buffalo Bills.
Speaker 1: I think when you look at the Bills and what
Speaker 1: they have built and adding von Miller to the mix,
Speaker 1: I think they have look when you're building around a
Speaker 1: young quarterback, the Bills are like the blueprint right now
Speaker 1: for how to build around Josh Allen with the wide
Speaker 1: receiver talent, with Stefon Diggs, with Gabriel Davis, and Von
Speaker 1: Miller comes in to add to that defensive line and
Speaker 1: once Tradevious White gets healthy at cornerback. I think there's
Speaker 1: a reason why a lot of people have the Bills
Speaker 1: as the favorite for the Super Bowl because they're pretty
Speaker 1: good all around. Okay, but is there a big drop
Speaker 1: off between one and two with roster talent? No, I mean,
Speaker 1: I think I think the top five is pretty close.
Speaker 1: When you look at a team like the Bucks. You know,
Speaker 1: I think people might be sleeping on the Bucks because
Speaker 1: Tom Brady took a little vacation during training camp and
Speaker 1: Rob Gronkowski retired. But you still bring in a Julio Jones,
Speaker 1: all of the other receiver talents, a couple questions on
Speaker 1: the offensive line, But the Bucks are up there. The
Speaker 1: Chiefs are still up there, even though there's some question
Speaker 1: marks there. The Packers are still good. I just think
Speaker 1: those other teams just have more question marks when it
Speaker 1: comes to top to bottom talent than a team like
Speaker 1: the Bills. But you look at the Kansas City Chiefs
Speaker 1: and they prided themselves on having a great receiving corps.
Speaker 1: You lose Tyree Hill. Kansas City fans look at that offense,
Speaker 1: and what are they going to think this year? I
Speaker 1: think they'll take a step back before they take a
Speaker 1: step forward. You know. I think there's there'll be some
Speaker 1: growing pains with Juju Smith Schuster, with the rookie sky More,
Speaker 1: with Marcos Valdez Scantling trying to replace some of the
Speaker 1: deep threat that Tyreek Hill was. But the Chiefs made
Speaker 1: a decision to be better everywhere, you know, just to
Speaker 1: have a better roster rather than just a great receiving corps.
Speaker 1: So I think it's going to show up on the
Speaker 1: defensive side of the ball. The two rookies George carloftis
Speaker 1: in the first round, Trent McDuffie at corner. Both of
Speaker 1: those guys should improve that team. But I think the
Speaker 1: offense takes a bit of a step back. There'll be
Speaker 1: some games where the Chiefs might be saying, man, we
Speaker 1: could use a big play. We could use that you know,
Speaker 1: ten yard pass that turns into a sixty yard touch
Speaker 1: down the Tyree Kill brought to the table. But I
Speaker 1: think the Chiefs in the long term are going to
Speaker 1: be a better team because they essentially replaced Tyree Kill
Speaker 1: with five players. But it might, you know, the offense
Speaker 1: might not be as explosive this season. Talk me out
Speaker 1: of picking the Chargers for the Super Bowl. No, that's
Speaker 1: who I picked on the PFF NFL podcast this week.
Speaker 1: That was by I said, they go through the wildcard round.
Speaker 1: But listen, here's what how I would talk you out
Speaker 1: of it or myself. I've been hyping the Chargers for
Speaker 1: the last ten years. You know, they're like the the
Speaker 1: off season doing me both and I've been doing this.
Speaker 1: I've been punished, I've been hurt, I've been let down.
Speaker 1: They're the off season darlings, but they do let us
Speaker 1: down with some crazy But I think Brandon Staley's changing it.
Speaker 1: She's changing the mentality. They're gonna be aggressive. We know
Speaker 1: they're gonna go four to fourth down, they're gonna maximize possessions.
Speaker 1: Justin Herbert's bawling, and you add Khalil Mack to the mix,
Speaker 1: you added JC Jackson. I think that team is really
Speaker 1: set up for success. More likely, well, the Rams make
Speaker 1: the super Bowl or they don't make the playoffs. More likely, Oh,
Speaker 1: I'd say, let me say Rams make the super Bowl.
Speaker 1: But just because the NFC is not nearly as deep
Speaker 1: as the AC, I do think the NFC West is
Speaker 1: strong with the forty nine ers there in the Cardinals,
Speaker 1: But I think that the elites of the NFC, the
Speaker 1: Packers and Bucks and the Rams, I just I think
Speaker 1: they're going to be there at the end, whereas in
Speaker 1: the NFC, at the AFC, I think you're looking at
Speaker 1: some of these. You know, if the Bengals didn't make
Speaker 1: the playoffs, would we be all that surprised? Maybe not,
Speaker 1: just because it's so deep in the AFC. So I
Speaker 1: think the NFC has a little bit tighter path where
Speaker 1: the end where the Rams could make the Super Bowl again.
Speaker 1: He's his senior analyst at Pro Football Focus and co
Speaker 1: host or the Pro Football Focus NFL podcast, The Poundazzolo
Speaker 1: joining us. I look at the rosters with the Eagles.
Speaker 1: I look at the rosters with the Cardinals and also
Speaker 1: the Raiders, and my big question mark is quarterback. And
Speaker 1: maybe I shouldn't have as much of a question mark
Speaker 1: with Kyler Murray as I do with the other But
Speaker 1: am I wrong in that that I shouldn't? You know,
Speaker 1: does Pro Football Focus? How did they look at Jalen Hurd's,
Speaker 1: Derek Carr and Kyler Murray? I mean, I think when
Speaker 1: you're looking at the best quarterbacks in the league and
Speaker 1: you're looking at his quarterback a question mark, you're trying
Speaker 1: to say, is this guy a top eight guy that
Speaker 1: I can believe in every single year? And if you're asking,
Speaker 1: is Kyler Murray there yet? Maybe not? You know, I
Speaker 1: think he was top eight ish last year, certainly dropped
Speaker 1: off the second half of the year, but he's gotten
Speaker 1: better every single season. I feel confident in Kyler Murray
Speaker 1: at least putting the Cardinals in position to succeed. I
Speaker 1: think Derek Carr is probably on the fringe of that
Speaker 1: kind of how I thought Matthew Stafford had been for
Speaker 1: his ten plus years in Detroit. Nobody was saying matt
Speaker 1: Nobody should have been saying Matthew Stafford was a top
Speaker 1: ten quarterback of his era because there was a pretty
Speaker 1: distinct top eight or nine. But once those guys retired,
Speaker 1: Stafford could kind of slide in there. I think Carr
Speaker 1: has that ability and Car plus Davante Adams, now I
Speaker 1: think we're going to see fireworks there. I think the
Speaker 1: Races have the playmakers that Derek car could have one
Speaker 1: of his best seasons and we're gonna revisit that halfway
Speaker 1: through the year and be like, man, this guy's on
Speaker 1: pace for five thousand plus yards and forty touchdowns. Maybe
Speaker 1: he's better than we thought. And the Jalen Hurts one
Speaker 1: is fascinating because I think the Eagles have taken advantage
Speaker 1: of the fact that he is on this rookie contracts.
Speaker 1: They could go on Draft night and say what's better
Speaker 1: to come out of the first round than with an
Speaker 1: AJ Brown than with a game changing wide receiver. And
Speaker 1: that's gonna make Davante Smith, last year's first round receiver,
Speaker 1: all the better. That's gonna make this running game that
Speaker 1: they turn to Brown weeks six or seven last year,
Speaker 1: that's gonna make the run game. Plus the ability to
Speaker 1: win through the air. You know, they just have more
Speaker 1: flexibility on offense. So I think they've done a great
Speaker 1: job building around Jalen Hurts. Now it's a matter of Okay,
Speaker 1: can you go win games for us? That is a
Speaker 1: big question mark still for the Eagles though, Okay, how
Speaker 1: do you rate gauge Trey Lance because you don't have
Speaker 1: a large sample size, So how does Pro Football Focus
Speaker 1: look at him this season? Yeah, for me, it's just
Speaker 1: looking at his skill set and trying to project what's
Speaker 1: going to happen there. And the two big things for
Speaker 1: me is the forty nine ers with Jimmy Garoppolo had
Speaker 1: one of the most efficient passing attacks in the NFL,
Speaker 1: and they did it without a lot of downfield passes.
Speaker 1: Jimmy Garoppolo had one of our lowest big time throw rates.
Speaker 1: So those special throws down the field, but he was
Speaker 1: still number two in the NFL and yards per attempt,
Speaker 1: meaning there's open receivers, there's yards after the catch, there's
Speaker 1: a great system in place. Trey Lance has the ability
Speaker 1: to make those big time throws. He has the ability
Speaker 1: to throw the ball forty plus yards down the field
Speaker 1: and stretch the field in a way that Kyle Shanahan
Speaker 1: has not in a long time. And then you add
Speaker 1: Trey Lances rushing ability, and the Shanahans are just known
Speaker 1: for making life difficult for defenses. When it comes to
Speaker 1: the run game, you add in a run threat like
Speaker 1: Trey Lance, and there's a million different things that the
Speaker 1: Niners can do. So I feel like Trey Lance has
Speaker 1: a skill set that even if he has some growing pains,
Speaker 1: even if he's not making every perfect read or not
Speaker 1: as efficient as Jimmy Garoppolo throw for throw, Trey Lance
Speaker 1: can add big playability both through the air and on
Speaker 1: the ground, and that makes the forty nine is pretty
Speaker 1: scary with Kyle Shanahan calling the plays. Your concerns about
Speaker 1: Dak Prescott are the last time we saw Dak Prescott
Speaker 1: without Amari Cooper, so right in the middle of the
Speaker 1: twenty eighteen season, and there was a point in Dak's
Speaker 1: career where he was he was dropping off. He had
Speaker 1: a good rookie year, he had two seasons after that
Speaker 1: work for us p f F grades, he ranked around
Speaker 1: nineteenth or twentieth, and then Amari Cooper showed up, and
Speaker 1: once he had Dak those good receivers around him, his
Speaker 1: production went through the roof. And he's been consistent, and
Speaker 1: probably some of it is just his regular development, but
Speaker 1: Dak hasn't had a non top three receiving corps in years.
Speaker 1: So he had he's had this incredible supporting cast offensive
Speaker 1: line plus receivers. Now you've got three new starters on
Speaker 1: the offensive line. You have Noah, Marii Cooper Ceedee Lamb
Speaker 1: can step up into that spot, but you haven't injured
Speaker 1: Michael Gallup trying to come back. The Cowboys have been
Speaker 1: at their best with an excellent top five ish type
Speaker 1: of offensive line and a top three type of receiving group,
Speaker 1: and we don't have that this year for Dallas. So
Speaker 1: for me, it's the supporting cast and can Dak elevate
Speaker 1: the rest of that roster because we haven't really seen
Speaker 1: him need to do that in four or five years. Now.
Speaker 1: The worst roster talent wise is located where. I think
Speaker 1: it's between Chicago or Houston. You know, I think both
Speaker 1: teams were rebuilding. You know, Chicago, it's probably the Bears,
Speaker 1: just because they legitimately gutted that roster the Texans. They
Speaker 1: waited for them to hold Deshaun Watson thing, and then
Speaker 1: they started to add talent back to the roster. They
Speaker 1: started to But Chicago has questions on the offensive line,
Speaker 1: out wide, at receiver. All of their defensive playmakers are
Speaker 1: young or in their first couple of years. Roquan Smith,
Speaker 1: you know, might be the guy that they're going to
Speaker 1: build around, but he's a linebacker. So I think it's
Speaker 1: the Bears. You know, it's year two of Justin Fields,
Speaker 1: and unfortunately, I don't know that we're going to get
Speaker 1: a great gauge for what Fields can do, just because
Speaker 1: the whole supporting cast is certainly not there. But but
Speaker 1: I get it. Ryan Poles had to come in, he
Speaker 1: had a salary cap, he had salary cap issues. They
Speaker 1: didn't have a ton of draft picks, and they're starting
Speaker 1: to build it up from scratch in Chicago. Have fun tonight,
Speaker 1: always great to talk to you. Thank you, Steve, Thanks Dan,
Speaker 1: Happy football, Happy football, absolutely, Steve Palazzola. I love it
Speaker 1: that they go into their laboratory and they just start
Speaker 1: looking at film. You know, there's no bias there. They're
Speaker 1: just feeding all this information in and they're coming out
Speaker 1: with the most talented roster. That's the Buffalo Bills, least
Speaker 1: talented Texans and the Bears. If you're the Bears and
Speaker 1: you're trying to build a new stadium, it's hard to use.
Speaker 1: The team that you have now is a battering ram
Speaker 1: to be going. Hey, how about a new stadium for
Speaker 1: our football team? Nah, I think you need to stay
Speaker 1: in the old decrepid Soldier Field for a little while.
Speaker 1: Let us know when you get good. But they're looking
Speaker 1: to move out into the suburbs, and I guess it's
Speaker 1: an old race track. So yeah, Arleton Heights, northwest of
Speaker 1: the city is an old race track facility and it's
Speaker 1: a big property. It's like with like anyone in Skagoland,
Speaker 1: you get hold and you can't really do it anymore.
Speaker 1: You got to the suburbs. Do you know that the
Speaker 1: Astrodome is still still around, like like it's across the
Speaker 1: street from you know, well the parking lot. So you're
Speaker 1: saying like that from the stadium. If the Bears got
Speaker 1: a new stadium, walter Field, they wouldn't tear it down.
Speaker 1: I wait, it's a historical landmark. Yeah, I could imagine
Speaker 1: being tore down. But the Astrodome was the eighth Wonder
Speaker 1: of the World and they still have it. So they
Speaker 1: can't tear that down. Right, it's not being used in
Speaker 1: any way. I don't know. Remember when the palace in
Speaker 1: Auburn Hills, like you could buy that, You could have
Speaker 1: bought that. I think it was like, I don't know,
Speaker 1: somebody was like, hey, you want this. It's like four
Speaker 1: million dollars or something, and you could own the palace
Speaker 1: at Auburn Hills. Yeah. Now that's a man cave. If
Speaker 1: you say, come on over, I got a football field here. Yeah.
Speaker 1: Point What Super Bowl was it in Houston? Was it Carolina?
Speaker 1: A bunch of years ago? Was that the Carolina Panthers
Speaker 1: were in that one? Yeah, we were at that Janet Jackson. Yes,
Speaker 1: next door they were having like I think there's like
Speaker 1: a televangels or convention at the old Astersterdome when he
Speaker 1: is still in business. Well that was probably Joel Olstein.
Speaker 1: Doesn't he do those things in front of thirty forty? Yeah? Yeah,
Speaker 1: see maybe pretty sweet though, if your man cave was
Speaker 1: also known as the eighth wonder of the world, yeah,
Speaker 1: that's not too many of those going around. Yeah, there
Speaker 1: aren't many man caves that rival this one, but that
Speaker 1: probably would if you said, hey, you got a nice one,
Speaker 1: but I got the eighth wonder of the world. Didn't
Speaker 1: the astrodome. Didn't the people in Houston call it the
Speaker 1: eighth wonder of the world or did somebody outside of
Speaker 1: Houston go, that's the eighth wonder of the world? You
Speaker 1: self declare it? Yeah, I don't know, like the taj Mahal,
Speaker 1: did somebody go, that's one of the eighth one? Where
Speaker 1: are they ranked? Like, could they the fifth wonder of
Speaker 1: the world that the astrodome was the eighth wonder? Do
Speaker 1: you have a pecking order? It's like, this is the
Speaker 1: first wonder of the world. What is the first wonder
Speaker 1: of the world because the astronome is the eighth wonder
Speaker 1: of the world. You know what, let's take a break,
Speaker 1: let's do some research here, Let's just forget the break,
Speaker 1: Let's just keep wondering about this. We can Oh, you
Speaker 1: were just come on, I can never tell when you're joking.
Speaker 1: Let's take a break. Business owners, you're feeling boxed in
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Speaker 1: The Dan Patrick Show podcast. Be sure to catch us
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Speaker 1: live on the Peacock app. Hey, this is Jason McIntyre.
Speaker 1: Join me every weekday morning on my podcast, Straight Fire
Speaker 1: with Jason McIntyre. This isn't your typical sportspod pushing the
Speaker 1: same tired narratives down your throat every day. Straight Fire
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Speaker 1: Intelligence runs in the family, Innovation runs in the family,
Speaker 1: Extraordinary Runs in the Family. Twenty twenty two, Mercedes spends
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Speaker 1: more at mbusa dot com. The Dan Patrick Takes a
Speaker 1: Gamble podcast getting a new member, Shay and Irving's going
Speaker 1: to join Bad Larry and Dylan and they will make
Speaker 1: their picks for football the game tonight this weekend college
Speaker 1: football and also the NFL that will be up on
Speaker 1: the website at dan Patrick dot com. We're mentioning these
Speaker 1: seven Wonders of the world. Houston the Astrodome. They sort
Speaker 1: of named themselves the eighth Wonder of the World. In
Speaker 1: two thousand, a Swiss foundation launched a campaign to determine
Speaker 1: the new seven Wonders of the World, given that the
Speaker 1: original seven Wonders list was compiled in the second century
Speaker 1: and only one entrant was still standing, the Pyramids of Giza.
Speaker 1: But um, so the current seven Wonders of the world
Speaker 1: the Great Wall of China. My pronunciations be tough. Here
Speaker 1: at chichen Itza. It's in Mexico. It's a poll tech
Speaker 1: style pyramid and that's my favorite style tech. Okay, um
Speaker 1: Petra that's in Uh. I've seen he is a wonder
Speaker 1: of the world. Um how the Brave's only won one
Speaker 1: World Series with that pitching staff is five? No I
Speaker 1: got um Machu pichu okay in Peru. Yeah, yeah, Christ
Speaker 1: the Redeemer, I've been there. Yeah, you've been there. Yeah,
Speaker 1: that's in Rio. Yeah, up on the hill there. Yeah yeah,
Speaker 1: I think it's a it's more of a mountain mountain,
Speaker 1: it's a hill. But it took a long time. I
Speaker 1: went up there with Bella Caroli. So the NBC when
Speaker 1: we got there for the Olympics are like, hey, we're
Speaker 1: gonna go up to Christ the Redeemer and I, uh, okay,
Speaker 1: And then you get in this bus and you're weaving
Speaker 1: turning in and you gotta walk up and I'm walking
Speaker 1: up with Bella Caroli. So random. He didn't pick you
Speaker 1: for carry you like Harry st I wish you would.
Speaker 1: I got I got a couple more on the um
Speaker 1: let's see here, Christ, can't you pick me up? Rick
Speaker 1: o'kasik marrying the Roman Coliseum. I've been there, the taj Mahal,
Speaker 1: I have not been there, and wait injured in Atlantic City. Yeah, okay,
Speaker 1: I've been there. I think that's it. Those are the
Speaker 1: seven wonders of the World. Yeah, what would you add
Speaker 1: to that? Though, like modern day oh Marv, No, Grand
Speaker 1: Canyon does have to be built by man. So there's
Speaker 1: different wonders of the world. There are some that are
Speaker 1: like natural wonders, of the world might be a waterfall,
Speaker 1: might be a grand canyon, things like that, and then
Speaker 1: there's other ones like Paul just mentioned that were built
Speaker 1: or created. Okay, how'd peach you? Sounds awesome? It does.
Speaker 1: That's like very high on my bucket list of places
Speaker 1: to go. Yeah. More. Andrea the Giant was also called
Speaker 1: the eighth Wonder of the World. So who has the
Speaker 1: real title today, the eighth Wonder? Well, I would say
Speaker 1: Andre the Giant over the Astrodome. Like if you think
Speaker 1: back and you go, why is this the eighth Wonder
Speaker 1: of the world. Well, at the time, they're going, wait,
Speaker 1: you're you're gonna are you gonna have grass in there?
Speaker 1: Didn't they have grass initially? And then they went to
Speaker 1: asterturf even though it's the Astrodome. For some reason, I thought,
Speaker 1: because it's you know, the light goes through in the asterdome.
Speaker 1: How about Pete Davidson's dating history that that would be
Speaker 1: like the tenth wonder of the world. It's up there
Speaker 1: this day in sports history, PAULI, what do you have
Speaker 1: for me? Got a few herschel Walker made his debut
Speaker 1: in the NFL with the Cowboys. Um Hank Aaron hit
Speaker 1: his seven hundred ninth home run in nineteen seventy three.
Speaker 1: And let's see, on two thousand and two of the
Speaker 1: NFL's Houston Texas played their first regular season game. They
Speaker 1: beat the Cowboys nineteen to ten. That was brutal coverage
Speaker 1: the next day for the Cowboys. Yeah time. As far
Speaker 1: as your question about the astronome originally having grass, when
Speaker 1: the Dome opened, it featured a special type of grass
Speaker 1: bread to be grown indoor, and a translucent roof to
Speaker 1: provide natural grass. But if the players complained about the
Speaker 1: glare of the roof, some sections were painted white and
Speaker 1: the grass died. Okay, and then they gave us astrotur.
Speaker 1: Here's one of the stranger moments in baseball history. Nineteen
Speaker 1: fifty four. Richie Ashburn of the Phillies was it at
Speaker 1: the plate. He fouled off fourteen consecutive pitches on a
Speaker 1: three two count before drawing a walk. One of the
Speaker 1: foul balls that he hit hit a woman in the stands,
Speaker 1: broke her nose. As she's being carried out on the stretcher,
Speaker 1: she's hit by another foul ball from Richie Ashburn off
Speaker 1: his bed. It's not meant to be funny. That's a
Speaker 1: funny quincidence. Is she okay? It's a coincide. I don't
Speaker 1: know how she fifth nineteen fifty four. I don't know
Speaker 1: if she's alive. The bump had to go down by
Speaker 1: Now that's soon. That's like less like an enlightening hitting twice.
Speaker 1: It's so bizary. Yeah, it's gonna be less enlightening. That
Speaker 1: was funny. So she she gets hit, they're carrying around.
Speaker 1: She got broken nose. It's Richie again, Doris, sound like right?
Speaker 1: Never going to face balla. She moved to a new
Speaker 1: city and then she gets he gets traded there? What
Speaker 1: do I ever do? Chie? It's Richie Ashburn foul Ball
Speaker 1: Night tonight. You invite Dolores stand behind her. I'll skip
Speaker 1: off her night, Corris, No, you shouldn't be here. Why
Speaker 1: it's Richie Ashburn foul Ball Night? What did you learn
Speaker 1: on today's program? Underreaction Friday? Yes, Tomorrow, Underreaction Fridays Eating O'Connor,
Speaker 1: Chargers over the Packers, h super Bowl pick Marv Richie
Speaker 1: Ashburn Savage? PAULI, Yes, is a little too soon? A
Speaker 1: laugh at that story? This family takes turns? Wait, what
Speaker 1: did I learn? Today time, Polly, we all are points
Speaker 1: going to a Calamari festival in Rhode Island side. I've
Speaker 1: never heard of a Calamari festival. You can come with.
Speaker 1: I get you in. He's gonna have a little mini
Speaker 1: TV screen watching college football, pretending to be doing family
Speaker 1: calamari things. This family takes turns, turning heads, brains, beauty, athleticism.
Speaker 1: All they need now is for you to drive them
Speaker 1: off the line. Mercedes Ben's Family of SUVs a family
Speaker 1: of unrivaled vehicles waiting at your local dealer. A lot
Speaker 1: of fun today. Enjoy the football tonight. Will dissect it
Speaker 1: tomorrow for you. As we go around the horn, it's Fritzie,
Speaker 1: it's Seaton, it's Marv, it's Polly, it's yours truly, thanks
Speaker 1: for joining us here on the Dan Patrick Show. One
Speaker 1: more item as we close out the show. Fritzie sometimes
Speaker 1: will just stare at me and Marvel. He'll go, I
Speaker 1: don't know how you do it. Here we are three
Speaker 1: hours into this show. People don't know the energy it
Speaker 1: takes to entertain a nation. It's very amazing to watch.
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